Monte Carlo Sports Simulations

Every Season, Replayed 100,000 Times.

How often would your team win it all? How often would your team still suffer through that heartbreaking collapse? At Retro Stat Sports, we answer those questions by generating historic simulations and live in-season projections to understand just how unlikely those game results were. Explore alternate histories for the U.S. pro leagues, the European domestic football leagues, and major NCAA sports for every season we have data on.

USA Pro Leagues

American professional sports — historic seasons and live projections.

European Soccer

Top 15 of UEFA's most-watched competitions — browse all 54 countries below.

College Sports

NCAA football and basketball — more sports coming.

Coming Soon
NCAAF
1915 – Present
Coming Soon
NCAAB
1950 – Present
Coming Soon
NCAAW
2001 – Present

How It Works

Step 1
Rate every team with Elo.
Each team's strength rating updates after every game played.
Step 2
Simulate the schedule 100,000 times.
Each game's outcome is random, weighted by team strength.
Step 3
Show the full range of outcomes.
Win totals, playoff odds, and championship probabilities.