2026 NFL Season

2 games played · 32 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Seattle Seahawks

19.70% chance to win Super Bowl

Biggest Overachiever

San Francisco 49ers

0.58 wins above expected

1 wins · 0.42 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Los Angeles Rams

0.58 wins below expected

0 wins · 0.58 expected wins

Current Standings

Each team's record through games played. SimW is the model's expected wins through the same games - the sum of pregame win probabilities over completed games. vsSim shows actual wins minus that expectation - positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

#	Team	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots	1	.000	-	10	13	-3	0.37	-0.37
2	Miami Dolphins	0	.000	-0.5	0	0	0	0.00	0.00
3	Buffalo Bills	0	.000	-0.5	0	0	0	0.00	0.00
4	New York Jets	0	.000	-0.5	0	0	0	0.00	0.00

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Cincinnati Bengals	.000	-
2	Baltimore Ravens	.000	-
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	.000	-
4	Cleveland Browns	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Houston Texans	.000	-
2	Tennessee Titans	.000	-
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	.000	-
4	Indianapolis Colts	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Los Angeles Chargers	.000	-
2	Las Vegas Raiders	.000	-
3	Denver Broncos	.000	-
4	Kansas City Chiefs	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Dallas Cowboys	.000	-
2	Washington Commanders	.000	-
3	Philadelphia Eagles	.000	-
4	New York Giants	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Minnesota Vikings	.000	-
2	Detroit Lions	.000	-
3	Chicago Bears	.000	-
4	Green Bay Packers	.000	-

#	Team	Pct	GB
1	Atlanta Falcons	.000	-
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	.000	-
3	New Orleans Saints	.000	-
4	Carolina Panthers	.000	-

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers	1	0	1.000	-	27	7	+20	0.42	+0.58
2	Seattle Seahawks	1	0	1.000	-	13	10	+3	0.63	+0.37
3	Arizona Cardinals	0	0	.000	0.5	0	0	0	0.00	0.00
4	Los Angeles Rams	0	1	.000	1	7	27	-20	0.58	-0.58

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	San Francisco 49ers	1	0.42	+0.58
2	Seattle Seahawks	1	0.63	+0.37
3	Arizona Cardinals	0	0.00	0.00
4	Carolina Panthers	0	0.00	0.00
5	New Orleans Saints	0	0.00	0.00

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Sim	Luck
1	Los Angeles Rams	0.58	-0.58
2	New England Patriots	0.37	-0.37
3	Buffalo Bills	0.00	0.00
4	Carolina Panthers	0.00	0.00
5	New Orleans Saints	0.00	0.00

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Francisco 49ers	1	Sep 10 – Sep 10	1 in 2
2	Seattle Seahawks	1	Sep 9 – Sep 9	62%

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Rams	1	Sep 10 – Sep 10	1 in 2
2	New England Patriots	1	Sep 9 – Sep 9	62%

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	San Francisco 49ers	+104.34	1644
2	Seattle Seahawks	+26.15	1674
3	Arizona Cardinals	+0.00	1424
4	Atlanta Falcons	+0.00	1478
5	Baltimore Ravens	+0.00	1526

Biggest Elo Losers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	Los Angeles Rams	-104.34	1489
2	New England Patriots	-26.15	1557
3	Arizona Cardinals	+0.00	1424
4	Atlanta Falcons	+0.00	1478
5	Baltimore Ravens	+0.00	1526

Current Playoff Probabilities

Current playoff probabilities according to the model. Hover or tap a segment for the team and its exact odds.

Hover or tap on a team

AFC · 7 spots

NFC · 7 spots

Each bar is one group’s playoff spots, divided by how likely the model thinks each team is to claim one. Teams under 2% are pooled into a gray “Others.”

Changes in Playoff Odds

Which teams are surging into contention or slipping out of it over the last 14 days?

Biggest Improvements

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	San Francisco 49ers	+43.94%	94.78%
2	Seattle Seahawks	+6.48%	97.37%
3	Green Bay Packers	+4.50%	46.88%
4	Buffalo Bills	+3.93%	77.42%
5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	+3.02%	42.17%

Biggest Losers

#	Team	Δ	Now
1	Los Angeles Rams	-58.45%	16.47%
2	New England Patriots	-14.17%	61.91%
3	Atlanta Falcons	-1.59%	40.98%
4	Dallas Cowboys	-0.61%	23.97%
5	Minnesota Vikings	-0.54%	52.21%

Upcoming Games

The next slate of games with the model's win probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date	Favored By	Away		Win %	Home		Favored By	Excitement
2026-09-13	2.03	Chicago Bears	0-0·1525	58% – 42%	Carolina Panthers	0-0·1444		47.2
2026-09-13		Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-0·1476	46% – 54%	Cincinnati Bengals	0-0·1479	1.12	46.8
2026-09-13	0.67	Baltimore Ravens	0-0·1526	52% – 47%	Indianapolis Colts	0-0·1482		50.8
2026-09-13		New Orleans Saints	0-0·1459	36% – 64%	Detroit Lions	0-0·1532	3.80	47.3
2026-09-13		Buffalo Bills	0-0·1573	44% – 55%	Houston Texans	0-0·1585	1.46	60.5
2026-09-13		Cleveland Browns	0-0·1442	29% – 70%	Jacksonville Jaguars	0-0·1568	5.81	45.9
2026-09-13		New York Jets	0-0·1388	44% – 55%	Tennessee Titans	0-0·1402	1.53	36.8
2026-09-13		Atlanta Falcons	0-0·1478	43% – 57%	Pittsburgh Steelers	0-0·1503	1.96	48.2
2026-09-13		Green Bay Packers	0-0·1518	45% – 55%	Minnesota Vikings	0-0·1529	1.43	53.4
2026-09-13		Washington Commanders	0-0·1455	36% – 64%	Philadelphia Eagles	0-0·1531	3.90	46.8
2026-09-13	1.96	Miami Dolphins	0-0·1454	57% – 42%	Las Vegas Raiders	0-0·1375		38.3
2026-09-13		Arizona Cardinals	0-0·1424	34% – 66%	Los Angeles Chargers	0-0·1514	4.42	42.6
2026-09-13		Dallas Cowboys	0-0·1459	46% – 54%	New York Giants	0-0·1461	1.11	44.2
2026-09-14	2.26	Denver Broncos	0-0·1572	58% – 41%	Kansas City Chiefs	0-0·1485		53.6
2026-09-17		Detroit Lions	0-0·1532	40% – 59%	Buffalo Bills	0-0·1573	2.56	56.7
2026-09-20		Carolina Panthers	0-0·1444	41% – 58%	Atlanta Falcons	0-0·1478	2.30	43.7
2026-09-20		Minnesota Vikings	0-0·1529	47% – 53%	Chicago Bears	0-0·1525	0.86	54.1
2026-09-20		Cincinnati Bengals	0-0·1479	32% – 68%	Houston Texans	0-0·1585	5.02	51.0
2026-09-20		Pittsburgh Steelers	0-0·1503	38% – 61%	New England Patriots	0-1·1557	3.08	53.2
2026-09-20	3.90	Green Bay Packers	0-0·1518	64% – 35%	New York Jets	0-0·1388		41.0
2026-09-20	3.88	Philadelphia Eagles	0-0·1531	64% – 35%	Tennessee Titans	0-0·1402		42.8
2026-09-20		New Orleans Saints	0-0·1459	37% – 63%	Baltimore Ravens	0-0·1526	3.57	47.1
2026-09-20		Cleveland Browns	0-0·1442	41% – 58%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-0·1476	2.33	43.4
2026-09-20		Jacksonville Jaguars	0-0·1568	46% – 54%	Denver Broncos	0-0·1572	1.15	59.7
2026-09-20		Las Vegas Raiders	0-0·1375	28% – 72%	Los Angeles Chargers	0-0·1514	6.27	36.5
2026-09-20	8.48	Seattle Seahawks	1-0·1674	78% – 21%	Arizona Cardinals	0-0·1424		47.5
2026-09-20		Washington Commanders	0-0·1455	46% – 54%	Dallas Cowboys	0-0·1459	1.15	43.8
2026-09-20		Miami Dolphins	0-0·1454	22% – 77%	San Francisco 49ers	1-0·1644	8.24	48.1
2026-09-20		Indianapolis Colts	0-0·1482	46% – 54%	Kansas City Chiefs	0-0·1485	1.15	47.6

Recent Games

The latest results with final scores, Elo movement, and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date	Favored By	Away		Score	Home		Favored By	Excitement
2026-09-10		San Francisco 49ers	1-0·1540·+104.34	27 – 7	Los Angeles Rams	0-1·1593·-104.34	2.02	63.9
2026-09-09		New England Patriots	0-1·1583·-26.15	10 – 13	Seattle Seahawks	1-0·1648·+26.15	3.47	56.5

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	-	-	-
Miami Dolphins	-	—	-	-
New England Patriots	-	-	—	-
New York Jets	-	-	-	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Miami Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
New England Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
New York Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	-	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	-	—	-	-
Cleveland Browns	-	-	—	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	-	-	-	—

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	-	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	-	—	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	-	-	—	-
Tennessee Titans	-	-	-	—

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	-	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	-	—	-	-
Las Vegas Raiders	-	-	—	-
Los Angeles Chargers	-	-	-	—

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Commanders
Dallas Cowboys	—	-	-	-
New York Giants	-	—	-	-
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	—	-
Washington Commanders	-	-	-	—

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	-	-	-
Detroit Lions	-	—	-	-
Green Bay Packers	-	-	—	-
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	-	—

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	-	-	-
Carolina Panthers	-	—	-	-
New Orleans Saints	-	-	—	-
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	-	—

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	-	-	-
Los Angeles Rams	-	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-
San Francisco 49ers	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	-
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	-	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Los Angeles Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Seattle Seahawks	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	50.00%	—	25.00%	—	—	—	75.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	75.00%	—	25.00%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.25	14.25	+0.00
SD	8.85	8.85	16.51
CV	0.62	0.62	—
Max	27	27	+20
Min	7	7	-20

Games Played: 2

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	100.00%	—	—	—	100.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	—	100.00%	—	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	7.00	27.00	-20.00
SD	0.00	0.00	0.00
CV	0.00	0.00	—
Max	7	27	-20
Min	7	27	-20

Games Played: 1

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	10.00	13.00	-3.00
SD	0.00	0.00	0.00
CV	0.00	0.00	—
Max	10	13	-3
Min	10	13	-3

Games Played: 1

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.00	7.00	+20.00
SD	0.00	0.00	0.00
CV	0.00	0.00	—
Max	27	7	+20
Min	27	7	+20

Games Played: 1

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.00	10.00	+3.00
SD	0.00	0.00	0.00
CV	0.00	0.00	—
Max	13	10	+3
Min	13	10	+3

Games Played: 1

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.75	+0.4
Allowed	0.10	+0.1
Differential	0.34	+0.3

Season Summary

Every team's current record alongside their projected end-of-season totals. Click on any column header to sort. Exp. Wins Rem. is the average number of additional wins the model expects each team to add between now and the end of the regular season.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Record	Avg. Wins	Exp. Wins Rem.	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1674	1-0	12.65	11.65	6	10	11	13	14	15	17
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1644	1-0	12.07	11.07	3	9	11	12	13	15	17
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1585	0-0	10.61	10.61	4	7	9	11	12	14	17
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1573	0-0	10.23	10.23	2	7	9	10	12	13	17
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1572	0-0	10.16	10.16	3	7	9	10	11	13	17
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1568	0-0	10.08	10.08	3	7	9	10	11	13	17
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1557	0-1	9.29	9.29	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1532	0-0	9.62	9.62	2	6	8	10	11	13	17
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1531	0-0	9.31	9.31	2	6	8	9	11	13	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1529	0-0	9.15	9.15	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1526	0-0	9.39	9.39	1	6	8	9	11	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1525	0-0	8.77	8.77	2	5	7	9	10	12	17
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1518	0-0	8.93	8.93	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1514	0-0	8.60	8.60	2	5	7	9	10	12	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1503	0-0	8.58	8.58	2	5	7	9	10	12	16
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1489	0-1	7.42	7.42	1	4	6	7	9	11	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1485	0-0	8.02	8.02	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1482	0-0	8.14	8.14	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1479	0-0	8.33	8.33	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1478	0-0	8.19	8.19	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1476	0-0	8.28	8.28	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1461	0-0	7.55	7.55	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1459	0-0	7.34	7.34	1	4	6	7	9	11	15
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1459	0-0	8.11	8.11	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Washington Commanders	NFC	NFC East	1455	0-0	7.29	7.29	0	4	6	7	9	11	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1454	0-0	7.13	7.13	1	4	6	7	8	10	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1444	0-0	6.99	6.99	1	4	6	7	8	10	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1442	0-0	7.59	7.59	1	4	6	8	9	11	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1424	0-0	6.39	6.39	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1402	0-0	6.34	6.34	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1388	0-0	5.93	5.93	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1375	0-0	5.51	5.51	0	3	4	5	7	9	12

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Buffalo Bills	56.03%	30.11%	10.88%	2.98%
New England Patriots	34.20%	41.34%	18.60%	5.86%
Miami Dolphins	7.50%	19.52%	43.02%	29.96%
New York Jets	2.27%	9.03%	27.50%	61.20%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	41.62%	26.36%	19.90%	12.12%
Pittsburgh Steelers	25.36%	27.27%	25.58%	21.79%
Cincinnati Bengals	20.93%	26.02%	27.36%	25.69%
Cleveland Browns	12.09%	20.35%	27.16%	40.40%

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Texans	50.28%	32.61%	13.38%	3.73%
Jacksonville Jaguars	37.45%	37.47%	19.25%	5.83%
Indianapolis Colts	10.20%	22.22%	43.90%	23.68%
Tennessee Titans	2.07%	7.70%	23.47%	66.76%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	58.90%	25.86%	12.51%	2.73%
Los Angeles Chargers	23.66%	37.05%	28.77%	10.52%
Kansas City Chiefs	15.63%	30.11%	38.29%	15.97%
Las Vegas Raiders	1.81%	6.98%	20.43%	70.78%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	51.97%	25.51%	14.99%	7.53%
New York Giants	17.83%	25.76%	28.18%	28.23%
Dallas Cowboys	15.13%	24.80%	28.41%	31.66%
Washington Commanders	15.07%	23.93%	28.42%	32.58%

Team	1	2	3	4
Detroit Lions	33.24%	26.74%	22.32%	17.70%
Minnesota Vikings	24.62%	26.56%	24.76%	24.06%
Green Bay Packers	22.12%	23.29%	26.31%	28.28%
Chicago Bears	20.02%	23.41%	26.61%	29.96%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	30.30%	27.46%	23.56%	18.68%
Atlanta Falcons	29.66%	26.39%	24.63%	19.32%
New Orleans Saints	27.28%	26.39%	25.01%	21.32%
Carolina Panthers	12.76%	19.76%	26.80%	40.68%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	57.32%	39.03%	3.31%	0.34%
San Francisco 49ers	41.87%	52.54%	5.08%	0.51%
Los Angeles Rams	0.53%	5.74%	58.21%	35.52%
Arizona Cardinals	0.28%	2.69%	33.40%	63.63%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Houston Texans	21.49%	15.16%	12.20%	10.23%	9.19%	7.51%	5.74%	4.72%	3.69%	3.31%	2.15%	1.87%	1.17%	0.84%	0.52%	0.21%
Buffalo Bills	15.91%	13.86%	12.42%	10.65%	9.02%	7.66%	7.35%	6.00%	4.34%	3.75%	3.04%	2.21%	1.60%	1.04%	0.69%	0.46%
Denver Broncos	14.61%	14.20%	12.69%	10.98%	9.50%	7.83%	6.55%	5.73%	4.65%	3.84%	3.30%	2.55%	1.47%	0.96%	0.76%	0.38%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.93%	12.30%	10.08%	10.03%	10.15%	8.35%	7.18%	6.28%	5.63%	4.11%	3.52%	2.75%	1.91%	1.48%	0.91%	0.39%
Baltimore Ravens	8.02%	9.78%	10.27%	9.53%	8.05%	7.85%	7.52%	7.25%	6.77%	5.95%	5.43%	4.30%	3.88%	2.65%	1.91%	0.84%
New England Patriots	6.66%	8.75%	8.93%	9.31%	9.06%	9.79%	9.10%	8.27%	6.58%	6.15%	5.38%	4.13%	3.19%	2.31%	1.63%	0.76%
Los Angeles Chargers	3.95%	5.41%	6.23%	6.56%	7.64%	7.98%	8.89%	8.84%	8.22%	7.55%	6.98%	6.62%	5.53%	4.07%	3.54%	1.99%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.21%	5.46%	6.50%	6.85%	6.97%	7.40%	8.05%	7.23%	7.99%	7.64%	7.21%	6.75%	6.22%	5.44%	3.96%	2.12%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.05%	4.02%	5.40%	6.51%	6.90%	7.16%	7.53%	7.77%	7.68%	7.63%	7.57%	7.71%	7.26%	6.42%	4.68%	2.71%
Indianapolis Colts	2.61%	3.37%	3.90%	4.94%	6.07%	6.12%	6.89%	8.04%	9.35%	9.44%	8.33%	7.94%	7.88%	6.35%	5.56%	3.21%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.03%	3.24%	4.43%	5.07%	5.65%	6.95%	7.47%	8.07%	8.16%	8.66%	9.03%	8.66%	7.08%	6.07%	5.19%	4.24%
Cleveland Browns	1.18%	2.02%	3.20%	3.90%	4.83%	5.45%	6.14%	6.68%	7.78%	7.72%	8.59%	9.29%	9.53%	9.53%	8.14%	6.02%
Miami Dolphins	0.86%	1.35%	2.03%	2.72%	3.08%	4.70%	5.02%	6.00%	6.78%	8.91%	9.70%	10.42%	9.77%	10.50%	9.73%	8.43%
Tennessee Titans	0.27%	0.50%	0.86%	1.28%	1.92%	2.23%	2.61%	3.78%	5.07%	6.24%	7.49%	8.75%	12.20%	14.05%	16.50%	16.25%
New York Jets	0.11%	0.29%	0.56%	0.89%	1.14%	1.95%	2.13%	3.24%	4.21%	4.90%	6.93%	8.58%	11.36%	14.23%	16.96%	22.52%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.11%	0.29%	0.30%	0.55%	0.83%	1.07%	1.83%	2.10%	3.10%	4.20%	5.35%	7.47%	9.95%	14.06%	19.32%	29.47%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Seattle Seahawks	46.42%	21.55%	12.61%	7.65%	4.93%	2.83%	1.65%	0.82%	0.66%	0.41%	0.19%	0.12%	0.08%	0.06%	0.02%	-
San Francisco 49ers	33.54%	21.74%	14.83%	10.37%	7.25%	4.31%	3.29%	1.71%	1.17%	0.65%	0.48%	0.31%	0.20%	0.08%	0.04%	0.03%
Detroit Lions	4.05%	10.81%	11.15%	10.56%	9.01%	9.64%	7.32%	6.86%	6.23%	5.78%	5.00%	4.17%	3.36%	2.87%	2.02%	1.17%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.39%	8.37%	10.02%	10.73%	11.29%	9.06%	8.29%	7.54%	6.34%	5.44%	4.78%	4.38%	3.46%	2.79%	2.33%	1.79%
Minnesota Vikings	2.80%	7.96%	7.98%	9.10%	9.14%	8.78%	8.22%	7.65%	7.18%	6.30%	5.65%	5.31%	5.11%	3.93%	2.88%	2.01%
Green Bay Packers	2.31%	6.37%	7.94%	7.96%	8.01%	8.63%	7.61%	7.75%	7.41%	6.83%	6.37%	5.70%	5.48%	5.16%	3.82%	2.65%
Chicago Bears	2.13%	6.07%	6.95%	7.17%	7.87%	8.49%	7.31%	7.82%	7.34%	7.35%	6.99%	6.38%	5.89%	5.13%	4.50%	2.61%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.18%	3.72%	5.39%	6.81%	7.20%	7.86%	8.40%	7.71%	7.86%	7.39%	6.81%	6.75%	6.51%	5.90%	5.61%	4.90%
Atlanta Falcons	0.99%	3.56%	5.67%	6.23%	7.09%	7.19%	8.45%	7.50%	7.73%	6.89%	7.29%	6.87%	7.21%	6.18%	5.94%	5.21%
New Orleans Saints	0.90%	3.10%	4.99%	6.39%	6.44%	7.33%	7.91%	7.35%	7.24%	7.87%	7.47%	7.77%	6.98%	6.15%	6.45%	5.66%
New York Giants	0.71%	1.93%	2.98%	3.98%	5.01%	5.48%	6.50%	6.88%	7.29%	7.79%	7.80%	8.72%	8.43%	9.17%	8.87%	8.46%
Dallas Cowboys	0.49%	1.32%	2.41%	3.78%	4.37%	4.94%	5.72%	6.84%	7.14%	7.46%	8.28%	8.61%	8.58%	9.35%	10.12%	10.59%
Washington Commanders	0.48%	1.42%	2.52%	3.19%	4.31%	4.59%	5.77%	6.76%	7.30%	7.37%	8.22%	8.40%	8.84%	9.88%	10.18%	10.77%
Los Angeles Rams	0.22%	0.73%	1.84%	2.37%	3.33%	4.48%	5.65%	7.31%	7.83%	9.08%	9.69%	9.63%	10.37%	9.81%	8.74%	8.92%
Carolina Panthers	0.30%	1.00%	2.05%	2.79%	3.28%	4.25%	5.22%	5.81%	6.28%	7.01%	7.81%	8.41%	9.20%	10.15%	12.58%	13.86%
Arizona Cardinals	0.09%	0.35%	0.67%	0.92%	1.47%	2.14%	2.69%	3.69%	5.00%	6.38%	7.17%	8.47%	10.30%	13.39%	15.90%	21.37%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Seattle Seahawks	35.45%	17.01%	11.99%	7.55%	6.70%	4.60%	3.77%	2.75%	2.16%	1.82%	1.49%	1.25%	0.64%	0.60%	0.52%	0.43%	0.35%	0.25%	0.11%	0.16%	0.15%	0.06%	0.03%	0.03%	0.06%	0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.02%	-	-	-
San Francisco 49ers	24.82%	14.92%	11.95%	8.76%	7.09%	5.94%	4.85%	3.89%	3.08%	3.23%	2.29%	1.72%	1.45%	1.45%	0.82%	0.87%	0.79%	0.43%	0.39%	0.24%	0.26%	0.15%	0.17%	0.09%	0.10%	0.10%	0.08%	0.01%	0.03%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%
Houston Texans	6.63%	10.63%	8.24%	8.68%	6.34%	6.80%	5.66%	5.56%	5.15%	4.41%	3.55%	3.71%	2.99%	3.02%	2.46%	2.24%	2.04%	1.89%	1.72%	1.32%	1.02%	1.26%	1.05%	0.85%	0.63%	0.57%	0.38%	0.35%	0.41%	0.24%	0.15%	0.05%
Buffalo Bills	5.17%	7.74%	6.99%	7.76%	6.72%	6.24%	5.59%	5.20%	5.02%	4.44%	4.11%	4.03%	3.68%	3.60%	2.96%	3.13%	2.03%	2.56%	2.11%	1.75%	1.49%	1.50%	1.18%	1.12%	0.77%	0.78%	0.62%	0.53%	0.41%	0.42%	0.18%	0.17%
Denver Broncos	4.71%	7.30%	7.11%	7.22%	6.36%	6.69%	5.97%	6.02%	4.81%	4.69%	4.05%	4.18%	3.53%	3.27%	2.82%	2.94%	2.38%	2.41%	1.99%	1.94%	1.66%	1.73%	1.19%	1.21%	0.84%	0.80%	0.44%	0.52%	0.43%	0.41%	0.25%	0.13%
Jacksonville Jaguars	4.27%	7.54%	6.46%	6.72%	5.78%	5.75%	5.28%	5.27%	5.18%	4.91%	4.18%	3.85%	4.03%	3.70%	3.11%	3.17%	2.99%	2.63%	2.10%	2.08%	1.67%	1.73%	1.43%	1.21%	1.15%	0.92%	0.81%	0.78%	0.46%	0.46%	0.27%	0.11%
Detroit Lions	2.51%	3.66%	5.21%	5.21%	5.56%	5.34%	5.74%	4.57%	4.57%	4.41%	4.68%	4.41%	3.93%	3.72%	3.64%	3.38%	3.26%	2.57%	3.01%	3.01%	2.66%	2.43%	2.04%	1.74%	1.83%	1.77%	1.36%	1.03%	1.10%	0.69%	0.64%	0.32%
Baltimore Ravens	1.92%	4.44%	4.46%	5.02%	5.12%	5.41%	5.06%	4.94%	4.33%	4.00%	4.08%	4.25%	4.18%	3.46%	3.54%	3.57%	3.28%	3.42%	3.21%	3.15%	2.67%	2.47%	2.41%	2.08%	1.85%	1.94%	1.47%	1.34%	1.02%	0.97%	0.57%	0.37%
New England Patriots	1.33%	3.71%	3.48%	4.83%	4.81%	4.75%	4.87%	5.24%	4.97%	4.18%	4.72%	4.82%	4.34%	4.75%	4.02%	4.05%	3.58%	3.46%	2.79%	3.10%	2.21%	3.04%	2.08%	2.30%	1.72%	1.74%	1.30%	1.25%	0.85%	0.77%	0.59%	0.35%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.03%	2.93%	4.27%	4.25%	4.85%	4.84%	5.00%	4.85%	5.48%	5.23%	4.32%	4.46%	4.13%	4.16%	3.69%	3.85%	3.28%	3.56%	2.80%	2.67%	2.57%	2.38%	2.42%	1.92%	1.98%	1.80%	1.46%	1.28%	1.06%	1.05%	0.87%	0.56%
Minnesota Vikings	1.68%	2.46%	3.97%	3.80%	4.38%	4.05%	4.37%	4.35%	4.53%	4.55%	4.56%	3.96%	4.26%	3.92%	4.11%	3.89%	3.58%	3.32%	3.34%	2.96%	3.42%	2.58%	2.50%	2.55%	2.73%	2.00%	1.98%	1.94%	1.36%	1.36%	0.92%	0.62%
Green Bay Packers	1.37%	2.09%	3.33%	3.10%	3.93%	3.78%	3.97%	4.03%	4.16%	4.22%	4.40%	3.85%	4.02%	3.63%	4.40%	3.73%	3.69%	3.33%	3.26%	3.78%	3.49%	2.78%	3.01%	2.64%	3.04%	2.50%	2.74%	2.16%	1.86%	1.55%	1.42%	0.74%
Chicago Bears	1.25%	1.75%	3.08%	3.14%	3.75%	3.01%	3.66%	3.46%	4.00%	4.27%	4.26%	3.67%	3.87%	3.70%	4.58%	3.58%	3.76%	3.51%	3.70%	3.48%	3.69%	3.36%	3.13%	3.44%	3.06%	2.47%	2.49%	2.53%	2.23%	1.89%	1.40%	0.83%
Los Angeles Chargers	1.04%	1.82%	2.49%	2.68%	2.99%	3.55%	3.10%	3.71%	3.78%	3.81%	4.05%	4.30%	3.82%	4.77%	4.07%	4.63%	3.94%	4.33%	3.64%	3.90%	3.33%	3.78%	2.99%	3.01%	2.76%	3.03%	2.37%	2.40%	1.96%	1.62%	1.50%	0.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.90%	2.12%	2.47%	3.05%	3.00%	3.30%	3.33%	3.76%	3.79%	3.80%	3.78%	3.61%	4.18%	3.78%	3.82%	3.66%	3.92%	3.93%	4.03%	3.61%	3.51%	3.46%	3.46%	3.46%	2.87%	3.32%	2.60%	2.80%	2.10%	2.09%	1.54%	0.95%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.67%	1.55%	1.62%	2.33%	2.34%	3.21%	3.02%	3.28%	3.59%	3.28%	3.98%	3.75%	3.64%	3.91%	4.20%	3.67%	3.72%	3.65%	3.78%	3.84%	4.12%	3.75%	3.89%	3.81%	3.73%	3.31%	3.03%	3.13%	2.50%	2.46%	1.71%	1.53%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.62%	1.10%	1.87%	1.94%	2.70%	2.79%	3.32%	3.09%	3.29%	3.87%	3.54%	3.87%	3.86%	4.08%	4.33%	3.83%	4.08%	3.91%	4.01%	3.50%	3.94%	3.02%	3.79%	3.43%	3.15%	3.40%	3.08%	2.88%	3.04%	2.51%	2.39%	1.77%
Atlanta Falcons	0.54%	1.00%	1.71%	1.92%	2.76%	2.53%	3.12%	3.08%	3.33%	3.39%	3.58%	3.74%	4.16%	4.00%	4.05%	3.45%	4.06%	3.79%	3.61%	3.49%	3.94%	3.60%	3.98%	3.09%	3.80%	3.66%	3.30%	3.37%	2.97%	2.66%	2.74%	1.58%
New Orleans Saints	0.49%	0.83%	1.56%	1.81%	2.20%	2.65%	2.78%	3.38%	2.79%	3.38%	3.60%	3.72%	3.82%	3.78%	3.45%	3.59%	4.00%	4.00%	3.98%	3.78%	3.89%	3.84%	4.14%	3.81%	3.69%	3.65%	3.51%	2.99%	3.34%	2.71%	2.82%	2.02%
Indianapolis Colts	0.54%	1.31%	1.37%	1.96%	2.00%	2.29%	2.54%	2.80%	2.70%	3.40%	3.30%	3.05%	3.43%	3.45%	3.81%	4.22%	4.54%	4.54%	4.36%	4.08%	4.47%	4.13%	3.71%	3.85%	3.78%	3.91%	3.56%	3.55%	2.71%	2.84%	2.08%	1.72%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.50%	0.97%	1.36%	1.79%	1.88%	2.35%	2.59%	2.55%	2.82%	3.04%	3.24%	3.77%	3.65%	3.82%	3.50%	4.38%	3.91%	4.19%	4.17%	4.32%	3.88%	4.83%	4.03%	4.34%	3.32%	3.87%	3.25%	3.41%	2.86%	2.54%	2.56%	2.31%
Cleveland Browns	0.25%	0.59%	0.73%	1.10%	1.19%	1.80%	1.87%	2.37%	2.45%	2.38%	2.59%	3.18%	2.95%	3.32%	3.03%	3.31%	3.74%	3.99%	3.87%	4.10%	4.34%	4.16%	4.15%	4.73%	4.36%	4.79%	4.39%	4.89%	3.94%	4.51%	3.58%	3.35%
New York Giants	0.37%	0.52%	0.86%	1.09%	1.32%	1.63%	1.90%	1.87%	2.48%	2.43%	2.52%	3.07%	3.28%	3.14%	3.31%	3.35%	3.65%	3.97%	4.19%	3.64%	4.01%	4.17%	4.70%	4.49%	4.27%	4.20%	4.79%	4.34%	4.56%	4.36%	4.21%	3.31%
Dallas Cowboys	0.27%	0.39%	0.75%	0.72%	1.08%	1.21%	1.86%	2.03%	1.98%	2.21%	2.48%	2.39%	2.72%	2.89%	3.18%	3.38%	3.61%	3.55%	3.75%	3.93%	4.06%	4.58%	4.33%	4.73%	4.71%	4.37%	4.98%	4.59%	5.05%	4.74%	5.05%	4.43%
Washington Commanders	0.21%	0.45%	0.69%	0.76%	1.38%	1.27%	1.40%	1.39%	1.76%	2.56%	2.46%	2.21%	2.84%	2.93%	2.98%	3.48%	3.41%	3.97%	3.68%	4.04%	4.22%	4.36%	4.29%	4.35%	4.93%	4.46%	5.10%	4.55%	5.35%	5.09%	4.98%	4.45%
Los Angeles Rams	0.11%	0.18%	0.61%	0.54%	0.96%	0.86%	1.28%	1.55%	1.75%	1.84%	2.51%	2.46%	2.81%	2.86%	3.79%	3.50%	3.63%	3.46%	4.87%	4.61%	4.84%	4.60%	4.88%	4.84%	5.19%	4.95%	5.12%	4.66%	4.85%	4.15%	4.22%	3.52%
Miami Dolphins	0.17%	0.46%	0.41%	0.71%	0.87%	1.21%	1.15%	1.37%	1.92%	1.50%	2.19%	2.60%	2.46%	2.69%	2.86%	2.87%	3.38%	3.25%	3.90%	4.46%	4.30%	5.20%	4.47%	5.36%	4.74%	4.84%	4.74%	5.76%	5.51%	5.00%	4.93%	4.72%
Carolina Panthers	0.11%	0.27%	0.39%	0.71%	1.00%	0.91%	1.28%	1.43%	1.63%	1.67%	1.98%	2.19%	2.64%	2.50%	2.88%	3.08%	3.33%	2.93%	3.70%	3.17%	4.05%	3.76%	4.53%	4.24%	4.94%	5.21%	5.45%	5.35%	5.81%	6.85%	6.55%	5.46%
Tennessee Titans	0.01%	0.12%	0.22%	0.27%	0.34%	0.42%	0.58%	0.81%	0.85%	1.08%	1.16%	1.07%	1.33%	1.57%	1.68%	2.00%	2.37%	2.85%	2.64%	3.32%	3.46%	3.63%	4.47%	4.69%	5.10%	5.65%	6.26%	7.21%	7.50%	8.91%	8.38%	10.05%
Arizona Cardinals	0.04%	0.07%	0.16%	0.25%	0.31%	0.37%	0.45%	0.63%	0.69%	1.00%	1.10%	1.06%	1.38%	1.53%	2.04%	1.94%	2.40%	2.57%	3.22%	3.47%	3.62%	3.37%	4.18%	4.59%	5.28%	5.60%	7.05%	6.24%	8.29%	7.51%	10.23%	9.36%
New York Jets	0.01%	0.03%	0.09%	0.19%	0.21%	0.27%	0.42%	0.45%	0.55%	0.60%	0.74%	1.13%	1.19%	1.03%	1.53%	1.73%	1.92%	2.18%	2.32%	2.82%	2.64%	3.70%	3.80%	4.37%	5.05%	5.37%	6.13%	7.33%	7.61%	9.54%	10.10%	14.95%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.01%	0.04%	0.10%	0.14%	0.08%	0.18%	0.22%	0.32%	0.41%	0.40%	0.51%	0.67%	0.79%	0.97%	0.82%	1.10%	1.38%	1.60%	1.75%	2.28%	2.42%	2.59%	3.57%	3.63%	4.57%	5.00%	6.14%	6.82%	8.81%	10.09%	13.16%	19.43%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Houston Texans	21.49%	13.88%	9.21%	5.70%	15.16%	9.44%	6.31%	18.81%
Buffalo Bills	15.91%	14.57%	13.31%	12.24%	7.02%	7.67%	6.70%	22.58%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.93%	10.75%	7.05%	4.72%	16.72%	10.43%	7.96%	27.44%
Denver Broncos	14.61%	14.91%	14.11%	15.27%	6.21%	6.30%	5.67%	22.92%
Baltimore Ravens	8.02%	10.32%	12.09%	11.19%	6.11%	6.70%	6.94%	38.63%
New England Patriots	6.66%	9.18%	8.83%	9.53%	8.89%	9.71%	9.11%	38.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.21%	5.76%	7.08%	8.31%	5.73%	6.85%	7.66%	54.40%
Los Angeles Chargers	3.95%	5.45%	6.68%	7.58%	6.49%	7.74%	9.14%	52.97%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.05%	4.17%	6.31%	7.40%	5.55%	6.42%	7.50%	59.60%
Indianapolis Colts	2.61%	2.85%	2.64%	2.10%	7.86%	7.33%	7.57%	67.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.03%	3.48%	4.60%	5.52%	4.90%	6.70%	7.57%	65.20%
Cleveland Browns	1.18%	2.22%	3.91%	4.78%	3.50%	4.97%	6.16%	73.28%
Miami Dolphins	0.86%	1.49%	2.20%	2.95%	2.55%	4.44%	5.05%	80.46%
Tennessee Titans	0.27%	0.41%	0.80%	0.59%	1.92%	2.62%	2.78%	90.61%
New York Jets	0.11%	0.29%	0.75%	1.12%	0.87%	1.66%	2.28%	92.92%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.11%	0.27%	0.43%	1.00%	0.52%	1.02%	1.60%	95.05%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Seahawks	46.42%	8.38%	2.06%	0.46%	30.95%	6.66%	2.44%	2.63%
San Francisco 49ers	33.54%	6.26%	1.72%	0.35%	39.26%	9.43%	4.22%	5.22%
Detroit Lions	4.05%	16.18%	8.97%	4.04%	5.07%	13.13%	9.49%	39.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.39%	11.87%	18.04%	18.67%	1.45%	3.84%	6.01%	36.73%
Minnesota Vikings	2.80%	11.41%	6.90%	3.51%	4.82%	12.48%	10.29%	47.79%
Green Bay Packers	2.31%	10.05%	6.66%	3.10%	3.96%	11.51%	9.29%	53.12%
Chicago Bears	2.13%	9.46%	5.71%	2.72%	3.98%	11.00%	9.27%	55.73%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.18%	5.98%	9.75%	13.39%	0.95%	4.39%	6.53%	57.83%
Atlanta Falcons	0.99%	5.77%	10.21%	12.69%	1.03%	4.03%	6.26%	59.02%
New Orleans Saints	0.90%	5.13%	9.16%	12.09%	0.86%	4.31%	6.16%	61.39%
New York Giants	0.71%	2.78%	6.49%	7.85%	0.92%	3.12%	5.64%	72.49%
Dallas Cowboys	0.49%	2.22%	5.29%	7.13%	1.03%	2.93%	4.88%	76.03%
Washington Commanders	0.48%	2.28%	5.14%	7.17%	0.66%	2.87%	4.75%	76.65%
Carolina Panthers	0.30%	1.95%	3.78%	6.73%	0.56%	2.48%	4.23%	79.97%
Los Angeles Rams	0.22%	0.19%	0.07%	0.05%	3.15%	5.58%	7.21%	83.53%
Arizona Cardinals	0.09%	0.09%	0.05%	0.05%	1.35%	2.24%	3.33%	92.80%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season metrics unavailable for this season.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	97.37%	83.09%	53.90%	33.47%	19.70%
San Francisco 49ers	94.78%	74.89%	44.45%	25.16%	14.35%
Houston Texans	81.19%	56.59%	30.91%	16.48%	7.91%
Buffalo Bills	77.42%	51.49%	28.12%	14.57%	6.86%
Denver Broncos	77.08%	51.48%	27.07%	14.18%	6.70%
Jacksonville Jaguars	72.56%	46.84%	24.99%	13.11%	5.91%
New England Patriots	61.91%	37.17%	19.10%	9.94%	4.74%
Baltimore Ravens	61.37%	34.96%	16.85%	8.13%	3.58%
Detroit Lions	60.93%	34.35%	15.58%	6.64%	3.41%
Philadelphia Eagles	63.27%	32.80%	15.49%	6.35%	3.19%
Minnesota Vikings	52.21%	28.41%	12.78%	5.36%	2.68%
Chicago Bears	44.27%	23.19%	10.30%	4.55%	2.40%
Los Angeles Chargers	47.03%	23.69%	11.18%	5.34%	2.31%
Green Bay Packers	46.88%	24.62%	10.65%	4.56%	2.17%
Pittsburgh Steelers	45.60%	23.30%	10.75%	4.96%	2.07%
Cincinnati Bengals	40.40%	19.14%	8.07%	3.52%	1.44%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	42.17%	18.58%	7.14%	2.77%	1.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	34.80%	15.35%	6.73%	2.98%	1.23%
Indianapolis Colts	32.96%	14.71%	6.32%	2.94%	1.21%
Atlanta Falcons	40.98%	17.95%	6.97%	2.47%	1.19%
New York Giants	27.51%	11.28%	4.44%	1.86%	0.93%
New Orleans Saints	38.61%	15.47%	5.77%	2.03%	0.92%
Washington Commanders	23.35%	9.04%	3.22%	1.11%	0.66%
Cleveland Browns	26.72%	10.67%	4.33%	1.69%	0.62%
Dallas Cowboys	23.97%	9.36%	3.38%	1.24%	0.58%
Carolina Panthers	20.03%	7.42%	2.76%	1.20%	0.54%
Miami Dolphins	19.54%	7.90%	3.22%	1.19%	0.41%
Los Angeles Rams	16.47%	7.08%	2.51%	0.97%	0.39%
Tennessee Titans	9.39%	3.00%	1.08%	0.41%	0.17%
New York Jets	7.08%	2.27%	0.77%	0.32%	0.16%
Arizona Cardinals	7.20%	2.47%	0.66%	0.26%	0.13%
Las Vegas Raiders	4.95%	1.44%	0.51%	0.24%	0.11%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		42.1%5.54%	55.1%3.96%	61.0%2.69%	41.8%5.46%	43.9%5.76%	60.7%3.28%	42.6%5.85%	58.9%3.16%	77.6%0.49%	52.2%4.08%	63.7%1.60%	48.5%4.95%	71.2%0.73%	52.8%4.75%	64.8%1.05%
Buffalo Bills	57.9%5.54%		63.8%3.89%	70.4%2.77%	45.6%6.05%	50.1%5.79%	66.3%3.89%	50.6%6.76%	68.5%3.87%	76.5%0.68%	60.7%5.09%	66.2%2.40%	51.4%8.45%	75.3%0.77%	60.0%4.43%	75.2%1.13%
Cincinnati Bengals	44.9%3.96%	36.2%3.89%		64.6%1.30%	35.6%4.18%	35.0%4.54%	50.2%2.01%	35.9%4.26%	47.3%2.03%	60.0%0.30%	51.1%2.68%	54.9%1.02%	41.6%3.70%	69.6%0.46%	49.0%2.47%	54.5%0.55%
Cleveland Browns	39.0%2.69%	29.6%2.77%	35.4%1.30%		30.0%2.93%	32.3%2.88%	51.4%1.38%	34.1%2.87%	47.7%1.49%	50.0%0.18%	41.5%1.71%	52.3%0.86%	31.9%2.35%	63.6%0.22%	40.6%1.55%	50.0%0.36%
Denver Broncos	58.2%5.46%	54.4%6.05%	64.4%4.18%	70.0%2.93%		48.6%6.44%	64.1%3.79%	53.2%6.60%	65.8%4.48%	67.7%0.65%	62.0%6.26%	66.0%2.53%	51.3%6.35%	72.3%0.94%	61.2%4.54%	73.2%1.27%
Houston Texans	56.1%5.76%	49.9%5.79%	65.0%4.54%	67.7%2.88%	51.4%6.44%		68.6%3.03%	56.5%7.38%	63.3%3.38%	77.8%0.54%	56.7%4.90%	69.2%2.37%	50.9%5.83%	72.6%0.73%	63.1%5.07%	79.2%1.06%
Indianapolis Colts	39.3%3.28%	33.7%3.89%	49.8%2.01%	48.6%1.38%	35.9%3.79%	31.4%3.03%		36.0%2.36%	48.1%1.60%	63.6%0.22%	42.5%2.21%	55.6%0.81%	34.5%2.87%	48.7%0.39%	47.0%2.34%	52.9%0.17%
Jacksonville Jaguars	57.4%5.85%	49.4%6.76%	64.1%4.26%	65.9%2.87%	46.8%6.60%	43.5%7.38%	64.0%2.36%		63.1%3.31%	78.0%0.41%	59.0%4.22%	70.8%1.95%	50.3%5.61%	67.1%0.73%	58.5%4.58%	68.9%0.74%
Kansas City Chiefs	41.1%3.16%	31.5%3.87%	52.7%2.03%	52.3%1.49%	34.2%4.48%	36.7%3.38%	51.9%1.60%	36.9%3.31%		80.0%0.15%	44.2%2.08%	46.1%0.89%	34.3%3.24%	60.6%0.33%	46.8%2.31%	64.4%0.45%
Las Vegas Raiders	22.4%0.49%	23.5%0.68%	40.0%0.30%	50.0%0.18%	32.3%0.65%	22.2%0.54%	36.4%0.22%	22.0%0.41%	20.0%0.15%		28.0%0.25%	33.3%0.15%	16.7%0.48%	0.0%0.01%	29.6%0.27%	66.7%0.06%
Los Angeles Chargers	47.8%4.08%	39.3%5.09%	48.9%2.68%	58.5%1.71%	38.0%6.26%	43.3%4.90%	57.5%2.21%	41.0%4.22%	55.8%2.08%	72.0%0.25%		58.6%1.11%	43.7%4.58%	68.9%0.45%	44.3%2.91%	70.9%0.55%
Miami Dolphins	36.2%1.60%	33.8%2.40%	45.1%1.02%	47.7%0.86%	34.0%2.53%	30.8%2.37%	44.4%0.81%	29.2%1.95%	53.9%0.89%	66.7%0.15%	41.4%1.11%		34.0%1.44%	50.0%0.10%	43.0%1.14%	61.3%0.31%
New England Patriots	51.5%4.95%	48.6%8.45%	58.4%3.70%	68.1%2.35%	48.7%6.35%	49.1%5.83%	65.5%2.87%	49.7%5.61%	65.7%3.24%	83.3%0.48%	56.3%4.58%	66.0%1.44%		85.0%0.60%	57.0%4.00%	77.5%0.80%
New York Jets	28.8%0.73%	24.7%0.77%	30.4%0.46%	36.4%0.22%	27.7%0.94%	27.4%0.73%	51.3%0.39%	32.9%0.73%	39.4%0.33%	100.0%0.01%	31.1%0.45%	50.0%0.10%	15.0%0.60%		43.5%0.46%	40.0%0.05%
Pittsburgh Steelers	47.2%4.75%	40.0%4.43%	51.0%2.47%	59.4%1.55%	38.8%4.54%	36.9%5.07%	53.0%2.34%	41.5%4.58%	53.2%2.31%	70.4%0.27%	55.7%2.91%	57.0%1.14%	43.0%4.00%	56.5%0.46%		80.7%0.57%
Tennessee Titans	35.2%1.05%	24.8%1.13%	45.5%0.55%	50.0%0.36%	26.8%1.27%	20.8%1.06%	47.1%0.17%	31.1%0.74%	35.6%0.45%	33.3%0.06%	29.1%0.55%	38.7%0.31%	22.5%0.80%	60.0%0.05%	19.3%0.57%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		44.8%0.58%	26.1%0.23%	21.3%0.61%	66.7%0.21%	32.4%0.74%	28.6%0.56%	50.0%0.02%	25.3%0.75%	45.8%0.59%	51.4%0.35%	29.0%0.93%	11.1%0.27%	14.0%0.43%	41.7%0.60%	54.2%0.24%
Atlanta Falcons	55.2%0.58%		58.1%1.36%	46.6%3.20%	54.8%0.84%	41.8%4.28%	43.5%3.06%	51.9%1.58%	46.1%3.62%	54.5%2.53%	53.2%1.09%	38.9%2.16%	30.8%6.40%	28.9%5.32%	50.0%3.08%	49.4%0.89%
Carolina Panthers	73.9%0.23%	41.9%1.36%		39.1%1.51%	51.1%0.45%	36.9%2.06%	40.3%1.29%	45.3%0.53%	38.3%1.88%	46.2%0.91%	44.3%0.61%	31.5%1.27%	27.0%3.30%	21.3%2.68%	46.9%1.13%	46.2%0.52%
Chicago Bears	78.7%0.61%	53.4%3.20%	60.9%1.51%		60.0%1.70%	47.4%5.70%	50.9%4.44%	66.7%1.23%	46.8%4.25%	54.9%2.73%	53.6%2.09%	48.9%4.70%	31.8%2.61%	29.3%2.42%	52.9%3.23%	57.6%1.72%
Dallas Cowboys	33.3%0.21%	45.2%0.84%	48.9%0.45%	40.0%1.70%		39.2%2.37%	37.6%1.81%	45.1%0.71%	41.3%2.18%	57.0%0.93%	53.6%0.84%	34.4%2.53%	26.2%3.89%	28.3%3.14%	42.9%1.19%	60.9%0.69%
Detroit Lions	67.6%0.74%	58.2%4.28%	63.1%2.06%	52.6%5.70%	60.8%2.37%		54.1%6.27%	55.7%1.83%	50.6%6.93%	63.7%4.02%	55.1%2.96%	50.4%6.43%	39.4%3.60%	29.3%3.14%	58.3%4.24%	61.0%2.31%
Green Bay Packers	71.4%0.56%	56.5%3.06%	59.7%1.29%	49.1%4.44%	62.4%1.81%	45.9%6.27%		68.9%1.19%	44.6%4.95%	57.2%3.34%	61.5%2.00%	49.4%5.06%	35.4%2.94%	28.5%2.56%	51.2%3.36%	60.9%1.74%
Los Angeles Rams	50.0%0.02%	48.1%1.58%	54.7%0.53%	33.3%1.23%	54.9%0.71%	44.3%1.83%	31.1%1.19%		42.2%1.47%	49.2%1.32%	45.2%0.73%	40.2%2.29%	24.6%0.65%	22.1%0.77%	50.4%1.27%	50.0%0.66%
Minnesota Vikings	74.7%0.75%	53.9%3.62%	61.7%1.88%	53.2%4.25%	58.7%2.18%	49.4%6.93%	55.4%4.95%	57.8%1.47%		57.2%3.34%	62.1%2.43%	50.8%5.73%	37.3%3.16%	27.3%3.08%	54.9%3.81%	51.9%1.83%
New Orleans Saints	54.2%0.59%	45.5%2.53%	53.8%0.91%	45.1%2.73%	43.0%0.93%	36.3%4.02%	42.8%3.34%	50.8%1.32%	42.8%3.34%		50.6%0.83%	38.6%2.20%	28.6%6.15%	26.1%4.98%	41.3%2.86%	49.0%0.98%
New York Giants	48.6%0.35%	46.8%1.09%	55.7%0.61%	46.4%2.09%	46.4%0.84%	44.9%2.96%	38.5%2.00%	54.8%0.73%	37.9%2.43%	49.4%0.83%		41.8%3.04%	27.8%4.60%	26.0%3.39%	52.2%1.15%	47.8%0.69%
Philadelphia Eagles	71.0%0.93%	61.1%2.16%	68.5%1.27%	51.1%4.70%	65.6%2.53%	49.6%6.43%	50.6%5.06%	59.8%2.29%	49.2%5.73%	61.4%2.20%	58.2%3.04%		38.8%10.67%	30.4%8.00%	57.1%2.47%	60.8%2.40%
San Francisco 49ers	88.9%0.27%	69.2%6.40%	73.0%3.30%	68.2%2.61%	73.8%3.89%	60.6%3.60%	64.6%2.94%	75.4%0.65%	62.7%3.16%	71.4%6.15%	72.2%4.60%	61.2%10.67%		45.6%2.61%	72.1%6.71%	76.1%3.68%
Seattle Seahawks	86.0%0.43%	71.1%5.32%	78.7%2.68%	70.7%2.42%	71.7%3.14%	70.7%3.14%	71.5%2.56%	77.9%0.77%	72.7%3.08%	73.9%4.98%	74.0%3.39%	69.6%8.00%	54.4%2.61%		74.7%4.90%	77.1%3.53%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	58.3%0.60%	50.0%3.08%	53.1%1.13%	47.1%3.23%	57.1%1.19%	41.7%4.24%	48.8%3.36%	49.6%1.27%	45.1%3.81%	58.7%2.86%	47.8%1.15%	42.9%2.47%	27.9%6.71%	25.3%4.90%		55.6%0.99%
Washington Commanders	45.8%0.24%	50.6%0.89%	53.8%0.52%	42.4%1.72%	39.1%0.69%	39.0%2.31%	39.1%1.74%	50.0%0.66%	48.1%1.83%	51.0%0.98%	52.2%0.69%	39.2%2.40%	23.9%3.68%	22.9%3.53%	44.4%0.99%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		46.7%5.29%	61.6%1.25%	59.7%0.62%	44.2%5.73%	45.8%5.66%	49.3%1.50%	41.2%4.17%	50.3%1.49%	64.7%0.17%	55.8%2.06%	60.2%0.83%	47.9%4.05%	63.0%0.27%	56.8%1.62%	48.0%0.25%
Buffalo Bills	53.3%5.29%		63.3%3.00%	66.7%1.68%	53.9%7.75%	51.0%8.36%	62.0%2.13%	47.7%6.60%	63.0%2.19%	52.4%0.21%	59.3%3.91%	66.7%0.87%	49.8%5.28%	69.2%0.26%	53.4%3.43%	64.2%0.53%
Cincinnati Bengals	38.4%1.25%	36.7%3.00%		57.7%0.26%	40.9%3.08%	36.2%2.93%	52.5%0.61%	45.5%2.55%	46.4%0.69%	62.5%0.08%	41.9%1.36%	50.0%0.26%	41.3%2.06%	85.7%0.14%	54.8%0.73%	71.4%0.14%
Cleveland Browns	40.3%0.62%	33.3%1.68%	42.3%0.26%		41.7%1.75%	31.8%1.79%	52.0%0.25%	45.5%1.34%	44.2%0.43%	80.0%0.05%	43.5%0.69%	61.1%0.18%	35.6%1.01%	71.4%0.07%	58.0%0.50%	60.0%0.05%
Denver Broncos	55.8%5.73%	46.1%7.75%	59.1%3.08%	58.3%1.75%		46.6%8.01%	60.3%1.94%	50.2%6.61%	57.4%1.90%	80.0%0.10%	54.9%2.73%	65.4%1.30%	53.2%5.90%	63.6%0.33%	53.2%3.87%	64.6%0.48%
Houston Texans	54.2%5.66%	49.0%8.36%	63.8%2.93%	68.2%1.79%	53.4%8.01%		62.1%2.53%	48.9%8.84%	54.8%2.48%	60.9%0.23%	54.9%3.84%	62.6%1.63%	53.4%5.58%	66.7%0.48%	59.5%3.78%	66.7%0.45%
Indianapolis Colts	50.7%1.50%	38.0%2.13%	47.5%0.61%	48.0%0.25%	39.7%1.94%	37.9%2.53%		41.4%1.86%	56.2%0.48%	50.0%0.04%	42.7%0.89%	26.1%0.23%	50.4%1.31%	60.0%0.05%	46.8%0.79%	50.0%0.10%
Jacksonville Jaguars	58.8%4.17%	52.3%6.60%	54.5%2.55%	54.5%1.34%	49.8%6.61%	51.1%8.84%	58.6%1.86%		61.5%2.18%	66.7%0.18%	49.2%2.95%	61.8%0.89%	49.7%4.95%	57.1%0.28%	56.3%3.16%	75.0%0.28%
Kansas City Chiefs	49.7%1.49%	37.0%2.19%	53.6%0.69%	55.8%0.43%	42.6%1.90%	45.2%2.48%	43.8%0.48%	38.5%2.18%		66.7%0.03%	54.0%0.63%	70.8%0.24%	39.6%1.49%	83.3%0.06%	38.1%0.97%	55.6%0.09%
Las Vegas Raiders	35.3%0.17%	47.6%0.21%	37.5%0.08%	20.0%0.05%	20.0%0.10%	39.1%0.23%	50.0%0.04%	33.3%0.18%	33.3%0.03%		16.7%0.06%	50.0%0.02%	42.9%0.14%		27.3%0.11%	0.0%0.02%
Los Angeles Chargers	44.2%2.06%	40.7%3.91%	58.1%1.36%	56.5%0.69%	45.1%2.73%	45.1%3.84%	57.3%0.89%	50.8%2.95%	46.0%0.63%	83.3%0.06%		50.0%0.34%	41.1%2.41%	71.4%0.14%	51.7%1.49%	84.2%0.19%
Miami Dolphins	39.8%0.83%	33.3%0.87%	50.0%0.26%	38.9%0.18%	34.6%1.30%	37.4%1.63%	73.9%0.23%	38.2%0.89%	29.2%0.24%	50.0%0.02%	50.0%0.34%		50.0%0.54%		52.7%0.55%	100.0%0.02%
New England Patriots	52.1%4.05%	50.2%5.28%	58.7%2.06%	64.4%1.01%	46.8%5.90%	46.6%5.58%	49.6%1.31%	50.3%4.95%	60.4%1.49%	57.1%0.14%	58.9%2.41%	50.0%0.54%		50.0%0.12%	52.2%2.09%	66.7%0.24%
New York Jets	37.0%0.27%	30.8%0.26%	14.3%0.14%	28.6%0.07%	36.4%0.33%	33.3%0.48%	40.0%0.05%	42.9%0.28%	16.7%0.06%		28.6%0.14%		50.0%0.12%		33.3%0.06%	0.0%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	43.2%1.62%	46.6%3.43%	45.2%0.73%	42.0%0.50%	46.8%3.87%	40.5%3.78%	53.2%0.79%	43.7%3.16%	61.9%0.97%	72.7%0.11%	48.3%1.49%	47.3%0.55%	47.8%2.09%	66.7%0.06%		46.7%0.15%
Tennessee Titans	52.0%0.25%	35.8%0.53%	28.6%0.14%	40.0%0.05%	35.4%0.48%	33.3%0.45%	50.0%0.10%	25.0%0.28%	44.4%0.09%	100.0%0.02%	15.8%0.19%	0.0%0.02%	33.3%0.24%	100.0%0.01%	53.3%0.15%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		54.5%0.11%	0.0%0.01%	23.1%0.13%	0.0%0.03%	38.5%0.13%	66.7%0.06%	25.0%0.04%	40.0%0.15%	33.3%0.03%	66.7%0.03%	15.4%0.13%	25.9%0.58%	18.8%0.96%	25.0%0.04%	50.0%0.04%
Atlanta Falcons	45.5%0.11%		41.7%0.12%	46.5%1.27%	51.7%0.60%	42.8%1.94%	47.5%1.22%	61.5%0.13%	43.5%1.68%	58.8%0.17%	35.7%0.56%	42.6%2.16%	32.5%3.38%	28.3%4.07%	52.6%0.19%	51.4%0.35%
Carolina Panthers	100.0%0.01%	58.3%0.12%		47.1%0.34%	52.4%0.21%	41.3%0.75%	51.6%0.64%	57.1%0.07%	43.3%0.60%	100.0%0.03%	42.1%0.19%	31.7%0.82%	30.8%1.56%	26.3%1.79%	75.0%0.12%	35.3%0.17%
Chicago Bears	76.9%0.13%	53.5%1.27%	52.9%0.34%		43.9%0.66%	49.2%1.24%	47.4%0.78%	45.5%0.22%	52.9%0.85%	63.1%1.03%	54.2%0.59%	44.6%2.22%	39.4%5.61%	37.4%6.61%	50.5%1.09%	60.0%0.55%
Dallas Cowboys	100.0%0.03%	48.3%0.60%	47.6%0.21%	56.1%0.66%		40.0%1.00%	41.7%0.60%	50.0%0.12%	42.9%0.63%	53.6%0.28%	50.0%0.04%	32.1%0.28%	26.5%2.04%	25.8%2.29%	40.0%0.55%	0.0%0.03%
Detroit Lions	61.5%0.13%	57.2%1.94%	58.7%0.75%	50.8%1.24%	60.0%1.00%		50.9%1.14%	34.1%0.41%	53.4%1.48%	50.3%1.63%	65.3%1.01%	51.9%3.85%	37.6%7.80%	33.8%8.84%	56.0%2.07%	61.3%1.06%
Green Bay Packers	33.3%0.06%	52.5%1.22%	48.4%0.64%	52.6%0.78%	58.3%0.60%	49.1%1.14%		52.6%0.19%	50.0%0.92%	58.5%1.18%	63.1%0.84%	48.1%2.70%	34.8%5.89%	33.4%6.55%	53.5%1.27%	56.2%0.64%
Los Angeles Rams	75.0%0.04%	38.5%0.13%	42.9%0.07%	54.5%0.22%	50.0%0.12%	65.9%0.41%	47.4%0.19%		41.4%0.29%	40.0%0.10%	30.8%0.13%	22.6%0.31%	30.8%2.27%	28.2%2.55%	66.7%0.18%	71.4%0.07%
Minnesota Vikings	60.0%0.15%	56.5%1.68%	56.7%0.60%	47.1%0.85%	57.1%0.63%	46.6%1.48%	50.0%0.92%	58.6%0.29%		60.2%1.33%	50.0%0.90%	54.9%2.95%	38.2%6.96%	33.3%7.45%	61.3%1.60%	53.2%0.62%
New Orleans Saints	66.7%0.03%	41.2%0.17%	0.0%0.03%	36.9%1.03%	46.4%0.28%	49.7%1.63%	41.5%1.18%	60.0%0.10%	39.8%1.33%		39.6%0.48%	42.6%1.83%	31.6%2.88%	28.8%3.86%	52.6%0.19%	42.2%0.45%
New York Giants	33.3%0.03%	64.3%0.56%	57.9%0.19%	45.8%0.59%	50.0%0.04%	34.7%1.01%	36.9%0.84%	69.2%0.13%	50.0%0.90%	60.4%0.48%		30.3%0.33%	33.5%2.27%	29.0%3.14%	53.4%0.73%	50.0%0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles	84.6%0.13%	57.4%2.16%	68.3%0.82%	55.4%2.22%	67.9%0.28%	48.1%3.85%	51.9%2.70%	77.4%0.31%	45.1%2.95%	57.4%1.83%	69.7%0.33%		38.9%6.20%	33.3%6.61%	59.3%2.16%	68.0%0.25%
San Francisco 49ers	74.1%0.58%	67.5%3.38%	69.2%1.56%	60.6%5.61%	73.5%2.04%	62.4%7.80%	65.2%5.89%	69.2%2.27%	61.8%6.96%	68.4%2.88%	66.5%2.27%	61.1%6.20%		46.3%21.75%	64.4%3.76%	73.2%1.94%
Seattle Seahawks	81.2%0.96%	71.7%4.07%	73.7%1.79%	62.6%6.61%	74.2%2.29%	66.2%8.84%	66.6%6.55%	71.8%2.55%	66.7%7.45%	71.2%3.86%	71.0%3.14%	66.7%6.61%	53.7%21.75%		74.8%4.21%	75.1%2.41%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	75.0%0.04%	47.4%0.19%	25.0%0.12%	49.5%1.09%	60.0%0.55%	44.0%2.07%	46.5%1.27%	33.3%0.18%	38.8%1.60%	47.4%0.19%	46.6%0.73%	40.7%2.16%	35.6%3.76%	25.2%4.21%		54.8%0.42%
Washington Commanders	50.0%0.04%	48.6%0.35%	64.7%0.17%	40.0%0.55%	100.0%0.03%	38.7%1.06%	43.8%0.64%	28.6%0.07%	46.8%0.62%	57.8%0.45%	50.0%0.04%	32.0%0.25%	26.8%1.94%	24.9%2.41%	45.2%0.42%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		49.1%2.69%	64.2%0.53%	70.0%0.30%	45.0%2.82%	45.6%2.98%	58.9%0.56%	45.5%2.55%	59.7%0.62%	33.3%0.03%	46.9%0.98%	45.5%0.33%	42.6%1.62%	40.0%0.05%	56.3%0.71%	50.0%0.08%
Buffalo Bills	50.9%2.69%		51.8%1.14%	69.2%0.65%	52.7%4.93%	44.4%5.65%	52.1%0.94%	53.3%4.35%	59.3%1.13%	85.7%0.07%	52.8%1.76%	60.0%0.30%	48.7%2.36%	50.0%0.10%	59.0%1.88%	52.9%0.17%
Cincinnati Bengals	35.8%0.53%	48.2%1.14%		55.6%0.18%	46.9%1.30%	41.8%1.53%	31.8%0.22%	46.6%1.03%	52.4%0.21%		40.8%0.49%	35.7%0.14%	34.4%0.90%	25.0%0.04%	51.5%0.33%	100.0%0.03%
Cleveland Browns	30.0%0.30%	30.8%0.65%	44.4%0.18%		36.7%0.60%	42.2%0.64%	40.0%0.20%	40.4%0.52%	46.7%0.15%	100.0%0.01%	30.0%0.30%	57.1%0.07%	41.9%0.43%	50.0%0.04%	57.1%0.21%	33.3%0.03%
Denver Broncos	55.0%2.82%	47.3%4.93%	53.1%1.30%	63.3%0.60%		52.1%5.12%	55.7%0.88%	46.8%4.23%	55.7%0.70%	57.1%0.07%	58.3%1.27%	77.1%0.48%	52.9%2.91%	83.3%0.06%	53.1%1.47%	78.3%0.23%
Houston Texans	54.4%2.98%	55.6%5.65%	58.2%1.53%	57.8%0.64%	47.9%5.12%		52.2%0.90%	51.7%3.87%	60.0%1.30%	50.0%0.10%	52.2%1.84%	64.1%0.64%	49.9%4.13%	50.0%0.16%	58.9%1.92%	53.8%0.13%
Indianapolis Colts	41.1%0.56%	47.9%0.94%	68.2%0.22%	60.0%0.20%	44.3%0.88%	47.8%0.90%		42.1%0.76%	57.1%0.21%	100.0%0.01%	50.0%0.30%	55.6%0.09%	35.4%0.79%	100.0%0.05%	44.7%0.38%	66.7%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	54.5%2.55%	46.7%4.35%	53.4%1.03%	59.6%0.52%	53.2%4.23%	48.3%3.87%	57.9%0.76%		46.3%0.95%	55.6%0.09%	60.1%1.83%	76.7%0.43%	53.8%2.64%	55.6%0.09%	52.9%1.57%	62.5%0.08%
Kansas City Chiefs	40.3%0.62%	40.7%1.13%	47.6%0.21%	53.3%0.15%	44.3%0.70%	40.0%1.30%	42.9%0.21%	53.7%0.95%		0.0%0.01%	44.0%0.25%	71.4%0.07%	41.0%0.61%	75.0%0.04%	45.2%0.42%	50.0%0.06%
Las Vegas Raiders	66.7%0.03%	14.3%0.07%		0.0%0.01%	42.9%0.07%	50.0%0.10%	0.0%0.01%	44.4%0.09%	100.0%0.01%		25.0%0.04%		100.0%0.05%		50.0%0.02%	100.0%0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	53.1%0.98%	47.2%1.76%	59.2%0.49%	70.0%0.30%	41.7%1.27%	47.8%1.84%	50.0%0.30%	39.9%1.83%	56.0%0.25%	75.0%0.04%		45.0%0.20%	46.8%1.24%	75.0%0.04%	48.3%0.58%	83.3%0.06%
Miami Dolphins	54.5%0.33%	40.0%0.30%	64.3%0.14%	42.9%0.07%	22.9%0.48%	35.9%0.64%	44.4%0.09%	23.3%0.43%	28.6%0.07%		55.0%0.20%		38.5%0.26%		27.8%0.18%	33.3%0.03%
New England Patriots	57.4%1.62%	51.3%2.36%	65.6%0.90%	58.1%0.43%	47.1%2.91%	50.1%4.13%	64.6%0.79%	46.2%2.64%	59.0%0.61%	0.0%0.05%	53.2%1.24%	61.5%0.26%		42.9%0.07%	51.0%1.00%	77.8%0.09%
New York Jets	60.0%0.05%	50.0%0.10%	75.0%0.04%	50.0%0.04%	16.7%0.06%	50.0%0.16%	0.0%0.05%	44.4%0.09%	25.0%0.04%		25.0%0.04%		57.1%0.07%		0.0%0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	43.7%0.71%	41.0%1.88%	48.5%0.33%	42.9%0.21%	46.9%1.47%	41.1%1.92%	55.3%0.38%	47.1%1.57%	54.8%0.42%	50.0%0.02%	51.7%0.58%	72.2%0.18%	49.0%1.00%	100.0%0.03%		20.0%0.05%
Tennessee Titans	50.0%0.08%	47.1%0.17%	0.0%0.03%	66.7%0.03%	21.7%0.23%	46.2%0.13%	33.3%0.03%	37.5%0.08%	50.0%0.06%	0.0%0.01%	16.7%0.06%	66.7%0.03%	22.2%0.09%		80.0%0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		100.0%0.01%		20.0%0.05%		75.0%0.04%	100.0%0.05%	100.0%0.01%	66.7%0.03%	0.0%0.03%	66.7%0.03%	0.0%0.01%	35.7%0.14%	21.7%0.23%	0.0%0.02%	100.0%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	0.0%0.01%		50.0%0.06%	36.0%0.25%	85.7%0.07%	55.6%0.36%	37.5%0.24%	100.0%0.01%	37.1%0.35%	12.5%0.08%	41.2%0.17%	51.7%0.58%	33.3%1.95%	27.7%2.56%	37.5%0.16%	50.0%0.12%
Carolina Panthers		50.0%0.06%		71.4%0.07%	85.7%0.07%	32.1%0.28%	54.5%0.11%	100.0%0.06%	46.7%0.15%	50.0%0.02%	42.9%0.07%	52.6%0.19%	42.6%0.61%	34.0%1.00%	50.0%0.04%	66.7%0.03%
Chicago Bears	80.0%0.05%	64.0%0.25%	28.6%0.07%		50.0%0.16%	59.4%0.64%	51.3%0.39%	61.5%0.13%	51.3%0.39%	65.2%0.23%	55.6%0.18%	55.7%0.70%	41.3%2.88%	33.3%3.75%	62.2%0.37%	72.7%0.11%
Dallas Cowboys		14.3%0.07%	14.3%0.07%	50.0%0.16%		45.8%0.24%	68.8%0.16%	66.7%0.03%	43.8%0.16%	44.4%0.09%	40.0%0.05%	58.8%0.17%	30.4%0.92%	28.2%1.10%	61.5%0.13%	0.0%0.03%
Detroit Lions	25.0%0.04%	44.4%0.36%	67.9%0.28%	40.6%0.64%	54.2%0.24%		62.5%0.56%	78.6%0.14%	51.3%0.76%	70.0%0.30%	56.0%0.25%	48.7%0.76%	39.0%4.23%	35.9%6.40%	57.9%0.38%	62.5%0.24%
Green Bay Packers	0.0%0.05%	62.5%0.24%	45.5%0.11%	48.7%0.39%	31.2%0.16%	37.5%0.56%		52.6%0.19%	54.9%0.51%	66.7%0.27%	65.2%0.23%	44.1%0.68%	41.9%3.13%	36.5%3.70%	46.2%0.26%	70.6%0.17%
Los Angeles Rams	0.0%0.01%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%0.06%	38.5%0.13%	33.3%0.03%	21.4%0.14%	47.4%0.19%		61.5%0.13%	36.4%0.11%	75.0%0.04%	60.0%0.25%	41.8%0.55%	28.4%0.74%	22.2%0.09%	100.0%0.03%
Minnesota Vikings	33.3%0.03%	62.9%0.35%	53.3%0.15%	48.7%0.39%	56.2%0.16%	48.7%0.76%	45.1%0.51%	38.5%0.13%		58.1%0.43%	41.2%0.34%	59.5%0.79%	39.7%3.48%	33.9%4.78%	46.9%0.32%	68.8%0.16%
New Orleans Saints	100.0%0.03%	87.5%0.08%	50.0%0.02%	34.8%0.23%	55.6%0.09%	30.0%0.30%	33.3%0.27%	63.6%0.11%	41.9%0.43%		62.5%0.08%	44.4%0.45%	33.1%1.57%	26.9%1.93%	33.3%0.09%	44.4%0.09%
New York Giants	33.3%0.03%	58.8%0.17%	57.1%0.07%	44.4%0.18%	60.0%0.05%	44.0%0.25%	34.8%0.23%	25.0%0.04%	58.8%0.34%	37.5%0.08%		47.8%0.23%	33.1%1.18%	39.2%1.43%	75.0%0.12%	50.0%0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles	100.0%0.01%	48.3%0.58%	47.4%0.19%	44.3%0.70%	41.2%0.17%	51.3%0.76%	55.9%0.68%	40.0%0.25%	40.5%0.79%	55.6%0.45%	52.2%0.23%		40.2%4.03%	33.9%5.93%	57.4%0.54%	50.0%0.18%
San Francisco 49ers	64.3%0.14%	66.7%1.95%	57.4%0.61%	58.7%2.88%	69.6%0.92%	61.0%4.23%	58.1%3.13%	58.2%0.55%	60.3%3.48%	66.9%1.57%	66.9%1.18%	59.8%4.03%		48.1%16.83%	64.1%2.06%	68.5%0.89%
Seattle Seahawks	78.3%0.23%	72.3%2.56%	66.0%1.00%	66.7%3.75%	71.8%1.10%	64.1%6.40%	63.5%3.70%	71.6%0.74%	66.1%4.78%	73.1%1.93%	60.8%1.43%	66.1%5.93%	51.9%16.83%		67.7%2.48%	70.2%1.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	100.0%0.02%	62.5%0.16%	50.0%0.04%	37.8%0.37%	38.5%0.13%	42.1%0.38%	53.8%0.26%	77.8%0.09%	53.1%0.32%	66.7%0.09%	25.0%0.12%	42.6%0.54%	35.9%2.06%	32.3%2.48%		50.0%0.08%
Washington Commanders	0.0%0.01%	50.0%0.12%	33.3%0.03%	27.3%0.11%	100.0%0.03%	37.5%0.24%	29.4%0.17%	0.0%0.03%	31.2%0.16%	55.6%0.09%	50.0%0.04%	50.0%0.18%	31.5%0.89%	29.8%1.04%	50.0%0.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	0.0%0.01%	45.0%0.20%	20.0%0.05%	50.0%0.42%	72.7%0.11%	43.3%0.60%	54.8%0.31%	42.9%0.07%	52.8%0.36%	68.8%0.16%	27.8%0.18%	52.2%0.46%	43.9%2.14%	38.7%2.69%	52.2%0.23%	28.6%0.14%
Buffalo Bills	50.0%0.06%	56.7%0.30%	66.7%0.21%	52.9%0.51%	54.5%0.22%	50.5%0.91%	52.7%0.74%	69.2%0.13%	50.0%0.90%	51.4%0.37%	40.9%0.22%	50.0%0.98%	47.0%3.45%	40.2%5.05%	65.9%0.41%	45.5%0.11%
Cincinnati Bengals	100.0%0.01%	54.5%0.11%	50.0%0.06%	30.0%0.20%	40.0%0.05%	42.3%0.26%	50.0%0.10%	100.0%0.02%	44.4%0.18%	100.0%0.02%	50.0%0.06%	37.5%0.24%	38.2%0.89%	39.7%1.26%	66.7%0.03%	0.0%0.03%
Cleveland Browns		50.0%0.02%	50.0%0.02%	55.6%0.09%	50.0%0.02%	33.3%0.12%	57.1%0.07%	100.0%0.01%	33.3%0.06%	25.0%0.04%	100.0%0.02%	33.3%0.09%	29.5%0.44%	34.4%0.64%	66.7%0.03%	0.0%0.02%
Denver Broncos	0.0%0.03%	50.0%0.44%	53.3%0.15%	49.1%0.57%	25.0%0.12%	59.0%0.78%	60.5%0.76%	64.7%0.17%	51.4%0.70%	58.1%0.31%	45.2%0.31%	57.0%0.93%	44.4%3.78%	40.9%4.69%	58.3%0.36%	50.0%0.08%
Houston Texans	0.0%0.02%	61.0%0.41%	53.8%0.26%	53.3%0.75%	40.9%0.22%	48.8%1.25%	58.6%0.70%	62.5%0.16%	42.6%0.94%	56.8%0.37%	35.5%0.31%	54.7%1.06%	42.6%3.87%	47.0%5.43%	55.2%0.58%	60.0%0.15%
Indianapolis Colts		57.1%0.07%	0.0%0.01%	50.0%0.10%	0.0%0.01%	42.1%0.19%	50.0%0.20%	33.3%0.03%	50.0%0.14%	50.0%0.04%	50.0%0.04%	35.7%0.14%	37.5%0.88%	42.6%0.94%	25.0%0.12%	33.3%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	50.0%0.06%	60.6%0.33%	64.3%0.14%	45.1%0.71%	69.2%0.13%	52.3%0.86%	38.7%0.62%	42.9%0.14%	53.0%0.83%	56.5%0.23%	66.7%0.21%	47.1%0.68%	45.7%3.00%	39.1%4.58%	44.4%0.36%	34.8%0.23%
Kansas City Chiefs	100.0%0.01%	16.7%0.06%	66.7%0.03%	33.3%0.09%	75.0%0.04%	45.5%0.22%	54.5%0.11%	50.0%0.02%	57.1%0.14%	62.5%0.08%	100.0%0.02%	52.0%0.25%	36.5%0.85%	34.4%0.96%	50.0%0.08%	0.0%0.02%
Las Vegas Raiders				0.0%0.01%		100.0%0.02%			50.0%0.02%		100.0%0.01%	50.0%0.02%	20.0%0.05%	50.0%0.10%	0.0%0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers		33.3%0.12%	60.0%0.05%	50.0%0.24%	42.9%0.07%	41.0%0.39%	43.5%0.23%	100.0%0.02%	52.4%0.21%	57.1%0.14%	63.6%0.11%	52.9%0.34%	36.4%1.40%	41.5%1.71%	52.6%0.19%	41.7%0.12%
Miami Dolphins		20.0%0.05%	50.0%0.04%	0.0%0.02%	0.0%0.03%	22.2%0.09%	50.0%0.04%	0.0%0.02%	50.0%0.06%	33.3%0.03%	50.0%0.06%	33.3%0.09%	50.0%0.24%	20.6%0.34%	50.0%0.04%	75.0%0.04%
New England Patriots	100.0%0.05%	57.7%0.26%	58.3%0.12%	42.6%0.54%	76.5%0.17%	50.8%0.61%	46.3%0.41%	61.5%0.13%	58.9%0.56%	47.1%0.17%	68.8%0.16%	52.1%0.71%	42.6%2.65%	45.6%3.09%	39.1%0.23%	12.5%0.08%
New York Jets				0.0%0.02%	100.0%0.01%			100.0%0.01%	0.0%0.01%		100.0%0.02%	0.0%0.02%	77.8%0.09%	38.5%0.13%	0.0%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.0%0.01%	33.3%0.09%	33.3%0.06%	46.2%0.26%	50.0%0.04%	43.8%0.32%	56.0%0.25%	66.7%0.03%	41.7%0.24%	33.3%0.06%	53.8%0.13%	34.5%0.29%	42.5%1.34%	37.6%1.70%	37.5%0.08%	83.3%0.06%
Tennessee Titans		0.0%0.01%		50.0%0.02%		50.0%0.02%	100.0%0.02%	100.0%0.01%	100.0%0.01%	0.0%0.01%		20.0%0.05%	33.3%0.09%	37.5%0.16%	100.0%0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	100.0%0.01%	50.0%0.06%	0.0%0.01%		100.0%0.03%	100.0%0.02%		50.0%0.06%	0.0%0.01%				0.0%0.05%		100.0%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	55.0%0.20%	43.3%0.30%	45.5%0.11%	50.0%0.02%	50.0%0.44%	39.0%0.41%	42.9%0.07%	39.4%0.33%	83.3%0.06%		66.7%0.12%	80.0%0.05%	42.3%0.26%		66.7%0.09%	100.0%0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	80.0%0.05%	33.3%0.21%	50.0%0.06%	50.0%0.02%	46.7%0.15%	46.2%0.26%	100.0%0.01%	35.7%0.14%	33.3%0.03%		40.0%0.05%	50.0%0.04%	41.7%0.12%		66.7%0.06%
Chicago Bears																	50.0%0.42%	47.1%0.51%	70.0%0.20%	44.4%0.09%	50.9%0.57%	46.7%0.75%	50.0%0.10%	54.9%0.71%	66.7%0.09%	100.0%0.01%	50.0%0.24%	100.0%0.02%	57.4%0.54%	100.0%0.02%	53.8%0.26%	50.0%0.02%
Dallas Cowboys																	27.3%0.11%	45.5%0.22%	60.0%0.05%	50.0%0.02%	75.0%0.12%	59.1%0.22%	100.0%0.01%	30.8%0.13%	25.0%0.04%		57.1%0.07%	100.0%0.03%	23.5%0.17%	0.0%0.01%	50.0%0.04%
Detroit Lions																	56.7%0.60%	49.5%0.91%	57.7%0.26%	66.7%0.12%	41.0%0.78%	51.2%1.25%	57.9%0.19%	47.7%0.86%	54.5%0.22%	0.0%0.02%	59.0%0.39%	77.8%0.09%	49.2%0.61%		56.2%0.32%	50.0%0.02%
Green Bay Packers																	45.2%0.31%	47.3%0.74%	50.0%0.10%	42.9%0.07%	39.5%0.76%	41.4%0.70%	50.0%0.20%	61.3%0.62%	45.5%0.11%		56.5%0.23%	50.0%0.04%	53.7%0.41%		44.0%0.25%	0.0%0.02%
Los Angeles Rams																	57.1%0.07%	30.8%0.13%	0.0%0.02%	0.0%0.01%	35.3%0.17%	37.5%0.16%	66.7%0.03%	57.1%0.14%	50.0%0.02%		0.0%0.02%	100.0%0.02%	38.5%0.13%	0.0%0.01%	33.3%0.03%	0.0%0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	47.2%0.36%	50.0%0.90%	55.6%0.18%	66.7%0.06%	48.6%0.70%	57.4%0.94%	50.0%0.14%	47.0%0.83%	42.9%0.14%	50.0%0.02%	47.6%0.21%	50.0%0.06%	41.1%0.56%	100.0%0.01%	58.3%0.24%	0.0%0.01%
New Orleans Saints																	31.2%0.16%	48.6%0.37%	0.0%0.02%	75.0%0.04%	41.9%0.31%	43.2%0.37%	50.0%0.04%	43.5%0.23%	37.5%0.08%		42.9%0.14%	66.7%0.03%	52.9%0.17%		66.7%0.06%	100.0%0.01%
New York Giants																	72.2%0.18%	59.1%0.22%	50.0%0.06%	0.0%0.02%	54.8%0.31%	64.5%0.31%	50.0%0.04%	33.3%0.21%	0.0%0.02%	0.0%0.01%	36.4%0.11%	50.0%0.06%	31.2%0.16%	0.0%0.02%	46.2%0.13%
Philadelphia Eagles																	47.8%0.46%	50.0%0.98%	62.5%0.24%	66.7%0.09%	43.0%0.93%	45.3%1.06%	64.3%0.14%	52.9%0.68%	48.0%0.25%	50.0%0.02%	47.1%0.34%	66.7%0.09%	47.9%0.71%	100.0%0.02%	65.5%0.29%	80.0%0.05%
San Francisco 49ers																	56.1%2.14%	53.0%3.45%	61.8%0.89%	70.5%0.44%	55.6%3.78%	57.4%3.87%	62.5%0.88%	54.3%3.00%	63.5%0.85%	80.0%0.05%	63.6%1.40%	50.0%0.24%	57.4%2.65%	22.2%0.09%	57.5%1.34%	66.7%0.09%
Seattle Seahawks																	61.3%2.69%	59.8%5.05%	60.3%1.26%	65.6%0.64%	59.1%4.69%	53.0%5.43%	57.4%0.94%	60.9%4.58%	65.6%0.96%	50.0%0.10%	58.5%1.71%	79.4%0.34%	54.4%3.09%	61.5%0.13%	62.4%1.70%	62.5%0.16%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	47.8%0.23%	34.1%0.41%	33.3%0.03%	33.3%0.03%	41.7%0.36%	44.8%0.58%	75.0%0.12%	55.6%0.36%	50.0%0.08%	100.0%0.01%	47.4%0.19%	50.0%0.04%	60.9%0.23%	100.0%0.01%	62.5%0.08%	0.0%0.01%
Washington Commanders																	71.4%0.14%	54.5%0.11%	100.0%0.03%	100.0%0.02%	50.0%0.08%	40.0%0.15%	66.7%0.03%	65.2%0.23%	100.0%0.02%		58.3%0.12%	25.0%0.04%	87.5%0.08%		16.7%0.06%

Filter by Team:

Completed Games

Summary of every regular-season game played so far this season.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2026-09-10	San Francisco 49ers	L 7-27	63.9	1592.95	1539.67	57.37%	42.17%	+2.02	-104.34	0-1
2026-09-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-13	56.5	1583.45	1648.12	37.07%	62.48%	-3.47	-26.15	0-1
2026-09-10	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-7	63.9	1539.67	1592.95	42.17%	57.37%	-2.02	+104.34	1-0
2026-09-09	New England Patriots	W 13-10	56.5	1648.12	1583.45	62.48%	37.07%	+3.47	+26.15	1-0

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date	Opponent	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Excitement
2026-09-13	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1423.90	1513.56	33.79%	65.78%	-4.42	42.6
2026-09-20	Seattle Seahawks	1423.90	1674.27	21.41%	78.25%	-8.48	47.5
2026-09-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	1423.90	1644.01	19.45%	80.24%	-9.37	44.1
2026-10-04	@ New York Giants	1423.90	1460.80	40.87%	58.67%	-2.42	41.2
2026-10-11	Detroit Lions	1423.90	1532.25	38.11%	61.44%	-3.09	45.4
2026-10-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	1423.90	1488.61	37.07%	62.49%	-3.47	42.0
2026-10-25	Denver Broncos	1423.90	1571.50	32.95%	66.62%	-4.58	46.5
2026-11-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	1423.90	1458.54	41.18%	58.36%	-2.33	41.1
2026-11-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	1423.90	1674.27	16.87%	82.85%	-10.51	44.2
2026-11-15	Los Angeles Rams	1423.90	1488.61	44.18%	55.36%	-1.43	43.6
2026-11-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1423.90	1485.07	37.54%	62.01%	-3.34	41.9
2026-11-29	Washington Commanders	1423.90	1455.01	48.98%	50.54%	-0.16	41.8
2026-12-06	Philadelphia Eagles	1423.90	1530.88	38.30%	61.25%	-3.04	45.3
2026-12-20	New York Jets	1423.90	1388.40	58.48%	41.06%	+2.37	37.2
2026-12-27	@ New Orleans Saints	1423.90	1458.82	41.14%	58.40%	-2.34	41.1
2027-01-03	Las Vegas Raiders	1423.90	1375.13	60.32%	39.23%	+2.87	36.2
2027-01-10	San Francisco 49ers	1423.90	1644.01	24.48%	75.16%	-7.33	47.5
2026-09-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1478.04	1502.87	42.55%	56.98%	-1.96	48.2
2026-09-20	Carolina Panthers	1478.04	1444.21	58.25%	41.29%	+2.30	43.7
2026-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	1478.04	1518.02	40.44%	59.10%	-2.54	48.9
2026-10-05	@ New Orleans Saints	1478.04	1458.82	48.83%	50.69%	-0.29	45.6
2026-10-11	Baltimore Ravens	1478.04	1526.13	46.55%	52.98%	-0.80	50.5
2026-10-18	Chicago Bears	1478.04	1524.61	46.76%	52.76%	-0.75	50.4
2026-10-25	San Francisco 49ers	1478.04	1644.01	30.67%	68.92%	-5.27	54.4
2026-11-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1478.04	1476.23	46.33%	53.20%	-0.95	46.7
2026-11-08	Cincinnati Bengals	1478.04	1478.99	53.32%	46.21%	+0.98	46.9
2026-11-15	Kansas City Chiefs	1478.04	1485.07	52.44%	47.08%	+0.75	47.4
2026-11-29	@ Minnesota Vikings	1478.04	1528.75	38.96%	60.58%	-2.94	49.4
2026-12-06	Detroit Lions	1478.04	1532.25	45.67%	53.86%	-1.04	50.9
2026-12-13	@ Cleveland Browns	1478.04	1441.61	51.31%	48.22%	+0.36	44.4
2026-12-20	@ Washington Commanders	1478.04	1455.01	49.38%	50.15%	-0.15	45.4
2026-12-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1478.04	1476.23	53.71%	45.82%	+1.09	46.7
2027-01-03	New Orleans Saints	1478.04	1458.82	56.19%	43.34%	+1.75	45.1
2027-01-10	@ Carolina Panthers	1478.04	1444.21	50.93%	48.59%	+0.26	44.6
2026-09-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	1526.13	1481.53	52.48%	47.05%	+0.67	50.8
2026-09-20	New Orleans Saints	1526.13	1458.82	62.83%	36.72%	+3.57	47.1
2026-09-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1526.13	1458.54	55.76%	43.77%	+1.54	48.7
2026-10-04	Tennessee Titans	1526.13	1401.75	70.11%	29.49%	+5.74	40.0
2026-10-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	1526.13	1478.04	52.98%	46.55%	+0.80	50.5
2026-10-18	@ Cleveland Browns	1526.13	1441.61	58.15%	41.39%	+2.19	47.0
2026-10-25	Cincinnati Bengals	1526.13	1478.99	60.09%	39.45%	+2.81	49.4
2026-11-01	@ Buffalo Bills	1526.13	1572.94	39.50%	60.05%	-2.79	56.1
2026-11-05	Jacksonville Jaguars	1526.13	1567.95	47.44%	52.08%	-0.57	57.0
2026-11-16	Los Angeles Chargers	1526.13	1513.56	55.25%	44.29%	+1.50	52.9
2026-11-22	@ Carolina Panthers	1526.13	1444.21	57.78%	41.75%	+2.09	47.3
2026-11-29	@ Houston Texans	1526.13	1584.59	37.91%	61.64%	-3.24	56.4
2026-12-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1526.13	1476.23	60.47%	39.07%	+2.91	49.1
2026-12-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1526.13	1502.87	49.41%	50.11%	-0.14	52.4
2026-12-27	Cleveland Browns	1526.13	1441.61	65.11%	34.46%	+4.22	45.0
2026-12-31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1526.13	1478.99	52.85%	46.68%	+0.77	50.5
2027-01-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	1526.13	1502.87	56.76%	42.77%	+1.90	51.9
2026-09-13	@ Houston Texans	1572.94	1584.59	44.41%	55.12%	-1.46	60.5
2026-09-17	Detroit Lions	1572.94	1532.25	59.20%	40.34%	+2.56	56.7
2026-09-27	Los Angeles Chargers	1572.94	1513.56	61.77%	37.79%	+3.27	54.8
2026-10-04	New England Patriots	1572.94	1557.30	55.68%	43.85%	+1.61	58.9
2026-10-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	1572.94	1488.61	58.12%	41.42%	+2.18	54.0
2026-10-18	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1572.94	1375.13	72.69%	26.92%	+6.48	40.1
2026-11-01	Baltimore Ravens	1572.94	1526.13	60.05%	39.50%	+2.79	56.1
2026-11-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	1572.94	1528.75	52.42%	47.11%	+0.66	57.5
2026-11-15	@ New York Jets	1572.94	1388.40	71.16%	28.45%	+5.98	41.9
2026-11-22	Miami Dolphins	1572.94	1453.73	69.49%	30.11%	+5.54	47.6
2026-11-26	Kansas City Chiefs	1572.94	1485.07	65.55%	34.02%	+4.35	51.6
2026-12-06	@ New England Patriots	1572.94	1557.30	48.32%	51.21%	-0.43	59.3
2026-12-13	@ Green Bay Packers	1572.94	1518.02	53.96%	45.57%	+1.06	56.6
2026-12-19	Chicago Bears	1572.94	1524.61	60.26%	39.29%	+2.85	56.0
2026-12-25	@ Denver Broncos	1572.94	1571.50	46.28%	53.25%	-0.96	60.0
2027-01-03	@ Miami Dolphins	1572.94	1453.73	62.90%	36.65%	+3.50	50.2
2027-01-10	New York Jets	1572.94	1388.40	76.81%	22.84%	+8.02	38.6
2026-09-13	Chicago Bears	1444.21	1524.61	41.96%	57.57%	-2.03	47.2
2026-09-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	1444.21	1478.04	41.29%	58.25%	-2.30	43.7
2026-09-27	@ Cleveland Browns	1444.21	1441.61	46.45%	53.08%	-0.92	42.1
2026-10-04	Detroit Lions	1444.21	1532.25	40.90%	58.64%	-2.32	47.6
2026-10-18	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1444.21	1530.88	34.18%	65.39%	-4.31	45.5
2026-10-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1444.21	1476.23	48.85%	50.68%	-0.20	44.5
2026-10-29	@ Green Bay Packers	1444.21	1518.02	35.86%	63.70%	-3.82	45.1
2026-11-08	Denver Broncos	1444.21	1571.50	35.58%	63.98%	-3.81	49.0
2026-11-15	@ New Orleans Saints	1444.21	1458.82	43.99%	55.54%	-1.57	42.9
2026-11-22	Baltimore Ravens	1444.21	1526.13	41.75%	57.78%	-2.09	47.3
2026-11-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1444.21	1476.23	41.54%	57.99%	-2.23	43.7
2026-12-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	1444.21	1528.75	34.45%	65.12%	-4.23	45.4
2026-12-13	New Orleans Saints	1444.21	1458.82	51.36%	48.17%	+0.47	43.3
2026-12-20	Cincinnati Bengals	1444.21	1478.99	48.45%	51.07%	-0.30	44.7
2026-12-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1444.21	1502.87	37.88%	61.67%	-3.24	44.7
2027-01-03	Seattle Seahawks	1444.21	1674.27	23.44%	76.20%	-7.71	50.2
2027-01-10	Atlanta Falcons	1444.21	1478.04	48.59%	50.93%	-0.26	44.6
2026-09-13	@ Carolina Panthers	1524.61	1444.21	57.57%	41.96%	+2.03	47.2
2026-09-20	Minnesota Vikings	1524.61	1528.75	52.86%	46.67%	+0.86	54.1
2026-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	1524.61	1530.88	52.55%	46.97%	+0.78	54.3
2026-10-04	New York Jets	1524.61	1388.40	71.51%	28.09%	+6.18	38.3
2026-10-11	@ Green Bay Packers	1524.61	1518.02	47.02%	52.51%	-0.77	53.4
2026-10-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	1524.61	1478.04	52.76%	46.76%	+0.75	50.4
2026-10-22	New England Patriots	1524.61	1557.30	48.76%	50.77%	-0.22	56.2
2026-11-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	1524.61	1674.27	26.56%	73.06%	-6.69	56.4
2026-11-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1524.61	1476.23	60.26%	39.28%	+2.85	49.0
2026-11-22	New Orleans Saints	1524.61	1458.82	62.63%	36.92%	+3.51	47.0
2026-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	1524.61	1532.25	44.99%	54.54%	-1.31	54.2
2026-12-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	1524.61	1567.95	47.23%	52.30%	-0.62	56.9
2026-12-13	@ Miami Dolphins	1524.61	1453.73	56.23%	43.30%	+1.67	48.2
2026-12-19	@ Buffalo Bills	1524.61	1572.94	39.29%	60.26%	-2.85	56.0
2026-12-25	Green Bay Packers	1524.61	1518.02	54.39%	45.14%	+1.27	53.2
2027-01-03	Detroit Lions	1524.61	1532.25	52.36%	47.17%	+0.73	54.4
2027-01-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	1524.61	1528.75	45.48%	54.05%	-1.18	54.0
2026-09-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1478.99	1476.23	53.85%	45.68%	+1.12	46.8
2026-09-20	@ Houston Texans	1478.99	1584.59	31.77%	67.81%	-5.02	51.0
2026-09-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1478.99	1502.87	42.69%	56.85%	-1.92	48.3
2026-10-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	1478.99	1567.95	40.77%	58.77%	-2.35	52.8
2026-10-11	@ Miami Dolphins	1478.99	1453.73	49.70%	49.83%	-0.06	45.3
2026-10-25	@ Baltimore Ravens	1478.99	1526.13	39.45%	60.09%	-2.81	49.4
2026-11-01	Tennessee Titans	1478.99	1401.75	64.16%	35.40%	+3.95	39.4
2026-11-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	1478.99	1478.04	46.21%	53.32%	-0.98	46.9
2026-11-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	1478.99	1502.87	50.02%	49.50%	+0.11	48.9
2026-11-23	@ Washington Commanders	1478.99	1455.01	49.52%	50.01%	-0.11	45.4
2026-11-29	New Orleans Saints	1478.99	1458.82	56.32%	43.21%	+1.78	45.2
2026-12-06	@ Cleveland Browns	1478.99	1441.61	51.44%	48.08%	+0.40	44.5
2026-12-13	Kansas City Chiefs	1478.99	1485.07	52.58%	46.95%	+0.79	47.5
2026-12-20	@ Carolina Panthers	1478.99	1444.21	51.07%	48.45%	+0.30	44.7
2026-12-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	1478.99	1481.53	45.71%	53.82%	-1.12	47.1
2026-12-31	Baltimore Ravens	1478.99	1526.13	46.68%	52.85%	-0.77	50.5
2027-01-10	Cleveland Browns	1478.99	1441.61	58.74%	40.80%	+2.44	43.5
2026-09-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1441.61	1567.95	29.25%	70.35%	-5.81	45.9
2026-09-20	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1441.61	1476.23	41.18%	58.36%	-2.33	43.4
2026-09-27	Carolina Panthers	1441.61	1444.21	53.08%	46.45%	+0.92	42.1
2026-10-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	1441.61	1502.87	44.67%	54.86%	-1.30	45.9
2026-10-11	@ New York Jets	1441.61	1388.40	53.72%	45.81%	+1.00	38.8
2026-10-18	Baltimore Ravens	1441.61	1526.13	41.39%	58.15%	-2.19	47.0
2026-10-25	@ Tennessee Titans	1441.61	1401.75	51.80%	47.73%	+0.49	39.7
2026-11-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1441.61	1502.87	37.53%	62.02%	-3.34	44.4
2026-11-08	@ New Orleans Saints	1441.61	1458.82	43.63%	55.90%	-1.67	42.7
2026-11-15	Houston Texans	1441.61	1584.59	33.54%	66.03%	-4.40	49.0
2026-11-29	Las Vegas Raiders	1441.61	1375.13	62.72%	36.83%	+3.54	36.3
2026-12-06	Cincinnati Bengals	1441.61	1478.99	48.08%	51.44%	-0.40	44.5
2026-12-13	Atlanta Falcons	1441.61	1478.04	48.22%	51.31%	-0.36	44.4
2026-12-20	@ New York Giants	1441.61	1460.80	43.35%	56.19%	-1.75	42.8
2026-12-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	1441.61	1526.13	34.46%	65.11%	-4.22	45.0
2027-01-03	Indianapolis Colts	1441.61	1481.53	47.72%	51.81%	-0.49	44.6
2027-01-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1441.61	1478.99	40.80%	58.74%	-2.44	43.5
2026-09-13	@ New York Giants	1458.54	1460.80	45.75%	53.78%	-1.11	44.2
2026-09-20	Washington Commanders	1458.54	1455.01	53.96%	45.57%	+1.15	43.8
2026-09-27	Baltimore Ravens	1458.54	1526.13	43.77%	55.76%	-1.54	48.7
2026-10-04	@ Houston Texans	1458.54	1584.59	29.29%	70.31%	-5.80	48.4
2026-10-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1458.54	1476.23	50.91%	48.61%	+0.35	45.5
2026-10-18	@ Green Bay Packers	1458.54	1518.02	37.77%	61.78%	-3.27	46.8
2026-10-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1458.54	1530.88	36.05%	63.51%	-3.76	47.2
2026-11-01	Arizona Cardinals	1458.54	1423.90	58.36%	41.18%	+2.33	41.1
2026-11-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	1458.54	1481.53	42.81%	56.72%	-1.89	45.3
2026-11-15	San Francisco 49ers	1458.54	1644.01	28.34%	71.27%	-6.01	52.0
2026-11-22	Tennessee Titans	1458.54	1401.75	61.41%	38.13%	+3.17	39.0
2026-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	1458.54	1530.88	43.10%	56.44%	-1.72	49.0
2026-12-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	1458.54	1674.27	19.84%	79.84%	-9.20	48.6
2026-12-20	@ Los Angeles Rams	1458.54	1488.61	41.82%	57.72%	-2.16	45.6
2026-12-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	1458.54	1567.95	37.97%	61.58%	-3.13	50.6
2027-01-03	New York Giants	1458.54	1460.80	53.13%	46.40%	+0.93	44.3
2027-01-10	@ Washington Commanders	1458.54	1455.01	46.58%	52.95%	-0.89	43.9
2026-09-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1571.50	1485.07	58.42%	41.12%	+2.26	53.6
2026-09-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	1571.50	1567.95	53.96%	45.57%	+1.15	59.7
2026-09-27	Los Angeles Rams	1571.50	1488.61	64.90%	34.67%	+4.16	52.0
2026-10-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	1571.50	1644.01	36.03%	63.53%	-3.77	61.4
2026-10-11	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1571.50	1513.56	54.39%	45.14%	+1.18	56.2
2026-10-15	Seattle Seahawks	1571.50	1674.27	38.87%	60.68%	-2.88	63.4
2026-10-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	1571.50	1423.90	66.62%	32.95%	+4.58	46.5
2026-11-01	Kansas City Chiefs	1571.50	1485.07	65.36%	34.21%	+4.30	51.5
2026-11-08	@ Carolina Panthers	1571.50	1444.21	63.98%	35.58%	+3.81	49.0
2026-11-22	Las Vegas Raiders	1571.50	1375.13	77.99%	21.67%	+8.47	36.7
2026-11-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1571.50	1502.87	55.91%	43.62%	+1.58	55.3
2026-12-06	Miami Dolphins	1571.50	1453.73	69.31%	30.28%	+5.49	47.6
2026-12-13	@ New York Jets	1571.50	1388.40	70.99%	28.62%	+5.92	41.9
2026-12-20	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1571.50	1375.13	72.53%	27.09%	+6.43	40.1
2026-12-25	Buffalo Bills	1571.50	1572.94	53.25%	46.28%	+0.96	60.0
2027-01-03	@ New England Patriots	1571.50	1557.30	48.11%	51.42%	-0.48	59.2
2027-01-10	Los Angeles Chargers	1571.50	1513.56	61.57%	37.98%	+3.22	54.8
2026-09-13	New Orleans Saints	1532.25	1458.82	63.65%	35.91%	+3.80	47.3
2026-09-17	@ Buffalo Bills	1532.25	1572.94	40.34%	59.20%	-2.56	56.7
2026-09-27	New York Jets	1532.25	1388.40	72.40%	27.22%	+6.47	38.3
2026-10-04	@ Carolina Panthers	1532.25	1444.21	58.64%	40.90%	+2.32	47.6
2026-10-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	1532.25	1423.90	61.44%	38.11%	+3.09	45.4
2026-10-25	Green Bay Packers	1532.25	1518.02	55.48%	44.05%	+1.56	53.6
2026-11-01	Minnesota Vikings	1532.25	1528.75	53.95%	45.58%	+1.15	54.6
2026-11-08	@ Miami Dolphins	1532.25	1453.73	57.31%	42.23%	+1.96	48.5
2026-11-15	New England Patriots	1532.25	1557.30	49.85%	49.67%	+0.07	56.8
2026-11-22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1532.25	1476.23	61.31%	38.24%	+3.14	49.3
2026-11-26	Chicago Bears	1532.25	1524.61	54.54%	44.99%	+1.31	54.2
2026-12-06	@ Atlanta Falcons	1532.25	1478.04	53.86%	45.67%	+1.04	50.9
2026-12-13	Tennessee Titans	1532.25	1401.75	70.84%	28.76%	+5.97	40.1
2026-12-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	1532.25	1528.75	46.57%	52.95%	-0.89	54.7
2026-12-28	New York Giants	1532.25	1460.80	63.39%	36.17%	+3.73	47.5
2027-01-03	@ Chicago Bears	1532.25	1524.61	47.17%	52.36%	-0.73	54.4
2027-01-10	@ Green Bay Packers	1532.25	1518.02	48.11%	51.41%	-0.48	54.0
2026-09-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	1518.02	1528.75	44.54%	54.99%	-1.43	53.4
2026-09-20	@ New York Jets	1518.02	1388.40	64.29%	35.27%	+3.90	41.0
2026-09-24	Atlanta Falcons	1518.02	1478.04	59.10%	40.44%	+2.54	48.9
2026-10-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1518.02	1476.23	52.08%	47.45%	+0.57	49.8
2026-10-11	Chicago Bears	1518.02	1524.61	52.51%	47.02%	+0.77	53.4
2026-10-18	Dallas Cowboys	1518.02	1458.54	61.78%	37.77%	+3.27	46.8
2026-10-25	@ Detroit Lions	1518.02	1532.25	44.05%	55.48%	-1.56	53.6
2026-10-29	Carolina Panthers	1518.02	1444.21	63.70%	35.86%	+3.82	45.1
2026-11-08	@ New England Patriots	1518.02	1557.30	40.54%	59.00%	-2.51	54.8
2026-11-15	Minnesota Vikings	1518.02	1528.75	51.91%	47.61%	+0.61	53.7
2026-11-25	@ Los Angeles Rams	1518.02	1488.61	50.30%	49.23%	+0.10	50.8
2026-12-06	@ New Orleans Saints	1518.02	1458.82	54.57%	44.96%	+1.23	48.3
2026-12-13	Buffalo Bills	1518.02	1572.94	45.57%	53.96%	-1.06	56.6
2026-12-20	Miami Dolphins	1518.02	1453.73	62.43%	37.12%	+3.46	46.2
2026-12-25	@ Chicago Bears	1518.02	1524.61	45.14%	54.39%	-1.27	53.2
2027-01-04	Houston Texans	1518.02	1584.59	43.91%	55.62%	-1.51	57.2
2027-01-10	Detroit Lions	1518.02	1532.25	51.41%	48.11%	+0.48	54.0
2026-09-13	Buffalo Bills	1584.59	1572.94	55.12%	44.41%	+1.46	60.5
2026-09-20	Cincinnati Bengals	1584.59	1478.99	67.81%	31.77%	+5.02	51.0
2026-09-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	1584.59	1481.53	60.72%	38.83%	+2.89	53.7
2026-10-04	Dallas Cowboys	1584.59	1458.54	70.31%	29.29%	+5.80	48.4
2026-10-11	@ Tennessee Titans	1584.59	1401.75	70.96%	28.65%	+5.91	43.8
2026-10-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1584.59	1567.95	48.46%	51.06%	-0.39	60.6
2026-10-25	New York Giants	1584.59	1460.80	70.04%	29.55%	+5.71	48.7
2026-11-08	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1584.59	1513.56	56.25%	43.28%	+1.67	56.8
2026-11-15	@ Cleveland Browns	1584.59	1441.61	66.03%	33.54%	+4.40	49.0
2026-11-19	Indianapolis Colts	1584.59	1481.53	67.49%	32.09%	+4.93	51.4
2026-11-29	Baltimore Ravens	1584.59	1526.13	61.64%	37.91%	+3.24	56.4
2026-12-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1584.59	1502.87	57.76%	41.78%	+2.08	55.8
2026-12-13	@ Washington Commanders	1584.59	1455.01	64.28%	35.28%	+3.89	50.7
2026-12-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	1584.59	1567.95	55.82%	43.71%	+1.65	60.2
2026-12-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1584.59	1530.88	53.79%	45.74%	+1.02	58.2
2027-01-04	@ Green Bay Packers	1584.59	1518.02	55.62%	43.91%	+1.51	57.2
2027-01-10	Tennessee Titans	1584.59	1401.75	76.63%	23.02%	+7.95	40.6
2026-09-13	Baltimore Ravens	1481.53	1526.13	47.05%	52.48%	-0.67	50.8
2026-09-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1481.53	1485.07	45.57%	53.96%	-1.15	47.6
2026-09-27	Houston Texans	1481.53	1584.59	38.83%	60.72%	-2.89	53.7
2026-10-04	@ Washington Commanders	1481.53	1455.01	49.88%	49.64%	-0.01	45.6
2026-10-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1481.53	1502.87	43.04%	56.49%	-1.83	48.6
2026-10-18	Tennessee Titans	1481.53	1401.75	64.49%	35.07%	+4.04	39.4
2026-10-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	1481.53	1528.75	39.44%	60.10%	-2.81	49.8
2026-11-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1481.53	1567.95	34.21%	65.36%	-4.30	51.0
2026-11-08	Dallas Cowboys	1481.53	1458.54	56.72%	42.81%	+1.89	45.3
2026-11-15	Miami Dolphins	1481.53	1453.73	57.40%	42.14%	+2.07	44.8
2026-11-19	@ Houston Texans	1481.53	1584.59	32.09%	67.49%	-4.93	51.4
2026-11-29	New York Giants	1481.53	1460.80	56.40%	43.13%	+1.81	45.5
2026-12-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1481.53	1530.88	39.15%	60.40%	-2.89	49.8
2026-12-20	@ Tennessee Titans	1481.53	1401.75	57.48%	42.05%	+2.01	41.3
2026-12-27	Cincinnati Bengals	1481.53	1478.99	53.82%	45.71%	+1.12	47.1
2027-01-03	@ Cleveland Browns	1481.53	1441.61	51.81%	47.72%	+0.49	44.6
2027-01-10	Jacksonville Jaguars	1481.53	1567.95	41.12%	58.41%	-2.26	53.0
2026-09-13	Cleveland Browns	1567.95	1441.61	70.35%	29.25%	+5.81	45.9
2026-09-20	@ Denver Broncos	1567.95	1571.50	45.57%	53.96%	-1.15	59.7
2026-09-27	New England Patriots	1567.95	1557.30	54.97%	44.56%	+1.42	58.7
2026-10-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1567.95	1478.99	58.77%	40.77%	+2.35	52.8
2026-10-11	Philadelphia Eagles	1567.95	1530.88	58.70%	40.84%	+2.43	56.4
2026-10-18	Houston Texans	1567.95	1584.59	51.06%	48.46%	+0.39	60.6
2026-11-01	Indianapolis Colts	1567.95	1481.53	65.36%	34.21%	+4.30	51.0
2026-11-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	1567.95	1526.13	52.08%	47.44%	+0.57	57.0
2026-11-15	@ Tennessee Titans	1567.95	1401.75	68.95%	30.64%	+5.28	43.6
2026-11-22	@ New York Giants	1567.95	1460.80	61.27%	38.27%	+3.04	50.8
2026-11-29	Tennessee Titans	1567.95	1401.75	74.88%	24.75%	+7.32	40.4
2026-12-06	@ Chicago Bears	1567.95	1524.61	52.30%	47.23%	+0.62	56.9
2026-12-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	1567.95	1502.87	62.54%	37.02%	+3.49	53.5
2026-12-20	@ Houston Texans	1567.95	1584.59	43.71%	55.82%	-1.65	60.2
2026-12-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1567.95	1458.54	61.58%	37.97%	+3.13	50.6
2027-01-03	Washington Commanders	1567.95	1455.01	68.72%	30.87%	+5.30	47.7
2027-01-10	@ Indianapolis Colts	1567.95	1481.53	58.41%	41.12%	+2.26	53.0
2026-09-14	Denver Broncos	1485.07	1571.50	41.12%	58.42%	-2.26	53.6
2026-09-20	Indianapolis Colts	1485.07	1481.53	53.96%	45.57%	+1.15	47.6
2026-09-27	@ Miami Dolphins	1485.07	1453.73	50.58%	48.95%	+0.17	45.8
2026-10-04	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1485.07	1375.13	61.66%	37.89%	+3.15	39.0
2026-10-18	Los Angeles Chargers	1485.07	1513.56	49.36%	50.17%	-0.06	50.2
2026-10-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	1485.07	1674.27	22.38%	77.28%	-8.19	51.9
2026-11-01	@ Denver Broncos	1485.07	1571.50	34.21%	65.36%	-4.30	51.5
2026-11-08	New York Jets	1485.07	1388.40	66.68%	32.90%	+4.69	38.0
2026-11-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	1485.07	1478.04	47.08%	52.44%	-0.75	47.4
2026-11-22	Arizona Cardinals	1485.07	1423.90	62.01%	37.54%	+3.34	41.9
2026-11-26	@ Buffalo Bills	1485.07	1572.94	34.02%	65.55%	-4.35	51.6
2026-12-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	1485.07	1488.61	45.57%	53.96%	-1.15	48.1
2026-12-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1485.07	1478.99	46.95%	52.58%	-0.79	47.5
2026-12-21	New England Patriots	1485.07	1557.30	43.11%	56.42%	-1.72	52.9
2026-12-27	San Francisco 49ers	1485.07	1644.01	31.53%	68.05%	-5.01	55.2
2027-01-03	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1485.07	1513.56	42.04%	57.50%	-2.10	49.5
2027-01-10	Las Vegas Raiders	1485.07	1375.13	68.35%	31.24%	+5.19	36.5
2026-09-13	Miami Dolphins	1375.13	1453.73	42.22%	57.32%	-1.96	38.3
2026-09-20	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1375.13	1513.56	27.84%	71.77%	-6.27	36.5
2026-09-27	@ New Orleans Saints	1375.13	1458.82	34.56%	65.00%	-4.19	36.4
2026-10-04	Kansas City Chiefs	1375.13	1485.07	37.89%	61.66%	-3.15	39.0
2026-10-11	@ New England Patriots	1375.13	1557.30	23.08%	76.57%	-7.93	36.7
2026-10-18	Buffalo Bills	1375.13	1572.94	26.92%	72.69%	-6.48	40.1
2026-10-25	Los Angeles Rams	1375.13	1488.61	37.42%	62.13%	-3.28	39.0
2026-11-01	@ New York Jets	1375.13	1388.40	44.19%	55.35%	-1.52	35.7
2026-11-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	1375.13	1644.01	15.43%	84.30%	-11.22	37.4
2026-11-15	Seattle Seahawks	1375.13	1674.27	17.08%	82.63%	-10.33	40.9
2026-11-22	@ Denver Broncos	1375.13	1571.50	21.67%	77.99%	-8.47	36.7
2026-11-29	@ Cleveland Browns	1375.13	1441.61	36.83%	62.72%	-3.54	36.3
2026-12-13	Los Angeles Chargers	1375.13	1513.56	34.13%	65.44%	-4.23	39.4
2026-12-20	Denver Broncos	1375.13	1571.50	27.09%	72.53%	-6.43	40.1
2026-12-27	Tennessee Titans	1375.13	1401.75	49.63%	49.90%	+0.01	36.6
2027-01-03	@ Arizona Cardinals	1375.13	1423.90	39.23%	60.32%	-2.87	36.2
2027-01-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1375.13	1485.07	31.24%	68.35%	-5.19	36.5
2026-09-13	Arizona Cardinals	1513.56	1423.90	65.78%	33.79%	+4.42	42.6
2026-09-20	Las Vegas Raiders	1513.56	1375.13	71.77%	27.84%	+6.27	36.5
2026-09-27	@ Buffalo Bills	1513.56	1572.94	37.79%	61.77%	-3.27	54.8
2026-10-04	@ Seattle Seahawks	1513.56	1674.27	25.34%	74.29%	-7.11	55.2
2026-10-11	Denver Broncos	1513.56	1571.50	45.14%	54.39%	-1.18	56.2
2026-10-18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1513.56	1485.07	50.17%	49.36%	+0.06	50.2
2026-11-01	@ Los Angeles Rams	1513.56	1488.61	49.66%	49.87%	-0.07	50.4
2026-11-08	Houston Texans	1513.56	1584.59	43.28%	56.25%	-1.67	56.8
2026-11-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	1513.56	1526.13	44.29%	55.25%	-1.50	52.9
2026-11-22	New York Jets	1513.56	1388.40	70.21%	29.39%	+5.77	38.2
2026-11-29	New England Patriots	1513.56	1557.30	47.17%	52.36%	-0.64	55.4
2026-12-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1513.56	1476.23	51.44%	48.09%	+0.40	49.5
2026-12-13	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1513.56	1375.13	65.44%	34.13%	+4.23	39.4
2026-12-17	San Francisco 49ers	1513.56	1644.01	35.16%	64.40%	-3.93	58.3
2026-12-27	@ Miami Dolphins	1513.56	1453.73	54.66%	44.87%	+1.25	47.6
2027-01-03	Kansas City Chiefs	1513.56	1485.07	57.50%	42.04%	+2.10	49.5
2027-01-10	@ Denver Broncos	1513.56	1571.50	37.98%	61.57%	-3.22	54.8
2026-09-21	New York Giants	1488.61	1460.80	57.40%	42.13%	+2.07	45.8
2026-09-27	@ Denver Broncos	1488.61	1571.50	34.67%	64.90%	-4.16	52.0
2026-10-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1488.61	1530.88	40.12%	59.42%	-2.62	50.6
2026-10-12	Buffalo Bills	1488.61	1572.94	41.42%	58.12%	-2.18	54.0
2026-10-18	Arizona Cardinals	1488.61	1423.90	62.49%	37.07%	+3.47	42.0
2026-10-25	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1488.61	1375.13	62.13%	37.42%	+3.28	39.0
2026-11-01	Los Angeles Chargers	1488.61	1513.56	49.87%	49.66%	+0.07	50.4
2026-11-08	@ Washington Commanders	1488.61	1455.01	50.90%	48.62%	+0.25	46.1
2026-11-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	1488.61	1423.90	55.36%	44.18%	+1.43	43.6
2026-11-25	Green Bay Packers	1488.61	1518.02	49.23%	50.30%	-0.10	50.8
2026-12-03	Kansas City Chiefs	1488.61	1485.07	53.96%	45.57%	+1.15	48.1
2026-12-13	@ San Francisco 49ers	1488.61	1644.01	25.92%	73.70%	-6.91	52.6
2026-12-20	Dallas Cowboys	1488.61	1458.54	57.72%	41.82%	+2.16	45.6
2026-12-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	1488.61	1674.27	22.73%	76.92%	-8.06	52.3
2027-01-03	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1488.61	1476.23	47.85%	51.68%	-0.55	47.6
2027-01-10	Seattle Seahawks	1488.61	1674.27	28.32%	71.29%	-6.02	55.6
2026-09-13	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1453.73	1375.13	57.32%	42.22%	+1.96	38.3
2026-09-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	1453.73	1644.01	22.27%	77.39%	-8.24	48.1
2026-09-27	Kansas City Chiefs	1453.73	1485.07	48.95%	50.58%	-0.17	45.8
2026-10-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	1453.73	1528.75	35.70%	63.86%	-3.86	46.6
2026-10-11	Cincinnati Bengals	1453.73	1478.99	49.83%	49.70%	+0.06	45.3
2026-10-25	@ New York Jets	1453.73	1388.40	55.44%	44.09%	+1.46	39.3
2026-11-01	New England Patriots	1453.73	1557.30	38.76%	60.78%	-2.91	49.6
2026-11-08	Detroit Lions	1453.73	1532.25	42.23%	57.31%	-1.96	48.5
2026-11-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	1453.73	1481.53	42.14%	57.40%	-2.07	44.8
2026-11-22	@ Buffalo Bills	1453.73	1572.94	30.11%	69.49%	-5.54	47.6
2026-11-29	New York Jets	1453.73	1388.40	62.57%	36.98%	+3.50	37.7
2026-12-06	@ Denver Broncos	1453.73	1571.50	30.28%	69.31%	-5.49	47.6
2026-12-13	Chicago Bears	1453.73	1524.61	43.30%	56.23%	-1.67	48.2
2026-12-20	@ Green Bay Packers	1453.73	1518.02	37.12%	62.43%	-3.46	46.2
2026-12-27	Los Angeles Chargers	1453.73	1513.56	44.87%	54.66%	-1.25	47.6
2027-01-03	Buffalo Bills	1453.73	1572.94	36.65%	62.90%	-3.50	50.2
2027-01-10	@ New England Patriots	1453.73	1557.30	32.03%	67.55%	-4.95	47.3
2026-09-13	Green Bay Packers	1528.75	1518.02	54.99%	44.54%	+1.43	53.4
2026-09-20	@ Chicago Bears	1528.75	1524.61	46.67%	52.86%	-0.86	54.1
2026-09-27	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1528.75	1476.23	53.62%	45.91%	+0.97	50.5
2026-10-04	Miami Dolphins	1528.75	1453.73	63.86%	35.70%	+3.86	46.6
2026-10-11	@ New Orleans Saints	1528.75	1458.82	56.10%	43.44%	+1.63	48.9
2026-10-25	Indianapolis Colts	1528.75	1481.53	60.10%	39.44%	+2.81	49.8
2026-11-01	@ Detroit Lions	1528.75	1532.25	45.58%	53.95%	-1.15	54.6
2026-11-09	Buffalo Bills	1528.75	1572.94	47.11%	52.42%	-0.66	57.5
2026-11-15	@ Green Bay Packers	1528.75	1518.02	47.61%	51.91%	-0.61	53.7
2026-11-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	1528.75	1644.01	30.58%	69.00%	-5.39	57.2
2026-11-29	Atlanta Falcons	1528.75	1478.04	60.58%	38.96%	+2.94	49.4
2026-12-06	Carolina Panthers	1528.75	1444.21	65.12%	34.45%	+4.23	45.4
2026-12-10	@ New England Patriots	1528.75	1557.30	42.03%	57.50%	-2.10	55.8
2026-12-20	Detroit Lions	1528.75	1532.25	52.95%	46.57%	+0.89	54.7
2026-12-27	Washington Commanders	1528.75	1455.01	63.69%	35.86%	+3.82	46.7
2027-01-03	@ New York Jets	1528.75	1388.40	65.69%	33.88%	+4.30	41.2
2027-01-10	Chicago Bears	1528.75	1524.61	54.05%	45.48%	+1.18	54.0
2026-09-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	1557.30	1502.87	61.09%	38.46%	+3.08	53.2
2026-09-27	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1557.30	1567.95	44.56%	54.97%	-1.42	58.7
2026-10-04	@ Buffalo Bills	1557.30	1572.94	43.85%	55.68%	-1.61	58.9
2026-10-11	Las Vegas Raiders	1557.30	1375.13	76.57%	23.08%	+7.93	36.7
2026-10-18	New York Jets	1557.30	1388.40	75.17%	24.46%	+7.42	38.5
2026-10-22	@ Chicago Bears	1557.30	1524.61	50.77%	48.76%	+0.22	56.2
2026-11-01	@ Miami Dolphins	1557.30	1453.73	60.78%	38.76%	+2.91	49.6
2026-11-08	Green Bay Packers	1557.30	1518.02	59.00%	40.54%	+2.51	54.8
2026-11-15	@ Detroit Lions	1557.30	1532.25	49.67%	49.85%	-0.07	56.8
2026-11-29	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1557.30	1513.56	52.36%	47.17%	+0.64	55.4
2026-12-06	Buffalo Bills	1557.30	1572.94	51.21%	48.32%	+0.43	59.3
2026-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	1557.30	1528.75	57.50%	42.03%	+2.10	55.8
2026-12-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1557.30	1485.07	56.42%	43.11%	+1.72	52.9
2026-12-27	@ New York Jets	1557.30	1388.40	69.28%	30.31%	+5.39	41.7
2027-01-03	Denver Broncos	1557.30	1571.50	51.42%	48.11%	+0.48	59.2
2027-01-10	Miami Dolphins	1557.30	1453.73	67.55%	32.03%	+4.95	47.3
2026-09-13	@ Detroit Lions	1458.82	1532.25	35.91%	63.65%	-3.80	47.3
2026-09-20	@ Baltimore Ravens	1458.82	1526.13	36.72%	62.83%	-3.57	47.1
2026-09-27	Las Vegas Raiders	1458.82	1375.13	65.00%	34.56%	+4.19	36.4
2026-10-05	Atlanta Falcons	1458.82	1478.04	50.69%	48.83%	+0.29	45.6
2026-10-11	Minnesota Vikings	1458.82	1528.75	43.44%	56.10%	-1.63	48.9
2026-10-18	@ New York Giants	1458.82	1460.80	45.79%	53.74%	-1.09	44.2
2026-10-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	1458.82	1502.87	47.12%	52.40%	-0.65	47.3
2026-11-08	Cleveland Browns	1458.82	1441.61	55.90%	43.63%	+1.67	42.7
2026-11-15	Carolina Panthers	1458.82	1444.21	55.54%	43.99%	+1.57	42.9
2026-11-22	@ Chicago Bears	1458.82	1524.61	36.92%	62.63%	-3.51	47.0
2026-11-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1458.82	1478.99	43.21%	56.32%	-1.78	45.2
2026-12-06	Green Bay Packers	1458.82	1518.02	44.96%	54.57%	-1.23	48.3
2026-12-13	@ Carolina Panthers	1458.82	1444.21	48.17%	51.36%	-0.47	43.3
2026-12-20	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1458.82	1476.23	43.60%	55.93%	-1.68	45.0
2026-12-27	Arizona Cardinals	1458.82	1423.90	58.40%	41.14%	+2.34	41.1
2027-01-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	1458.82	1478.04	43.34%	56.19%	-1.75	45.1
2027-01-10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1458.82	1476.23	50.95%	48.57%	+0.36	45.5
2026-09-13	Dallas Cowboys	1460.80	1458.54	53.78%	45.75%	+1.11	44.2
2026-09-21	@ Los Angeles Rams	1460.80	1488.61	42.13%	57.40%	-2.07	45.8
2026-09-27	Tennessee Titans	1460.80	1401.75	61.72%	37.83%	+3.26	39.1
2026-10-04	Arizona Cardinals	1460.80	1423.90	58.67%	40.87%	+2.42	41.2
2026-10-11	@ Washington Commanders	1460.80	1455.01	46.90%	52.62%	-0.80	44.1
2026-10-18	New Orleans Saints	1460.80	1458.82	53.74%	45.79%	+1.09	44.2
2026-10-25	@ Houston Texans	1460.80	1584.59	29.55%	70.04%	-5.71	48.7
2026-11-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1460.80	1530.88	36.35%	63.21%	-3.68	47.5
2026-11-12	Washington Commanders	1460.80	1455.01	54.28%	45.25%	+1.24	43.9
2026-11-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	1460.80	1567.95	38.27%	61.27%	-3.04	50.8
2026-11-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	1460.80	1481.53	43.13%	56.40%	-1.81	45.5
2026-12-06	San Francisco 49ers	1460.80	1644.01	28.60%	71.00%	-5.93	52.3
2026-12-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	1460.80	1674.27	20.05%	79.63%	-9.11	48.9
2026-12-20	Cleveland Browns	1460.80	1441.61	56.19%	43.35%	+1.75	42.8
2026-12-28	@ Detroit Lions	1460.80	1532.25	36.17%	63.39%	-3.73	47.5
2027-01-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	1460.80	1458.54	46.40%	53.13%	-0.93	44.3
2027-01-10	Philadelphia Eagles	1460.80	1530.88	43.42%	56.12%	-1.64	49.2
2026-09-13	@ Tennessee Titans	1388.40	1401.75	44.17%	55.36%	-1.53	36.8
2026-09-20	Green Bay Packers	1388.40	1518.02	35.27%	64.29%	-3.90	41.0
2026-09-27	@ Detroit Lions	1388.40	1532.25	27.22%	72.40%	-6.47	38.3
2026-10-04	@ Chicago Bears	1388.40	1524.61	28.09%	71.51%	-6.18	38.3
2026-10-11	Cleveland Browns	1388.40	1441.61	45.81%	53.72%	-1.00	38.8
2026-10-18	@ New England Patriots	1388.40	1557.30	24.46%	75.17%	-7.42	38.5
2026-10-25	Miami Dolphins	1388.40	1453.73	44.09%	55.44%	-1.46	39.3
2026-11-01	Las Vegas Raiders	1388.40	1375.13	55.35%	44.19%	+1.52	35.7
2026-11-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1388.40	1485.07	32.90%	66.68%	-4.69	38.0
2026-11-15	Buffalo Bills	1388.40	1572.94	28.45%	71.16%	-5.98	41.9
2026-11-22	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1388.40	1513.56	29.39%	70.21%	-5.77	38.2
2026-11-29	@ Miami Dolphins	1388.40	1453.73	36.98%	62.57%	-3.50	37.7
2026-12-13	Denver Broncos	1388.40	1571.50	28.62%	70.99%	-5.92	41.9
2026-12-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	1388.40	1423.90	41.06%	58.48%	-2.37	37.2
2026-12-27	New England Patriots	1388.40	1557.30	30.31%	69.28%	-5.39	41.7
2027-01-03	Minnesota Vikings	1388.40	1528.75	33.88%	65.69%	-4.30	41.2
2027-01-10	@ Buffalo Bills	1388.40	1572.94	22.84%	76.81%	-8.02	38.6
2026-09-13	Washington Commanders	1530.88	1455.01	63.98%	35.58%	+3.90	46.8
2026-09-20	@ Tennessee Titans	1530.88	1401.75	64.22%	35.34%	+3.88	42.8
2026-09-28	@ Chicago Bears	1530.88	1524.61	46.97%	52.55%	-0.78	54.3
2026-10-04	Los Angeles Rams	1530.88	1488.61	59.42%	40.12%	+2.62	50.6
2026-10-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1530.88	1567.95	40.84%	58.70%	-2.43	56.4
2026-10-18	Carolina Panthers	1530.88	1444.21	65.39%	34.18%	+4.31	45.5
2026-10-26	Dallas Cowboys	1530.88	1458.54	63.51%	36.05%	+3.76	47.2
2026-11-01	@ Washington Commanders	1530.88	1455.01	56.93%	42.60%	+1.86	48.6
2026-11-08	New York Giants	1530.88	1460.80	63.21%	36.35%	+3.68	47.5
2026-11-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	1530.88	1502.87	57.43%	42.11%	+2.08	52.1
2026-11-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	1530.88	1458.54	56.44%	43.10%	+1.72	49.0
2026-12-06	@ Arizona Cardinals	1530.88	1423.90	61.25%	38.30%	+3.04	45.3
2026-12-13	Indianapolis Colts	1530.88	1481.53	60.40%	39.15%	+2.89	49.8
2026-12-19	Seattle Seahawks	1530.88	1674.27	33.49%	66.08%	-4.42	60.0
2026-12-24	Houston Texans	1530.88	1584.59	45.74%	53.79%	-1.02	58.2
2027-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	1530.88	1644.01	30.84%	68.74%	-5.31	57.4
2027-01-10	@ New York Giants	1530.88	1460.80	56.12%	43.42%	+1.64	49.2
2026-09-13	Atlanta Falcons	1502.87	1478.04	56.98%	42.55%	+1.96	48.2
2026-09-20	@ New England Patriots	1502.87	1557.30	38.46%	61.09%	-3.08	53.2
2026-09-27	Cincinnati Bengals	1502.87	1478.99	56.85%	42.69%	+1.92	48.3
2026-10-01	@ Cleveland Browns	1502.87	1441.61	54.86%	44.67%	+1.30	45.9
2026-10-11	Indianapolis Colts	1502.87	1481.53	56.49%	43.04%	+1.83	48.6
2026-10-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1502.87	1476.23	49.90%	49.63%	-0.01	48.7
2026-10-25	@ New Orleans Saints	1502.87	1458.82	52.40%	47.12%	+0.65	47.3
2026-11-01	Cleveland Browns	1502.87	1441.61	62.02%	37.53%	+3.34	44.4
2026-11-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1502.87	1478.99	49.50%	50.02%	-0.11	48.9
2026-11-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1502.87	1530.88	42.11%	57.43%	-2.08	52.1
2026-11-27	Denver Broncos	1502.87	1571.50	43.62%	55.91%	-1.58	55.3
2026-12-06	Houston Texans	1502.87	1584.59	41.78%	57.76%	-2.08	55.8
2026-12-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1502.87	1567.95	37.02%	62.54%	-3.49	53.5
2026-12-20	Baltimore Ravens	1502.87	1526.13	50.11%	49.41%	+0.14	52.4
2026-12-27	Carolina Panthers	1502.87	1444.21	61.67%	37.88%	+3.24	44.7
2027-01-03	@ Tennessee Titans	1502.87	1401.75	60.45%	39.10%	+2.82	42.0
2027-01-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	1502.87	1526.13	42.77%	56.76%	-1.90	51.9
2026-09-20	Miami Dolphins	1644.01	1453.73	77.39%	22.27%	+8.24	48.1
2026-09-27	Arizona Cardinals	1644.01	1423.90	80.24%	19.45%	+9.37	44.1
2026-10-04	Denver Broncos	1644.01	1571.50	63.53%	36.03%	+3.77	61.4
2026-10-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	1644.01	1674.27	41.79%	57.75%	-2.17	66.1
2026-10-19	Washington Commanders	1644.01	1455.01	77.26%	22.40%	+8.19	48.3
2026-10-25	@ Atlanta Falcons	1644.01	1478.04	68.92%	30.67%	+5.27	54.4
2026-11-08	Las Vegas Raiders	1644.01	1375.13	84.30%	15.43%	+11.22	37.4
2026-11-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	1644.01	1458.54	71.27%	28.34%	+6.01	52.0
2026-11-22	Minnesota Vikings	1644.01	1528.75	69.00%	30.58%	+5.39	57.2
2026-11-29	Seattle Seahawks	1644.01	1674.27	49.11%	50.42%	-0.13	66.9
2026-12-06	@ New York Giants	1644.01	1460.80	71.00%	28.60%	+5.93	52.3
2026-12-13	Los Angeles Rams	1644.01	1488.61	73.70%	25.92%	+6.91	52.6
2026-12-17	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1644.01	1513.56	64.40%	35.16%	+3.93	58.3
2026-12-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1644.01	1485.07	68.05%	31.53%	+5.01	55.2
2027-01-03	Philadelphia Eagles	1644.01	1530.88	68.74%	30.84%	+5.31	57.4
2027-01-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	1644.01	1423.90	75.16%	24.48%	+7.33	47.5
2026-09-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	1674.27	1423.90	78.25%	21.41%	+8.48	47.5
2026-09-27	@ Washington Commanders	1674.27	1455.01	75.06%	24.57%	+7.30	51.6
2026-10-04	Los Angeles Chargers	1674.27	1513.56	74.29%	25.34%	+7.11	55.2
2026-10-11	San Francisco 49ers	1674.27	1644.01	57.75%	41.79%	+2.17	66.1
2026-10-15	@ Denver Broncos	1674.27	1571.50	60.68%	38.87%	+2.88	63.4
2026-10-25	Kansas City Chiefs	1674.27	1485.07	77.28%	22.38%	+8.19	51.9
2026-11-02	Chicago Bears	1674.27	1524.61	73.06%	26.56%	+6.69	56.4
2026-11-08	Arizona Cardinals	1674.27	1423.90	82.85%	16.87%	+10.51	44.2
2026-11-15	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1674.27	1375.13	82.63%	17.08%	+10.33	40.9
2026-11-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	1674.27	1644.01	50.42%	49.11%	+0.13	66.9
2026-12-07	Dallas Cowboys	1674.27	1458.54	79.84%	19.84%	+9.20	48.6
2026-12-13	New York Giants	1674.27	1460.80	79.63%	20.05%	+9.11	48.9
2026-12-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1674.27	1530.88	66.08%	33.49%	+4.42	60.0
2026-12-25	Los Angeles Rams	1674.27	1488.61	76.92%	22.73%	+8.06	52.3
2027-01-03	@ Carolina Panthers	1674.27	1444.21	76.20%	23.44%	+7.71	50.2
2027-01-10	@ Los Angeles Rams	1674.27	1488.61	71.29%	28.32%	+6.02	55.6
2026-09-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1476.23	1478.99	45.68%	53.85%	-1.12	46.8
2026-09-20	Cleveland Browns	1476.23	1441.61	58.36%	41.18%	+2.33	43.4
2026-09-27	Minnesota Vikings	1476.23	1528.75	45.91%	53.62%	-0.97	50.5
2026-10-04	Green Bay Packers	1476.23	1518.02	47.45%	52.08%	-0.57	49.8
2026-10-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	1476.23	1458.54	48.61%	50.91%	-0.35	45.5
2026-10-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	1476.23	1502.87	49.63%	49.90%	+0.01	48.7
2026-10-25	@ Carolina Panthers	1476.23	1444.21	50.68%	48.85%	+0.20	44.5
2026-11-01	Atlanta Falcons	1476.23	1478.04	53.20%	46.33%	+0.95	46.7
2026-11-08	@ Chicago Bears	1476.23	1524.61	39.28%	60.26%	-2.85	49.0
2026-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	1476.23	1532.25	38.24%	61.31%	-3.14	49.3
2026-11-30	Carolina Panthers	1476.23	1444.21	57.99%	41.54%	+2.23	43.7
2026-12-06	Los Angeles Chargers	1476.23	1513.56	48.09%	51.44%	-0.40	49.5
2026-12-13	@ Baltimore Ravens	1476.23	1526.13	39.07%	60.47%	-2.91	49.1
2026-12-20	New Orleans Saints	1476.23	1458.82	55.93%	43.60%	+1.68	45.0
2026-12-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	1476.23	1478.04	45.82%	53.71%	-1.09	46.7
2027-01-03	Los Angeles Rams	1476.23	1488.61	51.68%	47.85%	+0.55	47.6
2027-01-10	@ New Orleans Saints	1476.23	1458.82	48.57%	50.95%	-0.36	45.5
2026-09-13	New York Jets	1401.75	1388.40	55.36%	44.17%	+1.53	36.8
2026-09-20	Philadelphia Eagles	1401.75	1530.88	35.34%	64.22%	-3.88	42.8
2026-09-27	@ New York Giants	1401.75	1460.80	37.83%	61.72%	-3.26	39.1
2026-10-04	@ Baltimore Ravens	1401.75	1526.13	29.49%	70.11%	-5.74	40.0
2026-10-11	Houston Texans	1401.75	1584.59	28.65%	70.96%	-5.91	43.8
2026-10-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	1401.75	1481.53	35.07%	64.49%	-4.04	39.4
2026-10-25	Cleveland Browns	1401.75	1441.61	47.73%	51.80%	-0.49	39.7
2026-11-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1401.75	1478.99	35.40%	64.16%	-3.95	39.4
2026-11-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	1401.75	1567.95	30.64%	68.95%	-5.28	43.6
2026-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	1401.75	1458.54	38.13%	61.41%	-3.17	39.0
2026-11-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1401.75	1567.95	24.75%	74.88%	-7.32	40.4
2026-12-06	Washington Commanders	1401.75	1455.01	45.81%	53.72%	-1.00	40.3
2026-12-13	@ Detroit Lions	1401.75	1532.25	28.76%	70.84%	-5.97	40.1
2026-12-20	Indianapolis Colts	1401.75	1481.53	42.05%	57.48%	-2.01	41.3
2026-12-27	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1401.75	1375.13	49.90%	49.63%	-0.01	36.6
2027-01-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	1401.75	1502.87	39.10%	60.45%	-2.82	42.0
2027-01-10	@ Houston Texans	1401.75	1584.59	23.02%	76.63%	-7.95	40.6
2026-09-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1455.01	1530.88	35.58%	63.98%	-3.90	46.8
2026-09-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	1455.01	1458.54	45.57%	53.96%	-1.15	43.8
2026-09-27	Seattle Seahawks	1455.01	1674.27	24.57%	75.06%	-7.30	51.6
2026-10-04	Indianapolis Colts	1455.01	1481.53	49.64%	49.88%	+0.01	45.6
2026-10-11	New York Giants	1455.01	1460.80	52.62%	46.90%	+0.80	44.1
2026-10-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	1455.01	1644.01	22.40%	77.26%	-8.19	48.3
2026-11-01	Philadelphia Eagles	1455.01	1530.88	42.60%	56.93%	-1.86	48.6
2026-11-08	Los Angeles Rams	1455.01	1488.61	48.62%	50.90%	-0.25	46.1
2026-11-12	@ New York Giants	1455.01	1460.80	45.25%	54.28%	-1.24	43.9
2026-11-23	Cincinnati Bengals	1455.01	1478.99	50.01%	49.52%	+0.11	45.4
2026-11-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	1455.01	1423.90	50.54%	48.98%	+0.16	41.8
2026-12-06	@ Tennessee Titans	1455.01	1401.75	53.72%	45.81%	+1.00	40.3
2026-12-13	Houston Texans	1455.01	1584.59	35.28%	64.28%	-3.89	50.7
2026-12-20	Atlanta Falcons	1455.01	1478.04	50.15%	49.38%	+0.15	45.4
2026-12-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	1455.01	1528.75	35.86%	63.69%	-3.82	46.7
2027-01-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1455.01	1567.95	30.87%	68.72%	-5.30	47.7
2027-01-10	Dallas Cowboys	1455.01	1458.54	52.95%	46.58%	+0.89	43.9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-09-10	42.17%	San Francisco 49ers	1539.67	27	@ Los Angeles Rams	1592.95	7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2026-09-10	104.34	San Francisco 49ers	27	1539.67	42.17%	@ Los Angeles Rams	7	1592.95	57.37%
2	2026-09-09	26.15	@ Seattle Seahawks	13	1648.12	62.48%	New England Patriots	10	1583.45	37.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season's games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2026-09-10	63.9	San Francisco 49ers	27	1539.67	42.17%	@ Los Angeles Rams	7	1592.95	57.37%
2	2026-09-09	56.5	@ Seattle Seahawks	13	1648.12	62.48%	New England Patriots	10	1583.45	37.07%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2026-09-09	56.5	@ Seattle Seahawks	13	1648.12	62.48%	New England Patriots	10	1583.45	37.07%
2	2026-09-10	63.9	San Francisco 49ers	27	1539.67	42.17%	@ Los Angeles Rams	7	1592.95	57.37%