2025 NFL Season

272 regular-season games · 14 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Seattle Seahawks

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 2013

Runner-Up

New England Patriots

12th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2018

Biggest Overachiever

Jacksonville Jaguars

3.88 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.12 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Arizona Cardinals

3.91 wins below expected

3 wins · 6.91 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	14	3	.824	-	490	320	+170	10.24	+3.76
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	12	5	.706	2	481	365	+116	11.81	+0.19
3	Miami Dolphins	7	10	.412	7	347	424	-77	7.79	-0.79
4	New York Jets	3	14	.176	11	300	503	-203	5.49	-2.49

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	10	7	.588	-	397	387	+10	8.79	+1.21
2	Baltimore Ravens	8	9	.471	2	424	398	+26	9.75	-1.75
3	Cincinnati Bengals	6	11	.353	4	414	492	-78	7.38	-1.38
4	Cleveland Browns	5	12	.294	5	279	379	-100	5.43	-0.43

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Jacksonville Jaguars Division	13	4	.765	-	474	336	+138	9.12	+3.88
2	Houston Texans Playoffs	12	5	.706	1	404	295	+109	10.03	+1.97
3	Indianapolis Colts	8	9	.471	5	466	412	+54	8.80	-0.80
4	Tennessee Titans	3	14	.176	10	284	478	-194	3.89	-0.89

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	14	3	.824	-	401	311	+90	10.95	+3.05
2	Los Angeles Chargers Playoffs	11	6	.647	3	368	340	+28	9.64	+1.36
3	Kansas City Chiefs	6	11	.353	8	362	328	+34	9.86	-3.86
4	Las Vegas Raiders	3	14	.176	11	241	432	-191	5.29	-2.29

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	11	6	0	.647	-	379	325	+54	11.69	-0.69
2	Dallas Cowboys	7	9	1	.441	3.5	471	511	-40	7.66	-0.16
3	Washington Commanders	5	12	0	.294	6	356	451	-95	7.74	-2.74
4	New York Giants	4	13	0	.235	7	381	439	-58	5.16	-1.16

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	11	6	0	.647	-	441	415	+26	8.05	+2.95
2	Green Bay Packers Playoffs	9	7	1	.559	1.5	391	360	+31	10.84	-1.34
3	Minnesota Vikings	9	8	0	.529	2	344	333	+11	8.37	+0.63
4	Detroit Lions	9	8	0	.529	2	481	413	+68	10.30	-1.30

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Carolina Panthers Division	8	9	.471	-	311	380	-69	6.80	+1.20
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8	9	.471	-	380	411	-31	9.62	-1.62
3	Atlanta Falcons	8	9	.471	-	353	401	-48	6.95	+1.05
4	New Orleans Saints	6	11	.353	2	306	383	-77	6.25	-0.25

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	14	3	.824	-	483	292	+191	11.14	+2.86
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	12	5	.706	2	437	371	+66	8.92	+3.08
3	Los Angeles Rams Playoffs	12	5	.706	2	518	346	+172	11.32	+0.68
4	Arizona Cardinals	3	14	.176	11	355	488	-133	6.91	-3.91

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Buffalo Bills 27

Jacksonville Jaguars 24

Jan 11

New England Patriots 16

Los Angeles Chargers 3

Jan 11

Houston Texans 30

Pittsburgh Steelers 6

Jan 12

Divisional Round

Denver Broncos 33

Buffalo Bills 30

Jan 17

New England Patriots 28

Houston Texans 16

Jan 18

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 10

Denver Broncos 7

Jan 25

NFC

Wild Card Round

Los Angeles Rams 34

Carolina Panthers 31

Jan 10

Chicago Bears 31

Green Bay Packers 27

Jan 10

San Francisco 49ers 23

Philadelphia Eagles 19

Jan 11

Divisional Round

Seattle Seahawks 41

San Francisco 49ers 6

Jan 17

Los Angeles Rams 20

Chicago Bears 17

Jan 18

Conference Championship

Seattle Seahawks 31

Los Angeles Rams 27

Jan 25

Super Bowl

Seattle Seahawks 29

New England Patriots 13

Feb 8

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1763	14	11.14	+2.86	97.05%	3	8	10	11	12	14	17
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1701	14	10.95	+3.05	97.86%	3	8	10	11	12	14	17
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1699	12	10.03	+1.97	90.78%	1	7	9	10	11	13	17
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1695	12	11.32	+0.68	74.18%	3	8	10	11	13	14	17
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1682	13	9.12	+3.88	99.13%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1667	12	11.81	+0.19	64.42%	4	9	11	12	13	15	17
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1653	14	10.24	+3.76	99.26%	2	7	9	10	11	13	17
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1617	12	8.92	+3.08	96.85%	1	6	8	9	10	12	17
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1595	11	11.69	-0.69	45.50%	4	9	10	12	13	15	17
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1568	9	10.30	-1.30	34.13%	2	7	9	10	12	13	17
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1567	9	8.37	+0.63	72.19%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1560	9.5	10.84	-1.34	24.61%	0	8	10	11	12	14	17
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1559	11	9.64	+1.36	83.17%	1	6	8	10	11	13	17
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1558	11	8.05	+2.95	96.37%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1555	8	9.75	-1.75	26.29%	2	6	8	10	11	13	17
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1538	10	8.79	+1.21	80.86%	1	5	7	9	10	12	17
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1452	6	9.86	-3.86	4.33%	2	7	9	10	11	13	17
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1452	8	6.95	+1.05	79.92%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1449	6	7.38	-1.38	33.03%	0	4	6	7	9	10	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1449	8	8.80	-0.80	44.38%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1446	8	9.62	-1.62	28.69%	1	6	8	10	11	13	17
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1405	6	6.25	-0.25	56.70%	0	3	5	6	7	9	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1403	7.5	7.66	-0.16	48.04%	0	4	6	8	9	11	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1399	7	7.79	-0.79	45.02%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1391	8	6.80	+1.20	81.65%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Washington Commanders	NFC	NFC East	1390	5	7.74	-2.74	12.23%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1387	4	5.16	-1.16	37.67%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1365	5	5.43	-0.43	53.32%	0	3	4	5	7	8	13
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1299	3	6.91	-3.91	3.20%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1273	3	3.89	-0.89	43.43%	0	1	3	4	5	7	12
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1242	3	5.49	-2.49	14.26%	0	3	4	5	7	9	13
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1220	3	5.29	-2.29	15.99%	0	2	4	5	6	8	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	0-4 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	-
New York Jets	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (0.9 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (0.7 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Las Vegas Raiders	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-
Las Vegas Raiders	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-
Los Angeles Chargers	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Commanders
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)
Washington Commanders	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-3-1 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
New York Giants	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Washington Commanders	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	2-2 (2.8 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-1-1 (2.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.3 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (0.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (3.3 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.55%	0.55%	1.47%	1.65%	0.37%	—	4.60%
7–13	0.55%	1.84%	3.86%	2.76%	2.39%	1.29%	0.92%	13.60%
14–20	0.55%	3.86%	5.88%	7.90%	3.12%	1.84%	0.37%	23.53%
21–27	1.47%	2.76%	7.90%	8.46%	4.96%	1.47%	1.47%	28.49%
28–34	1.65%	2.39%	3.12%	4.96%	4.04%	1.10%	0.37%	17.65%
35–41	0.37%	1.29%	1.84%	1.47%	1.10%	2.21%	0.18%	8.46%
42+	—	0.92%	0.37%	1.47%	0.37%	0.18%	0.37%	3.68%
Total	4.60%	13.60%	23.53%	28.49%	17.65%	8.46%	3.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.01	23.01	+0.00
SD	9.94	9.94	14.31
CV	0.43	0.43	—
Max	52	52	+38
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 272

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	—	17.65%	5.88%	52.94%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	23.53%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	47.06%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	17.65%	35.29%	5.88%	23.53%	11.76%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	28.71	-7.82
SD	3.94	10.24	11.43
CV	0.19	0.36	—
Max	27	45	+10
Min	14	13	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	11.76%	—	—	52.94%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	23.53%	29.41%	29.41%	5.88%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.76	23.59	-2.82
SD	8.69	8.41	13.58
CV	0.42	0.36	—
Max	34	37	+16
Min	0	6	-30

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
14–20	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	41.18%
28–34	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.76%	5.88%	29.41%	17.65%	11.76%	17.65%	5.88%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.94	23.41	+1.53
SD	10.23	12.47	16.66
CV	0.41	0.53	—
Max	41	44	+24
Min	3	0	-34

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	—	17.65%	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
28–34	—	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	11.76%	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	29.41%
42+	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
Total	—	29.41%	11.76%	29.41%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.29	21.47	+6.82
SD	10.18	9.82	12.66
CV	0.36	0.46	—
Max	44	40	+31
Min	12	7	-17

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	5.88%	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	5.88%	5.88%	41.18%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	17.65%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.76%	5.88%	29.41%	35.29%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.29	22.35	-4.06
SD	8.67	10.52	14.42
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	31	42	+30
Min	7	0	-31

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	23.53%	17.65%	5.88%	—	5.88%	52.94%
28–34	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
Total	5.88%	—	41.18%	17.65%	17.65%	—	17.65%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.94	24.41	+1.53
SD	7.86	12.20	12.72
CV	0.30	0.50	—
Max	47	52	+28
Min	16	3	-31

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	11.76%
Total	—	—	23.53%	29.41%	17.65%	17.65%	11.76%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.35	28.94	-4.59
SD	13.50	10.56	16.89
CV	0.55	0.36	—
Max	45	48	+24
Min	0	14	-38

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
7–13	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	35.29%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	23.53%	—	5.88%	—	41.18%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.76%	11.76%	11.76%	35.29%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.41	22.29	-5.88
SD	7.29	10.16	14.23
CV	0.44	0.46	—
Max	31	41	+25
Min	3	6	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	11.76%	17.65%	—	—	29.41%
21–27	—	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	5.88%	23.53%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	—	—	5.88%	35.29%	35.29%	11.76%	11.76%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.71	30.06	-2.35
SD	9.10	8.26	12.83
CV	0.33	0.27	—
Max	44	44	+22
Min	14	16	-20

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
21–27	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	11.76%	23.53%	23.53%	23.53%	17.65%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.59	18.29	+5.29
SD	8.19	9.53	8.96
CV	0.35	0.52	—
Max	44	34	+25
Min	10	3	-14

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
Total	—	11.76%	11.76%	41.18%	29.41%	5.88%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.29	24.29	+4.00
SD	12.63	8.14	14.09
CV	0.45	0.33	—
Max	52	41	+31
Min	9	9	-14

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	47.06%
28–34	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	17.65%	29.41%	29.41%	5.88%	11.76%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.00	21.18	+1.82
SD	9.96	9.69	9.48
CV	0.43	0.46	—
Max	40	41	+17
Min	3	6	-17

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	11.76%	23.53%	5.88%	—	—	—	41.18%
21–27	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	5.88%	17.65%	52.94%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.76	17.35	+6.41
SD	10.21	7.36	11.39
CV	0.43	0.42	—
Max	44	30	+34
Min	9	0	-8

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	11.76%	23.53%	—	5.88%	—	41.18%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	29.41%
35–41	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	23.53%	41.18%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.41	24.24	+3.18
SD	8.80	10.34	15.48
CV	0.32	0.43	—
Max	41	48	+34
Min	16	6	-21

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	23.53%
35–41	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	11.76%	17.65%	29.41%	11.76%	17.65%	11.76%	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.88	19.76	+8.12
SD	9.98	10.08	15.67
CV	0.36	0.51	—
Max	48	36	+34
Min	7	3	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	23.53%	5.88%	—	—	—	29.41%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	—	29.41%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	11.76%	47.06%	17.65%	17.65%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.29	19.29	+2.00
SD	8.22	8.43	12.60
CV	0.39	0.44	—
Max	37	31	+31
Min	9	0	-17

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	17.65%
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
14–20	—	17.65%	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	35.29%
21–27	—	—	—	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
28–34	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	23.53%	5.88%	23.53%	35.29%	11.76%	—	100%

Las Vegas Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.18	25.41	-11.24
SD	8.37	9.84	13.48
CV	0.59	0.39	—
Max	29	41	+10
Min	0	10	-34

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	35.29%
28–34	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
35–41	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	23.53%	41.18%	23.53%	—	11.76%	—	100%

Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.65	20.00	+1.65
SD	9.40	8.16	14.43
CV	0.43	0.41	—
Max	37	38	+27
Min	3	9	-29

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	23.53%
42+	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
Total	5.88%	23.53%	29.41%	17.65%	17.65%	5.88%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.47	20.35	+10.12
SD	8.91	10.57	11.92
CV	0.29	0.52	—
Max	45	38	+28
Min	14	3	-7

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	—	5.88%	41.18%
28–34	—	17.65%	—	—	—	—	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	23.53%	11.76%	11.76%	41.18%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.41	24.94	-4.53
SD	9.12	10.27	16.91
CV	0.45	0.41	—
Max	34	45	+24
Min	6	10	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	17.65%	—	—	—	17.65%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
14–20	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	11.76%	17.65%	11.76%	47.06%	5.88%	5.88%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.24	19.59	+0.65
SD	11.58	9.62	17.51
CV	0.57	0.49	—
Max	48	37	+38
Min	0	0	-27

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
21–27	—	—	23.53%	5.88%	—	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	11.76%	5.88%	17.65%	—	5.88%	—	41.18%
35–41	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	—	11.76%
Total	—	29.41%	35.29%	29.41%	—	5.88%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.82	18.82	+10.00
SD	8.06	6.59	12.25
CV	0.28	0.35	—
Max	42	35	+32
Min	13	10	-7

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	23.53%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	41.18%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	29.41%	41.18%	11.76%	—	5.88%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	22.53	-4.53
SD	7.56	9.20	13.84
CV	0.42	0.41	—
Max	34	44	+23
Min	3	6	-31

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	—	29.41%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	—	17.65%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	23.53%	29.41%	29.41%	11.76%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.41	25.82	-3.41
SD	9.41	8.67	12.37
CV	0.42	0.34	—
Max	37	40	+24
Min	6	10	-18

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	35.29%
14–20	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	11.76%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	11.76%	5.88%	23.53%	29.41%	17.65%	11.76%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.65	29.59	-11.94
SD	10.05	9.41	12.09
CV	0.57	0.32	—
Max	39	48	+7
Min	6	13	-32

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	23.53%	5.88%	—	—	41.18%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
28–34	5.88%	—	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	—	29.41%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	17.65%	23.53%	47.06%	5.88%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.29	19.12	+3.18
SD	8.01	8.17	10.88
CV	0.36	0.43	—
Max	38	34	+31
Min	10	0	-17

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
21–27	—	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	—	5.88%	—	41.18%
28–34	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	35.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	17.65%	35.29%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.35	22.76	+0.59
SD	8.62	8.07	11.05
CV	0.37	0.35	—
Max	34	35	+22
Min	6	9	-19

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	17.65%	—	—	5.88%	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
Total	—	29.41%	5.88%	47.06%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.71	21.82	+3.88
SD	11.53	9.70	11.32
CV	0.45	0.44	—
Max	48	42	+21
Min	3	8	-16

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%	—	23.53%
42+	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
Total	11.76%	23.53%	35.29%	17.65%	—	11.76%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.41	17.18	+11.24
SD	9.93	9.98	11.53
CV	0.35	0.58	—
Max	44	38	+31
Min	13	0	-4

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	23.53%	11.76%	—	—	—	35.29%
21–27	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	—	35.29%	23.53%	23.53%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.35	24.18	-1.82
SD	7.85	9.33	10.29
CV	0.35	0.39	—
Max	38	44	+20
Min	7	3	-27

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	17.65%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	29.41%
14–20	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	—	23.53%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	17.65%	23.53%	29.41%	23.53%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.71	28.12	-11.41
SD	8.67	8.98	12.31
CV	0.52	0.32	—
Max	31	41	+17
Min	0	9	-34

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	17.65%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	—	11.76%	52.94%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	29.41%	29.41%	5.88%	11.76%	100%

Washington Commanders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.94	26.53	-5.59
SD	9.20	10.53	15.09
CV	0.44	0.40	—
Max	41	44	+17
Min	0	6	-31

Games Played: 17

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.50	+0.3
Allowed	0.60	-0.4
Differential	0.84	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Jacksonville Jaguars	13	9.12	+3.88
2	New England Patriots	14	10.24	+3.76
3	San Francisco 49ers	12	8.92	+3.08
4	Denver Broncos	14	10.95	+3.05
5	Chicago Bears	11	8.05	+2.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Arizona Cardinals	3	6.91	-3.91
2	Kansas City Chiefs	6	9.86	-3.86
3	Washington Commanders	5	7.74	-2.74
4	New York Jets	3	5.49	-2.49
5	Las Vegas Raiders	3	5.29	-2.29

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New England Patriots	10	Sep 28 – Dec 1	1 in 265
2	Denver Broncos	11	Sep 29 – Dec 14	1 in 158
3	Atlanta Falcons	4	Dec 11 – Jan 4	1 in 73
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	8	Nov 16 – Jan 4	1 in 66
5	Chicago Bears	5	Nov 2 – Nov 28	1 in 48

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kansas City Chiefs	6	Nov 27 – Jan 4	1 in 788
2	Washington Commanders	8	Oct 13 – Dec 7	1 in 134
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	Dec 7 – Dec 28	1 in 84
4	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Nov 23 – Dec 8	1 in 38
5	New York Jets	7	Sep 7 – Oct 19	1 in 36

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Buffalo Bills	70.45%	24.56%	4.60%	0.39%
New England Patriots	25.44%	55.06%	17.06%	2.43%
Miami Dolphins	3.76%	17.47%	57.62%	21.15%
New York Jets	0.34%	2.90%	20.72%	76.03%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	55.24%	29.41%	12.42%	2.94%
Pittsburgh Steelers	32.21%	38.66%	22.06%	7.07%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.82%	24.85%	43.86%	20.47%
Cleveland Browns	1.73%	7.07%	21.66%	69.53%

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Texans	49.84%	30.70%	18.40%	1.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	28.95%	35.98%	33.11%	1.96%
Indianapolis Colts	21.05%	32.54%	43.06%	3.35%
Tennessee Titans	0.16%	0.78%	5.43%	93.63%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	51.24%	30.23%	17.28%	1.26%
Kansas City Chiefs	26.10%	35.24%	34.79%	3.87%
Los Angeles Chargers	22.41%	32.97%	39.20%	5.42%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.25%	1.56%	8.73%	89.45%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	86.94%	10.60%	2.19%	0.27%
Washington Commanders	6.20%	42.10%	37.51%	14.19%
Dallas Cowboys	6.33%	39.29%	38.52%	15.86%
New York Giants	0.54%	8.00%	21.78%	69.68%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	47.24%	30.23%	15.70%	6.82%
Detroit Lions	36.18%	34.16%	19.72%	9.94%
Minnesota Vikings	9.31%	19.27%	33.74%	37.67%
Chicago Bears	7.26%	16.33%	30.84%	45.57%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	67.74%	20.43%	8.69%	3.15%
Atlanta Falcons	13.29%	30.71%	30.20%	25.81%
Carolina Panthers	12.37%	28.35%	31.25%	28.03%
New Orleans Saints	6.61%	20.52%	29.86%	43.01%

Team	1	2	3	4
Los Angeles Rams	48.39%	35.24%	13.83%	2.54%
Seattle Seahawks	41.28%	37.90%	16.80%	4.01%
San Francisco 49ers	9.06%	21.01%	46.06%	23.86%
Arizona Cardinals	1.26%	5.85%	23.30%	69.59%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Buffalo Bills	33.06%	20.09%	13.50%	9.57%	7.01%	5.40%	4.08%	2.82%	1.82%	1.21%	0.78%	0.40%	0.18%	0.05%	0.01%	<0.01%
Denver Broncos	17.60%	16.57%	13.51%	11.22%	9.38%	7.82%	6.62%	5.26%	4.32%	3.27%	2.20%	1.32%	0.57%	0.23%	0.10%	0.02%
New England Patriots	9.25%	9.90%	10.49%	11.25%	11.43%	11.04%	9.76%	8.02%	6.05%	4.89%	3.45%	2.31%	1.17%	0.62%	0.29%	0.09%
Houston Texans	8.82%	10.71%	11.36%	10.88%	10.08%	9.55%	8.74%	7.85%	6.74%	5.53%	4.54%	2.96%	1.32%	0.61%	0.23%	0.08%
Baltimore Ravens	7.00%	9.16%	10.86%	10.96%	10.18%	9.36%	8.90%	8.48%	7.12%	5.82%	4.67%	3.71%	2.03%	1.10%	0.50%	0.14%
Kansas City Chiefs	8.12%	8.85%	8.89%	9.35%	10.00%	9.67%	8.99%	8.68%	8.31%	6.87%	5.33%	3.62%	1.85%	0.97%	0.42%	0.08%
Los Angeles Chargers	6.20%	7.90%	8.34%	8.74%	9.46%	9.30%	8.91%	8.88%	8.95%	7.91%	6.15%	4.54%	2.50%	1.41%	0.63%	0.18%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.29%	5.46%	7.16%	8.06%	8.32%	9.27%	9.95%	9.73%	9.31%	8.68%	8.42%	6.63%	3.18%	1.49%	0.73%	0.31%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.90%	4.58%	6.12%	7.15%	7.99%	8.43%	9.37%	10.17%	9.56%	8.70%	7.98%	7.34%	4.56%	2.81%	1.73%	0.61%
Indianapolis Colts	2.47%	4.23%	5.56%	6.43%	7.29%	8.45%	9.16%	9.66%	10.29%	10.21%	9.88%	8.19%	4.29%	2.30%	1.09%	0.51%
Miami Dolphins	0.79%	1.37%	2.05%	3.02%	4.09%	5.18%	6.54%	7.79%	10.00%	12.37%	12.80%	12.28%	9.32%	6.30%	4.35%	1.74%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.45%	0.99%	1.79%	2.57%	3.43%	4.39%	5.78%	7.31%	8.88%	10.75%	12.93%	14.22%	11.01%	7.83%	5.28%	2.39%
Cleveland Browns	0.02%	0.06%	0.15%	0.32%	0.54%	0.81%	1.27%	1.98%	3.00%	4.68%	6.86%	10.08%	16.61%	19.09%	19.58%	14.95%
New York Jets	0.02%	0.08%	0.14%	0.27%	0.45%	0.70%	1.09%	1.78%	2.97%	4.88%	7.00%	10.23%	16.47%	19.45%	19.91%	14.56%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.02%	0.04%	0.07%	0.17%	0.30%	0.52%	0.72%	1.28%	2.17%	3.30%	5.22%	8.80%	17.48%	21.93%	21.34%	16.64%
Tennessee Titans	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.09%	0.14%	0.32%	0.50%	0.93%	1.77%	3.36%	7.46%	13.83%	23.79%	47.69%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Philadelphia Eagles	27.01%	21.25%	16.87%	11.37%	7.57%	5.28%	3.76%	2.61%	1.55%	1.09%	0.69%	0.44%	0.27%	0.14%	0.06%	0.03%
Los Angeles Rams	20.56%	17.42%	14.32%	12.22%	10.46%	7.93%	5.38%	3.84%	2.97%	1.97%	1.32%	0.74%	0.47%	0.26%	0.11%	0.03%
Seattle Seahawks	17.39%	15.55%	13.88%	12.52%	10.86%	8.65%	6.32%	4.62%	3.48%	2.57%	1.69%	1.05%	0.73%	0.47%	0.15%	0.05%
Green Bay Packers	14.00%	14.72%	13.90%	12.19%	10.48%	8.86%	6.85%	5.24%	4.25%	3.20%	2.32%	1.67%	1.15%	0.72%	0.35%	0.10%
Detroit Lions	9.53%	11.42%	11.80%	11.30%	11.11%	10.08%	8.19%	6.75%	5.66%	4.43%	3.38%	2.47%	1.88%	1.22%	0.59%	0.22%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4.97%	7.44%	10.32%	12.42%	11.86%	10.51%	9.19%	8.07%	6.46%	5.18%	4.15%	3.36%	2.51%	1.73%	1.27%	0.55%
San Francisco 49ers	2.45%	3.65%	4.94%	6.54%	7.87%	8.82%	9.56%	9.59%	9.69%	8.84%	7.39%	6.36%	5.29%	4.46%	2.94%	1.61%
Minnesota Vikings	1.43%	2.64%	3.62%	4.83%	6.26%	7.56%	8.26%	8.73%	9.34%	9.29%	8.74%	8.15%	7.55%	6.71%	4.47%	2.41%
Chicago Bears	0.95%	1.90%	2.86%	3.94%	5.06%	6.54%	7.29%	8.17%	8.97%	9.27%	9.18%	9.15%	8.99%	8.26%	5.88%	3.56%
Washington Commanders	0.56%	1.18%	1.96%	3.05%	4.62%	6.44%	8.37%	9.04%	9.44%	9.78%	10.08%	9.51%	8.69%	7.08%	5.86%	4.34%
Dallas Cowboys	0.59%	1.19%	1.97%	3.08%	4.35%	6.15%	7.82%	8.68%	8.70%	9.59%	9.84%	9.62%	8.97%	7.74%	6.51%	5.20%
Atlanta Falcons	0.18%	0.52%	1.12%	2.13%	2.99%	3.83%	5.39%	6.78%	7.83%	8.60%	9.52%	10.31%	10.35%	10.42%	10.79%	9.25%
Carolina Panthers	0.14%	0.45%	1.02%	1.93%	2.66%	3.51%	5.11%	6.30%	7.12%	7.97%	9.35%	10.42%	10.77%	10.97%	11.74%	10.55%
Arizona Cardinals	0.18%	0.41%	0.80%	1.29%	2.07%	2.91%	3.99%	5.40%	6.60%	8.07%	9.25%	10.59%	12.54%	14.53%	12.54%	8.82%
New Orleans Saints	0.06%	0.20%	0.51%	1.00%	1.47%	2.21%	3.26%	4.31%	5.49%	6.64%	8.16%	9.65%	11.07%	12.69%	15.73%	17.55%
New York Giants	<0.01%	0.04%	0.09%	0.19%	0.32%	0.73%	1.25%	1.86%	2.44%	3.50%	4.95%	6.52%	8.77%	12.61%	21.01%	35.73%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Buffalo Bills	17.25%	14.37%	10.48%	9.78%	7.25%	6.76%	5.26%	4.90%	4.00%	3.43%	2.88%	2.57%	2.09%	1.93%	1.48%	1.29%	0.97%	0.83%	0.59%	0.53%	0.41%	0.30%	0.23%	0.15%	0.11%	0.08%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	16.49%	12.40%	11.30%	9.04%	8.51%	7.11%	5.81%	5.05%	4.11%	3.60%	2.86%	2.53%	2.09%	1.86%	1.54%	1.27%	0.92%	0.75%	0.67%	0.54%	0.37%	0.33%	0.24%	0.19%	0.14%	0.11%	0.07%	0.03%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Los Angeles Rams	11.61%	10.08%	9.61%	8.24%	7.58%	6.62%	6.30%	5.54%	5.11%	4.60%	4.10%	3.44%	2.97%	2.56%	2.09%	1.87%	1.59%	1.30%	1.12%	0.91%	0.74%	0.58%	0.44%	0.31%	0.25%	0.18%	0.12%	0.06%	0.06%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	9.77%	9.05%	8.35%	7.80%	7.15%	6.62%	6.36%	5.88%	5.14%	4.84%	4.28%	4.00%	3.29%	2.81%	2.57%	2.21%	1.91%	1.56%	1.42%	1.20%	1.01%	0.66%	0.59%	0.43%	0.40%	0.26%	0.21%	0.11%	0.07%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%
Denver Broncos	8.02%	8.88%	7.91%	8.23%	6.88%	7.13%	5.94%	5.89%	5.07%	4.70%	4.19%	3.93%	3.47%	3.11%	2.76%	2.54%	2.16%	1.88%	1.60%	1.44%	1.05%	0.97%	0.63%	0.61%	0.31%	0.30%	0.14%	0.11%	0.07%	0.05%	0.02%	<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	7.86%	7.42%	7.74%	7.11%	6.97%	6.59%	6.27%	5.73%	5.25%	4.83%	4.52%	4.11%	3.58%	3.20%	2.98%	2.48%	2.39%	1.94%	1.76%	1.47%	1.29%	1.00%	0.93%	0.67%	0.66%	0.44%	0.32%	0.20%	0.15%	0.08%	0.04%	0.01%
Detroit Lions	4.90%	5.21%	5.83%	5.78%	6.16%	5.72%	5.86%	5.28%	5.59%	5.17%	5.20%	4.65%	4.25%	3.84%	3.71%	3.21%	3.12%	2.58%	2.56%	2.07%	1.95%	1.50%	1.43%	1.12%	0.99%	0.76%	0.61%	0.42%	0.27%	0.14%	0.07%	0.03%
New England Patriots	3.61%	4.92%	4.79%	5.59%	5.17%	5.96%	5.46%	6.22%	5.38%	6.11%	5.09%	5.85%	4.42%	4.93%	3.73%	4.06%	3.01%	3.07%	2.36%	2.33%	1.67%	1.64%	1.11%	1.12%	0.69%	0.57%	0.39%	0.31%	0.21%	0.12%	0.06%	0.03%
Houston Texans	3.67%	4.40%	5.09%	5.38%	5.59%	5.58%	5.59%	5.43%	5.45%	5.10%	5.18%	4.65%	4.75%	4.36%	4.03%	3.80%	3.45%	3.21%	2.84%	2.64%	2.05%	2.16%	1.48%	1.42%	0.81%	0.72%	0.43%	0.36%	0.18%	0.12%	0.05%	0.04%
Baltimore Ravens	2.78%	3.70%	4.19%	4.66%	5.08%	5.42%	5.27%	5.35%	5.32%	5.42%	4.82%	4.77%	4.67%	4.60%	4.18%	4.19%	3.60%	3.61%	2.99%	2.76%	2.42%	2.30%	1.71%	1.84%	1.21%	1.06%	0.69%	0.60%	0.36%	0.26%	0.11%	0.07%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.24%	4.00%	4.34%	4.52%	4.69%	4.69%	5.01%	4.93%	5.30%	4.96%	5.07%	4.83%	4.81%	4.52%	4.37%	4.26%	3.97%	3.72%	3.37%	3.15%	2.38%	2.56%	1.71%	1.78%	1.04%	1.00%	0.63%	0.52%	0.31%	0.21%	0.11%	0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.53%	2.95%	3.85%	3.91%	5.00%	4.79%	5.56%	5.55%	5.45%	5.85%	4.93%	5.17%	4.69%	4.92%	4.06%	3.99%	3.58%	3.62%	2.95%	2.68%	2.45%	2.20%	2.03%	1.66%	1.48%	1.10%	1.02%	0.74%	0.62%	0.35%	0.23%	0.08%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.42%	3.27%	3.67%	4.16%	4.25%	4.44%	4.57%	4.68%	4.87%	4.77%	4.98%	4.74%	4.65%	4.50%	4.52%	4.47%	4.34%	3.97%	3.62%	3.62%	2.95%	2.89%	2.10%	2.10%	1.45%	1.36%	0.86%	0.73%	0.44%	0.35%	0.16%	0.08%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.16%	1.79%	2.43%	2.84%	3.29%	3.77%	3.94%	4.23%	4.18%	4.50%	4.71%	4.77%	4.99%	5.05%	4.76%	4.88%	4.49%	4.71%	4.19%	4.34%	3.69%	4.02%	2.94%	3.23%	1.87%	1.80%	1.12%	0.95%	0.56%	0.43%	0.23%	0.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.04%	1.55%	2.02%	2.38%	2.92%	3.06%	3.40%	3.66%	4.03%	4.04%	4.43%	4.28%	4.75%	4.79%	4.81%	4.88%	4.58%	4.79%	4.25%	4.38%	3.80%	4.05%	3.26%	3.66%	2.53%	2.54%	1.63%	1.64%	1.11%	0.95%	0.50%	0.29%
Indianapolis Colts	0.81%	1.33%	1.77%	2.26%	2.58%	3.01%	3.10%	3.46%	3.79%	3.79%	4.44%	4.34%	4.75%	4.61%	4.98%	4.82%	5.09%	4.85%	4.87%	4.84%	4.45%	4.63%	3.55%	3.90%	2.45%	2.42%	1.54%	1.40%	0.84%	0.68%	0.40%	0.23%
San Francisco 49ers	1.08%	1.44%	1.86%	2.12%	2.57%	2.75%	3.37%	3.38%	3.88%	3.91%	4.36%	4.56%	4.75%	4.57%	4.92%	4.81%	4.89%	4.63%	4.51%	4.43%	4.18%	3.56%	3.69%	3.01%	2.99%	2.41%	2.37%	1.69%	1.49%	0.86%	0.71%	0.24%
Minnesota Vikings	0.53%	0.86%	1.25%	1.48%	1.82%	1.93%	2.45%	2.52%	3.16%	3.17%	3.71%	3.85%	4.22%	3.95%	4.67%	4.36%	4.86%	4.45%	4.92%	4.75%	4.89%	4.31%	4.64%	4.11%	4.10%	3.56%	3.57%	2.59%	2.23%	1.54%	1.10%	0.42%
Chicago Bears	0.35%	0.58%	0.85%	1.03%	1.35%	1.59%	1.94%	2.08%	2.50%	2.69%	3.18%	3.38%	3.63%	3.65%	4.25%	4.18%	4.62%	4.56%	4.91%	4.83%	5.20%	4.59%	5.12%	4.60%	4.92%	4.17%	4.38%	3.35%	3.11%	2.04%	1.66%	0.71%
Washington Commanders	0.18%	0.37%	0.50%	0.69%	0.93%	1.06%	1.53%	1.60%	2.13%	2.37%	2.88%	3.24%	3.69%	4.20%	4.26%	4.50%	4.62%	5.11%	5.09%	5.15%	5.33%	5.29%	5.28%	4.87%	4.81%	4.30%	4.17%	3.33%	3.27%	2.33%	2.03%	0.86%
Miami Dolphins	0.18%	0.43%	0.52%	0.80%	0.94%	1.21%	1.43%	1.79%	2.03%	2.23%	2.66%	2.93%	3.23%	3.50%	4.10%	4.12%	4.84%	4.84%	5.84%	5.51%	5.66%	5.97%	5.38%	5.67%	4.72%	4.68%	3.75%	3.55%	2.62%	2.43%	1.49%	0.94%
Dallas Cowboys	0.24%	0.36%	0.56%	0.67%	0.96%	1.13%	1.47%	1.64%	1.94%	2.33%	2.77%	3.08%	3.39%	3.95%	3.95%	4.35%	4.42%	4.74%	4.83%	5.07%	5.15%	5.19%	5.38%	4.89%	4.98%	4.62%	4.31%	3.73%	3.51%	2.63%	2.46%	1.27%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.12%	0.21%	0.38%	0.51%	0.71%	0.98%	1.16%	1.39%	1.65%	1.85%	2.16%	2.38%	2.87%	2.94%	3.63%	3.79%	4.35%	4.44%	5.15%	5.17%	5.75%	6.14%	5.86%	6.57%	5.61%	5.58%	4.42%	4.46%	3.38%	3.08%	1.99%	1.34%
Atlanta Falcons	0.06%	0.13%	0.23%	0.30%	0.45%	0.56%	0.80%	1.09%	1.26%	1.54%	1.61%	1.99%	2.35%	2.82%	2.97%	3.45%	3.69%	4.27%	4.28%	4.66%	5.26%	5.10%	5.93%	5.18%	5.95%	5.58%	6.06%	5.23%	5.77%	4.69%	4.44%	2.29%
Carolina Panthers	0.04%	0.09%	0.19%	0.25%	0.42%	0.55%	0.79%	0.91%	1.15%	1.34%	1.53%	1.77%	2.40%	2.46%	2.83%	3.09%	3.56%	3.92%	3.96%	4.30%	4.95%	5.11%	5.85%	5.42%	6.10%	5.85%	6.26%	5.72%	6.25%	5.07%	5.10%	2.78%
Arizona Cardinals	0.05%	0.10%	0.17%	0.24%	0.36%	0.44%	0.61%	0.77%	1.00%	1.07%	1.38%	1.55%	1.84%	2.21%	2.68%	2.94%	3.25%	3.57%	4.20%	4.40%	5.04%	4.94%	5.99%	5.89%	6.86%	6.45%	7.61%	6.56%	6.49%	4.84%	4.27%	2.24%
New Orleans Saints	0.01%	0.04%	0.07%	0.13%	0.21%	0.28%	0.38%	0.51%	0.56%	0.80%	0.88%	1.12%	1.39%	1.71%	1.81%	2.26%	2.47%	3.11%	3.31%	3.67%	4.19%	4.61%	5.40%	5.33%	6.27%	6.18%	7.45%	6.74%	8.40%	7.24%	8.06%	5.40%
New York Jets	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.07%	0.08%	0.11%	0.15%	0.17%	0.26%	0.35%	0.42%	0.51%	0.61%	0.89%	1.07%	1.44%	1.53%	2.23%	2.43%	3.19%	3.43%	4.44%	4.99%	6.55%	7.34%	7.92%	9.48%	9.12%	11.28%	9.93%	9.94%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.05%	0.08%	0.11%	0.17%	0.23%	0.29%	0.34%	0.45%	0.57%	0.71%	0.89%	1.08%	1.40%	1.65%	1.95%	2.41%	2.87%	3.48%	3.99%	5.10%	6.10%	7.70%	7.86%	9.86%	9.33%	11.38%	9.78%	10.11%
Las Vegas Raiders	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.03%	0.06%	0.10%	0.13%	0.18%	0.22%	0.27%	0.37%	0.45%	0.67%	0.71%	1.06%	1.15%	1.59%	1.90%	2.47%	2.74%	3.82%	4.65%	6.21%	7.79%	8.32%	10.73%	10.06%	12.01%	10.72%	11.51%
New York Giants	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.03%	0.06%	0.07%	0.10%	0.12%	0.19%	0.25%	0.35%	0.51%	0.62%	0.76%	0.92%	1.11%	1.37%	1.70%	1.92%	2.52%	2.77%	3.62%	3.74%	4.99%	5.44%	7.28%	7.94%	11.16%	11.43%	16.01%	12.97%
Tennessee Titans	-	-	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.05%	0.05%	0.06%	0.07%	0.13%	0.15%	0.23%	0.27%	0.39%	0.52%	0.65%	0.96%	1.21%	1.80%	2.45%	3.63%	4.47%	6.82%	8.53%	13.33%	18.24%	35.92%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Buffalo Bills	33.06%	19.95%	11.67%	5.77%	10.42%	7.03%	4.58%	7.51%
Denver Broncos	17.60%	16.58%	11.25%	5.80%	13.04%	10.12%	7.63%	17.98%
New England Patriots	9.25%	7.89%	5.25%	3.05%	19.84%	15.55%	11.55%	27.62%
Houston Texans	8.82%	11.59%	15.26%	14.17%	5.46%	7.20%	7.93%	29.57%
Kansas City Chiefs	8.12%	8.43%	6.09%	3.45%	13.98%	12.13%	10.52%	37.27%
Baltimore Ravens	7.00%	10.02%	15.31%	22.91%	3.19%	4.65%	6.03%	30.89%
Los Angeles Chargers	6.20%	7.60%	5.57%	3.04%	12.81%	11.94%	10.38%	42.46%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.29%	5.93%	9.57%	10.17%	5.11%	7.72%	9.70%	48.51%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.90%	5.03%	8.70%	15.59%	3.50%	5.38%	7.36%	51.55%
Indianapolis Colts	2.47%	4.56%	6.93%	7.10%	5.46%	7.61%	9.07%	56.82%
Miami Dolphins	0.79%	1.13%	1.08%	0.76%	4.75%	5.93%	7.35%	78.21%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.45%	1.09%	2.81%	6.48%	1.61%	3.00%	4.88%	79.69%
New York Jets	0.02%	0.08%	0.10%	0.14%	0.39%	0.67%	1.12%	97.48%
Cleveland Browns	0.02%	0.06%	0.33%	1.32%	0.17%	0.53%	1.05%	96.51%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.02%	0.04%	0.07%	0.12%	0.23%	0.49%	0.74%	98.29%
Tennessee Titans	-	0.01%	0.03%	0.12%	0.03%	0.06%	0.12%	99.64%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles	27.01%	23.40%	24.16%	12.38%	1.92%	2.37%	2.59%	6.19%
Los Angeles Rams	20.56%	15.81%	9.18%	2.83%	20.21%	11.77%	6.97%	12.66%
Seattle Seahawks	17.39%	13.60%	7.80%	2.50%	21.78%	12.74%	8.20%	16.00%
Green Bay Packers	14.00%	15.19%	13.28%	4.78%	12.14%	11.91%	8.37%	20.34%
Detroit Lions	9.53%	11.67%	11.04%	3.94%	12.65%	13.26%	9.84%	28.06%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4.97%	8.20%	15.41%	39.16%	0.80%	1.85%	3.23%	26.37%
San Francisco 49ers	2.45%	3.11%	2.53%	0.98%	9.95%	10.79%	11.43%	58.76%
Minnesota Vikings	1.43%	2.79%	3.41%	1.68%	5.46%	8.44%	9.34%	67.44%
Chicago Bears	0.95%	1.99%	2.86%	1.45%	4.36%	6.90%	8.28%	73.20%
Dallas Cowboys	0.59%	1.26%	2.47%	2.02%	3.38%	6.05%	8.35%	75.88%
Washington Commanders	0.56%	1.26%	2.37%	2.00%	3.73%	6.38%	8.86%	74.83%
Arizona Cardinals	0.18%	0.36%	0.47%	0.25%	1.99%	2.87%	4.28%	89.60%
Atlanta Falcons	0.18%	0.57%	2.06%	10.48%	0.56%	1.65%	3.50%	80.99%
Carolina Panthers	0.14%	0.51%	1.85%	9.88%	0.51%	1.42%	3.26%	82.44%
New Orleans Saints	0.06%	0.23%	0.92%	5.41%	0.37%	1.00%	2.27%	89.75%
New York Giants	<0.01%	0.05%	0.20%	0.28%	0.17%	0.59%	1.23%	97.47%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+7.72%

Clear Edge

53.68%0.37%45.96%

Elo Value

Home Edge

26 Elo

0.038 points per Elo point

026.8880

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.07 points

Lean Home

-8+1.02+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

9.3

Wide Open

124813

Champion Preseason Odds

21%

Seattle Seahawks, 1st of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

24.3%

Favored

012.50%40%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.52 · As Expected: 1.52 to 2.09 · Elevated: 2.09 to 2.85 · High Variance: 2.85 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.36 · Close: 4.36 to 5.89 · Off Target: 5.89 to 7.69 · Well Off Target: 7.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.64 · As Expected: 2.64 to 4.39 · More Than Expected: 4.39 to 7.03 · Far More Than Expected: 7.03 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.09 wins

Elevated

01.905

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.78

05.1315

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

99.26%

New England Patriots

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

3.20%

Arizona Cardinals

050

Season Outliers

Expected

8 of 32

Many Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

4 of 14

As Expected

03.514

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.03

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

76%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

96%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

27%

Some Drama

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

28%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Hard to Predict

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.21

Volatile

01.002

Repeatability

0.24

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

36%

As Expected

0%34%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.35

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.81

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.034

Well Within Noise

00.0910.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	68.69%	68.69%	49.66%	34.25%	20.93%
Los Angeles Rams	66.78%	66.49%	41.03%	23.80%	12.71%
Denver Broncos	64.42%	60.87%	37.77%	21.92%	11.98%
Buffalo Bills	70.42%	70.42%	40.18%	21.27%	10.52%
Houston Texans	61.61%	49.99%	30.15%	17.37%	9.36%
New England Patriots	63.13%	45.05%	24.16%	12.23%	6.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	66.80%	64.82%	31.73%	13.38%	5.63%
Jacksonville Jaguars	48.20%	33.48%	19.19%	10.48%	5.48%
Green Bay Packers	65.66%	47.43%	20.22%	7.64%	3.01%
Detroit Lions	62.41%	41.78%	18.19%	7.01%	2.76%
San Francisco 49ers	38.79%	23.72%	11.70%	5.40%	2.47%
Baltimore Ravens	62.11%	36.51%	14.18%	5.30%	2.11%
Los Angeles Chargers	51.34%	28.66%	11.73%	4.57%	1.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	45.55%	22.77%	8.40%	3.05%	1.21%
Minnesota Vikings	31.12%	16.52%	7.04%	2.66%	1.08%
Chicago Bears	25.85%	13.03%	5.41%	2.09%	0.84%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	68.66%	27.99%	7.84%	2.13%	0.59%
Kansas City Chiefs	54.61%	24.15%	6.65%	1.80%	0.52%
Indianapolis Colts	40.71%	14.58%	4.22%	1.15%	0.30%
Atlanta Falcons	18.82%	6.16%	1.78%	0.50%	0.15%
Cincinnati Bengals	19.87%	6.63%	1.83%	0.52%	0.15%
Dallas Cowboys	23.53%	6.84%	1.64%	0.36%	0.09%
Miami Dolphins	21.00%	5.56%	1.33%	0.28%	0.08%
Washington Commanders	24.61%	6.72%	1.63%	0.34%	0.08%
Carolina Panthers	17.42%	4.54%	1.02%	0.22%	0.05%
New Orleans Saints	10.19%	2.78%	0.64%	0.15%	0.04%
Arizona Cardinals	10.22%	1.88%	0.32%	0.05%	<0.01%
New York Giants	2.52%	0.61%	0.14%	0.02%	<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	3.47%	0.78%	0.15%	0.03%	<0.01%
Las Vegas Raiders	1.69%	0.20%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
New York Jets	2.50%	0.30%	0.03%	<0.01%	-
Tennessee Titans	0.36%	0.06%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		35.2%6.42%	66.4%2.00%	70.4%0.30%	31.3%7.15%	31.5%5.13%	66.2%4.21%	33.2%4.42%	67.0%7.02%	84.4%0.22%	51.4%6.68%	74.4%2.98%	39.3%9.59%	86.7%0.30%	53.2%5.65%	87.9%0.03%
Buffalo Bills	64.8%6.42%		77.4%2.60%	83.3%0.52%	45.0%5.25%	45.9%5.95%	80.0%4.62%	48.0%5.30%	79.0%5.54%	93.5%0.23%	67.1%5.21%	84.0%3.05%	53.1%9.04%	93.3%0.40%	67.7%5.26%	92.5%0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals	33.6%2.00%	22.6%2.60%		54.1%0.04%	18.7%2.56%	16.4%1.82%	47.8%1.21%	22.0%1.29%	51.8%2.03%	82.9%0.04%	35.3%1.88%	59.9%0.63%	26.2%2.58%	83.6%0.07%	36.5%1.10%	33.3%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	29.6%0.30%	16.7%0.52%	45.9%0.04%		9.5%0.43%	12.3%0.31%	26.8%0.22%	14.3%0.23%	41.4%0.36%	71.4%<0.01%	22.9%0.33%	48.6%0.10%	18.5%0.45%	87.5%<0.01%	19.5%0.15%
Denver Broncos	68.7%7.15%	55.0%5.25%	81.3%2.56%	90.5%0.43%		48.7%7.58%	81.9%5.36%	51.8%6.24%	81.5%7.59%	94.7%0.24%	69.8%7.07%	86.9%2.60%	58.9%6.49%	92.4%0.30%	71.2%5.49%	91.7%0.06%
Houston Texans	68.5%5.13%	54.1%5.95%	83.6%1.82%	87.7%0.31%	51.3%7.58%		81.3%5.40%	53.3%6.54%	82.1%7.11%	96.6%0.23%	71.0%6.68%	85.5%2.61%	58.4%7.92%	93.2%0.32%	72.5%3.98%	89.3%0.03%
Indianapolis Colts	33.8%4.21%	20.0%4.62%	52.2%1.21%	73.2%0.22%	18.1%5.36%	18.7%5.40%		19.8%3.22%	48.2%3.98%	79.4%0.10%	34.7%3.85%	60.7%1.22%	25.2%4.38%	86.1%0.16%	36.9%2.77%	55.6%0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	66.8%4.42%	52.0%5.30%	78.0%1.29%	85.7%0.23%	48.2%6.24%	46.7%6.54%	80.2%3.22%		79.8%5.23%	92.9%0.13%	68.9%4.83%	86.8%1.74%	55.5%5.68%	90.4%0.18%	68.9%3.18%	85.7%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	33.0%7.02%	21.0%5.54%	48.2%2.03%	58.6%0.36%	18.5%7.59%	17.9%7.11%	51.8%3.98%	20.2%5.23%		80.2%0.10%	34.4%4.36%	58.7%1.56%	24.1%4.61%	80.0%0.21%	36.1%4.85%	75.0%0.04%
Las Vegas Raiders	15.6%0.22%	6.5%0.23%	17.1%0.04%	28.6%<0.01%	5.3%0.24%	3.4%0.23%	20.6%0.10%	7.1%0.13%	19.8%0.10%		11.8%0.09%	30.4%0.02%	12.4%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	14.7%0.14%
Los Angeles Chargers	48.6%6.68%	32.9%5.21%	64.7%1.88%	77.1%0.33%	30.2%7.07%	29.0%6.68%	65.3%3.85%	31.1%4.83%	65.6%4.36%	88.2%0.09%		72.7%1.35%	36.8%4.33%	86.2%0.16%	50.2%4.48%	64.7%0.03%
Miami Dolphins	25.6%2.98%	16.0%3.05%	40.1%0.63%	51.4%0.10%	13.1%2.60%	14.5%2.61%	39.3%1.22%	13.2%1.74%	41.3%1.56%	69.6%0.02%	27.3%1.35%		17.0%1.30%	81.0%0.02%	28.4%1.80%	66.7%0.01%
New England Patriots	60.7%9.59%	46.9%9.04%	73.8%2.58%	81.5%0.45%	41.1%6.49%	41.6%7.92%	74.8%4.38%	44.5%5.68%	75.9%4.61%	87.6%0.12%	63.2%4.33%	83.0%1.30%		93.2%0.15%	63.6%6.45%	92.7%0.04%
New York Jets	13.3%0.30%	6.7%0.40%	16.4%0.07%	12.5%<0.01%	7.6%0.30%	6.8%0.32%	13.9%0.16%	9.6%0.18%	20.0%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%	13.8%0.16%	19.0%0.02%	6.8%0.15%		17.5%0.21%
Pittsburgh Steelers	46.8%5.65%	32.3%5.26%	63.5%1.10%	80.5%0.15%	28.8%5.49%	27.5%3.98%	63.1%2.77%	31.1%3.18%	63.9%4.85%	85.3%0.14%	49.8%4.48%	71.6%1.80%	36.4%6.45%	82.5%0.21%		89.7%0.03%
Tennessee Titans	12.1%0.03%	7.5%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%		8.3%0.06%	10.7%0.03%	44.4%0.02%	14.3%0.01%	25.0%0.04%		35.3%0.03%	33.3%0.01%	7.3%0.04%		10.3%0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		27.4%0.31%	32.6%0.29%	20.3%0.29%	41.9%0.20%	14.0%1.09%	14.7%1.23%	7.3%1.28%	13.9%0.34%	30.1%0.17%	38.9%0.02%	14.3%1.91%	13.3%0.26%	4.4%1.02%	25.5%1.57%	35.6%0.24%
Atlanta Falcons	72.6%0.31%		57.3%0.17%	35.9%0.74%	59.0%0.56%	34.1%2.21%	36.2%2.35%	21.2%3.21%	33.5%0.88%	60.6%0.07%	53.7%0.04%	25.8%1.44%	30.1%1.46%	15.2%3.24%	47.5%1.51%	61.4%0.63%
Carolina Panthers	67.4%0.29%	42.7%0.17%		32.4%0.68%	47.7%0.46%	26.8%2.04%	28.1%2.17%	15.7%2.93%	27.9%0.84%	50.0%0.06%	57.1%0.03%	21.2%1.33%	23.0%1.35%	11.8%3.14%	39.2%1.33%	51.8%0.61%
Chicago Bears	79.7%0.29%	64.1%0.74%	67.6%0.68%		73.1%0.74%	47.0%2.93%	47.4%3.69%	28.8%2.92%	45.2%0.90%	66.5%0.32%	63.9%0.07%	41.5%4.57%	43.8%1.03%	24.2%2.69%	62.1%3.50%	73.0%0.78%
Dallas Cowboys	58.1%0.20%	41.0%0.56%	52.3%0.46%	26.9%0.74%		27.4%2.80%	27.3%3.19%	14.7%2.74%	26.3%0.91%	49.3%0.30%	61.1%0.02%	23.3%4.73%	22.3%0.96%	10.8%2.66%	42.6%2.89%	54.1%0.36%
Detroit Lions	86.0%1.09%	65.9%2.21%	73.2%2.04%	53.0%2.93%	72.6%2.80%		50.7%10.55%	33.1%6.15%	52.3%3.55%	70.9%1.19%	74.5%0.31%	43.4%8.55%	44.9%3.85%	25.1%6.04%	64.7%8.40%	75.5%2.74%
Green Bay Packers	85.3%1.23%	63.8%2.35%	71.9%2.17%	52.6%3.69%	72.7%3.19%	49.3%10.55%		31.9%6.45%	50.5%4.44%	69.3%1.30%	71.5%0.36%	42.5%7.54%	44.4%4.57%	24.3%6.25%	62.8%8.16%	74.1%3.41%
Los Angeles Rams	92.7%1.28%	78.8%3.21%	84.3%2.93%	71.2%2.92%	85.3%2.74%	66.9%6.15%	68.1%6.45%		69.2%3.41%	84.2%1.74%	86.9%0.34%	60.9%7.54%	63.8%4.68%	41.0%9.22%	78.3%11.32%	86.7%2.86%
Minnesota Vikings	86.1%0.34%	66.5%0.88%	72.1%0.84%	54.8%0.90%	73.7%0.91%	47.7%3.55%	49.5%4.44%	30.8%3.41%		68.1%0.47%	70.9%0.09%	42.4%5.45%	43.0%1.40%	23.0%3.17%	63.8%4.29%	74.8%0.97%
New Orleans Saints	69.9%0.17%	39.4%0.07%	50.0%0.06%	33.5%0.32%	50.7%0.30%	29.1%1.19%	30.7%1.30%	15.8%1.74%	31.9%0.47%		61.1%0.02%	24.4%0.94%	24.2%0.73%	11.5%1.78%	41.8%0.80%	53.0%0.30%
New York Giants	61.1%0.02%	46.3%0.04%	42.9%0.03%	36.1%0.07%	38.9%0.02%	25.5%0.31%	28.5%0.36%	13.1%0.34%	29.1%0.09%	38.9%0.02%		18.9%0.53%	19.3%0.08%	7.5%0.33%	42.7%0.27%	70.6%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	85.7%1.91%	74.2%1.44%	78.8%1.33%	58.5%4.57%	76.7%4.73%	56.6%8.55%	57.5%7.54%	39.1%7.54%	57.6%5.45%	75.6%0.94%	81.1%0.53%		50.9%6.59%	30.1%8.25%	69.9%2.67%	76.9%4.78%
San Francisco 49ers	86.7%0.26%	69.9%1.46%	77.0%1.35%	56.2%1.03%	77.7%0.96%	55.1%3.85%	55.6%4.57%	36.2%4.68%	57.0%1.40%	75.8%0.73%	80.7%0.08%	49.1%6.59%		27.7%4.10%	70.2%6.73%	78.6%1.00%
Seattle Seahawks	95.6%1.02%	84.8%3.24%	88.2%3.14%	75.8%2.69%	89.2%2.66%	74.9%6.04%	75.7%6.25%	59.0%9.22%	77.0%3.17%	88.5%1.78%	92.5%0.33%	69.9%8.25%	72.3%4.10%		84.8%12.00%	91.0%2.72%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	74.5%1.57%	52.5%1.51%	60.8%1.33%	37.9%3.50%	57.4%2.89%	35.3%8.40%	37.2%8.16%	21.7%11.32%	36.2%4.29%	58.2%0.80%	57.3%0.27%	30.1%2.67%	29.8%6.73%	15.2%12.00%		62.2%3.20%
Washington Commanders	64.4%0.24%	38.6%0.63%	48.2%0.61%	27.0%0.78%	45.9%0.36%	24.5%2.74%	25.9%3.41%	13.3%2.86%	25.2%0.97%	47.0%0.30%	29.4%0.02%	23.1%4.78%	21.4%1.00%	9.0%2.72%	37.8%3.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		35.0%7.61%	64.5%0.30%	88.9%0.02%	31.5%7.04%	31.3%5.69%	61.9%1.49%	32.7%3.63%	63.6%2.16%	73.7%0.02%	48.7%2.70%	67.4%0.43%	37.0%4.12%	84.0%0.03%	51.5%1.28%	100.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	65.0%7.61%		77.7%1.59%	82.2%0.20%	45.7%11.17%	46.0%10.87%	76.6%3.22%	48.5%7.81%	76.1%4.47%	93.0%0.06%	64.2%5.88%	79.3%1.33%	51.5%11.00%	95.6%0.07%	67.1%5.13%	96.0%0.03%
Cincinnati Bengals	35.5%0.30%	22.3%1.59%		66.7%<0.01%	21.7%1.18%	20.1%0.93%	48.5%0.26%	23.0%0.53%	51.1%0.43%	75.0%<0.01%	37.9%0.49%	41.5%0.07%	24.9%0.69%	100.0%<0.01%	45.3%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	11.1%0.02%	17.8%0.20%	33.3%<0.01%		14.7%0.15%	16.0%0.12%	48.3%0.03%	12.5%0.06%	29.4%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	22.8%0.06%	75.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.08%		25.0%0.01%
Denver Broncos	68.5%7.04%	54.3%11.17%	78.3%1.18%	85.3%0.15%		51.7%9.73%	79.3%2.75%	54.0%6.55%	80.4%4.43%	92.6%0.03%	67.8%4.85%	84.2%0.95%	55.8%7.69%	96.1%0.05%	71.5%4.28%	100.0%0.01%
Houston Texans	68.7%5.69%	54.0%10.87%	79.9%0.93%	84.0%0.12%	48.3%9.73%		78.3%1.52%	51.8%3.15%	78.5%3.24%	95.5%0.02%	67.4%4.05%	82.2%0.75%	56.8%6.43%	100.0%0.04%	69.8%3.45%	80.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	38.1%1.49%	23.4%3.22%	51.5%0.26%	51.7%0.03%	20.7%2.75%	21.7%1.52%		20.8%0.76%	52.0%0.86%	66.7%<0.01%	36.3%1.02%	51.8%0.17%	28.6%1.70%	55.6%<0.01%	37.2%0.80%
Jacksonville Jaguars	67.3%3.63%	51.5%7.81%	77.0%0.53%	87.5%0.06%	46.0%6.55%	48.2%3.15%	79.2%0.76%		76.8%2.06%	86.7%0.01%	65.8%2.43%	85.9%0.39%	54.1%3.94%	81.0%0.02%	68.2%2.13%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	36.4%2.16%	23.9%4.47%	48.9%0.43%	70.6%0.05%	19.6%4.43%	21.5%3.24%	48.0%0.86%	23.2%2.06%		87.5%0.02%	33.2%1.71%	57.4%0.39%	25.0%2.94%	62.5%0.02%	39.4%1.37%	50.0%<0.01%
Las Vegas Raiders	26.3%0.02%	7.0%0.06%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	7.4%0.03%	4.5%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	13.3%0.01%	12.5%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	5.9%0.02%		23.1%0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	51.3%2.70%	35.8%5.88%	62.1%0.49%	77.2%0.06%	32.2%4.85%	32.6%4.05%	63.7%1.02%	34.2%2.43%	66.8%1.71%	100.0%<0.01%		68.0%0.37%	37.0%3.53%	83.3%0.02%	52.0%1.53%	100.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	32.6%0.43%	20.7%1.33%	58.5%0.07%	25.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.95%	17.8%0.75%	48.2%0.17%	14.1%0.39%	42.6%0.39%	100.0%<0.01%	32.0%0.37%		17.9%0.50%	66.7%<0.01%	34.4%0.22%
New England Patriots	63.0%4.12%	48.5%11.00%	75.1%0.69%	81.2%0.08%	44.2%7.69%	43.2%6.43%	71.4%1.70%	45.9%3.94%	75.0%2.94%	94.1%0.02%	63.0%3.53%	82.1%0.50%		88.5%0.03%	65.4%2.38%	75.0%<0.01%
New York Jets	16.0%0.03%	4.4%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%		3.9%0.05%	0.0%0.04%	44.4%<0.01%	19.0%0.02%	37.5%0.02%		16.7%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	11.5%0.03%		18.2%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.5%1.28%	32.9%5.13%	54.7%0.15%	75.0%0.01%	28.5%4.28%	30.2%3.45%	62.8%0.80%	31.8%2.13%	60.6%1.37%	76.9%0.01%	48.0%1.53%	65.6%0.22%	34.6%2.38%	81.8%0.01%		75.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	0.0%<0.01%	4.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		31.8%0.02%	25.0%0.01%	25.0%0.04%	30.6%0.04%	21.6%0.19%	23.6%0.26%	12.0%0.37%	21.3%0.06%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.38%	9.5%0.06%	8.0%0.30%	31.6%0.11%	25.0%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons	68.2%0.02%		71.4%<0.01%	37.7%0.16%	67.1%0.08%	30.9%0.66%	36.4%0.87%	20.3%1.15%	39.1%0.17%	50.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	31.3%1.44%	33.2%0.24%	14.8%1.14%	57.4%0.15%	64.9%0.06%
Carolina Panthers	75.0%0.01%	28.6%<0.01%		20.8%0.12%	50.8%0.06%	24.3%0.51%	27.8%0.58%	17.1%0.83%	27.2%0.15%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	26.3%1.09%	25.1%0.19%	10.4%0.83%	39.5%0.11%	47.8%0.05%
Chicago Bears	75.0%0.04%	62.3%0.16%	79.2%0.12%		70.9%0.13%	49.2%1.04%	50.8%1.43%	32.3%2.74%	50.8%0.25%	73.9%0.05%	76.9%0.01%	45.6%2.78%	41.1%0.54%	23.2%2.72%	65.4%0.85%	67.5%0.16%
Dallas Cowboys	69.4%0.04%	32.9%0.08%	49.2%0.06%	29.1%0.13%		31.5%0.69%	28.1%0.81%	16.6%1.36%	29.2%0.18%	45.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	25.4%1.31%	26.5%0.31%	11.6%1.41%	46.4%0.43%	42.9%0.03%
Detroit Lions	78.4%0.19%	69.1%0.66%	75.7%0.51%	50.8%1.04%	68.5%0.69%		50.9%5.68%	33.5%8.20%	49.3%1.42%	72.4%0.30%	66.1%0.06%	47.1%8.10%	43.1%2.54%	25.6%8.71%	65.6%3.08%	72.4%0.60%
Green Bay Packers	76.4%0.26%	63.6%0.87%	72.2%0.58%	49.2%1.43%	71.9%0.81%	49.1%5.68%		32.9%9.19%	48.7%1.84%	66.0%0.37%	59.2%0.08%	44.8%8.92%	43.3%3.18%	24.9%9.82%	66.5%3.63%	69.4%0.78%
Los Angeles Rams	88.0%0.37%	79.7%1.15%	82.9%0.83%	67.7%2.74%	83.4%1.36%	66.5%8.20%	67.1%9.19%		67.3%3.46%	84.9%0.52%	88.9%0.14%	62.7%11.42%	60.3%4.63%	40.5%16.00%	78.8%5.10%	83.3%1.40%
Minnesota Vikings	78.7%0.06%	60.9%0.17%	72.8%0.15%	49.2%0.25%	70.8%0.18%	50.7%1.42%	51.3%1.84%	32.7%3.46%		71.6%0.07%	85.7%0.01%	46.7%3.48%	42.7%0.86%	24.6%3.24%	65.0%1.15%	74.5%0.18%
New Orleans Saints	75.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	26.1%0.05%	54.5%0.02%	27.6%0.30%	34.0%0.37%	15.1%0.52%	28.4%0.07%		0.0%<0.01%	24.9%0.69%	28.4%0.12%	10.4%0.54%	49.1%0.06%	42.1%0.04%
New York Giants	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	23.1%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.9%0.06%	40.8%0.08%	11.1%0.14%	14.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		28.4%0.10%	26.3%0.02%	10.4%0.13%	42.9%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	84.6%0.38%	68.7%1.44%	73.7%1.09%	54.4%2.78%	74.6%1.31%	52.9%8.10%	55.2%8.92%	37.3%11.42%	53.3%3.48%	75.1%0.69%	71.6%0.10%		48.6%4.96%	28.7%12.83%	69.0%5.96%	73.6%1.37%
San Francisco 49ers	90.5%0.06%	66.8%0.24%	74.9%0.19%	58.9%0.54%	73.5%0.31%	56.9%2.54%	56.7%3.18%	39.7%4.63%	57.3%0.86%	71.6%0.12%	73.7%0.02%	51.4%4.96%		30.0%4.28%	71.6%1.48%	73.4%0.30%
Seattle Seahawks	92.0%0.30%	85.2%1.14%	89.6%0.83%	76.8%2.72%	88.4%1.41%	74.4%8.71%	75.1%9.82%	59.5%16.00%	75.4%3.24%	89.6%0.54%	89.6%0.13%	71.3%12.83%	70.0%4.28%		85.4%5.42%	86.6%1.32%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	68.4%0.11%	42.6%0.15%	60.5%0.11%	34.6%0.85%	53.6%0.43%	34.4%3.08%	33.5%3.63%	21.2%5.10%	35.0%1.15%	50.9%0.06%	57.1%0.03%	31.0%5.96%	28.4%1.48%	14.6%5.42%		57.7%0.41%
Washington Commanders	75.0%0.02%	35.1%0.06%	52.2%0.05%	32.5%0.16%	57.1%0.03%	27.6%0.60%	30.6%0.78%	16.7%1.40%	25.5%0.18%	57.9%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	26.4%1.37%	26.6%0.30%	13.4%1.32%	42.3%0.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		36.6%3.33%	53.8%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	32.9%3.10%	33.7%2.46%	60.6%0.27%	34.5%1.54%	60.7%0.44%	100.0%<0.01%	47.7%0.75%	78.0%0.08%	35.0%1.74%		50.4%0.39%
Buffalo Bills	63.4%3.33%		73.4%0.43%	77.4%0.03%	45.7%11.01%	46.2%7.93%	71.5%1.07%	47.8%4.76%	74.2%1.68%	66.7%<0.01%	63.6%2.90%	78.0%0.23%	51.8%4.94%	87.5%<0.01%	66.4%1.85%	100.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.2%0.08%	26.6%0.43%			21.3%0.37%	22.5%0.32%	52.3%0.04%	25.7%0.18%	58.3%0.05%		49.4%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	26.3%0.23%	0.0%<0.01%	39.1%0.05%
Cleveland Browns	0.0%<0.01%	22.6%0.03%			15.4%0.03%	15.2%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	27.8%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%		30.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	67.1%3.10%	54.3%11.01%	78.7%0.37%	84.6%0.03%		49.4%7.04%	79.2%0.87%	53.8%4.13%	78.0%1.12%	75.0%<0.01%	67.7%2.07%	83.8%0.30%	57.1%5.87%	100.0%<0.01%	68.3%1.85%	75.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans	66.3%2.46%	53.8%7.93%	77.5%0.32%	84.8%0.03%	50.6%7.04%		76.6%0.56%	52.6%2.66%	77.0%1.11%	100.0%<0.01%	66.2%1.97%	80.5%0.24%	56.3%4.38%	100.0%<0.01%	68.4%1.44%	100.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	39.4%0.27%	28.5%1.07%	47.7%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	20.8%0.87%	23.4%0.56%		21.2%0.32%	48.3%0.12%		33.2%0.23%	62.5%0.02%	25.1%0.57%		34.6%0.16%
Jacksonville Jaguars	65.5%1.54%	52.2%4.76%	74.3%0.18%	72.2%0.02%	46.2%4.13%	47.4%2.66%	78.8%0.32%		79.2%0.65%	100.0%<0.01%	62.4%1.21%	78.2%0.14%	53.7%2.70%	100.0%<0.01%	67.5%0.88%	100.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	39.3%0.44%	25.8%1.68%	41.7%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	22.0%1.12%	23.0%1.11%	51.7%0.12%	20.8%0.65%		100.0%<0.01%	39.7%0.29%	58.8%0.05%	25.8%0.88%		40.4%0.26%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%			25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	52.3%0.75%	36.4%2.90%	50.6%0.08%	70.0%0.01%	32.3%2.07%	33.8%1.97%	66.8%0.23%	37.6%1.21%	60.3%0.29%	100.0%<0.01%		70.1%0.08%	39.4%1.68%	80.0%<0.01%	53.6%0.44%
Miami Dolphins	22.0%0.08%	22.0%0.23%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	16.2%0.30%	19.5%0.24%	37.5%0.02%	21.8%0.14%	41.2%0.05%		29.9%0.08%		13.1%0.12%		36.4%0.04%
New England Patriots	65.0%1.74%	48.2%4.94%	73.7%0.23%	75.0%0.02%	42.9%5.87%	43.7%4.38%	74.9%0.57%	46.3%2.70%	74.2%0.88%	100.0%<0.01%	60.6%1.68%	86.9%0.12%		100.0%<0.01%	63.0%1.04%	100.0%<0.01%
New York Jets		12.5%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			20.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	49.6%0.39%	33.6%1.85%	60.9%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	31.7%1.85%	31.6%1.44%	65.4%0.16%	32.5%0.88%	59.6%0.26%	0.0%<0.01%	46.4%0.44%	63.6%0.04%	37.0%1.04%	50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Titans		0.0%<0.01%			25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%	20.0%0.02%	17.3%0.08%	9.1%0.01%			24.5%0.05%	15.4%0.01%	9.2%0.09%	15.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	100.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	25.4%0.06%	38.5%0.01%	41.1%0.13%	39.0%0.16%	21.7%0.40%	45.7%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	35.4%0.26%	40.4%0.10%	16.8%0.56%	40.7%0.03%	64.3%0.01%
Carolina Panthers	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		34.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	29.7%0.07%	37.0%0.07%	15.3%0.24%	21.9%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%		24.7%0.15%	23.6%0.06%	14.0%0.33%	37.5%0.03%	57.1%<0.01%
Chicago Bears	66.7%<0.01%	74.6%0.06%	65.2%0.02%		67.7%0.03%	46.4%0.35%	49.6%0.42%	33.6%1.31%	51.7%0.12%	70.0%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	46.4%0.76%	47.9%0.27%	26.3%1.79%	66.5%0.20%	68.9%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	0.0%<0.01%	61.5%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	32.3%0.03%		27.6%0.12%	36.1%0.15%	18.6%0.40%	22.6%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	24.6%0.20%	25.5%0.11%	13.8%0.51%	48.9%0.04%	25.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions	80.0%0.03%	58.9%0.13%	70.3%0.07%	53.6%0.35%	72.4%0.12%		52.4%1.41%	35.1%4.64%	54.9%0.50%	57.4%0.05%	91.7%0.01%	44.5%2.86%	44.9%1.09%	26.6%6.14%	64.7%0.65%	66.1%0.12%
Green Bay Packers	80.0%0.02%	61.0%0.16%	63.0%0.07%	50.4%0.42%	63.9%0.15%	47.6%1.41%		34.2%5.26%	51.4%0.48%	75.5%0.05%	81.8%0.01%	44.8%3.23%	44.6%1.26%	27.2%6.89%	64.0%0.68%	72.7%0.13%
Los Angeles Rams	82.7%0.08%	78.3%0.40%	84.7%0.24%	66.4%1.31%	81.4%0.40%	64.9%4.64%	65.8%5.26%		69.2%1.75%	82.4%0.13%	88.2%0.03%	61.9%8.67%	58.7%2.54%	41.5%13.34%	79.2%1.83%	82.9%0.42%
Minnesota Vikings	90.9%0.01%	54.3%0.05%	78.1%0.03%	48.3%0.12%	77.4%0.06%	45.1%0.50%	48.6%0.48%	30.8%1.75%		70.6%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	46.9%0.98%	41.8%0.40%	28.4%2.34%	62.8%0.25%	66.7%0.05%
New Orleans Saints		50.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	30.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	42.6%0.05%	24.5%0.05%	17.6%0.13%	29.4%0.02%			26.9%0.09%	26.7%0.04%	13.4%0.20%	33.3%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
New York Giants		100.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	8.3%0.01%	18.2%0.01%	11.8%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%			12.5%0.02%	11.1%<0.01%	11.1%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	75.5%0.05%	64.6%0.26%	75.3%0.15%	53.6%0.76%	75.4%0.20%	55.5%2.86%	55.2%3.23%	38.1%8.67%	53.1%0.98%	73.1%0.09%	87.5%0.02%		48.0%1.87%	30.2%11.14%	65.7%1.27%	75.3%0.17%
San Francisco 49ers	84.6%0.01%	59.6%0.10%	76.4%0.06%	52.1%0.27%	74.5%0.11%	55.1%1.09%	55.4%1.26%	41.3%2.54%	58.2%0.40%	73.3%0.04%	88.9%<0.01%	52.0%1.87%		32.1%3.42%	70.5%0.41%	77.7%0.10%
Seattle Seahawks	90.8%0.09%	83.2%0.56%	86.0%0.33%	73.7%1.79%	86.2%0.51%	73.4%6.14%	72.8%6.89%	58.5%13.34%	71.6%2.34%	86.6%0.20%	88.9%0.04%	69.8%11.14%	67.9%3.42%		81.1%2.35%	87.6%0.51%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	84.6%0.01%	59.3%0.03%	62.5%0.03%	33.5%0.20%	51.1%0.04%	35.3%0.65%	36.0%0.68%	20.8%1.83%	37.2%0.25%	66.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	34.3%1.27%	29.5%0.41%	18.9%2.35%		59.2%0.05%
Washington Commanders	100.0%<0.01%	35.7%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	31.1%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%	33.9%0.12%	27.3%0.13%	17.1%0.42%	33.3%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	24.7%0.17%	22.3%0.10%	12.4%0.51%	40.8%0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	50.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.03%	66.7%0.01%	45.0%0.10%	71.4%0.02%	50.1%0.38%	50.7%0.44%	36.5%1.19%	48.6%0.15%	70.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	48.2%0.73%	45.4%0.29%	29.4%1.85%	67.4%0.09%	61.9%0.02%
Buffalo Bills	100.0%<0.01%	69.2%0.11%	80.8%0.05%	60.9%0.44%	80.3%0.08%	61.5%1.44%	60.4%1.62%	46.7%5.08%	61.4%0.55%	78.4%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	58.0%2.80%	53.5%1.20%	38.5%7.33%	70.1%0.45%	81.7%0.07%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.0%<0.01%		33.3%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	32.4%0.04%	31.7%0.04%	24.8%0.14%	36.4%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	39.5%0.08%	44.0%0.03%	19.5%0.17%	57.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns				33.3%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	70.0%0.01%	76.4%0.11%	83.3%0.06%	61.7%0.45%	79.3%0.09%	66.7%1.56%	66.0%1.64%	51.8%5.28%	65.0%0.59%	72.7%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	62.9%2.95%	59.5%1.18%	43.8%7.44%	76.6%0.44%	80.3%0.07%
Houston Texans	87.5%0.02%	67.9%0.08%	73.3%0.03%	70.7%0.38%	85.0%0.06%	65.2%1.26%	63.5%1.35%	51.4%4.20%	62.7%0.47%	81.8%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	62.7%2.28%	57.5%0.90%	42.4%5.85%	80.8%0.40%	79.0%0.06%
Indianapolis Colts	100.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	30.4%0.02%	20.0%<0.01%	31.6%0.08%	31.8%0.08%	23.1%0.27%	35.7%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	35.0%0.16%	34.4%0.06%	18.5%0.40%	42.3%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	100.0%<0.01%	77.0%0.06%	75.0%0.02%	62.2%0.21%	64.9%0.04%	65.1%0.71%	63.5%0.82%	49.0%2.43%	59.9%0.29%	66.7%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	61.1%1.39%	56.0%0.57%	41.4%3.64%	77.3%0.24%	78.4%0.05%
Kansas City Chiefs		41.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	34.4%0.03%	62.5%<0.01%	37.0%0.12%	37.0%0.15%	23.2%0.44%	33.3%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	38.9%0.24%	38.9%0.10%	20.0%0.61%	50.0%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%
Las Vegas Raiders								0.0%<0.01%				50.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	66.7%<0.01%	55.2%0.03%	71.4%<0.01%	52.0%0.10%	66.7%0.01%	47.6%0.31%	51.6%0.34%	38.0%1.08%	45.6%0.11%	87.5%<0.01%		47.4%0.59%	46.4%0.26%	29.6%1.60%	62.6%0.11%	84.6%0.01%
Miami Dolphins		50.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%		34.8%0.02%	59.1%0.02%	21.9%0.07%	11.1%<0.01%			20.0%0.04%	54.5%0.01%	17.0%0.09%	80.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	71.4%<0.01%	76.1%0.05%	71.0%0.03%	57.0%0.28%	71.8%0.04%	57.6%0.86%	61.1%0.91%	45.4%2.85%	60.7%0.34%	80.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	58.0%1.70%	54.1%0.63%	39.6%4.23%	68.9%0.27%	78.8%0.03%
New York Jets						0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.0%<0.01%	57.1%0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	38.2%0.06%	50.0%0.01%	50.9%0.22%	55.0%0.23%	35.2%0.75%	45.3%0.06%	60.0%<0.01%		45.0%0.41%	44.1%0.17%	31.2%1.02%	60.9%0.07%	61.5%0.01%
Tennessee Titans								0.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			30.0%0.01%	12.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			33.3%<0.01%		28.6%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	46.2%0.03%	30.8%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%		23.6%0.11%	32.1%0.08%	40.0%<0.01%	23.0%0.06%	58.3%0.01%		44.8%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	23.9%0.05%		42.9%0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	33.3%0.01%	19.2%0.05%			16.7%0.06%	26.7%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%		28.6%<0.01%		29.0%0.03%		42.9%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	55.0%0.10%	39.1%0.44%	66.7%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	38.3%0.45%	29.3%0.38%	69.6%0.02%	37.8%0.21%	65.6%0.03%		48.0%0.10%	33.3%<0.01%	43.0%0.28%		61.8%0.06%
Dallas Cowboys																	28.6%0.02%	19.7%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%		20.7%0.09%	15.0%0.06%	80.0%<0.01%	35.1%0.04%	37.5%<0.01%		33.3%0.01%		28.2%0.04%		50.0%0.01%
Detroit Lions																	49.9%0.38%	38.5%1.44%	67.6%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%1.56%	34.8%1.26%	68.4%0.08%	34.9%0.71%	63.0%0.12%		52.4%0.31%	65.2%0.02%	42.4%0.86%	100.0%<0.01%	49.1%0.22%
Green Bay Packers																	49.3%0.44%	39.6%1.62%	68.3%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%	34.0%1.64%	36.5%1.35%	68.2%0.08%	36.5%0.82%	63.0%0.15%		48.4%0.34%	40.9%0.02%	38.9%0.91%		45.0%0.23%
Los Angeles Rams																	63.5%1.19%	53.3%5.08%	75.2%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	48.2%5.28%	48.6%4.20%	76.9%0.27%	51.0%2.43%	76.8%0.44%	100.0%<0.01%	62.0%1.08%	78.1%0.07%	54.6%2.85%	100.0%<0.01%	64.8%0.75%	100.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	51.4%0.15%	38.6%0.55%	63.6%0.01%		35.0%0.59%	37.3%0.47%	64.3%0.03%	40.1%0.29%	66.7%0.05%		54.4%0.11%	88.9%<0.01%	39.3%0.34%		54.7%0.06%
New Orleans Saints																	30.0%0.01%	21.6%0.04%			27.3%0.03%	18.2%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%		12.5%<0.01%		20.0%0.01%		40.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				50.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	51.8%0.73%	42.0%2.80%	60.5%0.08%	80.0%<0.01%	37.1%2.95%	37.3%2.28%	65.0%0.16%	38.9%1.39%	61.1%0.24%	50.0%<0.01%	52.6%0.59%	80.0%0.04%	42.0%1.70%		55.0%0.41%
San Francisco 49ers																	54.6%0.29%	46.5%1.20%	56.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	40.5%1.18%	42.5%0.90%	65.6%0.06%	44.0%0.57%	61.1%0.10%		53.6%0.26%	45.5%0.01%	45.9%0.63%	100.0%<0.01%	55.9%0.17%
Seattle Seahawks																	70.6%1.85%	61.5%7.33%	80.5%0.17%	61.5%0.01%	56.2%7.44%	57.6%5.85%	81.5%0.40%	58.6%3.64%	80.0%0.61%		70.4%1.60%	83.0%0.09%	60.4%4.23%		68.8%1.02%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	32.6%0.09%	29.9%0.45%	42.9%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	23.4%0.44%	19.2%0.40%	57.7%0.03%	22.7%0.24%	50.0%0.04%		37.4%0.11%	20.0%<0.01%	31.1%0.27%		39.1%0.07%
Washington Commanders																	38.1%0.02%	18.3%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%		19.7%0.07%	21.0%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	21.6%0.05%	33.3%<0.01%		15.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	21.2%0.03%		38.5%0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Seattle Seahawks	100.00%	71.35%	48.39%	27.43%	Won Super Bowl
Denver Broncos	100.00%	59.40%	32.16%	15.92%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Los Angeles Rams	83.28%	45.66%	22.26%	11.35%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Houston Texans	68.84%	34.94%	18.42%	9.69%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	56.16%	30.11%	15.76%	8.07%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New England Patriots	66.55%	33.60%	15.53%	7.28%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Buffalo Bills	43.84%	20.81%	10.69%	5.43%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Philadelphia Eagles	50.48%	25.36%	8.86%	3.70%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
San Francisco 49ers	49.53%	18.17%	7.91%	3.62%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Chicago Bears	53.60%	24.43%	7.36%	2.71%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers	46.40%	11.41%	4.51%	1.82%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Los Angeles Chargers	33.45%	11.09%	3.93%	1.54%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	31.16%	10.05%	3.52%	1.28%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Carolina Panthers	16.72%	3.63%	0.72%	0.16%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	Jacksonville Jaguars	Los Angeles Chargers	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills			43.8%100.00%
Houston Texans						68.8%100.00%
Jacksonville Jaguars	56.2%100.00%
Los Angeles Chargers					33.4%100.00%
New England Patriots				66.6%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers		31.2%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers				16.7%100.00%
Chicago Bears			53.6%100.00%
Green Bay Packers		46.4%100.00%
Los Angeles Rams	83.3%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles						50.5%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers					49.5%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Jacksonville Jaguars	Los Angeles Chargers	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		46.2%29.31%	44.0%9.97%				63.3%4.56%
Denver Broncos	53.8%29.31%		51.6%25.65%		66.8%33.45%		69.3%11.59%
Houston Texans	56.0%9.97%	48.4%25.65%		47.1%13.01%		53.5%20.20%
Jacksonville Jaguars			52.9%13.01%			51.3%37.24%	69.9%5.91%
Los Angeles Chargers		33.2%33.45%
New England Patriots			46.5%20.20%	48.7%37.24%			66.7%9.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	36.7%4.56%	30.7%11.59%		30.1%5.91%		33.3%9.11%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers		27.5%4.44%			22.6%3.92%	26.6%3.81%	11.3%4.55%
Chicago Bears	72.5%4.44%			37.5%22.06%	47.7%27.10%
Green Bay Packers							24.6%46.40%
Los Angeles Rams		62.5%22.06%			58.1%19.46%	62.4%19.21%	38.1%22.55%
Philadelphia Eagles	77.4%3.92%	52.3%27.10%		41.9%19.46%
San Francisco 49ers	73.4%3.81%			37.6%19.21%			30.7%26.50%
Seattle Seahawks	88.7%4.55%		75.4%46.40%	61.9%22.55%		69.3%26.50%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Jacksonville Jaguars	Los Angeles Chargers	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		48.2%4.84%	44.8%4.96%		65.0%2.43%	51.1%7.17%	62.9%1.41%
Denver Broncos	51.8%4.84%		50.7%13.70%	51.7%18.22%		56.8%18.69%	67.6%3.94%
Houston Texans	55.2%4.96%	49.3%13.70%		48.9%6.40%	67.7%3.87%	52.8%6.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars		48.3%18.22%	51.1%6.40%		65.8%3.66%		69.9%1.83%
Los Angeles Chargers	35.0%2.43%		32.3%3.87%	34.2%3.66%			50.4%1.13%
New England Patriots	48.9%7.17%	43.2%18.69%	47.2%6.02%				65.1%1.73%
Pittsburgh Steelers	37.1%1.41%	32.4%3.94%		30.1%1.83%	49.6%1.13%	34.9%1.73%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers		31.6%0.24%	32.6%0.48%		27.1%0.28%	27.6%0.38%	13.8%2.26%
Chicago Bears	68.4%0.24%			36.8%4.10%		44.0%3.49%	25.0%16.60%
Green Bay Packers	67.4%0.48%			33.9%5.71%	44.7%2.76%	41.3%2.46%
Los Angeles Rams		63.2%4.10%	66.1%5.71%		57.6%4.49%	59.6%4.27%	39.7%27.08%
Philadelphia Eagles	72.9%0.28%		55.3%2.76%	42.4%4.49%			29.3%17.84%
San Francisco 49ers	72.4%0.38%	56.0%3.49%	58.7%2.46%	40.4%4.27%			33.2%7.57%
Seattle Seahawks	86.2%2.26%	75.0%16.60%		60.3%27.08%	70.7%17.84%	66.8%7.57%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Jacksonville Jaguars	Los Angeles Chargers	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills	74.7%0.08%	65.3%0.78%	60.5%0.47%	52.0%2.33%	60.2%0.93%	59.3%0.85%	43.8%5.24%
Denver Broncos	80.6%0.23%	63.7%2.34%	59.5%1.45%	48.9%7.19%	59.7%2.90%	53.9%2.47%	43.6%15.57%
Houston Texans	84.4%0.14%	67.3%1.35%	65.4%0.79%	53.0%4.16%	59.4%1.61%	59.6%1.48%	46.2%8.90%
Jacksonville Jaguars	79.0%0.10%	63.9%1.24%	61.4%0.74%	51.4%3.54%	60.1%1.39%	52.6%1.26%	45.7%7.49%
Los Angeles Chargers	93.3%0.01%	56.6%0.30%	46.5%0.20%	38.1%0.87%	47.9%0.35%	49.1%0.29%	33.0%1.90%
New England Patriots	71.3%0.12%	59.4%1.10%	57.6%0.69%	46.2%3.38%	54.6%1.36%	51.6%1.29%	41.8%7.59%
Pittsburgh Steelers	63.6%0.03%	48.2%0.25%	48.1%0.16%	34.1%0.79%	50.5%0.30%	39.3%0.27%	31.4%1.70%
Carolina Panthers								25.3%0.08%	19.4%0.23%	15.6%0.14%	21.0%0.10%	6.7%0.01%	28.7%0.12%	36.4%0.03%
Chicago Bears								34.7%0.78%	36.3%2.34%	32.7%1.35%	36.1%1.24%	43.4%0.30%	40.6%1.10%	51.8%0.25%
Green Bay Packers								39.5%0.47%	40.5%1.45%	34.6%0.79%	38.6%0.74%	53.5%0.20%	42.4%0.69%	51.9%0.16%
Los Angeles Rams								48.0%2.33%	51.1%7.19%	47.0%4.16%	48.6%3.54%	61.9%0.87%	53.8%3.38%	65.9%0.79%
Philadelphia Eagles								39.8%0.93%	40.3%2.90%	40.6%1.61%	39.9%1.39%	52.1%0.35%	45.4%1.36%	49.5%0.30%
San Francisco 49ers								40.7%0.85%	46.1%2.47%	40.4%1.48%	47.4%1.26%	50.9%0.29%	48.4%1.29%	60.7%0.27%
Seattle Seahawks								56.2%5.24%	56.4%15.57%	53.8%8.90%	54.3%7.49%	67.0%1.90%	58.2%7.59%	68.6%1.70%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Seattle Seahawks 27.43% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

49.05%

Win Prob

75.42%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

33.73%

Win Prob

60.27%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

31.99%

Win Prob

56.36%

Denver Broncos 15.92% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Matchup

37.63%

Win Prob

66.83%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

33.03%

Win Prob

56.84%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

42.69%

Win Prob

43.64%

Los Angeles Rams 11.35% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

83.28%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

30.19%

Win Prob

62.48%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

48.33%

Win Prob

39.73%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

32.40%

Win Prob

51.13%

Houston Texans 9.69% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.84%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

35.52%

Win Prob

48.38%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

36.66%

Win Prob

49.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

42.48%

Win Prob

46.24%

Jacksonville Jaguars 8.07% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.16%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

63.45%

Win Prob

51.30%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

55.87%

Win Prob

48.32%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

42.41%

Win Prob

45.68%

New England Patriots 7.28% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.55%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

53.97%

Win Prob

48.70%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

51.93%

Win Prob

43.16%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.55%

Win Prob

41.79%

Buffalo Bills 5.43% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.84%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

65.06%

Win Prob

46.19%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

34.29%

Win Prob

51.14%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

42.26%

Win Prob

43.79%

Philadelphia Eagles 3.70% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.48%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

55.86%

Win Prob

52.28%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

58.98%

Win Prob

29.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

31.62%

Win Prob

40.31%

San Francisco 49ers 3.62% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.53%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

44.79%

Win Prob

30.71%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

31.78%

Win Prob

33.21%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

31.44%

Win Prob

46.07%

Chicago Bears 2.71% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.60%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

52.93%

Win Prob

47.72%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

56.41%

Win Prob

24.99%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

31.29%

Win Prob

36.27%

Green Bay Packers 1.82% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.40%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.58%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

42.94%

Win Prob

33.88%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

32.38%

Win Prob

40.47%

Los Angeles Chargers 1.54% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.45%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.17%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

31.93%

Win Prob

34.24%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

40.52%

Win Prob

32.96%

Pittsburgh Steelers 1.28% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.16%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

35.42%

Win Prob

30.72%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

36.32%

Win Prob

32.38%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

41.59%

Win Prob

31.36%

Carolina Panthers 0.16% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

16.72%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

33.60%

Win Prob

27.47%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.13%

Win Prob

13.75%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

28.85%

Win Prob

19.40%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2025-09-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-13	1491.86	1434.80	54.26%	45.26%	+24.37	1-0
2025-09-14	Carolina Panthers	W 27-22	1516.23	1379.16	71.61%	27.99%	+12.75	2-0
2025-09-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 15-16	1528.98	1502.96	49.81%	49.72%	-10.14	2-1
2025-09-25	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-23	1518.84	1572.30	45.78%	53.75%	-16.13	2-2
2025-10-05	Tennessee Titans	L 21-22	1502.71	1304.33	78.19%	21.47%	-15.88	2-3
2025-10-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-31	1486.83	1557.43	36.28%	63.27%	-14.78	2-4
2025-10-19	Green Bay Packers	L 23-27	1472.05	1615.96	33.42%	66.15%	-13.61	2-5
2025-11-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-17	1458.44	1474.51	43.79%	55.74%	+35.84	3-5
2025-11-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 22-44	1494.28	1654.61	25.38%	74.24%	-24.24	3-6
2025-11-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-41	1470.04	1486.11	51.15%	48.38%	-45.36	3-7
2025-11-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-27	1424.68	1518.94	40.04%	59.50%	-14.12	3-8
2025-11-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1410.56	1507.56	32.86%	66.72%	-11.59	3-9
2025-12-07	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-45	1398.97	1687.91	17.93%	81.78%	-19.30	3-10
2025-12-14	@ Houston Texans	L 20-40	1379.67	1654.84	14.97%	84.77%	-13.61	3-11
2025-12-21	Atlanta Falcons	L 19-26	1366.06	1382.80	51.05%	48.48%	-27.48	3-12
2025-12-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-37	1338.58	1437.69	32.59%	66.99%	-31.83	3-13
2026-01-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 20-37	1306.75	1687.87	8.74%	91.08%	-7.33	3-14
2025-09-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-23	1452.65	1546.72	40.06%	59.48%	-14.13	0-1
2025-09-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 22-6	1438.52	1553.51	30.62%	68.97%	+56.06	1-1
2025-09-21	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-30	1494.58	1366.41	64.10%	35.46%	-71.36	1-2
2025-09-28	Washington Commanders	W 34-27	1423.22	1581.55	31.61%	67.98%	+36.55	2-2
2025-10-13	Buffalo Bills	W 24-14	1459.77	1643.26	28.57%	71.03%	+45.63	3-2
2025-10-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-20	1505.40	1485.61	48.91%	50.61%	-31.47	3-3
2025-10-26	Miami Dolphins	L 10-34	1473.93	1337.20	71.57%	28.03%	-71.24	3-4
2025-11-02	@ New England Patriots	L 23-24	1402.69	1544.85	27.41%	72.20%	-5.58	3-5
2025-11-09	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 25-31	1397.11	1584.80	22.53%	77.13%	-11.23	3-6
2025-11-16	Carolina Panthers	L 27-30	1385.88	1388.59	53.06%	46.46%	-18.70	3-7
2025-11-23	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-10	1367.18	1354.75	47.86%	51.67%	+39.33	4-7
2025-11-30	@ New York Jets	L 24-27	1406.51	1337.29	55.99%	43.54%	-19.72	4-8
2025-12-07	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-37	1386.79	1689.54	16.79%	82.93%	-18.08	4-9
2025-12-11	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 29-28	1368.71	1486.75	30.25%	69.34%	+14.09	5-9
2025-12-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 26-19	1382.80	1366.06	48.48%	51.05%	+27.48	6-9
2025-12-29	Los Angeles Rams	W 27-24	1410.28	1717.14	16.46%	83.26%	+29.27	7-9
2026-01-04	New Orleans Saints	W 19-17	1439.55	1417.84	56.54%	42.99%	+12.38	8-9
2025-09-07	@ Buffalo Bills	L 40-41	1618.53	1614.36	46.67%	52.86%	-9.50	0-1
2025-09-14	Cleveland Browns	W 41-17	1609.03	1396.82	79.51%	20.17%	+20.11	1-1
2025-09-22	Detroit Lions	L 30-38	1629.14	1592.80	58.59%	40.94%	-33.70	1-2
2025-09-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-37	1595.44	1555.14	51.86%	47.66%	-43.50	1-3
2025-10-05	Houston Texans	L 10-44	1551.94	1493.26	61.67%	37.88%	-73.10	1-4
2025-10-12	Los Angeles Rams	L 3-17	1478.84	1561.55	41.64%	57.89%	-31.72	1-5
2025-10-26	Chicago Bears	W 30-16	1447.12	1488.93	47.45%	52.08%	+39.64	2-5
2025-10-30	@ Miami Dolphins	W 28-6	1486.76	1408.43	57.28%	42.26%	+40.35	3-5
2025-11-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-19	1527.11	1507.43	48.90%	50.63%	+29.13	4-5
2025-11-16	@ Cleveland Browns	W 23-16	1556.24	1349.28	73.72%	25.90%	+13.96	5-5
2025-11-23	New York Jets	W 23-10	1570.20	1351.67	80.10%	19.59%	+14.37	6-5
2025-11-27	Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-32	1584.57	1353.19	81.24%	18.45%	-69.98	6-6
2025-12-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 22-27	1514.59	1475.12	59.03%	40.51%	-26.83	6-7
2025-12-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-0	1487.76	1414.05	56.63%	42.91%	+42.79	7-7
2025-12-21	New England Patriots	L 24-28	1530.55	1597.52	43.86%	55.68%	-17.86	7-8
2025-12-27	@ Green Bay Packers	W 41-24	1512.69	1630.11	30.32%	69.27%	+58.03	8-8
2026-01-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-26	1570.72	1522.62	52.98%	46.54%	-15.24	8-9
2025-09-07	Baltimore Ravens	W 41-40	1614.36	1618.53	52.86%	46.67%	+9.49	1-0
2025-09-14	@ New York Jets	W 30-10	1623.85	1453.92	69.41%	30.18%	+27.50	2-0
2025-09-18	Miami Dolphins	W 31-21	1651.35	1404.80	82.53%	17.18%	+11.05	3-0
2025-09-28	New Orleans Saints	W 31-19	1662.40	1360.97	86.61%	13.15%	+9.26	4-0
2025-10-05	New England Patriots	L 20-23	1671.66	1445.58	80.78%	18.92%	-28.40	4-1
2025-10-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-24	1643.26	1459.77	71.03%	28.57%	-45.64	4-2
2025-10-26	@ Carolina Panthers	W 40-9	1597.62	1440.50	67.82%	31.76%	+36.01	5-2
2025-11-02	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-21	1633.63	1668.45	48.45%	51.08%	+27.49	6-2
2025-11-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-30	1661.12	1368.08	82.12%	17.58%	-68.74	6-3
2025-11-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 44-32	1592.38	1564.72	57.38%	42.15%	+29.73	7-3
2025-11-20	@ Houston Texans	L 19-23	1622.11	1578.88	52.29%	47.24%	-21.27	7-4
2025-11-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-7	1600.84	1511.23	58.86%	40.68%	+36.10	8-4
2025-12-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 39-34	1636.94	1423.17	79.66%	20.02%	+9.12	9-4
2025-12-14	@ New England Patriots	W 35-31	1646.06	1617.60	50.16%	49.37%	+20.09	10-4
2025-12-21	@ Cleveland Browns	W 23-20	1666.15	1307.15	87.02%	12.75%	+4.49	11-4
2025-12-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 12-13	1670.64	1629.00	59.33%	40.21%	-12.07	11-5
2026-01-04	New York Jets	W 35-8	1658.57	1249.50	92.30%	7.55%	+7.96	12-5
2025-09-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-26	1414.77	1431.17	43.74%	55.79%	-35.61	0-1
2025-09-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 22-27	1379.16	1516.23	27.99%	71.61%	-12.75	0-2
2025-09-21	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-0	1366.41	1494.58	35.46%	64.10%	+71.35	1-2
2025-09-28	@ New England Patriots	L 13-42	1437.76	1387.15	53.34%	46.18%	-58.42	1-3
2025-10-05	Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1379.34	1418.49	47.83%	51.70%	+18.21	2-3
2025-10-12	Dallas Cowboys	W 30-27	1397.55	1461.15	44.33%	55.20%	+19.44	3-3
2025-10-19	@ New York Jets	W 13-6	1416.99	1348.50	55.89%	43.64%	+23.51	4-3
2025-10-26	Buffalo Bills	L 9-40	1440.50	1597.62	31.76%	67.82%	-36.01	4-4
2025-11-02	@ Green Bay Packers	W 16-13	1404.49	1654.24	16.92%	82.79%	+29.11	5-4
2025-11-09	New Orleans Saints	L 7-17	1433.60	1309.74	70.05%	29.55%	-45.01	5-5
2025-11-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-27	1388.59	1385.88	46.46%	53.06%	+18.70	6-5
2025-11-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 9-20	1407.29	1531.47	29.51%	70.09%	-19.93	6-6
2025-11-30	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-28	1387.36	1717.81	14.69%	85.06%	+29.90	7-6
2025-12-14	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1417.26	1336.42	57.63%	41.90%	-20.30	7-7
2025-12-21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-20	1396.96	1472.66	42.62%	56.91%	+20.04	8-7
2025-12-28	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-27	1417.00	1723.87	16.46%	83.26%	-13.81	8-8
2026-01-03	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-16	1403.19	1433.81	41.74%	57.80%	-12.02	8-9
2025-09-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1440.15	1539.64	39.32%	60.23%	-13.86	0-1
2025-09-14	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-52	1426.29	1560.72	28.30%	71.31%	-32.09	0-2
2025-09-21	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-14	1394.20	1467.53	42.96%	56.58%	+47.43	1-2
2025-09-28	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 25-24	1441.63	1401.00	51.91%	47.62%	+9.69	2-2
2025-10-13	@ Washington Commanders	W 25-24	1451.32	1591.79	27.60%	72.01%	+14.63	3-2
2025-10-19	New Orleans Saints	W 26-14	1465.95	1366.68	67.01%	32.57%	+22.98	4-2
2025-10-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 16-30	1488.93	1447.12	52.08%	47.45%	-39.64	4-3
2025-11-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 47-42	1449.29	1418.03	50.56%	48.96%	+22.27	5-3
2025-11-09	New York Giants	W 24-20	1471.56	1370.07	67.29%	32.29%	+13.16	6-3
2025-11-16	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 19-17	1484.72	1478.29	46.99%	52.53%	+15.11	7-3
2025-11-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-28	1499.83	1528.94	49.27%	50.26%	+17.71	8-3
2025-11-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-15	1517.54	1666.31	26.66%	72.96%	+44.46	9-3
2025-12-07	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-28	1562.00	1669.67	31.52%	68.06%	-16.98	9-4
2025-12-14	Cleveland Browns	W 31-3	1545.02	1328.44	79.92%	19.77%	+21.29	10-4
2025-12-20	Green Bay Packers	W 22-16	1566.31	1659.68	40.16%	59.38%	+29.57	11-4
2025-12-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 38-42	1595.88	1625.32	41.91%	57.63%	-17.06	11-5
2026-01-04	Detroit Lions	L 16-19	1578.82	1547.57	57.88%	41.65%	-20.39	11-6
2025-09-07	@ Cleveland Browns	W 17-16	1537.03	1403.91	64.75%	34.82%	+7.09	1-0
2025-09-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-27	1544.12	1466.79	64.17%	35.39%	+14.42	2-0
2025-09-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-48	1558.54	1497.45	54.84%	44.69%	-68.75	2-1
2025-09-29	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-28	1489.79	1524.42	41.18%	58.36%	-41.92	2-2
2025-10-05	Detroit Lions	L 24-37	1447.87	1645.71	26.92%	72.70%	-19.77	2-3
2025-10-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-27	1428.10	1601.29	24.01%	75.63%	-14.67	2-4
2025-10-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 33-31	1413.43	1541.03	35.54%	64.02%	+18.41	3-4
2025-10-26	New York Jets	L 38-39	1431.84	1325.00	67.96%	31.62%	-13.81	3-5
2025-11-02	Chicago Bears	L 42-47	1418.03	1449.29	48.96%	50.56%	-22.28	3-6
2025-11-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-34	1395.75	1498.21	32.17%	67.41%	-30.73	3-7
2025-11-23	New England Patriots	L 20-26	1365.02	1592.28	23.73%	75.91%	-11.83	3-8
2025-11-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 32-14	1353.19	1584.57	18.45%	81.24%	+69.98	4-8
2025-12-07	@ Buffalo Bills	L 34-39	1423.17	1636.94	20.02%	79.66%	-9.12	4-9
2025-12-14	Baltimore Ravens	L 0-24	1414.05	1487.76	42.91%	56.63%	-42.79	4-10
2025-12-21	@ Miami Dolphins	W 45-21	1371.26	1468.27	32.85%	66.72%	+66.43	5-10
2025-12-28	Arizona Cardinals	W 37-14	1437.69	1338.58	66.99%	32.59%	+31.83	6-10
2026-01-04	Cleveland Browns	L 18-20	1469.52	1345.33	70.09%	29.51%	-20.14	6-11
2025-09-07	Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-17	1403.91	1537.03	34.82%	64.75%	-7.09	0-1
2025-09-14	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-41	1396.82	1609.03	20.17%	79.51%	-20.11	0-2
2025-09-21	Green Bay Packers	W 13-10	1376.71	1631.10	21.03%	78.64%	+27.66	1-2
2025-09-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-34	1404.37	1626.50	19.27%	80.42%	-19.21	1-3
2025-10-05	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-21	1385.16	1546.69	31.21%	68.37%	-12.71	1-4
2025-10-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-23	1372.45	1520.67	26.72%	72.90%	-20.36	1-5
2025-10-19	Miami Dolphins	W 31-6	1352.09	1389.53	48.07%	51.45%	+52.33	2-5
2025-10-26	@ New England Patriots	L 13-32	1404.42	1517.46	30.86%	68.73%	-27.39	2-6
2025-11-09	@ New York Jets	L 20-27	1377.03	1338.81	51.57%	47.96%	-27.75	2-7
2025-11-16	Baltimore Ravens	L 16-23	1349.28	1556.24	25.90%	73.72%	-13.96	2-8
2025-11-23	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 24-10	1335.32	1316.10	48.83%	50.69%	+38.59	3-8
2025-11-30	San Francisco 49ers	L 8-26	1373.91	1551.40	29.28%	70.32%	-25.30	3-9
2025-12-07	Tennessee Titans	L 29-31	1348.61	1223.40	70.21%	29.38%	-20.17	3-10
2025-12-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-31	1328.44	1545.02	19.77%	79.92%	-21.29	3-11
2025-12-21	Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1307.15	1666.15	12.75%	87.02%	-4.49	3-12
2025-12-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 13-6	1302.66	1565.29	20.26%	79.42%	+42.67	4-12
2026-01-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-18	1345.33	1469.52	29.51%	70.09%	+20.14	5-12
2025-09-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-24	1463.42	1654.73	22.17%	77.49%	-9.03	0-1
2025-09-14	New York Giants	W 40-37	1454.39	1390.99	62.31%	37.24%	+13.14	1-1
2025-09-21	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-31	1467.53	1394.20	56.58%	42.96%	-47.44	1-2
2025-09-28	Green Bay Packers	T 40-40	1420.09	1603.44	28.59%	71.02%	+2.16	1-2
2025-10-05	@ New York Jets	W 37-22	1422.25	1393.84	50.15%	49.37%	+38.90	2-2
2025-10-12	@ Carolina Panthers	L 27-30	1461.15	1397.55	55.20%	44.33%	-19.44	2-3
2025-10-19	Washington Commanders	W 44-22	1441.71	1577.16	34.51%	65.05%	+62.01	3-3
2025-10-26	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-44	1503.72	1606.95	32.07%	67.51%	-29.21	3-4
2025-11-03	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-27	1474.51	1458.44	55.74%	43.79%	-35.84	3-5
2025-11-17	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 33-16	1438.67	1350.40	58.67%	40.87%	+34.30	4-5
2025-11-23	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-21	1472.97	1692.74	24.52%	75.12%	+26.43	5-5
2025-11-27	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-28	1499.40	1640.27	33.81%	65.76%	+23.15	6-5
2025-12-04	@ Detroit Lions	L 30-44	1522.55	1612.81	33.71%	65.86%	-25.69	6-6
2025-12-14	Minnesota Vikings	L 26-34	1496.86	1471.57	57.05%	42.49%	-32.81	6-7
2025-12-21	Los Angeles Chargers	L 17-34	1464.05	1572.96	38.03%	61.51%	-31.94	6-8
2025-12-25	@ Washington Commanders	W 30-23	1432.11	1367.94	55.28%	44.25%	+23.84	7-8
2026-01-04	@ New York Giants	L 17-34	1455.95	1334.14	63.25%	36.30%	-53.01	7-9
2025-09-07	Tennessee Titans	W 20-12	1532.85	1404.46	70.59%	29.01%	+16.71	1-0
2025-09-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 28-29	1549.56	1506.43	52.27%	47.26%	-10.64	1-1
2025-09-21	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 20-23	1538.92	1573.96	41.12%	58.41%	-14.50	1-2
2025-09-29	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-3	1524.42	1489.79	58.36%	41.18%	+41.92	2-2
2025-10-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-17	1566.34	1712.79	26.92%	72.69%	+29.54	3-2
2025-10-12	@ New York Jets	W 13-11	1595.88	1354.93	77.32%	22.34%	+6.43	4-2
2025-10-19	New York Giants	W 33-32	1602.31	1417.32	76.85%	22.80%	+4.64	5-2
2025-10-26	Dallas Cowboys	W 44-24	1606.95	1503.72	67.51%	32.07%	+29.21	6-2
2025-11-02	@ Houston Texans	W 18-15	1636.16	1570.92	55.43%	44.10%	+15.55	7-2
2025-11-06	Las Vegas Raiders	W 10-7	1651.71	1355.15	86.29%	13.47%	+4.75	8-2
2025-11-16	Kansas City Chiefs	W 22-19	1656.46	1640.96	55.66%	43.87%	+15.46	9-2
2025-11-30	@ Washington Commanders	W 27-26	1671.92	1409.26	79.42%	20.25%	+4.13	10-2
2025-12-07	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 24-17	1676.05	1262.60	90.16%	9.66%	+5.19	11-2
2025-12-14	Green Bay Packers	W 34-26	1681.24	1686.65	52.68%	46.85%	+26.97	12-2
2025-12-21	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-34	1708.21	1606.25	67.35%	32.23%	-51.21	12-3
2025-12-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-13	1657.00	1491.74	68.83%	30.75%	+16.57	13-3
2026-01-04	Los Angeles Chargers	W 19-3	1673.57	1586.96	65.38%	34.18%	+27.85	14-3
2025-09-07	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-27	1599.44	1566.05	50.87%	48.65%	-38.72	0-1
2025-09-14	Chicago Bears	W 52-21	1560.72	1426.29	71.31%	28.30%	+32.08	1-1
2025-09-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 38-30	1592.80	1629.14	40.94%	58.59%	+33.70	2-1
2025-09-28	Cleveland Browns	W 34-10	1626.50	1404.37	80.42%	19.27%	+19.21	3-1
2025-10-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 37-24	1645.71	1447.87	72.70%	26.92%	+19.77	4-1
2025-10-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-30	1665.48	1577.80	58.59%	40.95%	-42.96	4-2
2025-10-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-9	1622.52	1604.24	56.06%	43.47%	+34.28	5-2
2025-11-02	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1656.80	1480.71	75.93%	23.71%	-26.71	5-3
2025-11-09	@ Washington Commanders	W 44-22	1630.09	1452.91	70.28%	29.32%	+28.00	6-3
2025-11-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-16	1658.09	1668.74	44.56%	54.97%	-23.99	6-4
2025-11-23	New York Giants	W 34-27	1634.10	1345.41	85.74%	14.01%	+7.53	7-4
2025-11-27	Green Bay Packers	L 24-31	1641.63	1640.84	53.57%	45.96%	-28.82	7-5
2025-12-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 44-30	1612.81	1522.55	65.86%	33.71%	+25.69	8-5
2025-12-14	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 34-41	1638.50	1707.21	36.53%	63.02%	-19.69	8-6
2025-12-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-29	1618.81	1535.79	64.92%	34.65%	-29.50	8-7
2025-12-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-23	1589.31	1513.47	56.93%	42.60%	-41.74	8-8
2026-01-04	@ Chicago Bears	W 19-16	1547.57	1578.82	41.65%	57.88%	+20.39	9-8
2025-09-07	Detroit Lions	W 27-13	1566.05	1599.44	48.65%	50.87%	+38.72	1-0
2025-09-11	Washington Commanders	W 27-18	1604.77	1583.95	56.42%	43.12%	+26.33	2-0
2025-09-21	@ Cleveland Browns	L 10-13	1631.10	1376.71	78.64%	21.03%	-27.66	2-1
2025-09-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	T 40-40	1603.44	1420.09	71.02%	28.59%	-2.15	2-1
2025-10-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-18	1601.29	1428.10	75.63%	24.01%	+14.67	3-1
2025-10-19	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-23	1615.96	1472.05	66.15%	33.42%	+13.61	4-1
2025-10-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-25	1629.57	1522.63	61.25%	38.30%	+24.67	5-1
2025-11-02	Carolina Panthers	L 13-16	1654.24	1404.49	82.79%	16.92%	-29.12	5-2
2025-11-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-10	1625.12	1651.22	49.70%	49.82%	-17.51	5-3
2025-11-16	@ New York Giants	W 27-20	1607.61	1356.92	78.28%	21.38%	+11.52	6-3
2025-11-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-6	1619.13	1463.18	73.76%	25.86%	+21.71	7-3
2025-11-27	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1640.84	1641.63	45.96%	53.57%	+28.83	8-3
2025-12-07	Chicago Bears	W 28-21	1669.67	1562.00	68.06%	31.52%	+16.98	9-3
2025-12-14	@ Denver Broncos	L 26-34	1686.65	1681.24	46.85%	52.68%	-26.97	9-4
2025-12-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 16-22	1659.68	1566.31	59.38%	40.16%	-29.57	9-5
2025-12-27	Baltimore Ravens	L 24-41	1630.11	1512.69	69.27%	30.32%	-58.03	9-6
2026-01-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-16	1572.08	1555.21	48.49%	51.03%	-11.86	9-7
2025-09-07	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 9-14	1520.02	1535.91	43.81%	55.72%	-19.94	0-1
2025-09-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 19-20	1500.08	1560.85	44.74%	54.79%	-9.11	0-2
2025-09-21	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-17	1490.97	1452.38	51.62%	47.91%	-27.78	0-3
2025-09-28	Tennessee Titans	W 26-0	1463.19	1334.40	70.64%	28.96%	+30.07	1-3
2025-10-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 44-10	1493.26	1551.94	37.88%	61.67%	+73.10	2-3
2025-10-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 19-27	1566.36	1595.56	41.94%	57.60%	-24.15	2-4
2025-10-26	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-15	1542.21	1517.08	57.02%	42.51%	+28.71	3-4
2025-11-02	Denver Broncos	L 15-18	1570.92	1636.16	44.10%	55.43%	-15.55	3-5
2025-11-09	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 36-29	1555.37	1464.92	65.88%	33.69%	+18.15	4-5
2025-11-16	@ Tennessee Titans	W 16-13	1573.52	1250.17	84.53%	15.20%	+5.36	5-5
2025-11-20	Buffalo Bills	W 23-19	1578.88	1622.11	47.24%	52.29%	+21.27	6-5
2025-11-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 20-16	1600.15	1581.26	48.78%	50.74%	+20.64	7-5
2025-12-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-10	1620.79	1617.12	46.60%	52.93%	+34.05	8-5
2025-12-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 40-20	1654.84	1379.67	84.77%	14.97%	+13.61	9-5
2025-12-21	Las Vegas Raiders	W 23-21	1668.45	1245.39	92.85%	7.00%	+2.02	10-5
2025-12-27	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 20-16	1670.47	1604.89	55.48%	44.05%	+17.93	11-5
2026-01-04	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-30	1688.40	1459.50	81.03%	18.67%	+10.75	12-5
2025-09-07	Miami Dolphins	W 33-8	1454.90	1486.78	48.87%	50.65%	+51.53	1-0
2025-09-14	Denver Broncos	W 29-28	1506.43	1549.56	47.26%	52.27%	+10.63	2-0
2025-09-21	@ Tennessee Titans	W 41-20	1517.06	1364.58	67.24%	32.34%	+30.18	3-0
2025-09-28	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 20-27	1547.24	1561.37	44.06%	55.47%	-23.73	3-1
2025-10-05	Las Vegas Raiders	W 40-6	1523.51	1391.31	71.04%	28.56%	+33.92	4-1
2025-10-12	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-27	1557.43	1486.83	63.27%	36.28%	+14.77	5-1
2025-10-19	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 38-24	1572.20	1525.45	52.79%	46.74%	+35.59	6-1
2025-10-26	Tennessee Titans	W 38-14	1607.79	1270.92	88.80%	11.00%	+10.95	7-1
2025-11-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-27	1618.74	1497.96	63.11%	36.44%	-33.94	7-2
2025-11-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-25	1584.80	1397.11	77.13%	22.53%	+11.23	8-2
2025-11-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-23	1596.03	1625.49	41.90%	57.63%	-14.77	8-3
2025-11-30	Houston Texans	L 16-20	1581.26	1600.15	50.74%	48.78%	-20.65	8-4
2025-12-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 19-36	1560.61	1549.86	47.62%	51.91%	-39.95	8-5
2025-12-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-18	1520.66	1707.61	22.60%	77.05%	-6.51	8-6
2025-12-22	San Francisco 49ers	L 27-48	1514.15	1584.91	43.32%	56.21%	-40.41	8-7
2025-12-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-23	1473.74	1657.46	28.54%	71.06%	-14.24	8-8
2026-01-04	@ Houston Texans	L 30-38	1459.50	1688.40	18.67%	81.03%	-10.75	8-9
2025-09-07	Carolina Panthers	W 26-10	1431.17	1414.77	55.79%	43.74%	+35.62	1-0
2025-09-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 27-31	1466.79	1544.12	35.39%	64.17%	-14.41	1-1
2025-09-21	Houston Texans	W 17-10	1452.38	1490.97	47.91%	51.62%	+27.78	2-1
2025-09-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-21	1480.16	1513.10	41.42%	58.12%	+26.42	3-1
2025-10-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-28	1506.58	1598.65	40.34%	59.20%	+20.85	4-1
2025-10-12	Seattle Seahawks	L 12-20	1527.43	1568.16	47.60%	51.93%	-27.40	4-2
2025-10-19	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-35	1500.03	1593.27	40.18%	59.36%	-43.29	4-3
2025-11-02	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 30-29	1456.74	1363.33	59.39%	40.15%	+8.18	5-3
2025-11-09	@ Houston Texans	L 29-36	1464.92	1555.37	33.69%	65.88%	-18.15	5-4
2025-11-16	Los Angeles Chargers	W 35-6	1446.77	1589.14	33.62%	65.95%	+72.17	6-4
2025-11-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-24	1518.94	1424.68	59.50%	40.04%	+14.12	7-4
2025-11-30	@ Tennessee Titans	W 25-3	1533.06	1240.19	82.11%	17.60%	+16.80	8-4
2025-12-07	Indianapolis Colts	W 36-19	1549.86	1560.61	51.91%	47.62%	+39.95	9-4
2025-12-14	New York Jets	W 48-20	1589.81	1318.79	84.46%	15.27%	+16.44	10-4
2025-12-21	@ Denver Broncos	W 34-20	1606.25	1708.21	32.23%	67.35%	+51.21	11-4
2025-12-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-17	1657.46	1473.74	71.06%	28.54%	+14.24	12-4
2026-01-04	Tennessee Titans	W 41-7	1671.70	1282.78	91.44%	8.39%	+9.94	13-4
2025-09-05	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 21-27	1571.00	1520.43	53.34%	46.19%	-26.57	0-1
2025-09-14	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-20	1544.43	1663.75	36.63%	62.92%	-12.92	0-2
2025-09-21	@ New York Giants	W 22-9	1531.51	1377.85	67.39%	32.19%	+23.63	1-2
2025-09-28	Baltimore Ravens	W 37-20	1555.14	1595.44	47.66%	51.86%	+43.51	2-2
2025-10-06	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 28-31	1598.65	1506.58	59.20%	40.34%	-20.85	2-3
2025-10-12	Detroit Lions	W 30-17	1577.80	1665.48	40.95%	58.59%	+42.95	3-3
2025-10-19	Las Vegas Raiders	W 31-0	1620.75	1383.68	81.73%	17.97%	+20.36	4-3
2025-10-27	Washington Commanders	W 28-7	1641.11	1515.15	70.30%	29.30%	+27.34	5-3
2025-11-02	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-28	1668.45	1633.63	51.08%	48.45%	-27.49	5-4
2025-11-16	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-22	1640.96	1656.46	43.87%	55.66%	-15.47	5-5
2025-11-23	Indianapolis Colts	W 23-20	1625.49	1596.03	57.63%	41.90%	+14.78	6-5
2025-11-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 28-31	1640.27	1499.40	65.76%	33.81%	-23.15	6-6
2025-12-07	Houston Texans	L 10-20	1617.12	1620.79	52.93%	46.60%	-34.04	6-7
2025-12-14	Los Angeles Chargers	L 13-16	1583.08	1552.61	57.77%	41.76%	-20.35	6-8
2025-12-21	@ Tennessee Titans	L 9-26	1562.73	1235.36	84.83%	14.91%	-70.99	6-9
2025-12-25	Denver Broncos	L 13-20	1491.74	1657.00	30.75%	68.83%	-16.57	6-10
2026-01-04	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 12-14	1475.17	1196.35	80.90%	18.80%	-23.23	6-11
2025-09-07	@ New England Patriots	W 20-13	1424.41	1407.82	48.45%	51.07%	+27.49	1-0
2025-09-15	Los Angeles Chargers	L 9-20	1451.90	1547.00	39.92%	59.62%	-26.96	1-1
2025-09-21	@ Washington Commanders	L 24-41	1424.94	1557.61	28.50%	71.10%	-23.94	1-2
2025-09-28	Chicago Bears	L 24-25	1401.00	1441.63	47.62%	51.91%	-9.69	1-3
2025-10-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-40	1391.31	1523.51	28.56%	71.04%	-33.91	1-4
2025-10-12	Tennessee Titans	W 20-10	1357.40	1320.21	58.71%	40.83%	+26.28	2-4
2025-10-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-31	1383.68	1620.75	17.97%	81.73%	-20.35	2-5
2025-11-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 29-30	1363.33	1456.74	40.15%	59.39%	-8.18	2-6
2025-11-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-10	1355.15	1651.71	13.47%	86.29%	-4.75	2-7
2025-11-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 16-33	1350.40	1438.67	40.87%	58.67%	-34.30	2-8
2025-11-23	Cleveland Browns	L 10-24	1316.10	1335.32	50.69%	48.83%	-38.59	2-9
2025-11-30	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 14-31	1277.51	1516.96	17.77%	81.94%	-14.91	2-10
2025-12-07	Denver Broncos	L 17-24	1262.60	1676.05	9.66%	90.16%	-5.19	2-11
2025-12-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-31	1257.41	1601.10	10.62%	89.18%	-12.02	2-12
2025-12-21	@ Houston Texans	L 21-23	1245.39	1668.45	7.00%	92.85%	-2.01	2-13
2025-12-28	New York Giants	L 10-34	1243.38	1287.11	47.17%	52.36%	-47.03	2-14
2026-01-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 14-12	1196.35	1475.17	18.80%	80.90%	+23.23	3-14
2025-09-05	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-21	1520.43	1571.00	46.19%	53.34%	+26.57	1-0
2025-09-15	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 20-9	1547.00	1451.90	59.62%	39.92%	+26.96	2-0
2025-09-21	Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1573.96	1538.92	58.41%	41.12%	+14.50	3-0
2025-09-28	@ New York Giants	L 18-21	1588.46	1354.22	76.64%	23.01%	-26.96	3-1
2025-10-05	Washington Commanders	L 10-27	1561.50	1545.00	55.80%	43.73%	-46.79	3-2
2025-10-12	@ Miami Dolphins	W 29-27	1514.71	1400.27	62.26%	37.29%	+10.74	4-2
2025-10-19	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-38	1525.45	1572.20	46.74%	52.79%	-35.59	4-3
2025-10-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 37-10	1489.86	1536.49	46.75%	52.77%	+55.78	5-3
2025-11-02	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-20	1545.64	1259.98	81.50%	18.20%	+9.80	6-3
2025-11-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 25-10	1555.44	1531.91	56.80%	42.73%	+33.70	7-3
2025-11-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-35	1589.14	1446.77	65.95%	33.62%	-72.18	7-4
2025-11-30	Las Vegas Raiders	W 31-14	1516.96	1277.51	81.94%	17.77%	+14.91	8-4
2025-12-08	Philadelphia Eagles	W 22-19	1531.87	1621.85	40.63%	58.91%	+20.74	9-4
2025-12-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-13	1552.61	1583.08	41.76%	57.77%	+20.35	10-4
2025-12-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-17	1572.96	1464.05	61.51%	38.03%	+31.93	11-4
2025-12-27	Houston Texans	L 16-20	1604.89	1670.47	44.05%	55.48%	-17.93	11-5
2026-01-04	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-19	1586.96	1673.57	34.18%	65.38%	-27.85	11-6
2025-09-07	Houston Texans	W 14-9	1535.91	1520.02	55.72%	43.81%	+19.94	1-0
2025-09-14	@ Tennessee Titans	W 33-19	1555.85	1387.75	69.18%	30.41%	+23.18	2-0
2025-09-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 26-33	1579.03	1676.68	32.77%	66.80%	-17.66	2-1
2025-09-28	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-20	1561.37	1547.24	55.47%	44.06%	+23.73	3-1
2025-10-02	San Francisco 49ers	L 23-26	1585.10	1486.67	66.90%	32.67%	-23.55	3-2
2025-10-12	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 17-3	1561.55	1478.84	57.89%	41.64%	+31.72	4-2
2025-10-19	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 35-7	1593.27	1500.03	59.36%	40.18%	+43.29	5-2
2025-11-02	New Orleans Saints	W 34-10	1636.56	1322.00	87.46%	12.31%	+12.26	6-2
2025-11-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 42-26	1648.82	1514.33	64.93%	34.64%	+28.22	7-2
2025-11-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 21-19	1677.04	1678.85	53.19%	46.33%	+13.34	8-2
2025-11-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-7	1690.38	1534.99	73.70%	25.92%	+27.43	9-2
2025-11-30	@ Carolina Panthers	L 28-31	1717.81	1387.36	85.06%	14.69%	-29.90	9-3
2025-12-07	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 45-17	1687.91	1398.97	81.78%	17.93%	+19.30	10-3
2025-12-14	Detroit Lions	W 41-34	1707.21	1638.50	63.02%	36.53%	+19.68	11-3
2025-12-18	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 37-38	1726.89	1714.12	47.91%	51.62%	-9.75	11-4
2025-12-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 24-27	1717.14	1410.28	83.26%	16.46%	-29.27	11-5
2026-01-04	Arizona Cardinals	W 37-20	1687.87	1306.75	91.08%	8.74%	+7.33	12-5
2025-09-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 8-33	1486.78	1454.90	50.65%	48.87%	-51.52	0-1
2025-09-14	New England Patriots	L 27-33	1435.26	1380.33	61.16%	38.39%	-30.46	0-2
2025-09-18	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-31	1404.80	1651.35	17.18%	82.53%	-11.05	0-3
2025-09-29	New York Jets	W 27-21	1393.75	1418.58	49.89%	49.64%	+24.74	1-3
2025-10-05	@ Carolina Panthers	L 24-27	1418.49	1379.34	51.70%	47.83%	-18.22	1-4
2025-10-12	Los Angeles Chargers	L 27-29	1400.27	1514.71	37.29%	62.26%	-10.74	1-5
2025-10-19	@ Cleveland Browns	L 6-31	1389.53	1352.09	51.45%	48.07%	-52.33	1-6
2025-10-26	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-10	1337.20	1473.93	28.03%	71.57%	+71.23	2-6
2025-10-30	Baltimore Ravens	L 6-28	1408.43	1486.76	42.26%	57.28%	-40.35	2-7
2025-11-09	Buffalo Bills	W 30-13	1368.08	1661.12	17.58%	82.12%	+68.74	3-7
2025-11-16	Washington Commanders	W 16-13	1436.82	1424.91	55.15%	44.38%	+15.65	4-7
2025-11-30	New Orleans Saints	W 21-17	1452.47	1315.42	71.61%	28.00%	+11.40	5-7
2025-12-07	@ New York Jets	W 34-10	1463.87	1357.01	61.24%	38.31%	+38.22	6-7
2025-12-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 15-28	1502.09	1501.96	46.09%	53.43%	-33.82	6-8
2025-12-21	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-45	1468.27	1371.26	66.72%	32.85%	-66.43	6-9
2025-12-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-17	1401.84	1452.61	46.16%	53.37%	+18.80	7-9
2026-01-04	@ New England Patriots	L 10-38	1420.64	1630.67	20.37%	79.31%	-21.94	7-10
2025-09-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1539.64	1440.15	60.23%	39.32%	+13.87	1-0
2025-09-14	Atlanta Falcons	L 6-22	1553.51	1438.52	68.97%	30.62%	-56.06	1-1
2025-09-21	Cincinnati Bengals	W 48-10	1497.45	1558.54	44.69%	54.84%	+68.75	2-1
2025-09-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-24	1566.20	1501.15	55.40%	44.13%	-19.51	2-2
2025-10-05	@ Cleveland Browns	W 21-17	1546.69	1385.16	68.37%	31.21%	+12.71	3-2
2025-10-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 22-28	1559.40	1611.66	45.95%	53.58%	-22.91	3-3
2025-10-23	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-37	1536.49	1489.86	52.77%	46.75%	-55.78	3-4
2025-11-02	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1480.71	1656.80	23.71%	75.93%	+26.72	4-4
2025-11-09	Baltimore Ravens	L 19-27	1507.43	1527.11	50.63%	48.90%	-29.14	4-5
2025-11-16	Chicago Bears	L 17-19	1478.29	1484.72	52.53%	46.99%	-15.11	4-6
2025-11-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-23	1463.18	1619.13	25.86%	73.76%	-21.71	4-7
2025-11-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 0-26	1441.47	1670.14	18.69%	81.01%	-19.40	4-8
2025-12-07	Washington Commanders	W 31-0	1422.07	1405.14	55.87%	43.67%	+49.50	5-8
2025-12-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-26	1471.57	1496.86	42.49%	57.05%	+32.81	6-8
2025-12-21	@ New York Giants	W 16-13	1504.38	1296.20	73.86%	25.77%	+9.09	7-8
2025-12-25	Detroit Lions	W 23-10	1513.47	1589.31	42.60%	56.93%	+41.74	8-8
2026-01-04	Green Bay Packers	W 16-3	1555.21	1572.08	51.03%	48.49%	+11.86	9-8
2025-09-07	Las Vegas Raiders	L 13-20	1407.82	1424.41	51.07%	48.45%	-27.49	0-1
2025-09-14	@ Miami Dolphins	W 33-27	1380.33	1435.26	38.39%	61.16%	+30.46	1-1
2025-09-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-21	1410.79	1477.51	43.89%	55.64%	-23.64	1-2
2025-09-28	Carolina Panthers	W 42-13	1387.15	1437.76	46.18%	53.34%	+58.43	2-2
2025-10-05	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-20	1445.58	1671.66	18.92%	80.78%	+28.41	3-2
2025-10-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 25-19	1473.99	1387.17	58.47%	41.07%	+20.48	4-2
2025-10-19	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-13	1494.47	1293.92	73.00%	26.62%	+22.99	5-2
2025-10-26	Cleveland Browns	W 32-13	1517.46	1404.42	68.73%	30.86%	+27.39	6-2
2025-11-02	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-23	1544.85	1402.69	72.20%	27.41%	+5.59	7-2
2025-11-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-23	1550.44	1591.66	40.27%	59.28%	+26.94	8-2
2025-11-13	New York Jets	W 27-14	1577.38	1366.56	79.38%	20.30%	+14.90	9-2
2025-11-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-20	1592.28	1365.02	75.91%	23.73%	+11.83	10-2
2025-12-01	New York Giants	W 33-15	1604.11	1337.87	84.10%	15.63%	+13.49	11-2
2025-12-14	Buffalo Bills	L 31-35	1617.60	1646.06	49.37%	50.16%	-20.08	11-3
2025-12-21	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-24	1597.52	1530.55	55.68%	43.86%	+17.85	12-3
2025-12-28	@ New York Jets	W 42-10	1615.37	1264.79	86.47%	13.30%	+15.30	13-3
2026-01-04	Miami Dolphins	W 38-10	1630.67	1420.64	79.31%	20.37%	+21.93	14-3
2025-09-07	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-20	1434.80	1491.86	45.26%	54.26%	-24.38	0-1
2025-09-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-26	1410.42	1483.38	43.01%	56.52%	-19.58	0-2
2025-09-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-44	1390.84	1542.43	26.34%	73.28%	-29.87	0-3
2025-09-28	@ Buffalo Bills	L 19-31	1360.97	1662.40	13.15%	86.61%	-9.26	0-4
2025-10-05	New York Giants	W 26-14	1351.71	1381.17	49.22%	50.31%	+35.46	1-4
2025-10-12	New England Patriots	L 19-25	1387.17	1473.99	41.07%	58.47%	-20.49	1-5
2025-10-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-26	1366.68	1465.95	32.57%	67.01%	-22.97	1-6
2025-10-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-23	1343.71	1569.96	23.84%	75.81%	-21.71	1-7
2025-11-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-34	1322.00	1636.56	12.31%	87.46%	-12.26	1-8
2025-11-09	@ Carolina Panthers	W 17-7	1309.74	1433.60	29.55%	70.05%	+45.01	2-8
2025-11-23	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-24	1354.75	1367.18	51.67%	47.86%	-39.33	2-9
2025-11-30	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-21	1315.42	1452.47	28.00%	71.61%	-11.40	2-10
2025-12-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-20	1304.02	1519.15	19.90%	79.78%	+32.40	3-10
2025-12-14	Carolina Panthers	W 20-17	1336.42	1417.26	41.90%	57.63%	+20.29	4-10
2025-12-21	New York Jets	W 29-6	1356.71	1302.35	61.08%	38.46%	+37.57	5-10
2025-12-28	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-26	1394.28	1306.35	58.62%	40.91%	+23.56	6-10
2026-01-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-19	1417.84	1439.55	42.99%	56.54%	-12.38	6-11
2025-09-07	@ Washington Commanders	L 6-21	1411.79	1563.15	26.37%	73.25%	-20.80	0-1
2025-09-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 37-40	1390.99	1454.39	37.24%	62.31%	-13.14	0-2
2025-09-21	Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-22	1377.85	1531.51	32.19%	67.39%	-23.63	0-3
2025-09-28	Los Angeles Chargers	W 21-18	1354.22	1588.46	23.01%	76.64%	+26.95	1-3
2025-10-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-26	1381.17	1351.71	50.31%	49.22%	-35.45	1-4
2025-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-17	1345.72	1683.26	14.18%	85.57%	+71.60	2-4
2025-10-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 32-33	1417.32	1602.31	22.80%	76.85%	-4.64	2-5
2025-10-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-38	1412.68	1634.57	19.29%	80.40%	-16.66	2-6
2025-11-02	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-34	1396.02	1488.38	40.30%	59.24%	-25.95	2-7
2025-11-09	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-24	1370.07	1471.56	32.29%	67.29%	-13.15	2-8
2025-11-16	Green Bay Packers	L 20-27	1356.92	1607.61	21.38%	78.28%	-11.51	2-9
2025-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-34	1345.41	1634.10	14.01%	85.74%	-7.54	2-10
2025-12-01	@ New England Patriots	L 15-33	1337.87	1604.11	15.63%	84.10%	-13.49	2-11
2025-12-14	Washington Commanders	L 21-29	1324.38	1355.65	48.96%	50.57%	-28.18	2-12
2025-12-21	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-16	1296.20	1504.38	25.77%	73.86%	-9.09	2-13
2025-12-28	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 34-10	1287.11	1243.38	52.36%	47.17%	+47.03	3-13
2026-01-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 34-17	1334.14	1455.95	36.30%	63.25%	+53.01	4-13
2025-09-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 32-34	1467.69	1506.68	47.85%	51.68%	-13.77	0-1
2025-09-14	Buffalo Bills	L 10-30	1453.92	1623.85	30.18%	69.41%	-27.49	0-2
2025-09-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-29	1426.43	1569.95	27.25%	72.36%	-7.85	0-3
2025-09-29	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-27	1418.58	1393.75	49.64%	49.89%	-24.74	0-4
2025-10-05	Dallas Cowboys	L 22-37	1393.84	1422.25	49.37%	50.15%	-38.91	0-5
2025-10-12	Denver Broncos	L 11-13	1354.93	1595.88	22.34%	77.32%	-6.43	0-6
2025-10-19	Carolina Panthers	L 6-13	1348.50	1416.99	43.64%	55.89%	-23.50	0-7
2025-10-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 39-38	1325.00	1431.84	31.62%	67.96%	+13.81	1-7
2025-11-09	Cleveland Browns	W 27-20	1338.81	1377.03	47.96%	51.57%	+27.75	2-7
2025-11-13	@ New England Patriots	L 14-27	1366.56	1577.38	20.30%	79.38%	-14.89	2-8
2025-11-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-23	1351.67	1570.20	19.59%	80.10%	-14.38	2-9
2025-11-30	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-24	1337.29	1406.51	43.54%	55.99%	+19.72	3-9
2025-12-07	Miami Dolphins	L 10-34	1357.01	1463.87	38.31%	61.24%	-38.22	3-10
2025-12-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-48	1318.79	1589.81	15.27%	84.46%	-16.44	3-11
2025-12-21	@ New Orleans Saints	L 6-29	1302.35	1356.71	38.46%	61.08%	-37.56	3-12
2025-12-28	New England Patriots	L 10-42	1264.79	1615.37	13.30%	86.47%	-15.29	3-13
2026-01-04	@ Buffalo Bills	L 8-35	1249.50	1658.57	7.55%	92.30%	-7.97	3-14
2025-09-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-20	1654.73	1463.42	77.49%	22.17%	+9.02	1-0
2025-09-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1663.75	1544.43	62.92%	36.63%	+12.93	2-0
2025-09-21	Los Angeles Rams	W 33-26	1676.68	1579.03	66.80%	32.77%	+17.65	3-0
2025-09-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-25	1694.33	1577.80	62.55%	37.01%	+18.46	4-0
2025-10-05	Denver Broncos	L 17-21	1712.79	1566.34	72.69%	26.92%	-29.53	4-1
2025-10-09	@ New York Giants	L 17-34	1683.26	1345.72	85.57%	14.18%	-71.60	4-2
2025-10-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 28-22	1611.66	1559.40	53.58%	45.95%	+22.91	5-2
2025-10-26	New York Giants	W 38-20	1634.57	1412.68	80.40%	19.29%	+16.65	6-2
2025-11-10	@ Green Bay Packers	W 10-7	1651.22	1625.12	49.82%	49.70%	+17.52	7-2
2025-11-16	Detroit Lions	W 16-9	1668.74	1658.09	54.97%	44.56%	+24.00	8-2
2025-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-24	1692.74	1472.97	75.12%	24.52%	-26.43	8-3
2025-11-28	Chicago Bears	L 15-24	1666.31	1517.54	72.96%	26.66%	-44.46	8-4
2025-12-08	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 19-22	1621.85	1531.87	58.91%	40.63%	-20.75	8-5
2025-12-14	Las Vegas Raiders	W 31-0	1601.10	1257.41	89.18%	10.62%	+12.01	9-5
2025-12-20	@ Washington Commanders	W 29-18	1613.11	1383.83	76.12%	23.52%	+15.89	10-5
2025-12-28	@ Buffalo Bills	W 13-12	1629.00	1670.64	40.21%	59.33%	+12.06	11-5
2026-01-04	Washington Commanders	L 17-24	1641.06	1344.11	86.31%	13.45%	-46.34	11-6
2025-09-07	@ New York Jets	W 34-32	1506.68	1467.69	51.68%	47.85%	+13.78	1-0
2025-09-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 17-31	1520.46	1499.49	56.44%	43.10%	-42.95	1-1
2025-09-21	@ New England Patriots	W 21-14	1477.51	1410.79	55.64%	43.89%	+23.64	2-1
2025-09-28	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-21	1501.15	1566.20	44.13%	55.40%	+19.52	3-1
2025-10-12	Cleveland Browns	W 23-9	1520.67	1372.45	72.90%	26.72%	+20.36	4-1
2025-10-16	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-33	1541.03	1413.43	64.02%	35.54%	-18.40	4-2
2025-10-26	Green Bay Packers	L 25-35	1522.63	1629.57	38.30%	61.25%	-24.67	4-3
2025-11-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-20	1497.96	1618.74	36.44%	63.11%	+33.95	5-3
2025-11-09	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-25	1531.91	1555.44	42.73%	56.80%	-33.70	5-4
2025-11-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-12	1498.21	1395.75	67.41%	32.17%	+30.73	6-4
2025-11-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 28-31	1528.94	1499.83	50.26%	49.27%	-17.71	6-5
2025-11-30	Buffalo Bills	L 7-26	1511.23	1600.84	40.68%	58.86%	-36.11	6-6
2025-12-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 27-22	1475.12	1514.59	40.51%	59.03%	+26.84	7-6
2025-12-15	Miami Dolphins	W 28-15	1501.96	1502.09	53.43%	46.09%	+33.83	8-6
2025-12-21	@ Detroit Lions	W 29-24	1535.79	1618.81	34.65%	64.92%	+29.50	9-6
2025-12-28	@ Cleveland Browns	L 6-13	1565.29	1302.66	79.42%	20.26%	-42.67	9-7
2026-01-04	Baltimore Ravens	W 26-24	1522.62	1570.72	46.54%	52.98%	+15.24	10-7
2025-09-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 17-13	1457.85	1525.03	36.74%	62.82%	+25.53	1-0
2025-09-14	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-21	1483.38	1410.42	56.52%	43.01%	+19.58	2-0
2025-09-21	Arizona Cardinals	W 16-15	1502.96	1528.98	49.72%	49.81%	+10.14	3-0
2025-09-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-26	1513.10	1480.16	58.12%	41.42%	-26.43	3-1
2025-10-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 26-23	1486.67	1585.10	32.67%	66.90%	+23.55	4-1
2025-10-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 19-30	1510.22	1579.62	36.44%	63.12%	-24.61	4-2
2025-10-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-10	1485.61	1505.40	50.61%	48.91%	+31.47	5-2
2025-10-26	@ Houston Texans	L 15-26	1517.08	1542.21	42.51%	57.02%	-28.70	5-3
2025-11-02	@ New York Giants	W 34-24	1488.38	1396.02	59.24%	40.30%	+25.95	6-3
2025-11-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 26-42	1514.33	1648.82	34.64%	64.93%	-28.22	6-4
2025-11-16	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 41-22	1486.11	1470.04	48.38%	51.15%	+45.36	7-4
2025-11-24	Carolina Panthers	W 20-9	1531.47	1407.29	70.09%	29.51%	+19.93	8-4
2025-11-30	@ Cleveland Browns	W 26-8	1551.40	1373.91	70.32%	29.28%	+25.30	9-4
2025-12-14	Tennessee Titans	W 37-24	1576.70	1243.57	88.58%	11.21%	+8.21	10-4
2025-12-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 48-27	1584.91	1514.15	56.21%	43.32%	+40.41	11-4
2025-12-28	Chicago Bears	W 42-38	1625.32	1595.88	57.63%	41.91%	+17.07	12-4
2026-01-03	Seattle Seahawks	L 3-13	1642.39	1737.68	39.90%	59.65%	-25.69	12-5
2025-09-07	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-17	1525.03	1457.85	62.82%	36.74%	-25.54	0-1
2025-09-14	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-17	1499.49	1520.46	43.10%	56.44%	+42.94	1-1
2025-09-21	New Orleans Saints	W 44-13	1542.43	1390.84	73.28%	26.34%	+29.87	2-1
2025-09-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-20	1572.30	1518.84	53.75%	45.78%	+16.14	3-1
2025-10-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 35-38	1588.44	1559.34	57.58%	41.95%	-20.28	3-2
2025-10-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-12	1568.16	1527.43	51.93%	47.60%	+27.40	4-2
2025-10-20	Houston Texans	W 27-19	1595.56	1566.36	57.60%	41.94%	+24.15	5-2
2025-11-02	@ Washington Commanders	W 38-14	1619.71	1487.81	64.59%	34.97%	+34.90	6-2
2025-11-09	Arizona Cardinals	W 44-22	1654.61	1494.28	74.24%	25.38%	+24.24	7-2
2025-11-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 19-21	1678.85	1677.04	46.33%	53.19%	-13.34	7-3
2025-11-23	@ Tennessee Titans	W 30-24	1665.51	1244.82	90.52%	9.30%	+4.63	8-3
2025-11-30	Minnesota Vikings	W 26-0	1670.14	1441.47	81.01%	18.69%	+19.40	9-3
2025-12-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 37-9	1689.54	1386.79	82.93%	16.79%	+18.07	10-3
2025-12-14	Indianapolis Colts	W 18-16	1707.61	1520.66	77.05%	22.60%	+6.51	11-3
2025-12-18	Los Angeles Rams	W 38-37	1714.12	1726.89	51.62%	47.91%	+9.75	12-3
2025-12-28	@ Carolina Panthers	W 27-10	1723.87	1417.00	83.26%	16.46%	+13.81	13-3
2026-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 13-3	1737.68	1642.39	59.65%	39.90%	+25.69	14-3
2025-09-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-20	1546.72	1452.65	59.48%	40.06%	+14.13	1-0
2025-09-15	@ Houston Texans	W 20-19	1560.85	1500.08	54.79%	44.74%	+9.10	2-0
2025-09-21	New York Jets	W 29-27	1569.95	1426.43	72.36%	27.25%	+7.85	3-0
2025-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 25-31	1577.80	1694.33	37.01%	62.55%	-18.46	3-1
2025-10-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 38-35	1559.34	1588.44	41.95%	57.58%	+20.28	4-1
2025-10-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 30-19	1579.62	1510.22	63.12%	36.44%	+24.62	5-1
2025-10-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 9-24	1604.24	1622.52	43.47%	56.06%	-34.28	5-2
2025-10-26	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-3	1569.96	1343.71	75.81%	23.84%	+21.70	6-2
2025-11-09	New England Patriots	L 23-28	1591.66	1550.44	59.28%	40.27%	-26.94	6-3
2025-11-16	@ Buffalo Bills	L 32-44	1564.72	1592.38	42.15%	57.38%	-29.73	6-4
2025-11-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-34	1534.99	1690.38	25.92%	73.70%	-27.43	6-5
2025-11-30	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1507.56	1410.56	66.72%	32.86%	+11.59	7-5
2025-12-07	New Orleans Saints	L 20-24	1519.15	1304.02	79.78%	19.90%	-32.40	7-6
2025-12-11	Atlanta Falcons	L 28-29	1486.75	1368.71	69.34%	30.25%	-14.09	7-7
2025-12-21	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-23	1472.66	1396.96	56.91%	42.62%	-20.05	7-8
2025-12-28	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-20	1452.61	1401.84	53.37%	46.16%	-18.80	7-9
2026-01-03	Carolina Panthers	W 16-14	1433.81	1403.19	57.80%	41.74%	+12.02	8-9
2025-09-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 12-20	1404.46	1532.85	29.01%	70.59%	-16.71	0-1
2025-09-14	Los Angeles Rams	L 19-33	1387.75	1555.85	30.41%	69.18%	-23.17	0-2
2025-09-21	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-41	1364.58	1517.06	32.34%	67.24%	-30.18	0-3
2025-09-28	@ Houston Texans	L 0-26	1334.40	1463.19	28.96%	70.64%	-30.07	0-4
2025-10-05	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 22-21	1304.33	1502.71	21.47%	78.19%	+15.88	1-4
2025-10-12	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 10-20	1320.21	1357.40	40.83%	58.71%	-26.29	1-5
2025-10-19	New England Patriots	L 13-31	1293.92	1494.47	26.62%	73.00%	-23.00	1-6
2025-10-26	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-38	1270.92	1607.79	11.00%	88.80%	-10.94	1-7
2025-11-02	Los Angeles Chargers	L 20-27	1259.98	1545.64	18.20%	81.50%	-9.81	1-8
2025-11-16	Houston Texans	L 13-16	1250.17	1573.52	15.20%	84.53%	-5.35	1-9
2025-11-23	Seattle Seahawks	L 24-30	1244.82	1665.51	9.30%	90.52%	-4.63	1-10
2025-11-30	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-25	1240.19	1533.06	17.60%	82.11%	-16.79	1-11
2025-12-07	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-29	1223.40	1348.61	29.38%	70.21%	+20.17	2-11
2025-12-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-37	1243.57	1576.70	11.21%	88.58%	-8.21	2-12
2025-12-21	Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-9	1235.36	1562.73	14.91%	84.83%	+70.99	3-12
2025-12-28	New Orleans Saints	L 26-34	1306.35	1394.28	40.91%	58.62%	-23.57	3-13
2026-01-04	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-41	1282.78	1671.70	8.39%	91.44%	-9.94	3-14
2025-09-07	New York Giants	W 21-6	1563.15	1411.79	73.25%	26.37%	+20.80	1-0
2025-09-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-27	1583.95	1604.77	43.12%	56.42%	-26.34	1-1
2025-09-21	Las Vegas Raiders	W 41-24	1557.61	1424.94	71.10%	28.50%	+23.94	2-1
2025-09-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 27-34	1581.55	1423.22	67.98%	31.61%	-36.55	2-2
2025-10-05	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 27-10	1545.00	1561.50	43.73%	55.80%	+46.79	3-2
2025-10-13	Chicago Bears	L 24-25	1591.79	1451.32	72.01%	27.60%	-14.63	3-3
2025-10-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-44	1577.16	1441.71	65.05%	34.51%	-62.01	3-4
2025-10-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-28	1515.15	1641.11	29.30%	70.30%	-27.34	3-5
2025-11-02	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-38	1487.81	1619.71	34.97%	64.59%	-34.90	3-6
2025-11-09	Detroit Lions	L 22-44	1452.91	1630.09	29.32%	70.28%	-28.00	3-7
2025-11-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-16	1424.91	1436.82	44.38%	55.15%	-15.65	3-8
2025-11-30	Denver Broncos	L 26-27	1409.26	1671.92	20.25%	79.42%	-4.12	3-9
2025-12-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 0-31	1405.14	1422.07	43.67%	55.87%	-49.49	3-10
2025-12-14	@ New York Giants	W 29-21	1355.65	1324.38	50.57%	48.96%	+28.18	4-10
2025-12-20	Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-29	1383.83	1613.11	23.52%	76.12%	-15.89	4-11
2025-12-25	Dallas Cowboys	L 23-30	1367.94	1432.11	44.25%	55.28%	-23.83	4-12
2026-01-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-17	1344.11	1641.06	13.45%	86.31%	+46.34	5-12

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2026-01-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-24	1666.53	1681.64	44.16%	55.84%	+19.59	1-0
2026-01-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 30-33	1686.12	1701.42	44.13%	55.87%	-15.48	1-1
2026-01-10	Los Angeles Rams	L 31-34	1391.17	1695.20	16.77%	83.23%	-5.88	0-1
2026-01-10	Green Bay Packers	W 31-27	1558.43	1560.22	53.43%	46.57%	+18.86	1-0
2026-01-18	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-20	1577.29	1701.08	36.25%	63.75%	-12.71	1-1
2026-01-17	Buffalo Bills	W 33-30	1701.42	1686.12	55.87%	44.13%	+15.47	1-0
2026-01-25	New England Patriots	L 7-10	1716.89	1714.91	53.97%	46.03%	-18.93	1-1
2026-01-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 27-31	1560.22	1558.43	46.57%	53.43%	-18.86	0-1
2026-01-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-6	1699.15	1537.86	68.58%	31.42%	+31.17	1-0
2026-01-18	@ New England Patriots	L 16-28	1730.32	1677.06	53.96%	46.04%	-37.85	1-1
2026-01-11	Buffalo Bills	L 24-27	1681.64	1666.53	55.84%	44.16%	-19.59	0-1
2026-01-11	@ New England Patriots	L 3-16	1559.11	1652.60	33.49%	66.51%	-24.45	0-1
2026-01-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-31	1695.20	1391.17	83.23%	16.77%	+5.88	1-0
2026-01-18	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1701.08	1577.29	63.75%	36.25%	+12.71	2-0
2026-01-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 27-31	1713.79	1798.63	34.61%	65.39%	-14.02	2-1
2026-01-11	Los Angeles Chargers	W 16-3	1652.60	1559.11	66.51%	33.49%	+24.46	1-0
2026-01-18	Houston Texans	W 28-16	1677.06	1730.32	46.04%	53.96%	+37.85	2-0
2026-01-25	@ Denver Broncos	W 10-7	1714.91	1716.89	46.03%	53.97%	+18.93	3-0
2026-02-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-29	1733.84	1812.65	38.85%	61.15%	-31.47	3-1
2026-01-11	San Francisco 49ers	L 19-23	1594.72	1616.70	50.53%	49.47%	-20.47	0-1
2026-01-12	Houston Texans	L 6-30	1537.86	1699.15	31.42%	68.58%	-31.17	0-1
2026-01-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-19	1616.70	1594.72	49.47%	50.53%	+20.46	1-0
2026-01-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-41	1637.16	1763.37	29.43%	70.57%	-35.26	1-1
2026-01-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-6	1763.37	1637.16	70.57%	29.43%	+35.26	1-0
2026-01-25	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-27	1798.63	1713.79	65.39%	34.61%	+14.02	2-0
2026-02-08	New England Patriots	W 29-13	1812.65	1733.84	61.15%	38.85%	+31.46	3-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-01-04	13.45%	Washington Commanders	1344.11	24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1641.06	17
2	2025-10-09	14.18%	@ New York Giants	1345.72	34	Philadelphia Eagles	1683.26	17
3	2025-11-30	14.69%	@ Carolina Panthers	1387.36	31	Los Angeles Rams	1717.81	28
4	2025-12-21	14.91%	@ Tennessee Titans	1235.36	26	Kansas City Chiefs	1562.73	9
5	2025-12-29	16.46%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1410.28	27	Los Angeles Rams	1717.14	24
6	2025-11-02	16.92%	Carolina Panthers	1404.49	16	@ Green Bay Packers	1654.24	13
7	2025-11-09	17.58%	@ Miami Dolphins	1368.08	30	Buffalo Bills	1661.12	13
8	2025-11-27	18.45%	Cincinnati Bengals	1353.19	32	@ Baltimore Ravens	1584.57	14
9	2026-01-04	18.80%	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1196.35	14	Kansas City Chiefs	1475.17	12
10	2025-10-05	18.92%	New England Patriots	1445.58	23	@ Buffalo Bills	1671.66	20
11	2025-12-07	19.90%	New Orleans Saints	1304.02	24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1519.15	20
12	2025-12-28	20.26%	@ Cleveland Browns	1302.66	13	Pittsburgh Steelers	1565.29	6
13	2025-09-21	21.03%	@ Cleveland Browns	1376.71	13	Green Bay Packers	1631.10	10
14	2025-10-05	21.47%	Tennessee Titans	1304.33	22	@ Arizona Cardinals	1502.71	21
15	2025-09-28	23.01%	@ New York Giants	1354.22	21	Los Angeles Chargers	1588.46	18
16	2025-11-02	23.71%	Minnesota Vikings	1480.71	27	@ Detroit Lions	1656.80	24
17	2025-11-23	24.52%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1472.97	24	Philadelphia Eagles	1692.74	21
18	2025-11-28	26.66%	Chicago Bears	1517.54	24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1666.31	15
19	2025-10-05	26.92%	Denver Broncos	1566.34	21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1712.79	17
20	2025-10-13	27.60%	Chicago Bears	1451.32	25	@ Washington Commanders	1591.79	24
21	2025-10-26	28.03%	Miami Dolphins	1337.20	34	@ Atlanta Falcons	1473.93	10
22	2025-10-13	28.57%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1459.77	24	Buffalo Bills	1643.26	14
23	2025-12-07	29.38%	Tennessee Titans	1223.40	31	@ Cleveland Browns	1348.61	29
24	2026-01-04	29.51%	Cleveland Browns	1345.33	20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1469.52	18
25	2025-11-09	29.55%	New Orleans Saints	1309.74	17	@ Carolina Panthers	1433.60	7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2025-10-05	73.10	Houston Texans	44	1493.26	37.88%	@ Baltimore Ravens	10	1551.94	61.67%
2	2025-11-16	72.18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	35	1446.77	33.62%	Los Angeles Chargers	6	1589.14	65.95%
3	2025-10-09	71.60	@ New York Giants	34	1345.72	14.18%	Philadelphia Eagles	17	1683.26	85.57%
4	2025-09-21	71.36	@ Carolina Panthers	30	1366.41	35.46%	Atlanta Falcons	0	1494.58	64.10%
5	2025-10-26	71.24	Miami Dolphins	34	1337.20	28.03%	@ Atlanta Falcons	10	1473.93	71.57%
6	2025-12-21	70.99	@ Tennessee Titans	26	1235.36	14.91%	Kansas City Chiefs	9	1562.73	84.83%
7	2025-11-27	69.98	Cincinnati Bengals	32	1353.19	18.45%	@ Baltimore Ravens	14	1584.57	81.24%
8	2025-09-21	68.75	@ Minnesota Vikings	48	1497.45	44.69%	Cincinnati Bengals	10	1558.54	54.84%
9	2025-11-09	68.74	@ Miami Dolphins	30	1368.08	17.58%	Buffalo Bills	13	1661.12	82.12%
10	2025-12-21	66.43	Cincinnati Bengals	45	1371.26	32.85%	@ Miami Dolphins	21	1468.27	66.72%
11	2025-10-19	62.01	@ Dallas Cowboys	44	1441.71	34.51%	Washington Commanders	22	1577.16	65.05%
12	2025-09-28	58.43	@ New England Patriots	42	1387.15	46.18%	Carolina Panthers	13	1437.76	53.34%
13	2025-12-27	58.03	Baltimore Ravens	41	1512.69	30.32%	@ Green Bay Packers	24	1630.11	69.27%
14	2025-09-14	56.06	Atlanta Falcons	22	1438.52	30.62%	@ Minnesota Vikings	6	1553.51	68.97%
15	2025-10-23	55.78	@ Los Angeles Chargers	37	1489.86	46.75%	Minnesota Vikings	10	1536.49	52.77%
16	2026-01-04	53.01	@ New York Giants	34	1334.14	36.30%	Dallas Cowboys	17	1455.95	63.25%
17	2025-10-19	52.33	@ Cleveland Browns	31	1352.09	48.07%	Miami Dolphins	6	1389.53	51.45%
18	2025-09-07	51.53	@ Indianapolis Colts	33	1454.90	48.87%	Miami Dolphins	8	1486.78	50.65%
19	2025-12-21	51.21	Jacksonville Jaguars	34	1606.25	32.23%	@ Denver Broncos	20	1708.21	67.35%
20	2025-12-07	49.50	@ Minnesota Vikings	31	1422.07	55.87%	Washington Commanders	0	1405.14	43.67%
21	2025-09-21	47.44	@ Chicago Bears	31	1394.20	42.96%	Dallas Cowboys	14	1467.53	56.58%
22	2025-12-28	47.03	New York Giants	34	1287.11	52.36%	@ Las Vegas Raiders	10	1243.38	47.17%
23	2025-10-05	46.79	Washington Commanders	27	1545.00	43.73%	@ Los Angeles Chargers	10	1561.50	55.80%
24	2026-01-04	46.34	Washington Commanders	24	1344.11	13.45%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	17	1641.06	86.31%
25	2025-10-13	45.64	@ Atlanta Falcons	24	1459.77	28.57%	Buffalo Bills	14	1643.26	71.03%