2025 WNBA Season

286 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Las Vegas Aces

3rd Title

Last Title: 2023

Runner-Up

Phoenix Mercury

6th Appearance

Last Appearance: 2021

Biggest Overachiever

Las Vegas Aces

4.62 wins above expected

30 wins · 25.38 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Wings

3.58 wins below expected

10 wins · 13.58 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Lynx League	34	10	.773	-	86.1	76.7	+9.4	32.71	+1.29
2	Las Vegas Aces Playoffs	30	14	.682	4	83.6	80.7	+2.9	25.38	+4.62
3	Atlanta Dream Playoffs	30	14	.682	4	84.4	76.8	+7.6	26.77	+3.23
4	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	27	17	.614	7	82.8	80.1	+2.7	25.34	+1.66
5	New York Liberty Playoffs	27	17	.614	7	84.4	80.3	+4.1	28.96	-1.96
6	Indiana Fever Playoffs	24	20	.545	10	84.9	81.5	+3.4	24.90	-0.90
7	Golden State Valkyries Playoffs	23	21	.523	11	77.7	76.3	+1.4	19.22	+3.78
8	Seattle Storm Playoffs	23	21	.523	11	82.1	80.1	+2.0	24.56	-1.56
9	Los Angeles Sparks	21	23	.477	13	85.7	88.2	-2.6	18.15	+2.85
10	Washington Mystics	16	28	.364	18	77.1	81.6	-4.4	19.54	-3.54
11	Connecticut Sun	11	33	.250	23	75.8	86.0	-10.1	14.55	-3.55
12	Chicago Sky	10	34	.227	24	75.8	85.8	-10.0	12.32	-2.32
13	Dallas Wings	10	34	.227	24	81.7	88.0	-6.3	13.58	-3.58

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

Quarterfinals

Indiana Fever 2

Atlanta Dream 1

3 games · Sep 14–Sep 18

Las Vegas Aces 2

Seattle Storm 1

3 games · Sep 14–Sep 18

Minnesota Lynx 2

Golden State Valkyries 0

2 games · Sep 14–Sep 17

Phoenix Mercury 2

New York Liberty 1

3 games · Sep 14–Sep 19

Semifinals

Las Vegas Aces 3

Indiana Fever 2

5 games · Sep 21–Sep 30

Phoenix Mercury 3

Minnesota Lynx 1

4 games · Sep 21–Sep 28

WNBA Finals

Las Vegas Aces 4

Phoenix Mercury 0

4 games · Oct 2–Oct 10

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Las Vegas Aces	1712	30	25.38	+4.62	95.47%	12	20	23	25	27	30	37
Atlanta Dream	1706	30	26.77	+3.23	89.05%	12	22	25	27	29	32	39
Minnesota Lynx	1695	34	32.71	+1.29	73.14%	19	28	31	33	35	37	43
New York Liberty	1568	27	28.96	-1.96	30.61%	16	24	27	29	31	34	41
Indiana Fever	1568	24	24.90	-0.90	44.51%	13	20	23	25	27	30	39
Phoenix Mercury	1541	27	25.34	+1.66	75.57%	12	20	23	25	27	30	38
Golden State Valkyries	1514	23	19.22	+3.78	91.66%	6	14	17	19	21	24	34
Seattle Storm	1503	23	24.56	-1.56	36.46%	12	19	22	25	27	30	39
Los Angeles Sparks	1460	21	18.15	+2.85	86.44%	7	13	16	18	20	23	31
Connecticut Sun	1341	11	14.55	-3.55	14.88%	4	10	13	15	16	19	28
Washington Mystics	1314	16	19.54	-3.54	16.23%	6	15	17	20	22	25	33
Dallas Wings	1309	10	13.58	-3.58	14.94%	3	9	12	14	16	19	27
Chicago Sky	1269	10	12.32	-2.32	26.58%	1	8	10	12	14	17	25

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Valkyries	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	4-1 (3.7 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)
Chicago Sky	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	3-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-5 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (0.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-3 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	1-4 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (0.8 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)
Dallas Wings	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)
Golden State Valkyries	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	—	3-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	4-0 (1.9 exp.)
Indiana Fever	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	5-0 (3.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	0-3 (1.8 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	3-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	3-0 (1.3 exp.)	3-0 (2.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	3-1 (3.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.8 exp.)	2-1 (2.4 exp.)
New York Liberty	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	3-1 (3.4 exp.)	3-1 (3.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-3 (2.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	4-0 (3.0 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	2-2 (3.0 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)
Seattle Storm	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	3-1 (3.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	0-3 (1.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.8 exp.)
Washington Mystics	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-4 (2.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	0.87%	1.05%	1.05%	0.52%	0.17%	0.17%	3.85%
60–69	0.87%	1.05%	2.97%	3.67%	1.75%	0.35%	—	10.66%
70–79	1.05%	2.97%	8.39%	9.97%	3.50%	1.05%	—	26.92%
80–89	1.05%	3.67%	9.97%	9.09%	8.22%	1.92%	—	33.92%
90–99	0.52%	1.75%	3.50%	8.22%	3.50%	1.22%	—	18.71%
100–109	0.17%	0.35%	1.05%	1.92%	1.22%	1.05%	—	5.77%
110+	0.17%	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.17%
Total	3.85%	10.66%	26.92%	33.92%	18.71%	5.77%	0.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.70	81.70	+0.00
SD	11.44	11.44	15.33
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	111	111	+53
Min	49	49	-53

Games Played: 286

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.27%	—	—	—	—	—	2.27%
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	4.55%	6.82%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	34.09%
80–89	4.55%	4.55%	11.36%	6.82%	2.27%	—	—	29.55%
90–99	—	—	6.82%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	29.55%
100–109	—	—	2.27%	2.27%	—	—	—	4.55%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	13.64%	29.55%	36.36%	11.36%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.36	76.77	+7.59
SD	9.25	11.20	12.56
CV	0.11	0.15	—
Max	104	99	+37
Min	55	49	-17

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	2.27%	2.27%	6.82%	—	—	11.36%
60–69	—	—	6.82%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	20.45%
70–79	—	4.55%	4.55%	11.36%	13.64%	—	—	34.09%
80–89	—	2.27%	2.27%	2.27%	11.36%	4.55%	—	22.73%
90–99	—	—	—	9.09%	2.27%	—	—	11.36%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.82%	15.91%	34.09%	38.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	75.80	85.84	-10.05
SD	12.03	9.51	14.72
CV	0.16	0.11	—
Max	97	107	+24
Min	49	64	-38

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	4.55%	2.27%	—	2.27%	—	9.09%
60–69	2.27%	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	25.00%
70–79	—	4.55%	2.27%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	25.00%
80–89	—	2.27%	2.27%	6.82%	9.09%	6.82%	—	27.27%
90–99	—	2.27%	—	4.55%	2.27%	2.27%	—	11.36%
100–109	—	—	—	—	2.27%	—	—	2.27%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.27%	9.09%	13.64%	40.91%	18.18%	15.91%	—	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	75.84	85.95	-10.11
SD	12.14	11.85	15.67
CV	0.16	0.14	—
Max	101	109	+31
Min	52	56	-48

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	2.27%	—	—	2.27%	2.27%	—	—	6.82%
70–79	—	—	4.55%	15.91%	9.09%	4.55%	—	34.09%
80–89	—	2.27%	2.27%	15.91%	15.91%	6.82%	—	43.18%
90–99	—	—	2.27%	4.55%	4.55%	2.27%	—	13.64%
100–109	—	—	—	2.27%	—	—	—	2.27%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.27%	2.27%	9.09%	40.91%	31.82%	13.64%	—	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.68	87.98	-6.30
SD	9.09	10.50	12.94
CV	0.11	0.12	—
Max	109	106	+24
Min	60	55	-35

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.27%	2.27%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
60–69	2.27%	2.27%	2.27%	2.27%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
70–79	4.55%	4.55%	15.91%	15.91%	—	2.27%	—	43.18%
80–89	2.27%	4.55%	9.09%	6.82%	2.27%	—	—	25.00%
90–99	2.27%	4.55%	—	2.27%	2.27%	—	—	11.36%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	2.27%	—	2.27%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.36%	18.18%	29.55%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Golden State Valkyries — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.73	76.34	+1.39
SD	10.37	11.94	15.21
CV	0.13	0.16	—
Max	102	104	+37
Min	53	57	-31

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	2.27%	—	—	—	—	2.27%
60–69	—	—	2.27%	2.27%	2.27%	—	—	6.82%
70–79	2.27%	—	4.55%	9.09%	2.27%	—	—	18.18%
80–89	2.27%	—	15.91%	11.36%	6.82%	—	—	36.36%
90–99	2.27%	2.27%	9.09%	6.82%	6.82%	2.27%	—	29.55%
100–109	—	—	—	4.55%	—	2.27%	—	6.82%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.82%	2.27%	34.09%	34.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.86	81.50	+3.36
SD	11.05	11.55	15.07
CV	0.13	0.14	—
Max	107	101	+35
Min	58	52	-35

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.27%	—	—	2.27%	4.55%
60–69	—	—	4.55%	—	2.27%	—	—	6.82%
70–79	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	2.27%	2.27%	—	22.73%
80–89	2.27%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	6.82%	2.27%	—	38.64%
90–99	—	2.27%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	15.91%
100–109	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	2.27%	—	11.36%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.27%	11.36%	31.82%	34.09%	11.36%	6.82%	2.27%	100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	83.64	80.73	+2.91
SD	11.97	12.24	17.39
CV	0.14	0.15	—
Max	106	111	+31
Min	54	59	-53

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	2.27%	—	—	—	—	2.27%
60–69	—	—	—	2.27%	2.27%	—	—	4.55%
70–79	—	—	2.27%	11.36%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
80–89	—	2.27%	4.55%	15.91%	13.64%	2.27%	—	38.64%
90–99	—	—	6.82%	11.36%	4.55%	2.27%	—	25.00%
100–109	—	—	—	2.27%	6.82%	2.27%	—	11.36%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	2.27%	15.91%	43.18%	27.27%	11.36%	—	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	85.66	88.23	-2.57
SD	10.54	9.00	12.08
CV	0.12	0.10	—
Max	108	106	+19
Min	59	67	-31

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.27%	—	—	—	—	—	2.27%
70–79	2.27%	4.55%	11.36%	4.55%	2.27%	—	—	25.00%
80–89	—	6.82%	15.91%	6.82%	6.82%	—	—	36.36%
90–99	—	2.27%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	25.00%
100–109	—	2.27%	4.55%	—	2.27%	—	—	9.09%
110+	2.27%	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.27%
Total	4.55%	18.18%	40.91%	20.45%	15.91%	—	—	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.07	76.66	+9.41
SD	10.45	10.29	13.64
CV	0.12	0.13	—
Max	111	97	+53
Min	64	53	-14

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.27%	—	—	—	—	—	2.27%
60–69	—	—	4.55%	2.27%	—	—	—	6.82%
70–79	—	2.27%	4.55%	6.82%	—	—	—	13.64%
80–89	—	6.82%	27.27%	6.82%	6.82%	2.27%	—	50.00%
90–99	—	2.27%	6.82%	6.82%	—	6.82%	—	22.73%
100–109	2.27%	—	—	—	2.27%	—	—	4.55%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.27%	13.64%	43.18%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.39	80.32	+4.07
SD	10.52	11.14	14.06
CV	0.12	0.14	—
Max	105	106	+48
Min	58	52	-17

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.27%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	11.36%
70–79	—	2.27%	11.36%	4.55%	6.82%	—	—	25.00%
80–89	2.27%	6.82%	13.64%	18.18%	2.27%	—	—	43.18%
90–99	—	2.27%	—	6.82%	2.27%	—	—	11.36%
100–109	—	—	2.27%	2.27%	2.27%	2.27%	—	9.09%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.27%	13.64%	31.82%	36.36%	13.64%	2.27%	—	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.80	80.11	+2.68
SD	10.77	10.70	13.43
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	107	107	+35
Min	61	59	-23

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.27%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	6.82%
60–69	2.27%	—	2.27%	2.27%	—	—	—	6.82%
70–79	—	4.55%	15.91%	6.82%	2.27%	—	—	29.55%
80–89	—	—	11.36%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	29.55%
90–99	2.27%	4.55%	2.27%	9.09%	2.27%	—	—	20.45%
100–109	—	—	—	4.55%	—	2.27%	—	6.82%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	11.36%	31.82%	31.82%	18.18%	2.27%	—	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.14	80.09	+2.05
SD	11.85	10.62	14.06
CV	0.14	0.13	—
Max	106	108	+38
Min	57	57	-27

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.27%	—	2.27%	—	—	—	4.55%
60–69	2.27%	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
70–79	—	4.55%	9.09%	11.36%	2.27%	—	—	27.27%
80–89	—	—	4.55%	6.82%	9.09%	—	—	20.45%
90–99	—	—	2.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	15.91%
100–109	—	2.27%	—	2.27%	—	—	—	4.55%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.27%	15.91%	22.73%	38.64%	20.45%	—	—	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.14	81.57	-4.43
SD	11.94	9.92	13.75
CV	0.15	0.12	—
Max	104	99	+37
Min	56	58	-37

Games Played: 44

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.55	+15.9
Allowed	0.60	-15.1
Differential	0.93	+12.4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Las Vegas Aces	30	25.38	+4.62
2	Golden State Valkyries	23	19.22	+3.78
3	Atlanta Dream	30	26.77	+3.23
4	Los Angeles Sparks	21	18.15	+2.85
5	Phoenix Mercury	27	25.34	+1.66

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Wings	10	13.58	-3.58
2	Connecticut Sun	11	14.55	-3.55
3	Washington Mystics	16	19.54	-3.54
4	Chicago Sky	10	12.32	-2.32
5	New York Liberty	27	28.96	-1.96

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Las Vegas Aces	16	Aug 3 – Sep 11	1 in 1,297
2	Los Angeles Sparks	5	Jul 13 – Jul 26	1 in 104
3	Phoenix Mercury	6	Jun 11 – Jun 27	1 in 83
4	Minnesota Lynx	9	May 16 – Jun 8	1 in 21
5	Connecticut Sun	3	Aug 19 – Aug 23	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Liberty	4	Jul 26 – Aug 1	1 in 204
2	Washington Mystics	10	Aug 19 – Sep 9	1 in 127
3	Connecticut Sun	10	Jun 8 – Jul 6	1 in 96
4	Seattle Storm	6	Aug 1 – Aug 13	1 in 37
5	Dallas Wings	10	Aug 15 – Sep 7	1 in 20

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Minnesota Lynx	72.85%	17.17%	5.96%	2.46%	0.97%	0.43%	0.11%	0.04%	<0.01%	-	-	-	-
New York Liberty	14.70%	35.42%	20.86%	13.05%	7.91%	4.60%	2.41%	0.78%	0.22%	0.04%	0.01%	-	-
Atlanta Dream	5.10%	16.36%	20.56%	18.16%	15.31%	11.67%	7.75%	3.37%	1.24%	0.39%	0.07%	0.01%	<0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	2.19%	8.59%	14.10%	16.92%	17.51%	16.38%	13.36%	6.78%	2.83%	1.06%	0.22%	0.04%	<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	2.32%	8.83%	14.23%	16.61%	17.06%	16.27%	13.30%	6.87%	3.10%	1.06%	0.27%	0.05%	<0.01%
Indiana Fever	1.53%	7.07%	12.17%	15.11%	17.00%	17.66%	15.34%	8.46%	3.78%	1.41%	0.36%	0.10%	0.01%
Seattle Storm	1.26%	6.08%	10.69%	14.21%	16.73%	17.78%	16.69%	9.55%	4.70%	1.78%	0.43%	0.10%	0.01%
Washington Mystics	0.02%	0.24%	0.66%	1.58%	3.19%	6.25%	11.91%	22.39%	22.97%	17.41%	8.64%	3.58%	1.16%
Golden State Valkyries	0.01%	0.16%	0.56%	1.27%	2.80%	5.27%	10.50%	20.45%	23.98%	20.11%	9.76%	3.91%	1.24%
Los Angeles Sparks	<0.01%	0.06%	0.20%	0.60%	1.38%	3.24%	7.16%	15.93%	23.03%	24.84%	14.10%	6.89%	2.56%
Connecticut Sun	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.26%	0.86%	2.98%	7.22%	15.18%	29.17%	26.27%	17.95%
Dallas Wings	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.05%	0.15%	0.48%	1.71%	4.64%	10.55%	21.92%	31.45%	29.06%
Chicago Sky	-	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.04%	0.14%	0.70%	2.30%	6.17%	15.05%	27.60%	47.99%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx	72.85%	17.17%	5.96%	2.46%	0.97%	0.43%	0.11%	0.04%	<0.01%
New York Liberty	14.70%	35.42%	20.86%	13.05%	7.91%	4.60%	2.41%	0.78%	0.27%
Atlanta Dream	5.10%	16.36%	20.56%	18.16%	15.31%	11.67%	7.75%	3.37%	1.71%
Phoenix Mercury	2.32%	8.83%	14.23%	16.61%	17.06%	16.27%	13.30%	6.87%	4.50%
Las Vegas Aces	2.19%	8.59%	14.10%	16.92%	17.51%	16.38%	13.36%	6.78%	4.16%
Indiana Fever	1.53%	7.07%	12.17%	15.11%	17.00%	17.66%	15.34%	8.46%	5.67%
Seattle Storm	1.26%	6.08%	10.69%	14.21%	16.73%	17.78%	16.69%	9.55%	7.01%
Washington Mystics	0.02%	0.24%	0.66%	1.58%	3.19%	6.25%	11.91%	22.39%	53.76%
Golden State Valkyries	0.01%	0.16%	0.56%	1.27%	2.80%	5.27%	10.50%	20.45%	58.98%
Los Angeles Sparks	<0.01%	0.06%	0.20%	0.60%	1.38%	3.24%	7.16%	15.93%	71.42%
Connecticut Sun	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.26%	0.86%	2.98%	95.80%
Dallas Wings	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.05%	0.15%	0.48%	1.71%	97.61%
Chicago Sky	-	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.04%	0.14%	0.70%	99.11%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+11.89%

Fortress

55.94%44.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

041.5080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.63 points

Lean Home

-8+1.64+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th · Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.3

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

27%

Las Vegas Aces, 3rd of 13

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

47.0%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%80%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.41 · As Expected: 2.41 to 3.31 · Elevated: 3.31 to 4.52 · High Variance: 4.52 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 · Close: 1.11 to 1.5 · Off Target: 1.5 to 1.96 · Well Off Target: 1.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.65 · As Expected: 0.65 to 1.56 · Several Outliers: 1.56 to 2.86 · Many Outliers: 2.86 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.58 · As Expected: 0.58 to 0.96 · More Than Expected: 0.96 to 1.54 · Far More Than Expected: 1.54 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.90 wins

As Expected

03.018

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.85

Pinpoint

01.313

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.15%

95.47%

Las Vegas Aces

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.85%

14.88%

Connecticut Sun

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 13

As Expected

01.36

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 8

More Than Expected

00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.89

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

79%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

93%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

13%

Mostly Decisive

0%15%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Routine

0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.92

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

32%

As Expected

0%32%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.19

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.89

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.054

Within Noise

00.0890.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx	100.00%	80.40%	49.62%	28.10%
Atlanta Dream	98.29%	72.12%	47.21%	27.37%
Las Vegas Aces	95.84%	69.04%	45.56%	27.08%
New York Liberty	99.73%	53.81%	19.11%	6.13%
Indiana Fever	94.34%	39.98%	14.68%	4.91%
Phoenix Mercury	95.50%	36.80%	11.88%	3.47%
Seattle Storm	92.99%	27.93%	7.29%	1.80%
Golden State Valkyries	41.02%	10.82%	3.18%	0.87%
Los Angeles Sparks	28.58%	5.40%	1.18%	0.23%
Washington Mystics	46.24%	3.25%	0.25%	0.03%
Connecticut Sun	4.20%	0.31%	0.03%	<0.01%
Chicago Sky	0.89%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Dallas Wings	2.39%	0.12%	<0.01%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		98.7%0.08%	96.6%0.36%	96.7%0.21%	83.7%4.84%	75.3%17.30%	48.9%17.16%	89.5%3.23%	50.0%5.23%	73.5%11.20%	78.7%16.71%	84.0%16.56%	96.5%5.43%
Chicago Sky	1.3%0.08%					9.1%0.02%	6.7%0.03%		3.1%0.55%	7.1%0.15%	2.9%0.03%	4.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	3.4%0.36%				0.0%<0.01%	13.5%0.13%	2.5%0.16%	100.0%<0.01%	4.4%2.36%	13.3%0.85%	13.8%0.19%	18.8%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%
Dallas Wings	3.3%0.21%					11.6%0.07%	1.1%0.10%	0.0%<0.01%	2.5%1.36%	10.9%0.48%	11.0%0.10%	10.8%0.07%
Golden State Valkyries	16.3%4.84%		100.0%<0.01%			36.8%2.53%	16.7%2.96%	52.9%0.07%	17.8%16.97%	36.9%8.46%	42.4%2.98%	49.5%2.04%	86.3%0.17%
Indiana Fever	24.7%17.30%	90.9%0.02%	86.5%0.13%	88.4%0.07%	63.2%2.53%		24.3%15.19%	68.7%1.41%	25.5%10.57%	47.5%15.78%	54.6%15.33%	62.3%13.28%	89.3%2.73%
Las Vegas Aces	51.1%17.16%	93.3%0.03%	97.5%0.16%	98.9%0.10%	83.3%2.96%	75.7%15.19%		89.5%1.82%	51.1%9.05%	74.4%14.71%	78.8%16.38%	84.5%14.71%	97.2%3.58%
Los Angeles Sparks	10.5%3.23%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.07%	31.3%1.41%	10.5%1.82%		12.3%12.97%	27.4%5.93%	34.0%1.84%	40.2%1.22%	67.1%0.08%
Minnesota Lynx	50.0%5.23%	96.9%0.55%	95.6%2.36%	97.5%1.36%	82.2%16.97%	74.5%10.57%	48.9%9.05%	87.7%12.97%		74.1%1.46%	78.9%9.07%	83.4%11.48%	96.4%18.93%
New York Liberty	26.5%11.20%	92.9%0.15%	86.7%0.85%	89.1%0.48%	63.1%8.46%	52.5%15.78%	25.6%14.71%	72.6%5.93%	25.9%1.46%		57.5%14.94%	64.1%16.37%	89.1%9.42%
Phoenix Mercury	21.3%16.71%	97.1%0.03%	86.2%0.19%	89.0%0.10%	57.6%2.98%	45.4%15.33%	21.2%16.38%	66.0%1.84%	21.1%9.07%	42.5%14.94%		57.6%14.56%	86.6%3.38%
Seattle Storm	16.0%16.56%	95.5%0.02%	81.2%0.15%	89.2%0.07%	50.5%2.04%	37.7%13.28%	15.5%14.71%	59.8%1.22%	16.6%11.48%	35.9%16.37%	42.4%14.56%		82.2%2.52%
Washington Mystics	3.5%5.43%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		13.7%0.17%	10.7%2.73%	2.8%3.58%	32.9%0.08%	3.6%18.93%	10.9%9.42%	13.4%3.38%	17.8%2.52%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		100.0%<0.01%	98.9%0.09%	96.8%0.03%	81.0%2.53%	74.6%7.53%	49.1%13.26%	88.6%1.29%	51.8%20.03%	75.4%14.39%	78.2%6.94%	83.1%5.25%	96.3%0.77%
Chicago Sky	0.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	1.1%0.09%				0.0%<0.01%	22.7%0.04%	3.0%0.07%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%0.02%	22.2%0.03%	18.5%0.03%	33.3%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
Dallas Wings	3.2%0.03%					0.0%0.02%	3.3%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%
Golden State Valkyries	19.0%2.53%		100.0%<0.01%			38.7%1.24%	17.6%2.40%	69.8%0.05%	19.2%1.36%	40.9%1.15%	44.2%1.16%	53.7%0.88%	88.1%0.04%
Indiana Fever	25.4%7.53%	100.0%<0.01%	77.3%0.04%	100.0%0.02%	61.3%1.24%		25.0%7.18%	66.8%0.66%	27.0%10.88%	50.4%6.17%	54.0%3.33%	60.7%2.54%	87.6%0.38%
Las Vegas Aces	50.9%13.26%	84.6%0.01%	97.0%0.07%	96.7%0.03%	82.4%2.40%	75.0%7.18%		88.4%1.22%	53.3%20.49%	76.1%12.15%	79.9%6.42%	83.9%5.10%	96.9%0.71%
Los Angeles Sparks	11.4%1.29%		66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	30.2%0.05%	33.2%0.66%	11.6%1.22%		12.9%0.56%	32.0%0.59%	32.7%0.57%	45.5%0.42%	69.6%0.02%
Minnesota Lynx	48.2%20.03%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%0.02%	80.0%<0.01%	80.8%1.36%	73.0%10.88%	46.7%20.49%	87.1%0.56%		72.3%9.29%	77.0%10.06%	82.0%7.27%	96.6%0.42%
New York Liberty	24.6%14.39%	33.3%<0.01%	77.8%0.03%	85.7%0.01%	59.1%1.15%	49.6%6.17%	23.9%12.15%	68.0%0.59%	27.7%9.29%		54.7%5.73%	62.2%3.92%	91.0%0.38%
Phoenix Mercury	21.8%6.94%	66.7%<0.01%	81.5%0.03%	85.7%<0.01%	55.8%1.16%	46.0%3.33%	20.1%6.42%	67.3%0.57%	23.0%10.06%	45.3%5.73%		58.6%2.26%	87.0%0.29%
Seattle Storm	16.9%5.25%		66.7%0.02%	100.0%0.01%	46.3%0.88%	39.3%2.54%	16.1%5.10%	54.5%0.42%	18.0%7.27%	37.8%3.92%	41.4%2.26%		78.1%0.24%
Washington Mystics	3.7%0.77%		100.0%<0.01%		11.9%0.04%	12.4%0.38%	3.1%0.71%	30.4%0.02%	3.4%0.42%	9.0%0.38%	13.0%0.29%	21.9%0.24%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		50.0%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%		77.4%0.87%	71.6%4.00%	48.9%15.12%	84.5%0.32%	51.2%16.70%	71.9%4.92%	76.1%3.22%	79.0%1.97%	93.5%0.08%
Chicago Sky	50.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%				100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	30.0%0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Dallas Wings						100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Golden State Valkyries	22.6%0.87%		100.0%<0.01%			37.4%0.21%	21.4%0.86%	58.3%0.01%	25.2%0.73%	43.2%0.24%	43.3%0.15%	50.0%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%
Indiana Fever	28.4%4.00%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	62.6%0.21%		28.5%3.93%	66.7%0.07%	30.3%4.28%	51.7%1.06%	52.1%0.70%	62.0%0.41%	76.9%0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	51.1%15.12%		100.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	78.6%0.86%	71.5%3.93%		84.4%0.35%	52.7%15.29%	72.8%4.73%	75.0%3.25%	79.9%1.95%	94.2%0.07%
Los Angeles Sparks	15.5%0.32%				41.7%0.01%	33.3%0.07%	15.6%0.35%		13.9%0.28%	34.7%0.07%	37.7%0.05%	41.4%0.03%
Minnesota Lynx	48.8%16.70%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	74.8%0.73%	69.7%4.28%	47.3%15.29%	86.1%0.28%		70.0%6.82%	73.8%3.39%	78.0%2.08%	87.3%0.06%
New York Liberty	28.1%4.92%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		56.8%0.24%	48.3%1.06%	27.2%4.73%	65.3%0.07%	30.0%6.82%		54.2%0.80%	60.1%0.45%	64.3%0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	23.9%3.22%		0.0%<0.01%		56.7%0.15%	47.9%0.70%	25.0%3.25%	62.3%0.05%	26.2%3.39%	45.8%0.80%		57.1%0.29%	92.3%0.01%
Seattle Storm	21.0%1.97%	100.0%<0.01%			50.0%0.10%	38.0%0.41%	20.1%1.95%	58.6%0.03%	22.0%2.08%	39.9%0.45%	42.9%0.29%		50.0%<0.01%
Washington Mystics	6.5%0.08%				0.0%<0.01%	23.1%0.01%	5.8%0.07%		12.7%0.06%	35.7%0.01%	7.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Las Vegas Aces	85.35%	48.47%	30.08%	Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx	82.14%	61.67%	29.39%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Atlanta Dream	76.87%	40.74%	25.55%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
New York Liberty	52.81%	17.26%	5.20%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Phoenix Mercury	47.19%	13.13%	3.44%	Eliminated in Finals
Indiana Fever	23.13%	7.54%	3.32%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Golden State Valkyries	17.86%	7.94%	1.85%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Seattle Storm	14.65%	3.25%	1.17%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream			76.9%100.00%
Golden State Valkyries					17.9%100.00%
Indiana Fever	23.1%100.00%
Las Vegas Aces								85.3%100.00%
Minnesota Lynx		82.1%100.00%
New York Liberty							52.8%100.00%
Phoenix Mercury						47.2%100.00%
Seattle Storm				14.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream				48.1%65.53%				81.4%11.34%
Golden State Valkyries						41.5%9.31%	47.6%8.55%
Indiana Fever				27.1%19.82%				65.4%3.32%
Las Vegas Aces	51.9%65.53%		72.9%19.82%
Minnesota Lynx						72.8%43.50%	77.6%38.65%
New York Liberty		58.5%9.31%			27.2%43.50%
Phoenix Mercury		52.4%8.55%			22.4%38.65%
Seattle Storm	18.6%11.34%		34.6%3.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream		77.5%3.21%			55.0%25.27%	73.2%6.91%	76.7%5.35%
Golden State Valkyries	22.5%3.21%		35.7%0.59%	20.6%3.85%				44.7%0.28%
Indiana Fever		64.3%0.59%			36.9%4.68%	51.0%1.29%	56.9%0.98%
Las Vegas Aces		79.4%3.85%			54.1%29.75%	72.0%8.47%	75.5%6.40%
Minnesota Lynx	45.0%25.27%		63.1%4.68%	45.9%29.75%				71.9%1.97%
New York Liberty	26.8%6.91%		49.0%1.29%	28.0%8.47%				56.9%0.60%
Phoenix Mercury	23.3%5.35%		43.1%0.98%	24.5%6.40%				50.6%0.40%
Seattle Storm		55.3%0.28%			28.1%1.97%	43.1%0.60%	49.4%0.40%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Las Vegas Aces 30.08% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

85.35%

→

Semifinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

70.19%

Win Prob

51.92%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

53.52%

Win Prob

54.11%

Minnesota Lynx 29.39% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Golden State Valkyries

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

82.14%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

51.37%

Win Prob

72.82%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

46.46%

Win Prob

45.89%

Atlanta Dream 25.55% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Indiana Fever

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

76.87%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

77.34%

Win Prob

48.08%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

54.40%

Win Prob

55.01%

New York Liberty 5.20% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.81%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

68.47%

Win Prob

27.18%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

45.69%

Win Prob

28.04%

Phoenix Mercury 3.44% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.19%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

65.90%

Win Prob

22.40%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

45.48%

Win Prob

24.48%

Indiana Fever 3.32% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

23.13%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

71.21%

Win Prob

27.08%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

51.97%

Win Prob

36.85%

Golden State Valkyries 1.85% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

17.86%

→

Semifinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

51.27%

Win Prob

47.60%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

42.90%

Win Prob

20.63%

Seattle Storm 1.17% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

14.65%

→

Semifinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

64.72%

Win Prob

18.56%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

47.39%

Win Prob

28.13%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2025-05-16	@ Washington Mystics	L 90-94	1486.88	1491.51	43.40%	56.60%	-10.78	0-1
2025-05-20	@ Indiana Fever	W 91-90	1476.10	1530.87	36.49%	63.51%	+7.89	1-1
2025-05-22	Indiana Fever	L 76-81	1483.99	1522.99	50.36%	49.64%	-13.98	1-2
2025-05-24	Dallas Wings	W 83-75	1470.01	1395.98	66.04%	33.96%	+11.92	2-2
2025-05-25	Connecticut Sun	W 79-55	1481.93	1509.28	52.04%	47.96%	+29.16	3-2
2025-05-27	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 88-82	1511.09	1423.86	56.54%	43.46%	+13.21	4-2
2025-05-30	@ Seattle Storm	W 94-87	1524.30	1556.92	39.49%	60.51%	+19.87	5-2
2025-06-06	@ Connecticut Sun	L 76-84	1544.17	1437.64	59.25%	40.75%	-20.80	5-3
2025-06-10	Indiana Fever	W 77-58	1523.37	1544.43	52.94%	47.06%	+25.46	6-3
2025-06-13	Chicago Sky	W 88-70	1548.83	1375.01	77.55%	22.45%	+11.82	7-3
2025-06-15	@ Washington Mystics	W 89-56	1560.65	1493.17	53.73%	46.27%	+32.98	8-3
2025-06-17	@ New York Liberty	L 81-86	1593.63	1688.92	31.27%	68.73%	-8.67	8-4
2025-06-20	Washington Mystics	W 92-91	1584.96	1475.29	70.48%	29.52%	+3.66	9-4
2025-06-22	Chicago Sky	W 93-80	1588.62	1357.98	82.73%	17.27%	+7.73	10-4
2025-06-24	@ Dallas Wings	L 55-68	1596.35	1354.98	75.96%	24.04%	-33.99	10-5
2025-06-27	Minnesota Lynx	L 92-96	1562.36	1664.22	41.40%	58.60%	-10.28	10-6
2025-06-29	New York Liberty	W 90-81	1552.08	1628.39	45.01%	54.99%	+20.48	11-6
2025-07-03	Seattle Storm	L 79-80	1572.56	1559.62	57.77%	42.23%	-7.17	11-7
2025-07-07	Golden State Valkyries	W 90-81	1565.39	1490.92	66.10%	33.90%	+12.62	12-7
2025-07-11	@ Indiana Fever	L 82-99	1578.01	1504.98	54.53%	45.47%	-27.90	12-8
2025-07-13	@ New York Liberty	L 72-79	1550.11	1603.11	36.73%	63.27%	-12.06	12-9
2025-07-16	@ Chicago Sky	W 86-49	1538.05	1406.58	62.67%	37.33%	+28.18	13-9
2025-07-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 72-87	1566.23	1500.71	53.45%	46.55%	-25.69	13-10
2025-07-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 90-79	1540.54	1587.48	37.54%	62.46%	+25.71	14-10
2025-07-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 90-86	1566.25	1711.48	25.45%	74.55%	+18.51	15-10
2025-07-29	Golden State Valkyries	L 75-77	1584.76	1448.13	73.60%	26.40%	-12.92	15-11
2025-07-30	@ Dallas Wings	W 88-85	1571.84	1402.33	67.63%	32.37%	+6.96	16-11
2025-08-01	Phoenix Mercury	W 95-72	1578.80	1556.49	59.08%	40.92%	+24.35	17-11
2025-08-03	Washington Mystics	W 99-83	1603.15	1467.94	73.44%	26.56%	+13.18	18-11
2025-08-07	@ Chicago Sky	W 86-65	1616.33	1323.05	80.99%	19.01%	+10.81	19-11
2025-08-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 74-66	1627.14	1588.48	49.59%	50.41%	+17.70	20-11
2025-08-13	@ Seattle Storm	W 85-75	1644.84	1483.40	66.61%	33.39%	+13.10	21-11
2025-08-15	Seattle Storm	L 78-80	1657.94	1470.29	78.90%	21.10%	-13.85	21-12
2025-08-17	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 79-63	1644.09	1511.51	62.82%	37.18%	+18.46	22-12
2025-08-19	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 72-74	1662.55	1601.45	52.82%	47.18%	-9.27	22-13
2025-08-21	Minnesota Lynx	W 75-73	1653.28	1737.93	43.82%	56.18%	+9.86	23-13
2025-08-23	New York Liberty	W 78-62	1663.14	1574.65	67.88%	32.12%	+15.95	24-13
2025-08-27	Las Vegas Aces	L 75-81	1679.09	1647.80	60.32%	39.68%	-18.34	24-14
2025-08-29	Dallas Wings	W 100-78	1660.75	1283.35	91.77%	8.23%	+4.79	25-14
2025-09-01	@ Connecticut Sun	W 93-76	1665.54	1384.74	79.86%	20.14%	+10.31	26-14
2025-09-03	Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-75	1675.85	1463.27	81.19%	18.81%	+7.74	27-14
2025-09-05	Los Angeles Sparks	W 104-85	1683.59	1455.53	82.52%	17.48%	+9.45	28-14
2025-09-08	Connecticut Sun	W 87-62	1693.04	1354.76	89.90%	10.10%	+6.27	29-14
2025-09-10	@ Connecticut Sun	W 88-72	1699.31	1348.49	85.58%	14.42%	+7.16	30-14
2025-05-17	@ Indiana Fever	L 58-93	1434.56	1505.66	34.34%	65.66%	-25.21	0-1
2025-05-22	New York Liberty	L 74-99	1409.35	1642.04	24.96%	75.04%	-15.49	0-2
2025-05-25	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 78-91	1393.86	1404.84	42.50%	57.50%	-19.02	0-3
2025-05-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 89-94	1374.84	1499.86	27.72%	72.28%	-7.69	0-4
2025-05-29	Dallas Wings	W 97-92	1367.15	1424.12	47.78%	52.22%	+14.49	1-4
2025-05-31	@ Dallas Wings	W 94-83	1381.64	1409.63	40.13%	59.87%	+24.64	2-4
2025-06-07	Indiana Fever	L 52-79	1406.28	1518.68	39.94%	60.06%	-25.75	2-5
2025-06-10	@ New York Liberty	L 66-85	1380.53	1716.71	10.21%	89.79%	-5.52	2-6
2025-06-13	@ Atlanta Dream	L 70-88	1375.01	1548.83	22.45%	77.55%	-11.83	2-7
2025-06-15	@ Connecticut Sun	W 78-66	1363.18	1425.35	35.51%	64.49%	+27.73	3-7
2025-06-17	Washington Mystics	L 72-79	1390.91	1460.19	46.01%	53.99%	-15.11	3-8
2025-06-21	Phoenix Mercury	L 86-107	1375.80	1553.50	31.35%	68.65%	-17.82	3-9
2025-06-22	@ Atlanta Dream	L 80-93	1357.98	1588.62	17.27%	82.73%	-7.73	3-10
2025-06-24	Los Angeles Sparks	W 97-86	1350.25	1378.73	51.87%	48.13%	+19.81	4-10
2025-06-27	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 78-83	1370.06	1448.72	33.36%	66.64%	-9.26	4-11
2025-06-29	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-85	1360.80	1389.79	39.99%	60.01%	+19.70	5-11
2025-07-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 75-80	1380.50	1701.03	11.07%	88.93%	-3.07	5-12
2025-07-08	@ Washington Mystics	L 79-81	1377.43	1486.74	29.56%	70.44%	-5.19	5-13
2025-07-09	Dallas Wings	W 87-76	1372.24	1405.85	51.14%	48.86%	+20.11	6-13
2025-07-12	Minnesota Lynx	W 87-81	1392.35	1688.95	18.72%	81.28%	+24.71	7-13
2025-07-14	Minnesota Lynx	L 78-91	1417.06	1664.24	23.43%	76.57%	-10.48	7-14
2025-07-16	Atlanta Dream	L 49-86	1406.58	1538.05	37.33%	62.67%	-28.19	7-15
2025-07-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-91	1378.39	1690.04	11.58%	88.42%	-6.89	7-16
2025-07-24	Seattle Storm	L 57-95	1371.50	1513.29	35.96%	64.04%	-27.50	7-17
2025-07-27	Indiana Fever	L 78-93	1344.00	1538.14	29.35%	70.65%	-14.11	7-18
2025-07-29	@ Washington Mystics	L 86-103	1329.89	1461.32	26.98%	73.02%	-13.80	7-19
2025-08-01	Golden State Valkyries	L 66-73	1316.09	1468.23	34.59%	65.41%	-11.36	7-20
2025-08-03	Phoenix Mercury	L 67-83	1304.73	1532.13	25.54%	74.46%	-12.68	7-21
2025-08-05	Washington Mystics	W 78-64	1292.05	1454.76	33.23%	66.77%	+31.00	8-21
2025-08-07	Atlanta Dream	L 65-86	1323.05	1616.33	19.01%	80.99%	-10.81	8-22
2025-08-09	@ Indiana Fever	L 70-92	1312.24	1533.74	18.04%	81.96%	-10.50	8-23
2025-08-13	@ Connecticut Sun	L 62-71	1301.74	1307.66	43.22%	56.78%	-16.09	8-24
2025-08-15	Golden State Valkyries	L 59-90	1285.65	1492.24	27.88%	72.12%	-19.26	8-25
2025-08-19	Seattle Storm	L 88-94	1266.39	1474.43	27.71%	72.29%	-8.43	8-26
2025-08-21	@ New York Liberty	W 91-85	1257.96	1602.07	9.80%	90.20%	+27.42	9-26
2025-08-23	Connecticut Sun	L 84-94	1285.38	1368.87	43.99%	56.01%	-17.26	9-27
2025-08-25	Las Vegas Aces	L 74-79	1268.12	1644.27	12.71%	87.29%	-3.53	9-28
2025-08-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 79-83	1264.59	1586.18	11.01%	88.99%	-2.73	9-29
2025-08-30	@ Seattle Storm	L 69-79	1261.86	1530.07	14.40%	85.60%	-5.65	9-30
2025-09-03	Connecticut Sun	W 88-64	1256.21	1374.43	39.13%	60.87%	+37.01	10-30
2025-09-05	@ Indiana Fever	L 77-97	1293.22	1509.04	18.52%	81.48%	-10.28	10-31
2025-09-07	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 66-80	1282.94	1686.42	7.17%	92.83%	-3.33	10-32
2025-09-09	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 61-92	1279.61	1689.75	6.91%	93.09%	-4.78	10-33
2025-09-11	New York Liberty	L 86-91	1274.83	1563.01	19.47%	80.53%	-5.40	10-34
2025-05-18	Washington Mystics	L 85-90	1569.22	1502.28	65.12%	34.88%	-18.07	0-1
2025-05-20	Las Vegas Aces	L 62-87	1551.15	1575.36	52.49%	47.51%	-32.57	0-2
2025-05-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-76	1518.58	1619.32	30.60%	69.40%	-9.30	0-3
2025-05-25	@ Atlanta Dream	L 55-79	1509.28	1481.93	47.96%	52.04%	-29.16	0-4
2025-05-27	Dallas Wings	L 87-109	1480.12	1384.06	68.82%	31.18%	-40.06	0-5
2025-05-30	@ Indiana Fever	W 85-83	1440.06	1514.90	33.86%	66.14%	+11.60	1-5
2025-06-01	@ New York Liberty	L 52-100	1451.66	1694.18	16.32%	83.68%	-14.02	1-6
2025-06-06	Atlanta Dream	W 84-76	1437.64	1544.17	40.75%	59.25%	+20.79	2-6
2025-06-08	@ Washington Mystics	L 67-104	1458.43	1460.09	43.82%	56.18%	-33.08	2-7
2025-06-15	Chicago Sky	L 66-78	1425.35	1363.18	64.49%	35.51%	-27.72	2-8
2025-06-17	@ Indiana Fever	L 71-88	1397.63	1552.28	24.43%	75.57%	-12.50	2-9
2025-06-18	Phoenix Mercury	L 75-83	1385.13	1513.10	37.81%	62.19%	-13.27	2-10
2025-06-20	Dallas Wings	L 83-86	1371.86	1348.58	59.22%	40.78%	-12.73	2-11
2025-06-22	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 63-87	1359.13	1434.49	33.79%	66.21%	-20.54	2-12
2025-06-25	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 59-85	1338.59	1507.79	22.92%	77.08%	-14.51	2-13
2025-06-27	@ Seattle Storm	L 81-97	1324.08	1593.94	14.28%	85.72%	-7.08	2-14
2025-06-29	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 63-102	1317.00	1674.50	9.14%	90.86%	-7.09	2-15
2025-07-06	Las Vegas Aces	L 68-86	1309.91	1485.50	31.61%	68.39%	-16.64	2-16
2025-07-09	Seattle Storm	W 93-83	1293.27	1590.08	18.70%	81.30%	+31.91	3-16
2025-07-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 65-79	1325.18	1558.17	17.08%	82.92%	-7.93	3-17
2025-07-13	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 88-92	1317.25	1370.72	36.66%	63.34%	-9.10	3-18
2025-07-15	Indiana Fever	L 77-85	1308.15	1546.53	24.35%	75.65%	-8.55	3-19
2025-07-24	Los Angeles Sparks	L 86-101	1299.60	1435.66	36.72%	63.28%	-17.65	3-20
2025-07-27	Golden State Valkyries	W 95-64	1281.95	1498.76	26.71%	73.29%	+50.64	4-20
2025-07-28	Seattle Storm	L 85-101	1332.59	1518.01	30.40%	69.60%	-15.09	4-21
2025-08-01	New York Liberty	W 78-62	1317.50	1607.50	19.30%	80.70%	+40.06	5-21
2025-08-03	New York Liberty	L 78-87	1357.56	1567.44	27.50%	72.50%	-10.24	5-22
2025-08-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-82	1347.32	1544.81	20.17%	79.83%	-10.01	5-23
2025-08-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 91-102	1337.31	1479.73	25.76%	74.24%	-10.60	5-24
2025-08-10	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 86-94	1326.71	1560.38	17.02%	82.98%	-5.98	5-25
2025-08-11	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 57-74	1320.73	1465.07	25.54%	74.46%	-13.07	5-26
2025-08-13	Chicago Sky	W 71-62	1307.66	1301.74	56.78%	43.22%	+16.09	6-26
2025-08-17	Indiana Fever	L 93-99	1323.75	1516.89	29.46%	70.54%	-8.96	6-27
2025-08-19	@ Washington Mystics	W 80-69	1314.79	1463.22	25.10%	74.90%	+30.83	7-27
2025-08-21	Washington Mystics	W 67-56	1345.62	1432.39	43.52%	56.48%	+23.25	8-27
2025-08-23	@ Chicago Sky	W 94-84	1368.87	1285.38	56.01%	43.99%	+17.26	9-27
2025-08-25	@ New York Liberty	L 79-81	1386.13	1558.70	22.58%	77.42%	-3.96	9-28
2025-08-27	@ Dallas Wings	W 101-95	1382.17	1296.63	56.30%	43.70%	+13.28	10-28
2025-08-30	Minnesota Lynx	L 70-94	1395.45	1704.91	17.62%	82.38%	-10.71	10-29
2025-09-01	Atlanta Dream	L 76-93	1384.74	1665.54	20.14%	79.86%	-10.31	10-30
2025-09-03	@ Chicago Sky	L 64-88	1374.43	1256.21	60.87%	39.13%	-37.00	10-31
2025-09-06	Phoenix Mercury	W 87-84	1337.43	1626.58	19.38%	80.62%	+17.33	11-31
2025-09-08	@ Atlanta Dream	L 62-87	1354.76	1693.04	10.10%	89.90%	-6.27	11-32
2025-09-10	Atlanta Dream	L 72-88	1348.49	1699.31	14.42%	85.58%	-7.16	11-33
2025-05-16	Minnesota Lynx	L 84-99	1432.47	1581.25	35.03%	64.97%	-16.84	0-1
2025-05-19	Seattle Storm	L 71-79	1415.63	1507.70	42.77%	57.23%	-15.02	0-2
2025-05-21	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 81-85	1400.61	1614.68	18.68%	81.32%	-4.63	0-3
2025-05-24	@ Atlanta Dream	L 75-83	1395.98	1470.01	33.96%	66.04%	-11.92	0-4
2025-05-27	@ Connecticut Sun	W 109-87	1384.06	1480.12	31.18%	68.82%	+40.06	1-4
2025-05-29	@ Chicago Sky	L 92-97	1424.12	1367.15	52.22%	47.78%	-14.49	1-5
2025-05-31	Chicago Sky	L 83-94	1409.63	1381.64	59.87%	40.13%	-24.65	1-6
2025-06-03	@ Seattle Storm	L 77-83	1384.98	1523.82	26.15%	73.85%	-7.95	1-7
2025-06-06	Los Angeles Sparks	L 79-93	1377.03	1388.25	54.35%	45.65%	-25.23	1-8
2025-06-08	Minnesota Lynx	L 65-81	1351.80	1669.65	16.93%	83.07%	-8.40	1-9
2025-06-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 80-93	1343.40	1482.69	26.10%	73.90%	-11.68	1-10
2025-06-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 84-88	1331.72	1530.10	20.09%	79.91%	-4.99	1-11
2025-06-17	Golden State Valkyries	W 80-71	1326.73	1429.13	41.32%	58.68%	+21.85	2-11
2025-06-20	@ Connecticut Sun	W 86-83	1348.58	1371.86	40.78%	59.22%	+12.73	3-11
2025-06-22	@ Washington Mystics	L 88-91	1361.31	1471.63	29.44%	70.56%	-6.33	3-12
2025-06-24	Atlanta Dream	W 68-55	1354.98	1596.35	24.04%	75.96%	+33.99	4-12
2025-06-27	Indiana Fever	L 86-94	1388.97	1513.11	38.33%	61.67%	-13.46	4-13
2025-06-28	Washington Mystics	W 79-71	1375.51	1520.34	35.55%	64.45%	+22.62	5-13
2025-07-03	Phoenix Mercury	W 98-89	1398.13	1583.37	30.42%	69.58%	+25.91	6-13
2025-07-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-102	1424.04	1557.47	26.76%	73.24%	-18.19	6-14
2025-07-09	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-87	1405.85	1372.24	48.86%	51.14%	-20.11	6-15
2025-07-13	@ Indiana Fever	L 83-102	1385.74	1532.88	25.24%	74.76%	-13.65	6-16
2025-07-16	Las Vegas Aces	L 86-90	1372.09	1491.02	39.04%	60.96%	-9.69	6-17
2025-07-22	@ Seattle Storm	W 87-63	1362.40	1561.94	19.98%	80.02%	+48.65	7-17
2025-07-25	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 76-86	1411.05	1485.46	33.91%	66.09%	-13.31	7-18
2025-07-27	Las Vegas Aces	L 80-106	1397.74	1494.24	42.15%	57.85%	-26.67	7-19
2025-07-28	New York Liberty	W 92-82	1371.07	1649.90	20.32%	79.68%	+31.26	8-19
2025-07-30	Atlanta Dream	L 85-88	1402.33	1571.84	32.37%	67.63%	-6.95	8-20
2025-08-01	Indiana Fever	L 78-88	1395.38	1566.43	32.17%	67.83%	-12.63	8-21
2025-08-05	@ New York Liberty	L 76-85	1382.75	1577.68	20.41%	79.59%	-7.60	8-22
2025-08-08	New York Liberty	L 77-88	1375.15	1585.28	27.47%	72.53%	-11.31	8-23
2025-08-10	Washington Mystics	L 78-91	1363.84	1420.96	47.75%	52.25%	-21.36	8-24
2025-08-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 81-80	1342.48	1544.23	19.78%	80.22%	+9.95	9-24
2025-08-15	Los Angeles Sparks	L 96-97	1352.43	1463.36	40.14%	59.86%	-4.98	9-25
2025-08-17	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 87-106	1347.45	1592.74	16.10%	83.90%	-8.71	9-26
2025-08-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-81	1338.74	1450.73	29.24%	70.76%	-3.63	9-27
2025-08-22	Seattle Storm	L 60-95	1335.11	1482.85	35.17%	64.83%	-25.82	9-28
2025-08-24	Golden State Valkyries	L 81-90	1309.29	1465.98	34.01%	65.99%	-12.66	9-29
2025-08-27	Connecticut Sun	L 95-101	1296.63	1382.17	43.70%	56.30%	-13.28	9-30
2025-08-29	@ Atlanta Dream	L 78-100	1283.35	1660.75	8.23%	91.77%	-4.79	9-31
2025-09-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 71-96	1278.56	1715.62	5.98%	94.02%	-3.71	9-32
2025-09-04	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 80-84	1274.85	1540.09	14.61%	85.39%	-3.63	9-33
2025-09-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 77-91	1271.22	1446.07	22.35%	77.65%	-10.38	9-34
2025-09-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 97-76	1260.84	1588.33	16.16%	83.84%	+47.68	10-34
2025-05-16	Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-84	1350.00	1432.08	44.19%	55.81%	-22.61	0-1
2025-05-21	Washington Mystics	W 76-74	1327.39	1520.35	29.49%	70.51%	+12.38	1-1
2025-05-23	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-73	1339.77	1430.20	31.88%	68.12%	+25.36	2-1
2025-05-27	@ New York Liberty	L 67-95	1365.13	1664.34	12.33%	87.67%	-8.10	2-2
2025-05-29	@ New York Liberty	L 77-82	1357.03	1672.44	11.36%	88.64%	-3.15	2-3
2025-06-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 75-86	1353.88	1646.53	19.07%	80.93%	-7.85	2-4
2025-06-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 77-86	1346.03	1495.81	24.95%	75.05%	-9.29	2-5
2025-06-07	Las Vegas Aces	W 95-68	1336.74	1607.89	21.05%	78.95%	+50.91	3-5
2025-06-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-81	1387.65	1413.49	40.43%	59.57%	+20.91	4-5
2025-06-14	Seattle Storm	W 76-70	1408.56	1578.37	32.33%	67.67%	+20.57	5-5
2025-06-17	@ Dallas Wings	L 71-80	1429.13	1326.73	58.68%	41.32%	-21.84	5-6
2025-06-19	Indiana Fever	W 88-77	1407.29	1564.78	33.90%	66.10%	+27.20	6-6
2025-06-22	Connecticut Sun	W 87-63	1434.49	1359.13	66.21%	33.79%	+20.55	7-6
2025-06-25	New York Liberty	L 78-81	1455.04	1649.04	29.36%	70.64%	-6.32	7-7
2025-06-27	Chicago Sky	W 83-78	1448.72	1370.06	66.64%	33.36%	+9.26	8-7
2025-06-29	Seattle Storm	W 84-57	1457.98	1601.03	35.79%	64.21%	+41.41	9-7
2025-07-05	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 71-82	1499.39	1692.56	20.57%	79.43%	-8.47	9-8
2025-07-07	@ Atlanta Dream	L 81-90	1490.92	1565.39	33.90%	66.10%	-12.62	9-9
2025-07-09	@ Indiana Fever	W 80-61	1478.30	1539.82	35.59%	64.41%	+34.84	10-9
2025-07-12	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 102-104	1513.14	1482.52	48.43%	51.57%	-8.50	10-10
2025-07-14	Phoenix Mercury	L 77-78	1504.64	1597.51	42.66%	57.34%	-5.30	10-11
2025-07-16	@ Seattle Storm	L 58-67	1499.34	1548.05	37.30%	62.70%	-13.88	10-12
2025-07-25	Dallas Wings	W 86-76	1485.46	1411.05	66.09%	33.91%	+13.30	11-12
2025-07-27	@ Connecticut Sun	L 64-95	1498.76	1281.95	73.29%	26.71%	-50.63	11-13
2025-07-29	@ Atlanta Dream	W 77-75	1448.13	1584.76	26.40%	73.60%	+12.91	12-13
2025-07-31	@ Washington Mystics	W 68-67	1461.04	1475.13	42.07%	57.93%	+7.19	13-13
2025-08-01	@ Chicago Sky	W 73-66	1468.23	1316.09	65.41%	34.59%	+11.36	14-13
2025-08-03	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 77-101	1479.59	1513.79	39.28%	60.72%	-23.88	14-14
2025-08-06	Las Vegas Aces	L 72-78	1455.71	1537.66	44.20%	55.80%	-13.43	14-15
2025-08-09	Los Angeles Sparks	W 72-59	1442.28	1490.33	49.06%	50.94%	+22.79	15-15
2025-08-11	Connecticut Sun	W 74-57	1465.07	1320.73	74.46%	25.54%	+13.07	16-15
2025-08-13	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-83	1478.14	1442.33	49.18%	50.82%	+14.10	17-15
2025-08-15	@ Chicago Sky	W 90-59	1492.24	1285.65	72.12%	27.88%	+19.27	18-15
2025-08-17	Atlanta Dream	L 63-79	1511.51	1644.09	37.18%	62.82%	-18.46	18-16
2025-08-19	Phoenix Mercury	L 91-98	1493.05	1568.79	45.09%	54.91%	-14.80	18-17
2025-08-22	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-81	1478.25	1560.17	32.95%	67.05%	-12.27	18-18
2025-08-24	@ Dallas Wings	W 90-81	1465.98	1309.29	65.99%	34.01%	+12.66	19-18
2025-08-30	Washington Mystics	W 99-62	1478.64	1377.54	69.44%	30.56%	+23.07	20-18
2025-08-31	Indiana Fever	W 75-63	1501.71	1539.96	50.47%	49.53%	+21.29	21-18
2025-09-02	New York Liberty	W 66-58	1523.00	1555.39	51.31%	48.69%	+17.09	22-18
2025-09-04	Dallas Wings	W 84-80	1540.09	1274.85	85.39%	14.61%	+3.63	23-18
2025-09-06	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-78	1543.72	1699.05	34.18%	65.82%	-10.39	23-19
2025-09-09	@ Seattle Storm	L 73-74	1533.33	1496.44	49.34%	50.66%	-6.13	23-20
2025-09-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 53-72	1527.20	1681.62	24.46%	75.54%	-13.23	23-21
2025-05-17	Chicago Sky	W 93-58	1505.66	1434.56	65.66%	34.34%	+25.21	1-0
2025-05-20	Atlanta Dream	L 90-91	1530.87	1476.10	63.51%	36.49%	-7.88	1-1
2025-05-22	@ Atlanta Dream	W 81-76	1522.99	1483.99	49.64%	50.36%	+13.98	2-1
2025-05-24	New York Liberty	L 88-90	1536.97	1657.53	38.81%	61.19%	-6.82	2-2
2025-05-28	@ Washington Mystics	L 77-83	1530.15	1487.31	50.19%	49.81%	-15.25	2-3
2025-05-30	Connecticut Sun	L 83-85	1514.90	1440.06	66.14%	33.86%	-11.61	2-4
2025-06-03	Washington Mystics	W 85-76	1503.29	1483.98	58.66%	41.34%	+15.39	3-4
2025-06-07	@ Chicago Sky	W 79-52	1518.68	1406.28	60.06%	39.94%	+25.75	4-4
2025-06-10	@ Atlanta Dream	L 58-77	1544.43	1523.37	47.06%	52.94%	-25.46	4-5
2025-06-14	New York Liberty	W 102-88	1518.97	1722.23	28.27%	71.73%	+33.31	5-5
2025-06-17	Connecticut Sun	W 88-71	1552.28	1397.63	75.57%	24.43%	+12.50	6-5
2025-06-19	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 77-88	1564.78	1407.29	66.10%	33.90%	-27.20	6-6
2025-06-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 81-89	1537.58	1489.93	50.88%	49.12%	-17.87	6-7
2025-06-24	@ Seattle Storm	W 94-86	1519.71	1618.20	30.88%	69.12%	+24.27	7-7
2025-06-26	Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-85	1543.98	1358.92	78.65%	21.35%	-30.87	7-8
2025-06-27	@ Dallas Wings	W 94-86	1513.11	1388.97	61.67%	38.33%	+13.45	8-8
2025-07-03	Las Vegas Aces	W 81-54	1526.56	1512.65	57.91%	42.09%	+27.15	9-8
2025-07-05	Los Angeles Sparks	L 87-89	1553.71	1363.54	79.14%	20.86%	-13.89	9-9
2025-07-09	Golden State Valkyries	L 61-80	1539.82	1478.30	64.41%	35.59%	-34.84	9-10
2025-07-11	Atlanta Dream	W 99-82	1504.98	1578.01	45.47%	54.53%	+27.90	10-10
2025-07-13	Dallas Wings	W 102-83	1532.88	1385.74	74.76%	25.24%	+13.65	11-10
2025-07-15	@ Connecticut Sun	W 85-77	1546.53	1308.15	75.65%	24.35%	+8.55	12-10
2025-07-16	@ New York Liberty	L 77-98	1555.08	1615.17	35.78%	64.22%	-20.35	12-11
2025-07-22	@ New York Liberty	L 84-98	1534.73	1635.52	30.60%	69.40%	-14.21	12-12
2025-07-24	Las Vegas Aces	W 80-70	1520.52	1526.40	55.11%	44.89%	+17.62	13-12
2025-07-27	@ Chicago Sky	W 93-78	1538.14	1344.00	70.65%	29.35%	+14.10	14-12
2025-07-30	Phoenix Mercury	W 107-101	1552.24	1570.68	53.31%	46.69%	+14.19	15-12
2025-08-01	@ Dallas Wings	W 88-78	1566.43	1395.38	67.83%	32.17%	+12.63	16-12
2025-08-03	@ Seattle Storm	W 78-74	1579.06	1521.17	52.36%	47.64%	+11.83	17-12
2025-08-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 91-100	1590.89	1456.24	63.09%	36.91%	-23.49	17-13
2025-08-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 60-95	1567.40	1554.82	45.85%	54.15%	-33.66	17-14
2025-08-09	Chicago Sky	W 92-70	1533.74	1312.24	81.96%	18.04%	+10.49	18-14
2025-08-12	Dallas Wings	L 80-81	1544.23	1342.48	80.22%	19.78%	-9.95	18-15
2025-08-15	Washington Mystics	L 84-88	1534.28	1428.22	70.04%	29.96%	-17.39	18-16
2025-08-17	@ Connecticut Sun	W 99-93	1516.89	1323.75	70.54%	29.46%	+8.96	19-16
2025-08-22	Minnesota Lynx	L 90-95	1525.85	1728.08	28.39%	71.61%	-7.88	19-17
2025-08-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 84-97	1517.97	1735.95	18.34%	81.66%	-8.20	19-18
2025-08-26	Seattle Storm	W 95-75	1509.77	1515.75	55.09%	44.91%	+24.92	20-18
2025-08-29	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-75	1534.69	1440.62	57.51%	42.49%	+5.27	21-18
2025-08-31	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 63-75	1539.96	1501.71	49.53%	50.47%	-21.29	21-19
2025-09-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 79-85	1518.67	1610.60	31.69%	68.31%	-9.63	21-20
2025-09-05	Chicago Sky	W 97-77	1509.04	1293.22	81.48%	18.52%	+10.28	22-20
2025-09-07	@ Washington Mystics	W 94-65	1519.32	1341.01	68.73%	31.27%	+20.89	23-20
2025-09-09	Minnesota Lynx	W 83-72	1540.21	1709.44	32.40%	67.60%	+27.83	24-20
2025-05-17	@ New York Liberty	L 78-92	1593.89	1623.51	39.91%	60.09%	-18.53	0-1
2025-05-20	@ Connecticut Sun	W 87-62	1575.36	1551.15	47.51%	52.49%	+32.57	1-1
2025-05-23	Washington Mystics	W 75-72	1607.93	1507.98	69.30%	30.70%	+6.60	2-1
2025-05-25	@ Seattle Storm	L 82-102	1614.53	1536.09	55.30%	44.70%	-30.69	2-2
2025-05-30	Los Angeles Sparks	W 96-81	1583.84	1410.65	77.48%	22.52%	+10.82	3-2
2025-06-01	@ Seattle Storm	W 75-70	1594.66	1537.05	52.32%	47.68%	+13.23	4-2
2025-06-07	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 68-95	1607.89	1336.74	78.95%	21.05%	-50.91	4-3
2025-06-11	Los Angeles Sparks	L 89-97	1556.98	1392.58	76.59%	23.41%	-26.88	4-4
2025-06-13	Dallas Wings	W 88-84	1530.10	1331.72	79.91%	20.09%	+4.98	5-4
2025-06-15	Phoenix Mercury	L 70-76	1535.08	1494.37	61.62%	38.38%	-18.73	5-5
2025-06-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 62-76	1516.35	1663.96	25.19%	74.81%	-11.69	5-6
2025-06-20	Seattle Storm	L 83-90	1504.66	1582.04	44.85%	55.15%	-14.73	5-7
2025-06-22	Indiana Fever	W 89-81	1489.93	1537.58	49.12%	50.88%	+17.86	6-7
2025-06-25	Connecticut Sun	W 85-59	1507.79	1338.59	77.08%	22.92%	+14.50	7-7
2025-06-26	Washington Mystics	L 83-94	1522.29	1495.79	59.66%	40.34%	-24.55	7-8
2025-06-29	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 84-81	1497.74	1598.28	30.63%	69.37%	+14.91	8-8
2025-07-03	@ Indiana Fever	L 54-81	1512.65	1526.56	42.09%	57.91%	-27.15	8-9
2025-07-06	@ Connecticut Sun	W 86-68	1485.50	1309.91	68.39%	31.61%	+16.65	9-9
2025-07-08	@ New York Liberty	L 78-87	1502.15	1591.17	32.05%	67.95%	-11.94	9-10
2025-07-10	@ Washington Mystics	L 68-70	1490.21	1491.93	43.81%	56.19%	-7.69	9-11
2025-07-12	Golden State Valkyries	W 104-102	1482.52	1513.14	51.57%	48.43%	+8.50	10-11
2025-07-16	@ Dallas Wings	W 90-86	1491.02	1372.09	60.96%	39.04%	+9.69	11-11
2025-07-22	Atlanta Dream	W 87-72	1500.71	1566.23	46.55%	53.45%	+25.69	12-11
2025-07-24	@ Indiana Fever	L 70-80	1526.40	1520.52	44.89%	55.11%	-17.61	12-12
2025-07-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 78-109	1508.79	1696.94	21.05%	78.95%	-14.55	12-13
2025-07-27	@ Dallas Wings	W 106-80	1494.24	1397.74	57.85%	42.15%	+26.67	13-13
2025-07-29	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-74	1520.91	1467.53	51.71%	48.29%	+23.21	14-13
2025-08-02	Minnesota Lynx	L 58-111	1544.12	1704.11	33.58%	66.42%	-30.33	14-14
2025-08-03	Golden State Valkyries	W 101-77	1513.79	1479.59	60.72%	39.28%	+23.87	15-14
2025-08-06	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 78-72	1537.66	1455.71	55.80%	44.20%	+13.44	16-14
2025-08-08	Seattle Storm	W 90-86	1551.10	1502.95	62.62%	37.38%	+9.28	17-14
2025-08-10	Connecticut Sun	W 94-86	1560.38	1326.71	82.98%	17.02%	+5.97	18-14
2025-08-13	New York Liberty	W 83-77	1566.35	1595.87	51.72%	48.28%	+14.68	19-14
2025-08-15	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 86-83	1581.03	1570.79	45.51%	54.49%	+11.71	20-14
2025-08-17	Dallas Wings	W 106-87	1592.74	1347.45	83.90%	16.10%	+8.71	21-14
2025-08-19	Atlanta Dream	W 74-72	1601.45	1662.55	47.18%	52.82%	+9.27	22-14
2025-08-21	Phoenix Mercury	W 83-61	1610.72	1583.60	59.75%	40.25%	+23.43	23-14
2025-08-23	@ Washington Mystics	W 91-81	1634.15	1409.15	74.20%	25.80%	+10.12	24-14
2025-08-25	@ Chicago Sky	W 79-74	1644.27	1268.12	87.29%	12.71%	+3.53	25-14
2025-08-27	@ Atlanta Dream	W 81-75	1647.80	1679.09	39.68%	60.32%	+18.34	26-14
2025-09-04	Minnesota Lynx	W 97-87	1666.14	1719.34	48.32%	51.68%	+20.28	27-14
2025-09-07	Chicago Sky	W 80-66	1686.42	1282.94	92.83%	7.17%	+3.33	28-14
2025-09-09	Chicago Sky	W 92-61	1689.75	1279.61	93.09%	6.91%	+4.78	29-14
2025-09-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 103-75	1694.53	1477.37	73.33%	26.67%	+17.51	30-14
2025-05-16	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 84-67	1432.08	1350.00	55.81%	44.19%	+22.61	1-0
2025-05-18	Minnesota Lynx	L 75-89	1454.69	1598.09	35.74%	64.26%	-16.60	1-1
2025-05-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 86-89	1438.09	1491.29	36.70%	63.30%	-7.89	1-2
2025-05-23	Golden State Valkyries	L 73-82	1430.20	1339.77	68.12%	31.88%	-25.36	1-3
2025-05-25	Chicago Sky	W 91-78	1404.84	1393.86	57.50%	42.50%	+19.02	2-3
2025-05-27	Atlanta Dream	L 82-88	1423.86	1511.09	43.46%	56.54%	-13.21	2-4
2025-05-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 81-96	1410.65	1583.84	22.52%	77.48%	-10.82	2-5
2025-06-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 80-85	1399.83	1499.51	41.70%	58.30%	-11.58	2-6
2025-06-06	@ Dallas Wings	W 93-79	1388.25	1377.03	45.65%	54.35%	+25.24	3-6
2025-06-09	Golden State Valkyries	L 81-89	1413.49	1387.65	59.57%	40.43%	-20.91	3-7
2025-06-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 97-89	1392.58	1556.98	23.41%	76.59%	+26.88	4-7
2025-06-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 78-101	1419.46	1653.86	16.96%	83.04%	-10.09	4-8
2025-06-17	Seattle Storm	L 67-98	1409.37	1557.80	35.08%	64.92%	-24.24	4-9
2025-06-21	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 66-82	1385.13	1675.65	12.88%	87.12%	-6.40	4-10
2025-06-24	@ Chicago Sky	L 86-97	1378.73	1350.25	48.13%	51.87%	-19.81	4-11
2025-06-26	@ Indiana Fever	W 85-75	1358.92	1543.98	21.35%	78.65%	+30.87	5-11
2025-06-29	Chicago Sky	L 85-92	1389.79	1360.80	60.01%	39.99%	-19.70	5-12
2025-07-03	@ New York Liberty	L 79-89	1370.09	1607.92	16.69%	83.31%	-6.55	5-13
2025-07-05	@ Indiana Fever	W 89-87	1363.54	1553.71	20.86%	79.14%	+13.89	6-13
2025-07-10	Minnesota Lynx	L 82-91	1377.43	1682.25	18.01%	81.99%	-6.71	6-14
2025-07-13	Connecticut Sun	W 92-88	1370.72	1317.25	63.34%	36.66%	+9.10	7-14
2025-07-15	Washington Mystics	W 99-80	1379.82	1517.67	36.48%	63.52%	+34.36	8-14
2025-07-22	@ Washington Mystics	W 93-86	1414.18	1483.31	34.60%	65.40%	+21.48	9-14
2025-07-24	@ Connecticut Sun	W 101-86	1435.66	1299.60	63.28%	36.72%	+17.65	10-14
2025-07-26	@ New York Liberty	W 101-99	1453.31	1664.13	18.96%	81.04%	+14.22	11-14
2025-07-29	Las Vegas Aces	L 74-89	1467.53	1520.91	48.29%	51.71%	-23.21	11-15
2025-08-01	@ Seattle Storm	W 108-106	1444.32	1533.09	32.08%	67.92%	+11.92	12-15
2025-08-05	Indiana Fever	W 100-91	1456.24	1590.89	36.91%	63.09%	+23.49	13-15
2025-08-07	Connecticut Sun	W 102-91	1479.73	1337.31	74.24%	25.76%	+10.60	14-15
2025-08-09	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 59-72	1490.33	1442.28	50.94%	49.06%	-22.80	14-16
2025-08-10	Seattle Storm	W 94-91	1467.53	1493.67	52.21%	47.79%	+10.28	15-16
2025-08-12	New York Liberty	L 97-105	1477.81	1581.43	41.15%	58.85%	-14.45	15-17
2025-08-15	@ Dallas Wings	W 97-96	1463.36	1352.43	59.86%	40.14%	+4.98	16-17
2025-08-17	@ Washington Mystics	L 86-95	1468.34	1445.61	47.30%	52.70%	-17.61	16-18
2025-08-20	Dallas Wings	W 81-80	1450.73	1338.74	70.76%	29.24%	+3.63	17-18
2025-08-26	Phoenix Mercury	L 84-92	1454.36	1572.43	39.16%	60.84%	-13.74	17-19
2025-08-29	Indiana Fever	L 75-76	1440.62	1534.69	42.49%	57.51%	-5.28	17-20
2025-08-31	Washington Mystics	W 81-78	1435.34	1354.47	66.92%	33.08%	+7.12	18-20
2025-09-01	@ Seattle Storm	W 91-85	1442.46	1535.72	31.52%	68.48%	+20.81	19-20
2025-09-03	@ Atlanta Dream	L 75-86	1463.27	1675.85	18.81%	81.19%	-7.74	19-21
2025-09-05	@ Atlanta Dream	L 85-104	1455.53	1683.59	17.48%	82.52%	-9.46	19-22
2025-09-07	Dallas Wings	W 91-77	1446.07	1271.22	77.65%	22.35%	+10.38	20-22
2025-09-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 88-83	1456.45	1609.25	24.63%	75.37%	+20.92	21-22
2025-09-11	Las Vegas Aces	L 75-103	1477.37	1694.53	26.67%	73.33%	-17.52	21-23
2025-05-16	@ Dallas Wings	W 99-84	1581.25	1432.47	64.97%	35.03%	+16.84	1-0
2025-05-18	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-75	1598.09	1454.69	64.26%	35.74%	+16.59	2-0
2025-05-21	Dallas Wings	W 85-81	1614.68	1400.61	81.32%	18.68%	+4.64	3-0
2025-05-23	Connecticut Sun	W 76-70	1619.32	1518.58	69.40%	30.60%	+9.30	4-0
2025-05-27	Seattle Storm	W 82-77	1628.62	1566.78	64.45%	35.55%	+9.87	5-0
2025-05-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 74-71	1638.49	1507.55	62.59%	37.41%	+8.04	6-0
2025-06-01	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 86-75	1646.53	1353.88	80.93%	19.07%	+7.84	7-0
2025-06-03	Phoenix Mercury	W 88-65	1654.37	1511.09	74.34%	25.66%	+15.28	8-0
2025-06-08	@ Dallas Wings	W 81-65	1669.65	1351.80	83.07%	16.93%	+8.40	9-0
2025-06-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 84-94	1678.05	1554.18	61.64%	38.36%	-24.19	9-1
2025-06-14	Los Angeles Sparks	W 101-78	1653.86	1419.46	83.04%	16.96%	+10.10	10-1
2025-06-17	Las Vegas Aces	W 76-62	1663.96	1516.35	74.81%	25.19%	+11.69	11-1
2025-06-21	Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-66	1675.65	1385.13	87.12%	12.88%	+6.40	12-1
2025-06-24	@ Washington Mystics	L 64-68	1682.05	1477.96	71.83%	28.17%	-17.83	12-2
2025-06-27	@ Atlanta Dream	W 96-92	1664.22	1562.36	58.60%	41.40%	+10.28	13-2
2025-06-29	Connecticut Sun	W 102-63	1674.50	1317.00	90.86%	9.14%	+7.08	14-2
2025-07-03	Washington Mystics	W 92-75	1681.58	1497.72	78.54%	21.46%	+10.98	15-2
2025-07-05	Golden State Valkyries	W 82-71	1692.56	1499.39	79.43%	20.57%	+8.47	16-2
2025-07-06	Chicago Sky	W 80-75	1701.03	1380.50	88.93%	11.07%	+3.07	17-2
2025-07-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 71-79	1704.10	1575.65	62.26%	37.74%	-21.85	17-3
2025-07-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 91-82	1682.25	1377.43	81.99%	18.01%	+6.70	18-3
2025-07-12	@ Chicago Sky	L 81-87	1688.95	1392.35	81.28%	18.72%	-24.71	18-4
2025-07-14	@ Chicago Sky	W 91-78	1664.24	1417.06	76.57%	23.43%	+10.49	19-4
2025-07-16	Phoenix Mercury	W 79-66	1674.73	1602.80	65.77%	34.23%	+15.31	20-4
2025-07-22	Chicago Sky	W 91-68	1690.04	1378.39	88.42%	11.58%	+6.90	21-4
2025-07-25	Las Vegas Aces	W 109-78	1696.94	1508.79	78.95%	21.05%	+14.54	22-4
2025-07-27	Atlanta Dream	L 86-90	1711.48	1566.25	74.55%	25.45%	-18.50	22-5
2025-07-30	New York Liberty	W 100-93	1692.98	1618.63	66.08%	33.92%	+11.13	23-5
2025-08-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 111-58	1704.11	1544.12	66.42%	33.58%	+30.34	24-5
2025-08-05	@ Seattle Storm	W 91-87	1734.45	1509.35	74.21%	25.79%	+6.40	25-5
2025-08-08	Washington Mystics	W 80-76	1740.85	1423.75	88.74%	11.26%	+2.80	26-5
2025-08-10	@ New York Liberty	W 83-71	1743.65	1596.58	64.74%	35.26%	+15.16	27-5
2025-08-16	New York Liberty	W 86-80	1758.81	1581.20	77.92%	22.08%	+6.71	28-5
2025-08-19	@ New York Liberty	L 75-85	1765.52	1574.49	70.28%	29.72%	-27.59	28-6
2025-08-21	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-75	1737.93	1653.28	56.18%	43.82%	-9.85	28-7
2025-08-22	@ Indiana Fever	W 95-90	1728.08	1525.85	71.61%	28.39%	+7.87	29-7
2025-08-24	Indiana Fever	W 97-84	1735.95	1517.97	81.66%	18.34%	+8.21	30-7
2025-08-28	Seattle Storm	L 79-93	1744.16	1490.83	84.52%	15.48%	-39.25	30-8
2025-08-30	@ Connecticut Sun	W 94-70	1704.91	1395.45	82.38%	17.62%	+10.71	31-8
2025-09-01	Dallas Wings	W 96-71	1715.62	1278.56	94.02%	5.98%	+3.72	32-8
2025-09-04	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 87-97	1719.34	1666.14	51.68%	48.32%	-20.29	32-9
2025-09-06	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 78-72	1699.05	1543.72	65.82%	34.18%	+10.39	33-9
2025-09-09	@ Indiana Fever	L 72-83	1709.44	1540.21	67.60%	32.40%	-27.82	33-10
2025-09-11	Golden State Valkyries	W 72-53	1681.62	1527.20	75.54%	24.46%	+13.23	34-10
2025-05-17	Las Vegas Aces	W 92-78	1623.51	1593.89	60.09%	39.91%	+18.53	1-0
2025-05-22	@ Chicago Sky	W 99-74	1642.04	1409.35	75.04%	24.96%	+15.49	2-0
2025-05-24	@ Indiana Fever	W 90-88	1657.53	1536.97	61.19%	38.81%	+6.81	3-0
2025-05-27	Golden State Valkyries	W 95-67	1664.34	1365.13	87.67%	12.33%	+8.10	4-0
2025-05-29	Golden State Valkyries	W 82-77	1672.44	1357.03	88.64%	11.36%	+3.15	5-0
2025-05-30	@ Washington Mystics	W 85-63	1675.59	1502.57	68.07%	31.93%	+18.59	6-0
2025-06-01	Connecticut Sun	W 100-52	1694.18	1451.66	83.68%	16.32%	+14.03	7-0
2025-06-05	@ Washington Mystics	W 86-78	1708.21	1468.59	75.78%	24.22%	+8.50	8-0
2025-06-10	Chicago Sky	W 85-66	1716.71	1380.53	89.79%	10.21%	+5.52	9-0
2025-06-14	@ Indiana Fever	L 88-102	1722.23	1518.97	71.73%	28.27%	-33.31	9-1
2025-06-17	Atlanta Dream	W 86-81	1688.92	1593.63	68.73%	31.27%	+8.68	10-1
2025-06-19	Phoenix Mercury	L 81-89	1697.60	1526.37	77.29%	22.71%	-27.13	10-2
2025-06-22	@ Seattle Storm	L 79-89	1670.47	1596.76	54.62%	45.38%	-21.43	10-3
2025-06-25	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 81-78	1649.04	1455.04	70.64%	29.36%	+6.31	11-3
2025-06-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 91-106	1655.35	1571.33	56.09%	43.91%	-26.96	11-4
2025-06-29	@ Atlanta Dream	L 81-90	1628.39	1552.08	54.99%	45.01%	-20.47	11-5
2025-07-03	Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-79	1607.92	1370.09	83.31%	16.69%	+6.55	12-5
2025-07-06	Seattle Storm	L 70-79	1614.47	1566.79	62.56%	37.44%	-23.30	12-6
2025-07-08	Las Vegas Aces	W 87-78	1591.17	1502.15	67.95%	32.05%	+11.94	13-6
2025-07-13	Atlanta Dream	W 79-72	1603.11	1550.11	63.27%	36.73%	+12.06	14-6
2025-07-16	Indiana Fever	W 98-77	1615.17	1555.08	64.22%	35.78%	+20.35	15-6
2025-07-22	Indiana Fever	W 98-84	1635.52	1534.73	69.40%	30.60%	+14.20	16-6
2025-07-25	Phoenix Mercury	W 89-76	1649.72	1561.78	67.81%	32.19%	+14.41	17-6
2025-07-26	Los Angeles Sparks	L 99-101	1664.13	1453.31	81.04%	18.96%	-14.23	17-7
2025-07-28	@ Dallas Wings	L 82-92	1649.90	1371.07	79.68%	20.32%	-31.27	17-8
2025-07-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 93-100	1618.63	1692.98	33.92%	66.08%	-11.13	17-9
2025-08-01	@ Connecticut Sun	L 62-78	1607.50	1317.50	80.70%	19.30%	-40.06	17-10
2025-08-03	@ Connecticut Sun	W 87-78	1567.44	1357.56	72.50%	27.50%	+10.24	18-10
2025-08-05	Dallas Wings	W 85-76	1577.68	1382.75	79.59%	20.41%	+7.60	19-10
2025-08-08	@ Dallas Wings	W 88-77	1585.28	1375.15	72.53%	27.47%	+11.30	20-10
2025-08-10	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-83	1596.58	1743.65	35.26%	64.74%	-15.15	20-11
2025-08-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 105-97	1581.43	1477.81	58.85%	41.15%	+14.44	21-11
2025-08-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 77-83	1595.87	1566.35	48.28%	51.72%	-14.67	21-12
2025-08-16	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-86	1581.20	1758.81	22.08%	77.92%	-6.71	21-13
2025-08-19	Minnesota Lynx	W 85-75	1574.49	1765.52	29.72%	70.28%	+27.58	22-13
2025-08-21	Chicago Sky	L 85-91	1602.07	1257.96	90.20%	9.80%	-27.42	22-14
2025-08-23	@ Atlanta Dream	L 62-78	1574.65	1663.14	32.12%	67.88%	-15.95	22-15
2025-08-25	Connecticut Sun	W 81-79	1558.70	1386.13	77.42%	22.58%	+3.97	23-15
2025-08-28	Washington Mystics	W 89-63	1562.67	1391.94	77.24%	22.76%	+14.40	24-15
2025-08-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 63-80	1577.07	1588.91	42.38%	57.62%	-21.68	24-16
2025-09-02	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 58-66	1555.39	1523.00	48.69%	51.31%	-17.09	24-17
2025-09-05	@ Seattle Storm	W 84-76	1538.30	1514.90	47.40%	52.60%	+18.46	25-17
2025-09-09	Washington Mystics	W 75-66	1556.76	1320.11	83.22%	16.78%	+6.25	26-17
2025-09-11	@ Chicago Sky	W 91-86	1563.01	1274.83	80.53%	19.47%	+5.40	27-17
2025-05-17	Seattle Storm	W 81-59	1458.87	1540.12	44.30%	55.70%	+32.42	1-0
2025-05-21	Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-86	1491.29	1438.09	63.30%	36.70%	+7.89	2-0
2025-05-23	@ Seattle Storm	L 70-77	1499.18	1522.71	40.75%	59.25%	-13.38	2-1
2025-05-25	Washington Mystics	W 68-62	1485.80	1501.38	53.72%	46.28%	+14.06	3-1
2025-05-27	Chicago Sky	W 94-89	1499.86	1374.84	72.28%	27.72%	+7.69	4-1
2025-05-30	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-74	1507.55	1638.49	37.41%	62.59%	-8.04	4-2
2025-06-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 85-80	1499.51	1399.83	58.30%	41.70%	+11.58	5-2
2025-06-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 65-88	1511.09	1654.37	25.66%	74.34%	-15.28	5-3
2025-06-05	Golden State Valkyries	W 86-77	1495.81	1346.03	75.05%	24.95%	+9.29	6-3
2025-06-07	Seattle Storm	L 77-89	1505.10	1531.77	52.13%	47.87%	-22.41	6-4
2025-06-11	Dallas Wings	W 93-80	1482.69	1343.40	73.90%	26.10%	+11.68	7-4
2025-06-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 76-70	1494.37	1535.08	38.38%	61.62%	+18.73	8-4
2025-06-18	@ Connecticut Sun	W 83-75	1513.10	1385.13	62.19%	37.81%	+13.27	9-4
2025-06-19	@ New York Liberty	W 89-81	1526.37	1697.60	22.71%	77.29%	+27.13	10-4
2025-06-21	@ Chicago Sky	W 107-86	1553.50	1375.80	68.65%	31.35%	+17.83	11-4
2025-06-27	New York Liberty	W 106-91	1571.33	1655.35	43.91%	56.09%	+26.95	12-4
2025-06-29	Las Vegas Aces	L 81-84	1598.28	1497.74	69.37%	30.63%	-14.91	12-5
2025-07-03	@ Dallas Wings	L 89-98	1583.37	1398.13	69.58%	30.42%	-25.90	12-6
2025-07-07	Dallas Wings	W 102-72	1557.47	1424.04	73.24%	26.76%	+18.18	13-6
2025-07-09	Minnesota Lynx	W 79-71	1575.65	1704.10	37.74%	62.26%	+21.86	14-6
2025-07-14	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 78-77	1597.51	1504.64	57.34%	42.66%	+5.29	15-6
2025-07-16	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 66-79	1602.80	1674.73	34.23%	65.77%	-15.32	15-7
2025-07-23	Atlanta Dream	L 79-90	1587.48	1540.54	62.46%	37.54%	-25.70	15-8
2025-07-25	@ New York Liberty	L 76-89	1561.78	1649.72	32.19%	67.81%	-14.41	15-9
2025-07-27	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-72	1547.37	1484.63	53.05%	46.95%	+23.31	16-9
2025-07-30	@ Indiana Fever	L 101-107	1570.68	1552.24	46.69%	53.31%	-14.19	16-10
2025-08-01	@ Atlanta Dream	L 72-95	1556.49	1578.80	40.92%	59.08%	-24.36	16-11
2025-08-03	@ Chicago Sky	W 83-67	1532.13	1304.73	74.46%	25.54%	+12.68	17-11
2025-08-05	Connecticut Sun	W 82-66	1544.81	1347.32	79.83%	20.17%	+10.01	18-11
2025-08-07	Indiana Fever	W 95-60	1554.82	1567.40	54.15%	45.85%	+33.66	19-11
2025-08-10	Atlanta Dream	L 66-74	1588.48	1627.14	50.41%	49.59%	-17.69	19-12
2025-08-15	Las Vegas Aces	L 83-86	1570.79	1581.03	54.49%	45.51%	-11.71	19-13
2025-08-17	@ Seattle Storm	W 85-82	1559.08	1484.14	54.80%	45.20%	+9.71	20-13
2025-08-19	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 98-91	1568.79	1493.05	54.91%	45.09%	+14.81	21-13
2025-08-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 61-83	1583.60	1610.72	40.25%	59.75%	-23.43	21-14
2025-08-22	Golden State Valkyries	W 81-72	1560.17	1478.25	67.05%	32.95%	+12.26	22-14
2025-08-26	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-84	1572.43	1454.36	60.84%	39.16%	+13.75	23-14
2025-08-28	Chicago Sky	W 83-79	1586.18	1264.59	88.99%	11.01%	+2.73	24-14
2025-08-30	New York Liberty	W 80-63	1588.91	1577.07	57.62%	42.38%	+21.69	25-14
2025-09-02	Indiana Fever	W 85-79	1610.60	1518.67	68.31%	31.69%	+9.63	26-14
2025-09-04	@ Washington Mystics	W 75-69	1620.23	1347.36	79.11%	20.89%	+6.35	27-14
2025-09-06	@ Connecticut Sun	L 84-87	1626.58	1337.43	80.62%	19.38%	-17.33	27-15
2025-09-09	Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-88	1609.25	1456.45	75.37%	24.63%	-20.92	27-16
2025-09-11	@ Dallas Wings	L 76-97	1588.33	1260.84	83.84%	16.16%	-47.67	27-17
2025-05-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 59-81	1540.12	1458.87	55.70%	44.30%	-32.42	0-1
2025-05-19	@ Dallas Wings	W 79-71	1507.70	1415.63	57.23%	42.77%	+15.01	1-1
2025-05-23	Phoenix Mercury	W 77-70	1522.71	1499.18	59.25%	40.75%	+13.38	2-1
2025-05-25	Las Vegas Aces	W 102-82	1536.09	1614.53	44.70%	55.30%	+30.69	3-1
2025-05-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 77-82	1566.78	1628.62	35.55%	64.45%	-9.86	3-2
2025-05-30	Atlanta Dream	L 87-94	1556.92	1524.30	60.51%	39.49%	-19.87	3-3
2025-06-01	Las Vegas Aces	L 70-75	1537.05	1594.66	47.68%	52.32%	-13.23	3-4
2025-06-03	Dallas Wings	W 83-77	1523.82	1384.98	73.85%	26.15%	+7.95	4-4
2025-06-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 89-77	1531.77	1505.10	47.87%	52.13%	+22.41	5-4
2025-06-11	Minnesota Lynx	W 94-84	1554.18	1678.05	38.36%	61.64%	+24.19	6-4
2025-06-14	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 70-76	1578.37	1408.56	67.67%	32.33%	-20.57	6-5
2025-06-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 98-67	1557.80	1409.37	64.92%	35.08%	+24.24	7-5
2025-06-20	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 90-83	1582.04	1504.66	55.15%	44.85%	+14.72	8-5
2025-06-22	New York Liberty	W 89-79	1596.76	1670.47	45.38%	54.62%	+21.44	9-5
2025-06-24	Indiana Fever	L 86-94	1618.20	1519.71	69.12%	30.88%	-24.26	9-6
2025-06-27	Connecticut Sun	W 97-81	1593.94	1324.08	85.72%	14.28%	+7.09	10-6
2025-06-29	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 57-84	1601.03	1457.98	64.21%	35.79%	-41.41	10-7
2025-07-03	@ Atlanta Dream	W 80-79	1559.62	1572.56	42.23%	57.77%	+7.17	11-7
2025-07-06	@ New York Liberty	W 79-70	1566.79	1614.47	37.44%	62.56%	+23.29	12-7
2025-07-09	@ Connecticut Sun	L 83-93	1590.08	1293.27	81.30%	18.70%	-31.91	12-8
2025-07-11	Connecticut Sun	W 79-65	1558.17	1325.18	82.92%	17.08%	+7.93	13-8
2025-07-13	Washington Mystics	L 69-74	1566.10	1499.62	65.06%	34.94%	-18.05	13-9
2025-07-16	Golden State Valkyries	W 67-58	1548.05	1499.34	62.70%	37.30%	+13.89	14-9
2025-07-22	Dallas Wings	L 63-87	1561.94	1362.40	80.02%	19.98%	-48.65	14-10
2025-07-24	@ Chicago Sky	W 95-57	1513.29	1371.50	64.04%	35.96%	+27.51	15-10
2025-07-26	@ Washington Mystics	L 58-69	1540.80	1461.84	55.37%	44.63%	-22.79	15-11
2025-07-28	@ Connecticut Sun	W 101-85	1518.01	1332.59	69.60%	30.40%	+15.08	16-11
2025-08-01	Los Angeles Sparks	L 106-108	1533.09	1444.32	67.92%	32.08%	-11.92	16-12
2025-08-03	Indiana Fever	L 74-78	1521.17	1579.06	47.64%	52.36%	-11.82	16-13
2025-08-05	Minnesota Lynx	L 87-91	1509.35	1734.45	25.79%	74.21%	-6.40	16-14
2025-08-08	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 86-90	1502.95	1551.10	37.38%	62.62%	-9.28	16-15
2025-08-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 91-94	1493.67	1467.53	47.79%	52.21%	-10.27	16-16
2025-08-13	Atlanta Dream	L 75-85	1483.40	1644.84	33.39%	66.61%	-13.11	16-17
2025-08-15	@ Atlanta Dream	W 80-78	1470.29	1657.94	21.10%	78.90%	+13.85	17-17
2025-08-17	Phoenix Mercury	L 82-85	1484.14	1559.08	45.20%	54.80%	-9.71	17-18
2025-08-19	@ Chicago Sky	W 94-88	1474.43	1266.39	72.29%	27.71%	+8.42	18-18
2025-08-22	@ Dallas Wings	W 95-60	1482.85	1335.11	64.83%	35.17%	+25.82	19-18
2025-08-24	@ Washington Mystics	W 84-82	1508.67	1399.02	59.68%	40.32%	+7.08	20-18
2025-08-26	@ Indiana Fever	L 75-95	1515.75	1509.77	44.91%	55.09%	-24.92	20-19
2025-08-28	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 93-79	1490.83	1744.16	15.48%	84.52%	+39.24	21-19
2025-08-30	Chicago Sky	W 79-69	1530.07	1261.86	85.60%	14.40%	+5.65	22-19
2025-09-01	Los Angeles Sparks	L 85-91	1535.72	1442.46	68.48%	31.52%	-20.82	22-20
2025-09-05	New York Liberty	L 76-84	1514.90	1538.30	52.60%	47.40%	-18.46	22-21
2025-09-09	Golden State Valkyries	W 74-73	1496.44	1533.33	50.66%	49.34%	+6.12	23-21
2025-05-16	Atlanta Dream	W 94-90	1491.51	1486.88	56.60%	43.40%	+10.77	1-0
2025-05-18	@ Connecticut Sun	W 90-85	1502.28	1569.22	34.88%	65.12%	+18.07	2-0
2025-05-21	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 74-76	1520.35	1327.39	70.51%	29.49%	-12.37	2-1
2025-05-23	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 72-75	1507.98	1607.93	30.70%	69.30%	-6.60	2-2
2025-05-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 62-68	1501.38	1485.80	46.28%	53.72%	-14.07	2-3
2025-05-28	Indiana Fever	W 83-77	1487.31	1530.15	49.81%	50.19%	+15.26	3-3
2025-05-30	New York Liberty	L 63-85	1502.57	1675.59	31.93%	68.07%	-18.59	3-4
2025-06-03	@ Indiana Fever	L 76-85	1483.98	1503.29	41.34%	58.66%	-15.39	3-5
2025-06-05	New York Liberty	L 78-86	1468.59	1708.21	24.22%	75.78%	-8.50	3-6
2025-06-08	Connecticut Sun	W 104-67	1460.09	1458.43	56.18%	43.82%	+33.08	4-6
2025-06-15	Atlanta Dream	L 56-89	1493.17	1560.65	46.27%	53.73%	-32.98	4-7
2025-06-17	@ Chicago Sky	W 79-72	1460.19	1390.91	53.99%	46.01%	+15.10	5-7
2025-06-20	@ Atlanta Dream	L 91-92	1475.29	1584.96	29.52%	70.48%	-3.66	5-8
2025-06-22	Dallas Wings	W 91-88	1471.63	1361.31	70.56%	29.44%	+6.33	6-8
2025-06-24	Minnesota Lynx	W 68-64	1477.96	1682.05	28.17%	71.83%	+17.83	7-8
2025-06-26	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 94-83	1495.79	1522.29	40.34%	59.66%	+24.55	8-8
2025-06-28	@ Dallas Wings	L 71-79	1520.34	1375.51	64.45%	35.55%	-22.62	8-9
2025-07-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 75-92	1497.72	1681.58	21.46%	78.54%	-10.98	8-10
2025-07-08	Chicago Sky	W 81-79	1486.74	1377.43	70.44%	29.56%	+5.19	9-10
2025-07-10	Las Vegas Aces	W 70-68	1491.93	1490.21	56.19%	43.81%	+7.69	10-10
2025-07-13	@ Seattle Storm	W 74-69	1499.62	1566.10	34.94%	65.06%	+18.05	11-10
2025-07-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-99	1517.67	1379.82	63.52%	36.48%	-34.36	11-11
2025-07-22	Los Angeles Sparks	L 86-93	1483.31	1414.18	65.40%	34.60%	-21.47	11-12
2025-07-26	Seattle Storm	W 69-58	1461.84	1540.80	44.63%	55.37%	+22.79	12-12
2025-07-27	Phoenix Mercury	L 72-88	1484.63	1547.37	46.95%	53.05%	-23.31	12-13
2025-07-29	Chicago Sky	W 103-86	1461.32	1329.89	73.02%	26.98%	+13.81	13-13
2025-07-31	Golden State Valkyries	L 67-68	1475.13	1461.04	57.93%	42.07%	-7.19	13-14
2025-08-03	@ Atlanta Dream	L 83-99	1467.94	1603.15	26.56%	73.44%	-13.18	13-15
2025-08-05	@ Chicago Sky	L 64-78	1454.76	1292.05	66.77%	33.23%	-31.01	13-16
2025-08-08	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-80	1423.75	1740.85	11.26%	88.74%	-2.79	13-17
2025-08-10	@ Dallas Wings	W 91-78	1420.96	1363.84	52.25%	47.75%	+21.37	14-17
2025-08-13	Golden State Valkyries	L 83-88	1442.33	1478.14	50.82%	49.18%	-14.11	14-18
2025-08-15	@ Indiana Fever	W 88-84	1428.22	1534.28	29.96%	70.04%	+17.39	15-18
2025-08-17	Los Angeles Sparks	W 95-86	1445.61	1468.34	52.70%	47.30%	+17.61	16-18
2025-08-19	Connecticut Sun	L 69-80	1463.22	1314.79	74.90%	25.10%	-30.83	16-19
2025-08-21	@ Connecticut Sun	L 56-67	1432.39	1345.62	56.48%	43.52%	-23.24	16-20
2025-08-23	Las Vegas Aces	L 81-91	1409.15	1634.15	25.80%	74.20%	-10.13	16-21
2025-08-24	Seattle Storm	L 82-84	1399.02	1508.67	40.32%	59.68%	-7.08	16-22
2025-08-28	@ New York Liberty	L 63-89	1391.94	1562.67	22.76%	77.24%	-14.40	16-23
2025-08-30	@ Golden State Valkyries	L 62-99	1377.54	1478.64	30.56%	69.44%	-23.07	16-24
2025-08-31	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 78-81	1354.47	1435.34	33.08%	66.92%	-7.11	16-25
2025-09-04	Phoenix Mercury	L 69-75	1347.36	1620.23	20.89%	79.11%	-6.35	16-26
2025-09-07	Indiana Fever	L 65-94	1341.01	1519.32	31.27%	68.73%	-20.90	16-27
2025-09-09	@ New York Liberty	L 66-75	1320.11	1556.76	16.78%	83.22%	-6.24	16-28

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2025-09-14	Indiana Fever	W 80-68	1706.47	1568.04	73.80%	26.20%	+11.26	1-0
2025-09-16	@ Indiana Fever	L 60-77	1717.73	1556.77	66.54%	33.46%	-34.05	1-1
2025-09-18	Indiana Fever	L 85-87	1683.68	1590.82	68.43%	31.57%	-12.01	1-2
2025-09-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 72-101	1513.97	1694.85	21.75%	78.25%	-14.53	0-1
2025-09-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 74-75	1499.44	1709.39	27.49%	72.51%	-3.42	0-2
2025-09-14	@ Atlanta Dream	L 68-80	1568.04	1706.47	26.20%	73.80%	-11.27	0-1
2025-09-16	Atlanta Dream	W 77-60	1556.77	1717.73	33.46%	66.54%	+34.05	1-1
2025-09-18	@ Atlanta Dream	W 87-85	1590.82	1683.68	31.57%	68.43%	+12.01	2-1
2025-09-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 89-73	1602.83	1710.21	29.80%	70.20%	+34.85	3-1
2025-09-23	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 68-90	1637.68	1675.36	38.80%	61.20%	-22.58	3-2
2025-09-26	Las Vegas Aces	L 72-84	1615.10	1697.94	44.08%	55.92%	-18.95	3-3
2025-09-28	Las Vegas Aces	W 90-83	1596.15	1716.89	38.79%	61.21%	+20.10	4-3
2025-09-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 98-107	1616.25	1696.79	33.12%	66.88%	-12.34	4-4
2025-09-14	Seattle Storm	W 102-77	1712.04	1502.56	80.92%	19.08%	+11.84	1-0
2025-09-16	@ Seattle Storm	L 83-86	1723.88	1490.72	75.09%	24.91%	-16.14	1-1
2025-09-18	Seattle Storm	W 74-73	1707.74	1506.86	80.14%	19.86%	+2.47	2-1
2025-09-21	Indiana Fever	L 73-89	1710.21	1602.83	70.20%	29.80%	-34.85	2-2
2025-09-23	Indiana Fever	W 90-68	1675.36	1637.68	61.20%	38.80%	+22.58	3-2
2025-09-26	@ Indiana Fever	W 84-72	1697.94	1615.10	55.92%	44.08%	+18.95	4-2
2025-09-28	@ Indiana Fever	L 83-90	1716.89	1596.15	61.21%	38.79%	-20.10	4-3
2025-09-30	Indiana Fever	W 107-98	1696.79	1616.25	66.88%	33.12%	+12.34	5-3
2025-10-02	Phoenix Mercury	W 89-86	1709.13	1624.38	67.41%	32.59%	+7.00	6-3
2025-10-05	Phoenix Mercury	W 81-78	1716.13	1617.38	69.15%	30.85%	+6.63	7-3
2025-10-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 90-88	1722.76	1610.75	60.01%	39.99%	+7.02	8-3
2025-10-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 97-86	1729.78	1603.73	61.93%	38.07%	+15.67	9-3
2025-09-14	Golden State Valkyries	W 101-72	1694.85	1513.97	78.25%	21.75%	+14.54	1-0
2025-09-17	@ Golden State Valkyries	W 75-74	1709.39	1499.44	72.51%	27.49%	+3.41	2-0
2025-09-21	Phoenix Mercury	W 82-69	1712.80	1576.92	73.52%	26.48%	+11.85	3-0
2025-09-23	Phoenix Mercury	L 83-89	1724.65	1565.08	76.09%	23.91%	-23.13	3-1
2025-09-26	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 76-84	1701.52	1588.20	60.19%	39.81%	-21.13	3-2
2025-09-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 81-86	1680.39	1609.33	54.24%	45.76%	-15.05	3-3
2025-09-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 76-69	1568.41	1540.66	48.02%	51.98%	+17.07	1-0
2025-09-17	Phoenix Mercury	L 60-86	1585.48	1523.59	64.45%	35.55%	-40.79	1-1
2025-09-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 73-79	1544.69	1564.38	41.28%	58.72%	-12.55	1-2
2025-09-14	New York Liberty	L 69-76	1540.66	1568.41	51.98%	48.02%	-17.07	0-1
2025-09-17	@ New York Liberty	W 86-60	1523.59	1585.48	35.55%	64.45%	+40.79	1-1
2025-09-19	New York Liberty	W 79-73	1564.38	1544.69	58.72%	41.28%	+12.54	2-1
2025-09-21	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 69-82	1576.92	1712.80	26.48%	73.52%	-11.84	2-2
2025-09-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 89-83	1565.08	1724.65	23.91%	76.09%	+23.12	3-2
2025-09-26	Minnesota Lynx	W 84-76	1588.20	1701.52	39.81%	60.19%	+21.13	4-2
2025-09-28	Minnesota Lynx	W 86-81	1609.33	1680.39	45.76%	54.24%	+15.05	5-2
2025-10-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 86-89	1624.38	1709.13	32.59%	67.41%	-7.00	5-3
2025-10-05	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 78-81	1617.38	1716.13	30.85%	69.15%	-6.63	5-4
2025-10-08	Las Vegas Aces	L 88-90	1610.75	1722.76	39.99%	60.01%	-7.02	5-5
2025-10-10	Las Vegas Aces	L 86-97	1603.73	1729.78	38.07%	61.93%	-15.67	5-6
2025-09-14	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 77-102	1502.56	1712.04	19.08%	80.92%	-11.84	0-1
2025-09-16	Las Vegas Aces	W 86-83	1490.72	1723.88	24.91%	75.09%	+16.14	1-1
2025-09-18	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 73-74	1506.86	1707.74	19.86%	80.14%	-2.46	1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-08-21	9.80%	Chicago Sky	1257.96	91	@ New York Liberty	1602.07	85
2	2025-08-28	15.48%	Seattle Storm	1490.83	93	@ Minnesota Lynx	1744.16	79
3	2025-09-11	16.16%	@ Dallas Wings	1260.84	97	Phoenix Mercury	1588.33	76
4	2025-07-09	18.70%	@ Connecticut Sun	1293.27	93	Seattle Storm	1590.08	83
5	2025-07-12	18.72%	@ Chicago Sky	1392.35	87	Minnesota Lynx	1688.95	81
6	2025-07-26	18.96%	Los Angeles Sparks	1453.31	101	@ New York Liberty	1664.13	99
7	2025-08-01	19.30%	@ Connecticut Sun	1317.50	78	New York Liberty	1607.50	62
8	2025-09-06	19.38%	@ Connecticut Sun	1337.43	87	Phoenix Mercury	1626.58	84
9	2025-08-12	19.78%	Dallas Wings	1342.48	81	@ Indiana Fever	1544.23	80
10	2025-07-22	19.98%	Dallas Wings	1362.40	87	@ Seattle Storm	1561.94	63
11	2025-07-28	20.32%	@ Dallas Wings	1371.07	92	New York Liberty	1649.90	82
12	2025-07-05	20.86%	Los Angeles Sparks	1363.54	89	@ Indiana Fever	1553.71	87
13	2025-06-07	21.05%	@ Golden State Valkyries	1336.74	95	Las Vegas Aces	1607.89	68
14	2025-08-15	21.10%	Seattle Storm	1470.29	80	@ Atlanta Dream	1657.94	78
15	2025-06-26	21.35%	Los Angeles Sparks	1358.92	85	@ Indiana Fever	1543.98	75
16	2025-06-19	22.71%	Phoenix Mercury	1526.37	89	@ New York Liberty	1697.60	81
17	2025-06-11	23.41%	Los Angeles Sparks	1392.58	97	@ Las Vegas Aces	1556.98	89
18	2025-09-23 *	23.91%	Phoenix Mercury	1565.08	89	@ Minnesota Lynx	1724.65	83
19	2025-06-24	24.04%	@ Dallas Wings	1354.98	68	Atlanta Dream	1596.35	55
20	2025-09-09	24.63%	Los Angeles Sparks	1456.45	88	@ Phoenix Mercury	1609.25	83
21	2025-09-16 *	24.91%	@ Seattle Storm	1490.72	86	Las Vegas Aces	1723.88	83
22	2025-08-19	25.10%	Connecticut Sun	1314.79	80	@ Washington Mystics	1463.22	69
23	2025-07-27	25.45%	Atlanta Dream	1566.25	90	@ Minnesota Lynx	1711.48	86
24	2025-07-29	26.40%	Golden State Valkyries	1448.13	77	@ Atlanta Dream	1584.76	75
25	2025-07-27	26.71%	@ Connecticut Sun	1281.95	95	Golden State Valkyries	1498.76	64

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2025-06-07	50.91	@ Golden State Valkyries	95	1336.74	21.05%	Las Vegas Aces	68	1607.89	78.95%
2	2025-07-27	50.64	@ Connecticut Sun	95	1281.95	26.71%	Golden State Valkyries	64	1498.76	73.29%
3	2025-07-22	48.65	Dallas Wings	87	1362.40	19.98%	@ Seattle Storm	63	1561.94	80.02%
4	2025-09-11	47.68	@ Dallas Wings	97	1260.84	16.16%	Phoenix Mercury	76	1588.33	83.84%
5	2025-06-29	41.41	@ Golden State Valkyries	84	1457.98	35.79%	Seattle Storm	57	1601.03	64.21%
6	2025-09-17 *	40.79	Phoenix Mercury	86	1523.59	35.55%	@ New York Liberty	60	1585.48	64.45%
7	2025-05-27	40.06	Dallas Wings	109	1384.06	31.18%	@ Connecticut Sun	87	1480.12	68.82%
8	2025-08-01	40.06	@ Connecticut Sun	78	1317.50	19.30%	New York Liberty	62	1607.50	80.70%
9	2025-08-28	39.25	Seattle Storm	93	1490.83	15.48%	@ Minnesota Lynx	79	1744.16	84.52%
10	2025-09-03	37.01	@ Chicago Sky	88	1256.21	39.13%	Connecticut Sun	64	1374.43	60.87%
11	2025-09-21 *	34.85	Indiana Fever	89	1602.83	29.80%	@ Las Vegas Aces	73	1710.21	70.20%
12	2025-07-09	34.84	Golden State Valkyries	80	1478.30	35.59%	@ Indiana Fever	61	1539.82	64.41%
13	2025-07-15	34.36	@ Los Angeles Sparks	99	1379.82	36.48%	Washington Mystics	80	1517.67	63.52%
14	2025-09-16 *	34.05	@ Indiana Fever	77	1556.77	33.46%	Atlanta Dream	60	1717.73	66.54%
15	2025-06-24	33.99	@ Dallas Wings	68	1354.98	24.04%	Atlanta Dream	55	1596.35	75.96%
16	2025-08-07	33.66	@ Phoenix Mercury	95	1554.82	54.15%	Indiana Fever	60	1567.40	45.85%
17	2025-06-14	33.31	@ Indiana Fever	102	1518.97	28.27%	New York Liberty	88	1722.23	71.73%
18	2025-06-08	33.08	@ Washington Mystics	104	1460.09	56.18%	Connecticut Sun	67	1458.43	43.82%
19	2025-06-15	32.98	Atlanta Dream	89	1560.65	53.73%	@ Washington Mystics	56	1493.17	46.27%
20	2025-05-20	32.57	Las Vegas Aces	87	1575.36	47.51%	@ Connecticut Sun	62	1551.15	52.49%
21	2025-05-17	32.42	@ Phoenix Mercury	81	1458.87	44.30%	Seattle Storm	59	1540.12	55.70%
22	2025-07-09	31.91	@ Connecticut Sun	93	1293.27	18.70%	Seattle Storm	83	1590.08	81.30%
23	2025-07-28	31.27	@ Dallas Wings	92	1371.07	20.32%	New York Liberty	82	1649.90	79.68%
24	2025-08-05	31.01	@ Chicago Sky	78	1292.05	33.23%	Washington Mystics	64	1454.76	66.77%
25	2025-06-26	30.87	Los Angeles Sparks	85	1358.92	21.35%	@ Indiana Fever	75	1543.98	78.65%