2024 WNBA Season

240 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

New York Liberty

1st Title

Runner-Up

Minnesota Lynx

7th Appearance

Last Appearance: 2017

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Lynx

3.67 wins above expected

30 wins · 26.33 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Wings

4.69 wins below expected

9 wins · 13.69 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Liberty League	32	8	.800	-	85.6	76.5	+9.1	30.37	+1.63
2	Minnesota Lynx Playoffs	30	10	.750	2	82.0	75.6	+6.4	26.33	+3.67
3	Connecticut Sun Playoffs	28	12	.700	4	80.1	73.6	+6.5	27.12	+0.88
4	Las Vegas Aces Playoffs	27	13	.675	5	86.4	80.9	+5.5	26.90	+0.10
5	Seattle Storm Playoffs	25	15	.625	7	83.2	78.8	+4.5	23.18	+1.82
6	Indiana Fever Playoffs	20	20	.500	12	85.0	87.7	-2.7	16.92	+3.08
7	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	19	21	.475	13	81.5	84.8	-3.3	16.89	+2.11
8	Atlanta Dream Playoffs	15	25	.375	17	77.0	79.8	-2.8	14.90	+0.10
9	Washington Mystics	14	26	.350	18	79.3	82.3	-3.0	14.63	-0.63
10	Chicago Sky	13	27	.325	19	77.4	82.5	-5.1	17.08	-4.08
11	Dallas Wings	9	31	.225	23	84.2	92.1	-7.9	13.69	-4.69
12	Los Angeles Sparks	8	32	.200	24	78.4	85.6	-7.2	12.01	-4.01

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

Quarterfinals

Connecticut Sun 2

Indiana Fever 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 25

Las Vegas Aces 2

Seattle Storm 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 24

Minnesota Lynx 2

Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 25

New York Liberty 2

Atlanta Dream 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 24

Semifinals

Minnesota Lynx 3

Connecticut Sun 2

5 games · Sep 29–Oct 8

New York Liberty 3

Las Vegas Aces 1

4 games · Sep 29–Oct 6

WNBA Finals

New York Liberty 3

Minnesota Lynx 2

5 games · Oct 10–Oct 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New York Liberty	1705	32	30.37	+1.63	79.07%	17	26	29	30	32	34	40
Las Vegas Aces	1695	27	26.90	+0.10	57.83%	14	22	25	27	29	31	38
Minnesota Lynx	1654	30	26.33	+3.67	93.26%	14	22	24	26	28	31	38
Connecticut Sun	1619	28	27.12	+0.88	68.35%	14	22	25	27	29	32	37
Seattle Storm	1588	25	23.18	+1.82	78.84%	11	18	21	23	25	28	35
Indiana Fever	1516	20	16.92	+3.08	88.90%	5	12	15	17	19	22	29
Atlanta Dream	1454	15	14.90	+0.10	58.46%	4	10	13	15	17	20	27
Washington Mystics	1449	14	14.63	-0.63	48.74%	4	10	13	15	17	19	27
Phoenix Mercury	1400	19	16.89	+2.11	81.17%	6	12	15	17	19	22	29
Chicago Sky	1318	13	17.08	-4.08	11.18%	5	12	15	17	19	22	32
Dallas Wings	1305	9	13.69	-4.69	6.46%	3	9	12	14	16	18	26
Los Angeles Sparks	1297	8	12.01	-4.01	9.60%	2	8	10	12	14	17	26

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	2-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	1-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)
Chicago Sky	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	—	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-3 (2.4 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	2-2 (3.1 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)	—	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	0-3 (1.6 exp.)	4-0 (3.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	4-0 (3.0 exp.)
Dallas Wings	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (0.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	2-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-4 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)
Indiana Fever	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (0.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.4 exp.)	3-1 (3.2 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	—	2-2 (3.2 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-4 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-3 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	4-0 (2.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	2-2 (3.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-1 (3.3 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	4-0 (3.1 exp.)
New York Liberty	3-1 (3.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	4-0 (3.7 exp.)	3-1 (3.2 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	3-1 (3.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm	2-1 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.5 exp.)
Washington Mystics	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	0.62%	0.42%	0.42%	—	—	1.46%
60–69	0.62%	0.42%	5.00%	3.75%	1.04%	0.83%	11.67%
70–79	0.42%	5.00%	7.92%	10.42%	4.38%	—	28.12%
80–89	0.42%	3.75%	10.42%	12.92%	7.50%	1.04%	36.04%
90–99	—	1.04%	4.38%	7.50%	2.92%	1.88%	17.71%
100+	—	0.83%	—	1.04%	1.88%	1.25%	5.00%
Total	1.46%	11.67%	28.12%	36.04%	17.71%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.67	81.67	+0.00
SD	10.75	10.75	12.95
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	113	113	+36
Min	47	47	-36

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	5.00%	—	—	—	—	5.00%
60–69	—	—	12.50%	5.00%	—	—	17.50%
70–79	—	7.50%	7.50%	17.50%	7.50%	—	40.00%
80–89	—	2.50%	10.00%	15.00%	2.50%	—	30.00%
90–99	—	—	—	2.50%	—	—	2.50%
100+	—	—	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	5.00%
Total	—	15.00%	30.00%	40.00%	12.50%	2.50%	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.00	79.75	-2.75
SD	10.75	9.40	10.55
CV	0.14	0.12	—
Max	107	104	+18
Min	50	62	-21

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	5.00%	—	—	5.00%
60–69	—	—	5.00%	10.00%	—	—	15.00%
70–79	—	2.50%	12.50%	12.50%	5.00%	—	32.50%
80–89	—	—	10.00%	15.00%	7.50%	2.50%	35.00%
90–99	—	—	5.00%	7.50%	—	—	12.50%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	2.50%	32.50%	50.00%	12.50%	2.50%	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.40	82.53	-5.12
SD	9.62	7.38	11.89
CV	0.12	0.09	—
Max	93	100	+15
Min	54	69	-33

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	2.50%	2.50%	10.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
70–79	5.00%	5.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	35.00%
80–89	2.50%	10.00%	10.00%	12.50%	—	—	35.00%
90–99	—	2.50%	2.50%	5.00%	2.50%	—	12.50%
100+	—	—	—	—	2.50%	—	2.50%
Total	10.00%	20.00%	35.00%	30.00%	5.00%	—	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.10	73.60	+6.50
SD	10.11	10.35	11.58
CV	0.13	0.14	—
Max	109	91	+33
Min	61	47	-13

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	2.50%	5.00%	—	7.50%
70–79	—	—	5.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	30.00%
80–89	—	—	2.50%	10.00%	12.50%	5.00%	30.00%
90–99	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	5.00%	12.50%	22.50%
100+	—	—	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%
Total	—	—	10.00%	27.50%	40.00%	22.50%	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.20	92.12	-7.92
SD	11.47	9.61	10.91
CV	0.14	0.10	—
Max	113	110	+18
Min	67	74	-32

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	2.50%	—	5.00%	7.50%
70–79	—	—	7.50%	7.50%	2.50%	—	17.50%
80–89	—	—	7.50%	22.50%	10.00%	2.50%	42.50%
90–99	—	—	5.00%	12.50%	2.50%	2.50%	22.50%
100+	—	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	5.00%	10.00%
Total	—	—	20.00%	47.50%	17.50%	15.00%	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.97	87.65	-2.67
SD	10.10	9.20	12.57
CV	0.12	0.10	—
Max	110	109	+19
Min	66	70	-36

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	5.00%	—	—	—	5.00%
70–79	—	2.50%	10.00%	2.50%	—	—	15.00%
80–89	—	5.00%	25.00%	5.00%	10.00%	2.50%	47.50%
90–99	—	—	7.50%	12.50%	7.50%	—	27.50%
100+	—	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	—	5.00%
Total	—	7.50%	47.50%	22.50%	20.00%	2.50%	100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.38	80.90	+5.47
SD	9.20	9.67	10.87
CV	0.11	0.12	—
Max	104	100	+21
Min	65	66	-14

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	12.50%	—	2.50%	22.50%
70–79	—	2.50%	5.00%	15.00%	7.50%	—	30.00%
80–89	—	—	2.50%	17.50%	17.50%	—	37.50%
90–99	—	—	—	2.50%	5.00%	—	7.50%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	2.50%	2.50%
Total	2.50%	5.00%	10.00%	47.50%	30.00%	5.00%	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.40	85.62	-7.22
SD	10.57	10.11	9.84
CV	0.13	0.12	—
Max	110	113	+17
Min	61	51	-35

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	2.50%	—	—	—	—	2.50%
60–69	2.50%	—	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	10.00%
70–79	—	12.50%	10.00%	2.50%	2.50%	—	27.50%
80–89	—	12.50%	17.50%	5.00%	2.50%	—	37.50%
90–99	—	—	7.50%	10.00%	—	—	17.50%
100+	—	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	—	5.00%
Total	2.50%	27.50%	37.50%	22.50%	10.00%	—	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.97	75.60	+6.38
SD	11.01	9.71	11.59
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	102	94	+24
Min	51	55	-28

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	5.00%	2.50%	—	—	7.50%
70–79	—	12.50%	7.50%	5.00%	—	—	25.00%
80–89	—	2.50%	17.50%	2.50%	5.00%	—	27.50%
90–99	—	2.50%	10.00%	15.00%	2.50%	—	30.00%
100+	—	7.50%	—	—	2.50%	—	10.00%
Total	—	25.00%	40.00%	25.00%	10.00%	—	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	85.60	76.45	+9.15
SD	10.59	9.03	12.43
CV	0.12	0.12	—
Max	105	99	+36
Min	64	61	-17

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	2.50%
60–69	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	15.00%
70–79	—	2.50%	—	12.50%	7.50%	—	22.50%
80–89	—	7.50%	5.00%	17.50%	5.00%	—	35.00%
90–99	—	—	2.50%	7.50%	5.00%	5.00%	20.00%
100+	—	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	—	5.00%
Total	—	10.00%	15.00%	45.00%	25.00%	5.00%	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.45	84.75	-3.30
SD	12.70	10.06	13.29
CV	0.16	0.12	—
Max	104	107	+20
Min	47	65	-27

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	—	—	5.00%
70–79	—	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	2.50%	—	27.50%
80–89	—	2.50%	15.00%	15.00%	7.50%	—	40.00%
90–99	—	5.00%	7.50%	7.50%	—	2.50%	22.50%
100+	—	2.50%	—	2.50%	—	—	5.00%
Total	—	20.00%	30.00%	37.50%	10.00%	2.50%	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	83.22	78.75	+4.47
SD	9.50	10.14	13.05
CV	0.11	0.13	—
Max	103	102	+32
Min	63	61	-19

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	2.50%
60–69	—	—	10.00%	—	—	2.50%	12.50%
70–79	—	2.50%	12.50%	15.00%	5.00%	—	35.00%
80–89	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	17.50%	10.00%	—	35.00%
90–99	—	2.50%	2.50%	5.00%	5.00%	—	15.00%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.50%	7.50%	30.00%	37.50%	20.00%	2.50%	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	79.30	82.28	-2.98
SD	8.69	9.80	11.95
CV	0.11	0.12	—
Max	97	101	+31
Min	59	58	-32

Games Played: 40

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.28	+13.5
Allowed	0.59	-11.9
Differential	0.95	+13.5

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Minnesota Lynx	30	26.33	+3.67
2	Indiana Fever	20	16.92	+3.08
3	Phoenix Mercury	19	16.89	+2.11
4	Seattle Storm	25	23.18	+1.82
5	New York Liberty	32	30.37	+1.63

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Wings	9	13.69	-4.69
2	Chicago Sky	13	17.08	-4.08
3	Los Angeles Sparks	8	12.01	-4.01
4	Washington Mystics	14	14.63	-0.63
5	Atlanta Dream	15	14.90	+0.10

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atlanta Dream	3	Aug 16 – Aug 21	1 in 88
2	Seattle Storm	6	May 22 – Jun 7	1 in 72
3	Dallas Wings	3	Aug 25 – Aug 30	1 in 68
4	Connecticut Sun	9	May 14 – Jun 4	1 in 35
5	Phoenix Mercury	3	May 18 – May 23	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Wings	11	May 31 – Jun 23	1 in 534
2	Washington Mystics	12	May 14 – Jun 9	1 in 335
3	Las Vegas Aces	3	Jun 7 – Jun 11	1 in 28
4	Chicago Sky	7	Aug 18 – Sep 3	1 in 20
5	Atlanta Dream	8	Jun 30 – Jul 17	1 in 19

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
New York Liberty	62.12%	22.13%	10.26%	4.32%	1.08%	0.09%	<0.01%	-	-	<0.01%	-	-
Connecticut Sun	14.72%	26.43%	26.37%	21.39%	9.29%	1.42%	0.29%	0.06%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
Las Vegas Aces	12.63%	25.31%	26.58%	22.39%	11.03%	1.57%	0.36%	0.09%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
Minnesota Lynx	9.37%	20.99%	25.25%	26.77%	14.56%	2.36%	0.51%	0.14%	0.04%	0.01%	<0.01%	-
Seattle Storm	1.15%	4.95%	10.71%	21.30%	43.56%	11.74%	4.09%	1.60%	0.59%	0.22%	0.07%	0.01%
Chicago Sky	<0.01%	0.05%	0.25%	1.16%	5.96%	22.04%	20.50%	17.14%	13.10%	9.74%	6.67%	3.38%
Indiana Fever	<0.01%	0.06%	0.24%	1.12%	5.51%	19.67%	20.34%	17.93%	14.35%	10.38%	6.96%	3.44%
Phoenix Mercury	<0.01%	0.05%	0.28%	1.10%	5.38%	20.35%	20.15%	17.29%	13.91%	10.50%	7.20%	3.78%
Atlanta Dream	-	<0.01%	0.03%	0.19%	1.48%	8.47%	12.52%	15.35%	17.01%	17.50%	15.75%	11.71%
Washington Mystics	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.20%	1.41%	7.04%	11.06%	14.03%	16.79%	18.08%	17.76%	13.60%
Dallas Wings	-	-	<0.01%	0.06%	0.61%	3.93%	7.29%	11.04%	15.05%	19.11%	22.36%	20.56%
Los Angeles Sparks	-	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	0.13%	1.33%	2.90%	5.33%	9.11%	14.44%	23.23%	43.52%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Liberty	62.12%	22.13%	10.26%	4.32%	1.08%	0.09%	<0.01%	-	<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	14.72%	26.43%	26.37%	21.39%	9.29%	1.42%	0.29%	0.06%	0.03%
Las Vegas Aces	12.63%	25.31%	26.58%	22.39%	11.03%	1.57%	0.36%	0.09%	0.03%
Minnesota Lynx	9.37%	20.99%	25.25%	26.77%	14.56%	2.36%	0.51%	0.14%	0.05%
Seattle Storm	1.15%	4.95%	10.71%	21.30%	43.56%	11.74%	4.09%	1.60%	0.90%
Chicago Sky	<0.01%	0.05%	0.25%	1.16%	5.96%	22.04%	20.50%	17.14%	32.89%
Phoenix Mercury	<0.01%	0.05%	0.28%	1.10%	5.38%	20.35%	20.15%	17.29%	35.39%
Indiana Fever	<0.01%	0.06%	0.24%	1.12%	5.51%	19.67%	20.34%	17.93%	35.14%
Washington Mystics	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.20%	1.41%	7.04%	11.06%	14.03%	66.22%
Atlanta Dream	-	<0.01%	0.03%	0.19%	1.48%	8.47%	12.52%	15.35%	61.97%
Dallas Wings	-	-	<0.01%	0.06%	0.61%	3.93%	7.29%	11.04%	77.08%
Los Angeles Sparks	-	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	0.13%	1.33%	2.90%	5.33%	90.31%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+5.00%

Slight Edge

52.50%47.50%

Elo Value

Home Edge

29 Elo

0.035 points per Elo point

017.3980

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.79 points

Lean Home

-8+0.60+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.2

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

33%

New York Liberty, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

27.8%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%40%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.27 · As Expected: 2.27 to 3.13 · Elevated: 3.13 to 4.26 · High Variance: 4.26 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.09 · Close: 1.09 to 1.47 · Off Target: 1.47 to 1.92 · Well Off Target: 1.92 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.78 · As Expected: 0.78 to 1.31 · More Than Expected: 1.31 to 2.09 · Far More Than Expected: 2.09 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.73 wins

As Expected

02.847

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.283

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.26%

Minnesota Lynx

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.46%

Dallas Wings

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 8

As Expected

01.08

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.01

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

81%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

91%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

13%

Mostly Decisive

0%18%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.201

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.93

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.15

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Chalk Held

0%31%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

27%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.32

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.91

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.080

Within Noise

00.1020.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
New York Liberty	100.00%	88.96%	55.45%	32.77%
Las Vegas Aces	99.97%	81.57%	49.83%	27.89%
Minnesota Lynx	99.95%	74.22%	37.62%	17.81%
Connecticut Sun	99.97%	72.39%	30.48%	12.43%
Seattle Storm	99.10%	44.24%	17.79%	6.92%
Indiana Fever	64.86%	15.57%	4.84%	1.39%
Atlanta Dream	38.03%	5.76%	1.30%	0.30%
Washington Mystics	33.78%	4.99%	1.10%	0.27%
Phoenix Mercury	64.61%	7.07%	1.11%	0.17%
Chicago Sky	67.11%	3.75%	0.34%	0.03%
Dallas Wings	22.92%	1.06%	0.11%	0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks	9.69%	0.42%	0.03%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		82.4%0.03%	20.0%8.19%	100.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.03%	12.4%7.74%	100.0%<0.01%	16.9%6.62%	11.3%13.27%	72.0%0.03%	23.7%2.12%	16.7%<0.01%
Chicago Sky	17.6%0.03%		7.6%15.25%	57.1%<0.01%	18.0%0.15%	4.0%14.83%	100.0%<0.01%	5.5%13.60%	3.6%17.95%	34.6%0.16%	9.9%5.11%	30.4%0.02%
Connecticut Sun	80.0%8.19%	92.4%15.25%		93.1%4.63%	69.9%14.70%	36.0%4.59%	92.6%2.01%	43.2%6.15%	35.5%0.63%	85.2%14.96%	56.7%21.57%	79.6%7.29%
Dallas Wings	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	6.9%4.63%		0.0%0.01%	3.3%4.43%		5.1%3.77%	3.2%9.01%	33.3%0.02%	9.9%1.05%	0.0%<0.01%
Indiana Fever	80.6%0.03%	82.0%0.15%	30.1%14.70%	100.0%0.01%		19.3%14.39%	100.0%<0.01%	24.6%12.93%	18.0%17.86%	69.4%0.15%	36.8%4.60%	51.3%0.04%
Las Vegas Aces	87.6%7.74%	96.0%14.83%	64.0%4.59%	96.7%4.43%	80.7%14.39%		96.3%1.75%	58.5%6.89%	49.2%0.83%	92.2%14.18%	69.7%23.39%	89.4%6.96%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	7.4%2.01%		0.0%<0.01%	3.7%1.75%		4.8%1.47%	2.8%4.10%	25.0%<0.01%	5.2%0.35%
Minnesota Lynx	83.1%6.62%	94.5%13.60%	56.8%6.15%	94.9%3.77%	75.4%12.93%	41.5%6.89%	95.2%1.47%		43.2%1.15%	88.6%13.01%	62.6%28.47%	83.8%5.90%
New York Liberty	88.7%13.27%	96.4%17.95%	64.5%0.63%	96.8%9.01%	82.0%17.86%	50.8%0.83%	97.2%4.10%	56.8%1.15%		93.1%17.35%	72.5%6.02%	88.9%11.83%
Phoenix Mercury	28.0%0.03%	65.4%0.16%	14.8%14.96%	66.7%0.02%	30.6%0.15%	7.8%14.18%	75.0%<0.01%	11.4%13.01%	6.9%17.35%		18.6%4.74%	37.0%0.03%
Seattle Storm	76.3%2.12%	90.1%5.11%	43.3%21.57%	90.1%1.05%	63.2%4.60%	30.3%23.39%	94.8%0.35%	37.4%28.47%	27.5%6.02%	81.4%4.74%		74.7%1.70%
Washington Mystics	83.3%<0.01%	69.6%0.02%	20.4%7.29%	100.0%<0.01%	48.7%0.04%	10.6%6.96%		16.2%5.90%	11.1%11.83%	63.0%0.03%	25.3%1.70%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		68.9%0.06%	25.4%1.05%	66.7%0.02%	33.0%0.22%	13.9%1.42%	100.0%0.01%	19.5%1.26%	15.1%0.73%	61.3%0.12%	29.4%0.80%	48.4%0.06%
Chicago Sky	31.1%0.06%		7.9%0.64%	70.0%0.01%	23.7%0.23%	4.4%0.85%	50.0%<0.01%	6.8%0.73%	4.1%0.69%	37.8%0.10%	10.6%0.40%	23.5%0.05%
Connecticut Sun	74.6%1.05%	92.1%0.64%		89.9%0.16%	64.1%2.84%	35.0%21.68%	95.6%0.07%	42.9%17.73%	34.2%18.79%	81.2%1.13%	52.4%7.48%	75.7%0.81%
Dallas Wings	33.3%0.02%	30.0%0.01%	10.1%0.16%		23.9%0.05%	6.6%0.27%	50.0%<0.01%	10.1%0.24%	3.6%0.11%	38.1%0.02%	8.6%0.16%	14.3%0.01%
Indiana Fever	67.0%0.22%	76.3%0.23%	35.9%2.84%	76.1%0.05%		21.8%3.76%	92.3%0.01%	28.7%3.08%	21.2%2.79%	75.0%0.41%	36.5%1.94%	60.2%0.22%
Las Vegas Aces	86.1%1.42%	95.6%0.85%	65.0%21.68%	93.4%0.27%	78.2%3.76%		95.7%0.09%	58.1%19.41%	48.2%23.00%	90.2%1.68%	67.4%8.15%	84.0%1.25%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	4.4%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	7.7%0.01%	4.3%0.09%		6.7%0.09%	2.1%0.05%	60.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Lynx	80.5%1.26%	93.2%0.73%	57.1%17.73%	89.9%0.24%	71.3%3.08%	41.9%19.41%	93.3%0.09%		40.8%23.23%	87.7%1.35%	60.6%6.04%	80.9%1.06%
New York Liberty	84.9%0.73%	95.9%0.69%	65.8%18.79%	96.4%0.11%	78.8%2.79%	51.8%23.00%	97.9%0.05%	59.2%23.23%		90.2%1.32%	68.2%17.59%	86.9%0.66%
Phoenix Mercury	38.7%0.12%	62.2%0.10%	18.8%1.13%	61.9%0.02%	25.0%0.41%	9.8%1.68%	40.0%<0.01%	12.3%1.35%	9.8%1.32%		20.5%0.82%	40.6%0.10%
Seattle Storm	70.6%0.80%	89.4%0.40%	47.6%7.48%	91.4%0.16%	63.5%1.94%	32.6%8.15%	86.7%0.08%	39.4%6.04%	31.8%17.59%	79.5%0.82%		75.3%0.76%
Washington Mystics	51.6%0.06%	76.5%0.05%	24.3%0.81%	85.7%0.01%	39.8%0.22%	16.0%1.25%	50.0%<0.01%	19.1%1.06%	13.1%0.66%	59.4%0.10%	24.7%0.76%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		100.0%<0.01%	33.1%0.16%		45.2%0.03%	22.1%0.33%		23.3%0.21%	16.3%0.44%	0.0%<0.01%	31.5%0.11%	16.7%<0.01%
Chicago Sky	0.0%<0.01%		5.9%0.03%		11.1%<0.01%	4.6%0.09%		9.1%0.06%	9.2%0.12%	0.0%<0.01%	17.9%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	66.9%0.16%	94.1%0.03%		90.9%0.01%	62.8%0.56%	37.8%8.75%	100.0%<0.01%	44.3%6.22%	36.0%11.77%	80.8%0.15%	52.6%2.70%	65.7%0.14%
Dallas Wings			9.1%0.01%			0.0%0.02%		21.1%0.02%	4.3%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Indiana Fever	54.8%0.03%	88.9%<0.01%	37.2%0.56%			24.5%1.23%		31.8%0.84%	22.8%1.65%	77.4%0.03%	37.2%0.47%	66.7%0.02%
Las Vegas Aces	77.9%0.33%	95.4%0.09%	62.2%8.75%	100.0%0.02%	75.5%1.23%		88.9%<0.01%	56.7%12.25%	48.2%21.23%	88.3%0.28%	65.5%5.35%	78.5%0.30%
Los Angeles Sparks			0.0%<0.01%			11.1%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%		40.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Lynx	76.7%0.21%	90.9%0.06%	55.7%6.22%	78.9%0.02%	68.2%0.84%	43.3%12.25%	100.0%<0.01%		41.3%14.08%	85.9%0.17%	59.2%3.57%	79.1%0.21%
New York Liberty	83.7%0.44%	90.8%0.12%	64.0%11.77%	95.7%0.05%	77.2%1.65%	51.8%21.23%	100.0%0.01%	58.7%14.08%		86.1%0.38%	66.6%5.38%	78.1%0.33%
Phoenix Mercury	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	19.2%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%	22.6%0.03%	11.7%0.28%		14.1%0.17%	13.9%0.38%		17.6%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%
Seattle Storm	68.5%0.11%	82.1%0.03%	47.4%2.70%	88.9%<0.01%	62.8%0.47%	34.5%5.35%	60.0%<0.01%	40.8%3.57%	33.4%5.38%	82.4%0.08%		68.5%0.09%
Washington Mystics	83.3%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	34.3%0.14%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.02%	21.5%0.30%		20.9%0.21%	21.9%0.33%	50.0%<0.01%	31.5%0.09%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
New York Liberty	88.56%	49.20%	32.07%	Won Finals
Las Vegas Aces	70.20%	37.50%	24.02%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Minnesota Lynx	88.87%	53.51%	21.95%	Eliminated in Finals
Connecticut Sun	70.01%	34.06%	12.88%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Seattle Storm	29.79%	11.28%	5.64%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Indiana Fever	29.99%	10.17%	2.47%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Atlanta Dream	11.44%	2.02%	0.64%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Phoenix Mercury	11.13%	2.25%	0.32%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream						11.4%100.00%
Connecticut Sun			70.0%100.00%
Indiana Fever		30.0%100.00%
Las Vegas Aces								70.2%100.00%
Minnesota Lynx							88.9%100.00%
New York Liberty	88.6%100.00%
Phoenix Mercury					11.1%100.00%
Seattle Storm				29.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream				14.4%7.95%				25.3%3.48%
Connecticut Sun					44.3%62.19%		83.1%7.82%
Indiana Fever					29.2%26.68%		71.9%3.31%
Las Vegas Aces	85.6%7.95%					49.3%62.25%
Minnesota Lynx		55.7%62.19%	70.8%26.68%
New York Liberty				50.7%62.25%				67.0%26.31%
Phoenix Mercury		16.9%7.82%	28.1%3.31%
Seattle Storm	74.7%3.48%					33.0%26.31%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream		29.9%0.70%	45.3%0.19%		29.1%1.10%		55.6%0.04%
Connecticut Sun	70.1%0.70%			36.6%12.84%		34.6%16.78%		50.7%3.74%
Indiana Fever	54.7%0.19%			21.6%3.83%		23.1%5.01%		33.7%1.14%
Las Vegas Aces		63.4%12.84%	78.4%3.83%		60.7%19.96%		88.6%0.86%
Minnesota Lynx	70.9%1.10%			39.3%19.96%		38.1%26.30%		53.6%6.15%
New York Liberty		65.4%16.78%	76.9%5.01%		61.9%26.30%		86.5%1.10%
Phoenix Mercury	44.4%0.04%			11.4%0.86%		13.5%1.10%		23.8%0.25%
Seattle Storm		49.3%3.74%	66.3%1.14%		46.4%6.15%		76.2%0.25%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New York Liberty 32.07% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

88.56%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

64.16%

Win Prob

50.71%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

50.75%

Win Prob

61.89%

Las Vegas Aces 24.02% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.20%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

81.84%

Win Prob

49.29%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

50.42%

Win Prob

60.67%

Minnesota Lynx 21.95% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

88.87%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

64.71%

Win Prob

55.68%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

45.65%

Win Prob

38.11%

Connecticut Sun 12.88% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Indiana Fever

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.01%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

80.92%

Win Prob

44.32%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

45.02%

Win Prob

34.56%

Seattle Storm 5.64% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.79%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

76.94%

Win Prob

32.99%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

50.57%

Win Prob

46.35%

Indiana Fever 2.47% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.99%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

76.61%

Win Prob

29.21%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

46.78%

Win Prob

23.06%

Atlanta Dream 0.64% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

11.44%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

56.42%

Win Prob

14.36%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

50.39%

Win Prob

29.09%

Phoenix Mercury 0.32% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

11.13%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

58.74%

Win Prob

16.92%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

46.13%

Win Prob

13.48%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2024-05-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-81	1465.20	1477.08	45.80%	54.20%	+23.12	1-0
2024-05-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 85-88	1488.32	1395.68	60.66%	39.34%	-13.51	1-1
2024-05-21	Dallas Wings	W 83-78	1474.81	1526.56	45.07%	54.93%	+15.79	2-1
2024-05-26	Minnesota Lynx	L 79-92	1490.60	1530.14	46.82%	53.18%	-21.70	2-2
2024-05-29	@ Washington Mystics	W 73-67	1468.90	1384.97	59.46%	40.54%	+12.77	3-2
2024-05-31	Las Vegas Aces	W 78-74	1481.67	1650.48	29.49%	70.51%	+18.13	4-2
2024-06-02	Connecticut Sun	L 50-69	1499.80	1622.51	35.29%	64.71%	-19.78	4-3
2024-06-06	New York Liberty	L 61-78	1480.02	1636.42	31.00%	69.00%	-16.44	4-4
2024-06-08	@ Chicago Sky	W 89-80	1463.58	1501.82	42.06%	57.94%	+22.35	5-4
2024-06-11	Washington Mystics	L 68-87	1485.93	1330.60	72.99%	27.01%	-40.91	5-5
2024-06-13	@ Indiana Fever	L 84-91	1445.02	1352.54	60.64%	39.36%	-20.64	5-6
2024-06-16	Los Angeles Sparks	W 87-74	1424.38	1402.55	55.62%	44.38%	+20.58	6-6
2024-06-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 55-68	1444.96	1644.14	22.33%	77.67%	-10.35	6-7
2024-06-21	Indiana Fever	L 79-91	1434.61	1410.38	55.96%	44.04%	-24.93	6-8
2024-06-23	New York Liberty	L 75-96	1409.68	1676.00	19.26%	80.74%	-11.35	6-9
2024-06-28	@ Connecticut Sun	W 78-74	1398.33	1623.45	19.84%	80.16%	+20.61	7-9
2024-06-30	@ New York Liberty	L 75-81	1418.94	1687.35	16.18%	83.82%	-5.09	7-10
2024-07-02	Chicago Sky	L 77-85	1413.85	1436.43	49.25%	50.75%	-17.92	7-11
2024-07-05	@ Dallas Wings	L 82-85	1395.93	1330.09	56.93%	43.07%	-12.68	7-12
2024-07-07	@ Connecticut Sun	L 67-80	1383.25	1632.44	17.73%	82.27%	-8.22	7-13
2024-07-10	@ Chicago Sky	L 69-78	1375.03	1456.45	36.15%	63.85%	-13.95	7-14
2024-07-12	Las Vegas Aces	L 70-84	1361.08	1655.06	16.91%	83.09%	-8.13	7-15
2024-07-14	@ Seattle Storm	L 70-81	1352.95	1609.04	17.16%	82.84%	-7.32	7-16
2024-07-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 79-86	1345.63	1570.30	19.89%	80.11%	-6.77	7-17
2024-08-16	Seattle Storm	W 83-81	1338.86	1622.65	17.75%	82.25%	+14.96	8-17
2024-08-18	Connecticut Sun	W 82-70	1353.82	1642.57	17.33%	82.67%	+36.83	9-17
2024-08-21	Phoenix Mercury	W 72-63	1390.65	1499.58	37.12%	62.88%	+24.25	10-17
2024-08-23	Phoenix Mercury	L 80-82	1414.90	1475.32	43.84%	56.16%	-7.97	10-18
2024-08-26	Indiana Fever	L 79-84	1406.93	1493.37	40.19%	59.81%	-11.56	10-19
2024-08-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 81-85	1395.37	1565.65	25.34%	74.66%	-6.51	10-20
2024-08-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 72-83	1388.86	1575.24	23.63%	76.37%	-10.08	10-21
2024-09-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-62	1378.78	1325.34	55.17%	44.83%	+24.46	11-21
2024-09-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-74	1403.24	1441.38	42.08%	57.92%	-15.31	11-22
2024-09-06	Dallas Wings	W 107-96	1387.93	1365.67	55.68%	44.32%	+18.90	12-22
2024-09-08	@ Indiana Fever	L 100-104	1406.83	1540.93	29.48%	70.52%	-7.58	12-23
2024-09-10	Minnesota Lynx	L 64-76	1399.25	1654.40	20.28%	79.72%	-9.03	12-24
2024-09-13	Washington Mystics	L 69-72	1390.22	1455.17	43.20%	56.80%	-9.63	12-25
2024-09-15	@ Washington Mystics	W 76-73	1380.59	1464.79	35.78%	64.22%	+14.31	13-25
2024-09-17	Chicago Sky	W 86-70	1394.90	1351.09	58.72%	41.28%	+21.23	14-25
2024-09-19	@ New York Liberty	W 78-67	1416.13	1742.94	12.12%	87.88%	+37.49	15-25
2024-05-15	@ Dallas Wings	L 79-87	1497.91	1535.14	42.20%	57.80%	-15.35	0-1
2024-05-18	@ Dallas Wings	W 83-74	1482.56	1550.49	37.96%	62.04%	+23.94	1-1
2024-05-23	@ New York Liberty	W 90-81	1506.50	1653.79	27.93%	72.07%	+27.80	2-1
2024-05-25	Connecticut Sun	L 82-86	1534.30	1588.67	44.70%	55.30%	-11.49	2-2
2024-05-28	Seattle Storm	L 68-77	1522.81	1459.29	61.44%	38.56%	-23.71	2-3
2024-05-30	Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-73	1499.10	1446.22	59.98%	40.02%	+16.28	3-3
2024-06-01	@ Indiana Fever	L 70-71	1515.38	1357.10	69.23%	30.77%	-8.90	3-4
2024-06-04	New York Liberty	L 75-88	1506.48	1619.46	36.58%	63.42%	-16.97	3-5
2024-06-06	@ Washington Mystics	W 79-71	1489.51	1355.55	66.17%	33.83%	+12.31	4-5
2024-06-08	Atlanta Dream	L 80-89	1501.82	1463.58	57.94%	42.06%	-22.35	4-6
2024-06-12	Connecticut Sun	L 75-83	1479.47	1641.15	30.35%	69.65%	-11.04	4-7
2024-06-14	@ Washington Mystics	L 81-83	1468.43	1371.52	61.25%	38.75%	-11.14	4-8
2024-06-16	@ Indiana Fever	L 83-91	1457.29	1373.18	59.49%	40.51%	-21.64	4-9
2024-06-20	Dallas Wings	W 83-72	1435.65	1413.03	55.73%	44.27%	+18.88	5-9
2024-06-23	Indiana Fever	W 88-87	1454.53	1435.31	55.25%	44.75%	+5.76	6-9
2024-06-27	Las Vegas Aces	L 83-95	1460.29	1610.79	31.73%	68.27%	-14.14	6-10
2024-06-30	Minnesota Lynx	L 62-70	1446.15	1638.81	26.72%	73.28%	-9.72	6-11
2024-07-02	@ Atlanta Dream	W 85-77	1436.43	1413.85	50.75%	49.25%	+17.92	7-11
2024-07-05	@ Seattle Storm	W 88-84	1454.35	1585.39	29.85%	70.15%	+18.04	8-11
2024-07-07	@ Seattle Storm	L 71-84	1472.39	1567.35	34.37%	65.63%	-15.94	8-12
2024-07-10	Atlanta Dream	W 78-69	1456.45	1375.03	63.85%	36.15%	+13.95	9-12
2024-07-11	@ New York Liberty	L 76-91	1470.40	1694.95	19.90%	80.10%	-9.91	9-13
2024-07-13	New York Liberty	L 67-81	1460.49	1704.86	21.31%	78.69%	-10.25	9-14
2024-07-16	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 93-85	1450.24	1672.25	20.13%	79.87%	+29.05	10-14
2024-08-15	Phoenix Mercury	L 65-85	1479.29	1464.56	54.61%	45.39%	-31.41	10-15
2024-08-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 90-86	1447.88	1342.76	62.36%	37.64%	+9.68	11-15
2024-08-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 68-86	1457.56	1475.02	45.00%	55.00%	-24.55	11-16
2024-08-23	@ Connecticut Sun	L 80-82	1433.01	1611.31	24.48%	75.52%	-4.45	11-17
2024-08-25	Las Vegas Aces	L 75-77	1428.56	1587.68	30.66%	69.34%	-5.58	11-18
2024-08-28	Washington Mystics	L 70-74	1422.98	1379.82	58.63%	41.37%	-15.08	11-19
2024-08-30	Indiana Fever	L 81-100	1407.90	1522.05	36.42%	63.58%	-20.42	11-20
2024-09-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 74-79	1387.48	1622.68	18.94%	81.06%	-5.44	11-21
2024-09-03	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 71-90	1382.04	1604.42	20.10%	79.90%	-11.27	11-22
2024-09-06	Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-78	1370.77	1294.94	63.10%	36.90%	+17.76	12-22
2024-09-08	Dallas Wings	W 92-77	1388.53	1346.77	58.43%	41.57%	+20.70	13-22
2024-09-11	Washington Mystics	L 58-89	1409.23	1418.53	51.16%	48.84%	-36.63	13-23
2024-09-13	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 66-83	1372.60	1663.44	14.50%	85.50%	-7.69	13-24
2024-09-15	Phoenix Mercury	L 88-93	1364.91	1395.92	48.04%	51.96%	-13.82	13-25
2024-09-17	@ Atlanta Dream	L 70-86	1351.09	1394.90	41.28%	58.72%	-21.23	13-26
2024-09-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 54-87	1329.86	1607.88	15.44%	84.56%	-11.41	13-27
2024-05-14	Indiana Fever	W 92-71	1544.75	1448.88	65.75%	34.25%	+20.19	1-0
2024-05-17	Washington Mystics	W 84-77	1564.94	1472.63	65.28%	34.72%	+11.81	2-0
2024-05-20	@ Indiana Fever	W 88-84	1576.75	1399.27	71.54%	28.46%	+7.32	3-0
2024-05-23	Minnesota Lynx	W 83-82	1584.07	1499.88	64.22%	35.78%	+4.60	4-0
2024-05-25	@ Chicago Sky	W 86-82	1588.67	1534.30	55.30%	44.70%	+11.50	5-0
2024-05-28	Phoenix Mercury	W 70-47	1600.17	1430.60	74.58%	25.42%	+15.68	6-0
2024-05-31	Dallas Wings	W 74-72	1615.85	1537.75	63.41%	36.59%	+6.66	7-0
2024-06-02	@ Atlanta Dream	W 69-50	1622.51	1499.80	64.71%	35.29%	+19.78	8-0
2024-06-04	Washington Mystics	W 76-59	1642.29	1363.71	84.60%	15.40%	+8.16	9-0
2024-06-08	New York Liberty	L 75-82	1650.45	1652.86	52.16%	47.84%	-17.74	9-1
2024-06-10	Indiana Fever	W 89-72	1632.71	1360.98	84.08%	15.92%	+8.44	10-1
2024-06-12	@ Chicago Sky	W 83-75	1641.15	1479.47	69.65%	30.35%	+11.04	11-1
2024-06-15	@ Dallas Wings	W 85-67	1652.19	1435.56	75.89%	24.11%	+13.15	12-1
2024-06-18	Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-70	1665.34	1381.97	84.96%	15.04%	+5.80	13-1
2024-06-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 74-85	1671.14	1585.32	59.72%	40.28%	-25.47	13-2
2024-06-23	@ Seattle Storm	L 61-72	1645.67	1516.28	65.58%	34.42%	-27.97	13-3
2024-06-27	@ Washington Mystics	W 94-91	1617.70	1417.12	74.16%	25.84%	+5.75	14-3
2024-06-28	Atlanta Dream	L 74-78	1623.45	1398.33	80.16%	19.84%	-20.61	14-4
2024-07-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 83-72	1602.84	1458.21	67.53%	32.47%	+13.84	15-4
2024-07-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 78-73	1616.68	1632.61	45.22%	54.78%	+15.76	16-4
2024-07-07	Atlanta Dream	W 80-67	1632.44	1383.25	82.27%	17.73%	+8.22	17-4
2024-07-10	New York Liberty	L 68-71	1640.66	1684.66	46.18%	53.82%	-10.29	17-5
2024-07-14	Phoenix Mercury	W 96-69	1630.37	1464.17	74.21%	25.79%	+17.24	18-5
2024-07-16	@ New York Liberty	L 74-82	1647.61	1715.11	38.02%	61.98%	-13.83	18-6
2024-08-16	@ Dallas Wings	W 109-91	1633.78	1329.81	83.88%	16.12%	+8.79	19-6
2024-08-18	@ Atlanta Dream	L 70-82	1642.57	1353.82	82.67%	17.33%	-36.83	19-7
2024-08-20	Los Angeles Sparks	W 69-61	1605.74	1325.69	84.71%	15.29%	+5.57	20-7
2024-08-23	Chicago Sky	W 82-80	1611.31	1433.01	75.52%	24.48%	+4.45	21-7
2024-08-24	@ New York Liberty	W 72-64	1615.76	1761.26	28.14%	71.86%	+26.14	22-7
2024-08-28	@ Indiana Fever	L 80-84	1641.90	1504.93	66.56%	33.44%	-17.12	22-8
2024-08-31	@ Washington Mystics	W 96-85	1624.78	1394.90	77.26%	22.74%	+9.70	23-8
2024-09-01	Seattle Storm	W 93-86	1634.48	1557.07	63.31%	36.69%	+12.48	24-8
2024-09-03	Seattle Storm	L 64-71	1646.96	1544.59	66.58%	33.42%	-22.66	24-9
2024-09-06	Las Vegas Aces	L 67-72	1624.30	1615.68	53.74%	46.26%	-15.45	24-10
2024-09-08	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-67	1608.85	1277.18	85.93%	14.07%	+6.27	25-10
2024-09-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-66	1615.12	1270.91	86.78%	13.22%	+7.61	26-10
2024-09-13	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 88-69	1622.73	1409.64	75.52%	24.48%	+13.72	27-10
2024-09-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 71-84	1636.45	1650.13	45.54%	54.46%	-21.12	27-11
2024-09-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 76-78	1615.33	1696.07	40.98%	59.02%	-7.45	27-12
2024-09-19	Chicago Sky	W 87-54	1607.88	1329.86	84.56%	15.44%	+11.41	28-12
2024-05-15	Chicago Sky	W 87-79	1535.14	1497.91	57.80%	42.20%	+15.35	1-0
2024-05-18	Chicago Sky	L 74-83	1550.49	1482.56	62.04%	37.96%	-23.93	1-1
2024-05-21	@ Atlanta Dream	L 78-83	1526.56	1474.81	54.93%	45.07%	-15.80	1-2
2024-05-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 107-92	1510.76	1452.59	55.84%	44.16%	+22.00	2-2
2024-05-26	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-83	1532.76	1436.54	61.15%	38.85%	+4.99	3-2
2024-05-31	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-74	1537.75	1615.85	36.59%	63.41%	-6.65	3-3
2024-06-02	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-87	1531.10	1551.45	44.59%	55.41%	-19.02	3-4
2024-06-05	Las Vegas Aces	L 81-95	1512.08	1632.35	35.61%	64.39%	-17.14	3-5
2024-06-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-81	1494.94	1381.63	63.46%	36.54%	-24.48	3-6
2024-06-09	Phoenix Mercury	L 90-97	1470.46	1409.48	61.09%	38.91%	-20.79	3-7
2024-06-13	Seattle Storm	L 84-92	1449.67	1546.21	38.80%	61.20%	-14.11	3-8
2024-06-15	Connecticut Sun	L 67-85	1435.56	1652.19	24.11%	75.89%	-13.15	3-9
2024-06-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 78-90	1422.41	1634.77	21.04%	78.96%	-9.38	3-10
2024-06-20	@ Chicago Sky	L 72-83	1413.03	1435.65	44.27%	55.73%	-18.88	3-11
2024-06-22	@ Washington Mystics	L 69-97	1394.15	1367.09	51.39%	48.61%	-34.97	3-12
2024-06-23	@ Washington Mystics	L 84-92	1359.18	1402.06	41.41%	58.59%	-15.06	3-13
2024-06-27	Minnesota Lynx	W 94-88	1344.12	1665.65	14.79%	85.21%	+26.84	4-13
2024-06-29	@ Seattle Storm	L 76-97	1370.96	1558.45	23.52%	76.48%	-13.86	4-14
2024-07-01	@ Seattle Storm	L 71-95	1357.10	1572.31	20.77%	79.23%	-13.09	4-15
2024-07-03	Phoenix Mercury	L 96-104	1344.01	1444.37	38.28%	61.72%	-13.92	4-16
2024-07-05	Atlanta Dream	W 85-82	1330.09	1395.93	43.07%	56.93%	+12.68	5-16
2024-07-07	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 85-104	1342.77	1634.30	14.45%	85.55%	-8.10	5-17
2024-07-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 84-100	1334.67	1470.60	29.26%	70.74%	-15.05	5-18
2024-07-13	Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-87	1319.62	1342.02	49.28%	50.72%	-15.53	5-19
2024-07-17	Indiana Fever	W 101-93	1304.09	1474.51	29.30%	70.70%	+25.72	6-19
2024-08-16	Connecticut Sun	L 91-109	1329.81	1633.78	16.12%	83.88%	-8.79	6-20
2024-08-20	@ New York Liberty	L 74-94	1321.02	1754.86	6.93%	93.07%	-3.99	6-21
2024-08-22	@ New York Liberty	L 71-79	1317.03	1758.84	6.64%	93.36%	-2.41	6-22
2024-08-25	Los Angeles Sparks	W 113-110	1314.62	1306.59	53.65%	46.35%	+10.32	7-22
2024-08-27	Las Vegas Aces	W 93-90	1324.94	1593.26	19.09%	80.91%	+18.02	8-22
2024-08-30	Minnesota Lynx	W 94-76	1342.96	1669.36	14.45%	85.55%	+46.68	9-22
2024-09-01	Indiana Fever	L 93-100	1389.64	1542.47	31.44%	68.56%	-10.70	9-23
2024-09-03	Washington Mystics	L 86-90	1378.94	1385.20	51.60%	48.40%	-13.27	9-24
2024-09-06	@ Atlanta Dream	L 96-107	1365.67	1387.93	44.32%	55.68%	-18.90	9-25
2024-09-08	@ Chicago Sky	L 77-92	1346.77	1388.53	41.57%	58.43%	-20.70	9-26
2024-09-10	New York Liberty	L 91-105	1326.07	1748.31	8.86%	91.14%	-4.27	9-27
2024-09-12	New York Liberty	L 67-99	1321.80	1752.57	8.47%	91.53%	-6.16	9-28
2024-09-13	Seattle Storm	L 81-83	1315.64	1582.86	19.18%	80.82%	-3.49	9-29
2024-09-15	@ Indiana Fever	L 109-110	1312.15	1521.13	21.36%	78.64%	-2.75	9-30
2024-09-19	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 84-98	1309.40	1690.15	9.18%	90.82%	-4.42	9-31
2024-05-14	@ Connecticut Sun	L 71-92	1448.88	1544.75	34.25%	65.75%	-20.19	0-1
2024-05-16	New York Liberty	L 66-102	1428.69	1615.66	27.37%	72.63%	-21.11	0-2
2024-05-18	@ New York Liberty	L 80-91	1407.58	1636.77	19.47%	80.53%	-8.31	0-3
2024-05-20	Connecticut Sun	L 84-88	1399.27	1576.75	28.46%	71.54%	-7.32	0-4
2024-05-22	@ Seattle Storm	L 83-85	1391.95	1417.45	43.86%	56.14%	-7.98	0-5
2024-05-24	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 78-73	1383.97	1454.48	37.61%	62.39%	+17.94	1-5
2024-05-25	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 80-99	1401.91	1619.09	20.58%	79.42%	-11.54	1-6
2024-05-28	Los Angeles Sparks	L 82-88	1390.37	1431.54	46.58%	53.42%	-14.67	1-7
2024-05-30	Seattle Storm	L 88-103	1375.70	1482.99	37.34%	62.66%	-18.60	1-8
2024-06-01	Chicago Sky	W 71-70	1357.10	1515.38	30.77%	69.23%	+8.90	2-8
2024-06-02	@ New York Liberty	L 68-104	1366.00	1605.11	18.60%	81.40%	-14.34	2-9
2024-06-07	@ Washington Mystics	W 85-83	1351.66	1343.24	48.71%	51.29%	+9.32	3-9
2024-06-10	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-89	1360.98	1632.71	15.92%	84.08%	-8.44	3-10
2024-06-13	Atlanta Dream	W 91-84	1352.54	1445.02	39.36%	60.64%	+20.64	4-10
2024-06-16	Chicago Sky	W 91-83	1373.18	1457.29	40.51%	59.49%	+21.63	5-10
2024-06-19	Washington Mystics	W 88-81	1394.81	1382.66	54.24%	45.76%	+15.57	6-10
2024-06-21	@ Atlanta Dream	W 91-79	1410.38	1434.61	44.04%	55.96%	+24.93	7-10
2024-06-23	@ Chicago Sky	L 87-88	1435.31	1454.53	44.75%	55.25%	-5.75	7-11
2024-06-27	@ Seattle Storm	L 77-89	1429.56	1544.26	31.86%	68.14%	-14.19	7-12
2024-06-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 88-82	1415.37	1477.51	38.75%	61.25%	+19.29	8-12
2024-07-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 69-88	1434.66	1635.34	22.18%	77.82%	-12.43	8-13
2024-07-06	New York Liberty	W 83-78	1422.23	1708.37	17.55%	82.45%	+23.71	9-13
2024-07-10	Washington Mystics	L 84-89	1445.94	1391.16	60.24%	39.76%	-17.33	9-14
2024-07-12	Phoenix Mercury	W 95-86	1428.61	1485.65	44.32%	55.68%	+21.49	10-14
2024-07-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 81-74	1450.10	1594.72	28.24%	71.76%	+24.41	11-14
2024-07-17	@ Dallas Wings	L 93-101	1474.51	1304.09	70.70%	29.30%	-25.71	11-15
2024-08-16	Phoenix Mercury	W 98-89	1448.80	1495.96	45.73%	54.27%	+20.93	12-15
2024-08-18	Seattle Storm	W 92-75	1469.73	1607.69	33.31%	66.69%	+35.36	13-15
2024-08-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-90	1505.09	1644.74	28.82%	71.18%	-11.72	13-16
2024-08-26	@ Atlanta Dream	W 84-79	1493.37	1406.93	59.81%	40.19%	+11.56	14-16
2024-08-28	Connecticut Sun	W 84-80	1504.93	1641.90	33.44%	66.56%	+17.12	15-16
2024-08-30	@ Chicago Sky	W 100-81	1522.05	1407.90	63.58%	36.42%	+20.42	16-16
2024-09-01	@ Dallas Wings	W 100-93	1542.47	1389.64	68.56%	31.44%	+10.69	17-16
2024-09-04	Los Angeles Sparks	W 93-86	1553.16	1300.88	82.53%	17.47%	+5.95	18-16
2024-09-06	Minnesota Lynx	L 88-99	1559.11	1628.13	42.62%	57.38%	-18.18	18-17
2024-09-08	Atlanta Dream	W 104-100	1540.93	1406.83	70.52%	29.48%	+7.58	19-17
2024-09-11	Las Vegas Aces	L 75-86	1548.51	1622.75	41.89%	58.11%	-17.86	19-18
2024-09-13	Las Vegas Aces	L 74-78	1530.65	1640.62	36.98%	63.02%	-9.52	19-19
2024-09-15	Dallas Wings	W 110-109	1521.13	1312.15	78.64%	21.36%	+2.75	20-19
2024-09-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 91-92	1523.88	1441.33	59.27%	40.73%	-7.62	20-20
2024-05-14	Phoenix Mercury	W 89-80	1637.10	1403.03	80.96%	19.04%	+7.34	1-0
2024-05-18	Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-82	1644.44	1453.96	76.79%	23.21%	+7.90	2-0
2024-05-21	Phoenix Mercury	L 88-98	1652.34	1409.20	81.75%	18.25%	-33.25	2-1
2024-05-25	Indiana Fever	W 99-80	1619.09	1401.91	79.42%	20.58%	+11.54	3-1
2024-05-29	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 80-66	1630.63	1551.85	58.74%	41.26%	+19.85	4-1
2024-05-31	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-78	1650.48	1481.67	70.51%	29.49%	-18.13	4-2
2024-06-05	@ Dallas Wings	W 95-81	1632.35	1512.08	64.39%	35.61%	+17.13	5-2
2024-06-07	Seattle Storm	L 65-78	1649.48	1521.29	69.81%	30.19%	-32.36	5-3
2024-06-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 92-96	1617.12	1406.12	75.30%	24.70%	-19.37	5-4
2024-06-11	Minnesota Lynx	L 86-100	1597.75	1604.12	51.59%	48.41%	-24.82	5-5
2024-06-13	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 103-99	1572.93	1430.27	67.29%	32.71%	+8.41	6-5
2024-06-15	New York Liberty	L 82-90	1581.34	1673.92	39.35%	60.65%	-14.31	6-6
2024-06-19	Seattle Storm	W 94-83	1567.03	1534.57	57.12%	42.88%	+18.29	7-6
2024-06-21	Connecticut Sun	W 85-74	1585.32	1671.14	40.28%	59.72%	+25.47	8-6
2024-06-27	@ Chicago Sky	W 95-83	1610.79	1460.29	68.27%	31.73%	+14.13	9-6
2024-06-29	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-77	1624.92	1411.37	75.57%	24.43%	+10.42	10-6
2024-07-02	Indiana Fever	W 88-69	1635.34	1434.66	77.82%	22.18%	+12.44	11-6
2024-07-04	Washington Mystics	W 98-77	1647.78	1409.10	81.37%	18.63%	+10.98	12-6
2024-07-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 93-98	1658.76	1339.19	85.06%	14.94%	-24.46	12-7
2024-07-07	Dallas Wings	W 104-85	1634.30	1342.77	85.55%	14.45%	+8.10	13-7
2024-07-10	@ Seattle Storm	W 84-79	1642.40	1583.29	55.98%	44.02%	+12.66	14-7
2024-07-12	@ Atlanta Dream	W 84-70	1655.06	1361.08	83.09%	16.91%	+8.13	15-7
2024-07-14	@ Washington Mystics	W 89-77	1663.19	1408.48	79.68%	20.32%	+9.06	16-7
2024-07-16	Chicago Sky	L 85-93	1672.25	1450.24	79.87%	20.13%	-29.05	16-8
2024-08-17	New York Liberty	L 67-79	1643.20	1737.43	39.12%	60.88%	-17.43	16-9
2024-08-18	Los Angeles Sparks	W 87-71	1625.77	1333.08	85.63%	14.37%	+7.39	17-9
2024-08-21	Minnesota Lynx	L 87-98	1633.16	1599.26	57.33%	42.67%	-24.45	17-10
2024-08-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 74-87	1608.71	1623.72	45.35%	54.65%	-21.03	17-11
2024-08-25	@ Chicago Sky	W 77-75	1587.68	1428.56	69.34%	30.66%	+5.58	18-11
2024-08-27	@ Dallas Wings	L 90-93	1593.26	1324.94	80.91%	19.09%	-18.02	18-12
2024-08-30	Atlanta Dream	W 83-72	1575.24	1388.86	76.37%	23.63%	+10.07	19-12
2024-09-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 97-79	1585.31	1460.49	64.99%	35.01%	+19.11	20-12
2024-09-03	Chicago Sky	W 90-71	1604.42	1382.04	79.90%	20.10%	+11.26	21-12
2024-09-06	@ Connecticut Sun	W 72-67	1615.68	1624.30	46.26%	53.74%	+15.46	22-12
2024-09-08	@ New York Liberty	L 71-75	1631.14	1739.92	32.60%	67.40%	-8.39	22-13
2024-09-11	@ Indiana Fever	W 86-75	1622.75	1548.51	58.11%	41.89%	+17.87	23-13
2024-09-13	@ Indiana Fever	W 78-74	1640.62	1530.65	63.02%	36.98%	+9.51	24-13
2024-09-15	Connecticut Sun	W 84-71	1650.13	1636.45	54.46%	45.54%	+21.12	25-13
2024-09-17	@ Seattle Storm	W 85-72	1671.25	1589.02	59.22%	40.78%	+18.90	26-13
2024-09-19	Dallas Wings	W 98-84	1690.15	1309.40	90.82%	9.18%	+4.42	27-13
2024-05-15	Atlanta Dream	L 81-92	1477.08	1465.20	54.20%	45.80%	-23.12	0-1
2024-05-18	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 82-89	1453.96	1644.44	23.21%	76.79%	-7.89	0-2
2024-05-21	Washington Mystics	W 70-68	1446.07	1437.41	53.74%	46.26%	+8.41	1-2
2024-05-24	Indiana Fever	L 73-78	1454.48	1383.97	62.39%	37.61%	-17.94	1-3
2024-05-26	Dallas Wings	L 83-84	1436.54	1532.76	38.85%	61.15%	-5.00	1-4
2024-05-28	@ Indiana Fever	W 88-82	1431.54	1390.37	53.42%	46.58%	+14.68	2-4
2024-05-30	@ Chicago Sky	L 73-83	1446.22	1499.10	40.02%	59.98%	-16.28	2-5
2024-06-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 68-87	1429.94	1389.96	53.25%	46.75%	-29.85	2-6
2024-06-05	Minnesota Lynx	L 62-86	1400.09	1570.47	29.30%	70.70%	-18.46	2-7
2024-06-07	Dallas Wings	W 81-72	1381.63	1494.94	36.54%	63.46%	+24.49	3-7
2024-06-09	Las Vegas Aces	W 96-92	1406.12	1617.12	24.70%	75.30%	+19.36	4-7
2024-06-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 79-95	1425.48	1529.10	33.26%	66.74%	-17.10	4-8
2024-06-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-81	1408.38	1628.94	20.27%	79.73%	-5.83	4-9
2024-06-16	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-87	1402.55	1424.38	44.38%	55.62%	-20.58	4-10
2024-06-18	@ Connecticut Sun	L 70-79	1381.97	1665.34	15.04%	84.96%	-5.80	4-11
2024-06-20	@ New York Liberty	L 80-93	1376.17	1663.55	14.75%	85.25%	-6.84	4-12
2024-06-22	@ New York Liberty	L 88-98	1369.33	1670.39	13.79%	86.21%	-5.61	4-13
2024-06-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 78-92	1363.72	1461.12	34.06%	65.94%	-16.38	4-14
2024-07-02	Washington Mystics	L 80-82	1347.34	1400.95	44.81%	55.19%	-8.15	4-15
2024-07-05	Las Vegas Aces	W 98-93	1339.19	1658.76	14.94%	85.06%	+24.46	5-15
2024-07-07	Phoenix Mercury	L 78-84	1363.65	1458.29	39.06%	60.94%	-12.31	5-16
2024-07-09	Minnesota Lynx	L 67-82	1351.34	1623.81	18.72%	81.28%	-9.32	5-17
2024-07-13	@ Dallas Wings	W 87-81	1342.02	1319.62	50.72%	49.28%	+15.52	6-17
2024-07-16	Seattle Storm	L 83-89	1357.54	1616.36	19.94%	80.06%	-6.28	6-18
2024-08-15	New York Liberty	L 68-103	1351.26	1728.94	11.17%	88.83%	-8.50	6-19
2024-08-17	Chicago Sky	L 86-90	1342.76	1447.88	37.64%	62.36%	-9.68	6-20
2024-08-18	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 71-87	1333.08	1625.77	14.37%	85.63%	-7.39	6-21
2024-08-20	@ Connecticut Sun	L 61-69	1325.69	1605.74	15.29%	84.71%	-5.56	6-22
2024-08-23	@ Washington Mystics	L 74-80	1320.13	1351.89	42.97%	57.03%	-13.54	6-23
2024-08-25	@ Dallas Wings	L 110-113	1306.59	1314.62	46.35%	53.65%	-10.32	6-24
2024-08-28	New York Liberty	W 94-88	1296.27	1745.03	7.70%	92.30%	+29.07	7-24
2024-09-01	Atlanta Dream	L 62-80	1325.34	1378.78	44.83%	55.17%	-24.46	7-25
2024-09-04	@ Indiana Fever	L 86-93	1300.88	1553.16	17.47%	82.53%	-5.94	7-26
2024-09-06	@ Chicago Sky	L 78-92	1294.94	1370.77	36.90%	63.10%	-17.76	7-27
2024-09-08	Connecticut Sun	L 67-79	1277.18	1608.85	14.07%	85.93%	-6.27	7-28
2024-09-10	Connecticut Sun	L 66-86	1270.91	1615.12	13.22%	86.78%	-7.60	7-29
2024-09-11	Seattle Storm	L 82-90	1263.31	1577.27	15.35%	84.65%	-5.59	7-30
2024-09-15	@ Seattle Storm	L 87-90	1257.72	1586.35	12.01%	87.99%	-2.67	7-31
2024-09-17	Phoenix Mercury	L 81-85	1255.05	1409.73	31.21%	68.79%	-8.03	7-32
2024-09-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 68-51	1247.02	1703.53	6.13%	93.87%	+49.77	8-32
2024-05-14	@ Seattle Storm	W 83-70	1462.36	1440.26	50.68%	49.32%	+22.87	1-0
2024-05-17	Seattle Storm	W 102-93	1485.23	1417.39	62.03%	37.97%	+14.65	2-0
2024-05-23	@ Connecticut Sun	L 82-83	1499.88	1584.07	35.78%	64.22%	-4.60	2-1
2024-05-25	New York Liberty	W 84-67	1495.28	1625.98	34.25%	65.75%	+34.86	3-1
2024-05-26	@ Atlanta Dream	W 92-79	1530.14	1490.60	53.18%	46.82%	+21.71	4-1
2024-05-29	Las Vegas Aces	L 66-80	1551.85	1630.63	41.26%	58.74%	-19.85	4-2
2024-05-31	Phoenix Mercury	W 95-71	1532.00	1409.42	69.12%	30.88%	+19.45	5-2
2024-06-02	Dallas Wings	W 87-76	1551.45	1531.10	55.41%	44.59%	+19.02	6-2
2024-06-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-62	1570.47	1400.09	70.70%	29.30%	+18.46	7-2
2024-06-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 80-81	1588.93	1400.11	72.85%	27.15%	-9.37	7-3
2024-06-09	Seattle Storm	W 83-64	1579.56	1553.66	56.20%	43.80%	+24.56	8-3
2024-06-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 100-86	1604.12	1597.75	48.41%	51.59%	+24.82	9-3
2024-06-14	Los Angeles Sparks	W 81-76	1628.94	1408.38	79.73%	20.27%	+5.83	10-3
2024-06-17	Dallas Wings	W 90-78	1634.77	1422.41	78.96%	21.04%	+9.37	11-3
2024-06-19	Atlanta Dream	W 68-55	1644.14	1444.96	77.67%	22.33%	+10.35	12-3
2024-06-22	Phoenix Mercury	W 73-60	1654.49	1472.28	75.93%	24.07%	+11.16	13-3
2024-06-27	@ Dallas Wings	L 88-94	1665.65	1344.12	85.21%	14.79%	-26.84	13-4
2024-06-30	@ Chicago Sky	W 70-62	1638.81	1446.15	73.28%	26.72%	+9.72	14-4
2024-07-02	@ New York Liberty	L 67-76	1648.53	1692.45	41.27%	58.73%	-15.92	14-5
2024-07-04	Connecticut Sun	L 73-78	1632.61	1616.68	54.78%	45.22%	-15.75	14-6
2024-07-06	Washington Mystics	W 74-67	1616.86	1398.12	79.56%	20.44%	+6.95	15-6
2024-07-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-67	1623.81	1351.34	81.28%	18.72%	+9.32	16-6
2024-07-12	@ Seattle Storm	L 63-91	1633.13	1570.63	56.46%	43.54%	-38.41	16-7
2024-07-14	Indiana Fever	L 74-81	1594.72	1450.10	71.76%	28.24%	-24.42	16-8
2024-07-17	Atlanta Dream	W 86-79	1570.30	1345.63	80.11%	19.89%	+6.77	17-8
2024-08-15	Washington Mystics	W 79-68	1577.07	1381.81	77.28%	22.72%	+9.69	18-8
2024-08-17	@ Washington Mystics	W 99-83	1586.76	1372.12	75.68%	24.32%	+12.50	19-8
2024-08-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 98-87	1599.26	1633.16	42.67%	57.33%	+24.46	20-8
2024-08-23	Las Vegas Aces	W 87-74	1623.72	1608.71	54.65%	45.35%	+21.02	21-8
2024-08-24	Indiana Fever	W 90-80	1644.74	1505.09	71.18%	28.82%	+11.73	22-8
2024-08-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 89-76	1656.47	1473.38	72.19%	27.81%	+12.89	23-8
2024-08-30	@ Dallas Wings	L 76-94	1669.36	1342.96	85.55%	14.45%	-46.68	23-9
2024-09-01	Chicago Sky	W 79-74	1622.68	1387.48	81.06%	18.94%	+5.45	24-9
2024-09-06	@ Indiana Fever	W 99-88	1628.13	1559.11	57.38%	42.62%	+18.18	25-9
2024-09-08	@ Washington Mystics	W 78-71	1646.31	1426.62	76.21%	23.79%	+8.09	26-9
2024-09-10	@ Atlanta Dream	W 76-64	1654.40	1399.25	79.72%	20.28%	+9.04	27-9
2024-09-13	Chicago Sky	W 83-66	1663.44	1372.60	85.50%	14.50%	+7.69	28-9
2024-09-15	@ New York Liberty	W 88-79	1671.13	1758.74	35.33%	64.67%	+24.94	29-9
2024-09-17	@ Connecticut Sun	W 78-76	1696.07	1615.33	59.02%	40.98%	+7.46	30-9
2024-09-19	Los Angeles Sparks	L 51-68	1703.53	1247.02	93.87%	6.13%	-49.77	30-10
2024-05-14	@ Washington Mystics	W 85-80	1605.51	1482.78	64.71%	35.29%	+10.15	1-0
2024-05-16	@ Indiana Fever	W 102-66	1615.66	1428.69	72.63%	27.37%	+21.11	2-0
2024-05-18	Indiana Fever	W 91-80	1636.77	1407.58	80.53%	19.47%	+8.31	3-0
2024-05-20	Seattle Storm	W 74-63	1645.08	1426.15	79.58%	20.42%	+8.71	4-0
2024-05-23	Chicago Sky	L 81-90	1653.79	1506.50	72.07%	27.93%	-27.81	4-1
2024-05-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 67-84	1625.98	1495.28	65.75%	34.25%	-34.86	4-2
2024-05-29	Phoenix Mercury	W 81-78	1591.12	1414.92	75.29%	24.71%	+5.50	5-2
2024-05-31	Washington Mystics	W 90-79	1596.62	1372.20	80.09%	19.91%	+8.49	6-2
2024-06-02	Indiana Fever	W 104-68	1605.11	1366.00	81.40%	18.60%	+14.35	7-2
2024-06-04	@ Chicago Sky	W 88-75	1619.46	1506.48	63.42%	36.58%	+16.96	8-2
2024-06-06	@ Atlanta Dream	W 78-61	1636.42	1480.02	69.00%	31.00%	+16.44	9-2
2024-06-08	@ Connecticut Sun	W 82-75	1652.86	1650.45	47.84%	52.16%	+17.74	10-2
2024-06-09	Washington Mystics	W 93-88	1670.60	1333.91	88.48%	11.52%	+3.32	11-2
2024-06-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 90-82	1673.92	1581.34	60.65%	39.35%	+14.31	12-2
2024-06-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 93-99	1688.23	1447.61	78.33%	21.67%	-24.68	12-3
2024-06-20	Los Angeles Sparks	W 93-80	1663.55	1376.17	85.25%	14.75%	+6.84	13-3
2024-06-22	Los Angeles Sparks	W 98-88	1670.39	1369.33	86.21%	13.79%	+5.61	14-3
2024-06-23	@ Atlanta Dream	W 96-75	1676.00	1409.68	80.74%	19.26%	+11.35	15-3
2024-06-30	Atlanta Dream	W 81-75	1687.35	1418.94	83.82%	16.18%	+5.10	16-3
2024-07-02	Minnesota Lynx	W 76-67	1692.45	1648.53	58.73%	41.27%	+15.92	17-3
2024-07-06	@ Indiana Fever	L 78-83	1708.37	1422.23	82.45%	17.55%	-23.71	17-4
2024-07-10	@ Connecticut Sun	W 71-68	1684.66	1640.66	53.82%	46.18%	+10.29	18-4
2024-07-11	Chicago Sky	W 91-76	1694.95	1470.40	80.10%	19.90%	+9.91	19-4
2024-07-13	@ Chicago Sky	W 81-67	1704.86	1460.49	78.69%	21.31%	+10.25	20-4
2024-07-16	Connecticut Sun	W 82-74	1715.11	1647.61	61.98%	38.02%	+13.83	21-4
2024-08-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 103-68	1728.94	1351.26	88.83%	11.17%	+8.49	22-4
2024-08-17	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 79-67	1737.43	1643.20	60.88%	39.12%	+17.43	23-4
2024-08-20	Dallas Wings	W 94-74	1754.86	1321.02	93.07%	6.93%	+3.98	24-4
2024-08-22	Dallas Wings	W 79-71	1758.84	1317.03	93.36%	6.64%	+2.42	25-4
2024-08-24	Connecticut Sun	L 64-72	1761.26	1615.76	71.86%	28.14%	-26.14	25-5
2024-08-26	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 84-70	1735.12	1483.29	79.41%	20.59%	+9.91	26-5
2024-08-28	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 88-94	1745.03	1296.27	92.30%	7.70%	-29.07	26-6
2024-08-30	@ Seattle Storm	W 98-85	1715.96	1572.17	67.43%	32.57%	+15.10	27-6
2024-09-05	Seattle Storm	W 77-70	1731.06	1567.24	73.95%	26.05%	+8.86	28-6
2024-09-08	Las Vegas Aces	W 75-71	1739.92	1631.14	67.40%	32.60%	+8.39	29-6
2024-09-10	@ Dallas Wings	W 105-91	1748.31	1326.07	91.14%	8.86%	+4.26	30-6
2024-09-12	@ Dallas Wings	W 99-67	1752.57	1321.80	91.53%	8.47%	+6.17	31-6
2024-09-15	Minnesota Lynx	L 79-88	1758.74	1671.13	64.67%	35.33%	-24.95	31-7
2024-09-17	@ Washington Mystics	W 87-71	1733.79	1450.48	82.21%	17.79%	+9.15	32-7
2024-09-19	Atlanta Dream	L 67-78	1742.94	1416.13	87.88%	12.12%	-37.48	32-8
2024-05-14	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 80-89	1403.03	1637.10	19.04%	80.96%	-7.35	0-1
2024-05-18	Atlanta Dream	W 88-85	1395.68	1488.32	39.34%	60.66%	+13.52	1-1
2024-05-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 98-88	1409.20	1652.34	18.25%	81.75%	+33.24	2-1
2024-05-23	Washington Mystics	W 83-80	1442.44	1428.99	54.43%	45.57%	+10.15	3-1
2024-05-25	Dallas Wings	L 92-107	1452.59	1510.76	44.16%	55.84%	-21.99	3-2
2024-05-28	@ Connecticut Sun	L 47-70	1430.60	1600.17	25.42%	74.58%	-15.68	3-3
2024-05-29	@ New York Liberty	L 78-81	1414.92	1591.12	24.71%	75.29%	-5.50	3-4
2024-05-31	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 71-95	1409.42	1532.00	30.88%	69.12%	-19.46	3-5
2024-06-02	Los Angeles Sparks	W 87-68	1389.96	1429.94	46.75%	53.25%	+29.85	4-5
2024-06-04	@ Seattle Storm	L 62-80	1419.81	1501.59	36.10%	63.90%	-19.70	4-6
2024-06-07	Minnesota Lynx	W 81-80	1400.11	1588.93	27.15%	72.85%	+9.37	5-6
2024-06-09	@ Dallas Wings	W 97-90	1409.48	1470.46	38.91%	61.09%	+20.79	6-6
2024-06-13	Las Vegas Aces	L 99-103	1430.27	1572.93	32.71%	67.29%	-8.42	6-7
2024-06-16	Seattle Storm	W 87-78	1421.85	1560.33	33.25%	66.75%	+25.76	7-7
2024-06-18	New York Liberty	W 99-93	1447.61	1688.23	21.67%	78.33%	+24.67	8-7
2024-06-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 60-73	1472.28	1654.49	24.07%	75.93%	-11.16	8-8
2024-06-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-78	1461.12	1363.72	65.94%	34.06%	+16.39	9-8
2024-06-30	Indiana Fever	L 82-88	1477.51	1415.37	61.25%	38.75%	-19.30	9-9
2024-07-01	Connecticut Sun	L 72-83	1458.21	1602.84	32.47%	67.53%	-13.84	9-10
2024-07-03	@ Dallas Wings	W 104-96	1444.37	1344.01	61.72%	38.28%	+13.92	10-10
2024-07-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-78	1458.29	1363.65	60.94%	39.06%	+12.31	11-10
2024-07-10	Dallas Wings	W 100-84	1470.60	1334.67	70.74%	29.26%	+15.05	12-10
2024-07-12	@ Indiana Fever	L 86-95	1485.65	1428.61	55.68%	44.32%	-21.48	12-11
2024-07-14	@ Connecticut Sun	L 69-96	1464.17	1630.37	25.79%	74.21%	-17.24	12-12
2024-07-16	@ Washington Mystics	W 96-87	1446.93	1399.43	54.32%	45.68%	+17.63	13-12
2024-08-15	@ Chicago Sky	W 85-65	1464.56	1479.29	45.39%	54.61%	+31.40	14-12
2024-08-16	@ Indiana Fever	L 89-98	1495.96	1448.80	54.27%	45.73%	-20.94	14-13
2024-08-18	Chicago Sky	W 86-68	1475.02	1457.56	55.00%	45.00%	+24.56	15-13
2024-08-21	@ Atlanta Dream	L 63-72	1499.58	1390.65	62.88%	37.12%	-24.26	15-14
2024-08-23	@ Atlanta Dream	W 82-80	1475.32	1414.90	56.16%	43.84%	+7.97	16-14
2024-08-26	New York Liberty	L 70-84	1483.29	1735.12	20.59%	79.41%	-9.91	16-15
2024-08-28	Minnesota Lynx	L 76-89	1473.38	1656.47	27.81%	72.19%	-12.89	16-16
2024-09-01	Las Vegas Aces	L 79-97	1460.49	1585.31	35.01%	64.99%	-19.11	16-17
2024-09-03	Atlanta Dream	W 74-66	1441.38	1403.24	57.92%	42.08%	+15.31	17-17
2024-09-05	Washington Mystics	L 77-90	1456.69	1398.47	60.71%	39.29%	-28.15	17-18
2024-09-07	@ Seattle Storm	L 66-90	1428.54	1558.38	30.00%	70.00%	-18.90	17-19
2024-09-13	Connecticut Sun	L 69-88	1409.64	1622.73	24.48%	75.52%	-13.72	17-20
2024-09-15	@ Chicago Sky	W 93-88	1395.92	1364.91	51.96%	48.04%	+13.81	18-20
2024-09-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 85-81	1409.73	1255.05	68.79%	31.21%	+8.03	19-20
2024-09-19	Seattle Storm	L 70-89	1417.76	1570.11	31.50%	68.50%	-17.66	19-21
2024-05-14	Minnesota Lynx	L 70-83	1440.26	1462.36	49.32%	50.68%	-22.87	0-1
2024-05-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 93-102	1417.39	1485.23	37.97%	62.03%	-14.65	0-2
2024-05-19	@ Washington Mystics	W 84-75	1402.74	1460.82	39.31%	60.69%	+23.41	1-2
2024-05-20	@ New York Liberty	L 63-74	1426.15	1645.08	20.42%	79.58%	-8.70	1-3
2024-05-22	Indiana Fever	W 85-83	1417.45	1391.95	56.14%	43.86%	+7.97	2-3
2024-05-25	Washington Mystics	W 101-69	1425.42	1418.84	53.44%	46.56%	+33.87	3-3
2024-05-28	@ Chicago Sky	W 77-68	1459.29	1522.81	38.56%	61.44%	+23.70	4-3
2024-05-30	@ Indiana Fever	W 103-88	1482.99	1375.70	62.66%	37.34%	+18.60	5-3
2024-06-04	Phoenix Mercury	W 80-62	1501.59	1419.81	63.90%	36.10%	+19.70	6-3
2024-06-07	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 78-65	1521.29	1649.48	30.19%	69.81%	+32.37	7-3
2024-06-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 64-83	1553.66	1579.56	43.80%	56.20%	-24.56	7-4
2024-06-11	Los Angeles Sparks	W 95-79	1529.10	1425.48	66.74%	33.26%	+17.11	8-4
2024-06-13	@ Dallas Wings	W 92-84	1546.21	1449.67	61.20%	38.80%	+14.12	9-4
2024-06-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 78-87	1560.33	1421.85	66.75%	33.25%	-25.76	9-5
2024-06-19	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 83-94	1534.57	1567.03	42.88%	57.12%	-18.29	9-6
2024-06-23	Connecticut Sun	W 72-61	1516.28	1645.67	34.42%	65.58%	+27.98	10-6
2024-06-27	Indiana Fever	W 89-77	1544.26	1429.56	68.14%	31.86%	+14.19	11-6
2024-06-29	Dallas Wings	W 97-76	1558.45	1370.96	76.48%	23.52%	+13.86	12-6
2024-07-01	Dallas Wings	W 95-71	1572.31	1357.10	79.23%	20.77%	+13.08	13-6
2024-07-05	Chicago Sky	L 84-88	1585.39	1454.35	70.15%	29.85%	-18.04	13-7
2024-07-07	Chicago Sky	W 84-71	1567.35	1472.39	65.63%	34.37%	+15.94	14-7
2024-07-10	Las Vegas Aces	L 79-84	1583.29	1642.40	44.02%	55.98%	-12.66	14-8
2024-07-12	Minnesota Lynx	W 91-63	1570.63	1633.13	43.54%	56.46%	+38.41	15-8
2024-07-14	Atlanta Dream	W 81-70	1609.04	1352.95	82.84%	17.16%	+7.32	16-8
2024-07-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-83	1616.36	1357.54	80.06%	19.94%	+6.29	17-8
2024-08-16	@ Atlanta Dream	L 81-83	1622.65	1338.86	82.25%	17.75%	-14.96	17-9
2024-08-18	@ Indiana Fever	L 75-92	1607.69	1469.73	66.69%	33.31%	-35.36	17-10
2024-08-20	@ Washington Mystics	W 83-77	1572.33	1359.61	75.48%	24.52%	+7.72	18-10
2024-08-26	Washington Mystics	L 72-74	1580.05	1365.42	79.18%	20.82%	-14.40	18-11
2024-08-28	Atlanta Dream	W 85-81	1565.65	1395.37	74.66%	25.34%	+6.52	19-11
2024-08-30	New York Liberty	L 85-98	1572.17	1715.96	32.57%	67.43%	-15.10	19-12
2024-09-01	@ Connecticut Sun	L 86-93	1557.07	1634.48	36.69%	63.31%	-12.48	19-13
2024-09-03	@ Connecticut Sun	W 71-64	1544.59	1646.96	33.42%	66.58%	+22.65	20-13
2024-09-05	@ New York Liberty	L 70-77	1567.24	1731.06	26.05%	73.95%	-8.86	20-14
2024-09-07	Phoenix Mercury	W 90-66	1558.38	1428.54	70.00%	30.00%	+18.89	21-14
2024-09-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 90-82	1577.27	1263.31	84.65%	15.35%	+5.59	22-14
2024-09-13	@ Dallas Wings	W 83-81	1582.86	1315.64	80.82%	19.18%	+3.49	23-14
2024-09-15	Los Angeles Sparks	W 90-87	1586.35	1257.72	87.99%	12.01%	+2.67	24-14
2024-09-17	Las Vegas Aces	L 72-85	1589.02	1671.25	40.78%	59.22%	-18.91	24-15
2024-09-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 89-70	1570.11	1417.76	68.50%	31.50%	+17.66	25-15
2024-05-14	New York Liberty	L 80-85	1482.78	1605.51	35.29%	64.71%	-10.15	0-1
2024-05-17	@ Connecticut Sun	L 77-84	1472.63	1564.94	34.72%	65.28%	-11.81	0-2
2024-05-19	Seattle Storm	L 75-84	1460.82	1402.74	60.69%	39.31%	-23.41	0-3
2024-05-21	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-70	1437.41	1446.07	46.26%	53.74%	-8.42	0-4
2024-05-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 80-83	1428.99	1442.44	45.57%	54.43%	-10.15	0-5
2024-05-25	@ Seattle Storm	L 69-101	1418.84	1425.42	46.56%	53.44%	-33.87	0-6
2024-05-29	Atlanta Dream	L 67-73	1384.97	1468.90	40.54%	59.46%	-12.77	0-7
2024-05-31	@ New York Liberty	L 79-90	1372.20	1596.62	19.91%	80.09%	-8.49	0-8
2024-06-04	@ Connecticut Sun	L 59-76	1363.71	1642.29	15.40%	84.60%	-8.16	0-9
2024-06-06	Chicago Sky	L 71-79	1355.55	1489.51	33.83%	66.17%	-12.31	0-10
2024-06-07	Indiana Fever	L 83-85	1343.24	1351.66	51.29%	48.71%	-9.33	0-11
2024-06-09	@ New York Liberty	L 88-93	1333.91	1670.60	11.52%	88.48%	-3.31	0-12
2024-06-11	@ Atlanta Dream	W 87-68	1330.60	1485.93	27.01%	72.99%	+40.92	1-12
2024-06-14	Chicago Sky	W 83-81	1371.52	1468.43	38.75%	61.25%	+11.14	2-12
2024-06-19	@ Indiana Fever	L 81-88	1382.66	1394.81	45.76%	54.24%	-15.57	2-13
2024-06-22	Dallas Wings	W 97-69	1367.09	1394.15	48.61%	51.39%	+34.97	3-13
2024-06-23	Dallas Wings	W 92-84	1402.06	1359.18	58.59%	41.41%	+15.06	4-13
2024-06-27	Connecticut Sun	L 91-94	1417.12	1617.70	25.84%	74.16%	-5.75	4-14
2024-06-29	Las Vegas Aces	L 77-88	1411.37	1624.92	24.43%	75.57%	-10.42	4-15
2024-07-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-80	1400.95	1347.34	55.19%	44.81%	+8.15	5-15
2024-07-04	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 77-98	1409.10	1647.78	18.63%	81.37%	-10.98	5-16
2024-07-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 67-74	1398.12	1616.86	20.44%	79.56%	-6.96	5-17
2024-07-10	@ Indiana Fever	W 89-84	1391.16	1445.94	39.76%	60.24%	+17.32	6-17
2024-07-14	Las Vegas Aces	L 77-89	1408.48	1663.19	20.32%	79.68%	-9.05	6-18
2024-07-16	Phoenix Mercury	L 87-96	1399.43	1446.93	45.68%	54.32%	-17.62	6-19
2024-08-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-79	1381.81	1577.07	22.72%	77.28%	-9.69	6-20
2024-08-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 83-99	1372.12	1586.76	24.32%	75.68%	-12.51	6-21
2024-08-20	Seattle Storm	L 77-83	1359.61	1572.33	24.52%	75.48%	-7.72	6-22
2024-08-23	Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-74	1351.89	1320.13	57.03%	42.97%	+13.53	7-22
2024-08-26	@ Seattle Storm	W 74-72	1365.42	1580.05	20.82%	79.18%	+14.40	8-22
2024-08-28	@ Chicago Sky	W 74-70	1379.82	1422.98	41.37%	58.63%	+15.08	9-22
2024-08-31	Connecticut Sun	L 85-96	1394.90	1624.78	22.74%	77.26%	-9.70	9-23
2024-09-03	@ Dallas Wings	W 90-86	1385.20	1378.94	48.40%	51.60%	+13.27	10-23
2024-09-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 90-77	1398.47	1456.69	39.29%	60.71%	+28.15	11-23
2024-09-08	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-78	1426.62	1646.31	23.79%	76.21%	-8.09	11-24
2024-09-11	@ Chicago Sky	W 89-58	1418.53	1409.23	48.84%	51.16%	+36.64	12-24
2024-09-13	@ Atlanta Dream	W 72-69	1455.17	1390.22	56.80%	43.20%	+9.62	13-24
2024-09-15	Atlanta Dream	L 73-76	1464.79	1380.59	64.22%	35.78%	-14.31	13-25
2024-09-17	New York Liberty	L 71-87	1450.48	1733.79	17.79%	82.21%	-9.15	13-26
2024-09-19	Indiana Fever	W 92-91	1441.33	1523.88	40.73%	59.27%	+7.63	14-26

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2024-09-22	@ New York Liberty	L 69-83	1453.62	1705.46	17.51%	82.49%	-8.43	0-1
2024-09-24	@ New York Liberty	L 82-91	1445.19	1713.88	16.15%	83.85%	-6.23	0-2
2024-09-22	Indiana Fever	W 93-69	1619.29	1516.26	66.67%	33.33%	+21.00	1-0
2024-09-25	Indiana Fever	W 87-81	1640.29	1495.26	71.81%	28.19%	+8.88	2-0
2024-09-29	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 73-70	1649.17	1667.27	44.91%	55.09%	+12.27	3-0
2024-10-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-77	1661.44	1655.00	48.42%	51.58%	-16.48	3-1
2024-10-04	Minnesota Lynx	L 81-90	1644.96	1671.48	48.69%	51.31%	-18.78	3-2
2024-10-06	Minnesota Lynx	W 92-82	1626.18	1690.26	43.32%	56.68%	+23.05	4-2
2024-10-08	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 77-88	1649.23	1667.21	44.93%	55.07%	-19.16	4-3
2024-09-22	@ Connecticut Sun	L 69-93	1516.26	1619.29	33.33%	66.67%	-21.00	0-1
2024-09-25	@ Connecticut Sun	L 81-87	1495.26	1640.29	28.19%	71.81%	-8.88	0-2
2024-09-22	Seattle Storm	W 78-67	1694.57	1587.77	67.15%	32.85%	+14.01	1-0
2024-09-24	Seattle Storm	W 83-76	1708.58	1573.76	70.60%	29.40%	+10.00	2-0
2024-09-29	@ New York Liberty	L 77-87	1718.58	1720.11	47.28%	52.72%	-19.22	2-1
2024-10-01	@ New York Liberty	L 84-88	1699.36	1739.34	41.82%	58.18%	-10.76	2-2
2024-10-04	New York Liberty	W 95-81	1688.60	1750.10	43.69%	56.31%	+27.10	3-2
2024-10-06	New York Liberty	L 62-76	1715.70	1723.00	51.45%	48.55%	-24.76	3-3
2024-09-22	Phoenix Mercury	W 102-95	1653.76	1400.10	82.64%	17.36%	+5.90	1-0
2024-09-25	Phoenix Mercury	W 101-88	1659.66	1394.20	83.59%	16.41%	+7.61	2-0
2024-09-29	Connecticut Sun	L 70-73	1667.27	1649.17	55.09%	44.91%	-12.27	2-1
2024-10-01	Connecticut Sun	W 77-70	1655.00	1661.44	51.58%	48.42%	+16.48	3-1
2024-10-04	@ Connecticut Sun	W 90-81	1671.48	1644.96	51.31%	48.69%	+18.78	4-1
2024-10-06	@ Connecticut Sun	L 82-92	1690.26	1626.18	56.68%	43.32%	-23.05	4-2
2024-10-08	Connecticut Sun	W 88-77	1667.21	1649.23	55.07%	44.93%	+19.16	5-2
2024-10-10	@ New York Liberty	W 95-93	1686.37	1747.76	38.85%	61.15%	+11.12	6-2
2024-10-13	@ New York Liberty	L 66-80	1697.49	1736.64	41.94%	58.06%	-20.18	6-3
2024-10-16	New York Liberty	L 77-80	1677.31	1756.82	41.16%	58.84%	-9.16	6-4
2024-10-18	New York Liberty	W 82-80	1668.15	1765.98	38.63%	61.37%	+11.16	7-4
2024-10-20	@ New York Liberty	L 62-67	1679.31	1754.82	36.94%	63.06%	-10.62	7-5
2024-09-22	Atlanta Dream	W 83-69	1705.46	1453.62	82.49%	17.51%	+8.42	1-0
2024-09-24	Atlanta Dream	W 91-82	1713.88	1445.19	83.85%	16.15%	+6.23	2-0
2024-09-29	Las Vegas Aces	W 87-77	1720.11	1718.58	52.72%	47.28%	+19.23	3-0
2024-10-01	Las Vegas Aces	W 88-84	1739.34	1699.36	58.18%	41.82%	+10.76	4-0
2024-10-04	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 81-95	1750.10	1688.60	56.31%	43.69%	-27.10	4-1
2024-10-06	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 76-62	1723.00	1715.70	48.55%	51.45%	+24.76	5-1
2024-10-10	Minnesota Lynx	L 93-95	1747.76	1686.37	61.15%	38.85%	-11.12	5-2
2024-10-13	Minnesota Lynx	W 80-66	1736.64	1697.49	58.06%	41.94%	+20.18	6-2
2024-10-16	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 80-77	1756.82	1677.31	58.84%	41.16%	+9.16	7-2
2024-10-18	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-82	1765.98	1668.15	61.37%	38.63%	-11.16	7-3
2024-10-20	Minnesota Lynx	W 67-62	1754.82	1679.31	63.06%	36.94%	+10.62	8-3
2024-09-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 95-102	1400.10	1653.76	17.36%	82.64%	-5.90	0-1
2024-09-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 88-101	1394.20	1659.66	16.41%	83.59%	-7.61	0-2
2024-09-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 67-78	1587.77	1694.57	32.85%	67.15%	-14.01	0-1
2024-09-24	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 76-83	1573.76	1708.58	29.40%	70.60%	-10.00	0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-09-19	6.13%	Los Angeles Sparks	1247.02	68	@ Minnesota Lynx	1703.53	51
2	2024-08-28	7.70%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1296.27	94	New York Liberty	1745.03	88
3	2024-09-19	12.12%	Atlanta Dream	1416.13	78	@ New York Liberty	1742.94	67
4	2024-08-30	14.45%	@ Dallas Wings	1342.96	94	Minnesota Lynx	1669.36	76
5	2024-06-27	14.79%	@ Dallas Wings	1344.12	94	Minnesota Lynx	1665.65	88
6	2024-07-05	14.94%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1339.19	98	Las Vegas Aces	1658.76	93
7	2024-08-18	17.33%	@ Atlanta Dream	1353.82	82	Connecticut Sun	1642.57	70
8	2024-07-06	17.55%	@ Indiana Fever	1422.23	83	New York Liberty	1708.37	78
9	2024-08-16	17.75%	@ Atlanta Dream	1338.86	83	Seattle Storm	1622.65	81
10	2024-05-21	18.25%	Phoenix Mercury	1409.20	98	@ Las Vegas Aces	1652.34	88
11	2024-08-27	19.09%	@ Dallas Wings	1324.94	93	Las Vegas Aces	1593.26	90
12	2024-06-28	19.84%	Atlanta Dream	1398.33	78	@ Connecticut Sun	1623.45	74
13	2024-07-16	20.13%	Chicago Sky	1450.24	93	@ Las Vegas Aces	1672.25	85
14	2024-08-26	20.82%	Washington Mystics	1365.42	74	@ Seattle Storm	1580.05	72
15	2024-06-18	21.67%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1447.61	99	New York Liberty	1688.23	93
16	2024-06-09	24.70%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1406.12	96	Las Vegas Aces	1617.12	92
17	2024-06-11	27.01%	Washington Mystics	1330.60	87	@ Atlanta Dream	1485.93	68
18	2024-06-07	27.15%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1400.11	81	Minnesota Lynx	1588.93	80
19	2024-05-23	27.93%	Chicago Sky	1506.50	90	@ New York Liberty	1653.79	81
20	2024-08-24	28.14%	Connecticut Sun	1615.76	72	@ New York Liberty	1761.26	64
21	2024-07-14	28.24%	Indiana Fever	1450.10	81	@ Minnesota Lynx	1594.72	74
22	2024-07-17	29.30%	@ Dallas Wings	1304.09	101	Indiana Fever	1474.51	93
23	2024-05-31	29.49%	@ Atlanta Dream	1481.67	78	Las Vegas Aces	1650.48	74
24	2024-07-05	29.85%	Chicago Sky	1454.35	88	@ Seattle Storm	1585.39	84
25	2024-06-07	30.19%	Seattle Storm	1521.29	78	@ Las Vegas Aces	1649.48	65

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2024-09-19	49.77	Los Angeles Sparks	68	1247.02	6.13%	@ Minnesota Lynx	51	1703.53	93.87%
2	2024-08-30	46.68	@ Dallas Wings	94	1342.96	14.45%	Minnesota Lynx	76	1669.36	85.55%
3	2024-06-11	40.92	Washington Mystics	87	1330.60	27.01%	@ Atlanta Dream	68	1485.93	72.99%
4	2024-07-12	38.41	@ Seattle Storm	91	1570.63	43.54%	Minnesota Lynx	63	1633.13	56.46%
5	2024-09-19	37.49	Atlanta Dream	78	1416.13	12.12%	@ New York Liberty	67	1742.94	87.88%
6	2024-08-18	36.83	@ Atlanta Dream	82	1353.82	17.33%	Connecticut Sun	70	1642.57	82.67%
7	2024-09-11	36.64	Washington Mystics	89	1418.53	48.84%	@ Chicago Sky	58	1409.23	51.16%
8	2024-08-18	35.36	@ Indiana Fever	92	1469.73	33.31%	Seattle Storm	75	1607.69	66.69%
9	2024-06-22	34.97	@ Washington Mystics	97	1367.09	48.61%	Dallas Wings	69	1394.15	51.39%
10	2024-05-25	34.86	@ Minnesota Lynx	84	1495.28	34.25%	New York Liberty	67	1625.98	65.75%
11	2024-05-25	33.87	@ Seattle Storm	101	1425.42	53.44%	Washington Mystics	69	1418.84	46.56%
12	2024-05-21	33.25	Phoenix Mercury	98	1409.20	18.25%	@ Las Vegas Aces	88	1652.34	81.75%
13	2024-06-07	32.37	Seattle Storm	78	1521.29	30.19%	@ Las Vegas Aces	65	1649.48	69.81%
14	2024-08-15	31.41	Phoenix Mercury	85	1464.56	45.39%	@ Chicago Sky	65	1479.29	54.61%
15	2024-06-02	29.85	@ Phoenix Mercury	87	1389.96	46.75%	Los Angeles Sparks	68	1429.94	53.25%
16	2024-08-28	29.07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	94	1296.27	7.70%	New York Liberty	88	1745.03	92.30%
17	2024-07-16	29.05	Chicago Sky	93	1450.24	20.13%	@ Las Vegas Aces	85	1672.25	79.87%
18	2024-09-05	28.15	Washington Mystics	90	1398.47	39.29%	@ Phoenix Mercury	77	1456.69	60.71%
19	2024-06-23	27.98	@ Seattle Storm	72	1516.28	34.42%	Connecticut Sun	61	1645.67	65.58%
20	2024-05-23	27.81	Chicago Sky	90	1506.50	27.93%	@ New York Liberty	81	1653.79	72.07%
21	2024-10-04 *	27.10	@ Las Vegas Aces	95	1688.60	43.69%	New York Liberty	81	1750.10	56.31%
22	2024-06-27	26.84	@ Dallas Wings	94	1344.12	14.79%	Minnesota Lynx	88	1665.65	85.21%
23	2024-08-24	26.14	Connecticut Sun	72	1615.76	28.14%	@ New York Liberty	64	1761.26	71.86%
24	2024-06-16	25.76	@ Phoenix Mercury	87	1421.85	33.25%	Seattle Storm	78	1560.33	66.75%
25	2024-07-17	25.72	@ Dallas Wings	101	1304.09	29.30%	Indiana Fever	93	1474.51	70.70%