2023 WNBA Season

240 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Las Vegas Aces

2nd Title

Last Title: 2022

Runner-Up

New York Liberty

5th Appearance

Last Appearance: 2002

Biggest Overachiever

New York Liberty

6.00 wins above expected

32 wins · 26.00 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Seattle Storm

4.78 wins below expected

11 wins · 15.78 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Las Vegas Aces League	34	6	.850	-	92.8	80.3	+12.5	31.36	+2.64
2	New York Liberty Playoffs	32	8	.800	2	89.2	80.5	+8.7	26.00	+6.00
3	Connecticut Sun Playoffs	27	13	.675	7	82.7	79.0	+3.7	27.08	-0.08
4	Dallas Wings Playoffs	22	18	.550	12	87.8	84.9	+2.9	21.40	+0.60
5	Atlanta Dream Playoffs	19	21	.475	15	82.5	84.0	-1.5	18.76	+0.24
6	Minnesota Lynx Playoffs	19	21	.475	15	80.2	85.0	-4.8	17.40	+1.60
7	Washington Mystics Playoffs	19	21	.475	15	80.5	80.9	-0.3	20.30	-1.30
8	Chicago Sky Playoffs	18	22	.450	16	81.7	83.3	-1.6	19.05	-1.05
9	Los Angeles Sparks	17	23	.425	17	78.9	80.5	-1.6	16.93	+0.07
10	Indiana Fever	13	27	.325	21	81.0	85.0	-4.0	12.46	+0.54
11	Seattle Storm	11	29	.275	23	78.8	84.5	-5.6	15.78	-4.78
12	Phoenix Mercury	9	31	.225	25	76.6	84.9	-8.3	13.49	-4.49

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

Quarterfinals

Connecticut Sun 2

Minnesota Lynx 1

3 games · Sep 13–Sep 20

Las Vegas Aces 2

Chicago Sky 0

2 games · Sep 13–Sep 17

New York Liberty 2

Washington Mystics 0

2 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Dallas Wings 2

Atlanta Dream 0

2 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Semifinals

New York Liberty 3

Connecticut Sun 1

4 games · Sep 24–Oct 1

Las Vegas Aces 3

Dallas Wings 0

3 games · Sep 24–Sep 29

WNBA Finals

Las Vegas Aces 3

New York Liberty 1

4 games · Oct 8–Oct 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New York Liberty	1766	32	26.00	+6.00	99.22%	12	21	24	26	28	31	36
Las Vegas Aces	1740	34	31.36	+2.64	89.95%	20	27	30	31	33	35	40
Connecticut Sun	1594	27	27.08	-0.08	55.27%	14	22	25	27	29	32	37
Dallas Wings	1568	22	21.40	+0.60	64.53%	9	17	19	21	23	26	35
Chicago Sky	1517	18	19.05	-1.05	42.71%	6	14	17	19	21	24	31
Washington Mystics	1470	19	20.30	-1.30	39.25%	7	15	18	20	22	25	33
Atlanta Dream	1454	19	18.76	+0.24	60.01%	5	14	17	19	21	24	31
Los Angeles Sparks	1446	17	16.93	+0.07	57.71%	5	12	15	17	19	22	29
Minnesota Lynx	1433	19	17.40	+1.60	76.20%	5	13	15	17	19	22	29
Indiana Fever	1378	13	12.46	+0.54	64.68%	2	8	11	12	14	17	26
Seattle Storm	1358	11	15.78	-4.78	7.12%	5	11	14	16	18	21	30
Phoenix Mercury	1277	9	13.49	-4.49	7.71%	2	9	12	13	15	18	27

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	4-0 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky	0-4 (2.2 exp.)	—	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	3-0 (1.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-4 (2.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	—	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	0-4 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (2.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	4-0 (2.6 exp.)
Dallas Wings	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	0-3 (1.8 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-3 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (2.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Indiana Fever	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-3 (0.5 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	3-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.1 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-1 (3.1 exp.)	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	—	3-1 (3.2 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	4-0 (3.6 exp.)	4-0 (3.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-3 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-4 (2.2 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.7 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	4-0 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)
New York Liberty	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-4 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)
Seattle Storm	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	—	0-3 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Mystics	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	4-0 (1.9 exp.)	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	0.21%	0.42%	—	—	—	0.62%
60–69	—	1.67%	5.00%	4.38%	1.46%	0.42%	—	12.92%
70–79	0.21%	5.00%	6.25%	9.79%	4.58%	0.62%	0.21%	26.67%
80–89	0.42%	4.38%	9.79%	6.67%	8.33%	2.08%	0.83%	32.50%
90–99	—	1.46%	4.58%	8.33%	3.75%	1.67%	—	19.79%
100–109	—	0.42%	0.62%	2.08%	1.67%	0.83%	0.42%	6.04%
110+	—	—	0.21%	0.83%	—	0.42%	—	1.46%
Total	0.62%	12.92%	26.67%	32.50%	19.79%	6.04%	1.46%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.74	82.74	+0.00
SD	11.29	11.29	14.11
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	113	113	+41
Min	58	58	-41

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.50%	—	2.50%	—	—	—	5.00%
70–79	—	7.50%	—	17.50%	7.50%	—	—	32.50%
80–89	—	5.00%	20.00%	2.50%	10.00%	5.00%	2.50%	45.00%
90–99	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
100–109	—	—	—	—	2.50%	—	2.50%	5.00%
110+	—	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	2.50%
Total	—	15.00%	25.00%	30.00%	20.00%	5.00%	5.00%	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.53	84.00	-1.48
SD	9.18	12.16	13.62
CV	0.11	0.14	—
Max	112	112	+28
Min	65	65	-30

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	2.50%
60–69	—	—	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
70–79	—	5.00%	7.50%	15.00%	2.50%	—	—	30.00%
80–89	—	2.50%	2.50%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	15.00%
90–99	—	2.50%	2.50%	7.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	17.50%
100–109	—	—	2.50%	5.00%	5.00%	2.50%	—	15.00%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	10.00%	25.00%	45.00%	15.00%	5.00%	—	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.72	83.35	-1.62
SD	13.42	9.39	12.90
CV	0.16	0.11	—
Max	108	107	+27
Min	59	63	-24

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	2.50%
60–69	—	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	—	—	7.50%
70–79	2.50%	5.00%	2.50%	—	2.50%	—	—	12.50%
80–89	—	7.50%	27.50%	12.50%	10.00%	2.50%	—	60.00%
90–99	—	—	10.00%	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	17.50%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.50%	15.00%	42.50%	20.00%	15.00%	5.00%	—	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.67	78.97	+3.70
SD	8.27	10.51	12.22
CV	0.10	0.13	—
Max	96	102	+24
Min	58	59	-31

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	—	2.50%
70–79	—	5.00%	10.00%	2.50%	—	—	—	17.50%
80–89	—	—	12.50%	5.00%	12.50%	5.00%	—	35.00%
90–99	—	2.50%	7.50%	12.50%	5.00%	7.50%	—	35.00%
100–109	—	2.50%	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	—	7.50%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	2.50%	—	2.50%
Total	—	10.00%	32.50%	20.00%	20.00%	17.50%	—	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	87.85	84.90	+2.95
SD	10.23	12.41	12.93
CV	0.12	0.15	—
Max	110	109	+40
Min	61	62	-20

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	—	2.50%
60–69	—	—	2.50%	7.50%	2.50%	—	—	12.50%
70–79	—	2.50%	7.50%	10.00%	2.50%	—	—	22.50%
80–89	—	5.00%	7.50%	15.00%	7.50%	7.50%	—	42.50%
90–99	—	—	2.50%	7.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	15.00%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	5.00%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.50%	22.50%	40.00%	15.00%	12.50%	2.50%	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.00	85.05	-4.05
SD	10.50	10.97	11.16
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	103	110	+21
Min	59	66	-27

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.50%	—	2.50%	—	—	5.00%
70–79	—	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	—	10.00%
80–89	—	2.50%	5.00%	7.50%	2.50%	—	—	17.50%
90–99	—	7.50%	15.00%	17.50%	—	—	—	40.00%
100–109	—	2.50%	2.50%	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	20.00%
110+	—	—	—	5.00%	—	2.50%	—	7.50%
Total	—	15.00%	27.50%	42.50%	12.50%	2.50%	—	100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	92.83	80.28	+12.55
SD	12.01	9.91	14.76
CV	0.13	0.12	—
Max	113	100	+41
Min	61	62	-38

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.50%	—	—	17.50%
70–79	—	7.50%	20.00%	7.50%	7.50%	—	—	42.50%
80–89	—	2.50%	5.00%	2.50%	10.00%	—	2.50%	22.50%
90–99	—	2.50%	2.50%	10.00%	2.50%	—	—	17.50%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.50%	32.50%	25.00%	22.50%	—	2.50%	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.90	80.53	-1.62
SD	9.68	11.46	12.55
CV	0.12	0.14	—
Max	99	112	+29
Min	61	61	-28

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.50%	10.00%	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	20.00%
70–79	—	2.50%	7.50%	12.50%	5.00%	—	2.50%	30.00%
80–89	—	—	10.00%	7.50%	10.00%	—	2.50%	30.00%
90–99	—	—	—	12.50%	5.00%	—	—	17.50%
100–109	—	—	—	—	2.50%	—	—	2.50%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.00%	27.50%	35.00%	25.00%	2.50%	5.00%	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.15	84.97	-4.83
SD	10.29	11.46	13.48
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	104	113	+13
Min	62	61	-40

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	2.50%	—	—	—	2.50%
70–79	—	5.00%	2.50%	5.00%	—	—	—	12.50%
80–89	2.50%	10.00%	12.50%	12.50%	7.50%	—	—	45.00%
90–99	—	2.50%	2.50%	12.50%	7.50%	—	—	25.00%
100–109	—	—	—	7.50%	2.50%	—	—	10.00%
110+	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	2.50%	17.50%	20.00%	42.50%	17.50%	—	—	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	89.22	80.55	+8.68
SD	10.02	10.39	12.83
CV	0.11	0.13	—
Max	111	98	+38
Min	64	58	-17

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	10.00%	10.00%	2.50%	—	—	22.50%
70–79	—	2.50%	7.50%	17.50%	17.50%	2.50%	—	47.50%
80–89	—	5.00%	—	2.50%	—	5.00%	—	12.50%
90–99	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	7.50%	—	—	17.50%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.50%	22.50%	35.00%	27.50%	7.50%	—	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	76.60	84.90	-8.30
SD	9.14	10.97	13.27
CV	0.12	0.13	—
Max	95	104	+22
Min	62	62	-29

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	5.00%	12.50%	7.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	30.00%
70–79	—	2.50%	2.50%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	25.00%
80–89	—	5.00%	7.50%	2.50%	12.50%	—	—	27.50%
90–99	—	—	2.50%	—	7.50%	5.00%	—	15.00%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	2.50%	—	2.50%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	20.00%	27.50%	15.00%	—	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.83	84.45	-5.62
SD	11.43	12.63	13.46
CV	0.15	0.15	—
Max	109	106	+23
Min	63	61	-41

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	2.50%	—	—	10.00%
70–79	—	12.50%	5.00%	17.50%	2.50%	—	—	37.50%
80–89	2.50%	7.50%	7.50%	5.00%	12.50%	—	2.50%	37.50%
90–99	—	—	—	7.50%	2.50%	—	—	10.00%
100–109	—	—	2.50%	2.50%	—	—	—	5.00%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.50%	22.50%	17.50%	35.00%	20.00%	—	2.50%	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.53	80.88	-0.35
SD	9.98	11.70	12.70
CV	0.12	0.14	—
Max	109	113	+23
Min	62	59	-28

Games Played: 40

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+14.3
Allowed	0.47	-23.2
Differential	0.93	+12.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Liberty	32	26.00	+6.00
2	Las Vegas Aces	34	31.36	+2.64
3	Minnesota Lynx	19	17.40	+1.60
4	Dallas Wings	22	21.40	+0.60
5	Indiana Fever	13	12.46	+0.54

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Seattle Storm	11	15.78	-4.78
2	Phoenix Mercury	9	13.49	-4.49
3	Washington Mystics	19	20.30	-1.30
4	Chicago Sky	18	19.05	-1.05
5	Connecticut Sun	27	27.08	-0.08

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Sparks	6	Aug 6 – Aug 25	1 in 427
2	Atlanta Dream	7	Jun 30 – Jul 18	1 in 105
3	Dallas Wings	5	Jul 7 – Jul 22	1 in 45
4	Indiana Fever	3	Aug 20 – Aug 27	1 in 18
5	Phoenix Mercury	2	Jul 18 – Jul 20	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Sparks	8	Jun 28 – Jul 22	1 in 74
2	Phoenix Mercury	11	Aug 13 – Sep 10	1 in 57
3	Chicago Sky	6	Jun 9 – Jun 25	1 in 57
4	Connecticut Sun	3	Aug 10 – Aug 18	1 in 45
5	Seattle Storm	10	Jun 27 – Jul 25	1 in 45

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Las Vegas Aces	79.44%	16.03%	4.01%	0.44%	0.06%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	-	-	-	-
Connecticut Sun	12.62%	44.87%	29.22%	8.66%	2.94%	1.08%	0.40%	0.15%	0.05%	0.01%	-	<0.01%
New York Liberty	7.41%	31.79%	39.32%	12.94%	5.13%	2.08%	0.81%	0.32%	0.14%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%
Dallas Wings	0.33%	3.66%	11.27%	27.03%	20.60%	14.59%	9.69%	6.24%	3.66%	1.99%	0.75%	0.21%
Washington Mystics	0.11%	1.89%	6.96%	18.59%	20.04%	17.26%	13.21%	9.72%	6.33%	3.71%	1.69%	0.50%
Chicago Sky	0.05%	0.71%	3.56%	11.28%	16.00%	16.65%	15.65%	13.49%	10.46%	7.01%	3.79%	1.34%
Atlanta Dream	0.04%	0.69%	3.11%	9.77%	14.01%	16.30%	16.31%	14.27%	11.61%	8.13%	4.19%	1.57%
Minnesota Lynx	<0.01%	0.19%	1.20%	4.90%	8.63%	11.95%	14.65%	16.51%	16.19%	13.40%	8.46%	3.91%
Los Angeles Sparks	<0.01%	0.10%	0.89%	4.04%	7.33%	10.59%	13.46%	15.69%	16.42%	14.92%	10.83%	5.72%
Seattle Storm	-	0.05%	0.40%	1.94%	3.91%	6.63%	10.08%	13.28%	16.80%	19.75%	16.72%	10.44%
Phoenix Mercury	-	<0.01%	0.04%	0.29%	0.90%	1.90%	3.69%	6.42%	10.96%	17.57%	28.11%	30.12%
Indiana Fever	-	<0.01%	0.02%	0.13%	0.44%	0.97%	2.06%	3.91%	7.38%	13.48%	25.44%	46.18%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Las Vegas Aces	79.44%	16.03%	4.01%	0.44%	0.06%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	-
Connecticut Sun	12.62%	44.87%	29.22%	8.66%	2.94%	1.08%	0.40%	0.15%	0.06%
New York Liberty	7.41%	31.79%	39.32%	12.94%	5.13%	2.08%	0.81%	0.32%	0.19%
Dallas Wings	0.33%	3.66%	11.27%	27.03%	20.60%	14.59%	9.69%	6.24%	6.60%
Washington Mystics	0.11%	1.89%	6.96%	18.59%	20.04%	17.26%	13.21%	9.72%	12.23%
Chicago Sky	0.05%	0.71%	3.56%	11.28%	16.00%	16.65%	15.65%	13.49%	22.60%
Atlanta Dream	0.04%	0.69%	3.11%	9.77%	14.01%	16.30%	16.31%	14.27%	25.50%
Minnesota Lynx	<0.01%	0.19%	1.20%	4.90%	8.63%	11.95%	14.65%	16.51%	41.96%
Los Angeles Sparks	<0.01%	0.10%	0.89%	4.04%	7.33%	10.59%	13.46%	15.69%	47.89%
Seattle Storm	-	0.05%	0.40%	1.94%	3.91%	6.63%	10.08%	13.28%	63.70%
Phoenix Mercury	-	<0.01%	0.04%	0.29%	0.90%	1.90%	3.69%	6.42%	86.76%
Indiana Fever	-	<0.01%	0.02%	0.13%	0.44%	0.97%	2.06%	3.91%	92.48%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+4.17%

Slight Edge

52.08%47.92%

Elo Value

Home Edge

27 Elo

0.037 points per Elo point

014.4880

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.61 points

Lean Home

-8+0.53+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Few Contenders

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

39%

Las Vegas Aces, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

32.2%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%50%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.31 · As Expected: 2.31 to 3.18 · Elevated: 3.18 to 4.34 · High Variance: 4.34 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 · Close: 1.11 to 1.5 · Off Target: 1.5 to 1.95 · Well Off Target: 1.95 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.82 · As Expected: 0.82 to 1.36 · More Than Expected: 1.36 to 2.18 · Far More Than Expected: 2.18 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.77 wins

As Expected

02.897

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.303

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.22%

New York Liberty

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

7.12%

Seattle Storm

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

As Expected

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

0 of 8

Fewer Than Expected

01.18

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.79

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

71%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

94%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

11%

Mostly Decisive

0%17%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Routine

0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.95

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.44

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

33%

As Expected

0%33%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.79

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.068

Within Noise

00.1010.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
New York Liberty	99.81%	90.74%	70.72%	46.03%
Las Vegas Aces	100.00%	91.01%	68.88%	39.00%
Connecticut Sun	99.94%	72.15%	25.24%	7.32%
Dallas Wings	93.40%	50.30%	15.63%	4.17%
Chicago Sky	77.40%	26.12%	6.87%	1.58%
Washington Mystics	87.77%	26.29%	5.00%	0.82%
Atlanta Dream	74.50%	17.54%	3.19%	0.49%
Los Angeles Sparks	52.11%	10.14%	1.99%	0.29%
Minnesota Lynx	58.04%	10.78%	1.91%	0.27%
Seattle Storm	36.30%	3.65%	0.42%	0.03%
Indiana Fever	7.51%	0.71%	0.10%	<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	13.24%	0.58%	0.04%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		37.9%4.44%	24.9%15.79%	29.3%11.26%	56.5%0.07%	8.6%14.67%	50.5%1.66%	55.2%2.13%	7.1%15.82%	78.9%0.20%	67.0%0.92%	45.4%7.53%
Chicago Sky	62.1%4.44%		35.1%15.70%	40.5%12.95%	77.0%0.09%	13.7%13.92%	63.8%1.96%	64.5%2.49%	11.8%16.28%	85.5%0.25%	77.8%1.01%	58.3%8.31%
Connecticut Sun	75.1%15.79%	64.9%15.70%		55.4%12.54%	85.7%1.77%	26.3%0.20%	77.1%11.94%	78.8%13.22%	21.2%1.88%	93.5%3.16%	87.7%8.60%	73.2%15.14%
Dallas Wings	70.7%11.26%	59.5%12.95%	44.6%12.54%		76.9%0.37%	19.8%7.22%	72.2%5.47%	73.8%6.41%	16.5%14.33%	91.0%0.71%	83.8%2.99%	68.5%19.16%
Indiana Fever	43.5%0.07%	23.0%0.09%	14.3%1.77%	23.1%0.37%		4.7%3.52%	50.0%0.04%	43.2%0.04%	3.7%1.40%	83.3%<0.01%	41.2%0.02%	28.0%0.21%
Las Vegas Aces	91.4%14.67%	86.3%13.92%	73.7%0.20%	80.2%7.22%	95.3%3.52%		92.0%15.15%	93.0%16.01%	42.7%0.43%	98.7%5.80%	96.2%12.48%	90.1%10.60%
Los Angeles Sparks	49.5%1.66%	36.2%1.96%	22.9%11.94%	27.8%5.47%	50.0%0.04%	8.0%15.15%		51.8%0.81%	6.5%10.99%	79.1%0.07%	66.7%0.36%	46.6%3.65%
Minnesota Lynx	44.8%2.13%	35.5%2.49%	21.2%13.22%	26.2%6.41%	56.8%0.04%	7.0%16.01%	48.2%0.81%		6.2%12.07%	75.0%0.08%	65.0%0.44%	42.0%4.32%
New York Liberty	92.9%15.82%	88.2%16.28%	78.8%1.88%	83.5%14.33%	96.3%1.40%	57.3%0.43%	93.5%10.99%	93.8%12.07%		98.5%2.53%	96.8%7.53%	92.2%16.55%
Phoenix Mercury	21.1%0.20%	14.5%0.25%	6.5%3.16%	9.0%0.71%	16.7%<0.01%	1.3%5.80%	20.9%0.07%	25.0%0.08%	1.5%2.53%		53.6%0.03%	16.6%0.40%
Seattle Storm	33.0%0.92%	22.2%1.01%	12.3%8.60%	16.2%2.99%	58.8%0.02%	3.8%12.48%	33.3%0.36%	35.0%0.44%	3.2%7.53%	46.4%0.03%		29.6%1.92%
Washington Mystics	54.6%7.53%	41.7%8.31%	26.8%15.14%	31.5%19.16%	72.0%0.21%	9.9%10.60%	53.4%3.65%	58.0%4.32%	7.8%16.55%	83.4%0.40%	70.4%1.92%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		35.1%0.97%	25.6%2.66%	32.2%1.44%	72.2%0.04%	8.1%6.64%	47.9%0.40%	49.5%0.38%	7.0%4.11%	90.0%0.02%	61.1%0.13%	49.1%0.76%
Chicago Sky	64.9%0.97%		36.7%4.14%	41.6%2.09%	68.6%0.05%	14.2%10.32%	64.1%0.55%	65.5%0.61%	11.7%5.89%	87.1%0.03%	76.2%0.22%	57.4%1.25%
Connecticut Sun	74.4%2.66%	63.3%4.14%		54.8%8.96%	85.9%0.08%	23.4%10.43%	75.2%1.51%	75.8%1.60%	19.4%37.99%	90.4%0.07%	85.7%0.54%	71.6%4.16%
Dallas Wings	67.8%1.44%	58.4%2.09%	45.2%8.96%		80.7%0.11%	19.7%23.52%	69.0%1.03%	72.3%1.07%	16.9%10.00%	90.1%0.09%	83.3%0.39%	67.0%1.59%
Indiana Fever	27.8%0.04%	31.4%0.05%	14.1%0.08%	19.3%0.11%		4.6%0.13%	35.7%0.01%	33.3%0.01%	3.7%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	35.4%0.05%
Las Vegas Aces	91.9%6.64%	85.8%10.32%	76.6%10.43%	80.3%23.52%	95.4%0.13%		92.7%3.14%	92.8%3.46%	44.8%20.59%	98.6%0.14%	98.0%1.00%	89.9%11.64%
Los Angeles Sparks	52.1%0.40%	35.9%0.55%	24.8%1.51%	31.0%1.03%	64.3%0.01%	7.3%3.14%		52.5%0.24%	7.4%2.58%	71.4%<0.01%	74.1%0.08%	46.9%0.57%
Minnesota Lynx	50.5%0.38%	34.5%0.61%	24.2%1.60%	27.7%1.07%	66.7%0.01%	7.2%3.46%	47.5%0.24%		5.2%2.74%	66.7%0.01%	60.2%0.09%	44.9%0.56%
New York Liberty	93.0%4.11%	88.3%5.89%	80.6%37.99%	83.1%10.00%	96.3%0.22%	55.2%20.59%	92.6%2.58%	94.8%2.74%		99.4%0.16%	97.1%0.99%	92.8%5.48%
Phoenix Mercury	10.0%0.02%	12.9%0.03%	9.6%0.07%	9.9%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	1.4%0.14%	28.6%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	0.6%0.16%		22.2%<0.01%	25.8%0.03%
Seattle Storm	38.9%0.13%	23.8%0.22%	14.3%0.54%	16.7%0.39%	60.0%<0.01%	2.0%1.00%	25.9%0.08%	39.8%0.09%	2.9%0.99%	77.8%<0.01%		29.4%0.20%
Washington Mystics	50.9%0.76%	42.6%1.25%	28.4%4.16%	33.0%1.59%	64.6%0.05%	10.1%11.64%	53.1%0.57%	55.1%0.56%	7.2%5.48%	74.2%0.03%	70.6%0.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		34.5%0.08%	29.2%0.24%	33.3%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	11.8%1.10%	42.9%0.02%	50.0%0.02%	10.2%1.50%		50.0%<0.01%	62.7%0.05%
Chicago Sky	65.5%0.08%		39.6%0.58%	43.1%0.42%	100.0%<0.01%	19.8%2.31%	63.6%0.04%	65.0%0.04%	15.7%3.26%	100.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	63.1%0.12%
Connecticut Sun	70.8%0.24%	60.4%0.58%		53.3%1.55%	66.7%<0.01%	26.9%13.20%	75.2%0.17%	78.1%0.15%	20.9%8.92%	100.0%<0.01%	90.9%0.02%	69.6%0.41%
Dallas Wings	66.7%0.17%	56.9%0.42%	46.7%1.55%		71.4%<0.01%	23.1%4.95%	67.6%0.11%	69.3%0.11%	20.0%8.04%	100.0%<0.01%	76.9%0.01%	64.6%0.26%
Indiana Fever	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%		6.2%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	1.9%0.05%			100.0%<0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	88.2%1.10%	80.2%2.31%	73.1%13.20%	76.9%4.95%	93.8%0.03%		87.2%0.66%	88.9%0.63%	45.3%44.30%	92.9%0.01%	94.9%0.16%	86.8%1.55%
Los Angeles Sparks	57.1%0.02%	36.4%0.04%	24.8%0.17%	32.4%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	12.8%0.66%		42.9%<0.01%	8.8%0.96%		100.0%<0.01%	46.9%0.03%
Minnesota Lynx	50.0%0.02%	35.0%0.04%	21.9%0.15%	30.7%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	11.1%0.63%	57.1%<0.01%		10.0%0.93%		100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.02%
New York Liberty	89.8%1.50%	84.3%3.26%	79.1%8.92%	80.0%8.04%	98.1%0.05%	54.7%44.30%	91.2%0.96%	90.0%0.93%		100.0%0.02%	94.7%0.21%	88.1%2.55%
Phoenix Mercury		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		7.1%0.01%			0.0%0.02%
Seattle Storm	50.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	9.1%0.02%	23.1%0.01%		5.1%0.16%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	5.3%0.21%			33.3%<0.01%
Washington Mystics	37.3%0.05%	36.9%0.12%	30.4%0.41%	35.4%0.26%	0.0%<0.01%	13.2%1.55%	53.1%0.03%	66.7%0.02%	11.9%2.55%		66.7%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
New York Liberty	92.04%	77.37%	47.43%	Eliminated in Finals
Las Vegas Aces	85.88%	72.35%	37.76%	Won Finals
Connecticut Sun	78.48%	17.58%	6.59%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Dallas Wings	71.36%	16.49%	4.66%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Chicago Sky	14.12%	7.50%	1.76%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Washington Mystics	7.96%	3.18%	0.79%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Atlanta Dream	28.64%	3.67%	0.65%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals
Minnesota Lynx	21.52%	1.88%	0.36%	Eliminated in Quarterfinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream				28.6%100.00%
Chicago Sky					14.1%100.00%
Connecticut Sun						78.5%100.00%
Dallas Wings	71.4%100.00%
Las Vegas Aces		85.9%100.00%
Minnesota Lynx			21.5%100.00%
New York Liberty								92.0%100.00%
Washington Mystics							8.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		35.1%4.08%			9.1%24.56%
Chicago Sky	64.9%4.08%			48.3%10.04%
Connecticut Sun							18.6%72.22%	66.1%6.26%
Dallas Wings		51.7%10.04%			18.4%61.32%
Las Vegas Aces	90.9%24.56%			81.6%61.32%
Minnesota Lynx							6.2%19.82%	37.9%1.70%
New York Liberty			81.4%72.22%			93.8%19.82%
Washington Mystics			33.9%6.26%			62.1%1.70%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream			25.9%0.66%			57.6%0.06%	13.4%2.82%	49.2%0.13%
Chicago Sky			38.8%1.32%			60.0%0.14%	17.6%5.79%	57.3%0.25%
Connecticut Sun	74.1%0.66%	61.2%1.32%		54.6%2.90%	29.2%12.70%
Dallas Wings			45.4%2.90%			67.3%0.30%	22.0%12.76%	63.7%0.53%
Las Vegas Aces			70.8%12.70%			86.6%1.38%	46.0%55.99%	81.1%2.27%
Minnesota Lynx	42.4%0.06%	40.0%0.14%		32.7%0.30%	13.4%1.38%
New York Liberty	86.6%2.82%	82.4%5.79%		78.0%12.76%	54.0%55.99%
Washington Mystics	50.8%0.13%	42.7%0.25%		36.3%0.53%	18.9%2.27%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New York Liberty 47.43% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

92.04%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

75.98%

Win Prob

81.39%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

63.80%

Win Prob

54.04%

Las Vegas Aces 37.76% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

85.88%

→

Semifinals

vs. Dallas Wings

Matchup

69.14%

Win Prob

81.57%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

68.15%

Win Prob

45.96%

Connecticut Sun 6.59% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

78.48%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

76.45%

Win Prob

18.61%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

56.37%

Win Prob

29.24%

Dallas Wings 4.66% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

71.36%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

68.53%

Win Prob

18.43%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

60.21%

Win Prob

21.98%

Chicago Sky 1.76% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

14.12%

→

Semifinals

vs. Dallas Wings

Matchup

64.72%

Win Prob

48.33%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

58.10%

Win Prob

17.65%

Washington Mystics 0.79% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

7.96%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

66.85%

Win Prob

33.90%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

54.29%

Win Prob

18.91%

Atlanta Dream 0.65% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Dallas Wings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

28.64%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

60.98%

Win Prob

9.10%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

58.51%

Win Prob

13.40%

Minnesota Lynx 0.36% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

21.52%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

65.83%

Win Prob

6.24%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

50.55%

Win Prob

13.36%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2023-05-20	@ Dallas Wings	L 78-85	1448.99	1494.57	41.44%	58.56%	-13.17	0-1
2023-05-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 83-77	1435.82	1480.42	41.58%	58.42%	+17.20	1-1
2023-05-28	Indiana Fever	L 87-90	1453.02	1357.36	65.34%	34.66%	-13.61	1-2
2023-05-30	Chicago Sky	W 83-65	1439.41	1587.53	31.66%	68.34%	+34.85	2-2
2023-06-02	Las Vegas Aces	L 87-92	1474.26	1657.81	27.42%	72.58%	-7.37	2-3
2023-06-09	New York Liberty	L 83-106	1466.89	1519.05	44.60%	55.40%	-25.71	2-4
2023-06-11	Connecticut Sun	L 77-89	1441.18	1625.67	27.32%	72.68%	-11.37	2-5
2023-06-13	@ New York Liberty	W 86-79	1429.81	1561.18	30.16%	69.84%	+22.21	3-5
2023-06-15	@ Connecticut Sun	W 92-88	1452.02	1637.05	24.08%	75.92%	+18.25	4-5
2023-06-18	@ Indiana Fever	W 100-94	1470.27	1409.35	56.64%	43.36%	+12.77	5-5
2023-06-20	@ Dallas Wings	L 73-85	1483.04	1465.89	50.38%	49.62%	-20.98	5-6
2023-06-23	New York Liberty	L 80-110	1462.06	1552.83	39.19%	60.81%	-25.81	5-7
2023-06-28	@ Washington Mystics	L 86-109	1436.25	1556.73	31.50%	68.50%	-18.16	5-8
2023-06-30	Washington Mystics	W 94-89	1418.09	1574.89	30.59%	69.41%	+18.66	6-8
2023-07-02	Los Angeles Sparks	W 112-84	1436.75	1444.37	50.99%	49.01%	+31.17	7-8
2023-07-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 90-79	1467.92	1413.20	55.77%	44.23%	+17.64	8-8
2023-07-07	@ Chicago Sky	W 82-68	1485.56	1501.66	45.61%	54.39%	+24.46	9-8
2023-07-09	@ Chicago Sky	W 88-77	1510.02	1477.20	52.64%	47.36%	+18.88	10-8
2023-07-12	Seattle Storm	W 85-75	1528.90	1386.44	71.17%	28.83%	+10.96	11-8
2023-07-18	Minnesota Lynx	W 82-73	1539.86	1451.82	64.34%	35.66%	+12.86	12-8
2023-07-20	@ Connecticut Sun	L 71-82	1552.72	1636.96	36.16%	63.84%	-14.42	12-9
2023-07-22	Connecticut Sun	L 78-86	1538.30	1651.37	36.18%	63.82%	-12.30	12-10
2023-07-25	Phoenix Mercury	W 78-65	1526.00	1379.32	71.66%	28.34%	+12.28	13-10
2023-07-27	@ New York Liberty	L 84-95	1538.28	1623.47	36.04%	63.96%	-14.36	13-11
2023-07-30	Washington Mystics	W 80-73	1523.92	1473.44	59.24%	40.76%	+12.96	14-11
2023-08-01	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 72-93	1536.88	1792.47	17.44%	82.56%	-9.61	14-12
2023-08-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 71-91	1527.27	1338.58	73.16%	26.84%	-39.33	14-13
2023-08-06	Indiana Fever	W 82-73	1487.94	1302.38	75.98%	24.02%	+8.67	15-13
2023-08-10	@ Seattle Storm	L 67-68	1496.61	1392.10	62.67%	37.33%	-7.54	15-14
2023-08-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-85	1489.07	1396.25	61.09%	38.91%	-24.35	15-15
2023-08-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 65-86	1464.72	1770.12	13.69%	86.31%	-7.54	15-16
2023-08-18	Chicago Sky	W 78-67	1457.18	1441.19	54.37%	45.63%	+18.19	16-16
2023-08-22	Las Vegas Aces	L 100-112	1475.37	1767.64	16.81%	83.19%	-7.00	16-17
2023-08-25	Los Angeles Sparks	L 78-83	1468.37	1470.83	51.73%	48.27%	-13.90	16-18
2023-08-27	@ Indiana Fever	L 80-83	1454.47	1344.83	63.36%	36.64%	-13.20	16-19
2023-08-29	Phoenix Mercury	W 94-76	1441.27	1336.86	66.47%	33.53%	+17.10	17-19
2023-09-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 85-91	1458.37	1449.08	49.25%	50.75%	-14.50	17-20
2023-09-06	Seattle Storm	W 79-68	1443.87	1393.58	59.22%	40.78%	+16.26	18-20
2023-09-08	@ Washington Mystics	W 80-75	1460.13	1468.94	46.65%	53.35%	+14.34	19-20
2023-09-10	Dallas Wings	L 77-94	1474.47	1547.10	41.71%	58.29%	-20.67	19-21
2023-05-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 77-66	1559.14	1497.68	56.72%	43.28%	+17.25	1-0
2023-05-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 75-69	1576.39	1445.55	66.15%	33.85%	+9.97	2-0
2023-05-26	Washington Mystics	L 69-71	1586.36	1512.32	62.47%	37.53%	-10.62	2-1
2023-05-28	Dallas Wings	W 94-88	1575.74	1520.23	59.94%	40.06%	+11.79	3-1
2023-05-30	@ Atlanta Dream	L 65-83	1587.53	1439.41	68.34%	31.66%	-34.85	3-2
2023-06-02	New York Liberty	L 76-77	1552.68	1524.30	56.14%	43.86%	-6.74	3-3
2023-06-04	@ New York Liberty	W 86-82	1545.94	1531.05	50.06%	49.94%	+12.00	4-3
2023-06-06	Indiana Fever	W 108-103	1557.94	1362.65	76.99%	23.01%	+6.19	5-3
2023-06-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 62-77	1564.13	1461.30	62.45%	37.55%	-29.07	5-4
2023-06-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 80-93	1535.06	1652.07	31.93%	68.07%	-13.84	5-5
2023-06-15	Indiana Fever	L 90-92	1521.22	1397.64	68.88%	31.12%	-11.71	5-6
2023-06-18	@ Washington Mystics	L 69-77	1509.51	1521.21	46.24%	53.76%	-15.72	5-7
2023-06-22	Washington Mystics	L 59-80	1493.79	1536.93	45.88%	54.12%	-25.28	5-8
2023-06-25	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-96	1468.51	1654.57	23.97%	76.03%	-14.11	5-9
2023-06-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-63	1454.40	1485.63	47.59%	52.41%	+25.97	6-9
2023-06-30	Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-78	1480.37	1459.65	55.05%	44.95%	+15.29	7-9
2023-07-02	@ Indiana Fever	W 89-87	1495.66	1376.22	64.66%	35.34%	+6.00	8-9
2023-07-07	Atlanta Dream	L 68-82	1501.66	1485.56	54.39%	45.61%	-24.46	8-10
2023-07-09	Atlanta Dream	L 77-88	1477.20	1510.02	47.36%	52.64%	-18.88	8-11
2023-07-12	Connecticut Sun	L 72-84	1458.32	1651.15	26.37%	73.63%	-10.98	8-12
2023-07-20	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 62-80	1447.34	1364.65	59.69%	40.31%	-30.44	8-13
2023-07-22	@ Seattle Storm	W 90-75	1416.90	1370.48	54.58%	45.42%	+21.14	9-13
2023-07-25	Las Vegas Aces	L 95-107	1438.04	1776.38	13.42%	86.58%	-5.59	9-14
2023-07-28	Seattle Storm	L 74-83	1432.45	1345.43	64.21%	35.79%	-23.15	9-15
2023-07-30	Phoenix Mercury	W 104-85	1409.30	1367.04	58.09%	41.91%	+21.96	10-15
2023-08-04	@ Dallas Wings	W 104-89	1431.26	1598.42	26.01%	73.99%	+34.44	11-15
2023-08-06	@ Dallas Wings	W 104-96	1465.70	1563.97	34.32%	65.68%	+22.33	12-15
2023-08-08	Minnesota Lynx	L 79-88	1488.03	1472.20	54.35%	45.65%	-19.60	12-16
2023-08-11	@ New York Liberty	L 73-89	1468.43	1695.06	19.97%	80.03%	-9.60	12-17
2023-08-13	@ Washington Mystics	L 76-83	1458.83	1406.24	55.46%	44.54%	-17.64	12-18
2023-08-18	@ Atlanta Dream	L 67-78	1441.19	1457.18	45.63%	54.37%	-18.19	12-19
2023-08-20	Connecticut Sun	L 73-79	1423.00	1596.66	28.57%	71.43%	-8.41	12-20
2023-08-22	Seattle Storm	W 102-79	1414.59	1430.48	49.80%	50.20%	+28.94	13-20
2023-08-24	Las Vegas Aces	L 87-94	1443.53	1774.64	13.91%	86.09%	-4.43	13-21
2023-08-27	@ Seattle Storm	W 90-85	1439.10	1387.59	55.31%	44.69%	+12.02	14-21
2023-08-29	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-75	1451.12	1469.82	45.24%	54.76%	+6.58	15-21
2023-09-03	New York Liberty	L 69-86	1457.70	1766.89	15.49%	84.51%	-7.68	15-22
2023-09-05	@ Indiana Fever	W 96-69	1450.02	1383.01	57.50%	42.50%	+26.54	16-22
2023-09-08	Minnesota Lynx	W 92-87	1476.56	1475.74	52.20%	47.80%	+12.85	17-22
2023-09-10	@ Connecticut Sun	W 102-91	1489.41	1622.08	30.01%	69.99%	+27.90	18-22
2023-05-19	@ Indiana Fever	W 70-61	1584.48	1384.73	74.39%	25.61%	+9.23	1-0
2023-05-21	Washington Mystics	W 80-74	1593.71	1537.00	60.10%	39.90%	+11.75	2-0
2023-05-23	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-81	1605.46	1525.25	59.35%	40.65%	+12.92	3-0
2023-05-27	@ New York Liberty	L 65-81	1618.38	1474.65	67.79%	32.21%	-32.59	3-1
2023-05-30	Indiana Fever	W 81-78	1585.79	1370.96	78.92%	21.08%	+4.39	4-1
2023-06-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 89-84	1590.18	1422.14	70.76%	29.24%	+7.86	5-1
2023-06-04	Dallas Wings	W 80-74	1598.04	1512.75	63.98%	36.02%	+10.61	6-1
2023-06-06	Las Vegas Aces	L 84-90	1608.65	1669.10	43.42%	56.58%	-12.79	6-2
2023-06-08	Las Vegas Aces	W 94-77	1595.86	1681.88	39.85%	60.15%	+29.81	7-2
2023-06-11	@ Atlanta Dream	W 89-77	1625.67	1441.18	72.68%	27.32%	+11.38	8-2
2023-06-15	Atlanta Dream	L 88-92	1637.05	1452.02	75.92%	24.08%	-18.26	8-3
2023-06-18	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-74	1618.79	1487.13	66.25%	33.75%	+12.17	9-3
2023-06-20	@ Seattle Storm	W 85-79	1630.96	1467.43	70.23%	29.77%	+8.77	10-3
2023-06-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 89-68	1639.73	1451.87	73.07%	26.93%	+14.84	11-3
2023-06-25	Chicago Sky	W 96-72	1654.57	1468.51	76.03%	23.97%	+14.11	12-3
2023-06-27	New York Liberty	L 81-89	1668.68	1584.11	63.88%	36.12%	-21.72	12-4
2023-07-01	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 84-102	1646.96	1730.15	36.30%	63.70%	-18.51	12-5
2023-07-06	Seattle Storm	W 93-73	1628.45	1412.72	79.00%	21.00%	+11.28	13-5
2023-07-09	Washington Mystics	W 92-84	1639.73	1535.63	66.43%	33.57%	+11.42	14-5
2023-07-12	@ Chicago Sky	W 84-72	1651.15	1458.32	73.63%	26.37%	+10.98	15-5
2023-07-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-72	1662.13	1339.47	85.50%	14.50%	-25.17	15-6
2023-07-20	Atlanta Dream	W 82-71	1636.96	1552.72	63.84%	36.16%	+14.41	16-6
2023-07-22	@ Atlanta Dream	W 86-78	1651.37	1538.30	63.82%	36.18%	+12.30	17-6
2023-07-25	@ Dallas Wings	W 88-83	1663.67	1585.87	59.01%	40.99%	+11.02	18-6
2023-07-30	Minnesota Lynx	L 83-87	1674.69	1475.80	77.35%	22.65%	-18.60	18-7
2023-08-01	Minnesota Lynx	W 79-69	1656.09	1494.40	73.38%	26.62%	+10.12	19-7
2023-08-04	@ Indiana Fever	W 88-72	1666.21	1308.22	87.84%	12.16%	+5.85	20-7
2023-08-08	@ Seattle Storm	W 81-69	1672.06	1399.80	81.52%	18.48%	+7.69	21-7
2023-08-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 84-90	1679.75	1394.01	82.66%	17.34%	-24.33	21-8
2023-08-12	@ Dallas Wings	L 81-91	1655.42	1528.41	65.65%	34.35%	-24.96	21-9
2023-08-18	Dallas Wings	L 75-95	1630.46	1553.36	62.88%	37.12%	-33.80	21-10
2023-08-20	@ Chicago Sky	W 79-73	1596.66	1423.00	71.43%	28.57%	+8.41	22-10
2023-08-22	@ Washington Mystics	W 68-64	1605.07	1419.34	72.83%	27.17%	+6.54	23-10
2023-08-24	New York Liberty	L 90-95	1611.61	1701.75	39.28%	60.72%	-10.56	23-11
2023-08-27	Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-68	1601.05	1484.73	67.98%	32.02%	+14.90	24-11
2023-08-31	Phoenix Mercury	W 84-74	1615.95	1319.76	85.67%	14.33%	+5.45	25-11
2023-09-01	@ New York Liberty	L 58-89	1621.40	1746.16	30.97%	69.03%	-20.73	25-12
2023-09-05	Los Angeles Sparks	W 90-76	1600.67	1455.41	71.49%	28.51%	+12.82	26-12
2023-09-08	Indiana Fever	W 76-59	1613.49	1356.46	82.68%	17.32%	+8.59	27-12
2023-09-10	Chicago Sky	L 91-102	1622.08	1489.41	69.99%	30.01%	-27.91	27-13
2023-05-20	Atlanta Dream	W 85-78	1494.57	1448.99	58.56%	41.44%	+13.18	1-0
2023-05-26	@ Seattle Storm	W 95-91	1507.75	1506.49	48.10%	51.90%	+12.48	2-0
2023-05-28	@ Chicago Sky	L 88-94	1520.23	1575.74	40.06%	59.94%	-11.80	2-1
2023-05-30	Minnesota Lynx	W 94-89	1508.43	1432.15	62.77%	37.23%	+10.01	3-1
2023-06-02	@ Washington Mystics	L 74-75	1518.44	1522.94	47.27%	52.73%	-5.69	3-2
2023-06-04	@ Connecticut Sun	L 74-80	1512.75	1598.04	36.02%	63.98%	-10.60	3-3
2023-06-07	Phoenix Mercury	W 84-79	1502.15	1438.33	61.08%	38.92%	+10.46	4-3
2023-06-09	Phoenix Mercury	W 90-77	1512.61	1427.87	63.90%	36.10%	+15.64	5-3
2023-06-11	@ New York Liberty	L 93-102	1528.25	1544.76	45.55%	54.45%	-16.42	5-4
2023-06-14	Los Angeles Sparks	L 61-79	1511.83	1474.61	57.38%	42.62%	-29.27	5-5
2023-06-17	Seattle Storm	L 103-109	1482.56	1450.75	56.62%	43.38%	-16.67	5-6
2023-06-20	Atlanta Dream	W 85-73	1465.89	1483.04	49.62%	50.38%	+20.98	6-6
2023-06-23	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-76	1486.87	1457.95	52.08%	47.92%	-8.85	6-7
2023-06-25	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-93	1478.02	1466.80	49.53%	50.47%	-18.83	6-8
2023-06-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 77-62	1459.19	1338.90	64.77%	35.23%	+16.40	7-8
2023-07-02	Washington Mystics	W 89-72	1475.59	1556.23	40.59%	59.41%	+29.44	8-8
2023-07-05	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 82-89	1505.03	1748.66	18.46%	81.54%	-5.87	8-9
2023-07-07	Las Vegas Aces	W 80-78	1499.16	1754.53	19.99%	80.01%	+13.60	9-9
2023-07-09	@ Indiana Fever	W 77-76	1512.76	1350.90	70.02%	29.98%	+3.61	10-9
2023-07-12	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 107-67	1516.37	1488.36	51.95%	48.05%	+36.53	11-9
2023-07-19	@ New York Liberty	W 98-88	1552.90	1619.19	38.58%	61.42%	+23.34	12-9
2023-07-22	Los Angeles Sparks	W 98-84	1576.24	1364.85	78.59%	21.41%	+9.63	13-9
2023-07-25	Connecticut Sun	L 83-88	1585.87	1663.67	40.99%	59.01%	-11.01	13-10
2023-07-28	Washington Mystics	W 90-62	1574.86	1496.98	62.99%	37.01%	+23.54	14-10
2023-07-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 91-104	1598.40	1781.97	24.23%	75.77%	-10.50	14-11
2023-08-02	@ Seattle Storm	W 76-65	1587.90	1395.27	73.60%	26.40%	+10.52	15-11
2023-08-04	Chicago Sky	L 89-104	1598.42	1431.26	73.99%	26.01%	-34.45	15-12
2023-08-06	Chicago Sky	L 96-104	1563.97	1465.70	65.68%	34.32%	-22.33	15-13
2023-08-08	Las Vegas Aces	L 84-104	1541.64	1750.49	24.62%	75.38%	-13.23	15-14
2023-08-12	Connecticut Sun	W 91-81	1528.41	1655.42	34.35%	65.65%	+24.95	16-14
2023-08-18	@ Connecticut Sun	W 95-75	1553.36	1630.46	37.12%	62.88%	+33.81	17-14
2023-08-20	@ Washington Mystics	W 97-84	1587.17	1432.73	69.12%	30.88%	+13.38	18-14
2023-08-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 86-91	1600.55	1441.66	69.66%	30.34%	-18.72	18-15
2023-08-24	Minnesota Lynx	L 81-90	1581.83	1460.38	68.62%	31.38%	-24.75	18-16
2023-08-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 77-74	1557.08	1341.84	76.05%	23.95%	+4.99	19-16
2023-09-01	@ Indiana Fever	W 110-100	1562.07	1358.02	74.86%	25.14%	+9.55	20-16
2023-09-03	Indiana Fever	L 84-97	1571.62	1348.46	79.70%	20.30%	-34.54	20-17
2023-09-05	New York Liberty	L 93-94	1537.08	1774.57	21.69%	78.31%	-2.61	20-18
2023-09-08	Seattle Storm	W 106-91	1534.47	1377.32	72.87%	27.13%	+12.63	21-18
2023-09-10	@ Atlanta Dream	W 94-77	1547.10	1474.47	58.29%	41.71%	+20.67	22-18
2023-05-19	Connecticut Sun	L 61-70	1384.73	1584.48	25.61%	74.39%	-9.23	0-1
2023-05-21	@ New York Liberty	L 73-90	1375.50	1456.52	36.59%	63.41%	-18.14	0-2
2023-05-28	@ Atlanta Dream	W 90-87	1357.36	1453.02	34.66%	65.34%	+13.60	1-2
2023-05-30	@ Connecticut Sun	L 78-81	1370.96	1585.79	21.08%	78.92%	-4.39	1-3
2023-06-04	Las Vegas Aces	L 80-84	1366.57	1665.18	16.31%	83.69%	-3.92	1-4
2023-06-06	@ Chicago Sky	L 103-108	1362.65	1557.94	23.01%	76.99%	-6.18	1-5
2023-06-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 71-69	1356.47	1425.80	38.17%	61.83%	+10.51	2-5
2023-06-11	Phoenix Mercury	L 82-85	1366.98	1412.23	45.58%	54.42%	-9.49	2-6
2023-06-13	Washington Mystics	W 87-66	1357.49	1543.75	27.11%	72.89%	+40.15	3-6
2023-06-15	@ Chicago Sky	W 92-90	1397.64	1521.22	31.12%	68.88%	+11.71	4-6
2023-06-18	Atlanta Dream	L 94-100	1409.35	1470.27	43.36%	56.64%	-12.77	4-7
2023-06-22	@ Seattle Storm	W 80-68	1396.58	1458.66	39.16%	60.84%	+25.34	5-7
2023-06-24	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 88-101	1421.92	1702.10	15.50%	84.50%	-6.72	5-8
2023-06-26	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 80-88	1415.20	1708.82	14.51%	85.49%	-4.93	5-9
2023-06-29	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 63-85	1410.27	1322.50	60.39%	39.61%	-34.05	5-10
2023-07-02	Chicago Sky	L 87-89	1376.22	1495.66	35.34%	64.66%	-6.01	5-11
2023-07-05	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 83-90	1370.21	1479.44	32.91%	67.09%	-10.47	5-12
2023-07-07	@ Washington Mystics	L 88-96	1359.74	1526.79	26.02%	73.98%	-8.84	5-13
2023-07-09	Dallas Wings	L 76-77	1350.90	1512.76	29.98%	70.02%	-3.61	5-14
2023-07-12	New York Liberty	L 87-95	1347.29	1612.70	19.09%	80.91%	-6.48	5-15
2023-07-19	@ Washington Mystics	W 82-76	1340.81	1533.94	23.23%	76.77%	+22.60	6-15
2023-07-23	@ New York Liberty	L 83-101	1363.41	1610.29	18.18%	81.82%	-9.27	6-16
2023-07-25	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 78-79	1354.14	1355.22	47.76%	52.24%	-5.74	6-17
2023-07-27	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-81	1348.40	1360.96	46.12%	53.88%	-19.99	6-18
2023-07-30	Seattle Storm	L 62-85	1328.41	1368.58	46.31%	53.69%	-26.69	6-19
2023-08-01	Phoenix Mercury	W 72-71	1301.72	1345.08	45.85%	54.15%	+6.50	7-19
2023-08-04	Connecticut Sun	L 72-88	1308.22	1666.21	12.16%	87.84%	-5.84	7-20
2023-08-06	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-82	1302.38	1487.94	24.02%	75.98%	-8.66	7-21
2023-08-08	Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-87	1293.72	1383.76	39.29%	60.71%	-12.50	7-22
2023-08-10	Minnesota Lynx	W 91-73	1281.22	1491.80	24.44%	75.56%	+38.53	8-22
2023-08-13	New York Liberty	L 89-100	1319.75	1704.66	10.60%	89.40%	-4.22	8-23
2023-08-18	Washington Mystics	L 79-83	1315.53	1423.88	36.81%	63.19%	-8.85	8-24
2023-08-20	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 83-73	1306.68	1389.67	36.33%	63.67%	+24.20	9-24
2023-08-24	Seattle Storm	W 90-86	1330.88	1401.54	41.99%	58.01%	+13.95	10-24
2023-08-27	Atlanta Dream	W 83-80	1344.83	1454.47	36.64%	63.36%	+13.19	11-24
2023-09-01	Dallas Wings	L 100-110	1358.02	1562.07	25.14%	74.86%	-9.56	11-25
2023-09-03	@ Dallas Wings	W 97-84	1348.46	1571.62	20.30%	79.70%	+34.55	12-25
2023-09-05	Chicago Sky	L 69-96	1383.01	1450.02	42.50%	57.50%	-26.55	12-26
2023-09-08	@ Connecticut Sun	L 59-76	1356.46	1613.49	17.32%	82.68%	-8.58	12-27
2023-09-10	Minnesota Lynx	W 87-72	1347.88	1462.89	35.92%	64.08%	+29.83	13-27
2023-05-20	@ Seattle Storm	W 105-64	1582.48	1542.11	53.72%	46.28%	+35.62	1-0
2023-05-25	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 94-85	1618.10	1466.76	68.74%	31.26%	+11.27	2-0
2023-05-27	Los Angeles Sparks	W 93-65	1629.37	1455.49	74.73%	25.27%	+16.08	3-0
2023-05-28	Minnesota Lynx	W 94-73	1645.45	1444.51	77.56%	22.44%	+12.36	4-0
2023-06-02	@ Atlanta Dream	W 92-87	1657.81	1474.26	72.58%	27.42%	+7.37	5-0
2023-06-04	@ Indiana Fever	W 84-80	1665.18	1366.57	83.69%	16.31%	+3.92	6-0
2023-06-06	@ Connecticut Sun	W 90-84	1669.10	1608.65	56.58%	43.42%	+12.78	7-0
2023-06-08	@ Connecticut Sun	L 77-94	1681.88	1595.86	60.15%	39.85%	-29.81	7-1
2023-06-11	Chicago Sky	W 93-80	1652.07	1535.06	68.07%	31.93%	+13.84	8-1
2023-06-15	Seattle Storm	W 96-63	1665.91	1466.35	77.42%	22.58%	+15.59	9-1
2023-06-18	Minnesota Lynx	W 93-62	1681.50	1447.79	80.67%	19.33%	+12.94	10-1
2023-06-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 99-79	1694.44	1368.30	85.74%	14.26%	+7.66	11-1
2023-06-24	Indiana Fever	W 101-88	1702.10	1421.92	84.50%	15.50%	+6.72	12-1
2023-06-26	Indiana Fever	W 88-80	1708.82	1415.20	85.49%	14.51%	+4.93	13-1
2023-06-29	New York Liberty	W 98-81	1713.75	1605.83	66.92%	33.08%	+16.40	14-1
2023-07-01	Connecticut Sun	W 102-84	1730.15	1646.96	63.70%	36.30%	+18.51	15-1
2023-07-05	Dallas Wings	W 89-82	1748.66	1505.03	81.54%	18.46%	+5.87	16-1
2023-07-07	@ Dallas Wings	L 78-80	1754.53	1499.16	80.01%	19.99%	-13.60	16-2
2023-07-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 113-89	1740.93	1500.99	78.55%	21.45%	+12.63	17-2
2023-07-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 98-72	1753.56	1344.39	91.97%	8.03%	+4.92	18-2
2023-07-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 97-78	1758.48	1378.58	89.12%	10.88%	+5.70	19-2
2023-07-20	@ Seattle Storm	W 79-63	1764.18	1375.48	89.61%	10.39%	+5.00	20-2
2023-07-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 98-81	1769.18	1447.00	85.46%	14.54%	+7.20	21-2
2023-07-25	@ Chicago Sky	W 107-95	1776.38	1438.04	86.58%	13.42%	+5.59	22-2
2023-07-30	Dallas Wings	W 104-91	1781.97	1598.40	75.77%	24.23%	+10.50	23-2
2023-08-01	Atlanta Dream	W 93-72	1792.47	1536.88	82.56%	17.44%	+9.61	24-2
2023-08-06	@ New York Liberty	L 61-99	1802.08	1643.47	69.63%	30.37%	-51.59	24-3
2023-08-08	@ Dallas Wings	W 104-84	1750.49	1541.64	75.38%	24.62%	+13.23	25-3
2023-08-11	Washington Mystics	W 113-89	1763.72	1412.64	89.13%	10.87%	+6.40	26-3
2023-08-13	Atlanta Dream	W 86-65	1770.12	1464.72	86.31%	13.69%	+7.54	27-3
2023-08-17	New York Liberty	W 88-75	1777.66	1708.89	61.76%	38.24%	+16.58	28-3
2023-08-19	Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-78	1794.24	1420.61	90.33%	9.67%	-26.60	28-4
2023-08-22	@ Atlanta Dream	W 112-100	1767.64	1475.37	83.19%	16.81%	+7.00	29-4
2023-08-24	@ Chicago Sky	W 94-87	1774.64	1443.53	86.09%	13.91%	+4.42	30-4
2023-08-26	@ Washington Mystics	L 62-78	1779.06	1412.81	88.34%	11.66%	-42.47	30-5
2023-08-28	@ New York Liberty	L 85-94	1736.59	1728.46	49.09%	50.91%	-17.70	30-6
2023-08-31	Washington Mystics	W 84-75	1718.89	1475.17	81.55%	18.45%	+6.65	31-6
2023-09-02	Seattle Storm	W 103-77	1725.54	1401.21	87.55%	12.45%	+7.63	32-6
2023-09-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 94-73	1733.17	1283.94	92.43%	7.57%	+4.17	33-6
2023-09-10	Phoenix Mercury	W 100-85	1737.34	1279.77	93.80%	6.20%	+2.89	34-6
2023-05-19	Phoenix Mercury	W 94-71	1435.76	1476.55	46.22%	53.78%	+31.00	1-0
2023-05-25	Las Vegas Aces	L 85-94	1466.76	1618.10	31.26%	68.74%	-11.27	1-1
2023-05-27	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 65-93	1455.49	1629.37	25.27%	74.73%	-16.08	1-2
2023-06-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 99-93	1439.41	1454.30	45.78%	54.22%	+15.97	2-2
2023-06-03	Seattle Storm	W 92-85	1455.38	1476.95	48.98%	51.02%	+16.22	3-2
2023-06-06	@ Seattle Storm	L 63-66	1471.60	1460.73	49.48%	50.52%	-10.30	3-3
2023-06-09	Chicago Sky	W 77-62	1461.30	1564.13	37.55%	62.45%	+29.07	4-3
2023-06-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 86-91	1490.37	1415.29	58.63%	41.37%	-15.76	4-4
2023-06-14	@ Dallas Wings	W 79-61	1474.61	1511.83	42.62%	57.38%	+29.27	5-4
2023-06-16	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-77	1503.88	1431.05	62.31%	37.69%	-16.75	5-5
2023-06-18	Connecticut Sun	L 74-83	1487.13	1618.79	33.75%	66.25%	-12.17	5-6
2023-06-20	Minnesota Lynx	L 61-67	1474.96	1434.86	57.79%	42.21%	-17.01	5-7
2023-06-23	Dallas Wings	W 76-74	1457.95	1486.87	47.92%	52.08%	+8.85	6-7
2023-06-25	Dallas Wings	W 93-83	1466.80	1478.02	50.47%	49.53%	+18.83	7-7
2023-06-28	@ Chicago Sky	L 63-80	1485.63	1454.40	52.41%	47.59%	-25.98	7-8
2023-06-30	@ Chicago Sky	L 78-86	1459.65	1480.37	44.95%	55.05%	-15.28	7-9
2023-07-02	@ Atlanta Dream	L 84-112	1444.37	1436.75	49.01%	50.99%	-31.17	7-10
2023-07-05	Atlanta Dream	L 79-90	1413.20	1467.92	44.23%	55.77%	-17.64	7-11
2023-07-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-78	1395.56	1327.42	57.66%	42.34%	-16.98	7-12
2023-07-12	Las Vegas Aces	L 78-97	1378.58	1758.48	10.88%	89.12%	-5.69	7-13
2023-07-20	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-73	1372.89	1438.97	38.61%	61.39%	-8.04	7-14
2023-07-22	@ Dallas Wings	L 84-98	1364.85	1576.24	21.41%	78.59%	-9.63	7-15
2023-07-25	Indiana Fever	W 79-78	1355.22	1354.14	52.24%	47.76%	+5.74	8-15
2023-07-27	Indiana Fever	W 81-68	1360.96	1348.40	53.88%	46.12%	+19.98	9-15
2023-07-30	New York Liberty	L 79-87	1380.94	1617.50	21.78%	78.22%	-7.40	9-16
2023-08-01	New York Liberty	L 69-76	1373.54	1624.91	20.36%	79.64%	-6.48	9-17
2023-08-04	@ Washington Mystics	L 77-79	1367.06	1460.48	34.95%	65.05%	-5.94	9-18
2023-08-06	@ Washington Mystics	W 91-83	1361.12	1466.42	33.41%	66.59%	+22.64	10-18
2023-08-08	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-80	1383.76	1293.72	60.71%	39.29%	+12.49	11-18
2023-08-12	Atlanta Dream	W 85-74	1396.25	1489.07	38.91%	61.09%	+24.36	12-18
2023-08-19	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 78-72	1420.61	1794.24	9.67%	90.33%	+26.59	13-18
2023-08-23	Phoenix Mercury	W 91-62	1447.20	1365.47	63.50%	36.50%	+23.63	14-18
2023-08-25	@ Atlanta Dream	W 83-78	1470.83	1468.37	48.27%	51.73%	+13.90	15-18
2023-08-27	@ Connecticut Sun	L 68-83	1484.73	1601.05	32.02%	67.98%	-14.91	15-19
2023-08-29	Chicago Sky	L 75-76	1469.82	1451.12	54.76%	45.24%	-6.58	15-20
2023-08-31	Seattle Storm	L 61-72	1463.24	1375.58	64.29%	35.71%	-25.63	15-21
2023-09-03	Washington Mystics	W 72-64	1437.61	1468.52	47.64%	52.36%	+17.80	16-21
2023-09-05	@ Connecticut Sun	L 76-90	1455.41	1600.67	28.51%	71.49%	-12.82	16-22
2023-09-07	@ New York Liberty	L 89-96	1442.59	1777.17	11.82%	88.18%	-3.76	16-23
2023-09-10	@ Seattle Storm	W 91-89	1438.83	1364.69	58.50%	41.50%	+7.06	17-23
2023-05-19	Chicago Sky	L 66-77	1497.68	1559.14	43.28%	56.72%	-17.26	0-1
2023-05-23	Atlanta Dream	L 77-83	1480.42	1435.82	58.42%	41.58%	-17.20	0-2
2023-05-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 81-90	1463.22	1435.58	51.89%	48.11%	-18.71	0-3
2023-05-28	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 73-94	1444.51	1645.45	22.44%	77.56%	-12.36	0-4
2023-05-30	@ Dallas Wings	L 89-94	1432.15	1508.43	37.23%	62.77%	-10.01	0-5
2023-06-01	Connecticut Sun	L 84-89	1422.14	1590.18	29.24%	70.76%	-7.86	0-6
2023-06-03	@ Washington Mystics	W 80-78	1414.28	1528.62	32.27%	67.73%	+11.52	1-6
2023-06-09	Indiana Fever	L 69-71	1425.80	1356.47	61.83%	38.17%	-10.51	1-7
2023-06-11	Los Angeles Sparks	W 91-86	1415.29	1490.37	41.37%	58.63%	+15.76	2-7
2023-06-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 77-72	1431.05	1503.88	37.69%	62.31%	+16.74	3-7
2023-06-18	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 62-93	1447.79	1681.50	19.33%	80.67%	-12.93	3-8
2023-06-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 67-61	1434.86	1474.96	42.21%	57.79%	+17.01	4-8
2023-06-22	Connecticut Sun	L 68-89	1451.87	1639.73	26.93%	73.07%	-14.83	4-9
2023-06-27	Seattle Storm	W 104-93	1437.04	1455.06	49.49%	50.51%	+20.13	5-9
2023-06-29	@ Seattle Storm	W 99-97	1457.17	1434.93	51.12%	48.88%	+8.31	6-9
2023-07-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 86-76	1465.48	1356.55	63.27%	36.73%	+13.96	7-9
2023-07-05	Indiana Fever	W 90-83	1479.44	1370.21	67.09%	32.91%	+10.47	8-9
2023-07-07	Phoenix Mercury	W 75-64	1489.91	1338.49	72.21%	27.79%	+11.08	9-9
2023-07-09	Las Vegas Aces	L 89-113	1500.99	1740.93	21.45%	78.55%	-12.63	9-10
2023-07-12	Dallas Wings	L 67-107	1488.36	1516.37	48.05%	51.95%	-36.54	9-11
2023-07-18	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-82	1451.82	1539.86	35.66%	64.34%	-12.85	9-12
2023-07-20	Los Angeles Sparks	W 73-70	1438.97	1372.89	61.39%	38.61%	+8.03	10-12
2023-07-22	Las Vegas Aces	L 81-98	1447.00	1769.18	14.54%	85.46%	-7.20	10-13
2023-07-26	Washington Mystics	W 97-92	1439.80	1512.66	41.68%	58.32%	+15.67	11-13
2023-07-28	@ New York Liberty	W 88-83	1455.47	1637.83	24.36%	75.64%	+20.33	12-13
2023-07-30	@ Connecticut Sun	W 87-83	1475.80	1674.69	22.65%	77.35%	+18.60	13-13
2023-08-01	@ Connecticut Sun	L 69-79	1494.40	1656.09	26.62%	73.38%	-10.12	13-14
2023-08-04	New York Liberty	L 66-76	1484.28	1631.38	31.79%	68.21%	-12.08	13-15
2023-08-08	@ Chicago Sky	W 88-79	1472.20	1488.03	45.65%	54.35%	+19.60	14-15
2023-08-10	@ Indiana Fever	L 73-91	1491.80	1281.22	75.56%	24.44%	-38.54	14-16
2023-08-18	@ Seattle Storm	W 78-70	1453.26	1418.87	52.86%	47.14%	+16.03	15-16
2023-08-20	Seattle Storm	L 74-88	1469.29	1402.84	61.44%	38.56%	-27.63	15-17
2023-08-22	Dallas Wings	W 91-86	1441.66	1600.55	30.34%	69.66%	+18.72	16-17
2023-08-24	@ Dallas Wings	W 90-81	1460.38	1581.83	31.38%	68.62%	+24.75	17-17
2023-08-26	New York Liberty	L 76-111	1485.13	1712.31	22.72%	77.28%	-16.16	17-18
2023-08-29	@ Washington Mystics	L 72-83	1468.97	1455.28	49.89%	50.11%	-19.89	17-19
2023-09-01	Atlanta Dream	W 91-85	1449.08	1458.37	50.75%	49.25%	+14.51	18-19
2023-09-03	Phoenix Mercury	W 86-73	1463.59	1314.32	71.96%	28.04%	+12.15	19-19
2023-09-08	@ Chicago Sky	L 87-92	1475.74	1476.56	47.80%	52.20%	-12.85	19-20
2023-09-10	@ Indiana Fever	L 72-87	1462.89	1347.88	64.08%	35.92%	-29.83	19-21
2023-05-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 64-80	1476.83	1516.69	42.24%	57.76%	-20.31	0-1
2023-05-21	Indiana Fever	W 90-73	1456.52	1375.50	63.41%	36.59%	+18.13	1-1
2023-05-27	Connecticut Sun	W 81-65	1474.65	1618.38	32.21%	67.79%	+32.59	2-1
2023-05-30	@ Seattle Storm	W 86-78	1507.24	1494.01	49.82%	50.18%	+17.06	3-1
2023-06-02	@ Chicago Sky	W 77-76	1524.30	1552.68	43.86%	56.14%	+6.75	4-1
2023-06-04	Chicago Sky	L 82-86	1531.05	1545.94	49.94%	50.06%	-12.00	4-2
2023-06-09	@ Atlanta Dream	W 106-83	1519.05	1466.89	55.40%	44.60%	+25.71	5-2
2023-06-11	Dallas Wings	W 102-93	1544.76	1528.25	54.45%	45.55%	+16.42	6-2
2023-06-13	Atlanta Dream	L 79-86	1561.18	1429.81	69.84%	30.16%	-22.21	6-3
2023-06-18	Phoenix Mercury	W 89-71	1538.97	1382.16	72.83%	27.17%	+13.86	7-3
2023-06-23	@ Atlanta Dream	W 110-80	1552.83	1462.06	60.81%	39.19%	+25.80	8-3
2023-06-25	Washington Mystics	W 89-88	1578.63	1562.20	54.44%	45.56%	+5.48	9-3
2023-06-27	@ Connecticut Sun	W 89-81	1584.11	1668.68	36.12%	63.88%	+21.72	10-3
2023-06-29	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 81-98	1605.83	1713.75	33.08%	66.92%	-16.40	10-4
2023-07-02	@ Seattle Storm	W 81-66	1589.43	1426.62	70.14%	29.86%	+13.90	11-4
2023-07-05	Phoenix Mercury	W 99-95	1603.33	1342.59	82.98%	17.02%	+4.10	12-4
2023-07-08	Seattle Storm	W 80-76	1607.43	1401.43	78.06%	21.94%	+5.27	13-4
2023-07-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 95-87	1612.70	1347.29	80.91%	19.09%	+6.49	14-4
2023-07-19	Dallas Wings	L 88-98	1619.19	1552.90	61.42%	38.58%	-23.35	14-5
2023-07-21	@ Washington Mystics	W 96-87	1595.84	1511.34	59.94%	40.06%	+14.45	15-5
2023-07-23	Indiana Fever	W 101-83	1610.29	1363.41	81.82%	18.18%	+9.27	16-5
2023-07-25	Seattle Storm	W 86-82	1619.56	1349.34	83.74%	16.26%	+3.91	17-5
2023-07-27	Atlanta Dream	W 95-84	1623.47	1538.28	63.96%	36.04%	+14.36	18-5
2023-07-28	Minnesota Lynx	L 83-88	1637.83	1455.47	75.64%	24.36%	-20.33	18-6
2023-07-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 87-79	1617.50	1380.94	78.22%	21.78%	+7.41	19-6
2023-08-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-69	1624.91	1373.54	79.64%	20.36%	+6.47	20-6
2023-08-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 76-66	1631.38	1484.28	68.21%	31.79%	+12.09	21-6
2023-08-06	Las Vegas Aces	W 99-61	1643.47	1802.08	30.37%	69.63%	+51.59	22-6
2023-08-11	Chicago Sky	W 89-73	1695.06	1468.43	80.03%	19.97%	+9.60	23-6
2023-08-13	@ Indiana Fever	W 100-89	1704.66	1319.75	89.40%	10.60%	+4.23	24-6
2023-08-17	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 75-88	1708.89	1777.66	38.24%	61.76%	-16.58	24-7
2023-08-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-63	1692.31	1399.11	83.26%	16.74%	+9.44	25-7
2023-08-24	@ Connecticut Sun	W 95-90	1701.75	1611.61	60.72%	39.28%	+10.56	26-7
2023-08-26	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 111-76	1712.31	1485.13	77.28%	22.72%	+16.15	27-7
2023-08-28	Las Vegas Aces	W 94-85	1728.46	1736.59	50.91%	49.09%	+17.70	28-7
2023-09-01	Connecticut Sun	W 89-58	1746.16	1621.40	69.03%	30.97%	+20.73	29-7
2023-09-03	@ Chicago Sky	W 86-69	1766.89	1457.70	84.51%	15.49%	+7.68	30-7
2023-09-05	@ Dallas Wings	W 94-93	1774.57	1537.08	78.31%	21.69%	+2.60	31-7
2023-09-07	Los Angeles Sparks	W 96-89	1777.17	1442.59	88.18%	11.82%	+3.76	32-7
2023-09-10	Washington Mystics	L 88-90	1780.93	1454.60	87.67%	12.33%	-14.90	32-8
2023-05-19	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 71-94	1476.55	1435.76	53.78%	46.22%	-31.00	0-1
2023-05-21	Chicago Sky	L 69-75	1445.55	1576.39	33.85%	66.15%	-9.97	0-2
2023-05-25	Minnesota Lynx	W 90-81	1435.58	1463.22	48.11%	51.89%	+18.72	1-2
2023-06-02	Los Angeles Sparks	L 93-99	1454.30	1439.41	54.22%	45.78%	-15.97	1-3
2023-06-07	@ Dallas Wings	L 79-84	1438.33	1502.15	38.92%	61.08%	-10.46	1-4
2023-06-09	@ Dallas Wings	L 77-90	1427.87	1512.61	36.10%	63.90%	-15.64	1-5
2023-06-11	@ Indiana Fever	W 85-82	1412.23	1366.98	54.42%	45.58%	+9.49	2-5
2023-06-13	Seattle Storm	L 69-83	1421.72	1444.39	48.82%	51.18%	-21.96	2-6
2023-06-16	@ Washington Mystics	L 69-88	1399.76	1503.60	33.60%	66.40%	-17.60	2-7
2023-06-18	@ New York Liberty	L 71-89	1382.16	1538.97	27.17%	72.83%	-13.86	2-8
2023-06-21	Las Vegas Aces	L 79-99	1368.30	1694.44	14.26%	85.74%	-7.66	2-9
2023-06-24	@ Seattle Storm	L 74-97	1360.64	1433.33	37.71%	62.29%	-21.74	2-10
2023-06-27	Dallas Wings	L 62-77	1338.90	1459.19	35.23%	64.77%	-16.40	2-11
2023-06-29	Indiana Fever	W 85-63	1322.50	1410.27	39.61%	60.39%	+34.05	3-11
2023-07-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 76-86	1356.55	1465.48	36.73%	63.27%	-13.96	3-12
2023-07-05	@ New York Liberty	L 95-99	1342.59	1603.33	17.02%	82.98%	-4.10	3-13
2023-07-07	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 64-75	1338.49	1489.91	27.79%	72.21%	-11.07	3-14
2023-07-09	Los Angeles Sparks	W 78-72	1327.42	1395.56	42.34%	57.66%	+16.97	4-14
2023-07-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 72-98	1344.39	1753.56	8.03%	91.97%	-4.92	4-15
2023-07-18	Connecticut Sun	W 72-66	1339.47	1662.13	14.50%	85.50%	+25.18	5-15
2023-07-20	Chicago Sky	W 80-62	1364.65	1447.34	40.31%	59.69%	+30.44	6-15
2023-07-23	@ Washington Mystics	L 69-84	1395.09	1496.90	33.86%	66.14%	-15.77	6-16
2023-07-25	@ Atlanta Dream	L 65-78	1379.32	1526.00	28.34%	71.66%	-12.28	6-17
2023-07-30	@ Chicago Sky	L 85-104	1367.04	1409.30	41.91%	58.09%	-21.96	6-18
2023-08-01	@ Indiana Fever	L 71-72	1345.08	1301.72	54.15%	45.85%	-6.50	6-19
2023-08-03	Atlanta Dream	W 91-71	1338.58	1527.27	26.84%	73.16%	+39.32	7-19
2023-08-05	Seattle Storm	L 91-97	1377.90	1384.75	51.10%	48.90%	-15.04	7-20
2023-08-08	Washington Mystics	W 91-72	1362.86	1443.78	40.55%	59.45%	+31.15	8-20
2023-08-10	Connecticut Sun	W 90-84	1394.01	1679.75	17.34%	82.66%	+24.33	9-20
2023-08-13	@ Seattle Storm	L 71-81	1418.34	1399.63	50.61%	49.39%	-19.23	9-21
2023-08-18	New York Liberty	L 63-85	1399.11	1692.31	16.74%	83.26%	-9.44	9-22
2023-08-20	Indiana Fever	L 73-83	1389.67	1306.68	63.67%	36.33%	-24.20	9-23
2023-08-23	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 62-91	1365.47	1447.20	36.50%	63.50%	-23.63	9-24
2023-08-27	Dallas Wings	L 74-77	1341.84	1557.08	23.95%	76.05%	-4.98	9-25
2023-08-29	@ Atlanta Dream	L 76-94	1336.86	1441.27	33.53%	66.47%	-17.10	9-26
2023-08-31	@ Connecticut Sun	L 74-84	1319.76	1615.95	14.33%	85.67%	-5.44	9-27
2023-09-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 73-86	1314.32	1463.59	28.04%	71.96%	-12.16	9-28
2023-09-05	Washington Mystics	L 77-100	1302.16	1450.72	31.61%	68.39%	-18.22	9-29
2023-09-08	Las Vegas Aces	L 73-94	1283.94	1733.17	7.57%	92.43%	-4.17	9-30
2023-09-10	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 85-100	1279.77	1737.34	6.20%	93.80%	-2.88	9-31
2023-05-20	Las Vegas Aces	L 64-105	1542.11	1582.48	46.28%	53.72%	-35.62	0-1
2023-05-26	Dallas Wings	L 91-95	1506.49	1507.75	51.90%	48.10%	-12.48	0-2
2023-05-30	New York Liberty	L 78-86	1494.01	1507.24	50.18%	49.82%	-17.06	0-3
2023-06-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 85-92	1476.95	1455.38	51.02%	48.98%	-16.22	0-4
2023-06-06	Los Angeles Sparks	W 66-63	1460.73	1471.60	50.52%	49.48%	+10.30	1-4
2023-06-09	Washington Mystics	L 66-73	1471.03	1517.11	45.46%	54.54%	-14.46	1-5
2023-06-11	Washington Mystics	L 65-71	1456.57	1531.57	41.38%	58.62%	-12.18	1-6
2023-06-13	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 83-69	1444.39	1421.72	51.18%	48.82%	+21.96	2-6
2023-06-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 63-96	1466.35	1665.91	22.58%	77.42%	-15.60	2-7
2023-06-17	@ Dallas Wings	W 109-103	1450.75	1482.56	43.38%	56.62%	+16.68	3-7
2023-06-20	Connecticut Sun	L 79-85	1467.43	1630.96	29.77%	70.23%	-8.77	3-8
2023-06-22	Indiana Fever	L 68-80	1458.66	1396.58	60.84%	39.16%	-25.33	3-9
2023-06-24	Phoenix Mercury	W 97-74	1433.33	1360.64	62.29%	37.71%	+21.73	4-9
2023-06-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 93-104	1455.06	1437.04	50.51%	49.49%	-20.13	4-10
2023-06-29	Minnesota Lynx	L 97-99	1434.93	1457.17	48.88%	51.12%	-8.31	4-11
2023-07-02	New York Liberty	L 66-81	1426.62	1589.43	29.86%	70.14%	-13.90	4-12
2023-07-06	@ Connecticut Sun	L 73-93	1412.72	1628.45	21.00%	79.00%	-11.29	4-13
2023-07-08	@ New York Liberty	L 76-80	1401.43	1607.43	21.94%	78.06%	-5.27	4-14
2023-07-11	@ Washington Mystics	L 86-93	1396.16	1524.22	30.56%	69.44%	-9.72	4-15
2023-07-12	@ Atlanta Dream	L 75-85	1386.44	1528.90	28.83%	71.17%	-10.96	4-16
2023-07-20	Las Vegas Aces	L 63-79	1375.48	1764.18	10.39%	89.61%	-5.00	4-17
2023-07-22	Chicago Sky	L 75-90	1370.48	1416.90	45.42%	54.58%	-21.14	4-18
2023-07-25	@ New York Liberty	L 82-86	1349.34	1619.56	16.26%	83.74%	-3.91	4-19
2023-07-28	@ Chicago Sky	W 83-74	1345.43	1432.45	35.79%	64.21%	+23.15	5-19
2023-07-30	@ Indiana Fever	W 85-62	1368.58	1328.41	53.69%	46.31%	+26.69	6-19
2023-08-02	Dallas Wings	L 65-76	1395.27	1587.90	26.40%	73.60%	-10.52	6-20
2023-08-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 97-91	1384.75	1377.90	48.90%	51.10%	+15.05	7-20
2023-08-08	Connecticut Sun	L 69-81	1399.80	1672.06	18.48%	81.52%	-7.70	7-21
2023-08-10	Atlanta Dream	W 68-67	1392.10	1496.61	37.33%	62.67%	+7.53	8-21
2023-08-13	Phoenix Mercury	W 81-71	1399.63	1418.34	49.39%	50.61%	+19.24	9-21
2023-08-18	Minnesota Lynx	L 70-78	1418.87	1453.26	47.14%	52.86%	-16.03	9-22
2023-08-20	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 88-74	1402.84	1469.29	38.56%	61.44%	+27.64	10-22
2023-08-22	@ Chicago Sky	L 79-102	1430.48	1414.59	50.20%	49.80%	-28.94	10-23
2023-08-24	@ Indiana Fever	L 86-90	1401.54	1330.88	58.01%	41.99%	-13.95	10-24
2023-08-27	Chicago Sky	L 85-90	1387.59	1439.10	44.69%	55.31%	-12.01	10-25
2023-08-31	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 72-61	1375.58	1463.24	35.71%	64.29%	+25.63	11-25
2023-09-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 77-103	1401.21	1725.54	12.45%	87.55%	-7.63	11-26
2023-09-06	@ Atlanta Dream	L 68-79	1393.58	1443.87	40.78%	59.22%	-16.26	11-27
2023-09-08	@ Dallas Wings	L 91-106	1377.32	1534.47	27.13%	72.87%	-12.63	11-28
2023-09-10	Los Angeles Sparks	L 89-91	1364.69	1438.83	41.50%	58.50%	-7.06	11-29
2023-05-19	New York Liberty	W 80-64	1516.69	1476.83	57.76%	42.24%	+20.31	1-0
2023-05-21	@ Connecticut Sun	L 74-80	1537.00	1593.71	39.90%	60.10%	-11.75	1-1
2023-05-23	Connecticut Sun	L 81-88	1525.25	1605.46	40.65%	59.35%	-12.93	1-2
2023-05-26	@ Chicago Sky	W 71-69	1512.32	1586.36	37.53%	62.47%	+10.62	2-2
2023-06-02	Dallas Wings	W 75-74	1522.94	1518.44	52.73%	47.27%	+5.68	3-2
2023-06-03	Minnesota Lynx	L 78-80	1528.62	1414.28	67.73%	32.27%	-11.51	3-3
2023-06-09	@ Seattle Storm	W 73-66	1517.11	1471.03	54.54%	45.46%	+14.46	4-3
2023-06-11	@ Seattle Storm	W 71-65	1531.57	1456.57	58.62%	41.38%	+12.18	5-3
2023-06-13	@ Indiana Fever	L 66-87	1543.75	1357.49	72.89%	27.11%	-40.15	5-4
2023-06-16	Phoenix Mercury	W 88-69	1503.60	1399.76	66.40%	33.60%	+17.61	6-4
2023-06-18	Chicago Sky	W 77-69	1521.21	1509.51	53.76%	46.24%	+15.72	7-4
2023-06-22	@ Chicago Sky	W 80-59	1536.93	1493.79	54.12%	45.88%	+25.27	8-4
2023-06-25	@ New York Liberty	L 88-89	1562.20	1578.63	45.56%	54.44%	-5.47	8-5
2023-06-28	Atlanta Dream	W 109-86	1556.73	1436.25	68.50%	31.50%	+18.16	9-5
2023-06-30	@ Atlanta Dream	L 89-94	1574.89	1418.09	69.41%	30.59%	-18.66	9-6
2023-07-02	@ Dallas Wings	L 72-89	1556.23	1475.59	59.41%	40.59%	-29.44	9-7
2023-07-07	Indiana Fever	W 96-88	1526.79	1359.74	73.98%	26.02%	+8.84	10-7
2023-07-09	@ Connecticut Sun	L 84-92	1535.63	1639.73	33.57%	66.43%	-11.41	10-8
2023-07-11	Seattle Storm	W 93-86	1524.22	1396.16	69.44%	30.56%	+9.72	11-8
2023-07-19	Indiana Fever	L 76-82	1533.94	1340.81	76.77%	23.23%	-22.60	11-9
2023-07-21	New York Liberty	L 87-96	1511.34	1595.84	40.06%	59.94%	-14.44	11-10
2023-07-23	Phoenix Mercury	W 84-69	1496.90	1395.09	66.14%	33.86%	+15.76	12-10
2023-07-26	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 92-97	1512.66	1439.80	58.32%	41.68%	-15.68	12-11
2023-07-28	@ Dallas Wings	L 62-90	1496.98	1574.86	37.01%	62.99%	-23.54	12-12
2023-07-30	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-80	1473.44	1523.92	40.76%	59.24%	-12.96	12-13
2023-08-04	Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-77	1460.48	1367.06	65.05%	34.95%	+5.94	13-13
2023-08-06	Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-91	1466.42	1361.12	66.59%	33.41%	-22.64	13-14
2023-08-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-91	1443.78	1362.86	59.45%	40.55%	-31.14	13-15
2023-08-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 89-113	1412.64	1763.72	10.87%	89.13%	-6.40	13-16
2023-08-13	Chicago Sky	W 83-76	1406.24	1458.83	44.54%	55.46%	+17.64	14-16
2023-08-18	@ Indiana Fever	W 83-79	1423.88	1315.53	63.19%	36.81%	+8.85	15-16
2023-08-20	Dallas Wings	L 84-97	1432.73	1587.17	30.88%	69.12%	-13.39	15-17
2023-08-22	Connecticut Sun	L 64-68	1419.34	1605.07	27.17%	72.83%	-6.53	15-18
2023-08-26	Las Vegas Aces	W 78-62	1412.81	1779.06	11.66%	88.34%	+42.47	16-18
2023-08-29	Minnesota Lynx	W 83-72	1455.28	1468.97	50.11%	49.89%	+19.89	17-18
2023-08-31	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 75-84	1475.17	1718.89	18.45%	81.55%	-6.65	17-19
2023-09-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-72	1468.52	1437.61	52.36%	47.64%	-17.80	17-20
2023-09-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 100-77	1450.72	1302.16	68.39%	31.61%	+18.22	18-20
2023-09-08	Atlanta Dream	L 75-80	1468.94	1460.13	53.35%	46.65%	-14.34	18-21
2023-09-10	@ New York Liberty	W 90-88	1454.60	1780.93	12.33%	87.67%	+14.90	19-21

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2023-09-15	@ Dallas Wings	L 82-94	1453.80	1567.77	32.31%	67.69%	-13.46	0-1
2023-09-19	@ Dallas Wings	L 74-101	1440.34	1581.23	29.02%	70.98%	-18.12	0-2
2023-09-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 59-87	1517.31	1740.23	20.32%	79.68%	-12.92	0-1
2023-09-17	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 70-92	1504.39	1753.15	18.02%	81.98%	-10.16	0-2
2023-09-13	Minnesota Lynx	W 90-60	1594.17	1433.06	73.32%	26.68%	+17.57	1-0
2023-09-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 75-82	1611.74	1415.49	77.08%	22.92%	-24.51	1-1
2023-09-20	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 90-75	1587.23	1440.01	68.22%	31.78%	+14.79	2-1
2023-09-24	@ New York Liberty	W 78-63	1602.02	1776.29	25.23%	74.77%	+34.81	3-1
2023-09-26	@ New York Liberty	L 77-84	1636.83	1741.48	33.50%	66.50%	-10.65	3-2
2023-09-29	New York Liberty	L 81-92	1626.18	1752.13	34.49%	65.51%	-13.75	3-3
2023-10-01	New York Liberty	L 84-87	1612.43	1765.88	31.00%	69.00%	-6.46	3-4
2023-09-15	Atlanta Dream	W 94-82	1567.77	1453.80	67.69%	32.31%	+13.46	1-0
2023-09-19	Atlanta Dream	W 101-74	1581.23	1440.34	70.98%	29.02%	+18.12	2-0
2023-09-24	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 83-97	1599.35	1763.31	26.36%	73.64%	-11.85	2-1
2023-09-26	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 84-91	1587.50	1775.16	23.80%	76.20%	-7.57	2-2
2023-09-29	Las Vegas Aces	L 61-64	1579.93	1782.73	25.27%	74.73%	-5.27	2-3
2023-09-13	Chicago Sky	W 87-59	1740.23	1517.31	79.68%	20.32%	+12.92	1-0
2023-09-17	Chicago Sky	W 92-70	1753.15	1504.39	81.98%	18.02%	+10.16	2-0
2023-09-24	Dallas Wings	W 97-83	1763.31	1599.35	73.64%	26.36%	+11.85	3-0
2023-09-26	Dallas Wings	W 91-84	1775.16	1587.50	76.20%	23.80%	+7.57	4-0
2023-09-29	@ Dallas Wings	W 64-61	1782.73	1579.93	74.73%	25.27%	+5.26	5-0
2023-10-08	New York Liberty	W 99-82	1787.99	1772.33	54.33%	45.67%	+22.64	6-0
2023-10-11	New York Liberty	W 104-76	1810.63	1749.70	60.69%	39.31%	+25.01	7-0
2023-10-15	@ New York Liberty	L 73-87	1835.64	1724.69	63.54%	36.46%	-28.58	7-1
2023-10-18	@ New York Liberty	W 70-69	1807.06	1753.27	55.63%	44.37%	+5.33	8-1
2023-09-13	@ Connecticut Sun	L 60-90	1433.06	1594.17	26.68%	73.32%	-17.57	0-1
2023-09-17	@ Connecticut Sun	W 82-75	1415.49	1611.74	22.92%	77.08%	+24.52	1-1
2023-09-20	Connecticut Sun	L 75-90	1440.01	1587.23	31.78%	68.22%	-14.80	1-2
2023-09-15	Washington Mystics	W 90-75	1766.03	1469.50	85.70%	14.30%	+6.66	1-0
2023-09-19	Washington Mystics	W 90-85	1772.69	1462.84	86.61%	13.39%	+3.60	2-0
2023-09-24	Connecticut Sun	L 63-78	1776.29	1602.02	74.77%	25.23%	-34.81	2-1
2023-09-26	Connecticut Sun	W 84-77	1741.48	1636.83	66.50%	33.50%	+10.65	3-1
2023-09-29	@ Connecticut Sun	W 92-81	1752.13	1626.18	65.51%	34.49%	+13.75	4-1
2023-10-01	@ Connecticut Sun	W 87-84	1765.88	1612.43	69.00%	31.00%	+6.45	5-1
2023-10-08	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 82-99	1772.33	1787.99	45.67%	54.33%	-22.63	5-2
2023-10-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 76-104	1749.70	1810.63	39.31%	60.69%	-25.01	5-3
2023-10-15	Las Vegas Aces	W 87-73	1724.69	1835.64	36.46%	63.54%	+28.58	6-3
2023-10-18	Las Vegas Aces	L 69-70	1753.27	1807.06	44.37%	55.63%	-5.34	6-4
2023-09-15	@ New York Liberty	L 75-90	1469.50	1766.03	14.30%	85.70%	-6.66	0-1
2023-09-19	@ New York Liberty	L 85-90	1462.84	1772.69	13.39%	86.61%	-3.59	0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-08-19	9.67%	Los Angeles Sparks	1420.61	78	@ Las Vegas Aces	1794.24	72
2	2023-08-26	11.66%	@ Washington Mystics	1412.81	78	Las Vegas Aces	1779.06	62
3	2023-09-10	12.33%	Washington Mystics	1454.60	90	@ New York Liberty	1780.93	88
4	2023-07-18	14.50%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1339.47	72	Connecticut Sun	1662.13	66
5	2023-08-10	17.34%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1394.01	90	Connecticut Sun	1679.75	84
6	2023-07-07	19.99%	@ Dallas Wings	1499.16	80	Las Vegas Aces	1754.53	78
7	2023-09-03	20.30%	Indiana Fever	1348.46	97	@ Dallas Wings	1571.62	84
8	2023-07-30	22.65%	Minnesota Lynx	1475.80	87	@ Connecticut Sun	1674.69	83
9	2023-09-17 *	22.92%	Minnesota Lynx	1415.49	82	@ Connecticut Sun	1611.74	75
10	2023-07-19	23.23%	Indiana Fever	1340.81	82	@ Washington Mystics	1533.94	76
11	2023-06-15	24.08%	Atlanta Dream	1452.02	92	@ Connecticut Sun	1637.05	88
12	2023-07-28	24.36%	Minnesota Lynx	1455.47	88	@ New York Liberty	1637.83	83
13	2023-08-10	24.44%	@ Indiana Fever	1281.22	91	Minnesota Lynx	1491.80	73
14	2023-09-24 *	25.23%	Connecticut Sun	1602.02	78	@ New York Liberty	1776.29	63
15	2023-08-04	26.01%	Chicago Sky	1431.26	104	@ Dallas Wings	1598.42	89
16	2023-08-03	26.84%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1338.58	91	Atlanta Dream	1527.27	71
17	2023-06-13	27.11%	@ Indiana Fever	1357.49	87	Washington Mystics	1543.75	66
18	2023-09-10	30.01%	Chicago Sky	1489.41	102	@ Connecticut Sun	1622.08	91
19	2023-06-13	30.16%	Atlanta Dream	1429.81	86	@ New York Liberty	1561.18	79
20	2023-08-22	30.34%	@ Minnesota Lynx	1441.66	91	Dallas Wings	1600.55	86
21	2023-08-06	30.37%	@ New York Liberty	1643.47	99	Las Vegas Aces	1802.08	61
22	2023-06-30	30.59%	@ Atlanta Dream	1418.09	94	Washington Mystics	1574.89	89
23	2023-06-15	31.12%	Indiana Fever	1397.64	92	@ Chicago Sky	1521.22	90
24	2023-08-24	31.38%	Minnesota Lynx	1460.38	90	@ Dallas Wings	1581.83	81
25	2023-05-30	31.66%	@ Atlanta Dream	1439.41	83	Chicago Sky	1587.53	65

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2023-08-06	51.59	@ New York Liberty	99	1643.47	30.37%	Las Vegas Aces	61	1802.08	69.63%
2	2023-08-26	42.47	@ Washington Mystics	78	1412.81	11.66%	Las Vegas Aces	62	1779.06	88.34%
3	2023-06-13	40.15	@ Indiana Fever	87	1357.49	27.11%	Washington Mystics	66	1543.75	72.89%
4	2023-08-03	39.33	@ Phoenix Mercury	91	1338.58	26.84%	Atlanta Dream	71	1527.27	73.16%
5	2023-08-10	38.54	@ Indiana Fever	91	1281.22	24.44%	Minnesota Lynx	73	1491.80	75.56%
6	2023-07-12	36.54	Dallas Wings	107	1516.37	51.95%	@ Minnesota Lynx	67	1488.36	48.05%
7	2023-05-20	35.62	Las Vegas Aces	105	1582.48	53.72%	@ Seattle Storm	64	1542.11	46.28%
8	2023-05-30	34.85	@ Atlanta Dream	83	1439.41	31.66%	Chicago Sky	65	1587.53	68.34%
9	2023-09-24 *	34.81	Connecticut Sun	78	1602.02	25.23%	@ New York Liberty	63	1776.29	74.77%
10	2023-09-03	34.55	Indiana Fever	97	1348.46	20.30%	@ Dallas Wings	84	1571.62	79.70%
11	2023-08-04	34.45	Chicago Sky	104	1431.26	26.01%	@ Dallas Wings	89	1598.42	73.99%
12	2023-06-29	34.05	@ Phoenix Mercury	85	1322.50	39.61%	Indiana Fever	63	1410.27	60.39%
13	2023-08-18	33.81	Dallas Wings	95	1553.36	37.12%	@ Connecticut Sun	75	1630.46	62.88%
14	2023-05-27	32.59	@ New York Liberty	81	1474.65	32.21%	Connecticut Sun	65	1618.38	67.79%
15	2023-07-02	31.17	@ Atlanta Dream	112	1436.75	50.99%	Los Angeles Sparks	84	1444.37	49.01%
16	2023-08-08	31.15	@ Phoenix Mercury	91	1362.86	40.55%	Washington Mystics	72	1443.78	59.45%
17	2023-05-19	31.00	@ Los Angeles Sparks	94	1435.76	46.22%	Phoenix Mercury	71	1476.55	53.78%
18	2023-07-20	30.44	@ Phoenix Mercury	80	1364.65	40.31%	Chicago Sky	62	1447.34	59.69%
19	2023-09-10	29.83	@ Indiana Fever	87	1347.88	35.92%	Minnesota Lynx	72	1462.89	64.08%
20	2023-06-08	29.81	@ Connecticut Sun	94	1595.86	39.85%	Las Vegas Aces	77	1681.88	60.15%
21	2023-07-02	29.44	@ Dallas Wings	89	1475.59	40.59%	Washington Mystics	72	1556.23	59.41%
22	2023-06-14	29.27	Los Angeles Sparks	79	1474.61	42.62%	@ Dallas Wings	61	1511.83	57.38%
23	2023-06-09	29.07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	77	1461.30	37.55%	Chicago Sky	62	1564.13	62.45%
24	2023-08-22	28.94	@ Chicago Sky	102	1414.59	49.80%	Seattle Storm	79	1430.48	50.20%
25	2023-10-15 *	28.58	@ New York Liberty	87	1724.69	36.46%	Las Vegas Aces	73	1835.64	63.54%