2021 WNBA Season

192 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Chicago Sky

1st Title

Runner-Up

Phoenix Mercury

Last Appearance: 2014

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Lynx

3.69 wins above expected

22 wins · 18.31 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Seattle Storm

3.85 wins below expected

21 wins · 24.85 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Connecticut Sun League	26	6	.812	—	79.7	69.9	+9.8	22.54	+3.46
2	Las Vegas Aces Playoffs	24	8	.750	2	89.2	80.2	+9.1	21.94	+2.06
3	Minnesota Lynx Playoffs	22	10	.688	4	82.7	78.7	+4.0	18.31	+3.69
4	Seattle Storm Playoffs	21	11	.656	5	84.8	80.4	+4.4	24.85	-3.85
5	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	19	13	.594	7	82.1	79.5	+2.6	17.71	+1.29
6	Chicago Sky Playoffs	16	16	.500	10	83.2	81.9	+1.3	16.27	-0.27
7	Dallas Wings Playoffs	14	18	.438	12	81.1	81.7	-0.5	14.59	-0.59
8	New York Liberty Playoffs	12	20	.375	14	78.5	85.5	-7.0	9.51	+2.49
9	Los Angeles Sparks	12	20	.375	14	72.8	77.1	-4.3	13.93	-1.93
10	Washington Mystics	12	20	.375	14	79.8	83.6	-3.8	13.27	-1.27
11	Atlanta Dream	8	24	.250	18	78.7	84.3	-5.6	10.89	-2.89
12	Indiana Fever	6	26	.188	20	75.3	85.1	-9.8	8.19	-2.19

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Chicago Sky 81

Dallas Wings 64

Sep 23

Phoenix Mercury 83

New York Liberty 82

Sep 23

Second Round

Chicago Sky 89

Minnesota Lynx 76

Sep 26

Phoenix Mercury 85

Seattle Storm 80

Sep 26

Semifinals

Chicago Sky 3

Connecticut Sun 1

4 games · Sep 28–Oct 6

Phoenix Mercury 3

Las Vegas Aces 2

5 games · Sep 28–Oct 8

WNBA Finals

Chicago Sky 3

Phoenix Mercury 1

4 games · Oct 10–Oct 17

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Connecticut Sun	1765	26	22.54	+3.46	95.64%	14	19	21	23	24	26	31
Las Vegas Aces	1714	24	21.94	+2.06	85.27%	13	18	20	22	24	26	30
Minnesota Lynx	1643	22	18.31	+3.69	94.98%	9	14	17	18	20	23	28
Seattle Storm	1596	21	24.85	-3.85	7.57%	15	21	23	25	26	28	32
Phoenix Mercury	1586	19	17.71	+1.29	75.70%	8	13	16	18	19	22	27
Chicago Sky	1525	16	16.27	-0.27	53.38%	6	12	14	16	18	21	27
Dallas Wings	1447	14	14.59	-0.59	49.21%	4	10	13	15	16	19	24
Los Angeles Sparks	1428	12	13.93	-1.93	28.99%	5	10	12	14	16	18	23
Washington Mystics	1396	12	13.27	-1.27	38.61%	4	9	12	13	15	18	22
New York Liberty	1333	12	9.51	+2.49	88.43%	1	6	8	9	11	14	22
Atlanta Dream	1297	8	10.89	-2.89	17.24%	3	7	9	11	13	15	20
Indiana Fever	1270	6	8.19	-2.19	23.47%	0	4	7	8	10	12	17

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)
Chicago Sky	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	3-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.9 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	—	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.6 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.6 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)
Dallas Wings	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)
Indiana Fever	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-3 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (0.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	3-0 (2.6 exp.)	—	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-3 (0.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	3-0 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)
New York Liberty	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-3 (0.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Seattle Storm	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	0-3 (2.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.8 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.5 exp.)
Washington Mystics	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Minnesota Lynx	22	18.31	+3.69
2	Connecticut Sun	26	22.54	+3.46
3	New York Liberty	12	9.51	+2.49
4	Las Vegas Aces	24	21.94	+2.06
5	Phoenix Mercury	19	17.71	+1.29

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Seattle Storm	21	24.85	-3.85
2	Atlanta Dream	8	10.89	-2.89
3	Indiana Fever	6	8.19	-2.19
4	Los Angeles Sparks	12	13.93	-1.93
5	Washington Mystics	12	13.27	-1.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Minnesota Lynx	8	Jun 23 – Aug 15	1 in 210
2	Chicago Sky	7	Jun 9 – Jun 24	1 in 102
3	Indiana Fever	3	Jul 3 – Jul 11	1 in 73
4	Connecticut Sun	14	Jul 9 – Sep 19	1 in 49
5	Dallas Wings	3	Jun 6 – Jun 11	1 in 44

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Sky	7	May 23 – Jun 5	1 in 223
2	Atlanta Dream	11	Jul 2 – Sep 2	1 in 42
3	Phoenix Mercury	4	Jun 8 – Jun 16	1 in 40
4	Seattle Storm	3	Aug 24 – Aug 29	1 in 34
5	Las Vegas Aces	2	Jul 7 – Jul 9	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Seattle Storm	63.55%	23.99%	9.24%	2.43%	0.65%	0.10%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%	—	—	—
Connecticut Sun	19.86%	35.44%	27.24%	11.32%	4.23%	1.33%	0.39%	0.18%	0.01%	—	—	—
Las Vegas Aces	13.90%	29.63%	33.05%	14.53%	5.84%	2.01%	0.78%	0.21%	0.05%	—	—	—
Minnesota Lynx	1.41%	5.26%	12.74%	26.64%	23.45%	15.15%	8.41%	4.22%	1.86%	0.76%	0.10%	—
Phoenix Mercury	0.93%	3.61%	9.89%	22.44%	23.75%	16.89%	11.31%	6.59%	3.09%	1.12%	0.31%	0.07%
Chicago Sky	0.29%	1.48%	4.82%	11.65%	18.52%	21.91%	16.88%	12.34%	7.15%	3.58%	1.22%	0.16%
Dallas Wings	0.05%	0.36%	1.79%	5.20%	9.87%	15.85%	19.47%	19.72%	15.11%	8.19%	3.50%	0.89%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.01%	0.14%	0.72%	3.24%	7.82%	13.13%	19.02%	19.91%	17.68%	11.53%	5.06%	1.74%
Washington Mystics	—	0.06%	0.47%	2.22%	4.61%	10.31%	15.28%	19.64%	22.07%	14.70%	7.86%	2.78%
Atlanta Dream	—	0.01%	0.04%	0.27%	1.00%	2.31%	5.26%	10.02%	17.40%	27.06%	22.56%	14.07%
New York Liberty	—	0.02%	—	0.05%	0.20%	0.80%	2.57%	5.34%	10.24%	20.45%	31.76%	28.57%
Indiana Fever	—	—	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.21%	0.61%	1.82%	5.33%	12.61%	27.63%	51.72%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Storm	63.55%	23.99%	9.24%	2.43%	0.65%	0.10%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%
Connecticut Sun	19.86%	35.44%	27.24%	11.32%	4.23%	1.33%	0.39%	0.18%	0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	13.90%	29.63%	33.05%	14.53%	5.84%	2.01%	0.78%	0.21%	0.05%
Minnesota Lynx	1.41%	5.26%	12.74%	26.64%	23.45%	15.15%	8.41%	4.22%	2.72%
Phoenix Mercury	0.93%	3.61%	9.89%	22.44%	23.75%	16.89%	11.31%	6.59%	4.59%
Chicago Sky	0.29%	1.48%	4.82%	11.65%	18.52%	21.91%	16.88%	12.34%	12.11%
Dallas Wings	0.05%	0.36%	1.79%	5.20%	9.87%	15.85%	19.47%	19.72%	27.69%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.01%	0.14%	0.72%	3.24%	7.82%	13.13%	19.02%	19.91%	36.01%
Washington Mystics	—	0.06%	0.47%	2.22%	4.61%	10.31%	15.28%	19.64%	47.41%
Atlanta Dream	—	0.01%	0.04%	0.27%	1.00%	2.31%	5.26%	10.02%	81.09%
New York Liberty	—	0.02%	—	0.05%	0.20%	0.80%	2.57%	5.34%	91.02%
Indiana Fever	—	—	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.21%	0.61%	1.82%	97.29%

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Connecticut Sun	89.87%	89.87%	65.60%	46.90%
Las Vegas Aces	83.65%	83.65%	48.09%	27.19%
Minnesota Lynx	77.95%	51.84%	24.17%	9.81%
Seattle Storm	94.80%	94.80%	38.18%	9.76%
Phoenix Mercury	72.26%	38.49%	14.68%	4.56%
Chicago Sky	56.25%	21.85%	6.52%	1.36%
Dallas Wings	32.61%	9.13%	1.46%	0.19%
Los Angeles Sparks	25.46%	5.99%	0.85%	0.16%
Washington Mystics	18.09%	3.62%	0.40%	0.07%
Atlanta Dream	3.99%	0.50%	0.02%	—
Indiana Fever	0.40%	0.02%	—	—
New York Liberty	1.96%	0.24%	0.03%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		0.08%	0.05%	0.03%		0.09%	0.02%	0.11%		0.06%	0.05%
Chicago Sky	0.17%		2.02%	1.66%		2.70%	1.34%	5.12%	0.06%	5.01%	0.98%	1.02%
Connecticut Sun	0.70%	7.22%		5.31%	0.11%	0.74%	4.09%	5.64%	0.40%	6.90%	0.12%	3.34%
Dallas Wings	0.04%	1.16%	0.76%		0.01%	1.50%	0.55%	1.99%	0.02%	1.69%	0.69%	0.31%
Indiana Fever						0.01%		0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	1.06%	8.43%	0.45%	5.98%	0.10%		5.09%	6.77%	0.63%	7.95%	0.16%	3.50%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.04%	0.67%	0.61%	0.49%	0.01%	1.04%		1.20%		1.09%	0.48%	0.21%
Minnesota Lynx	0.68%	9.79%	2.69%	5.06%	0.07%	4.12%	4.44%		0.36%	13.61%	1.14%	3.21%
New York Liberty		0.05%	0.02%			0.03%		0.06%		0.03%	0.02%	0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	0.55%	6.86%	2.33%	4.11%	0.04%	3.69%	2.93%	10.16%	0.14%		1.07%	2.07%
Seattle Storm	0.22%	1.54%	0.03%	1.06%	0.03%	0.11%	1.06%	0.97%	0.13%	1.25%		0.86%
Washington Mystics	0.04%	0.37%	0.46%	0.19%	0.01%	0.63%	0.10%	0.75%		0.72%	0.29%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream								0.01%			0.01%
Chicago Sky			0.65%	0.03%		0.84%		0.16%		0.20%	4.64%
Connecticut Sun	0.09%	5.21%		2.29%		23.33%	1.41%	10.99%	0.03%	8.91%	12.46%	0.88%
Dallas Wings		0.04%	0.17%			0.13%		0.07%		0.03%	1.02%
Las Vegas Aces	0.08%	3.47%	14.57%	1.48%			1.11%	7.25%	0.05%	5.80%	13.65%	0.63%
Los Angeles Sparks			0.04%			0.07%				0.03%	0.71%
Minnesota Lynx	0.02%	0.43%	4.29%	0.17%		4.07%	0.10%			0.75%	14.31%	0.03%
New York Liberty		0.01%									0.02%
Phoenix Mercury	0.01%	0.21%	1.86%	0.05%		2.30%	0.07%	0.62%	0.01%		9.52%	0.03%
Seattle Storm	0.28%	5.96%	2.67%	3.64%	0.02%	4.75%	2.45%	8.57%	0.12%	8.07%		1.65%
Washington Mystics			0.02%	0.01%		0.07%				0.02%	0.28%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky			0.51%	0.02%	0.30%		0.22%		0.13%	0.17%	0.01%
Connecticut Sun	0.01%	2.62%		0.61%	12.84%	0.33%	7.72%	0.01%	5.66%	16.89%	0.21%
Dallas Wings			0.08%		0.04%		0.02%		0.02%	0.03%
Las Vegas Aces	0.01%	1.56%	8.77%	0.33%		0.18%	4.72%	0.02%	3.08%	8.42%	0.10%
Los Angeles Sparks			0.05%		0.03%		0.04%		0.01%	0.03%
Minnesota Lynx		0.48%	3.29%	0.16%	3.03%	0.13%			0.76%	1.96%
Phoenix Mercury		0.21%	1.51%	0.07%	1.22%	0.02%	0.62%			0.91%
Seattle Storm		0.29%	4.47%	0.07%	3.42%	0.03%	1.02%		0.45%		0.01%
Washington Mystics			0.02%	0.01%	0.02%				0.01%	0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Connecticut Sun	100.00%	82.78%	51.29%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Las Vegas Aces	100.00%	65.54%	29.40%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Phoenix Mercury	35.77%	8.41%	3.18%	Eliminated in Finals
Chicago Sky	21.98%	3.07%	1.09%	Won Finals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Dallas Wings	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky			16.35%		5.63%
Dallas Wings			6.88%		2.51%
Minnesota Lynx	33.86%	20.75%				17.80%
Phoenix Mercury					35.77%
Seattle Storm	8.74%	5.28%		42.07%
Washington Mystics			4.36%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky		2.85%		0.22%
Connecticut Sun	17.91%		8.16%			19.69%	32.82%	4.20%
Dallas Wings		0.72%		0.07%
Las Vegas Aces	1.00%		0.44%		45.79%	7.67%	10.64%
Minnesota Lynx				26.62%
Phoenix Mercury		5.39%		3.02%
Seattle Storm		8.10%		4.53%
Washington Mystics		0.16%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky		0.03%		0.66%	0.10%	0.08%	0.22%
Connecticut Sun	0.19%		0.05%	32.31%	14.17%	1.90%	2.67%
Dallas Wings		0.02%		0.12%		0.03%	0.03%
Las Vegas Aces	1.32%	21.99%	0.42%			2.13%	3.45%	0.09%
Minnesota Lynx	0.08%	7.34%	0.02%			1.09%	1.78%
Phoenix Mercury	0.18%	0.80%	0.03%	1.33%	0.84%
Seattle Storm	0.21%	1.31%	0.07%	1.67%	1.20%			0.02%
Washington Mystics				0.05%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Connecticut Sun 51.29% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

39.65%

Win Prob

80.21%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

62.99%

Win Prob

59.50%

Las Vegas Aces 29.40% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

69.87%

Win Prob

63.24%

→

Finals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

74.80%

Win Prob

40.50%

Minnesota Lynx 10.31% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

46.76%

Win Prob

67.44%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.76%

→

Finals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

71.19%

Win Prob

34.12%

Seattle Storm 4.48% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

75.00%

Win Prob

54.05%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

64.13%

Win Prob

19.79%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

37.28%

Win Prob

32.62%

Phoenix Mercury 3.18% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.95%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

64.09%

Win Prob

21.49%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

41.82%

Win Prob

38.44%

Chicago Sky 1.09% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

74.39%

Win Prob

32.56%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

92.83%

Win Prob

13.73%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

60.55%

Win Prob

33.33%

Dallas Wings 0.20% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

73.27%

Win Prob

24.90%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

91.14%

Win Prob

8.11%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

60.00%

Win Prob

22.22%

Washington Mystics 0.05% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

19.68%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

3.67%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.71%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2021-05-14	Connecticut Sun	L 67-78	1420.49	1570.10	32.85%	67.15%	-13.99	0-1
2021-05-19	Chicago Sky	L 77-85	1406.50	1518.86	37.74%	62.26%	-13.70	0-2
2021-05-21	@ Indiana Fever	W 83-79	1392.80	1346.81	52.96%	47.04%	+12.08	1-2
2021-05-25	@ Chicago Sky	W 90-83	1404.88	1504.94	32.69%	67.31%	+22.86	2-2
2021-05-27	Dallas Wings	W 101-95	1427.74	1456.18	49.56%	50.44%	+15.87	3-2
2021-05-29	@ New York Liberty	W 90-87	1443.61	1404.90	51.92%	48.08%	+10.69	4-2
2021-06-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 84-86	1454.30	1489.21	41.41%	58.59%	-7.52	4-3
2021-06-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-100	1446.78	1496.73	39.33%	60.67%	-22.58	4-4
2021-06-09	Seattle Storm	L 71-95	1424.20	1710.94	18.18%	81.82%	-11.43	4-5
2021-06-11	Seattle Storm	L 75-86	1412.77	1722.37	16.30%	83.70%	-6.95	4-6
2021-06-13	Washington Mystics	W 101-78	1405.82	1491.50	41.41%	58.59%	+36.08	5-6
2021-06-17	@ Washington Mystics	L 93-96	1441.90	1455.42	44.43%	55.57%	-9.88	5-7
2021-06-23	Minnesota Lynx	L 85-87	1432.02	1489.42	45.41%	54.59%	-8.24	5-8
2021-06-26	New York Liberty	L 78-101	1423.78	1344.67	64.60%	35.40%	-39.78	5-9
2021-06-29	New York Liberty	W 73-69	1384.00	1384.45	53.58%	46.42%	+11.92	6-9
2021-07-02	@ Seattle Storm	L 88-91	1395.92	1727.02	11.38%	88.62%	-2.53	6-10
2021-07-04	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 95-118	1393.39	1695.76	13.16%	86.84%	-8.11	6-11
2021-07-09	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-84	1385.28	1609.94	19.17%	80.83%	-8.52	6-12
2021-07-11	Indiana Fever	L 68-79	1376.76	1302.03	64.02%	35.98%	-27.26	6-13
2021-08-15	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 81-92	1349.50	1503.49	26.26%	73.74%	-11.19	6-14
2021-08-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-85	1338.31	1399.30	37.82%	62.18%	-10.86	6-15
2021-08-19	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-66	1327.45	1410.16	34.93%	65.07%	-6.34	6-16
2021-08-21	Phoenix Mercury	L 69-84	1321.11	1536.25	25.12%	74.88%	-12.49	6-17
2021-08-24	Chicago Sky	L 79-86	1308.62	1504.97	27.21%	72.79%	-9.24	6-18
2021-08-26	Las Vegas Aces	L 71-78	1299.38	1650.29	13.31%	86.69%	-4.52	6-19
2021-09-02	@ Dallas Wings	L 68-72	1294.86	1469.50	24.02%	75.98%	-6.17	6-20
2021-09-05	@ Dallas Wings	W 69-64	1288.69	1475.67	22.75%	77.25%	+22.18	7-20
2021-09-08	Phoenix Mercury	L 75-76	1310.87	1622.62	16.13%	83.87%	-2.07	7-21
2021-09-10	@ Washington Mystics	L 74-82	1308.80	1390.74	35.03%	64.97%	-12.72	7-22
2021-09-14	Indiana Fever	W 85-78	1296.08	1300.90	52.95%	47.05%	+15.98	8-22
2021-09-16	Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-74	1312.06	1426.54	37.45%	62.55%	-11.78	8-23
2021-09-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 64-84	1300.28	1761.27	5.73%	94.27%	-3.29	8-24
2021-05-15	@ Washington Mystics	W 70-56	1493.00	1494.29	46.17%	53.83%	+25.86	1-0
2021-05-19	@ Atlanta Dream	W 85-77	1518.86	1406.50	62.26%	37.74%	+13.70	2-0
2021-05-23	New York Liberty	L 85-93	1532.56	1357.08	76.06%	23.94%	-27.62	2-1
2021-05-25	Atlanta Dream	L 83-90	1504.94	1404.88	67.31%	32.69%	-22.87	2-2
2021-05-28	Los Angeles Sparks	L 61-76	1482.07	1474.22	54.77%	45.23%	-27.23	2-3
2021-05-30	Los Angeles Sparks	L 79-82	1454.84	1501.45	46.95%	53.05%	-10.44	2-4
2021-06-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 83-84	1444.40	1518.66	43.01%	56.99%	-5.53	2-5
2021-06-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 74-77	1438.87	1524.18	34.59%	65.41%	-7.69	2-6
2021-06-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 63-68	1431.18	1506.86	35.85%	64.15%	-10.29	2-7
2021-06-09	Indiana Fever	W 92-76	1420.89	1299.39	69.96%	30.04%	+15.43	3-7
2021-06-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 83-79	1436.32	1283.96	67.50%	32.50%	+8.34	4-7
2021-06-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 105-89	1444.66	1527.31	34.94%	65.06%	+33.42	5-7
2021-06-17	Connecticut Sun	W 81-75	1478.08	1627.17	32.91%	67.09%	+21.10	6-7
2021-06-19	Connecticut Sun	W 91-81	1499.18	1606.07	38.48%	61.52%	+24.98	7-7
2021-06-22	@ New York Liberty	W 92-72	1524.16	1381.93	66.21%	33.79%	+19.40	8-7
2021-06-24	@ New York Liberty	W 91-68	1543.56	1362.52	71.01%	28.99%	+17.85	9-7
2021-06-27	@ Connecticut Sun	L 58-74	1561.41	1595.53	41.52%	58.48%	-21.32	9-8
2021-06-30	@ Dallas Wings	W 91-81	1540.09	1522.25	48.91%	51.09%	+20.74	10-8
2021-07-02	@ Dallas Wings	L 91-100	1560.83	1501.50	54.87%	45.13%	-21.14	10-9
2021-07-10	Washington Mystics	L 85-89	1539.69	1427.05	68.88%	31.12%	-17.69	10-10
2021-08-15	Seattle Storm	W 87-85	1522.00	1719.06	27.13%	72.87%	+13.24	11-10
2021-08-17	Dallas Wings	L 76-80	1535.24	1459.52	64.15%	35.85%	-16.48	11-11
2021-08-21	Minnesota Lynx	L 95-101	1518.76	1587.15	43.84%	56.16%	-13.79	11-12
2021-08-24	@ Atlanta Dream	W 86-79	1504.97	1308.62	72.79%	27.21%	+9.25	12-12
2021-08-27	@ Seattle Storm	W 73-69	1514.22	1679.51	25.02%	74.98%	+19.25	13-12
2021-08-29	@ Seattle Storm	W 107-75	1533.47	1660.25	29.40%	70.60%	+51.28	14-12
2021-08-31	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 83-103	1584.75	1579.20	47.15%	52.85%	-27.08	14-13
2021-09-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 83-90	1557.67	1662.45	32.10%	67.90%	-10.90	14-14
2021-09-05	Las Vegas Aces	W 92-84	1546.77	1673.36	35.83%	64.17%	+23.30	15-14
2021-09-12	Washington Mystics	L 71-79	1570.07	1403.46	75.12%	24.88%	-27.28	15-15
2021-09-17	Las Vegas Aces	L 70-103	1542.79	1684.21	33.90%	66.10%	-25.00	15-16
2021-09-19	Indiana Fever	W 98-87	1517.79	1277.17	82.22%	17.78%	+7.57	16-16
2021-05-14	@ Atlanta Dream	W 78-67	1570.10	1420.49	67.15%	32.85%	+13.99	1-0
2021-05-16	Phoenix Mercury	W 86-78	1584.09	1530.32	61.20%	38.80%	+14.09	2-0
2021-05-19	Indiana Fever	W 88-67	1598.18	1357.26	82.24%	17.76%	+10.45	3-0
2021-05-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 84-67	1608.63	1543.75	55.66%	44.34%	+23.47	4-0
2021-05-23	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 72-65	1632.10	1626.11	47.21%	52.79%	+17.93	5-0
2021-05-25	@ Seattle Storm	L 87-90	1650.03	1697.80	39.63%	60.37%	-8.81	5-1
2021-05-28	Washington Mystics	W 86-81	1641.22	1460.55	76.60%	23.40%	+6.72	6-1
2021-05-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 74-79	1647.94	1468.89	70.78%	29.22%	-20.32	6-2
2021-06-01	Las Vegas Aces	W 74-67	1627.62	1640.57	51.79%	48.21%	+16.37	7-2
2021-06-05	New York Liberty	W 85-64	1643.99	1383.73	83.81%	16.19%	+9.53	8-2
2021-06-13	Seattle Storm	L 66-89	1653.52	1729.32	42.80%	57.20%	-26.35	8-3
2021-06-17	@ Chicago Sky	L 75-81	1627.17	1478.08	67.09%	32.91%	-21.10	8-4
2021-06-19	@ Chicago Sky	L 81-91	1606.07	1499.18	61.52%	38.48%	-24.98	8-5
2021-06-22	Dallas Wings	W 80-70	1581.09	1503.32	64.42%	35.58%	+14.44	9-5
2021-06-27	Chicago Sky	W 74-58	1595.53	1561.41	58.48%	41.52%	+21.33	10-5
2021-06-29	@ Washington Mystics	W 90-71	1616.86	1457.17	68.42%	31.58%	+17.67	11-5
2021-07-01	@ Indiana Fever	W 86-80	1634.53	1247.69	88.90%	11.10%	+3.49	12-5
2021-07-03	@ Indiana Fever	L 67-73	1638.02	1244.20	89.29%	10.71%	-28.08	12-6
2021-07-09	Atlanta Dream	W 84-72	1609.94	1385.28	80.83%	19.17%	+8.52	13-6
2021-07-11	@ New York Liberty	W 71-54	1618.46	1369.82	78.33%	21.67%	+11.47	14-6
2021-08-15	@ Dallas Wings	W 80-59	1629.93	1478.73	67.36%	32.64%	+19.21	15-6
2021-08-17	Minnesota Lynx	W 72-60	1649.14	1621.93	57.51%	42.49%	+18.90	16-6
2021-08-19	Minnesota Lynx	W 82-71	1668.04	1603.03	62.72%	37.28%	+15.88	17-6
2021-08-24	Las Vegas Aces	W 76-62	1683.92	1671.73	55.39%	44.61%	+21.43	18-6
2021-08-26	Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-72	1705.35	1407.11	86.56%	13.44%	+3.45	19-6
2021-08-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-61	1708.80	1403.66	87.02%	12.98%	+6.46	20-6
2021-08-31	@ Washington Mystics	W 85-75	1715.26	1424.37	82.18%	17.82%	+7.23	21-6
2021-09-07	@ Dallas Wings	W 83-56	1722.49	1453.49	80.26%	19.74%	+13.18	22-6
2021-09-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 75-57	1735.67	1379.81	87.02%	12.98%	+7.07	23-6
2021-09-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 76-67	1742.74	1624.69	63.03%	36.97%	+14.24	24-6
2021-09-15	New York Liberty	W 98-69	1756.98	1310.40	93.80%	6.20%	+4.29	25-6
2021-09-19	Atlanta Dream	W 84-64	1761.27	1300.28	94.27%	5.73%	+3.29	26-6
2021-05-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 94-71	1440.96	1536.78	33.23%	66.77%	+41.12	1-0
2021-05-22	Seattle Storm	L 97-100	1482.08	1692.09	25.68%	74.32%	-5.71	1-1
2021-05-24	@ New York Liberty	L 81-88	1476.37	1384.71	59.42%	40.58%	-20.19	1-2
2021-05-27	@ Atlanta Dream	L 95-101	1456.18	1427.74	50.44%	49.56%	-15.86	1-3
2021-05-29	Phoenix Mercury	L 85-89	1440.32	1507.35	44.03%	55.97%	-11.31	1-4
2021-06-01	Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-69	1429.01	1511.89	41.80%	58.20%	+23.63	2-4
2021-06-04	@ Seattle Storm	L 102-105	1452.64	1718.32	15.77%	84.23%	-3.51	2-5
2021-06-06	@ Seattle Storm	W 68-67	1449.13	1721.83	15.24%	84.76%	+10.89	3-5
2021-06-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-81	1460.02	1531.88	36.36%	63.64%	+16.34	4-5
2021-06-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 77-59	1476.36	1515.53	40.82%	59.18%	+32.24	5-5
2021-06-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 78-85	1508.60	1641.12	28.72%	71.28%	-9.76	5-6
2021-06-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 73-85	1498.84	1493.89	54.35%	45.65%	-24.17	5-7
2021-06-19	Minnesota Lynx	W 95-77	1474.67	1518.07	47.41%	52.59%	+28.65	6-7
2021-06-22	@ Connecticut Sun	L 70-80	1503.32	1581.09	35.58%	64.42%	-14.45	6-8
2021-06-24	@ Indiana Fever	W 89-64	1488.87	1263.08	76.02%	23.98%	+15.40	7-8
2021-06-26	Washington Mystics	W 85-74	1504.27	1475.15	57.78%	42.22%	+17.98	8-8
2021-06-30	Chicago Sky	L 81-91	1522.25	1540.09	51.09%	48.91%	-20.75	8-9
2021-07-02	Chicago Sky	W 100-91	1501.50	1560.83	45.13%	54.87%	+21.14	9-9
2021-07-05	@ New York Liberty	L 96-99	1522.64	1384.98	65.62%	34.38%	-14.59	9-10
2021-07-07	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 79-85	1508.05	1557.60	39.38%	60.62%	-12.39	9-11
2021-07-11	Las Vegas Aces	L 79-95	1495.66	1644.35	32.96%	67.04%	-16.93	9-12
2021-08-15	Connecticut Sun	L 59-80	1478.73	1629.93	32.64%	67.36%	-19.21	9-13
2021-08-17	@ Chicago Sky	W 80-76	1459.52	1535.24	35.85%	64.15%	+16.48	10-13
2021-08-20	Indiana Fever	L 81-83	1476.00	1312.76	74.76%	25.24%	-13.58	10-14
2021-08-26	@ Washington Mystics	W 82-77	1462.42	1431.45	50.80%	49.20%	+14.13	11-14
2021-08-28	@ Washington Mystics	L 75-76	1476.55	1417.33	54.85%	45.15%	-7.05	11-15
2021-09-02	Atlanta Dream	W 72-68	1469.50	1294.86	75.98%	24.02%	+6.17	12-15
2021-09-05	Atlanta Dream	L 64-69	1475.67	1288.69	77.25%	22.75%	-22.18	12-16
2021-09-07	Connecticut Sun	L 56-83	1453.49	1722.49	19.74%	80.26%	-13.17	12-17
2021-09-11	New York Liberty	W 77-76	1440.32	1314.18	70.52%	29.48%	+3.79	13-17
2021-09-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 75-85	1444.11	1676.71	18.47%	81.53%	-7.50	13-18
2021-09-19	Los Angeles Sparks	W 87-84	1436.61	1438.32	53.40%	46.60%	+10.36	14-18
2021-05-14	@ New York Liberty	L 87-90	1391.74	1319.73	56.67%	43.33%	-12.61	0-1
2021-05-16	New York Liberty	L 65-73	1379.13	1332.34	60.24%	39.76%	-21.87	0-2
2021-05-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 67-88	1357.26	1598.18	17.76%	82.24%	-10.45	0-3
2021-05-21	Atlanta Dream	L 79-83	1346.81	1392.80	47.04%	52.96%	-12.08	0-4
2021-05-23	Washington Mystics	W 89-77	1334.73	1467.40	35.03%	64.97%	+28.90	1-4
2021-05-25	Washington Mystics	L 69-85	1363.63	1438.51	42.92%	57.08%	-22.05	1-5
2021-05-28	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 77-113	1341.58	1621.11	14.74%	85.26%	-11.35	1-6
2021-05-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 78-101	1330.23	1632.46	13.17%	86.83%	-8.11	1-7
2021-06-01	@ Seattle Storm	L 73-88	1322.12	1714.19	8.29%	91.71%	-4.13	1-8
2021-06-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 63-98	1317.99	1488.26	24.49%	75.51%	-18.60	1-9
2021-06-09	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-92	1299.39	1420.89	30.04%	69.96%	-15.43	1-10
2021-06-12	Chicago Sky	L 79-83	1283.96	1436.32	32.50%	67.50%	-8.34	1-11
2021-06-15	Seattle Storm	L 70-87	1275.62	1755.67	6.80%	93.20%	-3.60	1-12
2021-06-17	Seattle Storm	L 69-79	1272.02	1759.27	6.55%	93.45%	-2.66	1-13
2021-06-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 77-82	1269.36	1465.30	21.86%	78.14%	-6.28	1-14
2021-06-24	Dallas Wings	L 64-89	1263.08	1488.87	23.98%	76.02%	-15.39	1-15
2021-07-01	Connecticut Sun	L 80-86	1247.69	1634.53	11.10%	88.90%	-3.49	1-16
2021-07-03	Connecticut Sun	W 73-67	1244.20	1638.02	10.71%	89.29%	+28.08	2-16
2021-07-09	New York Liberty	W 82-69	1272.28	1399.57	35.74%	64.26%	+29.75	3-16
2021-07-11	@ Atlanta Dream	W 79-68	1302.03	1376.76	35.98%	64.02%	+27.26	4-16
2021-08-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 70-75	1329.29	1388.37	38.08%	61.92%	-10.93	4-17
2021-08-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 80-84	1318.36	1514.68	21.82%	78.18%	-5.60	4-18
2021-08-20	@ Dallas Wings	W 83-81	1312.76	1476.00	25.24%	74.76%	+13.57	5-18
2021-08-28	Las Vegas Aces	L 71-87	1326.33	1654.82	14.87%	85.13%	-7.64	5-19
2021-08-31	Los Angeles Sparks	W 74-72	1318.69	1397.20	42.41%	57.59%	+10.46	6-19
2021-09-04	Phoenix Mercury	L 65-87	1329.15	1606.27	19.01%	80.99%	-11.45	6-20
2021-09-06	Phoenix Mercury	L 81-86	1317.70	1617.72	17.07%	82.93%	-4.90	6-21
2021-09-10	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 72-89	1312.80	1616.06	13.10%	86.90%	-6.94	6-22
2021-09-12	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-90	1305.86	1622.99	12.22%	87.78%	-4.96	6-23
2021-09-14	@ Atlanta Dream	L 78-85	1300.90	1296.08	47.05%	52.95%	-15.98	6-24
2021-09-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 73-92	1284.92	1627.96	13.84%	86.16%	-7.75	6-25
2021-09-19	@ Chicago Sky	L 87-98	1277.17	1517.79	17.78%	82.22%	-7.57	6-26
2021-05-15	@ Seattle Storm	L 83-97	1581.43	1702.94	30.04%	69.96%	-14.43	0-1
2021-05-18	@ Seattle Storm	W 96-80	1567.00	1717.37	26.66%	73.34%	+37.66	1-1
2021-05-21	Los Angeles Sparks	W 97-69	1604.66	1495.67	68.43%	31.57%	+21.45	2-1
2021-05-23	Connecticut Sun	L 65-72	1626.11	1632.10	52.79%	47.21%	-17.93	2-2
2021-05-26	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-79	1608.18	1520.28	58.90%	41.10%	+12.93	3-2
2021-05-28	Indiana Fever	W 113-77	1621.11	1341.58	85.26%	14.74%	+11.35	4-2
2021-05-30	Indiana Fever	W 101-78	1632.46	1330.23	86.83%	13.17%	+8.11	5-2
2021-06-01	@ Connecticut Sun	L 67-74	1640.57	1627.62	48.21%	51.79%	-16.38	5-3
2021-06-03	@ New York Liberty	W 94-82	1624.19	1394.20	76.46%	23.54%	+10.47	6-3
2021-06-05	@ Washington Mystics	W 96-93	1634.66	1453.83	70.99%	29.01%	+6.46	7-3
2021-06-13	Dallas Wings	W 85-78	1641.12	1508.60	71.28%	28.72%	+9.75	8-3
2021-06-15	New York Liberty	W 100-78	1650.87	1386.63	84.12%	15.88%	+9.57	9-3
2021-06-17	New York Liberty	W 103-76	1660.44	1377.07	85.54%	14.46%	+9.65	10-3
2021-06-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 89-90	1670.09	1497.66	69.98%	30.02%	-8.99	10-4
2021-06-27	Seattle Storm	W 95-92	1661.10	1739.84	42.38%	57.62%	+12.82	11-4
2021-06-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 99-75	1673.92	1439.11	76.95%	23.05%	+14.49	12-4
2021-07-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 66-58	1688.41	1424.61	79.78%	20.22%	+7.35	13-4
2021-07-04	Atlanta Dream	W 118-95	1695.76	1393.39	86.84%	13.16%	+8.10	14-4
2021-07-07	Phoenix Mercury	L 90-99	1703.86	1449.86	83.32%	16.68%	-32.09	14-5
2021-07-09	Minnesota Lynx	L 67-77	1671.77	1569.98	67.53%	32.47%	-27.42	14-6
2021-07-11	@ Dallas Wings	W 95-79	1644.35	1495.66	67.04%	32.96%	+16.93	15-6
2021-08-15	Washington Mystics	W 84-83	1661.28	1444.74	80.10%	19.90%	+2.56	16-6
2021-08-17	Washington Mystics	W 93-83	1663.84	1442.19	80.57%	19.43%	+7.89	17-6
2021-08-24	@ Connecticut Sun	L 62-76	1671.73	1683.92	44.61%	55.39%	-21.44	17-7
2021-08-26	@ Atlanta Dream	W 78-71	1650.29	1299.38	86.69%	13.31%	+4.53	18-7
2021-08-28	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-71	1654.82	1326.33	85.13%	14.87%	+7.63	19-7
2021-09-02	Chicago Sky	W 90-83	1662.45	1557.67	67.90%	32.10%	+10.91	20-7
2021-09-05	@ Chicago Sky	L 84-92	1673.36	1546.77	64.17%	35.83%	-23.31	20-8
2021-09-08	Minnesota Lynx	W 102-81	1650.05	1642.71	54.69%	45.31%	+26.66	21-8
2021-09-13	Dallas Wings	W 85-75	1676.71	1444.11	81.53%	18.47%	+7.50	22-8
2021-09-17	@ Chicago Sky	W 103-70	1684.21	1542.79	66.10%	33.90%	+25.00	23-8
2021-09-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 84-83	1709.21	1590.71	63.09%	36.91%	+4.74	24-8
2021-05-14	Dallas Wings	L 71-94	1536.78	1440.96	66.77%	33.23%	-41.11	0-1
2021-05-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 69-97	1495.67	1604.66	31.57%	68.43%	-21.45	0-2
2021-05-28	@ Chicago Sky	W 76-61	1474.22	1482.07	45.23%	54.77%	+27.23	1-2
2021-05-30	@ Chicago Sky	W 82-79	1501.45	1454.84	53.05%	46.95%	+10.44	2-2
2021-06-01	@ Dallas Wings	L 69-79	1511.89	1429.01	58.20%	41.80%	-23.63	2-3
2021-06-03	Indiana Fever	W 98-63	1488.26	1317.99	75.51%	24.49%	+18.60	3-3
2021-06-05	Chicago Sky	W 68-63	1506.86	1431.18	64.15%	35.85%	+10.29	4-3
2021-06-10	@ Washington Mystics	L 71-89	1517.15	1461.93	54.28%	45.72%	-29.57	4-4
2021-06-12	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 64-80	1487.58	1504.76	43.91%	56.09%	-22.55	4-5
2021-06-16	Phoenix Mercury	W 85-80	1465.03	1470.87	52.81%	47.19%	+13.55	5-5
2021-06-18	Phoenix Mercury	L 66-80	1478.58	1457.32	56.67%	43.33%	-27.23	5-6
2021-06-20	New York Liberty	L 73-76	1451.35	1367.42	65.23%	34.77%	-14.50	5-7
2021-06-24	Washington Mystics	W 89-82	1436.85	1493.67	45.49%	54.51%	+18.52	6-7
2021-06-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 79-88	1455.37	1484.54	42.21%	57.79%	-16.26	6-8
2021-06-30	Las Vegas Aces	L 75-99	1439.11	1673.92	23.05%	76.95%	-14.50	6-9
2021-07-02	Las Vegas Aces	L 58-66	1424.61	1688.41	20.22%	79.78%	-7.35	6-10
2021-07-04	Seattle Storm	L 74-84	1417.26	1729.55	16.09%	83.91%	-6.53	6-11
2021-07-07	@ Seattle Storm	L 62-71	1410.73	1736.09	11.72%	88.28%	-4.51	6-12
2021-07-11	Minnesota Lynx	L 61-86	1406.22	1597.40	27.80%	72.20%	-17.85	6-13
2021-08-15	Indiana Fever	W 75-70	1388.37	1329.29	61.92%	38.08%	+10.93	7-13
2021-08-17	Atlanta Dream	W 85-80	1399.30	1338.31	62.18%	37.82%	+10.86	8-13
2021-08-19	Atlanta Dream	W 66-64	1410.16	1327.45	65.07%	34.93%	+6.34	9-13
2021-08-22	@ New York Liberty	W 86-83	1416.50	1365.61	53.66%	46.34%	+10.31	10-13
2021-08-24	@ Washington Mystics	L 68-78	1426.81	1411.76	48.51%	51.49%	-19.70	10-14
2021-08-26	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-76	1407.11	1705.35	13.44%	86.56%	-3.45	10-15
2021-08-28	@ Connecticut Sun	L 61-76	1403.66	1708.80	12.98%	87.02%	-6.46	10-16
2021-08-31	@ Indiana Fever	L 72-74	1397.20	1318.69	57.59%	42.41%	-10.45	10-17
2021-09-02	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 57-66	1386.75	1624.85	17.99%	82.01%	-6.94	10-18
2021-09-09	Connecticut Sun	L 57-75	1379.81	1735.67	12.98%	87.02%	-7.07	10-19
2021-09-12	Seattle Storm	W 81-53	1372.74	1630.14	20.82%	79.18%	+53.80	11-19
2021-09-16	@ Atlanta Dream	W 74-68	1426.54	1312.06	62.55%	37.45%	+11.78	12-19
2021-09-19	@ Dallas Wings	L 84-87	1438.32	1436.61	46.60%	53.40%	-10.37	12-20
2021-05-14	Phoenix Mercury	L 75-77	1528.16	1520.38	54.76%	45.24%	-9.94	0-1
2021-05-18	@ New York Liberty	L 75-86	1518.22	1354.21	68.95%	31.05%	-29.36	0-2
2021-05-20	Seattle Storm	L 78-90	1488.86	1679.70	27.84%	72.16%	-12.39	0-3
2021-05-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 72-82	1476.47	1706.61	18.68%	81.32%	-7.58	0-4
2021-05-30	Connecticut Sun	W 79-74	1468.89	1647.94	29.22%	70.78%	+20.32	1-4
2021-06-04	Atlanta Dream	W 86-84	1489.21	1454.30	58.59%	41.41%	+7.52	2-4
2021-06-06	Atlanta Dream	W 100-80	1496.73	1446.78	60.67%	39.33%	+22.58	3-4
2021-06-08	@ Washington Mystics	L 81-85	1519.31	1447.38	56.66%	43.34%	-14.55	3-5
2021-06-12	Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-64	1504.76	1487.58	56.09%	43.91%	+22.55	4-5
2021-06-15	Chicago Sky	L 89-105	1527.31	1444.66	65.06%	34.94%	-33.42	4-6
2021-06-17	@ Dallas Wings	W 85-73	1493.89	1498.84	45.65%	54.35%	+24.18	5-6
2021-06-19	@ Dallas Wings	L 77-95	1518.07	1474.67	52.59%	47.41%	-28.65	5-7
2021-06-23	@ Atlanta Dream	W 87-85	1489.42	1432.02	54.59%	45.41%	+8.24	6-7
2021-06-25	Las Vegas Aces	W 90-89	1497.66	1670.09	30.02%	69.98%	+8.99	7-7
2021-06-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 82-76	1506.65	1500.80	47.19%	52.81%	+16.61	8-7
2021-07-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 99-68	1523.26	1484.19	51.97%	48.03%	+34.34	9-7
2021-07-07	Dallas Wings	W 85-79	1557.60	1508.05	60.62%	39.38%	+12.38	10-7
2021-07-09	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 77-67	1569.98	1671.77	32.47%	67.53%	+27.42	11-7
2021-07-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-61	1597.40	1406.22	72.20%	27.80%	+17.85	12-7
2021-08-15	New York Liberty	W 88-78	1615.25	1358.35	83.55%	16.45%	+6.68	13-7
2021-08-17	@ Connecticut Sun	L 60-72	1621.93	1649.14	42.49%	57.51%	-18.90	13-8
2021-08-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 71-82	1603.03	1668.04	37.28%	62.72%	-15.88	13-9
2021-08-21	@ Chicago Sky	W 101-95	1587.15	1518.76	56.16%	43.84%	+13.79	14-9
2021-08-24	Seattle Storm	W 76-70	1600.94	1698.45	39.77%	60.23%	+18.95	15-9
2021-08-31	New York Liberty	W 74-66	1619.89	1324.85	86.35%	13.65%	+4.96	16-9
2021-09-02	Los Angeles Sparks	W 66-57	1624.85	1386.75	82.01%	17.99%	+6.93	17-9
2021-09-04	Washington Mystics	W 93-75	1631.78	1417.14	79.93%	20.07%	+10.93	18-9
2021-09-08	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 81-102	1642.71	1650.05	45.31%	54.69%	-26.65	18-10
2021-09-10	Indiana Fever	W 89-72	1616.06	1312.80	86.90%	13.10%	+6.93	19-10
2021-09-12	Indiana Fever	W 90-80	1622.99	1305.86	87.78%	12.22%	+4.97	20-10
2021-09-17	@ Indiana Fever	W 92-73	1627.96	1284.92	86.16%	13.84%	+7.74	21-10
2021-09-19	@ Washington Mystics	W 83-77	1635.70	1403.53	76.68%	23.32%	+7.34	22-10
2021-05-14	Indiana Fever	W 90-87	1319.73	1391.74	43.33%	56.67%	+12.61	1-0
2021-05-16	@ Indiana Fever	W 73-65	1332.34	1379.13	39.76%	60.24%	+21.87	2-0
2021-05-18	Minnesota Lynx	W 86-75	1354.21	1518.22	31.05%	68.95%	+29.37	3-0
2021-05-21	@ Washington Mystics	L 72-101	1383.58	1440.91	38.32%	61.68%	-26.50	3-1
2021-05-23	@ Chicago Sky	W 93-85	1357.08	1532.56	23.94%	76.06%	+27.63	4-1
2021-05-24	Dallas Wings	W 88-81	1384.71	1476.37	40.58%	59.42%	+20.19	5-1
2021-05-29	Atlanta Dream	L 87-90	1404.90	1443.61	48.08%	51.92%	-10.70	5-2
2021-06-03	Las Vegas Aces	L 82-94	1394.20	1624.19	23.54%	76.46%	-10.47	5-3
2021-06-05	@ Connecticut Sun	L 64-85	1383.73	1643.99	16.19%	83.81%	-9.52	5-4
2021-06-13	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-83	1374.21	1483.29	31.56%	68.44%	+12.42	6-4
2021-06-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 78-100	1386.63	1650.87	15.88%	84.12%	-9.56	6-5
2021-06-17	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 76-103	1377.07	1660.44	14.46%	85.54%	-9.65	6-6
2021-06-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-73	1367.42	1451.35	34.77%	65.23%	+14.51	7-6
2021-06-22	Chicago Sky	L 72-92	1381.93	1524.16	33.79%	66.21%	-19.41	7-7
2021-06-24	Chicago Sky	L 68-91	1362.52	1543.56	28.99%	71.01%	-17.85	7-8
2021-06-26	@ Atlanta Dream	W 101-78	1344.67	1423.78	35.40%	64.60%	+39.78	8-8
2021-06-29	@ Atlanta Dream	L 69-73	1384.45	1384.00	46.42%	53.58%	-11.92	8-9
2021-07-03	Washington Mystics	W 82-79	1372.53	1439.50	44.04%	55.96%	+12.45	9-9
2021-07-05	Dallas Wings	W 99-96	1384.98	1522.64	34.38%	65.62%	+14.59	10-9
2021-07-09	@ Indiana Fever	L 69-82	1399.57	1272.28	64.26%	35.74%	-29.75	10-10
2021-07-11	Connecticut Sun	L 54-71	1369.82	1618.46	21.67%	78.33%	-11.47	10-11
2021-08-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 78-88	1358.35	1615.25	16.45%	83.55%	-6.68	10-12
2021-08-18	Seattle Storm	W 83-79	1351.67	1705.83	13.09%	86.91%	+22.32	11-12
2021-08-20	Seattle Storm	L 83-99	1373.99	1683.51	16.31%	83.69%	-8.38	11-13
2021-08-22	Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-86	1365.61	1416.50	46.34%	53.66%	-10.30	11-14
2021-08-25	Phoenix Mercury	L 79-106	1355.31	1548.74	27.54%	72.46%	-18.38	11-15
2021-08-27	Phoenix Mercury	L 64-80	1336.93	1567.12	23.52%	76.48%	-12.08	11-16
2021-08-31	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 66-74	1324.85	1619.89	13.65%	86.35%	-4.96	11-17
2021-09-02	@ Seattle Storm	L 75-85	1319.89	1608.97	14.06%	85.94%	-5.71	11-18
2021-09-11	@ Dallas Wings	L 76-77	1314.18	1440.32	29.48%	70.52%	-3.78	11-19
2021-09-15	@ Connecticut Sun	L 69-98	1310.40	1756.98	6.20%	93.80%	-4.29	11-20
2021-09-17	Washington Mystics	W 91-80	1306.11	1430.74	36.09%	63.91%	+27.22	12-20
2021-05-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 77-75	1520.38	1528.16	45.24%	54.76%	+9.94	1-0
2021-05-16	@ Connecticut Sun	L 78-86	1530.32	1584.09	38.80%	61.20%	-14.09	1-1
2021-05-18	@ Washington Mystics	W 91-70	1516.23	1468.43	53.22%	46.78%	+27.52	2-1
2021-05-21	Connecticut Sun	L 67-84	1543.75	1608.63	44.34%	55.66%	-23.47	2-2
2021-05-26	Las Vegas Aces	L 79-85	1520.28	1608.18	41.10%	58.90%	-12.93	2-3
2021-05-29	@ Dallas Wings	W 89-85	1507.35	1440.32	55.97%	44.03%	+11.31	3-3
2021-06-01	@ Chicago Sky	W 84-83	1518.66	1444.40	56.99%	43.01%	+5.52	4-3
2021-06-03	Chicago Sky	W 77-74	1524.18	1438.87	65.41%	34.59%	+7.70	5-3
2021-06-08	Dallas Wings	L 81-85	1531.88	1460.02	63.64%	36.36%	-16.35	5-4
2021-06-11	Dallas Wings	L 59-77	1515.53	1476.36	59.18%	40.82%	-32.24	5-5
2021-06-13	New York Liberty	L 83-85	1483.29	1374.21	68.44%	31.56%	-12.42	5-6
2021-06-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-85	1470.87	1465.03	47.19%	52.81%	-13.55	5-7
2021-06-18	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-66	1457.32	1478.58	43.33%	56.67%	+27.22	6-7
2021-06-27	Los Angeles Sparks	W 88-79	1484.54	1455.37	57.79%	42.21%	+16.26	7-7
2021-06-30	Minnesota Lynx	L 76-82	1500.80	1506.65	52.81%	47.19%	-16.61	7-8
2021-07-03	Minnesota Lynx	L 68-99	1484.19	1523.26	48.03%	51.97%	-34.33	7-9
2021-07-07	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 99-90	1449.86	1703.86	16.68%	83.32%	+32.09	8-9
2021-07-09	Seattle Storm	W 85-77	1481.95	1740.60	20.70%	79.30%	+28.80	9-9
2021-07-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 75-82	1510.75	1711.80	21.36%	78.64%	-7.26	9-10
2021-08-15	Atlanta Dream	W 92-81	1503.49	1349.50	73.74%	26.26%	+11.19	10-10
2021-08-17	Indiana Fever	W 84-80	1514.68	1318.36	78.18%	21.82%	+5.60	11-10
2021-08-19	Washington Mystics	W 77-64	1520.28	1434.29	65.50%	34.50%	+15.97	12-10
2021-08-21	@ Atlanta Dream	W 84-69	1536.25	1321.11	74.88%	25.12%	+12.49	13-10
2021-08-25	@ New York Liberty	W 106-79	1548.74	1355.31	72.46%	27.54%	+18.38	14-10
2021-08-27	@ New York Liberty	W 80-64	1567.12	1336.93	76.48%	23.52%	+12.08	15-10
2021-08-31	Chicago Sky	W 103-83	1579.20	1584.75	52.85%	47.15%	+27.07	16-10
2021-09-04	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-65	1606.27	1329.15	80.99%	19.01%	+11.45	17-10
2021-09-06	@ Indiana Fever	W 86-81	1617.72	1317.70	82.93%	17.07%	+4.90	18-10
2021-09-08	@ Atlanta Dream	W 76-75	1622.62	1310.87	83.87%	16.13%	+2.07	19-10
2021-09-11	Connecticut Sun	L 67-76	1624.69	1742.74	36.97%	63.03%	-14.24	19-11
2021-09-17	@ Seattle Storm	L 85-94	1610.45	1576.35	51.26%	48.74%	-19.74	19-12
2021-09-19	Las Vegas Aces	L 83-84	1590.71	1709.21	36.91%	63.09%	-4.74	19-13
2021-05-15	Las Vegas Aces	W 97-83	1702.94	1581.43	69.96%	30.04%	+14.43	1-0
2021-05-18	Las Vegas Aces	L 80-96	1717.37	1567.00	73.34%	26.66%	-37.67	1-1
2021-05-20	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 90-78	1679.70	1488.86	72.16%	27.84%	+12.39	2-1
2021-05-22	@ Dallas Wings	W 100-97	1692.09	1482.08	74.32%	25.68%	+5.71	3-1
2021-05-25	Connecticut Sun	W 90-87	1697.80	1650.03	60.37%	39.63%	+8.81	4-1
2021-05-28	Minnesota Lynx	W 82-72	1706.61	1476.47	81.32%	18.68%	+7.58	5-1
2021-06-01	Indiana Fever	W 88-73	1714.19	1322.12	91.71%	8.29%	+4.13	6-1
2021-06-04	Dallas Wings	W 105-102	1718.32	1452.64	84.23%	15.77%	+3.51	7-1
2021-06-06	Dallas Wings	L 67-68	1721.83	1449.13	84.76%	15.24%	-10.89	7-2
2021-06-09	@ Atlanta Dream	W 95-71	1710.94	1424.20	81.82%	18.18%	+11.43	8-2
2021-06-11	@ Atlanta Dream	W 86-75	1722.37	1412.77	83.70%	16.30%	+6.95	9-2
2021-06-13	@ Connecticut Sun	W 89-66	1729.32	1653.52	57.20%	42.80%	+26.35	10-2
2021-06-15	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-70	1755.67	1275.62	93.20%	6.80%	+3.60	11-2
2021-06-17	@ Indiana Fever	W 79-69	1759.27	1272.02	93.45%	6.55%	+2.66	12-2
2021-06-22	Washington Mystics	L 83-87	1761.93	1471.58	86.03%	13.97%	-22.09	12-3
2021-06-27	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 92-95	1739.84	1661.10	57.62%	42.38%	-12.82	12-4
2021-07-02	Atlanta Dream	W 91-88	1727.02	1395.92	88.62%	11.38%	+2.53	13-4
2021-07-04	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-74	1729.55	1417.26	83.91%	16.09%	+6.54	14-4
2021-07-07	Los Angeles Sparks	W 71-62	1736.09	1410.73	88.28%	11.72%	+4.51	15-4
2021-07-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 77-85	1740.60	1481.95	79.30%	20.70%	-28.80	15-5
2021-07-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 82-75	1711.80	1510.75	78.64%	21.36%	+7.26	16-5
2021-08-15	@ Chicago Sky	L 85-87	1719.06	1522.00	72.87%	27.13%	-13.23	16-6
2021-08-18	@ New York Liberty	L 79-83	1705.83	1351.67	86.91%	13.09%	-22.32	16-7
2021-08-20	@ New York Liberty	W 99-83	1683.51	1373.99	83.69%	16.31%	+8.37	17-7
2021-08-22	@ Washington Mystics	W 85-78	1691.88	1418.32	80.67%	19.33%	+6.57	18-7
2021-08-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-76	1698.45	1600.94	60.23%	39.77%	-18.94	18-8
2021-08-27	Chicago Sky	L 69-73	1679.51	1514.22	74.98%	25.02%	-19.26	18-9
2021-08-29	Chicago Sky	L 75-107	1660.25	1533.47	70.60%	29.40%	-51.28	18-10
2021-09-02	New York Liberty	W 85-75	1608.97	1319.89	85.94%	14.06%	+5.71	19-10
2021-09-07	Washington Mystics	W 105-71	1614.68	1406.20	79.35%	20.65%	+15.46	20-10
2021-09-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 53-81	1630.14	1372.74	79.18%	20.82%	-53.79	20-11
2021-09-17	Phoenix Mercury	W 94-85	1576.35	1610.45	48.74%	51.26%	+19.74	21-11
2021-05-15	Chicago Sky	L 56-70	1494.29	1493.00	53.83%	46.17%	-25.86	0-1
2021-05-18	Phoenix Mercury	L 70-91	1468.43	1516.23	46.78%	53.22%	-27.52	0-2
2021-05-21	New York Liberty	W 101-72	1440.91	1383.58	61.68%	38.32%	+26.49	1-2
2021-05-23	@ Indiana Fever	L 77-89	1467.40	1334.73	64.97%	35.03%	-28.89	1-3
2021-05-25	@ Indiana Fever	W 85-69	1438.51	1363.63	57.08%	42.92%	+22.04	2-3
2021-05-28	@ Connecticut Sun	L 81-86	1460.55	1641.22	23.40%	76.60%	-6.72	2-4
2021-06-05	Las Vegas Aces	L 93-96	1453.83	1634.66	29.01%	70.99%	-6.45	2-5
2021-06-08	Minnesota Lynx	W 85-81	1447.38	1519.31	43.34%	56.66%	+14.55	3-5
2021-06-10	Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-71	1461.93	1517.15	45.72%	54.28%	+29.57	4-5
2021-06-13	@ Atlanta Dream	L 78-101	1491.50	1405.82	58.59%	41.41%	-36.08	4-6
2021-06-17	Atlanta Dream	W 96-93	1455.42	1441.90	55.57%	44.43%	+9.88	5-6
2021-06-19	Indiana Fever	W 82-77	1465.30	1269.36	78.14%	21.86%	+6.28	6-6
2021-06-22	@ Seattle Storm	W 87-83	1471.58	1761.93	13.97%	86.03%	+22.09	7-6
2021-06-24	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 82-89	1493.67	1436.85	54.51%	45.49%	-18.52	7-7
2021-06-26	@ Dallas Wings	L 74-85	1475.15	1504.27	42.22%	57.78%	-17.98	7-8
2021-06-29	Connecticut Sun	L 71-90	1457.17	1616.86	31.58%	68.42%	-17.67	7-9
2021-07-03	@ New York Liberty	L 79-82	1439.50	1372.53	55.96%	44.04%	-12.45	7-10
2021-07-10	@ Chicago Sky	W 89-85	1427.05	1539.69	31.12%	68.88%	+17.69	8-10
2021-08-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 83-84	1444.74	1661.28	19.90%	80.10%	-2.55	8-11
2021-08-17	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 83-93	1442.19	1663.84	19.43%	80.57%	-7.90	8-12
2021-08-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 64-77	1434.29	1520.28	34.50%	65.50%	-15.97	8-13
2021-08-22	Seattle Storm	L 78-85	1418.32	1691.88	19.33%	80.67%	-6.56	8-14
2021-08-24	Los Angeles Sparks	W 78-68	1411.76	1426.81	51.49%	48.51%	+19.69	9-14
2021-08-26	Dallas Wings	L 77-82	1431.45	1462.42	49.20%	50.80%	-14.12	9-15
2021-08-28	Dallas Wings	W 76-75	1417.33	1476.55	45.15%	54.85%	+7.04	10-15
2021-08-31	Connecticut Sun	L 75-85	1424.37	1715.26	17.82%	82.18%	-7.23	10-16
2021-09-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 75-93	1417.14	1631.78	20.07%	79.93%	-10.94	10-17
2021-09-07	@ Seattle Storm	L 71-105	1406.20	1614.68	20.65%	79.35%	-15.46	10-18
2021-09-10	Atlanta Dream	W 82-74	1390.74	1308.80	64.97%	35.03%	+12.72	11-18
2021-09-12	@ Chicago Sky	W 79-71	1403.46	1570.07	24.88%	75.12%	+27.28	12-18
2021-09-17	@ New York Liberty	L 80-91	1430.74	1306.11	63.91%	36.09%	-27.21	12-19
2021-09-19	Minnesota Lynx	L 77-83	1403.53	1635.70	23.32%	76.68%	-7.34	12-20

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2021-09-23	Dallas Wings	W 81-64	1525.36	1446.97	64.51%	35.49%	+18.79	1-0
2021-09-26	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 89-76	1544.15	1643.04	32.84%	67.16%	+31.09	2-0
2021-09-28	@ Connecticut Sun	W 101-95	1575.24	1764.56	22.52%	77.48%	+24.37	3-0
2021-09-30	@ Connecticut Sun	L 68-79	1599.61	1740.19	27.78%	72.22%	-11.83	3-1
2021-10-03	Connecticut Sun	W 86-83	1587.78	1752.02	31.02%	68.98%	+15.34	4-1
2021-10-06	Connecticut Sun	W 79-69	1603.12	1736.68	34.92%	65.08%	+26.43	5-1
2021-10-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 91-77	1629.55	1656.96	42.46%	57.54%	+27.64	6-1
2021-10-13	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 86-91	1657.19	1629.32	50.36%	49.64%	-14.45	6-2
2021-10-15	Phoenix Mercury	W 86-50	1642.74	1643.78	53.50%	46.50%	+35.82	7-2
2021-10-17	Phoenix Mercury	W 80-74	1678.56	1607.95	63.47%	36.53%	+11.49	8-2
2021-09-28	Chicago Sky	L 95-101	1764.56	1575.24	77.48%	22.52%	-24.37	0-1
2021-09-30	Chicago Sky	W 79-68	1740.19	1599.61	72.22%	27.78%	+11.83	1-1
2021-10-03	@ Chicago Sky	L 83-86	1752.02	1587.78	68.98%	31.02%	-15.34	1-2
2021-10-06	@ Chicago Sky	L 69-79	1736.68	1603.12	65.08%	34.92%	-26.43	1-3
2021-09-23	@ Chicago Sky	L 64-81	1446.97	1525.36	35.49%	64.51%	-18.79	0-1
2021-09-28	Phoenix Mercury	W 96-90	1713.95	1603.85	68.56%	31.44%	+9.89	1-0
2021-09-30	Phoenix Mercury	L 91-117	1723.84	1593.97	70.96%	29.04%	-46.47	1-1
2021-10-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 60-87	1677.37	1640.43	51.66%	48.34%	-34.46	1-2
2021-10-06	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 93-76	1642.91	1674.90	41.82%	58.18%	+30.80	2-2
2021-10-08	Phoenix Mercury	L 84-87	1673.71	1644.10	57.85%	42.15%	-12.87	2-3
2021-09-26	Chicago Sky	L 76-89	1643.04	1544.15	67.16%	32.84%	-31.09	0-1
2021-09-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 82-83	1333.33	1585.97	16.79%	83.21%	-2.16	0-1
2021-09-23	New York Liberty	W 83-82	1585.97	1333.33	83.21%	16.79%	+2.16	1-0
2021-09-26	@ Seattle Storm	W 85-80	1588.13	1596.09	45.22%	54.78%	+15.72	2-0
2021-09-28	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 90-96	1603.85	1713.95	31.44%	68.56%	-9.88	2-1
2021-09-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 117-91	1593.97	1723.84	29.04%	70.96%	+46.46	3-1
2021-10-03	Las Vegas Aces	W 87-60	1640.43	1677.37	48.34%	51.66%	+34.47	4-1
2021-10-06	Las Vegas Aces	L 76-93	1674.90	1642.91	58.18%	41.82%	-30.80	4-2
2021-10-08	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 87-84	1644.10	1673.71	42.15%	57.85%	+12.86	5-2
2021-10-10	Chicago Sky	L 77-91	1656.96	1629.55	57.54%	42.46%	-27.64	5-3
2021-10-13	Chicago Sky	W 91-86	1629.32	1657.19	49.64%	50.36%	+14.46	6-3
2021-10-15	@ Chicago Sky	L 50-86	1643.78	1642.74	46.50%	53.50%	-35.83	6-4
2021-10-17	@ Chicago Sky	L 74-80	1607.95	1678.56	36.53%	63.47%	-11.49	6-5
2021-09-26	Phoenix Mercury	L 80-85	1596.09	1588.13	54.78%	45.22%	-15.73	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-07-03	10.71%	@ Indiana Fever	1244.20	73	Connecticut Sun	1638.02	67
2	2021-08-18	13.09%	@ New York Liberty	1351.67	83	Seattle Storm	1705.83	79
3	2021-06-22	13.97%	Washington Mystics	1471.58	87	@ Seattle Storm	1761.93	83
4	2021-06-06	15.24%	Dallas Wings	1449.13	68	@ Seattle Storm	1721.83	67
5	2021-07-07	16.68%	Phoenix Mercury	1449.86	99	@ Las Vegas Aces	1703.86	90
6	2021-07-09	20.70%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1481.95	85	Seattle Storm	1740.60	77
7	2021-09-12	20.82%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1372.74	81	Seattle Storm	1630.14	53
8	2021-09-28 *	22.52%	Chicago Sky	1575.24	101	@ Connecticut Sun	1764.56	95
9	2021-09-05	22.75%	Atlanta Dream	1288.69	69	@ Dallas Wings	1475.67	64
10	2021-05-23	23.94%	New York Liberty	1357.08	93	@ Chicago Sky	1532.56	85
11	2021-09-12	24.88%	Washington Mystics	1403.46	79	@ Chicago Sky	1570.07	71
12	2021-08-27	25.02%	Chicago Sky	1514.22	73	@ Seattle Storm	1679.51	69
13	2021-08-20	25.24%	Indiana Fever	1312.76	83	@ Dallas Wings	1476.00	81
14	2021-05-18	26.66%	Las Vegas Aces	1567.00	96	@ Seattle Storm	1717.37	80
15	2021-08-15	27.13%	@ Chicago Sky	1522.00	87	Seattle Storm	1719.06	85
16	2021-09-30 *	29.04%	Phoenix Mercury	1593.97	117	@ Las Vegas Aces	1723.84	91
17	2021-05-30	29.22%	@ Minnesota Lynx	1468.89	79	Connecticut Sun	1647.94	74
18	2021-08-29	29.40%	Chicago Sky	1533.47	107	@ Seattle Storm	1660.25	75
19	2021-06-25	30.02%	@ Minnesota Lynx	1497.66	90	Las Vegas Aces	1670.09	89
20	2021-10-03 *	31.02%	@ Chicago Sky	1587.78	86	Connecticut Sun	1752.02	83
21	2021-05-18	31.05%	@ New York Liberty	1354.21	86	Minnesota Lynx	1518.22	75
22	2021-07-10	31.12%	Washington Mystics	1427.05	89	@ Chicago Sky	1539.69	85
23	2021-06-13	31.56%	New York Liberty	1374.21	85	@ Phoenix Mercury	1483.29	83
24	2021-07-09	32.47%	Minnesota Lynx	1569.98	77	@ Las Vegas Aces	1671.77	67
25	2021-05-25	32.69%	Atlanta Dream	1404.88	90	@ Chicago Sky	1504.94	83

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2021-09-12	53.80	@ Los Angeles Sparks	81	1372.74	20.82%	Seattle Storm	53	1630.14	79.18%
2	2021-08-29	51.28	Chicago Sky	107	1533.47	29.40%	@ Seattle Storm	75	1660.25	70.60%
3	2021-09-30 *	46.47	Phoenix Mercury	117	1593.97	29.04%	@ Las Vegas Aces	91	1723.84	70.96%
4	2021-05-14	41.12	Dallas Wings	94	1440.96	33.23%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	71	1536.78	66.77%
5	2021-06-26	39.78	New York Liberty	101	1344.67	35.40%	@ Atlanta Dream	78	1423.78	64.60%
6	2021-05-18	37.67	Las Vegas Aces	96	1567.00	26.66%	@ Seattle Storm	80	1717.37	73.34%
7	2021-06-13	36.08	@ Atlanta Dream	101	1405.82	41.41%	Washington Mystics	78	1491.50	58.59%
8	2021-10-15 *	35.83	@ Chicago Sky	86	1642.74	53.50%	Phoenix Mercury	50	1643.78	46.50%
9	2021-10-03 *	34.47	@ Phoenix Mercury	87	1640.43	48.34%	Las Vegas Aces	60	1677.37	51.66%
10	2021-07-03	34.34	Minnesota Lynx	99	1523.26	51.97%	@ Phoenix Mercury	68	1484.19	48.03%
11	2021-06-15	33.42	Chicago Sky	105	1444.66	34.94%	@ Minnesota Lynx	89	1527.31	65.06%
12	2021-06-11	32.24	Dallas Wings	77	1476.36	40.82%	@ Phoenix Mercury	59	1515.53	59.18%
13	2021-07-07	32.09	Phoenix Mercury	99	1449.86	16.68%	@ Las Vegas Aces	90	1703.86	83.32%
14	2021-09-26 *	31.09	Chicago Sky	89	1544.15	32.84%	@ Minnesota Lynx	76	1643.04	67.16%
15	2021-10-06 *	30.80	Las Vegas Aces	93	1642.91	41.82%	@ Phoenix Mercury	76	1674.90	58.18%
16	2021-07-09	29.75	@ Indiana Fever	82	1272.28	35.74%	New York Liberty	69	1399.57	64.26%
17	2021-06-10	29.57	@ Washington Mystics	89	1461.93	45.72%	Los Angeles Sparks	71	1517.15	54.28%
18	2021-05-18	29.37	@ New York Liberty	86	1354.21	31.05%	Minnesota Lynx	75	1518.22	68.95%
19	2021-05-23	28.90	@ Indiana Fever	89	1334.73	35.03%	Washington Mystics	77	1467.40	64.97%
20	2021-07-09	28.80	@ Phoenix Mercury	85	1481.95	20.70%	Seattle Storm	77	1740.60	79.30%
21	2021-06-19	28.65	@ Dallas Wings	95	1474.67	47.41%	Minnesota Lynx	77	1518.07	52.59%
22	2021-07-03	28.08	@ Indiana Fever	73	1244.20	10.71%	Connecticut Sun	67	1638.02	89.29%
23	2021-10-10 *	27.64	Chicago Sky	91	1629.55	42.46%	@ Phoenix Mercury	77	1656.96	57.54%
24	2021-05-23	27.63	New York Liberty	93	1357.08	23.94%	@ Chicago Sky	85	1532.56	76.06%
25	2021-05-18	27.52	Phoenix Mercury	91	1516.23	53.22%	@ Washington Mystics	70	1468.43	46.78%