2020 WNBA Season

132 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Seattle Storm

4th Title

Last Title: 2018

Runner-Up

Las Vegas Aces

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

Las Vegas Aces

3.18 wins above expected

18 wins · 14.82 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Liberty

2.65 wins below expected

2 wins · 4.65 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Las Vegas Aces League	18	4	.818	-	88.7	80.1	+8.6	14.82	+3.18
2	Seattle Storm Playoffs	18	4	.818	-	87.5	76.0	+11.5	14.94	+3.06
3	Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs	15	7	.682	3	84.9	80.3	+4.6	14.29	+0.71
4	Minnesota Lynx Playoffs	14	8	.636	4	84.4	80.6	+3.8	13.49	+0.51
5	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	13	9	.591	5	86.1	84.1	+2.0	10.97	+2.03
6	Chicago Sky Playoffs	12	10	.545	6	86.7	84.1	+2.6	13.34	-1.34
7	Connecticut Sun Playoffs	10	12	.455	8	80.4	79.9	+0.5	11.57	-1.57
8	Washington Mystics Playoffs	9	13	.409	9	80.0	81.5	-1.5	11.63	-2.63
9	Dallas Wings	8	14	.364	10	83.4	87.0	-3.5	7.89	+0.11
10	Atlanta Dream	7	15	.318	11	81.0	87.6	-6.7	6.28	+0.72
11	Indiana Fever	6	16	.273	12	81.7	89.5	-7.9	8.13	-2.13
12	New York Liberty	2	20	.091	16	71.9	85.9	-14.0	4.65	-2.65

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Connecticut Sun 94

Chicago Sky 81

Sep 15

Phoenix Mercury 85

Washington Mystics 84

Sep 15

Second Round

Connecticut Sun 73

Los Angeles Sparks 59

Sep 17

Minnesota Lynx 80

Phoenix Mercury 79

Sep 17

Semifinals

Las Vegas Aces 3

Connecticut Sun 2

5 games · Sep 20–Sep 29

Seattle Storm 3

Minnesota Lynx 0

3 games · Sep 22–Sep 27

WNBA Finals

Seattle Storm 3

Las Vegas Aces 0

3 games · Oct 2–Oct 6

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Las Vegas Aces	1780	18	14.82	+3.18	96.77%	6	11	13	15	16	18	22
Seattle Storm	1762	18	14.94	+3.06	96.33%	6	12	14	15	16	18	22
Los Angeles Sparks	1593	15	14.29	+0.71	71.56%	5	11	13	14	16	18	22
Minnesota Lynx	1581	14	13.49	+0.51	68.06%	4	10	12	14	15	17	21
Phoenix Mercury	1545	13	10.97	+2.03	87.86%	2	7	9	11	12	15	20
Connecticut Sun	1519	10	11.57	-1.57	31.18%	3	8	10	12	13	15	20
Chicago Sky	1498	12	13.34	-1.34	34.58%	4	10	12	13	15	17	22
Washington Mystics	1488	9	11.63	-2.63	15.51%	3	8	10	12	13	15	20
Dallas Wings	1397	8	7.89	+0.11	61.80%	0	4	6	8	9	11	17
Atlanta Dream	1377	7	6.28	+0.72	73.69%	0	3	5	6	8	10	15
Indiana Fever	1297	6	8.13	-2.13	22.17%	0	5	7	8	10	12	17
New York Liberty	1163	2	4.65	-2.65	11.37%	0	2	3	5	6	8	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Chicago Sky	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Dallas Wings	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Indiana Fever	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Liberty	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Seattle Storm	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Mystics	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	0.76%	0.38%	—	—	—	1.14%
60–69	0.76%	—	3.41%	2.65%	2.27%	0.76%	9.85%
70–79	0.38%	3.41%	3.79%	13.26%	5.30%	1.14%	27.27%
80–89	—	2.65%	13.26%	9.09%	7.20%	1.52%	33.71%
90–99	—	2.27%	5.30%	7.20%	2.27%	3.41%	20.45%
100–109	—	0.76%	1.14%	1.52%	3.41%	0.76%	7.58%
Total	1.14%	9.85%	27.27%	33.71%	20.45%	7.58%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	83.06	83.06	+0.00
SD	10.82	10.82	14.06
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	107	107	+41
Min	48	48	-41

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%
70–79	—	—	4.55%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
80–89	—	—	9.09%	—	13.64%	—	22.73%
90–99	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	13.64%
100–109	—	—	—	—	9.09%	—	9.09%
Total	4.55%	—	13.64%	31.82%	40.91%	9.09%	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.95	87.64	-6.68
SD	11.24	10.15	12.91
CV	0.14	0.12	—
Max	105	100	+12
Min	62	56	-37

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
70–79	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
80–89	—	—	13.64%	27.27%	9.09%	—	50.00%
90–99	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
100–109	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
Total	—	4.55%	31.82%	45.45%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.73	84.09	+2.64
SD	9.54	8.36	11.93
CV	0.11	0.10	—
Max	101	101	+25
Min	69	67	-18

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
70–79	—	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	—	50.00%
80–89	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
90–99	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	22.73%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.36	79.91	+0.45
SD	8.98	12.67	13.67
CV	0.11	0.16	—
Max	96	100	+23
Min	69	62	-23

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
70–79	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
80–89	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	—	31.82%
90–99	—	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	22.73%
100–109	—	—	—	—	9.09%	—	9.09%
Total	—	—	27.27%	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	83.41	86.95	-3.55
SD	10.79	9.63	9.50
CV	0.13	0.11	—
Max	101	107	+13
Min	65	70	-23

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
70–79	—	—	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	45.45%
80–89	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
90–99	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	—	—	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	22.73%	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.68	89.55	-7.86
SD	9.11	9.21	12.16
CV	0.11	0.10	—
Max	106	105	+16
Min	62	75	-25

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
80–89	—	4.55%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	—	54.55%
90–99	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
100–109	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
Total	—	4.55%	54.55%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	88.73	80.14	+8.59
SD	7.38	9.01	9.26
CV	0.08	0.11	—
Max	104	102	+30
Min	78	63	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	—	—	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	22.73%
80–89	—	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	—	45.45%
90–99	—	—	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	31.82%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	4.55%	40.91%	40.91%	13.64%	—	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.91	80.32	+4.59
SD	7.96	7.51	12.17
CV	0.09	0.09	—
Max	99	96	+26
Min	70	64	-18

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
70–79	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
80–89	—	—	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	40.91%
90–99	—	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	27.27%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	18.18%	18.18%	40.91%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.41	80.59	+3.82
SD	8.47	12.80	14.05
CV	0.10	0.16	—
Max	98	104	+30
Min	66	48	-24

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
60–69	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	36.36%
70–79	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%	9.09%	—	40.91%
80–89	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%
90–99	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
100–109	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
Total	—	9.09%	13.64%	36.36%	31.82%	9.09%	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	71.86	85.86	-14.00
SD	10.05	11.24	11.58
CV	0.14	0.13	—
Max	101	105	+8
Min	56	62	-41

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
70–79	—	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	18.18%
80–89	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	27.27%
90–99	—	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	27.27%
100–109	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%
Total	—	9.09%	22.73%	40.91%	22.73%	4.55%	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.14	84.14	+2.00
SD	12.44	10.11	14.89
CV	0.14	0.12	—
Max	105	106	+29
Min	60	67	-23

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
80–89	—	9.09%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
90–99	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
100–109	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
Total	—	31.82%	31.82%	22.73%	13.64%	—	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	87.55	76.00	+11.55
SD	10.24	10.93	13.99
CV	0.12	0.14	—
Max	107	95	+41
Min	71	60	-18

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	Total
<60	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
60–69	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
70–79	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
80–89	—	—	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	31.82%
90–99	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%
100–109	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	9.09%	31.82%	31.82%	13.64%	9.09%	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.00	81.55	-1.55
SD	13.38	11.20	12.69
CV	0.17	0.14	—
Max	101	101	+25
Min	48	58	-22

Games Played: 22

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.77	+9.4
Allowed	0.61	-9.7
Differential	0.97	+6.7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Las Vegas Aces	18	14.82	+3.18
2	Seattle Storm	18	14.94	+3.06
3	Phoenix Mercury	13	10.97	+2.03
4	Atlanta Dream	7	6.28	+0.72
5	Los Angeles Sparks	15	14.29	+0.71

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Liberty	2	4.65	-2.65
2	Washington Mystics	9	11.63	-2.63
3	Indiana Fever	6	8.13	-2.13
4	Connecticut Sun	10	11.57	-1.57
5	Chicago Sky	12	13.34	-1.34

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Phoenix Mercury	6	Aug 23 – Sep 5	1 in 63
2	Washington Mystics	4	Sep 8 – Sep 13	1 in 51
3	Las Vegas Aces	7	Aug 2 – Aug 15	1 in 43
4	Seattle Storm	9	Aug 1 – Aug 18	1 in 22
5	Los Angeles Sparks	9	Aug 9 – Aug 30	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Washington Mystics	7	Aug 1 – Aug 15	1 in 1,878
2	Chicago Sky	4	Sep 2 – Sep 9	1 in 55
3	Indiana Fever	8	Aug 22 – Sep 8	1 in 25
4	Atlanta Dream	10	Aug 2 – Aug 21	1 in 24
5	Connecticut Sun	5	Jul 26 – Aug 4	1 in 21

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Seattle Storm	28.43%	21.52%	16.89%	12.50%	9.09%	5.94%	3.37%	1.64%	0.48%	0.11%	0.02%	<0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	26.95%	21.61%	16.81%	12.74%	9.29%	6.16%	3.75%	1.88%	0.61%	0.17%	0.03%	<0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks	18.48%	18.73%	17.58%	15.07%	11.82%	8.49%	5.47%	2.96%	1.10%	0.26%	0.04%	<0.01%
Minnesota Lynx	10.57%	13.61%	15.09%	15.79%	15.00%	12.39%	8.99%	5.45%	2.23%	0.69%	0.15%	0.02%
Chicago Sky	9.90%	12.77%	14.76%	15.53%	14.73%	12.62%	9.68%	6.15%	2.70%	0.94%	0.21%	0.02%
Washington Mystics	2.02%	4.22%	6.73%	9.88%	13.38%	16.45%	18.11%	15.54%	8.55%	3.75%	1.20%	0.18%
Connecticut Sun	2.35%	4.47%	6.87%	9.65%	12.76%	15.73%	17.27%	15.90%	9.27%	4.12%	1.39%	0.20%
Phoenix Mercury	1.24%	2.79%	4.57%	7.20%	10.50%	14.64%	18.25%	19.68%	12.29%	6.14%	2.21%	0.48%
Indiana Fever	0.04%	0.16%	0.38%	0.82%	1.70%	3.63%	6.95%	13.40%	25.12%	25.04%	16.25%	6.50%
Dallas Wings	0.03%	0.10%	0.30%	0.73%	1.46%	3.24%	6.20%	11.92%	22.57%	26.37%	19.02%	8.06%
Atlanta Dream	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.25%	0.66%	1.74%	4.57%	11.69%	22.55%	35.12%	23.32%
New York Liberty	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.23%	0.91%	3.38%	9.83%	24.37%	61.20%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Storm	28.43%	21.52%	16.89%	12.50%	9.09%	5.94%	3.37%	1.64%	0.61%
Las Vegas Aces	26.95%	21.61%	16.81%	12.74%	9.29%	6.16%	3.75%	1.88%	0.82%
Los Angeles Sparks	18.48%	18.73%	17.58%	15.07%	11.82%	8.49%	5.47%	2.96%	1.40%
Minnesota Lynx	10.57%	13.61%	15.09%	15.79%	15.00%	12.39%	8.99%	5.45%	3.10%
Chicago Sky	9.90%	12.77%	14.76%	15.53%	14.73%	12.62%	9.68%	6.15%	3.87%
Connecticut Sun	2.35%	4.47%	6.87%	9.65%	12.76%	15.73%	17.27%	15.90%	14.98%
Washington Mystics	2.02%	4.22%	6.73%	9.88%	13.38%	16.45%	18.11%	15.54%	13.68%
Phoenix Mercury	1.24%	2.79%	4.57%	7.20%	10.50%	14.64%	18.25%	19.68%	21.14%
Indiana Fever	0.04%	0.16%	0.38%	0.82%	1.70%	3.63%	6.95%	13.40%	72.91%
Dallas Wings	0.03%	0.10%	0.30%	0.73%	1.46%	3.24%	6.20%	11.92%	76.02%
Atlanta Dream	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.25%	0.66%	1.74%	4.57%	92.68%
New York Liberty	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.23%	0.91%	98.78%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+0.00%

No Edge

50.00%50.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 0.00 Elo pts.

26 Elo

0.039 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.83 points

Lean Home

-8+0.00+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.1

Few Contenders

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

37%

Seattle Storm, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

36.9%

Favored

025.00%50%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.67 · As Expected: 1.67 to 2.3 · Elevated: 2.3 to 3.13 · High Variance: 3.13 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 · Close: 1.26 to 1.7 · Off Target: 1.7 to 2.22 · Well Off Target: 2.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.45 · As Expected: 0.45 to 0.75 · More Than Expected: 0.75 to 1.19 · Far More Than Expected: 1.19 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.99 wins

As Expected

02.095

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.92

Pinpoint

01.483

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.77%

Las Vegas Aces

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

11.37%

New York Liberty

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Several Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected 0.6

0 of 8

Fewer Than Expected

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Concentrated

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.49

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

75%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

97%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

14%

Mostly Decisive

0%17%100%

Blowouts

Expected

33%

Routine

0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.20

Predictable

00.201

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.94

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.46

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Chalk Held

0%31%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.13 · Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.26 · Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.50

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.072

Within Noise

00.1300.3

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Las Vegas Aces	84.46%	84.46%	64.41%	42.08%
Seattle Storm	83.88%	83.88%	61.02%	37.02%
Los Angeles Sparks	63.57%	63.57%	24.06%	7.33%
Minnesota Lynx	55.96%	52.19%	19.00%	5.68%
Phoenix Mercury	44.10%	23.11%	8.02%	2.39%
Chicago Sky	51.03%	41.65%	9.61%	2.08%
Connecticut Sun	46.05%	25.24%	7.56%	1.99%
Washington Mystics	44.10%	21.91%	5.67%	1.32%
Dallas Wings	7.78%	2.23%	0.42%	0.07%
Atlanta Dream	2.04%	0.51%	0.10%	0.02%
Indiana Fever	5.99%	1.26%	0.12%	0.01%
New York Liberty	0.14%	0.01%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		39.3%0.30%	37.6%0.12%	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	12.1%0.32%	22.5%0.39%	28.7%0.33%		36.1%0.10%	10.6%0.37%	40.2%0.11%
Chicago Sky	60.7%0.30%		44.6%6.98%	57.8%1.06%	73.2%0.80%	17.3%6.51%	37.7%7.18%	38.5%8.74%	94.7%0.02%	42.6%6.65%	18.6%6.16%	49.6%6.65%
Connecticut Sun	62.4%0.12%	55.4%6.98%		64.2%0.54%	77.5%0.46%	20.2%6.96%	41.4%7.44%	42.6%7.81%	83.3%<0.01%	45.7%4.24%	21.7%6.85%	54.3%4.67%
Dallas Wings	60.0%<0.01%	42.2%1.06%	35.8%0.54%		76.7%0.03%	11.8%1.29%	28.5%1.37%	31.0%1.24%		32.2%0.42%	12.1%1.29%	39.3%0.54%
Indiana Fever	50.0%<0.01%	26.8%0.80%	22.5%0.46%	23.3%0.03%		7.5%0.97%	19.3%0.97%	19.4%1.03%	0.0%<0.01%	22.4%0.33%	8.6%0.95%	26.7%0.43%
Las Vegas Aces	87.9%0.32%	82.7%6.51%	79.8%6.96%	88.2%1.29%	92.5%0.97%		72.8%5.49%	74.2%7.09%	100.0%0.02%	77.5%6.75%	53.4%4.68%	83.5%6.76%
Los Angeles Sparks	77.5%0.39%	62.3%7.18%	58.6%7.44%	71.5%1.37%	80.7%0.97%	27.2%5.49%		51.5%7.94%	95.5%0.02%	54.8%7.34%	28.6%5.33%	62.2%6.92%
Minnesota Lynx	71.3%0.33%	61.5%8.74%	57.4%7.81%	69.0%1.24%	80.6%1.03%	25.8%7.09%	48.5%7.94%		89.3%0.03%	53.5%7.42%	27.0%6.83%	62.8%7.50%
New York Liberty		5.3%0.02%	16.7%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.02%	4.5%0.02%	10.7%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.03%	18.2%0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	63.9%0.10%	57.4%6.65%	54.3%4.24%	67.8%0.42%	77.6%0.33%	22.5%6.75%	45.2%7.34%	46.5%7.42%	100.0%<0.01%		25.0%6.71%	57.6%4.13%
Seattle Storm	89.4%0.37%	81.4%6.16%	78.3%6.85%	87.9%1.29%	91.4%0.95%	46.6%4.68%	71.4%5.33%	73.0%6.83%	100.0%0.03%	75.0%6.71%		81.4%6.38%
Washington Mystics	59.8%0.11%	50.4%6.65%	45.7%4.67%	60.7%0.54%	73.3%0.43%	16.5%6.76%	37.8%6.92%	37.2%7.50%	81.8%0.01%	42.4%4.13%	18.6%6.38%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		52.1%0.05%	70.0%0.01%			10.6%0.16%	30.7%0.09%	23.5%0.05%		75.0%<0.01%	8.2%0.15%	33.3%<0.01%
Chicago Sky	47.9%0.05%		39.1%2.30%	49.4%0.16%	76.4%0.11%	10.2%10.98%	34.5%7.32%	33.8%5.68%	75.0%<0.01%	33.2%2.17%	12.1%10.88%	46.1%1.99%
Connecticut Sun	30.0%0.01%	60.9%2.30%		78.0%0.05%	71.0%0.03%	14.4%6.95%	42.8%4.33%	42.8%2.94%		41.4%0.78%	17.0%6.97%	54.7%0.88%
Dallas Wings		50.6%0.16%	22.0%0.05%			6.2%0.67%	32.3%0.38%	30.2%0.21%		48.3%0.03%	9.8%0.68%	43.5%0.05%
Indiana Fever		23.6%0.11%	29.0%0.03%			2.6%0.35%	11.9%0.22%	17.6%0.12%		11.5%0.03%	3.5%0.38%	37.0%0.03%
Las Vegas Aces	89.4%0.16%	89.8%10.98%	85.6%6.95%	93.8%0.67%	97.4%0.35%		81.0%17.01%	81.1%14.31%	100.0%<0.01%	81.8%6.44%	53.3%21.54%	88.5%6.05%
Los Angeles Sparks	69.3%0.09%	65.5%7.32%	57.2%4.33%	67.7%0.38%	88.1%0.22%	19.0%17.01%		50.3%9.65%	100.0%<0.01%	51.2%4.11%	22.3%16.71%	63.0%3.77%
Minnesota Lynx	76.5%0.05%	66.2%5.68%	57.2%2.94%	69.8%0.21%	82.4%0.12%	18.9%14.31%	49.7%9.65%			50.5%2.51%	20.8%14.16%	60.8%2.56%
New York Liberty		25.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	25.0%<0.01%	66.8%2.17%	58.6%0.78%	51.7%0.03%	88.5%0.03%	18.2%6.44%	48.8%4.11%	49.5%2.51%			20.0%6.44%	60.3%0.59%
Seattle Storm	91.8%0.15%	87.9%10.88%	83.0%6.97%	90.2%0.68%	96.5%0.38%	46.7%21.54%	77.7%16.71%	79.2%14.16%	100.0%<0.01%	80.0%6.44%		86.3%5.99%
Washington Mystics	66.7%<0.01%	53.9%1.99%	45.3%0.88%	56.5%0.05%	63.0%0.03%	11.5%6.05%	37.0%3.77%	39.2%2.56%		39.7%0.59%	13.7%5.99%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%			10.0%0.04%	28.6%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	10.8%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%
Chicago Sky	0.0%<0.01%		43.1%0.21%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	16.2%4.03%	37.8%0.77%	38.1%0.61%		42.8%0.24%	17.5%3.59%	47.0%0.15%
Connecticut Sun	50.0%<0.01%	56.9%0.21%		33.3%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	18.7%3.09%	44.1%0.60%	47.2%0.51%		48.5%0.20%	21.3%2.77%	56.3%0.16%
Dallas Wings		50.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%			11.3%0.17%	22.2%0.04%	29.6%0.03%		63.6%0.01%	14.1%0.16%	20.0%<0.01%
Indiana Fever		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%			8.5%0.05%	16.7%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	2.6%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	90.0%0.04%	83.8%4.03%	81.3%3.09%	88.7%0.17%	91.5%0.05%		75.9%10.49%	76.9%7.95%	100.0%<0.01%	78.0%3.29%	52.7%32.98%	83.7%2.32%
Los Angeles Sparks	71.4%0.01%	62.2%0.77%	55.9%0.60%	77.8%0.04%	83.3%0.01%	24.1%10.49%		50.1%1.71%		50.5%0.74%	26.7%9.26%	57.9%0.42%
Minnesota Lynx	60.0%<0.01%	61.9%0.61%	52.8%0.51%	70.4%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	23.1%7.95%	49.9%1.71%			52.2%0.52%	25.0%7.29%	58.8%0.37%
Phoenix Mercury	50.0%<0.01%	57.2%0.24%	51.5%0.20%	36.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	22.0%3.29%	49.5%0.74%	47.8%0.52%			24.3%2.83%	63.3%0.18%
Seattle Storm	89.2%0.04%	82.5%3.59%	78.7%2.77%	85.9%0.16%	97.4%0.04%	47.3%32.98%	73.3%9.26%	75.0%7.29%		75.7%2.83%		81.0%2.06%
Washington Mystics	100.0%<0.01%	53.0%0.15%	43.7%0.16%	80.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	16.3%2.32%	42.1%0.42%	41.2%0.37%		36.7%0.18%	19.0%2.06%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Las Vegas Aces	100.00%	81.84%	45.39%	Eliminated in Finals
Seattle Storm	100.00%	76.53%	39.34%	Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx	53.35%	11.52%	4.36%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Connecticut Sun	23.33%	4.18%	1.44%	Eliminated in Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky			41.2%27.76%	42.6%19.48%
Connecticut Sun			43.6%30.63%	45.1%22.13%
Los Angeles Sparks	58.8%27.76%	56.4%30.63%				60.0%41.62%
Minnesota Lynx	57.4%19.48%	54.9%22.13%			51.4%58.38%
Phoenix Mercury				48.6%58.38%
Washington Mystics			40.0%41.62%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky			15.7%16.44%				18.0%3.32%
Connecticut Sun			17.7%19.32%				19.2%4.01%
Las Vegas Aces	84.3%16.44%	82.3%19.32%			79.5%31.39%	80.1%16.21%		85.1%16.64%
Los Angeles Sparks							24.4%58.57%
Minnesota Lynx			20.5%31.39%				23.1%21.95%
Phoenix Mercury			19.9%16.21%				22.3%12.15%
Seattle Storm	82.0%3.32%	80.8%4.01%		75.6%58.57%	76.9%21.95%	77.7%12.15%
Washington Mystics			14.9%16.64%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky			28.0%0.52%	36.9%0.18%	44.7%0.20%	46.5%0.20%	29.8%2.01%	54.5%0.08%
Connecticut Sun			30.7%0.65%	36.4%0.25%	47.2%0.27%	46.0%0.25%	31.9%2.65%	53.3%0.12%
Las Vegas Aces	72.0%0.52%	69.3%0.65%		66.3%11.52%	65.9%4.32%	66.5%2.26%	52.1%62.57%
Los Angeles Sparks	63.1%0.18%	63.6%0.25%	33.7%11.52%		51.8%1.59%	52.9%0.78%
Minnesota Lynx	55.3%0.20%	52.8%0.27%	34.1%4.32%	48.2%1.59%			35.3%4.86%	55.1%0.29%
Phoenix Mercury	53.5%0.20%	54.0%0.25%	33.5%2.26%	47.1%0.78%			33.6%2.45%
Seattle Storm	70.2%2.01%	68.1%2.65%	47.9%62.57%		64.7%4.86%	66.4%2.45%		68.0%1.99%
Washington Mystics	45.5%0.08%	46.7%0.12%			44.9%0.29%		32.0%1.99%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Las Vegas Aces 45.39% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

30.48%

Win Prob

79.46%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

71.76%

Win Prob

52.06%

Seattle Storm 39.34% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

57.82%

Win Prob

75.55%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

76.25%

Win Prob

47.94%

Los Angeles Sparks 5.39% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

42.64%

Win Prob

60.02%

→

Semifinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.45%

→

Finals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

72.02%

Win Prob

33.67%

Minnesota Lynx 4.36% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

56.28%

Win Prob

51.42%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

55.97%

Win Prob

20.54%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

39.28%

Win Prob

35.30%

Phoenix Mercury 2.19% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.58%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

54.34%

Win Prob

19.90%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

37.59%

Win Prob

33.55%

Connecticut Sun 1.44% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

57.19%

Win Prob

43.56%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

81.64%

Win Prob

17.68%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

58.75%

Win Prob

31.91%

Chicago Sky 1.03% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

57.95%

Win Prob

41.25%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

81.20%

Win Prob

15.74%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

57.99%

Win Prob

29.76%

Washington Mystics 0.86% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.98%

→

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

14.93%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

74.07%

Win Prob

31.96%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2020-07-26	Dallas Wings	W 105-95	1397.61	1425.81	45.95%	54.05%	+32.51	1-0
2020-07-29	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 70-100	1430.12	1523.78	36.84%	63.16%	-38.38	1-1
2020-07-31	New York Liberty	W 84-78	1391.74	1331.96	58.52%	41.48%	+19.33	2-1
2020-08-02	@ Indiana Fever	L 77-93	1411.07	1451.53	44.20%	55.80%	-33.63	2-2
2020-08-04	Phoenix Mercury	L 74-81	1377.44	1470.07	36.98%	63.02%	-18.61	2-3
2020-08-06	Seattle Storm	L 92-93	1358.83	1604.31	19.57%	80.43%	-3.72	2-4
2020-08-08	@ Dallas Wings	L 75-85	1355.11	1372.55	47.49%	52.51%	-28.57	2-5
2020-08-10	Connecticut Sun	L 82-93	1326.54	1475.11	29.83%	70.17%	-18.82	2-6
2020-08-12	@ Seattle Storm	L 63-100	1307.72	1661.79	11.53%	88.47%	-13.33	2-7
2020-08-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 80-96	1294.39	1494.97	23.96%	76.04%	-18.23	2-8
2020-08-16	Chicago Sky	L 67-92	1276.16	1568.34	15.68%	84.32%	-14.92	2-9
2020-08-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 91-98	1261.24	1471.00	23.02%	76.98%	-11.58	2-10
2020-08-21	Los Angeles Sparks	L 85-93	1249.66	1658.98	8.66%	91.34%	-4.66	2-11
2020-08-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 78-75	1245.00	1611.16	10.83%	89.17%	+29.38	3-11
2020-08-28	Minnesota Lynx	L 79-88	1274.38	1581.79	14.56%	85.44%	-8.31	3-12
2020-08-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 79-84	1266.07	1681.33	8.39%	91.61%	-3.57	3-13
2020-09-01	Indiana Fever	W 102-90	1262.50	1370.06	35.00%	65.00%	+42.83	4-13
2020-09-03	@ New York Liberty	W 62-56	1305.33	1243.03	58.87%	41.13%	+19.16	5-13
2020-09-05	Las Vegas Aces	L 79-89	1324.49	1708.92	9.86%	90.14%	-5.93	5-14
2020-09-09	@ Chicago Sky	W 97-89	1318.56	1518.72	24.01%	75.99%	+40.88	6-14
2020-09-11	@ Connecticut Sun	W 82-75	1359.44	1556.99	24.28%	75.72%	+38.10	7-14
2020-09-13	Washington Mystics	L 78-85	1397.54	1467.65	40.05%	59.95%	-20.15	7-15
2020-07-26	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 88-86	1540.25	1537.11	50.45%	49.55%	+13.33	1-0
2020-07-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 96-78	1553.58	1566.86	48.09%	51.91%	+41.89	2-0
2020-07-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 81-83	1595.47	1509.06	62.18%	37.82%	-16.73	2-1
2020-08-01	Washington Mystics	W 88-86	1578.74	1704.25	32.68%	67.32%	+18.11	3-1
2020-08-04	Dallas Wings	W 82-79	1596.85	1421.40	73.30%	26.70%	+8.80	4-1
2020-08-06	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 86-96	1605.65	1488.68	66.22%	33.78%	-39.84	4-2
2020-08-08	@ Connecticut Sun	W 100-93	1565.81	1495.22	60.02%	39.98%	+20.12	5-2
2020-08-10	@ Seattle Storm	L 71-89	1585.93	1626.09	44.25%	55.75%	-35.70	5-3
2020-08-12	Phoenix Mercury	W 89-71	1550.23	1533.36	52.43%	47.57%	+38.39	6-3
2020-08-14	Connecticut Sun	L 74-77	1588.62	1506.84	61.56%	38.44%	-20.28	6-4
2020-08-16	@ Atlanta Dream	W 92-67	1568.34	1276.16	84.32%	15.68%	+14.91	7-4
2020-08-18	Las Vegas Aces	W 84-82	1583.25	1676.16	36.94%	63.06%	+16.97	8-4
2020-08-20	@ New York Liberty	W 101-85	1600.22	1253.71	88.02%	11.98%	+9.11	9-4
2020-08-22	Indiana Fever	W 87-76	1609.33	1446.12	71.90%	28.10%	+17.72	10-4
2020-08-25	New York Liberty	L 99-101	1627.05	1230.58	90.74%	9.26%	-24.40	10-5
2020-08-29	Seattle Storm	L 74-88	1602.65	1669.45	40.50%	59.50%	-28.83	10-6
2020-08-31	@ Indiana Fever	W 100-77	1573.82	1393.97	73.79%	26.21%	+23.91	11-6
2020-09-02	Minnesota Lynx	L 83-86	1597.73	1619.69	46.84%	53.16%	-15.44	11-7
2020-09-04	@ Washington Mystics	L 69-79	1582.29	1363.94	77.85%	22.15%	-46.82	11-8
2020-09-06	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-86	1535.47	1635.70	35.96%	64.04%	-16.75	11-9
2020-09-09	Atlanta Dream	L 89-97	1518.72	1318.56	75.99%	24.01%	-40.89	11-10
2020-09-11	@ Dallas Wings	W 95-88	1477.83	1410.42	59.58%	40.42%	+20.34	12-10
2020-07-26	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 69-77	1573.09	1527.97	56.46%	43.54%	-30.37	0-1
2020-07-28	Washington Mystics	L 89-94	1542.72	1659.32	33.82%	66.18%	-14.38	0-2
2020-07-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-81	1528.34	1524.97	50.48%	49.52%	-21.48	0-3
2020-08-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-78	1506.86	1525.79	47.28%	52.72%	-26.97	0-4
2020-08-04	@ Seattle Storm	L 74-87	1479.89	1579.60	36.03%	63.97%	-24.71	0-5
2020-08-06	@ Dallas Wings	W 91-68	1455.18	1412.60	56.10%	43.90%	+40.04	1-5
2020-08-08	Chicago Sky	L 93-100	1495.22	1565.81	39.98%	60.02%	-20.11	1-6
2020-08-10	@ Atlanta Dream	W 93-82	1475.11	1326.54	70.17%	29.83%	+18.82	2-6
2020-08-12	Dallas Wings	W 70-66	1493.93	1378.21	66.06%	33.94%	+12.91	3-6
2020-08-14	@ Chicago Sky	W 77-74	1506.84	1588.62	38.44%	61.56%	+20.28	4-6
2020-08-16	Seattle Storm	L 72-95	1527.12	1686.74	28.52%	71.48%	-26.02	4-7
2020-08-18	Indiana Fever	W 84-62	1501.10	1443.31	58.24%	41.76%	+37.26	5-7
2020-08-20	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 78-99	1538.36	1659.20	33.28%	66.72%	-29.01	5-8
2020-08-22	New York Liberty	W 82-65	1509.35	1244.60	82.11%	17.89%	+14.03	6-8
2020-08-28	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-80	1523.38	1669.89	30.08%	69.92%	-11.45	6-9
2020-08-30	@ Washington Mystics	W 76-63	1511.93	1393.61	66.40%	33.60%	+23.05	7-9
2020-09-01	@ New York Liberty	W 70-65	1534.98	1249.94	83.76%	16.24%	+6.90	8-9
2020-09-03	Las Vegas Aces	L 78-93	1541.88	1686.60	30.30%	69.70%	-22.32	8-10
2020-09-05	@ Indiana Fever	W 96-77	1519.56	1307.79	77.19%	22.81%	+18.91	9-10
2020-09-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-70	1538.47	1586.94	43.07%	56.93%	+41.94	10-10
2020-09-09	Phoenix Mercury	L 95-100	1580.41	1545.01	55.08%	44.92%	-23.42	10-11
2020-09-11	Atlanta Dream	L 75-82	1556.99	1359.44	75.72%	24.28%	-38.11	10-12
2020-07-26	@ Atlanta Dream	L 95-105	1425.81	1397.61	54.05%	45.95%	-32.51	0-1
2020-07-29	New York Liberty	W 93-80	1393.30	1363.29	54.31%	45.69%	+31.34	1-1
2020-07-31	Indiana Fever	W 76-73	1424.64	1470.14	43.49%	56.51%	+18.61	2-1
2020-08-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 70-79	1443.25	1526.05	38.31%	61.69%	-21.85	2-2
2020-08-04	@ Chicago Sky	L 79-82	1421.40	1596.85	26.70%	73.30%	-8.80	2-3
2020-08-06	Connecticut Sun	L 68-91	1412.60	1455.18	43.90%	56.10%	-40.05	2-4
2020-08-08	Atlanta Dream	W 85-75	1372.55	1355.11	52.51%	47.49%	+28.57	3-4
2020-08-10	Phoenix Mercury	L 79-91	1401.12	1510.46	34.76%	65.24%	-22.91	3-5
2020-08-12	@ Connecticut Sun	L 66-70	1378.21	1493.93	33.94%	66.06%	-12.91	3-6
2020-08-14	Seattle Storm	L 65-83	1365.30	1675.13	14.39%	85.61%	-11.61	3-7
2020-08-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 95-89	1353.69	1513.20	28.53%	71.47%	+33.30	4-7
2020-08-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 84-91	1386.99	1579.17	24.86%	75.14%	-12.51	4-8
2020-08-21	Washington Mystics	W 101-92	1374.48	1482.58	34.93%	65.07%	+37.13	5-8
2020-08-23	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-84	1411.61	1663.64	18.99%	81.01%	-6.25	5-9
2020-08-25	Las Vegas Aces	L 92-96	1405.36	1714.55	14.43%	85.57%	-5.49	5-10
2020-08-29	@ Indiana Fever	W 82-78	1399.87	1413.75	48.00%	52.00%	+19.78	6-10
2020-09-02	Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-91	1419.65	1631.27	22.83%	77.17%	-12.28	6-11
2020-09-04	Minnesota Lynx	L 75-88	1407.37	1635.12	21.23%	78.77%	-14.56	6-12
2020-09-06	@ Washington Mystics	W 101-94	1392.81	1410.77	47.42%	52.58%	+26.46	7-12
2020-09-09	@ Seattle Storm	L 95-107	1419.27	1742.97	13.43%	86.57%	-8.85	7-13
2020-09-11	Chicago Sky	L 88-95	1410.42	1477.83	40.42%	59.58%	-20.34	7-14
2020-09-13	@ New York Liberty	W 82-79	1390.08	1170.67	77.95%	22.05%	+7.26	8-14
2020-07-25	@ Washington Mystics	L 76-101	1476.23	1631.74	29.00%	71.00%	-27.58	0-1
2020-07-29	Phoenix Mercury	W 106-100	1448.65	1421.75	53.86%	46.14%	+21.49	1-1
2020-07-31	@ Dallas Wings	L 73-76	1470.14	1424.64	56.51%	43.49%	-18.61	1-2
2020-08-02	Atlanta Dream	W 93-77	1451.53	1411.07	55.80%	44.20%	+33.63	2-2
2020-08-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-86	1485.16	1523.86	44.45%	55.55%	-28.04	2-3
2020-08-07	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-87	1457.12	1569.38	34.38%	65.62%	-17.31	2-4
2020-08-09	Washington Mystics	W 91-84	1439.81	1605.35	27.83%	72.17%	+36.32	3-4
2020-08-11	Las Vegas Aces	L 79-98	1476.13	1601.83	32.66%	67.34%	-27.08	3-5
2020-08-13	@ New York Liberty	W 86-79	1449.05	1293.90	70.95%	29.05%	+14.62	4-5
2020-08-15	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-90	1463.67	1622.58	28.60%	71.40%	-20.36	4-6
2020-08-18	@ Connecticut Sun	L 62-84	1443.31	1501.10	41.76%	58.24%	-37.25	4-7
2020-08-20	Seattle Storm	W 90-84	1406.06	1721.22	14.01%	85.99%	+40.06	5-7
2020-08-22	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-87	1446.12	1609.33	28.10%	71.90%	-17.73	5-8
2020-08-25	@ Seattle Storm	L 74-87	1428.39	1654.81	21.36%	78.64%	-14.64	5-9
2020-08-29	Dallas Wings	L 78-82	1413.75	1399.87	52.00%	48.00%	-19.78	5-10
2020-08-31	Chicago Sky	L 77-100	1393.97	1573.82	26.21%	73.79%	-23.91	5-11
2020-09-01	@ Atlanta Dream	L 90-102	1370.06	1262.50	65.00%	35.00%	-42.83	5-12
2020-09-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 81-105	1327.23	1558.74	20.87%	79.13%	-19.44	5-13
2020-09-05	Connecticut Sun	L 77-96	1307.79	1519.56	22.81%	77.19%	-18.92	5-14
2020-09-08	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 86-92	1288.87	1714.85	7.93%	92.07%	-3.69	5-15
2020-09-10	New York Liberty	W 85-75	1285.18	1207.87	60.95%	39.05%	+23.49	6-15
2020-09-12	Minnesota Lynx	L 86-98	1308.67	1569.18	18.25%	81.75%	-12.02	6-16
2020-07-26	Chicago Sky	L 86-88	1537.11	1540.25	49.55%	50.45%	-13.33	0-1
2020-07-29	Atlanta Dream	W 100-70	1523.78	1430.12	63.16%	36.84%	+38.38	1-1
2020-07-31	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 95-102	1562.16	1400.26	71.75%	28.25%	-36.11	1-2
2020-08-02	Dallas Wings	W 79-70	1526.05	1443.25	61.69%	38.31%	+21.86	2-2
2020-08-05	@ Washington Mystics	W 83-77	1547.91	1686.14	31.09%	68.91%	+32.10	3-2
2020-08-07	Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-82	1580.01	1551.90	54.04%	45.96%	+17.49	4-2
2020-08-09	@ New York Liberty	W 78-76	1597.50	1311.00	83.88%	16.12%	+4.33	5-2
2020-08-11	@ Indiana Fever	W 98-79	1601.83	1476.13	67.34%	32.66%	+27.08	6-2
2020-08-13	Minnesota Lynx	W 87-77	1628.91	1588.68	55.76%	44.24%	+26.61	7-2
2020-08-15	Washington Mystics	W 88-73	1655.52	1491.64	71.98%	28.02%	+20.64	8-2
2020-08-18	@ Chicago Sky	L 82-84	1676.16	1583.25	63.06%	36.94%	-16.96	8-3
2020-08-20	Connecticut Sun	W 99-78	1659.20	1538.36	66.72%	33.28%	+29.00	9-3
2020-08-22	Seattle Storm	W 82-74	1688.20	1681.16	51.01%	48.99%	+26.35	10-3
2020-08-25	@ Dallas Wings	W 96-92	1714.55	1405.36	85.57%	14.43%	+5.49	11-3
2020-08-29	New York Liberty	W 80-63	1720.04	1254.98	93.57%	6.43%	+5.05	12-3
2020-09-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 85-92	1725.09	1520.25	76.48%	23.52%	-38.49	12-4
2020-09-03	@ Connecticut Sun	W 93-78	1686.60	1541.88	69.70%	30.30%	+22.32	13-4
2020-09-05	@ Atlanta Dream	W 89-79	1708.92	1324.49	90.14%	9.86%	+5.93	14-4
2020-09-08	Indiana Fever	W 92-86	1714.85	1288.87	92.07%	7.93%	+3.70	15-4
2020-09-10	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 104-89	1718.55	1593.28	67.28%	32.72%	+24.10	16-4
2020-09-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-70	1742.65	1616.25	67.43%	32.57%	+23.18	17-4
2020-09-13	@ Seattle Storm	W 86-84	1765.83	1775.37	48.63%	51.37%	+13.82	18-4
2020-07-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 99-76	1530.66	1457.96	60.31%	39.69%	+36.20	1-0
2020-07-28	@ Chicago Sky	L 78-96	1566.86	1553.58	51.91%	48.09%	-41.89	1-1
2020-07-30	Connecticut Sun	W 81-76	1524.97	1528.34	49.52%	50.48%	+21.48	2-1
2020-08-01	@ Seattle Storm	L 75-81	1546.45	1557.01	48.48%	51.52%	-22.59	2-2
2020-08-05	Indiana Fever	W 86-75	1523.86	1485.16	55.55%	44.45%	+28.04	3-2
2020-08-07	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 82-86	1551.90	1580.01	45.96%	54.04%	-17.48	3-3
2020-08-09	Minnesota Lynx	W 97-81	1534.42	1586.68	42.53%	57.47%	+43.72	4-3
2020-08-11	New York Liberty	W 93-78	1578.14	1306.66	82.67%	17.33%	+12.76	5-3
2020-08-13	@ Washington Mystics	W 81-64	1590.90	1523.32	59.61%	40.39%	+31.68	6-3
2020-08-15	@ Indiana Fever	W 90-76	1622.58	1463.67	71.40%	28.60%	+20.35	7-3
2020-08-19	Phoenix Mercury	W 83-74	1642.93	1479.91	71.88%	28.12%	+16.05	8-3
2020-08-21	@ Atlanta Dream	W 93-85	1658.98	1249.66	91.34%	8.66%	+4.66	9-3
2020-08-23	Dallas Wings	W 84-81	1663.64	1411.61	81.01%	18.99%	+6.25	10-3
2020-08-28	@ Connecticut Sun	W 80-76	1669.89	1523.38	69.92%	30.08%	+11.44	11-3
2020-08-30	Atlanta Dream	W 84-79	1681.33	1266.07	91.61%	8.39%	+3.57	12-3
2020-08-31	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 78-96	1684.90	1566.06	66.47%	33.53%	-53.63	12-4
2020-09-02	@ Dallas Wings	W 91-83	1631.27	1419.65	77.17%	22.83%	+12.28	13-4
2020-09-04	Seattle Storm	L 89-90	1643.55	1704.90	41.26%	58.74%	-7.85	13-5
2020-09-06	Chicago Sky	W 86-80	1635.70	1535.47	64.04%	35.96%	+16.75	14-5
2020-09-08	@ New York Liberty	W 96-70	1652.45	1215.11	92.54%	7.46%	+7.24	15-5
2020-09-10	Washington Mystics	L 72-80	1659.69	1410.49	80.76%	19.24%	-43.44	15-6
2020-09-12	Las Vegas Aces	L 70-84	1616.25	1742.65	32.57%	67.43%	-23.18	15-7
2020-07-26	Connecticut Sun	W 77-69	1527.97	1573.09	43.54%	56.46%	+30.37	1-0
2020-07-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 66-90	1558.34	1538.28	52.88%	47.12%	-49.28	1-1
2020-07-30	Chicago Sky	W 83-81	1509.06	1595.47	37.82%	62.18%	+16.73	2-1
2020-08-01	@ Connecticut Sun	W 78-69	1525.79	1506.86	52.72%	47.28%	+26.98	3-1
2020-08-05	@ New York Liberty	W 92-66	1552.77	1278.92	82.87%	17.13%	+16.61	4-1
2020-08-07	Indiana Fever	W 87-80	1569.38	1457.12	65.62%	34.38%	+17.30	5-1
2020-08-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-97	1586.68	1534.42	57.47%	42.53%	-43.72	5-2
2020-08-11	Washington Mystics	W 68-48	1542.96	1569.03	46.26%	53.74%	+45.72	6-2
2020-08-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 77-87	1588.68	1628.91	44.24%	55.76%	-26.61	6-3
2020-08-15	New York Liberty	W 94-64	1562.07	1279.28	83.59%	16.41%	+17.10	7-3
2020-08-19	Dallas Wings	W 91-84	1579.17	1386.99	75.14%	24.86%	+12.51	8-3
2020-08-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 90-80	1591.68	1463.86	67.61%	32.39%	+19.48	9-3
2020-08-23	Atlanta Dream	L 75-78	1611.16	1245.00	89.17%	10.83%	-29.37	9-4
2020-08-28	@ Atlanta Dream	W 88-79	1581.79	1274.38	85.44%	14.56%	+8.31	10-4
2020-08-30	Phoenix Mercury	L 79-83	1590.10	1496.21	63.19%	36.81%	-24.04	10-5
2020-08-31	Los Angeles Sparks	W 96-78	1566.06	1684.90	33.53%	66.47%	+53.63	11-5
2020-09-02	@ Chicago Sky	W 86-83	1619.69	1597.73	53.16%	46.84%	+15.43	12-5
2020-09-04	@ Dallas Wings	W 88-75	1635.12	1407.37	78.77%	21.23%	+14.56	13-5
2020-09-06	Seattle Storm	L 88-103	1649.68	1712.75	41.02%	58.98%	-30.22	13-6
2020-09-08	@ Washington Mystics	L 86-89	1619.46	1384.31	79.47%	20.53%	-26.18	13-7
2020-09-10	Las Vegas Aces	L 89-104	1593.28	1718.55	32.72%	67.28%	-24.10	13-8
2020-09-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 98-86	1569.18	1308.67	81.75%	18.25%	+12.03	14-8
2020-07-25	Seattle Storm	L 71-87	1388.19	1513.38	32.72%	67.28%	-24.90	0-1
2020-07-29	@ Dallas Wings	L 80-93	1363.29	1393.30	45.69%	54.31%	-31.33	0-2
2020-07-31	@ Atlanta Dream	L 78-84	1331.96	1391.74	41.48%	58.52%	-19.33	0-3
2020-08-02	Phoenix Mercury	L 67-96	1312.63	1436.36	32.91%	67.09%	-33.71	0-4
2020-08-05	Minnesota Lynx	L 66-92	1278.92	1552.77	17.13%	82.87%	-16.61	0-5
2020-08-07	@ Washington Mystics	W 74-66	1262.31	1654.04	9.49%	90.51%	+48.69	1-5
2020-08-09	Las Vegas Aces	L 76-78	1311.00	1597.50	16.12%	83.88%	-4.34	1-6
2020-08-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 78-93	1306.66	1578.14	17.33%	82.67%	-12.76	1-7
2020-08-13	Indiana Fever	L 79-86	1293.90	1449.05	29.05%	70.95%	-14.62	1-8
2020-08-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 64-94	1279.28	1562.07	16.41%	83.59%	-17.10	1-9
2020-08-18	@ Seattle Storm	L 64-105	1262.18	1712.75	6.95%	93.05%	-8.47	1-10
2020-08-20	Chicago Sky	L 85-101	1253.71	1600.22	11.98%	88.02%	-9.11	1-11
2020-08-22	@ Connecticut Sun	L 65-82	1244.60	1509.35	17.89%	82.11%	-14.02	1-12
2020-08-25	@ Chicago Sky	W 101-99	1230.58	1627.05	9.26%	90.74%	+24.40	2-12
2020-08-29	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 63-80	1254.98	1720.04	6.43%	93.57%	-5.04	2-13
2020-09-01	Connecticut Sun	L 65-70	1249.94	1534.98	16.24%	83.76%	-6.91	2-14
2020-09-03	Atlanta Dream	L 56-62	1243.03	1305.33	41.13%	58.87%	-19.16	2-15
2020-09-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 67-83	1223.87	1578.19	11.51%	88.49%	-8.76	2-16
2020-09-08	Los Angeles Sparks	L 70-96	1215.11	1652.45	7.46%	92.54%	-7.24	2-17
2020-09-10	@ Indiana Fever	L 75-85	1207.87	1285.18	39.05%	60.95%	-23.49	2-18
2020-09-12	Washington Mystics	L 58-75	1184.38	1453.94	17.48%	82.52%	-13.71	2-19
2020-09-13	Dallas Wings	L 79-82	1170.67	1390.08	22.05%	77.95%	-7.26	2-20
2020-07-25	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-99	1457.96	1530.66	39.69%	60.31%	-36.21	0-1
2020-07-29	@ Indiana Fever	L 100-106	1421.75	1448.65	46.14%	53.86%	-21.49	0-2
2020-07-31	Las Vegas Aces	W 102-95	1400.26	1562.16	28.25%	71.75%	+36.10	1-2
2020-08-02	@ New York Liberty	W 96-67	1436.36	1312.63	67.09%	32.91%	+33.71	2-2
2020-08-04	@ Atlanta Dream	W 81-74	1470.07	1377.44	63.02%	36.98%	+18.61	3-2
2020-08-06	Chicago Sky	W 96-86	1488.68	1605.65	33.78%	66.22%	+39.83	4-2
2020-08-08	@ Seattle Storm	L 68-74	1528.51	1608.03	38.75%	61.25%	-18.05	4-3
2020-08-10	@ Dallas Wings	W 91-79	1510.46	1401.12	65.24%	34.76%	+22.90	5-3
2020-08-12	@ Chicago Sky	L 71-89	1533.36	1550.23	47.57%	52.43%	-38.39	5-4
2020-08-14	Atlanta Dream	W 96-80	1494.97	1294.39	76.04%	23.96%	+18.23	6-4
2020-08-16	Dallas Wings	L 89-95	1513.20	1353.69	71.47%	28.53%	-33.29	6-5
2020-08-19	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-83	1479.91	1642.93	28.12%	71.88%	-16.05	6-6
2020-08-21	Minnesota Lynx	L 80-90	1463.86	1591.68	32.39%	67.61%	-19.48	6-7
2020-08-23	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-87	1444.38	1445.45	49.85%	50.15%	+9.54	7-7
2020-08-28	Washington Mystics	W 94-72	1453.92	1435.91	52.59%	47.41%	+42.29	8-7
2020-08-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 83-79	1496.21	1590.10	36.81%	63.19%	+24.04	9-7
2020-09-01	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 92-85	1520.25	1725.09	23.52%	76.48%	+38.49	10-7
2020-09-03	Indiana Fever	W 105-81	1558.74	1327.23	79.13%	20.87%	+19.45	11-7
2020-09-05	New York Liberty	W 83-67	1578.19	1223.87	88.49%	11.51%	+8.75	12-7
2020-09-07	Connecticut Sun	L 70-85	1586.94	1538.47	56.93%	43.07%	-41.93	12-8
2020-09-09	@ Connecticut Sun	W 100-95	1545.01	1580.41	44.92%	55.08%	+23.42	13-8
2020-09-11	Seattle Storm	L 60-83	1568.43	1751.82	25.81%	74.19%	-23.55	13-9
2020-07-25	@ New York Liberty	W 87-71	1513.38	1388.19	67.28%	32.72%	+24.90	1-0
2020-07-28	Minnesota Lynx	W 90-66	1538.28	1558.34	47.12%	52.88%	+49.28	2-0
2020-07-30	@ Washington Mystics	L 71-89	1587.56	1673.71	37.85%	62.15%	-30.55	2-1
2020-08-01	Los Angeles Sparks	W 81-75	1557.01	1546.45	51.52%	48.48%	+22.59	3-1
2020-08-04	Connecticut Sun	W 87-74	1579.60	1479.89	63.97%	36.03%	+24.71	4-1
2020-08-06	@ Atlanta Dream	W 93-92	1604.31	1358.83	80.43%	19.57%	+3.72	5-1
2020-08-08	Phoenix Mercury	W 74-68	1608.03	1528.51	61.25%	38.75%	+18.06	6-1
2020-08-10	Chicago Sky	W 89-71	1626.09	1585.93	55.75%	44.25%	+35.70	7-1
2020-08-12	Atlanta Dream	W 100-63	1661.79	1307.72	88.47%	11.53%	+13.34	8-1
2020-08-14	@ Dallas Wings	W 83-65	1675.13	1365.30	85.61%	14.39%	+11.61	9-1
2020-08-16	@ Connecticut Sun	W 95-72	1686.74	1527.12	71.48%	28.52%	+26.01	10-1
2020-08-18	New York Liberty	W 105-64	1712.75	1262.18	93.05%	6.95%	+8.47	11-1
2020-08-20	@ Indiana Fever	L 84-90	1721.22	1406.06	85.99%	14.01%	-40.06	11-2
2020-08-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 74-82	1681.16	1688.20	48.99%	51.01%	-26.35	11-3
2020-08-25	Indiana Fever	W 87-74	1654.81	1428.39	78.64%	21.36%	+14.64	12-3
2020-08-29	@ Chicago Sky	W 88-74	1669.45	1602.65	59.50%	40.50%	+28.83	13-3
2020-09-02	Washington Mystics	W 71-64	1698.28	1370.57	86.83%	13.17%	+6.62	14-3
2020-09-04	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 90-89	1704.90	1643.55	58.74%	41.26%	+7.85	15-3
2020-09-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 103-88	1712.75	1649.68	58.98%	41.02%	+30.22	16-3
2020-09-09	Dallas Wings	W 107-95	1742.97	1419.27	86.57%	13.43%	+8.85	17-3
2020-09-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 83-60	1751.82	1568.43	74.19%	25.81%	+23.55	18-3
2020-09-13	Las Vegas Aces	L 84-86	1775.37	1765.83	51.37%	48.63%	-13.82	18-4
2020-07-25	Indiana Fever	W 101-76	1631.74	1476.23	71.00%	29.00%	+27.58	1-0
2020-07-28	@ Connecticut Sun	W 94-89	1659.32	1542.72	66.18%	33.82%	+14.39	2-0
2020-07-30	Seattle Storm	W 89-71	1673.71	1587.56	62.15%	37.85%	+30.54	3-0
2020-08-01	@ Chicago Sky	L 86-88	1704.25	1578.74	67.32%	32.68%	-18.11	3-1
2020-08-05	Las Vegas Aces	L 77-83	1686.14	1547.91	68.91%	31.09%	-32.10	3-2
2020-08-07	New York Liberty	L 66-74	1654.04	1262.31	90.51%	9.49%	-48.69	3-3
2020-08-09	@ Indiana Fever	L 84-91	1605.35	1439.81	72.17%	27.83%	-36.32	3-4
2020-08-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 48-68	1569.03	1542.96	53.74%	46.26%	-45.71	3-5
2020-08-13	Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-81	1523.32	1590.90	40.39%	59.61%	-31.68	3-6
2020-08-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 73-88	1491.64	1655.52	28.02%	71.98%	-20.64	3-7
2020-08-19	Atlanta Dream	W 98-91	1471.00	1261.24	76.98%	23.02%	+11.58	4-7
2020-08-21	@ Dallas Wings	L 92-101	1482.58	1374.48	65.07%	34.93%	-37.13	4-8
2020-08-23	Phoenix Mercury	L 87-88	1445.45	1444.38	50.15%	49.85%	-9.54	4-9
2020-08-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-94	1435.91	1453.92	47.41%	52.59%	-42.30	4-10
2020-08-30	Connecticut Sun	L 63-76	1393.61	1511.93	33.60%	66.40%	-23.04	4-11
2020-09-02	@ Seattle Storm	L 64-71	1370.57	1698.28	13.17%	86.83%	-6.63	4-12
2020-09-04	Chicago Sky	W 79-69	1363.94	1582.29	22.15%	77.85%	+46.83	5-12
2020-09-06	Dallas Wings	L 94-101	1410.77	1392.81	52.58%	47.42%	-26.46	5-13
2020-09-08	Minnesota Lynx	W 89-86	1384.31	1619.46	20.53%	79.47%	+26.18	6-13
2020-09-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-72	1410.49	1659.69	19.24%	80.76%	+43.45	7-13
2020-09-12	@ New York Liberty	W 75-58	1453.94	1184.38	82.52%	17.48%	+13.71	8-13
2020-09-13	@ Atlanta Dream	W 85-78	1467.65	1397.54	59.95%	40.05%	+20.15	9-13

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2020-09-15	Connecticut Sun	L 81-94	1498.17	1518.88	47.02%	52.98%	-32.24	0-1
2020-09-15	@ Chicago Sky	W 94-81	1518.88	1498.17	52.98%	47.02%	+32.25	1-0
2020-09-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 73-59	1551.13	1593.07	43.99%	56.01%	+39.86	2-0
2020-09-20	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 87-62	1590.99	1779.65	25.24%	74.76%	+71.10	3-0
2020-09-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 75-83	1662.09	1708.55	43.35%	56.65%	-23.32	3-1
2020-09-24	Las Vegas Aces	W 77-68	1638.77	1731.87	36.91%	63.09%	+35.99	4-1
2020-09-27	Las Vegas Aces	L 75-84	1674.76	1695.87	46.97%	53.03%	-26.80	4-2
2020-09-29	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 63-66	1647.96	1722.67	39.41%	60.59%	-12.98	4-3
2020-09-20	Connecticut Sun	L 62-87	1779.65	1590.99	74.76%	25.24%	-71.10	0-1
2020-09-22	Connecticut Sun	W 83-75	1708.55	1662.09	56.65%	43.35%	+23.32	1-1
2020-09-24	@ Connecticut Sun	L 68-77	1731.87	1638.77	63.09%	36.91%	-36.00	1-2
2020-09-27	@ Connecticut Sun	W 84-75	1695.87	1674.76	53.03%	46.97%	+26.80	2-2
2020-09-29	Connecticut Sun	W 66-63	1722.67	1647.96	60.59%	39.41%	+12.98	3-2
2020-10-02	Seattle Storm	L 80-93	1735.65	1803.62	40.34%	59.66%	-27.66	3-3
2020-10-04	Seattle Storm	L 91-104	1707.99	1831.29	32.97%	67.03%	-22.61	3-4
2020-10-06	@ Seattle Storm	L 59-92	1685.38	1853.89	27.49%	72.51%	-30.03	3-5
2020-09-17	Connecticut Sun	L 59-73	1593.07	1551.13	56.01%	43.99%	-39.86	0-1
2020-09-17	Phoenix Mercury	W 80-79	1581.21	1552.85	54.07%	45.93%	+8.73	1-0
2020-09-22	@ Seattle Storm	L 86-88	1589.94	1761.55	27.13%	72.87%	-7.30	1-1
2020-09-24	@ Seattle Storm	L 79-89	1582.64	1768.85	25.50%	74.50%	-15.34	1-2
2020-09-27	Seattle Storm	L 71-92	1567.30	1784.19	22.30%	77.70%	-19.43	1-3
2020-09-15	Washington Mystics	W 85-84	1544.88	1487.80	58.14%	41.86%	+7.97	1-0
2020-09-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 79-80	1552.85	1581.21	45.93%	54.07%	-8.74	1-1
2020-09-22	Minnesota Lynx	W 88-86	1761.55	1589.94	72.87%	27.13%	+7.30	1-0
2020-09-24	Minnesota Lynx	W 89-79	1768.85	1582.64	74.50%	25.50%	+15.34	2-0
2020-09-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 92-71	1784.19	1567.30	77.70%	22.30%	+19.43	3-0
2020-10-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 93-80	1803.62	1735.65	59.66%	40.34%	+27.67	4-0
2020-10-04	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 104-91	1831.29	1707.99	67.03%	32.97%	+22.60	5-0
2020-10-06	Las Vegas Aces	W 92-59	1853.89	1685.38	72.51%	27.49%	+30.04	6-0
2020-09-15	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 84-85	1487.80	1544.88	41.86%	58.14%	-7.96	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-08-25	9.26%	New York Liberty	1230.58	101	@ Chicago Sky	1627.05	99
2	2020-08-07	9.49%	New York Liberty	1262.31	74	@ Washington Mystics	1654.04	66
3	2020-08-23	10.83%	Atlanta Dream	1245.00	78	@ Minnesota Lynx	1611.16	75
4	2020-08-20	14.01%	@ Indiana Fever	1406.06	90	Seattle Storm	1721.22	84
5	2020-09-10	19.24%	Washington Mystics	1410.49	80	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1659.69	72
6	2020-09-08	20.53%	@ Washington Mystics	1384.31	89	Minnesota Lynx	1619.46	86
7	2020-09-04	22.15%	@ Washington Mystics	1363.94	79	Chicago Sky	1582.29	69
8	2020-09-01	23.52%	Phoenix Mercury	1520.25	92	@ Las Vegas Aces	1725.09	85
9	2020-09-09	24.01%	Atlanta Dream	1318.56	97	@ Chicago Sky	1518.72	89
10	2020-09-11	24.28%	Atlanta Dream	1359.44	82	@ Connecticut Sun	1556.99	75
11	2020-09-20 *	25.24%	Connecticut Sun	1590.99	87	@ Las Vegas Aces	1779.65	62
12	2020-08-09	27.83%	@ Indiana Fever	1439.81	91	Washington Mystics	1605.35	84
13	2020-07-31	28.25%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1400.26	102	Las Vegas Aces	1562.16	95
14	2020-08-16	28.53%	Dallas Wings	1353.69	95	@ Phoenix Mercury	1513.20	89
15	2020-08-05	31.09%	Las Vegas Aces	1547.91	83	@ Washington Mystics	1686.14	77
16	2020-08-01	32.68%	@ Chicago Sky	1578.74	88	Washington Mystics	1704.25	86
17	2020-08-31	33.53%	@ Minnesota Lynx	1566.06	96	Los Angeles Sparks	1684.90	78
18	2020-08-06	33.78%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1488.68	96	Chicago Sky	1605.65	86
19	2020-08-21	34.93%	@ Dallas Wings	1374.48	101	Washington Mystics	1482.58	92
20	2020-09-01	35.00%	@ Atlanta Dream	1262.50	102	Indiana Fever	1370.06	90
21	2020-08-30	36.81%	Phoenix Mercury	1496.21	83	@ Minnesota Lynx	1590.10	79
22	2020-09-24 *	36.91%	@ Connecticut Sun	1638.77	77	Las Vegas Aces	1731.87	68
23	2020-08-18	36.94%	@ Chicago Sky	1583.25	84	Las Vegas Aces	1676.16	82
24	2020-07-30	37.82%	@ Minnesota Lynx	1509.06	83	Chicago Sky	1595.47	81
25	2020-08-14	38.44%	Connecticut Sun	1506.84	77	@ Chicago Sky	1588.62	74

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2020-09-20 *	71.10	Connecticut Sun	87	1590.99	25.24%	@ Las Vegas Aces	62	1779.65	74.76%
2	2020-08-31	53.63	@ Minnesota Lynx	96	1566.06	33.53%	Los Angeles Sparks	78	1684.90	66.47%
3	2020-07-28	49.28	@ Seattle Storm	90	1538.28	47.12%	Minnesota Lynx	66	1558.34	52.88%
4	2020-08-07	48.69	New York Liberty	74	1262.31	9.49%	@ Washington Mystics	66	1654.04	90.51%
5	2020-09-04	46.83	@ Washington Mystics	79	1363.94	22.15%	Chicago Sky	69	1582.29	77.85%
6	2020-08-11	45.72	@ Minnesota Lynx	68	1542.96	46.26%	Washington Mystics	48	1569.03	53.74%
7	2020-08-09	43.72	@ Los Angeles Sparks	97	1534.42	42.53%	Minnesota Lynx	81	1586.68	57.47%
8	2020-09-10	43.45	Washington Mystics	80	1410.49	19.24%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	72	1659.69	80.76%
9	2020-09-01	42.83	@ Atlanta Dream	102	1262.50	35.00%	Indiana Fever	90	1370.06	65.00%
10	2020-08-28	42.30	@ Phoenix Mercury	94	1453.92	52.59%	Washington Mystics	72	1435.91	47.41%
11	2020-09-07	41.94	Connecticut Sun	85	1538.47	43.07%	@ Phoenix Mercury	70	1586.94	56.93%
12	2020-07-28	41.89	@ Chicago Sky	96	1553.58	48.09%	Los Angeles Sparks	78	1566.86	51.91%
13	2020-09-09	40.89	Atlanta Dream	97	1318.56	24.01%	@ Chicago Sky	89	1518.72	75.99%
14	2020-08-20	40.06	@ Indiana Fever	90	1406.06	14.01%	Seattle Storm	84	1721.22	85.99%
15	2020-08-06	40.05	Connecticut Sun	91	1455.18	56.10%	@ Dallas Wings	68	1412.60	43.90%
16	2020-09-17 *	39.86	Connecticut Sun	73	1551.13	43.99%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	59	1593.07	56.01%
17	2020-08-06	39.84	@ Phoenix Mercury	96	1488.68	33.78%	Chicago Sky	86	1605.65	66.22%
18	2020-09-01	38.49	Phoenix Mercury	92	1520.25	23.52%	@ Las Vegas Aces	85	1725.09	76.48%
19	2020-08-12	38.39	@ Chicago Sky	89	1550.23	52.43%	Phoenix Mercury	71	1533.36	47.57%
20	2020-07-29	38.38	@ Las Vegas Aces	100	1523.78	63.16%	Atlanta Dream	70	1430.12	36.84%
21	2020-09-11	38.11	Atlanta Dream	82	1359.44	24.28%	@ Connecticut Sun	75	1556.99	75.72%
22	2020-08-18	37.26	@ Connecticut Sun	84	1501.10	58.24%	Indiana Fever	62	1443.31	41.76%
23	2020-08-21	37.13	@ Dallas Wings	101	1374.48	34.93%	Washington Mystics	92	1482.58	65.07%
24	2020-08-09	36.32	@ Indiana Fever	91	1439.81	27.83%	Washington Mystics	84	1605.35	72.17%
25	2020-07-25	36.21	Los Angeles Sparks	99	1530.66	60.31%	@ Phoenix Mercury	76	1457.96	39.69%