2019 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Washington Mystics

1st Title

Runner-Up

Connecticut Sun

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2005

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Sky

3.39 wins above expected

20 wins · 16.61 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Atlanta Dream

4.54 wins below expected

8 wins · 12.54 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Washington Mystics League	26	8	.765	-	89.3	77.3	+12.0	23.03	+2.97
2	Connecticut Sun Playoffs	23	11	.676	3	80.8	77.9	+2.9	21.90	+1.10
3	Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs	22	12	.647	4	80.1	77.2	+2.8	18.83	+3.17
4	Las Vegas Aces Playoffs	21	13	.618	5	82.2	78.8	+3.4	19.09	+1.91
5	Chicago Sky Playoffs	20	14	.588	6	84.6	83.3	+1.3	16.61	+3.39
6	Seattle Storm Playoffs	18	16	.529	8	74.8	75.1	-0.3	20.08	-2.08
7	Minnesota Lynx Playoffs	18	16	.529	8	78.4	75.9	+2.5	17.34	+0.66
8	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	15	19	.441	11	76.5	77.6	-1.1	18.24	-3.24
9	Indiana Fever	13	21	.382	13	77.6	80.3	-2.7	12.78	+0.22
10	Dallas Wings	10	24	.294	16	71.6	77.4	-5.8	12.40	-2.40
11	New York Liberty	10	24	.294	16	77.4	84.7	-7.3	11.18	-1.18
12	Atlanta Dream	8	26	.235	18	71.2	78.9	-7.6	12.54	-4.54

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Chicago Sky 105

Phoenix Mercury 76

Sep 11

Seattle Storm 84

Minnesota Lynx 74

Sep 11

Second Round

Los Angeles Sparks 92

Seattle Storm 69

Sep 15

Las Vegas Aces 93

Chicago Sky 92

Sep 15

Semifinals

Connecticut Sun 3

Los Angeles Sparks 0

3 games · Sep 17–Sep 22

Washington Mystics 3

Las Vegas Aces 1

4 games · Sep 17–Sep 24

WNBA Finals

Washington Mystics 3

Connecticut Sun 2

5 games · Sep 29–Oct 10

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Washington Mystics	1744	26	23.03	+2.97	91.46%	10	19	21	23	25	27	33
Los Angeles Sparks	1619	22	18.83	+3.17	90.92%	8	14	17	19	21	23	30
Connecticut Sun	1578	23	21.90	+1.10	72.19%	10	17	20	22	24	26	31
Chicago Sky	1570	20	16.61	+3.39	92.22%	5	12	15	17	18	21	27
Minnesota Lynx	1567	18	17.34	+0.66	66.02%	4	13	15	17	19	22	29
Las Vegas Aces	1551	21	19.09	+1.91	80.62%	7	15	17	19	21	24	30
Seattle Storm	1526	18	20.08	-2.08	27.63%	8	16	18	20	22	24	31
Indiana Fever	1454	13	12.78	+0.22	61.16%	3	8	11	13	15	17	24
Phoenix Mercury	1434	15	18.24	-3.24	15.68%	7	14	16	18	20	23	30
Dallas Wings	1359	10	12.40	-2.40	23.66%	2	8	11	12	14	17	24
Atlanta Dream	1305	8	12.54	-4.54	6.12%	3	8	11	13	14	17	23
New York Liberty	1294	10	11.18	-1.18	40.59%	1	7	9	11	13	16	23

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)
Chicago Sky	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	—	2-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	1-2 (2.1 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)
Dallas Wings	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	2-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	3-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	—	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (2.1 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	—	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)
New York Liberty	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (0.9 exp.)
Seattle Storm	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Mystics	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-2 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	0.49%	1.96%	0.49%	0.98%	0.25%	0.25%	4.41%
60–69	1.96%	3.92%	6.37%	2.94%	1.96%	0.74%	17.89%
70–79	0.49%	6.37%	11.76%	10.05%	3.19%	1.23%	33.09%
80–89	0.98%	2.94%	10.05%	8.33%	4.66%	0.98%	27.94%
90–99	0.25%	1.96%	3.19%	4.66%	1.47%	0.74%	12.25%
100+	0.25%	0.74%	1.23%	0.98%	0.74%	0.49%	4.41%
Total	4.41%	17.89%	33.09%	27.94%	12.25%	4.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.70	78.70	+0.00
SD	11.26	11.26	14.23
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	109	109	+43
Min	52	52	-43

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	—	11.76%
60–69	2.94%	2.94%	14.71%	8.82%	8.82%	—	38.24%
70–79	—	2.94%	17.65%	8.82%	5.88%	—	35.29%
80–89	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	8.82%
90–99	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	5.88%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	14.71%	38.24%	26.47%	17.65%	—	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	71.21	78.85	-7.65
SD	9.18	11.05	10.23
CV	0.13	0.14	—
Max	90	98	+11
Min	58	53	-29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	5.88%
70–79	—	5.88%	14.71%	5.88%	—	—	26.47%
80–89	—	—	14.71%	11.76%	5.88%	8.82%	41.18%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	11.76%	—	2.94%	17.65%
100+	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%
Total	—	5.88%	38.24%	29.41%	11.76%	14.71%	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.59	83.29	+1.29
SD	10.01	10.43	11.37
CV	0.12	0.13	—
Max	109	104	+27
Min	69	64	-25

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	5.88%
60–69	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
70–79	—	11.76%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	38.24%
80–89	—	5.88%	17.65%	8.82%	—	—	32.35%
90–99	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
100+	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%
Total	2.94%	23.53%	41.18%	17.65%	5.88%	8.82%	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.82	77.94	+2.88
SD	11.51	12.22	15.61
CV	0.14	0.16	—
Max	104	109	+30
Min	57	59	-43

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
60–69	2.94%	8.82%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
70–79	—	5.88%	14.71%	8.82%	—	2.94%	32.35%
80–89	—	2.94%	8.82%	5.88%	5.88%	—	23.53%
90–99	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	20.59%	44.12%	23.53%	5.88%	2.94%	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	71.59	77.38	-5.79
SD	9.09	10.11	12.20
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	89	102	+23
Min	54	54	-32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	5.88%	2.94%	5.88%	—	5.88%	2.94%	23.53%
70–79	2.94%	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	38.24%
80–89	—	—	5.88%	14.71%	8.82%	—	29.41%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	5.88%
100+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	8.82%	8.82%	29.41%	26.47%	20.59%	5.88%	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.59	80.29	-2.71
SD	10.32	12.76	13.85
CV	0.13	0.16	—
Max	104	107	+28
Min	61	54	-39

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	8.82%
70–79	—	2.94%	11.76%	11.76%	8.82%	—	35.29%
80–89	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	14.71%	—	—	29.41%
90–99	2.94%	2.94%	—	8.82%	2.94%	—	17.65%
100+	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	8.82%
Total	8.82%	14.71%	23.53%	38.24%	14.71%	—	100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.21	78.79	+3.41
SD	10.38	11.98	14.85
CV	0.13	0.15	—
Max	102	99	+35
Min	60	54	-29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	11.76%
70–79	—	11.76%	8.82%	14.71%	—	—	35.29%
80–89	—	2.94%	14.71%	8.82%	5.88%	—	32.35%
90–99	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	14.71%
100+	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	—	26.47%	26.47%	35.29%	11.76%	—	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.06	77.24	+2.82
SD	10.93	9.57	14.85
CV	0.14	0.12	—
Max	102	98	+34
Min	52	60	-29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
60–69	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
70–79	—	8.82%	14.71%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	47.06%
80–89	2.94%	8.82%	11.76%	8.82%	—	—	32.35%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	8.82%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	20.59%	35.29%	32.35%	2.94%	2.94%	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.38	75.91	+2.47
SD	9.54	10.35	11.97
CV	0.12	0.14	—
Max	98	101	+32
Min	53	56	-23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
60–69	—	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	—	2.94%	17.65%
70–79	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	8.82%	2.94%	32.35%
80–89	—	—	11.76%	8.82%	20.59%	—	41.18%
90–99	—	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	8.82%	23.53%	20.59%	35.29%	8.82%	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.41	84.74	-7.32
SD	8.65	11.02	11.87
CV	0.11	0.13	—
Max	98	101	+16
Min	58	58	-35

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
60–69	2.94%	11.76%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
70–79	—	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	—	2.94%	32.35%
80–89	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	—	11.76%
90–99	—	5.88%	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	—	17.65%
100+	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
Total	5.88%	26.47%	20.59%	35.29%	8.82%	2.94%	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	76.50	77.62	-1.12
SD	12.27	11.27	12.06
CV	0.16	0.15	—
Max	103	105	+23
Min	54	58	-27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
60–69	2.94%	8.82%	8.82%	2.94%	—	2.94%	26.47%
70–79	—	8.82%	11.76%	8.82%	2.94%	—	32.35%
80–89	—	8.82%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
90–99	—	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	32.35%	35.29%	23.53%	2.94%	2.94%	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	74.79	75.09	-0.29
SD	10.18	10.47	13.59
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	95	102	+22
Min	54	57	-34

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	5.88%
70–79	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
80–89	5.88%	2.94%	11.76%	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	29.41%
90–99	—	5.88%	17.65%	8.82%	2.94%	—	35.29%
100+	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
Total	8.82%	11.76%	41.18%	26.47%	8.82%	2.94%	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	89.26	77.26	+12.00
SD	10.35	11.30	16.78
CV	0.12	0.15	—
Max	107	103	+43
Min	68	52	-23

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.71	+9.4
Allowed	0.09	-6.3
Differential	0.90	+10.0

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Sky	20	16.61	+3.39
2	Los Angeles Sparks	22	18.83	+3.17
3	Washington Mystics	26	23.03	+2.97
4	Las Vegas Aces	21	19.09	+1.91
5	Connecticut Sun	23	21.90	+1.10

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Atlanta Dream	8	12.54	-4.54
2	Phoenix Mercury	15	18.24	-3.24
3	Dallas Wings	10	12.40	-2.40
4	Seattle Storm	18	20.08	-2.08
5	New York Liberty	10	11.18	-1.18

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Liberty	4	Jun 28 – Jul 5	1 in 106
2	Connecticut Sun	7	Jun 2 – Jun 21	1 in 29
3	Chicago Sky	4	Jun 9 – Jun 19	1 in 24
4	Dallas Wings	3	Aug 10 – Aug 16	1 in 24
5	Las Vegas Aces	5	Jun 29 – Jul 13	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atlanta Dream	12	Jul 14 – Aug 20	1 in 113
2	Seattle Storm	3	Jun 30 – Jul 5	1 in 111
3	Connecticut Sun	5	Jun 23 – Jul 10	1 in 100
4	Washington Mystics	3	Jul 7 – Jul 13	1 in 38
5	Minnesota Lynx	4	Jun 8 – Jun 16	1 in 34

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Washington Mystics	44.71%	24.66%	13.63%	7.97%	4.57%	2.51%	1.28%	0.50%	0.15%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	27.69%	25.38%	17.21%	11.80%	7.82%	4.96%	2.96%	1.43%	0.53%	0.17%	0.05%	0.01%
Seattle Storm	9.97%	15.70%	18.32%	16.83%	13.66%	10.82%	7.28%	4.43%	1.91%	0.78%	0.24%	0.06%
Las Vegas Aces	6.50%	10.85%	14.02%	15.30%	14.93%	13.36%	11.03%	7.53%	3.84%	1.76%	0.66%	0.22%
Los Angeles Sparks	5.01%	9.47%	13.25%	14.95%	15.43%	13.97%	12.05%	8.41%	4.40%	1.98%	0.83%	0.24%
Phoenix Mercury	3.12%	6.64%	10.35%	13.31%	15.24%	15.85%	14.40%	10.92%	5.77%	2.84%	1.18%	0.38%
Minnesota Lynx	1.91%	4.44%	7.47%	10.18%	13.15%	15.24%	16.04%	14.02%	8.97%	5.06%	2.53%	0.99%
Chicago Sky	1.05%	2.63%	4.94%	7.63%	10.76%	14.14%	16.98%	18.07%	11.67%	7.05%	3.68%	1.41%
Indiana Fever	0.02%	0.08%	0.27%	0.73%	1.52%	3.00%	5.76%	10.68%	18.36%	21.10%	20.85%	17.63%
Atlanta Dream	0.02%	0.07%	0.27%	0.58%	1.23%	2.65%	5.04%	9.53%	17.01%	21.39%	22.45%	19.76%
Dallas Wings	<0.01%	0.05%	0.20%	0.52%	1.19%	2.42%	4.77%	9.40%	16.77%	21.29%	23.05%	20.34%
New York Liberty	<0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.20%	0.49%	1.08%	2.41%	5.10%	10.63%	16.56%	24.49%	38.96%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Washington Mystics	44.71%	24.66%	13.63%	7.97%	4.57%	2.51%	1.28%	0.50%	0.19%
Connecticut Sun	27.69%	25.38%	17.21%	11.80%	7.82%	4.96%	2.96%	1.43%	0.75%
Seattle Storm	9.97%	15.70%	18.32%	16.83%	13.66%	10.82%	7.28%	4.43%	2.99%
Las Vegas Aces	6.50%	10.85%	14.02%	15.30%	14.93%	13.36%	11.03%	7.53%	6.48%
Los Angeles Sparks	5.01%	9.47%	13.25%	14.95%	15.43%	13.97%	12.05%	8.41%	7.45%
Phoenix Mercury	3.12%	6.64%	10.35%	13.31%	15.24%	15.85%	14.40%	10.92%	10.18%
Minnesota Lynx	1.91%	4.44%	7.47%	10.18%	13.15%	15.24%	16.04%	14.02%	17.55%
Chicago Sky	1.05%	2.63%	4.94%	7.63%	10.76%	14.14%	16.98%	18.07%	23.80%
Indiana Fever	0.02%	0.08%	0.27%	0.73%	1.52%	3.00%	5.76%	10.68%	77.94%
Atlanta Dream	0.02%	0.07%	0.27%	0.58%	1.23%	2.65%	5.04%	9.53%	80.60%
Dallas Wings	<0.01%	0.05%	0.20%	0.52%	1.19%	2.42%	4.77%	9.40%	81.45%
New York Liberty	<0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.20%	0.49%	1.08%	2.41%	5.10%	90.64%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+21.57%

Fortress

60.78%39.22%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 76.13 Elo pts.

24 Elo

0.042 points per Elo point

060

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.97 points

Home-Tilted

-8+3.21+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.6

Few Contenders

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

59%

Washington Mystics, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

66.7%

Heavy Favorite

025.00%100%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.16 · As Expected: 2.16 to 2.97 · Elevated: 2.97 to 4.05 · High Variance: 4.05 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.36 · Close: 1.36 to 1.83 · Off Target: 1.83 to 2.39 · Well Off Target: 2.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.52 · As Expected: 0.52 to 0.87 · More Than Expected: 0.87 to 1.39 · Far More Than Expected: 1.39 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.55 wins

As Expected

02.707

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.25

Pinpoint

01.594

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

92.22%

Chicago Sky

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.12%

Atlanta Dream

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

0 of 8

Fewer Than Expected

00.78

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.36

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

71%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

93%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

12%

Mostly Decisive

0%17%100%

Blowouts

Expected

29%

Frequent

0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.90

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.40

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

32%

As Expected

0%34%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

As Expected

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.11 · Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.21 · Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.76

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.02

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.088

Within Noise

00.1060.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Washington Mystics	91.79%	91.79%	75.49%	59.45%
Connecticut Sun	76.09%	76.09%	36.00%	11.36%
Los Angeles Sparks	61.06%	50.30%	25.84%	10.93%
Las Vegas Aces	56.08%	45.18%	17.43%	5.23%
Seattle Storm	55.14%	52.09%	17.41%	4.42%
Minnesota Lynx	50.26%	30.66%	12.24%	4.20%
Chicago Sky	44.88%	24.84%	10.22%	3.57%
Phoenix Mercury	45.21%	24.42%	4.61%	0.71%
Indiana Fever	8.01%	2.51%	0.57%	0.12%
Dallas Wings	4.71%	1.08%	0.12%	0.01%
Atlanta Dream	4.07%	0.76%	0.06%	<0.01%
New York Liberty	1.80%	0.30%	0.03%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		13.4%0.25%	15.7%0.64%	28.6%0.01%	34.5%0.03%	16.2%0.62%	12.0%0.69%	20.5%0.37%	60.0%<0.01%	29.4%0.38%	19.0%0.68%	6.0%0.40%
Chicago Sky	86.6%0.25%		42.9%5.99%	75.6%0.32%	69.7%0.47%	49.9%7.32%	40.3%7.73%	49.3%5.01%	89.4%0.11%	65.6%5.27%	50.5%7.83%	23.0%4.58%
Connecticut Sun	84.3%0.64%	57.1%5.99%		78.9%0.67%	72.5%1.24%	56.9%6.01%	48.3%6.88%	56.4%6.72%	89.6%0.28%	70.1%5.00%	59.1%4.86%	27.7%1.68%
Dallas Wings	71.4%0.01%	24.4%0.32%	21.1%0.67%		51.7%0.03%	22.6%0.72%	15.4%0.75%	21.7%0.38%	50.0%<0.01%	36.1%0.45%	25.4%0.85%	6.7%0.52%
Indiana Fever	65.5%0.03%	30.3%0.47%	27.5%1.24%	48.3%0.03%		30.6%1.16%	24.8%1.14%	30.2%0.69%	77.8%<0.01%	48.0%0.84%	33.9%1.47%	14.1%0.93%
Las Vegas Aces	83.8%0.62%	50.1%7.32%	43.1%6.01%	77.4%0.72%	69.4%1.16%		42.3%10.87%	50.8%8.21%	82.4%0.27%	65.7%7.50%	51.4%9.27%	24.4%4.13%
Los Angeles Sparks	88.0%0.69%	59.7%7.73%	51.7%6.88%	84.6%0.75%	75.2%1.14%	57.7%10.87%		58.0%8.91%	85.9%0.28%	72.0%8.61%	60.3%10.39%	29.2%4.82%
Minnesota Lynx	79.5%0.37%	50.7%5.01%	43.6%6.72%	78.3%0.38%	69.8%0.69%	49.2%8.21%	42.0%8.91%		84.5%0.15%	65.3%6.22%	53.0%8.93%	22.6%4.66%
New York Liberty	40.0%<0.01%	10.6%0.11%	10.4%0.28%	50.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	17.6%0.27%	14.1%0.28%	15.5%0.15%		26.1%0.18%	18.3%0.34%	3.1%0.16%
Phoenix Mercury	70.6%0.38%	34.4%5.27%	29.9%5.00%	63.9%0.45%	52.0%0.84%	34.3%7.50%	28.0%8.61%	34.7%6.22%	73.9%0.18%		36.0%7.18%	13.8%3.57%
Seattle Storm	81.0%0.68%	49.5%7.83%	40.9%4.86%	74.6%0.85%	66.1%1.47%	48.6%9.27%	39.7%10.39%	47.0%8.93%	81.7%0.34%	64.0%7.18%		21.4%3.35%
Washington Mystics	94.0%0.40%	77.0%4.58%	72.3%1.68%	93.3%0.52%	85.9%0.93%	75.6%4.13%	70.8%4.82%	77.4%4.66%	96.9%0.16%	86.2%3.57%	78.6%3.35%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		20.0%0.01%	11.2%0.17%		0.0%<0.01%	12.9%0.06%	7.5%0.07%	12.5%0.02%		24.0%0.03%	18.3%0.07%	1.2%0.33%
Chicago Sky	80.0%0.01%		51.0%6.44%	63.6%0.01%	85.0%0.04%	55.9%2.04%	42.9%1.88%	51.4%0.89%	100.0%<0.01%	78.7%0.99%	61.0%2.95%	19.8%9.57%
Connecticut Sun	88.8%0.17%	49.0%6.44%		86.7%0.29%	70.0%0.65%	53.9%11.73%	40.8%13.69%	52.2%8.19%	91.8%0.08%	77.1%6.07%	60.2%13.41%	19.3%15.36%
Dallas Wings		36.4%0.01%	13.3%0.29%			18.6%0.07%	10.1%0.07%	5.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.03%	24.7%0.10%	2.6%0.49%
Indiana Fever	100.0%<0.01%	15.0%0.04%	30.0%0.65%			35.1%0.17%	25.9%0.16%	30.4%0.06%		58.8%0.08%	43.9%0.25%	8.7%1.11%
Las Vegas Aces	87.1%0.06%	44.1%2.04%	46.1%11.73%	81.4%0.07%	64.9%0.17%		35.9%5.16%	45.0%2.75%	76.9%0.01%	73.1%2.47%	55.9%6.49%	16.6%14.22%
Los Angeles Sparks	92.5%0.07%	57.1%1.88%	59.2%13.69%	89.9%0.07%	74.1%0.16%	64.1%5.16%		60.6%2.72%	84.6%0.01%	82.8%2.65%	68.9%6.95%	26.4%16.94%
Minnesota Lynx	87.5%0.02%	48.6%0.89%	47.8%8.19%	94.1%0.02%	69.6%0.06%	55.0%2.75%	39.4%2.72%		50.0%<0.01%	76.9%1.30%	59.2%3.64%	18.8%11.07%
New York Liberty		0.0%<0.01%	8.2%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%		23.1%0.01%	15.4%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		53.8%0.01%	8.1%0.04%	1.6%0.12%
Phoenix Mercury	76.0%0.03%	21.3%0.99%	22.9%6.07%	46.2%0.03%	41.2%0.08%	26.9%2.47%	17.2%2.65%	23.1%1.30%	46.2%0.01%		32.6%3.22%	6.1%7.58%
Seattle Storm	81.7%0.07%	39.0%2.95%	39.8%13.41%	75.3%0.10%	56.1%0.25%	44.1%6.49%	31.1%6.95%	40.8%3.64%	91.9%0.04%	67.4%3.22%		13.0%14.98%
Washington Mystics	98.8%0.33%	80.2%9.57%	80.7%15.36%	97.4%0.49%	91.3%1.11%	83.4%14.22%	73.6%16.94%	81.2%11.07%	98.4%0.12%	93.9%7.58%	87.0%14.98%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	2.9%0.03%
Chicago Sky	100.0%<0.01%		50.9%1.35%	80.0%<0.01%	55.2%0.03%	51.4%0.75%	41.0%1.27%	46.4%0.55%		78.2%0.17%	58.2%0.67%	21.8%5.42%
Connecticut Sun	100.0%<0.01%	49.1%1.35%		85.7%0.01%	65.4%0.05%	52.5%2.25%	42.6%3.88%	49.9%1.60%	100.0%<0.01%	73.3%0.53%	59.2%2.20%	22.1%24.12%
Dallas Wings		20.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%			22.2%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	4.6%0.07%
Indiana Fever		44.8%0.03%	34.6%0.05%			43.1%0.06%	18.6%0.06%	33.3%0.03%		44.4%<0.01%	47.1%0.03%	9.0%0.30%
Las Vegas Aces	100.0%<0.01%	48.6%0.75%	47.5%2.25%	77.8%<0.01%	56.9%0.06%		36.0%1.89%	47.0%0.85%	100.0%<0.01%	64.6%0.25%	53.6%1.03%	18.9%10.34%
Los Angeles Sparks	100.0%0.01%	59.0%1.27%	57.4%3.88%	88.9%<0.01%	81.4%0.06%	64.0%1.89%		58.9%1.45%	100.0%<0.01%	80.0%0.43%	68.4%1.84%	28.1%15.00%
Minnesota Lynx	100.0%<0.01%	53.6%0.55%	50.1%1.60%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.03%	53.0%0.85%	41.1%1.45%		0.0%<0.01%	73.7%0.21%	59.6%0.78%	20.9%6.76%
New York Liberty			0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%				5.9%0.02%
Phoenix Mercury	50.0%<0.01%	21.8%0.17%	26.7%0.53%	33.3%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%	35.4%0.25%	20.0%0.43%	26.3%0.21%			33.3%0.22%	8.0%2.79%
Seattle Storm	100.0%<0.01%	41.8%0.67%	40.8%2.20%	66.7%<0.01%	52.9%0.03%	46.4%1.03%	31.6%1.84%	40.4%0.78%		66.7%0.22%		16.0%10.63%
Washington Mystics	97.1%0.03%	78.2%5.42%	77.9%24.12%	95.4%0.07%	91.0%0.30%	81.1%10.34%	71.9%15.00%	79.1%6.76%	94.1%0.02%	92.0%2.79%	84.0%10.63%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Washington Mystics	100.00%	82.54%	62.90%	Won Finals
Los Angeles Sparks	70.42%	40.86%	13.36%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Connecticut Sun	100.00%	45.02%	11.38%	Eliminated in Finals
Las Vegas Aces	57.21%	13.95%	4.61%	Eliminated in Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Chicago Sky		43.3%77.17%
Las Vegas Aces	56.7%77.17%			55.7%10.34%		61.5%12.49%
Los Angeles Sparks				64.8%34.83%	79.0%22.83%	70.4%42.35%
Minnesota Lynx		44.3%10.34%	35.2%34.83%
Phoenix Mercury			21.0%22.83%
Seattle Storm		38.5%12.49%	29.6%42.35%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky		51.5%10.81%						20.6%22.59%
Connecticut Sun	48.5%10.81%		54.8%16.85%	42.0%70.42%	45.8%0.96%		56.8%0.96%
Las Vegas Aces		45.2%16.85%						15.7%40.36%
Los Angeles Sparks		58.0%70.42%
Minnesota Lynx		54.2%0.96%						22.0%15.89%
Phoenix Mercury								7.5%4.79%
Seattle Storm		43.2%0.96%						15.9%16.37%
Washington Mystics	79.4%22.59%		84.3%40.36%		78.0%15.89%	92.5%4.79%	84.1%16.37%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky		57.1%1.95%		48.8%2.70%	40.3%0.60%		50.3%0.47%	23.4%4.50%
Connecticut Sun	42.9%1.95%		49.7%2.69%		41.3%1.71%	62.9%0.19%	47.4%1.33%	20.9%37.15%
Las Vegas Aces		50.3%2.69%		42.7%3.65%	36.2%0.73%	53.2%0.09%	46.8%0.47%	18.5%6.31%
Los Angeles Sparks	51.2%2.70%		57.3%3.65%		48.4%0.45%		57.2%0.35%	28.1%33.72%
Minnesota Lynx	59.7%0.60%	58.7%1.71%	63.8%0.73%	51.6%0.45%		70.3%0.04%		27.3%0.48%
Phoenix Mercury		37.1%0.19%	46.8%0.09%		29.7%0.04%		38.2%0.03%
Seattle Storm	49.7%0.47%	52.6%1.33%	53.2%0.47%	42.8%0.35%		61.8%0.03%		19.9%0.38%
Washington Mystics	76.6%4.50%	79.1%37.15%	81.5%6.31%	71.9%33.72%	72.7%0.48%		80.1%0.38%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Washington Mystics 62.90% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

41.22%

Win Prob

84.31%

→

Finals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

46.74%

Win Prob

79.15%

Los Angeles Sparks 13.36% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

42.35%

Win Prob

70.42%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

58.03%

→

Finals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

70.87%

Win Prob

28.08%

Connecticut Sun 11.38% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

65.65%

Win Prob

41.97%

→

Finals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

68.10%

Win Prob

20.85%

Las Vegas Aces 4.61% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

76.52%

Win Prob

56.73%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

54.59%

Win Prob

45.18%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

33.72%

Win Prob

42.67%

Chicago Sky 3.97% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Las Vegas Aces

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.27%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

54.48%

Win Prob

51.55%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

33.23%

Win Prob

48.76%

Minnesota Lynx 2.22% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

72.80%

Win Prob

35.22%

→

Semifinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

87.06%

Win Prob

22.02%

→

Finals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

45.14%

Win Prob

58.75%

Seattle Storm 1.42% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

72.26%

Win Prob

29.58%

→

Semifinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

86.25%

Win Prob

15.94%

→

Finals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

48.95%

Win Prob

52.56%

Phoenix Mercury 0.14% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.98%

→

Semifinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

7.49%

→

Finals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

51.43%

Win Prob

37.11%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2019-05-24	Dallas Wings	W 76-72	1535.91	1473.47	68.95%	31.05%	+7.45	1-0
2019-05-31	Seattle Storm	L 66-82	1543.36	1583.11	55.22%	44.78%	-26.48	1-1
2019-06-01	@ Washington Mystics	L 75-96	1516.88	1527.75	37.73%	62.27%	-20.73	1-2
2019-06-06	Las Vegas Aces	L 69-92	1496.15	1468.05	64.56%	35.44%	-37.13	1-3
2019-06-09	Connecticut Sun	L 59-65	1459.02	1587.88	42.47%	57.53%	-12.47	1-4
2019-06-15	@ Dallas Wings	L 61-71	1446.55	1408.13	44.59%	55.41%	-16.91	1-5
2019-06-19	Indiana Fever	W 88-78	1429.64	1426.59	61.20%	38.80%	+14.71	2-5
2019-06-21	@ Connecticut Sun	L 76-86	1444.35	1640.50	17.26%	82.74%	-6.54	2-6
2019-06-23	Washington Mystics	L 73-89	1437.81	1627.48	34.22%	65.78%	-16.41	2-7
2019-06-30	New York Liberty	L 58-74	1421.40	1384.66	65.69%	34.31%	-31.51	2-8
2019-07-02	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-85	1389.89	1494.66	26.09%	73.91%	-12.90	2-9
2019-07-05	@ Seattle Storm	W 77-66	1376.99	1578.47	16.83%	83.17%	+33.08	3-9
2019-07-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 63-65	1410.07	1503.76	27.34%	72.66%	-4.64	3-10
2019-07-10	Connecticut Sun	W 78-75	1405.43	1567.46	37.88%	62.12%	+12.90	4-10
2019-07-12	Minnesota Lynx	W 60-53	1418.33	1528.68	45.09%	54.91%	+17.42	5-10
2019-07-14	Los Angeles Sparks	L 71-76	1435.75	1526.58	47.88%	52.12%	-12.84	5-11
2019-07-17	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-77	1422.91	1502.73	28.95%	71.05%	-3.47	5-12
2019-07-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 69-98	1419.44	1588.86	19.57%	80.43%	-12.64	5-13
2019-07-21	@ Washington Mystics	L 65-93	1406.80	1601.07	17.41%	82.59%	-11.04	5-14
2019-07-23	Los Angeles Sparks	L 66-78	1395.76	1528.48	41.93%	58.07%	-17.42	5-15
2019-07-31	@ Indiana Fever	L 59-61	1378.34	1362.07	41.47%	58.53%	-7.03	5-16
2019-08-03	Chicago Sky	L 75-87	1371.31	1506.22	41.62%	58.38%	-17.29	5-17
2019-08-06	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-85	1354.02	1461.80	45.46%	54.54%	-21.80	5-18
2019-08-10	@ Indiana Fever	L 82-87	1332.22	1386.17	32.11%	67.89%	-8.61	5-19
2019-08-13	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 90-94	1323.61	1566.59	13.74%	86.26%	-3.29	5-20
2019-08-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 68-77	1320.32	1510.60	17.75%	82.25%	-6.39	5-21
2019-08-20	Chicago Sky	L 83-87	1313.93	1527.06	31.25%	68.75%	-7.49	5-22
2019-08-23	@ New York Liberty	W 90-87	1306.44	1327.17	36.41%	63.59%	+13.21	6-22
2019-08-25	@ Dallas Wings	W 77-73	1319.65	1391.69	29.88%	70.12%	+16.81	7-22
2019-08-29	Phoenix Mercury	L 58-65	1336.46	1510.29	36.30%	63.70%	-11.51	7-23
2019-09-01	@ Seattle Storm	L 75-92	1324.95	1494.82	19.53%	80.47%	-9.66	7-24
2019-09-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 60-70	1315.29	1578.61	12.41%	87.59%	-4.70	7-25
2019-09-05	Las Vegas Aces	W 78-74	1310.59	1550.91	27.99%	72.01%	+17.27	8-25
2019-09-08	New York Liberty	L 63-71	1327.86	1270.36	68.33%	31.67%	-23.18	8-26
2019-05-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 71-89	1456.45	1498.63	33.60%	66.40%	-17.09	0-1
2019-06-01	Seattle Storm	W 83-79	1439.36	1609.59	36.78%	63.22%	+15.16	1-1
2019-06-05	@ Washington Mystics	L 85-103	1454.52	1548.48	27.31%	72.69%	-13.89	1-2
2019-06-09	Seattle Storm	W 78-71	1440.63	1604.87	37.58%	62.42%	+19.80	2-2
2019-06-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 82-75	1460.43	1548.00	48.35%	51.65%	+16.38	3-2
2019-06-15	@ Indiana Fever	W 70-64	1476.81	1443.06	43.93%	56.07%	+16.47	4-2
2019-06-19	@ New York Liberty	W 91-83	1493.28	1405.14	51.73%	48.27%	+16.37	5-2
2019-06-21	Indiana Fever	L 69-76	1509.65	1411.88	73.13%	26.87%	-23.20	5-3
2019-06-23	Connecticut Sun	W 93-75	1486.45	1647.05	38.08%	61.92%	+31.50	6-3
2019-06-26	Washington Mystics	L 74-81	1517.95	1643.89	42.88%	57.12%	-13.60	6-4
2019-06-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 76-79	1504.35	1594.66	27.73%	72.27%	-5.76	6-5
2019-06-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 69-94	1498.59	1480.52	41.72%	58.28%	-25.01	6-6
2019-07-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 82-90	1473.58	1507.99	34.61%	65.39%	-11.74	6-7
2019-07-07	Dallas Wings	W 78-66	1461.84	1407.40	67.95%	32.05%	+13.31	7-7
2019-07-10	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-73	1475.15	1522.18	54.18%	45.82%	-6.50	7-8
2019-07-12	New York Liberty	W 99-83	1468.65	1409.43	68.55%	31.45%	+15.09	8-8
2019-07-14	@ Dallas Wings	W 89-79	1483.74	1408.16	49.92%	50.08%	+18.99	9-8
2019-07-17	Atlanta Dream	W 77-76	1502.73	1422.91	71.05%	28.95%	+3.47	10-8
2019-07-21	Indiana Fever	W 78-70	1506.20	1380.54	76.16%	23.84%	+8.08	11-8
2019-07-30	@ Connecticut Sun	L 94-100	1514.28	1606.92	27.46%	72.54%	-8.06	11-9
2019-08-03	@ Atlanta Dream	W 87-75	1506.22	1371.31	58.38%	41.62%	+17.28	12-9
2019-08-07	New York Liberty	W 101-92	1523.50	1359.91	79.90%	20.10%	+7.23	13-9
2019-08-09	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 87-84	1530.73	1564.79	34.65%	65.35%	+13.58	14-9
2019-08-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-84	1544.31	1588.78	33.31%	66.69%	-6.92	14-10
2019-08-16	Los Angeles Sparks	W 91-81	1537.39	1575.53	55.44%	44.56%	+16.89	15-10
2019-08-18	Las Vegas Aces	L 85-100	1554.28	1569.88	58.62%	41.38%	-27.22	15-11
2019-08-20	@ Atlanta Dream	W 87-83	1527.06	1313.93	68.75%	31.25%	+7.49	16-11
2019-08-23	Washington Mystics	W 85-78	1534.55	1719.15	34.88%	65.12%	+20.66	17-11
2019-08-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 94-86	1555.21	1513.91	45.00%	55.00%	+18.65	18-11
2019-08-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 85-93	1573.86	1535.35	44.61%	55.39%	-15.13	18-12
2019-08-29	Dallas Wings	L 83-88	1558.73	1374.88	81.71%	18.29%	-21.90	18-13
2019-09-01	Phoenix Mercury	W 105-78	1536.83	1521.80	62.83%	37.17%	+23.16	19-13
2019-09-06	@ Connecticut Sun	W 109-104	1559.99	1640.36	28.89%	71.11%	+19.06	20-13
2019-09-08	@ Washington Mystics	L 86-100	1579.05	1734.25	20.89%	79.11%	-9.37	20-14
2019-05-25	Washington Mystics	W 84-69	1549.93	1545.69	61.36%	38.64%	+17.94	1-0
2019-05-28	Indiana Fever	W 88-77	1567.87	1422.34	78.18%	21.82%	+8.68	2-0
2019-05-31	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 70-77	1576.55	1488.42	51.73%	48.27%	-16.41	2-1
2019-06-02	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 80-74	1560.14	1482.68	50.19%	49.81%	+14.63	3-1
2019-06-06	Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-77	1574.77	1516.60	68.42%	31.58%	+13.11	4-1
2019-06-09	@ Atlanta Dream	W 65-59	1587.88	1459.02	57.53%	42.47%	+12.48	5-1
2019-06-11	Washington Mystics	W 83-75	1600.36	1587.96	62.47%	37.53%	+12.72	6-1
2019-06-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 85-81	1613.08	1509.80	53.90%	46.10%	+11.06	7-1
2019-06-16	Seattle Storm	W 81-67	1624.14	1603.93	63.52%	36.48%	+16.36	8-1
2019-06-21	Atlanta Dream	W 86-76	1640.50	1444.35	82.74%	17.26%	+6.55	9-1
2019-06-23	@ Chicago Sky	L 75-93	1647.05	1486.45	61.92%	38.08%	-31.50	9-2
2019-06-26	@ Dallas Wings	L 73-74	1615.55	1431.15	65.09%	34.91%	-7.81	9-3
2019-06-29	@ Washington Mystics	L 59-102	1607.74	1657.49	32.64%	67.36%	-25.66	9-4
2019-07-06	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-74	1582.08	1507.56	70.42%	29.58%	-14.62	9-5
2019-07-10	@ Atlanta Dream	L 75-78	1567.46	1405.43	62.12%	37.88%	-12.90	9-6
2019-07-12	Phoenix Mercury	W 79-64	1554.56	1553.21	60.97%	39.03%	+18.12	10-6
2019-07-14	@ Indiana Fever	W 76-63	1572.68	1407.16	62.59%	37.41%	+16.18	11-6
2019-07-19	Atlanta Dream	W 98-69	1588.86	1419.44	80.43%	19.57%	+12.63	12-6
2019-07-24	New York Liberty	W 70-63	1601.49	1403.55	82.89%	17.11%	+5.43	13-6
2019-07-30	Chicago Sky	W 100-94	1606.92	1514.28	72.54%	27.46%	+8.06	14-6
2019-08-01	Phoenix Mercury	W 68-62	1614.98	1534.69	71.10%	28.90%	+8.49	15-6
2019-08-04	@ New York Liberty	W 94-79	1623.47	1372.33	73.25%	26.75%	+12.42	16-6
2019-08-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 57-89	1635.89	1483.60	60.79%	39.21%	-41.23	16-7
2019-08-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 81-89	1594.66	1551.22	45.31%	54.69%	-15.36	16-8
2019-08-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 78-71	1579.30	1527.57	46.49%	53.51%	+16.97	17-8
2019-08-16	Seattle Storm	W 79-78	1596.27	1542.09	67.92%	32.08%	+3.85	18-8
2019-08-18	Dallas Wings	W 78-68	1600.12	1411.89	82.08%	17.92%	+6.79	19-8
2019-08-23	Las Vegas Aces	W 89-85	1606.91	1605.01	61.04%	38.96%	+9.34	20-8
2019-08-25	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-84	1616.25	1582.31	43.96%	56.04%	-18.26	20-9
2019-08-27	@ Seattle Storm	W 89-70	1597.99	1520.88	50.14%	49.86%	+26.06	21-9
2019-08-30	@ New York Liberty	W 94-84	1624.05	1294.68	81.12%	18.88%	+7.16	22-9
2019-09-04	Dallas Wings	W 102-72	1631.21	1391.07	86.06%	13.94%	+9.15	23-9
2019-09-06	Chicago Sky	L 104-109	1640.36	1559.99	71.11%	28.89%	-19.06	23-10
2019-09-08	@ Indiana Fever	L 76-104	1621.30	1410.71	68.44%	31.56%	-43.42	23-11
2019-05-24	@ Atlanta Dream	L 72-76	1473.47	1535.91	31.05%	68.95%	-7.44	0-1
2019-06-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 67-70	1466.03	1536.28	50.85%	49.15%	-10.56	0-2
2019-06-07	@ Indiana Fever	L 64-79	1455.47	1431.25	42.59%	57.41%	-19.78	0-3
2019-06-09	@ Washington Mystics	L 62-86	1435.69	1574.76	22.46%	77.54%	-13.19	0-4
2019-06-13	Indiana Fever	L 72-76	1422.50	1428.69	59.93%	40.07%	-14.37	0-5
2019-06-15	Atlanta Dream	W 71-61	1408.13	1446.55	55.41%	44.59%	+16.90	1-5
2019-06-20	Phoenix Mercury	W 69-54	1425.03	1500.74	50.06%	49.94%	+23.19	2-5
2019-06-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 68-86	1448.22	1490.77	33.56%	66.44%	-17.07	2-6
2019-06-26	Connecticut Sun	W 74-73	1431.15	1615.55	34.91%	65.09%	+7.81	3-6
2019-06-28	@ New York Liberty	L 68-69	1438.96	1378.94	47.68%	52.32%	-5.72	3-7
2019-06-30	Minnesota Lynx	W 89-86	1433.24	1504.91	50.64%	49.36%	+10.25	4-7
2019-07-05	Indiana Fever	L 56-76	1443.49	1394.08	67.32%	32.68%	-36.09	4-8
2019-07-07	@ Chicago Sky	L 66-78	1407.40	1461.84	32.05%	67.95%	-13.31	4-9
2019-07-09	Los Angeles Sparks	W 74-62	1394.09	1537.27	40.47%	59.53%	+24.72	5-9
2019-07-12	@ Seattle Storm	L 81-95	1418.81	1545.40	23.74%	76.26%	-10.65	5-10
2019-07-14	Chicago Sky	L 79-89	1408.16	1483.74	50.08%	49.92%	-18.99	5-11
2019-07-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 64-69	1389.17	1516.70	23.64%	76.36%	-6.34	5-12
2019-07-18	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-69	1382.83	1539.42	20.76%	79.24%	-5.56	5-13
2019-07-20	Phoenix Mercury	L 66-70	1377.27	1523.04	40.11%	59.89%	-9.62	5-14
2019-07-30	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 54-86	1367.65	1599.31	14.53%	85.47%	-9.86	5-15
2019-08-01	New York Liberty	W 87-64	1357.79	1398.13	55.13%	44.87%	+25.80	6-15
2019-08-03	Las Vegas Aces	L 70-75	1383.59	1592.84	31.73%	68.27%	-8.50	6-16
2019-08-08	@ Seattle Storm	L 57-69	1375.09	1532.81	20.65%	79.35%	-8.58	6-17
2019-08-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 80-77	1366.51	1544.43	18.81%	81.19%	+16.86	7-17
2019-08-14	Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-78	1383.37	1595.70	31.35%	68.65%	+20.16	8-17
2019-08-16	New York Liberty	W 83-77	1403.53	1319.44	71.55%	28.45%	+8.36	9-17
2019-08-18	@ Connecticut Sun	L 68-78	1411.89	1600.12	17.92%	82.08%	-6.80	9-18
2019-08-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-86	1405.09	1493.47	27.95%	72.05%	-13.40	9-19
2019-08-25	Atlanta Dream	L 73-77	1391.69	1319.65	70.12%	29.88%	-16.81	9-20
2019-08-29	@ Chicago Sky	W 88-83	1374.88	1558.73	18.29%	81.71%	+21.90	10-20
2019-08-31	Washington Mystics	L 85-91	1396.78	1719.78	19.45%	80.55%	-5.71	10-21
2019-09-04	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-102	1391.07	1631.21	13.94%	86.06%	-9.15	10-22
2019-09-06	@ Washington Mystics	L 73-86	1381.92	1730.80	7.97%	92.03%	-3.45	10-23
2019-09-08	Seattle Storm	L 64-78	1378.47	1506.94	42.52%	57.48%	-19.08	10-24
2019-05-24	@ New York Liberty	W 81-80	1415.12	1410.93	39.79%	60.21%	+7.22	1-0
2019-05-28	@ Connecticut Sun	L 77-88	1422.34	1567.87	21.82%	78.18%	-8.67	1-1
2019-06-01	New York Liberty	W 92-77	1413.67	1403.71	62.14%	37.86%	+17.58	2-1
2019-06-07	Dallas Wings	W 79-64	1431.25	1455.47	57.41%	42.59%	+19.77	3-1
2019-06-09	Phoenix Mercury	L 87-94	1451.02	1532.38	49.25%	50.75%	-15.62	3-2
2019-06-11	Seattle Storm	L 82-84	1435.40	1585.07	39.57%	60.43%	-6.71	3-3
2019-06-13	@ Dallas Wings	W 76-72	1428.69	1422.50	40.07%	59.93%	+14.37	4-3
2019-06-15	Chicago Sky	L 64-70	1443.06	1476.81	56.07%	43.93%	-16.47	4-4
2019-06-19	@ Atlanta Dream	L 78-88	1426.59	1429.64	38.80%	61.20%	-14.71	4-5
2019-06-21	@ Chicago Sky	W 76-69	1411.88	1509.65	26.87%	73.13%	+23.20	5-5
2019-06-23	@ Seattle Storm	L 61-65	1435.08	1602.73	19.73%	80.27%	-4.73	5-6
2019-06-25	Minnesota Lynx	L 74-78	1430.35	1492.44	52.02%	47.98%	-12.48	5-7
2019-06-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 69-91	1417.87	1492.31	29.59%	70.41%	-16.64	5-8
2019-06-29	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 97-102	1401.23	1500.84	26.67%	73.33%	-7.15	5-9
2019-07-05	@ Dallas Wings	W 76-56	1394.08	1443.49	32.68%	67.32%	+36.10	6-9
2019-07-10	Las Vegas Aces	L 71-74	1430.18	1553.61	43.23%	56.77%	-8.98	6-10
2019-07-12	Los Angeles Sparks	L 84-90	1421.20	1512.54	47.81%	52.19%	-14.04	6-11
2019-07-14	Connecticut Sun	L 63-76	1407.16	1572.68	37.41%	62.59%	-16.17	6-12
2019-07-19	Washington Mystics	L 88-95	1390.99	1590.62	32.94%	67.06%	-10.45	6-13
2019-07-21	@ Chicago Sky	L 70-78	1380.54	1506.20	23.84%	76.16%	-8.09	6-14
2019-07-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 77-95	1372.45	1532.65	20.42%	79.58%	-10.38	6-15
2019-07-31	Atlanta Dream	W 61-59	1362.07	1378.34	58.53%	41.47%	+7.03	7-15
2019-08-03	Minnesota Lynx	W 86-75	1369.10	1483.89	44.46%	55.54%	+22.08	8-15
2019-08-08	@ Washington Mystics	L 78-91	1391.18	1667.79	11.60%	88.40%	-5.01	8-16
2019-08-10	Atlanta Dream	W 87-82	1386.17	1332.22	67.89%	32.11%	+8.61	9-16
2019-08-18	@ Washington Mystics	L 68-107	1394.78	1712.11	9.41%	90.59%	-7.05	9-17
2019-08-20	New York Liberty	L 76-82	1387.73	1306.24	71.25%	28.75%	-20.92	9-18
2019-08-22	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 65-98	1366.81	1570.86	16.62%	83.38%	-11.45	9-19
2019-08-25	@ Seattle Storm	W 63-54	1355.36	1550.62	17.33%	82.67%	+29.74	10-19
2019-08-27	Las Vegas Aces	W 86-71	1385.10	1567.20	35.21%	64.79%	+30.09	11-19
2019-08-29	Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-87	1415.19	1583.54	37.03%	62.97%	-8.88	11-20
2019-09-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 73-81	1406.31	1550.48	21.96%	78.04%	-7.45	11-21
2019-09-06	@ New York Liberty	W 86-81	1398.86	1282.21	55.80%	44.20%	+11.85	12-21
2019-09-08	Connecticut Sun	W 104-76	1410.71	1621.30	31.56%	68.44%	+43.42	13-21
2019-05-26	Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-70	1469.02	1507.71	55.37%	44.63%	+19.30	1-0
2019-05-31	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 84-86	1488.32	1533.46	33.22%	66.78%	-5.64	1-1
2019-06-02	Connecticut Sun	L 74-80	1482.68	1560.14	49.81%	50.19%	-14.63	1-2
2019-06-06	@ Atlanta Dream	W 92-69	1468.05	1496.15	35.44%	64.56%	+37.13	2-2
2019-06-09	@ New York Liberty	L 78-88	1505.18	1361.97	59.53%	40.47%	-22.57	2-3
2019-06-14	New York Liberty	W 100-65	1482.61	1402.01	71.14%	28.86%	+20.47	3-3
2019-06-16	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 80-75	1503.08	1498.75	39.81%	60.19%	+16.14	4-3
2019-06-20	Washington Mystics	L 72-95	1519.22	1599.03	49.47%	50.53%	-28.45	4-4
2019-06-22	Dallas Wings	W 86-68	1490.77	1448.22	66.44%	33.56%	+17.07	5-4
2019-06-25	Seattle Storm	W 60-56	1507.84	1607.46	46.62%	53.38%	+12.80	6-4
2019-06-27	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-86	1520.64	1460.72	47.67%	52.33%	-19.80	6-5
2019-06-29	Indiana Fever	W 102-97	1500.84	1401.23	73.33%	26.67%	+7.15	7-5
2019-07-02	Chicago Sky	W 90-82	1507.99	1473.58	65.39%	34.61%	+11.74	8-5
2019-07-07	@ New York Liberty	W 90-58	1519.73	1443.31	50.04%	49.96%	+33.88	9-5
2019-07-10	@ Indiana Fever	W 74-71	1553.61	1430.18	56.77%	43.23%	+8.98	10-5
2019-07-13	@ Washington Mystics	W 85-81	1562.59	1606.60	33.37%	66.63%	+15.98	11-5
2019-07-19	@ Seattle Storm	L 66-69	1578.57	1585.64	38.25%	61.75%	-7.95	11-6
2019-07-21	Minnesota Lynx	W 79-74	1570.62	1507.35	69.05%	30.95%	+8.30	12-6
2019-07-23	Seattle Storm	W 79-62	1578.92	1593.58	58.75%	41.25%	+20.39	13-6
2019-07-30	Dallas Wings	W 86-54	1599.31	1367.65	85.47%	14.53%	+9.86	14-6
2019-08-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-76	1609.17	1545.90	48.15%	51.85%	-16.33	14-7
2019-08-03	@ Dallas Wings	W 75-70	1592.84	1383.59	68.27%	31.73%	+8.51	15-7
2019-08-05	Washington Mystics	L 70-99	1601.35	1631.24	56.61%	43.39%	-36.56	15-8
2019-08-09	Chicago Sky	L 84-87	1564.79	1530.73	65.35%	34.65%	-13.57	15-9
2019-08-11	Connecticut Sun	W 89-81	1551.22	1594.66	54.69%	45.31%	+15.37	16-9
2019-08-13	Atlanta Dream	W 94-90	1566.59	1323.61	86.26%	13.74%	+3.29	17-9
2019-08-18	@ Chicago Sky	W 100-85	1569.88	1554.28	41.38%	58.62%	+27.22	18-9
2019-08-20	Phoenix Mercury	W 84-79	1597.10	1521.82	70.51%	29.49%	+7.91	19-9
2019-08-23	@ Connecticut Sun	L 85-89	1605.01	1606.91	38.96%	61.04%	-9.34	19-10
2019-08-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 77-98	1595.67	1506.88	51.82%	48.18%	-28.47	19-11
2019-08-27	@ Indiana Fever	L 71-86	1567.20	1385.10	64.79%	35.21%	-30.09	19-12
2019-08-31	Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-86	1537.11	1592.42	52.99%	47.01%	+13.80	20-12
2019-09-05	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-78	1550.91	1310.59	72.01%	27.99%	-17.27	20-13
2019-09-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 98-89	1533.64	1451.82	50.82%	49.18%	+17.69	21-13
2019-05-26	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 70-83	1507.71	1469.02	44.63%	55.37%	-19.29	0-1
2019-05-31	Connecticut Sun	W 77-70	1488.42	1576.55	48.27%	51.73%	+16.41	1-1
2019-06-04	@ New York Liberty	W 78-73	1504.83	1386.13	56.10%	43.90%	+11.77	2-1
2019-06-06	@ Connecticut Sun	L 77-89	1516.60	1574.77	31.58%	68.42%	-13.12	2-2
2019-06-08	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 89-85	1503.48	1543.11	33.93%	66.07%	+15.84	3-2
2019-06-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-68	1519.32	1531.62	37.54%	62.46%	+30.88	4-2
2019-06-15	New York Liberty	L 92-98	1550.20	1381.54	80.36%	19.64%	-23.60	4-3
2019-06-18	Washington Mystics	L 52-81	1526.60	1563.08	55.68%	44.32%	-35.95	4-4
2019-06-21	@ Seattle Storm	L 62-84	1490.65	1587.56	26.97%	73.03%	-15.17	4-5
2019-06-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-82	1475.48	1477.55	38.93%	61.07%	-14.76	4-6
2019-06-27	Las Vegas Aces	W 86-74	1460.72	1520.64	52.33%	47.67%	+19.80	5-6
2019-06-30	Chicago Sky	W 94-69	1480.52	1498.59	58.28%	41.72%	+25.01	6-6
2019-07-07	Washington Mystics	W 98-81	1505.53	1683.15	35.80%	64.20%	+31.74	7-6
2019-07-09	@ Dallas Wings	L 62-74	1537.27	1394.09	59.53%	40.47%	-24.73	7-7
2019-07-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 90-84	1512.54	1421.20	52.19%	47.81%	+14.04	8-7
2019-07-14	@ Atlanta Dream	W 76-71	1526.58	1435.75	52.12%	47.88%	+12.84	9-7
2019-07-18	Dallas Wings	W 69-64	1539.42	1382.83	79.24%	20.76%	+5.57	10-7
2019-07-20	@ New York Liberty	L 78-83	1544.99	1387.05	61.56%	38.44%	-16.51	10-8
2019-07-23	@ Atlanta Dream	W 78-66	1528.48	1395.76	58.07%	41.93%	+17.42	11-8
2019-08-01	Las Vegas Aces	W 76-68	1545.90	1609.17	51.85%	48.15%	+16.33	12-8
2019-08-04	Seattle Storm	W 83-75	1562.23	1545.33	63.08%	36.92%	+12.52	13-8
2019-08-08	Phoenix Mercury	W 84-74	1574.75	1558.46	62.99%	37.01%	+14.03	14-8
2019-08-11	Chicago Sky	W 84-81	1588.78	1544.31	66.69%	33.31%	+6.92	15-8
2019-08-14	@ Dallas Wings	L 78-84	1595.70	1383.37	68.65%	31.35%	-20.17	15-9
2019-08-16	@ Chicago Sky	L 81-91	1575.53	1537.39	44.56%	55.44%	-16.89	15-10
2019-08-20	Minnesota Lynx	W 81-71	1558.64	1505.69	67.77%	32.23%	+12.22	16-10
2019-08-22	Indiana Fever	W 98-65	1570.86	1366.81	83.38%	16.62%	+11.45	17-10
2019-08-25	Connecticut Sun	W 84-72	1582.31	1616.25	56.04%	43.96%	+18.26	18-10
2019-08-27	@ Washington Mystics	L 66-95	1600.57	1702.75	26.38%	73.62%	-17.03	18-11
2019-08-29	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-83	1583.54	1415.19	62.97%	37.03%	+8.88	19-11
2019-08-31	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 86-92	1592.42	1537.11	47.01%	52.99%	-13.81	19-12
2019-09-03	Atlanta Dream	W 70-60	1578.61	1315.29	87.59%	12.41%	+4.71	20-12
2019-09-05	Seattle Storm	W 102-68	1583.32	1529.39	67.89%	32.11%	+22.45	21-12
2019-09-08	Minnesota Lynx	W 77-68	1605.77	1579.83	64.28%	35.72%	+12.84	22-12
2019-05-25	Chicago Sky	W 89-71	1498.63	1456.45	66.40%	33.60%	+17.09	1-0
2019-05-29	Seattle Storm	W 72-61	1515.72	1603.67	48.30%	51.70%	+20.56	2-0
2019-06-01	@ Dallas Wings	W 70-67	1536.28	1466.03	49.15%	50.85%	+10.56	3-0
2019-06-04	@ Seattle Storm	L 77-84	1546.84	1594.43	32.91%	67.09%	-10.44	3-1
2019-06-06	Phoenix Mercury	W 58-56	1536.40	1539.09	60.41%	39.59%	+6.71	4-1
2019-06-08	Los Angeles Sparks	L 85-89	1543.11	1503.48	66.07%	33.93%	-15.84	4-2
2019-06-12	@ New York Liberty	L 69-75	1527.27	1384.55	59.47%	40.53%	-17.47	4-3
2019-06-14	Connecticut Sun	L 81-85	1509.80	1613.08	46.10%	53.90%	-11.05	4-4
2019-06-16	Las Vegas Aces	L 75-80	1498.75	1503.08	60.19%	39.81%	-16.14	4-5
2019-06-22	New York Liberty	W 92-83	1482.61	1388.77	72.68%	27.32%	+9.83	5-5
2019-06-25	@ Indiana Fever	W 78-74	1492.44	1430.35	47.98%	52.02%	+12.47	6-5
2019-06-30	@ Dallas Wings	L 86-89	1504.91	1433.24	49.36%	50.64%	-10.25	6-6
2019-07-02	Atlanta Dream	W 85-68	1494.66	1389.89	73.91%	26.09%	+12.90	7-6
2019-07-06	@ Connecticut Sun	W 74-71	1507.56	1582.08	29.58%	70.42%	+14.62	8-6
2019-07-10	@ Chicago Sky	W 73-72	1522.18	1475.15	45.82%	54.18%	+6.50	9-6
2019-07-12	@ Atlanta Dream	L 53-60	1528.68	1418.33	54.91%	45.09%	-17.42	9-7
2019-07-14	Phoenix Mercury	W 75-62	1511.26	1535.08	57.47%	42.53%	+18.39	10-7
2019-07-17	Seattle Storm	L 79-90	1529.65	1563.34	56.08%	43.92%	-22.30	10-8
2019-07-21	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 74-79	1507.35	1570.62	30.95%	69.05%	-8.30	10-9
2019-07-24	Washington Mystics	L 71-79	1499.05	1612.12	44.70%	55.30%	-15.16	10-10
2019-08-03	@ Indiana Fever	L 75-86	1483.89	1369.10	55.54%	44.46%	-22.09	10-11
2019-08-06	@ Atlanta Dream	W 85-69	1461.80	1354.02	54.54%	45.46%	+21.80	11-11
2019-08-09	Connecticut Sun	W 89-57	1483.60	1635.89	39.21%	60.79%	+41.23	12-11
2019-08-11	@ Washington Mystics	L 78-101	1524.83	1672.81	21.58%	78.42%	-12.41	12-12
2019-08-13	@ New York Liberty	W 89-73	1512.42	1336.73	63.95%	36.05%	+17.29	13-12
2019-08-16	Washington Mystics	L 79-86	1529.71	1700.46	36.71%	63.29%	-11.64	13-13
2019-08-18	@ Seattle Storm	L 74-82	1518.07	1538.24	36.48%	63.52%	-12.38	13-14
2019-08-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 71-81	1505.69	1558.64	32.23%	67.77%	-12.22	13-15
2019-08-22	Dallas Wings	W 86-70	1493.47	1405.09	72.05%	27.95%	+13.41	14-15
2019-08-25	Las Vegas Aces	W 98-77	1506.88	1595.67	48.18%	51.82%	+28.47	15-15
2019-08-27	Chicago Sky	W 93-85	1535.35	1573.86	55.39%	44.61%	+15.13	16-15
2019-09-01	Indiana Fever	W 81-73	1550.48	1406.31	78.04%	21.96%	+7.44	17-15
2019-09-06	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 83-69	1557.92	1473.73	51.16%	48.84%	+21.91	18-15
2019-09-08	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-77	1579.83	1605.77	35.72%	64.28%	-12.84	18-16
2019-05-24	Indiana Fever	L 80-81	1410.93	1415.12	60.21%	39.79%	-7.22	0-1
2019-06-01	@ Indiana Fever	L 77-92	1403.71	1413.67	37.86%	62.14%	-17.58	0-2
2019-06-04	Los Angeles Sparks	L 73-78	1386.13	1504.83	43.90%	56.10%	-11.77	0-3
2019-06-07	Washington Mystics	L 85-94	1374.36	1562.37	34.43%	65.57%	-12.39	0-4
2019-06-09	Las Vegas Aces	W 88-78	1361.97	1505.18	40.47%	59.53%	+22.58	1-4
2019-06-12	Minnesota Lynx	W 75-69	1384.55	1527.27	40.53%	59.47%	+17.46	2-4
2019-06-14	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 65-100	1402.01	1482.61	28.86%	71.14%	-20.47	2-5
2019-06-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 98-92	1381.54	1550.20	19.64%	80.36%	+23.60	3-5
2019-06-19	Chicago Sky	L 83-91	1405.14	1493.28	48.27%	51.73%	-16.37	3-6
2019-06-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 83-92	1388.77	1482.61	27.32%	72.68%	-9.83	3-7
2019-06-28	Dallas Wings	W 69-68	1378.94	1438.96	52.32%	47.68%	+5.72	4-7
2019-06-30	@ Atlanta Dream	W 74-58	1384.66	1421.40	34.31%	65.69%	+31.51	5-7
2019-07-03	@ Seattle Storm	W 84-83	1416.17	1588.14	19.34%	80.66%	+9.67	6-7
2019-07-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 80-76	1425.84	1521.23	27.14%	72.86%	+17.47	7-7
2019-07-07	Las Vegas Aces	L 58-90	1443.31	1519.73	49.96%	50.04%	-33.88	7-8
2019-07-12	@ Chicago Sky	L 83-99	1409.43	1468.65	31.45%	68.55%	-15.09	7-9
2019-07-14	@ Seattle Storm	L 69-78	1394.34	1556.05	20.28%	79.72%	-7.29	7-10
2019-07-20	Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-78	1387.05	1544.99	38.44%	61.56%	+16.50	8-10
2019-07-24	@ Connecticut Sun	L 63-70	1403.55	1601.49	17.11%	82.89%	-5.42	8-11
2019-08-01	@ Dallas Wings	L 64-87	1398.13	1357.79	44.87%	55.13%	-25.80	8-12
2019-08-04	Connecticut Sun	L 79-94	1372.33	1623.47	26.75%	73.25%	-12.42	8-13
2019-08-07	@ Chicago Sky	L 92-101	1359.91	1523.50	20.10%	79.90%	-7.24	8-14
2019-08-11	Seattle Storm	L 69-84	1352.67	1541.38	34.34%	65.66%	-15.94	8-15
2019-08-13	Minnesota Lynx	L 73-89	1336.73	1512.42	36.05%	63.95%	-17.29	8-16
2019-08-16	@ Dallas Wings	L 77-83	1319.44	1403.53	28.45%	71.55%	-8.36	8-17
2019-08-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-78	1311.08	1516.98	16.47%	83.53%	-4.84	8-18
2019-08-20	@ Indiana Fever	W 82-76	1306.24	1387.73	28.75%	71.25%	+20.93	9-18
2019-08-23	Atlanta Dream	L 87-90	1327.17	1306.44	63.59%	36.41%	-13.21	9-19
2019-08-25	@ Washington Mystics	L 72-101	1313.96	1698.49	6.59%	93.41%	-4.25	9-20
2019-08-27	Phoenix Mercury	L 82-95	1309.71	1495.26	34.75%	65.25%	-15.03	9-21
2019-08-30	Connecticut Sun	L 84-94	1294.68	1624.05	18.88%	81.12%	-7.15	9-22
2019-09-03	Washington Mystics	L 77-93	1287.53	1725.49	11.08%	88.92%	-5.32	9-23
2019-09-06	Indiana Fever	L 81-86	1282.21	1398.86	44.20%	55.80%	-11.85	9-24
2019-09-08	@ Atlanta Dream	W 71-63	1270.36	1327.86	31.67%	68.33%	+23.18	10-24
2019-05-25	@ Seattle Storm	L 68-77	1545.35	1591.78	33.06%	66.94%	-11.89	0-1
2019-05-31	Las Vegas Aces	W 86-84	1533.46	1488.32	66.78%	33.22%	+5.63	1-1
2019-06-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 56-58	1539.09	1536.40	39.59%	60.41%	-6.71	1-2
2019-06-09	@ Indiana Fever	W 94-87	1532.38	1451.02	50.75%	49.25%	+15.62	2-2
2019-06-11	@ Chicago Sky	L 75-82	1548.00	1460.43	51.65%	48.35%	-16.38	2-3
2019-06-14	Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-85	1531.62	1519.32	62.46%	37.54%	-30.88	2-4
2019-06-20	@ Dallas Wings	L 54-69	1500.74	1425.03	49.94%	50.06%	-23.19	2-5
2019-06-23	Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-72	1477.55	1475.48	61.07%	38.93%	+14.76	3-5
2019-06-28	Indiana Fever	W 91-69	1492.31	1417.87	70.41%	29.59%	+16.64	4-5
2019-06-30	@ Seattle Storm	W 69-67	1508.95	1600.42	27.59%	72.41%	+12.28	5-5
2019-07-05	New York Liberty	L 76-80	1521.23	1425.84	72.86%	27.14%	-17.47	5-6
2019-07-07	Atlanta Dream	W 65-63	1503.76	1410.07	72.66%	27.34%	+4.64	6-6
2019-07-10	@ Washington Mystics	W 91-68	1508.40	1651.41	22.07%	77.93%	+44.81	7-6
2019-07-12	@ Connecticut Sun	L 64-79	1553.21	1554.56	39.03%	60.97%	-18.13	7-7
2019-07-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 62-75	1535.08	1511.26	42.53%	57.47%	-18.38	7-8
2019-07-17	Dallas Wings	W 69-64	1516.70	1389.17	76.36%	23.64%	+6.34	8-8
2019-07-20	@ Dallas Wings	W 70-66	1523.04	1377.27	59.89%	40.11%	+9.61	9-8
2019-07-23	Indiana Fever	W 95-77	1532.65	1372.45	79.58%	20.42%	+10.39	10-8
2019-07-30	@ Washington Mystics	L 93-99	1543.04	1627.28	28.43%	71.57%	-8.35	10-9
2019-08-01	@ Connecticut Sun	L 62-68	1534.69	1614.98	28.90%	71.10%	-8.49	10-10
2019-08-04	Washington Mystics	W 103-82	1526.20	1663.50	41.29%	58.71%	+32.26	11-10
2019-08-08	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-84	1558.46	1574.75	37.01%	62.99%	-14.03	11-11
2019-08-10	Dallas Wings	L 77-80	1544.43	1366.51	81.19%	18.81%	-16.86	11-12
2019-08-14	Connecticut Sun	L 71-78	1527.57	1579.30	53.51%	46.49%	-16.97	11-13
2019-08-16	Atlanta Dream	W 77-68	1510.60	1320.32	82.25%	17.75%	+6.38	12-13
2019-08-18	New York Liberty	W 78-72	1516.98	1311.08	83.53%	16.47%	+4.84	13-13
2019-08-20	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 79-84	1521.82	1597.10	29.49%	70.51%	-7.91	13-14
2019-08-25	Chicago Sky	L 86-94	1513.91	1555.21	55.00%	45.00%	-18.65	13-15
2019-08-27	@ New York Liberty	W 95-82	1495.26	1309.71	65.25%	34.75%	+15.03	14-15
2019-08-29	@ Atlanta Dream	W 65-58	1510.29	1336.46	63.70%	36.30%	+11.51	15-15
2019-09-01	@ Chicago Sky	L 78-105	1521.80	1536.83	37.17%	62.83%	-23.16	15-16
2019-09-03	Seattle Storm	L 70-82	1498.64	1504.48	59.98%	40.02%	-24.91	15-17
2019-09-06	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-83	1473.73	1557.92	48.84%	51.16%	-21.91	15-18
2019-09-08	Las Vegas Aces	L 89-98	1451.82	1533.64	49.18%	50.82%	-17.69	15-19
2019-05-25	Phoenix Mercury	W 77-68	1591.78	1545.35	66.94%	33.06%	+11.89	1-0
2019-05-29	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 61-72	1603.67	1515.72	51.70%	48.30%	-20.56	1-1
2019-05-31	@ Atlanta Dream	W 82-66	1583.11	1543.36	44.78%	55.22%	+26.48	2-1
2019-06-01	@ Chicago Sky	L 79-83	1609.59	1439.36	63.22%	36.78%	-15.16	2-2
2019-06-04	Minnesota Lynx	W 84-77	1594.43	1546.84	67.09%	32.91%	+10.44	3-2
2019-06-09	@ Chicago Sky	L 71-78	1604.87	1440.63	62.42%	37.58%	-19.80	3-3
2019-06-11	@ Indiana Fever	W 84-82	1585.07	1435.40	60.43%	39.57%	+6.71	4-3
2019-06-14	@ Washington Mystics	W 74-71	1591.78	1575.23	41.51%	58.49%	+12.15	5-3
2019-06-16	@ Connecticut Sun	L 67-81	1603.93	1624.14	36.48%	63.52%	-16.37	5-4
2019-06-21	Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-62	1587.56	1490.65	73.03%	26.97%	+15.17	6-4
2019-06-23	Indiana Fever	W 65-61	1602.73	1435.08	80.27%	19.73%	+4.73	7-4
2019-06-25	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 56-60	1607.46	1507.84	53.38%	46.62%	-12.80	7-5
2019-06-28	Chicago Sky	W 79-76	1594.66	1504.35	72.27%	27.73%	+5.76	8-5
2019-06-30	Phoenix Mercury	L 67-69	1600.42	1508.95	72.41%	27.59%	-12.28	8-6
2019-07-03	New York Liberty	L 83-84	1588.14	1416.17	80.66%	19.34%	-9.67	8-7
2019-07-05	Atlanta Dream	L 66-77	1578.47	1376.99	83.17%	16.83%	-33.07	8-8
2019-07-12	Dallas Wings	W 95-81	1545.40	1418.81	76.26%	23.74%	+10.65	9-8
2019-07-14	New York Liberty	W 78-69	1556.05	1394.34	79.72%	20.28%	+7.29	10-8
2019-07-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 90-79	1563.34	1529.65	43.92%	56.08%	+22.30	11-8
2019-07-19	Las Vegas Aces	W 69-66	1585.64	1578.57	61.75%	38.25%	+7.94	12-8
2019-07-23	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 62-79	1593.58	1578.92	41.25%	58.75%	-20.39	12-9
2019-08-02	Washington Mystics	L 79-99	1573.19	1635.63	51.97%	48.03%	-27.86	12-10
2019-08-04	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-83	1545.33	1562.23	36.92%	63.08%	-12.52	12-11
2019-08-08	Dallas Wings	W 69-57	1532.81	1375.09	79.35%	20.65%	+8.57	13-11
2019-08-11	@ New York Liberty	W 84-69	1541.38	1352.67	65.66%	34.34%	+15.95	14-11
2019-08-14	@ Washington Mystics	L 59-88	1557.33	1685.22	23.61%	76.39%	-15.24	14-12
2019-08-16	@ Connecticut Sun	L 78-79	1542.09	1596.27	32.08%	67.92%	-3.85	14-13
2019-08-18	Minnesota Lynx	W 82-74	1538.24	1518.07	63.52%	36.48%	+12.38	15-13
2019-08-25	Indiana Fever	L 54-63	1550.62	1355.36	82.67%	17.33%	-29.74	15-14
2019-08-27	Connecticut Sun	L 70-89	1520.88	1597.99	49.86%	50.14%	-26.06	15-15
2019-09-01	Atlanta Dream	W 92-75	1494.82	1324.95	80.47%	19.53%	+9.66	16-15
2019-09-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 82-70	1504.48	1498.64	40.02%	59.98%	+24.91	17-15
2019-09-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-102	1529.39	1583.32	32.11%	67.89%	-22.45	17-16
2019-09-08	@ Dallas Wings	W 78-64	1506.94	1378.47	57.48%	42.52%	+19.08	18-16
2019-05-25	@ Connecticut Sun	L 69-84	1545.69	1549.93	38.64%	61.36%	-17.94	0-1
2019-06-01	Atlanta Dream	W 96-75	1527.75	1516.88	62.27%	37.73%	+20.73	1-1
2019-06-05	Chicago Sky	W 103-85	1548.48	1454.52	72.69%	27.31%	+13.89	2-1
2019-06-07	@ New York Liberty	W 94-85	1562.37	1374.36	65.57%	34.43%	+12.39	3-1
2019-06-09	Dallas Wings	W 86-62	1574.76	1435.69	77.54%	22.46%	+13.20	4-1
2019-06-11	@ Connecticut Sun	L 75-83	1587.96	1600.36	37.53%	62.47%	-12.73	4-2
2019-06-14	Seattle Storm	L 71-74	1575.23	1591.78	58.49%	41.51%	-12.15	4-3
2019-06-18	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 81-52	1563.08	1526.60	44.32%	55.68%	+35.95	5-3
2019-06-20	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 95-72	1599.03	1519.22	50.53%	49.47%	+28.45	6-3
2019-06-23	@ Atlanta Dream	W 89-73	1627.48	1437.81	65.78%	34.22%	+16.41	7-3
2019-06-26	@ Chicago Sky	W 81-74	1643.89	1517.95	57.12%	42.88%	+13.60	8-3
2019-06-29	Connecticut Sun	W 102-59	1657.49	1607.74	67.36%	32.64%	+25.66	9-3
2019-07-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-98	1683.15	1505.53	64.20%	35.80%	-31.74	9-4
2019-07-10	Phoenix Mercury	L 68-91	1651.41	1508.40	77.93%	22.07%	-44.81	9-5
2019-07-13	Las Vegas Aces	L 81-85	1606.60	1562.59	66.63%	33.37%	-15.98	9-6
2019-07-19	@ Indiana Fever	W 95-88	1590.62	1390.99	67.06%	32.94%	+10.45	10-6
2019-07-21	Atlanta Dream	W 93-65	1601.07	1406.80	82.59%	17.41%	+11.05	11-6
2019-07-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 79-71	1612.12	1499.05	55.30%	44.70%	+15.16	12-6
2019-07-30	Phoenix Mercury	W 99-93	1627.28	1543.04	71.57%	28.43%	+8.35	13-6
2019-08-02	@ Seattle Storm	W 99-79	1635.63	1573.19	48.03%	51.97%	+27.87	14-6
2019-08-04	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 82-103	1663.50	1526.20	58.71%	41.29%	-32.26	14-7
2019-08-05	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 99-70	1631.24	1601.35	43.39%	56.61%	+36.55	15-7
2019-08-08	Indiana Fever	W 91-78	1667.79	1391.18	88.40%	11.60%	+5.02	16-7
2019-08-11	Minnesota Lynx	W 101-78	1672.81	1524.83	78.42%	21.58%	+12.41	17-7
2019-08-14	Seattle Storm	W 88-59	1685.22	1557.33	76.39%	23.61%	+15.24	18-7
2019-08-16	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 86-79	1700.46	1529.71	63.29%	36.71%	+11.65	19-7
2019-08-18	Indiana Fever	W 107-68	1712.11	1394.78	90.59%	9.41%	+7.04	20-7
2019-08-23	@ Chicago Sky	L 78-85	1719.15	1534.55	65.12%	34.88%	-20.66	20-8
2019-08-25	New York Liberty	W 101-72	1698.49	1313.96	93.41%	6.59%	+4.26	21-8
2019-08-27	Los Angeles Sparks	W 95-66	1702.75	1600.57	73.62%	26.38%	+17.03	22-8
2019-08-31	@ Dallas Wings	W 91-85	1719.78	1396.78	80.55%	19.45%	+5.71	23-8
2019-09-03	@ New York Liberty	W 93-77	1725.49	1287.53	88.92%	11.08%	+5.31	24-8
2019-09-06	Dallas Wings	W 86-73	1730.80	1381.92	92.03%	7.97%	+3.45	25-8
2019-09-08	Chicago Sky	W 100-86	1734.25	1579.05	79.11%	20.89%	+9.37	26-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2019-09-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 105-76	1569.68	1434.13	77.18%	22.82%	+14.74	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 92-93	1584.42	1551.33	43.84%	56.16%	-5.26	1-1
2019-09-17	Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-75	1577.88	1635.55	52.65%	47.35%	+17.03	1-0
2019-09-19	Los Angeles Sparks	W 94-68	1594.91	1618.52	57.50%	42.50%	+25.98	2-0
2019-09-22	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 78-56	1620.89	1592.54	43.17%	56.83%	+31.96	3-0
2019-09-29	@ Washington Mystics	L 86-95	1652.85	1730.09	29.26%	70.74%	-10.52	3-1
2019-10-01	@ Washington Mystics	W 99-87	1642.33	1740.62	26.81%	73.19%	+30.39	4-1
2019-10-06	Washington Mystics	L 81-94	1672.72	1710.22	55.54%	44.46%	-24.00	4-2
2019-10-08	Washington Mystics	W 90-86	1648.72	1734.23	48.65%	51.35%	+12.31	5-2
2019-10-10	@ Washington Mystics	L 78-89	1661.03	1721.91	31.24%	68.76%	-12.43	5-3
2019-09-15	Chicago Sky	W 93-92	1551.33	1584.42	56.16%	43.84%	+5.26	1-0
2019-09-17	@ Washington Mystics	L 95-97	1556.59	1743.62	18.02%	81.98%	-3.06	1-1
2019-09-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 91-103	1553.53	1746.68	17.51%	82.49%	-7.27	1-2
2019-09-22	Washington Mystics	W 92-75	1546.26	1753.95	31.92%	68.08%	+33.66	2-2
2019-09-24	Washington Mystics	L 90-94	1579.92	1720.29	40.86%	59.14%	-9.80	2-3
2019-09-15	Seattle Storm	W 92-69	1618.61	1543.06	70.54%	29.46%	+16.94	1-0
2019-09-17	@ Connecticut Sun	L 75-84	1635.55	1577.88	47.35%	52.65%	-17.03	1-1
2019-09-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 68-94	1618.52	1594.91	42.50%	57.50%	-25.98	1-2
2019-09-22	Connecticut Sun	L 56-78	1592.54	1620.89	56.83%	43.17%	-31.96	1-3
2019-09-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 74-84	1566.99	1526.02	44.96%	55.04%	-17.05	0-1
2019-09-11	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-105	1434.13	1569.68	22.82%	77.18%	-14.74	0-1
2019-09-11	Minnesota Lynx	W 84-74	1526.02	1566.99	55.04%	44.96%	+17.04	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 69-92	1543.06	1618.61	29.46%	70.54%	-16.94	1-1
2019-09-17	Las Vegas Aces	W 97-95	1743.62	1556.59	81.98%	18.02%	+3.06	1-0
2019-09-19	Las Vegas Aces	W 103-91	1746.68	1553.53	82.49%	17.51%	+7.27	2-0
2019-09-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 75-92	1753.95	1546.26	68.08%	31.92%	-33.66	2-1
2019-09-24	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 94-90	1720.29	1579.92	59.14%	40.86%	+9.80	3-1
2019-09-29	Connecticut Sun	W 95-86	1730.09	1652.85	70.74%	29.26%	+10.53	4-1
2019-10-01	Connecticut Sun	L 87-99	1740.62	1642.33	73.19%	26.81%	-30.40	4-2
2019-10-06	@ Connecticut Sun	W 94-81	1710.22	1672.72	44.46%	55.54%	+24.01	5-2
2019-10-08	@ Connecticut Sun	L 86-90	1734.23	1648.72	51.35%	48.65%	-12.32	5-3
2019-10-10	Connecticut Sun	W 89-78	1721.91	1661.03	68.76%	31.24%	+12.43	6-3

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-07-05	16.83%	Atlanta Dream	1376.99	77	@ Seattle Storm	1578.47	66
2	2019-08-25	17.33%	Indiana Fever	1355.36	63	@ Seattle Storm	1550.62	54
3	2019-08-29	18.29%	Dallas Wings	1374.88	88	@ Chicago Sky	1558.73	83
4	2019-08-10	18.81%	Dallas Wings	1366.51	80	@ Phoenix Mercury	1544.43	77
5	2019-07-03	19.34%	New York Liberty	1416.17	84	@ Seattle Storm	1588.14	83
6	2019-06-15	19.64%	New York Liberty	1381.54	98	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1550.20	92
7	2019-07-10	22.07%	Phoenix Mercury	1508.40	91	@ Washington Mystics	1651.41	68
8	2019-10-01 *	26.81%	Connecticut Sun	1642.33	99	@ Washington Mystics	1740.62	87
9	2019-06-21	26.87%	Indiana Fever	1411.88	76	@ Chicago Sky	1509.65	69
10	2019-07-05	27.14%	New York Liberty	1425.84	80	@ Phoenix Mercury	1521.23	76
11	2019-06-30	27.59%	Phoenix Mercury	1508.95	69	@ Seattle Storm	1600.42	67
12	2019-09-05	27.99%	@ Atlanta Dream	1310.59	78	Las Vegas Aces	1550.91	74
13	2019-08-20	28.75%	New York Liberty	1306.24	82	@ Indiana Fever	1387.73	76
14	2019-09-06	28.89%	Chicago Sky	1559.99	109	@ Connecticut Sun	1640.36	104
15	2019-07-06	29.58%	Minnesota Lynx	1507.56	74	@ Connecticut Sun	1582.08	71
16	2019-08-25	29.88%	Atlanta Dream	1319.65	77	@ Dallas Wings	1391.69	73
17	2019-08-14	31.35%	@ Dallas Wings	1383.37	84	Los Angeles Sparks	1595.70	78
18	2019-09-08	31.56%	@ Indiana Fever	1410.71	104	Connecticut Sun	1621.30	76
19	2019-09-08	31.67%	New York Liberty	1270.36	71	@ Atlanta Dream	1327.86	63
20	2019-09-22 *	31.92%	@ Las Vegas Aces	1546.26	92	Washington Mystics	1753.95	75
21	2019-07-05	32.68%	Indiana Fever	1394.08	76	@ Dallas Wings	1443.49	56
22	2019-07-13	33.37%	Las Vegas Aces	1562.59	85	@ Washington Mystics	1606.60	81
23	2019-06-08	33.93%	Los Angeles Sparks	1503.48	89	@ Minnesota Lynx	1543.11	85
24	2019-06-30	34.31%	New York Liberty	1384.66	74	@ Atlanta Dream	1421.40	58
25	2019-08-09	34.65%	Chicago Sky	1530.73	87	@ Las Vegas Aces	1564.79	84

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2019-07-10	44.81	Phoenix Mercury	91	1508.40	22.07%	@ Washington Mystics	68	1651.41	77.93%
2	2019-09-08	43.42	@ Indiana Fever	104	1410.71	31.56%	Connecticut Sun	76	1621.30	68.44%
3	2019-08-09	41.23	@ Minnesota Lynx	89	1483.60	39.21%	Connecticut Sun	57	1635.89	60.79%
4	2019-06-06	37.13	Las Vegas Aces	92	1468.05	35.44%	@ Atlanta Dream	69	1496.15	64.56%
5	2019-08-05	36.56	Washington Mystics	99	1631.24	43.39%	@ Las Vegas Aces	70	1601.35	56.61%
6	2019-07-05	36.10	Indiana Fever	76	1394.08	32.68%	@ Dallas Wings	56	1443.49	67.32%
7	2019-06-18	35.95	Washington Mystics	81	1563.08	44.32%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	52	1526.60	55.68%
8	2019-07-07	33.88	Las Vegas Aces	90	1519.73	50.04%	@ New York Liberty	58	1443.31	49.96%
9	2019-09-22 *	33.66	@ Las Vegas Aces	92	1546.26	31.92%	Washington Mystics	75	1753.95	68.08%
10	2019-07-05	33.08	Atlanta Dream	77	1376.99	16.83%	@ Seattle Storm	66	1578.47	83.17%
11	2019-08-04	32.26	@ Phoenix Mercury	103	1526.20	41.29%	Washington Mystics	82	1663.50	58.71%
12	2019-09-22 *	31.96	Connecticut Sun	78	1620.89	43.17%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	56	1592.54	56.83%
13	2019-07-07	31.74	@ Los Angeles Sparks	98	1505.53	35.80%	Washington Mystics	81	1683.15	64.20%
14	2019-06-30	31.51	New York Liberty	74	1384.66	34.31%	@ Atlanta Dream	58	1421.40	65.69%
15	2019-06-23	31.50	@ Chicago Sky	93	1486.45	38.08%	Connecticut Sun	75	1647.05	61.92%
16	2019-06-14	30.88	Los Angeles Sparks	85	1519.32	37.54%	@ Phoenix Mercury	68	1531.62	62.46%
17	2019-10-01 *	30.40	Connecticut Sun	99	1642.33	26.81%	@ Washington Mystics	87	1740.62	73.19%
18	2019-08-27	30.09	@ Indiana Fever	86	1385.10	35.21%	Las Vegas Aces	71	1567.20	64.79%
19	2019-08-25	29.74	Indiana Fever	63	1355.36	17.33%	@ Seattle Storm	54	1550.62	82.67%
20	2019-08-25	28.47	@ Minnesota Lynx	98	1506.88	48.18%	Las Vegas Aces	77	1595.67	51.82%
21	2019-06-20	28.45	Washington Mystics	95	1599.03	50.53%	@ Las Vegas Aces	72	1519.22	49.47%
22	2019-08-02	27.87	Washington Mystics	99	1635.63	48.03%	@ Seattle Storm	79	1573.19	51.97%
23	2019-08-18	27.22	Las Vegas Aces	100	1569.88	41.38%	@ Chicago Sky	85	1554.28	58.62%
24	2019-05-31	26.48	Seattle Storm	82	1583.11	44.78%	@ Atlanta Dream	66	1543.36	55.22%
25	2019-08-27	26.06	Connecticut Sun	89	1597.99	50.14%	@ Seattle Storm	70	1520.88	49.86%