2018 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Seattle Storm

3rd Title

Last Title: 2010

Runner-Up

Washington Mystics

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

Atlanta Dream

6.09 wins above expected

23 wins · 16.91 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Liberty

5.57 wins below expected

7 wins · 12.57 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Storm League	26	8	.765	-	87.2	79.7	+7.6	22.87	+3.13
2	Atlanta Dream Playoffs	23	11	.676	3	81.8	79.5	+2.3	16.91	+6.09
3	Washington Mystics Playoffs	22	12	.647	4	82.1	79.0	+3.1	19.11	+2.89
4	Connecticut Sun Playoffs	21	13	.618	5	87.6	81.7	+5.9	20.42	+0.58
5	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	20	14	.588	6	85.8	83.2	+2.5	19.65	+0.35
6	Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs	19	15	.559	7	78.9	77.0	+1.9	20.71	-1.71
7	Minnesota Lynx Playoffs	18	16	.529	8	78.9	78.3	+0.7	20.54	-2.54
8	Dallas Wings Playoffs	15	19	.441	11	86.6	85.4	+1.3	17.46	-2.46
9	Las Vegas Aces	14	20	.412	12	81.9	84.5	-2.5	14.06	-0.06
10	Chicago Sky	13	21	.382	13	83.8	90.1	-6.3	12.07	+0.93
11	New York Liberty	7	27	.206	19	77.7	84.8	-7.1	12.57	-5.57
12	Indiana Fever	6	28	.176	20	76.4	85.7	-9.3	7.62	-1.62

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Los Angeles Sparks 75

Minnesota Lynx 68

Aug 21

Phoenix Mercury 101

Dallas Wings 83

Aug 21

Second Round

Phoenix Mercury 96

Connecticut Sun 86

Aug 23

Washington Mystics 96

Los Angeles Sparks 64

Aug 23

Semifinals

Washington Mystics 3

Atlanta Dream 2

5 games · Aug 26–Sep 4

Seattle Storm 3

Phoenix Mercury 2

5 games · Aug 26–Sep 4

WNBA Finals

Seattle Storm 3

Washington Mystics 0

3 games · Sep 7–Sep 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Seattle Storm	1695	26	22.87	+3.13	92.42%	11	19	21	23	25	27	33
Connecticut Sun	1647	21	20.42	+0.58	65.10%	8	16	19	20	22	25	31
Atlanta Dream	1635	23	16.91	+6.09	99.38%	5	13	15	17	19	21	28
Washington Mystics	1623	22	19.11	+2.89	89.31%	8	15	17	19	21	24	30
Phoenix Mercury	1550	20	19.65	+0.35	61.99%	8	15	18	20	22	24	30
Los Angeles Sparks	1534	19	20.71	-1.71	32.31%	9	16	19	21	23	25	32
Minnesota Lynx	1515	18	20.54	-2.54	22.11%	7	16	19	21	22	25	31
Dallas Wings	1444	15	17.46	-2.46	23.43%	6	13	16	17	19	22	29
Las Vegas Aces	1422	14	14.06	-0.06	56.76%	3	10	12	14	16	19	25
Chicago Sky	1401	13	12.07	+0.93	71.15%	3	8	10	12	14	16	24
Indiana Fever	1277	6	7.62	-1.62	32.87%	0	4	6	8	9	12	18
New York Liberty	1257	7	12.57	-5.57	2.05%	3	8	11	13	14	17	23

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Aces	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	3-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)
Chicago Sky	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	2-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	0-3 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
Dallas Wings	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (2.3 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (0.4 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)
Las Vegas Aces	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	—	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	—	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)
New York Liberty	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (0.4 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)
Seattle Storm	1-2 (2.2 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.8 exp.)
Washington Mystics	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	0.49%	0.25%	0.98%	0.25%	—	—	—	1.96%
60–69	0.25%	0.98%	3.19%	3.43%	0.74%	0.25%	—	8.82%
70–79	0.98%	3.19%	9.31%	11.52%	5.39%	1.23%	0.25%	31.86%
80–89	0.25%	3.43%	11.52%	7.35%	5.15%	2.21%	—	29.90%
90–99	—	0.74%	5.39%	5.15%	4.90%	2.70%	0.25%	19.12%
100–109	—	0.25%	1.23%	2.21%	2.70%	0.98%	0.25%	7.60%
110+	—	—	0.25%	—	0.25%	0.25%	—	0.74%
Total	1.96%	8.82%	31.86%	29.90%	19.12%	7.60%	0.74%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.40	82.40	+0.00
SD	12.64	12.64	13.71
CV	0.15	0.15	—
Max	115	115	+38
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
70–79	—	2.94%	20.59%	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	32.35%
80–89	—	8.82%	17.65%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	41.18%
90–99	—	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	11.76%
100–109	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	5.88%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.71%	47.06%	20.59%	8.82%	8.82%	—	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.82	79.53	+2.29
SD	10.75	10.82	12.62
CV	0.13	0.14	—
Max	109	104	+24
Min	64	63	-32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	—	—	8.82%	—	—	—	8.82%
70–79	—	2.94%	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	2.94%	29.41%
80–89	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	—	20.59%
90–99	—	—	—	11.76%	14.71%	—	—	26.47%
100–109	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
110+	—	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	5.88%
Total	—	5.88%	5.88%	38.24%	35.29%	11.76%	2.94%	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	83.76	90.09	-6.32
SD	13.88	11.05	14.57
CV	0.17	0.12	—
Max	115	110	+18
Min	59	63	-38

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
70–79	—	—	8.82%	11.76%	—	—	—	20.59%
80–89	—	5.88%	11.76%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	32.35%
90–99	—	2.94%	11.76%	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	—	26.47%
100–109	—	2.94%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	14.71%
110+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	—	11.76%	38.24%	29.41%	17.65%	2.94%	—	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	87.62	81.68	+5.94
SD	11.09	9.85	14.26
CV	0.13	0.12	—
Max	110	103	+38
Min	65	64	-17

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
70–79	—	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	8.82%	—	—	29.41%
80–89	—	—	—	5.88%	14.71%	—	—	20.59%
90–99	—	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	26.47%
100–109	—	—	8.82%	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	17.65%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	26.47%	26.47%	32.35%	5.88%	2.94%	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.65	85.35	+1.29
SD	11.53	10.92	14.24
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	108	114	+29
Min	68	63	-21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
60–69	2.94%	—	8.82%	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	23.53%
70–79	2.94%	—	5.88%	14.71%	17.65%	—	—	41.18%
80–89	—	—	2.94%	8.82%	2.94%	5.88%	—	20.59%
90–99	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	8.82%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	2.94%	20.59%	32.35%	26.47%	8.82%	2.94%	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	76.38	85.68	-9.29
SD	11.10	12.47	12.35
CV	0.15	0.15	—
Max	106	115	+32
Min	55	55	-27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	—	5.88%	—	—	2.94%	—	8.82%
70–79	—	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	—	23.53%
80–89	—	—	17.65%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	—	32.35%
90–99	—	—	8.82%	—	8.82%	5.88%	—	23.53%
100–109	—	—	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	8.82%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	2.94%	35.29%	17.65%	20.59%	20.59%	—	100%

Las Vegas Aces — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.94	84.47	-2.53
SD	17.83	19.36	14.17
CV	0.22	0.23	—
Max	102	109	+24
Min	0	1	-36

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
70–79	8.82%	8.82%	17.65%	14.71%	5.88%	2.94%	—	58.82%
80–89	2.94%	—	11.76%	8.82%	—	—	—	23.53%
90–99	—	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	11.76%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.76%	11.76%	35.29%	29.41%	5.88%	5.88%	—	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.91	77.00	+1.91
SD	8.26	11.83	13.48
CV	0.10	0.15	—
Max	99	102	+26
Min	63	54	-29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
60–69	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
70–79	—	2.94%	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	32.35%
80–89	—	8.82%	20.59%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	44.12%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	11.76%	47.06%	29.41%	11.76%	—	—	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.94	78.26	+0.68
SD	9.31	8.29	13.04
CV	0.12	0.11	—
Max	91	96	+24
Min	57	64	-22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
60–69	—	—	8.82%	8.82%	—	—	—	17.65%
70–79	—	—	11.76%	23.53%	5.88%	—	—	41.18%
80–89	—	—	—	11.76%	8.82%	2.94%	—	23.53%
90–99	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	8.82%
100–109	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	2.94%	20.59%	52.94%	17.65%	5.88%	—	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	77.68	84.82	-7.15
SD	11.62	8.52	9.63
CV	0.15	0.10	—
Max	107	104	+23
Min	54	68	-26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70–79	—	2.94%	11.76%	11.76%	—	2.94%	—	29.41%
80–89	—	2.94%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	35.29%
90–99	—	—	8.82%	8.82%	—	8.82%	—	26.47%
100–109	—	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	8.82%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	38.24%	29.41%	11.76%	14.71%	—	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	85.76	83.24	+2.53
SD	10.09	10.58	11.68
CV	0.12	0.13	—
Max	104	103	+20
Min	70	66	-29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
70–79	—	8.82%	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	23.53%
80–89	—	5.88%	20.59%	2.94%	—	—	—	29.41%
90–99	—	—	8.82%	11.76%	8.82%	—	—	29.41%
100–109	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	—	—	14.71%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	35.29%	23.53%	20.59%	2.94%	—	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	87.24	79.68	+7.56
SD	10.23	10.63	11.30
CV	0.12	0.13	—
Max	105	100	+27
Min	64	62	-23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
70–79	—	2.94%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	20.59%
80–89	—	5.88%	14.71%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	35.29%
90–99	—	—	8.82%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
100–109	—	—	2.94%	—	5.88%	—	—	8.82%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	11.76%	32.35%	29.41%	20.59%	2.94%	—	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.06	78.97	+3.09
SD	17.32	17.64	12.94
CV	0.21	0.22	—
Max	103	106	+28
Min	1	0	-26

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.37	+9.7
Allowed	0.46	-10.8
Differential	0.89	+11.1

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Atlanta Dream	23	16.91	+6.09
2	Seattle Storm	26	22.87	+3.13
3	Washington Mystics	22	19.11	+2.89
4	Chicago Sky	13	12.07	+0.93
5	Connecticut Sun	21	20.42	+0.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Liberty	7	12.57	-5.57
2	Minnesota Lynx	18	20.54	-2.54
3	Dallas Wings	15	17.46	-2.46
4	Los Angeles Sparks	19	20.71	-1.71
5	Indiana Fever	6	7.62	-1.62

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atlanta Dream	8	Jul 8 – Jul 24	1 in 1,241
2	Washington Mystics	8	Jul 31 – Aug 17	1 in 124
3	Phoenix Mercury	8	Jun 1 – Jun 17	1 in 122
4	Minnesota Lynx	7	Jun 16 – Jul 1	1 in 29
5	Chicago Sky	3	Jun 24 – Jun 29	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Wings	9	Jul 20 – Aug 14	1 in 3,398
2	Connecticut Sun	4	Jun 13 – Jun 22	1 in 53
3	Minnesota Lynx	4	May 27 – Jun 3	1 in 53
4	New York Liberty	13	Jul 17 – Aug 19	1 in 36
5	Phoenix Mercury	4	Jul 19 – Jul 31	1 in 34

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Seattle Storm	41.93%	22.11%	14.07%	9.07%	5.99%	3.68%	1.95%	0.86%	0.25%	0.07%	<0.01%	-
Los Angeles Sparks	15.03%	17.46%	16.51%	14.77%	12.60%	9.88%	7.24%	4.10%	1.75%	0.53%	0.12%	<0.01%
Minnesota Lynx	13.33%	16.78%	16.48%	15.19%	13.15%	10.46%	7.46%	4.41%	1.94%	0.63%	0.15%	<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	12.68%	15.62%	16.05%	15.51%	13.46%	11.08%	7.74%	4.89%	2.10%	0.68%	0.18%	<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	8.20%	11.81%	13.66%	14.59%	14.69%	13.45%	11.09%	7.32%	3.50%	1.28%	0.38%	0.03%
Washington Mystics	5.84%	9.66%	11.84%	13.55%	14.73%	14.60%	12.95%	9.49%	4.77%	1.96%	0.57%	0.04%
Dallas Wings	1.85%	3.75%	5.95%	8.47%	11.42%	14.77%	17.90%	17.47%	11.04%	5.35%	1.84%	0.18%
Atlanta Dream	1.03%	2.41%	4.50%	6.75%	9.94%	14.14%	18.03%	19.91%	13.30%	6.90%	2.78%	0.32%
Las Vegas Aces	0.09%	0.30%	0.70%	1.48%	2.67%	4.75%	8.49%	15.19%	24.92%	23.09%	15.38%	2.93%
New York Liberty	<0.01%	0.05%	0.12%	0.36%	0.78%	1.73%	3.99%	8.94%	19.33%	29.18%	29.02%	6.49%
Chicago Sky	<0.01%	0.03%	0.11%	0.26%	0.56%	1.44%	3.08%	7.15%	16.00%	26.41%	35.35%	9.59%
Indiana Fever	-	-	-	-	<0.01%	0.02%	0.07%	0.28%	1.09%	3.91%	14.22%	80.41%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Storm	41.93%	22.11%	14.07%	9.07%	5.99%	3.68%	1.95%	0.86%	0.33%
Los Angeles Sparks	15.03%	17.46%	16.51%	14.77%	12.60%	9.88%	7.24%	4.10%	2.40%
Minnesota Lynx	13.33%	16.78%	16.48%	15.19%	13.15%	10.46%	7.46%	4.41%	2.72%
Connecticut Sun	12.68%	15.62%	16.05%	15.51%	13.46%	11.08%	7.74%	4.89%	2.96%
Phoenix Mercury	8.20%	11.81%	13.66%	14.59%	14.69%	13.45%	11.09%	7.32%	5.18%
Washington Mystics	5.84%	9.66%	11.84%	13.55%	14.73%	14.60%	12.95%	9.49%	7.35%
Dallas Wings	1.85%	3.75%	5.95%	8.47%	11.42%	14.77%	17.90%	17.47%	18.41%
Atlanta Dream	1.03%	2.41%	4.50%	6.75%	9.94%	14.14%	18.03%	19.91%	23.30%
Las Vegas Aces	0.09%	0.30%	0.70%	1.48%	2.67%	4.75%	8.49%	15.19%	66.33%
Chicago Sky	<0.01%	0.03%	0.11%	0.26%	0.56%	1.44%	3.08%	7.15%	87.35%
New York Liberty	<0.01%	0.05%	0.12%	0.36%	0.78%	1.73%	3.99%	8.94%	84.03%
Indiana Fever	-	-	-	-	<0.01%	0.02%	0.07%	0.28%	99.63%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+8.82%

Clear Edge

54.41%45.59%

Elo Value

Home Edge

32 Elo

0.031 points per Elo point

030.74100

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.53 points

Lean Home

-8+0.95+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.4

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

39%

Seattle Storm, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

41.8%

Favored

025.00%60%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.12 · As Expected: 2.12 to 2.92 · Elevated: 2.92 to 3.98 · High Variance: 3.98 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 · Close: 1.27 to 1.72 · Off Target: 1.72 to 2.24 · Well Off Target: 2.24 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.47 · As Expected: 0.47 to 0.78 · More Than Expected: 0.78 to 1.25 · Far More Than Expected: 1.25 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.97 wins

Elevated

02.657

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

01.493

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.38%

Atlanta Dream

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.05%

New York Liberty

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Several Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

0 of 8

Fewer Than Expected

00.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.55

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

77%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

12%

Mostly Decisive

0%17%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Routine

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.27

Volatile

01.002

Repeatability

0.20

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

34%

As Expected

0%32%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

30%

As Expected

0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.56

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.79

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.048

Well Within Noise

00.1010.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Seattle Storm	85.84%	85.84%	59.38%	38.63%
Connecticut Sun	62.90%	62.90%	37.60%	19.80%
Washington Mystics	57.91%	48.39%	26.84%	13.17%
Atlanta Dream	49.54%	32.03%	19.00%	10.00%
Phoenix Mercury	53.01%	44.42%	17.50%	6.30%
Los Angeles Sparks	54.09%	54.09%	18.69%	6.07%
Minnesota Lynx	50.37%	50.37%	15.79%	4.76%
Dallas Wings	34.95%	16.56%	3.96%	0.98%
Las Vegas Aces	11.60%	3.82%	0.98%	0.24%
Chicago Sky	3.72%	1.08%	0.23%	0.04%
New York Liberty	2.70%	0.47%	0.03%	<0.01%
Indiana Fever	0.06%	0.01%	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		80.3%0.21%	46.7%8.55%	74.1%3.87%	100.0%<0.01%	78.1%0.88%	63.9%7.71%	66.1%7.66%	87.9%0.20%	61.5%7.60%	39.3%5.40%	52.4%7.45%
Chicago Sky	19.7%0.21%		20.5%0.61%	46.7%0.26%		47.7%0.04%	33.0%0.58%	34.5%0.58%	50.0%<0.01%	30.3%0.54%	18.2%0.40%	20.8%0.49%
Connecticut Sun	53.3%8.55%	79.5%0.61%		75.0%5.80%	71.4%0.01%	77.2%1.96%	65.3%7.74%	67.0%7.65%	87.5%0.43%	62.8%9.09%	42.4%4.43%	54.0%10.27%
Dallas Wings	25.9%3.87%	53.3%0.26%	25.0%5.80%		100.0%<0.01%	51.2%0.78%	37.6%5.03%	40.2%4.85%	72.4%0.16%	35.0%5.18%	20.9%3.47%	26.5%5.54%
Indiana Fever	0.0%<0.01%		28.6%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		11.1%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Las Vegas Aces	21.9%0.88%	52.3%0.04%	22.8%1.96%	48.8%0.78%			35.3%1.68%	38.8%1.72%	76.3%0.04%	30.5%1.62%	18.1%1.27%	23.8%1.60%
Los Angeles Sparks	36.1%7.71%	67.0%0.58%	34.7%7.74%	62.4%5.03%	50.0%<0.01%	64.7%1.68%		51.6%6.26%	84.0%0.40%	48.2%7.34%	29.5%3.51%	39.0%8.63%
Minnesota Lynx	33.9%7.66%	65.5%0.58%	33.0%7.65%	59.8%4.85%	75.0%<0.01%	61.2%1.72%	48.4%6.26%		81.9%0.38%	45.4%7.47%	25.5%3.55%	36.0%8.79%
New York Liberty	12.1%0.20%	50.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.43%	27.6%0.16%		23.7%0.04%	16.0%0.40%	18.1%0.38%		19.4%0.38%	9.7%0.31%	11.0%0.40%
Phoenix Mercury	38.5%7.60%	69.7%0.54%	37.2%9.09%	65.0%5.18%	88.9%<0.01%	69.5%1.62%	51.8%7.34%	54.6%7.47%	80.6%0.38%		29.0%4.45%	40.2%9.32%
Seattle Storm	60.7%5.40%	81.8%0.40%	57.6%4.43%	79.1%3.47%	100.0%<0.01%	81.9%1.27%	70.5%3.51%	74.5%3.55%	90.3%0.31%	71.0%4.45%		60.8%5.41%
Washington Mystics	47.6%7.45%	79.2%0.49%	46.0%10.27%	73.5%5.54%	100.0%<0.01%	76.2%1.60%	61.0%8.63%	64.0%8.79%	89.0%0.40%	59.8%9.32%	39.2%5.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		84.6%0.01%	52.1%5.15%	85.0%0.83%	100.0%<0.01%	87.4%0.09%	73.5%4.94%	77.0%4.68%	100.0%<0.01%	71.2%3.22%	43.1%10.32%	55.6%2.78%
Chicago Sky	15.4%0.01%		15.7%0.16%	63.3%0.03%		50.0%<0.01%	40.5%0.16%	36.5%0.13%		22.1%0.10%	10.0%0.42%	9.1%0.08%
Connecticut Sun	47.9%5.15%	84.3%0.16%		82.9%2.73%	100.0%<0.01%	78.9%0.58%	72.2%10.58%	75.1%9.74%	97.3%0.07%	68.1%8.01%	41.9%17.29%	53.0%8.57%
Dallas Wings	15.0%0.83%	36.7%0.03%	17.1%2.73%			42.9%0.08%	37.6%2.39%	39.1%2.18%	60.0%0.01%	33.1%1.71%	13.5%4.80%	19.9%1.79%
Las Vegas Aces	12.6%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	21.1%0.58%	57.1%0.08%			37.4%0.55%	40.8%0.51%	66.7%<0.01%	37.5%0.36%	13.8%1.34%	19.5%0.31%
Los Angeles Sparks	26.5%4.94%	59.5%0.16%	27.8%10.58%	62.4%2.39%	100.0%<0.01%	62.6%0.55%		53.8%7.77%	97.1%0.07%	44.2%6.94%	22.2%12.98%	30.0%7.70%
Minnesota Lynx	23.0%4.68%	63.5%0.13%	24.9%9.74%	60.9%2.18%	100.0%<0.01%	59.2%0.51%	46.2%7.77%		83.9%0.06%	42.3%6.24%	19.8%11.93%	27.2%7.14%
New York Liberty	0.0%<0.01%		2.7%0.07%	40.0%0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	2.9%0.07%	16.1%0.06%		15.4%0.04%	1.2%0.16%	0.0%0.04%
Phoenix Mercury	28.8%3.22%	77.9%0.10%	31.9%8.01%	66.9%1.71%	100.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.36%	55.8%6.94%	57.7%6.24%	84.6%0.04%		25.6%12.20%	34.4%5.60%
Seattle Storm	56.9%10.32%	90.0%0.42%	58.1%17.29%	86.5%4.80%	100.0%<0.01%	86.2%1.34%	77.8%12.98%	80.2%11.93%	98.8%0.16%	74.4%12.20%		61.6%14.39%
Washington Mystics	44.4%2.78%	90.9%0.08%	47.0%8.57%	80.1%1.79%		80.5%0.31%	70.0%7.70%	72.8%7.14%	100.0%0.04%	65.6%5.60%	38.4%14.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		80.0%0.01%	50.2%3.93%	79.7%0.37%	81.2%0.08%	68.7%1.64%	70.9%1.33%		65.6%1.59%	42.2%7.33%	53.4%2.72%
Chicago Sky	20.0%0.01%		16.7%0.05%	25.0%<0.01%		33.3%0.01%	12.5%<0.01%		42.1%0.02%	13.3%0.08%	5.4%0.04%
Connecticut Sun	49.8%3.93%	83.3%0.05%		76.3%0.78%	81.1%0.18%	69.3%3.60%	71.5%3.06%	83.3%<0.01%	65.0%3.45%	42.3%16.80%	52.5%5.75%
Dallas Wings	20.3%0.37%	75.0%<0.01%	23.7%0.78%		46.2%0.01%	41.4%0.27%	47.1%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	35.0%0.28%	17.6%1.56%	25.5%0.47%
Las Vegas Aces	18.8%0.08%		18.9%0.18%	53.8%0.01%		46.5%0.07%	38.9%0.05%		32.8%0.07%	20.7%0.38%	22.9%0.13%
Los Angeles Sparks	31.3%1.64%	66.7%0.01%	30.7%3.60%	58.6%0.27%	53.5%0.07%		52.8%1.19%	50.0%<0.01%	48.3%1.37%	26.1%8.12%	34.5%2.41%
Minnesota Lynx	29.1%1.33%	87.5%<0.01%	28.5%3.06%	52.9%0.22%	61.1%0.05%	47.2%1.19%		0.0%<0.01%	44.1%1.13%	23.9%6.84%	33.3%1.96%
New York Liberty			16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury	34.4%1.59%	57.9%0.02%	35.0%3.45%	65.0%0.28%	67.2%0.07%	51.7%1.37%	55.9%1.13%	100.0%<0.01%		28.7%7.25%	38.0%2.34%
Seattle Storm	57.8%7.33%	86.7%0.08%	57.7%16.80%	82.4%1.56%	79.3%0.38%	73.9%8.12%	76.1%6.84%	100.0%<0.01%	71.3%7.25%		60.5%11.02%
Washington Mystics	46.6%2.72%	94.6%0.04%	47.5%5.75%	74.5%0.47%	77.1%0.13%	65.5%2.41%	66.7%1.96%	100.0%<0.01%	62.0%2.34%	39.5%11.02%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Seattle Storm	100.00%	62.28%	38.46%	Won Finals
Atlanta Dream	100.00%	54.32%	22.36%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Washington Mystics	64.42%	32.10%	13.70%	Eliminated in Finals
Phoenix Mercury	23.83%	7.25%	3.45%	Eliminated in Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun		76.0%31.08%			65.4%68.92%
Dallas Wings	24.0%31.08%
Los Angeles Sparks						36.3%57.39%
Minnesota Lynx						34.6%42.61%
Phoenix Mercury	34.6%68.92%
Washington Mystics			63.7%57.39%	65.4%42.61%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream				61.0%20.82%	63.0%14.75%			50.2%64.42%
Connecticut Sun							42.4%68.69%
Dallas Wings							18.1%7.47%
Los Angeles Sparks	39.0%20.82%
Minnesota Lynx	37.0%14.75%
Phoenix Mercury							30.4%23.83%
Seattle Storm		57.6%68.69%	81.9%7.47%			69.6%23.83%
Washington Mystics	49.8%64.42%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		42.5%15.83%	65.2%0.73%			53.4%3.96%	38.6%33.81%
Connecticut Sun	57.5%15.83%			65.8%2.42%	65.2%1.61%			55.4%9.27%
Dallas Wings	34.8%0.73%			44.4%0.13%	47.9%0.07%			33.5%0.42%
Los Angeles Sparks		34.2%2.42%	55.6%0.13%			44.1%0.61%	33.6%4.95%
Minnesota Lynx		34.8%1.61%	52.1%0.07%			43.5%0.40%	31.5%3.38%
Phoenix Mercury	46.6%3.96%			55.9%0.61%	56.5%0.40%			45.6%2.27%
Seattle Storm	61.4%33.81%			66.4%4.95%	68.5%3.38%			60.0%20.15%
Washington Mystics		44.6%9.27%	66.5%0.42%			54.4%2.27%	40.0%20.15%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Seattle Storm 38.46% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

63.53%

Win Prob

57.61%

→

Finals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

53.99%

Win Prob

61.41%

Atlanta Dream 22.36% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

59.49%

Win Prob

50.17%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

58.36%

Win Prob

38.59%

Connecticut Sun 16.88% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

65.63%

Win Prob

65.42%

→

Semifinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.39%

→

Finals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

53.96%

Win Prob

57.55%

Washington Mystics 13.70% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

56.76%

Win Prob

63.71%

→

Semifinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.83%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

58.76%

Win Prob

39.96%

Phoenix Mercury 3.45% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.58%

→

Semifinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.40%

→

Finals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

53.49%

Win Prob

46.60%

Los Angeles Sparks 2.83% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.29%

→

Semifinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.96%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

58.77%

Win Prob

33.64%

Minnesota Lynx 1.84% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.63%

→

Semifinals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.01%

→

Finals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

57.90%

Win Prob

31.49%

Dallas Wings 0.48% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.04%

→

Semifinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.05%

→

Finals

vs. Atlanta Dream

Matchup

52.16%

Win Prob

34.75%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2018-05-20	@ Dallas Wings	L 78-101	1441.51	1456.33	43.48%	56.52%	-31.49	0-1
2018-05-23	@ Chicago Sky	W 81-63	1410.02	1497.36	33.63%	66.37%	+42.52	1-1
2018-05-26	Dallas Wings	L 70-78	1452.54	1476.14	51.03%	48.97%	-21.79	1-2
2018-05-29	Minnesota Lynx	W 76-74	1430.75	1620.33	28.61%	71.39%	+15.24	2-2
2018-06-03	Phoenix Mercury	L 71-78	1445.99	1510.69	45.13%	54.87%	-18.03	2-3
2018-06-05	Connecticut Sun	W 82-77	1427.96	1645.96	25.39%	74.61%	+25.19	3-3
2018-06-08	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 87-83	1453.15	1378.83	56.24%	43.76%	+13.22	4-3
2018-06-10	@ Seattle Storm	W 67-64	1466.37	1600.25	27.94%	72.06%	+18.85	5-3
2018-06-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-72	1485.22	1603.57	29.77%	70.23%	-12.72	5-4
2018-06-14	Indiana Fever	W 72-67	1472.50	1271.29	79.17%	20.83%	+7.04	6-4
2018-06-16	@ Indiana Fever	L 64-96	1479.54	1264.26	74.31%	25.69%	-63.48	6-5
2018-06-19	@ New York Liberty	L 72-79	1416.06	1454.61	40.16%	59.84%	-16.04	6-6
2018-06-22	Connecticut Sun	W 75-70	1400.02	1572.66	30.64%	69.36%	+23.41	7-6
2018-06-27	@ Chicago Sky	L 80-93	1423.43	1364.35	54.07%	45.93%	-29.43	7-7
2018-06-29	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 74-85	1394.00	1660.05	15.34%	84.66%	-7.68	7-8
2018-07-01	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-83	1386.32	1280.85	60.59%	39.41%	+11.90	8-8
2018-07-06	Seattle Storm	L 86-95	1398.22	1651.27	21.76%	78.24%	-9.86	8-9
2018-07-08	Phoenix Mercury	W 76-70	1388.36	1632.60	22.64%	77.36%	+28.62	9-9
2018-07-11	@ Washington Mystics	W 106-89	1416.98	1566.41	26.17%	73.83%	+45.96	10-9
2018-07-13	Indiana Fever	W 98-74	1462.94	1290.01	76.36%	23.64%	+17.49	11-9
2018-07-15	Washington Mystics	W 80-77	1480.43	1536.56	46.35%	53.65%	+14.03	12-9
2018-07-17	@ Connecticut Sun	W 86-83	1494.46	1544.02	38.64%	61.36%	+16.05	13-9
2018-07-19	New York Liberty	W 82-68	1510.51	1392.38	70.20%	29.80%	+16.83	14-9
2018-07-22	Seattle Storm	W 87-74	1527.34	1701.76	30.43%	69.57%	+37.88	15-9
2018-07-24	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 81-71	1565.22	1558.35	46.57%	53.43%	+25.51	16-9
2018-07-31	Washington Mystics	L 71-86	1590.73	1497.80	67.08%	32.92%	-39.23	16-10
2018-08-03	Chicago Sky	W 89-74	1551.50	1403.66	73.65%	26.35%	+15.41	17-10
2018-08-05	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 86-66	1566.91	1526.17	51.44%	48.56%	+32.79	18-10
2018-08-07	Las Vegas Aces	W 109-100	1599.70	1464.05	72.27%	27.73%	+12.57	19-10
2018-08-09	Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-73	1612.27	1581.67	58.74%	41.26%	+15.26	20-10
2018-08-11	Dallas Wings	W 92-82	1627.53	1483.74	73.20%	26.80%	+12.80	21-10
2018-08-12	@ New York Liberty	W 86-77	1640.33	1294.43	85.99%	14.01%	+6.35	22-10
2018-08-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 95-104	1646.68	1513.85	64.28%	35.72%	-29.12	22-11
2018-08-19	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 93-78	1617.56	1439.90	69.97%	30.03%	+17.56	23-11
2018-05-19	@ Indiana Fever	W 82-64	1451.45	1390.17	54.38%	45.62%	+29.23	1-0
2018-05-20	New York Liberty	W 80-76	1480.68	1548.05	44.75%	55.25%	+16.68	2-0
2018-05-23	Atlanta Dream	L 63-81	1497.36	1410.02	66.37%	33.63%	-42.52	2-1
2018-05-25	@ Seattle Storm	L 91-95	1454.84	1508.09	38.14%	61.86%	-11.51	2-2
2018-06-01	Connecticut Sun	L 72-110	1443.33	1581.89	34.96%	65.04%	-32.55	2-3
2018-06-03	Las Vegas Aces	W 95-90	1410.78	1393.39	56.88%	43.12%	+14.56	3-3
2018-06-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 79-96	1425.34	1549.49	29.08%	70.92%	-18.10	3-4
2018-06-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 59-77	1407.24	1589.00	22.74%	77.26%	-14.57	3-5
2018-06-12	@ Seattle Storm	L 85-96	1392.67	1581.40	22.04%	77.96%	-11.04	3-6
2018-06-17	Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-81	1381.63	1635.52	21.68%	78.32%	-9.82	3-7
2018-06-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 60-88	1371.81	1484.27	30.48%	69.52%	-24.35	3-8
2018-06-22	Washington Mystics	L 77-93	1347.46	1508.63	32.06%	67.94%	-19.37	3-9
2018-06-24	Phoenix Mercury	W 97-88	1328.09	1600.25	19.95%	80.05%	+36.26	4-9
2018-06-27	Atlanta Dream	W 93-80	1364.35	1423.43	45.93%	54.07%	+29.44	5-9
2018-06-29	@ New York Liberty	W 103-99	1393.79	1399.69	44.75%	55.25%	+16.69	6-9
2018-07-01	New York Liberty	L 94-97	1410.48	1383.01	58.30%	41.70%	-15.25	6-10
2018-07-03	@ Dallas Wings	L 85-108	1395.23	1515.71	29.52%	70.48%	-21.37	6-11
2018-07-05	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 80-84	1373.86	1445.58	35.67%	64.33%	-10.78	6-12
2018-07-07	Minnesota Lynx	W 77-63	1363.08	1648.58	18.75%	81.25%	+45.91	7-12
2018-07-10	Las Vegas Aces	L 74-98	1408.99	1472.84	45.25%	54.75%	-33.47	7-13
2018-07-13	@ Washington Mystics	L 72-88	1375.52	1520.45	26.67%	73.33%	-16.11	7-14
2018-07-15	@ New York Liberty	L 84-107	1359.41	1373.09	43.64%	56.36%	-31.61	7-15
2018-07-18	Seattle Storm	L 83-101	1327.80	1675.03	13.92%	86.08%	-8.92	7-16
2018-07-20	Dallas Wings	W 114-99	1318.88	1643.69	15.54%	84.46%	+49.40	8-16
2018-07-22	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-93	1368.28	1539.14	30.86%	69.14%	-19.22	8-17
2018-07-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 101-87	1349.06	1524.05	23.43%	76.57%	+43.27	9-17
2018-07-31	@ Dallas Wings	W 92-91	1392.33	1553.24	24.91%	75.09%	+11.33	10-17
2018-08-03	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-89	1403.66	1551.50	26.35%	73.65%	-15.41	10-18
2018-08-07	Minnesota Lynx	L 64-85	1388.25	1493.38	39.46%	60.54%	-27.30	10-19
2018-08-10	Connecticut Sun	W 97-86	1360.95	1633.11	19.95%	80.05%	+40.09	11-19
2018-08-12	@ Connecticut Sun	L 75-82	1401.04	1593.02	21.72%	78.28%	-8.67	11-20
2018-08-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 91-88	1392.37	1530.35	27.46%	72.54%	+18.97	12-20
2018-08-18	@ Indiana Fever	W 115-106	1411.34	1266.59	65.84%	34.16%	+15.47	13-20
2018-08-19	Indiana Fever	L 92-97	1426.81	1251.12	76.64%	23.36%	-25.88	13-21
2018-05-20	Las Vegas Aces	W 101-65	1519.95	1427.13	67.07%	32.93%	+29.84	1-0
2018-05-24	Los Angeles Sparks	W 102-94	1549.79	1633.81	42.39%	57.61%	+24.60	2-0
2018-05-26	Indiana Fever	W 86-77	1574.39	1324.18	83.44%	16.56%	+7.50	3-0
2018-06-01	@ Chicago Sky	W 110-72	1581.89	1443.33	65.04%	34.96%	+32.55	4-0
2018-06-03	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-64	1614.44	1531.97	57.39%	42.61%	+31.52	5-0
2018-06-05	@ Atlanta Dream	L 77-82	1645.96	1427.96	74.61%	25.39%	-25.19	5-1
2018-06-07	@ New York Liberty	W 88-86	1620.77	1520.12	59.93%	40.07%	+8.55	6-1
2018-06-09	Minnesota Lynx	W 89-75	1629.32	1574.53	62.07%	37.93%	+21.43	7-1
2018-06-13	Washington Mystics	L 91-95	1650.75	1480.54	76.08%	23.92%	-22.97	7-2
2018-06-15	@ Seattle Storm	L 92-103	1627.78	1592.44	50.66%	49.34%	-25.37	7-3
2018-06-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-89	1602.41	1587.10	47.78%	52.22%	-29.75	7-4
2018-06-22	@ Atlanta Dream	L 70-75	1572.66	1400.02	69.36%	30.64%	-23.42	7-5
2018-06-24	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-78	1549.24	1312.60	76.59%	23.41%	+10.61	8-5
2018-06-26	@ Washington Mystics	L 80-92	1559.85	1528.00	50.16%	49.84%	-26.24	8-6
2018-06-27	Indiana Fever	W 101-89	1533.61	1302.00	81.91%	18.09%	+9.46	9-6
2018-07-01	@ Seattle Storm	L 70-84	1543.07	1617.82	35.27%	64.73%	-19.92	9-7
2018-07-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 73-72	1523.15	1582.37	37.34%	62.66%	+9.46	10-7
2018-07-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 77-84	1532.61	1619.13	33.74%	66.26%	-13.48	10-8
2018-07-07	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 90-94	1519.13	1456.35	54.60%	45.40%	-16.49	10-9
2018-07-11	New York Liberty	L 76-79	1502.64	1353.80	73.76%	26.24%	-19.29	10-10
2018-07-13	Phoenix Mercury	W 91-87	1483.35	1562.49	43.08%	56.92%	+17.19	11-10
2018-07-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 83-64	1500.54	1585.56	33.93%	66.07%	+43.48	12-10
2018-07-17	Atlanta Dream	L 83-86	1544.02	1494.46	61.36%	38.64%	-16.04	12-11
2018-07-20	Seattle Storm	L 65-78	1527.98	1683.94	32.72%	67.28%	-17.82	12-12
2018-07-22	@ Dallas Wings	W 92-75	1510.16	1594.30	34.05%	65.95%	+41.07	13-12
2018-07-24	Washington Mystics	W 94-68	1551.23	1530.65	57.33%	42.67%	+32.85	14-12
2018-08-01	New York Liberty	W 92-77	1584.08	1348.25	82.27%	17.73%	+10.37	15-12
2018-08-05	Las Vegas Aces	W 109-88	1594.45	1485.44	69.09%	30.91%	+21.39	16-12
2018-08-08	@ Dallas Wings	W 101-92	1615.84	1501.02	61.87%	38.13%	+17.27	17-12
2018-08-10	@ Chicago Sky	L 86-97	1633.11	1360.95	80.05%	19.95%	-40.09	17-13
2018-08-12	Chicago Sky	W 82-75	1593.02	1401.04	78.28%	21.72%	+8.67	18-13
2018-08-14	Dallas Wings	W 96-76	1601.69	1456.45	73.36%	26.64%	+17.99	19-13
2018-08-17	Minnesota Lynx	W 96-79	1619.68	1511.38	69.01%	30.99%	+19.30	20-13
2018-08-19	Los Angeles Sparks	W 89-86	1638.98	1542.05	67.59%	32.41%	+8.48	21-13
2018-05-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 78-86	1473.17	1517.01	39.43%	60.57%	-16.84	0-1
2018-05-20	Atlanta Dream	W 101-78	1456.33	1441.51	56.52%	43.48%	+31.49	1-1
2018-05-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-76	1487.82	1626.86	27.34%	72.66%	-11.68	1-2
2018-05-26	@ Atlanta Dream	W 78-70	1476.14	1452.54	48.97%	51.03%	+21.79	2-2
2018-05-29	@ New York Liberty	L 89-94	1497.93	1516.87	42.90%	57.10%	-14.48	2-3
2018-06-02	Seattle Storm	W 94-90	1483.45	1567.33	42.41%	57.59%	+17.39	3-3
2018-06-08	@ Indiana Fever	W 89-83	1500.84	1307.15	71.87%	28.13%	+10.40	4-3
2018-06-12	Phoenix Mercury	L 72-75	1511.24	1575.27	45.22%	54.78%	-11.82	4-4
2018-06-15	Las Vegas Aces	W 77-67	1499.42	1420.73	65.25%	34.75%	+16.59	5-4
2018-06-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 83-91	1516.01	1572.72	37.67%	62.33%	-16.09	5-5
2018-06-22	Los Angeles Sparks	W 101-72	1499.92	1653.15	33.07%	66.93%	+54.43	6-5
2018-06-24	Seattle Storm	L 76-97	1554.35	1582.48	50.37%	49.63%	-34.86	6-6
2018-06-26	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 83-87	1519.49	1618.62	32.13%	67.87%	-9.71	6-7
2018-06-27	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 97-91	1509.78	1438.80	55.77%	44.23%	+16.36	7-7
2018-07-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-76	1526.14	1667.73	34.57%	65.43%	-10.43	7-8
2018-07-03	Chicago Sky	W 108-85	1515.71	1395.23	70.48%	29.52%	+21.37	8-8
2018-07-05	Indiana Fever	W 90-63	1537.08	1317.40	80.87%	19.13%	+15.01	9-8
2018-07-08	@ New York Liberty	W 97-87	1552.09	1367.75	70.77%	29.23%	+13.96	10-8
2018-07-10	Phoenix Mercury	W 101-72	1566.05	1603.99	48.96%	51.04%	+41.50	11-8
2018-07-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-77	1607.55	1545.07	54.56%	45.44%	+26.58	12-8
2018-07-14	@ Seattle Storm	L 84-91	1634.13	1658.17	42.18%	57.82%	-16.86	12-9
2018-07-17	New York Liberty	W 104-87	1617.27	1404.69	80.23%	19.77%	+12.31	13-9
2018-07-19	Washington Mystics	W 90-81	1629.58	1522.53	68.85%	31.15%	+14.11	14-9
2018-07-20	@ Chicago Sky	L 99-114	1643.69	1318.88	84.46%	15.54%	-49.39	14-10
2018-07-22	Connecticut Sun	L 75-92	1594.30	1510.16	65.95%	34.05%	-41.06	14-11
2018-07-31	Chicago Sky	L 91-92	1553.24	1392.33	75.09%	24.91%	-11.34	14-12
2018-08-02	@ Indiana Fever	L 78-84	1541.90	1251.11	81.71%	18.29%	-30.22	14-13
2018-08-05	Washington Mystics	L 74-76	1511.68	1542.95	49.92%	50.08%	-10.66	14-14
2018-08-08	Connecticut Sun	L 92-101	1501.02	1615.84	38.13%	61.87%	-17.28	14-15
2018-08-11	@ Atlanta Dream	L 82-92	1483.74	1627.53	26.80%	73.20%	-12.80	14-16
2018-08-12	@ Washington Mystics	L 80-93	1470.94	1616.26	26.63%	73.37%	-14.49	14-17
2018-08-14	@ Connecticut Sun	L 76-96	1456.45	1601.69	26.64%	73.36%	-17.99	14-18
2018-08-17	Las Vegas Aces	W 107-102	1438.46	1456.15	51.88%	48.12%	+16.25	15-18
2018-08-19	@ Seattle Storm	L 68-84	1454.71	1683.89	18.30%	81.70%	-11.06	15-19
2018-05-19	Chicago Sky	L 64-82	1390.17	1451.45	45.62%	54.38%	-29.22	0-1
2018-05-20	@ Washington Mystics	L 75-82	1360.95	1498.90	27.47%	72.53%	-10.97	0-2
2018-05-22	Los Angeles Sparks	L 70-87	1349.98	1621.35	20.02%	79.98%	-12.47	0-3
2018-05-24	Washington Mystics	L 84-93	1337.51	1520.16	29.43%	70.57%	-13.33	0-4
2018-05-26	@ Connecticut Sun	L 77-86	1324.18	1574.39	16.56%	83.44%	-7.50	0-5
2018-06-02	New York Liberty	L 81-87	1316.68	1531.36	25.75%	74.25%	-9.53	0-6
2018-06-08	Dallas Wings	L 83-89	1307.15	1500.84	28.13%	71.87%	-10.40	0-7
2018-06-10	@ New York Liberty	L 75-78	1296.75	1511.56	19.57%	80.43%	-5.12	0-8
2018-06-12	Las Vegas Aces	L 92-101	1291.63	1357.94	44.90%	55.10%	-20.34	0-9
2018-06-14	@ Atlanta Dream	L 67-72	1271.29	1472.50	20.83%	79.17%	-7.03	0-10
2018-06-16	Atlanta Dream	W 96-64	1264.26	1479.54	25.69%	74.31%	+63.48	1-10
2018-06-19	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 55-74	1327.74	1645.34	11.87%	88.13%	-7.81	1-11
2018-06-22	@ Seattle Storm	L 63-72	1319.93	1575.16	16.16%	83.84%	-7.33	1-12
2018-06-24	Connecticut Sun	L 78-87	1312.60	1549.24	23.41%	76.59%	-10.60	1-13
2018-06-27	@ Connecticut Sun	L 89-101	1302.00	1533.61	18.09%	81.91%	-9.46	1-14
2018-06-29	Phoenix Mercury	L 77-95	1292.54	1583.81	18.25%	81.75%	-11.69	1-15
2018-07-01	Atlanta Dream	L 83-87	1280.85	1386.32	39.41%	60.59%	-11.90	1-16
2018-07-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 71-59	1268.95	1678.17	7.36%	92.64%	+48.45	2-16
2018-07-05	@ Dallas Wings	L 63-90	1317.40	1537.08	19.13%	80.87%	-15.01	2-17
2018-07-11	Minnesota Lynx	L 65-87	1302.39	1602.67	17.49%	82.51%	-12.38	2-18
2018-07-13	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-98	1290.01	1462.94	23.64%	76.36%	-17.49	2-19
2018-07-15	Phoenix Mercury	L 82-101	1272.52	1545.30	19.89%	80.11%	-13.09	2-20
2018-07-18	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 65-89	1259.43	1542.07	14.14%	85.86%	-10.46	2-21
2018-07-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 78-76	1248.97	1557.85	12.40%	87.60%	+18.71	3-21
2018-07-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 74-88	1267.68	1512.94	16.96%	83.04%	-9.58	3-22
2018-07-24	Seattle Storm	L 72-92	1258.10	1663.88	10.35%	89.65%	-6.99	3-23
2018-08-02	Dallas Wings	W 84-78	1251.11	1541.90	18.29%	81.71%	+30.22	4-23
2018-08-04	@ New York Liberty	W 68-55	1281.33	1337.88	37.70%	62.30%	+33.92	5-23
2018-08-07	Seattle Storm	L 79-94	1315.25	1704.48	11.27%	88.73%	-6.59	5-24
2018-08-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 74-94	1308.66	1473.12	24.53%	75.47%	-16.56	5-25
2018-08-11	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 74-92	1292.10	1424.62	28.09%	71.91%	-18.00	5-26
2018-08-15	Washington Mystics	L 62-76	1274.10	1630.76	13.28%	86.72%	-7.51	5-27
2018-08-18	Chicago Sky	L 106-115	1266.59	1411.34	34.16%	65.84%	-15.47	5-28
2018-08-19	@ Chicago Sky	W 97-92	1251.12	1426.81	23.36%	76.64%	+25.88	6-28
2018-05-20	@ Connecticut Sun	L 65-101	1427.13	1519.95	32.93%	67.07%	-29.83	0-1
2018-05-22	@ Washington Mystics	L 70-75	1397.30	1509.87	30.47%	69.53%	-10.29	0-2
2018-05-27	Seattle Storm	L 98-105	1387.01	1519.61	35.75%	64.25%	-14.28	0-3
2018-05-31	@ Seattle Storm	L 74-101	1372.73	1549.06	23.29%	76.71%	-18.28	0-4
2018-06-01	Washington Mystics	W 85-73	1354.45	1570.91	25.56%	74.44%	+38.94	1-4
2018-06-03	@ Chicago Sky	L 90-95	1393.39	1410.78	43.12%	56.88%	-14.56	1-5
2018-06-08	Atlanta Dream	L 83-87	1378.83	1453.15	43.76%	56.24%	-13.21	1-6
2018-06-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-72	1365.62	1567.59	20.76%	79.24%	-7.68	1-7
2018-06-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 101-92	1357.94	1291.63	55.10%	44.90%	+20.34	2-7
2018-06-13	@ New York Liberty	W 78-63	1378.28	1516.68	27.42%	72.58%	+42.45	3-7
2018-06-15	@ Dallas Wings	L 67-77	1420.73	1499.42	34.75%	65.25%	-16.60	3-8
2018-06-17	Phoenix Mercury	L 80-92	1404.13	1616.84	25.97%	74.03%	-13.58	3-9
2018-06-19	@ Seattle Storm	W 89-77	1390.55	1617.81	18.46%	81.54%	+42.65	4-9
2018-06-22	New York Liberty	W 88-78	1433.20	1470.65	49.03%	50.97%	+24.34	5-9
2018-06-24	Minnesota Lynx	L 73-88	1457.54	1618.99	32.03%	67.97%	-18.74	5-10
2018-06-27	Dallas Wings	L 91-97	1438.80	1509.78	44.23%	55.77%	-16.36	5-11
2018-06-29	Los Angeles Sparks	W 94-78	1422.44	1605.50	29.38%	70.62%	+42.66	6-11
2018-07-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 71-87	1465.10	1562.85	32.31%	67.69%	-19.52	6-12
2018-07-05	Chicago Sky	W 84-80	1445.58	1373.86	64.33%	35.67%	+10.77	7-12
2018-07-07	Connecticut Sun	W 94-90	1456.35	1519.13	45.40%	54.60%	+16.49	8-12
2018-07-10	@ Chicago Sky	W 98-74	1472.84	1408.99	54.75%	45.25%	+33.47	9-12
2018-07-13	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 85-77	1506.31	1615.05	30.94%	69.06%	+29.50	10-12
2018-07-15	Los Angeles Sparks	L 78-99	1535.81	1518.49	56.87%	43.13%	-39.35	10-13
2018-07-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-82	1496.46	1558.39	36.97%	63.03%	+16.48	11-13
2018-07-22	Indiana Fever	W 88-74	1512.94	1267.68	83.04%	16.96%	+9.58	12-13
2018-08-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 93-104	1522.52	1466.48	62.23%	37.77%	-31.17	12-14
2018-08-03	@ Washington Mystics	L 0-1	1491.35	1537.03	39.18%	60.82%	-5.91	12-15
2018-08-05	@ Connecticut Sun	L 88-109	1485.44	1594.45	30.91%	69.09%	-21.39	12-16
2018-08-07	@ Atlanta Dream	L 100-109	1464.05	1599.70	27.73%	72.27%	-12.56	12-17
2018-08-09	Minnesota Lynx	L 73-89	1451.49	1520.68	44.49%	55.51%	-26.87	12-18
2018-08-11	Indiana Fever	W 92-74	1424.62	1292.10	71.91%	28.09%	+17.99	13-18
2018-08-15	New York Liberty	W 85-72	1442.61	1281.14	75.15%	24.85%	+13.54	14-18
2018-08-17	@ Dallas Wings	L 102-107	1456.15	1438.46	48.12%	51.88%	-16.25	14-19
2018-08-19	Atlanta Dream	L 78-93	1439.90	1617.56	30.03%	69.97%	-17.57	14-20
2018-05-20	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 77-76	1612.64	1635.57	42.34%	57.66%	+8.71	1-0
2018-05-22	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-70	1621.35	1349.98	79.98%	20.02%	+12.46	2-0
2018-05-24	@ Connecticut Sun	L 94-102	1633.81	1549.79	57.61%	42.39%	-24.60	2-1
2018-05-27	Phoenix Mercury	W 80-72	1609.21	1510.21	67.85%	32.15%	+13.73	3-1
2018-06-03	Minnesota Lynx	W 77-69	1622.94	1570.97	61.68%	38.32%	+16.37	4-1
2018-06-07	Seattle Storm	L 63-88	1639.31	1549.94	66.63%	33.37%	-50.31	4-2
2018-06-10	Chicago Sky	W 77-59	1589.00	1407.24	77.26%	22.74%	+14.57	5-2
2018-06-12	Atlanta Dream	W 72-64	1603.57	1485.22	70.23%	29.77%	+12.71	6-2
2018-06-15	@ Washington Mystics	W 97-86	1616.28	1503.51	61.59%	38.41%	+19.24	7-2
2018-06-17	@ Chicago Sky	W 81-72	1635.52	1381.63	78.32%	21.68%	+9.82	8-2
2018-06-19	Indiana Fever	W 74-55	1645.34	1327.74	88.13%	11.87%	+7.81	9-2
2018-06-22	@ Dallas Wings	L 72-101	1653.15	1499.92	66.93%	33.07%	-54.43	9-3
2018-06-24	New York Liberty	W 80-54	1598.72	1446.31	74.16%	25.84%	+19.90	10-3
2018-06-26	Dallas Wings	W 87-83	1618.62	1519.49	67.87%	32.13%	+9.70	11-3
2018-06-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 72-81	1628.32	1595.01	50.37%	49.63%	-22.82	11-4
2018-06-29	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 78-94	1605.50	1422.44	70.62%	29.38%	-42.65	11-5
2018-07-01	Las Vegas Aces	W 87-71	1562.85	1465.10	67.69%	32.31%	+19.52	12-5
2018-07-03	Connecticut Sun	L 72-73	1582.37	1523.15	62.66%	37.34%	-9.47	12-6
2018-07-05	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 72-83	1572.90	1629.71	37.66%	62.34%	-18.86	12-7
2018-07-07	Washington Mystics	L 74-83	1554.04	1554.49	54.35%	45.65%	-24.62	12-8
2018-07-10	@ Seattle Storm	W 77-75	1529.42	1673.82	26.73%	73.27%	+15.65	13-8
2018-07-12	Dallas Wings	L 77-92	1545.07	1607.55	45.44%	54.56%	-26.58	13-9
2018-07-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 99-78	1518.49	1535.81	43.13%	56.87%	+39.36	14-9
2018-07-20	Indiana Fever	L 76-78	1557.85	1248.97	87.60%	12.40%	-18.71	14-10
2018-07-22	@ Chicago Sky	W 93-76	1539.14	1368.28	69.14%	30.86%	+19.21	15-10
2018-07-24	Atlanta Dream	L 71-81	1558.35	1565.22	53.43%	46.57%	-25.51	15-11
2018-08-02	Minnesota Lynx	W 79-57	1532.84	1575.45	48.29%	51.71%	+36.62	16-11
2018-08-05	Phoenix Mercury	W 78-75	1569.46	1497.65	64.34%	35.66%	+9.33	17-11
2018-08-08	@ New York Liberty	W 82-81	1578.79	1297.31	80.90%	19.10%	+2.88	18-11
2018-08-09	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-79	1581.67	1612.27	41.26%	58.74%	-15.26	18-12
2018-08-12	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 78-86	1566.41	1489.69	56.58%	43.42%	-24.16	18-13
2018-08-14	New York Liberty	W 74-66	1542.25	1288.08	83.75%	16.25%	+6.93	19-13
2018-08-17	@ Washington Mystics	L 67-69	1549.18	1638.27	33.41%	66.59%	-7.13	19-14
2018-08-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 86-89	1542.05	1638.98	32.41%	67.59%	-8.48	19-15
2018-05-20	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-77	1635.57	1612.64	57.66%	42.34%	-8.71	0-1
2018-05-23	Dallas Wings	W 76-68	1626.86	1487.82	72.66%	27.34%	+11.68	1-1
2018-05-25	@ New York Liberty	W 78-72	1638.54	1531.36	60.83%	39.17%	+14.49	2-1
2018-05-27	@ Washington Mystics	L 78-90	1653.03	1533.49	62.51%	37.49%	-32.70	2-2
2018-05-29	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-76	1620.33	1430.75	71.39%	28.61%	-15.25	2-3
2018-06-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 85-95	1605.08	1476.58	71.44%	28.56%	-34.11	2-4
2018-06-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 69-77	1570.97	1622.94	38.32%	61.68%	-16.36	2-5
2018-06-07	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-80	1554.61	1500.45	53.36%	46.64%	+19.92	3-5
2018-06-09	@ Connecticut Sun	L 75-89	1574.53	1629.32	37.93%	62.07%	-21.44	3-6
2018-06-16	New York Liberty	W 85-71	1553.09	1474.23	65.27%	34.73%	+19.63	4-6
2018-06-19	Dallas Wings	W 91-83	1572.72	1516.01	62.33%	37.67%	+16.09	5-6
2018-06-22	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 83-72	1588.81	1630.43	39.73%	60.27%	+30.18	6-6
2018-06-24	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 88-73	1618.99	1457.54	67.97%	32.03%	+18.73	7-6
2018-06-26	Seattle Storm	W 91-79	1637.72	1617.34	57.30%	42.70%	+22.33	8-6
2018-06-29	Atlanta Dream	W 85-74	1660.05	1394.00	84.66%	15.34%	+7.68	9-6
2018-07-01	@ Dallas Wings	W 76-72	1667.73	1526.14	65.43%	34.57%	+10.44	10-6
2018-07-03	Indiana Fever	L 59-71	1678.17	1268.95	92.64%	7.36%	-48.46	10-7
2018-07-05	Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-72	1629.71	1572.90	62.34%	37.66%	+18.87	11-7
2018-07-07	@ Chicago Sky	L 63-77	1648.58	1363.08	81.25%	18.75%	-45.91	11-8
2018-07-11	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-65	1602.67	1302.39	82.51%	17.49%	+12.38	12-8
2018-07-13	Las Vegas Aces	L 77-85	1615.05	1506.31	69.06%	30.94%	-29.49	12-9
2018-07-15	Connecticut Sun	L 64-83	1585.56	1500.54	66.07%	33.93%	-43.49	12-10
2018-07-18	Indiana Fever	W 89-65	1542.07	1259.43	85.86%	14.14%	+10.46	13-10
2018-07-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 80-75	1552.53	1541.90	47.11%	52.89%	+17.86	14-10
2018-07-24	New York Liberty	W 85-82	1570.39	1353.31	80.64%	19.36%	+5.06	15-10
2018-08-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 57-79	1575.45	1532.84	51.71%	48.29%	-36.62	15-11
2018-08-03	@ Seattle Storm	L 75-85	1538.83	1685.17	26.52%	73.48%	-12.66	15-12
2018-08-05	Atlanta Dream	L 66-86	1526.17	1566.91	48.56%	51.44%	-32.79	15-13
2018-08-07	@ Chicago Sky	W 85-64	1493.38	1388.25	60.54%	39.46%	+27.30	16-13
2018-08-09	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 89-73	1520.68	1451.49	55.51%	44.49%	+26.87	17-13
2018-08-12	Seattle Storm	L 72-81	1547.55	1663.62	37.96%	62.04%	-17.20	17-14
2018-08-14	Chicago Sky	L 88-91	1530.35	1392.37	72.54%	27.46%	-18.97	17-15
2018-08-17	@ Connecticut Sun	L 79-96	1511.38	1619.68	30.99%	69.01%	-19.29	17-16
2018-08-19	Washington Mystics	W 88-83	1492.09	1645.40	33.06%	66.94%	+22.60	18-16
2018-05-20	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-80	1548.05	1480.68	55.25%	44.75%	-16.69	0-1
2018-05-25	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-78	1531.36	1638.54	39.17%	60.83%	-14.49	0-2
2018-05-29	Dallas Wings	W 94-89	1516.87	1497.93	57.10%	42.90%	+14.49	1-2
2018-06-02	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-81	1531.36	1316.68	74.25%	25.75%	+9.52	2-2
2018-06-05	Phoenix Mercury	L 74-80	1540.88	1528.72	56.14%	43.86%	-20.76	2-3
2018-06-07	Connecticut Sun	L 86-88	1520.12	1620.77	40.07%	59.93%	-8.56	2-4
2018-06-10	Indiana Fever	W 78-75	1511.56	1296.75	80.43%	19.57%	+5.12	3-4
2018-06-13	Las Vegas Aces	L 63-78	1516.68	1378.28	72.58%	27.42%	-42.45	3-5
2018-06-16	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 71-85	1474.23	1553.09	34.73%	65.27%	-19.62	3-6
2018-06-19	Atlanta Dream	W 79-72	1454.61	1416.06	59.84%	40.16%	+16.04	4-6
2018-06-22	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 78-88	1470.65	1433.20	50.97%	49.03%	-24.34	4-7
2018-06-24	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 54-80	1446.31	1598.72	25.84%	74.16%	-19.89	4-8
2018-06-26	Phoenix Mercury	L 69-83	1426.42	1563.98	35.09%	64.91%	-19.83	4-9
2018-06-28	@ Washington Mystics	L 77-80	1406.59	1554.24	26.37%	73.63%	-6.90	4-10
2018-06-29	Chicago Sky	L 99-103	1399.69	1393.79	55.25%	44.75%	-16.68	4-11
2018-07-01	@ Chicago Sky	W 97-94	1383.01	1410.48	41.70%	58.30%	+15.24	5-11
2018-07-03	Seattle Storm	L 62-77	1398.25	1637.75	23.12%	76.88%	-13.51	5-12
2018-07-05	@ Washington Mystics	L 67-86	1384.74	1537.51	25.80%	74.20%	-16.99	5-13
2018-07-08	Dallas Wings	L 87-97	1367.75	1552.09	29.23%	70.77%	-13.95	5-14
2018-07-11	@ Connecticut Sun	W 79-76	1353.80	1502.64	26.24%	73.76%	+19.29	6-14
2018-07-15	Chicago Sky	W 107-84	1373.09	1359.41	56.36%	43.64%	+31.60	7-14
2018-07-17	@ Dallas Wings	L 87-104	1404.69	1617.27	19.77%	80.23%	-12.31	7-15
2018-07-19	@ Atlanta Dream	L 68-82	1392.38	1510.51	29.80%	70.20%	-16.83	7-16
2018-07-21	Washington Mystics	L 78-95	1375.55	1508.42	35.71%	64.29%	-22.24	7-17
2018-07-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 82-85	1353.31	1570.39	19.36%	80.64%	-5.06	7-18
2018-08-01	@ Connecticut Sun	L 77-92	1348.25	1584.08	17.73%	82.27%	-10.37	7-19
2018-08-04	Indiana Fever	L 55-68	1337.88	1281.33	62.30%	37.70%	-33.92	7-20
2018-08-06	Seattle Storm	L 80-96	1303.96	1697.83	11.00%	89.00%	-6.65	7-21
2018-08-08	Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-82	1297.31	1578.79	19.10%	80.90%	-2.88	7-22
2018-08-12	Atlanta Dream	L 77-86	1294.43	1640.33	14.01%	85.99%	-6.35	7-23
2018-08-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 66-74	1288.08	1542.25	16.25%	83.75%	-6.94	7-24
2018-08-15	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 72-85	1281.14	1442.61	24.85%	75.15%	-13.53	7-25
2018-08-17	@ Seattle Storm	L 77-85	1267.61	1680.82	7.21%	92.79%	-3.08	7-26
2018-08-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 85-96	1264.53	1542.97	14.43%	85.57%	-7.23	7-27
2018-05-18	Dallas Wings	W 86-78	1517.01	1473.17	60.57%	39.43%	+16.84	1-0
2018-05-20	@ Seattle Storm	W 87-82	1533.85	1484.45	52.68%	47.32%	+15.97	2-0
2018-05-23	Seattle Storm	L 71-87	1549.82	1468.47	65.59%	34.41%	-39.61	2-1
2018-05-27	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-80	1510.21	1609.21	32.15%	67.85%	-13.74	2-2
2018-05-30	Washington Mystics	L 95-103	1496.47	1551.02	46.58%	53.42%	-19.89	2-3
2018-06-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 95-85	1476.58	1605.08	28.56%	71.44%	+34.11	3-3
2018-06-03	@ Atlanta Dream	W 78-71	1510.69	1445.99	54.87%	45.13%	+18.03	4-3
2018-06-05	@ New York Liberty	W 80-74	1528.72	1540.88	43.86%	56.14%	+20.77	5-3
2018-06-08	Chicago Sky	W 96-79	1549.49	1425.34	70.92%	29.08%	+18.10	6-3
2018-06-10	Las Vegas Aces	W 72-66	1567.59	1365.62	79.24%	20.76%	+7.68	7-3
2018-06-12	@ Dallas Wings	W 75-72	1575.27	1511.24	54.78%	45.22%	+11.83	8-3
2018-06-16	Connecticut Sun	W 89-72	1587.10	1602.41	52.22%	47.78%	+29.74	9-3
2018-06-17	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 92-80	1616.84	1404.13	74.03%	25.97%	+13.59	10-3
2018-06-22	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-83	1630.43	1588.81	60.27%	39.73%	-30.18	10-4
2018-06-24	@ Chicago Sky	L 88-97	1600.25	1328.09	80.05%	19.95%	-36.27	10-5
2018-06-26	@ New York Liberty	W 83-69	1563.98	1426.42	64.91%	35.09%	+19.83	11-5
2018-06-29	@ Indiana Fever	W 95-77	1583.81	1292.54	81.75%	18.25%	+11.69	12-5
2018-06-30	@ Washington Mystics	W 84-74	1595.50	1561.13	50.52%	49.48%	+23.63	13-5
2018-07-05	Connecticut Sun	W 84-77	1619.13	1532.61	66.26%	33.74%	+13.47	14-5
2018-07-08	@ Atlanta Dream	L 70-76	1632.60	1388.36	77.36%	22.64%	-28.61	14-6
2018-07-10	@ Dallas Wings	L 72-101	1603.99	1566.05	51.04%	48.96%	-41.50	14-7
2018-07-13	@ Connecticut Sun	L 87-91	1562.49	1483.35	56.92%	43.08%	-17.19	14-8
2018-07-15	@ Indiana Fever	W 101-82	1545.30	1272.52	80.11%	19.89%	+13.09	15-8
2018-07-19	Las Vegas Aces	L 82-85	1558.39	1496.46	63.03%	36.97%	-16.49	15-9
2018-07-21	Minnesota Lynx	L 75-80	1541.90	1552.53	52.89%	47.11%	-17.85	15-10
2018-07-25	Chicago Sky	L 87-101	1524.05	1349.06	76.57%	23.43%	-43.27	15-11
2018-07-31	Seattle Storm	L 91-102	1480.78	1670.87	28.55%	71.45%	-14.30	15-12
2018-08-01	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 104-93	1466.48	1522.52	37.77%	62.23%	+31.17	16-12
2018-08-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-78	1497.65	1569.46	35.66%	64.34%	-9.32	16-13
2018-08-07	Washington Mystics	L 98-103	1488.33	1553.61	45.05%	54.95%	-15.21	16-14
2018-08-10	Indiana Fever	W 94-74	1473.12	1308.66	75.47%	24.53%	+16.57	17-14
2018-08-12	Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-78	1489.69	1566.41	43.42%	56.58%	+24.16	18-14
2018-08-17	Atlanta Dream	W 104-95	1513.85	1646.68	35.72%	64.28%	+29.12	19-14
2018-08-19	New York Liberty	W 96-85	1542.97	1264.53	85.57%	14.43%	+7.23	20-14
2018-05-20	Phoenix Mercury	L 82-87	1484.45	1533.85	47.32%	52.68%	-15.98	0-1
2018-05-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 87-71	1468.47	1549.82	34.41%	65.59%	+39.62	1-1
2018-05-25	Chicago Sky	W 95-91	1508.09	1454.84	61.86%	38.14%	+11.52	2-1
2018-05-27	@ Las Vegas Aces	W 105-98	1519.61	1387.01	64.25%	35.75%	+14.28	3-1
2018-05-29	Washington Mystics	W 81-77	1533.89	1566.19	49.78%	50.22%	+15.17	4-1
2018-05-31	Las Vegas Aces	W 101-74	1549.06	1372.73	76.71%	23.29%	+18.27	5-1
2018-06-02	@ Dallas Wings	L 90-94	1567.33	1483.45	57.59%	42.41%	-17.39	5-2
2018-06-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 88-63	1549.94	1639.31	33.37%	66.63%	+50.31	6-2
2018-06-10	Atlanta Dream	L 64-67	1600.25	1466.37	72.06%	27.94%	-18.85	6-3
2018-06-12	Chicago Sky	W 96-85	1581.40	1392.67	77.96%	22.04%	+11.04	7-3
2018-06-15	Connecticut Sun	W 103-92	1592.44	1627.78	49.34%	50.66%	+25.37	8-3
2018-06-19	Las Vegas Aces	L 77-89	1617.81	1390.55	81.54%	18.46%	-42.65	8-4
2018-06-22	Indiana Fever	W 72-63	1575.16	1319.93	83.84%	16.16%	+7.32	9-4
2018-06-24	@ Dallas Wings	W 97-76	1582.48	1554.35	49.63%	50.37%	+34.86	10-4
2018-06-26	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 79-91	1617.34	1637.72	42.70%	57.30%	-22.33	10-5
2018-06-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 81-72	1595.01	1628.32	49.63%	50.37%	+22.81	11-5
2018-07-01	Connecticut Sun	W 84-70	1617.82	1543.07	64.73%	35.27%	+19.93	12-5
2018-07-03	@ New York Liberty	W 77-62	1637.75	1398.25	76.88%	23.12%	+13.52	13-5
2018-07-06	@ Atlanta Dream	W 95-86	1651.27	1398.22	78.24%	21.76%	+9.86	14-5
2018-07-08	Washington Mystics	W 97-91	1661.13	1579.11	65.68%	34.32%	+12.69	15-5
2018-07-10	Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-77	1673.82	1529.42	73.27%	26.73%	-15.65	15-6
2018-07-14	Dallas Wings	W 91-84	1658.17	1634.13	57.82%	42.18%	+16.86	16-6
2018-07-18	@ Chicago Sky	W 101-83	1675.03	1327.80	86.08%	13.92%	+8.91	17-6
2018-07-20	@ Connecticut Sun	W 78-65	1683.94	1527.98	67.28%	32.72%	+17.82	18-6
2018-07-22	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-87	1701.76	1527.34	69.57%	30.43%	-37.88	18-7
2018-07-24	@ Indiana Fever	W 92-72	1663.88	1258.10	89.65%	10.35%	+6.99	19-7
2018-07-31	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 102-91	1670.87	1480.78	71.45%	28.55%	+14.30	20-7
2018-08-03	Minnesota Lynx	W 85-75	1685.17	1538.83	73.48%	26.52%	+12.66	21-7
2018-08-06	@ New York Liberty	W 96-80	1697.83	1303.96	89.00%	11.00%	+6.65	22-7
2018-08-07	@ Indiana Fever	W 94-79	1704.48	1315.25	88.73%	11.27%	+6.59	23-7
2018-08-09	@ Washington Mystics	L 77-100	1711.07	1568.82	65.52%	34.48%	-47.45	23-8
2018-08-12	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 81-72	1663.62	1547.55	62.04%	37.96%	+17.20	24-8
2018-08-17	New York Liberty	W 85-77	1680.82	1267.61	92.79%	7.21%	+3.07	25-8
2018-08-19	Dallas Wings	W 84-68	1683.89	1454.71	81.70%	18.30%	+11.06	26-8
2018-05-20	Indiana Fever	W 82-75	1498.90	1360.95	72.53%	27.47%	+10.97	1-0
2018-05-22	Las Vegas Aces	W 75-70	1509.87	1397.30	69.53%	30.47%	+10.29	2-0
2018-05-24	@ Indiana Fever	W 93-84	1520.16	1337.51	70.57%	29.43%	+13.33	3-0
2018-05-27	Minnesota Lynx	W 90-78	1533.49	1653.03	37.49%	62.51%	+32.70	4-0
2018-05-29	@ Seattle Storm	L 77-81	1566.19	1533.89	50.22%	49.78%	-15.17	4-1
2018-05-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 103-95	1551.02	1496.47	53.42%	46.58%	+19.89	5-1
2018-06-01	@ Las Vegas Aces	L 73-85	1570.91	1354.45	74.44%	25.56%	-38.94	5-2
2018-06-03	Connecticut Sun	L 64-88	1531.97	1614.44	42.61%	57.39%	-31.52	5-3
2018-06-07	Minnesota Lynx	L 80-88	1500.45	1554.61	46.64%	53.36%	-19.91	5-4
2018-06-13	@ Connecticut Sun	W 95-91	1480.54	1650.75	23.92%	76.08%	+22.97	6-4
2018-06-15	Los Angeles Sparks	L 86-97	1503.51	1616.28	38.41%	61.59%	-19.24	6-5
2018-06-19	Chicago Sky	W 88-60	1484.27	1371.81	69.52%	30.48%	+24.36	7-5
2018-06-22	@ Chicago Sky	W 93-77	1508.63	1347.46	67.94%	32.06%	+19.37	8-5
2018-06-26	Connecticut Sun	W 92-80	1528.00	1559.85	49.84%	50.16%	+26.24	9-5
2018-06-28	New York Liberty	W 80-77	1554.24	1406.59	73.63%	26.37%	+6.89	10-5
2018-06-30	Phoenix Mercury	L 74-84	1561.13	1595.50	49.48%	50.52%	-23.62	10-6
2018-07-05	New York Liberty	W 86-67	1537.51	1384.74	74.20%	25.80%	+16.98	11-6
2018-07-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-74	1554.49	1554.04	45.65%	54.35%	+24.62	12-6
2018-07-08	@ Seattle Storm	L 91-97	1579.11	1661.13	34.32%	65.68%	-12.70	12-7
2018-07-11	Atlanta Dream	L 89-106	1566.41	1416.98	73.83%	26.17%	-45.96	12-8
2018-07-13	Chicago Sky	W 88-72	1520.45	1375.52	73.33%	26.67%	+16.11	13-8
2018-07-15	@ Atlanta Dream	L 77-80	1536.56	1480.43	53.65%	46.35%	-14.03	13-9
2018-07-19	@ Dallas Wings	L 81-90	1522.53	1629.58	31.15%	68.85%	-14.11	13-10
2018-07-21	@ New York Liberty	W 95-78	1508.42	1375.55	64.29%	35.71%	+22.23	14-10
2018-07-24	@ Connecticut Sun	L 68-94	1530.65	1551.23	42.67%	57.33%	-32.85	14-11
2018-07-31	@ Atlanta Dream	W 86-71	1497.80	1590.73	32.92%	67.08%	+39.23	15-11
2018-08-03	Las Vegas Aces	W 1-0	1537.03	1491.35	60.82%	39.18%	+5.92	16-11
2018-08-05	@ Dallas Wings	W 76-74	1542.95	1511.68	50.08%	49.92%	+10.66	17-11
2018-08-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 103-98	1553.61	1488.33	54.95%	45.05%	+15.21	18-11
2018-08-09	Seattle Storm	W 100-77	1568.82	1711.07	34.48%	65.52%	+47.44	19-11
2018-08-12	Dallas Wings	W 93-80	1616.26	1470.94	73.37%	26.63%	+14.50	20-11
2018-08-15	@ Indiana Fever	W 76-62	1630.76	1274.10	86.72%	13.28%	+7.51	21-11
2018-08-17	Los Angeles Sparks	W 69-67	1638.27	1549.18	66.59%	33.41%	+7.13	22-11
2018-08-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 83-88	1645.40	1492.09	66.94%	33.06%	-22.60	22-12

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2018-08-26	Washington Mystics	L 84-87	1635.12	1653.22	51.82%	48.18%	-13.55	0-1
2018-08-28	Washington Mystics	W 78-75	1621.57	1666.78	47.92%	52.08%	+13.62	1-1
2018-08-31	@ Washington Mystics	W 81-76	1635.19	1653.15	43.04%	56.96%	+19.23	2-1
2018-09-02	@ Washington Mystics	L 76-97	1654.42	1633.92	48.53%	51.47%	-33.58	2-2
2018-09-04	Washington Mystics	L 81-86	1620.84	1667.50	47.71%	52.29%	-16.11	2-3
2018-08-23	Phoenix Mercury	L 86-96	1647.46	1570.19	65.06%	34.94%	-31.07	0-1
2018-08-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 83-101	1443.65	1550.20	31.21%	68.79%	-19.99	0-1
2018-08-21	Minnesota Lynx	W 75-68	1533.57	1514.69	57.09%	42.91%	+17.14	1-0
2018-08-23	@ Washington Mystics	L 64-96	1550.71	1622.80	35.62%	64.38%	-30.42	1-1
2018-08-21	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-75	1514.69	1533.57	42.91%	57.09%	-17.14	0-1
2018-08-21	Dallas Wings	W 101-83	1550.20	1443.65	68.79%	31.21%	+19.99	1-0
2018-08-23	@ Connecticut Sun	W 96-86	1570.19	1647.46	34.94%	65.06%	+31.07	2-0
2018-08-26	@ Seattle Storm	L 87-91	1601.26	1694.95	32.82%	67.18%	-9.91	2-1
2018-08-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 87-91	1591.35	1704.86	30.36%	69.64%	-9.17	2-2
2018-08-31	Seattle Storm	W 86-66	1582.18	1714.03	35.85%	64.15%	+43.32	3-2
2018-09-02	Seattle Storm	W 86-84	1625.50	1670.70	47.92%	52.08%	+11.12	4-2
2018-09-04	@ Seattle Storm	L 84-94	1636.62	1659.58	42.33%	57.67%	-20.21	4-3
2018-08-26	Phoenix Mercury	W 91-87	1694.95	1601.26	67.18%	32.82%	+9.91	1-0
2018-08-28	Phoenix Mercury	W 91-87	1704.86	1591.35	69.64%	30.36%	+9.17	2-0
2018-08-31	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-86	1714.03	1582.18	64.15%	35.85%	-43.33	2-1
2018-09-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 84-86	1670.70	1625.50	52.08%	47.92%	-11.12	2-2
2018-09-04	Phoenix Mercury	W 94-84	1659.58	1636.62	57.67%	42.33%	+20.22	3-2
2018-09-07	Washington Mystics	W 89-76	1679.80	1683.61	53.87%	46.13%	+25.11	4-2
2018-09-09	Washington Mystics	W 75-73	1704.91	1658.49	60.93%	39.07%	+8.35	5-2
2018-09-12	@ Washington Mystics	W 98-82	1713.26	1650.15	54.64%	45.36%	+27.39	6-2
2018-08-23	Los Angeles Sparks	W 96-64	1622.80	1550.71	64.38%	35.62%	+30.42	1-0
2018-08-26	@ Atlanta Dream	W 87-84	1653.22	1635.12	48.18%	51.82%	+13.56	2-0
2018-08-28	@ Atlanta Dream	L 75-78	1666.78	1621.57	52.08%	47.92%	-13.63	2-1
2018-08-31	Atlanta Dream	L 76-81	1653.15	1635.19	56.96%	43.04%	-19.23	2-2
2018-09-02	Atlanta Dream	W 97-76	1633.92	1654.42	51.47%	48.53%	+33.58	3-2
2018-09-04	@ Atlanta Dream	W 86-81	1667.50	1620.84	52.29%	47.71%	+16.11	4-2
2018-09-07	@ Seattle Storm	L 76-89	1683.61	1679.80	46.13%	53.87%	-25.12	4-3
2018-09-09	@ Seattle Storm	L 73-75	1658.49	1704.91	39.07%	60.93%	-8.34	4-4
2018-09-12	Seattle Storm	L 82-98	1650.15	1713.26	45.36%	54.64%	-27.40	4-5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2018-07-03	7.36%	Indiana Fever	1268.95	71	@ Minnesota Lynx	1678.17	59
2	2018-07-20	12.40%	Indiana Fever	1248.97	78	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1557.85	76
3	2018-07-20	15.54%	@ Chicago Sky	1318.88	114	Dallas Wings	1643.69	99
4	2018-08-02	18.29%	@ Indiana Fever	1251.11	84	Dallas Wings	1541.90	78
5	2018-06-19	18.46%	Las Vegas Aces	1390.55	89	@ Seattle Storm	1617.81	77
6	2018-07-07	18.75%	@ Chicago Sky	1363.08	77	Minnesota Lynx	1648.58	63
7	2018-06-24	19.95%	@ Chicago Sky	1328.09	97	Phoenix Mercury	1600.25	88
8	2018-08-10	19.95%	@ Chicago Sky	1360.95	97	Connecticut Sun	1633.11	86
9	2018-07-08	22.64%	@ Atlanta Dream	1388.36	76	Phoenix Mercury	1632.60	70
10	2018-08-19	23.36%	Indiana Fever	1251.12	97	@ Chicago Sky	1426.81	92
11	2018-07-25	23.43%	Chicago Sky	1349.06	101	@ Phoenix Mercury	1524.05	87
12	2018-06-13	23.92%	Washington Mystics	1480.54	95	@ Connecticut Sun	1650.75	91
13	2018-07-31	24.91%	Chicago Sky	1392.33	92	@ Dallas Wings	1553.24	91
14	2018-06-05	25.39%	@ Atlanta Dream	1427.96	82	Connecticut Sun	1645.96	77
15	2018-06-01	25.56%	@ Las Vegas Aces	1354.45	85	Washington Mystics	1570.91	73
16	2018-06-16	25.69%	@ Indiana Fever	1264.26	96	Atlanta Dream	1479.54	64
17	2018-07-11	26.17%	Atlanta Dream	1416.98	106	@ Washington Mystics	1566.41	89
18	2018-07-11	26.24%	New York Liberty	1353.80	79	@ Connecticut Sun	1502.64	76
19	2018-07-10	26.73%	Los Angeles Sparks	1529.42	77	@ Seattle Storm	1673.82	75
20	2018-06-13	27.42%	Las Vegas Aces	1378.28	78	@ New York Liberty	1516.68	63
21	2018-08-14	27.46%	Chicago Sky	1392.37	91	@ Minnesota Lynx	1530.35	88
22	2018-06-10	27.94%	Atlanta Dream	1466.37	67	@ Seattle Storm	1600.25	64
23	2018-06-01	28.56%	Phoenix Mercury	1476.58	95	@ Minnesota Lynx	1605.08	85
24	2018-05-29	28.61%	@ Atlanta Dream	1430.75	76	Minnesota Lynx	1620.33	74
25	2018-06-29	29.38%	@ Las Vegas Aces	1422.44	94	Los Angeles Sparks	1605.50	78

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2018-06-16	63.48	@ Indiana Fever	96	1264.26	25.69%	Atlanta Dream	64	1479.54	74.31%
2	2018-06-22	54.43	@ Dallas Wings	101	1499.92	33.07%	Los Angeles Sparks	72	1653.15	66.93%
3	2018-06-07	50.31	Seattle Storm	88	1549.94	33.37%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	63	1639.31	66.63%
4	2018-07-20	49.40	@ Chicago Sky	114	1318.88	15.54%	Dallas Wings	99	1643.69	84.46%
5	2018-07-03	48.46	Indiana Fever	71	1268.95	7.36%	@ Minnesota Lynx	59	1678.17	92.64%
6	2018-08-09	47.45	@ Washington Mystics	100	1568.82	34.48%	Seattle Storm	77	1711.07	65.52%
7	2018-07-11	45.96	Atlanta Dream	106	1416.98	26.17%	@ Washington Mystics	89	1566.41	73.83%
8	2018-07-07	45.91	@ Chicago Sky	77	1363.08	18.75%	Minnesota Lynx	63	1648.58	81.25%
9	2018-07-15	43.49	Connecticut Sun	83	1500.54	33.93%	@ Minnesota Lynx	64	1585.56	66.07%
10	2018-08-31 *	43.33	@ Phoenix Mercury	86	1582.18	35.85%	Seattle Storm	66	1714.03	64.15%
11	2018-07-25	43.27	Chicago Sky	101	1349.06	23.43%	@ Phoenix Mercury	87	1524.05	76.57%
12	2018-06-29	42.66	@ Las Vegas Aces	94	1422.44	29.38%	Los Angeles Sparks	78	1605.50	70.62%
13	2018-06-19	42.65	Las Vegas Aces	89	1390.55	18.46%	@ Seattle Storm	77	1617.81	81.54%
14	2018-05-23	42.52	Atlanta Dream	81	1410.02	33.63%	@ Chicago Sky	63	1497.36	66.37%
15	2018-06-13	42.45	Las Vegas Aces	78	1378.28	27.42%	@ New York Liberty	63	1516.68	72.58%
16	2018-07-10	41.50	@ Dallas Wings	101	1566.05	48.96%	Phoenix Mercury	72	1603.99	51.04%
17	2018-07-22	41.07	Connecticut Sun	92	1510.16	34.05%	@ Dallas Wings	75	1594.30	65.95%
18	2018-08-10	40.09	@ Chicago Sky	97	1360.95	19.95%	Connecticut Sun	86	1633.11	80.05%
19	2018-05-23	39.62	Seattle Storm	87	1468.47	34.41%	@ Phoenix Mercury	71	1549.82	65.59%
20	2018-07-15	39.36	Los Angeles Sparks	99	1518.49	43.13%	@ Las Vegas Aces	78	1535.81	56.87%
21	2018-07-31	39.23	Washington Mystics	86	1497.80	32.92%	@ Atlanta Dream	71	1590.73	67.08%
22	2018-06-01	38.94	@ Las Vegas Aces	85	1354.45	25.56%	Washington Mystics	73	1570.91	74.44%
23	2018-07-22	37.88	@ Atlanta Dream	87	1527.34	30.43%	Seattle Storm	74	1701.76	69.57%
24	2018-08-02	36.62	@ Los Angeles Sparks	79	1532.84	48.29%	Minnesota Lynx	57	1575.45	51.71%
25	2018-06-24	36.27	@ Chicago Sky	97	1328.09	19.95%	Phoenix Mercury	88	1600.25	80.05%