2018 WNBA Season
204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Seattle Storm
3rd Title
Last Title: 2010
Runner-Up
Washington Mystics
1
Biggest Overachiever
Atlanta Dream
6.30 wins above expected
23 wins · 16.70 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
New York Liberty
6.14 wins below expected
7 wins · 13.14 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Storm League | 26 | 8 | .765 | — | 87.2 | 79.7 | +7.6 | 22.25 | +3.75 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 23 | 11 | .676 | 3 | 81.8 | 79.5 | +2.3 | 16.70 | +6.30 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics Playoffs | 22 | 12 | .647 | 4 | 82.1 | 79.0 | +3.1 | 18.89 | +3.11 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 5 | 87.6 | 81.7 | +5.9 | 20.21 | +0.79 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 6 | 85.8 | 83.2 | +2.5 | 19.51 | +0.49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 7 | 78.9 | 77.0 | +1.9 | 20.76 | -1.76 |
| 7 | Minnesota Lynx Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 8 | 78.9 | 78.3 | +0.7 | 20.70 | -2.70 |
| 8 | Dallas Wings Playoffs | 15 | 19 | .441 | 11 | 86.6 | 85.4 | +1.3 | 17.30 | -2.30 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Aces | 14 | 20 | .412 | 12 | 81.9 | 84.5 | -2.5 | 13.88 | +0.12 |
| 10 | Chicago Sky | 13 | 21 | .382 | 13 | 83.8 | 90.1 | -6.3 | 12.36 | +0.64 |
| 11 | New York Liberty | 7 | 27 | .206 | 19 | 77.7 | 84.8 | -7.1 | 13.14 | -6.14 |
| 12 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 28 | .176 | 20 | 76.4 | 85.7 | -9.3 | 8.30 | -2.30 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
WNBA Playoffs
First Round
Second Round
Semifinals
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 1680 | 26 | 22.25 | +3.75 | 95.34% | 12 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 31 | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 1632 | 21 | 20.21 | +0.79 | 68.30% | 10 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 29 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1614 | 23 | 16.70 | +6.30 | 99.47% | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 26 | ||
| Washington Mystics | 1607 | 22 | 18.89 | +3.11 | 90.09% | 7 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 29 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1546 | 20 | 19.51 | +0.49 | 63.89% | 9 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 30 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1538 | 19 | 20.76 | -1.76 | 32.59% | 11 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 30 | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1522 | 18 | 20.70 | -2.70 | 20.56% | 10 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 30 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1456 | 15 | 17.30 | -2.30 | 25.43% | 7 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | ||
| Las Vegas Aces | 1429 | 14 | 13.88 | +0.12 | 59.45% | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 24 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1402 | 13 | 12.36 | +0.64 | 67.21% | 4 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 23 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1287 | 7 | 13.14 | -6.14 | 1.31% | 5 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 24 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1287 | 6 | 8.30 | -2.30 | 23.42% | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Fever | Aces | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
0-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Aces |
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
1-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream | 23 | 16.70 | +6.30 |
| 2 | Seattle Storm | 26 | 22.25 | +3.75 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 22 | 18.89 | +3.11 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 21 | 20.21 | +0.79 |
| 5 | Chicago Sky | 13 | 12.36 | +0.64 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 7 | 13.14 | -6.14 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx | 18 | 20.70 | -2.70 |
| 3 | Dallas Wings | 15 | 17.30 | -2.30 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 6 | 8.30 | -2.30 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 19 | 20.76 | -1.76 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream | 8 | Jul 8 – Jul 24 | 1 in 1,131 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury | 8 | Jun 1 – Jun 17 | 1 in 135 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 8 | Jul 31 – Aug 17 | 1 in 127 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 7 | Jun 16 – Jul 1 | 1 in 27 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Aces | 4 | Jul 5 – Jul 13 | 1 in 24 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 9 | Jul 20 – Aug 14 | 1 in 2,908 |
| 2 | New York Liberty | 13 | Jul 17 – Aug 19 | 1 in 54 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx | 4 | May 27 – Jun 3 | 1 in 48 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 4 | Jun 13 – Jun 22 | 1 in 45 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 10 | May 19 – Jun 14 | 1 in 43 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 35.15% | 21.89% | 15.48% | 10.45% | 7.54% | 4.71% | 2.86% | 1.42% | 0.40% | 0.08% | 0.02% | — |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 17.63% | 18.18% | 15.91% | 14.36% | 11.81% | 9.58% | 6.45% | 3.84% | 1.60% | 0.55% | 0.09% | — |
| Minnesota Lynx | 16.65% | 17.35% | 16.39% | 14.94% | 12.67% | 9.41% | 6.46% | 3.77% | 1.58% | 0.60% | 0.18% | — |
| Connecticut Sun | 12.45% | 15.11% | 16.10% | 15.23% | 12.93% | 11.39% | 8.13% | 5.01% | 2.37% | 0.92% | 0.34% | 0.02% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8.84% | 11.44% | 13.33% | 14.35% | 14.22% | 13.77% | 10.57% | 7.21% | 4.03% | 1.72% | 0.48% | 0.04% |
| Washington Mystics | 6.03% | 9.05% | 11.53% | 13.08% | 14.89% | 14.53% | 12.96% | 8.86% | 5.33% | 2.75% | 0.88% | 0.11% |
| Dallas Wings | 2.01% | 3.85% | 5.62% | 8.50% | 11.58% | 14.42% | 17.34% | 16.78% | 11.08% | 6.25% | 2.23% | 0.34% |
| Atlanta Dream | 1.06% | 2.54% | 4.42% | 6.75% | 9.78% | 12.94% | 17.03% | 18.52% | 14.02% | 8.74% | 3.53% | 0.67% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.14% | 0.38% | 0.70% | 1.44% | 2.63% | 4.38% | 8.16% | 13.45% | 22.36% | 23.27% | 18.21% | 4.88% |
| New York Liberty | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.32% | 0.56% | 1.08% | 2.91% | 5.75% | 11.92% | 20.28% | 26.04% | 24.25% | 6.71% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.34% | 0.87% | 1.92% | 4.08% | 8.71% | 15.04% | 24.14% | 33.50% | 11.13% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | — | — | 0.04% | 0.21% | 0.51% | 1.91% | 4.94% | 16.29% | 76.10% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 35.15% | 21.89% | 15.48% | 10.45% | 7.54% | 4.71% | 2.86% | 1.42% | 0.50% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 17.63% | 18.18% | 15.91% | 14.36% | 11.81% | 9.58% | 6.45% | 3.84% | 2.24% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 16.65% | 17.35% | 16.39% | 14.94% | 12.67% | 9.41% | 6.46% | 3.77% | 2.36% |
| Connecticut Sun | 12.45% | 15.11% | 16.10% | 15.23% | 12.93% | 11.39% | 8.13% | 5.01% | 3.65% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 8.84% | 11.44% | 13.33% | 14.35% | 14.22% | 13.77% | 10.57% | 7.21% | 6.27% |
| Washington Mystics | 6.03% | 9.05% | 11.53% | 13.08% | 14.89% | 14.53% | 12.96% | 8.86% | 9.07% |
| Dallas Wings | 2.01% | 3.85% | 5.62% | 8.50% | 11.58% | 14.42% | 17.34% | 16.78% | 19.90% |
| Atlanta Dream | 1.06% | 2.54% | 4.42% | 6.75% | 9.78% | 12.94% | 17.03% | 18.52% | 26.96% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.14% | 0.38% | 0.70% | 1.44% | 2.63% | 4.38% | 8.16% | 13.45% | 68.72% |
| New York Liberty | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.32% | 0.56% | 1.08% | 2.91% | 5.75% | 11.92% | 77.28% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.34% | 0.87% | 1.92% | 4.08% | 8.71% | 83.81% |
| Indiana Fever | — | — | — | — | — | 0.04% | 0.21% | 0.51% | 99.24% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 81.97% | 81.97% | 56.72% | 36.88% |
| Connecticut Sun | 61.67% | 61.67% | 36.27% | 20.09% |
| Washington Mystics | 56.33% | 46.14% | 24.69% | 12.38% |
| Atlanta Dream | 46.24% | 28.77% | 16.59% | 8.62% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 58.20% | 58.20% | 21.71% | 7.47% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 51.97% | 44.66% | 18.11% | 6.81% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 54.83% | 54.83% | 19.62% | 6.36% |
| Dallas Wings | 35.15% | 17.53% | 4.81% | 1.11% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 10.79% | 3.79% | 1.09% | 0.25% |
| Chicago Sky | 4.78% | 1.41% | 0.33% | 0.03% |
| Indiana Fever | 0.08% | — | — | — |
| New York Liberty | 4.71% | 1.03% | 0.06% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.17% | 3.57% | 2.41% | 0.36% | 4.02% | 4.30% | 0.29% | 4.21% | 2.35% | 3.49% | ||
| Chicago Sky | 0.05% | 0.19% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.22% | 0.27% | 0.18% | 0.12% | 0.19% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 4.16% | 0.67% | 4.34% | 0.02% | 1.44% | 4.78% | 4.80% | 0.74% | 5.51% | 2.28% | 5.37% | |
| Dallas Wings | 1.12% | 0.18% | 1.49% | 0.02% | 0.41% | 1.76% | 2.11% | 0.29% | 1.73% | 0.92% | 1.64% | |
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.28% | 0.02% | 0.36% | 0.33% | 0.54% | 0.65% | 0.04% | 0.45% | 0.20% | 0.40% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.89% | 0.48% | 2.87% | 3.08% | 0.02% | 1.06% | 3.14% | 0.48% | 3.60% | 1.40% | 3.37% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.87% | 0.55% | 2.65% | 3.05% | 0.93% | 2.52% | 0.52% | 3.22% | 1.31% | 3.21% | ||
| New York Liberty | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.18% | 0.16% | 0.15% | 0.05% | 0.07% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.04% | 0.40% | 3.24% | 3.06% | 1.24% | 3.26% | 4.00% | 0.61% | 1.86% | 3.67% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 3.65% | 0.56% | 2.97% | 3.43% | 0.92% | 2.91% | 2.83% | 0.38% | 3.42% | 3.86% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 2.96% | 0.40% | 4.77% | 3.60% | 0.01% | 1.12% | 5.06% | 5.00% | 0.51% | 5.12% | 2.51% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.02% | 2.27% | 0.62% | 0.08% | 3.71% | 3.40% | 0.01% | 1.72% | 3.43% | 1.33% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.03% | |||||
| Connecticut Sun | 2.21% | 0.24% | 2.03% | 0.47% | 7.69% | 7.14% | 0.14% | 5.21% | 6.79% | 4.35% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.27% | 0.65% | 0.04% | 1.15% | 1.01% | 0.66% | 0.67% | 0.36% | |||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.07% | 0.19% | 0.29% | 0.14% | 0.20% | 0.05% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.55% | 0.19% | 3.43% | 1.84% | 0.29% | 4.72% | 0.21% | 3.43% | 3.42% | 2.63% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.42% | 0.12% | 3.11% | 1.53% | 0.42% | 4.37% | 0.12% | 3.19% | 3.02% | 2.32% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.01% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.97% | 0.04% | 2.82% | 1.13% | 0.25% | 4.03% | 3.91% | 0.13% | 3.05% | 1.78% | |
| Seattle Storm | 4.61% | 0.39% | 9.35% | 4.23% | 0.92% | 9.90% | 9.70% | 0.29% | 8.73% | 8.60% | |
| Washington Mystics | 1.15% | 0.07% | 3.58% | 1.27% | 0.23% | 5.35% | 4.93% | 0.07% | 3.41% | 4.63% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.04% | 1.73% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 0.97% | 2.41% | 1.12% | ||
| Chicago Sky | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 1.90% | 0.03% | 0.78% | 0.19% | 3.00% | 2.79% | 0.01% | 2.21% | 6.31% | 2.87% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.09% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.20% | 0.09% | 0.09% | 0.37% | 0.12% | |||
| Las Vegas Aces | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.03% | |||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.56% | 0.03% | 1.24% | 0.26% | 0.11% | 1.04% | 0.01% | 0.88% | 2.39% | 0.95% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.46% | 0.03% | 1.04% | 0.22% | 0.09% | 1.02% | 0.60% | 2.08% | 0.82% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.58% | 1.13% | 0.24% | 0.08% | 1.15% | 0.82% | 2.11% | 0.70% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 3.48% | 0.13% | 8.59% | 1.51% | 0.25% | 6.18% | 5.98% | 0.03% | 5.04% | 5.69% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.89% | 0.04% | 2.25% | 0.42% | 0.05% | 1.64% | 1.51% | 0.01% | 1.46% | 4.11% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 100.00% | 64.24% | 40.11% | Won Finals |
| Atlanta Dream | 100.00% | 53.12% | 21.32% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Washington Mystics | 62.75% | 31.44% | 13.82% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Phoenix Mercury | 24.11% | 7.07% | 3.38% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 24.06% | 42.80% | ||||
| Dallas Wings | 9.03% | |||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 21.41% | |||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 15.84% | |||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 24.11% | |||||
| Washington Mystics | 35.38% | 27.37% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 12.53% | 9.28% | 31.31% | |||||
| Connecticut Sun | 27.04% | |||||||
| Dallas Wings | 1.65% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 8.88% | |||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 6.56% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 7.07% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 39.82% | 7.38% | 17.04% | |||||
| Washington Mystics | 31.44% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 6.23% | 0.57% | 1.94% | 12.58% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 8.17% | 1.55% | 1.29% | 4.57% | ||||
| Dallas Wings | 0.24% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.19% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.04% | 0.11% | 0.32% | 1.67% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.65% | 0.08% | 0.25% | 1.13% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.69% | 0.36% | 0.26% | 1.07% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 21.70% | 3.78% | 2.84% | 11.79% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 3.54% | 0.35% | 1.18% | 8.75% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-20 | @ Dallas Wings | L 78-101 | 1448.54 | 1459.42 | 44.04% | 55.96% | -25.47 | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 81-63 | 1423.07 | 1493.05 | 35.90% | 64.10% | +32.80 | 1-1 |
| 2018-05-26 | Dallas Wings | L 70-78 | 1455.87 | 1475.32 | 51.62% | 48.38% | -17.61 | 1-2 |
| 2018-05-29 | Minnesota Lynx | W 76-74 | 1438.26 | 1613.59 | 30.32% | 69.68% | +11.89 | 2-2 |
| 2018-06-03 | Phoenix Mercury | L 71-78 | 1450.15 | 1509.23 | 45.93% | 54.07% | -14.66 | 2-3 |
| 2018-06-05 | Connecticut Sun | W 82-77 | 1435.49 | 1625.05 | 28.61% | 71.39% | +19.25 | 3-3 |
| 2018-06-08 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 87-83 | 1454.74 | 1385.41 | 55.53% | 44.47% | +10.73 | 4-3 |
| 2018-06-10 | @ Seattle Storm | W 67-64 | 1465.47 | 1580.01 | 30.23% | 69.77% | +14.57 | 5-3 |
| 2018-06-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-72 | 1480.04 | 1599.78 | 29.60% | 70.40% | -10.10 | 5-4 |
| 2018-06-14 | Indiana Fever | W 72-67 | 1469.94 | 1301.83 | 75.85% | 24.15% | +6.52 | 6-4 |
| 2018-06-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 64-96 | 1476.46 | 1295.31 | 70.39% | 29.61% | -48.02 | 6-5 |
| 2018-06-19 | @ New York Liberty | L 72-79 | 1428.44 | 1467.31 | 40.11% | 59.89% | -12.80 | 6-6 |
| 2018-06-22 | Connecticut Sun | W 75-70 | 1415.64 | 1569.02 | 33.05% | 66.95% | +18.05 | 7-6 |
| 2018-06-27 | @ Chicago Sky | L 80-93 | 1433.69 | 1378.31 | 53.54% | 46.46% | -23.28 | 7-7 |
| 2018-06-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-85 | 1410.41 | 1642.19 | 18.08% | 81.92% | -7.23 | 7-8 |
| 2018-07-01 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-83 | 1403.18 | 1301.75 | 60.03% | 39.97% | +9.64 | 8-8 |
| 2018-07-06 | Seattle Storm | L 86-95 | 1412.82 | 1628.66 | 25.63% | 74.37% | -9.27 | 8-9 |
| 2018-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 76-70 | 1403.55 | 1616.19 | 25.98% | 74.02% | +21.87 | 9-9 |
| 2018-07-11 | @ Washington Mystics | W 106-89 | 1425.42 | 1559.14 | 27.95% | 72.05% | +35.82 | 10-9 |
| 2018-07-13 | Indiana Fever | W 98-74 | 1461.24 | 1305.97 | 74.47% | 25.53% | +15.08 | 11-9 |
| 2018-07-15 | Washington Mystics | W 80-77 | 1476.32 | 1536.49 | 45.78% | 54.22% | +11.33 | 12-9 |
| 2018-07-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 86-83 | 1487.65 | 1544.22 | 37.69% | 62.31% | +13.01 | 13-9 |
| 2018-07-19 | New York Liberty | W 82-68 | 1500.66 | 1405.19 | 67.40% | 32.60% | +14.71 | 14-9 |
| 2018-07-22 | Seattle Storm | W 87-74 | 1515.37 | 1674.76 | 32.29% | 67.71% | +29.44 | 15-9 |
| 2018-07-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-71 | 1544.81 | 1559.16 | 43.55% | 56.45% | +21.53 | 16-9 |
| 2018-07-31 | Washington Mystics | L 71-86 | 1566.34 | 1504.55 | 63.01% | 36.99% | -29.43 | 16-10 |
| 2018-08-03 | Chicago Sky | W 89-74 | 1536.91 | 1403.06 | 72.06% | 27.94% | +13.05 | 17-10 |
| 2018-08-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 86-66 | 1549.96 | 1539.13 | 47.14% | 52.86% | +28.51 | 18-10 |
| 2018-08-07 | Las Vegas Aces | W 109-100 | 1578.47 | 1462.01 | 70.00% | 30.00% | +10.86 | 19-10 |
| 2018-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-73 | 1589.33 | 1577.28 | 56.13% | 43.87% | +12.96 | 20-10 |
| 2018-08-11 | Dallas Wings | W 92-82 | 1602.29 | 1493.77 | 69.03% | 30.97% | +11.81 | 21-10 |
| 2018-08-12 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-77 | 1614.10 | 1321.22 | 81.89% | 18.11% | +6.55 | 22-10 |
| 2018-08-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 95-104 | 1620.65 | 1517.86 | 60.22% | 39.78% | -21.79 | 22-11 |
| 2018-08-19 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 93-78 | 1598.86 | 1444.63 | 67.06% | 32.94% | +15.39 | 23-11 |
| 2018-05-19 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-64 | 1455.79 | 1405.63 | 52.79% | 47.21% | +24.16 | 1-0 |
| 2018-05-20 | New York Liberty | W 80-76 | 1479.95 | 1540.84 | 45.67% | 54.33% | +13.10 | 2-0 |
| 2018-05-23 | Atlanta Dream | L 63-81 | 1493.05 | 1423.07 | 64.10% | 35.90% | -32.80 | 2-1 |
| 2018-05-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 91-95 | 1460.25 | 1503.87 | 39.46% | 60.54% | -9.52 | 2-2 |
| 2018-06-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 72-110 | 1450.73 | 1570.95 | 37.40% | 62.60% | -27.80 | 2-3 |
| 2018-06-03 | Las Vegas Aces | W 95-90 | 1422.93 | 1396.70 | 58.13% | 41.87% | +11.29 | 3-3 |
| 2018-06-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-96 | 1434.22 | 1540.46 | 31.25% | 68.75% | -15.54 | 3-4 |
| 2018-06-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 59-77 | 1418.68 | 1587.47 | 24.08% | 75.92% | -12.31 | 3-5 |
| 2018-06-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 85-96 | 1406.37 | 1565.44 | 25.11% | 74.89% | -10.05 | 3-6 |
| 2018-06-17 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 72-81 | 1396.32 | 1625.69 | 24.17% | 75.83% | -8.74 | 3-7 |
| 2018-06-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 60-88 | 1387.58 | 1489.50 | 31.78% | 68.22% | -20.29 | 3-8 |
| 2018-06-22 | Washington Mystics | L 77-93 | 1367.29 | 1509.79 | 34.45% | 65.55% | -16.62 | 3-9 |
| 2018-06-24 | Phoenix Mercury | W 97-88 | 1350.67 | 1585.39 | 23.61% | 76.39% | +27.64 | 4-9 |
| 2018-06-27 | Atlanta Dream | W 93-80 | 1378.31 | 1433.69 | 46.46% | 53.54% | +23.28 | 5-9 |
| 2018-06-29 | @ New York Liberty | W 103-99 | 1401.59 | 1419.62 | 43.03% | 56.97% | +13.74 | 6-9 |
| 2018-07-01 | New York Liberty | L 94-97 | 1415.33 | 1405.88 | 55.76% | 44.24% | -11.64 | 6-10 |
| 2018-07-03 | @ Dallas Wings | L 85-108 | 1403.69 | 1507.86 | 31.50% | 68.50% | -18.22 | 6-11 |
| 2018-07-05 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 80-84 | 1385.47 | 1438.69 | 38.15% | 61.85% | -9.21 | 6-12 |
| 2018-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx | W 77-63 | 1376.26 | 1635.93 | 21.12% | 78.88% | +35.60 | 7-12 |
| 2018-07-10 | Las Vegas Aces | L 74-98 | 1411.86 | 1461.57 | 47.27% | 52.73% | -27.93 | 7-13 |
| 2018-07-13 | @ Washington Mystics | L 72-88 | 1383.93 | 1523.32 | 27.30% | 72.70% | -13.17 | 7-14 |
| 2018-07-15 | @ New York Liberty | L 84-107 | 1370.76 | 1392.01 | 42.57% | 57.43% | -24.62 | 7-15 |
| 2018-07-18 | Seattle Storm | L 83-101 | 1346.14 | 1650.14 | 17.18% | 82.82% | -8.79 | 7-16 |
| 2018-07-20 | Dallas Wings | W 114-99 | 1337.35 | 1619.54 | 19.04% | 80.96% | +37.81 | 8-16 |
| 2018-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-93 | 1375.16 | 1543.67 | 31.15% | 68.85% | -15.49 | 8-17 |
| 2018-07-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 101-87 | 1359.67 | 1531.28 | 23.78% | 76.22% | +34.40 | 9-17 |
| 2018-07-31 | @ Dallas Wings | W 92-91 | 1394.07 | 1550.09 | 25.44% | 74.56% | +8.99 | 10-17 |
| 2018-08-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-89 | 1403.06 | 1536.91 | 27.94% | 72.06% | -13.05 | 10-18 |
| 2018-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 64-85 | 1390.01 | 1510.62 | 37.35% | 62.65% | -20.64 | 10-19 |
| 2018-08-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 97-86 | 1369.37 | 1615.57 | 22.44% | 77.56% | +31.02 | 11-19 |
| 2018-08-12 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 75-82 | 1400.39 | 1584.54 | 22.50% | 77.50% | -7.18 | 11-20 |
| 2018-08-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 91-88 | 1393.21 | 1537.47 | 26.75% | 73.25% | +15.30 | 12-20 |
| 2018-08-18 | @ Indiana Fever | W 115-106 | 1408.51 | 1280.51 | 63.64% | 36.36% | +13.16 | 13-20 |
| 2018-08-19 | Indiana Fever | L 92-97 | 1421.67 | 1267.36 | 74.37% | 25.63% | -20.06 | 13-21 |
| 2018-05-20 | Las Vegas Aces | W 101-65 | 1520.83 | 1426.90 | 67.21% | 32.79% | +23.72 | 1-0 |
| 2018-05-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 102-94 | 1544.55 | 1621.90 | 43.33% | 56.67% | +19.33 | 2-0 |
| 2018-05-26 | Indiana Fever | W 86-77 | 1563.88 | 1348.67 | 80.47% | 19.53% | +7.07 | 3-0 |
| 2018-06-01 | @ Chicago Sky | W 110-72 | 1570.95 | 1450.73 | 62.60% | 37.40% | +27.81 | 4-0 |
| 2018-06-03 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-64 | 1598.76 | 1529.69 | 55.49% | 44.51% | +26.29 | 5-0 |
| 2018-06-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 77-82 | 1625.05 | 1435.49 | 71.39% | 28.61% | -19.25 | 5-1 |
| 2018-06-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 88-86 | 1605.80 | 1519.28 | 57.96% | 42.04% | +7.17 | 6-1 |
| 2018-06-09 | Minnesota Lynx | W 89-75 | 1612.97 | 1576.93 | 59.49% | 40.51% | +18.28 | 7-1 |
| 2018-06-13 | Washington Mystics | L 91-95 | 1631.25 | 1487.66 | 73.17% | 26.83% | -17.65 | 7-2 |
| 2018-06-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 92-103 | 1613.60 | 1575.48 | 51.06% | 48.94% | -20.43 | 7-3 |
| 2018-06-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-89 | 1593.17 | 1572.35 | 48.57% | 51.43% | -24.15 | 7-4 |
| 2018-06-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 70-75 | 1569.02 | 1415.64 | 66.95% | 33.05% | -18.05 | 7-5 |
| 2018-06-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-78 | 1550.97 | 1329.51 | 74.99% | 25.01% | +9.05 | 8-5 |
| 2018-06-26 | @ Washington Mystics | L 80-92 | 1560.02 | 1526.40 | 50.41% | 49.59% | -21.06 | 8-6 |
| 2018-06-27 | Indiana Fever | W 101-89 | 1538.96 | 1320.46 | 80.76% | 19.24% | +8.03 | 9-6 |
| 2018-07-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-84 | 1546.99 | 1598.45 | 38.39% | 61.61% | -17.32 | 9-7 |
| 2018-07-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 73-72 | 1529.67 | 1584.61 | 37.91% | 62.09% | +7.49 | 10-7 |
| 2018-07-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-84 | 1537.16 | 1604.63 | 36.23% | 63.77% | -11.56 | 10-8 |
| 2018-07-07 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 90-94 | 1525.60 | 1447.89 | 56.72% | 43.28% | -13.68 | 10-9 |
| 2018-07-11 | New York Liberty | L 76-79 | 1511.92 | 1376.93 | 72.19% | 27.81% | -15.08 | 10-10 |
| 2018-07-13 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-87 | 1496.84 | 1560.79 | 45.24% | 54.76% | +13.21 | 11-10 |
| 2018-07-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 83-64 | 1510.05 | 1586.95 | 34.99% | 65.01% | +34.17 | 12-10 |
| 2018-07-17 | Atlanta Dream | L 83-86 | 1544.22 | 1487.65 | 62.31% | 37.69% | -13.01 | 12-11 |
| 2018-07-20 | Seattle Storm | L 65-78 | 1531.21 | 1658.93 | 36.39% | 63.61% | -15.83 | 12-12 |
| 2018-07-22 | @ Dallas Wings | W 92-75 | 1515.38 | 1581.72 | 36.38% | 63.62% | +31.64 | 13-12 |
| 2018-07-24 | Washington Mystics | W 94-68 | 1547.02 | 1531.20 | 56.66% | 43.34% | +26.65 | 14-12 |
| 2018-08-01 | New York Liberty | W 92-77 | 1573.67 | 1367.72 | 79.62% | 20.38% | +9.52 | 15-12 |
| 2018-08-05 | Las Vegas Aces | W 109-88 | 1583.19 | 1479.45 | 68.44% | 31.56% | +17.44 | 16-12 |
| 2018-08-08 | @ Dallas Wings | W 101-92 | 1600.63 | 1508.71 | 58.71% | 41.29% | +14.94 | 17-12 |
| 2018-08-10 | @ Chicago Sky | L 86-97 | 1615.57 | 1369.37 | 77.56% | 22.44% | -31.03 | 17-13 |
| 2018-08-12 | Chicago Sky | W 82-75 | 1584.54 | 1400.39 | 77.50% | 22.50% | +7.18 | 18-13 |
| 2018-08-14 | Dallas Wings | W 96-76 | 1591.72 | 1468.85 | 70.77% | 29.23% | +15.77 | 19-13 |
| 2018-08-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 96-79 | 1607.49 | 1522.17 | 66.11% | 33.89% | +16.85 | 20-13 |
| 2018-08-19 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-86 | 1624.34 | 1545.54 | 65.26% | 34.74% | +7.26 | 21-13 |
| 2018-05-18 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 78-86 | 1473.00 | 1514.17 | 39.80% | 60.20% | -13.58 | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-20 | Atlanta Dream | W 101-78 | 1459.42 | 1448.54 | 55.96% | 44.04% | +25.47 | 1-1 |
| 2018-05-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-76 | 1484.89 | 1617.66 | 28.07% | 71.93% | -9.57 | 1-2 |
| 2018-05-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-70 | 1475.32 | 1455.87 | 48.38% | 51.62% | +17.61 | 2-2 |
| 2018-05-29 | @ New York Liberty | L 89-94 | 1492.93 | 1515.85 | 42.34% | 57.66% | -11.42 | 2-3 |
| 2018-06-02 | Seattle Storm | W 94-90 | 1481.51 | 1553.46 | 44.10% | 55.90% | +13.49 | 3-3 |
| 2018-06-08 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-83 | 1495.00 | 1333.02 | 68.04% | 31.96% | +9.44 | 4-3 |
| 2018-06-12 | Phoenix Mercury | L 72-75 | 1504.44 | 1562.73 | 46.04% | 53.96% | -9.62 | 4-4 |
| 2018-06-15 | Las Vegas Aces | W 77-67 | 1494.82 | 1418.63 | 64.92% | 35.08% | +13.38 | 5-4 |
| 2018-06-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 83-91 | 1508.20 | 1574.52 | 36.38% | 63.62% | -12.41 | 5-5 |
| 2018-06-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 101-72 | 1495.79 | 1641.56 | 34.02% | 65.98% | +42.85 | 6-5 |
| 2018-06-24 | Seattle Storm | L 76-97 | 1538.64 | 1569.48 | 49.99% | 50.01% | -27.63 | 6-6 |
| 2018-06-26 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-87 | 1511.01 | 1615.54 | 31.46% | 68.54% | -7.59 | 6-7 |
| 2018-06-27 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 97-91 | 1503.42 | 1431.97 | 55.83% | 44.17% | +13.05 | 7-7 |
| 2018-07-01 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-76 | 1516.47 | 1649.42 | 35.70% | 64.30% | -8.61 | 7-8 |
| 2018-07-03 | Chicago Sky | W 108-85 | 1507.86 | 1403.69 | 68.50% | 31.50% | +18.22 | 8-8 |
| 2018-07-05 | Indiana Fever | W 90-63 | 1526.08 | 1330.03 | 78.68% | 21.32% | +13.36 | 9-8 |
| 2018-07-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 97-87 | 1539.44 | 1389.71 | 66.49% | 33.51% | +12.79 | 10-8 |
| 2018-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury | W 101-72 | 1552.23 | 1594.32 | 48.37% | 51.63% | +33.53 | 11-8 |
| 2018-07-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-77 | 1585.76 | 1552.77 | 50.32% | 49.68% | +23.20 | 12-8 |
| 2018-07-14 | @ Seattle Storm | L 84-91 | 1608.96 | 1636.86 | 41.64% | 58.36% | -13.28 | 12-9 |
| 2018-07-17 | New York Liberty | W 104-87 | 1595.68 | 1416.63 | 76.99% | 23.01% | +11.44 | 13-9 |
| 2018-07-19 | Washington Mystics | W 90-81 | 1607.12 | 1525.16 | 65.67% | 34.33% | +12.42 | 14-9 |
| 2018-07-20 | @ Chicago Sky | L 99-114 | 1619.54 | 1337.35 | 80.96% | 19.04% | -37.82 | 14-10 |
| 2018-07-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 75-92 | 1581.72 | 1515.38 | 63.62% | 36.38% | -31.63 | 14-11 |
| 2018-07-31 | Chicago Sky | L 91-92 | 1550.09 | 1394.07 | 74.56% | 25.44% | -8.99 | 14-12 |
| 2018-08-02 | @ Indiana Fever | L 78-84 | 1541.10 | 1269.92 | 79.96% | 20.04% | -23.63 | 14-13 |
| 2018-08-05 | Washington Mystics | L 74-76 | 1517.47 | 1538.64 | 51.38% | 48.62% | -8.76 | 14-14 |
| 2018-08-08 | Connecticut Sun | L 92-101 | 1508.71 | 1600.63 | 41.29% | 58.71% | -14.94 | 14-15 |
| 2018-08-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 82-92 | 1493.77 | 1602.29 | 30.97% | 69.03% | -11.81 | 14-16 |
| 2018-08-12 | @ Washington Mystics | L 80-93 | 1481.96 | 1597.11 | 30.16% | 69.84% | -13.11 | 14-17 |
| 2018-08-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 76-96 | 1468.85 | 1591.72 | 29.23% | 70.77% | -15.76 | 14-18 |
| 2018-08-17 | Las Vegas Aces | W 107-102 | 1453.09 | 1457.08 | 53.84% | 46.16% | +12.44 | 15-18 |
| 2018-08-19 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-84 | 1465.53 | 1670.17 | 20.51% | 79.49% | -9.89 | 15-19 |
| 2018-05-19 | Chicago Sky | L 64-82 | 1405.63 | 1455.79 | 47.21% | 52.79% | -24.15 | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-20 | @ Washington Mystics | L 75-82 | 1381.48 | 1500.13 | 29.73% | 70.27% | -9.49 | 0-2 |
| 2018-05-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-87 | 1371.99 | 1610.35 | 23.23% | 76.77% | -11.56 | 0-3 |
| 2018-05-24 | Washington Mystics | L 84-93 | 1360.43 | 1518.03 | 32.51% | 67.49% | -11.76 | 0-4 |
| 2018-05-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-86 | 1348.67 | 1563.88 | 19.53% | 80.47% | -7.07 | 0-5 |
| 2018-06-02 | New York Liberty | L 81-87 | 1341.60 | 1527.27 | 29.07% | 70.93% | -8.58 | 0-6 |
| 2018-06-08 | Dallas Wings | L 83-89 | 1333.02 | 1495.00 | 31.96% | 68.04% | -9.45 | 0-7 |
| 2018-06-10 | @ New York Liberty | L 75-78 | 1323.57 | 1512.11 | 22.06% | 77.94% | -4.60 | 0-8 |
| 2018-06-12 | Las Vegas Aces | L 92-101 | 1318.97 | 1367.96 | 47.38% | 52.62% | -17.14 | 0-9 |
| 2018-06-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 67-72 | 1301.83 | 1469.94 | 24.15% | 75.85% | -6.52 | 0-10 |
| 2018-06-16 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-64 | 1295.31 | 1476.46 | 29.61% | 70.39% | +48.02 | 1-10 |
| 2018-06-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 55-74 | 1343.33 | 1634.44 | 13.56% | 86.44% | -7.12 | 1-11 |
| 2018-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-72 | 1336.21 | 1562.78 | 18.52% | 81.48% | -6.70 | 1-12 |
| 2018-06-24 | Connecticut Sun | L 78-87 | 1329.51 | 1550.97 | 25.01% | 74.99% | -9.05 | 1-13 |
| 2018-06-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 89-101 | 1320.46 | 1538.96 | 19.24% | 80.76% | -8.04 | 1-14 |
| 2018-06-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 77-95 | 1312.42 | 1574.96 | 20.84% | 79.16% | -10.67 | 1-15 |
| 2018-07-01 | Atlanta Dream | L 83-87 | 1301.75 | 1403.18 | 39.97% | 60.03% | -9.64 | 1-16 |
| 2018-07-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 71-59 | 1292.11 | 1658.03 | 9.25% | 90.75% | +37.92 | 2-16 |
| 2018-07-05 | @ Dallas Wings | L 63-90 | 1330.03 | 1526.08 | 21.32% | 78.68% | -13.37 | 2-17 |
| 2018-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx | L 65-87 | 1316.66 | 1600.34 | 18.91% | 81.09% | -10.69 | 2-18 |
| 2018-07-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-98 | 1305.97 | 1461.24 | 25.53% | 74.47% | -15.08 | 2-19 |
| 2018-07-15 | Phoenix Mercury | L 82-101 | 1290.89 | 1547.58 | 21.41% | 78.59% | -11.25 | 2-20 |
| 2018-07-18 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 65-89 | 1279.64 | 1552.77 | 14.81% | 85.19% | -8.76 | 2-21 |
| 2018-07-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-76 | 1270.88 | 1558.37 | 13.80% | 86.20% | +14.70 | 3-21 |
| 2018-07-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 74-88 | 1285.58 | 1498.28 | 19.76% | 80.24% | -8.91 | 3-22 |
| 2018-07-24 | Seattle Storm | L 72-92 | 1276.67 | 1645.31 | 12.51% | 87.49% | -6.75 | 3-23 |
| 2018-08-02 | Dallas Wings | W 84-78 | 1269.92 | 1541.10 | 20.04% | 79.96% | +23.62 | 4-23 |
| 2018-08-04 | @ New York Liberty | W 68-55 | 1293.54 | 1358.19 | 36.61% | 63.39% | +27.57 | 5-23 |
| 2018-08-07 | Seattle Storm | L 79-94 | 1321.11 | 1683.47 | 12.91% | 87.09% | -6.03 | 5-24 |
| 2018-08-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 74-94 | 1315.08 | 1486.27 | 23.82% | 76.18% | -12.85 | 5-25 |
| 2018-08-11 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 74-92 | 1302.23 | 1430.44 | 28.60% | 71.40% | -14.63 | 5-26 |
| 2018-08-15 | Washington Mystics | L 62-76 | 1287.60 | 1610.22 | 15.71% | 84.29% | -7.09 | 5-27 |
| 2018-08-18 | Chicago Sky | L 106-115 | 1280.51 | 1408.51 | 36.36% | 63.64% | -13.15 | 5-28 |
| 2018-08-19 | @ Chicago Sky | W 97-92 | 1267.36 | 1421.67 | 25.63% | 74.37% | +20.05 | 6-28 |
| 2018-05-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 65-101 | 1426.90 | 1520.83 | 32.79% | 67.21% | -23.73 | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-22 | @ Washington Mystics | L 70-75 | 1403.17 | 1509.61 | 31.22% | 68.78% | -8.42 | 0-2 |
| 2018-05-27 | Seattle Storm | L 98-105 | 1394.75 | 1513.39 | 37.61% | 62.39% | -12.00 | 0-3 |
| 2018-05-31 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-101 | 1382.75 | 1537.42 | 25.59% | 74.41% | -16.04 | 0-4 |
| 2018-06-01 | Washington Mystics | W 85-73 | 1366.71 | 1559.68 | 28.21% | 71.79% | +29.99 | 1-4 |
| 2018-06-03 | @ Chicago Sky | L 90-95 | 1396.70 | 1422.93 | 41.87% | 58.13% | -11.29 | 1-5 |
| 2018-06-08 | Atlanta Dream | L 83-87 | 1385.41 | 1454.74 | 44.47% | 55.53% | -10.72 | 1-6 |
| 2018-06-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 66-72 | 1374.69 | 1556.00 | 22.78% | 77.22% | -6.73 | 1-7 |
| 2018-06-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 101-92 | 1367.96 | 1318.97 | 52.62% | 47.38% | +17.14 | 2-7 |
| 2018-06-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-63 | 1385.10 | 1516.72 | 28.20% | 71.80% | +33.53 | 3-7 |
| 2018-06-15 | @ Dallas Wings | L 67-77 | 1418.63 | 1494.82 | 35.08% | 64.92% | -13.38 | 3-8 |
| 2018-06-17 | Phoenix Mercury | L 80-92 | 1405.25 | 1596.50 | 28.42% | 71.58% | -11.87 | 3-9 |
| 2018-06-19 | @ Seattle Storm | W 89-77 | 1393.38 | 1595.90 | 20.71% | 79.29% | +33.13 | 4-9 |
| 2018-06-22 | New York Liberty | W 88-78 | 1426.51 | 1480.11 | 46.72% | 53.28% | +20.32 | 5-9 |
| 2018-06-24 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-88 | 1446.83 | 1609.91 | 31.83% | 68.17% | -14.86 | 5-10 |
| 2018-06-27 | Dallas Wings | L 91-97 | 1431.97 | 1503.42 | 44.17% | 55.83% | -13.05 | 5-11 |
| 2018-06-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-78 | 1418.92 | 1604.38 | 29.10% | 70.90% | +34.20 | 6-11 |
| 2018-07-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-87 | 1453.12 | 1570.17 | 29.93% | 70.07% | -14.43 | 6-12 |
| 2018-07-05 | Chicago Sky | W 84-80 | 1438.69 | 1385.47 | 61.85% | 38.15% | +9.20 | 7-12 |
| 2018-07-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 94-90 | 1447.89 | 1525.60 | 43.28% | 56.72% | +13.68 | 8-12 |
| 2018-07-10 | @ Chicago Sky | W 98-74 | 1461.57 | 1411.86 | 52.73% | 47.27% | +27.93 | 9-12 |
| 2018-07-13 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 85-77 | 1489.50 | 1611.03 | 29.39% | 70.61% | +24.08 | 10-12 |
| 2018-07-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-99 | 1513.58 | 1529.56 | 52.12% | 47.88% | -28.80 | 10-13 |
| 2018-07-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-82 | 1484.78 | 1558.83 | 35.36% | 64.64% | +13.50 | 11-13 |
| 2018-07-22 | Indiana Fever | W 88-74 | 1498.28 | 1285.58 | 80.24% | 19.76% | +8.92 | 12-13 |
| 2018-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 93-104 | 1507.20 | 1483.76 | 57.73% | 42.27% | -23.10 | 12-14 |
| 2018-08-03 | @ Washington Mystics | L 0-1 | 1484.10 | 1533.98 | 38.60% | 61.40% | -4.65 | 12-15 |
| 2018-08-05 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 88-109 | 1479.45 | 1583.19 | 31.56% | 68.44% | -17.44 | 12-16 |
| 2018-08-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 100-109 | 1462.01 | 1578.47 | 30.00% | 70.00% | -10.86 | 12-17 |
| 2018-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-89 | 1451.15 | 1531.26 | 42.94% | 57.06% | -20.71 | 12-18 |
| 2018-08-11 | Indiana Fever | W 92-74 | 1430.44 | 1302.23 | 71.40% | 28.60% | +14.63 | 13-18 |
| 2018-08-15 | New York Liberty | W 85-72 | 1445.07 | 1308.48 | 72.38% | 27.62% | +12.01 | 14-18 |
| 2018-08-17 | @ Dallas Wings | L 102-107 | 1457.08 | 1453.09 | 46.16% | 53.84% | -12.45 | 14-19 |
| 2018-08-19 | Atlanta Dream | L 78-93 | 1444.63 | 1598.86 | 32.94% | 67.06% | -15.38 | 14-20 |
| 2018-05-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-76 | 1603.43 | 1624.59 | 42.59% | 57.41% | +6.92 | 1-0 |
| 2018-05-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-70 | 1610.35 | 1371.99 | 76.77% | 23.23% | +11.55 | 2-0 |
| 2018-05-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 94-102 | 1621.90 | 1544.55 | 56.67% | 43.33% | -19.33 | 2-1 |
| 2018-05-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 80-72 | 1602.57 | 1510.03 | 67.03% | 32.97% | +11.25 | 3-1 |
| 2018-06-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 77-69 | 1613.82 | 1574.88 | 59.90% | 40.10% | +13.68 | 4-1 |
| 2018-06-07 | Seattle Storm | L 63-88 | 1627.50 | 1539.98 | 66.39% | 33.61% | -40.03 | 4-2 |
| 2018-06-10 | Chicago Sky | W 77-59 | 1587.47 | 1418.68 | 75.92% | 24.08% | +12.31 | 5-2 |
| 2018-06-12 | Atlanta Dream | W 72-64 | 1599.78 | 1480.04 | 70.40% | 29.60% | +10.10 | 6-2 |
| 2018-06-15 | @ Washington Mystics | W 97-86 | 1609.88 | 1505.31 | 60.47% | 39.53% | +15.81 | 7-2 |
| 2018-06-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 81-72 | 1625.69 | 1396.32 | 75.83% | 24.17% | +8.75 | 8-2 |
| 2018-06-19 | Indiana Fever | W 74-55 | 1634.44 | 1343.33 | 86.44% | 13.56% | +7.12 | 9-2 |
| 2018-06-22 | @ Dallas Wings | L 72-101 | 1641.56 | 1495.79 | 65.98% | 34.02% | -42.84 | 9-3 |
| 2018-06-24 | New York Liberty | W 80-54 | 1598.72 | 1459.79 | 72.65% | 27.35% | +16.82 | 10-3 |
| 2018-06-26 | Dallas Wings | W 87-83 | 1615.54 | 1511.01 | 68.54% | 31.46% | +7.59 | 11-3 |
| 2018-06-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-81 | 1623.13 | 1579.70 | 51.83% | 48.17% | -18.75 | 11-4 |
| 2018-06-29 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-94 | 1604.38 | 1418.92 | 70.90% | 29.10% | -34.21 | 11-5 |
| 2018-07-01 | Las Vegas Aces | W 87-71 | 1570.17 | 1453.12 | 70.07% | 29.93% | +14.44 | 12-5 |
| 2018-07-03 | Connecticut Sun | L 72-73 | 1584.61 | 1529.67 | 62.09% | 37.91% | -7.49 | 12-6 |
| 2018-07-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-83 | 1577.12 | 1620.12 | 39.55% | 60.45% | -15.81 | 12-7 |
| 2018-07-07 | Washington Mystics | L 74-83 | 1561.31 | 1549.53 | 56.09% | 43.91% | -20.30 | 12-8 |
| 2018-07-10 | @ Seattle Storm | W 77-75 | 1541.01 | 1648.61 | 31.08% | 68.92% | +11.76 | 13-8 |
| 2018-07-12 | Dallas Wings | L 77-92 | 1552.77 | 1585.76 | 49.68% | 50.32% | -23.21 | 13-9 |
| 2018-07-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 99-78 | 1529.56 | 1513.58 | 47.88% | 52.12% | +28.81 | 14-9 |
| 2018-07-20 | Indiana Fever | L 76-78 | 1558.37 | 1270.88 | 86.20% | 13.80% | -14.70 | 14-10 |
| 2018-07-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 93-76 | 1543.67 | 1375.16 | 68.85% | 31.15% | +15.49 | 15-10 |
| 2018-07-24 | Atlanta Dream | L 71-81 | 1559.16 | 1544.81 | 56.45% | 43.55% | -21.53 | 15-11 |
| 2018-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-57 | 1537.63 | 1579.88 | 48.34% | 51.66% | +29.22 | 16-11 |
| 2018-08-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 78-75 | 1566.85 | 1506.85 | 62.77% | 37.23% | +7.78 | 17-11 |
| 2018-08-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 82-81 | 1574.63 | 1323.88 | 78.01% | 21.99% | +2.65 | 18-11 |
| 2018-08-09 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 73-79 | 1577.28 | 1589.33 | 43.87% | 56.13% | -12.96 | 18-12 |
| 2018-08-12 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 78-86 | 1564.32 | 1499.12 | 54.94% | 45.06% | -18.74 | 18-13 |
| 2018-08-14 | New York Liberty | W 74-66 | 1545.58 | 1314.67 | 81.85% | 18.15% | +6.19 | 19-13 |
| 2018-08-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 67-69 | 1551.77 | 1617.31 | 36.49% | 63.51% | -6.23 | 19-14 |
| 2018-08-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 86-89 | 1545.54 | 1624.34 | 34.74% | 65.26% | -7.25 | 19-15 |
| 2018-05-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-77 | 1624.59 | 1603.43 | 57.41% | 42.59% | -6.93 | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-23 | Dallas Wings | W 76-68 | 1617.66 | 1484.89 | 71.93% | 28.07% | +9.58 | 1-1 |
| 2018-05-25 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-72 | 1627.24 | 1527.74 | 59.77% | 40.23% | +11.88 | 2-1 |
| 2018-05-27 | @ Washington Mystics | L 78-90 | 1639.12 | 1529.80 | 61.12% | 38.88% | -25.53 | 2-2 |
| 2018-05-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-76 | 1613.59 | 1438.26 | 69.68% | 30.32% | -11.89 | 2-3 |
| 2018-06-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 85-95 | 1601.70 | 1482.41 | 70.34% | 29.66% | -26.82 | 2-4 |
| 2018-06-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-77 | 1574.88 | 1613.82 | 40.10% | 59.90% | -13.68 | 2-5 |
| 2018-06-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-80 | 1561.20 | 1503.39 | 53.89% | 46.11% | +15.73 | 3-5 |
| 2018-06-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 75-89 | 1576.93 | 1612.97 | 40.51% | 59.49% | -18.28 | 3-6 |
| 2018-06-16 | New York Liberty | W 85-71 | 1558.65 | 1483.18 | 64.83% | 35.17% | +15.87 | 4-6 |
| 2018-06-19 | Dallas Wings | W 91-83 | 1574.52 | 1508.20 | 63.62% | 36.38% | +12.41 | 5-6 |
| 2018-06-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 83-72 | 1586.93 | 1608.37 | 42.55% | 57.45% | +22.98 | 6-6 |
| 2018-06-24 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 88-73 | 1609.91 | 1446.83 | 68.17% | 31.83% | +14.87 | 7-6 |
| 2018-06-26 | Seattle Storm | W 91-79 | 1624.78 | 1597.10 | 58.33% | 41.67% | +17.41 | 8-6 |
| 2018-06-29 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-74 | 1642.19 | 1410.41 | 81.92% | 18.08% | +7.23 | 9-6 |
| 2018-07-01 | @ Dallas Wings | W 76-72 | 1649.42 | 1516.47 | 64.30% | 35.70% | +8.61 | 10-6 |
| 2018-07-03 | Indiana Fever | L 59-71 | 1658.03 | 1292.11 | 90.75% | 9.25% | -37.91 | 10-7 |
| 2018-07-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-72 | 1620.12 | 1577.12 | 60.45% | 39.55% | +15.81 | 11-7 |
| 2018-07-07 | @ Chicago Sky | L 63-77 | 1635.93 | 1376.26 | 78.88% | 21.12% | -35.59 | 11-8 |
| 2018-07-11 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-65 | 1600.34 | 1316.66 | 81.09% | 18.91% | +10.69 | 12-8 |
| 2018-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces | L 77-85 | 1611.03 | 1489.50 | 70.61% | 29.39% | -24.08 | 12-9 |
| 2018-07-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 64-83 | 1586.95 | 1510.05 | 65.01% | 34.99% | -34.18 | 12-10 |
| 2018-07-18 | Indiana Fever | W 89-65 | 1552.77 | 1279.64 | 85.19% | 14.81% | +8.75 | 13-10 |
| 2018-07-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-75 | 1561.52 | 1545.33 | 47.91% | 52.09% | +14.05 | 14-10 |
| 2018-07-24 | New York Liberty | W 85-82 | 1575.57 | 1372.02 | 79.39% | 20.61% | +4.31 | 15-10 |
| 2018-08-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 57-79 | 1579.88 | 1537.63 | 51.66% | 48.34% | -29.22 | 15-11 |
| 2018-08-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-85 | 1550.66 | 1665.19 | 30.23% | 69.77% | -11.53 | 15-12 |
| 2018-08-05 | Atlanta Dream | L 66-86 | 1539.13 | 1549.96 | 52.86% | 47.14% | -28.51 | 15-13 |
| 2018-08-07 | @ Chicago Sky | W 85-64 | 1510.62 | 1390.01 | 62.65% | 37.35% | +20.64 | 16-13 |
| 2018-08-09 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 89-73 | 1531.26 | 1451.15 | 57.06% | 42.94% | +20.71 | 17-13 |
| 2018-08-12 | Seattle Storm | L 72-81 | 1551.97 | 1652.59 | 40.08% | 59.92% | -14.50 | 17-14 |
| 2018-08-14 | Chicago Sky | L 88-91 | 1537.47 | 1393.21 | 73.25% | 26.75% | -15.30 | 17-15 |
| 2018-08-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-96 | 1522.17 | 1607.49 | 33.89% | 66.11% | -16.85 | 17-16 |
| 2018-08-19 | Washington Mystics | W 88-83 | 1505.32 | 1623.53 | 37.67% | 62.33% | +16.81 | 18-16 |
| 2018-05-20 | @ Chicago Sky | L 76-80 | 1540.84 | 1479.95 | 54.33% | 45.67% | -13.10 | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-25 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-78 | 1527.74 | 1627.24 | 40.23% | 59.77% | -11.89 | 0-2 |
| 2018-05-29 | Dallas Wings | W 94-89 | 1515.85 | 1492.93 | 57.66% | 42.34% | +11.42 | 1-2 |
| 2018-06-02 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-81 | 1527.27 | 1341.60 | 70.93% | 29.07% | +8.59 | 2-2 |
| 2018-06-05 | Phoenix Mercury | L 74-80 | 1535.86 | 1523.89 | 56.12% | 43.88% | -16.58 | 2-3 |
| 2018-06-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 86-88 | 1519.28 | 1605.80 | 42.04% | 57.96% | -7.17 | 2-4 |
| 2018-06-10 | Indiana Fever | W 78-75 | 1512.11 | 1323.57 | 77.94% | 22.06% | +4.61 | 3-4 |
| 2018-06-13 | Las Vegas Aces | L 63-78 | 1516.72 | 1385.10 | 71.80% | 28.20% | -33.54 | 3-5 |
| 2018-06-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-85 | 1483.18 | 1558.65 | 35.17% | 64.83% | -15.87 | 3-6 |
| 2018-06-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 79-72 | 1467.31 | 1428.44 | 59.89% | 40.11% | +12.80 | 4-6 |
| 2018-06-22 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 78-88 | 1480.11 | 1426.51 | 53.28% | 46.72% | -20.32 | 4-7 |
| 2018-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 54-80 | 1459.79 | 1598.72 | 27.35% | 72.65% | -16.82 | 4-8 |
| 2018-06-26 | Phoenix Mercury | L 69-83 | 1442.97 | 1557.76 | 38.13% | 61.87% | -17.21 | 4-9 |
| 2018-06-28 | @ Washington Mystics | L 77-80 | 1425.76 | 1547.47 | 29.37% | 70.63% | -6.14 | 4-10 |
| 2018-06-29 | Chicago Sky | L 99-103 | 1419.62 | 1401.59 | 56.97% | 43.03% | -13.74 | 4-11 |
| 2018-07-01 | @ Chicago Sky | W 97-94 | 1405.88 | 1415.33 | 44.24% | 55.76% | +11.65 | 5-11 |
| 2018-07-03 | Seattle Storm | L 62-77 | 1417.53 | 1615.77 | 27.60% | 72.40% | -12.89 | 5-12 |
| 2018-07-05 | @ Washington Mystics | L 67-86 | 1404.64 | 1534.60 | 28.39% | 71.61% | -14.93 | 5-13 |
| 2018-07-08 | Dallas Wings | L 87-97 | 1389.71 | 1539.44 | 33.51% | 66.49% | -12.78 | 5-14 |
| 2018-07-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 79-76 | 1376.93 | 1511.92 | 27.81% | 72.19% | +15.08 | 6-14 |
| 2018-07-15 | Chicago Sky | W 107-84 | 1392.01 | 1370.76 | 57.43% | 42.57% | +24.62 | 7-14 |
| 2018-07-17 | @ Dallas Wings | L 87-104 | 1416.63 | 1595.68 | 23.01% | 76.99% | -11.44 | 7-15 |
| 2018-07-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 68-82 | 1405.19 | 1500.66 | 32.60% | 67.40% | -14.71 | 7-16 |
| 2018-07-21 | Washington Mystics | L 78-95 | 1390.48 | 1512.74 | 37.13% | 62.87% | -18.46 | 7-17 |
| 2018-07-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 82-85 | 1372.02 | 1575.57 | 20.61% | 79.39% | -4.30 | 7-18 |
| 2018-08-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-92 | 1367.72 | 1573.67 | 20.38% | 79.62% | -9.53 | 7-19 |
| 2018-08-04 | Indiana Fever | L 55-68 | 1358.19 | 1293.54 | 63.39% | 36.61% | -27.56 | 7-20 |
| 2018-08-06 | Seattle Storm | L 80-96 | 1330.63 | 1676.72 | 14.00% | 86.00% | -6.75 | 7-21 |
| 2018-08-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-82 | 1323.88 | 1574.63 | 21.99% | 78.01% | -2.66 | 7-22 |
| 2018-08-12 | Atlanta Dream | L 77-86 | 1321.22 | 1614.10 | 18.11% | 81.89% | -6.55 | 7-23 |
| 2018-08-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-74 | 1314.67 | 1545.58 | 18.15% | 81.85% | -6.19 | 7-24 |
| 2018-08-15 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 72-85 | 1308.48 | 1445.07 | 27.62% | 72.38% | -12.01 | 7-25 |
| 2018-08-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-85 | 1296.47 | 1667.09 | 9.03% | 90.97% | -3.08 | 7-26 |
| 2018-08-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 85-96 | 1293.39 | 1539.65 | 16.87% | 83.13% | -6.75 | 7-27 |
| 2018-05-18 | Dallas Wings | W 86-78 | 1514.17 | 1473.00 | 60.20% | 39.80% | +13.58 | 1-0 |
| 2018-05-20 | @ Seattle Storm | W 87-82 | 1527.75 | 1486.16 | 51.56% | 48.44% | +13.06 | 2-0 |
| 2018-05-23 | Seattle Storm | L 71-87 | 1540.81 | 1473.09 | 63.80% | 36.20% | -30.78 | 2-1 |
| 2018-05-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 72-80 | 1510.03 | 1602.57 | 32.97% | 67.03% | -11.24 | 2-2 |
| 2018-05-30 | Washington Mystics | L 95-103 | 1498.79 | 1543.30 | 48.02% | 51.98% | -16.38 | 2-3 |
| 2018-06-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 95-85 | 1482.41 | 1601.70 | 29.66% | 70.34% | +26.82 | 3-3 |
| 2018-06-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-71 | 1509.23 | 1450.15 | 54.07% | 45.93% | +14.66 | 4-3 |
| 2018-06-05 | @ New York Liberty | W 80-74 | 1523.89 | 1535.86 | 43.88% | 56.12% | +16.57 | 5-3 |
| 2018-06-08 | Chicago Sky | W 96-79 | 1540.46 | 1434.22 | 68.75% | 31.25% | +15.54 | 6-3 |
| 2018-06-10 | Las Vegas Aces | W 72-66 | 1556.00 | 1374.69 | 77.22% | 22.78% | +6.73 | 7-3 |
| 2018-06-12 | @ Dallas Wings | W 75-72 | 1562.73 | 1504.44 | 53.96% | 46.04% | +9.62 | 8-3 |
| 2018-06-16 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-72 | 1572.35 | 1593.17 | 51.43% | 48.57% | +24.15 | 9-3 |
| 2018-06-17 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 92-80 | 1596.50 | 1405.25 | 71.58% | 28.42% | +11.87 | 10-3 |
| 2018-06-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-83 | 1608.37 | 1586.93 | 57.45% | 42.55% | -22.98 | 10-4 |
| 2018-06-24 | @ Chicago Sky | L 88-97 | 1585.39 | 1350.67 | 76.39% | 23.61% | -27.63 | 10-5 |
| 2018-06-26 | @ New York Liberty | W 83-69 | 1557.76 | 1442.97 | 61.87% | 38.13% | +17.20 | 11-5 |
| 2018-06-29 | @ Indiana Fever | W 95-77 | 1574.96 | 1312.42 | 79.16% | 20.84% | +10.67 | 12-5 |
| 2018-06-30 | @ Washington Mystics | W 84-74 | 1585.63 | 1553.60 | 50.19% | 49.81% | +19.00 | 13-5 |
| 2018-07-05 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-77 | 1604.63 | 1537.16 | 63.77% | 36.23% | +11.56 | 14-5 |
| 2018-07-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 70-76 | 1616.19 | 1403.55 | 74.02% | 25.98% | -21.87 | 14-6 |
| 2018-07-10 | @ Dallas Wings | L 72-101 | 1594.32 | 1552.23 | 51.63% | 48.37% | -33.53 | 14-7 |
| 2018-07-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 87-91 | 1560.79 | 1496.84 | 54.76% | 45.24% | -13.21 | 14-8 |
| 2018-07-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 101-82 | 1547.58 | 1290.89 | 78.59% | 21.41% | +11.25 | 15-8 |
| 2018-07-19 | Las Vegas Aces | L 82-85 | 1558.83 | 1484.78 | 64.64% | 35.36% | -13.50 | 15-9 |
| 2018-07-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 75-80 | 1545.33 | 1561.52 | 52.09% | 47.91% | -14.05 | 15-10 |
| 2018-07-25 | Chicago Sky | L 87-101 | 1531.28 | 1359.67 | 76.22% | 23.78% | -34.39 | 15-11 |
| 2018-07-31 | Seattle Storm | L 91-102 | 1496.89 | 1652.06 | 32.82% | 67.18% | -13.13 | 15-12 |
| 2018-08-01 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 104-93 | 1483.76 | 1507.20 | 42.27% | 57.73% | +23.09 | 16-12 |
| 2018-08-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-78 | 1506.85 | 1566.85 | 37.23% | 62.77% | -7.78 | 16-13 |
| 2018-08-07 | Washington Mystics | L 98-103 | 1499.07 | 1547.40 | 47.47% | 52.53% | -12.80 | 16-14 |
| 2018-08-10 | Indiana Fever | W 94-74 | 1486.27 | 1315.08 | 76.18% | 23.82% | +12.85 | 17-14 |
| 2018-08-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-78 | 1499.12 | 1564.32 | 45.06% | 54.94% | +18.74 | 18-14 |
| 2018-08-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 104-95 | 1517.86 | 1620.65 | 39.78% | 60.22% | +21.79 | 19-14 |
| 2018-08-19 | New York Liberty | W 96-85 | 1539.65 | 1293.39 | 83.13% | 16.87% | +6.75 | 20-14 |
| 2018-05-20 | Phoenix Mercury | L 82-87 | 1486.16 | 1527.75 | 48.44% | 51.56% | -13.07 | 0-1 |
| 2018-05-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 87-71 | 1473.09 | 1540.81 | 36.20% | 63.80% | +30.78 | 1-1 |
| 2018-05-25 | Chicago Sky | W 95-91 | 1503.87 | 1460.25 | 60.54% | 39.46% | +9.52 | 2-1 |
| 2018-05-27 | @ Las Vegas Aces | W 105-98 | 1513.39 | 1394.75 | 62.39% | 37.61% | +12.00 | 3-1 |
| 2018-05-29 | Washington Mystics | W 81-77 | 1525.39 | 1555.33 | 50.11% | 49.89% | +12.03 | 4-1 |
| 2018-05-31 | Las Vegas Aces | W 101-74 | 1537.42 | 1382.75 | 74.41% | 25.59% | +16.04 | 5-1 |
| 2018-06-02 | @ Dallas Wings | L 90-94 | 1553.46 | 1481.51 | 55.90% | 44.10% | -13.48 | 5-2 |
| 2018-06-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-63 | 1539.98 | 1627.50 | 33.61% | 66.39% | +40.03 | 6-2 |
| 2018-06-10 | Atlanta Dream | L 64-67 | 1580.01 | 1465.47 | 69.77% | 30.23% | -14.57 | 6-3 |
| 2018-06-12 | Chicago Sky | W 96-85 | 1565.44 | 1406.37 | 74.89% | 25.11% | +10.04 | 7-3 |
| 2018-06-15 | Connecticut Sun | W 103-92 | 1575.48 | 1613.60 | 48.94% | 51.06% | +20.42 | 8-3 |
| 2018-06-19 | Las Vegas Aces | L 77-89 | 1595.90 | 1393.38 | 79.29% | 20.71% | -33.12 | 8-4 |
| 2018-06-22 | Indiana Fever | W 72-63 | 1562.78 | 1336.21 | 81.48% | 18.52% | +6.70 | 9-4 |
| 2018-06-24 | @ Dallas Wings | W 97-76 | 1569.48 | 1538.64 | 50.01% | 49.99% | +27.62 | 10-4 |
| 2018-06-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-91 | 1597.10 | 1624.78 | 41.67% | 58.33% | -17.40 | 10-5 |
| 2018-06-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-72 | 1579.70 | 1623.13 | 48.17% | 51.83% | +18.75 | 11-5 |
| 2018-07-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-70 | 1598.45 | 1546.99 | 61.61% | 38.39% | +17.32 | 12-5 |
| 2018-07-03 | @ New York Liberty | W 77-62 | 1615.77 | 1417.53 | 72.40% | 27.60% | +12.89 | 13-5 |
| 2018-07-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 95-86 | 1628.66 | 1412.82 | 74.37% | 25.63% | +9.27 | 14-5 |
| 2018-07-08 | Washington Mystics | W 97-91 | 1637.93 | 1569.82 | 63.85% | 36.15% | +10.68 | 15-5 |
| 2018-07-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-77 | 1648.61 | 1541.01 | 68.92% | 31.08% | -11.75 | 15-6 |
| 2018-07-14 | Dallas Wings | W 91-84 | 1636.86 | 1608.96 | 58.36% | 41.64% | +13.28 | 16-6 |
| 2018-07-18 | @ Chicago Sky | W 101-83 | 1650.14 | 1346.14 | 82.82% | 17.18% | +8.79 | 17-6 |
| 2018-07-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 78-65 | 1658.93 | 1531.21 | 63.61% | 36.39% | +15.83 | 18-6 |
| 2018-07-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-87 | 1674.76 | 1515.37 | 67.71% | 32.29% | -29.45 | 18-7 |
| 2018-07-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 92-72 | 1645.31 | 1276.67 | 87.49% | 12.51% | +6.75 | 19-7 |
| 2018-07-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 102-91 | 1652.06 | 1496.89 | 67.18% | 32.82% | +13.13 | 20-7 |
| 2018-08-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-75 | 1665.19 | 1550.66 | 69.77% | 30.23% | +11.53 | 21-7 |
| 2018-08-06 | @ New York Liberty | W 96-80 | 1676.72 | 1330.63 | 86.00% | 14.00% | +6.75 | 22-7 |
| 2018-08-07 | @ Indiana Fever | W 94-79 | 1683.47 | 1321.11 | 87.09% | 12.91% | +6.03 | 23-7 |
| 2018-08-09 | @ Washington Mystics | L 77-100 | 1689.50 | 1560.20 | 63.82% | 36.18% | -36.91 | 23-8 |
| 2018-08-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 81-72 | 1652.59 | 1551.97 | 59.92% | 40.08% | +14.50 | 24-8 |
| 2018-08-17 | New York Liberty | W 85-77 | 1667.09 | 1296.47 | 90.97% | 9.03% | +3.08 | 25-8 |
| 2018-08-19 | Dallas Wings | W 84-68 | 1670.17 | 1465.53 | 79.49% | 20.51% | +9.89 | 26-8 |
| 2018-05-20 | Indiana Fever | W 82-75 | 1500.13 | 1381.48 | 70.27% | 29.73% | +9.48 | 1-0 |
| 2018-05-22 | Las Vegas Aces | W 75-70 | 1509.61 | 1403.17 | 68.78% | 31.22% | +8.42 | 2-0 |
| 2018-05-24 | @ Indiana Fever | W 93-84 | 1518.03 | 1360.43 | 67.49% | 32.51% | +11.77 | 3-0 |
| 2018-05-27 | Minnesota Lynx | W 90-78 | 1529.80 | 1639.12 | 38.88% | 61.12% | +25.53 | 4-0 |
| 2018-05-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-81 | 1555.33 | 1525.39 | 49.89% | 50.11% | -12.03 | 4-1 |
| 2018-05-30 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 103-95 | 1543.30 | 1498.79 | 51.98% | 48.02% | +16.38 | 5-1 |
| 2018-06-01 | @ Las Vegas Aces | L 73-85 | 1559.68 | 1366.71 | 71.79% | 28.21% | -29.99 | 5-2 |
| 2018-06-03 | Connecticut Sun | L 64-88 | 1529.69 | 1598.76 | 44.51% | 55.49% | -26.30 | 5-3 |
| 2018-06-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 80-88 | 1503.39 | 1561.20 | 46.11% | 53.89% | -15.73 | 5-4 |
| 2018-06-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 95-91 | 1487.66 | 1631.25 | 26.83% | 73.17% | +17.65 | 6-4 |
| 2018-06-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 86-97 | 1505.31 | 1609.88 | 39.53% | 60.47% | -15.81 | 6-5 |
| 2018-06-19 | Chicago Sky | W 88-60 | 1489.50 | 1387.58 | 68.22% | 31.78% | +20.29 | 7-5 |
| 2018-06-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 93-77 | 1509.79 | 1367.29 | 65.55% | 34.45% | +16.61 | 8-5 |
| 2018-06-26 | Connecticut Sun | W 92-80 | 1526.40 | 1560.02 | 49.59% | 50.41% | +21.07 | 9-5 |
| 2018-06-28 | New York Liberty | W 80-77 | 1547.47 | 1425.76 | 70.63% | 29.37% | +6.13 | 10-5 |
| 2018-06-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 74-84 | 1553.60 | 1585.63 | 49.81% | 50.19% | -19.00 | 10-6 |
| 2018-07-05 | New York Liberty | W 86-67 | 1534.60 | 1404.64 | 71.61% | 28.39% | +14.93 | 11-6 |
| 2018-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-74 | 1549.53 | 1561.31 | 43.91% | 56.09% | +20.29 | 12-6 |
| 2018-07-08 | @ Seattle Storm | L 91-97 | 1569.82 | 1637.93 | 36.15% | 63.85% | -10.68 | 12-7 |
| 2018-07-11 | Atlanta Dream | L 89-106 | 1559.14 | 1425.42 | 72.05% | 27.95% | -35.82 | 12-8 |
| 2018-07-13 | Chicago Sky | W 88-72 | 1523.32 | 1383.93 | 72.70% | 27.30% | +13.17 | 13-8 |
| 2018-07-15 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 77-80 | 1536.49 | 1476.32 | 54.22% | 45.78% | -11.33 | 13-9 |
| 2018-07-19 | @ Dallas Wings | L 81-90 | 1525.16 | 1607.12 | 34.33% | 65.67% | -12.42 | 13-10 |
| 2018-07-21 | @ New York Liberty | W 95-78 | 1512.74 | 1390.48 | 62.87% | 37.13% | +18.46 | 14-10 |
| 2018-07-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-94 | 1531.20 | 1547.02 | 43.34% | 56.66% | -26.65 | 14-11 |
| 2018-07-31 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-71 | 1504.55 | 1566.34 | 36.99% | 63.01% | +29.43 | 15-11 |
| 2018-08-03 | Las Vegas Aces | W 1-0 | 1533.98 | 1484.10 | 61.40% | 38.60% | +4.66 | 16-11 |
| 2018-08-05 | @ Dallas Wings | W 76-74 | 1538.64 | 1517.47 | 48.62% | 51.38% | +8.76 | 17-11 |
| 2018-08-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 103-98 | 1547.40 | 1499.07 | 52.53% | 47.47% | +12.80 | 18-11 |
| 2018-08-09 | Seattle Storm | W 100-77 | 1560.20 | 1689.50 | 36.18% | 63.82% | +36.91 | 19-11 |
| 2018-08-12 | Dallas Wings | W 93-80 | 1597.11 | 1481.96 | 69.84% | 30.16% | +13.11 | 20-11 |
| 2018-08-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 76-62 | 1610.22 | 1287.60 | 84.29% | 15.71% | +7.09 | 21-11 |
| 2018-08-17 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 69-67 | 1617.31 | 1551.77 | 63.51% | 36.49% | +6.22 | 22-11 |
| 2018-08-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 83-88 | 1623.53 | 1505.32 | 62.33% | 37.67% | -16.80 | 22-12 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-08-26 | Washington Mystics | L 84-87 | 1614.25 | 1632.62 | 51.78% | 48.22% | -10.82 | 0-1 |
| 2018-08-28 | Washington Mystics | W 78-75 | 1603.43 | 1643.44 | 48.67% | 51.33% | +10.72 | 1-1 |
| 2018-08-31 | @ Washington Mystics | W 81-76 | 1614.15 | 1632.71 | 42.95% | 57.05% | +15.39 | 2-1 |
| 2018-09-02 | @ Washington Mystics | L 76-97 | 1629.54 | 1617.33 | 47.34% | 52.66% | -26.16 | 2-2 |
| 2018-09-04 | Washington Mystics | L 81-86 | 1603.38 | 1643.49 | 48.65% | 51.35% | -13.12 | 2-3 |
| 2018-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury | L 86-96 | 1631.60 | 1563.38 | 63.87% | 36.13% | -24.36 | 0-1 |
| 2018-08-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 83-101 | 1455.64 | 1546.40 | 33.19% | 66.81% | -16.98 | 0-1 |
| 2018-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 75-68 | 1538.29 | 1522.13 | 56.71% | 43.29% | +13.81 | 1-0 |
| 2018-08-23 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-96 | 1552.10 | 1606.73 | 37.96% | 62.04% | -25.89 | 1-1 |
| 2018-08-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-75 | 1522.13 | 1538.29 | 43.29% | 56.71% | -13.82 | 0-1 |
| 2018-08-21 | Dallas Wings | W 101-83 | 1546.40 | 1455.64 | 66.81% | 33.19% | +16.98 | 1-0 |
| 2018-08-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 96-86 | 1563.38 | 1631.60 | 36.13% | 63.87% | +24.36 | 2-0 |
| 2018-08-26 | @ Seattle Storm | L 87-91 | 1587.74 | 1680.06 | 33.00% | 67.00% | -7.96 | 2-1 |
| 2018-08-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 87-91 | 1579.78 | 1688.02 | 31.00% | 69.00% | -7.47 | 2-2 |
| 2018-08-31 | Seattle Storm | W 86-66 | 1572.31 | 1695.50 | 37.00% | 63.00% | +33.97 | 3-2 |
| 2018-09-02 | Seattle Storm | W 86-84 | 1606.28 | 1661.52 | 46.48% | 53.52% | +9.13 | 4-2 |
| 2018-09-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 84-94 | 1615.41 | 1652.39 | 40.38% | 59.62% | -15.40 | 4-3 |
| 2018-08-26 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-87 | 1680.06 | 1587.74 | 67.00% | 33.00% | +7.96 | 1-0 |
| 2018-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-87 | 1688.02 | 1579.78 | 69.00% | 31.00% | +7.48 | 2-0 |
| 2018-08-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 66-86 | 1695.50 | 1572.31 | 63.00% | 37.00% | -33.98 | 2-1 |
| 2018-09-02 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-86 | 1661.52 | 1606.28 | 53.52% | 46.48% | -9.13 | 2-2 |
| 2018-09-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 94-84 | 1652.39 | 1615.41 | 59.62% | 40.38% | +15.40 | 3-2 |
| 2018-09-07 | Washington Mystics | W 89-76 | 1667.79 | 1656.61 | 56.00% | 44.00% | +19.13 | 4-2 |
| 2018-09-09 | Washington Mystics | W 75-73 | 1686.92 | 1637.48 | 61.34% | 38.66% | +6.60 | 5-2 |
| 2018-09-12 | @ Washington Mystics | W 98-82 | 1693.52 | 1630.89 | 54.58% | 45.42% | +21.91 | 6-2 |
| 2018-08-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 96-64 | 1606.73 | 1552.10 | 62.04% | 37.96% | +25.89 | 1-0 |
| 2018-08-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 87-84 | 1632.62 | 1614.25 | 48.22% | 51.78% | +10.82 | 2-0 |
| 2018-08-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-78 | 1643.44 | 1603.43 | 51.33% | 48.67% | -10.73 | 2-1 |
| 2018-08-31 | Atlanta Dream | L 76-81 | 1632.71 | 1614.15 | 57.05% | 42.95% | -15.38 | 2-2 |
| 2018-09-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 97-76 | 1617.33 | 1629.54 | 52.66% | 47.34% | +26.16 | 3-2 |
| 2018-09-04 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-81 | 1643.49 | 1603.38 | 51.35% | 48.65% | +13.12 | 4-2 |
| 2018-09-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 76-89 | 1656.61 | 1667.79 | 44.00% | 56.00% | -19.13 | 4-3 |
| 2018-09-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 73-75 | 1637.48 | 1686.92 | 38.66% | 61.34% | -6.59 | 4-4 |
| 2018-09-12 | Seattle Storm | L 82-98 | 1630.89 | 1693.52 | 45.42% | 54.58% | -21.92 | 4-5 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2018-07-03 | 9.25% | Indiana Fever | 1292.11 | 71 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1658.03 | 59 |
| 2 | 2018-07-20 | 13.80% | Indiana Fever | 1270.88 | 78 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1558.37 | 76 |
| 3 | 2018-07-20 | 19.04% | @ Chicago Sky | 1337.35 | 114 | Dallas Wings | 1619.54 | 99 |
| 4 | 2018-08-02 | 20.04% | @ Indiana Fever | 1269.92 | 84 | Dallas Wings | 1541.10 | 78 |
| 5 | 2018-06-19 | 20.71% | Las Vegas Aces | 1393.38 | 89 | @ Seattle Storm | 1595.90 | 77 |
| 6 | 2018-07-07 | 21.12% | @ Chicago Sky | 1376.26 | 77 | Minnesota Lynx | 1635.93 | 63 |
| 7 | 2018-08-10 | 22.44% | @ Chicago Sky | 1369.37 | 97 | Connecticut Sun | 1615.57 | 86 |
| 8 | 2018-06-24 | 23.61% | @ Chicago Sky | 1350.67 | 97 | Phoenix Mercury | 1585.39 | 88 |
| 9 | 2018-07-25 | 23.78% | Chicago Sky | 1359.67 | 101 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1531.28 | 87 |
| 10 | 2018-07-31 | 25.44% | Chicago Sky | 1394.07 | 92 | @ Dallas Wings | 1550.09 | 91 |
| 11 | 2018-08-19 | 25.63% | Indiana Fever | 1267.36 | 97 | @ Chicago Sky | 1421.67 | 92 |
| 12 | 2018-07-08 | 25.98% | @ Atlanta Dream | 1403.55 | 76 | Phoenix Mercury | 1616.19 | 70 |
| 13 | 2018-08-14 | 26.75% | Chicago Sky | 1393.21 | 91 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1537.47 | 88 |
| 14 | 2018-06-13 | 26.83% | Washington Mystics | 1487.66 | 95 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1631.25 | 91 |
| 15 | 2018-07-11 | 27.81% | New York Liberty | 1376.93 | 79 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1511.92 | 76 |
| 16 | 2018-07-11 | 27.95% | Atlanta Dream | 1425.42 | 106 | @ Washington Mystics | 1559.14 | 89 |
| 17 | 2018-06-13 | 28.20% | Las Vegas Aces | 1385.10 | 78 | @ New York Liberty | 1516.72 | 63 |
| 18 | 2018-06-01 | 28.21% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1366.71 | 85 | Washington Mystics | 1559.68 | 73 |
| 19 | 2018-06-05 | 28.61% | @ Atlanta Dream | 1435.49 | 82 | Connecticut Sun | 1625.05 | 77 |
| 20 | 2018-06-29 | 29.10% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 1418.92 | 94 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1604.38 | 78 |
| 21 | 2018-07-13 | 29.39% | Las Vegas Aces | 1489.50 | 85 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1611.03 | 77 |
| 22 | 2018-06-16 | 29.61% | @ Indiana Fever | 1295.31 | 96 | Atlanta Dream | 1476.46 | 64 |
| 23 | 2018-06-01 | 29.66% | Phoenix Mercury | 1482.41 | 95 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1601.70 | 85 |
| 24 | 2018-06-10 | 30.23% | Atlanta Dream | 1465.47 | 67 | @ Seattle Storm | 1580.01 | 64 |
| 25 | 2018-05-29 | 30.32% | @ Atlanta Dream | 1438.26 | 76 | Minnesota Lynx | 1613.59 | 74 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2018-06-16 | 48.02 | @ Indiana Fever | 96 | 1295.31 | 29.61% | Atlanta Dream | 64 | 1476.46 | 70.39% |
| 2 | 2018-06-22 | 42.85 | @ Dallas Wings | 101 | 1495.79 | 34.02% | Los Angeles Sparks | 72 | 1641.56 | 65.98% |
| 3 | 2018-06-07 | 40.03 | Seattle Storm | 88 | 1539.98 | 33.61% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 63 | 1627.50 | 66.39% |
| 4 | 2018-07-03 | 37.92 | Indiana Fever | 71 | 1292.11 | 9.25% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 59 | 1658.03 | 90.75% |
| 5 | 2018-07-20 | 37.82 | @ Chicago Sky | 114 | 1337.35 | 19.04% | Dallas Wings | 99 | 1619.54 | 80.96% |
| 6 | 2018-08-09 | 36.91 | @ Washington Mystics | 100 | 1560.20 | 36.18% | Seattle Storm | 77 | 1689.50 | 63.82% |
| 7 | 2018-07-11 | 35.82 | Atlanta Dream | 106 | 1425.42 | 27.95% | @ Washington Mystics | 89 | 1559.14 | 72.05% |
| 8 | 2018-07-07 | 35.60 | @ Chicago Sky | 77 | 1376.26 | 21.12% | Minnesota Lynx | 63 | 1635.93 | 78.88% |
| 9 | 2018-07-25 | 34.40 | Chicago Sky | 101 | 1359.67 | 23.78% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 87 | 1531.28 | 76.22% |
| 10 | 2018-06-29 | 34.21 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 94 | 1418.92 | 29.10% | Los Angeles Sparks | 78 | 1604.38 | 70.90% |
| 11 | 2018-07-15 | 34.18 | Connecticut Sun | 83 | 1510.05 | 34.99% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 64 | 1586.95 | 65.01% |
| 12 | 2018-08-31 * | 33.98 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 86 | 1572.31 | 37.00% | Seattle Storm | 66 | 1695.50 | 63.00% |
| 13 | 2018-06-13 | 33.54 | Las Vegas Aces | 78 | 1385.10 | 28.20% | @ New York Liberty | 63 | 1516.72 | 71.80% |
| 14 | 2018-07-10 | 33.53 | @ Dallas Wings | 101 | 1552.23 | 48.37% | Phoenix Mercury | 72 | 1594.32 | 51.63% |
| 15 | 2018-06-19 | 33.13 | Las Vegas Aces | 89 | 1393.38 | 20.71% | @ Seattle Storm | 77 | 1595.90 | 79.29% |
| 16 | 2018-05-23 | 32.80 | Atlanta Dream | 81 | 1423.07 | 35.90% | @ Chicago Sky | 63 | 1493.05 | 64.10% |
| 17 | 2018-07-22 | 31.64 | Connecticut Sun | 92 | 1515.38 | 36.38% | @ Dallas Wings | 75 | 1581.72 | 63.62% |
| 18 | 2018-08-10 | 31.03 | @ Chicago Sky | 97 | 1369.37 | 22.44% | Connecticut Sun | 86 | 1615.57 | 77.56% |
| 19 | 2018-05-23 | 30.78 | Seattle Storm | 87 | 1473.09 | 36.20% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 71 | 1540.81 | 63.80% |
| 20 | 2018-06-01 | 29.99 | @ Las Vegas Aces | 85 | 1366.71 | 28.21% | Washington Mystics | 73 | 1559.68 | 71.79% |
| 21 | 2018-07-22 | 29.45 | @ Atlanta Dream | 87 | 1515.37 | 32.29% | Seattle Storm | 74 | 1674.76 | 67.71% |
| 22 | 2018-07-31 | 29.43 | Washington Mystics | 86 | 1504.55 | 36.99% | @ Atlanta Dream | 71 | 1566.34 | 63.01% |
| 23 | 2018-08-02 | 29.22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 79 | 1537.63 | 48.34% | Minnesota Lynx | 57 | 1579.88 | 51.66% |
| 24 | 2018-07-15 | 28.81 | Los Angeles Sparks | 99 | 1529.56 | 47.88% | @ Las Vegas Aces | 78 | 1513.58 | 52.12% |
| 25 | 2018-08-05 | 28.51 | Atlanta Dream | 86 | 1549.96 | 47.14% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 66 | 1539.13 | 52.86% |