2017 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Minnesota Lynx

4th Title

Last Title: 2015

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Sparks

5th Appearance

Last Appearance: 2016

Biggest Overachiever

New York Liberty

4.48 wins above expected

22 wins · 17.52 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Indiana Fever

3.93 wins below expected

9 wins · 12.93 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Lynx League	27	7	.794	-	85.4	74.2	+11.1	26.73	+0.27
2	Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs	26	8	.765	1	83.5	75.2	+8.3	24.02	+1.98
3	New York Liberty Playoffs	22	12	.647	5	79.7	76.6	+3.1	17.52	+4.48
4	Connecticut Sun Playoffs	21	13	.618	6	86.0	81.6	+4.4	19.49	+1.51
5	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	18	16	.529	9	81.9	81.9	0.0	17.89	+0.11
6	Washington Mystics Playoffs	18	16	.529	9	81.7	81.0	+0.7	18.42	-0.42
7	Dallas Wings Playoffs	16	18	.471	11	86.1	88.8	-2.6	13.55	+2.45
8	Seattle Storm Playoffs	15	19	.441	12	82.6	82.6	0.0	17.03	-2.03
9	Chicago Sky	12	22	.353	15	82.1	87.2	-5.1	13.56	-1.56
10	Atlanta Dream	12	22	.353	15	78.9	82.7	-3.8	14.69	-2.69
11	Indiana Fever	9	25	.265	18	75.1	84.3	-9.2	12.93	-3.93
12	San Antonio Silver Stars	8	26	.235	19	74.4	81.4	-7.0	8.17	-0.17

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Phoenix Mercury 79

Seattle Storm 69

Sep 6

Washington Mystics 86

Dallas Wings 76

Sep 6

Second Round

Phoenix Mercury 88

Connecticut Sun 83

Sep 10

Washington Mystics 82

New York Liberty 68

Sep 10

Semifinals

Los Angeles Sparks 3

Phoenix Mercury 0

3 games · Sep 12–Sep 17

Minnesota Lynx 3

Washington Mystics 0

3 games · Sep 12–Sep 17

WNBA Finals

Minnesota Lynx 3

Los Angeles Sparks 2

5 games · Sep 24–Oct 4

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Los Angeles Sparks	1750	26	24.02	+1.98	84.16%	13	20	22	24	26	28	33
Minnesota Lynx	1731	27	26.73	+0.27	61.98%	16	23	25	27	28	30	34
New York Liberty	1645	22	17.52	+4.48	96.89%	5	13	16	18	19	22	29
Connecticut Sun	1559	21	19.49	+1.51	77.43%	8	15	18	20	21	24	30
Phoenix Mercury	1528	18	17.89	+0.11	58.81%	5	13	16	18	20	22	29
Seattle Storm	1478	15	17.03	-2.03	28.70%	6	13	15	17	19	21	29
Washington Mystics	1472	18	18.42	-0.42	50.81%	7	14	17	18	20	23	29
Dallas Wings	1461	16	13.55	+2.45	86.46%	3	9	12	14	15	18	27
Chicago Sky	1397	12	13.56	-1.56	35.07%	3	9	12	14	15	18	25
Atlanta Dream	1371	12	14.69	-2.69	21.06%	4	10	13	15	17	19	28
San Antonio Silver Stars	1336	8	8.17	-0.17	56.60%	0	4	7	8	10	12	20
Indiana Fever	1273	9	12.93	-3.93	9.55%	2	9	11	13	15	17	24

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Stars	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-3 (0.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)
Chicago Sky	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)
Dallas Wings	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)
Indiana Fever	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (3.2 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.7 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	3-0 (2.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.6 exp.)	2-1 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (2.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	—	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.8 exp.)	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)
New York Liberty	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	—	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.3 exp.)	0-3 (0.2 exp.)	1-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.4 exp.)
Washington Mystics	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	0.74%	0.98%	0.74%	0.25%	—	0.25%	2.94%
60–69	0.74%	1.47%	2.45%	4.90%	0.98%	0.74%	—	11.27%
70–79	0.98%	2.45%	7.84%	11.27%	3.68%	1.23%	—	27.45%
80–89	0.74%	4.90%	11.27%	11.27%	6.86%	0.49%	0.25%	35.78%
90–99	0.25%	0.98%	3.68%	6.86%	4.41%	0.74%	—	16.91%
100–109	—	0.74%	1.23%	0.49%	0.74%	0.49%	0.74%	4.41%
110+	0.25%	—	—	0.25%	—	0.74%	—	1.23%
Total	2.94%	11.27%	27.45%	35.78%	16.91%	4.41%	1.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.45	81.45	+0.00
SD	11.36	11.36	14.69
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	115	115	+59
Min	50	50	-59

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
60–69	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
70–79	—	—	17.65%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	—	41.18%
80–89	—	2.94%	8.82%	5.88%	14.71%	—	—	32.35%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	14.71%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	32.35%	35.29%	20.59%	5.88%	—	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	78.91	82.68	-3.76
SD	10.82	8.86	11.98
CV	0.14	0.11	—
Max	99	104	+21
Min	54	68	-33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	—	14.71%
70–79	—	2.94%	5.88%	8.82%	8.82%	—	—	26.47%
80–89	—	—	5.88%	17.65%	2.94%	—	2.94%	29.41%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	20.59%
100–109	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%	8.82%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	2.94%	20.59%	41.18%	23.53%	2.94%	8.82%	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.12	87.24	-5.12
SD	11.69	11.80	14.07
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	106	115	+24
Min	61	68	-37

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
70–79	—	—	2.94%	20.59%	—	—	—	23.53%
80–89	2.94%	—	17.65%	—	8.82%	—	—	29.41%
90–99	—	2.94%	11.76%	14.71%	8.82%	—	—	38.24%
100–109	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	2.94%	35.29%	41.18%	17.65%	—	—	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.00	81.59	+4.41
SD	9.87	9.09	14.21
CV	0.11	0.11	—
Max	104	96	+33
Min	66	56	-20

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	8.82%
70–79	—	—	—	—	8.82%	2.94%	—	11.76%
80–89	—	5.88%	8.82%	11.76%	17.65%	2.94%	—	47.06%
90–99	—	—	—	14.71%	5.88%	5.88%	—	26.47%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
Total	2.94%	5.88%	8.82%	29.41%	32.35%	20.59%	—	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.15	88.79	-2.65
SD	9.86	11.92	13.79
CV	0.11	0.13	—
Max	112	109	+27
Min	65	58	-42

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	2.94%	8.82%
60–69	—	—	—	17.65%	—	—	—	17.65%
70–79	—	—	8.82%	14.71%	2.94%	—	—	26.47%
80–89	—	—	11.76%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	—	35.29%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	29.41%	52.94%	11.76%	2.94%	2.94%	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	75.06	84.26	-9.21
SD	11.24	8.29	13.98
CV	0.15	0.10	—
Max	93	111	+12
Min	50	71	-59

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.94%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	8.82%
70–79	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	26.47%
80–89	2.94%	5.88%	23.53%	5.88%	—	—	—	38.24%
90–99	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
Total	8.82%	23.53%	35.29%	23.53%	5.88%	2.94%	—	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	83.53	75.21	+8.32
SD	9.84	11.83	11.07
CV	0.12	0.16	—
Max	115	106	+33
Min	68	55	-14

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	—	—	—	—	14.71%
70–79	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	8.82%
80–89	—	11.76%	20.59%	5.88%	—	—	—	38.24%
90–99	—	—	11.76%	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	23.53%
100–109	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	8.82%
110+	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	5.88%	20.59%	50.00%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	—	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	85.35	74.24	+11.12
SD	12.76	10.19	14.75
CV	0.15	0.14	—
Max	111	100	+59
Min	61	52	-24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	8.82%
70–79	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	8.82%	—	—	35.29%
80–89	2.94%	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	38.24%
90–99	—	2.94%	—	8.82%	—	—	—	11.76%
100–109	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	26.47%	20.59%	29.41%	17.65%	—	—	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	79.71	76.59	+3.12
SD	9.69	11.99	12.95
CV	0.12	0.16	—
Max	102	96	+30
Min	54	50	-20

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
60–69	—	2.94%	—	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	14.71%
70–79	—	—	5.88%	8.82%	—	—	—	14.71%
80–89	—	11.76%	8.82%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	44.12%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	—	11.76%	—	—	14.71%
100–109	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%	—	5.88%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	20.59%	17.65%	32.35%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.88	81.88	+0.00
SD	11.86	11.44	16.01
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	107	105	+42
Min	58	62	-36

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	—	8.82%
60–69	—	—	2.94%	11.76%	—	—	—	14.71%
70–79	—	—	17.65%	32.35%	5.88%	—	—	55.88%
80–89	—	5.88%	—	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	17.65%
90–99	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
100–109	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	26.47%	58.82%	8.82%	—	—	100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	74.38	81.35	-6.97
SD	8.73	7.47	11.63
CV	0.12	0.09	—
Max	93	94	+24
Min	55	61	-33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	8.82%
70–79	2.94%	—	8.82%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	23.53%
80–89	—	5.88%	5.88%	20.59%	17.65%	—	—	50.00%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	—	8.82%
100–109	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	8.82%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	14.71%	20.59%	32.35%	20.59%	5.88%	2.94%	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.59	82.59	+0.00
SD	11.17	11.99	13.48
CV	0.14	0.15	—
Max	109	110	+37
Min	60	57	-30

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100–109	110+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
60–69	2.94%	—	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	—	11.76%
70–79	2.94%	—	11.76%	14.71%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
80–89	—	2.94%	11.76%	11.76%	2.94%	—	—	29.41%
90–99	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
100–109	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	11.76%
110+	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
Total	5.88%	5.88%	32.35%	35.29%	17.65%	2.94%	—	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.74	81.00	+0.74
SD	12.38	11.98	15.36
CV	0.15	0.15	—
Max	110	106	+34
Min	55	54	-33

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.49	+11.2
Allowed	0.53	-10.2
Differential	0.95	+10.0

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Liberty	22	17.52	+4.48
2	Dallas Wings	16	13.55	+2.45
3	Los Angeles Sparks	26	24.02	+1.98
4	Connecticut Sun	21	19.49	+1.51
5	Minnesota Lynx	27	26.73	+0.27

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Indiana Fever	9	12.93	-3.93
2	Atlanta Dream	12	14.69	-2.69
3	Seattle Storm	15	17.03	-2.03
4	Chicago Sky	12	13.56	-1.56
5	Washington Mystics	18	18.42	-0.42

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Liberty	10	Aug 8 – Sep 3	1 in 243
2	Chicago Sky	3	Jul 8 – Jul 14	1 in 62
3	San Antonio Silver Stars	3	Aug 1 – Aug 5	1 in 47
4	Dallas Wings	4	Jun 18 – Jun 25	1 in 22
5	Washington Mystics	5	May 24 – Jun 6	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Antonio Silver Stars	14	May 13 – Jun 25	1 in 60
2	Atlanta Dream	9	Jul 28 – Aug 19	1 in 54
3	Chicago Sky	5	May 24 – Jun 6	1 in 20
4	Phoenix Mercury	4	Jul 14 – Jul 25	1 in 20
5	Minnesota Lynx	2	Aug 11 – Aug 16	1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Minnesota Lynx	75.58%	20.87%	2.74%	0.62%	0.14%	0.04%	0.01%	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	-	-
Los Angeles Sparks	21.81%	56.34%	13.73%	4.84%	1.98%	0.82%	0.31%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	-
Connecticut Sun	1.16%	8.92%	27.96%	21.25%	15.25%	10.51%	7.07%	4.17%	2.26%	1.04%	0.39%	0.02%
Washington Mystics	0.52%	5.00%	17.76%	19.12%	17.46%	14.06%	10.60%	7.31%	4.54%	2.44%	1.07%	0.13%
Phoenix Mercury	0.45%	3.62%	13.29%	16.84%	17.39%	15.67%	12.86%	9.02%	5.88%	3.34%	1.47%	0.19%
New York Liberty	0.28%	2.80%	11.39%	14.75%	16.27%	16.08%	14.11%	10.75%	7.24%	4.20%	1.93%	0.22%
Seattle Storm	0.18%	1.89%	8.88%	13.02%	14.99%	16.02%	15.00%	12.06%	8.77%	5.62%	3.08%	0.47%
Atlanta Dream	0.02%	0.31%	2.12%	4.10%	6.63%	9.81%	13.27%	16.73%	17.08%	15.65%	11.93%	2.35%
Dallas Wings	<0.01%	0.11%	0.81%	2.00%	3.66%	6.30%	9.74%	13.96%	17.94%	20.43%	19.71%	5.33%
Chicago Sky	<0.01%	0.09%	0.87%	2.16%	3.77%	6.14%	9.52%	13.57%	17.78%	20.51%	19.97%	5.62%
Indiana Fever	-	0.06%	0.46%	1.28%	2.44%	4.47%	7.28%	11.67%	16.71%	22.08%	26.11%	7.46%
San Antonio Silver Stars	-	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.09%	0.24%	0.65%	1.78%	4.67%	14.33%	78.21%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx	75.58%	20.87%	2.74%	0.62%	0.14%	0.04%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks	21.81%	56.34%	13.73%	4.84%	1.98%	0.82%	0.31%	0.12%	0.05%
Connecticut Sun	1.16%	8.92%	27.96%	21.25%	15.25%	10.51%	7.07%	4.17%	3.70%
Washington Mystics	0.52%	5.00%	17.76%	19.12%	17.46%	14.06%	10.60%	7.31%	8.18%
Phoenix Mercury	0.45%	3.62%	13.29%	16.84%	17.39%	15.67%	12.86%	9.02%	10.88%
New York Liberty	0.28%	2.80%	11.39%	14.75%	16.27%	16.08%	14.11%	10.75%	13.59%
Seattle Storm	0.18%	1.89%	8.88%	13.02%	14.99%	16.02%	15.00%	12.06%	17.95%
Atlanta Dream	0.02%	0.31%	2.12%	4.10%	6.63%	9.81%	13.27%	16.73%	47.01%
Chicago Sky	<0.01%	0.09%	0.87%	2.16%	3.77%	6.14%	9.52%	13.57%	63.88%
Dallas Wings	<0.01%	0.11%	0.81%	2.00%	3.66%	6.30%	9.74%	13.96%	63.41%
Indiana Fever	-	0.06%	0.46%	1.28%	2.44%	4.47%	7.28%	11.67%	72.36%
San Antonio Silver Stars	-	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.09%	0.24%	0.65%	98.98%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+18.63%

Fortress

59.31%40.69%

Elo Value

Home Edge

26 Elo

0.039 points per Elo point

065.4880

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.26 points

Home-Tilted

-8+2.55+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.6

Few Contenders

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

42%

Minnesota Lynx, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

39.0%

Favored

025.00%60%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.1 · As Expected: 2.1 to 2.88 · Elevated: 2.88 to 3.93 · High Variance: 3.93 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 · Close: 1.15 to 1.55 · Off Target: 1.55 to 2.03 · Well Off Target: 2.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.76 · As Expected: 0.76 to 1.27 · More Than Expected: 1.27 to 2.03 · Far More Than Expected: 2.03 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.27 wins

As Expected

02.627

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.353

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.89%

New York Liberty

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

9.55%

Indiana Fever

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

As Expected

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 8

As Expected

01.08

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.72

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

75%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

94%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

11%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

28%

Frequent

0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.20

Predictable

00.201

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.72

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Chalk Held

0%31%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

26%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.85

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.98

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.060

Within Noise

00.1020.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Los Angeles Sparks	95.55%	95.55%	78.06%	44.72%
Minnesota Lynx	99.29%	99.29%	78.74%	41.89%
New York Liberty	68.70%	47.34%	17.04%	7.24%
Connecticut Sun	73.41%	52.01%	11.69%	3.19%
Phoenix Mercury	62.52%	34.55%	6.41%	1.56%
Washington Mystics	62.71%	31.84%	3.79%	0.62%
Seattle Storm	50.56%	22.71%	2.97%	0.59%
Dallas Wings	16.45%	5.87%	0.69%	0.12%
Atlanta Dream	20.04%	5.56%	0.30%	0.03%
Chicago Sky	13.82%	4.02%	0.28%	0.03%
Indiana Fever	6.65%	1.22%	0.03%	<0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.24%	0.05%	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		48.7%0.43%	23.7%4.71%	37.9%0.51%	66.0%0.20%	8.4%1.52%	7.5%0.26%	16.8%3.36%	28.4%3.21%	100.0%<0.01%	32.9%2.33%	33.9%3.51%
Chicago Sky	51.3%0.43%		27.1%3.40%	42.5%0.29%	68.6%0.15%	10.3%1.05%	11.0%0.19%	18.2%2.18%	30.6%2.21%	100.0%<0.01%	33.4%1.55%	35.1%2.37%
Connecticut Sun	76.3%4.71%	72.9%3.40%		67.9%4.07%	85.1%1.59%	23.0%2.54%	22.4%0.40%	41.9%17.01%	56.3%14.44%	80.6%0.06%	63.1%11.72%	62.1%13.47%
Dallas Wings	62.1%0.51%	57.5%0.29%	32.1%4.07%		69.9%0.16%	12.5%1.40%	14.9%0.21%	23.7%2.56%	36.7%2.54%	66.7%<0.01%	45.9%1.76%	44.3%2.94%
Indiana Fever	34.0%0.20%	31.4%0.15%	14.9%1.59%	30.1%0.16%		5.3%0.50%	5.5%0.07%	11.9%1.07%	17.4%1.06%	60.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.71%	23.7%1.13%
Los Angeles Sparks	91.6%1.52%	89.7%1.05%	77.0%2.54%	87.5%1.40%	94.7%0.50%		45.9%0.04%	70.3%4.67%	81.3%3.58%	96.3%0.03%	84.6%3.20%	86.4%2.86%
Minnesota Lynx	92.5%0.26%	89.0%0.19%	77.6%0.40%	85.1%0.21%	94.5%0.07%	54.1%0.04%		68.8%0.78%	81.4%0.59%	100.0%<0.01%	83.8%0.53%	86.7%0.45%
New York Liberty	83.2%3.36%	81.8%2.18%	58.1%17.01%	76.3%2.56%	88.1%1.07%	29.7%4.67%	31.2%0.78%		64.3%13.20%	77.3%0.02%	70.8%10.03%	69.9%13.82%
Phoenix Mercury	71.6%3.21%	69.4%2.21%	43.7%14.44%	63.3%2.54%	82.6%1.06%	18.7%3.58%	18.6%0.59%	35.7%13.20%		87.9%0.03%	57.1%9.12%	57.0%12.52%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.06%	33.3%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	3.7%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	22.7%0.02%	12.1%0.03%		29.2%0.02%	26.4%0.05%
Seattle Storm	67.1%2.33%	66.6%1.55%	36.9%11.72%	54.1%1.76%	78.6%0.71%	15.4%3.20%	16.2%0.53%	29.2%10.03%	42.9%9.12%	70.8%0.02%		49.8%9.58%
Washington Mystics	66.1%3.51%	64.9%2.37%	37.9%13.47%	55.7%2.94%	76.3%1.13%	13.6%2.86%	13.3%0.45%	30.1%13.82%	43.0%12.52%	73.6%0.05%	50.2%9.58%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		0.0%<0.01%	18.0%0.19%	28.6%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	3.7%2.19%	3.9%2.86%	9.5%0.10%	14.9%0.07%		36.4%0.04%	40.2%0.09%
Chicago Sky	100.0%<0.01%		30.2%0.13%	0.0%<0.01%		4.0%1.54%	5.6%2.16%	12.2%0.05%	30.0%0.05%		42.9%0.03%	45.5%0.06%
Connecticut Sun	82.0%0.19%	69.8%0.13%		67.9%0.19%	91.9%0.04%	16.7%24.39%	18.8%20.79%	32.5%2.07%	53.6%1.63%	100.0%<0.01%	64.9%0.96%	69.2%1.63%
Dallas Wings	71.4%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.1%0.19%		0.0%<0.01%	7.5%2.35%	10.9%3.05%	25.7%0.07%	43.2%0.08%		53.8%0.03%	47.9%0.10%
Indiana Fever	100.0%<0.01%		8.1%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%		0.9%0.47%	1.4%0.65%	0.0%0.02%	9.5%0.02%		40.0%<0.01%	21.1%0.02%
Los Angeles Sparks	96.3%2.19%	96.0%1.54%	83.3%24.39%	92.5%2.35%	99.1%0.47%		53.0%6.76%	70.3%20.15%	86.6%14.61%	100.0%0.02%	90.8%9.37%	91.9%13.71%
Minnesota Lynx	96.1%2.86%	94.4%2.16%	81.2%20.79%	89.1%3.05%	98.6%0.65%	47.0%6.76%		66.7%22.33%	84.3%15.90%	100.0%0.02%	88.9%10.88%	90.4%13.90%
New York Liberty	90.5%0.10%	87.8%0.05%	67.5%2.07%	74.3%0.07%	100.0%0.02%	29.7%20.15%	33.3%22.33%		71.9%0.95%	100.0%<0.01%	81.3%0.53%	83.1%1.07%
Phoenix Mercury	85.1%0.07%	70.0%0.05%	46.4%1.63%	56.8%0.08%	90.5%0.02%	13.4%14.61%	15.7%15.90%	28.1%0.95%			58.3%0.41%	63.3%0.82%
Seattle Storm	63.6%0.04%	57.1%0.03%	35.1%0.96%	46.2%0.03%	60.0%<0.01%	9.2%9.37%	11.1%10.88%	18.7%0.53%	41.7%0.41%			52.0%0.45%
Washington Mystics	59.8%0.09%	54.5%0.06%	30.8%1.63%	52.1%0.10%	78.9%0.02%	8.1%13.71%	9.6%13.90%	16.9%1.07%	36.7%0.82%	100.0%<0.01%	48.0%0.45%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream			21.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		9.6%0.12%	7.6%0.13%	16.7%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Chicago Sky			22.2%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		4.7%0.13%	10.4%0.11%	20.0%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun	78.6%0.01%	77.8%<0.01%		62.9%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	22.5%4.52%	25.6%5.32%	34.8%1.09%	51.2%0.33%	53.2%0.16%	66.2%0.21%
Dallas Wings	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	37.1%0.03%			13.8%0.31%	17.6%0.26%	21.3%0.05%	30.0%0.02%	14.3%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%
Indiana Fever			0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks	90.4%0.12%	95.3%0.13%	77.5%4.52%	86.2%0.31%	100.0%<0.01%		52.4%60.12%	62.9%7.42%	79.2%2.65%	84.9%1.25%	88.4%1.52%
Minnesota Lynx	92.4%0.13%	89.6%0.11%	74.4%5.32%	82.4%0.26%	100.0%0.01%	47.6%60.12%		60.7%7.31%	79.0%2.68%	81.9%1.21%	84.4%1.59%
New York Liberty	83.3%0.02%	80.0%0.03%	65.2%1.09%	78.7%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	37.1%7.42%	39.3%7.31%		70.8%0.56%	74.8%0.25%	80.7%0.32%
Phoenix Mercury	40.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	48.8%0.33%	70.0%0.02%		20.8%2.65%	21.0%2.68%	29.2%0.56%		66.7%0.06%	61.9%0.10%
Seattle Storm	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	46.8%0.16%	85.7%<0.01%		15.1%1.25%	18.1%1.21%	25.2%0.25%	33.3%0.06%		62.5%0.03%
Washington Mystics	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	33.8%0.21%	55.6%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	11.6%1.52%	15.6%1.59%	19.3%0.32%	38.1%0.10%	37.5%0.03%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Los Angeles Sparks	100.00%	75.84%	42.70%	Eliminated in Finals
Minnesota Lynx	100.00%	82.22%	42.33%	Won Finals
Phoenix Mercury	25.46%	4.60%	1.17%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Washington Mystics	13.23%	1.37%	0.30%	Eliminated in Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun				61.5%66.19%	66.4%33.81%
Dallas Wings			21.8%39.12%
New York Liberty		78.2%39.12%				78.3%60.88%
Phoenix Mercury	38.5%66.19%
Seattle Storm	33.6%33.81%
Washington Mystics			21.7%60.88%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun				18.4%63.18%
Dallas Wings			10.0%8.53%
Los Angeles Sparks		90.0%8.53%			72.0%78.25%			89.6%13.23%
Minnesota Lynx	81.6%63.18%					81.9%25.46%	86.3%11.36%
New York Liberty			28.0%78.25%
Phoenix Mercury				18.1%25.46%
Seattle Storm				13.7%11.36%
Washington Mystics			10.4%13.23%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun		48.9%0.09%	23.3%8.84%		33.3%2.52%			69.6%0.17%
Dallas Wings	51.1%0.09%			20.2%0.71%		48.7%0.04%	46.2%0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks	76.7%8.84%			51.8%62.37%		77.9%3.45%	79.6%1.17%
Minnesota Lynx		79.8%0.71%	48.2%62.37%		59.9%18.02%			81.0%1.11%
New York Liberty	66.7%2.52%			40.1%18.02%		66.2%1.04%	75.1%0.35%
Phoenix Mercury		51.3%0.04%	22.1%3.45%		33.8%1.04%			51.5%0.07%
Seattle Storm		53.8%0.01%	20.4%1.17%		24.9%0.35%			61.9%0.02%
Washington Mystics	30.4%0.17%			19.0%1.11%		48.5%0.07%	38.1%0.02%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Los Angeles Sparks 42.70% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

74.25%

Win Prob

71.97%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

75.64%

Win Prob

51.78%

Minnesota Lynx 42.33% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

62.70%

Win Prob

81.60%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

71.04%

Win Prob

48.22%

New York Liberty 9.87% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

60.90%

Win Prob

78.27%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

28.03%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

73.30%

Win Prob

40.14%

Connecticut Sun 3.07% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

64.47%

Win Prob

61.54%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.40%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

67.30%

Win Prob

23.34%

Phoenix Mercury 1.17% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.46%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.08%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

65.24%

Win Prob

22.13%

Seattle Storm 0.35% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.61%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

13.67%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

69.08%

Win Prob

20.43%

Washington Mystics 0.30% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

21.73%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

10.39%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

69.51%

Win Prob

19.03%

Dallas Wings 0.21% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

21.80%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

10.00%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

66.51%

Win Prob

20.17%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2017-05-13	@ Connecticut Sun	W 81-74	1482.77	1493.99	39.14%	60.86%	+20.32	1-0
2017-05-19	@ Chicago Sky	W 91-83	1503.09	1491.73	42.27%	57.73%	+20.61	2-0
2017-05-21	Chicago Sky	L 71-75	1523.70	1471.13	66.36%	33.64%	-16.75	2-1
2017-05-27	Los Angeles Sparks	W 75-73	1506.95	1613.93	44.05%	55.95%	+9.98	3-1
2017-05-31	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 77-70	1516.93	1304.77	83.18%	16.82%	+5.62	4-1
2017-06-04	@ Washington Mystics	L 72-78	1522.55	1514.92	41.75%	58.25%	-12.91	4-2
2017-06-07	@ New York Liberty	L 61-76	1509.64	1493.65	42.93%	57.07%	-20.98	4-3
2017-06-10	@ Connecticut Sun	L 71-104	1488.66	1486.56	40.98%	59.02%	-29.71	4-4
2017-06-13	@ Seattle Storm	W 91-86	1458.95	1520.54	32.49%	67.51%	+19.05	5-4
2017-06-15	@ Indiana Fever	L 74-85	1478.00	1432.51	47.13%	52.87%	-19.72	5-5
2017-06-23	Chicago Sky	L 78-82	1458.28	1372.10	70.54%	29.46%	-17.80	5-6
2017-06-30	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-85	1440.48	1678.08	27.07%	72.93%	-10.26	5-7
2017-07-02	New York Liberty	W 81-72	1430.22	1493.53	50.31%	49.69%	+18.82	6-7
2017-07-05	@ Dallas Wings	L 84-94	1449.04	1430.23	43.32%	56.68%	-17.29	6-8
2017-07-07	Indiana Fever	W 89-68	1431.75	1459.72	55.38%	44.62%	+25.80	7-8
2017-07-09	Dallas Wings	W 98-78	1457.55	1447.52	60.70%	39.30%	+22.18	8-8
2017-07-12	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 84-89	1479.73	1569.49	29.04%	70.96%	-8.19	8-9
2017-07-15	@ Seattle Storm	L 84-90	1471.54	1490.94	38.02%	61.98%	-11.75	8-10
2017-07-18	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 88-75	1459.79	1252.10	82.81%	17.19%	+7.82	9-10
2017-07-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 96-100	1467.61	1526.82	32.79%	67.21%	-8.28	9-11
2017-07-25	Phoenix Mercury	W 99-91	1459.33	1520.39	50.64%	49.36%	+17.62	10-11
2017-07-28	Minnesota Lynx	L 80-90	1476.95	1749.30	23.31%	76.69%	-9.30	10-12
2017-07-30	Washington Mystics	L 70-77	1467.65	1544.77	48.33%	51.67%	-16.14	10-13
2017-08-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 54-69	1451.51	1763.77	10.21%	89.79%	-4.99	10-14
2017-08-05	@ Chicago Sky	L 86-91	1446.52	1433.79	42.47%	57.53%	-11.98	10-15
2017-08-08	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-81	1434.54	1752.76	18.93%	81.07%	-7.16	10-16
2017-08-11	New York Liberty	L 77-83	1427.38	1499.48	49.05%	50.95%	-15.17	10-17
2017-08-12	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 68-84	1412.21	1314.03	54.69%	45.31%	-27.60	10-18
2017-08-15	Connecticut Sun	L 75-96	1384.61	1606.54	28.89%	71.11%	-16.71	10-19
2017-08-19	@ Dallas Wings	L 86-90	1367.90	1431.62	32.22%	67.78%	-8.14	10-20
2017-08-23	Seattle Storm	W 89-83	1359.76	1508.34	38.26%	61.74%	+19.09	11-20
2017-08-26	Indiana Fever	W 79-74	1378.85	1300.38	69.61%	30.39%	+8.58	12-20
2017-09-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 56-81	1387.43	1735.92	8.45%	91.55%	-5.34	12-21
2017-09-03	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 70-84	1382.09	1516.93	23.99%	76.01%	-11.32	12-22
2017-05-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 61-70	1500.54	1642.51	23.25%	76.75%	-8.81	0-1
2017-05-19	Atlanta Dream	L 83-91	1491.73	1503.09	57.73%	42.27%	-20.60	0-2
2017-05-21	@ Atlanta Dream	W 75-71	1471.13	1523.70	33.64%	66.36%	+16.75	1-2
2017-05-24	Washington Mystics	L 67-82	1487.88	1464.29	62.54%	37.46%	-30.57	1-3
2017-05-26	@ Washington Mystics	L 79-88	1457.31	1494.86	35.59%	64.41%	-13.48	1-4
2017-05-28	Connecticut Sun	L 79-97	1443.83	1449.40	58.54%	41.46%	-31.34	1-5
2017-06-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 91-99	1412.49	1544.88	40.49%	59.51%	-14.45	1-6
2017-06-06	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 70-79	1398.04	1624.07	15.73%	84.27%	-5.96	1-7
2017-06-10	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 85-81	1392.08	1277.12	57.07%	42.93%	+10.84	2-7
2017-06-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 78-86	1402.92	1540.19	23.74%	76.26%	-8.48	2-8
2017-06-18	Indiana Fever	L 79-91	1394.44	1452.23	51.11%	48.89%	-22.34	2-9
2017-06-23	@ Atlanta Dream	W 82-78	1372.10	1458.28	29.46%	70.54%	+17.80	3-9
2017-06-25	Washington Mystics	L 63-97	1389.90	1513.43	41.72%	58.28%	-30.70	3-10
2017-06-28	Indiana Fever	L 75-82	1359.20	1459.95	44.94%	55.06%	-15.00	3-11
2017-06-30	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 82-89	1344.20	1234.36	56.35%	43.65%	-18.82	3-12
2017-07-08	Minnesota Lynx	W 100-76	1325.38	1765.42	10.38%	89.62%	+55.41	4-12
2017-07-12	Dallas Wings	W 90-84	1380.79	1425.34	53.01%	46.99%	+14.53	5-12
2017-07-14	@ New York Liberty	W 78-68	1395.32	1483.81	29.19%	70.81%	+28.26	6-12
2017-07-16	@ Dallas Wings	L 106-112	1423.58	1410.82	42.47%	57.53%	-13.13	6-13
2017-07-18	@ Seattle Storm	W 94-83	1410.45	1502.70	28.74%	71.26%	+29.83	7-13
2017-07-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-80	1440.28	1672.64	15.26%	84.74%	+15.12	8-13
2017-07-25	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-93	1455.40	1560.77	27.22%	72.78%	-15.74	8-14
2017-07-28	Phoenix Mercury	L 80-86	1439.66	1502.77	50.34%	49.66%	-15.56	8-15
2017-07-30	New York Liberty	L 82-86	1424.10	1524.50	44.99%	55.01%	-11.36	8-16
2017-08-04	@ Indiana Fever	W 81-70	1412.74	1349.31	49.71%	50.29%	+21.05	9-16
2017-08-05	Atlanta Dream	W 91-86	1433.79	1446.52	57.53%	42.47%	+11.99	10-16
2017-08-10	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 94-74	1445.78	1328.65	74.10%	25.90%	+14.61	11-16
2017-08-18	Los Angeles Sparks	L 106-115	1460.39	1688.89	28.12%	71.88%	-10.64	11-17
2017-08-20	Seattle Storm	L 66-103	1449.75	1464.38	57.27%	42.73%	-43.96	11-18
2017-08-25	@ Connecticut Sun	W 96-83	1405.79	1619.53	16.70%	83.30%	+37.90	12-18
2017-08-27	@ New York Liberty	L 62-92	1443.69	1622.27	19.70%	80.30%	-13.62	12-19
2017-08-30	Dallas Wings	L 96-99	1430.07	1452.96	56.10%	43.90%	-12.26	12-20
2017-09-01	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 87-110	1417.81	1717.31	10.90%	89.10%	-6.60	12-21
2017-09-03	Seattle Storm	L 80-85	1411.21	1463.14	51.95%	48.05%	-14.66	12-22
2017-05-13	Atlanta Dream	L 74-81	1493.99	1482.77	60.86%	39.14%	-20.32	0-1
2017-05-20	@ Indiana Fever	L 79-81	1473.67	1473.39	40.73%	59.27%	-7.27	0-2
2017-05-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 78-80	1466.40	1676.56	16.98%	83.02%	-3.03	0-3
2017-05-26	Minnesota Lynx	L 68-82	1463.37	1679.59	29.57%	70.43%	-13.97	0-4
2017-05-28	@ Chicago Sky	W 97-79	1449.40	1443.83	41.46%	58.54%	+31.35	1-4
2017-05-31	@ Washington Mystics	L 76-78	1480.75	1508.34	36.92%	63.08%	-6.59	1-5
2017-06-03	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 85-77	1474.16	1299.16	65.26%	34.74%	+12.40	2-5
2017-06-10	Atlanta Dream	W 104-71	1486.56	1488.66	59.02%	40.98%	+29.71	3-5
2017-06-14	New York Liberty	W 96-76	1516.27	1530.23	57.36%	42.64%	+24.06	4-5
2017-06-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 98-93	1540.33	1753.33	16.76%	83.24%	+23.49	5-5
2017-06-23	@ New York Liberty	W 94-89	1563.82	1523.57	46.38%	53.62%	+15.14	6-5
2017-06-25	@ Dallas Wings	L 82-96	1578.96	1434.96	61.11%	38.89%	-28.86	6-6
2017-06-27	Los Angeles Sparks	L 79-87	1550.10	1662.63	43.27%	56.73%	-15.45	6-7
2017-06-29	Seattle Storm	W 96-89	1534.65	1473.29	67.48%	32.52%	+10.86	7-7
2017-07-01	@ Indiana Fever	W 91-85	1545.51	1474.95	50.73%	49.27%	+15.23	8-7
2017-07-05	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 89-56	1560.74	1253.18	80.12%	19.88%	+14.42	9-7
2017-07-08	Washington Mystics	W 96-92	1575.16	1556.89	61.82%	38.18%	+9.63	10-7
2017-07-12	@ Seattle Storm	W 83-79	1584.79	1502.97	52.35%	47.65%	+12.03	11-7
2017-07-13	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 77-87	1596.82	1652.90	33.19%	66.81%	-13.24	11-8
2017-07-16	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 89-75	1583.58	1256.57	90.55%	9.45%	+4.46	12-8
2017-07-19	@ New York Liberty	L 80-96	1588.04	1494.54	54.02%	45.98%	-27.27	12-9
2017-07-25	Chicago Sky	W 93-72	1560.77	1455.40	72.78%	27.22%	+15.74	13-9
2017-07-30	Indiana Fever	W 89-73	1576.51	1357.53	83.72%	16.28%	+8.22	14-9
2017-08-04	Phoenix Mercury	W 93-92	1584.73	1525.61	67.20%	32.80%	+4.14	15-9
2017-08-08	Seattle Storm	W 84-71	1588.87	1434.27	78.02%	21.98%	+10.00	16-9
2017-08-12	Dallas Wings	W 96-88	1598.87	1439.29	78.51%	21.49%	+7.67	17-9
2017-08-15	@ Atlanta Dream	W 96-75	1606.54	1384.61	71.11%	28.89%	+16.71	18-9
2017-08-18	New York Liberty	L 70-82	1623.25	1545.20	69.56%	30.44%	-30.41	18-10
2017-08-20	Phoenix Mercury	W 94-66	1592.84	1516.26	69.38%	30.62%	+20.45	19-10
2017-08-23	Dallas Wings	W 93-87	1613.29	1439.75	79.83%	20.17%	+6.24	20-10
2017-08-25	Chicago Sky	L 83-96	1619.53	1405.79	83.30%	16.70%	-37.91	20-11
2017-08-29	@ Washington Mystics	W 86-76	1581.62	1486.97	54.19%	45.81%	+18.28	21-11
2017-09-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-86	1599.90	1484.69	57.11%	42.89%	-32.23	21-12
2017-09-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 70-81	1567.67	1741.25	20.16%	79.84%	-8.44	21-13
2017-05-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 68-58	1398.06	1526.63	24.66%	75.34%	+30.07	1-0
2017-05-20	Minnesota Lynx	L 87-89	1428.13	1671.85	26.39%	73.61%	-4.71	1-1
2017-05-25	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 94-82	1423.42	1328.03	54.29%	45.71%	+19.98	2-1
2017-05-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 65-107	1443.40	1519.81	30.64%	69.36%	-25.06	2-2
2017-05-30	Indiana Fever	W 89-62	1418.34	1472.94	51.57%	48.43%	+31.76	3-2
2017-06-02	@ New York Liberty	L 89-93	1450.10	1456.37	39.82%	60.18%	-10.05	3-3
2017-06-03	@ Indiana Fever	L 85-91	1440.05	1441.18	40.53%	59.47%	-12.53	3-4
2017-06-06	Washington Mystics	L 89-101	1427.52	1527.83	45.00%	55.00%	-19.67	3-5
2017-06-09	Los Angeles Sparks	W 96-90	1407.85	1630.03	28.86%	71.14%	+21.99	4-5
2017-06-11	Minnesota Lynx	L 74-91	1429.84	1743.26	19.35%	80.65%	-10.07	4-6
2017-06-13	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 87-97	1419.77	1617.14	18.05%	81.95%	-7.21	4-7
2017-06-16	New York Liberty	L 93-102	1412.56	1506.17	45.96%	54.04%	-17.40	4-8
2017-06-18	@ Washington Mystics	W 87-83	1395.16	1541.88	22.77%	77.23%	+19.50	5-8
2017-06-21	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-78	1414.66	1256.05	78.41%	21.59%	+4.71	6-8
2017-06-23	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-69	1419.37	1251.33	64.35%	35.65%	+15.59	7-8
2017-06-25	Connecticut Sun	W 96-82	1434.96	1578.96	38.89%	61.11%	+28.86	8-8
2017-07-01	Seattle Storm	L 69-89	1463.82	1462.44	59.50%	40.50%	-33.59	8-9
2017-07-05	Atlanta Dream	W 94-84	1430.23	1449.04	56.68%	43.32%	+17.29	9-9
2017-07-09	@ Atlanta Dream	L 78-98	1447.52	1457.55	39.30%	60.70%	-22.18	9-10
2017-07-12	@ Chicago Sky	L 84-90	1425.34	1380.79	46.99%	53.01%	-14.52	9-11
2017-07-16	Chicago Sky	W 112-106	1410.82	1423.58	57.53%	42.47%	+13.13	10-11
2017-07-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 74-100	1423.95	1740.90	9.96%	90.04%	-6.42	10-12
2017-07-25	Indiana Fever	W 84-82	1417.53	1368.28	65.94%	34.06%	+6.08	11-12
2017-07-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 93-109	1423.61	1466.03	34.95%	65.05%	-17.64	11-13
2017-07-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-95	1405.97	1670.19	13.03%	86.97%	-7.54	11-14
2017-08-04	Seattle Storm	W 93-80	1398.43	1478.51	47.90%	52.10%	+23.71	12-14
2017-08-06	Los Angeles Sparks	W 85-79	1422.14	1686.83	24.11%	75.89%	+23.46	13-14
2017-08-10	Phoenix Mercury	L 100-101	1445.60	1510.98	50.01%	49.99%	-6.31	13-15
2017-08-12	@ Connecticut Sun	L 88-96	1439.29	1598.87	21.49%	78.51%	-7.67	13-16
2017-08-19	Atlanta Dream	W 90-86	1431.62	1367.90	67.78%	32.22%	+8.13	14-16
2017-08-23	@ Connecticut Sun	L 87-93	1439.75	1613.29	20.17%	79.83%	-6.24	14-17
2017-08-26	@ Washington Mystics	W 83-78	1433.51	1506.42	31.08%	68.92%	+19.45	15-17
2017-08-30	@ Chicago Sky	W 99-96	1452.96	1430.07	43.90%	56.10%	+12.27	16-17
2017-09-03	New York Liberty	L 81-82	1465.23	1640.42	34.72%	65.28%	-4.39	16-18
2017-05-14	@ Seattle Storm	L 82-87	1509.79	1505.62	41.27%	58.73%	-11.65	0-1
2017-05-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 62-85	1498.14	1496.57	40.91%	59.09%	-24.75	0-2
2017-05-20	Connecticut Sun	W 81-79	1473.39	1473.67	59.27%	40.73%	+7.26	1-2
2017-05-24	Los Angeles Sparks	W 93-90	1480.65	1627.37	38.52%	61.48%	+13.44	2-2
2017-05-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 70-94	1494.09	1542.13	34.22%	65.78%	-21.15	2-3
2017-05-30	@ Dallas Wings	L 62-89	1472.94	1418.34	48.43%	51.57%	-31.76	2-4
2017-06-03	Dallas Wings	W 91-85	1441.18	1440.05	59.47%	40.53%	+12.52	3-4
2017-06-07	Phoenix Mercury	L 90-98	1453.70	1532.10	48.14%	51.86%	-17.18	3-5
2017-06-09	Seattle Storm	W 83-80	1436.52	1548.52	43.34%	56.66%	+12.38	4-5
2017-06-11	@ Washington Mystics	L 70-88	1448.90	1525.48	30.62%	69.38%	-16.39	4-6
2017-06-15	Atlanta Dream	W 85-74	1432.51	1478.00	52.87%	47.13%	+19.72	5-6
2017-06-18	@ Chicago Sky	W 91-79	1452.23	1394.44	48.89%	51.11%	+22.34	6-6
2017-06-24	Los Angeles Sparks	L 73-84	1474.57	1648.01	34.95%	65.05%	-14.62	6-7
2017-06-28	@ Chicago Sky	W 82-75	1459.95	1359.20	55.06%	44.94%	+15.00	7-7
2017-07-01	Connecticut Sun	L 85-91	1474.95	1545.51	49.27%	50.73%	-15.23	7-8
2017-07-07	@ Atlanta Dream	L 68-89	1459.72	1431.75	44.62%	55.38%	-25.80	7-9
2017-07-12	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 72-79	1433.92	1228.99	82.59%	17.41%	-27.58	7-10
2017-07-14	Washington Mystics	L 58-72	1406.34	1547.25	39.31%	60.69%	-18.56	7-11
2017-07-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 62-80	1387.78	1666.14	12.14%	87.86%	-6.50	7-12
2017-07-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 84-77	1381.28	1546.80	20.92%	79.08%	+26.40	8-12
2017-07-20	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 61-85	1407.68	1244.28	63.73%	36.27%	-39.40	8-13
2017-07-25	@ Dallas Wings	L 82-84	1368.28	1417.53	34.06%	65.94%	-6.08	8-14
2017-07-28	New York Liberty	L 84-85	1362.20	1519.82	37.04%	62.96%	-4.67	8-15
2017-07-30	@ Connecticut Sun	L 73-89	1357.53	1576.51	16.28%	83.72%	-8.22	8-16
2017-08-04	Chicago Sky	L 70-81	1349.31	1412.74	50.29%	49.71%	-21.05	8-17
2017-08-06	Minnesota Lynx	W 84-82	1328.26	1768.76	10.35%	89.65%	+16.00	9-17
2017-08-08	@ New York Liberty	L 76-81	1344.26	1493.12	22.55%	77.45%	-6.37	9-18
2017-08-12	@ Washington Mystics	L 80-100	1337.89	1557.81	16.21%	83.79%	-9.14	9-19
2017-08-18	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 52-111	1328.75	1727.88	6.45%	93.55%	-6.25	9-20
2017-08-20	Washington Mystics	L 82-87	1322.50	1507.08	33.50%	66.50%	-9.46	9-21
2017-08-23	New York Liberty	L 50-71	1313.04	1599.49	21.89%	78.11%	-12.66	9-22
2017-08-26	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-79	1300.38	1378.85	30.39%	69.61%	-8.58	9-23
2017-08-30	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-80	1291.80	1712.52	11.46%	88.54%	-4.79	9-24
2017-09-02	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 71-75	1287.01	1322.02	54.37%	45.63%	-13.72	9-25
2017-05-13	Seattle Storm	W 78-68	1605.93	1517.26	70.83%	29.17%	+11.64	1-0
2017-05-19	Washington Mystics	W 99-89	1617.57	1488.23	75.43%	24.57%	+9.80	2-0
2017-05-24	@ Indiana Fever	L 90-93	1627.37	1480.65	61.48%	38.52%	-13.44	2-1
2017-05-27	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-75	1613.93	1506.95	55.95%	44.05%	-9.98	2-2
2017-05-30	@ New York Liberty	W 90-75	1603.95	1476.50	58.82%	41.18%	+20.12	3-2
2017-06-06	Chicago Sky	W 79-70	1624.07	1398.04	84.27%	15.73%	+5.96	4-2
2017-06-09	@ Dallas Wings	L 90-96	1630.03	1407.85	71.14%	28.86%	-21.99	4-3
2017-06-10	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 89-87	1608.04	1549.29	49.03%	50.97%	+9.10	5-3
2017-06-13	Dallas Wings	W 97-87	1617.14	1419.77	81.95%	18.05%	+7.20	6-3
2017-06-15	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 80-75	1624.34	1266.28	91.97%	8.03%	+2.27	7-3
2017-06-18	Phoenix Mercury	W 90-59	1626.61	1548.66	69.54%	30.46%	+21.40	8-3
2017-06-24	@ Indiana Fever	W 84-73	1648.01	1474.57	65.05%	34.95%	+14.62	9-3
2017-06-27	@ Connecticut Sun	W 87-79	1662.63	1550.10	56.73%	43.27%	+15.45	10-3
2017-06-30	@ Atlanta Dream	W 85-76	1678.08	1440.48	72.93%	27.07%	+10.25	11-3
2017-07-02	Washington Mystics	W 76-69	1688.33	1582.78	72.80%	27.20%	+9.08	12-3
2017-07-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 77-88	1697.41	1751.42	33.45%	66.55%	-14.00	12-4
2017-07-08	@ Seattle Storm	L 69-81	1683.41	1472.46	69.79%	30.21%	-30.51	12-5
2017-07-13	Connecticut Sun	W 87-77	1652.90	1596.82	66.81%	33.19%	+13.24	13-5
2017-07-17	Indiana Fever	W 80-62	1666.14	1387.78	87.86%	12.14%	+6.50	14-5
2017-07-20	Chicago Sky	L 80-82	1672.64	1440.28	84.74%	15.26%	-15.12	14-6
2017-07-25	Seattle Storm	W 68-60	1657.52	1472.87	80.84%	19.16%	+6.84	15-6
2017-07-28	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 85-73	1664.36	1274.02	86.65%	13.35%	+5.83	16-6
2017-07-30	Dallas Wings	W 95-74	1670.19	1405.97	86.97%	13.03%	+7.54	17-6
2017-08-04	New York Liberty	W 87-74	1677.73	1502.21	80.02%	19.98%	+9.10	18-6
2017-08-06	@ Dallas Wings	L 79-85	1686.83	1422.14	75.89%	24.11%	-23.46	18-7
2017-08-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 70-64	1663.37	1759.93	28.24%	71.76%	+22.18	19-7
2017-08-13	@ New York Liberty	L 69-83	1685.55	1514.64	64.72%	35.28%	-30.56	19-8
2017-08-16	@ Washington Mystics	W 95-62	1654.99	1566.96	53.24%	46.76%	+33.90	20-8
2017-08-18	@ Chicago Sky	W 115-106	1688.89	1460.39	71.88%	28.12%	+10.64	21-8
2017-08-22	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 75-55	1699.53	1338.41	92.10%	7.90%	+4.46	22-8
2017-08-24	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 82-67	1703.99	1483.21	70.97%	29.03%	+14.19	23-8
2017-08-27	Minnesota Lynx	W 78-67	1718.18	1730.25	57.63%	42.37%	+17.74	24-8
2017-09-01	Atlanta Dream	W 81-56	1735.92	1387.43	91.55%	8.45%	+5.33	25-8
2017-09-03	Connecticut Sun	W 81-70	1741.25	1567.67	79.84%	20.16%	+8.44	26-8
2017-05-14	Chicago Sky	W 70-61	1642.51	1500.54	76.75%	23.25%	+8.80	1-0
2017-05-18	@ New York Liberty	W 90-71	1651.31	1495.84	62.67%	37.33%	+20.54	2-0
2017-05-20	@ Dallas Wings	W 89-87	1671.85	1428.13	73.61%	26.39%	+4.71	3-0
2017-05-23	Connecticut Sun	W 80-78	1676.56	1466.40	83.02%	16.98%	+3.03	4-0
2017-05-26	@ Connecticut Sun	W 82-68	1679.59	1463.37	70.43%	29.57%	+13.96	5-0
2017-05-28	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 80-66	1693.55	1308.05	93.06%	6.94%	+3.28	6-0
2017-06-03	@ Seattle Storm	W 100-77	1696.83	1563.29	59.67%	40.33%	+24.41	7-0
2017-06-09	@ Washington Mystics	W 98-73	1721.24	1547.50	65.09%	34.91%	+22.02	8-0
2017-06-11	@ Dallas Wings	W 91-74	1743.26	1429.84	80.65%	19.35%	+10.07	9-0
2017-06-17	Connecticut Sun	L 93-98	1753.33	1540.33	83.24%	16.76%	-23.49	9-1
2017-06-23	Washington Mystics	W 93-76	1729.84	1522.38	82.80%	17.20%	+8.96	10-1
2017-06-25	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 87-78	1738.80	1235.74	96.35%	3.65%	+1.38	11-1
2017-06-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 91-83	1740.18	1539.68	68.51%	31.49%	+11.24	12-1
2017-07-06	Los Angeles Sparks	W 88-77	1751.42	1697.41	66.55%	33.45%	+14.00	13-1
2017-07-08	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-100	1765.42	1325.38	89.62%	10.38%	-55.41	13-2
2017-07-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 88-71	1710.01	1577.68	59.50%	40.50%	+21.07	14-2
2017-07-16	Phoenix Mercury	W 81-66	1731.08	1556.61	79.92%	20.08%	+9.82	15-2
2017-07-19	Dallas Wings	W 100-74	1740.90	1423.95	90.04%	9.96%	+6.41	16-2
2017-07-25	New York Liberty	W 76-75	1747.31	1521.81	84.22%	15.78%	+1.99	17-2
2017-07-28	@ Atlanta Dream	W 90-80	1749.30	1476.95	76.69%	23.31%	+9.30	18-2
2017-07-30	Seattle Storm	W 93-82	1758.60	1483.68	87.65%	12.35%	+5.17	19-2
2017-08-03	Atlanta Dream	W 69-54	1763.77	1451.51	89.79%	10.21%	+4.99	20-2
2017-08-06	@ Indiana Fever	L 82-84	1768.76	1328.26	89.65%	10.35%	-16.00	20-3
2017-08-08	@ Atlanta Dream	W 81-72	1752.76	1434.54	81.07%	18.93%	+7.17	21-3
2017-08-11	Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-70	1759.93	1663.37	71.76%	28.24%	-22.19	21-4
2017-08-16	@ Seattle Storm	L 61-62	1737.74	1451.29	78.11%	21.89%	-9.86	21-5
2017-08-18	Indiana Fever	W 111-52	1727.88	1328.75	93.55%	6.45%	+6.26	22-5
2017-08-20	@ New York Liberty	L 61-70	1734.14	1575.61	63.08%	36.92%	-23.89	22-6
2017-08-22	Phoenix Mercury	W 105-69	1710.25	1495.81	83.36%	16.64%	+12.60	23-6
2017-08-25	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 89-70	1722.85	1333.95	86.55%	13.45%	+7.40	24-6
2017-08-27	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-78	1730.25	1718.18	42.37%	57.63%	-17.73	24-7
2017-08-30	@ Indiana Fever	W 80-69	1712.52	1291.80	88.54%	11.46%	+4.79	25-7
2017-09-01	Chicago Sky	W 110-87	1717.31	1417.81	89.10%	10.90%	+6.60	26-7
2017-09-03	Washington Mystics	W 86-72	1723.91	1479.12	85.64%	14.36%	+6.78	27-7
2017-05-13	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 73-64	1486.41	1360.10	75.10%	24.90%	+9.43	1-0
2017-05-18	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-90	1495.84	1651.31	37.33%	62.67%	-20.54	1-1
2017-05-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 69-67	1475.30	1531.75	33.14%	66.86%	+11.93	2-1
2017-05-26	@ Seattle Storm	L 81-87	1487.23	1531.40	34.72%	65.28%	-10.73	2-2
2017-05-30	Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-90	1476.50	1603.95	41.18%	58.82%	-20.13	2-3
2017-06-02	Dallas Wings	W 93-89	1456.37	1450.10	60.18%	39.82%	+10.05	3-3
2017-06-04	Phoenix Mercury	W 88-72	1466.42	1559.33	46.06%	53.94%	+27.23	4-3
2017-06-07	Atlanta Dream	W 76-61	1493.65	1509.64	57.07%	42.93%	+20.98	5-3
2017-06-11	Seattle Storm	W 94-86	1514.63	1536.14	56.30%	43.70%	+15.60	6-3
2017-06-14	@ Connecticut Sun	L 76-96	1530.23	1516.27	42.64%	57.36%	-24.06	6-4
2017-06-16	@ Dallas Wings	W 102-93	1506.17	1412.56	54.04%	45.96%	+17.40	7-4
2017-06-23	Connecticut Sun	L 89-94	1523.57	1563.82	53.62%	46.38%	-15.13	7-5
2017-06-29	@ Washington Mystics	L 54-67	1508.44	1567.87	32.76%	67.24%	-14.91	7-6
2017-07-02	@ Atlanta Dream	L 72-81	1493.53	1430.22	49.69%	50.31%	-18.81	7-7
2017-07-06	@ Seattle Storm	W 79-70	1474.72	1496.02	37.76%	62.24%	+23.56	8-7
2017-07-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 69-81	1498.28	1555.02	33.10%	66.90%	-14.47	8-8
2017-07-14	Chicago Sky	L 68-78	1483.81	1395.32	70.81%	29.19%	-28.26	8-9
2017-07-16	Washington Mystics	W 85-55	1455.55	1565.81	43.59%	56.41%	+38.99	9-9
2017-07-19	Connecticut Sun	W 96-80	1494.54	1588.04	45.98%	54.02%	+27.27	10-9
2017-07-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 75-76	1521.81	1747.31	15.78%	84.22%	-1.99	10-10
2017-07-28	@ Indiana Fever	W 85-84	1519.82	1362.20	62.96%	37.04%	+4.68	11-10
2017-07-30	@ Chicago Sky	W 86-82	1524.50	1424.10	55.01%	44.99%	+11.35	12-10
2017-08-01	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 81-93	1535.85	1260.91	76.96%	23.04%	-33.64	12-11
2017-08-04	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-87	1502.21	1677.73	19.98%	80.02%	-9.09	12-12
2017-08-08	Indiana Fever	W 81-76	1493.12	1344.26	77.45%	22.55%	+6.36	13-12
2017-08-11	@ Atlanta Dream	W 83-77	1499.48	1427.38	50.95%	49.05%	+15.16	14-12
2017-08-13	Los Angeles Sparks	W 83-69	1514.64	1685.55	35.28%	64.72%	+30.56	15-12
2017-08-18	@ Connecticut Sun	W 82-70	1545.20	1623.25	30.44%	69.56%	+30.41	16-12
2017-08-20	Minnesota Lynx	W 70-61	1575.61	1734.14	36.92%	63.08%	+23.88	17-12
2017-08-23	@ Indiana Fever	W 71-50	1599.49	1313.04	78.11%	21.89%	+12.66	18-12
2017-08-25	Washington Mystics	W 74-66	1612.15	1516.53	71.65%	28.35%	+10.12	19-12
2017-08-27	Chicago Sky	W 92-62	1622.27	1443.69	80.30%	19.70%	+13.62	20-12
2017-09-01	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-69	1635.89	1326.55	89.64%	10.36%	+4.53	21-12
2017-09-03	@ Dallas Wings	W 82-81	1640.42	1465.23	65.28%	34.72%	+4.38	22-12
2017-05-14	Dallas Wings	L 58-68	1526.63	1398.06	75.34%	24.66%	-30.06	0-1
2017-05-17	Indiana Fever	W 85-62	1496.57	1498.14	59.09%	40.91%	+24.75	1-1
2017-05-19	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 78-72	1521.32	1338.46	66.28%	33.72%	+10.43	2-1
2017-05-23	New York Liberty	L 67-69	1531.75	1475.30	66.86%	33.14%	-11.94	2-2
2017-05-27	Dallas Wings	W 107-65	1519.81	1443.40	69.36%	30.64%	+25.07	3-2
2017-06-01	@ Chicago Sky	W 99-91	1544.88	1412.49	59.51%	40.49%	+14.45	4-2
2017-06-04	@ New York Liberty	L 72-88	1559.33	1466.42	53.94%	46.06%	-27.23	4-3
2017-06-07	@ Indiana Fever	W 98-90	1532.10	1453.70	51.86%	48.14%	+17.19	5-3
2017-06-10	Los Angeles Sparks	L 87-89	1549.29	1608.04	50.97%	49.03%	-9.10	5-4
2017-06-16	Chicago Sky	W 86-78	1540.19	1402.92	76.26%	23.74%	+8.47	6-4
2017-06-18	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 59-90	1548.66	1626.61	30.46%	69.54%	-21.40	6-5
2017-06-23	@ Seattle Storm	W 85-82	1527.26	1509.45	43.18%	56.82%	+12.42	7-5
2017-06-30	Minnesota Lynx	L 83-91	1539.68	1740.18	31.49%	68.51%	-11.24	7-6
2017-07-05	Washington Mystics	W 88-80	1528.44	1573.70	52.91%	47.09%	+16.81	8-6
2017-07-07	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 92-77	1545.25	1238.76	80.02%	19.98%	+9.77	9-6
2017-07-09	New York Liberty	W 81-69	1555.02	1498.28	66.90%	33.10%	+14.47	10-6
2017-07-12	Atlanta Dream	W 89-84	1569.49	1479.73	70.96%	29.04%	+8.19	11-6
2017-07-14	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-88	1577.68	1710.01	40.50%	59.50%	-21.07	11-7
2017-07-16	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 66-81	1556.61	1731.08	20.08%	79.92%	-9.81	11-8
2017-07-19	Indiana Fever	L 77-84	1546.80	1381.28	79.08%	20.92%	-26.41	11-9
2017-07-25	@ Atlanta Dream	L 91-99	1520.39	1459.33	49.36%	50.64%	-17.62	11-10
2017-07-28	@ Chicago Sky	W 86-80	1502.77	1439.66	49.66%	50.34%	+15.56	12-10
2017-07-30	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-64	1518.33	1268.18	86.02%	13.98%	+7.28	13-10
2017-08-04	@ Connecticut Sun	L 92-93	1525.61	1584.73	32.80%	67.20%	-4.14	13-11
2017-08-06	@ Washington Mystics	L 80-85	1521.47	1547.33	37.15%	62.85%	-10.49	13-12
2017-08-10	@ Dallas Wings	W 101-100	1510.98	1445.60	49.99%	50.01%	+6.32	14-12
2017-08-12	Seattle Storm	L 89-98	1517.30	1424.27	71.35%	28.65%	-27.02	14-13
2017-08-18	@ Washington Mystics	W 89-79	1490.28	1533.06	34.91%	65.09%	+25.98	15-13
2017-08-20	@ Connecticut Sun	L 66-94	1516.26	1592.84	30.62%	69.38%	-20.45	15-14
2017-08-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 69-105	1495.81	1710.25	16.64%	83.36%	-12.60	15-15
2017-08-24	Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-82	1483.21	1703.99	29.03%	70.97%	-14.19	15-16
2017-08-27	@ Seattle Storm	W 75-71	1469.02	1489.25	37.91%	62.09%	+15.67	16-16
2017-09-01	Connecticut Sun	W 86-66	1484.69	1599.90	42.89%	57.11%	+32.24	17-16
2017-09-03	Atlanta Dream	W 84-70	1516.93	1382.09	76.01%	23.99%	+11.32	18-16
2017-05-13	@ New York Liberty	L 64-73	1360.10	1486.41	24.90%	75.10%	-9.42	0-1
2017-05-14	@ Washington Mystics	L 74-89	1350.68	1476.01	25.00%	75.00%	-12.22	0-2
2017-05-19	Phoenix Mercury	L 72-78	1338.46	1521.32	33.72%	66.28%	-10.43	0-3
2017-05-25	Dallas Wings	L 82-94	1328.03	1423.42	45.71%	54.29%	-19.98	0-4
2017-05-28	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 66-80	1308.05	1693.55	6.94%	93.06%	-3.28	0-5
2017-05-31	@ Atlanta Dream	L 70-77	1304.77	1516.93	16.82%	83.18%	-5.61	0-6
2017-06-03	Connecticut Sun	L 77-85	1299.16	1474.16	34.74%	65.26%	-12.40	0-7
2017-06-06	Seattle Storm	L 76-85	1286.76	1538.88	25.46%	74.54%	-9.64	0-8
2017-06-10	Chicago Sky	L 81-85	1277.12	1392.08	42.93%	57.07%	-10.84	0-9
2017-06-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-80	1266.28	1624.34	8.03%	91.97%	-2.26	0-10
2017-06-18	@ Seattle Storm	L 57-75	1264.02	1501.48	14.88%	85.12%	-7.97	0-11
2017-06-21	@ Dallas Wings	L 78-81	1256.05	1414.66	21.59%	78.41%	-4.72	0-12
2017-06-23	Dallas Wings	L 69-81	1251.33	1419.37	35.65%	64.35%	-15.59	0-13
2017-06-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 78-87	1235.74	1738.80	3.65%	96.35%	-1.38	0-14
2017-06-30	Chicago Sky	W 89-82	1234.36	1344.20	43.65%	56.35%	+18.82	1-14
2017-07-05	Connecticut Sun	L 56-89	1253.18	1560.74	19.88%	80.12%	-14.42	1-15
2017-07-07	Phoenix Mercury	L 77-92	1238.76	1545.25	19.98%	80.02%	-9.77	1-16
2017-07-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 79-72	1228.99	1433.92	17.41%	82.59%	+27.58	2-16
2017-07-16	@ Connecticut Sun	L 75-89	1256.57	1583.58	9.45%	90.55%	-4.47	2-17
2017-07-18	@ Atlanta Dream	L 75-88	1252.10	1459.79	17.19%	82.81%	-7.82	2-18
2017-07-20	Indiana Fever	W 85-61	1244.28	1407.68	36.27%	63.73%	+39.40	3-18
2017-07-25	Washington Mystics	L 76-85	1283.68	1535.10	25.53%	74.47%	-9.66	3-19
2017-07-28	Los Angeles Sparks	L 73-85	1274.02	1664.36	13.35%	86.65%	-5.84	3-20
2017-07-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 64-81	1268.18	1518.33	13.98%	86.02%	-7.27	3-21
2017-08-01	New York Liberty	W 93-81	1260.91	1535.85	23.04%	76.96%	+33.64	4-21
2017-08-04	Washington Mystics	W 76-74	1294.55	1560.90	23.93%	76.07%	+13.57	5-21
2017-08-05	Seattle Storm	W 87-80	1308.12	1454.80	38.52%	61.48%	+20.53	6-21
2017-08-10	@ Chicago Sky	L 74-94	1328.65	1445.78	25.90%	74.10%	-14.62	6-22
2017-08-12	Atlanta Dream	W 84-68	1314.03	1412.21	45.31%	54.69%	+27.61	7-22
2017-08-18	@ Seattle Storm	L 78-79	1341.64	1461.14	25.64%	74.36%	-3.23	7-23
2017-08-22	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 55-75	1338.41	1699.53	7.90%	92.10%	-4.46	7-24
2017-08-25	Minnesota Lynx	L 70-89	1333.95	1722.85	13.45%	86.55%	-7.40	7-25
2017-09-01	@ New York Liberty	L 69-81	1326.55	1635.89	10.36%	89.64%	-4.53	7-26
2017-09-02	@ Indiana Fever	W 75-71	1322.02	1287.01	45.63%	54.37%	+13.72	8-26
2017-05-13	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-78	1517.26	1605.93	29.17%	70.83%	-11.64	0-1
2017-05-14	Indiana Fever	W 87-82	1505.62	1509.79	58.73%	41.27%	+11.64	1-1
2017-05-21	Washington Mystics	W 81-71	1517.26	1478.43	64.58%	35.42%	+14.14	2-1
2017-05-26	New York Liberty	W 87-81	1531.40	1487.23	65.28%	34.72%	+10.73	3-1
2017-05-28	Indiana Fever	W 94-70	1542.13	1494.09	65.78%	34.22%	+21.16	4-1
2017-06-03	Minnesota Lynx	L 77-100	1563.29	1696.83	40.33%	59.67%	-24.41	4-2
2017-06-06	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 85-76	1538.88	1286.76	74.54%	25.46%	+9.64	5-2
2017-06-09	@ Indiana Fever	L 80-83	1548.52	1436.52	56.66%	43.34%	-12.38	5-3
2017-06-11	@ New York Liberty	L 86-94	1536.14	1514.63	43.70%	56.30%	-15.60	5-4
2017-06-13	Atlanta Dream	L 86-91	1520.54	1458.95	67.51%	32.49%	-19.06	5-5
2017-06-18	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 75-57	1501.48	1264.02	85.12%	14.88%	+7.97	6-5
2017-06-23	Phoenix Mercury	L 82-85	1509.45	1527.26	56.82%	43.18%	-12.42	6-6
2017-06-27	@ Washington Mystics	L 70-100	1497.03	1544.13	34.34%	65.66%	-23.74	6-7
2017-06-29	@ Connecticut Sun	L 89-96	1473.29	1534.65	32.52%	67.48%	-10.85	6-8
2017-07-01	@ Dallas Wings	W 89-69	1462.44	1463.82	40.50%	59.50%	+33.58	7-8
2017-07-06	New York Liberty	L 70-79	1496.02	1474.72	62.24%	37.76%	-23.56	7-9
2017-07-08	Los Angeles Sparks	W 81-69	1472.46	1683.41	30.21%	69.79%	+30.51	8-9
2017-07-12	Connecticut Sun	L 79-83	1502.97	1584.79	47.65%	52.35%	-12.03	8-10
2017-07-15	Atlanta Dream	W 90-84	1490.94	1471.54	61.98%	38.02%	+11.76	9-10
2017-07-18	Chicago Sky	L 83-94	1502.70	1410.45	71.26%	28.74%	-29.83	9-11
2017-07-25	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 60-68	1472.87	1657.52	19.16%	80.84%	-6.84	9-12
2017-07-28	Dallas Wings	W 109-93	1466.03	1423.61	65.05%	34.95%	+17.65	10-12
2017-07-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 82-93	1483.68	1758.60	12.35%	87.65%	-5.17	10-13
2017-08-04	@ Dallas Wings	L 80-93	1478.51	1398.43	52.10%	47.90%	-23.71	10-14
2017-08-05	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 80-87	1454.80	1308.12	61.48%	38.52%	-20.53	10-15
2017-08-08	@ Connecticut Sun	L 71-84	1434.27	1588.87	21.98%	78.02%	-10.00	10-16
2017-08-12	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 98-89	1424.27	1517.30	28.65%	71.35%	+27.02	11-16
2017-08-16	Minnesota Lynx	W 62-61	1451.29	1737.74	21.89%	78.11%	+9.85	12-16
2017-08-18	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 79-78	1461.14	1341.64	74.36%	25.64%	+3.24	13-16
2017-08-20	@ Chicago Sky	W 103-66	1464.38	1449.75	42.73%	57.27%	+43.96	14-16
2017-08-23	@ Atlanta Dream	L 83-89	1508.34	1359.76	61.74%	38.26%	-19.09	14-17
2017-08-27	Phoenix Mercury	L 71-75	1489.25	1469.02	62.09%	37.91%	-15.67	14-18
2017-09-01	@ Washington Mystics	L 106-110	1473.58	1468.68	41.37%	58.63%	-10.44	14-19
2017-09-03	@ Chicago Sky	W 85-80	1463.14	1411.21	48.05%	51.95%	+14.66	15-19
2017-05-14	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 89-74	1476.01	1350.68	75.00%	25.00%	+12.22	1-0
2017-05-19	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 89-99	1488.23	1617.57	24.57%	75.43%	-9.80	1-1
2017-05-21	@ Seattle Storm	L 71-81	1478.43	1517.26	35.42%	64.58%	-14.14	1-2
2017-05-24	@ Chicago Sky	W 82-67	1464.29	1487.88	37.46%	62.54%	+30.57	2-2
2017-05-26	Chicago Sky	W 88-79	1494.86	1457.31	64.41%	35.59%	+13.48	3-2
2017-05-31	Connecticut Sun	W 78-76	1508.34	1480.75	63.08%	36.92%	+6.58	4-2
2017-06-04	Atlanta Dream	W 78-72	1514.92	1522.55	58.25%	41.75%	+12.91	5-2
2017-06-06	@ Dallas Wings	W 101-89	1527.83	1427.52	55.00%	45.00%	+19.67	6-2
2017-06-09	Minnesota Lynx	L 73-98	1547.50	1721.24	34.91%	65.09%	-22.02	6-3
2017-06-11	Indiana Fever	W 88-70	1525.48	1448.90	69.38%	30.62%	+16.40	7-3
2017-06-18	Dallas Wings	L 83-87	1541.88	1395.16	77.23%	22.77%	-19.50	7-4
2017-06-23	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-93	1522.38	1729.84	17.20%	82.80%	-8.95	7-5
2017-06-25	@ Chicago Sky	W 97-63	1513.43	1389.90	58.28%	41.72%	+30.70	8-5
2017-06-27	Seattle Storm	W 100-70	1544.13	1497.03	65.66%	34.34%	+23.74	9-5
2017-06-29	New York Liberty	W 67-54	1567.87	1508.44	67.24%	32.76%	+14.91	10-5
2017-07-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 69-76	1582.78	1688.33	27.20%	72.80%	-9.08	10-6
2017-07-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 80-88	1573.70	1528.44	47.09%	52.91%	-16.81	10-7
2017-07-08	@ Connecticut Sun	L 92-96	1556.89	1575.16	38.18%	61.82%	-9.64	10-8
2017-07-14	@ Indiana Fever	W 72-58	1547.25	1406.34	60.69%	39.31%	+18.56	11-8
2017-07-16	@ New York Liberty	L 55-85	1565.81	1455.55	56.41%	43.59%	-38.99	11-9
2017-07-19	Atlanta Dream	W 100-96	1526.82	1467.61	67.21%	32.79%	+8.28	12-9
2017-07-25	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 85-76	1535.10	1283.68	74.47%	25.53%	+9.67	13-9
2017-07-30	@ Atlanta Dream	W 77-70	1544.77	1467.65	51.67%	48.33%	+16.13	14-9
2017-08-04	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 74-76	1560.90	1294.55	76.07%	23.93%	-13.57	14-10
2017-08-06	Phoenix Mercury	W 85-80	1547.33	1521.47	62.85%	37.15%	+10.48	15-10
2017-08-12	Indiana Fever	W 100-80	1557.81	1337.89	83.79%	16.21%	+9.15	16-10
2017-08-16	Los Angeles Sparks	L 62-95	1566.96	1654.99	46.76%	53.24%	-33.90	16-11
2017-08-18	Phoenix Mercury	L 79-89	1533.06	1490.28	65.09%	34.91%	-25.98	16-12
2017-08-20	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-82	1507.08	1322.50	66.50%	33.50%	+9.45	17-12
2017-08-25	@ New York Liberty	L 66-74	1516.53	1612.15	28.35%	71.65%	-10.11	17-13
2017-08-26	Dallas Wings	L 78-83	1506.42	1433.51	68.92%	31.08%	-19.45	17-14
2017-08-29	Connecticut Sun	L 76-86	1486.97	1581.62	45.81%	54.19%	-18.29	17-15
2017-09-01	Seattle Storm	W 110-106	1468.68	1473.58	58.63%	41.37%	+10.44	18-15
2017-09-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 72-86	1479.12	1723.91	14.36%	85.64%	-6.77	18-16

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2017-09-10	Phoenix Mercury	L 83-88	1559.23	1541.79	61.71%	38.29%	-17.41	0-1
2017-09-06	@ Washington Mystics	L 76-86	1460.84	1472.35	39.10%	60.90%	-15.60	0-1
2017-09-12	Phoenix Mercury	W 79-66	1749.69	1559.20	81.36%	18.64%	+8.48	1-0
2017-09-14	Phoenix Mercury	W 86-72	1758.17	1550.72	82.79%	17.21%	+8.12	2-0
2017-09-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 89-87	1766.29	1542.59	71.32%	28.68%	+5.12	3-0
2017-09-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 85-84	1771.41	1758.09	42.55%	57.45%	+7.25	4-0
2017-09-26	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-70	1778.66	1750.84	44.60%	55.40%	-7.96	4-1
2017-09-29	Minnesota Lynx	W 75-64	1770.70	1758.80	60.96%	39.04%	+16.35	5-1
2017-10-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-80	1787.05	1742.46	65.33%	34.67%	-27.35	5-2
2017-10-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-85	1759.70	1769.80	39.29%	60.71%	-14.87	5-3
2017-09-12	Washington Mystics	W 101-81	1730.69	1524.90	82.66%	17.34%	+9.79	1-0
2017-09-14	Washington Mystics	W 93-83	1740.48	1515.11	84.21%	15.79%	+6.29	2-0
2017-09-17	@ Washington Mystics	W 81-70	1746.77	1508.81	72.97%	27.03%	+11.32	3-0
2017-09-24	Los Angeles Sparks	L 84-85	1758.09	1771.41	57.45%	42.55%	-7.25	3-1
2017-09-26	Los Angeles Sparks	W 70-68	1750.84	1778.66	55.40%	44.60%	+7.96	4-1
2017-09-29	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-75	1758.80	1770.70	39.04%	60.96%	-16.34	4-2
2017-10-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-69	1742.46	1787.05	34.67%	65.33%	+27.34	5-2
2017-10-04	Los Angeles Sparks	W 85-76	1769.80	1759.70	60.71%	39.29%	+14.88	6-2
2017-09-10	Washington Mystics	L 68-82	1644.80	1487.95	78.24%	21.76%	-36.94	0-1
2017-09-06	Seattle Storm	W 79-69	1528.25	1477.80	66.09%	33.91%	+13.54	1-0
2017-09-10	@ Connecticut Sun	W 88-83	1541.79	1559.23	38.29%	61.71%	+17.41	2-0
2017-09-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 66-79	1559.20	1749.69	18.64%	81.36%	-8.48	2-1
2017-09-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-86	1550.72	1758.17	17.21%	82.79%	-8.13	2-2
2017-09-17	Los Angeles Sparks	L 87-89	1542.59	1766.29	28.68%	71.32%	-5.11	2-3
2017-09-06	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 69-79	1477.80	1528.25	33.91%	66.09%	-13.53	0-1
2017-09-06	Dallas Wings	W 86-76	1472.35	1460.84	60.90%	39.10%	+15.60	1-0
2017-09-10	@ New York Liberty	W 82-68	1487.95	1644.80	21.76%	78.24%	+36.95	2-0
2017-09-12	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 81-101	1524.90	1730.69	17.34%	82.66%	-9.79	2-1
2017-09-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 83-93	1515.11	1740.48	15.79%	84.21%	-6.30	2-2
2017-09-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 70-81	1508.81	1746.77	27.03%	72.97%	-11.32	2-3

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2017-08-06	10.35%	@ Indiana Fever	1328.26	84	Minnesota Lynx	1768.76	82
2	2017-07-08	10.38%	@ Chicago Sky	1325.38	100	Minnesota Lynx	1765.42	76
3	2017-07-20	15.26%	Chicago Sky	1440.28	82	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1672.64	80
4	2017-08-25	16.70%	Chicago Sky	1405.79	96	@ Connecticut Sun	1619.53	83
5	2017-06-17	16.76%	Connecticut Sun	1540.33	98	@ Minnesota Lynx	1753.33	93
6	2017-07-12	17.41%	San Antonio Silver Stars	1228.99	79	@ Indiana Fever	1433.92	72
7	2017-07-19	20.92%	Indiana Fever	1381.28	84	@ Phoenix Mercury	1546.80	77
8	2017-09-10 *	21.76%	Washington Mystics	1487.95	82	@ New York Liberty	1644.80	68
9	2017-08-16	21.89%	@ Seattle Storm	1451.29	62	Minnesota Lynx	1737.74	61
10	2017-06-18	22.77%	Dallas Wings	1395.16	87	@ Washington Mystics	1541.88	83
11	2017-08-01	23.04%	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	1260.91	93	New York Liberty	1535.85	81
12	2017-08-04	23.93%	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	1294.55	76	Washington Mystics	1560.90	74
13	2017-08-06	24.11%	@ Dallas Wings	1422.14	85	Los Angeles Sparks	1686.83	79
14	2017-05-14	24.66%	Dallas Wings	1398.06	68	@ Phoenix Mercury	1526.63	58
15	2017-08-11	28.24%	Los Angeles Sparks	1663.37	70	@ Minnesota Lynx	1759.93	64
16	2017-08-12	28.65%	Seattle Storm	1424.27	98	@ Phoenix Mercury	1517.30	89
17	2017-07-18	28.74%	Chicago Sky	1410.45	94	@ Seattle Storm	1502.70	83
18	2017-06-09	28.86%	@ Dallas Wings	1407.85	96	Los Angeles Sparks	1630.03	90
19	2017-07-14	29.19%	Chicago Sky	1395.32	78	@ New York Liberty	1483.81	68
20	2017-06-23	29.46%	Chicago Sky	1372.10	82	@ Atlanta Dream	1458.28	78
21	2017-07-08	30.21%	@ Seattle Storm	1472.46	81	Los Angeles Sparks	1683.41	69
22	2017-08-18	30.44%	New York Liberty	1545.20	82	@ Connecticut Sun	1623.25	70
23	2017-08-26	31.08%	Dallas Wings	1433.51	83	@ Washington Mystics	1506.42	78
24	2017-06-13	32.49%	Atlanta Dream	1458.95	91	@ Seattle Storm	1520.54	86
25	2017-05-23	33.14%	New York Liberty	1475.30	69	@ Phoenix Mercury	1531.75	67

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2017-07-08	55.41	@ Chicago Sky	100	1325.38	10.38%	Minnesota Lynx	76	1765.42	89.62%
2	2017-08-20	43.96	Seattle Storm	103	1464.38	42.73%	@ Chicago Sky	66	1449.75	57.27%
3	2017-07-20	39.40	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	85	1244.28	36.27%	Indiana Fever	61	1407.68	63.73%
4	2017-07-16	38.99	@ New York Liberty	85	1455.55	43.59%	Washington Mystics	55	1565.81	56.41%
5	2017-08-25	37.91	Chicago Sky	96	1405.79	16.70%	@ Connecticut Sun	83	1619.53	83.30%
6	2017-09-10 *	36.95	Washington Mystics	82	1487.95	21.76%	@ New York Liberty	68	1644.80	78.24%
7	2017-08-16	33.90	Los Angeles Sparks	95	1654.99	53.24%	@ Washington Mystics	62	1566.96	46.76%
8	2017-08-01	33.64	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	93	1260.91	23.04%	New York Liberty	81	1535.85	76.96%
9	2017-07-01	33.59	Seattle Storm	89	1462.44	40.50%	@ Dallas Wings	69	1463.82	59.50%
10	2017-09-01	32.24	@ Phoenix Mercury	86	1484.69	42.89%	Connecticut Sun	66	1599.90	57.11%
11	2017-05-30	31.76	@ Dallas Wings	89	1418.34	51.57%	Indiana Fever	62	1472.94	48.43%
12	2017-05-28	31.35	Connecticut Sun	97	1449.40	41.46%	@ Chicago Sky	79	1443.83	58.54%
13	2017-06-25	30.70	Washington Mystics	97	1513.43	58.28%	@ Chicago Sky	63	1389.90	41.72%
14	2017-05-24	30.57	Washington Mystics	82	1464.29	37.46%	@ Chicago Sky	67	1487.88	62.54%
15	2017-08-13	30.56	@ New York Liberty	83	1514.64	35.28%	Los Angeles Sparks	69	1685.55	64.72%
16	2017-07-08	30.51	@ Seattle Storm	81	1472.46	30.21%	Los Angeles Sparks	69	1683.41	69.79%
17	2017-08-18	30.41	New York Liberty	82	1545.20	30.44%	@ Connecticut Sun	70	1623.25	69.56%
18	2017-05-14	30.07	Dallas Wings	68	1398.06	24.66%	@ Phoenix Mercury	58	1526.63	75.34%
19	2017-07-18	29.83	Chicago Sky	94	1410.45	28.74%	@ Seattle Storm	83	1502.70	71.26%
20	2017-06-10	29.71	@ Connecticut Sun	104	1486.56	59.02%	Atlanta Dream	71	1488.66	40.98%
21	2017-06-25	28.86	@ Dallas Wings	96	1434.96	38.89%	Connecticut Sun	82	1578.96	61.11%
22	2017-07-14	28.26	Chicago Sky	78	1395.32	29.19%	@ New York Liberty	68	1483.81	70.81%
23	2017-08-12	27.61	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	84	1314.03	45.31%	Atlanta Dream	68	1412.21	54.69%
24	2017-07-12	27.58	San Antonio Silver Stars	79	1228.99	17.41%	@ Indiana Fever	72	1433.92	82.59%
25	2017-10-01 *	27.35	Minnesota Lynx	80	1742.46	34.67%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	69	1787.05	65.33%