2016 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Los Angeles Sparks

3rd Title

Last Title: 2002

Runner-Up

Minnesota Lynx

5th Appearance

Last Appearance: 2015

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Lynx

3.70 wins above expected

28 wins · 24.30 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Wings

3.73 wins below expected

11 wins · 14.73 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Lynx League	28	6	.824	-	85.8	77.0	+8.8	24.30	+3.70
2	Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs	26	8	.765	2	83.0	75.9	+7.1	23.98	+2.02
3	New York Liberty Playoffs	21	13	.618	7	81.6	80.9	+0.8	20.56	+0.44
4	Chicago Sky Playoffs	18	16	.529	10	86.2	85.6	+0.6	17.34	+0.66
5	Indiana Fever Playoffs	17	17	.500	11	80.5	80.9	-0.4	17.12	-0.12
6	Atlanta Dream Playoffs	17	17	.500	11	81.8	84.0	-2.2	16.59	+0.41
7	Seattle Storm Playoffs	16	18	.471	12	80.8	80.2	+0.6	14.21	+1.79
8	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	16	18	.471	12	84.6	83.3	+1.3	17.58	-1.58
9	Connecticut Sun	14	20	.412	14	83.0	84.4	-1.4	12.62	+1.38
10	Washington Mystics	13	21	.382	15	80.7	82.2	-1.5	15.51	-2.51
11	Dallas Wings	11	23	.324	17	82.6	88.2	-5.6	14.73	-3.73
12	San Antonio Silver Stars	7	27	.206	21	72.0	80.2	-8.2	9.45	-2.45

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Atlanta Dream 94

Seattle Storm 85

Sep 21

Phoenix Mercury 89

Indiana Fever 78

Sep 21

Second Round

Phoenix Mercury 101

New York Liberty 94

Sep 24

Chicago Sky 108

Atlanta Dream 98

Sep 25

Semifinals

Los Angeles Sparks 3

Chicago Sky 1

4 games · Sep 28–Oct 4

Minnesota Lynx 3

Phoenix Mercury 0

3 games · Sep 28–Oct 2

WNBA Finals

Los Angeles Sparks 3

Minnesota Lynx 2

5 games · Oct 9–Oct 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Minnesota Lynx	1714	28	24.30	+3.70	95.57%	13	20	23	24	26	28	34
Los Angeles Sparks	1620	26	23.98	+2.02	83.91%	13	20	22	24	26	28	33
Seattle Storm	1545	16	14.21	+1.79	79.66%	4	10	12	14	16	19	26
Phoenix Mercury	1540	16	17.58	-1.58	34.88%	6	13	16	18	19	22	29
Indiana Fever	1536	17	17.12	-0.12	55.50%	5	13	15	17	19	22	28
Chicago Sky	1520	18	17.34	+0.66	66.03%	5	13	15	17	19	22	30
New York Liberty	1493	21	20.56	+0.44	62.91%	9	16	19	21	22	25	32
Connecticut Sun	1490	14	12.62	+1.38	75.94%	3	8	11	13	14	17	25
Atlanta Dream	1469	17	16.59	+0.41	62.81%	6	12	15	17	18	21	27
Washington Mystics	1459	13	15.51	-2.51	23.60%	4	11	14	15	17	20	28
Dallas Wings	1338	11	14.73	-3.73	11.88%	5	10	13	15	17	19	26
San Antonio Silver Stars	1276	7	9.45	-2.45	22.48%	1	5	8	9	11	14	21

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Wings	Fever	Sparks	Lynx	Liberty	Mercury	Stars	Storm	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)
Chicago Sky	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	3-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-3 (0.6 exp.)	2-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)
Dallas Wings	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	1-2 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.0 exp.)	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (2.3 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	3-0 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	4-0 (3.3 exp.)	1-2 (2.0 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (2.4 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (2.6 exp.)	4-0 (3.1 exp.)	2-1 (2.3 exp.)
New York Liberty	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-0 (2.3 exp.)	2-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (2.0 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-3 (1.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	3-0 (2.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	3-0 (1.5 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-3 (1.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-4 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.4 exp.)	0-3 (0.7 exp.)	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-1 (0.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.4 exp.)
Washington Mystics	2-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-3 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	0.49%	0.49%	—	0.98%
60–69	—	0.98%	5.88%	3.19%	1.47%	—	11.52%
70–79	—	5.88%	9.31%	10.05%	4.41%	0.98%	30.64%
80–89	0.49%	3.19%	10.05%	9.80%	8.58%	0.25%	32.35%
90–99	0.49%	1.47%	4.41%	8.58%	4.90%	1.23%	21.08%
100+	—	—	0.98%	0.25%	1.23%	0.98%	3.43%
Total	0.98%	11.52%	30.64%	32.35%	21.08%	3.43%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.89	81.89	+0.00
SD	10.64	10.64	13.24
CV	0.13	0.13	—
Max	118	118	+37
Min	51	51	-37

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	17.65%
70–79	—	5.88%	2.94%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	23.53%
80–89	—	—	11.76%	8.82%	14.71%	—	35.29%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	8.82%	5.88%	—	17.65%
100+	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
Total	—	8.82%	23.53%	32.35%	32.35%	2.94%	100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.76	83.97	-2.21
SD	10.38	10.48	11.88
CV	0.13	0.12	—
Max	102	110	+17
Min	62	63	-32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
70–79	—	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	14.71%
80–89	—	—	8.82%	14.71%	17.65%	2.94%	44.12%
90–99	—	2.94%	8.82%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	35.29%
100+	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
Total	—	5.88%	26.47%	38.24%	23.53%	5.88%	100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	86.18	85.56	+0.62
SD	7.98	10.96	12.88
CV	0.09	0.13	—
Max	100	118	+26
Min	67	64	-37

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
70–79	—	2.94%	5.88%	23.53%	5.88%	—	38.24%
80–89	—	5.88%	8.82%	11.76%	11.76%	—	38.24%
90–99	—	—	—	5.88%	8.82%	—	14.71%
100+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	5.88%
Total	—	11.76%	17.65%	41.18%	26.47%	2.94%	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	83.00	84.35	-1.35
SD	9.79	10.62	12.18
CV	0.12	0.13	—
Max	107	109	+33
Min	63	62	-23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
60–69	—	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	8.82%
70–79	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	26.47%
80–89	—	—	11.76%	11.76%	14.71%	—	38.24%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	2.94%	17.65%
100+	—	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%
Total	—	—	23.53%	32.35%	35.29%	8.82%	100%

Dallas Wings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.65	88.24	-5.59
SD	12.01	8.86	12.17
CV	0.15	0.10	—
Max	117	111	+11
Min	56	74	-37

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
60–69	—	—	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	—	17.65%
70–79	—	5.88%	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	—	23.53%
80–89	—	2.94%	14.71%	8.82%	5.88%	—	32.35%
90–99	—	—	2.94%	17.65%	2.94%	—	23.53%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.82%	35.29%	38.24%	17.65%	—	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.47	80.85	-0.38
SD	11.25	8.84	13.27
CV	0.14	0.11	—
Max	98	94	+23
Min	59	60	-32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	2.94%	8.82%	—	—	—	11.76%
70–79	—	14.71%	14.71%	—	2.94%	—	32.35%
80–89	—	—	8.82%	8.82%	2.94%	—	20.59%
90–99	—	5.88%	8.82%	14.71%	2.94%	—	32.35%
100+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	—	23.53%	44.12%	23.53%	8.82%	—	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	82.97	75.88	+7.09
SD	11.15	8.83	11.30
CV	0.13	0.12	—
Max	100	92	+30
Min	60	61	-18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
70–79	—	8.82%	11.76%	—	2.94%	—	23.53%
80–89	2.94%	8.82%	14.71%	8.82%	2.94%	—	38.24%
90–99	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	11.76%	8.82%	—	32.35%
100+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	5.88%	20.59%	35.29%	23.53%	14.71%	—	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	85.79	76.97	+8.82
SD	9.43	10.85	12.34
CV	0.11	0.14	—
Max	110	98	+37
Min	63	56	-24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	8.82%	—	2.94%	—	11.76%
70–79	—	2.94%	11.76%	8.82%	2.94%	5.88%	32.35%
80–89	—	2.94%	17.65%	11.76%	—	—	32.35%
90–99	2.94%	—	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	23.53%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	5.88%	47.06%	26.47%	8.82%	8.82%	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	81.65	80.85	+0.79
SD	9.22	10.61	13.81
CV	0.11	0.13	—
Max	99	104	+32
Min	62	59	-24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
70–79	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	29.41%
80–89	—	8.82%	5.88%	8.82%	11.76%	—	35.29%
90–99	—	—	11.76%	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	26.47%
100+	—	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%
Total	—	14.71%	32.35%	17.65%	26.47%	8.82%	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	84.59	83.29	+1.29
SD	10.58	12.66	12.52
CV	0.13	0.15	—
Max	111	117	+26
Min	60	62	-22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	2.94%	23.53%	14.71%	2.94%	—	44.12%
70–79	—	5.88%	8.82%	14.71%	8.82%	—	38.24%
80–89	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	8.82%
90–99	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
100+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.82%	35.29%	35.29%	20.59%	—	100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	72.03	80.24	-8.21
SD	8.64	8.71	9.41
CV	0.12	0.11	—
Max	90	97	+11
Min	57	67	-27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60–69	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	8.82%
70–79	—	8.82%	17.65%	11.76%	—	—	38.24%
80–89	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	8.82%	14.71%	—	35.29%
90–99	—	—	—	14.71%	—	—	14.71%
100+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	2.94%	11.76%	29.41%	38.24%	17.65%	—	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.82	80.24	+0.59
SD	9.15	9.84	13.06
CV	0.11	0.12	—
Max	102	96	+29
Min	62	51	-30

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<60	60–69	70–79	80–89	90–99	100+	Total
<60	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	5.88%
70–79	—	5.88%	5.88%	23.53%	11.76%	—	47.06%
80–89	—	5.88%	8.82%	11.76%	2.94%	—	29.41%
90–99	—	5.88%	—	—	2.94%	—	8.82%
100+	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	5.88%
Total	—	17.65%	17.65%	41.18%	20.59%	2.94%	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	80.74	82.21	-1.47
SD	11.78	10.79	15.84
CV	0.15	0.13	—
Max	118	106	+37
Min	51	62	-30

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.40	+10.3
Allowed	0.37	-10.3
Differential	0.91	+12.1

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Minnesota Lynx	28	24.30	+3.70
2	Los Angeles Sparks	26	23.98	+2.02
3	Seattle Storm	16	14.21	+1.79
4	Connecticut Sun	14	12.62	+1.38
5	Chicago Sky	18	17.34	+0.66

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Wings	11	14.73	-3.73
2	Washington Mystics	13	15.51	-2.51
3	San Antonio Silver Stars	7	9.45	-2.45
4	Phoenix Mercury	16	17.58	-1.58
5	Indiana Fever	17	17.12	-0.12

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Minnesota Lynx	13	May 14 – Jun 21	1 in 315
2	Los Angeles Sparks	11	May 15 – Jun 17	1 in 154
3	Seattle Storm	4	Sep 4 – Sep 11	1 in 46
4	Connecticut Sun	3	Jul 20 – Aug 26	1 in 38
5	Atlanta Dream	5	May 22 – Jun 3	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Wings	11	Jul 8 – Sep 4	1 in 183
2	Washington Mystics	7	Jul 1 – Jul 22	1 in 80
3	Atlanta Dream	6	Jun 18 – Jul 3	1 in 59
4	Minnesota Lynx	3	Jun 24 – Jun 29	1 in 28
5	Connecticut Sun	6	May 21 – Jun 5	1 in 26

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Minnesota Lynx	48.34%	32.69%	12.03%	4.17%	1.63%	0.70%	0.29%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	-
Los Angeles Sparks	41.16%	36.72%	14.05%	4.82%	1.93%	0.77%	0.33%	0.12%	0.07%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
New York Liberty	7.41%	17.17%	30.73%	18.01%	10.94%	6.77%	4.10%	2.56%	1.34%	0.70%	0.24%	0.03%
Phoenix Mercury	1.00%	3.85%	10.63%	16.23%	15.78%	14.51%	12.32%	9.97%	7.46%	5.01%	2.61%	0.63%
Chicago Sky	0.86%	3.33%	9.71%	14.73%	15.64%	14.32%	12.84%	10.48%	8.27%	5.82%	3.21%	0.78%
Indiana Fever	0.66%	2.72%	8.74%	13.89%	15.25%	15.04%	13.18%	11.49%	8.82%	6.07%	3.26%	0.88%
Atlanta Dream	0.29%	1.72%	6.57%	11.64%	13.87%	14.54%	14.08%	12.71%	10.59%	7.92%	4.71%	1.35%
Washington Mystics	0.15%	0.88%	3.63%	7.16%	9.71%	11.82%	13.42%	14.21%	14.38%	12.85%	9.02%	2.77%
Dallas Wings	0.06%	0.51%	2.04%	4.67%	7.18%	9.55%	11.94%	14.14%	16.27%	16.29%	12.75%	4.58%
Seattle Storm	0.06%	0.33%	1.47%	3.47%	5.67%	7.87%	10.72%	13.53%	16.17%	17.93%	15.85%	6.94%
Connecticut Sun	<0.01%	0.06%	0.39%	1.14%	2.25%	3.76%	6.01%	9.08%	13.11%	19.67%	28.85%	15.67%
San Antonio Silver Stars	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.06%	0.13%	0.36%	0.78%	1.60%	3.50%	7.71%	19.48%	66.37%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx	48.34%	32.69%	12.03%	4.17%	1.63%	0.70%	0.29%	0.10%	0.05%
Los Angeles Sparks	41.16%	36.72%	14.05%	4.82%	1.93%	0.77%	0.33%	0.12%	0.09%
New York Liberty	7.41%	17.17%	30.73%	18.01%	10.94%	6.77%	4.10%	2.56%	2.31%
Phoenix Mercury	1.00%	3.85%	10.63%	16.23%	15.78%	14.51%	12.32%	9.97%	15.71%
Chicago Sky	0.86%	3.33%	9.71%	14.73%	15.64%	14.32%	12.84%	10.48%	18.09%
Indiana Fever	0.66%	2.72%	8.74%	13.89%	15.25%	15.04%	13.18%	11.49%	19.03%
Atlanta Dream	0.29%	1.72%	6.57%	11.64%	13.87%	14.54%	14.08%	12.71%	24.58%
Washington Mystics	0.15%	0.88%	3.63%	7.16%	9.71%	11.82%	13.42%	14.21%	39.02%
Dallas Wings	0.06%	0.51%	2.04%	4.67%	7.18%	9.55%	11.94%	14.14%	49.89%
Seattle Storm	0.06%	0.33%	1.47%	3.47%	5.67%	7.87%	10.72%	13.53%	56.88%
Connecticut Sun	<0.01%	0.06%	0.39%	1.14%	2.25%	3.76%	6.01%	9.08%	77.30%
San Antonio Silver Stars	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.06%	0.13%	0.36%	0.78%	1.60%	97.06%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+10.78%

Fortress

55.39%44.61%

Elo Value

Home Edge

33 Elo

0.031 points per Elo point

037.61100

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.41 points

Lean Home

-8+1.15+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Few Contenders

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

24%

Los Angeles Sparks, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

18.3%

Tough Road

025.00%50%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.17 · As Expected: 2.17 to 2.98 · Elevated: 2.98 to 4.06 · High Variance: 4.06 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.31 · Close: 1.31 to 1.78 · Off Target: 1.78 to 2.32 · Well Off Target: 2.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.89 · As Expected: 0.89 to 1.49 · More Than Expected: 1.49 to 2.38 · Far More Than Expected: 2.38 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.09 wins

Subdued

02.717

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.25

Pinpoint

01.544

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.57%

Minnesota Lynx

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

11.88%

Dallas Wings

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

As Expected

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 8

As Expected

01.28

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.49

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

61%

Competitive

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

93%

No Contest

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

14%

Mostly Decisive

0%18%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.62

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.59

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

34%

As Expected

0%35%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

33%

Shaky Favorites

0%28%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.62

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.097

Within Noise

00.1010.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx	95.46%	95.46%	79.32%	57.68%
Los Angeles Sparks	92.22%	92.22%	59.95%	24.03%
Phoenix Mercury	57.58%	35.56%	12.06%	4.12%
Indiana Fever	54.34%	31.86%	10.58%	3.59%
New York Liberty	61.81%	55.29%	14.13%	3.40%
Chicago Sky	54.10%	31.23%	9.58%	2.98%
Seattle Storm	26.02%	13.66%	4.87%	1.86%
Atlanta Dream	43.83%	20.47%	4.66%	1.13%
Washington Mystics	32.52%	14.06%	3.02%	0.72%
Connecticut Sun	11.41%	4.89%	1.37%	0.45%
Dallas Wings	18.22%	5.17%	0.47%	0.05%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.67%	0.13%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		42.3%6.77%	47.9%1.06%	68.0%1.82%	41.4%6.74%	27.4%2.80%	18.9%2.56%	45.1%8.60%	41.4%7.47%	75.8%0.06%	40.7%2.57%	51.5%3.39%
Chicago Sky	57.7%6.77%		57.5%1.49%	75.0%2.51%	47.3%8.76%	32.7%3.32%	22.7%2.85%	52.3%10.37%	47.6%9.78%	89.0%0.09%	45.5%3.53%	59.4%4.63%
Connecticut Sun	52.1%1.06%	42.5%1.49%		70.9%0.36%	39.7%1.39%	27.3%0.96%	18.7%0.84%	46.0%2.59%	41.8%1.75%	87.5%<0.01%	43.0%0.36%	53.1%0.61%
Dallas Wings	32.0%1.82%	25.0%2.51%	29.1%0.36%		23.9%2.55%	17.4%1.23%	8.2%1.12%	27.7%3.61%	24.9%2.83%	73.7%0.02%	27.1%0.91%	32.1%1.27%
Indiana Fever	58.6%6.74%	52.7%8.76%	60.3%1.39%	76.1%2.55%		35.9%3.53%	25.6%2.94%	54.4%10.94%	49.3%9.53%	86.7%0.09%	48.8%3.28%	60.7%4.59%
Los Angeles Sparks	72.6%2.80%	67.3%3.32%	72.7%0.96%	82.6%1.23%	64.1%3.53%		33.0%0.18%	68.0%1.16%	63.0%3.39%	92.4%0.07%	64.0%2.20%	72.4%2.27%
Minnesota Lynx	81.1%2.56%	77.3%2.85%	81.3%0.84%	91.8%1.12%	74.4%2.94%	67.0%0.18%		79.7%1.05%	74.1%2.89%	84.2%0.04%	76.2%1.81%	82.6%2.11%
New York Liberty	54.9%8.60%	47.7%10.37%	54.0%2.59%	72.3%3.61%	45.6%10.94%	32.0%1.16%	20.3%1.05%		45.1%10.73%	76.0%0.15%	46.0%5.81%	56.3%6.81%
Phoenix Mercury	58.6%7.47%	52.4%9.78%	58.2%1.75%	75.1%2.83%	50.7%9.53%	37.0%3.39%	25.9%2.89%	54.9%10.73%		80.2%0.10%	52.3%3.92%	61.9%5.19%
San Antonio Silver Stars	24.2%0.06%	11.0%0.09%	12.5%<0.01%	26.3%0.02%	13.3%0.09%	7.6%0.07%	15.8%0.04%	24.0%0.15%	19.8%0.10%		21.1%0.02%	37.9%0.03%
Seattle Storm	59.3%2.57%	54.5%3.53%	57.0%0.36%	72.9%0.91%	51.2%3.28%	36.0%2.20%	23.8%1.81%	54.0%5.81%	47.7%3.92%	78.9%0.02%		63.9%1.62%
Washington Mystics	48.5%3.39%	40.6%4.63%	46.9%0.61%	67.9%1.27%	39.3%4.59%	27.6%2.27%	17.4%2.11%	43.7%6.81%	38.1%5.19%	62.1%0.03%	36.1%1.62%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		36.5%0.43%	45.7%0.03%	77.8%0.06%	39.7%0.44%	24.2%8.02%	11.3%8.61%	49.1%2.07%	38.0%0.54%	66.7%<0.01%	34.5%0.12%	52.3%0.15%
Chicago Sky	63.5%0.43%		48.7%0.08%	78.3%0.11%	46.9%0.82%	33.0%12.26%	16.1%12.71%	60.7%3.33%	45.0%0.98%	50.0%<0.01%	35.5%0.24%	60.4%0.28%
Connecticut Sun	54.3%0.03%	51.3%0.08%		100.0%<0.01%	55.7%0.06%	29.3%2.03%	16.2%2.11%	60.4%0.46%	54.2%0.08%		42.9%<0.01%	47.4%0.02%
Dallas Wings	22.2%0.06%	21.7%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%		11.8%0.11%	9.6%2.06%	2.9%2.13%	24.7%0.52%	16.7%0.11%		12.0%0.03%	22.0%0.04%
Indiana Fever	60.3%0.44%	53.1%0.82%	44.3%0.06%	88.2%0.11%		35.4%12.40%	19.3%13.32%	62.7%3.26%	50.7%0.98%	100.0%<0.01%	39.7%0.23%	68.1%0.24%
Los Angeles Sparks	75.8%8.02%	67.0%12.26%	70.7%2.03%	90.4%2.06%	64.6%12.40%		29.3%10.77%	74.5%19.64%	63.7%13.93%	93.7%0.06%	61.1%5.46%	76.8%5.58%
Minnesota Lynx	88.7%8.61%	83.9%12.71%	83.8%2.11%	97.1%2.13%	80.7%13.32%	70.7%10.77%		87.7%19.44%	81.0%14.49%	97.8%0.04%	78.9%5.87%	89.6%5.98%
New York Liberty	50.9%2.07%	39.3%3.33%	39.6%0.46%	75.3%0.52%	37.3%3.26%	25.5%19.64%	12.3%19.44%		36.6%3.82%	90.9%0.01%	33.6%1.36%	51.6%1.39%
Phoenix Mercury	62.0%0.54%	55.0%0.98%	45.8%0.08%	83.3%0.11%	49.3%0.98%	36.3%13.93%	19.0%14.49%	63.4%3.82%		0.0%<0.01%	44.6%0.29%	64.7%0.33%
San Antonio Silver Stars	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	6.3%0.06%	2.2%0.04%	9.1%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Storm	65.5%0.12%	64.5%0.24%	57.1%<0.01%	88.0%0.03%	60.3%0.23%	38.9%5.46%	21.1%5.87%	66.4%1.36%	55.4%0.29%	100.0%<0.01%		73.6%0.05%
Washington Mystics	47.7%0.15%	39.6%0.28%	52.6%0.02%	78.0%0.04%	31.9%0.24%	23.2%5.58%	10.4%5.98%	48.4%1.39%	35.3%0.33%		26.4%0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Dallas Wings	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		45.6%0.18%	30.4%0.02%	42.9%<0.01%	41.0%0.21%	31.0%1.08%	14.2%2.57%	50.2%0.23%	39.6%0.22%		30.7%0.09%	48.1%0.05%
Chicago Sky	54.4%0.18%		48.0%0.05%	71.4%0.01%	46.1%0.47%	37.1%2.21%	21.1%5.31%	57.0%0.54%	46.8%0.48%		45.5%0.21%	54.5%0.11%
Connecticut Sun	69.6%0.02%	52.0%0.05%		50.0%<0.01%	50.9%0.05%	39.4%0.31%	19.9%0.73%	56.8%0.08%	54.9%0.07%		46.4%0.03%	53.3%0.01%
Dallas Wings	57.1%<0.01%	28.6%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		20.8%0.02%	12.1%0.09%	6.5%0.28%	18.8%0.02%	17.4%0.02%		33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Indiana Fever	59.0%0.21%	53.9%0.47%	49.1%0.05%	79.2%0.02%		41.0%2.57%	22.7%5.73%	59.5%0.58%	48.6%0.59%	100.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.22%	62.3%0.13%
Los Angeles Sparks	69.0%1.08%	62.9%2.21%	60.6%0.31%	87.9%0.09%	59.0%2.57%		32.5%45.55%	71.2%3.29%	59.8%2.96%	100.0%<0.01%	57.0%1.19%	72.5%0.69%
Minnesota Lynx	85.8%2.57%	78.9%5.31%	80.1%0.73%	93.5%0.28%	77.3%5.73%	67.5%45.55%		83.7%8.28%	76.4%6.64%	100.0%<0.01%	72.9%2.56%	84.2%1.66%
New York Liberty	49.8%0.23%	43.0%0.54%	43.2%0.08%	81.2%0.02%	40.5%0.58%	28.8%3.29%	16.3%8.28%		42.2%0.70%		33.1%0.26%	57.0%0.15%
Phoenix Mercury	60.4%0.22%	53.2%0.48%	45.1%0.07%	82.6%0.02%	51.4%0.59%	40.2%2.96%	23.6%6.64%	57.8%0.70%		100.0%<0.01%	48.0%0.25%	66.7%0.15%
Seattle Storm	69.3%0.09%	54.5%0.21%	53.6%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	52.9%0.22%	43.0%1.19%	27.1%2.56%	66.9%0.26%	52.0%0.25%	100.0%<0.01%		73.1%0.05%
Washington Mystics	51.9%0.05%	45.5%0.11%	46.7%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	37.7%0.13%	27.5%0.69%	15.8%1.66%	43.0%0.15%	33.3%0.15%		26.9%0.05%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx	100.00%	81.69%	59.13%	Eliminated in Finals
Los Angeles Sparks	100.00%	69.89%	24.69%	Won Finals
Chicago Sky	50.09%	7.92%	3.53%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Phoenix Mercury	22.54%	4.87%	2.42%	Eliminated in Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream				44.5%44.19%
Chicago Sky			50.4%55.14%		49.8%44.86%
Indiana Fever		49.6%55.14%
New York Liberty	55.5%44.19%					45.5%55.81%
Phoenix Mercury		50.2%44.86%
Seattle Storm				54.5%55.81%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream				26.3%19.66%
Chicago Sky					15.8%50.09%
Indiana Fever					20.2%27.37%
Los Angeles Sparks	73.7%19.66%					73.8%49.94%		61.0%30.41%
Minnesota Lynx		84.2%50.09%	79.8%27.37%				78.4%22.54%
New York Liberty				26.2%49.94%
Phoenix Mercury					21.6%22.54%
Seattle Storm				39.0%30.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream		38.6%0.43%	37.1%0.29%		16.7%4.19%		36.4%0.27%
Chicago Sky	61.4%0.43%			40.1%5.57%		58.6%1.01%		48.9%0.91%
Indiana Fever	62.9%0.29%			45.0%3.81%		63.0%0.76%		54.2%0.66%
Los Angeles Sparks		59.9%5.57%	55.0%3.81%		30.5%57.14%		54.6%3.36%
Minnesota Lynx	83.3%4.19%			69.5%57.14%		82.3%10.67%		73.7%9.69%
New York Liberty		41.4%1.01%	37.0%0.76%		17.7%10.67%		38.2%0.64%
Phoenix Mercury	63.6%0.27%			45.4%3.36%		61.8%0.64%		53.6%0.59%
Seattle Storm		51.1%0.91%	45.8%0.66%		26.3%9.69%		46.4%0.59%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 59.13% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

51.63%

Win Prob

84.20%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

67.17%

Win Prob

69.51%

Los Angeles Sparks 24.69% chance to win

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

52.75%

Win Prob

73.82%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

70.57%

Win Prob

30.49%

Seattle Storm 3.60% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.49%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.00%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

70.97%

Win Prob

26.33%

Chicago Sky 3.53% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Indiana Fever

Matchup

55.43%

Win Prob

50.36%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

15.80%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

63.24%

Win Prob

40.13%

New York Liberty 2.83% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

50.86%

Win Prob

45.51%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.18%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

66.65%

Win Prob

17.65%

Indiana Fever 2.73% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.64%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.19%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

62.71%

Win Prob

44.98%

Phoenix Mercury 2.42% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.24%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

21.60%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

63.23%

Win Prob

45.42%

Atlanta Dream 1.07% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.48%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.35%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

65.27%

Win Prob

16.69%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2016-05-14	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 73-63	1492.21	1418.82	55.13%	44.87%	+16.08	1-0
2016-05-20	@ Indiana Fever	L 85-94	1508.29	1520.05	42.94%	57.06%	-14.60	1-1
2016-05-22	Chicago Sky	W 87-81	1493.69	1515.93	52.21%	47.79%	+13.26	2-1
2016-05-24	@ New York Liberty	W 85-79	1506.95	1540.15	39.95%	60.05%	+16.67	3-1
2016-05-27	@ Dallas Wings	W 102-93	1523.62	1525.43	44.35%	55.65%	+18.91	4-1
2016-05-29	Indiana Fever	W 85-76	1542.53	1527.99	57.45%	42.55%	+14.47	5-1
2016-06-03	@ Connecticut Sun	W 83-77	1557.00	1406.15	65.74%	34.26%	+9.51	6-1
2016-06-05	Washington Mystics	L 79-86	1566.51	1415.26	74.78%	25.22%	-22.42	6-2
2016-06-10	Minnesota Lynx	L 78-110	1544.09	1654.96	39.61%	60.39%	-25.39	6-3
2016-06-12	Connecticut Sun	W 93-87	1518.70	1387.06	72.60%	27.40%	+7.61	7-3
2016-06-17	Chicago Sky	W 101-97	1526.31	1520.13	56.27%	43.73%	+9.91	8-3
2016-06-18	@ Washington Mystics	L 65-95	1536.22	1458.51	55.74%	44.26%	-34.60	8-4
2016-06-22	New York Liberty	L 79-90	1501.62	1570.93	45.45%	54.55%	-17.08	8-5
2016-06-25	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 69-73	1484.54	1328.79	66.38%	33.62%	-15.04	8-6
2016-06-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 81-84	1469.50	1418.73	51.89%	48.11%	-10.18	8-7
2016-06-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-84	1459.32	1696.90	17.02%	82.98%	-5.79	8-8
2016-07-03	Phoenix Mercury	L 87-95	1453.53	1510.08	47.28%	52.72%	-15.15	8-9
2016-07-05	Seattle Storm	W 77-64	1438.38	1416.48	58.48%	41.52%	+16.96	9-9
2016-07-08	Dallas Wings	W 95-90	1455.34	1481.14	51.70%	48.30%	+12.24	10-9
2016-07-10	@ Connecticut Sun	W 67-63	1467.58	1371.76	58.30%	41.70%	+9.45	11-9
2016-07-13	@ New York Liberty	L 62-86	1477.03	1609.19	27.34%	72.66%	-15.18	11-10
2016-07-15	@ Indiana Fever	L 72-78	1461.85	1484.89	41.36%	58.64%	-11.48	11-11
2016-07-17	Los Angeles Sparks	W 91-74	1450.37	1739.15	19.06%	80.94%	+37.81	12-11
2016-07-20	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 65-83	1488.18	1677.06	21.35%	78.65%	-10.26	12-12
2016-07-22	Dallas Wings	W 93-88	1477.92	1414.24	64.18%	35.82%	+9.07	13-12
2016-08-26	@ Chicago Sky	L 82-90	1486.99	1497.54	43.11%	56.89%	-13.81	13-13
2016-08-28	Connecticut Sun	W 87-73	1473.18	1450.81	58.55%	41.45%	+17.57	14-13
2016-09-04	Seattle Storm	L 82-91	1490.75	1452.88	60.69%	39.31%	-20.63	14-14
2016-09-06	Phoenix Mercury	W 91-87	1470.12	1501.83	50.85%	49.15%	+11.14	15-14
2016-09-08	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-81	1481.26	1658.27	22.52%	77.48%	+19.63	16-14
2016-09-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 75-86	1500.89	1490.70	46.06%	53.94%	-17.31	16-15
2016-09-13	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 67-71	1483.58	1270.82	80.86%	19.14%	-18.33	16-16
2016-09-15	Washington Mystics	W 94-91	1465.25	1487.58	52.20%	47.80%	+9.38	17-16
2016-09-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 87-95	1474.63	1708.55	17.32%	82.68%	-5.55	17-17
2016-05-14	Connecticut Sun	W 93-70	1519.42	1471.82	62.02%	37.98%	+20.64	1-0
2016-05-18	Minnesota Lynx	L 80-97	1540.06	1566.16	51.66%	48.34%	-24.13	1-1
2016-05-22	@ Atlanta Dream	L 81-87	1515.93	1493.69	47.79%	52.21%	-13.27	1-2
2016-05-24	Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-93	1502.66	1567.42	46.10%	53.90%	-18.83	1-3
2016-05-27	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 78-79	1483.83	1384.67	58.77%	41.23%	-6.66	1-4
2016-05-29	@ Dallas Wings	W 92-87	1477.17	1506.51	40.48%	59.52%	+15.08	2-4
2016-06-01	@ Washington Mystics	W 86-78	1492.25	1451.12	50.51%	49.49%	+15.86	3-4
2016-06-03	Washington Mystics	W 98-72	1508.11	1435.26	65.38%	34.62%	+20.00	4-4
2016-06-10	@ Indiana Fever	W 73-64	1528.11	1511.04	47.05%	52.95%	+18.00	5-4
2016-06-12	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 80-86	1546.11	1503.08	50.78%	49.22%	-14.09	5-5
2016-06-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 85-98	1532.02	1649.23	29.08%	70.92%	-11.89	5-6
2016-06-17	@ Atlanta Dream	L 97-101	1520.13	1526.31	43.73%	56.27%	-9.90	5-7
2016-06-21	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-75	1510.23	1342.94	76.48%	23.52%	+6.52	6-7
2016-06-24	@ New York Liberty	L 79-80	1516.75	1588.01	34.83%	65.17%	-3.94	6-8
2016-06-29	Indiana Fever	L 83-95	1512.81	1474.02	60.82%	39.18%	-23.88	6-9
2016-07-01	Washington Mystics	W 86-84	1488.93	1537.30	48.45%	51.55%	+8.26	7-9
2016-07-05	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 82-87	1497.19	1640.36	26.10%	73.90%	-6.61	7-10
2016-07-08	New York Liberty	L 85-88	1490.58	1595.85	40.38%	59.62%	-7.92	7-11
2016-07-10	Phoenix Mercury	W 100-95	1482.66	1486.01	54.91%	45.09%	+11.42	8-11
2016-07-13	Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-77	1494.08	1726.03	24.63%	75.37%	-8.82	8-12
2016-07-15	Dallas Wings	W 84-77	1485.26	1452.15	60.04%	39.96%	+11.97	9-12
2016-07-17	@ Seattle Storm	W 91-88	1497.23	1432.46	53.90%	46.10%	+9.05	10-12
2016-07-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 79-77	1506.28	1497.59	45.85%	54.15%	+8.68	11-12
2016-07-22	Connecticut Sun	L 89-94	1514.96	1415.68	68.74%	31.26%	-17.42	11-13
2016-08-26	Atlanta Dream	W 90-82	1497.54	1486.99	56.89%	43.11%	+13.82	12-13
2016-08-28	@ Dallas Wings	W 92-85	1511.36	1385.97	62.37%	37.63%	+11.28	13-13
2016-09-02	Seattle Storm	W 92-88	1522.64	1461.06	63.90%	36.10%	+8.18	14-13
2016-09-04	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 97-73	1530.82	1302.43	82.22%	17.78%	+9.87	15-13
2016-09-07	@ Washington Mystics	L 81-118	1540.69	1447.75	57.90%	42.10%	-39.90	15-14
2016-09-09	@ Indiana Fever	L 88-95	1500.79	1515.66	42.50%	57.50%	-12.74	15-15
2016-09-11	@ Connecticut Sun	W 96-86	1488.05	1456.61	49.11%	50.89%	+18.23	16-15
2016-09-13	Minnesota Lynx	W 98-97	1506.28	1707.00	28.11%	71.89%	+8.14	17-15
2016-09-16	New York Liberty	W 92-68	1514.42	1517.84	54.90%	45.10%	+25.04	18-15
2016-09-18	@ Seattle Storm	L 75-88	1539.46	1525.88	46.55%	53.45%	-19.02	18-16
2016-05-14	@ Chicago Sky	L 70-93	1471.82	1519.42	37.98%	62.02%	-20.64	0-1
2016-05-19	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 72-68	1451.18	1402.74	51.56%	48.44%	+10.98	1-1
2016-05-21	Washington Mystics	L 76-84	1462.16	1443.13	58.08%	41.92%	-18.61	1-2
2016-05-26	Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-77	1443.55	1586.26	35.32%	64.68%	-8.95	1-3
2016-05-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 82-93	1434.60	1417.79	47.01%	52.99%	-17.67	1-4
2016-05-31	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 90-99	1416.93	1512.60	31.71%	68.29%	-10.78	1-5
2016-06-03	Atlanta Dream	L 77-83	1406.15	1557.00	34.26%	65.74%	-9.50	1-6
2016-06-05	Indiana Fever	L 77-88	1396.65	1495.53	41.27%	58.73%	-15.51	1-7
2016-06-10	Seattle Storm	W 77-76	1381.14	1434.66	47.71%	52.29%	+5.92	2-7
2016-06-12	@ Atlanta Dream	L 87-93	1387.06	1518.70	27.40%	72.60%	-7.60	2-8
2016-06-14	Washington Mystics	L 106-109	1379.46	1449.62	45.33%	54.67%	-8.90	2-9
2016-06-16	New York Liberty	L 72-80	1370.56	1552.50	30.35%	69.65%	-9.72	2-10
2016-06-19	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 93-90	1360.84	1351.44	56.72%	43.28%	+8.49	3-10
2016-06-24	@ Seattle Storm	L 81-98	1369.33	1399.90	40.31%	59.69%	-18.83	3-11
2016-06-26	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 73-80	1350.50	1689.00	10.29%	89.71%	-3.09	3-12
2016-06-29	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 75-86	1347.41	1519.18	23.05%	76.95%	-8.66	3-13
2016-07-02	@ Dallas Wings	W 86-83	1338.75	1485.44	25.71%	74.29%	+14.58	4-13
2016-07-07	Minnesota Lynx	W 93-89	1353.33	1646.97	18.64%	81.36%	+18.43	5-13
2016-07-10	Atlanta Dream	L 63-67	1371.76	1467.58	41.70%	58.30%	-9.45	5-14
2016-07-13	@ Indiana Fever	W 86-64	1362.31	1525.29	23.96%	76.04%	+40.41	6-14
2016-07-15	Los Angeles Sparks	L 92-98	1402.72	1734.85	15.51%	84.49%	-4.30	6-15
2016-07-17	@ New York Liberty	L 76-83	1398.42	1604.99	19.69%	80.31%	-5.90	6-16
2016-07-20	@ Dallas Wings	W 89-78	1392.52	1437.40	38.35%	61.65%	+23.16	7-16
2016-07-22	@ Chicago Sky	W 94-89	1415.68	1514.96	31.26%	68.74%	+17.42	8-16
2016-08-26	Minnesota Lynx	W 84-80	1433.10	1692.10	21.85%	78.15%	+17.71	9-16
2016-08-28	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-87	1450.81	1473.18	41.45%	58.55%	-17.58	9-17
2016-08-30	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 89-62	1433.23	1325.22	69.81%	30.19%	+17.78	10-17
2016-09-02	Phoenix Mercury	W 87-74	1451.01	1545.89	41.83%	58.17%	+23.76	11-17
2016-09-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 79-93	1474.77	1686.33	19.24%	80.76%	-8.16	11-18
2016-09-09	@ New York Liberty	L 82-89	1466.61	1549.28	33.35%	66.65%	-10.00	11-19
2016-09-11	Chicago Sky	L 86-96	1456.61	1488.05	50.89%	49.11%	-18.23	11-20
2016-09-13	Indiana Fever	W 89-87	1438.38	1542.69	40.52%	59.48%	+9.53	12-20
2016-09-16	Dallas Wings	W 107-74	1447.91	1373.33	65.61%	34.39%	+22.39	13-20
2016-09-18	@ Washington Mystics	W 87-78	1470.30	1478.20	43.49%	56.51%	+19.21	14-20
2016-05-14	@ Indiana Fever	W 90-79	1488.50	1532.57	38.46%	61.54%	+23.12	1-0
2016-05-15	@ New York Liberty	L 71-79	1511.62	1544.20	40.03%	59.97%	-12.83	1-1
2016-05-18	@ Washington Mystics	W 87-77	1498.79	1492.86	45.45%	54.55%	+19.55	2-1
2016-05-21	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 82-77	1518.34	1391.76	72.01%	27.99%	+7.09	3-1
2016-05-27	Atlanta Dream	L 93-102	1525.43	1523.62	55.65%	44.35%	-18.92	3-2
2016-05-29	Chicago Sky	L 87-92	1506.51	1477.17	59.52%	40.48%	-15.08	3-3
2016-06-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 63-80	1491.43	1634.58	26.10%	73.90%	-12.19	3-4
2016-06-08	Washington Mystics	L 79-87	1479.24	1437.67	61.20%	38.80%	-19.61	3-5
2016-06-11	Los Angeles Sparks	L 73-97	1459.63	1631.72	31.56%	68.44%	-17.52	3-6
2016-06-14	@ New York Liberty	L 88-91	1442.11	1546.49	30.63%	69.37%	-6.01	3-7
2016-06-16	Seattle Storm	W 88-79	1436.10	1421.75	57.42%	42.58%	+14.47	4-7
2016-06-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 117-111	1450.57	1509.95	36.39%	63.61%	+17.65	5-7
2016-06-21	Phoenix Mercury	W 100-90	1468.22	1492.30	51.95%	48.05%	+17.22	6-7
2016-06-23	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 97-90	1485.44	1336.42	74.54%	25.46%	+7.63	7-7
2016-06-25	Indiana Fever	L 87-92	1493.07	1458.77	60.20%	39.80%	-15.25	7-8
2016-06-28	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 84-89	1477.82	1692.09	19.00%	81.00%	-4.82	7-9
2016-06-30	@ Seattle Storm	W 83-78	1473.00	1428.91	50.93%	49.07%	+12.44	8-9
2016-07-02	Connecticut Sun	L 83-86	1485.44	1338.75	74.29%	25.71%	-14.58	8-10
2016-07-05	Phoenix Mercury	W 77-74	1470.86	1525.23	47.59%	52.41%	+10.28	9-10
2016-07-08	@ Atlanta Dream	L 90-95	1481.14	1455.34	48.30%	51.70%	-12.23	9-11
2016-07-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 56-93	1468.91	1628.53	24.32%	75.68%	-16.76	9-12
2016-07-15	@ Chicago Sky	L 77-84	1452.15	1485.26	39.96%	60.04%	-11.98	9-13
2016-07-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 97-98	1440.17	1674.29	24.39%	75.61%	-2.77	9-14
2016-07-20	Connecticut Sun	L 78-89	1437.40	1392.52	61.65%	38.35%	-23.16	9-15
2016-07-22	@ Atlanta Dream	L 88-93	1414.24	1477.92	35.82%	64.18%	-9.08	9-16
2016-08-26	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 72-98	1405.16	1488.91	33.21%	66.79%	-19.19	9-17
2016-08-28	Chicago Sky	L 85-92	1385.97	1511.36	37.63%	62.37%	-11.28	9-18
2016-08-31	@ Seattle Storm	L 66-78	1374.69	1447.47	34.63%	65.37%	-13.59	9-19
2016-09-02	Los Angeles Sparks	L 79-87	1361.10	1654.54	18.65%	81.35%	-5.98	9-20
2016-09-04	Washington Mystics	L 83-88	1355.12	1436.67	43.71%	56.29%	-11.07	9-21
2016-09-09	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 92-84	1344.05	1288.39	52.60%	47.40%	+15.19	10-21
2016-09-11	New York Liberty	W 84-81	1359.24	1559.28	28.19%	71.81%	+14.09	11-21
2016-09-16	@ Connecticut Sun	L 74-107	1373.33	1447.91	34.39%	65.61%	-22.38	11-22
2016-09-18	@ Indiana Fever	L 60-83	1350.95	1523.46	22.98%	77.02%	-12.49	11-23
2016-05-14	Dallas Wings	L 79-90	1532.57	1488.50	61.54%	38.46%	-23.12	0-1
2016-05-18	Phoenix Mercury	W 97-93	1509.45	1524.71	53.21%	46.79%	+10.60	1-1
2016-05-20	Atlanta Dream	W 94-85	1520.05	1508.29	57.06%	42.94%	+14.59	2-1
2016-05-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 71-74	1534.64	1613.01	33.90%	66.10%	-6.65	2-2
2016-05-29	@ Atlanta Dream	L 76-85	1527.99	1542.53	42.55%	57.45%	-14.46	2-3
2016-06-01	Seattle Storm	W 85-75	1513.53	1435.46	66.06%	33.94%	+12.16	3-3
2016-06-03	@ New York Liberty	L 59-91	1525.69	1508.56	47.06%	52.94%	-30.16	3-4
2016-06-05	@ Connecticut Sun	W 88-77	1495.53	1396.65	58.73%	41.27%	+15.51	4-4
2016-06-10	Chicago Sky	L 64-73	1511.04	1528.11	52.95%	47.05%	-18.00	4-5
2016-06-12	Seattle Storm	L 88-90	1493.04	1428.73	64.26%	35.74%	-10.30	4-6
2016-06-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 63-87	1482.74	1688.02	19.81%	80.19%	-10.99	4-7
2016-06-17	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 84-75	1471.75	1365.10	59.81%	40.19%	+13.66	5-7
2016-06-19	New York Liberty	L 75-78	1485.41	1562.22	44.38%	55.62%	-8.71	5-8
2016-06-22	@ Washington Mystics	L 62-76	1476.70	1493.11	42.29%	57.71%	-17.93	5-9
2016-06-25	@ Dallas Wings	W 92-87	1458.77	1493.07	39.80%	60.20%	+15.25	6-9
2016-06-29	@ Chicago Sky	W 95-83	1474.02	1512.81	39.18%	60.82%	+23.88	7-9
2016-07-01	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 85-87	1497.90	1333.59	76.17%	23.83%	-12.21	7-10
2016-07-06	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 88-94	1485.69	1713.83	17.80%	82.20%	-4.94	7-11
2016-07-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 78-60	1480.75	1514.94	39.81%	60.19%	+28.93	8-11
2016-07-10	@ Seattle Storm	W 93-82	1509.68	1412.79	58.45%	41.55%	+15.61	9-11
2016-07-13	Connecticut Sun	L 64-86	1525.29	1362.31	76.04%	23.96%	-40.40	9-12
2016-07-15	Atlanta Dream	W 78-72	1484.89	1461.85	58.64%	41.36%	+11.48	10-12
2016-07-19	Los Angeles Sparks	W 92-82	1496.37	1701.34	27.62%	72.38%	+25.93	11-12
2016-07-21	@ New York Liberty	W 82-70	1522.30	1620.94	31.34%	68.66%	+26.95	12-12
2016-08-27	Washington Mystics	L 69-92	1549.25	1431.79	70.94%	29.06%	-38.55	12-13
2016-08-30	Phoenix Mercury	L 65-79	1510.70	1523.16	53.61%	46.39%	-22.73	12-14
2016-09-01	New York Liberty	W 98-77	1487.97	1599.62	39.50%	60.50%	+31.41	13-14
2016-09-04	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-88	1519.38	1660.52	26.33%	73.67%	-7.89	13-15
2016-09-06	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 71-69	1511.49	1292.56	73.96%	26.04%	+4.17	14-15
2016-09-09	Chicago Sky	W 95-88	1515.66	1500.79	57.50%	42.50%	+12.74	15-15
2016-09-11	@ Washington Mystics	W 80-73	1528.40	1474.52	52.34%	47.66%	+14.29	16-15
2016-09-13	@ Connecticut Sun	L 87-89	1542.69	1438.38	59.48%	40.52%	-9.53	16-16
2016-09-16	Minnesota Lynx	L 75-82	1533.16	1698.85	32.36%	67.64%	-9.70	16-17
2016-09-18	Dallas Wings	W 83-60	1523.46	1350.95	77.02%	22.98%	+12.48	17-17
2016-05-15	Seattle Storm	W 96-66	1496.51	1452.23	61.57%	38.43%	+23.85	1-0
2016-05-20	@ Washington Mystics	W 97-67	1520.36	1473.31	51.36%	48.64%	+30.18	2-0
2016-05-21	@ New York Liberty	W 79-72	1550.54	1557.03	43.69%	56.31%	+16.88	3-0
2016-05-24	@ Chicago Sky	W 93-80	1567.42	1502.66	53.90%	46.10%	+18.84	4-0
2016-05-26	@ Connecticut Sun	W 77-72	1586.26	1443.55	64.68%	35.32%	+8.94	5-0
2016-06-02	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 68-61	1595.20	1391.33	80.06%	19.94%	+5.98	6-0
2016-06-04	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 74-61	1601.18	1385.35	73.61%	26.39%	+10.78	7-0
2016-06-07	New York Liberty	W 100-77	1611.96	1552.33	63.64%	36.36%	+19.76	8-0
2016-06-11	@ Dallas Wings	W 97-73	1631.72	1459.63	68.44%	31.56%	+17.51	9-0
2016-06-14	Chicago Sky	W 98-85	1649.23	1532.02	70.92%	29.08%	+11.89	10-0
2016-06-17	Phoenix Mercury	W 77-71	1661.12	1517.17	73.98%	26.02%	+7.22	11-0
2016-06-21	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-72	1668.34	1706.39	49.94%	50.06%	-9.80	11-1
2016-06-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 94-76	1658.54	1716.19	36.62%	63.38%	+30.46	12-1
2016-06-26	Connecticut Sun	W 80-73	1689.00	1350.50	89.71%	10.29%	+3.09	13-1
2016-06-28	Dallas Wings	W 89-84	1692.09	1477.82	81.00%	19.00%	+4.81	14-1
2016-06-30	Atlanta Dream	W 84-75	1696.90	1459.32	82.98%	17.02%	+5.79	15-1
2016-07-03	New York Liberty	W 77-67	1702.69	1602.21	68.89%	31.11%	+11.14	16-1
2016-07-06	Indiana Fever	W 94-88	1713.83	1485.69	82.20%	17.80%	+4.94	17-1
2016-07-10	Washington Mystics	W 93-82	1718.77	1507.85	80.70%	19.30%	+7.26	18-1
2016-07-13	@ Chicago Sky	W 77-67	1726.03	1494.08	75.37%	24.63%	+8.82	19-1
2016-07-15	@ Connecticut Sun	W 98-92	1734.85	1402.72	84.49%	15.51%	+4.30	20-1
2016-07-17	@ Atlanta Dream	L 74-91	1739.15	1450.37	80.94%	19.06%	-37.81	20-2
2016-07-19	@ Indiana Fever	L 82-92	1701.34	1496.37	72.38%	27.62%	-25.93	20-3
2016-07-22	@ Washington Mystics	W 95-75	1675.41	1444.31	75.28%	24.72%	+12.52	21-3
2016-08-26	@ Seattle Storm	L 72-79	1687.93	1431.39	77.91%	22.09%	-23.35	21-4
2016-08-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-70	1664.58	1508.10	66.47%	33.53%	-15.06	21-5
2016-09-01	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 70-61	1649.52	1307.45	85.23%	14.77%	+5.02	22-5
2016-09-02	@ Dallas Wings	W 87-79	1654.54	1361.10	81.35%	18.65%	+5.98	23-5
2016-09-04	Indiana Fever	W 88-81	1660.52	1519.38	73.67%	26.33%	+7.89	24-5
2016-09-06	Minnesota Lynx	L 74-77	1668.41	1694.48	51.66%	48.34%	-10.14	24-6
2016-09-08	Atlanta Dream	L 81-86	1658.27	1481.26	77.48%	22.52%	-19.63	24-7
2016-09-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 60-78	1638.64	1525.85	60.65%	39.35%	-29.15	24-8
2016-09-13	Phoenix Mercury	W 90-85	1609.49	1508.01	69.01%	30.99%	+7.85	25-8
2016-09-16	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 71-65	1617.34	1289.14	89.15%	10.85%	+3.01	26-8
2016-05-14	Phoenix Mercury	W 95-76	1543.92	1546.95	54.96%	45.04%	+22.24	1-0
2016-05-18	@ Chicago Sky	W 97-80	1566.16	1540.06	48.34%	51.66%	+24.13	2-0
2016-05-22	@ Seattle Storm	W 78-71	1590.29	1435.98	66.19%	33.81%	+10.14	3-0
2016-05-25	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 85-78	1600.43	1506.51	58.03%	41.97%	+12.58	4-0
2016-05-27	Indiana Fever	W 74-71	1613.01	1534.64	66.10%	33.90%	+6.65	5-0
2016-05-31	@ New York Liberty	W 79-69	1619.66	1523.49	58.35%	41.65%	+14.92	6-0
2016-06-04	Dallas Wings	W 80-63	1634.58	1491.43	73.90%	26.10%	+12.20	7-0
2016-06-07	Phoenix Mercury	W 89-81	1646.78	1498.41	74.47%	25.53%	+8.18	8-0
2016-06-10	@ Atlanta Dream	W 110-78	1654.96	1544.09	60.39%	39.61%	+25.39	9-0
2016-06-11	@ Washington Mystics	W 83-76	1680.35	1457.29	74.41%	25.59%	+7.67	10-0
2016-06-14	Indiana Fever	W 87-63	1688.02	1482.74	80.19%	19.81%	+10.99	11-0
2016-06-19	@ Seattle Storm	W 96-84	1699.01	1407.28	81.20%	18.80%	+7.38	12-0
2016-06-21	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 72-69	1706.39	1668.34	50.06%	49.94%	+9.80	13-0
2016-06-24	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-94	1716.19	1658.54	63.38%	36.62%	-30.46	13-1
2016-06-26	@ Washington Mystics	L 63-87	1685.73	1487.31	71.62%	28.38%	-39.76	13-2
2016-06-29	New York Liberty	L 92-95	1645.97	1571.58	65.58%	34.42%	-12.87	13-3
2016-07-02	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 91-68	1633.10	1345.80	86.65%	13.35%	+7.26	14-3
2016-07-05	Chicago Sky	W 87-82	1640.36	1497.19	73.90%	26.10%	+6.61	15-3
2016-07-07	@ Connecticut Sun	L 89-93	1646.97	1353.33	81.36%	18.64%	-18.44	15-4
2016-07-09	Dallas Wings	W 93-56	1628.53	1468.91	75.68%	24.32%	+16.76	16-4
2016-07-12	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-57	1645.29	1336.27	82.67%	17.33%	+9.62	17-4
2016-07-15	New York Liberty	W 88-70	1654.91	1624.37	59.68%	40.32%	+19.38	18-4
2016-07-17	@ Dallas Wings	W 98-97	1674.29	1440.17	75.61%	24.39%	+2.77	19-4
2016-07-20	Atlanta Dream	W 83-65	1677.06	1488.18	78.65%	21.35%	+10.26	20-4
2016-07-22	Seattle Storm	W 79-72	1687.32	1436.17	84.05%	15.95%	+4.78	21-4
2016-08-26	@ Connecticut Sun	L 80-84	1692.10	1433.10	78.15%	21.85%	-17.71	21-5
2016-08-28	Seattle Storm	W 92-80	1674.39	1454.74	81.47%	18.53%	+7.27	22-5
2016-09-02	Washington Mystics	W 75-69	1681.66	1441.33	83.20%	16.80%	+4.67	23-5
2016-09-04	Connecticut Sun	W 93-79	1686.33	1474.77	80.76%	19.24%	+8.15	24-5
2016-09-06	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 77-74	1694.48	1668.41	48.34%	51.66%	+10.14	25-5
2016-09-11	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-76	1704.62	1273.19	90.61%	9.39%	+2.38	26-5
2016-09-13	@ Chicago Sky	L 97-98	1707.00	1506.28	71.89%	28.11%	-8.15	26-6
2016-09-16	@ Indiana Fever	W 82-75	1698.85	1533.16	67.64%	32.36%	+9.70	27-6
2016-09-17	Atlanta Dream	W 95-87	1708.55	1474.63	82.68%	17.32%	+5.56	28-6
2016-05-14	@ Washington Mystics	W 87-76	1523.97	1513.09	46.16%	53.84%	+20.23	1-0
2016-05-15	Dallas Wings	W 79-71	1544.20	1511.62	59.97%	40.03%	+12.83	2-0
2016-05-21	Los Angeles Sparks	L 72-79	1557.03	1550.54	56.31%	43.69%	-16.88	2-1
2016-05-24	Atlanta Dream	L 79-85	1540.15	1506.95	60.05%	39.95%	-16.66	2-2
2016-05-31	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-79	1523.49	1619.66	41.65%	58.35%	-14.93	2-3
2016-06-03	Indiana Fever	W 91-59	1508.56	1525.69	52.94%	47.06%	+30.16	3-3
2016-06-05	@ Seattle Storm	W 86-78	1538.72	1448.26	57.55%	42.45%	+13.61	4-3
2016-06-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 77-100	1552.33	1611.96	36.36%	63.64%	-19.76	4-4
2016-06-11	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 90-75	1532.57	1361.73	68.29%	31.71%	+13.92	5-4
2016-06-14	Dallas Wings	W 91-88	1546.49	1442.11	69.37%	30.63%	+6.01	6-4
2016-06-16	@ Connecticut Sun	W 80-72	1552.50	1370.56	69.65%	30.35%	+9.72	7-4
2016-06-19	@ Indiana Fever	W 78-75	1562.22	1485.41	55.62%	44.38%	+8.71	8-4
2016-06-22	@ Atlanta Dream	W 90-79	1570.93	1501.62	54.55%	45.45%	+17.08	9-4
2016-06-24	Chicago Sky	W 80-79	1588.01	1516.75	65.17%	34.83%	+3.95	10-4
2016-06-26	Phoenix Mercury	L 97-104	1591.96	1498.80	67.98%	32.02%	-20.38	10-5
2016-06-29	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 95-92	1571.58	1645.97	34.42%	65.58%	+12.87	11-5
2016-07-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 99-88	1584.45	1527.84	52.73%	47.27%	+17.76	12-5
2016-07-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-77	1602.21	1702.69	31.11%	68.89%	-11.14	12-6
2016-07-06	Seattle Storm	W 78-74	1591.07	1399.52	78.90%	21.10%	+4.78	13-6
2016-07-08	@ Chicago Sky	W 88-85	1595.85	1490.58	59.62%	40.38%	+7.92	14-6
2016-07-10	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 75-65	1603.77	1341.69	84.88%	15.12%	+5.42	15-6
2016-07-13	Atlanta Dream	W 86-62	1609.19	1477.03	72.66%	27.34%	+15.18	16-6
2016-07-15	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-88	1624.37	1654.91	40.32%	59.68%	-19.38	16-7
2016-07-17	Connecticut Sun	W 83-76	1604.99	1398.42	80.31%	19.69%	+5.90	17-7
2016-07-20	@ Washington Mystics	W 88-81	1610.89	1454.36	66.48%	33.52%	+10.05	18-7
2016-07-21	Indiana Fever	L 70-82	1620.94	1522.30	68.66%	31.34%	-26.95	18-8
2016-08-26	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 84-77	1593.99	1301.84	81.23%	18.77%	+5.63	19-8
2016-09-01	@ Indiana Fever	L 77-98	1599.62	1487.97	60.50%	39.50%	-31.41	19-9
2016-09-03	Phoenix Mercury	W 92-70	1568.21	1522.13	61.82%	38.18%	+20.29	20-9
2016-09-07	Seattle Storm	L 78-102	1588.50	1473.51	70.65%	29.35%	-39.22	20-10
2016-09-09	Connecticut Sun	W 89-82	1549.28	1466.61	66.65%	33.35%	+10.00	21-10
2016-09-11	@ Dallas Wings	L 81-84	1559.28	1359.24	71.81%	28.19%	-14.09	21-11
2016-09-13	Washington Mystics	L 62-75	1545.19	1460.24	66.94%	33.06%	-27.35	21-12
2016-09-16	@ Chicago Sky	L 68-92	1517.84	1514.42	45.10%	54.90%	-25.03	21-13
2016-05-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-95	1546.95	1543.92	45.04%	54.96%	-22.24	0-1
2016-05-18	@ Indiana Fever	L 93-97	1524.71	1509.45	46.79%	53.21%	-10.61	0-2
2016-05-20	Seattle Storm	L 80-81	1514.10	1428.38	67.04%	32.96%	-7.59	0-3
2016-05-25	Minnesota Lynx	L 78-85	1506.51	1600.43	41.97%	58.03%	-12.58	0-4
2016-05-29	Washington Mystics	W 93-77	1493.93	1469.79	58.79%	41.21%	+18.67	1-4
2016-05-31	Connecticut Sun	W 99-90	1512.60	1416.93	68.29%	31.71%	+10.78	2-4
2016-06-03	@ Seattle Storm	L 81-95	1523.38	1423.29	58.90%	41.10%	-24.97	2-5
2016-06-07	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 81-89	1498.41	1646.78	25.53%	74.47%	-8.18	2-6
2016-06-09	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 90-75	1490.23	1374.57	70.73%	29.27%	+12.85	3-6
2016-06-12	Chicago Sky	W 86-80	1503.08	1546.11	49.22%	50.78%	+14.09	4-6
2016-06-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 71-77	1517.17	1661.12	26.02%	73.98%	-7.22	4-7
2016-06-18	Dallas Wings	L 111-117	1509.95	1450.57	63.61%	36.39%	-17.65	4-8
2016-06-21	@ Dallas Wings	L 90-100	1492.30	1468.22	48.05%	51.95%	-17.22	4-9
2016-06-24	@ Washington Mystics	W 91-79	1475.08	1511.03	39.57%	60.43%	+23.72	5-9
2016-06-26	@ New York Liberty	W 104-97	1498.80	1591.96	32.02%	67.98%	+20.38	6-9
2016-06-29	Connecticut Sun	W 86-75	1519.18	1347.41	76.95%	23.05%	+8.66	7-9
2016-07-01	New York Liberty	L 88-99	1527.84	1584.45	47.27%	52.73%	-17.76	7-10
2016-07-03	@ Atlanta Dream	W 95-87	1510.08	1453.53	52.72%	47.28%	+15.15	8-10
2016-07-05	@ Dallas Wings	L 74-77	1525.23	1470.86	52.41%	47.59%	-10.29	8-11
2016-07-08	Indiana Fever	L 60-78	1514.94	1480.75	60.19%	39.81%	-28.93	8-12
2016-07-10	@ Chicago Sky	L 95-100	1486.01	1482.66	45.09%	54.91%	-11.42	8-13
2016-07-13	Washington Mystics	W 78-74	1474.59	1500.60	51.67%	48.33%	+10.95	9-13
2016-07-16	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 83-64	1485.54	1326.65	75.61%	24.39%	+12.05	10-13
2016-07-19	Chicago Sky	L 77-79	1497.59	1506.28	54.15%	45.85%	-8.68	10-14
2016-08-26	Dallas Wings	W 98-72	1488.91	1405.16	66.79%	33.21%	+19.19	11-14
2016-08-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 70-66	1508.10	1664.58	33.53%	66.47%	+15.06	12-14
2016-08-30	@ Indiana Fever	W 79-65	1523.16	1510.70	46.39%	53.61%	+22.73	13-14
2016-09-02	@ Connecticut Sun	L 74-87	1545.89	1451.01	58.17%	41.83%	-23.76	13-15
2016-09-03	@ New York Liberty	L 70-92	1522.13	1568.21	38.18%	61.82%	-20.30	13-16
2016-09-06	@ Atlanta Dream	L 87-91	1501.83	1470.12	49.15%	50.85%	-11.13	13-17
2016-09-11	Atlanta Dream	W 86-75	1490.70	1500.89	53.94%	46.06%	+17.31	14-17
2016-09-13	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 85-90	1508.01	1609.49	30.99%	69.01%	-7.86	14-18
2016-09-15	Seattle Storm	W 86-62	1500.15	1555.01	47.52%	52.48%	+29.13	15-18
2016-09-18	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 81-65	1529.28	1286.13	76.55%	23.45%	+10.63	16-18
2016-05-14	Atlanta Dream	L 63-73	1418.82	1492.21	44.87%	55.13%	-16.08	0-1
2016-05-19	Connecticut Sun	L 68-72	1402.74	1451.18	48.44%	51.56%	-10.98	0-2
2016-05-21	@ Dallas Wings	L 77-82	1391.76	1518.34	27.99%	72.01%	-7.09	0-3
2016-05-27	Chicago Sky	W 79-78	1384.67	1483.83	41.23%	58.77%	+6.66	1-3
2016-06-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 61-68	1391.33	1595.20	19.94%	80.06%	-5.98	1-4
2016-06-04	Los Angeles Sparks	L 61-74	1385.35	1601.18	26.39%	73.61%	-10.78	1-5
2016-06-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 75-90	1374.57	1490.23	29.27%	70.73%	-12.84	1-6
2016-06-11	New York Liberty	L 75-90	1361.73	1532.57	31.71%	68.29%	-13.92	1-7
2016-06-14	Seattle Storm	W 77-70	1347.81	1439.03	42.35%	57.65%	+17.29	2-7
2016-06-17	Indiana Fever	L 75-84	1365.10	1471.75	40.19%	59.81%	-13.66	2-8
2016-06-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 90-93	1351.44	1360.84	43.28%	56.72%	-8.50	2-9
2016-06-21	@ Chicago Sky	L 75-81	1342.94	1510.23	23.52%	76.48%	-6.52	2-10
2016-06-23	@ Dallas Wings	L 90-97	1336.42	1485.44	25.46%	74.54%	-7.63	2-11
2016-06-25	Atlanta Dream	W 73-69	1328.79	1484.54	33.62%	66.38%	+15.04	3-11
2016-06-29	@ Washington Mystics	L 67-84	1343.83	1527.07	21.90%	78.10%	-10.24	3-12
2016-07-01	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-85	1333.59	1497.90	23.83%	76.17%	+12.21	4-12
2016-07-02	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-91	1345.80	1633.10	13.35%	86.65%	-7.25	4-13
2016-07-06	Washington Mystics	W 77-70	1338.55	1529.04	29.32%	70.68%	+21.18	5-13
2016-07-08	Seattle Storm	L 68-78	1359.73	1394.74	50.37%	49.63%	-18.04	5-14
2016-07-10	@ New York Liberty	L 65-75	1341.69	1603.77	15.12%	84.88%	-5.42	5-15
2016-07-12	Minnesota Lynx	L 57-81	1336.27	1645.29	17.33%	82.67%	-9.62	5-16
2016-07-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 64-83	1326.65	1485.54	24.39%	75.61%	-12.05	5-17
2016-07-20	@ Seattle Storm	L 69-83	1314.60	1423.41	30.09%	69.91%	-12.76	5-18
2016-08-26	New York Liberty	L 77-84	1301.84	1593.99	18.77%	81.23%	-5.62	5-19
2016-08-28	@ Washington Mystics	W 85-74	1296.22	1470.34	22.81%	77.19%	+29.00	6-19
2016-08-30	@ Connecticut Sun	L 62-89	1325.22	1433.23	30.19%	69.81%	-17.77	6-20
2016-09-01	Los Angeles Sparks	L 61-70	1307.45	1649.52	14.77%	85.23%	-5.02	6-21
2016-09-04	@ Chicago Sky	L 73-97	1302.43	1530.82	17.78%	82.22%	-9.87	6-22
2016-09-06	Indiana Fever	L 69-71	1292.56	1511.49	26.04%	73.96%	-4.17	6-23
2016-09-09	Dallas Wings	L 84-92	1288.39	1344.05	47.40%	52.60%	-15.20	6-24
2016-09-11	Minnesota Lynx	L 76-81	1273.19	1704.62	9.39%	90.61%	-2.37	6-25
2016-09-13	@ Atlanta Dream	W 71-67	1270.82	1483.58	19.14%	80.86%	+18.32	7-25
2016-09-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 65-71	1289.14	1617.34	10.85%	89.15%	-3.01	7-26
2016-09-18	Phoenix Mercury	L 65-81	1286.13	1529.28	23.45%	76.55%	-10.63	7-27
2016-05-15	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 66-96	1452.23	1496.51	38.43%	61.57%	-23.85	0-1
2016-05-20	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 81-80	1428.38	1514.10	32.96%	67.04%	+7.60	1-1
2016-05-22	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-78	1435.98	1590.29	33.81%	66.19%	-10.14	1-2
2016-05-26	Washington Mystics	L 82-84	1425.84	1461.74	50.25%	49.75%	-8.05	1-3
2016-05-28	Connecticut Sun	W 93-82	1417.79	1434.60	52.99%	47.01%	+17.67	2-3
2016-06-01	@ Indiana Fever	L 75-85	1435.46	1513.53	33.94%	66.06%	-12.17	2-4
2016-06-03	Phoenix Mercury	W 95-81	1423.29	1523.38	41.10%	58.90%	+24.97	3-4
2016-06-05	New York Liberty	L 78-86	1448.26	1538.72	42.45%	57.55%	-13.60	3-5
2016-06-10	@ Connecticut Sun	L 76-77	1434.66	1381.14	52.29%	47.71%	-5.93	3-6
2016-06-12	@ Indiana Fever	W 90-88	1428.73	1493.04	35.74%	64.26%	+10.30	4-6
2016-06-14	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 70-77	1439.03	1347.81	57.65%	42.35%	-17.28	4-7
2016-06-16	@ Dallas Wings	L 79-88	1421.75	1436.10	42.58%	57.42%	-14.47	4-8
2016-06-19	Minnesota Lynx	L 84-96	1407.28	1699.01	18.80%	81.20%	-7.38	4-9
2016-06-24	Connecticut Sun	W 98-81	1399.90	1369.33	59.69%	40.31%	+18.83	5-9
2016-06-28	Atlanta Dream	W 84-81	1418.73	1469.50	48.11%	51.89%	+10.18	6-9
2016-06-30	Dallas Wings	L 78-83	1428.91	1473.00	49.07%	50.93%	-12.43	6-10
2016-07-05	@ Atlanta Dream	L 64-77	1416.48	1438.38	41.52%	58.48%	-16.96	6-11
2016-07-06	@ New York Liberty	L 74-78	1399.52	1591.07	21.10%	78.90%	-4.78	6-12
2016-07-08	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 78-68	1394.74	1359.73	49.63%	50.37%	+18.05	7-12
2016-07-10	Indiana Fever	L 82-93	1412.79	1509.68	41.55%	58.45%	-15.62	7-13
2016-07-15	Washington Mystics	W 80-51	1397.17	1489.65	42.17%	57.83%	+35.29	8-13
2016-07-17	Chicago Sky	L 88-91	1432.46	1497.23	46.10%	53.90%	-9.05	8-14
2016-07-20	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 83-69	1423.41	1314.60	69.91%	30.09%	+12.76	9-14
2016-07-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 72-79	1436.17	1687.32	15.95%	84.05%	-4.78	9-15
2016-08-26	Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-72	1431.39	1687.93	22.09%	77.91%	+23.35	10-15
2016-08-28	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-92	1454.74	1674.39	18.53%	81.47%	-7.27	10-16
2016-08-31	Dallas Wings	W 78-66	1447.47	1374.69	65.37%	34.63%	+13.59	11-16
2016-09-02	@ Chicago Sky	L 88-92	1461.06	1522.64	36.10%	63.90%	-8.18	11-17
2016-09-04	@ Atlanta Dream	W 91-82	1452.88	1490.75	39.31%	60.69%	+20.63	12-17
2016-09-07	@ New York Liberty	W 102-78	1473.51	1588.50	29.35%	70.65%	+39.22	13-17
2016-09-09	@ Washington Mystics	W 81-76	1512.73	1487.65	48.20%	51.80%	+13.12	14-17
2016-09-11	Los Angeles Sparks	W 78-60	1525.85	1638.64	39.35%	60.65%	+29.16	15-17
2016-09-15	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 62-86	1555.01	1500.15	52.48%	47.52%	-29.13	15-18
2016-09-18	Chicago Sky	W 88-75	1525.88	1539.46	53.45%	46.55%	+19.01	16-18
2016-05-14	New York Liberty	L 76-87	1513.09	1523.97	53.84%	46.16%	-20.23	0-1
2016-05-18	Dallas Wings	L 77-87	1492.86	1498.79	54.55%	45.45%	-19.55	0-2
2016-05-20	Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-97	1473.31	1520.36	48.64%	51.36%	-30.18	0-3
2016-05-21	@ Connecticut Sun	W 84-76	1443.13	1462.16	41.92%	58.08%	+18.61	1-3
2016-05-26	@ Seattle Storm	W 84-82	1461.74	1425.84	49.75%	50.25%	+8.05	2-3
2016-05-29	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 77-93	1469.79	1493.93	41.21%	58.79%	-18.67	2-4
2016-06-01	Chicago Sky	L 78-86	1451.12	1492.25	49.49%	50.51%	-15.86	2-5
2016-06-03	@ Chicago Sky	L 72-98	1435.26	1508.11	34.62%	65.38%	-20.00	2-6
2016-06-05	@ Atlanta Dream	W 86-79	1415.26	1566.51	25.22%	74.78%	+22.41	3-6
2016-06-08	@ Dallas Wings	W 87-79	1437.67	1479.24	38.80%	61.20%	+19.62	4-6
2016-06-11	Minnesota Lynx	L 76-83	1457.29	1680.35	25.59%	74.41%	-7.67	4-7
2016-06-14	@ Connecticut Sun	W 109-106	1449.62	1379.46	54.67%	45.33%	+8.89	5-7
2016-06-18	Atlanta Dream	W 95-65	1458.51	1536.22	44.26%	55.74%	+34.60	6-7
2016-06-22	Indiana Fever	W 76-62	1493.11	1476.70	57.71%	42.29%	+17.92	7-7
2016-06-24	Phoenix Mercury	L 79-91	1511.03	1475.08	60.43%	39.57%	-23.72	7-8
2016-06-26	Minnesota Lynx	W 87-63	1487.31	1685.73	28.38%	71.62%	+39.76	8-8
2016-06-29	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 84-67	1527.07	1343.83	78.10%	21.90%	+10.23	9-8
2016-07-01	@ Chicago Sky	L 84-86	1537.30	1488.93	51.55%	48.45%	-8.26	9-9
2016-07-06	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 70-77	1529.04	1338.55	70.68%	29.32%	-21.19	9-10
2016-07-10	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 82-93	1507.85	1718.77	19.30%	80.70%	-7.25	9-11
2016-07-13	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 74-78	1500.60	1474.59	48.33%	51.67%	-10.95	9-12
2016-07-15	@ Seattle Storm	L 51-80	1489.65	1397.17	57.83%	42.17%	-35.29	9-13
2016-07-20	New York Liberty	L 81-88	1454.36	1610.89	33.52%	66.48%	-10.05	9-14
2016-07-22	Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-95	1444.31	1675.41	24.72%	75.28%	-12.52	9-15
2016-08-27	@ Indiana Fever	W 92-69	1431.79	1549.25	29.06%	70.94%	+38.55	10-15
2016-08-28	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 74-85	1470.34	1296.22	77.19%	22.81%	-29.01	10-16
2016-09-02	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 69-75	1441.33	1681.66	16.80%	83.20%	-4.66	10-17
2016-09-04	@ Dallas Wings	W 88-83	1436.67	1355.12	56.29%	43.71%	+11.08	11-17
2016-09-07	Chicago Sky	W 118-81	1447.75	1540.69	42.10%	57.90%	+39.90	12-17
2016-09-09	Seattle Storm	L 76-81	1487.65	1512.73	51.80%	48.20%	-13.13	12-18
2016-09-11	Indiana Fever	L 73-80	1474.52	1528.40	47.66%	52.34%	-14.28	12-19
2016-09-13	@ New York Liberty	W 75-62	1460.24	1545.19	33.06%	66.94%	+27.34	13-19
2016-09-15	@ Atlanta Dream	L 91-94	1487.58	1465.25	47.80%	52.20%	-9.38	13-20
2016-09-18	Connecticut Sun	L 78-87	1478.20	1470.30	56.51%	43.49%	-19.21	13-21

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2016-09-21	Seattle Storm	W 94-85	1469.08	1544.89	44.52%	55.48%	+18.86	1-0
2016-09-25	@ Chicago Sky	L 98-108	1487.94	1520.44	40.05%	59.95%	-14.35	1-1
2016-09-25	Atlanta Dream	W 108-98	1520.44	1487.94	59.95%	40.05%	+14.35	1-0
2016-09-28	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-95	1534.79	1620.35	32.98%	67.02%	-16.71	1-1
2016-09-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 84-99	1518.08	1637.06	28.88%	71.12%	-12.67	1-2
2016-10-02	Los Angeles Sparks	W 70-66	1505.41	1649.73	35.11%	64.89%	+14.70	2-2
2016-10-04	Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-95	1520.11	1635.03	39.05%	60.95%	-19.79	2-3
2016-09-21	Phoenix Mercury	L 78-89	1535.94	1539.91	54.83%	45.17%	-20.60	0-1
2016-09-28	Chicago Sky	W 95-75	1620.35	1534.79	67.02%	32.98%	+16.71	1-0
2016-09-30	Chicago Sky	W 99-84	1637.06	1518.08	71.12%	28.88%	+12.67	2-0
2016-10-02	@ Chicago Sky	L 66-70	1649.73	1505.41	64.89%	35.11%	-14.70	2-1
2016-10-04	@ Chicago Sky	W 95-75	1635.03	1520.11	60.95%	39.05%	+19.79	3-1
2016-10-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 78-76	1654.82	1748.62	31.94%	68.06%	+10.90	4-1
2016-10-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 60-79	1665.72	1737.72	34.73%	65.27%	-17.15	4-2
2016-10-14	Minnesota Lynx	W 92-75	1648.57	1754.87	40.24%	59.76%	+27.92	5-2
2016-10-16	Minnesota Lynx	L 79-85	1676.49	1726.95	48.15%	51.85%	-13.37	5-3
2016-10-20	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 77-76	1663.12	1740.31	34.05%	65.95%	+7.47	6-3
2016-09-28	Phoenix Mercury	W 113-95	1714.11	1574.21	73.53%	26.47%	+12.72	1-0
2016-09-30	Phoenix Mercury	W 96-86	1726.83	1561.48	76.28%	23.72%	+8.50	2-0
2016-10-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 82-67	1735.33	1552.99	69.70%	30.30%	+13.29	3-0
2016-10-09	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-78	1748.62	1654.82	68.06%	31.94%	-10.90	3-1
2016-10-11	Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-60	1737.72	1665.72	65.27%	34.73%	+17.15	4-1
2016-10-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 75-92	1754.87	1648.57	59.76%	40.24%	-27.92	4-2
2016-10-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 85-79	1726.95	1676.49	51.85%	48.15%	+13.36	5-2
2016-10-20	Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-77	1740.31	1663.12	65.95%	34.05%	-7.47	5-3
2016-09-24	Phoenix Mercury	L 94-101	1492.81	1560.51	45.68%	54.32%	-13.69	0-1
2016-09-21	@ Indiana Fever	W 89-78	1539.91	1535.94	45.17%	54.83%	+20.60	1-0
2016-09-24	@ New York Liberty	W 101-94	1560.51	1492.81	54.32%	45.68%	+13.70	2-0
2016-09-28	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 95-113	1574.21	1714.11	26.47%	73.53%	-12.73	2-1
2016-09-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 86-96	1561.48	1726.83	23.72%	76.28%	-8.49	2-2
2016-10-02	Minnesota Lynx	L 67-82	1552.99	1735.33	30.30%	69.70%	-13.30	2-3
2016-09-21	@ Atlanta Dream	L 85-94	1544.89	1469.08	55.48%	44.52%	-18.85	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2016-07-07	18.64%	@ Connecticut Sun	1353.33	93	Minnesota Lynx	1646.97	89
2	2016-07-17	19.06%	@ Atlanta Dream	1450.37	91	Los Angeles Sparks	1739.15	74
3	2016-09-13	19.14%	San Antonio Silver Stars	1270.82	71	@ Atlanta Dream	1483.58	67
4	2016-08-26	21.85%	@ Connecticut Sun	1433.10	84	Minnesota Lynx	1692.10	80
5	2016-08-26	22.09%	@ Seattle Storm	1431.39	79	Los Angeles Sparks	1687.93	72
6	2016-09-08	22.52%	Atlanta Dream	1481.26	86	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1658.27	81
7	2016-08-28	22.81%	San Antonio Silver Stars	1296.22	85	@ Washington Mystics	1470.34	74
8	2016-07-01	23.83%	San Antonio Silver Stars	1333.59	87	@ Indiana Fever	1497.90	85
9	2016-07-13	23.96%	Connecticut Sun	1362.31	86	@ Indiana Fever	1525.29	64
10	2016-06-05	25.22%	Washington Mystics	1415.26	86	@ Atlanta Dream	1566.51	79
11	2016-07-02	25.71%	Connecticut Sun	1338.75	86	@ Dallas Wings	1485.44	83
12	2016-07-19	27.62%	@ Indiana Fever	1496.37	92	Los Angeles Sparks	1701.34	82
13	2016-09-13	28.11%	@ Chicago Sky	1506.28	98	Minnesota Lynx	1707.00	97
14	2016-09-11	28.19%	@ Dallas Wings	1359.24	84	New York Liberty	1559.28	81
15	2016-06-26	28.38%	@ Washington Mystics	1487.31	87	Minnesota Lynx	1685.73	63
16	2016-08-27	29.06%	Washington Mystics	1431.79	92	@ Indiana Fever	1549.25	69
17	2016-07-06	29.32%	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	1338.55	77	Washington Mystics	1529.04	70
18	2016-09-07	29.35%	Seattle Storm	1473.51	102	@ New York Liberty	1588.50	78
19	2016-07-22	31.26%	Connecticut Sun	1415.68	94	@ Chicago Sky	1514.96	89
20	2016-07-21	31.34%	Indiana Fever	1522.30	82	@ New York Liberty	1620.94	70
21	2016-10-09 *	31.94%	Los Angeles Sparks	1654.82	78	@ Minnesota Lynx	1748.62	76
22	2016-06-26	32.02%	Phoenix Mercury	1498.80	104	@ New York Liberty	1591.96	97
23	2016-05-20	32.96%	Seattle Storm	1428.38	81	@ Phoenix Mercury	1514.10	80
24	2016-09-13	33.06%	Washington Mystics	1460.24	75	@ New York Liberty	1545.19	62
25	2016-08-28	33.53%	@ Phoenix Mercury	1508.10	70	Los Angeles Sparks	1664.58	66

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2016-07-13	40.41	Connecticut Sun	86	1362.31	23.96%	@ Indiana Fever	64	1525.29	76.04%
2	2016-09-07	39.90	@ Washington Mystics	118	1447.75	42.10%	Chicago Sky	81	1540.69	57.90%
3	2016-06-26	39.76	@ Washington Mystics	87	1487.31	28.38%	Minnesota Lynx	63	1685.73	71.62%
4	2016-09-07	39.22	Seattle Storm	102	1473.51	29.35%	@ New York Liberty	78	1588.50	70.65%
5	2016-08-27	38.55	Washington Mystics	92	1431.79	29.06%	@ Indiana Fever	69	1549.25	70.94%
6	2016-07-17	37.81	@ Atlanta Dream	91	1450.37	19.06%	Los Angeles Sparks	74	1739.15	80.94%
7	2016-07-15	35.29	@ Seattle Storm	80	1397.17	42.17%	Washington Mystics	51	1489.65	57.83%
8	2016-06-18	34.60	@ Washington Mystics	95	1458.51	44.26%	Atlanta Dream	65	1536.22	55.74%
9	2016-09-01	31.41	@ Indiana Fever	98	1487.97	39.50%	New York Liberty	77	1599.62	60.50%
10	2016-06-24	30.46	Los Angeles Sparks	94	1658.54	36.62%	@ Minnesota Lynx	76	1716.19	63.38%
11	2016-05-20	30.18	Los Angeles Sparks	97	1520.36	51.36%	@ Washington Mystics	67	1473.31	48.64%
12	2016-06-03	30.16	@ New York Liberty	91	1508.56	52.94%	Indiana Fever	59	1525.69	47.06%
13	2016-09-11	29.16	@ Seattle Storm	78	1525.85	39.35%	Los Angeles Sparks	60	1638.64	60.65%
14	2016-09-15	29.13	@ Phoenix Mercury	86	1500.15	47.52%	Seattle Storm	62	1555.01	52.48%
15	2016-08-28	29.01	San Antonio Silver Stars	85	1296.22	22.81%	@ Washington Mystics	74	1470.34	77.19%
16	2016-07-08	28.93	Indiana Fever	78	1480.75	39.81%	@ Phoenix Mercury	60	1514.94	60.19%
17	2016-10-14 *	27.92	@ Los Angeles Sparks	92	1648.57	40.24%	Minnesota Lynx	75	1754.87	59.76%
18	2016-09-13	27.35	Washington Mystics	75	1460.24	33.06%	@ New York Liberty	62	1545.19	66.94%
19	2016-07-21	26.95	Indiana Fever	82	1522.30	31.34%	@ New York Liberty	70	1620.94	68.66%
20	2016-07-19	25.93	@ Indiana Fever	92	1496.37	27.62%	Los Angeles Sparks	82	1701.34	72.38%
21	2016-06-10	25.39	Minnesota Lynx	110	1654.96	60.39%	@ Atlanta Dream	78	1544.09	39.61%
22	2016-09-16	25.04	@ Chicago Sky	92	1514.42	54.90%	New York Liberty	68	1517.84	45.10%
23	2016-06-03	24.97	@ Seattle Storm	95	1423.29	41.10%	Phoenix Mercury	81	1523.38	58.90%
24	2016-05-18	24.13	Minnesota Lynx	97	1566.16	48.34%	@ Chicago Sky	80	1540.06	51.66%
25	2016-06-29	23.88	Indiana Fever	95	1474.02	39.18%	@ Chicago Sky	83	1512.81	60.82%