2016 WNBA Season
204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Los Angeles Sparks
3rd Title
Last Title: 2002
Runner-Up
Minnesota Lynx
5
Last Appearance: 2015
Biggest Overachiever
Minnesota Lynx
4.27 wins above expected
28 wins · 23.73 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Dallas Wings
3.92 wins below expected
11 wins · 14.92 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx League | 28 | 6 | .824 | — | 85.8 | 77.0 | +8.8 | 23.73 | +4.27 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 26 | 8 | .765 | 2 | 83.0 | 75.9 | +7.1 | 23.16 | +2.84 |
| 3 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 7 | 81.6 | 80.9 | +0.8 | 20.37 | +0.63 |
| 4 | Chicago Sky Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 10 | 86.2 | 85.6 | +0.6 | 17.51 | +0.49 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 11 | 80.5 | 80.9 | -0.4 | 17.44 | -0.44 |
| 6 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 11 | 81.8 | 84.0 | -2.2 | 16.66 | +0.34 |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 16 | 18 | .471 | 12 | 84.6 | 83.3 | +1.3 | 17.92 | -1.92 |
| 8 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 16 | 18 | .471 | 12 | 80.8 | 80.2 | +0.6 | 14.04 | +1.96 |
| 9 | Connecticut Sun | 14 | 20 | .412 | 14 | 83.0 | 84.4 | -1.4 | 12.88 | +1.12 |
| 10 | Washington Mystics | 13 | 21 | .382 | 15 | 80.7 | 82.2 | -1.5 | 15.76 | -2.76 |
| 11 | Dallas Wings | 11 | 23 | .324 | 17 | 82.6 | 88.2 | -5.6 | 14.92 | -3.92 |
| 12 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 7 | 27 | .206 | 21 | 72.0 | 80.2 | -8.2 | 9.62 | -2.62 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
WNBA Playoffs
First Round
Atlanta Dream
94
Seattle Storm
85
Phoenix Mercury
89
Indiana Fever
78
Second Round
Phoenix Mercury
101
New York Liberty
94
Chicago Sky
108
Atlanta Dream
98
Semifinals
Los Angeles Sparks
3
Chicago Sky
1
Minnesota Lynx
3
Phoenix Mercury
0
WNBA Finals
Los Angeles Sparks
3
Minnesota Lynx
2
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 1694 | 28 | 23.73 | +4.27 | 97.20% | 13 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 33 | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1616 | 26 | 23.16 | +2.84 | 90.23% | 12 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 31 | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1536 | 16 | 17.92 | -1.92 | 30.40% | 6 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 28 | ||
| Indiana Fever | 1533 | 17 | 17.44 | -0.44 | 50.66% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | ||
| Seattle Storm | 1525 | 16 | 14.04 | +1.96 | 81.47% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 23 | ||
| Chicago Sky | 1520 | 18 | 17.51 | +0.49 | 63.59% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 28 | ||
| New York Liberty | 1508 | 21 | 20.37 | +0.63 | 65.93% | 9 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 31 | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 1478 | 14 | 12.88 | +1.12 | 73.56% | 3 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 23 | ||
| Atlanta Dream | 1473 | 17 | 16.66 | +0.34 | 61.63% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 27 | ||
| Washington Mystics | 1463 | 13 | 15.76 | -2.76 | 21.33% | 5 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 26 | ||
| Dallas Wings | 1363 | 11 | 14.92 | -3.92 | 11.31% | 5 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 25 | ||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1291 | 7 | 9.62 | -2.62 | 20.74% | 1 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Wings | Fever | Sparks | Lynx | Liberty | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Dallas Wings |
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 28 | 23.73 | +4.27 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 26 | 23.16 | +2.84 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 16 | 14.04 | +1.96 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 14 | 12.88 | +1.12 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 21 | 20.37 | +0.63 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 11 | 14.92 | -3.92 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 13 | 15.76 | -2.76 |
| 3 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 7 | 9.62 | -2.62 |
| 4 | Phoenix Mercury | 16 | 17.92 | -1.92 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 17 | 17.44 | -0.44 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 13 | May 14 – Jun 21 | 1 in 457 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | 11 | May 15 – Jun 17 | 1 in 231 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 4 | Sep 4 – Sep 11 | 1 in 51 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 3 | Jul 20 – Aug 26 | 1 in 35 |
| 5 | Atlanta Dream | 5 | May 22 – Jun 3 | 1 in 32 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 11 | Jul 8 – Sep 4 | 1 in 233 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 7 | Jul 1 – Jul 22 | 1 in 78 |
| 3 | Atlanta Dream | 6 | Jun 18 – Jul 3 | 1 in 61 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 6 | May 21 – Jun 5 | 1 in 28 |
| 5 | Minnesota Lynx | 3 | Jun 24 – Jun 29 | 1 in 25 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 48.02% | 29.15% | 12.70% | 5.80% | 2.07% | 1.33% | 0.52% | 0.24% | 0.13% | 0.04% | — | — |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 37.36% | 33.12% | 15.93% | 6.98% | 3.48% | 1.64% | 0.89% | 0.42% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.01% | — |
| New York Liberty | 8.74% | 18.03% | 25.26% | 17.28% | 11.57% | 7.90% | 5.15% | 2.98% | 1.90% | 0.82% | 0.32% | 0.05% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.02% | 5.33% | 11.17% | 16.11% | 15.87% | 14.05% | 12.22% | 9.51% | 6.75% | 4.23% | 2.25% | 0.49% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.46% | 4.68% | 10.08% | 13.71% | 15.15% | 13.90% | 12.03% | 11.15% | 7.96% | 5.72% | 3.24% | 0.92% |
| Indiana Fever | 1.32% | 4.37% | 9.68% | 13.38% | 14.86% | 14.54% | 13.59% | 10.95% | 7.99% | 5.73% | 3.00% | 0.59% |
| Atlanta Dream | 0.58% | 2.40% | 6.54% | 10.79% | 12.44% | 14.41% | 14.46% | 12.50% | 11.18% | 8.16% | 5.14% | 1.40% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.29% | 1.64% | 4.21% | 6.59% | 10.26% | 11.61% | 13.05% | 14.51% | 14.36% | 12.37% | 8.69% | 2.42% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.15% | 0.86% | 2.36% | 5.14% | 6.94% | 9.63% | 11.84% | 13.80% | 16.43% | 15.59% | 12.24% | 5.02% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.06% | 0.30% | 1.44% | 2.69% | 4.84% | 6.52% | 9.84% | 13.07% | 15.56% | 19.21% | 17.90% | 8.57% |
| Connecticut Sun | — | 0.12% | 0.59% | 1.41% | 2.39% | 3.97% | 5.49% | 9.33% | 14.30% | 19.66% | 27.99% | 14.75% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | — | — | 0.04% | 0.12% | 0.13% | 0.50% | 0.92% | 1.54% | 3.32% | 8.42% | 19.22% | 65.79% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 48.02% | 29.15% | 12.70% | 5.80% | 2.07% | 1.33% | 0.52% | 0.24% | 0.17% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 37.36% | 33.12% | 15.93% | 6.98% | 3.48% | 1.64% | 0.89% | 0.42% | 0.18% |
| New York Liberty | 8.74% | 18.03% | 25.26% | 17.28% | 11.57% | 7.90% | 5.15% | 2.98% | 3.09% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.02% | 5.33% | 11.17% | 16.11% | 15.87% | 14.05% | 12.22% | 9.51% | 13.72% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.46% | 4.68% | 10.08% | 13.71% | 15.15% | 13.90% | 12.03% | 11.15% | 17.84% |
| Indiana Fever | 1.32% | 4.37% | 9.68% | 13.38% | 14.86% | 14.54% | 13.59% | 10.95% | 17.31% |
| Atlanta Dream | 0.58% | 2.40% | 6.54% | 10.79% | 12.44% | 14.41% | 14.46% | 12.50% | 25.88% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.29% | 1.64% | 4.21% | 6.59% | 10.26% | 11.61% | 13.05% | 14.51% | 37.84% |
| Dallas Wings | 0.15% | 0.86% | 2.36% | 5.14% | 6.94% | 9.63% | 11.84% | 13.80% | 49.28% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.06% | 0.30% | 1.44% | 2.69% | 4.84% | 6.52% | 9.84% | 13.07% | 61.24% |
| Connecticut Sun | — | 0.12% | 0.59% | 1.41% | 2.39% | 3.97% | 5.49% | 9.33% | 76.70% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | — | — | 0.04% | 0.12% | 0.13% | 0.50% | 0.92% | 1.54% | 96.75% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 94.09% | 94.09% | 76.49% | 55.08% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 89.12% | 89.12% | 58.46% | 26.15% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 57.24% | 36.92% | 13.01% | 4.10% |
| New York Liberty | 58.04% | 56.43% | 16.54% | 4.07% |
| Chicago Sky | 53.24% | 32.82% | 10.91% | 3.48% |
| Indiana Fever | 53.61% | 32.99% | 10.83% | 3.47% |
| Atlanta Dream | 41.76% | 20.58% | 4.86% | 1.20% |
| Seattle Storm | 22.04% | 10.72% | 3.59% | 1.17% |
| Washington Mystics | 32.56% | 14.83% | 3.47% | 0.85% |
| Connecticut Sun | 11.32% | 4.73% | 1.13% | 0.34% |
| Dallas Wings | 20.12% | 6.66% | 0.71% | 0.09% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.83% | 0.11% | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 2.83% | 0.41% | 1.13% | 2.71% | 0.98% | 0.58% | 3.28% | 3.06% | 0.07% | 0.90% | 1.65% | |
| Chicago Sky | 3.35% | 0.82% | 1.99% | 4.38% | 1.45% | 0.80% | 5.17% | 4.64% | 0.09% | 1.57% | 2.42% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.57% | 0.58% | 0.22% | 0.69% | 0.35% | 0.18% | 0.83% | 0.63% | 0.19% | 0.37% | ||
| Dallas Wings | 0.61% | 0.94% | 0.12% | 0.76% | 0.28% | 0.15% | 0.97% | 0.89% | 0.03% | 0.27% | 0.63% | |
| Indiana Fever | 3.53% | 4.33% | 0.85% | 2.09% | 1.49% | 0.96% | 5.28% | 4.73% | 0.09% | 1.40% | 2.55% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.54% | 2.72% | 0.93% | 1.40% | 2.82% | 0.18% | 1.50% | 2.75% | 0.05% | 1.54% | 2.21% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.23% | 2.53% | 0.72% | 1.28% | 2.46% | 0.29% | 1.47% | 2.43% | 0.09% | 1.41% | 2.01% | |
| New York Liberty | 4.23% | 4.55% | 1.32% | 2.78% | 4.74% | 0.69% | 0.34% | 4.91% | 0.18% | 2.04% | 3.88% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.22% | 5.06% | 0.96% | 2.23% | 4.56% | 1.56% | 0.86% | 5.18% | 0.07% | 1.74% | 3.13% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.01% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 1.28% | 1.20% | 0.21% | 0.48% | 1.36% | 0.84% | 0.40% | 2.13% | 1.63% | 0.03% | 0.80% | |
| Washington Mystics | 1.56% | 1.80% | 0.37% | 0.87% | 1.82% | 0.93% | 0.37% | 2.54% | 2.00% | 0.02% | 0.62% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.34% | 1.69% | 0.98% | 0.98% | 0.34% | 0.15% | |||
| Chicago Sky | 0.51% | 0.05% | 0.13% | 0.61% | 3.72% | 2.37% | 2.30% | 0.83% | 0.10% | 0.29% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.40% | 0.32% | 0.25% | 0.07% | |||||
| Dallas Wings | 0.08% | 0.06% | 0.20% | 0.10% | 0.18% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.04% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.39% | 0.76% | 0.02% | 0.19% | 3.85% | 2.22% | 2.27% | 0.77% | 0.12% | 0.24% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 5.60% | 7.91% | 1.29% | 2.30% | 8.16% | 4.67% | 13.80% | 7.96% | 0.03% | 2.70% | 4.04% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 7.06% | 9.73% | 1.83% | 2.58% | 10.22% | 9.05% | 15.61% | 11.54% | 0.06% | 3.70% | 5.11% | |
| New York Liberty | 1.34% | 1.91% | 0.26% | 0.41% | 1.58% | 4.89% | 2.64% | 2.01% | 0.02% | 0.39% | 1.09% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.45% | 0.85% | 0.13% | 0.21% | 0.83% | 4.41% | 2.73% | 2.94% | 0.11% | 0.35% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 0.12% | 0.20% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.10% | 1.30% | 0.90% | 0.76% | 0.14% | 0.05% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.16% | 0.23% | 0.06% | 0.19% | 1.15% | 0.67% | 0.80% | 0.21% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.35% | 0.39% | 0.07% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.03% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.21% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.20% | 0.89% | 1.32% | 0.34% | 0.34% | 0.08% | 0.05% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |
| Dallas Wings | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.07% | 0.20% | 0.03% | 1.01% | 1.30% | 0.30% | 0.32% | 0.13% | 0.11% | ||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.07% | 1.88% | 0.25% | 0.21% | 1.83% | 14.59% | 3.29% | 2.04% | 0.51% | 0.48% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.03% | 4.50% | 0.44% | 0.30% | 4.43% | 26.98% | 7.78% | 5.48% | 1.45% | 1.69% | |
| New York Liberty | 0.13% | 0.28% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.26% | 1.18% | 1.56% | 0.41% | 0.09% | 0.12% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.08% | 0.27% | 0.02% | 0.28% | 1.26% | 1.53% | 0.45% | 0.10% | 0.11% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.34% | 0.38% | 0.13% | 0.08% | 0.02% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.22% | 0.24% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.02% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 100.00% | 81.03% | 58.41% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 100.00% | 70.75% | 26.12% | Won Finals |
| Chicago Sky | 51.28% | 8.49% | 3.49% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
| Phoenix Mercury | 22.41% | 5.08% | 2.47% | Eliminated in Semifinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 20.10% | |||||
| Chicago Sky | 28.35% | 22.93% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 26.31% | |||||
| New York Liberty | 27.75% | 26.17% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 22.41% | |||||
| Seattle Storm | 25.98% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 4.96% | |||||||
| Chicago Sky | 8.49% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 5.40% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 15.14% | 38.81% | 16.80% | |||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 42.79% | 20.91% | 17.33% | |||||
| New York Liberty | 15.11% | |||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 5.08% | |||||||
| Seattle Storm | 9.18% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.16% | 0.09% | 0.64% | 0.09% | ||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.28% | 2.11% | 0.69% | 0.41% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.15% | 1.66% | 0.42% | 0.35% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 3.91% | 2.12% | 18.10% | 1.99% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.40% | 39.35% | 10.00% | 5.66% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 0.67% | 0.36% | 2.23% | 0.28% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.15% | 1.51% | 0.46% | 0.35% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.26% | 0.25% | 1.65% | 0.25% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Minnesota Lynx
58.41% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
52.81%
Win Prob
83.44%
→
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
67.37%
Win Prob
68.49%
Los Angeles Sparks
26.12% chance to win
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
54.86%
Win Prob
71.98%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
69.30%
Win Prob
31.51%
New York Liberty
3.54% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
51.47%
Win Prob
57.99%
→
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
28.02%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
62.99%
Win Prob
18.23%
Chicago Sky
3.49% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
55.28%
Win Prob
51.87%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
16.56%
→
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
60.46%
Win Prob
35.05%
Indiana Fever
2.58% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.13%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
20.52%
→
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
64.34%
Win Prob
43.92%
Phoenix Mercury
2.47% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
49.43%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
22.67%
→
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
61.13%
Win Prob
43.14%
Seattle Storm
2.41% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
49.82%
→
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
35.33%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
68.46%
Win Prob
22.57%
Atlanta Dream
0.98% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
42.01%
→
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
24.68%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
65.31%
Win Prob
15.84%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-14 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-63 | 1492.97 | 1407.21 | 56.88% | 43.12% | +12.02 | 1-0 |
| 2016-05-20 | @ Indiana Fever | L 85-94 | 1504.99 | 1528.28 | 41.33% | 58.67% | -10.93 | 1-1 |
| 2016-05-22 | Chicago Sky | W 87-81 | 1494.06 | 1518.81 | 51.85% | 48.15% | +10.40 | 2-1 |
| 2016-05-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 85-79 | 1504.46 | 1540.48 | 39.56% | 60.44% | +13.06 | 3-1 |
| 2016-05-27 | @ Dallas Wings | W 102-93 | 1517.52 | 1516.25 | 44.79% | 55.21% | +14.61 | 4-1 |
| 2016-05-29 | Indiana Fever | W 85-76 | 1532.13 | 1533.70 | 55.17% | 44.83% | +11.86 | 5-1 |
| 2016-06-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 83-77 | 1543.99 | 1417.53 | 62.51% | 37.49% | +8.10 | 6-1 |
| 2016-06-05 | Washington Mystics | L 79-86 | 1552.09 | 1435.86 | 70.80% | 29.20% | -16.52 | 6-2 |
| 2016-06-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 78-110 | 1535.57 | 1636.13 | 41.04% | 58.96% | -20.48 | 6-3 |
| 2016-06-12 | Connecticut Sun | W 93-87 | 1515.09 | 1401.74 | 70.45% | 29.55% | +6.38 | 7-3 |
| 2016-06-17 | Chicago Sky | W 101-97 | 1521.47 | 1521.33 | 55.41% | 44.59% | +7.87 | 8-3 |
| 2016-06-18 | @ Washington Mystics | L 65-95 | 1529.34 | 1467.35 | 53.50% | 46.50% | -25.85 | 8-4 |
| 2016-06-22 | New York Liberty | L 79-90 | 1503.49 | 1563.79 | 46.74% | 53.26% | -13.67 | 8-5 |
| 2016-06-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 69-73 | 1489.82 | 1337.97 | 65.87% | 34.13% | -11.62 | 8-6 |
| 2016-06-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 81-84 | 1478.20 | 1423.05 | 52.52% | 47.48% | -8.02 | 8-7 |
| 2016-06-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-84 | 1470.18 | 1662.52 | 21.02% | 78.98% | -5.56 | 8-8 |
| 2016-07-03 | Phoenix Mercury | L 87-95 | 1464.62 | 1515.49 | 48.09% | 51.91% | -12.00 | 8-9 |
| 2016-07-05 | Seattle Storm | W 77-64 | 1452.62 | 1421.37 | 59.78% | 40.22% | +12.79 | 9-9 |
| 2016-07-08 | Dallas Wings | W 95-90 | 1465.41 | 1481.05 | 53.16% | 46.84% | +9.24 | 10-9 |
| 2016-07-10 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 67-63 | 1474.65 | 1385.62 | 57.35% | 42.65% | +7.52 | 11-9 |
| 2016-07-13 | @ New York Liberty | L 62-86 | 1482.17 | 1595.41 | 29.56% | 70.44% | -12.77 | 11-10 |
| 2016-07-15 | @ Indiana Fever | L 72-78 | 1469.40 | 1494.35 | 41.09% | 58.91% | -8.88 | 11-11 |
| 2016-07-17 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 91-74 | 1460.52 | 1701.26 | 23.70% | 76.30% | +27.75 | 12-11 |
| 2016-07-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 65-83 | 1488.27 | 1661.13 | 22.94% | 77.06% | -8.59 | 12-12 |
| 2016-07-22 | Dallas Wings | W 93-88 | 1479.68 | 1428.44 | 62.52% | 37.48% | +7.40 | 13-12 |
| 2016-08-26 | @ Chicago Sky | L 82-90 | 1487.08 | 1501.63 | 42.55% | 57.45% | -10.62 | 13-13 |
| 2016-08-28 | Connecticut Sun | W 87-73 | 1476.46 | 1444.83 | 59.83% | 40.17% | +13.26 | 14-13 |
| 2016-09-04 | Seattle Storm | L 82-91 | 1489.72 | 1449.24 | 61.05% | 38.95% | -16.16 | 14-14 |
| 2016-09-06 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-87 | 1473.56 | 1508.47 | 50.39% | 49.61% | +8.75 | 15-14 |
| 2016-09-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-81 | 1482.31 | 1645.28 | 23.96% | 76.04% | +15.00 | 16-14 |
| 2016-09-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 75-86 | 1497.31 | 1499.72 | 44.27% | 55.73% | -12.95 | 16-15 |
| 2016-09-13 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 67-71 | 1484.36 | 1288.37 | 79.33% | 20.67% | -13.99 | 16-16 |
| 2016-09-15 | Washington Mystics | W 94-91 | 1470.37 | 1485.70 | 53.20% | 46.80% | +7.15 | 17-16 |
| 2016-09-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 87-95 | 1477.52 | 1688.90 | 19.26% | 80.74% | -4.81 | 17-17 |
| 2016-05-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 93-70 | 1521.87 | 1468.55 | 62.79% | 37.21% | +15.74 | 1-0 |
| 2016-05-18 | Minnesota Lynx | L 80-97 | 1537.61 | 1563.58 | 51.67% | 48.33% | -18.80 | 1-1 |
| 2016-05-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-87 | 1518.81 | 1494.06 | 48.15% | 51.85% | -10.40 | 1-2 |
| 2016-05-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-93 | 1508.41 | 1553.23 | 48.96% | 51.04% | -15.57 | 1-3 |
| 2016-05-27 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 78-79 | 1492.84 | 1381.29 | 60.48% | 39.52% | -5.33 | 1-4 |
| 2016-05-29 | @ Dallas Wings | W 92-87 | 1487.51 | 1501.64 | 42.61% | 57.39% | +11.31 | 2-4 |
| 2016-06-01 | @ Washington Mystics | W 86-78 | 1498.82 | 1464.84 | 49.48% | 50.52% | +12.61 | 3-4 |
| 2016-06-03 | Washington Mystics | W 98-72 | 1511.43 | 1452.24 | 63.58% | 36.42% | +16.38 | 4-4 |
| 2016-06-10 | @ Indiana Fever | W 73-64 | 1527.81 | 1519.71 | 45.76% | 54.24% | +14.35 | 5-4 |
| 2016-06-12 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-86 | 1542.16 | 1513.04 | 48.78% | 51.22% | -10.54 | 5-5 |
| 2016-06-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 85-98 | 1531.62 | 1622.04 | 32.37% | 67.63% | -10.29 | 5-6 |
| 2016-06-17 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 97-101 | 1521.33 | 1521.47 | 44.59% | 55.41% | -7.87 | 5-7 |
| 2016-06-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-75 | 1513.46 | 1349.31 | 76.16% | 23.84% | +5.15 | 6-7 |
| 2016-06-24 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-80 | 1518.61 | 1577.46 | 36.46% | 63.54% | -3.21 | 6-8 |
| 2016-06-29 | Indiana Fever | L 83-95 | 1515.40 | 1486.69 | 59.43% | 40.57% | -18.16 | 6-9 |
| 2016-07-01 | Washington Mystics | W 86-84 | 1497.24 | 1528.18 | 50.96% | 49.04% | +6.12 | 7-9 |
| 2016-07-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 82-87 | 1503.36 | 1630.67 | 27.90% | 72.10% | -5.51 | 7-10 |
| 2016-07-08 | New York Liberty | L 85-88 | 1497.85 | 1584.23 | 43.03% | 56.97% | -6.57 | 7-11 |
| 2016-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury | W 100-95 | 1491.28 | 1497.23 | 54.54% | 45.46% | +8.97 | 8-11 |
| 2016-07-13 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-77 | 1500.25 | 1688.89 | 29.54% | 70.46% | -8.24 | 8-12 |
| 2016-07-15 | Dallas Wings | W 84-77 | 1492.01 | 1458.24 | 60.13% | 39.87% | +9.30 | 9-12 |
| 2016-07-17 | @ Seattle Storm | W 91-88 | 1501.31 | 1432.94 | 54.42% | 45.58% | +6.96 | 10-12 |
| 2016-07-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 79-77 | 1508.27 | 1505.67 | 44.98% | 55.02% | +6.87 | 11-12 |
| 2016-07-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 89-94 | 1515.14 | 1417.83 | 68.50% | 31.50% | -13.51 | 11-13 |
| 2016-08-26 | Atlanta Dream | W 90-82 | 1501.63 | 1487.08 | 57.45% | 42.55% | +10.61 | 12-13 |
| 2016-08-28 | @ Dallas Wings | W 92-85 | 1512.24 | 1405.76 | 59.78% | 40.22% | +9.39 | 13-13 |
| 2016-09-02 | Seattle Storm | W 92-88 | 1521.63 | 1455.50 | 64.50% | 35.50% | +6.26 | 14-13 |
| 2016-09-04 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 97-73 | 1527.89 | 1313.61 | 81.00% | 19.00% | +8.21 | 15-13 |
| 2016-09-07 | @ Washington Mystics | L 81-118 | 1536.10 | 1456.19 | 56.06% | 43.94% | -30.08 | 15-14 |
| 2016-09-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 88-95 | 1506.02 | 1516.37 | 43.14% | 56.86% | -10.06 | 15-15 |
| 2016-09-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 96-86 | 1495.96 | 1450.56 | 51.12% | 48.88% | +13.63 | 16-15 |
| 2016-09-13 | Minnesota Lynx | W 98-97 | 1509.59 | 1687.00 | 30.90% | 69.10% | +6.10 | 17-15 |
| 2016-09-16 | New York Liberty | W 92-68 | 1515.69 | 1528.49 | 53.56% | 46.44% | +20.06 | 18-15 |
| 2016-09-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-88 | 1535.75 | 1509.25 | 48.40% | 51.60% | -15.39 | 18-16 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Chicago Sky | L 70-93 | 1468.55 | 1521.87 | 37.21% | 62.79% | -15.74 | 0-1 |
| 2016-05-19 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 72-68 | 1452.81 | 1395.19 | 52.88% | 47.12% | +8.32 | 1-1 |
| 2016-05-21 | Washington Mystics | L 76-84 | 1461.13 | 1459.18 | 55.67% | 44.33% | -13.89 | 1-2 |
| 2016-05-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 72-77 | 1447.24 | 1568.80 | 38.15% | 61.85% | -7.53 | 1-3 |
| 2016-05-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 82-93 | 1439.71 | 1421.43 | 47.22% | 52.78% | -13.81 | 1-4 |
| 2016-05-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 90-99 | 1425.90 | 1522.15 | 31.64% | 68.36% | -8.37 | 1-5 |
| 2016-06-03 | Atlanta Dream | L 77-83 | 1417.53 | 1543.99 | 37.49% | 62.51% | -8.10 | 1-6 |
| 2016-06-05 | Indiana Fever | L 77-88 | 1409.43 | 1507.61 | 41.37% | 58.63% | -12.10 | 1-7 |
| 2016-06-10 | Seattle Storm | W 77-76 | 1397.33 | 1435.21 | 49.96% | 50.04% | +4.41 | 2-7 |
| 2016-06-12 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 87-93 | 1401.74 | 1515.09 | 29.55% | 70.45% | -6.38 | 2-8 |
| 2016-06-14 | Washington Mystics | L 106-109 | 1395.36 | 1460.31 | 46.07% | 53.93% | -7.04 | 2-9 |
| 2016-06-16 | New York Liberty | L 72-80 | 1388.32 | 1548.39 | 33.07% | 66.93% | -8.25 | 2-10 |
| 2016-06-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 93-90 | 1380.07 | 1355.59 | 58.84% | 41.16% | +6.29 | 3-10 |
| 2016-06-24 | @ Seattle Storm | L 81-98 | 1386.36 | 1407.93 | 41.56% | 58.44% | -15.12 | 3-11 |
| 2016-06-26 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-80 | 1371.24 | 1654.95 | 13.59% | 86.41% | -3.17 | 3-12 |
| 2016-06-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 75-86 | 1368.07 | 1522.51 | 24.87% | 75.13% | -7.27 | 3-13 |
| 2016-07-02 | @ Dallas Wings | W 86-83 | 1360.80 | 1483.98 | 28.38% | 71.62% | +10.94 | 4-13 |
| 2016-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx | W 93-89 | 1371.74 | 1636.18 | 21.32% | 78.68% | +13.88 | 5-13 |
| 2016-07-10 | Atlanta Dream | L 63-67 | 1385.62 | 1474.65 | 42.65% | 57.35% | -7.53 | 5-14 |
| 2016-07-13 | @ Indiana Fever | W 86-64 | 1378.09 | 1525.09 | 25.68% | 74.32% | +30.75 | 6-14 |
| 2016-07-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 92-98 | 1408.84 | 1697.13 | 19.11% | 80.89% | -4.13 | 6-15 |
| 2016-07-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 76-83 | 1404.71 | 1593.37 | 21.37% | 78.63% | -4.99 | 6-16 |
| 2016-07-20 | @ Dallas Wings | W 89-78 | 1399.72 | 1446.55 | 38.08% | 61.92% | +18.11 | 7-16 |
| 2016-07-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 94-89 | 1417.83 | 1515.14 | 31.50% | 68.50% | +13.51 | 8-16 |
| 2016-08-26 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-80 | 1431.34 | 1673.77 | 23.52% | 76.48% | +13.49 | 9-16 |
| 2016-08-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 73-87 | 1444.83 | 1476.46 | 40.17% | 59.83% | -13.25 | 9-17 |
| 2016-08-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 89-62 | 1431.58 | 1332.31 | 68.74% | 31.26% | +14.33 | 10-17 |
| 2016-09-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 87-74 | 1445.91 | 1543.02 | 41.52% | 58.48% | +18.59 | 11-17 |
| 2016-09-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-93 | 1464.50 | 1670.28 | 19.76% | 80.24% | -6.52 | 11-18 |
| 2016-09-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 82-89 | 1457.98 | 1552.96 | 31.79% | 68.21% | -7.42 | 11-19 |
| 2016-09-11 | Chicago Sky | L 86-96 | 1450.56 | 1495.96 | 48.88% | 51.12% | -13.63 | 11-20 |
| 2016-09-13 | Indiana Fever | W 89-87 | 1436.93 | 1537.66 | 41.01% | 58.99% | +7.36 | 12-20 |
| 2016-09-16 | Dallas Wings | W 107-74 | 1444.29 | 1392.21 | 62.63% | 37.37% | +18.93 | 13-20 |
| 2016-09-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 87-78 | 1463.22 | 1478.55 | 42.44% | 57.56% | +15.23 | 14-20 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Indiana Fever | W 90-79 | 1486.49 | 1538.41 | 37.39% | 62.61% | +18.31 | 1-0 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ New York Liberty | L 71-79 | 1504.80 | 1544.11 | 39.11% | 60.89% | -9.75 | 1-1 |
| 2016-05-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 87-77 | 1495.05 | 1499.38 | 43.99% | 56.01% | +15.62 | 2-1 |
| 2016-05-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 82-77 | 1510.67 | 1386.88 | 71.69% | 28.31% | +5.58 | 3-1 |
| 2016-05-27 | Atlanta Dream | L 93-102 | 1516.25 | 1517.52 | 55.21% | 44.79% | -14.61 | 3-2 |
| 2016-05-29 | Chicago Sky | L 87-92 | 1501.64 | 1487.51 | 57.39% | 42.61% | -11.32 | 3-3 |
| 2016-06-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 63-80 | 1490.32 | 1618.80 | 27.77% | 72.23% | -10.10 | 3-4 |
| 2016-06-08 | Washington Mystics | L 79-87 | 1480.22 | 1452.38 | 59.31% | 40.69% | -14.79 | 3-5 |
| 2016-06-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-97 | 1465.43 | 1606.70 | 35.51% | 64.49% | -15.34 | 3-6 |
| 2016-06-14 | @ New York Liberty | L 88-91 | 1450.09 | 1543.50 | 31.99% | 68.01% | -4.89 | 3-7 |
| 2016-06-16 | Seattle Storm | W 88-79 | 1445.20 | 1425.68 | 58.15% | 41.85% | +11.07 | 4-7 |
| 2016-06-18 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 117-111 | 1456.27 | 1517.08 | 36.20% | 63.80% | +13.79 | 5-7 |
| 2016-06-21 | Phoenix Mercury | W 100-90 | 1470.06 | 1503.29 | 50.63% | 49.37% | +13.77 | 6-7 |
| 2016-06-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 97-90 | 1483.83 | 1344.15 | 73.51% | 26.49% | +6.18 | 7-7 |
| 2016-06-25 | Indiana Fever | L 87-92 | 1490.01 | 1475.35 | 57.46% | 42.54% | -11.34 | 7-8 |
| 2016-06-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-89 | 1478.67 | 1658.12 | 22.28% | 77.72% | -4.39 | 7-9 |
| 2016-06-30 | @ Seattle Storm | W 83-78 | 1474.28 | 1431.07 | 50.81% | 49.19% | +9.70 | 8-9 |
| 2016-07-02 | Connecticut Sun | L 83-86 | 1483.98 | 1360.80 | 71.62% | 28.38% | -10.94 | 8-10 |
| 2016-07-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-74 | 1473.04 | 1527.49 | 47.58% | 52.42% | +8.01 | 9-10 |
| 2016-07-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 90-95 | 1481.05 | 1465.41 | 46.84% | 53.16% | -9.24 | 9-11 |
| 2016-07-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 56-93 | 1471.81 | 1622.30 | 25.30% | 74.70% | -13.57 | 9-12 |
| 2016-07-15 | @ Chicago Sky | L 77-84 | 1458.24 | 1492.01 | 39.87% | 60.13% | -9.30 | 9-13 |
| 2016-07-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 97-98 | 1448.94 | 1658.75 | 27.07% | 72.93% | -2.39 | 9-14 |
| 2016-07-20 | Connecticut Sun | L 78-89 | 1446.55 | 1399.72 | 61.92% | 38.08% | -18.11 | 9-15 |
| 2016-07-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 88-93 | 1428.44 | 1479.68 | 37.48% | 62.52% | -7.40 | 9-16 |
| 2016-08-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-98 | 1421.04 | 1498.80 | 33.98% | 66.02% | -15.28 | 9-17 |
| 2016-08-28 | Chicago Sky | L 85-92 | 1405.76 | 1512.24 | 40.22% | 59.78% | -9.38 | 9-18 |
| 2016-08-31 | @ Seattle Storm | L 66-78 | 1396.38 | 1443.90 | 37.99% | 62.01% | -11.61 | 9-19 |
| 2016-09-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-87 | 1384.77 | 1641.21 | 22.10% | 77.90% | -5.52 | 9-20 |
| 2016-09-04 | Washington Mystics | L 83-88 | 1379.25 | 1447.18 | 45.65% | 54.35% | -9.00 | 9-21 |
| 2016-09-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 92-84 | 1370.25 | 1301.99 | 54.40% | 45.60% | +11.38 | 10-21 |
| 2016-09-11 | New York Liberty | W 84-81 | 1381.63 | 1560.38 | 30.74% | 69.26% | +10.58 | 11-21 |
| 2016-09-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 74-107 | 1392.21 | 1444.29 | 37.37% | 62.63% | -18.94 | 11-22 |
| 2016-09-18 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-83 | 1373.27 | 1522.30 | 25.46% | 74.54% | -10.76 | 11-23 |
| 2016-05-14 | Dallas Wings | L 79-90 | 1538.41 | 1486.49 | 62.61% | 37.39% | -18.32 | 0-1 |
| 2016-05-18 | Phoenix Mercury | W 97-93 | 1520.09 | 1532.54 | 53.61% | 46.39% | +8.19 | 1-1 |
| 2016-05-20 | Atlanta Dream | W 94-85 | 1528.28 | 1504.99 | 58.67% | 41.33% | +10.93 | 2-1 |
| 2016-05-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-74 | 1539.21 | 1601.00 | 36.07% | 63.93% | -5.51 | 2-2 |
| 2016-05-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 76-85 | 1533.70 | 1532.13 | 44.83% | 55.17% | -11.86 | 2-3 |
| 2016-06-01 | Seattle Storm | W 85-75 | 1521.84 | 1435.25 | 67.15% | 32.85% | +9.16 | 3-3 |
| 2016-06-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 59-91 | 1531.00 | 1515.13 | 46.87% | 53.13% | -23.39 | 3-4 |
| 2016-06-05 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 88-77 | 1507.61 | 1409.43 | 58.63% | 41.37% | +12.10 | 4-4 |
| 2016-06-10 | Chicago Sky | L 64-73 | 1519.71 | 1527.81 | 54.24% | 45.76% | -14.35 | 4-5 |
| 2016-06-12 | Seattle Storm | L 88-90 | 1505.36 | 1430.80 | 65.60% | 34.40% | -8.18 | 4-6 |
| 2016-06-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 63-87 | 1497.18 | 1663.47 | 23.62% | 76.38% | -10.20 | 4-7 |
| 2016-06-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-75 | 1486.98 | 1365.70 | 61.81% | 38.19% | +10.10 | 5-7 |
| 2016-06-19 | New York Liberty | L 75-78 | 1497.08 | 1556.64 | 46.85% | 53.15% | -7.16 | 5-8 |
| 2016-06-22 | @ Washington Mystics | L 62-76 | 1489.92 | 1493.19 | 44.14% | 55.86% | -14.57 | 5-9 |
| 2016-06-25 | @ Dallas Wings | W 92-87 | 1475.35 | 1490.01 | 42.54% | 57.46% | +11.34 | 6-9 |
| 2016-06-29 | @ Chicago Sky | W 95-83 | 1486.69 | 1515.40 | 40.57% | 59.43% | +18.16 | 7-9 |
| 2016-07-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 85-87 | 1504.85 | 1341.15 | 76.11% | 23.89% | -9.50 | 7-10 |
| 2016-07-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 88-94 | 1495.35 | 1677.53 | 22.01% | 77.99% | -4.75 | 7-11 |
| 2016-07-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 78-60 | 1490.60 | 1519.48 | 40.55% | 59.45% | +22.25 | 8-11 |
| 2016-07-10 | @ Seattle Storm | W 93-82 | 1512.85 | 1418.21 | 58.13% | 41.87% | +12.24 | 9-11 |
| 2016-07-13 | Connecticut Sun | L 64-86 | 1525.09 | 1378.09 | 74.32% | 25.68% | -30.74 | 9-12 |
| 2016-07-15 | Atlanta Dream | W 78-72 | 1494.35 | 1469.40 | 58.91% | 41.09% | +8.87 | 10-12 |
| 2016-07-19 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-82 | 1503.22 | 1673.51 | 31.78% | 68.22% | +19.03 | 11-12 |
| 2016-07-21 | @ New York Liberty | W 82-70 | 1522.25 | 1606.86 | 33.10% | 66.90% | +20.44 | 12-12 |
| 2016-08-27 | Washington Mystics | L 69-92 | 1542.69 | 1444.51 | 68.60% | 31.40% | -29.02 | 12-13 |
| 2016-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 65-79 | 1513.67 | 1525.29 | 53.73% | 46.27% | -17.73 | 12-14 |
| 2016-09-01 | New York Liberty | W 98-77 | 1495.94 | 1591.24 | 41.77% | 58.23% | +23.53 | 13-14 |
| 2016-09-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-88 | 1519.47 | 1646.72 | 27.91% | 72.09% | -6.51 | 13-15 |
| 2016-09-06 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 71-69 | 1512.96 | 1305.40 | 72.68% | 27.32% | +3.41 | 14-15 |
| 2016-09-09 | Chicago Sky | W 95-88 | 1516.37 | 1506.02 | 56.86% | 43.14% | +10.07 | 15-15 |
| 2016-09-11 | @ Washington Mystics | W 80-73 | 1526.44 | 1475.61 | 51.90% | 48.10% | +11.22 | 16-15 |
| 2016-09-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 87-89 | 1537.66 | 1436.93 | 58.99% | 41.01% | -7.36 | 16-16 |
| 2016-09-16 | Minnesota Lynx | L 75-82 | 1530.30 | 1680.90 | 34.29% | 65.71% | -8.00 | 16-17 |
| 2016-09-18 | Dallas Wings | W 83-60 | 1522.30 | 1373.27 | 74.54% | 25.46% | +10.77 | 17-17 |
| 2016-05-15 | Seattle Storm | W 96-66 | 1497.02 | 1447.88 | 62.23% | 37.77% | +18.24 | 1-0 |
| 2016-05-20 | @ Washington Mystics | W 97-67 | 1515.26 | 1483.76 | 49.12% | 50.88% | +24.58 | 2-0 |
| 2016-05-21 | @ New York Liberty | W 79-72 | 1539.84 | 1553.87 | 42.62% | 57.38% | +13.39 | 3-0 |
| 2016-05-24 | @ Chicago Sky | W 93-80 | 1553.23 | 1508.41 | 51.04% | 48.96% | +15.57 | 4-0 |
| 2016-05-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 77-72 | 1568.80 | 1447.24 | 61.85% | 38.15% | +7.53 | 5-0 |
| 2016-06-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 68-61 | 1576.33 | 1386.63 | 78.73% | 21.27% | +4.96 | 6-0 |
| 2016-06-04 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 74-61 | 1581.29 | 1381.66 | 71.76% | 28.24% | +8.98 | 7-0 |
| 2016-06-07 | New York Liberty | W 100-77 | 1590.27 | 1549.03 | 61.16% | 38.84% | +16.43 | 8-0 |
| 2016-06-11 | @ Dallas Wings | W 97-73 | 1606.70 | 1465.43 | 64.49% | 35.51% | +15.34 | 9-0 |
| 2016-06-14 | Chicago Sky | W 98-85 | 1622.04 | 1531.62 | 67.63% | 32.37% | +10.30 | 10-0 |
| 2016-06-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-71 | 1632.34 | 1523.58 | 69.90% | 30.10% | +6.50 | 11-0 |
| 2016-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 69-72 | 1638.84 | 1680.35 | 49.44% | 50.56% | -7.55 | 11-1 |
| 2016-06-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 94-76 | 1631.29 | 1687.91 | 36.76% | 63.24% | +23.66 | 12-1 |
| 2016-06-26 | Connecticut Sun | W 80-73 | 1654.95 | 1371.24 | 86.41% | 13.59% | +3.17 | 13-1 |
| 2016-06-28 | Dallas Wings | W 89-84 | 1658.12 | 1478.67 | 77.72% | 22.28% | +4.40 | 14-1 |
| 2016-06-30 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-75 | 1662.52 | 1470.18 | 78.98% | 21.02% | +5.56 | 15-1 |
| 2016-07-03 | New York Liberty | W 77-67 | 1668.08 | 1589.61 | 66.11% | 33.89% | +9.45 | 16-1 |
| 2016-07-06 | Indiana Fever | W 94-88 | 1677.53 | 1495.35 | 77.99% | 22.01% | +4.75 | 17-1 |
| 2016-07-10 | Washington Mystics | W 93-82 | 1682.28 | 1505.94 | 77.41% | 22.59% | +6.61 | 18-1 |
| 2016-07-13 | @ Chicago Sky | W 77-67 | 1688.89 | 1500.25 | 70.46% | 29.54% | +8.24 | 19-1 |
| 2016-07-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 98-92 | 1697.13 | 1408.84 | 80.89% | 19.11% | +4.13 | 20-1 |
| 2016-07-17 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-91 | 1701.26 | 1460.52 | 76.30% | 23.70% | -27.75 | 20-2 |
| 2016-07-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 82-92 | 1673.51 | 1503.22 | 68.22% | 31.78% | -19.03 | 20-3 |
| 2016-07-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 95-75 | 1654.48 | 1455.69 | 71.66% | 28.34% | +11.18 | 21-3 |
| 2016-08-26 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-79 | 1665.66 | 1432.18 | 75.54% | 24.46% | -17.63 | 21-4 |
| 2016-08-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 66-70 | 1648.03 | 1514.09 | 63.52% | 36.48% | -11.20 | 21-5 |
| 2016-09-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 70-61 | 1636.83 | 1317.98 | 83.46% | 16.54% | +4.38 | 22-5 |
| 2016-09-02 | @ Dallas Wings | W 87-79 | 1641.21 | 1384.77 | 77.90% | 22.10% | +5.51 | 23-5 |
| 2016-09-04 | Indiana Fever | W 88-81 | 1646.72 | 1519.47 | 72.09% | 27.91% | +6.51 | 24-5 |
| 2016-09-06 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-77 | 1653.23 | 1676.80 | 52.02% | 47.98% | -7.95 | 24-6 |
| 2016-09-08 | Atlanta Dream | L 81-86 | 1645.28 | 1482.31 | 76.04% | 23.96% | -14.99 | 24-7 |
| 2016-09-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-78 | 1630.29 | 1506.74 | 62.12% | 37.88% | -23.25 | 24-8 |
| 2016-09-13 | Phoenix Mercury | W 90-85 | 1607.04 | 1512.67 | 68.13% | 31.87% | +6.29 | 25-8 |
| 2016-09-16 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 71-65 | 1613.33 | 1302.36 | 88.15% | 11.85% | +2.56 | 26-8 |
| 2016-05-14 | Phoenix Mercury | W 95-76 | 1546.22 | 1549.90 | 54.87% | 45.13% | +17.36 | 1-0 |
| 2016-05-18 | @ Chicago Sky | W 97-80 | 1563.58 | 1537.61 | 48.33% | 51.67% | +18.79 | 2-0 |
| 2016-05-22 | @ Seattle Storm | W 78-71 | 1582.37 | 1435.65 | 65.21% | 34.79% | +8.12 | 3-0 |
| 2016-05-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-78 | 1590.49 | 1518.35 | 54.95% | 45.05% | +10.51 | 4-0 |
| 2016-05-27 | Indiana Fever | W 74-71 | 1601.00 | 1539.21 | 63.93% | 36.07% | +5.51 | 5-0 |
| 2016-05-31 | @ New York Liberty | W 79-69 | 1606.51 | 1527.42 | 55.94% | 44.06% | +12.29 | 6-0 |
| 2016-06-04 | Dallas Wings | W 80-63 | 1618.80 | 1490.32 | 72.23% | 27.77% | +10.10 | 7-0 |
| 2016-06-07 | Phoenix Mercury | W 89-81 | 1628.90 | 1510.89 | 71.01% | 28.99% | +7.23 | 8-0 |
| 2016-06-10 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 110-78 | 1636.13 | 1535.57 | 58.96% | 41.04% | +20.47 | 9-0 |
| 2016-06-11 | @ Washington Mystics | W 83-76 | 1656.60 | 1467.18 | 70.56% | 29.44% | +6.87 | 10-0 |
| 2016-06-14 | Indiana Fever | W 87-63 | 1663.47 | 1497.18 | 76.38% | 23.62% | +10.21 | 11-0 |
| 2016-06-19 | @ Seattle Storm | W 96-84 | 1673.68 | 1414.60 | 78.16% | 21.84% | +6.67 | 12-0 |
| 2016-06-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 72-69 | 1680.35 | 1638.84 | 50.56% | 49.44% | +7.56 | 13-0 |
| 2016-06-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-94 | 1687.91 | 1631.29 | 63.24% | 36.76% | -23.67 | 13-1 |
| 2016-06-26 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-87 | 1664.24 | 1490.05 | 68.70% | 31.30% | -29.68 | 13-2 |
| 2016-06-29 | New York Liberty | L 92-95 | 1634.56 | 1565.41 | 64.90% | 35.10% | -9.92 | 13-3 |
| 2016-07-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 91-68 | 1624.64 | 1350.64 | 85.74% | 14.26% | +6.03 | 14-3 |
| 2016-07-05 | Chicago Sky | W 87-82 | 1630.67 | 1503.36 | 72.10% | 27.90% | +5.51 | 15-3 |
| 2016-07-07 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 89-93 | 1636.18 | 1371.74 | 78.68% | 21.32% | -13.88 | 15-4 |
| 2016-07-09 | Dallas Wings | W 93-56 | 1622.30 | 1471.81 | 74.70% | 25.30% | +13.57 | 16-4 |
| 2016-07-12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-57 | 1635.87 | 1342.43 | 81.35% | 18.65% | +8.06 | 17-4 |
| 2016-07-15 | New York Liberty | W 88-70 | 1643.93 | 1608.18 | 60.40% | 39.60% | +14.82 | 18-4 |
| 2016-07-17 | @ Dallas Wings | W 98-97 | 1658.75 | 1448.94 | 72.93% | 27.07% | +2.38 | 19-4 |
| 2016-07-20 | Atlanta Dream | W 83-65 | 1661.13 | 1488.27 | 77.06% | 22.94% | +8.59 | 20-4 |
| 2016-07-22 | Seattle Storm | W 79-72 | 1669.72 | 1436.23 | 82.64% | 17.36% | +4.05 | 21-4 |
| 2016-08-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 80-84 | 1673.77 | 1431.34 | 76.48% | 23.52% | -13.49 | 21-5 |
| 2016-08-28 | Seattle Storm | W 92-80 | 1660.28 | 1449.81 | 80.66% | 19.34% | +5.91 | 22-5 |
| 2016-09-02 | Washington Mystics | W 75-69 | 1666.19 | 1451.28 | 81.06% | 18.94% | +4.09 | 23-5 |
| 2016-09-04 | Connecticut Sun | W 93-79 | 1670.28 | 1464.50 | 80.24% | 19.76% | +6.52 | 24-5 |
| 2016-09-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-74 | 1676.80 | 1653.23 | 47.98% | 52.02% | +7.95 | 25-5 |
| 2016-09-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-76 | 1684.75 | 1290.61 | 88.62% | 11.38% | +2.25 | 26-5 |
| 2016-09-13 | @ Chicago Sky | L 97-98 | 1687.00 | 1509.59 | 69.10% | 30.90% | -6.10 | 26-6 |
| 2016-09-16 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-75 | 1680.90 | 1530.30 | 65.71% | 34.29% | +8.00 | 27-6 |
| 2016-09-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 95-87 | 1688.90 | 1477.52 | 80.74% | 19.26% | +4.81 | 28-6 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Washington Mystics | W 87-76 | 1528.47 | 1515.02 | 46.53% | 53.47% | +15.64 | 1-0 |
| 2016-05-15 | Dallas Wings | W 79-71 | 1544.11 | 1504.80 | 60.89% | 39.11% | +9.76 | 2-0 |
| 2016-05-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 72-79 | 1553.87 | 1539.84 | 57.38% | 42.62% | -13.39 | 2-1 |
| 2016-05-24 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-85 | 1540.48 | 1504.46 | 60.44% | 39.56% | -13.06 | 2-2 |
| 2016-05-31 | Minnesota Lynx | L 69-79 | 1527.42 | 1606.51 | 44.06% | 55.94% | -12.29 | 2-3 |
| 2016-06-03 | Indiana Fever | W 91-59 | 1515.13 | 1531.00 | 53.13% | 46.87% | +23.39 | 3-3 |
| 2016-06-05 | @ Seattle Storm | W 86-78 | 1538.52 | 1445.72 | 57.88% | 42.12% | +10.51 | 4-3 |
| 2016-06-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-100 | 1549.03 | 1590.27 | 38.84% | 61.16% | -16.43 | 4-4 |
| 2016-06-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 90-75 | 1532.60 | 1363.29 | 68.09% | 31.91% | +10.90 | 5-4 |
| 2016-06-14 | Dallas Wings | W 91-88 | 1543.50 | 1450.09 | 68.01% | 31.99% | +4.89 | 6-4 |
| 2016-06-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 80-72 | 1548.39 | 1388.32 | 66.93% | 33.07% | +8.25 | 7-4 |
| 2016-06-19 | @ Indiana Fever | W 78-75 | 1556.64 | 1497.08 | 53.15% | 46.85% | +7.15 | 8-4 |
| 2016-06-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 90-79 | 1563.79 | 1503.49 | 53.26% | 46.74% | +13.67 | 9-4 |
| 2016-06-24 | Chicago Sky | W 80-79 | 1577.46 | 1518.61 | 63.54% | 36.46% | +3.22 | 10-4 |
| 2016-06-26 | Phoenix Mercury | L 97-104 | 1580.68 | 1507.23 | 65.46% | 34.54% | -15.27 | 10-5 |
| 2016-06-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 95-92 | 1565.41 | 1634.56 | 35.10% | 64.90% | +9.91 | 11-5 |
| 2016-07-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 99-88 | 1575.32 | 1529.79 | 51.14% | 48.86% | +14.29 | 12-5 |
| 2016-07-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-77 | 1589.61 | 1668.08 | 33.89% | 66.11% | -9.45 | 12-6 |
| 2016-07-06 | Seattle Storm | W 78-74 | 1580.16 | 1408.58 | 76.93% | 23.07% | +4.07 | 13-6 |
| 2016-07-08 | @ Chicago Sky | W 88-85 | 1584.23 | 1497.85 | 56.97% | 43.03% | +6.57 | 14-6 |
| 2016-07-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-65 | 1590.80 | 1347.04 | 83.48% | 16.52% | +4.61 | 15-6 |
| 2016-07-13 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-62 | 1595.41 | 1482.17 | 70.44% | 29.56% | +12.77 | 16-6 |
| 2016-07-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-88 | 1608.18 | 1643.93 | 39.60% | 60.40% | -14.81 | 16-7 |
| 2016-07-17 | Connecticut Sun | W 83-76 | 1593.37 | 1404.71 | 78.63% | 21.37% | +4.99 | 17-7 |
| 2016-07-20 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-81 | 1598.36 | 1464.20 | 63.55% | 36.45% | +8.50 | 18-7 |
| 2016-07-21 | Indiana Fever | L 70-82 | 1606.86 | 1522.25 | 66.90% | 33.10% | -20.44 | 18-8 |
| 2016-08-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-77 | 1586.42 | 1314.87 | 79.36% | 20.64% | +4.82 | 19-8 |
| 2016-09-01 | @ Indiana Fever | L 77-98 | 1591.24 | 1495.94 | 58.23% | 41.77% | -23.54 | 19-9 |
| 2016-09-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 92-70 | 1567.70 | 1524.43 | 61.43% | 38.57% | +15.96 | 20-9 |
| 2016-09-07 | Seattle Storm | L 78-102 | 1583.66 | 1465.40 | 71.04% | 28.96% | -30.70 | 20-10 |
| 2016-09-09 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-82 | 1552.96 | 1457.98 | 68.21% | 31.79% | +7.42 | 21-10 |
| 2016-09-11 | @ Dallas Wings | L 81-84 | 1560.38 | 1381.63 | 69.26% | 30.74% | -10.58 | 21-11 |
| 2016-09-13 | Washington Mystics | L 62-75 | 1549.80 | 1464.39 | 67.00% | 33.00% | -21.31 | 21-12 |
| 2016-09-16 | @ Chicago Sky | L 68-92 | 1528.49 | 1515.69 | 46.44% | 53.56% | -20.06 | 21-13 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 76-95 | 1549.90 | 1546.22 | 45.13% | 54.87% | -17.36 | 0-1 |
| 2016-05-18 | @ Indiana Fever | L 93-97 | 1532.54 | 1520.09 | 46.39% | 53.61% | -8.18 | 0-2 |
| 2016-05-20 | Seattle Storm | L 80-81 | 1524.36 | 1429.63 | 68.17% | 31.83% | -6.01 | 0-3 |
| 2016-05-25 | Minnesota Lynx | L 78-85 | 1518.35 | 1590.49 | 45.05% | 54.95% | -10.51 | 0-4 |
| 2016-05-29 | Washington Mystics | W 93-77 | 1507.84 | 1479.16 | 59.43% | 40.57% | +14.31 | 1-4 |
| 2016-05-31 | Connecticut Sun | W 99-90 | 1522.15 | 1425.90 | 68.36% | 31.64% | +8.37 | 2-4 |
| 2016-06-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 81-95 | 1530.52 | 1426.08 | 59.50% | 40.50% | -19.63 | 2-5 |
| 2016-06-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 81-89 | 1510.89 | 1628.90 | 28.99% | 71.01% | -7.24 | 2-6 |
| 2016-06-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 90-75 | 1503.65 | 1372.68 | 72.52% | 27.48% | +9.39 | 3-6 |
| 2016-06-12 | Chicago Sky | W 86-80 | 1513.04 | 1542.16 | 51.22% | 48.78% | +10.54 | 4-6 |
| 2016-06-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-77 | 1523.58 | 1632.34 | 30.10% | 69.90% | -6.50 | 4-7 |
| 2016-06-18 | Dallas Wings | L 111-117 | 1517.08 | 1456.27 | 63.80% | 36.20% | -13.79 | 4-8 |
| 2016-06-21 | @ Dallas Wings | L 90-100 | 1503.29 | 1470.06 | 49.37% | 50.63% | -13.77 | 4-9 |
| 2016-06-24 | @ Washington Mystics | W 91-79 | 1489.52 | 1507.76 | 42.03% | 57.97% | +17.71 | 5-9 |
| 2016-06-26 | @ New York Liberty | W 104-97 | 1507.23 | 1580.68 | 34.54% | 65.46% | +15.28 | 6-9 |
| 2016-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 86-75 | 1522.51 | 1368.07 | 75.13% | 24.87% | +7.28 | 7-9 |
| 2016-07-01 | New York Liberty | L 88-99 | 1529.79 | 1575.32 | 48.86% | 51.14% | -14.30 | 7-10 |
| 2016-07-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 95-87 | 1515.49 | 1464.62 | 51.91% | 48.09% | +12.00 | 8-10 |
| 2016-07-05 | @ Dallas Wings | L 74-77 | 1527.49 | 1473.04 | 52.42% | 47.58% | -8.01 | 8-11 |
| 2016-07-08 | Indiana Fever | L 60-78 | 1519.48 | 1490.60 | 59.45% | 40.55% | -22.25 | 8-12 |
| 2016-07-10 | @ Chicago Sky | L 95-100 | 1497.23 | 1491.28 | 45.46% | 54.54% | -8.96 | 8-13 |
| 2016-07-13 | Washington Mystics | W 78-74 | 1488.27 | 1499.33 | 53.81% | 46.19% | +8.15 | 9-13 |
| 2016-07-16 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-64 | 1496.42 | 1334.37 | 75.94% | 24.06% | +9.25 | 10-13 |
| 2016-07-19 | Chicago Sky | L 77-79 | 1505.67 | 1508.27 | 55.02% | 44.98% | -6.87 | 10-14 |
| 2016-08-26 | Dallas Wings | W 98-72 | 1498.80 | 1421.04 | 66.02% | 33.98% | +15.29 | 11-14 |
| 2016-08-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 70-66 | 1514.09 | 1648.03 | 36.48% | 63.52% | +11.20 | 12-14 |
| 2016-08-30 | @ Indiana Fever | W 79-65 | 1525.29 | 1513.67 | 46.27% | 53.73% | +17.73 | 13-14 |
| 2016-09-02 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 74-87 | 1543.02 | 1445.91 | 58.48% | 41.52% | -18.59 | 13-15 |
| 2016-09-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 70-92 | 1524.43 | 1567.70 | 38.57% | 61.43% | -15.96 | 13-16 |
| 2016-09-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 87-91 | 1508.47 | 1473.56 | 49.61% | 50.39% | -8.75 | 13-17 |
| 2016-09-11 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-75 | 1499.72 | 1497.31 | 55.73% | 44.27% | +12.95 | 14-17 |
| 2016-09-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 85-90 | 1512.67 | 1607.04 | 31.87% | 68.13% | -6.29 | 14-18 |
| 2016-09-15 | Seattle Storm | W 86-62 | 1506.38 | 1529.99 | 52.01% | 47.99% | +20.74 | 15-18 |
| 2016-09-18 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-65 | 1527.12 | 1299.80 | 74.88% | 25.12% | +8.86 | 16-18 |
| 2016-05-14 | Atlanta Dream | L 63-73 | 1407.21 | 1492.97 | 43.12% | 56.88% | -12.02 | 0-1 |
| 2016-05-19 | Connecticut Sun | L 68-72 | 1395.19 | 1452.81 | 47.12% | 52.88% | -8.31 | 0-2 |
| 2016-05-21 | @ Dallas Wings | L 77-82 | 1386.88 | 1510.67 | 28.31% | 71.69% | -5.59 | 0-3 |
| 2016-05-27 | Chicago Sky | W 79-78 | 1381.29 | 1492.84 | 39.52% | 60.48% | +5.34 | 1-3 |
| 2016-06-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-68 | 1386.63 | 1576.33 | 21.27% | 78.73% | -4.97 | 1-4 |
| 2016-06-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-74 | 1381.66 | 1581.29 | 28.24% | 71.76% | -8.98 | 1-5 |
| 2016-06-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 75-90 | 1372.68 | 1503.65 | 27.48% | 72.52% | -9.39 | 1-6 |
| 2016-06-11 | New York Liberty | L 75-90 | 1363.29 | 1532.60 | 31.91% | 68.09% | -10.89 | 1-7 |
| 2016-06-14 | Seattle Storm | W 77-70 | 1352.40 | 1438.98 | 43.00% | 57.00% | +13.30 | 2-7 |
| 2016-06-17 | Indiana Fever | L 75-84 | 1365.70 | 1486.98 | 38.19% | 61.81% | -10.11 | 2-8 |
| 2016-06-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 90-93 | 1355.59 | 1380.07 | 41.16% | 58.84% | -6.28 | 2-9 |
| 2016-06-21 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-81 | 1349.31 | 1513.46 | 23.84% | 76.16% | -5.16 | 2-10 |
| 2016-06-23 | @ Dallas Wings | L 90-97 | 1344.15 | 1483.83 | 26.49% | 73.51% | -6.18 | 2-11 |
| 2016-06-25 | Atlanta Dream | W 73-69 | 1337.97 | 1489.82 | 34.13% | 65.87% | +11.62 | 3-11 |
| 2016-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | L 67-84 | 1349.59 | 1519.73 | 23.22% | 76.78% | -8.44 | 3-12 |
| 2016-07-01 | @ Indiana Fever | W 87-85 | 1341.15 | 1504.85 | 23.89% | 76.11% | +9.49 | 4-12 |
| 2016-07-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-91 | 1350.64 | 1624.64 | 14.26% | 85.74% | -6.03 | 4-13 |
| 2016-07-06 | Washington Mystics | W 77-70 | 1344.61 | 1522.06 | 30.90% | 69.10% | +16.13 | 5-13 |
| 2016-07-08 | Seattle Storm | L 68-78 | 1360.74 | 1404.51 | 49.11% | 50.89% | -13.70 | 5-14 |
| 2016-07-10 | @ New York Liberty | L 65-75 | 1347.04 | 1590.80 | 16.52% | 83.48% | -4.61 | 5-15 |
| 2016-07-12 | Minnesota Lynx | L 57-81 | 1342.43 | 1635.87 | 18.65% | 81.35% | -8.06 | 5-16 |
| 2016-07-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 64-83 | 1334.37 | 1496.42 | 24.06% | 75.94% | -9.25 | 5-17 |
| 2016-07-20 | @ Seattle Storm | L 69-83 | 1325.12 | 1425.98 | 31.06% | 68.94% | -10.25 | 5-18 |
| 2016-08-26 | New York Liberty | L 77-84 | 1314.87 | 1586.42 | 20.64% | 79.36% | -4.82 | 5-19 |
| 2016-08-28 | @ Washington Mystics | W 85-74 | 1310.05 | 1473.53 | 23.91% | 76.09% | +22.26 | 6-19 |
| 2016-08-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-89 | 1332.31 | 1431.58 | 31.26% | 68.74% | -14.33 | 6-20 |
| 2016-09-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-70 | 1317.98 | 1636.83 | 16.54% | 83.46% | -4.37 | 6-21 |
| 2016-09-04 | @ Chicago Sky | L 73-97 | 1313.61 | 1527.89 | 19.00% | 81.00% | -8.21 | 6-22 |
| 2016-09-06 | Indiana Fever | L 69-71 | 1305.40 | 1512.96 | 27.32% | 72.68% | -3.41 | 6-23 |
| 2016-09-09 | Dallas Wings | L 84-92 | 1301.99 | 1370.25 | 45.60% | 54.40% | -11.38 | 6-24 |
| 2016-09-11 | Minnesota Lynx | L 76-81 | 1290.61 | 1684.75 | 11.38% | 88.62% | -2.24 | 6-25 |
| 2016-09-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 71-67 | 1288.37 | 1484.36 | 20.67% | 79.33% | +13.99 | 7-25 |
| 2016-09-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-71 | 1302.36 | 1613.33 | 11.85% | 88.15% | -2.56 | 7-26 |
| 2016-09-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 65-81 | 1299.80 | 1527.12 | 25.12% | 74.88% | -8.86 | 7-27 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-96 | 1447.88 | 1497.02 | 37.77% | 62.23% | -18.25 | 0-1 |
| 2016-05-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 81-80 | 1429.63 | 1524.36 | 31.83% | 68.17% | +6.02 | 1-1 |
| 2016-05-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 71-78 | 1435.65 | 1582.37 | 34.79% | 65.21% | -8.12 | 1-2 |
| 2016-05-26 | Washington Mystics | L 82-84 | 1427.53 | 1473.06 | 48.86% | 51.14% | -6.10 | 1-3 |
| 2016-05-28 | Connecticut Sun | W 93-82 | 1421.43 | 1439.71 | 52.78% | 47.22% | +13.82 | 2-3 |
| 2016-06-01 | @ Indiana Fever | L 75-85 | 1435.25 | 1521.84 | 32.85% | 67.15% | -9.17 | 2-4 |
| 2016-06-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 95-81 | 1426.08 | 1530.52 | 40.50% | 59.50% | +19.64 | 3-4 |
| 2016-06-05 | New York Liberty | L 78-86 | 1445.72 | 1538.52 | 42.12% | 57.88% | -10.51 | 3-5 |
| 2016-06-10 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 76-77 | 1435.21 | 1397.33 | 50.04% | 49.96% | -4.41 | 3-6 |
| 2016-06-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 90-88 | 1430.80 | 1505.36 | 34.40% | 65.60% | +8.18 | 4-6 |
| 2016-06-14 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 70-77 | 1438.98 | 1352.40 | 57.00% | 43.00% | -13.30 | 4-7 |
| 2016-06-16 | @ Dallas Wings | L 79-88 | 1425.68 | 1445.20 | 41.85% | 58.15% | -11.08 | 4-8 |
| 2016-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | L 84-96 | 1414.60 | 1673.68 | 21.84% | 78.16% | -6.67 | 4-9 |
| 2016-06-24 | Connecticut Sun | W 98-81 | 1407.93 | 1386.36 | 58.44% | 41.56% | +15.12 | 5-9 |
| 2016-06-28 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-81 | 1423.05 | 1478.20 | 47.48% | 52.52% | +8.02 | 6-9 |
| 2016-06-30 | Dallas Wings | L 78-83 | 1431.07 | 1474.28 | 49.19% | 50.81% | -9.70 | 6-10 |
| 2016-07-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 64-77 | 1421.37 | 1452.62 | 40.22% | 59.78% | -12.79 | 6-11 |
| 2016-07-06 | @ New York Liberty | L 74-78 | 1408.58 | 1580.16 | 23.07% | 76.93% | -4.07 | 6-12 |
| 2016-07-08 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 78-68 | 1404.51 | 1360.74 | 50.89% | 49.11% | +13.70 | 7-12 |
| 2016-07-10 | Indiana Fever | L 82-93 | 1418.21 | 1512.85 | 41.87% | 58.13% | -12.25 | 7-13 |
| 2016-07-15 | Washington Mystics | W 80-51 | 1405.96 | 1491.18 | 43.19% | 56.81% | +26.98 | 8-13 |
| 2016-07-17 | Chicago Sky | L 88-91 | 1432.94 | 1501.31 | 45.58% | 54.42% | -6.96 | 8-14 |
| 2016-07-20 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-69 | 1425.98 | 1325.12 | 68.94% | 31.06% | +10.25 | 9-14 |
| 2016-07-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-79 | 1436.23 | 1669.72 | 17.36% | 82.64% | -4.05 | 9-15 |
| 2016-08-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-72 | 1432.18 | 1665.66 | 24.46% | 75.54% | +17.63 | 10-15 |
| 2016-08-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-92 | 1449.81 | 1660.28 | 19.34% | 80.66% | -5.91 | 10-16 |
| 2016-08-31 | Dallas Wings | W 78-66 | 1443.90 | 1396.38 | 62.01% | 37.99% | +11.60 | 11-16 |
| 2016-09-02 | @ Chicago Sky | L 88-92 | 1455.50 | 1521.63 | 35.50% | 64.50% | -6.26 | 11-17 |
| 2016-09-04 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 91-82 | 1449.24 | 1489.72 | 38.95% | 61.05% | +16.16 | 12-17 |
| 2016-09-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 102-78 | 1465.40 | 1583.66 | 28.96% | 71.04% | +30.69 | 13-17 |
| 2016-09-09 | @ Washington Mystics | W 81-76 | 1496.09 | 1486.26 | 46.01% | 53.99% | +10.65 | 14-17 |
| 2016-09-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-60 | 1506.74 | 1630.29 | 37.88% | 62.12% | +23.25 | 15-17 |
| 2016-09-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 62-86 | 1529.99 | 1506.38 | 47.99% | 52.01% | -20.74 | 15-18 |
| 2016-09-18 | Chicago Sky | W 88-75 | 1509.25 | 1535.75 | 51.60% | 48.40% | +15.39 | 16-18 |
| 2016-05-14 | New York Liberty | L 76-87 | 1515.02 | 1528.47 | 53.47% | 46.53% | -15.64 | 0-1 |
| 2016-05-18 | Dallas Wings | L 77-87 | 1499.38 | 1495.05 | 56.01% | 43.99% | -15.62 | 0-2 |
| 2016-05-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-97 | 1483.76 | 1515.26 | 50.88% | 49.12% | -24.58 | 0-3 |
| 2016-05-21 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 84-76 | 1459.18 | 1461.13 | 44.33% | 55.67% | +13.88 | 1-3 |
| 2016-05-26 | @ Seattle Storm | W 84-82 | 1473.06 | 1427.53 | 51.14% | 48.86% | +6.10 | 2-3 |
| 2016-05-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-93 | 1479.16 | 1507.84 | 40.57% | 59.43% | -14.32 | 2-4 |
| 2016-06-01 | Chicago Sky | L 78-86 | 1464.84 | 1498.82 | 50.52% | 49.48% | -12.60 | 2-5 |
| 2016-06-03 | @ Chicago Sky | L 72-98 | 1452.24 | 1511.43 | 36.42% | 63.58% | -16.38 | 2-6 |
| 2016-06-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-79 | 1435.86 | 1552.09 | 29.20% | 70.80% | +16.52 | 3-6 |
| 2016-06-08 | @ Dallas Wings | W 87-79 | 1452.38 | 1480.22 | 40.69% | 59.31% | +14.80 | 4-6 |
| 2016-06-11 | Minnesota Lynx | L 76-83 | 1467.18 | 1656.60 | 29.44% | 70.56% | -6.87 | 4-7 |
| 2016-06-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 109-106 | 1460.31 | 1395.36 | 53.93% | 46.07% | +7.04 | 5-7 |
| 2016-06-18 | Atlanta Dream | W 95-65 | 1467.35 | 1529.34 | 46.50% | 53.50% | +25.84 | 6-7 |
| 2016-06-22 | Indiana Fever | W 76-62 | 1493.19 | 1489.92 | 55.86% | 44.14% | +14.57 | 7-7 |
| 2016-06-24 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-91 | 1507.76 | 1489.52 | 57.97% | 42.03% | -17.71 | 7-8 |
| 2016-06-26 | Minnesota Lynx | W 87-63 | 1490.05 | 1664.24 | 31.30% | 68.70% | +29.68 | 8-8 |
| 2016-06-29 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-67 | 1519.73 | 1349.59 | 76.78% | 23.22% | +8.45 | 9-8 |
| 2016-07-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 84-86 | 1528.18 | 1497.24 | 49.04% | 50.96% | -6.12 | 9-9 |
| 2016-07-06 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 70-77 | 1522.06 | 1344.61 | 69.10% | 30.90% | -16.12 | 9-10 |
| 2016-07-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 82-93 | 1505.94 | 1682.28 | 22.59% | 77.41% | -6.61 | 9-11 |
| 2016-07-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 74-78 | 1499.33 | 1488.27 | 46.19% | 53.81% | -8.15 | 9-12 |
| 2016-07-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 51-80 | 1491.18 | 1405.96 | 56.81% | 43.19% | -26.98 | 9-13 |
| 2016-07-20 | New York Liberty | L 81-88 | 1464.20 | 1598.36 | 36.45% | 63.55% | -8.51 | 9-14 |
| 2016-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-95 | 1455.69 | 1654.48 | 28.34% | 71.66% | -11.18 | 9-15 |
| 2016-08-27 | @ Indiana Fever | W 92-69 | 1444.51 | 1542.69 | 31.40% | 68.60% | +29.02 | 10-15 |
| 2016-08-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 74-85 | 1473.53 | 1310.05 | 76.09% | 23.91% | -22.25 | 10-16 |
| 2016-09-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 69-75 | 1451.28 | 1666.19 | 18.94% | 81.06% | -4.10 | 10-17 |
| 2016-09-04 | @ Dallas Wings | W 88-83 | 1447.18 | 1379.25 | 54.35% | 45.65% | +9.01 | 11-17 |
| 2016-09-07 | Chicago Sky | W 118-81 | 1456.19 | 1536.10 | 43.94% | 56.06% | +30.07 | 12-17 |
| 2016-09-09 | Seattle Storm | L 76-81 | 1486.26 | 1496.09 | 53.99% | 46.01% | -10.65 | 12-18 |
| 2016-09-11 | Indiana Fever | L 73-80 | 1475.61 | 1526.44 | 48.10% | 51.90% | -11.22 | 12-19 |
| 2016-09-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 75-62 | 1464.39 | 1549.80 | 33.00% | 67.00% | +21.31 | 13-19 |
| 2016-09-15 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 91-94 | 1485.70 | 1470.37 | 46.80% | 53.20% | -7.15 | 13-20 |
| 2016-09-18 | Connecticut Sun | L 78-87 | 1478.55 | 1463.22 | 57.56% | 42.44% | -15.23 | 13-21 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-09-21 | Seattle Storm | W 94-85 | 1472.71 | 1524.64 | 47.94% | 52.06% | +13.78 | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-25 | @ Chicago Sky | L 98-108 | 1486.49 | 1520.36 | 39.86% | 60.14% | -11.12 | 1-1 |
| 2016-09-25 | Atlanta Dream | W 108-98 | 1520.36 | 1486.49 | 60.14% | 39.86% | +11.11 | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-95 | 1531.47 | 1615.89 | 33.13% | 66.87% | -13.06 | 1-1 |
| 2016-09-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-99 | 1518.41 | 1628.96 | 29.88% | 70.12% | -10.21 | 1-2 |
| 2016-10-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 70-66 | 1508.20 | 1639.16 | 36.88% | 63.12% | +11.13 | 2-2 |
| 2016-10-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-95 | 1519.33 | 1628.03 | 39.91% | 60.09% | -15.74 | 2-3 |
| 2016-09-21 | Phoenix Mercury | L 78-89 | 1533.07 | 1535.98 | 54.98% | 45.02% | -16.08 | 0-1 |
| 2016-09-28 | Chicago Sky | W 95-75 | 1615.89 | 1531.47 | 66.87% | 33.13% | +13.07 | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-30 | Chicago Sky | W 99-84 | 1628.96 | 1518.41 | 70.12% | 29.88% | +10.20 | 2-0 |
| 2016-10-02 | @ Chicago Sky | L 66-70 | 1639.16 | 1508.20 | 63.12% | 36.88% | -11.13 | 2-1 |
| 2016-10-04 | @ Chicago Sky | W 95-75 | 1628.03 | 1519.33 | 60.09% | 39.91% | +15.74 | 3-1 |
| 2016-10-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 78-76 | 1643.77 | 1722.16 | 33.90% | 66.10% | +8.25 | 4-1 |
| 2016-10-11 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 60-79 | 1652.02 | 1713.91 | 36.06% | 63.94% | -13.87 | 4-2 |
| 2016-10-14 | Minnesota Lynx | W 92-75 | 1638.15 | 1727.78 | 42.57% | 57.43% | +20.89 | 5-2 |
| 2016-10-16 | Minnesota Lynx | L 79-85 | 1659.04 | 1706.89 | 48.53% | 51.47% | -10.49 | 5-3 |
| 2016-10-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 77-76 | 1648.55 | 1717.38 | 35.15% | 64.85% | +5.72 | 6-3 |
| 2016-09-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 113-95 | 1693.71 | 1563.53 | 72.43% | 27.57% | +10.31 | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-30 | Phoenix Mercury | W 96-86 | 1704.02 | 1553.21 | 74.74% | 25.26% | +7.05 | 2-0 |
| 2016-10-02 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-67 | 1711.07 | 1546.17 | 67.54% | 32.46% | +11.09 | 3-0 |
| 2016-10-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-78 | 1722.16 | 1643.77 | 66.10% | 33.90% | -8.25 | 3-1 |
| 2016-10-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-60 | 1713.91 | 1652.02 | 63.94% | 36.06% | +13.87 | 4-1 |
| 2016-10-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-92 | 1727.78 | 1638.15 | 57.43% | 42.57% | -20.89 | 4-2 |
| 2016-10-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-79 | 1706.89 | 1659.04 | 51.47% | 48.53% | +10.49 | 5-2 |
| 2016-10-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-77 | 1717.38 | 1648.55 | 64.85% | 35.15% | -5.73 | 5-3 |
| 2016-09-24 | Phoenix Mercury | L 94-101 | 1508.43 | 1552.06 | 49.13% | 50.87% | -11.47 | 0-1 |
| 2016-09-21 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-78 | 1535.98 | 1533.07 | 45.02% | 54.98% | +16.08 | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 101-94 | 1552.06 | 1508.43 | 50.87% | 49.13% | +11.47 | 2-0 |
| 2016-09-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 95-113 | 1563.53 | 1693.71 | 27.57% | 72.43% | -10.32 | 2-1 |
| 2016-09-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 86-96 | 1553.21 | 1704.02 | 25.26% | 74.74% | -7.04 | 2-2 |
| 2016-10-02 | Minnesota Lynx | L 67-82 | 1546.17 | 1711.07 | 32.46% | 67.54% | -11.09 | 2-3 |
| 2016-09-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 85-94 | 1524.64 | 1472.71 | 52.06% | 47.94% | -13.77 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2016-09-13 | 20.67% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1288.37 | 71 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1484.36 | 67 |
| 2 | 2016-07-07 | 21.32% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1371.74 | 93 | Minnesota Lynx | 1636.18 | 89 |
| 3 | 2016-08-26 | 23.52% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1431.34 | 84 | Minnesota Lynx | 1673.77 | 80 |
| 4 | 2016-07-17 | 23.70% | @ Atlanta Dream | 1460.52 | 91 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1701.26 | 74 |
| 5 | 2016-07-01 | 23.89% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1341.15 | 87 | @ Indiana Fever | 1504.85 | 85 |
| 6 | 2016-08-28 | 23.91% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1310.05 | 85 | @ Washington Mystics | 1473.53 | 74 |
| 7 | 2016-09-08 | 23.96% | Atlanta Dream | 1482.31 | 86 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1645.28 | 81 |
| 8 | 2016-08-26 | 24.46% | @ Seattle Storm | 1432.18 | 79 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1665.66 | 72 |
| 9 | 2016-07-13 | 25.68% | Connecticut Sun | 1378.09 | 86 | @ Indiana Fever | 1525.09 | 64 |
| 10 | 2016-07-02 | 28.38% | Connecticut Sun | 1360.80 | 86 | @ Dallas Wings | 1483.98 | 83 |
| 11 | 2016-09-07 | 28.96% | Seattle Storm | 1465.40 | 102 | @ New York Liberty | 1583.66 | 78 |
| 12 | 2016-06-05 | 29.20% | Washington Mystics | 1435.86 | 86 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1552.09 | 79 |
| 13 | 2016-09-11 | 30.74% | @ Dallas Wings | 1381.63 | 84 | New York Liberty | 1560.38 | 81 |
| 14 | 2016-07-06 | 30.90% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1344.61 | 77 | Washington Mystics | 1522.06 | 70 |
| 15 | 2016-09-13 | 30.90% | @ Chicago Sky | 1509.59 | 98 | Minnesota Lynx | 1687.00 | 97 |
| 16 | 2016-06-26 | 31.30% | @ Washington Mystics | 1490.05 | 87 | Minnesota Lynx | 1664.24 | 63 |
| 17 | 2016-08-27 | 31.40% | Washington Mystics | 1444.51 | 92 | @ Indiana Fever | 1542.69 | 69 |
| 18 | 2016-07-22 | 31.50% | Connecticut Sun | 1417.83 | 94 | @ Chicago Sky | 1515.14 | 89 |
| 19 | 2016-07-19 | 31.78% | @ Indiana Fever | 1503.22 | 92 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1673.51 | 82 |
| 20 | 2016-05-20 | 31.83% | Seattle Storm | 1429.63 | 81 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1524.36 | 80 |
| 21 | 2016-09-13 | 33.00% | Washington Mystics | 1464.39 | 75 | @ New York Liberty | 1549.80 | 62 |
| 22 | 2016-07-21 | 33.10% | Indiana Fever | 1522.25 | 82 | @ New York Liberty | 1606.86 | 70 |
| 23 | 2016-10-09 * | 33.90% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1643.77 | 78 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1722.16 | 76 |
| 24 | 2016-06-25 | 34.13% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1337.97 | 73 | Atlanta Dream | 1489.82 | 69 |
| 25 | 2016-06-12 | 34.40% | Seattle Storm | 1430.80 | 90 | @ Indiana Fever | 1505.36 | 88 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2016-07-13 | 30.75 | Connecticut Sun | 86 | 1378.09 | 25.68% | @ Indiana Fever | 64 | 1525.09 | 74.32% |
| 2 | 2016-09-07 | 30.70 | Seattle Storm | 102 | 1465.40 | 28.96% | @ New York Liberty | 78 | 1583.66 | 71.04% |
| 3 | 2016-09-07 | 30.08 | @ Washington Mystics | 118 | 1456.19 | 43.94% | Chicago Sky | 81 | 1536.10 | 56.06% |
| 4 | 2016-06-26 | 29.68 | @ Washington Mystics | 87 | 1490.05 | 31.30% | Minnesota Lynx | 63 | 1664.24 | 68.70% |
| 5 | 2016-08-27 | 29.02 | Washington Mystics | 92 | 1444.51 | 31.40% | @ Indiana Fever | 69 | 1542.69 | 68.60% |
| 6 | 2016-07-17 | 27.75 | @ Atlanta Dream | 91 | 1460.52 | 23.70% | Los Angeles Sparks | 74 | 1701.26 | 76.30% |
| 7 | 2016-07-15 | 26.98 | @ Seattle Storm | 80 | 1405.96 | 43.19% | Washington Mystics | 51 | 1491.18 | 56.81% |
| 8 | 2016-06-18 | 25.85 | @ Washington Mystics | 95 | 1467.35 | 46.50% | Atlanta Dream | 65 | 1529.34 | 53.50% |
| 9 | 2016-05-20 | 24.58 | Los Angeles Sparks | 97 | 1515.26 | 49.12% | @ Washington Mystics | 67 | 1483.76 | 50.88% |
| 10 | 2016-06-24 | 23.67 | Los Angeles Sparks | 94 | 1631.29 | 36.76% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 76 | 1687.91 | 63.24% |
| 11 | 2016-09-01 | 23.54 | @ Indiana Fever | 98 | 1495.94 | 41.77% | New York Liberty | 77 | 1591.24 | 58.23% |
| 12 | 2016-06-03 | 23.39 | @ New York Liberty | 91 | 1515.13 | 53.13% | Indiana Fever | 59 | 1531.00 | 46.87% |
| 13 | 2016-09-11 | 23.25 | @ Seattle Storm | 78 | 1506.74 | 37.88% | Los Angeles Sparks | 60 | 1630.29 | 62.12% |
| 14 | 2016-08-28 | 22.26 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 85 | 1310.05 | 23.91% | @ Washington Mystics | 74 | 1473.53 | 76.09% |
| 15 | 2016-07-08 | 22.25 | Indiana Fever | 78 | 1490.60 | 40.55% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 60 | 1519.48 | 59.45% |
| 16 | 2016-09-13 | 21.31 | Washington Mystics | 75 | 1464.39 | 33.00% | @ New York Liberty | 62 | 1549.80 | 67.00% |
| 17 | 2016-10-14 * | 20.89 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 92 | 1638.15 | 42.57% | Minnesota Lynx | 75 | 1727.78 | 57.43% |
| 18 | 2016-09-15 | 20.74 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 86 | 1506.38 | 52.01% | Seattle Storm | 62 | 1529.99 | 47.99% |
| 19 | 2016-06-10 | 20.48 | Minnesota Lynx | 110 | 1636.13 | 58.96% | @ Atlanta Dream | 78 | 1535.57 | 41.04% |
| 20 | 2016-07-21 | 20.44 | Indiana Fever | 82 | 1522.25 | 33.10% | @ New York Liberty | 70 | 1606.86 | 66.90% |
| 21 | 2016-09-16 | 20.06 | @ Chicago Sky | 92 | 1515.69 | 53.56% | New York Liberty | 68 | 1528.49 | 46.44% |
| 22 | 2016-06-03 | 19.64 | @ Seattle Storm | 95 | 1426.08 | 40.50% | Phoenix Mercury | 81 | 1530.52 | 59.50% |
| 23 | 2016-07-19 | 19.03 | @ Indiana Fever | 92 | 1503.22 | 31.78% | Los Angeles Sparks | 82 | 1673.51 | 68.22% |
| 24 | 2016-09-16 | 18.94 | @ Connecticut Sun | 107 | 1444.29 | 62.63% | Dallas Wings | 74 | 1392.21 | 37.37% |
| 25 | 2016-05-18 | 18.80 | Minnesota Lynx | 97 | 1563.58 | 48.33% | @ Chicago Sky | 80 | 1537.61 | 51.67% |