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2015 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Minnesota Lynx

3rd Title

Last Title: 2013

Runner-Up

Indiana Fever

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2012

Biggest Overachiever

New York Liberty

5.06 wins above expected

23 wins · 17.94 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Antonio Silver Stars

5.32 wins below expected

8 wins · 13.32 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 New York Liberty League 23 11 .676 - 74.4 71.1 +3.3 17.94 +5.06
2 Chicago Sky Playoffs 21 13 .618 2 82.9 78.8 +4.1 18.29 +2.71
3 Indiana Fever Playoffs 20 14 .588 3 77.7 75.8 +1.9 17.24 +2.76
4 Washington Mystics Playoffs 18 16 .529 5 73.6 71.2 +2.3 17.93 +0.07
5 Atlanta Dream 15 19 .441 8 77.8 79.8 -2.0 15.15 -0.15
6 Connecticut Sun 15 19 .441 8 75.0 76.6 -1.6 16.00 -1.00
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Minnesota Lynx League 22 12 .647 - 75.5 71.7 +3.7 21.66 +0.34
2 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 20 14 .588 2 75.1 72.3 +2.9 21.32 -1.32
3 Tulsa Shock Playoffs 18 16 .529 4 77.7 77.1 +0.6 16.82 +1.18
4 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 14 20 .412 8 73.6 74.6 -0.9 15.12 -1.12
5 Seattle Storm 10 24 .294 12 70.4 76.1 -5.6 13.19 -3.19
6 San Antonio Silver Stars 8 26 .235 14 68.1 76.7 -8.6 13.32 -5.32

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2
Chicago Sky 1

3 games · Sep 17–Sep 21

New York Liberty 2
Washington Mystics 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Conference Final

Indiana Fever 2
New York Liberty 1

3 games · Sep 23–Sep 29

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Phoenix Mercury 2
Tulsa Shock 0

2 games · Sep 17–Sep 19

Minnesota Lynx 2
Los Angeles Sparks 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Conference Final

Minnesota Lynx 2
Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 24–Sep 27

WNBA Finals

Minnesota Lynx 3
Indiana Fever 2

5 games · Oct 4–Oct 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Phoenix Mercury Western 1579 20 21.32 -1.32 37.86% 8 17 19 21 23 26 32
Minnesota Lynx Western 1572 22 21.66 +0.34 61.78% 10 17 20 22 23 26 33
Chicago Sky Eastern 1553 21 18.29 +2.71 87.67% 6 14 16 18 20 23 30
New York Liberty Eastern 1548 23 17.94 +5.06 97.84% 7 13 16 18 20 22 31
Indiana Fever Eastern 1547 20 17.24 +2.76 87.86% 5 13 15 17 19 22 29
Washington Mystics Eastern 1540 18 17.93 +0.07 58.03% 6 13 16 18 20 23 29
Tulsa Shock Western 1502 18 16.82 +1.18 72.59% 5 12 15 17 19 21 28
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1491 14 15.12 -1.12 41.32% 4 11 13 15 17 20 26
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1484 15 15.15 -0.15 55.04% 5 11 13 15 17 20 27
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1443 15 16.00 -1.00 42.89% 5 11 14 16 18 21 28
Seattle Storm Western 1403 10 13.19 -3.19 16.15% 2 9 11 13 15 18 25
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1339 8 13.32 -5.32 3.63% 2 9 11 13 15 18 29

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream —
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
1-4
(2.1 exp.)
4-0
(1.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
 —
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
4-1
(2.6 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
 —
0-4
(2.0 exp.)
0-4
(1.6 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
Indiana Fever
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
4-0
(2.0 exp.)
 —
4-1
(2.6 exp.)
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
New York Liberty
4-1
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(2.4 exp.)
1-4
(2.4 exp.)
 —
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
Washington Mystics
0-4
(2.3 exp.)
1-4
(2.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
 —

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Chicago Sky
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks —
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
4-1
(2.7 exp.)
0-4
(2.2 exp.)
3-2
(2.4 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
 —
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
4-1
(3.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
 —
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
3-2
(3.0 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-4
(2.3 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
 —
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
Seattle Storm
4-0
(1.8 exp.)
1-4
(1.4 exp.)
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
 —
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
2-3
(2.6 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
2-3
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
 —

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50——0.49%0.25%———0.74%
50–59—0.98%1.96%1.96%2.21%0.25%—7.35%
60–690.49%1.96%3.43%11.03%4.66%0.49%—22.06%
70–790.25%1.96%11.03%9.80%8.82%2.70%0.25%34.80%
80–89—2.21%4.66%8.82%6.37%1.96%0.49%24.51%
90–99—0.25%0.49%2.70%1.96%2.94%0.74%9.07%
100+———0.25%0.49%0.74%—1.47%
Total0.74%7.35%22.06%34.80%24.51%9.07%1.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.14 75.14 +0.00
SD 11.11 11.11 13.39
CV 0.15 0.15 —
Max 106 106 +35
Min 45 45 -35

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69——2.94%11.76%2.94%——17.65%
70–79—2.94%11.76%11.76%17.65%2.94%2.94%50.00%
80–89———2.94%2.94%—2.94%8.82%
90–99——2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%20.59%
100+—————2.94%—2.94%
Total—2.94%17.65%29.41%26.47%14.71%8.82%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.79 79.76 -1.97
SD 10.67 12.32 11.26
CV 0.14 0.15 —
Max 102 106 +30
Min 64 57 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69——5.88%8.82%5.88%——20.59%
70–79——5.88%5.88%8.82%——20.59%
80–89—2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%——17.65%
90–99——2.94%11.76%11.76%5.88%2.94%35.29%
100+————2.94%2.94%—5.88%
Total—2.94%17.65%29.41%38.24%8.82%2.94%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.88 78.82 +4.06
SD 12.80 10.82 13.90
CV 0.15 0.14 —
Max 106 101 +28
Min 63 57 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%2.94%2.94%——8.82%
60–69——5.88%5.88%2.94%——14.71%
70–79—2.94%5.88%14.71%11.76%8.82%—44.12%
80–89—2.94%2.94%11.76%5.88%2.94%—26.47%
90–99———2.94%——2.94%5.88%
100+————————
Total—5.88%17.65%38.24%23.53%11.76%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.00 76.62 -1.62
SD 9.16 10.88 12.38
CV 0.12 0.14 —
Max 92 102 +31
Min 51 51 -30

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%————2.94%
60–69———2.94%5.88%——8.82%
70–79—2.94%14.71%11.76%11.76%5.88%—47.06%
80–89—2.94%5.88%14.71%2.94%2.94%2.94%32.35%
90–99———2.94%2.94%——5.88%
100+———2.94%———2.94%
Total—5.88%23.53%35.29%23.53%8.82%2.94%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.68 75.79 +1.88
SD 9.49 12.03 14.82
CV 0.12 0.16 —
Max 106 106 +30
Min 50 50 -26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59—2.94%5.88%————8.82%
60–69—2.94%2.94%17.65%5.88%2.94%—32.35%
70–79——8.82%5.88%8.82%——23.53%
80–89—2.94%2.94%8.82%5.88%——20.59%
90–99—2.94%—2.94%—8.82%—14.71%
100+————————
Total—11.76%20.59%35.29%20.59%11.76%—100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.62 74.56 -0.94
SD 12.38 11.00 13.21
CV 0.17 0.15 —
Max 98 95 +31
Min 52 52 -30

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–692.94%2.94%—14.71%8.82%——29.41%
70–79—5.88%14.71%11.76%2.94%——35.29%
80–89—2.94%5.88%14.71%5.88%2.94%—32.35%
90–99———2.94%———2.94%
100+————————
Total2.94%11.76%20.59%44.12%17.65%2.94%—100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.47 71.74 +3.74
SD 8.28 9.96 12.51
CV 0.11 0.14 —
Max 94 90 +25
Min 61 49 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59—2.94%—2.94%2.94%——8.82%
60–69—5.88%2.94%2.94%5.88%——17.65%
70–792.94%—14.71%11.76%14.71%——44.12%
80–89——11.76%11.76%2.94%——26.47%
90–99———2.94%———2.94%
100+————————
Total2.94%8.82%29.41%32.35%26.47%——100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.38 71.06 +3.32
SD 9.12 9.57 12.32
CV 0.12 0.13 —
Max 90 84 +28
Min 55 45 -27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%5.88%———8.82%
60–69———17.65%———17.65%
70–79—2.94%17.65%11.76%—2.94%—35.29%
80–89—5.88%5.88%8.82%8.82%2.94%—32.35%
90–99———2.94%—2.94%—5.88%
100+————————
Total—8.82%26.47%47.06%8.82%8.82%—100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.15 72.29 +2.85
SD 10.36 9.72 12.08
CV 0.14 0.13 —
Max 94 91 +31
Min 56 52 -15

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50——2.94%2.94%———5.88%
50–59—2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%—20.59%
60–69—2.94%2.94%14.71%8.82%——29.41%
70–79——2.94%11.76%11.76%——26.47%
80–89——2.94%—5.88%5.88%—14.71%
90–99————————
100+————2.94%——2.94%
Total—5.88%14.71%32.35%38.24%8.82%—100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 68.06 76.71 -8.65
SD 12.60 9.99 13.30
CV 0.19 0.13 —
Max 102 95 +18
Min 45 58 -35

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50——2.94%————2.94%
50–59—2.94%—2.94%2.94%——8.82%
60–69—5.88%5.88%14.71%8.82%2.94%—38.24%
70–79——8.82%5.88%8.82%5.88%—29.41%
80–89——5.88%5.88%2.94%5.88%—20.59%
90–99————————
100+————————
Total—8.82%23.53%29.41%23.53%14.71%—100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 70.41 76.06 -5.65
SD 10.09 11.52 13.36
CV 0.14 0.15 —
Max 89 94 +25
Min 45 54 -28

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%—5.88%——8.82%
60–692.94%——8.82%———11.76%
70–79—2.94%11.76%5.88%5.88%5.88%—32.35%
80–89——8.82%11.76%11.76%——32.35%
90–99————5.88%5.88%—11.76%
100+—————2.94%—2.94%
Total2.94%2.94%23.53%26.47%29.41%14.71%—100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.71 77.06 +0.65
SD 10.74 12.32 13.32
CV 0.14 0.16 —
Max 101 98 +27
Min 55 45 -31

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%5.88%2.94%——11.76%
60–69—2.94%11.76%11.76%———26.47%
70–79—2.94%14.71%8.82%2.94%——29.41%
80–89—5.88%—11.76%11.76%——29.41%
90–99—————2.94%—2.94%
100+————————
Total—11.76%29.41%38.24%17.65%2.94%—100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.56 71.24 +2.32
SD 10.88 9.95 13.32
CV 0.15 0.14 —
Max 91 93 +35
Min 50 50 -28

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.46 +8.4
Allowed 0.19 -6.9
Differential 0.94 +11.5

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 New York Liberty 23 17.94 +5.06
2 Indiana Fever 20 17.24 +2.76
3 Chicago Sky 21 18.29 +2.71
4 Tulsa Shock 18 16.82 +1.18
5 Minnesota Lynx 22 21.66 +0.34

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 San Antonio Silver Stars 8 13.32 -5.32
2 Seattle Storm 10 13.19 -3.19
3 Phoenix Mercury 20 21.32 -1.32
4 Los Angeles Sparks 14 15.12 -1.12
5 Connecticut Sun 15 16.00 -1.00

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Connecticut Sun 7 Jun 7 – Jun 26 1 in 239
2 Tulsa Shock 8 Jun 6 – Jun 28 1 in 180
3 Indiana Fever 6 Aug 7 – Aug 23 1 in 90
4 Los Angeles Sparks 4 Jul 31 – Aug 6 1 in 51
5 New York Liberty 5 Jul 15 – Jul 22 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tulsa Shock 10 Jul 15 – Aug 12 1 in 694
2 Connecticut Sun 7 Aug 14 – Aug 29 1 in 97
3 Los Angeles Sparks 7 Jun 6 – Jun 28 1 in 75
4 San Antonio Silver Stars 10 Aug 11 – Sep 8 1 in 75
5 Phoenix Mercury 3 Aug 16 – Aug 21 1 in 35

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team123456
Chicago Sky26.29%21.72%18.27%14.83%11.52%7.37%
New York Liberty22.21%20.73%18.73%16.23%13.09%9.03%
Washington Mystics22.73%20.34%18.43%16.07%13.19%9.24%
Indiana Fever16.09%17.55%18.04%18.01%16.84%13.46%
Connecticut Sun7.98%11.52%14.76%18.38%22.16%25.20%
Atlanta Dream4.71%8.14%11.78%16.47%23.20%35.70%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx49.39%36.74%10.17%2.78%0.74%0.18%
Phoenix Mercury44.05%39.00%12.13%3.58%1.04%0.20%
Tulsa Shock4.58%14.42%36.67%24.30%13.61%6.42%
Los Angeles Sparks1.35%6.06%22.27%30.02%24.16%16.13%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.32%1.96%9.82%19.81%29.84%38.26%
Seattle Storm0.30%1.83%8.94%19.51%30.61%38.81%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx39.13%24.17%14.12%8.67%5.46%3.44%2.24%1.33%0.77%0.38%0.21%0.08%
Phoenix Mercury34.54%24.04%14.75%9.62%6.39%4.30%2.68%1.74%1.02%0.55%0.26%0.10%
Chicago Sky6.44%11.45%14.00%13.73%12.53%10.96%9.16%7.46%5.84%4.34%2.77%1.31%
New York Liberty5.26%9.78%12.58%13.00%12.47%11.42%9.88%8.45%6.92%5.08%3.46%1.70%
Washington Mystics5.45%9.99%12.44%12.92%12.43%11.21%9.86%8.33%6.76%5.15%3.71%1.76%
Indiana Fever3.42%7.04%9.93%11.39%11.66%11.65%10.90%10.05%8.65%7.16%5.24%2.92%
Tulsa Shock2.78%5.43%7.81%9.46%10.98%11.63%11.75%11.13%10.01%8.50%6.42%4.12%
Connecticut Sun1.40%3.52%5.70%7.61%9.32%10.23%11.35%11.67%11.82%11.01%9.70%6.68%
Atlanta Dream0.62%1.98%3.72%5.41%6.99%8.61%10.30%11.39%12.71%13.68%13.72%10.87%
Los Angeles Sparks0.69%1.80%3.18%4.94%6.62%8.44%10.46%11.93%13.27%13.85%13.44%11.37%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.14%0.43%0.94%1.72%2.69%4.22%5.90%8.33%11.24%15.03%20.30%29.05%
Seattle Storm0.12%0.39%0.81%1.53%2.46%3.89%5.53%8.18%11.01%15.26%20.78%30.04%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Chicago Sky26.29%21.72%18.27%14.83%18.89%
Washington Mystics22.73%20.34%18.43%16.07%22.43%
New York Liberty22.21%20.73%18.73%16.23%22.11%
Indiana Fever16.09%17.55%18.04%18.01%30.30%
Connecticut Sun7.98%11.52%14.76%18.38%47.36%
Atlanta Dream4.71%8.14%11.78%16.47%58.90%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx49.39%36.74%10.17%2.78%0.92%
Phoenix Mercury44.05%39.00%12.13%3.58%1.24%
Tulsa Shock4.58%14.42%36.67%24.30%20.04%
Los Angeles Sparks1.35%6.06%22.27%30.02%40.29%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.32%1.96%9.82%19.81%68.09%
Seattle Storm0.30%1.83%8.94%19.51%69.42%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeAway
+23.53%
Fortress
61.76%38.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 83.31 Elo pts.
26 Elo
0.039 points per Elo point
080
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+3.42 points
Home-Tilted
-8+3.21+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.3
Open Race
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Minnesota Lynx, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
22.5%
Favored
012.50%30%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.21 · As Expected: 2.21 to 3.04 · Elevated: 3.04 to 4.14 · High Variance: 4.14 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.81 · Close: 1.81 to 2.45 · Off Target: 2.45 to 3.2 · Well Off Target: 3.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.17 · As Expected: 1.17 to 1.95 · More Than Expected: 1.95 to 3.12 · Far More Than Expected: 3.12 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.65 wins
As Expected
02.767
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.08
Pinpoint
02.135
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.84%
New York Liberty
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.63%
San Antonio Silver Stars
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Several Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
0 of 8
Fewer Than Expected
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Balanced
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
0.92
Coin-Flip Spread
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Competitive
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Lopsided
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
17%
Mostly Decisive
0%18%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.23
Hard to Predict
00.221
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.17
Reshuffled
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
35%
As Expected
0%36%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Shaky Favorites
0%31%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.11
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Within Noise
00.0930.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Phoenix Mercury 98.76% 71.47% 40.59% 24.18%
Minnesota Lynx 99.08% 71.44% 39.58% 23.18%
Chicago Sky 81.11% 46.15% 25.27% 11.93%
New York Liberty 77.89% 43.12% 22.87% 10.64%
Washington Mystics 77.57% 41.39% 21.28% 9.63%
Indiana Fever 69.70% 37.70% 19.52% 9.12%
Tulsa Shock 79.97% 28.93% 11.10% 4.77%
Los Angeles Sparks 59.71% 19.16% 6.96% 2.76%
Atlanta Dream 41.10% 15.63% 5.97% 1.99%
Connecticut Sun 52.64% 16.00% 5.08% 1.41%
Seattle Storm 30.58% 5.40% 1.22% 0.30%
San Antonio Silver Stars 31.91% 3.59% 0.55% 0.08%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream34.6%10.27%56.8%4.61%36.4%7.50%35.3%9.29%36.6%9.43%
Chicago Sky65.4%10.27%71.6%13.41%51.7%17.94%51.4%19.84%52.7%19.66%
Connecticut Sun43.2%4.61%28.4%13.41%29.1%10.05%28.7%12.26%30.5%12.31%
Indiana Fever63.6%7.50%48.3%17.94%70.9%10.05%49.2%17.27%51.1%16.94%
New York Liberty64.7%9.29%48.6%19.84%71.3%12.26%50.8%17.27%51.8%19.23%
Washington Mystics63.4%9.43%47.3%19.66%69.5%12.31%48.9%16.94%48.2%19.23%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks29.6%26.74%29.0%26.15%76.9%0.83%65.9%0.82%48.2%5.17%
Minnesota Lynx70.4%26.74%50.0%9.36%89.3%14.74%83.4%14.05%67.4%34.19%
Phoenix Mercury71.0%26.15%50.0%9.36%90.3%13.81%84.6%13.30%67.8%36.13%
San Antonio Silver Stars23.1%0.83%10.7%14.74%9.7%13.81%36.4%0.23%17.6%2.31%
Seattle Storm34.1%0.82%16.6%14.05%15.4%13.30%63.6%0.23%26.9%2.17%
Tulsa Shock51.8%5.17%32.6%34.19%32.2%36.13%82.4%2.31%73.1%2.17%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream35.0%4.20%59.6%1.08%37.9%3.13%37.0%3.72%37.0%3.50%
Chicago Sky65.0%4.20%68.6%4.20%52.0%11.38%51.3%13.63%53.0%12.75%
Connecticut Sun40.4%1.08%31.4%4.20%30.7%3.15%30.5%3.85%31.8%3.72%
Indiana Fever62.1%3.13%48.0%11.38%69.3%3.15%48.7%10.26%50.4%9.78%
New York Liberty63.0%3.72%48.7%13.63%69.5%3.85%51.3%10.26%51.1%11.65%
Washington Mystics63.0%3.50%47.0%12.75%68.2%3.72%49.6%9.78%48.9%11.65%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks32.7%7.29%31.6%7.50%75.5%0.29%64.8%0.44%46.9%3.64%
Minnesota Lynx67.3%7.29%49.1%48.94%86.8%1.23%82.8%1.89%66.0%12.09%
Phoenix Mercury68.4%7.50%50.9%48.94%87.6%1.39%80.8%2.03%66.4%11.61%
San Antonio Silver Stars24.5%0.29%13.2%1.23%12.4%1.39%30.5%0.06%20.3%0.62%
Seattle Storm35.2%0.44%17.2%1.89%19.2%2.03%69.5%0.06%31.7%0.97%
Tulsa Shock53.1%3.64%34.0%12.09%33.6%11.61%79.7%0.62%68.3%0.97%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa ShockAtlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream50.6%0.39%29.8%2.34%29.6%2.44%66.7%0.04%68.5%0.07%44.0%0.69%
Chicago Sky61.8%1.79%44.2%10.04%42.9%10.24%87.1%0.12%76.8%0.32%59.7%2.77%
Connecticut Sun42.7%0.35%23.7%2.03%25.0%2.05%91.7%0.02%57.9%0.06%37.4%0.56%
Indiana Fever61.7%1.41%43.9%7.65%42.3%7.97%83.5%0.11%76.5%0.23%58.4%2.16%
New York Liberty63.1%1.51%42.9%9.03%42.5%9.35%89.0%0.13%74.7%0.30%58.7%2.57%
Washington Mystics61.1%1.51%41.9%8.49%40.3%8.54%83.8%0.13%78.7%0.25%59.3%2.34%
Los Angeles Sparks49.4%0.39%38.2%1.79%57.3%0.35%38.3%1.41%36.9%1.51%38.9%1.51%
Minnesota Lynx70.2%2.34%55.8%10.04%76.3%2.03%56.1%7.65%57.1%9.03%58.1%8.49%
Phoenix Mercury70.4%2.44%57.1%10.24%75.0%2.05%57.7%7.97%57.5%9.35%59.7%8.54%
San Antonio Silver Stars33.3%0.04%12.9%0.12%8.3%0.02%16.5%0.11%11.0%0.13%16.2%0.13%
Seattle Storm31.5%0.07%23.2%0.32%42.1%0.06%23.5%0.23%25.3%0.30%21.3%0.25%
Tulsa Shock56.0%0.69%40.3%2.77%62.6%0.56%41.6%2.16%41.3%2.57%40.7%2.34%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx 71.05% 41.36% 22.98% Won Finals
Indiana Fever 42.92% 21.61% 10.35% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago SkyIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky57.1%100.00%
Indiana Fever42.9%100.00%
New York Liberty57.4%100.00%
Washington Mystics42.6%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercuryTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks28.9%100.00%
Minnesota Lynx71.1%100.00%
Phoenix Mercury70.2%100.00%
Tulsa Shock29.8%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago SkyIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky45.6%32.72%58.1%24.36%
Indiana Fever45.1%24.67%57.4%18.25%
New York Liberty54.4%32.72%54.9%24.67%
Washington Mystics41.9%24.36%42.6%18.25%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercuryTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks30.8%20.35%42.7%8.60%
Minnesota Lynx54.6%49.83%66.6%21.22%
Phoenix Mercury69.2%20.35%45.4%49.83%
Tulsa Shock57.3%8.60%33.4%21.22%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercuryTulsa ShockChicago SkyIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky64.5%2.92%43.4%12.01%49.4%10.66%63.1%3.48%
Indiana Fever65.9%2.19%42.1%8.88%44.9%8.00%62.5%2.53%
New York Liberty62.6%2.98%49.1%12.98%46.9%11.57%61.1%3.82%
Washington Mystics63.7%1.85%40.7%7.49%38.9%6.46%57.4%2.19%
Los Angeles Sparks35.5%2.92%34.1%2.19%37.4%2.98%36.3%1.85%
Minnesota Lynx56.6%12.01%57.9%8.88%50.9%12.98%59.3%7.49%
Phoenix Mercury50.6%10.66%55.1%8.00%53.1%11.57%61.1%6.46%
Tulsa Shock36.9%3.48%37.5%2.53%38.9%3.82%42.6%2.19%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 22.98% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
71.05%
→
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
65.82%
Win Prob
54.63%
→
Finals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
29.56%
Win Prob
56.58%
Phoenix Mercury 19.89% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Tulsa Shock
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.18%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
61.63%
Win Prob
45.37%
→
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
30.89%
Win Prob
53.11%
New York Liberty 16.00% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
57.39%
→
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
56.80%
Win Prob
54.41%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
39.85%
Win Prob
49.12%
Chicago Sky 14.55% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
57.08%
→
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
51.32%
Win Prob
45.59%
→
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
36.15%
Win Prob
49.36%
Indiana Fever 10.35% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
42.92%
→
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
51.52%
Win Prob
45.12%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
36.09%
Win Prob
42.06%
Washington Mystics 8.00% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
42.61%
→
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
56.79%
Win Prob
41.94%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
38.14%
Win Prob
40.75%
Tulsa Shock 4.65% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.82%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
58.96%
Win Prob
33.39%
→
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
31.90%
Win Prob
38.86%
Los Angeles Sparks 3.57% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
28.95%
→
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
63.09%
Win Prob
30.83%
→
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
31.18%
Win Prob
37.37%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2015-06-05 @ New York Liberty L 73-82 1505.32 1465.83 43.73% 56.27% -8.38 0-1
2015-06-07 Connecticut Sun L 70-75 1496.94 1463.01 66.26% 33.74% -9.47 0-2
2015-06-11 San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-69 1487.47 1477.24 63.15% 36.85% +4.08 1-2
2015-06-12 @ Washington Mystics W 64-61 1491.55 1501.76 36.86% 63.14% +6.99 2-2
2015-06-14 @ Connecticut Sun L 64-82 1498.54 1476.19 41.32% 58.68% -11.20 2-3
2015-06-16 Indiana Fever L 79-90 1487.34 1454.97 66.06% 33.94% -14.00 2-4
2015-06-19 Chicago Sky W 74-73 1473.34 1508.82 56.84% 43.16% +2.76 3-4
2015-06-21 New York Liberty L 64-73 1476.10 1456.06 64.45% 35.55% -12.36 3-5
2015-06-24 @ Chicago Sky L 96-100 1463.74 1515.52 31.48% 68.52% -4.02 3-6
2015-06-26 Washington Mystics W 72-69 1459.72 1519.14 53.43% 46.57% +5.15 4-6
2015-07-05 Seattle Storm W 72-64 1464.87 1434.03 65.86% 34.14% +6.17 5-6
2015-07-07 Tulsa Shock L 75-85 1471.04 1517.58 55.27% 44.73% -11.17 5-7
2015-07-12 New York Liberty W 84-76 1459.87 1489.37 57.68% 42.32% +7.65 6-7
2015-07-14 @ Phoenix Mercury L 71-80 1467.52 1598.30 22.58% 77.42% -4.33 6-8
2015-07-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 76-72 1463.19 1431.82 42.58% 57.42% +7.34 7-8
2015-07-18 @ Seattle Storm L 73-86 1470.53 1412.85 46.32% 53.68% -10.67 7-9
2015-07-21 @ Chicago Sky L 92-97 1459.86 1541.06 27.95% 72.05% -3.99 7-10
2015-07-29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 85-102 1455.87 1437.93 40.70% 59.30% -10.73 7-11
2015-07-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-86 1445.14 1621.05 18.36% 81.64% -4.69 7-12
2015-08-02 Phoenix Mercury L 68-71 1440.45 1600.86 39.08% 60.92% -4.32 7-13
2015-08-07 @ Indiana Fever L 77-106 1436.13 1497.25 30.33% 69.67% -10.44 7-14
2015-08-09 @ Tulsa Shock W 98-90 1425.69 1469.20 32.52% 67.48% +12.19 8-14
2015-08-14 Minnesota Lynx L 82-84 1437.88 1613.44 37.03% 62.97% -3.34 8-15
2015-08-16 Connecticut Sun W 90-77 1434.54 1484.43 54.79% 45.21% +10.41 9-15
2015-08-21 @ New York Liberty L 67-78 1444.95 1557.86 24.43% 75.57% -5.17 9-16
2015-08-23 @ Connecticut Sun W 102-92 1439.78 1467.16 34.59% 65.41% +13.21 10-16
2015-08-25 Connecticut Sun W 71-57 1452.99 1453.95 61.64% 38.36% +9.18 11-16
2015-08-28 @ Indiana Fever W 90-84 1462.17 1554.08 26.72% 73.28% +11.47 12-16
2015-08-29 Chicago Sky L 96-98 1473.64 1532.69 53.49% 46.51% -4.84 12-17
2015-09-01 @ New York Liberty L 75-80 1468.80 1580.64 24.54% 75.46% -3.50 12-18
2015-09-06 Washington Mystics W 73-67 1465.30 1525.16 53.37% 46.63% +7.30 13-18
2015-09-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-60 1472.60 1509.90 56.58% 43.42% +15.19 14-18
2015-09-11 Indiana Fever L 67-75 1487.79 1531.15 55.72% 44.28% -10.07 14-19
2015-09-13 @ Washington Mystics W 73-71 1477.72 1545.88 29.48% 70.52% +6.37 15-19
2015-06-05 Indiana Fever W 95-72 1488.71 1496.69 60.67% 39.33% +12.05 1-0
2015-06-06 @ Tulsa Shock L 93-101 1500.76 1469.88 42.51% 57.49% -7.69 1-1
2015-06-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 65-67 1493.07 1472.47 41.07% 58.93% -3.71 1-2
2015-06-14 @ Indiana Fever W 98-72 1489.36 1474.43 40.28% 59.72% +19.46 2-2
2015-06-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-74 1508.82 1473.34 43.16% 56.84% -2.76 2-3
2015-06-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 95-87 1506.06 1439.13 47.64% 52.36% +9.46 3-3
2015-06-24 Atlanta Dream W 100-96 1515.52 1463.74 68.52% 31.48% +4.03 4-3
2015-06-26 @ Indiana Fever W 83-77 1519.55 1472.20 44.84% 55.16% +8.63 5-3
2015-06-28 @ Washington Mystics L 71-86 1528.18 1513.98 40.18% 59.82% -9.94 5-4
2015-06-30 New York Liberty L 81-89 1518.24 1469.81 68.10% 31.90% -12.31 5-5
2015-07-02 @ Connecticut Sun W 77-74 1505.93 1521.66 36.12% 63.88% +7.07 6-5
2015-07-10 Minnesota Lynx W 90-83 1513.00 1602.89 49.05% 50.95% +8.61 7-5
2015-07-12 Connecticut Sun W 96-76 1521.61 1514.59 62.71% 37.29% +10.66 8-5
2015-07-15 Washington Mystics W 85-57 1532.27 1502.93 65.67% 34.33% +11.61 9-5
2015-07-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 66-84 1543.88 1607.04 30.09% 69.91% -8.16 9-6
2015-07-19 San Antonio Silver Stars W 93-82 1535.72 1430.11 74.79% 25.21% +5.34 10-6
2015-07-21 Atlanta Dream W 97-92 1541.06 1459.86 72.05% 27.95% +4.00 11-6
2015-07-28 @ Phoenix Mercury L 87-89 1545.06 1586.94 32.72% 67.28% -2.96 11-7
2015-07-31 Los Angeles Sparks L 77-88 1542.10 1422.77 76.25% 23.75% -16.16 11-8
2015-08-02 Washington Mystics W 71-68 1525.94 1544.27 59.24% 40.76% +4.51 12-8
2015-08-04 Indiana Fever W 106-82 1530.45 1508.29 64.73% 35.27% +11.04 13-8
2015-08-07 New York Liberty L 63-77 1541.49 1514.91 65.31% 34.69% -15.61 13-9
2015-08-09 Phoenix Mercury W 74-64 1525.88 1614.39 49.25% 50.75% +10.25 14-9
2015-08-11 @ New York Liberty L 63-84 1536.13 1530.52 39.00% 61.00% -11.42 14-10
2015-08-14 @ Seattle Storm W 94-84 1524.71 1404.90 55.23% 44.77% +9.05 15-10
2015-08-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 64-76 1533.76 1460.28 48.58% 51.42% -10.76 15-11
2015-08-21 Washington Mystics W 87-85 1523.00 1553.12 57.60% 42.40% +3.83 16-11
2015-08-23 @ Washington Mystics W 66-64 1526.83 1549.29 35.23% 64.77% +5.86 17-11
2015-08-29 @ Atlanta Dream W 98-96 1532.69 1473.64 46.51% 53.49% +4.83 18-11
2015-08-30 Connecticut Sun L 68-72 1537.52 1431.57 74.83% 25.17% -9.56 18-12
2015-09-03 @ New York Liberty W 82-60 1527.96 1584.15 30.94% 69.06% +20.70 19-12
2015-09-06 Seattle Storm W 93-65 1548.66 1401.18 79.06% 20.94% +7.08 20-12
2015-09-11 Tulsa Shock W 92-71 1555.74 1504.86 68.41% 31.59% +9.25 21-12
2015-09-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 75-86 1564.99 1430.67 57.29% 42.71% -12.14 21-13
2015-06-05 Washington Mystics L 68-73 1471.50 1488.23 59.47% 40.53% -8.49 0-1
2015-06-07 @ Atlanta Dream W 75-70 1463.01 1496.94 33.74% 66.26% +9.46 1-1
2015-06-11 Chicago Sky W 67-65 1472.47 1493.07 58.93% 41.07% +3.72 2-1
2015-06-14 Atlanta Dream W 82-64 1476.19 1498.54 58.68% 41.32% +11.20 3-1
2015-06-16 @ Seattle Storm W 79-58 1487.39 1471.58 40.41% 59.59% +17.45 4-1
2015-06-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90-78 1504.84 1587.96 27.73% 72.27% +16.00 5-1
2015-06-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 76-68 1520.84 1471.92 45.07% 54.93% +9.93 6-1
2015-06-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 80-76 1530.77 1457.99 71.06% 28.94% +3.69 7-1
2015-06-30 Indiana Fever L 84-92 1534.46 1463.57 70.84% 29.16% -12.80 7-2
2015-07-02 Chicago Sky L 74-77 1521.66 1505.93 63.88% 36.12% -7.07 7-3
2015-07-12 @ Chicago Sky L 76-96 1514.59 1521.61 37.29% 62.71% -10.66 7-4
2015-07-14 Minnesota Lynx L 79-85 1503.93 1599.49 48.24% 51.76% -7.55 7-5
2015-07-16 @ New York Liberty L 57-64 1496.38 1489.74 39.14% 60.86% -6.61 7-6
2015-07-19 @ Washington Mystics L 82-89 1489.77 1502.35 36.54% 63.46% -6.18 7-7
2015-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-77 1483.59 1623.40 21.68% 78.32% +5.00 8-7
2015-07-28 Indiana Fever L 73-75 1488.59 1485.04 62.25% 37.75% -5.62 8-8
2015-07-31 Seattle Storm W 67-66 1482.97 1411.17 70.95% 29.05% +1.85 9-8
2015-08-02 @ Indiana Fever L 70-83 1484.82 1499.95 36.20% 63.80% -8.34 9-9
2015-08-04 San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-51 1476.48 1423.91 68.62% 31.38% +11.17 10-9
2015-08-07 Washington Mystics W 86-72 1487.65 1542.30 54.12% 45.88% +10.97 11-9
2015-08-09 @ Washington Mystics L 73-84 1498.62 1531.33 33.90% 66.10% -7.18 11-10
2015-08-12 Tulsa Shock W 80-74 1491.44 1457.01 66.32% 33.68% +5.27 12-10
2015-08-14 New York Liberty L 78-90 1496.71 1541.94 55.46% 44.54% -12.28 12-11
2015-08-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 77-90 1484.43 1434.54 45.21% 54.79% -10.41 12-12
2015-08-21 @ Tulsa Shock L 76-84 1474.02 1476.40 37.91% 62.09% -6.86 12-13
2015-08-23 Atlanta Dream L 92-102 1467.16 1439.78 65.41% 34.59% -13.21 12-14
2015-08-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 57-71 1453.95 1452.99 38.36% 61.64% -9.18 12-15
2015-08-27 Phoenix Mercury L 80-81 1444.77 1572.56 43.63% 56.37% -2.78 12-16
2015-08-29 New York Liberty L 66-80 1441.99 1570.22 43.57% 56.43% -10.42 12-17
2015-08-30 @ Chicago Sky W 72-68 1431.57 1537.52 25.17% 74.83% +9.56 13-17
2015-09-01 @ Indiana Fever L 51-81 1441.13 1535.50 26.45% 73.55% -9.26 13-18
2015-09-04 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-72 1431.87 1353.01 49.36% 50.64% +3.24 14-18
2015-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 64-74 1435.11 1571.86 21.98% 78.02% -4.44 14-19
2015-09-13 Chicago Sky W 86-75 1430.67 1564.99 42.71% 57.29% +12.14 15-19
2015-06-05 @ Chicago Sky L 72-95 1496.69 1488.71 39.33% 60.67% -12.05 0-1
2015-06-06 Minnesota Lynx L 69-78 1484.64 1565.03 50.42% 49.58% -9.66 0-2
2015-06-09 @ New York Liberty L 79-86 1474.98 1469.18 39.03% 60.97% -6.60 0-3
2015-06-12 Phoenix Mercury W 77-74 1468.38 1584.41 45.30% 54.70% +6.05 1-3
2015-06-14 Chicago Sky L 72-98 1474.43 1489.36 59.72% 40.28% -19.46 1-4
2015-06-16 @ Atlanta Dream W 90-79 1454.97 1487.34 33.94% 66.06% +14.00 2-4
2015-06-19 @ New York Liberty W 80-63 1468.97 1472.46 37.76% 62.24% +16.40 3-4
2015-06-20 Washington Mystics L 75-87 1485.37 1501.97 59.48% 40.52% -13.17 3-5
2015-06-26 Chicago Sky L 77-83 1472.20 1519.55 55.16% 44.84% -8.63 3-6
2015-06-30 @ Connecticut Sun W 92-84 1463.57 1534.46 29.16% 70.84% +12.80 4-6
2015-07-02 Washington Mystics W 73-50 1476.37 1523.93 55.13% 44.87% +13.76 5-6
2015-07-08 Seattle Storm W 88-65 1490.13 1427.86 69.80% 30.20% +9.25 6-6
2015-07-10 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-76 1499.38 1439.39 69.53% 30.47% +5.15 7-6
2015-07-15 Tulsa Shock W 83-80 1504.53 1535.62 57.46% 42.54% +4.71 8-6
2015-07-17 @ Washington Mystics L 50-68 1509.24 1491.32 40.70% 59.30% -11.03 8-7
2015-07-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 62-80 1498.21 1424.76 48.58% 51.42% -13.17 8-8
2015-07-28 @ Connecticut Sun W 75-73 1485.04 1488.59 37.75% 62.25% +5.62 9-8
2015-07-29 New York Liberty W 84-72 1490.66 1517.56 58.05% 41.95% +9.29 10-8
2015-08-02 Connecticut Sun W 83-70 1499.95 1484.82 63.80% 36.20% +8.34 11-8
2015-08-04 @ Chicago Sky L 82-106 1508.29 1530.45 35.27% 64.73% -11.04 11-9
2015-08-07 Atlanta Dream W 106-77 1497.25 1436.13 69.67% 30.33% +10.43 12-9
2015-08-11 @ Washington Mystics W 73-62 1507.68 1538.51 34.14% 65.86% +13.96 13-9
2015-08-16 @ Phoenix Mercury W 75-63 1521.64 1608.56 27.29% 72.71% +16.10 14-9
2015-08-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-68 1537.74 1471.04 47.61% 52.39% +11.10 15-9
2015-08-21 @ Seattle Storm W 75-63 1548.84 1403.65 58.81% 41.19% +9.12 16-9
2015-08-23 New York Liberty W 80-79 1557.96 1563.04 61.07% 38.93% +2.48 17-9
2015-08-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 79-81 1560.44 1492.63 70.47% 29.53% -6.36 17-10
2015-08-28 Atlanta Dream L 84-90 1554.08 1462.17 73.28% 26.72% -11.47 17-11
2015-08-30 @ Tulsa Shock L 70-76 1542.61 1491.42 45.39% 54.61% -7.11 17-12
2015-09-01 Connecticut Sun W 81-51 1535.50 1441.13 73.55% 26.45% +9.26 18-12
2015-09-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-81 1544.76 1585.50 32.87% 67.13% -8.40 18-13
2015-09-08 @ Washington Mystics L 72-76 1536.36 1517.86 40.78% 59.22% -5.21 18-14
2015-09-11 @ Atlanta Dream W 75-67 1531.15 1487.79 44.28% 55.72% +10.07 19-14
2015-09-13 New York Liberty W 81-76 1541.22 1553.49 60.08% 39.92% +5.70 20-14
2015-06-06 @ Seattle Storm L 61-86 1508.52 1466.91 44.03% 55.97% -14.06 0-1
2015-06-14 Seattle Storm L 54-60 1494.46 1461.23 66.17% 33.83% -10.36 0-2
2015-06-16 Minnesota Lynx L 52-67 1484.10 1572.99 49.20% 50.80% -12.18 0-3
2015-06-21 Connecticut Sun L 68-76 1471.92 1520.84 54.93% 45.07% -9.92 0-4
2015-06-23 @ Washington Mystics L 80-84 1462.00 1515.14 31.31% 68.69% -4.01 0-5
2015-06-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-80 1457.99 1530.77 28.94% 71.06% -3.69 0-6
2015-06-28 @ New York Liberty L 70-79 1454.30 1462.70 37.10% 62.90% -7.12 0-7
2015-07-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 86-81 1447.18 1437.73 63.04% 36.96% +5.28 1-7
2015-07-03 Tulsa Shock W 98-95 1452.46 1522.91 51.85% 48.15% +5.33 2-7
2015-07-05 Phoenix Mercury L 91-94 1457.79 1580.38 44.37% 55.63% -4.91 2-8
2015-07-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 63-70 1452.88 1432.45 41.05% 58.95% -6.94 2-9
2015-07-11 @ Tulsa Shock L 67-82 1445.94 1528.75 27.76% 72.24% -6.87 2-10
2015-07-15 @ Seattle Storm L 61-68 1439.07 1405.60 42.88% 57.12% -7.25 2-11
2015-07-16 Atlanta Dream L 72-76 1431.82 1463.19 57.42% 42.58% -7.33 2-12
2015-07-21 Phoenix Mercury W 70-65 1424.49 1595.86 37.59% 62.41% +8.91 3-12
2015-07-22 New York Liberty L 53-59 1433.40 1509.58 51.03% 48.97% -7.98 3-13
2015-07-29 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-82 1425.42 1618.40 16.93% 83.07% -2.65 3-14
2015-07-31 @ Chicago Sky W 88-77 1422.77 1542.10 23.75% 76.25% +16.16 4-14
2015-08-02 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 80-78 1438.93 1429.38 39.54% 60.46% +5.46 5-14
2015-08-04 Minnesota Lynx W 83-61 1444.39 1632.44 35.37% 64.63% +19.37 6-14
2015-08-06 Tulsa Shock W 84-57 1463.76 1482.77 59.15% 40.85% +13.56 7-14
2015-08-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 64-72 1477.32 1606.48 22.74% 77.26% -4.11 7-15
2015-08-11 Seattle Storm L 77-85 1473.21 1396.39 71.54% 28.46% -12.93 7-16
2015-08-16 Chicago Sky W 76-64 1460.28 1533.76 51.42% 48.58% +10.76 8-16
2015-08-18 Indiana Fever L 68-79 1471.04 1537.74 52.39% 47.61% -11.10 8-17
2015-08-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-68 1459.94 1578.43 23.84% 76.16% +15.39 9-17
2015-08-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-59 1475.33 1382.55 51.36% 48.64% +17.30 10-17
2015-08-26 @ Indiana Fever W 81-79 1492.63 1560.44 29.53% 70.47% +6.37 11-17
2015-08-28 @ Tulsa Shock L 66-76 1499.00 1483.25 40.40% 59.60% -8.16 11-18
2015-08-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 60-52 1490.84 1357.03 77.73% 22.27% +4.02 12-18
2015-09-03 Washington Mystics W 93-91 1494.86 1529.05 57.02% 42.98% +3.89 13-18
2015-09-06 Tulsa Shock W 92-73 1498.75 1512.06 59.94% 40.06% +11.15 14-18
2015-09-09 @ Atlanta Dream L 60-90 1509.90 1472.60 43.42% 56.58% -15.19 14-19
2015-09-11 @ Phoenix Mercury L 65-70 1494.71 1581.24 27.33% 72.67% -3.91 14-20
2015-06-05 Tulsa Shock W 83-75 1560.07 1474.85 72.51% 27.49% +4.96 1-0
2015-06-06 @ Indiana Fever W 78-69 1565.03 1484.64 49.58% 50.42% +9.67 2-0
2015-06-11 Seattle Storm W 94-70 1574.70 1469.12 74.79% 25.21% +7.89 3-0
2015-06-14 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-81 1582.59 1578.36 38.81% 61.19% -9.60 3-1
2015-06-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 67-52 1572.99 1484.10 50.80% 49.20% +12.17 4-1
2015-06-19 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 74-59 1585.16 1449.66 57.46% 42.54% +10.53 5-1
2015-06-21 Tulsa Shock L 78-86 1595.69 1520.76 71.32% 28.68% -12.89 5-2
2015-06-25 @ Seattle Storm W 76-73 1582.80 1444.16 57.90% 42.10% +4.66 6-2
2015-06-27 Phoenix Mercury W 71-56 1587.46 1573.39 63.66% 36.34% +9.00 7-2
2015-07-03 Seattle Storm W 82-57 1596.46 1440.46 79.86% 20.14% +6.43 8-2
2015-07-10 @ Chicago Sky L 83-90 1602.89 1513.00 50.95% 49.05% -8.61 8-3
2015-07-12 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-49 1594.28 1434.23 80.23% 19.77% +5.21 9-3
2015-07-14 @ Connecticut Sun W 85-79 1599.49 1503.93 51.76% 48.24% +7.55 10-3
2015-07-17 Chicago Sky W 84-66 1607.04 1543.88 69.91% 30.09% +8.15 11-3
2015-07-19 @ Tulsa Shock W 79-72 1615.19 1521.81 51.45% 48.55% +8.21 12-3
2015-07-22 Connecticut Sun L 77-78 1623.40 1483.59 78.32% 21.68% -5.00 12-4
2015-07-29 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-76 1618.40 1425.42 83.07% 16.93% +2.65 13-4
2015-07-31 Atlanta Dream W 86-70 1621.05 1445.14 81.64% 18.36% +4.69 14-4
2015-08-01 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-80 1625.74 1492.09 57.19% 42.81% +6.70 15-4
2015-08-04 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 61-83 1632.44 1444.39 64.63% 35.37% -19.37 15-5
2015-08-07 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-73 1613.07 1607.80 38.95% 61.05% -6.59 15-6
2015-08-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 72-64 1606.48 1477.32 77.26% 22.74% +4.11 16-6
2015-08-11 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-76 1610.59 1416.50 83.16% 16.84% +2.85 17-6
2015-08-14 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-82 1613.44 1437.88 62.97% 37.03% +3.35 18-6
2015-08-16 @ Washington Mystics L 69-77 1616.79 1524.55 51.28% 48.72% -9.27 18-7
2015-08-19 Washington Mystics L 61-79 1607.52 1533.82 71.17% 28.83% -19.30 18-8
2015-08-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-61 1588.22 1391.57 65.76% 34.24% +9.02 19-8
2015-08-23 @ Phoenix Mercury L 67-79 1597.24 1563.04 42.98% 57.02% -9.51 19-9
2015-08-28 @ New York Liberty L 68-81 1587.73 1560.55 41.99% 58.01% -9.67 19-10
2015-08-30 Phoenix Mercury W 71-61 1578.06 1567.63 63.17% 36.83% +7.44 20-10
2015-09-04 Indiana Fever W 81-65 1585.50 1544.76 67.13% 32.87% +8.40 21-10
2015-09-06 New York Liberty L 71-75 1593.90 1563.45 65.81% 34.19% -8.41 21-11
2015-09-08 Seattle Storm W 73-67 1585.49 1394.10 82.94% 17.06% +2.67 22-11
2015-09-11 @ Seattle Storm L 64-78 1588.16 1391.43 65.77% 34.23% -15.73 22-12
2015-06-05 Atlanta Dream W 82-73 1465.83 1505.32 56.27% 43.73% +8.38 1-0
2015-06-06 @ Washington Mystics L 62-67 1474.21 1496.72 35.22% 64.78% -5.03 1-1
2015-06-09 Indiana Fever W 86-79 1469.18 1474.98 60.97% 39.03% +6.60 2-1
2015-06-11 Phoenix Mercury W 68-57 1475.78 1596.14 44.69% 55.31% +11.72 3-1
2015-06-14 Washington Mystics L 59-74 1487.50 1494.77 60.77% 39.23% -15.04 3-2
2015-06-19 Indiana Fever L 63-80 1472.46 1468.97 62.24% 37.76% -16.40 3-3
2015-06-21 @ Atlanta Dream W 73-64 1456.06 1476.10 35.55% 64.45% +12.36 4-3
2015-06-26 @ Tulsa Shock L 62-71 1468.42 1533.65 29.84% 70.16% -5.72 4-4
2015-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-70 1462.70 1454.30 62.90% 37.10% +7.11 5-4
2015-06-30 @ Chicago Sky W 89-81 1469.81 1518.24 31.90% 68.10% +12.31 6-4
2015-07-09 @ Washington Mystics W 79-76 1482.12 1510.18 34.50% 65.50% +7.25 7-4
2015-07-12 @ Atlanta Dream L 76-84 1489.37 1459.87 42.32% 57.68% -7.65 7-5
2015-07-15 San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-68 1481.72 1429.03 68.63% 31.37% +8.02 8-5
2015-07-16 Connecticut Sun W 64-57 1489.74 1496.38 60.86% 39.14% +6.61 9-5
2015-07-18 @ Phoenix Mercury W 75-73 1496.35 1602.63 25.14% 74.86% +6.77 10-5
2015-07-21 @ Seattle Storm W 81-77 1503.12 1423.52 49.47% 50.53% +6.46 11-5
2015-07-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 59-53 1509.58 1433.40 48.97% 51.03% +7.98 12-5
2015-07-29 @ Indiana Fever L 72-84 1517.56 1490.66 41.95% 58.05% -9.28 12-6
2015-08-02 Seattle Storm W 78-62 1508.28 1409.31 74.06% 25.94% +6.63 13-6
2015-08-07 @ Chicago Sky W 77-63 1514.91 1541.49 34.69% 65.31% +15.61 14-6
2015-08-11 Chicago Sky W 84-63 1530.52 1536.13 61.00% 39.00% +11.42 15-6
2015-08-14 @ Connecticut Sun W 90-78 1541.94 1496.71 44.54% 55.46% +12.28 16-6
2015-08-15 Tulsa Shock L 76-81 1554.22 1451.73 74.45% 25.55% -10.64 16-7
2015-08-19 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-45 1543.58 1405.85 57.77% 42.23% +14.28 17-7
2015-08-21 Atlanta Dream W 78-67 1557.86 1444.95 75.57% 24.43% +5.18 18-7
2015-08-23 @ Indiana Fever L 79-80 1563.04 1557.96 38.93% 61.07% -2.49 18-8
2015-08-28 Minnesota Lynx W 81-68 1560.55 1587.73 58.01% 41.99% +9.67 19-8
2015-08-29 @ Connecticut Sun W 80-66 1570.22 1441.99 56.43% 43.57% +10.42 20-8
2015-09-01 Atlanta Dream W 80-75 1580.64 1468.80 75.46% 24.54% +3.51 21-8
2015-09-03 Chicago Sky L 60-82 1584.15 1527.96 69.06% 30.94% -20.70 21-9
2015-09-06 @ Minnesota Lynx W 75-71 1563.45 1593.90 34.19% 65.81% +8.41 22-9
2015-09-09 Connecticut Sun W 74-64 1571.86 1435.11 78.02% 21.98% +4.44 23-9
2015-09-11 Washington Mystics L 55-82 1576.30 1523.07 68.70% 31.30% -22.81 23-10
2015-09-13 @ Indiana Fever L 76-81 1553.49 1541.22 39.92% 60.08% -5.70 23-11
2015-06-05 San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-71 1592.63 1480.74 75.47% 24.53% +3.51 1-0
2015-06-11 @ New York Liberty L 57-68 1596.14 1475.78 55.31% 44.69% -11.73 1-1
2015-06-12 @ Indiana Fever L 74-77 1584.41 1468.38 54.70% 45.30% -6.05 1-2
2015-06-14 Minnesota Lynx W 81-66 1578.36 1582.59 61.19% 38.81% +9.60 2-2
2015-06-19 Connecticut Sun L 78-90 1587.96 1504.84 72.27% 27.73% -15.99 2-3
2015-06-21 @ Seattle Storm W 84-72 1571.97 1454.13 54.95% 45.05% +9.97 3-3
2015-06-25 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-76 1581.94 1429.67 59.80% 40.20% -8.55 3-4
2015-06-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 56-71 1573.39 1587.46 36.34% 63.66% -8.99 3-5
2015-06-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-78 1564.40 1441.68 76.60% 23.40% +3.96 4-5
2015-07-02 Tulsa Shock W 86-55 1568.36 1534.93 66.19% 33.81% +12.02 5-5
2015-07-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94-91 1580.38 1457.79 55.63% 44.37% +4.91 6-5
2015-07-10 @ Seattle Storm W 94-79 1585.29 1418.61 61.77% 38.23% +9.46 7-5
2015-07-12 Seattle Storm W 70-60 1594.75 1409.15 82.46% 17.54% +3.55 8-5
2015-07-14 Atlanta Dream W 80-71 1598.30 1467.52 77.42% 22.58% +4.33 9-5
2015-07-18 New York Liberty L 73-75 1602.63 1496.35 74.86% 25.14% -6.77 9-6
2015-07-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-70 1595.86 1424.49 62.41% 37.59% -8.92 9-7
2015-07-28 Chicago Sky W 89-87 1586.94 1545.06 67.28% 32.72% +2.96 10-7
2015-07-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-66 1589.90 1503.04 50.51% 49.49% +10.96 11-7
2015-08-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 71-68 1600.86 1440.45 60.92% 39.08% +4.32 12-7
2015-08-04 Tulsa Shock W 87-84 1605.18 1485.39 76.30% 23.70% +2.62 13-7
2015-08-07 Minnesota Lynx W 73-66 1607.80 1613.07 61.05% 38.95% +6.59 14-7
2015-08-09 @ Chicago Sky L 64-74 1614.39 1525.88 50.75% 49.25% -10.25 14-8
2015-08-12 Seattle Storm W 83-66 1604.14 1409.32 83.22% 16.78% +4.42 15-8
2015-08-16 Indiana Fever L 63-75 1608.56 1521.64 72.71% 27.29% -16.10 15-9
2015-08-18 @ Tulsa Shock L 59-74 1592.46 1462.37 56.69% 43.31% -14.03 15-10
2015-08-21 Los Angeles Sparks L 68-78 1578.43 1459.94 76.16% 23.84% -15.39 15-11
2015-08-23 Minnesota Lynx W 79-67 1563.04 1597.24 57.02% 42.98% +9.52 16-11
2015-08-27 @ Connecticut Sun W 81-80 1572.56 1444.77 56.37% 43.63% +2.78 17-11
2015-08-28 @ Washington Mystics L 63-71 1575.34 1543.43 42.66% 57.34% -7.71 17-12
2015-08-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 61-71 1567.63 1578.06 36.83% 63.17% -7.44 17-13
2015-09-02 Washington Mystics W 73-53 1560.19 1539.17 64.58% 35.42% +10.12 18-13
2015-09-05 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-52 1570.31 1349.77 68.78% 31.22% +10.93 19-13
2015-09-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 70-65 1581.24 1494.71 72.67% 27.33% +3.91 20-13
2015-09-13 @ Tulsa Shock L 87-91 1585.15 1495.61 50.90% 49.10% -6.51 20-14
2015-06-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 71-76 1480.74 1592.63 24.53% 75.47% -3.50 0-1
2015-06-11 @ Atlanta Dream L 69-72 1477.24 1487.47 36.85% 63.15% -4.08 0-2
2015-06-14 Tulsa Shock L 62-73 1473.16 1489.42 59.53% 40.47% -12.62 0-3
2015-06-16 @ Tulsa Shock L 61-88 1460.54 1502.04 32.77% 67.23% -10.88 0-4
2015-06-19 Minnesota Lynx L 59-74 1449.66 1585.16 42.54% 57.46% -10.53 0-5
2015-06-20 Chicago Sky L 87-95 1439.13 1506.06 52.36% 47.64% -9.46 0-6
2015-06-25 Phoenix Mercury W 76-71 1429.67 1581.94 40.20% 59.80% +8.54 1-6
2015-06-27 Seattle Storm W 73-71 1438.21 1439.50 61.59% 38.41% +3.47 2-6
2015-06-30 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-85 1441.68 1564.40 23.40% 76.60% -3.95 2-7
2015-07-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 81-86 1437.73 1447.18 36.96% 63.04% -5.28 2-8
2015-07-08 Los Angeles Sparks W 70-63 1432.45 1452.88 58.95% 41.05% +6.94 3-8
2015-07-10 @ Indiana Fever L 76-83 1439.39 1499.38 30.47% 69.53% -5.16 3-9
2015-07-12 @ Minnesota Lynx L 49-66 1434.23 1594.28 19.77% 80.23% -5.20 3-10
2015-07-15 @ New York Liberty L 68-84 1429.03 1481.72 31.37% 68.63% -8.02 3-11
2015-07-17 Tulsa Shock W 65-58 1421.01 1530.91 46.18% 53.82% +9.10 4-11
2015-07-19 @ Chicago Sky L 82-93 1430.11 1535.72 25.21% 74.79% -5.35 4-12
2015-07-21 Indiana Fever W 80-62 1424.76 1498.21 51.42% 48.58% +13.17 5-12
2015-07-29 Atlanta Dream W 102-85 1437.93 1455.87 59.30% 40.70% +10.73 6-12
2015-07-31 Washington Mystics L 53-88 1448.66 1524.99 51.00% 49.00% -19.28 6-13
2015-08-02 Los Angeles Sparks L 78-80 1429.38 1438.93 60.46% 39.54% -5.47 6-14
2015-08-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 51-82 1423.91 1476.48 31.38% 68.62% -11.16 6-15
2015-08-05 @ Washington Mystics L 63-66 1412.75 1539.76 22.96% 77.04% -2.54 6-16
2015-08-08 Seattle Storm W 88-81 1410.21 1402.68 62.78% 37.22% +6.29 7-16
2015-08-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-83 1416.50 1610.59 16.84% 83.16% -2.85 7-17
2015-08-16 @ Seattle Storm L 63-72 1413.65 1395.85 40.68% 59.32% -7.80 7-18
2015-08-19 New York Liberty L 45-73 1405.85 1543.58 42.23% 57.77% -14.28 7-19
2015-08-21 Minnesota Lynx L 61-78 1391.57 1588.22 34.24% 65.76% -9.02 7-20
2015-08-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 59-90 1382.55 1475.33 48.64% 51.36% -17.31 7-21
2015-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 69-83 1365.24 1394.53 34.34% 65.66% -8.21 7-22
2015-08-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 52-60 1357.03 1490.84 22.27% 77.73% -4.02 7-23
2015-09-04 Connecticut Sun L 72-73 1353.01 1431.87 50.64% 49.36% -3.24 7-24
2015-09-05 Phoenix Mercury L 52-82 1349.77 1570.31 31.22% 68.78% -10.92 7-25
2015-09-08 @ Tulsa Shock L 64-74 1338.85 1500.90 19.59% 80.41% -3.96 7-26
2015-09-13 @ Seattle Storm W 59-58 1334.89 1407.15 29.00% 71.00% +4.54 8-26
2015-06-06 Los Angeles Sparks W 86-61 1466.91 1508.52 55.97% 44.03% +14.07 1-0
2015-06-09 @ Tulsa Shock L 45-68 1480.98 1477.56 38.70% 61.30% -11.86 1-1
2015-06-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-94 1469.12 1574.70 25.21% 74.79% -7.89 1-2
2015-06-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 60-54 1461.23 1494.46 33.83% 66.17% +10.35 2-2
2015-06-16 Connecticut Sun L 58-79 1471.58 1487.39 59.59% 40.41% -17.45 2-3
2015-06-21 Phoenix Mercury L 72-84 1454.13 1571.97 45.05% 54.95% -9.97 2-4
2015-06-25 Minnesota Lynx L 73-76 1444.16 1582.80 42.10% 57.90% -4.66 2-5
2015-06-27 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-73 1439.50 1438.21 38.41% 61.59% -3.47 2-6
2015-06-28 @ Tulsa Shock L 89-93 1436.03 1539.37 25.46% 74.54% -3.25 2-7
2015-06-30 Tulsa Shock W 74-69 1432.78 1542.62 46.19% 53.81% +7.68 3-7
2015-07-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 57-82 1440.46 1596.46 20.14% 79.86% -6.43 3-8
2015-07-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-72 1434.03 1464.87 34.14% 65.86% -6.17 3-9
2015-07-08 @ Indiana Fever L 65-88 1427.86 1490.13 30.20% 69.80% -9.25 3-10
2015-07-10 Phoenix Mercury L 79-94 1418.61 1585.29 38.23% 61.77% -9.46 3-11
2015-07-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 60-70 1409.15 1594.75 17.54% 82.46% -3.55 3-12
2015-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks W 68-61 1405.60 1439.07 57.12% 42.88% +7.25 4-12
2015-07-18 Atlanta Dream W 86-73 1412.85 1470.53 53.68% 46.32% +10.67 5-12
2015-07-21 New York Liberty L 77-81 1423.52 1503.12 50.53% 49.47% -6.46 5-13
2015-07-29 @ Washington Mystics L 74-87 1417.06 1519.09 25.60% 74.40% -5.89 5-14
2015-07-31 @ Connecticut Sun L 66-67 1411.17 1482.97 29.05% 70.95% -1.86 5-15
2015-08-02 @ New York Liberty L 62-78 1409.31 1508.28 25.94% 74.06% -6.63 5-16
2015-08-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-88 1402.68 1410.21 37.22% 62.78% -6.29 5-17
2015-08-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85-77 1396.39 1473.21 28.46% 71.54% +12.93 6-17
2015-08-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-83 1409.32 1604.14 16.78% 83.22% -4.42 6-18
2015-08-14 Chicago Sky L 84-94 1404.90 1524.71 44.77% 55.23% -9.05 6-19
2015-08-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-63 1395.85 1413.65 59.32% 40.68% +7.80 7-19
2015-08-21 Indiana Fever L 63-75 1403.65 1548.84 41.19% 58.81% -9.12 7-20
2015-08-28 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-69 1394.53 1365.24 65.66% 34.34% +8.21 8-20
2015-08-30 Washington Mystics W 69-59 1402.74 1551.14 40.74% 59.26% +11.98 9-20
2015-09-03 Tulsa Shock L 67-85 1414.72 1498.52 49.93% 50.07% -13.54 9-21
2015-09-06 @ Chicago Sky L 65-93 1401.18 1548.66 20.94% 79.06% -7.08 9-22
2015-09-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-73 1394.10 1585.49 17.06% 82.94% -2.67 9-23
2015-09-11 Minnesota Lynx W 78-64 1391.43 1588.16 34.23% 65.77% +15.72 10-23
2015-09-13 San Antonio Silver Stars L 58-59 1407.15 1334.89 71.00% 29.00% -4.53 10-24
2015-06-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 75-83 1474.85 1560.07 27.49% 72.51% -4.97 0-1
2015-06-06 Chicago Sky W 101-93 1469.88 1500.76 57.49% 42.51% +7.68 1-1
2015-06-09 Seattle Storm W 68-45 1477.56 1480.98 61.30% 38.70% +11.86 2-1
2015-06-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-62 1489.42 1473.16 40.47% 59.53% +12.62 3-1
2015-06-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-61 1502.04 1460.54 67.23% 32.77% +10.88 4-1
2015-06-19 @ Washington Mystics W 86-82 1512.92 1509.81 38.66% 61.34% +7.84 5-1
2015-06-21 @ Minnesota Lynx W 86-78 1520.76 1595.69 28.68% 71.32% +12.89 6-1
2015-06-26 New York Liberty W 71-62 1533.65 1468.42 70.16% 29.84% +5.72 7-1
2015-06-28 Seattle Storm W 93-89 1539.37 1436.03 74.54% 25.46% +3.25 8-1
2015-06-30 @ Seattle Storm L 69-74 1542.62 1432.78 53.81% 46.19% -7.69 8-2
2015-07-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 55-86 1534.93 1568.36 33.81% 66.19% -12.02 8-3
2015-07-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 95-98 1522.91 1452.46 48.15% 51.85% -5.33 8-4
2015-07-07 @ Atlanta Dream W 85-75 1517.58 1471.04 44.73% 55.27% +11.17 9-4
2015-07-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-67 1528.75 1445.94 72.24% 27.76% +6.87 10-4
2015-07-15 @ Indiana Fever L 80-83 1535.62 1504.53 42.54% 57.46% -4.71 10-5
2015-07-17 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 58-65 1530.91 1421.01 53.82% 46.18% -9.10 10-6
2015-07-19 Minnesota Lynx L 72-79 1521.81 1615.19 48.55% 51.45% -8.21 10-7
2015-07-21 Washington Mystics L 69-76 1513.60 1508.53 62.45% 37.55% -10.56 10-8
2015-07-30 Phoenix Mercury L 66-78 1503.04 1589.90 49.49% 50.51% -10.95 10-9
2015-08-01 Minnesota Lynx L 80-86 1492.09 1625.74 42.81% 57.19% -6.70 10-10
2015-08-04 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-87 1485.39 1605.18 23.70% 76.30% -2.62 10-11
2015-08-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 57-84 1482.77 1463.76 40.85% 59.15% -13.57 10-12
2015-08-09 Atlanta Dream L 90-98 1469.20 1425.69 67.48% 32.52% -12.19 10-13
2015-08-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-80 1457.01 1491.44 33.68% 66.32% -5.28 10-14
2015-08-15 @ New York Liberty W 81-76 1451.73 1554.22 25.55% 74.45% +10.64 11-14
2015-08-18 Phoenix Mercury W 74-59 1462.37 1592.46 43.31% 56.69% +14.03 12-14
2015-08-21 Connecticut Sun W 84-76 1476.40 1474.02 62.09% 37.91% +6.85 13-14
2015-08-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-66 1483.25 1499.00 59.60% 40.40% +8.17 14-14
2015-08-30 Indiana Fever W 76-70 1491.42 1542.61 54.61% 45.39% +7.10 15-14
2015-09-03 @ Seattle Storm W 85-67 1498.52 1414.72 50.07% 49.93% +13.54 16-14
2015-09-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-92 1512.06 1498.75 40.06% 59.94% -11.16 16-15
2015-09-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 74-64 1500.90 1338.85 80.41% 19.59% +3.96 17-15
2015-09-11 @ Chicago Sky L 71-92 1504.86 1555.74 31.59% 68.41% -9.25 17-16
2015-09-13 Phoenix Mercury W 91-87 1495.61 1585.15 49.10% 50.90% +6.50 18-16
2015-06-05 @ Connecticut Sun W 73-68 1488.23 1471.50 40.53% 59.47% +8.49 1-0
2015-06-06 New York Liberty W 67-62 1496.72 1474.21 64.78% 35.22% +5.04 2-0
2015-06-12 Atlanta Dream L 61-64 1501.76 1491.55 63.14% 36.86% -6.99 2-1
2015-06-14 @ New York Liberty W 74-59 1494.77 1487.50 39.23% 60.77% +15.04 3-1
2015-06-19 Tulsa Shock L 82-86 1509.81 1512.92 61.34% 38.66% -7.84 3-2
2015-06-20 @ Indiana Fever W 87-75 1501.97 1485.37 40.52% 59.48% +13.17 4-2
2015-06-23 Los Angeles Sparks W 84-80 1515.14 1462.00 68.69% 31.31% +4.00 5-2
2015-06-26 @ Atlanta Dream L 69-72 1519.14 1459.72 46.57% 53.43% -5.16 5-3
2015-06-28 Chicago Sky W 86-71 1513.98 1528.18 59.82% 40.18% +9.95 6-3
2015-07-02 @ Indiana Fever L 50-73 1523.93 1476.37 44.87% 55.13% -13.75 6-4
2015-07-09 New York Liberty L 76-79 1510.18 1482.12 65.50% 34.50% -7.25 6-5
2015-07-15 @ Chicago Sky L 57-85 1502.93 1532.27 34.33% 65.67% -11.61 6-6
2015-07-17 Indiana Fever W 68-50 1491.32 1509.24 59.30% 40.70% +11.03 7-6
2015-07-19 Connecticut Sun W 89-82 1502.35 1489.77 63.46% 36.54% +6.18 8-6
2015-07-21 @ Tulsa Shock W 76-69 1508.53 1513.60 37.55% 62.45% +10.56 9-6
2015-07-29 Seattle Storm W 87-74 1519.09 1417.06 74.40% 25.60% +5.90 10-6
2015-07-31 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-53 1524.99 1448.66 49.00% 51.00% +19.28 11-6
2015-08-02 @ Chicago Sky L 68-71 1544.27 1525.94 40.76% 59.24% -4.51 11-7
2015-08-05 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-63 1539.76 1412.75 77.04% 22.96% +2.54 12-7
2015-08-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-86 1542.30 1487.65 45.88% 54.12% -10.97 12-8
2015-08-09 Connecticut Sun W 84-73 1531.33 1498.62 66.10% 33.90% +7.18 13-8
2015-08-11 Indiana Fever L 62-73 1538.51 1507.68 65.86% 34.14% -13.96 13-9
2015-08-16 Minnesota Lynx W 77-69 1524.55 1616.79 48.72% 51.28% +9.27 14-9
2015-08-19 @ Minnesota Lynx W 79-61 1533.82 1607.52 28.83% 71.17% +19.30 15-9
2015-08-21 @ Chicago Sky L 85-87 1553.12 1523.00 42.40% 57.60% -3.83 15-10
2015-08-23 Chicago Sky L 64-66 1549.29 1526.83 64.77% 35.23% -5.86 15-11
2015-08-28 Phoenix Mercury W 71-63 1543.43 1575.34 57.34% 42.66% +7.71 16-11
2015-08-30 @ Seattle Storm L 59-69 1551.14 1402.74 59.26% 40.74% -11.97 16-12
2015-09-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 53-73 1539.17 1560.19 35.42% 64.58% -10.12 16-13
2015-09-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 91-93 1529.05 1494.86 42.98% 57.02% -3.89 16-14
2015-09-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 67-73 1525.16 1465.30 46.63% 53.37% -7.30 16-15
2015-09-08 Indiana Fever W 76-72 1517.86 1536.36 59.22% 40.78% +5.21 17-15
2015-09-11 @ New York Liberty W 82-55 1523.07 1576.30 31.30% 68.70% +22.81 18-15
2015-09-13 Atlanta Dream L 71-73 1545.88 1477.72 70.52% 29.48% -6.37 18-16

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2015-09-17 Indiana Fever W 77-72 1552.85 1546.92 62.57% 37.43% +5.35 1-0
2015-09-19 @ Indiana Fever L 82-89 1558.20 1541.57 40.52% 59.48% -6.85 1-1
2015-09-21 Indiana Fever L 89-100 1551.35 1548.42 62.16% 37.84% -13.18 1-2
2015-09-17 @ Chicago Sky L 72-77 1546.92 1552.85 37.43% 62.57% -5.35 0-1
2015-09-19 Chicago Sky W 89-82 1541.57 1558.20 59.48% 40.52% +6.85 1-1
2015-09-21 @ Chicago Sky W 100-89 1548.42 1551.35 37.84% 62.16% +13.18 2-1
2015-09-23 @ New York Liberty L 67-84 1561.60 1562.70 38.08% 61.92% -10.04 2-2
2015-09-27 New York Liberty W 70-64 1551.56 1572.74 58.85% 41.15% +6.44 3-2
2015-09-29 @ New York Liberty W 66-51 1558.00 1566.30 37.11% 62.89% +15.57 4-2
2015-10-04 @ Minnesota Lynx W 75-69 1573.57 1582.40 37.04% 62.96% +9.85 5-2
2015-10-06 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-77 1583.42 1572.54 39.72% 60.28% -6.22 5-3
2015-10-09 Minnesota Lynx L 77-80 1577.20 1578.76 61.55% 38.45% -6.81 5-4
2015-10-11 Minnesota Lynx W 75-69 1570.39 1585.57 59.68% 40.32% +6.31 6-4
2015-10-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 52-69 1576.70 1579.26 37.89% 62.11% -9.98 6-5
2015-09-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-67 1490.80 1572.43 27.90% 72.10% -2.52 0-1
2015-09-20 Minnesota Lynx W 81-71 1488.28 1574.96 49.52% 50.48% +10.20 1-1
2015-09-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80-91 1498.48 1564.75 29.71% 70.29% -6.29 1-2
2015-09-18 Los Angeles Sparks W 67-65 1572.43 1490.80 72.10% 27.90% +2.53 1-0
2015-09-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 71-81 1574.96 1488.28 50.48% 49.52% -10.21 1-1
2015-09-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 91-80 1564.75 1498.48 70.29% 29.71% +6.30 2-1
2015-09-24 Phoenix Mercury W 67-60 1571.05 1604.12 57.18% 42.82% +7.24 3-1
2015-09-27 @ Phoenix Mercury W 72-71 1578.29 1596.88 35.74% 64.26% +4.11 4-1
2015-10-04 Indiana Fever L 69-75 1582.40 1573.57 62.96% 37.04% -9.86 4-2
2015-10-06 Indiana Fever W 77-71 1572.54 1583.42 60.28% 39.72% +6.22 5-2
2015-10-09 @ Indiana Fever W 80-77 1578.76 1577.20 38.45% 61.55% +6.81 6-2
2015-10-11 @ Indiana Fever L 69-75 1585.57 1570.39 40.32% 59.68% -6.31 6-3
2015-10-14 Indiana Fever W 69-52 1579.26 1576.70 62.11% 37.89% +9.98 7-3
2015-09-18 Washington Mystics L 83-86 1547.79 1539.51 62.88% 37.12% -6.96 0-1
2015-09-20 @ Washington Mystics W 86-68 1540.83 1546.47 37.47% 62.53% +16.95 1-1
2015-09-22 Washington Mystics W 79-74 1557.78 1529.52 65.53% 34.47% +4.92 2-1
2015-09-23 Indiana Fever W 84-67 1562.70 1561.60 61.92% 38.08% +10.04 3-1
2015-09-27 @ Indiana Fever L 64-70 1572.74 1551.56 41.15% 58.85% -6.44 3-2
2015-09-29 Indiana Fever L 51-66 1566.30 1558.00 62.89% 37.11% -15.57 3-3
2015-09-17 Tulsa Shock W 88-55 1578.64 1502.11 71.51% 28.49% +10.46 1-0
2015-09-19 @ Tulsa Shock W 91-67 1589.10 1491.65 52.03% 47.97% +15.02 2-0
2015-09-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-67 1604.12 1571.05 42.82% 57.18% -7.24 2-1
2015-09-27 Minnesota Lynx L 71-72 1596.88 1578.29 64.26% 35.74% -4.11 2-2
2015-09-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 55-88 1502.11 1578.64 28.49% 71.51% -10.46 0-1
2015-09-19 Phoenix Mercury L 67-91 1491.65 1589.10 47.97% 52.03% -15.01 0-2
2015-09-18 @ New York Liberty W 86-83 1539.51 1547.79 37.12% 62.88% +6.96 1-0
2015-09-20 New York Liberty L 68-86 1546.47 1540.83 62.53% 37.47% -16.95 1-1
2015-09-22 @ New York Liberty L 74-79 1529.52 1557.78 34.47% 65.53% -4.93 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-07-22 21.68% Connecticut Sun 1483.59 78 @ Minnesota Lynx 1623.40 77
2 2015-07-31 23.75% Los Angeles Sparks 1422.77 88 @ Chicago Sky 1542.10 77
3 2015-08-21 23.84% Los Angeles Sparks 1459.94 78 @ Phoenix Mercury 1578.43 68
4 2015-07-18 25.14% New York Liberty 1496.35 75 @ Phoenix Mercury 1602.63 73
5 2015-08-30 25.17% Connecticut Sun 1431.57 72 @ Chicago Sky 1537.52 68
6 2015-08-15 25.55% Tulsa Shock 1451.73 81 @ New York Liberty 1554.22 76
7 2015-08-28 26.72% Atlanta Dream 1462.17 90 @ Indiana Fever 1554.08 84
8 2015-08-16 27.29% Indiana Fever 1521.64 75 @ Phoenix Mercury 1608.56 63
9 2015-06-19 27.73% Connecticut Sun 1504.84 90 @ Phoenix Mercury 1587.96 78
10 2015-08-11 28.46% Seattle Storm 1396.39 85 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1473.21 77
11 2015-06-21 28.68% Tulsa Shock 1520.76 86 @ Minnesota Lynx 1595.69 78
12 2015-08-19 28.83% Washington Mystics 1533.82 79 @ Minnesota Lynx 1607.52 61
13 2015-09-13 29.00% San Antonio Silver Stars 1334.89 59 @ Seattle Storm 1407.15 58
14 2015-06-30 29.16% Indiana Fever 1463.57 92 @ Connecticut Sun 1534.46 84
15 2015-09-13 29.48% Atlanta Dream 1477.72 73 @ Washington Mystics 1545.88 71
16 2015-08-26 29.53% Los Angeles Sparks 1492.63 81 @ Indiana Fever 1560.44 79
17 2015-09-03 30.94% Chicago Sky 1527.96 82 @ New York Liberty 1584.15 60
18 2015-09-11 31.30% Washington Mystics 1523.07 82 @ New York Liberty 1576.30 55
19 2015-06-30 31.90% New York Liberty 1469.81 89 @ Chicago Sky 1518.24 81
20 2015-08-09 32.52% Atlanta Dream 1425.69 98 @ Tulsa Shock 1469.20 90
21 2015-06-07 33.74% Connecticut Sun 1463.01 75 @ Atlanta Dream 1496.94 70
22 2015-06-14 33.83% Seattle Storm 1461.23 60 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1494.46 54
23 2015-06-16 33.94% Indiana Fever 1454.97 90 @ Atlanta Dream 1487.34 79
24 2015-08-11 34.14% Indiana Fever 1507.68 73 @ Washington Mystics 1538.51 62
25 2015-09-06 34.19% New York Liberty 1563.45 75 @ Minnesota Lynx 1593.90 71

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-09-11 22.81 Washington Mystics 82 1523.07 31.30% @ New York Liberty 55 1576.30 68.70%
2 2015-09-03 20.70 Chicago Sky 82 1527.96 30.94% @ New York Liberty 60 1584.15 69.06%
3 2015-06-14 19.46 Chicago Sky 98 1489.36 40.28% @ Indiana Fever 72 1474.43 59.72%
4 2015-08-04 19.37 @ Los Angeles Sparks 83 1444.39 35.37% Minnesota Lynx 61 1632.44 64.63%
5 2015-08-19 19.30 Washington Mystics 79 1533.82 28.83% @ Minnesota Lynx 61 1607.52 71.17%
6 2015-07-31 19.28 Washington Mystics 88 1524.99 49.00% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 53 1448.66 51.00%
7 2015-06-16 17.45 Connecticut Sun 79 1487.39 40.41% @ Seattle Storm 58 1471.58 59.59%
8 2015-08-23 17.31 Los Angeles Sparks 90 1475.33 51.36% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 59 1382.55 48.64%
9 2015-09-20 * 16.95 New York Liberty 86 1540.83 37.47% @ Washington Mystics 68 1546.47 62.53%
10 2015-06-19 16.40 Indiana Fever 80 1468.97 37.76% @ New York Liberty 63 1472.46 62.24%
11 2015-07-31 16.16 Los Angeles Sparks 88 1422.77 23.75% @ Chicago Sky 77 1542.10 76.25%
12 2015-08-16 16.10 Indiana Fever 75 1521.64 27.29% @ Phoenix Mercury 63 1608.56 72.71%
13 2015-06-19 16.00 Connecticut Sun 90 1504.84 27.73% @ Phoenix Mercury 78 1587.96 72.27%
14 2015-09-11 15.73 @ Seattle Storm 78 1391.43 34.23% Minnesota Lynx 64 1588.16 65.77%
15 2015-08-07 15.61 New York Liberty 77 1514.91 34.69% @ Chicago Sky 63 1541.49 65.31%
16 2015-09-29 * 15.57 Indiana Fever 66 1558.00 37.11% @ New York Liberty 51 1566.30 62.89%
17 2015-08-21 15.39 Los Angeles Sparks 78 1459.94 23.84% @ Phoenix Mercury 68 1578.43 76.16%
18 2015-09-09 15.19 @ Atlanta Dream 90 1472.60 56.58% Los Angeles Sparks 60 1509.90 43.42%
19 2015-06-14 15.04 Washington Mystics 74 1494.77 39.23% @ New York Liberty 59 1487.50 60.77%
20 2015-09-19 * 15.02 Phoenix Mercury 91 1589.10 52.03% @ Tulsa Shock 67 1491.65 47.97%
21 2015-08-19 14.28 New York Liberty 73 1543.58 57.77% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 45 1405.85 42.23%
22 2015-06-06 14.07 @ Seattle Storm 86 1466.91 55.97% Los Angeles Sparks 61 1508.52 44.03%
23 2015-08-18 14.03 @ Tulsa Shock 74 1462.37 43.31% Phoenix Mercury 59 1592.46 56.69%
24 2015-06-16 14.00 Indiana Fever 90 1454.97 33.94% @ Atlanta Dream 79 1487.34 66.06%
25 2015-08-11 13.96 Indiana Fever 73 1507.68 34.14% @ Washington Mystics 62 1538.51 65.86%