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2014 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Phoenix Mercury

3rd Title

Runner-Up

Chicago Sky

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

Phoenix Mercury

7.70 wins above expected

29 wins · 21.30 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Tulsa Shock

2.66 wins below expected

12 wins · 14.66 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Atlanta Dream League 19 15 .559 - 80.6 78.5 +2.1 19.01 -0.01
2 Washington Mystics Playoffs 16 18 .471 3 74.3 73.8 +0.4 16.53 -0.53
3 Indiana Fever Playoffs 16 18 .471 3 74.1 75.1 -1.0 17.14 -1.14
4 Chicago Sky Playoffs 15 19 .441 4 76.2 78.2 -2.0 17.58 -2.58
5 New York Liberty 15 19 .441 4 72.1 75.2 -3.1 12.77 +2.23
6 Connecticut Sun 13 21 .382 6 75.7 77.5 -1.8 13.81 -0.81
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Phoenix Mercury League 29 5 .853 - 83.5 74.1 +9.4 21.30 +7.70
2 Minnesota Lynx Playoffs 25 9 .735 4 81.6 77.2 +4.5 23.84 +1.16
3 San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs 16 18 .471 13 77.8 79.6 -1.8 14.71 +1.29
4 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 16 18 .471 13 77.4 77.6 -0.2 18.30 -2.30
5 Seattle Storm 12 22 .353 17 70.9 75.3 -4.4 14.34 -2.34
6 Tulsa Shock 12 22 .353 17 81.2 83.3 -2.1 14.66 -2.66

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2
Washington Mystics 0

2 games · Aug 21–Aug 23

Chicago Sky 2
Atlanta Dream 1

3 games · Aug 22–Aug 26

Conference Final

Chicago Sky 2
Indiana Fever 1

3 games · Aug 30–Sep 3

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Minnesota Lynx 2
San Antonio Silver Stars 0

2 games · Aug 21–Aug 23

Phoenix Mercury 2
Los Angeles Sparks 0

2 games · Aug 22–Aug 24

Conference Final

Phoenix Mercury 2
Minnesota Lynx 1

3 games · Aug 29–Sep 2

WNBA Finals

Phoenix Mercury 3
Chicago Sky 0

3 games · Sep 7–Sep 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Phoenix Mercury Western 1671 29 21.30 +7.70 99.95% 8 17 19 21 23 26 32
Minnesota Lynx Western 1647 25 23.84 +1.16 73.32% 11 19 22 24 26 28 34
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1532 16 18.30 -2.30 25.70% 6 14 16 18 20 23 30
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1511 19 19.01 -0.01 56.77% 5 14 17 19 21 24 30
Indiana Fever Eastern 1489 16 17.14 -1.14 41.22% 6 12 15 17 19 22 29
Washington Mystics Eastern 1484 16 16.53 -0.53 49.58% 4 12 15 17 18 21 28
Chicago Sky Eastern 1476 15 17.58 -2.58 23.01% 5 13 16 18 19 22 29
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1464 16 14.71 +1.29 74.01% 3 10 13 15 17 19 26
Tulsa Shock Western 1438 12 14.66 -2.66 22.25% 4 10 13 15 17 19 27
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1432 13 13.81 -0.81 45.97% 3 9 12 14 16 18 25
New York Liberty Eastern 1428 15 12.77 +2.23 83.96% 2 8 11 13 15 17 25
Seattle Storm Western 1428 12 14.34 -2.34 25.80% 4 10 12 14 16 19 26

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream —
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
1-3
(2.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
Chicago Sky
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
 —
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
2-3
(2.6 exp.)
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
 —
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
2-3
(2.6 exp.)
1-4
(2.2 exp.)
Indiana Fever
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
3-2
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
 —
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
New York Liberty
3-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
3-2
(2.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
 —
3-2
(1.9 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
4-1
(2.8 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-3
(3.1 exp.)
 —

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Indiana Fever
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Washington Mystics
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks —
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
0-5
(2.1 exp.)
1-3
(2.5 exp.)
5-0
(2.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
 —
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
4-1
(3.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.9 exp.)
5-0
(3.7 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
5-0
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
 —
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
5-0
(3.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
3-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-4
(1.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
 —
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-5
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-5
(1.6 exp.)
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
 —
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
0-5
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
 —

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Seattle Storm
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60—0.74%1.47%0.25%0.25%—2.70%
60–690.74%4.41%12.75%4.17%0.74%—22.79%
70–791.47%12.75%7.84%11.52%3.19%0.49%37.25%
80–890.25%4.17%11.52%4.41%3.19%0.74%24.26%
90–990.25%0.74%3.19%3.19%2.45%0.25%10.05%
100+——0.49%0.74%0.25%1.47%2.94%
Total2.70%22.79%37.25%24.26%10.05%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.12 77.12 +0.00
SD 10.41 10.41 11.85
CV 0.13 0.13 —
Max 112 112 +38
Min 46 46 -38

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60———2.94%——2.94%
60–69——5.88%5.88%——11.76%
70–79—5.88%11.76%17.65%——35.29%
80–89—5.88%17.65%5.88%——29.41%
90–992.94%—5.88%8.82%——17.65%
100+—————2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%11.76%41.18%41.18%—2.94%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.59 78.53 +2.06
SD 10.49 9.06 12.93
CV 0.13 0.12 —
Max 108 112 +38
Min 55 59 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60————2.94%—2.94%
60–692.94%—20.59%5.88%——29.41%
70–79—14.71%8.82%14.71%2.94%—41.18%
80–89—5.88%5.88%——2.94%14.71%
90–99———2.94%—2.94%5.88%
100+———2.94%—2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%20.59%35.29%26.47%5.88%8.82%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.21 78.24 -2.03
SD 11.12 11.11 12.27
CV 0.15 0.14 —
Max 105 105 +19
Min 59 57 -38

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60——2.94%———2.94%
60–69—5.88%23.53%2.94%2.94%—35.29%
70–792.94%2.94%8.82%5.88%——20.59%
80–892.94%5.88%11.76%5.88%5.88%5.88%38.24%
90–99————2.94%—2.94%
100+———————
Total5.88%14.71%47.06%14.71%11.76%5.88%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.68 77.50 -1.82
SD 10.23 11.16 13.24
CV 0.14 0.14 —
Max 96 101 +29
Min 54 55 -26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60—2.94%————2.94%
60–69—5.88%14.71%2.94%——23.53%
70–79—23.53%14.71%11.76%2.94%—52.94%
80–89—2.94%8.82%—2.94%—14.71%
90–99——2.94%———2.94%
100+—————2.94%2.94%
Total—35.29%41.18%14.71%5.88%2.94%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.15 75.12 -0.97
SD 9.04 10.26 10.02
CV 0.12 0.14 —
Max 102 107 +18
Min 57 60 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60———————
60–695.88%5.88%8.82%—2.94%—23.53%
70–792.94%11.76%5.88%8.82%5.88%2.94%38.24%
80–89—5.88%8.82%—11.76%—26.47%
90–99—2.94%—2.94%2.94%—8.82%
100+———2.94%——2.94%
Total8.82%26.47%23.53%14.71%23.53%2.94%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.41 77.62 -0.21
SD 9.00 12.91 12.17
CV 0.12 0.17 —
Max 102 101 +26
Min 64 54 -27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60———————
60–69—5.88%2.94%———8.82%
70–79—17.65%2.94%5.88%5.88%—32.35%
80–89—2.94%23.53%11.76%——38.24%
90–99——2.94%11.76%2.94%—17.65%
100+—————2.94%2.94%
Total—26.47%32.35%29.41%8.82%2.94%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.65 77.18 +4.47
SD 10.07 10.60 8.81
CV 0.12 0.14 —
Max 112 108 +17
Min 62 60 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60—2.94%5.88%———8.82%
60–69—8.82%17.65%5.88%——32.35%
70–792.94%11.76%5.88%8.82%2.94%—32.35%
80–89—2.94%8.82%8.82%——20.59%
90–99——2.94%———2.94%
100+—————2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%26.47%41.18%23.53%2.94%2.94%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 72.15 75.21 -3.06
SD 10.93 10.10 12.09
CV 0.15 0.13 —
Max 100 105 +21
Min 46 54 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60———————
60–69——2.94%———2.94%
70–792.94%23.53%5.88%—2.94%—35.29%
80–89—8.82%14.71%2.94%2.94%—29.41%
90–99—5.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%—26.47%
100+——2.94%2.94%——5.88%
Total2.94%38.24%38.24%11.76%8.82%—100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 83.53 74.12 +9.41
SD 8.29 9.61 9.96
CV 0.10 0.13 —
Max 101 96 +29
Min 67 58 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60———————
60–69——8.82%5.88%2.94%—17.65%
70–79—5.88%17.65%17.65%2.94%—44.12%
80–89—2.94%14.71%2.94%2.94%—23.53%
90–99——5.88%—5.88%—11.76%
100+——2.94%———2.94%
Total—8.82%50.00%26.47%14.71%—100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.79 79.56 -1.76
SD 9.72 8.07 12.22
CV 0.12 0.10 —
Max 101 95 +27
Min 61 65 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60—2.94%8.82%———11.76%
60–69—5.88%23.53%11.76%——41.18%
70–79—8.82%2.94%11.76%——23.53%
80–89—5.88%8.82%8.82%——23.53%
90–99———————
100+———————
Total—23.53%44.12%32.35%——100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 70.88 75.32 -4.44
SD 9.15 7.78 10.93
CV 0.13 0.10 —
Max 89 89 +21
Min 56 60 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60———————
60–69—5.88%2.94%2.94%——11.76%
70–792.94%5.88%5.88%20.59%8.82%2.94%47.06%
80–89——5.88%—11.76%—17.65%
90–99——2.94%2.94%11.76%—17.65%
100+————2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%11.76%17.65%26.47%35.29%5.88%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.18 83.26 -2.09
SD 10.94 11.12 10.06
CV 0.13 0.13 —
Max 107 102 +17
Min 60 57 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<60———————
60–69—8.82%20.59%5.88%——35.29%
70–792.94%20.59%2.94%14.71%2.94%—44.12%
80–89——8.82%5.88%——14.71%
90–99——2.94%2.94%——5.88%
100+———————
Total2.94%29.41%35.29%29.41%2.94%—100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.26 73.82 +0.44
SD 8.28 9.90 11.56
CV 0.11 0.13 —
Max 92 90 +33
Min 61 46 -17

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.47 +8.8
Allowed 0.12 -6.7
Differential 0.92 +13.0

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Phoenix Mercury 29 21.30 +7.70
2 New York Liberty 15 12.77 +2.23
3 San Antonio Silver Stars 16 14.71 +1.29
4 Minnesota Lynx 25 23.84 +1.16
5 Atlanta Dream 19 19.01 -0.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Tulsa Shock 12 14.66 -2.66
2 Chicago Sky 15 17.58 -2.58
3 Seattle Storm 12 14.34 -2.34
4 Los Angeles Sparks 16 18.30 -2.30
5 Indiana Fever 16 17.14 -1.14

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Phoenix Mercury 16 Jun 15 – Jul 29 1 in 2,413
2 Connecticut Sun 6 Jun 7 – Jun 25 1 in 80
3 Atlanta Dream 6 Jun 3 – Jun 20 1 in 42
4 Minnesota Lynx 11 Jul 8 – Aug 7 1 in 37
5 New York Liberty 3 Jun 29 – Jul 6 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Seattle Storm 7 Jul 13 – Jul 31 1 in 79
2 Atlanta Dream 5 Aug 3 – Aug 10 1 in 45
3 Chicago Sky 6 Jul 2 – Jul 17 1 in 31
4 Minnesota Lynx 3 Aug 9 – Aug 15 1 in 29
5 Connecticut Sun 4 Jun 27 – Jul 3 1 in 19

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team123456
Atlanta Dream42.22%25.43%16.16%9.92%4.71%1.56%
Chicago Sky22.34%24.29%21.85%17.20%10.15%4.18%
Indiana Fever18.58%22.03%22.09%19.16%12.50%5.63%
Washington Mystics13.17%18.96%22.17%21.76%15.65%8.29%
Connecticut Sun2.50%5.96%10.77%18.56%30.34%31.87%
New York Liberty1.18%3.33%6.96%13.40%26.66%48.47%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx69.64%23.39%5.62%1.10%0.21%0.04%
Phoenix Mercury24.17%48.58%19.05%5.83%1.88%0.49%
Los Angeles Sparks5.02%19.43%40.97%19.98%10.04%4.56%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.40%2.94%12.07%25.89%29.11%29.59%
Tulsa Shock0.44%3.09%11.90%24.89%29.03%30.65%
Seattle Storm0.34%2.57%10.39%22.31%29.73%34.67%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx63.66%20.96%8.30%3.78%1.80%0.83%0.38%0.17%0.08%0.03%0.01%<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury21.28%31.98%18.66%11.34%6.90%4.23%2.60%1.49%0.85%0.43%0.19%0.05%
Atlanta Dream5.46%14.48%18.99%16.34%13.43%10.28%7.47%5.54%3.62%2.37%1.41%0.61%
Los Angeles Sparks4.04%10.94%14.61%15.65%14.25%11.92%9.32%7.10%5.25%3.64%2.21%1.08%
Chicago Sky2.07%7.51%11.83%13.77%13.71%12.74%11.16%9.17%7.26%5.38%3.48%1.91%
Indiana Fever1.62%5.86%10.21%12.26%12.97%12.77%11.73%10.19%8.53%6.52%4.63%2.71%
Washington Mystics1.00%4.00%7.54%10.12%11.91%12.60%12.33%11.50%10.20%8.13%6.43%4.23%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.26%1.23%2.72%4.45%6.51%8.59%10.81%12.49%13.49%13.91%13.85%11.69%
Tulsa Shock0.28%1.22%2.68%4.42%6.16%8.41%10.56%12.37%13.33%14.14%14.29%12.12%
Seattle Storm0.20%1.04%2.21%3.60%5.55%7.58%9.81%11.63%13.53%14.94%15.57%14.34%
Connecticut Sun0.08%0.54%1.54%2.81%4.31%6.27%8.18%10.52%13.12%15.43%17.58%19.62%
New York Liberty0.03%0.23%0.72%1.46%2.50%3.79%5.64%7.83%10.73%15.09%20.34%31.63%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Atlanta Dream42.22%25.43%16.16%9.92%6.27%
Chicago Sky22.34%24.29%21.85%17.20%14.33%
Indiana Fever18.58%22.03%22.09%19.16%18.13%
Washington Mystics13.17%18.96%22.17%21.76%23.94%
Connecticut Sun2.50%5.96%10.77%18.56%62.20%
New York Liberty1.18%3.33%6.96%13.40%75.12%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx69.64%23.39%5.62%1.10%0.25%
Phoenix Mercury24.17%48.58%19.05%5.83%2.37%
Los Angeles Sparks5.02%19.43%40.97%19.98%14.60%
Tulsa Shock0.44%3.09%11.90%24.89%59.68%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.40%2.94%12.07%25.89%58.70%
Seattle Storm0.34%2.57%10.39%22.31%64.40%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeAway
+15.69%
Fortress
57.84%42.16%
Elo Value
Home Edge
30 Elo
0.034 points per Elo point
054.9580
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+2.46 points
Lean Home
-8+1.86+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Few Contenders
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Phoenix Mercury, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
40.1%
Heavy Favorite
012.50%60%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.22 · As Expected: 2.22 to 3.05 · Elevated: 3.05 to 4.16 · High Variance: 4.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.62 · Close: 1.62 to 2.2 · Off Target: 2.2 to 2.87 · Well Off Target: 2.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.04 · As Expected: 1.04 to 1.73 · More Than Expected: 1.73 to 2.77 · Far More Than Expected: 2.77 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.80 wins
As Expected
02.787
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.914
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.95%
Phoenix Mercury
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
22.25%
Tulsa Shock
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
As Expected
01.26
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
0 of 8
Fewer Than Expected
01.48

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.12
Coin-Flip Spread
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Competitive
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Lopsided
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
16%
Mostly Decisive
0%20%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.23
Hard to Predict
00.231
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.51
Weak Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
41%
Upset-Prone
0%37%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Shaky Favorites
0%31%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.27
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Within Noise
00.0950.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Phoenix Mercury 97.63% 77.48% 46.31% 39.58%
Minnesota Lynx 99.75% 78.75% 42.43% 34.89%
Atlanta Dream 93.73% 55.97% 32.24% 7.08%
Los Angeles Sparks 85.40% 25.41% 7.88% 4.96%
Indiana Fever 81.87% 42.40% 21.34% 4.15%
Chicago Sky 85.67% 41.87% 19.80% 3.48%
Washington Mystics 76.06% 37.29% 18.25% 3.34%
San Antonio Silver Stars 41.30% 7.36% 1.58% 0.78%
Connecticut Sun 37.80% 13.75% 5.16% 0.65%
Tulsa Shock 40.32% 6.07% 1.04% 0.43%
New York Liberty 24.88% 8.72% 3.21% 0.34%
Seattle Storm 35.60% 4.92% 0.76% 0.31%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream58.1%23.94%68.3%12.96%55.7%24.24%69.1%8.77%57.4%23.81%
Chicago Sky41.9%23.94%61.2%9.39%47.5%24.36%62.1%5.97%49.1%22.01%
Connecticut Sun31.7%12.96%38.8%9.39%36.9%8.19%53.7%1.03%38.8%6.23%
Indiana Fever44.3%24.24%52.5%24.36%63.1%8.19%64.4%5.10%52.2%19.99%
New York Liberty30.9%8.77%37.9%5.97%46.3%1.03%35.6%5.10%36.3%4.01%
Washington Mystics42.6%23.81%50.9%22.01%61.2%6.23%47.8%19.99%63.7%4.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks25.6%28.87%22.9%45.20%64.4%4.02%71.3%3.23%68.4%4.08%
Minnesota Lynx74.4%28.87%47.5%10.14%84.5%21.56%87.9%18.54%87.0%20.65%
Phoenix Mercury77.1%45.20%52.5%10.14%86.2%14.75%89.5%12.92%89.0%14.61%
San Antonio Silver Stars35.6%4.02%15.5%21.56%13.8%14.75%57.4%0.45%56.1%0.52%
Seattle Storm28.7%3.23%12.1%18.54%10.5%12.92%42.6%0.45%45.2%0.47%
Tulsa Shock31.6%4.08%13.0%20.65%11.0%14.61%43.9%0.52%54.8%0.47%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream57.2%17.05%66.5%4.59%55.0%17.20%67.9%2.84%56.3%14.30%
Chicago Sky42.8%17.05%59.9%3.04%47.3%10.65%61.2%1.89%48.5%9.24%
Connecticut Sun33.5%4.59%40.1%3.04%37.9%3.11%49.2%0.49%38.9%2.53%
Indiana Fever45.0%17.20%52.7%10.65%62.1%3.11%61.6%1.87%51.4%9.58%
New York Liberty32.1%2.84%38.8%1.89%50.8%0.49%38.4%1.87%36.7%1.63%
Washington Mystics43.7%14.30%51.5%9.24%61.1%2.53%48.6%9.58%63.3%1.63%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks27.9%13.01%25.6%9.82%62.3%1.02%72.4%0.69%68.6%0.86%
Minnesota Lynx72.1%13.01%46.4%59.16%82.2%2.61%88.0%1.78%85.1%2.20%
Phoenix Mercury74.4%9.82%53.6%59.16%83.1%3.48%87.8%2.24%88.4%2.79%
San Antonio Silver Stars37.7%1.02%17.8%2.61%16.9%3.48%56.6%0.12%52.9%0.14%
Seattle Storm27.6%0.69%12.0%1.78%12.2%2.24%43.4%0.12%39.0%0.08%
Tulsa Shock31.4%0.86%14.9%2.20%11.6%2.79%47.1%0.14%61.0%0.08%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa ShockAtlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream41.8%2.58%20.2%13.59%17.4%15.00%52.1%0.53%67.9%0.23%67.8%0.31%
Chicago Sky36.8%1.62%16.0%8.33%12.9%9.19%55.2%0.30%55.3%0.15%49.3%0.22%
Connecticut Sun28.7%0.38%11.2%2.24%9.1%2.38%41.2%0.07%61.3%0.03%52.6%0.06%
Indiana Fever36.4%1.66%18.9%9.15%14.6%9.82%48.2%0.33%53.3%0.18%62.9%0.20%
New York Liberty23.0%0.24%10.6%1.34%7.1%1.51%39.6%0.05%30.4%0.02%33.3%0.04%
Washington Mystics33.9%1.40%17.1%7.79%14.1%8.41%48.7%0.30%60.0%0.14%54.6%0.21%
Los Angeles Sparks58.2%2.58%63.2%1.62%71.3%0.38%63.6%1.66%77.0%0.24%66.1%1.40%
Minnesota Lynx79.8%13.59%84.0%8.33%88.8%2.24%81.1%9.15%89.4%1.34%82.9%7.79%
Phoenix Mercury82.6%15.00%87.1%9.19%90.9%2.38%85.4%9.82%92.9%1.51%85.9%8.41%
San Antonio Silver Stars47.9%0.53%44.8%0.30%58.8%0.07%51.8%0.33%60.4%0.05%51.3%0.30%
Seattle Storm32.1%0.23%44.7%0.15%38.7%0.03%46.7%0.18%69.6%0.02%40.0%0.14%
Tulsa Shock32.2%0.31%50.7%0.22%47.4%0.06%37.1%0.20%66.7%0.04%45.4%0.21%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Phoenix Mercury 78.71% 49.50% 42.20% Won Finals
Chicago Sky 39.56% 17.72% 3.04% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream60.4%100.00%
Chicago Sky39.6%100.00%
Indiana Fever54.9%100.00%
Washington Mystics45.1%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver Stars
Los Angeles Sparks21.3%100.00%
Minnesota Lynx84.4%100.00%
Phoenix Mercury78.7%100.00%
San Antonio Silver Stars15.6%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream57.9%33.05%58.4%27.39%
Chicago Sky44.8%21.81%44.8%17.75%
Indiana Fever42.1%33.05%55.2%21.81%
Washington Mystics41.6%27.39%55.2%17.75%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver Stars
Los Angeles Sparks28.2%17.97%59.6%3.32%
Minnesota Lynx71.8%17.97%41.1%66.45%
Phoenix Mercury58.9%66.45%84.3%12.26%
San Antonio Silver Stars40.4%3.32%15.7%12.26%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsAtlanta DreamChicago SkyIndiana FeverWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream43.3%2.45%19.3%14.06%16.7%17.44%58.7%1.16%
Chicago Sky32.0%1.23%16.6%7.17%13.5%8.72%47.1%0.60%
Indiana Fever36.5%1.79%17.3%10.47%14.1%12.90%53.4%0.81%
Washington Mystics36.1%1.56%16.2%8.49%13.3%10.44%50.8%0.70%
Los Angeles Sparks56.7%2.45%68.0%1.23%63.5%1.79%63.9%1.56%
Minnesota Lynx80.7%14.06%83.4%7.17%82.7%10.47%83.8%8.49%
Phoenix Mercury83.3%17.44%86.5%8.72%85.9%12.90%86.7%10.44%
San Antonio Silver Stars41.3%1.16%52.9%0.60%46.6%0.81%49.2%0.70%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Phoenix Mercury 42.20% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
78.71%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
79.13%
Win Prob
58.94%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
34.43%
Win Prob
83.33%
Minnesota Lynx 33.10% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
84.42%
→
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
67.89%
Win Prob
41.06%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
34.28%
Win Prob
80.71%
Atlanta Dream 7.36% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Sky
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
60.44%
→
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
54.47%
Win Prob
57.88%
→
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
39.48%
Win Prob
16.67%
Indiana Fever 4.72% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
54.86%
→
Semifinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
53.62%
Win Prob
42.12%
→
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
38.62%
Win Prob
14.15%
Los Angeles Sparks 4.36% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
21.29%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
71.89%
Win Prob
28.15%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
31.87%
Win Prob
56.67%
Washington Mystics 3.68% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
45.14%
→
Semifinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
53.79%
Win Prob
41.64%
→
Finals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
37.60%
Win Prob
13.26%
Chicago Sky 3.04% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
39.56%
→
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
55.12%
Win Prob
44.79%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
39.07%
Win Prob
16.57%
San Antonio Silver Stars 1.52% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
15.58%
→
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
58.97%
Win Prob
15.74%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
31.60%
Win Prob
41.34%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2014-05-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-75 1501.59 1461.36 63.37% 36.63% +4.63 1-0
2014-05-17 @ Indiana Fever W 90-88 1506.22 1514.59 40.99% 59.01% +5.26 2-0
2014-05-24 @ Chicago Sky L 73-87 1511.48 1558.97 35.67% 64.33% -8.42 2-1
2014-05-25 Indiana Fever L 77-82 1503.06 1493.34 59.20% 40.80% -8.35 2-2
2014-05-30 Seattle Storm W 80-69 1494.71 1466.87 61.69% 38.31% +8.02 3-2
2014-06-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-85 1502.73 1409.71 55.46% 44.54% -10.50 3-3
2014-06-03 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-85 1492.23 1557.24 48.55% 51.45% +9.18 4-3
2014-06-07 Chicago Sky W 97-59 1501.41 1554.42 50.28% 49.72% +19.34 5-3
2014-06-13 Minnesota Lynx W 85-82 1520.75 1656.62 38.56% 61.44% +6.71 6-3
2014-06-15 @ Washington Mystics W 75-67 1527.46 1477.19 49.33% 50.67% +9.05 7-3
2014-06-18 Washington Mystics W 83-73 1536.51 1468.14 67.04% 32.96% +6.58 8-3
2014-06-20 New York Liberty W 85-64 1543.09 1394.84 76.31% 23.69% +6.85 9-3
2014-06-22 @ New York Liberty L 78-85 1549.94 1387.99 64.93% 35.07% -10.84 9-4
2014-06-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-79 1539.10 1467.33 52.42% 47.58% +4.24 10-4
2014-06-29 @ Indiana Fever W 76-68 1543.34 1487.29 50.16% 49.84% +8.90 11-4
2014-07-01 Indiana Fever L 70-77 1552.24 1478.39 67.73% 32.27% -11.31 11-5
2014-07-05 Washington Mystics W 86-73 1540.93 1455.82 69.13% 30.87% +7.02 12-5
2014-07-08 Connecticut Sun W 83-71 1547.95 1444.94 71.29% 28.71% +6.28 13-5
2014-07-12 @ Indiana Fever W 93-74 1554.23 1500.93 49.76% 50.24% +13.82 14-5
2014-07-13 Chicago Sky W 81-79 1568.05 1472.16 70.44% 29.56% +2.64 15-5
2014-07-16 @ New York Liberty L 75-77 1570.69 1404.95 65.42% 34.58% -5.84 15-6
2014-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 108-112 1564.85 1645.74 31.39% 68.61% -3.96 15-7
2014-07-25 Chicago Sky L 75-79 1560.89 1463.65 70.60% 29.40% -8.91 15-8
2014-07-27 @ Washington Mystics L 67-77 1551.98 1491.31 50.82% 49.18% -10.14 15-9
2014-07-29 Connecticut Sun W 89-80 1541.84 1420.25 73.42% 26.58% +5.03 16-9
2014-07-31 @ Tulsa Shock W 85-75 1546.87 1450.36 55.95% 44.05% +8.79 17-9
2014-08-03 New York Liberty L 76-83 1555.66 1418.98 75.08% 24.92% -12.54 17-10
2014-08-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 67-75 1543.12 1658.55 27.27% 72.73% -4.87 17-11
2014-08-07 @ Seattle Storm L 68-88 1538.25 1416.54 59.49% 40.51% -16.79 17-12
2014-08-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-80 1521.46 1519.63 42.42% 57.58% -4.63 17-13
2014-08-10 @ Chicago Sky L 69-80 1516.83 1478.99 47.54% 52.46% -9.95 17-14
2014-08-13 Phoenix Mercury W 96-82 1506.88 1676.34 34.09% 65.91% +15.56 18-14
2014-08-15 Tulsa Shock W 92-76 1522.44 1450.69 67.47% 32.53% +8.21 19-14
2014-08-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-84 1530.65 1411.46 59.14% 40.86% -20.09 19-15
2014-05-16 Indiana Fever W 74-71 1539.72 1518.88 60.74% 39.26% +4.29 1-0
2014-05-17 @ New York Liberty W 79-65 1544.01 1434.96 57.72% 42.28% +9.98 2-0
2014-05-21 Connecticut Sun W 78-68 1553.99 1417.62 75.05% 24.95% +4.98 3-0
2014-05-24 Atlanta Dream W 87-73 1558.97 1511.48 64.33% 35.67% +8.42 4-0
2014-05-26 Minnesota Lynx L 72-75 1567.39 1637.62 47.80% 52.20% -5.22 4-1
2014-05-30 Connecticut Sun W 101-82 1562.17 1416.30 76.06% 23.94% +6.58 5-1
2014-06-06 Los Angeles Sparks L 88-102 1568.75 1548.06 60.72% 39.28% -14.33 5-2
2014-06-07 @ Atlanta Dream L 59-97 1554.42 1501.41 49.72% 50.28% -19.34 5-3
2014-06-10 Seattle Storm L 76-80 1535.08 1461.79 67.66% 32.34% -8.54 5-4
2014-06-13 @ Washington Mystics L 68-79 1526.54 1466.57 50.72% 49.28% -10.62 5-5
2014-06-18 New York Liberty W 105-100 1515.92 1398.66 72.94% 27.06% +3.82 6-5
2014-06-20 Indiana Fever L 75-83 1519.74 1495.65 61.18% 38.82% -10.92 6-6
2014-06-22 Tulsa Shock L 99-105 1508.82 1463.67 64.02% 35.98% -9.89 6-7
2014-06-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-79 1498.93 1460.18 47.67% 52.33% -9.51 6-8
2014-06-27 @ New York Liberty W 73-69 1489.42 1398.83 55.11% 44.89% +5.66 7-8
2014-07-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 90-83 1495.08 1529.62 37.40% 62.60% +10.45 8-8
2014-07-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-87 1505.53 1581.08 32.06% 67.94% -8.58 8-9
2014-07-05 @ Seattle Storm L 73-80 1496.95 1455.25 48.09% 51.91% -8.03 8-10
2014-07-09 Washington Mystics L 65-72 1488.92 1448.80 63.35% 36.65% -10.57 8-11
2014-07-11 Phoenix Mercury L 66-72 1478.35 1603.77 39.99% 60.01% -6.19 8-12
2014-07-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 79-81 1472.16 1568.05 29.56% 70.44% -2.63 8-13
2014-07-17 @ Indiana Fever L 64-82 1469.53 1478.20 40.94% 59.06% -10.97 8-14
2014-07-22 Indiana Fever W 60-57 1458.56 1489.16 53.50% 46.50% +5.09 9-14
2014-07-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 79-75 1463.65 1560.89 29.40% 70.60% +8.91 10-14
2014-07-27 @ Tulsa Shock L 69-79 1472.56 1434.79 47.53% 52.47% -9.49 10-15
2014-07-29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-92 1463.07 1445.81 44.60% 55.40% -11.94 10-16
2014-07-31 New York Liberty W 87-74 1451.13 1427.83 61.07% 38.93% +8.86 11-16
2014-08-03 Washington Mystics W 76-65 1459.99 1494.68 52.91% 47.09% +9.85 12-16
2014-08-05 @ Connecticut Sun W 82-66 1469.84 1426.09 48.39% 51.61% +13.03 13-16
2014-08-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 64-74 1482.87 1674.93 19.44% 80.56% -3.88 13-17
2014-08-10 Atlanta Dream W 80-69 1478.99 1516.83 52.46% 47.54% +9.95 14-17
2014-08-13 @ Washington Mystics W 72-69 1488.94 1500.24 40.58% 59.42% +6.50 15-17
2014-08-16 @ Indiana Fever L 67-71 1495.44 1496.06 42.07% 57.93% -5.31 15-18
2014-08-17 San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-84 1490.13 1450.62 63.27% 36.73% -13.83 15-19
2014-05-16 New York Liberty L 54-75 1437.07 1417.45 60.57% 39.43% -17.51 0-1
2014-05-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 87-90 1419.56 1631.01 17.75% 82.25% -1.94 0-2
2014-05-21 @ Chicago Sky L 68-78 1417.62 1553.99 24.95% 75.05% -4.98 0-3
2014-05-23 Seattle Storm W 71-59 1412.64 1474.83 48.96% 51.04% +11.16 1-3
2014-05-29 @ Indiana Fever L 65-79 1423.80 1501.69 31.76% 68.24% -7.50 1-4
2014-05-30 @ Chicago Sky L 82-101 1416.30 1562.17 23.94% 76.06% -6.59 1-5
2014-06-01 Atlanta Dream W 85-76 1409.71 1502.73 44.54% 55.46% +10.50 2-5
2014-06-05 Washington Mystics L 66-74 1420.21 1490.67 47.77% 52.23% -8.53 2-6
2014-06-07 Indiana Fever W 88-71 1411.68 1519.19 42.49% 57.51% +14.97 3-6
2014-06-12 Phoenix Mercury W 96-95 1426.65 1541.46 41.47% 58.53% +3.69 4-6
2014-06-13 @ New York Liberty W 83-75 1430.34 1413.23 44.58% 55.42% +9.89 5-6
2014-06-15 New York Liberty W 76-72 1440.23 1403.34 62.92% 37.08% +4.68 6-6
2014-06-17 Indiana Fever W 89-67 1444.91 1510.91 48.41% 51.59% +15.27 7-6
2014-06-25 Chicago Sky W 79-69 1460.18 1498.93 52.33% 47.67% +9.51 8-6
2014-06-27 @ Washington Mystics L 63-69 1469.69 1465.66 42.72% 57.28% -6.60 8-7
2014-06-29 @ New York Liberty L 65-67 1463.09 1393.17 52.15% 47.85% -4.66 8-8
2014-07-01 San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-74 1458.43 1473.63 55.70% 44.30% -6.08 8-9
2014-07-03 Tulsa Shock L 83-96 1452.35 1458.54 56.97% 43.03% -12.96 8-10
2014-07-05 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-76 1439.39 1471.50 37.73% 62.27% +5.55 9-10
2014-07-08 @ Atlanta Dream L 71-83 1444.94 1547.95 28.71% 71.29% -6.27 9-11
2014-07-10 @ Indiana Fever L 68-72 1438.67 1496.60 34.30% 65.70% -4.33 9-12
2014-07-13 Los Angeles Sparks L 64-90 1434.34 1528.21 44.42% 55.58% -14.30 9-13
2014-07-15 @ Seattle Storm W 86-63 1420.04 1468.34 35.56% 64.44% +19.50 10-13
2014-07-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 85-101 1439.54 1623.57 20.17% 79.83% -5.09 10-14
2014-07-23 @ Washington Mystics L 75-89 1434.45 1477.70 36.23% 63.77% -8.55 10-15
2014-07-27 Minnesota Lynx L 65-76 1425.90 1653.60 27.00% 73.00% -5.65 10-16
2014-07-29 @ Atlanta Dream L 80-89 1420.25 1541.84 26.58% 73.42% -5.03 10-17
2014-08-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 89-79 1415.22 1457.75 36.33% 63.67% +12.70 11-17
2014-08-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 69-70 1427.92 1528.65 28.98% 71.02% -1.83 11-18
2014-08-05 Chicago Sky L 66-82 1426.09 1469.84 51.61% 48.39% -13.02 11-19
2014-08-08 @ New York Liberty L 66-71 1413.07 1418.86 41.35% 58.65% -5.84 11-20
2014-08-10 Washington Mystics W 89-81 1407.23 1510.39 43.11% 56.89% +10.16 12-20
2014-08-15 Washington Mystics L 67-71 1417.39 1493.75 46.92% 53.08% -5.93 12-21
2014-08-17 Atlanta Dream W 84-55 1411.46 1530.65 40.86% 59.14% +20.10 13-21
2014-05-16 @ Chicago Sky L 71-74 1518.88 1539.72 39.26% 60.74% -4.29 0-1
2014-05-17 Atlanta Dream L 88-90 1514.59 1506.22 59.01% 40.99% -5.27 0-2
2014-05-23 Washington Mystics L 63-79 1509.32 1469.39 63.32% 36.68% -15.98 0-3
2014-05-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 82-77 1493.34 1503.06 40.80% 59.20% +8.35 1-3
2014-05-29 Connecticut Sun W 79-65 1501.69 1423.80 68.24% 31.76% +7.50 2-3
2014-05-31 New York Liberty W 70-66 1509.19 1423.69 69.18% 30.82% +3.89 3-3
2014-06-06 @ Washington Mystics W 64-61 1513.08 1499.19 44.12% 55.88% +6.11 4-3
2014-06-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 71-88 1519.19 1411.68 57.51% 42.49% -14.97 4-4
2014-06-11 Seattle Storm W 76-68 1504.22 1470.33 62.51% 37.49% +6.69 5-4
2014-06-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-89 1510.91 1444.91 51.59% 48.41% -15.26 5-5
2014-06-20 @ Chicago Sky W 83-75 1495.65 1519.74 38.82% 61.18% +10.92 6-5
2014-06-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-83 1506.57 1639.47 25.32% 74.68% -3.92 6-6
2014-06-25 Tulsa Shock L 102-107 1502.65 1473.56 61.86% 38.14% -8.73 6-7
2014-06-27 Phoenix Mercury L 76-81 1493.92 1569.68 47.01% 52.99% -6.63 6-8
2014-06-29 Atlanta Dream L 68-76 1487.29 1543.34 49.84% 50.16% -8.90 6-9
2014-07-01 @ Atlanta Dream W 77-70 1478.39 1552.24 32.27% 67.73% +11.31 7-9
2014-07-02 @ Washington Mystics W 80-77 1489.70 1461.71 46.13% 53.87% +5.89 8-9
2014-07-05 San Antonio Silver Stars L 70-71 1495.59 1475.85 60.59% 39.41% -3.82 8-10
2014-07-08 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-76 1491.77 1465.95 45.82% 54.18% +4.83 9-10
2014-07-10 Connecticut Sun W 72-68 1496.60 1438.67 65.70% 34.30% +4.33 10-10
2014-07-12 Atlanta Dream L 74-93 1500.93 1554.23 50.24% 49.76% -13.82 10-11
2014-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks L 78-86 1487.11 1542.50 49.94% 50.06% -8.91 10-12
2014-07-17 Chicago Sky W 82-64 1478.20 1469.53 59.06% 40.94% +10.96 11-12
2014-07-22 @ Chicago Sky L 57-60 1489.16 1458.56 46.50% 53.50% -5.08 11-13
2014-07-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-68 1484.08 1454.77 46.32% 53.68% +8.96 12-13
2014-07-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-77 1493.04 1531.83 36.83% 63.17% -4.65 12-14
2014-07-31 @ Seattle Storm W 76-67 1488.39 1418.29 52.18% 47.82% +9.06 13-14
2014-08-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-79 1497.45 1653.99 22.84% 77.16% -4.56 13-15
2014-08-05 Minnesota Lynx L 64-66 1492.89 1672.00 32.86% 67.14% -2.93 13-16
2014-08-08 Washington Mystics L 61-74 1489.96 1497.48 56.78% 43.22% -12.92 13-17
2014-08-10 @ New York Liberty W 90-76 1477.04 1424.69 49.63% 50.37% +11.89 14-17
2014-08-14 New York Liberty W 76-63 1488.93 1407.63 68.66% 31.34% +7.13 15-17
2014-08-16 Chicago Sky W 71-67 1496.06 1495.44 57.93% 42.07% +5.31 16-17
2014-08-17 @ New York Liberty L 61-73 1501.37 1415.98 54.37% 45.63% -11.88 16-18
2014-05-16 @ Seattle Storm W 80-69 1557.07 1495.45 50.96% 49.04% +10.26 1-0
2014-05-18 Phoenix Mercury L 69-74 1567.33 1512.50 65.29% 34.71% -9.21 1-1
2014-05-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-62 1558.12 1470.59 69.43% 30.57% +8.84 2-1
2014-06-01 @ Washington Mystics L 84-92 1566.96 1480.95 54.46% 45.54% -9.72 2-2
2014-06-03 @ Atlanta Dream L 85-93 1557.24 1492.23 51.45% 48.55% -9.18 2-3
2014-06-06 @ Chicago Sky W 102-88 1548.06 1568.75 39.28% 60.72% +14.33 3-3
2014-06-08 Minnesota Lynx L 72-85 1562.39 1646.18 45.86% 54.14% -10.43 3-4
2014-06-13 @ Tulsa Shock L 67-69 1551.96 1465.79 54.48% 45.52% -4.86 3-5
2014-06-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-101 1547.10 1446.40 56.55% 43.45% -18.54 3-6
2014-06-17 Minnesota Lynx L 77-94 1528.56 1636.99 42.36% 57.64% -11.02 3-7
2014-06-19 Tulsa Shock W 87-77 1517.54 1477.22 63.38% 36.62% +7.31 4-7
2014-06-22 San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-72 1524.85 1473.13 64.88% 35.12% -7.10 4-8
2014-06-24 Seattle Storm W 65-57 1517.75 1462.95 65.29% 34.71% +6.20 5-8
2014-06-28 @ Tulsa Shock W 92-89 1523.95 1482.29 48.09% 51.91% +5.67 6-8
2014-07-01 Chicago Sky L 83-90 1529.62 1495.08 62.60% 37.40% -10.45 6-9
2014-07-03 @ Seattle Storm W 70-56 1519.17 1467.16 49.58% 50.42% +11.91 7-9
2014-07-06 Phoenix Mercury L 89-94 1531.08 1589.66 49.48% 50.52% -6.99 7-10
2014-07-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-83 1524.09 1624.70 29.00% 71.00% -6.06 7-11
2014-07-11 @ New York Liberty W 68-54 1518.03 1415.14 56.86% 43.14% +10.18 8-11
2014-07-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 90-64 1528.21 1434.34 55.58% 44.42% +14.29 9-11
2014-07-15 @ Indiana Fever W 86-78 1542.50 1487.11 50.06% 49.94% +8.92 10-11
2014-07-17 Washington Mystics L 75-79 1551.42 1469.02 68.80% 31.20% -8.69 10-12
2014-07-23 New York Liberty L 64-66 1542.73 1410.79 74.57% 25.43% -6.65 10-13
2014-07-24 Phoenix Mercury L 73-93 1536.08 1637.43 43.36% 56.64% -12.24 10-14
2014-07-26 @ Seattle Storm W 77-69 1523.84 1432.37 55.24% 44.76% +7.99 11-14
2014-07-28 Indiana Fever W 77-73 1531.83 1493.04 63.17% 36.83% +4.65 12-14
2014-07-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-90 1536.48 1653.75 27.06% 72.94% -7.83 12-15
2014-08-03 Connecticut Sun W 70-69 1528.65 1427.92 71.02% 28.98% +1.83 13-15
2014-08-05 Tulsa Shock L 90-96 1530.48 1436.41 70.22% 29.78% -10.85 13-16
2014-08-08 Atlanta Dream W 80-77 1519.63 1521.46 57.58% 42.42% +4.64 14-16
2014-08-10 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-82 1524.27 1423.42 56.57% 43.43% -8.75 14-17
2014-08-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 71-63 1515.52 1674.90 22.55% 77.45% +13.82 15-17
2014-08-15 Seattle Storm W 77-65 1529.34 1440.38 69.60% 30.40% +6.65 16-17
2014-08-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-76 1535.99 1660.78 26.22% 73.78% -4.38 16-18
2014-05-16 @ Washington Mystics W 89-77 1622.86 1477.54 62.72% 37.28% +8.15 1-0
2014-05-18 Connecticut Sun W 90-87 1631.01 1419.56 82.25% 17.75% +1.94 2-0
2014-05-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 94-93 1632.95 1463.34 65.93% 34.07% +2.15 3-0
2014-05-24 New York Liberty W 87-82 1635.10 1424.98 82.14% 17.86% +2.52 4-0
2014-05-26 @ Chicago Sky W 75-72 1637.62 1567.39 52.20% 47.80% +5.22 5-0
2014-05-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-72 1642.84 1466.34 79.12% 20.88% +5.27 6-0
2014-06-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 87-79 1648.11 1461.07 68.14% 31.86% +5.69 7-0
2014-06-06 @ Seattle Storm L 62-65 1653.80 1454.18 69.69% 30.31% -7.62 7-1
2014-06-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85-72 1646.18 1562.39 54.14% 45.86% +10.44 8-1
2014-06-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 82-85 1656.62 1520.75 61.44% 38.56% -6.72 8-2
2014-06-15 Phoenix Mercury L 72-80 1649.90 1537.77 72.35% 27.65% -12.91 8-3
2014-06-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94-77 1636.99 1528.56 57.64% 42.36% +11.02 9-3
2014-06-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 79-92 1648.01 1550.68 56.07% 43.93% -12.76 9-4
2014-06-20 Washington Mystics W 75-65 1635.25 1461.57 78.85% 21.15% +4.22 10-4
2014-06-22 Indiana Fever W 83-77 1639.47 1506.57 74.68% 25.32% +3.92 11-4
2014-06-27 @ Seattle Storm L 71-81 1643.39 1456.75 68.09% 31.91% -13.59 11-5
2014-06-29 Seattle Storm W 74-69 1629.80 1470.34 77.46% 22.54% +3.18 12-5
2014-07-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 91-84 1632.98 1479.72 76.83% 23.17% +3.87 13-5
2014-07-06 @ New York Liberty L 80-87 1636.85 1411.13 72.77% 27.23% -12.15 13-6
2014-07-08 Los Angeles Sparks W 83-72 1624.70 1524.09 71.00% 29.00% +6.07 14-6
2014-07-10 @ Tulsa Shock W 91-85 1630.77 1461.11 65.93% 34.07% +5.27 15-6
2014-07-13 Seattle Storm W 77-60 1636.04 1474.14 77.70% 22.30% +5.80 16-6
2014-07-16 Tulsa Shock W 93-82 1641.84 1440.92 81.35% 18.65% +3.90 17-6
2014-07-22 Atlanta Dream W 112-108 1645.74 1564.85 68.61% 31.39% +3.96 18-6
2014-07-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-78 1649.70 1458.67 80.47% 19.53% +3.90 19-6
2014-07-27 @ Connecticut Sun W 76-65 1653.60 1425.90 73.00% 27.00% +5.65 20-6
2014-07-31 Phoenix Mercury W 75-67 1659.25 1661.57 57.52% 42.48% +7.58 21-6
2014-08-02 @ Tulsa Shock W 84-75 1666.83 1441.57 72.72% 27.28% +5.17 22-6
2014-08-05 @ Indiana Fever W 66-64 1672.00 1492.89 67.14% 32.86% +2.93 23-6
2014-08-07 Chicago Sky W 74-64 1674.93 1482.87 80.56% 19.44% +3.88 24-6
2014-08-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-82 1678.81 1667.26 43.79% 56.21% -3.91 24-7
2014-08-12 Los Angeles Sparks L 63-71 1674.90 1515.52 77.45% 22.55% -13.82 24-8
2014-08-15 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-92 1661.08 1432.16 73.13% 26.87% -18.46 24-9
2014-08-16 Tulsa Shock W 80-63 1642.62 1442.48 81.28% 18.72% +4.87 25-9
2014-05-16 @ Connecticut Sun W 75-54 1417.45 1437.07 39.43% 60.57% +17.51 1-0
2014-05-17 Chicago Sky L 65-79 1434.96 1544.01 42.28% 57.72% -9.98 1-1
2014-05-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 82-87 1424.98 1635.10 17.86% 82.14% -2.52 1-2
2014-05-27 Seattle Storm W 70-64 1422.46 1474.53 50.41% 49.59% +7.66 2-2
2014-05-30 @ Washington Mystics L 60-68 1430.12 1474.51 36.08% 63.92% -6.43 2-3
2014-05-31 @ Indiana Fever L 66-70 1423.69 1509.19 30.82% 69.18% -3.89 2-4
2014-06-05 San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-87 1419.80 1455.39 52.78% 47.22% -11.54 2-5
2014-06-08 Washington Mystics W 81-64 1408.26 1493.09 45.71% 54.29% +14.12 3-5
2014-06-10 @ Tulsa Shock L 57-72 1422.38 1456.64 37.44% 62.56% -9.15 3-6
2014-06-13 Connecticut Sun L 75-83 1413.23 1430.34 55.42% 44.58% -9.89 3-7
2014-06-15 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-76 1403.34 1440.23 37.08% 62.92% -4.68 3-8
2014-06-18 @ Chicago Sky L 100-105 1398.66 1515.92 27.06% 72.94% -3.82 3-9
2014-06-20 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-85 1394.84 1543.09 23.69% 76.31% -6.85 3-10
2014-06-22 Atlanta Dream W 85-78 1387.99 1549.94 35.07% 64.93% +10.84 4-10
2014-06-27 Chicago Sky L 69-73 1398.83 1489.42 44.89% 55.11% -5.66 4-11
2014-06-29 Connecticut Sun W 67-65 1393.17 1463.09 47.85% 52.15% +4.65 5-11
2014-07-01 Tulsa Shock W 90-74 1397.82 1471.85 47.26% 52.74% +13.31 6-11
2014-07-06 Minnesota Lynx W 87-80 1411.13 1636.85 27.23% 72.77% +12.15 7-11
2014-07-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-80 1423.28 1479.67 34.50% 65.50% -8.14 7-12
2014-07-11 Los Angeles Sparks L 54-68 1415.14 1518.03 43.14% 56.86% -10.19 7-13
2014-07-16 Atlanta Dream W 77-75 1404.95 1570.69 34.58% 65.42% +5.84 8-13
2014-07-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 66-64 1410.79 1542.73 25.43% 74.57% +6.65 9-13
2014-07-24 @ Seattle Storm W 84-80 1417.44 1440.07 39.02% 60.98% +7.70 10-13
2014-07-26 @ Phoenix Mercury L 63-78 1425.14 1649.67 16.68% 83.32% -4.08 10-14
2014-07-29 Washington Mystics W 80-76 1421.06 1501.45 46.35% 53.65% +6.77 11-14
2014-07-31 @ Chicago Sky L 74-87 1427.83 1451.13 38.93% 61.07% -8.85 11-15
2014-08-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 83-76 1418.98 1555.66 24.92% 75.08% +12.53 12-15
2014-08-05 @ Washington Mystics L 46-79 1431.51 1484.82 34.91% 65.09% -12.65 12-16
2014-08-08 Connecticut Sun W 71-66 1418.86 1413.07 58.65% 41.35% +5.83 13-16
2014-08-10 Indiana Fever L 76-90 1424.69 1477.04 50.37% 49.63% -11.89 13-17
2014-08-12 Phoenix Mercury L 64-76 1412.80 1671.16 23.67% 76.33% -5.17 13-18
2014-08-14 @ Indiana Fever L 63-76 1407.63 1488.93 31.34% 68.66% -7.13 13-19
2014-08-16 @ Washington Mystics W 73-61 1400.50 1499.67 29.17% 70.83% +15.48 14-19
2014-08-17 Indiana Fever W 73-61 1415.98 1501.37 45.63% 54.37% +11.88 15-19
2014-05-17 Seattle Storm W 81-64 1502.15 1485.18 60.20% 39.80% +10.35 1-0
2014-05-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 74-69 1512.50 1567.33 34.71% 65.29% +9.21 2-0
2014-05-23 San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-78 1521.71 1462.27 65.89% 34.11% -8.31 2-1
2014-05-30 Tulsa Shock W 100-78 1513.40 1456.59 65.55% 34.45% +10.19 3-1
2014-06-03 Seattle Storm W 87-72 1523.59 1462.46 66.11% 33.89% +8.28 4-1
2014-06-06 @ Tulsa Shock L 78-94 1531.87 1442.79 54.90% 45.10% -13.85 4-2
2014-06-07 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 91-79 1518.02 1466.93 49.44% 50.56% +11.05 5-2
2014-06-10 @ Washington Mystics W 81-66 1529.07 1478.96 49.30% 50.70% +12.39 6-2
2014-06-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 95-96 1541.46 1426.65 58.53% 41.47% -3.69 6-3
2014-06-15 @ Minnesota Lynx W 80-72 1537.77 1649.90 27.65% 72.35% +12.91 7-3
2014-06-18 Minnesota Lynx W 92-79 1550.68 1648.01 43.93% 56.07% +12.75 8-3
2014-06-20 Tulsa Shock W 91-80 1563.43 1469.91 70.15% 29.85% +6.25 9-3
2014-06-27 @ Indiana Fever W 81-76 1569.68 1493.92 52.99% 47.01% +6.63 10-3
2014-06-29 @ Tulsa Shock W 80-77 1576.31 1476.62 56.40% 43.60% +4.77 11-3
2014-07-02 Chicago Sky W 87-69 1581.08 1505.53 67.94% 32.06% +8.58 12-3
2014-07-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 94-89 1589.66 1531.08 50.52% 49.48% +6.98 13-3
2014-07-09 Seattle Storm W 78-58 1596.64 1463.28 74.72% 25.28% +7.13 14-3
2014-07-11 @ Chicago Sky W 72-66 1603.77 1478.35 60.01% 39.99% +6.18 15-3
2014-07-13 San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-61 1609.95 1469.83 75.45% 24.55% +8.35 16-3
2014-07-15 Washington Mystics W 90-78 1618.30 1474.29 75.86% 24.14% +5.27 17-3
2014-07-17 Connecticut Sun W 101-85 1623.57 1439.54 79.83% 20.17% +5.09 18-3
2014-07-22 @ Seattle Storm W 89-71 1628.66 1448.84 67.23% 32.77% +8.77 19-3
2014-07-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 93-73 1637.43 1536.08 56.64% 43.36% +12.24 20-3
2014-07-26 New York Liberty W 78-63 1649.67 1425.14 83.32% 16.68% +4.08 21-3
2014-07-29 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-69 1653.75 1536.48 72.94% 27.06% +7.82 22-3
2014-07-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-75 1661.57 1659.25 42.48% 57.52% -7.58 22-4
2014-08-02 Indiana Fever W 79-69 1653.99 1497.45 77.16% 22.84% +4.56 23-4
2014-08-05 Atlanta Dream W 75-67 1658.55 1543.12 72.73% 27.27% +4.86 24-4
2014-08-07 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-73 1663.41 1437.74 72.77% 27.23% +3.85 25-4
2014-08-09 Minnesota Lynx W 82-80 1667.26 1678.81 56.21% 43.79% +3.90 26-4
2014-08-12 @ New York Liberty W 76-64 1671.16 1412.80 76.33% 23.67% +5.18 27-4
2014-08-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 82-96 1676.34 1506.88 65.91% 34.09% -15.56 27-5
2014-08-16 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-69 1660.78 1535.99 73.78% 26.22% +4.37 28-5
2014-08-17 @ Seattle Storm W 78-65 1665.15 1433.74 73.42% 26.58% +6.05 29-5
2014-05-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 75-79 1461.36 1501.59 36.63% 63.37% -4.63 0-1
2014-05-17 Tulsa Shock W 80-76 1456.73 1468.87 56.13% 43.87% +5.54 1-1
2014-05-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-74 1462.27 1521.71 34.11% 65.89% +8.32 2-1
2014-05-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-83 1470.59 1558.12 30.57% 69.43% -8.85 2-2
2014-05-28 Tulsa Shock W 82-79 1461.74 1461.19 57.92% 42.08% +4.60 3-2
2014-05-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-88 1466.34 1642.84 20.88% 79.12% -5.27 3-3
2014-06-01 Minnesota Lynx L 79-87 1461.07 1648.11 31.86% 68.14% -5.68 3-4
2014-06-05 @ New York Liberty W 87-75 1455.39 1419.80 47.22% 52.78% +11.54 4-4
2014-06-07 Phoenix Mercury L 79-91 1466.93 1518.02 50.56% 49.44% -11.05 4-5
2014-06-13 Seattle Storm L 72-79 1455.88 1463.64 56.75% 43.25% -9.48 4-6
2014-06-14 Los Angeles Sparks W 101-74 1446.40 1547.10 43.45% 56.55% +18.54 5-6
2014-06-19 @ Seattle Storm W 87-82 1464.94 1466.55 41.93% 58.07% +8.19 6-6
2014-06-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 72-69 1473.13 1524.85 35.12% 64.88% +7.10 7-6
2014-06-24 Washington Mystics L 70-81 1480.23 1452.76 61.64% 38.36% -12.90 7-7
2014-06-26 Atlanta Dream L 79-81 1467.33 1539.10 47.58% 52.42% -4.25 7-8
2014-06-29 @ Washington Mystics W 73-65 1463.08 1472.26 40.87% 59.13% +10.55 8-8
2014-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 74-71 1473.63 1458.43 44.30% 55.70% +6.09 9-8
2014-07-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-91 1479.72 1632.98 23.17% 76.83% -3.87 9-9
2014-07-05 @ Indiana Fever W 71-70 1475.85 1495.59 39.41% 60.59% +3.82 10-9
2014-07-09 New York Liberty W 80-66 1479.67 1423.28 65.50% 34.50% +8.15 11-9
2014-07-11 Seattle Storm L 67-88 1487.82 1456.15 62.21% 37.79% -17.99 11-10
2014-07-13 @ Phoenix Mercury L 61-90 1469.83 1609.95 24.55% 75.45% -8.34 11-11
2014-07-17 @ Tulsa Shock L 90-95 1461.49 1437.02 45.62% 54.38% -6.44 11-12
2014-07-22 Tulsa Shock W 95-93 1455.05 1443.46 59.46% 40.54% +3.62 12-12
2014-07-25 @ Minnesota Lynx L 78-88 1458.67 1649.70 19.53% 80.47% -3.90 12-13
2014-07-26 Indiana Fever L 68-75 1454.77 1484.08 53.68% 46.32% -8.96 12-14
2014-07-29 Chicago Sky W 92-74 1445.81 1463.07 55.40% 44.60% +11.94 13-14
2014-08-01 Connecticut Sun L 79-89 1457.75 1415.22 63.67% 36.33% -12.71 13-15
2014-08-03 @ Seattle Storm L 65-71 1445.04 1409.24 47.25% 52.75% -7.30 13-16
2014-08-07 Phoenix Mercury L 73-78 1437.74 1663.41 27.23% 72.77% -3.84 13-17
2014-08-08 @ Tulsa Shock L 62-79 1433.90 1447.26 40.29% 59.71% -10.48 13-18
2014-08-10 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-76 1423.42 1524.27 43.43% 56.57% +8.74 14-18
2014-08-15 Minnesota Lynx W 92-76 1432.16 1661.08 26.87% 73.13% +18.46 15-18
2014-08-17 @ Chicago Sky W 84-72 1450.62 1490.13 36.73% 63.27% +13.83 16-18
2014-05-16 Los Angeles Sparks L 69-80 1495.45 1557.07 49.04% 50.96% -10.27 0-1
2014-05-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 64-81 1485.18 1502.15 39.80% 60.20% -10.35 0-2
2014-05-23 @ Connecticut Sun L 59-71 1474.83 1412.64 51.04% 48.96% -11.16 0-3
2014-05-24 @ Washington Mystics W 73-65 1463.67 1485.37 39.14% 60.86% +10.86 1-3
2014-05-27 @ New York Liberty L 64-70 1474.53 1422.46 49.59% 50.41% -7.66 1-4
2014-05-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 69-80 1466.87 1494.71 38.31% 61.69% -8.02 1-5
2014-06-01 Tulsa Shock W 62-60 1458.85 1446.39 59.58% 40.42% +3.61 2-5
2014-06-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-87 1462.46 1523.59 33.89% 66.11% -8.28 2-6
2014-06-06 Minnesota Lynx W 65-62 1454.18 1653.80 30.31% 69.69% +7.61 3-6
2014-06-10 @ Chicago Sky W 80-76 1461.79 1535.08 32.34% 67.66% +8.54 4-6
2014-06-11 @ Indiana Fever L 68-76 1470.33 1504.22 37.49% 62.51% -6.69 4-7
2014-06-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-72 1463.64 1455.88 43.25% 56.75% +9.48 5-7
2014-06-15 @ Tulsa Shock L 79-85 1473.12 1470.65 42.50% 57.50% -6.57 5-8
2014-06-19 San Antonio Silver Stars L 82-87 1466.55 1464.94 58.07% 41.93% -8.20 5-9
2014-06-22 Washington Mystics W 89-86 1458.35 1457.35 57.98% 42.02% +4.60 6-9
2014-06-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 57-65 1462.95 1517.75 34.71% 65.29% -6.20 6-10
2014-06-27 Minnesota Lynx W 81-71 1456.75 1643.39 31.91% 68.09% +13.59 7-10
2014-06-29 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-74 1470.34 1629.80 22.54% 77.46% -3.18 7-11
2014-07-03 Los Angeles Sparks L 56-70 1467.16 1519.17 50.42% 49.58% -11.91 7-12
2014-07-05 Chicago Sky W 80-73 1455.25 1496.95 51.91% 48.09% +8.03 8-12
2014-07-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 58-78 1463.28 1596.64 25.28% 74.72% -7.13 8-13
2014-07-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-67 1456.15 1487.82 37.79% 62.21% +17.99 9-13
2014-07-13 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-77 1474.14 1636.04 22.30% 77.70% -5.80 9-14
2014-07-15 Connecticut Sun L 63-86 1468.34 1420.04 64.44% 35.56% -19.50 9-15
2014-07-22 Phoenix Mercury L 71-89 1448.84 1628.66 32.77% 67.23% -8.77 9-16
2014-07-24 New York Liberty L 80-84 1440.07 1417.44 60.98% 39.02% -7.70 9-17
2014-07-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 69-77 1432.37 1523.84 44.76% 55.24% -7.99 9-18
2014-07-29 @ Tulsa Shock L 74-80 1424.38 1444.27 39.39% 60.61% -6.09 9-19
2014-07-31 Indiana Fever L 67-76 1418.29 1488.39 47.82% 52.18% -9.05 9-20
2014-08-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 71-65 1409.24 1445.04 52.75% 47.25% +7.30 10-20
2014-08-07 Atlanta Dream W 88-68 1416.54 1538.25 40.51% 59.49% +16.79 11-20
2014-08-10 Tulsa Shock W 74-68 1433.33 1457.74 54.38% 45.62% +7.05 12-20
2014-08-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-77 1440.38 1529.34 30.40% 69.60% -6.64 12-21
2014-08-17 Phoenix Mercury L 65-78 1433.74 1665.15 26.58% 73.42% -6.05 12-22
2014-05-17 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-80 1468.87 1456.73 43.87% 56.13% -5.53 0-1
2014-05-23 Minnesota Lynx L 93-94 1463.34 1632.95 34.07% 65.93% -2.15 0-2
2014-05-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 79-82 1461.19 1461.74 42.08% 57.92% -4.60 0-3
2014-05-30 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-100 1456.59 1513.40 34.45% 65.55% -10.20 0-4
2014-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 60-62 1446.39 1458.85 40.42% 59.58% -3.60 0-5
2014-06-06 Phoenix Mercury W 94-78 1442.79 1531.87 45.10% 54.90% +13.85 1-5
2014-06-10 New York Liberty W 72-57 1456.64 1422.38 62.56% 37.44% +9.15 2-5
2014-06-13 Los Angeles Sparks W 69-67 1465.79 1551.96 45.52% 54.48% +4.86 3-5
2014-06-15 Seattle Storm W 85-79 1470.65 1473.12 57.50% 42.50% +6.57 4-5
2014-06-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-87 1477.22 1517.54 36.62% 63.38% -7.31 4-6
2014-06-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-91 1469.91 1563.43 29.85% 70.15% -6.24 4-7
2014-06-22 @ Chicago Sky W 105-99 1463.67 1508.82 35.98% 64.02% +9.89 5-7
2014-06-25 @ Indiana Fever W 107-102 1473.56 1502.65 38.14% 61.86% +8.73 6-7
2014-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks L 89-92 1482.29 1523.95 51.91% 48.09% -5.67 6-8
2014-06-29 Phoenix Mercury L 77-80 1476.62 1576.31 43.60% 56.40% -4.77 6-9
2014-07-01 @ New York Liberty L 74-90 1471.85 1397.82 52.74% 47.26% -13.31 6-10
2014-07-03 @ Connecticut Sun W 96-83 1458.54 1452.35 43.03% 56.97% +12.96 7-10
2014-07-05 Connecticut Sun L 76-78 1471.50 1439.39 62.27% 37.73% -5.55 7-11
2014-07-08 Indiana Fever L 76-78 1465.95 1491.77 54.18% 45.82% -4.84 7-12
2014-07-10 Minnesota Lynx L 85-91 1461.11 1630.77 34.07% 65.93% -5.27 7-13
2014-07-12 Washington Mystics L 74-91 1455.84 1459.37 57.35% 42.65% -14.92 7-14
2014-07-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 82-93 1440.92 1641.84 18.65% 81.35% -3.90 7-15
2014-07-17 San Antonio Silver Stars W 95-90 1437.02 1461.49 54.38% 45.62% +6.44 8-15
2014-07-22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 93-95 1443.46 1455.05 40.54% 59.46% -3.62 8-16
2014-07-25 @ Washington Mystics L 77-82 1439.84 1486.25 35.81% 64.19% -5.05 8-17
2014-07-27 Chicago Sky W 79-69 1434.79 1472.56 52.47% 47.53% +9.48 9-17
2014-07-29 Seattle Storm W 80-74 1444.27 1424.38 60.61% 39.39% +6.09 10-17
2014-07-31 Atlanta Dream L 75-85 1450.36 1546.87 44.05% 55.95% -8.79 10-18
2014-08-02 Minnesota Lynx L 75-84 1441.57 1666.83 27.28% 72.72% -5.16 10-19
2014-08-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 96-90 1436.41 1530.48 29.78% 70.22% +10.85 11-19
2014-08-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-62 1447.26 1433.90 59.71% 40.29% +10.48 12-19
2014-08-10 @ Seattle Storm L 68-74 1457.74 1433.33 45.62% 54.38% -7.05 12-20
2014-08-15 @ Atlanta Dream L 76-92 1450.69 1522.44 32.53% 67.47% -8.21 12-21
2014-08-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 63-80 1442.48 1642.62 18.72% 81.28% -4.87 12-22
2014-05-16 Minnesota Lynx L 77-89 1477.54 1622.86 37.28% 62.72% -8.15 0-1
2014-05-23 @ Indiana Fever W 79-63 1469.39 1509.32 36.68% 63.32% +15.98 1-1
2014-05-24 Seattle Storm L 65-73 1485.37 1463.67 60.86% 39.14% -10.86 1-2
2014-05-30 New York Liberty W 68-60 1474.51 1430.12 63.92% 36.08% +6.44 2-2
2014-06-01 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-84 1480.95 1566.96 45.54% 54.46% +9.72 3-2
2014-06-05 @ Connecticut Sun W 74-66 1490.67 1420.21 52.23% 47.77% +8.52 4-2
2014-06-06 Indiana Fever L 61-64 1499.19 1513.08 55.88% 44.12% -6.10 4-3
2014-06-08 @ New York Liberty L 64-81 1493.09 1408.26 54.29% 45.71% -14.13 4-4
2014-06-10 Phoenix Mercury L 66-81 1478.96 1529.07 50.70% 49.30% -12.39 4-5
2014-06-13 Chicago Sky W 79-68 1466.57 1526.54 49.28% 50.72% +10.62 5-5
2014-06-15 Atlanta Dream L 67-75 1477.19 1527.46 50.67% 49.33% -9.05 5-6
2014-06-18 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-83 1468.14 1536.51 32.96% 67.04% -6.57 5-7
2014-06-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-75 1461.57 1635.25 21.15% 78.85% -4.22 5-8
2014-06-22 @ Seattle Storm L 86-89 1457.35 1458.35 42.02% 57.98% -4.59 5-9
2014-06-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-70 1452.76 1480.23 38.36% 61.64% +12.90 6-9
2014-06-27 Connecticut Sun W 69-63 1465.66 1469.69 57.28% 42.72% +6.60 7-9
2014-06-29 San Antonio Silver Stars L 65-73 1472.26 1463.08 59.13% 40.87% -10.55 7-10
2014-07-02 Indiana Fever L 77-80 1461.71 1489.70 53.87% 46.13% -5.89 7-11
2014-07-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-86 1455.82 1540.93 30.87% 69.13% -7.02 7-12
2014-07-09 @ Chicago Sky W 72-65 1448.80 1488.92 36.65% 63.35% +10.57 8-12
2014-07-12 @ Tulsa Shock W 91-74 1459.37 1455.84 42.65% 57.35% +14.92 9-12
2014-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-90 1474.29 1618.30 24.14% 75.86% -5.27 9-13
2014-07-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-75 1469.02 1551.42 31.20% 68.80% +8.68 10-13
2014-07-23 Connecticut Sun W 89-75 1477.70 1434.45 63.77% 36.23% +8.55 11-13
2014-07-25 Tulsa Shock W 82-77 1486.25 1439.84 64.19% 35.81% +5.06 12-13
2014-07-27 Atlanta Dream W 77-67 1491.31 1551.98 49.18% 50.82% +10.14 13-13
2014-07-29 @ New York Liberty L 76-80 1501.45 1421.06 53.65% 46.35% -6.77 13-14
2014-08-03 @ Chicago Sky L 65-76 1494.68 1459.99 47.09% 52.91% -9.86 13-15
2014-08-05 New York Liberty W 79-46 1484.82 1431.51 65.09% 34.91% +12.66 14-15
2014-08-08 @ Indiana Fever W 74-61 1497.48 1489.96 43.22% 56.78% +12.91 15-15
2014-08-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 81-89 1510.39 1407.23 56.89% 43.11% -10.15 15-16
2014-08-13 Chicago Sky L 69-72 1500.24 1488.94 59.42% 40.58% -6.49 15-17
2014-08-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 71-67 1493.75 1417.39 53.08% 46.92% +5.92 16-17
2014-08-16 New York Liberty L 61-73 1499.67 1400.50 70.83% 29.17% -15.48 16-18

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2014-08-22 Chicago Sky L 77-80 1510.56 1476.30 62.56% 37.44% -6.84 0-1
2014-08-24 @ Chicago Sky W 92-83 1503.72 1483.13 45.07% 54.93% +10.40 1-1
2014-08-26 Chicago Sky L 80-81 1514.12 1472.74 63.52% 36.48% -4.01 1-2
2014-08-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 80-77 1476.30 1510.56 37.44% 62.56% +6.83 1-0
2014-08-24 Atlanta Dream L 83-92 1483.13 1503.72 54.93% 45.07% -10.39 1-1
2014-08-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 81-80 1472.74 1514.12 36.48% 63.52% +4.00 2-1
2014-08-30 @ Indiana Fever L 70-77 1476.74 1503.15 38.50% 61.50% -6.42 2-2
2014-09-01 Indiana Fever W 86-84 1470.32 1509.58 52.26% 47.74% +4.26 3-2
2014-09-03 @ Indiana Fever W 75-62 1474.58 1505.32 37.91% 62.09% +14.12 4-2
2014-09-07 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62-83 1488.70 1697.66 17.96% 82.04% -5.19 4-3
2014-09-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 68-97 1483.51 1702.85 17.09% 82.91% -5.81 4-4
2014-09-12 Phoenix Mercury L 82-87 1477.70 1708.66 26.64% 73.36% -3.76 4-5
2014-08-21 Washington Mystics W 78-73 1489.49 1484.19 58.59% 41.41% +5.84 1-0
2014-08-23 @ Washington Mystics W 81-76 1495.33 1478.34 44.56% 55.44% +7.82 2-0
2014-08-30 Chicago Sky W 77-70 1503.15 1476.74 61.50% 38.50% +6.43 3-0
2014-09-01 @ Chicago Sky L 84-86 1509.58 1470.32 47.74% 52.26% -4.26 3-1
2014-09-03 Chicago Sky L 62-75 1505.32 1474.58 62.09% 37.91% -14.13 3-2
2014-08-22 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-75 1531.61 1671.20 24.60% 75.40% -2.69 0-1
2014-08-24 Phoenix Mercury L 68-93 1528.92 1673.89 37.33% 62.67% -11.77 0-2
2014-08-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-84 1647.49 1464.45 79.74% 20.26% +2.55 1-0
2014-08-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 94-89 1650.04 1461.89 68.28% 31.72% +4.48 2-0
2014-08-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 71-85 1654.52 1685.67 37.86% 62.14% -8.94 2-1
2014-08-31 Phoenix Mercury W 82-77 1645.58 1694.61 50.85% 49.15% +6.94 3-1
2014-09-02 @ Phoenix Mercury L 78-96 1652.52 1687.67 37.32% 62.68% -9.99 3-2
2014-08-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 75-72 1671.20 1531.61 75.40% 24.60% +2.69 1-0
2014-08-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 93-68 1673.89 1528.92 62.67% 37.33% +11.78 2-0
2014-08-29 Minnesota Lynx W 85-71 1685.67 1654.52 62.14% 37.86% +8.94 3-0
2014-08-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-82 1694.61 1645.58 49.15% 50.85% -6.94 3-1
2014-09-02 Minnesota Lynx W 96-78 1687.67 1652.52 62.68% 37.32% +9.99 4-1
2014-09-07 Chicago Sky W 83-62 1697.66 1488.70 82.04% 17.96% +5.19 5-1
2014-09-09 Chicago Sky W 97-68 1702.85 1483.51 82.91% 17.09% +5.81 6-1
2014-09-12 @ Chicago Sky W 87-82 1708.66 1477.70 73.36% 26.64% +3.76 7-1
2014-08-21 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-88 1464.45 1647.49 20.26% 79.74% -2.56 0-1
2014-08-23 Minnesota Lynx L 89-94 1461.89 1650.04 31.72% 68.28% -4.47 0-2
2014-08-21 @ Indiana Fever L 73-78 1484.19 1489.49 41.41% 58.59% -5.85 0-1
2014-08-23 Indiana Fever L 76-81 1478.34 1495.33 55.44% 44.56% -7.82 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-08-12 22.55% Los Angeles Sparks 1515.52 71 @ Minnesota Lynx 1674.90 63
2 2014-08-03 24.92% New York Liberty 1418.98 83 @ Atlanta Dream 1555.66 76
3 2014-07-23 25.43% New York Liberty 1410.79 66 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1542.73 64
4 2014-08-15 26.87% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1432.16 92 Minnesota Lynx 1661.08 76
5 2014-07-06 27.23% @ New York Liberty 1411.13 87 Minnesota Lynx 1636.85 80
6 2014-06-15 27.65% Phoenix Mercury 1537.77 80 @ Minnesota Lynx 1649.90 72
7 2014-08-16 29.17% New York Liberty 1400.50 73 @ Washington Mystics 1499.67 61
8 2014-07-25 29.40% Chicago Sky 1463.65 79 @ Atlanta Dream 1560.89 75
9 2014-08-05 29.78% Tulsa Shock 1436.41 96 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1530.48 90
10 2014-06-06 30.31% @ Seattle Storm 1454.18 65 Minnesota Lynx 1653.80 62
11 2014-07-17 31.20% Washington Mystics 1469.02 79 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1551.42 75
12 2014-06-27 31.91% @ Seattle Storm 1456.75 81 Minnesota Lynx 1643.39 71
13 2014-07-01 32.27% Indiana Fever 1478.39 77 @ Atlanta Dream 1552.24 70
14 2014-06-10 32.34% Seattle Storm 1461.79 80 @ Chicago Sky 1535.08 76
15 2014-08-13 34.09% @ Atlanta Dream 1506.88 96 Phoenix Mercury 1676.34 82
16 2014-05-23 34.11% San Antonio Silver Stars 1462.27 78 @ Phoenix Mercury 1521.71 74
17 2014-07-16 34.58% @ New York Liberty 1404.95 77 Atlanta Dream 1570.69 75
18 2014-05-18 34.71% Phoenix Mercury 1512.50 74 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1567.33 69
19 2014-06-22 35.07% @ New York Liberty 1387.99 85 Atlanta Dream 1549.94 78
20 2014-06-22 35.12% San Antonio Silver Stars 1473.13 72 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1524.85 69
21 2014-07-15 35.56% Connecticut Sun 1420.04 86 @ Seattle Storm 1468.34 63
22 2014-06-22 35.98% Tulsa Shock 1463.67 105 @ Chicago Sky 1508.82 99
23 2014-08-01 36.33% Connecticut Sun 1415.22 89 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1457.75 79
24 2014-08-26 * 36.48% Chicago Sky 1472.74 81 @ Atlanta Dream 1514.12 80
25 2014-07-09 36.65% Washington Mystics 1448.80 72 @ Chicago Sky 1488.92 65

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-08-17 20.10 @ Connecticut Sun 84 1411.46 40.86% Atlanta Dream 55 1530.65 59.14%
2 2014-07-15 19.50 Connecticut Sun 86 1420.04 35.56% @ Seattle Storm 63 1468.34 64.44%
3 2014-06-07 19.34 @ Atlanta Dream 97 1501.41 50.28% Chicago Sky 59 1554.42 49.72%
4 2014-06-14 18.54 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 101 1446.40 43.45% Los Angeles Sparks 74 1547.10 56.55%
5 2014-08-15 18.46 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 92 1432.16 26.87% Minnesota Lynx 76 1661.08 73.13%
6 2014-07-11 17.99 Seattle Storm 88 1456.15 37.79% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 67 1487.82 62.21%
7 2014-05-16 17.51 New York Liberty 75 1417.45 39.43% @ Connecticut Sun 54 1437.07 60.57%
8 2014-08-07 16.79 @ Seattle Storm 88 1416.54 40.51% Atlanta Dream 68 1538.25 59.49%
9 2014-05-23 15.98 Washington Mystics 79 1469.39 36.68% @ Indiana Fever 63 1509.32 63.32%
10 2014-08-13 15.56 @ Atlanta Dream 96 1506.88 34.09% Phoenix Mercury 82 1676.34 65.91%
11 2014-08-16 15.48 New York Liberty 73 1400.50 29.17% @ Washington Mystics 61 1499.67 70.83%
12 2014-06-17 15.27 @ Connecticut Sun 89 1444.91 48.41% Indiana Fever 67 1510.91 51.59%
13 2014-06-07 14.97 @ Connecticut Sun 88 1411.68 42.49% Indiana Fever 71 1519.19 57.51%
14 2014-07-12 14.92 Washington Mystics 91 1459.37 42.65% @ Tulsa Shock 74 1455.84 57.35%
15 2014-06-06 14.33 Los Angeles Sparks 102 1548.06 39.28% @ Chicago Sky 88 1568.75 60.72%
16 2014-07-13 14.30 Los Angeles Sparks 90 1528.21 55.58% @ Connecticut Sun 64 1434.34 44.42%
17 2014-06-08 14.13 @ New York Liberty 81 1408.26 45.71% Washington Mystics 64 1493.09 54.29%
18 2014-09-03 * 14.13 Chicago Sky 75 1474.58 37.91% @ Indiana Fever 62 1505.32 62.09%
19 2014-06-06 13.85 @ Tulsa Shock 94 1442.79 45.10% Phoenix Mercury 78 1531.87 54.90%
20 2014-08-17 13.83 San Antonio Silver Stars 84 1450.62 36.73% @ Chicago Sky 72 1490.13 63.27%
21 2014-07-12 13.82 Atlanta Dream 93 1554.23 49.76% @ Indiana Fever 74 1500.93 50.24%
22 2014-08-12 13.82 Los Angeles Sparks 71 1515.52 22.55% @ Minnesota Lynx 63 1674.90 77.45%
23 2014-06-27 13.59 @ Seattle Storm 81 1456.75 31.91% Minnesota Lynx 71 1643.39 68.09%
24 2014-07-01 13.31 @ New York Liberty 90 1397.82 47.26% Tulsa Shock 74 1471.85 52.74%
25 2014-08-05 13.03 Chicago Sky 82 1469.84 48.39% @ Connecticut Sun 66 1426.09 51.61%