2013 WNBA Season
204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams
Champion
Minnesota Lynx
2nd Title
Last Title: 2011
Runner-Up
Atlanta Dream
3rd Appearance
Last Appearance: 2011
Biggest Overachiever
Phoenix Mercury
4.29 wins above expected
19 wins · 14.71 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Connecticut Sun
4.36 wins below expected
10 wins · 14.36 expected wins
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky League | 24 | 10 | .706 | - | 79.4 | 73.6 | +5.9 | 20.61 | +3.39 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 7 | 76.9 | 75.4 | +1.5 | 19.63 | -2.63 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 7 | 75.5 | 75.4 | +0.1 | 13.61 | +3.39 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 16 | 18 | .471 | 8 | 70.8 | 70.5 | +0.4 | 19.12 | -3.12 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 11 | 23 | .324 | 13 | 69.6 | 77.0 | -7.4 | 13.16 | -2.16 |
| 6 | Connecticut Sun | 10 | 24 | .294 | 14 | 71.0 | 76.9 | -5.8 | 14.36 | -4.36 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx League | 26 | 8 | .765 | - | 82.9 | 73.5 | +9.4 | 23.55 | +2.45 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 24 | 10 | .706 | 2 | 81.9 | 75.0 | +7.0 | 22.01 | +1.99 |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 7 | 79.7 | 80.3 | -0.6 | 14.71 | +4.29 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 9 | 70.9 | 73.3 | -2.4 | 15.64 | +1.36 |
| 5 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 12 | 22 | .353 | 14 | 72.1 | 77.9 | -5.8 | 14.44 | -2.44 |
| 6 | Tulsa Shock | 11 | 23 | .324 | 15 | 77.0 | 79.2 | -2.2 | 13.17 | -2.17 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1715 | 26 | 23.55 | +2.45 | 87.42% | 11 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 28 | 33 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1645 | 24 | 22.01 | +1.99 | 82.28% | 11 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 32 | |
| Chicago Sky | Eastern | 1641 | 24 | 20.61 | +3.39 | 92.71% | 8 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 31 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1527 | 16 | 19.12 | -3.12 | 16.80% | 7 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 30 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1503 | 17 | 15.64 | +1.36 | 75.21% | 4 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 27 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1502 | 19 | 14.71 | +4.29 | 96.09% | 3 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 27 | |
| Atlanta Dream | Eastern | 1471 | 17 | 19.63 | -2.63 | 21.61% | 7 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 30 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1467 | 17 | 13.61 | +3.39 | 92.32% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 27 | |
| Tulsa Shock | Western | 1423 | 11 | 13.17 | -2.17 | 27.16% | 2 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 25 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1418 | 12 | 14.44 | -2.44 | 24.37% | 3 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 27 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1359 | 10 | 14.36 | -4.36 | 7.69% | 3 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 27 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1329 | 11 | 13.16 | -2.16 | 27.23% | 3 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 25 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Eastern
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-2
(3.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-2
(3.4 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
5-0
(3.4 exp.)
|
4-1
(3.5 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
3-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-3
(3.3 exp.)
|
— |
3-2
(3.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-5
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
2-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | — |
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
4-1
(3.6 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
5-0
(3.7 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-5
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
3-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
2-3
(3.1 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
1-4
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | 0.25% | 0.25% | — | — | 0.49% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.70% | 2.94% | 1.47% | 0.25% | — | 7.35% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.70% | 5.39% | 8.82% | 5.15% | 1.72% | 0.25% | 24.02% |
| 70–79 | 0.25% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.33% | 8.09% | 2.94% | — | 31.37% |
| 80–89 | 0.25% | 1.47% | 5.15% | 8.09% | 6.86% | 3.92% | 0.25% | 25.98% |
| 90–99 | — | 0.25% | 1.72% | 2.94% | 3.92% | 0.49% | 0.25% | 9.56% |
| 100+ | — | — | 0.25% | — | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.49% | 1.23% |
| Total | 0.49% | 7.35% | 24.02% | 31.37% | 25.98% | 9.56% | 1.23% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.65 | 75.65 | +0.00 |
| SD | 11.17 | 11.17 | 14.20 |
| CV | 0.15 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 108 | 108 | +36 |
| Min | 47 | 47 | -36 |
Games Played: 204
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 23.53% |
| 70–79 | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | — | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 14.71% | 14.71% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.88 | 75.38 | +1.50 |
| SD | 10.01 | 11.18 | 14.65 |
| CV | 0.13 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 98 | 97 | +31 |
| Min | 56 | 56 | -29 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 29.41% | 32.35% | 32.35% | — | — | 100% |
Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 79.44 | 73.59 | +5.85 |
| SD | 10.93 | 8.83 | 11.94 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 102 | 88 | +29 |
| Min | 58 | 55 | -21 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 5.88% | 26.47% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 8.82% | — | 8.82% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 26.47% | 38.24% | 26.47% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 71.03 | 76.85 | -5.82 |
| SD | 9.67 | 8.98 | 11.62 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.12 | — |
| Max | 88 | 91 | +22 |
| Min | 52 | 60 | -31 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 11.76% | 38.24% | 32.35% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 70.82 | 70.47 | +0.35 |
| SD | 7.33 | 9.99 | 11.66 |
| CV | 0.10 | 0.14 | — |
| Max | 82 | 94 | +21 |
| Min | 58 | 52 | -22 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 14.71% | — | 38.24% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 100+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 2.94% | 8.82% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 17.65% | 14.71% | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 81.94 | 74.97 | +6.97 |
| SD | 10.23 | 12.27 | 15.82 |
| CV | 0.12 | 0.16 | — |
| Max | 102 | 97 | +36 |
| Min | 57 | 48 | -24 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 70–79 | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 47.06% |
| 90–99 | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 2.94% | 5.88% | 23.53% | 44.12% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 82.88 | 73.53 | +9.35 |
| SD | 8.80 | 10.79 | 14.46 |
| CV | 0.11 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 99 | 96 | +32 |
| Min | 59 | 47 | -30 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | — | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 60–69 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 14.71% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 23.53% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
New York Liberty — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 69.62 | 76.97 | -7.35 |
| SD | 12.36 | 10.12 | 12.21 |
| CV | 0.18 | 0.13 | — |
| Max | 93 | 97 | +10 |
| Min | 47 | 57 | -31 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 60–69 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 70–79 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 11.76% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| Total | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 20.59% | 47.06% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 79.71 | 80.26 | -0.56 |
| SD | 11.11 | 11.65 | 13.94 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 108 | 103 | +21 |
| Min | 55 | 56 | -34 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | 41.18% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 23.53% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 17.65% | 17.65% | 41.18% | 14.71% | — | 100% |
San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 72.12 | 77.88 | -5.76 |
| SD | 10.06 | 11.57 | 15.12 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 97 | 98 | +29 |
| Min | 48 | 52 | -36 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 60–69 | — | — | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | 8.82% | — | 35.29% |
| 80–89 | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 2.94% | 41.18% | 35.29% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 70.88 | 73.26 | -2.38 |
| SD | 10.25 | 10.83 | 13.56 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 96 | 102 | +20 |
| Min | 56 | 57 | -33 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 70–79 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 17.65% |
| 90–99 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| Total | — | 8.82% | 11.76% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 100% |
Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 76.97 | 79.21 | -2.24 |
| SD | 11.98 | 12.12 | 14.05 |
| CV | 0.16 | 0.15 | — |
| Max | 103 | 108 | +33 |
| Min | 56 | 58 | -23 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | <50 | 50–59 | 60–69 | 70–79 | 80–89 | 90–99 | 100+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50–59 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 60–69 | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 70–79 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 80–89 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 32.35% |
| 90–99 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| 100+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 11.76% | 23.53% | 29.41% | 17.65% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 100% |
Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 75.47 | 75.38 | +0.09 |
| SD | 10.76 | 12.93 | 11.55 |
| CV | 0.14 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 97 | 101 | +26 |
| Min | 52 | 52 | -18 |
Games Played: 34
Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.64 | +9.4 |
| Allowed | 0.19 | -8.7 |
| Differential | 0.89 | +9.8 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 14.71 | +4.29 |
| 2 | Chicago Sky | 24 | 20.61 | +3.39 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 17 | 13.61 | +3.39 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 26 | 23.55 | +2.45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 24 | 22.01 | +1.99 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun | 10 | 14.36 | -4.36 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever | 16 | 19.12 | -3.12 |
| 3 | Atlanta Dream | 17 | 19.63 | -2.63 |
| 4 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 12 | 14.44 | -2.44 |
| 5 | Tulsa Shock | 11 | 13.17 | -2.17 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury | 5 | Jun 21 – Jul 2 | 1 in 53 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx | 10 | Jul 7 – Aug 6 | 1 in 27 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 3 | Jun 7 – Jun 16 | 1 in 24 |
| 4 | Tulsa Shock | 3 | Jul 17 – Jul 21 | 1 in 20 |
| 5 | Seattle Storm | 3 | Jun 16 – Jun 21 | 1 in 12 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana Fever | 7 | May 31 – Jun 25 | 1 in 948 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx | 3 | Aug 8 – Aug 16 | 1 in 163 |
| 3 | Atlanta Dream | 4 | Jul 9 – Jul 21 | 1 in 17 |
| 4 | New York Liberty | 7 | Aug 27 – Sep 15 | 1 in 16 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 7 | Aug 16 – Aug 31 | 1 in 13 |
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 45.79% | 29.10% | 17.49% | 5.42% | 1.72% | 0.47% |
| Atlanta Dream | 28.27% | 32.19% | 26.12% | 9.12% | 3.31% | 0.99% |
| Indiana Fever | 23.15% | 29.40% | 30.35% | 11.44% | 4.26% | 1.41% |
| Connecticut Sun | 1.43% | 4.41% | 11.47% | 29.53% | 29.33% | 23.84% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.81% | 2.75% | 8.17% | 24.43% | 31.26% | 32.58% |
| New York Liberty | 0.56% | 2.16% | 6.39% | 20.06% | 30.11% | 40.72% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 63.97% | 31.94% | 3.35% | 0.59% | 0.13% | 0.02% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 34.49% | 54.65% | 8.11% | 2.10% | 0.54% | 0.11% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.76% | 5.69% | 34.25% | 26.80% | 19.86% | 12.64% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.39% | 3.33% | 22.94% | 27.03% | 25.67% | 20.64% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.31% | 3.10% | 20.38% | 24.89% | 26.58% | 24.73% |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.09% | 1.29% | 10.97% | 18.59% | 27.21% | 41.86% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 50.46% | 24.51% | 13.25% | 6.67% | 3.18% | 1.17% | 0.46% | 0.19% | 0.08% | 0.03% | <0.01% | <0.01% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 26.05% | 27.33% | 20.11% | 12.99% | 7.22% | 3.37% | 1.59% | 0.78% | 0.37% | 0.13% | 0.05% | 0.02% |
| Chicago Sky | 11.60% | 20.27% | 22.50% | 18.56% | 12.53% | 6.86% | 3.69% | 1.98% | 1.08% | 0.56% | 0.27% | 0.10% |
| Atlanta Dream | 6.40% | 13.34% | 18.43% | 20.81% | 17.07% | 10.32% | 6.01% | 3.52% | 2.08% | 1.19% | 0.60% | 0.22% |
| Indiana Fever | 4.62% | 10.95% | 16.12% | 19.70% | 18.81% | 12.27% | 7.43% | 4.51% | 2.80% | 1.54% | 0.89% | 0.36% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.35% | 1.29% | 2.95% | 6.05% | 10.86% | 15.69% | 15.39% | 13.50% | 11.44% | 9.70% | 7.43% | 5.37% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.17% | 0.58% | 1.62% | 3.66% | 7.11% | 11.69% | 13.74% | 14.23% | 13.78% | 12.95% | 11.20% | 9.26% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.12% | 0.58% | 1.54% | 3.32% | 6.42% | 10.19% | 12.62% | 13.44% | 13.67% | 13.32% | 13.10% | 11.68% |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.10% | 0.54% | 1.46% | 3.25% | 6.27% | 9.56% | 12.08% | 13.57% | 14.37% | 13.91% | 13.30% | 11.60% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.04% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.99% | 4.17% | 7.12% | 9.98% | 12.30% | 13.84% | 15.66% | 16.48% | 17.29% |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.04% | 0.18% | 0.56% | 1.40% | 3.15% | 6.09% | 8.69% | 11.10% | 13.13% | 15.29% | 18.36% | 22.02% |
| New York Liberty | 0.03% | 0.18% | 0.61% | 1.60% | 3.23% | 5.66% | 8.32% | 10.88% | 13.36% | 15.72% | 18.33% | 22.07% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 45.79% | 29.10% | 17.49% | 5.42% | 2.19% |
| Atlanta Dream | 28.27% | 32.19% | 26.12% | 9.12% | 4.30% |
| Indiana Fever | 23.15% | 29.40% | 30.35% | 11.44% | 5.67% |
| Connecticut Sun | 1.43% | 4.41% | 11.47% | 29.53% | 53.17% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.81% | 2.75% | 8.17% | 24.43% | 63.84% |
| New York Liberty | 0.56% | 2.16% | 6.39% | 20.06% | 70.83% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 63.97% | 31.94% | 3.35% | 0.59% | 0.15% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 34.49% | 54.65% | 8.11% | 2.10% | 0.65% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.76% | 5.69% | 34.25% | 26.80% | 32.50% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.39% | 3.33% | 22.94% | 27.03% | 46.31% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.31% | 3.10% | 20.38% | 24.89% | 51.31% |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.09% | 1.29% | 10.97% | 18.59% | 69.07% |
Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away teamNo Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
- Title Run Odds
- Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone. Subdued: under 2.17 · As Expected: 2.17 to 2.98 · Elevated: 2.98 to 4.07 · High Variance: 4.07 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.Pinpoint: under 1.49 · Close: 1.49 to 2.02 · Off Target: 2.02 to 2.63 · Well Off Target: 2.63 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
- Unexpected Playoff Teams
- Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.Fewer Than Expected: under 1.07 · As Expected: 1.07 to 1.79 · More Than Expected: 1.79 to 2.86 · Far More Than Expected: 2.86 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
- Close Games
- Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
- Strangeness
- How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 99.85% | 88.37% | 60.17% | 44.65% |
| Chicago Sky | 97.81% | 80.31% | 60.65% | 23.86% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 99.35% | 79.64% | 32.87% | 21.08% |
| Indiana Fever | 94.34% | 52.53% | 21.16% | 4.90% |
| Atlanta Dream | 95.70% | 43.17% | 12.78% | 2.17% |
| Seattle Storm | 67.50% | 13.28% | 3.22% | 1.30% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 53.69% | 10.27% | 2.47% | 0.98% |
| Washington Mystics | 36.16% | 11.75% | 3.51% | 0.57% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 48.69% | 5.14% | 0.77% | 0.20% |
| Tulsa Shock | 30.93% | 3.31% | 0.49% | 0.14% |
| Connecticut Sun | 46.83% | 8.18% | 1.32% | 0.12% |
| New York Liberty | 29.17% | 4.07% | 0.57% | 0.03% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 20.3%24.57% | 73.2%14.32% | 40.0%37.08% | 78.4%8.71% | 54.6%11.02% | |
| Chicago Sky | 79.7%24.57% | 92.2%18.59% | 72.2%28.08% | 94.3%12.03% | 82.4%14.54% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 26.8%14.32% | 7.8%18.59% | 18.8%12.47% | 51.3%0.60% | 29.6%0.84% | |
| Indiana Fever | 60.0%37.08% | 27.8%28.08% | 81.2%12.47% | 85.0%7.40% | 64.9%9.31% | |
| New York Liberty | 21.6%8.71% | 5.7%12.03% | 48.7%0.60% | 15.0%7.40% | 23.3%0.43% | |
| Washington Mystics | 45.4%11.02% | 17.6%14.54% | 70.4%0.84% | 35.1%9.31% | 76.7%0.43% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 36.4%3.64% | 78.4%25.42% | 87.9%22.90% | 78.0%33.70% | 87.4%13.70% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 63.6%3.64% | 86.6%25.89% | 93.4%23.54% | 86.9%30.73% | 93.0%16.04% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 21.6%25.42% | 13.4%25.89% | 64.2%0.75% | 49.0%1.33% | 65.6%0.30% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 12.1%22.90% | 6.6%23.54% | 35.8%0.75% | 33.0%1.18% | 49.1%0.32% | |
| Seattle Storm | 22.0%33.70% | 13.1%30.73% | 51.0%1.33% | 67.0%1.18% | 67.3%0.56% | |
| Tulsa Shock | 12.6%13.70% | 7.0%16.04% | 34.4%0.30% | 50.9%0.32% | 32.7%0.56% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 22.1%29.76% | 69.7%1.11% | 40.4%9.81% | 75.8%0.57% | 53.4%1.92% | |
| Chicago Sky | 77.9%29.76% | 90.3%4.83% | 69.9%36.83% | 90.9%2.37% | 80.2%6.51% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 30.3%1.11% | 9.7%4.83% | 20.8%1.95% | 60.0%0.07% | 31.5%0.21% | |
| Indiana Fever | 59.6%9.81% | 30.1%36.83% | 79.2%1.95% | 82.7%0.95% | 63.1%2.99% | |
| New York Liberty | 24.2%0.57% | 9.1%2.37% | 40.0%0.07% | 17.3%0.95% | 27.7%0.11% | |
| Washington Mystics | 46.6%1.92% | 19.8%6.51% | 68.5%0.21% | 36.9%2.99% | 72.3%0.11% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 36.4%69.92% | 73.5%3.26% | 83.8%1.47% | 74.4%3.96% | 81.5%1.03% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 63.6%69.92% | 83.4%5.78% | 91.2%2.99% | 82.6%7.87% | 92.0%1.81% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 26.5%3.26% | 16.6%5.78% | 63.2%0.25% | 47.8%0.83% | 64.7%0.15% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 16.2%1.47% | 8.8%2.99% | 36.8%0.25% | 37.9%0.37% | 55.9%0.06% | |
| Seattle Storm | 25.6%3.96% | 17.4%7.87% | 52.2%0.83% | 62.1%0.37% | 68.7%0.25% | |
| Tulsa Shock | 18.5%1.03% | 8.0%1.81% | 35.3%0.15% | 44.1%0.06% | 31.3%0.25% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 20.2%4.29% | 12.2%7.63% | 40.3%0.31% | 65.7%0.10% | 37.6%0.39% | 52.2%0.07% | ||||||
| Chicago Sky | 44.3%19.96% | 32.9%36.52% | 70.0%1.48% | 80.2%0.48% | 70.0%1.93% | 80.3%0.29% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 11.5%0.42% | 5.6%0.79% | 14.9%0.05% | 42.9%<0.01% | 26.3%0.06% | 33.3%<0.01% | ||||||
| Indiana Fever | 26.5%6.90% | 17.6%12.75% | 53.2%0.53% | 66.9%0.16% | 51.9%0.71% | 69.1%0.11% | ||||||
| New York Liberty | 7.0%0.19% | 2.4%0.34% | 6.7%0.01% | 16.7%<0.01% | 4.0%0.03% | 33.3%<0.01% | ||||||
| Washington Mystics | 18.0%1.13% | 12.8%2.15% | 43.4%0.08% | 40.0%0.02% | 32.4%0.11% | 55.6%0.02% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 79.8%4.29% | 55.7%19.96% | 88.5%0.42% | 73.5%6.90% | 93.0%0.19% | 82.0%1.13% | ||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 87.8%7.63% | 67.1%36.52% | 94.4%0.79% | 82.4%12.75% | 97.6%0.34% | 87.2%2.15% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 59.7%0.31% | 30.0%1.48% | 85.1%0.05% | 46.8%0.53% | 93.3%0.01% | 56.6%0.08% | ||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 34.3%0.10% | 19.8%0.48% | 57.1%<0.01% | 33.1%0.16% | 83.3%<0.01% | 60.0%0.02% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 62.4%0.39% | 30.0%1.93% | 73.7%0.06% | 48.1%0.71% | 96.0%0.03% | 67.6%0.11% | ||||||
| Tulsa Shock | 47.8%0.07% | 19.7%0.29% | 66.7%<0.01% | 30.9%0.11% | 66.7%<0.01% | 44.4%0.02% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 87.22% | 61.37% | 46.04% | Won Finals |
| Atlanta Dream | 55.88% | 13.42% | 2.16% | Eliminated in Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 55.9%100.00% | |||
| Chicago Sky | 75.1%100.00% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 24.9%100.00% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 44.1%100.00% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 79.1%100.00% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 87.2%100.00% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 20.9%100.00% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 12.8%100.00% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 18.5%42.07% | 40.7%13.81% | ||
| Chicago Sky | 81.5%42.07% | 80.8%33.07% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 59.3%13.81% | 58.2%11.05% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 19.2%33.07% | 41.8%11.05% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 33.1%68.95% | 72.9%10.12% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 66.9%68.95% | 83.5%18.27% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 16.5%18.27% | 53.4%2.66% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 27.1%10.12% | 46.6%2.66% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 18.1%4.19% | 12.1%8.10% | 34.9%0.60% | 39.8%0.53% | ||||
| Chicago Sky | 45.0%18.34% | 31.4%37.57% | 69.1%2.69% | 69.6%2.41% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 26.7%4.36% | 19.0%9.02% | 44.2%0.64% | 48.3%0.61% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 18.6%3.32% | 12.2%6.68% | 35.4%0.51% | 38.6%0.44% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 81.9%4.19% | 55.0%18.34% | 73.3%4.36% | 81.4%3.32% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 87.9%8.10% | 68.6%37.57% | 81.0%9.02% | 87.8%6.68% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 65.1%0.60% | 30.9%2.69% | 55.8%0.64% | 64.6%0.51% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 60.2%0.53% | 30.4%2.41% | 51.7%0.61% | 61.4%0.44% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Summary of every regular-season game played this season.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-25 | Tulsa Shock | W 98-81 | 1529.11 | 1441.28 | 71.99% | 28.01% | +12.28 | 1-0 |
| 2013-05-31 | @ Indiana Fever | W 86-77 | 1541.39 | 1608.62 | 30.46% | 69.54% | +22.18 | 2-0 |
| 2013-06-02 | @ Washington Mystics | W 73-63 | 1563.57 | 1411.25 | 60.79% | 39.21% | +13.18 | 3-0 |
| 2013-06-07 | New York Liberty | W 75-56 | 1576.75 | 1478.58 | 73.17% | 26.83% | +12.43 | 4-0 |
| 2013-06-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-76 | 1589.18 | 1466.15 | 56.71% | 43.29% | -18.09 | 4-1 |
| 2013-06-14 | Seattle Storm | W 68-59 | 1571.09 | 1467.67 | 73.76% | 26.24% | +8.37 | 5-1 |
| 2013-06-16 | Chicago Sky | W 88-74 | 1579.46 | 1528.45 | 67.52% | 32.48% | +12.92 | 6-1 |
| 2013-06-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 78-77 | 1592.38 | 1489.90 | 53.78% | 46.22% | +4.91 | 7-1 |
| 2013-06-25 | Indiana Fever | W 76-60 | 1597.29 | 1480.58 | 75.21% | 24.79% | +10.54 | 8-1 |
| 2013-06-28 | Washington Mystics | W 86-75 | 1607.83 | 1398.73 | 83.78% | 16.22% | +5.72 | 9-1 |
| 2013-06-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 93-67 | 1613.55 | 1464.97 | 78.47% | 21.53% | +11.67 | 10-1 |
| 2013-07-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-94 | 1625.22 | 1604.83 | 42.05% | 57.95% | -20.97 | 10-2 |
| 2013-07-14 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-73 | 1604.25 | 1457.59 | 60.01% | 39.99% | -18.04 | 10-3 |
| 2013-07-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-77 | 1586.21 | 1633.95 | 32.89% | 67.11% | -6.99 | 10-4 |
| 2013-07-21 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 63-90 | 1579.22 | 1411.20 | 62.92% | 37.08% | -34.76 | 10-5 |
| 2013-07-24 | Connecticut Sun | W 74-65 | 1544.46 | 1419.80 | 76.06% | 23.94% | +7.64 | 11-5 |
| 2013-08-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 76-82 | 1552.10 | 1445.35 | 54.40% | 45.60% | -14.17 | 11-6 |
| 2013-08-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-80 | 1537.93 | 1553.40 | 37.11% | 62.89% | -14.76 | 11-7 |
| 2013-08-11 | New York Liberty | L 82-88 | 1523.17 | 1395.71 | 76.35% | 23.65% | -19.88 | 11-8 |
| 2013-08-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 86-88 | 1503.29 | 1417.39 | 51.41% | 48.59% | -7.73 | 11-9 |
| 2013-08-16 | Connecticut Sun | W 88-57 | 1495.56 | 1425.12 | 69.93% | 30.07% | +17.80 | 12-9 |
| 2013-08-18 | Washington Mystics | W 76-58 | 1513.36 | 1444.60 | 69.72% | 30.28% | +13.66 | 13-9 |
| 2013-08-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-75 | 1527.02 | 1647.66 | 43.63% | 56.37% | +21.60 | 14-9 |
| 2013-08-23 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-74 | 1548.62 | 1421.59 | 57.27% | 42.73% | -19.25 | 14-10 |
| 2013-08-24 | Chicago Sky | L 56-67 | 1529.37 | 1623.45 | 47.42% | 52.58% | -16.72 | 14-11 |
| 2013-08-28 | Washington Mystics | L 80-85 | 1512.65 | 1440.84 | 70.09% | 29.91% | -16.66 | 14-12 |
| 2013-08-31 | @ Chicago Sky | L 68-85 | 1495.99 | 1640.17 | 21.96% | 78.04% | -9.62 | 14-13 |
| 2013-09-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-82 | 1486.37 | 1647.90 | 37.95% | 62.05% | +20.86 | 15-13 |
| 2013-09-04 | Indiana Fever | W 89-80 | 1507.23 | 1533.77 | 57.09% | 42.91% | +13.68 | 16-13 |
| 2013-09-06 | @ New York Liberty | W 70-57 | 1520.91 | 1366.70 | 61.05% | 38.95% | +14.93 | 17-13 |
| 2013-09-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 71-79 | 1535.84 | 1478.94 | 68.26% | 31.74% | -20.52 | 17-14 |
| 2013-09-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-78 | 1515.32 | 1358.59 | 61.40% | 38.60% | -6.53 | 17-15 |
| 2013-09-13 | @ Chicago Sky | L 82-87 | 1508.79 | 1648.61 | 22.39% | 77.61% | -5.32 | 17-16 |
| 2013-09-15 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 68-97 | 1503.47 | 1386.29 | 55.88% | 44.12% | -31.99 | 17-17 |
| 2013-05-27 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 102-80 | 1486.14 | 1393.20 | 52.42% | 47.58% | +23.73 | 1-0 |
| 2013-05-31 | Connecticut Sun | W 86-75 | 1509.87 | 1553.55 | 54.66% | 45.34% | +15.98 | 2-0 |
| 2013-06-02 | Tulsa Shock | W 92-71 | 1525.85 | 1408.48 | 75.29% | 24.71% | +12.04 | 3-0 |
| 2013-06-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 69-81 | 1537.89 | 1516.45 | 42.19% | 57.81% | -15.54 | 3-1 |
| 2013-06-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 72-70 | 1522.35 | 1531.98 | 59.46% | 40.54% | +6.10 | 4-1 |
| 2013-06-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-88 | 1528.45 | 1579.46 | 32.48% | 67.52% | -12.92 | 4-2 |
| 2013-06-20 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 74-83 | 1515.53 | 1388.08 | 57.33% | 42.67% | -18.28 | 4-3 |
| 2013-06-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 71-61 | 1497.25 | 1501.19 | 38.68% | 61.32% | +20.61 | 5-3 |
| 2013-06-26 | New York Liberty | W 87-74 | 1517.86 | 1492.79 | 64.17% | 35.83% | +13.74 | 6-3 |
| 2013-06-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-82 | 1531.60 | 1576.33 | 54.51% | 45.49% | +16.75 | 7-3 |
| 2013-07-02 | Seattle Storm | L 60-69 | 1548.35 | 1457.16 | 72.38% | 27.62% | -23.08 | 7-4 |
| 2013-07-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 93-64 | 1525.27 | 1474.66 | 46.33% | 53.67% | +30.72 | 8-4 |
| 2013-07-10 | Washington Mystics | W 89-85 | 1555.99 | 1423.48 | 76.87% | 23.13% | +4.92 | 9-4 |
| 2013-07-12 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 83-70 | 1560.91 | 1456.49 | 54.06% | 45.94% | +17.60 | 10-4 |
| 2013-07-18 | @ New York Liberty | W 75-55 | 1578.51 | 1430.53 | 60.20% | 39.80% | +18.93 | 11-4 |
| 2013-07-20 | New York Liberty | W 80-69 | 1597.44 | 1411.61 | 81.88% | 18.12% | +6.39 | 12-4 |
| 2013-07-24 | @ Washington Mystics | L 78-82 | 1603.83 | 1432.11 | 63.42% | 36.58% | -13.49 | 12-5 |
| 2013-08-02 | Washington Mystics | W 85-78 | 1590.34 | 1423.51 | 80.20% | 19.80% | +5.57 | 13-5 |
| 2013-08-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 58-79 | 1595.91 | 1532.40 | 48.18% | 51.82% | -23.47 | 13-6 |
| 2013-08-06 | Indiana Fever | L 58-64 | 1572.44 | 1555.87 | 63.03% | 36.97% | -16.41 | 13-7 |
| 2013-08-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 77-61 | 1556.03 | 1451.81 | 54.03% | 45.97% | +19.54 | 14-7 |
| 2013-08-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 94-86 | 1575.57 | 1678.29 | 46.18% | 53.82% | +16.18 | 15-7 |
| 2013-08-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-80 | 1591.75 | 1638.19 | 33.06% | 66.94% | -7.02 | 15-8 |
| 2013-08-15 | @ Seattle Storm | W 79-66 | 1584.73 | 1460.92 | 56.82% | 43.18% | +16.55 | 16-8 |
| 2013-08-18 | Connecticut Sun | W 89-78 | 1601.28 | 1407.32 | 82.56% | 17.44% | +6.14 | 17-8 |
| 2013-08-20 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-73 | 1607.42 | 1430.95 | 64.05% | 35.95% | +9.36 | 18-8 |
| 2013-08-23 | New York Liberty | W 82-64 | 1616.78 | 1388.51 | 85.22% | 14.78% | +6.67 | 19-8 |
| 2013-08-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 67-56 | 1623.45 | 1529.37 | 52.58% | 47.42% | +16.72 | 20-8 |
| 2013-08-31 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-68 | 1640.17 | 1495.99 | 78.04% | 21.96% | +9.62 | 21-8 |
| 2013-09-06 | Indiana Fever | L 77-82 | 1649.79 | 1520.09 | 76.58% | 23.42% | -18.20 | 21-9 |
| 2013-09-08 | @ Washington Mystics | W 93-79 | 1631.59 | 1442.15 | 65.75% | 34.25% | +13.62 | 22-9 |
| 2013-09-11 | Phoenix Mercury | W 70-68 | 1645.21 | 1507.94 | 77.35% | 22.65% | +3.40 | 23-9 |
| 2013-09-13 | Atlanta Dream | W 87-82 | 1648.61 | 1508.79 | 77.61% | 22.39% | +5.32 | 24-9 |
| 2013-09-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 66-79 | 1653.93 | 1702.69 | 32.76% | 67.24% | -12.55 | 24-10 |
| 2013-05-25 | New York Liberty | W 81-69 | 1542.64 | 1468.50 | 70.37% | 29.63% | +10.91 | 1-0 |
| 2013-05-31 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-86 | 1553.55 | 1509.87 | 45.34% | 54.66% | -15.99 | 1-1 |
| 2013-06-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-90 | 1537.56 | 1568.91 | 35.01% | 64.99% | -14.88 | 1-2 |
| 2013-06-07 | Washington Mystics | L 62-66 | 1522.68 | 1398.07 | 76.05% | 23.95% | -16.17 | 1-3 |
| 2013-06-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 73-61 | 1506.51 | 1535.85 | 35.27% | 64.73% | +23.83 | 2-3 |
| 2013-06-14 | @ New York Liberty | L 68-78 | 1530.34 | 1484.23 | 45.69% | 54.31% | -15.36 | 2-4 |
| 2013-06-16 | Seattle Storm | L 66-78 | 1514.98 | 1459.30 | 68.11% | 31.89% | -25.08 | 2-5 |
| 2013-06-23 | Atlanta Dream | L 77-78 | 1489.90 | 1592.38 | 46.22% | 53.78% | -4.91 | 2-6 |
| 2013-06-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 70-89 | 1484.99 | 1461.68 | 63.93% | 36.07% | -29.62 | 2-7 |
| 2013-07-02 | Tulsa Shock | W 88-69 | 1455.37 | 1393.26 | 68.91% | 31.09% | +14.41 | 3-7 |
| 2013-07-06 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-78 | 1469.78 | 1493.07 | 36.07% | 63.93% | -13.29 | 3-8 |
| 2013-07-12 | Chicago Sky | L 70-83 | 1456.49 | 1560.91 | 45.94% | 54.06% | -17.60 | 3-9 |
| 2013-07-14 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 86-84 | 1438.89 | 1438.75 | 60.80% | 39.20% | +5.89 | 4-9 |
| 2013-07-19 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 58-64 | 1444.78 | 1399.33 | 45.60% | 54.40% | -11.87 | 4-10 |
| 2013-07-20 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 52-60 | 1432.91 | 1401.58 | 43.59% | 56.41% | -13.11 | 4-11 |
| 2013-07-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 65-74 | 1419.80 | 1544.46 | 23.94% | 76.06% | -7.63 | 4-12 |
| 2013-08-01 | Indiana Fever | W 70-64 | 1412.17 | 1547.62 | 41.54% | 58.46% | +15.22 | 5-12 |
| 2013-08-03 | @ New York Liberty | W 88-66 | 1427.39 | 1430.94 | 38.73% | 61.27% | +30.55 | 6-12 |
| 2013-08-06 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 72-74 | 1457.94 | 1599.16 | 40.74% | 59.26% | -6.13 | 6-13 |
| 2013-08-09 | Chicago Sky | L 61-77 | 1451.81 | 1556.03 | 45.97% | 54.03% | -19.54 | 6-14 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-74 | 1432.27 | 1410.79 | 42.20% | 57.80% | -14.88 | 6-15 |
| 2013-08-14 | Atlanta Dream | W 88-86 | 1417.39 | 1503.29 | 48.59% | 51.41% | +7.73 | 7-15 |
| 2013-08-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 57-88 | 1425.12 | 1495.56 | 30.07% | 69.93% | -17.80 | 7-16 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Chicago Sky | L 78-89 | 1407.32 | 1601.28 | 17.44% | 82.56% | -6.15 | 7-17 |
| 2013-08-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-91 | 1401.17 | 1626.05 | 29.81% | 70.19% | -11.86 | 7-18 |
| 2013-08-25 | New York Liberty | L 66-74 | 1389.31 | 1381.85 | 61.80% | 38.20% | -18.58 | 7-19 |
| 2013-08-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-91 | 1370.73 | 1629.21 | 12.72% | 87.28% | -4.88 | 7-20 |
| 2013-08-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-78 | 1365.85 | 1501.34 | 22.83% | 77.17% | -8.74 | 7-21 |
| 2013-08-31 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 68-76 | 1357.11 | 1464.66 | 25.78% | 74.22% | -7.76 | 7-22 |
| 2013-09-06 | Washington Mystics | W 77-70 | 1349.35 | 1457.50 | 45.41% | 54.59% | +15.36 | 8-22 |
| 2013-09-07 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-69 | 1364.71 | 1538.29 | 19.19% | 80.81% | -6.12 | 8-23 |
| 2013-09-11 | Atlanta Dream | W 78-77 | 1358.59 | 1515.32 | 38.60% | 61.40% | +6.52 | 9-23 |
| 2013-09-13 | @ Washington Mystics | L 56-82 | 1365.11 | 1439.82 | 29.56% | 70.44% | -16.02 | 9-24 |
| 2013-09-15 | Indiana Fever | W 82-80 | 1349.09 | 1536.39 | 34.53% | 65.47% | +9.84 | 10-24 |
| 2013-05-24 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 79-64 | 1587.14 | 1526.26 | 47.81% | 52.19% | +21.48 | 1-0 |
| 2013-05-31 | Atlanta Dream | L 77-86 | 1608.62 | 1541.39 | 69.54% | 30.46% | -22.17 | 1-1 |
| 2013-06-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 68-75 | 1586.45 | 1462.60 | 56.82% | 43.18% | -15.98 | 1-2 |
| 2013-06-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 67-82 | 1570.47 | 1357.56 | 84.08% | 15.92% | -34.62 | 1-3 |
| 2013-06-12 | Connecticut Sun | L 61-73 | 1535.85 | 1506.51 | 64.73% | 35.27% | -23.83 | 1-4 |
| 2013-06-16 | @ Washington Mystics | L 60-64 | 1512.02 | 1429.48 | 50.92% | 49.08% | -10.83 | 1-5 |
| 2013-06-22 | Chicago Sky | L 61-71 | 1501.19 | 1497.25 | 61.32% | 38.68% | -20.61 | 1-6 |
| 2013-06-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 60-76 | 1480.58 | 1597.29 | 24.79% | 75.21% | -10.54 | 1-7 |
| 2013-06-28 | Tulsa Shock | W 80-69 | 1470.04 | 1426.58 | 66.56% | 33.44% | +11.79 | 2-7 |
| 2013-06-30 | Seattle Storm | W 71-63 | 1481.83 | 1468.40 | 62.61% | 37.39% | +11.24 | 3-7 |
| 2013-07-06 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-66 | 1493.07 | 1469.78 | 63.93% | 36.07% | +13.28 | 4-7 |
| 2013-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx | L 62-69 | 1506.35 | 1625.80 | 43.80% | 56.20% | -12.32 | 4-8 |
| 2013-07-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 74-53 | 1494.03 | 1457.66 | 44.30% | 55.70% | +27.14 | 5-8 |
| 2013-07-19 | Washington Mystics | W 77-70 | 1521.17 | 1459.90 | 68.80% | 31.20% | +8.77 | 6-8 |
| 2013-07-21 | @ Washington Mystics | W 65-52 | 1529.94 | 1451.13 | 50.39% | 49.61% | +19.02 | 7-8 |
| 2013-07-23 | New York Liberty | L 72-77 | 1548.96 | 1405.22 | 78.00% | 22.00% | -18.54 | 7-9 |
| 2013-07-25 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 71-60 | 1530.42 | 1445.96 | 51.20% | 48.80% | +17.20 | 8-9 |
| 2013-08-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-70 | 1547.62 | 1412.17 | 58.46% | 41.54% | -15.22 | 8-10 |
| 2013-08-03 | Chicago Sky | W 79-58 | 1532.40 | 1595.91 | 51.82% | 48.18% | +23.47 | 9-10 |
| 2013-08-06 | @ Chicago Sky | W 64-58 | 1555.87 | 1572.44 | 36.97% | 63.03% | +16.41 | 10-10 |
| 2013-08-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-74 | 1572.28 | 1605.29 | 56.18% | 43.82% | -18.88 | 10-11 |
| 2013-08-10 | Atlanta Dream | W 80-66 | 1553.40 | 1537.93 | 62.89% | 37.11% | +14.76 | 11-11 |
| 2013-08-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 58-75 | 1568.16 | 1460.10 | 54.58% | 45.42% | -23.92 | 11-12 |
| 2013-08-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 72-94 | 1544.24 | 1645.22 | 26.51% | 73.49% | -13.22 | 11-13 |
| 2013-08-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-77 | 1531.02 | 1444.37 | 51.51% | 48.49% | -14.49 | 11-14 |
| 2013-08-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-63 | 1516.53 | 1456.58 | 68.64% | 31.36% | +13.75 | 12-14 |
| 2013-08-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 77-84 | 1530.28 | 1637.91 | 25.77% | 74.23% | -7.25 | 12-15 |
| 2013-08-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 73-67 | 1523.03 | 1385.54 | 58.74% | 41.26% | +10.74 | 13-15 |
| 2013-09-04 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 80-89 | 1533.77 | 1507.23 | 42.91% | 57.09% | -13.68 | 13-16 |
| 2013-09-06 | @ Chicago Sky | W 82-77 | 1520.09 | 1649.79 | 23.42% | 76.58% | +18.20 | 14-16 |
| 2013-09-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-60 | 1538.29 | 1364.71 | 80.81% | 19.19% | +6.12 | 15-16 |
| 2013-09-10 | Washington Mystics | L 67-69 | 1544.41 | 1428.53 | 75.13% | 24.87% | -11.29 | 15-17 |
| 2013-09-13 | New York Liberty | W 66-63 | 1533.12 | 1343.30 | 82.21% | 17.79% | +3.27 | 16-17 |
| 2013-09-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 80-82 | 1536.39 | 1349.09 | 65.47% | 34.53% | -9.84 | 16-18 |
| 2013-05-26 | Seattle Storm | W 102-69 | 1554.74 | 1506.34 | 67.19% | 32.81% | +20.04 | 1-0 |
| 2013-06-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 78-83 | 1574.78 | 1504.77 | 49.12% | 50.88% | -11.68 | 1-1 |
| 2013-06-08 | Tulsa Shock | W 76-69 | 1563.10 | 1419.64 | 77.97% | 22.03% | +6.20 | 2-1 |
| 2013-06-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-97 | 1569.30 | 1392.17 | 64.14% | 35.86% | -27.28 | 2-2 |
| 2013-06-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-48 | 1542.02 | 1512.47 | 64.76% | 35.24% | +22.48 | 3-2 |
| 2013-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 87-59 | 1564.50 | 1613.92 | 53.84% | 46.16% | +25.97 | 4-2 |
| 2013-06-23 | Washington Mystics | W 79-69 | 1590.47 | 1416.93 | 80.80% | 19.20% | +6.45 | 5-2 |
| 2013-06-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 64-88 | 1596.92 | 1594.63 | 39.53% | 60.47% | -20.59 | 5-3 |
| 2013-06-29 | @ Chicago Sky | L 82-94 | 1576.33 | 1531.60 | 45.49% | 54.51% | -16.75 | 5-4 |
| 2013-07-02 | Minnesota Lynx | W 96-66 | 1559.58 | 1615.21 | 52.95% | 47.05% | +27.40 | 6-4 |
| 2013-07-04 | New York Liberty | W 97-89 | 1586.98 | 1482.51 | 73.88% | 26.12% | +7.85 | 7-4 |
| 2013-07-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 93-66 | 1594.83 | 1453.31 | 77.78% | 22.22% | +12.28 | 8-4 |
| 2013-07-11 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 94-78 | 1607.11 | 1378.85 | 70.59% | 29.41% | +12.50 | 9-4 |
| 2013-07-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 88-76 | 1619.61 | 1465.36 | 61.06% | 38.94% | +14.34 | 10-4 |
| 2013-07-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 77-73 | 1633.95 | 1586.21 | 67.11% | 32.89% | +6.99 | 11-4 |
| 2013-07-18 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-90 | 1640.94 | 1451.02 | 82.22% | 17.78% | -21.41 | 11-5 |
| 2013-07-20 | @ Seattle Storm | W 65-64 | 1619.53 | 1434.01 | 65.24% | 34.76% | +3.70 | 12-5 |
| 2013-07-25 | Seattle Storm | L 66-73 | 1623.23 | 1430.32 | 82.47% | 17.53% | -23.20 | 12-6 |
| 2013-08-02 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 89-96 | 1600.03 | 1428.75 | 63.36% | 36.64% | -17.82 | 12-7 |
| 2013-08-04 | @ Washington Mystics | W 75-57 | 1582.21 | 1417.94 | 62.42% | 37.58% | +16.95 | 13-7 |
| 2013-08-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 74-72 | 1599.16 | 1457.94 | 59.26% | 40.74% | +6.13 | 14-7 |
| 2013-08-08 | @ Indiana Fever | W 74-64 | 1605.29 | 1572.28 | 43.82% | 56.18% | +18.88 | 15-7 |
| 2013-08-10 | @ New York Liberty | W 85-67 | 1624.17 | 1409.73 | 68.92% | 31.08% | +14.02 | 16-7 |
| 2013-08-13 | Chicago Sky | W 80-76 | 1638.19 | 1591.75 | 66.94% | 33.06% | +7.03 | 17-7 |
| 2013-08-16 | Indiana Fever | W 94-72 | 1645.22 | 1544.24 | 73.49% | 26.51% | +13.22 | 18-7 |
| 2013-08-20 | @ Seattle Storm | L 57-77 | 1658.44 | 1458.86 | 67.05% | 32.95% | -31.88 | 18-8 |
| 2013-08-25 | Tulsa Shock | W 90-88 | 1626.56 | 1435.15 | 82.35% | 17.65% | +2.65 | 19-8 |
| 2013-08-27 | Connecticut Sun | W 91-78 | 1629.21 | 1370.73 | 87.28% | 12.72% | +4.88 | 20-8 |
| 2013-08-31 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-67 | 1634.09 | 1458.37 | 63.95% | 36.05% | +13.81 | 21-8 |
| 2013-09-02 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 82-92 | 1647.90 | 1486.37 | 62.05% | 37.95% | -20.85 | 21-9 |
| 2013-09-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-83 | 1627.05 | 1670.96 | 33.38% | 66.62% | -10.65 | 21-10 |
| 2013-09-06 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 74-70 | 1616.40 | 1421.50 | 66.46% | 33.54% | +7.13 | 22-10 |
| 2013-09-12 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-84 | 1623.53 | 1708.14 | 48.78% | 51.22% | +5.45 | 23-10 |
| 2013-09-15 | Phoenix Mercury | W 89-55 | 1628.98 | 1517.20 | 74.68% | 25.32% | +15.69 | 24-10 |
| 2013-06-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 90-74 | 1568.91 | 1537.56 | 64.99% | 35.01% | +14.88 | 1-0 |
| 2013-06-06 | Phoenix Mercury | W 99-79 | 1583.79 | 1364.91 | 84.53% | 15.47% | +7.36 | 2-0 |
| 2013-06-08 | @ Washington Mystics | L 80-85 | 1591.15 | 1414.24 | 64.11% | 35.89% | -15.24 | 2-1 |
| 2013-06-11 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 87-72 | 1575.91 | 1525.89 | 67.40% | 32.60% | +13.42 | 3-1 |
| 2013-06-14 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 83-74 | 1589.33 | 1413.44 | 63.97% | 36.03% | +11.49 | 4-1 |
| 2013-06-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-69 | 1600.82 | 1433.32 | 62.85% | 37.15% | +13.10 | 5-1 |
| 2013-06-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 59-87 | 1613.92 | 1564.50 | 46.16% | 53.84% | -25.97 | 5-2 |
| 2013-06-23 | Tulsa Shock | W 88-79 | 1587.95 | 1433.26 | 79.06% | 20.94% | +6.68 | 6-2 |
| 2013-06-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-64 | 1594.63 | 1596.92 | 60.47% | 39.53% | +20.58 | 7-2 |
| 2013-07-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-96 | 1615.21 | 1559.58 | 47.05% | 52.95% | -27.39 | 7-3 |
| 2013-07-07 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-59 | 1587.82 | 1502.42 | 71.70% | 28.30% | +17.01 | 8-3 |
| 2013-07-09 | Atlanta Dream | W 94-72 | 1604.83 | 1625.22 | 57.95% | 42.05% | +20.97 | 9-3 |
| 2013-07-11 | @ Indiana Fever | W 69-62 | 1625.80 | 1506.35 | 56.20% | 43.80% | +12.31 | 10-3 |
| 2013-07-13 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 86-75 | 1638.11 | 1366.35 | 75.51% | 24.49% | +8.64 | 11-3 |
| 2013-07-19 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 87-71 | 1646.75 | 1413.85 | 71.14% | 28.86% | +12.27 | 12-3 |
| 2013-07-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-77 | 1659.02 | 1472.43 | 65.38% | 34.62% | +8.23 | 13-3 |
| 2013-07-24 | Phoenix Mercury | W 81-69 | 1667.25 | 1464.20 | 83.30% | 16.70% | +6.14 | 14-3 |
| 2013-08-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-63 | 1673.39 | 1429.59 | 86.32% | 13.68% | +6.83 | 15-3 |
| 2013-08-04 | Seattle Storm | W 90-72 | 1680.22 | 1466.22 | 84.16% | 15.84% | +7.14 | 16-3 |
| 2013-08-06 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 93-80 | 1687.36 | 1431.80 | 73.75% | 26.25% | +10.06 | 17-3 |
| 2013-08-08 | Washington Mystics | L 75-79 | 1697.42 | 1391.65 | 90.01% | 9.99% | -19.13 | 17-4 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Chicago Sky | L 86-94 | 1678.29 | 1575.57 | 53.82% | 46.18% | -16.18 | 17-5 |
| 2013-08-16 | Tulsa Shock | L 77-83 | 1662.11 | 1411.89 | 86.74% | 13.26% | -22.59 | 17-6 |
| 2013-08-18 | New York Liberty | W 88-57 | 1639.52 | 1396.65 | 86.25% | 13.75% | +8.14 | 18-6 |
| 2013-08-20 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-88 | 1647.66 | 1527.02 | 56.37% | 43.63% | -21.61 | 18-7 |
| 2013-08-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 91-77 | 1626.05 | 1401.17 | 70.19% | 29.81% | +11.86 | 19-7 |
| 2013-08-24 | Indiana Fever | W 84-77 | 1637.91 | 1530.28 | 74.23% | 25.77% | +7.25 | 20-7 |
| 2013-08-27 | @ New York Liberty | W 73-47 | 1645.16 | 1400.43 | 72.52% | 27.48% | +14.89 | 21-7 |
| 2013-08-31 | Seattle Storm | W 97-74 | 1660.05 | 1510.09 | 78.61% | 21.39% | +10.91 | 22-7 |
| 2013-09-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-74 | 1670.96 | 1627.05 | 66.62% | 33.38% | +10.64 | 23-7 |
| 2013-09-07 | @ Seattle Storm | W 75-60 | 1681.60 | 1499.18 | 64.84% | 35.16% | +14.48 | 24-7 |
| 2013-09-10 | @ Seattle Storm | W 73-60 | 1696.08 | 1484.70 | 68.54% | 31.46% | +12.06 | 25-7 |
| 2013-09-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-85 | 1708.14 | 1623.53 | 51.22% | 48.78% | -5.45 | 25-8 |
| 2013-09-14 | Chicago Sky | W 79-66 | 1702.69 | 1653.93 | 67.24% | 32.76% | +12.56 | 26-8 |
| 2013-05-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-81 | 1468.50 | 1542.64 | 29.63% | 70.37% | -10.91 | 0-1 |
| 2013-05-31 | Tulsa Shock | W 78-76 | 1457.59 | 1413.49 | 66.64% | 33.36% | +5.01 | 1-1 |
| 2013-06-05 | Indiana Fever | W 75-68 | 1462.60 | 1586.45 | 43.18% | 56.82% | +15.98 | 2-1 |
| 2013-06-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 56-75 | 1478.58 | 1576.75 | 26.83% | 73.17% | -12.43 | 2-2 |
| 2013-06-09 | Atlanta Dream | W 76-67 | 1466.15 | 1589.18 | 43.29% | 56.71% | +18.08 | 3-2 |
| 2013-06-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-68 | 1484.23 | 1530.34 | 54.31% | 45.69% | +15.36 | 4-2 |
| 2013-06-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 77-78 | 1499.59 | 1475.72 | 64.01% | 35.99% | -6.80 | 4-3 |
| 2013-06-26 | @ Chicago Sky | L 74-87 | 1492.79 | 1517.86 | 35.83% | 64.17% | -13.73 | 4-4 |
| 2013-06-28 | @ Seattle Storm | W 67-62 | 1479.06 | 1482.97 | 38.68% | 61.32% | +14.57 | 5-4 |
| 2013-07-02 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 87-94 | 1493.63 | 1491.30 | 39.54% | 60.46% | -11.12 | 5-5 |
| 2013-07-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 89-97 | 1482.51 | 1586.98 | 26.12% | 73.88% | -7.85 | 5-6 |
| 2013-07-07 | Chicago Sky | L 64-93 | 1474.66 | 1525.27 | 53.67% | 46.33% | -30.72 | 5-7 |
| 2013-07-09 | Seattle Storm | W 66-57 | 1443.94 | 1471.31 | 56.97% | 43.03% | +13.72 | 6-7 |
| 2013-07-13 | Indiana Fever | L 53-74 | 1457.66 | 1494.03 | 55.70% | 44.30% | -27.13 | 6-8 |
| 2013-07-18 | Chicago Sky | L 55-75 | 1430.53 | 1578.51 | 39.80% | 60.20% | -18.92 | 6-9 |
| 2013-07-20 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-80 | 1411.61 | 1597.44 | 18.12% | 81.88% | -6.39 | 6-10 |
| 2013-07-23 | @ Indiana Fever | W 77-72 | 1405.22 | 1548.96 | 22.00% | 78.00% | +18.54 | 7-10 |
| 2013-07-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 53-65 | 1423.76 | 1414.68 | 40.47% | 59.53% | -14.91 | 7-11 |
| 2013-07-31 | @ Washington Mystics | W 88-78 | 1408.85 | 1445.59 | 34.31% | 65.69% | +22.09 | 8-11 |
| 2013-08-03 | Connecticut Sun | L 66-88 | 1430.94 | 1427.39 | 61.27% | 38.73% | -30.55 | 8-12 |
| 2013-08-06 | Washington Mystics | W 93-88 | 1400.39 | 1400.99 | 60.70% | 39.30% | +9.34 | 9-12 |
| 2013-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-85 | 1409.73 | 1624.17 | 31.08% | 68.92% | -14.02 | 9-13 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 88-82 | 1395.71 | 1523.17 | 23.65% | 76.35% | +19.88 | 10-13 |
| 2013-08-16 | Washington Mystics | L 57-66 | 1415.59 | 1425.66 | 59.39% | 40.61% | -18.94 | 10-14 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 57-88 | 1396.65 | 1639.52 | 13.75% | 86.25% | -8.14 | 10-15 |
| 2013-08-23 | @ Chicago Sky | L 64-82 | 1388.51 | 1616.78 | 14.78% | 85.22% | -6.66 | 10-16 |
| 2013-08-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 74-66 | 1381.85 | 1389.31 | 38.20% | 61.80% | +18.58 | 11-16 |
| 2013-08-27 | Minnesota Lynx | L 47-73 | 1400.43 | 1645.16 | 27.48% | 72.52% | -14.89 | 11-17 |
| 2013-08-30 | Indiana Fever | L 67-73 | 1385.54 | 1523.03 | 41.26% | 58.74% | -10.75 | 11-18 |
| 2013-09-01 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 88-93 | 1374.79 | 1413.41 | 34.06% | 65.94% | -8.09 | 11-19 |
| 2013-09-06 | Atlanta Dream | L 57-70 | 1366.70 | 1520.91 | 38.95% | 61.05% | -14.93 | 11-20 |
| 2013-09-10 | Phoenix Mercury | L 76-80 | 1351.77 | 1499.46 | 39.84% | 60.16% | -8.47 | 11-21 |
| 2013-09-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 63-66 | 1343.30 | 1533.12 | 17.79% | 82.21% | -3.28 | 11-22 |
| 2013-09-15 | @ Washington Mystics | L 52-70 | 1340.02 | 1455.84 | 24.88% | 75.12% | -11.22 | 11-23 |
| 2013-05-27 | Chicago Sky | L 80-102 | 1393.20 | 1486.14 | 47.58% | 52.42% | -23.73 | 0-1 |
| 2013-06-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-75 | 1369.47 | 1486.31 | 24.77% | 75.23% | -4.56 | 0-2 |
| 2013-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-99 | 1364.91 | 1583.79 | 15.47% | 84.53% | -7.35 | 0-3 |
| 2013-06-08 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-67 | 1357.56 | 1570.47 | 15.92% | 84.08% | +34.61 | 1-3 |
| 2013-06-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 97-81 | 1392.17 | 1569.30 | 35.86% | 64.14% | +27.27 | 2-3 |
| 2013-06-16 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 108-103 | 1419.44 | 1401.96 | 41.64% | 58.36% | +13.88 | 3-3 |
| 2013-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | L 69-80 | 1433.32 | 1600.82 | 37.15% | 62.85% | -13.10 | 3-4 |
| 2013-06-21 | Washington Mystics | W 90-82 | 1420.22 | 1429.09 | 59.56% | 40.44% | +12.16 | 4-4 |
| 2013-06-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-77 | 1432.38 | 1482.53 | 32.59% | 67.41% | +17.55 | 5-4 |
| 2013-06-27 | @ Washington Mystics | W 101-97 | 1449.93 | 1410.48 | 44.74% | 55.26% | +11.75 | 6-4 |
| 2013-06-29 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 89-70 | 1461.68 | 1484.99 | 36.07% | 63.93% | +29.62 | 7-4 |
| 2013-07-02 | New York Liberty | W 94-87 | 1491.30 | 1493.63 | 60.46% | 39.54% | +11.12 | 8-4 |
| 2013-07-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 59-91 | 1502.42 | 1587.82 | 28.30% | 71.70% | -17.01 | 8-5 |
| 2013-07-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 80-88 | 1485.41 | 1441.03 | 66.68% | 33.32% | -20.05 | 8-6 |
| 2013-07-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-88 | 1465.36 | 1619.61 | 38.94% | 61.06% | -14.34 | 8-7 |
| 2013-07-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-84 | 1451.02 | 1640.94 | 17.78% | 82.22% | +21.41 | 9-7 |
| 2013-07-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-82 | 1472.43 | 1659.02 | 34.62% | 65.38% | -8.23 | 9-8 |
| 2013-07-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 69-81 | 1464.20 | 1667.25 | 16.70% | 83.30% | -6.15 | 9-9 |
| 2013-08-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 79-88 | 1458.05 | 1453.51 | 39.84% | 60.16% | -12.70 | 9-10 |
| 2013-08-03 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-76 | 1445.35 | 1552.10 | 45.60% | 54.40% | +14.16 | 10-10 |
| 2013-08-06 | Seattle Storm | L 65-80 | 1459.51 | 1459.07 | 60.84% | 39.16% | -25.05 | 10-11 |
| 2013-08-09 | Tulsa Shock | W 70-67 | 1434.46 | 1437.53 | 60.36% | 39.64% | +7.30 | 11-11 |
| 2013-08-11 | Tulsa Shock | W 77-56 | 1441.76 | 1430.23 | 62.35% | 37.65% | +18.34 | 12-11 |
| 2013-08-14 | Indiana Fever | W 75-58 | 1460.10 | 1568.16 | 45.42% | 54.58% | +23.92 | 13-11 |
| 2013-08-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 82-88 | 1484.02 | 1444.94 | 44.69% | 55.31% | -11.64 | 13-12 |
| 2013-08-20 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 89-86 | 1472.38 | 1434.48 | 44.52% | 55.48% | +10.22 | 14-12 |
| 2013-08-23 | Seattle Storm | L 73-81 | 1482.60 | 1490.74 | 59.66% | 40.34% | -17.94 | 14-13 |
| 2013-08-31 | Connecticut Sun | W 76-68 | 1464.66 | 1357.11 | 74.22% | 25.78% | +7.75 | 15-13 |
| 2013-09-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-80 | 1472.41 | 1444.56 | 64.53% | 35.47% | +6.53 | 16-13 |
| 2013-09-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 79-71 | 1478.94 | 1535.84 | 31.74% | 68.26% | +20.52 | 17-13 |
| 2013-09-10 | @ New York Liberty | W 80-76 | 1499.46 | 1351.77 | 60.16% | 39.84% | +8.48 | 18-13 |
| 2013-09-11 | @ Chicago Sky | L 68-70 | 1507.94 | 1645.21 | 22.65% | 77.35% | -3.41 | 18-14 |
| 2013-09-13 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 82-61 | 1504.53 | 1398.96 | 74.00% | 26.00% | +12.67 | 19-14 |
| 2013-09-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 55-89 | 1517.20 | 1628.98 | 25.32% | 74.68% | -15.70 | 19-15 |
| 2013-05-24 | Indiana Fever | L 64-79 | 1526.26 | 1587.14 | 52.19% | 47.81% | -21.49 | 0-1 |
| 2013-06-01 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-78 | 1504.77 | 1574.78 | 50.88% | 49.12% | +11.68 | 1-1 |
| 2013-06-07 | Chicago Sky | W 81-69 | 1516.45 | 1537.89 | 57.81% | 42.19% | +15.53 | 2-1 |
| 2013-06-09 | @ Chicago Sky | L 70-72 | 1531.98 | 1522.35 | 40.54% | 59.46% | -6.09 | 2-2 |
| 2013-06-11 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-87 | 1525.89 | 1575.91 | 32.60% | 67.40% | -13.42 | 2-3 |
| 2013-06-15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 48-84 | 1512.47 | 1542.02 | 35.24% | 64.76% | -22.48 | 2-4 |
| 2013-06-21 | Seattle Storm | L 86-91 | 1489.99 | 1495.60 | 60.01% | 39.99% | -14.27 | 2-5 |
| 2013-06-23 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-77 | 1475.72 | 1499.59 | 35.99% | 64.01% | +6.81 | 3-5 |
| 2013-06-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 77-83 | 1482.53 | 1432.38 | 67.41% | 32.59% | -17.56 | 3-6 |
| 2013-06-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 67-93 | 1464.97 | 1613.55 | 21.53% | 78.47% | -11.66 | 3-7 |
| 2013-07-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-93 | 1453.31 | 1594.83 | 22.22% | 77.78% | -12.28 | 3-8 |
| 2013-07-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 88-80 | 1441.03 | 1485.41 | 33.32% | 66.68% | +20.05 | 4-8 |
| 2013-07-12 | Washington Mystics | L 73-83 | 1461.08 | 1418.56 | 66.44% | 33.56% | -22.33 | 4-9 |
| 2013-07-14 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 84-86 | 1438.75 | 1438.89 | 39.20% | 60.80% | -5.90 | 4-10 |
| 2013-07-16 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-86 | 1432.85 | 1440.89 | 38.12% | 61.88% | -19.00 | 4-11 |
| 2013-07-19 | Minnesota Lynx | L 71-87 | 1413.85 | 1646.75 | 28.86% | 71.14% | -12.27 | 4-12 |
| 2013-07-20 | Connecticut Sun | W 60-52 | 1401.58 | 1432.91 | 56.41% | 43.59% | +13.10 | 5-12 |
| 2013-07-25 | New York Liberty | W 65-53 | 1414.68 | 1423.76 | 59.53% | 40.47% | +14.91 | 6-12 |
| 2013-08-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 63-85 | 1429.59 | 1673.39 | 13.68% | 86.32% | -6.83 | 6-13 |
| 2013-08-04 | Tulsa Shock | W 69-65 | 1422.76 | 1446.57 | 57.47% | 42.53% | +9.04 | 7-13 |
| 2013-08-06 | Minnesota Lynx | L 80-93 | 1431.80 | 1687.36 | 26.25% | 73.75% | -10.06 | 7-14 |
| 2013-08-09 | @ Seattle Storm | W 77-56 | 1421.74 | 1484.12 | 31.06% | 68.94% | +33.59 | 8-14 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-69 | 1455.33 | 1450.54 | 39.87% | 60.13% | -10.39 | 8-15 |
| 2013-08-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 88-82 | 1444.94 | 1484.02 | 55.31% | 44.69% | +11.64 | 9-15 |
| 2013-08-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 63-80 | 1456.58 | 1516.53 | 31.36% | 68.64% | -13.75 | 9-16 |
| 2013-08-23 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 67-73 | 1442.83 | 1424.27 | 41.79% | 58.21% | -10.88 | 9-17 |
| 2013-08-25 | Seattle Storm | W 70-64 | 1431.95 | 1508.67 | 49.91% | 50.09% | +13.04 | 10-17 |
| 2013-08-27 | Seattle Storm | L 71-72 | 1444.99 | 1495.63 | 53.66% | 46.34% | -5.70 | 10-18 |
| 2013-08-30 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 74-65 | 1439.29 | 1432.49 | 40.15% | 59.85% | +19.08 | 11-18 |
| 2013-08-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-80 | 1458.37 | 1634.09 | 36.05% | 63.95% | -13.81 | 11-19 |
| 2013-09-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-83 | 1444.56 | 1472.41 | 35.47% | 64.53% | -6.53 | 11-20 |
| 2013-09-08 | Tulsa Shock | L 65-98 | 1438.03 | 1414.37 | 63.98% | 36.02% | -39.07 | 11-21 |
| 2013-09-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 61-82 | 1398.96 | 1504.53 | 26.00% | 74.00% | -12.67 | 11-22 |
| 2013-09-15 | Atlanta Dream | W 97-68 | 1386.29 | 1503.47 | 44.12% | 55.88% | +31.99 | 12-22 |
| 2013-05-26 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-102 | 1506.34 | 1554.74 | 32.81% | 67.19% | -20.03 | 0-1 |
| 2013-06-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 75-72 | 1486.31 | 1369.47 | 75.23% | 24.77% | +4.56 | 1-1 |
| 2013-06-07 | Tulsa Shock | L 58-67 | 1490.87 | 1396.44 | 72.75% | 27.25% | -23.20 | 1-2 |
| 2013-06-14 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 59-68 | 1467.67 | 1571.09 | 26.24% | 73.76% | -8.37 | 1-3 |
| 2013-06-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 78-66 | 1459.30 | 1514.98 | 31.89% | 68.11% | +25.08 | 2-3 |
| 2013-06-18 | Washington Mystics | W 96-86 | 1484.38 | 1440.31 | 66.64% | 33.36% | +11.22 | 3-3 |
| 2013-06-21 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 91-86 | 1495.60 | 1489.99 | 39.99% | 60.01% | +14.26 | 4-3 |
| 2013-06-22 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 70-92 | 1509.86 | 1406.37 | 53.93% | 46.07% | -26.89 | 4-4 |
| 2013-06-28 | New York Liberty | L 62-67 | 1482.97 | 1479.06 | 61.32% | 38.68% | -14.57 | 4-5 |
| 2013-06-30 | @ Indiana Fever | L 63-71 | 1468.40 | 1481.83 | 37.39% | 62.61% | -11.24 | 4-6 |
| 2013-07-02 | @ Chicago Sky | W 69-60 | 1457.16 | 1548.35 | 27.62% | 72.38% | +23.08 | 5-6 |
| 2013-07-06 | @ Washington Mystics | L 59-62 | 1480.24 | 1414.55 | 48.50% | 51.50% | -8.93 | 5-7 |
| 2013-07-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 57-66 | 1471.31 | 1443.94 | 43.03% | 56.97% | -13.72 | 5-8 |
| 2013-07-14 | Atlanta Dream | W 73-65 | 1457.59 | 1604.25 | 39.99% | 60.01% | +18.04 | 6-8 |
| 2013-07-17 | Tulsa Shock | L 59-86 | 1475.63 | 1357.71 | 75.34% | 24.66% | -41.62 | 6-9 |
| 2013-07-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 64-65 | 1434.01 | 1619.53 | 34.76% | 65.24% | -3.69 | 6-10 |
| 2013-07-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 73-66 | 1430.32 | 1623.23 | 17.53% | 82.47% | +23.19 | 7-10 |
| 2013-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 88-79 | 1453.51 | 1458.05 | 60.16% | 39.84% | +12.71 | 8-10 |
| 2013-08-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-90 | 1466.22 | 1680.22 | 15.84% | 84.16% | -7.15 | 8-11 |
| 2013-08-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-65 | 1459.07 | 1459.51 | 39.16% | 60.84% | +25.05 | 9-11 |
| 2013-08-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 56-77 | 1484.12 | 1421.74 | 68.94% | 31.06% | -33.58 | 9-12 |
| 2013-08-11 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 69-63 | 1450.54 | 1455.33 | 60.13% | 39.87% | +10.38 | 10-12 |
| 2013-08-15 | Chicago Sky | L 66-79 | 1460.92 | 1584.73 | 43.18% | 56.82% | -16.55 | 10-13 |
| 2013-08-17 | Indiana Fever | W 77-70 | 1444.37 | 1531.02 | 48.49% | 51.51% | +14.49 | 11-13 |
| 2013-08-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-57 | 1458.86 | 1658.44 | 32.95% | 67.05% | +31.88 | 12-13 |
| 2013-08-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 81-73 | 1490.74 | 1482.60 | 40.34% | 59.66% | +17.93 | 13-13 |
| 2013-08-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 64-70 | 1508.67 | 1431.95 | 50.09% | 49.91% | -13.04 | 13-14 |
| 2013-08-27 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 72-71 | 1495.63 | 1444.99 | 46.34% | 53.66% | +5.71 | 14-14 |
| 2013-08-29 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-65 | 1501.34 | 1365.85 | 77.17% | 22.83% | +8.75 | 15-14 |
| 2013-08-31 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-97 | 1510.09 | 1660.05 | 21.39% | 78.61% | -10.91 | 15-15 |
| 2013-09-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 60-75 | 1499.18 | 1681.60 | 35.16% | 64.84% | -14.48 | 15-16 |
| 2013-09-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 60-73 | 1484.70 | 1696.08 | 31.46% | 68.54% | -12.05 | 15-17 |
| 2013-09-12 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 76-67 | 1472.65 | 1453.44 | 41.88% | 58.12% | +18.53 | 16-17 |
| 2013-09-14 | Tulsa Shock | W 85-73 | 1491.18 | 1434.91 | 68.18% | 31.82% | +11.72 | 17-17 |
| 2013-05-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-98 | 1441.28 | 1529.11 | 28.01% | 71.99% | -12.28 | 0-1 |
| 2013-05-27 | Washington Mystics | L 90-95 | 1429.00 | 1395.75 | 65.24% | 34.76% | -15.51 | 0-2 |
| 2013-05-31 | @ New York Liberty | L 76-78 | 1413.49 | 1457.59 | 33.36% | 66.64% | -5.01 | 0-3 |
| 2013-06-02 | @ Chicago Sky | L 71-92 | 1408.48 | 1525.85 | 24.71% | 75.29% | -12.04 | 0-4 |
| 2013-06-07 | @ Seattle Storm | W 67-58 | 1396.44 | 1490.87 | 27.25% | 72.75% | +23.20 | 1-4 |
| 2013-06-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-76 | 1419.64 | 1563.10 | 22.03% | 77.97% | -6.20 | 1-5 |
| 2013-06-14 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-83 | 1413.44 | 1589.33 | 36.03% | 63.97% | -11.48 | 1-6 |
| 2013-06-16 | Phoenix Mercury | L 103-108 | 1401.96 | 1419.44 | 58.36% | 41.64% | -13.88 | 1-7 |
| 2013-06-20 | Chicago Sky | W 83-74 | 1388.08 | 1515.53 | 42.67% | 57.33% | +18.29 | 2-7 |
| 2013-06-22 | Seattle Storm | W 92-70 | 1406.37 | 1509.86 | 46.07% | 53.93% | +26.89 | 3-7 |
| 2013-06-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-88 | 1433.26 | 1587.95 | 20.94% | 79.06% | -6.68 | 3-8 |
| 2013-06-28 | @ Indiana Fever | L 69-80 | 1426.58 | 1470.04 | 33.44% | 66.56% | -11.79 | 3-9 |
| 2013-06-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 61-84 | 1414.79 | 1393.01 | 42.24% | 57.76% | -21.53 | 3-10 |
| 2013-07-02 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-88 | 1393.26 | 1455.37 | 31.09% | 68.91% | -14.41 | 3-11 |
| 2013-07-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 78-94 | 1378.85 | 1607.11 | 29.41% | 70.59% | -12.50 | 3-12 |
| 2013-07-13 | Minnesota Lynx | L 75-86 | 1366.35 | 1638.11 | 24.49% | 75.51% | -8.64 | 3-13 |
| 2013-07-17 | @ Seattle Storm | W 86-59 | 1357.71 | 1475.63 | 24.66% | 75.34% | +41.62 | 4-13 |
| 2013-07-19 | Connecticut Sun | W 64-58 | 1399.33 | 1444.78 | 54.40% | 45.60% | +11.87 | 5-13 |
| 2013-07-21 | Atlanta Dream | W 90-63 | 1411.20 | 1579.22 | 37.08% | 62.92% | +34.76 | 6-13 |
| 2013-07-25 | Indiana Fever | L 60-71 | 1445.96 | 1530.42 | 48.80% | 51.20% | -17.21 | 6-14 |
| 2013-08-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 96-89 | 1428.75 | 1600.03 | 36.64% | 63.36% | +17.82 | 7-14 |
| 2013-08-04 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-69 | 1446.57 | 1422.76 | 42.53% | 57.47% | -9.04 | 7-15 |
| 2013-08-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 67-70 | 1437.53 | 1434.46 | 39.64% | 60.36% | -7.30 | 7-16 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 56-77 | 1430.23 | 1441.76 | 37.65% | 62.35% | -18.34 | 7-17 |
| 2013-08-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 83-77 | 1411.89 | 1662.11 | 13.26% | 86.74% | +22.59 | 8-17 |
| 2013-08-20 | Phoenix Mercury | L 86-89 | 1434.48 | 1472.38 | 55.48% | 44.52% | -10.21 | 8-18 |
| 2013-08-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-67 | 1424.27 | 1442.83 | 58.21% | 41.79% | +10.88 | 9-18 |
| 2013-08-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 88-90 | 1435.15 | 1626.56 | 17.65% | 82.35% | -2.66 | 9-19 |
| 2013-08-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-74 | 1432.49 | 1439.29 | 59.85% | 40.15% | -19.08 | 9-20 |
| 2013-09-01 | New York Liberty | W 93-88 | 1413.41 | 1374.79 | 65.94% | 34.06% | +8.09 | 10-20 |
| 2013-09-06 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-74 | 1421.50 | 1616.40 | 33.54% | 66.46% | -7.13 | 10-21 |
| 2013-09-08 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 98-65 | 1414.37 | 1438.03 | 36.02% | 63.98% | +39.07 | 11-21 |
| 2013-09-12 | Seattle Storm | L 67-76 | 1453.44 | 1472.65 | 58.12% | 41.88% | -18.53 | 11-22 |
| 2013-09-14 | @ Seattle Storm | L 73-85 | 1434.91 | 1491.18 | 31.82% | 68.18% | -11.72 | 11-23 |
| 2013-05-27 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 95-90 | 1395.75 | 1429.00 | 34.76% | 65.24% | +15.50 | 1-0 |
| 2013-06-02 | Atlanta Dream | L 63-73 | 1411.25 | 1563.57 | 39.21% | 60.79% | -13.18 | 1-1 |
| 2013-06-07 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 66-62 | 1398.07 | 1522.68 | 23.95% | 76.05% | +16.17 | 2-1 |
| 2013-06-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-80 | 1414.24 | 1591.15 | 35.89% | 64.11% | +15.24 | 3-1 |
| 2013-06-16 | Indiana Fever | W 64-60 | 1429.48 | 1512.02 | 49.08% | 50.92% | +10.83 | 4-1 |
| 2013-06-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 86-96 | 1440.31 | 1484.38 | 33.36% | 66.64% | -11.22 | 4-2 |
| 2013-06-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 82-90 | 1429.09 | 1420.22 | 40.44% | 59.56% | -12.16 | 4-3 |
| 2013-06-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-79 | 1416.93 | 1590.47 | 19.20% | 80.80% | -6.45 | 4-4 |
| 2013-06-27 | Phoenix Mercury | L 97-101 | 1410.48 | 1449.93 | 55.26% | 44.74% | -11.75 | 4-5 |
| 2013-06-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-86 | 1398.73 | 1607.83 | 16.22% | 83.78% | -5.72 | 4-6 |
| 2013-06-30 | Tulsa Shock | W 84-61 | 1393.01 | 1414.79 | 57.76% | 42.24% | +21.54 | 5-6 |
| 2013-07-06 | Seattle Storm | W 62-59 | 1414.55 | 1480.24 | 51.50% | 48.50% | +8.93 | 6-6 |
| 2013-07-10 | @ Chicago Sky | L 85-89 | 1423.48 | 1555.99 | 23.13% | 76.87% | -4.92 | 6-7 |
| 2013-07-12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-73 | 1418.56 | 1461.08 | 33.56% | 66.44% | +22.33 | 7-7 |
| 2013-07-16 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 86-64 | 1440.89 | 1432.85 | 61.88% | 38.12% | +19.01 | 8-7 |
| 2013-07-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-77 | 1459.90 | 1521.17 | 31.20% | 68.80% | -8.77 | 8-8 |
| 2013-07-21 | Indiana Fever | L 52-65 | 1451.13 | 1529.94 | 49.61% | 50.39% | -19.02 | 8-9 |
| 2013-07-24 | Chicago Sky | W 82-78 | 1432.11 | 1603.83 | 36.58% | 63.42% | +13.48 | 9-9 |
| 2013-07-31 | New York Liberty | L 78-88 | 1445.59 | 1408.85 | 65.69% | 34.31% | -22.08 | 9-10 |
| 2013-08-02 | @ Chicago Sky | L 78-85 | 1423.51 | 1590.34 | 19.80% | 80.20% | -5.57 | 9-11 |
| 2013-08-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 57-75 | 1417.94 | 1582.21 | 37.58% | 62.42% | -16.95 | 9-12 |
| 2013-08-06 | @ New York Liberty | L 88-93 | 1400.99 | 1400.39 | 39.30% | 60.70% | -9.34 | 9-13 |
| 2013-08-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 79-75 | 1391.65 | 1697.42 | 9.99% | 90.01% | +19.14 | 10-13 |
| 2013-08-11 | Connecticut Sun | W 74-63 | 1410.79 | 1432.27 | 57.80% | 42.20% | +14.87 | 11-13 |
| 2013-08-16 | @ New York Liberty | W 66-57 | 1425.66 | 1415.59 | 40.61% | 59.39% | +18.94 | 12-13 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 58-76 | 1444.60 | 1513.36 | 30.28% | 69.72% | -13.65 | 12-14 |
| 2013-08-20 | Chicago Sky | L 73-79 | 1430.95 | 1607.42 | 35.95% | 64.05% | -9.36 | 12-15 |
| 2013-08-23 | Atlanta Dream | W 74-64 | 1421.59 | 1548.62 | 42.73% | 57.27% | +19.25 | 13-15 |
| 2013-08-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 85-80 | 1440.84 | 1512.65 | 29.91% | 70.09% | +16.66 | 14-15 |
| 2013-09-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-77 | 1457.50 | 1349.35 | 54.59% | 45.41% | -15.35 | 14-16 |
| 2013-09-08 | Chicago Sky | L 79-93 | 1442.15 | 1631.59 | 34.25% | 65.75% | -13.62 | 14-17 |
| 2013-09-10 | @ Indiana Fever | W 69-67 | 1428.53 | 1544.41 | 24.87% | 75.13% | +11.29 | 15-17 |
| 2013-09-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 82-56 | 1439.82 | 1365.11 | 70.44% | 29.56% | +16.02 | 16-17 |
| 2013-09-15 | New York Liberty | W 70-52 | 1455.84 | 1340.02 | 75.12% | 24.88% | +11.22 | 17-17 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-09-19 | Washington Mystics | L 56-71 | 1471.48 | 1467.06 | 61.39% | 38.61% | -25.27 | 0-1 |
| 2013-09-21 | @ Washington Mystics | W 63-45 | 1446.21 | 1492.34 | 33.10% | 66.90% | +30.17 | 1-1 |
| 2013-09-23 | Washington Mystics | W 80-72 | 1476.38 | 1462.16 | 62.72% | 37.28% | +11.21 | 2-1 |
| 2013-09-26 | Indiana Fever | W 84-79 | 1487.59 | 1578.88 | 47.82% | 52.18% | +12.40 | 3-1 |
| 2013-09-29 | @ Indiana Fever | W 67-53 | 1499.99 | 1566.48 | 30.56% | 69.44% | +27.62 | 4-1 |
| 2013-10-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 59-84 | 1527.61 | 1744.36 | 15.63% | 84.37% | -8.31 | 4-2 |
| 2013-10-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 63-88 | 1519.30 | 1752.67 | 14.41% | 85.59% | -7.65 | 4-3 |
| 2013-10-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-86 | 1511.65 | 1760.33 | 27.03% | 72.97% | -8.62 | 4-4 |
| 2013-09-20 | Indiana Fever | L 72-85 | 1641.38 | 1526.55 | 75.01% | 24.99% | -28.75 | 0-1 |
| 2013-09-22 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-79 | 1612.63 | 1555.30 | 47.30% | 52.70% | -23.58 | 0-2 |
| 2013-09-20 | @ Chicago Sky | W 85-72 | 1526.55 | 1641.38 | 24.99% | 75.01% | +28.75 | 1-0 |
| 2013-09-22 | Chicago Sky | W 79-57 | 1555.30 | 1612.63 | 52.70% | 47.30% | +23.58 | 2-0 |
| 2013-09-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 79-84 | 1578.88 | 1487.59 | 52.18% | 47.82% | -12.40 | 2-1 |
| 2013-09-29 | Atlanta Dream | L 53-67 | 1566.48 | 1499.99 | 69.44% | 30.56% | -27.62 | 2-2 |
| 2013-09-19 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-86 | 1644.67 | 1501.50 | 77.94% | 22.06% | -27.48 | 0-1 |
| 2013-09-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 82-73 | 1617.19 | 1528.98 | 51.74% | 48.26% | +15.39 | 1-1 |
| 2013-09-23 | Phoenix Mercury | L 77-78 | 1632.58 | 1513.59 | 75.46% | 24.54% | -8.02 | 1-2 |
| 2013-09-20 | Seattle Storm | W 80-64 | 1715.25 | 1502.90 | 84.03% | 15.97% | +6.79 | 1-0 |
| 2013-09-22 | @ Seattle Storm | W 58-55 | 1722.04 | 1496.11 | 70.31% | 29.69% | +5.46 | 2-0 |
| 2013-09-26 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-62 | 1727.50 | 1521.61 | 83.53% | 16.47% | +8.40 | 3-0 |
| 2013-09-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 72-65 | 1735.90 | 1513.22 | 69.92% | 30.08% | +8.46 | 4-0 |
| 2013-10-06 | Atlanta Dream | W 84-59 | 1744.36 | 1527.61 | 84.37% | 15.63% | +8.31 | 5-0 |
| 2013-10-08 | Atlanta Dream | W 88-63 | 1752.67 | 1519.30 | 85.59% | 14.41% | +7.66 | 6-0 |
| 2013-10-10 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-77 | 1760.33 | 1511.65 | 72.97% | 27.03% | +8.62 | 7-0 |
| 2013-09-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-75 | 1501.50 | 1644.67 | 22.06% | 77.94% | +27.48 | 1-0 |
| 2013-09-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-82 | 1528.98 | 1617.19 | 48.26% | 51.74% | -15.39 | 1-1 |
| 2013-09-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-77 | 1513.59 | 1632.58 | 24.54% | 75.46% | +8.02 | 2-1 |
| 2013-09-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 62-85 | 1521.61 | 1727.50 | 16.47% | 83.53% | -8.39 | 2-2 |
| 2013-09-29 | Minnesota Lynx | L 65-72 | 1513.22 | 1735.90 | 30.08% | 69.92% | -8.46 | 2-3 |
| 2013-09-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 64-80 | 1502.90 | 1715.25 | 15.97% | 84.03% | -6.79 | 0-1 |
| 2013-09-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 55-58 | 1496.11 | 1722.04 | 29.69% | 70.31% | -5.47 | 0-2 |
| 2013-09-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 71-56 | 1467.06 | 1471.48 | 38.61% | 61.39% | +25.28 | 1-0 |
| 2013-09-21 | Atlanta Dream | L 45-63 | 1492.34 | 1446.21 | 66.90% | 33.10% | -30.18 | 1-1 |
| 2013-09-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 72-80 | 1462.16 | 1476.38 | 37.28% | 62.72% | -11.21 | 1-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2013-08-08 | 9.99% | Washington Mystics | 1391.65 | 79 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1697.42 | 75 |
| 2 | 2013-08-16 | 13.26% | Tulsa Shock | 1411.89 | 83 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1662.11 | 77 |
| 3 | 2013-06-08 | 15.92% | Phoenix Mercury | 1357.56 | 82 | @ Indiana Fever | 1570.47 | 67 |
| 4 | 2013-07-25 | 17.53% | Seattle Storm | 1430.32 | 73 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1623.23 | 66 |
| 5 | 2013-07-18 | 17.78% | Phoenix Mercury | 1451.02 | 90 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1640.94 | 84 |
| 6 | 2013-07-23 | 22.00% | New York Liberty | 1405.22 | 77 | @ Indiana Fever | 1548.96 | 72 |
| 7 | 2013-09-19 * | 22.06% | Phoenix Mercury | 1501.50 | 86 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1644.67 | 75 |
| 8 | 2013-09-06 | 23.42% | Indiana Fever | 1520.09 | 82 | @ Chicago Sky | 1649.79 | 77 |
| 9 | 2013-08-11 | 23.65% | New York Liberty | 1395.71 | 88 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1523.17 | 82 |
| 10 | 2013-06-07 | 23.95% | Washington Mystics | 1398.07 | 66 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1522.68 | 62 |
| 11 | 2013-09-23 * | 24.54% | Phoenix Mercury | 1513.59 | 78 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1632.58 | 77 |
| 12 | 2013-07-17 | 24.66% | Tulsa Shock | 1357.71 | 86 | @ Seattle Storm | 1475.63 | 59 |
| 13 | 2013-09-10 | 24.87% | Washington Mystics | 1428.53 | 69 | @ Indiana Fever | 1544.41 | 67 |
| 14 | 2013-09-20 * | 24.99% | Indiana Fever | 1526.55 | 85 | @ Chicago Sky | 1641.38 | 72 |
| 15 | 2013-06-07 | 27.25% | Tulsa Shock | 1396.44 | 67 | @ Seattle Storm | 1490.87 | 58 |
| 16 | 2013-07-02 | 27.62% | Seattle Storm | 1457.16 | 69 | @ Chicago Sky | 1548.35 | 60 |
| 17 | 2013-08-28 | 29.91% | Washington Mystics | 1440.84 | 85 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1512.65 | 80 |
| 18 | 2013-05-31 | 30.46% | Atlanta Dream | 1541.39 | 86 | @ Indiana Fever | 1608.62 | 77 |
| 19 | 2013-09-29 * | 30.56% | Atlanta Dream | 1499.99 | 67 | @ Indiana Fever | 1566.48 | 53 |
| 20 | 2013-08-09 | 31.06% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1421.74 | 77 | @ Seattle Storm | 1484.12 | 56 |
| 21 | 2013-09-08 | 31.74% | Phoenix Mercury | 1478.94 | 79 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1535.84 | 71 |
| 22 | 2013-06-16 | 31.89% | Seattle Storm | 1459.30 | 78 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1514.98 | 66 |
| 23 | 2013-06-25 | 32.59% | Phoenix Mercury | 1432.38 | 83 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1482.53 | 77 |
| 24 | 2013-08-20 | 32.95% | @ Seattle Storm | 1458.86 | 77 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1658.44 | 57 |
| 25 | 2013-09-21 * | 33.10% | Atlanta Dream | 1446.21 | 63 | @ Washington Mystics | 1492.34 | 45 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2013-07-17 | 41.62 | Tulsa Shock | 86 | 1357.71 | 24.66% | @ Seattle Storm | 59 | 1475.63 | 75.34% |
| 2 | 2013-09-08 | 39.07 | Tulsa Shock | 98 | 1414.37 | 36.02% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 65 | 1438.03 | 63.98% |
| 3 | 2013-07-21 | 34.76 | @ Tulsa Shock | 90 | 1411.20 | 37.08% | Atlanta Dream | 63 | 1579.22 | 62.92% |
| 4 | 2013-06-08 | 34.62 | Phoenix Mercury | 82 | 1357.56 | 15.92% | @ Indiana Fever | 67 | 1570.47 | 84.08% |
| 5 | 2013-08-09 | 33.59 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 77 | 1421.74 | 31.06% | @ Seattle Storm | 56 | 1484.12 | 68.94% |
| 6 | 2013-09-15 | 31.99 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 97 | 1386.29 | 44.12% | Atlanta Dream | 68 | 1503.47 | 55.88% |
| 7 | 2013-08-20 | 31.88 | @ Seattle Storm | 77 | 1458.86 | 32.95% | Los Angeles Sparks | 57 | 1658.44 | 67.05% |
| 8 | 2013-07-07 | 30.72 | Chicago Sky | 93 | 1525.27 | 46.33% | @ New York Liberty | 64 | 1474.66 | 53.67% |
| 9 | 2013-08-03 | 30.55 | Connecticut Sun | 88 | 1427.39 | 38.73% | @ New York Liberty | 66 | 1430.94 | 61.27% |
| 10 | 2013-09-21 * | 30.18 | Atlanta Dream | 63 | 1446.21 | 33.10% | @ Washington Mystics | 45 | 1492.34 | 66.90% |
| 11 | 2013-06-29 | 29.62 | Phoenix Mercury | 89 | 1461.68 | 36.07% | @ Connecticut Sun | 70 | 1484.99 | 63.93% |
| 12 | 2013-09-20 * | 28.75 | Indiana Fever | 85 | 1526.55 | 24.99% | @ Chicago Sky | 72 | 1641.38 | 75.01% |
| 13 | 2013-09-29 * | 27.62 | Atlanta Dream | 67 | 1499.99 | 30.56% | @ Indiana Fever | 53 | 1566.48 | 69.44% |
| 14 | 2013-09-19 * | 27.48 | Phoenix Mercury | 86 | 1501.50 | 22.06% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 75 | 1644.67 | 77.94% |
| 15 | 2013-07-02 | 27.40 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 96 | 1559.58 | 52.95% | Minnesota Lynx | 66 | 1615.21 | 47.05% |
| 16 | 2013-06-14 | 27.28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 97 | 1392.17 | 35.86% | Los Angeles Sparks | 81 | 1569.30 | 64.14% |
| 17 | 2013-07-13 | 27.14 | Indiana Fever | 74 | 1494.03 | 44.30% | @ New York Liberty | 53 | 1457.66 | 55.70% |
| 18 | 2013-06-22 | 26.89 | @ Tulsa Shock | 92 | 1406.37 | 46.07% | Seattle Storm | 70 | 1509.86 | 53.93% |
| 19 | 2013-06-21 | 25.97 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 87 | 1564.50 | 53.84% | Minnesota Lynx | 59 | 1613.92 | 46.16% |
| 20 | 2013-09-19 * | 25.28 | Washington Mystics | 71 | 1467.06 | 38.61% | @ Atlanta Dream | 56 | 1471.48 | 61.39% |
| 21 | 2013-06-16 | 25.08 | Seattle Storm | 78 | 1459.30 | 31.89% | @ Connecticut Sun | 66 | 1514.98 | 68.11% |
| 22 | 2013-08-06 | 25.05 | Seattle Storm | 80 | 1459.07 | 39.16% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 65 | 1459.51 | 60.84% |
| 23 | 2013-08-14 | 23.92 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 75 | 1460.10 | 45.42% | Indiana Fever | 58 | 1568.16 | 54.58% |
| 24 | 2013-06-12 | 23.83 | Connecticut Sun | 73 | 1506.51 | 35.27% | @ Indiana Fever | 61 | 1535.85 | 64.73% |
| 25 | 2013-05-27 | 23.73 | Chicago Sky | 102 | 1486.14 | 52.42% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 80 | 1393.20 | 47.58% |