2012 WNBA Season
204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Indiana Fever
1st Title
Runner-Up
Minnesota Lynx
2
Last Appearance: 2011
Biggest Overachiever
Los Angeles Sparks
4.96 wins above expected
24 wins · 19.04 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Phoenix Mercury
3.92 wins below expected
7 wins · 10.92 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun League | 25 | 9 | .735 | — | 81.6 | 77.4 | +4.2 | 21.64 | +3.36 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 22 | 12 | .647 | 3 | 78.3 | 72.3 | +6.0 | 20.72 | +1.28 |
| 3 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 6 | 78.6 | 75.8 | +2.8 | 19.48 | -0.48 |
| 4 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 15 | 19 | .441 | 10 | 73.1 | 77.2 | -4.1 | 15.79 | -0.79 |
| 5 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 20 | .412 | 11 | 75.2 | 75.5 | -0.2 | 15.41 | -1.41 |
| 6 | Washington Mystics | 5 | 29 | .147 | 20 | 68.6 | 78.3 | -9.7 | 8.74 | -3.74 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx League | 27 | 7 | .794 | — | 86.0 | 76.2 | +9.8 | 26.09 | +0.91 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 24 | 10 | .706 | 3 | 84.0 | 78.3 | +5.8 | 19.04 | +4.96 |
| 3 | San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 6 | 82.1 | 76.9 | +5.1 | 20.80 | +0.20 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 16 | 18 | .471 | 11 | 71.2 | 71.6 | -0.4 | 17.08 | -1.08 |
| 5 | Tulsa Shock | 9 | 25 | .265 | 18 | 77.2 | 84.2 | -7.0 | 8.28 | +0.72 |
| 6 | Phoenix Mercury | 7 | 27 | .206 | 20 | 74.5 | 86.7 | -12.2 | 10.92 | -3.92 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1696 | 27 | 26.09 | +0.91 | 71.60% | 14 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 34 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1637 | 24 | 19.04 | +4.96 | 97.99% | 9 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 27 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1621 | 22 | 20.72 | +1.28 | 74.47% | 11 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 31 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1617 | 25 | 21.64 | +3.36 | 93.36% | 12 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 26 | 30 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1585 | 21 | 20.80 | +0.20 | 60.42% | 11 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 30 | |
| Atlanta Dream | Eastern | 1585 | 19 | 19.48 | -0.48 | 49.90% | 10 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 29 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1502 | 16 | 17.08 | -1.08 | 41.37% | 7 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 29 | |
| Chicago Sky | Eastern | 1464 | 14 | 15.41 | -1.41 | 36.94% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 27 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1450 | 15 | 15.79 | -0.79 | 46.12% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 26 | |
| Tulsa Shock | Western | 1357 | 9 | 8.28 | +0.72 | 70.80% | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 19 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1253 | 7 | 10.92 | -3.92 | 8.67% | 2 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 20 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1233 | 5 | 8.74 | -3.74 | 8.71% | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Within Eastern
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
3-2
(3.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
2-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-5
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
4-1
(3.2 exp.)
|
5-0
(4.0 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
5-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
1-4
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
4-1
(3.6 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-5
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-4
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | — |
2-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
5-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
5-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(3.2 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
2-2
(2.9 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(3.3 exp.)
|
3-2
(3.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
|
5-0
(4.5 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
0-5
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-4
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
|
4-1
(4.0 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
0-5
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
4-1
(3.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
2-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-5
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-4
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks | 24 | 19.04 | +4.96 |
| 2 | Connecticut Sun | 25 | 21.64 | +3.36 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 22 | 20.72 | +1.28 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 27 | 26.09 | +0.91 |
| 5 | Tulsa Shock | 9 | 8.28 | +0.72 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury | 7 | 10.92 | -3.92 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 5 | 8.74 | -3.74 |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 15.41 | -1.41 |
| 4 | Seattle Storm | 16 | 17.08 | -1.08 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 15 | 15.79 | -0.79 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks | 9 | Jul 5 – Aug 25 | 1 in 556 |
| 2 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 12 | Jun 24 – Aug 21 | 1 in 227 |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 6 | May 30 – Jun 13 | 1 in 46 |
| 4 | Tulsa Shock | 3 | Sep 14 – Sep 20 | 1 in 41 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 2 | Aug 30 – Sep 1 | 1 in 32 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Sky | 9 | Jul 6 – Aug 24 | 1 in 299 |
| 2 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 5 | Aug 28 – Sep 9 | 1 in 94 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx | 3 | Jul 1 – Jul 7 | 1 in 43 |
| 4 | Phoenix Mercury | 10 | Jul 1 – Aug 25 | 1 in 37 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 3 | Jun 3 – Jun 15 | 1 in 21 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall WNBA view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 47.09% | 29.61% | 16.06% | 5.64% | 1.59% | 0.01% |
| Indiana Fever | 31.17% | 33.11% | 23.91% | 8.72% | 3.04% | 0.05% |
| Atlanta Dream | 18.42% | 26.77% | 31.79% | 16.47% | 6.35% | 0.20% |
| New York Liberty | 1.93% | 5.71% | 15.38% | 35.50% | 38.05% | 3.43% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.39% | 4.79% | 12.78% | 32.67% | 44.21% | 4.16% |
| Washington Mystics | — | 0.01% | 0.08% | 1.00% | 6.76% | 92.15% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 88.91% | 9.34% | 1.52% | 0.23% | — | — |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 7.81% | 52.25% | 28.36% | 11.27% | 0.31% | — |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.74% | 27.10% | 41.27% | 26.67% | 2.10% | 0.12% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.54% | 11.22% | 27.83% | 53.97% | 5.90% | 0.54% |
| Phoenix Mercury | — | 0.09% | 0.94% | 6.81% | 69.05% | 23.11% |
| Tulsa Shock | — | — | 0.08% | 1.05% | 22.64% | 76.23% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 76.69% | 14.66% | 5.18% | 2.18% | 0.82% | 0.35% | 0.07% | 0.04% | 0.01% | — | — | — |
| Connecticut Sun | 8.52% | 26.98% | 21.45% | 16.16% | 11.31% | 8.23% | 4.13% | 2.42% | 0.73% | 0.07% | — | — |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 5.45% | 17.90% | 19.92% | 18.52% | 14.84% | 11.03% | 7.31% | 3.67% | 1.26% | 0.09% | 0.01% | — |
| Indiana Fever | 5.02% | 18.48% | 19.45% | 17.48% | 15.10% | 11.23% | 7.32% | 3.95% | 1.77% | 0.18% | 0.02% | — |
| Atlanta Dream | 2.15% | 10.75% | 14.20% | 15.64% | 16.53% | 15.92% | 12.22% | 7.64% | 4.06% | 0.79% | 0.10% | — |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.71% | 7.53% | 11.44% | 15.27% | 17.41% | 16.73% | 14.27% | 9.82% | 4.49% | 1.17% | 0.14% | 0.02% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.30% | 2.10% | 4.65% | 7.67% | 11.47% | 15.40% | 20.12% | 19.16% | 14.25% | 3.94% | 0.83% | 0.11% |
| New York Liberty | 0.12% | 0.95% | 2.09% | 3.88% | 6.63% | 11.05% | 16.72% | 23.35% | 24.72% | 7.79% | 2.24% | 0.46% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.04% | 0.65% | 1.60% | 3.13% | 5.64% | 9.40% | 15.64% | 23.40% | 28.31% | 9.13% | 2.45% | 0.61% |
| Phoenix Mercury | — | — | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.23% | 0.59% | 1.82% | 4.76% | 13.08% | 43.17% | 23.83% | 12.43% |
| Washington Mystics | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.22% | 1.16% | 4.34% | 18.64% | 37.30% | 38.29% |
| Tulsa Shock | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.16% | 0.63% | 2.98% | 15.03% | 33.08% | 48.08% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 47.09% | 29.61% | 16.06% | 5.64% | 1.60% |
| Indiana Fever | 31.17% | 33.11% | 23.91% | 8.72% | 3.09% |
| Atlanta Dream | 18.42% | 26.77% | 31.79% | 16.47% | 6.55% |
| New York Liberty | 1.93% | 5.71% | 15.38% | 35.50% | 41.48% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.39% | 4.79% | 12.78% | 32.67% | 48.37% |
| Washington Mystics | — | 0.01% | 0.08% | 1.00% | 98.91% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 88.91% | 9.34% | 1.52% | 0.23% | — |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 7.81% | 52.25% | 28.36% | 11.27% | 0.31% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.74% | 27.10% | 41.27% | 26.67% | 2.22% |
| Seattle Storm | 0.54% | 11.22% | 27.83% | 53.97% | 6.44% |
| Phoenix Mercury | — | 0.09% | 0.94% | 6.81% | 92.16% |
| Tulsa Shock | — | — | 0.08% | 1.05% | 98.87% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 100.00% | 77.75% | 53.43% | 35.87% |
| Connecticut Sun | 98.40% | 65.33% | 36.32% | 15.04% |
| Indiana Fever | 96.91% | 62.42% | 34.34% | 14.65% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 97.78% | 51.59% | 24.07% | 14.16% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 99.69% | 49.01% | 17.13% | 8.62% |
| Atlanta Dream | 93.45% | 48.37% | 23.12% | 8.56% |
| Seattle Storm | 93.56% | 21.32% | 5.36% | 1.91% |
| New York Liberty | 58.52% | 12.21% | 3.11% | 0.61% |
| Chicago Sky | 51.63% | 11.63% | 3.11% | 0.57% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 7.84% | 0.23% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| Tulsa Shock | 1.13% | 0.10% | — | — |
| Washington Mystics | 1.09% | 0.04% | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 8.70% | 13.51% | 16.04% | 9.95% | 0.17% | |
| Chicago Sky | 2.83% | 4.11% | 3.67% | 1.01% | 0.01% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 17.06% | 17.09% | 11.30% | 19.50% | 0.38% | |
| Indiana Fever | 21.92% | 13.48% | 10.69% | 15.84% | 0.49% | |
| New York Liberty | 3.27% | 0.73% | 4.74% | 3.47% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 10.35% | 0.25% | 31.35% | 9.55% | 0.09% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 19.19% | 6.06% | 9.57% | 42.16% | 0.77% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.04% | 0.13% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 23.43% | 3.64% | 1.26% | 20.51% | 0.17% | |
| Seattle Storm | 3.52% | 8.08% | 0.04% | 9.68% | ||
| Tulsa Shock | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.01% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 2.18% | 9.94% | 8.56% | 2.44% | ||
| Chicago Sky | 0.94% | 1.03% | 0.99% | 0.15% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 12.40% | 3.32% | 17.50% | 3.09% | 0.01% | |
| Indiana Fever | 10.84% | 2.91% | 17.14% | 3.42% | 0.03% | |
| New York Liberty | 1.07% | 0.11% | 0.90% | 1.03% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 12.30% | 0.11% | 5.86% | 5.79% | 0.01% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 21.37% | 0.05% | 24.52% | 7.44% | 0.05% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.01% | |||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 3.86% | 10.47% | 0.04% | 2.72% | 0.04% | |
| Seattle Storm | 2.29% | 1.55% | 0.02% | 1.50% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 2.06% | 3.80% | 1.89% | 0.81% | |||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.16% | 0.20% | 0.13% | 0.08% | |||||
| Connecticut Sun | 3.81% | 6.74% | 3.33% | 1.16% | |||||
| Indiana Fever | 3.75% | 6.60% | 2.96% | 1.34% | |||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 3.45% | 0.57% | 4.91% | 4.70% | 0.53% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 8.56% | 1.44% | 12.63% | 11.76% | 1.48% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 0.13% | 0.22% | 0.20% | 0.06% | |||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.01% | ||||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 2.15% | 0.45% | 3.05% | 2.57% | 0.40% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.40% | 0.08% | 0.69% | 0.65% | 0.09% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 83.66% | 54.01% | 36.79% | Eliminated in Finals |
| Indiana Fever | 60.73% | 32.96% | 13.73% | Won Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 39.27% | |||
| Connecticut Sun | 80.68% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 60.73% | |||
| New York Liberty | 19.32% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 63.41% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 83.66% | |||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 36.59% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 16.34% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 14.47% | 5.34% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 17.42% | 25.14% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 23.65% | 9.31% | ||
| New York Liberty | 2.04% | 2.63% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 20.20% | 7.53% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 32.58% | 21.43% | ||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 9.45% | 3.68% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 3.10% | 2.03% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 2.14% | 3.20% | 1.14% | 0.58% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 5.26% | 7.37% | 2.96% | 1.51% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 4.11% | 6.30% | 2.28% | 1.04% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 3.84% | 5.99% | 5.11% | 1.02% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 7.31% | 15.59% | 11.75% | 2.14% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 0.26% | 0.35% | 0.24% | 0.09% | ||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.22% | 3.00% | 1.82% | 0.47% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 0.38% | 0.88% | 0.55% | 0.10% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-05-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 84-92 | 1563.42 | 1518.84 | 48.01% | 51.99% | -15.87 | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-25 | New York Liberty | W 100-74 | 1547.55 | 1476.51 | 67.82% | 32.18% | +19.18 | 1-1 |
| 2012-05-27 | Indiana Fever | L 62-78 | 1566.73 | 1554.79 | 59.99% | 40.01% | -28.05 | 1-2 |
| 2012-05-31 | Phoenix Mercury | W 81-65 | 1538.68 | 1475.76 | 66.79% | 33.21% | +15.53 | 2-2 |
| 2012-06-02 | Chicago Sky | L 92-94 | 1554.21 | 1501.81 | 65.43% | 34.57% | -10.82 | 2-3 |
| 2012-06-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 74-79 | 1543.39 | 1471.63 | 51.92% | 48.08% | -13.57 | 2-4 |
| 2012-06-08 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 60-57 | 1529.82 | 1507.94 | 61.36% | 38.64% | +7.82 | 3-4 |
| 2012-06-10 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 73-92 | 1537.64 | 1581.31 | 35.71% | 64.29% | -18.19 | 3-5 |
| 2012-06-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-59 | 1519.45 | 1555.91 | 53.16% | 46.84% | +31.45 | 4-5 |
| 2012-06-17 | Connecticut Sun | L 73-75 | 1550.90 | 1601.87 | 51.08% | 48.92% | -8.44 | 4-6 |
| 2012-06-19 | New York Liberty | L 60-73 | 1542.46 | 1456.33 | 69.68% | 30.32% | -29.37 | 4-7 |
| 2012-06-24 | @ New York Liberty | W 74-64 | 1513.09 | 1475.09 | 47.06% | 52.94% | +19.57 | 5-7 |
| 2012-06-26 | Indiana Fever | W 70-58 | 1532.66 | 1591.62 | 49.93% | 50.07% | +20.27 | 6-7 |
| 2012-06-29 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 102-92 | 1552.93 | 1320.04 | 73.19% | 26.81% | +9.92 | 7-7 |
| 2012-07-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-71 | 1562.85 | 1492.49 | 51.71% | 48.29% | -8.55 | 7-8 |
| 2012-07-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 100-93 | 1554.30 | 1376.55 | 66.52% | 33.48% | +10.35 | 8-8 |
| 2012-07-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-79 | 1564.65 | 1511.61 | 49.22% | 50.78% | -23.02 | 8-9 |
| 2012-07-11 | @ Seattle Storm | W 70-59 | 1541.63 | 1497.30 | 47.97% | 52.03% | +20.18 | 9-9 |
| 2012-07-13 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 70-91 | 1561.81 | 1653.65 | 29.63% | 70.37% | -15.87 | 9-10 |
| 2012-08-17 | @ Chicago Sky | W 82-76 | 1545.94 | 1461.13 | 53.79% | 46.21% | +13.23 | 10-10 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Indiana Fever | L 72-86 | 1559.17 | 1568.25 | 40.40% | 59.60% | -17.67 | 10-11 |
| 2012-08-22 | Chicago Sky | W 82-71 | 1541.50 | 1413.47 | 74.53% | 25.47% | +9.87 | 11-11 |
| 2012-08-24 | @ Washington Mystics | W 81-69 | 1551.37 | 1334.00 | 71.40% | 28.60% | +11.59 | 12-11 |
| 2012-08-25 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-84 | 1562.96 | 1706.10 | 38.05% | 61.95% | -14.07 | 12-12 |
| 2012-08-28 | Tulsa Shock | L 80-84 | 1548.89 | 1305.53 | 85.04% | 14.96% | -19.88 | 12-13 |
| 2012-08-30 | Washington Mystics | W 82-59 | 1529.01 | 1316.30 | 82.65% | 17.35% | +9.73 | 13-13 |
| 2012-09-02 | Connecticut Sun | W 87-80 | 1538.74 | 1609.89 | 48.17% | 51.83% | +16.03 | 14-13 |
| 2012-09-05 | Indiana Fever | W 71-64 | 1554.77 | 1617.75 | 49.35% | 50.65% | +15.66 | 15-13 |
| 2012-09-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 93-97 | 1570.43 | 1745.29 | 20.70% | 79.30% | -4.84 | 15-14 |
| 2012-09-09 | Washington Mystics | W 93-68 | 1565.59 | 1279.48 | 87.90% | 12.10% | +7.07 | 16-14 |
| 2012-09-11 | Seattle Storm | W 77-61 | 1572.66 | 1500.90 | 67.91% | 32.09% | +15.01 | 17-14 |
| 2012-09-14 | @ Washington Mystics | W 82-74 | 1587.67 | 1263.75 | 82.17% | 17.83% | +5.89 | 18-14 |
| 2012-09-20 | @ Chicago Sky | W 75-66 | 1593.56 | 1469.34 | 59.35% | 40.65% | +14.26 | 19-14 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 72-92 | 1607.82 | 1594.02 | 43.61% | 56.39% | -22.80 | 19-15 |
| 2012-05-19 | @ Washington Mystics | W 69-57 | 1469.23 | 1398.27 | 51.80% | 48.20% | +19.52 | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-25 | Indiana Fever | L 72-83 | 1488.75 | 1534.71 | 51.80% | 48.20% | -20.08 | 1-1 |
| 2012-05-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-63 | 1468.67 | 1522.31 | 34.41% | 65.59% | +28.69 | 2-1 |
| 2012-06-01 | Washington Mystics | W 65-63 | 1497.36 | 1382.33 | 73.08% | 26.92% | +4.45 | 3-1 |
| 2012-06-02 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 94-92 | 1501.81 | 1554.21 | 34.57% | 65.43% | +10.82 | 4-1 |
| 2012-06-08 | Tulsa Shock | W 98-91 | 1512.63 | 1298.59 | 82.76% | 17.24% | +5.33 | 5-1 |
| 2012-06-10 | @ New York Liberty | W 73-64 | 1517.96 | 1497.24 | 44.59% | 55.41% | +19.43 | 6-1 |
| 2012-06-13 | Seattle Storm | W 74-58 | 1537.39 | 1463.21 | 68.21% | 31.79% | +14.87 | 7-1 |
| 2012-06-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-84 | 1552.26 | 1540.99 | 43.25% | 56.75% | -18.92 | 7-2 |
| 2012-06-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 67-79 | 1533.34 | 1725.43 | 19.12% | 80.88% | -7.74 | 7-3 |
| 2012-06-27 | Indiana Fever | L 72-81 | 1525.60 | 1571.34 | 51.83% | 48.17% | -18.18 | 7-4 |
| 2012-06-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 81-84 | 1507.42 | 1386.65 | 73.72% | 26.28% | -14.93 | 7-5 |
| 2012-07-01 | Atlanta Dream | W 71-69 | 1492.49 | 1562.85 | 48.29% | 51.71% | +8.55 | 8-5 |
| 2012-07-06 | New York Liberty | L 59-64 | 1501.04 | 1480.44 | 61.18% | 38.82% | -15.99 | 8-6 |
| 2012-07-07 | @ Indiana Fever | L 86-88 | 1485.05 | 1562.37 | 31.40% | 68.60% | -5.19 | 8-7 |
| 2012-07-11 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 68-77 | 1479.86 | 1641.16 | 35.62% | 64.38% | -12.49 | 8-8 |
| 2012-07-13 | Connecticut Sun | L 78-80 | 1467.37 | 1612.90 | 37.72% | 62.28% | -6.24 | 8-9 |
| 2012-08-17 | Atlanta Dream | L 76-82 | 1461.13 | 1545.94 | 46.21% | 53.79% | -13.23 | 8-10 |
| 2012-08-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 71-75 | 1447.90 | 1321.82 | 59.61% | 40.39% | -13.94 | 8-11 |
| 2012-08-21 | New York Liberty | L 67-77 | 1433.96 | 1454.56 | 55.43% | 44.57% | -20.49 | 8-12 |
| 2012-08-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 71-82 | 1413.47 | 1541.50 | 25.47% | 74.53% | -9.88 | 8-13 |
| 2012-08-24 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 78-81 | 1403.59 | 1298.69 | 56.65% | 43.35% | -11.47 | 8-14 |
| 2012-08-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 82-70 | 1392.12 | 1602.63 | 17.53% | 82.47% | +33.40 | 9-14 |
| 2012-08-28 | Connecticut Sun | L 72-83 | 1425.52 | 1569.23 | 37.97% | 62.03% | -14.72 | 9-15 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Indiana Fever | L 64-81 | 1410.80 | 1608.78 | 18.60% | 81.40% | -8.97 | 9-16 |
| 2012-09-02 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-74 | 1401.83 | 1608.30 | 29.90% | 70.10% | +27.18 | 10-16 |
| 2012-09-07 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-83 | 1429.01 | 1460.32 | 37.36% | 62.64% | +21.97 | 11-16 |
| 2012-09-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-82 | 1450.98 | 1569.15 | 26.57% | 73.43% | -6.95 | 11-17 |
| 2012-09-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 83-70 | 1444.03 | 1768.29 | 17.80% | 82.20% | +34.65 | 12-17 |
| 2012-09-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-86 | 1478.68 | 1575.56 | 29.03% | 70.97% | -10.18 | 12-18 |
| 2012-09-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 86-55 | 1468.50 | 1298.06 | 65.58% | 34.42% | +22.40 | 13-18 |
| 2012-09-18 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-75 | 1490.90 | 1448.95 | 47.63% | 52.37% | -21.56 | 13-19 |
| 2012-09-20 | Atlanta Dream | L 66-75 | 1469.34 | 1593.56 | 40.65% | 59.35% | -14.25 | 13-20 |
| 2012-09-22 | Washington Mystics | W 77-58 | 1455.09 | 1241.91 | 82.69% | 17.31% | +8.82 | 14-20 |
| 2012-05-19 | @ New York Liberty | W 78-73 | 1532.65 | 1526.65 | 42.51% | 57.49% | +15.03 | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-20 | New York Liberty | W 92-77 | 1547.68 | 1511.63 | 63.27% | 36.73% | +16.63 | 2-0 |
| 2012-05-25 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-79 | 1564.31 | 1530.99 | 62.91% | 37.09% | +8.67 | 3-0 |
| 2012-06-01 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-85 | 1572.98 | 1681.60 | 42.83% | 57.17% | -18.05 | 3-1 |
| 2012-06-03 | Washington Mystics | W 94-86 | 1554.93 | 1377.88 | 79.50% | 20.50% | +6.77 | 4-1 |
| 2012-06-08 | @ Indiana Fever | W 89-81 | 1561.70 | 1568.55 | 40.71% | 59.29% | +19.61 | 5-1 |
| 2012-06-10 | Atlanta Dream | W 92-73 | 1581.31 | 1537.64 | 64.29% | 35.71% | +18.19 | 6-1 |
| 2012-06-13 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-87 | 1599.50 | 1536.79 | 66.76% | 33.24% | -19.11 | 6-2 |
| 2012-06-15 | New York Liberty | W 97-55 | 1580.39 | 1477.81 | 71.65% | 28.35% | +21.48 | 7-2 |
| 2012-06-17 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 75-73 | 1601.87 | 1550.90 | 48.92% | 51.08% | +8.44 | 8-2 |
| 2012-06-19 | Indiana Fever | W 88-85 | 1610.31 | 1559.91 | 65.17% | 34.83% | +7.05 | 9-2 |
| 2012-06-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 61-95 | 1617.36 | 1552.85 | 50.87% | 49.13% | -34.67 | 9-3 |
| 2012-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | W 77-64 | 1582.69 | 1321.54 | 76.26% | 23.74% | +10.01 | 10-3 |
| 2012-07-01 | Seattle Storm | L 83-89 | 1592.70 | 1490.76 | 71.57% | 28.43% | -20.50 | 10-4 |
| 2012-07-06 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 86-75 | 1572.20 | 1310.13 | 76.35% | 23.65% | +9.17 | 11-4 |
| 2012-07-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 86-80 | 1581.37 | 1692.88 | 27.32% | 72.68% | +20.81 | 12-4 |
| 2012-07-10 | @ Washington Mystics | W 77-70 | 1602.18 | 1307.58 | 79.57% | 20.43% | +6.32 | 13-4 |
| 2012-07-11 | Washington Mystics | W 85-73 | 1608.50 | 1301.26 | 89.14% | 10.86% | +4.40 | 14-4 |
| 2012-07-13 | @ Chicago Sky | W 80-78 | 1612.90 | 1467.37 | 62.28% | 37.72% | +6.24 | 15-4 |
| 2012-08-16 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-79 | 1619.14 | 1436.19 | 67.19% | 32.81% | -28.32 | 15-5 |
| 2012-08-18 | New York Liberty | W 85-74 | 1590.82 | 1464.51 | 74.34% | 25.66% | +9.95 | 16-5 |
| 2012-08-21 | Tulsa Shock | W 82-80 | 1600.77 | 1300.55 | 88.74% | 11.26% | +1.86 | 17-5 |
| 2012-08-26 | Chicago Sky | L 70-82 | 1602.63 | 1392.12 | 82.47% | 17.53% | -33.40 | 17-6 |
| 2012-08-28 | @ Chicago Sky | W 83-72 | 1569.23 | 1425.52 | 62.03% | 37.97% | +14.72 | 18-6 |
| 2012-08-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-73 | 1583.95 | 1647.67 | 33.11% | 66.89% | +25.94 | 19-6 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 80-87 | 1609.89 | 1538.74 | 51.83% | 48.17% | -16.03 | 19-7 |
| 2012-09-04 | @ Washington Mystics | W 77-70 | 1593.86 | 1299.35 | 79.56% | 20.44% | +6.32 | 20-7 |
| 2012-09-07 | Phoenix Mercury | L 82-91 | 1600.18 | 1304.24 | 88.49% | 11.51% | -31.03 | 20-8 |
| 2012-09-09 | Chicago Sky | W 82-77 | 1569.15 | 1450.98 | 73.43% | 26.57% | +6.94 | 21-8 |
| 2012-09-12 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 100-78 | 1576.09 | 1331.71 | 74.47% | 25.53% | +14.00 | 22-8 |
| 2012-09-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 82-93 | 1590.09 | 1585.74 | 42.28% | 57.72% | -16.39 | 22-9 |
| 2012-09-16 | @ Seattle Storm | W 60-58 | 1573.70 | 1455.81 | 58.47% | 41.53% | +6.87 | 23-9 |
| 2012-09-19 | Indiana Fever | W 73-67 | 1580.57 | 1617.94 | 53.03% | 46.97% | +13.45 | 24-9 |
| 2012-09-23 | Atlanta Dream | W 92-72 | 1594.02 | 1607.82 | 56.39% | 43.61% | +22.80 | 25-9 |
| 2012-05-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 92-84 | 1518.84 | 1563.42 | 51.99% | 48.01% | +15.87 | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-25 | @ Chicago Sky | W 83-72 | 1534.71 | 1488.75 | 48.20% | 51.80% | +20.08 | 2-0 |
| 2012-05-27 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 78-62 | 1554.79 | 1566.73 | 40.01% | 59.99% | +28.05 | 3-0 |
| 2012-06-02 | New York Liberty | W 91-68 | 1582.84 | 1457.33 | 74.25% | 25.75% | +14.44 | 4-0 |
| 2012-06-03 | @ New York Liberty | L 72-87 | 1597.28 | 1442.89 | 63.47% | 36.53% | -28.73 | 4-1 |
| 2012-06-08 | Connecticut Sun | L 81-89 | 1568.55 | 1561.70 | 59.29% | 40.71% | -19.61 | 4-2 |
| 2012-06-15 | @ Washington Mystics | L 66-67 | 1548.94 | 1359.06 | 68.06% | 31.94% | -7.95 | 4-3 |
| 2012-06-16 | Chicago Sky | W 84-70 | 1540.99 | 1552.26 | 56.75% | 43.25% | +18.92 | 5-3 |
| 2012-06-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 85-88 | 1559.91 | 1610.31 | 34.83% | 65.17% | -7.06 | 5-4 |
| 2012-06-21 | Connecticut Sun | W 95-61 | 1552.85 | 1617.36 | 49.13% | 50.87% | +34.68 | 6-4 |
| 2012-06-23 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 73-70 | 1587.53 | 1290.29 | 79.81% | 20.19% | +4.09 | 7-4 |
| 2012-06-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 58-70 | 1591.62 | 1532.66 | 50.07% | 49.93% | -20.28 | 7-5 |
| 2012-06-27 | @ Chicago Sky | W 81-72 | 1571.34 | 1525.60 | 48.17% | 51.83% | +18.18 | 8-5 |
| 2012-07-05 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 72-88 | 1589.52 | 1591.49 | 58.06% | 41.94% | -27.15 | 8-6 |
| 2012-07-07 | Chicago Sky | W 88-86 | 1562.37 | 1485.05 | 68.60% | 31.40% | +5.19 | 9-6 |
| 2012-07-10 | New York Liberty | W 84-82 | 1567.56 | 1479.51 | 69.92% | 30.08% | +4.97 | 10-6 |
| 2012-07-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-77 | 1572.53 | 1551.51 | 61.24% | 38.76% | -12.40 | 10-7 |
| 2012-08-16 | Washington Mystics | W 84-66 | 1560.13 | 1335.21 | 83.63% | 16.37% | +8.12 | 11-7 |
| 2012-08-18 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-72 | 1568.25 | 1559.17 | 59.60% | 40.40% | +17.67 | 12-7 |
| 2012-08-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-79 | 1585.92 | 1583.30 | 42.03% | 57.97% | -15.54 | 12-8 |
| 2012-08-23 | @ Seattle Storm | W 68-66 | 1570.38 | 1473.68 | 55.48% | 44.52% | +7.36 | 13-8 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 85-72 | 1577.74 | 1284.24 | 79.46% | 20.54% | +8.66 | 14-8 |
| 2012-08-28 | Washington Mystics | W 83-68 | 1586.40 | 1322.42 | 86.48% | 13.52% | +6.12 | 15-8 |
| 2012-08-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 76-63 | 1592.52 | 1453.34 | 61.41% | 38.59% | +16.26 | 16-8 |
| 2012-09-01 | Chicago Sky | W 81-64 | 1608.78 | 1410.80 | 81.40% | 18.60% | +8.97 | 17-8 |
| 2012-09-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 64-71 | 1617.75 | 1554.77 | 50.65% | 49.35% | -15.67 | 17-9 |
| 2012-09-07 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 82-78 | 1602.08 | 1602.59 | 41.60% | 58.40% | +13.66 | 18-9 |
| 2012-09-09 | Phoenix Mercury | W 89-83 | 1615.74 | 1335.27 | 87.55% | 12.45% | +3.56 | 19-9 |
| 2012-09-12 | Seattle Storm | W 72-48 | 1619.30 | 1485.89 | 75.11% | 24.89% | +14.26 | 20-9 |
| 2012-09-14 | Minnesota Lynx | L 64-66 | 1633.56 | 1733.64 | 44.04% | 55.96% | -7.28 | 20-10 |
| 2012-09-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-86 | 1626.28 | 1740.92 | 26.96% | 73.04% | -8.34 | 20-11 |
| 2012-09-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-73 | 1617.94 | 1580.57 | 46.97% | 53.03% | -13.45 | 20-12 |
| 2012-09-21 | @ Washington Mystics | W 66-53 | 1604.49 | 1248.34 | 84.73% | 15.27% | +6.43 | 21-12 |
| 2012-09-23 | Tulsa Shock | W 91-58 | 1610.92 | 1367.09 | 85.07% | 14.93% | +10.03 | 22-12 |
| 2012-05-18 | @ Seattle Storm | W 72-66 | 1457.97 | 1533.28 | 31.65% | 68.35% | +19.57 | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-22 | Seattle Storm | W 74-61 | 1477.54 | 1513.71 | 53.20% | 46.80% | +19.73 | 2-0 |
| 2012-05-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 84-92 | 1497.27 | 1662.34 | 21.64% | 78.36% | -7.16 | 2-1 |
| 2012-05-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 99-88 | 1490.11 | 1498.84 | 40.45% | 59.55% | +23.09 | 3-1 |
| 2012-05-29 | Tulsa Shock | W 76-75 | 1513.20 | 1319.02 | 81.07% | 18.93% | +2.21 | 4-1 |
| 2012-06-03 | Seattle Storm | W 67-65 | 1515.41 | 1495.85 | 61.04% | 38.96% | +6.44 | 5-1 |
| 2012-06-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 90-74 | 1521.85 | 1448.97 | 68.05% | 31.95% | +14.94 | 6-1 |
| 2012-06-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 87-81 | 1536.79 | 1599.50 | 33.24% | 66.76% | +19.12 | 7-1 |
| 2012-06-15 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 59-92 | 1555.91 | 1519.45 | 46.84% | 53.16% | -31.45 | 7-2 |
| 2012-06-16 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 85-98 | 1524.46 | 1516.48 | 42.79% | 57.21% | -18.04 | 7-3 |
| 2012-06-18 | Washington Mystics | W 101-70 | 1506.42 | 1367.01 | 75.75% | 24.25% | +15.79 | 8-3 |
| 2012-06-20 | Tulsa Shock | W 95-79 | 1522.21 | 1297.97 | 83.58% | 16.42% | +7.67 | 9-3 |
| 2012-06-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 93-84 | 1529.88 | 1405.11 | 59.43% | 40.57% | +14.23 | 10-3 |
| 2012-06-24 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-91 | 1544.11 | 1520.32 | 61.62% | 38.38% | -32.21 | 10-4 |
| 2012-06-26 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 75-91 | 1511.90 | 1286.20 | 72.37% | 27.63% | -33.84 | 10-5 |
| 2012-06-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 80-94 | 1478.06 | 1552.53 | 31.75% | 68.25% | -13.89 | 10-6 |
| 2012-07-05 | Minnesota Lynx | W 96-90 | 1464.17 | 1714.39 | 24.90% | 75.10% | +21.50 | 11-6 |
| 2012-07-07 | Seattle Storm | W 83-59 | 1485.67 | 1511.26 | 54.72% | 45.28% | +25.94 | 12-6 |
| 2012-07-08 | Atlanta Dream | W 79-63 | 1511.61 | 1564.65 | 50.78% | 49.22% | +23.01 | 13-6 |
| 2012-07-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 90-71 | 1534.62 | 1354.21 | 66.86% | 33.14% | +16.89 | 14-6 |
| 2012-07-12 | @ Indiana Fever | W 77-74 | 1551.51 | 1572.53 | 38.76% | 61.24% | +12.40 | 15-6 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Seattle Storm | W 82-71 | 1563.91 | 1505.63 | 49.98% | 50.02% | +19.39 | 16-6 |
| 2012-08-21 | Indiana Fever | W 79-69 | 1583.30 | 1585.92 | 57.97% | 42.03% | +15.54 | 17-6 |
| 2012-08-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 101-77 | 1598.84 | 1687.85 | 45.61% | 54.39% | +31.15 | 18-6 |
| 2012-08-25 | New York Liberty | W 87-62 | 1629.99 | 1488.63 | 75.95% | 24.05% | +14.05 | 19-6 |
| 2012-08-30 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 85-99 | 1644.04 | 1325.41 | 81.72% | 18.28% | -35.74 | 19-7 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ Chicago Sky | L 74-85 | 1608.30 | 1401.83 | 70.10% | 29.90% | -27.18 | 19-8 |
| 2012-09-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 77-88 | 1581.12 | 1736.53 | 22.60% | 77.40% | -8.76 | 19-9 |
| 2012-09-07 | @ Washington Mystics | W 96-68 | 1572.36 | 1293.03 | 78.10% | 21.90% | +13.54 | 20-9 |
| 2012-09-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 71-73 | 1585.90 | 1438.35 | 62.55% | 37.45% | -10.34 | 20-10 |
| 2012-09-13 | Chicago Sky | W 86-77 | 1575.56 | 1478.68 | 70.97% | 29.03% | +10.18 | 21-10 |
| 2012-09-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 93-82 | 1585.74 | 1590.09 | 57.72% | 42.28% | +16.39 | 22-10 |
| 2012-09-18 | Phoenix Mercury | W 101-76 | 1602.13 | 1275.66 | 90.17% | 9.83% | +5.75 | 23-10 |
| 2012-09-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 92-76 | 1607.88 | 1749.26 | 38.29% | 61.71% | +28.86 | 24-10 |
| 2012-05-20 | Phoenix Mercury | W 105-83 | 1629.53 | 1507.27 | 73.89% | 26.11% | +14.32 | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 80-62 | 1643.85 | 1495.00 | 62.72% | 37.28% | +18.49 | 2-0 |
| 2012-05-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-84 | 1662.34 | 1497.27 | 78.36% | 21.64% | +7.15 | 3-0 |
| 2012-05-27 | Seattle Storm | W 84-71 | 1669.49 | 1493.98 | 79.36% | 20.64% | +8.70 | 4-0 |
| 2012-05-30 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-77 | 1678.19 | 1385.74 | 79.36% | 20.64% | +3.41 | 5-0 |
| 2012-06-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 85-72 | 1681.60 | 1572.98 | 57.17% | 42.83% | +18.06 | 6-0 |
| 2012-06-03 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 83-79 | 1699.66 | 1512.52 | 80.44% | 19.56% | +4.57 | 7-0 |
| 2012-06-06 | Seattle Storm | W 79-55 | 1704.23 | 1489.41 | 82.82% | 17.18% | +9.84 | 8-0 |
| 2012-06-09 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 93-73 | 1714.07 | 1293.26 | 88.95% | 11.05% | +5.77 | 9-0 |
| 2012-06-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 78-60 | 1719.84 | 1434.03 | 78.73% | 21.27% | +10.55 | 10-0 |
| 2012-06-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 62-65 | 1730.39 | 1463.38 | 76.86% | 23.14% | -15.56 | 10-1 |
| 2012-06-21 | New York Liberty | W 102-70 | 1714.83 | 1485.70 | 83.96% | 16.04% | +10.60 | 11-1 |
| 2012-06-23 | Chicago Sky | W 79-67 | 1725.43 | 1533.34 | 80.88% | 19.12% | +7.75 | 12-1 |
| 2012-06-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 96-80 | 1733.18 | 1390.89 | 90.94% | 9.06% | +4.23 | 13-1 |
| 2012-07-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 84-93 | 1737.41 | 1566.42 | 65.65% | 34.35% | -23.02 | 13-2 |
| 2012-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 90-96 | 1714.39 | 1464.17 | 75.10% | 24.90% | -21.51 | 13-3 |
| 2012-07-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 80-86 | 1692.88 | 1581.37 | 72.68% | 27.32% | -20.81 | 13-4 |
| 2012-07-10 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 107-86 | 1672.07 | 1322.29 | 84.25% | 15.75% | +8.44 | 14-4 |
| 2012-07-12 | Tulsa Shock | W 89-74 | 1680.51 | 1313.86 | 92.03% | 7.97% | +3.61 | 15-4 |
| 2012-08-17 | Washington Mystics | W 98-69 | 1684.12 | 1327.10 | 91.62% | 8.38% | +5.27 | 16-4 |
| 2012-08-19 | Tulsa Shock | W 83-59 | 1689.39 | 1304.69 | 92.76% | 7.24% | +4.15 | 17-4 |
| 2012-08-21 | @ Seattle Storm | W 86-73 | 1693.54 | 1486.24 | 70.20% | 29.80% | +12.56 | 18-4 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 84-74 | 1706.10 | 1562.96 | 61.95% | 38.05% | +14.06 | 19-4 |
| 2012-08-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 96-84 | 1720.16 | 1661.33 | 66.26% | 33.74% | +13.66 | 20-4 |
| 2012-08-31 | Tulsa Shock | W 92-83 | 1733.82 | 1361.15 | 92.29% | 7.71% | +2.71 | 21-4 |
| 2012-09-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-77 | 1736.53 | 1581.12 | 77.40% | 22.60% | +8.76 | 22-4 |
| 2012-09-07 | Atlanta Dream | W 97-93 | 1745.29 | 1570.43 | 79.30% | 20.70% | +4.84 | 23-4 |
| 2012-09-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-62 | 1750.13 | 1588.94 | 64.37% | 35.63% | +18.16 | 24-4 |
| 2012-09-11 | @ Chicago Sky | L 70-83 | 1768.29 | 1444.03 | 82.20% | 17.80% | -34.65 | 24-5 |
| 2012-09-14 | @ Indiana Fever | W 66-64 | 1733.64 | 1633.56 | 55.96% | 44.04% | +7.28 | 25-5 |
| 2012-09-17 | Indiana Fever | W 86-79 | 1740.92 | 1626.28 | 73.04% | 26.96% | +8.34 | 26-5 |
| 2012-09-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-92 | 1749.26 | 1607.88 | 61.71% | 38.29% | -28.86 | 26-6 |
| 2012-09-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 89-66 | 1720.40 | 1269.91 | 90.52% | 9.48% | +5.32 | 27-6 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 84-99 | 1725.72 | 1555.55 | 65.54% | 34.46% | -29.68 | 27-7 |
| 2012-05-19 | Connecticut Sun | L 73-78 | 1526.65 | 1532.65 | 57.49% | 42.51% | -15.02 | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-92 | 1511.63 | 1547.68 | 36.73% | 63.27% | -16.63 | 0-2 |
| 2012-05-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 62-80 | 1495.00 | 1643.85 | 37.28% | 62.72% | -18.49 | 0-3 |
| 2012-05-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-100 | 1476.51 | 1547.55 | 32.18% | 67.82% | -19.18 | 0-4 |
| 2012-06-02 | @ Indiana Fever | L 68-91 | 1457.33 | 1582.84 | 25.75% | 74.25% | -14.44 | 0-5 |
| 2012-06-03 | Indiana Fever | W 87-72 | 1442.89 | 1597.28 | 36.53% | 63.47% | +28.74 | 1-5 |
| 2012-06-05 | Atlanta Dream | W 79-74 | 1471.63 | 1543.39 | 48.08% | 51.92% | +13.57 | 2-5 |
| 2012-06-08 | @ Washington Mystics | W 76-70 | 1485.20 | 1371.10 | 57.94% | 42.06% | +12.04 | 3-5 |
| 2012-06-10 | Chicago Sky | L 64-73 | 1497.24 | 1517.96 | 55.41% | 44.59% | -19.43 | 3-6 |
| 2012-06-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 55-97 | 1477.81 | 1580.39 | 28.35% | 71.65% | -21.48 | 3-7 |
| 2012-06-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 73-60 | 1456.33 | 1542.46 | 30.32% | 69.68% | +29.37 | 4-7 |
| 2012-06-21 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-102 | 1485.70 | 1714.83 | 16.04% | 83.96% | -10.61 | 4-8 |
| 2012-06-24 | Atlanta Dream | L 64-74 | 1475.09 | 1513.09 | 52.94% | 47.06% | -19.57 | 4-9 |
| 2012-06-30 | Seattle Storm | W 77-59 | 1455.52 | 1515.68 | 49.75% | 50.25% | +24.92 | 5-9 |
| 2012-07-06 | @ Chicago Sky | W 64-59 | 1480.44 | 1501.04 | 38.82% | 61.18% | +16.00 | 6-9 |
| 2012-07-08 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 81-94 | 1496.44 | 1624.24 | 40.15% | 59.85% | -16.93 | 6-10 |
| 2012-07-10 | @ Indiana Fever | L 82-84 | 1479.51 | 1567.56 | 30.08% | 69.92% | -4.97 | 6-11 |
| 2012-07-13 | Washington Mystics | L 53-70 | 1474.54 | 1296.87 | 79.56% | 20.44% | -38.35 | 6-12 |
| 2012-08-16 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-66 | 1436.19 | 1619.14 | 32.81% | 67.19% | +28.32 | 7-12 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 74-85 | 1464.51 | 1590.82 | 25.66% | 74.34% | -9.95 | 7-13 |
| 2012-08-21 | @ Chicago Sky | W 77-67 | 1454.56 | 1433.96 | 44.57% | 55.43% | +20.49 | 8-13 |
| 2012-08-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 89-77 | 1475.05 | 1297.82 | 66.46% | 33.54% | +13.58 | 9-13 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 62-87 | 1488.63 | 1629.99 | 24.05% | 75.95% | -14.05 | 9-14 |
| 2012-08-26 | @ Seattle Storm | L 66-84 | 1474.58 | 1466.32 | 42.83% | 57.17% | -21.24 | 9-15 |
| 2012-08-30 | Indiana Fever | L 63-76 | 1453.34 | 1592.52 | 38.59% | 61.41% | -16.27 | 9-16 |
| 2012-09-01 | Washington Mystics | W 79-73 | 1437.07 | 1306.57 | 74.79% | 25.21% | +7.22 | 10-16 |
| 2012-09-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 87-59 | 1444.29 | 1320.27 | 74.08% | 25.92% | +16.03 | 11-16 |
| 2012-09-07 | Chicago Sky | L 83-92 | 1460.32 | 1429.01 | 62.64% | 37.36% | -21.97 | 11-17 |
| 2012-09-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 73-71 | 1438.35 | 1585.90 | 37.45% | 62.55% | +10.34 | 12-17 |
| 2012-09-12 | Washington Mystics | W 75-62 | 1448.69 | 1272.41 | 79.43% | 20.57% | +8.67 | 13-17 |
| 2012-09-16 | @ Washington Mystics | W 75-68 | 1457.36 | 1257.85 | 69.25% | 30.75% | +9.51 | 14-17 |
| 2012-09-18 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 66-77 | 1466.87 | 1564.19 | 28.97% | 71.03% | -11.23 | 14-18 |
| 2012-09-20 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 66-78 | 1455.64 | 1361.63 | 55.10% | 44.90% | -22.31 | 14-19 |
| 2012-09-22 | Tulsa Shock | W 91-74 | 1433.33 | 1383.94 | 65.04% | 34.96% | +16.85 | 15-19 |
| 2012-05-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 83-105 | 1507.27 | 1629.53 | 26.11% | 73.89% | -14.32 | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-22 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 89-87 | 1492.95 | 1331.90 | 64.35% | 35.65% | +5.89 | 1-1 |
| 2012-05-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 88-99 | 1498.84 | 1490.11 | 59.55% | 40.45% | -23.08 | 1-2 |
| 2012-05-31 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 65-81 | 1475.76 | 1538.68 | 33.21% | 66.79% | -15.53 | 1-3 |
| 2012-06-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 66-85 | 1460.23 | 1493.62 | 37.08% | 62.92% | -18.90 | 1-4 |
| 2012-06-03 | Tulsa Shock | W 79-72 | 1441.33 | 1306.23 | 75.29% | 24.71% | +7.64 | 2-4 |
| 2012-06-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-90 | 1448.97 | 1521.85 | 31.95% | 68.05% | -14.94 | 2-5 |
| 2012-06-15 | Minnesota Lynx | L 60-78 | 1434.03 | 1719.84 | 21.27% | 78.73% | -10.55 | 2-6 |
| 2012-06-17 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 75-87 | 1423.48 | 1272.45 | 63.02% | 36.98% | -25.51 | 2-7 |
| 2012-06-20 | Washington Mystics | W 80-77 | 1397.97 | 1351.23 | 64.69% | 35.31% | +7.14 | 3-7 |
| 2012-06-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-93 | 1405.11 | 1529.88 | 40.57% | 59.43% | -14.22 | 3-8 |
| 2012-06-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 80-96 | 1390.89 | 1733.18 | 9.06% | 90.94% | -4.24 | 3-9 |
| 2012-06-29 | @ Chicago Sky | W 84-81 | 1386.65 | 1507.42 | 26.28% | 73.72% | +14.93 | 4-9 |
| 2012-07-01 | @ Washington Mystics | L 77-90 | 1401.58 | 1311.53 | 54.53% | 45.47% | -22.99 | 4-10 |
| 2012-07-03 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 81-82 | 1378.59 | 1589.45 | 17.51% | 82.49% | -2.04 | 4-11 |
| 2012-07-07 | Atlanta Dream | L 93-100 | 1376.55 | 1554.30 | 33.48% | 66.52% | -10.36 | 4-12 |
| 2012-07-08 | @ Seattle Storm | L 68-83 | 1366.19 | 1485.32 | 26.46% | 73.54% | -11.98 | 4-13 |
| 2012-07-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-90 | 1354.21 | 1534.62 | 33.14% | 66.86% | -16.88 | 4-14 |
| 2012-07-13 | Seattle Storm | L 64-83 | 1337.33 | 1477.13 | 38.50% | 61.50% | -19.62 | 4-15 |
| 2012-08-16 | @ Seattle Storm | L 58-72 | 1317.71 | 1496.75 | 20.31% | 79.69% | -8.88 | 4-16 |
| 2012-08-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 47-89 | 1308.83 | 1675.08 | 14.53% | 85.47% | -11.01 | 4-17 |
| 2012-08-23 | New York Liberty | L 77-89 | 1297.82 | 1475.05 | 33.54% | 66.46% | -13.58 | 4-18 |
| 2012-08-25 | Indiana Fever | L 72-85 | 1284.24 | 1577.74 | 20.54% | 79.46% | -8.66 | 4-19 |
| 2012-08-30 | @ Seattle Storm | W 75-68 | 1275.58 | 1487.56 | 17.41% | 82.59% | +25.54 | 5-19 |
| 2012-09-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 94-90 | 1301.12 | 1621.74 | 18.11% | 81.89% | +19.15 | 6-19 |
| 2012-09-05 | @ New York Liberty | L 59-87 | 1320.27 | 1444.29 | 25.92% | 74.08% | -16.03 | 6-20 |
| 2012-09-07 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 91-82 | 1304.24 | 1600.18 | 11.51% | 88.49% | +31.03 | 7-20 |
| 2012-09-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 83-89 | 1335.27 | 1615.74 | 12.45% | 87.55% | -3.56 | 7-21 |
| 2012-09-12 | Connecticut Sun | L 78-100 | 1331.71 | 1576.09 | 25.53% | 74.47% | -14.00 | 7-22 |
| 2012-09-14 | Tulsa Shock | L 84-92 | 1317.71 | 1309.95 | 59.41% | 40.59% | -19.65 | 7-23 |
| 2012-09-16 | Chicago Sky | L 55-86 | 1298.06 | 1468.50 | 34.42% | 65.58% | -22.40 | 7-24 |
| 2012-09-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-101 | 1275.66 | 1602.13 | 9.83% | 90.17% | -5.75 | 7-25 |
| 2012-09-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 66-89 | 1269.91 | 1720.40 | 9.48% | 90.52% | -5.31 | 7-26 |
| 2012-09-23 | Seattle Storm | L 57-71 | 1264.60 | 1490.38 | 27.62% | 72.38% | -12.08 | 7-27 |
| 2012-05-19 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 88-79 | 1519.14 | 1343.75 | 66.22% | 33.78% | +11.85 | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-83 | 1530.99 | 1564.31 | 37.09% | 62.91% | -8.68 | 1-1 |
| 2012-05-30 | Chicago Sky | L 63-77 | 1522.31 | 1468.67 | 65.59% | 34.41% | -28.69 | 1-2 |
| 2012-06-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-66 | 1493.62 | 1460.23 | 62.92% | 37.08% | +18.90 | 2-2 |
| 2012-06-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 79-83 | 1512.52 | 1699.66 | 19.56% | 80.44% | -4.58 | 2-3 |
| 2012-06-08 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 57-60 | 1507.94 | 1529.82 | 38.64% | 61.36% | -7.82 | 2-4 |
| 2012-06-09 | Seattle Storm | W 80-67 | 1500.12 | 1479.57 | 61.18% | 38.82% | +16.36 | 3-4 |
| 2012-06-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 98-85 | 1516.48 | 1524.46 | 57.21% | 42.79% | +18.04 | 4-4 |
| 2012-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 76-82 | 1534.52 | 1478.95 | 49.59% | 50.41% | -14.20 | 4-5 |
| 2012-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 91-71 | 1520.32 | 1544.11 | 38.38% | 61.62% | +32.21 | 5-5 |
| 2012-06-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-80 | 1552.53 | 1478.06 | 68.25% | 31.75% | +13.89 | 6-5 |
| 2012-07-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 93-84 | 1566.42 | 1737.41 | 34.35% | 65.65% | +23.03 | 7-5 |
| 2012-07-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-81 | 1589.45 | 1378.59 | 82.49% | 17.51% | +2.04 | 8-5 |
| 2012-07-05 | @ Indiana Fever | W 88-72 | 1591.49 | 1589.52 | 41.94% | 58.06% | +27.15 | 9-5 |
| 2012-07-06 | @ Washington Mystics | W 78-73 | 1618.64 | 1334.52 | 78.57% | 21.43% | +5.60 | 10-5 |
| 2012-07-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 94-81 | 1624.24 | 1496.44 | 59.85% | 40.15% | +16.92 | 11-5 |
| 2012-07-11 | @ Chicago Sky | W 77-68 | 1641.16 | 1479.86 | 64.38% | 35.62% | +12.49 | 12-5 |
| 2012-07-13 | Atlanta Dream | W 91-70 | 1653.65 | 1561.81 | 70.37% | 29.63% | +15.88 | 13-5 |
| 2012-08-17 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 89-79 | 1669.53 | 1310.25 | 84.96% | 15.04% | +5.55 | 14-5 |
| 2012-08-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 89-47 | 1675.08 | 1308.83 | 85.47% | 14.53% | +11.01 | 15-5 |
| 2012-08-21 | Washington Mystics | W 75-72 | 1686.09 | 1335.76 | 91.32% | 8.68% | +1.76 | 16-5 |
| 2012-08-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-101 | 1687.85 | 1598.84 | 54.39% | 45.61% | -31.15 | 16-6 |
| 2012-08-25 | Tulsa Shock | W 91-71 | 1656.70 | 1310.16 | 91.14% | 8.86% | +4.63 | 17-6 |
| 2012-08-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 84-96 | 1661.33 | 1720.16 | 33.74% | 66.26% | -13.66 | 17-7 |
| 2012-08-30 | Connecticut Sun | L 73-84 | 1647.67 | 1583.95 | 66.89% | 33.11% | -25.93 | 17-8 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 90-94 | 1621.74 | 1301.12 | 81.89% | 18.11% | -19.15 | 17-9 |
| 2012-09-07 | Indiana Fever | L 78-82 | 1602.59 | 1602.08 | 58.40% | 41.60% | -13.65 | 17-10 |
| 2012-09-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 62-81 | 1588.94 | 1750.13 | 35.63% | 64.37% | -18.16 | 17-11 |
| 2012-09-12 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 78-67 | 1570.78 | 1319.56 | 75.21% | 24.79% | +9.61 | 18-11 |
| 2012-09-14 | Seattle Storm | W 90-66 | 1580.39 | 1471.64 | 72.36% | 27.64% | +15.83 | 19-11 |
| 2012-09-16 | Tulsa Shock | L 70-80 | 1596.22 | 1329.59 | 86.66% | 13.34% | -32.03 | 19-12 |
| 2012-09-18 | New York Liberty | W 77-66 | 1564.19 | 1466.87 | 71.03% | 28.97% | +11.23 | 20-12 |
| 2012-09-21 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-84 | 1575.42 | 1470.51 | 56.65% | 43.35% | -19.87 | 20-13 |
| 2012-09-23 | Minnesota Lynx | W 99-84 | 1555.55 | 1725.72 | 34.46% | 65.54% | +29.68 | 21-13 |
| 2012-05-18 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-72 | 1533.28 | 1457.97 | 68.35% | 31.65% | -19.57 | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-74 | 1513.71 | 1477.54 | 46.80% | 53.20% | -19.73 | 0-2 |
| 2012-05-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-84 | 1493.98 | 1669.49 | 20.64% | 79.36% | -8.70 | 0-3 |
| 2012-06-01 | Tulsa Shock | W 76-58 | 1485.28 | 1316.80 | 78.69% | 21.31% | +10.57 | 1-3 |
| 2012-06-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-67 | 1495.85 | 1515.41 | 38.96% | 61.04% | -6.44 | 1-4 |
| 2012-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 55-79 | 1489.41 | 1704.23 | 17.18% | 82.82% | -9.84 | 1-5 |
| 2012-06-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 67-80 | 1479.57 | 1500.12 | 38.82% | 61.18% | -16.36 | 1-6 |
| 2012-06-13 | @ Chicago Sky | L 58-74 | 1463.21 | 1537.39 | 31.79% | 68.21% | -14.86 | 1-7 |
| 2012-06-15 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 86-73 | 1448.35 | 1287.48 | 64.33% | 35.67% | +15.03 | 2-7 |
| 2012-06-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 65-62 | 1463.38 | 1730.39 | 23.14% | 76.86% | +15.57 | 3-7 |
| 2012-06-22 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 82-76 | 1478.95 | 1534.52 | 50.41% | 49.59% | +14.19 | 4-7 |
| 2012-06-24 | Washington Mystics | W 72-55 | 1493.14 | 1344.08 | 76.76% | 23.24% | +11.21 | 5-7 |
| 2012-06-26 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-71 | 1504.35 | 1332.88 | 65.71% | 34.29% | +11.33 | 6-7 |
| 2012-06-30 | @ New York Liberty | L 59-77 | 1515.68 | 1455.52 | 50.25% | 49.75% | -24.92 | 6-8 |
| 2012-07-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 89-83 | 1490.76 | 1592.70 | 28.43% | 71.57% | +20.50 | 7-8 |
| 2012-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 59-83 | 1511.26 | 1485.67 | 45.28% | 54.72% | -25.94 | 7-9 |
| 2012-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 83-68 | 1485.32 | 1366.19 | 73.54% | 26.46% | +11.98 | 8-9 |
| 2012-07-11 | Atlanta Dream | L 59-70 | 1497.30 | 1541.63 | 52.03% | 47.97% | -20.17 | 8-10 |
| 2012-07-13 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 83-64 | 1477.13 | 1337.33 | 61.50% | 38.50% | +19.62 | 9-10 |
| 2012-08-16 | Phoenix Mercury | W 72-58 | 1496.75 | 1317.71 | 79.69% | 20.31% | +8.88 | 10-10 |
| 2012-08-18 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-82 | 1505.63 | 1563.91 | 50.02% | 49.98% | -19.39 | 10-11 |
| 2012-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-86 | 1486.24 | 1693.54 | 29.80% | 70.20% | -12.56 | 10-12 |
| 2012-08-23 | Indiana Fever | L 66-68 | 1473.68 | 1570.38 | 44.52% | 55.48% | -7.36 | 10-13 |
| 2012-08-26 | New York Liberty | W 84-66 | 1466.32 | 1474.58 | 57.17% | 42.83% | +21.24 | 11-13 |
| 2012-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 68-75 | 1487.56 | 1275.58 | 82.59% | 17.41% | -25.55 | 11-14 |
| 2012-09-06 | Tulsa Shock | W 101-74 | 1462.01 | 1358.45 | 71.76% | 28.24% | +17.16 | 12-14 |
| 2012-09-08 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 89-66 | 1479.17 | 1341.29 | 61.23% | 38.77% | +21.73 | 13-14 |
| 2012-09-11 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 61-77 | 1500.90 | 1572.66 | 32.09% | 67.91% | -15.01 | 13-15 |
| 2012-09-12 | @ Indiana Fever | L 48-72 | 1485.89 | 1619.30 | 24.89% | 75.11% | -14.25 | 13-16 |
| 2012-09-14 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 66-90 | 1471.64 | 1580.39 | 27.64% | 72.36% | -15.83 | 13-17 |
| 2012-09-16 | Connecticut Sun | L 58-60 | 1455.81 | 1573.70 | 41.53% | 58.47% | -6.86 | 13-18 |
| 2012-09-18 | Chicago Sky | W 75-60 | 1448.95 | 1490.90 | 52.37% | 47.63% | +21.56 | 14-18 |
| 2012-09-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-75 | 1470.51 | 1575.42 | 43.35% | 56.65% | +19.87 | 15-18 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 71-57 | 1490.38 | 1264.60 | 72.38% | 27.62% | +12.08 | 16-18 |
| 2012-05-19 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 79-88 | 1343.75 | 1519.14 | 33.78% | 66.22% | -11.85 | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-22 | Phoenix Mercury | L 87-89 | 1331.90 | 1492.95 | 35.65% | 64.35% | -5.89 | 0-2 |
| 2012-05-26 | @ Washington Mystics | L 61-64 | 1326.01 | 1378.75 | 34.52% | 65.48% | -6.99 | 0-3 |
| 2012-05-29 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-76 | 1319.02 | 1513.20 | 18.93% | 81.07% | -2.22 | 0-4 |
| 2012-06-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 58-76 | 1316.80 | 1485.28 | 21.31% | 78.69% | -10.57 | 0-5 |
| 2012-06-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 72-79 | 1306.23 | 1441.33 | 24.71% | 75.29% | -7.64 | 0-6 |
| 2012-06-08 | @ Chicago Sky | L 91-98 | 1298.59 | 1512.63 | 17.24% | 82.76% | -5.33 | 0-7 |
| 2012-06-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 73-93 | 1293.26 | 1714.07 | 11.05% | 88.95% | -5.78 | 0-8 |
| 2012-06-15 | Seattle Storm | L 73-86 | 1287.48 | 1448.35 | 35.67% | 64.33% | -15.03 | 0-9 |
| 2012-06-17 | Phoenix Mercury | W 87-75 | 1272.45 | 1423.48 | 36.98% | 63.02% | +25.52 | 1-9 |
| 2012-06-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-95 | 1297.97 | 1522.21 | 16.42% | 83.58% | -7.68 | 1-10 |
| 2012-06-23 | Indiana Fever | L 70-73 | 1290.29 | 1587.53 | 20.19% | 79.81% | -4.09 | 1-11 |
| 2012-06-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 91-75 | 1286.20 | 1511.90 | 27.63% | 72.37% | +33.84 | 2-11 |
| 2012-06-29 | Atlanta Dream | L 92-102 | 1320.04 | 1552.93 | 26.81% | 73.19% | -9.91 | 2-12 |
| 2012-07-06 | Connecticut Sun | L 75-86 | 1310.13 | 1572.20 | 23.65% | 76.35% | -9.17 | 2-13 |
| 2012-07-08 | Washington Mystics | W 78-62 | 1300.96 | 1328.92 | 54.38% | 45.62% | +21.33 | 3-13 |
| 2012-07-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 86-107 | 1322.29 | 1672.07 | 15.75% | 84.25% | -8.43 | 3-14 |
| 2012-07-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-89 | 1313.86 | 1680.51 | 7.97% | 92.03% | -3.61 | 3-15 |
| 2012-08-17 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 79-89 | 1310.25 | 1669.53 | 15.04% | 84.96% | -5.56 | 3-16 |
| 2012-08-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 59-83 | 1304.69 | 1689.39 | 7.24% | 92.76% | -4.14 | 3-17 |
| 2012-08-21 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 80-82 | 1300.55 | 1600.77 | 11.26% | 88.74% | -1.86 | 3-18 |
| 2012-08-24 | Chicago Sky | W 81-78 | 1298.69 | 1403.59 | 43.35% | 56.65% | +11.47 | 4-18 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 71-91 | 1310.16 | 1656.70 | 8.86% | 91.14% | -4.63 | 4-19 |
| 2012-08-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 84-80 | 1305.53 | 1548.89 | 14.96% | 85.04% | +19.88 | 5-19 |
| 2012-08-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 99-85 | 1325.41 | 1644.04 | 18.28% | 81.72% | +35.74 | 6-19 |
| 2012-08-31 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 83-92 | 1361.15 | 1733.82 | 7.71% | 92.29% | -2.70 | 6-20 |
| 2012-09-06 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-101 | 1358.45 | 1462.01 | 28.24% | 71.76% | -17.16 | 6-21 |
| 2012-09-08 | Seattle Storm | L 66-89 | 1341.29 | 1479.17 | 38.77% | 61.23% | -21.73 | 6-22 |
| 2012-09-12 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 67-78 | 1319.56 | 1570.78 | 24.79% | 75.21% | -9.61 | 6-23 |
| 2012-09-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 92-84 | 1309.95 | 1317.71 | 40.59% | 59.41% | +19.64 | 7-23 |
| 2012-09-16 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-70 | 1329.59 | 1596.22 | 13.34% | 86.66% | +32.04 | 8-23 |
| 2012-09-20 | New York Liberty | W 78-66 | 1361.63 | 1455.64 | 44.90% | 55.10% | +22.31 | 9-23 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ New York Liberty | L 74-91 | 1383.94 | 1433.33 | 34.96% | 65.04% | -16.85 | 9-24 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Indiana Fever | L 58-91 | 1367.09 | 1610.92 | 14.93% | 85.07% | -10.03 | 9-25 |
| 2012-05-19 | Chicago Sky | L 57-69 | 1398.27 | 1469.23 | 48.20% | 51.80% | -19.52 | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-26 | Tulsa Shock | W 64-61 | 1378.75 | 1326.01 | 65.48% | 34.52% | +6.99 | 1-1 |
| 2012-05-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 77-79 | 1385.74 | 1678.19 | 20.64% | 79.36% | -3.41 | 1-2 |
| 2012-06-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 63-65 | 1382.33 | 1497.36 | 26.92% | 73.08% | -4.45 | 1-3 |
| 2012-06-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 86-94 | 1377.88 | 1554.93 | 20.50% | 79.50% | -6.78 | 1-4 |
| 2012-06-08 | New York Liberty | L 70-76 | 1371.10 | 1485.20 | 42.06% | 57.94% | -12.04 | 1-5 |
| 2012-06-15 | Indiana Fever | W 67-66 | 1359.06 | 1548.94 | 31.94% | 68.06% | +7.95 | 2-5 |
| 2012-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-101 | 1367.01 | 1506.42 | 24.25% | 75.75% | -15.78 | 2-6 |
| 2012-06-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-80 | 1351.23 | 1397.97 | 35.31% | 64.69% | -7.15 | 2-7 |
| 2012-06-24 | @ Seattle Storm | L 55-72 | 1344.08 | 1493.14 | 23.24% | 76.76% | -11.20 | 2-8 |
| 2012-06-26 | Seattle Storm | L 71-79 | 1332.88 | 1504.35 | 34.29% | 65.71% | -11.34 | 2-9 |
| 2012-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | L 64-77 | 1321.54 | 1582.69 | 23.74% | 76.26% | -10.01 | 2-10 |
| 2012-07-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 90-77 | 1311.53 | 1401.58 | 45.47% | 54.53% | +22.99 | 3-10 |
| 2012-07-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 73-78 | 1334.52 | 1618.64 | 21.43% | 78.57% | -5.60 | 3-11 |
| 2012-07-08 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 62-78 | 1328.92 | 1300.96 | 45.62% | 54.38% | -21.34 | 3-12 |
| 2012-07-10 | Connecticut Sun | L 70-77 | 1307.58 | 1602.18 | 20.43% | 79.57% | -6.32 | 3-13 |
| 2012-07-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 73-85 | 1301.26 | 1608.50 | 10.86% | 89.14% | -4.39 | 3-14 |
| 2012-07-13 | @ New York Liberty | W 70-53 | 1296.87 | 1474.54 | 20.44% | 79.56% | +38.34 | 4-14 |
| 2012-08-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 66-84 | 1335.21 | 1560.13 | 16.37% | 83.63% | -8.11 | 4-15 |
| 2012-08-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 69-98 | 1327.10 | 1684.12 | 8.38% | 91.62% | -5.28 | 4-16 |
| 2012-08-19 | Chicago Sky | W 75-71 | 1321.82 | 1447.90 | 40.39% | 59.61% | +13.94 | 5-16 |
| 2012-08-21 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 72-75 | 1335.76 | 1686.09 | 8.68% | 91.32% | -1.76 | 5-17 |
| 2012-08-24 | Atlanta Dream | L 69-81 | 1334.00 | 1551.37 | 28.60% | 71.40% | -11.58 | 5-18 |
| 2012-08-28 | @ Indiana Fever | L 68-83 | 1322.42 | 1586.40 | 13.52% | 86.48% | -6.12 | 5-19 |
| 2012-08-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 59-82 | 1316.30 | 1529.01 | 17.35% | 82.65% | -9.73 | 5-20 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 73-79 | 1306.57 | 1437.07 | 25.21% | 74.79% | -7.22 | 5-21 |
| 2012-09-04 | Connecticut Sun | L 70-77 | 1299.35 | 1593.86 | 20.44% | 79.56% | -6.32 | 5-22 |
| 2012-09-07 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-96 | 1293.03 | 1572.36 | 21.90% | 78.10% | -13.55 | 5-23 |
| 2012-09-09 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 68-93 | 1279.48 | 1565.59 | 12.10% | 87.90% | -7.07 | 5-24 |
| 2012-09-12 | @ New York Liberty | L 62-75 | 1272.41 | 1448.69 | 20.57% | 79.43% | -8.66 | 5-25 |
| 2012-09-14 | Atlanta Dream | L 74-82 | 1263.75 | 1587.67 | 17.83% | 82.17% | -5.90 | 5-26 |
| 2012-09-16 | New York Liberty | L 68-75 | 1257.85 | 1457.36 | 30.75% | 69.25% | -9.51 | 5-27 |
| 2012-09-21 | Indiana Fever | L 53-66 | 1248.34 | 1604.49 | 15.27% | 84.73% | -6.43 | 5-28 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Chicago Sky | L 58-77 | 1241.91 | 1455.09 | 17.31% | 82.69% | -8.83 | 5-29 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-09-28 | @ Indiana Fever | W 75-66 | 1585.02 | 1620.95 | 36.74% | 63.26% | +22.18 | 1-0 |
| 2012-09-30 | Indiana Fever | L 88-103 | 1607.20 | 1598.76 | 59.51% | 40.49% | -26.94 | 1-1 |
| 2012-10-02 | @ Indiana Fever | L 64-75 | 1580.26 | 1625.71 | 35.48% | 64.52% | -13.76 | 1-2 |
| 2012-09-27 | New York Liberty | W 65-60 | 1616.82 | 1450.18 | 78.51% | 21.49% | +5.61 | 1-0 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ New York Liberty | W 75-62 | 1622.43 | 1444.56 | 66.54% | 33.46% | +14.11 | 2-0 |
| 2012-10-05 | Indiana Fever | W 76-64 | 1636.54 | 1639.46 | 57.92% | 42.08% | +17.03 | 3-0 |
| 2012-10-08 | @ Indiana Fever | L 76-78 | 1653.57 | 1622.42 | 46.08% | 53.92% | -7.61 | 3-1 |
| 2012-10-11 | Indiana Fever | L 71-87 | 1645.96 | 1630.04 | 60.54% | 39.46% | -28.31 | 3-2 |
| 2012-09-28 | Atlanta Dream | L 66-75 | 1620.95 | 1585.02 | 63.26% | 36.74% | -22.19 | 0-1 |
| 2012-09-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 103-88 | 1598.76 | 1607.20 | 40.49% | 59.51% | +26.95 | 1-1 |
| 2012-10-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 75-64 | 1625.71 | 1580.26 | 64.52% | 35.48% | +13.75 | 2-1 |
| 2012-10-05 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-76 | 1639.46 | 1636.54 | 42.08% | 57.92% | -17.04 | 2-2 |
| 2012-10-08 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-76 | 1622.42 | 1653.57 | 53.92% | 46.08% | +7.62 | 3-2 |
| 2012-10-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 87-71 | 1630.04 | 1645.96 | 39.46% | 60.54% | +28.31 | 4-2 |
| 2012-10-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 76-70 | 1658.35 | 1707.74 | 34.96% | 65.04% | +18.62 | 5-2 |
| 2012-10-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-83 | 1676.97 | 1689.12 | 39.98% | 60.02% | -16.19 | 5-3 |
| 2012-10-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 76-59 | 1660.78 | 1705.31 | 52.00% | 48.00% | +23.14 | 6-3 |
| 2012-10-21 | Minnesota Lynx | W 87-78 | 1683.92 | 1682.17 | 58.58% | 41.42% | +14.53 | 7-3 |
| 2012-09-27 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 93-86 | 1636.74 | 1585.23 | 65.32% | 34.68% | +10.73 | 1-0 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 101-94 | 1647.47 | 1574.50 | 52.09% | 47.91% | +14.81 | 2-0 |
| 2012-10-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 77-94 | 1662.28 | 1683.20 | 38.77% | 61.23% | -18.68 | 2-1 |
| 2012-10-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 79-80 | 1643.60 | 1701.89 | 50.02% | 49.98% | -5.85 | 2-2 |
| 2012-09-28 | Seattle Storm | W 78-70 | 1696.04 | 1502.46 | 81.01% | 18.99% | +6.28 | 1-0 |
| 2012-09-30 | @ Seattle Storm | L 79-86 | 1702.32 | 1496.18 | 70.06% | 29.94% | -21.67 | 1-1 |
| 2012-10-02 | Seattle Storm | W 73-72 | 1680.65 | 1517.85 | 78.14% | 21.86% | +2.55 | 2-1 |
| 2012-10-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 94-77 | 1683.20 | 1662.28 | 61.23% | 38.77% | +18.69 | 3-1 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-79 | 1701.89 | 1643.60 | 49.98% | 50.02% | +5.85 | 4-1 |
| 2012-10-14 | Indiana Fever | L 70-76 | 1707.74 | 1658.35 | 65.04% | 34.96% | -18.62 | 4-2 |
| 2012-10-17 | Indiana Fever | W 83-71 | 1689.12 | 1676.97 | 60.02% | 39.98% | +16.19 | 5-2 |
| 2012-10-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 59-76 | 1705.31 | 1660.78 | 48.00% | 52.00% | -23.14 | 5-3 |
| 2012-10-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 78-87 | 1682.17 | 1683.92 | 41.42% | 58.58% | -14.52 | 5-4 |
| 2012-09-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 60-65 | 1450.18 | 1616.82 | 21.49% | 78.51% | -5.62 | 0-1 |
| 2012-09-29 | Connecticut Sun | L 62-75 | 1444.56 | 1622.43 | 33.46% | 66.54% | -14.10 | 0-2 |
| 2012-09-27 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 86-93 | 1585.23 | 1636.74 | 34.68% | 65.32% | -10.73 | 0-1 |
| 2012-09-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 94-101 | 1574.50 | 1647.47 | 47.91% | 52.09% | -14.82 | 0-2 |
| 2012-09-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-78 | 1502.46 | 1696.04 | 18.99% | 81.01% | -6.28 | 0-1 |
| 2012-09-30 | Minnesota Lynx | W 86-79 | 1496.18 | 1702.32 | 29.94% | 70.06% | +21.67 | 1-1 |
| 2012-10-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-73 | 1517.85 | 1680.65 | 21.86% | 78.14% | -2.56 | 1-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2012-09-07 | 11.51% | Phoenix Mercury | 1304.24 | 91 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1600.18 | 82 |
| 2 | 2012-09-16 | 13.34% | Tulsa Shock | 1329.59 | 80 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1596.22 | 70 |
| 3 | 2012-08-28 | 14.96% | Tulsa Shock | 1305.53 | 84 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1548.89 | 80 |
| 4 | 2012-08-30 | 17.41% | Phoenix Mercury | 1275.58 | 75 | @ Seattle Storm | 1487.56 | 68 |
| 5 | 2012-08-26 | 17.53% | Chicago Sky | 1392.12 | 82 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1602.63 | 70 |
| 6 | 2012-09-11 | 17.80% | @ Chicago Sky | 1444.03 | 83 | Minnesota Lynx | 1768.29 | 70 |
| 7 | 2012-09-01 | 18.11% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1301.12 | 94 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1621.74 | 90 |
| 8 | 2012-08-30 | 18.28% | @ Tulsa Shock | 1325.41 | 99 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1644.04 | 85 |
| 9 | 2012-07-13 | 20.44% | Washington Mystics | 1296.87 | 70 | @ New York Liberty | 1474.54 | 53 |
| 10 | 2012-06-17 | 23.14% | @ Seattle Storm | 1463.38 | 65 | Minnesota Lynx | 1730.39 | 62 |
| 11 | 2012-07-05 | 24.90% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1464.17 | 96 | Minnesota Lynx | 1714.39 | 90 |
| 12 | 2012-06-29 | 26.28% | Phoenix Mercury | 1386.65 | 84 | @ Chicago Sky | 1507.42 | 81 |
| 13 | 2012-07-07 | 27.32% | Connecticut Sun | 1581.37 | 86 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1692.88 | 80 |
| 14 | 2012-06-26 | 27.63% | @ Tulsa Shock | 1286.20 | 91 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1511.90 | 75 |
| 15 | 2012-07-01 | 28.43% | Seattle Storm | 1490.76 | 89 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1592.70 | 83 |
| 16 | 2012-09-02 | 29.90% | @ Chicago Sky | 1401.83 | 85 | Los Angeles Sparks | 1608.30 | 74 |
| 17 | 2012-09-30 * | 29.94% | @ Seattle Storm | 1496.18 | 86 | Minnesota Lynx | 1702.32 | 79 |
| 18 | 2012-06-19 | 30.32% | New York Liberty | 1456.33 | 73 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1542.46 | 60 |
| 19 | 2012-05-18 | 31.65% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1457.97 | 72 | @ Seattle Storm | 1533.28 | 66 |
| 20 | 2012-06-15 | 31.94% | @ Washington Mystics | 1359.06 | 67 | Indiana Fever | 1548.94 | 66 |
| 21 | 2012-08-16 | 32.81% | @ New York Liberty | 1436.19 | 79 | Connecticut Sun | 1619.14 | 66 |
| 22 | 2012-08-30 | 33.11% | Connecticut Sun | 1583.95 | 84 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1647.67 | 73 |
| 23 | 2012-06-13 | 33.24% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1536.79 | 87 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1599.50 | 81 |
| 24 | 2012-07-01 | 34.35% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1566.42 | 93 | Minnesota Lynx | 1737.41 | 84 |
| 25 | 2012-05-30 | 34.41% | Chicago Sky | 1468.67 | 77 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1522.31 | 63 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2012-07-13 | 38.35 | Washington Mystics | 70 | 1296.87 | 20.44% | @ New York Liberty | 53 | 1474.54 | 79.56% |
| 2 | 2012-08-30 | 35.74 | @ Tulsa Shock | 99 | 1325.41 | 18.28% | Los Angeles Sparks | 85 | 1644.04 | 81.72% |
| 3 | 2012-06-21 | 34.68 | @ Indiana Fever | 95 | 1552.85 | 49.13% | Connecticut Sun | 61 | 1617.36 | 50.87% |
| 4 | 2012-09-11 | 34.65 | @ Chicago Sky | 83 | 1444.03 | 17.80% | Minnesota Lynx | 70 | 1768.29 | 82.20% |
| 5 | 2012-06-26 | 33.84 | @ Tulsa Shock | 91 | 1286.20 | 27.63% | Los Angeles Sparks | 75 | 1511.90 | 72.37% |
| 6 | 2012-08-26 | 33.40 | Chicago Sky | 82 | 1392.12 | 17.53% | @ Connecticut Sun | 70 | 1602.63 | 82.47% |
| 7 | 2012-06-24 | 32.21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 91 | 1520.32 | 38.38% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 71 | 1544.11 | 61.62% |
| 8 | 2012-09-16 | 32.04 | Tulsa Shock | 80 | 1329.59 | 13.34% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 70 | 1596.22 | 86.66% |
| 9 | 2012-06-15 | 31.45 | @ Atlanta Dream | 92 | 1519.45 | 53.16% | Los Angeles Sparks | 59 | 1555.91 | 46.84% |
| 10 | 2012-08-23 | 31.15 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 101 | 1598.84 | 45.61% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 77 | 1687.85 | 54.39% |
| 11 | 2012-09-07 | 31.03 | Phoenix Mercury | 91 | 1304.24 | 11.51% | @ Connecticut Sun | 82 | 1600.18 | 88.49% |
| 12 | 2012-09-23 | 29.68 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 99 | 1555.55 | 34.46% | Minnesota Lynx | 84 | 1725.72 | 65.54% |
| 13 | 2012-06-19 | 29.37 | New York Liberty | 73 | 1456.33 | 30.32% | @ Atlanta Dream | 60 | 1542.46 | 69.68% |
| 14 | 2012-09-20 | 28.86 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 92 | 1607.88 | 38.29% | Minnesota Lynx | 76 | 1749.26 | 61.71% |
| 15 | 2012-06-03 | 28.74 | @ New York Liberty | 87 | 1442.89 | 36.53% | Indiana Fever | 72 | 1597.28 | 63.47% |
| 16 | 2012-05-30 | 28.69 | Chicago Sky | 77 | 1468.67 | 34.41% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 63 | 1522.31 | 65.59% |
| 17 | 2012-08-16 | 28.32 | @ New York Liberty | 79 | 1436.19 | 32.81% | Connecticut Sun | 66 | 1619.14 | 67.19% |
| 18 | 2012-10-11 * | 28.31 | Indiana Fever | 87 | 1630.04 | 39.46% | @ Connecticut Sun | 71 | 1645.96 | 60.54% |
| 19 | 2012-05-27 | 28.05 | Indiana Fever | 78 | 1554.79 | 40.01% | @ Atlanta Dream | 62 | 1566.73 | 59.99% |
| 20 | 2012-09-02 | 27.18 | @ Chicago Sky | 85 | 1401.83 | 29.90% | Los Angeles Sparks | 74 | 1608.30 | 70.10% |
| 21 | 2012-07-05 | 27.15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 88 | 1591.49 | 41.94% | @ Indiana Fever | 72 | 1589.52 | 58.06% |
| 22 | 2012-09-30 * | 26.95 | Indiana Fever | 103 | 1598.76 | 40.49% | @ Atlanta Dream | 88 | 1607.20 | 59.51% |
| 23 | 2012-07-07 | 25.94 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 83 | 1485.67 | 54.72% | Seattle Storm | 59 | 1511.26 | 45.28% |
| 24 | 2012-08-30 | 25.94 | Connecticut Sun | 84 | 1583.95 | 33.11% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 73 | 1647.67 | 66.89% |
| 25 | 2012-08-30 | 25.55 | Phoenix Mercury | 75 | 1275.58 | 17.41% | @ Seattle Storm | 68 | 1487.56 | 82.59% |