Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2012
‹ ›

2012 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Indiana Fever

1st Title

Runner-Up

Minnesota Lynx

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2011

Biggest Overachiever

Los Angeles Sparks

5.09 wins above expected

24 wins · 18.91 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Phoenix Mercury

3.92 wins below expected

7 wins · 10.92 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Connecticut Sun League 25 9 .735 - 81.6 77.4 +4.2 21.76 +3.24
2 Indiana Fever Playoffs 22 12 .647 3 78.3 72.3 +6.0 20.72 +1.28
3 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 19 15 .559 6 78.6 75.8 +2.8 19.82 -0.82
4 New York Liberty Playoffs 15 19 .441 10 73.1 77.2 -4.1 15.83 -0.83
5 Chicago Sky 14 20 .412 11 75.2 75.5 -0.2 15.25 -1.25
6 Washington Mystics 5 29 .147 20 68.6 78.3 -9.7 8.41 -3.41
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Minnesota Lynx League 27 7 .794 - 86.0 76.2 +9.8 26.51 +0.49
2 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 24 10 .706 3 84.0 78.3 +5.8 18.91 +5.09
3 San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs 21 13 .618 6 82.1 76.9 +5.1 20.90 +0.10
4 Seattle Storm Playoffs 16 18 .471 11 71.2 71.6 -0.4 17.03 -1.03
5 Tulsa Shock 9 25 .265 18 77.2 84.2 -7.0 7.93 +1.07
6 Phoenix Mercury 7 27 .206 20 74.5 86.7 -12.2 10.92 -3.92

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Connecticut Sun 2
New York Liberty 0

2 games · Sep 27–Sep 29

Indiana Fever 2
Atlanta Dream 1

3 games · Sep 28–Oct 2

Conference Final

Indiana Fever 2
Connecticut Sun 1

3 games · Oct 5–Oct 11

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Los Angeles Sparks 2
San Antonio Silver Stars 0

2 games · Sep 27–Sep 29

Minnesota Lynx 2
Seattle Storm 1

3 games · Sep 28–Oct 2

Conference Final

Minnesota Lynx 2
Los Angeles Sparks 0

2 games · Oct 4–Oct 7

WNBA Finals

Indiana Fever 3
Minnesota Lynx 1

4 games · Oct 14–Oct 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Minnesota Lynx Western 1702 27 26.51 +0.49 65.31% 15 23 25 27 28 30 34
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1637 24 18.91 +5.09 98.38% 7 15 17 19 21 23 32
Indiana Fever Eastern 1622 22 20.72 +1.28 74.54% 8 16 19 21 23 25 31
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1618 25 21.76 +3.24 92.39% 10 17 20 22 24 26 32
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1587 21 20.90 +0.10 58.75% 9 17 19 21 23 25 31
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1587 19 19.82 -0.82 44.96% 8 15 18 20 22 24 31
Seattle Storm Western 1502 16 17.03 -1.03 42.28% 6 13 15 17 19 21 29
Chicago Sky Eastern 1463 14 15.25 -1.25 39.39% 4 11 13 15 17 20 27
New York Liberty Eastern 1450 15 15.83 -0.83 45.48% 4 11 14 16 18 20 28
Tulsa Shock Western 1353 9 7.93 +1.07 75.20% 0 4 6 8 9 12 19
Phoenix Mercury Western 1251 7 10.92 -3.92 7.95% 1 7 9 11 13 15 23
Washington Mystics Eastern 1228 5 8.41 -3.41 11.03% 0 5 7 8 10 12 19

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream —
3-2
(3.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
4-0
(3.3 exp.)
Chicago Sky
2-3
(1.9 exp.)
 —
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
0-5
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
 —
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
4-1
(3.2 exp.)
5-0
(4.1 exp.)
Indiana Fever
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
5-0
(3.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
 —
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(3.3 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
1-4
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
 —
4-1
(3.7 exp.)
Washington Mystics
0-4
(0.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
0-5
(0.9 exp.)
1-3
(0.7 exp.)
1-4
(1.3 exp.)
 —

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Indiana Fever
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Washington Mystics
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks —
2-2
(1.0 exp.)
5-0
(3.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
5-0
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(3.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-2
(3.0 exp.)
 —
4-0
(3.4 exp.)
3-2
(3.5 exp.)
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
5-0
(4.6 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
0-5
(1.8 exp.)
0-4
(0.6 exp.)
 —
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
1-4
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
2-3
(1.5 exp.)
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
 —
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
4-1
(4.1 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-5
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
4-1
(3.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
 —
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
2-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-5
(0.4 exp.)
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-4
(0.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
 —

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50———0.25%0.25%——0.49%
50–59——1.23%2.70%1.23%0.74%—5.88%
60–69—1.23%3.43%7.11%3.68%1.47%—16.91%
70–790.25%2.70%7.11%8.33%10.29%3.43%1.72%33.82%
80–890.25%1.23%3.68%10.29%6.86%4.41%0.49%27.21%
90–99—0.74%1.47%3.43%4.41%2.45%0.49%12.99%
100+———1.72%0.49%0.49%—2.70%
Total0.49%5.88%16.91%33.82%27.21%12.99%2.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.53 77.53 +0.00
SD 11.20 11.20 14.90
CV 0.14 0.14 —
Max 107 107 +42
Min 47 47 -42

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69—2.94%—11.76%———14.71%
70–79—5.88%11.76%5.88%5.88%8.82%—38.24%
80–89—2.94%5.88%8.82%5.88%2.94%—26.47%
90–99—2.94%2.94%——5.88%—11.76%
100+———2.94%—5.88%—8.82%
Total—14.71%20.59%29.41%11.76%23.53%—100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.59 75.76 +2.82
SD 11.29 12.35 14.08
CV 0.14 0.16 —
Max 102 97 +33
Min 60 57 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%————2.94%
60–69—2.94%2.94%14.71%2.94%——23.53%
70–79—5.88%8.82%2.94%29.41%——47.06%
80–89—2.94%—8.82%5.88%——17.65%
90–99————2.94%5.88%—8.82%
100+————————
Total—11.76%14.71%26.47%41.18%5.88%—100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.24 75.47 -0.24
SD 9.22 10.16 11.47
CV 0.12 0.13 —
Max 98 92 +31
Min 59 55 -17

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69—2.94%—2.94%—2.94%—8.82%
70–79——5.88%11.76%5.88%——23.53%
80–89———23.53%20.59%5.88%—50.00%
90–99—2.94%—8.82%2.94%——14.71%
100+———2.94%———2.94%
Total—5.88%5.88%50.00%29.41%8.82%—100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.59 77.38 +4.21
SD 9.19 9.13 13.23
CV 0.11 0.12 —
Max 100 95 +42
Min 60 55 -34

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59———2.94%———2.94%
60–69—2.94%8.82%8.82%———20.59%
70–792.94%—5.88%5.88%8.82%——23.53%
80–89——8.82%17.65%14.71%——41.18%
90–99—2.94%5.88%—2.94%——11.76%
100+————————
Total2.94%5.88%29.41%35.29%26.47%——100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.32 72.32 +6.00
SD 9.44 10.40 12.80
CV 0.12 0.14 —
Max 95 89 +34
Min 58 48 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59—————2.94%—2.94%
60–69——2.94%————2.94%
70–79——11.76%8.82%5.88%5.88%—32.35%
80–89—2.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%11.76%—26.47%
90–99——2.94%11.76%8.82%2.94%—26.47%
100+———8.82%———8.82%
Total—2.94%20.59%35.29%17.65%23.53%—100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 84.03 78.26 +5.76
SD 10.64 11.20 15.51
CV 0.13 0.14 —
Max 101 99 +31
Min 59 59 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69——5.88%————5.88%
70–79—2.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%—17.65%
80–89—2.94%8.82%23.53%2.94%5.88%—44.12%
90–99——2.94%2.94%11.76%5.88%—23.53%
100+———2.94%5.88%——8.82%
Total—5.88%23.53%32.35%23.53%14.71%—100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 85.97 76.18 +9.79
SD 10.09 11.35 12.51
CV 0.12 0.15 —
Max 107 99 +32
Min 62 55 -16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59———2.94%—2.94%—5.88%
60–69—2.94%—14.71%8.82%2.94%—29.41%
70–79—2.94%14.71%14.71%2.94%2.94%5.88%44.12%
80–89—2.94%—5.88%2.94%5.88%—17.65%
90–99———2.94%———2.94%
100+————————
Total—8.82%14.71%41.18%14.71%14.71%5.88%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.06 77.21 -4.15
SD 9.35 12.02 16.29
CV 0.13 0.16 —
Max 91 102 +28
Min 53 59 -42

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————2.94%——2.94%
50–59———5.88%5.88%——11.76%
60–69———2.94%14.71%——17.65%
70–79——2.94%2.94%8.82%8.82%5.88%29.41%
80–89———2.94%11.76%11.76%2.94%29.41%
90–99————2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
100+————————
Total——2.94%14.71%47.06%23.53%11.76%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.50 86.74 -12.24
SD 11.71 8.88 11.71
CV 0.16 0.10 —
Max 94 105 +9
Min 47 68 -42

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%————2.94%
60–69———2.94%2.94%——5.88%
70–79——8.82%5.88%20.59%—2.94%38.24%
80–892.94%—5.88%8.82%2.94%2.94%—23.53%
90–99——2.94%8.82%14.71%2.94%—29.41%
100+————————
Total2.94%—20.59%26.47%41.18%5.88%2.94%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.06 76.94 +5.12
SD 10.15 10.59 14.08
CV 0.12 0.14 —
Max 99 101 +42
Min 57 47 -24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50———2.94%———2.94%
50–59——2.94%11.76%2.94%——17.65%
60–69——8.82%11.76%2.94%2.94%—26.47%
70–79—11.76%2.94%2.94%8.82%——26.47%
80–89——11.76%8.82%2.94%——23.53%
90–99————————
100+———2.94%———2.94%
Total—11.76%26.47%41.18%17.65%2.94%—100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 71.24 71.65 -0.41
SD 11.75 9.05 15.51
CV 0.16 0.13 —
Max 101 90 +27
Min 48 55 -24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59———2.94%2.94%2.94%—8.82%
60–69——2.94%2.94%2.94%——8.82%
70–79——5.88%8.82%14.71%11.76%2.94%44.12%
80–89———8.82%8.82%2.94%2.94%23.53%
90–99———2.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%14.71%
100+————————
Total——8.82%26.47%35.29%20.59%8.82%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.24 84.21 -6.97
SD 10.21 10.74 13.13
CV 0.13 0.13 —
Max 99 107 +16
Min 58 62 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——5.88%5.88%2.94%——14.71%
60–69——8.82%11.76%8.82%8.82%—38.24%
70–79—2.94%—26.47%8.82%—2.94%41.18%
80–89—————2.94%—2.94%
90–99———2.94%———2.94%
100+————————
Total—2.94%14.71%47.06%20.59%11.76%2.94%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 68.56 78.26 -9.71
SD 7.78 10.24 10.84
CV 0.11 0.13 —
Max 90 101 +17
Min 53 53 -31

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +11.4
Allowed 0.29 -9.1
Differential 0.93 +10.1

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Los Angeles Sparks 24 18.91 +5.09
2 Connecticut Sun 25 21.76 +3.24
3 Indiana Fever 22 20.72 +1.28
4 Tulsa Shock 9 7.93 +1.07
5 Minnesota Lynx 27 26.51 +0.49

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Phoenix Mercury 7 10.92 -3.92
2 Washington Mystics 5 8.41 -3.41
3 Chicago Sky 14 15.25 -1.25
4 Seattle Storm 16 17.03 -1.03
5 New York Liberty 15 15.83 -0.83

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Los Angeles Sparks 9 Jul 5 – Aug 25 1 in 625
2 San Antonio Silver Stars 12 Jun 24 – Aug 21 1 in 214
3 Chicago Sky 6 May 30 – Jun 13 1 in 51
4 Tulsa Shock 3 Sep 14 – Sep 20 1 in 44
5 Phoenix Mercury 2 Aug 30 – Sep 1 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Sky 9 Jul 6 – Aug 24 1 in 280
2 San Antonio Silver Stars 5 Aug 28 – Sep 9 1 in 94
3 Minnesota Lynx 3 Jul 1 – Jul 7 1 in 49
4 Phoenix Mercury 10 Jul 1 – Aug 25 1 in 36
5 Indiana Fever 3 Jun 3 – Jun 15 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team123456
Connecticut Sun46.69%29.79%16.74%5.45%1.31%0.02%
Indiana Fever29.86%32.59%25.27%9.29%2.93%0.05%
Atlanta Dream20.44%27.91%31.93%14.29%5.30%0.12%
New York Liberty1.79%5.52%14.54%37.74%37.85%2.57%
Chicago Sky1.21%4.18%11.47%32.42%46.95%3.76%
Washington Mystics-<0.01%0.06%0.80%5.66%93.47%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx91.09%7.80%1.00%0.11%<0.01%-
San Antonio Silver Stars6.69%55.43%27.73%9.74%0.39%<0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks1.78%25.77%42.45%27.94%1.97%0.09%
Seattle Storm0.43%10.92%27.91%54.73%5.56%0.45%
Phoenix Mercury<0.01%0.08%0.84%6.65%72.55%19.87%
Tulsa Shock-<0.01%0.05%0.83%19.52%79.59%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx79.90%13.51%4.18%1.54%0.60%0.20%0.05%0.01%----
Connecticut Sun7.57%27.67%21.93%16.47%11.67%7.61%4.27%2.04%0.70%0.06%<0.01%-
San Antonio Silver Stars4.87%18.27%20.68%18.72%15.15%10.88%6.66%3.43%1.15%0.18%0.02%-
Indiana Fever4.03%18.11%19.38%18.33%15.42%11.71%7.16%3.91%1.73%0.20%0.01%<0.01%
Atlanta Dream2.15%12.43%15.24%16.87%16.99%15.12%10.79%6.64%3.23%0.49%0.05%<0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks1.14%6.62%10.90%14.22%17.21%18.42%15.27%10.05%5.00%1.02%0.12%0.01%
Seattle Storm0.24%1.93%4.27%7.04%11.00%15.60%20.60%20.54%14.34%3.65%0.69%0.10%
New York Liberty0.07%0.87%2.02%3.88%6.55%10.89%17.82%24.16%24.46%7.28%1.68%0.31%
Chicago Sky0.03%0.58%1.38%2.87%5.21%8.94%15.45%23.27%29.68%9.70%2.37%0.52%
Phoenix Mercury<0.01%<0.01%0.02%0.05%0.17%0.57%1.60%4.53%13.58%47.35%22.09%10.03%
Washington Mystics--<0.01%<0.01%<0.01%0.04%0.21%0.91%3.67%16.60%39.83%38.73%
Tulsa Shock----<0.01%0.03%0.10%0.50%2.45%13.48%33.14%50.29%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Connecticut Sun46.69%29.79%16.74%5.45%1.33%
Indiana Fever29.86%32.59%25.27%9.29%2.98%
Atlanta Dream20.44%27.91%31.93%14.29%5.43%
New York Liberty1.79%5.52%14.54%37.74%40.41%
Chicago Sky1.21%4.18%11.47%32.42%50.71%
Washington Mystics-<0.01%0.06%0.80%99.13%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx91.09%7.80%1.00%0.11%<0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars6.69%55.43%27.73%9.74%0.40%
Los Angeles Sparks1.78%25.77%42.45%27.94%2.06%
Seattle Storm0.43%10.92%27.91%54.73%6.01%
Phoenix Mercury<0.01%0.08%0.84%6.65%92.42%
Tulsa Shock-<0.01%0.05%0.83%99.11%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeAway
+16.67%
Fortress
58.33%41.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
24 Elo
0.041 points per Elo point
058.4580
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+3.37 points
Home-Tilted
-8+2.40+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.7
Open Race
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Indiana Fever, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
10.3%
Tough Road
012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.07 · As Expected: 2.07 to 2.85 · Elevated: 2.85 to 3.88 · High Variance: 3.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1 · Close: 1 to 1.36 · Off Target: 1.36 to 1.77 · Well Off Target: 1.77 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.44 · As Expected: 0.44 to 0.73 · More Than Expected: 0.73 to 1.17 · Far More Than Expected: 1.17 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.42 wins
As Expected
02.596
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.182.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.38%
Los Angeles Sparks
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.95%
Phoenix Mercury
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
As Expected
01.26
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected 0.6
0 of 8
Fewer Than Expected
08

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.94
Stratified
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Lopsided
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
No Contest
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
14%
Mostly Decisive
0%16%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Routine
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.19
Predictable
00.201
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Lopsided
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
As Expected
0%30%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.11 · Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.21 · Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Within Noise
00.1060.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx 100.00% 78.73% 54.03% 36.73%
Connecticut Sun 98.67% 65.34% 36.12% 14.92%
Indiana Fever 97.02% 61.77% 34.37% 14.31%
Los Angeles Sparks 97.94% 52.06% 24.14% 13.86%
Atlanta Dream 94.57% 49.36% 23.60% 8.67%
San Antonio Silver Stars 99.60% 48.31% 16.58% 8.43%
Seattle Storm 93.99% 20.68% 5.24% 1.90%
Chicago Sky 49.29% 11.07% 2.94% 0.60%
New York Liberty 59.59% 12.42% 2.97% 0.58%
Phoenix Mercury 7.58% 0.16% <0.01% <0.01%
Tulsa Shock 0.89% 0.04% <0.01% -
Washington Mystics 0.87% 0.03% <0.01% -
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream75.0%11.68%42.6%29.82%43.4%38.27%76.0%14.61%93.2%0.19%
Chicago Sky25.0%11.68%20.8%20.37%20.3%15.81%49.9%1.43%100.0%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun57.4%29.82%79.2%20.37%50.2%23.60%81.0%24.48%98.0%0.40%
Indiana Fever56.6%38.27%79.7%15.81%49.8%23.60%81.3%19.06%96.7%0.27%
New York Liberty24.0%14.61%50.1%1.43%19.0%24.48%18.7%19.06%66.7%<0.01%
Washington Mystics6.8%0.19%0.0%<0.01%2.0%0.40%3.3%0.27%33.3%<0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks34.7%29.87%95.7%0.28%58.4%56.61%74.7%11.15%92.3%0.03%
Minnesota Lynx65.3%29.87%98.5%6.13%73.5%11.13%85.0%52.09%95.9%0.78%
Phoenix Mercury4.3%0.28%1.5%6.13%4.6%1.10%12.3%0.07%0.0%<0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars41.6%56.61%26.5%11.13%95.4%1.10%67.5%30.68%87.5%0.08%
Seattle Storm25.3%11.15%15.0%52.09%87.7%0.07%32.5%30.68%100.0%<0.01%
Tulsa Shock7.7%0.03%4.1%0.78%100.0%<0.01%12.5%0.08%0.0%<0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream70.7%3.07%44.1%23.62%44.2%19.32%73.9%3.34%100.0%<0.01%
Chicago Sky29.3%3.07%24.9%3.63%23.3%4.00%53.0%0.37%
Connecticut Sun55.9%23.62%75.1%3.63%49.9%33.90%78.4%4.17%92.3%0.01%
Indiana Fever55.8%19.32%76.7%4.00%50.1%33.90%77.3%4.54%88.9%<0.01%
New York Liberty26.1%3.34%47.0%0.37%21.6%4.17%22.7%4.54%
Washington Mystics0.0%<0.01%7.7%0.01%11.1%<0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks37.2%34.91%95.6%0.04%59.1%9.28%71.7%7.81%85.7%0.02%
Minnesota Lynx62.8%34.91%100.0%0.06%71.1%34.94%81.7%8.82%100.0%0.01%
Phoenix Mercury4.4%0.04%0.0%0.06%2.3%0.04%18.8%0.02%
San Antonio Silver Stars40.9%9.28%28.9%34.94%97.7%0.04%65.2%4.04%77.8%<0.01%
Seattle Storm28.3%7.81%18.3%8.82%81.2%0.02%34.8%4.04%100.0%<0.01%
Tulsa Shock14.3%0.02%0.0%0.01%22.2%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa ShockAtlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream39.6%5.69%29.7%12.82%100.0%<0.01%47.5%3.86%62.2%1.23%100.0%<0.01%
Chicago Sky21.2%0.69%15.9%1.55%27.8%0.52%38.1%0.17%
Connecticut Sun45.5%8.77%33.8%19.48%50.0%<0.01%51.6%5.92%66.2%1.94%100.0%<0.01%
Indiana Fever45.4%8.23%34.5%18.62%100.0%<0.01%51.7%5.77%67.2%1.75%100.0%<0.01%
New York Liberty20.3%0.75%15.4%1.57%25.7%0.51%34.7%0.14%100.0%<0.01%
Washington Mystics0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks60.4%5.69%78.8%0.69%54.5%8.77%54.6%8.23%79.7%0.75%100.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Lynx70.3%12.82%84.1%1.55%66.2%19.48%65.5%18.62%84.6%1.57%
Phoenix Mercury0.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars52.5%3.86%72.2%0.52%48.4%5.92%48.3%5.77%74.3%0.51%100.0%<0.01%
Seattle Storm37.8%1.23%61.9%0.17%33.8%1.94%32.8%1.75%65.3%0.14%
Tulsa Shock0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx 84.90% 55.57% 37.63% Eliminated in Finals
Indiana Fever 60.60% 33.07% 13.47% Won Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream39.4%100.00%
Connecticut Sun81.3%100.00%
Indiana Fever60.6%100.00%
New York Liberty18.7%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks63.1%100.00%
Minnesota Lynx84.9%100.00%
San Antonio Silver Stars36.9%100.00%
Seattle Storm15.1%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream45.4%32.04%74.7%7.36%
Connecticut Sun54.6%32.04%50.9%49.25%
Indiana Fever49.1%49.25%78.3%11.35%
New York Liberty25.3%7.36%21.7%11.35%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks36.8%53.52%71.3%9.56%
Minnesota Lynx63.2%53.52%69.3%31.38%
San Antonio Silver Stars30.7%31.38%65.9%5.54%
Seattle Storm28.7%9.56%34.1%5.54%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormAtlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream37.6%5.25%31.3%11.24%44.8%2.64%64.9%0.91%
Connecticut Sun45.3%11.28%32.8%23.59%51.8%5.76%63.0%1.94%
Indiana Fever42.8%8.85%34.6%18.33%53.7%4.31%65.6%1.58%
New York Liberty19.3%1.12%14.7%2.42%29.6%0.59%38.8%0.20%
Los Angeles Sparks62.4%5.25%54.7%11.28%57.2%8.85%80.7%1.12%
Minnesota Lynx68.7%11.24%67.2%23.59%65.4%18.33%85.3%2.42%
San Antonio Silver Stars55.2%2.64%48.2%5.76%46.3%4.31%70.4%0.59%
Seattle Storm35.1%0.91%37.0%1.94%34.4%1.58%61.2%0.20%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 37.63% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
84.90%
→
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
60.89%
Win Prob
63.23%
→
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
42.12%
Win Prob
67.19%
Connecticut Sun 17.06% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
81.29%
→
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
58.90%
Win Prob
50.92%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
45.37%
Win Prob
32.81%
Los Angeles Sparks 15.40% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
63.08%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
74.27%
Win Prob
36.77%
→
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
40.03%
Win Prob
54.68%
Indiana Fever 13.47% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
60.60%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
73.10%
Win Prob
49.08%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
47.02%
Win Prob
34.56%
Atlanta Dream 7.27% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
39.40%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
72.57%
Win Prob
45.39%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
48.39%
Win Prob
31.29%
San Antonio Silver Stars 6.64% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.92%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
72.53%
Win Prob
30.73%
→
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
41.83%
Win Prob
48.21%
Seattle Storm 1.70% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
15.10%
→
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
59.25%
Win Prob
28.70%
→
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
42.25%
Win Prob
37.02%
New York Liberty 0.82% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
18.71%
→
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
56.91%
Win Prob
21.65%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
43.24%
Win Prob
14.70%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2012-05-19 @ Indiana Fever L 84-92 1577.12 1516.77 50.27% 49.73% -16.78 0-1
2012-05-25 New York Liberty W 100-74 1560.34 1480.53 68.91% 31.09% +18.71 1-1
2012-05-27 Indiana Fever L 62-78 1579.05 1553.54 61.85% 38.15% -29.20 1-2
2012-05-31 Phoenix Mercury W 81-65 1549.85 1473.50 68.48% 31.52% +14.88 2-2
2012-06-02 Chicago Sky L 92-94 1564.73 1496.57 67.45% 32.55% -11.26 2-3
2012-06-05 @ New York Liberty L 74-79 1553.47 1475.74 52.77% 47.23% -13.92 2-4
2012-06-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 60-57 1539.55 1512.13 62.11% 37.89% +7.74 3-4
2012-06-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-92 1547.29 1585.72 36.41% 63.59% -18.72 3-5
2012-06-15 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-59 1528.57 1553.30 54.84% 45.16% +30.61 4-5
2012-06-17 Connecticut Sun L 73-75 1559.18 1606.43 51.61% 48.39% -8.61 4-6
2012-06-19 New York Liberty L 60-73 1550.57 1459.46 70.29% 29.71% -29.91 4-7
2012-06-24 @ New York Liberty W 74-64 1520.66 1479.19 47.56% 52.44% +19.57 5-7
2012-06-26 Indiana Fever W 70-58 1540.23 1592.19 50.93% 49.07% +20.06 6-7
2012-06-29 @ Tulsa Shock W 102-92 1560.29 1308.26 75.29% 24.71% +9.22 7-7
2012-07-01 @ Chicago Sky L 69-71 1569.51 1489.06 53.16% 46.84% -8.87 7-8
2012-07-07 @ Phoenix Mercury W 100-93 1560.64 1373.70 67.69% 32.31% +10.08 8-8
2012-07-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-79 1570.72 1509.76 50.36% 49.64% -23.77 8-9
2012-07-11 @ Seattle Storm W 70-59 1546.95 1496.47 48.85% 51.15% +20.02 9-9
2012-07-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 70-91 1566.97 1657.30 29.81% 70.19% -16.12 9-10
2012-08-17 @ Chicago Sky W 82-76 1550.85 1458.41 54.88% 45.12% +13.04 10-10
2012-08-18 @ Indiana Fever L 72-86 1563.89 1568.60 41.01% 58.99% -18.10 10-11
2012-08-22 Chicago Sky W 82-71 1545.79 1410.75 75.28% 24.72% +9.67 11-11
2012-08-24 @ Washington Mystics W 81-69 1555.46 1326.68 72.72% 27.28% +11.15 12-11
2012-08-25 Minnesota Lynx L 74-84 1566.61 1714.99 37.34% 62.66% -13.93 12-12
2012-08-28 Tulsa Shock L 80-84 1552.68 1297.53 85.88% 14.12% -20.27 12-13
2012-08-30 Washington Mystics W 82-59 1532.41 1309.57 83.47% 16.53% +9.36 13-13
2012-09-02 Connecticut Sun W 87-80 1541.77 1611.82 48.33% 51.67% +16.13 14-13
2012-09-05 Indiana Fever W 71-64 1557.90 1618.35 49.71% 50.29% +15.70 15-13
2012-09-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 93-97 1573.60 1753.40 20.24% 79.76% -4.78 15-14
2012-09-09 Washington Mystics W 93-68 1568.82 1273.70 88.45% 11.55% +6.82 16-14
2012-09-11 Seattle Storm W 77-61 1575.64 1499.98 68.39% 31.61% +14.92 17-14
2012-09-14 @ Washington Mystics W 82-74 1590.56 1258.40 82.86% 17.14% +5.72 18-14
2012-09-20 @ Chicago Sky W 75-66 1596.28 1468.37 59.86% 40.14% +14.20 19-14
2012-09-23 @ Connecticut Sun L 72-92 1610.48 1595.17 43.82% 56.18% -23.12 19-15
2012-05-19 @ Washington Mystics W 69-57 1463.52 1382.99 53.17% 46.83% +19.14 1-0
2012-05-25 Indiana Fever L 72-83 1482.66 1533.55 51.09% 48.91% -20.00 1-1
2012-05-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-63 1462.66 1527.38 32.98% 67.02% +29.59 2-1
2012-06-01 Washington Mystics W 65-63 1492.25 1367.90 74.12% 25.88% +4.32 3-1
2012-06-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 94-92 1496.57 1564.73 32.55% 67.45% +11.26 4-1
2012-06-08 Tulsa Shock W 98-91 1507.83 1282.73 83.65% 16.35% +5.10 5-1
2012-06-10 @ New York Liberty W 73-64 1512.93 1501.09 43.33% 56.67% +20.06 6-1
2012-06-13 Seattle Storm W 74-58 1532.99 1463.43 67.63% 32.37% +15.28 7-1
2012-06-16 @ Indiana Fever L 70-84 1548.27 1541.00 42.69% 57.31% -18.84 7-2
2012-06-23 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-79 1529.43 1739.30 17.59% 82.41% -7.19 7-3
2012-06-27 Indiana Fever L 72-81 1522.24 1572.14 51.23% 48.77% -18.14 7-4
2012-06-29 Phoenix Mercury L 81-84 1504.10 1384.37 73.61% 26.39% -15.04 7-5
2012-07-01 Atlanta Dream W 71-69 1489.06 1569.51 46.84% 53.16% +8.87 8-5
2012-07-06 New York Liberty L 59-64 1497.93 1484.42 60.21% 39.79% -15.89 8-6
2012-07-07 @ Indiana Fever L 86-88 1482.04 1563.08 30.94% 69.06% -5.16 8-7
2012-07-11 San Antonio Silver Stars L 68-77 1476.88 1645.01 34.72% 65.28% -12.29 8-8
2012-07-13 Connecticut Sun L 78-80 1464.59 1615.37 37.02% 62.98% -6.18 8-9
2012-08-17 Atlanta Dream L 76-82 1458.41 1550.85 45.12% 54.88% -13.04 8-10
2012-08-19 @ Washington Mystics L 71-75 1445.37 1314.11 60.33% 39.67% -14.24 8-11
2012-08-21 New York Liberty L 67-77 1431.13 1457.34 54.63% 45.37% -20.38 8-12
2012-08-22 @ Atlanta Dream L 71-82 1410.75 1545.79 24.72% 75.28% -9.68 8-13
2012-08-24 @ Tulsa Shock L 78-81 1401.07 1290.19 57.49% 42.51% -11.75 8-14
2012-08-26 @ Connecticut Sun W 82-70 1389.32 1604.83 17.12% 82.88% +33.88 9-14
2012-08-28 Connecticut Sun L 72-83 1423.20 1570.95 37.42% 62.58% -14.64 9-15
2012-09-01 @ Indiana Fever L 64-81 1408.56 1609.42 18.35% 81.65% -8.93 9-16
2012-09-02 Los Angeles Sparks W 85-74 1399.63 1608.09 29.66% 70.34% +27.53 10-16
2012-09-07 @ New York Liberty W 92-83 1427.16 1461.70 36.93% 63.07% +22.32 11-16
2012-09-09 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-82 1449.48 1570.45 26.25% 73.75% -6.92 11-17
2012-09-11 Minnesota Lynx W 83-70 1442.56 1776.08 17.03% 82.97% +35.30 12-17
2012-09-13 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-86 1477.86 1574.99 29.00% 71.00% -10.27 12-18
2012-09-16 @ Phoenix Mercury W 86-55 1467.59 1296.39 65.68% 34.32% +22.55 13-18
2012-09-18 @ Seattle Storm L 60-75 1490.14 1448.09 47.64% 52.36% -21.77 13-19
2012-09-20 Atlanta Dream L 66-75 1468.37 1596.28 40.14% 59.86% -14.21 13-20
2012-09-22 Washington Mystics W 77-58 1454.16 1237.00 83.01% 16.99% +8.74 14-20
2012-05-19 @ New York Liberty W 78-73 1536.63 1529.88 42.61% 57.39% +15.14 1-0
2012-05-20 New York Liberty W 92-77 1551.77 1514.74 63.40% 36.60% +16.72 2-0
2012-05-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-79 1568.49 1536.17 62.77% 37.23% +8.79 3-0
2012-06-01 Minnesota Lynx L 72-85 1577.28 1699.53 40.92% 59.08% -17.41 3-1
2012-06-03 Washington Mystics W 94-86 1559.87 1363.58 81.25% 18.75% +6.26 4-1
2012-06-08 @ Indiana Fever W 89-81 1566.13 1568.82 41.29% 58.71% +19.59 5-1
2012-06-10 Atlanta Dream W 92-73 1585.72 1547.29 63.59% 36.41% +18.73 6-1
2012-06-13 Los Angeles Sparks L 81-87 1604.45 1533.71 67.78% 32.22% -19.59 6-2
2012-06-15 New York Liberty W 97-55 1584.86 1481.03 71.79% 28.21% +21.57 7-2
2012-06-17 @ Atlanta Dream W 75-73 1606.43 1559.18 48.39% 51.61% +8.61 8-2
2012-06-19 Indiana Fever W 88-85 1615.04 1559.85 65.80% 34.20% +6.99 9-2
2012-06-21 @ Indiana Fever L 61-95 1622.03 1552.86 51.54% 48.46% -35.46 9-3
2012-06-29 @ Washington Mystics W 77-64 1586.57 1310.32 77.79% 22.21% +9.44 10-3
2012-07-01 Seattle Storm L 83-89 1596.01 1489.97 72.05% 27.95% -20.82 10-4
2012-07-06 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-75 1575.19 1299.04 77.78% 22.22% +8.69 11-4
2012-07-07 @ Minnesota Lynx W 86-80 1583.88 1704.57 26.29% 73.71% +21.31 12-4
2012-07-10 @ Washington Mystics W 77-70 1605.19 1297.68 80.75% 19.25% +6.01 13-4
2012-07-11 Washington Mystics W 85-73 1611.20 1291.67 89.81% 10.19% +4.17 14-4
2012-07-13 @ Chicago Sky W 80-78 1615.37 1464.59 62.98% 37.02% +6.18 15-4
2012-08-16 @ New York Liberty L 66-79 1621.55 1438.84 67.16% 32.84% -28.58 15-5
2012-08-18 New York Liberty W 85-74 1592.97 1467.41 74.25% 25.75% +10.08 16-5
2012-08-21 Tulsa Shock W 82-80 1603.05 1291.97 89.35% 10.65% +1.78 17-5
2012-08-26 Chicago Sky L 70-82 1604.83 1389.32 82.88% 17.12% -33.88 17-6
2012-08-28 @ Chicago Sky W 83-72 1570.95 1423.20 62.58% 37.42% +14.65 18-6
2012-08-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-73 1585.60 1650.33 32.98% 67.02% +26.22 19-6
2012-09-02 @ Atlanta Dream L 80-87 1611.82 1541.77 51.67% 48.33% -16.13 19-7
2012-09-04 @ Washington Mystics W 77-70 1595.69 1293.18 80.30% 19.70% +6.15 20-7
2012-09-07 Phoenix Mercury L 82-91 1601.84 1302.58 88.69% 11.31% -31.39 20-8
2012-09-09 Chicago Sky W 82-77 1570.45 1449.48 73.75% 26.25% +6.93 21-8
2012-09-12 @ Phoenix Mercury W 100-78 1577.38 1330.41 74.75% 25.25% +13.97 22-8
2012-09-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 82-93 1591.35 1585.26 42.52% 57.48% -16.64 22-9
2012-09-16 @ Seattle Storm W 60-58 1574.71 1454.98 58.73% 41.27% +6.89 23-9
2012-09-19 Indiana Fever W 73-67 1581.60 1618.94 53.03% 46.97% +13.57 24-9
2012-09-23 Atlanta Dream W 92-72 1595.17 1610.48 56.18% 43.82% +23.13 25-9
2012-05-19 Atlanta Dream W 92-84 1516.77 1577.12 49.73% 50.27% +16.78 1-0
2012-05-25 @ Chicago Sky W 83-72 1533.55 1482.66 48.91% 51.09% +19.99 2-0
2012-05-27 @ Atlanta Dream W 78-62 1553.54 1579.05 38.15% 61.85% +29.20 3-0
2012-06-02 New York Liberty W 91-68 1582.74 1461.82 73.74% 26.26% +14.86 4-0
2012-06-03 @ New York Liberty L 72-87 1597.60 1446.96 62.96% 37.04% -28.78 4-1
2012-06-08 Connecticut Sun L 81-89 1568.82 1566.13 58.71% 41.29% -19.59 4-2
2012-06-15 @ Washington Mystics L 66-67 1549.23 1345.90 69.72% 30.28% -8.23 4-3
2012-06-16 Chicago Sky W 84-70 1541.00 1548.27 57.31% 42.69% +18.85 5-3
2012-06-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 85-88 1559.85 1615.04 34.20% 65.80% -6.99 5-4
2012-06-21 Connecticut Sun W 95-61 1552.86 1622.03 48.46% 51.54% +35.46 6-4
2012-06-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 73-70 1588.32 1277.42 81.05% 18.95% +3.87 7-4
2012-06-26 @ Atlanta Dream L 58-70 1592.19 1540.23 49.07% 50.93% -20.05 7-5
2012-06-27 @ Chicago Sky W 81-72 1572.14 1522.24 48.77% 51.23% +18.13 8-5
2012-07-05 San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-88 1590.27 1595.41 57.61% 42.39% -27.19 8-6
2012-07-07 Chicago Sky W 88-86 1563.08 1482.04 69.06% 30.94% +5.16 9-6
2012-07-10 New York Liberty W 84-82 1568.24 1483.21 69.55% 30.45% +5.08 10-6
2012-07-12 Los Angeles Sparks L 74-77 1573.32 1550.48 61.49% 38.51% -12.56 10-7
2012-08-16 Washington Mystics W 84-66 1560.76 1326.79 84.33% 15.67% +7.84 11-7
2012-08-18 Atlanta Dream W 86-72 1568.60 1563.89 58.99% 41.01% +18.11 12-7
2012-08-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 69-79 1586.71 1582.64 42.24% 57.76% -15.76 12-8
2012-08-23 @ Seattle Storm W 68-66 1570.95 1473.24 55.62% 44.38% +7.40 13-8
2012-08-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 85-72 1578.35 1281.91 79.74% 20.26% +8.62 14-8
2012-08-28 Washington Mystics W 83-68 1586.97 1315.52 86.98% 13.02% +5.95 15-8
2012-08-30 @ New York Liberty W 76-63 1592.92 1455.20 61.21% 38.79% +16.50 16-8
2012-09-01 Chicago Sky W 81-64 1609.42 1408.56 81.65% 18.35% +8.93 17-8
2012-09-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-71 1618.35 1557.90 50.29% 49.71% -15.70 17-9
2012-09-07 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-78 1602.65 1604.69 41.38% 58.62% +13.84 18-9
2012-09-09 Phoenix Mercury W 89-83 1616.49 1333.97 87.68% 12.32% +3.56 19-9
2012-09-12 Seattle Storm W 72-48 1620.05 1485.06 75.28% 24.72% +14.29 20-9
2012-09-14 Minnesota Lynx L 64-66 1634.34 1740.78 43.14% 56.86% -7.20 20-10
2012-09-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79-86 1627.14 1747.98 26.27% 73.73% -8.20 20-11
2012-09-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-73 1618.94 1581.60 46.97% 53.03% -13.58 20-12
2012-09-21 @ Washington Mystics W 66-53 1605.36 1243.31 85.17% 14.83% +6.31 21-12
2012-09-23 Tulsa Shock W 91-58 1611.67 1362.67 85.44% 14.56% +9.87 22-12
2012-05-18 @ Seattle Storm W 72-66 1452.78 1533.74 30.95% 69.05% +19.96 1-0
2012-05-22 Seattle Storm W 74-61 1472.74 1513.78 52.50% 47.50% +20.21 2-0
2012-05-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-92 1492.95 1682.08 19.38% 80.62% -6.47 2-1
2012-05-26 @ Phoenix Mercury W 99-88 1486.48 1496.90 40.22% 59.78% +23.39 3-1
2012-05-29 Tulsa Shock W 76-75 1509.87 1301.91 82.25% 17.75% +2.10 4-1
2012-06-03 Seattle Storm W 67-65 1511.97 1495.41 60.63% 39.37% +6.57 5-1
2012-06-08 Phoenix Mercury W 90-74 1518.54 1447.18 67.86% 32.14% +15.17 6-1
2012-06-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 87-81 1533.71 1604.45 32.22% 67.78% +19.59 7-1
2012-06-15 @ Atlanta Dream L 59-92 1553.30 1528.57 45.16% 54.84% -30.61 7-2
2012-06-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 85-98 1522.69 1520.67 41.95% 58.05% -17.85 7-3
2012-06-18 Washington Mystics W 101-70 1504.84 1354.13 76.92% 23.08% +15.16 8-3
2012-06-20 Tulsa Shock W 95-79 1520.00 1284.77 84.43% 15.57% +7.35 9-3
2012-06-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 93-84 1527.35 1402.67 59.42% 40.58% +14.36 10-3
2012-06-24 San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-91 1541.71 1524.00 60.79% 39.21% -32.07 10-4
2012-06-26 @ Tulsa Shock L 75-91 1509.64 1273.55 73.55% 26.45% -34.72 10-5
2012-06-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 80-94 1474.92 1556.08 30.92% 69.08% -13.65 10-6
2012-07-05 Minnesota Lynx W 96-90 1461.27 1726.74 23.30% 76.70% +22.17 11-6
2012-07-07 Seattle Storm W 83-59 1483.44 1510.79 54.46% 45.54% +26.32 12-6
2012-07-08 Atlanta Dream W 79-63 1509.76 1570.72 49.64% 50.36% +23.77 13-6
2012-07-10 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90-71 1533.53 1351.61 67.06% 32.94% +16.95 14-6
2012-07-12 @ Indiana Fever W 77-74 1550.48 1573.32 38.51% 61.49% +12.57 15-6
2012-08-18 @ Seattle Storm W 82-71 1563.05 1505.00 49.94% 50.06% +19.59 16-6
2012-08-21 Indiana Fever W 79-69 1582.64 1586.71 57.76% 42.24% +15.76 17-6
2012-08-23 San Antonio Silver Stars W 101-77 1598.40 1691.13 45.08% 54.92% +31.74 18-6
2012-08-25 New York Liberty W 87-62 1630.14 1491.17 75.70% 24.30% +14.34 19-6
2012-08-30 @ Tulsa Shock L 85-99 1644.48 1317.79 82.41% 17.59% -36.39 19-7
2012-09-02 @ Chicago Sky L 74-85 1608.09 1399.63 70.34% 29.66% -27.52 19-8
2012-09-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-88 1580.57 1744.90 21.71% 78.29% -8.50 19-9
2012-09-07 @ Washington Mystics W 96-68 1572.07 1287.03 78.66% 21.34% +13.33 20-9
2012-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 71-73 1585.40 1439.37 62.34% 37.66% -10.41 20-10
2012-09-13 Chicago Sky W 86-77 1574.99 1477.86 71.00% 29.00% +10.27 21-10
2012-09-14 Connecticut Sun W 93-82 1585.26 1591.35 57.48% 42.52% +16.64 22-10
2012-09-18 Phoenix Mercury W 101-76 1601.90 1273.84 90.25% 9.75% +5.75 23-10
2012-09-20 Minnesota Lynx W 92-76 1607.65 1756.18 37.32% 62.68% +29.59 24-10
2012-05-20 Phoenix Mercury W 105-83 1651.64 1504.25 76.58% 23.42% +12.96 1-0
2012-05-22 @ New York Liberty W 80-62 1664.60 1498.01 65.08% 34.92% +17.48 2-0
2012-05-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 92-84 1682.08 1492.95 80.62% 19.38% +6.47 3-0
2012-05-27 Seattle Storm W 84-71 1688.55 1493.57 81.14% 18.86% +8.03 4-0
2012-05-30 @ Washington Mystics W 79-77 1696.58 1370.85 82.33% 17.67% +2.95 5-0
2012-06-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 85-72 1699.53 1577.28 59.08% 40.92% +17.41 6-0
2012-06-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 83-79 1716.94 1516.47 81.61% 18.39% +4.34 7-0
2012-06-06 Seattle Storm W 79-55 1721.28 1488.84 84.22% 15.78% +9.12 8-0
2012-06-09 @ Tulsa Shock W 93-73 1730.40 1277.62 90.64% 9.36% +4.94 9-0
2012-06-15 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-60 1735.34 1432.01 80.37% 19.63% +9.83 10-0
2012-06-17 @ Seattle Storm L 62-65 1745.17 1462.52 78.42% 21.58% -16.03 10-1
2012-06-21 New York Liberty W 102-70 1729.14 1489.36 84.77% 15.23% +10.16 11-1
2012-06-23 Chicago Sky W 79-67 1739.30 1529.43 82.41% 17.59% +7.19 12-1
2012-06-27 Phoenix Mercury W 96-80 1746.49 1388.31 91.67% 8.33% +3.93 13-1
2012-07-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 84-93 1750.42 1569.73 66.90% 33.10% -23.68 13-2
2012-07-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 90-96 1726.74 1461.27 76.70% 23.30% -22.17 13-3
2012-07-07 Connecticut Sun L 80-86 1704.57 1583.88 73.71% 26.29% -21.31 13-4
2012-07-10 @ Tulsa Shock W 107-86 1683.26 1311.95 85.83% 14.17% +7.67 14-4
2012-07-12 Tulsa Shock W 89-74 1690.93 1304.29 92.84% 7.16% +3.27 15-4
2012-08-17 Washington Mystics W 98-69 1694.20 1318.95 92.39% 7.61% +4.84 16-4
2012-08-19 Tulsa Shock W 83-59 1699.04 1295.75 93.45% 6.55% +3.78 17-4
2012-08-21 @ Seattle Storm W 86-73 1702.82 1485.41 71.40% 28.60% +12.17 18-4
2012-08-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-74 1714.99 1566.61 62.66% 37.34% +13.93 19-4
2012-08-28 San Antonio Silver Stars W 96-84 1728.92 1663.79 67.07% 32.93% +13.46 20-4
2012-08-31 Tulsa Shock W 92-83 1742.38 1354.18 92.90% 7.10% +2.52 21-4
2012-09-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 88-77 1744.90 1580.57 78.29% 21.71% +8.50 22-4
2012-09-07 Atlanta Dream W 97-93 1753.40 1573.60 79.76% 20.24% +4.77 23-4
2012-09-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-62 1758.17 1590.86 65.17% 34.83% +17.91 24-4
2012-09-11 @ Chicago Sky L 70-83 1776.08 1442.56 82.97% 17.03% -35.30 24-5
2012-09-14 @ Indiana Fever W 66-64 1740.78 1634.34 56.86% 43.14% +7.20 25-5
2012-09-17 Indiana Fever W 86-79 1747.98 1627.14 73.73% 26.27% +8.20 26-5
2012-09-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 76-92 1756.18 1607.65 62.68% 37.32% -29.58 26-6
2012-09-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-66 1726.60 1268.09 90.91% 9.09% +5.14 27-6
2012-09-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 84-99 1731.74 1556.72 66.17% 33.83% -30.24 27-7
2012-05-19 Connecticut Sun L 73-78 1529.88 1536.63 57.39% 42.61% -15.14 0-1
2012-05-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-92 1514.74 1551.77 36.60% 63.40% -16.73 0-2
2012-05-22 Minnesota Lynx L 62-80 1498.01 1664.60 34.92% 65.08% -17.48 0-3
2012-05-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-100 1480.53 1560.34 31.09% 68.91% -18.71 0-4
2012-06-02 @ Indiana Fever L 68-91 1461.82 1582.74 26.26% 73.74% -14.86 0-5
2012-06-03 Indiana Fever W 87-72 1446.96 1597.60 37.04% 62.96% +28.78 1-5
2012-06-05 Atlanta Dream W 79-74 1475.74 1553.47 47.23% 52.77% +13.92 2-5
2012-06-08 @ Washington Mystics W 76-70 1489.66 1357.32 60.48% 39.52% +11.43 3-5
2012-06-10 Chicago Sky L 64-73 1501.09 1512.93 56.67% 43.33% -20.06 3-6
2012-06-15 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-97 1481.03 1584.86 28.21% 71.79% -21.57 3-7
2012-06-19 @ Atlanta Dream W 73-60 1459.46 1550.57 29.71% 70.29% +29.90 4-7
2012-06-21 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-102 1489.36 1729.14 15.23% 84.77% -10.17 4-8
2012-06-24 Atlanta Dream L 64-74 1479.19 1520.66 52.44% 47.56% -19.57 4-9
2012-06-30 Seattle Storm W 77-59 1459.62 1514.76 50.48% 49.52% +24.80 5-9
2012-07-06 @ Chicago Sky W 64-59 1484.42 1497.93 39.79% 60.21% +15.88 6-9
2012-07-08 San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-94 1500.30 1627.91 40.18% 59.82% -17.09 6-10
2012-07-10 @ Indiana Fever L 82-84 1483.21 1568.24 30.45% 69.55% -5.08 6-11
2012-07-13 Washington Mystics L 53-70 1478.13 1287.51 80.75% 19.25% -39.29 6-12
2012-08-16 Connecticut Sun W 79-66 1438.84 1621.55 32.84% 67.16% +28.57 7-12
2012-08-18 @ Connecticut Sun L 74-85 1467.41 1592.97 25.75% 74.25% -10.07 7-13
2012-08-21 @ Chicago Sky W 77-67 1457.34 1431.13 45.37% 54.63% +20.38 8-13
2012-08-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-77 1477.72 1295.35 67.11% 32.89% +13.45 9-13
2012-08-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-87 1491.17 1630.14 24.30% 75.70% -14.34 9-14
2012-08-26 @ Seattle Storm L 66-84 1476.83 1465.84 43.21% 56.79% -21.63 9-15
2012-08-30 Indiana Fever L 63-76 1455.20 1592.92 38.79% 61.21% -16.50 9-16
2012-09-01 Washington Mystics W 79-73 1438.70 1300.22 75.65% 24.35% +7.03 10-16
2012-09-05 Phoenix Mercury W 87-59 1445.73 1318.54 74.43% 25.57% +15.97 11-16
2012-09-07 Chicago Sky L 83-92 1461.70 1427.16 63.07% 36.93% -22.33 11-17
2012-09-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 73-71 1439.37 1585.40 37.66% 62.34% +10.40 12-17
2012-09-12 Washington Mystics W 75-62 1449.77 1266.89 80.05% 19.95% +8.49 13-17
2012-09-16 @ Washington Mystics W 75-68 1458.26 1252.68 69.99% 30.01% +9.37 14-17
2012-09-18 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-77 1467.63 1565.57 28.90% 71.10% -11.31 14-18
2012-09-20 @ Tulsa Shock L 66-78 1456.32 1356.53 55.92% 44.08% -22.86 14-19
2012-09-22 Tulsa Shock W 91-74 1433.46 1379.39 65.65% 34.35% +16.71 15-19
2012-05-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-105 1504.25 1651.64 23.42% 76.58% -12.96 0-1
2012-05-22 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-87 1491.29 1314.51 66.40% 33.60% +5.61 1-1
2012-05-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 88-99 1496.90 1486.48 59.78% 40.22% -23.40 1-2
2012-05-31 @ Atlanta Dream L 65-81 1473.50 1549.85 31.52% 68.48% -14.88 1-3
2012-06-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-85 1458.62 1497.80 36.31% 63.69% -18.67 1-4
2012-06-03 Tulsa Shock W 79-72 1439.95 1289.96 76.85% 23.15% +7.23 2-4
2012-06-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-90 1447.18 1518.54 32.14% 67.86% -15.17 2-5
2012-06-15 Minnesota Lynx L 60-78 1432.01 1735.34 19.63% 80.37% -9.83 2-6
2012-06-17 @ Tulsa Shock L 75-87 1422.18 1258.32 64.72% 35.28% -26.46 2-7
2012-06-20 Washington Mystics W 80-77 1395.72 1338.96 66.00% 34.00% +6.95 3-7
2012-06-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 84-93 1402.67 1527.35 40.58% 59.42% -14.36 3-8
2012-06-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80-96 1388.31 1746.49 8.33% 91.67% -3.94 3-9
2012-06-29 @ Chicago Sky W 84-81 1384.37 1504.10 26.39% 73.61% +15.05 4-9
2012-07-01 @ Washington Mystics L 77-90 1399.42 1300.88 55.74% 44.26% -23.72 4-10
2012-07-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-82 1375.70 1593.41 16.94% 83.06% -2.00 4-11
2012-07-07 Atlanta Dream L 93-100 1373.70 1560.64 32.31% 67.69% -10.08 4-12
2012-07-08 @ Seattle Storm L 68-83 1363.62 1484.47 26.27% 73.73% -12.01 4-13
2012-07-10 Los Angeles Sparks L 71-90 1351.61 1533.53 32.94% 67.06% -16.94 4-14
2012-07-13 Seattle Storm L 64-83 1334.67 1476.46 38.23% 61.77% -19.67 4-15
2012-08-16 @ Seattle Storm L 58-72 1315.00 1496.12 20.12% 79.88% -8.88 4-16
2012-08-19 San Antonio Silver Stars L 47-89 1306.12 1678.68 14.09% 85.91% -10.77 4-17
2012-08-23 New York Liberty L 77-89 1295.35 1477.72 32.89% 67.11% -13.44 4-18
2012-08-25 Indiana Fever L 72-85 1281.91 1578.35 20.26% 79.74% -8.62 4-19
2012-08-30 @ Seattle Storm W 75-68 1273.29 1487.47 17.23% 82.77% +25.84 5-19
2012-09-01 San Antonio Silver Stars W 94-90 1299.13 1624.10 17.74% 82.26% +19.41 6-19
2012-09-05 @ New York Liberty L 59-87 1318.54 1445.73 25.57% 74.43% -15.96 6-20
2012-09-07 @ Connecticut Sun W 91-82 1302.58 1601.84 11.31% 88.69% +31.39 7-20
2012-09-09 @ Indiana Fever L 83-89 1333.97 1616.49 12.32% 87.68% -3.56 7-21
2012-09-12 Connecticut Sun L 78-100 1330.41 1577.38 25.25% 74.75% -13.97 7-22
2012-09-14 Tulsa Shock L 84-92 1316.44 1303.96 60.07% 39.93% -20.05 7-23
2012-09-16 Chicago Sky L 55-86 1296.39 1467.59 34.32% 65.68% -22.55 7-24
2012-09-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 76-101 1273.84 1601.90 9.75% 90.25% -5.75 7-25
2012-09-21 Minnesota Lynx L 66-89 1268.09 1726.60 9.09% 90.91% -5.15 7-26
2012-09-23 Seattle Storm L 57-71 1262.94 1490.02 27.47% 72.53% -12.13 7-27
2012-05-19 @ Tulsa Shock W 88-79 1525.30 1325.38 69.30% 30.70% +10.87 1-0
2012-05-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-83 1536.17 1568.49 37.23% 62.77% -8.79 1-1
2012-05-30 Chicago Sky L 63-77 1527.38 1462.66 67.02% 32.98% -29.58 1-2
2012-06-01 Phoenix Mercury W 85-66 1497.80 1458.62 63.69% 36.31% +18.67 2-2
2012-06-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 79-83 1516.47 1716.94 18.39% 81.61% -4.34 2-3
2012-06-08 @ Atlanta Dream L 57-60 1512.13 1539.55 37.89% 62.11% -7.74 2-4
2012-06-09 Seattle Storm W 80-67 1504.39 1479.71 61.74% 38.26% +16.28 3-4
2012-06-16 Los Angeles Sparks W 98-85 1520.67 1522.69 58.05% 41.95% +17.84 4-4
2012-06-22 @ Seattle Storm L 76-82 1538.51 1478.55 50.22% 49.78% -14.51 4-5
2012-06-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 91-71 1524.00 1541.71 39.21% 60.79% +32.08 5-5
2012-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 94-80 1556.08 1474.92 69.08% 30.92% +13.65 6-5
2012-07-01 Minnesota Lynx W 93-84 1569.73 1750.42 33.10% 66.90% +23.68 7-5
2012-07-03 Phoenix Mercury W 82-81 1593.41 1375.70 83.06% 16.94% +2.00 8-5
2012-07-05 @ Indiana Fever W 88-72 1595.41 1590.27 42.39% 57.61% +27.20 9-5
2012-07-06 @ Washington Mystics W 78-73 1622.61 1324.59 79.88% 20.12% +5.30 10-5
2012-07-08 @ New York Liberty W 94-81 1627.91 1500.30 59.82% 40.18% +17.10 11-5
2012-07-11 @ Chicago Sky W 77-68 1645.01 1476.88 65.28% 34.72% +12.29 12-5
2012-07-13 Atlanta Dream W 91-70 1657.30 1566.97 70.19% 29.81% +16.12 13-5
2012-08-17 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-79 1673.42 1301.01 85.90% 14.10% +5.26 14-5
2012-08-19 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-47 1678.68 1306.12 85.91% 14.09% +10.77 15-5
2012-08-21 Washington Mystics W 75-72 1689.45 1328.35 91.80% 8.20% +1.68 16-5
2012-08-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-101 1691.13 1598.40 54.92% 45.08% -31.75 16-6
2012-08-25 Tulsa Shock W 91-71 1659.38 1301.94 91.64% 8.36% +4.41 17-6
2012-08-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84-96 1663.79 1728.92 32.93% 67.07% -13.46 17-7
2012-08-30 Connecticut Sun L 73-84 1650.33 1585.60 67.02% 32.98% -26.23 17-8
2012-09-01 @ Phoenix Mercury L 90-94 1624.10 1299.13 82.26% 17.74% -19.41 17-9
2012-09-07 Indiana Fever L 78-82 1604.69 1602.65 58.62% 41.38% -13.83 17-10
2012-09-09 Minnesota Lynx L 62-81 1590.86 1758.17 34.83% 65.17% -17.92 17-11
2012-09-12 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-67 1572.94 1313.31 76.10% 23.90% +9.36 18-11
2012-09-14 Seattle Storm W 90-66 1582.30 1470.77 72.68% 27.32% +15.79 19-11
2012-09-16 Tulsa Shock L 70-80 1598.09 1324.01 87.15% 12.85% -32.52 19-12
2012-09-18 New York Liberty W 77-66 1565.57 1467.63 71.10% 28.90% +11.31 20-12
2012-09-21 @ Seattle Storm L 75-84 1576.88 1469.86 56.94% 43.06% -20.16 20-13
2012-09-23 Minnesota Lynx W 99-84 1556.72 1731.74 33.83% 66.17% +30.24 21-13
2012-05-18 Los Angeles Sparks L 66-72 1533.74 1452.78 69.05% 30.95% -19.96 0-1
2012-05-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 61-74 1513.78 1472.74 47.50% 52.50% -20.21 0-2
2012-05-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-84 1493.57 1688.55 18.86% 81.14% -8.02 0-3
2012-06-01 Tulsa Shock W 76-58 1485.55 1299.82 80.31% 19.69% +9.86 1-3
2012-06-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-67 1495.41 1511.97 39.37% 60.63% -6.57 1-4
2012-06-06 @ Minnesota Lynx L 55-79 1488.84 1721.28 15.78% 84.22% -9.13 1-5
2012-06-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-80 1479.71 1504.39 38.26% 61.74% -16.28 1-6
2012-06-13 @ Chicago Sky L 58-74 1463.43 1532.99 32.37% 67.63% -15.27 1-7
2012-06-15 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-73 1448.16 1272.68 66.23% 33.77% +14.36 2-7
2012-06-17 Minnesota Lynx W 65-62 1462.52 1745.17 21.58% 78.42% +16.03 3-7
2012-06-22 San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-76 1478.55 1538.51 49.78% 50.22% +14.52 4-7
2012-06-24 Washington Mystics W 72-55 1493.07 1332.02 77.96% 22.04% +10.72 5-7
2012-06-26 @ Washington Mystics W 79-71 1503.79 1321.29 67.13% 32.87% +10.97 6-7
2012-06-30 @ New York Liberty L 59-77 1514.76 1459.62 49.52% 50.48% -24.79 6-8
2012-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 89-83 1489.97 1596.01 27.95% 72.05% +20.82 7-8
2012-07-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 59-83 1510.79 1483.44 45.54% 54.46% -26.32 7-9
2012-07-08 Phoenix Mercury W 83-68 1484.47 1363.62 73.73% 26.27% +12.00 8-9
2012-07-11 Atlanta Dream L 59-70 1496.47 1546.95 51.15% 48.85% -20.01 8-10
2012-07-13 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-64 1476.46 1334.67 61.77% 38.23% +19.66 9-10
2012-08-16 Phoenix Mercury W 72-58 1496.12 1315.00 79.88% 20.12% +8.88 10-10
2012-08-18 Los Angeles Sparks L 71-82 1505.00 1563.05 50.06% 49.94% -19.59 10-11
2012-08-21 Minnesota Lynx L 73-86 1485.41 1702.82 28.60% 71.40% -12.17 10-12
2012-08-23 Indiana Fever L 66-68 1473.24 1570.95 44.38% 55.62% -7.40 10-13
2012-08-26 New York Liberty W 84-66 1465.84 1476.83 56.79% 43.21% +21.63 11-13
2012-08-30 Phoenix Mercury L 68-75 1487.47 1273.29 82.77% 17.23% -25.84 11-14
2012-09-06 Tulsa Shock W 101-74 1461.63 1351.66 72.50% 27.50% +16.86 12-14
2012-09-08 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-66 1478.49 1334.80 62.03% 37.97% +21.49 13-14
2012-09-11 @ Atlanta Dream L 61-77 1499.98 1575.64 31.61% 68.39% -14.92 13-15
2012-09-12 @ Indiana Fever L 48-72 1485.06 1620.05 24.72% 75.28% -14.29 13-16
2012-09-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-90 1470.77 1582.30 27.32% 72.68% -15.79 13-17
2012-09-16 Connecticut Sun L 58-60 1454.98 1574.71 41.27% 58.73% -6.89 13-18
2012-09-18 Chicago Sky W 75-60 1448.09 1490.14 52.36% 47.64% +21.77 14-18
2012-09-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-75 1469.86 1576.88 43.06% 56.94% +20.16 15-18
2012-09-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 71-57 1490.02 1262.94 72.53% 27.47% +12.13 16-18
2012-05-19 San Antonio Silver Stars L 79-88 1325.38 1525.30 30.70% 69.30% -10.87 0-1
2012-05-22 Phoenix Mercury L 87-89 1314.51 1491.29 33.60% 66.40% -5.60 0-2
2012-05-26 @ Washington Mystics L 61-64 1308.91 1363.85 34.24% 65.76% -7.00 0-3
2012-05-29 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 75-76 1301.91 1509.87 17.75% 82.25% -2.09 0-4
2012-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 58-76 1299.82 1485.55 19.69% 80.31% -9.86 0-5
2012-06-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 72-79 1289.96 1439.95 23.15% 76.85% -7.23 0-6
2012-06-08 @ Chicago Sky L 91-98 1282.73 1507.83 16.35% 83.65% -5.11 0-7
2012-06-09 Minnesota Lynx L 73-93 1277.62 1730.40 9.36% 90.64% -4.94 0-8
2012-06-15 Seattle Storm L 73-86 1272.68 1448.16 33.77% 66.23% -14.36 0-9
2012-06-17 Phoenix Mercury W 87-75 1258.32 1422.18 35.28% 64.72% +26.45 1-9
2012-06-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 79-95 1284.77 1520.00 15.57% 84.43% -7.35 1-10
2012-06-23 Indiana Fever L 70-73 1277.42 1588.32 18.95% 81.05% -3.87 1-11
2012-06-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 91-75 1273.55 1509.64 26.45% 73.55% +34.71 2-11
2012-06-29 Atlanta Dream L 92-102 1308.26 1560.29 24.71% 75.29% -9.22 2-12
2012-07-06 Connecticut Sun L 75-86 1299.04 1575.19 22.22% 77.78% -8.69 2-13
2012-07-08 Washington Mystics W 78-62 1290.35 1319.28 54.24% 45.76% +21.60 3-13
2012-07-10 Minnesota Lynx L 86-107 1311.95 1683.26 14.17% 85.83% -7.66 3-14
2012-07-12 @ Minnesota Lynx L 74-89 1304.29 1690.93 7.16% 92.84% -3.28 3-15
2012-08-17 San Antonio Silver Stars L 79-89 1301.01 1673.42 14.10% 85.90% -5.26 3-16
2012-08-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 59-83 1295.75 1699.04 6.55% 93.45% -3.78 3-17
2012-08-21 @ Connecticut Sun L 80-82 1291.97 1603.05 10.65% 89.35% -1.78 3-18
2012-08-24 Chicago Sky W 81-78 1290.19 1401.07 42.51% 57.49% +11.75 4-18
2012-08-25 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-91 1301.94 1659.38 8.36% 91.64% -4.41 4-19
2012-08-28 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-80 1297.53 1552.68 14.12% 85.88% +20.26 5-19
2012-08-30 Los Angeles Sparks W 99-85 1317.79 1644.48 17.59% 82.41% +36.39 6-19
2012-08-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-92 1354.18 1742.38 7.10% 92.90% -2.52 6-20
2012-09-06 @ Seattle Storm L 74-101 1351.66 1461.63 27.50% 72.50% -16.86 6-21
2012-09-08 Seattle Storm L 66-89 1334.80 1478.49 37.97% 62.03% -21.49 6-22
2012-09-12 San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-78 1313.31 1572.94 23.90% 76.10% -9.35 6-23
2012-09-14 @ Phoenix Mercury W 92-84 1303.96 1316.44 39.93% 60.07% +20.05 7-23
2012-09-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 80-70 1324.01 1598.09 12.85% 87.15% +32.52 8-23
2012-09-20 New York Liberty W 78-66 1356.53 1456.32 44.08% 55.92% +22.86 9-23
2012-09-22 @ New York Liberty L 74-91 1379.39 1433.46 34.35% 65.65% -16.72 9-24
2012-09-23 @ Indiana Fever L 58-91 1362.67 1611.67 14.56% 85.44% -9.86 9-25
2012-05-19 Chicago Sky L 57-69 1382.99 1463.52 46.83% 53.17% -19.14 0-1
2012-05-26 Tulsa Shock W 64-61 1363.85 1308.91 65.76% 34.24% +7.00 1-1
2012-05-30 Minnesota Lynx L 77-79 1370.85 1696.58 17.67% 82.33% -2.95 1-2
2012-06-01 @ Chicago Sky L 63-65 1367.90 1492.25 25.88% 74.12% -4.32 1-3
2012-06-03 @ Connecticut Sun L 86-94 1363.58 1559.87 18.75% 81.25% -6.26 1-4
2012-06-08 New York Liberty L 70-76 1357.32 1489.66 39.52% 60.48% -11.42 1-5
2012-06-15 Indiana Fever W 67-66 1345.90 1549.23 30.28% 69.72% +8.23 2-5
2012-06-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-101 1354.13 1504.84 23.08% 76.92% -15.17 2-6
2012-06-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77-80 1338.96 1395.72 34.00% 66.00% -6.94 2-7
2012-06-24 @ Seattle Storm L 55-72 1332.02 1493.07 22.04% 77.96% -10.73 2-8
2012-06-26 Seattle Storm L 71-79 1321.29 1503.79 32.87% 67.13% -10.97 2-9
2012-06-29 Connecticut Sun L 64-77 1310.32 1586.57 22.21% 77.79% -9.44 2-10
2012-07-01 Phoenix Mercury W 90-77 1300.88 1399.42 44.26% 55.74% +23.71 3-10
2012-07-06 San Antonio Silver Stars L 73-78 1324.59 1622.61 20.12% 79.88% -5.31 3-11
2012-07-08 @ Tulsa Shock L 62-78 1319.28 1290.35 45.76% 54.24% -21.60 3-12
2012-07-10 Connecticut Sun L 70-77 1297.68 1605.19 19.25% 80.75% -6.01 3-13
2012-07-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-85 1291.67 1611.20 10.19% 89.81% -4.16 3-14
2012-07-13 @ New York Liberty W 70-53 1287.51 1478.13 19.25% 80.75% +39.28 4-14
2012-08-16 @ Indiana Fever L 66-84 1326.79 1560.76 15.67% 84.33% -7.84 4-15
2012-08-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-98 1318.95 1694.20 7.61% 92.39% -4.84 4-16
2012-08-19 Chicago Sky W 75-71 1314.11 1445.37 39.67% 60.33% +14.24 5-16
2012-08-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-75 1328.35 1689.45 8.20% 91.80% -1.67 5-17
2012-08-24 Atlanta Dream L 69-81 1326.68 1555.46 27.28% 72.72% -11.16 5-18
2012-08-28 @ Indiana Fever L 68-83 1315.52 1586.97 13.02% 86.98% -5.95 5-19
2012-08-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 59-82 1309.57 1532.41 16.53% 83.47% -9.35 5-20
2012-09-01 @ New York Liberty L 73-79 1300.22 1438.70 24.35% 75.65% -7.04 5-21
2012-09-04 Connecticut Sun L 70-77 1293.18 1595.69 19.70% 80.30% -6.15 5-22
2012-09-07 Los Angeles Sparks L 68-96 1287.03 1572.07 21.34% 78.66% -13.33 5-23
2012-09-09 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-93 1273.70 1568.82 11.55% 88.45% -6.81 5-24
2012-09-12 @ New York Liberty L 62-75 1266.89 1449.77 19.95% 80.05% -8.49 5-25
2012-09-14 Atlanta Dream L 74-82 1258.40 1590.56 17.14% 82.86% -5.72 5-26
2012-09-16 New York Liberty L 68-75 1252.68 1458.26 30.01% 69.99% -9.37 5-27
2012-09-21 Indiana Fever L 53-66 1243.31 1605.36 14.83% 85.17% -6.31 5-28
2012-09-22 @ Chicago Sky L 58-77 1237.00 1454.16 16.99% 83.01% -8.74 5-29

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2012-09-28 @ Indiana Fever W 75-66 1587.36 1621.54 36.98% 63.02% +22.31 1-0
2012-09-30 Indiana Fever L 88-103 1609.67 1599.23 59.79% 40.21% -27.32 1-1
2012-10-02 @ Indiana Fever L 64-75 1582.35 1626.55 35.64% 64.36% -13.95 1-2
2012-09-27 New York Liberty W 65-60 1618.30 1450.17 78.66% 21.34% +5.63 1-0
2012-09-29 @ New York Liberty W 75-62 1623.93 1444.54 66.73% 33.27% +14.15 2-0
2012-10-05 Indiana Fever W 76-64 1638.08 1640.50 57.99% 42.01% +17.18 3-0
2012-10-08 @ Indiana Fever L 76-78 1655.26 1623.33 46.19% 53.81% -7.71 3-1
2012-10-11 Indiana Fever L 71-87 1647.55 1631.04 60.62% 39.38% -28.62 3-2
2012-09-28 Atlanta Dream L 66-75 1621.54 1587.36 63.02% 36.98% -22.31 0-1
2012-09-30 @ Atlanta Dream W 103-88 1599.23 1609.67 40.21% 59.79% +27.32 1-1
2012-10-02 Atlanta Dream W 75-64 1626.55 1582.35 64.36% 35.64% +13.95 2-1
2012-10-05 @ Connecticut Sun L 64-76 1640.50 1638.08 42.01% 57.99% -17.17 2-2
2012-10-08 Connecticut Sun W 78-76 1623.33 1655.26 53.81% 46.19% +7.71 3-2
2012-10-11 @ Connecticut Sun W 87-71 1631.04 1647.55 39.38% 60.62% +28.61 4-2
2012-10-14 @ Minnesota Lynx W 76-70 1659.65 1712.54 34.50% 65.50% +18.94 5-2
2012-10-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-83 1678.59 1693.61 39.58% 60.42% -16.18 5-3
2012-10-19 Minnesota Lynx W 76-59 1662.41 1709.79 51.59% 48.41% +23.55 6-3
2012-10-21 Minnesota Lynx W 87-78 1685.96 1686.24 58.29% 41.71% +14.76 7-3
2012-09-27 San Antonio Silver Stars W 93-86 1637.24 1586.96 65.16% 34.84% +10.88 1-0
2012-09-29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 101-94 1648.12 1576.09 51.95% 48.05% +15.00 2-0
2012-10-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 77-94 1663.12 1688.11 38.22% 61.78% -18.60 2-1
2012-10-07 Minnesota Lynx L 79-80 1644.52 1706.71 49.46% 50.54% -5.83 2-2
2012-09-28 Seattle Storm W 78-70 1701.50 1502.15 81.52% 18.48% +6.17 1-0
2012-09-30 @ Seattle Storm L 79-86 1707.67 1495.98 70.73% 29.27% -22.08 1-1
2012-10-02 Seattle Storm W 73-72 1685.59 1518.06 78.60% 21.40% +2.52 2-1
2012-10-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 94-77 1688.11 1663.12 61.78% 38.22% +18.60 3-1
2012-10-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 80-79 1706.71 1644.52 50.54% 49.46% +5.83 4-1
2012-10-14 Indiana Fever L 70-76 1712.54 1659.65 65.50% 34.50% -18.93 4-2
2012-10-17 Indiana Fever W 83-71 1693.61 1678.59 60.42% 39.58% +16.18 5-2
2012-10-19 @ Indiana Fever L 59-76 1709.79 1662.41 48.41% 51.59% -23.55 5-3
2012-10-21 @ Indiana Fever L 78-87 1686.24 1685.96 41.71% 58.29% -14.76 5-4
2012-09-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 60-65 1450.17 1618.30 21.34% 78.66% -5.63 0-1
2012-09-29 Connecticut Sun L 62-75 1444.54 1623.93 33.27% 66.73% -14.15 0-2
2012-09-27 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 86-93 1586.96 1637.24 34.84% 65.16% -10.87 0-1
2012-09-29 Los Angeles Sparks L 94-101 1576.09 1648.12 48.05% 51.95% -15.00 0-2
2012-09-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-78 1502.15 1701.50 18.48% 81.52% -6.17 0-1
2012-09-30 Minnesota Lynx W 86-79 1495.98 1707.67 29.27% 70.73% +22.08 1-1
2012-10-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-73 1518.06 1685.59 21.40% 78.60% -2.52 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-09-07 11.31% Phoenix Mercury 1302.58 91 @ Connecticut Sun 1601.84 82
2 2012-09-16 12.85% Tulsa Shock 1324.01 80 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1598.09 70
3 2012-08-28 14.12% Tulsa Shock 1297.53 84 @ Atlanta Dream 1552.68 80
4 2012-09-11 17.03% @ Chicago Sky 1442.56 83 Minnesota Lynx 1776.08 70
5 2012-08-26 17.12% Chicago Sky 1389.32 82 @ Connecticut Sun 1604.83 70
6 2012-08-30 17.23% Phoenix Mercury 1273.29 75 @ Seattle Storm 1487.47 68
7 2012-08-30 17.59% @ Tulsa Shock 1317.79 99 Los Angeles Sparks 1644.48 85
8 2012-09-01 17.74% @ Phoenix Mercury 1299.13 94 San Antonio Silver Stars 1624.10 90
9 2012-07-13 19.25% Washington Mystics 1287.51 70 @ New York Liberty 1478.13 53
10 2012-06-17 21.58% @ Seattle Storm 1462.52 65 Minnesota Lynx 1745.17 62
11 2012-07-05 23.30% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1461.27 96 Minnesota Lynx 1726.74 90
12 2012-07-07 26.29% Connecticut Sun 1583.88 86 @ Minnesota Lynx 1704.57 80
13 2012-06-29 26.39% Phoenix Mercury 1384.37 84 @ Chicago Sky 1504.10 81
14 2012-06-26 26.45% @ Tulsa Shock 1273.55 91 Los Angeles Sparks 1509.64 75
15 2012-07-01 27.95% Seattle Storm 1489.97 89 @ Connecticut Sun 1596.01 83
16 2012-09-30 * 29.27% @ Seattle Storm 1495.98 86 Minnesota Lynx 1707.67 79
17 2012-09-02 29.66% @ Chicago Sky 1399.63 85 Los Angeles Sparks 1608.09 74
18 2012-06-19 29.71% New York Liberty 1459.46 73 @ Atlanta Dream 1550.57 60
19 2012-06-15 30.28% @ Washington Mystics 1345.90 67 Indiana Fever 1549.23 66
20 2012-05-18 30.95% Los Angeles Sparks 1452.78 72 @ Seattle Storm 1533.74 66
21 2012-06-13 32.22% Los Angeles Sparks 1533.71 87 @ Connecticut Sun 1604.45 81
22 2012-06-02 32.55% Chicago Sky 1496.57 94 @ Atlanta Dream 1564.73 92
23 2012-08-16 32.84% @ New York Liberty 1438.84 79 Connecticut Sun 1621.55 66
24 2012-05-30 32.98% Chicago Sky 1462.66 77 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1527.38 63
25 2012-08-30 32.98% Connecticut Sun 1585.60 84 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1650.33 73

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-07-13 39.29 Washington Mystics 70 1287.51 19.25% @ New York Liberty 53 1478.13 80.75%
2 2012-08-30 36.39 @ Tulsa Shock 99 1317.79 17.59% Los Angeles Sparks 85 1644.48 82.41%
3 2012-06-21 35.46 @ Indiana Fever 95 1552.86 48.46% Connecticut Sun 61 1622.03 51.54%
4 2012-09-11 35.30 @ Chicago Sky 83 1442.56 17.03% Minnesota Lynx 70 1776.08 82.97%
5 2012-06-26 34.72 @ Tulsa Shock 91 1273.55 26.45% Los Angeles Sparks 75 1509.64 73.55%
6 2012-08-26 33.88 Chicago Sky 82 1389.32 17.12% @ Connecticut Sun 70 1604.83 82.88%
7 2012-09-16 32.52 Tulsa Shock 80 1324.01 12.85% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 70 1598.09 87.15%
8 2012-06-24 32.08 San Antonio Silver Stars 91 1524.00 39.21% @ Los Angeles Sparks 71 1541.71 60.79%
9 2012-08-23 31.75 @ Los Angeles Sparks 101 1598.40 45.08% San Antonio Silver Stars 77 1691.13 54.92%
10 2012-09-07 31.39 Phoenix Mercury 91 1302.58 11.31% @ Connecticut Sun 82 1601.84 88.69%
11 2012-06-15 30.61 @ Atlanta Dream 92 1528.57 54.84% Los Angeles Sparks 59 1553.30 45.16%
12 2012-09-23 30.24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 99 1556.72 33.83% Minnesota Lynx 84 1731.74 66.17%
13 2012-06-19 29.91 New York Liberty 73 1459.46 29.71% @ Atlanta Dream 60 1550.57 70.29%
14 2012-05-30 29.59 Chicago Sky 77 1462.66 32.98% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 63 1527.38 67.02%
15 2012-09-20 29.59 @ Los Angeles Sparks 92 1607.65 37.32% Minnesota Lynx 76 1756.18 62.68%
16 2012-05-27 29.20 Indiana Fever 78 1553.54 38.15% @ Atlanta Dream 62 1579.05 61.85%
17 2012-06-03 28.78 @ New York Liberty 87 1446.96 37.04% Indiana Fever 72 1597.60 62.96%
18 2012-10-11 * 28.62 Indiana Fever 87 1631.04 39.38% @ Connecticut Sun 71 1647.55 60.62%
19 2012-08-16 28.58 @ New York Liberty 79 1438.84 32.84% Connecticut Sun 66 1621.55 67.16%
20 2012-09-02 27.53 @ Chicago Sky 85 1399.63 29.66% Los Angeles Sparks 74 1608.09 70.34%
21 2012-09-30 * 27.32 Indiana Fever 103 1599.23 40.21% @ Atlanta Dream 88 1609.67 59.79%
22 2012-07-05 27.20 San Antonio Silver Stars 88 1595.41 42.39% @ Indiana Fever 72 1590.27 57.61%
23 2012-06-17 26.46 @ Tulsa Shock 87 1258.32 35.28% Phoenix Mercury 75 1422.18 64.72%
24 2012-07-07 26.32 @ Los Angeles Sparks 83 1483.44 54.46% Seattle Storm 59 1510.79 45.54%
25 2012-08-30 26.23 Connecticut Sun 84 1585.60 32.98% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 73 1650.33 67.02%