2011 WNBA Season
204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Minnesota Lynx
1st Title
Runner-Up
Atlanta Dream
2
Last Appearance: 2010
Biggest Overachiever
Minnesota Lynx
5.63 wins above expected
27 wins · 21.37 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Washington Mystics
5.84 wins below expected
6 wins · 11.84 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut Sun League | 21 | 13 | .618 | — | 80.1 | 76.8 | +3.3 | 18.94 | +2.06 |
| 2 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | — | 77.7 | 73.8 | +3.9 | 20.79 | +0.21 |
| 3 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 1 | 82.5 | 80.8 | +1.7 | 17.49 | +2.51 |
| 4 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 2 | 76.0 | 74.8 | +1.2 | 18.05 | +0.95 |
| 5 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 20 | .412 | 7 | 74.2 | 75.2 | -0.9 | 15.52 | -1.52 |
| 6 | Washington Mystics | 6 | 28 | .176 | 15 | 70.8 | 78.8 | -7.9 | 11.84 | -5.84 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx League | 27 | 7 | .794 | — | 81.5 | 73.6 | +7.9 | 21.37 | +5.63 |
| 2 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 6 | 71.6 | 69.9 | +1.8 | 20.37 | +0.63 |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 8 | 89.0 | 86.0 | +3.0 | 19.15 | -0.15 |
| 4 | San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 9 | 77.6 | 75.5 | +2.1 | 17.40 | +0.60 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 15 | 19 | .441 | 12 | 77.1 | 80.3 | -3.2 | 15.50 | -0.50 |
| 6 | Tulsa Shock | 3 | 31 | .088 | 24 | 69.2 | 82.1 | -12.9 | 7.58 | -4.58 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Indiana Fever
2
New York Liberty
1
Atlanta Dream
2
Connecticut Sun
0
Conference Final
Atlanta Dream
2
Indiana Fever
1
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Phoenix Mercury
2
Seattle Storm
1
Minnesota Lynx
2
San Antonio Silver Stars
1
Conference Final
Minnesota Lynx
2
Phoenix Mercury
0
WNBA Finals
Minnesota Lynx
3
Atlanta Dream
0
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1686 | 27 | 21.37 | +5.63 | 99.29% | 11 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 30 | |
| Atlanta Dream | Eastern | 1610 | 20 | 17.49 | +2.51 | 86.53% | 6 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1583 | 21 | 18.94 | +2.06 | 81.75% | 9 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 28 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1576 | 21 | 20.37 | +0.63 | 66.48% | 10 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 30 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1554 | 21 | 20.79 | +0.21 | 59.67% | 9 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 30 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1554 | 19 | 18.05 | +0.95 | 69.76% | 8 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1534 | 19 | 19.15 | -0.15 | 55.37% | 9 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 30 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1527 | 18 | 17.40 | +0.60 | 65.99% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| Chicago Sky | Eastern | 1441 | 14 | 15.52 | -1.52 | 35.68% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 28 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1427 | 15 | 15.50 | -0.50 | 50.13% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 28 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1305 | 6 | 11.84 | -5.84 | 1.73% | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 22 | |
| Tulsa Shock | Western | 1205 | 3 | 7.58 | -4.58 | 3.35% | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
Within Eastern
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
4-0
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-2
(3.2 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
2-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.1 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
— |
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
0-4
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
5-0
(3.7 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
2-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-5
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | — |
1-4
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
4-1
(3.9 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
4-1
(3.3 exp.)
|
— |
3-2
(2.8 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.2 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(3.3 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.3 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
— |
1-4
(2.2 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-1
(2.8 exp.)
|
— |
5-0
(4.0 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
1-4
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-4
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-5
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 27 | 21.37 | +5.63 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream | 20 | 17.49 | +2.51 |
| 3 | Connecticut Sun | 21 | 18.94 | +2.06 |
| 4 | New York Liberty | 19 | 18.05 | +0.95 |
| 5 | Seattle Storm | 21 | 20.37 | +0.63 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Mystics | 6 | 11.84 | -5.84 |
| 2 | Tulsa Shock | 3 | 7.58 | -4.58 |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 15.52 | -1.52 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks | 15 | 15.50 | -0.50 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 19 | 19.15 | -0.15 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 9 | Jul 15 – Aug 7 | 1 in 142 |
| 2 | Tulsa Shock | 2 | Aug 26 – Aug 28 | 1 in 51 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever | 7 | Jun 21 – Jul 13 | 1 in 33 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream | 5 | Jul 16 – Jul 28 | 1 in 19 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 4 | Jul 15 – Jul 26 | 1 in 17 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tulsa Shock | 20 | Jun 21 – Aug 25 | 1 in 183 |
| 2 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 6 | Aug 14 – Aug 28 | 1 in 31 |
| 3 | New York Liberty | 4 | Jun 11 – Jun 21 | 1 in 25 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics | 9 | Aug 13 – Aug 30 | 1 in 21 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 3 | Jul 15 – Jul 19 | 1 in 14 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall WNBA view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 48.99% | 25.38% | 14.13% | 7.81% | 3.26% | 0.43% |
| Connecticut Sun | 22.72% | 25.95% | 22.68% | 16.77% | 9.62% | 2.26% |
| New York Liberty | 14.50% | 22.25% | 24.12% | 21.42% | 14.11% | 3.60% |
| Atlanta Dream | 10.46% | 17.66% | 23.12% | 25.08% | 18.31% | 5.37% |
| Chicago Sky | 3.17% | 8.16% | 13.69% | 23.19% | 36.79% | 15.00% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.16% | 0.60% | 2.26% | 5.73% | 17.91% | 73.34% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 45.44% | 28.59% | 15.94% | 7.41% | 2.61% | 0.01% |
| Seattle Storm | 29.67% | 30.10% | 22.12% | 12.74% | 5.35% | 0.02% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 16.62% | 23.78% | 27.62% | 21.59% | 10.28% | 0.11% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 6.55% | 12.72% | 22.53% | 32.19% | 25.54% | 0.47% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.72% | 4.81% | 11.76% | 25.91% | 53.82% | 1.98% |
| Tulsa Shock | — | — | 0.03% | 0.16% | 2.40% | 97.41% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 28.93% | 21.18% | 15.26% | 11.66% | 8.66% | 5.96% | 3.84% | 2.30% | 1.45% | 0.66% | 0.10% | — |
| Indiana Fever | 22.20% | 19.18% | 15.94% | 12.43% | 10.15% | 7.21% | 5.50% | 3.67% | 2.54% | 0.93% | 0.25% | — |
| Seattle Storm | 18.27% | 16.96% | 15.56% | 13.85% | 10.74% | 8.16% | 7.07% | 4.40% | 3.05% | 1.47% | 0.46% | 0.01% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 9.52% | 11.12% | 12.85% | 12.60% | 12.94% | 11.84% | 10.48% | 8.42% | 5.82% | 3.31% | 1.05% | 0.05% |
| Connecticut Sun | 8.59% | 11.20% | 11.63% | 12.36% | 12.39% | 11.75% | 10.70% | 8.73% | 7.02% | 4.16% | 1.41% | 0.06% |
| New York Liberty | 4.63% | 7.44% | 8.92% | 11.07% | 11.77% | 13.18% | 11.42% | 12.13% | 10.06% | 6.66% | 2.52% | 0.20% |
| Atlanta Dream | 3.18% | 5.24% | 7.15% | 9.10% | 10.78% | 12.57% | 13.05% | 13.54% | 12.46% | 8.97% | 3.73% | 0.23% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 3.23% | 4.90% | 7.40% | 8.76% | 10.56% | 11.91% | 13.66% | 13.49% | 12.59% | 9.85% | 3.41% | 0.24% |
| Chicago Sky | 0.73% | 1.46% | 2.73% | 3.91% | 5.70% | 8.14% | 11.18% | 14.69% | 18.13% | 21.24% | 10.97% | 1.12% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.71% | 1.28% | 2.48% | 3.97% | 5.64% | 7.92% | 10.80% | 14.51% | 18.49% | 22.30% | 10.57% | 1.33% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.08% | 0.29% | 0.67% | 1.35% | 2.27% | 3.95% | 8.10% | 18.56% | 53.72% | 10.96% |
| Tulsa Shock | — | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.29% | 1.89% | 11.81% | 85.80% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 48.99% | 25.38% | 14.13% | 7.81% | 3.69% |
| Connecticut Sun | 22.72% | 25.95% | 22.68% | 16.77% | 11.88% |
| New York Liberty | 14.50% | 22.25% | 24.12% | 21.42% | 17.71% |
| Atlanta Dream | 10.46% | 17.66% | 23.12% | 25.08% | 23.68% |
| Chicago Sky | 3.17% | 8.16% | 13.69% | 23.19% | 51.79% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.16% | 0.60% | 2.26% | 5.73% | 91.25% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 45.44% | 28.59% | 15.94% | 7.41% | 2.62% |
| Seattle Storm | 29.67% | 30.10% | 22.12% | 12.74% | 5.37% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 16.62% | 23.78% | 27.62% | 21.59% | 10.39% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 6.55% | 12.72% | 22.53% | 32.19% | 26.01% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.72% | 4.81% | 11.76% | 25.91% | 55.80% |
| Tulsa Shock | — | — | 0.03% | 0.16% | 99.81% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 97.38% | 77.26% | 56.09% | 39.10% |
| Atlanta Dream | 76.32% | 45.28% | 26.49% | 12.32% |
| Connecticut Sun | 88.12% | 50.25% | 26.98% | 11.17% |
| Seattle Storm | 94.63% | 52.08% | 21.51% | 10.91% |
| Indiana Fever | 96.31% | 52.26% | 25.30% | 9.51% |
| New York Liberty | 82.29% | 39.23% | 18.06% | 6.64% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 89.61% | 36.70% | 12.91% | 5.80% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 73.99% | 26.03% | 7.94% | 3.54% |
| Chicago Sky | 48.21% | 12.22% | 3.10% | 0.54% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 44.20% | 7.93% | 1.55% | 0.47% |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.19% | — | — | — |
| Washington Mystics | 8.75% | 0.76% | 0.07% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 6.10% | 12.28% | 14.62% | 11.16% | 1.12% | |
| Chicago Sky | 1.58% | 2.95% | 4.72% | 2.75% | 0.22% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 10.64% | 9.82% | 12.53% | 15.33% | 1.93% | |
| Indiana Fever | 10.89% | 13.39% | 10.92% | 13.68% | 3.38% | |
| New York Liberty | 7.86% | 6.65% | 11.55% | 11.83% | 1.34% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.35% | 0.14% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.18% | 2.50% | 1.24% | 3.01% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 15.90% | 23.88% | 21.22% | 16.19% | 0.07% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 6.50% | 6.62% | 9.75% | 13.76% | 0.07% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 2.78% | 5.18% | 8.48% | 9.59% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 11.09% | 7.14% | 18.05% | 15.75% | 0.05% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 2.19% | 8.10% | 9.35% | 6.72% | 0.13% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.63% | 0.96% | 0.84% | 0.63% | 0.04% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 7.18% | 2.64% | 10.32% | 6.67% | 0.17% | |
| Indiana Fever | 6.41% | 2.32% | 9.30% | 7.13% | 0.14% | |
| New York Liberty | 4.54% | 1.97% | 4.91% | 6.43% | 0.21% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.02% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.58% | 0.33% | 0.20% | 0.44% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.95% | 16.40% | 11.73% | 24.01% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.84% | 5.72% | 2.45% | 3.90% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.37% | 3.36% | 1.99% | 2.22% | |
| Seattle Storm | 1.22% | 11.51% | 5.07% | 3.71% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.34% | 5.56% | 1.81% | 1.27% | 3.34% | ||||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.13% | 0.13% | 0.10% | 0.18% | |||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.26% | 4.68% | 2.00% | 1.37% | 2.86% | ||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.29% | 3.84% | 1.92% | 0.88% | 2.58% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.13% | 0.08% | ||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 9.67% | 1.58% | 10.31% | 10.10% | 7.39% | 0.05% | |||||
| New York Liberty | 0.19% | 2.78% | 1.25% | 0.78% | 1.64% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.30% | 0.25% | 1.42% | 1.59% | 1.23% | 0.01% | |||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.76% | 0.23% | 0.88% | 0.91% | 0.75% | 0.01% | |||||
| Seattle Storm | 2.36% | 0.48% | 3.04% | 3.06% | 1.97% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 81.86% | 60.84% | 42.02% | Won Finals |
| Atlanta Dream | 48.68% | 29.14% | 12.72% | Eliminated in Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 48.68% | |||
| Connecticut Sun | 51.32% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 56.40% | |||
| New York Liberty | 43.60% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 81.86% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 36.54% | |||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 18.14% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 63.46% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 15.54% | 13.60% | ||
| Connecticut Sun | 14.68% | 12.82% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 11.89% | 14.29% | ||
| New York Liberty | 7.65% | 9.53% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 22.85% | 37.99% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 7.21% | 3.47% | ||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 3.01% | 4.60% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 13.81% | 7.06% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 6.39% | 2.04% | 1.23% | 3.06% | ||||
| Connecticut Sun | 5.05% | 1.82% | 1.25% | 3.08% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 4.40% | 1.36% | 1.10% | 2.41% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 11.70% | 11.39% | 11.48% | 7.45% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 2.98% | 0.86% | 0.69% | 1.47% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.14% | 1.16% | 1.15% | 1.15% | ||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.82% | 0.83% | 1.07% | 0.62% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 2.76% | 2.92% | 3.21% | 1.96% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Minnesota Lynx
42.02% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
81.86%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
62.44%
Win Prob
73.34%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
27.84%
Win Prob
64.68%
Atlanta Dream
12.72% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.68%
→
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
53.33%
Win Prob
56.65%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
50.24%
Win Prob
35.32%
Connecticut Sun
11.20% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.32%
→
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
53.38%
Win Prob
50.67%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
45.09%
Win Prob
30.72%
Seattle Storm
10.85% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
63.46%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
66.17%
Win Prob
26.66%
→
Finals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
29.59%
Win Prob
57.12%
Indiana Fever
9.27% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
56.40%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
54.58%
Win Prob
49.33%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
47.46%
Win Prob
27.71%
New York Liberty
6.00% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
43.60%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
55.47%
Win Prob
42.64%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
49.67%
Win Prob
28.57%
Phoenix Mercury
4.60% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.54%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
67.51%
Win Prob
23.99%
→
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
25.22%
Win Prob
38.93%
San Antonio Silver Stars
3.34% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
18.14%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
60.45%
Win Prob
39.45%
→
Finals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
32.04%
Win Prob
49.31%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-06-05 | New York Liberty | L 88-94 | 1531.51 | 1538.29 | 60.84% | 39.16% | -16.89 | 0-1 |
| 2011-06-09 | Washington Mystics | L 90-98 | 1514.62 | 1504.18 | 63.17% | 36.83% | -20.24 | 0-2 |
| 2011-06-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 74-86 | 1494.38 | 1508.08 | 36.39% | 63.61% | -14.29 | 0-3 |
| 2011-06-14 | @ New York Liberty | W 79-58 | 1480.09 | 1543.83 | 30.02% | 69.98% | +36.34 | 1-3 |
| 2011-06-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 85-96 | 1516.43 | 1512.52 | 38.77% | 61.23% | -14.57 | 1-4 |
| 2011-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | L 64-77 | 1501.86 | 1527.08 | 58.28% | 41.72% | -23.81 | 1-5 |
| 2011-06-21 | Chicago Sky | W 71-68 | 1478.05 | 1497.18 | 59.13% | 40.87% | +8.02 | 2-5 |
| 2011-06-24 | Phoenix Mercury | L 83-92 | 1486.07 | 1502.03 | 59.57% | 40.43% | -20.25 | 2-6 |
| 2011-06-26 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 86-92 | 1465.82 | 1524.89 | 53.48% | 46.52% | -14.84 | 2-7 |
| 2011-06-30 | New York Liberty | W 87-81 | 1450.98 | 1514.20 | 52.89% | 47.11% | +13.08 | 3-7 |
| 2011-07-09 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-81 | 1464.06 | 1466.74 | 37.87% | 62.13% | -14.87 | 3-8 |
| 2011-07-13 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-91 | 1449.19 | 1536.63 | 27.23% | 72.77% | -14.47 | 3-9 |
| 2011-07-16 | Chicago Sky | W 76-68 | 1434.72 | 1480.60 | 55.37% | 44.63% | +14.30 | 4-9 |
| 2011-07-19 | Indiana Fever | W 84-74 | 1449.02 | 1577.75 | 43.50% | 56.50% | +20.25 | 5-9 |
| 2011-07-20 | @ Washington Mystics | W 86-79 | 1469.27 | 1417.14 | 45.52% | 54.48% | +16.33 | 6-9 |
| 2011-07-26 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 76-68 | 1485.60 | 1267.13 | 68.52% | 31.48% | +10.08 | 7-9 |
| 2011-07-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-80 | 1495.68 | 1444.93 | 68.39% | 31.61% | +10.75 | 8-9 |
| 2011-07-31 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 92-99 | 1506.43 | 1554.43 | 31.95% | 68.05% | -9.58 | 8-10 |
| 2011-08-02 | New York Liberty | L 75-85 | 1496.85 | 1513.42 | 59.49% | 40.51% | -21.32 | 8-11 |
| 2011-08-07 | Seattle Storm | W 70-53 | 1475.53 | 1588.66 | 45.72% | 54.28% | +25.36 | 9-11 |
| 2011-08-09 | @ Washington Mystics | W 72-70 | 1500.89 | 1400.27 | 52.49% | 47.51% | +7.61 | 10-11 |
| 2011-08-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 95-109 | 1508.50 | 1559.38 | 31.60% | 68.40% | -13.39 | 10-12 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Seattle Storm | W 92-63 | 1495.11 | 1559.74 | 29.91% | 70.09% | +42.76 | 11-12 |
| 2011-08-16 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-79 | 1537.87 | 1428.51 | 53.74% | 46.26% | +11.72 | 12-12 |
| 2011-08-19 | Connecticut Sun | W 94-88 | 1549.59 | 1587.39 | 56.51% | 43.49% | +12.07 | 13-12 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 87-96 | 1561.66 | 1575.32 | 36.40% | 63.60% | -12.37 | 13-13 |
| 2011-08-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 83-80 | 1549.29 | 1488.84 | 46.71% | 53.29% | +10.46 | 14-13 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Indiana Fever | W 86-80 | 1559.75 | 1611.64 | 31.47% | 68.53% | +19.02 | 15-13 |
| 2011-08-30 | Indiana Fever | W 92-90 | 1578.77 | 1592.62 | 59.86% | 40.14% | +6.43 | 16-13 |
| 2011-09-01 | @ Washington Mystics | L 81-85 | 1585.20 | 1326.05 | 73.35% | 26.65% | -16.62 | 16-14 |
| 2011-09-02 | Washington Mystics | W 95-73 | 1568.58 | 1342.67 | 85.57% | 14.43% | +7.67 | 17-14 |
| 2011-09-04 | Tulsa Shock | W 73-52 | 1576.25 | 1226.10 | 92.38% | 7.62% | +3.95 | 18-14 |
| 2011-09-06 | Connecticut Sun | W 85-74 | 1580.20 | 1587.49 | 60.77% | 39.23% | +14.75 | 19-14 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Indiana Fever | W 93-88 | 1594.95 | 1568.24 | 41.93% | 58.07% | +14.71 | 20-14 |
| 2011-06-04 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-65 | 1477.64 | 1531.98 | 31.17% | 68.83% | -9.99 | 0-1 |
| 2011-06-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-75 | 1467.65 | 1519.02 | 54.58% | 45.42% | +8.91 | 1-1 |
| 2011-06-11 | @ Washington Mystics | W 84-77 | 1476.56 | 1524.42 | 31.97% | 68.03% | +20.40 | 2-1 |
| 2011-06-17 | New York Liberty | W 85-73 | 1496.96 | 1507.50 | 60.32% | 39.68% | +15.57 | 3-1 |
| 2011-06-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-83 | 1512.53 | 1536.92 | 34.98% | 65.02% | -15.35 | 3-2 |
| 2011-06-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 68-71 | 1497.18 | 1478.05 | 40.87% | 59.13% | -8.02 | 3-3 |
| 2011-06-23 | Connecticut Sun | W 107-101 | 1489.16 | 1552.27 | 52.90% | 47.10% | +13.07 | 4-3 |
| 2011-06-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 78-86 | 1502.23 | 1522.28 | 59.00% | 41.00% | -18.91 | 4-4 |
| 2011-06-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 74-84 | 1483.32 | 1539.74 | 53.86% | 46.14% | -19.30 | 4-5 |
| 2011-07-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-97 | 1464.02 | 1532.47 | 29.45% | 70.55% | -12.03 | 4-6 |
| 2011-07-05 | Washington Mystics | W 78-65 | 1451.99 | 1436.07 | 63.90% | 36.10% | +14.75 | 5-6 |
| 2011-07-09 | Atlanta Dream | W 81-69 | 1466.74 | 1464.06 | 62.13% | 37.87% | +14.86 | 6-6 |
| 2011-07-10 | @ New York Liberty | L 73-80 | 1481.60 | 1526.95 | 32.29% | 67.71% | -9.68 | 6-7 |
| 2011-07-13 | Tulsa Shock | W 72-54 | 1471.92 | 1292.40 | 81.95% | 18.05% | +8.68 | 7-7 |
| 2011-07-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 68-76 | 1480.60 | 1434.72 | 44.63% | 55.37% | -14.30 | 7-8 |
| 2011-07-19 | Seattle Storm | W 78-69 | 1466.30 | 1558.12 | 48.77% | 51.23% | +17.41 | 8-8 |
| 2011-07-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 63-77 | 1483.71 | 1557.51 | 28.82% | 71.18% | -12.22 | 8-9 |
| 2011-07-26 | Connecticut Sun | L 66-77 | 1471.49 | 1559.53 | 49.32% | 50.68% | -18.53 | 8-10 |
| 2011-07-28 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 64-55 | 1452.96 | 1257.05 | 65.66% | 34.34% | +11.67 | 9-10 |
| 2011-07-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-88 | 1464.63 | 1434.18 | 65.81% | 34.19% | -14.91 | 9-11 |
| 2011-08-04 | @ New York Liberty | L 49-59 | 1449.72 | 1534.73 | 27.51% | 72.49% | -9.86 | 9-12 |
| 2011-08-07 | Indiana Fever | W 88-69 | 1439.86 | 1620.37 | 36.37% | 63.63% | +31.43 | 10-12 |
| 2011-08-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 58-69 | 1471.29 | 1579.42 | 24.94% | 75.06% | -9.37 | 10-13 |
| 2011-08-12 | Minnesota Lynx | L 76-79 | 1461.92 | 1650.80 | 35.26% | 64.74% | -6.92 | 10-14 |
| 2011-08-14 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-73 | 1455.00 | 1543.36 | 27.13% | 72.87% | +28.60 | 11-14 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Washington Mystics | W 71-70 | 1483.60 | 1374.38 | 53.72% | 46.28% | +5.24 | 12-14 |
| 2011-08-23 | Atlanta Dream | L 80-83 | 1488.84 | 1549.29 | 53.29% | 46.71% | -10.45 | 12-15 |
| 2011-08-26 | Washington Mystics | W 80-67 | 1478.39 | 1348.62 | 77.32% | 22.68% | +9.26 | 13-15 |
| 2011-08-28 | New York Liberty | W 74-73 | 1487.65 | 1537.71 | 54.77% | 45.23% | +5.13 | 14-15 |
| 2011-08-30 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-71 | 1492.78 | 1532.59 | 32.99% | 67.01% | -7.48 | 14-16 |
| 2011-09-04 | Indiana Fever | L 80-88 | 1485.30 | 1559.59 | 51.30% | 48.70% | -16.44 | 14-17 |
| 2011-09-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 69-78 | 1468.86 | 1667.90 | 16.45% | 83.55% | -5.59 | 14-18 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-74 | 1463.27 | 1413.25 | 45.22% | 54.78% | -13.55 | 14-19 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-81 | 1449.72 | 1566.66 | 24.00% | 76.00% | -9.02 | 14-20 |
| 2011-06-04 | Washington Mystics | W 89-73 | 1500.27 | 1522.92 | 58.64% | 41.36% | +18.75 | 1-0 |
| 2011-06-10 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-78 | 1519.02 | 1467.65 | 45.42% | 54.58% | -8.92 | 1-1 |
| 2011-06-12 | Tulsa Shock | W 90-79 | 1510.10 | 1355.84 | 79.70% | 20.30% | +7.63 | 2-1 |
| 2011-06-16 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-71 | 1517.73 | 1504.03 | 40.11% | 59.89% | +19.19 | 3-1 |
| 2011-06-19 | Chicago Sky | W 83-68 | 1536.92 | 1512.53 | 65.02% | 34.98% | +15.35 | 4-1 |
| 2011-06-23 | @ Chicago Sky | L 101-107 | 1552.27 | 1489.16 | 47.10% | 52.90% | -13.07 | 4-2 |
| 2011-06-25 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-75 | 1539.20 | 1548.85 | 36.93% | 63.07% | -9.36 | 4-3 |
| 2011-06-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-76 | 1529.84 | 1490.15 | 67.00% | 33.00% | +6.48 | 5-3 |
| 2011-07-01 | Seattle Storm | W 75-70 | 1536.32 | 1571.16 | 56.93% | 43.07% | +10.91 | 6-3 |
| 2011-07-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 67-90 | 1547.23 | 1547.35 | 38.22% | 61.78% | -20.76 | 6-4 |
| 2011-07-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 78-90 | 1526.47 | 1603.18 | 28.47% | 71.53% | -11.18 | 6-5 |
| 2011-07-15 | @ New York Liberty | W 68-59 | 1515.29 | 1551.10 | 33.50% | 66.50% | +22.60 | 7-5 |
| 2011-07-17 | Indiana Fever | W 76-71 | 1537.89 | 1589.25 | 54.59% | 45.41% | +11.51 | 8-5 |
| 2011-07-19 | New York Liberty | W 85-79 | 1549.40 | 1536.43 | 63.51% | 36.49% | +10.13 | 9-5 |
| 2011-07-26 | @ Chicago Sky | W 77-66 | 1559.53 | 1471.49 | 50.68% | 49.32% | +18.53 | 10-5 |
| 2011-07-28 | Indiana Fever | L 58-69 | 1578.06 | 1569.72 | 62.89% | 37.11% | -23.63 | 10-6 |
| 2011-07-31 | Atlanta Dream | W 99-92 | 1554.43 | 1506.43 | 68.05% | 31.95% | +9.58 | 11-6 |
| 2011-08-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-70 | 1564.01 | 1435.19 | 56.51% | 43.49% | +14.78 | 12-6 |
| 2011-08-05 | @ Seattle Storm | L 79-81 | 1578.79 | 1582.61 | 37.72% | 62.28% | -6.05 | 12-7 |
| 2011-08-07 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 96-95 | 1572.74 | 1552.07 | 41.08% | 58.92% | +6.68 | 13-7 |
| 2011-08-09 | Chicago Sky | W 69-58 | 1579.42 | 1471.29 | 75.06% | 24.94% | +9.37 | 14-7 |
| 2011-08-11 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 59-72 | 1588.79 | 1514.25 | 71.27% | 28.73% | -29.12 | 14-8 |
| 2011-08-13 | Washington Mystics | W 82-75 | 1559.67 | 1399.19 | 80.27% | 19.73% | +5.92 | 15-8 |
| 2011-08-16 | Minnesota Lynx | W 108-79 | 1565.59 | 1660.51 | 48.33% | 51.67% | +31.52 | 16-8 |
| 2011-08-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 81-84 | 1597.11 | 1517.01 | 49.54% | 50.46% | -9.72 | 16-9 |
| 2011-08-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 88-94 | 1587.39 | 1549.59 | 43.49% | 56.51% | -12.07 | 16-10 |
| 2011-08-21 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-87 | 1575.32 | 1561.66 | 63.60% | 36.40% | +12.37 | 17-10 |
| 2011-08-26 | Phoenix Mercury | W 95-92 | 1587.69 | 1559.08 | 65.57% | 34.43% | +6.76 | 18-10 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 72-83 | 1594.45 | 1211.63 | 84.87% | 15.13% | -31.89 | 18-11 |
| 2011-08-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 66-78 | 1562.56 | 1466.57 | 51.82% | 48.18% | -20.34 | 18-12 |
| 2011-09-02 | Indiana Fever | W 83-55 | 1542.22 | 1586.19 | 55.64% | 44.36% | +26.60 | 19-12 |
| 2011-09-04 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-48 | 1568.82 | 1335.00 | 70.40% | 29.60% | +18.67 | 20-12 |
| 2011-09-06 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-85 | 1587.49 | 1580.20 | 39.23% | 60.77% | -14.74 | 20-13 |
| 2011-09-11 | New York Liberty | W 69-63 | 1572.75 | 1563.99 | 62.95% | 37.05% | +10.28 | 21-13 |
| 2011-06-04 | Chicago Sky | W 65-57 | 1531.98 | 1477.64 | 68.83% | 31.17% | +9.99 | 1-0 |
| 2011-06-10 | New York Liberty | L 80-81 | 1541.97 | 1555.17 | 59.95% | 40.05% | -6.80 | 1-1 |
| 2011-06-11 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-80 | 1535.17 | 1561.96 | 34.67% | 65.33% | +18.14 | 2-1 |
| 2011-06-14 | Tulsa Shock | W 82-74 | 1553.31 | 1348.21 | 84.03% | 15.97% | +5.12 | 3-1 |
| 2011-06-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 54-68 | 1558.43 | 1561.29 | 37.85% | 62.15% | -16.05 | 3-2 |
| 2011-06-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 89-93 | 1542.38 | 1470.61 | 48.34% | 51.66% | -10.95 | 3-3 |
| 2011-06-21 | @ Washington Mystics | W 89-80 | 1531.43 | 1456.80 | 48.75% | 51.25% | +17.42 | 4-3 |
| 2011-06-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 75-70 | 1548.85 | 1539.20 | 63.07% | 36.93% | +9.35 | 5-3 |
| 2011-06-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 78-75 | 1558.20 | 1537.53 | 41.08% | 58.92% | +11.57 | 6-3 |
| 2011-06-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-86 | 1569.77 | 1541.19 | 65.57% | 34.43% | +8.72 | 7-3 |
| 2011-07-05 | Seattle Storm | W 78-61 | 1578.49 | 1576.92 | 61.98% | 38.02% | +17.76 | 8-3 |
| 2011-07-09 | Washington Mystics | W 68-57 | 1596.25 | 1421.33 | 81.56% | 18.44% | +6.93 | 9-3 |
| 2011-07-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 90-78 | 1603.18 | 1526.47 | 71.53% | 28.47% | +11.18 | 10-3 |
| 2011-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx | L 70-80 | 1614.36 | 1549.95 | 70.06% | 29.94% | -25.11 | 10-4 |
| 2011-07-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 71-76 | 1589.25 | 1537.89 | 45.41% | 54.59% | -11.50 | 10-5 |
| 2011-07-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-84 | 1577.75 | 1449.02 | 56.50% | 43.50% | -20.24 | 10-6 |
| 2011-07-21 | Chicago Sky | W 77-63 | 1557.51 | 1483.71 | 71.18% | 28.82% | +12.21 | 11-6 |
| 2011-07-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 69-58 | 1569.72 | 1578.06 | 37.11% | 62.89% | +23.63 | 12-6 |
| 2011-07-29 | @ Washington Mystics | W 61-59 | 1593.35 | 1383.36 | 67.46% | 32.54% | +5.22 | 13-6 |
| 2011-07-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 98-63 | 1598.57 | 1449.10 | 79.25% | 20.75% | +13.91 | 14-6 |
| 2011-08-05 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 85-65 | 1612.48 | 1235.53 | 84.43% | 15.57% | +7.89 | 15-6 |
| 2011-08-07 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-88 | 1620.37 | 1439.86 | 63.63% | 36.37% | -31.43 | 15-7 |
| 2011-08-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-68 | 1588.94 | 1526.58 | 69.82% | 30.18% | +12.33 | 16-7 |
| 2011-08-13 | New York Liberty | W 82-71 | 1601.27 | 1522.97 | 71.71% | 28.29% | +10.63 | 17-7 |
| 2011-08-16 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 65-63 | 1611.90 | 1514.76 | 51.99% | 48.01% | +7.69 | 18-7 |
| 2011-08-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-75 | 1619.59 | 1416.79 | 66.55% | 33.45% | -16.86 | 18-8 |
| 2011-08-21 | Washington Mystics | W 83-51 | 1602.73 | 1369.13 | 86.11% | 13.89% | +8.91 | 19-8 |
| 2011-08-27 | Atlanta Dream | L 80-86 | 1611.64 | 1559.75 | 68.53% | 31.47% | -19.02 | 19-9 |
| 2011-08-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 90-92 | 1592.62 | 1578.77 | 40.14% | 59.86% | -6.43 | 19-10 |
| 2011-09-02 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 55-83 | 1586.19 | 1542.22 | 44.36% | 55.64% | -26.60 | 19-11 |
| 2011-09-04 | @ Chicago Sky | W 88-80 | 1559.59 | 1485.30 | 48.70% | 51.30% | +16.44 | 20-11 |
| 2011-09-07 | Washington Mystics | W 87-69 | 1576.03 | 1316.33 | 87.81% | 12.19% | +5.86 | 21-11 |
| 2011-09-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 75-83 | 1581.89 | 1550.34 | 42.61% | 57.39% | -13.65 | 21-12 |
| 2011-09-11 | Atlanta Dream | L 88-93 | 1568.24 | 1594.95 | 58.07% | 41.93% | -14.72 | 21-13 |
| 2011-06-03 | Minnesota Lynx | W 82-74 | 1468.39 | 1474.02 | 61.00% | 39.00% | +12.50 | 1-0 |
| 2011-06-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 69-86 | 1480.89 | 1461.52 | 40.90% | 59.10% | -19.11 | 1-1 |
| 2011-06-10 | Phoenix Mercury | W 98-84 | 1461.78 | 1497.89 | 56.75% | 43.25% | +18.34 | 2-1 |
| 2011-06-19 | Seattle Storm | W 74-50 | 1480.12 | 1577.34 | 48.00% | 52.00% | +28.86 | 3-1 |
| 2011-06-21 | New York Liberty | W 96-91 | 1508.98 | 1491.92 | 64.06% | 35.94% | +9.11 | 4-1 |
| 2011-06-24 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 80-90 | 1518.09 | 1510.84 | 39.23% | 60.77% | -14.06 | 4-2 |
| 2011-06-26 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-77 | 1504.03 | 1500.32 | 38.74% | 61.26% | -13.88 | 4-3 |
| 2011-06-28 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 76-79 | 1490.15 | 1529.84 | 33.00% | 67.00% | -6.47 | 4-4 |
| 2011-07-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 82-101 | 1483.68 | 1544.50 | 30.37% | 69.63% | -15.00 | 4-5 |
| 2011-07-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 80-99 | 1468.68 | 1559.15 | 26.89% | 73.11% | -13.28 | 4-6 |
| 2011-07-12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-74 | 1455.40 | 1533.21 | 28.34% | 71.66% | +25.67 | 5-6 |
| 2011-07-15 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 79-74 | 1481.07 | 1283.72 | 65.85% | 34.15% | +8.66 | 6-6 |
| 2011-07-17 | Washington Mystics | L 85-89 | 1489.73 | 1400.61 | 72.96% | 27.04% | -16.54 | 6-7 |
| 2011-07-18 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 69-79 | 1473.19 | 1517.01 | 55.66% | 44.34% | -19.94 | 6-8 |
| 2011-07-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 72-85 | 1453.25 | 1606.76 | 20.37% | 79.63% | -8.32 | 6-9 |
| 2011-07-28 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 80-89 | 1444.93 | 1495.68 | 31.61% | 68.39% | -10.75 | 6-10 |
| 2011-07-30 | @ Chicago Sky | W 88-84 | 1434.18 | 1464.63 | 34.19% | 65.81% | +14.92 | 7-10 |
| 2011-07-31 | @ Indiana Fever | L 63-98 | 1449.10 | 1598.57 | 20.75% | 79.25% | -13.91 | 7-11 |
| 2011-08-03 | Connecticut Sun | L 70-79 | 1435.19 | 1564.01 | 43.49% | 56.51% | -14.78 | 7-12 |
| 2011-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 78-84 | 1420.41 | 1656.65 | 29.31% | 70.69% | -8.14 | 7-13 |
| 2011-08-09 | Tulsa Shock | W 71-66 | 1412.27 | 1224.39 | 82.65% | 17.35% | +4.40 | 8-13 |
| 2011-08-12 | Phoenix Mercury | W 93-90 | 1416.67 | 1572.77 | 39.67% | 60.33% | +11.84 | 9-13 |
| 2011-08-16 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-84 | 1428.51 | 1537.87 | 46.26% | 53.74% | -11.72 | 9-14 |
| 2011-08-18 | Indiana Fever | W 75-70 | 1416.79 | 1619.59 | 33.45% | 66.55% | +16.86 | 10-14 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-87 | 1433.65 | 1643.22 | 15.63% | 84.37% | -7.72 | 10-15 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 73-67 | 1425.93 | 1213.73 | 67.74% | 32.26% | +8.95 | 11-15 |
| 2011-08-23 | @ Washington Mystics | W 86-82 | 1434.88 | 1360.23 | 48.75% | 51.25% | +11.61 | 12-15 |
| 2011-08-26 | Tulsa Shock | L 75-77 | 1446.49 | 1197.67 | 87.12% | 12.88% | -13.96 | 12-16 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-65 | 1432.53 | 1531.87 | 25.90% | 74.10% | -4.15 | 12-17 |
| 2011-08-30 | Seattle Storm | W 68-62 | 1428.38 | 1536.02 | 46.50% | 53.50% | +14.85 | 13-17 |
| 2011-09-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-93 | 1443.23 | 1548.65 | 25.23% | 74.77% | -11.43 | 13-18 |
| 2011-09-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-82 | 1431.80 | 1489.82 | 53.63% | 46.37% | -25.06 | 13-19 |
| 2011-09-09 | Tulsa Shock | W 84-73 | 1406.74 | 1218.57 | 82.67% | 17.33% | +6.51 | 14-19 |
| 2011-09-10 | Chicago Sky | W 74-67 | 1413.25 | 1463.27 | 54.78% | 45.22% | +13.56 | 15-19 |
| 2011-06-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-82 | 1474.02 | 1468.39 | 39.00% | 61.00% | -12.50 | 0-1 |
| 2011-06-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 86-69 | 1461.52 | 1480.89 | 59.10% | 40.90% | +19.10 | 1-1 |
| 2011-06-07 | Tulsa Shock | W 75-65 | 1480.62 | 1396.63 | 72.37% | 27.63% | +9.90 | 2-1 |
| 2011-06-09 | @ Seattle Storm | W 81-74 | 1490.52 | 1583.29 | 26.63% | 73.37% | +22.00 | 3-1 |
| 2011-06-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-85 | 1512.52 | 1516.43 | 61.23% | 38.77% | +14.56 | 4-1 |
| 2011-06-19 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 77-64 | 1527.08 | 1501.86 | 41.72% | 58.28% | +23.81 | 5-1 |
| 2011-06-24 | @ Seattle Storm | L 55-65 | 1550.89 | 1557.79 | 37.30% | 62.70% | -13.36 | 5-2 |
| 2011-06-26 | Indiana Fever | L 75-78 | 1537.53 | 1558.20 | 58.92% | 41.08% | -11.56 | 5-3 |
| 2011-06-30 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 101-71 | 1525.97 | 1330.94 | 65.54% | 34.46% | +21.38 | 6-3 |
| 2011-07-09 | Connecticut Sun | W 90-67 | 1547.35 | 1547.23 | 61.78% | 38.22% | +20.77 | 7-3 |
| 2011-07-13 | Phoenix Mercury | L 105-112 | 1568.12 | 1576.66 | 60.60% | 39.40% | -18.17 | 7-4 |
| 2011-07-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 80-70 | 1549.95 | 1614.36 | 29.94% | 70.06% | +25.10 | 8-4 |
| 2011-07-16 | Seattle Storm | W 69-62 | 1575.05 | 1569.35 | 62.54% | 37.46% | +11.23 | 9-4 |
| 2011-07-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 106-98 | 1586.28 | 1602.21 | 36.09% | 63.91% | +20.48 | 10-4 |
| 2011-07-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 85-72 | 1606.76 | 1453.25 | 79.63% | 20.37% | +8.32 | 11-4 |
| 2011-07-29 | Seattle Storm | W 92-67 | 1615.08 | 1576.84 | 66.81% | 33.19% | +18.81 | 12-4 |
| 2011-07-31 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 70-69 | 1633.89 | 1547.37 | 50.46% | 49.54% | +5.61 | 13-4 |
| 2011-08-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 90-73 | 1639.50 | 1565.53 | 71.21% | 28.79% | +13.45 | 14-4 |
| 2011-08-04 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 62-60 | 1652.95 | 1527.03 | 76.93% | 23.07% | +3.70 | 15-4 |
| 2011-08-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 84-78 | 1656.65 | 1420.41 | 70.69% | 29.31% | +8.13 | 16-4 |
| 2011-08-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 80-85 | 1664.78 | 1545.40 | 55.17% | 44.83% | -13.98 | 16-5 |
| 2011-08-12 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-76 | 1650.80 | 1461.92 | 64.74% | 35.26% | +6.92 | 17-5 |
| 2011-08-14 | Tulsa Shock | W 82-54 | 1657.72 | 1216.52 | 95.34% | 4.66% | +2.79 | 18-5 |
| 2011-08-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-108 | 1660.51 | 1565.59 | 51.67% | 48.33% | -31.52 | 18-6 |
| 2011-08-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 81-62 | 1628.99 | 1388.61 | 71.18% | 28.82% | +14.23 | 19-6 |
| 2011-08-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 87-68 | 1643.22 | 1433.65 | 84.37% | 15.63% | +7.72 | 20-6 |
| 2011-08-23 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 78-72 | 1650.94 | 1204.77 | 88.98% | 11.02% | +3.06 | 21-6 |
| 2011-08-26 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-75 | 1654.00 | 1487.09 | 80.85% | 19.15% | +6.86 | 22-6 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 72-61 | 1660.86 | 1480.23 | 63.65% | 36.35% | +13.66 | 23-6 |
| 2011-08-30 | Washington Mystics | W 73-56 | 1674.52 | 1329.71 | 92.16% | 7.84% | +3.66 | 24-6 |
| 2011-09-02 | New York Liberty | L 62-78 | 1678.18 | 1540.06 | 78.15% | 21.85% | -35.42 | 24-7 |
| 2011-09-04 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-68 | 1642.76 | 1575.48 | 47.69% | 52.31% | +25.14 | 25-7 |
| 2011-09-08 | Chicago Sky | W 78-69 | 1667.90 | 1468.86 | 83.55% | 16.45% | +5.59 | 26-7 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 96-90 | 1673.49 | 1545.99 | 56.33% | 43.67% | +12.12 | 27-7 |
| 2011-06-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 94-88 | 1538.29 | 1531.51 | 39.16% | 60.84% | +16.88 | 1-0 |
| 2011-06-10 | @ Indiana Fever | W 81-80 | 1555.17 | 1541.97 | 40.05% | 59.95% | +6.79 | 2-0 |
| 2011-06-11 | Indiana Fever | L 80-86 | 1561.96 | 1535.17 | 65.33% | 34.67% | -18.13 | 2-1 |
| 2011-06-14 | Atlanta Dream | L 58-79 | 1543.83 | 1480.09 | 69.98% | 30.02% | -36.33 | 2-2 |
| 2011-06-17 | @ Chicago Sky | L 73-85 | 1507.50 | 1496.96 | 39.68% | 60.32% | -15.58 | 2-3 |
| 2011-06-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-96 | 1491.92 | 1508.98 | 35.94% | 64.06% | -9.10 | 2-4 |
| 2011-06-23 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 94-82 | 1482.82 | 1361.81 | 55.40% | 44.60% | +17.50 | 3-4 |
| 2011-06-26 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-67 | 1500.32 | 1504.03 | 61.26% | 38.74% | +13.88 | 4-4 |
| 2011-06-30 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-87 | 1514.20 | 1450.98 | 47.11% | 52.89% | -13.08 | 4-5 |
| 2011-07-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-75 | 1501.12 | 1559.03 | 53.65% | 46.35% | +12.87 | 5-5 |
| 2011-07-08 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-73 | 1513.99 | 1546.17 | 33.97% | 66.03% | +12.96 | 6-5 |
| 2011-07-10 | Chicago Sky | W 80-73 | 1526.95 | 1481.60 | 67.71% | 32.29% | +9.68 | 7-5 |
| 2011-07-13 | Atlanta Dream | W 91-69 | 1536.63 | 1449.19 | 72.77% | 27.23% | +14.47 | 8-5 |
| 2011-07-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 59-68 | 1551.10 | 1515.29 | 66.50% | 33.50% | -22.61 | 8-6 |
| 2011-07-17 | Tulsa Shock | W 88-57 | 1528.49 | 1275.07 | 87.42% | 12.58% | +7.94 | 9-6 |
| 2011-07-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-85 | 1536.43 | 1549.40 | 36.49% | 63.51% | -10.13 | 9-7 |
| 2011-07-28 | Washington Mystics | W 75-71 | 1526.30 | 1388.32 | 78.14% | 21.86% | +4.96 | 10-7 |
| 2011-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-91 | 1531.26 | 1547.69 | 59.51% | 40.49% | -17.84 | 10-8 |
| 2011-08-02 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 85-75 | 1513.42 | 1496.85 | 40.51% | 59.49% | +21.31 | 11-8 |
| 2011-08-04 | Chicago Sky | W 59-49 | 1534.73 | 1449.72 | 72.49% | 27.51% | +9.86 | 12-8 |
| 2011-08-06 | @ Washington Mystics | L 81-91 | 1544.59 | 1378.15 | 61.74% | 38.26% | -22.12 | 12-9 |
| 2011-08-09 | Seattle Storm | W 58-56 | 1522.47 | 1563.30 | 56.08% | 43.92% | +7.04 | 13-9 |
| 2011-08-12 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-64 | 1529.51 | 1392.66 | 57.64% | 42.36% | -6.54 | 13-10 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 71-82 | 1522.97 | 1601.27 | 28.29% | 71.71% | -10.62 | 13-11 |
| 2011-08-16 | Washington Mystics | W 69-66 | 1512.35 | 1393.28 | 76.22% | 23.78% | +4.66 | 14-11 |
| 2011-08-18 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-81 | 1517.01 | 1597.11 | 50.46% | 49.54% | +9.72 | 15-11 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Seattle Storm | L 62-63 | 1526.73 | 1511.77 | 40.29% | 59.71% | -4.56 | 15-12 |
| 2011-08-23 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 74-70 | 1522.17 | 1574.62 | 31.40% | 68.60% | +15.54 | 16-12 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Chicago Sky | L 73-74 | 1537.71 | 1487.65 | 45.23% | 54.77% | -5.12 | 16-13 |
| 2011-08-30 | Chicago Sky | W 71-67 | 1532.59 | 1492.78 | 67.01% | 32.99% | +7.47 | 17-13 |
| 2011-09-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 78-62 | 1540.06 | 1678.18 | 21.85% | 78.15% | +35.42 | 18-13 |
| 2011-09-04 | Minnesota Lynx | L 68-86 | 1575.48 | 1642.76 | 52.31% | 47.69% | -25.14 | 18-14 |
| 2011-09-09 | Indiana Fever | W 83-75 | 1550.34 | 1581.89 | 57.39% | 42.61% | +13.65 | 19-14 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 63-69 | 1563.99 | 1572.75 | 37.05% | 62.95% | -10.28 | 19-15 |
| 2011-06-04 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-78 | 1506.75 | 1574.43 | 29.54% | 70.46% | -8.86 | 0-1 |
| 2011-06-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-98 | 1497.89 | 1461.78 | 43.25% | 56.75% | -18.33 | 0-2 |
| 2011-06-17 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 99-101 | 1479.56 | 1522.36 | 55.80% | 44.20% | -8.95 | 0-3 |
| 2011-06-19 | Indiana Fever | W 93-89 | 1470.61 | 1542.38 | 51.66% | 48.34% | +10.96 | 1-3 |
| 2011-06-21 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 105-98 | 1481.57 | 1531.30 | 31.74% | 68.26% | +20.46 | 2-3 |
| 2011-06-24 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 92-83 | 1502.03 | 1486.07 | 40.43% | 59.57% | +20.25 | 3-3 |
| 2011-06-25 | @ Chicago Sky | W 86-78 | 1522.28 | 1502.23 | 41.00% | 59.00% | +18.91 | 4-3 |
| 2011-06-28 | @ Indiana Fever | L 86-91 | 1541.19 | 1569.77 | 34.43% | 65.57% | -8.72 | 4-4 |
| 2011-07-01 | Chicago Sky | W 97-84 | 1532.47 | 1464.02 | 70.55% | 29.45% | +12.03 | 5-4 |
| 2011-07-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 101-82 | 1544.50 | 1483.68 | 69.63% | 30.37% | +15.00 | 6-4 |
| 2011-07-08 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 86-78 | 1559.50 | 1309.56 | 72.30% | 27.70% | +8.87 | 7-4 |
| 2011-07-10 | Tulsa Shock | W 102-63 | 1568.37 | 1300.68 | 88.29% | 11.71% | +8.29 | 8-4 |
| 2011-07-13 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 112-105 | 1576.66 | 1568.12 | 39.40% | 60.60% | +18.16 | 9-4 |
| 2011-07-15 | Washington Mystics | W 78-64 | 1594.82 | 1408.00 | 82.56% | 17.44% | +7.39 | 10-4 |
| 2011-07-20 | Minnesota Lynx | L 98-106 | 1602.21 | 1586.28 | 63.91% | 36.09% | -20.48 | 10-5 |
| 2011-07-26 | Seattle Storm | L 77-83 | 1581.73 | 1558.85 | 64.82% | 35.18% | -17.99 | 10-6 |
| 2011-07-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 91-102 | 1563.74 | 1531.31 | 42.73% | 57.27% | -16.05 | 10-7 |
| 2011-07-30 | @ New York Liberty | W 91-84 | 1547.69 | 1531.26 | 40.49% | 59.51% | +17.84 | 11-7 |
| 2011-08-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 73-90 | 1565.53 | 1639.50 | 28.79% | 71.21% | -13.46 | 11-8 |
| 2011-08-07 | Connecticut Sun | L 95-96 | 1552.07 | 1572.74 | 58.92% | 41.08% | -6.67 | 11-9 |
| 2011-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx | W 85-80 | 1545.40 | 1664.78 | 44.83% | 55.17% | +13.98 | 12-9 |
| 2011-08-11 | Atlanta Dream | W 109-95 | 1559.38 | 1508.50 | 68.40% | 31.60% | +13.39 | 13-9 |
| 2011-08-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 90-93 | 1572.77 | 1416.67 | 60.33% | 39.67% | -11.84 | 13-10 |
| 2011-08-16 | Seattle Storm | W 81-79 | 1560.93 | 1516.98 | 67.54% | 32.46% | +5.20 | 14-10 |
| 2011-08-20 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 87-81 | 1566.13 | 1507.07 | 69.41% | 30.59% | +8.49 | 15-10 |
| 2011-08-23 | New York Liberty | L 70-74 | 1574.62 | 1522.17 | 68.60% | 31.40% | -15.54 | 15-11 |
| 2011-08-26 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 92-95 | 1559.08 | 1587.69 | 34.43% | 65.57% | -6.76 | 15-12 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Washington Mystics | W 86-79 | 1552.32 | 1339.35 | 67.84% | 32.16% | +9.64 | 16-12 |
| 2011-08-30 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 96-74 | 1561.96 | 1243.52 | 79.47% | 20.53% | +10.91 | 17-12 |
| 2011-09-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 68-86 | 1572.87 | 1486.91 | 50.38% | 49.62% | -24.22 | 17-13 |
| 2011-09-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 93-77 | 1548.65 | 1443.23 | 74.77% | 25.23% | +11.44 | 18-13 |
| 2011-09-08 | Tulsa Shock | W 91-76 | 1560.09 | 1222.14 | 91.87% | 8.13% | +3.56 | 19-13 |
| 2011-09-09 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-85 | 1563.65 | 1549.00 | 40.25% | 59.75% | -17.66 | 19-14 |
| 2011-09-11 | Minnesota Lynx | L 90-96 | 1545.99 | 1673.49 | 43.67% | 56.33% | -12.12 | 19-15 |
| 2011-06-04 | Tulsa Shock | W 93-73 | 1461.01 | 1412.81 | 68.07% | 31.93% | +16.18 | 1-0 |
| 2011-06-10 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 93-62 | 1477.19 | 1386.73 | 51.03% | 48.97% | +30.89 | 2-0 |
| 2011-06-11 | Atlanta Dream | W 86-74 | 1508.08 | 1494.38 | 63.61% | 36.39% | +14.28 | 3-0 |
| 2011-06-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 101-99 | 1522.36 | 1479.56 | 44.20% | 55.80% | +8.94 | 4-0 |
| 2011-06-21 | Phoenix Mercury | L 98-105 | 1531.30 | 1481.57 | 68.26% | 31.74% | -20.46 | 4-1 |
| 2011-06-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-80 | 1510.84 | 1518.09 | 60.77% | 39.23% | +14.05 | 5-1 |
| 2011-06-26 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 92-86 | 1524.89 | 1465.82 | 46.52% | 53.48% | +14.85 | 6-1 |
| 2011-06-28 | @ Chicago Sky | W 84-74 | 1539.74 | 1483.32 | 46.14% | 53.86% | +19.29 | 7-1 |
| 2011-07-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 75-81 | 1559.03 | 1501.12 | 46.35% | 53.65% | -12.86 | 7-2 |
| 2011-07-08 | New York Liberty | L 73-76 | 1546.17 | 1513.99 | 66.03% | 33.97% | -12.96 | 7-3 |
| 2011-07-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-84 | 1533.21 | 1455.40 | 71.66% | 28.34% | -25.67 | 7-4 |
| 2011-07-14 | Seattle Storm | W 69-66 | 1507.54 | 1578.83 | 51.73% | 48.27% | +9.47 | 8-4 |
| 2011-07-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-69 | 1517.01 | 1473.19 | 44.34% | 55.66% | +19.94 | 9-4 |
| 2011-07-21 | @ Seattle Storm | L 55-73 | 1536.95 | 1540.71 | 37.73% | 62.27% | -18.13 | 9-5 |
| 2011-07-26 | @ Washington Mystics | W 73-67 | 1518.82 | 1400.81 | 54.98% | 45.02% | +12.49 | 10-5 |
| 2011-07-28 | Phoenix Mercury | W 102-91 | 1531.31 | 1563.74 | 57.27% | 42.73% | +16.06 | 11-5 |
| 2011-07-31 | Minnesota Lynx | L 69-70 | 1547.37 | 1633.89 | 49.54% | 50.46% | -5.61 | 11-6 |
| 2011-08-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 64-78 | 1541.76 | 1567.88 | 34.75% | 65.25% | -14.73 | 11-7 |
| 2011-08-04 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 60-62 | 1527.03 | 1652.95 | 23.07% | 76.93% | -3.70 | 11-8 |
| 2011-08-06 | Tulsa Shock | W 72-64 | 1523.33 | 1227.64 | 89.86% | 10.14% | +3.25 | 12-8 |
| 2011-08-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 68-81 | 1526.58 | 1588.94 | 30.18% | 69.82% | -12.33 | 12-9 |
| 2011-08-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 72-59 | 1514.25 | 1588.79 | 28.73% | 71.27% | +29.11 | 13-9 |
| 2011-08-14 | Chicago Sky | L 73-85 | 1543.36 | 1455.00 | 72.87% | 27.13% | -28.60 | 13-10 |
| 2011-08-16 | Indiana Fever | L 63-65 | 1514.76 | 1611.90 | 48.01% | 51.99% | -7.69 | 13-11 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 81-87 | 1507.07 | 1566.13 | 30.59% | 69.41% | -8.49 | 13-12 |
| 2011-08-23 | @ Seattle Storm | L 55-63 | 1498.58 | 1516.34 | 35.85% | 64.15% | -11.49 | 13-13 |
| 2011-08-26 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 75-85 | 1487.09 | 1654.00 | 19.15% | 80.85% | -6.86 | 13-14 |
| 2011-08-28 | Minnesota Lynx | L 61-72 | 1480.23 | 1660.86 | 36.35% | 63.65% | -13.66 | 13-15 |
| 2011-08-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-66 | 1466.57 | 1562.56 | 48.18% | 51.82% | +20.34 | 14-15 |
| 2011-09-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 86-68 | 1486.91 | 1572.87 | 49.62% | 50.38% | +24.22 | 15-15 |
| 2011-09-03 | Seattle Storm | L 60-70 | 1511.13 | 1527.69 | 59.49% | 40.51% | -21.31 | 15-16 |
| 2011-09-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-65 | 1489.82 | 1431.80 | 46.37% | 53.63% | +25.05 | 16-16 |
| 2011-09-10 | Washington Mystics | W 82-74 | 1514.87 | 1310.47 | 83.97% | 16.03% | +5.14 | 17-16 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 102-94 | 1520.01 | 1212.06 | 78.47% | 21.53% | +6.90 | 18-16 |
| 2011-06-04 | Phoenix Mercury | W 78-71 | 1574.43 | 1506.75 | 70.46% | 29.54% | +8.86 | 1-0 |
| 2011-06-09 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-81 | 1583.29 | 1490.52 | 73.37% | 26.63% | -22.00 | 1-1 |
| 2011-06-17 | Indiana Fever | W 68-54 | 1561.29 | 1558.43 | 62.15% | 37.85% | +16.05 | 2-1 |
| 2011-06-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 50-74 | 1577.34 | 1480.12 | 52.00% | 48.00% | -28.87 | 2-2 |
| 2011-06-21 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 82-77 | 1548.47 | 1371.13 | 63.21% | 36.79% | +9.32 | 3-2 |
| 2011-06-24 | Minnesota Lynx | W 65-55 | 1557.79 | 1550.89 | 62.70% | 37.30% | +13.37 | 4-2 |
| 2011-07-01 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-75 | 1571.16 | 1536.32 | 43.07% | 56.93% | -10.91 | 4-3 |
| 2011-07-03 | @ Washington Mystics | W 73-63 | 1560.25 | 1452.74 | 53.48% | 46.52% | +16.67 | 5-3 |
| 2011-07-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 61-78 | 1576.92 | 1578.49 | 38.02% | 61.98% | -17.77 | 5-4 |
| 2011-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 99-80 | 1559.15 | 1468.68 | 73.11% | 26.89% | +13.28 | 6-4 |
| 2011-07-12 | Washington Mystics | W 79-71 | 1572.43 | 1414.40 | 80.05% | 19.95% | +6.40 | 7-4 |
| 2011-07-14 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 66-69 | 1578.83 | 1507.54 | 48.27% | 51.73% | -9.48 | 7-5 |
| 2011-07-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 62-69 | 1569.35 | 1575.05 | 37.46% | 62.54% | -11.23 | 7-6 |
| 2011-07-19 | @ Chicago Sky | L 69-78 | 1558.12 | 1466.30 | 51.23% | 48.77% | -17.41 | 7-7 |
| 2011-07-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-55 | 1540.71 | 1536.95 | 62.27% | 37.73% | +18.14 | 8-7 |
| 2011-07-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 83-77 | 1558.85 | 1581.73 | 35.18% | 64.82% | +17.99 | 9-7 |
| 2011-07-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 67-92 | 1576.84 | 1615.08 | 33.19% | 66.81% | -18.80 | 9-8 |
| 2011-07-30 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 89-72 | 1558.04 | 1245.38 | 78.92% | 21.08% | +9.84 | 10-8 |
| 2011-08-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 78-64 | 1567.88 | 1541.76 | 65.25% | 34.75% | +14.73 | 11-8 |
| 2011-08-05 | Connecticut Sun | W 81-79 | 1582.61 | 1578.79 | 62.28% | 37.72% | +6.05 | 12-8 |
| 2011-08-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 53-70 | 1588.66 | 1475.53 | 54.28% | 45.72% | -25.36 | 12-9 |
| 2011-08-09 | @ New York Liberty | L 56-58 | 1563.30 | 1522.47 | 43.92% | 56.08% | -7.04 | 12-10 |
| 2011-08-11 | Tulsa Shock | W 77-63 | 1556.26 | 1219.99 | 91.80% | 8.20% | +3.48 | 13-10 |
| 2011-08-13 | Atlanta Dream | L 63-92 | 1559.74 | 1495.11 | 70.09% | 29.91% | -42.76 | 13-11 |
| 2011-08-16 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 79-81 | 1516.98 | 1560.93 | 32.46% | 67.54% | -5.21 | 13-12 |
| 2011-08-20 | New York Liberty | W 63-62 | 1511.77 | 1526.73 | 59.71% | 40.29% | +4.57 | 14-12 |
| 2011-08-23 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 63-55 | 1516.34 | 1498.58 | 64.15% | 35.85% | +11.49 | 15-12 |
| 2011-08-25 | Tulsa Shock | W 74-57 | 1527.83 | 1201.71 | 91.35% | 8.65% | +4.04 | 16-12 |
| 2011-08-28 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 65-63 | 1531.87 | 1432.53 | 74.10% | 25.90% | +4.15 | 17-12 |
| 2011-08-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 62-68 | 1536.02 | 1428.38 | 53.50% | 46.50% | -14.85 | 17-13 |
| 2011-09-02 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 78-72 | 1521.17 | 1232.61 | 76.52% | 23.48% | +6.52 | 18-13 |
| 2011-09-03 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 70-60 | 1527.69 | 1511.13 | 40.51% | 59.49% | +21.31 | 19-13 |
| 2011-09-09 | Phoenix Mercury | W 85-70 | 1549.00 | 1563.65 | 59.75% | 40.25% | +17.66 | 20-13 |
| 2011-09-11 | Chicago Sky | W 81-70 | 1566.66 | 1449.72 | 76.00% | 24.00% | +9.02 | 21-13 |
| 2011-06-04 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 73-93 | 1412.81 | 1461.01 | 31.93% | 68.07% | -16.18 | 0-1 |
| 2011-06-07 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 65-75 | 1396.63 | 1480.62 | 27.63% | 72.37% | -9.90 | 0-2 |
| 2011-06-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 62-93 | 1386.73 | 1477.19 | 48.97% | 51.03% | -30.89 | 0-3 |
| 2011-06-12 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-90 | 1355.84 | 1510.10 | 20.30% | 79.70% | -7.63 | 0-4 |
| 2011-06-14 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-82 | 1348.21 | 1553.31 | 15.97% | 84.03% | -5.12 | 0-5 |
| 2011-06-18 | Washington Mystics | W 77-59 | 1343.09 | 1484.84 | 41.67% | 58.33% | +28.04 | 1-5 |
| 2011-06-21 | Seattle Storm | L 77-82 | 1371.13 | 1548.47 | 36.79% | 63.21% | -9.32 | 1-6 |
| 2011-06-23 | New York Liberty | L 82-94 | 1361.81 | 1482.82 | 44.60% | 55.40% | -17.50 | 1-7 |
| 2011-06-26 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-83 | 1344.31 | 1439.38 | 26.37% | 73.63% | -13.37 | 1-8 |
| 2011-06-30 | Minnesota Lynx | L 71-101 | 1330.94 | 1525.97 | 34.46% | 65.54% | -21.38 | 1-9 |
| 2011-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury | L 78-86 | 1309.56 | 1559.50 | 27.70% | 72.30% | -8.88 | 1-10 |
| 2011-07-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 63-102 | 1300.68 | 1568.37 | 11.71% | 88.29% | -8.28 | 1-11 |
| 2011-07-13 | @ Chicago Sky | L 54-72 | 1292.40 | 1471.92 | 18.05% | 81.95% | -8.68 | 1-12 |
| 2011-07-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-79 | 1283.72 | 1481.07 | 34.15% | 65.85% | -8.65 | 1-13 |
| 2011-07-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 57-88 | 1275.07 | 1528.49 | 12.58% | 87.42% | -7.94 | 1-14 |
| 2011-07-26 | Atlanta Dream | L 68-76 | 1267.13 | 1485.60 | 31.48% | 68.52% | -10.08 | 1-15 |
| 2011-07-28 | Chicago Sky | L 55-64 | 1257.05 | 1452.96 | 34.34% | 65.66% | -11.67 | 1-16 |
| 2011-07-30 | Seattle Storm | L 72-89 | 1245.38 | 1558.04 | 21.08% | 78.92% | -9.85 | 1-17 |
| 2011-08-05 | Indiana Fever | L 65-85 | 1235.53 | 1612.48 | 15.57% | 84.43% | -7.89 | 1-18 |
| 2011-08-06 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 64-72 | 1227.64 | 1523.33 | 10.14% | 89.86% | -3.25 | 1-19 |
| 2011-08-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 66-71 | 1224.39 | 1412.27 | 17.35% | 82.65% | -4.40 | 1-20 |
| 2011-08-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-77 | 1219.99 | 1556.26 | 8.20% | 91.80% | -3.47 | 1-21 |
| 2011-08-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 54-82 | 1216.52 | 1657.72 | 4.66% | 95.34% | -2.79 | 1-22 |
| 2011-08-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-73 | 1213.73 | 1425.93 | 32.26% | 67.74% | -8.96 | 1-23 |
| 2011-08-23 | Minnesota Lynx | L 72-78 | 1204.77 | 1650.94 | 11.02% | 88.98% | -3.06 | 1-24 |
| 2011-08-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 57-74 | 1201.71 | 1527.83 | 8.65% | 91.35% | -4.04 | 1-25 |
| 2011-08-26 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 77-75 | 1197.67 | 1446.49 | 12.88% | 87.12% | +13.96 | 2-25 |
| 2011-08-28 | Connecticut Sun | W 83-72 | 1211.63 | 1594.45 | 15.13% | 84.87% | +31.89 | 3-25 |
| 2011-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 74-96 | 1243.52 | 1561.96 | 20.53% | 79.47% | -10.91 | 3-26 |
| 2011-09-02 | Seattle Storm | L 72-78 | 1232.61 | 1521.17 | 23.48% | 76.52% | -6.51 | 3-27 |
| 2011-09-04 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 52-73 | 1226.10 | 1576.25 | 7.62% | 92.38% | -3.96 | 3-28 |
| 2011-09-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 76-91 | 1222.14 | 1560.09 | 8.13% | 91.87% | -3.57 | 3-29 |
| 2011-09-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 73-84 | 1218.57 | 1406.74 | 17.33% | 82.67% | -6.51 | 3-30 |
| 2011-09-11 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 94-102 | 1212.06 | 1520.01 | 21.53% | 78.47% | -6.90 | 3-31 |
| 2011-06-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 73-89 | 1522.92 | 1500.27 | 41.36% | 58.64% | -18.74 | 0-1 |
| 2011-06-09 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 98-90 | 1504.18 | 1514.62 | 36.83% | 63.17% | +20.24 | 1-1 |
| 2011-06-11 | Chicago Sky | L 77-84 | 1524.42 | 1476.56 | 68.03% | 31.97% | -20.39 | 1-2 |
| 2011-06-16 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-79 | 1504.03 | 1517.73 | 59.89% | 40.11% | -19.19 | 1-3 |
| 2011-06-18 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 59-77 | 1484.84 | 1343.09 | 58.33% | 41.67% | -28.04 | 1-4 |
| 2011-06-21 | Indiana Fever | L 80-89 | 1456.80 | 1531.43 | 51.25% | 48.75% | -17.42 | 1-5 |
| 2011-06-26 | Tulsa Shock | W 83-63 | 1439.38 | 1344.31 | 73.63% | 26.37% | +13.36 | 2-5 |
| 2011-07-03 | Seattle Storm | L 63-73 | 1452.74 | 1560.25 | 46.52% | 53.48% | -16.67 | 2-6 |
| 2011-07-05 | @ Chicago Sky | L 65-78 | 1436.07 | 1451.99 | 36.10% | 63.90% | -14.74 | 2-7 |
| 2011-07-09 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-68 | 1421.33 | 1596.25 | 18.44% | 81.56% | -6.93 | 2-8 |
| 2011-07-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 71-79 | 1414.40 | 1572.43 | 19.95% | 80.05% | -6.40 | 2-9 |
| 2011-07-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 64-78 | 1408.00 | 1594.82 | 17.44% | 82.56% | -7.39 | 2-10 |
| 2011-07-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-85 | 1400.61 | 1489.73 | 27.04% | 72.96% | +16.53 | 3-10 |
| 2011-07-20 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-86 | 1417.14 | 1469.27 | 54.48% | 45.52% | -16.33 | 3-11 |
| 2011-07-26 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 67-73 | 1400.81 | 1518.82 | 45.02% | 54.98% | -12.49 | 3-12 |
| 2011-07-28 | @ New York Liberty | L 71-75 | 1388.32 | 1526.30 | 21.86% | 78.14% | -4.96 | 3-13 |
| 2011-07-29 | Indiana Fever | L 59-61 | 1383.36 | 1593.35 | 32.54% | 67.46% | -5.21 | 3-14 |
| 2011-08-06 | New York Liberty | W 91-81 | 1378.15 | 1544.59 | 38.26% | 61.74% | +22.12 | 4-14 |
| 2011-08-09 | Atlanta Dream | L 70-72 | 1400.27 | 1500.89 | 47.51% | 52.49% | -7.61 | 4-15 |
| 2011-08-12 | New York Liberty | W 64-63 | 1392.66 | 1529.51 | 42.36% | 57.64% | +6.53 | 5-15 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 75-82 | 1399.19 | 1559.67 | 19.73% | 80.27% | -5.91 | 5-16 |
| 2011-08-16 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-69 | 1393.28 | 1512.35 | 23.78% | 76.22% | -4.67 | 5-17 |
| 2011-08-18 | Minnesota Lynx | L 62-81 | 1388.61 | 1628.99 | 28.82% | 71.18% | -14.23 | 5-18 |
| 2011-08-20 | Chicago Sky | L 70-71 | 1374.38 | 1483.60 | 46.28% | 53.72% | -5.25 | 5-19 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 51-83 | 1369.13 | 1602.73 | 13.89% | 86.11% | -8.90 | 5-20 |
| 2011-08-23 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 82-86 | 1360.23 | 1434.88 | 51.25% | 48.75% | -11.61 | 5-21 |
| 2011-08-26 | @ Chicago Sky | L 67-80 | 1348.62 | 1478.39 | 22.68% | 77.32% | -9.27 | 5-22 |
| 2011-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury | L 79-86 | 1339.35 | 1552.32 | 32.16% | 67.84% | -9.64 | 5-23 |
| 2011-08-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 56-73 | 1329.71 | 1674.52 | 7.84% | 92.16% | -3.66 | 5-24 |
| 2011-09-01 | Atlanta Dream | W 85-81 | 1326.05 | 1585.20 | 26.65% | 73.35% | +16.62 | 6-24 |
| 2011-09-02 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 73-95 | 1342.67 | 1568.58 | 14.43% | 85.57% | -7.67 | 6-25 |
| 2011-09-04 | Connecticut Sun | L 48-79 | 1335.00 | 1568.82 | 29.60% | 70.40% | -18.67 | 6-26 |
| 2011-09-07 | @ Indiana Fever | L 69-87 | 1316.33 | 1576.03 | 12.19% | 87.81% | -5.86 | 6-27 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 74-82 | 1310.47 | 1514.87 | 16.03% | 83.97% | -5.14 | 6-28 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-09-16 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 89-84 | 1609.66 | 1583.03 | 41.91% | 58.09% | +14.71 | 1-0 |
| 2011-09-18 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-64 | 1624.37 | 1568.32 | 69.05% | 30.95% | +7.85 | 2-0 |
| 2011-09-22 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-82 | 1632.22 | 1556.98 | 48.84% | 51.16% | -15.65 | 2-1 |
| 2011-09-25 | Indiana Fever | W 94-77 | 1616.57 | 1572.63 | 67.53% | 32.47% | +15.16 | 3-1 |
| 2011-09-27 | @ Indiana Fever | W 83-67 | 1631.73 | 1557.47 | 48.70% | 51.30% | +23.25 | 4-1 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 74-88 | 1654.98 | 1710.00 | 31.08% | 68.92% | -13.18 | 4-2 |
| 2011-10-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 95-101 | 1641.80 | 1723.17 | 27.93% | 72.07% | -7.75 | 4-3 |
| 2011-10-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 67-73 | 1634.05 | 1730.93 | 48.05% | 51.95% | -13.33 | 4-4 |
| 2011-09-16 | Atlanta Dream | L 84-89 | 1583.03 | 1609.66 | 58.09% | 41.91% | -14.71 | 0-1 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 64-69 | 1568.32 | 1624.37 | 30.95% | 69.05% | -7.85 | 0-2 |
| 2011-09-15 | New York Liberty | W 74-72 | 1553.52 | 1553.71 | 61.74% | 38.26% | +6.13 | 1-0 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 72-87 | 1559.65 | 1547.58 | 39.89% | 60.11% | -17.50 | 1-1 |
| 2011-09-19 | New York Liberty | W 72-62 | 1542.15 | 1565.08 | 58.60% | 41.40% | +14.83 | 2-1 |
| 2011-09-22 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-74 | 1556.98 | 1632.22 | 51.16% | 48.84% | +15.65 | 3-1 |
| 2011-09-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 77-94 | 1572.63 | 1616.57 | 32.47% | 67.53% | -15.16 | 3-2 |
| 2011-09-27 | Atlanta Dream | L 67-83 | 1557.47 | 1631.73 | 51.30% | 48.70% | -23.25 | 3-3 |
| 2011-09-16 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-65 | 1685.61 | 1526.91 | 80.11% | 19.89% | +2.26 | 1-0 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 75-84 | 1687.87 | 1524.65 | 61.30% | 38.70% | -20.84 | 1-1 |
| 2011-09-20 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 85-67 | 1667.03 | 1545.49 | 76.48% | 23.52% | +11.31 | 2-1 |
| 2011-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury | W 95-67 | 1678.34 | 1545.02 | 77.68% | 22.32% | +13.38 | 3-1 |
| 2011-09-25 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 103-86 | 1691.72 | 1531.63 | 60.87% | 39.13% | +18.28 | 4-1 |
| 2011-10-02 | Atlanta Dream | W 88-74 | 1710.00 | 1654.98 | 68.92% | 31.08% | +13.17 | 5-1 |
| 2011-10-05 | Atlanta Dream | W 101-95 | 1723.17 | 1641.80 | 72.07% | 27.93% | +7.76 | 6-1 |
| 2011-10-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 73-67 | 1730.93 | 1634.05 | 51.95% | 48.05% | +13.33 | 7-1 |
| 2011-09-15 | @ Indiana Fever | L 72-74 | 1553.71 | 1553.52 | 38.26% | 61.74% | -6.13 | 0-1 |
| 2011-09-17 | Indiana Fever | W 87-72 | 1547.58 | 1559.65 | 60.11% | 39.89% | +17.50 | 1-1 |
| 2011-09-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 62-72 | 1565.08 | 1542.15 | 41.40% | 58.60% | -14.83 | 1-2 |
| 2011-09-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 61-80 | 1533.87 | 1575.68 | 32.73% | 67.27% | -16.16 | 0-1 |
| 2011-09-17 | Seattle Storm | W 92-83 | 1517.71 | 1591.85 | 51.32% | 48.68% | +16.54 | 1-1 |
| 2011-09-19 | @ Seattle Storm | W 77-75 | 1534.25 | 1575.30 | 32.83% | 67.17% | +10.77 | 2-1 |
| 2011-09-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 67-95 | 1545.02 | 1678.34 | 22.32% | 77.68% | -13.39 | 2-2 |
| 2011-09-25 | Minnesota Lynx | L 86-103 | 1531.63 | 1691.72 | 39.13% | 60.87% | -18.27 | 2-3 |
| 2011-09-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 65-66 | 1526.91 | 1685.61 | 19.89% | 80.11% | -2.26 | 0-1 |
| 2011-09-18 | Minnesota Lynx | W 84-75 | 1524.65 | 1687.87 | 38.70% | 61.30% | +20.84 | 1-1 |
| 2011-09-20 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 67-85 | 1545.49 | 1667.03 | 23.52% | 76.48% | -11.31 | 1-2 |
| 2011-09-15 | Phoenix Mercury | W 80-61 | 1575.68 | 1533.87 | 67.27% | 32.73% | +16.17 | 1-0 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 83-92 | 1591.85 | 1517.71 | 48.68% | 51.32% | -16.55 | 1-1 |
| 2011-09-19 | Phoenix Mercury | L 75-77 | 1575.30 | 1534.25 | 67.17% | 32.83% | -10.76 | 1-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2011-08-26 | 12.88% | Tulsa Shock | 1197.67 | 77 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1446.49 | 75 |
| 2 | 2011-08-28 | 15.13% | @ Tulsa Shock | 1211.63 | 83 | Connecticut Sun | 1594.45 | 72 |
| 3 | 2011-09-02 | 21.85% | New York Liberty | 1540.06 | 78 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1678.18 | 62 |
| 4 | 2011-06-09 | 26.63% | Minnesota Lynx | 1490.52 | 81 | @ Seattle Storm | 1583.29 | 74 |
| 5 | 2011-09-01 | 26.65% | @ Washington Mystics | 1326.05 | 85 | Atlanta Dream | 1585.20 | 81 |
| 6 | 2011-07-17 | 27.04% | Washington Mystics | 1400.61 | 89 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1489.73 | 85 |
| 7 | 2011-08-14 | 27.13% | Chicago Sky | 1455.00 | 85 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1543.36 | 73 |
| 8 | 2011-07-12 | 28.34% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1455.40 | 84 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1533.21 | 74 |
| 9 | 2011-08-11 | 28.73% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1514.25 | 72 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1588.79 | 59 |
| 10 | 2011-08-13 | 29.91% | Atlanta Dream | 1495.11 | 92 | @ Seattle Storm | 1559.74 | 63 |
| 11 | 2011-07-15 | 29.94% | Minnesota Lynx | 1549.95 | 80 | @ Indiana Fever | 1614.36 | 70 |
| 12 | 2011-06-14 | 30.02% | Atlanta Dream | 1480.09 | 79 | @ New York Liberty | 1543.83 | 58 |
| 13 | 2011-08-23 | 31.40% | New York Liberty | 1522.17 | 74 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1574.62 | 70 |
| 14 | 2011-08-27 | 31.47% | Atlanta Dream | 1559.75 | 86 | @ Indiana Fever | 1611.64 | 80 |
| 15 | 2011-06-21 | 31.74% | Phoenix Mercury | 1481.57 | 105 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1531.30 | 98 |
| 16 | 2011-06-11 | 31.97% | Chicago Sky | 1476.56 | 84 | @ Washington Mystics | 1524.42 | 77 |
| 17 | 2011-09-19 * | 32.83% | Phoenix Mercury | 1534.25 | 77 | @ Seattle Storm | 1575.30 | 75 |
| 18 | 2011-08-18 | 33.45% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1416.79 | 75 | Indiana Fever | 1619.59 | 70 |
| 19 | 2011-07-15 | 33.50% | Connecticut Sun | 1515.29 | 68 | @ New York Liberty | 1551.10 | 59 |
| 20 | 2011-07-08 | 33.97% | New York Liberty | 1513.99 | 76 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1546.17 | 73 |
| 21 | 2011-07-30 | 34.19% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1434.18 | 88 | @ Chicago Sky | 1464.63 | 84 |
| 22 | 2011-06-11 | 34.67% | Indiana Fever | 1535.17 | 86 | @ New York Liberty | 1561.96 | 80 |
| 23 | 2011-07-26 | 35.18% | Seattle Storm | 1558.85 | 83 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1581.73 | 77 |
| 24 | 2011-07-20 | 36.09% | Minnesota Lynx | 1586.28 | 106 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1602.21 | 98 |
| 25 | 2011-08-07 | 36.37% | @ Chicago Sky | 1439.86 | 88 | Indiana Fever | 1620.37 | 69 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2011-08-13 | 42.76 | Atlanta Dream | 92 | 1495.11 | 29.91% | @ Seattle Storm | 63 | 1559.74 | 70.09% |
| 2 | 2011-06-14 | 36.34 | Atlanta Dream | 79 | 1480.09 | 30.02% | @ New York Liberty | 58 | 1543.83 | 69.98% |
| 3 | 2011-09-02 | 35.42 | New York Liberty | 78 | 1540.06 | 21.85% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 62 | 1678.18 | 78.15% |
| 4 | 2011-08-28 | 31.89 | @ Tulsa Shock | 83 | 1211.63 | 15.13% | Connecticut Sun | 72 | 1594.45 | 84.87% |
| 5 | 2011-08-16 | 31.52 | @ Connecticut Sun | 108 | 1565.59 | 48.33% | Minnesota Lynx | 79 | 1660.51 | 51.67% |
| 6 | 2011-08-07 | 31.43 | @ Chicago Sky | 88 | 1439.86 | 36.37% | Indiana Fever | 69 | 1620.37 | 63.63% |
| 7 | 2011-06-10 | 30.89 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 93 | 1477.19 | 51.03% | @ Tulsa Shock | 62 | 1386.73 | 48.97% |
| 8 | 2011-08-11 | 29.12 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 72 | 1514.25 | 28.73% | @ Connecticut Sun | 59 | 1588.79 | 71.27% |
| 9 | 2011-06-19 | 28.87 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 74 | 1480.12 | 48.00% | Seattle Storm | 50 | 1577.34 | 52.00% |
| 10 | 2011-08-14 | 28.60 | Chicago Sky | 85 | 1455.00 | 27.13% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 73 | 1543.36 | 72.87% |
| 11 | 2011-06-18 | 28.04 | @ Tulsa Shock | 77 | 1343.09 | 41.67% | Washington Mystics | 59 | 1484.84 | 58.33% |
| 12 | 2011-09-02 | 26.60 | @ Connecticut Sun | 83 | 1542.22 | 55.64% | Indiana Fever | 55 | 1586.19 | 44.36% |
| 13 | 2011-07-12 | 25.67 | Los Angeles Sparks | 84 | 1455.40 | 28.34% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 74 | 1533.21 | 71.66% |
| 14 | 2011-08-07 | 25.36 | @ Atlanta Dream | 70 | 1475.53 | 45.72% | Seattle Storm | 53 | 1588.66 | 54.28% |
| 15 | 2011-09-04 | 25.14 | Minnesota Lynx | 86 | 1642.76 | 47.69% | @ New York Liberty | 68 | 1575.48 | 52.31% |
| 16 | 2011-07-15 | 25.11 | Minnesota Lynx | 80 | 1549.95 | 29.94% | @ Indiana Fever | 70 | 1614.36 | 70.06% |
| 17 | 2011-09-06 | 25.06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 82 | 1489.82 | 46.37% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 65 | 1431.80 | 53.63% |
| 18 | 2011-09-01 | 24.22 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 86 | 1486.91 | 49.62% | Phoenix Mercury | 68 | 1572.87 | 50.38% |
| 19 | 2011-06-19 | 23.81 | Minnesota Lynx | 77 | 1527.08 | 41.72% | @ Atlanta Dream | 64 | 1501.86 | 58.28% |
| 20 | 2011-07-28 | 23.63 | Indiana Fever | 69 | 1569.72 | 37.11% | @ Connecticut Sun | 58 | 1578.06 | 62.89% |
| 21 | 2011-09-27 * | 23.25 | Atlanta Dream | 83 | 1631.73 | 48.70% | @ Indiana Fever | 67 | 1557.47 | 51.30% |
| 22 | 2011-07-15 | 22.61 | Connecticut Sun | 68 | 1515.29 | 33.50% | @ New York Liberty | 59 | 1551.10 | 66.50% |
| 23 | 2011-08-06 | 22.12 | @ Washington Mystics | 91 | 1378.15 | 38.26% | New York Liberty | 81 | 1544.59 | 61.74% |
| 24 | 2011-06-09 | 22.00 | Minnesota Lynx | 81 | 1490.52 | 26.63% | @ Seattle Storm | 74 | 1583.29 | 73.37% |
| 25 | 2011-06-30 | 21.38 | Minnesota Lynx | 101 | 1525.97 | 65.54% | @ Tulsa Shock | 71 | 1330.94 | 34.46% |