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2011 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Minnesota Lynx

1st Title

Runner-Up

Atlanta Dream

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2010

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Lynx

4.71 wins above expected

27 wins · 22.29 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Washington Mystics

4.89 wins below expected

6 wins · 10.89 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Indiana Fever League 21 13 .618 - 77.7 73.8 +3.9 21.12 -0.12
2 Connecticut Sun Playoffs 21 13 .618 - 80.1 76.8 +3.3 19.33 +1.67
3 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 20 14 .588 1 82.5 80.8 +1.7 17.78 +2.22
4 New York Liberty Playoffs 19 15 .559 2 76.0 74.8 +1.2 18.27 +0.73
5 Chicago Sky 14 20 .412 7 74.2 75.2 -0.9 15.31 -1.31
6 Washington Mystics 6 28 .176 15 70.8 78.8 -7.9 10.89 -4.89
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Minnesota Lynx League 27 7 .794 - 81.5 73.6 +7.9 22.29 +4.71
2 Seattle Storm Playoffs 21 13 .618 6 71.6 69.9 +1.8 20.49 +0.51
3 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 19 15 .559 8 89.0 86.0 +3.0 19.28 -0.28
4 San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs 18 16 .529 9 77.6 75.5 +2.1 17.49 +0.51
5 Los Angeles Sparks 15 19 .441 12 77.1 80.3 -3.2 15.30 -0.30
6 Tulsa Shock 3 31 .088 24 69.2 82.1 -12.9 6.44 -3.44

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2
New York Liberty 1

3 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Atlanta Dream 2
Connecticut Sun 0

2 games · Sep 16–Sep 18

Conference Final

Atlanta Dream 2
Indiana Fever 1

3 games · Sep 22–Sep 27

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Phoenix Mercury 2
Seattle Storm 1

3 games · Sep 15–Sep 19

Minnesota Lynx 2
San Antonio Silver Stars 1

3 games · Sep 16–Sep 20

Conference Final

Minnesota Lynx 2
Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 22–Sep 25

WNBA Finals

Minnesota Lynx 3
Atlanta Dream 0

3 games · Oct 2–Oct 7

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Minnesota Lynx Western 1714 27 22.29 +4.71 98.31% 10 18 21 22 24 26 32
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1641 20 17.78 +2.22 83.83% 6 13 16 18 20 22 29
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1596 21 19.33 +1.67 78.42% 8 15 17 19 21 24 30
Seattle Storm Western 1583 21 20.49 +0.51 64.34% 9 16 19 21 22 25 31
New York Liberty Eastern 1564 19 18.27 +0.73 67.35% 6 14 16 18 20 23 30
Indiana Fever Eastern 1546 21 21.12 -0.12 55.26% 9 17 19 21 23 25 32
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1533 18 17.49 +0.51 64.42% 6 13 16 18 19 22 29
Phoenix Mercury Western 1529 19 19.28 -0.28 53.10% 7 15 18 19 21 24 31
Chicago Sky Eastern 1430 14 15.31 -1.31 38.43% 4 11 13 15 17 20 27
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1418 15 15.30 -0.30 53.32% 3 11 14 15 17 20 27
Washington Mystics Eastern 1276 6 10.89 -4.89 3.50% 2 7 9 11 13 15 22
Tulsa Shock Western 1171 3 6.44 -3.44 8.39% 0 3 5 6 8 10 19

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream —
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
4-0
(1.8 exp.)
2-3
(2.2 exp.)
3-2
(3.4 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
 —
2-3
(2.0 exp.)
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
2-3
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
3-2
(3.0 exp.)
 —
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
Indiana Fever
0-4
(2.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
 —
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
5-0
(3.9 exp.)
New York Liberty
3-2
(2.8 exp.)
3-2
(3.0 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
 —
2-2
(2.9 exp.)
Washington Mystics
2-3
(1.6 exp.)
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
0-5
(1.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.1 exp.)
 —

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.7 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.8 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks —
1-4
(1.5 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
4-1
(4.0 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
4-1
(3.5 exp.)
 —
3-2
(2.9 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(3.4 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
2-3
(2.1 exp.)
 —
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
4-0
(3.5 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
 —
1-4
(2.2 exp.)
4-0
(3.0 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
4-1
(2.8 exp.)
 —
5-0
(4.2 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
1-4
(1.0 exp.)
0-4
(0.6 exp.)
0-4
(0.5 exp.)
0-4
(1.0 exp.)
0-5
(0.8 exp.)
 —

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Seattle Storm
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50—0.25%—0.25%———0.49%
50–590.25%0.49%2.45%2.45%0.98%——6.62%
60–69—2.45%4.90%6.86%3.43%1.47%0.25%19.36%
70–790.25%2.45%6.86%10.78%9.31%1.96%0.49%32.11%
80–89—0.98%3.43%9.31%7.35%3.92%0.25%25.25%
90–99——1.47%1.96%3.92%3.92%1.47%12.75%
100+——0.25%0.49%0.25%1.47%0.98%3.43%
Total0.49%6.62%19.36%32.11%25.25%12.75%3.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.29 77.29 +0.00
SD 11.89 11.89 12.91
CV 0.15 0.15 —
Max 112 112 +39
Min 48 48 -39

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69———2.94%2.94%2.94%—8.82%
70–79—8.82%8.82%2.94%5.88%——26.47%
80–89———11.76%14.71%14.71%—41.18%
90–99——2.94%2.94%5.88%8.82%2.94%23.53%
100+————————
Total—8.82%11.76%20.59%29.41%26.47%2.94%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 82.50 80.79 +1.71
SD 8.66 13.36 12.04
CV 0.10 0.17 —
Max 95 109 +29
Min 64 52 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50—2.94%—————2.94%
50–59——5.88%————5.88%
60–69—2.94%—20.59%2.94%——26.47%
70–79—2.94%5.88%11.76%11.76%——32.35%
80–89——8.82%8.82%8.82%2.94%—29.41%
90–99————————
100+——————2.94%2.94%
Total—8.82%20.59%41.18%23.53%2.94%2.94%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.24 75.18 -0.94
SD 10.68 10.30 10.05
CV 0.14 0.14 —
Max 107 101 +19
Min 49 54 -15

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%2.94%———5.88%
60–69—5.88%2.94%2.94%—2.94%—14.71%
70–792.94%—2.94%20.59%8.82%2.94%—38.24%
80–89—2.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%2.94%—20.59%
90–99———2.94%2.94%8.82%—14.71%
100+———2.94%——2.94%5.88%
Total2.94%8.82%11.76%41.18%14.71%17.65%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.12 76.82 +3.29
SD 11.78 12.64 12.40
CV 0.15 0.16 —
Max 108 107 +31
Min 58 48 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%—2.94%——5.88%
60–69—11.76%2.94%—2.94%——17.65%
70–79——5.88%11.76%8.82%——26.47%
80–89—2.94%8.82%5.88%14.71%5.88%—38.24%
90–99——2.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%—11.76%
100+————————
Total—14.71%23.53%20.59%32.35%8.82%—100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.74 73.82 +3.91
SD 10.69 11.45 13.17
CV 0.14 0.16 —
Max 98 93 +35
Min 54 51 -28

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69——5.88%5.88%8.82%2.94%—23.53%
70–79—2.94%8.82%14.71%8.82%2.94%—38.24%
80–89———8.82%11.76%5.88%2.94%29.41%
90–99————2.94%5.88%—8.82%
100+————————
Total—2.94%14.71%29.41%32.35%17.65%2.94%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.15 80.32 -3.18
SD 8.85 11.30 12.11
CV 0.11 0.14 —
Max 98 101 +24
Min 63 50 -35

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%————2.94%
60–69——5.88%2.94%———8.82%
70–79—2.94%14.71%8.82%2.94%—2.94%32.35%
80–89—2.94%11.76%14.71%2.94%——32.35%
90–99——5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%—14.71%
100+———2.94%—2.94%2.94%8.82%
Total—5.88%41.18%32.35%8.82%5.88%5.88%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.50 73.62 +7.88
SD 11.58 13.15 12.59
CV 0.14 0.18 —
Max 106 112 +30
Min 55 54 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%———11.76%
60–69——11.76%—2.94%——14.71%
70–79——8.82%11.76%8.82%——29.41%
80–89—2.94%—11.76%11.76%5.88%—32.35%
90–99——2.94%—5.88%2.94%—11.76%
100+————————
Total2.94%5.88%26.47%26.47%29.41%8.82%—100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.00 74.76 +1.24
SD 10.43 11.09 10.72
CV 0.14 0.15 —
Max 94 96 +31
Min 58 49 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————————
60–69————2.94%——2.94%
70–79——2.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%—17.65%
80–89———11.76%5.88%5.88%—23.53%
90–99———8.82%11.76%11.76%8.82%41.18%
100+——2.94%—2.94%5.88%2.94%14.71%
Total——5.88%26.47%29.41%26.47%11.76%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 88.97 85.97 +3.00
SD 11.07 10.83 12.30
CV 0.12 0.13 —
Max 112 106 +39
Min 68 63 -18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%2.94%———5.88%
60–69——8.82%11.76%2.94%——23.53%
70–79—2.94%11.76%2.94%11.76%——29.41%
80–89——5.88%8.82%2.94%——17.65%
90–99——2.94%2.94%5.88%—2.94%14.71%
100+—————8.82%—8.82%
Total—2.94%32.35%29.41%23.53%8.82%2.94%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.65 75.53 +2.12
SD 13.41 11.25 11.59
CV 0.17 0.15 —
Max 102 105 +31
Min 55 59 -18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59—2.94%—5.88%———8.82%
60–69—8.82%14.71%5.88%—5.88%—35.29%
70–79—5.88%11.76%11.76%5.88%——35.29%
80–89———17.65%———17.65%
90–99————2.94%——2.94%
100+————————
Total—17.65%26.47%41.18%8.82%5.88%—100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 71.65 69.85 +1.79
SD 10.54 9.95 12.97
CV 0.15 0.14 —
Max 99 92 +19
Min 50 54 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%8.82%5.88%——17.65%
60–69———17.65%5.88%2.94%2.94%29.41%
70–79—2.94%—11.76%14.71%11.76%2.94%44.12%
80–89———2.94%—2.94%—5.88%
90–99——————2.94%2.94%
100+————————
Total—2.94%2.94%41.18%26.47%17.65%8.82%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 69.21 82.09 -12.88
SD 9.53 10.59 11.61
CV 0.14 0.13 —
Max 94 102 +18
Min 52 59 -39

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50———2.94%———2.94%
50–59——5.88%5.88%2.94%——14.71%
60–69——5.88%11.76%8.82%——26.47%
70–79———14.71%17.65%2.94%—35.29%
80–89——2.94%—11.76%——14.71%
90–99————2.94%2.94%—5.88%
100+————————
Total——14.71%35.29%44.12%5.88%—100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 70.82 78.76 -7.94
SD 11.24 8.15 10.71
CV 0.16 0.10 —
Max 98 95 +20
Min 48 61 -32

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.41 +7.7
Allowed 0.19 -6.6
Differential 0.96 +11.7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Minnesota Lynx 27 22.29 +4.71
2 Atlanta Dream 20 17.78 +2.22
3 Connecticut Sun 21 19.33 +1.67
4 New York Liberty 19 18.27 +0.73
5 Seattle Storm 21 20.49 +0.51

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Washington Mystics 6 10.89 -4.89
2 Tulsa Shock 3 6.44 -3.44
3 Chicago Sky 14 15.31 -1.31
4 Los Angeles Sparks 15 15.30 -0.30
5 Phoenix Mercury 19 19.28 -0.28

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Minnesota Lynx 9 Jul 15 – Aug 7 1 in 98
2 Tulsa Shock 2 Aug 26 – Aug 28 1 in 89
3 Indiana Fever 7 Jun 21 – Jul 13 1 in 29
4 Atlanta Dream 5 Jul 16 – Jul 28 1 in 18
5 Connecticut Sun 4 Jul 15 – Jul 26 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tulsa Shock 20 Jun 21 – Aug 25 1 in 73
2 New York Liberty 4 Jun 11 – Jun 21 1 in 28
3 San Antonio Silver Stars 6 Aug 14 – Aug 28 1 in 28
4 Indiana Fever 3 Jul 15 – Jul 19 1 in 16
5 Washington Mystics 9 Aug 13 – Aug 30 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team123456
Indiana Fever49.41%25.75%14.36%7.69%2.62%0.18%
Connecticut Sun23.89%27.32%23.11%16.49%8.18%1.01%
New York Liberty13.82%22.13%25.48%23.20%13.44%1.93%
Atlanta Dream10.62%18.27%23.69%26.66%17.79%2.98%
Chicago Sky2.23%6.35%12.55%22.82%43.98%12.07%
Washington Mystics0.03%0.18%0.81%3.15%13.99%81.84%
Team123456
Minnesota Lynx55.01%26.71%12.53%4.71%1.04%<0.01%
Seattle Storm25.29%32.47%24.10%13.44%4.69%0.01%
Phoenix Mercury14.02%24.27%30.55%21.81%9.33%0.02%
San Antonio Silver Stars4.75%12.97%23.12%35.15%23.82%0.19%
Los Angeles Sparks0.92%3.58%9.69%24.86%60.12%0.83%
Tulsa Shock-<0.01%<0.01%0.03%1.00%98.96%
Team123456789101112
Minnesota Lynx37.00%22.51%14.67%9.91%6.72%4.35%2.58%1.41%0.60%0.23%0.02%<0.01%
Indiana Fever21.00%20.27%16.67%12.91%9.95%7.56%5.29%3.51%1.95%0.81%0.09%-
Seattle Storm15.79%16.66%15.91%14.20%11.51%9.37%7.00%5.02%2.99%1.36%0.19%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun8.42%11.45%12.88%13.45%13.09%12.13%10.40%8.33%5.85%3.30%0.69%<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury7.77%10.71%12.64%13.55%13.72%12.67%10.89%8.57%5.81%3.19%0.47%<0.01%
New York Liberty4.04%6.82%9.14%11.29%12.54%13.39%13.35%12.02%9.63%6.35%1.40%0.03%
Atlanta Dream2.95%5.32%7.53%9.57%11.48%12.73%13.95%14.04%11.95%8.24%2.20%0.06%
San Antonio Silver Stars2.34%4.40%6.80%8.78%11.04%12.69%14.46%14.92%13.10%9.22%2.16%0.09%
Chicago Sky0.37%1.00%1.99%3.31%5.17%7.47%10.73%14.77%20.65%24.49%9.59%0.46%
Los Angeles Sparks0.32%0.86%1.74%2.97%4.58%7.22%10.33%15.10%21.60%26.30%8.49%0.50%
Washington Mystics-0.01%0.03%0.06%0.20%0.43%1.02%2.29%5.77%15.67%64.78%9.74%
Tulsa Shock-<0.01%--<0.01%<0.01%<0.01%0.02%0.11%0.84%9.93%89.09%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Indiana Fever49.41%25.75%14.36%7.69%2.79%
Connecticut Sun23.89%27.32%23.11%16.49%9.19%
New York Liberty13.82%22.13%25.48%23.20%15.37%
Atlanta Dream10.62%18.27%23.69%26.66%20.77%
Chicago Sky2.23%6.35%12.55%22.82%56.05%
Washington Mystics0.03%0.18%0.81%3.15%95.83%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx55.01%26.71%12.53%4.71%1.04%
Seattle Storm25.29%32.47%24.10%13.44%4.70%
Phoenix Mercury14.02%24.27%30.55%21.81%9.35%
San Antonio Silver Stars4.75%12.97%23.12%35.15%24.01%
Los Angeles Sparks0.92%3.58%9.69%24.86%60.95%
Tulsa Shock-<0.01%<0.01%0.03%99.96%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeAway
+23.53%
Fortress
61.76%38.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 83.31 Elo pts.
27 Elo
0.037 points per Elo point
080
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+3.63 points
Home-Tilted
-8+3.09+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Open Race
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Minnesota Lynx, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
40.7%
Heavy Favorite
012.50%60%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.11 · As Expected: 2.11 to 2.9 · Elevated: 2.9 to 3.95 · High Variance: 3.95 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 · Close: 1.38 to 1.87 · Off Target: 1.87 to 2.44 · Well Off Target: 2.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.65 · As Expected: 0.65 to 1.09 · More Than Expected: 1.09 to 1.74 · Far More Than Expected: 1.74 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.39 wins
As Expected
02.637
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.634
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.31%
Minnesota Lynx
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.50%
Washington Mystics
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Several Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
0 of 8
Fewer Than Expected
00.98

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.55
Stratified
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Tilted
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
No Contest
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
15%
Mostly Decisive
0%18%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.20
Predictable
00.201
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.92
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Weak Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
As Expected
0%32%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.21 · Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.1040.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Minnesota Lynx 98.96% 81.51% 61.61% 42.45%
Atlanta Dream 79.23% 49.99% 30.60% 14.15%
Connecticut Sun 90.81% 51.44% 27.49% 11.13%
Seattle Storm 95.30% 52.70% 19.42% 9.79%
Indiana Fever 97.21% 47.88% 20.86% 7.24%
New York Liberty 84.64% 40.42% 18.57% 6.73%
Phoenix Mercury 90.65% 33.46% 9.95% 4.28%
San Antonio Silver Stars 76.00% 26.11% 7.96% 3.46%
Chicago Sky 43.95% 9.96% 2.46% 0.50%
Los Angeles Sparks 39.05% 6.21% 1.05% 0.27%
Washington Mystics 4.17% 0.31% 0.03% <0.01%
Tulsa Shock 0.04% - - -
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream83.9%6.47%56.5%25.42%63.9%26.79%63.0%20.10%94.4%0.45%
Chicago Sky16.1%6.47%19.5%12.03%25.9%17.00%24.9%8.35%87.3%0.10%
Connecticut Sun43.5%25.42%80.5%12.03%57.0%24.14%56.6%28.14%94.1%1.07%
Indiana Fever36.1%26.79%74.1%17.00%43.0%24.14%49.4%27.38%91.2%1.89%
New York Liberty37.0%20.10%75.1%8.35%43.4%28.14%50.6%27.38%93.6%0.66%
Washington Mystics5.6%0.45%12.7%0.10%5.9%1.07%8.8%1.89%6.4%0.66%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks7.2%17.64%27.6%7.13%28.4%2.70%19.1%11.59%
Minnesota Lynx92.8%17.64%82.2%29.82%82.4%29.44%74.1%22.05%100.0%0.02%
Phoenix Mercury72.4%7.13%17.8%29.82%50.0%17.95%39.2%35.75%100.0%<0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars71.6%2.70%17.6%29.44%50.0%17.95%38.7%25.91%100.0%<0.01%
Seattle Storm80.9%11.59%25.9%22.05%60.8%35.75%61.3%25.91%100.0%<0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream79.7%2.59%55.9%17.80%63.5%16.05%61.8%13.48%94.7%0.08%
Chicago Sky20.3%2.59%21.8%2.99%29.9%2.21%28.3%2.15%66.7%0.01%
Connecticut Sun44.1%17.80%78.2%2.99%56.6%17.70%56.0%12.86%94.4%0.09%
Indiana Fever36.5%16.05%70.1%2.21%43.4%17.70%48.2%11.86%86.2%0.06%
New York Liberty38.2%13.48%71.7%2.15%44.0%12.86%51.8%11.86%90.5%0.07%
Washington Mystics5.3%0.08%33.3%0.01%5.6%0.09%13.8%0.06%9.5%0.07%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks9.9%3.69%30.2%0.77%31.8%0.47%23.4%1.29%
Minnesota Lynx90.1%3.69%78.4%22.32%78.7%16.39%71.3%39.11%
Phoenix Mercury69.8%0.77%21.6%22.32%49.8%3.65%41.4%6.71%
San Antonio Silver Stars68.2%0.47%21.3%16.39%50.2%3.65%41.4%5.60%
Seattle Storm76.6%1.29%28.7%39.11%58.6%6.71%58.6%5.60%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormAtlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream78.8%0.29%37.7%19.04%64.1%2.99%62.9%2.41%56.5%5.86%
Chicago Sky52.0%0.03%13.1%1.45%35.2%0.25%32.9%0.21%27.6%0.51%
Connecticut Sun77.2%0.30%31.4%16.87%57.7%2.70%58.1%2.22%50.8%5.41%
Indiana Fever67.4%0.23%26.5%12.84%50.5%2.11%52.0%1.60%43.7%4.07%
New York Liberty73.8%0.20%27.2%11.40%55.1%1.89%52.1%1.52%46.4%3.56%
Washington Mystics0.0%<0.01%11.8%0.02%0.0%<0.01%25.0%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%
Los Angeles Sparks21.2%0.29%48.0%0.03%22.8%0.30%32.6%0.23%26.2%0.20%100.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Lynx62.3%19.04%86.9%1.45%68.6%16.87%73.5%12.84%72.8%11.40%88.2%0.02%
Phoenix Mercury35.9%2.99%64.8%0.25%42.3%2.70%49.5%2.11%44.9%1.89%100.0%<0.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars37.1%2.41%67.1%0.21%41.9%2.22%48.0%1.60%47.9%1.52%75.0%<0.01%
Seattle Storm43.5%5.86%72.4%0.51%49.2%5.41%56.3%4.07%53.6%3.56%66.7%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx 82.88% 63.58% 43.31% Won Finals
Atlanta Dream 52.51% 34.09% 15.68% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream52.5%100.00%
Connecticut Sun47.5%100.00%
Indiana Fever52.3%100.00%
New York Liberty47.7%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Minnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx82.9%100.00%
Phoenix Mercury34.8%100.00%
San Antonio Silver Stars17.1%100.00%
Seattle Storm65.2%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream61.8%27.44%68.3%25.07%
Connecticut Sun54.4%24.87%61.3%22.63%
Indiana Fever38.2%27.44%45.6%24.87%
New York Liberty31.7%25.07%38.7%22.63%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Minnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx79.7%28.85%75.1%54.03%
Phoenix Mercury20.3%28.85%50.8%5.96%
San Antonio Silver Stars49.2%5.96%42.7%11.16%
Seattle Storm24.9%54.03%57.3%11.16%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Minnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormAtlanta DreamConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Atlanta Dream38.3%21.71%65.2%3.04%63.6%2.61%55.3%6.73%
Connecticut Sun31.2%17.34%62.4%2.43%58.0%2.17%52.1%5.44%
Indiana Fever24.8%13.86%50.2%1.97%52.9%1.64%42.3%4.36%
New York Liberty29.1%10.67%54.3%1.46%53.7%1.27%45.9%3.30%
Minnesota Lynx61.7%21.71%68.8%17.34%75.2%13.86%70.9%10.67%
Phoenix Mercury34.8%3.04%37.6%2.43%49.8%1.97%45.7%1.46%
San Antonio Silver Stars36.4%2.61%42.0%2.17%47.1%1.64%46.3%1.27%
Seattle Storm44.7%6.73%47.9%5.44%57.7%4.36%54.1%3.30%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Lynx 43.31% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
82.88%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
63.86%
Win Prob
75.14%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
30.92%
Win Prob
61.69%
Atlanta Dream 15.68% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
52.51%
→
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
50.23%
Win Prob
68.32%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
53.05%
Win Prob
38.31%
Connecticut Sun 11.03% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
47.49%
→
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
50.63%
Win Prob
61.28%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
49.10%
Win Prob
31.22%
Seattle Storm 9.92% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
65.19%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
67.73%
Win Prob
24.86%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
30.36%
Win Prob
44.75%
Indiana Fever 7.13% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
52.31%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
52.00%
Win Prob
45.63%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
48.14%
Win Prob
24.77%
New York Liberty 6.10% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
47.69%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
52.45%
Win Prob
38.72%
→
Finals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
50.89%
Win Prob
29.07%
Phoenix Mercury 3.62% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
34.81%
→
Semifinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
65.97%
Win Prob
20.35%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
29.30%
Win Prob
34.82%
San Antonio Silver Stars 3.22% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
17.12%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
61.87%
Win Prob
42.66%
→
Finals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
29.50%
Win Prob
36.44%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2011-06-05 New York Liberty L 88-94 1545.28 1553.78 60.60% 39.40% -22.49 0-1
2011-06-09 Washington Mystics L 90-98 1522.79 1503.04 64.41% 35.59% -27.60 0-2
2011-06-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-86 1495.19 1508.82 36.40% 63.60% -19.11 0-3
2011-06-14 @ New York Liberty W 79-58 1476.08 1559.99 27.64% 72.36% +50.24 1-3
2011-06-17 @ Minnesota Lynx L 85-96 1526.32 1523.62 38.60% 61.40% -19.39 1-4
2011-06-19 Minnesota Lynx L 64-77 1506.93 1543.02 56.75% 43.25% -31.00 1-5
2011-06-21 Chicago Sky W 71-68 1475.93 1497.69 58.77% 41.23% +10.82 2-5
2011-06-24 Phoenix Mercury L 83-92 1486.75 1500.60 59.86% 40.14% -27.21 2-6
2011-06-26 San Antonio Silver Stars L 86-92 1459.54 1530.60 51.76% 48.24% -19.21 2-7
2011-06-30 New York Liberty W 87-81 1440.33 1517.74 50.85% 49.15% +18.24 3-7
2011-07-09 @ Chicago Sky L 69-81 1458.57 1459.15 38.16% 61.84% -20.03 3-8
2011-07-13 @ New York Liberty L 69-91 1438.54 1547.59 24.84% 75.16% -17.65 3-9
2011-07-16 Chicago Sky W 76-68 1420.89 1476.61 53.96% 46.04% +19.73 4-9
2011-07-19 Indiana Fever W 84-74 1440.62 1590.35 40.56% 59.44% +28.48 5-9
2011-07-20 @ Washington Mystics W 86-79 1469.10 1394.24 48.78% 51.22% +20.53 6-9
2011-07-26 @ Tulsa Shock W 76-68 1489.63 1225.05 73.95% 26.05% +11.16 7-9
2011-07-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 89-80 1500.79 1432.29 70.56% 29.44% +13.38 8-9
2011-07-31 @ Connecticut Sun L 92-99 1514.17 1568.49 31.17% 68.83% -12.49 8-10
2011-08-02 New York Liberty L 75-85 1501.68 1511.44 60.43% 39.57% -28.95 8-11
2011-08-07 Seattle Storm W 70-53 1472.73 1602.72 43.32% 56.68% +35.40 9-11
2011-08-09 @ Washington Mystics W 72-70 1508.13 1379.01 56.56% 43.44% +9.31 10-11
2011-08-11 @ Phoenix Mercury L 95-109 1517.44 1571.27 31.23% 68.77% -17.70 10-12
2011-08-13 @ Seattle Storm W 92-63 1499.74 1561.33 30.28% 69.72% +56.88 11-12
2011-08-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 84-79 1556.62 1418.38 57.84% 42.16% +14.28 12-12
2011-08-19 Connecticut Sun W 94-88 1570.90 1608.10 56.60% 43.40% +16.11 13-12
2011-08-21 @ Connecticut Sun L 87-96 1587.01 1591.99 37.56% 62.44% -17.07 13-13
2011-08-23 @ Chicago Sky W 83-80 1569.94 1494.94 48.80% 51.20% +13.43 14-13
2011-08-27 @ Indiana Fever W 86-80 1583.37 1620.92 33.28% 66.72% +24.76 15-13
2011-08-30 Indiana Fever W 92-90 1608.13 1596.16 63.38% 36.62% +7.85 16-13
2011-09-01 @ Washington Mystics L 81-85 1615.98 1294.18 79.78% 20.22% -24.17 16-14
2011-09-02 Washington Mystics W 95-73 1591.81 1318.35 88.63% 11.37% +8.07 17-14
2011-09-04 Tulsa Shock W 73-52 1599.88 1194.10 94.35% 5.65% +3.93 18-14
2011-09-06 Connecticut Sun W 85-74 1603.81 1601.10 62.13% 37.87% +19.02 19-14
2011-09-11 @ Indiana Fever W 93-88 1622.83 1564.49 46.41% 53.59% +18.16 20-14
2011-06-04 @ Indiana Fever L 57-65 1468.81 1537.00 29.48% 70.52% -12.63 0-1
2011-06-10 Connecticut Sun W 78-75 1456.18 1526.84 51.82% 48.18% +12.64 1-1
2011-06-11 @ Washington Mystics W 84-77 1468.82 1530.64 30.25% 69.75% +27.96 2-1
2011-06-17 New York Liberty W 85-73 1496.78 1509.76 59.99% 40.01% +21.00 3-1
2011-06-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-83 1517.78 1547.86 34.24% 65.76% -20.09 3-2
2011-06-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-71 1497.69 1475.93 41.23% 58.77% -10.82 3-3
2011-06-23 Connecticut Sun W 107-101 1486.87 1567.95 50.32% 49.68% +18.43 4-3
2011-06-25 Phoenix Mercury L 78-86 1505.30 1527.81 58.66% 41.34% -25.13 4-4
2011-06-28 San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-84 1480.17 1549.80 51.97% 48.03% -24.90 4-5
2011-07-01 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-97 1455.27 1541.40 27.38% 72.62% -14.96 4-6
2011-07-05 Washington Mystics W 78-65 1440.31 1412.06 65.53% 34.47% +18.84 5-6
2011-07-09 Atlanta Dream W 81-69 1459.15 1458.57 61.84% 38.16% +20.02 6-6
2011-07-10 @ New York Liberty L 73-80 1479.17 1535.18 30.96% 69.04% -12.41 6-7
2011-07-13 Tulsa Shock W 72-54 1466.76 1253.10 84.68% 15.32% +9.85 7-7
2011-07-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 68-76 1476.61 1420.89 46.04% 53.96% -19.73 7-8
2011-07-19 Seattle Storm W 78-69 1456.88 1561.53 46.93% 53.07% +24.12 8-8
2011-07-21 @ Indiana Fever L 63-77 1481.00 1561.87 27.99% 72.01% -15.86 8-9
2011-07-26 Connecticut Sun L 66-77 1465.14 1578.11 45.74% 54.26% -22.99 8-10
2011-07-28 @ Tulsa Shock W 64-55 1442.15 1213.89 69.73% 30.27% +13.76 9-10
2011-07-30 Los Angeles Sparks L 84-88 1455.91 1418.90 66.65% 33.35% -20.20 9-11
2011-08-04 @ New York Liberty L 49-59 1435.71 1540.39 25.31% 74.69% -12.12 9-12
2011-08-07 Indiana Fever W 88-69 1423.59 1640.06 31.72% 68.28% +45.09 10-12
2011-08-09 @ Connecticut Sun L 58-69 1468.68 1599.26 22.60% 77.40% -11.36 10-13
2011-08-12 Minnesota Lynx L 76-79 1457.32 1687.50 30.04% 69.96% -7.88 10-14
2011-08-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-73 1449.44 1552.49 25.49% 74.51% +39.11 11-14
2011-08-20 @ Washington Mystics W 71-70 1488.55 1350.62 57.80% 42.20% +6.39 12-14
2011-08-23 Atlanta Dream L 80-83 1494.94 1569.94 51.20% 48.80% -13.43 12-15
2011-08-26 Washington Mystics W 80-67 1481.51 1319.50 80.41% 19.59% +10.70 13-15
2011-08-28 New York Liberty W 74-73 1492.21 1542.18 54.78% 45.22% +6.85 14-15
2011-08-30 @ New York Liberty L 67-71 1499.06 1535.33 33.44% 66.56% -10.14 14-16
2011-09-04 Indiana Fever L 80-88 1488.92 1552.70 52.81% 47.19% -22.62 14-17
2011-09-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-78 1466.30 1692.19 14.43% 85.57% -6.56 14-18
2011-09-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 67-74 1459.74 1399.03 46.75% 53.25% -18.74 14-19
2011-09-11 @ Seattle Storm L 70-81 1441.00 1571.62 22.59% 77.41% -11.35 14-20
2011-06-04 Washington Mystics W 89-73 1501.41 1528.48 58.02% 41.98% +25.43 1-0
2011-06-10 @ Chicago Sky L 75-78 1526.84 1456.18 48.18% 51.82% -12.64 1-1
2011-06-12 Tulsa Shock W 90-79 1514.20 1317.66 83.35% 16.65% +8.36 2-1
2011-06-16 @ Washington Mystics W 79-71 1522.56 1502.68 40.97% 59.03% +25.30 3-1
2011-06-19 Chicago Sky W 83-68 1547.86 1517.78 65.76% 34.24% +20.09 4-1
2011-06-23 @ Chicago Sky L 101-107 1567.95 1486.87 49.68% 50.32% -18.44 4-2
2011-06-25 @ Indiana Fever L 70-75 1549.51 1555.81 37.38% 62.62% -12.66 4-3
2011-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-76 1536.85 1489.81 67.93% 32.07% +8.41 5-3
2011-07-01 Seattle Storm W 75-70 1545.26 1582.18 56.64% 43.36% +14.69 6-3
2011-07-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-90 1559.95 1562.73 37.86% 62.14% -27.50 6-4
2011-07-13 @ Indiana Fever L 78-90 1532.45 1626.22 26.52% 73.48% -13.92 6-5
2011-07-15 @ New York Liberty W 68-59 1518.53 1565.24 32.12% 67.88% +30.85 7-5
2011-07-17 Indiana Fever W 76-71 1549.38 1605.99 53.84% 46.16% +15.64 8-5
2011-07-19 New York Liberty W 85-79 1565.02 1542.71 64.75% 35.25% +13.09 9-5
2011-07-26 @ Chicago Sky W 77-66 1578.11 1465.14 54.26% 45.74% +22.98 10-5
2011-07-28 Indiana Fever L 58-69 1601.09 1577.74 64.89% 35.11% -32.60 10-6
2011-07-31 Atlanta Dream W 99-92 1568.49 1514.17 68.83% 31.17% +12.49 11-6
2011-08-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-70 1580.98 1422.73 60.62% 39.38% +17.90 12-6
2011-08-05 @ Seattle Storm L 79-81 1598.88 1594.40 38.85% 61.15% -8.33 12-7
2011-08-07 @ Phoenix Mercury W 96-95 1590.55 1559.48 42.54% 57.46% +8.71 13-7
2011-08-09 Chicago Sky W 69-58 1599.26 1468.68 77.40% 22.60% +11.35 14-7
2011-08-11 San Antonio Silver Stars L 59-72 1610.61 1512.06 74.02% 25.98% -40.43 14-8
2011-08-13 Washington Mystics W 82-75 1570.18 1378.93 82.93% 17.07% +6.85 15-8
2011-08-16 Minnesota Lynx W 108-79 1577.03 1697.73 44.64% 55.36% +45.16 16-8
2011-08-18 @ New York Liberty L 81-84 1622.19 1513.12 53.70% 46.30% -14.09 16-9
2011-08-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 88-94 1608.10 1570.90 43.40% 56.60% -16.11 16-10
2011-08-21 Atlanta Dream W 96-87 1591.99 1587.01 62.44% 37.56% +17.07 17-10
2011-08-26 Phoenix Mercury W 95-92 1609.06 1567.64 67.22% 32.78% +8.61 18-10
2011-08-28 @ Tulsa Shock L 72-83 1617.67 1169.58 89.09% 10.91% -44.77 18-11
2011-08-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-78 1572.90 1453.60 55.16% 44.84% -28.95 18-12
2011-09-02 Indiana Fever W 83-55 1543.95 1588.31 55.58% 44.42% +35.61 19-12
2011-09-04 @ Washington Mystics W 79-48 1579.56 1310.27 74.47% 25.53% +21.54 20-12
2011-09-06 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-85 1601.10 1603.81 37.87% 62.13% -19.03 20-13
2011-09-11 New York Liberty W 69-63 1582.07 1577.93 62.33% 37.67% +13.98 21-13
2011-06-04 Chicago Sky W 65-57 1537.00 1468.81 70.52% 29.48% +12.63 1-0
2011-06-10 New York Liberty L 80-81 1549.63 1576.27 58.08% 41.92% -8.80 1-1
2011-06-11 @ New York Liberty W 86-80 1540.83 1585.07 32.43% 67.57% +25.08 2-1
2011-06-14 Tulsa Shock W 82-74 1565.91 1309.30 87.62% 12.38% +5.30 3-1
2011-06-17 @ Seattle Storm L 54-68 1571.21 1571.03 38.26% 61.74% -21.68 3-2
2011-06-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 89-93 1549.53 1456.83 51.35% 48.65% -15.56 3-3
2011-06-21 @ Washington Mystics W 89-80 1533.97 1437.10 51.95% 48.05% +21.84 4-3
2011-06-25 Connecticut Sun W 75-70 1555.81 1549.51 62.62% 37.38% +12.66 5-3
2011-06-26 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-75 1568.47 1554.99 40.08% 59.92% +15.72 6-3
2011-06-28 Phoenix Mercury W 91-86 1584.19 1552.95 65.91% 34.09% +11.55 7-3
2011-07-05 Seattle Storm W 78-61 1595.74 1587.91 62.82% 37.18% +23.22 8-3
2011-07-09 Washington Mystics W 68-57 1618.96 1393.23 85.56% 14.44% +7.26 9-3
2011-07-13 Connecticut Sun W 90-78 1626.22 1532.45 73.48% 26.52% +13.91 10-3
2011-07-15 Minnesota Lynx L 70-80 1640.13 1565.63 71.27% 28.73% -34.14 10-4
2011-07-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 71-76 1605.99 1549.38 46.16% 53.84% -15.64 10-5
2011-07-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-84 1590.35 1440.62 59.44% 40.56% -28.48 10-6
2011-07-21 Chicago Sky W 77-63 1561.87 1481.00 72.01% 27.99% +15.87 11-6
2011-07-28 @ Connecticut Sun W 69-58 1577.74 1601.09 35.11% 64.89% +32.60 12-6
2011-07-29 @ Washington Mystics W 61-59 1610.34 1352.70 73.17% 26.83% +5.75 13-6
2011-07-31 Los Angeles Sparks W 98-63 1616.09 1439.10 81.73% 18.27% +16.37 14-6
2011-08-05 @ Tulsa Shock W 85-65 1632.46 1189.78 88.78% 11.22% +7.60 15-6
2011-08-07 @ Chicago Sky L 69-88 1640.06 1423.59 68.28% 31.72% -45.09 15-7
2011-08-09 San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-68 1594.97 1528.26 70.34% 29.66% +16.20 16-7
2011-08-13 New York Liberty W 82-71 1611.17 1520.83 73.10% 26.90% +13.52 17-7
2011-08-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 65-63 1624.69 1513.39 54.02% 45.98% +9.85 18-7
2011-08-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-75 1634.54 1404.10 69.99% 30.01% -23.71 18-8
2011-08-21 Washington Mystics W 83-51 1610.83 1344.22 88.23% 11.77% +10.09 19-8
2011-08-27 Atlanta Dream L 80-86 1620.92 1583.37 66.72% 33.28% -24.76 19-9
2011-08-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 90-92 1596.16 1608.13 36.62% 63.38% -7.85 19-10
2011-09-02 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-83 1588.31 1543.95 44.42% 55.58% -35.61 19-11
2011-09-04 @ Chicago Sky W 88-80 1552.70 1488.92 47.19% 52.81% +22.63 20-11
2011-09-07 Washington Mystics W 87-69 1575.33 1288.74 89.37% 10.63% +6.83 21-11
2011-09-09 @ New York Liberty L 75-83 1582.16 1560.25 41.26% 58.74% -17.67 21-12
2011-09-11 Atlanta Dream L 88-93 1564.49 1622.83 53.59% 46.41% -18.16 21-13
2011-06-03 Minnesota Lynx W 82-74 1459.20 1473.54 59.80% 40.20% +17.22 1-0
2011-06-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-86 1476.42 1456.31 41.00% 59.00% -25.61 1-1
2011-06-10 Phoenix Mercury W 98-84 1450.81 1493.30 55.85% 44.15% +25.03 2-1
2011-06-19 Seattle Storm W 74-50 1475.84 1592.72 45.18% 54.82% +40.68 3-1
2011-06-21 New York Liberty W 96-91 1516.52 1488.76 65.46% 34.54% +11.70 4-1
2011-06-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 80-90 1528.22 1511.15 40.58% 59.42% -19.44 4-2
2011-06-26 @ New York Liberty L 67-77 1508.78 1498.77 39.61% 60.39% -18.97 4-3
2011-06-28 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-79 1489.81 1536.85 32.07% 67.93% -8.42 4-4
2011-07-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 82-101 1481.39 1556.36 28.68% 71.32% -18.94 4-5
2011-07-09 @ Seattle Storm L 80-99 1462.45 1564.69 25.58% 74.42% -16.89 4-6
2011-07-12 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-74 1445.56 1539.02 26.55% 73.45% +35.19 5-6
2011-07-15 @ Tulsa Shock W 79-74 1480.75 1243.25 70.84% 29.16% +9.88 6-6
2011-07-17 Washington Mystics L 85-89 1490.63 1371.13 76.27% 23.73% -23.11 6-7
2011-07-18 San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-79 1467.52 1517.01 54.85% 45.15% -26.28 6-8
2011-07-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-85 1441.24 1640.93 16.40% 83.60% -8.95 6-9
2011-07-28 @ Atlanta Dream L 80-89 1432.29 1500.79 29.44% 70.56% -13.39 6-10
2011-07-30 @ Chicago Sky W 88-84 1418.90 1455.91 33.35% 66.65% +20.20 7-10
2011-07-31 @ Indiana Fever L 63-98 1439.10 1616.09 18.27% 81.73% -16.37 7-11
2011-08-03 Connecticut Sun L 70-79 1422.73 1580.98 39.38% 60.62% -17.90 7-12
2011-08-07 Minnesota Lynx L 78-84 1404.83 1699.51 22.85% 77.15% -8.48 7-13
2011-08-09 Tulsa Shock W 71-66 1396.35 1178.79 84.97% 15.03% +5.09 8-13
2011-08-12 Phoenix Mercury W 93-90 1401.44 1588.97 35.44% 64.56% +16.94 9-13
2011-08-16 Atlanta Dream L 79-84 1418.38 1556.62 42.16% 57.84% -14.28 9-14
2011-08-18 Indiana Fever W 75-70 1404.10 1634.54 30.01% 69.99% +23.71 10-14
2011-08-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 68-87 1427.81 1668.22 13.43% 86.57% -8.87 10-15
2011-08-21 @ Tulsa Shock W 73-67 1418.94 1167.75 72.44% 27.56% +10.23 11-15
2011-08-23 @ Washington Mystics W 86-82 1429.17 1334.14 51.69% 48.31% +14.64 12-15
2011-08-26 Tulsa Shock L 75-77 1443.81 1150.35 89.74% 10.26% -19.23 12-16
2011-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 63-65 1424.58 1524.61 25.82% 74.18% -5.53 12-17
2011-08-30 Seattle Storm W 68-62 1419.05 1530.14 46.01% 53.99% +20.04 13-17
2011-09-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77-93 1439.09 1548.72 24.77% 75.23% -15.02 13-18
2011-09-06 San Antonio Silver Stars L 65-82 1424.07 1486.75 52.97% 47.03% -33.08 13-19
2011-09-09 Tulsa Shock W 84-73 1390.99 1186.23 84.00% 16.00% +8.04 14-19
2011-09-10 Chicago Sky W 74-67 1399.03 1459.74 53.25% 46.75% +18.74 15-19
2011-06-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-82 1473.54 1459.20 40.20% 59.80% -17.23 0-1
2011-06-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 86-69 1456.31 1476.42 59.00% 41.00% +25.62 1-1
2011-06-07 Tulsa Shock W 75-65 1481.93 1367.72 75.71% 24.29% +11.63 2-1
2011-06-09 @ Seattle Storm W 81-74 1493.56 1601.09 25.00% 75.00% +30.06 3-1
2011-06-17 Atlanta Dream W 96-85 1523.62 1526.32 61.40% 38.60% +19.40 4-1
2011-06-19 @ Atlanta Dream W 77-64 1543.02 1506.93 43.25% 56.75% +31.00 5-1
2011-06-24 @ Seattle Storm L 55-65 1574.02 1563.15 39.72% 60.28% -19.03 5-2
2011-06-26 Indiana Fever L 75-78 1554.99 1568.47 59.92% 40.08% -15.72 5-3
2011-06-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 101-71 1539.27 1294.24 71.73% 28.27% +23.46 6-3
2011-07-09 Connecticut Sun W 90-67 1562.73 1559.95 62.14% 37.86% +27.51 7-3
2011-07-13 Phoenix Mercury L 105-112 1590.24 1592.97 61.39% 38.61% -24.61 7-4
2011-07-15 @ Indiana Fever W 80-70 1565.63 1640.13 28.73% 71.27% +34.14 8-4
2011-07-16 Seattle Storm W 69-62 1599.77 1575.56 65.00% 35.00% +14.03 9-4
2011-07-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 106-98 1613.80 1625.26 36.69% 63.31% +27.13 10-4
2011-07-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 85-72 1640.93 1441.24 83.60% 16.40% +8.96 11-4
2011-07-29 Seattle Storm W 92-67 1649.89 1587.17 69.86% 30.14% +22.83 12-4
2011-07-31 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 70-69 1672.72 1555.53 54.86% 45.14% +6.84 13-4
2011-08-02 Phoenix Mercury W 90-73 1679.56 1575.32 74.64% 25.36% +15.84 14-4
2011-08-04 San Antonio Silver Stars W 62-60 1695.40 1528.98 80.81% 19.19% +4.11 15-4
2011-08-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 84-78 1699.51 1404.83 77.15% 22.85% +8.48 16-4
2011-08-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-85 1707.99 1550.78 60.48% 39.52% -20.49 16-5
2011-08-12 @ Chicago Sky W 79-76 1687.50 1457.32 69.96% 30.04% +7.88 17-5
2011-08-14 Tulsa Shock W 82-54 1695.38 1170.09 97.08% 2.92% +2.35 18-5
2011-08-16 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-108 1697.73 1577.03 55.36% 44.64% -45.17 18-6
2011-08-18 @ Washington Mystics W 81-62 1652.56 1366.28 76.29% 23.71% +15.66 19-6
2011-08-20 Los Angeles Sparks W 87-68 1668.22 1427.81 86.57% 13.43% +8.87 20-6
2011-08-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-72 1677.09 1157.52 92.49% 7.51% +2.79 21-6
2011-08-26 San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-75 1679.88 1477.18 83.84% 16.16% +7.74 22-6
2011-08-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-61 1687.62 1469.43 68.49% 31.51% +15.83 23-6
2011-08-30 Washington Mystics W 73-56 1703.45 1297.71 94.35% 5.65% +3.53 24-6
2011-09-02 New York Liberty L 62-78 1706.98 1545.46 80.37% 19.63% -48.70 24-7
2011-09-04 @ New York Liberty W 86-68 1658.28 1594.16 47.24% 52.76% +33.91 25-7
2011-09-08 Chicago Sky W 78-69 1692.19 1466.30 85.57% 14.43% +6.56 26-7
2011-09-11 @ Phoenix Mercury W 96-90 1698.75 1543.62 60.19% 39.81% +14.77 27-7
2011-06-05 @ Atlanta Dream W 94-88 1553.78 1545.28 39.40% 60.60% +22.49 1-0
2011-06-10 @ Indiana Fever W 81-80 1576.27 1549.63 41.92% 58.08% +8.80 2-0
2011-06-11 Indiana Fever L 80-86 1585.07 1540.83 67.57% 32.43% -25.08 2-1
2011-06-14 Atlanta Dream L 58-79 1559.99 1476.08 72.36% 27.64% -50.23 2-2
2011-06-17 @ Chicago Sky L 73-85 1509.76 1496.78 40.01% 59.99% -21.00 2-3
2011-06-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 91-96 1488.76 1516.52 34.54% 65.46% -11.71 2-4
2011-06-23 @ Tulsa Shock W 94-82 1477.05 1333.16 58.63% 41.37% +21.72 3-4
2011-06-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 77-67 1498.77 1508.78 60.39% 39.61% +18.97 4-4
2011-06-30 @ Atlanta Dream L 81-87 1517.74 1440.33 49.15% 50.85% -18.24 4-5
2011-07-01 San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-75 1499.50 1574.70 51.17% 48.83% +18.12 5-5
2011-07-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-73 1517.62 1556.58 33.10% 66.90% +17.56 6-5
2011-07-10 Chicago Sky W 80-73 1535.18 1479.17 69.04% 30.96% +12.41 7-5
2011-07-13 Atlanta Dream W 91-69 1547.59 1438.54 75.16% 24.84% +17.65 8-5
2011-07-15 Connecticut Sun L 59-68 1565.24 1518.53 67.88% 32.12% -30.86 8-6
2011-07-17 Tulsa Shock W 88-57 1534.38 1233.37 90.14% 9.86% +8.33 9-6
2011-07-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-85 1542.71 1565.02 35.25% 64.75% -13.09 9-7
2011-07-28 Washington Mystics W 75-71 1529.62 1358.39 81.23% 18.77% +5.69 10-7
2011-07-30 Phoenix Mercury L 84-91 1535.31 1551.46 59.55% 40.45% -23.87 10-8
2011-08-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 85-75 1511.44 1501.68 39.57% 60.43% +28.95 11-8
2011-08-04 Chicago Sky W 59-49 1540.39 1435.71 74.69% 25.31% +12.13 12-8
2011-08-06 @ Washington Mystics L 81-91 1552.52 1346.96 66.90% 33.10% -32.05 12-9
2011-08-09 Seattle Storm W 58-56 1520.47 1567.32 55.23% 44.77% +9.59 13-9
2011-08-12 @ Washington Mystics L 63-64 1530.06 1369.70 60.91% 39.09% -9.23 13-10
2011-08-13 @ Indiana Fever L 71-82 1520.83 1611.17 26.90% 73.10% -13.52 13-11
2011-08-16 Washington Mystics W 69-66 1507.31 1372.08 77.87% 22.13% +5.81 14-11
2011-08-18 Connecticut Sun W 84-81 1513.12 1622.19 46.30% 53.70% +14.09 15-11
2011-08-20 @ Seattle Storm L 62-63 1527.21 1498.11 42.26% 57.74% -6.40 15-12
2011-08-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 74-70 1520.81 1589.01 29.48% 70.52% +21.37 16-12
2011-08-28 @ Chicago Sky L 73-74 1542.18 1492.21 45.22% 54.78% -6.85 16-13
2011-08-30 Chicago Sky W 71-67 1535.33 1499.06 66.56% 33.44% +10.13 17-13
2011-09-02 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-62 1545.46 1706.98 19.63% 80.37% +48.70 18-13
2011-09-04 Minnesota Lynx L 68-86 1594.16 1658.28 52.76% 47.24% -33.91 18-14
2011-09-09 Indiana Fever W 83-75 1560.25 1582.16 58.74% 41.26% +17.68 19-14
2011-09-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 63-69 1577.93 1582.07 37.67% 62.33% -13.98 19-15
2011-06-04 @ Seattle Storm L 71-78 1504.29 1590.10 27.42% 72.58% -10.99 0-1
2011-06-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 84-98 1493.30 1450.81 44.15% 55.85% -25.02 0-2
2011-06-17 San Antonio Silver Stars L 99-101 1468.28 1527.92 53.40% 46.60% -11.45 0-3
2011-06-19 Indiana Fever W 93-89 1456.83 1549.53 48.65% 51.35% +15.56 1-3
2011-06-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 105-98 1472.39 1539.36 29.63% 70.37% +28.21 2-3
2011-06-24 @ Atlanta Dream W 92-83 1500.60 1486.75 40.14% 59.86% +27.21 3-3
2011-06-25 @ Chicago Sky W 86-78 1527.81 1505.30 41.34% 58.66% +25.14 4-3
2011-06-28 @ Indiana Fever L 86-91 1552.95 1584.19 34.09% 65.91% -11.55 4-4
2011-07-01 Chicago Sky W 97-84 1541.40 1455.27 72.62% 27.38% +14.96 5-4
2011-07-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 101-82 1556.36 1481.39 71.32% 28.68% +18.93 6-4
2011-07-08 @ Tulsa Shock W 86-78 1575.29 1270.78 78.13% 21.87% +9.37 7-4
2011-07-10 Tulsa Shock W 102-63 1584.66 1261.41 91.22% 8.78% +8.31 8-4
2011-07-13 @ Minnesota Lynx W 112-105 1592.97 1590.24 38.61% 61.39% +24.61 9-4
2011-07-15 Washington Mystics W 78-64 1617.58 1378.81 86.46% 13.54% +7.68 10-4
2011-07-20 Minnesota Lynx L 98-106 1625.26 1613.80 63.31% 36.69% -27.13 10-5
2011-07-26 Seattle Storm L 77-83 1598.13 1562.50 66.48% 33.52% -24.67 10-6
2011-07-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 91-102 1573.46 1533.52 43.79% 56.21% -22.00 10-7
2011-07-30 @ New York Liberty W 91-84 1551.46 1535.31 40.45% 59.55% +23.86 11-7
2011-08-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 73-90 1575.32 1679.56 25.36% 74.64% -15.84 11-8
2011-08-07 Connecticut Sun L 95-96 1559.48 1590.55 57.46% 42.54% -8.70 11-9
2011-08-09 Minnesota Lynx W 85-80 1550.78 1707.99 39.52% 60.48% +20.49 12-9
2011-08-11 Atlanta Dream W 109-95 1571.27 1517.44 68.77% 31.23% +17.70 13-9
2011-08-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 90-93 1588.97 1401.44 64.56% 35.44% -16.94 13-10
2011-08-16 Seattle Storm W 81-79 1572.03 1504.44 70.45% 29.55% +6.33 14-10
2011-08-20 San Antonio Silver Stars W 87-81 1578.36 1503.54 71.31% 28.69% +10.65 15-10
2011-08-23 New York Liberty L 70-74 1589.01 1520.81 70.52% 29.48% -21.37 15-11
2011-08-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 92-95 1567.64 1609.06 32.78% 67.22% -8.60 15-12
2011-08-28 @ Washington Mystics W 86-79 1559.04 1308.80 72.33% 27.67% +11.09 16-12
2011-08-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 96-74 1570.13 1214.34 82.76% 17.24% +12.25 17-12
2011-09-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 68-86 1582.38 1482.55 52.38% 47.62% -33.66 17-13
2011-09-03 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-77 1548.72 1439.09 75.23% 24.77% +15.01 18-13
2011-09-08 Tulsa Shock W 91-76 1563.73 1190.18 93.28% 6.72% +3.95 19-13
2011-09-09 @ Seattle Storm L 70-85 1567.68 1547.56 41.00% 59.00% -24.06 19-14
2011-09-11 Minnesota Lynx L 90-96 1543.62 1698.75 39.81% 60.19% -14.78 19-15
2011-06-04 Tulsa Shock W 93-73 1449.89 1388.23 69.73% 30.27% +20.50 1-0
2011-06-10 @ Tulsa Shock W 93-62 1470.39 1356.08 54.45% 45.55% +38.43 2-0
2011-06-11 Atlanta Dream W 86-74 1508.82 1495.19 63.60% 36.40% +19.10 3-0
2011-06-17 @ Phoenix Mercury W 101-99 1527.92 1468.28 46.60% 53.40% +11.44 4-0
2011-06-21 Phoenix Mercury L 98-105 1539.36 1472.39 70.37% 29.63% -28.21 4-1
2011-06-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-80 1511.15 1528.22 59.42% 40.58% +19.45 5-1
2011-06-26 @ Atlanta Dream W 92-86 1530.60 1459.54 48.24% 51.76% +19.20 6-1
2011-06-28 @ Chicago Sky W 84-74 1549.80 1480.17 48.03% 51.97% +24.90 7-1
2011-07-01 @ New York Liberty L 75-81 1574.70 1499.50 48.83% 51.17% -18.12 7-2
2011-07-08 New York Liberty L 73-76 1556.58 1517.62 66.90% 33.10% -17.56 7-3
2011-07-12 Los Angeles Sparks L 74-84 1539.02 1445.56 73.45% 26.55% -35.19 7-4
2011-07-14 Seattle Storm W 69-66 1503.83 1588.74 49.77% 50.23% +13.18 8-4
2011-07-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-69 1517.01 1467.52 45.15% 54.85% +26.28 9-4
2011-07-21 @ Seattle Storm L 55-73 1543.29 1537.41 39.04% 60.96% -25.09 9-5
2011-07-26 @ Washington Mystics W 73-67 1518.20 1373.71 58.71% 41.29% +15.32 10-5
2011-07-28 Phoenix Mercury W 102-91 1533.52 1573.46 56.21% 43.79% +22.01 11-5
2011-07-31 Minnesota Lynx L 69-70 1555.53 1672.72 45.14% 54.86% -6.84 11-6
2011-08-02 @ Seattle Storm L 64-78 1548.69 1574.69 34.77% 65.23% -19.71 11-7
2011-08-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-62 1528.98 1695.40 19.19% 80.81% -4.11 11-8
2011-08-06 Tulsa Shock W 72-64 1524.87 1182.18 92.07% 7.93% +3.39 12-8
2011-08-09 @ Indiana Fever L 68-81 1528.26 1594.97 29.66% 70.34% -16.20 12-9
2011-08-11 @ Connecticut Sun W 72-59 1512.06 1610.61 25.98% 74.02% +40.43 13-9
2011-08-14 Chicago Sky L 73-85 1552.49 1449.44 74.51% 25.49% -39.10 13-10
2011-08-16 Indiana Fever L 63-65 1513.39 1624.69 45.98% 54.02% -9.85 13-11
2011-08-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 81-87 1503.54 1578.36 28.69% 71.31% -10.65 13-12
2011-08-23 @ Seattle Storm L 55-63 1492.89 1504.51 36.67% 63.33% -15.71 13-13
2011-08-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 75-85 1477.18 1679.88 16.16% 83.84% -7.75 13-14
2011-08-28 Minnesota Lynx L 61-72 1469.43 1687.62 31.51% 68.49% -15.83 13-15
2011-08-30 Connecticut Sun W 78-66 1453.60 1572.90 44.84% 55.16% +28.95 14-15
2011-09-01 Phoenix Mercury W 86-68 1482.55 1582.38 47.62% 52.38% +33.67 15-15
2011-09-03 Seattle Storm L 60-70 1516.22 1518.10 61.51% 38.49% -29.47 15-16
2011-09-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 82-65 1486.75 1424.07 47.03% 52.97% +33.08 16-16
2011-09-10 Washington Mystics W 82-74 1519.83 1281.91 86.40% 13.60% +5.83 17-16
2011-09-11 @ Tulsa Shock W 102-94 1525.66 1178.19 82.06% 17.94% +7.69 18-16
2011-06-04 Phoenix Mercury W 78-71 1590.10 1504.29 72.58% 27.42% +10.99 1-0
2011-06-09 Minnesota Lynx L 74-81 1601.09 1493.56 75.00% 25.00% -30.06 1-1
2011-06-17 Indiana Fever W 68-54 1571.03 1571.21 61.74% 38.26% +21.69 2-1
2011-06-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 50-74 1592.72 1475.84 54.82% 45.18% -40.68 2-2
2011-06-21 @ Tulsa Shock W 82-77 1552.04 1344.28 67.18% 32.82% +11.11 3-2
2011-06-24 Minnesota Lynx W 65-55 1563.15 1574.02 60.28% 39.72% +19.03 4-2
2011-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-75 1582.18 1545.26 43.36% 56.64% -14.69 4-3
2011-07-03 @ Washington Mystics W 73-63 1567.49 1432.47 57.39% 42.61% +20.42 5-3
2011-07-05 @ Indiana Fever L 61-78 1587.91 1595.74 37.18% 62.82% -23.22 5-4
2011-07-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 99-80 1564.69 1462.45 74.42% 25.58% +16.89 6-4
2011-07-12 Washington Mystics W 79-71 1581.58 1385.97 83.28% 16.72% +7.16 7-4
2011-07-14 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-69 1588.74 1503.83 50.23% 49.77% -13.18 7-5
2011-07-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 62-69 1575.56 1599.77 35.00% 65.00% -14.03 7-6
2011-07-19 @ Chicago Sky L 69-78 1561.53 1456.88 53.07% 46.93% -24.12 7-7
2011-07-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-55 1537.41 1543.29 60.96% 39.04% +25.09 8-7
2011-07-26 @ Phoenix Mercury W 83-77 1562.50 1598.13 33.52% 66.48% +24.67 9-7
2011-07-29 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-92 1587.17 1649.89 30.14% 69.86% -22.83 9-8
2011-07-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 89-72 1564.34 1200.13 83.44% 16.56% +10.35 10-8
2011-08-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-64 1574.69 1548.69 65.23% 34.77% +19.71 11-8
2011-08-05 Connecticut Sun W 81-79 1594.40 1598.88 61.15% 38.85% +8.32 12-8
2011-08-07 @ Atlanta Dream L 53-70 1602.72 1472.73 56.68% 43.32% -35.40 12-9
2011-08-09 @ New York Liberty L 56-58 1567.32 1520.47 44.77% 55.23% -9.60 12-10
2011-08-11 Tulsa Shock W 77-63 1557.72 1173.69 93.64% 6.36% +3.61 13-10
2011-08-13 Atlanta Dream L 63-92 1561.33 1499.74 69.72% 30.28% -56.89 13-11
2011-08-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 79-81 1504.44 1572.03 29.55% 70.45% -6.33 13-12
2011-08-20 New York Liberty W 63-62 1498.11 1527.21 57.74% 42.26% +6.40 14-12
2011-08-23 San Antonio Silver Stars W 63-55 1504.51 1492.89 63.33% 36.67% +15.72 15-12
2011-08-25 Tulsa Shock W 74-57 1520.23 1154.74 92.98% 7.02% +4.38 16-12
2011-08-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 65-63 1524.61 1424.58 74.18% 25.82% +5.53 17-12
2011-08-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-68 1530.14 1419.05 53.99% 46.01% -20.03 17-13
2011-09-02 @ Tulsa Shock W 78-72 1510.11 1202.09 78.47% 21.53% +7.99 18-13
2011-09-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 70-60 1518.10 1516.22 38.49% 61.51% +29.46 19-13
2011-09-09 Phoenix Mercury W 85-70 1547.56 1567.68 59.00% 41.00% +24.06 20-13
2011-09-11 Chicago Sky W 81-70 1571.62 1441.00 77.41% 22.59% +11.35 21-13
2011-06-04 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 73-93 1388.23 1449.89 30.27% 69.73% -20.51 0-1
2011-06-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-75 1367.72 1481.93 24.29% 75.71% -11.64 0-2
2011-06-10 San Antonio Silver Stars L 62-93 1356.08 1470.39 45.55% 54.45% -38.42 0-3
2011-06-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-90 1317.66 1514.20 16.65% 83.35% -8.36 0-4
2011-06-14 @ Indiana Fever L 74-82 1309.30 1565.91 12.38% 87.62% -5.31 0-5
2011-06-18 Washington Mystics W 77-59 1303.99 1477.39 37.32% 62.68% +40.29 1-5
2011-06-21 Seattle Storm L 77-82 1344.28 1552.04 32.82% 67.18% -11.12 1-6
2011-06-23 New York Liberty L 82-94 1333.16 1477.05 41.37% 58.63% -21.71 1-7
2011-06-26 @ Washington Mystics L 63-83 1311.45 1415.26 25.40% 74.60% -17.21 1-8
2011-06-30 Minnesota Lynx L 71-101 1294.24 1539.27 28.27% 71.73% -23.46 1-9
2011-07-08 Phoenix Mercury L 78-86 1270.78 1575.29 21.87% 78.13% -9.37 1-10
2011-07-10 @ Phoenix Mercury L 63-102 1261.41 1584.66 8.78% 91.22% -8.31 1-11
2011-07-13 @ Chicago Sky L 54-72 1253.10 1466.76 15.32% 84.68% -9.85 1-12
2011-07-15 Los Angeles Sparks L 74-79 1243.25 1480.75 29.16% 70.84% -9.88 1-13
2011-07-17 @ New York Liberty L 57-88 1233.37 1534.38 9.86% 90.14% -8.32 1-14
2011-07-26 Atlanta Dream L 68-76 1225.05 1489.63 26.05% 73.95% -11.16 1-15
2011-07-28 Chicago Sky L 55-64 1213.89 1442.15 30.27% 69.73% -13.76 1-16
2011-07-30 Seattle Storm L 72-89 1200.13 1564.34 16.56% 83.44% -10.35 1-17
2011-08-05 Indiana Fever L 65-85 1189.78 1632.46 11.22% 88.78% -7.60 1-18
2011-08-06 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 64-72 1182.18 1524.87 7.93% 92.07% -3.39 1-19
2011-08-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 66-71 1178.79 1396.35 15.03% 84.97% -5.10 1-20
2011-08-11 @ Seattle Storm L 63-77 1173.69 1557.72 6.36% 93.64% -3.60 1-21
2011-08-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 54-82 1170.09 1695.38 2.92% 97.08% -2.34 1-22
2011-08-21 Los Angeles Sparks L 67-73 1167.75 1418.94 27.56% 72.44% -10.23 1-23
2011-08-23 Minnesota Lynx L 72-78 1157.52 1677.09 7.51% 92.49% -2.78 1-24
2011-08-25 @ Seattle Storm L 57-74 1154.74 1520.23 7.02% 92.98% -4.39 1-25
2011-08-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 77-75 1150.35 1443.81 10.26% 89.74% +19.23 2-25
2011-08-28 Connecticut Sun W 83-72 1169.58 1617.67 10.91% 89.09% +44.76 3-25
2011-08-30 Phoenix Mercury L 74-96 1214.34 1570.13 17.24% 82.76% -12.25 3-26
2011-09-02 Seattle Storm L 72-78 1202.09 1510.11 21.53% 78.47% -7.99 3-27
2011-09-04 @ Atlanta Dream L 52-73 1194.10 1599.88 5.65% 94.35% -3.92 3-28
2011-09-08 @ Phoenix Mercury L 76-91 1190.18 1563.73 6.72% 93.28% -3.95 3-29
2011-09-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-84 1186.23 1390.99 16.00% 84.00% -8.04 3-30
2011-09-11 San Antonio Silver Stars L 94-102 1178.19 1525.66 17.94% 82.06% -7.68 3-31
2011-06-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-89 1528.48 1501.41 41.98% 58.02% -25.44 0-1
2011-06-09 @ Atlanta Dream W 98-90 1503.04 1522.79 35.59% 64.41% +27.60 1-1
2011-06-11 Chicago Sky L 77-84 1530.64 1468.82 69.75% 30.25% -27.96 1-2
2011-06-16 Connecticut Sun L 71-79 1502.68 1522.56 59.03% 40.97% -25.29 1-3
2011-06-18 @ Tulsa Shock L 59-77 1477.39 1303.99 62.68% 37.32% -40.29 1-4
2011-06-21 Indiana Fever L 80-89 1437.10 1533.97 48.05% 51.95% -21.84 1-5
2011-06-26 Tulsa Shock W 83-63 1415.26 1311.45 74.60% 25.40% +17.21 2-5
2011-07-03 Seattle Storm L 63-73 1432.47 1567.49 42.61% 57.39% -20.41 2-6
2011-07-05 @ Chicago Sky L 65-78 1412.06 1440.31 34.47% 65.53% -18.83 2-7
2011-07-09 @ Indiana Fever L 57-68 1393.23 1618.96 14.44% 85.56% -7.26 2-8
2011-07-12 @ Seattle Storm L 71-79 1385.97 1581.58 16.72% 83.28% -7.16 2-9
2011-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 64-78 1378.81 1617.58 13.54% 86.46% -7.68 2-10
2011-07-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 89-85 1371.13 1490.63 23.73% 76.27% +23.11 3-10
2011-07-20 Atlanta Dream L 79-86 1394.24 1469.10 51.22% 48.78% -20.53 3-11
2011-07-26 San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-73 1373.71 1518.20 41.29% 58.71% -15.32 3-12
2011-07-28 @ New York Liberty L 71-75 1358.39 1529.62 18.77% 81.23% -5.69 3-13
2011-07-29 Indiana Fever L 59-61 1352.70 1610.34 26.83% 73.17% -5.74 3-14
2011-08-06 New York Liberty W 91-81 1346.96 1552.52 33.10% 66.90% +32.05 4-14
2011-08-09 Atlanta Dream L 70-72 1379.01 1508.13 43.44% 56.56% -9.31 4-15
2011-08-12 New York Liberty W 64-63 1369.70 1530.06 39.09% 60.91% +9.23 5-15
2011-08-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 75-82 1378.93 1570.18 17.07% 82.93% -6.85 5-16
2011-08-16 @ New York Liberty L 66-69 1372.08 1507.31 22.13% 77.87% -5.80 5-17
2011-08-18 Minnesota Lynx L 62-81 1366.28 1652.56 23.71% 76.29% -15.66 5-18
2011-08-20 Chicago Sky L 70-71 1350.62 1488.55 42.20% 57.80% -6.40 5-19
2011-08-21 @ Indiana Fever L 51-83 1344.22 1610.83 11.77% 88.23% -10.08 5-20
2011-08-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 82-86 1334.14 1429.17 48.31% 51.69% -14.64 5-21
2011-08-26 @ Chicago Sky L 67-80 1319.50 1481.51 19.59% 80.41% -10.70 5-22
2011-08-28 Phoenix Mercury L 79-86 1308.80 1559.04 27.67% 72.33% -11.09 5-23
2011-08-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 56-73 1297.71 1703.45 5.65% 94.35% -3.53 5-24
2011-09-01 Atlanta Dream W 85-81 1294.18 1615.98 20.22% 79.78% +24.17 6-24
2011-09-02 @ Atlanta Dream L 73-95 1318.35 1591.81 11.37% 88.63% -8.08 6-25
2011-09-04 Connecticut Sun L 48-79 1310.27 1579.56 25.53% 74.47% -21.53 6-26
2011-09-07 @ Indiana Fever L 69-87 1288.74 1575.33 10.63% 89.37% -6.83 6-27
2011-09-10 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-82 1281.91 1519.83 13.60% 86.40% -5.83 6-28

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2011-09-16 @ Connecticut Sun W 89-84 1640.99 1596.05 44.50% 55.50% +18.80 1-0
2011-09-18 Connecticut Sun W 69-64 1659.79 1577.25 72.21% 27.79% +9.41 2-0
2011-09-22 @ Indiana Fever L 74-82 1669.20 1553.95 54.58% 45.42% -23.39 2-1
2011-09-25 Indiana Fever W 94-77 1645.81 1577.34 70.55% 29.45% +18.40 3-1
2011-09-27 @ Indiana Fever W 83-67 1664.21 1558.94 53.16% 46.84% +28.39 4-1
2011-10-02 @ Minnesota Lynx L 74-88 1692.60 1740.06 32.02% 67.98% -18.16 4-2
2011-10-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 95-101 1674.44 1758.22 27.65% 72.35% -10.26 4-3
2011-10-07 Minnesota Lynx L 67-73 1664.18 1768.48 46.98% 53.02% -17.43 4-4
2011-09-16 Atlanta Dream L 84-89 1596.05 1640.99 55.50% 44.50% -18.80 0-1
2011-09-18 @ Atlanta Dream L 64-69 1577.25 1659.79 27.79% 72.21% -9.42 0-2
2011-09-15 New York Liberty W 74-72 1546.33 1563.95 59.34% 40.66% +8.71 1-0
2011-09-17 @ New York Liberty L 72-87 1555.04 1555.24 38.21% 61.79% -22.42 1-1
2011-09-19 New York Liberty W 72-62 1532.62 1577.66 55.49% 44.51% +21.33 2-1
2011-09-22 Atlanta Dream W 82-74 1553.95 1669.20 45.42% 54.58% +23.39 3-1
2011-09-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 77-94 1577.34 1645.81 29.45% 70.55% -18.40 3-2
2011-09-27 Atlanta Dream L 67-83 1558.94 1664.21 46.84% 53.16% -28.38 3-3
2011-09-16 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-65 1713.52 1533.35 82.01% 17.99% +2.73 1-0
2011-09-18 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-84 1716.25 1530.62 64.31% 35.69% -29.23 1-1
2011-09-20 San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-67 1687.02 1559.85 77.06% 22.94% +14.74 2-1
2011-09-22 Phoenix Mercury W 95-67 1701.76 1546.34 79.81% 20.19% +16.19 3-1
2011-09-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 103-86 1717.95 1530.15 64.60% 35.40% +22.11 4-1
2011-10-02 Atlanta Dream W 88-74 1740.06 1692.60 67.98% 32.02% +18.16 5-1
2011-10-05 Atlanta Dream W 101-95 1758.22 1674.44 72.35% 27.65% +10.26 6-1
2011-10-07 @ Atlanta Dream W 73-67 1768.48 1664.18 53.02% 46.98% +17.43 7-1
2011-09-15 @ Indiana Fever L 72-74 1563.95 1546.33 40.66% 59.34% -8.71 0-1
2011-09-17 Indiana Fever W 87-72 1555.24 1555.04 61.79% 38.21% +22.42 1-1
2011-09-19 @ Indiana Fever L 62-72 1577.66 1532.62 44.51% 55.49% -21.33 1-2
2011-09-15 @ Seattle Storm L 61-80 1528.84 1582.97 31.19% 68.81% -20.60 0-1
2011-09-17 Seattle Storm W 92-83 1508.24 1603.57 48.27% 51.73% +23.52 1-1
2011-09-19 @ Seattle Storm W 77-75 1531.76 1580.06 31.92% 68.08% +14.58 2-1
2011-09-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-95 1546.34 1701.76 20.19% 79.81% -16.19 2-2
2011-09-25 Minnesota Lynx L 86-103 1530.15 1717.95 35.40% 64.60% -22.11 2-3
2011-09-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-66 1533.35 1713.52 17.99% 82.01% -2.73 0-1
2011-09-18 Minnesota Lynx W 84-75 1530.62 1716.25 35.69% 64.31% +29.23 1-1
2011-09-20 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-85 1559.85 1687.02 22.94% 77.06% -14.75 1-2
2011-09-15 Phoenix Mercury W 80-61 1582.97 1528.84 68.81% 31.19% +20.60 1-0
2011-09-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 83-92 1603.57 1508.24 51.73% 48.27% -23.51 1-1
2011-09-19 Phoenix Mercury L 75-77 1580.06 1531.76 68.08% 31.92% -14.59 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-08-26 10.26% Tulsa Shock 1150.35 77 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1443.81 75
2 2011-08-28 10.91% @ Tulsa Shock 1169.58 83 Connecticut Sun 1617.67 72
3 2011-09-02 19.63% New York Liberty 1545.46 78 @ Minnesota Lynx 1706.98 62
4 2011-09-01 20.22% @ Washington Mystics 1294.18 85 Atlanta Dream 1615.98 81
5 2011-07-17 23.73% Washington Mystics 1371.13 89 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1490.63 85
6 2011-06-09 25.00% Minnesota Lynx 1493.56 81 @ Seattle Storm 1601.09 74
7 2011-08-14 25.49% Chicago Sky 1449.44 85 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1552.49 73
8 2011-08-11 25.98% San Antonio Silver Stars 1512.06 72 @ Connecticut Sun 1610.61 59
9 2011-07-12 26.55% Los Angeles Sparks 1445.56 84 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1539.02 74
10 2011-06-14 27.64% Atlanta Dream 1476.08 79 @ New York Liberty 1559.99 58
11 2011-07-15 28.73% Minnesota Lynx 1565.63 80 @ Indiana Fever 1640.13 70
12 2011-08-23 29.48% New York Liberty 1520.81 74 @ Phoenix Mercury 1589.01 70
13 2011-06-21 29.63% Phoenix Mercury 1472.39 105 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1539.36 98
14 2011-08-18 30.01% @ Los Angeles Sparks 1404.10 75 Indiana Fever 1634.54 70
15 2011-06-11 30.25% Chicago Sky 1468.82 84 @ Washington Mystics 1530.64 77
16 2011-08-13 30.28% Atlanta Dream 1499.74 92 @ Seattle Storm 1561.33 63
17 2011-08-07 31.72% @ Chicago Sky 1423.59 88 Indiana Fever 1640.06 69
18 2011-09-19 * 31.92% Phoenix Mercury 1531.76 77 @ Seattle Storm 1580.06 75
19 2011-07-15 32.12% Connecticut Sun 1518.53 68 @ New York Liberty 1565.24 59
20 2011-06-11 32.43% Indiana Fever 1540.83 86 @ New York Liberty 1585.07 80
21 2011-07-08 33.10% New York Liberty 1517.62 76 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1556.58 73
22 2011-08-06 33.10% @ Washington Mystics 1346.96 91 New York Liberty 1552.52 81
23 2011-08-27 33.28% Atlanta Dream 1583.37 86 @ Indiana Fever 1620.92 80
24 2011-07-30 33.35% Los Angeles Sparks 1418.90 88 @ Chicago Sky 1455.91 84
25 2011-07-26 33.52% Seattle Storm 1562.50 83 @ Phoenix Mercury 1598.13 77

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-13 56.89 Atlanta Dream 92 1499.74 30.28% @ Seattle Storm 63 1561.33 69.72%
2 2011-06-14 50.24 Atlanta Dream 79 1476.08 27.64% @ New York Liberty 58 1559.99 72.36%
3 2011-09-02 48.70 New York Liberty 78 1545.46 19.63% @ Minnesota Lynx 62 1706.98 80.37%
4 2011-08-16 45.17 @ Connecticut Sun 108 1577.03 44.64% Minnesota Lynx 79 1697.73 55.36%
5 2011-08-07 45.09 @ Chicago Sky 88 1423.59 31.72% Indiana Fever 69 1640.06 68.28%
6 2011-08-28 44.77 @ Tulsa Shock 83 1169.58 10.91% Connecticut Sun 72 1617.67 89.09%
7 2011-06-19 40.68 @ Los Angeles Sparks 74 1475.84 45.18% Seattle Storm 50 1592.72 54.82%
8 2011-08-11 40.43 San Antonio Silver Stars 72 1512.06 25.98% @ Connecticut Sun 59 1610.61 74.02%
9 2011-06-18 40.29 @ Tulsa Shock 77 1303.99 37.32% Washington Mystics 59 1477.39 62.68%
10 2011-08-14 39.11 Chicago Sky 85 1449.44 25.49% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 73 1552.49 74.51%
11 2011-06-10 38.43 San Antonio Silver Stars 93 1470.39 54.45% @ Tulsa Shock 62 1356.08 45.55%
12 2011-09-02 35.61 @ Connecticut Sun 83 1543.95 55.58% Indiana Fever 55 1588.31 44.42%
13 2011-08-07 35.40 @ Atlanta Dream 70 1472.73 43.32% Seattle Storm 53 1602.72 56.68%
14 2011-07-12 35.19 Los Angeles Sparks 84 1445.56 26.55% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 74 1539.02 73.45%
15 2011-07-15 34.14 Minnesota Lynx 80 1565.63 28.73% @ Indiana Fever 70 1640.13 71.27%
16 2011-09-04 33.91 Minnesota Lynx 86 1658.28 47.24% @ New York Liberty 68 1594.16 52.76%
17 2011-09-01 33.67 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 86 1482.55 47.62% Phoenix Mercury 68 1582.38 52.38%
18 2011-09-06 33.08 San Antonio Silver Stars 82 1486.75 47.03% @ Los Angeles Sparks 65 1424.07 52.97%
19 2011-07-28 32.60 Indiana Fever 69 1577.74 35.11% @ Connecticut Sun 58 1601.09 64.89%
20 2011-08-06 32.05 @ Washington Mystics 91 1346.96 33.10% New York Liberty 81 1552.52 66.90%
21 2011-06-19 31.00 Minnesota Lynx 77 1543.02 43.25% @ Atlanta Dream 64 1506.93 56.75%
22 2011-07-15 30.86 Connecticut Sun 68 1518.53 32.12% @ New York Liberty 59 1565.24 67.88%
23 2011-06-09 30.06 Minnesota Lynx 81 1493.56 25.00% @ Seattle Storm 74 1601.09 75.00%
24 2011-09-03 29.47 Seattle Storm 70 1518.10 38.49% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 60 1516.22 61.51%
25 2011-09-18 * 29.23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 84 1530.62 35.69% Minnesota Lynx 75 1716.25 64.31%