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2010 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Seattle Storm

2nd Title

Last Title: 2004

Runner-Up

Atlanta Dream

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

New York Liberty

4.27 wins above expected

22 wins · 17.73 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Tulsa Shock

4.86 wins below expected

6 wins · 10.86 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Washington Mystics League 22 12 .647 - 76.9 73.3 +3.6 18.86 +3.14
2 New York Liberty Playoffs 22 12 .647 - 79.2 76.0 +3.2 17.73 +4.27
3 Indiana Fever Playoffs 21 13 .618 1 78.3 74.1 +4.2 20.23 +0.77
4 Atlanta Dream Playoffs 19 15 .559 3 85.4 83.1 +2.3 19.08 -0.08
5 Connecticut Sun 17 17 .500 5 81.0 79.9 +1.1 17.14 -0.14
6 Chicago Sky 14 20 .412 8 76.1 76.8 -0.7 15.83 -1.83
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Seattle Storm League 28 6 .824 - 81.8 73.9 +7.9 24.59 +3.41
2 Phoenix Mercury Playoffs 15 19 .441 13 93.9 93.8 +0.1 17.52 -2.52
3 San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs 14 20 .412 14 76.8 80.1 -3.3 14.44 -0.44
4 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 13 21 .382 15 77.9 81.2 -3.3 14.48 -1.48
5 Minnesota Lynx 13 21 .382 15 78.7 82.1 -3.4 13.23 -0.23
6 Tulsa Shock 6 28 .176 22 78.0 89.8 -11.8 10.86 -4.86

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Atlanta Dream 2
Washington Mystics 0

2 games · Aug 25–Aug 27

New York Liberty 2
Indiana Fever 1

3 games · Aug 26–Sep 1

Conference Final

Atlanta Dream 2
New York Liberty 0

2 games · Sep 5–Sep 7

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Seattle Storm 2
Los Angeles Sparks 0

2 games · Aug 25–Aug 28

Phoenix Mercury 2
San Antonio Silver Stars 0

2 games · Aug 26–Aug 28

Conference Final

Seattle Storm 2
Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 2–Sep 5

WNBA Finals

Seattle Storm 3
Atlanta Dream 0

3 games · Sep 12–Sep 16

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
New York Liberty Eastern 1674 22 17.73 +4.27 95.94% 7 13 16 18 20 22 29
Seattle Storm Western 1661 28 24.59 +3.41 94.74% 12 20 23 25 26 29 33
Washington Mystics Eastern 1618 22 18.86 +3.14 90.70% 6 14 17 19 21 23 30
Indiana Fever Eastern 1579 21 20.23 +0.77 67.43% 8 16 18 20 22 25 31
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1526 19 19.08 -0.08 55.70% 6 14 17 19 21 24 31
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1502 17 17.14 -0.14 55.08% 6 13 15 17 19 22 29
Phoenix Mercury Western 1480 15 17.52 -2.52 23.08% 5 13 16 18 19 22 29
Minnesota Lynx Western 1438 13 13.23 -0.23 54.25% 3 9 11 13 15 18 24
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1431 14 14.44 -0.44 51.02% 3 10 13 14 16 19 25
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1425 13 14.48 -1.48 36.08% 4 10 13 14 16 19 27
Chicago Sky Eastern 1421 14 15.83 -1.83 31.65% 5 11 14 16 18 20 27
Tulsa Shock Western 1245 6 10.86 -4.86 3.60% 1 7 9 11 13 15 24

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream —
2-3
(3.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
Chicago Sky
3-2
(1.8 exp.)
 —
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
0-5
(2.1 exp.)
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
 —
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
1-4
(2.3 exp.)
3-2
(2.2 exp.)
Indiana Fever
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
5-0
(2.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
 —
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
4-0
(1.9 exp.)
4-1
(2.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
 —
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
Washington Mystics
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
2-3
(2.8 exp.)
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
 —

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Atlanta Dream
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
Chicago Sky
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)

Within Western

Team Sparks Lynx Mercury Stars Storm Shock
Los Angeles Sparks —
4-0
(2.0 exp.)
1-4
(2.3 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
0-5
(1.4 exp.)
4-0
(2.7 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
0-4
(2.0 exp.)
 —
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
3-2
(2.6 exp.)
1-3
(0.9 exp.)
3-2
(2.1 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
4-1
(2.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
 —
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
0-5
(1.7 exp.)
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-3
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
 —
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
4-1
(3.1 exp.)
Seattle Storm
5-0
(3.6 exp.)
3-1
(3.1 exp.)
5-0
(3.3 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
 —
3-1
(3.6 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
0-4
(1.3 exp.)
2-3
(2.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
1-4
(1.9 exp.)
1-3
(0.4 exp.)
 —

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Fever Liberty Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Tulsa Shock
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<600.98%0.98%1.72%0.49%———4.17%
60–690.98%2.94%5.15%3.43%0.49%0.25%0.25%13.48%
70–791.72%5.15%13.73%9.31%2.70%0.49%—33.09%
80–890.49%3.43%9.31%6.86%6.13%1.47%0.25%27.94%
90–99—0.49%2.70%6.13%3.92%0.25%0.98%14.46%
100–109—0.25%0.49%1.47%0.25%1.47%0.49%4.41%
110+—0.25%—0.25%0.98%0.49%0.49%2.45%
Total4.17%13.48%33.09%27.94%14.46%4.41%2.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 80.32 80.32 +0.00
SD 12.56 12.56 13.03
CV 0.16 0.16 —
Max 127 127 +46
Min 51 51 -46

Games Played: 204

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60————————
60–69—2.94%—————2.94%
70–792.94%—2.94%17.65%5.88%——29.41%
80–89——8.82%8.82%8.82%——26.47%
90–99—2.94%5.88%11.76%11.76%——32.35%
100–109———5.88%—2.94%—8.82%
110+————————
Total2.94%5.88%17.65%44.12%26.47%2.94%—100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 85.38 83.12 +2.26
SD 10.85 10.02 12.30
CV 0.13 0.12 —
Max 108 103 +32
Min 66 58 -19

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<605.88%——————5.88%
60–692.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%———17.65%
70–792.94%—14.71%8.82%5.88%——32.35%
80–89—5.88%11.76%8.82%5.88%——32.35%
90–99——2.94%5.88%2.94%——11.76%
100–109————————
110+————————
Total11.76%11.76%35.29%26.47%14.71%——100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.06 76.79 -0.74
SD 11.82 11.32 11.79
CV 0.16 0.15 —
Max 96 98 +27
Min 51 57 -24

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60————————
60–69—2.94%14.71%—2.94%——20.59%
70–79—11.76%5.88%8.82%———26.47%
80–89—8.82%8.82%8.82%5.88%——32.35%
90–99—2.94%—2.94%2.94%——8.82%
100–109——2.94%2.94%—2.94%2.94%11.76%
110+————————
Total—26.47%32.35%23.53%11.76%2.94%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.00 79.85 +1.15
SD 11.71 12.13 13.03
CV 0.14 0.15 —
Max 105 111 +28
Min 62 61 -32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.94%—2.94%————5.88%
60–69—8.82%8.82%————17.65%
70–795.88%11.76%14.71%8.82%2.94%——44.12%
80–892.94%—5.88%5.88%———14.71%
90–99———2.94%5.88%——8.82%
100–109——2.94%2.94%———5.88%
110+————2.94%——2.94%
Total11.76%20.59%35.29%20.59%11.76%——100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.26 74.06 +4.21
SD 12.71 11.17 13.08
CV 0.16 0.15 —
Max 110 93 +38
Min 57 51 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60—2.94%2.94%————5.88%
60–69——2.94%11.76%———14.71%
70–792.94%2.94%17.65%8.82%———32.35%
80–89——8.82%14.71%11.76%2.94%—38.24%
90–99———2.94%5.88%——8.82%
100–109————————
110+————————
Total2.94%5.88%32.35%38.24%17.65%2.94%—100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 77.88 81.21 -3.32
SD 10.47 9.23 9.66
CV 0.13 0.11 —
Max 98 101 +16
Min 53 58 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60—2.94%8.82%2.94%———14.71%
60–69—2.94%—2.94%———5.88%
70–79—8.82%17.65%2.94%2.94%2.94%—35.29%
80–89—2.94%8.82%8.82%5.88%——26.47%
90–99——2.94%2.94%2.94%—2.94%11.76%
100–109————————
110+—————2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total—17.65%38.24%20.59%11.76%5.88%5.88%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.68 82.09 -3.41
SD 14.83 14.51 12.14
CV 0.19 0.18 —
Max 124 127 +23
Min 51 61 -38

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<602.94%——————2.94%
60–69——8.82%2.94%———11.76%
70–792.94%8.82%20.59%5.88%———38.24%
80–89—2.94%14.71%8.82%5.88%——32.35%
90–99——5.88%5.88%———11.76%
100–109—2.94%—————2.94%
110+————————
Total5.88%14.71%50.00%23.53%5.88%——100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 79.21 75.97 +3.24
SD 10.04 8.84 11.24
CV 0.13 0.12 —
Max 107 97 +38
Min 57 54 -17

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60————————
60–69—————2.94%—2.94%
70–79——5.88%2.94%2.94%——11.76%
80–89———2.94%17.65%2.94%—23.53%
90–99———17.65%11.76%—2.94%32.35%
100–109———2.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%14.71%
110+———2.94%8.82%—2.94%14.71%
Total——5.88%29.41%44.12%11.76%8.82%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 93.88 93.76 +0.12
SD 13.87 10.26 14.39
CV 0.15 0.11 —
Max 127 124 +32
Min 69 77 -38

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60——2.94%2.94%———5.88%
60–69——8.82%11.76%———20.59%
70–79—5.88%20.59%8.82%———35.29%
80–89—2.94%8.82%5.88%2.94%2.94%—23.53%
90–99——2.94%2.94%—2.94%—8.82%
100–109———2.94%—2.94%—5.88%
110+————————
Total—8.82%44.12%35.29%2.94%8.82%—100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.79 80.06 -3.26
SD 12.29 9.90 12.96
CV 0.16 0.12 —
Max 108 105 +20
Min 56 61 -28

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60————————
60–69—2.94%2.94%2.94%———8.82%
70–792.94%2.94%20.59%8.82%———35.29%
80–892.94%11.76%14.71%5.88%———35.29%
90–99——5.88%8.82%———14.71%
100–109————————
110+—2.94%———2.94%—5.88%
Total5.88%20.59%44.12%26.47%—2.94%—100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.79 73.88 +7.91
SD 10.52 10.50 12.38
CV 0.13 0.14 —
Max 111 107 +46
Min 65 56 -20

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60—2.94%2.94%————5.88%
60–69——2.94%2.94%2.94%—2.94%11.76%
70–79——8.82%14.71%11.76%2.94%—38.24%
80–89——5.88%2.94%8.82%8.82%2.94%29.41%
90–99——2.94%2.94%2.94%—5.88%14.71%
100–109————————
110+————————
Total—2.94%23.53%23.53%26.47%11.76%11.76%100%

Tulsa Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.00 89.79 -11.79
SD 10.73 13.46 13.54
CV 0.14 0.15 —
Max 96 123 +13
Min 54 69 -46

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<6060–6970–7980–8990–99100–109110+Total
<60—2.94%—————2.94%
60–698.82%8.82%5.88%2.94%———26.47%
70–79—8.82%14.71%14.71%———38.24%
80–89—5.88%14.71%————20.59%
90–99——2.94%5.88%———8.82%
100–109—————2.94%—2.94%
110+————————
Total8.82%26.47%38.24%23.53%—2.94%—100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.91 73.26 +3.65
SD 10.37 10.90 9.66
CV 0.13 0.15 —
Max 107 104 +25
Min 59 53 -15

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.01 +1.2
Allowed 0.47 -6.2
Differential 0.93 +11.0

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 New York Liberty 22 17.73 +4.27
2 Seattle Storm 28 24.59 +3.41
3 Washington Mystics 22 18.86 +3.14
4 Indiana Fever 21 20.23 +0.77
5 Atlanta Dream 19 19.08 -0.08

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Tulsa Shock 6 10.86 -4.86
2 Phoenix Mercury 15 17.52 -2.52
3 Chicago Sky 14 15.83 -1.83
4 Los Angeles Sparks 13 14.48 -1.48
5 San Antonio Silver Stars 14 14.44 -0.44

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 New York Liberty 10 Jul 27 – Aug 19 1 in 87
2 Atlanta Dream 6 May 15 – May 30 1 in 62
3 Chicago Sky 4 May 27 – Jun 5 1 in 34
4 Washington Mystics 6 Aug 10 – Aug 22 1 in 32
5 Seattle Storm 13 Jun 18 – Jul 30 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tulsa Shock 12 Jun 5 – Jul 13 1 in 315
2 Seattle Storm 2 Aug 1 – Aug 3 1 in 93
3 Phoenix Mercury 6 Jun 18 – Jul 1 1 in 40
4 Minnesota Lynx 5 May 16 – May 29 1 in 29
5 Indiana Fever 3 Jul 30 – Aug 3 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team123456
Indiana Fever37.15%23.35%16.58%11.51%7.36%4.06%
Atlanta Dream21.82%21.86%19.31%16.37%12.66%7.98%
Washington Mystics19.18%20.97%19.77%17.15%13.91%9.03%
New York Liberty10.82%15.12%17.97%19.53%19.80%16.77%
Connecticut Sun7.51%12.14%15.89%19.82%22.77%21.86%
Chicago Sky3.52%6.55%10.49%15.63%23.51%40.31%
Team123456
Seattle Storm94.78%4.75%0.40%0.06%<0.01%<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury4.14%55.62%22.89%10.92%5.00%1.43%
Los Angeles Sparks0.50%15.97%26.42%26.45%20.83%9.82%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.41%14.59%26.75%26.23%21.18%10.84%
Minnesota Lynx0.16%7.73%18.17%24.09%28.00%21.85%
Tulsa Shock<0.01%1.34%5.36%12.26%24.97%56.07%
Team123456789101112
Seattle Storm74.18%15.97%5.65%2.40%1.00%0.47%0.21%0.09%0.02%<0.01%<0.01%<0.01%
Indiana Fever10.13%26.54%19.47%14.15%10.35%7.46%5.00%3.33%2.02%1.05%0.43%0.08%
Atlanta Dream5.24%16.77%17.30%15.51%12.81%10.55%8.15%5.75%3.95%2.49%1.16%0.29%
Washington Mystics4.46%14.82%16.80%15.70%13.21%10.97%8.87%6.37%4.47%2.70%1.29%0.33%
New York Liberty2.00%8.79%12.05%13.27%13.45%12.77%11.43%9.69%7.59%5.21%2.89%0.87%
Phoenix Mercury1.98%6.37%9.70%12.35%14.03%13.87%12.43%10.64%8.23%5.78%3.41%1.22%
Connecticut Sun1.23%6.13%9.54%11.57%12.74%13.30%12.67%11.29%9.29%6.91%4.08%1.26%
Chicago Sky0.46%2.87%5.15%7.05%9.21%10.94%12.51%13.79%13.53%12.04%8.72%3.72%
Los Angeles Sparks0.13%0.74%1.82%3.24%5.25%7.44%10.00%13.07%15.79%17.36%16.13%9.02%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.14%0.73%1.74%3.17%4.92%7.21%10.20%12.97%15.52%17.08%16.47%9.85%
Minnesota Lynx0.04%0.27%0.74%1.47%2.70%4.26%6.88%9.70%13.45%17.82%22.60%20.08%
Tulsa Shock<0.01%<0.01%0.04%0.13%0.32%0.77%1.64%3.32%6.13%11.54%22.82%53.28%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Indiana Fever37.15%23.35%16.58%11.51%11.42%
Atlanta Dream21.82%21.86%19.31%16.37%20.64%
Washington Mystics19.18%20.97%19.77%17.15%22.93%
New York Liberty10.82%15.12%17.97%19.53%36.56%
Connecticut Sun7.51%12.14%15.89%19.82%44.64%
Chicago Sky3.52%6.55%10.49%15.63%63.81%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Seattle Storm94.78%4.75%0.40%0.06%<0.01%
Phoenix Mercury4.14%55.62%22.89%10.92%6.43%
Los Angeles Sparks0.50%15.97%26.42%26.45%30.65%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.41%14.59%26.75%26.23%32.02%
Minnesota Lynx0.16%7.73%18.17%24.09%49.85%
Tulsa Shock<0.01%1.34%5.36%12.26%81.04%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeAway
+17.65%
Fortress
58.82%41.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
28 Elo
0.036 points per Elo point
061.9680
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+2.63 points
Lean Home
-8+2.23+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open Race
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Seattle Storm, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
46.3%
Heavy Favorite
012.50%80%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.17 · As Expected: 2.17 to 2.98 · Elevated: 2.98 to 4.06 · High Variance: 4.06 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 · Close: 1.49 to 2.01 · Off Target: 2.01 to 2.62 · Well Off Target: 2.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.2 · As Expected: 1.2 to 2.01 · More Than Expected: 2.01 to 3.21 · Far More Than Expected: 3.21 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.52 wins
As Expected
02.717
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.754
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.94%
New York Liberty
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.60%
Tulsa Shock
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Several Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
0 of 8
Fewer Than Expected
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.24
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Tilted
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
No Contest
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
16%
Mostly Decisive
0%18%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.22
Predictable
00.221
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.92
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.15
Reshuffled
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
37%
As Expected
0%35%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
28%
As Expected
0%28%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.38
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Within Noise
00.1010.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Seattle Storm 99.99% 88.31% 73.00% 41.02%
New York Liberty 63.44% 44.60% 29.68% 18.59%
Washington Mystics 77.07% 47.19% 26.39% 14.27%
Indiana Fever 88.58% 48.20% 23.24% 11.25%
Atlanta Dream 79.36% 32.30% 12.13% 5.02%
Phoenix Mercury 93.57% 53.28% 13.47% 3.81%
Connecticut Sun 55.36% 19.54% 6.69% 2.53%
San Antonio Silver Stars 67.98% 21.20% 4.93% 1.10%
Los Angeles Sparks 69.35% 21.17% 4.71% 1.02%
Minnesota Lynx 50.15% 14.72% 3.77% 0.87%
Chicago Sky 36.19% 8.17% 1.87% 0.50%
Tulsa Shock 18.96% 1.31% 0.11% <0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream70.5%8.24%55.3%13.45%39.6%21.63%24.2%15.88%33.0%20.16%
Chicago Sky29.5%8.24%35.3%4.05%21.1%10.85%12.9%5.17%17.1%7.87%
Connecticut Sun44.7%13.45%64.7%4.05%33.6%16.51%20.6%8.73%28.2%12.63%
Indiana Fever60.4%21.63%78.9%10.85%66.4%16.51%34.4%18.42%43.8%21.17%
New York Liberty75.8%15.88%87.1%5.17%79.4%8.73%65.6%18.42%59.4%15.24%
Washington Mystics67.0%20.16%82.9%7.87%71.8%12.63%56.2%21.17%40.6%15.24%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks47.0%4.20%38.3%29.94%48.3%7.55%12.1%26.62%81.5%1.04%
Minnesota Lynx53.0%4.20%40.3%17.98%51.0%3.71%12.6%23.79%79.7%0.47%
Phoenix Mercury61.7%29.94%59.7%17.98%60.7%29.53%17.7%11.37%87.5%4.75%
San Antonio Silver Stars51.7%7.55%49.0%3.71%39.3%29.53%12.0%26.35%83.2%0.84%
Seattle Storm87.9%26.62%87.4%23.79%82.3%11.37%88.0%26.35%97.6%11.87%
Tulsa Shock18.5%1.04%20.3%0.47%12.5%4.75%16.8%0.84%2.4%11.87%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream68.2%1.20%55.3%3.11%40.5%9.54%26.6%9.03%35.3%9.41%
Chicago Sky31.8%1.20%35.4%0.70%24.8%2.12%14.4%1.91%19.8%2.23%
Connecticut Sun44.7%3.11%64.6%0.70%35.1%5.45%25.1%4.86%31.7%5.42%
Indiana Fever59.5%9.54%75.2%2.12%64.9%5.45%35.7%14.88%43.9%16.20%
New York Liberty73.4%9.03%85.6%1.91%74.9%4.86%64.3%14.88%59.0%13.93%
Washington Mystics64.7%9.41%80.2%2.23%68.3%5.42%56.1%16.20%41.0%13.93%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks48.0%1.12%42.5%2.65%46.8%1.60%14.2%15.72%80.7%0.08%
Minnesota Lynx52.0%1.12%43.5%2.18%51.4%1.09%16.0%10.28%83.3%0.05%
Phoenix Mercury57.5%2.65%56.5%2.18%57.0%2.64%19.8%45.62%79.7%0.19%
San Antonio Silver Stars53.2%1.60%48.6%1.09%43.0%2.64%14.9%15.79%83.1%0.08%
Seattle Storm85.8%15.72%84.0%10.28%80.2%45.62%85.1%15.79%96.1%0.91%
Tulsa Shock19.3%0.08%16.7%0.05%20.3%0.19%16.9%0.08%3.9%0.91%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormTulsa ShockAtlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream70.0%0.58%67.1%0.49%61.3%1.65%68.3%0.59%32.5%8.81%92.3%0.01%
Chicago Sky47.0%0.10%44.6%0.07%42.2%0.26%51.5%0.10%19.3%1.35%75.0%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun64.6%0.34%65.2%0.27%58.4%0.90%68.7%0.34%28.4%4.85%77.8%<0.01%
Indiana Fever79.0%1.06%73.2%0.87%69.3%3.08%74.2%1.19%39.6%17.02%92.0%0.03%
New York Liberty86.2%1.39%86.5%1.10%80.5%4.09%85.5%1.42%55.0%21.64%100.0%0.03%
Washington Mystics79.2%1.26%79.8%0.98%73.9%3.50%80.8%1.29%45.7%19.33%100.0%0.03%
Los Angeles Sparks30.0%0.58%53.0%0.10%35.4%0.34%21.0%1.06%13.8%1.39%20.8%1.26%
Minnesota Lynx32.9%0.49%55.4%0.07%34.8%0.27%26.8%0.87%13.5%1.10%20.2%0.98%
Phoenix Mercury38.7%1.65%57.8%0.26%41.6%0.90%30.7%3.08%19.5%4.09%26.1%3.50%
San Antonio Silver Stars31.7%0.59%48.5%0.10%31.3%0.34%25.8%1.19%14.5%1.42%19.2%1.29%
Seattle Storm67.5%8.81%80.7%1.35%71.6%4.85%60.4%17.02%45.0%21.64%54.3%19.33%
Tulsa Shock7.7%0.01%25.0%<0.01%22.2%<0.01%8.0%0.03%0.0%0.03%0.0%0.03%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Seattle Storm 88.37% 72.39% 37.75% Won Finals
Atlanta Dream 29.77% 8.55% 3.82% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream29.8%100.00%
Indiana Fever29.5%100.00%
New York Liberty70.5%100.00%
Washington Mystics70.2%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks11.6%100.00%
Phoenix Mercury63.0%100.00%
San Antonio Silver Stars37.0%100.00%
Seattle Storm88.4%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream36.0%8.81%25.7%20.97%
Indiana Fever64.0%8.81%43.7%20.72%
New York Liberty74.3%20.97%56.4%49.51%
Washington Mystics56.3%20.72%43.6%49.51%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks42.0%7.29%47.3%4.34%
Phoenix Mercury58.0%7.29%19.4%55.76%
San Antonio Silver Stars52.7%4.34%15.8%32.62%
Seattle Storm80.6%55.76%84.2%32.62%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksPhoenix MercurySan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormAtlanta DreamIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream72.7%0.46%69.5%1.24%71.5%0.62%35.0%6.24%
Indiana Fever77.9%0.70%72.7%2.19%77.3%1.13%41.6%10.67%
New York Liberty85.6%2.20%83.4%6.61%85.4%3.28%54.7%31.43%
Washington Mystics79.0%1.77%75.2%5.01%80.5%2.42%45.1%24.05%
Los Angeles Sparks27.3%0.46%22.1%0.70%14.4%2.20%21.0%1.77%
Phoenix Mercury30.5%1.24%27.3%2.19%16.6%6.61%24.8%5.01%
San Antonio Silver Stars28.5%0.62%22.7%1.13%14.6%3.28%19.5%2.42%
Seattle Storm65.0%6.24%58.4%10.67%45.3%31.43%54.9%24.05%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Seattle Storm 37.75% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
88.37%
→
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
62.08%
Win Prob
80.59%
→
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
37.73%
Win Prob
45.32%
New York Liberty 27.38% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.47%
→
Semifinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
64.18%
Win Prob
56.41%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
62.77%
Win Prob
54.68%
Washington Mystics 17.95% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Atlanta Dream
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
70.23%
→
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
64.92%
Win Prob
43.59%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
60.38%
Win Prob
45.07%
Indiana Fever 7.45% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.53%
→
Semifinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
61.62%
Win Prob
43.71%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
59.57%
Win Prob
41.56%
Atlanta Dream 3.82% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.77%
→
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
62.94%
Win Prob
25.67%
→
Finals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
57.14%
Win Prob
34.95%
Phoenix Mercury 3.31% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
63.05%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
71.92%
Win Prob
19.41%
→
Finals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
37.48%
Win Prob
24.80%
San Antonio Silver Stars 1.38% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.95%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
69.33%
Win Prob
15.84%
→
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
34.49%
Win Prob
14.56%
Los Angeles Sparks 0.97% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
11.63%
→
Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Mercury
Matchup
59.88%
Win Prob
42.04%
→
Finals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
38.34%
Win Prob
20.95%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2010-05-15 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-70 1487.78 1493.89 40.33% 59.67% +17.79 1-0
2010-05-16 Indiana Fever W 66-62 1505.57 1494.50 60.36% 39.64% +10.57 2-0
2010-05-21 Connecticut Sun W 97-82 1516.14 1517.23 58.67% 41.33% +21.33 3-0
2010-05-23 @ New York Liberty W 86-77 1537.47 1479.32 49.45% 50.55% +20.22 4-0
2010-05-28 @ Phoenix Mercury W 96-93 1557.69 1543.09 43.23% 56.77% +13.10 5-0
2010-05-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 101-82 1570.79 1488.01 52.99% 47.01% +27.32 6-0
2010-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 72-90 1598.11 1580.90 43.59% 56.41% -24.66 6-1
2010-06-04 Chicago Sky L 70-80 1573.45 1476.31 71.42% 28.58% -30.10 6-2
2010-06-05 @ Washington Mystics W 86-79 1543.35 1509.11 46.02% 53.98% +19.03 7-2
2010-06-11 @ New York Liberty L 79-91 1562.38 1493.89 50.94% 49.06% -23.52 7-3
2010-06-13 San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-83 1538.86 1443.79 71.18% 28.82% +10.17 8-3
2010-06-15 @ Chicago Sky W 93-86 1549.03 1464.89 53.19% 46.81% +16.51 9-3
2010-06-19 @ Indiana Fever L 91-94 1565.54 1585.50 38.42% 61.58% -8.87 9-4
2010-06-23 Tulsa Shock W 96-90 1556.67 1370.47 80.67% 19.33% +6.31 10-4
2010-06-27 Los Angeles Sparks W 89-81 1562.98 1424.22 76.05% 23.95% +9.03 11-4
2010-06-29 Phoenix Mercury W 94-88 1572.01 1475.27 71.37% 28.63% +9.35 12-4
2010-07-01 Minnesota Lynx W 76-58 1581.36 1409.01 79.39% 20.61% +11.65 13-4
2010-07-03 Chicago Sky L 82-88 1593.01 1499.02 71.05% 28.95% -23.20 13-5
2010-07-07 Connecticut Sun W 108-103 1569.81 1494.99 68.73% 31.27% +9.32 14-5
2010-07-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 81-83 1579.13 1428.94 62.43% 37.57% -11.77 14-6
2010-07-16 @ Indiana Fever L 70-89 1567.36 1584.65 38.79% 61.21% -22.53 14-7
2010-07-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 80-96 1544.83 1515.67 45.29% 54.71% -24.16 14-8
2010-07-21 @ Washington Mystics L 72-82 1520.67 1561.52 35.62% 64.38% -15.01 14-9
2010-07-25 New York Liberty W 82-75 1505.66 1554.47 51.89% 48.11% +16.97 15-9
2010-07-27 @ Tulsa Shock W 105-89 1522.63 1257.45 76.31% 23.69% +12.63 16-9
2010-07-30 @ Connecticut Sun W 94-62 1535.26 1507.42 45.10% 54.90% +41.39 17-9
2010-08-01 Indiana Fever W 90-74 1576.65 1629.30 51.34% 48.66% +25.95 18-9
2010-08-03 Washington Mystics L 78-86 1602.60 1545.53 66.49% 33.51% -25.07 18-10
2010-08-06 @ Indiana Fever L 93-95 1577.53 1576.26 41.35% 58.65% -7.80 18-11
2010-08-10 Seattle Storm L 70-80 1569.73 1694.31 41.09% 58.91% -17.32 18-12
2010-08-13 New York Liberty L 83-90 1552.41 1611.11 50.47% 49.53% -17.80 18-13
2010-08-14 @ Chicago Sky W 98-74 1534.61 1489.71 47.55% 52.45% +34.26 19-13
2010-08-17 Chicago Sky L 79-84 1568.87 1455.45 73.29% 26.71% -21.85 19-14
2010-08-22 Washington Mystics L 81-90 1547.02 1596.86 51.74% 48.26% -20.69 19-15
2010-05-15 @ Connecticut Sun L 61-74 1480.17 1498.66 38.62% 61.38% -18.56 0-1
2010-05-16 @ New York Liberty L 82-85 1461.61 1490.50 37.22% 62.78% -8.60 0-2
2010-05-22 Indiana Fever L 86-92 1453.01 1483.93 54.46% 45.54% -17.78 0-3
2010-05-23 @ Indiana Fever L 61-69 1435.23 1501.71 32.31% 67.69% -12.18 0-4
2010-05-27 Seattle Storm W 84-75 1423.05 1569.35 38.10% 61.90% +24.75 1-4
2010-05-29 @ Minnesota Lynx W 73-58 1447.80 1422.22 44.78% 55.22% +28.51 2-4
2010-06-04 @ Atlanta Dream W 80-70 1476.31 1573.45 28.58% 71.42% +30.11 3-4
2010-06-05 Tulsa Shock W 95-70 1506.42 1500.29 59.67% 40.33% +26.87 4-4
2010-06-08 New York Liberty L 70-85 1533.29 1458.41 68.73% 31.27% -35.48 4-5
2010-06-11 Washington Mystics L 78-95 1497.81 1490.07 59.90% 40.10% -32.92 4-6
2010-06-15 Atlanta Dream L 86-93 1464.89 1549.03 46.81% 53.19% -16.51 4-7
2010-06-19 @ Washington Mystics L 61-65 1448.38 1545.20 28.62% 71.38% -7.63 4-8
2010-06-22 @ Connecticut Sun W 86-77 1440.75 1572.73 24.67% 75.33% +30.12 5-8
2010-06-25 Washington Mystics W 79-72 1470.87 1566.53 45.17% 54.83% +19.34 6-8
2010-06-27 Indiana Fever L 64-70 1490.21 1585.51 45.22% 54.78% -14.76 6-9
2010-07-01 Connecticut Sun W 92-80 1475.45 1544.67 48.95% 51.05% +23.57 7-9
2010-07-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 88-82 1499.02 1593.01 28.95% 71.05% +23.20 8-9
2010-07-06 Indiana Fever L 51-58 1522.22 1589.49 49.24% 50.76% -17.37 8-10
2010-07-11 @ New York Liberty L 54-57 1504.85 1487.83 43.57% 56.43% -10.06 8-11
2010-07-14 San Antonio Silver Stars W 88-61 1494.79 1423.58 68.28% 31.72% +21.98 9-11
2010-07-16 Los Angeles Sparks W 80-68 1516.77 1408.75 72.68% 27.32% +12.61 10-11
2010-07-18 @ Washington Mystics W 61-59 1529.38 1573.74 35.16% 64.84% +12.22 11-11
2010-07-23 New York Liberty L 71-79 1541.60 1531.78 60.19% 39.81% -22.69 11-12
2010-07-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-72 1518.91 1403.64 57.61% 42.39% +9.79 12-12
2010-07-27 @ Indiana Fever L 74-78 1528.70 1642.23 26.69% 73.31% -7.12 12-13
2010-07-30 @ Seattle Storm L 60-80 1521.58 1725.50 17.79% 82.21% -10.60 12-14
2010-08-01 @ Phoenix Mercury L 96-97 1510.98 1539.17 37.31% 62.69% -4.98 12-15
2010-08-04 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 77-82 1506.00 1424.02 52.88% 47.12% -15.76 12-16
2010-08-07 Minnesota Lynx L 82-87 1490.24 1402.37 70.32% 29.68% -20.96 12-17
2010-08-10 Phoenix Mercury W 91-82 1469.28 1538.69 48.93% 51.07% +20.43 13-17
2010-08-14 Atlanta Dream L 74-98 1489.71 1534.61 52.45% 47.55% -34.26 13-18
2010-08-17 @ Atlanta Dream W 84-79 1455.45 1568.87 26.71% 73.29% +21.85 14-18
2010-08-20 Connecticut Sun L 71-78 1477.30 1484.23 57.85% 42.15% -20.41 14-19
2010-08-21 @ Tulsa Shock L 71-84 1456.89 1209.51 74.41% 25.59% -35.76 14-20
2010-05-15 Chicago Sky W 74-61 1498.66 1480.17 61.38% 38.62% +18.57 1-0
2010-05-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 82-97 1517.23 1516.14 41.33% 58.67% -21.34 1-1
2010-05-23 Washington Mystics W 80-65 1495.89 1548.72 51.31% 48.69% +25.13 2-1
2010-05-27 Minnesota Lynx W 105-79 1521.02 1443.22 69.09% 30.91% +21.01 3-1
2010-05-30 @ Washington Mystics L 65-69 1542.03 1496.40 47.65% 52.35% -12.70 3-2
2010-06-04 New York Liberty W 75-68 1529.33 1480.75 65.39% 34.61% +12.20 4-2
2010-06-06 San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-68 1541.53 1434.54 72.56% 27.44% +13.19 5-2
2010-06-11 Indiana Fever W 86-77 1554.72 1565.33 57.34% 42.66% +17.06 6-2
2010-06-13 @ Indiana Fever L 67-77 1571.78 1548.27 44.49% 55.51% -18.75 6-3
2010-06-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 78-75 1553.03 1448.04 56.16% 43.84% +10.12 7-3
2010-06-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 96-94 1563.15 1507.03 49.16% 50.84% +9.58 8-3
2010-06-22 Chicago Sky L 77-86 1572.73 1440.75 75.33% 24.67% -30.12 8-4
2010-06-25 Phoenix Mercury W 82-79 1542.61 1497.45 64.95% 35.05% +8.09 9-4
2010-06-27 @ New York Liberty L 68-77 1550.70 1478.65 51.45% 48.55% -20.58 9-5
2010-06-29 @ Tulsa Shock W 101-89 1530.12 1333.23 68.50% 31.50% +14.55 10-5
2010-07-01 @ Chicago Sky L 80-92 1544.67 1475.45 51.05% 48.95% -23.57 10-6
2010-07-06 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-79 1521.10 1429.05 54.32% 45.68% -26.11 10-7
2010-07-07 @ Atlanta Dream L 103-108 1494.99 1569.81 31.27% 68.73% -9.32 10-8
2010-07-14 @ Indiana Fever W 77-68 1485.67 1614.64 24.99% 75.01% +30.00 11-8
2010-07-17 Atlanta Dream W 96-80 1515.67 1544.83 54.71% 45.29% +24.15 12-8
2010-07-20 New York Liberty L 74-82 1539.82 1507.96 63.18% 36.82% -23.82 12-9
2010-07-24 Los Angeles Sparks L 80-89 1516.00 1375.62 76.22% 23.78% -30.48 12-10
2010-07-27 Washington Mystics W 88-78 1485.52 1561.13 48.04% 51.96% +21.90 13-10
2010-07-30 Atlanta Dream L 62-94 1507.42 1535.26 54.90% 45.10% -41.39 13-11
2010-08-01 @ New York Liberty L 67-71 1466.03 1555.34 29.51% 70.49% -7.87 13-12
2010-08-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 103-111 1458.16 1382.79 51.93% 48.07% -19.58 13-13
2010-08-05 @ Seattle Storm L 82-83 1438.58 1687.65 14.30% 85.70% -1.91 13-14
2010-08-08 Washington Mystics W 76-67 1436.67 1556.10 41.81% 58.19% +23.28 14-14
2010-08-10 @ Washington Mystics L 74-84 1459.95 1532.82 31.51% 68.49% -13.29 14-15
2010-08-13 Seattle Storm W 88-68 1446.66 1711.63 23.71% 76.29% +45.48 15-15
2010-08-15 Indiana Fever L 66-79 1492.14 1646.21 37.05% 62.95% -17.80 15-16
2010-08-17 Tulsa Shock W 90-62 1474.34 1221.35 85.97% 14.03% +9.89 16-16
2010-08-20 @ Chicago Sky W 78-71 1484.23 1477.30 42.15% 57.85% +20.40 17-16
2010-08-22 @ New York Liberty L 87-88 1504.63 1670.81 21.19% 78.81% -2.82 17-17
2010-05-15 Washington Mystics L 65-72 1517.01 1480.34 63.82% 36.18% -22.51 0-1
2010-05-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 62-66 1494.50 1505.57 39.64% 60.36% -10.57 0-2
2010-05-22 @ Chicago Sky W 92-86 1483.93 1453.01 45.54% 54.46% +17.78 1-2
2010-05-23 Chicago Sky W 69-61 1501.71 1435.23 67.69% 32.31% +12.18 2-2
2010-05-29 @ Tulsa Shock L 74-79 1513.89 1470.60 47.32% 52.68% -14.10 2-3
2010-06-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-57 1499.79 1456.62 64.68% 35.32% +22.08 3-3
2010-06-05 New York Liberty W 78-73 1521.87 1468.54 66.01% 33.99% +10.13 4-3
2010-06-06 @ Minnesota Lynx W 89-51 1532.00 1403.64 59.44% 40.56% +33.33 5-3
2010-06-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-86 1565.33 1554.72 42.66% 57.34% -17.06 5-4
2010-06-13 Connecticut Sun W 77-67 1548.27 1571.78 55.51% 44.49% +18.75 6-4
2010-06-17 Seattle Storm W 72-65 1567.02 1645.57 47.61% 52.39% +18.48 7-4
2010-06-19 Atlanta Dream W 94-91 1585.50 1565.54 61.58% 38.42% +8.87 8-4
2010-06-25 @ Seattle Storm L 81-85 1594.37 1653.68 33.22% 66.78% -8.86 8-5
2010-06-27 @ Chicago Sky W 70-64 1585.51 1490.21 54.78% 45.22% +14.76 9-5
2010-06-29 @ Washington Mystics L 65-68 1600.27 1561.27 46.70% 53.30% -10.78 9-6
2010-07-06 @ Chicago Sky W 58-51 1589.49 1522.22 50.76% 49.24% +17.37 10-6
2010-07-08 Tulsa Shock W 100-72 1606.86 1306.36 88.96% 11.04% +7.78 11-6
2010-07-14 Connecticut Sun L 68-77 1614.64 1485.67 75.01% 24.99% -29.99 11-7
2010-07-16 Atlanta Dream W 89-70 1584.65 1567.36 61.21% 38.79% +22.54 12-7
2010-07-18 @ New York Liberty W 84-81 1607.19 1518.62 53.82% 46.18% +10.66 13-7
2010-07-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-57 1617.85 1384.60 84.55% 15.45% +8.98 14-7
2010-07-24 @ Washington Mystics W 78-73 1626.83 1576.53 48.32% 51.68% +15.40 15-7
2010-07-27 Chicago Sky W 78-74 1642.23 1528.70 73.31% 26.69% +7.12 16-7
2010-07-30 Washington Mystics L 73-77 1649.35 1518.58 75.20% 24.80% -20.05 16-8
2010-08-01 @ Atlanta Dream L 74-90 1629.30 1576.65 48.66% 51.34% -25.95 16-9
2010-08-03 New York Liberty L 72-82 1603.35 1563.21 64.29% 35.71% -27.09 16-10
2010-08-06 Atlanta Dream W 95-93 1576.26 1577.53 58.65% 41.35% +7.79 17-10
2010-08-08 @ Phoenix Mercury W 104-82 1584.05 1574.65 42.49% 57.51% +35.96 18-10
2010-08-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 82-76 1620.01 1420.42 68.83% 31.17% +10.17 19-10
2010-08-13 Phoenix Mercury W 110-90 1630.18 1518.27 73.12% 26.88% +16.03 20-10
2010-08-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 79-66 1646.21 1492.14 62.95% 37.05% +17.80 21-10
2010-08-17 @ New York Liberty L 57-78 1664.01 1649.65 43.19% 56.81% -26.38 21-11
2010-08-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 61-75 1637.63 1386.99 74.76% 25.24% -37.29 21-12
2010-08-22 Minnesota Lynx L 79-83 1600.34 1416.42 80.46% 19.54% -21.45 21-13
2010-05-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77-78 1512.08 1528.69 38.88% 61.12% -5.18 0-1
2010-05-16 @ Seattle Storm L 67-81 1506.90 1510.23 40.71% 59.29% -20.31 0-2
2010-05-22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-88 1486.59 1500.75 39.22% 60.78% -13.83 0-3
2010-05-28 Washington Mystics W 81-75 1472.76 1511.65 53.32% 46.68% +15.25 1-3
2010-05-30 Atlanta Dream L 82-101 1488.01 1570.79 47.01% 52.99% -27.32 1-4
2010-06-04 @ Phoenix Mercury L 89-90 1460.69 1504.47 35.24% 64.76% -4.69 1-5
2010-06-05 Seattle Storm L 75-79 1456.00 1605.56 37.65% 62.35% -10.04 1-6
2010-06-08 Phoenix Mercury W 92-91 1445.96 1491.58 52.35% 47.65% +6.35 2-6
2010-06-11 @ Seattle Storm L 60-82 1452.31 1633.18 19.82% 80.18% -12.39 2-7
2010-06-13 Minnesota Lynx W 88-84 1439.92 1358.58 69.53% 30.47% +8.12 3-7
2010-06-18 Connecticut Sun L 75-78 1448.04 1553.03 43.84% 56.16% -10.12 3-8
2010-06-24 @ Washington Mystics L 53-68 1437.92 1552.83 26.54% 73.46% -13.70 3-9
2010-06-27 @ Atlanta Dream L 81-89 1424.22 1562.98 23.95% 76.05% -9.03 3-10
2010-06-29 New York Liberty L 68-80 1415.19 1499.22 46.83% 53.17% -21.62 3-11
2010-07-01 San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-63 1393.57 1449.78 50.83% 49.17% +20.72 4-11
2010-07-03 Seattle Storm L 62-75 1414.29 1679.18 23.72% 76.28% -11.40 4-12
2010-07-06 Phoenix Mercury L 89-98 1402.89 1481.88 47.55% 52.45% -19.01 4-13
2010-07-13 @ Tulsa Shock W 87-71 1383.88 1298.57 53.35% 46.65% +24.87 5-13
2010-07-16 @ Chicago Sky L 68-80 1408.75 1516.77 27.32% 72.68% -12.62 5-14
2010-07-18 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 73-83 1396.13 1379.28 43.54% 56.46% -18.35 5-15
2010-07-20 Tulsa Shock W 86-83 1377.78 1288.65 70.47% 29.53% +6.82 6-15
2010-07-22 @ Indiana Fever L 57-76 1384.60 1617.85 15.45% 84.55% -8.98 6-16
2010-07-24 @ Connecticut Sun W 89-80 1375.62 1516.00 23.78% 76.22% +30.48 7-16
2010-07-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 71-58 1406.10 1413.64 40.13% 59.87% +28.77 8-16
2010-07-30 @ New York Liberty L 79-88 1434.87 1544.49 27.14% 72.86% -10.85 8-17
2010-08-04 Chicago Sky W 82-77 1424.02 1506.00 47.12% 52.88% +15.76 9-17
2010-08-06 Tulsa Shock W 77-70 1439.78 1255.89 80.46% 19.54% +6.89 10-17
2010-08-08 San Antonio Silver Stars L 83-92 1446.67 1396.15 65.64% 34.36% -26.25 10-18
2010-08-10 Indiana Fever L 76-82 1420.42 1620.01 31.17% 68.83% -10.18 10-19
2010-08-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 78-77 1410.24 1438.04 37.36% 62.64% +8.35 11-19
2010-08-14 @ Tulsa Shock W 92-87 1418.59 1231.09 67.32% 32.68% +9.74 12-19
2010-08-17 Phoenix Mercury L 84-90 1428.33 1481.51 51.26% 48.74% -16.73 12-20
2010-08-20 Minnesota Lynx W 98-91 1411.60 1431.95 55.96% 44.04% +15.53 13-20
2010-08-21 @ Seattle Storm L 75-76 1427.13 1659.09 15.55% 84.45% -2.07 13-21
2010-05-15 @ Tulsa Shock W 80-74 1483.56 1517.08 36.59% 63.41% +20.70 1-0
2010-05-16 Washington Mystics L 76-87 1504.26 1502.85 59.02% 40.98% -26.09 1-1
2010-05-19 @ Seattle Storm L 76-79 1478.17 1530.53 34.12% 65.88% -7.88 1-2
2010-05-23 Tulsa Shock L 82-94 1470.29 1471.74 58.62% 41.38% -27.07 1-3
2010-05-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-105 1443.22 1521.02 30.91% 69.09% -21.00 1-4
2010-05-29 Chicago Sky L 58-73 1422.22 1447.80 55.22% 44.78% -28.51 1-5
2010-06-01 Phoenix Mercury W 92-82 1393.71 1529.98 39.47% 60.53% +25.52 2-5
2010-06-04 @ Tulsa Shock L 79-92 1419.23 1484.70 32.44% 67.56% -15.59 2-6
2010-06-06 Indiana Fever L 51-89 1403.64 1532.00 40.56% 59.44% -33.33 2-7
2010-06-10 @ Phoenix Mercury L 88-99 1370.31 1485.23 26.54% 73.46% -11.73 2-8
2010-06-13 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 84-88 1358.58 1439.92 30.47% 69.53% -8.13 2-9
2010-06-18 Tulsa Shock W 78-67 1350.45 1424.63 48.24% 51.76% +22.88 3-9
2010-06-19 @ Tulsa Shock W 92-78 1373.33 1401.75 37.28% 62.72% +31.29 4-9
2010-06-22 @ New York Liberty W 75-68 1404.62 1480.10 31.19% 68.81% +24.26 5-9
2010-06-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-80 1428.88 1438.43 39.85% 60.15% -19.87 5-10
2010-07-01 @ Atlanta Dream L 58-76 1409.01 1581.36 20.61% 79.39% -11.66 5-11
2010-07-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 89-66 1397.35 1455.16 50.60% 49.40% +31.59 6-11
2010-07-14 Atlanta Dream W 83-81 1428.94 1579.13 37.57% 62.43% +11.76 7-11
2010-07-17 Seattle Storm L 71-73 1440.70 1705.96 23.68% 76.32% -4.46 7-12
2010-07-22 San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-74 1436.24 1391.40 64.90% 35.10% -12.23 7-13
2010-07-24 Phoenix Mercury L 124-127 1424.01 1521.68 44.88% 55.12% -10.37 7-14
2010-07-27 Los Angeles Sparks L 58-71 1413.64 1406.10 59.87% 40.13% -28.77 7-15
2010-07-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 92-110 1384.87 1525.75 23.73% 76.27% -13.42 7-16
2010-08-01 Seattle Storm W 72-71 1371.45 1736.11 14.90% 85.10% +11.34 8-16
2010-08-03 Connecticut Sun W 111-103 1382.79 1458.16 48.07% 51.93% +19.58 9-16
2010-08-07 @ Chicago Sky W 87-82 1402.37 1490.24 29.68% 70.32% +20.96 10-16
2010-08-08 New York Liberty L 72-74 1423.33 1604.81 33.45% 66.55% -6.30 10-17
2010-08-10 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-66 1417.03 1422.40 40.43% 59.57% +21.01 11-17
2010-08-12 Los Angeles Sparks L 77-78 1438.04 1410.24 62.64% 37.36% -8.35 11-18
2010-08-13 @ Washington Mystics L 58-61 1429.69 1546.11 26.37% 73.63% -6.09 11-19
2010-08-15 San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-78 1423.60 1414.55 60.08% 39.92% +13.03 12-19
2010-08-17 @ Seattle Storm L 64-68 1436.63 1643.18 17.57% 82.43% -4.68 12-20
2010-08-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 91-98 1431.95 1411.60 44.04% 55.96% -15.53 12-21
2010-08-22 @ Indiana Fever W 83-79 1416.42 1600.34 19.54% 80.46% +21.45 13-21
2010-05-16 Chicago Sky W 85-82 1490.50 1461.61 62.78% 37.22% +8.59 1-0
2010-05-21 @ Washington Mystics L 61-77 1499.09 1528.94 37.09% 62.91% -19.77 1-1
2010-05-23 Atlanta Dream L 77-86 1479.32 1537.47 50.55% 49.45% -20.22 1-2
2010-05-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-71 1459.10 1514.58 33.71% 66.29% +21.65 2-2
2010-06-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-75 1480.75 1529.33 34.61% 65.39% -12.21 2-3
2010-06-05 @ Indiana Fever L 73-78 1468.54 1521.87 33.99% 66.01% -10.13 2-4
2010-06-08 @ Chicago Sky W 85-70 1458.41 1533.29 31.27% 68.73% +35.48 3-4
2010-06-11 Atlanta Dream W 91-79 1493.89 1562.38 49.06% 50.94% +23.53 4-4
2010-06-12 @ Washington Mystics L 65-82 1517.42 1522.99 40.40% 59.60% -22.21 4-5
2010-06-18 Seattle Storm L 84-92 1495.21 1627.09 40.07% 59.93% -15.11 4-6
2010-06-22 Minnesota Lynx L 68-75 1480.10 1404.62 68.81% 31.19% -24.26 4-7
2010-06-25 @ Tulsa Shock W 92-78 1455.84 1364.15 54.27% 45.73% +22.81 5-7
2010-06-27 Connecticut Sun W 77-68 1478.65 1550.70 48.55% 51.45% +20.57 6-7
2010-06-29 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 80-68 1499.22 1415.19 53.17% 46.83% +21.62 7-7
2010-07-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 82-97 1520.84 1455.84 50.44% 49.56% -26.04 7-8
2010-07-06 @ Seattle Storm L 70-78 1494.80 1690.58 18.49% 81.51% -6.97 7-9
2010-07-11 Chicago Sky W 57-54 1487.83 1504.85 56.43% 43.57% +10.06 8-9
2010-07-15 Washington Mystics W 75-67 1497.89 1594.46 45.04% 54.96% +20.73 9-9
2010-07-18 Indiana Fever L 81-84 1518.62 1607.19 46.18% 53.82% -10.66 9-10
2010-07-20 @ Connecticut Sun W 82-74 1507.96 1539.82 36.82% 63.18% +23.82 10-10
2010-07-23 @ Chicago Sky W 79-71 1531.78 1541.60 39.81% 60.19% +22.69 11-10
2010-07-25 @ Atlanta Dream L 75-82 1554.47 1505.66 48.11% 51.89% -16.97 11-11
2010-07-27 San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-72 1537.50 1393.85 76.56% 23.44% +6.99 12-11
2010-07-30 Los Angeles Sparks W 88-79 1544.49 1434.87 72.86% 27.14% +10.85 13-11
2010-08-01 Connecticut Sun W 71-67 1555.34 1466.03 70.49% 29.51% +7.87 14-11
2010-08-03 @ Indiana Fever W 82-72 1563.21 1603.35 35.71% 64.29% +27.10 15-11
2010-08-06 Washington Mystics W 85-77 1590.31 1570.60 61.54% 38.46% +14.50 16-11
2010-08-08 @ Minnesota Lynx W 74-72 1604.81 1423.33 66.55% 33.45% +6.30 17-11
2010-08-13 @ Atlanta Dream W 90-83 1611.11 1552.41 49.53% 50.47% +17.80 18-11
2010-08-14 Phoenix Mercury W 107-69 1628.91 1502.25 74.76% 25.24% +20.74 19-11
2010-08-17 Indiana Fever W 78-57 1649.65 1664.01 56.81% 43.19% +26.39 20-11
2010-08-19 Tulsa Shock W 95-85 1676.04 1211.45 95.40% 4.60% +1.94 21-11
2010-08-20 @ Washington Mystics L 74-75 1677.98 1589.69 53.78% 46.22% -7.17 21-12
2010-08-22 Connecticut Sun W 88-87 1670.81 1504.63 78.81% 21.19% +2.82 22-12
2010-05-15 Los Angeles Sparks W 78-77 1528.69 1512.08 61.12% 38.88% +5.19 1-0
2010-05-22 Seattle Storm L 89-95 1533.88 1538.41 58.19% 41.81% -19.00 1-1
2010-05-25 @ Tulsa Shock W 110-96 1514.88 1498.81 43.43% 56.57% +28.21 2-1
2010-05-28 Atlanta Dream L 93-96 1543.09 1557.69 56.77% 43.23% -13.11 2-2
2010-06-01 @ Minnesota Lynx L 82-92 1529.98 1393.71 60.53% 39.47% -25.51 2-3
2010-06-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 90-89 1504.47 1460.69 64.76% 35.24% +4.69 3-3
2010-06-06 @ Seattle Storm L 74-97 1509.16 1615.60 27.50% 72.50% -17.58 3-4
2010-06-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 91-92 1491.58 1445.96 47.65% 52.35% -6.35 3-5
2010-06-10 Minnesota Lynx W 99-88 1485.23 1370.31 73.46% 26.54% +11.73 4-5
2010-06-12 Tulsa Shock W 116-84 1496.96 1450.98 65.05% 34.95% +26.35 5-5
2010-06-18 San Antonio Silver Stars L 105-108 1523.31 1433.62 70.54% 29.46% -16.28 5-6
2010-06-20 Connecticut Sun L 94-96 1507.03 1563.15 50.84% 49.16% -9.58 5-7
2010-06-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-82 1497.45 1542.61 35.05% 64.95% -8.10 5-8
2010-06-27 @ Washington Mystics L 85-95 1489.35 1547.19 33.41% 66.59% -14.08 5-9
2010-06-29 @ Atlanta Dream L 88-94 1475.27 1572.01 28.63% 71.37% -9.35 5-10
2010-07-01 Washington Mystics L 104-107 1465.92 1572.05 43.68% 56.32% -10.08 5-11
2010-07-03 New York Liberty W 97-82 1455.84 1520.84 49.56% 50.44% +26.04 6-11
2010-07-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 98-89 1481.88 1402.89 52.45% 47.55% +19.01 7-11
2010-07-14 Seattle Storm L 107-111 1500.89 1697.55 31.53% 68.47% -8.40 7-12
2010-07-17 Tulsa Shock W 97-88 1492.49 1296.02 81.57% 18.43% +7.37 8-12
2010-07-22 @ Tulsa Shock W 123-91 1499.86 1281.84 71.06% 28.94% +21.82 9-12
2010-07-24 @ Minnesota Lynx W 127-124 1521.68 1424.01 55.12% 44.88% +10.36 10-12
2010-07-27 @ Seattle Storm L 85-91 1532.04 1719.22 19.25% 80.75% -6.29 10-13
2010-07-29 Minnesota Lynx W 110-92 1525.75 1384.87 76.27% 23.73% +13.42 11-13
2010-08-01 Chicago Sky W 97-96 1539.17 1510.98 62.69% 37.31% +4.98 12-13
2010-08-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 103-92 1544.15 1426.65 57.92% 42.08% +18.60 13-13
2010-08-06 San Antonio Silver Stars W 103-87 1562.75 1408.05 77.68% 22.32% +11.90 14-13
2010-08-08 Indiana Fever L 82-104 1574.65 1584.05 57.51% 42.49% -35.96 14-14
2010-08-10 @ Chicago Sky L 82-91 1538.69 1469.28 51.07% 48.93% -20.42 14-15
2010-08-13 @ Indiana Fever L 90-110 1518.27 1630.18 26.88% 73.12% -16.02 14-16
2010-08-14 @ New York Liberty L 69-107 1502.25 1628.91 25.24% 74.76% -20.74 14-17
2010-08-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 90-84 1481.51 1428.33 48.74% 51.26% +16.74 15-17
2010-08-20 Seattle Storm L 73-78 1498.25 1647.87 37.65% 62.35% -11.23 15-18
2010-08-22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 82-83 1487.02 1424.28 50.11% 49.89% -6.68 15-19
2010-05-15 Atlanta Dream L 70-75 1493.89 1487.78 59.67% 40.33% -17.78 0-1
2010-05-20 @ Tulsa Shock W 83-74 1476.11 1496.38 38.38% 61.62% +24.64 1-1
2010-05-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 88-81 1500.75 1486.59 60.78% 39.22% +13.83 2-1
2010-05-28 New York Liberty L 71-77 1514.58 1459.10 66.29% 33.71% -21.64 2-2
2010-05-30 Seattle Storm L 56-84 1492.94 1544.59 51.48% 48.52% -36.32 2-3
2010-06-03 @ Indiana Fever L 57-79 1456.62 1499.79 35.32% 64.68% -22.08 2-4
2010-06-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-81 1434.54 1541.53 27.44% 72.56% -13.18 2-5
2010-06-11 Tulsa Shock W 87-75 1421.36 1473.42 51.42% 48.58% +22.43 3-5
2010-06-13 @ Atlanta Dream L 83-90 1443.79 1538.86 28.82% 71.18% -10.17 3-6
2010-06-18 @ Phoenix Mercury W 108-105 1433.62 1523.31 29.46% 70.54% +16.29 4-6
2010-06-20 @ Seattle Storm L 61-82 1449.91 1642.20 18.79% 81.21% -11.48 4-7
2010-06-26 Minnesota Lynx W 80-66 1438.43 1428.88 60.15% 39.85% +19.87 5-7
2010-06-29 @ Seattle Storm L 72-86 1458.30 1670.65 17.09% 82.91% -8.52 5-8
2010-07-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-73 1449.78 1393.57 49.17% 50.83% -20.73 5-9
2010-07-06 Connecticut Sun W 79-66 1429.05 1521.10 45.68% 54.32% +26.11 6-9
2010-07-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 66-89 1455.16 1397.35 49.40% 50.60% -31.58 6-10
2010-07-14 @ Chicago Sky L 61-88 1423.58 1494.79 31.72% 68.28% -21.98 6-11
2010-07-16 Tulsa Shock L 70-75 1401.60 1273.70 74.89% 25.11% -22.32 6-12
2010-07-18 Los Angeles Sparks W 83-73 1379.28 1396.13 56.46% 43.54% +18.36 7-12
2010-07-20 Seattle Storm L 74-80 1397.64 1710.42 19.09% 80.91% -6.24 7-13
2010-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx W 74-72 1391.40 1436.24 35.10% 64.90% +12.24 8-13
2010-07-24 Chicago Sky L 72-75 1403.64 1518.91 42.39% 57.61% -9.79 8-14
2010-07-27 @ New York Liberty L 72-77 1393.85 1537.50 23.44% 76.56% -6.99 8-15
2010-07-29 @ Washington Mystics W 79-75 1386.86 1539.22 22.55% 77.45% +20.65 9-15
2010-07-30 @ Tulsa Shock W 101-85 1407.51 1244.82 64.10% 35.90% +19.14 10-15
2010-08-03 Phoenix Mercury L 92-103 1426.65 1544.15 42.08% 57.92% -18.60 10-16
2010-08-06 @ Phoenix Mercury L 87-103 1408.05 1562.75 22.32% 77.68% -11.90 10-17
2010-08-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 92-83 1396.15 1446.67 34.36% 65.64% +26.25 11-17
2010-08-10 Minnesota Lynx L 66-73 1422.40 1417.03 59.57% 40.43% -21.01 11-18
2010-08-13 Tulsa Shock W 94-74 1401.39 1244.25 77.92% 22.08% +13.16 12-18
2010-08-15 @ Minnesota Lynx L 78-84 1414.55 1423.60 39.92% 60.08% -13.03 12-19
2010-08-17 Washington Mystics L 66-76 1401.52 1575.16 34.46% 65.54% -14.53 12-20
2010-08-20 Indiana Fever W 75-61 1386.99 1637.63 25.24% 74.76% +37.29 13-20
2010-08-22 Phoenix Mercury W 83-82 1424.28 1487.02 49.89% 50.11% +6.68 14-20
2010-05-16 Los Angeles Sparks W 81-67 1510.23 1506.90 59.29% 40.71% +20.30 1-0
2010-05-19 Minnesota Lynx W 79-76 1530.53 1478.17 65.88% 34.12% +7.88 2-0
2010-05-22 @ Phoenix Mercury W 95-89 1538.41 1533.88 41.81% 58.19% +19.00 3-0
2010-05-25 Washington Mystics W 82-76 1557.41 1523.58 63.45% 36.55% +11.94 4-0
2010-05-27 @ Chicago Sky L 75-84 1569.35 1423.05 61.90% 38.10% -24.76 4-1
2010-05-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-56 1544.59 1492.94 48.52% 51.48% +36.31 5-1
2010-06-01 Atlanta Dream W 90-72 1580.90 1598.11 56.41% 43.59% +24.66 6-1
2010-06-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-75 1605.56 1456.00 62.35% 37.65% +10.04 7-1
2010-06-06 Phoenix Mercury W 97-74 1615.60 1509.16 72.50% 27.50% +17.58 8-1
2010-06-11 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-60 1633.18 1452.31 80.18% 19.82% +12.39 9-1
2010-06-17 @ Indiana Fever L 65-72 1645.57 1567.02 52.39% 47.61% -18.48 9-2
2010-06-18 @ New York Liberty W 92-84 1627.09 1495.21 59.93% 40.07% +15.11 10-2
2010-06-20 San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-61 1642.20 1449.91 81.21% 18.79% +11.48 11-2
2010-06-25 Indiana Fever W 85-81 1653.68 1594.37 66.78% 33.22% +8.86 12-2
2010-06-27 @ Tulsa Shock W 83-72 1662.54 1341.34 81.64% 18.36% +8.11 13-2
2010-06-29 San Antonio Silver Stars W 86-72 1670.65 1458.30 82.91% 17.09% +8.53 14-2
2010-07-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 75-62 1679.18 1414.29 76.28% 23.72% +11.40 15-2
2010-07-06 New York Liberty W 78-70 1690.58 1494.80 81.51% 18.49% +6.97 16-2
2010-07-14 @ Phoenix Mercury W 111-107 1697.55 1500.89 68.47% 31.53% +8.41 17-2
2010-07-17 @ Minnesota Lynx W 73-71 1705.96 1440.70 76.32% 23.68% +4.46 18-2
2010-07-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 80-74 1710.42 1397.64 80.91% 19.09% +6.23 19-2
2010-07-25 Tulsa Shock W 75-59 1716.65 1260.01 95.19% 4.81% +2.57 20-2
2010-07-27 Phoenix Mercury W 91-85 1719.22 1532.04 80.75% 19.25% +6.28 21-2
2010-07-30 Chicago Sky W 80-60 1725.50 1521.58 82.21% 17.79% +10.61 22-2
2010-08-01 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-72 1736.11 1371.45 85.10% 14.90% -11.35 22-3
2010-08-03 @ Tulsa Shock L 75-84 1724.76 1218.78 92.80% 7.20% -37.11 22-4
2010-08-05 Connecticut Sun W 83-82 1687.65 1438.58 85.70% 14.30% +1.91 23-4
2010-08-07 Tulsa Shock W 111-65 1689.56 1248.99 94.75% 5.25% +4.75 24-4
2010-08-10 @ Atlanta Dream W 80-70 1694.31 1569.73 58.91% 41.09% +17.32 25-4
2010-08-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-88 1711.63 1446.66 76.29% 23.71% -45.48 25-5
2010-08-15 @ Washington Mystics L 71-80 1666.15 1552.20 57.43% 42.57% -22.97 25-6
2010-08-17 Minnesota Lynx W 68-64 1643.18 1436.63 82.43% 17.57% +4.69 26-6
2010-08-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-73 1647.87 1498.25 62.35% 37.65% +11.22 27-6
2010-08-21 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-75 1659.09 1427.13 84.45% 15.55% +2.07 28-6
2010-05-15 Minnesota Lynx L 74-80 1517.08 1483.56 63.41% 36.59% -20.70 0-1
2010-05-20 San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-83 1496.38 1476.11 61.62% 38.38% -24.64 0-2
2010-05-23 @ Minnesota Lynx W 94-82 1471.74 1470.29 41.38% 58.62% +27.07 1-2
2010-05-25 Phoenix Mercury L 96-110 1498.81 1514.88 56.57% 43.43% -28.21 1-3
2010-05-29 Indiana Fever W 79-74 1470.60 1513.89 52.68% 47.32% +14.10 2-3
2010-06-04 Minnesota Lynx W 92-79 1484.70 1419.23 67.56% 32.44% +15.59 3-3
2010-06-05 @ Chicago Sky L 70-95 1500.29 1506.42 40.33% 59.67% -26.87 3-4
2010-06-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-87 1473.42 1421.36 48.58% 51.42% -22.44 3-5
2010-06-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-116 1450.98 1496.96 34.95% 65.05% -26.35 3-6
2010-06-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-78 1424.63 1350.45 51.76% 48.24% -22.88 3-7
2010-06-19 Minnesota Lynx L 78-92 1401.75 1373.33 62.72% 37.28% -31.28 3-8
2010-06-23 @ Atlanta Dream L 90-96 1370.47 1556.67 19.33% 80.67% -6.32 3-9
2010-06-25 New York Liberty L 78-92 1364.15 1455.84 45.73% 54.27% -22.81 3-10
2010-06-27 Seattle Storm L 72-83 1341.34 1662.54 18.36% 81.64% -8.11 3-11
2010-06-29 Connecticut Sun L 89-101 1333.23 1530.12 31.50% 68.50% -14.55 3-12
2010-07-03 Washington Mystics L 54-69 1318.68 1582.14 23.87% 76.13% -12.32 3-13
2010-07-08 @ Indiana Fever L 72-100 1306.36 1606.86 11.04% 88.96% -7.79 3-14
2010-07-13 Los Angeles Sparks L 71-87 1298.57 1383.88 46.65% 53.35% -24.87 3-15
2010-07-16 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-70 1273.70 1401.60 25.11% 74.89% +22.32 4-15
2010-07-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 88-97 1296.02 1492.49 18.43% 81.57% -7.37 4-16
2010-07-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 83-86 1288.65 1377.78 29.53% 70.47% -6.81 4-17
2010-07-22 Phoenix Mercury L 91-123 1281.84 1499.86 28.94% 71.06% -21.83 4-18
2010-07-25 @ Seattle Storm L 59-75 1260.01 1716.65 4.81% 95.19% -2.56 4-19
2010-07-27 Atlanta Dream L 89-105 1257.45 1522.63 23.69% 76.31% -12.63 4-20
2010-07-30 San Antonio Silver Stars L 85-101 1244.82 1407.51 35.90% 64.10% -19.14 4-21
2010-08-01 @ Washington Mystics L 62-87 1225.68 1538.63 10.36% 89.64% -6.90 4-22
2010-08-03 Seattle Storm W 84-75 1218.78 1724.76 7.20% 92.80% +37.11 5-22
2010-08-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-77 1255.89 1439.78 19.54% 80.46% -6.90 5-23
2010-08-07 @ Seattle Storm L 65-111 1248.99 1689.56 5.25% 94.75% -4.74 5-24
2010-08-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-94 1244.25 1401.39 22.08% 77.92% -13.16 5-25
2010-08-14 Los Angeles Sparks L 87-92 1231.09 1418.59 32.68% 67.32% -9.74 5-26
2010-08-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 62-90 1221.35 1474.34 14.03% 85.97% -9.90 5-27
2010-08-19 @ New York Liberty L 85-95 1211.45 1676.04 4.60% 95.40% -1.94 5-28
2010-08-21 Chicago Sky W 84-71 1209.51 1456.89 25.59% 74.41% +35.76 6-28
2010-05-15 @ Indiana Fever W 72-65 1480.34 1517.01 36.18% 63.82% +22.51 1-0
2010-05-16 @ Minnesota Lynx W 87-76 1502.85 1504.26 40.98% 59.02% +26.09 2-0
2010-05-21 New York Liberty W 77-61 1528.94 1499.09 62.91% 37.09% +19.78 3-0
2010-05-23 @ Connecticut Sun L 65-80 1548.72 1495.89 48.69% 51.31% -25.14 3-1
2010-05-25 @ Seattle Storm L 76-82 1523.58 1557.41 36.55% 63.45% -11.93 3-2
2010-05-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 75-81 1511.65 1472.76 46.68% 53.32% -15.25 3-3
2010-05-30 Connecticut Sun W 69-65 1496.40 1542.03 52.35% 47.65% +12.71 4-3
2010-06-05 Atlanta Dream L 79-86 1509.11 1543.35 53.98% 46.02% -19.04 4-4
2010-06-11 @ Chicago Sky W 95-78 1490.07 1497.81 40.10% 59.90% +32.92 5-4
2010-06-12 New York Liberty W 82-65 1522.99 1517.42 59.60% 40.40% +22.21 6-4
2010-06-19 Chicago Sky W 65-61 1545.20 1448.38 71.38% 28.62% +7.63 7-4
2010-06-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 68-53 1552.83 1437.92 73.46% 26.54% +13.70 8-4
2010-06-25 @ Chicago Sky L 72-79 1566.53 1470.87 54.83% 45.17% -19.34 8-5
2010-06-27 Phoenix Mercury W 95-85 1547.19 1489.35 66.59% 33.41% +14.08 9-5
2010-06-29 Indiana Fever W 68-65 1561.27 1600.27 53.30% 46.70% +10.78 10-5
2010-07-01 @ Phoenix Mercury W 107-104 1572.05 1465.92 56.32% 43.68% +10.09 11-5
2010-07-03 @ Tulsa Shock W 69-54 1582.14 1318.68 76.13% 23.87% +12.32 12-5
2010-07-15 @ New York Liberty L 67-75 1594.46 1497.89 54.96% 45.04% -20.72 12-6
2010-07-18 Chicago Sky L 59-61 1573.74 1529.38 64.84% 35.16% -12.22 12-7
2010-07-21 Atlanta Dream W 82-72 1561.52 1520.67 64.38% 35.62% +15.01 13-7
2010-07-24 Indiana Fever L 73-78 1576.53 1626.83 51.68% 48.32% -15.40 13-8
2010-07-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 78-88 1561.13 1485.52 51.96% 48.04% -21.91 13-9
2010-07-29 San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-79 1539.22 1386.86 77.45% 22.55% -20.64 13-10
2010-07-30 @ Indiana Fever W 77-73 1518.58 1649.35 24.80% 75.20% +20.05 14-10
2010-08-01 Tulsa Shock W 87-62 1538.63 1225.68 89.64% 10.36% +6.90 15-10
2010-08-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 86-78 1545.53 1602.60 33.51% 66.49% +25.07 16-10
2010-08-06 @ New York Liberty L 77-85 1570.60 1590.31 38.46% 61.54% -14.50 16-11
2010-08-08 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-76 1556.10 1436.67 58.19% 41.81% -23.28 16-12
2010-08-10 Connecticut Sun W 84-74 1532.82 1459.95 68.49% 31.51% +13.29 17-12
2010-08-13 Minnesota Lynx W 61-58 1546.11 1429.69 73.63% 26.37% +6.09 18-12
2010-08-15 Seattle Storm W 80-71 1552.20 1666.15 42.57% 57.43% +22.96 19-12
2010-08-17 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-66 1575.16 1401.52 65.54% 34.46% +14.53 20-12
2010-08-20 New York Liberty W 75-74 1589.69 1677.98 46.22% 53.78% +7.17 21-12
2010-08-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 90-81 1596.86 1547.02 48.26% 51.74% +20.69 22-12

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2010-08-25 @ Washington Mystics W 95-90 1526.33 1617.55 29.28% 70.72% +21.08 1-0
2010-08-27 Washington Mystics W 101-77 1547.41 1596.47 51.86% 48.14% +31.44 2-0
2010-09-05 @ New York Liberty W 81-75 1578.85 1672.06 29.04% 70.96% +23.17 3-0
2010-09-07 New York Liberty W 105-93 1602.02 1648.90 52.17% 47.83% +22.08 4-0
2010-09-12 @ Seattle Storm L 77-79 1624.10 1697.78 31.42% 68.58% -5.92 4-1
2010-09-14 @ Seattle Storm L 84-87 1618.18 1703.70 29.97% 70.03% -6.92 4-2
2010-09-16 Seattle Storm L 84-87 1611.26 1710.62 44.64% 55.36% -10.30 4-3
2010-08-26 @ New York Liberty L 73-85 1578.89 1673.63 28.86% 71.14% -13.33 0-1
2010-08-29 New York Liberty W 75-67 1565.56 1686.96 41.53% 58.47% +22.04 1-1
2010-09-01 @ New York Liberty L 74-77 1587.60 1664.92 30.97% 69.03% -7.15 1-2
2010-08-25 @ Seattle Storm L 66-79 1425.06 1661.16 15.24% 84.76% -7.33 0-1
2010-08-28 Seattle Storm L 66-81 1417.73 1668.49 25.22% 74.78% -13.02 0-2
2010-08-26 Indiana Fever W 85-73 1673.63 1578.89 71.14% 28.86% +13.33 1-0
2010-08-29 @ Indiana Fever L 67-75 1686.96 1565.56 58.47% 41.53% -22.04 1-1
2010-09-01 Indiana Fever W 77-74 1664.92 1587.60 69.03% 30.97% +7.14 2-1
2010-09-05 Atlanta Dream L 75-81 1672.06 1578.85 70.96% 29.04% -23.16 2-2
2010-09-07 @ Atlanta Dream L 93-105 1648.90 1602.02 47.83% 52.17% -22.09 2-3
2010-08-26 San Antonio Silver Stars W 106-93 1480.34 1430.96 65.50% 34.50% +16.59 1-0
2010-08-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 92-73 1496.93 1414.38 52.96% 47.04% +27.33 2-0
2010-09-02 @ Seattle Storm L 74-82 1524.26 1681.51 22.07% 77.93% -8.32 2-1
2010-09-05 Seattle Storm L 88-91 1515.94 1689.83 34.43% 65.57% -7.95 2-2
2010-08-26 @ Phoenix Mercury L 93-106 1430.96 1480.34 34.50% 65.50% -16.58 0-1
2010-08-28 Phoenix Mercury L 73-92 1414.38 1496.93 47.04% 52.96% -27.33 0-2
2010-08-25 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-66 1661.16 1425.06 84.76% 15.24% +7.33 1-0
2010-08-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 81-66 1668.49 1417.73 74.78% 25.22% +13.02 2-0
2010-09-02 Phoenix Mercury W 82-74 1681.51 1524.26 77.93% 22.07% +8.32 3-0
2010-09-05 @ Phoenix Mercury W 91-88 1689.83 1515.94 65.57% 34.43% +7.95 4-0
2010-09-12 Atlanta Dream W 79-77 1697.78 1624.10 68.58% 31.42% +5.92 5-0
2010-09-14 Atlanta Dream W 87-84 1703.70 1618.18 70.03% 29.97% +6.92 6-0
2010-09-16 @ Atlanta Dream W 87-84 1710.62 1611.26 55.36% 44.64% +10.30 7-0
2010-08-25 Atlanta Dream L 90-95 1617.55 1526.33 70.72% 29.28% -21.08 0-1
2010-08-27 @ Atlanta Dream L 77-101 1596.47 1547.41 48.14% 51.86% -31.44 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-08-03 7.20% @ Tulsa Shock 1218.78 84 Seattle Storm 1724.76 75
2 2010-08-01 14.90% @ Minnesota Lynx 1371.45 72 Seattle Storm 1736.11 71
3 2010-08-22 19.54% Minnesota Lynx 1416.42 83 @ Indiana Fever 1600.34 79
4 2010-07-29 22.55% San Antonio Silver Stars 1386.86 79 @ Washington Mystics 1539.22 75
5 2010-08-13 23.71% @ Connecticut Sun 1446.66 88 Seattle Storm 1711.63 68
6 2010-07-24 23.78% Los Angeles Sparks 1375.62 89 @ Connecticut Sun 1516.00 80
7 2010-06-22 24.67% Chicago Sky 1440.75 86 @ Connecticut Sun 1572.73 77
8 2010-07-30 24.80% Washington Mystics 1518.58 77 @ Indiana Fever 1649.35 73
9 2010-07-14 24.99% Connecticut Sun 1485.67 77 @ Indiana Fever 1614.64 68
10 2010-07-16 25.11% Tulsa Shock 1273.70 75 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1401.60 70
11 2010-08-20 25.24% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1386.99 75 Indiana Fever 1637.63 61
12 2010-08-21 25.59% @ Tulsa Shock 1209.51 84 Chicago Sky 1456.89 71
13 2010-08-17 26.71% Chicago Sky 1455.45 84 @ Atlanta Dream 1568.87 79
14 2010-06-04 28.58% Chicago Sky 1476.31 80 @ Atlanta Dream 1573.45 70
15 2010-07-03 28.95% Chicago Sky 1499.02 88 @ Atlanta Dream 1593.01 82
16 2010-09-05 * 29.04% Atlanta Dream 1578.85 81 @ New York Liberty 1672.06 75
17 2010-08-25 * 29.28% Atlanta Dream 1526.33 95 @ Washington Mystics 1617.55 90
18 2010-06-18 29.46% San Antonio Silver Stars 1433.62 108 @ Phoenix Mercury 1523.31 105
19 2010-08-07 29.68% Minnesota Lynx 1402.37 87 @ Chicago Sky 1490.24 82
20 2010-06-22 31.19% Minnesota Lynx 1404.62 75 @ New York Liberty 1480.10 68
21 2010-06-08 31.27% New York Liberty 1458.41 85 @ Chicago Sky 1533.29 70
22 2010-08-03 33.51% Washington Mystics 1545.53 86 @ Atlanta Dream 1602.60 78
23 2010-05-28 33.71% New York Liberty 1459.10 77 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1514.58 71
24 2010-08-08 34.36% San Antonio Silver Stars 1396.15 92 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1446.67 83
25 2010-07-22 35.10% San Antonio Silver Stars 1391.40 74 @ Minnesota Lynx 1436.24 72

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-08-13 45.48 @ Connecticut Sun 88 1446.66 23.71% Seattle Storm 68 1711.63 76.29%
2 2010-07-30 41.39 Atlanta Dream 94 1535.26 45.10% @ Connecticut Sun 62 1507.42 54.90%
3 2010-08-20 37.29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 75 1386.99 25.24% Indiana Fever 61 1637.63 74.76%
4 2010-08-03 37.11 @ Tulsa Shock 84 1218.78 7.20% Seattle Storm 75 1724.76 92.80%
5 2010-05-30 36.32 Seattle Storm 84 1544.59 48.52% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 56 1492.94 51.48%
6 2010-08-08 35.96 Indiana Fever 104 1584.05 42.49% @ Phoenix Mercury 82 1574.65 57.51%
7 2010-08-21 35.76 @ Tulsa Shock 84 1209.51 25.59% Chicago Sky 71 1456.89 74.41%
8 2010-06-08 35.48 New York Liberty 85 1458.41 31.27% @ Chicago Sky 70 1533.29 68.73%
9 2010-08-14 34.26 Atlanta Dream 98 1534.61 47.55% @ Chicago Sky 74 1489.71 52.45%
10 2010-06-06 33.33 Indiana Fever 89 1532.00 59.44% @ Minnesota Lynx 51 1403.64 40.56%
11 2010-06-11 32.92 Washington Mystics 95 1490.07 40.10% @ Chicago Sky 78 1497.81 59.90%
12 2010-07-08 31.59 @ Minnesota Lynx 89 1397.35 50.60% San Antonio Silver Stars 66 1455.16 49.40%
13 2010-08-27 * 31.44 @ Atlanta Dream 101 1547.41 51.86% Washington Mystics 77 1596.47 48.14%
14 2010-06-19 31.29 Minnesota Lynx 92 1373.33 37.28% @ Tulsa Shock 78 1401.75 62.72%
15 2010-07-24 30.48 Los Angeles Sparks 89 1375.62 23.78% @ Connecticut Sun 80 1516.00 76.22%
16 2010-06-22 30.12 Chicago Sky 86 1440.75 24.67% @ Connecticut Sun 77 1572.73 75.33%
17 2010-06-04 30.11 Chicago Sky 80 1476.31 28.58% @ Atlanta Dream 70 1573.45 71.42%
18 2010-07-14 30.00 Connecticut Sun 77 1485.67 24.99% @ Indiana Fever 68 1614.64 75.01%
19 2010-07-27 28.77 Los Angeles Sparks 71 1406.10 40.13% @ Minnesota Lynx 58 1413.64 59.87%
20 2010-05-29 28.51 Chicago Sky 73 1447.80 44.78% @ Minnesota Lynx 58 1422.22 55.22%
21 2010-05-25 28.21 Phoenix Mercury 110 1514.88 43.43% @ Tulsa Shock 96 1498.81 56.57%
22 2010-08-28 * 27.33 Phoenix Mercury 92 1496.93 52.96% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 73 1414.38 47.04%
23 2010-05-30 27.32 Atlanta Dream 101 1570.79 52.99% @ Los Angeles Sparks 82 1488.01 47.01%
24 2010-08-03 27.10 New York Liberty 82 1563.21 35.71% @ Indiana Fever 72 1603.35 64.29%
25 2010-05-23 27.07 Tulsa Shock 94 1471.74 41.38% @ Minnesota Lynx 82 1470.29 58.62%