2010 WNBA Season
204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Seattle Storm
2nd Title
Last Title: 2004
Runner-Up
Atlanta Dream
1
Biggest Overachiever
Seattle Storm
4.91 wins above expected
28 wins · 23.09 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Tulsa Shock
6.51 wins below expected
6 wins · 12.51 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Mystics League | 22 | 12 | .647 | — | 76.9 | 73.3 | +3.6 | 18.12 | +3.88 |
| 2 | New York Liberty Playoffs | 22 | 12 | .647 | — | 79.2 | 76.0 | +3.2 | 17.16 | +4.84 |
| 3 | Indiana Fever Playoffs | 21 | 13 | .618 | 1 | 78.3 | 74.1 | +4.2 | 19.81 | +1.19 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream Playoffs | 19 | 15 | .559 | 3 | 85.4 | 83.1 | +2.3 | 18.64 | +0.36 |
| 5 | Connecticut Sun | 17 | 17 | .500 | 5 | 81.0 | 79.9 | +1.1 | 17.05 | -0.05 |
| 6 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 20 | .412 | 8 | 76.1 | 76.8 | -0.7 | 15.75 | -1.75 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Storm League | 28 | 6 | .824 | — | 81.8 | 73.9 | +7.9 | 23.09 | +4.91 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury Playoffs | 15 | 19 | .441 | 13 | 93.9 | 93.8 | +0.1 | 18.10 | -3.10 |
| 3 | San Antonio Silver Stars Playoffs | 14 | 20 | .412 | 14 | 76.8 | 80.1 | -3.3 | 14.96 | -0.96 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs | 13 | 21 | .382 | 15 | 77.9 | 81.2 | -3.3 | 15.23 | -2.23 |
| 5 | Minnesota Lynx | 13 | 21 | .382 | 15 | 78.7 | 82.1 | -3.4 | 13.56 | -0.56 |
| 6 | Tulsa Shock | 6 | 28 | .176 | 22 | 78.0 | 89.8 | -11.8 | 12.51 | -6.51 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1642 | 28 | 23.09 | +4.91 | 98.63% | 11 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 32 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1613 | 22 | 17.16 | +4.84 | 97.17% | 7 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1583 | 22 | 18.12 | +3.88 | 94.21% | 8 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1573 | 21 | 19.81 | +1.19 | 71.89% | 9 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 30 | |
| Atlanta Dream | Eastern | 1527 | 19 | 18.64 | +0.36 | 62.30% | 9 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 29 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1500 | 17 | 17.05 | -0.05 | 56.38% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1498 | 15 | 18.10 | -3.10 | 17.07% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | |
| Chicago Sky | Eastern | 1443 | 14 | 15.75 | -1.75 | 32.89% | 5 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 25 | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1441 | 13 | 15.23 | -2.23 | 26.91% | 5 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 25 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1439 | 14 | 14.96 | -0.96 | 43.68% | 5 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 25 | |
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1439 | 13 | 13.56 | -0.56 | 49.33% | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 24 | |
| Tulsa Shock | Western | 1301 | 6 | 12.51 | -6.51 | 1.04% | 3 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Within Eastern
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | — |
2-3
(3.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
3-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
0-5
(2.1 exp.)
|
0-4
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-4
(2.4 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
5-0
(2.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
2-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Chicago Sky |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Stars | Storm | Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | — |
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-4
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-5
(1.6 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
|
3-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
4-1
(2.7 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
0-5
(2.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
0-4
(1.3 exp.)
|
4-1
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
5-0
(3.4 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.9 exp.)
|
5-0
(3.0 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(3.4 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
2-3
(2.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-4
(2.1 exp.)
|
1-3
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Dream | Sky | Sun | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Tulsa Shock |
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Storm | 28 | 23.09 | +4.91 |
| 2 | New York Liberty | 22 | 17.16 | +4.84 |
| 3 | Washington Mystics | 22 | 18.12 | +3.88 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 21 | 19.81 | +1.19 |
| 5 | Atlanta Dream | 19 | 18.64 | +0.36 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tulsa Shock | 6 | 12.51 | -6.51 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury | 15 | 18.10 | -3.10 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Sparks | 13 | 15.23 | -2.23 |
| 4 | Chicago Sky | 14 | 15.75 | -1.75 |
| 5 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 14 | 14.96 | -0.96 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 10 | Jul 27 – Aug 19 | 1 in 176 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream | 6 | May 15 – May 30 | 1 in 77 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 13 | Jun 18 – Jul 30 | 1 in 75 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics | 6 | Aug 10 – Aug 22 | 1 in 34 |
| 5 | Chicago Sky | 4 | May 27 – Jun 5 | 1 in 30 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tulsa Shock | 12 | Jun 5 – Jul 13 | 1 in 830 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury | 6 | Jun 18 – Jul 1 | 1 in 65 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 2 | Aug 1 – Aug 3 | 1 in 32 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx | 5 | May 16 – May 29 | 1 in 28 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 3 | Jul 30 – Aug 3 | 1 in 19 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall WNBA view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 37.52% | 22.77% | 15.68% | 11.51% | 8.19% | 4.33% |
| Atlanta Dream | 21.77% | 21.34% | 19.95% | 16.25% | 12.31% | 8.38% |
| Washington Mystics | 16.52% | 19.73% | 18.89% | 17.59% | 15.50% | 11.77% |
| New York Liberty | 9.97% | 14.25% | 17.24% | 19.46% | 20.11% | 18.97% |
| Connecticut Sun | 9.52% | 14.08% | 16.59% | 19.14% | 20.65% | 20.02% |
| Chicago Sky | 4.70% | 7.83% | 11.65% | 16.05% | 23.24% | 36.53% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 84.78% | 12.18% | 2.26% | 0.57% | 0.18% | 0.03% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 10.77% | 48.68% | 21.82% | 11.24% | 5.20% | 2.29% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.26% | 16.23% | 25.53% | 24.87% | 19.07% | 12.04% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.55% | 13.28% | 25.03% | 24.84% | 20.99% | 14.31% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.51% | 6.48% | 15.45% | 21.30% | 27.70% | 28.56% |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.13% | 3.15% | 9.91% | 17.18% | 26.86% | 42.77% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 60.13% | 20.31% | 9.09% | 4.73% | 2.62% | 1.49% | 0.71% | 0.51% | 0.21% | 0.12% | 0.07% | 0.01% |
| Indiana Fever | 14.05% | 22.63% | 17.16% | 12.61% | 9.78% | 7.61% | 5.98% | 3.82% | 3.17% | 1.88% | 0.97% | 0.34% |
| Atlanta Dream | 7.48% | 14.15% | 15.10% | 13.89% | 12.60% | 10.59% | 8.26% | 6.35% | 4.96% | 3.51% | 2.04% | 1.07% |
| Washington Mystics | 5.18% | 11.55% | 13.66% | 13.12% | 12.05% | 11.73% | 9.04% | 8.37% | 6.27% | 4.86% | 2.88% | 1.29% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 5.29% | 9.84% | 13.13% | 13.65% | 12.86% | 11.43% | 10.16% | 7.96% | 6.40% | 4.54% | 3.14% | 1.60% |
| New York Liberty | 2.87% | 6.90% | 9.79% | 11.16% | 11.65% | 11.79% | 11.35% | 9.91% | 9.16% | 7.54% | 5.21% | 2.67% |
| Connecticut Sun | 2.36% | 7.13% | 9.26% | 11.17% | 11.71% | 11.37% | 11.14% | 10.60% | 9.08% | 7.64% | 5.54% | 3.00% |
| Chicago Sky | 1.01% | 3.45% | 5.12% | 6.61% | 8.70% | 9.71% | 11.34% | 11.77% | 12.47% | 12.30% | 10.92% | 6.60% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.93% | 1.86% | 3.37% | 5.30% | 7.03% | 8.66% | 10.69% | 12.58% | 13.08% | 13.76% | 12.98% | 9.76% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.54% | 1.62% | 2.72% | 4.67% | 6.39% | 8.13% | 10.08% | 12.39% | 13.40% | 14.12% | 14.25% | 11.69% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.13% | 0.42% | 1.19% | 2.14% | 3.25% | 4.69% | 6.82% | 9.20% | 11.94% | 15.59% | 20.47% | 24.16% |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.03% | 0.14% | 0.41% | 0.95% | 1.36% | 2.80% | 4.43% | 6.54% | 9.86% | 14.14% | 21.53% | 37.81% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | 37.52% | 22.77% | 15.68% | 11.51% | 12.52% |
| Atlanta Dream | 21.77% | 21.34% | 19.95% | 16.25% | 20.69% |
| Washington Mystics | 16.52% | 19.73% | 18.89% | 17.59% | 27.27% |
| New York Liberty | 9.97% | 14.25% | 17.24% | 19.46% | 39.08% |
| Connecticut Sun | 9.52% | 14.08% | 16.59% | 19.14% | 40.67% |
| Chicago Sky | 4.70% | 7.83% | 11.65% | 16.05% | 59.77% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 84.78% | 12.18% | 2.26% | 0.57% | 0.21% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 10.77% | 48.68% | 21.82% | 11.24% | 7.49% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 2.26% | 16.23% | 25.53% | 24.87% | 31.11% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 1.55% | 13.28% | 25.03% | 24.84% | 35.30% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.51% | 6.48% | 15.45% | 21.30% | 56.26% |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.13% | 3.15% | 9.91% | 17.18% | 69.63% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 99.79% | 86.31% | 69.87% | 44.20% |
| Indiana Fever | 87.48% | 50.98% | 28.01% | 13.24% |
| New York Liberty | 60.92% | 38.09% | 22.85% | 12.38% |
| Washington Mystics | 72.73% | 41.53% | 22.20% | 11.15% |
| Atlanta Dream | 79.31% | 36.05% | 15.22% | 6.06% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 92.51% | 54.70% | 15.83% | 5.75% |
| Connecticut Sun | 59.33% | 22.08% | 8.42% | 3.03% |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 68.89% | 22.44% | 5.59% | 1.44% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 64.70% | 20.20% | 4.97% | 1.29% |
| Chicago Sky | 40.23% | 11.27% | 3.30% | 0.78% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 43.74% | 12.87% | 3.37% | 0.66% |
| Tulsa Shock | 30.37% | 3.48% | 0.37% | 0.02% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 6.39% | 8.48% | 8.67% | 5.28% | 7.23% | |
| Chicago Sky | 3.07% | 2.17% | 3.09% | 1.09% | 1.85% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 6.33% | 3.30% | 5.32% | 2.79% | 4.34% | |
| Indiana Fever | 12.79% | 9.01% | 11.17% | 7.84% | 10.17% | |
| New York Liberty | 9.95% | 3.99% | 6.80% | 9.74% | 7.61% | |
| Washington Mystics | 11.12% | 6.27% | 8.63% | 9.68% | 5.83% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1.99% | 10.87% | 4.15% | 3.54% | 1.89% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 2.20% | 5.30% | 1.64% | 3.03% | 0.70% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 17.64% | 9.51% | 17.01% | 2.74% | 7.80% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 3.92% | 1.70% | 9.68% | 3.52% | 1.38% | |
| Seattle Storm | 22.02% | 17.46% | 10.39% | 21.32% | 15.12% | |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.67% | 0.21% | 1.57% | 0.38% | 0.65% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 1.24% | 2.06% | 4.78% | 3.03% | 4.11% | |
| Chicago Sky | 0.75% | 0.56% | 0.89% | 0.56% | 0.54% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 2.21% | 0.61% | 2.60% | 1.35% | 1.65% | |
| Indiana Fever | 7.37% | 2.53% | 4.71% | 5.89% | 7.51% | |
| New York Liberty | 5.09% | 1.60% | 3.16% | 7.48% | 5.52% | |
| Washington Mystics | 5.41% | 1.99% | 3.17% | 7.22% | 4.41% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.50% | 1.40% | 0.92% | 2.55% | 0.22% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.55% | 0.96% | 0.49% | 1.28% | 0.09% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.98% | 1.31% | 1.85% | 10.27% | 0.42% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.82% | 0.41% | 1.32% | 2.20% | 0.22% | |
| Seattle Storm | 13.47% | 7.24% | 35.11% | 11.89% | 2.16% | |
| Tulsa Shock | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.08% | 0.08% | 0.14% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Tulsa Shock | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.61% | 0.37% | 1.31% | 0.56% | 3.15% | 0.06% | ||||||
| Chicago Sky | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.20% | 0.08% | 0.33% | 0.04% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.33% | 0.17% | 0.66% | 0.35% | 1.51% | 0.01% | ||||||
| Indiana Fever | 1.24% | 0.76% | 2.64% | 1.14% | 7.39% | 0.07% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.27% | 0.11% | 0.19% | 0.30% | 0.31% | 0.26% | ||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.11% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.18% | 0.11% | 0.12% | ||||||
| New York Liberty | 0.95% | 0.76% | 2.74% | 0.83% | 7.00% | 0.10% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 1.00% | 0.41% | 0.60% | 1.60% | 1.05% | 1.09% | ||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.25% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.36% | 0.27% | 0.27% | ||||||
| Seattle Storm | 7.52% | 1.89% | 4.42% | 12.33% | 8.73% | 9.31% | ||||||
| Tulsa Shock | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.95% | 0.59% | 2.53% | 0.72% | 6.29% | 0.07% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 86.21% | 69.42% | 41.41% | Won Finals |
| Atlanta Dream | 34.86% | 11.40% | 4.85% | Eliminated in Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 34.86% | |||
| Indiana Fever | 38.55% | |||
| New York Liberty | 61.45% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 65.14% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 13.79% | |||
| Phoenix Mercury | 65.17% | |||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 34.83% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 86.21% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 4.63% | 6.77% | ||
| Indiana Fever | 8.53% | 11.66% | ||
| New York Liberty | 14.93% | 20.29% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 13.73% | 19.46% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 3.37% | 2.04% | ||
| Phoenix Mercury | 5.85% | 11.95% | ||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 2.53% | 4.84% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 44.00% | 25.42% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream | 0.43% | 1.30% | 0.64% | 2.48% | ||||
| Indiana Fever | 1.03% | 2.43% | 1.25% | 5.11% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.19% | 0.19% | 0.43% | 0.43% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 1.46% | 4.58% | 1.94% | 11.13% | ||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.66% | 1.22% | 1.69% | 1.83% | ||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.24% | 0.26% | 0.47% | 0.56% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 5.46% | 8.70% | 13.52% | 13.73% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 1.25% | 4.09% | 2.01% | 9.29% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-05-15 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-70 | 1492.81 | 1489.10 | 41.69% | 58.31% | +10.81 | 1-0 |
| 2010-05-16 | Indiana Fever | W 66-62 | 1503.62 | 1507.22 | 58.32% | 41.68% | +6.91 | 2-0 |
| 2010-05-21 | Connecticut Sun | W 97-82 | 1510.53 | 1506.25 | 59.42% | 40.58% | +13.03 | 3-0 |
| 2010-05-23 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-77 | 1523.56 | 1477.94 | 47.65% | 52.35% | +13.02 | 4-0 |
| 2010-05-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 96-93 | 1536.58 | 1547.38 | 39.68% | 60.32% | +8.66 | 5-0 |
| 2010-05-30 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 101-82 | 1545.24 | 1499.55 | 47.66% | 52.34% | +18.92 | 6-0 |
| 2010-06-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-90 | 1564.16 | 1556.97 | 42.18% | 57.82% | -14.84 | 6-1 |
| 2010-06-04 | Chicago Sky | L 70-80 | 1549.32 | 1472.70 | 68.95% | 31.05% | -18.08 | 6-2 |
| 2010-06-05 | @ Washington Mystics | W 86-79 | 1531.24 | 1498.44 | 45.81% | 54.19% | +11.89 | 7-2 |
| 2010-06-11 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-91 | 1543.13 | 1484.56 | 49.51% | 50.49% | -14.22 | 7-3 |
| 2010-06-13 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 90-83 | 1528.91 | 1457.53 | 68.30% | 31.70% | +6.95 | 8-3 |
| 2010-06-15 | @ Chicago Sky | W 93-86 | 1535.86 | 1467.87 | 50.87% | 49.13% | +10.78 | 9-3 |
| 2010-06-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 91-94 | 1546.64 | 1563.22 | 38.89% | 61.11% | -5.58 | 9-4 |
| 2010-06-23 | Tulsa Shock | W 96-90 | 1541.06 | 1426.19 | 73.46% | 26.54% | +5.39 | 10-4 |
| 2010-06-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 89-81 | 1546.45 | 1451.60 | 71.15% | 28.85% | +6.76 | 11-4 |
| 2010-06-29 | Phoenix Mercury | W 94-88 | 1553.21 | 1500.70 | 65.90% | 34.10% | +6.92 | 12-4 |
| 2010-07-01 | Minnesota Lynx | W 76-58 | 1560.13 | 1425.98 | 75.56% | 24.44% | +8.60 | 13-4 |
| 2010-07-03 | Chicago Sky | L 82-88 | 1568.73 | 1485.29 | 69.78% | 30.22% | -14.17 | 13-5 |
| 2010-07-07 | Connecticut Sun | W 108-103 | 1554.56 | 1503.52 | 65.71% | 34.29% | +6.36 | 14-5 |
| 2010-07-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 81-83 | 1560.92 | 1436.20 | 58.93% | 41.07% | -6.91 | 14-6 |
| 2010-07-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 70-89 | 1554.01 | 1567.00 | 39.38% | 60.62% | -14.23 | 14-7 |
| 2010-07-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 80-96 | 1539.78 | 1514.64 | 44.72% | 55.28% | -14.83 | 14-8 |
| 2010-07-21 | @ Washington Mystics | L 72-82 | 1524.95 | 1541.48 | 38.89% | 61.11% | -10.20 | 14-9 |
| 2010-07-25 | New York Liberty | W 82-75 | 1514.75 | 1524.90 | 57.40% | 42.60% | +9.34 | 15-9 |
| 2010-07-27 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 105-89 | 1524.09 | 1330.45 | 68.09% | 31.91% | +10.59 | 16-9 |
| 2010-07-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 94-62 | 1534.68 | 1509.19 | 44.77% | 55.23% | +25.90 | 17-9 |
| 2010-08-01 | Indiana Fever | W 90-74 | 1560.58 | 1598.41 | 53.47% | 46.53% | +15.43 | 18-9 |
| 2010-08-03 | Washington Mystics | L 78-86 | 1576.01 | 1535.74 | 64.30% | 35.70% | -15.08 | 18-10 |
| 2010-08-06 | @ Indiana Fever | L 93-95 | 1560.93 | 1565.84 | 40.49% | 59.51% | -4.75 | 18-11 |
| 2010-08-10 | Seattle Storm | L 70-80 | 1556.18 | 1657.78 | 44.32% | 55.68% | -11.62 | 18-12 |
| 2010-08-13 | New York Liberty | L 83-90 | 1544.56 | 1566.01 | 55.80% | 44.20% | -12.24 | 18-13 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ Chicago Sky | W 98-74 | 1532.32 | 1483.73 | 48.08% | 51.92% | +21.09 | 19-13 |
| 2010-08-17 | Chicago Sky | L 79-84 | 1553.41 | 1462.65 | 70.66% | 29.34% | -13.10 | 19-14 |
| 2010-08-22 | Washington Mystics | L 81-90 | 1540.31 | 1569.61 | 54.69% | 45.31% | -13.60 | 19-15 |
| 2010-05-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 61-74 | 1476.01 | 1494.71 | 38.60% | 61.40% | -11.54 | 0-1 |
| 2010-05-16 | @ New York Liberty | L 82-85 | 1464.47 | 1485.28 | 38.31% | 61.69% | -5.50 | 0-2 |
| 2010-05-22 | Indiana Fever | L 86-92 | 1458.97 | 1500.31 | 52.96% | 47.04% | -10.75 | 0-3 |
| 2010-05-23 | @ Indiana Fever | L 61-69 | 1448.22 | 1511.06 | 32.77% | 67.23% | -7.69 | 0-4 |
| 2010-05-27 | Seattle Storm | W 84-75 | 1440.53 | 1547.94 | 43.50% | 56.50% | +14.05 | 1-4 |
| 2010-05-29 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 73-58 | 1454.58 | 1437.45 | 43.58% | 56.42% | +18.12 | 2-4 |
| 2010-06-04 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 80-70 | 1472.70 | 1549.32 | 31.05% | 68.95% | +18.07 | 3-4 |
| 2010-06-05 | Tulsa Shock | W 95-70 | 1490.77 | 1508.99 | 56.26% | 43.74% | +18.13 | 4-4 |
| 2010-06-08 | New York Liberty | L 70-85 | 1508.90 | 1463.70 | 64.95% | 35.05% | -20.85 | 4-5 |
| 2010-06-11 | Washington Mystics | L 78-95 | 1488.05 | 1486.56 | 59.03% | 40.97% | -20.18 | 4-6 |
| 2010-06-15 | Atlanta Dream | L 86-93 | 1467.87 | 1535.86 | 49.13% | 50.87% | -10.78 | 4-7 |
| 2010-06-19 | @ Washington Mystics | L 61-65 | 1457.09 | 1520.43 | 32.71% | 67.29% | -5.42 | 4-8 |
| 2010-06-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 86-77 | 1451.67 | 1545.83 | 28.93% | 71.07% | +17.68 | 5-8 |
| 2010-06-25 | Washington Mystics | W 79-72 | 1469.35 | 1536.34 | 49.28% | 50.72% | +11.12 | 6-8 |
| 2010-06-27 | Indiana Fever | L 64-70 | 1480.47 | 1562.94 | 47.05% | 52.95% | -9.55 | 6-9 |
| 2010-07-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 92-80 | 1470.92 | 1533.35 | 49.93% | 50.07% | +14.37 | 7-9 |
| 2010-07-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 88-82 | 1485.29 | 1568.73 | 30.22% | 69.78% | +14.18 | 8-9 |
| 2010-07-06 | Indiana Fever | L 51-58 | 1499.47 | 1565.83 | 49.37% | 50.63% | -10.83 | 8-10 |
| 2010-07-11 | @ New York Liberty | L 54-57 | 1488.64 | 1484.97 | 41.69% | 58.31% | -5.99 | 8-11 |
| 2010-07-14 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 88-61 | 1482.65 | 1441.93 | 64.36% | 35.64% | +15.35 | 9-11 |
| 2010-07-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-68 | 1498.00 | 1436.64 | 67.04% | 32.96% | +9.47 | 10-11 |
| 2010-07-18 | @ Washington Mystics | W 61-59 | 1507.47 | 1549.04 | 35.53% | 64.47% | +7.56 | 11-11 |
| 2010-07-23 | New York Liberty | L 71-79 | 1515.03 | 1510.97 | 59.39% | 40.61% | -13.93 | 11-12 |
| 2010-07-24 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-72 | 1501.10 | 1426.73 | 51.79% | 48.21% | +6.93 | 12-12 |
| 2010-07-27 | @ Indiana Fever | L 74-78 | 1508.03 | 1605.43 | 28.55% | 71.45% | -4.74 | 12-13 |
| 2010-07-30 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-80 | 1503.29 | 1671.03 | 21.04% | 78.96% | -7.80 | 12-14 |
| 2010-08-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 96-97 | 1495.49 | 1539.20 | 35.24% | 64.76% | -2.92 | 12-15 |
| 2010-08-04 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-82 | 1492.57 | 1440.44 | 48.59% | 51.41% | -9.01 | 12-16 |
| 2010-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx | L 82-87 | 1483.56 | 1417.97 | 67.57% | 32.43% | -12.52 | 12-17 |
| 2010-08-10 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-82 | 1471.04 | 1540.30 | 48.95% | 51.05% | +12.69 | 13-17 |
| 2010-08-14 | Atlanta Dream | L 74-98 | 1483.73 | 1532.32 | 51.92% | 48.08% | -21.08 | 13-18 |
| 2010-08-17 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 84-79 | 1462.65 | 1553.41 | 29.34% | 70.66% | +13.09 | 14-18 |
| 2010-08-20 | Connecticut Sun | L 71-78 | 1475.74 | 1489.31 | 56.92% | 43.08% | -12.48 | 14-19 |
| 2010-08-21 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 71-84 | 1463.26 | 1281.37 | 66.61% | 33.39% | -19.91 | 14-20 |
| 2010-05-15 | Chicago Sky | W 74-61 | 1494.71 | 1476.01 | 61.40% | 38.60% | +11.54 | 1-0 |
| 2010-05-21 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 82-97 | 1506.25 | 1510.53 | 40.58% | 59.42% | -13.03 | 1-1 |
| 2010-05-23 | Washington Mystics | W 80-65 | 1493.22 | 1521.42 | 54.84% | 45.16% | +14.50 | 2-1 |
| 2010-05-27 | Minnesota Lynx | W 105-79 | 1507.72 | 1451.67 | 66.36% | 33.64% | +14.22 | 3-1 |
| 2010-05-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 65-69 | 1521.94 | 1490.89 | 45.56% | 54.44% | -7.55 | 3-2 |
| 2010-06-04 | New York Liberty | W 75-68 | 1514.39 | 1477.93 | 63.80% | 36.20% | +7.94 | 4-2 |
| 2010-06-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 81-68 | 1522.33 | 1453.35 | 68.00% | 32.00% | +9.56 | 5-2 |
| 2010-06-11 | Indiana Fever | W 86-77 | 1531.89 | 1552.76 | 55.89% | 44.11% | +10.97 | 6-2 |
| 2010-06-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-77 | 1542.86 | 1541.78 | 41.33% | 58.67% | -10.83 | 6-3 |
| 2010-06-18 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-75 | 1532.03 | 1469.25 | 50.12% | 49.88% | +7.16 | 7-3 |
| 2010-06-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 96-94 | 1539.19 | 1523.30 | 43.41% | 56.59% | +6.64 | 8-3 |
| 2010-06-22 | Chicago Sky | L 77-86 | 1545.83 | 1451.67 | 71.07% | 28.93% | -17.68 | 8-4 |
| 2010-06-25 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-79 | 1528.15 | 1516.66 | 60.42% | 39.58% | +5.68 | 9-4 |
| 2010-06-27 | @ New York Liberty | L 68-77 | 1533.83 | 1476.97 | 49.27% | 50.73% | -12.25 | 9-5 |
| 2010-06-29 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 101-89 | 1521.58 | 1396.18 | 59.03% | 40.97% | +11.77 | 10-5 |
| 2010-07-01 | @ Chicago Sky | L 80-92 | 1533.35 | 1470.92 | 50.07% | 49.93% | -14.38 | 10-6 |
| 2010-07-06 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 66-79 | 1518.97 | 1445.30 | 51.69% | 48.31% | -15.45 | 10-7 |
| 2010-07-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 103-108 | 1503.52 | 1554.56 | 34.29% | 65.71% | -6.36 | 10-8 |
| 2010-07-14 | @ Indiana Fever | W 77-68 | 1497.16 | 1584.47 | 29.75% | 70.25% | +17.48 | 11-8 |
| 2010-07-17 | Atlanta Dream | W 96-80 | 1514.64 | 1539.78 | 55.28% | 44.72% | +14.83 | 12-8 |
| 2010-07-20 | New York Liberty | L 74-82 | 1529.47 | 1496.11 | 63.38% | 36.62% | -14.87 | 12-9 |
| 2010-07-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-89 | 1514.60 | 1413.02 | 71.94% | 28.06% | -17.89 | 12-10 |
| 2010-07-27 | Washington Mystics | W 88-78 | 1496.71 | 1541.93 | 52.41% | 47.59% | +12.48 | 13-10 |
| 2010-07-30 | Atlanta Dream | L 62-94 | 1509.19 | 1534.68 | 55.23% | 44.77% | -25.90 | 13-11 |
| 2010-08-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-71 | 1483.29 | 1528.73 | 35.02% | 64.98% | -5.81 | 13-12 |
| 2010-08-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 103-111 | 1477.48 | 1405.92 | 51.38% | 48.62% | -12.04 | 13-13 |
| 2010-08-05 | @ Seattle Storm | L 82-83 | 1465.44 | 1651.06 | 19.38% | 80.62% | -1.61 | 13-14 |
| 2010-08-08 | Washington Mystics | W 76-67 | 1463.83 | 1541.19 | 47.78% | 52.22% | +12.98 | 14-14 |
| 2010-08-10 | @ Washington Mystics | L 74-84 | 1476.81 | 1528.21 | 34.24% | 65.76% | -8.97 | 14-15 |
| 2010-08-13 | Seattle Storm | W 88-68 | 1467.84 | 1669.40 | 30.93% | 69.07% | +25.61 | 15-15 |
| 2010-08-15 | Indiana Fever | L 66-79 | 1493.45 | 1612.24 | 41.89% | 58.11% | -12.53 | 15-16 |
| 2010-08-17 | Tulsa Shock | W 90-62 | 1480.92 | 1292.26 | 80.89% | 19.11% | +8.39 | 16-16 |
| 2010-08-20 | @ Chicago Sky | W 78-71 | 1489.31 | 1475.74 | 43.08% | 56.92% | +12.48 | 17-16 |
| 2010-08-22 | @ New York Liberty | L 87-88 | 1501.79 | 1610.79 | 27.21% | 72.79% | -2.25 | 17-17 |
| 2010-05-15 | Washington Mystics | L 65-72 | 1521.40 | 1478.38 | 64.66% | 35.34% | -14.18 | 0-1 |
| 2010-05-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 62-66 | 1507.22 | 1503.62 | 41.68% | 58.32% | -6.91 | 0-2 |
| 2010-05-22 | @ Chicago Sky | W 92-86 | 1500.31 | 1458.97 | 47.04% | 52.96% | +10.75 | 1-2 |
| 2010-05-23 | Chicago Sky | W 69-61 | 1511.06 | 1448.22 | 67.23% | 32.77% | +7.69 | 2-2 |
| 2010-05-29 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 74-79 | 1518.75 | 1490.90 | 45.11% | 54.89% | -8.37 | 2-3 |
| 2010-06-03 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 79-57 | 1510.38 | 1467.07 | 64.70% | 35.30% | +13.73 | 3-3 |
| 2010-06-05 | New York Liberty | W 78-73 | 1524.11 | 1469.99 | 66.11% | 33.89% | +6.28 | 4-3 |
| 2010-06-06 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 89-51 | 1530.39 | 1424.87 | 56.24% | 43.76% | +22.37 | 5-3 |
| 2010-06-11 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-86 | 1552.76 | 1531.89 | 44.11% | 55.89% | -10.98 | 5-4 |
| 2010-06-13 | Connecticut Sun | W 77-67 | 1541.78 | 1542.86 | 58.67% | 41.33% | +10.84 | 6-4 |
| 2010-06-17 | Seattle Storm | W 72-65 | 1552.62 | 1603.02 | 51.66% | 48.34% | +10.60 | 7-4 |
| 2010-06-19 | Atlanta Dream | W 94-91 | 1563.22 | 1546.64 | 61.11% | 38.89% | +5.58 | 8-4 |
| 2010-06-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 81-85 | 1568.80 | 1611.59 | 35.37% | 64.63% | -5.86 | 8-5 |
| 2010-06-27 | @ Chicago Sky | W 70-64 | 1562.94 | 1480.47 | 52.95% | 47.05% | +9.56 | 9-5 |
| 2010-06-29 | @ Washington Mystics | L 65-68 | 1572.50 | 1535.49 | 46.41% | 53.59% | -6.67 | 9-6 |
| 2010-07-06 | @ Chicago Sky | W 58-51 | 1565.83 | 1499.47 | 50.63% | 49.37% | +10.83 | 10-6 |
| 2010-07-08 | Tulsa Shock | W 100-72 | 1576.66 | 1373.00 | 82.19% | 17.81% | +7.81 | 11-6 |
| 2010-07-14 | Connecticut Sun | L 68-77 | 1584.47 | 1497.16 | 70.25% | 29.75% | -17.47 | 11-7 |
| 2010-07-16 | Atlanta Dream | W 89-70 | 1567.00 | 1554.01 | 60.62% | 39.38% | +14.23 | 12-7 |
| 2010-07-18 | @ New York Liberty | W 84-81 | 1581.23 | 1502.95 | 52.35% | 47.65% | +6.84 | 13-7 |
| 2010-07-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-57 | 1588.07 | 1420.64 | 78.93% | 21.07% | +7.62 | 14-7 |
| 2010-07-24 | @ Washington Mystics | W 78-73 | 1595.69 | 1551.68 | 47.42% | 52.58% | +9.74 | 15-7 |
| 2010-07-27 | Chicago Sky | W 78-74 | 1605.43 | 1508.03 | 71.45% | 28.55% | +4.74 | 16-7 |
| 2010-07-30 | Washington Mystics | L 73-77 | 1610.17 | 1517.27 | 70.92% | 29.08% | -11.76 | 16-8 |
| 2010-08-01 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 74-90 | 1598.41 | 1560.58 | 46.53% | 53.47% | -15.43 | 16-9 |
| 2010-08-03 | New York Liberty | L 72-82 | 1582.98 | 1534.53 | 65.37% | 34.63% | -17.14 | 16-10 |
| 2010-08-06 | Atlanta Dream | W 95-93 | 1565.84 | 1560.93 | 59.51% | 40.49% | +4.75 | 17-10 |
| 2010-08-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 104-82 | 1570.59 | 1562.75 | 42.27% | 57.73% | +22.44 | 18-10 |
| 2010-08-10 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-76 | 1593.03 | 1439.12 | 62.93% | 37.07% | +7.53 | 19-10 |
| 2010-08-13 | Phoenix Mercury | W 110-90 | 1600.56 | 1527.61 | 68.50% | 31.50% | +11.68 | 20-10 |
| 2010-08-15 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 79-66 | 1612.24 | 1493.45 | 58.11% | 41.89% | +12.52 | 21-10 |
| 2010-08-17 | @ New York Liberty | L 57-78 | 1624.76 | 1595.04 | 45.37% | 54.63% | -17.23 | 21-11 |
| 2010-08-20 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 61-75 | 1607.53 | 1413.96 | 68.08% | 31.92% | -21.12 | 21-12 |
| 2010-08-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 79-83 | 1586.41 | 1426.27 | 78.22% | 21.78% | -12.97 | 21-13 |
| 2010-05-15 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 77-78 | 1516.21 | 1539.29 | 38.00% | 62.00% | -3.15 | 0-1 |
| 2010-05-16 | @ Seattle Storm | L 67-81 | 1513.06 | 1510.35 | 41.55% | 58.45% | -12.89 | 0-2 |
| 2010-05-22 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 81-88 | 1500.17 | 1493.94 | 42.05% | 57.95% | -9.22 | 0-3 |
| 2010-05-28 | Washington Mystics | W 81-75 | 1490.95 | 1499.49 | 57.63% | 42.37% | +8.60 | 1-3 |
| 2010-05-30 | Atlanta Dream | L 82-101 | 1499.55 | 1545.24 | 52.34% | 47.66% | -18.91 | 1-4 |
| 2010-06-04 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 89-90 | 1480.64 | 1523.46 | 35.36% | 64.64% | -2.93 | 1-5 |
| 2010-06-05 | Seattle Storm | L 75-79 | 1477.71 | 1571.81 | 45.39% | 54.61% | -7.53 | 1-6 |
| 2010-06-08 | Phoenix Mercury | W 92-91 | 1470.18 | 1512.86 | 52.77% | 47.23% | +3.92 | 2-6 |
| 2010-06-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-82 | 1474.10 | 1592.87 | 26.11% | 73.89% | -10.15 | 2-7 |
| 2010-06-13 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-84 | 1463.95 | 1394.94 | 68.00% | 32.00% | +5.30 | 3-7 |
| 2010-06-18 | Connecticut Sun | L 75-78 | 1469.25 | 1532.03 | 49.88% | 50.12% | -7.16 | 3-8 |
| 2010-06-24 | @ Washington Mystics | L 53-68 | 1462.09 | 1525.86 | 32.66% | 67.34% | -10.49 | 3-9 |
| 2010-06-27 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 81-89 | 1451.60 | 1546.45 | 28.85% | 71.15% | -6.76 | 3-10 |
| 2010-06-29 | New York Liberty | L 68-80 | 1444.84 | 1489.22 | 52.53% | 47.47% | -15.09 | 3-11 |
| 2010-07-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-63 | 1429.75 | 1457.10 | 54.96% | 45.04% | +11.81 | 4-11 |
| 2010-07-03 | Seattle Storm | L 62-75 | 1441.56 | 1632.28 | 32.27% | 67.73% | -9.65 | 4-12 |
| 2010-07-06 | Phoenix Mercury | L 89-98 | 1431.91 | 1500.35 | 49.07% | 50.93% | -12.20 | 4-13 |
| 2010-07-13 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 87-71 | 1419.71 | 1365.18 | 48.93% | 51.07% | +16.93 | 5-13 |
| 2010-07-16 | @ Chicago Sky | L 68-80 | 1436.64 | 1498.00 | 32.96% | 67.04% | -9.46 | 5-14 |
| 2010-07-18 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 73-83 | 1427.18 | 1413.76 | 43.06% | 56.94% | -11.29 | 5-15 |
| 2010-07-20 | Tulsa Shock | W 86-83 | 1415.89 | 1355.27 | 66.94% | 33.06% | +4.75 | 6-15 |
| 2010-07-22 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-76 | 1420.64 | 1588.07 | 21.07% | 78.93% | -7.62 | 6-16 |
| 2010-07-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 89-80 | 1413.02 | 1514.60 | 28.06% | 71.94% | +17.89 | 7-16 |
| 2010-07-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 71-58 | 1430.91 | 1425.92 | 41.87% | 58.13% | +17.38 | 8-16 |
| 2010-07-30 | @ New York Liberty | L 79-88 | 1448.29 | 1520.88 | 31.55% | 68.45% | -7.85 | 8-17 |
| 2010-08-04 | Chicago Sky | W 82-77 | 1440.44 | 1492.57 | 51.41% | 48.59% | +9.01 | 9-17 |
| 2010-08-06 | Tulsa Shock | W 77-70 | 1449.45 | 1320.03 | 75.06% | 24.94% | +5.47 | 10-17 |
| 2010-08-08 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 83-92 | 1454.92 | 1420.49 | 63.53% | 36.47% | -15.80 | 10-18 |
| 2010-08-10 | Indiana Fever | L 76-82 | 1439.12 | 1593.03 | 37.07% | 62.93% | -7.53 | 10-19 |
| 2010-08-12 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 78-77 | 1431.59 | 1439.00 | 40.15% | 59.85% | +4.96 | 11-19 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 92-87 | 1436.55 | 1299.55 | 60.63% | 39.37% | +7.30 | 12-19 |
| 2010-08-17 | Phoenix Mercury | L 84-90 | 1443.85 | 1499.14 | 50.96% | 49.04% | -10.35 | 12-20 |
| 2010-08-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 98-91 | 1433.50 | 1435.35 | 58.57% | 41.43% | +9.09 | 13-20 |
| 2010-08-21 | @ Seattle Storm | L 75-76 | 1442.59 | 1640.68 | 18.29% | 81.71% | -1.52 | 13-21 |
| 2010-05-15 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 80-74 | 1475.30 | 1521.15 | 34.97% | 65.03% | +13.21 | 1-0 |
| 2010-05-16 | Washington Mystics | L 76-87 | 1488.51 | 1492.56 | 58.26% | 41.74% | -16.02 | 1-1 |
| 2010-05-19 | @ Seattle Storm | L 76-79 | 1472.49 | 1523.24 | 34.33% | 65.67% | -4.93 | 1-2 |
| 2010-05-23 | Tulsa Shock | L 82-94 | 1467.56 | 1492.30 | 55.34% | 44.66% | -15.89 | 1-3 |
| 2010-05-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-105 | 1451.67 | 1507.72 | 33.64% | 66.36% | -14.22 | 1-4 |
| 2010-05-29 | Chicago Sky | L 58-73 | 1437.45 | 1454.58 | 56.42% | 43.58% | -18.11 | 1-5 |
| 2010-06-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 92-82 | 1419.34 | 1538.72 | 41.81% | 58.19% | +15.25 | 2-5 |
| 2010-06-04 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 79-92 | 1434.59 | 1499.26 | 32.54% | 67.46% | -9.72 | 2-6 |
| 2010-06-06 | Indiana Fever | L 51-89 | 1424.87 | 1530.39 | 43.76% | 56.24% | -22.37 | 2-7 |
| 2010-06-10 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 88-99 | 1402.50 | 1508.95 | 27.50% | 72.50% | -7.56 | 2-8 |
| 2010-06-13 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 84-88 | 1394.94 | 1463.95 | 32.00% | 68.00% | -5.31 | 2-9 |
| 2010-06-18 | Tulsa Shock | W 78-67 | 1389.63 | 1460.32 | 48.74% | 51.26% | +14.10 | 3-9 |
| 2010-06-19 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 92-78 | 1403.73 | 1446.23 | 35.40% | 64.60% | +20.03 | 4-9 |
| 2010-06-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 75-68 | 1423.76 | 1474.88 | 34.28% | 65.72% | +14.42 | 5-9 |
| 2010-06-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 66-80 | 1438.18 | 1451.61 | 39.32% | 60.68% | -12.20 | 5-10 |
| 2010-07-01 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 58-76 | 1425.98 | 1560.13 | 24.44% | 75.56% | -8.59 | 5-11 |
| 2010-07-08 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 89-66 | 1417.39 | 1460.74 | 52.67% | 47.33% | +18.81 | 6-11 |
| 2010-07-14 | Atlanta Dream | W 83-81 | 1436.20 | 1560.92 | 41.07% | 58.93% | +6.91 | 7-11 |
| 2010-07-17 | Seattle Storm | L 71-73 | 1443.11 | 1653.81 | 29.81% | 70.19% | -3.49 | 7-12 |
| 2010-07-22 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 72-74 | 1439.62 | 1419.51 | 61.60% | 38.40% | -7.22 | 7-13 |
| 2010-07-24 | Phoenix Mercury | L 124-127 | 1432.40 | 1528.69 | 45.07% | 54.93% | -6.48 | 7-14 |
| 2010-07-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 58-71 | 1425.92 | 1430.91 | 58.13% | 41.87% | -17.37 | 7-15 |
| 2010-07-29 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 92-110 | 1408.55 | 1530.13 | 25.80% | 74.20% | -9.07 | 7-16 |
| 2010-08-01 | Seattle Storm | W 72-71 | 1399.48 | 1678.83 | 22.25% | 77.75% | +6.44 | 8-16 |
| 2010-08-03 | Connecticut Sun | W 111-103 | 1405.92 | 1477.48 | 48.62% | 51.38% | +12.05 | 9-16 |
| 2010-08-07 | @ Chicago Sky | W 87-82 | 1417.97 | 1483.56 | 32.43% | 67.57% | +12.53 | 10-16 |
| 2010-08-08 | New York Liberty | L 72-74 | 1430.50 | 1561.30 | 40.22% | 59.78% | -4.72 | 10-17 |
| 2010-08-10 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-66 | 1425.78 | 1436.29 | 39.72% | 60.28% | +13.22 | 11-17 |
| 2010-08-12 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 77-78 | 1439.00 | 1431.59 | 59.85% | 40.15% | -4.96 | 11-18 |
| 2010-08-13 | @ Washington Mystics | L 58-61 | 1434.04 | 1537.18 | 27.88% | 72.12% | -4.00 | 11-19 |
| 2010-08-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-78 | 1430.04 | 1432.96 | 58.42% | 41.58% | +8.44 | 12-19 |
| 2010-08-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 64-68 | 1438.48 | 1629.91 | 18.87% | 81.13% | -3.13 | 12-20 |
| 2010-08-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-98 | 1435.35 | 1433.50 | 41.43% | 58.57% | -9.08 | 12-21 |
| 2010-08-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 83-79 | 1426.27 | 1586.41 | 21.78% | 78.22% | +12.96 | 13-21 |
| 2010-05-16 | Chicago Sky | W 85-82 | 1485.28 | 1464.47 | 61.69% | 38.31% | +5.50 | 1-0 |
| 2010-05-21 | @ Washington Mystics | L 61-77 | 1490.78 | 1508.58 | 38.72% | 61.28% | -12.84 | 1-1 |
| 2010-05-23 | Atlanta Dream | L 77-86 | 1477.94 | 1523.56 | 52.35% | 47.65% | -13.02 | 1-2 |
| 2010-05-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-71 | 1464.92 | 1503.16 | 35.97% | 64.03% | +13.01 | 2-2 |
| 2010-06-04 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-75 | 1477.93 | 1514.39 | 36.20% | 63.80% | -7.94 | 2-3 |
| 2010-06-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 73-78 | 1469.99 | 1524.11 | 33.89% | 66.11% | -6.29 | 2-4 |
| 2010-06-08 | @ Chicago Sky | W 85-70 | 1463.70 | 1508.90 | 35.05% | 64.95% | +20.86 | 3-4 |
| 2010-06-11 | Atlanta Dream | W 91-79 | 1484.56 | 1543.13 | 50.49% | 49.51% | +14.22 | 4-4 |
| 2010-06-12 | @ Washington Mystics | L 65-82 | 1498.78 | 1506.74 | 40.07% | 59.93% | -13.70 | 4-5 |
| 2010-06-18 | Seattle Storm | L 84-92 | 1485.08 | 1592.42 | 43.51% | 56.49% | -10.20 | 4-6 |
| 2010-06-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 68-75 | 1474.88 | 1423.76 | 65.72% | 34.28% | -14.42 | 4-7 |
| 2010-06-25 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 92-78 | 1460.46 | 1420.80 | 46.80% | 53.20% | +16.51 | 5-7 |
| 2010-06-27 | Connecticut Sun | W 77-68 | 1476.97 | 1533.83 | 50.73% | 49.27% | +12.25 | 6-7 |
| 2010-06-29 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 80-68 | 1489.22 | 1444.84 | 47.47% | 52.53% | +15.08 | 7-7 |
| 2010-07-03 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 82-97 | 1504.30 | 1486.32 | 43.71% | 56.29% | -14.03 | 7-8 |
| 2010-07-06 | @ Seattle Storm | L 70-78 | 1490.27 | 1641.92 | 22.62% | 77.38% | -5.30 | 7-9 |
| 2010-07-11 | Chicago Sky | W 57-54 | 1484.97 | 1488.64 | 58.31% | 41.69% | +5.98 | 8-9 |
| 2010-07-15 | Washington Mystics | W 75-67 | 1490.95 | 1561.04 | 48.83% | 51.17% | +12.00 | 9-9 |
| 2010-07-18 | Indiana Fever | L 81-84 | 1502.95 | 1581.23 | 47.65% | 52.35% | -6.84 | 9-10 |
| 2010-07-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 82-74 | 1496.11 | 1529.47 | 36.62% | 63.38% | +14.86 | 10-10 |
| 2010-07-23 | @ Chicago Sky | W 79-71 | 1510.97 | 1515.03 | 40.61% | 59.39% | +13.93 | 11-10 |
| 2010-07-25 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 75-82 | 1524.90 | 1514.75 | 42.60% | 57.40% | -9.35 | 11-11 |
| 2010-07-27 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-72 | 1515.55 | 1419.80 | 71.26% | 28.74% | +5.33 | 12-11 |
| 2010-07-30 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-79 | 1520.88 | 1448.29 | 68.45% | 31.55% | +7.85 | 13-11 |
| 2010-08-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 71-67 | 1528.73 | 1483.29 | 64.98% | 35.02% | +5.80 | 14-11 |
| 2010-08-03 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-72 | 1534.53 | 1582.98 | 34.63% | 65.37% | +17.14 | 15-11 |
| 2010-08-06 | Washington Mystics | W 85-77 | 1551.67 | 1550.82 | 58.94% | 41.06% | +9.63 | 16-11 |
| 2010-08-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 74-72 | 1561.30 | 1430.50 | 59.78% | 40.22% | +4.71 | 17-11 |
| 2010-08-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 90-83 | 1566.01 | 1544.56 | 44.20% | 55.80% | +12.24 | 18-11 |
| 2010-08-14 | Phoenix Mercury | W 107-69 | 1578.25 | 1515.93 | 67.16% | 32.84% | +16.79 | 19-11 |
| 2010-08-17 | Indiana Fever | W 78-57 | 1595.04 | 1624.76 | 54.63% | 45.37% | +17.23 | 20-11 |
| 2010-08-19 | Tulsa Shock | W 95-85 | 1612.27 | 1283.87 | 90.44% | 9.56% | +2.51 | 21-11 |
| 2010-08-20 | @ Washington Mystics | L 74-75 | 1614.78 | 1565.62 | 48.16% | 51.84% | -3.99 | 21-12 |
| 2010-08-22 | Connecticut Sun | W 88-87 | 1610.79 | 1501.79 | 72.79% | 27.21% | +2.25 | 22-12 |
| 2010-05-15 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-77 | 1539.29 | 1516.21 | 62.00% | 38.00% | +3.15 | 1-0 |
| 2010-05-22 | Seattle Storm | L 89-95 | 1542.44 | 1528.17 | 60.80% | 39.20% | -12.35 | 1-1 |
| 2010-05-25 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 110-96 | 1530.09 | 1508.19 | 44.26% | 55.74% | +17.29 | 2-1 |
| 2010-05-28 | Atlanta Dream | L 93-96 | 1547.38 | 1536.58 | 60.32% | 39.68% | -8.66 | 2-2 |
| 2010-06-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 82-92 | 1538.72 | 1419.34 | 58.19% | 41.81% | -15.26 | 2-3 |
| 2010-06-04 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-89 | 1523.46 | 1480.64 | 64.64% | 35.36% | +2.94 | 3-3 |
| 2010-06-06 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-97 | 1526.40 | 1579.34 | 34.04% | 65.96% | -13.54 | 3-4 |
| 2010-06-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 91-92 | 1512.86 | 1470.18 | 47.23% | 52.77% | -3.91 | 3-5 |
| 2010-06-10 | Minnesota Lynx | W 99-88 | 1508.95 | 1402.50 | 72.50% | 27.50% | +7.56 | 4-5 |
| 2010-06-12 | Tulsa Shock | W 116-84 | 1516.51 | 1477.12 | 64.19% | 35.81% | +16.79 | 5-5 |
| 2010-06-18 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 105-108 | 1533.30 | 1450.57 | 69.70% | 30.30% | -10.00 | 5-6 |
| 2010-06-20 | Connecticut Sun | L 94-96 | 1523.30 | 1539.19 | 56.59% | 43.41% | -6.64 | 5-7 |
| 2010-06-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 79-82 | 1516.66 | 1528.15 | 39.58% | 60.42% | -5.68 | 5-8 |
| 2010-06-27 | @ Washington Mystics | L 85-95 | 1510.98 | 1525.22 | 39.21% | 60.79% | -10.28 | 5-9 |
| 2010-06-29 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 88-94 | 1500.70 | 1553.21 | 34.10% | 65.90% | -6.92 | 5-10 |
| 2010-07-01 | Washington Mystics | L 104-107 | 1493.78 | 1542.16 | 51.95% | 48.05% | -7.46 | 5-11 |
| 2010-07-03 | New York Liberty | W 97-82 | 1486.32 | 1504.30 | 56.29% | 43.71% | +14.03 | 6-11 |
| 2010-07-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 98-89 | 1500.35 | 1431.91 | 50.93% | 49.07% | +12.20 | 7-11 |
| 2010-07-14 | Seattle Storm | L 107-111 | 1512.55 | 1647.23 | 39.69% | 60.31% | -6.58 | 7-12 |
| 2010-07-17 | Tulsa Shock | W 97-88 | 1505.97 | 1361.07 | 76.69% | 23.31% | +5.80 | 8-12 |
| 2010-07-22 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 123-91 | 1511.77 | 1350.53 | 63.91% | 36.09% | +16.92 | 9-12 |
| 2010-07-24 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 127-124 | 1528.69 | 1432.40 | 54.93% | 45.07% | +6.47 | 10-12 |
| 2010-07-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 85-91 | 1535.16 | 1666.00 | 24.79% | 75.21% | -5.03 | 10-13 |
| 2010-07-29 | Minnesota Lynx | W 110-92 | 1530.13 | 1408.55 | 74.20% | 25.80% | +9.07 | 11-13 |
| 2010-08-01 | Chicago Sky | W 97-96 | 1539.20 | 1495.49 | 64.76% | 35.24% | +2.93 | 12-13 |
| 2010-08-03 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 103-92 | 1542.13 | 1441.11 | 55.60% | 44.40% | +12.20 | 13-13 |
| 2010-08-06 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 103-87 | 1554.33 | 1428.90 | 74.63% | 25.37% | +8.42 | 14-13 |
| 2010-08-08 | Indiana Fever | L 82-104 | 1562.75 | 1570.59 | 57.73% | 42.27% | -22.45 | 14-14 |
| 2010-08-10 | @ Chicago Sky | L 82-91 | 1540.30 | 1471.04 | 51.05% | 48.95% | -12.69 | 14-15 |
| 2010-08-13 | @ Indiana Fever | L 90-110 | 1527.61 | 1600.56 | 31.50% | 68.50% | -11.68 | 14-16 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-107 | 1515.93 | 1578.25 | 32.84% | 67.16% | -16.79 | 14-17 |
| 2010-08-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 90-84 | 1499.14 | 1443.85 | 49.04% | 50.96% | +10.35 | 15-17 |
| 2010-08-20 | Seattle Storm | L 73-78 | 1509.49 | 1633.04 | 41.23% | 58.77% | -7.64 | 15-18 |
| 2010-08-22 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 82-83 | 1501.85 | 1435.08 | 50.69% | 49.31% | -4.20 | 15-19 |
| 2010-05-15 | Atlanta Dream | L 70-75 | 1489.10 | 1492.81 | 58.31% | 41.69% | -10.80 | 0-1 |
| 2010-05-20 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 83-74 | 1478.30 | 1507.94 | 37.11% | 62.89% | +15.64 | 1-1 |
| 2010-05-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 88-81 | 1493.94 | 1500.17 | 57.95% | 42.05% | +9.22 | 2-1 |
| 2010-05-28 | New York Liberty | L 71-77 | 1503.16 | 1464.92 | 64.03% | 35.97% | -13.00 | 2-2 |
| 2010-05-30 | Seattle Storm | L 56-84 | 1490.16 | 1533.89 | 52.62% | 47.38% | -23.09 | 2-3 |
| 2010-06-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-79 | 1467.07 | 1510.38 | 35.30% | 64.70% | -13.72 | 2-4 |
| 2010-06-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-81 | 1453.35 | 1522.33 | 32.00% | 68.00% | -9.57 | 2-5 |
| 2010-06-11 | Tulsa Shock | W 87-75 | 1443.78 | 1490.86 | 52.14% | 47.86% | +13.75 | 3-5 |
| 2010-06-13 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 83-90 | 1457.53 | 1528.91 | 31.70% | 68.30% | -6.96 | 3-6 |
| 2010-06-18 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 108-105 | 1450.57 | 1533.30 | 30.30% | 69.70% | +10.01 | 4-6 |
| 2010-06-20 | @ Seattle Storm | L 61-82 | 1460.58 | 1602.62 | 23.61% | 76.39% | -8.97 | 4-7 |
| 2010-06-26 | Minnesota Lynx | W 80-66 | 1451.61 | 1438.18 | 60.68% | 39.32% | +12.20 | 5-7 |
| 2010-06-29 | @ Seattle Storm | L 72-86 | 1463.81 | 1625.57 | 21.62% | 78.38% | -6.71 | 5-8 |
| 2010-07-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-73 | 1457.10 | 1429.75 | 45.04% | 54.96% | -11.80 | 5-9 |
| 2010-07-06 | Connecticut Sun | W 79-66 | 1445.30 | 1518.97 | 48.31% | 51.69% | +15.44 | 6-9 |
| 2010-07-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 66-89 | 1460.74 | 1417.39 | 47.33% | 52.67% | -18.81 | 6-10 |
| 2010-07-14 | @ Chicago Sky | L 61-88 | 1441.93 | 1482.65 | 35.64% | 64.36% | -15.35 | 6-11 |
| 2010-07-16 | Tulsa Shock | L 70-75 | 1426.58 | 1348.25 | 69.16% | 30.84% | -12.82 | 6-12 |
| 2010-07-18 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 83-73 | 1413.76 | 1427.18 | 56.94% | 43.06% | +11.29 | 7-12 |
| 2010-07-20 | Seattle Storm | L 74-80 | 1425.05 | 1657.30 | 27.28% | 72.72% | -5.54 | 7-13 |
| 2010-07-22 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 74-72 | 1419.51 | 1439.62 | 38.40% | 61.60% | +7.22 | 8-13 |
| 2010-07-24 | Chicago Sky | L 72-75 | 1426.73 | 1501.10 | 48.21% | 51.79% | -6.93 | 8-14 |
| 2010-07-27 | @ New York Liberty | L 72-77 | 1419.80 | 1515.55 | 28.74% | 71.26% | -5.32 | 8-15 |
| 2010-07-29 | @ Washington Mystics | W 79-75 | 1414.48 | 1529.45 | 26.53% | 73.47% | +12.18 | 9-15 |
| 2010-07-30 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 101-85 | 1426.66 | 1319.87 | 56.42% | 43.58% | +14.45 | 10-15 |
| 2010-08-03 | Phoenix Mercury | L 92-103 | 1441.11 | 1542.13 | 44.40% | 55.60% | -12.21 | 10-16 |
| 2010-08-06 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 87-103 | 1428.90 | 1554.33 | 25.37% | 74.63% | -8.41 | 10-17 |
| 2010-08-08 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 92-83 | 1420.49 | 1454.92 | 36.47% | 63.53% | +15.80 | 11-17 |
| 2010-08-10 | Minnesota Lynx | L 66-73 | 1436.29 | 1425.78 | 60.28% | 39.72% | -13.23 | 11-18 |
| 2010-08-13 | Tulsa Shock | W 94-74 | 1423.06 | 1309.45 | 73.32% | 26.68% | +9.90 | 12-18 |
| 2010-08-15 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 78-84 | 1432.96 | 1430.04 | 41.58% | 58.42% | -8.45 | 12-19 |
| 2010-08-17 | Washington Mystics | L 66-76 | 1424.51 | 1555.07 | 40.25% | 59.75% | -10.55 | 12-20 |
| 2010-08-20 | Indiana Fever | W 75-61 | 1413.96 | 1607.53 | 31.92% | 68.08% | +21.12 | 13-20 |
| 2010-08-22 | Phoenix Mercury | W 83-82 | 1435.08 | 1501.85 | 49.31% | 50.69% | +4.20 | 14-20 |
| 2010-05-16 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-67 | 1510.35 | 1513.06 | 58.45% | 41.55% | +12.89 | 1-0 |
| 2010-05-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 79-76 | 1523.24 | 1472.49 | 65.67% | 34.33% | +4.93 | 2-0 |
| 2010-05-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 95-89 | 1528.17 | 1542.44 | 39.20% | 60.80% | +12.35 | 3-0 |
| 2010-05-25 | Washington Mystics | W 82-76 | 1540.52 | 1506.92 | 63.41% | 36.59% | +7.42 | 4-0 |
| 2010-05-27 | @ Chicago Sky | L 75-84 | 1547.94 | 1440.53 | 56.50% | 43.50% | -14.05 | 4-1 |
| 2010-05-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-56 | 1533.89 | 1490.16 | 47.38% | 52.62% | +23.08 | 5-1 |
| 2010-06-01 | Atlanta Dream | W 90-72 | 1556.97 | 1564.16 | 57.82% | 42.18% | +14.84 | 6-1 |
| 2010-06-05 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-75 | 1571.81 | 1477.71 | 54.61% | 45.39% | +7.53 | 7-1 |
| 2010-06-06 | Phoenix Mercury | W 97-74 | 1579.34 | 1526.40 | 65.96% | 34.04% | +13.53 | 8-1 |
| 2010-06-11 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-60 | 1592.87 | 1474.10 | 73.89% | 26.11% | +10.15 | 9-1 |
| 2010-06-17 | @ Indiana Fever | L 65-72 | 1603.02 | 1552.62 | 48.34% | 51.66% | -10.60 | 9-2 |
| 2010-06-18 | @ New York Liberty | W 92-84 | 1592.42 | 1485.08 | 56.49% | 43.51% | +10.20 | 10-2 |
| 2010-06-20 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 82-61 | 1602.62 | 1460.58 | 76.39% | 23.61% | +8.97 | 11-2 |
| 2010-06-25 | Indiana Fever | W 85-81 | 1611.59 | 1568.80 | 64.63% | 35.37% | +5.86 | 12-2 |
| 2010-06-27 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 83-72 | 1617.45 | 1404.30 | 70.48% | 29.52% | +8.12 | 13-2 |
| 2010-06-29 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 86-72 | 1625.57 | 1463.81 | 78.38% | 21.62% | +6.71 | 14-2 |
| 2010-07-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-62 | 1632.28 | 1441.56 | 67.73% | 32.27% | +9.64 | 15-2 |
| 2010-07-06 | New York Liberty | W 78-70 | 1641.92 | 1490.27 | 77.38% | 22.62% | +5.31 | 16-2 |
| 2010-07-14 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 111-107 | 1647.23 | 1512.55 | 60.31% | 39.69% | +6.58 | 17-2 |
| 2010-07-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 73-71 | 1653.81 | 1443.11 | 70.19% | 29.81% | +3.49 | 18-2 |
| 2010-07-20 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-74 | 1657.30 | 1425.05 | 72.72% | 27.28% | +5.54 | 19-2 |
| 2010-07-25 | Tulsa Shock | W 75-59 | 1662.84 | 1333.60 | 90.48% | 9.52% | +3.16 | 20-2 |
| 2010-07-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 91-85 | 1666.00 | 1535.16 | 75.21% | 24.79% | +5.03 | 21-2 |
| 2010-07-30 | Chicago Sky | W 80-60 | 1671.03 | 1503.29 | 78.96% | 21.04% | +7.80 | 22-2 |
| 2010-08-01 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 71-72 | 1678.83 | 1399.48 | 77.75% | 22.25% | -6.44 | 22-3 |
| 2010-08-03 | @ Tulsa Shock | L 75-84 | 1672.39 | 1298.70 | 85.75% | 14.25% | -21.33 | 22-4 |
| 2010-08-05 | Connecticut Sun | W 83-82 | 1651.06 | 1465.44 | 80.62% | 19.38% | +1.61 | 23-4 |
| 2010-08-07 | Tulsa Shock | W 111-65 | 1652.67 | 1314.56 | 90.91% | 9.09% | +5.11 | 24-4 |
| 2010-08-10 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 80-70 | 1657.78 | 1556.18 | 55.68% | 44.32% | +11.62 | 25-4 |
| 2010-08-13 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 68-88 | 1669.40 | 1467.84 | 69.07% | 30.93% | -25.61 | 25-5 |
| 2010-08-15 | @ Washington Mystics | L 71-80 | 1643.79 | 1541.19 | 55.82% | 44.18% | -13.88 | 25-6 |
| 2010-08-17 | Minnesota Lynx | W 68-64 | 1629.91 | 1438.48 | 81.13% | 18.87% | +3.13 | 26-6 |
| 2010-08-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 78-73 | 1633.04 | 1509.49 | 58.77% | 41.23% | +7.64 | 27-6 |
| 2010-08-21 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 76-75 | 1640.68 | 1442.59 | 81.71% | 18.29% | +1.51 | 28-6 |
| 2010-05-15 | Minnesota Lynx | L 74-80 | 1521.15 | 1475.30 | 65.03% | 34.97% | -13.21 | 0-1 |
| 2010-05-20 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 74-83 | 1507.94 | 1478.30 | 62.89% | 37.11% | -15.64 | 0-2 |
| 2010-05-23 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 94-82 | 1492.30 | 1467.56 | 44.66% | 55.34% | +15.89 | 1-2 |
| 2010-05-25 | Phoenix Mercury | L 96-110 | 1508.19 | 1530.09 | 55.74% | 44.26% | -17.29 | 1-3 |
| 2010-05-29 | Indiana Fever | W 79-74 | 1490.90 | 1518.75 | 54.89% | 45.11% | +8.36 | 2-3 |
| 2010-06-04 | Minnesota Lynx | W 92-79 | 1499.26 | 1434.59 | 67.46% | 32.54% | +9.73 | 3-3 |
| 2010-06-05 | @ Chicago Sky | L 70-95 | 1508.99 | 1490.77 | 43.74% | 56.26% | -18.13 | 3-4 |
| 2010-06-11 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 75-87 | 1490.86 | 1443.78 | 47.86% | 52.14% | -13.74 | 3-5 |
| 2010-06-12 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 84-116 | 1477.12 | 1516.51 | 35.81% | 64.19% | -16.80 | 3-6 |
| 2010-06-18 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 67-78 | 1460.32 | 1389.63 | 51.26% | 48.74% | -14.09 | 3-7 |
| 2010-06-19 | Minnesota Lynx | L 78-92 | 1446.23 | 1403.73 | 64.60% | 35.40% | -20.04 | 3-8 |
| 2010-06-23 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 90-96 | 1426.19 | 1541.06 | 26.54% | 73.46% | -5.39 | 3-9 |
| 2010-06-25 | New York Liberty | L 78-92 | 1420.80 | 1460.46 | 53.20% | 46.80% | -16.50 | 3-10 |
| 2010-06-27 | Seattle Storm | L 72-83 | 1404.30 | 1617.45 | 29.52% | 70.48% | -8.12 | 3-11 |
| 2010-06-29 | Connecticut Sun | L 89-101 | 1396.18 | 1521.58 | 40.97% | 59.03% | -11.76 | 3-12 |
| 2010-07-03 | Washington Mystics | L 54-69 | 1384.42 | 1549.62 | 35.56% | 64.44% | -11.42 | 3-13 |
| 2010-07-08 | @ Indiana Fever | L 72-100 | 1373.00 | 1576.66 | 17.81% | 82.19% | -7.82 | 3-14 |
| 2010-07-13 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-87 | 1365.18 | 1419.71 | 51.07% | 48.93% | -16.93 | 3-15 |
| 2010-07-16 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-70 | 1348.25 | 1426.58 | 30.84% | 69.16% | +12.82 | 4-15 |
| 2010-07-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 88-97 | 1361.07 | 1505.97 | 23.31% | 76.69% | -5.80 | 4-16 |
| 2010-07-20 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 83-86 | 1355.27 | 1415.89 | 33.06% | 66.94% | -4.74 | 4-17 |
| 2010-07-22 | Phoenix Mercury | L 91-123 | 1350.53 | 1511.77 | 36.09% | 63.91% | -16.93 | 4-18 |
| 2010-07-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 59-75 | 1333.60 | 1662.84 | 9.52% | 90.48% | -3.15 | 4-19 |
| 2010-07-27 | Atlanta Dream | L 89-105 | 1330.45 | 1524.09 | 31.91% | 68.09% | -10.58 | 4-20 |
| 2010-07-30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 85-101 | 1319.87 | 1426.66 | 43.58% | 56.42% | -14.46 | 4-21 |
| 2010-08-01 | @ Washington Mystics | L 62-87 | 1305.41 | 1529.03 | 16.19% | 83.81% | -6.71 | 4-22 |
| 2010-08-03 | Seattle Storm | W 84-75 | 1298.70 | 1672.39 | 14.25% | 85.75% | +21.33 | 5-22 |
| 2010-08-06 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-77 | 1320.03 | 1449.45 | 24.94% | 75.06% | -5.47 | 5-23 |
| 2010-08-07 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-111 | 1314.56 | 1652.67 | 9.09% | 90.91% | -5.11 | 5-24 |
| 2010-08-13 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 74-94 | 1309.45 | 1423.06 | 26.68% | 73.32% | -9.90 | 5-25 |
| 2010-08-14 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 87-92 | 1299.55 | 1436.55 | 39.37% | 60.63% | -7.29 | 5-26 |
| 2010-08-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-90 | 1292.26 | 1480.92 | 19.11% | 80.89% | -8.39 | 5-27 |
| 2010-08-19 | @ New York Liberty | L 85-95 | 1283.87 | 1612.27 | 9.56% | 90.44% | -2.50 | 5-28 |
| 2010-08-21 | Chicago Sky | W 84-71 | 1281.37 | 1463.26 | 33.39% | 66.61% | +19.90 | 6-28 |
| 2010-05-15 | @ Indiana Fever | W 72-65 | 1478.38 | 1521.40 | 35.34% | 64.66% | +14.18 | 1-0 |
| 2010-05-16 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 87-76 | 1492.56 | 1488.51 | 41.74% | 58.26% | +16.02 | 2-0 |
| 2010-05-21 | New York Liberty | W 77-61 | 1508.58 | 1490.78 | 61.28% | 38.72% | +12.84 | 3-0 |
| 2010-05-23 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 65-80 | 1521.42 | 1493.22 | 45.16% | 54.84% | -14.50 | 3-1 |
| 2010-05-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 76-82 | 1506.92 | 1540.52 | 36.59% | 63.41% | -7.43 | 3-2 |
| 2010-05-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 75-81 | 1499.49 | 1490.95 | 42.37% | 57.63% | -8.60 | 3-3 |
| 2010-05-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-65 | 1490.89 | 1521.94 | 54.44% | 45.56% | +7.55 | 4-3 |
| 2010-06-05 | Atlanta Dream | L 79-86 | 1498.44 | 1531.24 | 54.19% | 45.81% | -11.88 | 4-4 |
| 2010-06-11 | @ Chicago Sky | W 95-78 | 1486.56 | 1488.05 | 40.97% | 59.03% | +20.18 | 5-4 |
| 2010-06-12 | New York Liberty | W 82-65 | 1506.74 | 1498.78 | 59.93% | 40.07% | +13.69 | 6-4 |
| 2010-06-19 | Chicago Sky | W 65-61 | 1520.43 | 1457.09 | 67.29% | 32.71% | +5.43 | 7-4 |
| 2010-06-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 68-53 | 1525.86 | 1462.09 | 67.34% | 32.66% | +10.48 | 8-4 |
| 2010-06-25 | @ Chicago Sky | L 72-79 | 1536.34 | 1469.35 | 50.72% | 49.28% | -11.12 | 8-5 |
| 2010-06-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 95-85 | 1525.22 | 1510.98 | 60.79% | 39.21% | +10.27 | 9-5 |
| 2010-06-29 | Indiana Fever | W 68-65 | 1535.49 | 1572.50 | 53.59% | 46.41% | +6.67 | 10-5 |
| 2010-07-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 107-104 | 1542.16 | 1493.78 | 48.05% | 51.95% | +7.46 | 11-5 |
| 2010-07-03 | @ Tulsa Shock | W 69-54 | 1549.62 | 1384.42 | 64.44% | 35.56% | +11.42 | 12-5 |
| 2010-07-15 | @ New York Liberty | L 67-75 | 1561.04 | 1490.95 | 51.17% | 48.83% | -12.00 | 12-6 |
| 2010-07-18 | Chicago Sky | L 59-61 | 1549.04 | 1507.47 | 64.47% | 35.53% | -7.56 | 12-7 |
| 2010-07-21 | Atlanta Dream | W 82-72 | 1541.48 | 1524.95 | 61.11% | 38.89% | +10.20 | 13-7 |
| 2010-07-24 | Indiana Fever | L 73-78 | 1551.68 | 1595.69 | 52.58% | 47.42% | -9.75 | 13-8 |
| 2010-07-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 78-88 | 1541.93 | 1496.71 | 47.59% | 52.41% | -12.48 | 13-9 |
| 2010-07-29 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 75-79 | 1529.45 | 1414.48 | 73.47% | 26.53% | -12.18 | 13-10 |
| 2010-07-30 | @ Indiana Fever | W 77-73 | 1517.27 | 1610.17 | 29.08% | 70.92% | +11.76 | 14-10 |
| 2010-08-01 | Tulsa Shock | W 87-62 | 1529.03 | 1305.41 | 83.81% | 16.19% | +6.71 | 15-10 |
| 2010-08-03 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 86-78 | 1535.74 | 1576.01 | 35.70% | 64.30% | +15.08 | 16-10 |
| 2010-08-06 | @ New York Liberty | L 77-85 | 1550.82 | 1551.67 | 41.06% | 58.94% | -9.63 | 16-11 |
| 2010-08-08 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-76 | 1541.19 | 1463.83 | 52.22% | 47.78% | -12.98 | 16-12 |
| 2010-08-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 84-74 | 1528.21 | 1476.81 | 65.76% | 34.24% | +8.97 | 17-12 |
| 2010-08-13 | Minnesota Lynx | W 61-58 | 1537.18 | 1434.04 | 72.12% | 27.88% | +4.01 | 18-12 |
| 2010-08-15 | Seattle Storm | W 80-71 | 1541.19 | 1643.79 | 44.18% | 55.82% | +13.88 | 19-12 |
| 2010-08-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-66 | 1555.07 | 1424.51 | 59.75% | 40.25% | +10.55 | 20-12 |
| 2010-08-20 | New York Liberty | W 75-74 | 1565.62 | 1614.78 | 51.84% | 48.16% | +3.99 | 21-12 |
| 2010-08-22 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 90-81 | 1569.61 | 1540.31 | 45.31% | 54.69% | +13.60 | 22-12 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-08-25 | @ Washington Mystics | W 95-90 | 1526.71 | 1583.21 | 33.58% | 66.42% | +12.31 | 1-0 |
| 2010-08-27 | Washington Mystics | W 101-77 | 1539.02 | 1570.90 | 54.32% | 45.68% | +18.56 | 2-0 |
| 2010-09-05 | @ New York Liberty | W 81-75 | 1557.58 | 1616.85 | 33.23% | 66.77% | +13.55 | 3-0 |
| 2010-09-07 | New York Liberty | W 105-93 | 1571.13 | 1603.29 | 54.28% | 45.72% | +13.13 | 4-0 |
| 2010-09-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 77-79 | 1584.26 | 1668.40 | 30.13% | 69.87% | -3.53 | 4-1 |
| 2010-09-14 | @ Seattle Storm | L 84-87 | 1580.73 | 1671.94 | 29.28% | 70.72% | -4.20 | 4-2 |
| 2010-09-16 | Seattle Storm | L 84-87 | 1576.53 | 1676.14 | 44.60% | 55.40% | -6.41 | 4-3 |
| 2010-08-26 | @ New York Liberty | L 73-85 | 1573.44 | 1613.04 | 35.79% | 64.21% | -10.28 | 0-1 |
| 2010-08-29 | New York Liberty | W 75-67 | 1563.16 | 1623.32 | 50.26% | 49.74% | +11.66 | 1-1 |
| 2010-09-01 | @ New York Liberty | L 74-77 | 1574.82 | 1611.66 | 36.15% | 63.85% | -5.19 | 1-2 |
| 2010-08-25 | @ Seattle Storm | L 66-79 | 1441.07 | 1642.19 | 18.03% | 81.97% | -5.38 | 0-1 |
| 2010-08-28 | Seattle Storm | L 66-81 | 1435.69 | 1647.58 | 29.67% | 70.33% | -9.53 | 0-2 |
| 2010-08-26 | Indiana Fever | W 85-73 | 1613.04 | 1573.44 | 64.21% | 35.79% | +10.28 | 1-0 |
| 2010-08-29 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-75 | 1623.32 | 1563.16 | 49.74% | 50.26% | -11.66 | 1-1 |
| 2010-09-01 | Indiana Fever | W 77-74 | 1611.66 | 1574.82 | 63.85% | 36.15% | +5.19 | 2-1 |
| 2010-09-05 | Atlanta Dream | L 75-81 | 1616.85 | 1557.58 | 66.77% | 33.23% | -13.56 | 2-2 |
| 2010-09-07 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 93-105 | 1603.29 | 1571.13 | 45.72% | 54.28% | -13.13 | 2-3 |
| 2010-08-26 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 106-93 | 1497.65 | 1439.28 | 66.66% | 33.34% | +9.96 | 1-0 |
| 2010-08-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 92-73 | 1507.61 | 1429.31 | 52.35% | 47.65% | +17.22 | 2-0 |
| 2010-09-02 | @ Seattle Storm | L 74-82 | 1524.83 | 1657.11 | 24.64% | 75.36% | -5.77 | 2-1 |
| 2010-09-05 | Seattle Storm | L 88-91 | 1519.06 | 1662.89 | 38.43% | 61.57% | -5.52 | 2-2 |
| 2010-08-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 93-106 | 1439.28 | 1497.65 | 33.34% | 66.66% | -9.97 | 0-1 |
| 2010-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury | L 73-92 | 1429.31 | 1507.61 | 47.65% | 52.35% | -17.21 | 0-2 |
| 2010-08-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-66 | 1642.19 | 1441.07 | 81.97% | 18.03% | +5.39 | 1-0 |
| 2010-08-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 81-66 | 1647.58 | 1435.69 | 70.33% | 29.67% | +9.53 | 2-0 |
| 2010-09-02 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-74 | 1657.11 | 1524.83 | 75.36% | 24.64% | +5.78 | 3-0 |
| 2010-09-05 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 91-88 | 1662.89 | 1519.06 | 61.57% | 38.43% | +5.51 | 4-0 |
| 2010-09-12 | Atlanta Dream | W 79-77 | 1668.40 | 1584.26 | 69.87% | 30.13% | +3.54 | 5-0 |
| 2010-09-14 | Atlanta Dream | W 87-84 | 1671.94 | 1580.73 | 70.72% | 29.28% | +4.20 | 6-0 |
| 2010-09-16 | @ Atlanta Dream | W 87-84 | 1676.14 | 1576.53 | 55.40% | 44.60% | +6.41 | 7-0 |
| 2010-08-25 | Atlanta Dream | L 90-95 | 1583.21 | 1526.71 | 66.42% | 33.58% | -12.31 | 0-1 |
| 2010-08-27 | @ Atlanta Dream | L 77-101 | 1570.90 | 1539.02 | 45.68% | 54.32% | -18.55 | 0-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2010-08-03 | 14.25% | @ Tulsa Shock | 1298.70 | 84 | Seattle Storm | 1672.39 | 75 |
| 2 | 2010-08-22 | 21.78% | Minnesota Lynx | 1426.27 | 83 | @ Indiana Fever | 1586.41 | 79 |
| 3 | 2010-08-01 | 22.25% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1399.48 | 72 | Seattle Storm | 1678.83 | 71 |
| 4 | 2010-07-29 | 26.53% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1414.48 | 79 | @ Washington Mystics | 1529.45 | 75 |
| 5 | 2010-07-24 | 28.06% | Los Angeles Sparks | 1413.02 | 89 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1514.60 | 80 |
| 6 | 2010-06-22 | 28.93% | Chicago Sky | 1451.67 | 86 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1545.83 | 77 |
| 7 | 2010-07-30 | 29.08% | Washington Mystics | 1517.27 | 77 | @ Indiana Fever | 1610.17 | 73 |
| 8 | 2010-08-17 | 29.34% | Chicago Sky | 1462.65 | 84 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1553.41 | 79 |
| 9 | 2010-07-14 | 29.75% | Connecticut Sun | 1497.16 | 77 | @ Indiana Fever | 1584.47 | 68 |
| 10 | 2010-07-03 | 30.22% | Chicago Sky | 1485.29 | 88 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1568.73 | 82 |
| 11 | 2010-06-18 | 30.30% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1450.57 | 108 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1533.30 | 105 |
| 12 | 2010-07-16 | 30.84% | Tulsa Shock | 1348.25 | 75 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1426.58 | 70 |
| 13 | 2010-08-13 | 30.93% | @ Connecticut Sun | 1467.84 | 88 | Seattle Storm | 1669.40 | 68 |
| 14 | 2010-06-04 | 31.05% | Chicago Sky | 1472.70 | 80 | @ Atlanta Dream | 1549.32 | 70 |
| 15 | 2010-08-20 | 31.92% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 1413.96 | 75 | Indiana Fever | 1607.53 | 61 |
| 16 | 2010-08-07 | 32.43% | Minnesota Lynx | 1417.97 | 87 | @ Chicago Sky | 1483.56 | 82 |
| 17 | 2010-09-05 * | 33.23% | Atlanta Dream | 1557.58 | 81 | @ New York Liberty | 1616.85 | 75 |
| 18 | 2010-08-21 | 33.39% | @ Tulsa Shock | 1281.37 | 84 | Chicago Sky | 1463.26 | 71 |
| 19 | 2010-08-25 * | 33.58% | Atlanta Dream | 1526.71 | 95 | @ Washington Mystics | 1583.21 | 90 |
| 20 | 2010-06-22 | 34.28% | Minnesota Lynx | 1423.76 | 75 | @ New York Liberty | 1474.88 | 68 |
| 21 | 2010-08-03 | 34.63% | New York Liberty | 1534.53 | 82 | @ Indiana Fever | 1582.98 | 72 |
| 22 | 2010-05-15 | 34.97% | Minnesota Lynx | 1475.30 | 80 | @ Tulsa Shock | 1521.15 | 74 |
| 23 | 2010-06-08 | 35.05% | New York Liberty | 1463.70 | 85 | @ Chicago Sky | 1508.90 | 70 |
| 24 | 2010-05-15 | 35.34% | Washington Mystics | 1478.38 | 72 | @ Indiana Fever | 1521.40 | 65 |
| 25 | 2010-06-19 | 35.40% | Minnesota Lynx | 1403.73 | 92 | @ Tulsa Shock | 1446.23 | 78 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2010-07-30 | 25.90 | Atlanta Dream | 94 | 1534.68 | 44.77% | @ Connecticut Sun | 62 | 1509.19 | 55.23% |
| 2 | 2010-08-13 | 25.61 | @ Connecticut Sun | 88 | 1467.84 | 30.93% | Seattle Storm | 68 | 1669.40 | 69.07% |
| 3 | 2010-05-30 | 23.09 | Seattle Storm | 84 | 1533.89 | 47.38% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 56 | 1490.16 | 52.62% |
| 4 | 2010-08-08 | 22.45 | Indiana Fever | 104 | 1570.59 | 42.27% | @ Phoenix Mercury | 82 | 1562.75 | 57.73% |
| 5 | 2010-06-06 | 22.37 | Indiana Fever | 89 | 1530.39 | 56.24% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 51 | 1424.87 | 43.76% |
| 6 | 2010-08-03 | 21.33 | @ Tulsa Shock | 84 | 1298.70 | 14.25% | Seattle Storm | 75 | 1672.39 | 85.75% |
| 7 | 2010-08-20 | 21.12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 75 | 1413.96 | 31.92% | Indiana Fever | 61 | 1607.53 | 68.08% |
| 8 | 2010-08-14 | 21.09 | Atlanta Dream | 98 | 1532.32 | 48.08% | @ Chicago Sky | 74 | 1483.73 | 51.92% |
| 9 | 2010-06-08 | 20.86 | New York Liberty | 85 | 1463.70 | 35.05% | @ Chicago Sky | 70 | 1508.90 | 64.95% |
| 10 | 2010-06-11 | 20.18 | Washington Mystics | 95 | 1486.56 | 40.97% | @ Chicago Sky | 78 | 1488.05 | 59.03% |
| 11 | 2010-06-19 | 20.04 | Minnesota Lynx | 92 | 1403.73 | 35.40% | @ Tulsa Shock | 78 | 1446.23 | 64.60% |
| 12 | 2010-08-21 | 19.91 | @ Tulsa Shock | 84 | 1281.37 | 33.39% | Chicago Sky | 71 | 1463.26 | 66.61% |
| 13 | 2010-05-30 | 18.92 | Atlanta Dream | 101 | 1545.24 | 47.66% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 82 | 1499.55 | 52.34% |
| 14 | 2010-07-08 | 18.81 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 89 | 1417.39 | 52.67% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 66 | 1460.74 | 47.33% |
| 15 | 2010-08-27 * | 18.56 | @ Atlanta Dream | 101 | 1539.02 | 54.32% | Washington Mystics | 77 | 1570.90 | 45.68% |
| 16 | 2010-06-05 | 18.13 | @ Chicago Sky | 95 | 1490.77 | 56.26% | Tulsa Shock | 70 | 1508.99 | 43.74% |
| 17 | 2010-05-29 | 18.12 | Chicago Sky | 73 | 1454.58 | 43.58% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 58 | 1437.45 | 56.42% |
| 18 | 2010-06-04 | 18.08 | Chicago Sky | 80 | 1472.70 | 31.05% | @ Atlanta Dream | 70 | 1549.32 | 68.95% |
| 19 | 2010-07-24 | 17.89 | Los Angeles Sparks | 89 | 1413.02 | 28.06% | @ Connecticut Sun | 80 | 1514.60 | 71.94% |
| 20 | 2010-06-22 | 17.68 | Chicago Sky | 86 | 1451.67 | 28.93% | @ Connecticut Sun | 77 | 1545.83 | 71.07% |
| 21 | 2010-07-14 | 17.48 | Connecticut Sun | 77 | 1497.16 | 29.75% | @ Indiana Fever | 68 | 1584.47 | 70.25% |
| 22 | 2010-07-27 | 17.38 | Los Angeles Sparks | 71 | 1430.91 | 41.87% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 58 | 1425.92 | 58.13% |
| 23 | 2010-05-25 | 17.29 | Phoenix Mercury | 110 | 1530.09 | 44.26% | @ Tulsa Shock | 96 | 1508.19 | 55.74% |
| 24 | 2010-08-17 | 17.23 | @ New York Liberty | 78 | 1595.04 | 54.63% | Indiana Fever | 57 | 1624.76 | 45.37% |
| 25 | 2010-08-28 * | 17.22 | Phoenix Mercury | 92 | 1507.61 | 52.35% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 73 | 1429.31 | 47.65% |