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2008 WNBA Season

238 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Detroit Shock

3rd Title

Last Title: 2006

Runner-Up

San Antonio Silver Stars

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

San Antonio Silver Stars

5.09 wins above expected

24 wins · 18.91 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Washington Mystics

4.76 wins below expected

10 wins · 14.76 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Detroit Shock League 22 12 .647 - 78.6 74.2 +4.4 20.99 +1.01
2 Connecticut Sun Playoffs 21 13 .618 1 79.1 74.7 +4.4 20.24 +0.76
3 New York Liberty Playoffs 19 15 .559 3 75.7 74.6 +1.0 17.31 +1.69
4 Indiana Fever Playoffs 17 17 .500 5 72.7 72.3 +0.5 18.89 -1.89
5 Chicago Sky 12 22 .353 10 72.7 73.8 -1.1 14.74 -2.74
6 Washington Mystics 10 24 .294 12 69.6 76.5 -6.9 14.76 -4.76
7 Atlanta Dream 4 30 .118 18 74.5 84.7 -10.1 7.45 -3.45
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 San Antonio Silver Stars League 24 10 .706 - 74.9 71.1 +3.8 18.91 +5.09
2 Seattle Storm Playoffs 22 12 .647 2 73.3 70.8 +2.6 18.96 +3.04
3 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 20 14 .588 4 76.4 74.2 +2.2 17.25 +2.75
4 Sacramento Monarchs Playoffs 18 16 .529 6 74.9 75.6 -0.8 17.26 +0.74
5 Houston Comets 17 17 .500 7 75.3 76.6 -1.3 16.09 +0.91
6 Phoenix Mercury 16 18 .471 8 88.5 88.5 0.0 18.05 -2.05
7 Minnesota Lynx 16 18 .471 8 81.4 80.0 +1.4 17.09 -1.09

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

New York Liberty 2
Connecticut Sun 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Detroit Shock 2
Indiana Fever 1

3 games · Sep 19–Sep 23

Conference Final

Detroit Shock 2
New York Liberty 1

3 games · Sep 26–Sep 29

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

San Antonio Silver Stars 2
Sacramento Monarchs 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Los Angeles Sparks 2
Seattle Storm 1

3 games · Sep 19–Sep 23

Conference Final

San Antonio Silver Stars 2
Los Angeles Sparks 1

3 games · Sep 25–Sep 28

WNBA Finals

Detroit Shock 3
San Antonio Silver Stars 0

3 games · Oct 1–Oct 5

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1626 24 18.91 +5.09 98.06% 7 14 17 19 21 23 30
Detroit Shock Eastern 1594 22 20.99 +1.01 71.10% 10 17 19 21 23 25 31
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1575 21 20.24 +0.76 67.54% 7 16 18 20 22 25 31
Seattle Storm Western 1570 22 18.96 +3.04 90.09% 6 14 17 19 21 23 30
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1544 20 17.25 +2.75 88.30% 6 13 15 17 19 22 30
Phoenix Mercury Western 1518 16 18.05 -2.05 28.82% 7 14 16 18 20 23 32
Sacramento Monarchs Western 1516 18 17.26 +0.74 67.31% 6 13 15 17 19 22 29
New York Liberty Eastern 1515 19 17.31 +1.69 78.86% 6 13 15 17 19 22 28
Indiana Fever Eastern 1513 17 18.89 -1.89 30.27% 8 14 17 19 21 23 31
Minnesota Lynx Western 1498 16 17.09 -1.09 41.37% 5 13 15 17 19 22 29
Houston Comets Western 1492 17 16.09 +0.91 69.68% 5 12 14 16 18 21 28
Chicago Sky Eastern 1430 12 14.74 -2.74 20.42% 5 10 13 15 17 19 26
Washington Mystics Eastern 1360 10 14.76 -4.76 5.51% 3 10 13 15 17 19 27
Atlanta Dream Eastern 1250 4 7.45 -3.45 9.75% 0 4 6 7 9 11 18

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Dream Sky Sun Shock Fever Liberty Mystics
Atlanta Dream —
1-3
(1.2 exp.)
0-3
(0.4 exp.)
0-3
(0.6 exp.)
1-3
(0.8 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
0-3
(0.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
 —
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
3-0
(2.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
 —
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
Detroit Shock
3-0
(2.4 exp.)
1-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
 —
3-0
(1.7 exp.)
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
4-0
(2.8 exp.)
Indiana Fever
3-1
(3.2 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.3 exp.)
 —
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
New York Liberty
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
 —
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
Washington Mystics
3-0
(2.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.4 exp.)
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
 —

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Comets Sparks Lynx Mercury Monarchs Stars Storm
Atlanta Dream
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
Chicago Sky
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Detroit Shock
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Washington Mystics
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)

Within Western

Team Comets Sparks Lynx Mercury Monarchs Stars Storm
Houston Comets —
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
3-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
 —
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
2-1
(1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
 —
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
0-3
(1.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
 —
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.6 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
 —
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
0-3
(1.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
3-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.8 exp.)
 —
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.5 exp.)
3-0
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
 —

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Dream Sky Sun Shock Fever Liberty Mystics
Houston Comets
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50—0.21%0.63%0.21%———1.05%
50–590.21%0.42%1.47%2.52%0.63%——5.25%
60–690.63%1.47%5.46%10.71%3.15%0.63%0.21%22.27%
70–790.21%2.52%10.71%10.08%10.50%1.89%0.21%36.13%
80–89—0.63%3.15%10.50%5.46%2.52%0.63%22.90%
90–99——0.63%1.89%2.52%3.78%0.84%9.66%
100+——0.21%0.21%0.63%0.84%0.84%2.73%
Total1.05%5.25%22.27%36.13%22.90%9.66%2.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.26 76.26 +0.00
SD 11.54 11.54 12.32
CV 0.15 0.15 —
Max 112 112 +37
Min 46 46 -37

Games Played: 238

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59———2.94%———2.94%
60–69———14.71%5.88%—2.94%23.53%
70–79——2.94%5.88%32.35%11.76%—52.94%
80–89———5.88%2.94%—2.94%11.76%
90–99————2.94%—2.94%5.88%
100+——————2.94%2.94%
Total——2.94%29.41%44.12%11.76%11.76%100%

Atlanta Dream — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.53 84.68 -10.15
SD 8.92 10.41 9.41
CV 0.12 0.12 —
Max 101 110 +11
Min 56 67 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——5.88%————5.88%
60–69——17.65%20.59%2.94%——41.18%
70–79—5.88%5.88%11.76%11.76%——35.29%
80–89———5.88%2.94%2.94%—11.76%
90–99———2.94%———2.94%
100+——————2.94%2.94%
Total—5.88%29.41%41.18%17.65%2.94%2.94%100%

Chicago Sky — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 72.71 73.82 -1.12
SD 10.35 10.49 9.81
CV 0.14 0.14 —
Max 105 112 +21
Min 57 59 -14

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50———2.94%———2.94%
50–59————————
60–69——2.94%8.82%———11.76%
70–79—2.94%14.71%11.76%5.88%——35.29%
80–89—2.94%11.76%8.82%11.76%—2.94%38.24%
90–99———2.94%—2.94%—5.88%
100+——2.94%———2.94%5.88%
Total—5.88%32.35%35.29%17.65%2.94%5.88%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 79.12 74.74 +4.38
SD 11.78 11.44 14.13
CV 0.15 0.15 —
Max 109 102 +33
Min 46 56 -29

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59———2.94%———2.94%
60–69—2.94%2.94%11.76%2.94%——20.59%
70–79——17.65%5.88%5.88%——29.41%
80–89——8.82%11.76%11.76%——32.35%
90–99——5.88%2.94%—2.94%—11.76%
100+—————2.94%—2.94%
Total—2.94%35.29%35.29%20.59%5.88%—100%

Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 78.59 74.18 +4.41
SD 11.57 9.06 12.72
CV 0.15 0.12 —
Max 100 93 +37
Min 59 59 -18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50——2.94%————2.94%
50–59————————
60–69——11.76%5.88%8.82%——26.47%
70–79——20.59%11.76%11.76%2.94%—47.06%
80–89———2.94%2.94%2.94%—8.82%
90–99————5.88%8.82%—14.71%
100+————————
Total——35.29%20.59%29.41%14.71%—100%

Houston Comets — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.32 76.65 -1.32
SD 10.47 11.35 10.59
CV 0.14 0.15 —
Max 96 99 +18
Min 49 60 -25

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50—2.94%—————2.94%
50–59——5.88%—2.94%——8.82%
60–69—5.88%2.94%14.71%—2.94%—26.47%
70–792.94%5.88%8.82%8.82%5.88%——32.35%
80–89——2.94%14.71%5.88%——23.53%
90–99——————2.94%2.94%
100+————2.94%——2.94%
Total2.94%14.71%20.59%38.24%17.65%2.94%2.94%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 72.74 72.26 +0.47
SD 12.08 12.06 12.14
CV 0.17 0.17 —
Max 103 102 +29
Min 48 46 -26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59—2.94%—5.88%———8.82%
60–692.94%—2.94%—5.88%——11.76%
70–79—5.88%14.71%8.82%14.71%——44.12%
80–89—2.94%5.88%8.82%2.94%——20.59%
90–99————5.88%8.82%—14.71%
100+————————
Total2.94%11.76%23.53%23.53%29.41%8.82%—100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 76.41 74.21 +2.21
SD 10.77 12.67 12.58
CV 0.14 0.17 —
Max 99 99 +24
Min 52 48 -26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59————2.94%——2.94%
60–69———11.76%———11.76%
70–79——5.88%14.71%2.94%2.94%—26.47%
80–89———17.65%5.88%11.76%—35.29%
90–99——2.94%8.82%2.94%5.88%2.94%23.53%
100+————————
Total——8.82%52.94%14.71%20.59%2.94%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 81.38 80.03 +1.35
SD 10.41 9.99 11.83
CV 0.13 0.12 —
Max 98 103 +26
Min 58 68 -25

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59——2.94%5.88%———8.82%
60–69——11.76%8.82%5.88%2.94%—29.41%
70–79—2.94%8.82%5.88%11.76%——29.41%
80–89———17.65%2.94%——20.59%
90–99————5.88%——5.88%
100+———2.94%—2.94%—5.88%
Total—2.94%23.53%41.18%26.47%5.88%—100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 75.68 74.65 +1.03
SD 11.80 9.67 12.27
CV 0.16 0.13 —
Max 105 96 +33
Min 55 56 -22

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59———2.94%———2.94%
60–69————————
70–79————17.65%—2.94%20.59%
80–89——2.94%5.88%8.82%11.76%2.94%32.35%
90–99———5.88%5.88%17.65%2.94%32.35%
100+————5.88%2.94%2.94%11.76%
Total——2.94%14.71%38.24%32.35%11.76%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 88.53 88.50 +0.03
SD 11.87 9.14 13.20
CV 0.13 0.10 —
Max 112 105 +26
Min 55 69 -33

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59———2.94%———2.94%
60–69——2.94%17.65%5.88%——26.47%
70–79——14.71%17.65%8.82%——41.18%
80–89——5.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%—26.47%
90–99————————
100+—————2.94%—2.94%
Total——23.53%50.00%20.59%5.88%—100%

Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.85 75.62 -0.76
SD 9.56 8.10 10.39
CV 0.13 0.11 —
Max 105 97 +18
Min 56 62 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50————————
50–59—2.94%—2.94%———5.88%
60–69—5.88%2.94%8.82%———17.65%
70–79—5.88%20.59%14.71%2.94%2.94%—47.06%
80–89——2.94%20.59%2.94%——26.47%
90–99————2.94%——2.94%
100+————————
Total—14.71%26.47%47.06%8.82%2.94%—100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 74.88 71.12 +3.76
SD 8.94 9.37 9.99
CV 0.12 0.13 —
Max 97 90 +22
Min 53 52 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50——2.94%————2.94%
50–59————2.94%——2.94%
60–695.88%2.94%8.82%14.71%———32.35%
70–79—5.88%11.76%14.71%5.88%——38.24%
80–89——2.94%8.82%2.94%2.94%—17.65%
90–99———2.94%2.94%——5.88%
100+————————
Total5.88%8.82%26.47%41.18%14.71%2.94%—100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.32 70.76 +2.56
SD 10.60 10.97 12.76
CV 0.14 0.16 —
Max 96 94 +25
Min 48 49 -32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990–99100+Total
<50——2.94%————2.94%
50–592.94%—5.88%8.82%———17.65%
60–69—2.94%8.82%11.76%5.88%2.94%—32.35%
70–79——2.94%8.82%8.82%5.88%—26.47%
80–89—2.94%—5.88%5.88%——14.71%
90–99—————5.88%—5.88%
100+————————
Total2.94%5.88%20.59%35.29%20.59%14.71%—100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 69.65 76.50 -6.85
SD 11.39 12.76 12.59
CV 0.16 0.17 —
Max 93 99 +32
Min 49 48 -37

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.04 +2.4
Allowed 0.34 -6.3
Differential 0.89 +12.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 San Antonio Silver Stars 24 18.91 +5.09
2 Seattle Storm 22 18.96 +3.04
3 Los Angeles Sparks 20 17.25 +2.75
4 New York Liberty 19 17.31 +1.69
5 Detroit Shock 22 20.99 +1.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Washington Mystics 10 14.76 -4.76
2 Atlanta Dream 4 7.45 -3.45
3 Chicago Sky 12 14.74 -2.74
4 Phoenix Mercury 16 18.05 -2.05
5 Indiana Fever 17 18.89 -1.89

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sacramento Monarchs 7 Jul 10 – Jul 26 1 in 49
2 Seattle Storm 7 Jun 29 – Jul 18 1 in 39
3 Minnesota Lynx 5 May 18 – Jun 3 1 in 33
4 Detroit Shock 6 May 21 – Jun 6 1 in 28
5 Chicago Sky 3 Aug 28 – Aug 31 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atlanta Dream 17 May 17 – Jul 3 1 in 169
2 Washington Mystics 9 Jul 27 – Sep 14 1 in 105
3 Detroit Shock 4 Jul 20 – Jul 27 1 in 88
4 Minnesota Lynx 5 Jun 10 – Jun 21 1 in 49
5 Los Angeles Sparks 3 Jun 26 – Jul 3 1 in 47

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team1234567
Detroit Shock43.67%27.52%16.27%8.25%3.32%0.96%0.01%
Connecticut Sun30.90%29.50%21.02%11.76%4.96%1.83%0.02%
Indiana Fever16.25%22.74%26.17%19.62%10.59%4.52%0.11%
New York Liberty6.88%13.44%21.01%27.72%19.80%10.77%0.38%
Washington Mystics1.18%3.48%7.85%16.39%29.60%39.28%2.22%
Chicago Sky1.13%3.31%7.68%16.19%31.03%38.05%2.62%
Atlanta Dream--0.01%0.07%0.70%4.58%94.64%
Team1234567
Seattle Storm24.88%20.05%16.10%13.42%10.89%8.71%5.96%
San Antonio Silver Stars24.52%19.57%16.48%13.42%11.08%8.75%6.18%
Phoenix Mercury15.98%16.06%15.79%14.94%14.10%12.68%10.46%
Los Angeles Sparks10.38%12.39%13.85%15.37%15.88%16.46%15.67%
Sacramento Monarchs10.19%12.63%14.05%15.01%15.77%16.30%16.05%
Minnesota Lynx9.11%11.78%13.47%14.95%16.30%17.05%17.34%
Houston Comets4.94%7.52%10.26%12.89%15.98%20.07%28.34%
Team1234567891011121314
Detroit Shock29.45%18.62%13.21%10.03%7.67%6.01%4.73%3.57%2.61%1.91%1.14%0.71%0.33%<0.01%
Connecticut Sun19.99%16.46%13.49%11.11%9.24%7.48%6.37%5.06%3.83%2.92%2.06%1.32%0.66%0.02%
Seattle Storm9.92%11.33%11.30%10.83%10.06%9.27%8.37%7.41%6.32%5.54%4.42%3.28%1.87%0.07%
San Antonio Silver Stars9.82%11.03%11.16%10.90%10.03%9.25%8.53%7.46%6.56%5.44%4.40%3.33%2.02%0.08%
Indiana Fever9.66%10.58%10.68%10.61%10.28%9.43%8.49%7.79%6.80%5.64%4.62%3.30%2.00%0.09%
Phoenix Mercury5.74%7.73%8.62%9.13%9.35%9.49%9.04%8.87%8.33%7.62%6.75%5.42%3.74%0.16%
New York Liberty3.56%4.99%6.31%7.23%8.10%8.85%9.17%9.58%9.90%9.65%9.00%7.80%5.51%0.33%
Los Angeles Sparks3.33%5.07%6.39%7.26%8.00%8.73%9.27%9.53%9.59%9.53%9.06%7.92%6.05%0.27%
Sacramento Monarchs3.35%5.17%6.40%7.18%8.19%8.65%9.15%9.37%9.72%9.31%8.82%8.10%6.29%0.29%
Minnesota Lynx2.94%4.65%5.88%6.93%7.81%8.44%9.22%9.58%9.58%9.86%9.53%8.57%6.68%0.35%
Houston Comets1.39%2.49%3.59%4.65%5.51%6.84%7.77%8.94%9.96%11.11%12.08%12.74%12.11%0.82%
Washington Mystics0.43%0.99%1.55%2.08%2.95%3.77%5.00%6.46%8.28%10.61%13.94%17.97%23.93%2.02%
Chicago Sky0.42%0.87%1.43%2.05%2.81%3.78%4.88%6.37%8.48%10.75%13.82%18.37%23.56%2.44%
Atlanta Dream---<0.01%<0.01%<0.01%0.01%<0.01%0.04%0.11%0.34%1.16%5.25%93.07%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Detroit Shock43.67%27.52%16.27%8.25%4.29%
Connecticut Sun30.90%29.50%21.02%11.76%6.82%
Indiana Fever16.25%22.74%26.17%19.62%15.22%
New York Liberty6.88%13.44%21.01%27.72%30.95%
Washington Mystics1.18%3.48%7.85%16.39%71.10%
Chicago Sky1.13%3.31%7.68%16.19%71.70%
Atlanta Dream--0.01%0.07%99.92%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Seattle Storm24.88%20.05%16.10%13.42%25.56%
San Antonio Silver Stars24.52%19.57%16.48%13.42%26.01%
Phoenix Mercury15.98%16.06%15.79%14.94%37.23%
Los Angeles Sparks10.38%12.39%13.85%15.37%48.01%
Sacramento Monarchs10.19%12.63%14.05%15.01%48.12%
Minnesota Lynx9.11%11.78%13.47%14.95%50.69%
Houston Comets4.94%7.52%10.26%12.89%64.39%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeAway
+27.73%
Fortress
63.87%36.13%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 98.94 Elo pts.
29 Elo
0.034 points per Elo point
080
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+3.17 points
Lean Home
-8+3.40+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd · Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th · Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.7
Open Race
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Detroit Shock, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
19.1%
Favored
012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.16 · As Expected: 2.16 to 2.98 · Elevated: 2.98 to 4.06 · High Variance: 4.06 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 2.19 · Close: 2.19 to 2.96 · Off Target: 2.96 to 3.86 · Well Off Target: 3.86 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.7 · As Expected: 0.7 to 1.68 · Several Outliers: 1.68 to 3.08 · Many Outliers: 3.08 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.46 · As Expected: 1.46 to 2.43 · More Than Expected: 2.43 to 3.88 · Far More Than Expected: 3.88 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.67 wins
As Expected
02.717
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Pinpoint
02.576
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.06%
San Antonio Silver Stars
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
5.50%
Washington Mystics
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
As Expected
01.47
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
1 of 8
Fewer Than Expected
01.98

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.13
Coin-Flip Spread
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Competitive
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
No Contest
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
11%
Mostly Decisive
0%19%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.20
Predictable
00.221
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.00
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Weak Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Chalk Held
0%34%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%30%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.049
Within Noise
00.0920.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Detroit Shock 95.71% 66.35% 40.57% 22.71%
San Antonio Silver Stars 73.99% 51.09% 34.04% 20.79%
Connecticut Sun 93.18% 58.92% 31.84% 16.69%
Seattle Storm 74.44% 42.52% 22.60% 11.56%
Indiana Fever 84.78% 36.34% 14.37% 5.69%
Los Angeles Sparks 51.99% 25.17% 11.66% 5.34%
Phoenix Mercury 62.77% 27.52% 11.34% 4.67%
New York Liberty 69.05% 27.65% 10.88% 4.32%
Sacramento Monarchs 51.89% 21.88% 8.81% 3.58%
Minnesota Lynx 49.31% 18.88% 6.92% 2.56%
Houston Comets 35.61% 12.93% 4.63% 1.59%
Chicago Sky 28.30% 6.59% 1.65% 0.39%
Washington Mystics 28.89% 4.15% 0.69% 0.11%
Atlanta Dream 0.08% <0.01% - -
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Atlanta Dream0.0%0.03%4.8%0.04%0.0%0.01%25.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%
Chicago Sky20.7%8.70%17.1%10.76%30.9%5.52%30.9%2.65%64.2%0.67%
Connecticut Sun100.0%0.03%79.3%8.70%45.1%22.09%63.4%30.24%64.5%23.00%87.9%9.13%
Detroit Shock95.2%0.04%82.9%10.76%54.9%22.09%67.8%27.45%69.0%24.63%89.9%10.74%
Indiana Fever100.0%0.01%69.1%5.52%36.6%30.24%32.2%27.45%51.1%15.98%80.0%5.58%
New York Liberty75.0%<0.01%69.1%2.65%35.5%23.00%31.0%24.63%48.9%15.98%78.4%2.78%
Washington Mystics100.0%<0.01%35.8%0.67%12.1%9.13%10.1%10.74%20.0%5.58%21.6%2.78%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets38.6%4.52%48.0%4.13%42.1%6.29%43.7%4.45%23.5%8.10%33.2%8.13%
Los Angeles Sparks61.4%4.52%59.5%6.89%54.7%9.44%54.9%7.29%32.6%11.96%44.1%11.90%
Minnesota Lynx52.0%4.13%40.5%6.89%45.0%8.78%45.7%6.80%26.4%11.20%34.2%11.52%
Phoenix Mercury57.9%6.29%45.3%9.44%55.0%8.78%51.7%9.32%30.1%14.37%38.7%14.57%
Sacramento Monarchs56.3%4.45%45.1%7.29%54.3%6.80%48.3%9.32%28.1%12.03%37.6%11.99%
San Antonio Silver Stars76.5%8.10%67.4%11.96%73.6%11.20%69.9%14.37%71.9%12.03%60.6%16.34%
Seattle Storm66.8%8.13%55.9%11.90%65.8%11.52%61.3%14.57%62.4%11.99%39.4%16.34%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta DreamChicago SkyConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky100.0%<0.01%22.8%2.06%19.9%2.57%32.1%1.13%34.3%0.73%58.9%0.09%
Connecticut Sun77.2%2.06%46.0%33.52%61.7%12.54%62.7%9.50%86.5%1.30%
Detroit Shock100.0%<0.01%80.1%2.57%54.0%33.52%66.2%16.80%66.5%11.76%87.2%1.69%
Indiana Fever67.9%1.13%38.3%12.54%33.8%16.80%50.4%5.23%75.8%0.64%
New York Liberty100.0%<0.01%65.7%0.73%37.3%9.50%33.5%11.76%49.6%5.23%75.5%0.43%
Washington Mystics41.1%0.09%13.5%1.30%12.8%1.69%24.2%0.64%24.5%0.43%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets40.0%1.62%52.8%1.12%43.1%1.76%46.8%1.31%24.5%4.07%33.6%3.05%
Los Angeles Sparks60.0%1.62%57.9%2.44%53.8%3.58%54.8%2.83%34.9%8.22%45.1%6.49%
Minnesota Lynx47.2%1.12%42.1%2.44%45.7%2.68%47.6%2.01%26.1%6.06%35.1%4.58%
Phoenix Mercury56.9%1.76%46.2%3.58%54.3%2.68%50.8%3.12%31.0%9.39%39.1%6.99%
Sacramento Monarchs53.2%1.31%45.2%2.83%52.4%2.01%49.2%3.12%30.2%7.28%38.4%5.33%
San Antonio Silver Stars75.5%4.07%65.1%8.22%73.9%6.06%69.0%9.39%69.8%7.28%59.6%16.07%
Seattle Storm66.4%3.05%54.9%6.49%64.9%4.58%60.9%6.99%61.6%5.33%40.4%16.07%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormChicago SkyConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Chicago Sky38.1%0.06%21.6%0.21%38.6%0.13%28.8%0.19%33.1%0.16%15.3%0.56%22.6%0.35%
Connecticut Sun69.3%1.44%56.1%3.78%65.4%2.21%61.0%3.57%62.4%2.71%41.2%10.89%52.2%7.24%
Detroit Shock70.8%1.93%61.0%4.80%68.6%2.80%65.4%4.53%65.9%3.63%44.9%13.75%54.4%9.14%
Indiana Fever53.1%0.67%43.7%1.58%53.5%1.02%49.1%1.70%47.9%1.28%28.8%4.83%38.1%3.28%
New York Liberty57.7%0.50%43.6%1.21%54.0%0.72%48.6%1.27%48.4%0.98%29.0%3.79%38.3%2.41%
Washington Mystics20.0%0.03%14.6%0.08%22.2%0.04%23.1%0.08%17.5%0.06%12.1%0.23%14.0%0.17%
Houston Comets61.9%0.06%30.7%1.44%29.2%1.93%46.9%0.67%42.3%0.50%80.0%0.03%
Los Angeles Sparks78.4%0.21%43.9%3.78%39.0%4.80%56.3%1.58%56.4%1.21%85.4%0.08%
Minnesota Lynx61.4%0.13%34.6%2.21%31.4%2.80%46.5%1.02%46.0%0.72%77.8%0.04%
Phoenix Mercury71.2%0.19%39.0%3.57%34.6%4.53%50.9%1.70%51.4%1.27%76.9%0.08%
Sacramento Monarchs66.9%0.16%37.6%2.71%34.1%3.63%52.1%1.28%51.6%0.98%82.5%0.06%
San Antonio Silver Stars84.7%0.56%58.8%10.89%55.1%13.75%71.2%4.83%71.0%3.79%87.9%0.23%
Seattle Storm77.4%0.35%47.8%7.24%45.6%9.14%61.9%3.28%61.7%2.41%86.0%0.17%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
San Antonio Silver Stars 76.03% 51.68% 33.56% Eliminated in Finals
Detroit Shock 71.80% 45.26% 21.71% Won Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Connecticut Sun68.3%100.00%
Detroit Shock71.8%100.00%
Indiana Fever28.2%100.00%
New York Liberty31.7%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksSacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks38.1%100.00%
Sacramento Monarchs24.0%100.00%
San Antonio Silver Stars76.0%100.00%
Seattle Storm61.9%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Connecticut Sun39.7%48.94%65.8%19.34%
Detroit Shock60.3%48.94%68.8%22.86%
Indiana Fever34.2%19.34%42.3%8.86%
New York Liberty31.2%22.86%57.7%8.86%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksSacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks61.2%9.10%30.4%29.01%
Sacramento Monarchs38.8%9.10%35.4%14.87%
San Antonio Silver Stars69.6%29.01%67.0%47.01%
Seattle Storm64.6%14.87%33.0%47.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksSacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Connecticut Sun58.4%4.59%63.6%2.81%35.8%16.64%44.6%8.11%
Detroit Shock61.5%6.59%66.3%4.00%38.6%23.38%53.1%11.28%
Indiana Fever40.2%1.44%43.9%0.88%28.0%5.38%36.4%2.66%
New York Liberty38.4%1.78%52.9%1.11%26.1%6.27%35.2%3.07%
Los Angeles Sparks41.6%4.59%38.5%6.59%59.8%1.44%61.6%1.78%
Sacramento Monarchs36.4%2.81%33.7%4.00%56.1%0.88%47.1%1.11%
San Antonio Silver Stars64.2%16.64%61.4%23.38%72.0%5.38%73.9%6.27%
Seattle Storm55.4%8.11%46.9%11.28%63.6%2.66%64.8%3.07%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

San Antonio Silver Stars 33.56% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
76.03%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
60.95%
Win Prob
67.00%
→
Finals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
42.79%
Win Prob
61.41%
Detroit Shock 21.71% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
71.80%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
65.23%
Win Prob
60.32%
→
Finals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
41.55%
Win Prob
38.59%
Connecticut Sun 14.04% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
68.28%
→
Semifinals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
60.40%
Win Prob
39.68%
→
Finals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
42.40%
Win Prob
35.76%
Seattle Storm 13.47% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
61.89%
→
Semifinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
61.77%
Win Prob
33.00%
→
Finals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
39.31%
Win Prob
46.94%
Los Angeles Sparks 6.40% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
38.11%
→
Semifinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
61.35%
Win Prob
30.45%
→
Finals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
39.64%
Win Prob
38.53%
New York Liberty 3.99% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
31.72%
→
Semifinals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
58.24%
Win Prob
31.16%
→
Finals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
40.98%
Win Prob
26.09%
Indiana Fever 3.44% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
28.20%
→
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
63.79%
Win Prob
34.16%
→
Finals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
43.80%
Win Prob
27.96%
Sacramento Monarchs 3.39% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio Silver Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
23.97%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
59.85%
Win Prob
35.43%
→
Finals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
39.80%
Win Prob
33.66%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2008-05-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-100 1350.00 1539.67 15.96% 84.04% -6.52 0-1
2008-05-23 Detroit Shock L 76-88 1343.48 1550.47 34.93% 65.07% -8.60 0-2
2008-05-25 Los Angeles Sparks L 56-74 1334.88 1491.71 41.74% 58.26% -12.59 0-3
2008-05-27 @ Washington Mystics L 74-80 1322.29 1489.68 17.75% 82.25% -3.10 0-4
2008-06-03 Minnesota Lynx L 81-85 1319.19 1519.46 35.82% 64.18% -5.09 0-5
2008-06-06 Chicago Sky L 72-86 1314.10 1451.50 44.49% 55.51% -11.83 0-6
2008-06-07 @ Chicago Sky L 70-91 1302.27 1463.33 18.29% 81.71% -5.96 0-7
2008-06-11 New York Liberty L 77-81 1296.31 1481.56 37.83% 62.17% -5.38 0-8
2008-06-13 Indiana Fever L 67-76 1290.93 1548.88 28.59% 71.41% -6.10 0-9
2008-06-16 @ Houston Comets L 79-88 1284.83 1465.58 16.66% 83.34% -3.55 0-10
2008-06-18 San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-81 1281.28 1535.10 29.08% 70.92% -8.01 0-11
2008-06-20 @ Washington Mystics L 61-72 1273.27 1474.97 15.05% 84.95% -3.55 0-12
2008-06-22 Detroit Shock L 76-97 1269.72 1598.38 21.04% 78.96% -6.86 0-13
2008-06-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 101-109 1262.86 1584.42 8.16% 91.84% -1.64 0-14
2008-06-29 @ Detroit Shock L 92-100 1261.22 1583.52 8.13% 91.87% -1.63 0-15
2008-07-01 Phoenix Mercury L 79-97 1259.59 1554.24 24.48% 75.52% -7.39 0-16
2008-07-03 Houston Comets L 65-72 1252.20 1491.14 30.88% 69.12% -5.81 0-17
2008-07-05 Chicago Sky W 91-84 1246.39 1446.22 35.88% 64.12% +12.07 1-17
2008-07-09 @ Minnesota Lynx W 73-67 1258.46 1501.86 12.23% 87.77% +15.28 2-17
2008-07-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-82 1273.74 1574.25 9.12% 90.88% -1.83 2-18
2008-07-13 @ Chicago Sky L 66-79 1271.91 1419.89 19.44% 80.56% -4.99 2-19
2008-07-16 @ Indiana Fever W 81-77 1266.92 1530.46 11.04% 88.96% +12.65 3-19
2008-07-18 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 73-77 1279.57 1501.07 13.65% 86.35% -1.94 3-20
2008-07-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84-110 1277.63 1518.54 12.39% 87.61% -4.49 3-21
2008-07-22 Sacramento Monarchs L 66-79 1273.14 1512.32 30.85% 69.15% -7.91 3-22
2008-07-25 Washington Mystics L 75-81 1265.23 1443.50 38.78% 61.22% -6.75 3-23
2008-07-27 New York Liberty L 76-86 1258.48 1533.98 26.57% 73.43% -5.97 3-24
2008-08-29 Connecticut Sun L 72-98 1252.51 1587.25 20.47% 79.53% -7.42 3-25
2008-08-30 @ Indiana Fever L 72-87 1245.09 1490.38 12.12% 87.88% -3.34 3-26
2008-09-02 Seattle Storm L 69-83 1241.75 1566.63 21.41% 78.59% -5.70 3-27
2008-09-05 @ New York Liberty L 71-82 1236.05 1522.47 9.81% 90.19% -2.31 3-28
2008-09-08 Indiana Fever L 77-81 1233.74 1496.35 28.05% 71.95% -3.99 3-29
2008-09-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 83-72 1229.75 1553.50 8.07% 91.93% +21.68 4-29
2008-09-12 @ Seattle Storm L 72-77 1251.43 1581.49 7.80% 92.20% -1.24 4-30
2008-05-17 @ Seattle Storm L 61-67 1470.49 1516.14 30.31% 69.69% -5.28 0-1
2008-05-22 Sacramento Monarchs W 87-77 1465.21 1527.30 55.28% 44.72% +10.05 1-1
2008-05-29 Minnesota Lynx L 69-75 1475.26 1499.82 60.54% 39.46% -10.54 1-2
2008-06-01 Connecticut Sun L 73-75 1464.72 1549.74 52.00% 48.00% -5.23 1-3
2008-06-03 Los Angeles Sparks L 77-81 1459.49 1515.05 56.21% 43.79% -7.99 1-4
2008-06-06 @ Atlanta Dream W 86-72 1451.50 1314.10 55.51% 44.49% +11.83 2-4
2008-06-07 Atlanta Dream W 91-70 1463.33 1302.27 81.71% 18.29% +5.96 3-4
2008-06-13 Washington Mystics L 57-64 1469.29 1453.42 65.95% 34.05% -12.40 3-5
2008-06-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 67-80 1456.89 1540.54 25.90% 74.10% -6.64 3-6
2008-06-20 @ Phoenix Mercury L 105-112 1450.25 1530.76 26.25% 73.75% -4.94 3-7
2008-06-22 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 70-82 1445.31 1497.47 29.53% 70.47% -7.28 3-8
2008-06-26 Phoenix Mercury L 79-89 1438.03 1529.67 51.05% 48.95% -11.47 3-9
2008-06-28 Detroit Shock W 76-59 1426.56 1601.33 39.26% 60.74% +17.80 4-9
2008-07-01 @ Minnesota Lynx W 73-71 1444.36 1500.21 29.09% 70.91% +7.13 5-9
2008-07-02 @ Indiana Fever L 67-74 1451.49 1516.50 28.01% 71.99% -5.27 5-10
2008-07-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 84-91 1446.22 1246.39 64.12% 35.88% -12.06 5-11
2008-07-10 San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-75 1434.16 1565.12 45.41% 54.59% -9.13 5-12
2008-07-12 @ Indiana Fever L 57-66 1425.03 1525.32 24.11% 75.89% -5.14 5-13
2008-07-13 Atlanta Dream W 79-66 1419.89 1271.91 80.56% 19.44% +4.98 6-13
2008-07-16 @ Detroit Shock L 63-66 1424.87 1578.22 18.97% 81.03% -2.33 6-14
2008-07-18 Connecticut Sun W 73-65 1422.54 1544.34 46.71% 53.29% +10.71 7-14
2008-07-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-74 1433.25 1533.63 24.10% 75.90% -4.53 7-15
2008-07-22 Indiana Fever W 68-60 1428.72 1527.42 50.03% 49.97% +10.05 8-15
2008-07-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-78 1438.77 1558.41 22.13% 77.87% -5.22 8-16
2008-07-26 @ Houston Comets L 65-79 1433.55 1513.67 26.29% 73.71% -7.00 8-17
2008-08-28 @ New York Liberty W 69-60 1426.55 1539.95 22.75% 77.25% +16.48 9-17
2008-08-29 @ Washington Mystics W 79-75 1443.03 1433.63 37.39% 62.61% +8.90 10-17
2008-08-31 Detroit Shock W 82-81 1451.93 1559.92 48.70% 51.30% +3.65 11-17
2008-09-04 Seattle Storm L 62-70 1455.58 1572.32 47.44% 52.56% -9.54 11-18
2008-09-05 @ Connecticut Sun L 75-80 1446.04 1599.37 18.97% 81.03% -3.01 11-19
2008-09-07 @ New York Liberty L 61-69 1443.03 1524.79 26.11% 73.89% -5.25 11-20
2008-09-09 Washington Mystics W 78-59 1437.78 1393.89 69.47% 30.53% +9.46 12-20
2008-09-12 New York Liberty L 62-69 1447.24 1509.75 55.22% 44.78% -10.39 12-21
2008-09-14 Houston Comets L 76-79 1436.85 1475.48 58.59% 41.41% -7.22 12-22
2008-05-17 Atlanta Dream W 100-67 1539.67 1350.00 84.04% 15.96% +6.52 1-0
2008-05-18 @ New York Liberty W 77-63 1546.19 1487.66 44.21% 55.79% +14.84 2-0
2008-05-24 Sacramento Monarchs W 87-64 1561.03 1517.24 69.46% 30.54% +10.42 3-0
2008-05-27 Indiana Fever L 46-75 1571.45 1537.38 68.26% 31.74% -26.14 3-1
2008-05-30 New York Liberty W 89-84 1545.31 1478.98 72.14% 27.86% +4.43 4-1
2008-06-01 @ Chicago Sky W 75-73 1549.74 1464.72 48.00% 52.00% +5.23 5-1
2008-06-06 Minnesota Lynx W 78-77 1554.97 1524.55 67.80% 32.20% +2.29 6-1
2008-06-08 Washington Mystics W 87-79 1557.26 1465.47 74.99% 25.01% +5.03 7-1
2008-06-10 @ Minnesota Lynx W 75-66 1562.29 1530.82 40.41% 59.59% +12.71 8-1
2008-06-13 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 93-98 1575.00 1520.80 43.60% 56.40% -6.93 8-2
2008-06-16 @ Seattle Storm W 74-67 1568.07 1523.47 42.24% 57.76% +10.86 9-2
2008-06-18 @ Phoenix Mercury L 81-102 1578.93 1516.16 44.81% 55.19% -14.60 9-3
2008-06-20 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 72-56 1564.33 1513.65 43.10% 56.90% +16.18 10-3
2008-06-24 Detroit Shock W 85-68 1580.51 1605.24 60.52% 39.48% +11.58 11-3
2008-06-26 @ Detroit Shock L 61-70 1592.09 1593.66 35.93% 64.07% -7.67 11-4
2008-06-27 Atlanta Dream W 109-101 1584.42 1262.86 91.84% 8.16% +1.65 12-4
2008-06-29 Phoenix Mercury L 80-87 1586.07 1541.15 69.60% 30.40% -13.10 12-5
2008-07-01 Houston Comets W 78-68 1572.97 1497.16 73.22% 26.78% +6.02 13-5
2008-07-05 @ Indiana Fever L 74-81 1578.99 1521.77 44.03% 55.97% -8.28 13-6
2008-07-08 @ Detroit Shock L 82-88 1570.71 1577.20 35.28% 64.72% -6.14 13-7
2008-07-13 @ Washington Mystics L 64-69 1564.57 1450.69 52.15% 47.85% -8.29 13-8
2008-07-15 New York Liberty L 71-77 1556.28 1520.00 68.53% 31.47% -11.94 13-9
2008-07-18 @ Chicago Sky L 65-73 1544.34 1422.54 53.29% 46.71% -10.71 13-10
2008-07-20 Chicago Sky W 74-67 1533.63 1433.25 75.90% 24.10% +4.53 14-10
2008-07-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 87-61 1538.16 1517.40 66.58% 33.42% +12.12 15-10
2008-07-27 @ Washington Mystics W 82-60 1550.28 1450.26 50.16% 49.84% +16.62 16-10
2008-08-28 @ Indiana Fever W 84-58 1566.90 1510.72 43.88% 56.12% +20.35 17-10
2008-08-29 @ Atlanta Dream W 98-72 1587.25 1252.51 79.53% 20.47% +7.42 18-10
2008-08-31 Seattle Storm W 80-76 1594.67 1571.33 66.90% 33.10% +4.70 19-10
2008-09-05 Chicago Sky W 80-75 1599.37 1446.04 81.03% 18.97% +3.02 20-10
2008-09-07 San Antonio Silver Stars L 73-85 1602.39 1591.12 65.35% 34.65% -16.10 20-11
2008-09-09 @ Houston Comets L 68-75 1586.29 1465.48 53.14% 46.86% -9.99 20-12
2008-09-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74-78 1576.30 1616.47 30.99% 69.01% -4.41 20-13
2008-09-13 Washington Mystics W 87-81 1571.89 1380.69 84.16% 15.84% +2.76 21-13
2008-05-17 Houston Comets W 85-66 1548.26 1495.43 70.55% 29.45% +9.13 1-0
2008-05-18 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-84 1557.39 1476.24 47.44% 52.56% -12.63 1-1
2008-05-21 Indiana Fever W 76-71 1544.76 1543.09 64.09% 35.91% +5.71 2-1
2008-05-23 @ Atlanta Dream W 88-76 1550.47 1343.48 65.07% 34.93% +8.61 3-1
2008-05-25 New York Liberty W 72-62 1559.08 1485.05 73.02% 26.98% +6.06 4-1
2008-05-31 @ Indiana Fever W 74-65 1565.14 1567.60 35.81% 64.19% +13.70 5-1
2008-06-04 Seattle Storm W 77-67 1578.84 1530.16 70.05% 29.95% +6.73 6-1
2008-06-06 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 84-70 1585.57 1512.76 46.25% 53.75% +14.30 7-1
2008-06-07 @ Seattle Storm L 67-75 1599.87 1523.43 46.77% 53.23% -9.41 7-2
2008-06-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 73-80 1590.46 1511.95 47.06% 52.94% -8.85 7-3
2008-06-14 @ Phoenix Mercury W 89-79 1581.61 1528.89 43.39% 56.61% +12.73 8-3
2008-06-20 Minnesota Lynx W 98-93 1594.34 1506.23 74.59% 25.41% +4.04 9-3
2008-06-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 97-76 1598.38 1269.72 78.96% 21.04% +6.86 10-3
2008-06-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-85 1605.24 1580.51 39.48% 60.52% -11.58 10-4
2008-06-26 Connecticut Sun W 70-61 1593.66 1592.09 64.07% 35.93% +7.67 11-4
2008-06-28 @ Chicago Sky L 59-76 1601.33 1426.56 60.74% 39.26% -17.81 11-5
2008-06-29 Atlanta Dream W 100-92 1583.52 1261.22 91.87% 8.13% +1.63 12-5
2008-07-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-79 1585.15 1540.35 42.27% 57.73% -7.95 12-6
2008-07-08 Connecticut Sun W 88-82 1577.20 1570.71 64.72% 35.28% +6.15 13-6
2008-07-11 Washington Mystics W 79-66 1583.35 1456.18 78.61% 21.39% +5.48 14-6
2008-07-12 @ New York Liberty L 64-74 1588.83 1509.39 47.20% 52.80% -10.61 14-7
2008-07-16 Chicago Sky W 66-63 1578.22 1424.87 81.03% 18.97% +2.33 15-7
2008-07-18 @ Washington Mystics W 99-62 1580.55 1450.15 54.52% 45.48% +19.67 16-7
2008-07-20 Sacramento Monarchs L 85-88 1600.22 1503.01 75.57% 24.43% -9.30 16-8
2008-07-22 Los Angeles Sparks L 81-84 1590.92 1508.29 73.99% 26.01% -9.11 16-9
2008-07-24 @ Houston Comets L 61-79 1581.81 1499.30 47.64% 52.36% -14.37 16-10
2008-07-27 San Antonio Silver Stars L 64-76 1567.44 1553.86 65.65% 34.35% -16.17 16-11
2008-08-29 New York Liberty W 83-69 1551.27 1523.48 67.47% 32.53% +8.65 17-11
2008-08-31 @ Chicago Sky L 81-82 1559.92 1451.93 51.30% 48.70% -3.65 17-12
2008-09-05 Indiana Fever W 90-68 1556.27 1506.28 70.21% 29.79% +9.94 18-12
2008-09-06 @ Washington Mystics W 84-69 1566.21 1405.22 58.84% 41.16% +11.33 19-12
2008-09-09 Phoenix Mercury W 89-78 1577.54 1522.86 70.77% 29.23% +6.90 20-12
2008-09-11 Washington Mystics W 78-66 1584.44 1384.43 84.82% 15.18% +3.73 21-12
2008-09-14 @ New York Liberty W 61-59 1588.17 1520.14 45.56% 54.44% +5.48 22-12
2008-05-17 @ Detroit Shock L 66-85 1495.43 1548.26 29.45% 70.55% -9.12 0-1
2008-05-25 @ Washington Mystics L 66-69 1486.31 1485.21 36.28% 63.72% -4.47 0-2
2008-05-27 Minnesota Lynx L 92-98 1481.84 1488.86 62.93% 37.07% -10.96 0-3
2008-05-30 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 66-73 1470.88 1506.83 31.51% 68.49% -5.93 0-4
2008-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 63-64 1464.95 1540.37 26.82% 73.18% -1.91 0-5
2008-06-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-72 1463.04 1509.29 57.53% 42.47% +5.24 1-5
2008-06-06 @ New York Liberty L 73-81 1468.28 1486.66 33.73% 66.27% -6.79 1-6
2008-06-07 @ Indiana Fever L 75-84 1461.49 1553.90 24.95% 75.05% -5.32 1-7
2008-06-14 Seattle Storm W 68-60 1456.17 1532.89 53.19% 46.81% +9.41 2-7
2008-06-16 Atlanta Dream W 88-79 1465.58 1284.83 83.34% 16.66% +3.56 3-7
2008-06-18 Washington Mystics L 63-67 1469.14 1465.82 64.31% 35.69% -9.15 3-8
2008-06-21 @ Minnesota Lynx W 72-65 1459.99 1502.19 30.74% 69.26% +13.03 4-8
2008-06-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 82-81 1473.02 1546.80 27.01% 72.99% +5.19 5-8
2008-06-26 San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-71 1478.21 1541.61 55.10% 44.90% +7.82 6-8
2008-06-28 Indiana Fever W 75-61 1486.03 1527.62 58.18% 41.82% +11.13 7-8
2008-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-78 1497.16 1572.97 26.78% 73.22% -6.02 7-9
2008-07-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 72-65 1491.14 1252.20 69.12% 30.88% +5.81 8-9
2008-07-05 Sacramento Monarchs W 73-65 1496.95 1502.95 63.06% 36.94% +7.42 9-9
2008-07-08 @ Phoenix Mercury L 94-99 1504.37 1535.95 32.05% 67.95% -5.09 9-10
2008-07-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-82 1499.28 1523.90 32.93% 67.07% -6.62 9-11
2008-07-12 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71-85 1492.66 1486.58 36.95% 63.05% -9.83 9-12
2008-07-17 Minnesota Lynx W 96-88 1482.83 1496.41 62.04% 37.96% +7.63 10-12
2008-07-19 Los Angeles Sparks W 75-72 1490.46 1513.12 60.81% 39.19% +4.83 11-12
2008-07-22 Phoenix Mercury W 94-92 1495.29 1523.03 60.11% 39.89% +4.01 12-12
2008-07-24 Detroit Shock W 79-61 1499.30 1581.81 52.36% 47.64% +14.37 13-12
2008-07-26 Chicago Sky W 79-65 1513.67 1433.55 73.71% 26.29% +6.99 14-12
2008-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 49-66 1520.66 1562.30 30.81% 69.19% -9.03 14-13
2008-08-30 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 65-80 1511.63 1518.43 35.24% 64.76% -9.70 14-14
2008-09-02 New York Liberty L 87-90 1501.93 1514.82 62.14% 37.86% -7.65 14-15
2008-09-06 Los Angeles Sparks L 66-84 1494.28 1535.96 58.17% 41.83% -17.55 14-16
2008-09-07 @ Phoenix Mercury L 74-99 1476.73 1511.61 31.64% 68.36% -11.25 14-17
2008-09-09 Connecticut Sun W 75-68 1465.48 1586.29 46.86% 53.14% +10.00 15-17
2008-09-14 @ Chicago Sky W 79-76 1475.48 1436.85 41.41% 58.59% +7.22 16-17
2008-09-15 Sacramento Monarchs W 90-81 1482.70 1524.92 58.09% 41.91% +8.93 17-17
2008-05-17 Washington Mystics W 64-53 1535.50 1505.04 67.81% 32.19% +7.59 1-0
2008-05-21 @ Detroit Shock L 71-76 1543.09 1544.76 35.91% 64.09% -5.71 1-1
2008-05-27 @ Connecticut Sun W 75-46 1537.38 1571.45 31.74% 68.26% +26.14 2-1
2008-05-29 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-78 1563.52 1504.31 71.31% 28.69% +4.08 3-1
2008-05-31 Detroit Shock L 65-74 1567.60 1565.14 64.19% 35.81% -13.70 3-2
2008-06-07 Houston Comets W 84-75 1553.90 1461.49 75.05% 24.95% +5.33 4-2
2008-06-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 53-64 1559.23 1503.08 43.87% 56.13% -10.35 4-3
2008-06-13 @ Atlanta Dream W 76-67 1548.88 1290.93 71.41% 28.59% +6.10 5-3
2008-06-15 San Antonio Silver Stars L 60-70 1554.98 1519.72 68.41% 31.59% -15.38 5-4
2008-06-18 New York Liberty W 83-69 1539.60 1489.72 70.20% 29.80% +7.93 6-4
2008-06-20 @ Seattle Storm L 70-78 1547.53 1512.61 40.89% 59.11% -8.23 6-5
2008-06-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-77 1539.30 1543.49 35.58% 64.42% -9.46 6-6
2008-06-24 Sacramento Monarchs W 78-73 1529.84 1504.74 67.13% 32.87% +5.22 7-6
2008-06-26 @ New York Liberty L 96-102 1535.06 1487.06 42.72% 57.28% -7.44 7-7
2008-06-28 @ Houston Comets L 61-75 1527.62 1486.03 41.82% 58.18% -11.12 7-8
2008-07-02 Chicago Sky W 74-67 1516.50 1451.49 71.99% 28.01% +5.27 8-8
2008-07-05 Connecticut Sun W 81-74 1521.77 1578.99 55.97% 44.03% +8.28 9-8
2008-07-08 @ Washington Mystics L 48-50 1530.05 1451.44 47.08% 52.92% -4.73 9-9
2008-07-12 Chicago Sky W 66-57 1525.32 1425.03 75.89% 24.11% +5.14 10-9
2008-07-16 Atlanta Dream L 77-81 1530.46 1266.92 88.96% 11.04% -12.65 10-10
2008-07-18 Seattle Storm L 59-65 1517.81 1574.76 56.01% 43.99% -9.76 10-11
2008-07-19 @ New York Liberty W 71-55 1508.05 1540.77 31.91% 68.09% +19.37 11-11
2008-07-22 @ Chicago Sky L 60-68 1527.42 1428.72 49.97% 50.03% -10.05 11-12
2008-07-24 Minnesota Lynx L 80-84 1517.37 1500.95 66.02% 33.98% -9.39 11-13
2008-07-26 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 62-70 1507.98 1527.90 33.53% 66.47% -6.74 11-14
2008-07-27 @ Phoenix Mercury W 88-84 1501.24 1523.04 33.29% 66.71% +9.48 12-14
2008-08-28 Connecticut Sun L 58-84 1510.72 1566.90 56.12% 43.88% -20.34 12-15
2008-08-30 Atlanta Dream W 87-72 1490.38 1245.09 87.88% 12.12% +3.33 13-15
2008-09-02 @ Washington Mystics W 79-68 1493.71 1417.79 46.69% 53.31% +12.57 14-15
2008-09-05 @ Detroit Shock L 68-90 1506.28 1556.27 29.79% 70.21% -9.93 14-16
2008-09-08 @ Atlanta Dream W 81-77 1496.35 1233.74 71.95% 28.05% +3.99 15-16
2008-09-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-86 1500.34 1483.86 38.35% 61.65% -8.63 15-17
2008-09-11 New York Liberty W 74-59 1491.71 1520.79 59.92% 40.08% +11.04 16-17
2008-09-14 Phoenix Mercury W 103-89 1502.75 1528.91 60.32% 39.68% +10.56 17-17
2008-05-17 @ Phoenix Mercury W 99-94 1480.07 1555.81 26.79% 73.21% +11.64 1-0
2008-05-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 74-56 1491.71 1334.88 58.26% 41.74% +12.60 2-0
2008-05-29 @ Indiana Fever L 78-82 1504.31 1563.52 28.69% 71.31% -4.08 2-1
2008-05-31 @ Washington Mystics W 70-59 1500.23 1492.77 37.13% 62.87% +14.82 3-1
2008-06-03 @ Chicago Sky W 81-77 1515.05 1459.49 43.79% 56.21% +7.99 4-1
2008-06-06 Phoenix Mercury L 79-85 1523.04 1524.14 63.72% 36.28% -11.09 4-2
2008-06-11 Detroit Shock W 80-73 1511.95 1590.46 52.94% 47.06% +8.85 5-2
2008-06-13 Connecticut Sun W 98-93 1520.80 1575.00 56.40% 43.60% +6.93 6-2
2008-06-14 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 74-66 1527.73 1526.46 36.30% 63.70% +12.81 7-2
2008-06-18 Chicago Sky W 80-67 1540.54 1456.89 74.10% 25.90% +6.64 8-2
2008-06-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-77 1547.18 1543.11 36.68% 63.32% -3.69 8-3
2008-06-22 Indiana Fever W 77-63 1543.49 1539.30 64.42% 35.58% +9.47 9-3
2008-06-24 Seattle Storm W 76-62 1552.96 1520.83 68.02% 31.98% +8.51 10-3
2008-06-26 Washington Mystics L 74-77 1561.47 1466.75 75.30% 24.70% -9.28 10-4
2008-07-01 New York Liberty L 78-89 1552.19 1489.36 71.73% 28.27% -16.91 10-5
2008-07-03 Minnesota Lynx L 70-88 1535.28 1493.08 69.26% 30.74% -20.89 10-6
2008-07-06 Phoenix Mercury W 91-80 1514.39 1545.46 59.64% 40.36% +9.51 11-6
2008-07-09 Houston Comets W 82-74 1523.90 1499.28 67.07% 32.93% +6.62 12-6
2008-07-10 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 69-87 1530.52 1479.69 43.12% 56.88% -13.00 12-7
2008-07-12 @ Seattle Storm L 52-70 1517.52 1565.71 30.01% 69.99% -9.06 12-8
2008-07-14 San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-62 1508.46 1576.08 54.50% 45.50% +11.67 13-8
2008-07-17 @ Phoenix Mercury L 92-99 1520.13 1511.52 37.29% 62.71% -7.01 13-9
2008-07-19 @ Houston Comets L 72-75 1513.12 1490.46 39.19% 60.81% -4.83 13-10
2008-07-22 @ Detroit Shock W 84-81 1508.29 1590.92 26.01% 73.99% +9.11 14-10
2008-07-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 61-87 1517.40 1538.16 33.42% 66.58% -12.12 14-11
2008-07-25 @ New York Liberty L 68-69 1505.28 1531.65 32.71% 67.29% -2.32 14-12
2008-07-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 92-84 1502.96 1520.11 33.89% 66.11% +13.29 15-12
2008-08-28 Sacramento Monarchs W 78-63 1516.25 1528.84 62.18% 37.82% +10.42 16-12
2008-08-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 58-53 1526.67 1588.73 55.29% 44.71% +7.11 17-12
2008-09-01 Minnesota Lynx W 82-58 1533.78 1513.76 66.48% 33.52% +11.67 18-12
2008-09-05 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 58-76 1545.45 1581.62 31.48% 68.52% -9.49 18-13
2008-09-06 @ Houston Comets W 84-66 1535.96 1494.28 41.83% 58.17% +17.54 19-13
2008-09-11 Atlanta Dream L 72-83 1553.50 1229.75 91.93% 8.07% -21.68 19-14
2008-09-14 Seattle Storm W 65-48 1531.82 1582.73 56.87% 43.13% +12.65 20-14
2008-05-18 Detroit Shock W 84-70 1476.24 1557.39 52.56% 47.44% +12.62 1-0
2008-05-27 @ Houston Comets W 98-92 1488.86 1481.84 37.07% 62.93% +10.96 2-0
2008-05-29 @ Chicago Sky W 75-69 1499.82 1475.26 39.46% 60.54% +10.55 3-0
2008-05-31 Phoenix Mercury W 94-83 1510.37 1528.32 61.45% 38.55% +9.09 4-0
2008-06-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 85-81 1519.46 1319.19 64.18% 35.82% +5.09 5-0
2008-06-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-78 1524.55 1554.97 32.20% 67.80% -2.29 5-1
2008-06-08 San Antonio Silver Stars W 90-78 1522.26 1511.63 65.27% 34.73% +8.56 6-1
2008-06-10 Connecticut Sun L 66-75 1530.82 1562.29 59.59% 40.41% -12.71 6-2
2008-06-12 Sacramento Monarchs L 78-82 1518.11 1517.37 63.96% 36.04% -9.10 6-3
2008-06-14 @ New York Liberty L 76-77 1509.01 1486.94 39.11% 60.89% -2.78 6-4
2008-06-20 @ Detroit Shock L 93-98 1506.23 1594.34 25.41% 74.59% -4.04 6-5
2008-06-21 Houston Comets L 65-72 1502.19 1459.99 69.26% 30.74% -13.03 6-6
2008-06-24 New York Liberty W 91-69 1489.16 1499.58 62.47% 37.53% +12.52 7-6
2008-06-26 Sacramento Monarchs W 80-76 1501.68 1499.52 64.15% 35.85% +5.09 8-6
2008-06-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 65-73 1506.77 1533.79 32.63% 67.37% -6.56 8-7
2008-07-01 Chicago Sky L 71-73 1500.21 1444.36 70.91% 29.09% -7.13 8-8
2008-07-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 88-70 1493.08 1535.28 30.74% 69.26% +20.89 9-8
2008-07-05 @ Seattle Storm L 71-96 1513.97 1529.75 34.07% 65.93% -12.11 9-9
2008-07-09 Atlanta Dream L 67-73 1501.86 1258.46 87.77% 12.23% -15.28 9-10
2008-07-12 Houston Comets W 85-71 1486.58 1492.66 63.05% 36.95% +9.83 10-10
2008-07-17 @ Houston Comets L 88-96 1496.41 1482.83 37.96% 62.04% -7.64 10-11
2008-07-19 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 87-74 1488.77 1577.55 25.34% 74.66% +19.14 11-11
2008-07-22 Seattle Storm L 73-76 1507.91 1561.24 56.53% 43.47% -6.96 11-12
2008-07-24 @ Indiana Fever W 84-80 1500.95 1517.37 33.98% 66.02% +9.39 12-12
2008-07-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-68 1510.34 1563.63 56.53% 43.47% +9.77 13-12
2008-07-27 Los Angeles Sparks L 84-92 1520.11 1502.96 66.11% 33.89% -13.29 13-13
2008-08-30 Washington Mystics W 92-78 1506.82 1424.73 73.92% 26.08% +6.94 14-13
2008-09-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 58-82 1513.76 1533.78 33.52% 66.48% -11.68 14-14
2008-09-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 96-103 1502.08 1494.85 37.10% 62.90% -6.98 14-15
2008-09-06 @ Seattle Storm L 88-96 1495.10 1581.86 25.56% 74.44% -5.14 14-16
2008-09-07 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 71-78 1489.96 1518.35 32.45% 67.55% -6.10 14-17
2008-09-09 Indiana Fever W 86-76 1483.86 1500.34 61.65% 38.35% +8.62 15-17
2008-09-12 Phoenix Mercury L 87-96 1492.48 1515.96 60.69% 39.31% -12.95 15-18
2008-09-14 @ Washington Mystics W 96-70 1479.53 1377.93 50.38% 49.62% +17.99 16-18
2008-05-18 Connecticut Sun L 63-77 1487.66 1546.19 55.79% 44.21% -14.84 0-1
2008-05-22 Washington Mystics W 79-60 1472.82 1497.44 60.53% 39.47% +12.23 1-1
2008-05-25 @ Detroit Shock L 62-72 1485.05 1559.08 26.98% 73.02% -6.07 1-2
2008-05-30 @ Connecticut Sun L 84-89 1478.98 1545.31 27.86% 72.14% -4.43 1-3
2008-06-03 Seattle Storm W 77-63 1474.55 1542.27 54.48% 45.52% +12.11 2-3
2008-06-06 Houston Comets W 81-73 1486.66 1468.28 66.27% 33.73% +6.79 3-3
2008-06-08 Sacramento Monarchs L 63-70 1493.45 1498.46 63.20% 36.80% -11.89 3-4
2008-06-11 @ Atlanta Dream W 81-77 1481.56 1296.31 62.17% 37.83% +5.38 4-4
2008-06-14 Minnesota Lynx W 77-76 1486.94 1509.01 60.89% 39.11% +2.78 5-4
2008-06-18 @ Indiana Fever L 69-83 1489.72 1539.60 29.80% 70.20% -7.93 5-5
2008-06-22 Phoenix Mercury W 105-72 1481.79 1535.70 56.44% 43.56% +17.79 6-5
2008-06-24 @ Minnesota Lynx L 69-91 1499.58 1489.16 37.53% 62.47% -12.52 6-6
2008-06-26 Indiana Fever W 102-96 1487.06 1535.06 57.28% 42.72% +7.44 7-6
2008-06-28 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 78-82 1494.50 1494.42 36.15% 63.85% -5.14 7-7
2008-07-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 89-78 1489.36 1552.19 28.27% 71.73% +16.92 8-7
2008-07-03 @ Seattle Storm L 71-84 1506.28 1520.99 34.20% 65.80% -8.77 8-8
2008-07-05 @ Phoenix Mercury W 93-83 1497.51 1561.62 28.12% 71.88% +16.16 9-8
2008-07-08 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 79-83 1513.67 1560.83 30.13% 69.87% -4.28 9-9
2008-07-12 Detroit Shock W 74-64 1509.39 1588.83 52.80% 47.20% +10.61 10-9
2008-07-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 77-71 1520.00 1556.28 31.47% 68.53% +11.94 11-9
2008-07-17 Washington Mystics W 77-56 1531.94 1458.98 72.90% 27.10% +8.83 12-9
2008-07-19 Indiana Fever L 55-71 1540.77 1508.05 68.09% 31.91% -19.37 12-10
2008-07-23 @ Washington Mystics W 80-73 1521.40 1453.75 45.51% 54.49% +10.25 13-10
2008-07-25 Los Angeles Sparks W 69-68 1531.65 1505.28 67.29% 32.71% +2.33 14-10
2008-07-27 @ Atlanta Dream W 86-76 1533.98 1258.48 73.43% 26.57% +5.97 15-10
2008-08-28 Chicago Sky L 60-69 1539.95 1426.55 77.25% 22.75% -16.47 15-11
2008-08-29 @ Detroit Shock L 69-83 1523.48 1551.27 32.53% 67.47% -8.66 15-12
2008-09-02 @ Houston Comets W 90-87 1514.82 1501.93 37.86% 62.14% +7.65 16-12
2008-09-05 Atlanta Dream W 82-71 1522.47 1236.05 90.19% 9.81% +2.32 17-12
2008-09-07 Chicago Sky W 69-61 1524.79 1443.03 73.89% 26.11% +5.25 18-12
2008-09-09 San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-82 1530.04 1607.21 53.13% 46.87% -9.25 18-13
2008-09-11 @ Indiana Fever L 59-74 1520.79 1491.71 40.08% 59.92% -11.04 18-14
2008-09-12 @ Chicago Sky W 69-62 1509.75 1447.24 44.78% 55.22% +10.39 19-14
2008-09-14 Detroit Shock L 59-61 1520.14 1588.17 54.44% 45.56% -5.48 19-15
2008-05-17 Los Angeles Sparks L 94-99 1555.81 1480.07 73.21% 26.79% -11.64 0-1
2008-05-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 76-81 1544.17 1502.98 41.77% 58.23% -6.64 0-2
2008-05-22 Seattle Storm L 83-87 1537.53 1530.83 64.75% 35.25% -9.21 0-3
2008-05-31 @ Minnesota Lynx L 83-94 1528.32 1510.37 38.55% 61.45% -9.09 0-4
2008-06-03 Washington Mystics W 98-93 1519.23 1477.95 69.15% 30.85% +4.91 1-4
2008-06-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 85-79 1524.14 1523.04 36.28% 63.72% +11.10 2-4
2008-06-11 @ Seattle Storm L 77-83 1535.24 1532.84 36.45% 63.55% -6.35 2-5
2008-06-14 Detroit Shock L 79-89 1528.89 1581.61 56.61% 43.39% -12.73 2-6
2008-06-18 Connecticut Sun W 102-81 1516.16 1578.93 55.19% 44.81% +14.60 3-6
2008-06-20 Chicago Sky W 112-105 1530.76 1450.25 73.75% 26.25% +4.94 4-6
2008-06-22 @ New York Liberty L 72-105 1535.70 1481.79 43.56% 56.44% -17.79 4-7
2008-06-24 @ Washington Mystics W 98-90 1517.91 1478.52 41.51% 58.49% +11.76 5-7
2008-06-26 @ Chicago Sky W 89-79 1529.67 1438.03 48.95% 51.05% +11.48 6-7
2008-06-29 @ Connecticut Sun W 87-80 1541.15 1586.07 30.40% 69.60% +13.09 7-7
2008-07-01 @ Atlanta Dream W 97-79 1554.24 1259.59 75.52% 24.48% +7.38 8-7
2008-07-05 New York Liberty L 83-93 1561.62 1497.51 71.88% 28.12% -16.16 8-8
2008-07-06 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 80-91 1545.46 1514.39 40.36% 59.64% -9.51 8-9
2008-07-08 Houston Comets W 99-94 1535.95 1504.37 67.95% 32.05% +5.09 9-9
2008-07-10 @ Seattle Storm L 78-89 1541.04 1557.70 33.95% 66.05% -8.00 9-10
2008-07-12 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 97-105 1533.04 1492.69 41.65% 58.35% -8.38 9-11
2008-07-15 San Antonio Silver Stars L 87-97 1524.66 1564.41 58.44% 41.56% -13.14 9-12
2008-07-17 Los Angeles Sparks W 99-92 1511.52 1520.13 62.71% 37.29% +7.02 10-12
2008-07-19 Atlanta Dream W 110-84 1518.54 1277.63 87.61% 12.39% +4.49 11-12
2008-07-22 @ Houston Comets L 92-94 1523.03 1495.29 39.89% 60.11% -4.02 11-13
2008-07-24 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 74-83 1519.01 1520.22 35.97% 64.03% -7.67 11-14
2008-07-25 Seattle Storm W 94-80 1511.34 1568.20 56.03% 43.97% +11.70 12-14
2008-07-27 Indiana Fever L 84-88 1523.04 1501.24 66.71% 33.29% -9.49 12-15
2008-08-28 San Antonio Silver Stars L 55-77 1513.55 1570.03 56.08% 43.92% -18.70 12-16
2008-09-03 Minnesota Lynx W 103-96 1494.85 1502.08 62.90% 37.10% +6.98 13-16
2008-09-05 Sacramento Monarchs W 81-69 1501.83 1528.13 60.30% 39.70% +9.78 14-16
2008-09-07 Houston Comets W 99-74 1511.61 1476.73 68.36% 31.64% +11.25 15-16
2008-09-09 @ Detroit Shock L 78-89 1522.86 1577.54 29.23% 70.77% -6.90 15-17
2008-09-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 96-87 1515.96 1492.48 39.31% 60.69% +12.95 16-17
2008-09-14 @ Indiana Fever L 89-103 1528.91 1502.75 39.68% 60.32% -10.56 16-18
2008-05-17 San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-64 1529.54 1510.15 66.40% 33.60% +7.16 1-0
2008-05-20 @ Seattle Storm L 62-74 1536.70 1521.42 38.19% 61.81% -9.40 1-1
2008-05-22 @ Chicago Sky L 77-87 1527.30 1465.21 44.72% 55.28% -10.06 1-2
2008-05-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 64-87 1517.24 1561.03 30.54% 69.46% -10.41 1-3
2008-05-30 Houston Comets W 73-66 1506.83 1470.88 68.49% 31.51% +5.93 2-3
2008-06-06 Detroit Shock L 70-84 1512.76 1585.57 53.75% 46.25% -14.30 2-4
2008-06-08 @ New York Liberty W 70-63 1498.46 1493.45 36.80% 63.20% +11.88 3-4
2008-06-11 @ Washington Mystics W 79-76 1510.34 1460.44 42.99% 57.01% +7.03 4-4
2008-06-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 82-78 1517.37 1518.11 36.04% 63.96% +9.09 5-4
2008-06-14 Los Angeles Sparks L 66-74 1526.46 1527.73 63.70% 36.30% -12.81 5-5
2008-06-20 Connecticut Sun L 56-72 1513.65 1564.33 56.90% 43.10% -16.18 5-6
2008-06-22 Chicago Sky W 82-70 1497.47 1445.31 70.47% 29.53% +7.27 6-6
2008-06-24 @ Indiana Fever L 73-78 1504.74 1529.84 32.87% 67.13% -5.22 6-7
2008-06-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76-80 1499.52 1501.68 35.85% 64.15% -5.10 6-8
2008-06-28 New York Liberty W 82-78 1494.42 1494.50 63.85% 36.15% +5.14 7-8
2008-07-01 Washington Mystics W 87-81 1499.56 1467.36 68.02% 31.98% +5.57 8-8
2008-07-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-68 1505.13 1548.30 30.62% 69.38% -2.18 8-9
2008-07-05 @ Houston Comets L 65-73 1502.95 1496.95 36.94% 63.06% -7.43 8-10
2008-07-08 Seattle Storm L 64-79 1495.52 1541.86 57.51% 42.49% -15.83 8-11
2008-07-10 Los Angeles Sparks W 87-69 1479.69 1530.52 56.88% 43.12% +13.00 9-11
2008-07-12 Phoenix Mercury W 105-97 1492.69 1533.04 58.35% 41.65% +8.38 10-11
2008-07-18 Atlanta Dream W 77-73 1501.07 1279.57 86.35% 13.65% +1.94 11-11
2008-07-20 @ Detroit Shock W 88-85 1503.01 1600.22 24.43% 75.57% +9.31 12-11
2008-07-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 79-66 1512.32 1273.14 69.15% 30.85% +7.90 13-11
2008-07-24 Phoenix Mercury W 83-74 1520.22 1519.01 64.03% 35.97% +7.68 14-11
2008-07-26 Indiana Fever W 70-62 1527.90 1507.98 66.47% 33.53% +6.74 15-11
2008-07-27 @ Seattle Storm L 71-77 1534.64 1556.51 33.28% 66.72% -5.80 15-12
2008-08-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-78 1528.84 1516.25 37.82% 62.18% -10.41 15-13
2008-08-30 Houston Comets W 80-65 1518.43 1511.63 64.76% 35.24% +9.70 16-13
2008-09-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-81 1528.13 1501.83 39.70% 60.30% -9.78 16-14
2008-09-07 Minnesota Lynx W 78-71 1518.35 1489.96 67.55% 32.45% +6.11 17-14
2008-09-09 Seattle Storm W 77-74 1524.46 1587.00 55.22% 44.78% +5.51 18-14
2008-09-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-77 1529.97 1620.87 25.11% 74.89% -5.05 18-15
2008-09-15 @ Houston Comets L 81-90 1524.92 1482.70 41.91% 58.09% -8.93 18-16
2008-05-17 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 64-73 1510.15 1529.54 33.60% 66.40% -7.17 0-1
2008-05-20 Phoenix Mercury W 81-76 1502.98 1544.17 58.23% 41.77% +6.64 1-1
2008-05-24 Seattle Storm W 87-72 1509.62 1540.04 59.74% 40.26% +11.09 2-1
2008-05-30 @ Seattle Storm L 57-78 1520.71 1528.95 35.05% 64.95% -11.42 2-2
2008-06-03 @ Houston Comets L 72-75 1509.29 1463.04 42.47% 57.53% -5.23 2-3
2008-06-06 Washington Mystics W 63-52 1504.06 1473.04 67.88% 32.12% +7.57 3-3
2008-06-08 @ Minnesota Lynx L 78-90 1511.63 1522.26 34.73% 65.27% -8.55 3-4
2008-06-11 Indiana Fever W 64-53 1503.08 1559.23 56.13% 43.87% +10.34 4-4
2008-06-13 Seattle Storm W 74-69 1513.42 1539.18 60.38% 39.62% +6.30 5-4
2008-06-15 @ Indiana Fever W 70-60 1519.72 1554.98 31.59% 68.41% +15.38 6-4
2008-06-18 @ Atlanta Dream W 81-66 1535.10 1281.28 70.92% 29.08% +8.01 7-4
2008-06-20 Los Angeles Sparks W 77-75 1543.11 1547.18 63.32% 36.68% +3.69 8-4
2008-06-24 Houston Comets L 81-82 1546.80 1473.02 72.99% 27.01% -5.19 8-5
2008-06-26 @ Houston Comets L 71-77 1541.61 1478.21 44.90% 55.10% -7.82 8-6
2008-06-28 Minnesota Lynx W 73-65 1533.79 1506.77 67.37% 32.63% +6.56 9-6
2008-07-01 Detroit Shock W 79-72 1540.35 1585.15 57.73% 42.27% +7.95 10-6
2008-07-03 Sacramento Monarchs W 68-67 1548.30 1505.13 69.38% 30.62% +2.18 11-6
2008-07-06 @ Washington Mystics W 83-75 1550.48 1461.79 48.52% 51.48% +10.35 12-6
2008-07-08 New York Liberty W 83-79 1560.83 1513.67 69.87% 30.13% +4.29 13-6
2008-07-10 @ Chicago Sky W 75-67 1565.12 1434.16 54.59% 45.41% +9.13 14-6
2008-07-11 Atlanta Dream W 82-74 1574.25 1273.74 90.88% 9.12% +1.83 15-6
2008-07-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-75 1576.08 1508.46 45.50% 54.50% -11.67 15-7
2008-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury W 97-87 1564.41 1524.66 41.56% 58.44% +13.14 16-7
2008-07-19 Minnesota Lynx L 74-87 1577.55 1488.77 74.66% 25.34% -19.14 16-8
2008-07-24 Chicago Sky W 78-67 1558.41 1438.77 77.87% 22.13% +5.22 17-8
2008-07-25 @ Minnesota Lynx L 68-78 1563.63 1510.34 43.47% 56.53% -9.77 17-9
2008-07-27 @ Detroit Shock W 76-64 1553.86 1567.44 34.35% 65.65% +16.17 18-9
2008-08-28 @ Phoenix Mercury W 77-55 1570.03 1513.55 43.92% 56.08% +18.70 19-9
2008-08-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 53-58 1588.73 1526.67 44.71% 55.29% -7.11 19-10
2008-09-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-58 1581.62 1545.45 68.52% 31.48% +9.50 20-10
2008-09-07 @ Connecticut Sun W 85-73 1591.12 1602.39 34.65% 65.35% +16.09 21-10
2008-09-09 @ New York Liberty W 82-76 1607.21 1530.04 46.87% 53.13% +9.26 22-10
2008-09-11 Connecticut Sun W 78-74 1616.47 1576.30 69.01% 30.99% +4.40 23-10
2008-09-13 Sacramento Monarchs W 77-69 1620.87 1529.97 74.89% 25.11% +5.05 24-10
2008-05-17 Chicago Sky W 67-61 1516.14 1470.49 69.69% 30.31% +5.28 1-0
2008-05-20 Sacramento Monarchs W 74-62 1521.42 1536.70 61.81% 38.19% +9.41 2-0
2008-05-22 @ Phoenix Mercury W 87-83 1530.83 1537.53 35.25% 64.75% +9.21 3-0
2008-05-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-87 1540.04 1509.62 40.26% 59.74% -11.09 3-1
2008-05-30 San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-57 1528.95 1520.71 64.95% 35.05% +11.42 4-1
2008-06-01 Houston Comets W 64-63 1540.37 1464.95 73.18% 26.82% +1.90 5-1
2008-06-03 @ New York Liberty L 63-77 1542.27 1474.55 45.52% 54.48% -12.11 5-2
2008-06-04 @ Detroit Shock L 67-77 1530.16 1578.84 29.95% 70.05% -6.73 5-3
2008-06-07 Detroit Shock W 75-67 1523.43 1599.87 53.23% 46.77% +9.41 6-3
2008-06-11 Phoenix Mercury W 83-77 1532.84 1535.24 63.55% 36.45% +6.34 7-3
2008-06-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-74 1539.18 1513.42 39.62% 60.38% -6.29 7-4
2008-06-14 @ Houston Comets L 60-68 1532.89 1456.17 46.81% 53.19% -9.42 7-5
2008-06-16 Connecticut Sun L 67-74 1523.47 1568.07 57.76% 42.24% -10.86 7-6
2008-06-20 Indiana Fever W 78-70 1512.61 1547.53 59.11% 40.89% +8.22 8-6
2008-06-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 62-76 1520.83 1552.96 31.98% 68.02% -8.51 8-7
2008-06-29 Washington Mystics W 64-49 1512.32 1476.03 68.54% 31.46% +8.67 9-7
2008-07-03 New York Liberty W 84-71 1520.99 1506.28 65.80% 34.20% +8.76 10-7
2008-07-05 Minnesota Lynx W 96-71 1529.75 1513.97 65.93% 34.07% +12.11 11-7
2008-07-08 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 79-64 1541.86 1495.52 42.49% 57.51% +15.84 12-7
2008-07-10 Phoenix Mercury W 89-78 1557.70 1541.04 66.05% 33.95% +8.01 13-7
2008-07-12 Los Angeles Sparks W 70-52 1565.71 1517.52 69.99% 30.01% +9.05 14-7
2008-07-18 @ Indiana Fever W 65-59 1574.76 1517.81 43.99% 56.01% +9.75 15-7
2008-07-20 @ Washington Mystics L 57-89 1584.51 1430.48 57.86% 42.14% -23.27 15-8
2008-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx W 76-73 1561.24 1507.91 43.47% 56.53% +6.96 16-8
2008-07-25 @ Phoenix Mercury L 80-94 1568.20 1511.34 43.97% 56.03% -11.69 16-9
2008-07-27 Sacramento Monarchs W 77-71 1556.51 1534.64 66.72% 33.28% +5.79 17-9
2008-08-28 Houston Comets W 66-49 1562.30 1520.66 69.19% 30.81% +9.03 18-9
2008-08-31 @ Connecticut Sun L 76-80 1571.33 1594.67 33.10% 66.90% -4.70 18-10
2008-09-02 @ Atlanta Dream W 83-69 1566.63 1241.75 78.59% 21.41% +5.69 19-10
2008-09-04 @ Chicago Sky W 70-62 1572.32 1455.58 52.56% 47.44% +9.54 20-10
2008-09-06 Minnesota Lynx W 96-88 1581.86 1495.10 74.44% 25.56% +5.14 21-10
2008-09-09 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 74-77 1587.00 1524.46 44.78% 55.22% -5.51 21-11
2008-09-12 Atlanta Dream W 77-72 1581.49 1251.43 92.20% 7.80% +1.24 22-11
2008-09-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 48-65 1582.73 1531.82 43.13% 56.87% -12.65 22-12
2008-05-17 @ Indiana Fever L 53-64 1505.04 1535.50 32.19% 67.81% -7.60 0-1
2008-05-22 @ New York Liberty L 60-79 1497.44 1472.82 39.47% 60.53% -12.23 0-2
2008-05-25 Houston Comets W 69-66 1485.21 1486.31 63.72% 36.28% +4.47 1-2
2008-05-27 Atlanta Dream W 80-74 1489.68 1322.29 82.25% 17.75% +3.09 2-2
2008-05-31 Los Angeles Sparks L 59-70 1492.77 1500.23 62.87% 37.13% -14.82 2-3
2008-06-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 93-98 1477.95 1519.23 30.85% 69.15% -4.91 2-4
2008-06-06 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 52-63 1473.04 1504.06 32.12% 67.88% -7.57 2-5
2008-06-08 @ Connecticut Sun L 79-87 1465.47 1557.26 25.01% 74.99% -5.03 2-6
2008-06-11 Sacramento Monarchs L 76-79 1460.44 1510.34 57.01% 42.99% -7.02 2-7
2008-06-13 @ Chicago Sky W 64-57 1453.42 1469.29 34.05% 65.95% +12.40 3-7
2008-06-18 @ Houston Comets W 67-63 1465.82 1469.14 35.69% 64.31% +9.15 4-7
2008-06-20 Atlanta Dream W 72-61 1474.97 1273.27 84.95% 15.05% +3.55 5-7
2008-06-24 Phoenix Mercury L 90-98 1478.52 1517.91 58.49% 41.51% -11.77 5-8
2008-06-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 77-74 1466.75 1561.47 24.70% 75.30% +9.28 6-8
2008-06-29 @ Seattle Storm L 49-64 1476.03 1512.32 31.46% 68.54% -8.67 6-9
2008-07-01 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 81-87 1467.36 1499.56 31.98% 68.02% -5.57 6-10
2008-07-06 San Antonio Silver Stars L 75-83 1461.79 1550.48 51.48% 48.52% -10.35 6-11
2008-07-08 Indiana Fever W 50-48 1451.44 1530.05 52.92% 47.08% +4.74 7-11
2008-07-11 @ Detroit Shock L 66-79 1456.18 1583.35 21.39% 78.61% -5.49 7-12
2008-07-13 Connecticut Sun W 69-64 1450.69 1564.57 47.85% 52.15% +8.29 8-12
2008-07-17 @ New York Liberty L 56-77 1458.98 1531.94 27.10% 72.90% -8.83 8-13
2008-07-18 Detroit Shock L 62-99 1450.15 1580.55 45.48% 54.52% -19.67 8-14
2008-07-20 Seattle Storm W 89-57 1430.48 1584.51 42.14% 57.86% +23.27 9-14
2008-07-23 New York Liberty L 73-80 1453.75 1521.40 54.49% 45.51% -10.25 9-15
2008-07-25 @ Atlanta Dream W 81-75 1443.50 1265.23 61.22% 38.78% +6.76 10-15
2008-07-27 Connecticut Sun L 60-82 1450.26 1550.28 49.84% 50.16% -16.63 10-16
2008-08-29 Chicago Sky L 75-79 1433.63 1443.03 62.61% 37.39% -8.90 10-17
2008-08-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 78-92 1424.73 1506.82 26.08% 73.92% -6.94 10-18
2008-09-02 Indiana Fever L 68-79 1417.79 1493.71 53.31% 46.69% -12.57 10-19
2008-09-06 Detroit Shock L 69-84 1405.22 1566.21 41.16% 58.84% -11.33 10-20
2008-09-09 @ Chicago Sky L 59-78 1393.89 1437.78 30.53% 69.47% -9.46 10-21
2008-09-11 @ Detroit Shock L 66-78 1384.43 1584.44 15.18% 84.82% -3.74 10-22
2008-09-13 @ Connecticut Sun L 81-87 1380.69 1571.89 15.84% 84.16% -2.76 10-23
2008-09-14 Minnesota Lynx L 70-96 1377.93 1479.53 49.62% 50.38% -17.99 10-24

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2008-09-18 @ New York Liberty L 63-72 1574.65 1514.66 44.42% 55.58% -9.48 0-1
2008-09-20 New York Liberty W 73-70 1565.17 1524.14 69.12% 30.88% +3.81 1-1
2008-09-22 New York Liberty L 62-66 1568.98 1520.34 70.05% 29.95% -9.96 1-2
2008-09-19 @ Indiana Fever W 81-72 1593.65 1513.31 47.33% 52.67% +11.23 1-0
2008-09-21 Indiana Fever L 82-89 1604.88 1502.07 76.16% 23.84% -14.32 1-1
2008-09-23 Indiana Fever W 80-61 1590.56 1516.40 73.04% 26.96% +8.35 2-1
2008-09-26 @ New York Liberty L 56-60 1598.91 1530.30 45.65% 54.35% -6.49 2-2
2008-09-28 New York Liberty W 64-55 1592.42 1536.79 70.89% 29.11% +6.21 3-2
2008-09-29 New York Liberty W 75-73 1598.63 1530.58 72.34% 27.66% +2.78 4-2
2008-10-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-69 1601.41 1610.51 34.93% 65.07% +13.09 5-2
2008-10-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 69-61 1614.50 1597.42 38.43% 61.57% +12.38 6-2
2008-10-05 San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-60 1626.88 1585.04 69.22% 30.78% +8.75 7-2
2008-09-19 Detroit Shock L 72-81 1513.31 1593.65 52.67% 47.33% -11.24 0-1
2008-09-21 @ Detroit Shock W 89-82 1502.07 1604.88 23.84% 76.16% +14.33 1-1
2008-09-23 @ Detroit Shock L 61-80 1516.40 1590.56 26.96% 73.04% -8.36 1-2
2008-09-19 Seattle Storm W 77-69 1544.47 1570.08 60.40% 39.60% +7.96 1-0
2008-09-21 @ Seattle Storm L 50-64 1552.43 1562.12 34.86% 65.14% -9.27 1-1
2008-09-23 @ Seattle Storm W 71-64 1543.16 1571.39 32.47% 67.53% +12.70 2-1
2008-09-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 85-70 1555.86 1616.10 55.55% 44.45% +12.24 3-1
2008-09-27 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 66-67 1568.10 1603.86 31.53% 68.47% -2.24 3-2
2008-09-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-76 1565.86 1606.10 30.98% 69.02% -4.41 3-3
2008-09-18 Connecticut Sun W 72-63 1514.66 1574.65 55.58% 44.42% +9.48 1-0
2008-09-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-73 1524.14 1565.17 30.88% 69.12% -3.80 1-1
2008-09-22 @ Connecticut Sun W 66-62 1520.34 1568.98 29.95% 70.05% +9.96 2-1
2008-09-26 Detroit Shock W 60-56 1530.30 1598.91 54.35% 45.65% +6.49 3-1
2008-09-28 @ Detroit Shock L 55-64 1536.79 1592.42 29.11% 70.89% -6.21 3-2
2008-09-29 @ Detroit Shock L 73-75 1530.58 1598.63 27.66% 72.34% -2.78 3-3
2008-09-18 San Antonio Silver Stars L 78-85 1515.99 1625.92 48.42% 51.58% -9.11 0-1
2008-09-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-67 1506.88 1635.03 21.29% 78.71% +23.07 1-1
2008-09-22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 81-86 1529.95 1611.96 26.08% 73.92% -4.15 1-2
2008-09-18 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 85-78 1625.92 1515.99 51.58% 48.42% +9.11 1-0
2008-09-20 Sacramento Monarchs L 67-84 1635.03 1506.88 78.71% 21.29% -23.07 1-1
2008-09-22 Sacramento Monarchs W 86-81 1611.96 1529.95 73.92% 26.08% +4.14 2-1
2008-09-25 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-85 1616.10 1555.86 44.45% 55.55% -12.24 2-2
2008-09-27 Los Angeles Sparks W 67-66 1603.86 1568.10 68.47% 31.53% +2.24 3-2
2008-09-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-72 1606.10 1565.86 69.02% 30.98% +4.41 4-2
2008-10-01 Detroit Shock L 69-77 1610.51 1601.41 65.07% 34.93% -13.09 4-3
2008-10-03 Detroit Shock L 61-69 1597.42 1614.50 61.57% 38.43% -12.38 4-4
2008-10-05 @ Detroit Shock L 60-76 1585.04 1626.88 30.78% 69.22% -8.75 4-5
2008-09-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 69-77 1570.08 1544.47 39.60% 60.40% -7.96 0-1
2008-09-21 Los Angeles Sparks W 64-50 1562.12 1552.43 65.14% 34.86% +9.27 1-1
2008-09-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 64-71 1571.39 1543.16 67.53% 32.47% -12.70 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-09-11 8.07% Atlanta Dream 1229.75 83 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1553.50 72
2 2008-07-16 11.04% Atlanta Dream 1266.92 81 @ Indiana Fever 1530.46 77
3 2008-07-09 12.23% Atlanta Dream 1258.46 73 @ Minnesota Lynx 1501.86 67
4 2008-09-20 * 21.29% Sacramento Monarchs 1506.88 84 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1635.03 67
5 2008-08-28 22.75% Chicago Sky 1426.55 69 @ New York Liberty 1539.95 60
6 2008-09-21 * 23.84% Indiana Fever 1502.07 89 @ Detroit Shock 1604.88 82
7 2008-07-20 24.43% Sacramento Monarchs 1503.01 88 @ Detroit Shock 1600.22 85
8 2008-06-26 24.70% Washington Mystics 1466.75 77 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1561.47 74
9 2008-07-19 25.34% Minnesota Lynx 1488.77 87 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1577.55 74
10 2008-07-22 26.01% Los Angeles Sparks 1508.29 84 @ Detroit Shock 1590.92 81
11 2008-05-17 26.79% Los Angeles Sparks 1480.07 99 @ Phoenix Mercury 1555.81 94
12 2008-06-24 27.01% Houston Comets 1473.02 82 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 1546.80 81
13 2008-07-05 28.12% New York Liberty 1497.51 93 @ Phoenix Mercury 1561.62 83
14 2008-07-01 28.27% New York Liberty 1489.36 89 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1552.19 78
15 2008-07-01 29.09% Chicago Sky 1444.36 73 @ Minnesota Lynx 1500.21 71
16 2008-09-22 * 29.95% New York Liberty 1520.34 66 @ Connecticut Sun 1568.98 62
17 2008-06-29 30.40% Phoenix Mercury 1541.15 87 @ Connecticut Sun 1586.07 80
18 2008-06-21 30.74% Houston Comets 1459.99 72 @ Minnesota Lynx 1502.19 65
19 2008-07-03 30.74% Minnesota Lynx 1493.08 88 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1535.28 70
20 2008-07-15 31.47% New York Liberty 1520.00 77 @ Connecticut Sun 1556.28 71
21 2008-06-15 31.59% San Antonio Silver Stars 1519.72 70 @ Indiana Fever 1554.98 60
22 2008-05-27 31.74% Indiana Fever 1537.38 75 @ Connecticut Sun 1571.45 46
23 2008-07-19 31.91% Indiana Fever 1508.05 71 @ New York Liberty 1540.77 55
24 2008-09-23 * 32.47% Los Angeles Sparks 1543.16 71 @ Seattle Storm 1571.39 64
25 2008-07-27 33.29% Indiana Fever 1501.24 88 @ Phoenix Mercury 1523.04 84

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-05-27 26.14 Indiana Fever 75 1537.38 31.74% @ Connecticut Sun 46 1571.45 68.26%
2 2008-07-20 23.27 @ Washington Mystics 89 1430.48 42.14% Seattle Storm 57 1584.51 57.86%
3 2008-09-20 * 23.07 Sacramento Monarchs 84 1506.88 21.29% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 67 1635.03 78.71%
4 2008-09-11 21.68 Atlanta Dream 83 1229.75 8.07% @ Los Angeles Sparks 72 1553.50 91.93%
5 2008-07-03 20.89 Minnesota Lynx 88 1493.08 30.74% @ Los Angeles Sparks 70 1535.28 69.26%
6 2008-08-28 20.35 Connecticut Sun 84 1566.90 43.88% @ Indiana Fever 58 1510.72 56.12%
7 2008-07-18 19.67 Detroit Shock 99 1580.55 54.52% @ Washington Mystics 62 1450.15 45.48%
8 2008-07-19 19.37 Indiana Fever 71 1508.05 31.91% @ New York Liberty 55 1540.77 68.09%
9 2008-07-19 19.14 Minnesota Lynx 87 1488.77 25.34% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 74 1577.55 74.66%
10 2008-08-28 18.70 San Antonio Silver Stars 77 1570.03 43.92% @ Phoenix Mercury 55 1513.55 56.08%
11 2008-09-14 17.99 Minnesota Lynx 96 1479.53 50.38% @ Washington Mystics 70 1377.93 49.62%
12 2008-06-28 17.81 @ Chicago Sky 76 1426.56 39.26% Detroit Shock 59 1601.33 60.74%
13 2008-06-22 17.79 @ New York Liberty 105 1481.79 56.44% Phoenix Mercury 72 1535.70 43.56%
14 2008-09-06 17.55 Los Angeles Sparks 84 1535.96 41.83% @ Houston Comets 66 1494.28 58.17%
15 2008-07-01 16.92 New York Liberty 89 1489.36 28.27% @ Los Angeles Sparks 78 1552.19 71.73%
16 2008-07-27 16.63 Connecticut Sun 82 1550.28 50.16% @ Washington Mystics 60 1450.26 49.84%
17 2008-08-28 16.48 Chicago Sky 69 1426.55 22.75% @ New York Liberty 60 1539.95 77.25%
18 2008-06-20 16.18 Connecticut Sun 72 1564.33 43.10% @ Sacramento Monarchs 56 1513.65 56.90%
19 2008-07-27 16.17 San Antonio Silver Stars 76 1553.86 34.35% @ Detroit Shock 64 1567.44 65.65%
20 2008-07-05 16.16 New York Liberty 93 1497.51 28.12% @ Phoenix Mercury 83 1561.62 71.88%
21 2008-09-07 16.10 San Antonio Silver Stars 85 1591.12 34.65% @ Connecticut Sun 73 1602.39 65.35%
22 2008-07-08 15.84 Seattle Storm 79 1541.86 42.49% @ Sacramento Monarchs 64 1495.52 57.51%
23 2008-06-15 15.38 San Antonio Silver Stars 70 1519.72 31.59% @ Indiana Fever 60 1554.98 68.41%
24 2008-07-09 15.28 Atlanta Dream 73 1258.46 12.23% @ Minnesota Lynx 67 1501.86 87.77%
25 2008-05-18 14.84 Connecticut Sun 77 1546.19 44.21% @ New York Liberty 63 1487.66 55.79%