2013 USL Season
156 regular-season games · 100,000 simulations
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Orlando City SC
17.83% chance to win USL Championship
Biggest Overachiever
Richmond Kickers
13.92 points above expected
51 points · 37.08 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Antigua Barracuda FC
18.60 points below expected
0 points · 18.60 expected points
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Kickers | 14 | 1 | 9 | 51 | .708 | 48 | 22 | +26 | 37.08 | +13.92 |
| 2 | Orlando City SC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48 | .667 | 50 | 26 | +24 | 38.79 | +9.21 |
| 3 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 13 | 9 | 2 | 41 | .569 | 52 | 35 | +17 | 36.70 | +4.30 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Blues | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39 | .542 | 48 | 32 | +16 | 35.46 | +3.54 |
| 5 | Charleston Battery | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39 | .542 | 43 | 28 | +15 | 36.25 | +2.75 |
| 6 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 10 | 8 | 6 | 36 | .500 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 33.22 | +2.78 |
| 7 | Charlotte Eagles | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | .486 | 40 | 37 | +3 | 35.32 | -0.32 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 9 | 8 | 7 | 34 | .472 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 32.97 | +1.03 |
| 9 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | 9 | 11 | 4 | 31 | .431 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 35.17 | -4.17 |
| 10 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 9 | 11 | 4 | 31 | .431 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 34.13 | -3.13 |
| 11 | Rochester Rhinos | 6 | 10 | 8 | 26 | .361 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 34.36 | -8.36 |
| 12 | Phoenix FC | 5 | 14 | 5 | 20 | .278 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 34.05 | -14.05 |
| 13 | Antigua Barracuda FC | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 10 | 82 | -72 | 18.60 | -18.60 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 1554 | 48 | 38.79 | +9.21 | 93.75% | 16 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 49 | 63 | ||
| Richmond Kickers | 1542 | 51 | 37.08 | +13.92 | 98.88% | 13 | 27 | 33 | 37 | 41 | 48 | 59 | ||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 1527 | 41 | 36.70 | +4.30 | 77.41% | 12 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 41 | 47 | 64 | ||
| Charleston Battery | 1524 | 39 | 36.25 | +2.75 | 69.26% | 12 | 26 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 47 | 59 | ||
| Los Angeles Blues | 1514 | 39 | 35.46 | +3.54 | 73.47% | 11 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 46 | 59 | ||
| Charlotte Eagles | 1502 | 35 | 35.32 | -0.32 | 51.53% | 13 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 46 | 59 | ||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 1497 | 31 | 34.13 | -3.13 | 34.63% | 12 | 24 | 30 | 34 | 38 | 45 | 59 | ||
| VSI Tampa Bay FC | 1495 | 31 | 35.17 | -4.17 | 28.69% | 9 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 39 | 46 | 59 | ||
| Rochester Rhinos | 1488 | 26 | 34.36 | -8.36 | 11.07% | 11 | 24 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 45 | 61 | ||
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 1484 | 36 | 33.22 | +2.78 | 69.87% | 11 | 23 | 29 | 33 | 37 | 44 | 57 | ||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1484 | 34 | 32.97 | +1.03 | 59.93% | 9 | 23 | 29 | 33 | 37 | 44 | 57 | ||
| Phoenix FC | 1483 | 20 | 34.05 | -14.05 | 1.41% | 10 | 24 | 30 | 34 | 38 | 45 | 58 | ||
| Antigua Barracuda FC | 1408 | 0 | 18.60 | -18.60 | 0.00% | 1 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 23 | 29 | 44 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's points earned in that matchup (row vs column) and below it the expected points the model predicted based on each individual game's win, OT/SO, and loss probabilities. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | FC | Battery | Eagles | Lions | Islanders | Blues | SC | FC | Riverhounds | Kickers | Rhinos | FC | Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua Barracuda FC | — |
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Charleston Battery |
6
(4.3 exp.)
|
— |
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
4
(3.1 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(3.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(3.0 exp.)
|
| Charlotte Eagles |
6
(4.2 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
— |
2
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(3.0 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
2
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Dayton Dutch Lions |
6
(4.1 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.4 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
6
(2.6 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
| Harrisburg City Islanders |
6
(4.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
— |
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
6
(3.1 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Blues |
6
(4.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(3.0 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
| Orlando City SC |
6
(4.4 exp.)
|
4
(3.1 exp.)
|
4
(3.1 exp.)
|
4
(3.2 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
— |
6
(3.2 exp.)
|
1
(3.3 exp.)
|
0
(3.0 exp.)
|
6
(3.1 exp.)
|
6
(3.2 exp.)
|
4
(3.2 exp.)
|
| Phoenix FC |
6
(4.2 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
— |
1
(3.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
6
(4.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
4
(2.3 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
2
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
6
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
| Richmond Kickers |
6
(4.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
6
(3.2 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(3.1 exp.)
|
2
(3.1 exp.)
|
— |
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
2
(3.0 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
| Rochester Rhinos |
6
(4.2 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
0
(2.9 exp.)
|
0
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
| VSI Tampa Bay FC |
6
(4.1 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(3.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.7 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
0
(3.0 exp.)
|
2
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
— |
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Wilmington Hammerheads |
6
(4.2 exp.)
|
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of goals scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Points vs. Goal Differential
How goals translated into points. Teams above the cluster overperformed their goals differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Kickers | 51 | 37.08 | +13.92 |
| 2 | Orlando City SC | 48 | 38.79 | +9.21 |
| 3 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 41 | 36.70 | +4.30 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Blues | 39 | 35.46 | +3.54 |
| 5 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 36 | 33.22 | +2.78 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua Barracuda FC | 0 | 18.60 | -18.60 |
| 2 | Phoenix FC | 20 | 34.05 | -14.05 |
| 3 | Rochester Rhinos | 26 | 34.36 | -8.36 |
| 4 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | 31 | 35.17 | -4.17 |
| 5 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 31 | 34.13 | -3.13 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston Battery | 5 | Apr 21 – May 12 | 1 in 57 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3 | Jul 21 – Aug 4 | 1 in 35 |
| 3 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 5 | Aug 3 – Aug 18 | 1 in 33 |
| 4 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 4 | Jun 1 – Jun 16 | 1 in 33 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Blues | 4 | Jul 5 – Jul 14 | 1 in 29 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua Barracuda FC | 24 | Apr 14 – Aug 18 | 1 in 19,766 |
| 2 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 5 | Apr 27 – May 12 | 1 in 80 |
| 3 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | 5 | Aug 3 – Aug 11 | 1 in 64 |
| 4 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 3 | Jul 7 – Jul 14 | 1 in 29 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | Apr 14 – Apr 28 | 1 in 16 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Kickers | 20 | Apr 7 – Aug 3 | 1 in 18,074 |
| 2 | Charlotte Eagles | 9 | Jun 6 – Jul 26 | 1 in 165 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 9 | May 4 – Jun 23 | 1 in 113 |
| 4 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 9 | May 12 – Jul 4 | 1 in 86 |
| 5 | Orlando City SC | 10 | Apr 15 – Jun 10 | 1 in 47 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua Barracuda FC | 24 | Apr 14 – Aug 18 | 1 in 372 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 10 | May 15 – Jul 14 | 1 in 313 |
| 3 | Phoenix FC | 11 | May 4 – Jun 30 | 1 in 121 |
| 4 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | 7 | Jul 29 – Aug 17 | 1 in 34 |
| 5 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 5 | Apr 27 – May 12 | 1 in 13 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 18.21% | 14.08% | 11.93% | 10.21% | 8.69% | 7.63% | 7.17% | 5.83% | 5.24% | 4.37% | 3.63% | 2.52% | 0.49% |
| Richmond Kickers | 12.56% | 10.79% | 10.37% | 9.49% | 8.97% | 8.28% | 8.21% | 7.81% | 6.79% | 6.12% | 5.64% | 4.09% | 0.88% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 11.24% | 10.29% | 9.98% | 9.71% | 8.87% | 8.41% | 8.46% | 7.75% | 7.40% | 6.32% | 5.60% | 4.85% | 1.12% |
| Charleston Battery | 10.11% | 9.81% | 9.06% | 9.54% | 8.74% | 8.24% | 8.36% | 8.35% | 7.43% | 7.10% | 6.54% | 5.58% | 1.14% |
| Los Angeles Blues | 8.28% | 8.53% | 8.41% | 8.66% | 9.13% | 8.39% | 8.53% | 8.03% | 8.08% | 7.92% | 7.54% | 6.80% | 1.70% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 7.53% | 8.11% | 8.84% | 8.45% | 8.67% | 8.25% | 8.10% | 8.79% | 8.34% | 8.58% | 8.07% | 6.79% | 1.48% |
| VSI Tampa Bay FC | 7.31% | 8.06% | 7.96% | 8.50% | 8.91% | 8.83% | 8.30% | 8.25% | 8.42% | 8.99% | 7.72% | 7.04% | 1.71% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 5.65% | 7.31% | 7.11% | 7.92% | 8.12% | 8.73% | 8.36% | 8.91% | 9.51% | 8.76% | 8.59% | 8.44% | 2.59% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 5.21% | 6.71% | 7.36% | 7.28% | 7.57% | 8.84% | 8.42% | 9.04% | 8.84% | 9.60% | 9.73% | 9.17% | 2.23% |
| Phoenix FC | 5.68% | 5.81% | 7.05% | 7.31% | 7.85% | 8.40% | 8.78% | 8.72% | 9.39% | 9.71% | 9.52% | 9.63% | 2.15% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 4.15% | 5.42% | 6.12% | 6.44% | 7.49% | 8.00% | 8.53% | 8.90% | 9.43% | 10.05% | 11.10% | 11.40% | 2.97% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4.04% | 5.05% | 5.69% | 6.40% | 6.78% | 7.71% | 8.17% | 8.92% | 10.04% | 10.59% | 11.64% | 11.98% | 2.99% |
| Antigua Barracuda FC | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.09% | 0.21% | 0.29% | 0.61% | 0.70% | 1.09% | 1.89% | 4.68% | 11.71% | 78.55% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 18.21% | 14.08% | 11.93% | 10.21% | 8.69% | 7.63% | 7.17% | 5.83% | 16.25% |
| Richmond Kickers | 12.56% | 10.79% | 10.37% | 9.49% | 8.97% | 8.28% | 8.21% | 7.81% | 23.52% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 11.24% | 10.29% | 9.98% | 9.71% | 8.87% | 8.41% | 8.46% | 7.75% | 25.29% |
| Charleston Battery | 10.11% | 9.81% | 9.06% | 9.54% | 8.74% | 8.24% | 8.36% | 8.35% | 27.79% |
| Los Angeles Blues | 8.28% | 8.53% | 8.41% | 8.66% | 9.13% | 8.39% | 8.53% | 8.03% | 32.04% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 7.53% | 8.11% | 8.84% | 8.45% | 8.67% | 8.25% | 8.10% | 8.79% | 33.26% |
| VSI Tampa Bay FC | 7.31% | 8.06% | 7.96% | 8.50% | 8.91% | 8.83% | 8.30% | 8.25% | 33.88% |
| Phoenix FC | 5.68% | 5.81% | 7.05% | 7.31% | 7.85% | 8.40% | 8.78% | 8.72% | 40.40% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 5.65% | 7.31% | 7.11% | 7.92% | 8.12% | 8.73% | 8.36% | 8.91% | 37.89% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 5.21% | 6.71% | 7.36% | 7.28% | 7.57% | 8.84% | 8.42% | 9.04% | 39.57% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 4.15% | 5.42% | 6.12% | 6.44% | 7.49% | 8.00% | 8.53% | 8.90% | 44.95% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4.04% | 5.05% | 5.69% | 6.40% | 6.78% | 7.71% | 8.17% | 8.92% | 47.24% |
| Antigua Barracuda FC | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.09% | 0.21% | 0.29% | 0.61% | 0.70% | 97.92% |
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to USL Championship | Won USL Championship |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 83.75% | 51.43% | 30.72% | 17.83% |
| Richmond Kickers | 76.48% | 43.69% | 23.73% | 13.02% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 74.71% | 40.34% | 21.29% | 11.24% |
| Charleston Battery | 72.21% | 38.48% | 19.95% | 10.09% |
| Los Angeles Blues | 67.96% | 33.80% | 16.71% | 8.34% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 66.74% | 31.87% | 15.22% | 7.33% |
| VSI Tampa Bay FC | 66.12% | 30.81% | 14.35% | 6.56% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 60.43% | 27.99% | 13.16% | 5.91% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 62.11% | 28.16% | 13.22% | 5.89% |
| Phoenix FC | 59.60% | 26.22% | 11.34% | 4.99% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 52.76% | 22.65% | 9.93% | 4.40% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 55.05% | 24.01% | 10.25% | 4.37% |
| Antigua Barracuda FC | 2.08% | 0.55% | 0.13% | 0.03% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Antigua Barracuda FC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Blues | Orlando City SC | Phoenix FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | VSI Tampa Bay FC | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua Barracuda FC | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.07% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.04% | 0.04% | ||
| Charleston Battery | 0.10% | 3.98% | 3.16% | 3.65% | 3.82% | 3.58% | 3.40% | 2.99% | 3.35% | 3.59% | 3.75% | 3.11% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 0.10% | 3.00% | 2.48% | 3.21% | 3.03% | 2.74% | 2.94% | 2.62% | 2.97% | 3.15% | 3.06% | 2.57% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.08% | 2.42% | 2.29% | 2.35% | 2.24% | 2.26% | 2.00% | 1.81% | 2.31% | 2.14% | 2.15% | 1.96% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 0.17% | 3.52% | 3.93% | 3.62% | 3.79% | 3.76% | 3.35% | 3.14% | 3.57% | 3.63% | 4.02% | 3.84% | |
| Los Angeles Blues | 0.14% | 3.22% | 3.22% | 3.12% | 3.04% | 2.93% | 2.75% | 2.48% | 3.25% | 3.18% | 3.47% | 3.00% | |
| Orlando City SC | 0.24% | 4.78% | 4.76% | 4.01% | 4.70% | 4.58% | 4.91% | 4.48% | 4.34% | 4.85% | 4.82% | 4.96% | |
| Phoenix FC | 0.13% | 2.35% | 2.68% | 2.25% | 2.59% | 2.40% | 2.56% | 2.01% | 2.53% | 2.28% | 2.22% | 2.22% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.08% | 2.06% | 1.90% | 1.83% | 2.33% | 2.28% | 2.25% | 1.91% | 2.14% | 1.92% | 2.10% | 1.85% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 0.16% | 4.01% | 4.13% | 3.49% | 4.34% | 3.84% | 3.74% | 4.04% | 3.51% | 4.11% | 4.57% | 3.75% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 0.07% | 2.64% | 2.39% | 2.51% | 2.86% | 2.58% | 2.91% | 2.60% | 2.24% | 2.53% | 2.47% | 2.36% | |
| VSI Tampa Bay FC | 0.16% | 2.99% | 2.96% | 2.36% | 2.75% | 2.90% | 2.66% | 2.96% | 2.52% | 3.17% | 2.60% | 2.78% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 0.10% | 2.69% | 2.55% | 2.20% | 2.49% | 2.63% | 2.88% | 2.47% | 2.31% | 2.60% | 2.43% | 2.64% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Antigua Barracuda FC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Blues | Orlando City SC | Phoenix FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | VSI Tampa Bay FC | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua Barracuda FC | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||
| Charleston Battery | 0.02% | 1.77% | 1.45% | 2.23% | 1.68% | 2.55% | 1.49% | 1.34% | 2.46% | 1.61% | 1.79% | 1.56% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 0.04% | 1.67% | 0.99% | 1.40% | 1.43% | 1.96% | 1.24% | 0.98% | 1.82% | 1.31% | 1.27% | 1.11% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.04% | 0.91% | 1.03% | 0.92% | 0.86% | 1.45% | 0.83% | 0.60% | 1.12% | 0.66% | 1.00% | 0.83% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 0.05% | 2.29% | 1.85% | 1.62% | 1.83% | 2.79% | 1.66% | 1.48% | 2.34% | 1.66% | 1.92% | 1.80% | |
| Los Angeles Blues | 0.03% | 1.73% | 1.45% | 1.16% | 1.90% | 1.91% | 1.37% | 1.09% | 1.76% | 1.35% | 1.56% | 1.40% | |
| Orlando City SC | 0.04% | 3.08% | 2.84% | 2.04% | 3.39% | 2.97% | 2.62% | 2.28% | 3.75% | 2.52% | 2.74% | 2.45% | |
| Phoenix FC | 0.03% | 1.25% | 1.02% | 0.79% | 1.27% | 1.23% | 1.06% | 0.84% | 1.18% | 0.82% | 0.90% | 0.95% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.04% | 0.88% | 0.84% | 0.66% | 1.17% | 0.94% | 1.15% | 0.78% | 0.98% | 0.84% | 1.00% | 0.65% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 0.03% | 2.56% | 2.16% | 1.88% | 2.55% | 2.17% | 3.16% | 1.62% | 1.43% | 1.99% | 2.15% | 2.03% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 0.02% | 1.37% | 1.20% | 1.10% | 1.30% | 1.44% | 1.45% | 0.93% | 0.79% | 1.67% | 1.00% | 0.95% | |
| VSI Tampa Bay FC | 0.05% | 1.57% | 1.39% | 1.02% | 1.41% | 1.47% | 1.67% | 1.15% | 0.92% | 1.41% | 1.19% | 1.10% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 0.03% | 1.20% | 1.09% | 1.02% | 1.49% | 1.07% | 1.55% | 1.17% | 0.96% | 1.46% | 0.99% | 1.13% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Antigua Barracuda FC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Blues | Orlando City SC | Phoenix FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | VSI Tampa Bay FC | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua Barracuda FC | 0.01% | 0.02% | |||||||||||
| Charleston Battery | 0.80% | 0.74% | 1.12% | 1.06% | 1.68% | 0.64% | 0.59% | 1.36% | 0.57% | 0.70% | 0.83% | ||
| Charlotte Eagles | 0.80% | 0.44% | 0.89% | 0.71% | 0.98% | 0.53% | 0.42% | 0.82% | 0.51% | 0.62% | 0.61% | ||
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.38% | 0.31% | 0.45% | 0.38% | 0.66% | 0.28% | 0.26% | 0.55% | 0.34% | 0.39% | 0.37% | ||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 0.02% | 1.12% | 0.94% | 0.64% | 0.98% | 1.81% | 0.80% | 0.78% | 1.40% | 0.81% | 1.08% | 0.86% | |
| Los Angeles Blues | 0.02% | 0.99% | 0.75% | 0.46% | 0.70% | 1.49% | 0.46% | 0.37% | 1.13% | 0.75% | 0.62% | 0.60% | |
| Orlando City SC | 2.06% | 1.62% | 1.10% | 2.14% | 1.55% | 1.26% | 1.04% | 2.45% | 1.67% | 1.55% | 1.39% | ||
| Phoenix FC | 0.50% | 0.53% | 0.22% | 0.46% | 0.40% | 0.78% | 0.33% | 0.67% | 0.45% | 0.35% | 0.30% | ||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.54% | 0.39% | 0.32% | 0.44% | 0.39% | 0.56% | 0.30% | 0.55% | 0.32% | 0.26% | 0.33% | ||
| Richmond Kickers | 0.04% | 1.38% | 1.00% | 0.81% | 1.61% | 1.22% | 2.16% | 0.88% | 0.71% | 0.98% | 1.19% | 1.04% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 0.65% | 0.41% | 0.37% | 0.76% | 0.57% | 0.89% | 0.41% | 0.34% | 0.56% | 0.54% | 0.39% | ||
| VSI Tampa Bay FC | 0.02% | 0.79% | 0.58% | 0.46% | 0.85% | 0.52% | 0.97% | 0.44% | 0.34% | 0.62% | 0.44% | 0.53% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 0.65% | 0.56% | 0.32% | 0.63% | 0.58% | 0.91% | 0.35% | 0.35% | 0.60% | 0.49% | 0.47% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to USL Championship | Won USL Championship |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Kickers | 72.23% | 49.38% | 32.91% |
| Orlando City SC | 73.72% | 51.87% | 27.57% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 69.14% | 29.78% | 14.19% |
| Charleston Battery | 66.61% | 26.98% | 10.81% |
| Los Angeles Blues | 33.39% | 13.13% | 5.30% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 30.86% | 12.64% | 3.94% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 27.77% | 8.20% | 2.71% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26.28% | 8.02% | 2.57% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Blues | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 66.61% | |||||||
| Charlotte Eagles | 30.86% | |||||||
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 27.77% | |||||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 69.14% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Blues | 33.39% | |||||||
| Orlando City SC | 73.72% | |||||||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26.28% | |||||||
| Richmond Kickers | 72.23% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Blues | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 15.11% | 11.87% | ||||||
| Charlotte Eagles | 5.89% | 6.75% | ||||||
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 2.71% | 5.49% | ||||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 13.68% | 16.10% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Blues | 6.74% | 6.39% | ||||||
| Orlando City SC | 34.32% | 17.55% | ||||||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 5.31% | 2.71% | ||||||
| Richmond Kickers | 15.51% | 33.87% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Blues | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 2.65% | 1.47% | 2.66% | 4.03% | ||||
| Charlotte Eagles | 1.20% | 0.45% | 1.67% | 0.62% | ||||
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.72% | 0.39% | 1.17% | 0.43% | ||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 5.22% | 2.47% | 5.00% | 1.50% | ||||
| Los Angeles Blues | 1.05% | 0.78% | 1.40% | 2.07% | ||||
| Orlando City SC | 4.73% | 2.98% | 10.69% | 9.17% | ||||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.27% | 0.26% | 0.84% | 1.20% | ||||
| Richmond Kickers | 9.03% | 4.52% | 16.46% | 2.90% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Richmond Kickers
32.91% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Dayton Dutch Lions
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
72.23%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Harrisburg City Islanders
Matchup
68.59%
Win Prob
67.78%
→
USL Championship
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
50.02%
Win Prob
64.22%
Orlando City SC
27.57% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
73.72%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Charleston Battery
Matchup
66.17%
Win Prob
69.43%
→
USL Championship
vs. Harrisburg City Islanders
Matchup
38.77%
Win Prob
68.13%
Harrisburg City Islanders
14.19% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Charlotte Eagles
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
69.14%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
54.06%
Win Prob
32.22%
→
USL Championship
vs. Charleston Battery
Matchup
36.79%
Win Prob
66.24%
Charleston Battery
10.81% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Blues
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
66.61%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
56.00%
Win Prob
30.57%
→
USL Championship
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
37.28%
Win Prob
30.86%
Los Angeles Blues
5.30% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Charleston Battery
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
33.39%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
51.33%
Win Prob
27.75%
→
USL Championship
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
39.06%
Win Prob
31.41%
Charlotte Eagles
3.94% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Harrisburg City Islanders
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
30.86%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
53.40%
Win Prob
30.32%
→
USL Championship
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
42.39%
Win Prob
26.09%
Dayton Dutch Lions
2.71% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
27.77%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Harrisburg City Islanders
Matchup
66.95%
Win Prob
28.64%
→
USL Championship
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
43.17%
Win Prob
28.19%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2.57% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Orlando City SC
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
26.28%
→
Conference Finals
vs. Charleston Battery
Matchup
66.21%
Win Prob
30.91%
→
USL Championship
vs. Richmond Kickers
Matchup
46.69%
Win Prob
29.27%
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-04-14 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1470.10 | 1507.30 | 23.68% | 14.29% | 62.03% | -2.16 | 0 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-2 | 1467.94 | 1506.64 | 23.58% | 14.15% | 62.27% | -2.14 | 0 |
| 2013-04-21 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-4 | 1465.80 | 1505.45 | 23.52% | 14.07% | 62.42% | -4.05 | 0 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 1-3 | 1461.75 | 1503.40 | 23.38% | 13.89% | 62.73% | -1.84 | 0 |
| 2013-05-05 | @ Orlando City SC | L 2-7 | 1459.91 | 1541.13 | 20.77% | 10.42% | 68.81% | -2.90 | 0 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-4 | 1457.01 | 1512.74 | 22.43% | 12.63% | 64.93% | -3.79 | 0 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-4 | 1453.22 | 1516.37 | 21.95% | 11.98% | 66.08% | -2.37 | 0 |
| 2013-05-25 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-2 | 1450.85 | 1473.96 | 24.67% | 15.54% | 59.79% | -2.29 | 0 |
| 2013-05-27 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-3 | 1448.56 | 1479.75 | 24.10% | 14.82% | 61.08% | -1.91 | 0 |
| 2013-06-08 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 0-8 | 1446.65 | 1506.49 | 22.16% | 12.27% | 65.57% | -7.17 | 0 |
| 2013-06-10 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1439.48 | 1550.91 | 18.85% | 8.01% | 73.14% | -1.57 | 0 |
| 2013-06-15 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-4 | 1437.91 | 1521.65 | 20.61% | 10.21% | 69.18% | -3.36 | 0 |
| 2013-06-16 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1434.55 | 1527.45 | 20.03% | 9.45% | 70.52% | -1.48 | 0 |
| 2013-06-22 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 1-2 | 1433.07 | 1491.55 | 22.25% | 12.39% | 65.36% | -0.99 | 0 |
| 2013-06-23 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-4 | 1432.08 | 1482.27 | 22.80% | 13.13% | 64.07% | -2.50 | 0 |
| 2013-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 0-6 | 1429.58 | 1503.03 | 21.27% | 11.08% | 67.64% | -5.15 | 0 |
| 2013-07-07 | @ Phoenix FC | L 0-1 | 1424.43 | 1483.41 | 22.22% | 12.34% | 65.44% | -1.04 | 0 |
| 2013-07-12 | @ Phoenix FC | L 0-1 | 1423.39 | 1484.46 | 22.08% | 12.16% | 65.76% | -1.04 | 0 |
| 2013-07-14 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 0-4 | 1422.35 | 1514.26 | 20.09% | 9.53% | 70.38% | -3.25 | 0 |
| 2013-07-27 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-3 | 1419.10 | 1481.45 | 22.00% | 12.05% | 65.95% | -1.68 | 0 |
| 2013-07-28 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1417.42 | 1489.20 | 21.38% | 11.23% | 67.39% | -0.99 | 0 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-5 | 1416.43 | 1498.30 | 20.73% | 10.36% | 68.90% | -4.18 | 0 |
| 2013-08-16 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-3 | 1412.25 | 1521.53 | 18.99% | 8.17% | 72.85% | -2.30 | 0 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-4 | 1409.95 | 1494.44 | 20.56% | 10.15% | 69.29% | -2.16 | 0 |
| 2013-04-14 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-4 | 1508.54 | 1505.85 | 26.61% | 17.74% | 55.65% | -3.09 | 0 |
| 2013-04-21 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 4-0 | 1505.45 | 1465.80 | 62.42% | 14.07% | 23.52% | +4.05 | 3 |
| 2013-04-28 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-0 | 1509.50 | 1474.21 | 61.73% | 14.46% | 23.82% | +2.17 | 6 |
| 2013-05-02 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-1 | 1511.67 | 1512.69 | 26.32% | 17.43% | 56.25% | +2.40 | 9 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1514.07 | 1480.68 | 29.24% | 20.03% | 50.73% | +2.36 | 12 |
| 2013-05-12 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 4-2 | 1516.43 | 1494.38 | 59.62% | 15.63% | 24.75% | +1.78 | 15 |
| 2013-05-15 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-1 | 1518.21 | 1511.24 | 26.95% | 18.08% | 54.96% | -1.36 | 15 |
| 2013-05-26 | Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1516.85 | 1491.43 | 60.16% | 15.34% | 24.51% | -0.42 | 16 |
| 2013-06-01 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-2 | 1516.43 | 1513.88 | 56.49% | 17.31% | 26.20% | -2.41 | 16 |
| 2013-06-06 | Charlotte Eagles | T 2-2 | 1514.02 | 1502.61 | 57.92% | 16.56% | 25.53% | -0.25 | 17 |
| 2013-06-16 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1513.77 | 1480.08 | 29.27% | 20.05% | 50.69% | +0.22 | 18 |
| 2013-06-16 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1513.99 | 1491.81 | 28.23% | 19.25% | 52.52% | +0.26 | 19 |
| 2013-06-23 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | T 0-0 | 1514.25 | 1508.10 | 57.07% | 17.00% | 25.93% | -0.37 | 20 |
| 2013-07-06 | Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1513.88 | 1547.57 | 50.69% | 20.05% | 29.27% | -0.22 | 21 |
| 2013-07-12 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-2 | 1513.66 | 1547.79 | 23.90% | 14.56% | 61.54% | -1.10 | 21 |
| 2013-07-14 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 2-4 | 1512.56 | 1508.18 | 26.75% | 17.88% | 55.38% | -1.96 | 21 |
| 2013-07-20 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1510.60 | 1485.63 | 60.08% | 15.38% | 24.54% | +1.20 | 24 |
| 2013-07-25 | Phoenix FC | W 5-1 | 1511.80 | 1485.36 | 60.32% | 15.24% | 24.44% | +3.56 | 27 |
| 2013-07-28 | Los Angeles Blues | W 3-0 | 1515.36 | 1515.38 | 56.08% | 17.52% | 26.40% | +3.62 | 30 |
| 2013-08-03 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1518.98 | 1486.28 | 29.18% | 19.98% | 50.84% | -1.40 | 30 |
| 2013-08-04 | Richmond Kickers | W 5-2 | 1517.58 | 1539.42 | 52.58% | 19.22% | 28.20% | +2.87 | 33 |
| 2013-08-09 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 1-2 | 1520.45 | 1511.56 | 27.11% | 18.24% | 54.65% | -1.29 | 33 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Phoenix FC | W 1-0 | 1519.16 | 1487.47 | 29.08% | 19.91% | 51.00% | +2.37 | 36 |
| 2013-08-16 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 3-0 | 1521.53 | 1412.25 | 72.85% | 8.17% | 18.99% | +2.30 | 39 |
| 2013-04-14 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 2-0 | 1507.30 | 1470.10 | 62.03% | 14.29% | 23.68% | +2.15 | 3 |
| 2013-04-20 | Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1509.45 | 1499.94 | 57.61% | 16.72% | 25.67% | -0.37 | 4 |
| 2013-04-24 | Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1509.08 | 1537.05 | 51.60% | 19.66% | 28.75% | -0.24 | 5 |
| 2013-04-27 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-0 | 1508.84 | 1476.41 | 61.27% | 14.71% | 24.01% | +2.20 | 8 |
| 2013-05-05 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 3-3 | 1511.04 | 1516.57 | 25.97% | 17.06% | 56.97% | +0.20 | 9 |
| 2013-05-15 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1511.24 | 1518.21 | 54.96% | 18.08% | 26.95% | +1.36 | 12 |
| 2013-05-24 | @ Phoenix FC | T 2-2 | 1512.60 | 1490.19 | 28.25% | 19.26% | 52.49% | +0.19 | 13 |
| 2013-05-26 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 3-4 | 1512.79 | 1503.99 | 27.10% | 18.23% | 54.67% | -1.20 | 13 |
| 2013-06-02 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-4 | 1511.59 | 1516.28 | 55.33% | 17.90% | 26.77% | -8.98 | 13 |
| 2013-06-06 | @ Charleston Battery | T 2-2 | 1502.61 | 1514.02 | 25.53% | 16.56% | 57.92% | +0.25 | 14 |
| 2013-06-22 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 1-0 | 1502.86 | 1509.46 | 55.02% | 18.05% | 26.92% | +1.36 | 17 |
| 2013-06-23 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1504.22 | 1489.63 | 27.58% | 18.68% | 53.74% | +0.31 | 18 |
| 2013-06-29 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | T 2-2 | 1504.53 | 1485.77 | 27.94% | 18.99% | 53.07% | +0.19 | 19 |
| 2013-07-05 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-2 | 1504.72 | 1484.78 | 28.04% | 19.08% | 52.88% | +2.18 | 22 |
| 2013-07-07 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 2-2 | 1506.90 | 1489.95 | 27.78% | 18.86% | 53.36% | +0.20 | 23 |
| 2013-07-14 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 3-2 | 1507.10 | 1490.64 | 58.72% | 16.12% | 25.15% | +1.11 | 26 |
| 2013-07-21 | Dayton Dutch Lions | T 0-0 | 1508.21 | 1484.43 | 59.90% | 15.48% | 24.62% | -0.42 | 27 |
| 2013-07-26 | Los Angeles Blues | T 3-3 | 1507.79 | 1515.20 | 54.89% | 18.12% | 26.99% | -0.18 | 28 |
| 2013-07-28 | Phoenix FC | L 0-4 | 1507.61 | 1481.80 | 60.22% | 15.30% | 24.48% | -9.52 | 28 |
| 2013-08-03 | Richmond Kickers | L 0-1 | 1498.09 | 1537.09 | 49.84% | 20.39% | 29.77% | -2.33 | 28 |
| 2013-08-08 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-1 | 1495.76 | 1530.00 | 23.89% | 14.55% | 61.56% | +2.54 | 31 |
| 2013-08-11 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 5-0 | 1498.30 | 1416.43 | 68.90% | 10.36% | 20.73% | +4.19 | 34 |
| 2013-08-17 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | T 3-3 | 1502.49 | 1495.24 | 26.98% | 18.11% | 54.92% | +0.18 | 35 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1502.67 | 1552.86 | 22.80% | 13.13% | 64.07% | -1.09 | 35 |
| 2013-04-21 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-1 | 1480.63 | 1477.64 | 56.56% | 17.27% | 26.17% | +1.23 | 3 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 1-0 | 1481.86 | 1506.06 | 24.60% | 15.44% | 59.96% | +2.66 | 6 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-4 | 1484.52 | 1537.29 | 22.63% | 12.90% | 64.47% | -3.84 | 6 |
| 2013-05-04 | Charleston Battery | L 0-1 | 1480.68 | 1514.07 | 50.73% | 20.03% | 29.24% | -2.36 | 6 |
| 2013-05-12 | Phoenix FC | W 4-3 | 1478.32 | 1491.40 | 53.98% | 18.56% | 27.46% | +1.21 | 9 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 2-2 | 1479.53 | 1474.19 | 26.82% | 17.95% | 55.22% | +0.22 | 10 |
| 2013-05-27 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 3-1 | 1479.75 | 1448.56 | 61.08% | 14.82% | 24.10% | +1.91 | 13 |
| 2013-06-03 | Los Angeles Blues | T 0-0 | 1481.66 | 1505.39 | 52.27% | 19.36% | 28.37% | -0.28 | 14 |
| 2013-06-17 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 2-1 | 1481.38 | 1510.85 | 51.36% | 19.76% | 28.88% | +1.39 | 17 |
| 2013-06-22 | @ Phoenix FC | T 0-0 | 1482.77 | 1484.45 | 26.27% | 17.38% | 56.35% | +0.36 | 18 |
| 2013-06-24 | @ Los Angeles Blues | W 1-0 | 1483.13 | 1505.67 | 24.71% | 15.59% | 59.70% | +2.64 | 21 |
| 2013-06-29 | Charlotte Eagles | T 2-2 | 1485.77 | 1504.53 | 53.07% | 18.99% | 27.94% | -0.19 | 22 |
| 2013-07-04 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-1 | 1485.58 | 1492.16 | 55.02% | 18.05% | 26.92% | +2.21 | 25 |
| 2013-07-07 | Richmond Kickers | L 2-3 | 1487.79 | 1530.33 | 49.28% | 20.61% | 30.11% | -2.07 | 25 |
| 2013-07-15 | Orlando City SC | T 3-3 | 1485.72 | 1548.88 | 46.05% | 21.70% | 32.25% | -0.09 | 26 |
| 2013-07-20 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-1 | 1485.63 | 1510.60 | 24.54% | 15.38% | 60.08% | -1.20 | 26 |
| 2013-07-21 | @ Charlotte Eagles | T 0-0 | 1484.43 | 1508.21 | 24.62% | 15.48% | 59.90% | +0.42 | 27 |
| 2013-07-25 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-5 | 1484.85 | 1522.56 | 23.65% | 14.24% | 62.11% | -3.40 | 27 |
| 2013-07-27 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 3-1 | 1481.45 | 1419.10 | 65.95% | 12.05% | 22.00% | +1.68 | 30 |
| 2013-08-03 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 3-1 | 1483.13 | 1490.19 | 25.86% | 16.93% | 57.22% | +4.20 | 33 |
| 2013-08-05 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-1 | 1487.33 | 1487.69 | 56.02% | 17.55% | 26.43% | -2.54 | 33 |
| 2013-08-10 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1484.79 | 1490.22 | 25.98% | 17.07% | 56.95% | -1.22 | 33 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 2-5 | 1483.57 | 1536.55 | 22.62% | 12.88% | 64.51% | -2.14 | 33 |
| 2013-08-18 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 3-1 | 1481.43 | 1529.39 | 48.43% | 20.92% | 30.65% | +2.57 | 36 |
| 2013-04-14 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-1 | 1506.65 | 1479.90 | 28.64% | 19.57% | 51.79% | +2.26 | 3 |
| 2013-04-28 | Rochester Rhinos | W 5-1 | 1508.91 | 1497.36 | 57.94% | 16.54% | 25.52% | +3.78 | 6 |
| 2013-05-02 | Charleston Battery | L 1-2 | 1512.69 | 1511.67 | 56.25% | 17.43% | 26.32% | -2.40 | 6 |
| 2013-05-05 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1510.29 | 1493.59 | 27.76% | 18.84% | 53.40% | +2.45 | 9 |
| 2013-05-11 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 4-0 | 1512.74 | 1457.01 | 64.93% | 12.63% | 22.43% | +3.79 | 12 |
| 2013-05-18 | Orlando City SC | T 2-2 | 1516.53 | 1544.03 | 51.67% | 19.63% | 28.70% | -0.18 | 13 |
| 2013-05-25 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-2 | 1516.35 | 1518.39 | 26.24% | 17.35% | 56.41% | -2.47 | 13 |
| 2013-06-01 | @ Charleston Battery | W 2-1 | 1513.88 | 1516.43 | 26.20% | 17.31% | 56.49% | +2.40 | 16 |
| 2013-06-02 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 4-0 | 1516.28 | 1511.59 | 26.77% | 17.90% | 55.33% | +8.98 | 19 |
| 2013-06-06 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1525.26 | 1491.42 | 61.50% | 14.59% | 23.92% | +2.19 | 22 |
| 2013-06-16 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 3-1 | 1527.45 | 1434.55 | 70.52% | 9.45% | 20.03% | +1.48 | 25 |
| 2013-06-22 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 3-4 | 1528.93 | 1479.86 | 63.90% | 13.23% | 22.88% | -2.42 | 25 |
| 2013-06-29 | Phoenix FC | W 2-1 | 1526.51 | 1484.09 | 62.85% | 13.82% | 23.33% | +1.05 | 28 |
| 2013-07-07 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1527.56 | 1489.21 | 29.71% | 20.35% | 49.94% | -1.43 | 28 |
| 2013-07-11 | Los Angeles Blues | L 2-4 | 1526.13 | 1510.44 | 58.60% | 16.19% | 25.21% | -3.82 | 28 |
| 2013-07-14 | Richmond Kickers | L 0-1 | 1522.31 | 1532.60 | 54.43% | 18.35% | 27.22% | -2.48 | 28 |
| 2013-07-20 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 2-0 | 1519.83 | 1510.15 | 27.18% | 18.30% | 54.53% | +4.69 | 31 |
| 2013-07-21 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1524.52 | 1549.11 | 24.57% | 15.41% | 60.03% | -1.96 | 31 |
| 2013-07-25 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-1 | 1522.56 | 1484.85 | 62.11% | 14.24% | 23.65% | +3.40 | 34 |
| 2013-08-01 | @ Phoenix FC | W 3-1 | 1525.96 | 1491.32 | 29.36% | 20.11% | 50.53% | +3.85 | 37 |
| 2013-08-04 | @ Los Angeles Blues | T 2-2 | 1529.81 | 1511.76 | 27.87% | 18.94% | 53.18% | +0.19 | 38 |
| 2013-08-08 | Charlotte Eagles | L 1-2 | 1530.00 | 1495.76 | 61.56% | 14.55% | 23.89% | -2.54 | 38 |
| 2013-08-11 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 3-1 | 1527.46 | 1498.40 | 60.74% | 15.01% | 24.25% | +1.93 | 41 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-3 | 1529.39 | 1481.43 | 30.65% | 20.92% | 48.43% | -2.57 | 41 |
| 2013-03-24 | Phoenix FC | W 2-0 | 1497.11 | 1500.00 | 55.62% | 17.75% | 26.63% | +2.52 | 3 |
| 2013-04-03 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 0-1 | 1499.63 | 1498.66 | 56.24% | 17.44% | 26.32% | -2.54 | 3 |
| 2013-04-11 | Orlando City SC | W 1-0 | 1497.09 | 1535.63 | 49.91% | 20.36% | 29.73% | +1.52 | 6 |
| 2013-04-15 | @ Phoenix FC | W 3-1 | 1498.61 | 1494.95 | 26.69% | 17.82% | 55.49% | +4.11 | 9 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Orlando City SC | L 2-3 | 1502.72 | 1536.01 | 23.95% | 14.64% | 61.41% | -1.04 | 9 |
| 2013-04-22 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 2-3 | 1501.68 | 1504.89 | 26.15% | 17.25% | 56.60% | -1.17 | 9 |
| 2013-04-27 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 4-0 | 1500.51 | 1508.78 | 54.75% | 18.19% | 27.06% | +4.89 | 12 |
| 2013-05-06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 0-0 | 1505.40 | 1472.40 | 61.36% | 14.66% | 23.98% | -0.45 | 13 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1504.95 | 1518.74 | 25.35% | 16.35% | 58.30% | +0.35 | 14 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1505.30 | 1492.61 | 27.42% | 18.53% | 54.04% | -1.31 | 14 |
| 2013-05-26 | Charlotte Eagles | W 4-3 | 1503.99 | 1512.79 | 54.67% | 18.23% | 27.10% | +1.20 | 17 |
| 2013-06-01 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 2-2 | 1505.19 | 1491.85 | 27.48% | 18.58% | 53.94% | +0.20 | 18 |
| 2013-06-03 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | T 0-0 | 1505.39 | 1481.66 | 28.37% | 19.36% | 52.27% | +0.28 | 19 |
| 2013-06-24 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1505.67 | 1483.13 | 59.70% | 15.59% | 24.71% | -2.64 | 19 |
| 2013-07-05 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 6-0 | 1503.03 | 1429.58 | 67.64% | 11.08% | 21.27% | +5.15 | 22 |
| 2013-07-07 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-1 | 1508.18 | 1482.60 | 28.53% | 19.49% | 51.98% | +2.26 | 25 |
| 2013-07-11 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-2 | 1510.44 | 1526.13 | 25.21% | 16.19% | 58.60% | +3.82 | 28 |
| 2013-07-14 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 4-0 | 1514.26 | 1422.35 | 70.38% | 9.53% | 20.09% | +3.25 | 31 |
| 2013-07-22 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1517.51 | 1535.22 | 53.24% | 18.92% | 27.85% | -2.31 | 31 |
| 2013-07-26 | @ Charlotte Eagles | T 3-3 | 1515.20 | 1507.79 | 26.99% | 18.12% | 54.89% | +0.18 | 32 |
| 2013-07-28 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-3 | 1515.38 | 1515.36 | 26.40% | 17.52% | 56.08% | -3.62 | 32 |
| 2013-08-04 | Harrisburg City Islanders | T 2-2 | 1511.76 | 1529.81 | 53.18% | 18.94% | 27.87% | -0.20 | 33 |
| 2013-08-09 | Charleston Battery | W 2-1 | 1511.56 | 1520.45 | 54.65% | 18.24% | 27.11% | +1.29 | 36 |
| 2013-08-18 | Rochester Rhinos | W 2-1 | 1512.85 | 1489.53 | 59.82% | 15.52% | 24.66% | +1.14 | 39 |
| 2013-04-08 | @ Phoenix FC | W 3-1 | 1531.77 | 1498.81 | 29.20% | 20.00% | 50.80% | +3.86 | 3 |
| 2013-04-11 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 0-1 | 1535.63 | 1497.09 | 29.73% | 20.36% | 49.91% | -1.52 | 3 |
| 2013-04-15 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-1 | 1534.11 | 1501.85 | 61.25% | 14.73% | 24.03% | +1.90 | 6 |
| 2013-04-20 | Los Angeles Blues | W 3-2 | 1536.01 | 1502.72 | 61.41% | 14.64% | 23.95% | +1.04 | 9 |
| 2013-04-24 | @ Charlotte Eagles | T 1-1 | 1537.05 | 1509.08 | 28.75% | 19.66% | 51.60% | +0.24 | 10 |
| 2013-04-28 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 4-0 | 1537.29 | 1484.52 | 64.47% | 12.90% | 22.63% | +3.84 | 13 |
| 2013-05-05 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 7-2 | 1541.13 | 1459.91 | 68.81% | 10.42% | 20.77% | +2.90 | 16 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 2-2 | 1544.03 | 1516.53 | 28.70% | 19.63% | 51.67% | +0.18 | 17 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1544.21 | 1493.70 | 30.91% | 21.07% | 48.02% | +2.27 | 20 |
| 2013-05-26 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 4-1 | 1546.48 | 1493.92 | 64.44% | 12.91% | 22.64% | +2.48 | 23 |
| 2013-06-08 | Phoenix FC | W 2-0 | 1548.96 | 1487.58 | 65.80% | 12.13% | 22.06% | +1.95 | 26 |
| 2013-06-10 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 2-0 | 1550.91 | 1439.48 | 73.14% | 8.01% | 18.85% | +1.57 | 29 |
| 2013-06-30 | Richmond Kickers | L 0-2 | 1552.48 | 1525.01 | 60.48% | 15.15% | 24.36% | -5.03 | 29 |
| 2013-07-04 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 2-2 | 1547.45 | 1489.33 | 31.71% | 21.46% | 46.83% | +0.12 | 30 |
| 2013-07-06 | @ Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1547.57 | 1513.88 | 29.27% | 20.05% | 50.69% | +0.22 | 31 |
| 2013-07-12 | Charleston Battery | W 2-1 | 1547.79 | 1513.66 | 61.54% | 14.56% | 23.90% | +1.09 | 34 |
| 2013-07-15 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | T 3-3 | 1548.88 | 1485.72 | 32.25% | 21.70% | 46.05% | +0.09 | 35 |
| 2013-07-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 0-0 | 1548.97 | 1480.34 | 32.87% | 21.93% | 45.20% | +0.14 | 36 |
| 2013-07-21 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 3-1 | 1549.11 | 1524.52 | 60.03% | 15.41% | 24.57% | +1.97 | 39 |
| 2013-08-04 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-1 | 1551.08 | 1484.00 | 66.68% | 11.63% | 21.69% | -2.85 | 39 |
| 2013-08-05 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 3-0 | 1548.23 | 1505.69 | 30.11% | 20.61% | 49.28% | +6.34 | 42 |
| 2013-08-07 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 3-2 | 1554.57 | 1499.35 | 64.85% | 12.68% | 22.47% | +0.95 | 45 |
| 2013-08-15 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-2 | 1555.52 | 1538.70 | 27.77% | 18.85% | 53.38% | -2.66 | 45 |
| 2013-08-18 | Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1552.86 | 1502.67 | 64.07% | 13.13% | 22.80% | +1.08 | 48 |
| 2013-03-24 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 0-2 | 1500.00 | 1497.11 | 26.63% | 17.75% | 55.62% | -2.52 | 0 |
| 2013-03-31 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 1-0 | 1497.48 | 1500.00 | 55.68% | 17.72% | 26.60% | +1.33 | 3 |
| 2013-04-08 | Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1498.81 | 1531.77 | 50.80% | 20.00% | 29.20% | -3.86 | 3 |
| 2013-04-15 | Los Angeles Blues | L 1-3 | 1494.95 | 1498.61 | 55.49% | 17.82% | 26.69% | -4.11 | 3 |
| 2013-04-29 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 3-1 | 1490.84 | 1503.90 | 53.98% | 18.56% | 27.45% | +2.27 | 6 |
| 2013-05-04 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1493.11 | 1472.03 | 59.46% | 15.72% | 24.82% | -0.37 | 7 |
| 2013-05-10 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-2 | 1492.74 | 1472.84 | 28.03% | 19.08% | 52.89% | -1.34 | 7 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | L 3-4 | 1491.40 | 1478.32 | 27.46% | 18.56% | 53.98% | -1.21 | 7 |
| 2013-05-24 | Charlotte Eagles | T 2-2 | 1490.19 | 1512.60 | 52.49% | 19.26% | 28.25% | -0.19 | 8 |
| 2013-06-01 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-1 | 1490.00 | 1520.87 | 24.12% | 14.85% | 61.03% | -1.17 | 8 |
| 2013-06-02 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1488.83 | 1490.18 | 26.29% | 17.41% | 56.30% | -1.25 | 8 |
| 2013-06-08 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1487.58 | 1548.96 | 22.06% | 12.13% | 65.80% | -1.95 | 8 |
| 2013-06-10 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 0-1 | 1485.63 | 1513.66 | 24.32% | 15.10% | 60.57% | -1.18 | 8 |
| 2013-06-22 | Dayton Dutch Lions | T 0-0 | 1484.45 | 1482.77 | 56.35% | 17.38% | 26.27% | -0.36 | 9 |
| 2013-06-29 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-2 | 1484.09 | 1526.51 | 23.33% | 13.82% | 62.85% | -1.05 | 9 |
| 2013-06-30 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1483.04 | 1492.54 | 25.67% | 16.72% | 57.61% | +0.37 | 10 |
| 2013-07-07 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 1-0 | 1483.41 | 1424.43 | 65.44% | 12.34% | 22.22% | +1.05 | 13 |
| 2013-07-12 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 1-0 | 1484.46 | 1423.39 | 65.76% | 12.16% | 22.08% | +1.04 | 16 |
| 2013-07-20 | Richmond Kickers | T 2-2 | 1485.50 | 1535.08 | 48.17% | 21.02% | 30.81% | -0.14 | 17 |
| 2013-07-25 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-5 | 1485.36 | 1511.80 | 24.44% | 15.24% | 60.32% | -3.56 | 17 |
| 2013-07-28 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 4-0 | 1481.80 | 1507.61 | 24.48% | 15.30% | 60.22% | +9.52 | 20 |
| 2013-08-01 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1491.32 | 1525.96 | 50.53% | 20.11% | 29.36% | -3.85 | 20 |
| 2013-08-11 | Charleston Battery | L 0-1 | 1487.47 | 1519.16 | 51.00% | 19.91% | 29.08% | -2.37 | 20 |
| 2013-08-17 | Rochester Rhinos | L 3-4 | 1485.10 | 1487.32 | 55.73% | 17.70% | 26.57% | -2.20 | 20 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 0-0 | 1479.48 | 1506.27 | 24.41% | 15.21% | 60.38% | +0.42 | 1 |
| 2013-04-14 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-2 | 1479.90 | 1506.65 | 51.79% | 19.57% | 28.64% | -2.26 | 1 |
| 2013-04-21 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-2 | 1477.64 | 1480.63 | 26.17% | 17.27% | 56.56% | -1.23 | 1 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1476.41 | 1508.84 | 24.01% | 14.71% | 61.27% | -2.20 | 1 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1474.21 | 1509.50 | 23.82% | 14.46% | 61.73% | -2.18 | 1 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Phoenix FC | T 1-1 | 1472.03 | 1493.11 | 24.82% | 15.72% | 59.46% | +0.37 | 2 |
| 2013-05-06 | @ Los Angeles Blues | T 0-0 | 1472.40 | 1505.40 | 23.98% | 14.66% | 61.36% | +0.44 | 3 |
| 2013-05-10 | Phoenix FC | W 2-1 | 1472.84 | 1492.74 | 52.89% | 19.08% | 28.03% | +1.35 | 6 |
| 2013-05-19 | Dayton Dutch Lions | T 2-2 | 1474.19 | 1479.53 | 55.22% | 17.95% | 26.82% | -0.23 | 7 |
| 2013-05-25 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 2-0 | 1473.96 | 1450.85 | 59.79% | 15.54% | 24.67% | +2.28 | 10 |
| 2013-06-02 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-0 | 1476.24 | 1491.64 | 53.61% | 18.74% | 27.65% | +3.84 | 13 |
| 2013-06-16 | Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1480.08 | 1513.77 | 50.69% | 20.05% | 29.27% | -0.22 | 14 |
| 2013-06-22 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-3 | 1479.86 | 1528.93 | 22.88% | 13.23% | 63.90% | +2.41 | 17 |
| 2013-06-23 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 4-1 | 1482.27 | 1432.08 | 64.07% | 13.13% | 22.80% | +2.51 | 20 |
| 2013-07-05 | Charlotte Eagles | L 2-3 | 1484.78 | 1504.72 | 52.88% | 19.08% | 28.04% | -2.18 | 20 |
| 2013-07-07 | Los Angeles Blues | L 1-2 | 1482.60 | 1508.18 | 51.98% | 19.49% | 28.53% | -2.26 | 20 |
| 2013-07-18 | Orlando City SC | T 0-0 | 1480.34 | 1548.97 | 45.20% | 21.93% | 32.87% | -0.15 | 21 |
| 2013-07-21 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-1 | 1480.19 | 1489.88 | 54.53% | 18.30% | 27.18% | +1.30 | 24 |
| 2013-08-03 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 2-1 | 1481.49 | 1508.20 | 24.42% | 15.22% | 60.36% | +2.51 | 27 |
| 2013-08-04 | @ Orlando City SC | W 1-0 | 1484.00 | 1551.08 | 21.69% | 11.63% | 66.68% | +2.85 | 30 |
| 2013-08-10 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1486.85 | 1485.99 | 26.47% | 17.59% | 55.95% | -1.33 | 30 |
| 2013-08-11 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 3-2 | 1485.52 | 1496.47 | 54.32% | 18.40% | 27.28% | +1.23 | 33 |
| 2013-08-15 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-4 | 1486.75 | 1491.44 | 26.04% | 17.13% | 56.84% | -3.00 | 33 |
| 2013-08-18 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1483.75 | 1541.35 | 46.91% | 21.44% | 31.65% | -0.15 | 34 |
| 2013-04-07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 0-0 | 1506.27 | 1479.48 | 60.38% | 15.21% | 24.41% | -0.42 | 1 |
| 2013-04-14 | Charleston Battery | W 4-1 | 1505.85 | 1508.54 | 55.65% | 17.74% | 26.61% | +3.08 | 4 |
| 2013-04-21 | Rochester Rhinos | W 4-1 | 1508.93 | 1500.32 | 57.47% | 16.80% | 25.74% | +2.96 | 7 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1511.89 | 1501.63 | 27.22% | 18.34% | 54.43% | +4.68 | 10 |
| 2013-05-05 | Charlotte Eagles | T 3-3 | 1516.57 | 1511.04 | 56.97% | 17.06% | 25.97% | -0.20 | 11 |
| 2013-05-12 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 4-1 | 1516.37 | 1453.22 | 66.08% | 11.98% | 21.95% | +2.37 | 14 |
| 2013-05-18 | Los Angeles Blues | T 1-1 | 1518.74 | 1504.95 | 58.30% | 16.35% | 25.35% | -0.35 | 15 |
| 2013-05-25 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-0 | 1518.39 | 1516.35 | 56.41% | 17.35% | 26.24% | +2.48 | 18 |
| 2013-06-01 | Phoenix FC | W 1-0 | 1520.87 | 1490.00 | 61.03% | 14.85% | 24.12% | +1.17 | 21 |
| 2013-06-09 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 1-1 | 1522.04 | 1489.24 | 61.33% | 14.68% | 23.99% | -0.39 | 22 |
| 2013-06-15 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 4-0 | 1521.65 | 1437.91 | 69.18% | 10.21% | 20.61% | +3.36 | 25 |
| 2013-06-30 | @ Orlando City SC | W 2-0 | 1525.01 | 1552.48 | 24.36% | 15.15% | 60.48% | +5.03 | 28 |
| 2013-07-01 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | T 0-0 | 1530.04 | 1508.47 | 28.18% | 19.20% | 52.62% | +0.29 | 29 |
| 2013-07-07 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 3-2 | 1530.33 | 1487.79 | 30.11% | 20.61% | 49.28% | +2.07 | 32 |
| 2013-07-13 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1532.40 | 1489.75 | 30.12% | 20.61% | 49.26% | +0.20 | 33 |
| 2013-07-14 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 1-0 | 1532.60 | 1522.31 | 27.22% | 18.35% | 54.43% | +2.48 | 36 |
| 2013-07-20 | @ Phoenix FC | T 2-2 | 1535.08 | 1485.50 | 30.81% | 21.02% | 48.17% | +0.14 | 37 |
| 2013-07-22 | @ Los Angeles Blues | W 2-1 | 1535.22 | 1517.51 | 27.85% | 18.92% | 53.24% | +2.30 | 40 |
| 2013-07-29 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | T 0-0 | 1537.52 | 1507.77 | 60.85% | 14.95% | 24.20% | -0.43 | 41 |
| 2013-08-03 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1537.09 | 1498.09 | 29.77% | 20.39% | 49.84% | +2.33 | 44 |
| 2013-08-04 | @ Charleston Battery | L 2-5 | 1539.42 | 1517.58 | 28.20% | 19.22% | 52.58% | -2.87 | 44 |
| 2013-08-11 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-2 | 1536.55 | 1483.57 | 64.51% | 12.88% | 22.62% | +2.15 | 47 |
| 2013-08-15 | Orlando City SC | W 2-0 | 1538.70 | 1555.52 | 53.38% | 18.85% | 27.77% | +2.65 | 50 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1541.35 | 1483.75 | 31.65% | 21.44% | 46.91% | +0.16 | 51 |
| 2013-04-14 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 0-3 | 1505.53 | 1501.20 | 26.74% | 17.87% | 55.39% | -3.68 | 0 |
| 2013-04-15 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1501.85 | 1534.11 | 24.03% | 14.73% | 61.25% | -1.91 | 0 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Charlotte Eagles | T 0-0 | 1499.94 | 1509.45 | 25.67% | 16.72% | 57.61% | +0.38 | 1 |
| 2013-04-21 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-4 | 1500.32 | 1508.93 | 25.74% | 16.80% | 57.47% | -2.96 | 1 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-5 | 1497.36 | 1508.91 | 25.52% | 16.54% | 57.94% | -3.77 | 1 |
| 2013-05-05 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-1 | 1493.59 | 1510.29 | 53.40% | 18.84% | 27.76% | -2.45 | 1 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 1-0 | 1491.14 | 1496.95 | 25.95% | 17.03% | 57.02% | +2.56 | 4 |
| 2013-05-19 | Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1493.70 | 1544.21 | 48.02% | 21.07% | 30.91% | -2.27 | 4 |
| 2013-05-26 | @ Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1491.43 | 1516.85 | 24.51% | 15.34% | 60.16% | +0.42 | 5 |
| 2013-06-01 | Los Angeles Blues | T 2-2 | 1491.85 | 1505.19 | 53.94% | 18.58% | 27.48% | -0.21 | 6 |
| 2013-06-02 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-3 | 1491.64 | 1476.24 | 27.65% | 18.74% | 53.61% | -3.83 | 6 |
| 2013-06-15 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | W 3-0 | 1487.81 | 1514.85 | 51.74% | 19.59% | 28.66% | +4.00 | 9 |
| 2013-06-16 | Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1491.81 | 1513.99 | 52.52% | 19.25% | 28.23% | -0.26 | 10 |
| 2013-06-22 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 2-1 | 1491.55 | 1433.07 | 65.36% | 12.39% | 22.25% | +0.99 | 13 |
| 2013-06-30 | Phoenix FC | T 0-0 | 1492.54 | 1483.04 | 57.61% | 16.72% | 25.67% | -0.38 | 14 |
| 2013-07-04 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-3 | 1492.16 | 1485.58 | 26.92% | 18.05% | 55.02% | -2.21 | 14 |
| 2013-07-07 | Charlotte Eagles | T 2-2 | 1489.95 | 1506.90 | 53.36% | 18.86% | 27.78% | -0.20 | 15 |
| 2013-07-13 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1489.75 | 1532.40 | 49.26% | 20.61% | 30.12% | -0.20 | 16 |
| 2013-07-20 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1489.55 | 1489.53 | 56.09% | 17.52% | 26.40% | -0.35 | 17 |
| 2013-07-28 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 1-0 | 1489.20 | 1417.42 | 67.39% | 11.23% | 21.38% | +0.99 | 20 |
| 2013-08-03 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-3 | 1490.19 | 1483.13 | 57.22% | 16.93% | 25.86% | -4.20 | 20 |
| 2013-08-10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1485.99 | 1486.85 | 55.95% | 17.59% | 26.47% | +1.33 | 23 |
| 2013-08-17 | @ Phoenix FC | W 4-3 | 1487.32 | 1485.10 | 26.57% | 17.70% | 55.73% | +2.21 | 26 |
| 2013-08-18 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 1-2 | 1489.53 | 1512.85 | 24.66% | 15.52% | 59.82% | -1.14 | 26 |
| 2013-03-31 | @ Phoenix FC | L 0-1 | 1500.00 | 1497.48 | 26.60% | 17.72% | 55.68% | -1.34 | 0 |
| 2013-04-03 | @ Los Angeles Blues | W 1-0 | 1498.66 | 1499.63 | 26.32% | 17.44% | 56.24% | +2.54 | 3 |
| 2013-04-14 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-0 | 1501.20 | 1505.53 | 55.39% | 17.87% | 26.74% | +3.69 | 6 |
| 2013-04-22 | Los Angeles Blues | W 3-2 | 1504.89 | 1501.68 | 56.60% | 17.25% | 26.15% | +1.17 | 9 |
| 2013-04-27 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1506.06 | 1481.86 | 59.96% | 15.44% | 24.60% | -2.66 | 9 |
| 2013-05-04 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 3-1 | 1503.40 | 1461.75 | 62.73% | 13.89% | 23.38% | +1.84 | 12 |
| 2013-05-27 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 1-0 | 1505.24 | 1491.44 | 58.30% | 16.35% | 25.35% | +1.25 | 15 |
| 2013-06-08 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 8-0 | 1506.49 | 1446.65 | 65.57% | 12.27% | 22.16% | +7.17 | 18 |
| 2013-06-10 | Phoenix FC | W 1-0 | 1513.66 | 1485.63 | 60.57% | 15.10% | 24.32% | +1.19 | 21 |
| 2013-06-15 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-3 | 1514.85 | 1487.81 | 28.66% | 19.59% | 51.74% | -4.00 | 21 |
| 2013-06-17 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-2 | 1510.85 | 1481.38 | 28.88% | 19.76% | 51.36% | -1.39 | 21 |
| 2013-06-22 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-1 | 1509.46 | 1502.86 | 26.92% | 18.05% | 55.02% | -1.36 | 21 |
| 2013-06-23 | @ Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1508.10 | 1514.25 | 25.93% | 17.00% | 57.07% | +0.37 | 22 |
| 2013-07-01 | Richmond Kickers | T 0-0 | 1508.47 | 1530.04 | 52.62% | 19.20% | 28.18% | -0.29 | 23 |
| 2013-07-14 | Charleston Battery | W 4-2 | 1508.18 | 1512.56 | 55.38% | 17.88% | 26.75% | +1.97 | 26 |
| 2013-07-20 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-2 | 1510.15 | 1519.83 | 54.53% | 18.30% | 27.18% | -4.69 | 26 |
| 2013-07-27 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-1 | 1505.46 | 1488.59 | 27.77% | 18.85% | 53.37% | +2.31 | 29 |
| 2013-07-29 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 0-0 | 1507.77 | 1537.52 | 24.20% | 14.95% | 60.85% | +0.43 | 30 |
| 2013-08-03 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-2 | 1508.20 | 1481.49 | 60.36% | 15.22% | 24.42% | -2.51 | 30 |
| 2013-08-05 | Orlando City SC | L 0-3 | 1505.69 | 1548.23 | 49.28% | 20.61% | 30.11% | -6.34 | 30 |
| 2013-08-07 | @ Orlando City SC | L 2-3 | 1499.35 | 1554.57 | 22.47% | 12.68% | 64.85% | -0.95 | 30 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1498.40 | 1527.46 | 24.25% | 15.01% | 60.74% | -1.93 | 30 |
| 2013-08-11 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 2-3 | 1496.47 | 1485.52 | 27.28% | 18.40% | 54.32% | -1.23 | 30 |
| 2013-08-17 | Charlotte Eagles | T 3-3 | 1495.24 | 1502.49 | 54.92% | 18.11% | 26.98% | -0.18 | 31 |
| 2013-04-20 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 2-0 | 1506.64 | 1467.94 | 62.27% | 14.15% | 23.58% | +2.14 | 3 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Los Angeles Blues | L 0-4 | 1508.78 | 1500.51 | 27.06% | 18.19% | 54.75% | -4.88 | 3 |
| 2013-04-29 | @ Phoenix FC | L 1-3 | 1503.90 | 1490.84 | 27.45% | 18.56% | 53.98% | -2.27 | 3 |
| 2013-05-04 | Richmond Kickers | L 0-2 | 1501.63 | 1511.89 | 54.43% | 18.34% | 27.22% | -4.68 | 3 |
| 2013-05-11 | Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1496.95 | 1491.14 | 57.02% | 17.03% | 25.95% | -2.57 | 3 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Charleston Battery | L 2-4 | 1494.38 | 1516.43 | 24.75% | 15.63% | 59.62% | -1.77 | 3 |
| 2013-05-19 | Los Angeles Blues | W 2-1 | 1492.61 | 1505.30 | 54.04% | 18.53% | 27.42% | +1.31 | 6 |
| 2013-05-26 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-4 | 1493.92 | 1546.48 | 22.64% | 12.91% | 64.44% | -2.48 | 6 |
| 2013-05-27 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 0-1 | 1491.44 | 1505.24 | 25.35% | 16.35% | 58.30% | -1.26 | 6 |
| 2013-06-02 | Phoenix FC | W 2-1 | 1490.18 | 1488.83 | 56.30% | 17.41% | 26.29% | +1.24 | 9 |
| 2013-06-06 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-2 | 1491.42 | 1525.26 | 23.92% | 14.59% | 61.50% | -2.18 | 9 |
| 2013-06-09 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1489.24 | 1522.04 | 23.99% | 14.68% | 61.33% | +0.39 | 10 |
| 2013-06-23 | Charlotte Eagles | T 0-0 | 1489.63 | 1504.22 | 53.74% | 18.68% | 27.58% | -0.30 | 11 |
| 2013-07-04 | Orlando City SC | T 2-2 | 1489.33 | 1547.45 | 46.83% | 21.46% | 31.71% | -0.12 | 12 |
| 2013-07-07 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-1 | 1489.21 | 1527.56 | 49.94% | 20.35% | 29.71% | +1.43 | 15 |
| 2013-07-14 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 2-3 | 1490.64 | 1507.10 | 25.15% | 16.12% | 58.72% | -1.11 | 15 |
| 2013-07-20 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1489.53 | 1489.55 | 26.40% | 17.52% | 56.09% | +0.35 | 16 |
| 2013-07-21 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-2 | 1489.88 | 1480.19 | 27.18% | 18.30% | 54.53% | -1.29 | 16 |
| 2013-07-27 | VSI Tampa Bay FC | L 1-2 | 1488.59 | 1505.46 | 53.37% | 18.85% | 27.77% | -2.31 | 16 |
| 2013-08-03 | Charleston Battery | W 2-1 | 1486.28 | 1518.98 | 50.84% | 19.98% | 29.18% | +1.41 | 19 |
| 2013-08-05 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1487.69 | 1487.33 | 26.43% | 17.55% | 56.02% | +2.53 | 22 |
| 2013-08-10 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-1 | 1490.22 | 1484.79 | 56.95% | 17.07% | 25.98% | +1.22 | 25 |
| 2013-08-15 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 4-1 | 1491.44 | 1486.75 | 56.84% | 17.13% | 26.04% | +3.00 | 28 |
| 2013-08-18 | Antigua Barracuda FC | W 4-1 | 1494.44 | 1409.95 | 69.29% | 10.15% | 20.56% | +2.17 | 31 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-08-24 | Los Angeles Blues | W 2-1 | 1523.83 | 1513.99 | 66.97% | 0.00% | 33.03% | +1.20 | 1-0 |
| 2013-08-30 | @ Orlando City SC | L 2-3 | 1525.03 | 1558.34 | 30.11% | 0.00% | 69.89% | -1.04 | 1-1 |
| 2013-08-24 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 3-1 | 1501.58 | 1526.82 | 31.10% | 0.00% | 68.90% | +4.34 | 1-0 |
| 2013-08-31 | @ Richmond Kickers | W 2-1 | 1505.92 | 1542.56 | 29.71% | 0.00% | 70.29% | +2.56 | 2-0 |
| 2013-09-07 | @ Orlando City SC | L 4-7 | 1508.48 | 1559.38 | 28.03% | 0.00% | 71.97% | -1.91 | 2-1 |
| 2013-08-24 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-1 | 1484.00 | 1541.51 | 27.26% | 0.00% | 72.74% | -1.06 | 0-1 |
| 2013-08-24 | Charlotte Eagles | L 1-3 | 1526.82 | 1501.58 | 68.90% | 0.00% | 31.10% | -4.34 | 0-1 |
| 2013-08-24 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-2 | 1513.99 | 1523.83 | 33.03% | 0.00% | 66.97% | -1.20 | 0-1 |
| 2013-08-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 5-0 | 1553.94 | 1483.60 | 74.18% | 0.00% | 25.82% | +4.40 | 1-0 |
| 2013-08-30 | Charleston Battery | W 3-2 | 1558.34 | 1525.03 | 69.89% | 0.00% | 30.11% | +1.04 | 2-0 |
| 2013-09-07 | Charlotte Eagles | W 7-4 | 1559.38 | 1508.48 | 71.97% | 0.00% | 28.03% | +1.90 | 3-0 |
| 2013-08-24 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-5 | 1483.60 | 1553.94 | 25.82% | 0.00% | 74.18% | -4.40 | 0-1 |
| 2013-08-24 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1541.51 | 1484.00 | 72.74% | 0.00% | 27.26% | +1.05 | 1-0 |
| 2013-08-31 | Charlotte Eagles | L 1-2 | 1542.56 | 1505.92 | 70.29% | 0.00% | 29.71% | -2.56 | 1-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2013-08-04 | 21.69% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1484.00 | 1 | @ Orlando City SC | 1551.08 | 0 |
| 2 | 2013-06-22 | 22.88% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1479.86 | 4 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1528.93 | 3 |
| 3 | 2013-08-08 | 23.89% | Charlotte Eagles | 1495.76 | 2 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1530.00 | 1 |
| 4 | 2013-06-30 | 24.36% | Richmond Kickers | 1525.01 | 2 | @ Orlando City SC | 1552.48 | 0 |
| 5 | 2013-08-03 | 24.42% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1481.49 | 2 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | 1508.20 | 1 |
| 6 | 2013-07-28 | 24.48% | Phoenix FC | 1481.80 | 4 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1507.61 | 0 |
| 7 | 2013-04-27 | 24.60% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1481.86 | 1 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | 1506.06 | 0 |
| 8 | 2013-06-24 | 24.71% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1483.13 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Blues | 1505.67 | 0 |
| 9 | 2013-07-11 | 25.21% | Los Angeles Blues | 1510.44 | 4 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1526.13 | 2 |
| 10 | 2013-08-03 | 25.86% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1483.13 | 3 | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1490.19 | 1 |
| 11 | 2013-05-11 | 25.95% | Rochester Rhinos | 1491.14 | 1 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 1496.95 | 0 |
| 12 | 2013-06-01 | 26.20% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1513.88 | 2 | @ Charleston Battery | 1516.43 | 1 |
| 13 | 2013-04-03 | 26.32% | VSI Tampa Bay FC | 1498.66 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Blues | 1499.63 | 0 |
| 14 | 2013-05-02 | 26.32% | Charleston Battery | 1511.67 | 2 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1512.69 | 1 |
| 15 | 2013-08-05 | 26.43% | Wilmington Hammerheads | 1487.69 | 1 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 1487.33 | 0 |
| 16 | 2013-08-17 | 26.57% | Rochester Rhinos | 1487.32 | 4 | @ Phoenix FC | 1485.10 | 3 |
| 17 | 2013-04-15 | 26.69% | Los Angeles Blues | 1498.61 | 3 | @ Phoenix FC | 1494.95 | 1 |
| 18 | 2013-06-02 | 26.77% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1516.28 | 4 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1511.59 | 0 |
| 19 | 2013-07-20 | 27.18% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1519.83 | 2 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | 1510.15 | 0 |
| 20 | 2013-05-04 | 27.22% | Richmond Kickers | 1511.89 | 2 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 1501.63 | 0 |
| 21 | 2013-07-14 | 27.22% | Richmond Kickers | 1532.60 | 1 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1522.31 | 0 |
| 22 | 2013-05-05 | 27.76% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1510.29 | 1 | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1493.59 | 0 |
| 23 | 2013-07-27 | 27.77% | VSI Tampa Bay FC | 1505.46 | 2 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 1488.59 | 1 |
| 24 | 2013-07-22 | 27.85% | Richmond Kickers | 1535.22 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Blues | 1517.51 | 1 |
| 25 | 2013-07-05 | 28.04% | Charlotte Eagles | 1504.72 | 3 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1484.78 | 2 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2013-07-28 | 9.52 | Phoenix FC | 4 | 1481.80 | 24.48% | @ Charlotte Eagles | 0 | 1507.61 | 60.22% | 15.30% |
| 2 | 2013-06-02 | 8.98 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 4 | 1516.28 | 26.77% | @ Charlotte Eagles | 0 | 1511.59 | 55.33% | 17.90% |
| 3 | 2013-06-08 | 7.17 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | 8 | 1506.49 | 65.57% | Antigua Barracuda FC | 0 | 1446.65 | 22.16% | 12.27% |
| 4 | 2013-08-05 | 6.34 | Orlando City SC | 3 | 1548.23 | 30.11% | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | 0 | 1505.69 | 49.28% | 20.61% |
| 5 | 2013-07-05 | 5.15 | @ Los Angeles Blues | 6 | 1503.03 | 67.64% | Antigua Barracuda FC | 0 | 1429.58 | 21.27% | 11.08% |
| 6 | 2013-06-30 | 5.03 | Richmond Kickers | 2 | 1525.01 | 24.36% | @ Orlando City SC | 0 | 1552.48 | 60.48% | 15.15% |
| 7 | 2013-04-27 | 4.89 | @ Los Angeles Blues | 4 | 1500.51 | 54.75% | Wilmington Hammerheads | 0 | 1508.78 | 27.06% | 18.19% |
| 8 | 2013-07-20 | 4.69 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 2 | 1519.83 | 27.18% | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | 0 | 1510.15 | 54.53% | 18.30% |
| 9 | 2013-05-04 | 4.68 | Richmond Kickers | 2 | 1511.89 | 27.22% | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 0 | 1501.63 | 54.43% | 18.34% |
| 10 | 2013-08-24 * | 4.40 | @ Orlando City SC | 5 | 1553.94 | 74.18% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 1483.60 | 25.82% | 0.00% |
| 11 | 2013-08-24 * | 4.34 | Charlotte Eagles | 3 | 1501.58 | 31.10% | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1 | 1526.82 | 68.90% | 0.00% |
| 12 | 2013-08-03 | 4.20 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 3 | 1483.13 | 25.86% | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1 | 1490.19 | 57.22% | 16.93% |
| 13 | 2013-08-11 | 4.19 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 5 | 1498.30 | 68.90% | Antigua Barracuda FC | 0 | 1416.43 | 20.73% | 10.36% |
| 14 | 2013-04-15 | 4.11 | Los Angeles Blues | 3 | 1498.61 | 26.69% | @ Phoenix FC | 1 | 1494.95 | 55.49% | 17.82% |
| 15 | 2013-04-21 | 4.05 | @ Charleston Battery | 4 | 1505.45 | 62.42% | Antigua Barracuda FC | 0 | 1465.80 | 23.52% | 14.07% |
| 16 | 2013-06-15 | 4.00 | @ Rochester Rhinos | 3 | 1487.81 | 51.74% | VSI Tampa Bay FC | 0 | 1514.85 | 28.66% | 19.59% |
| 17 | 2013-04-08 | 3.86 | Orlando City SC | 3 | 1531.77 | 29.20% | @ Phoenix FC | 1 | 1498.81 | 50.80% | 20.00% |
| 18 | 2013-08-01 | 3.85 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 3 | 1525.96 | 29.36% | @ Phoenix FC | 1 | 1491.32 | 50.53% | 20.11% |
| 19 | 2013-04-28 | 3.84 | @ Orlando City SC | 4 | 1537.29 | 64.47% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 0 | 1484.52 | 22.63% | 12.90% |
| 20 | 2013-06-02 | 3.84 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3 | 1476.24 | 53.61% | Rochester Rhinos | 0 | 1491.64 | 27.65% | 18.74% |
| 21 | 2013-07-11 | 3.82 | Los Angeles Blues | 4 | 1510.44 | 25.21% | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 2 | 1526.13 | 58.60% | 16.19% |
| 22 | 2013-05-11 | 3.79 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 4 | 1512.74 | 64.93% | Antigua Barracuda FC | 0 | 1457.01 | 22.43% | 12.63% |
| 23 | 2013-04-28 | 3.78 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 5 | 1508.91 | 57.94% | Rochester Rhinos | 1 | 1497.36 | 25.52% | 16.54% |
| 24 | 2013-04-14 | 3.69 | @ VSI Tampa Bay FC | 3 | 1501.20 | 55.39% | Rochester Rhinos | 0 | 1505.53 | 26.74% | 17.87% |
| 25 | 2013-07-28 | 3.62 | @ Charleston Battery | 3 | 1515.36 | 56.08% | Los Angeles Blues | 0 | 1515.38 | 26.40% | 17.52% |