2014 USL Season
182 regular-season games
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Orlando City SC
27.58% chance to win USL Championship
Biggest Overachiever
Sacramento Republic
10.02 points above expected
49 points · 38.98 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Orange County Blues FC
8.74 points below expected
25 points · 33.74 expected points
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando City SC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 56 | .718 | 51 | 21 | +30 | 46.91 | +9.09 |
| 2 | Richmond Kickers | 13 | 3 | 10 | 49 | .628 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 46.08 | +2.92 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49 | .628 | 42 | 24 | +18 | 38.98 | +10.02 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 13 | 7 | 6 | 45 | .577 | 52 | 38 | +14 | 39.21 | +5.79 |
| 5 | Charleston Battery | 10 | 9 | 7 | 37 | .474 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 38.99 | -1.99 |
| 6 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | .474 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 33.98 | +3.02 |
| 7 | Arizona United SC | 10 | 11 | 5 | 35 | .449 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 29.95 | +5.05 |
| 8 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | .436 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 35.42 | -1.42 |
| 9 | Rochester Rhinos | 8 | 10 | 8 | 32 | .410 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 31.67 | +0.33 |
| 10 | Charlotte Eagles | 9 | 14 | 3 | 30 | .385 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 34.40 | -4.40 |
| 11 | OKC Energy FC | 8 | 13 | 5 | 29 | .372 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 36.18 | -7.18 |
| 12 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 7 | 14 | 5 | 26 | .333 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 29.91 | -3.91 |
| 13 | Orange County Blues FC | 8 | 17 | 1 | 25 | .321 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 33.74 | -8.74 |
| 14 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 6 | 16 | 4 | 22 | .282 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 29.99 | -7.99 |
Playoff Bracket
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 1630 | 56 | 46.91 | +9.09 | 92.66% | 17 | 36 | 42 | 47 | 51 | 58 | 74 | ||
| Richmond Kickers | 1614 | 49 | 46.08 | +2.92 | 69.33% | 15 | 35 | 42 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 72 | ||
| Sacramento Republic | 1560 | 49 | 38.98 | +10.02 | 94.15% | 11 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 68 | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1540 | 45 | 39.21 | +5.79 | 82.41% | 11 | 28 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 68 | ||
| Charleston Battery | 1540 | 37 | 38.99 | -1.99 | 41.24% | 13 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 66 | ||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 1501 | 34 | 35.42 | -1.42 | 45.05% | 10 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 66 | ||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 1498 | 37 | 33.98 | +3.02 | 70.43% | 6 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 38 | 45 | 63 | ||
| OKC Energy FC | 1483 | 29 | 36.18 | -7.18 | 16.01% | 10 | 25 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 47 | 65 | ||
| Charlotte Eagles | 1481 | 30 | 34.40 | -4.40 | 28.24% | 7 | 24 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 45 | 62 | ||
| Rochester Rhinos | 1468 | 32 | 31.67 | +0.33 | 55.74% | 6 | 21 | 27 | 32 | 36 | 43 | 58 | ||
| Arizona United SC | 1456 | 35 | 29.95 | +5.05 | 80.26% | 4 | 19 | 25 | 30 | 34 | 41 | 57 | ||
| Orange County Blues FC | 1420 | 25 | 33.74 | -8.74 | 10.67% | 6 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 38 | 45 | 62 | ||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1418 | 26 | 29.91 | -3.91 | 30.60% | 3 | 19 | 25 | 30 | 34 | 41 | 58 | ||
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 1390 | 22 | 29.99 | -7.99 | 12.53% | 4 | 19 | 26 | 30 | 34 | 41 | 58 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.
| Team | SC | Battery | Eagles | Lions | Islanders | II | FC | FC | SC | Riverhounds | Kickers | Rhinos | Republic | Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | — |
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
2
(4.3 exp.)
|
7
(4.6 exp.)
|
6
(4.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
4
(4.3 exp.)
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Charleston Battery |
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
1
(3.2 exp.)
|
4
(3.4 exp.)
|
6
(4.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
1
(3.5 exp.)
|
7
(5.3 exp.)
|
2
(3.4 exp.)
|
4
(4.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(3.3 exp.)
|
| Charlotte Eagles |
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.4 exp.)
|
— |
3
(4.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
0
(3.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
6
(4.1 exp.)
|
| Dayton Dutch Lions |
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1
(2.1 exp.)
|
6
(3.5 exp.)
|
— |
3
(4.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1
(4.3 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.1 exp.)
|
| Harrisburg City Islanders |
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
3
(3.8 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
9
(6.3 exp.)
|
— |
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
5
(4.6 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(3.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
2
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy II |
8
(6.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
4
(3.4 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
12
(5.8 exp.)
|
12
(5.8 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.8 exp.)
|
4
(5.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
| OKC Energy FC |
4
(6.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(5.2 exp.)
|
— |
9
(6.2 exp.)
|
0
(2.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
6
(4.9 exp.)
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Orange County Blues FC |
6
(6.3 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0
(5.3 exp.)
|
3
(4.9 exp.)
|
— |
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1
(0.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
3
(5.0 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Orlando City SC |
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
7
(4.9 exp.)
|
6
(5.7 exp.)
|
6
(4.2 exp.)
|
3
(3.7 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
6
(3.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
4
(3.7 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(5.7 exp.)
|
1
(1.8 exp.)
|
4
(5.6 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(3.1 exp.)
|
6
(2.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(3.7 exp.)
|
3
(1.0 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
6
(3.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Richmond Kickers |
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
5
(4.9 exp.)
|
6
(5.4 exp.)
|
4
(3.8 exp.)
|
9
(5.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
7
(5.6 exp.)
|
— |
2
(3.7 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
5
(5.3 exp.)
|
| Rochester Rhinos |
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
4
(3.5 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
7
(4.0 exp.)
|
4
(2.2 exp.)
|
3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(4.4 exp.)
|
2
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
4
(3.8 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Republic |
7
(6.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
7
(5.5 exp.)
|
6
(6.2 exp.)
|
9
(6.1 exp.)
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
4
(3.3 exp.)
|
| Wilmington Hammerheads |
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
6
(2.3 exp.)
|
3
(4.2 exp.)
|
3
(3.4 exp.)
|
2
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
2
(3.1 exp.)
|
4
(4.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.14% | 9.34% | 5.77% | 1.65% | 1.92% | 0.82% | 26.65% |
| 1 | 9.34% | 10.44% | 7.97% | 5.22% | 1.65% | 1.10% | 35.71% |
| 2 | 5.77% | 7.97% | 3.30% | 1.92% | 0.82% | — | 19.78% |
| 3 | 1.65% | 5.22% | 1.92% | 1.10% | 0.55% | 0.27% | 10.71% |
| 4 | 1.92% | 1.65% | 0.82% | 0.55% | — | — | 4.95% |
| 5+ | 0.82% | 1.10% | — | 0.27% | — | — | 2.20% |
| Total | 26.65% | 35.71% | 19.78% | 10.71% | 4.95% | 2.20% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.39 | 1.39 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.88 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 7 | 7 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 182
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | 7.69% | — | 26.92% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 15.38% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 34.62% |
| 2 | — | 19.23% | — | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 30.77% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 19.23% | 46.15% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 11.54% | — | 100% |
Arizona United SC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.19 | 1.46 | -0.27 |
| SD | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1.66 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.54% | 15.38% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | 34.62% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 7.69% | — | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 23.08% |
| 2 | 11.54% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 26.92% |
| 3 | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.46% | 30.77% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | 100% |
Charleston Battery — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.31 | 1.15 | +0.15 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.97 |
| CV | 0.96 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 15.38% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 26.92% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 38.46% |
| 2 | 15.38% | 7.69% | — | — | 3.85% | — | 26.92% |
| 3 | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.08% | 38.46% | 23.08% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | 100% |
Charlotte Eagles — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.38 | -0.23 |
| SD | 0.92 | 1.17 | 1.58 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.69% | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 30.77% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 11.54% | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | 7.69% | 46.15% |
| 2 | — | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 11.54% |
| 3 | — | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | 11.54% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.54% | 30.77% | 26.92% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 15.38% | 100% |
Dayton Dutch Lions — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.04 | 2.23 | -1.19 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.80 | 2.04 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 3 | 7 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.54% | 11.54% | — | — | 3.85% | — | 26.92% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 7.69% | — | 30.77% |
| 2 | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 11.54% |
| 3 | — | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 4 | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 15.38% | 38.46% | 19.23% | 15.38% | 11.54% | — | 100% |
Harrisburg City Islanders — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.69 | -0.08 |
| SD | 1.47 | 1.26 | 1.74 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.74 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | 11.54% | — | — | 11.54% |
| 1 | 7.69% | 19.23% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | 42.31% |
| 2 | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 4 | 3.85% | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | 11.54% |
| 5+ | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| Total | 19.23% | 38.46% | 19.23% | 23.08% | — | — | 100% |
Los Angeles Galaxy II — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.46 | +0.54 |
| SD | 1.52 | 1.07 | 2.16 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 19.23% | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | 30.77% |
| 1 | 7.69% | 7.69% | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | 34.62% |
| 2 | 15.38% | — | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | 23.08% |
| 3 | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.62% | 26.92% | 19.23% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 100% |
OKC Energy FC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.19 | 1.38 | -0.19 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.44 | 1.96 |
| CV | 0.92 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.54% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | 30.77% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 3.85% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 46.15% |
| 2 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 11.54% |
| 3 | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| 4 | — | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.38% | 23.08% | 26.92% | 23.08% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 100% |
Orange County Blues FC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 2.00 | -0.88 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.44 | 1.90 |
| CV | 1.02 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 1 | 15.38% | 11.54% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 30.77% |
| 2 | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 15.38% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 23.08% |
| 4 | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 42.31% | 42.31% | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | 100% |
Orlando City SC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.96 | 0.81 | +1.15 |
| SD | 1.59 | 0.90 | 1.85 |
| CV | 0.81 | 1.11 | — |
| Max | 7 | 3 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.69% | 15.38% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | 34.62% |
| 1 | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | 15.38% | — | 3.85% | 38.46% |
| 2 | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 3 | — | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | 11.54% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.08% | 30.77% | 15.38% | 15.38% | 7.69% | 7.69% | 100% |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.04 | 1.77 | -0.73 |
| SD | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.85 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.88 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 23.08% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 30.77% |
| 2 | 3.85% | 11.54% | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | — | 30.77% |
| 3 | — | 11.54% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 4 | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 11.54% |
| 5+ | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 19.23% | 57.69% | 19.23% | 3.85% | — | — | 100% |
Richmond Kickers — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.04 | 1.08 | +0.96 |
| SD | 1.28 | 0.74 | 1.51 |
| CV | 0.63 | 0.69 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.38% | 19.23% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 38.46% |
| 1 | 15.38% | 11.54% | 3.85% | 7.69% | — | — | 38.46% |
| 2 | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 19.23% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.46% | 38.46% | 11.54% | 11.54% | — | — | 100% |
Rochester Rhinos — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.92 | 0.96 | -0.04 |
| SD | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.28 |
| CV | 1.06 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.69% | — | 7.69% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 1 | 15.38% | 7.69% | 19.23% | — | — | — | 42.31% |
| 2 | 3.85% | 23.08% | — | — | — | — | 26.92% |
| 3 | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 7.69% |
| Total | 34.62% | 38.46% | 26.92% | — | — | — | 100% |
Sacramento Republic — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 0.92 | +0.69 |
| SD | 1.42 | 0.80 | 1.76 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 6 | 2 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.08% | — | 19.23% | — | — | — | 42.31% |
| 1 | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 23.08% |
| 2 | — | 7.69% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 3 | — | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 4 | 3.85% | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | 7.69% |
| 5+ | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 38.46% | 19.23% | 30.77% | 11.54% | — | — | 100% |
Wilmington Hammerheads — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.27 | 1.15 | +0.12 |
| SD | 1.48 | 1.08 | 1.63 |
| CV | 1.17 | 0.94 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.75 | +8.8 |
| Allowed | 0.60 | -7.2 |
| Differential | 0.94 | +5.6 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 49 | 38.98 | +10.02 |
| 2 | Orlando City SC | 56 | 46.91 | +9.09 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 45 | 39.21 | +5.79 |
| 4 | Arizona United SC | 35 | 29.95 | +5.05 |
| 5 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 37 | 33.98 | +3.02 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County Blues FC | 25 | 33.74 | -8.74 |
| 2 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 22 | 29.99 | -7.99 |
| 3 | OKC Energy FC | 29 | 36.18 | -7.18 |
| 4 | Charlotte Eagles | 30 | 34.40 | -4.40 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 29.91 | -3.91 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | Jul 28 – Aug 28 | 1 in 82 |
| 2 | Arizona United SC | 4 | Aug 15 – Sep 7 | 1 in 67 |
| 3 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 4 | May 11 – Jun 1 | 1 in 65 |
| 4 | Orlando City SC | 7 | May 18 – Jul 13 | 1 in 59 |
| 5 | Harrisburg City Islanders | 3 | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 1 in 22 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OKC Energy FC | 6 | Aug 10 – Sep 5 | 1 in 313 |
| 2 | Orange County Blues FC | 6 | Jul 8 – Aug 9 | 1 in 265 |
| 3 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 5 | May 17 – Jun 9 | 1 in 58 |
| 4 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 4 | Jul 27 – Aug 21 | 1 in 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | May 10 – May 25 | 1 in 20 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Kickers | 19 | Apr 20 – Aug 17 | 1 in 231 |
| 2 | Orlando City SC | 16 | Mar 23 – Jul 18 | 1 in 123 |
| 3 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 8 | May 4 – Jun 29 | 1 in 79 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 10 | Jul 15 – Sep 5 | 1 in 56 |
| 5 | Rochester Rhinos | 6 | Apr 12 – May 18 | 1 in 50 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Kickers | 5 | Aug 17 – Sep 7 | 1 in 41 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 10 | Mar 30 – Jun 2 | 1 in 36 |
| 3 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 8 | Apr 27 – Jun 9 | 1 in 25 |
| 4 | OKC Energy FC | 7 | Apr 27 – Jun 8 | 1 in 19 |
| 5 | Orange County Blues FC | 6 | Jul 8 – Aug 9 | 1 in 17 |
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 36.89% | 22.67% | 13.46% | 8.82% | 5.96% | 4.06% | 2.82% | 1.85% | 1.35% | 0.94% | 0.58% | 0.35% | 0.18% | 0.09% |
| Richmond Kickers | 31.56% | 22.95% | 14.51% | 9.67% | 6.66% | 4.67% | 3.30% | 2.29% | 1.67% | 1.10% | 0.73% | 0.50% | 0.26% | 0.12% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 6.61% | 10.35% | 12.16% | 11.63% | 10.64% | 9.53% | 8.48% | 7.27% | 6.32% | 5.28% | 4.37% | 3.35% | 2.47% | 1.51% |
| Charleston Battery | 6.78% | 9.77% | 11.38% | 11.57% | 10.72% | 9.78% | 8.63% | 7.52% | 6.44% | 5.46% | 4.41% | 3.45% | 2.50% | 1.60% |
| Sacramento Republic | 6.11% | 9.99% | 11.68% | 11.57% | 10.83% | 9.55% | 8.54% | 7.53% | 6.50% | 5.48% | 4.48% | 3.50% | 2.67% | 1.58% |
| OKC Energy FC | 3.09% | 5.49% | 7.60% | 8.62% | 9.20% | 9.33% | 9.20% | 8.88% | 8.54% | 7.87% | 6.99% | 6.28% | 5.17% | 3.76% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 2.44% | 4.54% | 6.36% | 7.82% | 8.48% | 9.01% | 9.25% | 9.30% | 8.73% | 8.43% | 7.87% | 6.97% | 6.07% | 4.73% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 1.83% | 3.50% | 5.19% | 6.58% | 7.63% | 8.49% | 8.79% | 9.19% | 9.18% | 9.06% | 8.72% | 8.29% | 7.61% | 5.92% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 1.52% | 3.15% | 4.79% | 6.11% | 7.22% | 8.14% | 8.82% | 8.96% | 9.34% | 9.32% | 9.16% | 8.80% | 8.09% | 6.58% |
| Orange County Blues FC | 1.28% | 3.01% | 4.89% | 5.96% | 7.00% | 7.85% | 8.34% | 8.99% | 9.26% | 9.27% | 9.42% | 9.03% | 8.46% | 7.25% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 0.73% | 1.73% | 2.71% | 3.86% | 4.98% | 5.96% | 7.00% | 8.04% | 8.88% | 9.79% | 10.82% | 11.20% | 11.92% | 12.38% |
| Arizona United SC | 0.37% | 1.01% | 1.84% | 2.69% | 3.60% | 4.53% | 5.58% | 6.67% | 7.81% | 9.31% | 10.65% | 12.75% | 15.20% | 18.00% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.38% | 0.94% | 1.73% | 2.59% | 3.55% | 4.64% | 5.61% | 6.90% | 8.10% | 9.35% | 10.85% | 12.59% | 14.79% | 17.99% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.42% | 0.92% | 1.70% | 2.50% | 3.54% | 4.46% | 5.64% | 6.60% | 7.88% | 9.35% | 10.95% | 12.93% | 14.64% | 18.48% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 36.89% | 22.67% | 13.46% | 8.82% | 5.96% | 4.06% | 2.82% | 1.85% | 3.48% |
| Richmond Kickers | 31.56% | 22.95% | 14.51% | 9.67% | 6.66% | 4.67% | 3.30% | 2.29% | 4.38% |
| Charleston Battery | 6.78% | 9.77% | 11.38% | 11.57% | 10.72% | 9.78% | 8.63% | 7.52% | 23.86% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 6.61% | 10.35% | 12.16% | 11.63% | 10.64% | 9.53% | 8.48% | 7.27% | 23.32% |
| Sacramento Republic | 6.11% | 9.99% | 11.68% | 11.57% | 10.83% | 9.55% | 8.54% | 7.53% | 24.20% |
| OKC Energy FC | 3.09% | 5.49% | 7.60% | 8.62% | 9.20% | 9.33% | 9.20% | 8.88% | 38.59% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 2.44% | 4.54% | 6.36% | 7.82% | 8.48% | 9.01% | 9.25% | 9.30% | 42.80% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 1.83% | 3.50% | 5.19% | 6.58% | 7.63% | 8.49% | 8.79% | 9.19% | 48.79% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 1.52% | 3.15% | 4.79% | 6.11% | 7.22% | 8.14% | 8.82% | 8.96% | 51.28% |
| Orange County Blues FC | 1.28% | 3.01% | 4.89% | 5.96% | 7.00% | 7.85% | 8.34% | 8.99% | 52.68% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 0.73% | 1.73% | 2.71% | 3.86% | 4.98% | 5.96% | 7.00% | 8.04% | 64.99% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.42% | 0.92% | 1.70% | 2.50% | 3.54% | 4.46% | 5.64% | 6.60% | 74.22% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 0.38% | 0.94% | 1.73% | 2.59% | 3.55% | 4.64% | 5.61% | 6.90% | 73.67% |
| Arizona United SC | 0.37% | 1.01% | 1.84% | 2.69% | 3.60% | 4.53% | 5.58% | 6.67% | 73.72% |
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away teamNo Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone. Subdued: under 5.31 · As Expected: 5.31 to 7.3 · Elevated: 7.3 to 9.95 · High Variance: 9.95 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.Pinpoint: under 2.36 · Close: 2.36 to 3.2 · Off Target: 3.2 to 4.17 · Well Off Target: 4.17 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.Minimal Outliers: under 0.7 · As Expected: 0.7 to 1.68 · Several Outliers: 1.68 to 3.08 · Many Outliers: 3.08 and up.
- Unexpected Playoff Teams
- Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.Fewer Than Expected: under 1.57 · As Expected: 1.57 to 2.62 · More Than Expected: 2.62 to 4.19 · Far More Than Expected: 4.19 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
- Close Games
- Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
- Strangeness
- How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.12 · Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.24 · Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to USL Championship | Won USL Championship |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 96.52% | 67.69% | 44.07% | 27.58% |
| Richmond Kickers | 95.62% | 65.16% | 40.86% | 24.10% |
| Sacramento Republic | 75.80% | 42.21% | 21.72% | 10.55% |
| Charleston Battery | 76.14% | 40.07% | 19.26% | 8.88% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 76.68% | 40.39% | 19.32% | 8.81% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 57.19% | 24.95% | 10.50% | 4.17% |
| OKC Energy FC | 61.41% | 25.77% | 10.22% | 3.90% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 48.72% | 20.85% | 8.60% | 3.43% |
| Charlotte Eagles | 51.21% | 20.51% | 8.18% | 3.05% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 35.01% | 13.09% | 4.84% | 1.72% |
| Orange County Blues FC | 47.32% | 15.10% | 4.68% | 1.42% |
| Arizona United SC | 26.28% | 9.21% | 3.31% | 1.13% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25.78% | 7.81% | 2.43% | 0.72% |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 26.33% | 7.18% | 2.01% | 0.53% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona United SC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | OKC Energy FC | Orange County Blues FC | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | 34.9%2.74% | 46.8%1.36% | 57.8%0.52% | 42.9%1.57% | 35.8%2.61% | 44.5%1.58% | 54.3%0.99% | 24.9%5.08% | 59.7%0.46% | 24.7%4.94% | 48.1%0.78% | 34.9%2.48% | 39.1%1.18% | |
| Charleston Battery | 65.1%2.74% | 59.6%5.30% | 70.8%2.60% | 56.9%6.20% | 50.5%8.59% | 58.1%6.89% | 68.5%5.17% | 35.4%9.36% | 67.9%2.45% | 38.5%9.65% | 61.2%3.50% | 47.3%8.48% | 58.2%5.21% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 53.2%1.36% | 40.4%5.30% | 63.2%1.12% | 47.6%3.48% | 40.5%5.78% | 49.1%3.93% | 58.3%2.64% | 27.6%8.39% | 57.4%1.18% | 28.9%8.20% | 50.6%1.74% | 36.0%5.51% | 48.6%2.57% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 42.2%0.52% | 29.2%2.60% | 36.8%1.12% | 33.9%1.32% | 27.7%2.75% | 34.5%1.75% | 42.5%1.17% | 18.1%5.19% | 51.3%0.45% | 18.7%4.94% | 38.9%0.66% | 27.6%2.73% | 33.1%1.13% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 57.1%1.57% | 43.1%6.20% | 52.4%3.48% | 66.1%1.32% | 44.1%6.27% | 50.9%4.37% | 62.6%3.22% | 29.3%8.82% | 63.6%1.43% | 31.7%9.03% | 56.4%2.07% | 41.4%6.25% | 49.7%3.19% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 64.2%2.61% | 49.5%8.59% | 59.5%5.78% | 72.3%2.75% | 55.9%6.27% | 59.2%6.95% | 68.5%5.02% | 36.0%8.79% | 68.9%2.71% | 37.0%9.14% | 61.1%3.69% | 47.3%9.03% | 57.0%5.36% | |
| OKC Energy FC | 55.5%1.58% | 41.9%6.89% | 50.9%3.93% | 65.5%1.75% | 49.1%4.37% | 40.8%6.95% | 60.5%3.35% | 27.8%9.06% | 60.6%1.75% | 29.1%8.83% | 54.2%2.45% | 38.4%6.75% | 47.5%3.74% | |
| Orange County Blues FC | 45.7%0.99% | 31.5%5.17% | 41.7%2.64% | 57.5%1.17% | 37.4%3.22% | 31.5%5.02% | 39.5%3.35% | 21.2%7.93% | 50.5%1.12% | 22.3%7.61% | 43.6%1.65% | 29.3%4.95% | 40.8%2.50% | |
| Orlando City SC | 75.1%5.08% | 64.6%9.36% | 72.4%8.39% | 81.9%5.19% | 70.7%8.82% | 64.0%8.79% | 72.2%9.06% | 78.8%7.93% | 79.4%5.13% | 53.0%5.19% | 74.1%6.50% | 61.5%8.97% | 70.3%8.12% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 40.3%0.46% | 32.1%2.45% | 42.6%1.18% | 48.7%0.45% | 36.4%1.43% | 31.1%2.71% | 39.4%1.75% | 49.5%1.12% | 20.6%5.13% | 22.0%4.76% | 43.4%0.61% | 28.3%2.64% | 36.2%1.09% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 75.3%4.94% | 61.5%9.65% | 71.1%8.20% | 81.3%4.94% | 68.3%9.03% | 63.0%9.14% | 70.9%8.83% | 77.7%7.61% | 47.0%5.19% | 78.0%4.76% | 72.4%6.15% | 59.7%9.23% | 68.5%7.94% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 51.9%0.78% | 38.8%3.50% | 49.4%1.74% | 61.1%0.66% | 43.6%2.07% | 38.9%3.69% | 45.8%2.45% | 56.4%1.65% | 25.9%6.50% | 56.6%0.61% | 27.6%6.15% | 34.5%3.65% | 43.9%1.56% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 65.1%2.48% | 52.7%8.48% | 64.0%5.51% | 72.4%2.73% | 58.6%6.25% | 52.7%9.03% | 61.6%6.75% | 70.7%4.95% | 38.5%8.97% | 71.7%2.64% | 40.3%9.23% | 65.5%3.65% | 60.2%5.14% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 60.9%1.18% | 41.8%5.21% | 51.4%2.57% | 66.9%1.13% | 50.3%3.19% | 43.0%5.36% | 52.5%3.74% | 59.2%2.50% | 29.7%8.12% | 63.8%1.09% | 31.5%7.94% | 56.1%1.56% | 39.8%5.14% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona United SC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | OKC Energy FC | Orange County Blues FC | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | 37.0%0.95% | 46.5%0.47% | 62.6%0.16% | 44.5%0.58% | 35.5%0.82% | 47.0%0.53% | 52.4%0.29% | 25.8%1.74% | 53.6%0.15% | 27.8%1.79% | 43.2%0.29% | 32.3%0.92% | 46.5%0.51% | |
| Charleston Battery | 63.0%0.95% | 58.6%2.08% | 71.6%0.69% | 55.3%2.41% | 49.8%4.31% | 57.8%2.65% | 69.0%1.55% | 36.0%8.68% | 67.5%0.73% | 38.1%8.03% | 61.9%1.31% | 46.4%4.51% | 58.9%2.18% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 53.5%0.47% | 41.4%2.08% | 62.3%0.35% | 49.1%1.27% | 42.0%2.08% | 50.0%1.24% | 58.3%0.67% | 29.9%4.10% | 61.4%0.40% | 29.6%3.95% | 53.6%0.65% | 39.4%2.28% | 46.5%0.98% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 37.4%0.16% | 28.4%0.69% | 37.7%0.35% | 32.2%0.40% | 31.8%0.72% | 37.5%0.47% | 43.7%0.26% | 18.6%1.35% | 37.0%0.11% | 20.1%1.34% | 44.4%0.21% | 25.5%0.80% | 37.2%0.33% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 55.5%0.58% | 44.7%2.41% | 50.9%1.27% | 67.8%0.40% | 42.5%2.61% | 53.1%1.62% | 61.1%0.94% | 31.0%5.14% | 64.4%0.46% | 33.5%4.82% | 54.1%0.80% | 39.9%2.65% | 51.4%1.26% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 64.5%0.82% | 50.2%4.31% | 58.0%2.08% | 68.2%0.72% | 57.5%2.61% | 58.3%2.51% | 66.8%1.47% | 35.8%8.79% | 65.0%0.83% | 37.8%8.36% | 62.6%1.32% | 46.5%4.38% | 58.2%2.18% | |
| OKC Energy FC | 53.0%0.53% | 42.2%2.65% | 50.0%1.24% | 62.5%0.47% | 46.9%1.62% | 41.7%2.51% | 60.2%0.83% | 28.6%5.43% | 62.7%0.50% | 31.0%5.21% | 53.4%0.77% | 39.6%2.68% | 49.0%1.33% | |
| Orange County Blues FC | 47.6%0.29% | 31.0%1.55% | 41.7%0.67% | 56.3%0.26% | 38.9%0.94% | 33.2%1.47% | 39.8%0.83% | 21.9%3.09% | 54.8%0.27% | 23.0%2.97% | 42.1%0.45% | 30.2%1.55% | 37.8%0.75% | |
| Orlando City SC | 74.2%1.74% | 64.0%8.68% | 70.1%4.10% | 81.4%1.35% | 69.0%5.14% | 64.2%8.79% | 71.4%5.43% | 78.1%3.09% | 79.8%1.51% | 52.2%12.05% | 73.9%2.57% | 60.6%9.12% | 69.4%4.13% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 46.4%0.15% | 32.5%0.73% | 38.6%0.40% | 63.0%0.11% | 35.6%0.46% | 35.0%0.83% | 37.3%0.50% | 45.2%0.27% | 20.2%1.51% | 22.2%1.43% | 48.8%0.21% | 31.8%0.82% | 38.2%0.40% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 72.2%1.79% | 61.9%8.03% | 70.4%3.95% | 79.9%1.34% | 66.5%4.82% | 62.2%8.36% | 69.0%5.21% | 77.0%2.97% | 47.8%12.05% | 77.8%1.43% | 71.2%2.46% | 58.8%8.83% | 67.2%3.94% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 56.8%0.29% | 38.1%1.31% | 46.4%0.65% | 55.6%0.21% | 45.9%0.80% | 37.4%1.32% | 46.6%0.77% | 57.9%0.45% | 26.1%2.57% | 51.2%0.21% | 28.8%2.46% | 36.3%1.44% | 43.7%0.62% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 67.7%0.92% | 53.6%4.51% | 60.6%2.28% | 74.5%0.80% | 60.1%2.65% | 53.5%4.38% | 60.4%2.68% | 69.8%1.55% | 39.4%9.12% | 68.2%0.82% | 41.2%8.83% | 63.7%1.44% | 60.9%2.23% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 53.5%0.51% | 41.1%2.18% | 53.5%0.98% | 62.8%0.33% | 48.6%1.26% | 41.8%2.18% | 51.0%1.33% | 62.2%0.75% | 30.6%4.13% | 61.8%0.40% | 32.8%3.94% | 56.3%0.62% | 39.1%2.23% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Arizona United SC | Charleston Battery | Charlotte Eagles | Dayton Dutch Lions | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | OKC Energy FC | Orange County Blues FC | Orlando City SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona United SC | 44.4%0.33% | 42.7%0.13% | 52.2%0.02% | 48.4%0.15% | 39.8%0.30% | 50.7%0.14% | 52.6%0.06% | 23.6%0.84% | 46.5%0.04% | 27.5%0.75% | 47.4%0.08% | 32.4%0.34% | 39.5%0.12% | |
| Charleston Battery | 55.6%0.33% | 59.2%0.76% | 77.0%0.18% | 55.8%0.99% | 51.0%1.89% | 58.8%1.00% | 68.4%0.43% | 36.9%5.12% | 67.4%0.23% | 38.7%4.73% | 59.1%0.46% | 47.6%2.23% | 55.6%0.88% | |
| Charlotte Eagles | 57.3%0.13% | 40.8%0.76% | 61.3%0.07% | 48.0%0.39% | 41.3%0.85% | 44.4%0.40% | 61.2%0.15% | 30.0%2.05% | 63.6%0.09% | 30.4%1.86% | 49.7%0.16% | 38.4%0.97% | 42.8%0.30% | |
| Dayton Dutch Lions | 47.8%0.02% | 23.0%0.18% | 38.7%0.07% | 33.0%0.09% | 28.8%0.18% | 44.7%0.09% | 45.2%0.04% | 20.7%0.49% | 52.9%0.02% | 17.2%0.47% | 35.7%0.04% | 29.0%0.22% | 39.5%0.09% | |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 51.6%0.15% | 44.2%0.99% | 52.0%0.39% | 67.0%0.09% | 40.6%1.05% | 52.5%0.52% | 59.5%0.24% | 31.0%2.76% | 59.8%0.09% | 34.2%2.40% | 54.0%0.24% | 41.5%1.16% | 50.1%0.43% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 60.2%0.30% | 49.0%1.89% | 58.7%0.85% | 71.2%0.18% | 59.4%1.05% | 55.1%0.96% | 66.1%0.45% | 35.9%5.25% | 63.7%0.24% | 39.4%4.66% | 61.9%0.47% | 46.1%2.18% | 54.4%0.83% | |
| OKC Energy FC | 49.3%0.14% | 41.2%1.00% | 55.6%0.40% | 55.3%0.09% | 47.5%0.52% | 44.9%0.96% | 64.3%0.18% | 28.7%2.60% | 62.8%0.11% | 31.2%2.42% | 55.0%0.22% | 38.7%1.16% | 50.1%0.41% | |
| Orange County Blues FC | 47.4%0.06% | 31.6%0.43% | 38.8%0.15% | 54.8%0.04% | 40.5%0.24% | 33.9%0.45% | 35.7%0.18% | 23.5%1.20% | 42.9%0.05% | 24.2%1.06% | 37.8%0.10% | 36.4%0.49% | 37.1%0.23% | |
| Orlando City SC | 76.4%0.84% | 63.1%5.12% | 70.0%2.05% | 79.3%0.49% | 69.0%2.76% | 64.1%5.25% | 71.3%2.60% | 76.5%1.20% | 81.0%0.62% | 52.5%13.72% | 73.4%1.27% | 61.6%5.92% | 70.2%2.22% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 53.5%0.04% | 32.6%0.23% | 36.4%0.09% | 47.1%0.02% | 40.2%0.09% | 36.3%0.24% | 37.2%0.11% | 57.1%0.05% | 19.0%0.62% | 25.5%0.51% | 43.2%0.04% | 28.6%0.28% | 38.1%0.10% | |
| Richmond Kickers | 72.5%0.75% | 61.3%4.73% | 69.6%1.86% | 82.8%0.47% | 65.8%2.40% | 60.6%4.66% | 68.8%2.42% | 75.8%1.06% | 47.5%13.72% | 74.5%0.51% | 70.7%1.07% | 58.9%5.31% | 68.9%1.92% | |
| Rochester Rhinos | 52.6%0.08% | 40.9%0.46% | 50.3%0.16% | 64.3%0.04% | 46.0%0.24% | 38.1%0.47% | 45.0%0.22% | 62.2%0.10% | 26.6%1.27% | 56.8%0.04% | 29.3%1.07% | 37.3%0.54% | 35.3%0.15% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 67.6%0.34% | 52.4%2.23% | 61.6%0.97% | 71.0%0.22% | 58.5%1.16% | 53.9%2.18% | 61.3%1.16% | 63.6%0.49% | 38.4%5.92% | 71.4%0.28% | 41.1%5.31% | 62.7%0.54% | 58.1%0.92% | |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 60.5%0.12% | 44.4%0.88% | 57.2%0.30% | 60.5%0.09% | 49.9%0.43% | 45.6%0.83% | 49.9%0.41% | 62.9%0.23% | 29.8%2.22% | 61.9%0.10% | 31.1%1.92% | 64.7%0.15% | 41.9%0.92% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.
| Team | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to USL Championship | Won USL Championship |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 71.33% | 42.75% | 28.59% |
| Richmond Kickers | 64.79% | 32.78% | 21.03% |
| Sacramento Republic | 62.76% | 37.98% | 16.54% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 63.97% | 31.43% | 12.38% |
| Charleston Battery | 35.21% | 14.49% | 7.18% |
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 37.24% | 16.29% | 5.61% |
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 28.67% | 9.98% | 4.41% |
| Rochester Rhinos | 36.03% | 14.30% | 4.25% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | Orlando City SC | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 35.2%100.00% | |||||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 28.7%100.00% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 64.0%100.00% | |||||||
| Orlando City SC | 71.3%100.00% | |||||||
| Richmond Kickers | 64.8%100.00% | |||||||
| Rochester Rhinos | 36.0%100.00% | |||||||
| Sacramento Republic | 62.8%100.00% | |||||||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 37.2%100.00% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | Orlando City SC | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 59.0%10.15% | 33.9%25.06% | ||||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 41.0%10.15% | 31.4%18.52% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 42.7%40.09% | 59.9%23.89% | ||||||
| Orlando City SC | 66.1%25.06% | 56.6%46.27% | ||||||
| Richmond Kickers | 68.6%18.52% | 43.4%46.27% | ||||||
| Rochester Rhinos | 33.7%22.67% | 49.8%13.36% | ||||||
| Sacramento Republic | 57.3%40.09% | 66.3%22.67% | ||||||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 40.1%23.89% | 50.2%13.36% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charleston Battery | Harrisburg City Islanders | Los Angeles Galaxy II | Orlando City SC | Richmond Kickers | Rochester Rhinos | Sacramento Republic | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 46.6%4.49% | 63.7%2.09% | 43.6%5.47% | 56.4%2.44% | ||||
| Harrisburg City Islanders | 42.0%3.10% | 56.4%1.41% | 40.6%3.84% | 46.2%1.64% | ||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy II | 53.4%4.49% | 58.0%3.10% | 34.0%13.44% | 34.8%10.40% | ||||
| Orlando City SC | 66.0%13.44% | 74.3%6.21% | 63.4%16.20% | 70.1%6.89% | ||||
| Richmond Kickers | 65.2%10.40% | 72.0%4.58% | 57.9%12.47% | 69.7%5.33% | ||||
| Rochester Rhinos | 36.3%2.09% | 43.6%1.41% | 25.7%6.21% | 28.0%4.58% | ||||
| Sacramento Republic | 56.4%5.47% | 59.4%3.84% | 36.6%16.20% | 42.1%12.47% | ||||
| Wilmington Hammerheads | 43.6%2.44% | 53.8%1.64% | 29.9%6.89% | 30.3%5.33% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Summary of every regular-season game played this season.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-04-13 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-4 | 1459.23 | 1503.48 | 36.17% | 23.28% | 40.55% | -17.15 | 0 |
| 2014-04-20 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1442.08 | 1511.39 | 32.84% | 23.04% | 44.12% | +5.28 | 3 |
| 2014-04-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1447.36 | 1506.04 | 34.22% | 23.17% | 42.61% | +0.22 | 4 |
| 2014-05-04 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1447.58 | 1503.54 | 34.58% | 23.19% | 42.23% | +5.09 | 7 |
| 2014-05-10 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-4 | 1452.67 | 1563.24 | 22.27% | 20.30% | 57.43% | -11.10 | 7 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 1-0 | 1441.57 | 1480.90 | 29.46% | 22.54% | 48.00% | +5.99 | 10 |
| 2014-05-18 | Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1447.56 | 1590.17 | 24.63% | 21.24% | 54.13% | -3.43 | 10 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 0-2 | 1444.13 | 1476.04 | 30.33% | 22.70% | 46.97% | -7.82 | 10 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Sacramento Republic | T 1-1 | 1436.31 | 1518.72 | 24.87% | 21.33% | 53.80% | +0.80 | 11 |
| 2014-06-12 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-2 | 1437.11 | 1435.55 | 42.70% | 23.16% | 34.14% | -5.14 | 11 |
| 2014-06-15 | Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1431.97 | 1468.82 | 37.20% | 23.31% | 39.49% | +5.13 | 14 |
| 2014-06-22 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1437.10 | 1528.92 | 30.07% | 22.65% | 47.27% | +0.46 | 15 |
| 2014-06-27 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1437.56 | 1508.10 | 26.06% | 21.71% | 52.23% | -3.62 | 15 |
| 2014-06-29 | Orange County Blues FC | L 2-3 | 1433.94 | 1486.02 | 35.10% | 23.22% | 41.67% | -4.18 | 15 |
| 2014-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 2-4 | 1429.76 | 1519.25 | 24.19% | 21.08% | 54.73% | -4.92 | 15 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1424.84 | 1486.04 | 27.03% | 21.99% | 50.98% | +5.92 | 18 |
| 2014-07-18 | @ OKC Energy FC | T 1-1 | 1430.76 | 1501.88 | 26.00% | 21.69% | 52.31% | +0.73 | 19 |
| 2014-07-20 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-0 | 1431.49 | 1480.11 | 35.57% | 23.25% | 41.18% | +14.51 | 22 |
| 2014-07-26 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1446.00 | 1505.24 | 27.24% | 22.04% | 50.71% | +0.72 | 23 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1446.72 | 1509.36 | 26.88% | 21.95% | 51.17% | -7.02 | 23 |
| 2014-08-03 | Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1439.70 | 1525.18 | 30.83% | 22.78% | 46.39% | -3.96 | 23 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 2-3 | 1435.74 | 1526.60 | 24.06% | 21.04% | 54.90% | -3.00 | 23 |
| 2014-08-15 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 2-1 | 1432.74 | 1507.97 | 25.58% | 21.56% | 52.85% | +6.10 | 26 |
| 2014-08-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1438.84 | 1435.99 | 42.88% | 23.15% | 33.97% | +7.45 | 29 |
| 2014-08-23 | OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1446.29 | 1496.83 | 35.31% | 23.24% | 41.45% | +5.32 | 32 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-1 | 1451.61 | 1422.86 | 38.33% | 23.32% | 38.36% | +4.73 | 35 |
| 2014-03-23 | Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1528.50 | 1568.94 | 36.70% | 23.29% | 40.01% | +0.09 | 1 |
| 2014-03-30 | Richmond Kickers | T 2-2 | 1528.59 | 1551.11 | 39.25% | 23.31% | 37.44% | -0.04 | 2 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1528.55 | 1572.98 | 28.88% | 22.42% | 48.70% | -3.97 | 2 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 0-0 | 1524.58 | 1454.61 | 44.21% | 23.03% | 32.76% | -0.34 | 3 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1524.24 | 1453.63 | 44.30% | 23.02% | 32.67% | -5.62 | 3 |
| 2014-05-03 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-0 | 1518.62 | 1499.34 | 36.98% | 23.30% | 39.72% | +18.44 | 6 |
| 2014-05-05 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-0 | 1537.06 | 1473.16 | 43.35% | 23.11% | 33.54% | +8.51 | 9 |
| 2014-05-11 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-1 | 1545.57 | 1476.17 | 52.08% | 21.75% | 26.18% | -6.40 | 9 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-1 | 1539.17 | 1482.57 | 42.32% | 23.19% | 34.50% | -5.42 | 9 |
| 2014-05-25 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1533.75 | 1434.15 | 56.03% | 20.72% | 23.25% | +3.25 | 12 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1537.00 | 1599.10 | 26.94% | 21.96% | 51.10% | -7.04 | 12 |
| 2014-06-15 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-0 | 1529.96 | 1541.99 | 40.76% | 23.27% | 35.97% | +13.07 | 15 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 1-3 | 1543.03 | 1481.45 | 43.02% | 23.13% | 33.84% | -8.96 | 15 |
| 2014-07-06 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-4 | 1534.07 | 1481.58 | 41.73% | 23.22% | 35.05% | -12.37 | 15 |
| 2014-07-13 | Charlotte Eagles | T 0-0 | 1521.70 | 1485.30 | 47.59% | 22.61% | 29.80% | -0.54 | 16 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-4 | 1521.16 | 1603.77 | 24.85% | 21.32% | 53.83% | -12.37 | 16 |
| 2014-07-23 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1508.79 | 1616.15 | 28.29% | 22.30% | 49.41% | +0.57 | 17 |
| 2014-07-27 | Arizona United SC | W 2-0 | 1509.36 | 1446.72 | 51.17% | 21.95% | 26.88% | +7.03 | 20 |
| 2014-08-02 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1516.39 | 1459.36 | 42.38% | 23.18% | 34.44% | -0.24 | 21 |
| 2014-08-09 | Dayton Dutch Lions | T 2-2 | 1516.15 | 1409.28 | 56.96% | 20.44% | 22.60% | -0.72 | 22 |
| 2014-08-14 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-2 | 1515.43 | 1446.56 | 52.01% | 21.76% | 26.23% | +3.26 | 25 |
| 2014-08-16 | Rochester Rhinos | W 2-1 | 1518.69 | 1453.89 | 51.46% | 21.88% | 26.66% | +3.48 | 28 |
| 2014-08-25 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 2-0 | 1522.17 | 1491.50 | 38.60% | 23.32% | 38.08% | +9.41 | 31 |
| 2014-08-28 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-3 | 1531.58 | 1555.33 | 31.32% | 22.85% | 45.83% | -6.96 | 31 |
| 2014-08-31 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 4-0 | 1524.62 | 1434.90 | 54.76% | 21.08% | 24.17% | +12.05 | 34 |
| 2014-09-06 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-1 | 1536.67 | 1496.54 | 48.10% | 22.52% | 29.37% | +3.80 | 37 |
| 2014-04-05 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1493.91 | 1475.46 | 45.09% | 22.94% | 31.97% | -5.69 | 0 |
| 2014-04-13 | Richmond Kickers | W 2-1 | 1488.22 | 1556.69 | 32.95% | 23.05% | 44.00% | +5.26 | 3 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1493.48 | 1486.60 | 35.27% | 23.23% | 41.50% | +10.06 | 6 |
| 2014-05-04 | @ Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1503.54 | 1447.58 | 42.23% | 23.19% | 34.58% | -5.10 | 6 |
| 2014-05-06 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-2 | 1498.44 | 1520.41 | 31.54% | 22.88% | 45.58% | -4.04 | 6 |
| 2014-05-09 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-0 | 1494.40 | 1479.88 | 36.32% | 23.28% | 40.40% | +9.85 | 9 |
| 2014-05-22 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1504.25 | 1593.60 | 24.20% | 21.09% | 54.71% | -5.51 | 9 |
| 2014-05-25 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-2 | 1498.74 | 1584.56 | 24.54% | 21.21% | 54.25% | -6.44 | 9 |
| 2014-06-01 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1492.30 | 1499.94 | 41.39% | 23.24% | 35.37% | -5.02 | 9 |
| 2014-06-08 | OKC Energy FC | T 1-1 | 1487.28 | 1475.67 | 44.12% | 23.04% | 32.84% | -0.30 | 10 |
| 2014-06-14 | Orange County Blues FC | L 0-1 | 1486.98 | 1480.50 | 43.40% | 23.10% | 33.50% | -5.53 | 10 |
| 2014-06-22 | Charleston Battery | W 3-1 | 1481.45 | 1543.03 | 33.84% | 23.13% | 43.02% | +8.96 | 13 |
| 2014-06-28 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 1-1 | 1490.41 | 1481.73 | 35.52% | 23.25% | 41.24% | +0.15 | 14 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1490.56 | 1472.10 | 36.87% | 23.30% | 39.84% | +5.17 | 17 |
| 2014-07-06 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-3 | 1495.73 | 1427.14 | 51.97% | 21.77% | 26.26% | -10.43 | 17 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1485.30 | 1521.70 | 29.80% | 22.61% | 47.59% | +0.54 | 18 |
| 2014-07-15 | Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1485.84 | 1503.39 | 39.97% | 23.29% | 36.74% | -5.18 | 18 |
| 2014-07-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-2 | 1480.66 | 1426.68 | 41.94% | 23.21% | 34.85% | -10.14 | 18 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-1 | 1470.52 | 1430.03 | 40.01% | 23.29% | 36.69% | +4.57 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1475.09 | 1504.52 | 38.26% | 23.32% | 38.42% | +9.47 | 24 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-4 | 1484.56 | 1625.59 | 19.78% | 19.02% | 61.21% | -6.33 | 24 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1478.23 | 1624.47 | 19.38% | 18.79% | 61.84% | -2.53 | 24 |
| 2014-08-17 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-1 | 1475.70 | 1450.41 | 46.05% | 22.82% | 31.13% | +6.93 | 27 |
| 2014-08-21 | Orlando City SC | W 2-0 | 1482.63 | 1631.36 | 24.05% | 21.03% | 54.92% | +12.59 | 30 |
| 2014-08-30 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-1 | 1495.22 | 1428.54 | 51.71% | 21.83% | 26.46% | -6.36 | 30 |
| 2014-09-07 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 2-4 | 1488.86 | 1492.74 | 41.92% | 23.21% | 34.87% | -7.85 | 30 |
| 2014-04-05 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1475.46 | 1493.91 | 31.97% | 22.94% | 45.09% | +5.70 | 3 |
| 2014-04-12 | Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1481.16 | 1453.21 | 46.42% | 22.78% | 30.81% | -0.42 | 4 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 1-0 | 1480.74 | 1511.14 | 30.51% | 22.73% | 46.76% | +5.86 | 7 |
| 2014-04-27 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-5 | 1486.60 | 1550.76 | 33.50% | 23.11% | 43.39% | -13.44 | 7 |
| 2014-05-05 | Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1473.16 | 1537.06 | 33.54% | 23.11% | 43.35% | -8.51 | 7 |
| 2014-05-11 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1464.65 | 1524.45 | 34.07% | 23.15% | 42.77% | +0.23 | 8 |
| 2014-05-17 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 3-5 | 1464.88 | 1474.92 | 33.04% | 23.06% | 43.90% | -6.15 | 8 |
| 2014-05-26 | Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1458.73 | 1514.35 | 34.63% | 23.19% | 42.18% | -4.36 | 8 |
| 2014-06-02 | Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1454.37 | 1462.59 | 41.30% | 23.24% | 35.45% | -5.31 | 8 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 3-4 | 1449.06 | 1483.86 | 29.99% | 22.64% | 47.37% | -3.59 | 8 |
| 2014-06-09 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-5 | 1445.47 | 1538.30 | 23.88% | 20.97% | 55.16% | -9.92 | 8 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Arizona United SC | W 2-1 | 1435.55 | 1437.11 | 34.14% | 23.16% | 42.70% | +5.14 | 11 |
| 2014-06-21 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-2 | 1440.69 | 1463.69 | 31.41% | 22.86% | 45.72% | -8.05 | 11 |
| 2014-06-22 | Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1432.64 | 1613.08 | 21.24% | 19.80% | 58.96% | -5.58 | 11 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1427.06 | 1423.98 | 34.76% | 23.20% | 42.04% | +5.39 | 14 |
| 2014-07-03 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-2 | 1432.45 | 1418.59 | 44.44% | 23.01% | 32.55% | -5.31 | 14 |
| 2014-07-06 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 3-1 | 1427.14 | 1495.73 | 26.26% | 21.77% | 51.97% | +10.43 | 17 |
| 2014-07-13 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1437.57 | 1493.95 | 34.53% | 23.19% | 42.29% | -7.54 | 17 |
| 2014-07-20 | Charlotte Eagles | L 1-2 | 1430.03 | 1470.52 | 36.69% | 23.29% | 40.01% | -4.57 | 17 |
| 2014-07-27 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-3 | 1425.46 | 1496.21 | 32.66% | 23.02% | 44.32% | -12.09 | 17 |
| 2014-08-03 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-1 | 1413.37 | 1506.82 | 29.88% | 22.62% | 47.50% | -4.09 | 17 |
| 2014-08-09 | @ Charleston Battery | T 2-2 | 1409.28 | 1516.15 | 22.60% | 20.44% | 56.96% | +0.72 | 18 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-1 | 1410.00 | 1489.03 | 25.20% | 21.44% | 53.36% | +6.15 | 21 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1416.15 | 1627.00 | 15.05% | 15.73% | 69.22% | +1.55 | 22 |
| 2014-09-01 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-7 | 1417.70 | 1612.92 | 16.00% | 16.49% | 67.51% | -13.13 | 22 |
| 2014-09-06 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-4 | 1404.57 | 1492.76 | 30.50% | 22.73% | 46.77% | -14.91 | 22 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1511.14 | 1482.16 | 38.36% | 23.32% | 38.32% | +0.00 | 1 |
| 2014-04-20 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1511.14 | 1480.74 | 46.76% | 22.73% | 30.51% | -5.86 | 1 |
| 2014-04-25 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 1-4 | 1505.28 | 1487.36 | 36.79% | 23.30% | 39.92% | -11.22 | 1 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1494.06 | 1506.12 | 32.78% | 23.03% | 44.19% | +5.28 | 4 |
| 2014-05-03 | Charleston Battery | L 0-4 | 1499.34 | 1518.62 | 39.72% | 23.30% | 36.98% | -18.44 | 4 |
| 2014-05-11 | Arizona United SC | L 0-1 | 1480.90 | 1441.57 | 48.00% | 22.54% | 29.46% | -5.98 | 4 |
| 2014-05-17 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-3 | 1474.92 | 1464.88 | 43.90% | 23.06% | 33.04% | +6.15 | 7 |
| 2014-06-01 | Richmond Kickers | L 2-3 | 1481.07 | 1590.19 | 28.10% | 22.25% | 49.65% | -3.47 | 7 |
| 2014-06-02 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1477.60 | 1430.91 | 40.90% | 23.26% | 35.84% | -0.13 | 8 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 0-1 | 1477.47 | 1593.66 | 21.79% | 20.07% | 58.14% | -3.04 | 8 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1474.43 | 1436.37 | 39.67% | 23.30% | 37.03% | +7.98 | 11 |
| 2014-06-15 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 0-0 | 1482.41 | 1428.40 | 50.00% | 22.18% | 27.81% | -0.68 | 12 |
| 2014-06-28 | Charlotte Eagles | T 1-1 | 1481.73 | 1490.41 | 41.24% | 23.25% | 35.52% | -0.15 | 13 |
| 2014-07-06 | Charleston Battery | W 4-1 | 1481.58 | 1534.07 | 35.05% | 23.22% | 41.73% | +12.37 | 16 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 3-1 | 1493.95 | 1437.57 | 42.29% | 23.19% | 34.53% | +7.54 | 19 |
| 2014-07-19 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1501.49 | 1500.18 | 42.66% | 23.16% | 34.18% | -0.25 | 20 |
| 2014-07-24 | OKC Energy FC | T 3-3 | 1501.24 | 1496.06 | 43.21% | 23.12% | 33.67% | -0.16 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1501.08 | 1615.57 | 21.93% | 20.14% | 57.93% | -2.88 | 21 |
| 2014-07-31 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-1 | 1498.20 | 1545.42 | 35.76% | 23.26% | 40.98% | +8.62 | 24 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1506.82 | 1413.37 | 47.50% | 22.62% | 29.88% | +4.10 | 27 |
| 2014-08-10 | Orlando City SC | W 3-2 | 1510.92 | 1631.92 | 26.81% | 21.93% | 51.26% | +5.64 | 30 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1516.56 | 1626.27 | 22.35% | 20.33% | 57.32% | -5.08 | 30 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 2-2 | 1511.48 | 1443.49 | 43.93% | 23.06% | 33.01% | -0.22 | 31 |
| 2014-08-31 | Rochester Rhinos | L 1-4 | 1511.26 | 1443.70 | 51.83% | 21.80% | 26.37% | -14.72 | 31 |
| 2014-09-06 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-2 | 1496.54 | 1536.67 | 29.37% | 22.52% | 48.10% | -3.80 | 31 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 4-2 | 1492.74 | 1488.86 | 34.87% | 23.21% | 41.92% | +7.85 | 34 |
| 2014-03-23 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-1 | 1500.00 | 1508.28 | 41.30% | 23.24% | 35.46% | +7.71 | 3 |
| 2014-03-30 | Sacramento Republic | T 1-1 | 1507.71 | 1500.00 | 43.57% | 23.09% | 33.34% | -0.28 | 4 |
| 2014-04-08 | OKC Energy FC | W 4-2 | 1507.43 | 1510.26 | 42.07% | 23.20% | 34.72% | +6.78 | 7 |
| 2014-04-14 | Sacramento Republic | L 0-3 | 1514.21 | 1495.80 | 45.08% | 22.94% | 31.98% | -15.59 | 7 |
| 2014-04-20 | Orange County Blues FC | W 3-1 | 1498.62 | 1494.79 | 43.02% | 23.14% | 33.84% | +7.42 | 10 |
| 2014-04-26 | @ Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1506.04 | 1447.36 | 42.61% | 23.17% | 34.22% | -0.22 | 11 |
| 2014-04-28 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 3-0 | 1505.82 | 1498.58 | 35.32% | 23.24% | 41.44% | +14.59 | 14 |
| 2014-05-06 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1520.41 | 1498.44 | 45.58% | 22.88% | 31.54% | +4.04 | 17 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | T 1-1 | 1524.45 | 1464.65 | 42.77% | 23.15% | 34.07% | -0.23 | 18 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1524.22 | 1504.94 | 36.98% | 23.30% | 39.72% | -4.60 | 18 |
| 2014-05-26 | OKC Energy FC | W 5-0 | 1519.62 | 1494.03 | 46.09% | 22.82% | 31.09% | +18.68 | 21 |
| 2014-06-09 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-1 | 1538.30 | 1445.47 | 55.16% | 20.97% | 23.88% | +9.92 | 24 |
| 2014-06-12 | Rochester Rhinos | L 1-2 | 1548.22 | 1462.58 | 54.22% | 21.22% | 24.56% | -6.23 | 24 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-3 | 1541.99 | 1529.96 | 35.97% | 23.27% | 40.76% | -13.07 | 24 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1528.92 | 1437.10 | 47.27% | 22.65% | 30.07% | -0.47 | 25 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-3 | 1528.45 | 1618.65 | 24.12% | 21.06% | 54.82% | -9.20 | 25 |
| 2014-07-05 | Arizona United SC | W 4-2 | 1519.25 | 1429.76 | 54.73% | 21.08% | 24.19% | +4.92 | 28 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1524.17 | 1501.16 | 37.51% | 23.31% | 39.18% | +5.10 | 31 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 4-0 | 1529.27 | 1465.59 | 43.32% | 23.11% | 33.57% | +16.15 | 34 |
| 2014-07-31 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1545.42 | 1498.20 | 40.98% | 23.26% | 35.76% | -8.62 | 34 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-3 | 1536.80 | 1420.98 | 50.56% | 22.07% | 27.37% | -10.20 | 34 |
| 2014-08-10 | Arizona United SC | W 3-2 | 1526.60 | 1435.74 | 54.90% | 21.04% | 24.06% | +3.00 | 37 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1529.60 | 1501.86 | 38.18% | 23.32% | 38.50% | +5.03 | 40 |
| 2014-08-24 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 3-3 | 1534.63 | 1480.40 | 50.03% | 22.18% | 27.79% | -0.38 | 41 |
| 2014-09-02 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1534.25 | 1619.34 | 30.88% | 22.79% | 46.34% | +0.42 | 42 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1534.67 | 1565.44 | 30.47% | 22.72% | 46.81% | +5.53 | 45 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-0 | 1500.00 | 1500.57 | 34.27% | 23.17% | 42.56% | +10.26 | 3 |
| 2014-04-08 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 2-4 | 1510.26 | 1507.43 | 34.72% | 23.20% | 42.07% | -6.78 | 3 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Arizona United SC | W 4-0 | 1503.48 | 1459.23 | 40.55% | 23.28% | 36.17% | +17.15 | 6 |
| 2014-04-27 | Orlando City SC | L 1-2 | 1520.63 | 1576.96 | 34.53% | 23.19% | 42.28% | -4.36 | 6 |
| 2014-05-05 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1516.27 | 1581.31 | 26.63% | 21.88% | 51.49% | -6.03 | 6 |
| 2014-05-11 | Orange County Blues FC | L 0-1 | 1510.24 | 1470.04 | 48.12% | 22.52% | 29.36% | -6.00 | 6 |
| 2014-05-17 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-4 | 1504.24 | 1574.35 | 32.74% | 23.03% | 44.23% | -10.21 | 6 |
| 2014-05-26 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-5 | 1494.03 | 1519.62 | 31.09% | 22.82% | 46.09% | -18.68 | 6 |
| 2014-06-07 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 2-2 | 1475.35 | 1504.95 | 30.61% | 22.74% | 46.65% | +0.32 | 7 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Charlotte Eagles | T 1-1 | 1475.67 | 1487.28 | 32.84% | 23.04% | 44.12% | +0.30 | 8 |
| 2014-06-15 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-0 | 1475.97 | 1517.92 | 36.49% | 23.29% | 40.22% | +9.82 | 11 |
| 2014-06-23 | Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1485.79 | 1471.74 | 44.47% | 23.01% | 32.53% | -0.36 | 12 |
| 2014-06-29 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-0 | 1485.43 | 1511.72 | 38.71% | 23.32% | 37.97% | +9.39 | 15 |
| 2014-07-13 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-0 | 1494.82 | 1433.74 | 50.96% | 21.99% | 27.05% | +7.06 | 18 |
| 2014-07-18 | Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1501.88 | 1430.76 | 52.31% | 21.69% | 26.00% | -0.72 | 19 |
| 2014-07-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-1 | 1501.16 | 1524.17 | 39.18% | 23.31% | 37.51% | -5.10 | 19 |
| 2014-07-24 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 3-3 | 1496.06 | 1501.24 | 33.67% | 23.12% | 43.21% | +0.15 | 20 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 3-0 | 1496.21 | 1425.46 | 44.32% | 23.02% | 32.66% | +12.09 | 23 |
| 2014-08-03 | Orange County Blues FC | W 1-0 | 1508.30 | 1449.44 | 50.66% | 22.05% | 27.29% | +3.78 | 26 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1512.08 | 1529.15 | 32.15% | 22.96% | 44.89% | -4.11 | 26 |
| 2014-08-15 | Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1507.97 | 1432.74 | 52.85% | 21.56% | 25.58% | -6.11 | 26 |
| 2014-08-17 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-1 | 1501.86 | 1529.60 | 38.50% | 23.32% | 38.18% | -5.03 | 26 |
| 2014-08-23 | @ Arizona United SC | L 0-1 | 1496.83 | 1446.29 | 41.45% | 23.24% | 35.31% | -5.33 | 26 |
| 2014-08-25 | Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1491.50 | 1522.17 | 38.08% | 23.32% | 38.60% | -9.40 | 26 |
| 2014-09-05 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1482.10 | 1561.94 | 25.12% | 21.41% | 53.46% | -3.50 | 26 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 1-0 | 1478.60 | 1424.87 | 41.91% | 23.21% | 34.88% | +4.66 | 29 |
| 2014-03-23 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-3 | 1508.28 | 1500.00 | 35.46% | 23.24% | 41.30% | -7.71 | 0 |
| 2014-04-06 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1500.57 | 1500.00 | 42.56% | 23.17% | 34.27% | -10.26 | 0 |
| 2014-04-13 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1490.31 | 1500.27 | 41.06% | 23.26% | 35.69% | +4.48 | 3 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-3 | 1494.79 | 1498.62 | 33.84% | 23.14% | 43.02% | -7.43 | 3 |
| 2014-04-25 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-1 | 1487.36 | 1505.28 | 39.92% | 23.30% | 36.79% | +11.22 | 6 |
| 2014-04-28 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-3 | 1498.58 | 1505.82 | 41.44% | 23.24% | 35.32% | -14.59 | 6 |
| 2014-05-04 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1483.99 | 1500.83 | 32.18% | 22.96% | 44.86% | -4.11 | 6 |
| 2014-05-09 | Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1479.88 | 1494.40 | 40.40% | 23.28% | 36.32% | -9.84 | 6 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1470.04 | 1510.24 | 29.36% | 22.52% | 48.12% | +6.00 | 9 |
| 2014-06-01 | Arizona United SC | W 2-0 | 1476.04 | 1444.13 | 46.97% | 22.70% | 30.33% | +7.82 | 12 |
| 2014-06-08 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 4-3 | 1483.86 | 1449.06 | 47.37% | 22.64% | 29.99% | +3.58 | 15 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-4 | 1487.44 | 1606.14 | 21.58% | 19.97% | 58.46% | -6.94 | 15 |
| 2014-06-14 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1480.50 | 1486.98 | 33.50% | 23.10% | 43.40% | +5.52 | 18 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Arizona United SC | W 3-2 | 1486.02 | 1433.94 | 41.67% | 23.22% | 35.10% | +4.19 | 21 |
| 2014-07-08 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-2 | 1490.21 | 1502.33 | 32.77% | 23.03% | 44.20% | -4.17 | 21 |
| 2014-07-13 | Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1486.04 | 1424.84 | 50.98% | 21.99% | 27.03% | -5.93 | 21 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Arizona United SC | L 0-3 | 1480.11 | 1431.49 | 41.18% | 23.25% | 35.57% | -14.52 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 0-4 | 1465.59 | 1529.27 | 33.57% | 23.11% | 43.32% | -16.15 | 21 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-1 | 1449.44 | 1508.30 | 27.29% | 22.05% | 50.66% | -3.77 | 21 |
| 2014-08-09 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-1 | 1445.67 | 1431.18 | 36.31% | 23.28% | 40.41% | -4.81 | 21 |
| 2014-08-11 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1440.86 | 1459.59 | 31.94% | 22.93% | 45.13% | +5.70 | 24 |
| 2014-08-14 | @ Charleston Battery | L 2-3 | 1446.56 | 1515.43 | 26.23% | 21.76% | 52.01% | -3.26 | 24 |
| 2014-08-18 | Sacramento Republic | L 1-6 | 1443.30 | 1533.26 | 30.29% | 22.69% | 47.01% | -15.12 | 24 |
| 2014-08-24 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-2 | 1428.18 | 1475.93 | 35.69% | 23.26% | 41.05% | -4.48 | 24 |
| 2014-08-31 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1423.70 | 1620.51 | 19.93% | 19.10% | 60.97% | +1.17 | 25 |
| 2014-09-07 | OKC Energy FC | L 0-1 | 1424.87 | 1478.60 | 34.88% | 23.21% | 41.91% | -4.66 | 25 |
| 2014-03-23 | @ Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1568.94 | 1528.50 | 40.01% | 23.29% | 36.70% | -0.09 | 1 |
| 2014-03-30 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1568.85 | 1462.98 | 56.84% | 20.48% | 22.69% | -0.96 | 2 |
| 2014-04-06 | Rochester Rhinos | W 3-1 | 1567.89 | 1458.30 | 57.31% | 20.33% | 22.36% | +5.09 | 5 |
| 2014-04-13 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1572.98 | 1528.55 | 48.70% | 22.42% | 28.88% | +3.98 | 8 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 2-1 | 1576.96 | 1520.63 | 42.28% | 23.19% | 34.53% | +4.35 | 11 |
| 2014-05-05 | OKC Energy FC | W 3-1 | 1581.31 | 1516.27 | 51.49% | 21.88% | 26.63% | +6.03 | 14 |
| 2014-05-10 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1587.34 | 1454.95 | 52.78% | 21.58% | 25.64% | +3.56 | 17 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1590.90 | 1460.57 | 52.51% | 21.65% | 25.85% | -0.73 | 18 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Arizona United SC | W 1-0 | 1590.17 | 1447.56 | 54.13% | 21.24% | 24.63% | +3.43 | 21 |
| 2014-05-22 | Charlotte Eagles | W 3-1 | 1593.60 | 1504.25 | 54.71% | 21.09% | 24.20% | +5.50 | 24 |
| 2014-06-01 | Charleston Battery | W 2-0 | 1599.10 | 1537.00 | 51.10% | 21.96% | 26.94% | +7.04 | 27 |
| 2014-06-12 | Orange County Blues FC | W 4-1 | 1606.14 | 1487.44 | 58.46% | 19.97% | 21.58% | +6.94 | 30 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-0 | 1613.08 | 1432.64 | 58.96% | 19.80% | 21.24% | +5.57 | 33 |
| 2014-06-29 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-0 | 1618.65 | 1528.45 | 54.82% | 21.06% | 24.12% | +9.21 | 36 |
| 2014-07-13 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1627.86 | 1505.77 | 58.88% | 19.83% | 21.29% | +5.59 | 39 |
| 2014-07-18 | @ Sacramento Republic | T 0-0 | 1633.45 | 1508.57 | 51.78% | 21.81% | 26.41% | -0.78 | 40 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1632.67 | 1452.28 | 58.95% | 19.81% | 21.24% | -7.08 | 40 |
| 2014-08-03 | Charlotte Eagles | W 4-1 | 1625.59 | 1484.56 | 61.21% | 19.02% | 19.78% | +6.33 | 43 |
| 2014-08-10 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | L 2-3 | 1631.92 | 1510.92 | 51.26% | 21.93% | 26.81% | -5.65 | 43 |
| 2014-08-17 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 3-1 | 1626.27 | 1516.56 | 57.32% | 20.33% | 22.35% | +5.09 | 46 |
| 2014-08-21 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1631.36 | 1482.63 | 54.92% | 21.03% | 24.05% | -12.60 | 46 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Richmond Kickers | W 3-2 | 1618.76 | 1625.45 | 33.47% | 23.10% | 43.43% | +4.95 | 49 |
| 2014-08-29 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-3 | 1623.71 | 1480.78 | 54.17% | 21.23% | 24.60% | -10.79 | 49 |
| 2014-09-01 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 7-0 | 1612.92 | 1417.70 | 67.51% | 16.49% | 16.00% | +13.13 | 52 |
| 2014-09-04 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1626.05 | 1491.91 | 53.01% | 21.53% | 25.46% | -0.85 | 53 |
| 2014-09-07 | Richmond Kickers | W 1-0 | 1625.20 | 1618.93 | 43.37% | 23.11% | 33.53% | +4.51 | 56 |
| 2014-03-30 | @ Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1462.98 | 1568.85 | 22.69% | 20.48% | 56.84% | +0.95 | 1 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-3 | 1463.93 | 1551.14 | 24.41% | 21.16% | 54.43% | -5.55 | 1 |
| 2014-04-13 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 3-4 | 1458.38 | 1482.16 | 39.07% | 23.31% | 37.62% | -4.44 | 1 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 2-2 | 1453.94 | 1551.43 | 23.44% | 20.80% | 55.76% | +0.67 | 2 |
| 2014-04-27 | Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1454.61 | 1524.58 | 32.76% | 23.03% | 44.21% | +0.34 | 3 |
| 2014-05-10 | Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1454.95 | 1587.34 | 25.64% | 21.58% | 52.78% | -3.56 | 3 |
| 2014-05-18 | Rochester Rhinos | L 0-1 | 1451.39 | 1461.30 | 41.06% | 23.26% | 35.68% | -5.29 | 3 |
| 2014-05-24 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | L 1-5 | 1446.10 | 1487.99 | 29.17% | 22.48% | 48.35% | -11.95 | 3 |
| 2014-05-25 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-1 | 1434.15 | 1533.75 | 23.25% | 20.72% | 56.03% | -3.24 | 3 |
| 2014-06-02 | Harrisburg City Islanders | T 1-1 | 1430.91 | 1477.60 | 35.84% | 23.26% | 40.90% | +0.13 | 4 |
| 2014-06-08 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 3-2 | 1431.04 | 1467.91 | 29.75% | 22.60% | 47.65% | +5.33 | 7 |
| 2014-06-12 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-3 | 1436.37 | 1474.43 | 37.03% | 23.30% | 39.67% | -7.97 | 7 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 0-0 | 1428.40 | 1482.41 | 27.81% | 22.18% | 50.00% | +0.67 | 8 |
| 2014-06-22 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-3 | 1429.07 | 1596.05 | 22.39% | 20.35% | 57.27% | -5.09 | 8 |
| 2014-06-29 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 0-1 | 1423.98 | 1427.06 | 42.04% | 23.20% | 34.76% | -5.39 | 8 |
| 2014-07-03 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-1 | 1418.59 | 1432.45 | 32.55% | 23.01% | 44.44% | +5.31 | 11 |
| 2014-07-05 | Rochester Rhinos | W 2-0 | 1423.90 | 1466.93 | 36.34% | 23.28% | 40.38% | +9.84 | 14 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1433.74 | 1494.82 | 27.05% | 21.99% | 50.96% | -7.06 | 14 |
| 2014-07-18 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-0 | 1426.68 | 1480.66 | 34.85% | 23.21% | 41.94% | +10.14 | 17 |
| 2014-07-28 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-5 | 1436.82 | 1509.35 | 25.86% | 21.65% | 52.49% | -15.84 | 17 |
| 2014-08-03 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-1 | 1420.98 | 1536.80 | 27.37% | 22.07% | 50.56% | +10.20 | 20 |
| 2014-08-09 | Orange County Blues FC | W 1-0 | 1431.18 | 1445.67 | 40.41% | 23.28% | 36.31% | +4.81 | 23 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Arizona United SC | L 1-3 | 1435.99 | 1438.84 | 33.97% | 23.15% | 42.88% | -7.45 | 23 |
| 2014-08-30 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1428.54 | 1495.22 | 26.46% | 21.83% | 51.71% | +6.36 | 26 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-4 | 1434.90 | 1524.62 | 24.17% | 21.08% | 54.76% | -12.04 | 26 |
| 2014-09-07 | Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1422.86 | 1451.61 | 38.36% | 23.32% | 38.33% | -4.73 | 26 |
| 2014-03-30 | @ Charleston Battery | T 2-2 | 1551.11 | 1528.59 | 37.44% | 23.31% | 39.25% | +0.03 | 1 |
| 2014-04-06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1551.14 | 1463.93 | 54.43% | 21.16% | 24.41% | +5.55 | 4 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 1-2 | 1556.69 | 1488.22 | 44.00% | 23.05% | 32.95% | -5.26 | 4 |
| 2014-04-20 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 2-2 | 1551.43 | 1453.94 | 55.76% | 20.80% | 23.44% | -0.67 | 5 |
| 2014-04-27 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 5-1 | 1550.76 | 1486.60 | 43.39% | 23.11% | 33.50% | +13.44 | 8 |
| 2014-05-03 | Rochester Rhinos | T 1-1 | 1564.20 | 1459.24 | 56.72% | 20.51% | 22.77% | -0.96 | 9 |
| 2014-05-10 | Arizona United SC | W 4-0 | 1563.24 | 1452.67 | 57.43% | 20.30% | 22.27% | +11.11 | 12 |
| 2014-05-17 | @ OKC Energy FC | W 4-1 | 1574.35 | 1504.24 | 44.23% | 23.03% | 32.74% | +10.21 | 15 |
| 2014-05-25 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-0 | 1584.56 | 1498.74 | 54.25% | 21.21% | 24.54% | +6.45 | 18 |
| 2014-05-31 | @ Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1591.01 | 1461.78 | 52.36% | 21.68% | 25.96% | -0.82 | 19 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 3-2 | 1590.19 | 1481.07 | 49.65% | 22.25% | 28.10% | +3.47 | 22 |
| 2014-06-08 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 1-0 | 1593.66 | 1477.47 | 58.14% | 20.07% | 21.79% | +3.04 | 25 |
| 2014-06-15 | Wilmington Hammerheads | T 2-2 | 1596.70 | 1504.63 | 55.06% | 20.99% | 23.95% | -0.65 | 26 |
| 2014-06-22 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-1 | 1596.05 | 1429.07 | 57.27% | 20.35% | 22.39% | +5.10 | 29 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 1-1 | 1601.15 | 1505.28 | 47.83% | 22.57% | 29.60% | -0.50 | 30 |
| 2014-07-13 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1600.65 | 1506.51 | 55.33% | 20.92% | 23.75% | +3.12 | 33 |
| 2014-07-20 | Charleston Battery | W 4-0 | 1603.77 | 1521.16 | 53.83% | 21.32% | 24.85% | +12.38 | 36 |
| 2014-07-23 | @ Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1616.15 | 1508.79 | 49.41% | 22.30% | 28.29% | -0.58 | 37 |
| 2014-07-27 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-1 | 1615.57 | 1501.08 | 57.93% | 20.14% | 21.93% | +2.89 | 40 |
| 2014-08-02 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | W 3-1 | 1618.46 | 1495.05 | 51.58% | 21.86% | 26.56% | +6.01 | 43 |
| 2014-08-10 | Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1624.47 | 1478.23 | 61.84% | 18.79% | 19.38% | +2.53 | 46 |
| 2014-08-17 | Dayton Dutch Lions | T 1-1 | 1627.00 | 1416.15 | 69.22% | 15.73% | 15.05% | -1.55 | 47 |
| 2014-08-24 | Orlando City SC | L 2-3 | 1625.45 | 1618.76 | 43.43% | 23.10% | 33.47% | -4.94 | 47 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Orange County Blues FC | T 1-1 | 1620.51 | 1423.70 | 60.97% | 19.10% | 19.93% | -1.17 | 48 |
| 2014-09-02 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1619.34 | 1534.25 | 46.34% | 22.79% | 30.88% | -0.41 | 49 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-1 | 1618.93 | 1625.20 | 33.53% | 23.11% | 43.37% | -4.51 | 49 |
| 2014-04-06 | @ Orlando City SC | L 1-3 | 1458.30 | 1567.89 | 22.36% | 20.33% | 57.31% | -5.09 | 0 |
| 2014-04-12 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | T 1-1 | 1453.21 | 1481.16 | 30.81% | 22.78% | 46.42% | +0.42 | 1 |
| 2014-04-27 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1453.63 | 1524.24 | 32.67% | 23.02% | 44.30% | +5.61 | 4 |
| 2014-05-03 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1459.24 | 1564.20 | 22.77% | 20.51% | 56.72% | +0.95 | 5 |
| 2014-05-04 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1460.19 | 1476.55 | 32.24% | 22.97% | 44.79% | +0.38 | 6 |
| 2014-05-11 | Orlando City SC | T 1-1 | 1460.57 | 1590.90 | 25.85% | 21.65% | 52.51% | +0.73 | 7 |
| 2014-05-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1461.30 | 1451.39 | 35.68% | 23.26% | 41.06% | +5.29 | 10 |
| 2014-05-24 | Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1466.59 | 1509.54 | 36.35% | 23.28% | 40.37% | -4.81 | 10 |
| 2014-05-31 | Richmond Kickers | T 0-0 | 1461.78 | 1591.01 | 25.96% | 21.68% | 52.36% | +0.81 | 11 |
| 2014-06-02 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 1-0 | 1462.59 | 1454.37 | 35.45% | 23.24% | 41.30% | +5.32 | 14 |
| 2014-06-08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 2-3 | 1467.91 | 1431.04 | 47.65% | 22.60% | 29.75% | -5.33 | 14 |
| 2014-06-12 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 2-1 | 1462.58 | 1548.22 | 24.56% | 21.22% | 54.22% | +6.24 | 17 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Arizona United SC | L 0-1 | 1468.82 | 1431.97 | 39.49% | 23.31% | 37.20% | -5.13 | 17 |
| 2014-06-21 | Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-0 | 1463.69 | 1440.69 | 45.72% | 22.86% | 31.41% | +8.05 | 20 |
| 2014-06-23 | @ OKC Energy FC | T 0-0 | 1471.74 | 1485.79 | 32.53% | 23.01% | 44.47% | +0.36 | 21 |
| 2014-06-29 | Charlotte Eagles | L 0-1 | 1472.10 | 1490.56 | 39.84% | 23.30% | 36.87% | -5.17 | 21 |
| 2014-07-05 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-2 | 1466.93 | 1423.90 | 40.38% | 23.28% | 36.34% | -9.84 | 21 |
| 2014-07-20 | Wilmington Hammerheads | L 0-1 | 1457.09 | 1500.43 | 36.30% | 23.28% | 40.42% | -4.81 | 21 |
| 2014-07-27 | Orlando City SC | W 1-0 | 1452.28 | 1632.67 | 21.24% | 19.81% | 58.95% | +7.08 | 24 |
| 2014-08-02 | Charleston Battery | T 0-0 | 1459.36 | 1516.39 | 34.44% | 23.18% | 42.38% | +0.23 | 25 |
| 2014-08-11 | Orange County Blues FC | L 0-1 | 1459.59 | 1440.86 | 45.13% | 22.93% | 31.94% | -5.70 | 25 |
| 2014-08-16 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-2 | 1453.89 | 1518.69 | 26.66% | 21.88% | 51.46% | -3.48 | 25 |
| 2014-08-17 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 1-3 | 1450.41 | 1475.70 | 31.13% | 22.82% | 46.05% | -6.92 | 25 |
| 2014-08-24 | Harrisburg City Islanders | T 2-2 | 1443.49 | 1511.48 | 33.01% | 23.06% | 43.93% | +0.21 | 26 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | W 4-1 | 1443.70 | 1511.26 | 26.37% | 21.80% | 51.83% | +14.72 | 29 |
| 2014-09-07 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1458.42 | 1507.67 | 35.49% | 23.25% | 41.27% | +10.01 | 32 |
| 2014-03-30 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 1-1 | 1500.00 | 1507.71 | 33.34% | 23.09% | 43.57% | +0.27 | 1 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Orange County Blues FC | L 1-2 | 1500.27 | 1490.31 | 35.69% | 23.26% | 41.06% | -4.47 | 1 |
| 2014-04-14 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-0 | 1495.80 | 1514.21 | 31.98% | 22.94% | 45.08% | +15.59 | 4 |
| 2014-04-20 | @ Arizona United SC | L 1-2 | 1511.39 | 1442.08 | 44.12% | 23.04% | 32.84% | -5.27 | 4 |
| 2014-04-27 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 1-2 | 1506.12 | 1494.06 | 44.19% | 23.03% | 32.78% | -5.29 | 4 |
| 2014-05-04 | Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1500.83 | 1483.99 | 44.86% | 22.96% | 32.18% | +4.11 | 7 |
| 2014-05-18 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 2-1 | 1504.94 | 1524.22 | 39.72% | 23.30% | 36.98% | +4.60 | 10 |
| 2014-05-24 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1509.54 | 1466.59 | 40.37% | 23.28% | 36.35% | +4.81 | 13 |
| 2014-05-26 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 2-1 | 1514.35 | 1458.73 | 42.18% | 23.19% | 34.63% | +4.37 | 16 |
| 2014-06-08 | Arizona United SC | T 1-1 | 1518.72 | 1436.31 | 53.80% | 21.33% | 24.87% | -0.80 | 17 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1517.92 | 1475.97 | 40.22% | 23.29% | 36.49% | -9.82 | 17 |
| 2014-06-27 | Arizona United SC | W 1-0 | 1508.10 | 1437.56 | 52.23% | 21.71% | 26.06% | +3.62 | 20 |
| 2014-06-29 | @ OKC Energy FC | L 0-2 | 1511.72 | 1485.43 | 37.97% | 23.32% | 38.71% | -9.39 | 20 |
| 2014-07-08 | Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1502.33 | 1490.21 | 44.20% | 23.03% | 32.77% | +4.18 | 23 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1506.51 | 1600.65 | 23.75% | 20.92% | 55.33% | -3.12 | 23 |
| 2014-07-15 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 1-0 | 1503.39 | 1485.84 | 36.74% | 23.29% | 39.97% | +5.18 | 26 |
| 2014-07-18 | Orlando City SC | T 0-0 | 1508.57 | 1633.45 | 26.41% | 21.81% | 51.78% | +0.78 | 27 |
| 2014-07-28 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 5-0 | 1509.35 | 1436.82 | 52.49% | 21.65% | 25.86% | +15.83 | 30 |
| 2014-08-03 | @ Arizona United SC | W 2-1 | 1525.18 | 1439.70 | 46.39% | 22.78% | 30.83% | +3.97 | 33 |
| 2014-08-10 | OKC Energy FC | W 2-1 | 1529.15 | 1512.08 | 44.89% | 22.96% | 32.15% | +4.11 | 36 |
| 2014-08-18 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 6-1 | 1533.26 | 1443.30 | 47.01% | 22.69% | 30.29% | +15.12 | 39 |
| 2014-08-21 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 2-0 | 1548.38 | 1482.88 | 51.56% | 21.86% | 26.58% | +6.95 | 42 |
| 2014-08-28 | Charleston Battery | W 3-1 | 1555.33 | 1531.58 | 45.83% | 22.85% | 31.32% | +6.96 | 45 |
| 2014-08-31 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | T 0-0 | 1562.29 | 1491.57 | 44.32% | 23.02% | 32.66% | -0.35 | 46 |
| 2014-09-05 | OKC Energy FC | W 1-0 | 1561.94 | 1482.10 | 53.46% | 21.41% | 25.12% | +3.50 | 49 |
| 2014-09-07 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-2 | 1565.44 | 1534.67 | 46.81% | 22.72% | 30.47% | -5.53 | 49 |
| 2014-04-06 | Harrisburg City Islanders | T 0-0 | 1482.16 | 1511.14 | 38.32% | 23.32% | 38.36% | +0.00 | 1 |
| 2014-04-13 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 4-3 | 1482.16 | 1458.38 | 37.62% | 23.31% | 39.07% | +4.44 | 4 |
| 2014-04-27 | Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1486.60 | 1493.48 | 41.50% | 23.23% | 35.27% | -10.05 | 4 |
| 2014-05-04 | Rochester Rhinos | T 0-0 | 1476.55 | 1460.19 | 44.79% | 22.97% | 32.24% | -0.38 | 5 |
| 2014-05-11 | @ Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1476.17 | 1545.57 | 26.18% | 21.75% | 52.08% | +6.40 | 8 |
| 2014-05-18 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1482.57 | 1539.17 | 34.50% | 23.19% | 42.32% | +5.42 | 11 |
| 2014-05-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 5-1 | 1487.99 | 1446.10 | 48.35% | 22.48% | 29.17% | +11.95 | 14 |
| 2014-06-01 | @ Charlotte Eagles | W 2-1 | 1499.94 | 1492.30 | 35.37% | 23.24% | 41.39% | +5.01 | 17 |
| 2014-06-07 | OKC Energy FC | T 2-2 | 1504.95 | 1475.35 | 46.65% | 22.74% | 30.61% | -0.32 | 18 |
| 2014-06-15 | @ Richmond Kickers | T 2-2 | 1504.63 | 1596.70 | 23.95% | 20.99% | 55.06% | +0.65 | 19 |
| 2014-06-29 | Richmond Kickers | T 1-1 | 1505.28 | 1601.15 | 29.60% | 22.57% | 47.83% | +0.49 | 20 |
| 2014-07-13 | @ Orlando City SC | L 0-2 | 1505.77 | 1627.86 | 21.29% | 19.83% | 58.88% | -5.59 | 20 |
| 2014-07-19 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | T 0-0 | 1500.18 | 1501.49 | 34.18% | 23.16% | 42.66% | +0.25 | 21 |
| 2014-07-20 | @ Rochester Rhinos | W 1-0 | 1500.43 | 1457.09 | 40.42% | 23.28% | 36.30% | +4.81 | 24 |
| 2014-07-26 | Arizona United SC | T 0-0 | 1505.24 | 1446.00 | 50.71% | 22.04% | 27.24% | -0.72 | 25 |
| 2014-07-27 | @ Charlotte Eagles | L 0-2 | 1504.52 | 1475.09 | 38.42% | 23.32% | 38.26% | -9.47 | 25 |
| 2014-08-02 | Richmond Kickers | L 1-3 | 1495.05 | 1618.46 | 26.56% | 21.86% | 51.58% | -6.02 | 25 |
| 2014-08-10 | Dayton Dutch Lions | L 1-2 | 1489.03 | 1410.00 | 53.36% | 21.44% | 25.20% | -6.15 | 25 |
| 2014-08-21 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-2 | 1482.88 | 1548.38 | 26.58% | 21.86% | 51.56% | -6.95 | 25 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Orange County Blues FC | W 2-1 | 1475.93 | 1428.18 | 41.05% | 23.26% | 35.69% | +4.47 | 28 |
| 2014-08-24 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | T 3-3 | 1480.40 | 1534.63 | 27.79% | 22.18% | 50.03% | +0.38 | 29 |
| 2014-08-29 | Orlando City SC | W 3-1 | 1480.78 | 1623.71 | 24.60% | 21.23% | 54.17% | +10.79 | 32 |
| 2014-08-31 | Sacramento Republic | T 0-0 | 1491.57 | 1562.29 | 32.66% | 23.02% | 44.32% | +0.34 | 33 |
| 2014-09-04 | Orlando City SC | T 0-0 | 1491.91 | 1626.05 | 25.46% | 21.53% | 53.01% | +0.85 | 34 |
| 2014-09-06 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | W 4-0 | 1492.76 | 1404.57 | 46.77% | 22.73% | 30.50% | +14.91 | 37 |
| 2014-09-07 | @ Rochester Rhinos | L 0-2 | 1507.67 | 1458.42 | 41.27% | 23.25% | 35.49% | -10.01 | 37 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-13 | @ Richmond Kickers | L 1-2 | 1540.47 | 1614.42 | 35.62% | 0.00% | 64.38% | -3.37 | 0-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | @ Orlando City SC | W 1-0 | 1500.59 | 1629.71 | 28.71% | 0.00% | 71.29% | +7.15 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | @ Richmond Kickers | W 3-2 | 1507.74 | 1617.79 | 31.01% | 0.00% | 68.99% | +6.19 | 2-0 |
| 2014-09-27 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-2 | 1513.93 | 1572.32 | 37.70% | 0.00% | 62.30% | -7.13 | 2-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Rochester Rhinos | W 2-1 | 1540.20 | 1468.43 | 64.09% | 0.00% | 35.91% | +3.40 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 2-3 | 1543.60 | 1568.52 | 42.32% | 0.00% | 57.68% | -3.80 | 1-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 0-1 | 1629.71 | 1500.59 | 71.29% | 0.00% | 28.71% | -7.15 | 0-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Charleston Battery | W 2-1 | 1614.42 | 1540.47 | 64.38% | 0.00% | 35.62% | +3.37 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | Harrisburg City Islanders | L 2-3 | 1617.79 | 1507.74 | 68.99% | 0.00% | 31.01% | -6.19 | 1-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | L 1-2 | 1468.43 | 1540.20 | 35.91% | 0.00% | 64.09% | -3.40 | 0-1 |
| 2014-09-13 | Wilmington Hammerheads | W 4-1 | 1559.91 | 1497.66 | 62.82% | 0.00% | 37.18% | +8.61 | 1-0 |
| 2014-09-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | W 3-2 | 1568.52 | 1543.60 | 57.68% | 0.00% | 42.32% | +3.80 | 2-0 |
| 2014-09-27 | Harrisburg City Islanders | W 2-0 | 1572.32 | 1513.93 | 62.30% | 0.00% | 37.70% | +7.13 | 3-0 |
| 2014-09-13 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 1-4 | 1497.66 | 1559.91 | 37.18% | 0.00% | 62.82% | -8.61 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2014-07-27 | 21.24% | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1452.28 | 1 | Orlando City SC | 1632.67 | 0 |
| 2 | 2014-08-21 | 24.05% | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1482.63 | 2 | Orlando City SC | 1631.36 | 0 |
| 3 | 2014-06-12 | 24.56% | Rochester Rhinos | 1462.58 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1548.22 | 1 |
| 4 | 2014-08-29 | 24.60% | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 1480.78 | 3 | Orlando City SC | 1623.71 | 1 |
| 5 | 2014-08-10 | 25.20% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1410.00 | 2 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 1489.03 | 1 |
| 6 | 2014-08-15 | 25.58% | Arizona United SC | 1432.74 | 2 | @ OKC Energy FC | 1507.97 | 1 |
| 7 | 2014-05-11 | 26.18% | Wilmington Hammerheads | 1476.17 | 1 | @ Charleston Battery | 1545.57 | 0 |
| 8 | 2014-07-06 | 26.26% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1427.14 | 3 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1495.73 | 1 |
| 9 | 2014-08-31 | 26.37% | Rochester Rhinos | 1443.70 | 4 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1511.26 | 1 |
| 10 | 2014-08-30 | 26.46% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1428.54 | 1 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1495.22 | 0 |
| 11 | 2014-08-10 | 26.81% | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1510.92 | 3 | Orlando City SC | 1631.92 | 2 |
| 12 | 2014-07-13 | 27.03% | Arizona United SC | 1424.84 | 2 | @ Orange County Blues FC | 1486.04 | 1 |
| 13 | 2014-08-03 | 27.37% | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1420.98 | 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1536.80 | 1 |
| 14 | 2014-09-13 * | 28.71% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1500.59 | 1 | @ Orlando City SC | 1629.71 | 0 |
| 15 | 2014-05-11 | 29.36% | Orange County Blues FC | 1470.04 | 1 | @ OKC Energy FC | 1510.24 | 0 |
| 16 | 2014-05-11 | 29.46% | Arizona United SC | 1441.57 | 1 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1480.90 | 0 |
| 17 | 2014-06-08 | 29.75% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1431.04 | 3 | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1467.91 | 2 |
| 18 | 2014-09-07 | 30.47% | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1534.67 | 2 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1565.44 | 1 |
| 19 | 2014-04-20 | 30.51% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1480.74 | 1 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1511.14 | 0 |
| 20 | 2014-09-20 * | 31.01% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1507.74 | 3 | @ Richmond Kickers | 1617.79 | 2 |
| 21 | 2014-08-11 | 31.94% | Orange County Blues FC | 1440.86 | 1 | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1459.59 | 0 |
| 22 | 2014-04-05 | 31.97% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 1475.46 | 1 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1493.91 | 0 |
| 23 | 2014-04-14 | 31.98% | Sacramento Republic | 1495.80 | 3 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 1514.21 | 0 |
| 24 | 2014-07-03 | 32.55% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1418.59 | 2 | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 1432.45 | 1 |
| 25 | 2014-04-27 | 32.67% | @ Rochester Rhinos | 1453.63 | 1 | Charleston Battery | 1524.24 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2014-05-26 | 18.68 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 5 | 1519.62 | 46.09% | OKC Energy FC | 0 | 1494.03 | 31.09% | 22.82% |
| 2 | 2014-05-03 | 18.44 | Charleston Battery | 4 | 1518.62 | 36.98% | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 0 | 1499.34 | 39.72% | 23.30% |
| 3 | 2014-04-13 | 17.15 | OKC Energy FC | 4 | 1503.48 | 40.55% | @ Arizona United SC | 0 | 1459.23 | 36.17% | 23.28% |
| 4 | 2014-07-27 | 16.15 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 4 | 1529.27 | 43.32% | @ Orange County Blues FC | 0 | 1465.59 | 33.57% | 23.11% |
| 5 | 2014-07-28 | 15.84 | @ Sacramento Republic | 5 | 1509.35 | 52.49% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 1436.82 | 25.86% | 21.65% |
| 6 | 2014-04-14 | 15.59 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1495.80 | 31.98% | @ Los Angeles Galaxy II | 0 | 1514.21 | 45.08% | 22.94% |
| 7 | 2014-08-18 | 15.12 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 1533.26 | 47.01% | @ Orange County Blues FC | 1 | 1443.30 | 30.29% | 22.69% |
| 8 | 2014-09-06 | 14.91 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 4 | 1492.76 | 46.77% | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 0 | 1404.57 | 30.50% | 22.73% |
| 9 | 2014-08-31 | 14.72 | Rochester Rhinos | 4 | 1443.70 | 26.37% | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 1 | 1511.26 | 51.83% | 21.80% |
| 10 | 2014-04-28 | 14.59 | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 3 | 1505.82 | 35.32% | @ Orange County Blues FC | 0 | 1498.58 | 41.44% | 23.24% |
| 11 | 2014-07-20 | 14.52 | @ Arizona United SC | 3 | 1431.49 | 35.57% | Orange County Blues FC | 0 | 1480.11 | 41.18% | 23.25% |
| 12 | 2014-04-27 | 13.44 | Richmond Kickers | 5 | 1550.76 | 43.39% | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 1 | 1486.60 | 33.50% | 23.11% |
| 13 | 2014-09-01 | 13.13 | @ Orlando City SC | 7 | 1612.92 | 67.51% | Dayton Dutch Lions | 0 | 1417.70 | 16.00% | 16.49% |
| 14 | 2014-06-15 | 13.07 | @ Charleston Battery | 3 | 1529.96 | 40.76% | Los Angeles Galaxy II | 0 | 1541.99 | 35.97% | 23.27% |
| 15 | 2014-08-21 | 12.60 | @ Charlotte Eagles | 2 | 1482.63 | 24.05% | Orlando City SC | 0 | 1631.36 | 54.92% | 21.03% |
| 16 | 2014-07-20 | 12.38 | @ Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1603.77 | 53.83% | Charleston Battery | 0 | 1521.16 | 24.85% | 21.32% |
| 17 | 2014-07-06 | 12.37 | @ Harrisburg City Islanders | 4 | 1481.58 | 35.05% | Charleston Battery | 1 | 1534.07 | 41.73% | 23.22% |
| 18 | 2014-07-27 | 12.09 | OKC Energy FC | 3 | 1496.21 | 44.32% | @ Dayton Dutch Lions | 0 | 1425.46 | 32.66% | 23.02% |
| 19 | 2014-08-31 | 12.05 | @ Charleston Battery | 4 | 1524.62 | 54.76% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 1434.90 | 24.17% | 21.08% |
| 20 | 2014-05-24 | 11.95 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 5 | 1487.99 | 48.35% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 | 1446.10 | 29.17% | 22.48% |
| 21 | 2014-04-25 | 11.22 | @ Orange County Blues FC | 4 | 1487.36 | 39.92% | Harrisburg City Islanders | 1 | 1505.28 | 36.79% | 23.30% |
| 22 | 2014-05-10 | 11.11 | @ Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1563.24 | 57.43% | Arizona United SC | 0 | 1452.67 | 22.27% | 20.30% |
| 23 | 2014-08-29 | 10.79 | @ Wilmington Hammerheads | 3 | 1480.78 | 24.60% | Orlando City SC | 1 | 1623.71 | 54.17% | 21.23% |
| 24 | 2014-07-06 | 10.43 | Dayton Dutch Lions | 3 | 1427.14 | 26.26% | @ Charlotte Eagles | 1 | 1495.73 | 51.97% | 21.77% |
| 25 | 2014-04-06 | 10.26 | OKC Energy FC | 2 | 1500.00 | 34.27% | @ Orange County Blues FC | 0 | 1500.57 | 42.56% | 23.17% |