1939-40 La Liga Season

132 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Atletico Aviacion

29 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Racing Santander

13 pts

Real Betis · 16 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Atletico Aviacion

6.72 points above expected

29 points · 22.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Racing Santander

7.87 points below expected

13 points · 20.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Atletico Aviacion Champion	22	14	1	7	29	43	29	+14	22.28	+6.72
2	Sevilla	22	11	6	5	28	60	44	+16	22.18	+5.82
3	Athletic Bilbao	22	11	4	7	26	57	44	+13	25.15	+0.85
4	Madrid CF	22	12	1	9	25	47	35	+12	26.97	-1.97
5	Espanol	22	11	2	9	24	43	43	0	21.38	+2.62
6	Hercules	22	9	5	8	23	41	34	+7	22.23	+0.77
7	Valencia	22	9	3	10	21	40	36	+4	21.80	-0.80
8	Real Zaragoza	22	7	7	8	21	30	40	-10	20.30	+0.70
9	Celta Vigo	22	9	1	12	19	45	50	-5	20.49	-1.49
10	Barcelona	22	8	3	11	19	32	38	-6	22.01	-3.01
11	Real Betis Relegated	22	6	4	12	16	26	51	-25	18.35	-2.35
12	Racing Santander Relegated	22	6	1	15	13	37	57	-20	20.87	-7.87

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Celta Vigo 1

Deportivo La Coruna 0

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Madrid CF	1890	25	26.97	-1.97	33.4%	13	21	25	27	29	33	39
Athletic Bilbao	1879	26	25.15	+0.85	65.0%	11	19	23	25	27	31	38
Atletico Aviacion	1836	29	22.28	+6.72	98.0%	10	17	20	22	25	28	36
Sevilla	1783	28	22.18	+5.82	96.7%	9	16	20	22	25	28	34
Valencia	1745	21	21.80	-0.80	46.8%	10	16	20	22	24	27	34
Hercules	1738	23	22.23	+0.77	64.3%	9	16	20	22	25	28	36
Celta Vigo	1710	19	20.49	-1.49	38.6%	7	15	18	20	23	26	34
Espanol	1691	24	21.38	+2.62	82.3%	10	16	19	21	24	27	35
Barcelona	1684	19	22.01	-3.01	23.1%	9	16	20	22	24	28	34
Real Zaragoza	1660	21	20.30	+0.70	63.3%	8	15	18	20	23	26	33
Racing Santander	1603	13	20.87	-7.87	1.6%	6	15	19	21	23	27	33
Real Betis	1580	16	18.35	-2.35	29.2%	7	13	16	18	21	24	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AB	AA	BAR	CV	ESP	HER	MC	RS	RB	RZ	SEV	VAL
Athletic Bilbao	—	0-0-2 3.45	2-0-0 3.26	2-0-0 3.37	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.45	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.27	1-1-0 3.63	0-2-0 3.36	0-1-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.30
Atletico Aviacion	2-0-0 2.26	—	2-0-0 2.64	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.30	2-0-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.99
Barcelona	0-0-2 2.44	0-0-2 3.05	—	2-0-0 3.12	0-1-1 3.06	1-1-0 2.65	0-1-1 1.84	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.97
Celta Vigo	0-0-2 2.32	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.58	—	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.02	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 3.39	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.47	1-1-0 2.68
Espanol	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.84	—	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.28	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.71
Hercules	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.79	0-1-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 3.07	—	1-0-1 2.39	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 3.41	1-1-0 3.11	0-2-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.83
Madrid CF	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.40	1-1-0 3.86	2-0-0 3.68	1-0-1 3.42	1-0-1 3.31	—	1-0-1 3.37	2-0-0 3.95	1-0-1 3.67	0-0-2 3.66	1-0-1 3.46
Racing Santander	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.49	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.83	0-0-2 2.80	1-0-1 2.34	—	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.65
Real Betis	0-1-1 2.07	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.29	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 2.59	—	0-2-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.40	0-0-2 2.77
Real Zaragoza	0-2-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 2.89	0-2-0 3.08	—	0-1-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.55
Sevilla	1-1-0 2.49	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.95	0-0-2 3.23	1-0-1 3.01	0-2-0 2.95	2-0-0 2.04	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.30	1-1-0 3.12	—	1-1-0 2.75
Valencia	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.24	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.93	0-1-1 3.15	0-1-1 2.94	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.48	+3.3
Allowed	0.47	-4.1
Differential	0.85	+3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.30%	3.03%	5.30%	3.03%	2.27%	0.38%	19.32%
1	3.03%	5.30%	7.95%	4.92%	3.79%	2.65%	27.65%
2	5.30%	7.95%	0.76%	3.79%	1.89%	0.76%	20.45%
3	3.03%	4.92%	3.79%	3.03%	2.27%	—	17.05%
4	2.27%	3.79%	1.89%	2.27%	—	0.38%	10.61%
5+	0.38%	2.65%	0.76%	—	0.38%	0.76%	4.92%
Total	19.32%	27.65%	20.45%	17.05%	10.61%	4.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.90	1.90	+0.00
SD	1.53	1.53	2.21
CV	0.80	0.80	—
Max	8	8	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
Total	13.64%	31.82%	13.64%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.59	2.00	+0.59
SD	1.94	1.41	2.17
CV	0.75	0.71	—
Max	7	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	—	—	—	—	9.09%	—	9.09%
2	13.64%	22.73%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	50.00%	13.64%	—	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.32	+0.64
SD	1.43	1.25	1.99
CV	0.73	0.95	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.73	-0.27
SD	1.37	1.55	1.72
CV	0.94	0.90	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	13.64%	4.55%	36.36%
2	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	18.18%	27.27%	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	2.27	-0.23
SD	1.50	1.80	2.71
CV	0.73	0.79	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	22.73%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.95	+0.00
SD	1.56	1.46	2.33
CV	0.80	0.75	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	27.27%	22.73%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.55	+0.32
SD	1.67	1.37	2.17
CV	0.90	0.89	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	—	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	22.73%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.59	+0.55
SD	1.36	1.33	1.97
CV	0.63	0.84	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	13.64%	22.73%	40.91%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	2.59	-0.91
SD	1.43	1.71	2.33
CV	0.85	0.66	—
Max	6	8	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	45.45%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	9.09%	13.64%	18.18%	22.73%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	2.32	-1.14
SD	1.30	1.86	2.34
CV	1.10	0.80	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%	45.45%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	36.36%	13.64%	9.09%	—	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.82	-0.45
SD	1.33	1.76	2.22
CV	0.97	0.97	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	27.27%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.73	2.00	+0.73
SD	1.67	1.15	2.07
CV	0.61	0.58	—
Max	8	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.64	+0.18
SD	1.22	1.33	1.94
CV	0.67	0.81	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Atletico Aviacion	29	22.28	+6.72
2	Sevilla	28	22.18	+5.82
3	Espanol	24	21.38	+2.62
4	Athletic Bilbao	26	25.15	+0.85
5	Hercules	23	22.23	+0.77

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Racing Santander	13	20.87	-7.87
2	Barcelona	19	22.01	-3.01
3	Real Betis	16	18.35	-2.35
4	Madrid CF	25	26.97	-1.97
5	Celta Vigo	19	20.49	-1.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Aviacion	5	Feb 18 – Mar 17	1 in 82
2	Hercules	2	Apr 14 – Apr 21	1 in 41
3	Athletic Bilbao	4	Jan 7 – Jan 28	1 in 34
4	Valencia	3	Feb 4 – Feb 18	1 in 33
5	Celta Vigo	2	Dec 31 – Jan 9	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Athletic Bilbao	4	Feb 4 – Feb 25	1 in 387
2	Racing Santander	4	Feb 4 – Feb 25	1 in 63
3	Madrid CF	2	Dec 3 – Dec 10	1 in 35
4	Celta Vigo	4	Dec 3 – Dec 24	1 in 29
5	Sevilla	2	Dec 24 – Dec 31	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Zaragoza	6	Dec 3 – Jan 7	1 in 101
2	Sevilla	7	Jan 28 – Mar 10	1 in 89
3	Athletic Bilbao	6	Mar 3 – Apr 7	1 in 18
4	Atletico Aviacion	5	Feb 18 – Mar 17	1 in 14
5	Barcelona	3	Feb 11 – Feb 25	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Zaragoza	8	Mar 3 – Apr 21	1 in 114
2	Athletic Bilbao	5	Feb 4 – Mar 3	1 in 42
3	Racing Santander	7	Feb 4 – Mar 17	1 in 36
4	Valencia	5	Dec 31 – Jan 28	1 in 23
5	Barcelona	5	Jan 7 – Feb 4	1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Atletico Aviacion	7.05%	9.53%	10.41%	10.60%	10.23%	10.23%	8.76%	8.76%	7.35%	7.03%	5.67%	4.38%
Sevilla	6.29%	9.72%	10.35%	10.90%	10.01%	10.47%	9.35%	8.43%	7.61%	7.05%	5.50%	4.32%
Athletic Bilbao	22.36%	20.44%	15.14%	10.95%	8.55%	6.44%	5.02%	4.22%	2.90%	1.75%	1.56%	0.67%
Madrid CF	43.43%	19.96%	12.51%	7.92%	5.22%	3.64%	3.06%	1.84%	1.13%	0.86%	0.27%	0.16%
Espanol	2.96%	5.51%	7.02%	9.00%	9.46%	10.11%	10.25%	10.06%	9.90%	9.61%	9.28%	6.84%
Hercules	4.81%	9.12%	10.63%	10.44%	10.50%	9.90%	9.73%	8.95%	8.42%	7.31%	5.78%	4.41%
Valencia	3.44%	6.71%	8.89%	9.50%	9.95%	10.20%	10.54%	10.53%	9.43%	8.56%	7.48%	4.77%
Real Zaragoza	1.41%	3.57%	4.35%	5.91%	7.02%	8.02%	8.97%	9.43%	11.26%	12.92%	13.83%	13.31%
Celta Vigo	1.93%	3.71%	5.38%	6.72%	7.55%	7.90%	9.09%	10.27%	11.53%	11.29%	12.04%	12.59%
Barcelona	4.10%	6.78%	8.36%	9.26%	10.60%	9.98%	10.18%	9.95%	9.32%	8.31%	7.85%	5.31%
Real Betis	0.23%	0.97%	1.69%	2.22%	3.27%	4.63%	5.95%	7.14%	9.61%	12.96%	18.77%	32.56%
Racing Santander	1.99%	3.98%	5.27%	6.58%	7.64%	8.48%	9.10%	10.42%	11.54%	12.35%	11.97%	10.68%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+44.70%

Strong Edge

65.15%14.39%20.45%

Elo Value

Home Edge

176 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0167.08500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.16 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.95+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

Atletico Aviacion, 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.77 * Some Luck: 2.77 to 4.15 * Lucky: 4.15 to 5.54 * Wild Swing: 5.54 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.2 * Close: 2.2 to 3.3 * Off: 3.3 to 4.4 * Way Off: 4.4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.22 * A Surprise: 1.22 to 1.94 * Several Surprises: 1.94 to 2.67 * Many Surprises: 2.67 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.77 points

Some Luck

03.469

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.17

Pinpoint

02.756

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.04%

Atletico Aviacion

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.61%

Racing Santander

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.02

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

66%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Strong Edge

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

49%

Frequent

0%50%100%

Blowouts

Expected

26%

Very Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.52

Highly Predictable

00.462

Matchup Imbalance

0.62

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.19

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

-0.19

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%16%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.04

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.04

Overconfident

01.002.24699

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.087

Well Within Noise

00.0990.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Madrid CF	98.71%	0.86%	0.43%
Athletic Bilbao	96.02%	1.75%	2.23%
Sevilla	83.13%	7.05%	9.82%
Atletico Aviacion	82.92%	7.03%	10.05%
Hercules	82.50%	7.31%	10.19%
Valencia	79.19%	8.56%	12.25%
Barcelona	78.53%	8.31%	13.16%
Espanol	74.27%	9.61%	16.12%
Racing Santander	65.00%	12.35%	22.65%
Celta Vigo	64.08%	11.29%	24.63%
Real Zaragoza	59.94%	12.92%	27.14%
Real Betis	35.71%	12.96%	51.33%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1939-12-03	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1860	1662	80.2%	14.7%	5.1%	-50.1	0
1939-12-03	@ Athletic Bilbao	W 3-1	1662	1860	5.1%	14.7%	80.2%	+50.1	2
1939-12-03	Espanol	L 0-1	1787	1648	78.1%	14.8%	7.0%	-29.8	0
1939-12-03	@ Barcelona	W 1-0	1648	1787	7.0%	14.8%	78.1%	+29.8	2
1939-12-03	Racing Santander	W 3-1	1741	1773	67.9%	15.2%	16.9%	+11.9	2
1939-12-03	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1773	1741	16.9%	15.2%	67.9%	-12.0	0
1939-12-03	Valencia	L 0-3	1717	1688	72.4%	15.1%	12.5%	-75.2	0
1939-12-03	@ Real Betis	W 3-0	1688	1717	12.5%	15.1%	72.4%	+75.2	2
1939-12-03	Sevilla	L 1-3	1892	1670	80.9%	14.6%	4.5%	-50.5	0
1939-12-03	@ Madrid CF	W 3-1	1670	1892	4.5%	14.6%	80.9%	+50.5	2
1939-12-03	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1661	1695	67.8%	15.2%	17.0%	+6.6	2
1939-12-03	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-3	1695	1661	17.0%	15.2%	67.8%	-6.6	0
1939-12-10	Real Betis	D 0-0	1712	1641	74.9%	15.0%	10.1%	-6.9	3
1939-12-10	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1641	1712	10.1%	15.0%	74.9%	+6.9	1
1939-12-10	Barcelona	L 1-2	1688	1757	64.6%	15.2%	20.2%	-23.0	0
1939-12-10	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1757	1688	20.2%	15.2%	64.6%	+23.0	2
1939-12-10	Hercules	D 3-3	1678	1753	64.1%	15.2%	20.7%	-2.5	3
1939-12-10	@ Espanol	D 3-3	1753	1678	20.7%	15.2%	64.1%	+2.5	3
1939-12-10	Madrid CF	W 2-1	1761	1841	63.6%	15.2%	21.2%	+8.5	2
1939-12-10	@ Racing Santander	L 1-2	1841	1761	21.2%	15.2%	63.6%	-8.5	0
1939-12-10	Athletic Bilbao	D 3-3	1721	1810	62.6%	15.2%	22.1%	-2.3	3
1939-12-10	@ Sevilla	D 3-3	1810	1721	22.1%	15.2%	62.6%	+2.3	1
1939-12-10	Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1763	1668	76.2%	15.0%	8.8%	-7.2	3
1939-12-10	@ Valencia	D 0-0	1668	1763	8.8%	15.0%	76.2%	+7.2	3
1939-12-17	Real Betis	W 6-1	1812	1648	79.1%	14.8%	6.1%	+10.1	3
1939-12-17	@ Athletic Bilbao	L 1-6	1648	1812	6.1%	14.8%	79.1%	-10.1	1
1939-12-17	Valencia	W 4-1	1780	1756	72.1%	15.1%	12.8%	+13.0	4
1939-12-17	@ Barcelona	L 1-4	1756	1780	12.8%	15.1%	72.1%	-13.0	3
1939-12-17	Celta Vigo	W 6-1	1755	1665	75.9%	15.0%	9.1%	+14.9	5
1939-12-17	@ Hercules	L 1-6	1665	1755	9.1%	15.0%	75.9%	-14.9	0
1939-12-17	Espanol	W 3-1	1833	1676	78.8%	14.8%	6.4%	+4.7	2
1939-12-17	@ Madrid CF	L 1-3	1676	1833	6.4%	14.8%	78.8%	-4.7	3
1939-12-17	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-3	1675	1705	68.1%	15.2%	16.8%	+6.3	5
1939-12-17	@ Real Zaragoza	L 3-4	1705	1675	16.8%	15.2%	68.1%	-6.3	3
1939-12-17	Racing Santander	W 8-2	1718	1770	66.2%	15.2%	18.6%	+28.5	5
1939-12-17	@ Sevilla	L 2-8	1770	1718	18.6%	15.2%	66.2%	-28.5	2
1939-12-24	Barcelona	W 3-0	1699	1793	62.1%	15.2%	22.7%	+26.1	5
1939-12-24	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-3	1793	1699	22.7%	15.2%	62.1%	-26.1	4
1939-12-24	Madrid CF	L 2-3	1650	1837	51.2%	15.3%	33.6%	-17.4	0
1939-12-24	@ Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1837	1650	33.6%	15.3%	51.2%	+17.4	4
1939-12-24	Sevilla	W 2-1	1671	1747	64.0%	15.2%	20.8%	+8.3	5
1939-12-24	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1747	1671	20.8%	15.2%	64.0%	-8.3	5
1939-12-24	Athletic Bilbao	W 3-0	1741	1822	63.5%	15.2%	21.3%	+24.7	4
1939-12-24	@ Racing Santander	L 0-3	1822	1741	21.3%	15.2%	63.5%	-24.7	3
1939-12-24	Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1638	1681	67.0%	15.2%	17.8%	-5.1	2
1939-12-24	@ Real Betis	D 0-0	1681	1638	17.8%	15.2%	67.0%	+5.1	6
1939-12-24	Hercules	W 2-1	1743	1770	68.3%	15.2%	16.5%	+6.7	5
1939-12-24	@ Valencia	L 1-2	1770	1743	16.5%	15.2%	68.3%	-6.7	5
1939-12-31	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1798	1686	77.0%	14.9%	8.1%	-6.6	4
1939-12-31	@ Athletic Bilbao	D 1-1	1686	1798	8.1%	14.9%	77.0%	+6.6	7
1939-12-31	Real Betis	W 2-0	1767	1633	77.9%	14.9%	7.2%	+6.1	6
1939-12-31	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1633	1767	7.2%	14.9%	77.9%	-6.1	2
1939-12-31	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-1	1763	1725	73.0%	15.1%	11.9%	+12.1	7
1939-12-31	@ Hercules	L 1-4	1725	1763	11.9%	15.1%	73.0%	-12.1	5
1939-12-31	Espanol	L 2-3	1766	1679	75.8%	15.0%	9.2%	-25.8	4
1939-12-31	@ Racing Santander	W 3-2	1679	1766	9.2%	15.0%	75.8%	+25.8	7
1939-12-31	Valencia	W 2-1	1855	1749	76.7%	14.9%	8.4%	+3.6	6
1939-12-31	@ Madrid CF	L 1-2	1749	1855	8.4%	14.9%	76.7%	-3.6	5
1939-12-31	Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1738	1633	76.7%	14.9%	8.4%	-67.5	5
1939-12-31	@ Sevilla	W 4-1	1633	1738	8.4%	14.9%	76.7%	+67.5	2
1940-01-07	Madrid CF	W 2-1	1713	1858	56.4%	15.3%	28.4%	+11.0	7
1940-01-07	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1858	1713	28.4%	15.3%	56.4%	-11.0	6
1940-01-07	Athletic Bilbao	L 3-4	1705	1791	63.0%	15.2%	21.8%	-20.7	7
1940-01-07	@ Espanol	W 4-3	1791	1705	21.8%	15.2%	63.0%	+20.8	6
1940-01-07	Hercules	W 4-3	1627	1775	56.0%	15.3%	28.7%	+10.3	4
1940-01-07	@ Real Betis	L 3-4	1775	1627	28.7%	15.3%	56.0%	-10.3	7
1940-01-07	Barcelona	W 3-1	1693	1773	63.5%	15.2%	21.2%	+14.7	9
1940-01-07	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1773	1693	21.2%	15.2%	63.5%	-14.7	6
1940-01-07	Sevilla	D 2-2	1746	1671	75.1%	15.0%	9.8%	-4.6	6
1940-01-07	@ Valencia	D 2-2	1671	1746	9.8%	15.0%	75.1%	+4.7	6
1940-01-09	Racing Santander	W 5-1	1700	1740	67.2%	15.2%	17.6%	+22.5	4
1940-01-09	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-5	1740	1700	17.6%	15.2%	67.2%	-22.5	4
1940-01-14	Barcelona	W 7-5	1812	1758	73.9%	15.0%	11.0%	+6.4	8
1940-01-14	@ Athletic Bilbao	L 5-7	1758	1812	11.0%	15.0%	73.9%	-6.4	6
1940-01-14	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1684	1723	67.4%	15.2%	17.4%	+17.3	9
1940-01-14	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1723	1684	17.4%	15.2%	67.4%	-17.3	4
1940-01-14	Real Zaragoza	W 5-1	1765	1708	74.2%	15.0%	10.8%	+14.3	9
1940-01-14	@ Hercules	L 1-5	1708	1765	10.8%	15.0%	74.2%	-14.2	9
1940-01-14	Valencia	W 2-1	1718	1741	68.6%	15.2%	16.2%	+6.6	6
1940-01-14	@ Racing Santander	L 1-2	1741	1718	16.2%	15.2%	68.6%	-6.6	6
1940-01-14	Real Betis	W 3-0	1847	1637	80.6%	14.6%	4.8%	+5.9	8
1940-01-14	@ Madrid CF	L 0-3	1637	1847	4.8%	14.6%	80.6%	-5.9	4
1940-01-14	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-1	1676	1724	66.5%	15.2%	18.2%	+18.1	8
1940-01-14	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1724	1676	18.2%	15.2%	66.5%	-18.1	7
1940-01-21	Hercules	D 0-0	1752	1779	68.3%	15.2%	16.5%	-5.4	7
1940-01-21	@ Barcelona	D 0-0	1779	1752	16.5%	15.2%	68.3%	+5.4	10
1940-01-21	Athletic Bilbao	L 2-4	1706	1818	60.2%	15.2%	24.6%	-33.2	4
1940-01-21	@ Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1818	1706	24.6%	15.2%	60.2%	+33.2	10
1940-01-21	Sevilla	W 3-2	1631	1694	65.2%	15.2%	19.6%	+7.5	6
1940-01-21	@ Real Betis	L 2-3	1694	1631	19.6%	15.2%	65.2%	-7.5	8
1940-01-21	Madrid CF	W 3-1	1693	1853	54.6%	15.3%	30.1%	+20.1	11
1940-01-21	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1853	1693	30.1%	15.3%	54.6%	-20.1	8
1940-01-21	Espanol	L 1-3	1735	1702	72.7%	15.1%	12.2%	-45.0	6
1940-01-21	@ Valencia	W 3-1	1702	1735	12.2%	15.1%	72.7%	+45.0	11
1940-01-24	Racing Santander	W 2-1	1706	1724	69.0%	15.2%	15.8%	+6.5	9
1940-01-24	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1724	1706	15.8%	15.2%	69.0%	-6.5	6
1940-01-28	Hercules	W 4-1	1851	1785	74.7%	15.0%	10.3%	+10.6	12
1940-01-28	@ Athletic Bilbao	L 1-4	1785	1851	10.3%	15.0%	74.7%	-10.6	10
1940-01-28	Valencia	W 3-2	1672	1690	69.1%	15.2%	15.7%	+6.1	6
1940-01-28	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1690	1672	15.7%	15.2%	69.1%	-6.1	6
1940-01-28	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-0	1747	1712	72.8%	15.1%	12.1%	+10.1	13
1940-01-28	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1712	1747	12.1%	15.1%	72.8%	-10.1	9
1940-01-28	Real Betis	W 4-2	1718	1639	75.4%	15.0%	9.6%	+6.3	8
1940-01-28	@ Racing Santander	L 2-4	1639	1718	9.6%	15.0%	75.4%	-6.3	6
1940-01-28	Barcelona	W 2-1	1833	1747	75.8%	15.0%	9.3%	+3.9	10
1940-01-28	@ Madrid CF	L 1-2	1747	1833	9.3%	15.0%	75.8%	-3.9	7
1940-01-28	Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1686	1713	68.3%	15.2%	16.5%	+19.5	10
1940-01-28	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1713	1686	16.5%	15.2%	68.3%	-19.5	11
1940-02-04	Valencia	L 1-2	1862	1683	79.6%	14.7%	5.7%	-28.7	12
1940-02-04	@ Athletic Bilbao	W 2-1	1683	1862	5.7%	14.7%	79.6%	+28.7	8
1940-02-04	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1702	1679	72.1%	15.1%	12.8%	+13.0	11
1940-02-04	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-4	1679	1702	12.8%	15.1%	72.1%	-13.0	6
1940-02-04	Sevilla	L 1-2	1743	1706	73.0%	15.1%	12.0%	-26.1	7
1940-02-04	@ Barcelona	W 2-1	1706	1743	12.0%	15.1%	73.0%	+26.1	12
1940-02-04	Madrid CF	L 0-2	1774	1837	65.2%	15.2%	19.6%	-46.4	10
1940-02-04	@ Hercules	W 2-0	1837	1774	19.6%	15.2%	65.2%	+46.4	12
1940-02-04	Espanol	W 2-0	1632	1757	58.8%	15.3%	25.9%	+20.3	8
1940-02-04	@ Real Betis	L 0-2	1757	1632	25.9%	15.3%	58.8%	-20.3	13
1940-02-04	Racing Santander	W 3-0	1694	1724	68.0%	15.2%	16.8%	+19.8	13
1940-02-04	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-3	1724	1694	16.8%	15.2%	68.0%	-19.8	8
1940-02-11	Real Betis	W 4-2	1665	1653	71.3%	15.1%	13.5%	+8.7	8
1940-02-11	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1653	1665	13.5%	15.1%	71.3%	-8.7	8
1940-02-11	Real Zaragoza	W 2-0	1737	1714	72.0%	15.1%	12.9%	+10.7	15
1940-02-11	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1714	1737	12.9%	15.1%	72.0%	-10.7	13
1940-02-11	Barcelona	L 2-3	1704	1717	69.5%	15.2%	15.3%	-23.5	8
1940-02-11	@ Racing Santander	W 3-2	1717	1704	15.3%	15.2%	69.5%	+23.5	9
1940-02-11	Athletic Bilbao	W 4-1	1884	1833	73.8%	15.0%	11.2%	+11.4	14
1940-02-11	@ Madrid CF	L 1-4	1833	1884	11.2%	15.0%	73.8%	-11.4	12
1940-02-11	Hercules	D 1-1	1732	1728	70.7%	15.1%	14.1%	-5.3	13
1940-02-11	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1728	1732	14.1%	15.1%	70.7%	+5.3	11
1940-02-11	Atletico Aviacion	W 1-0	1712	1715	70.2%	15.2%	14.6%	+6.4	10
1940-02-11	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1715	1712	14.6%	15.2%	70.2%	-6.4	11
1940-02-18	Athletic Bilbao	W 3-1	1709	1822	60.1%	15.2%	24.6%	+16.8	13
1940-02-18	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1822	1709	24.6%	15.2%	60.1%	-16.8	12
1940-02-18	Real Zaragoza	W 5-1	1674	1703	68.2%	15.2%	16.6%	+21.4	10
1940-02-18	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-5	1703	1674	16.6%	15.2%	68.2%	-21.4	13
1940-02-18	Barcelona	D 1-1	1747	1740	70.9%	15.1%	13.9%	-5.4	16
1940-02-18	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1740	1747	13.9%	15.1%	70.9%	+5.4	10
1940-02-18	Hercules	L 0-1	1681	1733	66.2%	15.2%	18.6%	-25.0	8
1940-02-18	@ Racing Santander	W 1-0	1733	1681	18.6%	15.2%	66.2%	+25.0	13
1940-02-18	Madrid CF	W 3-2	1727	1895	53.6%	15.3%	31.2%	+11.3	15
1940-02-18	@ Sevilla	L 2-3	1895	1727	31.2%	15.3%	53.6%	-11.3	14
1940-02-18	Real Betis	W 4-0	1718	1644	75.1%	15.0%	9.9%	+15.7	12
1940-02-18	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1644	1718	9.9%	15.0%	75.1%	-15.7	8
1940-02-25	Sevilla	L 3-4	1805	1738	74.7%	15.0%	10.2%	-24.8	12
1940-02-25	@ Athletic Bilbao	W 4-3	1738	1805	10.2%	15.0%	74.7%	+24.8	17
1940-02-25	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1746	1696	73.7%	15.0%	11.2%	+9.4	12
1940-02-25	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1696	1746	11.2%	15.0%	73.7%	-9.4	10
1940-02-25	Espanol	L 1-2	1758	1742	71.6%	15.1%	13.3%	-25.6	13
1940-02-25	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1742	1758	13.3%	15.1%	71.6%	+25.6	18
1940-02-25	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1628	1725	61.8%	15.2%	22.9%	-22.0	8
1940-02-25	@ Real Betis	W 2-1	1725	1628	22.9%	15.2%	61.8%	+22.0	15
1940-02-25	Racing Santander	W 3-2	1884	1656	81.1%	14.6%	4.3%	+1.8	16
1940-02-25	@ Madrid CF	L 2-3	1656	1884	4.3%	14.6%	81.1%	-1.8	8
1940-02-25	Valencia	W 1-0	1682	1734	66.1%	15.2%	18.7%	+8.0	15
1940-02-25	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-1	1734	1682	18.7%	15.2%	66.1%	-8.0	12
1940-03-03	Real Zaragoza	W 5-1	1747	1690	74.2%	15.0%	10.8%	+14.2	17
1940-03-03	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-5	1690	1747	10.8%	15.0%	74.2%	-14.2	15
1940-03-03	Hercules	W 4-0	1686	1733	66.7%	15.2%	18.1%	+27.8	12
1940-03-03	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1733	1686	18.1%	15.2%	66.7%	-27.8	13
1940-03-03	Madrid CF	W 5-4	1767	1886	59.6%	15.3%	25.2%	+9.0	20
1940-03-03	@ Espanol	L 4-5	1886	1767	25.2%	15.3%	59.6%	-9.0	16
1940-03-03	Sevilla	D 3-3	1654	1763	60.6%	15.2%	24.1%	-2.1	9
1940-03-03	@ Racing Santander	D 3-3	1763	1654	24.1%	15.2%	60.6%	+2.0	18
1940-03-03	Athletic Bilbao	D 0-0	1606	1780	52.9%	15.3%	31.9%	-2.1	9
1940-03-03	@ Real Betis	D 0-0	1780	1606	31.9%	15.3%	52.9%	+2.1	13
1940-03-03	Barcelona	W 3-1	1726	1755	68.2%	15.2%	16.6%	+11.7	14
1940-03-03	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1755	1726	16.6%	15.2%	68.2%	-11.7	12
1940-03-10	Racing Santander	W 3-2	1782	1652	77.8%	14.9%	7.4%	+3.0	15
1940-03-10	@ Athletic Bilbao	L 2-3	1652	1782	7.4%	14.9%	77.8%	-3.0	9
1940-03-10	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1743	1762	69.0%	15.2%	15.8%	-24.6	12
1940-03-10	@ Barcelona	W 2-1	1762	1743	15.8%	15.2%	69.0%	+24.6	19
1940-03-10	Valencia	W 2-1	1705	1738	67.8%	15.2%	17.0%	+6.9	15
1940-03-10	@ Hercules	L 1-2	1738	1705	17.0%	15.2%	67.8%	-6.9	14
1940-03-10	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1876	1714	79.0%	14.8%	6.2%	+2.6	18
1940-03-10	@ Madrid CF	L 1-2	1714	1876	6.2%	14.8%	79.0%	-2.6	12
1940-03-10	Real Betis	D 1-1	1675	1604	74.9%	15.0%	10.0%	-6.2	16
1940-03-10	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1604	1675	10.0%	15.0%	74.9%	+6.2	10
1940-03-10	Espanol	W 4-0	1765	1777	69.5%	15.2%	15.3%	+23.8	20
1940-03-10	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1777	1765	15.3%	15.2%	69.5%	-23.8	20
1940-03-17	Hercules	W 2-1	1786	1712	75.1%	15.0%	9.9%	+4.1	21
1940-03-17	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1712	1786	9.9%	15.0%	75.1%	-4.1	15
1940-03-17	Sevilla	W 2-0	1711	1789	63.8%	15.2%	20.9%	+16.7	14
1940-03-17	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1789	1711	20.9%	15.2%	63.8%	-16.7	20
1940-03-17	Racing Santander	W 3-1	1753	1649	76.6%	14.9%	8.5%	+6.2	22
1940-03-17	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1649	1753	8.5%	14.9%	76.6%	-6.2	9
1940-03-17	Barcelona	W 3-0	1610	1719	60.7%	15.2%	24.1%	+27.6	12
1940-03-17	@ Real Betis	L 0-3	1719	1610	24.1%	15.2%	60.7%	-27.6	12
1940-03-17	Athletic Bilbao	D 1-1	1669	1785	59.8%	15.3%	25.0%	-3.1	17
1940-03-17	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1785	1669	25.0%	15.3%	59.8%	+3.1	16
1940-03-17	Madrid CF	W 3-1	1731	1879	56.1%	15.3%	28.6%	+19.2	16
1940-03-17	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1879	1731	28.6%	15.3%	56.1%	-19.2	18
1940-03-24	Espanol	W 4-0	1788	1759	72.5%	15.1%	12.4%	+19.6	18
1940-03-24	@ Athletic Bilbao	L 0-4	1759	1788	12.4%	15.1%	72.5%	-19.6	22
1940-03-24	Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1691	1666	72.2%	15.1%	12.7%	+5.3	14
1940-03-24	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1666	1691	12.7%	15.1%	72.2%	-5.3	17
1940-03-24	Real Betis	W 3-0	1708	1638	74.9%	15.0%	10.1%	+12.3	17
1940-03-24	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1638	1708	10.1%	15.0%	74.9%	-12.3	12
1940-03-24	Celta Vigo	W 6-2	1643	1728	63.0%	15.2%	21.7%	+23.2	11
1940-03-24	@ Racing Santander	L 2-6	1728	1643	21.7%	15.2%	63.0%	-23.2	14
1940-03-24	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-0	1860	1790	74.9%	15.0%	10.1%	+8.5	20
1940-03-24	@ Madrid CF	L 0-2	1790	1860	10.1%	15.0%	74.9%	-8.5	21
1940-03-24	Valencia	W 4-2	1772	1750	71.9%	15.1%	13.0%	+8.3	22
1940-03-24	@ Sevilla	L 2-4	1750	1772	13.0%	15.1%	71.9%	-8.3	16
1940-03-31	Sevilla	W 4-2	1782	1780	70.6%	15.1%	14.3%	+9.1	23
1940-03-31	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 2-4	1780	1782	14.3%	15.1%	70.6%	-9.1	22
1940-03-31	Athletic Bilbao	L 0-2	1696	1808	60.3%	15.2%	24.5%	-42.9	14
1940-03-31	@ Barcelona	W 2-0	1808	1696	24.5%	15.2%	60.3%	+42.9	20
1940-03-31	Espanol	W 2-0	1705	1739	67.7%	15.2%	17.1%	+13.9	16
1940-03-31	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1739	1705	17.1%	15.2%	67.7%	-13.9	22
1940-03-31	Madrid CF	L 0-4	1626	1868	43.5%	15.2%	41.2%	-60.3	12
1940-03-31	@ Real Betis	W 4-0	1868	1626	41.2%	15.2%	43.5%	+60.3	22
1940-03-31	Hercules	D 0-0	1661	1720	65.5%	15.2%	19.2%	-4.8	18
1940-03-31	@ Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1720	1661	19.2%	15.2%	65.5%	+4.8	18
1940-03-31	Racing Santander	W 4-0	1742	1666	75.2%	15.0%	9.8%	+15.6	18
1940-03-31	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1666	1742	9.8%	15.0%	75.2%	-15.6	11
1940-04-07	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1851	1719	77.8%	14.9%	7.3%	+7.6	22
1940-04-07	@ Athletic Bilbao	L 1-4	1719	1851	7.3%	14.9%	77.8%	-7.6	16
1940-04-07	Valencia	L 2-3	1725	1758	67.9%	15.2%	16.9%	-23.0	22
1940-04-07	@ Espanol	W 3-2	1758	1725	16.9%	15.2%	67.9%	+23.0	20
1940-04-07	Barcelona	L 1-2	1725	1653	75.0%	15.0%	10.0%	-26.9	18
1940-04-07	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1653	1725	10.0%	15.0%	75.0%	+26.9	16
1940-04-07	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1651	1791	57.0%	15.3%	27.8%	-40.6	11
1940-04-07	@ Racing Santander	W 2-0	1791	1651	27.8%	15.3%	57.0%	+40.6	25
1940-04-07	Real Zaragoza	W 5-1	1929	1656	82.2%	14.4%	3.4%	+4.6	24
1940-04-07	@ Madrid CF	L 1-5	1656	1929	3.4%	14.4%	82.2%	-4.6	18
1940-04-07	Real Betis	W 4-3	1771	1565	80.5%	14.6%	4.9%	+1.9	24
1940-04-07	@ Sevilla	L 3-4	1565	1771	4.9%	14.6%	80.5%	-1.9	12
1940-04-14	Espanol	W 2-0	1832	1702	77.7%	14.9%	7.4%	+6.3	27
1940-04-14	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1702	1832	7.4%	14.9%	77.7%	-6.3	22
1940-04-14	Madrid CF	D 0-0	1680	1933	42.0%	15.2%	42.7%	+0.1	17
1940-04-14	@ Barcelona	D 0-0	1933	1680	42.7%	15.2%	42.0%	-0.1	25
1940-04-14	Athletic Bilbao	W 1-0	1698	1858	54.5%	15.3%	30.2%	+12.3	20
1940-04-14	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1858	1698	30.2%	15.3%	54.5%	-12.3	22
1940-04-14	Racing Santander	W 2-1	1563	1610	66.7%	15.2%	18.1%	+7.3	14
1940-04-14	@ Real Betis	L 1-2	1610	1563	18.1%	15.2%	66.7%	-7.3	11
1940-04-14	Sevilla	D 1-1	1651	1773	59.2%	15.3%	25.6%	-3.0	19
1940-04-14	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1773	1651	25.6%	15.3%	59.2%	+3.0	25
1940-04-14	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1781	1711	74.9%	15.0%	10.1%	-6.2	21
1940-04-14	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1711	1781	10.1%	15.0%	74.9%	+6.2	17
1940-04-21	Atletico Aviacion	W 1-0	1717	1838	59.3%	15.3%	25.5%	+10.6	19
1940-04-21	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1838	1717	25.5%	15.3%	59.3%	-10.6	27
1940-04-21	Real Betis	W 5-0	1696	1571	77.6%	14.9%	7.5%	+15.0	24
1940-04-21	@ Espanol	L 0-5	1571	1696	7.5%	14.9%	77.6%	-15.0	14
1940-04-21	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1603	1648	66.8%	15.2%	18.1%	+7.8	13
1940-04-21	@ Racing Santander	L 0-1	1648	1603	18.1%	15.2%	66.8%	-7.8	19
1940-04-21	Hercules	L 0-1	1933	1710	81.0%	14.6%	4.5%	-31.0	25
1940-04-21	@ Madrid CF	W 1-0	1710	1933	4.5%	14.6%	81.0%	+30.9	22
1940-04-21	Barcelona	W 2-1	1776	1680	76.2%	15.0%	8.8%	+3.7	27
1940-04-21	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1680	1776	8.8%	15.0%	76.2%	-3.7	17
1940-04-21	Athletic Bilbao	L 3-4	1774	1846	64.4%	15.2%	20.4%	-21.2	21
1940-04-21	@ Valencia	W 4-3	1846	1774	20.4%	15.2%	64.4%	+21.2	24
1940-04-28	Madrid CF	W 3-1	1867	1902	67.7%	15.2%	17.1%	+12.1	26
1940-04-28	@ Athletic Bilbao	L 1-3	1902	1867	17.1%	15.2%	67.7%	-12.1	25
1940-04-28	Valencia	W 2-0	1827	1753	75.1%	15.0%	9.9%	+8.3	29
1940-04-28	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1753	1827	9.9%	15.0%	75.1%	-8.3	21
1940-04-28	Racing Santander	W 3-1	1677	1610	74.7%	15.0%	10.3%	+7.5	19
1940-04-28	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1610	1677	10.3%	15.0%	74.7%	-7.5	13
1940-04-28	Sevilla	D 3-3	1741	1780	67.4%	15.2%	17.4%	-2.9	23
1940-04-28	@ Hercules	D 3-3	1780	1741	17.4%	15.2%	67.4%	+2.9	28
1940-04-28	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1556	1728	53.1%	15.3%	31.6%	+24.2	16
1940-04-28	@ Real Betis	L 0-2	1728	1556	31.6%	15.3%	53.1%	-24.2	19
1940-04-28	Espanol	W 4-1	1641	1711	64.5%	15.2%	20.3%	+19.9	21
1940-04-28	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-4	1711	1641	20.3%	15.2%	64.5%	-19.9	24

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1940-05-14	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1704	1706	70.2%	15.1%	14.6%	+6.4	1-0
1940-05-14	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1706	1704	14.6%	15.1%	70.2%	-6.4	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1940-04-21	4.46%	Hercules	1710	1	@ Madrid CF	1933	0
2	1939-12-03	4.49%	Sevilla	1670	3	@ Madrid CF	1892	1
3	1939-12-03	5.11%	Atletico Aviacion	1662	3	@ Athletic Bilbao	1860	1
4	1940-02-04	5.68%	Valencia	1683	2	@ Athletic Bilbao	1862	1
5	1939-12-03	7.04%	Espanol	1648	1	@ Barcelona	1787	0
6	1939-12-31	8.39%	Celta Vigo	1633	4	@ Sevilla	1738	1
7	1939-12-31	9.25%	Espanol	1679	3	@ Racing Santander	1766	2
8	1940-04-07	10.04%	Barcelona	1653	2	@ Hercules	1725	1
9	1940-02-25	10.25%	Sevilla	1738	4	@ Athletic Bilbao	1805	3
10	1940-02-04	11.97%	Sevilla	1706	2	@ Barcelona	1743	1
11	1940-01-21	12.23%	Espanol	1702	3	@ Valencia	1735	1
12	1939-12-03	12.48%	Valencia	1688	3	@ Real Betis	1717	0
13	1940-02-25	13.30%	Espanol	1742	2	@ Hercules	1758	1
14	1940-02-11	15.34%	Barcelona	1717	3	@ Racing Santander	1704	2
15	1940-03-10	15.81%	Atletico Aviacion	1762	2	@ Barcelona	1743	1
16	1940-04-07	16.91%	Valencia	1758	3	@ Espanol	1725	2
17	1940-02-18	18.62%	Hercules	1733	1	@ Racing Santander	1681	0
18	1940-02-04	19.59%	Madrid CF	1837	2	@ Hercules	1774	0
19	1939-12-10	20.15%	Barcelona	1757	2	@ Celta Vigo	1688	1
20	1940-04-21	20.42%	Athletic Bilbao	1846	4	@ Valencia	1774	3
21	1940-01-07	21.79%	Athletic Bilbao	1791	4	@ Espanol	1705	3
22	1940-02-25	22.94%	Atletico Aviacion	1725	2	@ Real Betis	1628	1
23	1940-03-31	24.49%	Athletic Bilbao	1808	2	@ Barcelona	1696	0
24	1940-01-21	24.58%	Athletic Bilbao	1818	4	@ Celta Vigo	1706	2
25	1940-04-07	27.76%	Atletico Aviacion	1791	2	@ Racing Santander	1651	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1939-12-03	75.24	Valencia	3	1688	12.48%	@ Real Betis	0	1717	72.43%	15.09%
2	1939-12-31	67.46	Celta Vigo	4	1633	8.39%	@ Sevilla	1	1738	76.68%	14.93%
3	1940-03-31	60.32	Madrid CF	4	1868	41.25%	@ Real Betis	0	1626	43.51%	15.24%
4	1939-12-03	50.51	Sevilla	3	1670	4.49%	@ Madrid CF	1	1892	80.91%	14.60%
5	1939-12-03	50.06	Atletico Aviacion	3	1662	5.11%	@ Athletic Bilbao	1	1860	80.22%	14.68%
6	1940-02-04	46.41	Madrid CF	2	1837	19.59%	@ Hercules	0	1774	65.19%	15.22%
7	1940-01-21	45.03	Espanol	3	1702	12.23%	@ Valencia	1	1735	72.68%	15.09%
8	1940-03-31	42.89	Athletic Bilbao	2	1808	24.49%	@ Barcelona	0	1696	60.26%	15.25%
9	1940-04-07	40.62	Atletico Aviacion	2	1791	27.76%	@ Racing Santander	0	1651	56.98%	15.26%
10	1940-01-21	33.17	Athletic Bilbao	4	1818	24.58%	@ Celta Vigo	2	1706	60.17%	15.25%
11	1940-04-21	30.95	Hercules	1	1710	4.46%	@ Madrid CF	0	1933	80.95%	14.59%
12	1939-12-03	29.80	Espanol	1	1648	7.04%	@ Barcelona	0	1787	78.11%	14.85%
13	1940-02-04	28.66	Valencia	2	1683	5.68%	@ Athletic Bilbao	1	1862	79.58%	14.74%
14	1939-12-17	28.47	@ Sevilla	8	1718	66.23%	Racing Santander	2	1770	18.56%	15.21%
15	1940-03-03	27.81	@ Celta Vigo	4	1686	66.70%	Hercules	0	1733	18.10%	15.20%
16	1940-03-17	27.61	@ Real Betis	3	1610	60.65%	Barcelona	0	1719	24.10%	15.25%
17	1940-04-07	26.88	Barcelona	2	1653	10.04%	@ Hercules	1	1725	74.95%	15.01%
18	1939-12-24	26.11	@ Atletico Aviacion	3	1699	62.11%	Barcelona	0	1793	22.65%	15.24%
19	1940-02-04	26.10	Sevilla	2	1706	11.97%	@ Barcelona	1	1743	72.95%	15.08%
20	1939-12-31	25.79	Espanol	3	1679	9.25%	@ Racing Santander	2	1766	75.77%	14.98%
21	1940-02-25	25.58	Espanol	2	1742	13.30%	@ Hercules	1	1758	71.58%	15.12%
22	1940-02-18	24.99	Hercules	1	1733	18.62%	@ Racing Santander	0	1681	66.17%	15.21%
23	1940-02-25	24.80	Sevilla	4	1738	10.25%	@ Athletic Bilbao	3	1805	74.73%	15.02%
24	1939-12-24	24.70	@ Racing Santander	3	1741	63.47%	Athletic Bilbao	0	1822	21.30%	15.23%
25	1940-03-10	24.61	Atletico Aviacion	2	1762	15.81%	@ Barcelona	1	1743	69.02%	15.17%