Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2022-23

2022-23 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

99 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kilmarnock

28.71 points above expected

40 points · 68.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

96.59 points below expected

99 points · 195.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 30 2 1 92 103 25 +78 78.10 +13.90
2 Rangers 33 25 4 4 79 81 34 +47 71.65 +7.35
3 Aberdeen 33 17 2 14 53 52 52 0 43.19 +9.81
4 Heart of Midlothian 33 14 6 13 48 56 49 +7 51.54 -3.54
5 Hibernian 33 13 5 15 44 49 52 -3 44.62 -0.62
6 St. Mirren 33 12 8 13 44 38 49 -11 41.12 +2.88
7 Livingston 33 12 6 15 42 33 52 -19 43.20 -1.20
8 Motherwell 33 10 7 16 37 44 48 -4 40.23 -3.23
9 St. Johnstone 33 9 6 18 33 34 54 -20 35.56 -2.56
10 Dundee United 33 8 7 18 31 36 58 -22 38.47 -7.47
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 7 18 31 29 58 -29 36.13 -5.13
12 Ross County 33 7 6 20 27 28 52 -24 36.51 -9.51
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 32 3 3 99 114 34 +80 195.59 -96.59
2 Rangers 38 29 5 4 92 93 37 +56 168.26 -76.26
3 Aberdeen 38 18 3 17 57 56 60 -4 111.39 -54.39
4 Heart of Midlothian 38 15 9 14 54 63 57 +6 101.67 -47.67
5 Hibernian 38 15 7 16 52 57 59 -2 93.16 -41.16
6 St. Mirren 38 12 10 16 46 43 61 -18 92.47 -46.47
7 Motherwell 38 14 8 16 50 53 51 +2 87.30 -37.30
8 Livingston 38 13 7 18 46 36 60 -24 86.37 -40.37
9 St. Johnstone 38 12 7 19 43 41 59 -18 72.17 -29.17
10 Kilmarnock 38 11 7 20 40 37 62 -25 68.71 -28.71
11 Ross County 38 9 7 22 34 37 60 -23 64.49 -30.49
12 Dundee United 38 8 7 23 31 40 70 -30 65.17 -34.17

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1987 99 78.10 +20.90 99.6% 49 67 74 78 82 88 99
Rangers 1956 92 71.65 +20.35 88.7% 43 60 67 72 76 82 95
Heart of Midlothian 1684 54 51.54 +2.46 34.6% 24 39 46 52 57 64 78
Hibernian 1675 52 44.62 +7.38 49.3% 18 33 40 45 50 57 74
Aberdeen 1667 57 43.19 +13.81 91.8% 16 31 38 43 48 55 72
Motherwell 1656 50 40.23 +9.77 35.8% 15 28 35 40 45 52 70
St. Mirren 1605 46 41.12 +4.88 68.4% 16 29 36 41 46 53 68
Kilmarnock 1590 40 36.13 +3.87 26.3% 8 25 31 36 41 48 63
Ross County 1567 34 36.51 -2.51 10.2% 10 25 32 36 41 48 65
Livingston 1565 46 43.20 +2.80 46.8% 12 31 38 43 48 55 71
St. Johnstone 1561 43 35.56 +7.44 39.3% 11 24 31 35 40 47 63
Dundee United 1540 31 38.47 -7.47 16.6% 11 27 33 38 43 50 63

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU HOM HIB KIL LIV MOT RAN RC SJ SM
Aberdeen
0-0-4
1.62
2-0-1
4.51
2-0-2
4.58
1-1-2
5.60
2-0-1
5.22
2-0-1
4.32
2-0-1
4.67
1-0-3
2.33
1-2-0
4.63
3-0-0
4.52
2-0-2
6.58
Celtic
4-0-0
9.85
3-0-0
7.22
4-0-0
9.16
3-0-1
9.56
3-0-0
7.32
3-0-0
7.34
2-1-0
7.48
2-1-1
6.73
3-0-0
7.28
3-0-0
7.38
2-1-1
9.91
Dundee United
1-0-2
3.94
0-0-3
1.36
0-1-2
2.88
2-1-0
3.77
1-1-2
5.86
1-1-2
5.27
1-1-2
4.20
0-0-3
1.34
1-1-2
6.05
1-0-3
5.98
0-1-2
4.37
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-2
6.69
0-0-4
2.23
2-1-0
5.59
1-2-1
6.23
1-1-1
5.34
0-2-1
4.80
2-0-1
5.10
0-1-3
3.06
3-0-0
5.68
3-0-0
5.85
1-2-1
6.82
Hibernian
2-1-1
5.67
1-0-3
1.87
0-1-2
4.68
1-2-1
5.04
2-0-1
5.22
2-0-1
3.95
2-0-1
4.92
0-1-3
2.69
1-1-1
4.75
1-1-1
4.97
3-0-1
6.08
Kilmarnock
1-0-2
3.24
0-0-3
1.28
2-1-1
5.41
1-1-1
3.12
1-0-2
3.25
1-0-3
5.05
1-2-1
5.01
0-0-3
1.30
2-0-2
5.89
1-1-2
6.41
1-2-0
3.38
Livingston
1-0-2
4.12
0-0-3
1.25
2-1-1
6.00
1-2-0
3.65
1-0-2
4.50
3-0-1
6.22
0-2-2
5.46
0-1-2
1.99
2-0-2
6.46
3-0-1
6.29
0-1-2
4.04
Motherwell
1-0-2
3.78
0-1-2
1.14
2-1-1
7.09
1-0-2
3.35
1-0-2
3.54
1-2-1
6.26
2-2-0
5.81
0-0-3
1.70
3-1-0
6.19
1-1-2
6.42
2-0-1
3.77
Rangers
3-0-1
9.05
1-1-2
4.54
3-0-0
7.25
3-1-0
8.29
3-1-0
8.66
3-0-0
7.29
2-1-0
6.52
3-0-0
6.84
3-0-0
7.29
2-0-1
7.31
3-1-0
9.39
Ross County
0-2-1
3.82
0-0-3
1.31
2-1-1
5.21
0-0-3
2.79
1-1-1
3.71
2-0-2
5.38
2-0-2
4.81
0-1-3
5.08
0-0-3
1.30
1-2-1
5.77
1-0-2
3.63
St. Johnstone
0-0-3
3.93
0-0-3
1.22
3-0-1
5.29
0-0-3
2.63
1-1-1
3.49
2-1-1
4.86
1-0-3
4.98
2-1-1
4.86
1-0-2
1.28
1-2-1
5.50
1-2-0
4.10
St. Mirren
2-0-2
4.68
1-1-2
1.57
2-1-0
4.08
1-2-1
4.46
1-0-3
5.19
0-2-1
5.08
2-1-0
4.41
1-0-2
4.68
0-1-3
2.02
2-0-1
4.82
0-2-1
4.35

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.94 +8.3
Allowed 0.89 -19.1
Differential 0.96 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.07%8.11%7.02%4.39%2.63%1.54%26.75%
18.11%9.65%7.24%3.51%2.19%0.66%31.36%
27.02%7.24%4.39%2.63%0.88%0.22%22.37%
34.39%3.51%2.63%0.44%0.22%11.18%
42.63%2.19%0.88%0.22%5.92%
5+1.54%0.66%0.22%2.41%
Total26.75%31.36%22.37%11.18%5.92%2.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 2.17
CV 0.91 0.91
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%2.63%5.26%7.89%26.32%
113.16%2.63%7.89%7.89%2.63%34.21%
210.53%2.63%5.26%18.42%
35.26%5.26%10.53%
47.89%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total36.84%23.68%10.53%13.16%7.89%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.58 -0.11
SD 1.35 1.72 2.60
CV 0.92 1.09
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%5.26%
12.63%2.63%5.26%
215.79%13.16%5.26%2.63%36.84%
35.26%7.89%2.63%15.79%
410.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%23.68%
5+7.89%5.26%13.16%
Total42.11%36.84%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 0.89 +2.11
SD 1.69 1.01 2.19
CV 0.56 1.13
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%34.21%
15.26%10.53%13.16%7.89%2.63%39.47%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%18.42%
32.63%2.63%
45.26%5.26%
5+
Total18.42%28.95%26.32%15.79%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.84 -0.79
SD 1.06 1.69 2.26
CV 1.01 0.91
Max 4 9 +4
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%13.16%5.26%2.63%31.58%
12.63%10.53%2.63%2.63%18.42%
27.89%10.53%18.42%
37.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%23.68%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%5.26%
Total15.79%36.84%34.21%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.50 +0.16
SD 1.55 1.03 2.10
CV 0.93 0.69
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%18.42%
113.16%10.53%7.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%47.37%
25.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%15.79%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total28.95%26.32%21.05%13.16%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.55 -0.05
SD 1.35 1.46 2.23
CV 0.90 0.94
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%13.16%2.63%2.63%2.63%39.47%
17.89%7.89%7.89%5.26%28.95%
25.26%10.53%5.26%5.26%26.32%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total21.05%34.21%18.42%15.79%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.63 -0.66
SD 0.94 1.34 1.79
CV 0.97 0.82
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%10.53%13.16%2.63%2.63%39.47%
110.53%15.79%7.89%2.63%36.84%
25.26%10.53%15.79%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total18.42%36.84%23.68%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.58 -0.63
SD 1.01 1.24 1.85
CV 1.07 0.79
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%2.63%5.26%15.79%
110.53%15.79%18.42%2.63%47.37%
210.53%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%23.68%
32.63%2.63%5.26%10.53%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total28.95%26.32%28.95%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.34 +0.05
SD 1.05 1.12 1.66
CV 0.76 0.84
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%5.26%
17.89%5.26%2.63%15.79%
210.53%10.53%7.89%2.63%31.58%
313.16%5.26%7.89%26.32%
410.53%5.26%2.63%18.42%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total42.11%26.32%26.32%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 0.97 +1.47
SD 1.20 1.03 1.75
CV 0.49 1.05
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%39.47%
15.26%10.53%15.79%5.26%2.63%39.47%
27.89%7.89%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total23.68%28.95%28.95%10.53%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.58 -0.61
SD 1.08 1.41 1.95
CV 1.11 0.89
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%13.16%2.63%2.63%34.21%
17.89%10.53%5.26%5.26%28.95%
25.26%15.79%2.63%5.26%2.63%31.58%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total18.42%39.47%21.05%10.53%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.55 -0.47
SD 0.94 1.22 1.59
CV 0.87 0.79
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%2.63%10.53%5.26%31.58%
110.53%13.16%5.26%2.63%2.63%34.21%
25.26%5.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%23.68%
35.26%5.26%10.53%
4
5+
Total26.32%31.58%15.79%13.16%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.61 -0.47
SD 0.99 1.48 1.97
CV 0.88 0.92
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kilmarnock 40 68.71 -28.71
2 St. Johnstone 43 72.17 -29.17
3 Ross County 34 64.49 -30.49
4 Dundee United 31 65.17 -34.17
5 Motherwell 50 87.30 -37.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 99 195.59 -96.59
2 Rangers 92 168.26 -76.26
3 Aberdeen 57 111.39 -54.39
4 Heart of Midlothian 54 101.67 -47.67
5 St. Mirren 46 92.47 -46.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 7 Feb 25 – Apr 23 1 in 1,245
2 St. Johnstone 3 Oct 21 – Nov 6 1 in 67
3 Celtic 12 Oct 1 – Dec 28 1 in 31
4 Rangers 10 Jan 8 – Apr 1 1 in 29
5 Dundee United 3 Apr 9 – Apr 22 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 6 Jan 29 – Mar 4 1 in 110
2 Heart of Midlothian 5 Mar 8 – Apr 15 1 in 101
3 St. Johnstone 6 Dec 24 – Jan 28 1 in 47
4 Hibernian 4 Nov 4 – Dec 15 1 in 29
5 Aberdeen 4 Dec 17 – Dec 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 6 Oct 21 – Dec 17 1 in 81
2 Aberdeen 7 Feb 25 – Apr 23 1 in 66
3 St. Mirren 6 Nov 9 – Jan 7 1 in 45
4 Motherwell 6 Apr 22 – May 28 1 in 36
5 Hibernian 7 Jan 8 – Mar 4 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 11 Nov 6 – Feb 4 1 in 184
2 Dundee United 11 Jan 8 – Apr 1 1 in 61
3 Celtic 3 May 13 – May 24 1 in 36
4 St. Johnstone 7 Feb 25 – Apr 22 1 in 27
5 Heart of Midlothian 5 Mar 8 – Apr 15 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic76.27%23.35%0.37%0.01%
Rangers23.59%72.96%2.96%0.36%0.09%0.02%0.01%0.01%
Aberdeen0.01%0.20%10.51%14.35%13.52%12.75%12.40%10.60%9.29%7.32%5.43%3.62%
Heart of Midlothian0.12%2.59%45.89%20.22%11.42%7.74%4.80%3.00%2.11%1.17%0.66%0.28%
Hibernian0.01%0.34%13.27%17.58%15.34%13.33%11.40%9.15%7.13%5.70%3.98%2.77%
St. Mirren0.15%5.62%10.43%11.53%12.11%12.06%12.24%10.81%10.27%8.11%6.67%
Motherwell0.10%4.64%8.97%11.44%11.25%11.80%12.03%11.49%10.81%9.69%7.78%
Livingston0.22%9.68%12.97%13.90%13.03%12.43%9.99%9.94%7.80%5.83%4.21%
St. Johnstone0.05%1.31%2.82%4.80%6.05%7.76%10.08%11.48%14.52%18.71%22.42%
Kilmarnock0.02%1.32%2.96%4.99%6.84%8.39%10.31%12.19%14.36%17.87%20.75%
Ross County1.60%3.57%5.22%6.99%8.86%10.51%13.11%15.10%16.13%18.91%
Dundee United0.02%2.83%5.77%7.74%9.89%10.09%12.08%12.45%12.95%13.59%12.59%
Team123456789101112
Celtic99.99%0.01%
Rangers0.01%99.99%
Aberdeen85.38%13.75%0.87%
Heart of Midlothian13.42%65.55%17.30%3.73%
Hibernian0.73%12.56%49.65%37.06%
St. Mirren0.47%8.14%32.18%59.21%
Motherwell88.95%10.33%0.64%0.08%
Livingston10.35%68.26%15.53%4.56%1.18%0.12%
St. Johnstone0.49%11.20%37.10%26.90%17.79%6.52%
Kilmarnock0.06%5.29%23.18%30.03%27.42%14.02%
Ross County0.15%4.40%19.10%27.33%31.85%17.17%
Dundee United0.52%4.45%11.10%21.76%62.17%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.05%
Clear Edge
51.75%17.54%30.70%
Elo Value
Home Edge
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
074.25500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
76%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Tight Race
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.68 * Some Luck: 5.68 to 8.53 * Lucky: 8.53 to 11.37 * Wild Swing: 11.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.24 * Off: 2.24 to 2.98 * Way Off: 2.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.80 points
Some Luck
07.1018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.864
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.58%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.23%
Ross County
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.28
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Very Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.51
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.29
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1040.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Heart of Midlothian 99.17% 0.64% 0.19%
Hibernian 94.49% 3.43% 2.08%
Aberdeen 92.43% 4.74% 2.83%
Livingston 88.94% 6.73% 4.33%
St. Mirren 86.47% 7.78% 5.75%
Motherwell 83.84% 9.14% 7.02%
Dundee United 74.18% 13.72% 12.10%
Kilmarnock 61.74% 17.65% 20.61%
Ross County 62.59% 16.66% 20.75%
St. Johnstone 56.15% 19.51% 24.34%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Mirren 100%
Livingston 98.70% 1.18% 0.12%
St. Johnstone 75.69% 17.79% 6.52%
Kilmarnock 58.56% 27.42% 14.02%
Ross County 50.98% 31.85% 17.17%
Dundee United 16.07% 21.76% 62.17%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2022-07-30 Dundee United D 1-1 1626 1634 50.2% 18.4% 31.4% -0.6 1
2022-07-30 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1634 1626 31.4% 18.4% 50.2% +0.6 1
2022-07-30 Hibernian L 0-1 1568 1641 41.2% 18.6% 40.2% -6.3 0
2022-07-30 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1641 1568 40.2% 18.6% 41.2% +6.3 3
2022-07-30 Rangers L 1-2 1654 1870 23.4% 17.7% 59.0% -3.6 0
2022-07-30 @ Livingston W 2-1 1870 1654 59.0% 17.7% 23.4% +3.6 3
2022-07-30 Ross County W 2-1 1700 1620 60.8% 17.4% 21.7% +3.4 3
2022-07-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1620 1700 21.7% 17.4% 60.8% -3.4 0
2022-07-31 Aberdeen W 2-0 1907 1620 78.3% 13.4% 8.4% +2.6 3
2022-07-31 @ Celtic L 0-2 1620 1907 8.4% 13.4% 78.3% -2.6 0
2022-07-31 Motherwell L 0-1 1602 1610 50.2% 18.4% 31.4% -7.4 0
2022-07-31 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1610 1602 31.4% 18.4% 50.2% +7.4 3
2022-08-06 Celtic L 1-3 1617 1910 16.6% 16.5% 67.0% -4.5 0
2022-08-06 @ Ross County W 3-1 1910 1617 67.0% 16.5% 16.6% +4.5 6
2022-08-06 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1874 1626 75.7% 14.2% 10.1% +3.1 6
2022-08-06 @ Rangers L 0-2 1626 1874 10.1% 14.2% 75.7% -3.1 1
2022-08-06 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1617 1562 58.0% 17.8% 24.2% -8.0 3
2022-08-06 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1562 1617 24.2% 17.8% 58.0% +8.0 3
2022-08-06 St. Mirren W 4-1 1617 1595 54.0% 18.1% 27.8% +10.4 3
2022-08-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1595 1617 27.8% 18.1% 54.0% -10.4 0
2022-08-07 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1647 1704 43.5% 18.6% 37.9% -0.2 4
2022-08-07 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1704 1647 37.9% 18.6% 43.5% +0.2 4
2022-08-07 Livingston L 0-1 1634 1651 49.0% 18.4% 32.6% -7.2 1
2022-08-07 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1651 1634 32.6% 18.4% 49.0% +7.3 3
2022-08-13 Hibernian W 2-1 1658 1647 52.7% 18.2% 29.1% +4.4 6
2022-08-13 @ Livingston L 1-2 1647 1658 29.1% 18.2% 52.7% -4.4 4
2022-08-13 Motherwell L 2-3 1628 1609 53.5% 18.2% 28.3% -7.0 3
2022-08-13 @ Aberdeen W 3-2 1609 1628 28.3% 18.2% 53.5% +7.0 6
2022-08-13 Ross County W 1-0 1585 1612 47.5% 18.5% 34.0% +5.3 3
2022-08-13 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1612 1585 34.0% 18.5% 47.5% -5.3 0
2022-08-13 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1877 1570 79.5% 12.9% 7.6% +4.4 9
2022-08-13 @ Rangers L 0-4 1570 1877 7.6% 12.9% 79.5% -4.4 3
2022-08-14 Celtic L 0-5 1623 1914 16.7% 16.5% 66.8% -12.3 1
2022-08-14 @ Kilmarnock W 5-0 1914 1623 66.8% 16.5% 16.7% +12.3 9
2022-08-14 Dundee United W 4-1 1704 1627 60.4% 17.5% 22.1% +8.4 7
2022-08-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1627 1704 22.1% 17.5% 60.4% -8.4 1
2022-08-20 Aberdeen L 0-1 1565 1621 43.7% 18.6% 37.7% -6.6 3
2022-08-20 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1621 1565 37.7% 18.6% 43.7% +6.6 6
2022-08-20 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1607 1610 50.7% 18.4% 30.9% +4.9 3
2022-08-20 @ Ross County L 0-1 1610 1607 30.9% 18.4% 50.7% -4.9 1
2022-08-20 Livingston W 1-0 1616 1663 45.0% 18.6% 36.5% +5.7 9
2022-08-20 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1663 1616 36.5% 18.6% 45.0% -5.7 6
2022-08-20 Rangers D 2-2 1642 1882 21.1% 17.3% 61.6% +1.0 5
2022-08-20 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1882 1642 61.6% 17.3% 21.1% -1.0 10
2022-08-20 St. Mirren L 0-3 1619 1590 54.8% 18.1% 27.1% -22.0 1
2022-08-20 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1590 1619 27.1% 18.1% 54.8% +22.0 6
2022-08-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1927 1712 73.2% 15.0% 11.8% +3.7 12
2022-08-21 @ Celtic L 0-2 1712 1927 11.8% 15.0% 73.2% -3.7 7
2022-08-27 Hibernian W 1-0 1612 1643 47.0% 18.5% 34.5% +5.4 9
2022-08-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1643 1612 34.5% 18.5% 47.0% -5.4 5
2022-08-27 Livingston W 5-0 1627 1657 47.2% 18.5% 34.3% +23.7 9
2022-08-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1657 1627 34.3% 18.5% 47.2% -23.7 6
2022-08-27 Motherwell W 2-1 1605 1622 49.0% 18.4% 32.6% +4.8 4
2022-08-27 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1622 1605 32.6% 18.4% 49.0% -4.9 9
2022-08-27 Ross County W 4-0 1881 1612 77.1% 13.8% 9.1% +5.4 13
2022-08-27 @ Rangers L 0-4 1612 1881 9.1% 13.8% 77.1% -5.4 3
2022-08-28 Celtic L 0-9 1597 1930 13.8% 15.7% 70.5% -17.7 1
2022-08-28 @ Dundee United W 9-0 1930 1597 70.5% 15.7% 13.8% +17.7 15
2022-08-28 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1708 1559 67.8% 16.3% 15.9% +2.4 10
2022-08-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1559 1708 15.9% 16.3% 67.8% -2.4 3
2022-09-03 Aberdeen D 1-1 1606 1651 45.2% 18.6% 36.2% -0.3 4
2022-09-03 @ Ross County D 1-1 1651 1606 36.2% 18.6% 45.2% +0.3 10
2022-09-03 Dundee United D 0-0 1617 1579 56.0% 18.0% 26.0% -1.1 10
2022-09-03 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1579 1617 26.0% 18.0% 56.0% +1.1 2
2022-09-03 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1633 1711 40.5% 18.6% 40.9% +6.2 9
2022-09-03 @ Livingston L 0-1 1711 1633 40.9% 18.6% 40.5% -6.2 10
2022-09-03 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1638 1610 54.7% 18.1% 27.2% +4.4 8
2022-09-03 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1610 1638 27.2% 18.1% 54.7% -4.4 4
2022-09-03 Rangers W 4-0 1948 1886 58.8% 17.7% 23.5% +13.8 18
2022-09-03 @ Celtic L 0-4 1886 1948 23.5% 17.7% 58.8% -13.8 13
2022-09-03 St. Mirren W 3-0 1556 1617 42.9% 18.6% 38.5% +16.2 6
2022-09-03 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1617 1556 38.5% 18.6% 42.9% -16.2 9
2022-09-17 Aberdeen W 3-1 1642 1651 50.0% 18.4% 31.6% +8.2 11
2022-09-17 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1651 1642 31.6% 18.4% 50.0% -8.2 10
2022-09-17 Dundee United W 2-1 1872 1580 78.6% 13.2% 8.2% +1.3 16
2022-09-17 @ Rangers L 1-2 1580 1872 8.2% 13.2% 78.6% -1.3 2
2022-09-17 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1639 1606 55.4% 18.0% 26.6% +4.3 12
2022-09-17 @ Livingston L 0-1 1606 1639 26.6% 18.0% 55.4% -4.3 4
2022-09-17 Ross County D 0-0 1573 1606 46.7% 18.5% 34.8% -0.4 7
2022-09-17 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1606 1573 34.8% 18.5% 46.7% +0.4 5
2022-09-18 Celtic W 2-0 1601 1962 12.2% 15.1% 72.7% +19.6 12
2022-09-18 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1962 1601 72.7% 15.1% 12.2% -19.6 18
2022-09-18 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1616 1705 38.9% 18.6% 42.5% -16.4 10
2022-09-18 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1705 1616 42.5% 18.6% 38.9% +16.4 13
2022-10-01 Hibernian L 0-2 1606 1650 45.3% 18.6% 36.2% -12.8 5
2022-10-01 @ Ross County W 2-0 1650 1606 36.2% 18.6% 45.3% +12.8 14
2022-10-01 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1643 1602 56.4% 17.9% 25.7% +9.7 13
2022-10-01 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1602 1643 25.7% 17.9% 56.4% -9.7 4
2022-10-01 Livingston W 2-1 1621 1644 48.2% 18.5% 33.4% +5.0 15
2022-10-01 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1644 1621 33.4% 18.5% 48.2% -5.0 12
2022-10-01 Motherwell W 2-1 1942 1600 81.5% 12.1% 6.4% +1.0 21
2022-10-01 @ Celtic L 1-2 1600 1942 6.4% 12.1% 81.5% -1.0 10
2022-10-01 Rangers L 0-4 1721 1873 30.5% 18.3% 51.2% -17.4 13
2022-10-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1873 1721 51.2% 18.3% 30.5% +17.4 19
2022-10-01 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1579 1572 52.1% 18.3% 29.7% -7.2 2
2022-10-01 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1572 1579 29.7% 18.3% 52.1% +7.2 10
2022-10-04 Motherwell L 0-5 1594 1599 50.5% 18.4% 31.1% -32.9 5
2022-10-04 @ Ross County W 5-0 1599 1594 31.1% 18.4% 50.5% +32.9 13
2022-10-05 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1592 1579 52.8% 18.2% 29.0% +4.4 7
2022-10-05 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1579 1592 29.0% 18.2% 52.8% -4.4 10
2022-10-08 Aberdeen W 4-0 1572 1653 40.0% 18.6% 41.4% +22.5 5
2022-10-08 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1653 1572 41.4% 18.6% 40.0% -22.5 13
2022-10-08 Celtic L 1-2 1575 1943 11.7% 15.0% 73.3% -1.8 10
2022-10-08 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1943 1575 73.3% 15.0% 11.7% +1.8 24
2022-10-08 Motherwell W 1-0 1663 1632 55.2% 18.1% 26.8% +4.3 17
2022-10-08 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1632 1663 26.8% 18.1% 55.2% -4.3 13
2022-10-08 Ross County L 0-1 1639 1561 60.6% 17.5% 21.9% -8.8 12
2022-10-08 @ Livingston W 1-0 1561 1639 21.9% 17.5% 60.6% +8.8 8
2022-10-08 St. Mirren W 4-0 1891 1626 76.8% 13.9% 9.3% +5.5 22
2022-10-08 @ Rangers L 0-4 1626 1891 9.3% 13.9% 76.8% -5.5 15
2022-10-09 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1596 1704 36.3% 18.6% 45.1% +0.2 8
2022-10-09 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1704 1596 45.1% 18.6% 36.3% -0.2 14
2022-10-11 Hibernian W 1-0 1594 1668 41.1% 18.6% 40.3% +6.1 8
2022-10-11 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1668 1594 40.3% 18.6% 41.1% -6.2 17
2022-10-15 Dundee United D 1-1 1570 1600 47.1% 18.5% 34.4% -0.4 9
2022-10-15 @ Ross County D 1-1 1600 1570 34.4% 18.5% 47.1% +0.4 9
2022-10-15 Hibernian W 6-1 1945 1661 78.0% 13.4% 8.5% +5.1 27
2022-10-15 @ Celtic L 1-6 1661 1945 8.5% 13.4% 78.0% -5.1 17
2022-10-15 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1620 1597 54.2% 18.1% 27.7% -1.0 16
2022-10-15 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1597 1620 27.7% 18.1% 54.2% +1.0 9
2022-10-15 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1630 1573 58.2% 17.8% 24.1% +3.9 15
2022-10-15 @ Livingston L 0-1 1573 1630 24.1% 17.8% 58.2% -3.9 10
2022-10-16 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1630 1703 41.1% 18.6% 40.3% +11.6 16
2022-10-16 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1703 1630 40.3% 18.6% 41.1% -11.6 14
2022-10-16 Rangers L 1-2 1627 1896 18.5% 16.9% 64.6% -2.9 13
2022-10-16 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1896 1627 64.6% 16.9% 18.5% +2.9 25
2022-10-21 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1656 1569 61.6% 17.3% 21.1% -8.4 17
2022-10-21 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1569 1656 21.1% 17.3% 61.6% +8.4 13
2022-10-22 Aberdeen L 1-2 1624 1642 48.9% 18.4% 32.6% -6.8 13
2022-10-22 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1642 1624 32.6% 18.4% 48.9% +6.8 19
2022-10-22 Celtic L 3-4 1692 1950 19.4% 17.1% 63.6% -2.8 14
2022-10-22 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-3 1950 1692 63.6% 17.1% 19.4% +2.8 30
2022-10-22 Dundee United W 2-1 1619 1601 53.6% 18.2% 28.2% +4.3 19
2022-10-22 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1601 1619 28.2% 18.2% 53.6% -4.3 9
2022-10-22 Livingston D 1-1 1899 1634 76.8% 13.9% 9.3% -2.4 26
2022-10-22 @ Rangers D 1-1 1634 1899 9.3% 13.9% 76.8% +2.4 16
2022-10-22 Ross County W 1-0 1598 1569 54.8% 18.1% 27.1% +4.4 12
2022-10-22 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1569 1598 27.1% 18.1% 54.8% -4.4 9
2022-10-29 Aberdeen W 4-1 1897 1649 75.7% 14.2% 10.1% +3.8 29
2022-10-29 @ Rangers L 1-4 1649 1897 10.1% 14.2% 75.7% -3.8 19
2022-10-29 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1578 1602 48.0% 18.5% 33.5% +5.3 16
2022-10-29 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1602 1578 33.5% 18.5% 48.0% -5.3 12
2022-10-29 Motherwell L 0-1 1596 1618 48.4% 18.5% 33.1% -7.2 9
2022-10-29 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1618 1596 33.1% 18.5% 48.4% +7.2 16
2022-10-29 St. Mirren W 3-0 1648 1624 54.3% 18.1% 27.6% +12.2 20
2022-10-29 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1624 1648 27.6% 18.1% 54.3% -12.2 19
2022-10-30 Celtic L 0-3 1636 1953 14.9% 16.0% 69.1% -6.8 16
2022-10-30 @ Livingston W 3-0 1953 1636 69.1% 16.0% 14.9% +6.8 33
2022-10-30 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1565 1689 34.1% 18.5% 47.4% -5.0 9
2022-10-30 @ Ross County W 2-1 1689 1565 47.4% 18.5% 34.1% +5.0 17
2022-11-04 Hibernian W 4-1 1645 1660 49.2% 18.4% 32.4% +11.8 22
2022-11-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1660 1645 32.4% 18.4% 49.2% -11.9 20
2022-11-04 Livingston L 2-3 1597 1629 46.8% 18.5% 34.7% -6.2 12
2022-11-04 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1629 1597 34.7% 18.5% 46.8% +6.2 19
2022-11-05 Dundee United W 4-2 1960 1589 83.0% 11.4% 5.6% +1.3 36
2022-11-05 @ Celtic L 2-4 1589 1960 5.6% 11.4% 83.0% -1.3 9
2022-11-05 St. Mirren W 3-2 1560 1611 44.2% 18.6% 37.2% +5.2 12
2022-11-05 @ Ross County L 2-3 1611 1560 37.2% 18.6% 44.2% -5.1 19
2022-11-06 Motherwell W 3-2 1694 1625 59.6% 17.6% 22.8% +3.3 20
2022-11-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1625 1694 22.8% 17.6% 59.6% -3.4 16
2022-11-06 Rangers W 2-1 1583 1901 14.8% 16.0% 69.2% +9.4 19
2022-11-06 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1901 1583 69.2% 16.0% 14.8% -9.4 29
2022-11-08 Aberdeen W 2-1 1636 1657 48.4% 18.5% 33.1% +4.9 22
2022-11-08 @ Livingston L 1-2 1657 1636 33.1% 18.5% 48.4% -4.9 22
2022-11-08 Ross County L 0-2 1648 1565 61.2% 17.4% 21.4% -16.7 20
2022-11-08 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1565 1648 21.4% 17.4% 61.2% +16.7 15
2022-11-09 Celtic L 1-2 1621 1961 13.4% 15.6% 71.0% -2.1 16
2022-11-09 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1961 1621 71.0% 15.6% 13.4% +2.1 39
2022-11-09 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1891 1697 71.6% 15.4% 13.0% +2.2 32
2022-11-09 @ Rangers L 0-1 1697 1891 13.0% 15.4% 71.6% -2.2 20
2022-11-09 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1588 1590 50.9% 18.3% 30.8% +17.6 12
2022-11-09 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1590 1588 30.8% 18.3% 50.9% -17.6 12
2022-11-09 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1606 1592 53.0% 18.2% 28.8% -0.6 20
2022-11-09 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1592 1606 28.8% 18.2% 53.0% +0.6 20
2022-11-12 Dundee United W 1-0 1652 1606 56.9% 17.9% 25.2% +4.1 25
2022-11-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1606 1652 25.2% 17.9% 56.9% -4.1 12
2022-11-12 Hibernian W 1-0 1573 1632 43.2% 18.6% 38.2% +5.9 15
2022-11-12 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1632 1573 38.2% 18.6% 43.2% -5.9 20
2022-11-12 Livingston D 1-1 1695 1641 57.9% 17.8% 24.3% -1.2 21
2022-11-12 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1641 1695 24.3% 17.8% 57.9% +1.1 23
2022-11-12 Motherwell D 1-1 1593 1619 47.7% 18.5% 33.8% -0.5 21
2022-11-12 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1619 1593 33.8% 18.5% 47.7% +0.5 17
2022-11-12 Rangers D 1-1 1606 1893 17.0% 16.6% 66.4% +1.7 21
2022-11-12 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1893 1606 66.4% 16.6% 17.0% -1.7 33
2022-11-12 Ross County W 2-1 1963 1582 83.5% 11.2% 5.3% +0.8 42
2022-11-12 @ Celtic L 1-2 1582 1963 5.3% 11.2% 83.5% -0.8 15
2022-12-15 Hibernian W 3-2 1892 1626 76.9% 13.9% 9.3% +1.4 36
2022-12-15 @ Rangers L 2-3 1626 1892 9.3% 13.9% 76.9% -1.4 20
2022-12-17 Celtic L 0-1 1656 1964 15.5% 16.2% 68.3% -2.6 25
2022-12-17 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1964 1656 68.3% 16.2% 15.5% +2.6 45
2022-12-17 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1694 1579 64.5% 16.9% 18.6% +5.0 24
2022-12-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1579 1694 18.6% 16.9% 64.5% -5.0 15
2022-12-17 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1581 1592 49.7% 18.4% 31.9% -6.9 15
2022-12-17 @ Ross County W 2-1 1592 1581 31.9% 18.4% 49.7% +6.9 24
2022-12-20 Rangers L 2-3 1653 1893 21.1% 17.3% 61.6% -3.1 25
2022-12-20 @ Aberdeen W 3-2 1893 1653 61.6% 17.3% 21.1% +3.1 39
2022-12-21 Livingston W 2-1 1967 1642 80.5% 12.5% 7.0% +1.1 48
2022-12-21 @ Celtic L 1-2 1642 1967 7.0% 12.5% 80.5% -1.1 23
2022-12-23 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1620 1574 56.9% 17.9% 25.2% -0.8 18
2022-12-23 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1574 1620 25.2% 17.9% 56.9% +0.8 16
2022-12-23 Rangers L 0-1 1574 1896 14.5% 15.9% 69.6% -2.4 15
2022-12-23 @ Ross County W 1-0 1896 1574 69.6% 15.9% 14.5% +2.4 42
2022-12-24 Aberdeen W 3-1 1607 1650 45.4% 18.6% 36.0% +9.2 24
2022-12-24 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1650 1607 36.0% 18.6% 45.4% -9.2 25
2022-12-24 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1601 1699 37.7% 18.6% 43.8% +0.1 13
2022-12-24 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1699 1601 43.8% 18.6% 37.7% -0.1 25
2022-12-24 Livingston W 4-0 1624 1641 49.0% 18.4% 32.5% +18.4 23
2022-12-24 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1641 1624 32.5% 18.4% 49.0% -18.4 23
2022-12-24 St. Johnstone W 4-1 1968 1599 82.9% 11.5% 5.7% +2.1 51
2022-12-24 @ Celtic L 1-4 1599 1968 5.7% 11.5% 82.9% -2.1 24
2022-12-28 Aberdeen W 2-1 1575 1641 42.1% 18.6% 39.3% +5.7 19
2022-12-28 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1641 1575 39.3% 18.6% 42.1% -5.7 25
2022-12-28 Celtic L 0-4 1643 1970 14.2% 15.8% 70.0% -8.5 23
2022-12-28 @ Hibernian W 4-0 1970 1643 70.0% 15.8% 14.2% +8.5 54
2022-12-28 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1597 1699 37.1% 18.6% 44.3% -5.1 24
2022-12-28 @ St. Johnstone W 3-2 1699 1597 44.3% 18.6% 37.1% +5.1 28
2022-12-28 Motherwell W 3-0 1898 1619 77.8% 13.5% 8.7% +3.9 45
2022-12-28 @ Rangers L 0-3 1619 1898 8.7% 13.5% 77.8% -3.9 18
2022-12-28 Ross County W 3-0 1602 1572 55.0% 18.1% 26.9% +12.0 16
2022-12-28 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1572 1602 26.9% 18.1% 55.0% -12.0 15
2022-12-28 St. Mirren D 1-1 1622 1616 52.0% 18.3% 29.8% -0.7 24
2022-12-28 @ Livingston D 1-1 1616 1622 29.8% 18.3% 52.0% +0.7 25
2023-01-02 Celtic D 2-2 1902 1978 40.8% 18.6% 40.6% +0.0 46
2023-01-02 @ Rangers D 2-2 1978 1902 40.6% 18.6% 40.8% +0.0 55
2023-01-02 Dundee United L 0-1 1592 1614 48.4% 18.5% 33.2% -7.2 24
2023-01-02 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1614 1592 33.2% 18.5% 48.4% +7.2 19
2023-01-02 Hibernian W 3-0 1704 1634 59.7% 17.6% 22.7% +10.2 31
2023-01-02 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1634 1704 22.7% 17.6% 59.7% -10.2 23
2023-01-02 Motherwell D 1-1 1622 1615 52.0% 18.3% 29.7% -0.8 25
2023-01-02 @ Livingston D 1-1 1615 1622 29.7% 18.3% 52.0% +0.8 19
2023-01-02 Ross County D 0-0 1635 1560 60.3% 17.5% 22.2% -1.5 26
2023-01-02 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1560 1635 22.2% 17.5% 60.3% +1.5 16
2023-01-02 St. Mirren D 0-0 1580 1617 46.2% 18.5% 35.2% -0.4 20
2023-01-02 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1617 1580 35.2% 18.5% 46.2% +0.4 26
2023-01-07 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1618 1714 37.8% 18.6% 43.6% +0.2 27
2023-01-07 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1714 1618 43.6% 18.6% 37.8% -0.2 32
2023-01-07 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1978 1580 84.3% 10.8% 4.9% +1.4 58
2023-01-07 @ Celtic L 0-2 1580 1978 4.9% 10.8% 84.3% -1.4 20
2023-01-07 Livingston L 0-2 1561 1621 43.0% 18.6% 38.4% -12.2 16
2023-01-07 @ Ross County W 2-0 1621 1561 38.4% 18.6% 43.0% +12.2 28
2023-01-07 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1634 1585 57.2% 17.9% 24.9% +7.7 29
2023-01-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1585 1634 24.9% 17.9% 57.2% -7.7 24
2023-01-08 Hibernian L 2-3 1616 1624 50.1% 18.4% 31.5% -6.6 19
2023-01-08 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1624 1616 31.5% 18.4% 50.1% +6.6 26
2023-01-08 Rangers L 0-2 1621 1902 17.5% 16.7% 65.9% -5.5 19
2023-01-08 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1902 1621 65.9% 16.7% 17.5% +5.5 49
2023-01-13 St. Mirren W 1-0 1714 1618 62.5% 17.2% 20.2% +3.4 35
2023-01-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1618 1714 20.2% 17.2% 62.5% -3.3 27
2023-01-14 Dundee United D 2-2 1631 1615 53.2% 18.2% 28.6% -0.6 27
2023-01-14 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1615 1631 28.6% 18.2% 53.2% +0.6 20
2023-01-14 Livingston L 2-4 1577 1633 43.6% 18.6% 37.8% -9.6 24
2023-01-14 @ St. Johnstone W 4-2 1633 1577 37.8% 18.6% 43.6% +9.6 31
2023-01-14 Ross County D 1-1 1609 1549 58.6% 17.7% 23.7% -1.2 20
2023-01-14 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1549 1609 23.7% 17.7% 58.6% +1.2 17
2023-01-18 Aberdeen W 5-0 1717 1641 60.4% 17.5% 22.1% +16.1 38
2023-01-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-5 1641 1717 22.1% 17.5% 60.4% -16.1 29
2023-01-18 Rangers L 2-3 1578 1908 14.1% 15.8% 70.2% -2.1 20
2023-01-18 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1908 1578 70.2% 15.8% 14.1% +2.1 52
2023-01-18 St. Mirren W 4-0 1980 1614 82.7% 11.6% 5.7% +3.2 61
2023-01-18 @ Celtic L 0-4 1614 1980 5.7% 11.6% 82.7% -3.2 27
2023-01-28 Aberdeen W 6-0 1630 1625 51.8% 18.3% 29.9% +25.1 30
2023-01-28 @ Hibernian L 0-6 1625 1630 29.9% 18.3% 51.8% -25.0 29
2023-01-28 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1550 1576 47.7% 18.5% 33.8% +14.6 20
2023-01-28 @ Ross County L 0-3 1576 1550 33.8% 18.5% 47.7% -14.6 20
2023-01-28 Motherwell W 1-0 1611 1608 51.6% 18.3% 30.1% +4.8 30
2023-01-28 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1608 1611 30.1% 18.3% 51.6% -4.8 20
2023-01-28 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1910 1568 81.5% 12.1% 6.4% +1.9 55
2023-01-28 @ Rangers L 0-2 1568 1910 6.4% 12.1% 81.5% -1.9 24
2023-01-29 Celtic L 0-2 1616 1983 11.8% 15.0% 73.2% -3.7 20
2023-01-29 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1983 1616 73.2% 15.0% 11.8% +3.7 64
2023-01-29 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1643 1734 38.6% 18.6% 42.8% +0.1 32
2023-01-29 @ Livingston D 0-0 1734 1643 42.8% 18.6% 38.6% -0.1 39
2023-01-31 Hibernian D 1-1 1565 1655 38.7% 18.6% 42.8% +0.1 21
2023-01-31 @ Ross County D 1-1 1655 1565 42.8% 18.6% 38.7% -0.1 31
2023-02-01 Dundee United W 1-0 1562 1612 44.4% 18.6% 37.1% +5.7 23
2023-02-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1612 1562 37.1% 18.6% 44.4% -5.7 20
2023-02-01 Livingston W 3-0 1987 1643 81.6% 12.0% 6.4% +2.8 67
2023-02-01 @ Celtic L 0-3 1643 1987 6.4% 12.0% 81.6% -2.8 32
2023-02-01 Rangers L 0-3 1733 1912 27.4% 18.1% 54.5% -12.1 39
2023-02-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1912 1733 54.5% 18.1% 27.4% +12.1 58
2023-02-01 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1603 1566 55.9% 18.0% 26.1% -15.4 20
2023-02-01 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1566 1603 26.1% 18.0% 55.9% +15.4 27
2023-02-01 St. Mirren L 1-3 1600 1616 49.1% 18.4% 32.5% -11.9 29
2023-02-01 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1616 1600 32.5% 18.4% 49.1% +11.9 33
2023-02-04 Dundee United W 3-1 1721 1606 64.5% 16.9% 18.6% +5.1 42
2023-02-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1606 1721 18.6% 16.9% 64.5% -5.1 20
2023-02-04 Hibernian L 0-1 1628 1655 47.6% 18.5% 33.9% -7.1 33
2023-02-04 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1655 1628 33.9% 18.5% 47.6% +7.1 34
2023-02-04 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1640 1567 60.0% 17.6% 22.5% +6.0 35
2023-02-04 @ Livingston L 1-3 1567 1640 22.5% 17.6% 60.0% -6.0 23
2023-02-04 Motherwell W 3-1 1588 1588 51.3% 18.3% 30.4% +7.9 32
2023-02-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1588 1588 30.4% 18.3% 51.3% -7.9 20
2023-02-04 Ross County W 2-1 1924 1565 82.4% 11.7% 5.9% +0.9 61
2023-02-04 @ Rangers L 1-2 1565 1924 5.9% 11.7% 82.4% -0.9 21
2023-02-05 Celtic L 1-4 1581 1989 9.7% 14.1% 76.2% -3.7 27
2023-02-05 @ St. Johnstone W 4-1 1989 1581 76.2% 14.1% 9.7% +3.7 70
2023-02-15 St. Mirren W 2-1 1580 1621 45.7% 18.6% 35.8% +5.3 23
2023-02-15 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1621 1580 35.8% 18.6% 45.7% -5.3 33
2023-02-18 Aberdeen W 4-0 1993 1596 84.3% 10.8% 4.9% +2.7 73
2023-02-18 @ Celtic L 0-4 1596 1993 4.9% 10.8% 84.3% -2.7 32
2023-02-18 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1662 1561 63.0% 17.2% 19.9% +6.2 37
2023-02-18 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1561 1662 19.9% 17.2% 63.0% -6.2 23
2023-02-18 Rangers L 0-3 1646 1925 17.7% 16.7% 65.6% -8.1 35
2023-02-18 @ Livingston W 3-0 1925 1646 65.6% 16.7% 17.7% +8.1 64
2023-02-18 Ross County W 1-0 1616 1564 57.6% 17.8% 24.6% +4.0 36
2023-02-18 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1564 1616 24.6% 17.8% 57.6% -4.0 21
2023-02-18 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1601 1578 54.2% 18.1% 27.7% -7.5 20
2023-02-18 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1578 1601 27.7% 18.1% 54.2% +7.5 30
2023-02-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1585 1726 31.9% 18.4% 49.7% +13.9 26
2023-02-19 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1726 1585 49.7% 18.4% 31.9% -13.9 42
2023-02-25 Dundee United W 4-0 1560 1594 46.6% 18.5% 34.8% +19.5 24
2023-02-25 @ Ross County L 0-4 1594 1560 34.8% 18.5% 46.6% -19.5 20
2023-02-25 Livingston W 1-0 1594 1638 45.2% 18.6% 36.2% +5.6 35
2023-02-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1638 1594 36.2% 18.6% 45.2% -5.6 35
2023-02-25 Motherwell D 1-1 1555 1599 45.3% 18.6% 36.1% -0.3 24
2023-02-25 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1599 1555 36.1% 18.6% 45.3% +0.3 27
2023-02-25 St. Mirren D 1-1 1585 1620 46.6% 18.5% 34.9% -0.4 31
2023-02-25 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1620 1585 34.9% 18.5% 46.6% +0.4 37
2023-03-04 Aberdeen L 1-3 1574 1599 47.9% 18.5% 33.6% -11.6 20
2023-03-04 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1599 1574 33.6% 18.5% 47.9% +11.6 38
2023-03-04 Hibernian L 1-4 1632 1668 46.4% 18.5% 35.1% -16.0 35
2023-03-04 @ Livingston W 4-1 1668 1632 35.1% 18.5% 46.4% +16.0 40
2023-03-04 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1933 1555 83.4% 11.2% 5.4% +1.4 67
2023-03-04 @ Rangers L 1-3 1555 1933 5.4% 11.2% 83.4% -1.4 24
2023-03-04 Motherwell L 0-2 1579 1599 48.6% 18.4% 33.0% -13.6 24
2023-03-04 @ Ross County W 2-0 1599 1579 33.0% 18.4% 48.6% +13.6 30
2023-03-04 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1712 1585 65.7% 16.7% 17.6% +8.0 45
2023-03-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1585 1712 17.6% 16.7% 65.7% -8.0 31
2023-03-05 Celtic L 1-5 1620 1996 11.3% 14.8% 73.9% -5.6 37
2023-03-05 @ St. Mirren W 5-1 1996 1620 73.9% 14.8% 11.3% +5.6 76
2023-03-08 Dundee United D 1-1 1616 1563 57.8% 17.8% 24.4% -1.1 36
2023-03-08 @ Livingston D 1-1 1563 1616 24.4% 17.8% 57.8% +1.1 21
2023-03-08 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 2001 1720 77.9% 13.5% 8.6% +2.3 79
2023-03-08 @ Celtic L 1-3 1720 2001 8.6% 13.5% 77.9% -2.3 45
2023-03-08 Rangers L 1-4 1684 1934 20.1% 17.2% 62.7% -7.7 40
2023-03-08 @ Hibernian W 4-1 1934 1684 62.7% 17.2% 20.1% +7.7 70
2023-03-18 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1611 1718 36.3% 18.6% 45.1% +18.5 41
2023-03-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1718 1611 45.1% 18.6% 36.3% -18.5 45
2023-03-18 Hibernian W 3-1 2004 1677 80.7% 12.4% 6.9% +1.8 82
2023-03-18 @ Celtic L 1-3 1677 2004 6.9% 12.4% 80.7% -1.8 40
2023-03-18 Rangers L 2-4 1613 1942 14.1% 15.8% 70.2% -3.4 30
2023-03-18 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1942 1613 70.2% 15.8% 14.1% +3.4 73
2023-03-18 Ross County W 2-1 1615 1566 57.4% 17.8% 24.8% +3.8 39
2023-03-18 @ Livingston L 1-2 1566 1615 24.8% 17.8% 57.4% -3.8 24
2023-03-18 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1554 1577 48.1% 18.5% 33.4% -0.5 25
2023-03-18 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1577 1554 33.4% 18.5% 48.1% +0.5 32
2023-03-18 St. Mirren D 1-1 1564 1614 44.4% 18.6% 37.1% -0.2 22
2023-03-18 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1614 1564 37.1% 18.6% 44.4% +0.2 38
2023-04-01 Aberdeen L 0-1 1577 1629 44.1% 18.6% 37.3% -6.6 32
2023-04-01 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1629 1577 37.3% 18.6% 44.1% +6.6 44
2023-04-01 Dundee United W 2-0 1945 1564 83.5% 11.2% 5.3% +1.6 76
2023-04-01 @ Rangers L 0-2 1564 1945 5.3% 11.2% 83.5% -1.6 22
2023-04-01 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1553 1700 31.2% 18.4% 50.4% +7.0 28
2023-04-01 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1700 1553 50.4% 18.4% 31.2% -7.0 45
2023-04-01 Livingston W 3-0 1615 1619 50.6% 18.4% 31.0% +13.5 41
2023-04-01 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1619 1615 31.0% 18.4% 50.6% -13.5 39
2023-04-01 Motherwell L 1-3 1675 1609 59.2% 17.6% 23.2% -14.0 40
2023-04-01 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1609 1675 23.2% 17.6% 59.2% +14.0 33
2023-04-02 Celtic L 0-2 1562 2005 8.2% 13.3% 78.5% -2.5 24
2023-04-02 @ Ross County W 2-0 2005 1562 78.5% 13.3% 8.2% +2.5 85
2023-04-08 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1636 1560 60.4% 17.5% 22.1% +6.9 47
2023-04-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1560 1636 22.1% 17.5% 60.4% -6.9 28
2023-04-08 Livingston W 3-0 1623 1606 53.5% 18.2% 28.3% +12.5 36
2023-04-08 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1606 1623 28.3% 18.2% 53.5% -12.5 39
2023-04-08 Rangers W 3-2 2008 1947 58.7% 17.7% 23.6% +3.5 88
2023-04-08 @ Celtic L 2-3 1947 2008 23.6% 17.7% 58.7% -3.5 76
2023-04-08 Ross County L 0-2 1570 1559 52.6% 18.2% 29.1% -14.6 32
2023-04-08 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1559 1570 29.1% 18.2% 52.6% +14.6 27
2023-04-08 St. Mirren L 0-2 1693 1628 59.1% 17.7% 23.3% -16.2 45
2023-04-08 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1628 1693 23.3% 17.7% 59.1% +16.2 44
2023-04-09 Hibernian W 2-1 1562 1661 37.5% 18.6% 43.9% +6.2 25
2023-04-09 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1661 1562 43.9% 18.6% 37.5% -6.2 40
2023-04-14 Aberdeen L 0-1 1574 1643 41.8% 18.6% 39.6% -6.3 27
2023-04-14 @ Ross County W 1-0 1643 1574 39.6% 18.6% 41.8% +6.3 50
2023-04-15 Dundee United L 1-2 1636 1568 59.4% 17.6% 22.9% -8.1 36
2023-04-15 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1568 1636 22.9% 17.6% 59.4% +8.1 28
2023-04-15 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1654 1676 48.3% 18.5% 33.3% +5.2 43
2023-04-15 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1676 1654 33.3% 18.5% 48.3% -5.2 45
2023-04-15 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1593 1556 55.9% 18.0% 26.2% +8.0 42
2023-04-15 @ Livingston L 0-2 1556 1593 26.2% 18.0% 55.9% -8.0 32
2023-04-15 St. Mirren W 5-2 1944 1644 79.0% 13.1% 7.9% +2.6 79
2023-04-15 @ Rangers L 2-5 1644 1944 7.9% 13.1% 79.0% -2.6 44
2023-04-16 Celtic L 1-4 1553 2011 7.7% 12.9% 79.4% -2.9 28
2023-04-16 @ Kilmarnock W 4-1 2011 1553 79.4% 12.9% 7.7% +2.9 91
2023-04-22 Hibernian D 1-1 1548 1660 35.7% 18.6% 45.7% +0.3 33
2023-04-22 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1660 1548 45.7% 18.6% 35.7% -0.3 44
2023-04-22 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1642 1550 62.0% 17.3% 20.7% -16.9 44
2023-04-22 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1550 1642 20.7% 17.3% 62.0% +16.9 31
2023-04-22 Livingston W 2-0 1576 1601 47.9% 18.5% 33.6% +10.0 31
2023-04-22 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1601 1576 33.6% 18.5% 47.9% -10.0 42
2023-04-22 Motherwell D 1-1 2014 1628 83.8% 11.1% 5.2% -2.8 92
2023-04-22 @ Celtic D 1-1 1628 2014 5.2% 11.1% 83.8% +2.8 37
2023-04-22 Ross County W 6-1 1671 1568 63.3% 17.1% 19.6% +11.9 48
2023-04-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-6 1568 1671 19.6% 17.1% 63.3% -11.9 27
2023-04-23 Rangers W 2-0 1649 1946 16.3% 16.4% 67.3% +18.3 53
2023-04-23 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1946 1649 67.3% 16.4% 16.3% -18.3 79

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2023-05-06 Dundee United W 1-0 1548 1586 46.1% 18.5% 35.4% +5.5 3
2023-05-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1586 1548 35.4% 18.5% 46.1% -5.5 0
2023-05-06 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1631 1567 58.9% 17.7% 23.4% +7.2 3
2023-05-06 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1567 1631 23.4% 17.7% 58.9% -7.2 0
2023-05-06 Livingston W 2-0 1556 1591 46.5% 18.5% 35.0% +10.3 3
2023-05-06 @ Ross County L 0-2 1591 1556 35.0% 18.5% 46.5% -10.3 0
2023-05-06 St. Mirren W 2-1 1659 1625 55.5% 18.0% 26.4% +4.0 3
2023-05-06 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1625 1659 26.4% 18.0% 55.5% -4.0 0
2023-05-07 Aberdeen W 1-0 1928 1667 76.5% 14.0% 9.5% +1.6 3
2023-05-07 @ Rangers L 0-1 1667 1928 9.5% 14.0% 76.5% -1.6 0
2023-05-07 Celtic L 0-2 1683 2012 14.1% 15.8% 70.1% -4.4 0
2023-05-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 2012 1683 70.1% 15.8% 14.1% +4.4 3
2023-05-13 Celtic W 3-0 1929 2016 39.2% 18.6% 42.2% +17.5 6
2023-05-13 @ Rangers L 0-3 2016 1929 42.2% 18.6% 39.2% -17.5 3
2023-05-13 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1621 1679 43.3% 18.6% 38.1% -0.1 1
2023-05-13 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1679 1621 38.1% 18.6% 43.3% +0.1 1
2023-05-13 Hibernian D 0-0 1666 1663 51.5% 18.3% 30.2% -0.8 1
2023-05-13 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1663 1666 30.2% 18.3% 51.5% +0.8 4
2023-05-13 Livingston W 2-0 1560 1581 48.5% 18.5% 33.1% +9.8 3
2023-05-13 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1581 1560 33.1% 18.5% 48.5% -9.8 0
2023-05-13 Motherwell L 0-2 1554 1638 39.6% 18.6% 41.8% -11.4 3
2023-05-13 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1638 1554 41.8% 18.6% 39.6% +11.4 6
2023-05-13 Ross County L 1-3 1581 1566 53.1% 18.2% 28.7% -12.7 0
2023-05-13 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1566 1581 28.7% 18.2% 53.1% +12.7 6
2023-05-20 Aberdeen W 2-1 1679 1665 53.0% 18.2% 28.8% +4.4 4
2023-05-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1665 1679 28.8% 18.2% 53.0% -4.4 1
2023-05-20 Dundee United W 2-1 1571 1568 51.6% 18.3% 30.1% +4.5 3
2023-05-20 @ Livingston L 1-2 1568 1571 30.1% 18.3% 51.6% -4.5 0
2023-05-20 Ross County W 1-0 1649 1579 59.8% 17.6% 22.7% +3.7 9
2023-05-20 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1579 1649 22.7% 17.6% 59.8% -3.7 6
2023-05-20 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1570 1542 54.7% 18.1% 27.2% -8.0 3
2023-05-20 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1542 1570 27.2% 18.1% 54.7% +8.0 6
2023-05-20 St. Mirren D 2-2 1998 1621 83.4% 11.2% 5.4% -2.1 4
2023-05-20 @ Celtic D 2-2 1621 1998 5.4% 11.2% 83.4% +2.1 2
2023-05-21 Rangers L 1-3 1664 1947 17.4% 16.7% 66.0% -4.7 4
2023-05-21 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1947 1664 66.0% 16.7% 17.4% +4.7 9
2023-05-24 Celtic W 4-2 1659 1996 13.6% 15.6% 70.8% +14.8 7
2023-05-24 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1996 1659 70.8% 15.6% 13.6% -14.8 4
2023-05-24 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1952 1683 77.1% 13.8% 9.2% -1.8 10
2023-05-24 @ Rangers D 2-2 1683 1952 9.2% 13.8% 77.1% +1.8 5
2023-05-24 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1564 1562 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% -20.7 0
2023-05-24 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1562 1564 30.3% 18.3% 51.4% +20.7 6
2023-05-24 Motherwell D 1-1 1575 1653 40.5% 18.6% 40.9% +0.0 4
2023-05-24 @ Livingston D 1-1 1653 1575 40.9% 18.6% 40.5% -0.0 10
2023-05-24 St. Johnstone D 3-3 1575 1550 54.4% 18.1% 27.5% -0.6 7
2023-05-24 @ Ross County D 3-3 1550 1575 27.5% 18.1% 54.4% +0.6 7
2023-05-24 St. Mirren W 3-0 1661 1623 56.0% 18.0% 26.1% +11.6 4
2023-05-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1623 1661 26.1% 18.0% 56.0% -11.6 2
2023-05-27 Aberdeen W 5-0 1982 1672 79.6% 12.8% 7.5% +5.4 7
2023-05-27 @ Celtic L 0-5 1672 1982 7.5% 12.8% 79.6% -5.4 4
2023-05-27 Hibernian D 1-1 1685 1674 52.6% 18.2% 29.2% -0.8 6
2023-05-27 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1674 1685 29.2% 18.2% 52.6% +0.8 8
2023-05-27 Rangers L 0-3 1611 1950 13.5% 15.6% 71.0% -6.1 2
2023-05-27 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1950 1611 71.0% 15.6% 13.5% +6.1 13
2023-05-28 Dundee United W 3-2 1653 1543 64.0% 17.0% 19.0% +2.8 13
2023-05-28 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1543 1653 19.0% 17.0% 64.0% -2.8 0
2023-05-28 Livingston W 2-0 1551 1575 47.9% 18.5% 33.6% +10.0 10
2023-05-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1575 1551 33.6% 18.5% 47.9% -10.0 4
2023-05-28 Ross County W 3-1 1583 1574 52.2% 18.3% 29.5% +7.7 9
2023-05-28 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1574 1583 29.5% 18.3% 52.2% -7.7 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-09-18 12.15% @ St. Mirren 1601 2 Celtic 1962 0
2 2023-05-24 13.57% @ Hibernian 1659 4 Celtic 1996 2
3 2022-11-06 14.84% @ St. Johnstone 1583 2 Rangers 1901 1
4 2023-04-23 16.30% @ Aberdeen 1649 2 Rangers 1946 0
5 2023-04-22 20.68% Kilmarnock 1550 2 @ St. Mirren 1642 0
6 2022-10-21 21.08% St. Johnstone 1569 2 @ Hibernian 1656 1
7 2022-11-08 21.43% Ross County 1565 2 @ Hibernian 1648 0
8 2022-10-08 21.95% Ross County 1561 1 @ Livingston 1639 0
9 2023-04-15 22.95% Dundee United 1568 2 @ Motherwell 1636 1
10 2023-04-01 23.18% Motherwell 1609 3 @ Hibernian 1675 1
11 2023-04-08 23.26% St. Mirren 1628 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1693 0
12 2022-08-06 24.18% St. Johnstone 1562 2 @ Motherwell 1617 1
13 2023-02-01 26.13% St. Johnstone 1566 2 @ Motherwell 1603 0
14 2022-08-20 27.10% St. Mirren 1590 3 @ Dundee United 1619 0
15 2023-05-20 27.22% St. Johnstone 1542 1 @ Kilmarnock 1570 0
16 2023-02-18 27.65% St. Johnstone 1578 2 @ Dundee United 1601 1
17 2022-08-13 28.29% Motherwell 1609 3 @ Aberdeen 1628 2
18 2023-05-13 28.69% Ross County 1566 3 @ Dundee United 1581 1
19 2023-04-08 29.13% Ross County 1559 2 @ St. Johnstone 1570 0
20 2022-10-01 29.66% St. Johnstone 1572 2 @ Dundee United 1579 1
21 2023-05-24 30.26% Kilmarnock 1562 3 @ Dundee United 1564 0
22 2022-10-04 31.09% Motherwell 1599 5 @ Ross County 1594 0
23 2023-04-01 31.18% @ Kilmarnock 1553 2 Heart of Midlothian 1700 1
24 2022-07-31 31.39% Motherwell 1610 1 @ St. Mirren 1602 0
25 2023-01-08 31.49% Hibernian 1624 3 @ Motherwell 1616 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-10-04 32.88 Motherwell 5 1599 31.09% @ Ross County 0 1594 50.55% 18.36%
2 2023-01-28 25.06 @ Hibernian 6 1630 51.82% Aberdeen 0 1625 29.90% 18.29%
3 2022-08-27 23.72 @ Aberdeen 5 1627 47.23% Livingston 0 1657 34.26% 18.50%
4 2022-10-08 22.50 @ Dundee United 4 1572 40.02% Aberdeen 0 1653 41.38% 18.61%
5 2022-08-20 21.96 St. Mirren 3 1590 27.10% @ Dundee United 0 1619 54.83% 18.08%
6 2023-05-24 20.74 Kilmarnock 3 1562 30.26% @ Dundee United 0 1564 51.43% 18.31%
7 2022-09-18 19.59 @ St. Mirren 2 1601 12.15% Celtic 0 1962 72.72% 15.12%
8 2023-02-25 19.52 @ Ross County 4 1560 46.64% Dundee United 0 1594 34.84% 18.52%
9 2023-03-18 18.51 @ Aberdeen 3 1611 36.32% Heart of Midlothian 0 1718 45.12% 18.56%
10 2022-12-24 18.41 @ Hibernian 4 1624 49.04% Livingston 0 1641 32.53% 18.43%
11 2023-04-23 18.27 @ Aberdeen 2 1649 16.30% Rangers 0 1946 67.30% 16.40%
12 2022-08-28 17.70 Celtic 9 1930 70.54% @ Dundee United 0 1597 13.77% 15.68%
13 2022-11-09 17.56 @ Dundee United 4 1588 50.88% Kilmarnock 0 1590 30.77% 18.34%
14 2023-05-13 17.49 @ Rangers 3 1929 39.22% Celtic 0 2016 42.17% 18.60%
15 2022-10-01 17.40 Rangers 4 1873 51.21% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1721 30.47% 18.32%
16 2023-04-22 16.94 Kilmarnock 2 1550 20.68% @ St. Mirren 0 1642 62.03% 17.29%
17 2022-11-08 16.72 Ross County 2 1565 21.43% @ Hibernian 0 1648 61.17% 17.41%
18 2022-09-18 16.39 Heart of Midlothian 3 1705 42.46% @ Motherwell 0 1616 38.94% 18.60%
19 2022-09-03 16.24 @ St. Johnstone 3 1556 42.87% St. Mirren 0 1617 38.53% 18.60%
20 2023-04-08 16.19 St. Mirren 2 1628 23.26% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1693 59.08% 17.66%
21 2023-01-18 16.08 @ Heart of Midlothian 5 1717 60.37% Aberdeen 0 1641 22.12% 17.51%
22 2023-03-04 15.99 Hibernian 4 1668 35.08% @ Livingston 1 1632 46.39% 18.53%
23 2023-02-01 15.39 St. Johnstone 2 1566 26.13% @ Motherwell 0 1603 55.89% 17.99%
24 2023-05-24 14.82 @ Hibernian 4 1659 13.57% Celtic 2 1996 70.81% 15.62%
25 2023-04-08 14.58 Ross County 2 1559 29.13% @ St. Johnstone 0 1570 52.64% 18.24%