Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2023-24

2023-24 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

93 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Livingston

15.75 points above expected

25 points · 40.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

75.08 points below expected

85 points · 160.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 24 6 3 78 80 26 +54 73.51 +4.49
2 Rangers 33 24 3 6 75 72 23 +49 71.76 +3.24
3 Heart of Midlothian 33 19 5 9 62 46 34 +12 51.02 +10.98
4 Kilmarnock 33 13 12 8 51 43 34 +9 41.97 +9.03
5 St. Mirren 33 12 7 14 43 38 43 -5 42.12 +0.88
6 Dundee 33 10 11 12 41 44 54 -10 38.77 +2.23
7 Hibernian 33 9 12 12 39 44 51 -7 45.20 -6.20
8 Motherwell 33 8 13 12 37 46 51 -5 41.81 -4.81
9 Aberdeen 33 8 11 14 35 35 49 -14 42.12 -7.12
10 St. Johnstone 33 7 10 16 31 24 46 -22 32.36 -1.36
11 Ross County 33 7 9 17 30 32 56 -24 33.00 -3.00
12 Livingston 33 3 9 21 18 22 59 -37 31.08 -13.08
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 93 95 30 +65 166.23 -73.23
2 Rangers 38 27 4 7 85 87 32 +55 160.08 -75.08
3 Heart of Midlothian 38 20 8 10 68 54 42 +12 130.86 -62.86
4 Kilmarnock 38 14 14 10 56 46 44 +2 107.59 -51.59
5 St. Mirren 38 13 8 17 47 46 52 -6 90.42 -43.42
6 Dundee 38 10 12 16 42 49 68 -19 86.21 -44.21
7 Aberdeen 38 12 12 14 48 48 52 -4 81.42 -33.42
8 Hibernian 38 11 13 14 46 52 59 -7 84.42 -38.42
9 Motherwell 38 10 13 15 43 56 59 -3 80.28 -37.28
10 St. Johnstone 38 8 11 19 35 29 54 -25 68.31 -33.31
11 Ross County 38 8 11 19 35 38 67 -29 65.71 -30.71
12 Livingston 38 5 10 23 25 29 70 -41 40.75 -15.75

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1969 93 73.51 +19.49 78.0% 47 63 69 74 78 84 94
Rangers 1927 85 71.76 +13.24 71.5% 45 61 67 72 76 82 95
Heart of Midlothian 1756 68 51.02 +16.98 95.0% 28 40 46 51 56 63 77
Kilmarnock 1673 56 41.97 +14.03 91.5% 15 30 37 42 47 54 70
Aberdeen 1652 48 42.12 +5.88 17.4% 17 31 37 42 47 54 69
St. Mirren 1631 47 42.12 +4.88 58.0% 18 31 37 42 47 54 69
Hibernian 1621 46 45.20 +0.80 21.1% 19 34 40 45 50 57 71
Motherwell 1616 43 41.81 +1.19 27.2% 18 30 37 42 46 54 67
Dundee 1584 42 38.77 +3.23 65.4% 13 27 34 39 44 51 64
St. Johnstone 1526 35 32.36 +2.64 45.9% 11 22 28 32 37 44 57
Ross County 1492 35 33.00 +2.00 36.3% 12 22 28 33 38 44 56
Livingston 1472 25 31.08 -6.08 2.3% 9 20 27 31 35 42 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN HOM HIB KIL LIV MOT RAN RC SJ SM
Aberdeen
0-1-2
1.78
0-2-1
4.12
1-0-2
3.24
1-1-2
5.33
0-0-3
4.14
2-2-0
7.13
3-1-0
5.17
1-1-1
1.71
3-1-0
6.62
1-2-1
7.15
0-1-2
3.94
Celtic
2-1-0
6.58
4-0-0
9.29
2-0-2
8.46
2-1-0
6.68
2-1-1
9.19
3-0-0
7.30
2-1-0
6.80
3-1-0
5.59
3-0-0
7.28
2-1-0
7.42
4-0-0
9.42
Dundee
1-2-0
4.04
0-0-4
1.96
1-0-3
3.76
0-1-2
3.47
0-4-0
5.06
3-0-0
4.39
0-2-1
4.02
0-1-3
2.04
2-1-0
4.85
2-1-0
4.47
1-0-3
4.94
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-1
4.94
2-0-2
2.63
3-0-1
7.18
1-2-0
4.86
1-3-0
6.51
3-0-0
6.18
2-0-1
4.96
0-1-3
2.94
1-1-1
5.70
3-0-0
5.40
2-1-1
6.45
Hibernian
2-1-1
5.55
0-1-2
1.69
2-1-0
4.71
0-2-1
3.32
1-2-0
4.27
2-1-1
7.34
1-2-1
5.52
0-0-3
1.76
1-2-1
7.30
2-0-2
7.08
0-1-2
4.62
Kilmarnock
3-0-0
4.03
1-1-2
2.04
0-4-0
5.82
0-3-1
4.39
0-2-1
3.89
2-1-0
5.17
1-1-1
3.90
1-0-3
2.30
1-1-1
5.14
2-0-1
5.07
3-1-0
5.55
Livingston
0-2-2
3.82
0-0-3
1.22
0-0-3
3.77
0-0-3
2.13
1-1-2
3.61
0-1-2
3.03
1-0-3
4.05
0-0-3
1.28
1-2-1
5.00
1-3-0
5.05
1-1-1
3.22
Motherwell
0-1-3
5.71
0-1-2
1.61
1-2-0
4.13
1-0-2
3.23
1-2-1
5.36
1-1-1
4.26
3-0-1
6.88
1-0-2
1.54
2-1-1
6.58
0-3-1
6.50
0-2-1
4.25
Rangers
1-1-1
6.67
0-1-3
5.29
3-1-0
9.20
3-1-0
8.10
3-0-0
6.60
3-0-1
8.86
3-0-0
7.22
2-0-1
6.88
2-0-1
7.19
3-0-0
7.05
4-0-0
8.65
Ross County
0-1-3
4.29
0-0-3
1.23
0-1-2
3.33
1-1-1
2.55
1-2-1
3.64
1-1-1
3.07
1-2-1
5.87
1-1-2
4.32
1-0-2
1.31
1-1-2
5.50
1-1-1
3.37
St. Johnstone
1-2-1
3.79
0-1-2
1.12
0-1-2
3.69
0-0-3
2.81
2-0-2
3.85
1-0-2
3.11
0-3-1
5.84
1-3-0
4.40
0-0-3
1.41
2-1-1
5.38
1-0-2
2.96
St. Mirren
2-1-0
4.24
0-0-4
1.86
3-0-1
5.94
1-1-2
4.45
2-1-0
3.55
0-1-3
5.32
1-1-1
4.96
1-2-0
3.91
0-0-4
2.48
1-1-1
4.80
2-0-1
5.24

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.87 +9.5
Allowed 0.87 -14.3
Differential 0.97 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.58%8.33%6.58%4.17%1.32%1.10%28.07%
18.33%10.09%7.24%3.29%1.10%0.66%30.70%
26.58%7.24%7.89%1.75%0.66%0.44%24.56%
34.17%3.29%1.75%2.19%11.40%
41.32%1.10%0.66%3.07%
5+1.10%0.66%0.44%2.19%
Total28.07%30.70%24.56%11.40%3.07%2.19%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.88
CV 0.90 0.90
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%18.42%2.63%2.63%39.47%
17.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%26.32%
27.89%7.89%15.79%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
45.26%2.63%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total26.32%28.95%34.21%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.37 -0.11
SD 1.41 1.22 2.02
CV 1.11 0.89
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%10.53%
15.26%7.89%2.63%15.79%
22.63%15.79%18.42%
321.05%13.16%2.63%2.63%39.47%
45.26%2.63%7.89%
5+5.26%2.63%7.89%
Total39.47%44.74%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.79 +1.71
SD 1.56 0.78 1.81
CV 0.62 0.98
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%7.89%2.63%23.68%
110.53%7.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%36.84%
25.26%5.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%31.58%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total28.95%15.79%23.68%23.68%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.79 -0.50
SD 1.04 1.65 1.98
CV 0.80 0.92
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%21.05%
115.79%5.26%7.89%2.63%31.58%
218.42%7.89%7.89%34.21%
32.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total42.11%23.68%23.68%5.26%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.11 +0.32
SD 1.03 1.25 1.63
CV 0.72 1.13
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%5.26%5.26%21.05%
15.26%7.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%28.95%
210.53%5.26%21.05%5.26%42.11%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
4
5+
Total26.32%21.05%31.58%13.16%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.55 -0.18
SD 0.91 1.25 1.74
CV 0.67 0.80
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%2.63%21.05%
118.42%13.16%7.89%5.26%2.63%47.37%
27.89%5.26%13.16%26.32%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total36.84%28.95%23.68%5.26%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.16 +0.05
SD 0.99 1.22 1.49
CV 0.82 1.05
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%13.16%7.89%10.53%2.63%44.74%
12.63%13.16%5.26%7.89%5.26%2.63%36.84%
25.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%15.79%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total18.42%28.95%18.42%21.05%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.84 -1.08
SD 0.82 1.39 1.55
CV 1.07 0.75
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%7.89%5.26%28.95%
12.63%18.42%7.89%2.63%31.58%
27.89%5.26%2.63%15.79%
35.26%2.63%7.89%15.79%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%5.26%
Total7.89%50.00%23.68%15.79%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.55 -0.08
SD 1.41 0.95 1.71
CV 0.96 0.61
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%7.89%
17.89%2.63%7.89%2.63%21.05%
215.79%10.53%2.63%28.95%
310.53%10.53%5.26%26.32%
45.26%2.63%7.89%
5+5.26%2.63%7.89%
Total47.37%31.58%10.53%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 0.84 +1.45
SD 1.33 1.00 1.75
CV 0.58 1.19
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%13.16%5.26%2.63%2.63%44.74%
15.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%21.05%
22.63%5.26%13.16%2.63%23.68%
32.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total15.79%28.95%34.21%10.53%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.76 -0.76
SD 1.07 1.30 1.70
CV 1.07 0.74
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%18.42%2.63%2.63%39.47%
110.53%15.79%10.53%7.89%44.74%
22.63%7.89%5.26%15.79%
3
4
5+
Total21.05%31.58%34.21%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.42 -0.66
SD 0.71 1.03 1.34
CV 0.94 0.72
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%15.79%5.26%7.89%2.63%34.21%
17.89%10.53%7.89%26.32%
27.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%26.32%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total26.32%34.21%23.68%10.53%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.37 -0.16
SD 1.12 1.22 1.84
CV 0.92 0.89
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Livingston 25 40.75 -15.75
2 Ross County 35 65.71 -30.71
3 St. Johnstone 35 68.31 -33.31
4 Aberdeen 48 81.42 -33.42
5 Motherwell 43 80.28 -37.28

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 85 160.08 -75.08
2 Celtic 93 166.23 -73.23
3 Heart of Midlothian 68 130.86 -62.86
4 Kilmarnock 56 107.59 -51.59
5 Dundee 42 86.21 -44.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 6 Jan 2 – Feb 17 1 in 43
2 Aberdeen 4 Apr 27 – May 15 1 in 32
3 Rangers 9 Jan 2 – Feb 28 1 in 23
4 Celtic 6 Sep 3 – Oct 22 1 in 22
5 Motherwell 3 Aug 13 – Sep 3 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 7 Oct 21 – Dec 9 1 in 182
2 Celtic 2 Dec 10 – Dec 16 1 in 91
3 Hibernian 3 Aug 6 – Aug 26 1 in 46
4 Aberdeen 4 Feb 24 – Mar 13 1 in 46
5 Motherwell 4 Sep 16 – Oct 7 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 10 Dec 16 – Feb 17 1 in 33
2 St. Mirren 7 Aug 6 – Sep 30 1 in 28
3 Aberdeen 9 Mar 16 – May 19 1 in 27
4 Kilmarnock 6 Dec 6 – Dec 30 1 in 23
5 Hibernian 6 Oct 28 – Dec 3 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 15 Sep 16 – Dec 24 1 in 481
2 Livingston 17 Oct 21 – Feb 7 1 in 109
3 Aberdeen 11 Jan 24 – Mar 13 1 in 73
4 Hibernian 8 Dec 16 – Feb 17 1 in 33
5 Rangers 3 Apr 7 – Apr 17 1 in 25

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic57.73%41.00%1.17%0.07%0.02%0.01%
Rangers41.90%55.70%2.08%0.24%0.06%0.02%
Heart of Midlothian0.32%2.18%46.35%20.66%12.03%7.78%5.03%2.84%1.73%0.80%0.21%0.07%
Kilmarnock0.18%8.48%12.71%14.83%14.24%13.28%12.09%9.47%7.46%4.63%2.63%
St. Mirren0.03%0.17%7.44%12.49%14.45%14.23%13.86%12.36%10.62%7.67%4.47%2.21%
Dundee0.05%3.55%6.76%8.71%10.76%12.64%14.37%14.43%12.67%9.76%6.30%
Aberdeen0.17%7.82%11.94%13.34%14.26%14.06%12.28%10.78%7.74%5.05%2.56%
Hibernian0.02%0.45%14.74%19.73%16.89%14.02%11.47%8.99%6.52%4.21%2.03%0.93%
Motherwell0.10%7.40%11.97%13.96%13.77%13.86%13.18%10.13%8.21%5.00%2.42%
St. Johnstone0.36%1.14%2.04%3.70%5.64%8.51%12.55%17.90%22.52%25.64%
Ross County0.45%1.44%2.30%4.69%6.26%8.87%13.06%17.96%22.18%22.79%
Livingston0.16%0.85%1.37%2.52%3.90%6.51%10.71%15.38%24.15%34.45%
Team123456789101112
Celtic80.55%19.45%
Rangers19.45%80.55%
Heart of Midlothian99.92%0.08%
Kilmarnock0.08%98.64%1.28%
St. Mirren1.12%71.67%27.21%
Dundee0.16%27.05%72.79%
Aberdeen52.90%31.52%14.03%1.50%0.05%
Hibernian34.07%39.67%22.98%3.02%0.26%
Motherwell12.61%26.30%50.54%9.12%1.43%
St. Johnstone0.30%1.94%8.54%56.81%32.39%0.02%
Ross County0.12%0.57%3.91%29.55%65.78%0.07%
Livingston0.09%99.91%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.72%
Slight Edge
42.98%26.75%30.26%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 44.43 Elo pts.
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.47 * Some Luck: 5.47 to 8.21 * Lucky: 8.21 to 10.94 * Wild Swing: 10.94 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.31 * Close: 1.31 to 1.96 * Off: 1.96 to 2.62 * Way Off: 2.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.65 points
Some Luck
06.8417
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.25
Pinpoint
01.644
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.98%
Heart of Midlothian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.27%
Livingston
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.21
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.95
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.88
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Heart of Midlothian 99.86% 0.11% 0.03%
Hibernian 97.56% 1.78% 0.66%
Kilmarnock 95.31% 3.24% 1.45%
St. Mirren 93.95% 4.33% 1.72%
Motherwell 93.53% 4.57% 1.90%
Aberdeen 92.94% 4.77% 2.29%
Dundee 86.32% 8.67% 5.01%
Ross County 51.89% 24.23% 23.88%
St. Johnstone 51.87% 23.84% 24.29%
Livingston 36.77% 24.46% 38.77%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 99.95% 0.05%
Celtic 100%
Dundee 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 99.74% 0.26%
Kilmarnock 100%
Motherwell 98.57% 1.43%
Rangers 100%
St. Mirren 100%
St. Johnstone 67.59% 32.39% 0.02%
Ross County 34.15% 65.78% 0.07%
Livingston 0.09% 99.91%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2023-08-05 Aberdeen D 0-0 1581 1656 31.8% 28.3% 39.9% +0.4 1
2023-08-05 @ Livingston D 0-0 1656 1581 39.9% 28.3% 31.8% -0.4 1
2023-08-05 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1581 1669 30.2% 28.1% 41.7% -13.5 0
2023-08-05 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1669 1581 41.7% 28.1% 30.2% +13.5 3
2023-08-05 Motherwell D 1-1 1585 1648 33.5% 28.3% 38.2% +0.2 1
2023-08-05 @ Dundee D 1-1 1648 1585 38.2% 28.3% 33.5% -0.2 1
2023-08-05 Rangers W 1-0 1601 1857 14.8% 23.3% 61.9% +12.5 3
2023-08-05 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1857 1601 61.9% 23.3% 14.8% -12.5 0
2023-08-05 Ross County W 4-2 1878 1587 73.9% 17.4% 8.8% +3.0 3
2023-08-05 @ Celtic L 2-4 1587 1878 8.8% 17.4% 73.9% -3.0 0
2023-08-06 St. Mirren L 2-3 1662 1612 49.0% 27.2% 23.9% -9.3 0
2023-08-06 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1612 1662 23.9% 27.2% 49.0% +9.3 3
2023-08-12 Dundee W 2-1 1621 1586 47.0% 27.5% 25.4% +5.9 6
2023-08-12 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1586 1621 25.4% 27.5% 47.0% -5.9 1
2023-08-12 Livingston W 4-0 1844 1581 71.5% 18.7% 9.8% +8.4 3
2023-08-12 @ Rangers L 0-4 1581 1844 9.8% 18.7% 71.5% -8.4 1
2023-08-12 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1584 1568 44.6% 27.9% 27.6% +12.6 3
2023-08-12 @ Ross County L 0-2 1568 1584 27.6% 27.9% 44.6% -12.6 0
2023-08-13 Celtic L 1-3 1656 1881 16.8% 24.5% 58.7% -7.0 1
2023-08-13 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1881 1656 58.7% 24.5% 16.8% +7.0 6
2023-08-13 Hibernian W 2-1 1648 1653 41.7% 28.1% 30.2% +6.8 4
2023-08-13 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1653 1648 30.2% 28.1% 41.7% -6.8 0
2023-08-13 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1683 1614 51.3% 26.7% 22.1% -1.5 4
2023-08-13 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1614 1683 22.1% 26.7% 51.3% +1.5 4
2023-08-26 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1655 1615 47.6% 27.4% 25.0% +5.8 7
2023-08-26 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1615 1655 25.0% 27.4% 47.6% -5.8 4
2023-08-26 Livingston L 2-3 1646 1573 51.8% 26.6% 21.6% -9.7 0
2023-08-26 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1573 1646 21.6% 26.6% 51.8% +9.7 4
2023-08-26 Rangers L 0-2 1597 1852 14.8% 23.3% 61.9% -7.1 3
2023-08-26 @ Ross County W 2-0 1852 1597 61.9% 23.3% 14.8% +7.1 6
2023-08-26 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1888 1555 77.2% 15.4% 7.3% -3.8 7
2023-08-26 @ Celtic D 0-0 1555 1888 7.3% 15.4% 77.2% +3.8 1
2023-08-27 Aberdeen D 2-2 1627 1649 39.3% 28.3% 32.4% -0.2 7
2023-08-27 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1649 1627 32.4% 28.3% 39.3% +0.2 2
2023-08-27 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1580 1681 28.5% 28.0% 43.5% +9.4 4
2023-08-27 @ Dundee L 0-1 1681 1580 43.5% 28.0% 28.5% -9.4 4
2023-09-02 Dundee D 2-2 1559 1589 38.1% 28.3% 33.6% -0.1 2
2023-09-02 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1589 1559 33.6% 28.3% 38.1% +0.1 5
2023-09-02 Ross County L 0-1 1610 1590 45.0% 27.8% 27.2% -9.7 4
2023-09-02 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1590 1610 27.2% 27.8% 45.0% +9.7 6
2023-09-02 St. Mirren D 1-1 1583 1627 36.1% 28.4% 35.5% -0.0 5
2023-09-02 @ Livingston D 1-1 1627 1583 35.5% 28.4% 36.1% +0.0 8
2023-09-03 Celtic L 0-1 1860 1884 38.9% 28.3% 32.8% -8.7 6
2023-09-03 @ Rangers W 1-0 1884 1860 32.8% 28.3% 38.9% +8.7 10
2023-09-03 Hibernian L 0-2 1649 1636 44.0% 27.9% 28.1% -18.0 2
2023-09-03 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1636 1649 28.1% 27.9% 44.0% +18.0 3
2023-09-03 Motherwell L 0-1 1672 1661 43.8% 28.0% 28.3% -9.5 4
2023-09-03 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1661 1672 28.3% 28.0% 43.8% +9.5 10
2023-09-16 Aberdeen W 2-0 1662 1631 46.5% 27.6% 25.9% +12.0 7
2023-09-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1631 1662 25.9% 27.6% 46.5% -12.0 2
2023-09-16 Dundee W 3-0 1893 1589 74.9% 16.8% 8.3% +5.3 13
2023-09-16 @ Celtic L 0-3 1589 1893 8.3% 16.8% 74.9% -5.3 5
2023-09-16 Hibernian D 2-2 1600 1654 34.6% 28.4% 37.0% +0.1 5
2023-09-16 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1654 1600 37.0% 28.4% 34.6% -0.1 4
2023-09-16 Livingston D 1-1 1600 1583 44.6% 27.9% 27.6% -0.8 7
2023-09-16 @ Ross County D 1-1 1583 1600 27.6% 27.9% 44.6% +0.8 6
2023-09-16 Rangers L 0-2 1559 1851 12.7% 21.6% 65.6% -6.0 2
2023-09-16 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1851 1559 65.6% 21.6% 12.7% +6.0 9
2023-09-16 St. Mirren L 0-1 1670 1627 48.1% 27.3% 24.6% -10.2 10
2023-09-16 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1627 1670 24.6% 27.3% 48.1% +10.2 11
2023-09-23 Celtic L 0-3 1583 1898 11.6% 20.6% 67.8% -7.8 6
2023-09-23 @ Livingston W 3-0 1898 1583 67.8% 20.6% 11.6% +7.9 16
2023-09-23 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1637 1674 37.1% 28.4% 34.5% +8.0 14
2023-09-23 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1674 1637 34.5% 28.4% 37.1% -7.9 7
2023-09-23 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1584 1600 40.1% 28.2% 31.6% -0.3 6
2023-09-23 @ Dundee D 2-2 1600 1584 31.6% 28.2% 40.1% +0.3 6
2023-09-23 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1654 1553 55.2% 25.7% 19.2% +9.2 7
2023-09-23 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1553 1654 19.2% 25.7% 55.2% -9.2 2
2023-09-24 Motherwell W 1-0 1857 1660 65.3% 21.8% 12.9% +3.2 12
2023-09-24 @ Rangers L 0-1 1660 1857 12.9% 21.8% 65.3% -3.2 10
2023-09-24 Ross County W 4-0 1619 1599 45.0% 27.8% 27.2% +23.7 5
2023-09-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1599 1619 27.2% 27.8% 45.0% -23.7 7
2023-09-30 Aberdeen L 1-3 1860 1643 67.3% 20.8% 11.8% -21.8 12
2023-09-30 @ Rangers W 3-1 1643 1860 11.8% 20.8% 67.3% +21.9 8
2023-09-30 Celtic L 1-2 1657 1906 15.2% 23.5% 61.3% -3.7 10
2023-09-30 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1906 1657 61.3% 23.5% 15.2% +3.6 19
2023-09-30 Dundee D 0-0 1663 1584 52.6% 26.4% 21.0% -1.6 8
2023-09-30 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1584 1663 21.0% 26.4% 52.6% +1.6 7
2023-09-30 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1575 1666 29.8% 28.1% 42.1% -7.1 7
2023-09-30 @ Ross County W 1-0 1666 1575 42.1% 28.1% 29.8% +7.1 10
2023-09-30 Livingston D 1-1 1544 1576 37.8% 28.3% 33.8% -0.2 3
2023-09-30 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1576 1544 33.8% 28.3% 37.8% +0.2 7
2023-09-30 St. Mirren D 1-1 1600 1645 36.0% 28.4% 35.6% -0.0 7
2023-09-30 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1645 1600 35.6% 28.4% 36.0% +0.0 15
2023-10-07 Hibernian D 2-2 1673 1662 43.9% 27.9% 28.2% -0.5 11
2023-10-07 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1662 1673 28.2% 27.9% 43.9% +0.5 9
2023-10-07 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1910 1600 75.4% 16.5% 8.1% +3.0 22
2023-10-07 @ Celtic L 1-3 1600 1910 8.1% 16.5% 75.4% -3.0 7
2023-10-07 Motherwell W 2-0 1576 1653 31.5% 28.2% 40.2% +16.8 10
2023-10-07 @ Livingston L 0-2 1653 1576 40.2% 28.2% 31.5% -16.8 10
2023-10-08 Rangers L 0-3 1645 1838 19.2% 25.7% 55.1% -13.4 15
2023-10-08 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1838 1645 55.1% 25.7% 19.2% +13.4 15
2023-10-08 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1664 1543 57.4% 24.9% 17.6% -2.1 9
2023-10-08 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1543 1664 17.6% 24.9% 57.4% +2.1 4
2023-10-21 Hibernian W 4-0 1852 1662 64.6% 22.1% 13.3% +12.0 18
2023-10-21 @ Rangers L 0-4 1662 1852 13.3% 22.1% 64.6% -12.0 9
2023-10-21 Livingston W 3-1 1597 1593 42.9% 28.0% 29.0% +11.4 10
2023-10-21 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1593 1597 29.0% 28.0% 42.9% -11.4 10
2023-10-22 Celtic L 1-4 1673 1913 15.8% 23.9% 60.3% -9.3 11
2023-10-22 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1913 1673 60.3% 23.9% 15.8% +9.3 25
2023-10-24 Ross County D 0-0 1585 1568 44.7% 27.8% 27.5% -0.9 8
2023-10-24 @ Dundee D 0-0 1568 1585 27.5% 27.8% 44.7% +0.9 8
2023-10-28 Celtic D 0-0 1650 1922 13.9% 22.6% 63.6% +2.7 10
2023-10-28 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1922 1650 63.6% 22.6% 13.9% -2.7 26
2023-10-28 Dundee L 0-2 1581 1585 41.9% 28.1% 30.0% -17.3 10
2023-10-28 @ Livingston W 2-0 1585 1581 30.0% 28.1% 41.9% +17.3 11
2023-10-28 Ross County D 3-3 1636 1569 51.1% 26.7% 22.2% -0.8 11
2023-10-28 @ Motherwell D 3-3 1569 1636 22.2% 26.7% 51.1% +0.8 9
2023-10-28 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1632 1545 53.4% 26.2% 20.5% +18.6 18
2023-10-28 @ St. Mirren L 0-4 1545 1632 20.5% 26.2% 53.4% -18.6 4
2023-10-29 Aberdeen W 2-0 1609 1662 34.7% 28.4% 36.9% +15.7 13
2023-10-29 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1662 1609 36.9% 28.4% 34.7% -15.7 9
2023-10-29 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1864 1664 65.7% 21.6% 12.7% +3.0 21
2023-10-29 @ Rangers L 1-2 1664 1864 12.7% 21.6% 65.7% -3.0 11
2023-10-31 Ross County D 2-2 1653 1570 53.0% 26.2% 20.7% -1.1 11
2023-10-31 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1570 1653 20.7% 26.2% 53.0% +1.1 10
2023-11-01 Aberdeen L 2-4 1636 1647 40.8% 28.2% 31.0% -13.1 11
2023-11-01 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1647 1636 31.0% 28.2% 40.8% +13.1 12
2023-11-01 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1527 1624 29.0% 28.0% 43.0% +8.8 7
2023-11-01 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1624 1527 43.0% 28.0% 29.0% -8.8 13
2023-11-01 Livingston W 1-0 1661 1564 54.6% 25.8% 19.6% +5.0 14
2023-11-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1564 1661 19.6% 25.8% 54.6% -5.0 10
2023-11-01 Rangers L 0-5 1602 1867 14.2% 22.9% 62.9% -15.9 11
2023-11-01 @ Dundee W 5-0 1867 1602 62.9% 22.9% 14.2% +15.9 24
2023-11-01 St. Mirren W 2-1 1919 1650 72.0% 18.4% 9.6% +2.2 29
2023-11-01 @ Celtic L 1-2 1650 1919 9.6% 18.4% 72.0% -2.2 18
2023-11-04 Celtic L 0-3 1571 1921 10.0% 18.9% 71.1% -6.6 10
2023-11-04 @ Ross County W 3-0 1921 1571 71.1% 18.9% 10.0% +6.6 32
2023-11-04 Motherwell W 1-0 1615 1623 41.3% 28.2% 30.5% +7.2 16
2023-11-04 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1623 1615 30.5% 28.2% 41.3% -7.2 11
2023-11-05 Livingston W 1-0 1586 1559 45.9% 27.7% 26.4% +6.5 14
2023-11-05 @ Dundee L 0-1 1559 1586 26.4% 27.7% 45.9% -6.5 10
2023-11-07 Motherwell D 2-2 1536 1615 31.2% 28.2% 40.6% +0.3 8
2023-11-07 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1615 1536 40.6% 28.2% 31.2% -0.3 12
2023-11-08 Hibernian D 2-2 1648 1652 41.8% 28.1% 30.1% -0.4 19
2023-11-08 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1652 1648 30.1% 28.1% 41.8% +0.4 12
2023-11-11 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1615 1666 35.2% 28.4% 36.4% -7.6 12
2023-11-11 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1666 1615 36.4% 28.4% 35.2% +7.6 17
2023-11-11 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1652 1623 46.3% 27.6% 26.1% +6.4 15
2023-11-11 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1623 1652 26.1% 27.6% 46.3% -6.4 16
2023-11-11 Ross County W 1-0 1536 1564 38.4% 28.3% 33.3% +7.7 11
2023-11-11 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1564 1536 33.3% 28.3% 38.4% -7.7 10
2023-11-11 St. Mirren W 4-0 1592 1648 34.5% 28.4% 37.1% +29.9 17
2023-11-11 @ Dundee L 0-4 1648 1592 37.1% 28.4% 34.5% -30.0 19
2023-11-12 Aberdeen W 6-0 1928 1660 72.0% 18.4% 9.6% +12.0 35
2023-11-12 @ Celtic L 0-6 1660 1928 9.6% 18.4% 72.0% -12.0 12
2023-11-12 Rangers L 0-2 1552 1883 10.9% 19.9% 69.2% -5.0 10
2023-11-12 @ Livingston W 2-0 1883 1552 69.2% 19.9% 10.9% +5.0 27
2023-11-25 Hibernian L 1-2 1622 1659 37.2% 28.4% 34.4% -7.9 17
2023-11-25 @ Dundee W 2-1 1659 1622 34.4% 28.4% 37.2% +7.9 18
2023-11-25 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1556 1616 33.9% 28.3% 37.8% +0.2 11
2023-11-25 @ Ross County D 0-0 1616 1556 37.8% 28.3% 33.9% -0.2 17
2023-11-25 Livingston W 1-0 1618 1547 51.4% 26.6% 21.9% +5.5 22
2023-11-25 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1547 1618 21.9% 26.6% 51.4% -5.5 10
2023-11-25 Motherwell D 1-1 1940 1607 77.2% 15.4% 7.3% -3.4 36
2023-11-25 @ Celtic D 1-1 1607 1940 7.3% 15.4% 77.2% +3.4 13
2023-11-25 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1673 1544 58.3% 24.6% 17.1% +4.4 20
2023-11-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1544 1673 17.1% 24.6% 58.3% -4.4 11
2023-11-26 Rangers D 1-1 1648 1888 15.8% 23.9% 60.3% +2.1 13
2023-11-26 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1888 1648 60.3% 23.9% 15.8% -2.1 28
2023-11-28 St. Mirren W 1-0 1557 1623 33.0% 28.3% 38.7% +8.6 14
2023-11-28 @ Ross County L 0-1 1623 1557 38.7% 28.3% 33.0% -8.6 22
2023-12-02 Dundee D 3-3 1611 1614 41.8% 28.1% 30.0% -0.3 14
2023-12-02 @ Motherwell D 3-3 1614 1611 30.0% 28.1% 41.8% +0.3 18
2023-12-02 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1616 1677 33.7% 28.3% 38.0% -7.8 17
2023-12-02 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1677 1616 38.0% 28.3% 33.7% +7.8 23
2023-12-03 Aberdeen W 2-0 1667 1650 44.6% 27.9% 27.6% +12.6 21
2023-12-03 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1650 1667 27.6% 27.9% 44.6% -12.6 13
2023-12-03 Celtic L 1-3 1539 1937 8.2% 16.7% 75.0% -3.1 11
2023-12-03 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1937 1539 75.0% 16.7% 8.2% +3.1 39
2023-12-03 St. Mirren W 2-0 1885 1615 72.2% 18.3% 9.5% +4.3 31
2023-12-03 @ Rangers L 0-2 1615 1885 9.5% 18.3% 72.2% -4.3 22
2023-12-05 Motherwell W 3-0 1565 1610 36.0% 28.4% 35.7% +22.3 17
2023-12-05 @ Ross County L 0-3 1610 1565 35.7% 28.4% 36.0% -22.3 14
2023-12-06 Hibernian W 4-1 1940 1679 71.3% 18.8% 9.9% +5.5 42
2023-12-06 @ Celtic L 1-4 1679 1940 9.9% 18.8% 71.3% -5.5 21
2023-12-06 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1637 1608 46.2% 27.6% 26.2% -9.9 13
2023-12-06 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1608 1637 26.2% 27.6% 46.2% +9.9 20
2023-12-06 Rangers L 0-1 1685 1890 18.3% 25.3% 56.4% -4.7 23
2023-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1890 1685 56.4% 25.3% 18.3% +4.7 34
2023-12-06 St. Mirren W 1-0 1536 1610 31.9% 28.3% 39.8% +8.8 14
2023-12-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1610 1536 39.8% 28.3% 31.9% -8.8 22
2023-12-09 Dundee W 3-1 1894 1615 73.0% 17.9% 9.2% +3.5 37
2023-12-09 @ Rangers L 1-3 1615 1894 9.2% 17.9% 73.0% -3.5 18
2023-12-09 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1627 1681 34.8% 28.4% 36.8% +7.8 16
2023-12-09 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1681 1627 36.8% 28.4% 34.8% -7.8 23
2023-12-09 Hibernian L 0-1 1542 1674 25.0% 27.4% 47.6% -6.2 10
2023-12-09 @ Livingston W 1-0 1674 1542 47.6% 27.4% 25.0% +6.2 24
2023-12-09 Ross County W 2-0 1602 1588 44.2% 27.9% 27.9% +12.7 25
2023-12-09 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1588 1602 27.9% 27.9% 44.2% -12.7 17
2023-12-09 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1588 1545 48.0% 27.3% 24.6% -1.1 15
2023-12-09 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1545 1588 24.6% 27.3% 48.0% +1.1 15
2023-12-10 Celtic W 2-1 1618 1945 11.0% 20.0% 69.0% +12.8 23
2023-12-10 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1945 1618 69.0% 20.0% 11.0% -12.8 42
2023-12-16 Dundee L 0-1 1575 1611 37.2% 28.4% 34.4% -8.4 17
2023-12-16 @ Ross County W 1-0 1611 1575 34.4% 28.4% 37.2% +8.4 21
2023-12-16 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1932 1673 71.2% 18.8% 10.0% -26.2 42
2023-12-16 @ Celtic W 2-0 1673 1932 10.0% 18.8% 71.2% +26.2 26
2023-12-16 Hibernian W 1-0 1546 1680 24.8% 27.4% 47.8% +10.2 18
2023-12-16 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1680 1546 47.8% 27.4% 24.8% -10.2 24
2023-12-16 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1536 1631 29.2% 28.1% 42.7% +0.7 11
2023-12-16 @ Livingston D 0-0 1631 1536 42.7% 28.1% 29.2% -0.7 24
2023-12-16 Motherwell D 0-0 1614 1587 46.0% 27.7% 26.4% -1.0 26
2023-12-16 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1587 1614 26.4% 27.7% 46.0% +1.0 16
2023-12-20 Livingston W 2-1 1635 1536 54.9% 25.8% 19.4% +4.7 19
2023-12-20 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1536 1635 19.4% 25.8% 54.9% -4.7 11
2023-12-20 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1898 1556 77.9% 15.0% 7.1% +3.0 40
2023-12-20 @ Rangers L 0-2 1556 1898 7.1% 15.0% 77.9% -3.0 18
2023-12-23 Livingston W 2-0 1906 1532 80.3% 13.6% 6.1% +2.5 45
2023-12-23 @ Celtic L 0-2 1532 1906 6.1% 13.6% 80.3% -2.5 11
2023-12-23 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1630 1553 52.3% 26.5% 21.3% +5.1 27
2023-12-23 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1553 1630 21.3% 26.5% 52.3% -5.1 18
2023-12-23 St. Mirren W 2-0 1699 1613 53.3% 26.2% 20.5% +9.8 29
2023-12-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1613 1699 20.5% 26.2% 53.3% -9.8 26
2023-12-24 Rangers L 0-2 1588 1901 11.7% 20.7% 67.6% -5.4 16
2023-12-24 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1901 1588 67.6% 20.7% 11.7% +5.4 43
2023-12-26 Celtic L 0-3 1620 1909 12.9% 21.8% 65.3% -8.8 21
2023-12-26 @ Dundee W 3-0 1909 1620 65.3% 21.8% 12.9% +8.8 48
2023-12-27 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1670 1709 36.8% 28.4% 34.8% -8.3 24
2023-12-27 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1709 1670 34.8% 28.4% 36.8% +8.3 32
2023-12-27 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1603 1635 37.9% 28.3% 33.8% -8.5 26
2023-12-27 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1635 1603 33.8% 28.3% 37.9% +8.5 30
2023-12-27 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1529 1548 39.7% 28.3% 32.0% -0.4 12
2023-12-27 @ Livingston D 0-0 1548 1529 32.0% 28.3% 39.7% +0.4 19
2023-12-30 Dundee D 2-2 1644 1611 46.8% 27.6% 25.7% -0.7 31
2023-12-30 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1611 1644 25.7% 27.6% 46.8% +0.7 22
2023-12-30 Livingston W 3-1 1583 1529 49.4% 27.1% 23.5% +9.6 19
2023-12-30 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1529 1583 23.5% 27.1% 49.4% -9.6 12
2023-12-30 Rangers W 2-1 1918 1906 43.8% 27.9% 28.2% +6.4 51
2023-12-30 @ Celtic L 1-2 1906 1918 28.2% 27.9% 43.8% -6.4 43
2023-12-30 Ross County D 2-2 1717 1566 60.6% 23.8% 15.6% -1.6 33
2023-12-30 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1566 1717 15.6% 23.8% 60.6% +1.6 18
2023-12-30 St. Mirren L 0-3 1640 1595 48.3% 27.3% 24.4% -28.1 19
2023-12-30 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1595 1640 24.4% 27.3% 48.3% +28.1 29
2024-01-02 Aberdeen L 0-3 1568 1612 36.2% 28.4% 35.5% -22.5 18
2024-01-02 @ Ross County W 3-0 1612 1568 35.5% 28.4% 36.2% +22.5 22
2024-01-02 Celtic L 0-3 1623 1924 12.3% 21.2% 66.5% -8.4 29
2024-01-02 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1924 1623 66.5% 21.2% 12.3% +8.4 54
2024-01-02 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1519 1715 19.0% 25.6% 55.4% -4.6 12
2024-01-02 @ Livingston W 2-1 1715 1519 55.4% 25.6% 19.0% +4.6 36
2024-01-02 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1900 1643 71.0% 19.0% 10.1% +4.0 46
2024-01-02 @ Rangers L 1-3 1643 1900 10.1% 19.0% 71.0% -4.0 31
2024-01-02 Motherwell D 2-2 1661 1592 51.3% 26.7% 22.0% -1.0 25
2024-01-02 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1592 1661 22.0% 26.7% 51.3% +1.0 20
2024-01-23 Dundee W 3-2 1720 1611 56.0% 25.4% 18.6% +4.2 39
2024-01-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1611 1720 18.6% 25.4% 56.0% -4.2 22
2024-01-24 Aberdeen D 1-1 1549 1634 30.4% 28.2% 41.4% +0.5 20
2024-01-24 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1634 1549 41.4% 28.2% 30.4% -0.5 23
2024-01-24 Rangers L 0-3 1660 1904 15.6% 23.8% 60.7% -10.9 25
2024-01-24 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1904 1660 60.7% 23.8% 15.6% +10.9 49
2024-01-27 Aberdeen W 2-0 1724 1634 53.9% 26.0% 20.1% +9.6 42
2024-01-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1634 1724 20.1% 26.0% 53.9% -9.6 23
2024-01-27 Dundee L 1-4 1515 1607 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% -16.3 12
2024-01-27 @ Livingston W 4-1 1607 1515 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% +16.3 25
2024-01-27 Hibernian D 2-2 1639 1650 40.9% 28.2% 30.9% -0.3 32
2024-01-27 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1650 1639 30.9% 28.2% 40.9% +0.3 26
2024-01-27 Motherwell D 1-1 1549 1593 36.1% 28.4% 35.5% -0.0 21
2024-01-27 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1593 1549 35.5% 28.4% 36.1% +0.0 21
2024-01-27 Rangers L 0-1 1615 1915 12.3% 21.3% 66.4% -3.1 29
2024-01-27 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1915 1615 66.4% 21.3% 12.3% +3.1 52
2024-01-27 Ross County W 1-0 1932 1546 81.1% 13.1% 5.8% +1.2 57
2024-01-27 @ Celtic L 0-1 1546 1932 5.8% 13.1% 81.1% -1.2 18
2024-01-30 Dundee D 1-1 1624 1624 42.4% 28.1% 29.5% -0.6 24
2024-01-30 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1624 1624 29.5% 28.1% 42.4% +0.6 26
2024-01-30 Ross County D 2-2 1498 1544 35.9% 28.4% 35.8% -0.0 13
2024-01-30 @ Livingston D 2-2 1544 1498 35.8% 28.4% 35.9% +0.0 19
2024-02-03 Celtic D 1-1 1624 1934 11.8% 20.8% 67.3% +2.7 25
2024-02-03 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1934 1624 67.3% 20.8% 11.8% -2.7 58
2024-02-03 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1624 1734 27.5% 27.8% 44.7% -6.0 26
2024-02-03 @ Dundee W 3-2 1734 1624 44.7% 27.8% 27.5% +6.0 45
2024-02-03 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1593 1639 35.9% 28.4% 35.7% +0.0 22
2024-02-03 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1639 1593 35.7% 28.4% 35.9% +0.0 33
2024-02-03 Livingston W 3-0 1918 1498 83.2% 11.8% 5.0% +2.9 55
2024-02-03 @ Rangers L 0-3 1498 1918 5.0% 11.8% 83.2% -2.9 13
2024-02-03 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1544 1549 41.7% 28.1% 30.2% -9.1 19
2024-02-03 @ Ross County W 1-0 1549 1544 30.2% 28.1% 41.7% +9.1 24
2024-02-03 St. Mirren L 0-3 1650 1612 47.4% 27.5% 25.1% -27.7 26
2024-02-03 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1612 1650 25.1% 27.5% 47.4% +27.7 32
2024-02-06 Aberdeen W 2-1 1921 1626 74.2% 17.2% 8.6% +1.9 58
2024-02-06 @ Rangers L 1-2 1626 1921 8.6% 17.2% 74.2% -1.9 25
2024-02-06 Ross County W 5-0 1593 1535 49.9% 27.0% 23.1% +25.5 25
2024-02-06 @ Motherwell L 0-5 1535 1593 23.1% 27.0% 49.9% -25.5 19
2024-02-07 Celtic L 1-2 1622 1931 11.9% 20.9% 67.2% -2.8 26
2024-02-07 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1931 1622 67.2% 20.9% 11.9% +2.8 61
2024-02-07 Dundee W 2-0 1639 1618 45.2% 27.8% 27.1% +12.4 35
2024-02-07 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1618 1639 27.1% 27.8% 45.2% -12.4 26
2024-02-07 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1558 1740 20.2% 26.1% 53.7% -5.1 24
2024-02-07 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1740 1558 53.7% 26.1% 20.2% +5.1 48
2024-02-07 Livingston W 1-0 1639 1496 59.9% 24.1% 16.1% +4.1 36
2024-02-07 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1496 1639 16.1% 24.1% 59.9% -4.1 13
2024-02-11 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1606 1553 49.2% 27.1% 23.6% +5.6 29
2024-02-11 @ Dundee L 1-2 1553 1606 23.6% 27.1% 49.2% -5.6 24
2024-02-14 Motherwell D 3-3 1624 1619 43.1% 28.0% 28.9% -0.4 26
2024-02-14 @ Aberdeen D 3-3 1619 1624 28.9% 28.0% 43.1% +0.4 26
2024-02-14 Ross County W 3-1 1923 1510 82.8% 12.0% 5.1% +1.8 61
2024-02-14 @ Rangers L 1-3 1510 1923 5.1% 12.0% 82.8% -1.8 19
2024-02-17 Hibernian D 2-2 1624 1619 42.9% 28.0% 29.0% -0.5 27
2024-02-17 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1619 1624 29.0% 28.0% 42.9% +0.5 27
2024-02-17 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1934 1643 73.9% 17.4% 8.8% -3.2 62
2024-02-17 @ Celtic D 1-1 1643 1934 8.8% 17.4% 73.9% +3.2 37
2024-02-17 Motherwell W 2-0 1745 1619 57.9% 24.8% 17.3% +8.3 51
2024-02-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1619 1745 17.3% 24.8% 57.9% -8.3 26
2024-02-17 Ross County W 2-0 1611 1508 55.4% 25.6% 19.0% +9.1 32
2024-02-17 @ Dundee L 0-2 1508 1611 19.0% 25.6% 55.4% -9.1 19
2024-02-17 St. Mirren W 1-0 1491 1652 22.1% 26.7% 51.2% +10.7 16
2024-02-17 @ Livingston L 0-1 1652 1491 51.2% 26.7% 22.1% -10.8 35
2024-02-18 Rangers L 0-3 1548 1924 9.0% 17.7% 73.4% -5.8 24
2024-02-18 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1924 1548 73.4% 17.7% 9.0% +5.8 64
2024-02-24 Aberdeen W 2-0 1646 1624 45.4% 27.8% 26.9% +12.4 40
2024-02-24 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1624 1646 26.9% 27.8% 45.4% -12.4 27
2024-02-24 Dundee W 2-1 1620 1620 42.2% 28.1% 29.6% +6.7 30
2024-02-24 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1620 1620 29.6% 28.1% 42.2% -6.7 32
2024-02-24 Heart of Midlothian W 5-0 1930 1753 63.3% 22.7% 14.0% +15.6 67
2024-02-24 @ Rangers L 0-5 1753 1930 14.0% 22.7% 63.3% -15.6 51
2024-02-24 Livingston W 3-2 1499 1502 41.9% 28.1% 30.0% +6.4 22
2024-02-24 @ Ross County L 2-3 1502 1499 30.0% 28.1% 41.9% -6.4 16
2024-02-24 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1641 1542 54.9% 25.7% 19.4% +9.3 38
2024-02-24 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1542 1641 19.4% 25.7% 54.9% -9.3 24
2024-02-25 Celtic L 1-3 1611 1931 11.4% 20.4% 68.3% -4.6 26
2024-02-25 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1931 1611 68.3% 20.4% 11.4% +4.6 65
2024-02-27 St. Mirren D 1-1 1505 1650 23.6% 27.1% 49.3% +1.2 23
2024-02-27 @ Ross County D 1-1 1650 1505 49.3% 27.1% 23.6% -1.2 39
2024-02-28 Dundee W 7-1 1935 1614 76.4% 16.0% 7.7% +7.6 68
2024-02-28 @ Celtic L 1-7 1614 1935 7.7% 16.0% 76.4% -7.6 32
2024-02-28 Hibernian D 1-1 1738 1627 56.3% 25.3% 18.4% -1.8 52
2024-02-28 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1627 1738 18.4% 25.3% 56.3% +1.8 31
2024-02-28 Motherwell L 1-3 1496 1606 27.4% 27.8% 44.8% -10.9 16
2024-02-28 @ Livingston W 3-1 1606 1496 44.8% 27.8% 27.4% +10.9 29
2024-02-28 Rangers L 1-2 1659 1946 13.0% 21.9% 65.1% -3.1 40
2024-02-28 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1946 1659 65.1% 21.9% 13.0% +3.1 70
2024-02-28 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1611 1532 52.5% 26.4% 21.1% -20.7 27
2024-02-28 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1532 1611 21.1% 26.4% 52.5% +20.7 27
2024-03-02 Aberdeen W 2-1 1649 1591 50.0% 27.0% 23.0% +5.4 42
2024-03-02 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1591 1649 23.0% 27.0% 50.0% -5.4 27
2024-03-02 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1606 1655 35.4% 28.4% 36.3% +0.0 33
2024-03-02 @ Dundee D 2-2 1655 1606 36.3% 28.4% 35.4% -0.0 41
2024-03-02 Livingston D 1-1 1553 1485 51.2% 26.7% 22.1% -1.3 28
2024-03-02 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1485 1553 22.1% 26.7% 51.2% +1.3 17
2024-03-02 Motherwell L 1-2 1949 1617 77.2% 15.5% 7.4% -13.8 70
2024-03-02 @ Rangers W 2-1 1617 1949 7.4% 15.5% 77.2% +13.8 32
2024-03-02 Ross County W 2-0 1628 1506 57.5% 24.9% 17.6% +8.5 34
2024-03-02 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1506 1628 17.6% 24.9% 57.5% -8.5 23
2024-03-03 Celtic W 2-0 1736 1943 18.2% 25.2% 56.6% +22.0 55
2024-03-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1943 1736 56.6% 25.2% 18.2% -22.0 68
2024-03-13 Aberdeen W 1-0 1606 1585 45.2% 27.8% 27.1% +6.6 36
2024-03-13 @ Dundee L 0-1 1585 1606 27.1% 27.8% 45.2% -6.6 27
2024-03-13 Hibernian D 2-2 1498 1637 24.3% 27.3% 48.5% +0.8 24
2024-03-13 @ Ross County D 2-2 1637 1498 48.5% 27.3% 24.3% -0.8 35
2024-03-16 Aberdeen L 0-1 1631 1578 49.2% 27.1% 23.6% -10.4 32
2024-03-16 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1578 1631 23.6% 27.1% 49.2% +10.4 30
2024-03-16 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1499 1758 14.6% 23.1% 62.3% +11.9 27
2024-03-16 @ Ross County L 1-2 1758 1499 62.3% 23.1% 14.6% -11.9 55
2024-03-16 Livingston W 3-0 1636 1486 60.5% 23.8% 15.7% +10.9 38
2024-03-16 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1486 1636 15.7% 23.8% 60.5% -10.9 17
2024-03-16 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1921 1552 79.9% 13.8% 6.3% +2.2 71
2024-03-16 @ Celtic L 1-3 1552 1921 6.3% 13.8% 79.9% -2.2 28
2024-03-16 St. Mirren W 5-2 1655 1655 42.4% 28.1% 29.5% +14.1 44
2024-03-16 @ Kilmarnock L 2-5 1655 1655 29.5% 28.1% 42.4% -14.1 42
2024-03-30 Dundee L 1-2 1550 1613 33.4% 28.3% 38.2% -7.3 28
2024-03-30 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1613 1550 38.2% 28.3% 33.4% +7.3 39
2024-03-30 Hibernian W 3-1 1935 1647 73.7% 17.5% 8.8% +3.4 73
2024-03-30 @ Rangers L 1-3 1647 1935 8.8% 17.5% 73.7% -3.4 38
2024-03-30 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1746 1670 52.2% 26.5% 21.3% -1.4 56
2024-03-30 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1670 1746 21.3% 26.5% 52.2% +1.4 45
2024-03-30 Ross County W 2-1 1589 1511 52.4% 26.4% 21.2% +5.0 33
2024-03-30 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1511 1589 21.2% 26.4% 52.4% -5.0 27
2024-03-30 St. Mirren D 1-1 1620 1640 39.6% 28.3% 32.2% -0.3 33
2024-03-30 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1640 1620 32.2% 28.3% 39.6% +0.3 43
2024-03-31 Celtic L 0-3 1475 1923 6.7% 14.4% 78.9% -4.0 17
2024-03-31 @ Livingston W 3-0 1923 1475 78.9% 14.4% 6.7% +4.0 74
2024-04-06 Aberdeen D 0-0 1471 1594 26.0% 27.6% 46.4% +1.0 18
2024-04-06 @ Livingston D 0-0 1594 1471 46.4% 27.6% 26.0% -1.0 34
2024-04-06 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1641 1745 28.2% 27.9% 43.9% -6.4 43
2024-04-06 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1745 1641 43.9% 27.9% 28.2% +6.4 59
2024-04-06 Motherwell L 2-3 1620 1620 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% -8.3 39
2024-04-06 @ Dundee W 3-2 1620 1620 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% +8.2 36
2024-04-06 Ross County W 1-0 1671 1506 62.2% 23.2% 14.7% +3.7 48
2024-04-06 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1506 1671 14.7% 23.2% 62.2% -3.7 27
2024-04-06 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1644 1542 55.1% 25.7% 19.2% -10.8 38
2024-04-06 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1542 1644 19.2% 25.7% 55.1% +10.8 31
2024-04-07 Celtic D 3-3 1938 1927 43.9% 27.9% 28.2% -0.4 74
2024-04-07 @ Rangers D 3-3 1927 1938 28.2% 27.9% 43.9% +0.4 75
2024-04-13 Dundee D 0-0 1593 1612 39.7% 28.3% 32.0% -0.4 35
2024-04-13 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1612 1593 32.0% 28.3% 39.7% +0.4 40
2024-04-13 Hibernian D 1-1 1628 1633 41.7% 28.1% 30.1% -0.5 37
2024-04-13 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1633 1628 30.1% 28.1% 41.7% +0.5 39
2024-04-13 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1553 1675 26.1% 27.6% 46.3% -12.1 31
2024-04-13 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1675 1553 46.3% 27.6% 26.1% +12.1 51
2024-04-13 Livingston W 4-2 1751 1472 72.9% 17.9% 9.2% +3.2 62
2024-04-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1472 1751 9.2% 17.9% 72.9% -3.2 18
2024-04-13 St. Mirren W 3-0 1927 1634 74.1% 17.3% 8.7% +5.6 78
2024-04-13 @ Celtic L 0-3 1634 1927 8.7% 17.3% 74.1% -5.5 43
2024-04-14 Rangers W 3-2 1502 1938 7.0% 14.9% 78.1% +13.2 30
2024-04-14 @ Ross County L 2-3 1938 1502 78.1% 14.9% 7.0% -13.2 74
2024-04-17 Rangers D 0-0 1612 1925 11.7% 20.7% 67.6% +3.0 41
2024-04-17 @ Dundee D 0-0 1925 1612 67.6% 20.7% 11.7% -3.0 75

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2024-04-27 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1687 1754 32.8% 28.3% 38.9% +0.3 1
2024-04-27 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1754 1687 38.9% 28.3% 32.8% -0.3 1
2024-04-27 Hibernian L 1-3 1541 1633 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% -11.6 0
2024-04-27 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1633 1541 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% +11.6 3
2024-04-27 Motherwell W 1-0 1593 1628 37.4% 28.4% 34.3% +7.9 3
2024-04-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1628 1593 34.3% 28.4% 37.4% -7.9 0
2024-04-27 Ross County W 2-0 1469 1515 35.9% 28.4% 35.8% +15.4 3
2024-04-27 @ Livingston L 0-2 1515 1469 35.8% 28.4% 35.9% -15.4 0
2024-04-28 Celtic L 1-2 1615 1933 11.5% 20.4% 68.1% -2.7 0
2024-04-28 @ Dundee W 2-1 1933 1615 68.1% 20.4% 11.5% +2.7 3
2024-04-28 Rangers L 1-2 1629 1922 12.7% 21.6% 65.7% -3.0 0
2024-04-28 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1922 1629 65.7% 21.6% 12.7% +3.0 3
2024-05-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1936 1754 63.8% 22.4% 13.7% +9.5 6
2024-05-04 @ Celtic L 0-3 1754 1936 13.7% 22.4% 63.8% -9.5 1
2024-05-04 Hibernian W 2-1 1500 1645 23.6% 27.1% 49.3% +9.8 3
2024-05-04 @ Ross County L 1-2 1645 1500 49.3% 27.1% 23.6% -9.8 3
2024-05-04 Livingston W 4-1 1620 1484 59.0% 24.4% 16.6% +9.8 3
2024-05-04 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1484 1620 16.6% 24.4% 59.0% -9.8 3
2024-05-04 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1600 1529 51.5% 26.6% 21.8% +5.5 6
2024-05-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1529 1600 21.8% 26.6% 51.5% -5.5 0
2024-05-04 St. Mirren L 1-3 1613 1626 40.5% 28.2% 31.3% -14.6 0
2024-05-04 @ Dundee W 3-1 1626 1613 31.3% 28.2% 40.5% +14.6 3
2024-05-05 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1925 1687 69.2% 19.9% 10.9% +6.2 6
2024-05-05 @ Rangers L 1-4 1687 1925 10.9% 19.9% 69.2% -6.1 1
2024-05-11 Dundee W 3-0 1744 1598 60.2% 24.0% 15.9% +11.1 4
2024-05-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1598 1744 15.9% 24.0% 60.2% -11.1 0
2024-05-11 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1640 1681 36.6% 28.4% 35.0% -8.3 3
2024-05-11 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1681 1640 35.0% 28.4% 36.6% +8.3 4
2024-05-11 Motherwell L 1-5 1509 1630 26.3% 27.7% 46.1% -19.2 3
2024-05-11 @ Ross County W 5-1 1630 1509 46.1% 27.7% 26.3% +19.2 6
2024-05-11 Rangers W 2-1 1945 1931 44.2% 27.9% 27.9% +6.4 9
2024-05-11 @ Celtic L 1-2 1931 1945 27.9% 27.9% 44.2% -6.4 6
2024-05-11 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1475 1524 35.4% 28.4% 36.2% +7.8 6
2024-05-11 @ Livingston L 1-2 1524 1475 36.2% 28.4% 35.4% -7.8 0
2024-05-12 Aberdeen L 0-4 1635 1606 46.2% 27.6% 26.2% -35.4 3
2024-05-12 @ Hibernian W 4-0 1606 1635 26.2% 27.6% 46.2% +35.4 9
2024-05-14 Dundee W 5-2 1925 1587 77.6% 15.2% 7.2% +3.2 9
2024-05-14 @ Rangers L 2-5 1587 1925 7.2% 15.2% 77.6% -3.2 0
2024-05-15 Celtic L 0-5 1689 1951 14.4% 23.0% 62.6% -16.1 4
2024-05-15 @ Kilmarnock W 5-0 1951 1689 62.6% 23.0% 14.4% +16.1 12
2024-05-15 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1632 1756 25.9% 27.6% 46.5% +0.7 4
2024-05-15 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1756 1632 46.5% 27.6% 25.9% -0.7 5
2024-05-15 Livingston W 5-1 1641 1482 61.5% 23.4% 15.1% +11.4 12
2024-05-15 @ Aberdeen L 1-5 1482 1641 15.1% 23.4% 61.5% -11.4 6
2024-05-15 Motherwell W 3-0 1600 1649 35.4% 28.4% 36.3% +22.6 6
2024-05-15 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1649 1600 36.3% 28.4% 35.4% -22.5 6
2024-05-15 Ross County D 1-1 1516 1490 45.8% 27.7% 26.5% -0.9 1
2024-05-15 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1490 1516 26.5% 27.7% 45.8% +0.9 4
2024-05-18 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1584 1673 30.0% 28.1% 41.9% +0.5 1
2024-05-18 @ Dundee D 1-1 1673 1584 41.9% 28.1% 30.0% -0.5 5
2024-05-18 Rangers D 3-3 1755 1928 21.0% 26.3% 52.7% +0.9 6
2024-05-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1928 1755 52.7% 26.3% 21.0% -0.9 10
2024-05-18 St. Mirren W 3-2 1968 1633 77.4% 15.3% 7.3% +1.5 15
2024-05-18 @ Celtic L 2-3 1633 1968 7.3% 15.3% 77.4% -1.5 4
2024-05-19 Aberdeen D 2-2 1491 1653 22.0% 26.7% 51.3% +1.0 5
2024-05-19 @ Ross County D 2-2 1653 1491 51.3% 26.7% 22.0% -1.0 13
2024-05-19 Hibernian D 1-1 1471 1622 23.0% 27.0% 50.0% +1.2 7
2024-05-19 @ Livingston D 1-1 1622 1471 50.0% 27.0% 23.0% -1.2 7
2024-05-19 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1626 1515 56.3% 25.3% 18.4% -11.0 6
2024-05-19 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1515 1626 18.4% 25.3% 56.3% +11.0 4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-04-14 6.99% @ Ross County 1502 3 Rangers 1938 2
2 2024-03-02 7.36% Motherwell 1617 2 @ Rangers 1949 1
3 2023-12-16 9.95% Heart of Midlothian 1673 2 @ Celtic 1932 0
4 2023-12-10 11.03% @ Kilmarnock 1618 2 Celtic 1945 1
5 2023-09-30 11.84% Aberdeen 1643 3 @ Rangers 1860 1
6 2024-03-16 14.58% @ Ross County 1499 2 Heart of Midlothian 1758 1
7 2023-08-05 14.82% @ Kilmarnock 1601 1 Rangers 1857 0
8 2024-03-03 18.16% @ Heart of Midlothian 1736 2 Celtic 1943 0
9 2024-05-19 18.40% St. Johnstone 1515 2 @ Motherwell 1626 1
10 2024-04-06 19.19% St. Johnstone 1542 2 @ Hibernian 1644 1
11 2024-02-28 21.13% St. Johnstone 1532 2 @ Aberdeen 1611 0
12 2023-08-26 21.65% Livingston 1573 3 @ Hibernian 1646 2
13 2024-02-17 22.13% @ Livingston 1491 1 St. Mirren 1652 0
14 2024-05-04 23.62% @ Ross County 1500 2 Hibernian 1645 1
15 2024-03-16 23.65% Aberdeen 1578 1 @ Motherwell 1631 0
16 2023-08-06 23.87% St. Mirren 1612 3 @ Hibernian 1662 2
17 2023-12-30 24.43% St. Mirren 1595 3 @ Aberdeen 1640 0
18 2023-09-16 24.58% St. Mirren 1627 1 @ Motherwell 1670 0
19 2023-12-16 24.80% @ St. Johnstone 1546 1 Hibernian 1680 0
20 2024-02-03 25.13% St. Mirren 1612 3 @ Hibernian 1650 0
21 2024-05-12 26.15% Aberdeen 1606 4 @ Hibernian 1635 0
22 2023-12-06 26.16% Kilmarnock 1608 1 @ Aberdeen 1637 0
23 2023-09-02 27.22% Ross County 1590 1 @ Kilmarnock 1610 0
24 2023-09-03 28.06% Hibernian 1636 2 @ Aberdeen 1649 0
25 2023-09-03 28.27% Motherwell 1661 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1672 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-05-12 35.41 Aberdeen 4 1606 26.15% @ Hibernian 0 1635 46.22% 27.63%
2 2023-11-11 29.95 @ Dundee 4 1592 34.52% St. Mirren 0 1648 37.11% 28.36%
3 2023-12-30 28.07 St. Mirren 3 1595 24.43% @ Aberdeen 0 1640 48.27% 27.30%
4 2024-02-03 27.67 St. Mirren 3 1612 25.13% @ Hibernian 0 1650 47.42% 27.45%
5 2023-12-16 26.25 Heart of Midlothian 2 1673 9.95% @ Celtic 0 1932 71.22% 18.83%
6 2024-02-06 25.49 @ Motherwell 5 1593 49.93% Ross County 0 1535 23.09% 26.98%
7 2023-09-24 23.69 @ Aberdeen 4 1619 45.03% Ross County 0 1599 27.17% 27.80%
8 2024-05-15 22.55 @ Hibernian 3 1600 35.35% Motherwell 0 1649 36.28% 28.37%
9 2024-01-02 22.50 Aberdeen 3 1612 35.46% @ Ross County 0 1568 36.17% 28.37%
10 2023-12-05 22.27 @ Ross County 3 1565 35.97% Motherwell 0 1610 35.66% 28.37%
11 2024-03-03 22.02 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1736 18.16% Celtic 0 1943 56.64% 25.20%
12 2023-09-30 21.85 Aberdeen 3 1643 11.84% @ Rangers 1 1860 67.35% 20.82%
13 2024-02-28 20.69 St. Johnstone 2 1532 21.13% @ Aberdeen 0 1611 52.48% 26.39%
14 2024-05-11 19.20 Motherwell 5 1630 46.07% @ Ross County 1 1509 26.27% 27.66%
15 2023-10-28 18.58 @ St. Mirren 4 1632 53.36% St. Johnstone 0 1545 20.47% 26.17%
16 2023-09-03 17.96 Hibernian 2 1636 28.06% @ Aberdeen 0 1649 44.02% 27.92%
17 2023-10-28 17.27 Dundee 2 1585 30.02% @ Livingston 0 1581 41.85% 28.13%
18 2023-10-07 16.76 @ Livingston 2 1576 31.51% Motherwell 0 1653 40.25% 28.24%
19 2024-01-27 16.34 Dundee 4 1607 42.33% @ Livingston 1 1515 29.58% 28.09%
20 2024-05-15 16.10 Celtic 5 1951 62.63% @ Kilmarnock 0 1689 14.40% 22.97%
21 2023-11-01 15.91 Rangers 5 1867 62.90% @ Dundee 0 1602 14.25% 22.86%
22 2023-10-29 15.72 @ Kilmarnock 2 1609 34.72% Aberdeen 0 1662 36.91% 28.37%
23 2024-02-24 15.60 @ Rangers 5 1930 63.34% Heart of Midlothian 0 1753 13.99% 22.67%
24 2024-04-27 15.37 @ Livingston 2 1469 35.85% Ross County 0 1515 35.78% 28.37%
25 2024-05-04 14.58 St. Mirren 3 1626 31.28% @ Dundee 1 1613 40.49% 28.23%