2021-22 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

93 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee

25.62 points above expected

29 points · 54.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

82.08 points below expected

93 points · 175.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	33	26	4	3	82	78	19	+59	70.22	+11.78
2	Rangers	33	23	7	3	76	67	27	+40	72.89	+3.11
3	Heart of Midlothian	33	16	9	8	57	48	33	+15	51.21	+5.79
4	Dundee United	33	10	11	12	41	31	37	-6	39.19	+1.81
5	Ross County	33	10	10	13	40	45	52	-7	35.43	+4.57
6	Motherwell	33	10	10	13	40	38	50	-12	39.73	+0.27
7	Hibernian	33	9	11	13	38	31	37	-6	46.87	-8.87
8	Livingston	33	10	8	15	38	35	43	-8	39.74	-1.74
9	Aberdeen	33	9	9	15	36	38	42	-4	43.51	-7.51
10	St. Mirren	33	8	12	13	36	30	50	-20	38.23	-2.23
11	St. Johnstone	33	7	9	17	30	21	44	-23	35.74	-5.74
12	Dundee	33	5	10	18	25	29	57	-28	29.25	-4.25

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic	38	29	6	3	93	92	22	+70	175.08	-82.08
2	Rangers	38	27	8	3	89	80	31	+49	162.25	-73.25
3	Heart of Midlothian	38	17	10	11	61	54	44	+10	120.82	-59.82
4	Dundee United	38	12	12	14	48	37	44	-7	86.46	-38.46
5	Motherwell	38	12	10	16	46	42	61	-19	83.89	-37.89
6	Ross County	38	10	11	17	41	47	61	-14	84.91	-43.91
7	Livingston	38	13	10	15	49	41	46	-5	83.99	-34.99
8	Hibernian	38	11	12	15	45	38	42	-4	83.90	-38.90
9	St. Mirren	38	10	14	14	44	33	51	-18	78.29	-34.29
10	Aberdeen	38	10	11	17	41	41	46	-5	79.69	-38.69
11	St. Johnstone	38	8	11	19	35	24	51	-27	66.20	-31.20
12	Dundee	38	6	11	21	29	34	64	-30	54.62	-25.62

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	2071	93	70.22	+22.78	97.8%	46	59	66	70	75	81	91
Rangers	2034	89	72.89	+16.11	70.5%	44	62	69	73	77	83	97
Heart of Midlothian	1784	61	51.21	+9.79	81.5%	24	39	46	51	56	63	76
Livingston	1719	49	39.74	+9.26	44.0%	13	29	35	40	44	51	66
Hibernian	1699	45	46.87	-1.87	11.7%	21	35	42	47	52	58	75
Dundee United	1690	48	39.19	+8.81	63.7%	16	28	34	39	44	51	66
Ross County	1671	41	35.43	+5.57	77.5%	12	24	31	35	40	47	63
Aberdeen	1671	41	43.51	-2.51	16.1%	17	32	39	43	48	55	71
Motherwell	1657	46	39.73	+6.27	54.5%	17	28	35	40	44	51	65
St. Mirren	1646	44	38.23	+5.77	40.1%	15	27	34	38	43	50	66
St. Johnstone	1598	35	35.74	-0.74	21.9%	12	25	31	36	40	47	61
Dundee	1550	29	29.25	-0.25	28.7%	8	19	25	29	33	40	56

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HOM	HIB	LIV	MOT	RAN	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-0-3 1.89	2-1-1 7.32	1-1-1 4.57	1-1-1 3.29	2-1-1 4.99	2-0-2 5.66	0-1-2 4.43	0-2-1 1.47	0-2-1 4.89	1-1-2 6.47	1-1-2 6.18
Celtic	3-0-0 6.41	—	3-0-0 7.22	2-2-0 9.12	3-0-1 8.04	2-1-0 6.29	1-1-1 6.54	4-0-0 9.01	2-1-1 5.47	4-0-0 9.30	3-0-0 7.16	2-1-0 6.95
Dundee	1-1-2 3.59	0-0-3 1.24	—	0-2-1 2.97	1-1-1 2.06	1-2-1 3.56	0-1-3 4.00	1-1-1 2.74	0-0-3 1.16	0-0-3 3.77	1-2-1 4.47	1-1-2 4.09
Dundee United	1-1-1 3.57	0-2-2 2.05	1-2-0 5.19	—	0-1-3 4.32	1-1-1 3.18	0-1-2 3.89	3-0-1 5.99	1-1-2 1.82	3-1-0 5.70	1-1-1 4.14	1-1-1 3.93
Heart of Midlothian	1-1-1 4.85	1-0-3 2.95	1-1-1 6.20	3-1-0 6.54	—	1-2-0 4.79	3-0-0 5.22	2-0-2 6.94	0-1-3 2.79	1-3-0 7.22	1-1-1 5.59	3-0-0 4.68
Hibernian	1-1-2 5.84	0-1-2 1.99	1-2-1 7.34	1-1-1 4.97	0-2-1 3.35	—	1-0-3 6.20	1-2-0 4.43	0-0-3 1.76	2-0-1 5.13	3-1-0 6.90	1-2-1 6.63
Livingston	2-0-2 5.17	1-1-1 1.78	3-1-0 6.90	2-1-0 4.25	0-0-3 2.93	3-0-1 4.67	—	0-1-2 4.38	0-0-3 1.50	1-2-0 4.37	1-1-2 6.31	0-3-1 5.78
Motherwell	2-1-0 3.70	0-0-4 2.15	1-1-1 5.43	1-0-3 4.85	2-0-2 3.93	0-2-1 3.70	2-1-0 3.76	—	0-2-2 1.99	2-0-2 5.67	1-1-1 4.11	1-2-0 4.28
Rangers	1-2-0 6.92	1-1-2 5.38	3-0-0 7.32	2-1-1 9.40	3-1-0 8.21	3-0-0 6.56	3-0-0 6.88	2-2-0 9.19	—	3-1-0 9.40	3-0-0 7.00	3-0-0 6.94
Ross County	1-2-0 3.27	0-0-4 1.90	3-0-0 4.37	0-1-3 5.14	0-3-1 3.68	1-0-2 3.03	0-2-1 3.76	2-0-2 5.19	0-1-3 1.82	—	2-1-0 4.32	1-1-1 4.02
St. Johnstone	2-1-1 4.39	0-0-3 1.28	1-2-1 6.39	1-1-1 4.01	1-1-1 2.61	0-1-3 3.99	2-1-1 4.58	1-1-1 4.03	0-0-3 1.41	0-1-2 3.81	—	0-2-2 5.32
St. Mirren	2-1-1 4.66	0-1-2 1.45	2-1-1 6.79	1-1-1 4.20	0-0-3 3.46	1-2-1 4.25	1-3-0 5.05	0-2-1 3.84	0-0-3 1.46	1-1-1 4.11	2-2-0 5.53	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+9.6
Allowed	0.75	-14.1
Differential	0.95	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.77%	10.31%	6.36%	2.19%	1.10%	1.32%	30.04%
1	10.31%	13.60%	8.11%	2.85%	0.66%	0.22%	35.75%
2	6.36%	8.11%	4.82%	1.97%	0.88%	0.22%	22.37%
3	2.19%	2.85%	1.97%	0.44%	—	—	7.46%
4	1.10%	0.66%	0.88%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	1.32%	0.22%	0.22%	—	—	—	1.75%
Total	30.04%	35.75%	22.37%	7.46%	2.63%	1.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.23	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.77
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	18.42%	7.89%	—	—	—	28.95%
1	7.89%	21.05%	13.16%	—	—	—	42.11%
2	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	52.63%	26.32%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.21	-0.13
SD	0.94	0.78	1.19
CV	0.87	0.64	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
1	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
2	13.16%	13.16%	—	—	—	—	26.32%
3	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
4	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	10.53%	—	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	52.63%	36.84%	10.53%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	0.58	+1.84
SD	1.78	0.68	1.98
CV	0.74	1.18	—
Max	7	2	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	44.74%
1	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	—	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	34.21%	26.32%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.68	-0.79
SD	0.95	1.42	1.71
CV	1.06	0.84	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	15.79%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	23.68%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	42.11%	18.42%	7.89%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.16	-0.18
SD	0.82	1.10	1.31
CV	0.84	0.95	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	18.42%
1	5.26%	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	21.05%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	34.21%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	36.84%	26.32%	28.95%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.16	+0.26
SD	1.06	1.20	1.72
CV	0.74	1.03	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	39.47%
1	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	31.58%	15.79%	15.79%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.11	-0.11
SD	1.07	1.09	1.50
CV	1.07	0.98	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
1	10.53%	15.79%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	42.11%
2	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	36.84%	26.32%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.21	-0.13
SD	1.02	0.96	1.51
CV	0.95	0.80	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	28.95%
1	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	26.32%	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.61	-0.50
SD	0.92	1.46	1.90
CV	0.84	0.91	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
1	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	34.21%
2	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	42.11%	39.47%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	0.82	+1.29
SD	1.35	0.87	1.58
CV	0.64	1.06	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	15.79%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	42.11%
2	—	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	18.42%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	31.58%	23.68%	13.16%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.61	-0.37
SD	1.13	1.26	1.67
CV	0.91	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	50.00%
1	10.53%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	39.47%
2	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	39.47%	21.05%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.63	1.34	-0.71
SD	0.75	1.38	1.64
CV	1.19	1.03	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	7.89%	10.53%	—	2.63%	2.63%	42.11%
1	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	—	—	5.26%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	23.68%	31.58%	—	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.34	-0.47
SD	0.91	1.40	1.57
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundee	29	54.62	-25.62
2	St. Johnstone	35	66.20	-31.20
3	St. Mirren	44	78.29	-34.29
4	Livingston	49	83.99	-34.99
5	Motherwell	46	83.89	-37.89

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celtic	93	175.08	-82.08
2	Rangers	89	162.25	-73.25
3	Heart of Midlothian	61	120.82	-59.82
4	Ross County	41	84.91	-43.91
5	Hibernian	45	83.90	-38.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	8	Dec 26 – Feb 20	1 in 40
2	Rangers	9	Oct 31 – Dec 26	1 in 26
3	Dundee United	3	Oct 2 – Oct 23	1 in 25
4	St. Mirren	3	Sep 26 – Oct 16	1 in 24
5	Motherwell	3	Aug 21 – Sep 11	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Johnstone	8	Nov 27 – Jan 18	1 in 415
2	Aberdeen	5	Sep 11 – Oct 16	1 in 242
3	Dundee United	6	Nov 30 – Jan 18	1 in 207
4	Hibernian	5	Oct 3 – Nov 24	1 in 169
5	Heart of Midlothian	3	Feb 6 – Feb 19	1 in 63

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celtic	32	Sep 26 – May 14	1 in 94
2	Heart of Midlothian	11	Jul 31 – Oct 27	1 in 90
3	Dundee United	7	Sep 11 – Oct 27	1 in 44
4	Motherwell	6	Aug 8 – Sep 25	1 in 25
5	St. Mirren	6	Aug 29 – Oct 16	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	11	Jan 18 – Mar 19	1 in 65
2	St. Mirren	11	Oct 24 – Dec 26	1 in 44
3	Aberdeen	10	Jan 18 – Mar 5	1 in 39
4	St. Johnstone	10	Nov 6 – Jan 26	1 in 34
5	Dundee United	7	Nov 27 – Jan 18	1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	41.11%	55.37%	3.06%	0.41%	0.04%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	58.53%	39.81%	1.50%	0.15%	—	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	0.29%	3.27%	46.88%	22.23%	11.07%	6.74%	4.28%	2.55%	1.35%	0.91%	0.30%	0.13%
Dundee United	—	0.07%	3.76%	7.75%	10.85%	12.03%	13.69%	13.44%	12.44%	11.37%	9.63%	4.97%
Motherwell	—	0.06%	3.92%	8.00%	11.96%	12.85%	13.19%	13.28%	12.13%	11.12%	9.05%	4.44%
Ross County	—	0.02%	1.21%	3.20%	5.59%	7.45%	10.18%	11.74%	13.80%	15.98%	17.39%	13.44%
Livingston	—	0.04%	4.33%	8.71%	11.27%	13.10%	12.69%	13.55%	12.49%	10.65%	8.53%	4.64%
Hibernian	0.07%	0.98%	20.61%	24.15%	17.63%	12.40%	9.07%	5.80%	4.59%	2.62%	1.55%	0.53%
St. Mirren	—	0.07%	2.55%	5.46%	8.32%	11.35%	12.31%	13.41%	13.64%	13.39%	11.87%	7.63%
Aberdeen	—	0.31%	10.85%	16.76%	17.24%	15.17%	11.52%	9.96%	7.23%	6.04%	3.55%	1.37%
St. Johnstone	—	—	1.18%	2.75%	5.31%	7.05%	10.03%	11.75%	14.85%	16.30%	16.88%	13.90%
Dundee	—	—	0.15%	0.43%	0.72%	1.84%	3.04%	4.52%	7.48%	11.62%	21.25%	48.95%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Celtic	96.25%	3.75%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rangers	3.75%	96.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	47.76%	32.44%	19.80%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	21.09%	33.54%	45.37%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ross County	—	—	—	31.15%	34.02%	34.83%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Livingston	—	—	—	—	—	—	43.31%	28.78%	18.98%	8.32%	0.61%	—
Hibernian	—	—	—	—	—	—	35.97%	33.69%	20.18%	9.31%	0.85%	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.41%	15.16%	27.76%	42.60%	7.04%	0.03%
Aberdeen	—	—	—	—	—	—	13.26%	21.91%	30.68%	30.33%	3.80%	0.02%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.05%	0.46%	2.40%	9.31%	81.50%	6.28%
Dundee	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.13%	6.20%	93.67%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.60%

Slight Edge

42.98%27.63%29.39%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 47.53 Elo pts.

184 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.34 goals

Neutral

-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

41%

Celtic, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Photo Finish

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.43 * Some Luck: 5.43 to 8.14 * Lucky: 8.14 to 10.86 * Wild Swing: 10.86 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.96 * Off: 1.96 to 2.61 * Way Off: 2.61 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.77 points

Some Luck

06.7917

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

Off

01.634

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

97.76%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

11.71%

Hibernian

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.15

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

62%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

68%

Very Frequent

0%60%100%

Blowouts

Expected

11%

Occasional

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.74

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.57

Some Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Chalky

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

As Expected

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.55

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.23

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.057

Well Within Noise

00.1150.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Celtic	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	99.74%	0.22%	0.04%
Hibernian	98.10%	1.37%	0.53%
Aberdeen	94.79%	3.96%	1.25%
Livingston	88.62%	7.81%	3.57%
Dundee United	86.12%	9.39%	4.49%
Motherwell	85.65%	9.69%	4.66%
St. Mirren	79.27%	12.99%	7.74%
Ross County	74.33%	15.43%	10.24%
St. Johnstone	67.91%	18.69%	13.40%
Dundee	25.47%	20.45%	54.08%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Celtic	100%	—	—
Dundee United	100%	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	100%	—	—
Hibernian	99.15%	0.85%	—
Livingston	99.39%	0.61%	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Ross County	100%	—	—
Aberdeen	96.18%	3.80%	0.02%
St. Mirren	92.93%	7.04%	0.03%
St. Johnstone	12.22%	81.50%	6.28%
Dundee	0.13%	6.20%	93.67%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2021-07-31	Celtic	W 2-1	1721	1902	19.8%	27.3%	52.9%	+13.1	3
2021-07-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1902	1721	52.9%	27.3%	19.8%	-13.1	0
2021-07-31	Livingston	W 3-0	1953	1701	69.4%	20.8%	9.8%	+8.4	3
2021-07-31	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1701	1953	9.8%	20.8%	69.4%	-8.4	0
2021-07-31	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1646	1702	34.2%	29.3%	36.5%	+0.1	1
2021-07-31	@ Ross County	D 0-0	1702	1646	36.5%	29.3%	34.2%	-0.1	1
2021-07-31	St. Mirren	D 2-2	1640	1690	35.0%	29.3%	35.7%	+0.0	1
2021-07-31	@ Dundee	D 2-2	1690	1640	35.7%	29.3%	35.0%	-0.0	1
2021-08-01	Dundee United	W 2-0	1730	1664	50.5%	27.8%	21.6%	+13.1	3
2021-08-01	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	1664	1730	21.6%	27.8%	50.5%	-13.1	0
2021-08-01	Hibernian	L 2-3	1685	1756	32.0%	29.2%	38.7%	-8.5	0
2021-08-01	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	1756	1685	38.7%	29.2%	32.0%	+8.5	3
2021-08-07	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1690	1734	35.8%	29.3%	34.9%	-9.7	1
2021-08-07	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1734	1690	34.9%	29.3%	35.8%	+9.7	6
2021-08-07	Rangers	W 1-0	1650	1962	11.4%	22.5%	66.2%	+16.7	3
2021-08-07	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	1962	1650	66.2%	22.5%	11.4%	-16.7	3
2021-08-08	Aberdeen	L 1-2	1692	1743	34.9%	29.3%	35.8%	-9.5	0
2021-08-08	@ Livingston	W 2-1	1743	1692	35.8%	29.3%	34.9%	+9.5	6
2021-08-08	Dundee	W 6-0	1889	1640	69.1%	21.0%	9.9%	+16.4	3
2021-08-08	@ Celtic	L 0-6	1640	1889	9.9%	21.0%	69.1%	-16.4	1
2021-08-08	Motherwell	D 1-1	1702	1677	45.3%	28.7%	26.0%	-1.1	2
2021-08-08	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1677	1702	26.0%	28.7%	45.3%	+1.1	1
2021-08-08	Ross County	W 3-0	1765	1646	56.5%	26.3%	17.2%	+15.5	6
2021-08-08	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	1646	1765	17.2%	26.3%	56.5%	-15.5	1
2021-08-21	Motherwell	L 1-2	1683	1678	42.7%	29.0%	28.3%	-11.0	0
2021-08-21	@ Livingston	W 2-1	1678	1683	28.3%	29.0%	42.7%	+11.1	4
2021-08-21	St. Mirren	W 6-0	1906	1680	67.0%	22.1%	10.9%	+18.4	6
2021-08-21	@ Celtic	L 0-6	1680	1906	10.9%	22.1%	67.0%	-18.4	1
2021-08-22	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1744	1753	40.8%	29.1%	30.0%	-0.6	7
2021-08-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1753	1744	30.0%	29.1%	40.8%	+0.6	7
2021-08-22	Dundee United	L 0-1	1701	1667	46.4%	28.6%	25.0%	-12.5	2
2021-08-22	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1667	1701	25.0%	28.6%	46.4%	+12.5	6
2021-08-22	Hibernian	D 2-2	1623	1780	22.1%	28.0%	50.0%	+1.2	2
2021-08-22	@ Dundee	D 2-2	1780	1623	50.0%	28.0%	22.1%	-1.2	7
2021-08-22	Rangers	L 2-4	1631	1945	11.2%	22.3%	66.5%	-5.3	1
2021-08-22	@ Ross County	W 4-2	1945	1631	66.5%	22.3%	11.2%	+5.3	6
2021-08-28	Dundee	W 1-0	1689	1625	50.2%	27.9%	21.9%	+7.0	7
2021-08-28	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1625	1689	21.9%	27.9%	50.2%	-7.0	2
2021-08-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1680	1743	33.1%	29.3%	37.6%	-18.3	6
2021-08-28	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	1743	1680	37.6%	29.3%	33.1%	+18.3	10
2021-08-28	Livingston	W 2-0	1779	1672	55.3%	26.7%	18.1%	+11.2	10
2021-08-28	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1672	1779	18.1%	26.7%	55.3%	-11.2	0
2021-08-29	Celtic	W 1-0	1950	1924	45.5%	28.7%	25.8%	+8.1	9
2021-08-29	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1924	1950	25.8%	28.7%	45.5%	-8.1	6
2021-08-29	Ross County	D 1-1	1753	1625	57.5%	26.0%	16.5%	-2.5	8
2021-08-29	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	1625	1753	16.5%	26.0%	57.5%	+2.4	2
2021-08-29	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1662	1688	38.4%	29.3%	32.4%	-0.4	2
2021-08-29	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1688	1662	32.4%	29.3%	38.4%	+0.4	3
2021-09-11	Aberdeen	W 2-0	1696	1751	34.3%	29.3%	36.4%	+19.6	10
2021-09-11	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	1751	1696	36.4%	29.3%	34.3%	-19.6	8
2021-09-11	Dundee United	D 0-0	1661	1661	42.0%	29.0%	28.9%	-0.8	3
2021-09-11	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1661	1661	28.9%	29.0%	42.0%	+0.8	7
2021-09-11	Livingston	D 0-0	1618	1661	36.0%	29.3%	34.7%	-0.1	3
2021-09-11	@ Dundee	D 0-0	1661	1618	34.7%	29.3%	36.0%	+0.1	1
2021-09-11	Rangers	L 1-2	1688	1958	13.5%	24.2%	62.3%	-4.2	3
2021-09-11	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1958	1688	62.3%	24.2%	13.5%	+4.2	12
2021-09-11	Ross County	W 3-0	1916	1628	72.4%	19.2%	8.4%	+7.1	9
2021-09-11	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1628	1916	8.4%	19.2%	72.4%	-7.1	2
2021-09-12	Hibernian	D 0-0	1762	1790	38.0%	29.3%	32.7%	-0.3	11
2021-09-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1790	1762	32.7%	29.3%	38.0%	+0.3	11
2021-09-18	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	1621	1761	23.7%	28.3%	47.9%	+1.0	3
2021-09-18	@ Ross County	D 2-2	1761	1621	47.9%	28.3%	23.7%	-1.0	12
2021-09-18	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1731	1684	48.1%	28.3%	23.6%	-12.9	8
2021-09-18	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	1684	1731	23.6%	28.3%	48.1%	+12.9	6
2021-09-18	St. Mirren	D 2-2	1791	1661	57.7%	25.9%	16.4%	-1.8	12
2021-09-18	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	1661	1791	16.4%	25.9%	57.7%	+1.9	4
2021-09-19	Celtic	W 1-0	1661	1923	14.0%	24.5%	61.5%	+15.8	4
2021-09-19	@ Livingston	L 0-1	1923	1661	61.5%	24.5%	14.0%	-15.8	9
2021-09-19	Dundee	W 1-0	1662	1618	47.8%	28.3%	23.8%	+7.5	10
2021-09-19	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	1618	1662	23.8%	28.3%	47.8%	-7.5	3
2021-09-19	Motherwell	D 1-1	1962	1715	68.9%	21.1%	10.0%	-3.6	13
2021-09-19	@ Rangers	D 1-1	1715	1962	10.0%	21.1%	68.9%	+3.6	11
2021-09-25	Livingston	W 3-0	1760	1676	52.6%	27.4%	20.0%	+17.8	15
2021-09-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	1676	1760	20.0%	27.4%	52.6%	-17.8	4
2021-09-25	Rangers	L 0-1	1610	1959	9.7%	20.8%	69.5%	-3.1	3
2021-09-25	@ Dundee	W 1-0	1959	1610	69.5%	20.8%	9.7%	+3.1	16
2021-09-25	Ross County	W 2-1	1719	1622	54.1%	27.0%	18.9%	+5.8	14
2021-09-25	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	1622	1719	18.9%	27.0%	54.1%	-5.8	3
2021-09-26	Aberdeen	W 3-2	1662	1718	34.2%	29.3%	36.5%	+9.3	7
2021-09-26	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	1718	1662	36.5%	29.3%	34.2%	-9.3	8
2021-09-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	1907	1670	68.1%	21.5%	10.4%	-3.6	10
2021-09-26	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1670	1907	10.4%	21.5%	68.1%	+3.6	11
2021-09-26	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1789	1697	53.5%	27.2%	19.4%	+6.3	15
2021-09-26	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	1697	1789	19.4%	27.2%	53.5%	-6.3	6
2021-10-02	Dundee	W 3-1	1691	1607	52.6%	27.4%	20.0%	+10.6	9
2021-10-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	1607	1691	20.0%	27.4%	52.6%	-10.6	3
2021-10-02	Motherwell	W 2-0	1778	1725	48.9%	28.1%	22.9%	+13.8	18
2021-10-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1725	1778	22.9%	28.1%	48.9%	-13.8	14
2021-10-02	Ross County	W 1-0	1673	1616	49.4%	28.1%	22.5%	+7.2	14
2021-10-02	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	1616	1673	22.5%	28.1%	49.4%	-7.2	3
2021-10-02	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1659	1672	40.2%	29.2%	30.6%	-11.2	4
2021-10-02	@ Livingston	W 1-0	1672	1659	30.6%	29.2%	40.2%	+11.2	10
2021-10-03	Celtic	L 1-2	1709	1904	18.7%	26.9%	54.4%	-5.8	8
2021-10-03	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	1904	1709	54.4%	26.9%	18.7%	+5.8	13
2021-10-03	Hibernian	W 2-1	1962	1795	61.5%	24.5%	14.0%	+4.3	19
2021-10-03	@ Rangers	L 1-2	1795	1962	14.0%	24.5%	61.5%	-4.3	15
2021-10-16	Aberdeen	W 2-1	1596	1703	27.5%	28.9%	43.6%	+11.2	6
2021-10-16	@ Dundee	L 1-2	1703	1596	43.6%	28.9%	27.5%	-11.2	8
2021-10-16	Celtic	L 0-2	1711	1909	18.4%	26.8%	54.8%	-11.4	14
2021-10-16	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	1909	1711	54.8%	26.8%	18.4%	+11.4	16
2021-10-16	Dundee United	L 0-3	1791	1680	55.6%	26.6%	17.8%	-39.8	15
2021-10-16	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	1680	1791	17.8%	26.6%	55.6%	+39.8	17
2021-10-16	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1966	1792	62.2%	24.2%	13.6%	-3.0	20
2021-10-16	@ Rangers	D 1-1	1792	1966	13.6%	24.2%	62.2%	+3.0	19
2021-10-16	Livingston	L 0-3	1701	1647	49.0%	28.1%	22.9%	-35.9	9
2021-10-16	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	1647	1701	22.9%	28.1%	49.0%	+35.9	7
2021-10-16	St. Mirren	L 2-3	1609	1683	31.6%	29.2%	39.1%	-8.4	3
2021-10-16	@ Ross County	W 3-2	1683	1609	39.1%	29.2%	31.6%	+8.4	13
2021-10-23	Dundee	D 1-1	1795	1608	63.5%	23.7%	12.8%	-3.1	20
2021-10-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1608	1795	12.8%	23.7%	63.5%	+3.1	7
2021-10-23	Hibernian	W 1-0	1692	1751	33.7%	29.3%	37.0%	+10.5	11
2021-10-23	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	1751	1692	37.0%	29.3%	33.7%	-10.5	15
2021-10-23	Livingston	L 2-3	1600	1683	30.5%	29.2%	40.3%	-8.2	3
2021-10-23	@ Ross County	W 3-2	1683	1600	40.3%	29.2%	30.5%	+8.2	10
2021-10-23	Motherwell	W 2-1	1720	1700	44.8%	28.8%	26.5%	+7.8	20
2021-10-23	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	1700	1720	26.5%	28.8%	44.8%	-7.8	14
2021-10-23	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1921	1666	69.6%	20.7%	9.6%	+5.7	19
2021-10-23	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1666	1921	9.6%	20.7%	69.6%	-5.7	9
2021-10-24	Rangers	L 1-2	1691	1963	13.4%	24.1%	62.5%	-4.1	13
2021-10-24	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1963	1691	62.5%	24.1%	13.4%	+4.1	23
2021-10-27	Aberdeen	D 2-2	1967	1702	70.5%	20.3%	9.2%	-2.8	24
2021-10-27	@ Rangers	D 2-2	1702	1967	9.2%	20.3%	70.5%	+2.8	12
2021-10-27	Celtic	L 1-3	1740	1926	19.4%	27.2%	53.4%	-10.3	15
2021-10-27	@ Hibernian	W 3-1	1926	1740	53.4%	27.2%	19.4%	+10.3	22
2021-10-27	Dundee United	D 1-1	1691	1728	36.9%	29.3%	33.8%	-0.2	11
2021-10-27	@ Livingston	D 1-1	1728	1691	33.8%	29.3%	36.9%	+0.2	21
2021-10-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1660	1792	24.6%	28.5%	46.9%	+1.3	10
2021-10-27	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1792	1660	46.9%	28.5%	24.6%	-1.3	21
2021-10-27	Ross County	L 0-5	1611	1592	44.5%	28.8%	26.7%	-53.4	7
2021-10-27	@ Dundee	W 5-0	1592	1611	26.7%	28.8%	44.5%	+53.4	6
2021-10-27	St. Mirren	D 2-2	1692	1687	42.6%	29.0%	28.4%	-0.6	15
2021-10-27	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	1687	1692	28.4%	29.0%	42.6%	+0.6	14
2021-10-30	Dundee	L 0-1	1688	1557	57.8%	25.9%	16.3%	-15.0	14
2021-10-30	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	1557	1688	16.3%	25.9%	57.8%	+15.0	10
2021-10-30	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1705	1791	30.2%	29.1%	40.7%	+10.7	15
2021-10-30	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	1791	1705	40.7%	29.1%	30.2%	-10.6	21
2021-10-30	Livingston	D 0-0	1937	1691	68.8%	21.2%	10.0%	-4.0	23
2021-10-30	@ Celtic	D 0-0	1691	1937	10.0%	21.2%	68.8%	+4.0	12
2021-10-30	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1728	1661	50.6%	27.8%	21.6%	-13.4	21
2021-10-30	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	1661	1728	21.6%	27.8%	50.6%	+13.4	13
2021-10-31	Rangers	L 1-6	1691	1965	13.3%	24.1%	62.6%	-16.0	15
2021-10-31	@ Motherwell	W 6-1	1965	1691	62.6%	24.1%	13.3%	+16.0	27
2021-11-06	Dundee United	W 5-2	1780	1715	50.4%	27.9%	21.8%	+14.0	24
2021-11-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-5	1715	1780	21.8%	27.9%	50.4%	-14.0	21
2021-11-06	Motherwell	L 0-2	1716	1675	47.3%	28.4%	24.3%	-24.0	15
2021-11-06	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	1675	1716	24.3%	28.4%	47.3%	+24.0	18
2021-11-06	St. Mirren	D 0-0	1675	1673	42.2%	29.0%	28.7%	-0.8	14
2021-11-06	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1673	1675	28.7%	29.0%	42.2%	+0.8	15
2021-11-07	Celtic	L 2-4	1572	1933	9.2%	20.3%	70.5%	-4.2	10
2021-11-07	@ Dundee	W 4-2	1933	1572	70.5%	20.3%	9.2%	+4.2	26
2021-11-07	Ross County	W 4-2	1980	1646	76.0%	17.2%	6.9%	+3.0	30
2021-11-07	@ Rangers	L 2-4	1646	1980	6.9%	17.2%	76.0%	-3.0	6
2021-11-20	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1701	1692	43.2%	28.9%	27.9%	+8.5	24
2021-11-20	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	1692	1701	27.9%	28.9%	43.2%	-8.6	15
2021-11-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	1699	1794	29.0%	29.1%	41.9%	+21.8	21
2021-11-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	1794	1699	41.9%	29.1%	29.0%	-21.8	24
2021-11-20	Livingston	D 1-1	1674	1695	39.0%	29.2%	31.7%	-0.4	16
2021-11-20	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1695	1674	31.7%	29.2%	39.0%	+0.4	13
2021-11-24	Hibernian	W 1-0	1643	1730	29.9%	29.1%	41.0%	+11.4	9
2021-11-24	@ Ross County	L 0-1	1730	1643	41.0%	29.1%	29.9%	-11.4	15
2021-11-27	Dundee United	D 1-1	1654	1709	34.2%	29.3%	36.5%	+0.1	10
2021-11-27	@ Ross County	D 1-1	1709	1654	36.5%	29.3%	34.2%	-0.1	25
2021-11-27	Hibernian	L 1-2	1674	1719	35.7%	29.3%	35.0%	-9.7	14
2021-11-27	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1719	1674	35.0%	29.3%	35.7%	+9.7	18
2021-11-27	Motherwell	W 3-0	1568	1721	22.4%	28.0%	49.5%	+36.2	13
2021-11-27	@ Dundee	L 0-3	1721	1568	49.5%	28.0%	22.4%	-36.2	21
2021-11-27	St. Mirren	W 2-0	1772	1673	54.3%	26.9%	18.8%	+11.6	27
2021-11-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1673	1772	18.8%	26.9%	54.3%	-11.6	16
2021-11-28	Aberdeen	W 2-1	1937	1683	69.5%	20.8%	9.7%	+2.9	29
2021-11-28	@ Celtic	L 1-2	1683	1937	9.7%	20.8%	69.5%	-2.9	15
2021-11-28	Rangers	L 1-3	1696	1983	12.5%	23.5%	64.0%	-6.7	13
2021-11-28	@ Livingston	W 3-1	1983	1696	64.0%	23.5%	12.5%	+6.7	33
2021-11-30	Dundee United	W 1-0	1685	1709	38.7%	29.2%	32.1%	+9.5	24
2021-11-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1709	1685	32.1%	29.2%	38.7%	-9.5	25
2021-12-01	Livingston	W 2-0	1680	1689	40.8%	29.1%	30.0%	+17.1	18
2021-12-01	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	1689	1680	30.0%	29.1%	40.8%	-17.1	13
2021-12-01	Rangers	L 0-1	1728	1990	14.0%	24.5%	61.5%	-4.6	18
2021-12-01	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	1990	1728	61.5%	24.5%	14.0%	+4.6	36
2021-12-01	Ross County	D 0-0	1662	1654	43.0%	29.0%	28.0%	-0.9	17
2021-12-01	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1654	1662	28.0%	29.0%	43.0%	+0.9	11
2021-12-01	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1604	1664	33.6%	29.3%	37.1%	+10.6	16
2021-12-01	@ Dundee	L 0-1	1664	1604	37.1%	29.3%	33.6%	-10.6	14
2021-12-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	1940	1784	60.4%	24.9%	14.6%	+4.8	32
2021-12-02	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1784	1940	14.6%	24.9%	60.4%	-4.8	27
2021-12-04	Dundee	W 3-0	1995	1615	79.1%	15.2%	5.7%	+4.4	39
2021-12-04	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1615	1995	5.7%	15.2%	79.1%	-4.4	16
2021-12-04	Motherwell	D 1-1	1724	1695	45.9%	28.6%	25.5%	-1.1	19
2021-12-04	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1695	1724	25.5%	28.6%	45.9%	+1.1	25
2021-12-04	St. Mirren	W 4-1	1697	1661	46.8%	28.5%	24.7%	+17.9	21
2021-12-04	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	1661	1697	24.7%	28.5%	46.8%	-18.0	17
2021-12-05	Celtic	L 0-3	1700	1945	15.0%	25.2%	59.8%	-13.6	25
2021-12-05	@ Dundee United	W 3-0	1945	1700	59.8%	25.2%	15.0%	+13.6	35
2021-12-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1672	1779	27.5%	28.9%	43.6%	-8.5	13
2021-12-05	@ Livingston	W 1-0	1779	1672	43.6%	28.9%	27.5%	+8.5	30
2021-12-08	Hibernian	W 1-0	1663	1723	33.7%	29.3%	37.0%	+10.5	16
2021-12-08	@ Livingston	L 0-1	1723	1663	37.0%	29.3%	33.7%	-10.5	19
2021-12-11	Aberdeen	L 0-1	1653	1715	33.3%	29.3%	37.4%	-9.8	14
2021-12-11	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1715	1653	37.4%	29.3%	33.3%	+9.8	24
2021-12-11	Dundee	W 3-2	1655	1610	47.8%	28.3%	23.8%	+6.8	14
2021-12-11	@ Ross County	L 2-3	1610	1655	23.8%	28.3%	47.8%	-6.8	16
2021-12-11	Hibernian	D 1-1	1643	1712	32.3%	29.3%	38.4%	+0.3	18
2021-12-11	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1712	1643	38.4%	29.3%	32.3%	-0.3	20
2021-12-11	Livingston	L 0-1	1686	1674	43.6%	28.9%	27.5%	-11.9	25
2021-12-11	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	1674	1686	27.5%	28.9%	43.6%	+11.9	19
2021-12-12	Motherwell	W 1-0	1958	1696	70.2%	20.4%	9.3%	+2.9	38
2021-12-12	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1696	1958	9.3%	20.4%	70.2%	-2.9	25
2021-12-12	Rangers	L 0-2	1787	1999	17.3%	26.4%	56.3%	-10.8	30
2021-12-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	1999	1787	56.3%	26.4%	17.3%	+10.8	42
2021-12-14	Dundee	W 1-0	1712	1604	55.3%	26.6%	18.0%	+5.9	23
2021-12-14	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	1604	1712	18.0%	26.6%	55.3%	-5.9	16
2021-12-15	Celtic	L 1-2	1662	1961	11.9%	23.0%	65.1%	-3.7	14
2021-12-15	@ Ross County	W 2-1	1961	1662	65.1%	23.0%	11.9%	+3.7	41
2021-12-15	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	2010	1644	78.2%	15.8%	6.0%	+3.3	45
2021-12-15	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1644	2010	6.0%	15.8%	78.2%	-3.3	14
2021-12-18	Dundee United	W 1-0	2013	1674	76.3%	17.0%	6.8%	+2.0	48
2021-12-18	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1674	2013	6.8%	17.0%	76.3%	-2.0	25
2021-12-18	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1598	1777	20.1%	27.4%	52.6%	-6.5	16
2021-12-18	@ Dundee	W 1-0	1777	1598	52.6%	27.4%	20.1%	+6.5	33
2021-12-18	Ross County	D 1-1	1686	1658	45.7%	28.7%	25.7%	-1.1	20
2021-12-18	@ Livingston	D 1-1	1658	1686	25.7%	28.7%	45.7%	+1.1	15
2021-12-18	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1693	1640	48.8%	28.2%	23.0%	+13.9	28
2021-12-18	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	1640	1693	23.0%	28.2%	48.8%	-13.8	14
2021-12-22	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1718	1725	41.0%	29.1%	29.9%	+9.0	26
2021-12-22	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	1725	1718	29.9%	29.1%	41.0%	-9.0	24
2021-12-22	Celtic	D 0-0	1643	1965	10.9%	22.0%	67.1%	+3.9	19
2021-12-22	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1965	1643	67.1%	22.0%	10.9%	-3.9	42
2021-12-22	Ross County	L 1-2	1627	1659	37.5%	29.3%	33.2%	-10.0	14
2021-12-22	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1659	1627	33.2%	29.3%	37.5%	+10.0	18
2021-12-26	Celtic	L 1-3	1617	1961	9.9%	21.0%	69.1%	-5.1	14
2021-12-26	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-1	1961	1617	69.1%	21.0%	9.9%	+5.1	45
2021-12-26	Dundee	W 2-1	1716	1591	57.2%	26.1%	16.7%	+5.2	27
2021-12-26	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	1591	1716	16.7%	26.1%	57.2%	-5.2	16
2021-12-26	Hibernian	L 1-3	1672	1727	34.4%	29.3%	36.3%	-16.3	25
2021-12-26	@ Dundee United	W 3-1	1727	1672	36.3%	29.3%	34.4%	+16.3	29
2021-12-26	Livingston	W 2-1	1707	1685	44.9%	28.8%	26.3%	+7.7	31
2021-12-26	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	1685	1707	26.3%	28.8%	44.9%	-7.7	20
2021-12-26	Ross County	W 2-1	1783	1669	56.0%	26.5%	17.6%	+5.4	36
2021-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1669	1783	17.6%	26.5%	56.0%	-5.5	18
2021-12-26	St. Mirren	W 2-0	2015	1647	78.3%	15.7%	6.0%	+3.2	51
2021-12-26	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1647	2015	6.0%	15.7%	78.3%	-3.2	19
2022-01-17	Hibernian	W 2-0	1966	1743	66.8%	22.2%	11.0%	+6.7	48
2022-01-17	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1743	1966	11.0%	22.2%	66.8%	-6.7	29
2022-01-18	Dundee	W 2-0	1677	1586	53.4%	27.2%	19.4%	+11.9	23
2022-01-18	@ Livingston	L 0-2	1586	1677	19.4%	27.2%	53.4%	-11.9	16
2022-01-18	Motherwell	W 3-1	1664	1714	34.9%	29.3%	35.8%	+16.8	21
2022-01-18	@ Ross County	L 1-3	1714	1664	35.8%	29.3%	34.9%	-16.8	31
2022-01-18	Rangers	D 1-1	1721	2018	12.0%	23.1%	64.9%	+3.2	28
2022-01-18	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	2018	1721	64.9%	23.1%	12.0%	-3.2	52
2022-01-18	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1788	1611	62.5%	24.1%	13.4%	+8.3	39
2022-01-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1611	1788	13.4%	24.1%	62.5%	-8.3	14
2022-01-18	St. Mirren	L 1-2	1656	1644	43.6%	28.9%	27.5%	-11.2	25
2022-01-18	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	1644	1656	27.5%	28.9%	43.6%	+11.2	22
2022-01-25	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1655	1725	32.3%	29.3%	38.5%	+10.8	25
2022-01-25	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	1725	1655	38.5%	29.3%	32.3%	-10.8	28
2022-01-26	Celtic	L 1-2	1797	1973	20.3%	27.5%	52.2%	-6.2	39
2022-01-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1973	1797	52.2%	27.5%	20.3%	+6.2	51
2022-01-26	Dundee	D 0-0	1603	1574	45.9%	28.6%	25.5%	-1.3	15
2022-01-26	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1574	1603	25.5%	28.6%	45.9%	+1.3	17
2022-01-26	Hibernian	D 0-0	1698	1736	36.6%	29.3%	34.1%	-0.1	32
2022-01-26	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	1736	1698	34.1%	29.3%	36.6%	+0.2	30
2022-01-26	Livingston	W 1-0	2015	1689	75.3%	17.5%	7.1%	+2.1	55
2022-01-26	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1689	2015	7.1%	17.5%	75.3%	-2.1	23
2022-01-26	Ross County	W 2-1	1645	1681	37.0%	29.3%	33.7%	+9.3	28
2022-01-26	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	1681	1645	33.7%	29.3%	37.0%	-9.3	21
2022-01-29	Dundee United	W 1-0	1979	1654	75.2%	17.6%	7.2%	+2.1	54
2022-01-29	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1654	1979	7.2%	17.6%	75.2%	-2.1	28
2022-01-29	Livingston	L 2-3	1736	1687	48.5%	28.2%	23.3%	-11.6	30
2022-01-29	@ Hibernian	W 3-2	1687	1736	23.3%	28.2%	48.5%	+11.6	26
2022-01-29	Motherwell	W 2-0	1791	1697	53.6%	27.1%	19.2%	+11.8	42
2022-01-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1697	1791	19.2%	27.1%	53.6%	-11.8	32
2022-01-29	Rangers	D 3-3	1671	2017	9.8%	20.9%	69.3%	+2.3	22
2022-01-29	@ Ross County	D 3-3	2017	1671	69.3%	20.9%	9.8%	-2.3	56
2022-02-01	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1674	1714	36.4%	29.3%	34.3%	-0.1	23
2022-02-01	@ Ross County	D 1-1	1714	1674	34.3%	29.3%	36.4%	+0.1	29
2022-02-01	Dundee United	D 0-0	1575	1652	31.3%	29.2%	39.5%	+0.5	18
2022-02-01	@ Dundee	D 0-0	1652	1575	39.5%	29.2%	31.3%	-0.5	29
2022-02-01	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1725	1802	31.2%	29.2%	39.6%	+0.5	31
2022-02-01	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	1802	1725	39.6%	29.2%	31.2%	-0.5	43
2022-02-01	Motherwell	D 1-1	1666	1686	39.3%	29.2%	31.5%	-0.4	26
2022-02-01	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1686	1666	31.5%	29.2%	39.3%	+0.4	33
2022-02-01	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	1699	1602	54.0%	27.0%	18.9%	-13.4	26
2022-02-01	@ Livingston	W 2-1	1602	1699	18.9%	27.0%	54.0%	+13.4	18
2022-02-02	Rangers	W 3-0	1981	2015	37.3%	29.3%	33.4%	+26.8	57
2022-02-02	@ Celtic	L 0-3	2015	1981	33.4%	29.3%	37.3%	-26.8	56
2022-02-05	Aberdeen	W 2-1	1685	1714	38.0%	29.3%	32.7%	+9.1	29
2022-02-05	@ Livingston	L 1-2	1714	1685	32.7%	29.3%	38.0%	-9.1	29
2022-02-05	Dundee United	D 0-0	1615	1651	37.0%	29.3%	33.7%	-0.2	19
2022-02-05	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1651	1615	33.7%	29.3%	37.0%	+0.2	30
2022-02-05	Ross County	L 1-2	1576	1673	28.6%	29.0%	42.4%	-8.2	18
2022-02-05	@ Dundee	W 2-1	1673	1576	42.4%	29.0%	28.6%	+8.2	26
2022-02-05	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1725	1665	49.7%	28.0%	22.3%	-13.2	31
2022-02-05	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	1665	1725	22.3%	28.0%	49.7%	+13.2	29
2022-02-06	Celtic	L 0-4	1686	2008	10.8%	22.0%	67.2%	-12.5	33
2022-02-06	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	2008	1686	67.2%	22.0%	10.8%	+12.5	60
2022-02-06	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	1988	1802	63.4%	23.7%	12.9%	+18.6	59
2022-02-06	@ Rangers	L 0-5	1802	1988	12.9%	23.7%	63.4%	-18.6	43
2022-02-09	Celtic	L 2-3	1705	2020	11.2%	22.3%	66.6%	-3.2	29
2022-02-09	@ Aberdeen	W 3-2	2020	1705	66.6%	22.3%	11.2%	+3.2	63
2022-02-09	Dundee	L 1-2	1783	1568	66.1%	22.5%	11.4%	-15.8	43
2022-02-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1568	1783	11.4%	22.5%	66.1%	+15.8	21
2022-02-09	Hibernian	W 2-0	2007	1712	72.9%	18.9%	8.2%	+4.7	62
2022-02-09	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1712	2007	8.2%	18.9%	72.9%	-4.7	31
2022-02-09	Livingston	D 1-1	1682	1694	40.3%	29.2%	30.5%	-0.5	27
2022-02-09	@ Ross County	D 1-1	1694	1682	30.5%	29.2%	40.3%	+0.5	30
2022-02-09	Motherwell	W 2-0	1651	1674	39.0%	29.2%	31.8%	+17.8	33
2022-02-09	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	1674	1651	31.8%	29.2%	39.0%	-17.8	33
2022-02-09	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1679	1615	50.2%	27.9%	21.9%	+6.6	32
2022-02-09	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	1615	1679	21.9%	27.9%	50.2%	-6.6	19
2022-02-15	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1702	1608	53.6%	27.1%	19.2%	-2.0	30
2022-02-15	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	1608	1702	19.2%	27.1%	53.6%	+2.0	20
2022-02-19	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1656	1700	35.9%	29.3%	34.8%	-0.0	34
2022-02-19	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	1700	1656	34.8%	29.3%	35.9%	+0.0	31
2022-02-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1610	1768	22.1%	28.0%	50.0%	+12.5	23
2022-02-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	1768	1610	50.0%	28.0%	22.1%	-12.5	43
2022-02-19	Ross County	W 2-0	1707	1681	45.5%	28.7%	25.8%	+15.2	34
2022-02-19	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1681	1707	25.8%	28.7%	45.5%	-15.2	27
2022-02-19	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1695	1685	43.3%	28.9%	27.8%	-0.8	31
2022-02-19	@ Livingston	D 1-1	1685	1695	27.8%	28.9%	43.3%	+0.9	33
2022-02-20	Dundee	W 3-2	2024	1583	82.9%	12.8%	4.3%	+1.0	66
2022-02-20	@ Celtic	L 2-3	1583	2024	4.3%	12.8%	82.9%	-1.0	21
2022-02-20	Rangers	D 1-1	1669	2011	10.0%	21.1%	68.9%	+3.6	34
2022-02-20	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	2011	1669	68.9%	21.1%	10.0%	-3.6	63
2022-02-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	1700	1673	45.6%	28.7%	25.8%	-1.1	32
2022-02-26	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	1673	1700	25.8%	28.7%	45.6%	+1.1	35
2022-02-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1686	1755	32.4%	29.3%	38.4%	-18.0	33
2022-02-26	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	1755	1686	38.4%	29.3%	32.4%	+18.0	46
2022-02-26	Livingston	L 0-4	1582	1694	26.9%	28.8%	44.2%	-29.8	21
2022-02-26	@ Dundee	W 4-0	1694	1582	44.2%	28.8%	26.9%	+29.8	34
2022-02-26	St. Johnstone	W 3-1	1666	1623	47.6%	28.4%	24.0%	+12.4	30
2022-02-26	@ Ross County	L 1-3	1623	1666	24.0%	28.4%	47.6%	-12.4	23
2022-02-27	Celtic	D 0-0	1723	2025	11.8%	22.9%	65.3%	+3.7	35
2022-02-27	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	2025	1723	65.3%	22.9%	11.8%	-3.7	67
2022-02-27	Motherwell	D 2-2	2008	1656	77.2%	16.4%	6.4%	-3.2	64
2022-02-27	@ Rangers	D 2-2	1656	2008	6.4%	16.4%	77.2%	+3.2	35
2022-03-02	Aberdeen	W 2-0	1773	1699	51.5%	27.6%	20.9%	+12.7	49
2022-03-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1699	1773	20.9%	27.6%	51.5%	-12.7	32
2022-03-02	Dundee United	W 2-1	1724	1674	48.5%	28.2%	23.3%	+7.0	37
2022-03-02	@ Livingston	L 1-2	1674	1724	23.3%	28.2%	48.5%	-7.0	35
2022-03-02	Hibernian	D 0-0	1552	1726	20.5%	27.5%	52.0%	+2.0	22
2022-03-02	@ Dundee	D 0-0	1726	1552	52.0%	27.5%	20.5%	-2.0	36
2022-03-02	Rangers	L 0-1	1611	2005	8.0%	18.8%	73.2%	-2.4	23
2022-03-02	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	2005	1611	73.2%	18.8%	8.0%	+2.5	67
2022-03-02	Ross County	L 0-1	1659	1678	39.3%	29.2%	31.5%	-11.0	35
2022-03-02	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	1678	1659	31.5%	29.2%	39.3%	+11.0	33
2022-03-02	St. Mirren	W 2-0	2021	1668	77.3%	16.4%	6.4%	+3.5	70
2022-03-02	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1668	2021	6.4%	16.4%	77.3%	-3.5	33
2022-03-05	Aberdeen	W 1-0	2007	1686	74.9%	17.8%	7.3%	+2.2	70
2022-03-05	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1686	2007	7.3%	17.8%	74.9%	-2.2	32
2022-03-05	Dundee	D 1-1	1648	1555	53.7%	27.1%	19.2%	-2.0	36
2022-03-05	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	1555	1648	19.2%	27.1%	53.7%	+2.0	23
2022-03-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	1667	1786	26.1%	28.7%	45.2%	+0.8	36
2022-03-05	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	1786	1667	45.2%	28.7%	26.1%	-0.8	50
2022-03-05	St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1724	1608	56.2%	26.4%	17.4%	-2.6	37
2022-03-05	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	1608	1724	17.4%	26.4%	56.2%	+2.6	24
2022-03-05	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1689	1665	45.3%	28.7%	26.0%	+8.1	36
2022-03-05	@ Ross County	L 0-1	1665	1689	26.0%	28.7%	45.3%	-8.1	33
2022-03-06	Celtic	L 1-3	1731	2024	12.2%	23.2%	64.6%	-6.5	37
2022-03-06	@ Livingston	W 3-1	2024	1731	64.6%	23.2%	12.2%	+6.5	73
2022-03-09	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1557	1657	28.3%	29.0%	42.7%	-8.7	23
2022-03-09	@ Dundee	W 1-0	1657	1557	42.7%	29.0%	28.3%	+8.7	36
2022-03-19	Dundee United	L 1-2	1665	1668	41.6%	29.1%	29.3%	-10.8	36
2022-03-19	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1668	1665	29.3%	29.1%	41.6%	+10.9	39
2022-03-19	Hibernian	W 3-1	1684	1722	36.7%	29.3%	34.0%	+16.2	35
2022-03-19	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	1722	1684	34.0%	29.3%	36.7%	-16.2	37
2022-03-19	Livingston	W 2-0	1785	1724	49.8%	28.0%	22.2%	+13.4	53
2022-03-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1724	1785	22.2%	28.0%	49.8%	-13.4	37
2022-03-19	Motherwell	W 2-1	1611	1646	37.1%	29.3%	33.6%	+9.3	27
2022-03-19	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-2	1646	1611	33.6%	29.3%	37.1%	-9.3	36
2022-03-19	Ross County	W 4-0	2031	1697	75.9%	17.2%	6.9%	+7.3	76
2022-03-19	@ Celtic	L 0-4	1697	2031	6.9%	17.2%	75.9%	-7.3	36
2022-03-20	Rangers	L 1-2	1548	2009	6.0%	15.8%	78.2%	-1.6	23
2022-03-20	@ Dundee	W 2-1	2009	1548	78.2%	15.8%	6.0%	+1.6	73
2022-04-02	Aberdeen	D 2-2	1546	1700	22.4%	28.0%	49.6%	+1.2	24
2022-04-02	@ Dundee	D 2-2	1700	1546	49.6%	28.0%	22.4%	-1.2	36
2022-04-02	Dundee United	D 1-1	1705	1679	45.6%	28.7%	25.8%	-1.1	38
2022-04-02	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1679	1705	25.8%	28.7%	45.6%	+1.1	40
2022-04-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1690	1798	27.3%	28.9%	43.8%	+0.9	37
2022-04-02	@ Ross County	D 1-1	1798	1690	43.8%	28.9%	27.3%	-0.9	54
2022-04-02	Livingston	W 1-0	1620	1711	29.5%	29.1%	41.4%	+11.5	30
2022-04-02	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1711	1620	41.4%	29.1%	29.5%	-11.5	37
2022-04-02	St. Mirren	W 4-2	1637	1654	39.6%	29.2%	31.2%	+13.6	39
2022-04-02	@ Motherwell	L 2-4	1654	1637	31.2%	29.2%	39.6%	-13.6	36
2022-04-03	Celtic	L 1-2	2011	2038	38.2%	29.3%	32.5%	-10.2	73
2022-04-03	@ Rangers	W 2-1	2038	2011	32.5%	29.3%	38.2%	+10.2	79
2022-04-09	Dundee	D 2-2	1680	1547	58.0%	25.8%	16.2%	-1.9	41
2022-04-09	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	1547	1680	16.2%	25.8%	58.0%	+1.9	25
2022-04-09	Hibernian	W 3-1	1798	1704	53.6%	27.1%	19.2%	+10.2	57
2022-04-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	1704	1798	19.2%	27.1%	53.6%	-10.2	38
2022-04-09	Motherwell	D 2-2	1699	1650	48.4%	28.2%	23.4%	-1.1	38
2022-04-09	@ Livingston	D 2-2	1650	1699	23.4%	28.2%	48.4%	+1.1	40
2022-04-09	Ross County	L 0-1	1699	1691	43.0%	29.0%	28.0%	-11.8	36
2022-04-09	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	1691	1699	28.0%	29.0%	43.0%	+11.8	40
2022-04-09	St. Johnstone	W 7-0	2048	1631	81.5%	13.7%	4.8%	+8.0	82
2022-04-09	@ Celtic	L 0-7	1631	2048	4.8%	13.7%	81.5%	-8.0	30
2022-04-10	Rangers	L 0-4	1641	2001	9.3%	20.3%	70.4%	-10.4	36
2022-04-10	@ St. Mirren	W 4-0	2001	1641	70.4%	20.3%	9.3%	+10.4	76

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2022-04-23	Hibernian	L 0-1	1630	1694	33.1%	29.3%	37.6%	-9.7	0
2022-04-23	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	1694	1630	37.6%	29.3%	33.1%	+9.7	3
2022-04-23	Livingston	L 1-2	1687	1698	40.4%	29.2%	30.4%	-10.6	0
2022-04-23	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	1698	1687	30.4%	29.2%	40.4%	+10.6	3
2022-04-23	Rangers	L 1-3	1651	2011	9.3%	20.3%	70.4%	-4.7	0
2022-04-23	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	2011	1651	70.4%	20.3%	9.3%	+4.7	3
2022-04-23	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1549	1624	31.6%	29.2%	39.1%	+0.4	1
2022-04-23	@ Dundee	D 1-1	1624	1549	39.1%	29.2%	31.6%	-0.4	1
2022-04-24	Celtic	L 0-2	1703	2056	9.5%	20.6%	69.9%	-5.6	0
2022-04-24	@ Ross County	W 2-0	2056	1703	69.9%	20.6%	9.5%	+5.6	3
2022-04-24	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	1678	1808	24.9%	28.5%	46.6%	-7.0	0
2022-04-24	@ Dundee United	W 3-2	1808	1678	46.6%	28.5%	24.9%	+7.0	3
2022-04-30	Dundee	W 1-0	1676	1550	57.3%	26.0%	16.6%	+5.5	3
2022-04-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	1550	1676	16.6%	26.0%	57.3%	-5.5	1
2022-04-30	Hibernian	W 1-0	1709	1704	42.7%	29.0%	28.3%	+8.7	6
2022-04-30	@ Livingston	L 0-1	1704	1709	28.3%	29.0%	42.7%	-8.7	3
2022-04-30	Motherwell	W 1-0	1671	1646	45.3%	28.7%	26.0%	+8.1	3
2022-04-30	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	1646	1671	26.0%	28.7%	45.3%	-8.1	0
2022-04-30	Ross County	D 0-0	1815	1697	56.4%	26.3%	17.3%	-2.6	4
2022-04-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1697	1815	17.3%	26.3%	56.4%	+2.6	1
2022-04-30	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1623	1621	42.3%	29.0%	28.6%	-11.6	1
2022-04-30	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1621	1623	28.6%	29.0%	42.3%	+11.6	3
2022-05-01	Rangers	D 1-1	2062	2016	48.0%	28.3%	23.6%	-1.4	4
2022-05-01	@ Celtic	D 1-1	2016	2062	23.6%	28.3%	48.0%	+1.4	4
2022-05-07	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1695	1682	43.8%	28.9%	27.3%	-0.9	4
2022-05-07	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1682	1695	27.3%	28.9%	43.8%	+0.9	4
2022-05-07	Dundee	W 2-0	1632	1544	53.1%	27.3%	19.7%	+12.1	6
2022-05-07	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	1544	1632	19.7%	27.3%	53.1%	-12.1	1
2022-05-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	2061	1812	69.0%	21.0%	9.9%	+7.2	7
2022-05-07	@ Celtic	L 1-4	1812	2061	9.9%	21.0%	69.0%	-7.2	4
2022-05-07	Motherwell	L 0-1	1700	1638	49.9%	28.0%	22.1%	-13.3	1
2022-05-07	@ Ross County	W 1-0	1638	1700	22.1%	28.0%	49.9%	+13.3	3
2022-05-07	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1718	1611	55.1%	26.7%	18.2%	-2.2	7
2022-05-07	@ Livingston	D 1-1	1611	1718	18.2%	26.7%	55.1%	+2.2	2
2022-05-08	Dundee United	W 2-0	2017	1679	76.2%	17.0%	6.8%	+3.8	7
2022-05-08	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1679	2017	6.8%	17.0%	76.2%	-3.8	3
2022-05-10	Hibernian	W 3-1	1532	1694	21.6%	27.8%	50.6%	+22.0	4
2022-05-10	@ Dundee	L 1-3	1694	1532	50.6%	27.8%	21.6%	-22.0	4
2022-05-11	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1614	1683	32.3%	29.3%	38.4%	+10.8	5
2022-05-11	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1683	1614	38.4%	29.3%	32.3%	-10.8	4
2022-05-11	Celtic	D 1-1	1675	2068	8.1%	18.8%	73.1%	+4.0	4
2022-05-11	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	2068	1675	73.1%	18.8%	8.1%	-4.0	8
2022-05-11	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1652	1805	22.4%	28.0%	49.5%	+12.5	6
2022-05-11	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	1805	1652	49.5%	28.0%	22.4%	-12.5	4
2022-05-11	Livingston	D 0-0	1644	1715	32.1%	29.2%	38.7%	+0.4	7
2022-05-11	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1715	1644	38.7%	29.2%	32.1%	-0.4	8
2022-05-11	Ross County	W 4-1	2021	1687	75.9%	17.2%	6.9%	+4.7	10
2022-05-11	@ Rangers	L 1-4	1687	2021	6.9%	17.2%	75.9%	-4.7	1
2022-05-14	Dundee United	L 1-2	1682	1679	42.4%	29.0%	28.6%	-11.0	1
2022-05-14	@ Ross County	W 2-1	1679	1682	28.6%	29.0%	42.4%	+11.0	7
2022-05-14	Motherwell	W 6-0	2064	1664	80.4%	14.4%	5.2%	+7.6	11
2022-05-14	@ Celtic	L 0-6	1664	2064	5.2%	14.4%	80.4%	-7.6	6
2022-05-14	Rangers	L 1-3	1792	2026	15.8%	25.6%	58.6%	-8.5	4
2022-05-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	2026	1792	58.6%	25.6%	15.8%	+8.5	13
2022-05-15	Dundee	W 2-1	1715	1554	60.9%	24.8%	14.3%	+4.5	11
2022-05-15	@ Livingston	L 1-2	1554	1715	14.3%	24.8%	60.9%	-4.5	4
2022-05-15	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	1672	1624	48.2%	28.3%	23.5%	+26.7	7
2022-05-15	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	1624	1672	23.5%	28.3%	48.2%	-26.7	5
2022-05-15	St. Mirren	D 0-0	1672	1645	45.6%	28.7%	25.7%	-1.2	5
2022-05-15	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	1645	1672	25.7%	28.7%	45.6%	+1.2	8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-08-07	11.36%	@ Dundee United	1650	1	Rangers	1962	0
2	2022-02-09	11.37%	Dundee	1568	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1783	1
3	2021-09-19	13.96%	@ Livingston	1661	1	Celtic	1923	0
4	2021-10-30	16.34%	Dundee	1557	1	@ St. Mirren	1688	0
5	2021-10-16	17.85%	Dundee United	1680	3	@ Hibernian	1791	0
6	2022-02-01	18.95%	St. Johnstone	1602	2	@ Livingston	1699	1
7	2021-07-31	19.83%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1721	2	Celtic	1902	1
8	2021-10-30	21.58%	St. Johnstone	1661	1	@ Dundee United	1728	0
9	2022-05-10	21.58%	@ Dundee	1532	3	Hibernian	1694	1
10	2022-02-19	22.06%	@ St. Johnstone	1610	2	Heart of Midlothian	1768	1
11	2022-05-07	22.12%	Motherwell	1638	1	@ Ross County	1700	0
12	2022-02-05	22.27%	St. Mirren	1665	1	@ Hibernian	1725	0
13	2021-11-27	22.44%	@ Dundee	1568	3	Motherwell	1721	0
14	2022-05-11	22.44%	@ Motherwell	1652	2	Heart of Midlothian	1805	1
15	2021-10-16	22.85%	Livingston	1647	3	@ St. Johnstone	1701	0
16	2022-01-29	23.31%	Livingston	1687	3	@ Hibernian	1736	2
17	2021-09-18	23.59%	St. Johnstone	1684	1	@ Aberdeen	1731	0
18	2021-11-06	24.27%	Motherwell	1675	2	@ Aberdeen	1716	0
19	2021-08-22	25.03%	Dundee United	1667	1	@ St. Johnstone	1701	0
20	2021-10-27	26.72%	Ross County	1592	5	@ Dundee	1611	0
21	2021-12-11	27.47%	Livingston	1674	1	@ Dundee United	1686	0
22	2022-01-18	27.47%	St. Mirren	1644	2	@ Dundee United	1656	1
23	2021-10-16	27.51%	@ Dundee	1596	2	Aberdeen	1703	1
24	2022-04-09	28.02%	Ross County	1691	1	@ Aberdeen	1699	0
25	2021-08-21	28.32%	Motherwell	1678	2	@ Livingston	1683	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-10-27	53.40	Ross County	5	1592	26.72%	@ Dundee	0	1611	44.47%	28.81%
2	2021-10-16	39.79	Dundee United	3	1680	17.85%	@ Hibernian	0	1791	55.57%	26.58%
3	2021-11-27	36.17	@ Dundee	3	1568	22.44%	Motherwell	0	1721	49.52%	28.04%
4	2021-10-16	35.86	Livingston	3	1647	22.85%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1701	49.01%	28.13%
5	2022-02-26	29.82	Livingston	4	1694	44.22%	@ Dundee	0	1582	26.94%	28.84%
6	2022-02-02	26.83	@ Celtic	3	1981	37.30%	Rangers	0	2015	33.41%	29.29%
7	2022-05-15	26.71	@ Hibernian	4	1672	48.24%	St. Johnstone	0	1624	23.49%	28.27%
8	2021-11-06	23.99	Motherwell	2	1675	24.27%	@ Aberdeen	0	1716	47.31%	28.42%
9	2022-05-10	21.95	@ Dundee	3	1532	21.58%	Hibernian	1	1694	50.60%	27.82%
10	2021-11-20	21.81	@ Motherwell	2	1699	29.02%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1794	41.92%	29.06%
11	2021-09-11	19.64	@ Motherwell	2	1696	34.29%	Aberdeen	0	1751	36.40%	29.31%
12	2022-02-06	18.58	@ Rangers	5	1988	63.39%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1802	12.88%	23.73%
13	2021-08-21	18.38	@ Celtic	6	1906	67.02%	St. Mirren	0	1680	10.92%	22.06%
14	2021-08-28	18.34	Heart of Midlothian	2	1743	37.64%	@ Dundee United	0	1680	33.08%	29.28%
15	2022-02-26	18.05	Heart of Midlothian	2	1755	38.37%	@ St. Mirren	0	1686	32.37%	29.26%
16	2021-12-04	17.95	@ Aberdeen	4	1697	46.84%	St. Mirren	1	1661	24.67%	28.50%
17	2021-09-25	17.84	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1760	52.58%	Livingston	0	1676	20.04%	27.38%
18	2022-02-09	17.82	@ Dundee United	2	1651	38.97%	Motherwell	0	1674	31.80%	29.24%
19	2021-12-01	17.08	@ Aberdeen	2	1680	40.83%	Livingston	0	1689	30.04%	29.14%
20	2022-01-18	16.80	@ Ross County	3	1664	34.91%	Motherwell	1	1714	35.78%	29.31%
21	2021-08-07	16.73	@ Dundee United	1	1650	11.36%	Rangers	0	1962	66.18%	22.46%
22	2021-08-08	16.37	@ Celtic	6	1889	69.13%	Dundee	0	1640	9.88%	20.99%
23	2021-12-26	16.32	Hibernian	3	1727	36.34%	@ Dundee United	1	1672	34.35%	29.31%
24	2022-03-19	16.20	@ Aberdeen	3	1684	36.70%	Hibernian	1	1722	34.00%	29.30%
25	2021-10-31	15.96	Rangers	6	1965	62.60%	@ Motherwell	1	1691	13.33%	24.07%