2020-21 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

102 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ross County

24.56 points above expected

39 points · 63.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

86.99 points below expected

102 points · 188.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers	33	28	5	0	89	78	10	+68	72.69	+16.31
2	Celtic	33	20	9	4	69	66	24	+42	71.71	-2.71
3	Hibernian	33	16	8	9	56	44	31	+13	50.47	+5.53
4	Aberdeen	33	13	10	10	49	32	31	+1	51.37	-2.37
5	Livingston	33	12	8	13	44	40	41	-1	44.12	-0.12
6	St. Johnstone	33	10	10	13	40	34	40	-6	36.93	+3.07
7	St. Mirren	33	10	10	13	40	30	38	-8	37.27	+2.73
8	Dundee United	33	9	12	12	39	29	43	-14	37.16	+1.84
9	Motherwell	33	9	8	16	35	32	51	-19	41.53	-6.53
10	Ross County	33	8	5	20	29	26	59	-33	31.19	-2.19
11	Kilmarnock	33	8	4	21	28	33	47	-14	41.89	-13.89
12	Hamilton Academical	33	6	9	18	27	31	60	-29	30.87	-3.87

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers	38	32	6	0	102	92	13	+79	188.99	-86.99
2	Celtic	38	22	11	5	77	78	29	+49	147.85	-70.85
3	Hibernian	38	18	9	11	63	48	35	+13	117.99	-54.99
4	Aberdeen	38	15	11	12	56	36	38	-2	103.24	-47.24
5	St. Johnstone	38	11	12	15	45	36	46	-10	88.57	-43.57
6	Livingston	38	12	9	17	45	42	54	-12	89.01	-44.01
7	St. Mirren	38	11	12	15	45	37	45	-8	87.82	-42.82
8	Motherwell	38	12	9	17	45	39	55	-16	81.02	-36.02
9	Dundee United	38	10	14	14	44	32	50	-18	81.60	-37.60
10	Ross County	38	11	6	21	39	35	66	-31	63.56	-24.56
11	Kilmarnock	38	10	6	22	36	43	54	-11	62.98	-26.98
12	Hamilton Academical	38	7	9	22	30	34	67	-33	60.11	-30.11

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	2065	102	72.69	+29.31	99.7%	46	62	68	73	77	83	93
Celtic	1977	77	71.71	+5.29	35.9%	46	61	67	72	76	82	93
Hibernian	1775	63	50.47	+12.53	79.6%	24	39	46	50	55	62	77
Aberdeen	1737	56	51.37	+4.63	39.0%	23	39	47	51	56	63	81
St. Johnstone	1694	45	36.93	+8.07	69.7%	12	26	32	37	42	49	63
Livingston	1692	45	44.12	+0.88	52.2%	16	32	39	44	49	56	71
St. Mirren	1675	45	37.27	+7.73	68.0%	12	26	32	37	42	49	68
Motherwell	1670	45	41.53	+3.47	19.7%	16	30	37	41	46	53	72
Kilmarnock	1670	36	41.89	-5.89	2.7%	16	30	37	42	47	54	71
Dundee United	1639	44	37.16	+6.84	62.9%	14	26	32	37	42	49	63
Ross County	1614	39	31.19	+7.81	41.0%	10	21	26	31	36	43	56
Hamilton Academical	1587	30	30.87	-0.87	31.8%	10	20	26	31	35	42	62

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DU	HA	HIB	KIL	LIV	MOT	RAN	RC	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	0-2-2 2.62	0-2-1 5.42	1-2-0 5.92	2-0-2 5.36	3-0-0 5.03	2-1-1 6.05	1-1-1 5.23	0-0-4 2.77	2-0-1 5.94	3-1-0 6.95	1-2-0 5.48
Celtic	2-2-0 8.52	—	2-1-0 6.89	3-0-0 7.26	1-3-0 8.36	2-1-0 6.61	2-2-0 8.79	3-0-0 6.63	0-1-3 4.98	2-0-1 7.34	3-1-0 9.32	2-0-1 6.93
Dundee United	1-2-0 2.83	0-1-2 1.55	—	2-2-0 6.27	0-1-2 2.85	1-1-2 5.32	1-0-2 3.41	1-2-1 4.83	0-0-3 1.36	3-0-1 6.12	0-3-0 4.23	1-2-1 5.53
Hamilton Academical	0-2-1 2.37	0-0-3 1.26	0-2-2 4.68	—	0-0-3 2.36	1-0-3 4.07	1-0-2 3.01	3-0-1 4.20	0-1-2 1.23	1-0-3 5.47	0-2-1 3.55	1-2-1 4.43
Hibernian	2-0-2 5.58	0-3-1 2.75	2-1-0 5.40	3-0-0 5.94	—	3-0-0 4.51	2-1-1 6.28	1-1-1 5.07	0-1-3 2.63	1-1-1 6.05	1-1-2 6.95	3-0-0 5.36
Kilmarnock	0-0-3 3.20	0-1-2 1.78	2-1-1 5.62	3-0-1 6.91	0-0-3 3.70	—	1-0-2 3.88	2-0-2 5.17	0-0-3 1.68	1-2-1 6.58	0-0-3 4.79	1-2-1 5.85
Livingston	1-1-2 4.90	0-2-2 2.39	2-0-1 4.81	2-0-1 5.22	1-1-2 4.67	2-0-1 4.33	—	0-1-2 4.19	0-1-3 2.18	2-1-0 5.19	2-1-1 6.14	0-1-2 4.78
Motherwell	1-1-1 3.00	0-0-3 1.76	1-2-1 6.12	1-0-3 6.77	1-1-1 3.17	2-0-2 5.77	2-1-0 4.02	—	0-1-2 1.62	2-0-2 6.68	1-1-1 4.49	1-2-1 5.48
Rangers	4-0-0 8.37	3-1-0 5.97	3-0-0 7.13	2-1-0 7.30	3-1-0 8.52	3-0-0 6.74	3-1-0 9.06	2-1-0 6.82	—	3-0-0 7.41	3-1-0 9.47	3-0-0 7.01
Ross County	1-0-2 2.36	1-0-2 1.20	1-0-3 4.83	3-0-1 5.47	1-1-1 2.27	1-2-1 4.38	0-1-2 3.06	2-0-2 4.29	0-0-3 1.14	—	1-1-1 3.34	0-1-3 4.43
St. Johnstone	0-1-3 4.04	0-1-3 1.96	0-3-0 3.98	1-2-0 4.66	2-1-1 4.03	3-0-0 3.43	1-1-2 4.82	1-1-1 3.72	0-1-3 1.84	1-1-1 4.88	—	2-0-1 4.11
St. Mirren	0-2-1 2.78	1-0-2 1.52	1-2-1 5.41	1-2-1 6.54	0-0-3 2.89	1-2-1 5.10	2-1-0 3.43	1-2-1 5.47	0-0-3 1.46	3-1-0 6.54	1-0-2 4.10	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+9.7
Allowed	0.89	-12.3
Differential	0.95	+6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.77%	10.31%	7.89%	3.95%	2.19%	0.88%	33.99%
1	10.31%	11.40%	7.24%	1.32%	1.54%	0.66%	32.46%
2	7.89%	7.24%	3.95%	1.10%	0.22%	—	20.39%
3	3.95%	1.32%	1.10%	0.88%	—	0.22%	7.46%
4	2.19%	1.54%	0.22%	—	—	—	3.95%
5+	0.88%	0.66%	—	0.22%	—	—	1.75%
Total	33.99%	32.46%	20.39%	7.46%	3.95%	1.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.21	+0.00
SD	1.24	1.24	1.93
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	44.74%
1	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	10.53%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.74%	31.58%	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.00	-0.05
SD	1.06	1.23	1.66
CV	1.12	1.23	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	7.89%	13.16%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	10.53%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	50.00%	31.58%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	0.76	+1.29
SD	1.56	0.97	1.99
CV	0.76	1.27	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.42%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	42.11%
1	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	—	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	28.95%	21.05%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.84	1.32	-0.47
SD	0.86	1.36	1.70
CV	1.02	1.03	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	42.11%
1	5.26%	15.79%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	36.84%
2	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	13.16%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%	5.26%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	34.21%	28.95%	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.76	-0.87
SD	1.01	1.67	1.98
CV	1.13	0.95	—
Max	4	8	+3
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
1	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.47%	34.21%	21.05%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	0.92	+0.34
SD	1.18	0.91	1.65
CV	0.93	0.99	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	21.05%	21.05%	—	2.63%	—	44.74%
1	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	18.42%
2	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	39.47%	34.21%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.13	1.42	-0.29
SD	1.26	0.95	1.75
CV	1.11	0.67	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	31.58%
1	2.63%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	28.95%	23.68%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.42	-0.32
SD	0.92	1.35	1.82
CV	0.84	0.95	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	34.21%
1	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	39.47%
2	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	28.95%	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.45	-0.42
SD	1.00	1.41	1.93
CV	0.97	0.97	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
1	21.05%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	31.58%
2	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
4	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	68.42%	28.95%	2.63%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	0.34	+2.08
SD	1.59	0.53	1.70
CV	0.66	1.56	—
Max	8	2	+8
Min	0	0	+0

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	39.47%
1	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	26.32%	34.21%	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.74	-0.82
SD	0.97	1.33	1.90
CV	1.05	0.77	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
1	15.79%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	—	39.47%
2	—	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	36.84%	21.05%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.21	-0.26
SD	1.09	1.07	1.39
CV	1.15	0.88	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	36.84%
1	13.16%	18.42%	13.16%	—	—	—	44.74%
2	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	39.47%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.18	-0.21
SD	1.10	1.06	1.56
CV	1.13	0.90	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ross County	39	63.56	-24.56
2	Kilmarnock	36	62.98	-26.98
3	Hamilton Academical	30	60.11	-30.11
4	Motherwell	45	81.02	-36.02
5	Dundee United	44	81.60	-37.60

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rangers	102	188.99	-86.99
2	Celtic	77	147.85	-70.85
3	Hibernian	63	117.99	-54.99
4	Aberdeen	56	103.24	-47.24
5	Livingston	45	89.01	-44.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rangers	15	Sep 27 – Jan 10	1 in 882
2	Livingston	6	Dec 5 – Jan 10	1 in 231
3	Ross County	3	May 1 – May 16	1 in 40
4	Aberdeen	4	Aug 20 – Sep 12	1 in 29
5	Motherwell	3	Apr 10 – May 1	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kilmarnock	8	Jan 16 – Feb 20	1 in 381
2	St. Mirren	6	Aug 29 – Oct 2	1 in 72
3	Hibernian	3	Dec 26 – Jan 2	1 in 44
4	Ross County	6	Nov 21 – Dec 26	1 in 29
5	St. Johnstone	4	Sep 12 – Oct 4	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Livingston	11	Dec 5 – Feb 2	1 in 351
2	Rangers	38	Aug 1 – May 15	1 in 316
3	St. Johnstone	6	Oct 17 – Dec 6	1 in 64
4	St. Mirren	5	Nov 6 – Dec 19	1 in 21
5	Hamilton Academical	3	Feb 7 – Feb 17	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	12	Nov 8 – Jan 23	1 in 129
2	Kilmarnock	10	Jan 16 – Mar 6	1 in 34
3	Celtic	4	Jan 2 – Jan 20	1 in 33
4	St. Johnstone	10	Nov 21 – Jan 12	1 in 32
5	Ross County	12	Sep 27 – Dec 26	1 in 19

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	55.50%	41.61%	2.51%	0.33%	0.04%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	43.84%	52.21%	3.29%	0.52%	0.09%	0.05%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	0.22%	2.49%	33.12%	25.87%	15.91%	9.70%	5.63%	3.28%	1.98%	1.06%	0.54%	0.20%
Aberdeen	0.38%	2.91%	36.90%	25.89%	15.01%	7.96%	4.92%	3.29%	1.35%	0.93%	0.38%	0.08%
St. Johnstone	—	0.04%	1.38%	3.68%	6.47%	9.76%	12.32%	14.32%	15.21%	15.43%	12.60%	8.79%
Livingston	0.03%	0.31%	9.43%	15.72%	18.01%	16.34%	13.87%	10.04%	7.13%	4.72%	3.19%	1.21%
St. Mirren	—	0.03%	1.48%	3.84%	7.47%	10.13%	12.79%	13.83%	15.14%	14.60%	12.58%	8.11%
Motherwell	0.01%	0.12%	4.69%	9.53%	13.18%	14.98%	14.83%	13.58%	11.92%	8.52%	6.02%	2.62%
Dundee United	—	0.03%	1.54%	3.61%	7.14%	9.67%	12.00%	14.69%	14.75%	14.70%	12.94%	8.93%
Ross County	—	—	0.11%	0.67%	1.64%	2.92%	4.50%	7.08%	10.91%	15.56%	23.17%	33.44%
Kilmarnock	0.02%	0.25%	5.42%	9.84%	13.76%	15.77%	14.45%	12.98%	11.28%	8.56%	5.22%	2.45%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	0.13%	0.50%	1.28%	2.71%	4.69%	6.91%	10.33%	15.92%	23.36%	34.17%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rangers	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	—	100.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hibernian	—	—	97.14%	2.86%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aberdeen	—	—	2.82%	88.21%	8.77%	0.20%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Johnstone	—	—	0.04%	8.15%	74.24%	17.57%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Livingston	—	—	—	0.78%	16.99%	82.23%	—	—	—	—	—	—
St. Mirren	—	—	—	—	—	—	63.57%	28.28%	8.02%	0.13%	—	—
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	—	—	29.93%	49.92%	19.54%	0.61%	—	—
Dundee United	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.49%	21.21%	63.36%	7.74%	1.12%	0.08%
Ross County	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.28%	3.34%	35.83%	35.77%	24.77%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.27%	4.29%	38.41%	34.04%	22.99%
Hamilton Academical	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.04%	1.45%	17.28%	29.07%	52.16%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+2.19%

No Edge

38.60%25.00%36.40%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 7.62 Elo pts.

168 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.11 goals

Neutral

-2+0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

56%

Rangers, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.66/gm

Comfortable

00.191/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.57 * Some Luck: 5.57 to 8.35 * Lucky: 8.35 to 11.14 * Wild Swing: 11.14 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.22 * Close: 1.22 to 1.83 * Off: 1.83 to 2.44 * Way Off: 2.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.98 points

Some Luck

06.9617

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.534

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.70%

Rangers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.71%

Kilmarnock

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.17

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

63%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

93%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Frequent

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.05

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.85

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.25

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.26

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.086

Well Within Noise

00.1160.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Celtic	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
Aberdeen	99.63%	0.28%	0.09%
Hibernian	99.46%	0.41%	0.13%
Livingston	96.54%	2.55%	0.91%
Kilmarnock	90.99%	5.97%	3.04%
Motherwell	90.83%	6.11%	3.06%
St. Mirren	80.93%	11.80%	7.27%
St. Johnstone	80.44%	12.07%	7.49%
Dundee United	79.36%	12.17%	8.47%
Hamilton Academical	40.80%	24.53%	34.67%
Ross County	41.02%	24.11%	34.87%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen	100%	—	—
Celtic	100%	—	—
Hibernian	100%	—	—
Livingston	100%	—	—
Motherwell	100%	—	—
Rangers	100%	—	—
St. Johnstone	100%	—	—
St. Mirren	100%	—	—
Dundee United	98.80%	1.12%	0.08%
Kilmarnock	42.97%	34.04%	22.99%
Ross County	39.46%	35.77%	24.77%
Hamilton Academical	18.77%	29.07%	52.16%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2020-08-01	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1736	1720	40.0%	26.4%	33.5%	+6.6	3
2020-08-01	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	1720	1736	33.5%	26.4%	40.0%	-6.6	0
2020-08-01	Livingston	W 1-0	1661	1726	29.1%	26.1%	44.8%	+8.7	3
2020-08-01	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	1726	1661	44.8%	26.1%	29.1%	-8.7	0
2020-08-01	Rangers	L 0-1	1762	1889	22.4%	24.9%	52.7%	-5.0	0
2020-08-01	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	1889	1762	52.7%	24.9%	22.4%	+5.0	3
2020-08-01	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1678	1677	38.0%	26.5%	35.5%	-0.1	1
2020-08-01	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	1677	1678	35.5%	26.5%	38.0%	+0.1	1
2020-08-02	Hamilton Academical	W 5-1	1932	1640	71.4%	18.2%	10.4%	+6.7	3
2020-08-02	@ Celtic	L 1-5	1640	1932	10.4%	18.2%	71.4%	-6.7	0
2020-08-03	Motherwell	W 1-0	1647	1726	27.4%	25.9%	46.7%	+9.0	3
2020-08-03	@ Ross County	L 0-1	1726	1647	46.7%	25.9%	27.4%	-9.0	0
2020-08-08	Dundee United	L 0-1	1717	1678	43.3%	26.2%	30.4%	-8.5	0
2020-08-08	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	1678	1717	30.4%	26.2%	43.3%	+8.5	4
2020-08-08	Hibernian	L 1-4	1717	1742	34.3%	26.5%	39.2%	-16.4	0
2020-08-08	@ Livingston	W 4-1	1742	1717	39.2%	26.5%	34.3%	+16.4	6
2020-08-08	Ross County	L 0-1	1633	1656	34.6%	26.5%	38.9%	-7.2	0
2020-08-08	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	1656	1633	38.9%	26.5%	34.6%	+7.2	6
2020-08-09	Celtic	D 1-1	1713	1939	14.7%	21.6%	63.7%	+2.1	1
2020-08-09	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1939	1713	63.7%	21.6%	14.7%	-2.1	4
2020-08-09	St. Mirren	W 3-0	1894	1670	65.1%	21.0%	13.9%	+8.5	6
2020-08-09	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1670	1894	13.9%	21.0%	65.1%	-8.5	3
2020-08-11	Hibernian	L 0-1	1687	1759	28.3%	26.0%	45.7%	-6.1	4
2020-08-11	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	1759	1687	45.7%	26.0%	28.3%	+6.1	9
2020-08-12	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	1663	1716	30.6%	26.3%	43.1%	+0.4	7
2020-08-12	@ Ross County	D 2-2	1716	1663	43.1%	26.3%	30.6%	-0.4	2
2020-08-12	Livingston	D 2-2	1709	1701	39.0%	26.5%	34.5%	-0.1	1
2020-08-12	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	1701	1709	34.5%	26.5%	39.0%	+0.1	1
2020-08-12	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	1903	1678	65.1%	21.0%	13.8%	+8.5	9
2020-08-12	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1678	1903	13.8%	21.0%	65.1%	-8.5	1
2020-08-15	Dundee United	L 1-2	1663	1681	35.4%	26.5%	38.1%	-6.8	7
2020-08-15	@ Ross County	W 2-1	1681	1663	38.1%	26.5%	35.4%	+6.9	7
2020-08-15	Motherwell	D 0-0	1765	1709	45.6%	26.0%	28.4%	-0.8	10
2020-08-15	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	1709	1765	28.4%	26.0%	45.6%	+0.8	2
2020-08-15	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	1715	1669	44.3%	26.2%	29.5%	-8.1	2
2020-08-15	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1669	1715	29.5%	26.2%	44.3%	+8.1	4
2020-08-15	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1626	1661	32.9%	26.4%	40.6%	-6.9	0
2020-08-15	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	1661	1626	40.6%	26.4%	32.9%	+6.9	6
2020-08-16	Rangers	D 0-0	1701	1911	15.7%	22.2%	62.1%	+2.3	2
2020-08-16	@ Livingston	D 0-0	1911	1701	62.1%	22.2%	15.7%	-2.3	10
2020-08-20	Aberdeen	L 0-1	1677	1757	27.3%	25.9%	46.8%	-6.0	4
2020-08-20	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1757	1677	46.8%	25.9%	27.3%	+6.0	3
2020-08-22	Celtic	L 0-1	1688	1937	13.3%	20.6%	66.0%	-3.0	7
2020-08-22	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	1937	1688	66.0%	20.6%	13.3%	+3.0	7
2020-08-22	Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	1709	1619	50.1%	25.4%	24.5%	-9.5	2
2020-08-22	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	1619	1709	24.5%	25.4%	50.1%	+9.5	3
2020-08-22	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1909	1707	62.8%	21.9%	15.3%	+6.5	13
2020-08-22	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1707	1909	15.3%	21.9%	62.8%	-6.5	2
2020-08-22	Ross County	D 1-1	1668	1656	39.5%	26.5%	34.0%	-0.2	7
2020-08-22	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1656	1668	34.0%	26.5%	39.5%	+0.2	8
2020-08-23	Hibernian	L 0-1	1671	1764	25.9%	25.7%	48.4%	-5.7	4
2020-08-23	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1764	1671	48.4%	25.7%	25.9%	+5.7	13
2020-08-23	Livingston	W 2-1	1763	1703	46.2%	26.0%	27.9%	+5.7	6
2020-08-23	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	1703	1763	27.9%	26.0%	46.2%	-5.7	2
2020-08-29	Dundee United	W 4-0	1701	1685	40.1%	26.4%	33.5%	+25.0	5
2020-08-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-4	1685	1701	33.5%	26.4%	40.1%	-25.0	7
2020-08-29	Rangers	L 0-2	1629	1915	11.4%	19.1%	69.5%	-4.7	3
2020-08-29	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	1915	1629	69.5%	19.1%	11.4%	+4.7	16
2020-08-29	Ross County	W 1-0	1697	1657	43.5%	26.2%	30.2%	+6.5	5
2020-08-29	@ Livingston	L 0-1	1657	1697	30.2%	26.2%	43.5%	-6.5	8
2020-08-29	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1666	1668	37.5%	26.5%	36.0%	+7.4	7
2020-08-29	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1668	1666	36.0%	26.5%	37.5%	-7.4	7
2020-08-30	Aberdeen	L 0-1	1770	1769	37.9%	26.5%	35.6%	-7.7	13
2020-08-30	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	1769	1770	35.6%	26.5%	37.9%	+7.7	9
2020-08-30	Motherwell	W 3-0	1940	1700	66.6%	20.4%	13.0%	+7.9	10
2020-08-30	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1700	1940	13.0%	20.4%	66.6%	-7.9	2
2020-09-12	Celtic	L 0-5	1650	1948	10.9%	18.6%	70.5%	-10.5	8
2020-09-12	@ Ross County	W 5-0	1948	1650	70.5%	18.6%	10.9%	+10.5	13
2020-09-12	Dundee United	W 4-0	1920	1660	68.5%	19.5%	11.9%	+9.4	19
2020-09-12	@ Rangers	L 0-4	1660	1920	11.9%	19.5%	68.5%	-9.4	7
2020-09-12	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	1704	1624	48.7%	25.6%	25.6%	-8.8	5
2020-09-12	@ Livingston	W 2-1	1624	1704	25.6%	25.6%	48.7%	+8.8	6
2020-09-12	Hibernian	L 0-3	1661	1762	25.0%	25.5%	49.5%	-15.1	7
2020-09-12	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	1762	1661	49.5%	25.5%	25.0%	+15.1	16
2020-09-12	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1777	1726	44.9%	26.1%	28.9%	+6.2	12
2020-09-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	1726	1777	28.9%	26.1%	44.9%	-6.2	5
2020-09-12	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1692	1673	40.6%	26.4%	33.0%	+6.9	5
2020-09-12	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1673	1692	33.0%	26.4%	40.6%	-6.9	7
2020-09-16	Celtic	L 1-2	1645	1958	10.2%	17.9%	71.8%	-2.1	7
2020-09-16	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1958	1645	71.8%	17.9%	10.2%	+2.1	16
2020-09-19	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	1719	1633	49.6%	25.5%	24.9%	+5.2	8
2020-09-19	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	1633	1719	24.9%	25.5%	49.6%	-5.2	6
2020-09-19	Livingston	W 3-2	1960	1695	69.0%	19.3%	11.7%	+2.3	19
2020-09-19	@ Celtic	L 2-3	1695	1960	11.7%	19.3%	69.0%	-2.3	5
2020-09-19	Ross County	L 0-1	1666	1640	41.5%	26.4%	32.1%	-8.2	7
2020-09-19	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1640	1666	32.1%	26.4%	41.5%	+8.2	11
2020-09-19	St. Mirren	W 2-1	1650	1643	38.8%	26.5%	34.7%	+6.8	10
2020-09-19	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	1643	1650	34.7%	26.5%	38.8%	-6.8	7
2020-09-20	Motherwell	L 0-3	1783	1699	49.2%	25.5%	25.2%	-25.8	12
2020-09-20	@ Aberdeen	W 3-0	1699	1783	25.2%	25.5%	49.2%	+25.8	8
2020-09-20	Rangers	D 2-2	1777	1930	20.1%	24.2%	55.8%	+1.1	17
2020-09-20	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	1930	1777	55.8%	24.2%	20.1%	-1.1	20
2020-09-26	Dundee United	D 1-1	1628	1657	33.7%	26.5%	39.8%	+0.2	7
2020-09-26	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	1657	1628	39.8%	26.5%	33.7%	-0.2	11
2020-09-26	Kilmarnock	L 0-1	1637	1724	26.4%	25.8%	47.8%	-5.8	7
2020-09-26	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	1724	1637	47.8%	25.8%	26.4%	+5.8	11
2020-09-26	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1693	1658	42.8%	26.3%	30.9%	+12.4	8
2020-09-26	@ Livingston	L 0-2	1658	1693	30.9%	26.3%	42.8%	-12.4	7
2020-09-27	Aberdeen	L 0-3	1648	1757	24.2%	25.3%	50.5%	-14.7	11
2020-09-27	@ Ross County	W 3-0	1757	1648	50.5%	25.3%	24.2%	+14.7	15
2020-09-27	Hibernian	W 3-0	1963	1778	61.0%	22.6%	16.4%	+10.2	22
2020-09-27	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1778	1963	16.4%	22.6%	61.0%	-10.2	17
2020-09-27	Rangers	L 1-5	1725	1928	16.2%	22.4%	61.4%	-10.9	8
2020-09-27	@ Motherwell	W 5-1	1928	1725	61.4%	22.4%	16.2%	+10.9	23
2020-10-02	Hamilton Academical	W 3-2	1768	1628	56.1%	24.1%	19.8%	+4.0	20
2020-10-02	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	1628	1768	19.8%	24.1%	56.1%	-4.0	7
2020-10-02	Livingston	L 1-2	1657	1705	31.2%	26.3%	42.5%	-6.2	11
2020-10-02	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	1705	1657	42.5%	26.3%	31.2%	+6.2	11
2020-10-02	St. Mirren	W 2-1	1772	1631	56.2%	24.1%	19.8%	+4.2	18
2020-10-02	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	1631	1772	19.8%	24.1%	56.2%	-4.2	7
2020-10-04	Celtic	L 0-2	1645	1973	9.6%	17.3%	73.1%	-3.9	7
2020-10-04	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1973	1645	73.1%	17.3%	9.6%	+3.9	25
2020-10-04	Ross County	W 2-0	1939	1633	72.6%	17.6%	9.8%	+4.0	26
2020-10-04	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1633	1939	9.8%	17.6%	72.6%	-4.0	11
2020-10-17	Aberdeen	D 0-0	1650	1776	22.5%	24.9%	52.5%	+1.4	12
2020-10-17	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	1776	1650	52.5%	24.9%	22.5%	-1.4	19
2020-10-17	Hibernian	D 0-0	1629	1772	20.9%	24.5%	54.6%	+1.6	12
2020-10-17	@ Ross County	D 0-0	1772	1629	54.6%	24.5%	20.9%	-1.6	21
2020-10-17	Kilmarnock	L 1-3	1711	1730	35.1%	26.5%	38.4%	-11.8	11
2020-10-17	@ Livingston	W 3-1	1730	1711	38.4%	26.5%	35.1%	+11.8	14
2020-10-17	Rangers	L 0-2	1977	1943	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	-15.8	25
2020-10-17	@ Celtic	W 2-0	1943	1977	31.1%	26.3%	42.5%	+15.8	29
2020-10-17	St. Johnstone	L 3-5	1624	1642	35.3%	26.5%	38.2%	-10.0	7
2020-10-17	@ Hamilton Academical	W 5-3	1642	1624	38.2%	26.5%	35.3%	+10.0	10
2020-10-20	Hamilton Academical	W 4-2	1774	1614	58.4%	23.4%	18.2%	+6.0	22
2020-10-20	@ Aberdeen	L 2-4	1614	1774	18.2%	23.4%	58.4%	-6.0	7
2020-10-24	Dundee United	D 0-0	1652	1652	37.8%	26.5%	35.7%	-0.1	11
2020-10-24	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1652	1652	35.7%	26.5%	37.8%	+0.1	13
2020-10-24	Hibernian	L 0-1	1742	1770	33.9%	26.5%	39.7%	-7.0	14
2020-10-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1770	1742	39.7%	26.5%	33.9%	+7.0	24
2020-10-24	Ross County	W 4-0	1714	1631	49.1%	25.6%	25.3%	+20.0	11
2020-10-24	@ Motherwell	L 0-4	1631	1714	25.3%	25.6%	49.1%	-20.0	12
2020-10-25	Celtic	D 3-3	1780	1961	17.8%	23.3%	58.9%	+1.1	23
2020-10-25	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	1961	1780	58.9%	23.3%	17.8%	-1.1	26
2020-10-25	Livingston	W 2-0	1959	1700	68.4%	19.6%	12.0%	+5.0	32
2020-10-25	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1700	1959	12.0%	19.6%	68.4%	-5.0	11
2020-10-31	Motherwell	L 0-2	1695	1734	32.4%	26.4%	41.2%	-12.8	11
2020-10-31	@ Livingston	W 2-0	1734	1695	41.2%	26.4%	32.4%	+12.8	14
2020-10-31	Ross County	W 2-1	1652	1611	43.6%	26.2%	30.2%	+6.1	16
2020-10-31	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	1611	1652	30.2%	26.2%	43.6%	-6.1	12
2020-11-01	Rangers	L 0-1	1735	1964	14.5%	21.5%	64.0%	-3.3	14
2020-11-01	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1964	1735	64.0%	21.5%	14.5%	+3.3	35
2020-11-06	Dundee United	D 0-0	1627	1658	33.4%	26.4%	40.1%	+0.3	8
2020-11-06	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1658	1627	40.1%	26.4%	33.4%	-0.3	17
2020-11-06	Hibernian	W 2-0	1782	1777	38.4%	26.5%	35.1%	+13.6	26
2020-11-06	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	1777	1782	35.1%	26.5%	38.4%	-13.6	24
2020-11-06	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1651	1732	27.3%	25.9%	46.8%	+9.0	14
2020-11-06	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1732	1651	46.8%	25.9%	27.3%	-9.0	14
2020-11-06	Livingston	D 1-1	1605	1682	27.7%	25.9%	46.4%	+0.8	13
2020-11-06	@ Ross County	D 1-1	1682	1605	46.4%	25.9%	27.7%	-0.8	12
2020-11-08	Celtic	L 1-4	1747	1960	15.5%	22.1%	62.4%	-8.1	14
2020-11-08	@ Motherwell	W 4-1	1960	1747	62.4%	22.1%	15.5%	+8.1	29
2020-11-08	Hamilton Academical	W 8-0	1967	1608	76.9%	15.3%	7.8%	+11.1	38
2020-11-08	@ Rangers	L 0-8	1608	1967	7.8%	15.3%	76.9%	-11.1	7
2020-11-21	Celtic	D 2-2	1764	1968	16.1%	22.4%	61.5%	+1.5	25
2020-11-21	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	1968	1764	61.5%	22.4%	16.1%	-1.5	30
2020-11-21	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	1658	1597	46.3%	26.0%	27.8%	+5.7	20
2020-11-21	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	1597	1658	27.8%	26.0%	46.3%	-5.7	7
2020-11-21	Motherwell	D 1-1	1660	1738	27.6%	25.9%	46.5%	+0.8	15
2020-11-21	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1738	1660	46.5%	25.9%	27.6%	-0.8	15
2020-11-21	Ross County	W 3-1	1723	1606	53.4%	24.8%	21.9%	+8.0	17
2020-11-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-3	1606	1723	21.9%	24.8%	53.4%	-8.0	13
2020-11-21	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1681	1627	45.4%	26.1%	28.6%	-8.8	12
2020-11-21	@ Livingston	W 1-0	1627	1681	28.6%	26.1%	45.4%	+8.8	11
2020-11-22	Aberdeen	W 4-0	1978	1795	60.9%	22.6%	16.5%	+13.4	41
2020-11-22	@ Rangers	L 0-4	1795	1978	16.5%	22.6%	60.9%	-13.4	26
2020-11-24	St. Johnstone	D 2-2	1765	1661	51.8%	25.1%	23.1%	-0.9	26
2020-11-24	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	1661	1765	23.1%	25.1%	51.8%	+0.9	16
2020-11-25	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1591	1782	17.1%	22.9%	60.0%	+1.9	8
2020-11-25	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	1782	1591	60.0%	22.9%	17.1%	-1.9	27
2020-12-05	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1636	1780	20.8%	24.4%	54.8%	+1.5	12
2020-12-05	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1780	1636	54.8%	24.4%	20.8%	-1.4	28
2020-12-05	Dundee United	W 2-0	1672	1663	39.1%	26.5%	34.4%	+13.5	15
2020-12-05	@ Livingston	L 0-2	1663	1672	34.4%	26.5%	39.1%	-13.5	20
2020-12-05	Hibernian	L 0-3	1738	1764	34.1%	26.5%	39.5%	-19.4	15
2020-12-05	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	1764	1738	39.5%	26.5%	34.1%	+19.4	29
2020-12-05	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1593	1731	21.4%	24.6%	54.0%	+10.2	11
2020-12-05	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-1	1731	1593	54.0%	24.6%	21.4%	-10.2	17
2020-12-06	Rangers	L 0-4	1598	1992	7.2%	14.5%	78.3%	-5.2	13
2020-12-06	@ Ross County	W 4-0	1992	1598	78.3%	14.5%	7.2%	+5.2	44
2020-12-06	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1966	1662	72.4%	17.7%	9.9%	-2.8	31
2020-12-06	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1662	1966	9.9%	17.7%	72.4%	+2.8	17
2020-12-12	Hibernian	L 0-4	1603	1784	17.8%	23.3%	58.9%	-14.4	11
2020-12-12	@ Hamilton Academical	W 4-0	1784	1603	58.9%	23.3%	17.8%	+14.5	32
2020-12-12	Livingston	L 1-2	1665	1686	34.9%	26.5%	38.6%	-6.8	17
2020-12-12	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1686	1665	38.6%	26.5%	34.9%	+6.8	18
2020-12-12	Ross County	W 2-0	1779	1592	61.2%	22.5%	16.3%	+7.0	31
2020-12-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	1592	1779	16.3%	22.5%	61.2%	-7.0	13
2020-12-12	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1718	1637	48.9%	25.6%	25.5%	-9.3	15
2020-12-12	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	1637	1718	25.5%	25.6%	48.9%	+9.3	15
2020-12-13	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1964	1721	66.9%	20.3%	12.8%	+5.4	34
2020-12-13	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1721	1964	12.8%	20.3%	66.9%	-5.4	17
2020-12-13	Rangers	L 1-2	1650	1997	8.8%	16.5%	74.7%	-1.8	20
2020-12-13	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	1997	1650	74.7%	16.5%	8.8%	+1.8	47
2020-12-19	Dundee United	D 1-1	1798	1648	57.2%	23.8%	19.0%	-1.6	33
2020-12-19	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1648	1798	19.0%	23.8%	57.2%	+1.6	21
2020-12-19	Hamilton Academical	L 0-2	1585	1589	37.4%	26.5%	36.1%	-14.3	13
2020-12-19	@ Ross County	W 2-0	1589	1585	36.1%	26.5%	37.4%	+14.3	14
2020-12-19	Motherwell	W 3-1	1999	1709	71.2%	18.3%	10.5%	+3.7	50
2020-12-19	@ Rangers	L 1-3	1709	1999	10.5%	18.3%	71.2%	-3.7	15
2020-12-19	St. Johnstone	W 3-2	1647	1658	36.2%	26.5%	37.3%	+6.8	18
2020-12-19	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	1658	1647	37.3%	26.5%	36.2%	-6.8	17
2020-12-20	Aberdeen	L 0-2	1715	1785	28.5%	26.1%	45.5%	-11.6	17
2020-12-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1785	1715	45.5%	26.1%	28.5%	+11.6	34
2020-12-23	Aberdeen	D 0-0	1705	1797	26.0%	25.7%	48.3%	+1.0	16
2020-12-23	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	1797	1705	48.3%	25.7%	26.0%	-1.0	35
2020-12-23	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1650	1704	30.5%	26.3%	43.2%	+16.0	24
2020-12-23	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	1704	1650	43.2%	26.3%	30.5%	-16.0	17
2020-12-23	Livingston	L 0-2	1603	1692	26.2%	25.7%	48.0%	-10.8	14
2020-12-23	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	1692	1603	48.0%	25.7%	26.2%	+10.8	21
2020-12-23	Rangers	L 0-3	1651	2003	8.7%	16.3%	75.0%	-5.0	17
2020-12-23	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	2003	1651	75.0%	16.3%	8.7%	+5.0	53
2020-12-23	Ross County	W 2-0	1969	1571	79.7%	13.7%	6.6%	+2.5	37
2020-12-23	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1571	1969	6.6%	13.7%	79.7%	-2.5	13
2020-12-23	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1796	1653	56.4%	24.0%	19.6%	+4.4	36
2020-12-23	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	1653	1796	19.6%	24.0%	56.4%	-4.4	18
2020-12-26	Celtic	L 0-3	1592	1972	7.7%	15.1%	77.2%	-4.3	14
2020-12-26	@ Hamilton Academical	W 3-0	1972	1592	77.2%	15.1%	7.7%	+4.3	40
2020-12-26	Hibernian	W 1-0	2008	1801	63.3%	21.7%	15.0%	+3.4	56
2020-12-26	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1801	2008	15.0%	21.7%	63.3%	-3.4	36
2020-12-26	Livingston	L 1-2	1688	1703	35.6%	26.5%	37.9%	-6.9	17
2020-12-26	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1703	1688	37.9%	26.5%	35.6%	+6.9	24
2020-12-26	Motherwell	D 1-1	1666	1706	32.2%	26.4%	41.4%	+0.4	25
2020-12-26	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	1706	1666	41.4%	26.4%	32.2%	-0.4	17
2020-12-26	St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1796	1646	57.2%	23.8%	19.0%	+4.1	38
2020-12-26	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	1646	1796	19.0%	23.8%	57.2%	-4.1	17
2020-12-26	St. Mirren	L 0-2	1569	1649	27.3%	25.9%	46.8%	-11.2	13
2020-12-26	@ Ross County	W 2-0	1649	1569	46.8%	25.9%	27.3%	+11.2	21
2020-12-30	Dundee United	W 3-0	1976	1666	72.9%	17.4%	9.7%	+5.7	43
2020-12-30	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1666	1976	9.7%	17.4%	72.9%	-5.7	25
2020-12-30	Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	1642	1588	45.4%	26.1%	28.5%	-0.8	18
2020-12-30	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1588	1642	28.5%	26.1%	45.4%	+0.8	15
2020-12-30	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	1706	1681	41.4%	26.4%	32.2%	-15.4	17
2020-12-30	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	1681	1706	32.2%	26.4%	41.4%	+15.4	20
2020-12-30	Rangers	L 0-2	1660	2011	8.7%	16.3%	75.0%	-3.4	21
2020-12-30	@ St. Mirren	W 2-0	2011	1660	75.0%	16.3%	8.7%	+3.4	59
2020-12-30	Ross County	L 0-2	1798	1557	66.6%	20.4%	13.0%	-22.8	36
2020-12-30	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	1557	1798	13.0%	20.4%	66.6%	+22.8	16
2021-01-02	Celtic	W 1-0	2014	1982	42.4%	26.3%	31.2%	+6.6	62
2021-01-02	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1982	2014	31.2%	26.3%	42.4%	-6.6	43
2021-01-02	Dundee United	D 0-0	1800	1661	56.0%	24.1%	19.9%	-1.7	39
2021-01-02	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	1661	1800	19.9%	24.1%	56.0%	+1.7	26
2021-01-02	Livingston	L 0-3	1775	1710	46.8%	25.9%	27.4%	-24.7	36
2021-01-02	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	1710	1775	27.4%	25.9%	46.8%	+24.7	27
2021-01-02	Motherwell	W 3-0	1589	1690	24.9%	25.5%	49.6%	+25.9	18
2021-01-02	@ Hamilton Academical	L 0-3	1690	1589	49.6%	25.5%	24.9%	-25.9	17
2021-01-02	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1580	1642	29.5%	26.2%	44.3%	+0.6	17
2021-01-02	@ Ross County	D 1-1	1642	1580	44.3%	26.2%	29.5%	-0.6	19
2021-01-02	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1696	1657	43.4%	26.2%	30.4%	-0.5	21
2021-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1657	1696	30.4%	26.2%	43.4%	+0.5	22
2021-01-09	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	1696	1614	48.9%	25.6%	25.5%	+10.6	24
2021-01-09	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	1614	1696	25.5%	25.6%	48.9%	-10.6	18
2021-01-09	Motherwell	D 1-1	1657	1665	36.8%	26.5%	36.7%	-0.0	23
2021-01-09	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1665	1657	36.7%	26.5%	36.8%	+0.0	18
2021-01-10	Rangers	L 1-2	1798	2021	14.9%	21.7%	63.4%	-3.2	39
2021-01-10	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	2021	1798	63.4%	21.7%	14.9%	+3.2	65
2021-01-10	Ross County	W 3-1	1735	1581	57.7%	23.6%	18.7%	+6.9	30
2021-01-10	@ Livingston	L 1-3	1581	1735	18.7%	23.6%	57.7%	-6.9	17
2021-01-11	Hibernian	D 1-1	1975	1750	65.1%	21.0%	13.9%	-2.3	44
2021-01-11	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1750	1975	13.9%	21.0%	65.1%	+2.3	37
2021-01-12	St. Johnstone	D 2-2	1662	1641	40.9%	26.4%	32.7%	-0.2	27
2021-01-12	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	1641	1662	32.7%	26.4%	40.9%	+0.2	20
2021-01-16	Aberdeen	W 4-1	1574	1795	15.0%	21.8%	63.2%	+26.8	20
2021-01-16	@ Ross County	L 1-4	1795	1574	63.2%	21.8%	15.0%	-26.8	39
2021-01-16	Dundee United	D 0-0	1604	1662	29.9%	26.2%	43.8%	+0.6	19
2021-01-16	@ Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	1662	1604	43.8%	26.2%	29.9%	-0.6	28
2021-01-16	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1752	1706	44.3%	26.2%	29.5%	+11.9	40
2021-01-16	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1706	1752	29.5%	26.2%	44.3%	-12.0	24
2021-01-16	Livingston	D 0-0	1973	1742	65.7%	20.8%	13.5%	-2.6	45
2021-01-16	@ Celtic	D 0-0	1742	1973	13.5%	20.8%	65.7%	+2.6	31
2021-01-16	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1641	1657	35.6%	26.5%	37.9%	+7.7	23
2021-01-16	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1657	1641	37.9%	26.5%	35.6%	-7.7	23
2021-01-17	Rangers	D 1-1	1665	2024	8.4%	16.0%	75.7%	+3.0	19
2021-01-17	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	2024	1665	75.7%	16.0%	8.4%	-3.0	66
2021-01-20	Celtic	D 2-2	1744	1970	14.7%	21.6%	63.7%	+1.6	32
2021-01-20	@ Livingston	D 2-2	1970	1744	63.7%	21.6%	14.7%	-1.6	46
2021-01-23	Motherwell	W 2-0	1768	1667	51.4%	25.2%	23.4%	+9.8	42
2021-01-23	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	1667	1768	23.4%	25.2%	51.4%	-9.8	19
2021-01-23	Ross County	W 5-0	2021	1601	81.2%	12.8%	6.0%	+5.2	69
2021-01-23	@ Rangers	L 0-5	1601	2021	6.0%	12.8%	81.2%	-5.2	20
2021-01-27	Aberdeen	D 0-0	1649	1778	22.1%	24.8%	53.0%	+1.5	24
2021-01-27	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1778	1649	53.0%	24.8%	22.1%	-1.5	43
2021-01-27	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	1969	1605	77.2%	15.1%	7.7%	+3.0	49
2021-01-27	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1605	1969	7.7%	15.1%	77.2%	-3.0	19
2021-01-27	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1746	1694	45.0%	26.1%	28.9%	+11.7	35
2021-01-27	@ Livingston	L 0-2	1694	1746	28.9%	26.1%	45.0%	-11.7	24
2021-01-27	Motherwell	L 1-2	1595	1658	29.4%	26.2%	44.4%	-6.0	20
2021-01-27	@ Ross County	W 2-1	1658	1595	44.4%	26.2%	29.4%	+6.0	22
2021-01-27	Rangers	L 0-1	1764	2026	12.6%	20.1%	67.2%	-2.8	40
2021-01-27	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	2026	1764	67.2%	20.1%	12.6%	+2.8	72
2021-01-27	St. Mirren	L 1-5	1661	1649	39.5%	26.5%	34.0%	-23.6	28
2021-01-27	@ Dundee United	W 5-1	1649	1661	34.0%	26.5%	39.5%	+23.6	26
2021-01-30	Aberdeen	D 0-0	1758	1777	35.1%	26.5%	38.4%	+0.1	36
2021-01-30	@ Livingston	D 0-0	1777	1758	38.4%	26.5%	35.1%	-0.1	44
2021-01-30	Hibernian	L 0-2	1638	1761	22.7%	25.0%	52.3%	-9.6	28
2021-01-30	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	1761	1638	52.3%	25.0%	22.7%	+9.6	43
2021-01-30	St. Johnstone	L 2-3	1683	1650	42.4%	26.3%	31.3%	-7.5	24
2021-01-30	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	1650	1683	31.3%	26.3%	42.4%	+7.5	27
2021-01-30	St. Mirren	L 1-2	1972	1673	71.9%	17.9%	10.2%	-12.0	49
2021-01-30	@ Celtic	W 2-1	1673	1972	10.2%	17.9%	71.9%	+12.0	29
2021-02-02	Celtic	L 0-4	1675	1959	11.5%	19.2%	69.3%	-9.0	24
2021-02-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	1959	1675	69.3%	19.2%	11.5%	+9.0	52
2021-02-02	Hibernian	L 1-2	1685	1771	26.7%	25.8%	47.6%	-5.5	29
2021-02-02	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1771	1685	47.6%	25.8%	26.7%	+5.5	46
2021-02-02	Livingston	L 0-2	1777	1758	40.5%	26.4%	33.1%	-15.2	44
2021-02-02	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	1758	1777	33.1%	26.4%	40.5%	+15.2	39
2021-02-03	Dundee United	W 2-1	1664	1628	42.8%	26.3%	30.9%	+6.2	25
2021-02-03	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	1628	1664	30.9%	26.3%	42.8%	-6.2	28
2021-02-03	Ross County	L 1-2	1602	1590	39.6%	26.5%	34.0%	-7.5	19
2021-02-03	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	1590	1602	34.0%	26.5%	39.6%	+7.5	23
2021-02-03	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	2029	1658	77.8%	14.8%	7.4%	+1.5	75
2021-02-03	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1658	2029	7.4%	14.8%	77.8%	-1.5	27
2021-02-06	Aberdeen	W 2-0	1777	1762	40.0%	26.5%	33.6%	+13.2	49
2021-02-06	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1762	1777	33.6%	26.5%	40.0%	-13.2	44
2021-02-06	Dundee United	L 0-2	1597	1622	34.3%	26.5%	39.2%	-13.4	23
2021-02-06	@ Ross County	W 2-0	1622	1597	39.2%	26.5%	34.3%	+13.4	31
2021-02-06	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1680	1666	39.8%	26.5%	33.8%	+13.2	32
2021-02-06	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	1666	1680	33.8%	26.5%	39.8%	-13.2	24
2021-02-06	Motherwell	W 2-1	1969	1670	71.9%	17.9%	10.2%	+2.1	55
2021-02-06	@ Celtic	L 1-2	1670	1969	10.2%	17.9%	71.9%	-2.1	25
2021-02-06	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	1773	1656	53.3%	24.8%	21.9%	-9.5	39
2021-02-06	@ Livingston	W 2-1	1656	1773	21.9%	24.8%	53.3%	+9.5	30
2021-02-07	Rangers	D 1-1	1594	2031	6.0%	12.8%	81.2%	+3.3	20
2021-02-07	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	2031	1594	81.2%	12.8%	6.0%	-3.3	76
2021-02-10	Celtic	L 0-4	1693	1971	11.8%	19.5%	68.7%	-9.3	32
2021-02-10	@ St. Mirren	W 4-0	1971	1693	68.7%	19.5%	11.8%	+9.3	58
2021-02-10	Motherwell	L 0-1	1653	1668	35.7%	26.5%	37.8%	-7.3	24
2021-02-10	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1668	1653	37.8%	26.5%	35.7%	+7.3	28
2021-02-13	Hamilton Academical	L 1-4	1675	1597	48.5%	25.7%	25.9%	-21.4	28
2021-02-13	@ Motherwell	W 4-1	1597	1675	25.9%	25.7%	48.5%	+21.4	23
2021-02-13	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	2027	1645	78.5%	14.4%	7.1%	+1.4	79
2021-02-13	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1645	2027	7.1%	14.4%	78.5%	-1.4	24
2021-02-13	Livingston	W 3-0	1635	1764	22.3%	24.9%	52.8%	+27.3	34
2021-02-13	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	1764	1635	52.8%	24.9%	22.3%	-27.3	39
2021-02-13	St. Mirren	D 0-0	1748	1684	46.8%	25.9%	27.3%	-0.9	45
2021-02-13	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	1684	1748	27.3%	25.9%	46.8%	+0.9	33
2021-02-14	Celtic	L 1-2	1666	1980	10.2%	17.9%	72.0%	-2.1	30
2021-02-14	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1980	1666	72.0%	17.9%	10.2%	+2.1	61
2021-02-17	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1982	1747	66.1%	20.6%	13.3%	+3.0	64
2021-02-17	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1747	1982	13.3%	20.6%	66.1%	-3.0	45
2021-02-17	Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	1684	1619	46.9%	25.9%	27.2%	-0.8	34
2021-02-17	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1619	1684	27.2%	25.9%	46.9%	+0.8	24
2021-02-20	Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	1790	1620	59.5%	23.1%	17.4%	+7.5	52
2021-02-20	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1620	1790	17.4%	23.1%	59.5%	-7.5	24
2021-02-20	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1744	1644	51.3%	25.2%	23.5%	+5.2	48
2021-02-20	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	1644	1744	23.5%	25.2%	51.3%	-5.2	24
2021-02-20	Livingston	D 1-1	1684	1736	30.6%	26.3%	43.1%	+0.5	35
2021-02-20	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1736	1684	43.1%	26.3%	30.6%	-0.5	40
2021-02-20	St. Johnstone	L 0-3	1654	1664	36.4%	26.5%	37.1%	-20.3	28
2021-02-20	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	1664	1654	37.1%	26.5%	36.4%	+20.3	33
2021-02-21	Celtic	W 1-0	1584	1985	7.0%	14.2%	78.8%	+13.6	26
2021-02-21	@ Ross County	L 0-1	1985	1584	78.8%	14.2%	7.0%	-13.6	64
2021-02-21	Dundee United	W 4-1	2029	1663	77.3%	15.0%	7.6%	+3.6	82
2021-02-21	@ Rangers	L 1-4	1663	2029	7.6%	15.0%	77.3%	-3.6	34
2021-02-24	Motherwell	D 0-0	1684	1633	44.9%	26.1%	29.0%	-0.7	36
2021-02-24	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1633	1684	29.0%	26.1%	44.9%	+0.7	29
2021-02-27	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1971	1750	64.8%	21.1%	14.0%	+3.2	67
2021-02-27	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1750	1971	14.0%	21.1%	64.8%	-3.2	48
2021-02-27	Dundee United	D 1-1	1639	1659	34.9%	26.5%	38.6%	+0.1	25
2021-02-27	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1659	1639	38.6%	26.5%	34.9%	-0.1	35
2021-02-27	Motherwell	L 0-2	1797	1634	58.7%	23.3%	18.0%	-20.5	52
2021-02-27	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	1634	1797	18.0%	23.3%	58.7%	+20.5	32
2021-02-27	Ross County	W 1-0	1683	1597	49.6%	25.5%	24.9%	+5.5	39
2021-02-27	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	1597	1683	24.9%	25.5%	49.6%	-5.5	26
2021-03-03	Rangers	L 0-1	1736	2032	10.9%	18.6%	70.4%	-2.4	40
2021-03-03	@ Livingston	W 1-0	2032	1736	70.4%	18.6%	10.9%	+2.4	85
2021-03-03	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1612	1684	28.3%	26.0%	45.7%	+0.7	25
2021-03-03	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	1684	1612	45.7%	26.0%	28.3%	-0.7	34
2021-03-06	Hamilton Academical	D 0-0	1747	1613	55.3%	24.3%	20.4%	-1.7	49
2021-03-06	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	1613	1747	20.4%	24.3%	55.3%	+1.7	26
2021-03-06	Hibernian	W 1-0	1683	1777	25.8%	25.7%	48.5%	+9.3	37
2021-03-06	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1777	1683	48.5%	25.7%	25.8%	-9.3	52
2021-03-06	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	1592	1639	31.3%	26.3%	42.4%	+7.5	29
2021-03-06	@ Ross County	L 2-3	1639	1592	42.4%	26.3%	31.3%	-7.5	25
2021-03-06	Livingston	W 3-1	1655	1733	27.5%	25.9%	46.6%	+14.7	35
2021-03-06	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	1733	1655	46.6%	25.9%	27.5%	-14.7	40
2021-03-06	St. Mirren	W 3-0	2035	1689	75.8%	15.9%	8.3%	+4.7	88
2021-03-06	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1689	2035	8.3%	15.9%	75.8%	-4.7	39
2021-03-07	Celtic	D 0-0	1659	1975	10.1%	17.8%	72.1%	+3.1	36
2021-03-07	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	1975	1659	72.1%	17.8%	10.1%	-3.1	68
2021-03-13	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	1719	1615	51.8%	25.1%	23.1%	+4.9	43
2021-03-13	@ Livingston	L 1-2	1615	1719	23.1%	25.1%	51.8%	-4.9	26
2021-03-13	Hibernian	L 1-2	1599	1767	18.8%	23.7%	57.6%	-4.0	29
2021-03-13	@ Ross County	W 2-1	1767	1599	57.6%	23.7%	18.8%	+4.0	55
2021-03-20	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1662	1745	27.0%	25.9%	47.1%	+9.1	39
2021-03-20	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	1745	1662	47.1%	25.9%	27.0%	-9.1	49
2021-03-20	Hibernian	D 1-1	1724	1771	31.2%	26.3%	42.4%	+0.4	44
2021-03-20	@ Livingston	D 1-1	1771	1724	42.4%	26.3%	31.2%	-0.5	56
2021-03-20	Motherwell	W 4-1	1632	1669	32.6%	26.4%	41.0%	+18.8	28
2021-03-20	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-4	1669	1632	41.0%	26.4%	32.6%	-18.8	35
2021-03-20	Ross County	W 1-0	1693	1595	51.0%	25.2%	23.8%	+5.3	40
2021-03-20	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1595	1693	23.8%	25.2%	51.0%	-5.3	29
2021-03-20	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1610	1684	28.0%	26.0%	46.1%	+0.7	27
2021-03-20	@ Hamilton Academical	D 1-1	1684	1610	46.1%	26.0%	28.0%	-0.7	40
2021-03-21	Rangers	D 1-1	1972	2040	28.7%	26.1%	45.2%	+0.7	69
2021-03-21	@ Celtic	D 1-1	2040	1972	45.2%	26.1%	28.7%	-0.7	89

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2021-04-10	Aberdeen	L 0-1	1698	1736	32.6%	26.4%	41.0%	-6.8	0
2021-04-10	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1736	1698	41.0%	26.4%	32.6%	+6.8	3
2021-04-10	Dundee United	L 0-1	1610	1671	29.6%	26.2%	44.2%	-6.3	0
2021-04-10	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	1671	1610	44.2%	26.2%	29.6%	+6.3	3
2021-04-10	Livingston	W 6-0	1972	1724	67.4%	20.1%	12.6%	+14.6	3
2021-04-10	@ Celtic	L 0-6	1724	1972	12.6%	20.1%	67.4%	-14.6	0
2021-04-10	Ross County	D 2-2	1650	1590	46.2%	26.0%	27.8%	-0.6	1
2021-04-10	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	1590	1650	27.8%	26.0%	46.2%	+0.6	1
2021-04-10	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1650	1683	33.2%	26.4%	40.4%	+8.0	3
2021-04-10	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1683	1650	40.4%	26.4%	33.2%	-8.0	0
2021-04-11	Hibernian	W 2-1	2039	1771	69.2%	19.2%	11.6%	+2.4	3
2021-04-11	@ Rangers	L 1-2	1771	2039	11.6%	19.2%	69.2%	-2.4	0
2021-04-21	Celtic	D 1-1	1743	1987	13.6%	20.9%	65.5%	+2.3	4
2021-04-21	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	1987	1743	65.5%	20.9%	13.6%	-2.3	4
2021-04-21	Dundee United	W 3-0	1650	1678	33.9%	26.5%	39.6%	+21.7	4
2021-04-21	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-3	1678	1650	39.6%	26.5%	33.9%	-21.7	3
2021-04-21	Livingston	W 2-1	1769	1709	46.0%	26.0%	28.0%	+5.7	3
2021-04-21	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	1709	1769	28.0%	26.0%	46.0%	-5.7	0
2021-04-21	Motherwell	L 0-1	1604	1658	30.4%	26.2%	43.3%	-6.5	0
2021-04-21	@ Hamilton Academical	W 1-0	1658	1604	43.3%	26.2%	30.4%	+6.5	6
2021-04-21	Rangers	D 1-1	1691	2041	8.7%	16.4%	75.0%	+2.9	1
2021-04-21	@ St. Johnstone	D 1-1	2041	1691	75.0%	16.4%	8.7%	-2.9	4
2021-04-21	St. Mirren	L 1-3	1590	1675	26.8%	25.8%	47.4%	-9.5	1
2021-04-21	@ Ross County	W 3-1	1675	1590	47.4%	25.8%	26.8%	+9.5	3
2021-05-01	Aberdeen	L 1-2	1704	1745	32.1%	26.4%	41.5%	-6.4	0
2021-05-01	@ Livingston	W 2-1	1745	1704	41.5%	26.4%	32.1%	+6.4	7
2021-05-01	Hamilton Academical	L 1-2	1685	1598	49.7%	25.5%	24.8%	-8.9	3
2021-05-01	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1598	1685	24.8%	25.5%	49.7%	+8.9	3
2021-05-01	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1665	1671	36.9%	26.5%	36.6%	+14.1	9
2021-05-01	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	1671	1665	36.6%	26.5%	36.9%	-14.1	4
2021-05-01	Ross County	L 0-2	1656	1581	48.1%	25.7%	26.2%	-17.4	3
2021-05-01	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	1581	1656	26.2%	25.7%	48.1%	+17.4	4
2021-05-01	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1774	1694	48.8%	25.6%	25.6%	-9.3	3
2021-05-01	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	1694	1774	25.6%	25.6%	48.8%	+9.3	4
2021-05-02	Celtic	W 4-1	2038	1984	45.3%	26.1%	28.6%	+14.2	7
2021-05-02	@ Rangers	L 1-4	1984	2038	28.6%	26.1%	45.3%	-14.2	4
2021-05-12	Hamilton Academical	W 2-1	1598	1606	36.6%	26.5%	36.8%	+7.1	7
2021-05-12	@ Ross County	L 1-2	1606	1598	36.8%	26.5%	36.6%	-7.1	3
2021-05-12	Hibernian	L 0-1	1751	1765	35.9%	26.5%	37.6%	-7.4	7
2021-05-12	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	1765	1751	37.6%	26.5%	35.9%	+7.4	6
2021-05-12	Motherwell	D 2-2	1638	1679	32.2%	26.4%	41.4%	+0.3	4
2021-05-12	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	1679	1638	41.4%	26.4%	32.2%	-0.3	10
2021-05-12	Rangers	L 0-3	1697	2053	8.5%	16.1%	75.4%	-4.9	0
2021-05-12	@ Livingston	W 3-0	2053	1697	75.4%	16.1%	8.5%	+4.9	10
2021-05-12	St. Johnstone	W 4-0	1970	1703	69.1%	19.3%	11.6%	+9.1	7
2021-05-12	@ Celtic	L 0-4	1703	1970	11.6%	19.3%	69.1%	-9.1	4
2021-05-12	St. Mirren	D 3-3	1657	1676	35.2%	26.5%	38.3%	+0.1	5
2021-05-12	@ Kilmarnock	D 3-3	1676	1657	38.3%	26.5%	35.2%	-0.1	4
2021-05-15	Aberdeen	W 4-0	2058	1744	73.2%	17.3%	9.5%	+7.3	13
2021-05-15	@ Rangers	L 0-4	1744	2058	9.5%	17.3%	73.2%	-7.3	7
2021-05-15	Celtic	D 0-0	1772	1979	15.9%	22.3%	61.8%	+2.2	7
2021-05-15	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	1979	1772	61.8%	22.3%	15.9%	-2.2	8
2021-05-15	Livingston	D 0-0	1694	1692	38.1%	26.5%	35.4%	-0.1	5
2021-05-15	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1692	1694	35.4%	26.5%	38.1%	+0.1	1
2021-05-16	Dundee United	D 0-0	1676	1639	43.1%	26.3%	30.7%	-0.6	5
2021-05-16	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1639	1676	30.7%	26.3%	43.1%	+0.5	5
2021-05-16	Kilmarnock	L 0-2	1599	1657	30.0%	26.2%	43.8%	-12.1	3
2021-05-16	@ Hamilton Academical	W 2-0	1657	1599	43.8%	26.2%	30.0%	+12.1	8
2021-05-16	Ross County	L 1-2	1679	1605	47.9%	25.8%	26.3%	-8.7	10
2021-05-16	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	1605	1679	26.3%	25.8%	47.9%	+8.7	10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-02-21	6.97%	@ Ross County	1584	1	Celtic	1985	0
2	2021-01-30	10.17%	St. Mirren	1673	2	@ Celtic	1972	1
3	2020-12-30	13.00%	Ross County	1557	2	@ Hibernian	1798	0
4	2021-01-16	15.00%	@ Ross County	1574	4	Aberdeen	1795	1
5	2021-02-27	17.97%	Motherwell	1634	2	@ Hibernian	1797	0
6	2020-12-05	21.37%	@ Hamilton Academical	1593	1	Kilmarnock	1731	0
7	2021-02-06	21.91%	St. Johnstone	1656	2	@ Livingston	1773	1
8	2021-02-13	22.28%	@ Dundee United	1635	3	Livingston	1764	0
9	2020-08-22	24.53%	Hamilton Academical	1619	1	@ Motherwell	1709	0
10	2021-05-01	24.83%	Hamilton Academical	1598	2	@ St. Mirren	1685	1
11	2021-01-02	24.91%	@ Hamilton Academical	1589	3	Motherwell	1690	0
12	2020-09-20	25.20%	Motherwell	1699	3	@ Aberdeen	1783	0
13	2020-12-12	25.50%	St. Mirren	1637	1	@ Motherwell	1718	0
14	2021-05-01	25.59%	St. Johnstone	1694	1	@ Hibernian	1774	0
15	2020-09-12	25.64%	Hamilton Academical	1624	2	@ Livingston	1704	1
16	2021-03-06	25.83%	@ St. Johnstone	1683	1	Hibernian	1777	0
17	2021-02-13	25.87%	Hamilton Academical	1597	4	@ Motherwell	1675	1
18	2021-05-01	26.16%	Ross County	1581	2	@ Dundee United	1656	0
19	2021-05-16	26.34%	Ross County	1605	2	@ Motherwell	1679	1
20	2021-03-20	27.01%	@ Dundee United	1662	1	Aberdeen	1745	0
21	2020-11-06	27.29%	@ St. Johnstone	1651	1	Kilmarnock	1732	0
22	2021-01-02	27.35%	Livingston	1710	3	@ Hibernian	1775	0
23	2020-08-03	27.38%	@ Ross County	1647	1	Motherwell	1726	0
24	2021-03-06	27.47%	@ Motherwell	1655	3	Livingston	1733	1
25	2020-11-21	28.58%	St. Mirren	1627	1	@ Livingston	1681	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-02-13	27.33	@ Dundee United	3	1635	22.28%	Livingston	0	1764	52.85%	24.86%
2	2021-01-16	26.75	@ Ross County	4	1574	15.00%	Aberdeen	1	1795	63.24%	21.76%
3	2021-01-02	25.92	@ Hamilton Academical	3	1589	24.91%	Motherwell	0	1690	49.61%	25.48%
4	2020-09-20	25.77	Motherwell	3	1699	25.20%	@ Aberdeen	0	1783	49.25%	25.54%
5	2020-08-29	24.96	@ Kilmarnock	4	1701	40.11%	Dundee United	0	1685	33.45%	26.44%
6	2021-01-02	24.70	Livingston	3	1710	27.35%	@ Hibernian	0	1775	46.75%	25.90%
7	2021-01-27	23.57	St. Mirren	5	1649	34.00%	@ Dundee United	1	1661	39.54%	26.46%
8	2020-12-30	22.76	Ross County	2	1557	13.00%	@ Hibernian	0	1798	66.60%	20.40%
9	2021-04-21	21.69	@ Kilmarnock	3	1650	33.91%	Dundee United	0	1678	39.63%	26.46%
10	2021-02-13	21.44	Hamilton Academical	4	1597	25.87%	@ Motherwell	1	1675	48.46%	25.67%
11	2021-02-27	20.54	Motherwell	2	1634	17.97%	@ Hibernian	0	1797	58.69%	23.34%
12	2021-02-20	20.35	St. Johnstone	3	1664	37.10%	@ Motherwell	0	1654	36.40%	26.51%
13	2020-10-24	19.95	@ Motherwell	4	1714	49.12%	Ross County	0	1631	25.31%	25.56%
14	2020-12-05	19.38	Hibernian	3	1764	39.46%	@ Motherwell	0	1738	34.07%	26.47%
15	2021-03-20	18.78	@ Kilmarnock	4	1632	32.58%	Motherwell	1	1669	41.02%	26.40%
16	2021-05-01	17.40	Ross County	2	1581	26.16%	@ Dundee United	0	1656	48.12%	25.72%
17	2020-08-08	16.43	Hibernian	4	1742	39.22%	@ Livingston	1	1717	34.31%	26.47%
18	2020-12-23	15.97	@ Dundee United	2	1650	30.50%	Kilmarnock	0	1704	43.24%	26.26%
19	2020-10-17	15.77	Rangers	2	1943	31.15%	@ Celtic	0	1977	42.54%	26.31%
20	2020-12-30	15.44	Kilmarnock	2	1681	32.23%	@ Motherwell	0	1706	41.39%	26.38%
21	2021-02-02	15.18	Livingston	2	1758	33.06%	@ Aberdeen	0	1777	40.52%	26.42%
22	2020-09-12	15.10	Hibernian	3	1762	49.54%	@ St. Mirren	0	1661	24.97%	25.50%
23	2021-03-06	14.69	@ Motherwell	3	1655	27.47%	Livingston	1	1733	46.62%	25.92%
24	2020-09-27	14.68	Aberdeen	3	1757	50.51%	@ Ross County	0	1648	24.16%	25.33%
25	2021-04-10	14.62	@ Celtic	6	1972	67.38%	Livingston	0	1724	12.57%	20.06%