Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2015-16

2015-16 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

86 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee United

20.04 points above expected

31 points · 51.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

77.22 points below expected

86 points · 163.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 23 7 3 76 78 25 +53 74.93 +1.07
2 Aberdeen 33 21 5 7 68 56 36 +20 58.37 +9.63
3 Heart of Midlothian 33 17 9 7 60 54 33 +21 53.40 +6.60
4 Motherwell 33 13 5 15 44 41 49 -8 35.85 +8.15
5 St. Johnstone 33 12 7 14 43 48 51 -3 48.66 -5.66
6 Ross County 33 13 4 16 43 48 55 -7 42.49 +0.51
7 Dundee 33 9 14 10 41 48 49 -1 40.64 +0.36
8 Partick Thistle 33 11 8 14 41 32 39 -7 41.90 -0.90
9 Inverness CT 33 10 10 13 40 40 43 -3 46.91 -6.91
10 Hamilton Academical 33 9 9 15 36 36 55 -19 37.58 -1.58
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 8 17 32 33 54 -21 31.59 +0.41
12 Dundee United 33 6 6 21 24 33 58 -25 34.42 -10.42
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 26 8 4 86 93 31 +62 163.22 -77.22
2 Aberdeen 38 22 5 11 71 62 48 +14 144.16 -73.16
3 Heart of Midlothian 38 18 11 9 65 59 40 +19 127.53 -62.53
4 St. Johnstone 38 16 8 14 56 58 55 +3 92.62 -36.62
5 Motherwell 38 15 5 18 50 47 63 -16 91.69 -41.69
6 Ross County 38 14 6 18 48 55 61 -6 90.59 -42.59
7 Inverness CT 38 14 10 14 52 54 48 +6 89.53 -37.53
8 Dundee 38 11 15 12 48 53 57 -4 89.71 -41.71
9 Partick Thistle 38 12 10 16 46 41 50 -9 88.58 -42.58
10 Hamilton Academical 38 11 10 17 43 42 63 -21 78.07 -35.07
11 Kilmarnock 38 9 9 20 36 41 64 -23 69.53 -33.53
12 Dundee United 38 8 7 23 31 45 70 -25 51.04 -20.04

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1824 86 74.93 +11.07 59.1% 52 64 71 75 79 85 96
Heart of Midlothian 1614 65 53.40 +11.60 83.3% 24 41 48 53 58 65 79
Aberdeen 1594 71 58.37 +12.63 91.7% 30 46 53 58 63 70 91
Inverness CT 1585 52 46.91 +5.09 19.5% 15 35 42 47 52 59 73
St. Johnstone 1572 56 48.66 +7.34 24.1% 24 37 44 49 53 61 76
Partick Thistle 1502 46 41.90 +4.10 48.3% 18 30 37 42 47 54 71
Ross County 1500 48 42.49 +5.51 55.8% 15 30 37 42 47 55 69
Dundee 1499 48 40.64 +7.36 55.5% 17 29 36 41 45 53 67
Motherwell 1483 50 35.85 +14.15 88.9% 11 24 31 36 41 48 63
Dundee United 1451 31 34.42 -3.42 3.3% 12 23 29 34 39 46 63
Hamilton Academical 1438 43 37.58 +5.42 44.1% 14 26 33 38 42 50 63
Kilmarnock 1427 36 31.59 +4.41 56.2% 7 20 27 31 36 43 58

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU HA HOM IC KIL MOT PT RC SJ
Aberdeen
2-0-2
3.17
3-0-0
5.66
3-0-0
5.61
2-1-0
5.91
2-0-2
6.24
0-1-2
5.38
3-0-0
6.41
2-1-1
7.88
2-1-0
5.59
2-0-2
7.38
1-1-2
7.20
Celtic
2-0-2
7.97
1-2-0
6.98
3-0-0
7.06
2-1-0
7.15
2-2-0
8.42
3-0-0
6.63
1-2-0
7.41
3-0-1
9.64
3-0-0
6.80
3-1-0
9.40
3-0-1
8.75
Dundee
0-0-3
2.67
0-2-1
1.52
2-2-0
6.13
1-1-2
6.15
0-1-2
3.10
0-3-1
4.80
1-2-1
6.58
1-1-1
4.73
3-1-0
5.37
1-1-1
4.13
2-1-0
3.40
Dundee United
0-0-3
2.72
0-0-3
1.45
0-2-2
4.92
0-1-3
5.62
1-0-2
2.60
1-2-1
4.09
2-1-1
6.01
1-0-2
4.29
0-1-3
4.87
2-0-1
3.52
1-0-2
2.98
Hamilton Academical
0-1-2
2.44
0-1-2
1.37
2-1-1
4.90
3-1-0
5.42
1-1-1
2.88
2-0-2
4.14
2-0-2
6.39
1-1-1
4.22
0-3-1
4.86
0-0-3
3.79
0-1-2
3.27
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-2
4.80
0-2-2
2.77
2-1-0
5.21
2-0-1
5.74
1-1-1
5.44
1-1-1
4.86
1-2-0
6.13
2-1-1
7.49
3-0-0
5.18
3-1-0
6.86
1-2-1
6.28
Inverness CT
2-1-0
2.93
0-0-3
1.81
1-3-0
6.24
1-2-1
6.98
2-0-2
6.93
1-1-1
3.43
2-0-2
7.49
1-0-2
5.14
1-2-1
6.32
3-0-0
4.42
0-1-2
4.07
Kilmarnock
0-0-3
2.00
0-2-1
1.17
1-2-1
4.47
1-1-2
5.03
2-0-2
4.66
0-2-1
2.24
2-0-2
3.61
1-0-2
3.69
0-2-2
4.36
0-0-3
3.27
2-0-1
2.62
Motherwell
1-1-2
3.25
1-0-3
1.75
1-1-1
3.55
2-0-1
3.98
1-1-1
4.05
1-1-2
3.61
2-0-1
3.16
2-0-1
4.59
2-0-1
3.56
1-1-2
4.83
1-0-3
4.09
Partick Thistle
0-1-2
2.73
0-0-3
1.66
0-1-3
5.67
3-1-0
6.17
1-3-0
6.19
0-0-3
3.12
1-2-1
4.72
2-2-0
6.70
1-0-2
4.73
1-0-2
4.11
3-0-0
3.49
Ross County
2-0-2
3.72
0-1-3
1.95
1-1-1
4.15
1-0-2
4.77
3-0-0
4.49
0-1-3
4.20
0-0-3
3.86
3-0-0
5.03
2-1-1
6.21
2-0-1
4.17
0-2-2
4.57
St. Johnstone
2-1-1
3.88
1-0-3
2.48
0-1-2
4.89
2-0-1
5.33
2-1-0
5.02
1-2-1
4.77
2-1-0
4.20
1-0-2
5.71
3-0-1
6.98
0-0-3
4.80
2-2-0
6.48

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.81 +9.6
Allowed 0.80 -12.1
Differential 0.90 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.58%7.89%5.70%2.85%1.97%0.88%25.88%
17.89%9.65%10.09%3.73%1.10%0.66%33.11%
25.70%10.09%5.26%1.54%0.88%0.66%24.12%
32.85%3.73%1.54%1.32%0.66%10.09%
41.97%1.10%0.88%0.66%4.61%
5+0.88%0.66%0.66%2.19%
Total25.88%33.11%24.12%10.09%4.61%2.19%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.92
CV 0.90 0.90
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%13.16%
113.16%7.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%36.84%
213.16%13.16%2.63%2.63%31.58%
32.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
5+
Total34.21%31.58%15.79%13.16%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.26 +0.37
SD 1.10 1.29 1.85
CV 0.67 1.02
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%
17.89%5.26%10.53%23.68%
27.89%7.89%5.26%21.05%
35.26%18.42%2.63%26.32%
45.26%2.63%7.89%
5+7.89%2.63%10.53%
Total39.47%39.47%21.05%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 0.82 +1.63
SD 1.84 0.77 2.01
CV 0.75 0.94
Max 8 2 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%26.32%
12.63%21.05%7.89%2.63%34.21%
22.63%13.16%7.89%2.63%26.32%
32.63%2.63%
45.26%2.63%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total18.42%42.11%26.32%5.26%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.50 -0.11
SD 1.28 1.33 1.90
CV 0.92 0.89
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%31.58%
15.26%5.26%21.05%5.26%2.63%39.47%
22.63%2.63%7.89%2.63%15.79%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total13.16%23.68%39.47%15.79%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.84 -0.66
SD 1.20 1.17 1.79
CV 1.02 0.64
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%5.26%2.63%5.26%34.21%
110.53%10.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%36.84%
22.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%15.79%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total26.32%31.58%18.42%7.89%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.66 -0.55
SD 1.09 1.70 1.97
CV 0.98 1.02
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%21.05%
113.16%7.89%2.63%7.89%31.58%
210.53%7.89%10.53%2.63%31.58%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total44.74%21.05%18.42%15.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.05 +0.50
SD 1.31 1.14 1.77
CV 0.84 1.08
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%7.89%2.63%28.95%
12.63%13.16%7.89%2.63%26.32%
27.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%26.32%
32.63%7.89%10.53%
42.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
5+
Total23.68%42.11%21.05%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.26 +0.16
SD 1.24 1.03 1.64
CV 0.88 0.82
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%7.89%7.89%36.84%
12.63%7.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%26.32%
25.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%31.58%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total21.05%31.58%26.32%5.26%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.68 -0.61
SD 1.02 1.44 1.85
CV 0.95 0.85
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%2.63%5.26%23.68%
113.16%5.26%18.42%2.63%2.63%42.11%
22.63%13.16%5.26%21.05%
32.63%7.89%2.63%13.16%
4
5+
Total18.42%34.21%31.58%7.89%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.66 -0.42
SD 0.97 1.51 2.06
CV 0.78 0.91
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%2.63%36.84%
110.53%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%31.58%
25.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%23.68%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total31.58%28.95%23.68%7.89%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.32 -0.24
SD 1.12 1.23 1.57
CV 1.04 0.94
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%7.89%26.32%
15.26%13.16%5.26%5.26%2.63%31.58%
27.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%23.68%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
45.26%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total21.05%31.58%21.05%21.05%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.61 -0.16
SD 1.29 1.26 1.99
CV 0.89 0.79
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%5.26%21.05%
17.89%13.16%10.53%5.26%36.84%
218.42%2.63%21.05%
35.26%2.63%5.26%13.16%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total18.42%39.47%26.32%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.45 +0.08
SD 1.27 1.08 1.67
CV 0.83 0.75
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 31 51.04 -20.04
2 Kilmarnock 36 69.53 -33.53
3 Hamilton Academical 43 78.07 -35.07
4 St. Johnstone 56 92.62 -36.62
5 Inverness CT 52 89.53 -37.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 86 163.22 -77.22
2 Aberdeen 71 144.16 -73.16
3 Heart of Midlothian 65 127.53 -62.53
4 Ross County 48 90.59 -42.59
5 Partick Thistle 46 88.58 -42.58

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 5 Feb 27 – Apr 2 1 in 425
2 Aberdeen 8 Aug 2 – Sep 20 1 in 326
3 Heart of Midlothian 5 Aug 2 – Aug 22 1 in 50
4 Partick Thistle 4 Nov 21 – Dec 19 1 in 44
5 Hamilton Academical 3 Aug 15 – Aug 29 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partick Thistle 5 Aug 22 – Sep 26 1 in 71
2 Aberdeen 3 Sep 26 – Oct 16 1 in 64
3 Hamilton Academical 4 Dec 12 – Dec 30 1 in 50
4 Dundee United 4 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 47
5 Heart of Midlothian 3 Aug 29 – Sep 20 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 5 Nov 28 – Jan 2 1 in 58
2 Aberdeen 12 Nov 7 – Feb 6 1 in 47
3 Partick Thistle 6 Nov 7 – Dec 30 1 in 25
4 Dundee 5 Jan 30 – Mar 2 1 in 23
5 Heart of Midlothian 8 Sep 26 – Nov 28 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 10 Aug 11 – Oct 25 1 in 62
2 Partick Thistle 9 Aug 1 – Sep 26 1 in 46
3 Dundee 8 Oct 17 – Dec 12 1 in 29
4 Aberdeen 5 Sep 26 – Oct 31 1 in 27
5 St. Johnstone 7 Dec 13 – Feb 12 1 in 26

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic93.62%5.65%0.64%0.09%
Aberdeen4.40%50.29%24.04%11.08%5.41%2.52%1.27%0.52%0.31%0.10%0.04%0.02%
Heart of Midlothian1.36%23.96%29.58%18.30%11.20%6.50%4.20%2.59%1.40%0.63%0.19%0.09%
St. Johnstone0.35%8.41%16.41%20.56%16.65%13.47%9.57%6.37%4.25%2.30%1.20%0.46%
Motherwell0.27%0.86%2.38%4.04%6.51%9.45%12.16%14.69%17.00%17.50%15.14%
Ross County0.04%2.11%5.28%9.31%12.71%14.24%14.16%12.86%10.90%8.77%6.21%3.41%
Inverness CT0.15%5.94%12.69%17.74%17.13%14.42%11.31%8.11%5.75%3.73%2.06%0.97%
Dundee0.01%1.35%3.22%6.88%10.52%12.72%13.90%14.44%13.05%11.02%8.12%4.77%
Partick Thistle0.06%1.50%4.97%8.43%12.32%13.56%13.82%13.19%12.11%9.48%6.69%3.87%
Hamilton Academical0.01%0.32%1.50%3.25%5.43%8.92%10.82%13.03%15.12%15.42%14.49%11.69%
Kilmarnock0.04%0.20%0.52%1.59%2.59%4.22%6.55%9.92%14.73%23.03%36.61%
Dundee United0.16%0.61%1.46%3.00%4.55%7.28%10.18%12.50%16.82%20.47%22.97%
Team123456789101112
Celtic99.57%0.43%
Aberdeen0.43%97.40%2.17%
Heart of Midlothian2.17%97.83%
St. Johnstone56.10%29.11%14.79%
Motherwell23.68%37.86%38.46%
Ross County20.22%33.03%46.75%
Inverness CT48.91%30.21%17.69%3.08%0.11%
Dundee31.56%36.32%26.67%5.23%0.22%
Partick Thistle18.63%29.58%41.58%9.64%0.57%
Hamilton Academical0.89%3.72%12.78%68.00%14.61%
Kilmarnock0.01%0.17%1.28%14.05%83.92%0.57%
Dundee United0.57%99.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.39%
No Edge
40.79%22.81%36.40%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.25 Elo pts.
198 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.1
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
94%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Tight Race
00.370.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.74 * Some Luck: 5.74 to 8.61 * Lucky: 8.61 to 11.48 * Wild Swing: 11.48 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.92 * Off: 1.92 to 2.56 * Way Off: 2.56 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.24 points
Some Luck
07.1818
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.604
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
91.66%
Aberdeen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.31%
Dundee United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.65
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.74
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.56
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.088
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Aberdeen 99.96% 0.02% 0.02%
Heart of Midlothian 99.76% 0.17% 0.07%
St. Johnstone 98.26% 1.37% 0.37%
Inverness CT 97.32% 1.83% 0.85%
Partick Thistle 90.09% 6.52% 3.39%
Ross County 89.72% 6.67% 3.61%
Dundee 88.20% 7.49% 4.31%
Hamilton Academical 72.32% 15.40% 12.28%
Motherwell 68.73% 17.22% 14.05%
Dundee United 56.86% 20.77% 22.37%
Kilmarnock 38.78% 22.54% 38.68%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee 99.78% 0.22%
Hamilton Academical 85.39% 14.61%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Inverness CT 99.89% 0.11%
Motherwell 100%
Partick Thistle 99.43% 0.57%
Ross County 100%
St. Johnstone 100%
Kilmarnock 15.51% 83.92% 0.57%
Dundee United 0.57% 99.43%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2015-08-01 Dundee L 0-4 1462 1485 36.8% 24.2% 39.0% -22.0 0
2015-08-01 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1485 1462 39.0% 24.2% 36.8% +22.0 3
2015-08-01 Motherwell L 0-1 1564 1474 52.1% 23.1% 24.8% -8.1 0
2015-08-01 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1474 1564 24.8% 23.1% 52.1% +8.1 3
2015-08-01 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1480 1526 33.6% 24.1% 42.3% +0.3 1
2015-08-01 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1526 1480 42.3% 24.1% 33.6% -0.3 1
2015-08-01 Ross County W 2-0 1759 1490 71.2% 17.2% 11.6% +3.8 3
2015-08-01 @ Celtic L 0-2 1490 1759 11.6% 17.2% 71.2% -3.8 0
2015-08-02 Aberdeen L 0-1 1531 1610 29.4% 23.8% 46.9% -5.1 0
2015-08-02 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1610 1531 46.9% 23.8% 29.4% +5.1 3
2015-08-02 St. Johnstone W 4-3 1553 1553 40.0% 24.2% 35.8% +5.2 3
2015-08-02 @ Heart of Midlothian L 3-4 1553 1553 35.8% 24.2% 40.0% -5.2 0
2015-08-08 Dundee United L 0-2 1483 1526 34.1% 24.1% 41.8% -10.9 3
2015-08-08 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1526 1483 41.8% 24.1% 34.1% +10.9 3
2015-08-08 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1486 1481 40.9% 24.1% 35.0% +11.1 3
2015-08-08 @ Ross County L 0-2 1481 1486 35.0% 24.1% 40.9% -11.1 1
2015-08-08 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1507 1558 32.9% 24.1% 43.0% -5.3 3
2015-08-08 @ Dundee W 2-1 1558 1507 43.0% 24.1% 32.9% +5.3 6
2015-08-08 Inverness CT D 1-1 1548 1556 39.0% 24.2% 36.9% -0.1 1
2015-08-08 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1556 1548 36.9% 24.2% 39.0% +0.1 1
2015-08-09 Celtic L 0-2 1526 1763 15.1% 19.6% 65.3% -5.2 1
2015-08-09 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1763 1526 65.3% 19.6% 15.1% +5.2 6
2015-08-09 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1615 1440 62.0% 20.7% 17.3% +5.9 6
2015-08-09 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1440 1615 17.3% 20.7% 62.0% -5.9 0
2015-08-11 Dundee D 2-2 1536 1501 45.0% 23.9% 31.1% -0.3 4
2015-08-11 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1501 1536 31.1% 23.9% 45.0% +0.3 4
2015-08-11 Ross County D 1-1 1548 1497 47.1% 23.7% 29.2% -0.6 2
2015-08-11 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1497 1548 29.2% 23.7% 47.1% +0.6 4
2015-08-12 Celtic D 2-2 1434 1768 10.0% 15.9% 74.1% +1.8 1
2015-08-12 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1768 1434 74.1% 15.9% 10.0% -1.8 7
2015-08-12 Motherwell W 2-0 1563 1472 52.4% 23.0% 24.6% +8.3 9
2015-08-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1472 1563 24.6% 23.0% 52.4% -8.3 3
2015-08-12 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1556 1521 45.0% 23.9% 31.1% -0.5 2
2015-08-12 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1521 1556 31.1% 23.9% 45.0% +0.5 2
2015-08-15 Aberdeen L 1-2 1463 1621 21.2% 22.1% 56.7% -3.6 3
2015-08-15 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1621 1463 56.7% 22.1% 21.2% +3.6 9
2015-08-15 Dundee United W 4-0 1469 1536 31.0% 23.9% 45.1% +25.7 4
2015-08-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-4 1536 1469 45.1% 23.9% 31.0% -25.7 4
2015-08-15 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1498 1572 30.1% 23.8% 46.1% -4.9 4
2015-08-15 @ Ross County W 2-1 1572 1498 46.1% 23.8% 30.1% +4.9 12
2015-08-15 Inverness CT W 4-2 1767 1555 65.8% 19.4% 14.8% +3.9 10
2015-08-15 @ Celtic L 2-4 1555 1767 14.8% 19.4% 65.8% -3.9 2
2015-08-15 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1521 1436 51.6% 23.1% 25.2% -0.7 3
2015-08-15 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1436 1521 25.2% 23.1% 51.6% +0.7 2
2015-08-15 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1502 1547 33.7% 24.1% 42.2% +6.4 7
2015-08-15 @ Dundee L 1-2 1547 1502 42.2% 24.1% 33.7% -6.4 2
2015-08-22 Celtic L 1-3 1510 1771 13.7% 18.8% 67.5% -4.0 4
2015-08-22 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1771 1510 67.5% 18.8% 13.7% +4.0 13
2015-08-22 Dundee W 2-0 1625 1508 55.4% 22.4% 22.1% +7.5 12
2015-08-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1508 1625 22.1% 22.4% 55.4% -7.5 7
2015-08-22 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1551 1495 47.8% 23.6% 28.5% -14.2 2
2015-08-22 @ Inverness CT W 2-0 1495 1551 28.5% 23.6% 47.8% +14.2 7
2015-08-22 Motherwell W 2-1 1541 1460 51.0% 23.2% 25.7% +4.3 5
2015-08-22 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1460 1541 25.7% 23.2% 51.0% -4.3 3
2015-08-22 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1576 1521 47.8% 23.7% 28.6% +13.7 15
2015-08-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1521 1576 28.6% 23.7% 47.8% -13.7 3
2015-08-22 Ross County L 0-4 1437 1493 32.3% 24.0% 43.7% -19.8 2
2015-08-22 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1493 1437 43.7% 24.0% 32.3% +19.8 7
2015-08-29 Aberdeen L 0-2 1507 1632 24.3% 22.9% 52.8% -8.2 3
2015-08-29 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1632 1507 52.8% 22.9% 24.3% +8.2 15
2015-08-29 Dundee United W 2-1 1513 1506 41.0% 24.1% 34.9% +5.5 10
2015-08-29 @ Ross County L 1-2 1506 1513 34.9% 24.1% 41.0% -5.5 4
2015-08-29 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1509 1590 29.2% 23.7% 47.0% +6.6 10
2015-08-29 @ Hamilton Academical L 2-3 1590 1509 47.0% 23.7% 29.2% -6.7 15
2015-08-29 Inverness CT D 1-1 1501 1537 34.9% 24.1% 41.0% +0.2 8
2015-08-29 @ Dundee D 1-1 1537 1501 41.0% 24.1% 34.9% -0.2 3
2015-08-29 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1455 1417 45.5% 23.9% 30.6% +5.3 6
2015-08-29 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1417 1455 30.6% 23.9% 45.5% -5.3 2
2015-08-29 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1775 1545 67.5% 18.8% 13.7% +4.0 16
2015-08-29 @ Celtic L 1-3 1545 1775 13.7% 18.8% 67.5% -4.0 5
2015-09-11 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1537 1584 33.6% 24.1% 42.3% +12.9 6
2015-09-11 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1584 1537 42.3% 24.1% 33.6% -12.9 15
2015-09-12 Celtic W 2-1 1640 1779 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% +7.9 18
2015-09-12 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1779 1640 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% -7.9 16
2015-09-12 Dundee L 0-1 1499 1501 39.8% 24.2% 36.0% -6.5 3
2015-09-12 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1501 1499 36.0% 24.2% 39.8% +6.5 11
2015-09-12 Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1541 1516 43.6% 24.0% 32.4% +12.8 8
2015-09-12 @ St. Johnstone L 1-4 1516 1541 32.4% 24.0% 43.6% -12.8 10
2015-09-12 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1501 1411 52.1% 23.1% 24.9% -7.6 4
2015-09-12 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1411 1501 24.9% 23.1% 52.1% +7.6 5
2015-09-12 Ross County D 1-1 1461 1518 32.1% 24.0% 43.9% +0.4 7
2015-09-12 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1518 1461 43.9% 24.0% 32.1% -0.4 11
2015-09-15 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1648 1503 58.7% 21.6% 19.6% +3.6 21
2015-09-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1503 1648 19.6% 21.6% 58.7% -3.6 10
2015-09-19 Inverness CT D 1-1 1493 1550 32.2% 24.0% 43.8% +0.4 5
2015-09-19 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1550 1493 43.8% 24.0% 32.2% -0.4 7
2015-09-19 Motherwell W 1-0 1500 1461 45.5% 23.9% 30.7% +5.3 13
2015-09-19 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1461 1500 30.7% 23.9% 45.5% -5.3 7
2015-09-19 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1518 1492 43.7% 24.0% 32.3% +5.5 14
2015-09-19 @ Ross County L 0-1 1492 1518 32.3% 24.0% 43.7% -5.5 3
2015-09-19 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1419 1554 23.3% 22.7% 53.9% +7.9 8
2015-09-19 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1554 1419 53.9% 22.7% 23.3% -7.9 8
2015-09-20 Aberdeen L 1-3 1571 1652 29.2% 23.7% 47.1% -8.3 15
2015-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1652 1571 47.1% 23.7% 29.2% +8.3 24
2015-09-20 Dundee W 6-0 1771 1507 70.7% 17.5% 11.9% +11.0 19
2015-09-20 @ Celtic L 0-6 1507 1771 11.9% 17.5% 70.7% -11.0 11
2015-09-26 Aberdeen W 2-1 1550 1660 25.8% 23.2% 50.9% +7.5 10
2015-09-26 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1660 1550 50.9% 23.2% 25.8% -7.5 24
2015-09-26 Dundee United W 2-1 1546 1494 47.3% 23.7% 28.9% +4.8 11
2015-09-26 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1494 1546 28.9% 23.7% 47.3% -4.8 5
2015-09-26 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1427 1505 29.5% 23.8% 46.7% -4.9 8
2015-09-26 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1505 1427 46.7% 23.8% 29.5% +4.8 16
2015-09-26 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1782 1562 66.5% 19.1% 14.3% -2.1 20
2015-09-26 @ Celtic D 0-0 1562 1782 14.3% 19.1% 66.5% +2.1 16
2015-09-26 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1456 1487 35.7% 24.2% 40.1% +6.2 10
2015-09-26 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1487 1456 40.1% 24.2% 35.7% -6.2 3
2015-09-26 Ross County D 3-3 1496 1523 36.2% 24.2% 39.6% +0.1 12
2015-09-26 @ Dundee D 3-3 1523 1496 39.6% 24.2% 36.2% -0.1 15
2015-10-03 Dundee United W 3-0 1481 1489 38.9% 24.2% 36.9% +16.8 6
2015-10-03 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1489 1481 36.9% 24.2% 38.9% -16.8 5
2015-10-03 Inverness CT L 1-2 1523 1557 35.3% 24.2% 40.5% -5.6 15
2015-10-03 @ Ross County W 2-1 1557 1523 40.5% 24.2% 35.3% +5.6 13
2015-10-03 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1564 1422 58.4% 21.7% 19.9% -1.4 17
2015-10-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1422 1564 19.9% 21.7% 58.4% +1.4 9
2015-10-03 Motherwell W 2-1 1496 1462 44.9% 23.9% 31.2% +5.1 15
2015-10-03 @ Dundee L 1-2 1462 1496 31.2% 23.9% 44.9% -5.1 10
2015-10-03 St. Johnstone L 1-5 1653 1551 53.7% 22.8% 23.6% -24.8 24
2015-10-03 @ Aberdeen W 5-1 1551 1653 23.6% 22.8% 53.7% +24.8 14
2015-10-04 Celtic L 1-2 1510 1780 13.2% 18.4% 68.5% -2.2 16
2015-10-04 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1780 1510 68.5% 18.4% 13.2% +2.2 23
2015-10-16 Aberdeen W 2-0 1518 1628 25.9% 23.2% 50.9% +15.0 18
2015-10-16 @ Ross County L 0-2 1628 1518 50.9% 23.2% 25.9% -15.0 24
2015-10-17 Celtic L 0-1 1457 1782 10.4% 16.2% 73.4% -1.8 10
2015-10-17 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1782 1457 73.4% 16.2% 10.4% +1.8 26
2015-10-17 Dundee D 1-1 1508 1501 41.0% 24.1% 34.9% -0.2 17
2015-10-17 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1501 1508 34.9% 24.1% 41.0% +0.2 16
2015-10-17 Inverness CT W 2-0 1423 1563 22.9% 22.6% 54.5% +15.9 12
2015-10-17 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1563 1423 54.5% 22.6% 22.9% -15.9 13
2015-10-17 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1576 1497 50.7% 23.3% 26.0% -7.5 14
2015-10-17 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1497 1576 26.0% 23.3% 50.7% +7.5 9
2015-10-18 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1472 1563 28.0% 23.6% 48.4% -4.9 5
2015-10-18 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1563 1472 48.4% 23.6% 28.0% +4.9 20
2015-10-24 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1505 1507 39.7% 24.2% 36.1% -0.1 10
2015-10-24 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1507 1505 36.1% 24.2% 39.7% +0.1 18
2015-10-24 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1502 1439 48.6% 23.6% 27.8% -7.2 16
2015-10-24 @ Dundee W 2-1 1439 1502 27.8% 23.6% 48.6% +7.2 15
2015-10-24 Motherwell D 1-1 1613 1455 60.2% 21.2% 18.6% -1.5 25
2015-10-24 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1455 1613 18.6% 21.2% 60.2% +1.5 11
2015-10-24 Ross County W 2-0 1568 1533 45.0% 23.9% 31.1% +10.1 23
2015-10-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1533 1568 31.1% 23.9% 45.0% -10.1 18
2015-10-24 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1547 1568 37.0% 24.2% 38.8% -6.2 13
2015-10-24 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1568 1547 38.8% 24.2% 37.0% +6.2 17
2015-10-25 Dundee United W 5-0 1784 1467 75.2% 15.4% 9.4% +7.1 29
2015-10-25 @ Celtic L 0-5 1467 1784 9.4% 15.4% 75.2% -7.1 5
2015-10-31 Aberdeen W 3-1 1791 1612 62.5% 20.5% 17.0% +5.0 32
2015-10-31 @ Celtic L 1-3 1612 1791 17.0% 20.5% 62.5% -5.0 25
2015-10-31 Dundee D 1-1 1541 1494 46.5% 23.8% 29.7% -0.6 14
2015-10-31 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1494 1541 29.7% 23.8% 46.5% +0.6 17
2015-10-31 Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1505 1578 30.1% 23.8% 46.1% -18.7 10
2015-10-31 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1578 1505 46.1% 23.8% 30.1% +18.7 26
2015-10-31 Motherwell L 0-1 1447 1457 38.6% 24.2% 37.2% -6.4 15
2015-10-31 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1457 1447 37.2% 24.2% 38.6% +6.4 14
2015-10-31 Ross County W 1-0 1460 1523 31.4% 23.9% 44.6% +7.1 8
2015-10-31 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1523 1460 44.6% 23.9% 31.4% -7.1 18
2015-10-31 St. Johnstone L 2-4 1508 1574 30.9% 23.9% 45.1% -7.8 18
2015-10-31 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-2 1574 1508 45.1% 23.9% 30.9% +7.8 20
2015-11-07 Dundee United W 2-0 1606 1467 58.1% 21.8% 20.1% +6.9 28
2015-11-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1467 1606 20.1% 21.8% 58.1% -6.9 8
2015-11-07 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1597 1500 53.1% 22.9% 24.0% +8.1 29
2015-11-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1500 1597 24.0% 22.9% 53.1% -8.1 18
2015-11-07 Inverness CT L 1-3 1463 1540 29.7% 23.8% 46.5% -8.4 14
2015-11-07 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1540 1463 46.5% 23.8% 29.7% +8.4 17
2015-11-07 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1582 1440 58.4% 21.7% 19.9% +3.4 23
2015-11-07 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1440 1582 19.9% 21.7% 58.4% -3.4 15
2015-11-07 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1495 1486 41.4% 24.1% 34.5% -0.2 18
2015-11-07 @ Dundee D 1-1 1486 1495 34.5% 24.1% 41.4% +0.2 11
2015-11-08 Celtic L 1-4 1516 1796 12.6% 18.0% 69.4% -5.2 18
2015-11-08 @ Ross County W 4-1 1796 1516 69.4% 18.0% 12.6% +5.2 35
2015-11-21 Dundee D 1-1 1605 1495 54.7% 22.6% 22.8% -1.1 30
2015-11-21 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1495 1605 22.8% 22.6% 54.7% +1.1 19
2015-11-21 Inverness CT W 2-1 1486 1548 31.5% 24.0% 44.5% +6.7 14
2015-11-21 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1548 1486 44.5% 24.0% 31.5% -6.7 17
2015-11-21 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1801 1437 78.8% 13.6% 7.7% -2.9 36
2015-11-21 @ Celtic D 0-0 1437 1801 7.7% 13.6% 78.8% +2.9 16
2015-11-21 Motherwell W 3-0 1510 1455 47.8% 23.7% 28.6% +13.7 21
2015-11-21 @ Ross County L 0-3 1455 1510 28.6% 23.7% 47.8% -13.7 14
2015-11-21 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1460 1586 24.3% 22.9% 52.8% -4.1 8
2015-11-21 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1586 1460 52.8% 22.9% 24.3% +4.1 26
2015-11-22 Aberdeen D 1-1 1492 1613 24.6% 23.0% 52.3% +1.0 19
2015-11-22 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1613 1492 52.3% 23.0% 24.6% -1.0 29
2015-11-27 Dundee D 1-1 1590 1496 52.6% 23.0% 24.4% -1.0 27
2015-11-27 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1496 1590 24.4% 23.0% 52.6% +1.0 20
2015-11-28 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1456 1493 34.9% 24.1% 40.9% -5.5 8
2015-11-28 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1493 1456 40.9% 24.1% 34.9% +5.5 22
2015-11-28 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1441 1604 20.7% 22.0% 57.3% +1.0 15
2015-11-28 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1604 1441 57.3% 22.0% 20.7% -1.0 31
2015-11-28 Partick Thistle L 2-5 1440 1493 32.7% 24.0% 43.3% -11.2 16
2015-11-28 @ Kilmarnock W 5-2 1493 1440 43.3% 24.0% 32.7% +11.2 17
2015-11-28 Ross County W 3-1 1612 1524 52.0% 23.1% 24.9% +7.3 32
2015-11-28 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1524 1612 24.9% 23.1% 52.0% -7.3 21
2015-11-29 Celtic L 1-3 1542 1798 13.9% 18.9% 67.2% -4.1 17
2015-11-29 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1798 1542 67.2% 18.9% 13.9% +4.1 39
2015-12-05 Aberdeen L 0-2 1497 1620 24.5% 23.0% 52.5% -8.3 20
2015-12-05 @ Dundee W 2-0 1620 1497 52.5% 23.0% 24.5% +8.3 35
2015-12-05 Dundee United D 1-1 1429 1450 37.0% 24.2% 38.9% +0.1 17
2015-12-05 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1450 1429 38.9% 24.2% 37.0% -0.1 9
2015-12-05 St. Johnstone L 2-3 1517 1589 30.3% 23.8% 45.8% -4.7 21
2015-12-05 @ Ross County W 3-2 1589 1517 45.8% 23.8% 30.3% +4.7 30
2015-12-12 Dundee W 3-1 1442 1489 33.5% 24.1% 42.4% +11.2 18
2015-12-12 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1489 1442 42.4% 24.1% 33.5% -11.2 20
2015-12-12 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1628 1603 43.6% 24.0% 32.4% +5.5 38
2015-12-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1603 1628 32.4% 24.0% 43.6% -5.6 31
2015-12-12 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1538 1429 54.5% 22.6% 22.9% +3.9 20
2015-12-12 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1429 1538 22.9% 22.6% 54.5% -3.9 17
2015-12-12 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1450 1504 32.6% 24.0% 43.4% -5.6 9
2015-12-12 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1504 1450 43.4% 24.0% 32.6% +5.6 20
2015-12-12 Ross County L 1-3 1498 1512 38.1% 24.2% 37.7% -10.3 22
2015-12-12 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1512 1498 37.7% 24.2% 38.1% +10.3 24
2015-12-13 Celtic L 0-3 1593 1802 17.1% 20.6% 62.4% -8.5 30
2015-12-13 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1802 1593 62.4% 20.6% 17.1% +8.5 42
2015-12-19 Aberdeen L 0-4 1425 1634 17.1% 20.6% 62.4% -11.1 17
2015-12-19 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1634 1425 62.4% 20.6% 17.1% +11.1 41
2015-12-19 Dundee United D 2-2 1542 1445 53.0% 22.9% 24.1% -0.8 21
2015-12-19 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1445 1542 24.1% 22.9% 53.0% +0.8 10
2015-12-19 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1477 1488 38.6% 24.2% 37.2% +22.1 23
2015-12-19 @ Dundee L 0-4 1488 1477 37.2% 24.2% 38.6% -22.1 22
2015-12-19 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1585 1597 38.3% 24.2% 37.5% -0.0 31
2015-12-19 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1597 1585 37.5% 24.2% 38.3% +0.0 32
2015-12-19 Motherwell L 1-2 1811 1453 78.3% 13.8% 7.9% -10.6 42
2015-12-19 @ Celtic W 2-1 1453 1811 7.9% 13.8% 78.3% +10.6 21
2015-12-19 Ross County W 1-0 1510 1522 38.3% 24.2% 37.5% +6.2 23
2015-12-19 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1522 1510 37.5% 24.2% 38.3% -6.2 24
2015-12-26 Dundee W 5-2 1516 1500 42.4% 24.1% 33.5% +11.4 27
2015-12-26 @ Ross County L 2-5 1500 1516 33.5% 24.1% 42.4% -11.4 23
2015-12-26 Inverness CT D 2-2 1645 1541 53.9% 22.7% 23.4% -0.8 42
2015-12-26 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1541 1645 23.4% 22.7% 53.9% +0.8 22
2015-12-26 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1466 1414 47.3% 23.7% 29.0% -7.5 22
2015-12-26 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1414 1466 29.0% 23.7% 47.3% +7.5 20
2015-12-27 Celtic D 2-2 1597 1800 17.5% 20.8% 61.7% +1.2 33
2015-12-27 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1800 1597 61.7% 20.8% 17.5% -1.2 43
2015-12-29 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1528 1421 54.2% 22.7% 23.1% +3.7 30
2015-12-29 @ Ross County L 2-3 1421 1528 23.1% 22.7% 54.2% -3.7 20
2015-12-30 Dundee United W 3-2 1599 1446 59.6% 21.4% 19.0% +3.1 36
2015-12-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1446 1599 19.0% 21.4% 59.6% -3.1 10
2015-12-30 Inverness CT L 3-4 1458 1542 28.9% 23.7% 47.4% -4.4 22
2015-12-30 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-3 1542 1458 47.4% 23.7% 28.9% +4.4 25
2015-12-30 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1644 1516 56.8% 22.1% 21.1% -1.4 43
2015-12-30 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1516 1644 21.1% 22.1% 56.8% +1.4 24
2015-12-30 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1464 1585 24.7% 23.0% 52.3% +15.3 24
2015-12-30 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1585 1464 52.3% 23.0% 24.7% -15.3 31
2016-01-02 Dundee United W 2-1 1488 1442 46.4% 23.8% 29.8% +4.9 26
2016-01-02 @ Dundee L 1-2 1442 1488 29.8% 23.8% 46.4% -4.9 10
2016-01-02 Hamilton Academical D 3-3 1479 1454 43.6% 24.0% 32.4% -0.2 25
2016-01-02 @ Motherwell D 3-3 1454 1479 32.4% 24.0% 43.6% +0.2 23
2016-01-02 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1417 1602 18.9% 21.4% 59.7% +1.1 21
2016-01-02 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1602 1417 59.7% 21.4% 18.9% -1.1 37
2016-01-02 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1799 1517 72.3% 16.8% 11.0% +1.9 46
2016-01-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1517 1799 11.0% 16.8% 72.3% -1.9 24
2016-01-02 Ross County W 2-0 1546 1531 42.2% 24.1% 33.7% +10.8 28
2016-01-02 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1531 1546 33.7% 24.1% 42.2% -10.8 30
2016-01-15 Celtic L 1-4 1438 1801 8.8% 14.8% 76.4% -3.4 10
2016-01-15 @ Dundee United W 4-1 1801 1438 76.4% 14.8% 8.8% +3.4 49
2016-01-16 Dundee L 2-4 1515 1493 43.2% 24.0% 32.7% -10.2 24
2016-01-16 @ Partick Thistle W 4-2 1493 1515 32.7% 24.0% 43.2% +10.2 29
2016-01-16 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1570 1454 55.3% 22.4% 22.3% -1.3 32
2016-01-16 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1454 1570 22.3% 22.4% 55.3% +1.3 24
2016-01-16 Inverness CT W 2-1 1418 1557 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% +7.9 24
2016-01-16 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1557 1418 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% -7.9 28
2016-01-16 Motherwell W 6-0 1601 1479 56.1% 22.3% 21.7% +20.5 40
2016-01-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-6 1479 1601 21.7% 22.3% 56.1% -20.5 25
2016-01-17 Aberdeen L 2-3 1520 1642 24.6% 23.0% 52.4% -3.9 30
2016-01-17 @ Ross County W 3-2 1642 1520 52.4% 23.0% 24.6% +3.9 46
2016-01-19 Hamilton Academical W 8-1 1804 1455 77.7% 14.1% 8.2% +6.8 52
2016-01-19 @ Celtic L 1-8 1455 1804 8.2% 14.1% 77.7% -6.8 24
2016-01-22 Dundee W 1-0 1646 1503 58.5% 21.7% 19.8% +3.6 49
2016-01-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1503 1646 19.8% 21.7% 58.5% -3.6 29
2016-01-23 Kilmarnock W 5-1 1434 1426 41.2% 24.1% 34.7% +17.5 13
2016-01-23 @ Dundee United L 1-5 1426 1434 34.7% 24.1% 41.2% -17.5 24
2016-01-23 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1549 1505 46.1% 23.8% 30.0% -0.6 29
2016-01-23 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1505 1549 30.0% 23.8% 46.1% +0.6 25
2016-01-23 Ross County L 1-2 1458 1516 32.0% 24.0% 44.0% -5.2 25
2016-01-23 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1516 1458 44.0% 24.0% 32.0% +5.2 33
2016-01-23 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1811 1568 68.8% 18.2% 13.0% +3.8 55
2016-01-23 @ Celtic L 1-3 1568 1811 13.0% 18.2% 68.8% -3.8 32
2016-01-24 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1449 1621 19.9% 21.7% 58.4% +1.5 25
2016-01-24 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1621 1449 58.4% 21.7% 19.9% -1.5 41
2016-01-30 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1409 1450 34.3% 24.1% 41.6% -5.8 24
2016-01-30 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1450 1409 41.6% 24.1% 34.3% +5.8 28
2016-01-30 Motherwell D 2-2 1500 1453 46.6% 23.8% 29.7% -0.4 30
2016-01-30 @ Dundee D 2-2 1453 1500 29.7% 23.8% 46.6% +0.4 26
2016-02-02 Motherwell W 1-0 1506 1453 47.3% 23.7% 29.0% +5.1 28
2016-02-02 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1453 1506 29.0% 23.7% 47.3% -5.1 26
2016-02-03 Celtic W 2-1 1650 1815 20.5% 21.9% 57.5% +8.3 52
2016-02-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1815 1650 57.5% 21.9% 20.5% -8.3 55
2016-02-06 Aberdeen L 3-4 1564 1658 27.7% 23.5% 48.8% -4.3 32
2016-02-06 @ St. Johnstone W 4-3 1658 1564 48.8% 23.5% 27.7% +4.2 55
2016-02-10 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1522 1620 27.2% 23.5% 49.3% -13.2 33
2016-02-10 @ Ross County W 3-0 1620 1522 49.3% 23.5% 27.2% +13.2 44
2016-02-12 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1499 1560 31.7% 24.0% 44.4% +13.4 33
2016-02-12 @ Dundee L 0-2 1560 1499 44.4% 24.0% 31.7% -13.4 32
2016-02-13 Dundee United D 0-0 1456 1452 40.7% 24.1% 35.2% -0.2 29
2016-02-13 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1452 1456 35.2% 24.1% 40.7% +0.2 14
2016-02-13 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1448 1403 46.4% 23.8% 29.8% -13.9 26
2016-02-13 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1403 1448 29.8% 23.8% 46.4% +13.9 27
2016-02-13 Ross County W 2-0 1807 1509 73.7% 16.1% 10.2% +3.4 58
2016-02-13 @ Celtic L 0-2 1509 1807 10.2% 16.1% 73.7% -3.3 33
2016-02-15 Aberdeen W 3-1 1548 1662 25.4% 23.2% 51.4% +13.1 32
2016-02-15 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1662 1548 51.4% 23.2% 25.4% -13.1 55
2016-02-16 Motherwell L 0-3 1452 1434 42.5% 24.1% 33.4% -18.8 14
2016-02-16 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1434 1452 33.4% 24.1% 42.5% +18.8 29
2016-02-20 Dundee D 0-0 1417 1513 27.5% 23.5% 49.0% +0.8 28
2016-02-20 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1513 1417 49.0% 23.5% 27.5% -0.8 34
2016-02-20 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1505 1456 46.9% 23.8% 29.3% +4.8 36
2016-02-20 @ Ross County L 1-2 1456 1505 29.3% 23.8% 46.9% -4.8 29
2016-02-20 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1433 1633 17.7% 20.9% 61.4% +8.8 17
2016-02-20 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1633 1433 61.4% 20.9% 17.7% -8.8 44
2016-02-20 Inverness CT W 3-0 1810 1561 69.3% 18.0% 12.7% +6.2 61
2016-02-20 @ Celtic L 0-3 1561 1810 12.7% 18.0% 69.3% -6.2 32
2016-02-20 Motherwell W 2-1 1547 1453 52.6% 23.0% 24.4% +4.1 35
2016-02-20 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1453 1547 24.4% 23.0% 52.6% -4.1 29
2016-02-23 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1511 1551 34.4% 24.1% 41.4% +12.7 31
2016-02-23 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1551 1511 41.4% 24.1% 34.4% -12.7 35
2016-02-26 Celtic D 1-1 1451 1816 8.7% 14.7% 76.6% +2.5 30
2016-02-26 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1816 1451 76.6% 14.7% 8.7% -2.5 62
2016-02-27 Dundee United L 0-3 1510 1442 49.4% 23.5% 27.1% -21.2 36
2016-02-27 @ Ross County W 3-0 1442 1510 27.1% 23.5% 49.4% +21.2 20
2016-02-27 Inverness CT D 1-1 1512 1555 34.0% 24.1% 41.9% +0.3 35
2016-02-27 @ Dundee D 1-1 1555 1512 41.9% 24.1% 34.0% -0.3 33
2016-02-27 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1624 1418 65.2% 19.6% 15.2% +2.7 47
2016-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1418 1624 15.2% 19.6% 65.2% -2.7 28
2016-02-27 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1449 1524 30.0% 23.8% 46.2% +12.0 32
2016-02-27 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1524 1449 46.2% 23.8% 30.0% -12.0 31
2016-02-27 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1649 1538 54.8% 22.6% 22.7% -1.1 56
2016-02-27 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1538 1649 22.7% 22.6% 54.8% +1.1 36
2016-03-01 Inverness CT W 2-0 1627 1555 49.9% 23.4% 26.7% +8.9 50
2016-03-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1555 1627 26.7% 23.4% 49.9% -8.9 33
2016-03-01 Ross County L 0-2 1415 1489 30.1% 23.8% 46.1% -9.8 28
2016-03-01 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1489 1415 46.1% 23.8% 30.1% +9.8 39
2016-03-02 Aberdeen L 0-1 1463 1648 18.8% 21.3% 59.8% -3.4 20
2016-03-02 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1648 1463 59.8% 21.3% 18.8% +3.4 59
2016-03-02 Dundee D 0-0 1814 1512 74.0% 16.0% 10.1% -2.6 63
2016-03-02 @ Celtic D 0-0 1512 1814 10.1% 16.0% 74.0% +2.6 36
2016-03-02 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1539 1512 44.0% 24.0% 32.0% -6.6 36
2016-03-02 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1512 1539 32.0% 24.0% 44.0% +6.6 34
2016-03-05 Motherwell L 0-1 1453 1461 39.0% 24.2% 36.8% -6.4 30
2016-03-05 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1461 1453 36.8% 24.2% 39.0% +6.4 35
2016-03-05 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1636 1518 55.5% 22.4% 22.1% +4.0 53
2016-03-05 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1518 1636 22.1% 22.4% 55.5% -4.0 34
2016-03-08 Aberdeen L 1-2 1514 1652 23.1% 22.7% 54.3% -3.9 34
2016-03-08 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1652 1514 54.3% 22.7% 23.1% +3.9 62
2016-03-09 Inverness CT W 1-0 1533 1546 38.2% 24.2% 37.6% +6.2 39
2016-03-09 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1546 1533 37.6% 24.2% 38.2% -6.2 33
2016-03-11 Dundee United W 2-1 1468 1460 41.2% 24.1% 34.7% +5.5 38
2016-03-11 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1460 1468 34.7% 24.1% 41.2% -5.5 20
2016-03-12 Celtic L 1-2 1510 1811 11.5% 17.2% 71.3% -1.9 34
2016-03-12 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1811 1510 71.3% 17.2% 11.5% +1.9 66
2016-03-12 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1540 1447 52.5% 23.0% 24.5% -8.2 33
2016-03-12 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1447 1540 24.5% 23.0% 52.5% +8.2 33
2016-03-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1515 1640 24.3% 22.9% 52.7% -4.3 36
2016-03-12 @ Dundee W 1-0 1640 1515 52.7% 22.9% 24.3% +4.4 56
2016-03-12 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1656 1405 69.5% 18.0% 12.6% +2.1 65
2016-03-12 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1405 1656 12.6% 18.0% 69.5% -2.1 28
2016-03-16 Ross County D 1-1 1539 1499 45.7% 23.9% 30.4% -0.5 40
2016-03-16 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1499 1539 30.4% 23.9% 45.7% +0.5 40
2016-03-19 Aberdeen W 2-1 1473 1658 18.9% 21.4% 59.8% +8.6 41
2016-03-19 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1658 1473 59.8% 21.4% 18.9% -8.6 65
2016-03-19 Celtic L 0-1 1403 1813 7.1% 13.0% 79.9% -1.2 28
2016-03-19 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1813 1403 79.9% 13.0% 7.1% +1.2 69
2016-03-19 Inverness CT L 0-3 1499 1532 35.5% 24.2% 40.4% -16.3 40
2016-03-19 @ Ross County W 3-0 1532 1499 40.4% 24.2% 35.5% +16.3 36
2016-03-19 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1455 1508 32.7% 24.0% 43.3% -5.3 33
2016-03-19 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1508 1455 43.3% 24.0% 32.7% +5.3 37
2016-03-19 St. Johnstone L 0-3 1644 1538 54.1% 22.7% 23.2% -22.9 56
2016-03-19 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1538 1644 23.2% 22.7% 54.1% +22.9 43
2016-03-20 Dundee D 2-2 1454 1510 32.3% 24.0% 43.7% +0.3 21
2016-03-20 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1510 1454 43.7% 24.0% 32.3% -0.3 37
2016-04-02 Dundee United L 0-1 1561 1454 54.3% 22.7% 23.1% -8.4 43
2016-04-02 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1454 1561 23.1% 22.7% 54.3% +8.4 24
2016-04-02 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1814 1621 63.9% 20.1% 16.0% +4.7 72
2016-04-02 @ Celtic L 1-3 1621 1814 16.0% 20.1% 63.9% -4.8 56
2016-04-02 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1514 1402 54.9% 22.5% 22.6% -1.3 38
2016-04-02 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1402 1514 22.6% 22.5% 54.9% +1.3 29
2016-04-02 Motherwell L 1-2 1548 1482 49.2% 23.5% 27.4% -7.3 36
2016-04-02 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1482 1548 27.4% 23.5% 49.2% +7.3 44
2016-04-02 Ross County W 5-2 1510 1483 43.9% 24.0% 32.1% +11.0 40
2016-04-02 @ Dundee L 2-5 1483 1510 32.1% 24.0% 43.9% -11.0 40
2016-04-03 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1649 1450 64.5% 19.9% 15.6% +7.7 68
2016-04-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1450 1649 15.6% 19.9% 64.5% -7.7 33
2016-04-05 Celtic D 0-0 1521 1819 11.7% 17.3% 71.0% +2.4 41
2016-04-05 @ Dundee D 0-0 1819 1521 71.0% 17.3% 11.7% -2.4 73
2016-04-05 Dundee United W 1-0 1512 1463 47.0% 23.8% 29.3% +5.1 41
2016-04-05 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1463 1512 29.3% 23.8% 47.0% -5.1 24
2016-04-08 Aberdeen W 2-1 1616 1657 34.4% 24.1% 41.5% +6.3 59
2016-04-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1657 1616 41.5% 24.1% 34.4% -6.3 68
2016-04-09 Celtic L 1-2 1489 1816 10.3% 16.2% 73.6% -1.7 44
2016-04-09 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1816 1489 73.6% 16.2% 10.3% +1.7 76
2016-04-09 Dundee W 2-1 1442 1523 29.1% 23.7% 47.1% +7.0 36
2016-04-09 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1523 1442 47.1% 23.7% 29.1% -7.0 41
2016-04-09 Inverness CT L 0-2 1458 1541 29.0% 23.7% 47.3% -9.5 24
2016-04-09 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1541 1458 47.3% 23.7% 29.0% +9.5 39
2016-04-09 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1472 1518 33.7% 24.1% 42.2% +6.8 43
2016-04-09 @ Ross County L 0-1 1518 1472 42.2% 24.1% 33.7% -6.8 41
2016-04-09 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1403 1553 21.9% 22.4% 55.8% +23.5 32
2016-04-09 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1553 1403 55.8% 22.4% 21.9% -23.5 43
2016-04-12 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1550 1623 30.2% 23.8% 45.9% +0.6 40
2016-04-12 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1623 1550 45.9% 23.8% 30.2% -0.6 60

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2016-04-22 Aberdeen W 3-0 1529 1651 24.7% 23.0% 52.2% +22.2 3
2016-04-22 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1651 1529 52.2% 23.0% 24.7% -22.2 0
2016-04-23 Dundee L 1-2 1511 1516 39.3% 24.2% 36.5% -6.1 0
2016-04-23 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1516 1511 36.5% 24.2% 39.3% +6.1 3
2016-04-23 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1487 1622 23.3% 22.7% 53.9% +8.3 3
2016-04-23 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1622 1487 53.9% 22.7% 23.3% -8.3 0
2016-04-24 Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1448 1449 40.0% 24.2% 35.9% -10.7 0
2016-04-24 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1449 1448 35.9% 24.2% 40.0% +10.7 3
2016-04-24 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1551 1427 56.3% 22.2% 21.5% +6.3 3
2016-04-24 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1427 1551 21.5% 22.2% 56.3% -6.3 0
2016-04-24 Ross County D 1-1 1818 1479 77.0% 14.5% 8.5% -2.5 1
2016-04-24 @ Celtic D 1-1 1479 1818 8.5% 14.5% 77.0% +2.5 1
2016-04-30 Celtic L 1-3 1614 1816 17.6% 20.8% 61.6% -5.2 0
2016-04-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1816 1614 61.6% 20.8% 17.6% +5.2 4
2016-04-30 Inverness CT L 1-4 1505 1557 32.8% 24.1% 43.2% -12.9 0
2016-04-30 @ Partick Thistle W 4-1 1557 1505 43.2% 24.1% 32.8% +12.9 6
2016-04-30 Kilmarnock L 0-4 1460 1420 45.6% 23.9% 30.6% -25.9 3
2016-04-30 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1420 1460 30.6% 23.9% 45.6% +25.9 3
2016-04-30 Motherwell W 4-1 1628 1496 57.3% 22.0% 20.7% +8.7 3
2016-04-30 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1496 1628 20.7% 22.0% 57.3% -8.7 3
2016-04-30 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1481 1552 30.5% 23.9% 45.7% -5.3 1
2016-04-30 @ Ross County W 1-0 1552 1481 45.7% 23.9% 30.5% +5.3 6
2016-05-02 Dundee United W 2-1 1522 1437 51.6% 23.2% 25.3% +4.3 6
2016-05-02 @ Dundee L 1-2 1437 1522 25.3% 23.2% 51.6% -4.2 0
2016-05-06 Dundee United L 2-3 1570 1433 57.8% 21.9% 20.3% -7.9 6
2016-05-06 @ Inverness CT W 3-2 1433 1570 20.3% 21.9% 57.8% +7.9 3
2016-05-07 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1527 1434 52.5% 23.0% 24.5% -8.2 6
2016-05-07 @ Dundee W 1-0 1434 1527 24.5% 23.0% 52.5% +8.2 6
2016-05-07 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1446 1492 33.7% 24.1% 42.2% -10.8 3
2016-05-07 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1492 1446 42.2% 24.1% 33.7% +10.8 3
2016-05-07 Ross County D 1-1 1608 1476 57.3% 22.0% 20.7% -1.3 1
2016-05-07 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1476 1608 20.7% 22.0% 57.3% +1.3 2
2016-05-07 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1487 1557 30.5% 23.9% 45.6% -5.0 3
2016-05-07 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1557 1487 45.6% 23.9% 30.5% +5.0 9
2016-05-08 Aberdeen W 3-2 1821 1637 62.9% 20.4% 16.7% +2.7 7
2016-05-08 @ Celtic L 2-3 1637 1821 16.7% 20.4% 62.9% -2.7 3
2016-05-10 Partick Thistle D 3-3 1441 1503 31.6% 24.0% 44.4% +0.3 4
2016-05-10 @ Dundee United D 3-3 1503 1441 44.4% 24.0% 31.6% -0.3 4
2016-05-11 Celtic W 2-1 1562 1823 13.6% 18.7% 67.7% +9.5 12
2016-05-11 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1823 1562 67.7% 18.7% 13.6% -9.5 7
2016-05-11 Inverness CT L 0-1 1442 1562 24.8% 23.1% 52.1% -4.4 6
2016-05-11 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1562 1442 52.1% 23.1% 24.8% +4.4 9
2016-05-11 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1519 1435 51.3% 23.2% 25.5% -0.9 7
2016-05-11 @ Dundee D 1-1 1435 1519 25.5% 23.2% 51.3% +0.9 4
2016-05-11 Motherwell L 1-3 1477 1482 39.4% 24.2% 36.4% -10.6 2
2016-05-11 @ Ross County W 3-1 1482 1477 36.4% 24.2% 39.4% +10.5 6
2016-05-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1634 1607 43.9% 24.0% 32.1% -7.0 3
2016-05-12 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1607 1634 32.1% 24.0% 43.9% +7.0 4
2016-05-14 Dundee W 4-0 1567 1518 46.9% 23.8% 29.4% +18.3 12
2016-05-14 @ Inverness CT L 0-4 1518 1567 29.4% 23.8% 46.9% -18.3 7
2016-05-14 Dundee United L 2-4 1436 1441 39.4% 24.2% 36.4% -9.4 4
2016-05-14 @ Kilmarnock W 4-2 1441 1436 36.4% 24.2% 39.4% +9.4 7
2016-05-14 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1502 1438 48.9% 23.5% 27.5% -0.5 5
2016-05-14 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1438 1502 27.5% 23.5% 48.9% +0.5 7
2016-05-15 Motherwell W 7-0 1814 1492 75.6% 15.2% 9.2% +9.6 10
2016-05-15 @ Celtic L 0-7 1492 1814 9.2% 15.2% 75.6% -9.6 6
2016-05-15 Ross County L 0-4 1627 1467 60.5% 21.2% 18.4% -32.9 3
2016-05-15 @ Aberdeen W 4-0 1467 1627 18.4% 21.2% 60.5% +32.9 5
2016-05-15 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1614 1572 46.0% 23.8% 30.1% -0.4 5
2016-05-15 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1572 1614 30.1% 23.8% 46.0% +0.4 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-12-19 7.88% Motherwell 1453 2 @ Celtic 1811 1
2 2016-05-11 13.63% @ St. Johnstone 1562 2 Celtic 1823 1
3 2016-02-20 17.72% @ Dundee United 1433 2 Heart of Midlothian 1633 1
4 2016-05-15 18.38% Ross County 1467 4 @ Aberdeen 1627 0
5 2016-03-19 18.89% @ Motherwell 1473 2 Aberdeen 1658 1
6 2016-05-06 20.33% Dundee United 1433 3 @ Inverness CT 1570 2
7 2016-02-03 20.54% @ Aberdeen 1650 2 Celtic 1815 1
8 2016-04-09 21.90% @ Kilmarnock 1403 3 St. Johnstone 1553 0
9 2015-10-17 22.90% @ Kilmarnock 1423 2 Inverness CT 1563 0
10 2016-01-16 22.98% @ Kilmarnock 1418 2 Inverness CT 1557 1
11 2015-09-12 23.00% @ Aberdeen 1640 2 Celtic 1779 1
12 2016-04-02 23.07% Dundee United 1454 1 @ St. Johnstone 1561 0
13 2016-03-19 23.21% St. Johnstone 1538 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1644 0
14 2015-09-19 23.33% @ Kilmarnock 1419 2 St. Johnstone 1554 1
15 2016-04-23 23.33% @ Motherwell 1487 1 Heart of Midlothian 1622 0
16 2015-10-03 23.56% St. Johnstone 1551 5 @ Aberdeen 1653 1
17 2016-05-07 24.47% Hamilton Academical 1434 1 @ Dundee 1527 0
18 2016-03-12 24.48% Hamilton Academical 1447 1 @ Inverness CT 1540 0
19 2015-12-30 24.70% @ Motherwell 1464 2 St. Johnstone 1585 0
20 2016-04-22 24.72% @ St. Johnstone 1529 3 Aberdeen 1651 0
21 2015-08-01 24.83% Motherwell 1474 1 @ Inverness CT 1564 0
22 2015-09-12 24.85% Kilmarnock 1411 2 @ Dundee United 1501 1
23 2016-02-15 25.44% @ Inverness CT 1548 3 Aberdeen 1662 1
24 2015-09-26 25.81% @ Inverness CT 1550 2 Aberdeen 1660 1
25 2015-10-16 25.86% @ Ross County 1518 2 Aberdeen 1628 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-05-15 32.92 Ross County 4 1467 18.38% @ Aberdeen 0 1627 60.47% 21.16%
2 2016-04-30 25.93 Kilmarnock 4 1420 30.55% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1460 45.57% 23.88%
3 2015-08-15 25.73 @ Hamilton Academical 4 1469 30.97% Dundee United 0 1536 45.12% 23.91%
4 2015-10-03 24.78 St. Johnstone 5 1551 23.56% @ Aberdeen 1 1653 53.66% 22.78%
5 2016-04-09 23.51 @ Kilmarnock 3 1403 21.90% St. Johnstone 0 1553 55.75% 22.35%
6 2016-03-19 22.92 St. Johnstone 3 1538 23.21% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1644 54.09% 22.69%
7 2016-04-22 22.25 @ St. Johnstone 3 1529 24.72% Aberdeen 0 1651 52.25% 23.03%
8 2015-12-19 22.12 @ Dundee 4 1477 38.60% Hamilton Academical 0 1488 37.21% 24.19%
9 2015-08-01 21.96 Dundee 4 1485 38.98% @ Kilmarnock 0 1462 36.83% 24.19%
10 2016-02-27 21.22 Dundee United 3 1442 27.14% @ Ross County 0 1510 49.40% 23.46%
11 2016-01-16 20.52 @ Heart of Midlothian 6 1601 56.06% Motherwell 0 1479 21.66% 22.28%
12 2015-08-22 19.79 Ross County 4 1493 43.72% @ Kilmarnock 0 1437 32.27% 24.01%
13 2016-02-16 18.78 Motherwell 3 1434 33.39% @ Dundee United 0 1452 42.53% 24.08%
14 2015-10-31 18.72 Heart of Midlothian 4 1578 46.05% @ Partick Thistle 0 1505 30.12% 23.83%
15 2016-05-14 18.34 @ Inverness CT 4 1567 46.86% Dundee 0 1518 29.39% 23.76%
16 2016-01-23 17.46 @ Dundee United 5 1434 41.19% Kilmarnock 1 1426 34.68% 24.14%
17 2015-10-03 16.82 @ Partick Thistle 3 1481 38.92% Dundee United 0 1489 36.89% 24.19%
18 2016-03-19 16.33 Inverness CT 3 1532 40.37% @ Ross County 0 1499 35.47% 24.16%
19 2015-10-17 15.87 @ Kilmarnock 2 1423 22.90% Inverness CT 0 1563 54.48% 22.62%
20 2015-12-30 15.33 @ Motherwell 2 1464 24.70% St. Johnstone 0 1585 52.27% 23.03%
21 2015-10-16 14.98 @ Ross County 2 1518 25.86% Aberdeen 0 1628 50.89% 23.25%
22 2015-08-22 14.23 Hamilton Academical 2 1495 28.51% @ Inverness CT 0 1551 47.84% 23.65%
23 2016-02-13 13.86 Kilmarnock 2 1403 29.83% @ Motherwell 0 1448 46.36% 23.80%
24 2015-08-22 13.71 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1576 47.77% Partick Thistle 0 1521 28.57% 23.66%
25 2015-11-21 13.71 @ Ross County 3 1510 47.76% Motherwell 0 1455 28.57% 23.66%