Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2016-17

2016-17 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

106 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inverness CT

22.49 points above expected

34 points · 56.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

87.32 points below expected

106 points · 193.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 29 4 0 91 87 22 +65 75.76 +15.24
2 Aberdeen 33 21 4 8 67 63 28 +35 57.14 +9.86
3 Rangers 33 16 10 7 58 48 34 +14 50.16 +7.84
4 St. Johnstone 33 14 7 12 49 44 40 +4 48.88 +0.12
5 Heart of Midlothian 33 12 9 12 45 51 43 +8 53.71 -8.71
6 Partick Thistle 33 10 11 12 41 35 38 -3 41.14 -0.14
7 Kilmarnock 33 7 14 12 35 30 49 -19 33.39 +1.61
8 Ross County 33 7 12 14 33 37 54 -17 36.47 -3.47
9 Hamilton Academical 33 6 14 13 32 30 48 -18 33.92 -1.92
10 Motherwell 33 8 8 17 32 38 61 -23 35.16 -3.16
11 Dundee 33 8 6 19 30 33 53 -20 38.22 -8.22
12 Inverness CT 33 4 13 16 25 36 62 -26 40.90 -15.90
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 34 4 0 106 106 25 +81 193.32 -87.32
2 Aberdeen 38 24 4 10 76 74 35 +39 141.81 -65.81
3 Rangers 38 19 10 9 67 56 44 +12 122.92 -55.92
4 St. Johnstone 38 17 7 14 58 50 46 +4 103.27 -45.27
5 Heart of Midlothian 38 12 10 16 46 55 52 +3 95.48 -49.48
6 Partick Thistle 38 10 12 16 42 38 54 -16 86.59 -44.59
7 Ross County 38 11 13 14 46 48 58 -10 75.19 -29.19
8 Kilmarnock 38 9 14 15 41 36 56 -20 75.34 -34.34
9 Motherwell 38 10 8 20 38 46 69 -23 70.43 -32.43
10 Dundee 38 10 7 21 37 38 62 -24 68.46 -31.46
11 Hamilton Academical 38 7 14 17 35 37 56 -19 69.06 -34.06
12 Inverness CT 38 7 13 18 34 44 71 -27 56.49 -22.49

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1937 106 75.76 +30.24 99.7% 49 65 72 76 80 86 95
Aberdeen 1719 76 57.14 +18.86 92.6% 28 45 52 57 62 69 84
Rangers 1661 67 50.16 +16.84 87.5% 22 38 45 50 55 62 75
St. Johnstone 1608 58 48.88 +9.12 54.4% 23 37 44 49 54 61 77
Heart of Midlothian 1567 46 53.71 -7.71 12.7% 24 42 49 54 59 66 82
Ross County 1516 46 36.47 +9.53 33.9% 11 25 32 36 41 48 65
Partick Thistle 1497 42 41.14 +0.86 52.6% 13 30 36 41 46 53 70
Kilmarnock 1463 41 33.39 +7.61 63.0% 12 22 29 33 38 45 62
Hamilton Academical 1450 35 33.92 +1.08 42.5% 9 23 29 34 39 46 63
Inverness CT 1439 34 40.90 -6.90 1.4% 16 29 36 41 46 53 70
Motherwell 1438 38 35.16 +2.84 36.2% 10 24 30 35 40 47 64
Dundee 1405 37 38.22 -1.22 13.7% 14 27 33 38 43 50 71

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN HA HOM IC KIL MOT PT RAN RC SJ
Aberdeen
0-0-4
2.88
3-0-0
5.47
1-0-2
6.15
3-1-0
6.11
2-1-0
5.49
3-0-0
5.95
3-0-0
6.29
4-0-0
7.21
2-0-2
6.36
2-0-1
6.02
1-2-1
6.64
Celtic
4-0-0
8.18
3-0-0
7.10
3-0-0
7.45
4-0-0
8.71
2-1-0
6.81
3-0-0
7.34
3-0-0
7.25
3-1-0
9.65
3-1-0
8.64
2-1-0
7.26
4-0-0
8.84
Dundee
0-0-3
2.78
0-0-3
1.36
1-1-2
5.78
1-0-2
2.53
1-1-2
5.42
1-2-1
5.87
3-1-0
5.49
0-0-3
4.04
1-0-2
3.32
1-2-1
5.34
1-0-2
3.01
Hamilton Academical
2-0-1
2.15
0-0-3
1.08
2-1-1
5.16
0-1-2
2.47
1-2-1
4.87
0-2-2
5.81
0-2-2
5.35
0-2-1
3.62
0-1-2
2.64
1-2-1
4.81
1-1-1
2.80
Heart of Midlothian
0-1-3
4.83
0-0-4
2.45
2-0-1
5.72
2-1-0
5.79
1-2-0
5.21
1-1-1
5.73
3-0-0
5.43
1-2-1
6.97
2-0-2
5.40
0-2-1
5.80
0-1-3
5.62
Inverness CT
0-1-2
2.78
0-1-2
1.59
2-1-1
5.51
1-2-1
6.07
0-2-1
3.02
0-3-1
5.79
2-0-2
5.84
0-2-1
3.81
1-0-2
3.26
0-1-3
5.70
1-0-2
3.51
Kilmarnock
0-0-3
2.33
0-0-3
1.16
1-2-1
5.07
2-2-0
5.12
1-1-1
2.53
1-3-0
5.16
0-1-3
5.69
0-3-0
3.41
0-2-1
2.88
2-0-2
4.95
2-0-1
2.49
Motherwell
0-0-3
2.03
0-0-3
1.23
0-1-3
5.43
2-2-0
5.57
0-0-3
2.80
2-0-2
5.09
3-1-0
5.24
1-1-1
3.39
0-1-2
2.63
2-1-1
5.09
0-1-2
3.08
Partick Thistle
0-0-4
3.77
0-1-3
1.66
3-0-0
4.15
1-2-0
4.58
1-2-1
4.00
1-2-0
4.39
0-3-0
4.79
1-1-1
4.83
0-0-4
4.21
2-1-0
4.55
1-0-3
4.57
Rangers
2-0-2
4.58
0-1-3
2.49
2-0-1
4.89
2-1-0
5.61
2-0-2
5.54
2-0-1
4.96
1-2-0
5.34
2-1-0
5.62
4-0-0
6.74
0-3-0
5.42
2-2-0
5.80
Ross County
1-0-2
2.27
0-1-2
1.23
1-2-1
5.59
1-2-1
6.13
1-2-0
2.46
3-1-0
5.23
2-0-2
5.98
1-1-2
5.84
0-1-2
3.65
0-3-0
2.82
1-0-2
3.07
St. Johnstone
1-2-1
4.31
0-0-4
2.32
2-0-1
5.21
1-1-1
5.43
3-1-0
5.30
2-0-1
4.69
1-0-2
5.77
2-1-0
5.14
3-0-1
6.37
0-2-2
5.13
2-0-1
5.15

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.91 +10.2
Allowed 0.87 -15.1
Differential 0.97 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.14%7.24%6.80%2.85%2.19%0.88%26.10%
17.24%14.91%9.21%2.41%1.10%1.32%36.18%
26.80%9.21%3.51%1.75%0.88%0.44%22.59%
32.85%2.41%1.75%0.88%0.22%8.11%
42.19%1.10%0.88%0.22%4.39%
5+0.88%1.32%0.44%2.63%
Total26.10%36.18%22.59%8.11%4.39%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.95
CV 0.92 0.92
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%23.68%
110.53%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%23.68%
25.26%21.05%26.32%
32.63%7.89%10.53%
45.26%5.26%
5+5.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
Total36.84%44.74%10.53%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.92 +1.03
SD 1.89 0.97 2.27
CV 0.97 1.05
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
118.42%5.26%23.68%
213.16%10.53%5.26%28.95%
35.26%5.26%10.53%
47.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%21.05%
5+5.26%7.89%2.63%15.79%
Total50.00%36.84%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.79 0.66 +2.13
SD 1.49 0.78 1.47
CV 0.53 1.19
Max 6 3 +5
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%18.42%2.63%2.63%2.63%42.11%
15.26%10.53%13.16%5.26%34.21%
22.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
32.63%2.63%5.26%10.53%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total15.79%31.58%39.47%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.63 -0.63
SD 1.19 1.30 1.96
CV 1.19 0.80
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%7.89%5.26%5.26%31.58%
110.53%26.32%10.53%2.63%50.00%
22.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total23.68%34.21%21.05%13.16%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.47 -0.50
SD 0.94 1.22 1.66
CV 0.97 0.83
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%13.16%2.63%2.63%39.47%
12.63%5.26%7.89%15.79%
25.26%2.63%7.89%2.63%18.42%
35.26%5.26%5.26%15.79%
45.26%2.63%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total26.32%31.58%28.95%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.37 +0.08
SD 1.48 1.20 2.10
CV 1.02 0.87
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%10.53%5.26%28.95%
123.68%7.89%2.63%2.63%36.84%
22.63%7.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%23.68%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total7.89%42.11%18.42%21.05%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.87 -0.71
SD 0.97 1.23 1.69
CV 0.84 0.66
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%7.89%2.63%2.63%5.26%31.58%
12.63%21.05%10.53%5.26%5.26%44.74%
210.53%7.89%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total26.32%36.84%18.42%7.89%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.47 -0.53
SD 0.80 1.47 1.74
CV 0.85 0.99
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%10.53%7.89%34.21%
12.63%13.16%7.89%5.26%2.63%31.58%
22.63%10.53%5.26%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%5.26%7.89%
5+
Total13.16%36.84%23.68%18.42%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.82 -0.61
SD 1.21 1.45 1.78
CV 1.00 0.80
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%13.16%5.26%31.58%
15.26%18.42%13.16%2.63%39.47%
213.16%5.26%7.89%26.32%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total23.68%34.21%34.21%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.42 -0.42
SD 0.84 1.33 1.80
CV 0.84 0.93
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%
17.89%21.05%13.16%2.63%5.26%50.00%
210.53%21.05%31.58%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total31.58%42.11%18.42%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.16 +0.32
SD 0.86 1.26 1.71
CV 0.58 1.09
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%5.26%5.26%23.68%
15.26%21.05%10.53%5.26%2.63%44.74%
22.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%18.42%
37.89%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total18.42%34.21%31.58%7.89%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.53 -0.26
SD 1.08 1.13 1.59
CV 0.86 0.74
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%18.42%
115.79%10.53%10.53%2.63%39.47%
210.53%10.53%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%34.21%
37.89%7.89%
4
5+
Total39.47%28.95%15.79%5.26%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.21 +0.11
SD 0.87 1.38 1.64
CV 0.66 1.14
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Inverness CT 34 56.49 -22.49
2 Ross County 46 75.19 -29.19
3 Dundee 37 68.46 -31.46
4 Motherwell 38 70.43 -32.43
5 Hamilton Academical 35 69.06 -34.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 106 193.32 -87.32
2 Aberdeen 76 141.81 -65.81
3 Rangers 67 122.92 -55.92
4 Heart of Midlothian 46 95.48 -49.48
5 St. Johnstone 58 103.27 -45.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 22 Sep 24 – Mar 1 1 in 1,816
2 Rangers 4 Dec 3 – Dec 24 1 in 32
3 Partick Thistle 3 Feb 18 – Mar 1 1 in 27
4 Aberdeen 4 Sep 18 – Oct 15 1 in 19
5 Motherwell 2 May 13 – May 16 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee 7 Mar 1 – Apr 15 1 in 228
2 Inverness CT 4 Nov 5 – Dec 3 1 in 24
3 Rangers 2 Feb 19 – Feb 24 1 in 17
4 Heart of Midlothian 4 May 7 – May 21 1 in 13
5 Partick Thistle 4 May 7 – May 21 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 38 Aug 7 – May 21 1 in 75
2 Ross County 8 Apr 4 – May 20 1 in 72
3 Partick Thistle 8 Feb 18 – Apr 8 1 in 58
4 Hamilton Academical 5 Nov 5 – Dec 10 1 in 17
5 Inverness CT 5 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 14 Oct 29 – Feb 18 1 in 310
2 Dundee 10 Aug 13 – Oct 26 1 in 59
3 Hamilton Academical 12 Oct 29 – Jan 28 1 in 38
4 Partick Thistle 8 Aug 20 – Oct 22 1 in 36
5 Ross County 10 Aug 27 – Nov 6 1 in 30

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic95.60%3.80%0.48%0.09%0.02%0.01%
Aberdeen2.69%46.00%25.04%13.21%7.02%3.35%1.40%0.80%0.29%0.10%0.06%0.04%
Rangers0.50%12.91%20.24%21.87%17.82%11.12%6.87%4.30%2.35%1.06%0.70%0.26%
St. Johnstone0.23%9.39%15.83%20.95%20.07%13.37%8.52%5.40%3.00%1.94%0.95%0.35%
Heart of Midlothian0.94%24.43%27.56%20.34%12.86%6.95%3.30%1.85%1.04%0.52%0.16%0.05%
Partick Thistle0.03%1.27%3.43%7.34%11.40%15.64%15.81%14.11%11.34%9.35%6.23%4.05%
Ross County0.17%0.91%2.18%4.74%8.91%11.34%13.67%15.33%15.11%13.98%13.66%
Kilmarnock0.14%0.41%1.03%2.13%4.49%7.08%9.59%12.89%16.34%19.83%26.07%
Motherwell0.16%0.67%1.61%3.57%6.35%9.32%11.32%14.43%15.80%18.31%18.46%
Dundee0.01%0.34%1.80%3.86%7.00%10.49%13.36%14.23%13.84%13.74%12.35%8.98%
Hamilton Academical0.09%0.45%1.22%2.86%5.09%8.11%10.77%13.00%15.82%19.82%22.77%
Inverness CT1.30%3.18%6.30%10.51%14.23%14.89%13.96%12.49%10.22%7.61%5.31%
Team123456789101112
Celtic100.00%
Aberdeen99.25%0.75%
Rangers0.75%98.64%0.61%
St. Johnstone0.61%80.92%17.54%0.93%
Heart of Midlothian17.44%71.11%11.45%
Partick Thistle1.03%11.35%87.62%
Ross County51.61%24.46%13.90%6.92%2.97%0.14%
Kilmarnock24.52%29.33%22.67%14.35%8.03%1.10%
Motherwell10.16%17.92%23.49%24.72%20.14%3.57%
Dundee9.41%17.41%22.18%25.71%21.51%3.78%
Hamilton Academical4.26%10.54%16.16%23.81%36.12%9.11%
Inverness CT0.04%0.34%1.60%4.49%11.23%82.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.89%
Slight Edge
41.23%25.44%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 27.49 Elo pts.
157 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.1
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
96%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.79/gm
Runaway
00.401.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.24 * Wild Swing: 11.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.22 points
Some Luck
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.594
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.70%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.43%
Inverness CT
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.32
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.43
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.28
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Aberdeen 99.95% 0.03% 0.02%
Heart of Midlothian 99.83% 0.14% 0.03%
Rangers 99.44% 0.47% 0.09%
St. Johnstone 98.94% 0.75% 0.31%
Partick Thistle 91.57% 5.02% 3.41%
Inverness CT 84.96% 8.82% 6.22%
Dundee 76.24% 13.19% 10.57%
Ross County 72.45% 14.10% 13.45%
Motherwell 61.75% 18.80% 19.45%
Hamilton Academical 57.92% 19.30% 22.78%
Kilmarnock 56.95% 19.38% 23.67%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Partick Thistle 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Johnstone 100%
Ross County 96.89% 2.97% 0.14%
Kilmarnock 90.87% 8.03% 1.10%
Motherwell 76.29% 20.14% 3.57%
Dundee 74.71% 21.51% 3.78%
Hamilton Academical 54.77% 36.12% 9.11%
Inverness CT 6.47% 11.23% 82.30%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2016-08-06 Dundee L 1-3 1525 1526 40.4% 26.9% 32.7% -16.2 0
2016-08-06 @ Ross County W 3-1 1526 1525 32.7% 26.9% 40.4% +16.2 3
2016-08-06 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1559 1483 50.4% 25.9% 23.6% -1.4 1
2016-08-06 @ Rangers D 1-1 1483 1559 23.6% 25.9% 50.4% +1.4 1
2016-08-06 Inverness CT W 2-0 1526 1582 32.6% 26.9% 40.5% +18.7 3
2016-08-06 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1582 1526 40.5% 26.9% 32.6% -18.7 0
2016-08-06 Motherwell L 1-2 1478 1512 35.7% 27.0% 37.4% -8.5 0
2016-08-06 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1512 1478 37.4% 27.0% 35.7% +8.5 3
2016-08-07 Aberdeen D 0-0 1573 1587 38.4% 27.0% 34.6% -0.2 1
2016-08-07 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1587 1573 34.6% 27.0% 38.4% +0.2 1
2016-08-07 Celtic L 1-2 1602 1748 22.2% 25.6% 52.2% -5.8 0
2016-08-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1748 1602 52.2% 25.6% 22.2% +5.8 3
2016-08-13 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1587 1596 39.1% 26.9% 33.9% -0.3 2
2016-08-13 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1596 1587 33.9% 26.9% 39.1% +0.3 1
2016-08-13 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1484 1470 42.4% 26.8% 30.8% -9.7 1
2016-08-13 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1470 1484 30.8% 26.8% 42.4% +9.7 3
2016-08-13 Rangers L 1-2 1542 1557 38.2% 27.0% 34.8% -9.0 3
2016-08-13 @ Dundee W 2-1 1557 1542 34.8% 27.0% 38.2% +9.0 4
2016-08-13 Ross County L 2-3 1563 1509 47.7% 26.3% 26.0% -10.1 0
2016-08-13 @ Inverness CT W 3-2 1509 1563 26.0% 26.3% 47.7% +10.1 3
2016-08-13 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1520 1572 33.1% 26.9% 40.0% -8.0 3
2016-08-13 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1572 1520 40.0% 26.9% 33.1% +8.1 4
2016-08-19 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1533 1474 48.2% 26.2% 25.5% -1.1 4
2016-08-19 @ Dundee D 1-1 1474 1533 25.5% 26.2% 48.2% +1.2 2
2016-08-20 Celtic L 2-4 1580 1754 19.7% 24.9% 55.4% -8.1 4
2016-08-20 @ St. Johnstone W 4-2 1754 1580 55.4% 24.9% 19.7% +8.1 6
2016-08-20 Inverness CT W 5-1 1596 1553 46.2% 26.5% 27.3% +21.9 4
2016-08-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-5 1553 1596 27.3% 26.5% 46.2% -21.9 0
2016-08-20 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1519 1480 45.8% 26.5% 27.7% +14.0 6
2016-08-20 @ Ross County L 0-2 1480 1519 27.7% 26.5% 45.8% -14.0 3
2016-08-20 Motherwell W 2-1 1566 1512 47.7% 26.3% 26.0% +6.7 7
2016-08-20 @ Rangers L 1-2 1512 1566 26.0% 26.3% 47.7% -6.7 3
2016-08-20 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1587 1545 46.0% 26.5% 27.5% +7.0 5
2016-08-20 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1545 1587 27.5% 26.5% 46.0% -7.0 3
2016-08-26 Rangers D 1-1 1466 1573 26.2% 26.3% 47.5% +1.1 4
2016-08-26 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1573 1466 47.5% 26.3% 26.2% -1.1 8
2016-08-27 Aberdeen W 4-1 1762 1594 60.8% 23.4% 15.8% +10.4 9
2016-08-27 @ Celtic L 1-4 1594 1762 15.8% 23.4% 60.8% -10.4 5
2016-08-27 Dundee D 0-0 1506 1532 36.7% 27.0% 36.3% -0.0 4
2016-08-27 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1532 1506 36.3% 27.0% 36.7% +0.0 5
2016-08-27 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1538 1618 29.4% 26.7% 43.9% -7.4 3
2016-08-27 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1618 1538 43.9% 26.7% 29.4% +7.4 7
2016-08-27 Ross County W 1-0 1475 1533 32.3% 26.9% 40.8% +10.0 5
2016-08-27 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1533 1475 40.8% 26.9% 32.3% -10.0 6
2016-08-27 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1531 1572 34.6% 27.0% 38.4% +9.0 3
2016-08-27 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1572 1531 38.4% 27.0% 34.6% -9.0 4
2016-09-10 Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1626 1485 57.8% 24.3% 17.9% +8.3 10
2016-09-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1485 1626 17.9% 24.3% 57.8% -8.3 5
2016-09-10 Inverness CT D 1-1 1583 1540 46.2% 26.5% 27.3% -0.9 6
2016-09-10 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1540 1583 27.3% 26.5% 46.2% +0.9 4
2016-09-10 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1532 1467 49.1% 26.1% 24.8% -1.2 6
2016-09-10 @ Dundee D 1-1 1467 1532 24.8% 26.1% 49.1% +1.2 5
2016-09-10 Motherwell D 1-1 1523 1506 42.9% 26.8% 30.3% -0.6 7
2016-09-10 @ Ross County D 1-1 1506 1523 30.3% 26.8% 42.9% +0.6 5
2016-09-10 Rangers W 5-1 1772 1572 63.9% 22.3% 13.8% +11.6 12
2016-09-10 @ Celtic L 1-5 1572 1772 13.8% 22.3% 63.9% -11.6 8
2016-09-10 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1531 1563 35.8% 27.0% 37.2% -17.1 3
2016-09-10 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1563 1531 37.2% 27.0% 35.8% +17.1 7
2016-09-17 Hamilton Academical W 4-2 1506 1477 44.4% 26.7% 29.0% +11.3 8
2016-09-17 @ Motherwell L 2-4 1477 1506 29.0% 26.7% 44.4% -11.3 5
2016-09-17 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1580 1634 32.9% 26.9% 40.2% +9.9 10
2016-09-17 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1634 1580 40.2% 26.9% 32.9% -9.9 10
2016-09-17 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1468 1514 33.9% 26.9% 39.1% +0.2 6
2016-09-17 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1514 1468 39.1% 26.9% 33.9% -0.2 4
2016-09-17 Ross County D 0-0 1560 1523 45.5% 26.6% 27.9% -1.0 9
2016-09-17 @ Rangers D 0-0 1523 1560 27.9% 26.6% 45.5% +1.0 8
2016-09-18 Aberdeen L 1-3 1530 1582 33.1% 26.9% 40.0% -14.0 6
2016-09-18 @ Dundee W 3-1 1582 1530 40.0% 26.9% 33.1% +14.0 9
2016-09-18 Celtic D 2-2 1541 1784 14.5% 22.8% 62.7% +2.0 5
2016-09-18 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1784 1541 62.7% 22.8% 14.5% -1.9 13
2016-09-24 Dundee W 3-1 1543 1517 44.1% 26.7% 29.2% +12.7 8
2016-09-24 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1517 1543 29.2% 26.7% 44.1% -12.7 6
2016-09-24 Kilmarnock W 6-1 1782 1468 73.7% 17.9% 8.4% +8.2 16
2016-09-24 @ Celtic L 1-6 1468 1782 8.4% 17.9% 73.7% -8.2 6
2016-09-24 Motherwell D 1-1 1514 1517 39.9% 26.9% 33.2% -0.3 5
2016-09-24 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1517 1514 33.2% 26.9% 39.9% +0.3 9
2016-09-24 Ross County D 0-0 1624 1524 53.3% 25.4% 21.3% -1.9 11
2016-09-24 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1524 1624 21.3% 25.4% 53.3% +1.9 9
2016-09-25 Rangers W 2-1 1596 1559 45.4% 26.6% 28.0% +7.1 12
2016-09-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1559 1596 28.0% 26.6% 45.4% -7.1 9
2016-09-25 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1466 1590 24.3% 26.0% 49.6% +1.3 6
2016-09-25 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1590 1466 49.6% 26.0% 24.3% -1.3 11
2016-09-30 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1518 1622 26.5% 26.4% 47.1% -11.7 9
2016-09-30 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1622 1518 47.1% 26.4% 26.5% +11.7 14
2016-10-01 Aberdeen L 0-4 1460 1603 22.4% 25.7% 51.9% -22.3 6
2016-10-01 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1603 1460 51.9% 25.7% 22.4% +22.3 15
2016-10-01 Celtic L 0-1 1504 1790 12.0% 21.2% 66.8% -3.4 6
2016-10-01 @ Dundee W 1-0 1790 1504 66.8% 21.2% 12.0% +3.4 19
2016-10-01 Inverness CT D 1-1 1467 1556 28.4% 26.6% 45.0% +0.8 7
2016-10-01 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1556 1467 45.0% 26.6% 28.4% -0.8 9
2016-10-01 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1552 1513 45.7% 26.5% 27.8% +14.0 12
2016-10-01 @ Rangers L 0-2 1513 1552 27.8% 26.5% 45.7% -14.0 5
2016-10-01 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1526 1589 31.6% 26.8% 41.6% -15.5 9
2016-10-01 @ Ross County W 2-0 1589 1526 41.6% 26.8% 31.6% +15.5 14
2016-10-14 Rangers L 0-1 1555 1566 38.9% 27.0% 34.2% -9.6 9
2016-10-14 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1566 1555 34.2% 27.0% 38.9% +9.6 15
2016-10-15 Dundee W 2-0 1634 1500 57.1% 24.5% 18.4% +9.8 17
2016-10-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1500 1634 18.4% 24.5% 57.1% -9.8 6
2016-10-15 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1499 1468 44.7% 26.6% 28.7% -0.6 6
2016-10-15 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1468 1499 28.7% 26.6% 44.7% +0.6 8
2016-10-15 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1605 1437 60.6% 23.5% 15.9% -13.8 14
2016-10-15 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1437 1605 15.9% 23.5% 60.6% +13.8 9
2016-10-15 Motherwell W 2-0 1794 1506 71.6% 19.0% 9.4% +4.9 22
2016-10-15 @ Celtic L 0-2 1506 1794 9.4% 19.0% 71.6% -4.9 9
2016-10-15 Ross County W 4-0 1626 1510 55.1% 25.0% 19.9% +20.1 18
2016-10-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1510 1626 19.9% 25.0% 55.1% -20.1 9
2016-10-22 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1546 1451 52.6% 25.5% 21.9% -1.6 10
2016-10-22 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1451 1546 21.9% 25.5% 52.6% +1.6 10
2016-10-22 Ross County D 1-1 1499 1490 41.6% 26.8% 31.5% -0.5 7
2016-10-22 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1490 1499 31.5% 26.8% 41.6% +0.5 10
2016-10-23 Dundee W 2-1 1591 1491 53.3% 25.4% 21.3% +5.6 17
2016-10-23 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1491 1591 21.3% 25.4% 53.3% -5.6 6
2016-10-25 Aberdeen W 1-0 1469 1646 19.4% 24.8% 55.8% +12.9 11
2016-10-25 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1646 1469 55.8% 24.8% 19.4% -12.9 18
2016-10-26 Celtic L 0-4 1490 1798 11.0% 20.3% 68.7% -10.9 10
2016-10-26 @ Ross County W 4-0 1798 1490 68.7% 20.3% 11.0% +10.9 25
2016-10-26 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1453 1644 18.2% 24.4% 57.3% +24.9 13
2016-10-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1644 1453 57.3% 24.4% 18.2% -24.9 17
2016-10-26 Inverness CT L 0-3 1501 1544 34.3% 27.0% 38.7% -24.0 9
2016-10-26 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1544 1501 38.7% 27.0% 34.3% +24.0 13
2016-10-26 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1485 1498 38.6% 27.0% 34.5% -18.0 6
2016-10-26 @ Dundee W 2-0 1498 1485 34.5% 27.0% 38.6% +18.0 10
2016-10-26 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1576 1596 37.5% 27.0% 35.5% -0.1 16
2016-10-26 @ Rangers D 1-1 1596 1576 35.5% 27.0% 37.5% +0.1 18
2016-10-29 Celtic L 0-1 1633 1809 19.4% 24.8% 55.8% -5.5 18
2016-10-29 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1809 1633 55.8% 24.8% 19.4% +5.5 28
2016-10-29 Dundee L 0-1 1482 1467 42.4% 26.8% 30.8% -10.3 11
2016-10-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1467 1482 30.8% 26.8% 42.4% +10.3 9
2016-10-29 Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1568 1619 33.2% 26.9% 39.8% +0.2 14
2016-10-29 @ Inverness CT D 3-3 1619 1568 39.8% 26.9% 33.2% -0.2 18
2016-10-29 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1576 1478 53.1% 25.4% 21.5% +16.5 19
2016-10-29 @ Rangers L 0-3 1478 1576 21.5% 25.4% 53.1% -16.4 13
2016-10-29 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1596 1516 50.9% 25.8% 23.2% -11.3 18
2016-10-29 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1516 1596 23.2% 25.8% 50.9% +11.3 13
2016-10-29 Ross County W 4-1 1477 1480 40.1% 26.9% 33.0% +19.7 12
2016-10-29 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1480 1477 33.0% 26.9% 40.1% -19.7 10
2016-11-04 Aberdeen L 1-2 1527 1627 27.1% 26.5% 46.5% -6.9 13
2016-11-04 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1627 1527 46.5% 26.5% 27.1% +6.9 21
2016-11-05 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1461 1471 39.0% 26.9% 34.0% -0.3 14
2016-11-05 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1471 1461 34.0% 26.9% 39.0% +0.3 12
2016-11-05 Inverness CT W 3-0 1815 1568 68.1% 20.6% 11.3% +8.6 31
2016-11-05 @ Celtic L 0-3 1568 1815 11.3% 20.6% 68.1% -8.6 14
2016-11-05 Motherwell W 2-0 1477 1497 37.7% 27.0% 35.4% +16.9 12
2016-11-05 @ Dundee L 0-2 1497 1477 35.4% 27.0% 37.7% -16.9 12
2016-11-05 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1619 1585 45.0% 26.6% 28.4% -0.6 19
2016-11-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1585 1619 28.4% 26.6% 45.0% +0.6 19
2016-11-06 Rangers D 1-1 1460 1592 23.5% 25.9% 50.6% +1.4 11
2016-11-06 @ Ross County D 1-1 1592 1460 50.6% 25.9% 23.5% -1.4 20
2016-11-18 Celtic L 0-1 1461 1823 8.7% 18.2% 73.2% -2.3 14
2016-11-18 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1823 1461 73.2% 18.2% 8.7% +2.3 34
2016-11-19 Aberdeen L 1-3 1560 1634 30.1% 26.8% 43.1% -13.0 14
2016-11-19 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1634 1560 43.1% 26.8% 30.1% +13.0 24
2016-11-19 Dundee W 1-0 1591 1494 52.9% 25.5% 21.6% +6.0 23
2016-11-19 @ Rangers L 0-1 1494 1591 21.6% 25.5% 52.9% -6.0 12
2016-11-19 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1480 1521 34.6% 27.0% 38.4% +18.0 15
2016-11-19 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1521 1480 38.4% 27.0% 34.6% -18.0 13
2016-11-19 Ross County L 2-4 1586 1461 56.1% 24.8% 19.1% -18.9 19
2016-11-19 @ St. Johnstone W 4-2 1461 1586 19.1% 24.8% 56.1% +18.9 14
2016-11-21 Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1471 1618 22.1% 25.6% 52.3% +1.0 13
2016-11-21 @ Hamilton Academical D 3-3 1618 1471 52.3% 25.6% 22.1% -1.0 20
2016-11-26 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1480 1472 41.5% 26.9% 31.7% -0.5 15
2016-11-26 @ Ross County D 1-1 1472 1480 31.7% 26.9% 41.5% +0.5 14
2016-11-26 Inverness CT W 2-1 1488 1547 32.2% 26.9% 40.9% +9.4 15
2016-11-26 @ Dundee L 1-2 1547 1488 40.9% 26.9% 32.2% -9.4 14
2016-11-26 Motherwell W 3-0 1617 1498 55.5% 24.9% 19.6% +15.1 23
2016-11-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1498 1617 19.6% 24.9% 55.5% -15.1 15
2016-11-26 Rangers L 1-2 1503 1597 27.7% 26.5% 45.8% -7.0 13
2016-11-26 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1597 1503 45.8% 26.5% 27.7% +7.0 26
2016-11-30 Rangers W 2-0 1632 1604 44.3% 26.7% 29.1% +14.6 26
2016-11-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1604 1632 29.1% 26.7% 44.3% -14.6 26
2016-12-03 Aberdeen W 2-1 1589 1647 32.3% 26.9% 40.8% +9.4 29
2016-12-03 @ Rangers L 1-2 1647 1589 40.8% 26.9% 32.3% -9.4 24
2016-12-03 Celtic L 3-4 1483 1826 9.4% 18.9% 71.6% -2.2 15
2016-12-03 @ Motherwell W 4-3 1826 1483 71.6% 18.9% 9.4% +2.2 37
2016-12-03 Dundee W 2-0 1459 1498 34.9% 27.0% 38.1% +17.9 17
2016-12-03 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1498 1459 38.1% 27.0% 34.9% -17.9 15
2016-12-03 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1480 1647 20.2% 25.1% 54.7% +1.3 16
2016-12-03 @ Ross County D 2-2 1647 1480 54.7% 25.1% 20.2% -1.4 27
2016-12-03 Inverness CT W 3-0 1567 1537 44.5% 26.7% 28.9% +21.1 22
2016-12-03 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1537 1567 28.9% 26.7% 44.5% -21.1 14
2016-12-03 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1473 1496 37.2% 27.0% 35.8% -0.1 15
2016-12-03 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1496 1473 35.8% 27.0% 37.2% +0.1 14
2016-12-06 Kilmarnock W 5-1 1638 1477 60.0% 23.7% 16.3% +13.8 27
2016-12-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-5 1477 1638 16.3% 23.7% 60.0% -13.8 17
2016-12-09 Celtic L 1-4 1496 1828 9.9% 19.4% 70.8% -6.2 14
2016-12-09 @ Partick Thistle W 4-1 1828 1496 70.8% 19.4% 9.9% +6.2 40
2016-12-10 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1516 1473 46.3% 26.5% 27.3% -0.9 15
2016-12-10 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1473 1516 27.3% 26.5% 46.3% +1.0 16
2016-12-10 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1599 1645 33.8% 26.9% 39.2% +18.3 32
2016-12-10 @ Rangers L 0-2 1645 1599 39.2% 26.9% 33.8% -18.3 27
2016-12-10 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1480 1463 42.9% 26.8% 30.4% -0.7 16
2016-12-10 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1463 1480 30.4% 26.8% 42.9% +0.7 18
2016-12-10 Ross County D 0-0 1480 1481 40.2% 26.9% 32.9% -0.4 16
2016-12-10 @ Dundee D 0-0 1481 1480 32.9% 26.9% 40.2% +0.4 17
2016-12-10 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1651 1588 48.9% 26.2% 25.0% -1.4 28
2016-12-10 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1588 1651 25.0% 26.2% 48.9% +1.4 23
2016-12-13 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1834 1474 77.1% 16.0% 6.9% +1.8 43
2016-12-13 @ Celtic L 0-1 1474 1834 6.9% 16.0% 77.1% -1.8 16
2016-12-16 Rangers L 1-2 1472 1617 22.3% 25.6% 52.1% -5.8 16
2016-12-16 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1617 1472 52.1% 25.6% 22.3% +5.8 35
2016-12-17 Aberdeen W 2-1 1481 1650 20.1% 25.1% 54.9% +12.0 20
2016-12-17 @ Ross County L 1-2 1650 1481 54.9% 25.1% 20.1% -12.0 28
2016-12-17 Dundee W 2-1 1836 1479 76.8% 16.2% 7.0% +1.7 46
2016-12-17 @ Celtic L 1-2 1479 1836 7.0% 16.2% 76.8% -1.7 16
2016-12-17 Inverness CT D 1-1 1464 1515 33.1% 26.9% 40.0% +0.3 19
2016-12-17 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1515 1464 40.0% 26.9% 33.1% -0.3 16
2016-12-17 Motherwell D 1-1 1589 1480 54.4% 25.2% 20.4% -1.8 24
2016-12-17 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1480 1589 20.4% 25.2% 54.4% +1.8 17
2016-12-17 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1627 1489 57.6% 24.4% 18.1% -2.1 28
2016-12-17 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1489 1627 18.1% 24.4% 57.6% +2.1 15
2016-12-20 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1838 1491 76.1% 16.6% 7.3% +1.9 49
2016-12-20 @ Celtic L 0-1 1491 1838 7.3% 16.6% 76.1% -1.9 15
2016-12-23 Aberdeen L 1-3 1482 1638 21.2% 25.4% 53.5% -9.7 17
2016-12-23 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1638 1482 53.5% 25.4% 21.2% +9.7 31
2016-12-23 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1478 1625 22.0% 25.6% 52.4% +10.9 19
2016-12-23 @ Dundee L 2-3 1625 1478 52.4% 25.6% 22.0% -10.9 28
2016-12-23 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1493 1490 41.0% 26.9% 32.2% -16.3 20
2016-12-23 @ Ross County W 3-1 1490 1493 32.2% 26.9% 41.0% +16.4 18
2016-12-23 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1464 1587 24.4% 26.1% 49.5% -6.7 19
2016-12-23 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1587 1464 49.5% 26.1% 24.4% +6.7 27
2016-12-24 Celtic L 0-3 1466 1840 8.3% 17.7% 74.0% -6.0 16
2016-12-24 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1840 1466 74.0% 17.7% 8.3% +6.0 52
2016-12-24 Inverness CT W 1-0 1623 1515 54.2% 25.2% 20.6% +5.8 38
2016-12-24 @ Rangers L 0-1 1515 1623 20.6% 25.2% 54.2% -5.8 16
2016-12-27 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1648 1460 62.7% 22.8% 14.5% +3.9 34
2016-12-27 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1460 1648 14.5% 22.8% 62.7% -3.9 16
2016-12-27 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1614 1457 59.6% 23.8% 16.6% +16.9 31
2016-12-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1457 1614 16.6% 23.8% 59.6% -16.9 19
2016-12-28 Dundee W 2-0 1506 1489 42.8% 26.8% 30.4% +15.1 21
2016-12-28 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1489 1506 30.4% 26.8% 42.8% -15.1 19
2016-12-28 Motherwell L 1-2 1509 1472 45.5% 26.6% 28.0% -10.3 16
2016-12-28 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1472 1509 28.0% 26.6% 45.5% +10.3 20
2016-12-28 Rangers D 1-1 1594 1629 35.5% 27.0% 37.5% +0.1 28
2016-12-28 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1629 1594 37.5% 27.0% 35.5% -0.1 39
2016-12-28 Ross County W 2-0 1846 1477 77.6% 15.7% 6.6% +3.2 55
2016-12-28 @ Celtic L 0-2 1477 1846 6.6% 15.7% 77.6% -3.2 20
2016-12-30 Aberdeen L 0-1 1631 1652 37.5% 27.0% 35.5% -9.4 31
2016-12-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1652 1631 35.5% 27.0% 37.5% +9.4 37
2016-12-31 Celtic L 1-2 1629 1849 16.0% 23.5% 60.5% -4.3 39
2016-12-31 @ Rangers W 2-1 1849 1629 60.5% 23.5% 16.0% +4.3 58
2016-12-31 Inverness CT W 3-2 1474 1499 36.9% 27.0% 36.1% +8.1 23
2016-12-31 @ Ross County L 2-3 1499 1474 36.1% 27.0% 36.9% -8.1 16
2016-12-31 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1521 1440 51.0% 25.8% 23.2% -1.6 22
2016-12-31 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1440 1521 23.2% 25.8% 51.0% +1.6 20
2016-12-31 Motherwell D 1-1 1456 1482 36.8% 27.0% 36.3% -0.0 17
2016-12-31 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1482 1456 36.3% 27.0% 36.8% +0.0 21
2016-12-31 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1473 1594 24.7% 26.1% 49.2% +31.8 22
2016-12-31 @ Dundee L 0-3 1594 1473 49.2% 26.1% 24.7% -31.8 28
2017-01-25 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1853 1562 71.8% 18.8% 9.3% +2.5 61
2017-01-25 @ Celtic L 0-1 1562 1853 9.3% 18.8% 71.8% -2.5 28
2017-01-27 Dundee W 3-0 1661 1505 59.5% 23.8% 16.7% +13.0 40
2017-01-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1505 1661 16.7% 23.8% 59.5% -13.0 22
2017-01-28 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1560 1456 53.7% 25.3% 21.0% +16.1 31
2017-01-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1456 1560 21.0% 25.3% 53.7% -16.1 17
2017-01-28 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1491 1519 36.3% 27.0% 36.7% +0.0 17
2017-01-28 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1519 1491 36.7% 27.0% 36.3% -0.0 23
2017-01-28 Rangers L 0-2 1482 1624 22.5% 25.7% 51.8% -11.8 21
2017-01-28 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1624 1482 51.8% 25.7% 22.5% +11.8 42
2017-01-28 Ross County W 3-2 1442 1482 34.7% 27.0% 38.3% +8.5 23
2017-01-28 @ Kilmarnock L 2-3 1482 1442 38.3% 27.0% 34.7% -8.5 23
2017-01-29 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1856 1622 67.0% 21.1% 11.9% +11.9 64
2017-01-29 @ Celtic L 0-4 1622 1856 11.9% 21.1% 67.0% -11.9 31
2017-01-31 Inverness CT W 3-0 1440 1491 33.3% 26.9% 39.8% +26.8 20
2017-01-31 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1491 1440 39.8% 26.9% 33.3% -26.8 17
2017-01-31 Motherwell L 1-2 1474 1470 40.9% 26.9% 32.3% -9.4 23
2017-01-31 @ Ross County W 2-1 1470 1474 32.3% 26.9% 40.9% +9.4 24
2017-02-01 Aberdeen W 1-0 1868 1674 63.3% 22.6% 14.2% +4.0 67
2017-02-01 @ Celtic L 0-1 1674 1868 14.2% 22.6% 63.3% -4.0 40
2017-02-01 Rangers W 4-1 1610 1636 36.7% 27.0% 36.4% +21.1 34
2017-02-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1636 1610 36.4% 27.0% 36.7% -21.1 42
2017-02-01 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1519 1576 32.5% 26.9% 40.6% -8.4 23
2017-02-01 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1576 1519 40.6% 26.9% 32.5% +8.4 34
2017-02-04 Dundee D 2-2 1464 1492 36.4% 27.0% 36.6% +0.0 18
2017-02-04 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1492 1464 36.6% 27.0% 36.4% -0.0 23
2017-02-04 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1480 1631 21.7% 25.5% 52.8% -16.6 24
2017-02-04 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1631 1480 52.8% 25.5% 21.7% +16.6 37
2017-02-04 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1467 1450 42.7% 26.8% 30.5% -0.6 21
2017-02-04 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1450 1467 30.5% 26.8% 42.7% +0.6 24
2017-02-04 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1670 1511 59.8% 23.7% 16.5% +8.8 43
2017-02-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1511 1670 16.5% 23.7% 59.8% -8.8 23
2017-02-04 Ross County D 1-1 1615 1464 59.0% 24.0% 17.1% -2.2 43
2017-02-04 @ Rangers D 1-1 1464 1615 17.1% 24.0% 59.0% +2.2 24
2017-02-05 Celtic L 2-5 1584 1872 12.0% 21.1% 66.9% -6.7 34
2017-02-05 @ St. Johnstone W 5-2 1872 1584 66.9% 21.1% 12.0% +6.7 70
2017-02-11 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1492 1451 46.0% 26.5% 27.5% -0.9 24
2017-02-11 @ Dundee D 1-1 1451 1492 27.5% 26.5% 46.0% +0.9 25
2017-02-15 Motherwell W 7-2 1679 1463 65.4% 21.8% 12.9% +11.1 46
2017-02-15 @ Aberdeen L 2-7 1463 1679 12.9% 21.8% 65.4% -11.1 24
2017-02-18 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1502 1466 45.3% 26.6% 28.1% +14.2 26
2017-02-18 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1466 1502 28.1% 26.6% 45.3% -14.2 21
2017-02-18 Inverness CT D 1-1 1647 1464 62.3% 22.9% 14.8% -2.6 38
2017-02-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1464 1647 14.8% 22.9% 62.3% +2.6 19
2017-02-18 Motherwell W 2-0 1878 1452 81.4% 13.5% 5.1% +2.4 73
2017-02-18 @ Celtic L 0-2 1452 1878 5.1% 13.5% 81.4% -2.4 24
2017-02-18 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1466 1578 25.8% 26.3% 48.0% -6.6 24
2017-02-18 @ Ross County W 2-1 1578 1466 48.0% 26.3% 25.8% +6.6 37
2017-02-19 Aberdeen L 1-2 1452 1690 14.8% 22.9% 62.2% -4.0 25
2017-02-19 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1690 1452 62.2% 22.9% 14.8% +4.0 49
2017-02-19 Rangers W 2-1 1491 1613 24.7% 26.1% 49.2% +11.0 27
2017-02-19 @ Dundee L 1-2 1613 1491 49.2% 26.1% 24.7% -11.0 43
2017-02-24 Rangers W 2-1 1466 1602 23.2% 25.8% 50.9% +11.3 22
2017-02-24 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1602 1466 50.9% 25.8% 23.2% -11.3 43
2017-02-25 Dundee L 1-5 1450 1502 33.0% 26.9% 40.1% -25.4 24
2017-02-25 @ Motherwell W 5-1 1502 1450 40.1% 26.9% 33.0% +25.4 30
2017-02-25 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1881 1452 81.5% 13.4% 5.1% +2.3 76
2017-02-25 @ Celtic L 0-2 1452 1881 5.1% 13.4% 81.5% -2.3 21
2017-02-25 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1516 1645 23.9% 26.0% 50.1% +22.2 29
2017-02-25 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1645 1516 50.1% 26.0% 23.9% -22.2 38
2017-02-25 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1584 1448 57.4% 24.4% 18.2% -24.9 37
2017-02-25 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1448 1584 18.2% 24.4% 57.4% +24.9 28
2017-02-25 Ross County W 1-0 1694 1460 67.0% 21.1% 11.9% +3.3 52
2017-02-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1460 1694 11.9% 21.1% 67.0% -3.3 24
2017-02-28 Aberdeen W 1-0 1450 1697 14.2% 22.6% 63.2% +14.3 24
2017-02-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1697 1450 63.2% 22.6% 14.2% -14.3 52
2017-03-01 Celtic L 0-4 1478 1883 7.2% 16.4% 76.4% -6.7 22
2017-03-01 @ Inverness CT W 4-0 1883 1478 76.4% 16.4% 7.2% +6.7 79
2017-03-01 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1528 1539 38.9% 27.0% 34.2% -9.6 30
2017-03-01 @ Dundee W 1-0 1539 1528 34.2% 27.0% 38.9% +9.6 32
2017-03-01 Ross County L 0-1 1623 1456 60.5% 23.5% 16.0% -13.8 38
2017-03-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1456 1623 16.0% 23.5% 60.5% +13.8 27
2017-03-01 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1590 1559 44.7% 26.6% 28.7% +6.8 46
2017-03-01 @ Rangers L 2-3 1559 1590 28.7% 26.6% 44.7% -6.9 37
2017-03-04 Motherwell L 1-2 1473 1424 47.0% 26.4% 26.6% -10.5 28
2017-03-04 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1424 1473 26.6% 26.4% 47.0% +10.5 27
2017-03-11 Dundee W 2-0 1553 1518 45.1% 26.6% 28.3% +14.3 40
2017-03-11 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1518 1553 28.3% 26.6% 45.1% -14.3 30
2017-03-11 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1609 1464 58.3% 24.2% 17.5% +17.8 41
2017-03-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1464 1609 17.5% 24.2% 58.3% -17.8 24
2017-03-11 Inverness CT D 1-1 1548 1471 50.6% 25.9% 23.5% -1.4 33
2017-03-11 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1471 1548 23.5% 25.9% 50.6% +1.4 23
2017-03-11 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1470 1462 41.5% 26.9% 31.6% -9.5 27
2017-03-11 @ Ross County W 2-1 1462 1470 31.6% 26.9% 41.5% +9.5 31
2017-03-11 Motherwell W 1-0 1683 1435 68.3% 20.5% 11.2% +3.1 55
2017-03-11 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1435 1683 11.2% 20.5% 68.3% -3.1 27
2017-03-12 Rangers D 1-1 1890 1597 72.0% 18.8% 9.2% -3.5 80
2017-03-12 @ Celtic D 1-1 1597 1890 9.2% 18.8% 72.0% +3.5 47
2017-03-18 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1601 1446 59.3% 23.9% 16.8% +17.1 50
2017-03-18 @ Rangers L 0-4 1446 1601 16.8% 23.9% 59.3% -17.1 24
2017-03-18 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1686 1627 48.4% 26.2% 25.4% +13.1 58
2017-03-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1627 1686 25.4% 26.2% 48.4% -13.1 41
2017-03-18 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1472 1547 30.1% 26.8% 43.2% +0.7 32
2017-03-18 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1547 1472 43.2% 26.8% 30.1% -0.6 34
2017-03-18 Ross County D 1-1 1472 1461 42.0% 26.8% 31.1% -0.5 24
2017-03-18 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1461 1472 31.1% 26.8% 42.0% +0.5 28
2017-03-18 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1432 1567 23.2% 25.8% 50.9% -6.1 27
2017-03-18 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1567 1432 50.9% 25.8% 23.2% +6.1 43
2017-03-19 Celtic L 1-2 1504 1886 7.9% 17.3% 74.7% -2.0 30
2017-03-19 @ Dundee W 2-1 1886 1504 74.7% 17.3% 7.9% +2.0 83
2017-03-31 Aberdeen L 0-7 1502 1699 17.7% 24.2% 58.1% -30.4 30
2017-03-31 @ Dundee W 7-0 1699 1502 58.1% 24.2% 17.7% +30.4 61
2017-04-01 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1472 1473 40.3% 26.9% 32.8% -0.4 25
2017-04-01 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1473 1472 32.8% 26.9% 40.3% +0.4 33
2017-04-01 Motherwell D 1-1 1618 1426 63.1% 22.6% 14.2% -2.6 51
2017-04-01 @ Rangers D 1-1 1426 1618 14.2% 22.6% 63.1% +2.6 28
2017-04-01 Ross County W 2-1 1546 1461 51.5% 25.7% 22.8% +5.9 37
2017-04-01 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1461 1546 22.8% 25.7% 51.5% -6.0 28
2017-04-01 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1429 1573 22.4% 25.7% 51.9% +12.1 27
2017-04-01 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1573 1429 51.9% 25.7% 22.4% -12.1 43
2017-04-02 Celtic L 0-5 1613 1888 12.7% 21.6% 65.8% -15.7 41
2017-04-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 5-0 1888 1613 65.8% 21.6% 12.7% +15.7 86
2017-04-04 Dundee W 2-1 1455 1471 38.1% 27.0% 34.9% +8.4 31
2017-04-04 @ Ross County L 1-2 1471 1455 34.9% 27.0% 38.1% -8.4 30
2017-04-04 Inverness CT W 1-0 1730 1471 69.1% 20.1% 10.7% +3.0 64
2017-04-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1471 1730 10.7% 20.1% 69.1% -3.0 25
2017-04-05 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1428 1441 38.6% 27.0% 34.5% -0.2 29
2017-04-05 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1441 1428 34.5% 27.0% 38.6% +0.2 28
2017-04-05 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1561 1598 35.2% 27.0% 37.9% +9.4 46
2017-04-05 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1598 1561 37.9% 27.0% 35.2% -9.4 41
2017-04-05 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1904 1552 76.5% 16.4% 7.1% -3.8 87
2017-04-05 @ Celtic D 1-1 1552 1904 7.1% 16.4% 76.5% +3.8 38
2017-04-05 Rangers D 0-0 1473 1615 22.5% 25.7% 51.8% +1.7 34
2017-04-05 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1615 1473 51.8% 25.7% 22.5% -1.7 52
2017-04-08 Dundee W 1-0 1588 1463 56.2% 24.7% 19.1% +5.4 44
2017-04-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1463 1588 19.1% 24.7% 56.2% -5.4 30
2017-04-08 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1900 1475 81.3% 13.5% 5.1% +2.0 90
2017-04-08 @ Celtic L 1-3 1475 1900 5.1% 13.5% 81.3% -2.1 34
2017-04-08 Motherwell W 1-0 1556 1428 56.5% 24.7% 18.9% +5.3 41
2017-04-08 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1428 1556 18.9% 24.7% 56.5% -5.3 29
2017-04-08 Ross County D 1-1 1442 1464 37.3% 27.0% 35.7% -0.1 29
2017-04-08 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1464 1442 35.7% 27.0% 37.3% +0.1 32
2017-04-08 St. Johnstone L 0-3 1468 1570 26.9% 26.4% 46.7% -19.9 25
2017-04-08 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1570 1468 46.7% 26.4% 26.9% +19.9 49
2017-04-09 Rangers L 0-3 1733 1613 55.5% 24.9% 19.6% -35.2 64
2017-04-09 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1613 1733 19.6% 24.9% 55.5% +35.2 55
2017-04-14 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1473 1594 24.7% 26.1% 49.2% +1.4 35
2017-04-14 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1594 1473 49.2% 26.1% 24.7% -1.4 45
2017-04-15 Aberdeen L 1-2 1590 1697 26.2% 26.3% 47.4% -6.7 49
2017-04-15 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1697 1590 47.4% 26.3% 26.2% +6.7 67
2017-04-15 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1458 1442 42.6% 26.8% 30.6% -19.5 30
2017-04-15 @ Dundee W 2-0 1442 1458 30.6% 26.8% 42.6% +19.5 32
2017-04-15 Inverness CT W 4-2 1423 1449 36.7% 27.0% 36.3% +13.4 32
2017-04-15 @ Motherwell L 2-4 1449 1423 36.3% 27.0% 36.7% -13.4 25
2017-04-15 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1649 1561 51.8% 25.7% 22.5% +11.8 58
2017-04-15 @ Rangers L 0-2 1561 1649 22.5% 25.7% 51.8% -11.8 41
2017-04-16 Celtic D 2-2 1464 1902 6.2% 15.1% 78.7% +2.9 33
2017-04-16 @ Ross County D 2-2 1902 1464 78.7% 15.1% 6.2% -2.9 91

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2017-04-28 Inverness CT W 4-0 1467 1435 44.7% 26.6% 28.7% +27.3 3
2017-04-28 @ Ross County L 0-4 1435 1467 28.7% 26.6% 44.7% -27.3 0
2017-04-29 Celtic L 1-5 1660 1899 14.8% 22.9% 62.3% -12.5 0
2017-04-29 @ Rangers W 5-1 1899 1660 62.3% 22.9% 14.8% +12.5 3
2017-04-29 Dundee L 2-3 1436 1438 40.1% 26.9% 33.0% -8.8 0
2017-04-29 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1438 1436 33.0% 26.9% 40.1% +8.8 3
2017-04-29 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1461 1474 38.6% 27.0% 34.4% -18.0 0
2017-04-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1474 1461 34.4% 27.0% 38.6% +18.0 3
2017-04-29 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1592 1549 46.2% 26.5% 27.3% -0.7 1
2017-04-29 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1549 1592 27.3% 26.5% 46.2% +0.7 1
2017-04-29 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1704 1583 55.7% 24.9% 19.5% -24.3 0
2017-04-29 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1583 1704 19.5% 24.9% 55.7% +24.3 3
2017-05-06 Dundee L 0-1 1492 1447 46.5% 26.5% 27.1% -11.1 3
2017-05-06 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1447 1492 27.1% 26.5% 46.5% +11.1 6
2017-05-06 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1408 1443 35.4% 27.0% 37.6% +8.8 3
2017-05-06 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1443 1408 37.6% 27.0% 35.4% -8.8 0
2017-05-06 Ross County L 0-1 1427 1494 31.1% 26.8% 42.0% -8.1 0
2017-05-06 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1494 1427 42.0% 26.8% 31.1% +8.2 6
2017-05-06 St. Johnstone W 4-1 1912 1608 72.9% 18.3% 8.8% +5.5 6
2017-05-06 @ Celtic L 1-4 1608 1912 8.8% 18.3% 72.9% -5.5 3
2017-05-07 Aberdeen L 1-2 1592 1680 28.4% 26.6% 45.0% -7.2 1
2017-05-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1680 1592 45.0% 26.6% 28.4% +7.2 3
2017-05-07 Rangers L 1-2 1550 1648 27.3% 26.5% 46.2% -6.9 1
2017-05-07 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1648 1550 46.2% 26.5% 27.3% +6.9 3
2017-05-12 Celtic L 1-3 1687 1917 15.3% 23.2% 61.5% -7.1 3
2017-05-12 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1917 1687 61.5% 23.2% 15.3% +7.1 9
2017-05-13 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1655 1584 49.7% 26.0% 24.2% +6.3 6
2017-05-13 @ Rangers L 1-2 1584 1655 24.2% 26.0% 49.7% -6.3 1
2017-05-13 Inverness CT W 2-1 1481 1417 48.9% 26.1% 24.9% +6.4 6
2017-05-13 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1417 1481 24.9% 26.1% 48.9% -6.4 3
2017-05-13 Motherwell L 0-1 1434 1419 42.5% 26.8% 30.7% -10.3 0
2017-05-13 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1419 1434 30.7% 26.8% 42.5% +10.3 3
2017-05-13 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1602 1543 48.3% 26.2% 25.5% +6.9 6
2017-05-13 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1543 1602 25.5% 26.2% 48.3% -7.0 1
2017-05-13 Ross County D 1-1 1458 1502 34.2% 27.0% 38.9% +0.2 7
2017-05-13 @ Dundee D 1-1 1502 1458 38.9% 27.0% 34.2% -0.2 7
2017-05-16 Hamilton Academical W 3-2 1502 1424 50.7% 25.9% 23.4% +5.8 10
2017-05-16 @ Ross County L 2-3 1424 1502 23.4% 25.9% 50.7% -5.8 0
2017-05-16 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1429 1487 32.3% 26.9% 40.8% +16.3 6
2017-05-16 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1487 1429 40.8% 26.9% 32.3% -16.3 6
2017-05-17 Aberdeen L 1-2 1661 1680 37.8% 27.0% 35.3% -8.9 6
2017-05-17 @ Rangers W 2-1 1680 1661 35.3% 27.0% 37.8% +8.9 6
2017-05-17 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1609 1578 44.6% 26.6% 28.7% +7.7 9
2017-05-17 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1578 1609 28.7% 26.6% 44.6% -7.7 1
2017-05-17 Inverness CT L 0-2 1458 1410 46.9% 26.4% 26.7% -21.0 7
2017-05-17 @ Dundee W 2-0 1410 1458 26.7% 26.4% 46.9% +21.0 6
2017-05-18 Celtic L 0-5 1536 1924 7.8% 17.1% 75.1% -9.0 1
2017-05-18 @ Partick Thistle W 5-0 1924 1536 75.1% 17.1% 7.8% +9.0 12
2017-05-20 Dundee W 4-0 1418 1437 37.7% 27.0% 35.3% +32.1 3
2017-05-20 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-4 1437 1418 35.3% 27.0% 37.7% -32.1 7
2017-05-20 Motherwell W 3-2 1431 1446 38.4% 27.0% 34.6% +7.9 9
2017-05-20 @ Inverness CT L 2-3 1446 1431 34.6% 27.0% 38.4% -7.9 6
2017-05-20 Ross County L 1-2 1471 1508 35.2% 27.0% 37.8% -8.4 6
2017-05-20 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1508 1471 37.8% 27.0% 35.2% +8.4 13
2017-05-21 Aberdeen L 0-6 1527 1689 20.7% 25.2% 54.1% -30.4 1
2017-05-21 @ Partick Thistle W 6-0 1689 1527 54.1% 25.2% 20.7% +30.4 9
2017-05-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1934 1570 77.3% 15.9% 6.8% +3.3 15
2017-05-21 @ Celtic L 0-2 1570 1934 6.8% 15.9% 77.3% -3.3 1
2017-05-21 Rangers L 1-2 1617 1652 35.4% 27.0% 37.7% -8.5 9
2017-05-21 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1652 1617 37.7% 27.0% 35.4% +8.5 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-02-28 14.24% @ Hamilton Academical 1450 1 Aberdeen 1697 0
2 2016-10-15 15.90% Kilmarnock 1437 1 @ St. Johnstone 1605 0
3 2017-03-01 15.96% Ross County 1456 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1623 0
4 2017-02-25 18.17% Kilmarnock 1448 2 @ St. Johnstone 1584 0
5 2016-10-26 18.22% @ Kilmarnock 1453 2 Heart of Midlothian 1644 0
6 2016-11-19 19.15% Ross County 1461 4 @ St. Johnstone 1586 2
7 2016-10-25 19.35% @ Hamilton Academical 1469 1 Aberdeen 1646 0
8 2017-04-29 19.46% St. Johnstone 1583 2 @ Aberdeen 1704 0
9 2017-04-09 19.60% Rangers 1613 3 @ Aberdeen 1733 0
10 2016-12-17 20.07% @ Ross County 1481 2 Aberdeen 1650 1
11 2016-12-23 22.03% @ Dundee 1478 3 Heart of Midlothian 1625 2
12 2017-04-01 22.40% @ Hamilton Academical 1429 1 St. Johnstone 1573 0
13 2017-02-24 23.22% @ Inverness CT 1466 2 Rangers 1602 1
14 2016-10-29 23.23% Partick Thistle 1516 2 @ St. Johnstone 1596 1
15 2017-02-25 23.92% @ Partick Thistle 1516 2 Heart of Midlothian 1645 0
16 2017-02-19 24.67% @ Dundee 1491 2 Rangers 1613 1
17 2016-12-31 24.73% @ Dundee 1473 3 St. Johnstone 1594 0
18 2016-08-13 26.00% Ross County 1509 3 @ Inverness CT 1563 2
19 2017-03-04 26.64% Motherwell 1424 2 @ Kilmarnock 1473 1
20 2017-05-17 26.72% Inverness CT 1410 2 @ Dundee 1458 0
21 2017-05-06 27.05% Dundee 1447 1 @ Kilmarnock 1492 0
22 2016-12-28 27.97% Motherwell 1472 2 @ Inverness CT 1509 1
23 2017-04-15 30.59% Hamilton Academical 1442 2 @ Dundee 1458 0
24 2017-05-13 30.71% Motherwell 1419 1 @ Hamilton Academical 1434 0
25 2016-10-29 30.78% Dundee 1467 1 @ Hamilton Academical 1482 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-04-09 35.18 Rangers 3 1613 19.60% @ Aberdeen 0 1733 55.49% 24.91%
2 2017-05-20 32.07 @ Hamilton Academical 4 1418 37.71% Dundee 0 1437 35.32% 26.97%
3 2016-12-31 31.75 @ Dundee 3 1473 24.73% St. Johnstone 0 1594 49.16% 26.11%
4 2017-03-31 30.44 Aberdeen 7 1699 58.05% @ Dundee 0 1502 17.70% 24.25%
5 2017-05-21 30.43 Aberdeen 6 1689 54.06% @ Partick Thistle 0 1527 20.71% 25.23%
6 2017-04-28 27.34 @ Ross County 4 1467 44.71% Inverness CT 0 1435 28.67% 26.62%
7 2017-01-31 26.82 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1440 33.29% Inverness CT 0 1491 39.79% 26.92%
8 2017-02-25 25.42 Dundee 5 1502 40.07% @ Motherwell 1 1450 33.02% 26.91%
9 2017-02-25 24.94 Kilmarnock 2 1448 18.17% @ St. Johnstone 0 1584 57.41% 24.42%
10 2016-10-26 24.91 @ Kilmarnock 2 1453 18.22% Heart of Midlothian 0 1644 57.34% 24.44%
11 2017-04-29 24.29 St. Johnstone 2 1583 19.46% @ Aberdeen 0 1704 55.68% 24.86%
12 2016-10-26 24.04 Inverness CT 3 1544 38.71% @ Motherwell 0 1501 34.34% 26.95%
13 2016-10-01 22.28 Aberdeen 4 1603 51.94% @ Kilmarnock 0 1460 22.41% 25.65%
14 2017-02-25 22.22 @ Partick Thistle 2 1516 23.92% Heart of Midlothian 0 1645 50.11% 25.97%
15 2016-08-20 21.91 @ Heart of Midlothian 5 1596 46.24% Inverness CT 1 1553 27.28% 26.48%
16 2017-02-01 21.15 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1610 36.67% Rangers 1 1636 36.36% 26.97%
17 2016-12-03 21.06 @ St. Johnstone 3 1567 44.47% Inverness CT 0 1537 28.89% 26.65%
18 2017-05-17 21.02 Inverness CT 2 1410 26.72% @ Dundee 0 1458 46.87% 26.41%
19 2016-10-15 20.06 @ Aberdeen 4 1626 55.08% Ross County 0 1510 19.91% 25.00%
20 2017-04-08 19.86 St. Johnstone 3 1570 46.72% @ Inverness CT 0 1468 26.86% 26.42%
21 2016-10-29 19.69 @ Motherwell 4 1477 40.06% Ross County 1 1480 33.03% 26.91%
22 2017-04-15 19.48 Hamilton Academical 2 1442 30.59% @ Dundee 0 1458 42.62% 26.78%
23 2016-11-19 18.93 Ross County 4 1461 19.15% @ St. Johnstone 2 1586 56.09% 24.76%
24 2016-08-06 18.72 @ Partick Thistle 2 1526 32.59% Inverness CT 0 1582 40.52% 26.89%
25 2016-12-10 18.28 @ Rangers 2 1599 33.82% Heart of Midlothian 0 1645 39.24% 26.94%