Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2014-15

2014-15 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

92 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

16.56 points above expected

30 points · 46.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

77.25 points below expected

92 points · 169.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 25 4 4 79 70 17 +53 75.37 +3.63
2 Aberdeen 33 22 5 6 71 54 28 +26 57.98 +13.02
3 Inverness CT 33 17 7 9 58 46 34 +12 52.76 +5.24
4 Dundee United 33 15 4 14 49 53 49 +4 53.92 -4.92
5 St. Johnstone 33 14 6 13 48 29 32 -3 46.48 +1.52
6 Dundee 33 11 11 11 44 45 45 0 41.37 +2.63
7 Hamilton Academical 33 12 7 14 43 42 48 -6 44.25 -1.25
8 Partick Thistle 33 10 8 15 38 41 38 +3 41.92 -3.92
9 Kilmarnock 33 10 8 15 38 35 46 -11 38.60 -0.60
10 Ross County 33 10 7 16 37 39 56 -17 32.71 +4.29
11 Motherwell 33 9 4 20 31 33 57 -24 38.22 -7.22
12 St. Mirren 33 6 3 24 21 22 59 -37 31.98 -10.98
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 29 5 4 92 84 17 +67 169.25 -77.25
2 Aberdeen 38 23 6 9 75 57 33 +24 150.54 -75.54
3 Inverness CT 38 19 8 11 65 52 42 +10 122.41 -57.41
4 St. Johnstone 38 16 9 13 57 34 34 0 102.62 -45.62
5 Dundee United 38 17 5 16 56 58 56 +2 102.34 -46.34
6 Dundee 38 11 12 15 45 46 57 -11 92.96 -47.96
7 Hamilton Academical 38 15 8 15 53 50 53 -3 92.64 -39.64
8 Partick Thistle 38 12 10 16 46 48 44 +4 85.06 -39.06
9 Ross County 38 12 8 18 44 46 63 -17 82.59 -38.59
10 Kilmarnock 38 11 8 19 41 44 59 -15 81.94 -40.94
11 Motherwell 38 10 6 22 36 38 63 -25 69.21 -33.21
12 St. Mirren 38 9 3 26 30 30 66 -36 46.56 -16.56

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1886 92 75.37 +16.63 73.2% 46 64 71 76 80 86 95
Aberdeen 1679 75 57.98 +17.02 97.1% 29 46 53 58 63 70 86
Inverness CT 1610 65 52.76 +12.24 77.8% 25 41 48 53 58 65 79
St. Johnstone 1594 57 46.48 +10.52 60.5% 18 34 41 46 51 59 75
Dundee United 1560 56 53.92 +2.08 27.0% 20 42 49 54 59 66 83
Partick Thistle 1553 46 41.92 +4.08 32.2% 16 30 37 42 47 54 72
Ross County 1499 44 32.71 +11.29 75.7% 11 21 28 33 37 44 59
Dundee 1490 45 41.37 +3.63 66.4% 14 29 36 41 46 53 70
Hamilton Academical 1484 53 44.25 +8.75 45.8% 16 32 39 44 49 56 70
Motherwell 1474 36 38.22 -2.22 17.6% 13 26 33 38 43 50 68
Kilmarnock 1454 41 38.60 +2.40 50.2% 14 27 34 38 44 51 67
St. Mirren 1395 30 31.98 -1.98 6.3% 8 21 27 32 37 44 59

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU HA IC KIL MOT PT RC SJ SM
Aberdeen
0-0-4
3.09
1-3-0
7.71
2-0-2
6.71
2-0-1
4.94
4-0-0
6.60
3-0-0
5.76
3-0-0
6.23
2-1-0
5.45
3-0-0
6.36
1-1-2
6.91
2-1-0
6.56
Celtic
4-0-0
8.15
3-1-0
9.37
3-0-1
8.71
2-0-1
6.76
2-1-1
8.70
3-0-0
7.09
2-1-0
7.15
3-0-0
7.02
2-1-0
7.37
2-1-1
8.88
3-0-0
7.40
Dundee
0-3-1
3.51
0-1-3
1.97
1-0-3
4.46
1-1-1
3.81
0-2-2
4.31
2-1-0
4.38
3-0-0
4.60
1-2-0
4.13
0-1-2
5.13
1-1-2
5.17
2-0-1
4.95
Dundee United
2-0-2
4.49
1-0-3
2.57
3-0-1
6.73
2-1-0
5.18
0-1-3
5.14
1-0-2
5.65
2-0-1
5.68
1-1-1
5.59
2-0-1
6.00
1-1-2
6.37
2-1-0
5.96
Hamilton Academical
1-0-2
3.46
1-0-2
1.72
1-1-1
4.58
0-1-2
3.22
0-0-3
3.59
1-2-1
6.39
3-0-1
5.96
1-2-1
5.66
2-1-1
6.49
2-1-0
3.66
3-0-1
6.58
Inverness CT
0-0-4
4.59
1-1-2
2.57
2-2-0
6.88
3-1-0
6.05
3-0-0
4.80
2-1-0
5.57
2-0-1
5.27
0-0-3
5.27
1-2-0
6.14
2-1-1
6.00
3-0-0
5.84
Kilmarnock
0-0-3
2.66
0-0-3
1.43
0-1-2
4.01
2-0-1
2.76
1-2-1
4.80
0-1-2
2.84
1-1-2
5.54
2-2-0
4.70
1-0-3
6.12
1-1-1
3.53
3-0-1
6.67
Motherwell
0-0-3
2.21
0-1-2
1.37
0-0-3
3.79
1-0-2
2.74
1-0-3
5.23
1-0-2
3.15
2-1-1
5.65
1-1-2
4.92
1-2-1
6.20
0-1-2
3.55
3-0-1
6.74
Partick Thistle
0-1-2
2.95
0-0-3
1.48
0-2-1
4.26
1-1-1
2.82
1-2-1
5.54
3-0-0
3.13
0-2-2
6.50
2-1-1
6.26
2-0-2
6.64
1-1-1
3.82
2-0-2
7.42
Ross County
0-0-3
2.09
0-1-2
1.18
2-1-0
3.26
1-0-2
2.43
1-1-2
4.70
0-2-1
2.29
3-0-1
5.07
1-2-1
4.99
2-0-2
4.55
1-0-2
3.28
1-1-2
6.29
St. Johnstone
2-1-1
4.29
1-1-2
2.42
2-1-1
6.02
2-1-1
4.82
0-1-2
4.73
1-1-2
5.18
1-1-1
4.87
2-1-0
4.85
1-1-1
4.57
2-0-1
5.12
2-0-1
5.62
St. Mirren
0-1-2
1.90
0-0-3
1.16
1-0-2
3.45
0-1-2
2.46
1-0-3
4.62
0-0-3
2.58
1-0-3
4.52
1-0-3
4.46
2-0-2
3.80
2-1-1
4.91
1-0-2
2.79

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.74 +10.7
Allowed 0.83 -10.6
Differential 0.94 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.95%11.40%6.14%4.39%1.97%1.32%29.17%
111.40%10.96%8.99%2.63%1.32%0.22%35.53%
26.14%8.99%3.07%1.54%0.22%0.22%20.18%
34.39%2.63%1.54%1.32%9.87%
41.97%1.32%0.22%3.51%
5+1.32%0.22%0.22%1.75%
Total29.17%35.53%20.18%9.87%3.51%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.91
CV 0.93 0.93
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%5.26%2.63%21.05%
118.42%7.89%5.26%31.58%
215.79%7.89%2.63%26.32%
310.53%5.26%2.63%18.42%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total50.00%26.32%13.16%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.87 +0.63
SD 1.11 1.09 1.75
CV 0.74 1.26
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%13.16%
113.16%7.89%2.63%23.68%
213.16%15.79%28.95%
310.53%10.53%
47.89%5.26%13.16%
5+7.89%2.63%10.53%
Total57.89%39.47%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.45 +1.76
SD 1.60 0.55 1.79
CV 0.72 1.24
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%18.42%
113.16%26.32%13.16%2.63%2.63%57.89%
22.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
37.89%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total18.42%47.37%15.79%10.53%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.50 -0.29
SD 0.96 1.37 1.68
CV 0.80 0.91
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%7.89%26.32%
110.53%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%31.58%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%15.79%
310.53%5.26%5.26%21.05%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total23.68%28.95%31.58%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.47 +0.05
SD 1.39 1.25 2.08
CV 0.91 0.85
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%10.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%36.84%
113.16%7.89%2.63%23.68%
25.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%21.05%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
45.26%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total36.84%21.05%21.05%10.53%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.39 -0.08
SD 1.36 1.42 2.27
CV 1.03 1.02
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%2.63%2.63%21.05%
113.16%15.79%5.26%2.63%36.84%
213.16%13.16%2.63%28.95%
32.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total31.58%47.37%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.11 +0.26
SD 1.02 1.18 1.66
CV 0.75 1.07
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%10.53%2.63%28.95%
15.26%7.89%13.16%7.89%5.26%39.47%
25.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total21.05%28.95%28.95%15.79%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.55 -0.39
SD 1.03 1.16 1.57
CV 0.89 0.74
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%36.84%
110.53%10.53%7.89%10.53%2.63%42.11%
27.89%2.63%2.63%13.16%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total18.42%34.21%23.68%13.16%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.66 -0.66
SD 1.14 1.30 1.99
CV 1.14 0.78
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%18.42%7.89%5.26%39.47%
15.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%26.32%
25.26%2.63%5.26%13.16%
35.26%5.26%2.63%13.16%
45.26%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total31.58%36.84%18.42%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.16 +0.11
SD 1.39 1.08 1.98
CV 1.10 0.93
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%7.89%2.63%23.68%
17.89%10.53%21.05%2.63%42.11%
213.16%7.89%2.63%23.68%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total15.79%34.21%31.58%7.89%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.66 -0.45
SD 0.93 1.24 1.81
CV 0.77 0.75
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%31.58%
121.05%15.79%10.53%47.37%
210.53%10.53%21.05%
3
4
5+
Total39.47%36.84%18.42%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 0.89 +0.00
SD 0.73 0.89 1.34
CV 0.81 1.00
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.68%10.53%15.79%2.63%52.63%
15.26%2.63%13.16%2.63%23.68%
213.16%5.26%18.42%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total5.26%44.74%28.95%15.79%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.74 -0.95
SD 1.02 1.06 1.68
CV 1.29 0.61
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 30 46.56 -16.56
2 Motherwell 36 69.21 -33.21
3 Ross County 44 82.59 -38.59
4 Partick Thistle 46 85.06 -39.06
5 Hamilton Academical 53 92.64 -39.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 92 169.25 -77.25
2 Aberdeen 75 150.54 -75.54
3 Inverness CT 65 122.41 -57.41
4 Dundee 45 92.96 -47.96
5 Dundee United 56 102.34 -46.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 8 Nov 23 – Jan 10 1 in 219
2 Ross County 4 Feb 14 – Mar 7 1 in 113
3 Hamilton Academical 4 Aug 13 – Aug 30 1 in 62
4 St. Johnstone 5 Nov 22 – Dec 27 1 in 58
5 Inverness CT 5 Jan 1 – Jan 24 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 7 Mar 21 – May 8 1 in 306
2 St. Johnstone 5 Sep 13 – Oct 18 1 in 161
3 Ross County 7 Aug 10 – Sep 20 1 in 134
4 Partick Thistle 4 Jan 30 – Feb 21 1 in 77
5 Motherwell 5 Sep 27 – Oct 31 1 in 76

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamilton Academical 9 Aug 13 – Oct 17 1 in 359
2 Ross County 9 Feb 14 – Apr 13 1 in 350
3 Kilmarnock 7 Jan 24 – Mar 14 1 in 105
4 Aberdeen 13 Nov 23 – Feb 21 1 in 43
5 Dundee 8 Jan 4 – Feb 21 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamilton Academical 13 Jan 12 – Apr 11 1 in 344
2 Inverness CT 9 Feb 21 – May 2 1 in 140
3 Dundee United 7 Feb 14 – Apr 8 1 in 101
4 Dundee 8 Nov 8 – Jan 4 1 in 43
5 St. Johnstone 6 Sep 13 – Oct 25 1 in 28

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic93.70%5.34%0.75%0.14%0.06%0.01%
Aberdeen3.76%44.76%23.82%13.45%7.34%3.64%1.73%0.88%0.38%0.13%0.09%0.02%
Inverness CT1.01%18.44%23.05%21.83%13.79%9.35%5.74%3.41%1.79%1.17%0.27%0.15%
St. Johnstone0.18%4.27%9.97%13.02%17.43%14.97%13.63%9.82%7.58%5.07%2.88%1.18%
Dundee United1.28%21.31%25.83%20.65%13.09%7.85%4.52%2.95%1.35%0.70%0.36%0.11%
Dundee0.02%1.01%3.30%6.41%10.16%12.78%14.80%14.30%13.15%11.29%8.15%4.63%
Hamilton Academical0.03%2.61%6.05%10.34%13.67%15.43%14.28%12.85%10.19%7.36%4.67%2.52%
Partick Thistle1.28%3.92%6.96%10.51%13.97%14.98%14.43%12.54%10.10%7.48%3.83%
Ross County0.02%0.32%0.63%1.39%2.63%4.75%7.74%11.35%16.37%24.64%30.16%
Kilmarnock0.01%0.46%1.50%3.05%6.12%8.99%11.19%14.29%15.69%16.09%13.41%9.20%
Motherwell0.01%0.47%1.35%3.00%5.18%8.07%10.45%13.16%16.21%16.41%14.65%11.04%
St. Mirren0.03%0.14%0.52%1.26%2.32%3.92%6.17%9.77%15.31%23.40%37.16%
Team123456789101112
Celtic99.27%0.73%
Aberdeen0.73%99.25%0.02%
Inverness CT0.02%98.22%1.74%0.02%
St. Johnstone1.22%59.73%32.20%6.85%
Dundee United0.54%33.73%51.92%13.81%
Dundee4.80%15.86%79.34%
Hamilton Academical60.28%24.97%11.56%3.10%0.09%
Partick Thistle23.24%37.79%24.37%12.77%1.83%
Ross County11.58%23.52%35.91%24.97%4.02%
Kilmarnock4.87%13.12%25.17%47.53%9.31%
Motherwell0.03%0.60%2.99%11.63%84.46%0.29%
St. Mirren0.29%99.71%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.77%
Slight Edge
44.74%19.30%35.96%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.56 Elo pts.
180 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.1
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
94%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Comfortable
00.370.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.76 * Some Luck: 5.76 to 8.64 * Lucky: 8.64 to 11.52 * Wild Swing: 11.52 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.51 * Way Off: 2.51 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.14 points
Some Luck
07.2018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.574
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.09%
Aberdeen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.34%
St. Mirren
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.88
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
94%
Dominant
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.74
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 99.93% 0.07%
Celtic 100%
Inverness CT 99.64% 0.29% 0.07%
Dundee United 99.45% 0.44% 0.11%
St. Johnstone 96.84% 2.16% 1.00%
Partick Thistle 90.84% 6.12% 3.04%
Hamilton Academical 91.37% 5.57% 3.06%
Dundee 88.84% 7.35% 3.81%
Kilmarnock 75.87% 14.51% 9.62%
Motherwell 75.03% 14.91% 10.06%
Ross County 50.18% 24.47% 25.35%
St. Mirren 32.01% 24.11% 43.88%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee 100%
Dundee United 100%
Hamilton Academical 99.91% 0.09%
Inverness CT 100%
Kilmarnock 90.69% 9.31%
Partick Thistle 98.17% 1.83%
Ross County 95.98% 4.02%
St. Johnstone 100%
Motherwell 15.25% 84.46% 0.29%
St. Mirren 0.29% 99.71%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2014-08-09 Inverness CT L 0-2 1481 1566 32.3% 20.3% 47.4% -12.8 0
2014-08-09 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1566 1481 47.4% 20.3% 32.3% +12.8 3
2014-08-09 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1502 1493 45.3% 20.4% 34.3% -0.5 1
2014-08-09 @ Dundee D 1-1 1493 1502 34.3% 20.4% 45.3% +0.5 1
2014-08-09 St. Mirren W 1-0 1584 1505 54.4% 19.9% 25.7% +5.6 3
2014-08-09 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1505 1584 25.7% 19.9% 54.4% -5.6 0
2014-08-10 Dundee United L 0-3 1605 1583 47.2% 20.3% 32.5% -25.3 0
2014-08-10 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1583 1605 32.5% 20.3% 47.2% +25.3 3
2014-08-10 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1502 1577 33.7% 20.4% 46.0% -6.6 0
2014-08-10 @ Ross County W 2-1 1577 1502 46.0% 20.4% 33.7% +6.6 3
2014-08-13 Aberdeen L 0-2 1494 1580 32.1% 20.3% 47.6% -12.7 1
2014-08-13 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1580 1494 47.6% 20.3% 32.1% +12.7 3
2014-08-13 Celtic L 0-3 1583 1780 20.1% 19.1% 60.8% -12.2 3
2014-08-13 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1780 1583 60.8% 19.1% 20.1% +12.2 3
2014-08-13 Dundee D 0-0 1579 1502 54.2% 19.9% 25.9% -1.4 4
2014-08-13 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1502 1579 25.9% 19.9% 54.2% +1.4 2
2014-08-13 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1499 1469 48.2% 20.3% 31.5% -17.8 0
2014-08-13 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1469 1499 31.5% 20.3% 48.2% +17.8 3
2014-08-13 Motherwell W 1-0 1608 1589 46.7% 20.3% 33.0% +6.9 6
2014-08-13 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1589 1608 33.0% 20.3% 46.7% -6.9 3
2014-08-13 Ross County W 4-0 1498 1496 44.5% 20.4% 35.1% +26.0 3
2014-08-13 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1496 1498 35.1% 20.4% 44.5% -26.0 0
2014-08-16 Dundee United W 6-1 1792 1615 64.9% 18.4% 16.7% +13.6 6
2014-08-16 @ Celtic L 1-6 1615 1792 16.7% 18.4% 64.9% -13.7 6
2014-08-16 Inverness CT L 0-2 1582 1578 44.8% 20.4% 34.8% -16.7 3
2014-08-16 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1578 1582 34.8% 20.4% 44.8% +16.7 7
2014-08-16 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1470 1481 42.5% 20.4% 37.0% -8.0 0
2014-08-16 @ Ross County W 2-1 1481 1470 37.0% 20.4% 42.5% +8.0 4
2014-08-16 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1503 1524 41.1% 20.5% 38.5% -0.1 3
2014-08-16 @ Dundee D 1-1 1524 1503 38.5% 20.5% 41.1% +0.1 4
2014-08-16 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1486 1571 32.3% 20.3% 47.3% +9.3 6
2014-08-16 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1571 1486 47.3% 20.3% 32.3% -9.3 3
2014-08-23 Aberdeen W 1-0 1562 1593 39.7% 20.5% 39.8% +8.0 6
2014-08-23 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1593 1562 39.8% 20.5% 39.7% -8.0 3
2014-08-23 Celtic W 1-0 1594 1806 18.8% 18.9% 62.3% +11.9 10
2014-08-23 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1806 1594 62.3% 18.9% 18.8% -11.9 6
2014-08-23 Dundee L 0-1 1481 1503 41.1% 20.5% 38.5% -8.2 0
2014-08-23 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1503 1481 38.5% 20.5% 41.1% +8.2 6
2014-08-23 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1524 1496 48.0% 20.3% 31.7% -8.9 4
2014-08-23 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1496 1524 31.7% 20.3% 48.0% +8.9 9
2014-08-23 Motherwell W 2-0 1489 1566 33.4% 20.4% 46.3% +17.2 7
2014-08-23 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1566 1489 46.3% 20.4% 33.4% -17.2 3
2014-08-23 Ross County W 2-1 1602 1462 61.3% 19.1% 19.7% +4.1 9
2014-08-23 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1462 1602 19.7% 19.1% 61.3% -4.1 0
2014-08-30 Dundee United L 0-3 1473 1606 26.6% 20.0% 53.5% -15.7 0
2014-08-30 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1606 1473 53.5% 20.0% 26.6% +15.7 12
2014-08-30 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1606 1506 56.9% 19.6% 23.5% +9.7 13
2014-08-30 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1506 1606 23.5% 19.6% 56.9% -9.7 7
2014-08-30 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1585 1516 53.2% 20.0% 26.8% +10.9 6
2014-08-30 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1516 1585 26.8% 20.0% 53.2% -10.9 4
2014-08-30 Ross County W 4-0 1504 1457 50.4% 20.2% 29.4% +22.4 12
2014-08-30 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-4 1457 1504 29.4% 20.2% 50.4% -22.4 0
2014-08-30 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1549 1570 41.1% 20.5% 38.5% -8.2 3
2014-08-30 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1570 1549 38.5% 20.5% 41.1% +8.2 9
2014-08-31 Celtic D 1-1 1511 1794 13.6% 17.5% 68.9% +2.6 7
2014-08-31 @ Dundee D 1-1 1794 1511 68.9% 17.5% 13.6% -2.6 7
2014-09-13 Aberdeen W 2-1 1791 1596 66.6% 18.1% 15.3% +3.2 10
2014-09-13 @ Celtic L 1-2 1596 1791 15.3% 18.1% 66.6% -3.2 6
2014-09-13 Dundee L 0-1 1578 1514 52.6% 20.0% 27.3% -10.2 9
2014-09-13 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1514 1578 27.3% 20.0% 52.6% +10.2 10
2014-09-13 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1621 1527 56.2% 19.7% 24.1% -1.1 13
2014-09-13 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1527 1621 24.1% 19.7% 56.2% +1.1 13
2014-09-13 Inverness CT W 3-1 1505 1616 29.0% 20.1% 50.8% +16.1 7
2014-09-13 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1616 1505 50.8% 20.1% 29.0% -16.1 13
2014-09-13 Motherwell L 1-2 1435 1540 29.8% 20.2% 50.1% -6.0 0
2014-09-13 @ Ross County W 2-1 1540 1435 50.1% 20.2% 29.8% +6.0 6
2014-09-13 St. Mirren W 2-1 1496 1457 49.4% 20.2% 30.4% +6.1 10
2014-09-13 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1457 1496 30.4% 20.2% 49.4% -6.1 0
2014-09-19 St. Mirren L 1-2 1521 1451 53.2% 20.0% 26.8% -9.7 7
2014-09-19 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1451 1521 26.8% 20.0% 53.2% +9.7 3
2014-09-20 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1528 1502 47.6% 20.3% 32.1% -0.7 14
2014-09-20 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1502 1528 32.1% 20.3% 47.6% +0.8 11
2014-09-20 Ross County W 3-0 1592 1429 63.6% 18.7% 17.7% +10.8 9
2014-09-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1429 1592 17.7% 18.7% 63.6% -10.8 0
2014-09-20 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1600 1568 48.4% 20.3% 31.3% +6.2 16
2014-09-20 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1568 1600 31.3% 20.3% 48.4% -6.2 9
2014-09-21 Dundee United L 1-4 1524 1620 30.8% 20.2% 48.9% -15.1 10
2014-09-21 @ Dundee W 4-1 1620 1524 48.9% 20.2% 30.8% +15.1 16
2014-09-21 Motherwell D 1-1 1795 1546 71.0% 17.0% 12.0% -2.8 11
2014-09-21 @ Celtic D 1-1 1546 1795 12.0% 17.0% 71.0% +2.8 7
2014-09-27 Celtic L 1-2 1461 1792 10.8% 16.5% 72.7% -2.3 3
2014-09-27 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1792 1461 72.7% 16.5% 10.8% +2.3 14
2014-09-27 Dundee W 2-1 1418 1509 31.6% 20.3% 48.1% +8.9 3
2014-09-27 @ Ross County L 1-2 1509 1418 48.1% 20.3% 31.6% -8.9 10
2014-09-27 Hamilton Academical L 0-4 1549 1527 47.1% 20.3% 32.6% -33.0 7
2014-09-27 @ Motherwell W 4-0 1527 1549 32.6% 20.3% 47.1% +33.0 17
2014-09-27 Inverness CT W 3-2 1603 1606 43.7% 20.4% 35.9% +6.6 12
2014-09-27 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1606 1603 35.9% 20.4% 43.7% -6.6 16
2014-09-27 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1503 1511 43.0% 20.4% 36.6% +20.6 14
2014-09-27 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1511 1503 36.6% 20.4% 43.0% -20.6 7
2014-09-27 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1635 1562 53.8% 19.9% 26.3% +10.7 19
2014-09-27 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1562 1635 26.3% 19.9% 53.8% -10.7 9
2014-09-30 St. Mirren D 2-2 1610 1459 62.4% 18.9% 18.7% -1.5 13
2014-09-30 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1459 1610 18.7% 18.9% 62.4% +1.5 4
2014-10-03 Dundee United W 2-0 1524 1646 27.7% 20.1% 52.2% +19.1 17
2014-10-03 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1646 1524 52.2% 20.1% 27.7% -19.1 19
2014-10-04 Aberdeen L 2-3 1500 1608 29.4% 20.2% 50.5% -5.6 10
2014-10-04 @ Dundee W 3-2 1608 1500 50.5% 20.2% 29.4% +5.6 16
2014-10-04 Motherwell W 3-1 1491 1516 40.5% 20.5% 39.1% +12.9 10
2014-10-04 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1516 1491 39.1% 20.5% 40.5% -12.9 7
2014-10-04 St. Mirren L 1-2 1551 1460 55.8% 19.7% 24.4% -10.1 9
2014-10-04 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1460 1551 24.4% 19.7% 55.8% +10.1 7
2014-10-05 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1794 1560 69.9% 17.3% 12.8% -13.2 14
2014-10-05 @ Celtic W 1-0 1560 1794 12.8% 17.3% 69.9% +13.2 20
2014-10-05 Ross County D 1-1 1599 1427 64.5% 18.5% 17.0% -2.2 17
2014-10-05 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1427 1599 17.0% 18.5% 64.5% +2.2 4
2014-10-17 Aberdeen W 3-0 1573 1614 38.3% 20.5% 41.2% +22.6 23
2014-10-17 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1614 1573 41.2% 20.5% 38.3% -22.6 16
2014-10-18 Celtic L 0-5 1429 1781 9.8% 16.0% 74.1% -9.6 4
2014-10-18 @ Ross County W 5-0 1781 1429 74.1% 16.0% 9.8% +9.6 17
2014-10-18 Dundee L 1-3 1503 1494 45.3% 20.4% 34.3% -14.6 7
2014-10-18 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1494 1503 34.3% 20.4% 45.3% +14.6 13
2014-10-18 Inverness CT L 0-1 1470 1597 27.2% 20.0% 52.8% -5.9 7
2014-10-18 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1597 1470 52.8% 20.0% 27.2% +5.9 20
2014-10-18 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1541 1543 43.8% 20.4% 35.7% -8.2 9
2014-10-18 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1543 1541 35.7% 20.4% 43.8% +8.2 20
2014-10-18 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1627 1503 59.5% 19.3% 21.2% +4.7 22
2014-10-18 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1503 1627 21.2% 19.3% 59.5% -4.7 10
2014-10-24 Motherwell W 1-0 1591 1489 57.2% 19.6% 23.2% +5.1 19
2014-10-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1489 1591 23.2% 19.6% 57.2% -5.1 7
2014-10-25 Dundee United W 1-0 1603 1632 40.0% 20.5% 39.5% +8.0 23
2014-10-25 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1632 1603 39.5% 20.5% 40.0% -8.0 22
2014-10-25 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1509 1596 32.0% 20.3% 47.7% +17.6 16
2014-10-25 @ Dundee L 0-2 1596 1509 47.7% 20.3% 32.0% -17.6 23
2014-10-25 Ross County D 2-2 1464 1420 50.1% 20.2% 29.7% -0.7 8
2014-10-25 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1420 1464 29.7% 20.2% 50.1% +0.7 5
2014-10-25 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1499 1533 39.3% 20.5% 40.3% +0.0 11
2014-10-25 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1533 1499 40.3% 20.5% 39.3% -0.0 10
2014-10-26 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1791 1551 70.3% 17.2% 12.5% +5.3 20
2014-10-26 @ Celtic L 0-2 1551 1791 12.5% 17.2% 70.3% -5.3 20
2014-10-31 Motherwell W 2-1 1533 1483 50.7% 20.2% 29.1% +5.9 13
2014-10-31 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1483 1533 29.1% 20.2% 50.7% -5.9 7
2014-11-01 Dundee L 1-3 1546 1526 46.7% 20.3% 32.9% -15.0 20
2014-11-01 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1526 1546 32.9% 20.3% 46.7% +15.0 19
2014-11-01 Inverness CT W 1-0 1796 1611 65.6% 18.3% 16.1% +3.6 23
2014-11-01 @ Celtic L 0-1 1611 1796 16.1% 18.3% 65.6% -3.6 23
2014-11-01 Partick Thistle D 3-3 1579 1499 54.5% 19.9% 25.7% -0.8 24
2014-11-01 @ Hamilton Academical D 3-3 1499 1579 25.7% 19.9% 54.5% +0.8 12
2014-11-01 St. Mirren W 3-0 1624 1464 63.3% 18.7% 18.0% +11.0 25
2014-11-01 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1464 1624 18.0% 18.7% 63.3% -11.0 8
2014-11-03 Aberdeen L 0-1 1420 1597 22.0% 19.4% 58.6% -4.8 5
2014-11-03 @ Ross County W 1-0 1597 1420 58.6% 19.4% 22.0% +4.8 22
2014-11-07 Dundee United W 1-0 1478 1635 23.9% 19.7% 56.4% +10.8 10
2014-11-07 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1635 1478 56.4% 19.7% 23.9% -10.8 25
2014-11-08 Hamilton Academical W 4-2 1608 1578 48.2% 20.3% 31.6% +9.7 26
2014-11-08 @ Inverness CT L 2-4 1578 1608 31.6% 20.3% 48.2% -9.7 24
2014-11-08 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1453 1500 37.5% 20.5% 42.1% -7.7 8
2014-11-08 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1500 1453 42.1% 20.5% 37.5% +7.7 15
2014-11-08 Ross County L 0-3 1531 1415 58.6% 19.4% 22.0% -30.7 20
2014-11-08 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1415 1531 22.0% 19.4% 58.6% +30.7 8
2014-11-08 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1541 1539 44.5% 20.4% 35.1% -0.4 20
2014-11-08 @ Dundee D 1-1 1539 1541 35.1% 20.4% 44.5% +0.4 14
2014-11-09 Celtic L 1-2 1601 1799 20.0% 19.1% 60.9% -4.2 22
2014-11-09 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1799 1601 60.9% 19.1% 20.0% +4.2 26
2014-11-22 Dundee W 2-1 1804 1541 72.1% 16.7% 11.2% +2.4 29
2014-11-22 @ Celtic L 1-2 1541 1804 11.2% 16.7% 72.1% -2.4 20
2014-11-22 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1624 1500 59.6% 19.3% 21.1% +7.6 28
2014-11-22 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1500 1624 21.1% 19.3% 59.6% -7.6 20
2014-11-22 Motherwell W 3-1 1617 1488 60.1% 19.2% 20.7% +7.5 29
2014-11-22 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1488 1617 20.7% 19.2% 60.1% -7.5 10
2014-11-22 Ross County W 2-1 1539 1446 56.0% 19.7% 24.2% +5.0 17
2014-11-22 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1446 1539 24.2% 19.7% 56.0% -5.0 8
2014-11-22 St. Mirren W 3-0 1568 1445 59.4% 19.3% 21.2% +12.9 27
2014-11-22 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1445 1568 21.2% 19.3% 59.4% -12.9 8
2014-11-23 Aberdeen L 0-1 1507 1597 31.7% 20.3% 48.0% -6.7 15
2014-11-23 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1597 1507 48.0% 20.3% 31.7% +6.7 25
2014-12-03 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1806 1501 75.2% 15.7% 9.2% +2.0 32
2014-12-03 @ Celtic L 0-1 1501 1806 9.2% 15.7% 75.2% -2.0 15
2014-12-05 Dundee United L 2-3 1441 1632 20.6% 19.2% 60.1% -4.1 8
2014-12-05 @ Ross County W 3-2 1632 1441 60.1% 19.2% 20.6% +4.1 31
2014-12-06 Celtic L 0-1 1481 1808 11.1% 16.6% 72.4% -2.5 10
2014-12-06 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1808 1481 72.4% 16.6% 11.1% +2.5 35
2014-12-06 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1604 1581 47.2% 20.3% 32.4% +18.6 28
2014-12-06 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1581 1604 32.4% 20.3% 47.2% -18.6 27
2014-12-06 Inverness CT L 1-2 1539 1625 32.2% 20.3% 47.5% -6.4 20
2014-12-06 @ Dundee W 2-1 1625 1539 47.5% 20.3% 32.2% +6.4 32
2014-12-06 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1499 1492 45.0% 20.4% 34.6% -0.4 16
2014-12-06 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1492 1499 34.6% 20.4% 45.0% +0.4 21
2014-12-06 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1432 1544 29.0% 20.1% 50.9% -6.2 8
2014-12-06 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1544 1432 50.9% 20.1% 29.0% +6.2 20
2014-12-13 Aberdeen L 0-2 1636 1622 45.9% 20.4% 33.7% -17.0 31
2014-12-13 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1622 1636 33.7% 20.4% 45.9% +17.0 31
2014-12-13 Dundee W 2-1 1562 1532 48.2% 20.3% 31.5% +6.3 30
2014-12-13 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1532 1562 31.5% 20.3% 48.2% -6.3 20
2014-12-13 Partick Thistle L 0-4 1631 1498 60.5% 19.2% 20.3% -41.4 32
2014-12-13 @ Inverness CT W 4-0 1498 1631 20.3% 19.2% 60.5% +41.4 19
2014-12-13 Ross County D 2-2 1478 1437 49.7% 20.2% 30.1% -0.6 11
2014-12-13 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1437 1478 30.1% 20.2% 49.7% +0.6 9
2014-12-13 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1493 1550 36.0% 20.4% 43.6% -7.4 21
2014-12-13 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1550 1493 43.6% 20.4% 36.0% +7.4 23
2014-12-14 St. Mirren W 4-1 1810 1426 80.0% 13.7% 6.3% +3.1 38
2014-12-14 @ Celtic L 1-4 1426 1810 6.3% 13.7% 80.0% -3.1 8
2014-12-20 Dundee D 1-1 1539 1526 46.0% 20.4% 33.7% -0.5 20
2014-12-20 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1526 1539 33.7% 20.4% 46.0% +0.5 21
2014-12-20 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1438 1569 26.8% 20.0% 53.3% -5.8 9
2014-12-20 @ Ross County W 1-0 1569 1438 53.3% 20.0% 26.8% +5.8 33
2014-12-20 Inverness CT W 1-0 1558 1590 39.5% 20.5% 40.0% +8.1 26
2014-12-20 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1590 1558 40.0% 20.5% 39.5% -8.1 32
2014-12-20 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1640 1485 62.7% 18.8% 18.5% +4.1 34
2014-12-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1485 1640 18.5% 18.8% 62.7% -4.1 21
2014-12-20 Motherwell L 0-1 1423 1478 36.3% 20.4% 43.2% -7.5 8
2014-12-20 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1478 1423 43.2% 20.4% 36.3% +7.5 14
2014-12-21 Celtic W 2-1 1619 1814 20.2% 19.2% 60.6% +10.9 34
2014-12-21 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1814 1619 60.6% 19.2% 20.2% -10.9 38
2014-12-27 Dundee United W 2-1 1566 1630 35.1% 20.4% 44.5% +8.3 29
2014-12-27 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1630 1566 44.5% 20.4% 35.1% -8.3 34
2014-12-27 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1481 1574 31.3% 20.3% 48.4% +9.5 24
2014-12-27 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1574 1481 48.4% 20.3% 31.3% -9.5 33
2014-12-27 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1485 1539 36.5% 20.4% 43.0% +8.6 17
2014-12-27 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1539 1485 43.0% 20.4% 36.5% -8.6 20
2014-12-27 Ross County D 0-0 1803 1432 79.2% 14.1% 6.7% -3.8 39
2014-12-27 @ Celtic D 0-0 1432 1803 6.7% 14.1% 79.2% +3.8 10
2014-12-27 St. Mirren L 1-3 1527 1415 58.1% 19.5% 22.4% -18.2 21
2014-12-27 @ Dundee W 3-1 1415 1527 22.4% 19.5% 58.1% +18.2 11
2014-12-28 Aberdeen L 0-1 1582 1644 35.4% 20.4% 44.2% -7.3 32
2014-12-28 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1644 1582 44.2% 20.4% 35.4% +7.3 37
2015-01-01 Dundee W 6-2 1621 1508 58.3% 19.5% 22.2% +12.4 37
2015-01-01 @ Dundee United L 2-6 1508 1621 22.2% 19.5% 58.3% -12.4 21
2015-01-01 Inverness CT L 1-3 1436 1574 25.9% 19.9% 54.2% -9.2 10
2015-01-01 @ Ross County W 3-1 1574 1436 54.2% 19.9% 25.9% +9.2 35
2015-01-01 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1434 1491 36.0% 20.4% 43.5% -7.0 11
2015-01-01 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1491 1434 43.5% 20.4% 36.0% +7.0 27
2015-01-01 Motherwell W 5-0 1565 1494 53.4% 20.0% 26.6% +25.4 36
2015-01-01 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-5 1494 1565 26.6% 20.0% 53.4% -25.4 17
2015-01-01 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1651 1574 54.2% 19.9% 25.9% +10.6 40
2015-01-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1574 1651 25.9% 19.9% 54.2% -10.6 29
2015-01-04 Aberdeen L 0-2 1468 1662 20.4% 19.2% 60.4% -8.5 17
2015-01-04 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1662 1468 60.4% 19.2% 20.4% +8.5 43
2015-01-04 Dundee United D 2-2 1530 1634 30.0% 20.2% 49.8% +0.6 21
2015-01-04 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1634 1530 49.8% 20.2% 30.0% -0.6 38
2015-01-04 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1563 1590 40.3% 20.5% 39.2% -8.1 29
2015-01-04 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1590 1563 39.2% 20.5% 40.3% +8.1 39
2015-01-04 Ross County D 1-1 1496 1427 53.2% 20.0% 26.8% -1.2 22
2015-01-04 @ Dundee D 1-1 1427 1496 26.8% 20.0% 53.2% +1.2 11
2015-01-04 St. Mirren W 1-0 1584 1427 63.0% 18.8% 18.2% +4.1 38
2015-01-04 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1427 1584 18.2% 18.8% 63.0% -4.1 11
2015-01-05 Celtic L 0-2 1498 1799 12.5% 17.2% 70.4% -5.3 27
2015-01-05 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1799 1498 70.4% 17.2% 12.5% +5.3 42
2015-01-10 Aberdeen L 0-2 1423 1670 16.0% 18.3% 65.8% -6.8 11
2015-01-10 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1670 1423 65.8% 18.3% 16.0% +6.8 46
2015-01-10 Inverness CT L 1-2 1492 1588 31.0% 20.3% 48.7% -6.2 27
2015-01-10 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1588 1492 48.7% 20.3% 31.0% +6.2 41
2015-01-10 Motherwell W 4-1 1495 1460 48.8% 20.2% 30.9% +15.1 25
2015-01-10 @ Dundee L 1-4 1460 1495 30.9% 20.2% 48.8% -15.1 17
2015-01-12 Dundee United L 2-3 1598 1633 39.2% 20.5% 40.4% -7.1 39
2015-01-12 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-2 1633 1598 40.4% 20.5% 39.2% +7.1 41
2015-01-17 Celtic L 0-2 1591 1804 18.7% 18.9% 62.5% -7.9 39
2015-01-17 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1804 1591 62.5% 18.9% 18.7% +7.8 45
2015-01-17 Dundee D 3-3 1677 1510 63.9% 18.6% 17.4% -1.3 47
2015-01-17 @ Aberdeen D 3-3 1510 1677 17.4% 18.6% 63.9% +1.3 26
2015-01-17 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1555 1531 47.4% 20.3% 32.3% +12.8 32
2015-01-17 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1531 1555 32.3% 20.3% 47.4% -12.8 21
2015-01-17 St. Mirren L 1-2 1428 1416 45.7% 20.4% 33.9% -8.5 11
2015-01-17 @ Ross County W 2-1 1416 1428 33.9% 20.4% 45.7% +8.5 14
2015-01-20 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1594 1568 47.6% 20.3% 32.1% +12.7 44
2015-01-20 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1568 1594 32.1% 20.3% 47.6% -12.7 32
2015-01-21 Dundee United D 1-1 1424 1640 18.4% 18.8% 62.7% +2.0 15
2015-01-21 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1640 1424 62.7% 18.8% 18.4% -2.0 42
2015-01-21 Hamilton Academical W 5-0 1518 1583 34.9% 20.4% 44.6% +38.9 24
2015-01-21 @ Partick Thistle L 0-5 1583 1518 44.6% 20.4% 34.9% -38.9 39
2015-01-21 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1511 1486 47.5% 20.3% 32.2% +6.8 29
2015-01-21 @ Dundee L 0-1 1486 1511 32.2% 20.3% 47.5% -6.8 27
2015-01-21 Motherwell W 4-0 1812 1445 79.0% 14.2% 6.8% +5.3 48
2015-01-21 @ Celtic L 0-4 1445 1812 6.8% 14.2% 79.0% -5.3 17
2015-01-23 Aberdeen D 1-1 1555 1676 28.0% 20.1% 51.9% +1.0 33
2015-01-23 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1676 1555 51.9% 20.1% 28.0% -1.0 48
2015-01-24 Celtic L 0-1 1419 1817 7.9% 14.9% 77.2% -1.7 11
2015-01-24 @ Ross County W 1-0 1817 1419 77.2% 14.9% 7.9% +1.7 51
2015-01-24 Dundee L 1-2 1426 1518 31.5% 20.3% 48.3% -6.3 15
2015-01-24 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1518 1426 48.3% 20.3% 31.5% +6.3 32
2015-01-24 Inverness CT L 0-2 1544 1607 35.4% 20.4% 44.2% -13.8 39
2015-01-24 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1607 1544 44.2% 20.4% 35.4% +13.8 47
2015-01-24 Motherwell W 3-1 1638 1440 66.9% 18.0% 15.1% +5.5 45
2015-01-24 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1440 1638 15.1% 18.0% 66.9% -5.5 17
2015-01-24 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1479 1557 33.3% 20.4% 46.4% +0.4 28
2015-01-24 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1557 1479 46.4% 20.4% 33.3% -0.4 25
2015-01-30 St. Mirren L 0-1 1557 1420 60.9% 19.1% 20.0% -11.6 25
2015-01-30 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1420 1557 20.0% 19.1% 60.9% +11.6 18
2015-01-31 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1524 1531 43.2% 20.4% 36.4% -0.3 33
2015-01-31 @ Dundee D 1-1 1531 1524 36.4% 20.4% 43.2% +0.3 40
2015-01-31 Ross County D 1-1 1620 1417 67.3% 17.9% 14.8% -2.4 48
2015-01-31 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1417 1620 14.8% 17.9% 67.3% +2.4 12
2015-01-31 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1434 1556 27.7% 20.1% 52.2% +1.1 18
2015-01-31 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1556 1434 52.2% 20.1% 27.7% -1.1 34
2015-02-07 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1531 1480 50.9% 20.1% 28.9% -1.1 41
2015-02-07 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1480 1531 28.9% 20.1% 50.9% +1.1 29
2015-02-07 Ross County W 4-0 1674 1420 71.5% 16.8% 11.7% +9.3 51
2015-02-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1420 1674 11.7% 16.8% 71.5% -9.3 12
2015-02-11 Celtic L 0-3 1545 1819 14.1% 17.7% 68.1% -8.7 25
2015-02-11 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1819 1545 68.1% 17.7% 14.1% +8.7 54
2015-02-14 Celtic L 1-2 1555 1828 14.2% 17.8% 68.0% -3.0 34
2015-02-14 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1828 1555 68.0% 17.8% 14.2% +3.0 57
2015-02-14 Dundee United W 3-2 1481 1644 23.3% 19.6% 57.0% +9.8 32
2015-02-14 @ Kilmarnock L 2-3 1644 1481 57.0% 19.6% 23.3% -9.8 45
2015-02-14 Inverness CT L 1-2 1432 1618 21.1% 19.3% 59.7% -4.4 18
2015-02-14 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1618 1432 59.7% 19.3% 21.1% +4.4 51
2015-02-14 Motherwell W 3-2 1411 1435 40.6% 20.5% 38.9% +7.1 15
2015-02-14 @ Ross County L 2-3 1435 1411 38.9% 20.5% 40.6% -7.1 18
2015-02-14 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1524 1536 42.4% 20.4% 37.2% +7.6 36
2015-02-14 @ Dundee L 0-1 1536 1524 37.2% 20.4% 42.4% -7.6 25
2015-02-15 Aberdeen L 0-3 1530 1684 24.2% 19.7% 56.0% -14.5 41
2015-02-15 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1684 1530 56.0% 19.7% 24.2% +14.5 54
2015-02-21 Dundee L 0-1 1428 1532 30.0% 20.2% 49.8% -6.4 18
2015-02-21 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1532 1428 49.8% 20.2% 30.0% +6.4 39
2015-02-21 Kilmarnock D 3-3 1622 1491 60.4% 19.2% 20.5% -1.1 52
2015-02-21 @ Inverness CT D 3-3 1491 1622 20.5% 19.2% 60.4% +1.1 33
2015-02-21 Ross County L 1-3 1529 1418 58.1% 19.5% 22.4% -18.2 25
2015-02-21 @ Partick Thistle W 3-1 1418 1529 22.4% 19.5% 58.1% +18.2 18
2015-02-21 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1634 1552 54.7% 19.8% 25.4% -19.9 45
2015-02-21 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1552 1634 25.4% 19.8% 54.7% +19.9 37
2015-02-21 St. Mirren W 3-0 1698 1427 72.7% 16.5% 10.8% +6.6 57
2015-02-21 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1427 1698 10.8% 16.5% 72.7% -6.6 18
2015-02-22 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1831 1515 75.8% 15.4% 8.8% +6.9 60
2015-02-22 @ Celtic L 0-4 1515 1831 8.8% 15.4% 75.8% -6.9 41
2015-02-24 Inverness CT D 1-1 1614 1621 43.1% 20.4% 36.5% -0.3 46
2015-02-24 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1621 1614 36.5% 20.4% 43.1% +0.3 53
2015-02-28 Dundee W 1-0 1436 1538 30.1% 20.2% 49.6% +9.7 21
2015-02-28 @ Ross County L 0-1 1538 1436 49.6% 20.2% 30.1% -9.7 39
2015-02-28 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1421 1508 32.0% 20.3% 47.7% +9.3 21
2015-02-28 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1508 1421 47.7% 20.3% 32.0% -9.3 41
2015-02-28 Inverness CT W 2-1 1422 1621 19.8% 19.1% 61.1% +11.0 21
2015-02-28 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1621 1422 61.1% 19.1% 19.8% -11.0 53
2015-02-28 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1572 1492 54.5% 19.9% 25.6% -1.4 38
2015-02-28 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1492 1572 25.6% 19.9% 54.5% +1.4 34
2015-02-28 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1614 1511 57.2% 19.6% 23.2% -20.7 46
2015-02-28 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1511 1614 23.2% 19.6% 57.2% +20.7 28
2015-03-01 Aberdeen W 4-0 1838 1705 60.5% 19.2% 20.3% +16.2 63
2015-03-01 @ Celtic L 0-4 1705 1838 20.3% 19.2% 60.5% -16.2 57
2015-03-04 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1854 1571 73.6% 16.2% 10.2% -13.8 63
2015-03-04 @ Celtic W 1-0 1571 1854 10.2% 16.2% 73.6% +13.8 41
2015-03-07 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1433 1493 35.5% 20.4% 44.0% +0.3 22
2015-03-07 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1493 1433 44.0% 20.4% 35.5% -0.3 35
2015-03-07 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1445 1531 32.2% 20.3% 47.5% +9.3 24
2015-03-07 @ Ross County L 0-1 1531 1445 47.5% 20.3% 32.2% -9.3 28
2015-03-13 Motherwell W 2-1 1689 1433 71.6% 16.8% 11.6% +2.5 60
2015-03-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1433 1689 11.6% 16.8% 71.6% -2.4 22
2015-03-14 Ross County D 2-2 1499 1455 50.1% 20.2% 29.8% -0.7 42
2015-03-14 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1455 1499 29.8% 20.2% 50.1% +0.7 25
2015-03-14 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1522 1585 35.3% 20.4% 44.3% +24.0 31
2015-03-14 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1585 1522 44.3% 20.4% 35.3% -24.0 41
2015-03-14 St. Mirren W 1-0 1493 1430 52.4% 20.0% 27.5% +5.9 38
2015-03-14 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1430 1493 27.5% 20.0% 52.4% -5.9 21
2015-03-20 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1431 1498 34.6% 20.4% 45.0% +31.8 25
2015-03-20 @ Motherwell L 0-4 1498 1431 45.0% 20.4% 34.6% -31.8 42
2015-03-21 Aberdeen D 1-1 1528 1691 23.3% 19.6% 57.1% +1.5 40
2015-03-21 @ Dundee D 1-1 1691 1528 57.1% 19.6% 23.3% -1.5 61
2015-03-21 Dundee United W 3-0 1840 1593 70.9% 17.0% 12.1% +7.4 66
2015-03-21 @ Celtic L 0-3 1593 1840 12.1% 17.0% 70.9% -7.4 46
2015-03-21 Inverness CT W 1-0 1546 1610 35.0% 20.4% 44.5% +8.8 34
2015-03-21 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1610 1546 44.5% 20.4% 35.0% -8.8 53
2015-03-21 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1455 1499 37.9% 20.5% 41.6% +7.9 28
2015-03-21 @ Ross County L 1-2 1499 1455 41.6% 20.5% 37.9% -7.9 38
2015-03-21 St. Mirren W 2-0 1560 1424 60.9% 19.1% 20.0% +8.4 44
2015-03-21 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1424 1560 20.0% 19.1% 60.9% -8.4 21
2015-04-03 Celtic L 0-2 1416 1847 6.7% 14.1% 79.2% -2.7 21
2015-04-03 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1847 1416 79.2% 14.1% 6.7% +2.7 69
2015-04-04 Dundee D 1-1 1602 1530 53.5% 20.0% 26.5% -1.2 54
2015-04-04 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1530 1602 26.5% 20.0% 53.5% +1.2 41
2015-04-04 Motherwell L 1-2 1491 1462 48.0% 20.3% 31.7% -8.8 38
2015-04-04 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1462 1491 31.7% 20.3% 48.0% +8.8 28
2015-04-04 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1690 1555 60.7% 19.1% 20.2% -2.1 62
2015-04-04 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1555 1690 20.2% 19.1% 60.7% +2.1 35
2015-04-04 Ross County L 1-2 1586 1463 59.4% 19.3% 21.3% -10.7 46
2015-04-04 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1463 1586 21.3% 19.3% 59.4% +10.7 31
2015-04-04 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1467 1569 30.1% 20.2% 49.6% +0.9 43
2015-04-04 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1569 1467 49.6% 20.2% 30.1% -0.9 45
2015-04-07 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1474 1568 31.2% 20.3% 48.6% +9.5 34
2015-04-07 @ Ross County L 0-1 1568 1474 48.6% 20.3% 31.2% -9.5 45
2015-04-07 St. Mirren W 5-0 1471 1413 51.8% 20.1% 28.1% +26.6 31
2015-04-07 @ Motherwell L 0-5 1413 1471 28.1% 20.1% 51.8% -26.6 21
2015-04-08 Dundee United W 3-1 1531 1575 37.9% 20.5% 41.7% +13.6 44
2015-04-08 @ Dundee L 1-3 1575 1531 41.7% 20.5% 37.9% -13.6 46
2015-04-08 Inverness CT W 1-0 1688 1600 55.4% 19.8% 24.8% +5.4 65
2015-04-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1600 1688 24.8% 19.8% 55.4% -5.4 54
2015-04-08 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1850 1557 74.3% 16.0% 9.7% +4.1 72
2015-04-08 @ Celtic L 0-2 1557 1850 9.7% 16.0% 74.3% -4.1 35
2015-04-11 Celtic D 1-1 1595 1854 15.1% 18.0% 66.8% +2.4 55
2015-04-11 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1854 1595 66.8% 18.0% 15.1% -2.4 73
2015-04-11 Dundee W 1-0 1559 1545 46.0% 20.4% 33.6% +7.0 48
2015-04-11 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1545 1559 33.6% 20.4% 46.0% -7.0 44
2015-04-11 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1561 1467 56.1% 19.7% 24.1% +5.3 49
2015-04-11 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1467 1561 24.1% 19.7% 56.1% -5.3 43
2015-04-11 Motherwell W 2-0 1553 1498 51.4% 20.1% 28.5% +11.5 38
2015-04-11 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1498 1553 28.5% 20.1% 51.4% -11.5 31
2015-04-12 Aberdeen L 1-2 1482 1693 18.9% 18.9% 62.2% -4.0 38
2015-04-12 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1693 1482 62.2% 18.9% 18.9% +4.0 68
2015-04-13 Ross County L 0-3 1386 1484 30.8% 20.2% 49.0% -17.8 21
2015-04-13 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1484 1386 49.0% 20.2% 30.8% +17.8 37
2015-04-15 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1852 1478 79.4% 14.0% 6.6% +3.3 76
2015-04-15 @ Celtic L 1-4 1478 1852 6.6% 14.0% 79.4% -3.3 38
2015-04-18 Dundee United W 1-0 1697 1567 60.2% 19.2% 20.5% +4.6 71
2015-04-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1567 1697 20.5% 19.2% 60.2% -4.5 49
2015-04-22 Celtic L 1-2 1538 1855 11.6% 16.8% 71.7% -2.4 44
2015-04-22 @ Dundee W 2-1 1855 1538 71.7% 16.8% 11.6% +2.4 79
2015-05-05 Dundee United W 2-1 1592 1565 47.8% 20.3% 31.9% +6.3 58
2015-05-05 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1565 1592 31.9% 20.3% 47.8% -6.3 49

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2015-04-24 Motherwell W 2-0 1462 1486 40.7% 20.5% 38.9% +14.9 3
2015-04-24 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1486 1462 38.9% 20.5% 40.7% -14.9 0
2015-04-25 Aberdeen L 1-2 1597 1702 29.9% 20.2% 49.9% -6.0 0
2015-04-25 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1702 1597 49.9% 20.2% 29.9% +6.0 3
2015-04-25 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1369 1475 29.6% 20.2% 50.2% +22.5 3
2015-04-25 @ St. Mirren L 1-4 1475 1369 50.2% 20.2% 29.6% -22.5 0
2015-04-25 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1501 1564 35.2% 20.4% 44.4% -6.9 0
2015-04-25 @ Ross County W 2-1 1564 1501 44.4% 20.4% 35.2% +6.9 3
2015-04-25 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1535 1566 39.8% 20.5% 39.7% -15.2 0
2015-04-25 @ Dundee W 2-0 1566 1535 39.7% 20.5% 39.8% +15.2 3
2015-04-26 Celtic L 0-3 1562 1858 12.8% 17.3% 69.9% -7.9 0
2015-04-26 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1858 1562 69.9% 17.3% 12.8% +7.9 3
2015-05-01 Dundee W 5-0 1865 1520 77.7% 14.7% 7.6% +7.3 6
2015-05-01 @ Celtic L 0-5 1520 1865 7.6% 14.7% 77.7% -7.3 0
2015-05-02 Aberdeen W 1-0 1554 1708 24.3% 19.7% 56.0% +10.8 3
2015-05-02 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1708 1554 56.0% 19.7% 24.3% -10.8 3
2015-05-02 Hamilton Academical L 2-3 1452 1477 40.6% 20.5% 38.9% -7.3 0
2015-05-02 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1477 1452 38.9% 20.5% 40.6% +7.3 6
2015-05-02 Inverness CT D 1-1 1581 1591 42.6% 20.4% 37.0% -0.2 4
2015-05-02 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1591 1581 37.0% 20.4% 42.6% +0.2 1
2015-05-02 Ross County D 1-1 1471 1494 40.8% 20.5% 38.7% -0.1 1
2015-05-02 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1494 1471 38.7% 20.5% 40.8% +0.1 1
2015-05-02 St. Mirren W 3-0 1571 1391 65.2% 18.4% 16.4% +10.1 6
2015-05-02 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1391 1571 16.4% 18.4% 65.2% -10.1 3
2015-05-08 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1471 1445 47.7% 20.3% 32.0% +11.0 4
2015-05-08 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1445 1471 32.0% 20.3% 47.7% -11.0 0
2015-05-09 Dundee United D 1-1 1580 1559 47.1% 20.3% 32.6% -0.6 5
2015-05-09 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1559 1580 32.6% 20.3% 47.1% +0.6 4
2015-05-09 Inverness CT L 0-1 1513 1598 32.3% 20.3% 47.4% -6.8 0
2015-05-09 @ Dundee W 1-0 1598 1513 47.4% 20.3% 32.3% +6.8 4
2015-05-09 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1484 1581 30.8% 20.2% 48.9% +0.8 7
2015-05-09 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1581 1484 48.9% 20.2% 30.8% -0.8 7
2015-05-09 St. Mirren L 1-2 1495 1381 58.4% 19.4% 22.1% -10.5 1
2015-05-09 @ Ross County W 2-1 1381 1495 22.1% 19.4% 58.4% +10.5 6
2015-05-10 Celtic L 0-1 1697 1873 22.0% 19.4% 58.5% -4.9 3
2015-05-10 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1873 1697 58.5% 19.4% 22.0% +4.9 9
2015-05-15 Celtic D 0-0 1580 1878 12.7% 17.2% 70.1% +3.0 6
2015-05-15 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1878 1580 70.1% 17.2% 12.7% -3.0 10
2015-05-16 Aberdeen D 1-1 1506 1692 21.1% 19.3% 59.6% +1.7 1
2015-05-16 @ Dundee D 1-1 1692 1506 59.6% 19.3% 21.1% -1.7 4
2015-05-16 Dundee United W 3-0 1605 1559 50.2% 20.2% 29.6% +17.2 7
2015-05-16 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1559 1605 29.6% 20.2% 50.2% -17.3 4
2015-05-16 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1484 1485 43.9% 20.4% 35.6% +6.9 4
2015-05-16 @ Ross County L 1-2 1485 1484 35.6% 20.4% 43.9% -6.9 7
2015-05-16 Kilmarnock L 1-4 1581 1434 61.9% 19.0% 19.1% -27.3 7
2015-05-16 @ Partick Thistle W 4-1 1434 1581 19.1% 19.0% 61.9% +27.3 3
2015-05-16 Motherwell W 2-1 1392 1482 31.6% 20.3% 48.1% +8.9 9
2015-05-16 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1482 1392 48.1% 20.3% 31.6% -8.9 4
2015-05-23 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1473 1553 33.0% 20.3% 46.7% +0.7 5
2015-05-23 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1553 1473 46.7% 20.3% 33.0% -0.7 8
2015-05-23 Ross County L 1-2 1461 1491 39.9% 20.5% 39.6% -7.6 3
2015-05-23 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1491 1461 39.6% 20.5% 39.9% +7.6 7
2015-05-23 St. Mirren W 1-0 1478 1400 54.2% 19.9% 25.9% +5.6 10
2015-05-23 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1400 1478 25.9% 19.9% 54.2% -5.6 9
2015-05-24 Dundee W 3-0 1542 1508 48.7% 20.3% 31.0% +17.9 7
2015-05-24 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1508 1542 31.0% 20.3% 48.7% -18.0 1
2015-05-24 Inverness CT W 5-0 1875 1622 71.4% 16.9% 11.8% +11.6 13
2015-05-24 @ Celtic L 0-5 1622 1875 11.8% 16.9% 71.4% -11.6 7
2015-05-24 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1690 1583 57.7% 19.5% 22.8% -11.1 4
2015-05-24 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1583 1690 22.8% 19.5% 57.7% +11.1 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-03-04 10.19% St. Johnstone 1571 1 @ Celtic 1854 0
2 2014-10-05 12.83% Hamilton Academical 1560 1 @ Celtic 1794 0
3 2014-08-23 18.81% @ Inverness CT 1594 1 Celtic 1806 0
4 2015-05-16 19.14% Kilmarnock 1434 4 @ Partick Thistle 1581 1
5 2015-02-28 19.82% @ Motherwell 1422 2 Inverness CT 1621 1
6 2015-01-30 19.99% St. Mirren 1420 1 @ Partick Thistle 1557 0
7 2014-12-21 20.25% @ Dundee United 1619 2 Celtic 1814 1
8 2014-12-13 20.32% Partick Thistle 1498 4 @ Inverness CT 1631 0
9 2015-04-04 21.31% Ross County 1463 2 @ Dundee United 1586 1
10 2014-11-08 21.97% Ross County 1415 3 @ Kilmarnock 1531 0
11 2015-05-09 22.15% St. Mirren 1381 2 @ Ross County 1495 1
12 2014-12-27 22.38% St. Mirren 1415 3 @ Dundee 1527 1
13 2015-02-21 22.38% Ross County 1418 3 @ Partick Thistle 1529 1
14 2015-05-24 22.76% St. Johnstone 1583 1 @ Aberdeen 1690 0
15 2015-02-28 23.19% Partick Thistle 1511 2 @ Dundee United 1614 0
16 2015-02-14 23.34% @ Kilmarnock 1481 3 Dundee United 1644 2
17 2014-11-07 23.90% @ Motherwell 1478 1 Dundee United 1635 0
18 2015-05-02 24.29% @ Dundee United 1554 1 Aberdeen 1708 0
19 2014-10-04 24.44% St. Mirren 1460 2 @ St. Johnstone 1551 1
20 2015-02-21 25.44% St. Johnstone 1552 2 @ Dundee United 1634 0
21 2014-09-19 26.78% St. Mirren 1451 2 @ Partick Thistle 1521 1
22 2014-09-13 27.34% Dundee 1514 1 @ St. Johnstone 1578 0
23 2014-10-03 27.72% @ Kilmarnock 1524 2 Dundee United 1646 0
24 2014-09-13 29.04% @ Partick Thistle 1505 3 Inverness CT 1616 1
25 2015-04-25 29.64% @ St. Mirren 1369 4 Kilmarnock 1475 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-12-13 41.36 Partick Thistle 4 1498 20.32% @ Inverness CT 0 1631 60.51% 19.17%
2 2015-01-21 38.94 @ Partick Thistle 5 1518 34.94% Hamilton Academical 0 1583 44.65% 20.41%
3 2014-09-27 33.05 Hamilton Academical 4 1527 32.58% @ Motherwell 0 1549 47.09% 20.33%
4 2015-03-20 31.82 @ Motherwell 4 1431 34.57% Hamilton Academical 0 1498 45.03% 20.40%
5 2014-11-08 30.73 Ross County 3 1415 21.97% @ Kilmarnock 0 1531 58.60% 19.43%
6 2015-05-16 27.27 Kilmarnock 4 1434 19.14% @ Partick Thistle 1 1581 61.91% 18.96%
7 2015-04-07 26.57 @ Motherwell 5 1471 51.84% St. Mirren 0 1413 28.08% 20.07%
8 2014-08-13 25.99 @ Partick Thistle 4 1498 44.49% Ross County 0 1496 35.10% 20.41%
9 2015-01-01 25.36 @ Hamilton Academical 5 1565 53.43% Motherwell 0 1494 26.62% 19.96%
10 2014-08-10 25.34 Dundee United 3 1583 32.50% @ Aberdeen 0 1605 47.17% 20.33%
11 2015-03-14 24.02 @ Partick Thistle 3 1522 35.30% St. Johnstone 0 1585 44.29% 20.42%
12 2014-10-17 22.63 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1573 38.33% Aberdeen 0 1614 41.20% 20.46%
13 2015-04-25 22.54 @ St. Mirren 4 1369 29.64% Kilmarnock 1 1475 50.18% 20.18%
14 2014-08-30 22.42 @ Hamilton Academical 4 1504 50.42% Ross County 0 1457 29.41% 20.17%
15 2015-02-28 20.71 Partick Thistle 2 1511 23.19% @ Dundee United 0 1614 57.22% 19.59%
16 2014-09-27 20.57 @ Kilmarnock 3 1503 42.99% Partick Thistle 0 1511 36.57% 20.44%
17 2015-02-21 19.87 St. Johnstone 2 1552 25.44% @ Dundee United 0 1634 54.71% 19.84%
18 2014-10-03 19.07 @ Kilmarnock 2 1524 27.72% Dundee United 0 1646 52.23% 20.05%
19 2014-12-06 18.64 @ Aberdeen 3 1604 47.25% Hamilton Academical 0 1581 32.43% 20.32%
20 2015-02-21 18.20 Ross County 3 1418 22.38% @ Partick Thistle 1 1529 58.14% 19.48%
21 2014-12-27 18.19 St. Mirren 3 1415 22.38% @ Dundee 1 1527 58.13% 19.48%
22 2015-05-24 17.95 @ Dundee United 3 1542 48.74% Dundee 0 1508 31.00% 20.26%
23 2015-04-13 17.84 Ross County 3 1484 48.97% @ St. Mirren 0 1386 30.78% 20.25%
24 2014-08-13 17.79 Hamilton Academical 2 1469 31.47% @ St. Mirren 0 1499 48.25% 20.28%
25 2014-10-25 17.60 @ Dundee 2 1509 32.03% Hamilton Academical 0 1596 47.67% 20.31%