Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2013-14

2013-14 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

99 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

9.32 points above expected

38 points · 47.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

88.24 points below expected

99 points · 187.24 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 28 4 1 88 82 16 +66 72.38 +15.62
2 Aberdeen 33 19 6 8 63 47 30 +17 49.97 +13.03
3 Motherwell 33 19 3 11 60 55 50 +5 50.72 +9.28
4 Dundee United 33 15 9 9 54 57 40 +17 51.90 +2.10
5 Inverness CT 33 15 7 11 52 40 35 +5 50.45 +1.55
6 St. Johnstone 33 14 6 13 48 41 34 +7 48.46 -0.46
7 Hibernian 33 8 10 15 34 29 44 -15 40.79 -6.79
8 Kilmarnock 33 9 6 18 33 41 57 -16 39.89 -6.89
9 Ross County 33 8 7 18 31 38 57 -19 38.40 -7.40
10 St. Mirren 33 8 7 18 31 34 55 -21 35.46 -4.46
11 Partick Thistle 33 6 12 15 30 37 57 -20 37.10 -7.10
12 Heart of Midlothian 33 7 7 19 28 33 59 -26 19.91 +8.09
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 31 6 1 99 102 25 +77 187.24 -88.24
2 Motherwell 38 22 4 12 70 64 60 +4 129.04 -59.04
3 Aberdeen 38 20 8 10 68 53 38 +15 129.88 -61.88
4 Dundee United 38 16 10 12 58 65 50 +15 114.22 -56.22
5 Inverness CT 38 16 9 13 57 44 44 0 109.49 -52.49
6 St. Johnstone 38 15 8 15 53 48 42 +6 101.91 -48.91
7 Ross County 38 11 7 20 40 44 63 -19 72.15 -32.15
8 St. Mirren 38 10 9 19 39 39 58 -19 71.02 -32.02
9 Kilmarnock 38 11 6 21 39 45 66 -21 71.60 -32.60
10 Partick Thistle 38 8 14 16 38 47 65 -18 67.60 -29.60
11 Heart of Midlothian 38 10 8 20 38 45 65 -20 47.32 -9.32
12 Hibernian 38 8 11 19 35 31 51 -20 70.84 -35.84

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1867 99 72.38 +26.62 99.5% 44 61 68 73 77 83 95
Aberdeen 1617 68 49.97 +18.03 96.6% 23 38 45 50 55 62 78
Motherwell 1588 70 50.72 +19.28 90.0% 24 38 46 51 56 63 80
Dundee United 1583 58 51.90 +6.10 63.6% 23 40 47 52 57 64 79
St. Johnstone 1575 53 48.46 +4.54 50.1% 21 36 43 48 53 61 77
Inverness CT 1560 57 50.45 +6.55 61.3% 20 38 45 50 56 63 81
Heart of Midlothian 1470 38 19.91 +18.09 18.6% -4 8 15 20 25 32 47
St. Mirren 1469 39 35.46 +3.54 28.6% 11 24 31 35 40 47 63
Ross County 1464 40 38.40 +1.60 16.9% 14 27 34 38 43 50 73
Partick Thistle 1456 38 37.10 +0.90 17.4% 12 26 32 37 42 49 65
Kilmarnock 1451 39 39.89 -0.89 19.1% 15 28 35 40 45 52 69
Hibernian 1414 35 40.79 -5.79 19.7% 12 29 36 41 46 53 69

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU HOM HIB IC KIL MOT PT RC SJ SM
Aberdeen
1-0-3
2.83
3-1-0
5.48
0-1-2
5.20
3-0-0
5.01
2-1-1
5.68
3-0-0
5.18
1-1-2
5.68
2-0-1
4.91
1-1-1
5.30
2-2-0
5.99
2-1-0
5.39
Celtic
3-0-1
8.37
3-1-0
8.33
3-0-0
6.84
2-1-0
6.63
3-1-0
8.62
3-0-0
6.82
3-1-0
8.36
3-0-0
6.99
2-1-0
6.74
3-1-0
8.71
3-0-0
7.33
Dundee United
0-1-3
5.60
0-1-3
2.87
2-1-0
5.47
1-2-0
4.72
1-2-1
5.87
3-0-0
5.46
3-1-0
5.80
1-2-0
5.23
2-0-1
5.33
1-0-3
5.88
2-0-1
5.86
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-0
3.15
0-0-3
1.64
0-1-2
2.88
3-0-1
4.97
0-1-2
2.84
1-0-3
5.06
0-0-3
2.44
1-1-2
5.50
2-1-1
5.16
0-1-2
3.05
1-2-1
5.35
Hibernian
0-0-3
3.31
0-1-2
1.80
0-2-1
3.59
1-0-3
6.12
0-1-2
3.17
2-1-1
5.40
0-1-2
3.51
1-2-1
5.83
2-1-1
5.65
1-1-1
3.26
1-1-2
6.00
Inverness CT
1-1-2
5.40
0-1-3
2.61
1-2-1
5.21
2-1-0
5.50
2-1-0
5.16
2-0-1
4.95
1-0-3
5.35
1-1-1
5.58
2-0-1
5.23
3-0-1
5.69
1-2-0
5.34
Kilmarnock
0-0-3
3.14
0-0-3
1.64
0-0-3
2.87
3-0-1
6.02
1-1-2
5.68
1-0-2
3.37
1-0-2
3.20
1-2-1
5.98
2-1-1
5.65
0-1-2
3.57
2-1-1
5.73
Motherwell
2-1-1
5.41
0-1-3
2.82
0-1-3
5.28
3-0-0
5.92
2-1-0
4.80
3-0-1
5.72
2-0-1
5.13
3-0-0
5.48
3-0-0
5.27
2-0-2
5.73
2-0-1
5.25
Partick Thistle
1-0-2
3.42
0-0-3
1.50
0-2-1
3.11
2-1-1
5.58
1-2-1
5.24
1-1-1
2.76
1-2-1
5.10
0-0-3
2.86
1-2-1
5.34
0-2-1
3.00
1-2-1
5.68
Ross County
1-1-1
3.03
0-1-2
1.72
1-0-2
3.01
1-1-2
5.92
1-1-2
5.43
1-0-2
3.10
1-1-2
5.43
0-0-3
3.06
1-2-1
5.74
2-0-1
3.04
2-0-2
5.63
St. Johnstone
0-2-2
5.09
0-1-3
2.51
3-0-1
5.19
2-1-0
5.29
1-1-1
5.06
1-0-3
5.38
2-1-0
4.74
2-0-2
5.35
1-2-0
5.33
1-0-2
5.29
2-0-1
5.16
St. Mirren
0-1-2
2.94
0-0-3
1.21
1-0-2
2.50
1-2-1
5.74
2-1-1
5.09
0-2-1
2.99
1-1-2
5.34
1-0-2
3.07
1-2-1
5.40
2-0-2
5.45
1-0-2
3.16

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.83 +9.5
Allowed 0.63 -11.6
Differential 0.91 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.70%8.77%7.02%3.29%2.41%0.88%28.07%
18.77%10.96%8.77%2.63%1.54%0.66%33.33%
27.02%8.77%3.07%1.10%0.88%0.44%21.27%
33.29%2.63%1.10%2.19%0.66%9.87%
42.41%1.54%0.88%0.66%5.48%
5+0.88%0.66%0.44%1.97%
Total28.07%33.33%21.27%9.87%5.48%1.97%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.91
CV 0.91 0.91
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%2.63%18.42%
118.42%13.16%2.63%7.89%42.11%
210.53%10.53%2.63%2.63%26.32%
32.63%5.26%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total39.47%39.47%7.89%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.00 +0.39
SD 1.05 1.16 1.52
CV 0.76 1.16
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
115.79%7.89%2.63%26.32%
213.16%7.89%2.63%23.68%
310.53%7.89%5.26%23.68%
47.89%2.63%10.53%
5+7.89%2.63%5.26%15.79%
Total55.26%28.95%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 0.66 +2.03
SD 1.45 0.88 1.64
CV 0.54 1.34
Max 6 3 +6
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%5.26%5.26%26.32%
15.26%15.79%2.63%5.26%2.63%31.58%
25.26%5.26%10.53%
35.26%5.26%10.53%
47.89%7.89%2.63%18.42%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total18.42%47.37%21.05%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.32 +0.39
SD 1.56 0.99 2.02
CV 0.91 0.75
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%21.05%2.63%34.21%
12.63%10.53%10.53%2.63%5.26%31.58%
25.26%10.53%2.63%5.26%23.68%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total15.79%28.95%36.84%5.26%13.16%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.71 -0.53
SD 1.20 1.21 1.80
CV 1.02 0.71
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%18.42%15.79%2.63%2.63%50.00%
12.63%13.16%2.63%5.26%23.68%
25.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total21.05%42.11%21.05%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.34 -0.53
SD 0.95 1.05 1.45
CV 1.17 0.78
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%5.26%2.63%5.26%31.58%
113.16%5.26%13.16%31.58%
213.16%7.89%5.26%26.32%
37.89%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total47.37%18.42%23.68%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.16 +0.00
SD 1.00 1.52 2.00
CV 0.86 1.31
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%23.68%
15.26%10.53%23.68%2.63%2.63%44.74%
27.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%26.32%
3
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total18.42%26.32%34.21%10.53%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.74 -0.55
SD 0.98 1.33 1.86
CV 0.83 0.77
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%18.42%
118.42%2.63%5.26%2.63%28.95%
25.26%18.42%5.26%2.63%31.58%
32.63%2.63%5.26%10.53%
42.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total28.95%26.32%15.79%21.05%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.58 +0.11
SD 1.28 1.45 2.17
CV 0.76 0.92
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%5.26%2.63%28.95%
126.32%5.26%2.63%5.26%39.47%
22.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%15.79%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total10.53%55.26%7.89%10.53%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.71 -0.47
SD 1.15 1.39 1.70
CV 0.93 0.81
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%23.68%
110.53%7.89%21.05%2.63%5.26%47.37%
210.53%5.26%2.63%18.42%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total18.42%26.32%36.84%7.89%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.66 -0.50
SD 0.92 1.19 1.57
CV 0.79 0.72
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%5.26%2.63%5.26%36.84%
110.53%7.89%7.89%26.32%
213.16%2.63%15.79%
35.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%15.79%
45.26%5.26%
5+
Total42.11%28.95%13.16%7.89%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.11 +0.16
SD 1.27 1.27 1.92
CV 1.00 1.15
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%7.89%10.53%5.26%44.74%
12.63%13.16%10.53%26.32%
27.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%15.79%
32.63%5.26%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total21.05%31.58%26.32%15.79%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.53 -0.50
SD 1.20 1.16 1.77
CV 1.17 0.76
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 38 47.32 -9.32
2 Partick Thistle 38 67.60 -29.60
3 St. Mirren 39 71.02 -32.02
4 Ross County 40 72.15 -32.15
5 Kilmarnock 39 71.60 -32.60

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 99 187.24 -88.24
2 Aberdeen 68 129.88 -61.88
3 Motherwell 70 129.04 -59.04
4 Dundee United 58 114.22 -56.22
5 Inverness CT 57 109.49 -52.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 15 Nov 9 – Feb 22 1 in 266
2 Motherwell 6 Dec 14 – Jan 11 1 in 128
3 Heart of Midlothian 4 Apr 5 – May 4 1 in 64
4 Dundee United 5 Nov 9 – Dec 21 1 in 21
5 Aberdeen 4 Dec 29 – Jan 10 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 6 Mar 15 – Apr 27 1 in 183
2 Ross County 5 Dec 7 – Dec 29 1 in 50
3 Kilmarnock 4 Apr 5 – May 4 1 in 47
4 Dundee United 3 Dec 26 – Jan 1 1 in 44
5 Heart of Midlothian 4 Oct 5 – Nov 2 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 26 Aug 3 – Feb 22 1 in 79
2 Heart of Midlothian 6 Mar 30 – May 4 1 in 36
3 Aberdeen 9 Feb 25 – Apr 26 1 in 34
4 St. Mirren 5 Mar 29 – May 3 1 in 18
5 Inverness CT 6 Aug 3 – Sep 14 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 13 Feb 22 – May 10 1 in 238
2 Dundee United 7 Dec 26 – Feb 1 1 in 101
3 Kilmarnock 9 Aug 3 – Oct 5 1 in 34
4 Ross County 9 Oct 19 – Dec 29 1 in 27
5 Heart of Midlothian 10 Nov 23 – Jan 18 1 in 26

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic93.23%5.30%0.99%0.31%0.10%0.04%0.03%
Motherwell1.71%18.39%18.67%15.99%14.71%11.33%8.17%5.30%3.31%1.80%0.61%0.01%
Aberdeen1.17%17.45%17.97%16.91%14.50%11.47%8.41%5.75%3.36%2.09%0.89%0.03%
Dundee United1.82%24.21%20.36%16.57%12.99%9.54%6.54%3.98%2.33%1.14%0.49%0.03%
Inverness CT1.29%17.89%17.46%17.13%14.70%11.42%8.13%5.94%3.28%1.94%0.78%0.04%
St. Johnstone0.65%12.09%14.65%15.45%15.56%13.97%10.85%7.18%5.13%2.92%1.40%0.15%
Ross County0.80%1.72%3.29%5.31%8.37%12.04%14.28%17.70%18.00%16.12%2.37%
St. Mirren0.01%0.25%0.73%1.68%2.91%5.12%8.12%11.44%16.30%21.00%27.67%4.77%
Kilmarnock0.01%1.20%2.74%4.46%7.30%10.31%13.32%15.84%15.75%15.42%11.99%1.66%
Partick Thistle0.05%0.44%1.08%2.75%3.99%6.90%9.70%14.16%16.83%19.88%20.54%3.68%
Heart of Midlothian0.02%0.10%0.11%0.34%1.12%2.82%9.50%85.99%
Hibernian0.06%1.98%3.63%5.46%7.91%11.43%14.58%15.79%14.89%12.99%10.01%1.27%
Team123456789101112
Celtic100.00%
Motherwell69.72%28.68%1.60%
Aberdeen29.49%62.63%7.36%0.52%
Dundee United0.70%6.86%64.14%23.88%4.42%
Inverness CT0.09%1.79%22.73%56.87%18.52%
St. Johnstone0.04%4.17%18.73%77.06%
Ross County44.76%25.70%16.01%9.24%4.29%
St. Mirren27.06%27.99%20.90%15.47%8.58%
Kilmarnock14.31%20.79%25.34%22.52%17.04%
Partick Thistle8.22%14.54%21.24%27.73%28.27%
Heart of Midlothian100.00%
Hibernian5.65%10.98%16.51%25.04%41.82%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.40%
Slight Edge
44.74%21.93%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 39.79 Elo pts.
150 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.1
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
93%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.76/gm
Runaway
00.361/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.81 * Some Luck: 5.81 to 8.72 * Lucky: 8.72 to 11.62 * Wild Swing: 11.62 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.93 * Off: 1.93 to 2.58 * Way Off: 2.58 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.03 points
Some Luck
07.2618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.614
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.51%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.90%
Ross County
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.06
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.28
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Chalky
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.36
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.049
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Motherwell 99.59% 0.39% 0.02%
Aberdeen 99.32% 0.65% 0.03%
Dundee United 99.66% 0.31% 0.03%
Inverness CT 99.20% 0.76% 0.04%
St. Johnstone 98.87% 1.03% 0.10%
Hibernian 86.77% 11.59% 1.64%
Kilmarnock 86.65% 11.38% 1.97%
Ross County 81.01% 15.92% 3.07%
Partick Thistle 75.12% 20.46% 4.42%
St. Mirren 67.89% 26.55% 5.56%
Heart of Midlothian 5.92% 10.96% 83.12%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Hibernian 58.18% 41.82%
Inverness CT 100%
Kilmarnock 82.96% 17.04%
Motherwell 100%
Partick Thistle 71.73% 28.27%
Ross County 95.71% 4.29%
St. Johnstone 100%
St. Mirren 91.42% 8.58%
Heart of Midlothian 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2013-08-02 Dundee United D 0-0 1505 1548 38.2% 23.3% 38.6% +0.0 1
2013-08-02 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1548 1505 38.6% 23.3% 38.2% -0.0 1
2013-08-03 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1518 1521 43.8% 23.2% 33.1% +6.4 3
2013-08-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1521 1518 33.1% 23.2% 43.8% -6.4 0
2013-08-03 Ross County W 2-1 1694 1538 62.7% 20.5% 16.8% +3.5 3
2013-08-03 @ Celtic L 1-2 1538 1694 16.8% 20.5% 62.7% -3.5 0
2013-08-03 St. Mirren W 3-0 1540 1499 49.8% 22.7% 27.5% +16.0 3
2013-08-03 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1499 1540 27.5% 22.7% 49.8% -16.0 0
2013-08-04 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1539 1526 46.0% 23.0% 31.0% +6.5 3
2013-08-04 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1526 1539 31.0% 23.0% 46.0% -6.5 0
2013-08-04 Motherwell L 0-1 1513 1574 35.7% 23.2% 41.1% -7.2 0
2013-08-04 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1574 1513 41.1% 23.2% 35.7% +7.2 3
2013-08-10 Inverness CT L 0-1 1548 1556 43.0% 23.2% 33.8% -8.4 1
2013-08-10 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1556 1548 33.8% 23.2% 43.0% +8.4 6
2013-08-10 Partick Thistle L 1-4 1535 1505 48.2% 22.9% 28.9% -21.2 0
2013-08-10 @ Ross County W 4-1 1505 1535 28.9% 22.9% 48.2% +21.2 4
2013-08-11 Aberdeen L 1-3 1581 1525 51.6% 22.5% 25.9% -15.9 3
2013-08-11 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1525 1581 25.9% 22.5% 51.6% +15.9 6
2013-08-11 Hibernian W 1-0 1519 1506 46.1% 23.0% 30.9% +6.4 3
2013-08-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1506 1519 30.9% 23.0% 46.1% -6.4 0
2013-08-11 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1515 1545 40.0% 23.2% 36.8% -0.1 1
2013-08-11 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1545 1515 36.8% 23.2% 40.0% +0.1 4
2013-08-16 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1526 1526 44.2% 23.1% 32.6% -0.5 5
2013-08-16 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1526 1526 32.6% 23.1% 44.2% +0.5 4
2013-08-17 Celtic L 0-2 1541 1697 24.0% 22.2% 53.7% -9.8 6
2013-08-17 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1697 1541 53.7% 22.2% 24.0% +9.8 6
2013-08-17 Dundee United D 1-1 1499 1539 38.6% 23.3% 38.2% -0.0 1
2013-08-17 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1539 1499 38.2% 23.3% 38.6% +0.0 2
2013-08-17 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1483 1515 39.7% 23.3% 37.0% -0.1 1
2013-08-17 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1515 1483 37.0% 23.3% 39.7% +0.1 2
2013-08-17 Motherwell W 2-0 1565 1565 44.2% 23.1% 32.7% +12.7 9
2013-08-17 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1565 1565 32.7% 23.1% 44.2% -12.7 3
2013-08-17 Ross County W 4-0 1545 1514 48.5% 22.9% 28.7% +21.7 7
2013-08-17 @ St. Johnstone L 0-4 1514 1545 28.7% 22.9% 48.5% -21.7 0
2013-08-24 Aberdeen W 2-1 1526 1531 43.6% 23.2% 33.2% +6.4 7
2013-08-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1531 1526 33.2% 23.2% 43.6% -6.4 6
2013-08-24 Hibernian L 1-2 1515 1499 46.4% 23.0% 30.6% -8.4 2
2013-08-24 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1499 1515 30.6% 23.0% 46.4% +8.4 4
2013-08-24 Inverness CT D 2-2 1707 1577 60.1% 21.1% 18.8% -1.3 7
2013-08-24 @ Celtic D 2-2 1577 1707 18.8% 21.1% 60.1% +1.4 10
2013-08-24 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1552 1526 47.8% 22.9% 29.3% +6.2 6
2013-08-24 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1526 1552 29.3% 22.9% 47.8% -6.2 5
2013-08-24 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1539 1567 40.4% 23.2% 36.4% +26.2 5
2013-08-24 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1567 1539 36.4% 23.2% 40.4% -26.2 7
2013-08-24 St. Mirren W 3-0 1492 1483 45.5% 23.1% 31.4% +17.9 3
2013-08-24 @ Ross County L 0-3 1483 1492 31.4% 23.1% 45.5% -17.9 1
2013-08-31 Celtic L 0-1 1566 1706 25.8% 22.5% 51.7% -5.5 5
2013-08-31 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1706 1566 51.7% 22.5% 25.8% +5.5 10
2013-08-31 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1579 1533 50.3% 22.7% 27.0% +10.8 13
2013-08-31 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1533 1579 27.0% 22.7% 50.3% -10.9 7
2013-08-31 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1558 1507 51.0% 22.6% 26.4% +5.3 9
2013-08-31 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1507 1558 26.4% 22.6% 51.0% -5.3 2
2013-08-31 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1465 1519 36.5% 23.2% 40.3% -6.9 1
2013-08-31 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1519 1465 40.3% 23.2% 36.5% +6.9 8
2013-08-31 Ross County D 0-0 1508 1510 43.9% 23.1% 32.9% -0.5 5
2013-08-31 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1510 1508 32.9% 23.1% 43.9% +0.5 4
2013-08-31 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1524 1541 41.9% 23.2% 34.8% -0.3 7
2013-08-31 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1541 1524 34.8% 23.2% 41.9% +0.3 8
2013-09-14 Aberdeen L 0-3 1526 1524 44.5% 23.1% 32.4% -23.6 8
2013-09-14 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1524 1526 32.4% 23.1% 44.5% +23.6 10
2013-09-14 Celtic L 1-3 1522 1711 20.8% 21.6% 57.5% -7.5 7
2013-09-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1711 1522 57.5% 21.6% 20.8% +7.5 13
2013-09-14 Hibernian L 1-2 1541 1507 48.8% 22.8% 28.4% -8.7 8
2013-09-14 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1507 1541 28.4% 22.8% 48.8% +8.7 8
2013-09-14 Inverness CT L 1-2 1501 1590 32.0% 23.1% 44.9% -6.2 2
2013-09-14 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1590 1501 44.9% 23.1% 32.0% +6.2 16
2013-09-14 Motherwell L 0-1 1458 1564 29.8% 22.9% 47.3% -6.2 1
2013-09-14 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1564 1458 47.3% 22.9% 29.8% +6.2 12
2013-09-15 Dundee United L 2-4 1510 1560 37.2% 23.3% 39.6% -10.9 4
2013-09-15 @ Ross County W 4-2 1560 1510 39.6% 23.3% 37.2% +10.9 8
2013-09-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1499 1514 42.1% 23.2% 34.7% +6.6 7
2013-09-21 @ Ross County L 1-2 1514 1499 34.7% 23.2% 42.1% -6.7 7
2013-09-21 Inverness CT W 1-0 1548 1596 37.4% 23.3% 39.3% +7.8 13
2013-09-21 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1596 1548 39.3% 23.3% 37.4% -7.8 16
2013-09-21 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1503 1495 45.3% 23.1% 31.6% -0.5 9
2013-09-21 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1495 1503 31.6% 23.1% 45.3% +0.5 3
2013-09-21 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1719 1532 65.7% 19.6% 14.6% +3.0 16
2013-09-21 @ Celtic L 1-2 1532 1719 14.6% 19.6% 65.7% -3.1 8
2013-09-21 St. Mirren W 2-0 1516 1451 52.6% 22.4% 25.0% +10.1 11
2013-09-21 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1451 1516 25.0% 22.4% 52.6% -10.2 1
2013-09-22 Motherwell D 2-2 1571 1570 44.4% 23.1% 32.5% -0.4 9
2013-09-22 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1570 1571 32.5% 23.1% 44.4% +0.4 13
2013-09-28 Celtic L 2-5 1496 1722 17.7% 20.8% 61.5% -7.8 3
2013-09-28 @ Kilmarnock W 5-2 1722 1496 61.5% 20.8% 17.7% +7.9 19
2013-09-28 Dundee United D 0-0 1508 1571 35.4% 23.2% 41.4% +0.3 8
2013-09-28 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1571 1508 41.4% 23.2% 35.4% -0.3 10
2013-09-28 Hibernian W 3-0 1588 1526 52.3% 22.4% 25.2% +14.9 19
2013-09-28 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1526 1588 25.2% 22.4% 52.3% -14.9 11
2013-09-28 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1529 1502 47.9% 22.9% 29.2% -0.8 9
2013-09-28 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1502 1529 29.2% 22.9% 47.9% +0.8 10
2013-09-28 Ross County W 3-1 1570 1506 52.6% 22.4% 25.0% +8.8 16
2013-09-28 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1506 1570 25.0% 22.4% 52.6% -8.8 7
2013-09-30 Aberdeen D 1-1 1441 1555 28.8% 22.9% 48.4% +0.8 2
2013-09-30 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1555 1441 48.4% 22.9% 28.8% -0.8 14
2013-10-05 Aberdeen W 1-0 1497 1555 36.1% 23.2% 40.6% +8.0 10
2013-10-05 @ Ross County L 0-1 1555 1497 40.6% 23.2% 36.1% -8.0 14
2013-10-05 Inverness CT W 4-0 1529 1603 33.8% 23.2% 43.0% +29.9 12
2013-10-05 @ St. Johnstone L 0-4 1603 1529 43.0% 23.2% 33.8% -29.9 19
2013-10-05 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1570 1488 54.8% 22.1% 23.1% +5.0 13
2013-10-05 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1488 1570 23.1% 22.1% 54.8% -5.0 3
2013-10-05 Motherwell W 2-0 1730 1579 62.2% 20.6% 17.2% +7.2 22
2013-10-05 @ Celtic L 0-2 1579 1730 17.2% 20.6% 62.2% -7.2 16
2013-10-05 St. Mirren L 0-2 1508 1442 52.8% 22.4% 24.8% -18.7 8
2013-10-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1442 1508 24.8% 22.4% 52.8% +18.7 5
2013-10-07 Hibernian L 0-1 1503 1511 43.1% 23.2% 33.7% -8.4 10
2013-10-07 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1511 1503 33.7% 23.2% 43.1% +8.4 14
2013-10-19 Celtic D 1-1 1520 1737 18.4% 21.0% 60.6% +1.8 15
2013-10-19 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1737 1520 60.6% 21.0% 18.4% -1.8 23
2013-10-19 Dundee United W 1-0 1547 1575 40.2% 23.2% 36.6% +7.4 17
2013-10-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1575 1547 36.6% 23.2% 40.2% -7.4 13
2013-10-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1572 1489 54.8% 22.1% 23.1% +4.7 19
2013-10-19 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1489 1572 23.1% 22.1% 54.8% -4.7 8
2013-10-19 Ross County W 2-0 1483 1505 41.1% 23.2% 35.7% +13.6 6
2013-10-19 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1505 1483 35.7% 23.2% 41.1% -13.6 10
2013-10-19 St. Johnstone W 4-3 1461 1558 30.8% 23.0% 46.2% +7.7 8
2013-10-19 @ St. Mirren L 3-4 1558 1461 46.2% 23.0% 30.8% -7.7 12
2013-10-20 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1573 1495 54.3% 22.2% 23.5% -9.6 19
2013-10-20 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1495 1573 23.5% 22.2% 54.3% +9.6 13
2013-10-26 Aberdeen L 0-2 1521 1554 39.7% 23.3% 37.1% -14.8 15
2013-10-26 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1554 1521 37.1% 23.3% 39.7% +14.8 20
2013-10-26 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1496 1485 45.8% 23.0% 31.1% +12.2 9
2013-10-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1485 1496 31.1% 23.0% 45.8% -12.2 8
2013-10-26 St. Mirren W 4-0 1568 1469 56.7% 21.8% 21.5% +16.8 16
2013-10-26 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1469 1568 21.5% 21.8% 56.7% -16.8 8
2013-10-27 Celtic L 1-2 1504 1735 17.4% 20.7% 62.0% -3.6 13
2013-10-27 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1735 1504 62.0% 20.7% 17.4% +3.6 26
2013-10-27 Motherwell W 2-0 1551 1577 40.6% 23.2% 36.1% +13.8 15
2013-10-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1577 1551 36.1% 23.2% 40.6% -13.8 19
2013-11-02 Dundee United D 1-1 1739 1585 62.6% 20.5% 16.9% -2.0 27
2013-11-02 @ Celtic D 1-1 1585 1739 16.9% 20.5% 62.6% +2.0 17
2013-11-02 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1563 1509 51.4% 22.6% 26.0% +5.2 22
2013-11-02 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1509 1563 26.0% 22.6% 51.4% -5.3 9
2013-11-02 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1472 1564 31.5% 23.1% 45.5% -12.3 8
2013-11-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1564 1472 45.5% 23.1% 31.5% +12.3 18
2013-11-03 Hibernian W 1-0 1563 1507 51.6% 22.5% 25.9% +5.5 22
2013-11-03 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1507 1563 25.9% 22.5% 51.6% -5.5 15
2013-11-04 Partick Thistle W 4-0 1569 1501 53.1% 22.4% 24.6% +19.0 23
2013-11-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1501 1569 24.6% 22.4% 53.1% -19.0 13
2013-11-09 Celtic L 1-4 1492 1737 16.3% 20.3% 63.4% -8.4 10
2013-11-09 @ Ross County W 4-1 1737 1492 63.4% 20.3% 16.3% +8.4 30
2013-11-09 Dundee United L 0-4 1568 1587 41.6% 23.2% 35.1% -29.1 22
2013-11-09 @ Motherwell W 4-0 1587 1568 35.1% 23.2% 41.6% +29.2 20
2013-11-09 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1588 1460 59.9% 21.2% 19.0% -18.1 23
2013-11-09 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1460 1588 19.0% 21.2% 59.9% +18.1 11
2013-11-09 Inverness CT L 0-2 1501 1569 34.7% 23.2% 42.1% -13.3 15
2013-11-09 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1569 1501 42.1% 23.2% 34.7% +13.3 25
2013-11-09 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1577 1503 53.7% 22.3% 24.0% +8.5 21
2013-11-09 @ St. Johnstone L 1-3 1503 1577 24.0% 22.3% 53.7% -8.5 9
2013-11-09 St. Mirren L 0-3 1482 1452 48.2% 22.9% 28.9% -25.2 13
2013-11-09 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1452 1482 28.9% 22.9% 48.2% +25.2 11
2013-11-17 Ross County W 2-1 1477 1483 43.4% 23.2% 33.5% +6.5 14
2013-11-17 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1483 1477 33.5% 23.2% 43.4% -6.5 10
2013-11-23 Aberdeen W 3-1 1745 1570 64.7% 19.9% 15.4% +5.6 33
2013-11-23 @ Celtic L 1-3 1570 1745 15.4% 19.9% 64.7% -5.6 23
2013-11-23 Hibernian D 0-0 1483 1488 43.6% 23.2% 33.2% -0.5 15
2013-11-23 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1488 1483 33.2% 23.2% 43.6% +0.5 16
2013-11-23 Motherwell L 0-2 1495 1539 38.0% 23.3% 38.8% -14.3 9
2013-11-23 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1539 1495 38.8% 23.3% 38.0% +14.3 25
2013-11-23 Partick Thistle W 4-1 1616 1456 63.1% 20.4% 16.5% +8.4 23
2013-11-23 @ Dundee United L 1-4 1456 1616 16.5% 20.4% 63.1% -8.4 13
2013-11-23 Ross County D 2-2 1478 1477 44.4% 23.1% 32.5% -0.4 12
2013-11-23 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1477 1478 32.5% 23.1% 44.4% +0.4 11
2013-11-23 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1582 1585 43.8% 23.2% 33.1% +6.8 28
2013-11-23 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1585 1582 33.1% 23.2% 43.8% -6.8 21
2013-12-06 Celtic L 0-5 1554 1751 20.2% 21.5% 58.4% -19.5 25
2013-12-06 @ Motherwell W 5-0 1751 1554 58.4% 21.5% 20.2% +19.5 36
2013-12-07 Aberdeen L 0-2 1578 1564 46.2% 23.0% 30.8% -16.7 21
2013-12-07 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1564 1578 30.8% 23.0% 46.2% +16.7 26
2013-12-07 Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1624 1478 61.8% 20.7% 17.5% +8.9 26
2013-12-07 @ Dundee United L 1-4 1478 1624 17.5% 20.7% 61.8% -8.9 12
2013-12-07 Inverness CT D 0-0 1483 1589 29.8% 22.9% 47.3% +0.8 16
2013-12-07 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1589 1483 47.3% 22.9% 29.8% -0.8 29
2013-12-07 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1477 1480 43.8% 23.2% 33.1% -8.0 11
2013-12-07 @ Ross County W 2-1 1480 1477 33.1% 23.2% 43.8% +8.0 12
2013-12-07 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1488 1448 49.6% 22.8% 27.7% -0.9 17
2013-12-07 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1448 1488 27.7% 22.8% 49.6% +0.9 14
2013-12-14 Dundee United L 1-4 1488 1633 25.3% 22.4% 52.3% -12.5 12
2013-12-14 @ Kilmarnock W 4-1 1633 1488 52.3% 22.4% 25.3% +12.6 29
2013-12-14 Hibernian W 1-0 1770 1487 73.8% 16.7% 9.5% +2.1 39
2013-12-14 @ Celtic L 0-1 1487 1770 9.5% 16.7% 73.8% -2.0 17
2013-12-14 Inverness CT L 0-2 1469 1588 28.2% 22.8% 49.0% -11.2 12
2013-12-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1588 1469 49.0% 22.8% 28.2% +11.2 32
2013-12-14 Motherwell L 1-2 1469 1534 35.1% 23.2% 41.7% -6.7 11
2013-12-14 @ Ross County W 2-1 1534 1469 41.7% 23.2% 35.1% +6.7 28
2013-12-14 St. Mirren W 2-0 1581 1484 56.5% 21.8% 21.7% +9.0 29
2013-12-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1484 1581 21.7% 21.8% 56.5% -9.0 16
2013-12-21 Aberdeen L 3-4 1599 1590 45.5% 23.1% 31.4% -7.6 32
2013-12-21 @ Inverness CT W 4-3 1590 1599 31.4% 23.1% 45.5% +7.6 32
2013-12-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1772 1458 76.1% 15.6% 8.3% +3.3 42
2013-12-21 @ Celtic L 0-2 1458 1772 8.3% 15.6% 76.1% -3.3 12
2013-12-21 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1476 1449 47.9% 22.9% 29.2% +5.8 15
2013-12-21 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1449 1476 29.2% 22.9% 47.9% -5.8 14
2013-12-21 Ross County W 1-0 1646 1462 65.4% 19.7% 14.8% +3.3 32
2013-12-21 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1462 1646 14.8% 19.7% 65.4% -3.3 11
2013-12-21 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1485 1562 33.5% 23.2% 43.3% +0.5 18
2013-12-21 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1562 1485 43.3% 23.2% 33.5% -0.4 22
2013-12-21 St. Mirren W 3-0 1541 1475 52.8% 22.4% 24.8% +14.7 31
2013-12-21 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1475 1541 24.8% 22.4% 52.8% -14.7 16
2013-12-26 Celtic L 0-1 1561 1775 18.7% 21.1% 60.2% -4.1 22
2013-12-26 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1775 1561 60.2% 21.1% 18.7% +4.1 45
2013-12-26 Dundee United W 4-1 1460 1649 20.9% 21.6% 57.5% +24.7 19
2013-12-26 @ St. Mirren L 1-4 1649 1460 57.5% 21.6% 20.9% -24.7 32
2013-12-26 Hibernian L 0-2 1459 1486 40.5% 23.2% 36.2% -15.0 11
2013-12-26 @ Ross County W 2-0 1486 1459 36.2% 23.2% 40.5% +15.0 21
2013-12-26 Inverness CT D 0-0 1443 1592 24.9% 22.4% 52.7% +1.3 15
2013-12-26 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1592 1443 52.7% 22.4% 24.9% -1.3 33
2013-12-26 Kilmarnock L 0-4 1454 1482 40.4% 23.2% 36.4% -28.5 12
2013-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1482 1454 36.4% 23.2% 40.4% +28.5 18
2013-12-26 Motherwell L 0-1 1597 1555 49.8% 22.7% 27.5% -9.4 32
2013-12-26 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1555 1597 27.5% 22.7% 49.8% +9.4 34
2013-12-29 Celtic L 0-1 1590 1780 20.9% 21.6% 57.5% -4.6 33
2013-12-29 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1780 1590 57.5% 21.6% 20.9% +4.6 48
2013-12-29 Dundee United W 3-0 1557 1624 34.8% 23.2% 42.0% +22.5 25
2013-12-29 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1624 1557 42.0% 23.2% 34.8% -22.5 32
2013-12-29 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1485 1426 51.9% 22.5% 25.6% -1.1 20
2013-12-29 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1426 1485 25.6% 22.5% 51.9% +1.1 13
2013-12-29 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1501 1510 42.9% 23.2% 33.9% +19.0 24
2013-12-29 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1510 1501 33.9% 23.2% 42.9% -19.0 18
2013-12-29 Motherwell L 1-5 1444 1565 28.0% 22.8% 49.2% -17.7 15
2013-12-29 @ Partick Thistle W 5-1 1565 1444 49.2% 22.8% 28.0% +17.7 37
2013-12-29 Ross County W 1-0 1588 1444 61.5% 20.8% 17.7% +3.9 35
2013-12-29 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1444 1588 17.7% 20.8% 61.5% -3.9 11
2014-01-01 Aberdeen L 1-2 1602 1592 45.6% 23.1% 31.3% -8.3 32
2014-01-01 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1592 1602 31.3% 23.1% 45.6% +8.3 38
2014-01-01 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1784 1427 79.0% 14.2% 6.8% +1.4 51
2014-01-01 @ Celtic L 0-1 1427 1784 6.8% 14.2% 79.0% -1.4 15
2014-01-01 Ross County L 1-2 1586 1440 61.7% 20.7% 17.6% -10.7 33
2014-01-01 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1440 1586 17.6% 20.7% 61.7% +10.8 14
2014-01-01 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1582 1580 44.6% 23.1% 32.3% +23.9 40
2014-01-01 @ Motherwell L 0-4 1580 1582 32.3% 23.1% 44.6% -23.9 25
2014-01-02 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1520 1427 56.0% 21.9% 22.1% +4.5 27
2014-01-02 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1427 1520 22.1% 21.9% 56.0% -4.6 13
2014-01-02 St. Mirren W 2-1 1491 1484 45.2% 23.1% 31.7% +6.2 21
2014-01-02 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1484 1491 31.7% 23.1% 45.2% -6.2 20
2014-01-04 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1451 1556 29.9% 22.9% 47.2% +9.0 17
2014-01-04 @ Ross County L 0-1 1556 1451 47.2% 22.9% 29.9% -9.0 25
2014-01-05 Aberdeen L 0-1 1497 1600 30.1% 23.0% 46.9% -6.3 21
2014-01-05 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1600 1497 46.9% 23.0% 30.1% +6.3 41
2014-01-05 Celtic L 0-4 1478 1786 12.3% 18.5% 69.2% -9.7 20
2014-01-05 @ St. Mirren W 4-0 1786 1478 69.2% 18.5% 12.3% +9.7 54
2014-01-05 Hibernian D 2-2 1594 1524 53.2% 22.3% 24.5% -0.9 33
2014-01-05 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1524 1594 24.5% 22.3% 53.2% +0.9 28
2014-01-05 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1422 1425 43.8% 23.2% 33.0% -16.0 13
2014-01-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1425 1422 33.0% 23.2% 43.8% +16.0 18
2014-01-10 Hibernian W 1-0 1606 1525 54.6% 22.1% 23.2% +5.1 44
2014-01-10 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1525 1606 23.2% 22.1% 54.6% -5.0 28
2014-01-11 Motherwell L 0-1 1406 1606 19.9% 21.4% 58.7% -4.4 13
2014-01-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1606 1406 58.7% 21.4% 19.9% +4.4 43
2014-01-11 Ross County D 3-3 1441 1460 41.6% 23.2% 35.2% -0.2 19
2014-01-11 @ Partick Thistle D 3-3 1460 1441 35.2% 23.2% 41.6% +0.2 18
2014-01-11 St. Mirren W 2-0 1547 1468 54.4% 22.2% 23.5% +9.6 28
2014-01-11 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1468 1547 23.5% 22.2% 54.4% -9.6 20
2014-01-12 Dundee United D 1-1 1575 1593 41.7% 23.2% 35.0% -0.3 34
2014-01-12 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1593 1575 35.0% 23.2% 41.7% +0.3 34
2014-01-18 Dundee United W 3-0 1460 1593 26.6% 22.6% 50.8% +26.3 21
2014-01-18 @ Ross County L 0-3 1593 1460 50.8% 22.6% 26.6% -26.3 34
2014-01-18 Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1556 1402 62.6% 20.5% 16.9% -1.2 29
2014-01-18 @ St. Johnstone D 3-3 1402 1556 16.9% 20.5% 62.6% +1.2 14
2014-01-18 Inverness CT L 0-1 1611 1575 49.1% 22.8% 28.1% -9.3 44
2014-01-18 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1575 1611 28.1% 22.8% 49.1% +9.3 37
2014-01-18 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1441 1491 37.2% 23.3% 39.6% +0.1 20
2014-01-18 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1491 1441 39.6% 23.3% 37.2% -0.1 22
2014-01-18 Motherwell W 3-0 1795 1611 65.5% 19.7% 14.8% +9.0 57
2014-01-18 @ Celtic L 0-3 1611 1795 14.8% 19.7% 65.5% -9.0 43
2014-01-18 St. Mirren L 2-3 1520 1458 52.3% 22.4% 25.3% -8.8 28
2014-01-18 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1458 1520 25.3% 22.4% 52.3% +8.8 23
2014-01-21 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1441 1555 28.8% 22.9% 48.4% -6.1 20
2014-01-21 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1555 1441 48.4% 22.9% 28.8% +6.1 32
2014-01-25 Aberdeen D 2-2 1602 1602 44.2% 23.1% 32.7% -0.3 44
2014-01-25 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1602 1602 32.7% 23.1% 44.2% +0.4 45
2014-01-25 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1486 1403 54.9% 22.1% 23.1% -9.7 21
2014-01-25 @ Ross County W 2-1 1403 1486 23.1% 22.1% 54.9% +9.7 17
2014-01-25 Inverness CT W 2-0 1491 1584 31.4% 23.1% 45.6% +16.5 25
2014-01-25 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1584 1491 45.6% 23.1% 31.4% -16.5 37
2014-01-25 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1467 1435 48.5% 22.9% 28.7% -0.9 24
2014-01-25 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1435 1467 28.7% 22.9% 48.5% +0.9 21
2014-01-26 Celtic L 0-4 1511 1804 13.2% 18.9% 67.8% -10.4 28
2014-01-26 @ Hibernian W 4-0 1804 1511 67.8% 18.9% 13.2% +10.4 60
2014-01-29 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1815 1508 75.6% 15.8% 8.5% +6.5 63
2014-01-29 @ Celtic L 0-4 1508 1815 8.5% 15.8% 75.6% -6.5 25
2014-01-29 St. Mirren W 2-1 1413 1466 36.7% 23.2% 40.0% +7.5 20
2014-01-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1466 1413 40.0% 23.2% 36.7% -7.4 24
2014-02-01 Dundee United D 1-1 1436 1567 26.8% 22.7% 50.5% +1.0 22
2014-02-01 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1567 1436 50.5% 22.7% 26.8% -1.0 35
2014-02-01 Ross County D 2-2 1501 1477 47.5% 22.9% 29.6% -0.5 26
2014-02-01 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1477 1501 29.6% 22.9% 47.5% +0.5 22
2014-02-02 St. Mirren W 1-0 1821 1459 79.3% 14.0% 6.6% +1.4 66
2014-02-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1459 1821 6.6% 14.0% 79.3% -1.4 24
2014-02-15 Aberdeen L 0-1 1457 1602 25.2% 22.4% 52.3% -5.4 24
2014-02-15 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1602 1457 52.3% 22.4% 25.2% +5.4 48
2014-02-15 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1567 1420 61.9% 20.7% 17.4% -2.2 38
2014-02-15 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1420 1567 17.4% 20.7% 61.9% +2.2 21
2014-02-15 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1566 1500 52.7% 22.4% 24.9% +4.8 38
2014-02-15 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1500 1566 24.9% 22.4% 52.7% -4.8 26
2014-02-15 Partick Thistle W 4-3 1601 1437 63.6% 20.2% 16.2% +3.1 47
2014-02-15 @ Motherwell L 3-4 1437 1601 16.2% 20.2% 63.6% -3.1 22
2014-02-15 Ross County W 2-1 1501 1477 47.4% 22.9% 29.7% +5.9 31
2014-02-15 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1477 1501 29.7% 22.9% 47.4% -5.9 22
2014-02-16 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1822 1561 72.2% 17.3% 10.5% +6.2 69
2014-02-16 @ Celtic L 0-3 1561 1822 10.5% 17.3% 72.2% -6.2 32
2014-02-21 Motherwell W 3-1 1571 1605 39.5% 23.3% 37.3% +12.2 41
2014-02-21 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1605 1571 37.3% 23.3% 39.5% -12.2 47
2014-02-22 Aberdeen W 3-1 1434 1608 22.3% 21.9% 55.8% +17.0 25
2014-02-22 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1608 1434 55.8% 21.9% 22.3% -17.0 48
2014-02-22 Celtic L 0-2 1423 1829 7.9% 15.3% 76.7% -3.1 21
2014-02-22 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1829 1423 76.7% 15.3% 7.9% +3.1 72
2014-02-22 Hibernian D 1-1 1496 1507 42.7% 23.2% 34.1% -0.3 27
2014-02-22 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1507 1496 34.1% 23.2% 42.7% +0.3 32
2014-02-22 Inverness CT L 0-1 1555 1565 42.8% 23.2% 34.0% -8.3 32
2014-02-22 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1565 1555 34.0% 23.2% 42.8% +8.3 41
2014-02-22 St. Mirren W 2-1 1471 1452 46.9% 23.0% 30.2% +6.0 25
2014-02-22 @ Ross County L 1-2 1452 1471 30.2% 23.0% 46.9% -6.0 24
2014-02-25 Celtic W 2-1 1591 1832 16.6% 20.4% 63.0% +10.9 51
2014-02-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1832 1591 63.0% 20.4% 16.6% -10.9 72
2014-02-25 Inverness CT L 0-3 1477 1574 31.0% 23.0% 46.0% -17.7 25
2014-02-25 @ Ross County W 3-0 1574 1477 46.0% 23.0% 31.0% +17.7 44
2014-02-25 Motherwell W 3-0 1547 1592 37.8% 23.3% 39.0% +21.2 35
2014-02-25 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1592 1547 39.0% 23.3% 37.8% -21.2 47
2014-02-28 Dundee United L 1-3 1507 1583 33.6% 23.2% 43.2% -11.3 32
2014-02-28 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1583 1507 43.2% 23.2% 33.6% +11.3 44
2014-03-01 Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1571 1419 62.4% 20.6% 17.1% +8.7 50
2014-03-01 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1419 1571 17.1% 20.6% 62.4% -8.7 21
2014-03-01 Inverness CT W 5-0 1821 1591 69.6% 18.3% 12.1% +11.7 75
2014-03-01 @ Celtic L 0-5 1591 1821 12.1% 18.3% 69.6% -11.7 44
2014-03-01 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1446 1495 37.2% 23.3% 39.5% +14.7 27
2014-03-01 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1495 1446 39.5% 23.3% 37.2% -14.7 27
2014-03-01 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1460 1451 45.4% 23.1% 31.5% -0.6 26
2014-03-01 @ Ross County D 1-1 1451 1460 31.5% 23.1% 45.4% +0.6 26
2014-03-01 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1602 1568 48.8% 22.8% 28.4% +6.0 54
2014-03-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1568 1602 28.4% 22.8% 48.8% -6.0 35
2014-03-08 Heart of Midlothian W 4-2 1481 1411 53.3% 22.3% 24.4% +7.7 30
2014-03-08 @ Kilmarnock L 2-4 1411 1481 24.4% 22.3% 53.3% -7.7 21
2014-03-08 Motherwell D 3-3 1496 1580 32.5% 23.1% 44.4% +0.3 33
2014-03-08 @ Hibernian D 3-3 1580 1496 44.4% 23.1% 32.5% -0.3 51
2014-03-12 Hibernian D 0-0 1580 1496 54.9% 22.1% 23.0% -1.5 45
2014-03-12 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1496 1580 23.0% 22.1% 54.9% +1.5 34
2014-03-12 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1594 1562 48.5% 22.8% 28.6% -9.2 44
2014-03-12 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1562 1594 28.6% 22.8% 48.5% +9.2 38
2014-03-14 Celtic L 0-3 1488 1833 10.5% 17.3% 72.2% -6.2 30
2014-03-14 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1833 1488 72.2% 17.3% 10.5% +6.2 78
2014-03-15 Hibernian W 3-1 1452 1498 37.7% 23.3% 39.0% +12.7 29
2014-03-15 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1498 1452 39.0% 23.3% 37.7% -12.6 34
2014-03-15 Ross County L 0-1 1571 1459 58.1% 21.5% 20.3% -10.8 38
2014-03-15 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1459 1571 20.3% 21.5% 58.1% +10.8 29
2014-03-15 St. Mirren W 3-2 1585 1461 59.5% 21.2% 19.3% +3.8 47
2014-03-15 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1461 1585 19.3% 21.2% 59.5% -3.8 27
2014-03-19 Inverness CT W 2-0 1580 1578 44.4% 23.1% 32.5% +12.6 54
2014-03-19 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1578 1580 32.5% 23.1% 44.4% -12.6 45
2014-03-21 Dundee United L 1-2 1403 1589 21.2% 21.7% 57.1% -4.4 21
2014-03-21 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1589 1403 57.1% 21.7% 21.2% +4.4 50
2014-03-22 Hibernian W 2-0 1560 1485 53.9% 22.2% 23.9% +9.8 41
2014-03-22 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1485 1560 23.9% 22.2% 53.9% -9.8 34
2014-03-22 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1608 1482 59.6% 21.2% 19.1% +4.0 57
2014-03-22 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1482 1608 19.1% 21.2% 59.6% -4.0 30
2014-03-22 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1565 1464 56.9% 21.7% 21.3% +4.7 48
2014-03-22 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1464 1565 21.3% 21.7% 56.9% -4.7 29
2014-03-22 Ross County W 2-1 1592 1470 59.3% 21.3% 19.4% +4.0 57
2014-03-22 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1470 1592 19.4% 21.3% 59.3% -4.0 29
2014-03-22 St. Mirren W 3-0 1839 1457 80.5% 13.4% 6.0% +3.4 81
2014-03-22 @ Celtic L 0-3 1457 1839 6.0% 13.4% 80.5% -3.4 27
2014-03-25 Aberdeen D 1-1 1466 1612 25.2% 22.4% 52.4% +1.1 30
2014-03-25 @ Ross County D 1-1 1612 1466 52.4% 22.4% 25.2% -1.2 58
2014-03-25 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1454 1570 28.5% 22.8% 48.7% -6.0 27
2014-03-25 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1570 1454 48.7% 22.8% 28.5% +6.0 44
2014-03-26 Celtic L 1-5 1460 1842 8.8% 16.1% 75.1% -5.6 29
2014-03-26 @ Partick Thistle W 5-1 1842 1460 75.1% 16.1% 8.8% +5.6 84
2014-03-26 Inverness CT W 2-1 1593 1570 47.3% 22.9% 29.8% +5.9 53
2014-03-26 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1570 1593 29.8% 22.9% 47.3% -5.9 48
2014-03-29 Dundee United D 1-1 1611 1599 45.8% 23.0% 31.1% -0.6 59
2014-03-29 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1599 1611 31.1% 23.0% 45.8% +0.6 54
2014-03-29 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1596 1478 58.8% 21.4% 19.8% -10.3 57
2014-03-29 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1478 1596 19.8% 21.4% 58.8% +10.3 33
2014-03-29 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1576 1454 59.2% 21.3% 19.5% -1.7 45
2014-03-29 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1454 1576 19.5% 21.3% 59.2% +1.7 30
2014-03-29 Ross County D 1-1 1848 1467 80.5% 13.5% 6.1% -3.3 85
2014-03-29 @ Celtic D 1-1 1467 1848 6.1% 13.5% 80.5% +3.3 31
2014-03-29 St. Mirren D 2-2 1564 1448 58.7% 21.4% 19.9% -1.2 49
2014-03-29 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1448 1564 19.9% 21.4% 58.7% +1.3 28
2014-03-30 Hibernian W 2-0 1399 1475 33.5% 23.2% 43.3% +15.9 24
2014-03-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1475 1399 43.3% 23.2% 33.5% -15.9 34
2014-04-01 Motherwell L 1-2 1563 1586 41.0% 23.2% 35.8% -7.6 49
2014-04-01 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1586 1563 35.8% 23.2% 41.0% +7.6 60
2014-04-02 Aberdeen D 1-1 1415 1610 20.3% 21.5% 58.2% +1.6 25
2014-04-02 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1610 1415 58.2% 21.5% 20.3% -1.6 60
2014-04-04 Inverness CT L 1-2 1470 1555 32.4% 23.1% 44.5% -6.3 31
2014-04-04 @ Ross County W 2-1 1555 1470 44.5% 23.1% 32.4% +6.3 52
2014-04-05 Celtic L 0-2 1599 1844 16.3% 20.3% 63.4% -6.8 54
2014-04-05 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1844 1599 63.4% 20.3% 16.3% +6.8 88
2014-04-05 Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1456 1416 49.5% 22.8% 27.8% -13.7 30
2014-04-05 @ Partick Thistle W 4-2 1416 1456 27.8% 22.8% 49.5% +13.7 28
2014-04-05 Motherwell W 3-2 1449 1594 25.3% 22.4% 52.3% +8.8 31
2014-04-05 @ St. Mirren L 2-3 1594 1449 52.3% 22.4% 25.3% -8.8 60
2014-04-05 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1488 1574 32.3% 23.1% 44.6% -6.3 33
2014-04-05 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1574 1488 44.6% 23.1% 32.3% +6.3 48
2014-04-07 Aberdeen L 0-2 1459 1608 24.8% 22.4% 52.8% -10.1 34
2014-04-07 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1608 1459 52.8% 22.4% 24.8% +10.1 63

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2014-04-18 Aberdeen D 0-0 1562 1618 36.2% 23.2% 40.6% +0.2 1
2014-04-18 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1618 1562 40.6% 23.2% 36.2% -0.2 1
2014-04-19 Celtic D 3-3 1585 1851 14.8% 19.7% 65.5% +1.4 1
2014-04-19 @ Motherwell D 3-3 1851 1585 65.5% 19.7% 14.8% -1.4 1
2014-04-19 Dundee United W 2-0 1581 1593 42.5% 23.2% 34.3% +13.2 3
2014-04-19 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1593 1581 34.3% 23.2% 42.5% -13.2 0
2014-04-19 Hibernian W 2-0 1458 1449 45.3% 23.1% 31.6% +12.4 3
2014-04-19 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1449 1458 31.6% 23.1% 45.3% -12.4 0
2014-04-19 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1482 1442 49.6% 22.8% 27.7% -8.9 0
2014-04-19 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1442 1482 27.7% 22.8% 49.6% +8.9 3
2014-04-19 Ross County W 2-0 1430 1464 39.4% 23.3% 37.3% +14.1 3
2014-04-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1464 1430 37.3% 23.3% 39.4% -14.1 0
2014-04-25 St. Mirren D 1-1 1451 1470 41.6% 23.2% 35.2% -0.2 4
2014-04-25 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1470 1451 35.2% 23.2% 41.6% +0.2 4
2014-04-26 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1450 1473 41.0% 23.2% 35.8% +6.8 3
2014-04-26 @ Ross County L 1-2 1473 1450 35.8% 23.2% 41.0% -6.8 0
2014-04-26 Motherwell W 5-1 1579 1586 43.3% 23.2% 33.5% +20.5 3
2014-04-26 @ Dundee United L 1-5 1586 1579 33.5% 23.2% 43.3% -20.5 1
2014-04-26 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1618 1594 47.5% 22.9% 29.5% -0.7 2
2014-04-26 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1594 1618 29.5% 22.9% 47.5% +0.7 4
2014-04-27 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1437 1444 43.2% 23.2% 33.6% -7.9 0
2014-04-27 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1444 1437 33.6% 23.2% 43.2% +7.9 6
2014-04-27 Inverness CT W 6-0 1850 1562 74.2% 16.5% 9.3% +10.4 4
2014-04-27 @ Celtic L 0-6 1562 1850 9.3% 16.5% 74.2% -10.4 1
2014-05-03 Aberdeen W 5-2 1860 1618 70.7% 17.9% 11.4% +5.0 7
2014-05-03 @ Celtic L 2-5 1618 1860 11.4% 17.9% 70.7% -5.0 2
2014-05-03 Dundee United D 1-1 1551 1600 37.4% 23.3% 39.4% +0.1 2
2014-05-03 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1600 1551 39.4% 23.3% 37.4% -0.1 4
2014-05-03 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1429 1451 41.2% 23.2% 35.5% -0.2 1
2014-05-03 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1451 1429 35.5% 23.2% 41.2% +0.2 5
2014-05-03 Ross County W 1-0 1470 1457 46.0% 23.0% 30.9% +6.5 7
2014-05-03 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1457 1470 30.9% 23.0% 46.0% -6.5 3
2014-05-03 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1566 1594 40.2% 23.2% 36.6% +6.9 4
2014-05-03 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1594 1566 36.6% 23.2% 40.2% -7.0 4
2014-05-04 Kilmarnock W 5-0 1452 1466 42.2% 23.2% 34.6% +31.1 9
2014-05-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-5 1466 1452 34.6% 23.2% 42.2% -31.1 0
2014-05-06 Aberdeen L 1-3 1600 1613 42.5% 23.2% 34.3% -13.5 4
2014-05-06 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1613 1600 34.3% 23.2% 42.5% +13.5 5
2014-05-06 Hibernian W 1-0 1450 1429 47.1% 22.9% 29.9% +6.3 6
2014-05-06 @ Ross County L 0-1 1429 1450 29.9% 22.9% 47.1% -6.3 1
2014-05-07 Celtic D 3-3 1588 1865 14.1% 19.4% 66.5% +1.5 5
2014-05-07 @ St. Johnstone D 3-3 1865 1588 66.5% 19.4% 14.1% -1.4 8
2014-05-07 Inverness CT W 2-1 1573 1552 47.1% 23.0% 30.0% +5.9 7
2014-05-07 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1552 1573 30.0% 23.0% 47.1% -5.9 2
2014-05-07 Partick Thistle L 2-4 1483 1451 48.5% 22.8% 28.6% -13.5 9
2014-05-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-2 1451 1483 28.6% 22.8% 48.5% +13.5 8
2014-05-07 St. Mirren W 1-0 1435 1477 38.4% 23.3% 38.3% +7.6 3
2014-05-07 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1477 1435 38.3% 23.3% 38.4% -7.6 7
2014-05-10 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1469 1470 44.1% 23.1% 32.7% -0.5 8
2014-05-10 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1470 1469 32.7% 23.1% 44.1% +0.5 10
2014-05-10 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1423 1443 41.4% 23.2% 35.4% -8.1 1
2014-05-10 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1443 1423 35.4% 23.2% 41.4% +8.1 6
2014-05-10 Ross County L 2-3 1464 1457 45.3% 23.1% 31.7% -7.8 8
2014-05-10 @ Partick Thistle W 3-2 1457 1464 31.7% 23.1% 45.3% +7.8 9
2014-05-11 Dundee United W 3-1 1864 1586 73.4% 16.8% 9.8% +3.4 11
2014-05-11 @ Celtic L 1-3 1586 1864 9.8% 16.8% 73.4% -3.4 4
2014-05-11 Motherwell L 0-1 1626 1578 50.5% 22.7% 26.8% -9.6 5
2014-05-11 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1578 1626 26.8% 22.7% 50.5% +9.6 10
2014-05-11 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1546 1589 38.1% 23.3% 38.6% +14.5 5
2014-05-11 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1589 1546 38.6% 23.3% 38.1% -14.5 5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-02-25 16.62% @ Aberdeen 1591 2 Celtic 1832 1
2 2014-01-01 17.56% Ross County 1440 2 @ Inverness CT 1586 1
3 2013-11-09 18.99% Heart of Midlothian 1460 3 @ Aberdeen 1588 1
4 2014-03-29 19.80% Kilmarnock 1478 2 @ Motherwell 1596 1
5 2014-03-15 20.35% Ross County 1459 1 @ St. Johnstone 1571 0
6 2013-12-26 20.88% @ St. Mirren 1460 4 Dundee United 1649 1
7 2014-02-22 22.30% @ Partick Thistle 1434 3 Aberdeen 1608 1
8 2014-01-25 23.06% Heart of Midlothian 1403 2 @ Ross County 1486 1
9 2013-10-20 23.54% Partick Thistle 1495 2 @ Inverness CT 1573 1
10 2013-10-05 24.83% St. Mirren 1442 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1508 0
11 2014-01-18 25.26% St. Mirren 1458 3 @ Hibernian 1520 2
12 2014-04-05 25.27% @ St. Mirren 1449 3 Motherwell 1594 2
13 2013-08-11 25.89% Aberdeen 1525 3 @ Motherwell 1581 1
14 2014-01-18 26.58% @ Ross County 1460 3 Dundee United 1593 0
15 2014-05-11 26.84% Motherwell 1578 1 @ Aberdeen 1626 0
16 2013-12-26 27.48% Motherwell 1555 1 @ Aberdeen 1597 0
17 2014-04-19 27.69% Partick Thistle 1442 2 @ Kilmarnock 1482 1
18 2014-04-05 27.77% Heart of Midlothian 1416 4 @ Partick Thistle 1456 2
19 2014-01-18 28.09% Inverness CT 1575 1 @ Aberdeen 1611 0
20 2013-09-14 28.42% Hibernian 1507 2 @ St. Johnstone 1541 1
21 2014-03-12 28.62% St. Johnstone 1562 1 @ Dundee United 1594 0
22 2014-05-07 28.62% Partick Thistle 1451 4 @ Heart of Midlothian 1483 2
23 2013-08-10 28.89% Partick Thistle 1505 4 @ Ross County 1535 1
24 2013-11-09 28.91% St. Mirren 1452 3 @ Partick Thistle 1482 0
25 2014-01-04 29.89% @ Ross County 1451 1 St. Johnstone 1556 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-05-04 31.08 @ Heart of Midlothian 5 1452 42.21% Kilmarnock 0 1466 34.59% 23.20%
2 2013-10-05 29.92 @ St. Johnstone 4 1529 33.80% Inverness CT 0 1603 43.02% 23.18%
3 2013-11-09 29.15 Dundee United 4 1587 35.13% @ Motherwell 0 1568 41.65% 23.22%
4 2013-12-26 28.46 Kilmarnock 4 1482 36.37% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1454 40.39% 23.25%
5 2014-01-18 26.31 @ Ross County 3 1460 26.58% Dundee United 0 1593 50.80% 22.62%
6 2013-08-24 26.25 @ Dundee United 4 1539 40.35% St. Johnstone 0 1567 36.40% 23.25%
7 2013-11-09 25.16 St. Mirren 3 1452 28.91% @ Partick Thistle 0 1482 48.22% 22.87%
8 2013-12-26 24.73 @ St. Mirren 4 1460 20.88% Dundee United 1 1649 57.48% 21.64%
9 2014-01-01 23.88 @ Motherwell 4 1582 44.61% St. Johnstone 0 1580 32.29% 23.11%
10 2013-09-14 23.56 Aberdeen 3 1524 32.35% @ Partick Thistle 0 1526 44.54% 23.11%
11 2013-12-29 22.48 @ St. Johnstone 3 1557 34.76% Dundee United 0 1624 42.03% 23.21%
12 2013-08-17 21.66 @ St. Johnstone 4 1545 48.48% Ross County 0 1514 28.68% 22.85%
13 2013-08-10 21.24 Partick Thistle 4 1505 28.89% @ Ross County 1 1535 48.25% 22.87%
14 2014-02-25 21.18 @ St. Johnstone 3 1547 37.77% Motherwell 0 1592 38.97% 23.26%
15 2014-04-26 20.51 @ Dundee United 5 1579 43.30% Motherwell 1 1586 33.54% 23.17%
16 2013-12-06 19.55 Celtic 5 1751 58.37% @ Motherwell 0 1554 20.16% 21.47%
17 2013-12-29 19.00 @ Hibernian 3 1501 42.91% Kilmarnock 0 1510 33.91% 23.18%
18 2013-11-04 18.99 @ Aberdeen 4 1569 53.06% Partick Thistle 0 1501 24.60% 22.35%
19 2013-10-05 18.73 St. Mirren 2 1442 24.83% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1508 52.79% 22.38%
20 2013-11-09 18.12 Heart of Midlothian 3 1460 18.99% @ Aberdeen 1 1588 59.85% 21.16%
21 2013-08-24 17.89 @ Ross County 3 1492 45.50% St. Mirren 0 1483 31.44% 23.06%
22 2013-12-29 17.70 Motherwell 5 1565 49.20% @ Partick Thistle 1 1444 28.02% 22.78%
23 2014-02-25 17.67 Inverness CT 3 1574 46.01% @ Ross County 0 1477 30.96% 23.03%
24 2014-02-22 17.02 @ Partick Thistle 3 1434 22.30% Aberdeen 1 1608 55.76% 21.94%
25 2013-10-26 16.82 @ Dundee United 4 1568 56.74% St. Mirren 0 1469 21.49% 21.78%