2012-13 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee

20.56 points above expected

30 points · 50.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

69.44 points below expected

79 points · 148.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 21 6 6 69 78 30 +48 70.63 -1.63
2 Motherwell 33 15 9 9 54 56 43 +13 48.29 +5.71
3 Inverness CT 33 12 15 6 51 58 49 +9 44.67 +6.33
4 St. Johnstone 33 11 13 9 46 39 38 +1 41.28 +4.72
5 Ross County 33 11 12 10 45 42 43 -1 42.14 +2.86
6 Dundee United 33 10 14 9 44 48 52 -4 51.11 -7.11
7 Kilmarnock 33 10 12 11 42 47 43 +4 41.95 +0.05
8 Aberdeen 33 10 11 12 41 38 41 -3 41.27 -0.27
9 Hibernian 33 10 10 13 40 40 47 -7 39.04 +0.96
10 Heart of Midlothian 33 9 10 14 37 34 45 -11 45.76 -8.76
11 St. Mirren 33 8 12 13 36 40 51 -11 37.65 -1.65
12 Dundee 33 5 8 20 23 22 60 -38 28.87 -5.87
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 24 7 7 79 92 35 +57 148.44 -69.44
2 Motherwell 38 18 9 11 63 67 51 +16 114.64 -51.64
3 St. Johnstone 38 14 14 10 56 45 44 +1 102.31 -46.31
4 Inverness CT 38 13 15 10 54 64 60 +4 102.99 -48.99
5 Ross County 38 13 14 11 53 47 48 -1 95.52 -42.52
6 Dundee United 38 11 14 13 47 51 62 -11 94.50 -47.50
7 Hibernian 38 13 12 13 51 49 52 -3 88.59 -37.59
8 Aberdeen 38 11 15 12 48 41 43 -2 89.09 -41.09
9 Kilmarnock 38 11 12 15 45 52 53 -1 89.95 -44.95
10 Heart of Midlothian 38 11 11 16 44 40 49 -9 81.36 -37.36
11 St. Mirren 38 9 14 15 41 47 60 -13 78.56 -37.56
12 Dundee 38 7 9 22 30 28 66 -38 50.56 -20.56

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1783 79 70.63 +8.37 42.3% 46 59 66 71 75 81 92
Motherwell 1599 63 48.29 +14.71 81.2% 24 37 44 48 53 60 75
Dundee United 1559 47 51.11 -4.11 17.6% 22 40 46 51 56 63 79
Inverness CT 1547 54 44.67 +9.33 83.6% 20 33 40 45 49 56 72
St. Johnstone 1545 56 41.28 +14.72 77.9% 15 30 37 41 46 53 67
Ross County 1544 53 42.14 +10.86 69.2% 18 31 37 42 47 54 72
Heart of Midlothian 1523 44 45.76 -1.76 12.2% 22 34 41 46 51 57 72
Kilmarnock 1514 45 41.95 +3.05 53.8% 18 31 37 42 47 54 70
Aberdeen 1510 48 41.27 +6.73 52.4% 15 30 37 41 46 53 69
Hibernian 1502 51 39.04 +11.96 59.0% 16 28 34 39 44 50 66
St. Mirren 1476 41 37.65 +3.35 43.8% 12 27 33 38 42 49 63
Dundee 1398 30 28.87 +1.13 19.8% 8 19 24 29 33 40 61

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU HOM HIB IC KIL MOT RC SJ SM
Aberdeen
0-0-3
1.82
3-1-0
6.99
0-2-1
3.17
1-2-1
5.20
2-2-0
5.56
0-1-2
3.72
2-1-1
5.01
0-2-1
3.41
0-1-2
3.94
2-0-1
3.78
1-3-0
5.77
Celtic
3-0-0
6.51
3-0-0
7.32
3-1-0
7.98
3-0-0
6.14
1-1-1
6.79
3-0-1
8.34
2-0-1
6.52
2-0-2
7.80
1-2-1
8.30
1-2-1
8.60
2-1-0
6.60
Dundee
0-1-3
3.77
0-0-3
1.22
0-1-2
2.22
3-0-1
3.44
1-1-2
3.75
0-1-2
2.69
1-2-1
3.69
0-1-2
2.60
0-1-2
3.04
0-1-2
2.95
2-0-2
4.31
Dundee United
1-2-0
4.86
0-1-3
2.96
2-1-0
5.98
1-0-2
4.64
1-1-1
5.21
1-2-1
5.70
1-1-1
4.75
2-0-2
5.53
1-2-1
6.32
0-3-1
6.43
1-1-1
4.98
Heart of Midlothian
1-2-1
5.45
0-0-3
2.10
1-0-3
7.38
2-0-1
3.37
0-3-1
6.16
0-2-1
4.28
1-0-3
5.59
1-1-1
3.84
1-2-0
4.28
2-1-0
4.36
2-0-2
6.21
Hibernian
0-2-2
5.09
1-1-1
1.61
2-1-1
7.01
1-1-1
2.87
1-3-0
4.52
0-1-2
3.72
2-2-0
4.74
1-0-2
3.10
0-0-3
3.78
2-0-1
3.89
3-1-0
5.37
Inverness CT
2-1-0
4.28
1-0-3
2.67
2-1-0
5.41
1-2-1
4.96
1-2-0
3.72
2-1-0
4.27
1-2-0
4.37
1-0-3
4.90
2-1-1
5.39
0-3-1
5.82
0-2-1
4.60
Kilmarnock
1-1-2
5.66
1-0-2
1.81
1-2-1
7.09
1-1-1
3.27
3-0-1
5.09
0-2-2
5.92
0-2-1
3.62
1-1-1
3.55
2-1-0
3.71
0-0-3
3.99
1-2-1
6.26
Motherwell
1-2-0
4.59
2-0-2
3.09
2-1-0
5.51
2-0-2
5.12
1-1-1
4.14
2-0-1
4.94
3-0-1
5.77
1-1-1
4.45
2-1-1
6.09
2-1-1
6.11
0-2-1
5.15
Ross County
2-1-0
4.05
1-2-1
2.70
2-1-0
5.00
1-2-1
4.38
0-2-1
3.72
3-0-0
4.22
1-1-2
5.26
0-1-2
4.29
1-1-2
4.59
1-2-1
5.42
1-1-1
4.09
St. Johnstone
1-0-2
4.21
1-2-1
2.47
2-1-0
5.11
1-3-0
4.27
0-1-2
3.63
1-0-2
4.10
1-3-0
4.84
3-0-0
4.00
1-1-2
4.58
1-2-1
5.24
2-1-0
4.52
St. Mirren
0-3-1
4.88
0-1-2
1.75
2-0-2
6.39
1-1-1
3.06
2-0-2
4.47
0-1-3
5.30
1-2-0
3.42
1-2-1
4.43
1-2-0
2.90
1-1-1
3.91
0-1-2
3.48

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.82 +6.7
Allowed 0.55 -10.0
Differential 0.94 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.09%7.68%4.82%3.07%1.54%0.44%27.63%
17.68%13.16%6.36%4.17%2.19%0.22%33.77%
24.82%6.36%7.02%1.97%0.44%0.22%20.83%
33.07%4.17%1.97%1.32%0.66%11.18%
41.54%2.19%0.44%0.66%0.44%0.22%5.48%
5+0.44%0.22%0.22%0.22%1.10%
Total27.63%33.77%20.83%11.18%5.48%1.10%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.70
CV 0.89 0.89
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.05%7.89%7.89%2.63%39.47%
17.89%13.16%2.63%2.63%2.63%28.95%
27.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%18.42%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total36.84%34.21%13.16%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.13 -0.05
SD 1.12 1.19 1.41
CV 1.04 1.05
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%
17.89%13.16%5.26%2.63%28.95%
213.16%5.26%2.63%21.05%
32.63%5.26%7.89%
413.16%7.89%2.63%2.63%26.32%
5+5.26%2.63%7.89%
Total42.11%31.58%18.42%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 0.92 +1.50
SD 1.59 0.97 1.98
CV 0.66 1.05
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%13.16%10.53%2.63%44.74%
17.89%15.79%2.63%7.89%5.26%39.47%
27.89%2.63%2.63%13.16%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total13.16%39.47%18.42%21.05%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.74 1.74 -1.00
SD 0.79 1.25 1.56
CV 1.08 0.72
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%2.63%7.89%26.32%
110.53%13.16%7.89%5.26%36.84%
25.26%7.89%2.63%15.79%
37.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%18.42%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total28.95%26.32%18.42%10.53%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.63 -0.29
SD 1.15 1.55 1.81
CV 0.85 0.95
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%13.16%7.89%2.63%2.63%36.84%
110.53%7.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%31.58%
27.89%2.63%10.53%2.63%23.68%
35.26%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total34.21%23.68%26.32%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.29 -0.24
SD 1.04 1.21 1.63
CV 0.99 0.94
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%7.89%26.32%
110.53%7.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%31.58%
22.63%13.16%10.53%5.26%31.58%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total28.95%31.58%15.79%21.05%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.37 -0.08
SD 1.04 1.20 1.58
CV 0.80 0.87
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%2.63%18.42%
12.63%15.79%5.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%34.21%
27.89%10.53%2.63%21.05%
35.26%2.63%5.26%13.16%
42.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%13.16%
5+
Total21.05%36.84%21.05%7.89%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.58 +0.11
SD 1.30 1.35 1.78
CV 0.77 0.85
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%2.63%15.79%
15.26%15.79%15.79%10.53%2.63%50.00%
27.89%5.26%2.63%15.79%
35.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%18.42%
4
5+
Total26.32%28.95%26.32%15.79%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.39 -0.03
SD 0.97 1.13 1.50
CV 0.71 0.81
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%31.58%
17.89%2.63%10.53%
22.63%13.16%5.26%21.05%
35.26%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%26.32%
47.89%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total15.79%50.00%23.68%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.34 +0.42
SD 1.48 0.99 1.81
CV 0.84 0.74
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%26.32%
118.42%13.16%7.89%2.63%42.11%
22.63%2.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%18.42%
32.63%5.26%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total39.47%21.05%23.68%7.89%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.26 -0.03
SD 1.10 1.35 1.42
CV 0.89 1.07
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%10.53%2.63%26.32%
110.53%21.05%2.63%2.63%36.84%
25.26%13.16%7.89%2.63%28.95%
37.89%7.89%
4
5+
Total23.68%47.37%21.05%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.16 +0.03
SD 0.93 0.95 1.37
CV 0.78 0.82
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%31.58%
113.16%13.16%2.63%5.26%34.21%
27.89%5.26%7.89%21.05%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total21.05%34.21%23.68%10.53%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.58 -0.34
SD 1.22 1.31 1.55
CV 0.98 0.83
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee 30 50.56 -20.56
2 Heart of Midlothian 44 81.36 -37.36
3 St. Mirren 41 78.56 -37.56
4 Hibernian 51 88.59 -37.59
5 Aberdeen 48 89.09 -41.09

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 79 148.44 -69.44
2 Motherwell 63 114.64 -51.64
3 Inverness CT 54 102.99 -48.99
4 Dundee United 47 94.50 -47.50
5 St. Johnstone 56 102.31 -46.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 5 Sep 15 – Oct 20 1 in 472
2 Dundee 3 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 159
3 Ross County 4 Feb 8 – Feb 26 1 in 54
4 Hibernian 3 Oct 26 – Nov 11 1 in 39
5 Inverness CT 3 Sep 29 – Oct 19 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 5 Feb 9 – Mar 2 1 in 260
2 St. Mirren 6 Oct 6 – Nov 17 1 in 158
3 Kilmarnock 3 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 79
4 Dundee 6 Sep 15 – Oct 27 1 in 79
5 Celtic 2 Feb 27 – Mar 9 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ross County 11 Dec 26 – Mar 9 1 in 134
2 Aberdeen 10 Aug 11 – Oct 27 1 in 65
3 St. Johnstone 7 Sep 1 – Oct 27 1 in 35
4 Motherwell 8 Feb 27 – Apr 28 1 in 31
5 Hibernian 6 Aug 12 – Sep 22 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 6 Aug 25 – Oct 20 1 in 40
2 St. Mirren 9 Mar 6 – May 11 1 in 22
3 Celtic 3 Oct 27 – Nov 11 1 in 19
4 Dundee 14 Nov 24 – Feb 27 1 in 17
5 Hibernian 8 Feb 24 – Apr 27 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic95.30%3.85%0.65%0.11%0.07%0.02%
Motherwell1.22%21.28%18.89%14.85%12.44%9.23%7.48%5.38%4.39%2.82%1.59%0.43%
St. Johnstone0.07%3.86%7.00%8.21%9.74%10.78%11.68%11.63%11.96%11.30%9.78%3.99%
Inverness CT0.30%10.29%11.97%12.87%12.63%11.39%10.79%9.67%8.04%6.15%4.41%1.49%
Ross County0.16%5.32%7.58%8.96%10.23%11.18%11.96%12.17%10.56%10.26%8.22%3.40%
Dundee United2.24%32.07%20.64%13.86%10.24%7.35%4.80%3.69%2.64%1.50%0.68%0.29%
Hibernian0.05%1.84%3.70%5.43%6.54%8.94%10.07%12.00%13.55%15.25%14.71%7.92%
Aberdeen0.10%3.93%6.25%8.42%9.37%10.27%10.92%12.05%12.43%11.70%10.20%4.36%
Kilmarnock0.11%4.94%7.31%9.51%10.77%11.20%11.58%11.50%11.21%9.93%8.35%3.59%
Heart of Midlothian0.41%11.42%13.22%13.42%12.35%11.51%10.48%8.71%6.91%6.15%4.17%1.25%
St. Mirren0.04%1.16%2.68%4.20%5.15%7.22%8.77%10.72%13.41%16.03%19.80%10.82%
Dundee0.04%0.11%0.16%0.47%0.91%1.47%2.48%4.90%8.91%18.09%62.46%
Team123456789101112
Celtic100.00%
Motherwell84.91%13.66%1.36%0.06%0.01%
St. Johnstone13.28%65.42%16.75%4.11%0.44%
Inverness CT1.17%11.29%40.49%30.20%16.85%
Ross County0.27%5.05%21.50%34.82%38.36%
Dundee United0.37%4.58%19.90%30.81%44.34%
Hibernian39.88%29.52%19.56%8.95%2.09%
Aberdeen29.50%29.61%25.55%11.96%3.38%
Kilmarnock25.53%28.14%28.43%14.27%3.63%
Heart of Midlothian4.01%9.31%17.44%41.66%27.58%
St. Mirren1.08%3.42%9.02%23.16%63.30%0.02%
Dundee0.02%99.98%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.09%
Slight Edge
39.04%32.02%28.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 35.17 Elo pts.
182 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.22 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.1
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
95%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Comfortable
00.390.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.5 * Some Luck: 5.5 to 8.25 * Lucky: 8.25 to 11 * Wild Swing: 11 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.61 * Close: 1.61 to 2.41 * Off: 2.41 to 3.22 * Way Off: 3.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.74 points
As Expected
06.8717
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
02.015
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
83.62%
Inverness CT
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
12.22%
Heart of Midlothian
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.31
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.47
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.66
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.050
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 99.85% 0.15%
Motherwell 99.81% 0.19%
Heart of Midlothian 98.87% 1.13%
Inverness CT 98.83% 1.17%
Ross County 97.60% 2.40%
Kilmarnock 96.98% 3.02%
St. Johnstone 96.49% 3.51%
Aberdeen 95.81% 4.19%
Hibernian 92.23% 7.77%
St. Mirren 89.84% 10.16%
Dundee 33.69% 66.31%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Inverness CT 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Motherwell 100%
Ross County 100%
St. Johnstone 100%
St. Mirren 99.98% 0.02%
Dundee 0.02% 99.98%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2012-08-04 Aberdeen W 1-0 1740 1508 67.5% 21.0% 11.6% +1.8 3
2012-08-04 @ Celtic L 0-1 1508 1740 11.6% 21.0% 67.5% -1.8 0
2012-08-04 Dundee D 0-0 1503 1464 43.4% 32.6% 23.9% -0.6 1
2012-08-04 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1464 1503 23.9% 32.6% 43.4% +0.6 1
2012-08-04 Inverness CT D 2-2 1500 1518 35.5% 33.9% 30.6% -0.1 1
2012-08-04 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1518 1500 30.6% 33.9% 35.5% +0.1 1
2012-08-04 Motherwell D 0-0 1526 1561 33.1% 34.0% 33.0% -0.0 1
2012-08-04 @ Ross County D 0-0 1561 1526 33.0% 34.0% 33.1% +0.0 1
2012-08-04 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1561 1521 43.7% 32.6% 23.8% +7.3 3
2012-08-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1521 1561 23.8% 32.6% 43.7% -7.3 0
2012-08-05 Hibernian W 3-0 1616 1481 56.1% 27.6% 16.3% +7.4 3
2012-08-05 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1481 1616 16.3% 27.6% 56.1% -7.4 0
2012-08-11 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1519 1502 40.4% 33.3% 26.3% -0.4 2
2012-08-11 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1502 1519 26.3% 33.3% 40.4% +0.4 2
2012-08-11 Ross County D 0-0 1506 1526 35.2% 33.9% 30.9% -0.1 1
2012-08-11 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1526 1506 30.9% 33.9% 35.2% +0.1 2
2012-08-11 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1561 1513 44.7% 32.3% 23.0% -0.6 2
2012-08-11 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1513 1561 23.0% 32.3% 44.7% +0.6 1
2012-08-11 St. Mirren L 0-2 1465 1500 33.0% 34.0% 33.1% -9.3 1
2012-08-11 @ Dundee W 2-0 1500 1465 33.1% 34.0% 33.0% +9.3 4
2012-08-12 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1473 1569 25.4% 33.1% 41.6% +0.4 1
2012-08-12 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1569 1473 41.6% 33.1% 25.4% -0.4 4
2012-08-18 Aberdeen L 1-2 1514 1506 39.1% 33.5% 27.4% -5.2 1
2012-08-18 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1506 1514 27.4% 33.5% 39.1% +5.2 4
2012-08-18 Celtic D 1-1 1526 1742 15.7% 27.0% 57.3% +1.2 3
2012-08-18 @ Ross County D 1-1 1742 1526 57.3% 27.0% 15.7% -1.2 4
2012-08-18 Hibernian L 1-2 1510 1474 43.1% 32.7% 24.2% -5.6 4
2012-08-18 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1474 1510 24.2% 32.7% 43.1% +5.6 4
2012-08-18 Inverness CT D 2-2 1568 1518 45.0% 32.2% 22.8% -0.5 5
2012-08-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1518 1568 22.8% 32.2% 45.0% +0.5 3
2012-08-18 Motherwell L 1-2 1502 1561 29.9% 33.8% 36.3% -4.4 2
2012-08-18 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1561 1502 36.3% 33.8% 29.9% +4.4 5
2012-08-19 Dundee W 3-0 1623 1456 60.0% 25.5% 14.5% +6.4 6
2012-08-19 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1456 1623 14.5% 25.5% 60.0% -6.4 1
2012-08-25 Celtic L 2-4 1519 1741 15.3% 26.6% 58.1% -3.7 3
2012-08-25 @ Inverness CT W 4-2 1741 1519 58.1% 26.6% 15.3% +3.7 7
2012-08-25 Dundee United W 3-1 1498 1630 21.8% 31.7% 46.5% +10.3 5
2012-08-25 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1630 1498 46.5% 31.7% 21.8% -10.3 6
2012-08-25 Ross County L 0-1 1449 1528 27.3% 33.5% 39.2% -4.3 1
2012-08-25 @ Dundee W 1-0 1528 1449 39.2% 33.5% 27.3% +4.3 6
2012-08-25 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1479 1509 33.8% 33.9% 32.2% +9.2 7
2012-08-25 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1509 1479 32.2% 33.9% 33.8% -9.2 1
2012-08-26 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1512 1568 30.1% 33.8% 36.0% +0.2 5
2012-08-26 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1568 1512 36.0% 33.8% 30.1% -0.2 6
2012-08-26 St. Mirren D 1-1 1565 1504 46.5% 31.8% 21.8% -0.7 6
2012-08-26 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1504 1565 21.8% 31.8% 46.5% +0.7 5
2012-09-01 Dundee United D 0-0 1500 1620 22.8% 32.2% 44.9% +0.7 2
2012-09-01 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1620 1500 44.9% 32.2% 22.8% -0.7 7
2012-09-01 Hibernian D 2-2 1744 1488 70.1% 19.3% 10.6% -1.3 8
2012-09-01 @ Celtic D 2-2 1488 1744 10.6% 19.3% 70.1% +1.3 8
2012-09-01 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1532 1508 41.3% 33.1% 25.5% -0.5 7
2012-09-01 @ Ross County D 0-0 1508 1532 25.5% 33.1% 41.3% +0.5 6
2012-09-01 St. Mirren D 0-0 1512 1505 39.0% 33.5% 27.4% -0.3 6
2012-09-01 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1505 1512 27.4% 33.5% 39.0% +0.3 6
2012-09-02 Dundee L 0-1 1567 1445 54.5% 28.4% 17.1% -7.0 6
2012-09-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1445 1567 17.1% 28.4% 54.5% +7.0 4
2012-09-02 Inverness CT W 4-1 1564 1515 44.9% 32.2% 22.9% +8.7 9
2012-09-02 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1515 1564 22.9% 32.2% 44.9% -8.7 3
2012-09-14 Ross County D 0-0 1619 1531 50.0% 30.5% 19.6% -1.0 8
2012-09-14 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1531 1619 19.6% 30.5% 50.0% +1.0 8
2012-09-15 Aberdeen D 1-1 1506 1511 37.3% 33.7% 29.0% -0.2 4
2012-09-15 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1511 1506 29.0% 33.7% 37.3% +0.2 7
2012-09-15 Celtic W 2-1 1500 1743 14.2% 25.2% 60.6% +7.2 5
2012-09-15 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1743 1500 60.6% 25.2% 14.2% -7.2 8
2012-09-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1505 1560 30.2% 33.9% 35.9% +9.9 9
2012-09-15 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1560 1505 35.9% 33.9% 30.2% -9.9 6
2012-09-15 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1490 1509 35.3% 33.9% 30.8% +4.5 11
2012-09-15 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1509 1490 30.8% 33.9% 35.3% -4.5 6
2012-09-15 Motherwell L 1-2 1452 1573 22.7% 32.2% 45.1% -3.5 4
2012-09-15 @ Dundee W 2-1 1573 1452 45.1% 32.2% 22.7% +3.5 12
2012-09-22 Dundee W 2-0 1736 1448 73.3% 17.2% 9.5% +2.5 11
2012-09-22 @ Celtic L 0-2 1448 1736 9.5% 17.2% 73.3% -2.5 4
2012-09-22 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1618 1551 47.3% 31.5% 21.2% -17.4 8
2012-09-22 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1551 1618 21.2% 31.5% 47.3% +17.4 9
2012-09-22 Inverness CT D 2-2 1494 1506 36.4% 33.8% 29.8% -0.1 12
2012-09-22 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1506 1494 29.8% 33.8% 36.4% +0.1 5
2012-09-22 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1532 1507 41.5% 33.1% 25.4% -5.5 8
2012-09-22 @ Ross County W 2-1 1507 1532 25.4% 33.1% 41.5% +5.5 8
2012-09-22 St. Mirren W 3-1 1504 1515 36.5% 33.8% 29.6% +7.5 9
2012-09-22 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1515 1504 29.6% 33.8% 36.5% -7.5 9
2012-09-23 Motherwell D 3-3 1512 1576 29.0% 33.7% 37.3% +0.1 8
2012-09-23 @ Aberdeen D 3-3 1576 1512 37.3% 33.7% 29.0% -0.1 13
2012-09-29 Celtic L 0-2 1576 1739 19.2% 30.2% 50.5% -6.1 13
2012-09-29 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1739 1576 50.5% 30.2% 19.2% +6.1 14
2012-09-29 Dundee United W 4-0 1506 1600 25.5% 33.1% 41.4% +20.7 8
2012-09-29 @ Inverness CT L 0-4 1600 1506 41.4% 33.1% 25.5% -20.7 8
2012-09-29 Hibernian W 2-1 1512 1494 40.6% 33.3% 26.2% +4.0 11
2012-09-29 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1494 1512 26.2% 33.3% 40.6% -4.0 12
2012-09-29 Kilmarnock L 1-3 1568 1512 45.8% 32.0% 22.2% -10.2 9
2012-09-29 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1512 1568 22.2% 32.0% 45.8% +10.2 12
2012-09-29 Ross County W 5-4 1507 1527 35.3% 33.9% 30.8% +4.1 12
2012-09-29 @ St. Mirren L 4-5 1527 1507 30.8% 33.9% 35.3% -4.1 8
2012-09-29 St. Johnstone L 1-3 1446 1513 28.7% 33.7% 37.6% -7.3 4
2012-09-29 @ Dundee W 3-1 1513 1446 37.6% 33.7% 28.7% +7.3 11
2012-10-05 Ross County W 3-1 1527 1523 38.6% 33.6% 27.8% +7.2 11
2012-10-05 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1523 1527 27.8% 33.6% 38.6% -7.2 8
2012-10-06 Aberdeen L 1-3 1522 1516 38.9% 33.5% 27.5% -9.0 12
2012-10-06 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1516 1522 27.5% 33.5% 38.9% +9.0 14
2012-10-06 Dundee W 3-0 1490 1438 45.2% 32.1% 22.7% +10.2 15
2012-10-06 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1438 1490 22.7% 32.1% 45.2% -10.2 4
2012-10-06 St. Mirren W 2-1 1520 1512 39.3% 33.5% 27.2% +4.1 14
2012-10-06 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1512 1520 27.2% 33.5% 39.3% -4.1 12
2012-10-07 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1745 1558 62.3% 24.2% 13.6% +2.2 17
2012-10-07 @ Celtic L 0-1 1558 1745 13.6% 24.2% 62.3% -2.2 9
2012-10-19 Inverness CT L 1-4 1428 1534 24.3% 32.8% 43.0% -9.1 4
2012-10-19 @ Dundee W 4-1 1534 1428 43.0% 32.8% 24.3% +9.1 14
2012-10-20 Aberdeen D 1-1 1580 1525 45.7% 32.0% 22.3% -0.6 9
2012-10-20 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1525 1580 22.3% 32.0% 45.7% +0.7 15
2012-10-20 Celtic L 0-5 1507 1747 14.4% 25.4% 60.2% -10.3 12
2012-10-20 @ St. Mirren W 5-0 1747 1507 60.2% 25.4% 14.4% +10.3 20
2012-10-20 Hibernian W 3-2 1516 1500 40.2% 33.3% 26.5% +3.8 11
2012-10-20 @ Ross County L 2-3 1500 1516 26.5% 33.3% 40.2% -3.8 15
2012-10-20 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1524 1513 39.6% 33.4% 26.9% +4.0 17
2012-10-20 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1513 1524 26.9% 33.4% 39.6% -4.0 12
2012-10-21 Motherwell W 1-0 1556 1570 36.0% 33.9% 30.2% +4.7 12
2012-10-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1570 1556 30.2% 33.9% 36.0% -4.7 13
2012-10-26 Hibernian L 0-4 1566 1497 47.5% 31.4% 21.1% -22.9 13
2012-10-26 @ Motherwell W 4-0 1497 1566 21.1% 31.4% 47.5% +22.9 18
2012-10-27 Dundee W 2-0 1525 1419 52.4% 29.4% 18.2% +5.7 18
2012-10-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1419 1525 18.2% 29.4% 52.4% -5.7 4
2012-10-27 Dundee United L 0-1 1497 1579 26.9% 33.4% 39.7% -4.3 12
2012-10-27 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1579 1497 39.7% 33.4% 26.9% +4.3 12
2012-10-27 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1757 1509 69.2% 19.9% 10.9% -15.6 20
2012-10-27 @ Celtic W 2-0 1509 1757 10.9% 19.9% 69.2% +15.6 15
2012-10-27 Ross County D 2-2 1560 1520 43.7% 32.6% 23.7% -0.4 13
2012-10-27 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1520 1560 23.7% 32.6% 43.7% +0.4 12
2012-10-27 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1543 1528 40.1% 33.3% 26.5% -0.4 15
2012-10-27 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1528 1543 26.5% 33.3% 40.1% +0.4 18
2012-11-03 Aberdeen W 2-1 1520 1531 36.5% 33.8% 29.7% +4.3 15
2012-11-03 @ Ross County L 1-2 1531 1520 29.7% 33.8% 36.5% -4.4 18
2012-11-03 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1413 1560 20.5% 31.1% 48.5% +6.5 7
2012-11-03 @ Dundee L 0-1 1560 1413 48.5% 31.1% 20.5% -6.5 13
2012-11-03 Inverness CT L 1-2 1525 1543 35.5% 33.9% 30.7% -4.9 15
2012-11-03 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1543 1525 30.7% 33.9% 35.5% +4.9 18
2012-11-03 Motherwell L 1-3 1529 1543 36.1% 33.8% 30.1% -8.6 18
2012-11-03 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1543 1529 30.1% 33.8% 36.1% +8.6 16
2012-11-03 St. Mirren W 2-1 1519 1493 41.8% 33.0% 25.2% +3.8 21
2012-11-03 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1493 1519 25.2% 33.0% 41.8% -3.8 12
2012-11-04 Celtic D 2-2 1583 1741 19.6% 30.5% 50.0% +0.6 13
2012-11-04 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1741 1583 50.0% 30.5% 19.6% -0.6 21
2012-11-07 Dundee United L 0-1 1551 1584 33.4% 34.0% 32.7% -5.0 16
2012-11-07 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1584 1551 32.7% 34.0% 33.4% +5.0 16
2012-11-10 Aberdeen L 1-4 1489 1527 32.6% 34.0% 33.4% -11.3 12
2012-11-10 @ St. Mirren W 4-1 1527 1489 33.4% 34.0% 32.6% +11.3 21
2012-11-10 Dundee D 1-1 1546 1420 54.9% 28.2% 16.8% -1.1 17
2012-11-10 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1420 1546 16.8% 28.2% 54.9% +1.1 8
2012-11-10 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1548 1553 37.2% 33.7% 29.0% -0.2 19
2012-11-10 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1553 1548 29.0% 33.7% 37.2% +0.2 14
2012-11-10 Ross County W 3-0 1520 1524 37.4% 33.7% 28.9% +12.4 18
2012-11-10 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1524 1520 28.9% 33.7% 37.4% -12.4 15
2012-11-11 Dundee United W 2-1 1523 1589 28.9% 33.7% 37.4% +5.1 24
2012-11-11 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1589 1523 37.4% 33.7% 28.9% -5.1 16
2012-11-11 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1741 1520 66.2% 21.8% 12.0% -1.6 22
2012-11-11 @ Celtic D 1-1 1520 1741 12.0% 21.8% 66.2% +1.6 19
2012-11-16 Kilmarnock D 3-3 1584 1532 45.2% 32.1% 22.6% -0.4 17
2012-11-16 @ Dundee United D 3-3 1532 1584 22.6% 32.1% 45.2% +0.4 19
2012-11-17 Celtic L 0-2 1538 1739 16.6% 28.0% 55.5% -5.2 21
2012-11-17 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1739 1538 55.5% 28.0% 16.6% +5.2 25
2012-11-17 Hibernian W 3-1 1421 1528 24.1% 32.7% 43.2% +9.7 11
2012-11-17 @ Dundee L 1-3 1528 1421 43.2% 32.7% 24.1% -9.7 24
2012-11-17 Ross County D 1-1 1522 1512 39.4% 33.5% 27.1% -0.3 20
2012-11-17 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1512 1522 27.1% 33.5% 39.4% +0.3 16
2012-11-17 St. Mirren W 1-0 1554 1478 48.4% 31.1% 20.5% +3.4 17
2012-11-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1478 1554 20.5% 31.1% 48.4% -3.4 12
2012-11-18 Motherwell L 1-5 1547 1545 38.4% 33.6% 28.0% -16.3 19
2012-11-18 @ Inverness CT W 5-1 1545 1547 28.0% 33.6% 38.4% +16.3 20
2012-11-24 Aberdeen L 0-1 1519 1533 36.0% 33.9% 30.1% -5.2 24
2012-11-24 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1533 1519 30.1% 33.9% 36.0% +5.2 24
2012-11-24 Dundee W 3-1 1474 1431 44.1% 32.5% 23.4% +6.3 15
2012-11-24 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1431 1474 23.4% 32.5% 44.1% -6.3 11
2012-11-24 Dundee United L 1-2 1512 1584 28.2% 33.6% 38.2% -4.2 16
2012-11-24 @ Ross County W 2-1 1584 1512 38.2% 33.6% 28.2% +4.2 20
2012-11-24 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1562 1557 38.7% 33.6% 27.8% -0.3 21
2012-11-24 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1557 1562 27.8% 33.6% 38.7% +0.3 18
2012-11-24 Inverness CT L 0-1 1744 1531 65.3% 22.3% 12.4% -8.0 25
2012-11-24 @ Celtic W 1-0 1531 1744 12.4% 22.3% 65.3% +8.0 22
2012-11-24 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1532 1521 39.6% 33.4% 27.0% -5.3 19
2012-11-24 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1521 1532 27.0% 33.4% 39.6% +5.3 23
2012-11-27 Inverness CT L 2-3 1538 1539 37.9% 33.7% 28.4% -4.9 24
2012-11-27 @ Aberdeen W 3-2 1539 1538 28.4% 33.7% 37.9% +4.9 25
2012-11-27 Motherwell L 1-2 1588 1561 41.8% 33.0% 25.2% -5.5 20
2012-11-27 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1561 1588 25.2% 33.0% 41.8% +5.5 24
2012-11-27 St. Mirren D 0-0 1508 1481 41.9% 33.0% 25.1% -0.5 17
2012-11-27 @ Ross County D 0-0 1481 1508 25.1% 33.0% 41.9% +0.5 16
2012-11-28 Celtic L 0-4 1557 1736 18.0% 29.3% 52.7% -10.8 18
2012-11-28 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1736 1557 52.7% 29.3% 18.0% +10.8 28
2012-11-28 Hibernian L 0-1 1527 1513 39.9% 33.4% 26.7% -5.6 23
2012-11-28 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1513 1527 26.7% 33.4% 39.9% +5.6 27
2012-12-08 Aberdeen W 2-0 1547 1533 39.9% 33.4% 26.7% +8.0 21
2012-12-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1533 1547 26.7% 33.4% 39.9% -8.0 24
2012-12-08 Celtic L 1-3 1527 1747 15.5% 26.7% 57.8% -4.2 19
2012-12-08 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1747 1527 57.8% 26.7% 15.5% +4.1 31
2012-12-08 Hibernian W 3-0 1544 1519 41.5% 33.1% 25.4% +11.2 28
2012-12-08 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1519 1544 25.4% 33.1% 41.5% -11.2 27
2012-12-08 Ross County W 3-2 1567 1508 46.2% 31.8% 21.9% +3.2 27
2012-12-08 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1508 1567 21.9% 31.8% 46.2% -3.2 17
2012-12-08 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1481 1521 32.3% 34.0% 33.7% +0.0 17
2012-12-08 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1521 1481 33.7% 34.0% 32.3% -0.0 24
2012-12-09 Dundee United L 0-3 1424 1582 19.6% 30.5% 50.0% -9.0 11
2012-12-09 @ Dundee W 3-0 1582 1424 50.0% 30.5% 19.6% +9.0 23
2012-12-15 Dundee D 1-1 1504 1415 50.1% 30.4% 19.4% -0.9 18
2012-12-15 @ Ross County D 1-1 1415 1504 19.4% 30.4% 50.1% +0.9 12
2012-12-15 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1521 1555 33.2% 34.0% 32.8% -0.0 25
2012-12-15 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1555 1521 32.8% 34.0% 33.2% +0.0 22
2012-12-15 Inverness CT D 4-4 1591 1555 43.1% 32.7% 24.2% -0.3 24
2012-12-15 @ Dundee United D 4-4 1555 1591 24.2% 32.7% 43.1% +0.3 29
2012-12-15 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1525 1523 38.4% 33.6% 28.0% -10.3 24
2012-12-15 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1523 1525 28.0% 33.6% 38.4% +10.3 22
2012-12-15 Motherwell L 2-3 1508 1570 29.3% 33.8% 36.9% -4.1 27
2012-12-15 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1570 1508 36.9% 33.8% 29.3% +4.1 30
2012-12-15 St. Mirren W 2-0 1751 1481 71.5% 18.4% 10.1% +2.7 34
2012-12-15 @ Celtic L 0-2 1481 1751 10.1% 18.4% 71.5% -2.7 17
2012-12-21 Motherwell W 2-1 1478 1574 25.3% 33.1% 41.6% +5.5 20
2012-12-21 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1574 1478 41.6% 33.1% 25.3% -5.5 30
2012-12-22 Dundee W 4-1 1555 1416 56.5% 27.4% 16.1% +6.1 32
2012-12-22 @ Inverness CT L 1-4 1416 1555 16.1% 27.4% 56.5% -6.1 12
2012-12-22 Ross County W 4-0 1754 1503 69.5% 19.7% 10.8% +5.7 37
2012-12-22 @ Celtic L 0-4 1503 1754 10.8% 19.7% 69.5% -5.7 18
2012-12-22 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1515 1521 37.2% 33.7% 29.1% +8.5 27
2012-12-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1521 1515 29.1% 33.7% 37.2% -8.5 25
2012-12-23 Dundee United W 2-1 1555 1591 32.9% 34.0% 33.2% +4.7 25
2012-12-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1591 1555 33.2% 34.0% 32.9% -4.7 24
2012-12-23 Hibernian D 1-1 1533 1504 42.2% 32.9% 24.9% -0.5 23
2012-12-23 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1504 1533 24.9% 32.9% 42.2% +0.5 28
2012-12-26 Aberdeen W 4-1 1569 1524 44.3% 32.4% 23.3% +8.8 33
2012-12-26 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1524 1569 23.3% 32.4% 44.3% -8.8 27
2012-12-26 Celtic L 0-2 1410 1760 9.8% 17.7% 72.5% -2.6 12
2012-12-26 @ Dundee W 2-0 1760 1410 72.5% 17.7% 9.8% +2.6 40
2012-12-26 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1533 1559 34.3% 33.9% 31.8% +4.8 26
2012-12-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1559 1533 31.8% 33.9% 34.3% -4.8 25
2012-12-26 Ross County L 0-1 1504 1498 39.0% 33.5% 27.5% -5.5 28
2012-12-26 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1498 1504 27.5% 33.5% 39.0% +5.5 21
2012-12-26 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1586 1512 48.2% 31.2% 20.7% -0.8 25
2012-12-26 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1512 1586 20.7% 31.2% 48.2% +0.8 26
2012-12-26 St. Mirren D 2-2 1562 1484 48.7% 31.0% 20.3% -0.6 33
2012-12-26 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1484 1562 20.3% 31.0% 48.7% +0.6 21
2012-12-29 Aberdeen L 1-3 1408 1515 24.1% 32.7% 43.2% -6.4 12
2012-12-29 @ Dundee W 3-1 1515 1408 43.2% 32.7% 24.1% +6.4 30
2012-12-29 Celtic W 1-0 1499 1762 13.2% 23.7% 63.1% +7.8 31
2012-12-29 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1762 1499 63.1% 23.7% 13.2% -7.8 40
2012-12-29 Inverness CT D 0-0 1513 1561 31.3% 33.9% 34.8% +0.1 27
2012-12-29 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1561 1513 34.8% 33.9% 31.3% -0.1 34
2012-12-29 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1577 1538 43.6% 32.6% 23.8% -0.4 34
2012-12-29 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1538 1577 23.8% 32.6% 43.6% +0.4 27
2012-12-30 St. Mirren L 3-4 1586 1484 51.7% 29.7% 18.5% -5.9 25
2012-12-30 @ Dundee United W 4-3 1484 1586 18.5% 29.7% 51.7% +5.9 24
2013-01-02 Dundee W 1-0 1513 1401 53.1% 29.1% 17.8% +3.0 30
2013-01-02 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1401 1513 17.8% 29.1% 53.1% -3.0 12
2013-01-02 Dundee United D 2-2 1521 1580 29.8% 33.8% 36.4% +0.1 31
2013-01-02 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1580 1521 36.4% 33.8% 29.8% -0.1 26
2013-01-02 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1490 1538 31.2% 33.9% 34.8% +0.1 25
2013-01-02 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1538 1490 34.8% 33.9% 31.2% -0.1 28
2013-01-02 Motherwell W 1-0 1755 1577 61.2% 24.8% 14.0% +2.2 43
2013-01-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1577 1755 14.0% 24.8% 61.2% -2.2 34
2013-01-03 Hibernian D 0-0 1555 1506 44.7% 32.3% 23.0% -0.7 26
2013-01-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1506 1555 23.0% 32.3% 44.7% +0.7 32
2013-01-19 Aberdeen W 3-0 1561 1521 43.6% 32.6% 23.8% +10.7 37
2013-01-19 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1521 1561 23.8% 32.6% 43.6% -10.7 31
2013-01-19 Dundee D 1-1 1507 1398 52.7% 29.3% 18.0% -1.0 33
2013-01-19 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1398 1507 18.0% 29.3% 52.7% +1.0 13
2013-01-19 Dundee United L 2-3 1538 1579 32.1% 33.9% 33.9% -4.3 28
2013-01-19 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1579 1538 33.9% 33.9% 32.1% +4.3 29
2013-01-19 Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1757 1554 64.2% 23.0% 12.8% +4.6 46
2013-01-19 @ Celtic L 1-4 1554 1757 12.8% 23.0% 64.2% -4.6 26
2013-01-19 Ross County L 1-4 1490 1503 36.2% 33.8% 29.9% -12.2 25
2013-01-19 @ St. Mirren W 4-1 1503 1490 29.9% 33.8% 36.2% +12.2 24
2013-01-20 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1575 1516 46.1% 31.9% 22.0% +3.3 37
2013-01-20 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1516 1575 22.0% 31.9% 46.1% -3.3 30
2013-01-22 Dundee United W 4-0 1761 1584 61.2% 24.8% 14.0% +8.0 49
2013-01-22 @ Celtic L 0-4 1584 1761 14.0% 24.8% 61.2% -8.0 29
2013-01-26 Ross County D 1-1 1576 1515 46.4% 31.8% 21.8% -0.7 30
2013-01-26 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1515 1576 21.8% 31.8% 46.4% +0.7 25
2013-01-27 Hibernian D 0-0 1511 1506 38.7% 33.6% 27.8% -0.3 32
2013-01-27 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1506 1511 27.8% 33.6% 38.7% +0.3 34
2013-01-27 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1399 1534 21.5% 31.6% 46.9% +0.8 14
2013-01-27 @ Dundee D 0-0 1534 1399 46.9% 31.6% 21.5% -0.8 29
2013-01-30 Aberdeen W 3-1 1513 1510 38.5% 33.6% 28.0% +7.2 33
2013-01-30 @ St. Johnstone L 1-3 1510 1513 28.0% 33.6% 38.5% -7.2 32
2013-01-30 Dundee W 1-0 1549 1400 57.8% 26.7% 15.5% +2.5 29
2013-01-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1400 1549 15.5% 26.7% 57.8% -2.5 14
2013-01-30 Hibernian W 1-0 1516 1506 39.4% 33.5% 27.1% +4.3 28
2013-01-30 @ Ross County L 0-1 1506 1516 27.1% 33.5% 39.4% -4.3 34
2013-01-30 Inverness CT W 2-1 1478 1572 25.6% 33.1% 41.3% +5.4 28
2013-01-30 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1572 1478 41.3% 33.1% 25.6% -5.4 37
2013-01-30 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1770 1533 68.0% 20.6% 11.4% +4.0 52
2013-01-30 @ Celtic L 1-4 1533 1770 11.4% 20.6% 68.0% -4.0 29
2013-02-02 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1520 1552 33.6% 34.0% 32.5% -0.0 29
2013-02-02 @ Ross County D 2-2 1552 1520 32.5% 34.0% 33.6% +0.0 30
2013-02-08 Ross County L 0-2 1397 1520 22.6% 32.1% 45.3% -7.0 14
2013-02-08 @ Dundee W 2-0 1520 1397 45.3% 32.1% 22.6% +7.0 32
2013-02-09 Celtic L 1-3 1566 1773 16.2% 27.6% 56.3% -4.4 37
2013-02-09 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1773 1566 56.3% 27.6% 16.2% +4.4 55
2013-02-09 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1575 1552 41.3% 33.1% 25.6% +6.7 33
2013-02-09 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1552 1575 25.6% 33.1% 41.3% -6.7 30
2013-02-09 Motherwell W 2-0 1529 1578 31.1% 33.9% 35.0% +9.7 32
2013-02-09 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1578 1529 35.0% 33.9% 31.1% -9.7 37
2013-02-09 St. Mirren D 0-0 1503 1484 40.8% 33.2% 26.0% -0.4 33
2013-02-09 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1484 1503 26.0% 33.2% 40.8% +0.4 29
2013-02-11 St. Johnstone L 1-3 1502 1520 35.5% 33.9% 30.7% -8.5 34
2013-02-11 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1520 1502 30.7% 33.9% 35.5% +8.5 36
2013-02-13 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1562 1539 41.3% 33.1% 25.6% -0.4 38
2013-02-13 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1539 1562 25.6% 33.1% 41.3% +0.4 33
2013-02-15 Dundee W 1-0 1503 1390 53.1% 29.1% 17.8% +3.0 36
2013-02-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1390 1503 17.8% 29.1% 53.1% -3.0 14
2013-02-16 Dundee United W 6-2 1778 1582 63.4% 23.5% 13.1% +5.2 58
2013-02-16 @ Celtic L 2-6 1582 1778 13.1% 23.5% 63.4% -5.2 33
2013-02-16 Hibernian L 0-1 1484 1494 36.7% 33.8% 29.5% -5.3 29
2013-02-16 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1494 1484 29.5% 33.8% 36.7% +5.3 37
2013-02-16 Inverness CT W 3-0 1568 1561 39.0% 33.5% 27.5% +11.9 40
2013-02-16 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1561 1568 27.5% 33.5% 39.0% -11.9 38
2013-02-16 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1545 1539 38.9% 33.5% 27.6% -15.1 30
2013-02-16 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1539 1545 27.6% 33.5% 38.9% +15.2 36
2013-02-16 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1527 1529 37.9% 33.7% 28.5% +4.5 35
2013-02-16 @ Ross County L 0-1 1529 1527 28.5% 33.7% 37.9% -4.5 36
2013-02-19 Celtic D 1-1 1524 1783 13.5% 24.1% 62.5% +1.5 37
2013-02-19 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1783 1524 62.5% 24.1% 13.5% -1.4 59
2013-02-19 Dundee United L 0-1 1580 1577 38.6% 33.6% 27.9% -5.5 40
2013-02-19 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1577 1580 27.9% 33.6% 38.6% +5.5 36
2013-02-23 Aberdeen D 1-1 1554 1506 44.8% 32.3% 22.9% -0.6 37
2013-02-23 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1506 1554 22.9% 32.3% 44.8% +0.6 37
2013-02-23 Inverness CT L 2-3 1530 1549 35.3% 33.9% 30.8% -4.6 30
2013-02-23 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1549 1530 30.8% 33.9% 35.3% +4.6 41
2013-02-23 Motherwell W 3-0 1532 1575 31.9% 33.9% 34.1% +13.9 38
2013-02-23 @ Ross County L 0-3 1575 1532 34.1% 33.9% 31.9% -13.9 40
2013-02-23 St. Mirren W 1-0 1526 1479 44.6% 32.3% 23.1% +3.8 40
2013-02-23 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1479 1526 23.1% 32.3% 44.6% -3.8 29
2013-02-24 Dundee W 5-0 1782 1387 82.7% 11.1% 6.2% +3.4 62
2013-02-24 @ Celtic L 0-5 1387 1782 6.2% 11.1% 82.7% -3.4 14
2013-02-24 Hibernian D 2-2 1582 1499 49.4% 30.7% 19.9% -0.6 37
2013-02-24 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1499 1582 19.9% 30.7% 49.4% +0.6 38
2013-02-26 Ross County L 0-1 1506 1546 32.4% 34.0% 33.7% -4.9 37
2013-02-26 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1546 1506 33.7% 34.0% 32.4% +4.9 41
2013-02-27 Celtic W 2-1 1561 1785 15.2% 26.4% 58.3% +7.0 43
2013-02-27 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1785 1561 58.3% 26.4% 15.2% -7.0 62
2013-02-27 Dundee United D 0-0 1554 1581 34.1% 33.9% 31.9% -0.1 42
2013-02-27 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1581 1554 31.9% 33.9% 34.1% +0.1 38
2013-02-27 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1475 1525 30.9% 33.9% 35.2% +9.7 32
2013-02-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1525 1475 35.2% 33.9% 30.9% -9.7 30
2013-02-27 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1500 1554 30.4% 33.9% 35.7% +0.1 39
2013-02-27 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1554 1500 35.7% 33.9% 30.4% -0.1 38
2013-02-27 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1384 1530 20.5% 31.1% 48.3% +0.6 15
2013-02-27 @ Dundee D 2-2 1530 1384 48.3% 31.1% 20.5% -0.6 41
2013-03-02 Inverness CT D 0-0 1551 1554 37.6% 33.7% 28.7% -0.3 42
2013-03-02 @ Ross County D 0-0 1554 1551 28.7% 33.7% 37.6% +0.3 43
2013-03-02 Motherwell L 1-2 1516 1568 30.6% 33.9% 35.5% -4.4 30
2013-03-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1568 1516 35.5% 33.9% 30.6% +4.4 46
2013-03-05 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1511 1529 35.5% 33.9% 30.6% +8.9 33
2013-03-05 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1529 1511 30.6% 33.9% 35.5% -8.9 41
2013-03-06 St. Mirren W 2-1 1385 1485 24.9% 32.9% 42.2% +5.5 18
2013-03-06 @ Dundee L 1-2 1485 1385 42.2% 32.9% 24.9% -5.5 32
2013-03-09 Celtic W 3-2 1550 1778 15.0% 26.2% 58.8% +6.7 45
2013-03-09 @ Ross County L 2-3 1778 1550 58.8% 26.2% 15.0% -6.7 62
2013-03-09 Dundee United D 0-0 1479 1582 24.6% 32.9% 42.5% +0.5 33
2013-03-09 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1582 1479 42.5% 32.9% 24.6% -0.5 39
2013-03-09 Inverness CT D 1-1 1390 1554 19.1% 30.1% 50.8% +0.9 19
2013-03-09 @ Dundee D 1-1 1554 1390 50.8% 30.1% 19.1% -0.9 44
2013-03-09 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1520 1554 33.3% 34.0% 32.8% +9.3 44
2013-03-09 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1554 1520 32.8% 34.0% 33.3% -9.3 38
2013-03-09 Motherwell D 0-0 1501 1572 28.2% 33.6% 38.1% +0.3 38
2013-03-09 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1572 1501 38.1% 33.6% 28.2% -0.3 47
2013-03-10 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1500 1520 35.1% 33.9% 30.9% -0.1 40
2013-03-10 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1520 1500 30.9% 33.9% 35.1% +0.1 34
2013-03-15 Hibernian W 4-1 1572 1500 48.0% 31.2% 20.8% +8.0 50
2013-03-15 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1500 1572 20.8% 31.2% 48.0% -8.0 40
2013-03-16 Aberdeen W 4-3 1771 1502 71.5% 18.4% 10.1% +1.3 65
2013-03-16 @ Celtic L 3-4 1502 1771 10.1% 18.4% 71.5% -1.3 38
2013-03-16 Ross County W 2-1 1553 1557 37.5% 33.7% 28.8% +4.2 47
2013-03-16 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1557 1553 28.8% 33.7% 37.5% -4.2 45
2013-03-17 Dundee D 1-1 1581 1391 62.6% 23.9% 13.4% -1.5 40
2013-03-17 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1391 1581 13.4% 23.9% 62.6% +1.5 20
2013-03-30 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1500 1520 35.2% 33.9% 30.9% +8.9 41
2013-03-30 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1520 1500 30.9% 33.9% 35.2% -8.9 34
2013-03-30 Inverness CT L 1-2 1492 1558 28.8% 33.7% 37.4% -4.2 40
2013-03-30 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1558 1492 37.4% 33.7% 28.8% +4.2 50
2013-03-30 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1553 1544 39.2% 33.5% 27.3% -5.6 45
2013-03-30 @ Ross County W 1-0 1544 1553 27.3% 33.5% 39.2% +5.6 41
2013-03-30 Motherwell L 0-3 1393 1580 17.4% 28.8% 53.8% -8.0 20
2013-03-30 @ Dundee W 3-0 1580 1393 53.8% 28.8% 17.4% +8.0 53
2013-03-31 Celtic D 1-1 1480 1773 12.0% 21.6% 66.4% +1.6 34
2013-03-31 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1773 1480 66.4% 21.6% 12.0% -1.6 66
2013-04-01 Dundee United D 1-1 1529 1580 30.9% 33.9% 35.2% +0.1 45
2013-04-01 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1580 1529 35.2% 33.9% 30.9% -0.1 41
2013-04-03 St. Mirren D 1-1 1550 1481 47.4% 31.4% 21.1% -0.7 42
2013-04-03 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1481 1550 21.1% 31.4% 47.4% +0.7 35
2013-04-05 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1562 1529 42.6% 32.9% 24.6% -0.5 51
2013-04-05 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1529 1562 24.6% 32.9% 42.6% +0.5 46
2013-04-06 Aberdeen W 1-0 1579 1509 47.7% 31.3% 21.0% +3.5 44
2013-04-06 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1509 1579 21.0% 31.3% 47.7% -3.5 41
2013-04-06 Dundee L 1-2 1549 1385 59.6% 25.7% 14.7% -7.1 42
2013-04-06 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1385 1549 14.7% 25.7% 59.6% +7.1 23
2013-04-06 Hibernian W 3-0 1771 1487 72.9% 17.4% 9.6% +3.7 69
2013-04-06 @ Celtic L 0-3 1487 1771 9.6% 17.4% 72.9% -3.7 40
2013-04-06 Ross County W 4-2 1511 1547 32.9% 34.0% 33.1% +7.2 37
2013-04-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1547 1511 33.1% 34.0% 32.9% -7.2 45
2013-04-06 St. Mirren D 2-2 1588 1482 52.3% 29.5% 18.2% -0.7 54
2013-04-06 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1482 1588 18.2% 29.5% 52.3% +0.7 36

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2013-04-19 Motherwell L 1-3 1583 1587 37.4% 33.7% 28.8% -8.8 0
2013-04-19 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1587 1583 28.8% 33.7% 37.4% +8.8 3
2013-04-20 Dundee L 1-2 1483 1392 50.4% 30.3% 19.3% -6.3 0
2013-04-20 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1392 1483 19.3% 30.3% 50.4% +6.3 3
2013-04-20 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1542 1518 41.3% 33.1% 25.5% -5.8 0
2013-04-20 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1518 1542 25.5% 33.1% 41.3% +5.8 3
2013-04-21 Inverness CT W 4-1 1775 1561 65.4% 22.3% 12.3% +4.4 3
2013-04-21 @ Celtic L 1-4 1561 1775 12.3% 22.3% 65.4% -4.4 0
2013-04-21 Ross County D 2-2 1530 1540 36.6% 33.8% 29.6% -0.1 1
2013-04-21 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1540 1530 29.6% 33.8% 36.6% +0.1 1
2013-04-22 Aberdeen D 0-0 1484 1506 34.9% 33.9% 31.2% -0.1 1
2013-04-22 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1506 1484 31.2% 33.9% 34.9% +0.1 1
2013-04-26 Dundee United W 1-0 1540 1574 33.2% 34.0% 32.9% +4.9 4
2013-04-26 @ Ross County L 0-1 1574 1540 32.9% 34.0% 33.2% -4.9 0
2013-04-27 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1398 1524 22.2% 32.0% 45.8% +6.2 6
2013-04-27 @ Dundee L 0-1 1524 1398 45.8% 32.0% 22.2% -6.2 3
2013-04-27 Inverness CT W 1-0 1530 1557 34.2% 33.9% 31.9% +4.8 4
2013-04-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1557 1530 31.9% 33.9% 34.2% -4.8 0
2013-04-27 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1506 1536 33.7% 34.0% 32.3% +4.9 4
2013-04-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1536 1506 32.3% 34.0% 33.7% -4.9 0
2013-04-27 St. Mirren D 3-3 1483 1477 39.0% 33.5% 27.5% -0.2 2
2013-04-27 @ Hibernian D 3-3 1477 1483 27.5% 33.5% 39.0% +0.2 1
2013-04-28 Celtic W 3-1 1596 1779 17.7% 29.0% 53.2% +11.3 6
2013-04-28 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1779 1596 53.2% 29.0% 17.7% -11.3 3
2013-05-04 Motherwell W 4-3 1552 1607 30.2% 33.9% 35.9% +4.6 3
2013-05-04 @ Inverness CT L 3-4 1607 1552 35.9% 33.9% 30.2% -4.6 6
2013-05-04 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1569 1535 42.9% 32.8% 24.4% -5.9 0
2013-05-04 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1535 1569 24.4% 32.8% 42.9% +5.9 7
2013-05-04 St. Mirren W 3-0 1518 1477 43.8% 32.6% 23.7% +10.6 6
2013-05-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1477 1518 23.7% 32.6% 43.8% -10.6 1
2013-05-05 Aberdeen D 1-1 1404 1511 24.2% 32.7% 43.1% +0.5 7
2013-05-05 @ Dundee D 1-1 1511 1404 43.1% 32.7% 24.2% -0.5 5
2013-05-05 Celtic D 1-1 1545 1768 15.3% 26.5% 58.2% +1.3 5
2013-05-05 @ Ross County D 1-1 1768 1545 58.2% 26.5% 15.3% -1.3 4
2013-05-11 Aberdeen D 0-0 1466 1510 31.8% 33.9% 34.3% +0.1 2
2013-05-11 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1510 1466 34.3% 33.9% 31.8% -0.1 6
2013-05-11 Dundee United L 1-2 1557 1563 37.1% 33.8% 29.1% -5.0 3
2013-05-11 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1563 1557 29.1% 33.8% 37.1% +5.0 3
2013-05-11 Kilmarnock L 2-3 1405 1531 22.2% 32.0% 45.8% -3.3 7
2013-05-11 @ Dundee W 3-2 1531 1405 45.8% 32.0% 22.2% +3.3 3
2013-05-11 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1767 1541 66.8% 21.4% 11.8% +6.5 7
2013-05-11 @ Celtic L 0-4 1541 1767 11.8% 21.4% 66.8% -6.4 7
2013-05-12 Hibernian L 1-2 1529 1483 44.4% 32.4% 23.3% -5.7 6
2013-05-12 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1483 1529 23.3% 32.4% 44.4% +5.7 5
2013-05-12 Ross County W 2-0 1603 1546 45.9% 31.9% 22.2% +6.9 9
2013-05-12 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1546 1603 22.2% 31.9% 45.9% -6.9 5
2013-05-15 Hibernian L 1-3 1535 1489 44.4% 32.4% 23.2% -9.9 3
2013-05-15 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1489 1535 23.2% 32.4% 44.4% +9.9 8
2013-05-18 Dundee W 1-0 1499 1401 51.3% 29.9% 18.8% +3.1 11
2013-05-18 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1401 1499 18.8% 29.9% 51.3% -3.2 7
2013-05-18 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1510 1523 36.2% 33.8% 29.9% -0.2 7
2013-05-18 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1523 1510 29.9% 33.8% 36.2% +0.2 7
2013-05-18 St. Mirren L 1-3 1525 1466 46.1% 31.9% 22.0% -10.2 3
2013-05-18 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1466 1525 22.0% 31.9% 46.1% +10.2 5
2013-05-19 Celtic L 0-4 1568 1773 16.4% 27.7% 55.9% -9.7 3
2013-05-19 @ Dundee United W 4-0 1773 1568 55.9% 27.7% 16.4% +9.7 10
2013-05-19 Inverness CT W 1-0 1539 1552 36.3% 33.8% 29.9% +4.6 8
2013-05-19 @ Ross County L 0-1 1552 1539 29.9% 33.8% 36.3% -4.6 3
2013-05-19 Motherwell W 2-0 1534 1610 27.7% 33.6% 38.8% +10.4 10
2013-05-19 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1610 1534 38.8% 33.6% 27.7% -10.4 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-10-27 10.94% Kilmarnock 1509 2 @ Celtic 1757 0
2 2012-11-24 12.36% Inverness CT 1531 1 @ Celtic 1744 0
3 2012-12-29 13.24% @ Hibernian 1499 1 Celtic 1762 0
4 2012-09-15 14.25% @ St. Johnstone 1500 2 Celtic 1743 1
5 2013-04-06 14.67% Dundee 1385 2 @ Kilmarnock 1549 1
6 2013-03-09 15.04% @ Ross County 1550 3 Celtic 1778 2
7 2013-02-27 15.24% @ Motherwell 1561 2 Celtic 1785 1
8 2012-09-02 17.08% Dundee 1445 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1567 0
9 2013-04-28 17.73% @ Motherwell 1596 3 Celtic 1779 1
10 2012-12-30 18.54% St. Mirren 1484 4 @ Dundee United 1586 3
11 2013-04-20 19.27% Dundee 1392 2 @ St. Mirren 1483 1
12 2012-11-03 20.46% @ Dundee 1413 1 Heart of Midlothian 1560 0
13 2012-10-26 21.06% Hibernian 1497 4 @ Motherwell 1566 0
14 2012-09-22 21.22% Heart of Midlothian 1551 3 @ Dundee United 1618 0
15 2012-08-25 21.75% @ Kilmarnock 1498 3 Dundee United 1630 1
16 2013-05-18 22.01% St. Mirren 1466 3 @ Kilmarnock 1525 1
17 2012-09-29 22.23% Kilmarnock 1512 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1568 1
18 2013-04-27 22.25% @ Dundee 1398 1 Heart of Midlothian 1524 0
19 2013-05-15 23.23% Hibernian 1489 3 @ Kilmarnock 1535 1
20 2013-05-12 23.26% Hibernian 1483 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1529 1
21 2012-11-17 24.10% @ Dundee 1421 3 Hibernian 1528 1
22 2012-08-18 24.20% Hibernian 1474 2 @ St. Mirren 1510 1
23 2013-05-04 24.37% St. Johnstone 1535 1 @ Dundee United 1569 0
24 2013-03-06 24.86% @ Dundee 1385 2 St. Mirren 1485 1
25 2012-11-27 25.21% Motherwell 1561 2 @ Dundee United 1588 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-10-26 22.86 Hibernian 4 1497 21.06% @ Motherwell 0 1566 47.55% 31.39%
2 2012-09-29 20.69 @ Inverness CT 4 1506 25.49% Dundee United 0 1600 41.41% 33.10%
3 2012-09-22 17.44 Heart of Midlothian 3 1551 21.22% @ Dundee United 0 1618 47.31% 31.47%
4 2012-11-18 16.33 Motherwell 5 1545 28.03% @ Inverness CT 1 1547 38.36% 33.61%
5 2012-10-27 15.61 Kilmarnock 2 1509 10.94% @ Celtic 0 1757 69.20% 19.86%
6 2013-02-16 15.15 Kilmarnock 3 1539 27.57% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1545 38.90% 33.54%
7 2013-02-23 13.86 @ Ross County 3 1532 31.93% Motherwell 0 1575 34.13% 33.94%
8 2012-11-10 12.36 @ Kilmarnock 3 1520 37.40% Ross County 0 1524 28.88% 33.72%
9 2013-01-19 12.16 Ross County 4 1503 29.94% @ St. Mirren 1 1490 36.23% 33.83%
10 2013-02-16 11.91 @ Motherwell 3 1568 39.04% Inverness CT 0 1561 27.45% 33.52%
11 2012-11-10 11.34 Aberdeen 4 1527 33.40% @ St. Mirren 1 1489 32.65% 33.95%
12 2013-04-28 11.33 @ Motherwell 3 1596 17.73% Celtic 1 1779 53.22% 29.05%
13 2012-12-08 11.23 @ Inverness CT 3 1544 41.55% Hibernian 0 1519 25.38% 33.07%
14 2012-11-28 10.77 Celtic 4 1736 52.69% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1557 18.01% 29.30%
15 2013-01-19 10.68 @ Inverness CT 3 1561 43.57% Aberdeen 0 1521 23.83% 32.60%
16 2013-05-04 10.62 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1518 43.78% St. Mirren 0 1477 23.67% 32.55%
17 2013-05-19 10.41 @ St. Johnstone 2 1534 27.67% Motherwell 0 1610 38.78% 33.55%
18 2012-12-15 10.34 Kilmarnock 2 1523 28.02% @ Aberdeen 0 1525 38.37% 33.61%
19 2012-10-20 10.30 Celtic 5 1747 60.16% @ St. Mirren 0 1507 14.44% 25.40%
20 2012-08-25 10.27 @ Kilmarnock 3 1498 21.75% Dundee United 1 1630 46.51% 31.74%
21 2012-10-06 10.24 @ Hibernian 3 1490 45.19% Dundee 0 1438 22.65% 32.15%
22 2013-05-18 10.21 St. Mirren 3 1466 22.01% @ Kilmarnock 1 1525 46.12% 31.87%
23 2012-09-29 10.16 Kilmarnock 3 1512 22.23% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1568 45.80% 31.97%
24 2013-05-15 9.93 Hibernian 3 1489 23.23% @ Kilmarnock 1 1535 44.39% 32.38%
25 2012-09-15 9.87 @ St. Mirren 2 1505 30.23% Heart of Midlothian 0 1560 35.91% 33.85%