2010-11 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

93 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hamilton Academical

17.09 points above expected

26 points · 43.09 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

76.88 points below expected

93 points · 169.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 33 26 2 5 80 72 28 +44 69.27 +10.73
2 Celtic 33 25 4 4 79 72 21 +51 69.02 +9.98
3 Heart of Midlothian 33 18 7 8 61 47 31 +16 51.08 +9.92
4 Dundee United 33 14 10 9 52 44 41 +3 22.86 +29.14
5 Kilmarnock 33 13 8 12 47 47 41 +6 42.38 +4.62
6 Motherwell 33 13 5 15 44 36 43 -7 46.20 -2.20
7 Inverness CT 33 10 11 12 41 44 42 +2 47.30 -6.30
8 Hibernian 33 10 6 17 36 36 52 -16 40.05 -4.05
9 St. Johnstone 33 8 10 15 34 18 39 -21 37.90 -3.90
10 Aberdeen 33 9 4 20 31 34 54 -20 36.49 -5.49
11 St. Mirren 33 7 7 19 28 31 54 -23 32.52 -4.52
12 Hamilton Academical 33 3 10 20 19 20 55 -35 31.43 -12.43
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 38 30 3 5 93 88 29 +59 169.88 -76.88
2 Celtic 38 29 5 4 92 85 22 +63 168.10 -76.10
3 Heart of Midlothian 38 18 9 11 63 53 45 +8 128.19 -65.19
4 Dundee United 38 17 10 11 61 55 50 +5 105.16 -44.16
5 Kilmarnock 38 13 10 15 49 53 55 -2 95.92 -46.92
6 Motherwell 38 13 7 18 46 40 60 -20 89.57 -43.57
7 Inverness CT 38 14 11 13 53 52 44 +8 85.95 -32.95
8 St. Johnstone 38 11 11 16 44 23 43 -20 74.83 -30.83
9 Aberdeen 38 11 5 22 38 39 59 -20 69.12 -31.12
10 Hibernian 38 10 7 21 37 39 61 -22 71.81 -34.81
11 St. Mirren 38 8 9 21 33 33 57 -24 60.83 -27.83
12 Hamilton Academical 38 5 11 22 26 24 59 -35 43.09 -17.09

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1887 92 69.02 +22.98 94.0% 44 58 64 69 74 80 93
Rangers 1886 93 69.27 +23.73 95.3% 43 58 65 69 74 80 92
Dundee United 1676 61 22.86 +38.14 73.5% -6 11 18 23 28 35 47
Inverness CT 1625 53 47.30 +5.70 21.9% 18 35 42 47 52 60 76
Heart of Midlothian 1618 63 51.08 +11.92 91.9% 22 39 46 51 56 63 76
Kilmarnock 1568 49 42.38 +6.62 76.2% 13 30 38 42 47 54 69
Motherwell 1531 46 46.20 -0.20 41.4% 21 34 41 46 51 58 76
St. Johnstone 1519 44 37.90 +6.10 32.5% 15 27 33 38 43 50 65
Aberdeen 1511 38 36.49 +1.51 24.4% 6 25 32 36 41 48 64
Hibernian 1493 37 40.05 -3.05 31.2% 12 28 35 40 45 52 66
St. Mirren 1458 33 32.52 +0.48 28.3% 8 21 28 32 37 44 61
Hamilton Academical 1433 26 31.43 -5.43 3.6% 7 21 27 31 36 43 59

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU HA HOM HIB IC KIL MOT RAN SJ SM
Aberdeen
0-0-3
1.49
0-1-2
3.31
3-1-0
6.06
0-1-2
2.93
3-0-1
4.89
2-0-2
4.08
1-0-2
3.70
0-1-2
3.59
0-0-3
1.64
1-1-2
5.74
1-0-3
6.34
Celtic
3-0-0
6.97
3-1-0
8.35
2-1-0
7.13
3-0-1
8.09
3-0-0
6.66
1-1-1
5.99
3-1-0
8.66
3-0-1
8.65
2-1-1
5.50
3-0-0
6.66
3-0-0
6.82
Dundee United
2-1-0
5.01
0-1-3
2.83
2-1-0
5.73
2-1-1
5.23
2-1-0
4.96
2-0-1
4.73
2-2-0
6.05
2-0-2
6.13
1-0-3
3.05
2-1-0
5.17
0-2-1
5.39
Hamilton Academical
0-1-3
5.05
0-1-2
1.36
0-1-2
2.63
0-0-3
2.86
2-1-1
4.00
1-1-2
3.44
0-2-1
3.50
1-1-1
2.65
0-0-3
1.42
0-1-3
4.42
1-2-1
5.18
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-0
5.42
1-0-3
3.07
1-1-2
5.86
3-0-0
5.49
2-1-0
5.17
1-2-0
4.34
1-1-2
6.93
1-2-1
6.35
1-0-3
3.26
2-1-0
5.08
3-0-0
5.87
Hibernian
1-0-3
6.21
0-0-3
1.76
0-1-2
3.37
1-1-2
7.11
0-1-2
3.16
1-1-2
4.47
2-0-1
3.79
2-0-1
3.45
1-0-2
1.84
0-2-2
6.20
2-1-1
6.48
Inverness CT
2-0-2
7.03
1-1-1
2.39
1-0-2
3.60
2-1-1
7.69
0-2-1
3.98
2-1-1
6.63
1-1-1
4.61
1-1-1
4.19
0-2-1
2.23
2-1-1
6.65
2-1-1
7.52
Kilmarnock
2-0-1
4.63
0-1-3
2.54
0-2-2
5.05
1-2-0
4.83
2-1-1
4.18
1-0-2
4.54
1-1-1
3.72
2-1-1
5.59
0-0-4
2.42
1-2-0
4.72
3-0-0
5.01
Motherwell
2-1-0
4.73
1-0-3
2.57
2-0-2
4.97
1-1-1
5.70
1-2-1
4.75
1-0-2
4.87
1-1-1
4.13
1-1-2
5.50
0-0-4
2.77
2-0-1
4.86
1-1-1
5.68
Rangers
3-0-0
6.80
1-1-2
5.59
3-0-1
8.11
3-0-0
7.05
3-0-1
7.90
2-0-1
6.58
1-2-0
6.14
4-0-0
8.80
4-0-0
8.41
3-0-0
6.69
3-0-0
7.23
St. Johnstone
2-1-1
5.35
0-0-3
1.77
0-1-2
3.17
3-1-0
6.68
0-1-2
3.25
2-2-0
4.90
1-1-2
4.45
0-2-1
3.61
1-0-2
3.47
0-0-3
1.73
2-2-0
6.21
St. Mirren
3-0-1
4.76
0-0-3
1.63
1-2-0
2.95
1-2-1
5.91
0-0-3
2.49
1-1-2
4.62
1-1-2
3.62
0-0-3
3.32
1-1-1
2.66
0-0-3
1.26
0-2-2
4.88

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.90 +9.8
Allowed 0.82 -15.3
Differential 0.96 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.70%9.21%7.89%3.29%3.07%1.10%30.26%
19.21%12.28%8.55%3.07%0.66%0.22%33.99%
27.89%8.55%2.63%1.54%0.66%21.27%
33.29%3.07%1.54%0.88%8.77%
43.07%0.66%0.66%4.39%
5+1.10%0.22%1.32%
Total30.26%33.99%21.27%8.77%4.39%1.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.98
CV 0.96 0.96
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%18.42%10.53%2.63%5.26%42.11%
110.53%7.89%10.53%5.26%34.21%
25.26%2.63%5.26%13.16%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total26.32%31.58%23.68%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.55 -0.53
SD 1.26 1.70 2.35
CV 1.23 1.10
Max 5 9 +5
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%7.89%
118.42%7.89%2.63%28.95%
210.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%23.68%
315.79%7.89%23.68%
410.53%2.63%13.16%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total60.53%26.32%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.24 0.58 +1.66
SD 1.63 0.86 2.04
CV 0.73 1.48
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%7.89%13.16%
110.53%21.05%13.16%2.63%2.63%50.00%
210.53%7.89%2.63%21.05%
32.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total28.95%34.21%23.68%2.63%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.32 +0.13
SD 1.03 1.23 1.88
CV 0.71 0.94
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%10.53%2.63%7.89%44.74%
110.53%15.79%13.16%7.89%47.37%
22.63%5.26%7.89%
3
4
5+
Total18.42%34.21%28.95%10.53%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 1.55 -0.92
SD 0.63 1.16 1.36
CV 1.00 0.74
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%7.89%5.26%28.95%
110.53%10.53%5.26%26.32%
215.79%7.89%5.26%28.95%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total39.47%23.68%21.05%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.18 +0.21
SD 1.24 1.23 2.07
CV 0.89 1.04
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%13.16%7.89%34.21%
15.26%10.53%13.16%5.26%34.21%
25.26%10.53%5.26%5.26%26.32%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total15.79%31.58%34.21%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.61 -0.58
SD 0.91 1.08 1.50
CV 0.89 0.67
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%15.79%7.89%26.32%
12.63%21.05%5.26%5.26%34.21%
27.89%10.53%2.63%21.05%
35.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%13.16%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total21.05%50.00%21.05%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.16 +0.21
SD 1.17 0.86 1.53
CV 0.86 0.74
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%13.16%
15.26%18.42%21.05%2.63%47.37%
210.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%26.32%
37.89%5.26%13.16%
4
5+
Total26.32%31.58%28.95%2.63%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.45 -0.05
SD 0.89 1.35 1.87
CV 0.64 0.93
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%2.63%2.63%5.26%5.26%39.47%
15.26%7.89%5.26%2.63%5.26%26.32%
210.53%13.16%2.63%26.32%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total26.32%39.47%7.89%10.53%10.53%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.58 -0.53
SD 1.06 1.59 2.14
CV 1.01 1.01
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%5.26%13.16%
113.16%5.26%18.42%
210.53%15.79%2.63%28.95%
32.63%5.26%5.26%13.16%
413.16%5.26%18.42%
5+5.26%2.63%7.89%
Total47.37%36.84%7.89%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 0.76 +1.55
SD 1.56 0.91 2.04
CV 0.67 1.20
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%10.53%15.79%7.89%5.26%57.89%
110.53%10.53%2.63%23.68%
27.89%10.53%18.42%
3
4
5+
Total36.84%31.58%18.42%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 1.13 -0.53
SD 0.79 1.17 1.62
CV 1.30 1.03
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%13.16%2.63%2.63%42.11%
17.89%10.53%13.16%5.26%36.84%
27.89%2.63%2.63%13.16%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
4
5+
Total15.79%36.84%31.58%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.50 -0.63
SD 0.93 1.01 1.28
CV 1.08 0.67
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamilton Academical 26 43.09 -17.09
2 St. Mirren 33 60.83 -27.83
3 St. Johnstone 44 74.83 -30.83
4 Aberdeen 38 69.12 -31.12
5 Inverness CT 53 85.95 -32.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 93 169.88 -76.88
2 Celtic 92 168.10 -76.10
3 Heart of Midlothian 63 128.19 -65.19
4 Kilmarnock 49 95.92 -46.92
5 Dundee United 61 105.16 -44.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 6 Mar 1 – Apr 2 1 in 222
2 Heart of Midlothian 6 Nov 7 – Dec 14 1 in 203
3 Hibernian 5 Feb 2 – Mar 1 1 in 124
4 Rangers 9 Aug 14 – Oct 24 1 in 85
5 Celtic 8 Aug 14 – Oct 17 1 in 56

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 7 Oct 30 – Dec 11 1 in 99
2 Inverness CT 3 Dec 26 – Jan 2 1 in 65
3 St. Mirren 4 Sep 11 – Oct 2 1 in 23
4 St. Johnstone 4 Oct 30 – Nov 13 1 in 20
5 Hamilton Academical 4 Nov 6 – Nov 20 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 11 Nov 7 – Jan 22 1 in 106
2 Dundee United 8 Nov 13 – Jan 30 1 in 43
3 Hibernian 7 Feb 2 – Apr 3 1 in 37
4 Inverness CT 6 Nov 9 – Dec 18 1 in 23
5 Celtic 14 Nov 14 – Feb 20 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 11 Nov 27 – Feb 12 1 in 546
2 Hamilton Academical 22 Nov 6 – Apr 10 1 in 320
3 Motherwell 8 Nov 13 – Jan 15 1 in 65
4 Heart of Midlothian 8 Apr 3 – May 15 1 in 59
5 Hibernian 10 Nov 20 – Jan 30 1 in 40

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Rangers49.19%45.03%4.54%0.98%0.22%0.04%
Celtic49.44%44.36%5.01%0.88%0.26%0.05%
Heart of Midlothian0.93%5.32%38.75%22.92%13.82%8.01%4.87%2.72%1.66%0.62%0.34%0.04%
Dundee United0.08%0.27%0.58%1.40%2.22%4.79%9.39%19.15%62.12%
Kilmarnock0.04%0.61%7.61%12.89%15.91%17.30%15.60%11.48%8.70%5.99%3.00%0.87%
Motherwell0.18%1.87%16.06%19.88%19.39%14.88%11.38%7.58%4.85%2.42%1.12%0.39%
Inverness CT0.22%2.41%19.64%23.19%18.48%14.33%9.44%6.06%3.38%1.89%0.81%0.15%
St. Johnstone0.05%2.19%5.21%8.25%11.59%14.65%16.67%16.18%13.18%8.97%3.06%
Aberdeen0.06%1.39%3.74%6.75%9.82%12.75%16.63%17.20%15.12%11.63%4.91%
Hibernian0.26%4.14%8.05%11.95%14.82%16.44%15.39%12.43%8.91%5.84%1.77%
St. Mirren0.02%0.42%1.28%2.76%5.08%7.48%11.81%16.07%20.92%22.41%11.75%
Hamilton Academical0.01%0.25%0.90%1.94%3.50%5.99%9.44%14.74%21.56%26.73%14.94%
Team123456789101112
Rangers60.67%39.33%
Celtic39.33%60.67%
Heart of Midlothian99.96%0.04%
Dundee United0.04%82.37%15.81%1.78%
Kilmarnock15.05%65.00%19.95%
Motherwell2.54%19.19%78.27%
Inverness CT78.36%16.81%4.06%0.72%0.05%
St. Johnstone16.05%51.68%23.03%8.18%1.06%
Aberdeen4.65%21.98%41.72%24.70%6.92%0.03%
Hibernian0.85%7.57%24.08%45.48%21.77%0.25%
St. Mirren0.09%1.96%7.10%20.70%67.73%2.42%
Hamilton Academical0.01%0.22%2.47%97.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.95%
No Edge
41.23%21.49%37.28%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.72 Elo pts.
159 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Rangers, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.59 * Lucky: 8.59 to 11.46 * Wild Swing: 11.46 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.09 * Close: 1.09 to 1.64 * Off: 1.64 to 2.19 * Way Off: 2.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.26 points
Some Luck
07.1618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.373
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.26%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.57%
Hamilton Academical
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.32
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.07
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.18
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Heart of Midlothian 99.96% 0.04%
Inverness CT 99.80% 0.20%
Motherwell 99.70% 0.30%
Kilmarnock 99.11% 0.89%
Hibernian 97.60% 2.40%
St. Johnstone 95.39% 4.61%
Aberdeen 93.82% 6.18%
St. Mirren 82.76% 17.24%
Hamilton Academical 76.29% 23.71%
Dundee United 55.57% 44.43%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Inverness CT 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Johnstone 100%
Aberdeen 99.97% 0.03%
Hibernian 99.75% 0.25%
St. Mirren 97.58% 2.42%
Hamilton Academical 2.70% 97.30%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2010-08-14 Celtic L 0-1 1602 1717 25.6% 22.2% 52.2% -6.5 0
2010-08-14 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1717 1602 52.2% 22.2% 25.6% +6.6 3
2010-08-14 Dundee United D 1-1 1541 1619 29.9% 22.5% 47.5% +0.9 1
2010-08-14 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1619 1541 47.5% 22.5% 29.9% -0.9 1
2010-08-14 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1531 1586 32.8% 22.7% 44.5% +36.6 3
2010-08-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1586 1531 44.5% 22.7% 32.8% -36.6 0
2010-08-14 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1759 1513 68.3% 19.1% 12.6% +3.1 3
2010-08-14 @ Rangers L 1-2 1513 1759 12.6% 19.1% 68.3% -3.2 0
2010-08-14 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1567 1585 38.0% 22.8% 39.2% +0.1 1
2010-08-14 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1585 1567 39.2% 22.8% 38.0% -0.1 1
2010-08-15 Hibernian L 2-3 1596 1588 41.8% 22.8% 35.5% -8.7 0
2010-08-15 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1588 1596 35.5% 22.8% 41.8% +8.7 3
2010-08-21 Aberdeen L 0-1 1585 1567 43.0% 22.7% 34.2% -10.0 1
2010-08-21 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1567 1585 34.2% 22.7% 43.0% +10.0 6
2010-08-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1550 1567 38.1% 22.8% 39.1% -32.3 0
2010-08-21 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1567 1550 39.1% 22.8% 38.1% +32.4 4
2010-08-22 Inverness CT L 0-4 1618 1596 43.7% 22.7% 33.6% -36.1 1
2010-08-22 @ Dundee United W 4-0 1596 1618 33.6% 22.7% 43.7% +36.1 3
2010-08-22 Motherwell L 0-1 1510 1588 30.0% 22.6% 47.5% -7.5 0
2010-08-22 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1588 1510 47.5% 22.6% 30.0% +7.5 3
2010-08-22 Rangers L 0-3 1596 1762 20.5% 21.4% 58.1% -14.7 3
2010-08-22 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1762 1596 58.1% 21.4% 20.5% +14.7 6
2010-08-22 St. Mirren W 4-0 1724 1542 62.5% 20.6% 16.9% +16.0 6
2010-08-22 @ Celtic L 0-4 1542 1724 16.9% 20.6% 62.5% -16.0 1
2010-08-28 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1632 1517 55.4% 21.8% 22.8% -12.4 3
2010-08-28 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1517 1632 22.8% 21.8% 55.4% +12.4 3
2010-08-28 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1577 1502 50.6% 22.3% 27.0% -11.4 6
2010-08-28 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1502 1577 27.0% 22.3% 50.6% +11.4 3
2010-08-28 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1777 1575 64.5% 20.2% 15.4% +3.9 9
2010-08-28 @ Rangers L 1-2 1575 1777 15.4% 20.2% 64.5% -3.9 1
2010-08-29 Celtic L 0-1 1595 1740 22.5% 21.8% 55.7% -5.8 3
2010-08-29 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1740 1595 55.7% 21.8% 22.5% +5.8 9
2010-08-29 Dundee United D 1-1 1599 1582 43.0% 22.7% 34.3% -0.4 5
2010-08-29 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1582 1599 34.3% 22.7% 43.0% +0.4 2
2010-08-29 Hibernian W 1-0 1526 1582 32.8% 22.7% 44.5% +10.2 4
2010-08-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1582 1526 44.5% 22.7% 32.8% -10.2 3
2010-09-11 Aberdeen W 3-1 1583 1566 42.9% 22.7% 34.3% +13.6 5
2010-09-11 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1566 1583 34.3% 22.7% 42.9% -13.6 6
2010-09-11 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1746 1599 59.0% 21.3% 19.8% +14.2 12
2010-09-11 @ Celtic L 0-3 1599 1746 19.8% 21.3% 59.0% -14.2 5
2010-09-11 Inverness CT D 1-1 1572 1620 33.8% 22.7% 43.5% +0.5 4
2010-09-11 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1620 1572 43.5% 22.7% 33.8% -0.5 4
2010-09-11 Motherwell L 0-2 1571 1589 38.0% 22.8% 39.2% -17.0 1
2010-09-11 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1589 1571 39.2% 22.8% 38.0% +17.0 6
2010-09-11 Rangers L 1-2 1530 1781 13.9% 19.7% 66.4% -3.5 3
2010-09-11 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1781 1530 66.4% 19.7% 13.9% +3.5 12
2010-09-11 St. Mirren W 2-1 1514 1536 37.4% 22.8% 39.8% +8.8 6
2010-09-11 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1536 1514 39.8% 22.8% 37.4% -8.8 4
2010-09-18 Aberdeen D 1-1 1606 1552 47.9% 22.5% 29.5% -0.9 7
2010-09-18 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1552 1606 29.5% 22.5% 47.9% +0.9 7
2010-09-18 Dundee United W 4-0 1784 1596 63.1% 20.5% 16.4% +15.6 15
2010-09-18 @ Rangers L 0-4 1596 1784 16.4% 20.5% 63.1% -15.6 5
2010-09-18 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1572 1526 46.9% 22.6% 30.5% -0.8 5
2010-09-18 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1526 1572 30.5% 22.6% 46.9% +0.8 4
2010-09-18 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1619 1585 45.4% 22.7% 32.0% -17.0 4
2010-09-18 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1585 1619 32.0% 22.7% 45.4% +17.0 8
2010-09-18 St. Mirren W 2-1 1554 1527 44.3% 22.7% 33.0% +7.6 4
2010-09-18 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1527 1554 33.0% 22.7% 44.3% -7.6 4
2010-09-19 Celtic L 1-2 1523 1760 14.8% 20.0% 65.2% -3.7 6
2010-09-19 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1760 1523 65.2% 20.0% 14.8% +3.7 15
2010-09-25 Hibernian W 2-1 1764 1571 63.6% 20.4% 16.1% +4.0 18
2010-09-25 @ Celtic L 1-2 1571 1764 16.1% 20.4% 63.6% -4.0 5
2010-09-25 Inverness CT L 1-2 1520 1602 29.4% 22.5% 48.1% -6.9 4
2010-09-25 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1602 1520 48.1% 22.5% 29.4% +6.9 7
2010-09-25 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1527 1519 41.7% 22.8% 35.5% -0.2 5
2010-09-25 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1519 1527 35.5% 22.8% 41.7% +0.2 7
2010-09-25 Motherwell L 0-2 1602 1605 40.1% 22.8% 37.1% -17.7 8
2010-09-25 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1605 1602 37.1% 22.8% 40.1% +17.7 10
2010-09-25 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1581 1562 43.3% 22.7% 34.0% +8.3 8
2010-09-25 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1562 1581 34.0% 22.7% 43.3% -8.3 4
2010-09-26 Rangers L 2-3 1553 1800 14.2% 19.8% 66.0% -3.4 7
2010-09-26 @ Aberdeen W 3-2 1800 1553 66.0% 19.8% 14.2% +3.4 18
2010-10-02 Aberdeen W 2-0 1609 1550 48.6% 22.5% 28.9% +13.7 10
2010-10-02 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1550 1609 28.9% 22.5% 48.6% -13.7 7
2010-10-02 Dundee United L 1-2 1519 1589 31.0% 22.6% 46.4% -7.2 7
2010-10-02 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1589 1519 46.4% 22.6% 31.0% +7.2 11
2010-10-02 Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1768 1527 67.9% 19.2% 12.9% +5.6 21
2010-10-02 @ Celtic L 1-3 1527 1768 12.9% 19.2% 67.9% -5.6 5
2010-10-02 Hibernian W 2-0 1553 1567 38.6% 22.8% 38.6% +17.2 7
2010-10-02 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1567 1553 38.6% 22.8% 38.6% -17.2 5
2010-10-02 Rangers L 1-2 1584 1803 16.1% 20.4% 63.5% -4.0 8
2010-10-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1803 1584 63.5% 20.4% 16.1% +4.0 21
2010-10-02 St. Mirren W 3-1 1623 1513 54.9% 21.9% 23.2% +9.8 13
2010-10-02 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1513 1623 23.2% 21.9% 54.9% -9.8 4
2010-10-16 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1503 1521 38.0% 22.8% 39.2% +0.0 5
2010-10-16 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1521 1503 39.2% 22.8% 38.0% -0.0 6
2010-10-16 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1536 1580 34.4% 22.7% 42.9% -8.3 7
2010-10-16 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1580 1536 42.9% 22.7% 34.4% +8.3 11
2010-10-16 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1550 1512 45.8% 22.6% 31.5% +7.3 8
2010-10-16 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1512 1550 31.5% 22.6% 45.8% -7.3 7
2010-10-16 Motherwell W 4-1 1807 1633 61.8% 20.8% 17.4% +10.7 24
2010-10-16 @ Rangers L 1-4 1633 1807 17.4% 20.8% 61.8% -10.7 13
2010-10-16 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1623 1571 47.7% 22.5% 29.8% -0.9 11
2010-10-16 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1571 1623 29.8% 22.5% 47.7% +0.9 8
2010-10-17 Celtic L 1-2 1596 1773 19.5% 21.2% 59.3% -4.8 11
2010-10-17 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1773 1596 59.3% 21.2% 19.5% +4.8 24
2010-10-23 Dundee United W 2-1 1622 1591 44.8% 22.7% 32.5% +7.5 16
2010-10-23 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1591 1622 32.5% 22.7% 44.8% -7.5 11
2010-10-23 Hibernian W 4-2 1528 1557 36.4% 22.8% 40.8% +14.0 10
2010-10-23 @ Aberdeen L 2-4 1557 1528 40.8% 22.8% 36.4% -14.0 8
2010-10-23 Inverness CT L 1-2 1504 1622 25.4% 22.1% 52.5% -6.1 7
2010-10-23 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1622 1504 52.5% 22.1% 25.4% +6.1 14
2010-10-23 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1521 1571 33.5% 22.7% 43.8% -7.7 6
2010-10-23 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1571 1521 43.8% 22.7% 33.5% +7.7 11
2010-10-23 St. Mirren W 3-0 1588 1503 51.9% 22.2% 25.9% +18.1 14
2010-10-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1503 1588 25.9% 22.2% 51.9% -18.1 5
2010-10-24 Rangers L 1-3 1778 1818 34.9% 22.8% 42.3% -13.8 24
2010-10-24 @ Celtic W 3-1 1818 1778 42.3% 22.8% 34.9% +13.8 27
2010-10-30 Aberdeen W 2-1 1485 1542 32.6% 22.7% 44.7% +9.7 8
2010-10-30 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1542 1485 44.7% 22.7% 32.6% -9.7 10
2010-10-30 Celtic L 0-3 1579 1764 18.8% 21.1% 60.1% -13.6 11
2010-10-30 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1764 1579 60.1% 21.1% 18.8% +13.6 27
2010-10-30 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1630 1513 55.6% 21.8% 22.6% -12.4 16
2010-10-30 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1513 1630 22.6% 21.8% 55.6% +12.4 9
2010-10-30 Hibernian W 1-0 1584 1543 46.2% 22.6% 31.2% +7.7 14
2010-10-30 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1543 1584 31.2% 22.6% 46.2% -7.7 8
2010-10-30 Inverness CT D 1-1 1832 1628 64.6% 20.1% 15.3% -2.6 28
2010-10-30 @ Rangers D 1-1 1628 1832 15.3% 20.1% 64.6% +2.6 15
2010-10-31 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1606 1498 54.6% 21.9% 23.4% -33.5 14
2010-10-31 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1498 1606 23.4% 21.9% 54.6% +33.5 10
2010-11-06 Aberdeen W 9-0 1778 1532 68.3% 19.1% 12.6% +25.8 30
2010-11-06 @ Celtic L 0-9 1532 1778 12.6% 19.1% 68.3% -25.8 10
2010-11-06 Dundee United L 0-1 1526 1592 31.5% 22.6% 45.9% -7.8 9
2010-11-06 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1592 1526 45.9% 22.6% 31.5% +7.8 17
2010-11-06 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1566 1532 45.2% 22.7% 32.1% -28.4 11
2010-11-06 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1532 1566 32.1% 22.7% 45.2% +28.4 13
2010-11-06 Motherwell L 1-2 1631 1617 42.4% 22.8% 34.8% -9.3 15
2010-11-06 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1617 1631 34.8% 22.8% 42.4% +9.3 19
2010-11-07 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1536 1573 35.3% 22.8% 42.0% -16.1 8
2010-11-07 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1573 1536 42.0% 22.8% 35.3% +16.1 17
2010-11-07 Rangers L 1-3 1495 1829 9.5% 17.5% 73.0% -4.1 8
2010-11-07 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1829 1495 73.0% 17.5% 9.5% +4.1 31
2010-11-09 Inverness CT L 1-2 1506 1621 25.6% 22.2% 52.2% -6.2 10
2010-11-09 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1621 1506 52.2% 22.2% 25.6% +6.2 18
2010-11-10 Celtic W 2-0 1589 1804 16.5% 20.5% 63.1% +26.2 20
2010-11-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1804 1589 63.1% 20.5% 16.5% -26.2 30
2010-11-10 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1560 1518 46.4% 22.6% 31.0% +21.0 16
2010-11-10 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1518 1560 31.0% 22.6% 46.4% -21.0 9
2010-11-10 Hibernian L 0-3 1833 1519 73.5% 17.3% 9.2% -43.5 31
2010-11-10 @ Rangers W 3-0 1519 1833 9.2% 17.3% 73.5% +43.5 11
2010-11-10 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1627 1537 52.4% 22.1% 25.4% +23.3 22
2010-11-10 @ Motherwell L 0-4 1537 1627 25.4% 22.1% 52.4% -23.3 11
2010-11-10 St. Mirren L 1-2 1599 1490 54.8% 21.9% 23.4% -11.5 17
2010-11-10 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1490 1599 23.4% 21.9% 54.8% +11.5 11
2010-11-13 Aberdeen W 2-0 1790 1500 71.8% 17.9% 10.3% +5.1 34
2010-11-13 @ Rangers L 0-2 1500 1790 10.3% 17.9% 71.8% -5.1 10
2010-11-13 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1514 1615 27.2% 22.3% 50.5% -13.0 11
2010-11-13 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1615 1514 50.5% 22.3% 27.2% +13.0 23
2010-11-13 Inverness CT L 1-3 1497 1628 23.9% 22.0% 54.1% -10.1 9
2010-11-13 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1628 1497 54.1% 22.0% 23.9% +10.1 21
2010-11-13 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1588 1581 41.5% 22.8% 35.7% -0.3 18
2010-11-13 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1581 1588 35.7% 22.8% 41.5% +0.3 17
2010-11-13 Motherwell W 2-1 1563 1650 28.9% 22.5% 48.7% +10.4 14
2010-11-13 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1650 1563 48.7% 22.5% 28.9% -10.4 22
2010-11-14 Celtic L 0-1 1502 1778 12.5% 19.1% 68.5% -3.3 11
2010-11-14 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1778 1502 68.5% 19.1% 12.5% +3.3 33
2010-11-20 Dundee United D 1-1 1781 1588 63.6% 20.3% 16.0% -2.5 34
2010-11-20 @ Celtic D 1-1 1588 1781 16.0% 20.3% 63.6% +2.5 19
2010-11-20 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1628 1487 58.4% 21.4% 20.2% +10.0 26
2010-11-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1487 1628 20.2% 21.4% 58.4% -10.0 9
2010-11-20 Hibernian W 4-2 1638 1573 49.3% 22.4% 28.3% +10.4 24
2010-11-20 @ Inverness CT L 2-4 1573 1638 28.3% 22.4% 49.3% -10.4 14
2010-11-20 Motherwell D 1-1 1499 1639 22.9% 21.8% 55.2% +1.6 12
2010-11-20 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1639 1499 55.2% 21.8% 22.9% -1.7 23
2010-11-20 Rangers L 2-3 1582 1795 16.6% 20.5% 62.9% -3.9 17
2010-11-20 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1795 1582 62.9% 20.5% 16.6% +3.9 37
2010-11-20 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1495 1501 39.7% 22.8% 37.5% -9.3 10
2010-11-20 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1501 1495 37.5% 22.8% 39.7% +9.3 14
2010-11-27 Aberdeen W 2-0 1578 1486 52.7% 22.1% 25.1% +12.1 20
2010-11-27 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1486 1578 25.1% 22.1% 52.7% -12.1 10
2010-11-27 Inverness CT D 2-2 1778 1648 57.2% 21.6% 21.3% -1.4 35
2010-11-27 @ Celtic D 2-2 1648 1778 21.3% 21.6% 57.2% +1.4 25
2010-11-27 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1563 1510 47.8% 22.5% 29.7% -1.0 15
2010-11-27 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1510 1563 29.7% 22.5% 47.8% +1.0 15
2010-11-27 St. Mirren D 0-0 1477 1500 37.2% 22.8% 40.0% +0.2 10
2010-11-27 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1500 1477 40.0% 22.8% 37.2% -0.1 13
2010-12-11 Aberdeen W 5-0 1638 1473 60.8% 20.9% 18.2% +21.2 29
2010-12-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-5 1473 1638 18.2% 20.9% 60.8% -21.2 10
2010-12-11 Rangers D 1-1 1649 1799 22.1% 21.7% 56.2% +1.8 26
2010-12-11 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1799 1649 56.2% 21.7% 22.1% -1.8 38
2010-12-11 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1500 1511 39.0% 22.8% 38.2% -8.7 13
2010-12-11 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1511 1500 38.2% 22.8% 39.0% +8.7 18
2010-12-14 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1638 1659 37.5% 22.8% 39.7% -8.4 23
2010-12-14 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1659 1638 39.7% 22.8% 37.5% +8.4 32
2010-12-18 Hibernian W 2-1 1590 1562 44.4% 22.7% 32.9% +7.6 23
2010-12-18 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1562 1590 32.9% 22.7% 44.4% -7.6 15
2010-12-18 Inverness CT D 1-1 1668 1651 42.9% 22.7% 34.4% -0.4 33
2010-12-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1651 1668 34.4% 22.7% 42.9% +0.4 27
2010-12-21 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1777 1597 62.3% 20.6% 17.1% -2.4 36
2010-12-21 @ Celtic D 1-1 1597 1777 17.1% 20.6% 62.3% +2.4 24
2010-12-26 Aberdeen L 1-2 1554 1452 54.0% 22.0% 24.1% -11.4 15
2010-12-26 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1452 1554 24.1% 22.0% 54.0% +11.4 13
2010-12-26 Rangers L 1-4 1629 1797 20.3% 21.4% 58.3% -12.3 23
2010-12-26 @ Motherwell W 4-1 1797 1629 58.3% 21.4% 20.3% +12.3 41
2010-12-26 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1775 1520 69.0% 18.9% 12.1% +6.1 39
2010-12-26 @ Celtic L 0-2 1520 1775 12.1% 18.9% 69.0% -6.1 18
2010-12-26 St. Mirren L 1-2 1652 1492 60.4% 21.0% 18.6% -12.6 27
2010-12-26 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1492 1652 18.6% 21.0% 60.4% +12.6 16
2010-12-29 Aberdeen L 0-1 1477 1464 42.4% 22.8% 34.8% -9.9 10
2010-12-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1464 1477 34.8% 22.8% 42.4% +9.9 16
2010-12-29 Dundee United D 2-2 1543 1590 33.9% 22.7% 43.3% +0.3 16
2010-12-29 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1590 1543 43.3% 22.7% 33.9% -0.3 20
2010-12-29 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1504 1667 20.7% 21.5% 57.8% -10.2 16
2010-12-29 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1667 1504 57.8% 21.5% 20.7% +10.2 36
2010-12-29 Kilmarnock L 1-3 1639 1600 46.0% 22.6% 31.4% -17.2 27
2010-12-29 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1600 1639 31.4% 22.6% 46.0% +17.2 27
2010-12-29 Motherwell W 1-0 1781 1617 60.7% 21.0% 18.3% +4.8 42
2010-12-29 @ Celtic L 0-1 1617 1781 18.3% 21.0% 60.7% -4.8 23
2011-01-01 Dundee United D 1-1 1473 1590 25.5% 22.2% 52.4% +1.3 17
2011-01-01 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1590 1473 52.4% 22.2% 25.5% -1.4 21
2011-01-01 Hibernian W 1-0 1678 1543 57.6% 21.5% 20.9% +5.5 39
2011-01-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1543 1678 20.9% 21.5% 57.6% -5.5 16
2011-01-01 Motherwell D 0-0 1467 1612 22.5% 21.8% 55.8% +1.9 11
2011-01-01 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1612 1467 55.8% 21.8% 22.5% -1.9 24
2011-01-02 Celtic L 0-2 1809 1786 43.9% 22.7% 33.4% -19.1 41
2011-01-02 @ Rangers W 2-0 1786 1809 33.4% 22.7% 43.9% +19.1 45
2011-01-02 Inverness CT W 1-0 1514 1622 26.4% 22.3% 51.3% +11.6 21
2011-01-02 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1622 1514 51.3% 22.3% 26.4% -11.6 27
2011-01-03 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1494 1617 24.8% 22.1% 53.2% -12.0 16
2011-01-03 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1617 1494 53.2% 22.1% 24.8% +12.0 30
2011-01-12 Celtic D 1-1 1469 1805 9.5% 17.4% 73.1% +3.4 12
2011-01-12 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1805 1469 73.1% 17.4% 9.5% -3.4 46
2011-01-12 Motherwell W 2-0 1588 1610 37.4% 22.8% 39.8% +17.6 24
2011-01-12 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1610 1588 39.8% 22.8% 37.4% -17.6 24
2011-01-15 Celtic L 0-3 1538 1801 13.2% 19.4% 67.5% -9.6 16
2011-01-15 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1801 1538 67.5% 19.4% 13.2% +9.6 49
2011-01-15 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1790 1472 73.8% 17.2% 9.0% +8.4 44
2011-01-15 @ Rangers L 0-4 1472 1790 9.0% 17.2% 73.8% -8.5 12
2011-01-15 Inverness CT D 0-0 1593 1610 38.0% 22.8% 39.2% +0.1 25
2011-01-15 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1610 1593 39.2% 22.8% 38.0% -0.1 28
2011-01-15 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1629 1525 54.1% 22.0% 23.9% -1.5 31
2011-01-15 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1525 1629 23.9% 22.0% 54.1% +1.5 22
2011-01-15 St. Mirren W 2-0 1475 1482 39.6% 22.8% 37.7% +16.9 20
2011-01-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1482 1475 37.7% 22.8% 39.6% -16.9 16
2011-01-18 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1627 1683 32.8% 22.7% 44.5% -7.6 31
2011-01-18 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1683 1627 44.5% 22.7% 32.8% +7.6 42
2011-01-18 Inverness CT W 1-0 1799 1610 63.2% 20.4% 16.4% +4.4 47
2011-01-18 @ Rangers L 0-1 1610 1799 16.4% 20.4% 63.2% -4.4 28
2011-01-22 Aberdeen W 1-0 1811 1492 73.9% 17.1% 9.0% +2.3 52
2011-01-22 @ Celtic L 0-1 1492 1811 9.0% 17.1% 73.9% -2.3 20
2011-01-22 Dundee United D 1-1 1620 1606 42.5% 22.8% 34.8% -0.4 32
2011-01-22 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1606 1620 34.8% 22.8% 42.5% +0.4 25
2011-01-22 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1606 1464 58.4% 21.4% 20.2% -2.0 29
2011-01-22 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1464 1606 20.2% 21.4% 58.4% +2.0 13
2011-01-22 Hibernian W 2-0 1593 1528 49.3% 22.4% 28.3% +13.4 28
2011-01-22 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1528 1593 28.3% 22.4% 49.3% -13.4 16
2011-01-22 Rangers W 1-0 1691 1803 25.9% 22.2% 51.9% +11.7 45
2011-01-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1803 1691 51.9% 22.2% 25.9% -11.7 47
2011-01-22 St. Mirren D 0-0 1527 1465 49.0% 22.4% 28.6% -1.1 23
2011-01-22 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1465 1527 28.6% 22.4% 49.0% +1.1 17
2011-01-26 Aberdeen L 0-2 1604 1489 55.4% 21.8% 22.8% -23.3 29
2011-01-26 @ Inverness CT W 2-0 1489 1604 22.8% 21.8% 55.4% +23.3 23
2011-01-26 Dundee United D 1-1 1466 1606 22.9% 21.8% 55.2% +1.7 18
2011-01-26 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1606 1466 55.2% 21.8% 22.9% -1.7 26
2011-01-26 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1813 1702 54.9% 21.9% 23.2% +21.5 55
2011-01-26 @ Celtic L 0-4 1702 1813 23.2% 21.9% 54.9% -21.5 45
2011-01-26 Motherwell W 1-0 1526 1606 29.7% 22.5% 47.8% +10.9 26
2011-01-26 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1606 1526 47.8% 22.5% 29.7% -10.9 28
2011-01-26 Rangers L 0-2 1515 1791 12.4% 19.0% 68.6% -6.2 16
2011-01-26 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1791 1515 68.6% 19.0% 12.4% +6.2 50
2011-01-29 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1466 1619 21.7% 21.6% 56.7% +1.8 14
2011-01-29 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1619 1466 56.7% 21.6% 21.7% -1.8 33
2011-01-29 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1681 1537 58.7% 21.3% 20.0% +5.2 48
2011-01-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1537 1681 20.0% 21.3% 58.7% -5.2 26
2011-01-30 Hibernian W 3-0 1605 1509 53.2% 22.1% 24.7% +17.4 29
2011-01-30 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1509 1605 24.7% 22.1% 53.2% -17.4 16
2011-02-01 Celtic L 0-3 1513 1835 10.1% 17.8% 72.1% -7.3 23
2011-02-01 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1835 1513 72.1% 17.8% 10.1% +7.3 58
2011-02-01 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1531 1468 49.2% 22.4% 28.4% +13.5 29
2011-02-01 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1468 1531 28.4% 22.4% 49.2% -13.5 14
2011-02-02 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1798 1686 55.0% 21.9% 23.1% +6.0 53
2011-02-02 @ Rangers L 0-1 1686 1798 23.1% 21.9% 55.0% -6.0 48
2011-02-02 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1595 1618 37.4% 22.8% 39.8% -8.9 28
2011-02-02 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1618 1595 39.8% 22.8% 37.4% +8.9 36
2011-02-02 St. Mirren W 2-0 1491 1468 43.9% 22.7% 33.4% +15.4 19
2011-02-02 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1468 1491 33.4% 22.7% 43.9% -15.4 18
2011-02-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1454 1680 15.7% 20.2% 64.1% -7.8 14
2011-02-12 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1680 1454 64.1% 20.2% 15.7% +7.8 51
2011-02-12 Inverness CT D 3-3 1452 1581 24.2% 22.0% 53.8% +0.9 19
2011-02-12 @ St. Mirren D 3-3 1581 1452 53.8% 22.0% 24.2% -0.9 30
2011-02-12 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1507 1627 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% +11.2 22
2011-02-12 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1627 1507 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% -11.2 36
2011-02-12 Motherwell W 6-0 1804 1586 65.8% 19.8% 14.4% +20.0 56
2011-02-12 @ Rangers L 0-6 1586 1804 14.4% 19.8% 65.8% -20.0 28
2011-02-13 Celtic L 1-3 1622 1842 16.1% 20.4% 63.5% -7.0 29
2011-02-13 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1842 1622 63.5% 20.4% 16.1% +7.0 61
2011-02-15 Motherwell L 1-2 1505 1566 32.1% 22.7% 45.2% -7.5 23
2011-02-15 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1566 1505 45.2% 22.7% 32.1% +7.5 31
2011-02-19 Dundee United W 2-1 1688 1615 50.4% 22.3% 27.3% +6.5 54
2011-02-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1615 1688 27.3% 22.3% 50.4% -6.5 29
2011-02-19 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1574 1446 56.8% 21.6% 21.6% +5.6 34
2011-02-19 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1446 1574 21.6% 21.6% 56.8% -5.6 14
2011-02-19 Kilmarnock W 5-0 1498 1615 25.4% 22.1% 52.5% +52.0 26
2011-02-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1615 1498 52.5% 22.1% 25.4% -52.0 36
2011-02-19 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1580 1545 45.4% 22.7% 32.0% +14.9 33
2011-02-19 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1545 1580 32.0% 22.7% 45.4% -14.9 29
2011-02-20 Hibernian L 0-1 1453 1518 31.7% 22.6% 45.7% -7.8 19
2011-02-20 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1518 1453 45.7% 22.6% 31.7% +7.8 25
2011-02-20 Rangers W 3-0 1849 1824 44.1% 22.7% 33.2% +22.2 64
2011-02-20 @ Celtic L 0-3 1824 1849 33.2% 22.7% 44.1% -22.2 56
2011-02-22 Dundee United D 0-0 1530 1609 29.9% 22.5% 47.6% +1.0 30
2011-02-22 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1609 1530 47.6% 22.5% 29.9% -1.0 30
2011-02-22 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1550 1441 54.8% 21.9% 23.3% +6.0 29
2011-02-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1441 1550 23.3% 21.9% 54.8% -6.0 14
2011-02-23 St. Mirren L 0-1 1579 1445 57.6% 21.5% 20.9% -12.8 34
2011-02-23 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1445 1579 20.9% 21.5% 57.6% +12.8 22
2011-02-26 Dundee United D 1-1 1435 1608 19.9% 21.3% 58.8% +2.0 15
2011-02-26 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1608 1435 58.8% 21.3% 19.9% -2.0 31
2011-02-26 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1556 1695 23.1% 21.9% 55.0% +1.8 30
2011-02-26 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1695 1556 55.0% 21.9% 23.1% -1.8 55
2011-02-26 Inverness CT W 2-0 1526 1594 31.1% 22.6% 46.3% +20.0 28
2011-02-26 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1594 1526 46.3% 22.6% 31.1% -20.0 33
2011-02-26 St. Mirren W 2-0 1563 1458 54.3% 21.9% 23.8% +11.6 39
2011-02-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1458 1563 23.8% 21.9% 54.3% -11.6 22
2011-02-27 Celtic W 2-0 1567 1871 10.9% 18.3% 70.8% +29.0 37
2011-02-27 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1871 1567 70.8% 18.3% 10.9% -29.0 64
2011-02-27 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1801 1531 70.3% 18.5% 11.3% +10.7 59
2011-02-27 @ Rangers L 0-4 1531 1801 11.3% 18.5% 70.3% -10.7 30
2011-03-01 Dundee United L 0-2 1574 1606 36.1% 22.8% 41.1% -16.4 33
2011-03-01 @ Inverness CT W 2-0 1606 1574 41.1% 22.8% 36.1% +16.4 34
2011-03-01 Hibernian L 1-2 1437 1546 26.3% 22.2% 51.4% -6.3 15
2011-03-01 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1546 1437 51.4% 22.2% 26.3% +6.3 31
2011-03-02 Aberdeen D 0-0 1520 1558 35.3% 22.8% 42.0% +0.4 31
2011-03-02 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1558 1520 42.0% 22.8% 35.3% -0.4 31
2011-03-05 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1842 1431 79.7% 14.5% 5.8% +2.8 67
2011-03-05 @ Celtic L 0-2 1431 1842 5.8% 14.5% 79.7% -2.8 15
2011-03-05 Hibernian D 1-1 1521 1552 36.1% 22.8% 41.1% +0.2 32
2011-03-05 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1552 1521 41.1% 22.8% 36.1% -0.2 32
2011-03-05 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1693 1575 55.8% 21.8% 22.5% -23.5 55
2011-03-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1575 1693 22.5% 21.8% 55.8% +23.5 42
2011-03-05 Motherwell W 3-0 1558 1596 35.2% 22.8% 42.0% +26.8 36
2011-03-05 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1596 1558 42.0% 22.8% 35.2% -26.8 37
2011-03-06 Rangers L 0-1 1447 1812 8.2% 16.6% 75.1% -2.1 22
2011-03-06 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1812 1447 75.1% 16.6% 8.2% +2.1 62
2011-03-07 Aberdeen W 3-1 1622 1557 49.3% 22.4% 28.2% +11.6 37
2011-03-07 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1557 1622 28.2% 22.4% 49.3% -11.6 31
2011-03-10 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1634 1428 64.8% 20.1% 15.1% +3.8 40
2011-03-10 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1428 1634 15.1% 20.1% 64.8% -3.8 15
2011-03-13 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1814 1598 65.7% 19.8% 14.5% +3.6 65
2011-03-13 @ Rangers L 1-2 1598 1814 14.5% 19.8% 65.7% -3.6 42
2011-03-16 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1637 1669 36.0% 22.8% 41.2% +18.1 43
2011-03-16 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1669 1637 41.2% 22.8% 36.0% -18.1 55
2011-03-19 Inverness CT W 1-0 1656 1585 50.1% 22.4% 27.5% +7.0 46
2011-03-19 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1585 1656 27.5% 22.4% 50.1% -7.0 36
2011-03-19 Motherwell W 3-1 1595 1569 44.2% 22.7% 33.1% +13.2 45
2011-03-19 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1569 1595 33.1% 22.7% 44.2% -13.2 37
2011-03-19 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1424 1521 27.7% 22.4% 50.0% +1.2 16
2011-03-19 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1521 1424 50.0% 22.4% 27.7% -1.2 33
2011-03-19 St. Mirren W 3-2 1651 1445 64.9% 20.1% 15.1% +3.6 58
2011-03-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1445 1651 15.1% 20.1% 64.9% -3.6 22
2011-04-02 Aberdeen W 2-1 1556 1546 41.9% 22.8% 35.3% +8.0 40
2011-04-02 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1546 1556 35.3% 22.8% 41.9% -8.0 31
2011-04-02 Dundee United L 2-3 1818 1663 59.9% 21.1% 19.0% -11.9 65
2011-04-02 @ Rangers W 3-2 1663 1818 19.0% 21.1% 59.9% +11.9 49
2011-04-02 Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1441 1425 42.8% 22.7% 34.5% +13.7 25
2011-04-02 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1425 1441 34.5% 22.7% 42.8% -13.7 16
2011-04-02 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1520 1608 28.7% 22.5% 48.8% +1.1 34
2011-04-02 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1608 1520 48.8% 22.5% 28.7% -1.1 46
2011-04-03 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1552 1655 27.0% 22.3% 50.7% +0.9 33
2011-04-03 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1655 1552 50.7% 22.3% 27.0% -0.9 59
2011-04-05 Rangers L 0-2 1521 1806 11.9% 18.8% 69.3% -6.0 34
2011-04-05 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1806 1521 69.3% 18.8% 11.9% +6.0 68
2011-04-06 Aberdeen W 3-2 1455 1538 29.3% 22.5% 48.2% +9.8 28
2011-04-06 @ St. Mirren L 2-3 1538 1455 48.2% 22.5% 29.3% -9.8 31
2011-04-06 Dundee United W 2-1 1564 1674 26.1% 22.2% 51.7% +11.0 43
2011-04-06 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1674 1564 51.7% 22.2% 26.1% -11.0 49
2011-04-06 Hibernian W 3-1 1845 1553 71.9% 17.9% 10.2% +4.4 70
2011-04-06 @ Celtic L 1-3 1553 1845 10.2% 17.9% 71.9% -4.4 33
2011-04-09 Hibernian L 0-1 1528 1548 37.7% 22.8% 39.5% -9.0 31
2011-04-09 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1548 1528 39.5% 22.8% 37.7% +9.0 36
2011-04-09 Inverness CT D 1-1 1607 1578 44.6% 22.7% 32.7% -0.6 47
2011-04-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1578 1607 32.7% 22.7% 44.6% +0.6 37
2011-04-09 Motherwell D 0-0 1654 1575 51.2% 22.3% 26.6% -1.4 60
2011-04-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1575 1654 26.6% 22.3% 51.2% +1.4 44
2011-04-09 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1663 1515 59.2% 21.2% 19.6% +9.7 52
2011-04-09 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1515 1663 19.6% 21.2% 59.2% -9.7 34
2011-04-09 St. Mirren W 1-0 1849 1464 78.1% 15.3% 6.6% +1.7 73
2011-04-09 @ Celtic L 0-1 1464 1849 6.6% 15.3% 78.1% -1.7 28
2011-04-10 Rangers L 0-1 1412 1812 7.0% 15.6% 77.4% -1.8 16
2011-04-10 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1812 1412 77.4% 15.6% 7.0% +1.8 71
2011-04-12 Celtic L 0-1 1505 1851 9.0% 17.2% 73.8% -2.4 34
2011-04-12 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1851 1505 73.8% 17.2% 9.0% +2.4 76
2011-04-13 Rangers L 0-1 1519 1814 11.4% 18.6% 70.0% -3.0 31
2011-04-13 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1814 1519 70.0% 18.6% 11.4% +3.0 74
2011-04-16 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1578 1652 30.5% 22.6% 47.0% +0.8 38
2011-04-16 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1652 1578 47.0% 22.6% 30.5% -0.8 61
2011-04-16 St. Mirren W 2-1 1817 1463 76.2% 16.2% 7.6% +1.9 77
2011-04-16 @ Rangers L 1-2 1463 1817 7.6% 16.2% 76.2% -1.9 28
2011-04-17 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1557 1410 59.0% 21.3% 19.7% -12.4 36
2011-04-17 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1410 1557 19.7% 21.3% 59.0% +12.3 19
2011-04-19 Rangers L 0-4 1673 1819 22.4% 21.8% 55.8% -20.9 52
2011-04-19 @ Dundee United W 4-0 1819 1673 55.8% 21.8% 22.4% +20.9 80
2011-04-20 Celtic L 0-4 1606 1853 14.2% 19.8% 66.0% -13.5 47
2011-04-20 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1853 1606 66.0% 19.8% 14.2% +13.5 79
2011-05-04 Celtic W 3-2 1589 1876 11.8% 18.8% 69.4% +13.5 41
2011-05-04 @ Inverness CT L 2-3 1876 1589 69.4% 18.8% 11.8% -13.5 79

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2011-04-23 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1652 1593 48.7% 22.5% 28.9% +10.6 3
2011-04-23 @ Dundee United L 2-4 1593 1652 28.9% 22.5% 48.7% -10.6 0
2011-04-23 Motherwell D 3-3 1652 1576 50.7% 22.3% 27.0% -0.7 1
2011-04-23 @ Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1576 1652 27.0% 22.3% 50.7% +0.7 1
2011-04-24 Celtic D 0-0 1840 1867 36.7% 22.8% 40.5% +0.2 1
2011-04-24 @ Rangers D 0-0 1867 1840 40.5% 22.8% 36.7% -0.2 1
2011-04-24 St. Mirren D 1-1 1545 1461 51.7% 22.2% 26.0% -1.3 1
2011-04-24 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1461 1545 26.0% 22.2% 51.7% +1.3 1
2011-04-25 Aberdeen D 1-1 1422 1516 28.0% 22.4% 49.6% +1.1 1
2011-04-25 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1516 1422 49.6% 22.4% 28.0% -1.1 1
2011-04-25 Inverness CT L 0-3 1503 1579 30.1% 22.6% 47.3% -20.6 0
2011-04-25 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1579 1503 47.3% 22.6% 30.1% +20.6 3
2011-04-30 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1582 1651 31.1% 22.6% 46.3% +0.5 1
2011-04-30 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1651 1582 46.3% 22.6% 31.1% -0.5 2
2011-04-30 Inverness CT W 1-0 1515 1600 29.1% 22.5% 48.4% +11.0 4
2011-04-30 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1600 1515 48.4% 22.5% 29.1% -11.0 3
2011-04-30 Rangers L 0-5 1577 1840 13.2% 19.4% 67.4% -15.5 1
2011-04-30 @ Motherwell W 5-0 1840 1577 67.4% 19.4% 13.2% +15.5 4
2011-04-30 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1543 1482 48.9% 22.4% 28.6% -10.5 1
2011-04-30 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1482 1543 28.6% 22.4% 48.9% +10.5 3
2011-05-01 Dundee United W 4-1 1867 1663 64.6% 20.1% 15.3% +9.4 4
2011-05-01 @ Celtic L 1-4 1663 1867 15.3% 20.1% 64.6% -9.4 3
2011-05-02 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1462 1423 46.0% 22.6% 31.4% -10.5 1
2011-05-02 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1423 1462 31.4% 22.6% 46.0% +10.5 4
2011-05-07 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1855 1650 64.7% 20.1% 15.2% +14.5 7
2011-05-07 @ Rangers L 0-4 1650 1855 15.2% 20.1% 64.7% -14.5 2
2011-05-07 Hibernian W 1-0 1434 1533 27.4% 22.4% 50.2% +11.4 7
2011-05-07 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1533 1434 50.2% 22.4% 27.4% -11.3 1
2011-05-07 Motherwell W 4-0 1654 1561 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% +23.0 6
2011-05-07 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1561 1654 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% -23.0 1
2011-05-07 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1526 1493 45.2% 22.7% 32.1% -19.5 4
2011-05-07 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1493 1526 32.1% 22.7% 45.2% +19.6 6
2011-05-07 St. Mirren W 1-0 1602 1452 59.4% 21.2% 19.4% +5.1 6
2011-05-07 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1452 1602 19.4% 21.2% 59.4% -5.1 1
2011-05-08 Celtic L 0-2 1583 1862 12.2% 18.9% 68.8% -6.1 1
2011-05-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1862 1583 68.8% 18.9% 12.2% +6.1 7
2011-05-10 Dundee United W 2-0 1870 1677 63.6% 20.3% 16.0% +8.0 10
2011-05-10 @ Rangers L 0-2 1677 1870 16.0% 20.3% 63.6% -8.0 6
2011-05-10 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1512 1445 49.6% 22.4% 28.0% +7.0 9
2011-05-10 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1445 1512 28.0% 22.4% 49.6% -7.1 7
2011-05-10 St. Mirren L 0-1 1506 1447 48.7% 22.5% 28.8% -11.1 4
2011-05-10 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1447 1506 28.8% 22.5% 48.7% +11.1 4
2011-05-11 Celtic L 0-3 1636 1869 15.2% 20.1% 64.7% -11.1 2
2011-05-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1869 1636 64.7% 20.1% 15.2% +11.1 10
2011-05-11 Hibernian W 2-0 1608 1522 52.0% 22.2% 25.8% +12.4 9
2011-05-11 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1522 1608 25.8% 22.2% 52.0% -12.4 1
2011-05-11 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1538 1577 35.1% 22.8% 42.1% +0.3 2
2011-05-11 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1577 1538 42.1% 22.8% 35.1% -0.3 2
2011-05-14 Aberdeen L 1-3 1509 1495 42.5% 22.8% 34.7% -16.1 1
2011-05-14 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1495 1509 34.7% 22.8% 42.5% +16.1 7
2011-05-14 Inverness CT L 1-2 1438 1620 19.1% 21.1% 59.8% -4.7 7
2011-05-14 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1620 1438 59.8% 21.1% 19.1% +4.7 12
2011-05-14 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1458 1519 32.0% 22.7% 45.3% +0.7 5
2011-05-14 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1519 1458 45.3% 22.7% 32.0% -0.7 10
2011-05-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1669 1625 46.6% 22.6% 30.8% +7.2 9
2011-05-15 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1625 1669 30.8% 22.6% 46.6% -7.2 2
2011-05-15 Motherwell W 4-0 1880 1539 75.4% 16.5% 8.1% +7.5 13
2011-05-15 @ Celtic L 0-4 1539 1880 8.1% 16.5% 75.4% -7.5 2
2011-05-15 Rangers L 1-5 1576 1878 11.1% 18.4% 70.5% -8.7 2
2011-05-15 @ Kilmarnock W 5-1 1878 1576 70.5% 18.4% 11.1% +8.7 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-11-10 9.22% Hibernian 1519 3 @ Rangers 1833 0
2 2011-02-27 10.93% @ Motherwell 1567 2 Celtic 1871 0
3 2011-05-04 11.84% @ Inverness CT 1589 3 Celtic 1876 2
4 2010-11-10 16.46% @ Heart of Midlothian 1589 2 Celtic 1804 0
5 2010-12-26 18.62% St. Mirren 1492 2 @ Inverness CT 1652 1
6 2011-04-02 19.02% Dundee United 1663 3 @ Rangers 1818 2
7 2011-04-17 19.71% Hamilton Academical 1410 2 @ Hibernian 1557 1
8 2011-02-23 20.92% St. Mirren 1445 1 @ Motherwell 1579 0
9 2011-03-05 22.46% Kilmarnock 1575 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1693 0
10 2010-10-30 22.61% Hamilton Academical 1513 1 @ Motherwell 1630 0
11 2010-08-28 22.76% Hamilton Academical 1517 1 @ Inverness CT 1632 0
12 2011-01-26 22.80% Aberdeen 1489 2 @ Inverness CT 1604 0
13 2010-11-10 23.35% St. Mirren 1490 2 @ Dundee United 1599 1
14 2010-10-31 23.45% Kilmarnock 1498 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1606 0
15 2010-12-26 24.05% Aberdeen 1452 2 @ Hibernian 1554 1
16 2011-02-12 25.09% @ Hibernian 1507 2 Kilmarnock 1627 1
17 2011-02-19 25.36% @ Aberdeen 1498 5 Kilmarnock 1615 0
18 2011-01-22 25.92% @ Heart of Midlothian 1691 1 Rangers 1803 0
19 2011-04-06 26.10% @ Motherwell 1564 2 Dundee United 1674 1
20 2011-01-02 26.41% @ St. Johnstone 1514 1 Inverness CT 1622 0
21 2010-08-28 27.04% Kilmarnock 1502 1 @ Aberdeen 1577 0
22 2011-05-07 27.40% @ Hamilton Academical 1434 1 Hibernian 1533 0
23 2011-04-30 28.65% St. Johnstone 1482 2 @ Hibernian 1543 1
24 2011-05-10 28.83% St. Mirren 1447 1 @ Aberdeen 1506 0
25 2010-11-13 28.87% @ Hibernian 1563 2 Motherwell 1650 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-02-19 52.01 @ Aberdeen 5 1498 25.36% Kilmarnock 0 1615 52.49% 22.15%
2 2010-11-10 43.48 Hibernian 3 1519 9.22% @ Rangers 0 1833 73.49% 17.29%
3 2010-08-14 36.63 @ Aberdeen 4 1531 32.84% Hamilton Academical 0 1586 44.47% 22.69%
4 2010-08-22 36.12 Inverness CT 4 1596 33.56% @ Dundee United 0 1618 43.72% 22.72%
5 2010-10-31 33.47 Kilmarnock 3 1498 23.45% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1606 54.64% 21.91%
6 2010-08-21 32.35 Heart of Midlothian 4 1567 39.14% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1550 38.06% 22.80%
7 2011-02-27 29.04 @ Motherwell 2 1567 10.93% Celtic 0 1871 70.78% 18.29%
8 2010-11-06 28.44 Kilmarnock 3 1532 32.09% @ St. Johnstone 0 1566 45.25% 22.66%
9 2011-03-05 26.75 @ Inverness CT 3 1558 35.25% Motherwell 0 1596 41.98% 22.76%
10 2010-11-10 26.24 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1589 16.46% Celtic 0 1804 63.06% 20.48%
11 2010-11-06 25.82 @ Celtic 9 1778 68.29% Aberdeen 0 1532 12.60% 19.10%
12 2011-03-05 23.48 Kilmarnock 2 1575 22.46% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1693 55.77% 21.76%
13 2011-01-26 23.33 Aberdeen 2 1489 22.80% @ Inverness CT 0 1604 55.39% 21.81%
14 2010-11-10 23.28 @ Motherwell 4 1627 52.43% St. Johnstone 0 1537 25.42% 22.15%
15 2011-05-07 23.03 @ Dundee United 4 1654 52.77% Motherwell 0 1561 25.11% 22.12%
16 2011-02-20 22.25 @ Celtic 3 1849 44.07% Rangers 0 1824 33.22% 22.70%
17 2011-01-26 21.48 @ Celtic 4 1813 54.95% Heart of Midlothian 0 1702 23.18% 21.87%
18 2010-12-11 21.25 @ Heart of Midlothian 5 1638 60.83% Aberdeen 0 1473 18.23% 20.94%
19 2010-11-10 21.04 @ Kilmarnock 3 1560 46.40% Hamilton Academical 0 1518 30.99% 22.60%
20 2011-04-19 20.87 Rangers 4 1819 55.79% @ Dundee United 0 1673 22.45% 21.76%
21 2011-04-25 20.57 Inverness CT 3 1579 47.30% @ St. Johnstone 0 1503 30.14% 22.56%
22 2011-02-12 20.03 @ Rangers 6 1804 65.83% Motherwell 0 1586 14.36% 19.80%
23 2011-02-26 19.95 @ Hibernian 2 1526 31.11% Inverness CT 0 1594 46.28% 22.61%
24 2011-05-07 19.56 St. Johnstone 2 1493 32.15% @ Aberdeen 0 1526 45.19% 22.66%
25 2011-01-02 19.10 Celtic 2 1786 33.37% @ Rangers 0 1809 43.92% 22.71%