2008-09 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

86 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inverness CT

29.20 points above expected

37 points · 66.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

74.95 points below expected

82 points · 156.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 22 8 3 74 75 30 +45 69.15 +4.85
2 Rangers 33 22 7 4 73 68 26 +42 67.29 +5.71
3 Heart of Midlothian 33 15 9 9 54 37 34 +3 44.03 +9.97
4 Dundee United 33 12 13 8 49 43 40 +3 45.68 +3.32
5 Aberdeen 33 13 9 11 48 36 33 +3 45.39 +2.61
6 Hibernian 33 10 12 11 42 38 41 -3 44.68 -2.68
7 Motherwell 33 11 8 14 41 36 44 -8 43.64 -2.64
8 Kilmarnock 33 9 7 17 34 31 43 -12 38.61 -4.61
9 St. Mirren 33 8 10 15 34 28 44 -16 32.82 +1.18
10 Hamilton Academical 33 10 4 19 34 26 47 -21 36.93 -2.93
11 Inverness CT 33 9 5 19 32 32 52 -20 36.62 -4.62
12 Falkirk 33 6 10 17 28 32 48 -16 40.64 -12.64
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 38 26 8 4 86 77 28 +49 156.62 -70.62
2 Celtic 38 24 10 4 82 80 33 +47 156.95 -74.95
3 Heart of Midlothian 38 16 11 11 59 40 37 +3 113.54 -54.54
4 Aberdeen 38 14 11 13 53 41 40 +1 102.63 -49.63
5 Dundee United 38 13 14 11 53 47 50 -3 102.39 -49.39
6 Hibernian 38 11 14 13 47 42 46 -4 89.33 -42.33
7 Motherwell 38 13 9 16 48 46 51 -5 89.86 -41.86
8 Kilmarnock 38 12 8 18 44 38 48 -10 75.02 -31.02
9 Hamilton Academical 38 12 5 21 41 30 53 -23 74.68 -33.68
10 Falkirk 38 9 11 18 38 37 52 -15 69.01 -31.01
11 St. Mirren 38 9 10 19 37 33 52 -19 72.13 -35.13
12 Inverness CT 38 10 7 21 37 37 58 -21 66.20 -29.20

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1907 86 67.29 +18.71 81.5% 43 56 63 67 72 79 90
Celtic 1907 82 69.15 +12.85 77.8% 44 57 65 69 74 80 93
Heart of Midlothian 1702 59 44.03 +14.97 92.4% 19 32 39 44 49 56 73
Aberdeen 1700 53 45.39 +7.61 66.5% 16 34 40 45 50 57 71
Hibernian 1686 47 44.68 +2.32 38.7% 19 33 40 44 50 57 73
Motherwell 1676 48 43.64 +4.36 38.9% 15 32 39 44 49 56 71
Dundee United 1675 53 45.68 +7.32 69.7% 20 34 41 46 51 58 72
Kilmarnock 1640 44 38.61 +5.39 29.1% 15 27 34 38 43 51 71
Falkirk 1635 38 40.64 -2.64 4.0% 15 29 36 40 45 52 68
Hamilton Academical 1610 41 36.93 +4.07 37.4% 12 26 32 37 42 49 64
Inverness CT 1595 37 36.62 +0.38 28.2% 14 25 32 37 41 48 63
St. Mirren 1587 37 32.82 +4.18 60.3% 12 22 28 33 37 44 60

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU FAL HA HOM HIB IC KIL MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen
1-0-3
2.84
0-2-2
5.50
2-0-1
4.36
1-0-2
5.07
1-2-1
5.69
1-2-1
5.55
2-0-1
5.11
2-1-0
4.79
2-1-0
4.02
0-2-2
3.03
2-1-0
5.08
Celtic
3-0-1
8.33
1-3-0
8.30
3-0-0
6.58
3-0-0
6.87
1-3-0
8.45
2-1-1
8.42
2-1-0
6.70
3-0-0
6.49
2-1-0
6.09
1-1-2
5.69
3-0-0
7.07
Dundee United
2-2-0
5.42
0-3-1
2.86
2-1-0
4.50
1-1-1
4.75
1-1-2
5.56
2-1-1
5.52
2-1-0
5.05
0-1-2
4.90
0-1-2
4.26
0-2-2
2.96
3-0-0
5.37
Falkirk
1-0-2
3.83
0-0-3
1.86
0-1-2
3.70
2-1-1
5.83
1-1-1
3.81
0-2-1
3.68
2-1-1
5.86
1-2-1
5.29
2-1-1
5.04
0-0-3
2.16
0-2-2
6.51
Hamilton Academical
2-0-1
3.14
0-0-3
1.63
1-1-1
3.46
1-1-2
5.08
1-0-2
3.66
0-0-3
3.61
2-2-0
5.39
3-0-1
5.24
1-0-3
4.66
0-0-3
1.89
1-1-2
5.83
Heart of Midlothian
1-2-1
5.22
0-3-1
2.74
2-1-1
5.35
1-1-1
4.37
2-0-1
4.54
0-2-2
5.43
3-0-0
4.88
2-0-1
4.72
2-0-1
4.38
1-1-2
2.79
2-1-0
5.15
Hibernian
1-2-1
5.36
1-1-2
2.76
1-1-2
5.40
1-2-0
4.52
3-0-0
4.60
2-2-0
5.49
0-1-2
4.73
0-1-2
4.62
1-1-1
4.29
0-1-3
3.12
1-2-0
5.06
Inverness CT
1-0-2
3.12
0-1-2
1.76
0-1-2
3.17
1-1-2
5.06
0-2-2
5.52
0-0-3
3.34
2-1-0
3.47
3-0-1
5.15
0-1-3
4.61
1-0-2
1.63
2-0-2
5.92
Kilmarnock
0-1-2
3.42
0-0-3
1.94
2-1-0
3.31
1-2-1
5.62
1-0-3
5.67
1-0-2
3.48
2-1-0
3.58
1-0-3
5.77
3-1-0
4.80
0-0-3
1.91
1-2-1
6.20
Motherwell
0-1-2
4.16
0-1-2
2.26
2-1-0
3.94
1-1-2
5.88
3-0-1
6.27
1-0-2
3.80
1-1-1
3.90
3-1-0
6.32
0-1-3
6.12
0-1-2
2.13
2-1-1
6.60
Rangers
2-2-0
8.11
2-1-1
5.22
2-2-0
8.18
3-0-0
6.21
3-0-0
6.55
2-1-1
8.39
3-1-0
7.98
2-0-1
6.87
3-0-0
6.52
2-1-0
6.25
2-0-1
6.86
St. Mirren
0-1-2
3.14
0-0-3
1.47
0-0-3
2.87
2-2-0
4.44
2-1-1
5.09
0-1-2
3.09
0-2-1
3.16
2-0-2
5.01
1-2-1
4.73
1-1-2
4.37
1-0-2
1.64

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.89 +9.6
Allowed 0.86 -16.7
Differential 0.97 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.77%10.53%6.14%2.41%1.32%0.44%29.61%
110.53%12.72%9.87%2.85%0.44%0.22%36.62%
26.14%9.87%3.95%1.75%1.10%22.81%
32.41%2.85%1.75%0.44%7.46%
41.32%0.44%1.10%2.85%
5+0.44%0.22%0.66%
Total29.61%36.62%22.81%7.46%2.85%0.66%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.63
CV 0.92 0.92
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%10.53%26.32%
118.42%13.16%13.16%2.63%47.37%
25.26%7.89%5.26%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total36.84%26.32%31.58%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.05 +0.03
SD 0.91 0.96 1.26
CV 0.85 0.91
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%2.63%15.79%
17.89%10.53%18.42%
27.89%10.53%5.26%5.26%28.95%
37.89%10.53%2.63%21.05%
47.89%5.26%13.16%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total44.74%34.21%15.79%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.87 +1.24
SD 1.50 1.04 1.82
CV 0.71 1.20
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%26.32%
110.53%13.16%7.89%2.63%34.21%
27.89%7.89%13.16%28.95%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total28.95%26.32%31.58%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.32 -0.08
SD 0.97 1.09 1.53
CV 0.78 0.83
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%2.63%7.89%2.63%34.21%
110.53%18.42%13.16%2.63%44.74%
27.89%2.63%5.26%15.79%
3
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total21.05%42.11%18.42%15.79%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.37 -0.39
SD 1.00 1.08 1.55
CV 1.03 0.79
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%26.32%5.26%2.63%5.26%42.11%
113.16%10.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%39.47%
27.89%7.89%15.79%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total23.68%47.37%13.16%5.26%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.39 -0.61
SD 0.81 1.46 1.81
CV 1.03 1.05
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%10.53%10.53%2.63%36.84%
113.16%13.16%5.26%31.58%
22.63%15.79%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%5.26%10.53%
4
5+
Total31.58%42.11%23.68%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 0.97 +0.08
SD 1.01 0.82 1.28
CV 0.96 0.84
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%7.89%5.26%2.63%28.95%
110.53%18.42%7.89%2.63%39.47%
27.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%5.26%26.32%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total31.58%34.21%21.05%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.21 -0.11
SD 0.95 1.14 1.31
CV 0.86 0.94
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%21.05%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%36.84%
12.63%13.16%13.16%2.63%31.58%
25.26%15.79%2.63%5.26%28.95%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total10.53%52.63%18.42%13.16%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.53 -0.55
SD 0.88 1.11 1.55
CV 0.91 0.73
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%28.95%
110.53%10.53%18.42%10.53%50.00%
27.89%7.89%15.79%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total31.58%28.95%23.68%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.26 -0.26
SD 0.90 1.13 1.52
CV 0.90 0.90
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%13.16%28.95%
17.89%13.16%10.53%2.63%2.63%36.84%
22.63%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%5.26%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total23.68%34.21%31.58%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.34 -0.13
SD 1.07 1.07 1.53
CV 0.88 0.80
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%15.79%
113.16%5.26%2.63%21.05%
210.53%13.16%5.26%28.95%
37.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%23.68%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%5.26%
Total44.74%39.47%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.74 +1.29
SD 1.50 0.79 1.58
CV 0.74 1.08
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%10.53%2.63%34.21%
17.89%13.16%18.42%5.26%44.74%
27.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%21.05%
3
4
5+
Total26.32%31.58%31.58%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.37 -0.50
SD 0.74 1.32 1.59
CV 0.85 0.97
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Inverness CT 37 66.20 -29.20
2 Falkirk 38 69.01 -31.01
3 Kilmarnock 44 75.02 -31.02
4 Hamilton Academical 41 74.68 -33.68
5 St. Mirren 37 72.13 -35.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 82 156.95 -74.95
2 Rangers 86 156.62 -70.62
3 Heart of Midlothian 59 113.54 -54.54
4 Aberdeen 53 102.63 -49.63
5 Dundee United 53 102.39 -49.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 5 Nov 8 – Nov 29 1 in 178
2 Celtic 12 Sep 13 – Nov 29 1 in 158
3 St. Mirren 4 Dec 6 – Dec 27 1 in 128
4 Hamilton Academical 4 Jan 3 – Jan 31 1 in 83
5 Dundee United 4 Sep 20 – Oct 25 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 8 Nov 29 – Jan 24 1 in 305
2 Motherwell 5 Nov 15 – Dec 20 1 in 218
3 Hamilton Academical 6 Sep 20 – Nov 1 1 in 106
4 Aberdeen 4 Sep 13 – Oct 4 1 in 60
5 Falkirk 4 Aug 9 – Aug 30 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 9 Dec 27 – Feb 28 1 in 83
2 Heart of Midlothian 7 Nov 8 – Dec 20 1 in 50
3 Dundee United 8 Sep 20 – Nov 12 1 in 40
4 St. Mirren 5 Dec 6 – Jan 3 1 in 16
5 Aberdeen 7 Feb 21 – Apr 11 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 12 Jan 3 – Apr 4 1 in 76
2 St. Mirren 12 Jan 3 – Apr 13 1 in 36
3 Falkirk 9 Nov 22 – Jan 24 1 in 30
4 Hamilton Academical 10 Sep 20 – Nov 22 1 in 23
5 Aberdeen 6 Jan 24 – Mar 3 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Rangers41.50%52.78%4.19%0.97%0.33%0.18%0.05%
Celtic57.64%38.72%2.74%0.61%0.17%0.07%0.05%
Heart of Midlothian0.15%1.09%14.34%14.32%13.57%12.82%11.40%10.12%8.50%6.61%4.56%2.52%
Aberdeen0.15%1.81%18.17%17.12%13.58%12.54%10.57%8.87%6.73%5.38%3.25%1.83%
Dundee United0.18%2.17%19.16%16.98%14.65%12.00%10.13%8.49%6.39%4.71%3.31%1.83%
Hibernian0.15%1.37%15.99%14.73%13.73%12.65%11.79%9.71%7.95%5.80%3.80%2.33%
Motherwell0.15%1.11%11.80%12.97%13.41%13.19%12.08%10.11%9.21%7.54%5.30%3.13%
Kilmarnock0.04%0.21%3.48%5.77%7.51%8.77%10.52%11.93%13.19%13.63%13.88%11.07%
Hamilton Academical0.01%0.09%2.29%3.53%5.84%6.39%8.59%10.72%12.80%15.39%17.77%16.58%
Falkirk0.02%0.53%5.36%8.26%10.06%11.09%11.22%12.30%12.80%11.59%9.99%6.78%
St. Mirren0.04%0.54%1.34%2.36%3.49%4.88%7.07%9.87%13.48%20.86%36.07%
Inverness CT0.01%0.08%1.94%3.40%4.79%6.81%8.72%10.68%12.56%15.87%17.28%17.86%
Team123456789101112
Rangers60.00%40.00%
Celtic40.00%60.00%
Heart of Midlothian83.74%14.28%1.98%
Aberdeen11.24%53.34%32.36%3.06%
Dundee United5.00%30.90%57.85%6.25%
Hibernian0.02%1.48%7.81%90.69%
Motherwell90.61%7.50%1.58%0.30%0.01%
Kilmarnock3.16%33.50%27.38%21.16%11.92%2.88%
Hamilton Academical2.56%25.25%28.14%25.03%15.60%3.42%
Falkirk3.28%25.84%27.64%25.20%15.06%2.98%
St. Mirren0.38%7.44%13.18%22.36%41.60%15.04%
Inverness CT0.01%0.47%2.08%5.95%15.81%75.68%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.09%
Slight Edge
42.11%25.88%32.02%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 35.17 Elo pts.
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.22+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Rangers, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.68 * Some Luck: 5.68 to 8.52 * Lucky: 8.52 to 11.36 * Wild Swing: 11.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.33 * Off: 2.33 to 3.1 * Way Off: 3.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.77 points
Some Luck
07.1018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.944
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
92.43%
Heart of Midlothian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.98%
Falkirk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.78
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Occasional
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.66
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.88
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.39
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.29
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.053
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Aberdeen 98.65% 1.35%
Dundee United 98.47% 1.53%
Hibernian 98.02% 1.98%
Heart of Midlothian 97.87% 2.13%
Motherwell 97.05% 2.95%
Falkirk 93.13% 6.87%
Kilmarnock 89.17% 10.83%
Hamilton Academical 83.75% 16.25%
Inverness CT 81.52% 18.48%
St. Mirren 62.37% 37.63%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
Kilmarnock 97.12% 2.88%
Falkirk 97.02% 2.98%
Hamilton Academical 96.58% 3.42%
St. Mirren 84.96% 15.04%
Inverness CT 24.32% 75.68%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2008-08-09 Hibernian W 1-0 1642 1688 34.9% 27.4% 37.7% +5.0 3
2008-08-09 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1688 1642 37.7% 27.4% 34.9% -5.0 0
2008-08-09 Inverness CT L 0-2 1688 1639 48.1% 26.1% 25.8% -11.5 0
2008-08-09 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1639 1688 25.8% 26.1% 48.1% +11.5 3
2008-08-09 Motherwell W 3-2 1678 1689 39.8% 27.3% 32.9% +4.1 3
2008-08-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1689 1678 32.9% 27.3% 39.8% -4.1 0
2008-08-09 Rangers L 0-1 1672 1833 21.9% 24.5% 53.6% -3.2 0
2008-08-09 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1833 1672 53.6% 24.5% 21.9% +3.2 3
2008-08-10 St. Mirren W 1-0 1861 1598 73.5% 15.2% 11.3% +1.5 3
2008-08-10 @ Celtic L 0-1 1598 1861 11.3% 15.2% 73.5% -1.5 0
2008-08-11 Dundee United W 3-1 1641 1689 34.5% 27.4% 38.1% +8.3 3
2008-08-11 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1689 1641 38.1% 27.4% 34.5% -8.3 0
2008-08-16 Aberdeen L 0-1 1685 1677 42.4% 27.1% 30.5% -5.5 0
2008-08-16 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1677 1685 30.5% 27.1% 42.4% +5.5 3
2008-08-16 Falkirk W 3-2 1683 1669 43.2% 27.0% 29.8% +3.8 3
2008-08-16 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1669 1683 29.8% 27.0% 43.2% -3.8 0
2008-08-16 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1651 1650 41.5% 27.2% 31.3% -5.4 3
2008-08-16 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1650 1651 31.3% 27.2% 41.5% +5.4 6
2008-08-16 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1836 1682 61.5% 21.3% 17.1% +4.6 6
2008-08-16 @ Rangers L 0-2 1682 1836 17.1% 21.3% 61.5% -4.7 3
2008-08-16 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1597 1648 34.1% 27.4% 38.5% +0.1 1
2008-08-16 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1648 1597 38.5% 27.4% 34.1% -0.1 4
2008-08-17 Celtic D 1-1 1681 1863 20.2% 23.5% 56.3% +1.0 1
2008-08-17 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1863 1681 56.3% 23.5% 20.2% -1.0 4
2008-08-23 Dundee United D 1-1 1679 1682 41.0% 27.2% 31.8% -0.2 1
2008-08-23 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1682 1679 31.8% 27.2% 41.0% +0.2 2
2008-08-23 Falkirk W 3-0 1862 1665 66.4% 19.0% 14.6% +5.6 7
2008-08-23 @ Celtic L 0-3 1665 1862 14.6% 19.0% 66.4% -5.6 0
2008-08-23 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1647 1655 40.2% 27.3% 32.5% +4.5 7
2008-08-23 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1655 1647 32.5% 27.3% 40.2% -4.5 6
2008-08-23 Hibernian D 1-1 1646 1686 35.5% 27.4% 37.1% +0.0 4
2008-08-23 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1686 1646 37.1% 27.4% 35.5% -0.0 4
2008-08-23 Rangers D 1-1 1682 1841 22.1% 24.6% 53.3% +0.9 4
2008-08-23 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1841 1682 53.3% 24.6% 22.1% -0.9 7
2008-08-23 St. Mirren W 2-1 1678 1597 52.3% 24.9% 22.7% +3.1 6
2008-08-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1597 1678 22.7% 24.9% 52.3% -3.1 1
2008-08-30 Aberdeen L 0-1 1594 1683 29.1% 26.9% 44.0% -4.1 1
2008-08-30 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1683 1594 44.0% 26.9% 29.1% +4.1 7
2008-08-30 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1650 1681 37.0% 27.4% 35.6% -4.7 6
2008-08-30 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1681 1650 35.6% 27.4% 37.0% +4.7 9
2008-08-30 Inverness CT L 1-2 1660 1646 43.3% 27.0% 29.7% -5.3 0
2008-08-30 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1646 1660 29.7% 27.0% 43.3% +5.3 7
2008-08-30 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1682 1652 45.5% 26.6% 27.9% -11.0 2
2008-08-30 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1652 1682 27.9% 26.6% 45.5% +11.0 10
2008-08-30 Motherwell L 0-1 1686 1679 42.3% 27.1% 30.6% -5.5 4
2008-08-30 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1679 1686 30.6% 27.1% 42.3% +5.5 4
2008-08-31 Rangers L 2-4 1867 1840 45.1% 26.7% 28.2% -8.4 7
2008-08-31 @ Celtic W 4-2 1840 1867 28.2% 26.7% 45.1% +8.4 10
2008-09-13 Celtic L 2-4 1685 1859 20.8% 23.9% 55.3% -4.4 4
2008-09-13 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1859 1685 55.3% 23.9% 20.8% +4.5 10
2008-09-13 Dundee United W 2-1 1681 1671 42.7% 27.0% 30.3% +4.0 7
2008-09-13 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1671 1681 30.3% 27.0% 42.7% -4.0 2
2008-09-13 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1688 1646 47.1% 26.3% 26.6% -5.6 7
2008-09-13 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1646 1688 26.6% 26.3% 47.1% +5.6 9
2008-09-13 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1655 1685 36.9% 27.4% 35.7% +4.6 3
2008-09-13 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1685 1655 35.7% 27.4% 36.9% -4.6 9
2008-09-13 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1849 1663 65.2% 19.6% 15.2% +2.0 13
2008-09-13 @ Rangers L 1-2 1663 1849 15.2% 19.6% 65.2% -2.0 10
2008-09-13 St. Mirren L 1-2 1651 1589 49.8% 25.7% 24.6% -5.9 7
2008-09-13 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1589 1651 24.6% 25.7% 49.8% +5.9 4
2008-09-20 Dundee United L 0-1 1682 1667 43.4% 26.9% 29.6% -5.6 7
2008-09-20 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1667 1682 29.6% 26.9% 43.4% +5.6 5
2008-09-20 Falkirk D 1-1 1595 1659 32.4% 27.3% 40.4% +0.2 5
2008-09-20 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1659 1595 40.4% 27.3% 32.4% -0.2 4
2008-09-20 Hibernian L 0-1 1651 1685 36.5% 27.4% 36.0% -4.9 9
2008-09-20 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1685 1651 36.0% 27.4% 36.5% +4.9 10
2008-09-20 Inverness CT W 1-0 1681 1645 46.3% 26.5% 27.2% +3.9 12
2008-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1645 1681 27.2% 26.5% 46.3% -3.9 7
2008-09-21 Celtic L 1-3 1661 1863 18.6% 22.5% 58.9% -4.4 10
2008-09-21 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1863 1661 58.9% 22.5% 18.6% +4.4 13
2008-09-21 Motherwell W 2-1 1851 1680 63.4% 20.5% 16.1% +2.2 16
2008-09-21 @ Rangers L 1-2 1680 1851 16.1% 20.5% 63.4% -2.2 4
2008-09-27 Aberdeen W 3-2 1868 1676 65.8% 19.3% 14.9% +1.9 16
2008-09-27 @ Celtic L 2-3 1676 1868 14.9% 19.3% 65.8% -1.9 7
2008-09-27 Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1659 1646 43.1% 27.0% 29.9% +9.8 7
2008-09-27 @ Falkirk L 1-4 1646 1659 29.9% 27.0% 43.1% -9.8 9
2008-09-27 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1672 1685 39.6% 27.3% 33.1% +12.5 8
2008-09-27 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1685 1672 33.1% 27.3% 39.6% -12.5 12
2008-09-27 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1641 1656 39.1% 27.4% 33.5% +7.5 10
2008-09-27 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1656 1641 33.5% 27.4% 39.1% -7.6 10
2008-09-27 St. Mirren W 2-1 1678 1596 52.6% 24.8% 22.6% +3.1 7
2008-09-27 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1596 1678 22.6% 24.8% 52.6% -3.1 5
2008-09-28 Rangers L 0-3 1690 1853 21.7% 24.4% 53.9% -8.7 10
2008-09-28 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1853 1690 53.9% 24.4% 21.7% +8.7 19
2008-10-04 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1870 1637 70.4% 16.9% 12.7% +6.2 19
2008-10-04 @ Celtic L 0-4 1637 1870 12.7% 16.9% 70.4% -6.2 9
2008-10-04 Hibernian L 1-2 1674 1681 40.4% 27.3% 32.4% -5.0 7
2008-10-04 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1681 1674 32.4% 27.3% 40.4% +5.0 13
2008-10-04 Inverness CT W 2-1 1685 1649 46.4% 26.4% 27.2% +3.7 11
2008-10-04 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1649 1685 27.2% 26.4% 46.4% -3.7 10
2008-10-04 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1672 1649 44.6% 26.8% 28.6% -5.4 12
2008-10-04 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1649 1672 28.6% 26.8% 44.6% +5.4 13
2008-10-05 Falkirk W 3-2 1681 1669 43.1% 27.0% 29.9% +3.8 10
2008-10-05 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1669 1681 29.9% 27.0% 43.1% -3.8 7
2008-10-05 Rangers W 1-0 1592 1862 14.5% 18.9% 66.7% +7.8 8
2008-10-05 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1862 1592 66.7% 18.9% 14.5% -7.8 19
2008-10-18 Aberdeen L 0-1 1665 1669 40.7% 27.3% 32.1% -5.3 7
2008-10-18 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1669 1665 32.1% 27.3% 40.7% +5.3 10
2008-10-18 Celtic L 1-2 1645 1876 16.7% 21.0% 62.3% -2.3 10
2008-10-18 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1876 1645 62.3% 21.0% 16.7% +2.3 22
2008-10-18 Motherwell W 1-0 1654 1685 36.9% 27.4% 35.6% +4.8 16
2008-10-18 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1685 1654 35.6% 27.4% 36.9% -4.8 10
2008-10-18 St. Mirren L 1-2 1630 1600 45.5% 26.6% 27.9% -5.5 9
2008-10-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1600 1630 27.9% 26.6% 45.5% +5.5 11
2008-10-19 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1686 1667 44.0% 26.9% 29.1% -0.4 14
2008-10-19 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1667 1686 29.1% 26.9% 44.0% +0.4 13
2008-10-25 Aberdeen D 1-1 1667 1675 40.2% 27.3% 32.5% -0.2 14
2008-10-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1675 1667 32.5% 27.3% 40.2% +0.2 11
2008-10-25 Falkirk L 1-2 1659 1660 41.2% 27.2% 31.6% -5.1 16
2008-10-25 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1660 1659 31.6% 27.2% 41.2% +5.1 10
2008-10-25 Hibernian W 4-2 1878 1686 66.0% 19.2% 14.8% +3.0 25
2008-10-25 @ Celtic L 2-4 1686 1878 14.8% 19.2% 66.0% -3.1 14
2008-10-25 Motherwell L 1-2 1643 1680 35.9% 27.4% 36.6% -4.6 10
2008-10-25 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1680 1643 36.6% 27.4% 35.9% +4.6 13
2008-10-25 Rangers L 1-3 1625 1854 16.8% 21.1% 62.0% -4.0 9
2008-10-25 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1854 1625 62.0% 21.1% 16.8% +4.0 22
2008-10-25 St. Mirren W 2-0 1689 1606 52.6% 24.8% 22.5% +6.2 14
2008-10-25 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1606 1689 22.5% 24.8% 52.6% -6.2 11
2008-11-01 Dundee United D 0-0 1665 1695 37.0% 27.4% 35.6% -0.0 11
2008-11-01 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1695 1665 35.6% 27.4% 37.0% +0.0 15
2008-11-01 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1685 1621 50.1% 25.6% 24.3% +6.7 16
2008-11-01 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1621 1685 24.3% 25.6% 50.1% -6.7 9
2008-11-01 Hibernian D 0-0 1599 1683 29.9% 27.0% 43.1% +0.4 12
2008-11-01 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1683 1599 43.1% 27.0% 29.9% -0.4 15
2008-11-01 Inverness CT W 5-0 1858 1638 69.0% 17.7% 13.4% +8.1 25
2008-11-01 @ Rangers L 0-5 1638 1858 13.4% 17.7% 69.0% -8.1 10
2008-11-01 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1675 1654 44.2% 26.8% 28.9% +4.1 14
2008-11-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1654 1675 28.9% 26.8% 44.2% -4.1 16
2008-11-02 Celtic L 0-2 1667 1881 17.8% 21.9% 60.3% -4.9 14
2008-11-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1881 1667 60.3% 21.9% 17.8% +4.9 28
2008-11-04 Dundee United D 3-3 1866 1695 63.5% 20.4% 16.1% -0.8 26
2008-11-04 @ Rangers D 3-3 1695 1866 16.1% 20.4% 63.5% +0.8 16
2008-11-08 Aberdeen W 2-1 1696 1679 43.7% 26.9% 29.4% +3.9 19
2008-11-08 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1679 1696 29.4% 26.9% 43.7% -3.9 14
2008-11-08 Falkirk D 1-1 1614 1665 34.2% 27.4% 38.5% +0.1 10
2008-11-08 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1665 1614 38.5% 27.4% 34.2% -0.1 12
2008-11-08 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1600 1662 32.6% 27.3% 40.2% -4.5 12
2008-11-08 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1662 1600 40.2% 27.3% 32.6% +4.5 17
2008-11-08 Inverness CT L 1-2 1682 1630 48.5% 26.0% 25.5% -5.8 15
2008-11-08 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1630 1682 25.5% 26.0% 48.5% +5.8 13
2008-11-08 Motherwell W 2-0 1886 1691 66.2% 19.1% 14.7% +3.9 31
2008-11-08 @ Celtic L 0-2 1691 1886 14.7% 19.1% 66.2% -3.9 16
2008-11-09 Rangers L 0-4 1650 1865 17.7% 21.9% 60.4% -9.2 16
2008-11-09 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1865 1650 60.4% 21.9% 17.7% +9.2 29
2008-11-11 St. Mirren W 2-0 1675 1595 52.2% 25.0% 22.8% +6.3 17
2008-11-11 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1595 1675 22.8% 25.0% 52.2% -6.3 12
2008-11-12 Falkirk D 1-1 1636 1665 37.2% 27.4% 35.4% -0.0 14
2008-11-12 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1665 1636 35.4% 27.4% 37.2% +0.0 13
2008-11-12 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1667 1614 48.5% 26.0% 25.5% +3.7 20
2008-11-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1614 1667 25.5% 26.0% 48.5% -3.7 10
2008-11-12 Hibernian W 2-0 1700 1676 44.6% 26.8% 28.6% +7.7 22
2008-11-12 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1676 1700 28.6% 26.8% 44.6% -7.7 15
2008-11-12 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1890 1641 72.1% 16.0% 11.9% +4.4 34
2008-11-12 @ Celtic L 0-3 1641 1890 11.9% 16.0% 72.1% -4.4 16
2008-11-12 Rangers D 0-0 1688 1874 19.8% 23.3% 56.9% +1.2 17
2008-11-12 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1874 1688 56.9% 23.3% 19.8% -1.2 30
2008-11-15 Aberdeen D 2-2 1669 1681 39.5% 27.3% 33.1% -0.1 16
2008-11-15 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1681 1669 33.1% 27.3% 39.5% +0.1 18
2008-11-15 Dundee United W 2-0 1636 1707 31.4% 27.2% 41.4% +10.2 19
2008-11-15 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1707 1636 41.4% 27.2% 31.4% -10.2 22
2008-11-15 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1636 1670 36.4% 27.4% 36.2% -4.9 14
2008-11-15 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1670 1636 36.2% 27.4% 36.4% +4.9 23
2008-11-15 Motherwell W 1-0 1665 1689 37.9% 27.4% 34.7% +4.8 16
2008-11-15 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1689 1665 34.7% 27.4% 37.9% -4.8 17
2008-11-15 St. Mirren W 2-1 1873 1589 75.5% 14.1% 10.4% +1.3 33
2008-11-15 @ Rangers L 1-2 1589 1873 10.4% 14.1% 75.5% -1.3 12
2008-11-16 Celtic L 1-2 1611 1894 13.7% 18.0% 68.3% -1.8 10
2008-11-16 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1894 1611 68.3% 18.0% 13.7% +1.8 37
2008-11-22 Aberdeen W 2-0 1874 1682 66.0% 19.2% 14.8% +3.9 36
2008-11-22 @ Rangers L 0-2 1682 1874 14.8% 19.2% 66.0% -3.9 18
2008-11-22 Celtic L 1-3 1588 1896 12.5% 16.6% 70.9% -2.8 12
2008-11-22 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1896 1588 70.9% 16.6% 12.5% +2.8 40
2008-11-22 Falkirk W 2-1 1675 1669 42.1% 27.1% 30.8% +4.1 26
2008-11-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1669 1675 30.8% 27.1% 42.1% -4.1 16
2008-11-22 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1697 1609 53.3% 24.6% 22.1% -0.9 23
2008-11-22 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1609 1697 22.1% 24.6% 53.3% +0.9 11
2008-11-22 Hibernian L 1-4 1684 1669 43.5% 26.9% 29.6% -13.0 17
2008-11-22 @ Motherwell W 4-1 1669 1684 29.6% 26.9% 43.5% +13.0 19
2008-11-22 Inverness CT L 1-2 1647 1631 43.5% 26.9% 29.5% -5.3 19
2008-11-22 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1631 1647 29.5% 26.9% 43.5% +5.3 17
2008-11-29 Dundee United L 0-2 1585 1696 26.7% 26.3% 47.0% -7.2 12
2008-11-29 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1696 1585 47.0% 26.3% 26.7% +7.2 26
2008-11-29 Hibernian D 1-1 1665 1682 39.0% 27.4% 33.7% -0.1 17
2008-11-29 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1682 1665 33.7% 27.4% 39.0% +0.1 20
2008-11-29 Inverness CT W 1-0 1899 1636 73.4% 15.2% 11.3% +1.5 43
2008-11-29 @ Celtic L 0-1 1636 1899 11.3% 15.2% 73.4% -1.5 17
2008-11-29 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1610 1641 36.8% 27.4% 35.7% +4.9 14
2008-11-29 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1641 1610 35.7% 27.4% 36.8% -4.9 19
2008-11-29 Motherwell W 2-0 1678 1671 42.2% 27.1% 30.7% +8.1 21
2008-11-29 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1671 1678 30.7% 27.1% 42.2% -8.1 17
2008-11-29 Rangers W 2-1 1679 1878 18.9% 22.7% 58.4% +6.7 29
2008-11-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1878 1679 58.4% 22.7% 18.9% -6.7 36
2008-12-06 Dundee United L 1-3 1635 1704 31.7% 27.2% 41.1% -7.2 17
2008-12-06 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1704 1635 41.1% 27.2% 31.7% +7.2 29
2008-12-06 Hamilton Academical W 7-1 1872 1615 72.9% 15.6% 11.6% +6.7 39
2008-12-06 @ Rangers L 1-7 1615 1872 11.6% 15.6% 72.9% -6.7 14
2008-12-06 St. Mirren L 1-2 1665 1578 53.2% 24.6% 22.2% -6.2 17
2008-12-06 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1578 1665 22.2% 24.6% 53.2% +6.2 15
2008-12-07 Celtic W 2-0 1682 1900 17.5% 21.7% 60.8% +13.7 23
2008-12-07 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1900 1682 60.8% 21.7% 17.5% -13.7 43
2008-12-13 Falkirk W 2-1 1686 1659 45.1% 26.7% 28.2% +3.8 24
2008-12-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1659 1686 28.2% 26.7% 45.1% -3.8 17
2008-12-13 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1695 1608 53.2% 24.6% 22.1% +6.1 26
2008-12-13 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1608 1695 22.1% 24.6% 53.2% -6.1 14
2008-12-13 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1886 1686 66.9% 18.8% 14.4% -1.5 44
2008-12-13 @ Celtic D 1-1 1686 1886 14.4% 18.8% 66.9% +1.5 30
2008-12-13 Inverness CT W 2-0 1584 1627 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% +9.5 18
2008-12-13 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1627 1584 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% -9.5 17
2008-12-13 Rangers D 2-2 1711 1878 21.3% 24.2% 54.4% +0.7 30
2008-12-13 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1878 1711 54.4% 24.2% 21.3% -0.7 40
2008-12-15 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1663 1636 45.0% 26.7% 28.3% -10.9 17
2008-12-15 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1636 1663 28.3% 26.7% 45.0% +10.9 22
2008-12-20 Aberdeen L 0-3 1618 1690 31.3% 27.2% 41.5% -12.0 17
2008-12-20 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1690 1618 41.5% 27.2% 31.3% +12.0 27
2008-12-20 Dundee United D 0-0 1687 1712 37.9% 27.4% 34.7% -0.1 31
2008-12-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1712 1687 34.7% 27.4% 37.9% +0.1 31
2008-12-20 Hibernian W 1-0 1878 1702 64.1% 20.2% 15.8% +2.2 43
2008-12-20 @ Rangers L 0-1 1702 1878 15.8% 20.2% 64.1% -2.2 26
2008-12-20 Motherwell W 2-0 1602 1652 34.2% 27.4% 38.4% +9.6 17
2008-12-20 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1652 1602 38.4% 27.4% 34.2% -9.6 17
2008-12-20 St. Mirren L 0-1 1647 1593 48.8% 25.9% 25.3% -6.1 22
2008-12-20 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1593 1647 25.3% 25.9% 48.8% +6.1 21
2008-12-21 Celtic L 0-3 1655 1885 16.8% 21.1% 62.2% -6.6 17
2008-12-21 @ Falkirk W 3-0 1885 1655 62.2% 21.1% 16.8% +6.6 47
2008-12-27 Celtic L 0-1 1880 1892 39.6% 27.3% 33.0% -5.2 43
2008-12-27 @ Rangers W 1-0 1892 1880 33.0% 27.3% 39.6% +5.2 50
2008-12-27 Falkirk W 1-0 1712 1648 50.0% 25.6% 24.4% +3.5 34
2008-12-27 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1648 1712 24.4% 25.6% 50.0% -3.6 17
2008-12-27 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1600 1612 39.6% 27.3% 33.1% +4.6 24
2008-12-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1612 1600 33.1% 27.3% 39.6% -4.6 17
2008-12-27 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1702 1687 43.3% 27.0% 29.7% +4.2 30
2008-12-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1687 1702 29.7% 27.0% 43.3% -4.2 31
2008-12-27 Inverness CT W 3-2 1642 1606 46.4% 26.4% 27.2% +3.5 20
2008-12-27 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1606 1642 27.2% 26.4% 46.4% -3.5 17
2008-12-27 Kilmarnock L 2-4 1699 1641 49.4% 25.8% 24.9% -9.0 26
2008-12-27 @ Hibernian W 4-2 1641 1699 24.9% 25.8% 49.4% +9.1 25
2009-01-03 Aberdeen W 2-0 1607 1706 28.1% 26.6% 45.3% +10.9 20
2009-01-03 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1706 1607 45.3% 26.6% 28.1% -10.9 30
2009-01-03 Dundee United D 2-2 1897 1715 64.7% 19.8% 15.4% -1.0 51
2009-01-03 @ Celtic D 2-2 1715 1897 15.4% 19.8% 64.7% +1.0 35
2009-01-03 Hibernian D 0-0 1683 1690 40.3% 27.3% 32.4% -0.2 32
2009-01-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1690 1683 32.4% 27.3% 40.3% +0.2 27
2009-01-03 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1645 1650 40.6% 27.3% 32.2% -0.2 18
2009-01-03 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1650 1645 32.2% 27.3% 40.6% +0.2 26
2009-01-03 Motherwell D 0-0 1604 1646 35.4% 27.4% 37.2% +0.0 25
2009-01-03 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1646 1604 37.2% 27.4% 35.4% -0.0 21
2009-01-04 Rangers L 0-3 1602 1875 14.3% 18.7% 67.0% -5.5 17
2009-01-04 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1875 1602 67.0% 18.7% 14.3% +5.5 46
2009-01-07 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1646 1683 36.0% 27.4% 36.6% +4.9 24
2009-01-07 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1683 1646 36.6% 27.4% 36.0% -4.9 32
2009-01-13 Aberdeen L 1-2 1650 1695 35.0% 27.4% 37.6% -4.5 26
2009-01-13 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1695 1650 37.6% 27.4% 35.0% +4.5 33
2009-01-17 Falkirk W 3-1 1880 1645 70.6% 16.8% 12.6% +2.8 49
2009-01-17 @ Rangers L 1-3 1645 1880 12.6% 16.8% 70.6% -2.8 18
2009-01-17 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1646 1678 36.7% 27.4% 35.9% -9.3 26
2009-01-17 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1678 1646 35.9% 27.4% 36.7% +9.3 35
2009-01-17 Inverness CT W 1-0 1618 1597 44.3% 26.8% 28.9% +4.1 23
2009-01-17 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1597 1618 28.9% 26.8% 44.3% -4.1 17
2009-01-17 St. Mirren W 2-0 1690 1604 53.1% 24.7% 22.2% +6.1 30
2009-01-17 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1604 1690 22.2% 24.7% 53.1% -6.1 25
2009-01-18 Celtic W 4-2 1699 1896 19.1% 22.8% 58.1% +10.3 36
2009-01-18 @ Aberdeen L 2-4 1896 1699 58.1% 22.8% 19.1% -10.3 51
2009-01-18 Motherwell L 0-4 1716 1651 50.3% 25.5% 24.2% -22.5 35
2009-01-18 @ Dundee United W 4-0 1651 1716 24.2% 25.5% 50.3% +22.5 27
2009-01-24 Falkirk D 1-1 1673 1642 45.7% 26.6% 27.7% -0.5 28
2009-01-24 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1642 1673 27.7% 26.6% 45.7% +0.5 19
2009-01-24 Hibernian W 3-1 1886 1697 65.6% 19.4% 15.0% +3.5 54
2009-01-24 @ Celtic L 1-3 1697 1886 15.0% 19.4% 65.6% -3.5 30
2009-01-24 Inverness CT W 3-2 1687 1593 54.1% 24.3% 21.5% +2.8 38
2009-01-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1593 1687 21.5% 24.3% 54.1% -2.8 17
2009-01-24 Rangers D 0-0 1710 1883 20.8% 23.9% 55.2% +1.1 37
2009-01-24 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1883 1710 55.2% 23.9% 20.8% -1.1 50
2009-01-24 St. Mirren W 3-2 1694 1598 54.3% 24.3% 21.4% +2.8 38
2009-01-24 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1598 1694 21.4% 24.3% 54.3% -2.8 25
2009-01-25 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1637 1622 43.4% 27.0% 29.7% -5.6 26
2009-01-25 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1622 1637 29.7% 27.0% 43.4% +5.6 26
2009-01-31 Aberdeen W 1-0 1642 1711 31.8% 27.2% 41.0% +5.4 22
2009-01-31 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1711 1642 41.0% 27.2% 31.8% -5.4 37
2009-01-31 Dundee United W 2-0 1882 1697 65.1% 19.6% 15.2% +4.1 53
2009-01-31 @ Rangers L 0-2 1697 1882 15.2% 19.6% 65.1% -4.1 38
2009-01-31 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1628 1690 32.5% 27.3% 40.2% +10.0 29
2009-01-31 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1690 1628 40.2% 27.3% 32.5% -10.0 38
2009-01-31 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1595 1631 36.2% 27.4% 36.4% +0.0 26
2009-01-31 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1631 1595 36.4% 27.4% 36.2% +0.0 27
2009-01-31 Motherwell D 1-1 1693 1673 44.2% 26.8% 29.0% -0.4 31
2009-01-31 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1673 1693 29.0% 26.8% 44.2% +0.4 29
2009-02-01 Celtic D 0-0 1590 1889 12.9% 17.2% 69.9% +1.8 18
2009-02-01 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1889 1590 69.9% 17.2% 12.9% -1.8 55
2009-02-14 Aberdeen W 2-1 1680 1705 37.7% 27.4% 34.9% +4.5 41
2009-02-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1705 1680 34.9% 27.4% 37.7% -4.5 37
2009-02-14 Falkirk D 2-2 1595 1648 33.9% 27.4% 38.8% +0.1 27
2009-02-14 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1648 1595 38.8% 27.4% 33.9% -0.1 23
2009-02-14 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1673 1638 46.3% 26.5% 27.3% +3.9 32
2009-02-14 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1638 1673 27.3% 26.5% 46.3% -3.9 29
2009-02-14 Hibernian D 1-1 1631 1693 32.6% 27.3% 40.1% +0.2 28
2009-02-14 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1693 1631 40.1% 27.3% 32.6% -0.2 32
2009-02-14 Inverness CT D 1-1 1693 1592 54.9% 24.1% 21.0% -1.0 39
2009-02-14 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1592 1693 21.0% 24.1% 54.9% +0.9 19
2009-02-15 Rangers D 0-0 1887 1886 41.5% 27.2% 31.3% -0.3 56
2009-02-15 @ Celtic D 0-0 1886 1887 31.3% 27.2% 41.5% +0.3 54
2009-02-21 Dundee United D 2-2 1701 1692 42.6% 27.1% 30.3% -0.2 38
2009-02-21 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1692 1701 30.3% 27.1% 42.6% +0.2 40
2009-02-21 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1648 1634 43.3% 27.0% 29.8% -5.3 23
2009-02-21 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1634 1648 29.8% 27.0% 43.3% +5.3 32
2009-02-21 Hibernian W 2-0 1593 1693 27.9% 26.6% 45.5% +11.0 22
2009-02-21 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1693 1593 45.5% 26.6% 27.9% -10.9 32
2009-02-21 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1886 1631 72.7% 15.7% 11.7% +2.5 57
2009-02-21 @ Rangers L 1-3 1631 1886 11.7% 15.7% 72.7% -2.5 28
2009-02-21 St. Mirren D 1-1 1685 1595 53.5% 24.6% 22.0% -0.9 42
2009-02-21 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1595 1685 22.0% 24.6% 53.5% +0.9 28
2009-02-22 Celtic D 1-1 1677 1887 18.1% 22.1% 59.8% +1.2 33
2009-02-22 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1887 1677 59.8% 22.1% 18.1% -1.2 57
2009-02-28 Falkirk D 0-0 1682 1642 46.8% 26.4% 26.9% -0.6 33
2009-02-28 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1642 1682 26.9% 26.4% 46.8% +0.6 24
2009-02-28 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1692 1684 42.4% 27.1% 30.5% -5.5 40
2009-02-28 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1684 1692 30.5% 27.1% 42.4% +5.5 45
2009-02-28 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1701 1629 51.2% 25.3% 23.5% -0.8 39
2009-02-28 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1629 1701 23.5% 25.3% 51.2% +0.9 29
2009-02-28 Motherwell L 1-2 1604 1678 31.0% 27.1% 41.9% -4.1 22
2009-02-28 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1678 1604 41.9% 27.1% 31.0% +4.1 36
2009-02-28 Rangers L 0-1 1639 1889 15.6% 20.0% 64.5% -2.2 32
2009-02-28 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1889 1639 64.5% 20.0% 15.6% +2.2 60
2009-02-28 St. Mirren W 7-0 1886 1596 76.0% 13.8% 10.2% +8.0 60
2009-02-28 @ Celtic L 0-7 1596 1886 10.2% 13.8% 76.0% -8.0 28
2009-03-03 Aberdeen D 1-1 1588 1700 26.7% 26.3% 47.0% +0.5 29
2009-03-03 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1700 1588 47.0% 26.3% 26.7% -0.5 40
2009-03-03 Dundee United L 0-1 1643 1686 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% -4.8 24
2009-03-03 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1686 1643 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% +4.8 43
2009-03-04 Celtic L 1-2 1629 1894 14.7% 19.1% 66.1% -2.0 29
2009-03-04 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1894 1629 66.1% 19.1% 14.7% +2.0 63
2009-03-04 Hibernian L 0-1 1637 1681 35.0% 27.4% 37.6% -4.8 32
2009-03-04 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1681 1637 37.6% 27.4% 35.0% +4.8 36
2009-03-04 Inverness CT L 0-1 1891 1600 76.2% 13.7% 10.1% -8.5 60
2009-03-04 @ Rangers W 1-0 1600 1891 10.1% 13.7% 76.2% +8.5 25
2009-03-04 Motherwell W 2-1 1689 1682 42.3% 27.1% 30.6% +4.1 48
2009-03-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1682 1689 30.6% 27.1% 42.3% -4.1 36
2009-03-14 Dundee United W 2-1 1678 1691 39.5% 27.3% 33.2% +4.3 39
2009-03-14 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1691 1678 33.2% 27.3% 39.5% -4.3 43
2009-03-14 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1699 1632 50.6% 25.4% 24.0% +3.5 43
2009-03-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1632 1699 24.0% 25.4% 50.6% -3.5 32
2009-03-14 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1686 1693 40.2% 27.3% 32.5% +4.5 39
2009-03-14 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1693 1686 32.5% 27.3% 40.2% -4.5 48
2009-03-14 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1608 1627 38.5% 27.4% 34.1% +4.4 28
2009-03-14 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1627 1608 34.1% 27.4% 38.5% -4.4 29
2009-03-21 Aberdeen D 0-0 1690 1703 39.6% 27.3% 33.1% -0.2 40
2009-03-21 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1703 1690 33.1% 27.3% 39.6% +0.2 44
2009-03-21 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1882 1689 66.1% 19.2% 14.8% -1.1 61
2009-03-21 @ Rangers D 2-2 1689 1882 14.8% 19.2% 66.1% +1.1 49
2009-03-21 Inverness CT W 4-0 1638 1612 44.9% 26.7% 28.4% +14.5 27
2009-03-21 @ Falkirk L 0-4 1612 1638 28.4% 26.7% 44.9% -14.5 28
2009-03-21 Motherwell D 0-0 1623 1683 32.9% 27.3% 39.8% +0.2 30
2009-03-21 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1683 1623 39.8% 27.3% 32.9% -0.2 40
2009-03-21 St. Mirren D 0-0 1628 1589 46.8% 26.4% 26.8% -0.6 33
2009-03-21 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1589 1628 26.8% 26.4% 46.8% +0.6 30
2009-03-22 Celtic D 2-2 1687 1896 18.2% 22.2% 59.6% +0.9 44
2009-03-22 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1896 1687 59.6% 22.2% 18.2% -0.9 64
2009-04-04 Aberdeen D 1-1 1682 1703 38.4% 27.4% 34.2% -0.1 41
2009-04-04 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1703 1682 34.2% 27.4% 38.4% +0.1 45
2009-04-04 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1895 1628 73.9% 15.0% 11.1% +5.2 67
2009-04-04 @ Celtic L 0-4 1628 1895 11.1% 15.0% 73.9% -5.2 33
2009-04-04 Hibernian D 2-2 1688 1690 40.9% 27.2% 31.8% -0.2 45
2009-04-04 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1690 1688 31.8% 27.2% 40.9% +0.2 41
2009-04-04 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1690 1623 50.5% 25.5% 24.1% +5.7 52
2009-04-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1623 1690 24.1% 25.5% 50.5% -5.7 30
2009-04-04 St. Mirren W 2-1 1598 1589 42.5% 27.1% 30.4% +4.0 31
2009-04-04 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1589 1598 30.4% 27.1% 42.5% -4.0 30
2009-04-05 Rangers L 0-1 1653 1881 16.9% 21.1% 62.0% -2.4 27
2009-04-05 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1881 1653 62.0% 21.1% 16.9% +2.4 64
2009-04-08 Falkirk W 4-0 1900 1650 72.1% 16.0% 11.9% +5.7 70
2009-04-08 @ Celtic L 0-4 1650 1900 11.9% 16.0% 72.1% -5.7 27
2009-04-08 Rangers L 1-2 1585 1884 12.9% 17.2% 69.9% -1.7 30
2009-04-08 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1884 1585 69.9% 17.2% 12.9% +1.7 67
2009-04-11 Celtic D 1-1 1696 1906 18.1% 22.1% 59.8% +1.2 53
2009-04-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1906 1696 59.8% 22.1% 18.1% -1.2 71
2009-04-11 Dundee United L 0-1 1623 1687 32.2% 27.3% 40.5% -4.5 33
2009-04-11 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1687 1623 40.5% 27.3% 32.2% +4.5 48
2009-04-11 Falkirk W 3-0 1618 1645 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% +13.1 33
2009-04-11 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1645 1618 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% -13.1 27
2009-04-11 Inverness CT W 1-0 1703 1602 55.0% 24.0% 21.0% +3.1 48
2009-04-11 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1602 1703 21.0% 24.0% 55.0% -3.1 31
2009-04-11 Motherwell W 3-1 1885 1682 67.2% 18.6% 14.2% +3.2 70
2009-04-11 @ Rangers L 1-3 1682 1885 14.2% 18.6% 67.2% -3.2 41
2009-04-13 Hibernian D 1-1 1584 1690 27.2% 26.4% 46.4% +0.5 31
2009-04-13 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1690 1584 46.4% 26.4% 27.2% -0.5 42
2009-04-18 Aberdeen W 2-0 1904 1706 66.6% 18.9% 14.5% +3.8 74
2009-04-18 @ Celtic L 0-2 1706 1904 14.5% 18.9% 66.6% -3.8 48
2009-04-18 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1599 1618 38.6% 27.4% 34.0% -0.1 32
2009-04-18 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1618 1599 34.0% 27.4% 38.6% +0.1 34
2009-04-18 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1631 1697 32.1% 27.3% 40.6% +0.2 28
2009-04-18 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1697 1631 40.6% 27.3% 32.1% -0.2 54
2009-04-18 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1692 1631 49.8% 25.7% 24.6% -0.8 49
2009-04-18 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1631 1692 24.6% 25.7% 49.8% +0.8 34
2009-04-18 St. Mirren L 0-2 1679 1584 54.2% 24.3% 21.5% -12.6 41
2009-04-18 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1584 1679 21.5% 24.3% 54.2% +12.6 34
2009-04-19 Rangers L 2-3 1690 1889 18.9% 22.7% 58.4% -2.5 42
2009-04-19 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1889 1690 58.4% 22.7% 18.9% +2.5 73

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2009-05-02 Celtic L 1-3 1702 1908 18.4% 22.3% 59.3% -4.4 0
2009-05-02 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1908 1702 59.3% 22.3% 18.4% +4.4 3
2009-05-02 Dundee United L 1-2 1687 1691 40.8% 27.2% 32.0% -5.0 0
2009-05-02 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1691 1687 32.0% 27.2% 40.8% +5.0 3
2009-05-02 Inverness CT L 1-2 1597 1599 41.0% 27.2% 31.8% -5.1 0
2009-05-02 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1599 1597 31.8% 27.2% 41.0% +5.1 3
2009-05-02 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1618 1631 39.4% 27.3% 33.2% +4.3 3
2009-05-02 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1631 1618 33.2% 27.3% 39.4% -4.3 0
2009-05-02 Motherwell W 2-1 1632 1666 36.3% 27.4% 36.2% +4.6 3
2009-05-02 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1666 1632 36.2% 27.4% 36.3% -4.6 0
2009-05-03 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1891 1697 66.2% 19.1% 14.7% +3.9 3
2009-05-03 @ Rangers L 0-2 1697 1891 14.7% 19.1% 66.2% -3.9 0
2009-05-07 Aberdeen D 1-1 1696 1698 41.1% 27.2% 31.7% -0.2 4
2009-05-07 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1698 1696 31.7% 27.2% 41.1% +0.2 1
2009-05-07 Hibernian L 0-1 1693 1682 42.8% 27.0% 30.2% -5.5 0
2009-05-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1682 1693 30.2% 27.0% 42.8% +5.5 3
2009-05-09 Celtic W 1-0 1895 1913 38.8% 27.4% 33.8% +4.7 6
2009-05-09 @ Rangers L 0-1 1913 1895 33.8% 27.4% 38.8% -4.7 3
2009-05-09 Falkirk D 1-1 1627 1636 40.0% 27.3% 32.7% -0.2 1
2009-05-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1636 1627 32.7% 27.3% 40.0% +0.2 4
2009-05-09 Motherwell L 1-3 1592 1662 31.5% 27.2% 41.3% -7.2 0
2009-05-09 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1662 1592 41.3% 27.2% 31.5% +7.2 3
2009-05-10 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1604 1623 38.6% 27.4% 34.0% -0.1 4
2009-05-10 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1623 1604 34.0% 27.4% 38.6% +0.1 4
2009-05-12 Dundee United W 2-1 1908 1696 68.2% 18.1% 13.8% +1.8 6
2009-05-12 @ Celtic L 1-2 1696 1908 13.8% 18.1% 68.2% -1.8 4
2009-05-12 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1698 1687 42.9% 27.0% 30.1% -0.4 2
2009-05-12 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1687 1698 30.1% 27.0% 42.9% +0.4 1
2009-05-13 Falkirk L 0-1 1623 1637 39.3% 27.4% 33.3% -5.2 4
2009-05-13 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1637 1623 33.3% 27.4% 39.3% +5.2 7
2009-05-13 Inverness CT D 2-2 1669 1604 50.3% 25.5% 24.2% -0.5 4
2009-05-13 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1604 1669 24.2% 25.5% 50.3% +0.5 5
2009-05-13 Rangers D 1-1 1688 1900 18.0% 22.0% 60.0% +1.2 4
2009-05-13 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1900 1688 60.0% 22.0% 18.0% -1.2 7
2009-05-13 St. Mirren W 2-1 1627 1584 47.2% 26.3% 26.5% +3.6 4
2009-05-13 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1584 1627 26.5% 26.3% 47.2% -3.6 0
2009-05-16 Aberdeen W 2-1 1898 1698 66.9% 18.8% 14.4% +1.9 10
2009-05-16 @ Rangers L 1-2 1698 1898 14.4% 18.8% 66.9% -1.9 2
2009-05-16 Dundee United W 3-0 1688 1694 40.4% 27.3% 32.4% +12.3 4
2009-05-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1694 1688 32.4% 27.3% 40.4% -12.3 4
2009-05-16 Inverness CT W 1-0 1631 1604 45.0% 26.7% 28.3% +4.0 7
2009-05-16 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1604 1631 28.3% 26.7% 45.0% -4.0 5
2009-05-16 Motherwell L 0-3 1617 1669 34.1% 27.4% 38.6% -12.8 4
2009-05-16 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1669 1617 38.6% 27.4% 34.1% +12.8 7
2009-05-16 St. Mirren L 0-2 1642 1581 49.7% 25.7% 24.6% -11.7 7
2009-05-16 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1581 1642 24.6% 25.7% 49.7% +11.7 3
2009-05-17 Celtic D 0-0 1689 1910 17.4% 21.6% 61.1% +1.4 5
2009-05-17 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1910 1689 61.1% 21.6% 17.4% -1.4 7
2009-05-23 Falkirk L 0-1 1600 1630 37.1% 27.4% 35.5% -5.0 5
2009-05-23 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1630 1600 35.5% 27.4% 37.1% +5.0 10
2009-05-23 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1593 1605 39.6% 27.3% 33.1% -5.2 3
2009-05-23 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1605 1593 33.1% 27.3% 39.6% +5.2 7
2009-05-23 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1681 1635 47.8% 26.1% 26.1% -5.7 7
2009-05-23 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1635 1681 26.1% 26.1% 47.8% +5.7 10
2009-05-24 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1908 1700 67.8% 18.3% 13.9% -1.7 8
2009-05-24 @ Celtic D 0-0 1700 1908 13.9% 18.3% 67.8% +1.7 5
2009-05-24 Hibernian W 2-1 1696 1690 42.1% 27.1% 30.8% +4.1 5
2009-05-24 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1690 1696 30.8% 27.1% 42.1% -4.1 5
2009-05-24 Rangers L 0-3 1682 1900 17.5% 21.7% 60.8% -6.9 4
2009-05-24 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1900 1682 60.8% 21.7% 17.5% +6.9 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-03-04 10.09% Inverness CT 1600 1 @ Rangers 1891 0
2 2008-10-05 14.46% @ St. Mirren 1592 1 Rangers 1862 0
3 2008-12-07 17.52% @ Hibernian 1682 2 Celtic 1900 0
4 2008-11-29 18.88% @ Heart of Midlothian 1679 2 Rangers 1878 1
5 2009-01-18 19.06% @ Aberdeen 1699 4 Celtic 1896 2
6 2009-04-18 21.52% St. Mirren 1584 2 @ Motherwell 1679 0
7 2008-12-06 22.16% St. Mirren 1578 2 @ Falkirk 1665 1
8 2009-01-18 24.16% Motherwell 1651 4 @ Dundee United 1716 0
9 2008-09-13 24.57% St. Mirren 1589 2 @ Inverness CT 1651 1
10 2009-05-16 24.62% St. Mirren 1581 2 @ Falkirk 1642 0
11 2008-12-27 24.88% Kilmarnock 1641 4 @ Hibernian 1699 2
12 2008-12-20 25.33% St. Mirren 1593 1 @ Kilmarnock 1647 0
13 2008-11-08 25.48% Inverness CT 1630 2 @ Hibernian 1682 1
14 2008-08-09 25.83% Inverness CT 1639 2 @ Aberdeen 1688 0
15 2009-05-23 26.05% Kilmarnock 1635 2 @ Motherwell 1681 1
16 2008-09-13 26.58% Hamilton Academical 1646 2 @ Aberdeen 1688 1
17 2008-10-18 27.86% St. Mirren 1600 2 @ Hamilton Academical 1630 1
18 2008-08-30 27.88% Kilmarnock 1652 2 @ Dundee United 1682 0
19 2009-02-21 27.94% @ Inverness CT 1593 2 Hibernian 1693 0
20 2009-01-03 28.06% @ Hamilton Academical 1607 2 Aberdeen 1706 0
21 2008-08-31 28.23% Rangers 1840 4 @ Celtic 1867 2
22 2008-12-15 28.29% Kilmarnock 1636 2 @ Motherwell 1663 0
23 2008-10-04 28.65% Kilmarnock 1649 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1672 1
24 2008-11-22 29.55% Inverness CT 1631 2 @ Kilmarnock 1647 1
25 2008-11-22 29.60% Hibernian 1669 4 @ Motherwell 1684 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-01-18 22.50 Motherwell 4 1651 24.16% @ Dundee United 0 1716 50.34% 25.50%
2 2009-03-21 14.51 @ Falkirk 4 1638 44.92% Inverness CT 0 1612 28.37% 26.71%
3 2008-12-07 13.73 @ Hibernian 2 1682 17.52% Celtic 0 1900 60.80% 21.68%
4 2009-04-11 13.12 @ Kilmarnock 3 1618 37.45% Falkirk 0 1645 35.13% 27.42%
5 2008-11-22 12.96 Hibernian 4 1669 29.60% @ Motherwell 1 1684 43.47% 26.93%
6 2009-05-16 12.82 Motherwell 3 1669 38.56% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1617 34.05% 27.39%
7 2009-04-18 12.56 St. Mirren 2 1584 21.52% @ Motherwell 0 1679 54.17% 24.32%
8 2008-09-27 12.55 @ Dundee United 3 1672 39.57% Heart of Midlothian 0 1685 33.10% 27.33%
9 2009-05-16 12.33 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1688 40.37% Dundee United 0 1694 32.35% 27.28%
10 2008-12-20 12.03 Aberdeen 3 1690 41.50% @ Inverness CT 0 1618 31.33% 27.17%
11 2009-05-16 11.74 St. Mirren 2 1581 24.62% @ Falkirk 0 1642 49.71% 25.67%
12 2008-08-09 11.45 Inverness CT 2 1639 25.83% @ Aberdeen 0 1688 48.10% 26.07%
13 2008-08-30 10.97 Kilmarnock 2 1652 27.88% @ Dundee United 0 1682 45.51% 26.61%
14 2009-02-21 10.95 @ Inverness CT 2 1593 27.94% Hibernian 0 1693 45.45% 26.62%
15 2009-01-03 10.92 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1607 28.06% Aberdeen 0 1706 45.30% 26.64%
16 2008-12-15 10.88 Kilmarnock 2 1636 28.29% @ Motherwell 0 1663 45.02% 26.69%
17 2009-01-18 10.27 @ Aberdeen 4 1699 19.06% Celtic 2 1896 58.11% 22.83%
18 2008-11-15 10.20 @ Kilmarnock 2 1636 31.39% Dundee United 0 1707 41.43% 27.18%
19 2009-01-31 9.98 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1628 32.51% Heart of Midlothian 0 1690 40.21% 27.29%
20 2008-09-27 9.78 @ Falkirk 4 1659 43.07% Hamilton Academical 1 1646 29.94% 26.99%
21 2008-12-20 9.65 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1602 34.19% Motherwell 0 1652 38.42% 27.39%
22 2008-12-13 9.47 @ St. Mirren 2 1584 35.12% Inverness CT 0 1627 37.46% 27.42%
23 2009-01-17 9.33 Heart of Midlothian 2 1678 35.85% @ Kilmarnock 0 1646 36.71% 27.44%
24 2008-11-09 9.20 Rangers 4 1865 60.40% @ Kilmarnock 0 1650 17.74% 21.86%
25 2008-12-27 9.05 Kilmarnock 4 1641 24.88% @ Hibernian 2 1699 49.35% 25.76%