2007-08 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

89 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gretna

5.17 points above expected

23 points · 28.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

77.08 points below expected

86 points · 163.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 33 25 4 4 79 78 27 +51 65.87 +13.13
2 Celtic 33 23 5 5 74 75 23 +52 65.88 +8.12
3 Motherwell 33 16 5 12 53 43 40 +3 41.94 +11.06
4 Dundee United 33 14 8 11 50 48 38 +10 43.13 +6.87
5 Hibernian 33 14 8 11 50 47 38 +9 48.60 +1.40
6 Aberdeen 33 12 8 13 44 43 53 -10 48.65 -4.65
7 Falkirk 33 11 9 13 42 40 44 -4 42.92 -0.92
8 Heart of Midlothian 33 11 9 13 42 42 48 -6 49.06 -7.06
9 Inverness CT 33 11 3 19 36 41 58 -17 40.91 -4.91
10 Kilmarnock 33 8 9 16 33 34 46 -12 42.67 -9.67
11 St. Mirren 33 8 9 16 33 22 51 -29 34.05 -1.05
12 Gretna 33 4 5 24 17 29 76 -47 19.01 -2.01
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 28 5 5 89 84 26 +58 163.00 -74.00
2 Rangers 38 27 5 6 86 84 33 +51 163.08 -77.08
3 Motherwell 38 18 6 14 60 50 46 +4 111.18 -51.18
4 Aberdeen 38 15 8 15 53 50 58 -8 99.01 -46.01
5 Dundee United 38 14 10 14 52 53 47 +6 105.72 -53.72
6 Hibernian 38 14 10 14 52 49 45 +4 99.95 -47.95
7 Falkirk 38 13 10 15 49 45 49 -4 92.44 -43.44
8 Heart of Midlothian 38 13 9 16 48 47 55 -8 93.17 -45.17
9 Inverness CT 38 13 4 21 43 51 62 -11 78.82 -35.82
10 St. Mirren 38 10 11 17 41 26 54 -28 71.82 -30.82
11 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 40 39 52 -13 73.37 -33.37
12 Gretna 38 5 8 25 23 32 83 -51 28.17 -5.17

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1997 89 65.88 +23.12 89.3% 41 54 61 66 71 77 89
Rangers 1963 86 65.87 +20.13 97.5% 41 54 61 66 71 77 91
Motherwell 1762 60 41.94 +18.06 94.5% 16 30 37 42 47 54 72
Aberdeen 1761 53 48.65 +4.35 28.8% 21 37 44 49 54 61 78
Dundee United 1758 52 43.13 +8.87 84.6% 17 31 38 43 48 55 69
Hibernian 1756 52 48.60 +3.40 60.5% 23 37 44 48 53 61 75
Heart of Midlothian 1745 48 49.06 -1.06 19.0% 21 37 44 49 54 61 79
Falkirk 1737 49 42.92 +6.08 48.0% 19 31 38 43 48 55 72
Kilmarnock 1695 40 42.67 -2.67 10.4% 18 31 38 43 48 55 72
Inverness CT 1691 43 40.91 +2.09 27.2% 17 29 36 41 46 53 70
St. Mirren 1643 41 34.05 +6.95 47.7% 12 23 29 34 39 46 61
Gretna 1553 23 19.01 +3.99 3.8% -4 8 14 19 24 30 48

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU FAL GRE HOM HIB IC KIL MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen
0-0-4
3.46
2-0-2
6.29
1-2-0
4.79
2-1-0
6.03
0-1-2
4.55
2-1-1
5.33
3-0-0
4.58
2-0-1
4.39
0-1-3
5.92
1-1-2
3.09
2-1-0
5.70
Celtic
4-0-0
7.75
3-1-0
8.40
3-0-0
5.62
3-0-0
7.07
2-1-0
5.88
2-1-1
8.03
2-0-1
6.66
2-1-0
6.18
3-0-1
8.54
2-0-2
5.70
2-1-0
6.57
Dundee United
2-0-2
4.83
0-1-3
2.83
1-1-1
4.53
1-0-2
5.38
2-0-1
3.44
0-4-0
5.68
1-1-1
4.01
2-0-1
3.83
2-1-1
5.72
1-1-2
2.99
2-1-0
5.31
Falkirk
0-2-1
3.57
0-0-3
2.76
1-1-1
3.81
2-1-1
7.29
2-1-1
4.93
0-2-1
4.01
3-0-1
6.04
1-2-1
6.02
2-1-0
4.25
0-0-3
2.13
2-0-2
6.55
Gretna
0-1-2
2.37
0-0-3
1.45
2-0-1
3.00
1-1-2
3.89
1-2-1
3.06
0-0-3
2.37
0-0-4
4.04
1-2-1
3.90
0-0-3
3.24
0-0-3
1.31
0-2-2
3.99
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-0
3.79
0-1-2
2.52
1-0-2
4.91
1-1-2
6.21
1-2-1
8.14
1-1-1
4.64
2-0-2
6.70
0-2-2
6.62
2-0-1
4.30
1-0-2
2.91
2-1-1
7.54
Hibernian
1-1-2
5.79
1-1-2
3.18
0-4-0
5.45
1-2-0
4.33
3-0-0
6.03
1-1-1
3.71
2-0-1
5.15
2-0-1
5.11
1-0-3
6.34
1-1-2
3.30
1-0-2
5.85
Inverness CT
0-0-3
3.76
1-0-2
1.81
1-1-1
4.34
1-0-3
5.08
4-0-0
7.13
2-0-2
4.44
1-0-2
3.21
2-1-1
5.40
0-0-3
3.93
0-0-3
2.79
1-2-1
6.32
Kilmarnock
1-0-2
3.95
0-1-2
2.24
1-0-2
4.52
1-2-1
5.10
1-2-1
7.26
2-2-0
4.52
1-0-2
3.25
1-1-2
5.73
1-0-2
3.87
0-0-3
2.49
1-2-1
6.49
Motherwell
3-1-0
5.21
1-0-3
2.70
1-1-2
5.41
0-1-2
4.10
3-0-0
5.13
1-0-2
4.05
3-0-1
4.78
3-0-0
4.42
2-0-1
4.47
0-2-2
2.84
1-1-1
4.45
Rangers
2-1-1
8.13
2-0-2
5.42
2-1-1
8.23
3-0-0
6.29
3-0-0
7.23
2-0-1
5.46
2-1-1
7.89
3-0-0
5.59
3-0-0
5.91
2-2-0
8.39
3-0-0
6.94
St. Mirren
0-1-2
2.68
0-1-2
1.89
0-1-2
3.06
2-0-2
4.58
2-2-0
7.16
1-1-2
3.64
2-0-1
2.54
1-2-1
4.81
1-2-1
4.64
1-1-1
3.90
0-0-3
1.55

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.87 +9.9
Allowed 0.82 -11.8
Differential 0.96 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.02%9.21%6.14%5.04%1.75%0.44%29.61%
19.21%11.40%7.89%3.29%1.32%0.88%33.99%
26.14%7.89%1.32%1.32%1.54%0.22%18.42%
35.04%3.29%1.32%1.32%0.22%0.22%11.40%
41.75%1.32%1.54%0.22%4.82%
5+0.44%0.88%0.22%0.22%1.75%
Total29.61%33.99%18.42%11.40%4.82%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.91
CV 0.95 0.95
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%10.53%21.05%
17.89%15.79%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%44.74%
27.89%13.16%21.05%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total23.68%39.47%5.26%26.32%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.53 -0.21
SD 1.07 1.33 1.88
CV 0.81 0.87
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%2.63%13.16%
113.16%7.89%21.05%
27.89%13.16%5.26%26.32%
315.79%2.63%2.63%21.05%
42.63%5.26%7.89%
5+5.26%5.26%10.53%
Total50.00%39.47%2.63%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.68 +1.53
SD 1.49 0.87 1.81
CV 0.67 1.28
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%7.89%5.26%28.95%
15.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%26.32%
210.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%23.68%
310.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%18.42%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total34.21%28.95%21.05%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.24 +0.16
SD 1.17 1.22 1.75
CV 0.84 0.98
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%7.89%10.53%2.63%36.84%
110.53%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%31.58%
22.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%18.42%
35.26%5.26%
45.26%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total39.47%28.95%15.79%2.63%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.29 -0.11
SD 1.29 1.59 2.08
CV 1.09 1.23
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%10.53%15.79%7.89%47.37%
12.63%10.53%13.16%2.63%2.63%31.58%
22.63%2.63%7.89%13.16%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total13.16%18.42%28.95%21.05%15.79%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.84 2.18 -1.34
SD 1.03 1.41 1.71
CV 1.22 0.65
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%23.68%
113.16%18.42%13.16%5.26%2.63%52.63%
25.26%2.63%7.89%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%5.26%7.89%
5+
Total26.32%31.58%23.68%10.53%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.45 -0.21
SD 1.15 1.29 1.82
CV 0.93 0.89
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%10.53%23.68%
113.16%15.79%15.79%2.63%47.37%
210.53%2.63%13.16%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%5.26%7.89%
5+
Total28.95%28.95%36.84%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.18 +0.11
SD 1.16 0.93 1.39
CV 0.90 0.78
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%15.79%5.26%10.53%2.63%36.84%
15.26%5.26%13.16%2.63%2.63%28.95%
22.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
35.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%15.79%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total18.42%31.58%28.95%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.63 -0.29
SD 1.48 1.24 2.13
CV 1.10 0.76
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%15.79%10.53%2.63%42.11%
12.63%7.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%26.32%
22.63%13.16%2.63%2.63%21.05%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total18.42%44.74%23.68%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.37 -0.34
SD 1.10 1.05 1.42
CV 1.07 0.77
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%5.26%5.26%26.32%
113.16%10.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%36.84%
22.63%15.79%2.63%21.05%
37.89%5.26%13.16%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total26.32%44.74%13.16%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.21 +0.11
SD 1.16 1.07 1.67
CV 0.89 0.88
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
17.89%7.89%5.26%21.05%
215.79%13.16%2.63%2.63%34.21%
310.53%10.53%2.63%23.68%
47.89%2.63%10.53%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total44.74%34.21%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.87 +1.34
SD 1.36 1.02 1.68
CV 0.61 1.17
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%7.89%5.26%7.89%47.37%
115.79%15.79%2.63%5.26%39.47%
22.63%5.26%2.63%10.53%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total31.58%36.84%7.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.42 -0.74
SD 0.77 1.50 1.77
CV 1.13 1.06
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gretna 23 28.17 -5.17
2 St. Mirren 41 71.82 -30.82
3 Kilmarnock 40 73.37 -33.37
4 Inverness CT 43 78.82 -35.82
5 Falkirk 49 92.44 -43.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 86 163.08 -77.08
2 Celtic 89 163.00 -74.00
3 Dundee United 52 105.72 -53.72
4 Motherwell 60 111.18 -51.18
5 Hibernian 52 99.95 -47.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 5 Nov 24 – Dec 22 1 in 457
2 Rangers 13 Dec 26 – Mar 29 1 in 298
3 Motherwell 5 Nov 10 – Dec 15 1 in 190
4 Celtic 9 Dec 26 – Mar 1 1 in 57
5 Falkirk 4 Dec 22 – Jan 2 1 in 47

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 6 Dec 8 – Jan 2 1 in 957
2 Inverness CT 7 Feb 20 – Mar 29 1 in 253
3 Aberdeen 5 Jan 19 – Feb 24 1 in 79
4 Gretna 6 Sep 29 – Nov 10 1 in 40
5 Kilmarnock 5 Nov 3 – Dec 8 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 9 Aug 6 – Oct 6 1 in 89
2 Dundee United 9 Jan 19 – Mar 22 1 in 82
3 Rangers 19 Nov 3 – Apr 6 1 in 41
4 Inverness CT 5 Nov 24 – Dec 22 1 in 28
5 Falkirk 6 Dec 15 – Jan 5 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 9 Nov 25 – Jan 5 1 in 289
2 Hibernian 10 Nov 24 – Feb 9 1 in 102
3 Inverness CT 10 Jan 20 – Mar 29 1 in 68
4 Aberdeen 8 Jan 5 – Mar 1 1 in 27
5 Kilmarnock 7 Nov 3 – Dec 22 1 in 26

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic48.65%39.55%7.60%2.54%1.08%0.33%0.11%0.12%0.02%
Rangers47.26%40.05%8.43%2.58%1.01%0.36%0.25%0.06%
Motherwell0.14%0.93%5.00%8.10%9.75%11.83%12.45%13.73%14.02%14.35%9.01%0.69%
Aberdeen1.20%4.77%17.69%17.28%15.21%12.66%10.90%7.88%6.40%4.14%1.79%0.08%
Dundee United0.22%1.28%6.84%9.57%11.58%13.13%13.27%13.49%12.32%10.88%6.84%0.58%
Hibernian1.04%5.10%19.34%18.02%15.23%12.81%9.81%7.64%5.54%3.71%1.66%0.10%
Falkirk0.16%1.18%6.65%8.91%10.36%11.96%13.45%13.80%12.98%12.01%8.00%0.54%
Heart of Midlothian1.14%5.28%19.63%17.82%14.86%12.57%9.80%7.37%6.12%3.77%1.58%0.06%
Inverness CT0.06%0.60%3.36%6.12%8.26%9.36%11.84%14.17%15.82%17.18%12.36%0.87%
St. Mirren0.05%0.32%1.08%2.01%2.80%5.08%7.52%12.13%20.17%43.00%5.84%
Kilmarnock0.13%1.21%5.14%7.98%10.64%12.16%12.94%14.10%14.27%12.47%8.41%0.55%
Gretna0.01%0.03%0.10%0.12%0.38%1.32%7.35%90.69%
Team123456789101112
Celtic88.20%11.80%
Rangers11.80%88.20%
Motherwell61.72%26.82%10.80%0.66%
Aberdeen17.04%34.48%39.27%9.21%
Dundee United20.72%35.00%37.37%6.91%
Hibernian0.52%3.70%12.56%83.22%
Falkirk47.43%47.63%4.53%0.40%0.01%
Heart of Midlothian51.81%44.79%3.14%0.26%
Inverness CT0.64%5.77%58.78%25.67%9.14%
St. Mirren0.07%0.49%12.25%33.00%54.19%
Kilmarnock0.05%1.32%21.30%40.67%36.66%
Gretna100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.05%
Clear Edge
50.00%21.05%28.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge
159 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
074.25400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.6 * Lucky: 8.6 to 11.47 * Wild Swing: 11.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.32 * Close: 1.32 to 1.98 * Off: 1.98 to 2.65 * Way Off: 2.65 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.88 points
Some Luck
07.1718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.654
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.55%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.81%
Gretna
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.01
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Dominant
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.54
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.98
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Heart of Midlothian 99.99% 0.01%
Hibernian 99.97% 0.03%
Aberdeen 99.93% 0.07%
Dundee United 99.74% 0.26%
Falkirk 99.66% 0.34%
Motherwell 99.50% 0.50%
Kilmarnock 99.46% 0.54%
Inverness CT 99.10% 0.90%
St. Mirren 94.11% 5.89%
Gretna 8.54% 91.46%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Falkirk 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Inverness CT 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Mirren 100%
Gretna 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2007-08-04 Aberdeen W 1-0 1682 1796 33.4% 22.2% 44.4% +7.9 3
2007-08-04 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1796 1682 44.4% 22.2% 33.4% -7.9 0
2007-08-04 Falkirk L 0-4 1692 1717 45.7% 22.1% 32.1% -28.9 0
2007-08-04 @ Gretna W 4-0 1717 1692 32.1% 22.1% 45.7% +28.9 3
2007-08-04 Motherwell L 0-1 1699 1704 48.4% 22.0% 29.6% -8.5 0
2007-08-04 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1704 1699 29.6% 22.0% 48.4% +8.5 3
2007-08-04 Rangers L 0-3 1748 1853 34.6% 22.3% 43.2% -17.7 0
2007-08-04 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1853 1748 43.2% 22.3% 34.6% +17.7 3
2007-08-05 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1857 1744 62.3% 19.9% 17.8% -2.0 1
2007-08-05 @ Celtic D 0-0 1744 1857 17.8% 19.9% 62.3% +2.0 1
2007-08-06 Hibernian L 0-1 1807 1755 55.5% 21.2% 23.3% -9.6 0
2007-08-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1755 1807 23.3% 21.2% 55.5% +9.5 3
2007-08-11 Celtic L 1-4 1746 1855 33.9% 22.2% 43.8% -14.7 3
2007-08-11 @ Falkirk W 4-1 1855 1746 43.8% 22.2% 33.9% +14.7 4
2007-08-11 Gretna W 4-2 1764 1663 61.0% 20.2% 18.8% +5.5 6
2007-08-11 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1663 1764 18.8% 20.2% 61.0% -5.5 0
2007-08-11 Inverness CT W 2-1 1713 1730 46.7% 22.1% 31.2% +5.6 6
2007-08-11 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1730 1713 31.2% 22.1% 46.7% -5.6 0
2007-08-11 St. Mirren W 2-0 1871 1691 68.6% 18.1% 13.3% +5.0 6
2007-08-11 @ Rangers L 0-2 1691 1871 13.3% 18.1% 68.6% -5.0 0
2007-08-12 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1788 1797 47.8% 22.0% 30.2% -0.7 1
2007-08-12 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1797 1788 30.2% 22.0% 47.8% +0.7 1
2007-08-13 Dundee United W 2-1 1746 1690 56.0% 21.1% 22.9% +4.3 4
2007-08-13 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1690 1746 22.9% 21.1% 56.0% -4.3 3
2007-08-18 Falkirk W 7-2 1876 1731 65.4% 19.1% 15.5% +9.6 9
2007-08-18 @ Rangers L 2-7 1731 1876 15.5% 19.1% 65.4% -9.6 3
2007-08-18 Gretna D 1-1 1798 1657 65.0% 19.2% 15.8% -2.0 2
2007-08-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1657 1798 15.8% 19.2% 65.0% +2.0 1
2007-08-18 Hibernian D 0-0 1685 1770 37.4% 22.3% 40.3% +0.1 4
2007-08-18 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1770 1685 40.3% 22.3% 37.4% -0.1 7
2007-08-18 Inverness CT W 2-1 1686 1725 43.8% 22.2% 34.0% +6.0 3
2007-08-18 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1725 1686 34.0% 22.2% 43.8% -6.0 0
2007-08-18 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1718 1750 44.8% 22.2% 33.0% -7.5 6
2007-08-18 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1750 1718 33.0% 22.2% 44.8% +7.5 7
2007-08-19 Celtic L 1-3 1787 1870 37.6% 22.3% 40.1% -11.3 1
2007-08-19 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1870 1787 40.1% 22.3% 37.6% +11.3 7
2007-08-25 Aberdeen D 3-3 1770 1776 48.3% 22.0% 29.7% -0.4 8
2007-08-25 @ Hibernian D 3-3 1776 1770 29.7% 22.0% 48.3% +0.4 2
2007-08-25 Dundee United L 0-3 1719 1686 53.3% 21.5% 25.2% -25.2 0
2007-08-25 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1686 1719 25.2% 21.5% 53.3% +25.2 7
2007-08-25 Heart of Midlothian W 5-0 1881 1796 59.3% 20.5% 20.2% +17.8 10
2007-08-25 @ Celtic L 0-5 1796 1881 20.2% 20.5% 59.3% -17.8 2
2007-08-25 Motherwell L 1-2 1659 1711 42.1% 22.3% 35.6% -7.1 1
2007-08-25 @ Gretna W 2-1 1711 1659 35.6% 22.3% 42.1% +7.1 9
2007-08-25 Rangers L 1-2 1758 1885 31.6% 22.1% 46.2% -5.7 7
2007-08-25 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1885 1758 46.2% 22.1% 31.6% +5.7 12
2007-08-25 St. Mirren L 0-1 1722 1692 52.9% 21.5% 25.6% -9.1 3
2007-08-25 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1692 1722 25.6% 21.5% 52.9% +9.2 6
2007-09-01 Aberdeen L 0-1 1752 1776 45.9% 22.1% 32.0% -8.1 7
2007-09-01 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1776 1752 32.0% 22.1% 45.9% +8.1 5
2007-09-01 Falkirk W 2-0 1711 1712 48.9% 21.9% 29.2% +10.6 10
2007-09-01 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1712 1711 29.2% 21.9% 48.9% -10.6 3
2007-09-01 Gretna W 4-0 1891 1652 73.4% 16.4% 10.2% +7.2 15
2007-09-01 @ Rangers L 0-4 1652 1891 10.2% 16.4% 73.4% -7.2 1
2007-09-01 Inverness CT W 1-0 1769 1694 58.3% 20.7% 21.0% +4.2 11
2007-09-01 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1694 1769 21.0% 20.7% 58.3% -4.2 0
2007-09-02 Celtic L 1-5 1701 1899 23.5% 21.2% 55.3% -13.9 6
2007-09-02 @ St. Mirren W 5-1 1899 1701 55.3% 21.2% 23.5% +13.9 13
2007-09-03 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1718 1778 40.8% 22.3% 36.9% -13.9 9
2007-09-03 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1778 1718 36.9% 22.3% 40.8% +13.9 5
2007-09-15 Hibernian D 1-1 1702 1773 39.2% 22.3% 38.5% -0.0 4
2007-09-15 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1773 1702 38.5% 22.3% 39.2% +0.0 12
2007-09-15 Inverness CT W 5-0 1913 1689 72.3% 16.8% 10.9% +9.5 16
2007-09-15 @ Celtic L 0-5 1689 1913 10.9% 16.8% 72.3% -9.5 0
2007-09-15 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1645 1744 35.4% 22.3% 42.4% -6.2 1
2007-09-15 @ Gretna W 2-1 1744 1645 42.4% 22.3% 35.4% +6.2 10
2007-09-15 Motherwell L 1-2 1784 1704 58.8% 20.6% 20.6% -9.5 5
2007-09-15 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1704 1784 20.6% 20.6% 58.8% +9.5 12
2007-09-15 Rangers W 4-2 1792 1898 34.4% 22.2% 43.3% +11.3 8
2007-09-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1898 1792 43.3% 22.2% 34.4% -11.3 15
2007-09-16 St. Mirren W 2-0 1721 1687 53.4% 21.5% 25.1% +9.3 13
2007-09-16 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1687 1721 25.1% 21.5% 53.4% -9.3 6
2007-09-22 Dundee United W 3-2 1639 1731 36.4% 22.3% 41.3% +6.7 4
2007-09-22 @ Gretna L 2-3 1731 1639 41.3% 22.3% 36.4% -6.7 13
2007-09-22 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1680 1803 32.1% 22.1% 45.8% +7.6 3
2007-09-22 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1803 1680 45.8% 22.1% 32.1% -7.6 8
2007-09-22 Motherwell W 1-0 1702 1713 47.5% 22.0% 30.4% +5.8 7
2007-09-22 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1713 1702 30.4% 22.0% 47.5% -5.8 12
2007-09-22 St. Mirren D 0-0 1750 1678 57.9% 20.8% 21.3% -1.6 11
2007-09-22 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1678 1750 21.3% 20.8% 57.9% +1.6 7
2007-09-23 Aberdeen W 3-0 1887 1775 62.1% 19.9% 17.9% +9.9 18
2007-09-23 @ Rangers L 0-3 1775 1887 17.9% 19.9% 62.1% -9.9 5
2007-09-23 Celtic W 3-2 1774 1923 28.9% 21.9% 49.2% +7.7 15
2007-09-23 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1923 1774 49.2% 21.9% 28.9% -7.7 16
2007-09-29 Dundee United W 3-0 1915 1724 69.6% 17.8% 12.6% +6.9 19
2007-09-29 @ Celtic L 0-3 1724 1915 12.6% 17.8% 69.6% -6.9 13
2007-09-29 Falkirk W 4-2 1687 1708 46.4% 22.1% 31.5% +8.8 6
2007-09-29 @ Inverness CT L 2-4 1708 1687 31.5% 22.1% 46.4% -8.8 7
2007-09-29 Gretna W 2-0 1765 1646 62.9% 19.8% 17.4% +6.6 8
2007-09-29 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1646 1765 17.4% 19.8% 62.9% -6.6 4
2007-09-29 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1781 1749 53.2% 21.5% 25.3% +11.5 18
2007-09-29 @ Hibernian L 1-4 1749 1781 25.3% 21.5% 53.2% -11.5 11
2007-09-29 Rangers D 1-1 1708 1897 24.5% 21.4% 54.2% +1.2 13
2007-09-29 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1897 1708 54.2% 21.4% 24.5% -1.2 19
2007-09-30 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1679 1796 33.0% 22.2% 44.8% -10.2 7
2007-09-30 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1796 1679 44.8% 22.2% 33.0% +10.2 11
2007-10-06 Falkirk W 4-2 1806 1699 61.6% 20.0% 18.3% +5.4 14
2007-10-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1699 1806 18.3% 20.0% 61.6% -5.4 7
2007-10-06 Hibernian L 0-1 1895 1793 61.2% 20.1% 18.7% -10.4 19
2007-10-06 @ Rangers W 1-0 1793 1895 18.7% 20.1% 61.2% +10.4 21
2007-10-06 Inverness CT D 2-2 1737 1696 54.2% 21.4% 24.4% -0.9 12
2007-10-06 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1696 1737 24.4% 21.4% 54.2% +0.9 7
2007-10-06 Motherwell W 1-0 1717 1709 50.2% 21.8% 28.0% +5.4 16
2007-10-06 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1709 1717 28.0% 21.8% 50.2% -5.4 13
2007-10-07 Celtic L 1-2 1639 1922 16.2% 19.4% 64.4% -3.1 4
2007-10-07 @ Gretna W 2-1 1922 1639 64.4% 19.4% 16.2% +3.1 22
2007-10-07 St. Mirren W 4-0 1772 1669 61.2% 20.2% 18.7% +13.5 11
2007-10-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1669 1772 18.7% 20.2% 61.2% -13.5 7
2007-10-20 Celtic W 3-0 1885 1925 43.7% 22.2% 34.1% +17.5 22
2007-10-20 @ Rangers L 0-3 1925 1885 34.1% 22.2% 43.7% -17.5 22
2007-10-20 Dundee United L 1-3 1811 1723 59.7% 20.4% 19.9% -16.6 14
2007-10-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1723 1811 19.9% 20.4% 59.7% +16.6 19
2007-10-20 Gretna W 1-0 1656 1636 51.6% 21.7% 26.7% +5.2 10
2007-10-20 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1636 1656 26.7% 21.7% 51.6% -5.2 4
2007-10-20 Hibernian W 2-1 1703 1803 35.3% 22.3% 42.5% +7.2 16
2007-10-20 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1803 1703 42.5% 22.3% 35.3% -7.2 21
2007-10-20 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1693 1736 43.3% 22.2% 34.5% -0.3 8
2007-10-20 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1736 1693 34.5% 22.2% 43.3% +0.3 13
2007-10-21 Aberdeen L 1-2 1697 1785 36.9% 22.3% 40.8% -6.4 7
2007-10-21 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1785 1697 40.8% 22.3% 36.9% +6.4 14
2007-10-27 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1737 1795 41.2% 22.3% 36.5% +11.0 16
2007-10-27 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1795 1737 36.5% 22.3% 41.2% -11.0 14
2007-10-27 Inverness CT L 0-4 1631 1691 40.9% 22.3% 36.8% -26.4 4
2007-10-27 @ Gretna W 4-0 1691 1631 36.8% 22.3% 40.9% +26.4 10
2007-10-27 Motherwell W 3-0 1907 1711 70.1% 17.6% 12.3% +6.7 25
2007-10-27 @ Celtic L 0-3 1711 1907 12.3% 17.6% 70.1% -6.7 16
2007-10-27 St. Mirren L 0-1 1796 1661 64.5% 19.4% 16.2% -10.9 21
2007-10-27 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1661 1796 16.2% 19.4% 64.5% +10.9 13
2007-10-28 Falkirk D 1-1 1791 1693 60.7% 20.2% 19.0% -1.7 15
2007-10-28 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1693 1791 19.0% 20.2% 60.7% +1.7 9
2007-10-28 Rangers W 2-1 1739 1903 27.3% 21.7% 51.0% +8.4 22
2007-10-28 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1903 1739 51.0% 21.7% 27.3% -8.4 22
2007-11-03 Celtic L 1-2 1748 1914 26.9% 21.7% 51.4% -5.0 16
2007-11-03 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1914 1748 51.4% 21.7% 26.9% +5.0 28
2007-11-03 Dundee United W 2-0 1790 1748 54.4% 21.3% 24.3% +9.0 18
2007-11-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1748 1790 24.3% 21.3% 54.4% -9.0 22
2007-11-03 Gretna W 2-0 1695 1604 59.9% 20.4% 19.7% +7.5 12
2007-11-03 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1604 1695 19.7% 20.4% 59.9% -7.5 4
2007-11-03 Inverness CT W 2-0 1894 1717 68.4% 18.2% 13.4% +5.1 25
2007-11-03 @ Rangers L 0-2 1717 1894 13.4% 18.2% 68.4% -5.1 10
2007-11-03 St. Mirren D 1-1 1704 1672 53.1% 21.5% 25.4% -1.1 17
2007-11-03 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1672 1704 25.4% 21.5% 53.1% +1.1 14
2007-11-04 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1785 1784 49.3% 21.9% 28.8% -0.8 22
2007-11-04 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1784 1785 28.8% 21.9% 49.3% +0.8 15
2007-11-10 Hibernian L 0-1 1597 1784 24.6% 21.4% 54.0% -4.9 4
2007-11-10 @ Gretna W 1-0 1784 1597 54.0% 21.4% 24.6% +4.9 25
2007-11-10 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1738 1743 48.5% 22.0% 29.5% +10.7 25
2007-11-10 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1743 1738 29.5% 22.0% 48.5% -10.7 16
2007-11-10 Motherwell L 0-3 1712 1703 50.3% 21.8% 27.9% -24.0 10
2007-11-10 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1703 1712 27.9% 21.8% 50.3% +24.0 20
2007-11-11 Aberdeen W 4-1 1784 1799 47.2% 22.1% 30.8% +13.6 18
2007-11-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1799 1784 30.8% 22.1% 47.2% -13.6 18
2007-11-24 Aberdeen W 3-0 1919 1785 64.3% 19.4% 16.3% +9.0 31
2007-11-24 @ Celtic L 0-3 1785 1919 16.3% 19.4% 64.3% -9.0 18
2007-11-24 Dundee United D 2-2 1789 1749 54.1% 21.4% 24.5% -0.9 26
2007-11-24 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1749 1789 24.5% 21.4% 54.1% +0.9 26
2007-11-24 Motherwell L 0-1 1732 1727 49.8% 21.9% 28.4% -8.7 16
2007-11-24 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1727 1732 28.4% 21.9% 49.8% +8.7 23
2007-11-24 Rangers L 1-3 1702 1899 23.6% 21.2% 55.1% -7.6 12
2007-11-24 @ Falkirk W 3-1 1899 1702 55.1% 21.2% 23.6% +7.6 28
2007-11-24 St. Mirren W 1-0 1688 1673 51.0% 21.7% 27.2% +5.3 13
2007-11-24 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1673 1688 27.2% 21.7% 51.0% -5.3 14
2007-11-25 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1592 1798 22.7% 21.1% 56.2% +1.3 5
2007-11-25 @ Gretna D 1-1 1798 1592 56.2% 21.1% 22.7% -1.3 19
2007-12-01 Celtic D 1-1 1797 1928 31.1% 22.1% 46.8% +0.6 20
2007-12-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1928 1797 46.8% 22.1% 31.1% -0.6 32
2007-12-01 Falkirk L 1-5 1667 1695 45.5% 22.2% 32.4% -24.0 14
2007-12-01 @ St. Mirren W 5-1 1695 1667 32.4% 22.2% 45.5% +24.0 15
2007-12-01 Gretna W 3-0 1735 1593 65.1% 19.2% 15.7% +8.7 26
2007-12-01 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1593 1735 15.7% 19.2% 65.1% -8.7 5
2007-12-01 Inverness CT L 0-1 1750 1693 56.1% 21.1% 22.8% -9.6 26
2007-12-01 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1693 1750 22.8% 21.1% 56.1% +9.6 16
2007-12-01 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1907 1723 68.9% 18.0% 13.1% +4.9 31
2007-12-01 @ Rangers L 0-2 1723 1907 13.1% 18.0% 68.9% -4.9 16
2007-12-02 Hibernian W 3-1 1776 1788 47.5% 22.0% 30.5% +9.5 21
2007-12-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1788 1776 30.5% 22.0% 47.5% -9.5 26
2007-12-08 Dundee United W 3-0 1719 1740 46.2% 22.1% 31.7% +16.5 18
2007-12-08 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1740 1719 31.7% 22.1% 46.2% -16.5 26
2007-12-08 Hibernian W 2-0 1703 1779 38.6% 22.3% 39.1% +13.4 19
2007-12-08 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1779 1703 39.1% 22.3% 38.6% -13.4 26
2007-12-08 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1786 1718 57.3% 20.9% 21.8% +4.1 24
2007-12-08 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1718 1786 21.8% 20.9% 57.3% -4.1 16
2007-12-08 Motherwell L 1-2 1797 1744 55.7% 21.1% 23.2% -9.0 20
2007-12-08 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1744 1797 23.2% 21.1% 55.7% +9.0 29
2007-12-08 St. Mirren D 1-1 1928 1644 76.8% 14.9% 8.3% -2.8 33
2007-12-08 @ Celtic D 1-1 1644 1928 8.3% 14.9% 76.8% +2.8 15
2007-12-11 Falkirk W 4-0 1925 1735 69.5% 17.8% 12.7% +9.1 36
2007-12-11 @ Celtic L 0-4 1735 1925 12.7% 17.8% 69.5% -9.1 18
2007-12-15 Aberdeen W 3-0 1753 1790 44.1% 22.2% 33.7% +17.3 32
2007-12-15 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1790 1753 33.7% 22.2% 44.1% -17.3 24
2007-12-15 Dundee United L 0-3 1646 1724 38.4% 22.3% 39.3% -19.2 15
2007-12-15 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1724 1646 39.3% 22.3% 38.4% +19.2 29
2007-12-15 Falkirk D 1-1 1765 1726 54.0% 21.4% 24.6% -1.1 27
2007-12-15 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1726 1765 24.6% 21.4% 54.0% +1.2 19
2007-12-15 Gretna D 3-3 1714 1585 63.9% 19.5% 16.6% -1.2 17
2007-12-15 @ Kilmarnock D 3-3 1585 1714 16.6% 19.5% 63.9% +1.2 6
2007-12-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1912 1788 63.3% 19.6% 17.0% +3.2 34
2007-12-15 @ Rangers L 1-2 1788 1912 17.0% 19.6% 63.3% -3.2 20
2007-12-16 Celtic W 3-2 1716 1934 21.6% 20.9% 57.5% +8.8 22
2007-12-16 @ Inverness CT L 2-3 1934 1716 57.5% 20.9% 21.6% -8.8 36
2007-12-22 Falkirk L 0-3 1770 1727 54.5% 21.3% 24.2% -25.7 32
2007-12-22 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1727 1770 24.2% 21.3% 54.5% +25.7 22
2007-12-22 Gretna L 1-2 1743 1586 66.6% 18.8% 14.7% -10.6 29
2007-12-22 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1586 1743 14.7% 18.8% 66.6% +10.6 9
2007-12-22 Hibernian D 1-1 1925 1764 66.9% 18.7% 14.4% -2.2 37
2007-12-22 @ Celtic D 1-1 1764 1925 14.4% 18.7% 66.9% +2.2 28
2007-12-22 Inverness CT L 2-3 1785 1725 56.5% 21.0% 22.5% -8.7 20
2007-12-22 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1725 1785 22.5% 21.0% 56.5% +8.7 25
2007-12-22 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1627 1713 37.2% 22.3% 40.5% +0.1 16
2007-12-22 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1713 1627 40.5% 22.3% 37.2% -0.1 18
2007-12-23 Rangers D 1-1 1773 1915 29.7% 22.0% 48.3% +0.7 25
2007-12-23 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1915 1773 48.3% 22.0% 29.7% -0.7 35
2007-12-26 Aberdeen D 1-1 1596 1773 25.8% 21.6% 52.7% +1.0 10
2007-12-26 @ Gretna D 1-1 1773 1596 52.7% 21.6% 25.8% -1.0 26
2007-12-26 Celtic L 0-2 1733 1923 24.3% 21.3% 54.3% -9.1 29
2007-12-26 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1923 1733 54.3% 21.3% 24.3% +9.1 40
2007-12-26 Hibernian W 2-1 1713 1766 41.8% 22.3% 35.9% +6.3 21
2007-12-26 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1766 1713 35.9% 22.3% 41.8% -6.3 28
2007-12-26 Inverness CT W 1-0 1753 1734 51.5% 21.7% 26.8% +5.2 25
2007-12-26 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1734 1753 26.8% 21.7% 51.5% -5.2 25
2007-12-26 Motherwell W 3-1 1914 1745 67.7% 18.4% 13.9% +4.6 38
2007-12-26 @ Rangers L 1-3 1745 1914 13.9% 18.4% 67.7% -4.6 32
2007-12-26 St. Mirren L 0-1 1776 1627 65.8% 19.0% 15.2% -11.1 20
2007-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1627 1776 15.2% 19.0% 65.8% +11.1 19
2007-12-29 Aberdeen L 0-1 1638 1772 30.8% 22.1% 47.1% -5.9 19
2007-12-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1772 1638 47.1% 22.1% 30.8% +5.9 29
2007-12-29 Dundee United W 5-3 1740 1724 51.2% 21.7% 27.1% +7.3 35
2007-12-29 @ Motherwell L 3-5 1724 1740 27.1% 21.7% 51.2% -7.3 29
2007-12-29 Gretna W 3-0 1932 1597 80.1% 13.4% 6.6% +3.4 43
2007-12-29 @ Celtic L 0-3 1597 1932 6.6% 13.4% 80.1% -3.4 10
2007-12-29 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1758 1765 48.1% 22.0% 29.9% +5.4 28
2007-12-29 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1765 1758 29.9% 22.0% 48.1% -5.4 20
2007-12-29 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1729 1719 50.3% 21.8% 27.9% +8.8 28
2007-12-29 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1719 1729 27.9% 21.8% 50.3% -8.8 21
2007-12-29 Rangers L 1-2 1760 1919 27.8% 21.8% 50.4% -5.1 28
2007-12-29 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1919 1760 50.4% 21.8% 27.8% +5.1 41
2008-01-02 Falkirk L 0-1 1710 1764 41.9% 22.3% 35.9% -7.5 21
2008-01-02 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1764 1710 35.9% 22.3% 41.9% +7.5 31
2008-01-02 Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1716 1760 43.2% 22.2% 34.6% +14.9 32
2008-01-02 @ Dundee United L 1-4 1760 1716 34.6% 22.2% 43.2% -14.9 20
2008-01-02 Inverness CT W 1-0 1778 1737 54.2% 21.4% 24.4% +4.8 32
2008-01-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1737 1778 24.4% 21.4% 54.2% -4.8 28
2008-01-05 Aberdeen D 0-0 1771 1783 47.5% 22.0% 30.4% -0.7 32
2008-01-05 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1783 1771 30.4% 22.0% 47.5% +0.7 33
2008-01-05 Dundee United W 2-0 1924 1731 69.7% 17.8% 12.5% +4.7 44
2008-01-05 @ Rangers L 0-2 1731 1924 12.5% 17.8% 69.7% -4.7 32
2008-01-05 Gretna W 3-0 1733 1594 64.8% 19.3% 16.0% +8.8 31
2008-01-05 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1594 1733 16.0% 19.3% 64.8% -8.8 10
2008-01-05 Hibernian W 2-1 1632 1755 32.2% 22.1% 45.6% +7.6 22
2008-01-05 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1755 1632 45.6% 22.1% 32.2% -7.6 28
2008-01-05 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1745 1703 54.4% 21.3% 24.3% -1.2 21
2008-01-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1703 1745 24.3% 21.3% 54.4% +1.2 22
2008-01-16 Rangers L 1-2 1585 1929 12.4% 17.7% 69.9% -2.3 10
2008-01-16 @ Gretna W 2-1 1929 1585 69.9% 17.7% 12.4% +2.3 47
2008-01-19 Aberdeen W 3-0 1726 1784 41.3% 22.3% 36.4% +18.5 35
2008-01-19 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1784 1726 36.4% 22.3% 41.3% -18.4 33
2008-01-19 Falkirk W 2-0 1583 1770 24.6% 21.4% 54.0% +17.6 13
2008-01-19 @ Gretna L 0-2 1770 1583 54.0% 21.4% 24.6% -17.6 32
2008-01-19 Hibernian W 1-0 1744 1747 48.6% 22.0% 29.4% +5.7 24
2008-01-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1747 1744 29.4% 22.0% 48.6% -5.7 28
2008-01-19 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1935 1704 72.9% 16.6% 10.5% +2.1 46
2008-01-19 @ Celtic L 0-1 1704 1935 10.5% 16.6% 72.9% -2.1 22
2008-01-19 Motherwell W 3-1 1640 1747 34.2% 22.2% 43.5% +12.7 25
2008-01-19 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1747 1640 43.5% 22.2% 34.2% -12.7 35
2008-01-20 Rangers L 0-1 1741 1931 24.4% 21.4% 54.2% -4.8 31
2008-01-20 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1931 1741 54.2% 21.4% 24.4% +4.8 50
2008-01-26 Dundee United L 1-2 1702 1745 43.3% 22.2% 34.5% -7.3 22
2008-01-26 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1745 1702 34.5% 22.2% 43.3% +7.3 38
2008-01-26 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1765 1749 51.1% 21.7% 27.2% -8.9 33
2008-01-26 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1749 1765 27.2% 21.7% 51.1% +8.9 27
2008-01-26 St. Mirren W 4-0 1936 1653 76.7% 15.0% 8.3% +5.7 53
2008-01-26 @ Rangers L 0-4 1653 1936 8.3% 15.0% 76.7% -5.7 25
2008-01-27 Celtic L 0-1 1753 1937 24.9% 21.4% 53.6% -4.9 32
2008-01-27 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1937 1753 53.6% 21.4% 24.9% +4.9 49
2008-02-09 Falkirk W 2-0 1942 1748 69.8% 17.7% 12.5% +4.7 56
2008-02-09 @ Rangers L 0-2 1748 1942 12.5% 17.7% 69.8% -4.7 32
2008-02-09 Gretna W 2-0 1758 1600 66.6% 18.8% 14.6% +5.6 30
2008-02-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1600 1758 14.6% 18.8% 66.6% -5.6 13
2008-02-09 Hibernian D 1-1 1752 1742 50.4% 21.8% 27.8% -0.9 39
2008-02-09 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1742 1752 27.8% 21.8% 50.4% +0.9 29
2008-02-09 Inverness CT D 1-1 1647 1737 36.7% 22.3% 41.0% +0.2 26
2008-02-09 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1737 1647 41.0% 22.3% 36.7% -0.2 32
2008-02-09 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1735 1695 54.1% 21.4% 24.5% +4.8 38
2008-02-09 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1695 1735 24.5% 21.4% 54.1% -4.8 22
2008-02-10 Celtic L 1-5 1756 1942 24.8% 21.4% 53.8% -14.6 33
2008-02-10 @ Aberdeen W 5-1 1942 1756 53.8% 21.4% 24.8% +14.5 52
2008-02-13 Gretna W 4-2 1743 1595 65.7% 19.0% 15.3% +4.5 32
2008-02-13 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1595 1743 15.3% 19.0% 65.7% -4.5 13
2008-02-16 Dundee United D 1-1 1736 1751 47.1% 22.1% 30.8% -0.6 33
2008-02-16 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1751 1736 30.8% 22.1% 47.1% +0.6 40
2008-02-16 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1957 1764 69.7% 17.7% 12.5% +6.9 55
2008-02-16 @ Celtic L 0-3 1764 1957 12.5% 17.7% 69.7% -6.9 30
2008-02-16 Motherwell L 1-3 1590 1740 28.9% 21.9% 49.2% -9.1 13
2008-02-16 @ Gretna W 3-1 1740 1590 49.2% 21.9% 28.9% +9.1 41
2008-02-16 St. Mirren W 4-0 1743 1647 60.5% 20.3% 19.2% +13.8 35
2008-02-16 @ Falkirk L 0-4 1647 1743 19.2% 20.3% 60.5% -13.8 26
2008-02-17 Aberdeen W 3-1 1747 1742 49.8% 21.9% 28.4% +9.0 35
2008-02-17 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1742 1747 28.4% 21.9% 49.8% -9.0 33
2008-02-17 Rangers L 0-2 1690 1946 18.2% 20.0% 61.7% -6.9 22
2008-02-17 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1946 1690 61.7% 20.0% 18.2% +6.9 59
2008-02-20 Inverness CT W 3-1 1749 1736 50.7% 21.8% 27.5% +8.7 44
2008-02-20 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1736 1749 27.5% 21.8% 50.7% -8.7 33
2008-02-23 Falkirk D 0-0 1752 1757 48.4% 22.0% 29.6% -0.8 41
2008-02-23 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1757 1752 29.6% 22.0% 48.4% +0.8 36
2008-02-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1757 1757 49.1% 21.9% 28.9% -8.6 44
2008-02-23 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1757 1757 28.9% 21.9% 49.1% +8.6 33
2008-02-23 Inverness CT W 2-0 1756 1727 52.8% 21.6% 25.7% +9.5 38
2008-02-23 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1727 1756 25.7% 21.6% 52.8% -9.5 33
2008-02-24 Aberdeen W 3-1 1683 1733 42.3% 22.3% 35.4% +10.8 25
2008-02-24 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1733 1683 35.4% 22.3% 42.3% -10.8 33
2008-02-24 Celtic L 0-1 1633 1964 13.2% 18.1% 68.8% -2.6 26
2008-02-24 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1964 1633 68.8% 18.1% 13.2% +2.6 58
2008-02-24 Gretna W 4-2 1953 1581 82.3% 12.2% 5.5% +1.5 62
2008-02-24 @ Rangers L 2-4 1581 1953 5.5% 12.2% 82.3% -1.5 13
2008-02-27 Hibernian L 0-2 1758 1766 48.1% 22.0% 29.9% -15.9 36
2008-02-27 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1766 1758 29.9% 22.0% 48.1% +15.9 41
2008-02-27 Inverness CT W 2-1 1966 1718 74.2% 16.1% 9.7% +1.8 61
2008-02-27 @ Celtic L 1-2 1718 1966 9.7% 16.1% 74.2% -1.8 33
2008-02-27 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1580 1694 33.4% 22.2% 44.4% +11.5 16
2008-02-27 @ Gretna L 2-4 1694 1580 44.4% 22.2% 33.4% -11.5 25
2008-02-27 Motherwell D 1-1 1722 1749 45.5% 22.2% 32.3% -0.5 34
2008-02-27 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1749 1722 32.3% 22.2% 45.5% +0.5 45
2008-02-27 Rangers L 0-4 1766 1955 24.4% 21.4% 54.2% -17.3 33
2008-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1955 1766 54.2% 21.4% 24.4% +17.3 65
2008-02-27 St. Mirren D 1-1 1751 1631 63.0% 19.7% 17.3% -1.9 42
2008-02-27 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1631 1751 17.3% 19.7% 63.0% +1.9 27
2008-03-01 Aberdeen W 3-1 1972 1722 74.4% 16.0% 9.7% +3.1 68
2008-03-01 @ Rangers L 1-3 1722 1972 9.7% 16.0% 74.4% -3.1 34
2008-03-01 Celtic L 0-2 1781 1968 24.7% 21.4% 53.9% -9.2 41
2008-03-01 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1968 1781 53.9% 21.4% 24.7% +9.2 64
2008-03-01 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1716 1748 44.7% 22.2% 33.1% -21.7 33
2008-03-01 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1748 1716 33.1% 22.2% 44.7% +21.7 36
2008-03-01 Motherwell D 0-0 1742 1749 48.1% 22.0% 29.9% -0.8 37
2008-03-01 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1749 1742 29.9% 22.0% 48.1% +0.8 46
2008-03-01 St. Mirren W 1-0 1682 1633 55.3% 21.2% 23.5% +4.7 28
2008-03-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1633 1682 23.5% 21.2% 55.3% -4.7 27
2008-03-06 Dundee United L 0-3 1591 1749 27.9% 21.8% 50.3% -14.8 16
2008-03-06 @ Gretna W 3-0 1749 1591 50.3% 21.8% 27.9% +14.8 45
2008-03-12 Dundee United D 0-0 1977 1764 71.4% 17.1% 11.4% -2.8 65
2008-03-12 @ Celtic D 0-0 1764 1977 11.4% 17.1% 71.4% +2.8 46
2008-03-12 Motherwell W 1-0 1772 1750 51.9% 21.6% 26.4% +5.2 44
2008-03-12 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1750 1772 26.4% 21.6% 51.9% -5.2 46
2008-03-15 Falkirk L 0-1 1694 1741 42.7% 22.3% 35.0% -7.6 33
2008-03-15 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1741 1694 35.0% 22.3% 42.7% +7.6 40
2008-03-15 Gretna W 3-0 1718 1577 65.1% 19.2% 15.7% +8.7 37
2008-03-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1577 1718 15.7% 19.2% 65.1% -8.7 16
2008-03-15 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1628 1770 29.8% 22.0% 48.2% +0.7 28
2008-03-15 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1770 1628 48.2% 22.0% 29.8% -0.7 37
2008-03-15 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1777 1687 59.9% 20.4% 19.7% +7.5 47
2008-03-15 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1687 1777 19.7% 20.4% 59.9% -7.5 28
2008-03-22 Falkirk D 0-0 1769 1749 51.7% 21.7% 26.6% -1.1 38
2008-03-22 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1749 1769 26.6% 21.7% 51.7% +1.1 41
2008-03-22 Hibernian W 2-1 1975 1785 69.5% 17.8% 12.7% +2.4 71
2008-03-22 @ Rangers L 1-2 1785 1975 12.7% 17.8% 69.5% -2.4 47
2008-03-22 Inverness CT W 4-1 1679 1686 48.2% 22.0% 29.8% +13.2 31
2008-03-22 @ Kilmarnock L 1-4 1686 1679 29.8% 22.0% 48.2% -13.2 33
2008-03-22 Motherwell W 2-0 1767 1745 51.9% 21.6% 26.5% +9.8 49
2008-03-22 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1745 1767 26.5% 21.6% 51.9% -9.8 46
2008-03-22 St. Mirren D 1-1 1727 1629 60.7% 20.2% 19.0% -1.7 38
2008-03-22 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1629 1727 19.0% 20.2% 60.7% +1.7 29
2008-03-23 Celtic L 0-3 1568 1975 9.3% 15.8% 74.9% -5.0 16
2008-03-23 @ Gretna W 3-0 1975 1568 74.9% 15.8% 9.3% +5.0 68
2008-03-29 Aberdeen L 3-4 1673 1725 42.0% 22.3% 35.7% -6.6 33
2008-03-29 @ Inverness CT W 4-3 1725 1673 35.7% 22.3% 42.0% +6.6 41
2008-03-29 Celtic W 1-0 1977 1980 48.8% 21.9% 29.2% +5.6 74
2008-03-29 @ Rangers L 0-1 1980 1977 29.2% 21.9% 48.8% -5.6 68
2008-03-29 Dundee United W 1-0 1768 1777 48.0% 22.0% 30.0% +5.8 41
2008-03-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1777 1768 30.0% 22.0% 48.0% -5.8 49
2008-03-29 Gretna W 2-0 1630 1563 57.3% 20.9% 21.8% +8.2 32
2008-03-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1563 1630 21.8% 20.9% 57.3% -8.2 16
2008-03-29 Hibernian W 1-0 1735 1782 42.7% 22.3% 35.1% +6.5 49
2008-03-29 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1782 1735 35.1% 22.3% 42.7% -6.5 47
2008-03-29 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1750 1693 56.1% 21.1% 22.8% -1.5 42
2008-03-29 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1693 1750 22.8% 21.1% 56.1% +1.5 32
2008-04-05 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1694 1774 38.0% 22.3% 39.6% +0.1 33
2008-04-05 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1774 1694 39.6% 22.3% 38.0% -0.1 42
2008-04-05 Inverness CT L 1-2 1555 1667 33.6% 22.2% 44.2% -6.0 16
2008-04-05 @ Gretna W 2-1 1667 1555 44.2% 22.2% 33.6% +6.0 36
2008-04-05 Motherwell L 0-1 1974 1742 73.0% 16.6% 10.5% -12.1 68
2008-04-05 @ Celtic W 1-0 1742 1974 10.5% 16.6% 73.0% +12.1 52
2008-04-05 St. Mirren W 2-0 1776 1638 64.7% 19.3% 16.0% +6.1 50
2008-04-05 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1638 1776 16.0% 19.3% 64.7% -6.1 32
2008-04-06 Rangers D 3-3 1771 1983 22.1% 21.0% 56.9% +0.9 50
2008-04-06 @ Dundee United D 3-3 1983 1771 56.9% 21.0% 22.1% -0.9 75
2008-04-07 Falkirk W 2-1 1732 1748 46.9% 22.1% 31.0% +5.6 44
2008-04-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1748 1732 31.0% 22.1% 46.9% -5.6 42
2008-04-09 St. Mirren D 0-0 1549 1632 37.5% 22.3% 40.2% +0.1 17
2008-04-09 @ Gretna D 0-0 1632 1549 40.2% 22.3% 37.5% -0.1 33
2008-04-13 Celtic L 1-4 1754 1962 22.5% 21.0% 56.4% -10.3 52
2008-04-13 @ Motherwell W 4-1 1962 1754 56.4% 21.0% 22.5% +10.4 71
2008-04-16 Rangers W 2-1 1972 1982 47.8% 22.0% 30.2% +5.5 74
2008-04-16 @ Celtic L 1-2 1982 1972 30.2% 22.0% 47.8% -5.5 75
2008-05-17 Rangers D 1-1 1743 1976 20.2% 20.5% 59.3% +1.6 53
2008-05-17 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1976 1743 59.3% 20.5% 20.2% -1.6 76
2008-05-19 Rangers L 0-3 1643 1975 13.1% 18.0% 68.9% -7.2 33
2008-05-19 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1975 1643 68.9% 18.0% 13.1% +7.2 79

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2008-04-19 Aberdeen W 1-0 1978 1738 73.6% 16.3% 10.1% +2.0 3
2008-04-19 @ Celtic L 0-1 1738 1978 10.1% 16.3% 73.6% -2.0 0
2008-04-19 Gretna D 0-0 1743 1549 69.8% 17.7% 12.5% -2.6 1
2008-04-19 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1549 1743 12.5% 17.7% 69.8% +2.7 1
2008-04-19 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1673 1694 46.2% 22.1% 31.7% +16.5 3
2008-04-19 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1694 1673 31.7% 22.1% 46.2% -16.5 0
2008-04-19 St. Mirren W 3-2 1774 1632 65.1% 19.2% 15.7% +2.8 3
2008-04-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1632 1774 15.7% 19.2% 65.1% -2.8 0
2008-04-20 Hibernian D 1-1 1772 1782 47.7% 22.0% 30.3% -0.7 1
2008-04-20 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1782 1772 30.3% 22.0% 47.7% +0.7 1
2008-04-26 Dundee United D 2-2 1743 1771 45.4% 22.2% 32.4% -0.4 1
2008-04-26 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1771 1743 32.4% 22.2% 45.4% +0.4 2
2008-04-26 Falkirk W 1-0 1629 1740 33.8% 22.2% 44.0% +7.8 3
2008-04-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1740 1629 44.0% 22.2% 33.8% -7.8 1
2008-04-26 Gretna D 1-1 1678 1551 63.6% 19.6% 16.8% -1.9 1
2008-04-26 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1551 1678 16.8% 19.6% 63.6% +1.9 2
2008-04-26 Hibernian W 2-1 1736 1783 42.7% 22.3% 35.0% +6.2 3
2008-04-26 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1783 1736 35.0% 22.3% 42.7% -6.2 1
2008-04-26 Inverness CT W 1-0 1777 1689 59.6% 20.5% 20.0% +4.0 6
2008-04-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1689 1777 20.0% 20.5% 59.6% -4.0 3
2008-04-27 Rangers W 3-2 1980 1977 49.5% 21.9% 28.7% +5.0 6
2008-04-27 @ Celtic L 2-3 1977 1980 28.7% 21.9% 49.5% -5.0 0
2008-05-03 Celtic L 1-2 1743 1985 19.5% 20.4% 60.2% -3.7 1
2008-05-03 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1985 1743 60.2% 20.4% 19.5% +3.7 9
2008-05-03 Dundee United W 2-1 1742 1771 45.1% 22.2% 32.7% +5.8 6
2008-05-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1771 1742 32.7% 22.2% 45.1% -5.8 2
2008-05-03 Gretna W 6-1 1685 1553 64.1% 19.4% 16.4% +12.1 6
2008-05-03 @ Inverness CT L 1-6 1553 1685 16.4% 19.4% 64.1% -12.1 2
2008-05-03 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1637 1676 43.9% 22.2% 33.9% +6.4 6
2008-05-03 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1676 1637 33.9% 22.2% 43.9% -6.4 1
2008-05-04 Rangers D 0-0 1777 1972 23.8% 21.3% 54.9% +1.4 2
2008-05-04 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1972 1777 54.9% 21.3% 23.8% -1.4 1
2008-05-05 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1732 1781 42.5% 22.3% 35.2% +6.2 4
2008-05-05 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1781 1732 35.2% 22.3% 42.5% -6.2 6
2008-05-07 Motherwell W 1-0 1970 1739 72.9% 16.6% 10.5% +2.1 4
2008-05-07 @ Rangers L 0-1 1739 1970 10.5% 16.6% 72.9% -2.1 1
2008-05-10 Aberdeen W 2-1 1737 1748 47.7% 22.0% 30.2% +5.5 4
2008-05-10 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1748 1737 30.2% 22.0% 47.7% -5.5 6
2008-05-10 Dundee United W 3-1 1973 1766 70.9% 17.3% 11.8% +3.8 7
2008-05-10 @ Rangers L 1-3 1766 1973 11.8% 17.3% 70.9% -3.8 2
2008-05-10 Gretna D 0-0 1644 1541 61.1% 20.2% 18.7% -1.9 7
2008-05-10 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1541 1644 18.7% 20.2% 61.1% +1.9 3
2008-05-10 Inverness CT W 2-1 1738 1697 54.3% 21.4% 24.4% +4.5 7
2008-05-10 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1697 1738 24.4% 21.4% 54.3% -4.5 6
2008-05-10 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1775 1669 61.4% 20.1% 18.5% -19.7 6
2008-05-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1669 1775 18.5% 20.1% 61.4% +19.7 4
2008-05-11 Hibernian W 2-0 1988 1778 71.2% 17.2% 11.6% +4.3 12
2008-05-11 @ Celtic L 0-2 1778 1988 11.6% 17.2% 71.2% -4.4 2
2008-05-13 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1543 1755 22.2% 21.0% 56.8% +9.8 6
2008-05-13 @ Gretna L 0-1 1755 1543 56.8% 21.0% 22.2% -9.8 6
2008-05-17 Falkirk W 2-1 1689 1743 41.7% 22.3% 36.0% +6.3 7
2008-05-17 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1743 1689 36.0% 22.3% 41.7% -6.3 7
2008-05-17 St. Mirren D 0-0 1693 1642 55.4% 21.2% 23.4% -1.4 7
2008-05-17 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1642 1693 23.4% 21.2% 55.4% +1.4 8
2008-05-22 Celtic L 0-1 1762 1993 20.4% 20.6% 59.0% -4.1 2
2008-05-22 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1993 1762 59.0% 20.6% 20.4% +4.1 15
2008-05-22 Motherwell L 0-2 1774 1744 52.8% 21.5% 25.7% -17.2 2
2008-05-22 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1744 1774 25.7% 21.5% 52.8% +17.2 7
2008-05-22 Rangers W 2-0 1742 1982 19.6% 20.4% 60.0% +19.3 9
2008-05-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1982 1742 60.0% 20.4% 19.6% -19.3 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-04-05 10.49% Motherwell 1742 1 @ Celtic 1974 0
2 2007-12-22 14.67% Gretna 1586 2 @ Dundee United 1743 1
3 2007-12-26 15.22% St. Mirren 1627 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1776 0
4 2007-10-27 16.19% St. Mirren 1661 1 @ Hibernian 1796 0
5 2008-05-10 18.48% Kilmarnock 1669 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1775 0
6 2007-10-06 18.67% Hibernian 1793 1 @ Rangers 1895 0
7 2008-05-22 19.63% @ Aberdeen 1742 2 Rangers 1982 0
8 2007-10-20 19.85% Dundee United 1723 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1811 1
9 2007-09-15 20.60% Motherwell 1704 2 @ Aberdeen 1784 1
10 2007-12-16 21.64% @ Inverness CT 1716 3 Celtic 1934 2
11 2008-05-13 22.19% @ Gretna 1543 1 Heart of Midlothian 1755 0
12 2007-12-22 22.51% Inverness CT 1725 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1785 2
13 2007-12-01 22.81% Inverness CT 1693 1 @ Dundee United 1750 0
14 2007-12-08 23.16% Motherwell 1744 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1797 1
15 2007-08-06 23.27% Hibernian 1755 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1807 0
16 2007-12-22 24.18% Falkirk 1727 3 @ Motherwell 1770 0
17 2008-01-19 24.63% @ Gretna 1583 2 Falkirk 1770 0
18 2007-08-25 25.23% Dundee United 1686 3 @ Inverness CT 1719 0
19 2007-08-25 25.58% St. Mirren 1692 1 @ Falkirk 1722 0
20 2008-05-22 25.66% Motherwell 1744 2 @ Hibernian 1774 0
21 2008-01-26 27.16% Heart of Midlothian 1749 1 @ Aberdeen 1765 0
22 2007-10-28 27.27% @ Dundee United 1739 2 Rangers 1903 1
23 2007-11-10 27.91% Motherwell 1703 3 @ Inverness CT 1712 0
24 2007-11-24 28.36% Motherwell 1727 1 @ Kilmarnock 1732 0
25 2007-09-23 28.92% @ Hibernian 1774 3 Celtic 1923 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-04 28.91 Falkirk 4 1717 32.12% @ Gretna 0 1692 45.74% 22.15%
2 2007-10-27 26.39 Inverness CT 4 1691 36.81% @ Gretna 0 1631 40.88% 22.31%
3 2007-12-22 25.72 Falkirk 3 1727 24.18% @ Motherwell 0 1770 54.49% 21.33%
4 2007-08-25 25.23 Dundee United 3 1686 25.23% @ Inverness CT 0 1719 53.28% 21.48%
5 2007-11-10 23.98 Motherwell 3 1703 27.91% @ Inverness CT 0 1712 50.28% 21.81%
6 2007-12-01 23.97 Falkirk 5 1695 32.39% @ St. Mirren 1 1667 45.45% 22.16%
7 2008-03-01 21.73 Heart of Midlothian 3 1748 33.08% @ Inverness CT 0 1716 44.72% 22.20%
8 2008-05-10 19.71 Kilmarnock 2 1669 18.48% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1775 61.44% 20.09%
9 2008-05-22 19.29 @ Aberdeen 2 1742 19.63% Rangers 0 1982 59.98% 20.40%
10 2007-12-15 19.22 Dundee United 3 1724 39.32% @ St. Mirren 0 1646 38.36% 22.32%
11 2008-01-19 18.45 @ Dundee United 3 1726 41.28% Aberdeen 0 1784 36.42% 22.30%
12 2007-08-25 17.82 @ Celtic 5 1881 59.33% Heart of Midlothian 0 1796 20.15% 20.53%
13 2007-08-04 17.71 Rangers 3 1853 43.16% @ Inverness CT 0 1748 34.58% 22.26%
14 2008-01-19 17.56 @ Gretna 2 1583 24.63% Falkirk 0 1770 53.97% 21.40%
15 2007-10-20 17.50 @ Rangers 3 1885 43.69% Celtic 0 1925 34.07% 22.24%
16 2007-12-15 17.32 @ Motherwell 3 1753 44.13% Aberdeen 0 1790 33.65% 22.22%
17 2008-02-27 17.26 Rangers 4 1955 54.19% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1766 24.44% 21.37%
18 2008-05-22 17.23 Motherwell 2 1744 25.66% @ Hibernian 0 1774 52.79% 21.54%
19 2007-10-20 16.64 Dundee United 3 1723 19.85% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1811 59.69% 20.45%
20 2007-12-08 16.50 @ Falkirk 3 1719 46.18% Dundee United 0 1740 31.70% 22.12%
21 2008-04-19 16.49 @ Inverness CT 3 1673 46.21% Kilmarnock 0 1694 31.67% 22.12%
22 2008-02-27 15.89 Hibernian 2 1766 29.94% @ Falkirk 0 1758 48.06% 22.00%
23 2008-01-02 14.93 @ Dundee United 4 1716 43.19% Heart of Midlothian 1 1760 34.56% 22.25%
24 2008-03-06 14.82 Dundee United 3 1749 50.30% @ Gretna 0 1591 27.89% 21.81%
25 2007-08-11 14.71 Celtic 4 1855 43.84% @ Falkirk 1 1746 33.93% 22.23%