2006-07 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

84 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dunfermline Athletic

19.12 points above expected

32 points · 51.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

81.56 points below expected

84 points · 165.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 24 6 3 78 59 25 +34 68.98 +9.02
2 Rangers 33 19 8 6 65 54 25 +29 63.65 +1.35
3 Aberdeen 33 17 6 10 57 46 33 +13 52.06 +4.94
4 Heart of Midlothian 33 15 9 9 54 40 30 +10 58.99 -4.99
5 Kilmarnock 33 13 7 13 46 43 49 -6 43.91 +2.09
6 Hibernian 33 12 8 13 44 49 37 +12 46.32 -2.32
7 Falkirk 33 12 4 17 40 40 42 -2 34.64 +5.36
8 Dundee United 33 10 10 13 40 39 53 -14 29.81 +10.19
9 Inverness CT 33 8 12 13 36 36 45 -9 47.23 -11.23
10 Motherwell 33 10 6 17 36 35 49 -14 39.02 -3.02
11 St. Mirren 33 5 12 16 27 24 47 -23 37.39 -10.39
12 Dunfermline Athletic 33 5 8 20 23 19 49 -30 28.87 -5.87
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 26 6 6 84 65 34 +31 165.56 -81.56
2 Rangers 38 21 9 8 72 61 32 +29 138.88 -66.88
3 Aberdeen 38 19 8 11 65 55 38 +17 120.36 -55.36
4 Heart of Midlothian 38 17 10 11 61 47 35 +12 114.89 -53.89
5 Kilmarnock 38 16 7 15 55 47 54 -7 96.73 -41.73
6 Hibernian 38 13 10 15 49 56 46 +10 93.17 -44.17
7 Falkirk 38 15 5 18 50 49 47 +2 87.13 -37.13
8 Inverness CT 38 11 13 14 46 42 48 -6 84.64 -38.64
9 Dundee United 38 10 12 16 42 40 59 -19 82.57 -40.57
10 Motherwell 38 10 8 20 38 41 61 -20 79.45 -41.45
11 St. Mirren 38 8 12 18 36 31 51 -20 60.42 -24.42
12 Dunfermline Athletic 38 8 8 22 32 26 55 -29 51.12 -19.12

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1890 84 68.98 +15.02 91.8% 43 58 64 69 74 80 92
Rangers 1871 72 63.65 +8.35 59.8% 36 52 59 64 69 75 90
Heart of Midlothian 1798 61 58.99 +2.01 26.3% 31 47 54 59 64 71 82
Aberdeen 1781 65 52.06 +12.94 77.0% 23 40 47 52 57 64 80
Hibernian 1709 49 46.32 +2.68 40.4% 22 34 41 46 51 58 74
Inverness CT 1700 46 47.23 -1.23 6.8% 23 35 42 47 52 59 76
Kilmarnock 1697 55 43.91 +11.09 64.0% 18 32 39 44 49 56 70
Falkirk 1644 50 34.64 +15.36 79.8% 10 23 30 35 39 46 62
Motherwell 1624 38 39.02 -1.02 36.8% 13 27 34 39 44 51 67
St. Mirren 1616 36 37.39 -1.39 7.9% 11 26 32 37 42 49 68
Dundee United 1590 42 29.81 +12.19 93.8% 7 19 25 30 34 41 57
Dunfermline Athletic 1555 32 28.87 +3.13 22.0% 7 18 24 29 33 40 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU DA FAL HOM HIB IC KIL MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen
0-0-4
3.58
1-0-2
6.24
3-0-0
6.33
3-0-0
5.62
2-1-1
4.80
1-3-0
6.27
0-3-0
4.67
3-0-1
6.69
3-0-0
5.12
1-0-3
4.08
2-1-0
5.24
Celtic
4-0-0
7.54
1-2-0
7.12
3-0-0
7.45
2-0-1
6.92
2-0-2
6.91
2-1-1
8.24
2-1-0
5.93
4-0-0
8.41
2-1-0
6.80
1-1-2
6.16
3-0-0
6.77
Dundee United
2-0-1
2.18
0-2-1
1.46
0-2-2
5.83
0-0-4
5.02
1-0-2
1.80
0-1-2
2.82
1-2-1
3.64
1-1-1
2.69
1-3-0
4.85
1-1-1
1.53
3-0-1
4.68
Dunfermline Athletic
0-0-3
2.11
0-0-3
1.20
2-2-0
5.17
0-0-4
4.72
0-1-2
1.95
1-0-2
2.69
1-1-2
3.23
1-1-1
2.88
1-0-3
4.20
0-1-2
1.68
2-2-0
4.42
Falkirk
0-0-3
2.71
1-0-2
1.62
4-0-0
5.99
4-0-0
6.31
0-2-1
2.12
2-0-1
2.85
2-1-1
4.15
0-0-3
3.56
0-1-3
5.10
1-0-2
1.77
1-1-2
5.76
Heart of Midlothian
1-1-2
6.22
2-0-2
4.16
2-0-1
6.70
2-1-0
6.51
1-2-0
6.30
3-1-0
6.96
2-1-0
5.34
1-1-2
7.32
3-0-0
5.75
0-1-3
4.46
0-2-1
6.19
Hibernian
0-3-1
4.75
1-1-2
2.97
2-1-0
5.51
2-0-1
5.65
1-0-2
5.46
0-1-3
4.10
1-1-1
3.78
1-1-2
5.80
3-0-0
4.87
1-1-2
3.66
1-1-1
4.90
Inverness CT
0-3-0
3.61
0-1-2
2.44
1-2-1
7.48
2-1-1
7.94
1-1-2
6.91
0-1-2
2.97
1-1-1
4.48
0-1-2
4.19
2-0-2
6.46
2-1-0
2.41
2-1-1
6.71
Kilmarnock
1-0-3
4.35
0-0-4
2.82
1-1-1
5.65
1-1-1
5.44
3-0-0
4.71
2-1-1
3.77
2-1-1
5.21
2-1-0
4.06
1-0-2
4.55
1-1-2
3.18
2-1-0
4.57
Motherwell
0-0-3
3.16
0-1-2
1.71
0-3-1
6.17
3-0-1
6.85
3-1-0
5.91
0-0-3
2.59
0-0-3
3.41
2-0-2
4.57
2-0-1
3.71
0-1-2
2.38
0-2-2
5.81
Rangers
3-0-1
6.99
2-1-1
4.86
1-1-1
7.03
2-1-0
6.84
2-0-1
6.73
3-1-0
6.59
2-1-1
7.44
0-1-2
5.97
2-1-1
8.00
2-1-0
6.00
2-1-0
6.38
St. Mirren
0-1-2
3.05
0-0-3
1.74
1-0-3
6.36
0-2-2
6.63
2-1-1
5.26
1-2-0
2.22
1-1-1
3.38
1-1-2
4.33
0-1-2
3.69
2-2-0
5.20
0-1-2
2.06

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.81 +12.1
Allowed 0.73 -13.4
Differential 0.89 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.46%11.40%6.80%2.41%0.88%0.44%29.39%
111.40%11.84%8.77%2.63%1.32%1.32%37.28%
26.80%8.77%3.51%1.54%0.44%21.05%
32.41%2.63%1.54%0.88%0.22%7.68%
40.88%1.32%0.44%0.22%2.85%
5+0.44%1.32%1.75%
Total29.39%37.28%21.05%7.68%2.85%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.15 1.69
CV 0.94 0.94
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%2.63%15.79%
17.89%15.79%7.89%5.26%36.84%
215.79%13.16%2.63%2.63%34.21%
37.89%5.26%13.16%
4
5+
Total34.21%44.74%10.53%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.00 +0.45
SD 0.92 1.01 1.54
CV 0.64 1.01
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%
118.42%10.53%5.26%2.63%36.84%
27.89%28.95%5.26%42.11%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
45.26%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total28.95%55.26%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.89 +0.82
SD 1.06 0.73 1.31
CV 0.62 0.81
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%39.47%
17.89%10.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%5.26%36.84%
22.63%5.26%7.89%
37.89%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total26.32%31.58%23.68%5.26%5.26%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.55 -0.50
SD 1.18 1.48 1.93
CV 1.13 0.96
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%18.42%10.53%10.53%2.63%55.26%
17.89%7.89%13.16%2.63%31.58%
25.26%5.26%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total21.05%36.84%26.32%10.53%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.45 -0.76
SD 0.99 1.18 1.58
CV 1.45 0.81
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%10.53%2.63%28.95%
115.79%7.89%15.79%39.47%
25.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%15.79%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
4
5+5.26%5.26%
Total28.95%34.21%26.32%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.24 +0.05
SD 1.29 1.10 1.79
CV 1.00 0.89
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%13.16%5.26%2.63%31.58%
118.42%10.53%7.89%36.84%
25.26%5.26%5.26%15.79%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%5.26%7.89%
5+
Total36.84%39.47%21.05%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.92 +0.32
SD 1.22 0.91 1.54
CV 0.98 0.99
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%5.26%5.26%34.21%
15.26%10.53%15.79%
213.16%7.89%10.53%2.63%34.21%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+5.26%5.26%
Total26.32%36.84%26.32%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.21 +0.26
SD 1.47 0.96 1.86
CV 0.99 0.80
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%2.63%2.63%26.32%
110.53%23.68%5.26%7.89%2.63%50.00%
22.63%7.89%2.63%13.16%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total26.32%44.74%10.53%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.26 -0.16
SD 0.98 1.16 1.39
CV 0.89 0.91
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%23.68%
118.42%7.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%44.74%
27.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%23.68%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total31.58%23.68%23.68%15.79%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.42 -0.18
SD 1.10 1.31 1.75
CV 0.89 0.92
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%15.79%34.21%
17.89%10.53%7.89%2.63%7.89%2.63%39.47%
25.26%7.89%5.26%18.42%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total23.68%28.95%26.32%10.53%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.61 -0.53
SD 1.15 1.41 1.81
CV 1.06 0.88
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%5.26%15.79%
115.79%13.16%7.89%36.84%
210.53%10.53%5.26%26.32%
37.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%15.79%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total42.11%34.21%21.05%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.84 +0.76
SD 1.17 0.86 1.57
CV 0.73 1.02
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%15.79%13.16%39.47%
17.89%18.42%5.26%5.26%5.26%42.11%
27.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%15.79%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total26.32%36.84%23.68%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.34 -0.53
SD 0.80 1.26 1.43
CV 0.98 0.94
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dunfermline Athletic 32 51.12 -19.12
2 St. Mirren 36 60.42 -24.42
3 Falkirk 50 87.13 -37.13
4 Inverness CT 46 84.64 -38.64
5 Dundee United 42 82.57 -40.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 84 165.56 -81.56
2 Rangers 72 138.88 -66.88
3 Aberdeen 65 120.36 -55.36
4 Heart of Midlothian 61 114.89 -53.89
5 Hibernian 49 93.17 -44.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 11 Aug 26 – Nov 18 1 in 188
2 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Apr 7 – May 7 1 in 165
3 Kilmarnock 3 May 5 – May 20 1 in 88
4 Rangers 5 Feb 11 – Mar 17 1 in 36
5 Dundee United 2 Nov 5 – Nov 11 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 6 Jan 20 – Mar 10 1 in 59
2 Inverness CT 3 Dec 2 – Dec 16 1 in 57
3 Celtic 2 Mar 11 – Mar 18 1 in 29
4 Heart of Midlothian 2 Mar 10 – Mar 17 1 in 22
5 Motherwell 4 Jul 30 – Aug 19 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 27 Aug 12 – Mar 3 1 in 217
2 Rangers 15 Dec 30 – May 5 1 in 48
3 Dundee United 4 Aug 5 – Aug 26 1 in 33
4 Inverness CT 8 Sep 9 – Nov 6 1 in 25
5 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Apr 7 – May 7 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 8 Oct 15 – Dec 2 1 in 367
2 Inverness CT 9 Oct 28 – Dec 23 1 in 143
3 St. Mirren 12 Dec 30 – Apr 8 1 in 56
4 Dunfermline Athletic 15 Nov 25 – Mar 10 1 in 31
5 Hibernian 7 Apr 1 – May 12 1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic63.03%24.67%8.73%2.57%0.75%0.19%0.05%0.01%
Rangers25.35%39.87%21.53%8.04%3.48%1.14%0.43%0.12%0.03%0.01%
Aberdeen1.76%7.15%17.40%26.96%19.69%11.75%8.18%3.91%2.15%0.81%0.20%0.04%
Heart of Midlothian9.21%23.46%33.80%18.55%8.23%4.05%1.62%0.77%0.21%0.06%0.04%
Kilmarnock0.06%0.83%3.47%8.76%14.28%18.03%18.47%15.01%10.75%6.25%2.89%1.20%
Hibernian0.19%1.76%6.63%14.23%19.55%19.34%14.99%11.34%6.17%3.40%1.77%0.63%
Falkirk0.04%0.23%1.12%2.50%4.86%9.01%13.11%17.66%21.20%18.63%11.64%
Inverness CT0.38%1.94%6.93%14.77%19.70%19.63%15.73%10.27%5.90%3.10%1.31%0.34%
Dundee United0.02%0.15%0.66%1.63%2.75%6.18%10.69%17.02%28.31%32.59%
Motherwell0.02%0.21%0.84%2.81%6.46%10.37%14.64%18.21%18.74%14.24%9.02%4.44%
St. Mirren0.07%0.41%1.99%4.23%7.94%11.81%16.37%18.91%18.53%12.61%7.13%
Dunfermline Athletic0.01%0.05%0.47%1.07%2.32%4.70%8.79%15.38%25.22%41.99%
Team123456789101112
Celtic99.97%0.03%
Rangers0.03%98.97%0.98%0.02%
Aberdeen0.89%72.72%26.24%0.15%
Heart of Midlothian0.11%26.28%72.40%1.20%0.01%
Kilmarnock0.02%1.00%65.20%33.78%
Hibernian0.34%33.45%66.21%
Falkirk36.60%39.90%17.80%5.68%0.02%
Inverness CT54.65%32.17%10.47%2.70%0.01%
Dundee United3.42%12.30%34.84%47.93%1.51%
Motherwell5.33%15.63%36.65%41.53%0.85%0.01%
St. Mirren0.24%2.12%86.68%10.96%
Dunfermline Athletic0.04%10.93%89.03%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.40%
Slight Edge
43.86%23.68%32.46%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 39.79 Elo pts.
234 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.32/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.68 * Some Luck: 5.68 to 8.52 * Lucky: 8.52 to 11.36 * Wild Swing: 11.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.55 * Off: 1.55 to 2.07 * Way Off: 2.07 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.77 points
Some Luck
07.1018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Close
01.293
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.83%
Dundee United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.84%
Inverness CT
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.69
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.84
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.31
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Rangers 100%
Aberdeen 99.96% 0.04%
Inverness CT 99.73% 0.27%
Hibernian 99.57% 0.43%
Kilmarnock 99.04% 0.96%
Motherwell 96.01% 3.99%
St. Mirren 92.89% 7.11%
Falkirk 88.47% 11.53%
Dundee United 69.11% 30.89%
Dunfermline Athletic 55.22% 44.78%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Falkirk 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Inverness CT 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Rangers 100%
Motherwell 99.99% 0.01%
St. Mirren 89.04% 10.96%
Dunfermline Athletic 10.97% 89.03%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2006-07-29 Aberdeen D 1-1 1684 1744 34.8% 25.1% 40.2% +0.1 1
2006-07-29 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1744 1684 40.2% 25.1% 34.8% -0.1 1
2006-07-29 Falkirk L 1-2 1579 1605 39.8% 25.1% 35.2% -4.2 0
2006-07-29 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1605 1579 35.2% 25.1% 39.8% +4.2 3
2006-07-29 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1595 1812 18.7% 20.4% 60.9% -2.1 0
2006-07-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1812 1595 60.9% 20.4% 18.7% +2.1 3
2006-07-29 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1867 1696 65.2% 18.6% 16.2% +4.5 3
2006-07-29 @ Celtic L 1-4 1696 1867 16.2% 18.6% 65.2% -4.5 0
2006-07-29 St. Mirren L 1-2 1727 1650 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% -5.3 0
2006-07-29 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1650 1727 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% +5.3 3
2006-07-30 Rangers L 1-2 1670 1844 22.1% 22.2% 55.6% -2.5 0
2006-07-30 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1844 1670 55.6% 22.2% 22.1% +2.5 3
2006-08-05 Dundee United D 2-2 1846 1575 75.6% 13.5% 10.9% -1.2 4
2006-08-05 @ Rangers D 2-2 1575 1846 10.9% 13.5% 75.6% +1.2 1
2006-08-05 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1609 1593 45.5% 24.6% 29.9% +3.6 6
2006-08-05 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1593 1609 29.9% 24.6% 45.5% -3.6 0
2006-08-05 Hibernian W 2-1 1692 1684 44.5% 24.7% 30.8% +3.4 3
2006-08-05 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1684 1692 30.8% 24.7% 44.5% -3.4 1
2006-08-05 Inverness CT D 1-1 1744 1722 46.5% 24.4% 29.1% -0.4 2
2006-08-05 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1722 1744 29.1% 24.4% 46.5% +0.4 1
2006-08-05 Motherwell W 2-0 1655 1667 41.7% 25.0% 33.4% +7.3 6
2006-08-05 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1667 1655 33.4% 25.0% 41.7% -7.3 0
2006-08-06 Celtic W 2-1 1814 1872 35.2% 25.1% 39.7% +4.2 6
2006-08-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1872 1814 39.7% 25.1% 35.2% -4.2 3
2006-08-12 Aberdeen L 0-2 1660 1744 31.7% 24.8% 43.5% -7.0 0
2006-08-12 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1744 1660 43.5% 24.8% 31.7% +7.0 5
2006-08-12 Dundee United D 0-0 1695 1576 59.1% 21.1% 19.8% -1.1 4
2006-08-12 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1576 1695 19.8% 21.1% 59.1% +1.1 2
2006-08-12 Falkirk D 0-0 1819 1612 69.1% 16.8% 14.1% -1.5 7
2006-08-12 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1612 1819 14.1% 16.8% 69.1% +1.5 7
2006-08-12 Hibernian D 0-0 1722 1680 49.1% 23.9% 27.0% -0.6 2
2006-08-12 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1680 1722 27.0% 23.9% 49.1% +0.6 2
2006-08-12 St. Mirren W 2-0 1868 1663 69.0% 16.8% 14.2% +3.1 6
2006-08-12 @ Celtic L 0-2 1663 1868 14.2% 16.8% 69.0% -3.1 6
2006-08-13 Rangers D 1-1 1590 1845 16.1% 18.5% 65.4% +1.2 1
2006-08-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1845 1590 65.4% 18.5% 16.1% -1.2 5
2006-08-19 Aberdeen D 1-1 1660 1751 30.8% 24.7% 44.5% +0.3 7
2006-08-19 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1751 1660 44.5% 24.7% 30.8% -0.3 6
2006-08-19 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1577 1591 41.4% 25.0% 33.6% -0.2 3
2006-08-19 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1591 1577 33.6% 25.0% 41.4% +0.2 2
2006-08-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1844 1817 47.1% 24.3% 28.6% +6.5 8
2006-08-19 @ Rangers L 0-2 1817 1844 28.6% 24.3% 47.1% -6.5 7
2006-08-19 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1614 1694 32.1% 24.9% 43.0% -3.6 7
2006-08-19 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1694 1614 43.0% 24.9% 32.1% +3.6 7
2006-08-19 Motherwell W 3-1 1681 1653 47.3% 24.3% 28.4% +5.6 5
2006-08-19 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1653 1681 28.4% 24.3% 47.3% -5.6 0
2006-08-20 Celtic D 1-1 1721 1871 24.4% 23.2% 52.4% +0.7 3
2006-08-20 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1871 1721 52.4% 23.2% 24.4% -0.7 7
2006-08-26 Dundee United L 1-3 1660 1577 54.5% 22.6% 22.9% -9.3 7
2006-08-26 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1577 1660 22.9% 22.6% 54.5% +9.3 6
2006-08-26 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1751 1591 63.9% 19.1% 17.0% +2.0 9
2006-08-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1591 1751 17.0% 19.1% 63.9% -2.0 2
2006-08-26 Hibernian W 2-1 1870 1687 66.6% 17.9% 15.4% +1.7 10
2006-08-26 @ Celtic L 1-2 1687 1870 15.4% 17.9% 66.6% -1.7 5
2006-08-26 Inverness CT W 4-1 1811 1722 55.3% 22.3% 22.4% +6.3 10
2006-08-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1722 1811 22.4% 22.3% 55.3% -6.3 3
2006-08-26 Motherwell L 0-1 1610 1647 38.1% 25.1% 36.8% -4.3 7
2006-08-26 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1647 1610 36.8% 25.1% 38.1% +4.3 3
2006-08-27 Rangers D 2-2 1698 1851 24.1% 23.1% 52.8% +0.5 8
2006-08-27 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1851 1698 52.8% 23.1% 24.1% -0.5 9
2006-09-09 Celtic L 0-1 1753 1872 27.5% 24.1% 48.4% -3.3 9
2006-09-09 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1872 1753 48.4% 24.1% 27.5% +3.3 13
2006-09-09 Falkirk W 4-0 1850 1606 73.0% 14.8% 12.2% +4.9 12
2006-09-09 @ Rangers L 0-4 1606 1850 12.2% 14.8% 73.0% -4.9 7
2006-09-09 Inverness CT L 1-4 1652 1716 34.3% 25.0% 40.7% -9.2 3
2006-09-09 @ Motherwell W 4-1 1716 1652 40.7% 25.0% 34.3% +9.2 6
2006-09-09 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1589 1698 28.7% 24.3% 47.0% +4.5 5
2006-09-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1698 1589 47.0% 24.3% 28.7% -4.5 8
2006-09-09 St. Mirren L 0-1 1817 1651 64.7% 18.8% 16.5% -6.5 10
2006-09-09 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1651 1817 16.5% 18.8% 64.7% +6.5 10
2006-09-10 Hibernian L 0-3 1586 1685 29.9% 24.6% 45.5% -9.7 6
2006-09-10 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1685 1586 45.5% 24.6% 29.9% +9.8 8
2006-09-16 Aberdeen L 0-2 1601 1749 24.5% 23.2% 52.3% -5.6 7
2006-09-16 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1749 1601 52.3% 23.2% 24.5% +5.6 12
2006-09-16 Dundee United D 0-0 1725 1577 62.6% 19.7% 17.7% -1.2 7
2006-09-16 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1577 1725 17.7% 19.7% 62.6% +1.2 7
2006-09-16 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1875 1594 76.6% 13.0% 10.4% +1.1 16
2006-09-16 @ Celtic L 0-1 1594 1875 10.4% 13.0% 76.6% -1.1 5
2006-09-16 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1657 1694 38.1% 25.1% 36.8% -4.3 10
2006-09-16 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1694 1657 36.8% 25.1% 38.1% +4.3 11
2006-09-17 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1642 1811 22.7% 22.5% 54.8% -2.8 3
2006-09-17 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1811 1642 54.8% 22.5% 22.7% +2.8 13
2006-09-17 Rangers W 2-1 1695 1855 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% +5.3 11
2006-09-17 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1855 1695 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% -5.3 12
2006-09-23 Falkirk L 0-1 1700 1595 57.3% 21.7% 21.0% -5.9 11
2006-09-23 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1595 1700 21.0% 21.7% 57.3% +5.9 10
2006-09-23 Inverness CT D 1-1 1698 1724 39.7% 25.1% 35.2% -0.1 12
2006-09-23 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1724 1698 35.2% 25.1% 39.7% +0.1 8
2006-09-23 Motherwell D 1-1 1578 1640 34.6% 25.1% 40.4% +0.1 8
2006-09-23 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1640 1578 40.4% 25.1% 34.6% -0.1 4
2006-09-23 Rangers W 2-0 1876 1850 47.1% 24.3% 28.6% +6.5 19
2006-09-23 @ Celtic L 0-2 1850 1876 28.6% 24.3% 47.1% -6.5 12
2006-09-23 St. Mirren W 2-1 1592 1653 34.8% 25.1% 40.1% +4.2 8
2006-09-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1653 1592 40.1% 25.1% 34.8% -4.2 10
2006-09-24 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1755 1813 35.1% 25.1% 39.9% -6.6 12
2006-09-24 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1813 1755 39.9% 25.1% 35.1% +6.6 16
2006-09-30 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1724 1597 60.1% 20.7% 19.2% +2.3 11
2006-09-30 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1597 1724 19.2% 20.7% 60.1% -2.3 8
2006-09-30 Hibernian W 1-0 1649 1694 36.9% 25.1% 38.0% +4.3 13
2006-09-30 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1694 1649 38.0% 25.1% 36.9% -4.3 11
2006-09-30 Kilmarnock W 5-0 1640 1698 35.1% 25.1% 39.9% +19.7 7
2006-09-30 @ Motherwell L 0-5 1698 1640 39.9% 25.1% 35.1% -19.6 12
2006-10-01 Aberdeen W 1-0 1843 1748 56.1% 22.1% 21.8% +2.7 15
2006-10-01 @ Rangers L 0-1 1748 1843 21.8% 22.1% 56.1% -2.7 12
2006-10-01 Celtic L 0-1 1601 1883 14.6% 17.2% 68.3% -1.7 10
2006-10-01 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1883 1601 68.3% 17.2% 14.6% +1.7 22
2006-10-01 Dundee United W 4-0 1820 1578 72.8% 14.9% 12.3% +5.0 19
2006-10-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1578 1820 12.3% 14.9% 72.8% -5.0 8
2006-10-14 Aberdeen W 1-0 1678 1746 33.9% 25.0% 41.1% +4.6 15
2006-10-14 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1746 1678 41.1% 25.0% 33.9% -4.6 12
2006-10-14 Celtic L 1-4 1573 1885 13.0% 15.6% 71.4% -3.4 8
2006-10-14 @ Dundee United W 4-1 1885 1573 71.4% 15.6% 13.0% +3.4 25
2006-10-14 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1659 1594 52.2% 23.2% 24.6% +2.8 10
2006-10-14 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1594 1659 24.6% 23.2% 52.2% -2.8 8
2006-10-14 Inverness CT L 0-1 1846 1726 59.2% 21.0% 19.8% -6.1 15
2006-10-14 @ Rangers W 1-0 1726 1846 19.8% 21.0% 59.2% +6.1 14
2006-10-14 St. Mirren D 1-1 1600 1653 35.8% 25.1% 39.1% +0.1 11
2006-10-14 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1653 1600 39.1% 25.1% 35.8% -0.1 14
2006-10-15 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1690 1825 25.9% 23.6% 50.5% +0.4 12
2006-10-15 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1825 1690 50.5% 23.6% 25.9% -0.4 20
2006-10-21 Dundee United W 3-1 1741 1570 65.3% 18.5% 16.2% +3.1 15
2006-10-21 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1570 1741 16.2% 18.5% 65.3% -3.1 8
2006-10-21 Falkirk W 3-2 1732 1600 60.7% 20.4% 18.8% +2.0 17
2006-10-21 @ Inverness CT L 2-3 1600 1732 18.8% 20.4% 60.7% -2.0 11
2006-10-21 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1824 1683 61.8% 20.0% 18.2% -11.9 20
2006-10-21 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1683 1824 18.2% 20.0% 61.8% +11.9 18
2006-10-21 Motherwell W 2-1 1888 1662 71.2% 15.8% 13.1% +1.4 28
2006-10-21 @ Celtic L 1-2 1662 1888 13.1% 15.8% 71.2% -1.4 10
2006-10-22 Rangers L 2-3 1653 1840 21.1% 21.7% 57.2% -2.3 14
2006-10-22 @ St. Mirren W 3-2 1840 1653 57.2% 21.7% 21.1% +2.3 18
2006-10-23 Hibernian L 0-4 1592 1690 29.9% 24.6% 45.5% -12.7 8
2006-10-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 1690 1592 45.5% 24.6% 29.9% +12.7 15
2006-10-28 Dundee United W 5-1 1598 1566 47.7% 24.2% 28.1% +10.1 14
2006-10-28 @ Falkirk L 1-5 1566 1598 28.1% 24.2% 47.7% -10.0 8
2006-10-28 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1813 1579 72.0% 15.3% 12.7% -1.5 21
2006-10-28 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1579 1813 12.7% 15.3% 72.0% +1.4 9
2006-10-28 Inverness CT D 1-1 1650 1734 31.7% 24.8% 43.5% +0.3 15
2006-10-28 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1734 1650 43.5% 24.8% 31.7% -0.3 18
2006-10-28 Motherwell D 1-1 1842 1661 66.4% 18.0% 15.6% -1.2 19
2006-10-28 @ Rangers D 1-1 1661 1842 15.6% 18.0% 66.4% +1.2 11
2006-10-29 Celtic L 1-2 1695 1889 20.4% 21.4% 58.2% -2.3 18
2006-10-29 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1889 1695 58.2% 21.4% 20.4% +2.4 31
2006-10-30 Hibernian W 2-1 1744 1703 49.1% 23.9% 27.0% +3.1 18
2006-10-30 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1703 1744 27.0% 23.9% 49.1% -3.1 15
2006-11-04 Falkirk L 0-3 1580 1608 39.5% 25.1% 35.4% -12.1 9
2006-11-04 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1608 1580 35.4% 25.1% 39.5% +12.1 17
2006-11-04 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1892 1811 54.3% 22.7% 23.1% +2.6 34
2006-11-04 @ Celtic L 1-2 1811 1892 23.1% 22.7% 54.3% -2.6 21
2006-11-04 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1700 1692 44.4% 24.7% 30.9% -0.2 16
2006-11-04 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1692 1700 30.9% 24.7% 44.4% +0.2 19
2006-11-04 St. Mirren D 0-0 1662 1651 44.9% 24.6% 30.4% -0.4 12
2006-11-04 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1651 1662 30.4% 24.6% 44.9% +0.4 16
2006-11-05 Rangers W 2-1 1556 1841 14.4% 17.0% 68.6% +6.4 11
2006-11-05 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1841 1556 68.6% 17.0% 14.4% -6.4 19
2006-11-06 Aberdeen D 1-1 1734 1747 41.5% 25.0% 33.5% -0.2 19
2006-11-06 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1747 1734 33.5% 25.0% 41.5% +0.2 19
2006-11-11 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1834 1568 75.1% 13.7% 11.1% +2.3 22
2006-11-11 @ Rangers L 0-2 1568 1834 11.1% 13.7% 75.1% -2.3 9
2006-11-11 Inverness CT W 2-0 1700 1734 38.5% 25.1% 36.4% +7.9 19
2006-11-11 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1734 1700 36.4% 25.1% 38.5% -7.8 19
2006-11-11 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1563 1693 26.4% 23.8% 49.8% +5.3 14
2006-11-11 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1693 1563 49.8% 23.8% 26.4% -5.3 19
2006-11-11 Motherwell W 2-1 1748 1662 55.0% 22.4% 22.6% +2.6 22
2006-11-11 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1662 1748 22.6% 22.4% 55.0% -2.6 12
2006-11-12 Celtic L 1-3 1651 1894 16.9% 19.1% 64.0% -3.3 16
2006-11-12 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1894 1651 64.0% 19.1% 16.9% +3.3 37
2006-11-13 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1620 1808 20.9% 21.6% 57.4% +0.9 18
2006-11-13 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1808 1620 57.4% 21.6% 20.9% -0.9 22
2006-11-18 Dundee United W 2-1 1566 1568 43.0% 24.9% 32.1% +3.6 12
2006-11-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1568 1566 32.1% 24.9% 43.0% -3.6 14
2006-11-18 Falkirk W 2-1 1687 1621 52.5% 23.2% 24.4% +2.8 22
2006-11-18 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1621 1687 24.4% 23.2% 52.5% -2.8 18
2006-11-18 Hibernian L 1-6 1659 1707 36.4% 25.1% 38.4% -15.2 12
2006-11-18 @ Motherwell W 6-1 1707 1659 38.4% 25.1% 36.4% +15.2 22
2006-11-18 Inverness CT W 3-0 1898 1726 65.3% 18.5% 16.2% +5.3 40
2006-11-18 @ Celtic L 0-3 1726 1898 16.2% 18.5% 65.3% -5.3 19
2006-11-18 St. Mirren W 2-0 1750 1648 57.0% 21.8% 21.2% +4.9 25
2006-11-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1648 1750 21.2% 21.8% 57.0% -4.9 16
2006-11-19 Rangers L 0-1 1808 1837 39.2% 25.1% 35.7% -4.4 22
2006-11-19 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1837 1808 35.7% 25.1% 39.2% +4.4 25
2006-11-25 Aberdeen L 0-3 1569 1755 21.2% 21.8% 57.1% -7.1 12
2006-11-25 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1755 1569 57.1% 21.8% 21.2% +7.1 28
2006-11-25 Falkirk W 4-2 1644 1618 47.0% 24.3% 28.7% +5.0 15
2006-11-25 @ Motherwell L 2-4 1618 1644 28.7% 24.3% 47.0% -5.0 18
2006-11-25 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1721 1803 31.9% 24.8% 43.3% +0.3 20
2006-11-25 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1803 1721 43.3% 24.8% 31.9% -0.3 23
2006-11-26 Celtic D 2-2 1723 1903 21.6% 22.0% 56.4% +0.6 23
2006-11-26 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1903 1723 56.4% 22.0% 21.6% -0.6 41
2006-11-26 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1841 1690 62.9% 19.6% 17.5% +5.8 28
2006-11-26 @ Rangers L 0-3 1690 1841 17.5% 19.6% 62.9% -5.8 22
2006-11-26 St. Mirren W 1-0 1565 1643 32.4% 24.9% 42.7% +4.7 17
2006-11-26 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1643 1565 42.7% 24.9% 32.4% -4.7 16
2006-12-02 Aberdeen W 1-0 1902 1762 61.7% 20.1% 18.3% +2.2 44
2006-12-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1762 1902 18.3% 20.1% 61.7% -2.2 28
2006-12-02 Dundee United W 2-1 1723 1569 63.3% 19.4% 17.3% +2.0 26
2006-12-02 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1569 1723 17.3% 19.4% 63.3% -2.0 17
2006-12-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-1 1684 1562 59.5% 20.9% 19.6% +7.1 25
2006-12-02 @ Kilmarnock L 1-5 1562 1684 19.6% 20.9% 59.5% -7.1 12
2006-12-02 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1638 1803 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% +0.6 17
2006-12-02 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1803 1638 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% -0.5 24
2006-12-02 Motherwell L 0-1 1721 1649 53.2% 23.0% 23.8% -5.6 20
2006-12-02 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1649 1721 23.8% 23.0% 53.2% +5.6 18
2006-12-03 Rangers W 1-0 1613 1847 17.5% 19.6% 62.9% +6.4 21
2006-12-03 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1847 1613 62.9% 19.6% 17.5% -6.4 28
2006-12-09 Falkirk W 2-1 1760 1619 61.7% 20.1% 18.2% +2.1 31
2006-12-09 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1619 1760 18.2% 20.1% 61.7% -2.1 21
2006-12-09 Hibernian W 3-0 1841 1725 58.6% 21.2% 20.1% +6.7 31
2006-12-09 @ Rangers L 0-3 1725 1841 20.1% 21.2% 58.6% -6.7 26
2006-12-09 Inverness CT W 3-1 1567 1715 24.6% 23.2% 52.2% +9.0 20
2006-12-09 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1715 1567 52.2% 23.2% 24.6% -9.0 20
2006-12-09 Motherwell W 4-1 1802 1654 62.6% 19.7% 17.7% +4.9 27
2006-12-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1654 1802 17.7% 19.7% 62.6% -4.9 18
2006-12-09 St. Mirren D 1-1 1692 1639 50.6% 23.6% 25.8% -0.6 26
2006-12-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1639 1692 25.8% 23.6% 50.6% +0.6 18
2006-12-10 Celtic L 1-2 1555 1905 11.1% 13.7% 75.2% -1.2 12
2006-12-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1905 1555 75.2% 13.7% 11.1% +1.2 47
2006-12-16 Aberdeen L 0-1 1807 1762 49.6% 23.8% 26.6% -5.3 27
2006-12-16 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1762 1807 26.6% 23.8% 49.6% +5.3 34
2006-12-16 Dundee United L 2-3 1649 1576 53.3% 22.9% 23.8% -5.0 18
2006-12-16 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1576 1649 23.8% 22.9% 53.3% +5.0 23
2006-12-16 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1639 1554 54.9% 22.5% 22.7% -0.9 19
2006-12-16 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1554 1639 22.7% 22.5% 54.9% +0.9 13
2006-12-16 Hibernian W 2-1 1617 1719 29.6% 24.5% 45.9% +4.7 24
2006-12-16 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1719 1617 45.9% 24.5% 29.6% -4.7 26
2006-12-16 Kilmarnock L 3-4 1706 1691 45.5% 24.6% 29.9% -4.3 20
2006-12-16 @ Inverness CT W 4-3 1691 1706 29.9% 24.6% 45.5% +4.3 29
2006-12-17 Celtic D 1-1 1847 1906 35.1% 25.1% 39.9% +0.1 32
2006-12-17 @ Rangers D 1-1 1906 1847 39.9% 25.1% 35.1% -0.1 48
2006-12-23 Falkirk W 1-0 1906 1622 76.8% 12.9% 10.3% +1.1 51
2006-12-23 @ Celtic L 0-1 1622 1906 10.3% 12.9% 76.8% -1.1 24
2006-12-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1581 1802 18.5% 20.2% 61.3% -2.2 23
2006-12-23 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1802 1581 61.3% 20.2% 18.5% +2.2 30
2006-12-23 Inverness CT D 0-0 1555 1702 24.6% 23.2% 52.1% +0.7 14
2006-12-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1702 1555 52.1% 23.2% 24.6% -0.7 21
2006-12-23 Motherwell L 1-2 1695 1644 50.4% 23.7% 26.0% -5.0 29
2006-12-23 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1644 1695 26.0% 23.7% 50.4% +5.0 21
2006-12-23 Rangers L 1-2 1767 1847 32.2% 24.9% 43.0% -3.6 34
2006-12-23 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1847 1767 43.0% 24.9% 32.2% +3.6 35
2006-12-23 St. Mirren W 5-1 1714 1638 53.6% 22.9% 23.6% +8.6 29
2006-12-23 @ Hibernian L 1-5 1638 1714 23.6% 22.9% 53.6% -8.6 19
2006-12-26 Dundee United D 2-2 1907 1579 80.5% 10.9% 8.6% -1.3 52
2006-12-26 @ Celtic D 2-2 1579 1907 8.6% 10.9% 80.5% +1.3 24
2006-12-26 Falkirk W 1-0 1630 1621 44.6% 24.7% 30.7% +3.6 22
2006-12-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1621 1630 30.7% 24.7% 44.6% -3.6 24
2006-12-26 Hibernian W 3-2 1804 1722 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% +2.5 33
2006-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1722 1804 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% -2.5 29
2006-12-26 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1764 1690 53.3% 22.9% 23.7% +4.7 37
2006-12-26 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1690 1764 23.7% 22.9% 53.3% -4.7 29
2006-12-26 Motherwell L 0-2 1556 1649 30.5% 24.6% 44.9% -6.8 14
2006-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1649 1556 44.9% 24.6% 30.5% +6.8 24
2006-12-27 Rangers W 2-1 1701 1851 24.4% 23.2% 52.4% +5.2 24
2006-12-27 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1851 1701 52.4% 23.2% 24.4% -5.2 35
2006-12-30 Aberdeen W 3-1 1580 1768 21.0% 21.7% 57.4% +9.7 27
2006-12-30 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1768 1580 57.4% 21.7% 21.0% -9.7 37
2006-12-30 Celtic D 1-1 1656 1905 16.5% 18.8% 64.7% +1.2 25
2006-12-30 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1905 1656 64.7% 18.8% 16.5% -1.2 53
2006-12-30 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1720 1549 65.2% 18.6% 16.2% +3.7 32
2006-12-30 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1549 1720 16.2% 18.6% 65.2% -3.6 14
2006-12-30 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1685 1807 27.3% 24.0% 48.6% +0.6 30
2006-12-30 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1807 1685 48.6% 24.0% 27.3% -0.5 34
2006-12-30 Inverness CT W 3-1 1617 1707 31.0% 24.7% 44.3% +7.9 27
2006-12-30 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1707 1617 44.3% 24.7% 31.0% -7.9 24
2006-12-30 St. Mirren D 1-1 1846 1634 69.7% 16.4% 13.8% -1.4 36
2006-12-30 @ Rangers D 1-1 1634 1846 13.8% 16.4% 69.7% +1.4 23
2007-01-01 Falkirk L 1-5 1590 1625 38.4% 25.1% 36.5% -12.9 27
2007-01-01 @ Dundee United W 5-1 1625 1590 36.5% 25.1% 38.4% +12.9 30
2007-01-01 St. Mirren W 2-1 1699 1635 52.1% 23.3% 24.7% +2.8 27
2007-01-01 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1635 1699 24.7% 23.3% 52.1% -2.8 23
2007-01-02 Aberdeen D 0-0 1724 1759 38.4% 25.1% 36.5% -0.0 33
2007-01-02 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1759 1724 36.5% 25.1% 38.4% +0.0 38
2007-01-02 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1545 1806 15.8% 18.2% 66.0% -1.9 14
2007-01-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1806 1545 66.0% 18.2% 15.8% +1.9 37
2007-01-02 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1904 1686 70.4% 16.1% 13.5% +2.9 56
2007-01-02 @ Celtic L 0-2 1686 1904 13.5% 16.1% 70.4% -2.9 30
2007-01-02 Rangers L 0-1 1657 1844 21.1% 21.7% 57.2% -2.6 25
2007-01-02 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1844 1657 57.2% 21.7% 21.1% +2.6 39
2007-01-13 Dundee United W 5-0 1847 1577 75.5% 13.6% 11.0% +5.4 42
2007-01-13 @ Rangers L 0-5 1577 1847 11.0% 13.6% 75.5% -5.4 27
2007-01-13 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1638 1543 56.1% 22.1% 21.8% +2.7 33
2007-01-13 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1543 1638 21.8% 22.1% 56.1% -2.7 14
2007-01-13 Inverness CT D 1-1 1759 1702 51.2% 23.5% 25.3% -0.6 39
2007-01-13 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1702 1759 25.3% 23.5% 51.2% +0.6 28
2007-01-14 Celtic L 1-2 1808 1907 29.8% 24.5% 45.6% -3.3 37
2007-01-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1907 1808 45.6% 24.5% 29.8% +3.3 59
2007-01-15 Hibernian L 0-2 1683 1723 37.6% 25.1% 37.3% -8.0 30
2007-01-15 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1723 1683 37.3% 25.1% 37.6% +8.0 36
2007-01-20 Dundee United W 1-0 1675 1572 57.1% 21.8% 21.1% +2.6 33
2007-01-20 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1572 1675 21.1% 21.8% 57.1% -2.6 27
2007-01-20 Falkirk W 1-0 1805 1641 64.4% 18.9% 16.7% +2.0 40
2007-01-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1641 1805 16.7% 18.9% 64.4% -2.0 33
2007-01-20 St. Mirren W 5-1 1911 1632 76.3% 13.1% 10.6% +3.5 62
2007-01-20 @ Celtic L 1-5 1632 1911 10.6% 13.1% 76.3% -3.5 23
2007-01-21 Hibernian W 3-0 1702 1732 39.2% 25.1% 35.7% +11.2 31
2007-01-21 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1732 1702 35.7% 25.1% 39.2% -11.2 36
2007-01-21 Rangers L 0-1 1541 1852 12.9% 15.6% 71.4% -1.5 14
2007-01-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1852 1541 71.4% 15.6% 12.9% +1.5 45
2007-01-27 Aberdeen L 0-2 1629 1758 26.4% 23.8% 49.8% -6.0 23
2007-01-27 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1758 1629 49.8% 23.8% 26.4% +6.0 42
2007-01-27 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1569 1539 47.5% 24.2% 28.2% -0.5 28
2007-01-27 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1539 1569 28.2% 24.2% 47.5% +0.5 15
2007-01-27 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1854 1807 49.9% 23.8% 26.4% -0.6 46
2007-01-27 @ Rangers D 0-0 1807 1854 26.4% 23.8% 49.9% +0.6 41
2007-01-27 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1639 1678 37.8% 25.1% 37.1% -8.1 33
2007-01-27 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1678 1639 37.1% 25.1% 37.8% +8.1 36
2007-01-27 Motherwell W 2-0 1720 1655 52.3% 23.2% 24.5% +5.6 39
2007-01-27 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1655 1720 24.5% 23.2% 52.3% -5.6 25
2007-01-28 Celtic L 1-2 1713 1914 20.0% 21.1% 58.9% -2.3 31
2007-01-28 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1914 1713 58.9% 21.1% 20.0% +2.3 65
2007-02-10 Dundee United L 0-1 1623 1569 50.7% 23.6% 25.7% -5.4 23
2007-02-10 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1569 1623 25.7% 23.6% 50.7% +5.4 31
2007-02-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1764 1540 71.0% 15.8% 13.2% +4.1 45
2007-02-10 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1540 1764 13.2% 15.8% 71.0% -4.1 15
2007-02-10 Hibernian W 1-0 1916 1726 67.4% 17.6% 15.0% +1.8 68
2007-02-10 @ Celtic L 0-1 1726 1916 15.0% 17.6% 67.4% -1.8 39
2007-02-10 Inverness CT W 1-0 1807 1711 56.3% 22.0% 21.7% +2.7 44
2007-02-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1711 1807 21.7% 22.0% 56.3% -2.6 31
2007-02-10 Motherwell L 1-2 1631 1649 40.7% 25.0% 34.3% -4.3 33
2007-02-10 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1649 1631 34.3% 25.0% 40.7% +4.3 28
2007-02-11 Rangers L 1-3 1686 1853 22.7% 22.5% 54.8% -4.5 36
2007-02-11 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1853 1686 54.8% 22.5% 22.7% +4.5 49
2007-02-17 Celtic L 1-2 1768 1918 24.4% 23.2% 52.5% -2.8 45
2007-02-17 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1918 1768 52.5% 23.2% 24.4% +2.8 71
2007-02-17 Inverness CT W 1-0 1654 1708 35.5% 25.1% 39.4% +4.4 31
2007-02-17 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1708 1654 39.4% 25.1% 35.5% -4.4 31
2007-02-17 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1536 1681 24.8% 23.3% 51.9% +0.6 16
2007-02-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1681 1536 51.9% 23.3% 24.8% -0.6 37
2007-02-17 St. Mirren D 1-1 1810 1617 67.7% 17.4% 14.9% -1.3 45
2007-02-17 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1617 1810 14.9% 17.4% 67.7% +1.3 24
2007-02-18 Falkirk W 2-1 1858 1626 71.7% 15.5% 12.8% +1.4 52
2007-02-18 @ Rangers L 1-2 1626 1858 12.8% 15.5% 71.7% -1.4 33
2007-02-18 Hibernian D 0-0 1574 1724 24.4% 23.2% 52.5% +0.7 32
2007-02-18 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1724 1574 52.5% 23.2% 24.4% -0.7 40
2007-02-20 Motherwell D 0-0 1618 1658 37.7% 25.1% 37.1% -0.0 25
2007-02-20 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1658 1618 37.1% 25.1% 37.7% +0.0 32
2007-03-03 Aberdeen L 1-2 1625 1765 25.3% 23.5% 51.2% -2.9 33
2007-03-03 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1765 1625 51.2% 23.5% 25.3% +2.9 48
2007-03-03 Dundee United W 1-0 1704 1575 60.3% 20.6% 19.1% +2.3 34
2007-03-03 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1575 1704 19.1% 20.6% 60.3% -2.3 32
2007-03-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1921 1536 84.8% 8.6% 6.7% +0.6 74
2007-03-03 @ Celtic L 1-2 1536 1921 6.7% 8.6% 84.8% -0.6 16
2007-03-03 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1618 1681 34.6% 25.1% 40.4% -7.5 25
2007-03-03 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1681 1618 40.4% 25.1% 34.6% +7.5 40
2007-03-04 Rangers L 0-2 1723 1859 25.8% 23.6% 50.6% -5.9 40
2007-03-04 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1859 1723 50.6% 23.6% 25.8% +5.9 55
2007-03-05 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1658 1809 24.3% 23.1% 52.6% -5.6 32
2007-03-05 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1809 1658 52.6% 23.1% 24.3% +5.6 48
2007-03-10 Falkirk W 2-0 1717 1622 56.2% 22.1% 21.8% +5.0 43
2007-03-10 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1622 1717 21.8% 22.1% 56.2% -5.0 33
2007-03-10 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1768 1814 36.8% 25.1% 38.1% +4.3 51
2007-03-10 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1814 1768 38.1% 25.1% 36.8% -4.3 48
2007-03-10 Inverness CT W 3-2 1688 1706 40.8% 25.0% 34.2% +3.6 43
2007-03-10 @ Kilmarnock L 2-3 1706 1688 34.2% 25.0% 40.8% -3.5 34
2007-03-10 Motherwell D 1-1 1573 1652 32.2% 24.9% 42.9% +0.2 33
2007-03-10 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1652 1573 42.9% 24.9% 32.2% -0.2 33
2007-03-10 St. Mirren D 0-0 1536 1611 32.8% 24.9% 42.3% +0.2 17
2007-03-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1611 1536 42.3% 24.9% 32.8% -0.2 26
2007-03-11 Rangers L 0-1 1922 1865 51.1% 23.5% 25.4% -5.4 74
2007-03-11 @ Celtic W 1-0 1865 1922 25.4% 23.5% 51.1% +5.4 58
2007-03-13 Aberdeen L 0-2 1652 1773 27.4% 24.1% 48.6% -6.2 33
2007-03-13 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1773 1652 48.6% 24.1% 27.4% +6.2 54
2007-03-17 Aberdeen W 3-0 1870 1779 55.6% 22.2% 22.1% +7.4 61
2007-03-17 @ Rangers L 0-3 1779 1870 22.1% 22.2% 55.6% -7.4 54
2007-03-17 Dundee United L 0-4 1810 1573 72.3% 15.2% 12.5% -25.3 48
2007-03-17 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1573 1810 12.5% 15.2% 72.3% +25.3 36
2007-03-17 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1703 1536 64.8% 18.8% 16.5% -10.7 34
2007-03-17 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1536 1703 16.5% 18.8% 64.8% +10.7 20
2007-03-18 Celtic W 1-0 1617 1916 13.6% 16.2% 70.2% +6.9 36
2007-03-18 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1916 1617 70.2% 16.2% 13.6% -6.9 74
2007-03-31 Aberdeen L 1-2 1692 1772 32.2% 24.9% 42.9% -3.6 43
2007-03-31 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1772 1692 42.9% 24.9% 32.2% +3.6 57
2007-03-31 Celtic D 1-1 1598 1909 13.0% 15.6% 71.4% +1.4 37
2007-03-31 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1909 1598 71.4% 15.6% 13.0% -1.4 75
2007-03-31 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1646 1546 56.7% 21.9% 21.4% +4.9 36
2007-03-31 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1546 1646 21.4% 21.9% 56.7% -4.9 20
2007-03-31 Inverness CT D 1-1 1878 1692 66.9% 17.8% 15.3% -1.3 62
2007-03-31 @ Rangers D 1-1 1692 1878 15.3% 17.8% 66.9% +1.3 35
2007-03-31 St. Mirren W 2-0 1624 1611 45.2% 24.6% 30.2% +6.8 39
2007-03-31 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1611 1624 30.2% 24.6% 45.2% -6.8 26
2007-04-01 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1722 1785 34.6% 25.1% 40.4% -4.0 43
2007-04-01 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1785 1722 40.4% 25.1% 34.6% +4.0 51
2007-04-03 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1651 1688 38.0% 25.1% 36.8% -4.3 36
2007-04-03 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1688 1651 36.8% 25.1% 38.0% +4.3 46
2007-04-04 Hibernian D 1-1 1604 1718 28.1% 24.2% 47.7% +0.5 27
2007-04-04 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1718 1604 47.7% 24.2% 28.1% -0.5 44
2007-04-07 Dundee United L 2-4 1775 1600 65.7% 18.3% 15.9% -9.6 57
2007-04-07 @ Aberdeen W 4-2 1600 1775 15.9% 18.3% 65.7% +9.7 40
2007-04-07 Falkirk D 1-1 1693 1631 51.9% 23.3% 24.8% -0.6 36
2007-04-07 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1631 1693 24.8% 23.3% 51.9% +0.6 40
2007-04-07 Hibernian W 1-0 1542 1718 21.9% 22.1% 55.9% +5.8 23
2007-04-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1718 1542 55.9% 22.1% 21.9% -5.8 44
2007-04-07 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1789 1692 56.3% 22.0% 21.7% +2.7 54
2007-04-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1692 1789 21.7% 22.0% 56.3% -2.6 46
2007-04-07 Motherwell W 1-0 1908 1647 74.7% 14.0% 11.4% +1.3 78
2007-04-07 @ Celtic L 0-1 1647 1908 11.4% 14.0% 74.7% -1.3 36
2007-04-08 Rangers L 0-1 1604 1876 15.1% 17.6% 67.2% -1.8 27
2007-04-08 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1876 1604 67.2% 17.6% 15.1% +1.8 65

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2007-04-21 Dundee United W 1-0 1547 1609 34.6% 25.1% 40.4% +4.5 3
2007-04-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1609 1547 40.4% 25.1% 34.6% -4.5 0
2007-04-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1878 1791 55.1% 22.4% 22.5% +2.6 3
2007-04-21 @ Rangers L 1-2 1791 1878 22.5% 22.4% 55.1% -2.6 0
2007-04-21 Hibernian D 2-2 1765 1712 50.7% 23.6% 25.7% -0.4 1
2007-04-21 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1712 1765 25.7% 23.6% 50.7% +0.4 1
2007-04-21 Motherwell W 2-0 1693 1645 49.9% 23.8% 26.3% +6.0 3
2007-04-21 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1645 1693 26.3% 23.8% 49.9% -6.0 0
2007-04-22 Celtic L 1-2 1690 1909 18.6% 20.3% 61.2% -2.1 0
2007-04-22 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1909 1690 61.2% 20.3% 18.6% +2.1 3
2007-04-23 St. Mirren L 0-2 1631 1603 47.3% 24.3% 28.4% -9.6 0
2007-04-23 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1603 1631 28.4% 24.3% 47.3% +9.6 3
2007-04-28 Falkirk D 3-3 1639 1622 45.8% 24.5% 29.7% -0.2 1
2007-04-28 @ Motherwell D 3-3 1622 1639 29.7% 24.5% 45.8% +0.2 1
2007-04-28 Inverness CT D 1-1 1605 1699 30.5% 24.6% 44.9% +0.3 1
2007-04-28 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1699 1605 44.9% 24.6% 30.5% -0.3 4
2007-04-28 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1765 1688 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% +7.8 4
2007-04-28 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1688 1765 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% -7.8 0
2007-04-28 Rangers D 3-3 1713 1881 22.7% 22.5% 54.9% +0.5 2
2007-04-28 @ Hibernian D 3-3 1881 1713 54.9% 22.5% 22.7% -0.5 4
2007-04-29 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1911 1789 59.5% 20.9% 19.6% -10.0 3
2007-04-29 @ Celtic W 3-1 1789 1911 19.6% 20.9% 59.5% +10.0 3
2007-04-30 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1612 1552 51.6% 23.4% 25.0% -5.5 3
2007-04-30 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1552 1612 25.0% 23.4% 51.6% +5.5 6
2007-05-05 Celtic W 2-0 1880 1901 40.4% 25.1% 34.5% +7.5 7
2007-05-05 @ Rangers L 0-2 1901 1880 34.5% 25.1% 40.4% -7.5 3
2007-05-05 Inverness CT W 1-0 1622 1698 32.7% 24.9% 42.4% +4.7 4
2007-05-05 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1698 1622 42.4% 24.9% 32.7% -4.7 4
2007-05-05 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1713 1680 48.0% 24.1% 27.9% -5.2 2
2007-05-05 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1680 1713 27.9% 24.1% 48.0% +5.2 3
2007-05-05 St. Mirren L 0-2 1605 1607 43.1% 24.8% 32.0% -8.9 1
2007-05-05 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1607 1605 32.0% 24.8% 43.1% +8.9 6
2007-05-06 Aberdeen D 1-1 1799 1773 47.0% 24.3% 28.7% -0.4 4
2007-05-06 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1773 1799 28.7% 24.3% 47.0% +0.4 5
2007-05-07 Motherwell W 4-1 1557 1639 32.0% 24.8% 43.2% +11.0 9
2007-05-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1639 1557 43.2% 24.8% 32.0% -11.0 1
2007-05-12 Aberdeen W 2-1 1894 1773 59.3% 21.0% 19.7% +2.3 6
2007-05-12 @ Celtic L 1-2 1773 1894 19.7% 21.0% 59.3% -2.3 5
2007-05-12 Dundee United W 2-0 1627 1596 47.6% 24.2% 28.2% +6.4 7
2007-05-12 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1596 1627 28.2% 24.2% 47.6% -6.4 1
2007-05-12 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1694 1568 59.9% 20.8% 19.4% +2.2 7
2007-05-12 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1568 1694 19.4% 20.8% 59.9% -2.2 9
2007-05-12 Hibernian W 2-0 1798 1708 55.5% 22.3% 22.2% +5.1 7
2007-05-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1708 1798 22.2% 22.3% 55.5% -5.1 2
2007-05-12 St. Mirren L 2-3 1628 1616 45.1% 24.6% 30.3% -4.4 1
2007-05-12 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1616 1628 30.3% 24.6% 45.1% +4.4 9
2007-05-13 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1888 1685 68.8% 16.9% 14.3% -6.8 7
2007-05-13 @ Rangers W 1-0 1685 1888 14.3% 16.9% 68.8% +6.8 6
2007-05-19 Falkirk L 0-3 1566 1633 33.9% 25.0% 41.1% -10.8 9
2007-05-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1633 1566 41.1% 25.0% 33.9% +10.8 10
2007-05-19 Inverness CT L 0-1 1620 1696 32.7% 24.9% 42.4% -3.8 9
2007-05-19 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1696 1620 42.4% 24.9% 32.7% +3.8 10
2007-05-19 Motherwell D 0-0 1590 1624 38.5% 25.1% 36.4% -0.0 2
2007-05-19 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1624 1590 36.4% 25.1% 38.5% +0.0 2
2007-05-20 Celtic W 2-1 1703 1896 20.6% 21.5% 58.0% +5.7 5
2007-05-20 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1896 1703 58.0% 21.5% 20.6% -5.6 6
2007-05-20 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1692 1803 28.4% 24.3% 47.3% +5.1 9
2007-05-20 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1803 1692 47.3% 24.3% 28.4% -5.1 7
2007-05-20 Rangers W 2-0 1771 1881 28.6% 24.3% 47.1% +9.6 8
2007-05-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1881 1771 47.1% 24.3% 28.6% -9.6 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-03-17 12.51% Dundee United 1573 4 @ Heart of Midlothian 1810 0
2 2007-03-18 13.60% @ Falkirk 1617 1 Celtic 1916 0
3 2007-05-13 14.32% Kilmarnock 1685 1 @ Rangers 1888 0
4 2006-11-05 14.41% @ Dundee United 1556 2 Rangers 1841 1
5 2007-04-07 15.93% Dundee United 1600 4 @ Aberdeen 1775 2
6 2007-03-17 16.47% Dunfermline Athletic 1536 3 @ Inverness CT 1703 1
7 2006-09-09 16.50% St. Mirren 1651 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1817 0
8 2006-12-03 17.53% @ Falkirk 1613 1 Rangers 1847 0
9 2006-10-21 18.18% Kilmarnock 1683 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1824 0
10 2007-04-29 19.58% Heart of Midlothian 1789 3 @ Celtic 1911 1
11 2006-10-14 19.79% Inverness CT 1726 1 @ Rangers 1846 0
12 2007-05-20 20.56% @ Hibernian 1703 2 Celtic 1896 1
13 2006-12-30 20.97% @ Dundee United 1580 3 Aberdeen 1768 1
14 2006-09-23 21.00% Falkirk 1595 1 @ Hibernian 1700 0
15 2007-04-07 21.93% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1542 1 Hibernian 1718 0
16 2006-08-26 22.89% Dundee United 1577 3 @ St. Mirren 1660 1
17 2006-09-17 23.38% @ Hibernian 1695 2 Rangers 1855 1
18 2006-07-29 23.42% St. Mirren 1650 2 @ Inverness CT 1727 1
19 2006-12-16 23.78% Dundee United 1576 3 @ Motherwell 1649 2
20 2006-12-02 23.85% Motherwell 1649 1 @ Inverness CT 1721 0
21 2006-12-27 24.41% @ Inverness CT 1701 2 Rangers 1851 1
22 2006-12-09 24.55% @ Dundee United 1567 3 Inverness CT 1715 1
23 2007-04-30 25.01% Dunfermline Athletic 1552 1 @ St. Mirren 1612 0
24 2007-03-11 25.39% Rangers 1865 1 @ Celtic 1922 0
25 2007-02-10 25.67% Dundee United 1569 1 @ St. Mirren 1623 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-03-17 25.32 Dundee United 4 1573 12.51% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1810 72.31% 15.18%
2 2006-09-30 19.65 @ Motherwell 5 1640 35.06% Kilmarnock 0 1698 39.87% 25.07%
3 2006-11-18 15.21 Hibernian 6 1707 38.44% @ Motherwell 1 1659 36.44% 25.11%
4 2007-01-01 12.92 Falkirk 5 1625 36.50% @ Dundee United 1 1590 38.39% 25.11%
5 2006-10-23 12.73 Hibernian 4 1690 45.54% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1592 29.91% 24.55%
6 2006-11-04 12.11 Falkirk 3 1608 35.45% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1580 39.46% 25.09%
7 2006-10-21 11.88 Kilmarnock 2 1683 18.18% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1824 61.81% 20.01%
8 2007-01-21 11.24 @ Inverness CT 3 1702 39.18% Hibernian 0 1732 35.72% 25.10%
9 2007-05-07 10.95 @ Dunfermline Athletic 4 1557 31.98% Motherwell 1 1639 43.18% 24.84%
10 2007-05-19 10.79 Falkirk 3 1633 41.08% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1566 33.91% 25.01%
11 2007-03-17 10.67 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1536 16.47% @ Inverness CT 1 1703 64.78% 18.76%
12 2006-10-28 10.06 @ Falkirk 5 1598 47.69% Dundee United 1 1566 28.10% 24.21%
13 2007-04-29 9.99 Heart of Midlothian 3 1789 19.58% @ Celtic 1 1911 59.52% 20.90%
14 2006-09-10 9.75 Hibernian 3 1685 45.52% @ Dundee United 0 1586 29.92% 24.56%
15 2006-12-30 9.71 @ Dundee United 3 1580 20.97% Aberdeen 1 1768 57.36% 21.67%
16 2007-04-07 9.65 Dundee United 4 1600 15.93% @ Aberdeen 2 1775 65.74% 18.33%
17 2007-04-23 9.62 St. Mirren 2 1603 28.38% @ Falkirk 0 1631 47.35% 24.27%
18 2007-05-20 9.58 @ Aberdeen 2 1771 28.56% Rangers 0 1881 47.13% 24.31%
19 2006-08-26 9.32 Dundee United 3 1577 22.89% @ St. Mirren 1 1660 54.54% 22.57%
20 2006-09-09 9.17 Inverness CT 4 1716 40.68% @ Motherwell 1 1652 34.29% 25.03%
21 2006-12-09 9.01 @ Dundee United 3 1567 24.55% Inverness CT 1 1715 52.24% 23.21%
22 2007-05-05 8.93 St. Mirren 2 1607 32.04% @ Dundee United 0 1605 43.12% 24.84%
23 2006-12-23 8.56 @ Hibernian 5 1714 53.59% St. Mirren 1 1638 23.56% 22.85%
24 2007-01-27 8.07 Kilmarnock 2 1678 37.08% @ Falkirk 0 1639 37.80% 25.12%
25 2007-01-15 8.04 Hibernian 2 1723 37.27% @ Kilmarnock 0 1683 37.60% 25.12%