2005-06 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

91 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Livingston

16.19 points above expected

18 points · 34.19 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

89.64 points below expected

91 points · 180.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 27 4 2 85 88 31 +57 70.61 +14.39
2 Heart of Midlothian 33 19 8 6 65 64 27 +37 59.28 +5.72
3 Rangers 33 18 8 7 62 59 34 +25 64.45 -2.45
4 Hibernian 33 16 4 13 52 56 45 +11 51.11 +0.89
5 Kilmarnock 33 14 9 10 51 59 56 +3 46.59 +4.41
6 Aberdeen 33 12 12 9 48 39 36 +3 46.53 +1.47
7 Motherwell 33 12 8 13 44 50 55 -5 43.07 +0.93
8 Inverness CT 33 10 13 10 43 45 38 +7 44.13 -1.13
9 Dundee United 33 7 11 15 32 39 58 -19 35.43 -3.43
10 Falkirk 33 6 7 20 25 31 61 -30 31.89 -6.89
11 Dunfermline Athletic 33 5 8 20 23 26 63 -37 28.51 -5.51
12 Livingston 33 3 6 24 15 20 72 -52 24.83 -9.83
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 28 7 3 91 93 37 +56 180.64 -89.64
2 Heart of Midlothian 38 22 8 8 74 71 31 +40 137.39 -63.39
3 Rangers 38 21 10 7 73 67 37 +30 132.37 -59.37
4 Hibernian 38 17 5 16 56 61 56 +5 108.88 -52.88
5 Kilmarnock 38 15 10 13 55 63 64 -1 106.71 -51.71
6 Aberdeen 38 13 15 10 54 46 40 +6 101.38 -47.38
7 Inverness CT 38 15 13 10 58 51 38 +13 96.68 -38.68
8 Motherwell 38 13 10 15 49 55 61 -6 96.12 -47.12
9 Dundee United 38 7 12 19 33 41 66 -25 70.62 -37.62
10 Falkirk 38 8 9 21 33 35 64 -29 56.01 -23.01
11 Dunfermline Athletic 38 8 9 21 33 33 68 -35 51.65 -18.65
12 Livingston 38 4 6 28 18 25 79 -54 34.19 -16.19

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1977 91 70.61 +20.39 99.2% 43 60 66 71 75 81 92
Rangers 1926 73 64.45 +8.55 38.5% 37 53 60 64 69 76 89
Heart of Midlothian 1872 74 59.28 +14.72 81.1% 33 48 55 59 64 71 89
Aberdeen 1774 54 46.53 +7.47 61.4% 18 35 42 46 51 58 79
Inverness CT 1749 58 44.13 +13.87 46.9% 17 33 39 44 49 56 68
Kilmarnock 1704 55 46.59 +8.41 75.5% 19 35 42 47 51 58 73
Hibernian 1684 56 51.11 +4.89 57.6% 25 39 46 51 56 63 77
Motherwell 1662 49 43.07 +5.93 58.3% 16 32 38 43 48 55 69
Falkirk 1559 33 31.89 +1.11 16.4% 11 21 27 32 36 43 61
Dunfermline Athletic 1548 33 28.51 +4.49 22.1% 9 18 24 28 33 39 56
Dundee United 1513 33 35.43 -2.43 33.7% 12 24 31 35 40 47 62
Livingston 1444 18 24.83 -6.83 6.0% 4 15 21 25 29 35 49

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU DA FAL HOM HIB IC KIL LIV MOT RAN
Aberdeen
0-1-3
2.75
1-2-0
4.88
1-1-1
5.84
3-0-0
5.48
1-1-2
3.69
3-0-1
5.37
1-2-0
3.95
0-2-2
6.21
1-2-0
6.36
0-2-1
4.67
2-2-0
3.04
Celtic
3-1-0
8.33
2-1-0
6.91
2-0-1
7.20
3-0-0
7.00
2-1-1
7.46
3-1-0
8.26
2-1-0
6.70
4-0-0
8.79
3-0-0
7.56
2-1-0
6.25
2-1-1
6.59
Dundee United
0-2-1
3.34
0-1-2
1.49
1-1-2
6.22
2-0-2
5.96
0-1-2
2.36
1-0-2
2.32
0-2-2
3.96
0-2-1
3.01
2-0-2
7.12
1-2-1
3.90
0-1-2
1.79
Dunfermline Athletic
1-1-1
2.43
1-0-2
1.27
2-1-1
4.73
1-2-1
5.16
0-0-3
1.51
0-1-2
2.25
0-1-3
3.65
0-0-3
2.22
2-1-1
6.01
1-1-2
3.65
0-1-2
1.35
Falkirk
0-0-3
2.77
0-0-3
1.43
2-0-2
4.98
1-2-1
5.79
0-1-2
1.80
1-1-1
2.76
1-0-3
3.91
0-1-2
2.53
3-1-0
6.41
0-1-3
4.05
0-2-1
1.78
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-1
7.30
1-1-2
3.54
2-1-0
5.93
3-0-0
6.89
2-1-0
6.54
2-0-2
6.63
1-2-0
5.47
3-0-1
7.10
3-0-0
6.85
2-1-0
5.75
1-1-2
4.91
Hibernian
1-0-3
5.58
0-1-3
2.83
2-0-1
5.96
2-1-0
6.04
1-1-1
5.51
2-0-2
4.33
0-0-3
5.14
2-1-1
5.85
3-0-0
6.20
2-1-0
4.75
2-0-2
3.59
Inverness CT
0-2-1
4.26
0-1-2
1.66
2-2-0
7.03
3-1-0
7.35
3-0-1
7.09
0-2-1
2.77
3-0-0
3.08
0-3-0
4.02
2-1-1
8.34
2-0-2
5.83
0-1-2
2.29
Kilmarnock
2-2-0
4.74
0-0-4
2.35
1-2-0
5.22
3-0-0
6.07
2-1-0
5.74
1-0-3
3.90
1-1-2
5.10
0-3-0
4.19
3-0-0
6.10
2-1-0
4.32
0-0-4
3.46
Livingston
0-2-1
1.97
0-0-3
0.98
2-0-2
3.86
1-1-2
4.93
0-1-3
4.56
0-0-3
1.55
0-0-3
2.11
1-1-2
2.74
0-0-3
2.20
0-0-4
2.90
0-1-2
1.32
Motherwell
1-2-0
3.55
0-1-2
2.07
1-2-1
7.09
2-1-1
7.35
3-1-0
6.92
0-1-2
2.51
0-1-2
3.47
2-0-2
5.12
0-1-2
3.89
4-0-0
8.17
0-0-3
2.18
Rangers
0-2-2
8.00
1-1-2
4.39
2-1-0
6.56
2-1-0
7.08
1-2-0
6.56
2-1-1
6.04
2-0-2
7.43
2-1-0
6.00
4-0-0
7.55
2-1-0
7.12
3-0-0
6.11

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.92 +10.5
Allowed 0.76 -11.4
Differential 0.99 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.70%8.99%5.48%4.17%1.10%1.10%26.54%
18.99%11.40%7.46%3.29%1.75%0.44%33.33%
25.48%7.46%6.14%2.19%1.32%22.59%
34.17%3.29%2.19%1.32%10.96%
41.10%1.75%1.32%0.44%0.22%4.82%
5+1.10%0.44%0.22%1.75%
Total26.54%33.33%22.59%10.96%4.82%1.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.88
CV 0.90 0.90
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%7.89%5.26%2.63%31.58%
17.89%13.16%2.63%5.26%28.95%
27.89%7.89%10.53%2.63%28.95%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total39.47%28.95%21.05%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.05 +0.16
SD 1.07 1.09 1.52
CV 0.88 1.03
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
110.53%7.89%2.63%21.05%
210.53%13.16%2.63%26.32%
37.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%23.68%
42.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%13.16%
5+5.26%2.63%7.89%
Total39.47%36.84%13.16%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 0.97 +1.47
SD 1.61 1.05 1.87
CV 0.66 1.08
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%10.53%7.89%34.21%
12.63%21.05%7.89%5.26%2.63%39.47%
22.63%5.26%2.63%5.26%15.79%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total10.53%42.11%21.05%15.79%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.74 -0.66
SD 1.12 1.18 1.42
CV 1.04 0.68
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%21.05%5.26%2.63%5.26%39.47%
110.53%13.16%7.89%2.63%2.63%5.26%42.11%
25.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
4
5+
Total15.79%39.47%21.05%10.53%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.79 -0.92
SD 0.91 1.63 1.76
CV 1.04 0.91
Max 3 8 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%7.89%5.26%5.26%28.95%
110.53%13.16%21.05%7.89%2.63%55.26%
25.26%5.26%10.53%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total23.68%18.42%36.84%13.16%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.68 -0.76
SD 0.78 1.34 1.73
CV 0.85 0.79
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%5.26%18.42%
110.53%13.16%5.26%28.95%
27.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%21.05%
310.53%2.63%13.16%
45.26%7.89%2.63%15.79%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total42.11%36.84%18.42%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 0.82 +1.05
SD 1.44 0.83 1.77
CV 0.77 1.02
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%7.89%5.26%23.68%
12.63%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%23.68%
25.26%18.42%5.26%5.26%34.21%
35.26%7.89%13.16%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total18.42%39.47%26.32%7.89%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.47 +0.13
SD 1.41 1.13 2.11
CV 0.88 0.77
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%2.63%21.05%
113.16%15.79%10.53%39.47%
213.16%5.26%7.89%2.63%28.95%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total36.84%34.21%21.05%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.00 +0.34
SD 1.05 0.96 1.30
CV 0.78 0.96
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%21.05%
17.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%18.42%
22.63%10.53%15.79%2.63%7.89%39.47%
35.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%15.79%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total21.05%26.32%28.95%10.53%13.16%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.68 -0.03
SD 1.15 1.30 1.75
CV 0.69 0.77
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%7.89%15.79%5.26%50.00%
15.26%7.89%13.16%5.26%5.26%36.84%
22.63%2.63%5.26%10.53%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total10.53%28.95%23.68%26.32%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.66 2.08 -1.42
SD 0.78 1.46 1.72
CV 1.19 0.70
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%21.05%
113.16%13.16%5.26%5.26%2.63%39.47%
22.63%7.89%10.53%2.63%23.68%
32.63%5.26%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total21.05%34.21%23.68%10.53%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.61 -0.16
SD 1.22 1.37 1.82
CV 0.85 0.85
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%2.63%5.26%21.05%
113.16%10.53%2.63%26.32%
27.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%21.05%
37.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%21.05%
42.63%5.26%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total39.47%34.21%15.79%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.97 +0.79
SD 1.36 1.00 1.71
CV 0.77 1.03
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Livingston 18 34.19 -16.19
2 Dunfermline Athletic 33 51.65 -18.65
3 Falkirk 33 56.01 -23.01
4 Dundee United 33 70.62 -37.62
5 Inverness CT 58 96.68 -38.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 91 180.64 -89.64
2 Heart of Midlothian 74 137.39 -63.39
3 Rangers 73 132.37 -59.37
4 Hibernian 56 108.88 -52.88
5 Kilmarnock 55 106.71 -51.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 8 Jul 30 – Sep 24 1 in 400
2 Hibernian 5 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 42
3 Aberdeen 3 Feb 8 – Feb 18 1 in 40
4 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Apr 22 – May 2 1 in 35
5 Livingston 2 Apr 8 – Apr 15 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 13 Dec 26 – Apr 1 1 in 391
2 Dundee United 6 Apr 2 – May 2 1 in 254
3 Falkirk 6 Dec 10 – Jan 21 1 in 137
4 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Oct 1 – Nov 19 1 in 116
5 Motherwell 3 Aug 13 – Aug 27 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 11 Oct 29 – Jan 21 1 in 614
2 Aberdeen 7 Dec 31 – Feb 18 1 in 41
3 Heart of Midlothian 12 Jul 30 – Oct 26 1 in 40
4 Dundee United 4 Jan 15 – Feb 7 1 in 27
5 Rangers 12 Feb 18 – May 7 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 6 Oct 26 – Dec 3 1 in 182
2 Livingston 14 Jul 31 – Nov 5 1 in 23
3 Aberdeen 5 Dec 4 – Dec 31 1 in 19
4 Dundee United 8 Mar 25 – May 6 1 in 19
5 Celtic 3 Apr 16 – Apr 30 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic68.31%23.23%6.59%1.50%0.30%0.06%0.01%
Heart of Midlothian8.11%24.62%38.23%16.23%7.17%3.26%1.63%0.55%0.16%0.04%
Rangers22.19%42.93%23.62%7.70%2.32%0.85%0.24%0.13%0.02%
Hibernian0.84%5.24%14.48%27.75%19.69%13.87%9.70%5.40%2.07%0.72%0.22%0.02%
Kilmarnock0.14%1.50%5.49%14.57%19.88%19.45%17.24%12.23%6.01%2.45%0.86%0.18%
Aberdeen0.27%1.41%5.72%13.93%19.79%18.98%16.91%12.72%6.47%2.85%0.78%0.17%
Inverness CT0.10%0.63%3.12%9.64%15.19%18.46%19.32%17.48%9.89%4.49%1.32%0.36%
Motherwell0.04%0.39%2.42%7.45%12.19%16.83%19.25%20.13%13.08%5.44%2.21%0.57%
Dundee United0.04%0.28%0.87%2.30%5.13%9.08%15.74%27.70%21.29%12.35%5.22%
Falkirk0.01%0.05%0.28%0.91%2.08%4.34%9.39%18.58%29.31%22.86%12.19%
Dunfermline Athletic0.07%0.22%0.82%1.80%4.65%11.46%21.11%33.49%26.38%
Livingston0.01%0.04%0.21%0.49%1.57%4.56%12.30%25.91%54.91%
Team123456789101112
Celtic100.00%
Heart of Midlothian69.87%30.12%0.01%
Rangers30.13%69.74%0.13%
Hibernian0.11%56.58%31.21%12.10%
Kilmarnock0.03%32.39%44.35%23.23%
Aberdeen10.89%24.44%64.67%
Inverness CT66.81%33.15%0.04%
Motherwell33.18%66.68%0.14%
Dundee United0.01%0.17%94.47%5.20%0.15%
Falkirk4.31%67.61%27.87%0.21%
Dunfermline Athletic1.04%27.12%70.65%1.19%
Livingston0.07%1.33%98.60%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.09%
Slight Edge
42.54%25.00%32.46%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 35.17 Elo pts.
177 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
68%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Comfortable
00.190.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.46 * Some Luck: 5.46 to 8.19 * Lucky: 8.19 to 10.92 * Wild Swing: 10.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.92 * Close: 0.92 to 1.38 * Off: 1.38 to 1.85 * Way Off: 1.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.17 points
Some Luck
06.8317
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.17
Pinpoint
01.152.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.16%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.95%
Livingston
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.25
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.85
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.28
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Rangers 100%
Aberdeen 99.94% 0.06%
Kilmarnock 99.92% 0.08%
Inverness CT 99.86% 0.14%
Motherwell 99.68% 0.32%
Dundee United 95.12% 4.88%
Falkirk 88.19% 11.81%
Dunfermline Athletic 75.51% 24.49%
Livingston 41.78% 58.22%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Inverness CT 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
Falkirk 99.79% 0.21%
Dunfermline Athletic 98.81% 1.19%
Livingston 1.40% 98.60%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2005-07-30 Aberdeen D 1-1 1633 1706 31.7% 26.4% 41.9% +0.6 1
2005-07-30 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1706 1633 41.9% 26.4% 31.7% -0.6 1
2005-07-30 Celtic D 4-4 1690 1855 21.3% 25.2% 53.5% +1.0 1
2005-07-30 @ Motherwell D 4-4 1855 1690 53.5% 25.2% 21.3% -1.0 1
2005-07-30 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1694 1619 51.7% 25.5% 22.9% -1.7 1
2005-07-30 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1619 1694 22.9% 25.5% 51.7% +1.7 1
2005-07-30 Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1669 1709 36.3% 26.5% 37.2% -15.1 0
2005-07-30 @ Kilmarnock W 4-2 1709 1669 37.2% 26.5% 36.3% +15.1 3
2005-07-30 Inverness CT L 0-2 1654 1666 40.2% 26.5% 33.3% -21.1 0
2005-07-30 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1666 1654 33.3% 26.5% 40.2% +21.1 3
2005-07-31 Livingston W 3-0 1892 1624 70.3% 20.0% 9.7% +8.5 3
2005-07-31 @ Rangers L 0-3 1624 1892 9.7% 20.0% 70.3% -8.5 0
2005-08-06 Dundee United W 2-0 1854 1633 66.4% 21.6% 12.0% +7.3 4
2005-08-06 @ Celtic L 0-2 1633 1854 12.0% 21.6% 66.4% -7.3 1
2005-08-06 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1691 1620 51.1% 25.6% 23.4% +7.3 4
2005-08-06 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1620 1691 23.4% 25.6% 51.1% -7.3 1
2005-08-06 Falkirk L 0-2 1615 1633 39.5% 26.5% 34.0% -20.8 0
2005-08-06 @ Livingston W 2-0 1633 1615 34.0% 26.5% 39.5% +20.8 3
2005-08-06 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1706 1654 48.7% 25.9% 25.4% -12.3 1
2005-08-06 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1654 1706 25.4% 25.9% 48.7% +12.3 3
2005-08-06 Rangers L 0-1 1687 1900 17.3% 24.1% 58.7% -5.6 3
2005-08-06 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1900 1687 58.7% 24.1% 17.3% +5.6 6
2005-08-07 Hibernian W 4-0 1724 1693 46.2% 26.1% 27.7% +30.1 6
2005-08-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1693 1724 27.7% 26.1% 46.2% -30.1 1
2005-08-13 Falkirk W 3-1 1861 1653 65.3% 22.0% 12.7% +6.7 7
2005-08-13 @ Celtic L 1-3 1653 1861 12.7% 22.0% 65.3% -6.7 3
2005-08-13 Inverness CT L 0-1 1613 1682 32.3% 26.4% 41.2% -9.5 1
2005-08-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1682 1613 41.2% 26.4% 32.3% +9.5 6
2005-08-13 Livingston W 3-0 1663 1594 50.8% 25.6% 23.6% +20.2 4
2005-08-13 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1594 1663 23.6% 25.6% 50.8% -20.2 0
2005-08-13 Motherwell W 4-1 1666 1699 37.4% 26.5% 36.1% +23.8 6
2005-08-13 @ Kilmarnock L 1-4 1699 1666 36.1% 26.5% 37.4% -23.8 4
2005-08-14 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1626 1754 25.1% 25.8% 49.1% -21.2 1
2005-08-14 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1754 1626 49.1% 25.8% 25.1% +21.2 9
2005-08-14 Rangers W 3-2 1693 1906 17.3% 24.1% 58.7% +13.7 4
2005-08-14 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1906 1693 58.7% 24.1% 17.3% -13.7 6
2005-08-20 Aberdeen W 2-0 1776 1707 50.8% 25.6% 23.6% +13.9 12
2005-08-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1707 1776 23.6% 25.6% 50.8% -13.9 4
2005-08-20 Celtic W 3-1 1892 1868 45.1% 26.2% 28.7% +14.1 9
2005-08-20 @ Rangers L 1-3 1868 1892 28.7% 26.2% 45.1% -14.1 7
2005-08-20 Dundee United L 4-5 1675 1605 51.0% 25.6% 23.4% -11.7 4
2005-08-20 @ Motherwell W 5-4 1605 1675 23.4% 25.6% 51.0% +11.7 4
2005-08-20 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1574 1604 37.8% 26.5% 35.7% -0.1 1
2005-08-20 @ Livingston D 1-1 1604 1574 35.7% 26.5% 37.8% +0.1 2
2005-08-20 Hibernian L 0-2 1647 1683 36.9% 26.5% 36.6% -19.7 3
2005-08-20 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1683 1647 36.6% 26.5% 36.9% +19.8 7
2005-08-20 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1691 1690 42.1% 26.4% 31.5% -0.4 7
2005-08-20 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1690 1691 31.5% 26.4% 42.1% +0.4 7
2005-08-27 Falkirk W 3-0 1693 1627 50.5% 25.6% 23.8% +20.4 7
2005-08-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1627 1693 23.8% 25.6% 50.5% -20.4 3
2005-08-27 Hibernian L 0-3 1906 1703 64.9% 22.2% 13.0% -45.8 9
2005-08-27 @ Rangers W 3-0 1703 1906 13.0% 22.2% 64.9% +45.7 10
2005-08-27 Livingston W 3-0 1691 1574 56.3% 24.6% 19.1% +16.7 10
2005-08-27 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1574 1691 19.1% 24.6% 56.3% -16.7 1
2005-08-27 Motherwell W 2-1 1790 1663 57.4% 24.4% 18.2% +5.5 15
2005-08-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1663 1790 18.2% 24.4% 57.4% -5.5 4
2005-08-28 Celtic L 0-4 1604 1854 14.6% 23.0% 62.4% -16.9 2
2005-08-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 1854 1604 62.4% 23.0% 14.6% +16.9 10
2005-08-28 Inverness CT D 1-1 1616 1691 31.6% 26.4% 42.0% +0.6 5
2005-08-28 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1691 1616 42.0% 26.4% 31.6% -0.6 8
2005-09-10 Aberdeen W 2-0 1871 1713 60.6% 23.5% 15.9% +9.7 13
2005-09-10 @ Celtic L 0-2 1713 1871 15.9% 23.5% 60.6% -9.7 7
2005-09-10 Dundee United W 2-1 1748 1617 57.9% 24.2% 17.8% +5.4 13
2005-09-10 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1617 1748 17.8% 24.2% 57.9% -5.4 5
2005-09-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1707 1587 56.8% 24.5% 18.7% +5.4 13
2005-09-10 @ Kilmarnock L 2-3 1587 1707 18.7% 24.5% 56.8% -5.4 2
2005-09-10 Motherwell L 1-2 1690 1658 46.3% 26.1% 27.6% -11.8 8
2005-09-10 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1658 1690 27.6% 26.1% 46.3% +11.8 7
2005-09-10 Rangers D 1-1 1607 1860 14.4% 22.9% 62.7% +3.0 4
2005-09-10 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1860 1607 62.7% 22.9% 14.4% -3.0 10
2005-09-11 Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1557 1795 15.4% 23.4% 61.2% -11.5 1
2005-09-11 @ Livingston W 4-1 1795 1557 61.2% 23.4% 15.4% +11.6 18
2005-09-17 Aberdeen L 0-2 1581 1704 25.7% 25.9% 48.4% -15.0 2
2005-09-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1704 1581 48.4% 25.9% 25.7% +15.0 10
2005-09-17 Falkirk W 5-0 1669 1610 49.7% 25.7% 24.5% +33.6 10
2005-09-17 @ Motherwell L 0-5 1610 1669 24.5% 25.7% 49.7% -33.6 4
2005-09-17 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1678 1807 25.1% 25.8% 49.1% -7.8 8
2005-09-17 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1807 1678 49.1% 25.8% 25.1% +7.8 21
2005-09-17 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1857 1713 59.3% 23.9% 16.8% +14.9 13
2005-09-17 @ Rangers L 0-3 1713 1857 16.8% 23.9% 59.3% -14.9 13
2005-09-17 Livingston W 2-0 1612 1546 50.5% 25.6% 23.9% +14.0 8
2005-09-17 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1546 1612 23.9% 25.6% 50.5% -14.0 1
2005-09-18 Celtic L 0-1 1754 1881 25.2% 25.8% 48.9% -7.8 13
2005-09-18 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1881 1754 48.9% 25.8% 25.2% +7.8 16
2005-09-24 Dundee United W 2-1 1566 1626 33.6% 26.5% 39.9% +10.5 5
2005-09-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1626 1566 39.9% 26.5% 33.6% -10.5 8
2005-09-24 Falkirk D 1-1 1698 1576 56.9% 24.5% 18.6% -2.3 14
2005-09-24 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1576 1698 18.6% 24.5% 56.9% +2.3 5
2005-09-24 Hibernian L 1-3 1703 1746 35.9% 26.5% 37.6% -16.8 10
2005-09-24 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1746 1703 37.6% 26.5% 35.9% +16.8 16
2005-09-24 Inverness CT W 2-1 1888 1671 66.2% 21.7% 12.2% +3.7 19
2005-09-24 @ Celtic L 1-2 1671 1888 12.2% 21.7% 66.2% -3.7 8
2005-09-24 Livingston D 0-0 1719 1532 63.4% 22.7% 13.9% -3.4 11
2005-09-24 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1532 1719 13.9% 22.7% 63.4% +3.4 2
2005-09-24 Rangers W 1-0 1814 1872 33.8% 26.5% 39.7% +11.1 24
2005-09-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1872 1814 39.7% 26.5% 33.8% -11.1 13
2005-10-01 Celtic L 0-5 1535 1892 9.1% 19.4% 71.5% -12.6 2
2005-10-01 @ Livingston W 5-0 1892 1535 71.5% 19.4% 9.1% +12.6 22
2005-10-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-1 1861 1577 71.5% 19.4% 9.0% +8.5 16
2005-10-01 @ Rangers L 1-5 1577 1861 9.0% 19.4% 71.5% -8.5 5
2005-10-01 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1615 1696 30.8% 26.4% 42.9% +0.8 9
2005-10-01 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1696 1615 42.9% 26.4% 30.8% -0.8 15
2005-10-01 Motherwell D 2-2 1715 1686 45.9% 26.1% 28.0% -0.8 12
2005-10-01 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1686 1715 28.0% 26.1% 45.9% +0.8 11
2005-10-02 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1578 1825 14.8% 23.1% 62.1% +2.2 6
2005-10-02 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1825 1578 62.1% 23.1% 14.8% -2.2 25
2005-10-02 Inverness CT L 1-2 1763 1667 54.0% 25.1% 20.9% -13.4 16
2005-10-02 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1667 1763 20.9% 25.1% 54.0% +13.4 11
2005-10-15 Aberdeen D 1-1 1680 1715 37.1% 26.5% 36.4% -0.0 12
2005-10-15 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1715 1680 36.4% 26.5% 37.1% +0.0 13
2005-10-15 Falkirk L 0-1 1568 1581 40.3% 26.5% 33.3% -11.2 5
2005-10-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1581 1568 33.3% 26.5% 40.3% +11.2 9
2005-10-15 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1905 1823 52.4% 25.4% 22.3% -1.8 23
2005-10-15 @ Celtic D 1-1 1823 1905 22.3% 25.4% 52.4% +1.8 26
2005-10-15 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1749 1695 49.1% 25.8% 25.1% +11.3 19
2005-10-15 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1695 1749 25.1% 25.8% 49.1% -11.3 15
2005-10-15 Livingston W 1-0 1687 1523 61.2% 23.4% 15.4% +5.0 14
2005-10-15 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1523 1687 15.4% 23.4% 61.2% -5.0 2
2005-10-16 Rangers D 0-0 1616 1870 14.4% 22.9% 62.7% +3.3 10
2005-10-16 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1870 1616 62.7% 22.9% 14.4% -3.3 17
2005-10-22 Dundee United L 1-3 1592 1619 38.1% 26.5% 35.4% -17.5 9
2005-10-22 @ Falkirk W 3-1 1619 1592 35.4% 26.5% 38.1% +17.5 13
2005-10-22 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1825 1557 70.3% 20.0% 9.7% +5.8 29
2005-10-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1557 1825 9.7% 20.0% 70.3% -5.8 5
2005-10-22 Hibernian L 0-1 1715 1761 35.4% 26.5% 38.1% -10.2 13
2005-10-22 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1761 1715 38.1% 26.5% 35.4% +10.2 22
2005-10-22 Inverness CT D 1-1 1518 1680 21.6% 25.2% 53.2% +1.9 3
2005-10-22 @ Livingston D 1-1 1680 1518 53.2% 25.2% 21.6% -1.9 13
2005-10-22 Motherwell W 2-0 1866 1692 62.2% 23.1% 14.7% +9.0 20
2005-10-22 @ Rangers L 0-2 1692 1866 14.7% 23.1% 62.2% -9.0 14
2005-10-23 Celtic L 0-1 1683 1903 16.7% 23.9% 59.4% -5.4 15
2005-10-23 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1903 1683 59.4% 23.9% 16.7% +5.4 26
2005-10-25 Dundee United W 2-0 1704 1637 50.7% 25.6% 23.7% +13.9 16
2005-10-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1637 1704 23.7% 25.6% 50.7% -13.9 13
2005-10-26 Falkirk L 0-3 1679 1574 55.0% 24.9% 20.1% -39.6 13
2005-10-26 @ Inverness CT W 3-0 1574 1679 20.1% 24.9% 55.0% +39.6 12
2005-10-26 Hibernian L 1-2 1551 1771 16.8% 23.9% 59.4% -5.1 5
2005-10-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1771 1551 59.4% 23.9% 16.8% +5.1 25
2005-10-26 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1831 1678 60.1% 23.7% 16.2% +5.2 32
2005-10-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1678 1831 16.2% 23.7% 60.1% -5.2 15
2005-10-26 Motherwell W 5-0 1908 1683 66.8% 21.4% 11.7% +16.7 29
2005-10-26 @ Celtic L 0-5 1683 1908 11.7% 21.4% 66.8% -16.7 14
2005-10-26 Rangers D 2-2 1519 1875 9.1% 19.5% 71.4% +2.9 4
2005-10-26 @ Livingston D 2-2 1875 1519 71.4% 19.5% 9.1% -2.9 21
2005-10-29 Aberdeen W 4-2 1673 1718 35.5% 26.5% 38.0% +15.6 18
2005-10-29 @ Kilmarnock L 2-4 1718 1673 38.0% 26.5% 35.5% -15.6 16
2005-10-29 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1776 1836 33.5% 26.5% 40.1% +21.0 28
2005-10-29 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1836 1776 40.1% 26.5% 33.5% -21.0 32
2005-10-29 Inverness CT D 1-1 1872 1639 67.5% 21.2% 11.3% -3.5 22
2005-10-29 @ Rangers D 1-1 1639 1872 11.3% 21.2% 67.5% +3.5 14
2005-10-29 Livingston D 1-1 1614 1522 53.5% 25.2% 21.3% -1.9 13
2005-10-29 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1522 1614 21.3% 25.2% 53.5% +1.9 5
2005-10-29 Motherwell L 0-3 1546 1666 26.0% 25.9% 48.0% -21.9 5
2005-10-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1666 1546 48.0% 25.9% 26.0% +21.9 17
2005-10-30 Celtic L 2-4 1623 1925 11.6% 21.3% 67.1% -5.4 13
2005-10-30 @ Dundee United W 4-2 1925 1623 67.1% 21.3% 11.6% +5.4 32
2005-11-05 Aberdeen D 0-0 1869 1703 61.4% 23.3% 15.3% -3.2 23
2005-11-05 @ Rangers D 0-0 1703 1869 15.3% 23.3% 61.4% +3.2 17
2005-11-05 Dundee United W 3-0 1815 1617 64.4% 22.3% 13.3% +11.8 35
2005-11-05 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1617 1815 13.3% 22.3% 64.4% -11.8 13
2005-11-05 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1642 1524 56.5% 24.6% 18.9% +5.7 17
2005-11-05 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1524 1642 18.9% 24.6% 56.5% -5.7 5
2005-11-05 Hibernian L 1-2 1524 1797 13.2% 22.3% 64.5% -4.0 5
2005-11-05 @ Livingston W 2-1 1797 1524 64.5% 22.3% 13.2% +4.0 31
2005-11-05 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1688 1688 41.9% 26.4% 31.7% -0.4 18
2005-11-05 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1688 1688 31.7% 26.4% 41.9% +0.4 19
2005-11-06 Celtic L 0-3 1612 1931 10.8% 20.8% 68.5% -9.4 13
2005-11-06 @ Falkirk W 3-0 1931 1612 68.5% 20.8% 10.8% +9.4 35
2005-11-19 Falkirk L 2-3 1801 1602 64.5% 22.3% 13.2% -14.9 31
2005-11-19 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1602 1801 13.2% 22.3% 64.5% +14.9 16
2005-11-19 Inverness CT D 2-2 1689 1648 47.4% 26.0% 26.6% -0.9 20
2005-11-19 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1648 1689 26.6% 26.0% 47.4% +0.9 18
2005-11-19 Livingston L 0-1 1519 1520 41.7% 26.4% 31.9% -11.5 5
2005-11-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1520 1519 31.9% 26.4% 41.7% +11.5 8
2005-11-19 Motherwell D 1-1 1606 1688 30.6% 26.3% 43.1% +0.7 14
2005-11-19 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1688 1606 43.1% 26.3% 30.6% -0.7 19
2005-11-19 Rangers W 3-0 1940 1866 51.5% 25.5% 23.0% +19.8 38
2005-11-19 @ Celtic L 0-3 1866 1940 23.0% 25.5% 51.5% -19.8 23
2005-11-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1706 1827 25.9% 25.9% 48.2% +1.3 18
2005-11-20 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1827 1706 48.2% 25.9% 25.9% -1.3 36
2005-11-26 Aberdeen L 1-2 1617 1707 29.6% 26.3% 44.1% -8.4 16
2005-11-26 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1707 1617 44.1% 26.3% 29.6% +8.4 21
2005-11-26 Dundee United D 1-1 1649 1606 47.6% 26.0% 26.4% -1.2 19
2005-11-26 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1606 1649 26.4% 26.0% 47.6% +1.2 15
2005-11-26 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1960 1507 82.4% 13.4% 4.2% -19.7 38
2005-11-26 @ Celtic W 1-0 1507 1960 4.2% 13.4% 82.4% +19.7 8
2005-11-26 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1687 1826 24.0% 25.7% 50.4% +1.5 20
2005-11-26 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1826 1687 50.4% 25.7% 24.0% -1.5 37
2005-11-26 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1532 1688 22.2% 25.3% 52.5% -19.2 8
2005-11-26 @ Livingston W 3-0 1688 1532 52.5% 25.3% 22.2% +19.2 23
2005-11-27 Rangers W 2-1 1786 1846 33.5% 26.5% 40.0% +10.5 34
2005-11-27 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1846 1786 40.0% 26.5% 33.5% -10.5 23
2005-12-03 Falkirk D 2-2 1835 1609 66.9% 21.4% 11.7% -2.6 24
2005-12-03 @ Rangers D 2-2 1609 1835 11.7% 21.4% 66.9% +2.6 17
2005-12-03 Hibernian W 1-0 1607 1797 19.2% 24.6% 56.2% +14.8 18
2005-12-03 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1797 1607 56.2% 24.6% 19.2% -14.8 34
2005-12-03 Inverness CT L 0-2 1689 1648 47.4% 26.0% 26.6% -24.0 20
2005-12-03 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1648 1689 26.6% 26.0% 47.4% +24.0 22
2005-12-03 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1527 1707 19.9% 24.8% 55.2% -6.4 8
2005-12-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1707 1527 55.2% 24.8% 19.9% +6.4 26
2005-12-03 Livingston W 2-1 1824 1513 73.6% 18.4% 8.0% +2.3 40
2005-12-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1513 1824 8.0% 18.4% 73.6% -2.3 8
2005-12-04 Celtic L 1-3 1716 1940 16.4% 23.7% 59.9% -8.6 21
2005-12-04 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1940 1716 59.9% 23.7% 16.4% +8.7 41
2005-12-10 Dundee United W 1-0 1510 1622 26.9% 26.0% 47.0% +12.7 11
2005-12-10 @ Livingston L 0-1 1622 1510 47.0% 26.0% 26.9% -12.7 18
2005-12-10 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1707 1521 63.3% 22.7% 14.0% -3.4 22
2005-12-10 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1521 1707 14.0% 22.7% 63.3% +3.4 9
2005-12-10 Hibernian W 3-2 1949 1782 61.5% 23.3% 15.2% +4.4 44
2005-12-10 @ Celtic L 2-3 1782 1949 15.2% 23.3% 61.5% -4.4 34
2005-12-10 Inverness CT D 0-0 1826 1672 60.3% 23.6% 16.1% -3.0 41
2005-12-10 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1672 1826 16.1% 23.6% 60.3% +3.0 23
2005-12-10 Motherwell L 0-1 1612 1665 34.5% 26.5% 39.0% -10.0 17
2005-12-10 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1665 1612 39.0% 26.5% 34.5% +10.0 23
2005-12-11 Rangers L 2-3 1714 1833 26.1% 25.9% 48.0% -7.2 26
2005-12-11 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1833 1714 48.0% 25.9% 26.1% +7.2 27
2005-12-17 Aberdeen D 0-0 1523 1703 19.9% 24.8% 55.2% +2.4 12
2005-12-17 @ Livingston D 0-0 1703 1523 55.2% 24.8% 19.9% -2.4 23
2005-12-17 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1840 1823 44.2% 26.3% 29.5% +8.8 30
2005-12-17 @ Rangers L 0-1 1823 1840 29.5% 26.3% 44.2% -8.9 41
2005-12-17 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1602 1706 27.8% 26.1% 46.1% -7.9 17
2005-12-17 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1706 1602 46.1% 26.1% 27.8% +8.0 29
2005-12-17 Motherwell W 2-1 1777 1674 54.8% 24.9% 20.3% +6.1 37
2005-12-17 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1674 1777 20.3% 24.9% 54.8% -6.1 23
2005-12-18 Celtic D 1-1 1675 1953 12.9% 22.1% 65.0% +3.2 24
2005-12-18 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1953 1675 65.0% 22.1% 12.9% -3.2 45
2005-12-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1610 1524 52.8% 25.3% 21.9% +6.5 21
2005-12-20 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1524 1610 21.9% 25.3% 52.8% -6.5 9
2005-12-26 Aberdeen W 3-1 1668 1701 37.3% 26.5% 36.1% +16.9 26
2005-12-26 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1701 1668 36.1% 26.5% 37.3% -16.9 23
2005-12-26 Dundee United W 2-1 1714 1616 54.3% 25.0% 20.7% +6.2 32
2005-12-26 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1616 1714 20.7% 25.0% 54.3% -6.2 21
2005-12-26 Falkirk W 5-0 1815 1594 66.4% 21.6% 12.0% +17.0 44
2005-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-5 1594 1815 12.0% 21.6% 66.4% -17.0 17
2005-12-26 Hibernian W 2-0 1678 1784 27.7% 26.1% 46.2% +23.5 27
2005-12-26 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1784 1678 46.2% 26.1% 27.7% -23.5 37
2005-12-26 Livingston W 2-1 1950 1525 80.9% 14.3% 4.8% +1.3 48
2005-12-26 @ Celtic L 1-2 1525 1950 4.8% 14.3% 80.9% -1.3 12
2005-12-26 Rangers D 3-3 1517 1849 10.2% 20.3% 69.5% +2.3 10
2005-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-3 1849 1517 69.5% 20.3% 10.2% -2.3 31
2005-12-31 Dundee United W 3-0 1846 1610 67.8% 21.1% 11.2% +9.8 34
2005-12-31 @ Rangers L 0-3 1610 1846 11.2% 21.1% 67.8% -9.8 21
2005-12-31 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1577 1520 49.4% 25.8% 24.8% -12.4 17
2005-12-31 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1520 1577 24.8% 25.8% 49.4% +12.4 13
2005-12-31 Inverness CT D 0-0 1684 1702 39.5% 26.5% 34.0% -0.3 24
2005-12-31 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1702 1684 34.0% 26.5% 39.5% +0.3 28
2005-12-31 Motherwell L 1-2 1524 1685 21.7% 25.2% 53.1% -6.5 12
2005-12-31 @ Livingston W 2-1 1685 1524 53.1% 25.2% 21.7% +6.5 29
2006-01-01 Celtic L 2-3 1832 1951 26.1% 25.9% 48.0% -7.2 44
2006-01-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1951 1832 48.0% 25.9% 26.1% +7.2 51
2006-01-02 Hibernian D 2-2 1720 1760 36.4% 26.5% 37.1% +0.0 33
2006-01-02 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1760 1720 37.1% 26.5% 36.4% -0.0 38
2006-01-14 Aberdeen L 1-2 1760 1684 51.7% 25.5% 22.8% -12.9 38
2006-01-14 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1684 1760 22.8% 25.5% 51.7% +12.9 27
2006-01-14 Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1532 1824 12.1% 21.7% 66.2% -9.0 13
2006-01-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 1824 1532 66.2% 21.7% 12.1% +9.0 47
2006-01-14 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1958 1721 67.9% 21.0% 11.1% +5.2 54
2006-01-14 @ Celtic L 2-4 1721 1958 11.1% 21.0% 67.9% -5.2 33
2006-01-14 Livingston W 3-0 1702 1518 63.2% 22.8% 14.1% +12.5 31
2006-01-14 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1518 1702 14.1% 22.8% 63.2% -12.5 12
2006-01-15 Falkirk W 2-1 1600 1564 46.7% 26.1% 27.2% +7.8 24
2006-01-15 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1564 1600 27.2% 26.1% 46.7% -7.8 17
2006-01-15 Rangers L 0-1 1692 1856 21.4% 25.2% 53.4% -6.8 29
2006-01-15 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1856 1692 53.4% 25.2% 21.4% +6.8 37
2006-01-21 Aberdeen D 1-1 1608 1697 29.7% 26.3% 44.0% +0.8 25
2006-01-21 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1697 1608 44.0% 26.3% 29.7% -0.8 28
2006-01-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1747 1523 66.7% 21.5% 11.8% +6.2 41
2006-01-21 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1523 1747 11.8% 21.5% 66.7% -6.2 13
2006-01-21 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1715 1833 26.2% 26.0% 47.8% +12.9 36
2006-01-21 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1833 1715 47.8% 26.0% 26.2% -12.9 47
2006-01-21 Inverness CT L 1-4 1556 1714 22.0% 25.3% 52.7% -16.0 17
2006-01-21 @ Falkirk W 4-1 1714 1556 52.7% 25.3% 22.0% +16.0 34
2006-01-21 Livingston W 4-1 1863 1505 76.8% 16.7% 6.5% +4.5 40
2006-01-21 @ Rangers L 1-4 1505 1863 6.5% 16.7% 76.8% -4.5 12
2006-01-22 Celtic L 1-3 1685 1963 12.9% 22.1% 65.0% -6.8 29
2006-01-22 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1963 1685 65.0% 22.1% 12.9% +6.8 57
2006-01-28 Dundee United D 3-3 1970 1609 77.0% 16.6% 6.4% -2.7 58
2006-01-28 @ Celtic D 3-3 1609 1970 6.4% 16.6% 77.0% +2.7 26
2006-01-28 Falkirk L 0-1 1501 1540 36.3% 26.5% 37.2% -10.4 12
2006-01-28 @ Livingston W 1-0 1540 1501 37.2% 26.5% 36.3% +10.4 20
2006-01-28 Hibernian W 4-1 1821 1753 50.7% 25.6% 23.7% +17.1 50
2006-01-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1753 1821 23.7% 25.6% 50.7% -17.1 41
2006-01-28 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1696 1728 37.4% 26.5% 36.1% -0.1 29
2006-01-28 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1728 1696 36.1% 26.5% 37.4% +0.1 37
2006-01-28 Motherwell D 1-1 1517 1678 21.7% 25.2% 53.1% +1.8 14
2006-01-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1678 1517 53.1% 25.2% 21.7% -1.9 30
2006-01-29 Rangers L 2-3 1731 1868 24.1% 25.7% 50.2% -6.7 34
2006-01-29 @ Inverness CT W 3-2 1868 1731 50.2% 25.7% 24.1% +6.7 43
2006-02-07 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1611 1838 16.2% 23.7% 60.1% +2.7 27
2006-02-07 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1838 1611 60.1% 23.7% 16.2% -2.7 51
2006-02-08 Falkirk W 2-1 1968 1551 80.4% 14.6% 5.0% +1.3 61
2006-02-08 @ Celtic L 1-2 1551 1968 5.0% 14.6% 80.4% -1.3 20
2006-02-08 Inverness CT D 2-2 1519 1724 17.9% 24.2% 57.9% +1.8 15
2006-02-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1724 1519 57.9% 24.2% 17.9% -1.8 35
2006-02-08 Livingston W 7-0 1736 1490 68.5% 20.7% 10.7% +20.8 44
2006-02-08 @ Hibernian L 0-7 1490 1736 10.7% 20.7% 68.5% -20.8 12
2006-02-08 Motherwell W 2-0 1728 1676 48.8% 25.9% 25.4% +14.8 40
2006-02-08 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1676 1728 25.4% 25.9% 48.8% -14.8 30
2006-02-08 Rangers W 2-0 1696 1874 20.1% 24.9% 55.0% +27.3 32
2006-02-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1874 1696 55.0% 24.9% 20.1% -27.3 43
2006-02-11 Aberdeen L 1-2 1835 1723 55.8% 24.7% 19.5% -13.8 51
2006-02-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1723 1835 19.5% 24.7% 55.8% +13.8 35
2006-02-11 Dundee United W 2-0 1662 1614 48.2% 25.9% 25.9% +15.0 33
2006-02-11 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1614 1662 25.9% 25.9% 48.2% -15.0 27
2006-02-11 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1469 1521 34.7% 26.5% 38.8% -10.0 12
2006-02-11 @ Livingston W 1-0 1521 1469 38.8% 26.5% 34.7% +10.0 18
2006-02-11 Hibernian D 0-0 1549 1757 17.6% 24.2% 58.2% +2.7 21
2006-02-11 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1757 1549 58.2% 24.2% 17.6% -2.7 45
2006-02-11 Kilmarnock D 3-3 1722 1743 39.0% 26.5% 34.5% -0.2 36
2006-02-11 @ Inverness CT D 3-3 1743 1722 34.5% 26.5% 39.0% +0.2 41
2006-02-12 Celtic L 0-1 1847 1969 25.8% 25.9% 48.3% -7.9 43
2006-02-12 @ Rangers W 1-0 1969 1847 48.3% 25.9% 25.8% +7.9 64
2006-02-18 Falkirk W 1-0 1737 1552 63.2% 22.7% 14.1% +4.6 38
2006-02-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1552 1737 14.1% 22.7% 63.2% -4.5 21
2006-02-18 Hibernian W 2-0 1839 1754 52.8% 25.3% 21.9% +13.1 46
2006-02-18 @ Rangers L 0-2 1754 1839 21.9% 25.3% 52.8% -13.1 45
2006-02-18 Inverness CT L 2-4 1599 1722 25.7% 25.9% 48.4% -11.6 27
2006-02-18 @ Dundee United W 4-2 1722 1599 48.4% 25.9% 25.7% +11.6 39
2006-02-18 Livingston W 3-1 1743 1459 71.5% 19.4% 9.1% +4.6 44
2006-02-18 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1459 1743 9.1% 19.4% 71.5% -4.7 12
2006-02-18 Motherwell W 3-0 1821 1677 59.3% 23.9% 16.8% +14.9 54
2006-02-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1677 1821 16.8% 23.9% 59.3% -14.9 33
2006-02-19 Celtic L 1-8 1531 1977 6.1% 16.2% 77.7% -9.0 18
2006-02-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 8-1 1977 1531 77.7% 16.2% 6.1% +9.0 67
2006-02-25 Dundee United D 1-1 1522 1588 32.7% 26.4% 40.9% +0.5 19
2006-02-25 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1588 1522 40.9% 26.4% 32.7% -0.5 28
2006-03-04 Aberdeen W 3-0 1986 1742 68.4% 20.8% 10.8% +9.5 70
2006-03-04 @ Celtic L 0-3 1742 1986 10.8% 20.8% 68.4% -9.5 38
2006-03-04 Dundee United W 3-1 1741 1587 60.2% 23.6% 16.1% +8.5 48
2006-03-04 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1587 1741 16.1% 23.6% 60.2% -8.5 28
2006-03-04 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1748 1522 66.8% 21.4% 11.7% +3.8 47
2006-03-04 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1522 1748 11.7% 21.4% 66.8% -3.8 19
2006-03-04 Motherwell L 0-1 1733 1662 51.2% 25.5% 23.3% -13.6 39
2006-03-04 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1662 1733 23.3% 25.5% 51.2% +13.6 36
2006-03-04 Rangers L 1-2 1548 1852 11.5% 21.3% 67.3% -3.5 21
2006-03-04 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1852 1548 67.3% 21.3% 11.5% +3.5 49
2006-03-05 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1455 1836 8.2% 18.5% 73.3% -2.3 12
2006-03-05 @ Livingston W 3-2 1836 1455 73.3% 18.5% 8.2% +2.3 57
2006-03-11 Aberdeen W 1-0 1518 1732 17.2% 24.0% 58.8% +15.4 22
2006-03-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1732 1518 58.8% 24.0% 17.2% -15.4 38
2006-03-11 Falkirk W 3-1 1675 1544 57.9% 24.2% 17.9% +9.4 39
2006-03-11 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1544 1675 17.9% 24.2% 57.9% -9.4 21
2006-03-11 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1720 1838 26.2% 25.9% 47.9% +1.4 40
2006-03-11 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1838 1720 47.9% 25.9% 26.2% -1.4 58
2006-03-11 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1856 1752 54.9% 24.9% 20.2% +23.0 52
2006-03-11 @ Rangers L 0-4 1752 1856 20.2% 24.9% 54.9% -23.0 47
2006-03-11 Livingston W 3-1 1579 1452 57.4% 24.4% 18.3% +9.6 31
2006-03-11 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1452 1579 18.3% 24.4% 57.4% -9.6 12
2006-03-12 Celtic L 1-2 1750 1995 14.9% 23.1% 62.0% -4.6 48
2006-03-12 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1995 1750 62.0% 23.1% 14.9% +4.6 73
2006-03-18 Falkirk W 2-1 1729 1535 64.0% 22.5% 13.5% +4.1 50
2006-03-18 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1535 1729 13.5% 22.5% 64.0% -4.1 21
2006-03-18 Hibernian D 2-2 1685 1745 33.5% 26.5% 40.1% +0.3 40
2006-03-18 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1745 1685 40.1% 26.5% 33.5% -0.3 49
2006-03-18 Livingston W 3-0 1717 1443 70.8% 19.8% 9.5% +8.2 41
2006-03-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1443 1717 9.5% 19.8% 70.8% -8.2 12
2006-03-19 Rangers D 1-1 1837 1879 36.1% 26.5% 37.4% +0.1 59
2006-03-19 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1879 1837 37.4% 26.5% 36.1% -0.1 53
2006-03-22 Inverness CT W 2-1 2000 1721 71.1% 19.6% 9.3% +2.8 76
2006-03-22 @ Celtic L 1-2 1721 2000 9.3% 19.6% 71.1% -2.8 40
2006-03-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1879 1534 75.9% 17.2% 6.9% +2.1 56
2006-03-25 @ Rangers L 0-1 1534 1879 6.9% 17.2% 75.9% -2.1 22
2006-03-25 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1531 1837 11.4% 21.2% 67.4% -3.4 21
2006-03-25 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1837 1531 67.4% 21.2% 11.4% +3.5 62
2006-03-25 Inverness CT L 0-2 1745 1718 45.5% 26.2% 28.3% -23.2 49
2006-03-25 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1718 1745 28.3% 26.2% 45.5% +23.2 43
2006-03-25 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1588 1733 23.4% 25.6% 51.1% +1.2 32
2006-03-25 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1733 1588 51.1% 25.6% 23.4% -1.2 51
2006-03-25 Motherwell D 2-2 1725 1685 47.3% 26.0% 26.7% -0.9 42
2006-03-25 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1685 1725 26.7% 26.0% 47.3% +0.9 41
2006-03-26 Celtic L 0-2 1435 2003 3.5% 12.0% 84.5% -1.8 12
2006-03-26 @ Livingston W 2-0 2003 1435 84.5% 12.0% 3.5% +1.8 79
2006-04-01 Aberdeen L 0-1 1742 1724 44.3% 26.3% 29.4% -12.1 43
2006-04-01 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1724 1742 29.4% 26.3% 44.3% +12.1 45
2006-04-01 Falkirk D 1-1 1532 1527 42.5% 26.4% 31.1% -0.6 23
2006-04-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1527 1532 31.1% 26.4% 42.5% +0.6 22
2006-04-01 Livingston W 2-1 1686 1433 69.1% 20.5% 10.4% +3.1 44
2006-04-01 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1433 1686 10.4% 20.5% 69.1% -3.1 12
2006-04-02 Rangers L 1-4 1589 1881 12.2% 21.7% 66.1% -9.1 32
2006-04-02 @ Dundee United W 4-1 1881 1589 66.1% 21.7% 12.2% +9.1 59
2006-04-05 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 2004 1840 61.2% 23.4% 15.4% +5.0 82
2006-04-05 @ Celtic L 0-1 1840 2004 15.4% 23.4% 61.2% -5.0 62
2006-04-05 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1722 1731 40.6% 26.5% 33.0% +9.1 52
2006-04-05 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1731 1722 33.0% 26.5% 40.6% -9.1 51
2006-04-08 Dundee United W 1-0 1528 1580 34.5% 26.5% 39.0% +10.9 25
2006-04-08 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1580 1528 39.0% 26.5% 34.5% -10.9 32
2006-04-08 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 1835 1531 73.1% 18.6% 8.3% +9.2 65
2006-04-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1531 1835 8.3% 18.6% 73.1% -9.2 23
2006-04-08 Hibernian W 1-0 1736 1731 42.7% 26.4% 30.9% +9.2 48
2006-04-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1731 1736 30.9% 26.4% 42.7% -9.2 52
2006-04-08 Inverness CT W 2-1 1430 1730 11.7% 21.4% 66.9% +16.2 15
2006-04-08 @ Livingston L 1-2 1730 1430 66.9% 21.4% 11.7% -16.1 43
2006-04-08 Motherwell W 1-0 1890 1689 64.6% 22.2% 13.1% +4.2 62
2006-04-08 @ Rangers L 0-1 1689 1890 13.1% 22.2% 64.6% -4.2 44
2006-04-09 Celtic L 1-4 1722 2009 12.4% 21.8% 65.8% -9.2 51
2006-04-09 @ Kilmarnock W 4-1 2009 1722 65.8% 21.8% 12.4% +9.2 85

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2006-04-15 Aberdeen D 1-1 1894 1745 59.7% 23.8% 16.5% -2.6 1
2006-04-15 @ Rangers D 1-1 1745 1894 16.5% 23.8% 59.7% +2.6 1
2006-04-15 Dundee United W 3-1 1446 1569 25.6% 25.9% 48.5% +21.2 3
2006-04-15 @ Livingston L 1-3 1569 1446 48.5% 25.9% 25.6% -21.2 0
2006-04-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1539 1522 44.2% 26.3% 29.5% -0.9 1
2006-04-15 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1522 1539 29.5% 26.3% 44.2% +0.9 1
2006-04-15 Inverness CT L 0-1 1685 1713 37.9% 26.5% 35.6% -10.7 0
2006-04-15 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1713 1685 35.6% 26.5% 37.9% +10.7 3
2006-04-15 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1845 1713 57.9% 24.2% 17.8% +10.8 3
2006-04-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1713 1845 17.8% 24.2% 57.9% -10.8 0
2006-04-16 Hibernian D 1-1 2019 1721 72.5% 18.9% 8.5% -4.0 1
2006-04-16 @ Celtic D 1-1 1721 2019 8.5% 18.9% 72.5% +4.0 1
2006-04-22 Dundee United W 1-0 1724 1548 62.4% 23.0% 14.6% +4.8 6
2006-04-22 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1548 1724 14.6% 23.0% 62.4% -4.7 0
2006-04-22 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1725 1855 24.9% 25.8% 49.3% +12.4 4
2006-04-22 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1855 1725 49.3% 25.8% 24.9% -12.4 3
2006-04-22 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1748 1702 48.0% 25.9% 26.1% -1.4 2
2006-04-22 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1702 1748 26.1% 25.9% 48.0% +1.4 1
2006-04-22 Livingston W 3-2 1523 1467 49.2% 25.8% 25.0% +6.9 4
2006-04-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1467 1523 25.0% 25.8% 49.2% -6.9 3
2006-04-22 Motherwell D 1-1 1538 1674 24.2% 25.7% 50.1% +1.5 2
2006-04-22 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1674 1538 50.1% 25.7% 24.2% -1.5 1
2006-04-23 Rangers D 0-0 2015 1891 57.1% 24.4% 18.5% -2.6 2
2006-04-23 @ Celtic D 0-0 1891 2015 18.5% 24.4% 57.1% +2.6 2
2006-04-29 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1672 1530 59.1% 23.9% 17.0% -13.8 1
2006-04-29 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1530 1672 17.0% 23.9% 59.1% +13.8 7
2006-04-29 Falkirk L 0-2 1543 1539 42.5% 26.4% 31.1% -22.0 0
2006-04-29 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1539 1543 31.1% 26.4% 42.5% +22.0 5
2006-04-29 Hibernian W 4-0 1747 1738 43.1% 26.3% 30.5% +32.5 5
2006-04-29 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1738 1747 30.5% 26.3% 43.1% -32.5 4
2006-04-29 Inverness CT L 0-1 1460 1729 13.4% 22.4% 64.1% -4.4 3
2006-04-29 @ Livingston W 1-0 1729 1460 64.1% 22.4% 13.4% +4.3 9
2006-04-29 Rangers L 1-3 1704 1894 19.1% 24.6% 56.3% -10.0 1
2006-04-29 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1894 1704 56.3% 24.6% 19.1% +10.0 5
2006-04-30 Celtic W 3-0 1843 2012 21.0% 25.1% 53.9% +39.0 6
2006-04-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 2012 1843 53.9% 25.1% 21.0% -39.0 2
2006-05-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1521 1543 38.9% 26.5% 34.6% -10.9 0
2006-05-02 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1543 1521 34.6% 26.5% 38.9% +10.9 10
2006-05-02 Rangers L 1-2 1705 1904 18.4% 24.4% 57.2% -5.6 4
2006-05-02 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1904 1705 57.2% 24.4% 18.4% +5.6 8
2006-05-03 Aberdeen W 1-0 1882 1779 54.8% 24.9% 20.3% +6.5 9
2006-05-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1779 1882 20.3% 24.9% 54.8% -6.5 5
2006-05-03 Falkirk W 2-0 1733 1561 62.0% 23.1% 14.9% +9.1 12
2006-05-03 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1561 1733 14.9% 23.1% 62.0% -9.1 5
2006-05-03 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1973 1694 71.2% 19.6% 9.2% +5.5 5
2006-05-03 @ Celtic L 0-2 1694 1973 9.2% 19.6% 71.2% -5.5 1
2006-05-03 Motherwell L 0-1 1456 1659 18.0% 24.3% 57.7% -5.8 3
2006-05-03 @ Livingston W 1-0 1659 1456 57.7% 24.3% 18.0% +5.8 4
2006-05-06 Dundee United D 1-1 1665 1510 60.2% 23.6% 16.1% -2.7 5
2006-05-06 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1510 1665 16.1% 23.6% 60.2% +2.7 1
2006-05-06 Inverness CT L 0-1 1554 1742 19.2% 24.7% 56.1% -6.2 10
2006-05-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1742 1554 56.1% 24.7% 19.2% +6.2 15
2006-05-06 Livingston W 1-0 1552 1450 54.7% 24.9% 20.3% +6.5 8
2006-05-06 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1450 1552 20.3% 24.9% 54.7% -6.5 3
2006-05-07 Celtic D 2-2 1773 1979 17.8% 24.2% 58.0% +1.8 6
2006-05-07 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1979 1773 58.0% 24.2% 17.8% -1.8 6
2006-05-07 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1909 1888 44.8% 26.2% 29.0% +16.5 11
2006-05-07 @ Rangers L 0-2 1888 1909 29.0% 26.2% 44.8% -16.5 9
2006-05-07 Hibernian W 3-1 1688 1700 40.3% 26.5% 33.2% +15.8 4
2006-05-07 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1700 1688 33.2% 26.5% 40.3% -15.8 4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-11-26 4.22% Dunfermline Athletic 1507 1 @ Celtic 1960 0
2 2006-04-08 11.71% @ Livingston 1430 2 Inverness CT 1730 1
3 2005-08-27 12.95% Hibernian 1703 3 @ Rangers 1906 0
4 2005-11-19 13.23% Falkirk 1602 3 @ Hibernian 1801 2
5 2006-04-29 16.95% Dunfermline Athletic 1530 3 @ Motherwell 1672 2
6 2006-03-11 17.16% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1518 1 Aberdeen 1732 0
7 2005-08-14 17.29% @ Aberdeen 1693 3 Rangers 1906 2
8 2005-12-03 19.17% @ Dundee United 1607 1 Hibernian 1797 0
9 2006-02-11 19.48% Aberdeen 1723 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1835 1
10 2006-02-08 20.11% @ Aberdeen 1696 2 Rangers 1874 0
11 2005-10-26 20.13% Falkirk 1574 3 @ Inverness CT 1679 0
12 2005-10-02 20.92% Inverness CT 1667 2 @ Hibernian 1763 1
13 2006-04-30 20.96% @ Heart of Midlothian 1843 3 Celtic 2012 0
14 2006-01-14 22.83% Aberdeen 1684 2 @ Hibernian 1760 1
15 2006-03-04 23.26% Motherwell 1662 1 @ Inverness CT 1733 0
16 2005-08-20 23.44% Dundee United 1605 5 @ Motherwell 1675 4
17 2005-12-31 24.84% Dunfermline Athletic 1520 2 @ Falkirk 1577 1
18 2006-04-22 24.90% @ Hibernian 1725 2 Heart of Midlothian 1855 1
19 2005-08-06 25.42% Kilmarnock 1654 2 @ Aberdeen 1706 1
20 2006-04-15 25.62% @ Livingston 1446 3 Dundee United 1569 1
21 2006-01-21 26.22% @ Kilmarnock 1715 1 Heart of Midlothian 1833 0
22 2005-12-03 26.64% Inverness CT 1648 2 @ Motherwell 1689 0
23 2005-12-10 26.93% @ Livingston 1510 1 Dundee United 1622 0
24 2005-09-10 27.57% Motherwell 1658 2 @ Inverness CT 1690 1
25 2005-12-26 27.70% @ Inverness CT 1678 2 Hibernian 1784 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-08-27 45.75 Hibernian 3 1703 12.95% @ Rangers 0 1906 64.89% 22.16%
2 2005-10-26 39.64 Falkirk 3 1574 20.13% @ Inverness CT 0 1679 54.98% 24.89%
3 2006-04-30 38.99 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1843 20.96% Celtic 0 2012 53.95% 25.08%
4 2005-09-17 33.59 @ Motherwell 5 1669 49.74% Falkirk 0 1610 24.53% 25.73%
5 2006-04-29 32.50 @ Aberdeen 4 1747 43.13% Hibernian 0 1738 30.53% 26.33%
6 2005-08-07 30.10 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1724 46.18% Hibernian 0 1693 27.71% 26.11%
7 2006-02-08 27.30 @ Aberdeen 2 1696 20.11% Rangers 0 1874 55.00% 24.88%
8 2005-12-03 24.03 Inverness CT 2 1648 26.64% @ Motherwell 0 1689 47.36% 26.00%
9 2005-08-13 23.80 @ Kilmarnock 4 1666 37.43% Motherwell 1 1699 36.07% 26.51%
10 2005-12-26 23.54 @ Inverness CT 2 1678 27.70% Hibernian 0 1784 46.19% 26.11%
11 2006-03-25 23.25 Inverness CT 2 1718 28.33% @ Hibernian 0 1745 45.49% 26.17%
12 2006-03-11 23.00 @ Rangers 4 1856 54.95% Kilmarnock 0 1752 20.16% 24.89%
13 2006-04-29 22.02 Falkirk 2 1539 31.12% @ Dundee United 0 1543 42.51% 26.37%
14 2005-10-29 21.90 Motherwell 3 1666 48.05% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1546 26.02% 25.93%
15 2005-08-14 21.24 Heart of Midlothian 3 1754 49.13% @ Dundee United 0 1626 25.06% 25.81%
16 2006-04-15 21.23 @ Livingston 3 1446 25.62% Dundee United 1 1569 48.49% 25.88%
17 2005-07-30 21.08 Inverness CT 2 1666 33.34% @ Falkirk 0 1654 40.20% 26.46%
18 2005-10-29 21.03 @ Hibernian 2 1776 33.47% Heart of Midlothian 0 1836 40.07% 26.46%
19 2005-08-06 20.80 Falkirk 2 1633 34.01% @ Livingston 0 1615 39.52% 26.48%
20 2006-02-08 20.78 @ Hibernian 7 1736 68.54% Livingston 0 1490 10.72% 20.74%
21 2005-08-27 20.37 @ Aberdeen 3 1693 50.52% Falkirk 0 1627 23.85% 25.63%
22 2005-08-13 20.21 @ Hibernian 3 1663 50.78% Livingston 0 1594 23.63% 25.59%
23 2005-08-20 19.75 Hibernian 2 1683 36.63% @ Falkirk 0 1647 36.86% 26.51%
24 2005-11-19 19.75 @ Celtic 3 1940 51.52% Rangers 0 1866 23.00% 25.49%
25 2005-11-26 19.72 Dunfermline Athletic 1 1507 4.22% @ Celtic 0 1960 82.40% 13.38%