2002-03 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

97 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee United

23.83 points above expected

32 points · 55.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

87.83 points below expected

97 points · 184.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 33 28 3 2 87 86 23 +63 75.03 +11.97
2 Celtic 33 26 4 3 82 81 22 +59 77.03 +4.97
3 Heart of Midlothian 33 16 9 8 57 55 47 +8 49.03 +7.97
4 Kilmarnock 33 14 8 11 50 43 46 -3 40.86 +9.14
5 Dunfermline Athletic 33 13 5 15 44 48 56 -8 41.80 +2.20
6 Dundee 33 10 12 11 42 44 48 -4 41.31 +0.69
7 Hibernian 33 11 6 16 39 46 58 -12 43.47 -4.47
8 Aberdeen 33 9 10 14 37 32 48 -16 43.38 -6.38
9 Livingston 33 8 8 17 32 41 50 -9 42.49 -10.49
10 Partick Thistle 33 6 11 16 29 29 50 -21 28.76 +0.24
11 Dundee United 33 5 10 18 25 29 61 -32 33.27 -8.27
12 Motherwell 33 6 6 21 24 35 60 -25 36.19 -12.19
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 38 31 4 3 97 101 28 +73 184.83 -87.83
2 Celtic 38 31 4 3 97 98 26 +72 174.91 -77.91
3 Heart of Midlothian 38 18 9 11 63 57 51 +6 120.34 -57.34
4 Kilmarnock 38 16 9 13 57 47 56 -9 105.29 -48.29
5 Dunfermline Athletic 38 13 7 18 46 54 71 -17 91.87 -45.87
6 Dundee 38 10 14 14 44 50 60 -10 88.79 -44.79
7 Hibernian 38 15 6 17 51 56 64 -8 85.74 -34.74
8 Aberdeen 38 13 10 15 49 41 54 -13 82.20 -33.20
9 Livingston 38 9 8 21 35 48 62 -14 71.77 -36.77
10 Partick Thistle 38 8 11 19 35 37 58 -21 63.89 -28.89
11 Dundee United 38 7 11 20 32 35 68 -33 55.83 -23.83
12 Motherwell 38 7 7 24 28 45 71 -26 54.13 -26.13

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 2097 97 77.03 +19.97 81.9% 55 67 73 77 81 87 97
Rangers 2073 97 75.03 +21.97 98.3% 46 64 71 75 79 85 95
Heart of Midlothian 1799 63 49.03 +13.97 88.7% 23 37 44 49 54 61 74
Kilmarnock 1751 57 40.86 +16.14 90.9% 16 29 36 41 46 53 70
Aberdeen 1712 49 43.38 +5.62 21.4% 20 32 38 43 48 55 69
Dundee 1705 44 41.31 +2.69 57.0% 17 30 36 41 46 53 69
Hibernian 1698 51 43.47 +7.53 29.3% 17 32 39 43 48 55 71
Dunfermline Athletic 1660 46 41.80 +4.20 65.2% 15 30 37 42 47 54 70
Livingston 1633 35 42.49 -7.49 8.0% 17 31 38 42 47 54 69
Partick Thistle 1603 35 28.76 +6.24 55.1% 6 18 24 29 33 40 55
Motherwell 1598 28 36.19 -8.19 4.4% 12 25 31 36 41 48 66
Dundee United 1593 32 33.27 -1.27 12.9% 12 22 29 33 38 45 61

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU DA HOM HIB KIL LIV MOT PT RAN
Aberdeen
0-1-2
1.58
1-2-0
4.34
2-1-1
6.80
2-0-1
4.39
0-2-1
3.86
1-0-3
5.34
0-1-2
4.15
3-1-0
5.59
3-1-0
6.16
1-0-3
7.63
0-1-2
1.47
Celtic
2-1-0
6.87
3-1-0
9.67
3-0-0
7.61
4-0-0
9.62
3-0-1
9.09
3-0-0
7.29
3-1-0
9.60
3-0-0
7.28
2-0-1
7.52
3-0-0
7.68
2-1-1
5.69
Dundee
0-2-1
3.97
0-1-3
1.68
1-2-0
4.67
1-1-2
5.50
1-1-2
4.59
2-0-1
4.07
1-1-2
5.97
1-2-0
4.31
1-2-0
4.59
2-1-0
5.13
0-1-3
1.90
Dundee United
1-1-2
4.29
0-0-3
0.96
0-2-1
3.64
1-0-2
3.37
0-0-3
2.58
0-2-2
4.23
1-1-1
3.59
1-0-3
4.37
2-2-0
5.08
1-3-0
5.65
0-0-3
1.06
Dunfermline Athletic
1-0-2
3.92
0-0-4
1.72
2-1-1
5.58
2-0-1
4.95
1-0-3
4.45
2-1-0
3.69
0-3-1
5.21
2-1-0
4.02
2-0-1
4.72
1-1-1
5.60
0-0-4
1.83
Heart of Midlothian
1-2-0
4.44
1-0-3
2.17
2-1-1
6.50
3-0-0
5.78
3-0-1
6.64
2-1-0
4.54
2-1-1
6.48
1-2-0
4.84
2-0-1
5.62
1-2-0
5.81
0-0-4
2.34
Hibernian
3-0-1
5.74
0-0-3
1.22
1-0-2
4.23
2-2-0
6.86
0-1-2
4.62
0-1-2
3.76
1-0-2
3.99
3-1-0
5.80
3-0-1
6.66
2-1-1
7.21
0-0-3
1.65
Kilmarnock
2-1-0
4.17
0-1-3
1.72
2-1-1
5.11
1-1-1
4.71
1-3-0
5.87
1-1-2
4.61
2-0-1
4.32
3-0-0
3.44
2-0-1
4.72
2-0-1
5.46
0-1-3
2.00
Livingston
0-1-3
5.48
0-0-3
1.23
0-2-1
4.00
3-0-1
6.72
0-1-2
4.29
0-2-1
3.47
0-1-3
5.27
0-0-3
4.87
3-0-1
6.35
3-1-0
7.15
0-0-3
1.41
Motherwell
0-1-3
4.92
1-0-2
1.05
0-2-1
3.72
0-2-2
5.99
1-0-2
3.59
1-0-2
2.72
1-0-3
4.45
1-0-2
3.59
1-0-3
4.73
0-2-2
6.46
1-0-2
1.05
Partick Thistle
3-0-1
3.49
0-0-3
0.91
0-1-2
3.19
0-3-1
5.43
1-1-1
2.74
0-2-1
2.54
1-1-2
3.90
1-0-2
2.87
0-1-3
3.96
2-2-0
4.63
0-0-3
0.89
Rangers
2-1-0
7.00
1-1-2
5.39
3-1-0
9.40
3-0-0
7.49
4-0-0
9.49
4-0-0
8.89
3-0-0
6.79
3-1-0
9.29
3-0-0
7.07
2-0-1
7.50
3-0-0
7.71

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.88 +10.0
Allowed 0.87 -14.5
Differential 0.94 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.51%8.11%5.70%4.61%1.75%0.88%24.56%
18.11%11.40%9.21%2.41%1.75%1.10%33.99%
25.70%9.21%5.70%1.75%0.88%0.66%23.90%
34.61%2.41%1.75%0.88%0.22%9.87%
41.75%1.75%0.88%0.22%0.44%5.04%
5+0.88%1.10%0.66%2.63%
Total24.56%33.99%23.90%9.87%5.04%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 2.02
CV 0.89 0.89
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%36.84%
17.89%10.53%7.89%2.63%28.95%
22.63%15.79%5.26%23.68%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total21.05%42.11%23.68%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.42 -0.34
SD 1.02 1.35 1.81
CV 0.95 0.95
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
118.42%7.89%5.26%31.58%
218.42%7.89%2.63%28.95%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
410.53%7.89%2.63%21.05%
5+7.89%2.63%10.53%
Total55.26%26.32%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.58 0.68 +1.89
SD 1.59 0.90 1.80
CV 0.62 1.32
Max 7 3 +7
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%5.26%5.26%26.32%
12.63%18.42%7.89%2.63%31.58%
213.16%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%28.95%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total13.16%44.74%23.68%13.16%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.58 -0.26
SD 1.07 1.22 1.50
CV 0.81 0.77
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%10.53%13.16%2.63%36.84%
12.63%15.79%13.16%5.26%36.84%
213.16%5.26%5.26%23.68%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total13.16%31.58%28.95%18.42%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.79 -0.87
SD 0.85 1.21 1.63
CV 0.92 0.68
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%5.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%31.58%
12.63%7.89%5.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%28.95%
22.63%5.26%7.89%15.79%
35.26%5.26%2.63%13.16%
47.89%2.63%10.53%
5+
Total13.16%36.84%23.68%13.16%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.87 -0.45
SD 1.35 1.49 2.33
CV 0.95 0.80
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%18.42%
113.16%15.79%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%39.47%
25.26%15.79%2.63%2.63%26.32%
37.89%7.89%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total28.95%42.11%13.16%2.63%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.34 +0.16
SD 1.20 1.44 1.91
CV 0.80 1.07
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
110.53%10.53%15.79%2.63%2.63%2.63%44.74%
27.89%13.16%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%34.21%
32.63%5.26%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total21.05%34.21%21.05%10.53%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.68 -0.21
SD 0.89 1.49 1.71
CV 0.61 0.89
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%7.89%5.26%2.63%26.32%
121.05%10.53%5.26%2.63%39.47%
210.53%5.26%13.16%28.95%
3
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total34.21%21.05%26.32%7.89%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.47 -0.24
SD 1.20 1.52 2.19
CV 0.97 1.03
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%13.16%2.63%28.95%
15.26%10.53%26.32%42.11%
25.26%2.63%7.89%
35.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%18.42%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total15.79%26.32%50.00%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.63 -0.37
SD 1.22 1.20 1.70
CV 0.97 0.73
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%7.89%7.89%2.63%34.21%
12.63%13.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%36.84%
27.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+2.63%2.63%5.26%
Total5.26%39.47%28.95%18.42%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.87 -0.68
SD 1.41 1.12 1.89
CV 1.19 0.60
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%5.26%7.89%2.63%39.47%
15.26%13.16%5.26%7.89%5.26%36.84%
22.63%2.63%7.89%13.16%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total23.68%31.58%21.05%15.79%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.53 -0.55
SD 1.05 1.25 1.80
CV 1.08 0.82
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%
15.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
218.42%10.53%5.26%34.21%
318.42%5.26%2.63%2.63%28.95%
45.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%13.16%
5+2.63%5.26%7.89%
Total50.00%31.58%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.66 0.74 +1.92
SD 1.42 0.89 1.65
CV 0.53 1.21
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 32 55.83 -23.83
2 Motherwell 28 54.13 -26.13
3 Partick Thistle 35 63.89 -28.89
4 Aberdeen 49 82.20 -33.20
5 Hibernian 51 85.74 -34.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 97 184.83 -87.83
2 Celtic 97 174.91 -77.91
3 Heart of Midlothian 63 120.34 -57.34
4 Kilmarnock 57 105.29 -48.29
5 Dunfermline Athletic 46 91.87 -45.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 5 Sep 21 – Oct 27 1 in 73
2 Rangers 8 Aug 10 – Sep 28 1 in 19
3 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Sep 11 – Sep 21 1 in 19
4 Aberdeen 3 Sep 22 – Oct 5 1 in 16
5 Dundee United 2 May 10 – May 17 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 8 Oct 5 – Dec 1 1 in 474
2 Livingston 6 Aug 25 – Sep 28 1 in 126
3 Hibernian 5 Jan 29 – Mar 2 1 in 56
4 Aberdeen 3 Aug 25 – Sep 11 1 in 40
5 Dundee United 5 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee 9 Jan 28 – Apr 12 1 in 134
2 Kilmarnock 5 Dec 3 – Dec 26 1 in 49
3 Motherwell 4 Dec 4 – Dec 26 1 in 39
4 Rangers 21 Aug 3 – Dec 22 1 in 25
5 Heart of Midlothian 6 Mar 1 – Apr 26 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 11 Oct 19 – Dec 21 1 in 311
2 Motherwell 11 Sep 15 – Dec 1 1 in 68
3 Livingston 9 Aug 10 – Oct 6 1 in 54
4 Hibernian 7 Jan 2 – Mar 9 1 in 24
5 Dundee United 10 Nov 23 – Jan 29 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Rangers41.86%57.37%0.73%0.03%0.01%
Celtic58.10%41.54%0.35%0.01%
Heart of Midlothian0.03%0.70%37.83%20.64%14.15%9.38%6.59%4.55%3.17%1.83%0.89%0.24%
Kilmarnock0.03%7.29%10.38%11.76%11.97%13.03%12.64%11.51%10.13%7.65%3.61%
Dunfermline Athletic0.02%8.46%11.34%12.65%13.22%12.87%12.23%11.10%8.82%6.50%2.79%
Dundee0.01%0.05%7.64%11.56%11.27%12.54%13.13%13.06%11.38%9.76%6.38%3.22%
Hibernian0.10%12.53%14.48%14.02%13.19%12.25%10.81%9.06%7.24%4.75%1.57%
Aberdeen0.11%12.33%14.03%13.74%13.19%12.28%10.83%9.52%7.23%4.81%1.93%
Livingston0.07%10.08%12.03%13.37%13.95%12.66%12.25%10.01%7.99%5.31%2.28%
Partick Thistle0.09%0.48%0.88%1.64%2.42%4.21%6.90%12.03%22.47%48.88%
Dundee United0.59%1.56%2.88%3.96%6.24%8.08%12.28%17.15%24.49%22.77%
Motherwell0.01%2.08%3.46%5.27%6.96%8.53%11.34%15.07%17.82%16.75%12.71%
Team123456789101112
Rangers90.35%9.65%
Celtic9.65%90.35%
Heart of Midlothian97.28%2.72%
Kilmarnock2.72%92.80%4.36%0.12%
Dunfermline Athletic3.04%58.72%38.24%
Dundee1.44%36.92%61.64%
Hibernian62.77%31.86%5.21%0.16%
Aberdeen34.60%53.22%11.51%0.67%
Livingston2.55%13.53%67.55%14.09%2.07%0.21%
Partick Thistle0.08%1.35%12.81%59.30%20.66%5.80%
Dundee United0.03%1.75%15.05%44.04%39.13%
Motherwell0.01%1.17%10.73%33.23%54.86%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.28%
Slight Edge
45.18%21.93%32.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.88 Elo pts.
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Rangers, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.55 * Some Luck: 5.55 to 8.32 * Lucky: 8.32 to 11.1 * Wild Swing: 11.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.4 * Close: 1.4 to 2.09 * Off: 2.09 to 2.79 * Way Off: 2.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.67 points
Some Luck
06.9417
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.754
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.32%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.40%
Motherwell
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.49
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.26
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.53
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.21
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Heart of Midlothian 99.85% 0.15%
Aberdeen 98.29% 1.71%
Hibernian 98.23% 1.77%
Dundee 97.80% 2.20%
Livingston 97.74% 2.26%
Kilmarnock 97.62% 2.38%
Dunfermline Athletic 97.50% 2.50%
Motherwell 86.59% 13.41%
Dundee United 76.05% 23.95%
Partick Thistle 50.33% 49.67%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee 100%
Dunfermline Athletic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Rangers 100%
Livingston 99.79% 0.21%
Partick Thistle 94.20% 5.80%
Dundee United 60.87% 39.13%
Motherwell 45.14% 54.86%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2002-08-03 Aberdeen L 1-2 1723 1758 39.4% 23.3% 37.3% -8.4 0
2002-08-03 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1758 1723 37.3% 23.3% 39.4% +8.4 3
2002-08-03 Dundee United D 0-0 1578 1669 31.8% 23.1% 45.1% +0.7 1
2002-08-03 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1669 1578 45.1% 23.1% 31.8% -0.7 1
2002-08-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1993 1694 74.6% 16.8% 8.6% +2.0 3
2002-08-03 @ Celtic L 1-2 1694 1993 8.6% 16.8% 74.6% -2.0 0
2002-08-03 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1701 1738 39.1% 23.3% 37.6% -0.1 1
2002-08-03 @ Dundee D 1-1 1738 1701 37.6% 23.3% 39.1% +0.1 1
2002-08-03 Motherwell W 3-2 1736 1688 50.7% 22.7% 26.6% +5.8 3
2002-08-03 @ Livingston L 2-3 1688 1736 26.6% 22.7% 50.7% -5.8 0
2002-08-03 Rangers D 1-1 1697 1947 15.9% 20.6% 63.5% +2.4 1
2002-08-03 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1947 1697 63.5% 20.6% 15.9% -2.4 1
2002-08-10 Celtic L 0-4 1767 1995 17.5% 21.1% 61.4% -16.0 3
2002-08-10 @ Aberdeen W 4-0 1995 1767 61.4% 21.1% 17.5% +16.0 6
2002-08-10 Dundee W 3-0 1944 1701 70.4% 18.4% 11.1% +7.7 4
2002-08-10 @ Rangers L 0-3 1701 1944 11.1% 18.4% 70.4% -7.7 1
2002-08-10 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1668 1699 40.1% 23.2% 36.7% -8.5 1
2002-08-10 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1699 1668 36.7% 23.2% 40.1% +8.5 4
2002-08-10 Livingston W 2-1 1692 1742 37.4% 23.3% 39.4% +8.4 3
2002-08-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1742 1692 39.4% 23.3% 37.4% -8.4 3
2002-08-10 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1682 1579 57.3% 21.9% 20.9% -1.8 1
2002-08-10 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1579 1682 20.9% 21.9% 57.3% +1.8 2
2002-08-11 Hibernian W 5-1 1738 1714 47.6% 23.0% 29.4% +21.2 4
2002-08-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-5 1714 1738 29.4% 23.0% 47.6% -21.2 0
2002-08-17 Dundee W 4-2 1701 1693 45.5% 23.1% 31.4% +10.9 6
2002-08-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-4 1693 1701 31.4% 23.1% 45.5% -10.9 1
2002-08-17 Dundee United W 5-0 2011 1660 78.0% 15.2% 6.8% +7.2 9
2002-08-17 @ Celtic L 0-5 1660 2011 6.8% 15.2% 78.0% -7.2 1
2002-08-17 Livingston D 2-2 1580 1734 24.5% 22.4% 53.1% +1.0 3
2002-08-17 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1734 1580 53.1% 22.4% 24.5% -1.0 4
2002-08-17 Motherwell L 0-3 1708 1680 48.0% 22.9% 29.0% -28.8 4
2002-08-17 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1680 1708 29.0% 22.9% 48.0% +28.8 4
2002-08-18 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1751 1759 43.2% 23.2% 33.6% -0.5 4
2002-08-18 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1759 1751 33.6% 23.2% 43.2% +0.4 5
2002-08-18 Rangers L 2-4 1693 1952 15.3% 20.3% 64.3% -5.7 0
2002-08-18 @ Hibernian W 4-2 1952 1693 64.3% 20.3% 15.3% +5.7 7
2002-08-24 Celtic L 0-1 1581 2019 6.8% 15.2% 78.0% -1.6 3
2002-08-24 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 2019 1581 78.0% 15.2% 6.8% +1.6 12
2002-08-24 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1760 1712 50.7% 22.7% 26.6% +12.3 8
2002-08-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1712 1760 26.6% 22.7% 50.7% -12.3 6
2002-08-24 Hibernian W 2-1 1682 1687 43.6% 23.2% 33.2% +7.4 4
2002-08-24 @ Dundee L 1-2 1687 1682 33.2% 23.2% 43.6% -7.4 0
2002-08-25 Aberdeen W 2-0 1958 1750 67.5% 19.4% 13.1% +6.3 10
2002-08-25 @ Rangers L 0-2 1750 1958 13.1% 19.4% 67.5% -6.3 4
2002-08-25 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1732 1679 51.4% 22.6% 26.0% -11.1 4
2002-08-25 @ Livingston W 1-0 1679 1732 26.0% 22.6% 51.4% +11.1 7
2002-08-25 Motherwell D 1-1 1652 1709 36.4% 23.2% 40.4% +0.2 2
2002-08-25 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1709 1652 40.4% 23.2% 36.4% -0.2 5
2002-08-31 Dundee D 0-0 1653 1689 39.3% 23.3% 37.5% -0.1 3
2002-08-31 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1689 1653 37.5% 23.3% 39.3% +0.1 5
2002-08-31 Hibernian L 0-2 1709 1680 48.3% 22.9% 28.8% -19.9 5
2002-08-31 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1680 1709 28.8% 22.9% 48.3% +19.9 3
2002-08-31 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1772 1690 54.8% 22.2% 23.0% -1.5 9
2002-08-31 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1690 1772 23.0% 22.2% 54.8% +1.6 8
2002-09-01 Livingston W 2-0 2020 1721 74.5% 16.8% 8.6% +4.0 15
2002-09-01 @ Celtic L 0-2 1721 2020 8.6% 16.8% 74.5% -4.0 4
2002-09-01 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1744 1580 63.5% 20.6% 16.0% -13.4 4
2002-09-01 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1580 1744 16.0% 20.6% 63.5% +13.4 6
2002-09-01 Rangers L 0-6 1699 1964 14.9% 20.2% 64.9% -20.0 6
2002-09-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 6-0 1964 1699 64.9% 20.2% 14.9% +20.0 13
2002-09-10 Celtic W 2-1 1689 2024 10.8% 18.3% 70.9% +13.9 8
2002-09-10 @ Motherwell L 1-2 2024 1689 70.9% 18.3% 10.8% -13.9 15
2002-09-11 Dundee United L 1-2 1730 1653 54.3% 22.3% 23.4% -11.0 4
2002-09-11 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1653 1730 23.4% 22.3% 54.3% +11.0 6
2002-09-11 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1700 1679 47.2% 23.0% 29.8% -23.9 3
2002-09-11 @ Hibernian W 4-1 1679 1700 29.8% 23.0% 47.2% +23.9 9
2002-09-11 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1984 1770 68.0% 19.3% 12.8% +6.1 16
2002-09-11 @ Rangers L 0-2 1770 1984 12.8% 19.3% 68.0% -6.1 9
2002-09-11 Livingston W 2-1 1689 1717 40.5% 23.2% 36.3% +7.9 8
2002-09-11 @ Dundee L 1-2 1717 1689 36.3% 23.2% 40.5% -7.9 4
2002-09-11 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1692 1593 56.7% 21.9% 21.4% +5.4 11
2002-09-11 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1593 1692 21.4% 21.9% 56.7% -5.4 6
2002-09-14 Aberdeen D 2-2 1697 1719 41.3% 23.2% 35.5% -0.2 12
2002-09-14 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1719 1697 35.5% 23.2% 41.3% +0.2 5
2002-09-14 Dundee D 1-1 1588 1697 29.5% 23.0% 47.6% +0.9 7
2002-09-14 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1697 1588 47.6% 23.0% 29.5% -0.9 9
2002-09-14 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1664 1703 38.8% 23.3% 37.9% -8.3 6
2002-09-14 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1703 1664 37.9% 23.3% 38.8% +8.3 12
2002-09-14 Hibernian W 1-0 2010 1676 76.9% 15.7% 7.3% +1.8 18
2002-09-14 @ Celtic L 0-1 1676 2010 7.3% 15.7% 76.9% -1.8 3
2002-09-14 Rangers L 0-2 1709 1990 13.9% 19.8% 66.3% -6.7 4
2002-09-14 @ Livingston W 2-0 1990 1709 66.3% 19.8% 13.9% +6.7 19
2002-09-15 Motherwell W 4-2 1764 1703 52.3% 22.5% 25.1% +9.1 12
2002-09-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1703 1764 25.1% 22.5% 52.3% -9.1 8
2002-09-21 Dundee United W 2-0 1773 1655 58.8% 21.6% 19.6% +9.4 15
2002-09-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1655 1773 19.6% 21.6% 58.8% -9.4 6
2002-09-21 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1674 1697 41.3% 23.2% 35.5% +15.5 6
2002-09-21 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1697 1674 35.5% 23.2% 41.3% -15.5 12
2002-09-21 Motherwell W 1-0 1711 1694 46.8% 23.0% 30.2% +7.3 15
2002-09-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1694 1711 30.2% 23.0% 46.8% -7.2 8
2002-09-21 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1997 1589 81.3% 13.5% 5.2% +3.3 22
2002-09-21 @ Rangers L 0-3 1589 1997 5.2% 13.5% 81.3% -3.3 7
2002-09-22 Aberdeen L 1-2 1703 1720 42.1% 23.2% 34.7% -8.9 4
2002-09-22 @ Livingston W 2-1 1720 1703 34.7% 23.2% 42.1% +8.9 8
2002-09-22 Celtic L 0-1 1696 2012 11.8% 18.8% 69.3% -3.0 9
2002-09-22 @ Dundee W 1-0 2012 1696 69.3% 18.8% 11.8% +3.0 21
2002-09-28 Dundee D 1-1 1687 1693 43.5% 23.2% 33.3% -0.5 9
2002-09-28 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1693 1687 33.3% 23.2% 43.5% +0.5 10
2002-09-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1728 1719 45.7% 23.1% 31.2% +12.1 11
2002-09-28 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1719 1728 31.2% 23.1% 45.7% -12.2 15
2002-09-28 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1585 1783 20.2% 21.7% 58.1% +1.4 8
2002-09-28 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1783 1585 58.1% 21.7% 20.2% -1.4 16
2002-09-28 Kilmarnock W 5-0 2015 1681 76.9% 15.7% 7.4% +7.9 24
2002-09-28 @ Celtic L 0-5 1681 2015 7.4% 15.7% 76.9% -7.9 12
2002-09-28 Livingston W 1-0 1690 1694 43.8% 23.2% 33.0% +7.8 9
2002-09-28 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1694 1690 33.0% 23.2% 43.8% -7.8 4
2002-09-28 Rangers L 0-3 1646 2000 9.9% 17.7% 72.4% -6.8 6
2002-09-28 @ Dundee United W 3-0 2000 1646 72.4% 17.7% 9.9% +6.8 25
2002-10-05 Aberdeen L 1-2 1686 1741 36.8% 23.2% 40.0% -8.0 9
2002-10-05 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1741 1686 40.0% 23.2% 36.8% +8.0 14
2002-10-05 Dundee United W 2-1 1698 1639 52.0% 22.6% 25.4% +5.9 12
2002-10-05 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1639 1698 25.4% 22.6% 52.0% -5.9 6
2002-10-05 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1694 1673 47.1% 23.0% 29.9% +6.8 13
2002-10-05 @ Dundee L 1-2 1673 1694 29.9% 23.0% 47.1% -6.8 12
2002-10-05 Partick Thistle W 4-1 1707 1587 59.0% 21.5% 19.4% +11.4 18
2002-10-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1587 1707 19.4% 21.5% 59.0% -11.4 8
2002-10-06 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1686 1781 31.2% 23.1% 45.7% +0.7 5
2002-10-06 @ Livingston D 1-1 1781 1686 45.7% 23.1% 31.2% -0.7 17
2002-10-06 Rangers D 3-3 2023 2007 46.6% 23.0% 30.4% -0.5 25
2002-10-06 @ Celtic D 3-3 2007 2023 30.4% 23.0% 46.6% +0.5 26
2002-10-19 Dundee D 0-0 1749 1701 50.7% 22.7% 26.6% -1.3 15
2002-10-19 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1701 1749 26.6% 22.7% 50.7% +1.3 14
2002-10-19 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1667 1718 37.1% 23.3% 39.6% +0.1 13
2002-10-19 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1718 1667 39.6% 23.3% 37.1% -0.1 19
2002-10-19 Hibernian L 0-3 1575 1703 27.3% 22.8% 50.0% -18.2 8
2002-10-19 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1703 1575 50.0% 22.8% 27.3% +18.2 15
2002-10-19 Livingston L 2-3 1633 1687 36.8% 23.2% 39.9% -7.6 6
2002-10-19 @ Dundee United W 3-2 1687 1633 39.9% 23.2% 36.8% +7.6 8
2002-10-19 Motherwell W 3-0 2008 1678 76.6% 15.9% 7.5% +5.0 29
2002-10-19 @ Rangers L 0-3 1678 2008 7.5% 15.9% 76.6% -5.0 9
2002-10-20 Celtic L 1-4 1781 2023 16.5% 20.8% 62.7% -9.8 17
2002-10-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 2023 1781 62.7% 20.8% 16.5% +9.8 28
2002-10-26 Dundee L 1-2 1771 1702 53.3% 22.4% 24.3% -10.8 17
2002-10-26 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1702 1771 24.3% 22.4% 53.3% +10.8 17
2002-10-26 Livingston L 1-5 1673 1694 41.5% 23.2% 35.3% -27.8 9
2002-10-26 @ Motherwell W 5-1 1694 1673 35.3% 23.2% 41.5% +27.8 11
2002-10-26 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1626 1557 53.2% 22.4% 24.4% -1.4 7
2002-10-26 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1557 1626 24.4% 22.4% 53.2% +1.4 9
2002-10-27 Celtic L 1-4 1718 2032 11.9% 18.9% 69.2% -7.0 19
2002-10-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 2032 1718 69.2% 18.9% 11.9% +7.0 31
2002-10-27 Hibernian L 0-1 1747 1722 47.8% 22.9% 29.2% -10.5 15
2002-10-27 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1722 1747 29.2% 22.9% 47.8% +10.5 18
2002-10-27 Kilmarnock W 6-1 2013 1667 77.7% 15.4% 7.0% +6.2 32
2002-10-27 @ Rangers L 1-6 1667 2013 7.0% 15.4% 77.7% -6.2 13
2002-11-02 Dundee United L 1-2 1660 1624 49.2% 22.8% 27.9% -10.1 13
2002-11-02 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1624 1660 27.9% 22.8% 49.2% +10.1 10
2002-11-02 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1722 1711 45.9% 23.1% 31.0% -0.7 12
2002-11-02 @ Livingston D 1-1 1711 1722 31.0% 23.1% 45.9% +0.7 20
2002-11-02 Motherwell W 2-0 1559 1646 32.3% 23.1% 44.6% +18.6 12
2002-11-02 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1646 1559 44.6% 23.1% 32.3% -18.6 9
2002-11-02 Rangers L 0-3 1713 2019 12.4% 19.1% 68.5% -8.7 17
2002-11-02 @ Dundee W 3-0 2019 1713 68.5% 19.1% 12.4% +8.6 35
2002-11-03 Aberdeen W 7-0 2039 1737 74.8% 16.7% 8.5% +12.8 34
2002-11-03 @ Celtic L 0-7 1737 2039 8.5% 16.7% 74.8% -12.8 15
2002-11-03 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1732 1760 40.5% 23.2% 36.2% -8.6 18
2002-11-03 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1760 1732 36.2% 23.2% 40.5% +8.6 20
2002-11-09 Aberdeen D 0-0 1769 1724 50.3% 22.8% 27.0% -1.2 21
2002-11-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1724 1769 27.0% 22.8% 50.3% +1.2 16
2002-11-09 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1627 1650 41.1% 23.2% 35.6% -9.2 9
2002-11-09 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1650 1627 35.6% 23.2% 41.1% +9.2 16
2002-11-09 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1721 1577 61.5% 21.0% 17.4% +12.2 15
2002-11-09 @ Livingston L 0-3 1577 1721 17.4% 21.0% 61.5% -12.2 12
2002-11-10 Celtic L 0-2 1634 2052 7.4% 15.8% 76.8% -3.4 10
2002-11-10 @ Dundee United W 2-0 2052 1634 76.8% 15.8% 7.4% +3.4 37
2002-11-10 Hibernian W 2-1 2027 1724 74.9% 16.7% 8.5% +2.0 38
2002-11-10 @ Rangers L 1-2 1724 2027 8.5% 16.7% 74.9% -2.0 18
2002-11-12 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1704 1712 43.4% 23.2% 33.5% -8.6 17
2002-11-12 @ Dundee W 3-2 1712 1704 33.5% 23.2% 43.4% +8.6 23
2002-11-16 Dundee W 2-1 1722 1695 47.9% 22.9% 29.2% +6.6 21
2002-11-16 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1695 1722 29.2% 22.9% 47.9% -6.6 17
2002-11-16 Dundee United L 1-2 1618 1631 42.6% 23.2% 34.2% -9.0 9
2002-11-16 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1631 1618 34.2% 23.2% 42.6% +9.0 13
2002-11-16 Livingston W 2-0 1660 1734 34.0% 23.2% 42.8% +18.0 19
2002-11-16 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1734 1660 42.8% 23.2% 34.0% -18.0 15
2002-11-16 Rangers D 2-2 1725 2029 12.5% 19.2% 68.4% +2.1 17
2002-11-16 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 2029 1725 68.4% 19.2% 12.5% -2.1 39
2002-11-17 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1720 1767 37.8% 23.3% 39.0% +14.5 26
2002-11-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1767 1720 39.0% 23.3% 37.8% -14.5 21
2002-11-17 Partick Thistle W 4-0 2056 1565 85.4% 11.1% 3.5% +2.8 40
2002-11-17 @ Celtic L 0-4 1565 2056 3.5% 11.1% 85.4% -2.8 12
2002-11-23 Aberdeen W 2-1 1562 1727 23.2% 22.3% 54.5% +11.0 15
2002-11-23 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1727 1562 54.5% 22.3% 23.2% -11.0 17
2002-11-23 Dundee United W 3-2 1689 1640 50.8% 22.7% 26.5% +5.8 20
2002-11-23 @ Dundee L 2-3 1640 1689 26.5% 22.7% 50.8% -5.8 13
2002-11-23 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 2027 1735 74.1% 17.0% 8.9% +6.1 42
2002-11-23 @ Rangers L 0-3 1735 2027 8.9% 17.0% 74.1% -6.1 26
2002-11-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1678 1753 33.9% 23.2% 43.0% -7.9 19
2002-11-23 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1753 1678 43.0% 23.2% 33.9% +7.9 24
2002-11-23 Motherwell W 3-1 1728 1609 59.0% 21.6% 19.5% +8.1 24
2002-11-23 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1609 1728 19.5% 21.6% 59.0% -8.1 9
2002-11-24 Celtic L 0-2 1716 2058 10.5% 18.1% 71.5% -5.0 15
2002-11-24 @ Livingston W 2-0 2058 1716 71.5% 18.1% 10.5% +5.0 43
2002-11-30 Aberdeen D 1-1 1634 1716 32.9% 23.2% 43.9% +0.5 14
2002-11-30 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1716 1634 43.9% 23.2% 32.9% -0.5 18
2002-11-30 Dundee D 1-1 1711 1695 46.6% 23.0% 30.4% -0.8 16
2002-11-30 @ Livingston D 1-1 1695 1711 30.4% 23.0% 46.6% +0.8 21
2002-11-30 Hibernian D 1-1 1729 1736 43.4% 23.2% 33.5% -0.5 27
2002-11-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1736 1729 33.5% 23.2% 43.4% +0.5 25
2002-11-30 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1573 1670 31.1% 23.1% 45.8% +27.7 18
2002-11-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1670 1573 45.8% 23.1% 31.1% -27.7 19
2002-12-01 Motherwell W 3-1 2063 1601 84.1% 11.9% 4.0% +1.5 46
2002-12-01 @ Celtic L 1-3 1601 2063 4.0% 11.9% 84.1% -1.5 9
2002-12-01 Rangers L 0-4 1761 2033 14.4% 20.0% 65.6% -13.2 24
2002-12-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 2033 1761 65.6% 20.0% 14.4% +13.2 45
2002-12-03 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1716 1642 53.8% 22.4% 23.8% -11.6 18
2002-12-03 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1642 1716 23.8% 22.4% 53.8% +11.6 22
2002-12-04 Celtic L 0-1 1737 2065 11.2% 18.5% 70.3% -2.8 25
2002-12-04 @ Hibernian W 1-0 2065 1737 70.3% 18.5% 11.2% +2.8 49
2002-12-04 Dundee United W 4-1 1728 1634 56.1% 22.0% 21.8% +12.7 30
2002-12-04 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1634 1728 21.8% 22.0% 56.1% -12.7 14
2002-12-04 Heart of Midlothian W 6-1 1599 1748 25.0% 22.5% 52.5% +41.4 12
2002-12-04 @ Motherwell L 1-6 1748 1599 52.5% 22.5% 25.0% -41.4 24
2002-12-04 Livingston W 4-3 2047 1710 77.1% 15.7% 7.3% +1.6 48
2002-12-04 @ Rangers L 3-4 1710 2047 7.3% 15.7% 77.1% -1.5 16
2002-12-04 Partick Thistle W 4-1 1695 1601 56.2% 22.0% 21.8% +12.6 24
2002-12-04 @ Dundee L 1-4 1601 1695 21.8% 22.0% 56.2% -12.6 18
2002-12-07 Celtic W 3-2 2048 2068 41.7% 23.2% 35.1% +7.3 51
2002-12-07 @ Rangers L 2-3 2068 2048 35.1% 23.2% 41.7% -7.3 49
2002-12-07 Dundee W 2-0 1654 1708 36.7% 23.2% 40.0% +17.1 25
2002-12-07 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1708 1654 40.0% 23.2% 36.7% -17.1 24
2002-12-07 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 1588 1741 24.5% 22.5% 53.0% +40.9 21
2002-12-07 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1741 1588 53.0% 22.5% 24.5% -40.9 30
2002-12-07 Hibernian D 1-1 1622 1734 29.1% 22.9% 47.9% +0.9 15
2002-12-07 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1734 1622 47.9% 22.9% 29.1% -0.9 26
2002-12-07 Livingston W 2-1 1706 1708 44.1% 23.2% 32.7% +7.3 27
2002-12-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1708 1706 32.7% 23.2% 44.1% -7.3 16
2002-12-07 Motherwell D 1-1 1704 1641 52.6% 22.5% 24.9% -1.3 19
2002-12-07 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1641 1704 24.9% 22.5% 52.6% +1.4 13
2002-12-14 Dundee United W 3-0 2055 1623 82.6% 12.8% 4.6% +2.9 54
2002-12-14 @ Rangers L 0-3 1623 2055 4.6% 12.8% 82.6% -2.9 15
2002-12-14 Hibernian L 1-2 1701 1733 39.9% 23.2% 36.8% -8.5 16
2002-12-14 @ Livingston W 2-1 1733 1701 36.8% 23.2% 39.9% +8.5 29
2002-12-14 Motherwell D 1-1 1691 1642 50.8% 22.7% 26.5% -1.2 25
2002-12-14 @ Dundee D 1-1 1642 1691 26.5% 22.7% 50.8% +1.2 14
2002-12-14 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1714 1629 55.1% 22.2% 22.7% +5.7 30
2002-12-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1629 1714 22.7% 22.2% 55.1% -5.7 21
2002-12-15 Aberdeen W 3-0 1700 1703 44.0% 23.2% 32.9% +21.2 33
2002-12-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1703 1700 32.9% 23.2% 44.0% -21.2 19
2002-12-15 Celtic D 1-1 1671 2060 8.5% 16.7% 74.9% +3.4 26
2002-12-15 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 2060 1671 74.9% 16.7% 8.5% -3.4 50
2002-12-21 Dundee W 2-0 2057 1690 79.0% 14.7% 6.3% +2.9 53
2002-12-21 @ Celtic L 0-2 1690 2057 6.3% 14.7% 79.0% -2.8 25
2002-12-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1620 1719 30.7% 23.0% 46.2% -20.1 15
2002-12-21 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1719 1620 46.2% 23.0% 30.7% +20.1 33
2002-12-21 Hibernian W 2-1 1674 1742 34.9% 23.2% 41.9% +8.8 29
2002-12-21 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1742 1674 41.9% 23.2% 34.9% -8.8 29
2002-12-21 Livingston D 0-0 1682 1692 42.9% 23.2% 33.9% -0.5 20
2002-12-21 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1692 1682 33.9% 23.2% 42.9% +0.5 17
2002-12-22 Rangers L 1-2 1623 2058 6.9% 15.3% 77.9% -1.6 21
2002-12-22 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 2058 1623 77.9% 15.3% 6.9% +1.6 57
2002-12-26 Aberdeen L 1-2 1687 1681 45.2% 23.1% 31.7% -9.4 25
2002-12-26 @ Dundee W 2-1 1681 1687 31.7% 23.1% 45.2% +9.4 23
2002-12-26 Dundee United W 3-0 1693 1600 56.1% 22.0% 21.9% +15.0 20
2002-12-26 @ Livingston L 0-3 1600 1693 21.9% 22.0% 56.1% -15.0 15
2002-12-26 Heart of Midlothian W 4-2 2060 1739 76.0% 16.2% 7.8% +2.8 56
2002-12-26 @ Celtic L 2-4 1739 2060 7.8% 16.2% 76.0% -2.8 33
2002-12-26 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1721 1683 49.5% 22.8% 27.7% -20.3 33
2002-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1683 1721 27.7% 22.8% 49.5% +20.3 32
2002-12-26 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1733 1622 58.0% 21.7% 20.2% -1.9 30
2002-12-26 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1622 1733 20.2% 21.7% 58.0% +1.9 22
2002-12-26 Rangers W 1-0 1643 2060 7.5% 15.8% 76.7% +15.7 17
2002-12-26 @ Motherwell L 0-1 2060 1643 76.7% 15.8% 7.5% -15.7 57
2002-12-29 Aberdeen W 2-0 1731 1691 49.7% 22.8% 27.5% +12.6 33
2002-12-29 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1691 1731 27.5% 22.8% 49.7% -12.6 23
2002-12-29 Dundee United D 0-0 1624 1585 49.6% 22.8% 27.6% -1.2 23
2002-12-29 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1585 1624 27.6% 22.8% 49.6% +1.2 16
2002-12-29 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 2063 1701 78.6% 14.9% 6.5% +1.5 59
2002-12-29 @ Celtic L 0-1 1701 2063 6.5% 14.9% 78.6% -1.5 33
2002-12-29 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1678 1737 36.1% 23.2% 40.7% -7.9 25
2002-12-29 @ Dundee W 2-1 1737 1678 40.7% 23.2% 36.1% +7.9 36
2002-12-29 Motherwell W 1-0 1708 1659 50.8% 22.7% 26.5% +6.5 23
2002-12-29 @ Livingston L 0-1 1659 1708 26.5% 22.7% 50.8% -6.5 17
2002-12-29 Rangers L 0-1 1703 2044 10.6% 18.1% 71.3% -2.7 32
2002-12-29 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 2044 1703 71.3% 18.1% 10.6% +2.7 60
2003-01-02 Celtic D 1-1 1678 2064 8.6% 16.8% 74.7% +3.4 24
2003-01-02 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 2064 1678 74.7% 16.8% 8.6% -3.4 60
2003-01-02 Dundee W 3-1 2047 1670 79.6% 14.4% 6.0% +2.3 63
2003-01-02 @ Rangers L 1-3 1670 2047 6.0% 14.4% 79.6% -2.3 25
2003-01-02 Hibernian D 4-4 1744 1743 44.5% 23.1% 32.3% -0.3 37
2003-01-02 @ Heart of Midlothian D 4-4 1743 1744 32.3% 23.1% 44.5% +0.3 34
2003-01-02 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1586 1701 28.8% 22.9% 48.3% +0.7 17
2003-01-02 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1701 1586 48.3% 22.9% 28.8% -0.7 33
2003-01-02 Livingston W 2-0 1699 1714 42.3% 23.2% 34.5% +15.2 36
2003-01-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1714 1699 34.5% 23.2% 42.3% -15.2 23
2003-01-02 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1652 1623 48.4% 22.9% 28.7% -0.7 18
2003-01-02 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1623 1652 28.7% 22.9% 48.4% +0.7 24
2003-01-28 Dundee L 0-1 1715 1667 50.6% 22.7% 26.7% -11.0 36
2003-01-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1667 1715 26.7% 22.7% 50.6% +11.0 28
2003-01-28 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1681 1744 35.6% 23.2% 41.2% -8.3 24
2003-01-28 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1744 1681 41.2% 23.2% 35.6% +8.2 40
2003-01-28 Livingston L 1-3 1623 1699 33.8% 23.2% 43.0% -12.9 24
2003-01-28 @ Partick Thistle W 3-1 1699 1623 43.0% 23.2% 33.8% +12.9 26
2003-01-29 Dundee United W 2-0 2061 1586 84.7% 11.6% 3.8% +1.6 63
2003-01-29 @ Celtic L 0-2 1586 2061 3.8% 11.6% 84.7% -1.6 17
2003-01-29 Motherwell W 1-0 1700 1652 50.7% 22.7% 26.6% +6.5 36
2003-01-29 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1652 1700 26.6% 22.7% 50.7% -6.5 18
2003-01-29 Rangers L 0-2 1744 2049 12.4% 19.1% 68.5% -6.0 34
2003-01-29 @ Hibernian W 2-0 2049 1744 68.5% 19.1% 12.4% +6.0 66
2003-02-01 Aberdeen W 2-1 2055 1673 79.8% 14.3% 5.9% +1.3 69
2003-02-01 @ Rangers L 1-2 1673 2055 5.9% 14.3% 79.8% -1.3 24
2003-02-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1752 1704 50.8% 22.7% 26.5% +17.8 43
2003-02-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1704 1752 26.5% 22.7% 50.8% -17.8 36
2003-02-01 Kilmarnock L 0-4 1712 1706 45.2% 23.1% 31.7% -35.7 26
2003-02-01 @ Livingston W 4-0 1706 1712 31.7% 23.1% 45.2% +35.7 39
2003-02-01 Motherwell W 2-1 1585 1645 35.9% 23.2% 40.8% +8.7 20
2003-02-01 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1645 1585 40.8% 23.2% 35.9% -8.7 18
2003-02-02 Celtic L 0-2 1610 2062 6.3% 14.8% 78.9% -2.9 24
2003-02-02 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 2062 1610 78.9% 14.8% 6.3% +2.9 66
2003-02-08 Hibernian W 2-1 1636 1738 30.5% 23.0% 46.5% +9.6 21
2003-02-08 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1738 1636 46.5% 23.0% 30.5% -9.6 34
2003-02-08 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1770 1742 48.1% 22.9% 28.9% +19.1 46
2003-02-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1742 1770 28.9% 22.9% 48.1% -19.1 39
2003-02-08 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1672 1608 52.7% 22.5% 24.8% -11.4 24
2003-02-08 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1608 1672 24.8% 22.5% 52.7% +11.4 27
2003-02-08 Rangers L 1-3 1686 2056 9.2% 17.2% 73.6% -3.8 36
2003-02-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 2056 1686 73.6% 17.2% 9.2% +3.8 72
2003-02-09 Dundee D 1-1 1594 1678 32.6% 23.1% 44.2% +0.5 21
2003-02-09 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1678 1594 44.2% 23.1% 32.6% -0.5 29
2003-02-09 Livingston W 2-1 2065 1677 80.2% 14.1% 5.7% +1.3 69
2003-02-09 @ Celtic L 1-2 1677 2065 5.7% 14.1% 80.2% -1.3 26
2003-02-15 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1728 1682 50.5% 22.7% 26.8% -17.9 34
2003-02-15 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1682 1728 26.8% 22.7% 50.5% +17.9 39
2003-02-15 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 2060 1789 72.5% 17.6% 9.8% +2.5 75
2003-02-15 @ Rangers L 0-1 1789 2060 9.8% 17.6% 72.5% -2.5 46
2003-02-16 Dundee United W 3-0 1660 1594 52.9% 22.5% 24.6% +16.7 27
2003-02-16 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1594 1660 24.6% 22.5% 52.9% -16.7 21
2003-02-19 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1646 1700 36.8% 23.2% 39.9% +8.5 24
2003-02-19 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1700 1646 39.9% 23.2% 36.8% -8.5 39
2003-02-23 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1723 1619 57.3% 21.9% 20.8% +5.2 42
2003-02-23 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1619 1723 20.8% 21.9% 57.3% -5.3 27
2003-02-25 Hibernian W 3-0 1678 1710 39.9% 23.2% 36.9% +23.3 32
2003-02-25 @ Dundee L 0-3 1710 1678 36.9% 23.2% 39.9% -23.3 34
2003-03-01 Aberdeen W 2-0 1728 1677 51.1% 22.7% 26.2% +12.2 45
2003-03-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1677 1728 26.2% 22.7% 51.1% -12.1 27
2003-03-01 Dundee L 1-3 1614 1701 32.3% 23.1% 44.6% -12.5 27
2003-03-01 @ Partick Thistle W 3-1 1701 1614 44.6% 23.1% 32.3% +12.5 35
2003-03-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1577 1691 28.9% 22.9% 48.2% +28.8 24
2003-03-01 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1691 1577 48.2% 22.9% 28.9% -28.8 39
2003-03-01 Motherwell W 2-1 1787 1655 60.3% 21.3% 18.4% +4.4 49
2003-03-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1655 1787 18.4% 21.3% 60.3% -4.4 24
2003-03-02 Hibernian W 3-2 2066 1687 79.7% 14.3% 5.9% +1.3 72
2003-03-02 @ Celtic L 2-3 1687 2066 5.9% 14.3% 79.7% -1.3 34
2003-03-02 Rangers L 1-2 1675 2063 8.5% 16.7% 74.7% -2.0 26
2003-03-02 @ Livingston W 2-1 2063 1675 74.7% 16.7% 8.5% +2.0 78
2003-03-05 Livingston D 0-0 1713 1673 49.7% 22.8% 27.5% -1.2 36
2003-03-05 @ Dundee D 0-0 1673 1713 27.5% 22.8% 49.7% +1.2 27
2003-03-08 Aberdeen L 0-1 1650 1665 42.4% 23.2% 34.4% -9.5 24
2003-03-08 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1665 1650 34.4% 23.2% 42.4% +9.5 30
2003-03-08 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1674 1791 28.6% 22.9% 48.5% +1.0 28
2003-03-08 @ Livingston D 1-1 1791 1674 48.5% 22.9% 28.6% -0.9 50
2003-03-08 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1712 1740 40.5% 23.2% 36.3% -0.1 37
2003-03-08 @ Dundee D 2-2 1740 1712 36.3% 23.2% 40.5% +0.1 46
2003-03-08 Rangers W 1-0 2068 2065 44.8% 23.1% 32.1% +7.6 75
2003-03-08 @ Celtic L 0-1 2065 2068 32.1% 23.1% 44.8% -7.6 78
2003-03-09 Dundee United D 1-1 1686 1606 54.5% 22.3% 23.2% -1.5 35
2003-03-09 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1606 1686 23.2% 22.3% 54.5% +1.5 25
2003-03-09 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1663 1601 52.3% 22.5% 25.1% -1.5 40
2003-03-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1601 1663 25.1% 22.5% 52.3% +1.5 28
2003-03-15 Dundee D 3-3 1674 1712 39.1% 23.3% 37.6% -0.0 31
2003-03-15 @ Aberdeen D 3-3 1712 1674 37.6% 23.3% 39.1% +0.0 38
2003-03-15 Hibernian L 0-1 1603 1684 33.0% 23.2% 43.8% -7.8 28
2003-03-15 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1684 1603 43.8% 23.2% 33.0% +7.8 38
2003-03-15 Livingston L 0-1 1608 1675 34.9% 23.2% 41.9% -8.1 25
2003-03-15 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1675 1608 41.9% 23.2% 34.9% +8.1 31
2003-03-16 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1740 1661 54.5% 22.3% 23.2% -1.5 47
2003-03-16 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1661 1740 23.2% 22.3% 54.5% +1.5 41
2003-03-19 Motherwell W 2-0 2057 1641 81.8% 13.2% 5.0% +2.2 81
2003-03-19 @ Rangers L 0-2 1641 2057 5.0% 13.2% 81.8% -2.2 24
2003-04-05 Aberdeen L 1-2 1684 1674 45.6% 23.1% 31.3% -9.5 31
2003-04-05 @ Livingston W 2-1 1674 1684 31.3% 23.1% 45.6% +9.5 34
2003-04-05 Dundee United W 2-1 1790 1600 66.0% 19.9% 14.1% +3.4 53
2003-04-05 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1600 1790 14.1% 19.9% 66.0% -3.4 25
2003-04-05 Hibernian W 6-2 1739 1692 50.6% 22.7% 26.7% +16.5 50
2003-04-05 @ Kilmarnock L 2-6 1692 1739 26.7% 22.7% 50.6% -16.5 38
2003-04-05 Motherwell W 3-0 1663 1639 47.6% 23.0% 29.4% +19.4 44
2003-04-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1639 1663 29.4% 23.0% 47.6% -19.4 24
2003-04-05 Partick Thistle W 2-0 2059 1595 84.2% 11.8% 4.0% +1.7 84
2003-04-05 @ Rangers L 0-2 1595 2059 4.0% 11.8% 84.2% -1.7 28
2003-04-06 Celtic D 1-1 1712 2075 9.6% 17.5% 73.0% +3.3 39
2003-04-06 @ Dundee D 1-1 2075 1712 73.0% 17.5% 9.6% -3.3 76
2003-04-12 Dundee L 1-2 1619 1715 31.1% 23.1% 45.8% -7.0 24
2003-04-12 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1715 1619 45.8% 23.1% 31.1% +7.0 42
2003-04-12 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1684 1682 44.6% 23.1% 32.2% +7.6 37
2003-04-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1682 1684 32.2% 23.1% 44.6% -7.6 44
2003-04-12 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1593 1794 19.9% 21.6% 58.5% +1.9 29
2003-04-12 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1794 1593 58.5% 21.6% 19.9% -1.9 54
2003-04-12 Livingston D 2-2 1675 1674 44.6% 23.1% 32.3% -0.4 39
2003-04-12 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1674 1675 32.3% 23.1% 44.6% +0.4 32
2003-04-13 Kilmarnock W 2-0 2072 1756 75.8% 16.3% 8.0% +3.7 79
2003-04-13 @ Celtic L 0-2 1756 2072 8.0% 16.3% 75.8% -3.7 50
2003-04-13 Rangers L 1-4 1596 2061 6.0% 14.4% 79.7% -3.3 25
2003-04-13 @ Dundee United W 4-1 2061 1596 79.7% 14.4% 6.0% +3.3 87
2003-04-19 Celtic W 2-1 1792 2076 13.7% 19.7% 66.6% +13.2 57
2003-04-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 2076 1792 66.6% 19.7% 13.7% -13.2 79
2003-05-07 Celtic L 0-4 1589 2076 5.4% 13.7% 80.9% -4.5 24
2003-05-07 @ Motherwell W 4-0 2076 1589 80.9% 13.7% 5.4% +4.5 82

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-04-26 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1674 1805 27.0% 22.7% 50.3% -6.6 0
2003-04-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1805 1674 50.3% 22.7% 27.0% +6.6 3
2003-04-26 Hibernian L 1-2 1593 1675 33.0% 23.2% 43.9% -7.3 0
2003-04-26 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1675 1593 43.9% 23.2% 33.0% +7.3 3
2003-04-26 Livingston W 1-0 1692 1674 46.7% 23.0% 30.3% +7.3 3
2003-04-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1674 1692 30.3% 23.0% 46.7% -7.3 0
2003-04-26 Motherwell W 3-0 1595 1612 42.0% 23.2% 34.7% +22.2 3
2003-04-26 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1612 1595 34.7% 23.2% 42.0% -22.2 0
2003-04-27 Celtic L 1-2 2064 2063 44.6% 23.1% 32.2% -9.3 0
2003-04-27 @ Rangers W 2-1 2063 2064 32.2% 23.1% 44.6% +9.3 3
2003-04-27 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1722 1752 40.3% 23.2% 36.4% -9.1 0
2003-04-27 @ Dundee W 1-0 1752 1722 36.4% 23.2% 40.3% +9.1 3
2003-05-03 Aberdeen W 3-1 1682 1699 42.1% 23.2% 34.7% +13.2 6
2003-05-03 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1699 1682 34.7% 23.2% 42.1% -13.2 3
2003-05-03 Celtic L 1-4 1668 2072 7.9% 16.2% 75.9% -4.5 0
2003-05-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 2072 1668 75.9% 16.2% 7.9% +4.5 6
2003-05-03 Dundee United D 2-2 1590 1586 45.0% 23.1% 31.9% -0.5 1
2003-05-03 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1586 1590 31.9% 23.1% 45.0% +0.5 1
2003-05-03 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1761 1812 37.2% 23.3% 39.5% +9.0 6
2003-05-03 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1812 1761 39.5% 23.3% 37.2% -8.9 3
2003-05-03 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1667 1617 50.9% 22.7% 26.4% +10.6 3
2003-05-03 @ Livingston L 1-3 1617 1667 26.4% 22.7% 50.9% -10.6 3
2003-05-04 Rangers D 2-2 1713 2055 10.5% 18.1% 71.4% +2.4 1
2003-05-04 @ Dundee D 2-2 2055 1713 71.4% 18.1% 10.5% -2.3 1
2003-05-10 Dundee United L 1-2 1678 1586 55.9% 22.1% 22.0% -11.3 3
2003-05-10 @ Livingston W 2-1 1586 1678 22.0% 22.1% 55.9% +11.3 4
2003-05-10 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1716 1663 51.2% 22.7% 26.1% -0.9 2
2003-05-10 @ Dundee D 2-2 1663 1716 26.1% 22.7% 51.2% +0.9 1
2003-05-10 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 2081 1803 73.1% 17.4% 9.5% +2.4 9
2003-05-10 @ Celtic L 0-1 1803 2081 9.5% 17.4% 73.1% -2.4 3
2003-05-10 Motherwell W 1-0 1696 1585 58.0% 21.7% 20.2% +5.1 9
2003-05-10 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1585 1696 20.2% 21.7% 58.0% -5.1 1
2003-05-10 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1686 1607 54.4% 22.3% 23.3% +5.5 6
2003-05-10 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1607 1686 23.3% 22.3% 54.4% -5.5 3
2003-05-11 Kilmarnock W 4-0 2053 1770 73.4% 17.3% 9.3% +8.3 4
2003-05-11 @ Rangers L 0-4 1770 2053 9.3% 17.3% 73.4% -8.3 6
2003-05-14 Dundee W 6-2 2083 1715 79.0% 14.7% 6.3% +3.8 12
2003-05-14 @ Celtic L 2-6 1715 2083 6.3% 14.7% 79.0% -3.8 2
2003-05-17 Aberdeen L 2-3 1580 1691 29.2% 22.9% 47.8% -6.3 1
2003-05-17 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1691 1580 47.8% 22.9% 29.2% +6.3 9
2003-05-17 Dundee United L 0-1 1601 1597 44.9% 23.1% 32.0% -9.9 3
2003-05-17 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1597 1601 32.0% 23.1% 44.9% +9.9 7
2003-05-17 Hibernian L 1-2 1666 1701 39.6% 23.3% 37.1% -8.5 3
2003-05-17 @ Livingston W 2-1 1701 1666 37.1% 23.3% 39.6% +8.5 12
2003-05-17 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1664 1762 31.0% 23.1% 46.0% +0.5 2
2003-05-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1762 1664 46.0% 23.1% 31.0% -0.5 7
2003-05-18 Rangers L 0-2 1800 2061 15.2% 20.3% 64.5% -7.3 3
2003-05-18 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 2061 1800 64.5% 20.3% 15.2% +7.3 7
2003-05-24 Aberdeen L 0-2 1607 1697 31.9% 23.1% 45.0% -14.3 7
2003-05-24 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1697 1607 45.0% 23.1% 31.9% +14.3 12
2003-05-24 Livingston W 6-2 1574 1658 32.6% 23.1% 44.2% +24.8 4
2003-05-24 @ Motherwell L 2-6 1658 1574 44.2% 23.1% 32.6% -24.8 3
2003-05-24 Partick Thistle L 2-3 1709 1591 58.8% 21.6% 19.6% -11.2 12
2003-05-24 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1591 1709 19.6% 21.6% 58.8% +11.2 6
2003-05-25 Celtic L 0-4 1761 2087 11.3% 18.6% 70.2% -10.3 7
2003-05-25 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 2087 1761 70.2% 18.6% 11.3% +10.3 15
2003-05-25 Dundee W 1-0 1793 1711 54.8% 22.2% 23.0% +5.7 6
2003-05-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1711 1793 23.0% 22.2% 54.8% -5.7 2
2003-05-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 6-1 2068 1665 81.1% 13.6% 5.3% +4.6 10
2003-05-25 @ Rangers L 1-6 1665 2068 5.3% 13.6% 81.1% -4.5 2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-12-26 7.46% @ Motherwell 1643 1 Rangers 2060 0
2 2002-09-10 10.85% @ Motherwell 1689 2 Celtic 2024 1
3 2003-04-19 13.68% @ Heart of Midlothian 1792 2 Celtic 2076 1
4 2002-09-01 15.96% Partick Thistle 1580 1 @ Aberdeen 1744 0
5 2003-05-24 19.62% Partick Thistle 1591 3 @ Hibernian 1709 2
6 2003-05-10 22.01% Dundee United 1586 2 @ Livingston 1678 1
7 2002-11-23 23.23% @ Partick Thistle 1562 2 Aberdeen 1727 1
8 2002-09-11 23.39% Dundee United 1653 2 @ Aberdeen 1730 1
9 2002-12-03 23.80% Kilmarnock 1642 1 @ Aberdeen 1716 0
10 2002-10-26 24.31% Dundee 1702 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1771 1
11 2002-12-07 24.54% @ Partick Thistle 1588 4 Dunfermline Athletic 1741 0
12 2003-02-08 24.81% Partick Thistle 1608 1 @ Aberdeen 1672 0
13 2002-12-04 24.98% @ Motherwell 1599 6 Heart of Midlothian 1748 1
14 2002-08-25 25.98% Kilmarnock 1679 1 @ Livingston 1732 0
15 2003-01-28 26.69% Dundee 1667 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1715 0
16 2003-02-15 26.81% Dunfermline Athletic 1682 3 @ Hibernian 1728 1
17 2002-12-26 27.73% Kilmarnock 1683 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1721 0
18 2002-11-02 27.94% Dundee United 1624 2 @ Kilmarnock 1660 1
19 2002-08-31 28.81% Hibernian 1680 2 @ Motherwell 1709 0
20 2003-03-01 28.92% @ Dundee United 1577 3 Dunfermline Athletic 1691 0
21 2002-08-17 29.04% Motherwell 1680 3 @ Kilmarnock 1708 0
22 2002-10-27 29.24% Hibernian 1722 1 @ Aberdeen 1747 0
23 2002-09-11 29.85% Dunfermline Athletic 1679 4 @ Hibernian 1700 1
24 2003-02-08 30.47% @ Motherwell 1636 2 Hibernian 1738 1
25 2002-11-30 31.09% @ Partick Thistle 1573 3 Kilmarnock 1670 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-12-04 41.41 @ Motherwell 6 1599 24.98% Heart of Midlothian 1 1748 52.51% 22.52%
2 2002-12-07 40.90 @ Partick Thistle 4 1588 24.54% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1741 53.00% 22.46%
3 2003-02-01 35.69 Kilmarnock 4 1706 31.71% @ Livingston 0 1712 45.19% 23.10%
4 2003-03-01 28.82 @ Dundee United 3 1577 28.92% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1691 48.16% 22.92%
5 2002-08-17 28.76 Motherwell 3 1680 29.04% @ Kilmarnock 0 1708 48.03% 22.93%
6 2002-10-26 27.75 Livingston 5 1694 35.29% @ Motherwell 1 1673 41.48% 23.23%
7 2002-11-30 27.65 @ Partick Thistle 3 1573 31.09% Kilmarnock 0 1670 45.84% 23.07%
8 2003-05-24 24.80 @ Motherwell 6 1574 32.63% Livingston 2 1658 44.22% 23.14%
9 2002-09-11 23.88 Dunfermline Athletic 4 1679 29.85% @ Hibernian 1 1700 47.17% 22.99%
10 2003-02-25 23.27 @ Dundee 3 1678 39.85% Hibernian 0 1710 36.89% 23.25%
11 2003-04-26 22.20 @ Partick Thistle 3 1595 42.04% Motherwell 0 1612 34.74% 23.22%
12 2002-12-15 21.24 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1700 43.99% Aberdeen 0 1703 32.86% 23.15%
13 2002-08-11 21.16 @ Heart of Midlothian 5 1738 47.59% Hibernian 1 1714 29.45% 22.96%
14 2002-12-26 20.30 Kilmarnock 2 1683 27.73% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1721 49.45% 22.82%
15 2002-12-21 20.11 Heart of Midlothian 3 1719 46.25% @ Dundee United 0 1620 30.71% 23.04%
16 2002-09-01 19.99 Rangers 6 1964 64.90% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1699 14.91% 20.20%
17 2002-08-31 19.89 Hibernian 2 1680 28.81% @ Motherwell 0 1709 48.28% 22.91%
18 2003-04-05 19.42 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1663 47.62% Motherwell 0 1639 29.42% 22.96%
19 2003-02-08 19.15 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1770 48.14% Kilmarnock 0 1742 28.93% 22.92%
20 2002-11-02 18.60 @ Partick Thistle 2 1559 32.30% Motherwell 0 1646 44.57% 23.13%
21 2002-10-19 18.22 Hibernian 3 1703 49.98% @ Partick Thistle 0 1575 27.25% 22.77%
22 2002-11-16 17.99 @ Kilmarnock 2 1660 34.04% Livingston 0 1734 42.77% 23.20%
23 2003-02-15 17.89 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1682 26.81% @ Hibernian 1 1728 50.46% 22.73%
24 2003-02-01 17.80 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1752 50.80% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1704 26.51% 22.70%
25 2002-12-07 17.06 @ Kilmarnock 2 1654 36.73% Dundee 0 1708 40.01% 23.25%