2001-02 Scottish Premier League Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

103 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Johnstone

22.00 points above expected

21 points · 43.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

88.16 points below expected

103 points · 191.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 29 3 1 90 78 15 +63 73.33 +16.67
2 Rangers 33 23 8 2 77 75 23 +52 69.53 +7.47
3 Aberdeen 33 15 6 12 51 46 43 +3 44.92 +6.08
4 Livingston 33 13 10 10 49 40 35 +5 49.47 -0.47
5 Dunfermline Athletic 33 12 7 14 43 39 52 -13 36.12 +6.88
6 Heart of Midlothian 33 12 6 15 42 44 46 -2 47.97 -5.97
7 Kilmarnock 33 11 9 13 42 37 46 -9 42.71 -0.71
8 Dundee 33 10 7 16 37 35 50 -15 41.88 -4.88
9 Dundee United 33 9 8 16 35 32 56 -24 34.35 +0.65
10 Hibernian 33 8 10 15 34 43 51 -8 45.62 -11.62
11 Motherwell 33 9 6 18 33 42 61 -19 36.01 -3.01
12 St. Johnstone 33 5 4 24 19 23 56 -33 30.08 -11.08
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 33 4 1 103 94 18 +76 191.16 -88.16
2 Rangers 38 25 10 3 85 82 27 +55 164.38 -79.38
3 Livingston 38 16 10 12 58 50 47 +3 104.72 -46.72
4 Aberdeen 38 16 7 15 55 51 49 +2 105.77 -50.77
5 Heart of Midlothian 38 14 6 18 48 52 57 -5 90.17 -42.17
6 Dunfermline Athletic 38 12 9 17 45 41 64 -23 89.80 -44.80
7 Kilmarnock 38 13 10 15 49 44 54 -10 92.01 -43.01
8 Dundee United 38 12 10 16 46 38 59 -21 77.97 -31.97
9 Dundee 38 12 8 18 44 41 55 -14 79.54 -35.54
10 Hibernian 38 10 11 17 41 51 56 -5 75.91 -34.91
11 Motherwell 38 11 7 20 40 49 69 -20 73.19 -33.19
12 St. Johnstone 38 5 6 27 21 24 62 -38 43.00 -22.00

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 2074 103 73.33 +29.67 99.8% 49 63 69 73 78 84 94
Rangers 1996 85 69.53 +15.47 88.2% 39 58 65 70 74 80 95
Aberdeen 1744 55 44.92 +10.08 81.8% 21 33 40 45 50 57 72
Heart of Midlothian 1715 48 47.97 +0.03 22.3% 16 36 43 48 53 60 75
Livingston 1713 58 49.47 +8.53 50.0% 24 37 45 50 54 61 77
Hibernian 1691 41 45.62 -4.62 6.2% 19 34 41 46 50 58 75
Dundee 1663 44 41.88 +2.12 27.6% 19 30 37 42 47 54 73
Kilmarnock 1658 49 42.71 +6.29 49.3% 16 31 38 43 48 55 74
Dunfermline Athletic 1657 45 36.12 +8.88 85.1% 15 25 31 36 41 48 66
Motherwell 1644 40 36.01 +3.99 36.5% 13 25 31 36 41 48 62
Dundee United 1623 46 34.35 +11.65 57.6% 11 23 30 34 39 46 68
St. Johnstone 1516 21 30.08 -9.08 5.2% 6 19 25 30 35 41 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU DA HOM HIB KIL LIV MOT RAN SJ
Aberdeen
1-0-3
2.03
2-1-0
4.38
2-1-0
5.33
2-1-1
6.78
1-0-3
5.28
2-0-1
3.74
1-1-1
4.43
1-2-1
5.61
2-0-1
5.23
0-0-4
2.76
2-1-0
5.28
Celtic
3-0-1
9.23
3-0-0
6.79
3-0-0
7.46
4-0-0
9.77
4-0-0
8.88
2-1-0
6.55
3-0-0
6.53
3-1-0
8.62
3-0-0
7.22
2-2-0
6.37
3-0-0
7.32
Dundee
0-1-2
3.95
0-0-3
1.65
0-2-2
6.57
0-1-2
4.25
0-1-2
3.74
3-1-0
5.03
2-0-2
5.23
2-0-1
3.88
2-0-2
6.10
0-1-2
1.74
3-1-0
7.21
Dundee United
0-1-2
3.01
0-0-3
1.07
2-2-0
4.53
1-1-1
4.56
2-0-1
2.62
3-0-1
4.50
0-1-3
4.94
0-2-1
2.46
1-2-1
5.41
0-0-3
1.51
3-1-0
6.33
Dunfermline Athletic
1-1-2
4.32
0-0-4
1.57
2-1-0
4.07
1-1-1
3.77
0-2-2
4.40
1-1-1
3.38
1-1-1
3.67
1-1-2
4.18
2-0-1
4.33
0-1-3
2.42
3-0-0
4.39
Heart of Midlothian
3-0-1
5.82
0-0-4
2.34
2-1-0
4.58
1-0-2
5.73
2-2-0
6.71
1-1-1
4.30
1-1-1
4.32
0-0-4
5.63
2-0-1
5.13
0-1-3
2.83
2-0-1
6.10
Hibernian
1-0-2
4.58
0-1-2
1.88
0-1-3
6.08
1-0-3
6.60
1-1-1
4.95
1-1-1
4.02
0-3-1
5.87
1-0-2
3.68
2-1-1
6.42
0-2-1
1.98
3-1-0
7.39
Kilmarnock
1-1-1
3.89
0-0-3
1.88
2-0-2
5.87
3-1-0
6.15
1-1-1
4.66
1-1-1
3.99
1-3-0
5.22
1-1-1
3.95
1-1-2
6.51
0-1-2
1.65
2-0-2
7.11
Livingston
1-2-1
5.48
0-1-3
2.59
1-0-2
4.45
1-2-0
5.91
2-1-1
6.94
4-0-0
5.47
2-0-1
4.65
1-1-1
4.39
2-1-0
5.39
1-1-2
2.95
1-1-1
6.00
Motherwell
1-0-2
3.10
0-0-3
1.27
2-0-2
4.99
1-2-1
5.69
1-0-2
3.99
1-0-2
3.20
1-1-2
4.69
2-1-1
4.59
0-1-2
2.96
0-1-2
1.43
2-1-1
6.65
Rangers
4-0-0
8.43
0-2-2
4.73
2-1-0
6.68
3-0-0
6.94
3-1-0
8.80
3-1-0
8.37
1-2-0
6.42
2-1-0
6.78
2-1-1
8.22
2-1-0
7.03
3-0-0
7.25
St. Johnstone
0-1-2
3.07
0-0-3
1.19
0-1-3
3.92
0-1-3
4.78
0-0-3
3.93
1-0-2
2.28
0-1-3
3.73
2-0-2
4.00
1-1-1
2.39
1-1-2
4.46
0-0-3
1.25

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.92 +10.9
Allowed 0.88 -13.6
Differential 0.95 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.14%8.55%9.21%3.51%1.97%0.66%30.04%
18.55%9.21%5.70%3.51%1.54%1.10%29.61%
29.21%5.70%5.70%2.41%0.66%0.22%23.90%
33.51%3.51%2.41%0.44%0.22%10.09%
41.97%1.54%0.66%0.22%4.39%
5+0.66%1.10%0.22%1.97%
Total30.04%29.61%23.90%10.09%4.39%1.97%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.93
CV 0.92 0.92
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%10.53%5.26%36.84%
110.53%7.89%5.26%23.68%
27.89%2.63%2.63%5.26%18.42%
32.63%7.89%10.53%
42.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
5+
Total31.58%26.32%23.68%18.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.29 +0.05
SD 1.36 1.11 1.71
CV 1.01 0.86
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%5.26%
115.79%7.89%23.68%
215.79%10.53%26.32%
37.89%7.89%2.63%18.42%
410.53%5.26%15.79%
5+5.26%5.26%10.53%
Total57.89%36.84%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.47 0.47 +2.00
SD 1.43 0.60 1.56
CV 0.58 1.27
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%2.63%28.95%
113.16%7.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%36.84%
210.53%5.26%7.89%5.26%2.63%31.58%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total28.95%26.32%23.68%13.16%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.45 -0.37
SD 0.85 1.27 1.55
CV 0.79 0.88
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%18.42%5.26%36.84%
113.16%13.16%5.26%5.26%36.84%
210.53%5.26%2.63%18.42%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total21.05%34.21%31.58%2.63%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.55 -0.55
SD 1.01 1.39 1.78
CV 1.01 0.89
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%5.26%5.26%5.26%31.58%
113.16%13.16%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%39.47%
210.53%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%23.68%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total31.58%26.32%13.16%7.89%13.16%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.68 -0.61
SD 1.05 1.68 2.07
CV 0.97 1.00
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%21.05%
15.26%10.53%10.53%7.89%2.63%36.84%
213.16%5.26%2.63%5.26%26.32%
32.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%15.79%
4
5+
Total21.05%28.95%31.58%15.79%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.50 -0.13
SD 1.00 1.08 1.63
CV 0.73 0.72
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%2.63%7.89%2.63%31.58%
12.63%13.16%10.53%2.63%2.63%31.58%
22.63%5.26%10.53%18.42%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
45.26%5.26%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total21.05%36.84%23.68%10.53%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.47 -0.13
SD 1.32 1.18 1.99
CV 0.98 0.80
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%15.79%2.63%36.84%
17.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%21.05%
213.16%5.26%13.16%31.58%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
4
5+
Total28.95%26.32%31.58%5.26%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.42 -0.26
SD 1.05 1.33 1.80
CV 0.91 0.93
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%7.89%5.26%10.53%39.47%
15.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%15.79%
25.26%13.16%5.26%2.63%26.32%
35.26%5.26%2.63%13.16%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total31.58%36.84%13.16%15.79%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.24 +0.08
SD 1.34 1.22 1.91
CV 1.02 0.98
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%7.89%5.26%5.26%28.95%
12.63%7.89%10.53%13.16%34.21%
210.53%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%23.68%
35.26%5.26%
42.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
5+
Total21.05%18.42%31.58%18.42%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.82 -0.53
SD 1.18 1.33 1.94
CV 0.92 0.73
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%
17.89%10.53%5.26%23.68%
221.05%2.63%10.53%34.21%
313.16%5.26%2.63%21.05%
42.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%5.26%
Total52.63%23.68%23.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.16 0.71 +1.45
SD 1.33 0.84 1.61
CV 0.61 1.18
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%21.05%15.79%10.53%2.63%55.26%
15.26%7.89%15.79%2.63%31.58%
22.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total13.16%34.21%34.21%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 1.63 -1.00
SD 0.85 1.05 1.45
CV 1.35 0.64
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 21 43.00 -22.00
2 Dundee United 46 77.97 -31.97
3 Motherwell 40 73.19 -33.19
4 Hibernian 41 75.91 -34.91
5 Dundee 44 79.54 -35.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 103 191.16 -88.16
2 Rangers 85 164.38 -79.38
3 Aberdeen 55 105.77 -50.77
4 Livingston 58 104.72 -46.72
5 Dunfermline Athletic 45 89.80 -44.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 14 Aug 25 – Dec 15 1 in 395
2 Dundee United 3 Apr 7 – Apr 20 1 in 31
3 Livingston 4 Nov 3 – Dec 1 1 in 21
4 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Dec 29 – Jan 19 1 in 16
5 Rangers 6 Dec 22 – Jan 23 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 4 Feb 16 – Mar 13 1 in 346
2 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Aug 11 – Sep 30 1 in 117
3 St. Johnstone 7 Dec 29 – Feb 9 1 in 52
4 Heart of Midlothian 3 Sep 16 – Sep 29 1 in 49
5 Aberdeen 4 Dec 29 – Jan 19 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 8 Aug 18 – Oct 20 1 in 54
2 Dunfermline Athletic 6 Dec 15 – Jan 19 1 in 46
3 Kilmarnock 5 Jan 30 – Mar 2 1 in 19
4 Dundee United 5 Apr 7 – May 12 1 in 16
5 Rangers 19 Dec 1 – Apr 7 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 18 Oct 27 – Feb 16 1 in 4,005
2 Livingston 8 Feb 9 – Apr 6 1 in 190
3 St. Johnstone 13 Jul 28 – Nov 3 1 in 71
4 Motherwell 7 Jul 28 – Sep 16 1 in 17
5 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Aug 11 – Sep 30 1 in 9

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic66.02%32.22%1.51%0.21%0.03%0.01%
Rangers33.51%61.31%4.08%0.81%0.21%0.03%0.02%0.03%
Livingston0.22%2.66%29.65%21.45%15.17%11.15%8.08%5.23%3.36%1.99%0.82%0.22%
Aberdeen0.04%0.53%12.82%15.25%16.20%14.47%12.65%10.51%7.95%4.98%3.07%1.53%
Heart of Midlothian0.10%1.56%21.81%20.46%16.67%13.44%9.89%7.09%4.29%2.80%1.35%0.54%
Dunfermline Athletic0.04%1.14%2.80%4.07%6.80%9.44%11.54%15.97%18.12%17.29%12.79%
Kilmarnock0.31%7.66%10.62%12.37%13.76%14.34%14.11%10.74%7.88%5.41%2.80%
Dundee United0.04%0.67%1.44%2.81%4.65%7.04%9.72%14.01%17.83%22.05%19.74%
Dundee0.01%0.33%5.51%8.69%11.78%12.89%14.35%14.76%12.05%9.83%6.54%3.26%
Hibernian0.10%0.97%13.93%15.88%15.66%14.74%12.78%10.22%7.37%4.43%2.78%1.14%
Motherwell0.03%1.07%2.09%4.07%6.50%8.81%11.90%15.80%18.49%17.83%13.41%
St. Johnstone0.15%0.30%0.96%1.56%2.60%4.89%8.46%13.65%22.86%44.57%
Team123456789101112
Celtic100.00%
Rangers100.00%
Livingston59.68%36.75%3.44%0.13%
Aberdeen38.75%53.61%7.12%0.52%
Heart of Midlothian1.20%6.50%58.59%33.71%
Dunfermline Athletic0.37%3.14%30.85%65.64%
Kilmarnock85.53%11.05%2.83%0.58%0.01%
Dundee United6.21%32.27%26.99%21.86%12.67%
Dundee4.68%27.11%27.42%23.68%17.11%
Hibernian2.59%19.95%26.23%28.57%22.66%
Motherwell0.99%9.62%16.53%25.31%47.54%0.01%
St. Johnstone0.01%99.99%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.35%
Clear Edge
46.93%21.49%31.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
172 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
053.76500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.47/gm
Comfortable
00.210.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.63 * Some Luck: 5.63 to 8.44 * Lucky: 8.44 to 11.26 * Wild Swing: 11.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 * Close: 1.26 to 1.9 * Off: 1.9 to 2.53 * Way Off: 2.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.88 points
Some Luck
07.0418
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Close
01.584
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.82%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.16%
St. Johnstone
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.33
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.35
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.49
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.087
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Livingston 99.76% 0.24%
Heart of Midlothian 99.56% 0.44%
Aberdeen 99.06% 0.94%
Hibernian 98.79% 1.21%
Kilmarnock 97.70% 2.30%
Dundee 96.78% 3.22%
Dunfermline Athletic 90.20% 9.80%
Motherwell 88.09% 11.91%
Dundee United 79.18% 20.82%
St. Johnstone 50.88% 49.12%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee 100%
Dundee United 100%
Dunfermline Athletic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Livingston 100%
Rangers 100%
Motherwell 99.99% 0.01%
St. Johnstone 0.01% 99.99%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2001-07-28 Dundee D 2-2 1658 1722 37.4% 22.8% 39.8% +0.1 1
2001-07-28 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1722 1658 39.8% 22.8% 37.4% -0.1 1
2001-07-28 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1689 1750 37.8% 22.8% 39.4% +9.7 3
2001-07-28 @ Livingston L 1-2 1750 1689 39.4% 22.8% 37.8% -9.7 0
2001-07-28 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1754 1703 52.8% 22.2% 25.1% -1.1 1
2001-07-28 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1703 1754 25.1% 22.2% 52.8% +1.2 1
2001-07-28 Motherwell W 5-2 1644 1666 43.4% 22.7% 33.9% +18.2 3
2001-07-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-5 1666 1644 33.9% 22.7% 43.4% -18.2 0
2001-07-28 Rangers L 0-3 1693 1854 25.2% 22.2% 52.6% -19.5 0
2001-07-28 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1854 1693 52.6% 22.2% 25.2% +19.5 3
2001-07-28 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1887 1674 68.7% 19.2% 12.0% +9.7 3
2001-07-28 @ Celtic L 0-3 1674 1887 12.0% 19.2% 68.7% -9.7 0
2001-08-04 Aberdeen W 1-0 1741 1674 54.7% 22.0% 23.3% +6.7 3
2001-08-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1674 1741 23.3% 22.0% 54.7% -6.7 0
2001-08-04 Celtic L 0-1 1704 1896 21.9% 21.8% 56.3% -6.3 1
2001-08-04 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1896 1704 56.3% 21.8% 21.9% +6.3 6
2001-08-04 Dundee United D 0-0 1648 1658 44.9% 22.7% 32.4% -0.8 1
2001-08-04 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1658 1648 32.4% 22.7% 44.9% +0.8 2
2001-08-04 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1665 1662 46.6% 22.6% 30.8% -22.1 0
2001-08-04 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1662 1665 30.8% 22.6% 46.6% +22.1 6
2001-08-04 Hibernian W 2-1 1722 1753 42.1% 22.8% 35.1% +8.8 4
2001-08-04 @ Dundee L 1-2 1753 1722 35.1% 22.8% 42.1% -8.8 1
2001-08-04 Livingston D 0-0 1874 1699 65.6% 20.1% 14.3% -3.4 4
2001-08-04 @ Rangers D 0-0 1699 1874 14.3% 20.1% 65.6% +3.4 4
2001-08-11 Aberdeen W 2-0 1744 1667 55.8% 21.9% 22.4% +12.1 4
2001-08-11 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1667 1744 22.4% 21.9% 55.8% -12.1 0
2001-08-11 Dundee United L 0-1 1643 1659 44.1% 22.7% 33.1% -11.2 0
2001-08-11 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1659 1643 33.1% 22.7% 44.1% +11.2 5
2001-08-11 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1903 1747 63.8% 20.5% 15.7% +8.7 9
2001-08-11 @ Celtic L 0-2 1747 1903 15.7% 20.5% 63.8% -8.7 3
2001-08-11 Livingston W 1-0 1731 1702 50.0% 22.4% 27.6% +7.7 7
2001-08-11 @ Dundee L 0-1 1702 1731 27.6% 22.4% 50.0% -7.7 4
2001-08-11 Rangers L 1-4 1685 1870 22.6% 21.9% 55.5% -14.9 6
2001-08-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 1870 1685 55.5% 21.9% 22.6% +15.0 7
2001-08-12 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1647 1698 39.2% 22.8% 38.0% -0.0 2
2001-08-12 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1698 1647 38.0% 22.8% 39.2% +0.0 2
2001-08-18 Celtic D 0-0 1694 1911 19.6% 21.4% 59.0% +2.5 5
2001-08-18 @ Livingston D 0-0 1911 1694 59.0% 21.4% 19.6% -2.5 10
2001-08-18 Dundee W 3-1 1739 1738 46.4% 22.6% 31.0% +13.8 6
2001-08-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1738 1739 31.0% 22.6% 46.4% -13.8 7
2001-08-18 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1670 1670 46.4% 22.6% 31.0% +7.6 8
2001-08-18 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1670 1670 31.0% 22.6% 46.4% -7.6 6
2001-08-18 Hibernian D 2-2 1885 1756 61.4% 21.0% 17.6% -1.9 8
2001-08-18 @ Rangers D 2-2 1756 1885 17.6% 21.0% 61.4% +1.9 5
2001-08-18 Motherwell W 4-2 1655 1647 47.4% 22.6% 30.0% +12.0 3
2001-08-18 @ Aberdeen L 2-4 1647 1655 30.0% 22.6% 47.4% -12.0 2
2001-08-18 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1698 1631 54.7% 22.0% 23.4% +6.3 5
2001-08-18 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1631 1698 23.4% 22.0% 54.7% -6.3 0
2001-08-25 Aberdeen D 1-1 1625 1667 40.5% 22.8% 36.7% -0.2 1
2001-08-25 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1667 1625 36.7% 22.8% 40.5% +0.2 4
2001-08-25 Celtic L 1-4 1758 1909 26.3% 22.3% 51.4% -17.0 5
2001-08-25 @ Hibernian W 4-1 1909 1758 51.4% 22.3% 26.3% +17.0 13
2001-08-25 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1662 1753 33.7% 22.7% 43.5% -9.1 6
2001-08-25 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1753 1662 43.5% 22.7% 33.7% +9.1 9
2001-08-25 Livingston D 0-0 1635 1697 37.6% 22.8% 39.6% +0.1 3
2001-08-25 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1697 1635 39.6% 22.8% 37.6% -0.1 6
2001-08-26 Dundee W 2-0 1883 1724 64.2% 20.4% 15.4% +8.6 11
2001-08-26 @ Rangers L 0-2 1724 1883 15.4% 20.4% 64.2% -8.6 7
2001-08-26 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1677 1704 42.7% 22.8% 34.6% -20.6 8
2001-08-26 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1704 1677 34.6% 22.8% 42.7% +20.6 8
2001-09-08 Dundee United W 2-0 1697 1657 51.4% 22.3% 26.2% +13.9 9
2001-09-08 @ Livingston L 0-2 1657 1697 26.2% 22.3% 51.4% -13.9 8
2001-09-08 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1926 1653 73.2% 17.7% 9.1% +4.3 16
2001-09-08 @ Celtic L 1-3 1653 1926 9.1% 17.7% 73.2% -4.3 6
2001-09-08 Hibernian L 1-3 1635 1741 31.7% 22.7% 45.6% -14.1 3
2001-09-08 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1741 1635 45.6% 22.7% 31.7% +14.1 8
2001-09-08 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1667 1725 38.3% 22.8% 38.9% +19.1 7
2001-09-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1725 1667 38.9% 22.8% 38.3% -19.1 8
2001-09-08 Rangers D 2-2 1762 1892 28.7% 22.5% 48.8% +0.8 10
2001-09-08 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1892 1762 48.8% 22.5% 28.7% -0.8 12
2001-09-08 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1716 1625 57.4% 21.6% 21.0% -2.1 8
2001-09-08 @ Dundee D 1-1 1625 1716 21.0% 21.6% 57.4% +2.1 2
2001-09-15 Celtic L 0-4 1714 1930 19.7% 21.4% 58.9% -20.5 8
2001-09-15 @ Dundee W 4-0 1930 1714 58.9% 21.4% 19.7% +20.5 19
2001-09-15 Dundee United W 2-1 1686 1643 51.9% 22.3% 25.9% +6.9 10
2001-09-15 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1643 1686 25.9% 22.3% 51.9% -6.9 8
2001-09-15 Livingston D 2-2 1627 1711 34.6% 22.8% 42.6% +0.3 3
2001-09-15 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1711 1627 42.6% 22.8% 34.6% -0.3 10
2001-09-16 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-1 1755 1649 59.0% 21.4% 19.6% +17.0 11
2001-09-16 @ Hibernian L 1-5 1649 1755 19.6% 21.4% 59.0% -17.0 6
2001-09-16 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1706 1762 38.4% 22.8% 38.8% +10.1 11
2001-09-16 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1762 1706 38.8% 22.8% 38.4% -10.1 10
2001-09-16 Motherwell W 3-0 1891 1621 73.0% 17.8% 9.2% +7.3 15
2001-09-16 @ Rangers L 0-3 1621 1891 9.2% 17.8% 73.0% -7.3 3
2001-09-22 Aberdeen W 2-0 1951 1693 72.1% 18.1% 9.8% +5.4 22
2001-09-22 @ Celtic L 0-2 1693 1951 9.8% 18.1% 72.1% -5.4 10
2001-09-22 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1613 1752 27.6% 22.4% 50.0% +23.5 6
2001-09-22 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1752 1613 50.0% 22.4% 27.6% -23.5 10
2001-09-22 Livingston L 1-2 1632 1710 35.3% 22.8% 41.9% -8.9 6
2001-09-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1710 1632 41.9% 22.8% 35.3% +8.9 13
2001-09-22 Rangers L 1-6 1636 1898 16.0% 20.6% 63.5% -17.2 8
2001-09-22 @ Dundee United W 6-1 1898 1636 63.5% 20.6% 16.0% +17.2 18
2001-09-23 Dundee L 0-1 1716 1693 49.3% 22.5% 28.3% -12.3 11
2001-09-23 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1693 1716 28.3% 22.5% 49.3% +12.3 11
2001-09-23 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1772 1627 62.8% 20.7% 16.4% +17.3 14
2001-09-23 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1627 1772 16.4% 20.7% 62.8% -17.3 3
2001-09-29 Aberdeen L 1-4 1706 1688 48.7% 22.5% 28.8% -28.1 11
2001-09-29 @ Dundee W 4-1 1688 1706 28.8% 22.5% 48.7% +28.1 13
2001-09-29 Dundee United L 1-2 1729 1619 59.4% 21.3% 19.3% -13.7 10
2001-09-29 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1619 1729 19.3% 21.3% 59.4% +13.7 11
2001-09-29 Motherwell L 2-3 1610 1637 42.6% 22.8% 34.6% -9.8 3
2001-09-29 @ St. Johnstone W 3-2 1637 1610 34.6% 22.8% 42.6% +9.8 9
2001-09-30 Celtic L 0-2 1916 1956 40.8% 22.8% 36.5% -19.8 18
2001-09-30 @ Rangers W 2-0 1956 1916 36.5% 22.8% 40.8% +19.8 25
2001-09-30 Hibernian W 1-0 1719 1789 36.6% 22.8% 40.6% +10.5 16
2001-09-30 @ Livingston L 0-1 1789 1719 40.6% 22.8% 36.6% -10.5 14
2001-09-30 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1623 1704 35.1% 22.8% 42.2% -17.6 6
2001-09-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1704 1623 42.2% 22.8% 35.1% +17.6 14
2001-10-13 Aberdeen D 2-2 1730 1716 48.1% 22.5% 29.3% -0.8 17
2001-10-13 @ Livingston D 2-2 1716 1730 29.3% 22.5% 48.1% +0.8 14
2001-10-13 Celtic L 1-2 1647 1976 11.7% 19.1% 69.2% -3.3 9
2001-10-13 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1976 1647 69.2% 19.1% 11.7% +3.2 28
2001-10-13 Dundee W 1-0 1605 1677 36.2% 22.8% 41.0% +10.6 9
2001-10-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1677 1605 41.0% 22.8% 36.2% -10.6 11
2001-10-13 Hibernian W 3-1 1633 1779 26.8% 22.4% 50.8% +20.6 14
2001-10-13 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1779 1633 50.8% 22.4% 26.8% -20.7 14
2001-10-13 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1896 1721 65.6% 20.1% 14.3% +6.9 21
2001-10-13 @ Rangers L 1-3 1721 1896 14.3% 20.1% 65.6% -6.9 14
2001-10-13 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1715 1600 59.9% 21.2% 18.8% +15.0 13
2001-10-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1600 1715 18.8% 21.2% 59.9% -15.0 3
2001-10-20 Dundee United W 5-1 1979 1653 76.6% 16.3% 7.1% +6.0 31
2001-10-20 @ Celtic L 1-5 1653 1979 7.1% 16.3% 76.6% -6.0 14
2001-10-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1717 1616 58.5% 21.5% 20.1% +5.2 17
2001-10-20 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1616 1717 20.1% 21.5% 58.5% -5.2 9
2001-10-20 Livingston L 1-5 1714 1729 44.3% 22.7% 33.0% -33.6 14
2001-10-20 @ Kilmarnock W 5-1 1729 1714 33.0% 22.7% 44.3% +33.6 20
2001-10-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1758 1730 50.0% 22.4% 27.6% +7.3 17
2001-10-21 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1730 1758 27.6% 22.4% 50.0% -7.3 13
2001-10-21 Rangers L 0-2 1585 1903 12.4% 19.4% 68.3% -6.9 3
2001-10-21 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1903 1585 68.3% 19.4% 12.4% +6.9 24
2001-10-27 Dundee L 1-2 1765 1667 58.2% 21.5% 20.3% -13.5 17
2001-10-27 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1667 1765 20.3% 21.5% 58.2% +13.5 14
2001-10-27 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1722 1723 46.2% 22.6% 31.2% +7.6 20
2001-10-27 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1723 1722 31.2% 22.6% 46.2% -7.6 13
2001-10-27 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1985 1681 75.3% 16.9% 7.8% +2.2 34
2001-10-27 @ Celtic L 0-1 1681 1985 7.8% 16.9% 75.3% -2.3 14
2001-10-27 Motherwell D 1-1 1647 1643 46.9% 22.6% 30.5% -0.9 15
2001-10-27 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1643 1647 30.5% 22.6% 46.9% +0.9 10
2001-10-27 Rangers L 0-2 1763 1909 26.7% 22.3% 50.9% -14.1 20
2001-10-27 @ Livingston W 2-0 1909 1763 50.9% 22.3% 26.7% +14.1 27
2001-10-27 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1611 1578 50.5% 22.4% 27.1% +7.2 12
2001-10-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1578 1611 27.1% 22.4% 50.5% -7.2 3
2001-10-30 Motherwell W 3-1 1680 1644 51.0% 22.3% 26.7% +12.2 17
2001-10-30 @ Dundee L 1-3 1644 1680 26.7% 22.3% 51.0% -12.2 10
2001-11-03 Celtic L 1-2 1571 1987 7.8% 16.8% 75.4% -2.1 3
2001-11-03 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1987 1571 75.4% 16.8% 7.8% +2.1 37
2001-11-03 Dundee United D 1-1 1693 1646 52.2% 22.2% 25.6% -1.5 18
2001-11-03 @ Dundee D 1-1 1646 1693 25.6% 22.2% 52.2% +1.5 16
2001-11-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1632 1618 48.2% 22.5% 29.3% +8.1 13
2001-11-03 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1618 1632 29.3% 22.5% 48.2% -8.1 12
2001-11-03 Hibernian D 0-0 1678 1752 36.1% 22.8% 41.1% +0.3 15
2001-11-03 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1752 1678 41.1% 22.8% 36.1% -0.3 18
2001-11-03 Livingston L 1-3 1715 1748 41.8% 22.8% 35.4% -17.5 13
2001-11-03 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1748 1715 35.4% 22.8% 41.8% +17.5 23
2001-11-04 Aberdeen W 2-0 1924 1730 67.2% 19.6% 13.1% +7.3 30
2001-11-04 @ Rangers L 0-2 1730 1924 13.1% 19.6% 67.2% -7.3 20
2001-11-10 Dundee W 2-0 1698 1691 47.2% 22.6% 30.2% +15.6 16
2001-11-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1691 1698 30.2% 22.6% 47.2% -15.6 18
2001-11-10 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1648 1610 51.3% 22.3% 26.4% -24.0 16
2001-11-10 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1610 1648 26.4% 22.3% 51.3% +24.0 15
2001-11-10 Motherwell W 1-0 1722 1640 56.4% 21.8% 21.8% +6.3 23
2001-11-10 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1640 1722 21.8% 21.8% 56.4% -6.3 13
2001-11-10 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1679 1569 59.4% 21.3% 19.3% -14.5 15
2001-11-10 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1569 1679 19.3% 21.3% 59.4% +14.5 6
2001-11-17 Celtic L 0-1 1713 1989 15.0% 20.3% 64.7% -4.4 16
2001-11-17 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1989 1713 64.7% 20.3% 15.0% +4.4 40
2001-11-17 Dundee W 1-0 1766 1675 57.3% 21.6% 21.0% +6.1 26
2001-11-17 @ Livingston L 0-1 1675 1766 21.0% 21.6% 57.3% -6.1 18
2001-11-17 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 1931 1634 74.9% 17.1% 8.1% +8.4 33
2001-11-17 @ Rangers L 0-4 1634 1931 8.1% 17.1% 74.9% -8.4 15
2001-11-17 Hibernian W 2-0 1729 1752 43.2% 22.7% 34.1% +17.2 26
2001-11-17 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1752 1729 34.1% 22.7% 43.2% -17.2 18
2001-11-17 Motherwell W 2-0 1664 1634 50.3% 22.4% 27.3% +14.4 18
2001-11-17 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1634 1664 27.3% 22.4% 50.3% -14.4 13
2001-11-17 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1624 1583 51.5% 22.3% 26.2% +6.9 19
2001-11-17 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1583 1624 26.2% 22.3% 51.5% -6.9 6
2001-11-24 Aberdeen W 3-2 1619 1746 29.1% 22.5% 48.3% +10.8 16
2001-11-24 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1746 1619 48.3% 22.5% 29.1% -10.8 26
2001-11-24 Dundee United D 1-1 1625 1631 45.6% 22.7% 31.8% -0.7 16
2001-11-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1631 1625 31.8% 22.7% 45.6% +0.7 20
2001-11-24 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1669 1709 40.9% 22.8% 36.3% -0.2 19
2001-11-24 @ Dundee D 1-1 1709 1669 36.3% 22.8% 40.9% +0.2 17
2001-11-24 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1577 1679 32.2% 22.7% 45.1% +11.4 9
2001-11-24 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1679 1577 45.1% 22.7% 32.2% -11.4 18
2001-11-24 Livingston L 0-3 1734 1772 41.1% 22.8% 36.1% -29.0 18
2001-11-24 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1772 1734 36.1% 22.8% 41.1% +29.0 29
2001-11-25 Rangers W 2-1 1994 1939 53.2% 22.1% 24.6% +6.6 43
2001-11-25 @ Celtic L 1-2 1939 1994 24.6% 22.1% 53.2% -6.6 33
2001-12-01 Dundee United W 2-0 1667 1632 50.9% 22.3% 26.7% +14.1 21
2001-12-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1632 1667 26.7% 22.3% 50.9% -14.1 20
2001-12-01 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1709 1625 56.7% 21.7% 21.6% -2.0 18
2001-12-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1625 1709 21.6% 21.7% 56.7% +2.0 17
2001-12-01 Hibernian W 3-0 2000 1705 74.7% 17.1% 8.2% +6.5 46
2001-12-01 @ Celtic L 0-3 1705 2000 8.2% 17.1% 74.7% -6.5 18
2001-12-01 Motherwell W 3-1 1801 1630 65.2% 20.2% 14.6% +7.0 32
2001-12-01 @ Livingston L 1-3 1630 1801 14.6% 20.2% 65.2% -7.0 16
2001-12-01 Rangers D 0-0 1669 1933 15.9% 20.5% 63.6% +3.1 20
2001-12-01 @ Dundee D 0-0 1933 1669 63.6% 20.5% 15.9% -3.1 34
2001-12-01 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1735 1588 63.1% 20.6% 16.3% +4.8 29
2001-12-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1588 1735 16.3% 20.6% 63.1% -4.8 9
2001-12-08 Aberdeen W 3-1 1681 1740 38.2% 22.8% 39.0% +16.6 24
2001-12-08 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1740 1681 39.0% 22.8% 38.2% -16.6 29
2001-12-08 Dundee L 0-2 1583 1672 33.9% 22.7% 43.3% -17.2 9
2001-12-08 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1672 1583 43.3% 22.7% 33.9% +17.2 23
2001-12-08 Livingston D 0-0 1617 1808 22.1% 21.8% 56.1% +2.1 21
2001-12-08 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1808 1617 56.1% 21.8% 22.1% -2.1 33
2001-12-08 Motherwell D 1-1 1699 1623 55.7% 21.9% 22.5% -1.9 19
2001-12-08 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1623 1699 22.5% 21.9% 55.7% +1.9 17
2001-12-09 Celtic L 0-4 1627 2007 9.2% 17.8% 73.0% -9.6 17
2001-12-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 2007 1627 73.0% 17.8% 9.2% +9.6 49
2001-12-09 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1930 1707 69.5% 19.0% 11.5% +5.5 37
2001-12-09 @ Rangers L 1-3 1707 1930 11.5% 19.0% 69.5% -5.5 18
2001-12-12 Hibernian D 1-1 1935 1697 70.7% 18.6% 10.7% -3.6 38
2001-12-12 @ Rangers D 1-1 1697 1935 10.7% 18.6% 70.7% +3.6 20
2001-12-15 Aberdeen D 1-1 1620 1723 32.0% 22.7% 45.3% +0.7 22
2001-12-15 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1723 1620 45.3% 22.7% 32.0% -0.7 30
2001-12-15 Dundee W 3-1 2017 1689 76.7% 16.2% 7.0% +3.3 52
2001-12-15 @ Celtic L 1-3 1689 2017 7.0% 16.2% 76.7% -3.3 23
2001-12-15 Hibernian W 1-0 1617 1701 34.7% 22.8% 42.6% +10.9 20
2001-12-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1701 1617 42.6% 22.8% 34.7% -10.9 20
2001-12-15 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1702 1698 46.8% 22.6% 30.6% +15.8 21
2001-12-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1698 1702 30.6% 22.6% 46.8% -15.8 24
2001-12-15 Rangers D 2-2 1625 1932 13.0% 19.6% 67.3% +2.4 18
2001-12-15 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1932 1625 67.3% 19.6% 13.0% -2.4 39
2001-12-15 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1806 1566 70.9% 18.5% 10.6% +2.9 36
2001-12-15 @ Livingston L 1-2 1566 1806 10.6% 18.5% 70.9% -2.9 9
2001-12-22 Celtic W 2-0 1722 2020 13.6% 19.8% 66.6% +30.4 33
2001-12-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 2020 1722 66.6% 19.8% 13.6% -30.4 52
2001-12-22 Dundee United W 3-2 1929 1620 75.6% 16.7% 7.7% +2.0 42
2001-12-22 @ Rangers L 2-3 1620 1929 7.7% 16.7% 75.6% -2.0 22
2001-12-22 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1809 1628 66.1% 19.9% 13.9% -3.4 37
2001-12-22 @ Livingston D 0-0 1628 1809 13.9% 19.9% 66.1% +3.4 21
2001-12-22 Hibernian D 0-0 1563 1690 29.1% 22.5% 48.4% +1.2 10
2001-12-22 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1690 1563 48.4% 22.5% 29.1% -1.2 21
2001-12-22 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1686 1682 46.9% 22.6% 30.5% -11.1 23
2001-12-22 @ Dundee W 2-1 1682 1686 30.5% 22.6% 46.9% +11.1 27
2001-12-22 Motherwell W 3-1 1718 1627 57.3% 21.6% 21.1% +9.9 24
2001-12-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1627 1718 21.1% 21.6% 57.3% -9.9 18
2001-12-26 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1693 1631 54.1% 22.0% 23.8% -1.9 28
2001-12-26 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1631 1693 23.8% 22.0% 54.1% +1.9 22
2001-12-26 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1618 1727 31.3% 22.6% 46.1% -16.1 22
2001-12-26 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1727 1618 46.1% 22.6% 31.3% +16.1 27
2001-12-26 Livingston W 3-2 1989 1805 66.4% 19.9% 13.7% +3.6 55
2001-12-26 @ Celtic L 2-3 1805 1989 13.7% 19.9% 66.4% -3.6 37
2001-12-26 Rangers L 0-3 1688 1931 17.5% 20.9% 61.6% -14.0 21
2001-12-26 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1931 1688 61.6% 20.9% 17.5% +14.0 45
2001-12-26 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1618 1564 53.1% 22.1% 24.8% -12.4 18
2001-12-26 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1564 1618 24.8% 22.1% 53.1% +12.4 13
2001-12-29 Aberdeen W 1-0 1633 1753 30.0% 22.6% 47.5% +11.9 25
2001-12-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1753 1633 47.5% 22.6% 30.0% -11.9 33
2001-12-29 Celtic L 0-4 1602 1993 8.8% 17.5% 73.7% -9.2 22
2001-12-29 @ Dundee United W 4-0 1993 1602 73.7% 17.5% 8.8% +9.2 58
2001-12-29 Hibernian D 1-1 1744 1674 54.9% 21.9% 23.1% -1.8 28
2001-12-29 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1674 1744 23.1% 21.9% 54.9% +1.8 22
2001-12-29 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1802 1691 59.5% 21.3% 19.2% -14.6 37
2001-12-29 @ Livingston W 1-0 1691 1802 19.2% 21.3% 59.5% +14.6 31
2001-12-29 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1945 1577 79.1% 15.1% 5.8% +1.6 48
2001-12-29 @ Rangers L 0-1 1577 1945 5.8% 15.1% 79.1% -1.6 13
2002-01-02 Dundee United L 0-1 1676 1593 56.5% 21.8% 21.7% -13.9 22
2002-01-02 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1593 1676 21.7% 21.8% 56.5% +13.9 25
2002-01-02 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1575 1742 24.5% 22.1% 53.4% -13.1 13
2002-01-02 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1742 1575 53.4% 22.1% 24.5% +13.1 31
2002-01-02 Livingston L 0-3 1741 1787 39.9% 22.8% 37.3% -28.3 33
2002-01-02 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1787 1741 37.3% 22.8% 39.9% +28.3 40
2002-01-02 Motherwell W 2-0 2002 1605 80.6% 14.3% 5.0% +2.6 61
2002-01-02 @ Celtic L 0-2 1605 2002 5.0% 14.3% 80.6% -2.6 18
2002-01-09 Dundee W 4-2 1603 1675 36.2% 22.8% 41.0% +15.4 21
2002-01-09 @ Motherwell L 2-4 1675 1603 41.0% 22.8% 36.2% -15.4 23
2002-01-12 Aberdeen W 3-1 1755 1713 51.7% 22.3% 26.0% +11.9 34
2002-01-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1713 1755 26.0% 22.3% 51.7% -11.9 33
2002-01-12 Celtic L 0-2 1706 2005 13.5% 19.8% 66.7% -7.5 31
2002-01-12 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 2005 1706 66.7% 19.8% 13.5% +7.5 64
2002-01-12 Dundee United W 2-0 1618 1607 47.8% 22.6% 29.7% +15.4 24
2002-01-12 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1607 1618 29.7% 22.6% 47.8% -15.4 25
2002-01-12 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1562 1645 34.7% 22.8% 42.5% -9.3 13
2002-01-12 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1645 1562 42.5% 22.8% 34.7% +9.3 28
2002-01-12 Hibernian W 1-0 1660 1662 46.0% 22.6% 31.4% +8.6 26
2002-01-12 @ Dundee L 0-1 1662 1660 31.4% 22.6% 46.0% -8.5 22
2002-01-12 Livingston W 3-0 1947 1816 61.6% 21.0% 17.5% +14.0 51
2002-01-12 @ Rangers L 0-3 1816 1947 17.5% 21.0% 61.6% -14.0 40
2002-01-19 Dundee W 1-0 1592 1668 35.6% 22.8% 41.6% +10.7 28
2002-01-19 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1668 1592 41.6% 22.8% 35.6% -10.7 26
2002-01-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1802 1767 50.8% 22.4% 26.8% +14.2 43
2002-01-19 @ Livingston L 0-2 1767 1802 26.8% 22.4% 50.8% -14.2 34
2002-01-19 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1654 1698 40.2% 22.8% 37.0% -0.1 23
2002-01-19 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1698 1654 37.0% 22.8% 40.2% +0.1 32
2002-01-19 Motherwell W 3-1 1654 1633 49.1% 22.5% 28.5% +12.9 31
2002-01-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1633 1654 28.5% 22.5% 49.1% -12.9 24
2002-01-19 Rangers L 0-1 1701 1961 16.1% 20.6% 63.3% -4.8 33
2002-01-19 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1961 1701 63.3% 20.6% 16.1% +4.8 54
2002-01-19 St. Johnstone W 2-1 2012 1553 83.6% 12.6% 3.7% +0.9 67
2002-01-19 @ Celtic L 1-2 1553 2012 3.7% 12.6% 83.6% -0.9 13
2002-01-20 Dundee United L 1-4 1552 1602 39.3% 22.8% 37.9% -23.6 13
2002-01-20 @ St. Johnstone W 4-1 1602 1552 37.9% 22.8% 39.3% +23.6 31
2002-01-23 Aberdeen L 3-4 1654 1696 40.5% 22.8% 36.7% -9.1 23
2002-01-23 @ Hibernian W 4-3 1696 1654 36.7% 22.8% 40.5% +9.1 36
2002-01-23 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 2013 1753 72.4% 18.0% 9.6% +5.3 70
2002-01-23 @ Celtic L 0-2 1753 2013 9.6% 18.0% 72.4% -5.3 34
2002-01-23 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1620 1698 35.4% 22.8% 41.8% +20.2 27
2002-01-23 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1698 1620 41.8% 22.8% 35.4% -20.2 32
2002-01-23 Rangers L 2-4 1667 1966 13.5% 19.8% 66.7% -5.8 31
2002-01-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-2 1966 1667 66.7% 19.8% 13.5% +5.8 57
2002-01-29 Dundee D 0-0 1705 1657 52.4% 22.2% 25.4% -1.7 37
2002-01-29 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1657 1705 25.4% 22.2% 52.4% +1.7 27
2002-01-30 Celtic L 1-3 1816 2019 20.9% 21.6% 57.5% -9.9 43
2002-01-30 @ Livingston W 3-1 2019 1816 57.5% 21.6% 20.9% +9.9 73
2002-01-30 Rangers D 2-2 1678 1971 13.9% 19.9% 66.2% +2.3 33
2002-01-30 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1971 1678 66.2% 19.9% 13.9% -2.3 58
2002-02-02 Aberdeen L 0-1 1528 1703 23.6% 22.0% 54.4% -6.7 13
2002-02-02 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1703 1528 54.4% 22.0% 23.6% +6.7 40
2002-02-02 Celtic D 1-1 1645 2028 9.1% 17.7% 73.2% +3.8 24
2002-02-02 @ Hibernian D 1-1 2028 1645 73.2% 17.7% 9.1% -3.8 74
2002-02-02 Dundee W 2-1 1969 1659 75.7% 16.7% 7.6% +2.1 61
2002-02-02 @ Rangers L 1-2 1659 1969 7.6% 16.7% 75.7% -2.1 27
2002-02-02 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1661 1747 34.4% 22.8% 42.9% +0.4 32
2002-02-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1747 1661 42.9% 22.8% 34.4% -0.4 35
2002-02-02 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1626 1681 38.7% 22.8% 38.5% -19.1 31
2002-02-02 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1681 1626 38.5% 22.8% 38.7% +19.1 36
2002-02-02 Livingston L 1-2 1641 1806 24.7% 22.1% 53.2% -6.6 27
2002-02-02 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1806 1641 53.2% 22.1% 24.7% +6.6 46
2002-02-09 Dundee United D 1-1 1812 1607 68.2% 19.4% 12.4% -3.3 47
2002-02-09 @ Livingston D 1-1 1607 1812 12.4% 19.4% 68.2% +3.3 32
2002-02-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-0 2025 1662 78.8% 15.3% 5.9% +7.3 77
2002-02-09 @ Celtic L 0-5 1662 2025 5.9% 15.3% 78.8% -7.3 32
2002-02-09 Hibernian W 4-0 1634 1648 44.4% 22.7% 32.9% +31.8 30
2002-02-09 @ Motherwell L 0-4 1648 1634 32.9% 22.7% 44.4% -31.8 24
2002-02-09 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1710 1700 47.7% 22.6% 29.7% -1.0 41
2002-02-09 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1700 1710 29.7% 22.6% 47.7% +1.0 37
2002-02-09 Rangers L 0-2 1747 1971 19.0% 21.3% 59.7% -10.4 35
2002-02-09 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1971 1747 59.7% 21.3% 19.0% +10.4 64
2002-02-09 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1657 1521 62.0% 20.9% 17.1% +5.0 30
2002-02-09 @ Dundee L 0-1 1521 1657 17.1% 20.9% 62.0% -5.0 13
2002-02-13 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1662 1654 47.3% 22.6% 30.1% -0.7 31
2002-02-13 @ Dundee D 2-2 1654 1662 30.1% 22.6% 47.3% +0.7 33
2002-02-16 Dundee United W 4-0 1709 1610 58.2% 21.5% 20.2% +21.0 44
2002-02-16 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1610 1709 20.2% 21.5% 58.2% -21.0 32
2002-02-16 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1617 1655 41.0% 22.8% 36.2% -0.3 25
2002-02-16 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1655 1617 36.2% 22.8% 41.0% +0.2 34
2002-02-16 Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1701 1736 41.4% 22.8% 35.8% -0.2 38
2002-02-16 @ Kilmarnock D 3-3 1736 1701 35.8% 22.8% 41.4% +0.2 36
2002-02-16 Livingston W 3-0 1516 1809 13.9% 19.9% 66.2% +44.0 16
2002-02-16 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1809 1516 66.2% 19.9% 13.9% -44.0 47
2002-02-16 Motherwell W 3-0 1982 1666 76.0% 16.6% 7.4% +5.8 67
2002-02-16 @ Rangers L 0-3 1666 1982 7.4% 16.6% 76.0% -5.8 30
2002-02-17 Celtic L 0-3 1661 2032 9.7% 18.1% 72.3% -7.8 31
2002-02-17 @ Dundee W 3-0 2032 1661 72.3% 18.1% 9.7% +7.8 80
2002-03-02 Aberdeen W 1-0 2040 1730 75.6% 16.7% 7.6% +2.2 83
2002-03-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1730 2040 7.6% 16.7% 75.6% -2.2 44
2002-03-02 Dundee W 3-2 1700 1654 52.3% 22.2% 25.5% +6.4 41
2002-03-02 @ Kilmarnock L 2-3 1654 1700 25.5% 22.2% 52.3% -6.4 31
2002-03-02 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1660 1737 35.6% 22.8% 41.6% -8.9 30
2002-03-02 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1737 1660 41.6% 22.8% 35.6% +8.9 39
2002-03-02 Livingston W 1-0 1655 1765 31.2% 22.6% 46.1% +11.6 37
2002-03-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1765 1655 46.1% 22.6% 31.2% -11.6 47
2002-03-02 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1616 1560 53.4% 22.1% 24.5% +19.0 28
2002-03-02 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1560 1616 24.5% 22.1% 53.4% -19.0 16
2002-03-03 Rangers L 0-1 1589 1987 8.5% 17.3% 74.2% -2.5 32
2002-03-03 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1987 1589 74.2% 17.3% 8.5% +2.5 70
2002-03-06 Rangers L 0-2 1541 1990 6.7% 16.0% 77.3% -3.6 16
2002-03-06 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1990 1541 77.3% 16.0% 6.7% +3.6 73
2002-03-09 Aberdeen L 2-3 1647 1728 35.1% 22.8% 42.2% -8.4 31
2002-03-09 @ Dundee W 3-2 1728 1647 42.2% 22.8% 35.1% +8.4 47
2002-03-09 Dundee United L 1-2 1746 1587 64.2% 20.4% 15.4% -14.7 39
2002-03-09 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1587 1746 15.4% 20.4% 64.2% +14.7 35
2002-03-09 Hibernian L 0-3 1754 1635 60.2% 21.2% 18.6% -40.4 47
2002-03-09 @ Livingston W 3-0 1635 1754 18.6% 21.2% 60.2% +40.4 31
2002-03-09 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1667 1707 40.9% 22.8% 36.4% +18.1 40
2002-03-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1707 1667 36.4% 22.8% 40.9% -18.1 41
2002-03-09 Motherwell L 0-2 1538 1651 30.7% 22.6% 46.7% -15.9 16
2002-03-09 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1651 1538 46.7% 22.6% 30.7% +15.9 33
2002-03-10 Celtic D 1-1 1993 2042 39.6% 22.8% 37.6% -0.1 74
2002-03-10 @ Rangers D 1-1 2042 1993 37.6% 22.8% 39.6% +0.1 84
2002-03-13 Livingston W 2-0 1639 1713 36.0% 22.8% 41.3% +20.0 34
2002-03-13 @ Dundee L 0-2 1713 1639 41.3% 22.8% 36.0% -20.0 47
2002-03-16 Dundee United W 1-0 2042 1601 82.8% 13.2% 4.1% +1.1 87
2002-03-16 @ Celtic L 0-1 1601 2042 4.1% 13.2% 82.8% -1.1 35
2002-03-16 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1736 1685 52.8% 22.2% 25.0% +7.1 50
2002-03-16 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1685 1736 25.0% 22.2% 52.8% -7.1 40
2002-03-16 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1676 1731 38.7% 22.8% 38.5% -9.5 31
2002-03-16 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1731 1676 38.5% 22.8% 38.7% +9.5 42
2002-03-16 Livingston D 1-1 1689 1693 45.7% 22.7% 31.6% -0.8 42
2002-03-16 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1693 1689 31.6% 22.7% 45.7% +0.8 48
2002-03-16 Motherwell W 2-0 1659 1667 45.2% 22.7% 32.1% +16.4 37
2002-03-16 @ Dundee L 0-2 1667 1659 32.1% 22.7% 45.2% -16.4 33
2002-03-19 Celtic L 0-4 1651 2043 8.7% 17.5% 73.8% -9.1 33
2002-03-19 @ Motherwell W 4-0 2043 1651 73.8% 17.5% 8.7% +9.1 90
2002-03-20 Kilmarnock W 5-0 1993 1688 75.4% 16.8% 7.8% +9.9 77
2002-03-20 @ Rangers L 0-5 1688 1993 7.8% 16.8% 75.4% -9.9 42
2002-03-23 Aberdeen D 0-0 1694 1743 39.5% 22.8% 37.7% -0.1 49
2002-03-23 @ Livingston D 0-0 1743 1694 37.7% 22.8% 39.5% +0.1 51
2002-03-23 Dundee W 2-0 1678 1675 46.7% 22.6% 30.7% +15.8 43
2002-03-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1675 1678 30.7% 22.6% 46.7% -15.8 37
2002-03-23 Hibernian L 1-2 1600 1666 37.1% 22.8% 40.1% -9.2 35
2002-03-23 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1666 1600 40.1% 22.8% 37.1% +9.2 34
2002-03-23 St. Johnstone L 1-3 1740 1522 69.2% 19.1% 11.7% -27.3 42
2002-03-23 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1522 1740 11.7% 19.1% 69.2% +27.3 19

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2002-04-06 Aberdeen D 0-0 1694 1743 39.5% 22.8% 37.7% -0.1 1
2002-04-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1743 1694 37.7% 22.8% 39.5% +0.1 1
2002-04-06 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1660 1678 43.8% 22.7% 33.5% +17.0 3
2002-04-06 @ Dundee L 0-2 1678 1660 33.5% 22.7% 43.8% -17.0 0
2002-04-06 Livingston W 5-1 2052 1694 78.5% 15.4% 6.1% +5.1 3
2002-04-06 @ Celtic L 1-5 1694 2052 6.1% 15.4% 78.5% -5.1 0
2002-04-06 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1642 1549 57.6% 21.6% 20.8% -2.1 1
2002-04-06 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1549 1642 20.8% 21.6% 57.6% +2.1 1
2002-04-07 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 2003 1713 74.4% 17.2% 8.4% +4.6 3
2002-04-07 @ Rangers L 0-2 1713 2003 8.4% 17.2% 74.4% -4.6 0
2002-04-07 Hibernian W 2-1 1591 1675 34.6% 22.8% 42.7% +10.3 3
2002-04-07 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1675 1591 42.7% 22.8% 34.6% -10.3 0
2002-04-13 Dundee L 0-1 1551 1676 29.3% 22.5% 48.2% -8.1 1
2002-04-13 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1676 1551 48.2% 22.5% 29.3% +8.1 6
2002-04-13 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-0 2057 1694 78.8% 15.2% 5.9% +7.3 6
2002-04-13 @ Celtic L 0-5 1694 2057 5.9% 15.2% 78.8% -7.3 1
2002-04-13 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1744 1708 50.9% 22.3% 26.8% -11.3 1
2002-04-13 @ Aberdeen W 3-2 1708 1744 26.8% 22.3% 50.9% +11.3 3
2002-04-13 Hibernian W 1-0 1661 1665 45.8% 22.7% 31.6% +8.6 3
2002-04-13 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1665 1661 31.6% 22.7% 45.8% -8.6 0
2002-04-13 Motherwell W 1-0 1601 1639 41.1% 22.8% 36.1% +9.6 6
2002-04-13 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1639 1601 36.1% 22.8% 41.1% -9.6 1
2002-04-13 Rangers W 2-1 1689 2008 12.3% 19.3% 68.4% +15.6 3
2002-04-13 @ Livingston L 1-2 2008 1689 68.4% 19.3% 12.3% -15.6 3
2002-04-20 Dundee United L 0-1 1685 1611 55.5% 21.9% 22.7% -13.7 6
2002-04-20 @ Dundee W 1-0 1611 1685 22.7% 21.9% 55.5% +13.7 9
2002-04-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1720 1687 50.6% 22.4% 27.0% +14.2 6
2002-04-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1687 1720 27.0% 22.4% 50.6% -14.2 1
2002-04-20 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1543 1670 29.1% 22.5% 48.4% -22.0 1
2002-04-20 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1670 1543 48.4% 22.5% 29.1% +22.0 6
2002-04-20 Livingston W 3-0 1732 1704 50.0% 22.4% 27.6% +21.1 4
2002-04-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1704 1732 27.6% 22.4% 50.0% -21.1 3
2002-04-21 Motherwell W 4-0 1657 1630 49.8% 22.4% 27.8% +27.7 3
2002-04-21 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1630 1657 27.8% 22.4% 49.8% -27.7 1
2002-04-21 Rangers D 1-1 2065 1992 55.3% 21.9% 22.8% -1.8 7
2002-04-21 @ Celtic D 1-1 1992 2065 22.8% 21.9% 55.3% +1.8 4
2002-04-27 Aberdeen W 2-0 1994 1753 70.9% 18.5% 10.6% +5.8 7
2002-04-27 @ Rangers L 0-2 1753 1994 10.6% 18.5% 70.9% -5.8 4
2002-04-27 Dundee D 2-2 1684 1671 48.1% 22.5% 29.4% -0.8 4
2002-04-27 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1671 1684 29.4% 22.5% 48.1% +0.8 7
2002-04-27 Motherwell L 1-4 1692 1602 57.2% 21.7% 21.1% -32.5 6
2002-04-27 @ Kilmarnock W 4-1 1602 1692 21.1% 21.7% 57.2% +32.5 4
2002-04-27 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1625 1521 58.7% 21.4% 19.8% -2.5 10
2002-04-27 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1521 1625 19.8% 21.4% 58.7% +2.5 2
2002-04-28 Celtic L 1-4 1734 2063 11.8% 19.1% 69.2% -8.0 6
2002-04-28 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 2063 1734 69.2% 19.1% 11.8% +8.0 10
2002-04-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 1683 1672 47.8% 22.6% 29.7% +18.9 6
2002-04-28 @ Livingston L 1-4 1672 1683 29.7% 22.6% 47.8% -18.9 1
2002-05-12 Celtic L 0-1 1748 2071 12.1% 19.2% 68.7% -3.6 4
2002-05-12 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 2071 1748 68.7% 19.2% 12.1% +3.6 13
2002-05-12 Dundee W 2-1 1635 1672 41.2% 22.8% 36.0% +9.0 7
2002-05-12 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1672 1635 36.0% 22.8% 41.2% -9.0 7
2002-05-12 Dundee United D 2-2 1659 1622 51.1% 22.3% 26.6% -1.0 7
2002-05-12 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1622 1659 26.6% 22.3% 51.1% +1.0 11
2002-05-12 Hibernian L 0-1 1524 1683 25.3% 22.2% 52.5% -7.1 2
2002-05-12 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1683 1524 52.5% 22.2% 25.3% +7.1 7
2002-05-12 Livingston L 2-3 1726 1702 49.5% 22.4% 28.1% -11.0 6
2002-05-12 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1702 1726 28.1% 22.4% 49.5% +11.0 9
2002-05-12 Rangers D 1-1 1653 2000 10.8% 18.7% 70.5% +3.6 2
2002-05-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 2000 1653 70.5% 18.7% 10.8% -3.6 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-03-23 11.70% St. Johnstone 1522 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1740 1
2 2002-04-13 12.29% @ Livingston 1689 2 Rangers 2008 1
3 2001-12-22 13.59% @ Aberdeen 1722 2 Celtic 2020 0
4 2002-02-16 13.88% @ St. Johnstone 1516 3 Livingston 1809 0
5 2002-03-09 15.41% Dundee United 1587 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1746 1
6 2002-03-09 18.56% Hibernian 1635 3 @ Livingston 1754 0
7 2001-12-29 19.22% Kilmarnock 1691 1 @ Livingston 1802 0
8 2001-09-29 19.27% Dundee United 1619 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1729 1
9 2001-11-10 19.27% St. Johnstone 1569 1 @ Kilmarnock 1679 0
10 2001-10-27 20.29% Dundee 1667 2 @ Hibernian 1765 1
11 2002-04-27 21.11% Motherwell 1602 4 @ Kilmarnock 1692 1
12 2002-01-02 21.72% Dundee United 1593 1 @ Hibernian 1676 0
13 2002-04-20 22.66% Dundee United 1611 1 @ Dundee 1685 0
14 2001-12-26 24.77% St. Johnstone 1564 2 @ Motherwell 1618 1
15 2001-11-10 26.43% Dunfermline Athletic 1610 2 @ Dundee United 1648 0
16 2002-04-13 26.80% Heart of Midlothian 1708 3 @ Aberdeen 1744 2
17 2001-10-13 26.82% @ Dundee United 1633 3 Hibernian 1779 1
18 2001-09-22 27.64% @ Motherwell 1613 2 Heart of Midlothian 1752 0
19 2002-05-12 28.09% Livingston 1702 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1726 2
20 2001-09-23 28.26% Dundee 1693 1 @ Kilmarnock 1716 0
21 2001-09-29 28.84% Aberdeen 1688 4 @ Dundee 1706 1
22 2001-11-24 29.15% @ Motherwell 1619 3 Aberdeen 1746 2
23 2001-12-29 29.96% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1633 1 Aberdeen 1753 0
24 2001-12-22 30.53% Kilmarnock 1682 2 @ Dundee 1686 1
25 2001-08-04 30.77% Dunfermline Athletic 1662 2 @ St. Johnstone 1665 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-02-16 43.98 @ St. Johnstone 3 1516 13.88% Livingston 0 1809 66.20% 19.92%
2 2002-03-09 40.37 Hibernian 3 1635 18.56% @ Livingston 0 1754 60.25% 21.19%
3 2001-10-20 33.57 Livingston 5 1729 32.95% @ Kilmarnock 1 1714 44.34% 22.70%
4 2002-04-27 32.47 Motherwell 4 1602 21.11% @ Kilmarnock 1 1692 57.23% 21.66%
5 2002-02-09 31.79 @ Motherwell 4 1634 44.41% Hibernian 0 1648 32.89% 22.70%
6 2001-12-22 30.44 @ Aberdeen 2 1722 13.59% Celtic 0 2020 66.60% 19.82%
7 2001-11-24 29.02 Livingston 3 1772 36.07% @ Hibernian 0 1734 41.15% 22.78%
8 2002-01-02 28.34 Livingston 3 1787 37.27% @ Aberdeen 0 1741 39.93% 22.79%
9 2001-09-29 28.12 Aberdeen 4 1688 28.84% @ Dundee 1 1706 48.66% 22.50%
10 2002-04-21 27.68 @ Hibernian 4 1657 49.80% Motherwell 0 1630 27.78% 22.42%
11 2002-03-23 27.29 St. Johnstone 3 1522 11.70% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1740 69.23% 19.07%
12 2001-11-10 24.02 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1610 26.43% @ Dundee United 0 1648 51.26% 22.31%
13 2002-01-20 23.61 Dundee United 4 1602 37.89% @ St. Johnstone 1 1552 39.31% 22.80%
14 2001-09-22 23.49 @ Motherwell 2 1613 27.64% Heart of Midlothian 0 1752 49.95% 22.41%
15 2001-08-04 22.14 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1662 30.77% @ St. Johnstone 0 1665 46.62% 22.61%
16 2002-04-20 22.04 Kilmarnock 3 1670 48.36% @ St. Johnstone 0 1543 29.12% 22.52%
17 2002-04-20 21.09 @ Aberdeen 3 1732 49.97% Livingston 0 1704 27.62% 22.41%
18 2002-02-16 21.00 @ Aberdeen 4 1709 58.25% Dundee United 0 1610 20.24% 21.51%
19 2001-10-13 20.65 @ Dundee United 3 1633 26.82% Hibernian 1 1779 50.83% 22.35%
20 2001-08-26 20.57 Kilmarnock 2 1704 34.57% @ Dundee United 0 1677 42.68% 22.75%
21 2001-09-15 20.47 Celtic 4 1930 58.91% @ Dundee 0 1714 19.68% 21.41%
22 2002-01-23 20.23 @ Motherwell 2 1620 35.44% Kilmarnock 0 1698 41.79% 22.77%
23 2002-03-13 20.03 @ Dundee 2 1639 35.96% Livingston 0 1713 41.26% 22.78%
24 2001-09-30 19.84 Celtic 2 1956 36.46% @ Rangers 0 1916 40.76% 22.78%
25 2001-07-28 19.49 Rangers 3 1854 52.64% @ Aberdeen 0 1693 25.17% 22.19%