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1998-99 Scottish Premier League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

77 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Johnstone

8.66 points above expected

57 points · 48.34 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

11.50 points below expected

34 points · 45.50 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 23 8 5 77 78 31 +47 71.16 +5.84
2 Celtic 36 21 8 7 71 84 35 +49 69.66 +1.34
3 St. Johnstone 36 15 12 9 57 39 38 +1 48.34 +8.66
4 Kilmarnock 36 14 14 8 56 47 29 +18 51.79 +4.21
5 Dundee 36 13 7 16 46 36 56 -20 38.61 +7.39
6 Heart of Midlothian 36 11 9 16 42 44 50 -6 49.57 -7.57
7 Motherwell 36 10 11 15 41 35 54 -19 40.13 +0.87
8 Aberdeen 36 10 7 19 37 43 71 -28 39.99 -2.99
9 Dundee United 36 8 10 18 34 37 48 -11 45.50 -11.50
10 Dunfermline Athletic 36 4 16 16 28 28 59 -31 36.76 -8.76

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1910 77 71.16 +5.84 80.9% 41 59 66 71 76 83 96
Celtic 1885 71 69.66 +1.34 59.2% 40 57 65 70 75 82 98
Kilmarnock 1745 56 51.79 +4.21 73.6% 24 40 47 52 57 64 81
St. Johnstone 1719 57 48.34 +8.66 88.5% 22 36 43 48 53 61 79
Heart of Midlothian 1698 42 49.57 -7.57 17.1% 25 37 45 49 54 62 78
Dundee United 1641 34 45.50 -11.50 6.9% 21 33 40 45 50 58 74
Dundee 1641 46 38.61 +7.39 86.7% 14 27 34 38 43 51 69
Motherwell 1626 41 40.13 +0.87 58.1% 12 28 35 40 45 52 67
Aberdeen 1592 37 39.99 -2.99 36.8% 15 28 35 40 45 52 71
Dunfermline Athletic 1558 28 36.76 -8.76 12.1% 11 25 32 37 42 49 65

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU DA HOM KIL MOT RAN SJ
Aberdeen —
1-0-3
2.75
2-1-1
5.39
0-0-4
4.98
3-1-0
5.79
2-0-2
4.23
1-0-3
4.10
0-4-0
5.52
0-1-3
2.63
1-0-3
4.61
Celtic
3-0-1
8.37
 —
3-1-0
8.40
3-1-0
8.04
3-1-0
8.50
2-1-1
7.74
1-2-1
7.42
4-0-0
8.40
1-2-1
5.13
1-0-3
7.73
Dundee
1-1-2
5.42
0-1-3
2.72
 —
2-1-1
4.81
2-0-2
5.75
4-0-0
4.24
1-2-1
3.85
3-0-1
5.07
0-1-3
2.42
0-1-3
4.40
Dundee United
4-0-0
5.84
0-1-3
3.01
1-1-2
6.02
 —
0-3-1
6.42
1-1-2
4.99
0-1-3
4.92
0-1-3
6.13
1-1-2
3.00
1-1-2
5.13
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1-3
5.02
0-1-3
2.64
2-0-2
5.08
1-3-0
4.42
 —
0-2-2
4.10
0-2-2
3.86
0-3-1
4.90
0-1-3
2.45
1-3-0
4.27
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-2
6.62
1-1-2
3.26
0-0-4
6.63
2-1-1
5.85
2-2-0
6.76
 —
1-1-2
5.16
2-0-2
6.23
1-1-2
3.60
0-3-1
5.42
Kilmarnock
3-0-1
6.80
1-2-1
3.53
1-2-1
7.06
3-1-0
5.90
2-2-0
7.04
2-1-1
5.66
 —
1-2-1
6.78
0-1-3
3.48
1-3-0
5.60
Motherwell
0-4-0
5.29
0-0-4
2.72
1-0-3
5.75
3-1-0
4.70
1-3-0
5.92
2-0-2
4.62
1-2-1
4.12
 —
1-0-3
2.53
1-1-2
4.58
Rangers
3-1-0
8.52
1-2-1
5.68
3-1-0
8.77
2-1-1
8.05
3-1-0
8.75
2-1-1
7.37
3-1-0
7.47
3-0-1
8.63
 —
3-0-1
7.76
St. Johnstone
3-0-1
6.22
3-0-1
3.26
3-1-0
6.44
2-1-1
5.68
0-3-1
6.59
1-3-0
5.42
0-3-1
5.22
2-1-1
6.27
1-0-3
3.23
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +7.5
Allowed 0.64 -9.4
Differential 0.88 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%8.61%5.83%3.06%1.39%2.22%30.00%
18.61%14.44%8.06%2.22%0.56%1.67%35.56%
25.83%8.06%5.00%1.11%0.83%0.28%21.11%
33.06%2.22%1.11%———6.39%
41.39%0.56%0.83%———2.78%
5+2.22%1.67%0.28%———4.17%
Total30.00%35.56%21.11%6.39%2.78%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.07
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
12.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
28.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%36.11%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%36.11%22.22%11.11%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.97 -0.78
SD 0.92 1.42 1.81
CV 0.77 0.72 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
15.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
25.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+11.11%11.11%————22.22%
Total33.33%41.67%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.97 +1.36
SD 1.93 0.88 2.28
CV 0.83 0.90 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
113.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%—5.56%41.67%
28.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%22.22%5.56%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.56 -0.56
SD 0.83 1.59 1.98
CV 0.83 1.02 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%13.89%2.78%——36.11%
18.33%11.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
2——8.33%———8.33%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%38.89%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.33 -0.31
SD 1.08 1.01 1.64
CV 1.05 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—8.33%36.11%
12.78%27.78%13.89%5.56%——50.00%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%25.00%11.11%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.64 -0.86
SD 0.68 1.46 1.78
CV 0.88 0.89 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%16.67%8.33%——44.44%
1—11.11%2.78%———13.89%
25.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%25.00%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.39 -0.17
SD 1.38 1.08 1.84
CV 1.13 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%8.33%———2.78%33.33%
18.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
211.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
35.56%—————5.56%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total52.78%25.00%16.67%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.81 +0.50
SD 1.39 1.12 1.86
CV 1.06 1.39 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
111.11%13.89%16.67%——5.56%47.22%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%27.78%27.78%2.78%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.50 -0.53
SD 0.84 1.63 1.92
CV 0.87 1.09 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%————13.89%
111.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%30.56%
22.78%13.89%2.78%———19.44%
38.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
45.56%—2.78%———8.33%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total41.67%41.67%11.11%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 0.86 +1.31
SD 1.75 1.05 2.15
CV 0.81 1.21 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%——2.78%5.56%30.56%
122.22%22.22%—2.78%——47.22%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total38.89%47.22%2.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.06 +0.03
SD 1.13 1.51 2.10
CV 1.04 1.43 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 57 48.34 +8.66
2 Dundee 46 38.61 +7.39
3 Rangers 77 71.16 +5.84
4 Kilmarnock 56 51.79 +4.21
5 Celtic 71 69.66 +1.34

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 34 45.50 -11.50
2 Dunfermline Athletic 28 36.76 -8.76
3 Heart of Midlothian 42 49.57 -7.57
4 Aberdeen 37 39.99 -2.99
5 Motherwell 41 40.13 +0.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee 4 Apr 24 – May 15 1 in 117
2 Aberdeen 3 Dec 12 – Dec 26 1 in 41
3 Celtic 6 Jan 31 – Mar 14 1 in 18
4 St. Johnstone 3 Feb 6 – Feb 27 1 in 17
5 Rangers 6 Jan 27 – Mar 13 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 5 Jan 30 – Mar 20 1 in 238
2 Rangers 2 Mar 20 – Apr 4 1 in 47
3 Aberdeen 4 Nov 14 – Dec 5 1 in 25
4 Dundee 3 Aug 1 – Aug 23 1 in 22
5 Motherwell 4 Sep 23 – Oct 17 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 9 Aug 30 – Oct 31 1 in 75
2 Dundee 6 Apr 10 – May 15 1 in 44
3 Heart of Midlothian 6 Apr 17 – May 23 1 in 27
4 Motherwell 5 Oct 28 – Nov 21 1 in 26
5 Dunfermline Athletic 6 Aug 15 – Sep 23 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 12 Dec 9 – Apr 3 1 in 237
2 Aberdeen 10 Aug 22 – Oct 31 1 in 41
3 Celtic 5 Aug 29 – Sep 26 1 in 40
4 Dunfermline Athletic 12 Nov 21 – Mar 6 1 in 25
5 Kilmarnock 5 Jan 30 – Mar 6 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers53.67%40.14%4.82%0.95%0.29%0.09%0.01%0.03%——
Celtic44.08%47.07%6.43%1.67%0.52%0.15%0.04%0.04%——
St. Johnstone0.36%2.43%17.61%20.92%18.11%15.20%10.50%7.57%4.88%2.42%
Kilmarnock1.08%5.49%32.00%22.69%15.98%10.00%6.02%3.91%1.97%0.86%
Dundee0.01%0.15%1.75%3.85%6.82%10.53%14.89%18.38%20.88%22.74%
Heart of Midlothian0.58%3.09%21.02%22.15%18.90%14.04%9.13%5.88%3.57%1.64%
Motherwell0.01%0.22%2.67%5.81%9.12%12.46%16.32%18.33%18.64%16.42%
Aberdeen0.02%0.18%2.53%5.39%8.36%12.42%15.65%18.55%19.51%17.39%
Dundee United0.19%1.21%9.99%14.21%17.41%17.11%15.03%11.48%8.47%4.90%
Dunfermline Athletic—0.02%1.18%2.36%4.49%8.00%12.41%15.83%22.08%33.63%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.67%
Slight Edge
41.67%28.33%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
040.72400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.15 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
54%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.84 * Some Luck: 5.84 to 8.77 * Lucky: 8.77 to 11.69 * Wild Swing: 11.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 * Close: 1.11 to 1.66 * Off: 1.66 to 2.22 * Way Off: 2.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.77 points
Some Luck
07.3118
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.393
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
88.46%
St. Johnstone
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.87%
Dundee United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.78
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.85
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Kilmarnock 99.14% 0.86%
Heart of Midlothian 98.36% 1.64%
St. Johnstone 97.58% 2.42%
Dundee United 95.10% 4.90%
Motherwell 83.58% 16.42%
Aberdeen 82.61% 17.39%
Dundee 77.26% 22.74%
Dunfermline Athletic 66.37% 33.63%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1998-08-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-0 1818 1638 63.8% 21.7% 14.5% +11.8 3
1998-08-01 @ Celtic L 0-5 1638 1818 14.5% 21.7% 63.8% -11.8 0
1998-08-01 Aberdeen L 0-2 1647 1662 38.7% 29.9% 31.4% -12.3 0
1998-08-01 @ Dundee W 2-0 1662 1647 31.4% 29.9% 38.7% +12.3 3
1998-08-01 Dundee United W 2-0 1663 1692 36.7% 30.0% 33.3% +11.1 3
1998-08-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1692 1663 33.3% 30.0% 36.7% -11.1 0
1998-08-01 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1650 1686 35.7% 30.0% 34.2% +6.0 3
1998-08-01 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1686 1650 34.2% 30.0% 35.7% -6.0 0
1998-08-02 Rangers W 2-1 1746 1813 31.5% 29.9% 38.6% +6.2 3
1998-08-02 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1813 1746 38.6% 29.9% 31.5% -6.2 0
1998-08-15 Dundee W 2-0 1626 1635 39.6% 29.8% 30.6% +10.4 3
1998-08-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1635 1626 30.6% 29.8% 39.6% -10.4 0
1998-08-15 Motherwell W 2-1 1806 1656 60.3% 23.5% 16.2% +2.9 3
1998-08-15 @ Rangers L 1-2 1656 1806 16.2% 23.5% 60.3% -2.9 3
1998-08-15 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1680 1674 41.5% 29.6% 28.9% -0.5 1
1998-08-15 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1674 1680 28.9% 29.6% 41.5% +0.5 4
1998-08-16 Celtic W 3-2 1675 1830 21.8% 27.4% 50.8% +7.2 6
1998-08-16 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1830 1675 50.8% 27.4% 21.8% -7.2 3
1998-08-16 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1681 1753 30.7% 29.8% 39.4% +0.3 1
1998-08-16 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1753 1681 39.4% 29.8% 30.7% -0.3 4
1998-08-22 Dundee United W 2-1 1822 1681 59.3% 24.0% 16.7% +3.0 6
1998-08-22 @ Celtic L 1-2 1681 1822 16.7% 24.0% 59.3% -3.0 1
1998-08-22 Aberdeen W 2-0 1752 1682 50.4% 27.6% 22.1% +7.9 7
1998-08-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1682 1752 22.1% 27.6% 50.4% -7.9 6
1998-08-22 Rangers L 1-3 1675 1809 23.7% 28.2% 48.1% -7.3 4
1998-08-22 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1809 1675 48.1% 28.2% 23.7% +7.3 6
1998-08-22 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1653 1637 43.1% 29.4% 27.5% -0.6 4
1998-08-22 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1637 1653 27.5% 29.4% 43.1% +0.6 4
1998-08-23 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1625 1679 33.0% 30.0% 37.0% -5.8 0
1998-08-23 @ Dundee W 1-0 1679 1625 37.0% 30.0% 33.0% +5.8 4
1998-08-29 Celtic D 1-1 1619 1825 17.8% 24.9% 57.3% +1.4 1
1998-08-29 @ Dundee D 1-1 1825 1619 57.3% 24.9% 17.8% -1.4 7
1998-08-29 Aberdeen D 1-1 1637 1674 35.6% 30.0% 34.4% -0.0 5
1998-08-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1674 1637 34.4% 30.0% 35.6% +0.0 7
1998-08-29 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1817 1685 58.1% 24.6% 17.4% +11.8 9
1998-08-29 @ Rangers L 0-4 1685 1817 17.4% 24.6% 58.1% -11.8 4
1998-08-30 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1667 1760 28.1% 29.5% 42.4% +19.1 7
1998-08-30 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1760 1667 42.4% 29.5% 28.1% -19.1 7
1998-08-30 Dundee United W 1-0 1653 1678 37.2% 30.0% 32.8% +5.8 7
1998-08-30 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1678 1653 32.8% 30.0% 37.2% -5.8 1
1998-09-12 Motherwell D 1-1 1674 1659 42.9% 29.4% 27.7% -0.5 8
1998-09-12 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1659 1674 27.7% 29.4% 42.9% +0.5 8
1998-09-12 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1824 1687 58.8% 24.2% 17.0% -1.5 8
1998-09-12 @ Celtic D 1-1 1687 1824 17.0% 24.2% 58.8% +1.5 8
1998-09-12 Rangers D 0-0 1672 1828 21.7% 27.4% 50.9% +1.1 2
1998-09-12 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1828 1672 50.9% 27.4% 21.7% -1.1 10
1998-09-12 Dundee L 0-2 1741 1620 56.8% 25.1% 18.1% -16.5 7
1998-09-12 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1620 1741 18.1% 25.1% 56.8% +16.5 4
1998-09-12 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1673 1637 45.8% 28.8% 25.4% -0.7 5
1998-09-12 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1637 1673 25.4% 28.8% 45.8% +0.7 6
1998-09-19 Dundee United D 2-2 1637 1673 35.6% 30.0% 34.4% -0.0 5
1998-09-19 @ Dundee D 2-2 1673 1637 34.4% 30.0% 35.6% +0.0 3
1998-09-19 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1659 1688 36.7% 30.0% 33.3% -0.1 9
1998-09-19 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1688 1659 33.3% 30.0% 36.7% +0.1 9
1998-09-19 Aberdeen W 2-0 1673 1673 40.7% 29.7% 29.6% +10.2 8
1998-09-19 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1673 1673 29.6% 29.7% 40.7% -10.2 8
1998-09-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1638 1725 28.9% 29.6% 41.5% +0.4 7
1998-09-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1725 1638 41.5% 29.6% 28.9% -0.4 8
1998-09-20 Celtic D 0-0 1827 1823 41.4% 29.6% 28.9% -0.5 11
1998-09-20 @ Rangers D 0-0 1823 1827 28.9% 29.6% 41.4% +0.5 9
1998-09-23 Rangers D 1-1 1663 1827 21.1% 27.1% 51.9% +1.1 9
1998-09-23 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1827 1663 51.9% 27.1% 21.1% -1.1 12
1998-09-23 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1823 1683 59.1% 24.1% 16.8% -9.0 9
1998-09-23 @ Celtic W 1-0 1683 1823 16.8% 24.1% 59.1% +9.0 11
1998-09-23 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1673 1638 45.6% 28.9% 25.5% -0.7 4
1998-09-23 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1638 1673 25.5% 28.9% 45.6% +0.7 8
1998-09-23 Motherwell W 3-0 1724 1659 49.7% 27.8% 22.5% +11.8 11
1998-09-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1659 1724 22.5% 27.8% 49.7% -11.8 9
1998-09-23 Dundee W 2-1 1688 1637 47.9% 28.3% 23.8% +4.2 12
1998-09-23 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1637 1688 23.8% 28.3% 47.9% -4.2 5
1998-09-26 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1814 1736 51.4% 27.2% 21.4% -1.0 10
1998-09-26 @ Celtic D 1-1 1736 1814 21.4% 27.2% 51.4% +1.0 12
1998-09-26 Motherwell W 1-0 1632 1647 38.7% 29.9% 31.4% +5.6 8
1998-09-26 @ Dundee L 0-1 1647 1632 31.4% 29.9% 38.7% -5.6 9
1998-09-26 Rangers L 0-2 1639 1826 19.2% 25.9% 54.8% -6.9 8
1998-09-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1826 1639 54.8% 25.9% 19.2% +6.9 15
1998-09-26 Dundee United L 1-3 1692 1673 43.5% 29.3% 27.3% -11.6 11
1998-09-26 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1673 1692 27.3% 29.3% 43.5% +11.6 7
1998-09-27 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1664 1692 36.8% 30.0% 33.2% -6.3 9
1998-09-27 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1692 1664 33.2% 30.0% 36.8% +6.3 15
1998-10-03 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1699 1632 49.9% 27.7% 22.4% -1.0 16
1998-10-03 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1632 1699 22.4% 27.7% 49.9% +1.1 9
1998-10-03 Celtic L 1-2 1642 1813 20.4% 26.7% 52.9% -3.7 9
1998-10-03 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1813 1642 52.9% 26.7% 20.4% +3.7 13
1998-10-04 Aberdeen W 1-0 1684 1658 44.4% 29.1% 26.5% +4.9 10
1998-10-04 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1658 1684 26.5% 29.1% 44.4% -4.9 9
1998-10-04 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1737 1680 48.6% 28.1% 23.3% -0.9 13
1998-10-04 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1680 1737 23.3% 28.1% 48.6% +0.9 12
1998-10-04 Dundee W 1-0 1833 1638 65.5% 20.8% 13.7% +2.5 18
1998-10-04 @ Rangers L 0-1 1638 1833 13.7% 20.8% 65.5% -2.5 8
1998-10-17 Dundee D 2-2 1653 1636 43.2% 29.3% 27.4% -0.4 10
1998-10-17 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1636 1653 27.4% 29.3% 43.2% +0.4 9
1998-10-17 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1689 1698 39.6% 29.8% 30.6% -12.5 10
1998-10-17 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1698 1689 30.6% 29.8% 39.6% +12.5 19
1998-10-17 Celtic D 2-2 1633 1817 19.5% 26.1% 54.4% +0.9 10
1998-10-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1817 1633 54.4% 26.1% 19.5% -0.9 14
1998-10-17 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1835 1736 54.0% 26.3% 19.7% +10.3 21
1998-10-17 @ Rangers L 0-3 1736 1835 19.7% 26.3% 54.0% -10.3 13
1998-10-17 Motherwell W 5-0 1681 1638 46.7% 28.6% 24.7% +20.5 15
1998-10-17 @ St. Johnstone L 0-5 1638 1681 24.7% 28.6% 46.7% -20.5 9
1998-10-24 Aberdeen W 2-0 1816 1653 61.8% 22.7% 15.4% +5.4 17
1998-10-24 @ Celtic L 0-2 1653 1816 15.4% 22.7% 61.8% -5.4 10
1998-10-24 Dundee United L 0-1 1726 1677 47.5% 28.4% 24.1% -7.6 13
1998-10-24 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1677 1726 24.1% 28.4% 47.5% +7.6 13
1998-10-24 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1710 1702 42.0% 29.5% 28.5% -0.3 20
1998-10-24 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1702 1710 28.5% 29.5% 42.0% +0.3 16
1998-10-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1636 1634 41.0% 29.7% 29.3% +5.3 12
1998-10-28 @ Dundee L 0-1 1634 1636 29.3% 29.7% 41.0% -5.4 10
1998-10-28 Rangers W 1-0 1617 1845 16.4% 23.7% 59.9% +9.1 12
1998-10-28 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1845 1617 59.9% 23.7% 16.4% -9.1 21
1998-10-31 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1641 1718 30.1% 29.8% 40.1% +6.7 15
1998-10-31 @ Dundee L 0-1 1718 1641 40.1% 29.8% 30.1% -6.7 13
1998-10-31 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1629 1702 30.6% 29.8% 39.6% +0.3 11
1998-10-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1702 1629 39.6% 29.8% 30.6% -0.3 17
1998-10-31 Celtic W 2-0 1710 1821 26.1% 29.0% 44.9% +13.8 23
1998-10-31 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1821 1710 44.9% 29.0% 26.1% -13.8 17
1998-10-31 Aberdeen D 2-2 1627 1647 37.8% 30.0% 32.2% -0.1 13
1998-10-31 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1647 1627 32.2% 30.0% 37.8% +0.1 11
1998-10-31 Dundee United W 2-1 1836 1684 60.6% 23.4% 16.1% +2.9 24
1998-10-31 @ Rangers L 1-2 1684 1836 16.1% 23.4% 60.6% -2.8 13
1998-11-07 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1647 1629 43.4% 29.3% 27.3% +4.8 14
1998-11-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1629 1647 27.3% 29.3% 43.4% -4.8 11
1998-11-07 Dundee W 6-1 1807 1648 61.4% 22.9% 15.6% +10.7 20
1998-11-07 @ Celtic L 1-6 1648 1807 15.6% 22.9% 61.4% -10.7 15
1998-11-07 Motherwell D 2-2 1681 1626 48.3% 28.2% 23.5% -0.6 14
1998-11-07 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1626 1681 23.5% 28.2% 48.3% +0.6 14
1998-11-07 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1711 1724 39.1% 29.9% 31.1% +5.3 16
1998-11-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1724 1711 31.1% 29.9% 39.1% -5.3 23
1998-11-08 Rangers L 0-7 1702 1839 23.4% 28.1% 48.5% -26.9 17
1998-11-08 @ St. Johnstone W 7-0 1839 1702 48.5% 28.1% 23.4% +26.9 27
1998-11-14 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1637 1718 29.6% 29.7% 40.7% +0.4 16
1998-11-14 @ Dundee D 1-1 1718 1637 40.7% 29.7% 29.6% -0.4 24
1998-11-14 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1627 1717 28.5% 29.5% 41.9% +6.2 17
1998-11-14 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1717 1627 41.9% 29.5% 28.5% -6.2 16
1998-11-14 Aberdeen W 2-1 1866 1652 67.6% 19.6% 12.8% +2.2 30
1998-11-14 @ Rangers L 1-2 1652 1866 12.8% 19.6% 67.6% -2.2 14
1998-11-14 Celtic W 2-1 1675 1818 22.8% 27.9% 49.2% +7.4 20
1998-11-14 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1818 1675 49.2% 27.9% 22.8% -7.4 20
1998-11-15 Dundee United W 2-1 1624 1681 32.8% 30.0% 37.2% +6.0 14
1998-11-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1681 1624 37.2% 30.0% 32.8% -6.0 14
1998-11-21 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1650 1682 36.2% 30.0% 33.7% -6.2 14
1998-11-21 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1682 1650 33.7% 30.0% 36.2% +6.2 23
1998-11-21 Rangers W 5-1 1811 1868 32.6% 30.0% 37.4% +19.0 23
1998-11-21 @ Celtic L 1-5 1868 1811 37.4% 30.0% 32.6% -19.0 30
1998-11-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1710 1630 51.6% 27.2% 21.2% +3.8 19
1998-11-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1630 1710 21.2% 27.2% 51.6% -3.8 14
1998-11-21 Motherwell D 0-0 1718 1633 52.2% 26.9% 20.8% -1.2 25
1998-11-21 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1633 1718 20.8% 26.9% 52.2% +1.2 18
1998-11-22 Dundee L 0-1 1675 1638 45.9% 28.8% 25.3% -7.4 14
1998-11-22 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1638 1675 25.3% 28.8% 45.9% +7.4 19
1998-11-28 Dundee United L 0-3 1644 1667 37.4% 30.0% 32.6% -17.5 14
1998-11-28 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1667 1644 32.6% 30.0% 37.4% +17.5 17
1998-11-28 Motherwell W 2-0 1830 1634 65.5% 20.8% 13.7% +4.7 26
1998-11-28 @ Celtic L 0-2 1634 1830 13.7% 20.8% 65.5% -4.7 18
1998-11-28 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1627 1717 28.4% 29.5% 42.0% -14.3 14
1998-11-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1717 1627 42.0% 29.5% 28.4% +14.3 28
1998-12-05 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1685 1688 40.3% 29.8% 29.9% -0.3 18
1998-12-05 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1688 1685 29.9% 29.8% 40.3% +0.3 24
1998-12-05 Aberdeen W 4-0 1731 1626 54.8% 26.0% 19.3% +13.2 31
1998-12-05 @ Kilmarnock L 0-4 1626 1731 19.3% 26.0% 54.8% -13.2 14
1998-12-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1849 1612 70.1% 18.2% 11.7% -2.1 31
1998-12-05 @ Rangers D 1-1 1612 1849 11.7% 18.2% 70.1% +2.1 15
1998-12-06 Celtic W 2-1 1714 1834 25.1% 28.7% 46.1% +7.0 22
1998-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1834 1714 46.1% 28.7% 25.1% -7.0 26
1998-12-09 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1689 1721 36.1% 30.0% 33.8% -0.1 25
1998-12-09 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1721 1689 33.8% 30.0% 36.1% +0.1 23
1998-12-12 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1613 1721 26.4% 29.1% 44.5% +13.7 17
1998-12-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1721 1613 44.5% 29.1% 26.4% -13.7 23
1998-12-12 Celtic D 1-1 1685 1827 22.9% 27.9% 49.2% +0.9 19
1998-12-12 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1827 1685 49.2% 27.9% 22.9% -0.9 27
1998-12-12 Motherwell D 1-1 1614 1630 38.6% 29.9% 31.5% -0.2 16
1998-12-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1630 1614 31.5% 29.9% 38.6% +0.2 19
1998-12-12 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1847 1744 54.5% 26.1% 19.4% +3.7 34
1998-12-12 @ Rangers L 0-1 1744 1847 19.4% 26.1% 54.5% -3.7 31
1998-12-12 Dundee D 1-1 1689 1645 46.8% 28.6% 24.6% -0.7 26
1998-12-12 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1645 1689 24.6% 28.6% 46.8% +0.8 20
1998-12-16 Dundee W 2-1 1630 1646 38.5% 29.9% 31.6% +5.3 22
1998-12-16 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1646 1630 31.6% 29.9% 38.5% -5.3 20
1998-12-19 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-0 1827 1614 67.4% 19.7% 12.8% +10.1 30
1998-12-19 @ Celtic L 0-5 1614 1827 12.8% 19.7% 67.4% -10.1 16
1998-12-19 Aberdeen L 1-2 1641 1627 42.7% 29.4% 27.9% -6.6 20
1998-12-19 @ Dundee W 2-1 1627 1641 27.9% 29.4% 42.7% +6.6 20
1998-12-19 Rangers L 2-3 1708 1851 22.9% 27.9% 49.2% -3.9 23
1998-12-19 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1851 1708 49.2% 27.9% 22.9% +3.9 37
1998-12-19 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1635 1688 33.3% 30.0% 36.7% -5.5 22
1998-12-19 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1688 1635 36.7% 30.0% 33.3% +5.5 29
1998-12-20 Dundee United W 2-0 1741 1685 48.3% 28.2% 23.5% +8.4 34
1998-12-20 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1685 1741 23.5% 28.2% 48.3% -8.4 19
1998-12-26 Aberdeen L 1-2 1604 1634 36.6% 30.0% 33.4% -5.9 16
1998-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1634 1604 33.4% 30.0% 36.6% +5.9 23
1998-12-26 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1749 1704 47.0% 28.5% 24.5% +4.6 37
1998-12-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1704 1749 24.5% 28.5% 47.0% -4.6 23
1998-12-26 Dundee United W 2-0 1630 1677 34.0% 30.0% 35.9% +11.7 25
1998-12-26 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1677 1630 35.9% 30.0% 34.0% -11.7 19
1998-12-26 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1855 1693 61.7% 22.8% 15.5% +2.9 40
1998-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-1 1693 1855 15.5% 22.8% 61.7% -2.9 29
1998-12-27 Celtic L 0-3 1634 1837 18.1% 25.1% 56.8% -9.4 20
1998-12-27 @ Dundee W 3-0 1837 1634 56.8% 25.1% 18.1% +9.4 33
1998-12-29 Motherwell D 1-1 1639 1641 40.5% 29.7% 29.8% -0.4 24
1998-12-29 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1641 1639 29.8% 29.7% 40.5% +0.3 26
1998-12-29 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1690 1598 53.2% 26.6% 20.2% -1.2 30
1998-12-29 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1598 1690 20.2% 26.6% 53.2% +1.2 17
1998-12-30 Rangers L 1-2 1665 1858 18.8% 25.7% 55.5% -3.4 19
1998-12-30 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1858 1665 55.5% 25.7% 18.8% +3.4 43
1998-12-30 Dundee L 1-2 1699 1624 50.9% 27.4% 21.7% -7.6 23
1998-12-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1624 1699 21.7% 27.4% 50.9% +7.6 23
1999-01-01 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1642 1754 26.0% 29.0% 45.0% -4.6 26
1999-01-01 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1754 1642 45.0% 29.0% 26.0% +4.6 40
1999-01-02 Dundee United L 1-3 1632 1662 36.5% 30.0% 33.5% -10.2 23
1999-01-02 @ Dundee W 3-1 1662 1632 33.5% 30.0% 36.5% +10.2 22
1999-01-02 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1599 1692 28.2% 29.5% 42.3% +0.5 18
1999-01-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1692 1599 42.3% 29.5% 28.2% -0.5 24
1999-01-02 Aberdeen W 4-1 1689 1639 47.7% 28.4% 23.9% +10.5 33
1999-01-02 @ St. Johnstone L 1-4 1639 1689 23.9% 28.4% 47.7% -10.5 24
1999-01-03 Celtic D 2-2 1861 1846 42.9% 29.4% 27.7% -0.4 44
1999-01-03 @ Rangers D 2-2 1846 1861 27.7% 29.4% 42.9% +0.4 34
1999-01-27 Rangers L 0-4 1622 1861 15.8% 23.1% 61.2% -10.5 23
1999-01-27 @ Dundee W 4-0 1861 1622 61.2% 23.1% 15.8% +10.5 47
1999-01-30 Rangers L 2-4 1629 1871 15.5% 22.8% 61.6% -4.2 24
1999-01-30 @ Aberdeen W 4-2 1871 1629 61.6% 22.8% 15.5% +4.2 50
1999-01-30 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1672 1600 50.6% 27.5% 21.9% -1.0 23
1999-01-30 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1600 1672 21.9% 27.5% 50.6% +1.0 19
1999-01-30 Motherwell L 0-2 1691 1637 48.2% 28.2% 23.6% -14.5 24
1999-01-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1637 1691 23.6% 28.2% 48.2% +14.5 29
1999-01-30 Dundee D 0-0 1758 1611 59.9% 23.7% 16.4% -1.7 41
1999-01-30 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1611 1758 16.4% 23.7% 59.9% +1.7 24
1999-01-31 St. Johnstone W 5-0 1846 1700 59.9% 23.7% 16.4% +13.6 37
1999-01-31 @ Celtic L 0-5 1700 1846 16.4% 23.7% 59.9% -13.6 33
1999-02-06 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1624 1756 23.9% 28.3% 47.7% +7.2 27
1999-02-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1756 1624 47.7% 28.3% 23.9% -7.2 41
1999-02-06 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1860 1677 64.2% 21.5% 14.3% +7.2 40
1999-02-06 @ Celtic L 0-3 1677 1860 14.3% 21.5% 64.2% -7.2 24
1999-02-06 Motherwell W 1-0 1613 1652 35.3% 30.0% 34.7% +6.0 27
1999-02-06 @ Dundee L 0-1 1652 1613 34.7% 30.0% 35.3% -6.0 29
1999-02-06 Dundee United W 1-0 1686 1671 42.9% 29.4% 27.7% +5.1 36
1999-02-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1671 1686 27.7% 29.4% 42.9% -5.1 23
1999-02-07 Rangers L 0-3 1601 1875 13.8% 20.9% 65.3% -6.9 19
1999-02-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1875 1601 65.3% 20.9% 13.8% +6.9 53
1999-02-17 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1867 1749 56.4% 25.3% 18.3% +3.5 43
1999-02-17 @ Celtic L 0-1 1749 1867 18.3% 25.3% 56.4% -3.5 41
1999-02-20 Aberdeen W 3-0 1666 1632 45.6% 28.9% 25.6% +13.1 26
1999-02-20 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1632 1666 25.6% 28.9% 45.6% -13.1 27
1999-02-20 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1669 1691 37.7% 30.0% 32.4% -12.1 24
1999-02-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1691 1669 32.4% 30.0% 37.7% +12.1 39
1999-02-20 Dundee W 6-1 1882 1619 72.7% 16.7% 10.6% +6.6 56
1999-02-20 @ Rangers L 1-6 1619 1882 10.6% 16.7% 72.7% -6.6 27
1999-02-21 Celtic L 1-7 1646 1871 16.6% 23.9% 59.5% -13.5 29
1999-02-21 @ Motherwell W 7-1 1871 1646 59.5% 23.9% 16.6% +13.5 46
1999-02-27 Dundee United W 2-1 1884 1679 66.6% 20.2% 13.2% +2.2 49
1999-02-27 @ Celtic L 1-2 1679 1884 13.2% 20.2% 66.6% -2.2 26
1999-02-27 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1612 1703 28.4% 29.5% 42.1% -5.2 27
1999-02-27 @ Dundee W 1-0 1703 1612 42.1% 29.5% 28.4% +5.2 42
1999-02-27 Aberdeen L 0-2 1657 1618 46.2% 28.7% 25.1% -14.1 24
1999-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1618 1657 25.1% 28.7% 46.2% +14.1 30
1999-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1632 1594 46.1% 28.7% 25.1% -0.7 30
1999-02-27 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1594 1632 25.1% 28.7% 46.1% +0.7 20
1999-02-28 Rangers L 0-5 1746 1889 22.9% 27.9% 49.2% -19.2 41
1999-02-28 @ Kilmarnock W 5-0 1889 1746 49.2% 27.9% 22.9% +19.1 59
1999-03-06 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1727 1594 58.1% 24.5% 17.3% -1.6 42
1999-03-06 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1594 1727 17.3% 24.5% 58.1% +1.6 21
1999-03-13 Dundee W 2-0 1596 1607 39.2% 29.9% 30.9% +10.5 24
1999-03-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1607 1596 30.9% 29.9% 39.2% -10.5 27
1999-03-13 Motherwell W 2-1 1908 1632 74.1% 15.9% 10.1% +1.6 62
1999-03-13 @ Rangers L 1-2 1632 1908 10.1% 15.9% 74.1% -1.6 30
1999-03-13 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1709 1725 38.5% 29.9% 31.6% -6.5 42
1999-03-13 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1725 1709 31.6% 29.9% 38.5% +6.5 45
1999-03-14 Celtic L 1-5 1633 1887 14.9% 22.2% 62.9% -8.2 30
1999-03-14 @ Aberdeen W 5-1 1887 1633 62.9% 22.2% 14.9% +8.2 52
1999-03-20 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1597 1643 34.2% 30.0% 35.8% +11.7 30
1999-03-20 @ Dundee L 0-2 1643 1597 35.8% 30.0% 34.2% -11.7 24
1999-03-20 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1607 1702 27.8% 29.4% 42.8% +7.0 27
1999-03-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1702 1607 42.8% 29.4% 27.8% -7.0 42
1999-03-20 Aberdeen D 1-1 1630 1624 41.6% 29.6% 28.8% -0.4 31
1999-03-20 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1624 1630 28.8% 29.6% 41.6% +0.4 31
1999-03-20 Dundee United L 0-1 1910 1677 69.6% 18.5% 11.9% -10.1 62
1999-03-20 @ Rangers W 1-0 1677 1910 11.9% 18.5% 69.6% +10.1 29
1999-03-21 Celtic D 0-0 1731 1895 21.1% 27.1% 51.8% +1.2 46
1999-03-21 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1895 1731 51.8% 27.1% 21.1% -1.2 53
1999-04-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1625 1614 42.3% 29.5% 28.2% +8.5 34
1999-04-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1614 1625 28.2% 29.5% 42.3% -8.5 27
1999-04-03 Dundee W 5-0 1894 1608 74.9% 15.4% 9.8% +7.1 56
1999-04-03 @ Celtic L 0-5 1608 1894 9.8% 15.4% 74.9% -7.1 30
1999-04-03 Motherwell L 0-3 1687 1629 48.7% 28.1% 23.2% -21.3 29
1999-04-03 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1629 1687 23.2% 28.1% 48.7% +21.3 34
1999-04-03 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1632 1733 27.2% 29.3% 43.5% +0.4 25
1999-04-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1733 1632 43.5% 29.3% 27.2% -0.4 47
1999-04-04 Rangers W 3-1 1695 1900 17.9% 25.0% 57.0% +14.3 45
1999-04-04 @ St. Johnstone L 1-3 1900 1695 57.0% 25.0% 17.9% -14.3 62
1999-04-06 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1666 1632 45.5% 28.9% 25.6% -12.0 29
1999-04-06 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1632 1666 25.6% 28.9% 45.5% +12.0 28
1999-04-10 Aberdeen W 4-2 1732 1633 54.0% 26.3% 19.7% +5.5 50
1999-04-10 @ Kilmarnock L 2-4 1633 1732 19.7% 26.3% 54.0% -5.5 34
1999-04-10 Dundee L 1-2 1651 1601 47.6% 28.4% 24.0% -7.2 34
1999-04-10 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1601 1651 24.0% 28.4% 47.6% +7.2 33
1999-04-14 Celtic L 2-4 1644 1901 14.8% 22.0% 63.3% -4.0 28
1999-04-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-2 1901 1644 63.3% 22.0% 14.8% +4.0 59
1999-04-14 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1885 1605 74.4% 15.7% 9.9% +1.7 65
1999-04-14 @ Rangers L 0-1 1605 1885 9.9% 15.7% 74.4% -1.7 27
1999-04-17 Dundee United L 0-4 1628 1654 37.1% 30.0% 32.9% -22.7 34
1999-04-17 @ Aberdeen W 4-0 1654 1628 32.9% 30.0% 37.1% +22.7 32
1999-04-17 Motherwell W 1-0 1905 1644 72.5% 16.8% 10.7% +1.8 62
1999-04-17 @ Celtic L 0-1 1644 1905 10.7% 16.8% 72.5% -1.8 34
1999-04-17 Kilmarnock L 0-6 1604 1738 23.7% 28.3% 48.0% -23.5 27
1999-04-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 6-0 1738 1604 48.0% 28.3% 23.7% +23.5 53
1999-04-17 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1709 1640 50.2% 27.6% 22.2% -1.1 46
1999-04-17 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1640 1709 22.2% 27.6% 50.2% +1.1 29
1999-04-18 Rangers D 1-1 1608 1887 13.6% 20.7% 65.7% +1.9 34
1999-04-18 @ Dundee D 1-1 1887 1608 65.7% 20.7% 13.6% -1.9 66
1999-04-20 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1676 1708 36.3% 30.0% 33.7% -6.2 32
1999-04-20 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1708 1676 33.7% 30.0% 36.3% +6.2 49
1999-04-24 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1610 1761 22.1% 27.6% 50.2% +7.5 37
1999-04-24 @ Dundee L 1-2 1761 1610 50.2% 27.6% 22.1% -7.5 53
1999-04-24 Dundee United D 2-2 1580 1670 28.5% 29.5% 42.0% +0.3 28
1999-04-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1670 1580 42.0% 29.5% 28.5% -0.3 33
1999-04-24 Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1642 1641 40.9% 29.7% 29.4% -24.4 34
1999-04-24 @ Motherwell W 4-0 1641 1642 29.4% 29.7% 40.9% +24.3 32
1999-04-24 Celtic W 1-0 1715 1906 18.8% 25.7% 55.5% +8.6 52
1999-04-24 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1906 1715 55.5% 25.7% 18.8% -8.6 62
1999-04-25 Aberdeen W 3-1 1885 1605 74.4% 15.7% 9.9% +2.7 69
1999-04-25 @ Rangers L 1-3 1605 1885 9.9% 15.7% 74.4% -2.7 34
1999-05-01 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1602 1723 25.1% 28.7% 46.2% +7.5 37
1999-05-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1723 1602 46.2% 28.7% 25.1% -7.5 52
1999-05-01 Dundee L 0-2 1670 1618 47.9% 28.3% 23.8% -14.5 33
1999-05-01 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1618 1670 23.8% 28.3% 47.9% +14.5 40
1999-05-01 Motherwell L 0-1 1754 1617 58.7% 24.3% 17.1% -9.0 53
1999-05-01 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1617 1754 17.1% 24.3% 58.7% +8.9 37
1999-05-02 Rangers L 0-3 1898 1888 42.2% 29.5% 28.3% -19.1 62
1999-05-02 @ Celtic W 3-0 1888 1898 28.3% 29.5% 42.2% +19.1 72
1999-05-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1665 1580 52.3% 26.9% 20.8% +7.5 35
1999-05-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1580 1665 20.8% 26.9% 52.3% -7.5 28
1999-05-08 Dundee L 1-2 1610 1632 37.6% 30.0% 32.4% -6.0 37
1999-05-08 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1632 1610 32.4% 30.0% 37.6% +6.0 43
1999-05-08 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1655 1745 28.6% 29.5% 41.9% +0.5 34
1999-05-08 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1745 1655 41.9% 29.5% 28.6% -0.5 54
1999-05-08 Celtic L 1-2 1573 1879 12.3% 19.0% 68.7% -2.0 28
1999-05-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1879 1573 68.7% 19.0% 12.3% +2.0 65
1999-05-08 Motherwell D 0-0 1716 1626 52.8% 26.7% 20.5% -1.3 53
1999-05-08 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1626 1716 20.5% 26.7% 52.8% +1.3 38
1999-05-09 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1907 1673 69.7% 18.4% 11.9% -2.3 73
1999-05-09 @ Rangers D 0-0 1673 1907 11.9% 18.4% 69.7% +2.3 36
1999-05-15 Aberdeen W 3-2 1881 1604 74.1% 15.8% 10.1% +1.5 68
1999-05-15 @ Celtic L 2-3 1604 1881 10.1% 15.8% 74.1% -1.5 37
1999-05-15 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1638 1571 50.0% 27.7% 22.3% +6.9 46
1999-05-15 @ Dundee L 1-3 1571 1638 22.3% 27.7% 50.0% -6.9 28
1999-05-15 Dundee United W 4-1 1675 1656 43.5% 29.3% 27.2% +11.7 39
1999-05-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1656 1675 27.2% 29.3% 43.5% -11.7 34
1999-05-15 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1744 1714 44.9% 29.0% 26.1% -0.6 55
1999-05-15 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1714 1744 26.1% 29.0% 44.9% +0.6 54
1999-05-15 Rangers L 1-5 1628 1905 13.7% 20.8% 65.6% -7.4 38
1999-05-15 @ Motherwell W 5-1 1905 1628 65.6% 20.8% 13.7% +7.4 76
1999-05-23 Heart of Midlothian L 2-5 1602 1687 29.1% 29.6% 41.2% -10.6 37
1999-05-23 @ Aberdeen W 5-2 1687 1602 41.2% 29.6% 29.1% +10.6 42
1999-05-23 Celtic L 1-2 1644 1882 15.8% 23.1% 61.1% -2.8 34
1999-05-23 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1882 1644 61.1% 23.1% 15.8% +2.8 71
1999-05-23 Motherwell L 1-2 1564 1620 32.8% 30.0% 37.2% -5.5 28
1999-05-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1620 1564 37.2% 30.0% 32.8% +5.5 41
1999-05-23 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1912 1744 62.5% 22.4% 15.1% -1.7 77
1999-05-23 @ Rangers D 1-1 1744 1912 15.1% 22.4% 62.5% +1.7 56
1999-05-23 Dundee W 1-0 1715 1645 50.3% 27.6% 22.1% +4.2 57
1999-05-23 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1645 1715 22.1% 27.6% 50.3% -4.2 46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-03-20 11.91% Dundee United 1677 1 @ Rangers 1910 0
2 1998-10-28 16.41% @ Motherwell 1617 1 Rangers 1845 0
3 1998-09-23 16.81% St. Johnstone 1683 1 @ Celtic 1823 0
4 1999-05-01 17.05% Motherwell 1617 1 @ Kilmarnock 1754 0
5 1999-04-04 17.94% @ St. Johnstone 1695 3 Rangers 1900 1
6 1998-09-12 18.10% Dundee 1620 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1741 0
7 1999-04-24 18.83% @ St. Johnstone 1715 1 Celtic 1906 0
8 1998-12-30 21.68% Dundee 1624 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1699 1
9 1998-08-16 21.79% @ Aberdeen 1675 3 Celtic 1830 2
10 1999-04-24 22.15% @ Dundee 1610 2 Kilmarnock 1761 1
11 1998-11-14 22.83% @ St. Johnstone 1675 2 Celtic 1818 1
12 1999-04-03 23.24% Motherwell 1629 3 @ Dundee United 1687 0
13 1999-01-30 23.60% Motherwell 1637 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1691 0
14 1999-05-01 23.78% Dundee 1618 2 @ Dundee United 1670 0
15 1999-02-06 23.92% @ Aberdeen 1624 2 Kilmarnock 1756 1
16 1999-04-10 24.03% Dundee 1601 2 @ Motherwell 1651 1
17 1998-10-24 24.07% Dundee United 1677 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1726 0
18 1999-05-01 25.05% @ Aberdeen 1602 1 St. Johnstone 1723 0
19 1999-02-27 25.11% Aberdeen 1618 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1657 0
20 1998-12-06 25.12% @ Heart of Midlothian 1714 2 Celtic 1834 1
21 1998-11-22 25.28% Dundee 1638 1 @ Dundee United 1675 0
22 1999-04-06 25.63% Heart of Midlothian 1632 3 @ Dundee United 1666 1
23 1998-10-31 26.05% @ Kilmarnock 1710 2 Celtic 1821 0
24 1998-12-12 26.39% @ Aberdeen 1613 2 Heart of Midlothian 1721 0
25 1998-09-26 27.25% Dundee United 1673 3 @ St. Johnstone 1692 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-11-08 26.86 Rangers 7 1839 48.49% @ St. Johnstone 0 1702 23.37% 28.14%
2 1999-04-24 24.36 Heart of Midlothian 4 1641 29.45% @ Motherwell 0 1642 40.87% 29.68%
3 1999-04-17 23.50 Kilmarnock 6 1738 48.03% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1604 23.70% 28.26%
4 1999-04-17 22.70 Dundee United 4 1654 32.92% @ Aberdeen 0 1628 37.08% 30.00%
5 1999-04-03 21.27 Motherwell 3 1629 23.24% @ Dundee United 0 1687 48.67% 28.09%
6 1998-10-17 20.49 @ St. Johnstone 5 1681 46.73% Motherwell 0 1638 24.67% 28.60%
7 1999-02-28 19.15 Rangers 5 1889 49.22% @ Kilmarnock 0 1746 22.86% 27.93%
8 1998-08-30 19.15 @ Kilmarnock 3 1667 28.15% Heart of Midlothian 0 1760 42.37% 29.47%
9 1999-05-02 19.10 Rangers 3 1888 28.29% @ Celtic 0 1898 42.21% 29.50%
10 1998-11-21 19.03 @ Celtic 5 1811 32.63% Rangers 1 1868 37.39% 29.98%
11 1998-11-28 17.50 Dundee United 3 1667 32.58% @ Aberdeen 0 1644 37.44% 29.98%
12 1998-09-12 16.46 Dundee 2 1620 18.10% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1741 56.77% 25.13%
13 1999-01-30 14.53 Motherwell 2 1637 23.60% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1691 48.18% 28.22%
14 1999-05-01 14.48 Dundee 2 1618 23.78% @ Dundee United 0 1670 47.93% 28.29%
15 1998-11-28 14.31 Kilmarnock 3 1717 42.03% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1627 28.45% 29.53%
16 1999-04-04 14.31 @ St. Johnstone 3 1695 17.94% Rangers 1 1900 57.05% 25.01%
17 1999-02-27 14.06 Aberdeen 2 1618 25.11% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1657 46.15% 28.74%
18 1998-10-31 13.78 @ Kilmarnock 2 1710 26.05% Celtic 0 1821 44.94% 29.01%
19 1998-12-12 13.68 @ Aberdeen 2 1613 26.39% Heart of Midlothian 0 1721 44.51% 29.10%
20 1999-01-31 13.62 @ Celtic 5 1846 59.91% St. Johnstone 0 1700 16.41% 23.69%
21 1999-02-21 13.53 Celtic 7 1871 59.54% @ Motherwell 1 1646 16.60% 23.86%
22 1998-12-05 13.16 @ Kilmarnock 4 1731 54.77% Aberdeen 0 1626 19.26% 25.97%
23 1999-02-20 13.12 @ Dundee United 3 1666 45.57% Aberdeen 0 1632 25.56% 28.87%
24 1998-10-17 12.54 Kilmarnock 2 1698 30.59% @ Dundee United 0 1689 39.59% 29.82%
25 1998-08-01 12.33 Aberdeen 2 1662 31.43% @ Dundee 0 1647 38.67% 29.90%