1997-98 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kilmarnock

11.57 points above expected

50 points · 38.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee United

14.14 points below expected

37 points · 51.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 36 22 8 6 74 64 24 +40 70.59 +3.41
2 Rangers 36 21 9 6 72 76 38 +38 71.98 +0.02
3 Heart of Midlothian 36 19 10 7 67 70 46 +24 57.50 +9.50
4 Kilmarnock 36 13 11 12 50 40 52 -12 38.43 +11.57
5 St. Johnstone 36 13 9 14 48 38 42 -4 44.54 +3.46
6 Aberdeen 36 9 12 15 39 39 53 -14 39.12 -0.12
7 Dundee United 36 8 13 15 37 43 51 -8 51.14 -14.14
8 Dunfermline Athletic 36 8 13 15 37 43 68 -25 38.40 -1.40
9 Motherwell 36 9 7 20 34 46 64 -18 41.38 -7.38
10 Hibernian 36 6 12 18 30 38 59 -21 38.89 -8.89

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1819 74 70.59 +3.41 70.2% 45 58 66 71 76 83 95
Rangers 1816 72 71.98 +0.02 52.0% 36 60 67 72 77 83 96
Heart of Midlothian 1716 67 57.50 +9.50 91.2% 29 45 52 58 63 70 85
Dundee United 1625 37 51.14 -14.14 3.2% 23 39 46 51 56 63 79
St. Johnstone 1621 48 44.54 +3.46 70.9% 15 33 40 44 49 57 73
Kilmarnock 1591 50 38.43 +11.57 95.3% 12 27 33 38 43 50 68
Aberdeen 1582 39 39.12 -0.12 52.7% 15 28 34 39 44 51 71
Motherwell 1558 34 41.38 -7.38 17.2% 12 30 36 41 46 53 70
Dunfermline Athletic 1546 37 38.40 -1.40 46.0% 10 27 34 38 43 50 67
Hibernian 1538 30 38.89 -8.89 12.0% 12 27 34 39 44 51 69

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU DA HOM HIB KIL MOT RAN SJ
Aberdeen
0-0-4
2.57
1-2-1
4.09
1-2-1
5.46
0-1-3
3.75
2-2-0
5.43
0-2-2
5.50
3-0-1
5.11
1-2-1
2.44
1-1-2
4.88
Celtic
4-0-0
8.58
3-1-0
7.44
2-1-1
8.71
2-2-0
6.77
2-1-1
8.78
3-1-0
8.69
2-1-1
8.37
1-1-2
5.18
3-0-1
8.03
Dundee United
1-2-1
6.77
0-1-3
3.50
0-4-0
6.79
0-1-3
4.64
2-2-0
6.71
1-1-2
6.81
2-0-2
6.49
1-0-3
3.28
1-2-1
6.15
Dunfermline Athletic
1-2-1
5.34
1-1-2
2.46
0-4-0
4.09
1-0-3
3.69
1-1-2
5.35
1-1-2
5.36
2-0-2
5.02
0-2-2
2.41
1-2-1
4.74
Heart of Midlothian
3-1-0
7.15
0-2-2
4.10
3-1-0
6.17
3-0-1
7.25
2-1-1
7.34
2-2-0
7.49
3-1-0
7.21
0-1-3
4.03
3-1-0
6.83
Hibernian
0-2-2
5.37
1-1-2
2.42
0-2-2
4.16
2-1-1
5.46
1-1-2
3.62
1-1-2
5.46
1-2-1
5.05
0-0-4
2.45
0-2-2
4.94
Kilmarnock
2-2-0
5.31
0-1-3
2.48
2-1-1
4.06
2-1-1
5.44
0-2-2
3.48
2-1-1
5.36
3-1-0
4.97
1-1-2
2.49
1-1-2
4.74
Motherwell
1-0-3
5.68
1-1-2
2.75
2-0-2
4.34
2-0-2
5.78
0-1-3
3.72
1-2-1
5.75
0-1-3
5.83
1-2-1
2.60
1-0-3
4.98
Rangers
1-2-1
8.74
2-1-1
5.61
3-0-1
7.69
2-2-0
8.78
3-1-0
6.85
4-0-0
8.74
2-1-1
8.69
1-2-1
8.54
3-0-1
8.27
St. Johnstone
2-1-1
5.93
1-0-3
3.01
1-2-1
4.67
1-2-1
6.09
0-1-3
4.06
2-2-0
5.89
2-1-1
6.07
3-0-1
5.84
1-0-3
2.82

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.76 +9.9
Allowed 0.71 -10.7
Differential 0.92 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.61%6.11%1.94%1.39%0.83%24.44%
18.61%16.67%8.06%2.50%1.94%0.56%38.33%
26.11%8.06%5.00%1.67%0.28%0.83%21.94%
31.94%2.50%1.67%1.67%0.56%0.28%8.61%
41.39%1.94%0.28%0.56%4.17%
5+0.83%0.56%0.83%0.28%2.50%
Total24.44%38.33%21.94%8.61%4.17%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.78
CV 0.89 0.89
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%30.56%
18.33%13.89%5.56%8.33%5.56%41.67%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total27.78%30.56%19.44%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.47 -0.39
SD 0.97 1.34 1.68
CV 0.89 0.91
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%5.56%19.44%
18.33%13.89%5.56%27.78%
219.44%11.11%30.56%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
48.33%2.78%11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%5.56%
Total47.22%38.89%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.67 +1.11
SD 1.44 0.72 1.74
CV 0.81 1.08
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%30.56%
12.78%19.44%13.89%2.78%2.78%41.67%
28.33%5.56%13.89%
35.56%2.78%8.33%
42.78%2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total16.67%47.22%25.00%2.78%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.42 -0.22
SD 1.21 1.16 1.77
CV 1.02 0.82
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%33.33%
113.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%25.00%
22.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%30.56%
32.78%2.78%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total11.11%36.11%27.78%16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.89 -0.69
SD 1.04 1.49 1.79
CV 0.87 0.79
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%11.11%
15.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%27.78%
211.11%8.33%11.11%2.78%33.33%
32.78%8.33%2.78%13.89%
48.33%2.78%11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total25.00%38.89%25.00%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.28 +0.67
SD 1.26 1.11 1.59
CV 0.65 0.87
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%2.78%33.33%
15.56%25.00%11.11%2.78%44.44%
25.56%5.56%2.78%13.89%
32.78%2.78%
42.78%2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total11.11%47.22%25.00%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.64 -0.58
SD 1.15 1.31 1.68
CV 1.08 0.80
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%5.56%8.33%27.78%
116.67%19.44%2.78%2.78%2.78%44.44%
213.89%2.78%2.78%19.44%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total27.78%41.67%5.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.44 -0.33
SD 0.98 1.44 1.79
CV 0.88 1.00
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%22.22%
15.56%16.67%11.11%2.78%8.33%44.44%
28.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%25.00%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
4
5+2.78%2.78%
Total13.89%38.89%19.44%11.11%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.78 -0.50
SD 1.16 1.31 1.72
CV 0.91 0.74
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%13.89%
18.33%13.89%5.56%27.78%
28.33%8.33%5.56%22.22%
38.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%19.44%
45.56%2.78%8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%8.33%
Total30.56%38.89%25.00%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.06 +1.06
SD 1.62 0.89 1.82
CV 0.77 0.85
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%13.89%22.22%
125.00%19.44%13.89%58.33%
25.56%2.78%5.56%13.89%
32.78%2.78%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total33.33%25.00%33.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.17 -0.11
SD 0.86 1.00 1.17
CV 0.81 0.86
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kilmarnock 50 38.43 +11.57
2 Heart of Midlothian 67 57.50 +9.50
3 St. Johnstone 48 44.54 +3.46
4 Celtic 74 70.59 +3.41
5 Rangers 72 71.98 +0.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 37 51.14 -14.14
2 Hibernian 30 38.89 -8.89
3 Motherwell 34 41.38 -7.38
4 Dunfermline Athletic 37 38.40 -1.40
5 Aberdeen 39 39.12 -0.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 8 Aug 23 – Nov 1 1 in 128
2 Dundee United 5 Oct 18 – Nov 15 1 in 101
3 Heart of Midlothian 6 Oct 29 – Dec 6 1 in 32
4 Dunfermline Athletic 2 Aug 16 – Aug 23 1 in 26
5 Kilmarnock 3 Dec 20 – Jan 3 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 6 Oct 4 – Nov 8 1 in 557
2 Hibernian 7 Oct 4 – Nov 22 1 in 338
3 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Dec 20 – Jan 28 1 in 81
4 Celtic 2 Aug 3 – Aug 16 1 in 41
5 St. Johnstone 3 Feb 7 – Feb 25 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 8 Nov 29 – Jan 17 1 in 101
2 Heart of Midlothian 13 Dec 27 – Apr 8 1 in 90
3 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Apr 7 – May 3 1 in 34
4 St. Johnstone 6 Mar 28 – May 2 1 in 16
5 Motherwell 3 Nov 15 – Nov 29 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 10 Feb 21 – Apr 25 1 in 233
2 Hibernian 15 Sep 20 – Jan 1 1 in 175
3 Heart of Midlothian 6 Mar 28 – May 2 1 in 46
4 Motherwell 9 Sep 13 – Nov 8 1 in 35
5 Dunfermline Athletic 9 Nov 22 – Jan 28 1 in 21

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic43.24%45.07%9.38%1.90%0.29%0.11%0.01%
Rangers53.04%38.31%7.10%1.30%0.20%0.04%0.01%
Heart of Midlothian3.01%12.25%50.24%20.73%8.07%3.17%1.61%0.56%0.27%0.09%
Kilmarnock0.01%0.15%1.14%4.16%9.17%12.93%14.91%17.85%18.82%20.86%
St. Johnstone0.05%0.56%5.59%15.72%21.34%18.77%13.76%11.11%7.99%5.11%
Aberdeen0.01%0.10%1.55%5.30%10.42%13.08%16.03%16.85%18.05%18.61%
Dundee United0.61%3.15%20.25%33.89%18.43%10.79%6.35%3.69%2.02%0.82%
Dunfermline Athletic0.11%0.95%3.91%8.30%12.14%14.48%17.59%20.21%22.31%
Motherwell0.03%0.23%2.39%8.71%14.28%16.15%16.75%15.45%13.89%12.12%
Hibernian0.07%1.41%4.38%9.50%12.82%16.10%16.90%18.74%20.08%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.56%
Clear Edge
43.33%28.89%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
169 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
054.49500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.44 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
43%
Celtic, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.66 * Lucky: 8.66 to 11.54 * Wild Swing: 11.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.08 * Close: 1.08 to 1.62 * Off: 1.62 to 2.16 * Way Off: 2.16 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.63 points
Some Luck
07.2118
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.80
Off
01.353
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.34%
Kilmarnock
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.19%
Dundee United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.83
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.29
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 100%
Rangers 100%
Heart of Midlothian 99.91% 0.09%
Dundee United 99.18% 0.82%
St. Johnstone 94.89% 5.11%
Motherwell 87.88% 12.12%
Aberdeen 81.39% 18.61%
Hibernian 79.92% 20.08%
Kilmarnock 79.14% 20.86%
Dunfermline Athletic 77.69% 22.31%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1997-08-02 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1589 1577 44.3% 29.6% 26.1% -0.5 1
1997-08-02 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1577 1589 26.1% 29.6% 44.3% +0.5 1
1997-08-02 Motherwell L 0-2 1581 1601 39.9% 30.3% 29.8% -10.1 0
1997-08-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1601 1581 29.8% 30.3% 39.9% +10.2 3
1997-08-02 Dundee United D 1-1 1611 1662 35.6% 30.6% 33.8% -0.0 1
1997-08-02 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1662 1611 33.8% 30.6% 35.6% +0.0 1
1997-08-03 Celtic W 2-1 1580 1778 19.4% 26.6% 54.1% +6.4 3
1997-08-03 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1778 1580 54.1% 26.6% 19.4% -6.4 0
1997-08-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1776 1658 58.3% 24.7% 17.1% +4.2 3
1997-08-04 @ Rangers L 1-3 1658 1776 17.1% 24.7% 58.3% -4.3 0
1997-08-16 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1772 1570 67.9% 19.5% 12.6% -7.5 0
1997-08-16 @ Celtic W 2-1 1570 1772 12.6% 19.5% 67.9% +7.5 3
1997-08-16 Aberdeen W 4-1 1654 1588 51.5% 27.5% 20.9% +7.5 3
1997-08-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1588 1654 20.9% 27.5% 51.5% -7.5 1
1997-08-16 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1611 1611 42.8% 29.9% 27.3% -5.7 3
1997-08-16 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1611 1611 27.3% 29.9% 42.8% +5.7 4
1997-08-17 Hibernian D 1-1 1662 1586 52.8% 27.0% 20.1% -0.9 2
1997-08-17 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1586 1662 20.1% 27.0% 52.8% +0.9 4
1997-08-23 Motherwell L 1-3 1581 1606 39.2% 30.4% 30.3% -8.7 1
1997-08-23 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1606 1581 30.3% 30.4% 39.2% +8.7 6
1997-08-23 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1578 1661 31.1% 30.5% 38.5% +4.9 6
1997-08-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1661 1578 38.5% 30.5% 31.1% -5.0 3
1997-08-23 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1587 1578 44.0% 29.7% 26.3% +14.2 7
1997-08-23 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1578 1587 26.3% 29.7% 44.0% -14.2 1
1997-08-23 Dundee United W 5-1 1781 1661 58.4% 24.6% 17.0% +7.7 6
1997-08-23 @ Rangers L 1-5 1661 1781 17.0% 24.6% 58.4% -7.7 2
1997-08-23 Celtic L 0-2 1617 1764 23.7% 28.9% 47.4% -6.8 4
1997-08-23 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1764 1617 47.4% 28.9% 23.7% +6.8 3
1997-08-30 Dundee United D 1-1 1572 1653 31.4% 30.5% 38.1% +0.2 2
1997-08-30 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1653 1572 38.1% 30.5% 31.4% -0.2 3
1997-08-30 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1583 1610 39.0% 30.4% 30.6% -0.2 7
1997-08-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1610 1583 30.6% 30.4% 39.0% +0.2 5
1997-08-30 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1601 1656 35.0% 30.6% 34.4% -4.9 7
1997-08-30 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1656 1601 34.4% 30.6% 35.0% +4.9 6
1997-09-13 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1653 1564 54.6% 26.3% 19.1% -6.4 3
1997-09-13 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1564 1653 19.1% 26.3% 54.6% +6.4 4
1997-09-13 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-2 1596 1583 44.6% 29.5% 25.8% +7.8 10
1997-09-13 @ Hibernian L 2-5 1583 1596 25.8% 29.5% 44.6% -7.8 7
1997-09-13 Celtic L 2-3 1614 1771 22.8% 28.5% 48.6% -3.1 6
1997-09-13 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1771 1614 48.6% 28.5% 22.8% +3.1 6
1997-09-13 Aberdeen D 3-3 1788 1572 69.5% 18.6% 11.9% -1.0 7
1997-09-13 @ Rangers D 3-3 1572 1788 11.9% 18.6% 69.5% +1.0 3
1997-09-13 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1610 1661 35.5% 30.6% 33.9% -4.7 5
1997-09-13 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1661 1610 33.9% 30.6% 35.5% +4.7 9
1997-09-20 Aberdeen W 2-0 1774 1573 67.9% 19.5% 12.6% +3.4 9
1997-09-20 @ Celtic L 0-2 1573 1774 12.6% 19.5% 67.9% -3.4 3
1997-09-20 Dundee United W 2-1 1666 1646 45.4% 29.4% 25.2% +3.6 12
1997-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1646 1666 25.2% 29.4% 45.4% -3.6 3
1997-09-20 Hibernian D 1-1 1611 1604 43.7% 29.8% 26.5% -0.5 7
1997-09-20 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1604 1611 26.5% 29.8% 43.7% +0.5 11
1997-09-20 Rangers L 0-2 1605 1787 20.7% 27.4% 52.0% -6.0 5
1997-09-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1787 1605 52.0% 27.4% 20.7% +6.0 10
1997-09-21 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1575 1570 43.4% 29.8% 26.8% -0.4 8
1997-09-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1570 1575 26.8% 29.8% 43.4% +0.4 5
1997-09-24 Rangers L 0-3 1571 1793 17.7% 25.2% 57.1% -7.4 5
1997-09-24 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1793 1571 57.1% 25.2% 17.7% +7.4 13
1997-09-27 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1570 1574 42.1% 30.0% 27.9% -5.3 3
1997-09-27 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1574 1570 27.9% 30.0% 42.1% +5.3 11
1997-09-27 Celtic L 1-2 1643 1778 25.0% 29.3% 45.7% -3.6 3
1997-09-27 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1778 1643 45.7% 29.3% 25.0% +3.6 12
1997-09-27 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1605 1599 43.5% 29.8% 26.7% -0.5 12
1997-09-27 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1599 1605 26.7% 29.8% 43.5% +0.4 6
1997-09-27 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1563 1669 28.2% 30.1% 41.7% -11.5 5
1997-09-27 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1669 1563 41.7% 30.1% 28.2% +11.5 15
1997-09-27 Motherwell D 2-2 1801 1611 66.6% 20.2% 13.1% -1.1 14
1997-09-27 @ Rangers D 2-2 1611 1801 13.1% 20.2% 66.6% +1.1 8
1997-10-04 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1781 1552 71.0% 17.7% 11.3% +5.6 15
1997-10-04 @ Celtic L 0-4 1552 1781 11.3% 17.7% 71.0% -5.6 5
1997-10-04 Dundee United D 3-3 1580 1639 34.3% 30.6% 35.1% +0.0 12
1997-10-04 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-3 1639 1580 35.1% 30.6% 34.3% -0.0 4
1997-10-04 Rangers L 3-4 1604 1800 19.6% 26.7% 53.7% -2.7 12
1997-10-04 @ Hibernian W 4-3 1800 1604 53.7% 26.7% 19.6% +2.6 17
1997-10-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1612 1681 33.0% 30.6% 36.4% -10.9 8
1997-10-04 @ Motherwell W 4-1 1681 1612 36.4% 30.6% 33.0% +10.9 18
1997-10-04 Aberdeen W 1-0 1600 1565 47.5% 28.8% 23.6% +3.6 9
1997-10-04 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1565 1600 23.6% 28.8% 47.5% -3.6 3
1997-10-08 Motherwell W 2-1 1546 1601 34.9% 30.6% 34.4% +4.6 8
1997-10-08 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1601 1546 34.4% 30.6% 34.9% -4.6 8
1997-10-18 Hibernian W 2-0 1561 1602 37.0% 30.6% 32.4% +8.8 6
1997-10-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1602 1561 32.4% 30.6% 37.0% -8.8 12
1997-10-18 Motherwell W 4-0 1639 1596 48.6% 28.5% 22.9% +12.6 7
1997-10-18 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1596 1639 22.9% 28.5% 48.6% -12.6 8
1997-10-18 Celtic L 1-2 1692 1787 29.5% 30.3% 40.2% -4.1 18
1997-10-18 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1787 1692 40.2% 30.3% 29.5% +4.1 18
1997-10-18 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1551 1603 35.3% 30.6% 34.1% -4.9 8
1997-10-18 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1603 1551 34.1% 30.6% 35.3% +4.9 12
1997-10-18 Dunfermline Athletic W 7-0 1802 1580 70.2% 18.2% 11.6% +9.9 20
1997-10-18 @ Rangers L 0-7 1580 1802 11.6% 18.2% 70.2% -9.9 12
1997-10-25 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1791 1608 65.9% 20.7% 13.5% +3.7 21
1997-10-25 @ Celtic L 0-2 1608 1791 13.5% 20.7% 65.9% -3.7 12
1997-10-25 Rangers W 2-1 1652 1812 22.5% 28.4% 49.1% +5.9 10
1997-10-25 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1812 1652 49.1% 28.4% 22.5% -5.9 20
1997-10-25 Hibernian W 2-1 1546 1593 36.1% 30.6% 33.3% +4.5 11
1997-10-25 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1593 1546 33.3% 30.6% 36.1% -4.5 12
1997-10-25 Aberdeen L 1-2 1584 1570 44.7% 29.5% 25.8% -5.5 8
1997-10-25 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1570 1584 25.8% 29.5% 44.7% +5.5 9
1997-10-29 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1688 1570 58.2% 24.7% 17.1% +4.3 21
1997-10-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1570 1688 17.1% 24.7% 58.2% -4.3 12
1997-11-01 Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1575 1692 27.0% 29.9% 43.1% -9.3 9
1997-11-01 @ Aberdeen W 4-1 1692 1575 43.1% 29.9% 27.0% +9.4 24
1997-11-01 Celtic L 0-2 1566 1795 17.2% 24.8% 57.9% -5.0 12
1997-11-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1795 1566 57.9% 24.8% 17.2% +5.0 24
1997-11-01 Dundee United L 1-3 1588 1658 32.9% 30.6% 36.5% -7.7 12
1997-11-01 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1658 1588 36.5% 30.6% 32.9% +7.7 13
1997-11-01 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1806 1550 73.6% 16.1% 10.3% +3.2 23
1997-11-01 @ Rangers L 1-4 1550 1806 10.3% 16.1% 73.6% -3.2 11
1997-11-01 Motherwell W 4-3 1604 1578 46.3% 29.1% 24.5% +3.3 15
1997-11-01 @ St. Johnstone L 3-4 1578 1604 24.5% 29.1% 46.3% -3.3 8
1997-11-08 Hibernian W 2-0 1701 1581 58.5% 24.6% 16.9% +4.9 27
1997-11-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1581 1701 16.9% 24.6% 58.5% -4.9 12
1997-11-08 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1575 1547 46.6% 29.1% 24.3% -6.0 8
1997-11-08 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1547 1575 24.3% 29.1% 46.6% +6.0 14
1997-11-08 Celtic W 1-0 1809 1800 44.1% 29.7% 26.3% +4.0 26
1997-11-08 @ Rangers L 0-1 1800 1809 26.3% 29.7% 44.1% -4.0 24
1997-11-08 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1608 1561 49.2% 28.3% 22.5% -11.9 15
1997-11-08 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1561 1608 22.5% 28.3% 49.2% +11.9 15
1997-11-09 Aberdeen W 5-0 1665 1566 55.9% 25.8% 18.3% +12.5 16
1997-11-09 @ Dundee United L 0-5 1566 1665 18.3% 25.8% 55.9% -12.5 9
1997-11-15 Rangers D 1-1 1554 1813 15.4% 23.0% 61.6% +1.3 10
1997-11-15 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1813 1554 61.6% 23.0% 15.4% -1.3 27
1997-11-15 Motherwell L 0-2 1796 1569 70.7% 17.9% 11.5% -15.4 24
1997-11-15 @ Celtic W 2-0 1569 1796 11.5% 17.9% 70.7% +15.4 11
1997-11-15 Hibernian W 2-1 1573 1576 42.3% 30.0% 27.7% +3.9 18
1997-11-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1576 1573 27.7% 30.0% 42.3% -3.9 12
1997-11-15 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1706 1596 57.2% 25.2% 17.6% +2.5 30
1997-11-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1596 1706 17.6% 25.2% 57.2% -2.6 15
1997-11-15 Dundee United L 1-3 1553 1678 26.1% 29.6% 44.3% -6.4 14
1997-11-15 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1678 1553 44.3% 29.6% 26.1% +6.4 19
1997-11-19 Rangers D 1-1 1780 1812 38.3% 30.5% 31.2% -0.2 25
1997-11-19 @ Celtic D 1-1 1812 1780 31.2% 30.5% 38.3% +0.2 28
1997-11-22 Dundee United W 4-0 1780 1684 55.5% 26.0% 18.6% +10.2 28
1997-11-22 @ Celtic L 0-4 1684 1780 18.6% 26.0% 55.5% -10.2 19
1997-11-22 Aberdeen D 1-1 1576 1555 45.7% 29.3% 25.0% -0.6 19
1997-11-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1555 1576 25.0% 29.3% 45.7% +0.6 11
1997-11-22 Rangers D 1-1 1584 1812 17.3% 24.9% 57.7% +1.1 12
1997-11-22 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1812 1584 57.7% 24.9% 17.3% -1.2 29
1997-11-22 Hibernian W 1-0 1593 1572 45.7% 29.3% 25.0% +3.8 18
1997-11-22 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1572 1593 25.0% 29.3% 45.7% -3.8 12
1997-11-23 Kilmarnock W 5-3 1709 1547 63.5% 22.0% 14.5% +3.0 33
1997-11-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 3-5 1547 1709 14.5% 22.0% 63.5% -3.0 14
1997-11-29 Motherwell D 1-1 1568 1586 40.3% 30.3% 29.4% -0.3 13
1997-11-29 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1586 1568 29.4% 30.3% 40.3% +0.3 13
1997-11-29 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1544 1576 38.2% 30.5% 31.3% +4.3 17
1997-11-29 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1576 1544 31.3% 30.5% 38.2% -4.3 19
1997-11-29 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1811 1597 69.3% 18.7% 12.0% +1.5 32
1997-11-29 @ Rangers L 2-3 1597 1811 12.0% 18.7% 69.3% -1.5 18
1997-12-06 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1555 1596 37.1% 30.6% 32.4% -0.1 12
1997-12-06 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1596 1555 32.4% 30.6% 37.1% +0.1 19
1997-12-06 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1674 1572 56.3% 25.6% 18.1% -1.2 20
1997-12-06 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1572 1674 18.1% 25.6% 56.3% +1.2 20
1997-12-06 Motherwell W 2-0 1712 1586 59.2% 24.2% 16.6% +4.8 36
1997-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1586 1712 16.6% 24.2% 59.2% -4.8 13
1997-12-06 Celtic D 0-0 1548 1791 16.4% 24.1% 59.6% +1.4 18
1997-12-06 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1791 1548 59.6% 24.1% 16.4% -1.4 29
1997-12-07 Hibernian W 1-0 1813 1568 72.5% 16.8% 10.7% +1.5 35
1997-12-07 @ Rangers L 0-1 1568 1813 10.7% 16.8% 72.5% -1.5 13
1997-12-09 Celtic L 0-2 1555 1789 16.9% 24.6% 58.5% -4.9 12
1997-12-09 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1789 1555 58.5% 24.6% 16.9% +4.9 32
1997-12-09 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1673 1716 36.6% 30.6% 32.8% -0.1 21
1997-12-09 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1716 1673 32.8% 30.6% 36.6% +0.1 37
1997-12-13 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1794 1716 53.1% 26.9% 19.9% +3.1 35
1997-12-13 @ Celtic L 0-1 1716 1794 19.9% 26.9% 53.1% -3.1 37
1997-12-13 Rangers D 0-0 1573 1814 16.5% 24.1% 59.4% +1.4 21
1997-12-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1814 1573 59.4% 24.1% 16.5% -1.4 36
1997-12-13 Aberdeen D 2-2 1566 1550 45.0% 29.5% 25.6% -0.4 14
1997-12-13 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1550 1566 25.6% 29.5% 45.0% +0.4 13
1997-12-13 Dundee United W 1-0 1581 1673 30.0% 30.4% 39.7% +5.4 16
1997-12-13 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1673 1581 39.7% 30.4% 30.0% -5.4 21
1997-12-13 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1596 1549 49.1% 28.4% 22.6% -0.7 20
1997-12-13 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1549 1596 22.6% 28.4% 49.1% +0.7 19
1997-12-20 Hibernian W 5-0 1797 1566 71.1% 17.6% 11.3% +6.9 38
1997-12-20 @ Celtic L 0-5 1566 1797 11.3% 17.6% 71.1% -6.9 14
1997-12-20 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1667 1595 52.4% 27.2% 20.3% +3.0 24
1997-12-20 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1595 1667 20.3% 27.2% 52.4% -3.0 20
1997-12-20 Rangers L 2-5 1713 1813 29.0% 30.2% 40.7% -8.6 37
1997-12-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 5-2 1813 1713 40.7% 30.2% 29.0% +8.6 39
1997-12-20 Aberdeen W 1-0 1550 1551 42.6% 29.9% 27.4% +4.1 22
1997-12-20 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1551 1550 27.4% 29.9% 42.6% -4.1 13
1997-12-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1586 1574 44.4% 29.6% 26.0% +7.4 19
1997-12-20 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1574 1586 26.0% 29.6% 44.4% -7.4 21
1997-12-27 Motherwell W 3-0 1547 1594 36.1% 30.6% 33.3% +13.0 16
1997-12-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1594 1547 33.3% 30.6% 36.1% -13.0 19
1997-12-27 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1567 1705 24.7% 29.2% 46.1% -6.1 21
1997-12-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1705 1567 46.1% 29.2% 24.7% +6.1 40
1997-12-27 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1559 1554 43.4% 29.8% 26.8% -5.7 14
1997-12-27 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1554 1559 26.8% 29.8% 43.4% +5.7 25
1997-12-27 Dundee United W 4-1 1821 1670 62.2% 22.7% 15.1% +5.2 42
1997-12-27 @ Rangers L 1-4 1670 1821 15.1% 22.7% 62.2% -5.2 24
1997-12-27 Celtic W 1-0 1592 1804 18.4% 25.8% 55.8% +6.9 23
1997-12-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1804 1592 55.8% 25.8% 18.4% -6.9 38
1998-01-01 Hibernian D 2-2 1711 1553 62.9% 22.3% 14.8% -1.0 41
1998-01-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1553 1711 14.8% 22.3% 62.9% +1.0 15
1998-01-02 Rangers W 2-0 1797 1826 38.6% 30.5% 30.9% +8.5 41
1998-01-02 @ Celtic L 0-2 1826 1797 30.9% 30.5% 38.6% -8.5 42
1998-01-03 Dundee United W 1-0 1560 1665 28.3% 30.1% 41.6% +5.6 19
1998-01-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1665 1560 41.6% 30.1% 28.3% -5.6 24
1998-01-03 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1561 1599 37.3% 30.6% 32.1% -5.1 21
1998-01-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1599 1561 32.1% 30.6% 37.3% +5.1 26
1998-01-03 Motherwell W 4-1 1560 1581 39.8% 30.3% 29.8% +10.1 28
1998-01-03 @ Kilmarnock L 1-4 1581 1560 29.8% 30.3% 39.8% -10.1 19
1998-01-10 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1659 1570 54.6% 26.3% 19.0% -1.0 25
1998-01-10 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1570 1659 19.0% 26.3% 54.6% +1.0 29
1998-01-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1554 1555 42.6% 30.0% 27.5% +4.1 18
1998-01-10 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1555 1554 27.5% 30.0% 42.6% -4.1 21
1998-01-10 Celtic D 1-1 1571 1806 16.9% 24.5% 58.6% +1.2 20
1998-01-10 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1806 1571 58.6% 24.5% 16.9% -1.2 42
1998-01-10 Aberdeen W 2-0 1818 1565 73.3% 16.3% 10.4% +2.7 45
1998-01-10 @ Rangers L 0-2 1565 1818 10.4% 16.3% 73.3% -2.7 19
1998-01-12 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1604 1710 28.2% 30.1% 41.6% -3.8 26
1998-01-12 @ St. Johnstone W 3-2 1710 1604 41.6% 30.1% 28.2% +3.8 44
1998-01-17 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1558 1600 36.8% 30.6% 32.6% -5.1 18
1998-01-17 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1600 1558 32.6% 30.6% 36.8% +5.1 29
1998-01-17 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1571 1714 24.2% 29.0% 46.7% +0.5 30
1998-01-17 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1714 1571 46.7% 29.0% 24.2% -0.5 45
1998-01-17 Motherwell W 1-0 1821 1572 72.9% 16.6% 10.5% +1.4 48
1998-01-17 @ Rangers L 0-1 1572 1821 10.5% 16.6% 72.9% -1.4 20
1998-01-27 Celtic L 1-2 1658 1804 23.9% 28.9% 47.2% -3.5 25
1998-01-27 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1804 1658 47.2% 28.9% 23.9% +3.4 45
1998-01-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1563 1551 44.3% 29.6% 26.1% +7.4 22
1998-01-28 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1551 1563 26.1% 29.6% 44.3% -7.4 21
1998-01-31 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1544 1571 38.9% 30.4% 30.7% +4.0 24
1998-01-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1571 1544 30.7% 30.4% 38.9% -4.0 30
1998-01-31 Dundee United W 2-0 1713 1655 50.6% 27.9% 21.5% +6.3 48
1998-01-31 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1655 1713 21.5% 27.9% 50.6% -6.3 25
1998-01-31 Hibernian W 6-2 1570 1553 45.1% 29.4% 25.4% +9.8 23
1998-01-31 @ Motherwell L 2-6 1553 1570 25.4% 29.4% 45.1% -9.8 18
1998-01-31 Rangers W 2-0 1605 1822 18.1% 25.6% 56.4% +13.2 32
1998-01-31 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1822 1605 56.4% 25.6% 18.1% -13.2 48
1998-02-02 Aberdeen W 3-1 1808 1570 71.8% 17.2% 11.0% +2.5 48
1998-02-02 @ Celtic L 1-3 1570 1808 11.0% 17.2% 71.8% -2.5 22
1998-02-07 Hibernian W 3-0 1568 1544 46.0% 29.2% 24.7% +10.3 25
1998-02-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1544 1568 24.7% 29.2% 46.0% -10.3 18
1998-02-07 Motherwell W 1-0 1649 1580 52.0% 27.4% 20.7% +3.2 28
1998-02-07 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1580 1649 20.7% 27.4% 52.0% -3.2 23
1998-02-07 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1567 1619 35.5% 30.6% 33.9% +4.8 33
1998-02-07 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1619 1567 33.9% 30.6% 35.5% -4.8 32
1998-02-07 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1809 1548 74.1% 15.8% 10.1% -1.8 49
1998-02-07 @ Rangers D 1-1 1548 1809 10.1% 15.8% 74.1% +1.8 25
1998-02-08 Celtic D 1-1 1719 1810 30.1% 30.4% 39.5% +0.2 49
1998-02-08 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1810 1719 39.5% 30.4% 30.1% -0.2 49
1998-02-21 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1810 1572 71.8% 17.2% 11.0% +5.4 52
1998-02-21 @ Celtic L 0-4 1572 1810 11.0% 17.2% 71.8% -5.4 33
1998-02-21 Dundee United D 2-2 1550 1652 28.7% 30.2% 41.1% +0.2 26
1998-02-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1652 1550 41.1% 30.2% 28.7% -0.2 29
1998-02-21 Rangers L 1-2 1533 1807 14.6% 22.1% 63.2% -2.1 18
1998-02-21 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1807 1533 63.2% 22.1% 14.6% +2.0 52
1998-02-21 Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1577 1720 24.2% 29.0% 46.7% -5.4 23
1998-02-21 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1720 1577 46.7% 29.0% 24.2% +5.4 52
1998-02-21 Aberdeen L 0-1 1614 1578 47.7% 28.8% 23.5% -6.1 32
1998-02-21 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1578 1614 23.5% 28.8% 47.7% +6.2 28
1998-02-24 Hibernian D 1-1 1652 1531 58.5% 24.6% 16.9% -1.2 30
1998-02-24 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1531 1652 16.9% 24.6% 58.5% +1.2 19
1998-02-24 Rangers D 1-1 1567 1809 16.4% 24.1% 59.5% +1.2 34
1998-02-24 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1809 1567 59.5% 24.1% 16.4% -1.2 53
1998-02-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-1 1815 1550 74.6% 15.6% 9.9% +3.9 55
1998-02-25 @ Celtic L 1-5 1550 1815 9.9% 15.6% 74.6% -3.9 26
1998-02-25 Aberdeen W 3-1 1725 1584 61.0% 23.3% 15.7% +3.9 55
1998-02-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1584 1725 15.7% 23.3% 61.0% -3.9 28
1998-02-25 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1572 1608 37.7% 30.5% 31.8% +4.3 26
1998-02-25 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1608 1572 31.8% 30.5% 37.7% -4.3 32
1998-02-28 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1580 1568 44.4% 29.6% 26.0% -0.6 29
1998-02-28 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1568 1580 26.0% 29.6% 44.4% +0.6 35
1998-02-28 Celtic L 0-1 1532 1819 13.9% 21.3% 64.8% -2.0 19
1998-02-28 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1819 1532 64.8% 21.3% 13.9% +2.1 58
1998-02-28 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1808 1729 53.3% 26.9% 19.8% -0.7 54
1998-02-28 @ Rangers D 2-2 1729 1808 19.8% 26.9% 53.3% +0.7 56
1998-02-28 Dundee United D 1-1 1603 1651 36.1% 30.6% 33.3% -0.1 33
1998-02-28 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1651 1603 33.3% 30.6% 36.1% +0.1 31
1998-03-07 Motherwell W 2-1 1546 1576 38.5% 30.5% 31.0% +4.2 29
1998-03-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1576 1546 31.0% 30.5% 38.5% -4.2 26
1998-03-14 Aberdeen D 3-3 1550 1580 38.6% 30.5% 30.9% -0.1 30
1998-03-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-3 1580 1550 30.9% 30.5% 38.6% +0.1 30
1998-03-14 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1730 1569 63.3% 22.1% 14.6% -1.4 57
1998-03-14 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1569 1730 14.6% 22.1% 63.3% +1.4 36
1998-03-14 Rangers W 2-1 1572 1807 16.8% 24.5% 58.7% +6.8 29
1998-03-14 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1807 1572 58.7% 24.5% 16.8% -6.8 54
1998-03-14 Hibernian D 1-1 1603 1530 52.5% 27.2% 20.3% -0.9 34
1998-03-14 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1530 1603 20.3% 27.2% 52.5% +0.9 20
1998-03-15 Dundee United D 1-1 1821 1651 64.5% 21.4% 14.1% -1.5 59
1998-03-15 @ Celtic D 1-1 1651 1821 14.1% 21.4% 64.5% +1.5 32
1998-03-21 Celtic L 0-1 1580 1820 16.5% 24.2% 59.3% -2.5 30
1998-03-21 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1820 1580 59.3% 24.2% 16.5% +2.5 62
1998-03-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1652 1728 32.0% 30.6% 37.5% -4.6 32
1998-03-21 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1728 1652 37.5% 30.6% 32.0% +4.6 60
1998-03-21 Motherwell W 1-0 1531 1578 36.1% 30.6% 33.3% +4.7 23
1998-03-21 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1578 1531 33.3% 30.6% 36.1% -4.7 29
1998-03-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1570 1550 45.5% 29.4% 25.2% +10.5 39
1998-03-21 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1550 1570 25.2% 29.4% 45.5% -10.5 30
1998-03-21 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1800 1602 67.5% 19.7% 12.7% +1.7 57
1998-03-21 @ Rangers L 1-2 1602 1800 12.7% 19.7% 67.5% -1.7 34
1998-03-28 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1822 1733 54.7% 26.3% 19.0% -1.1 63
1998-03-28 @ Celtic D 0-0 1733 1822 19.0% 26.3% 54.7% +1.1 61
1998-03-28 Rangers L 2-3 1540 1802 15.2% 22.8% 61.9% -2.0 30
1998-03-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1802 1540 61.9% 22.8% 15.2% +2.0 60
1998-03-28 Aberdeen D 1-1 1536 1577 36.9% 30.6% 32.5% -0.1 24
1998-03-28 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1577 1536 32.5% 30.6% 36.9% +0.1 31
1998-03-28 Dundee United W 1-0 1574 1647 32.3% 30.6% 37.1% +5.1 32
1998-03-28 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1647 1574 37.1% 30.6% 32.3% -5.1 32
1998-03-28 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1601 1580 45.5% 29.3% 25.1% +3.8 37
1998-03-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1580 1601 25.1% 29.3% 45.5% -3.8 39
1998-04-01 Hibernian W 3-0 1804 1536 74.8% 15.4% 9.8% +3.6 63
1998-04-01 @ Rangers L 0-3 1536 1804 9.8% 15.4% 74.8% -3.6 24
1998-04-04 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1577 1604 38.9% 30.4% 30.6% -5.3 31
1998-04-04 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1604 1577 30.6% 30.4% 38.9% +5.3 40
1998-04-07 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1642 1538 56.6% 25.5% 18.0% -0.8 33
1998-04-07 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1538 1642 18.0% 25.5% 56.6% +0.8 31
1998-04-08 Motherwell D 1-1 1734 1579 62.7% 22.4% 14.9% -1.4 62
1998-04-08 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1579 1734 14.9% 22.4% 62.7% +1.4 33
1998-04-08 Celtic L 1-2 1577 1821 16.3% 23.9% 59.8% -2.3 39
1998-04-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1821 1577 59.8% 23.9% 16.3% +2.3 66
1998-04-11 Aberdeen D 0-0 1642 1572 52.1% 27.3% 20.6% -1.0 34
1998-04-11 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1572 1642 20.6% 27.3% 52.1% +1.0 32
1998-04-11 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1532 1733 19.2% 26.5% 54.3% +6.4 27
1998-04-11 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1733 1532 54.3% 26.5% 19.2% -6.4 62
1998-04-11 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1580 1574 43.6% 29.8% 26.7% -0.5 34
1998-04-11 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1574 1580 26.7% 29.8% 43.6% +0.5 40
1998-04-11 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1610 1538 52.3% 27.3% 20.4% -1.0 41
1998-04-11 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1538 1610 20.4% 27.3% 52.3% +1.0 32
1998-04-12 Celtic W 2-0 1808 1824 40.5% 30.3% 29.2% +8.1 66
1998-04-12 @ Rangers L 0-2 1824 1808 29.2% 30.3% 40.5% -8.1 66
1998-04-18 Motherwell W 4-1 1816 1580 71.6% 17.3% 11.1% +3.5 69
1998-04-18 @ Celtic L 1-4 1580 1816 11.1% 17.3% 71.6% -3.5 34
1998-04-18 Hibernian D 1-1 1539 1539 42.9% 29.9% 27.2% -0.4 33
1998-04-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1539 1539 27.2% 29.9% 42.9% +0.4 28
1998-04-18 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1726 1609 58.1% 24.7% 17.1% -1.2 63
1998-04-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1609 1726 17.1% 24.7% 58.1% +1.2 42
1998-04-18 Dundee United W 1-0 1575 1641 33.4% 30.6% 36.0% +5.0 43
1998-04-18 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1641 1575 36.0% 30.6% 33.4% -5.0 34
1998-04-19 Rangers W 1-0 1573 1816 16.4% 24.0% 59.6% +7.3 35
1998-04-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1816 1573 59.6% 24.0% 16.4% -7.3 66
1998-04-25 Hibernian D 0-0 1819 1539 75.9% 14.7% 9.3% -2.1 70
1998-04-25 @ Celtic D 0-0 1539 1819 9.3% 14.7% 75.9% +2.1 29
1998-04-25 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1636 1610 46.3% 29.2% 24.6% -11.3 34
1998-04-25 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1610 1636 24.6% 29.2% 46.3% +11.3 45
1998-04-25 Rangers L 0-3 1725 1809 31.0% 30.5% 38.5% -12.3 63
1998-04-25 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1809 1725 38.5% 30.5% 31.0% +12.3 69
1998-04-25 Aberdeen W 2-1 1580 1580 42.7% 29.9% 27.4% +3.9 46
1998-04-25 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1580 1580 27.4% 29.9% 42.7% -3.9 35
1998-04-25 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1576 1539 47.8% 28.7% 23.4% -10.1 34
1998-04-25 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1539 1576 23.4% 28.7% 47.8% +10.1 36
1998-05-02 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1576 1713 24.9% 29.3% 45.9% +0.4 36
1998-05-02 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1713 1576 45.9% 29.3% 24.9% -0.4 64
1998-05-02 Dundee United L 1-2 1541 1624 31.1% 30.5% 38.4% -4.3 29
1998-05-02 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1624 1541 38.4% 30.5% 31.1% +4.2 37
1998-05-02 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1821 1584 71.7% 17.2% 11.0% -8.2 69
1998-05-02 @ Rangers W 1-0 1584 1821 11.0% 17.2% 71.7% +8.2 49
1998-05-02 Motherwell W 3-2 1621 1566 50.2% 28.0% 21.8% +3.0 48
1998-05-02 @ St. Johnstone L 2-3 1566 1621 21.8% 28.0% 50.2% -3.0 34
1998-05-03 Celtic D 1-1 1549 1817 14.9% 22.5% 62.6% +1.4 37
1998-05-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1817 1549 62.6% 22.5% 14.9% -1.4 71
1998-05-09 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1816 1624 66.8% 20.1% 13.1% +3.6 74
1998-05-09 @ Celtic L 0-2 1624 1816 13.1% 20.1% 66.8% -3.6 48
1998-05-09 Rangers L 1-2 1628 1813 20.5% 27.3% 52.2% -3.0 37
1998-05-09 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1813 1628 52.2% 27.3% 20.5% +3.0 72
1998-05-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1712 1551 63.4% 22.0% 14.5% +4.1 67
1998-05-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1551 1712 14.5% 22.0% 63.4% -4.1 37
1998-05-09 Hibernian D 1-1 1592 1537 50.2% 28.0% 21.8% -0.8 50
1998-05-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1537 1592 21.8% 28.0% 50.2% +0.8 30
1998-05-09 Aberdeen L 1-2 1563 1577 40.8% 30.2% 28.9% -5.2 34
1998-05-09 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1577 1563 28.9% 30.2% 40.8% +5.2 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-05-02 11.01% Kilmarnock 1584 1 @ Rangers 1821 0
2 1997-11-15 11.45% Motherwell 1569 2 @ Celtic 1796 0
3 1997-08-16 12.57% Dunfermline Athletic 1570 2 @ Celtic 1772 1
4 1998-04-19 16.38% @ Aberdeen 1573 1 Rangers 1816 0
5 1998-03-14 16.84% @ Motherwell 1572 2 Rangers 1807 1
6 1998-01-31 18.08% @ St. Johnstone 1605 2 Rangers 1822 0
7 1997-12-27 18.40% @ St. Johnstone 1592 1 Celtic 1804 0
8 1997-09-13 19.08% Kilmarnock 1564 2 @ Dundee United 1653 1
9 1998-04-11 19.24% @ Hibernian 1532 2 Heart of Midlothian 1733 1
10 1997-08-03 19.38% @ Hibernian 1580 2 Celtic 1778 1
11 1997-11-08 22.50% Dunfermline Athletic 1561 2 @ St. Johnstone 1608 0
12 1997-10-25 22.53% @ Dundee United 1652 2 Rangers 1812 1
13 1998-04-25 23.43% Dunfermline Athletic 1539 3 @ Motherwell 1576 1
14 1998-02-21 23.54% Aberdeen 1578 1 @ St. Johnstone 1614 0
15 1997-11-08 24.32% Kilmarnock 1547 1 @ Motherwell 1575 0
16 1998-04-25 24.57% St. Johnstone 1610 2 @ Dundee United 1636 0
17 1997-10-25 25.77% Aberdeen 1570 2 @ Motherwell 1584 1
18 1997-12-27 26.77% Kilmarnock 1554 1 @ Hibernian 1559 0
19 1997-08-16 27.28% St. Johnstone 1611 1 @ Motherwell 1611 0
20 1997-09-27 27.85% Dunfermline Athletic 1574 2 @ Aberdeen 1570 1
21 1998-01-03 28.29% @ Aberdeen 1560 1 Dundee United 1665 0
22 1998-05-09 28.94% Aberdeen 1577 2 @ Motherwell 1563 1
23 1997-08-02 29.80% Motherwell 1601 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1581 0
24 1997-12-13 29.97% @ Motherwell 1581 1 Dundee United 1673 0
25 1997-08-23 30.33% Motherwell 1606 3 @ Aberdeen 1581 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-11-15 15.40 Motherwell 2 1569 11.45% @ Celtic 0 1796 70.65% 17.90%
2 1997-08-23 14.19 @ Hibernian 4 1587 44.01% Kilmarnock 0 1578 26.30% 29.69%
3 1998-01-31 13.16 @ St. Johnstone 2 1605 18.08% Rangers 0 1822 56.36% 25.57%
4 1997-12-27 12.99 @ Aberdeen 3 1547 36.07% Motherwell 0 1594 33.31% 30.62%
5 1997-10-18 12.60 @ Dundee United 4 1639 48.57% Motherwell 0 1596 22.91% 28.53%
6 1997-11-09 12.45 @ Dundee United 5 1665 55.90% Aberdeen 0 1566 18.33% 25.77%
7 1998-04-25 12.34 Rangers 3 1809 38.51% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1725 31.01% 30.48%
8 1997-11-08 11.88 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1561 22.50% @ St. Johnstone 0 1608 49.16% 28.35%
9 1997-09-27 11.49 Heart of Midlothian 3 1669 41.69% @ Kilmarnock 0 1563 28.21% 30.10%
10 1998-04-25 11.35 St. Johnstone 2 1610 24.57% @ Dundee United 0 1636 46.26% 29.17%
11 1997-10-04 10.88 Heart of Midlothian 4 1681 36.41% @ Motherwell 1 1612 32.98% 30.61%
12 1998-03-21 10.46 @ Kilmarnock 3 1570 45.48% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1550 25.16% 29.36%
13 1998-02-07 10.32 @ Aberdeen 3 1568 46.04% Hibernian 0 1544 24.74% 29.23%
14 1997-11-22 10.24 @ Celtic 4 1780 55.48% Dundee United 0 1684 18.57% 25.96%
15 1997-08-02 10.16 Motherwell 2 1601 29.80% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1581 39.85% 30.35%
16 1998-01-03 10.11 @ Kilmarnock 4 1560 39.80% Motherwell 1 1581 29.84% 30.35%
17 1998-04-25 10.08 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1539 23.43% @ Motherwell 1 1576 47.83% 28.75%
18 1997-10-18 9.88 @ Rangers 7 1802 70.19% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1580 11.64% 18.17%
19 1998-01-31 9.76 @ Motherwell 6 1570 45.10% Hibernian 2 1553 25.45% 29.45%
20 1997-11-01 9.36 Heart of Midlothian 4 1692 43.15% @ Aberdeen 1 1575 27.00% 29.86%
21 1997-10-18 8.77 @ Aberdeen 2 1561 37.01% Hibernian 0 1602 32.41% 30.58%
22 1997-08-23 8.70 Motherwell 3 1606 30.33% @ Aberdeen 1 1581 39.25% 30.41%
23 1997-12-20 8.58 Rangers 5 1813 40.74% @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1713 29.02% 30.24%
24 1998-01-02 8.48 @ Celtic 2 1797 38.60% Rangers 0 1826 30.92% 30.47%
25 1998-05-02 8.25 Kilmarnock 1 1584 11.01% @ Rangers 0 1821 71.74% 17.25%