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1996-97 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee United

11.71 points above expected

60 points · 48.29 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Raith Rovers

8.80 points below expected

25 points · 33.80 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 25 5 6 80 85 33 +52 78.36 +1.64
2 Celtic 36 23 6 7 75 78 32 +46 75.96 -0.96
3 Dundee United 36 17 9 10 60 46 33 +13 48.29 +11.71
4 Heart of Midlothian 36 14 10 12 52 46 43 +3 54.13 -2.13
5 Dunfermline Athletic 36 12 9 15 45 52 65 -13 36.31 +8.69
6 Aberdeen 36 10 14 12 44 45 54 -9 51.47 -7.47
7 Kilmarnock 36 11 6 19 39 41 61 -20 39.34 -0.34
8 Motherwell 36 9 11 16 38 44 55 -11 41.76 -3.76
9 Hibernian 36 9 11 16 38 38 55 -17 39.43 -1.43
10 Raith Rovers 36 6 7 23 25 29 73 -44 33.80 -8.80

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1819 80 78.36 +1.64 61.6% 50 67 74 79 83 89 102
Celtic 1817 75 75.96 -0.96 46.5% 49 64 71 76 81 87 99
Dundee United 1653 60 48.29 +11.71 95.1% 23 36 43 48 53 60 76
Heart of Midlothian 1648 52 54.13 -2.13 41.5% 26 42 49 54 59 66 84
Motherwell 1561 38 41.76 -3.76 33.1% 18 30 37 42 47 54 70
Aberdeen 1545 44 51.47 -7.47 17.9% 26 39 46 52 56 64 78
Dunfermline Athletic 1534 45 36.31 +8.69 90.3% 7 25 31 36 41 48 61
Hibernian 1531 38 39.43 -1.43 45.2% 11 28 35 39 44 51 68
Kilmarnock 1529 39 39.34 -0.34 51.4% 14 28 35 39 44 51 69
Raith Rovers 1399 25 33.80 -8.80 11.2% 12 23 29 34 38 45 68

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU DA HOM HIB KIL MOT RR RAN
Aberdeen —
0-1-3
3.02
0-2-2
6.04
2-0-2
7.21
2-2-0
4.85
1-1-2
7.00
2-1-1
6.78
0-4-0
6.63
3-1-0
7.48
0-2-2
2.60
Celtic
3-1-0
8.10
 —
3-0-1
8.42
3-1-0
9.33
2-2-0
8.07
4-0-0
9.04
2-1-1
9.15
3-0-1
9.04
3-1-0
9.54
0-0-4
5.23
Dundee United
2-2-0
4.96
1-0-3
2.72
 —
2-2-0
6.68
3-0-1
4.86
0-2-2
6.89
3-1-0
6.51
2-2-0
6.03
2-0-2
7.03
2-0-2
2.62
Dunfermline Athletic
2-0-2
3.82
0-1-3
1.96
0-2-2
4.32
 —
1-1-2
3.71
1-2-1
5.12
2-1-1
5.01
2-2-0
4.82
4-0-0
5.80
0-0-4
1.84
Heart of Midlothian
0-2-2
6.14
0-2-2
3.03
1-0-3
6.14
2-1-1
7.32
 —
3-1-0
6.85
2-0-2
7.28
3-1-0
6.76
2-2-0
7.85
1-1-2
2.73
Hibernian
2-1-1
4.03
0-0-4
2.20
2-2-0
4.13
1-2-1
5.86
0-1-3
4.17
 —
0-1-3
5.55
1-2-1
5.26
2-2-0
6.35
1-0-3
1.86
Kilmarnock
1-1-2
4.24
1-1-2
2.10
0-1-3
4.48
1-1-2
5.98
2-0-2
3.75
3-1-0
5.42
 —
1-0-3
5.31
1-0-3
6.20
1-1-2
1.88
Motherwell
0-4-0
4.38
1-0-3
2.19
0-2-2
4.96
0-2-2
6.17
0-1-3
4.24
1-2-1
5.71
3-0-1
5.67
 —
3-0-1
6.18
1-0-3
2.18
Raith Rovers
0-1-3
3.58
0-1-3
1.78
2-0-2
4.03
0-0-4
5.17
0-2-2
3.24
0-2-2
4.63
3-0-1
4.78
1-0-3
4.81
 —
0-1-3
1.74
Rangers
2-2-0
8.57
4-0-0
5.74
2-0-2
8.55
4-0-0
9.48
2-1-1
8.41
3-0-1
9.45
2-1-1
9.43
3-0-1
9.07
3-1-0
9.60
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +9.3
Allowed 0.82 -10.9
Differential 0.98 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.11%8.89%5.83%3.06%1.94%1.67%27.50%
18.89%11.11%6.67%3.89%1.67%0.56%32.78%
25.83%6.67%6.67%1.94%1.11%0.28%22.50%
33.06%3.89%1.94%0.56%0.28%—9.72%
41.94%1.67%1.11%0.28%——5.00%
5+1.67%0.56%0.28%———2.50%
Total27.50%32.78%22.50%9.72%5.00%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.97
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%—38.89%
15.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
22.78%5.56%16.67%———25.00%
35.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%22.22%27.78%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.50 -0.25
SD 1.25 1.23 1.95
CV 1.00 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
111.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
28.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
5+8.33%2.78%————11.11%
Total38.89%36.11%22.22%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 0.89 +1.28
SD 1.63 0.85 2.02
CV 0.75 0.96 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
116.67%16.67%5.56%———38.89%
211.11%8.33%—2.78%——22.22%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%44.44%11.11%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.92 +0.36
SD 1.06 0.91 1.38
CV 0.83 0.99 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%—19.44%
12.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%—2.78%30.56%
25.56%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%36.11%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%36.11%22.22%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.81 -0.36
SD 0.97 1.35 1.81
CV 0.67 0.75 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
18.33%8.33%11.11%—2.78%—30.56%
28.33%2.78%5.56%———16.67%
3—5.56%8.33%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%27.78%30.56%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.19 +0.08
SD 1.23 1.12 1.70
CV 0.97 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%——5.56%2.78%25.00%
18.33%22.22%11.11%8.33%2.78%—52.78%
28.33%2.78%——2.78%—13.89%
32.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%11.11%8.33%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.53 -0.47
SD 0.86 1.48 1.78
CV 0.81 0.97 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%30.56%
18.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
25.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%5.56%—30.56%
32.78%—————2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%27.78%25.00%13.89%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.69 -0.56
SD 0.99 1.43 1.78
CV 0.87 0.84 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%8.33%——5.56%36.11%
12.78%16.67%—8.33%2.78%—30.56%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%—————2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total19.44%41.67%19.44%11.11%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.53 -0.31
SD 1.35 1.32 2.08
CV 1.11 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%38.89%
18.33%11.11%13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%44.44%
2—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%30.56%30.56%11.11%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.03 -1.22
SD 0.79 1.48 1.76
CV 0.98 0.73 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
116.67%2.78%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%2.78%8.33%———13.89%
38.33%11.11%————19.44%
48.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
5+5.56%—2.78%———8.33%
Total44.44%25.00%25.00%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.92 +1.44
SD 1.61 0.97 1.96
CV 0.68 1.06 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 60 48.29 +11.71
2 Dunfermline Athletic 45 36.31 +8.69
3 Rangers 80 78.36 +1.64
4 Kilmarnock 39 39.34 -0.34
5 Celtic 75 75.96 -0.96

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Raith Rovers 25 33.80 -8.80
2 Aberdeen 44 51.47 -7.47
3 Motherwell 38 41.76 -3.76
4 Heart of Midlothian 52 54.13 -2.13
5 Hibernian 38 39.43 -1.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 4 Mar 11 – Apr 5 1 in 1,156
2 Dundee United 7 Dec 26 – Feb 1 1 in 875
3 Rangers 7 Aug 10 – Sep 28 1 in 29
4 Heart of Midlothian 4 Dec 26 – Jan 4 1 in 19
5 Hibernian 2 Sep 14 – Sep 21 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 5 Jan 21 – Mar 5 1 in 42
2 Dundee United 5 Aug 17 – Sep 21 1 in 35
3 Raith Rovers 5 Aug 10 – Sep 14 1 in 28
4 Celtic 2 Mar 11 – Mar 16 1 in 27
5 Motherwell 4 Dec 21 – Jan 4 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 13 Dec 26 – Mar 22 1 in 216
2 Kilmarnock 5 Mar 11 – Apr 19 1 in 63
3 Motherwell 5 Apr 5 – May 10 1 in 28
4 Raith Rovers 4 Nov 23 – Dec 11 1 in 17
5 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Aug 24 – Sep 14 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 4 Mar 11 – Apr 5 1 in 59
2 Heart of Midlothian 6 Nov 16 – Dec 21 1 in 29
3 Aberdeen 9 Feb 8 – Apr 20 1 in 28
4 Hibernian 10 Dec 26 – Mar 1 1 in 28
5 Motherwell 6 Dec 11 – Jan 4 1 in 9

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers59.97%38.30%1.61%0.09%0.03%—————
Celtic39.64%57.32%2.57%0.43%0.04%—————
Dundee United0.04%0.48%17.14%23.70%22.71%15.84%10.12%5.59%2.98%1.40%
Heart of Midlothian0.27%2.31%43.37%25.80%14.91%7.05%3.73%1.67%0.63%0.26%
Dunfermline Athletic——0.56%2.34%6.03%10.25%15.06%18.88%23.35%23.53%
Aberdeen0.08%1.45%27.06%28.78%19.34%11.53%6.21%3.37%1.64%0.54%
Kilmarnock—0.04%1.60%4.87%9.27%15.44%18.50%19.29%18.20%12.79%
Motherwell—0.07%3.79%8.05%14.77%18.79%18.44%16.39%12.06%7.64%
Hibernian—0.03%1.93%4.90%10.16%15.17%17.89%19.58%17.25%13.09%
Raith Rovers——0.37%1.04%2.74%5.93%10.05%15.23%23.89%40.75%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.44%
Slight Edge
45.00%24.44%30.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 50.54 Elo pts.
186 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.37 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
60%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Photo Finish
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.72 * Some Luck: 5.72 to 8.58 * Lucky: 8.58 to 11.45 * Wild Swing: 11.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.93 * Close: 0.93 to 1.39 * Off: 1.39 to 1.86 * Way Off: 1.86 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.08 points
Some Luck
07.1518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Off
01.162.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.08%
Dundee United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
11.22%
Raith Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.93
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.72
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.087
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Celtic 100% — —
Rangers 100% — —
Heart of Midlothian 99.11% 0.63% 0.26%
Aberdeen 97.82% 1.64% 0.54%
Dundee United 95.62% 2.98% 1.40%
Motherwell 80.30% 12.06% 7.64%
Kilmarnock 69.01% 18.20% 12.79%
Hibernian 69.66% 17.25% 13.09%
Dunfermline Athletic 53.12% 23.35% 23.53%
Raith Rovers 35.36% 23.89% 40.75%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1996-08-10 Celtic D 2-2 1624 1789 23.3% 24.6% 52.0% +0.9 1
1996-08-10 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1789 1624 52.0% 24.6% 23.3% -0.9 1
1996-08-10 Motherwell D 1-1 1545 1552 43.5% 25.7% 30.8% -0.5 1
1996-08-10 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1552 1545 30.8% 25.7% 43.5% +0.5 1
1996-08-10 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1530 1547 42.2% 25.8% 32.0% -8.1 0
1996-08-10 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1547 1530 32.0% 25.8% 42.2% +8.1 3
1996-08-10 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1777 1546 69.9% 18.9% 11.2% +2.5 3
1996-08-10 @ Rangers L 0-1 1546 1777 11.2% 18.9% 69.9% -2.5 0
1996-08-17 Raith Rovers W 4-1 1788 1543 71.1% 18.4% 10.5% +5.5 4
1996-08-17 @ Celtic L 1-4 1543 1788 10.5% 18.4% 71.1% -5.5 0
1996-08-17 Hibernian L 0-1 1544 1522 47.3% 25.3% 27.3% -9.4 1
1996-08-17 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1522 1544 27.3% 25.3% 47.3% +9.4 3
1996-08-17 Rangers L 2-5 1481 1780 13.1% 20.4% 66.5% -6.0 0
1996-08-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-2 1780 1481 66.5% 20.4% 13.1% +6.0 6
1996-08-17 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1645 1555 55.8% 23.8% 20.3% +4.2 3
1996-08-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1555 1645 20.3% 23.8% 55.8% -4.2 3
1996-08-17 Aberdeen D 2-2 1552 1625 34.2% 25.9% 39.9% +0.2 2
1996-08-17 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1625 1552 39.9% 25.9% 34.2% -0.2 2
1996-08-24 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1532 1475 51.8% 24.7% 23.5% -1.4 4
1996-08-24 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1475 1532 23.5% 24.7% 51.8% +1.4 1
1996-08-24 Celtic L 1-3 1550 1793 16.7% 22.4% 60.9% -6.3 3
1996-08-24 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1793 1550 60.9% 22.4% 16.7% +6.3 7
1996-08-24 Motherwell L 0-3 1538 1552 42.5% 25.8% 31.8% -23.5 0
1996-08-24 @ Raith Rovers W 3-0 1552 1538 31.8% 25.8% 42.5% +23.5 5
1996-08-24 Dundee United W 1-0 1786 1535 71.6% 18.1% 10.3% +2.3 9
1996-08-24 @ Rangers L 0-1 1535 1786 10.3% 18.1% 71.6% -2.3 1
1996-08-25 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1625 1650 41.0% 25.8% 33.1% +25.5 5
1996-08-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1650 1625 33.1% 25.8% 41.0% -25.5 3
1996-09-07 Hibernian W 5-0 1800 1530 73.2% 17.4% 9.5% +9.2 10
1996-09-07 @ Celtic L 0-5 1530 1800 9.5% 17.4% 73.2% -9.2 4
1996-09-07 Dundee United W 1-0 1624 1533 55.9% 23.8% 20.3% +4.7 6
1996-09-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1533 1624 20.3% 23.8% 55.9% -4.7 1
1996-09-07 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1544 1476 53.2% 24.4% 22.4% -1.0 4
1996-09-07 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1476 1544 22.4% 24.4% 53.2% +1.0 2
1996-09-07 Rangers L 0-1 1576 1788 19.0% 23.4% 57.6% -4.4 5
1996-09-07 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1788 1576 57.6% 23.4% 19.0% +4.4 12
1996-09-07 Aberdeen L 1-4 1514 1650 26.4% 25.2% 48.4% -13.7 0
1996-09-07 @ Raith Rovers W 4-1 1650 1514 48.4% 25.2% 26.4% +13.7 8
1996-09-10 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1477 1629 24.6% 24.9% 50.5% +9.3 5
1996-09-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1629 1477 50.5% 24.9% 24.6% -9.3 6
1996-09-14 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1664 1543 59.2% 22.9% 17.9% +11.4 11
1996-09-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1543 1664 17.9% 22.9% 59.2% -11.4 4
1996-09-14 Celtic L 1-2 1528 1809 14.1% 21.1% 64.8% -3.1 1
1996-09-14 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1809 1528 64.8% 21.1% 14.1% +3.1 13
1996-09-14 Motherwell D 1-1 1486 1571 32.6% 25.8% 41.6% +0.4 6
1996-09-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1571 1486 41.6% 25.8% 32.6% -0.4 6
1996-09-14 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1521 1501 47.2% 25.4% 27.5% +6.1 7
1996-09-14 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1501 1521 27.5% 25.4% 47.2% -6.1 0
1996-09-14 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1792 1619 64.5% 21.2% 14.3% +9.1 15
1996-09-14 @ Rangers L 0-3 1619 1792 14.3% 21.2% 64.5% -9.1 6
1996-09-21 Hibernian L 0-2 1675 1527 62.1% 22.0% 15.9% -22.2 11
1996-09-21 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1527 1675 15.9% 22.0% 62.1% +22.2 10
1996-09-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-1 1812 1487 77.5% 15.1% 7.4% +4.7 16
1996-09-21 @ Celtic L 1-5 1487 1812 7.4% 15.1% 77.5% -4.7 6
1996-09-21 Motherwell D 1-1 1610 1571 49.6% 25.0% 25.4% -1.0 7
1996-09-21 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1571 1610 25.4% 25.0% 49.6% +1.0 7
1996-09-21 Rangers L 1-4 1532 1801 14.8% 21.5% 63.7% -8.0 4
1996-09-21 @ Kilmarnock W 4-1 1801 1532 63.7% 21.5% 14.8% +8.0 18
1996-09-21 Dundee United W 3-2 1495 1525 40.3% 25.9% 33.9% +6.5 3
1996-09-21 @ Raith Rovers L 2-3 1525 1495 33.9% 25.9% 40.3% -6.5 1
1996-09-28 Aberdeen W 1-0 1518 1653 26.5% 25.2% 48.3% +9.5 4
1996-09-28 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1653 1518 48.3% 25.2% 26.5% -9.5 11
1996-09-28 Raith Rovers W 3-1 1482 1501 41.8% 25.8% 32.4% +11.4 9
1996-09-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1501 1482 32.4% 25.8% 41.8% -11.4 3
1996-09-28 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1549 1609 36.0% 25.9% 38.0% -12.4 10
1996-09-28 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1609 1549 38.0% 25.9% 36.0% +12.4 10
1996-09-28 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1572 1524 50.7% 24.9% 24.4% +5.6 10
1996-09-28 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1524 1572 24.4% 24.9% 50.7% -5.5 4
1996-09-28 Celtic W 2-0 1809 1817 43.5% 25.7% 30.8% +12.7 21
1996-09-28 @ Rangers L 0-2 1817 1809 30.8% 25.7% 43.5% -12.7 16
1996-10-12 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1644 1493 62.3% 22.0% 15.8% +10.0 14
1996-10-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1493 1644 15.8% 22.0% 62.3% -10.0 9
1996-10-12 Motherwell W 1-0 1804 1578 69.5% 19.1% 11.4% +2.6 19
1996-10-12 @ Celtic L 0-1 1578 1804 11.4% 19.1% 69.5% -2.6 10
1996-10-12 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1528 1518 45.7% 25.5% 28.7% -0.8 5
1996-10-12 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1518 1528 28.7% 25.5% 45.7% +0.8 5
1996-10-12 Rangers W 2-1 1537 1822 13.9% 20.9% 65.2% +11.6 13
1996-10-12 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1822 1537 65.2% 20.9% 13.9% -11.6 21
1996-10-12 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1490 1622 26.8% 25.3% 47.9% +0.9 4
1996-10-12 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1622 1490 47.9% 25.3% 26.8% -0.9 11
1996-10-19 Dundee United D 1-1 1483 1527 38.3% 25.9% 35.8% -0.1 10
1996-10-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1527 1483 35.8% 25.9% 38.3% +0.1 6
1996-10-19 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1519 1491 48.2% 25.2% 26.6% +5.6 8
1996-10-19 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1491 1519 26.6% 25.2% 48.2% -5.6 4
1996-10-19 Hibernian D 1-1 1575 1549 47.9% 25.3% 26.8% -0.9 11
1996-10-19 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1549 1575 26.8% 25.3% 47.9% +0.9 14
1996-10-19 Aberdeen D 2-2 1811 1654 62.9% 21.7% 15.3% -1.6 22
1996-10-19 @ Rangers D 2-2 1654 1811 15.3% 21.7% 62.9% +1.6 15
1996-10-20 Celtic D 2-2 1621 1807 21.3% 24.1% 54.6% +1.1 12
1996-10-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1807 1621 54.6% 24.1% 21.3% -1.1 20
1996-10-26 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1655 1485 64.3% 21.2% 14.5% +3.4 18
1996-10-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1485 1655 14.5% 21.2% 64.3% -3.4 4
1996-10-26 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1527 1622 31.3% 25.7% 43.0% +8.7 9
1996-10-26 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1622 1527 43.0% 25.7% 31.3% -8.7 12
1996-10-26 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1483 1525 38.7% 25.9% 35.4% +7.1 13
1996-10-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1525 1483 35.4% 25.9% 38.7% -7.1 8
1996-10-26 Celtic L 0-4 1550 1805 15.8% 22.0% 62.3% -13.1 14
1996-10-26 @ Hibernian W 4-0 1805 1550 62.3% 22.0% 15.8% +13.1 23
1996-10-26 Motherwell W 5-0 1809 1574 70.3% 18.8% 11.0% +10.9 25
1996-10-26 @ Rangers L 0-5 1574 1809 11.0% 18.8% 70.3% -10.9 11
1996-11-01 Hibernian W 4-2 1518 1536 41.8% 25.8% 32.4% +10.2 11
1996-11-01 @ Kilmarnock L 2-4 1536 1518 32.4% 25.8% 41.8% -10.2 14
1996-11-02 Aberdeen W 1-0 1819 1659 63.2% 21.6% 15.1% +3.5 26
1996-11-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1659 1819 15.1% 21.6% 63.2% -3.5 18
1996-11-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1613 1490 59.4% 22.9% 17.7% +7.8 15
1996-11-02 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1490 1613 17.7% 22.9% 59.4% -7.8 13
1996-11-02 Dundee United L 1-3 1563 1536 48.1% 25.2% 26.7% -15.5 11
1996-11-02 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1536 1563 26.7% 25.2% 48.1% +15.5 12
1996-11-02 Rangers D 2-2 1482 1820 11.1% 18.8% 70.1% +2.0 5
1996-11-02 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1820 1482 70.1% 18.8% 11.1% -2.0 26
1996-11-11 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1548 1621 34.2% 25.9% 40.0% -13.7 11
1996-11-11 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1621 1548 40.0% 25.9% 34.2% +13.7 18
1996-11-14 Rangers L 0-1 1822 1818 45.0% 25.6% 29.4% -9.0 26
1996-11-14 @ Celtic W 1-0 1818 1822 29.4% 25.6% 45.0% +9.0 29
1996-11-16 Dundee United D 3-3 1655 1551 57.3% 23.5% 19.2% -1.1 19
1996-11-16 @ Aberdeen D 3-3 1551 1655 19.2% 23.5% 57.3% +1.0 13
1996-11-16 Hibernian D 0-0 1635 1526 57.8% 23.3% 18.9% -1.9 19
1996-11-16 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1526 1635 18.9% 23.3% 57.8% +1.9 15
1996-11-16 Motherwell L 2-4 1528 1534 43.6% 25.7% 30.7% -12.8 11
1996-11-16 @ Kilmarnock W 4-2 1534 1528 30.7% 25.7% 43.6% +12.8 14
1996-11-16 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1484 1482 44.6% 25.6% 29.8% -8.4 5
1996-11-16 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1482 1484 29.8% 25.6% 44.6% +8.4 16
1996-11-23 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1552 1475 54.2% 24.2% 21.6% -9.9 13
1996-11-23 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1475 1552 21.6% 24.2% 54.2% +9.9 8
1996-11-23 Aberdeen L 0-1 1528 1654 27.5% 25.4% 47.1% -6.1 15
1996-11-23 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1654 1528 47.1% 25.4% 27.5% +6.1 22
1996-11-30 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1813 1633 65.3% 20.9% 13.9% -1.8 27
1996-11-30 @ Celtic D 2-2 1633 1813 13.9% 20.9% 65.3% +1.7 20
1996-11-30 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1542 1491 51.1% 24.8% 24.1% -1.2 14
1996-11-30 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1491 1542 24.1% 24.8% 51.1% +1.2 17
1996-11-30 Motherwell W 2-0 1522 1547 41.0% 25.8% 33.1% +13.4 18
1996-11-30 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1547 1522 33.1% 25.8% 41.0% -13.4 14
1996-11-30 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1485 1515 40.3% 25.9% 33.8% +7.2 11
1996-11-30 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1515 1485 33.8% 25.9% 40.3% -7.2 11
1996-12-01 Rangers L 0-3 1660 1827 23.1% 24.6% 52.3% -14.5 22
1996-12-01 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1827 1660 52.3% 24.6% 23.1% +14.5 32
1996-12-07 Aberdeen L 2-3 1492 1646 24.4% 24.9% 50.7% -5.0 17
1996-12-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1646 1492 50.7% 24.9% 24.4% +5.0 25
1996-12-07 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1635 1492 61.5% 22.2% 16.3% -2.3 21
1996-12-07 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1492 1635 16.3% 22.2% 61.5% +2.3 12
1996-12-07 Dundee United L 0-2 1508 1541 39.8% 25.9% 34.3% -15.4 11
1996-12-07 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1541 1508 34.3% 25.9% 39.8% +15.4 17
1996-12-07 Celtic W 2-1 1533 1811 14.3% 21.2% 64.5% +11.5 17
1996-12-07 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1811 1533 64.5% 21.2% 14.3% -11.5 27
1996-12-07 Hibernian W 4-3 1841 1535 76.0% 15.9% 8.1% +1.5 35
1996-12-07 @ Rangers L 3-4 1535 1841 8.1% 15.9% 76.0% -1.5 18
1996-12-10 Rangers W 1-0 1557 1843 13.8% 20.9% 65.3% +12.3 20
1996-12-10 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1843 1557 65.3% 20.9% 13.8% -12.3 35
1996-12-11 Hibernian W 2-1 1487 1534 37.9% 25.9% 36.2% +7.2 20
1996-12-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1534 1487 36.2% 25.9% 37.9% -7.2 18
1996-12-11 Aberdeen L 1-2 1632 1651 41.9% 25.8% 32.3% -8.0 21
1996-12-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1651 1632 32.3% 25.8% 41.9% +8.0 28
1996-12-11 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1545 1495 51.0% 24.8% 24.2% -10.0 17
1996-12-11 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1495 1545 24.2% 24.8% 51.0% +10.0 15
1996-12-14 Motherwell D 0-0 1659 1535 59.5% 22.9% 17.6% -2.1 29
1996-12-14 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1535 1659 17.6% 22.9% 59.5% +2.1 18
1996-12-14 Dundee United D 1-1 1527 1569 38.6% 25.9% 35.5% -0.1 19
1996-12-14 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1569 1527 35.5% 25.9% 38.6% +0.1 21
1996-12-14 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1492 1624 26.8% 25.3% 47.9% +17.9 14
1996-12-14 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1624 1492 47.9% 25.3% 26.8% -17.9 21
1996-12-14 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1831 1494 78.3% 14.7% 7.1% +2.4 38
1996-12-14 @ Rangers L 1-3 1494 1831 7.1% 14.7% 78.3% -2.4 20
1996-12-17 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1833 1510 77.3% 15.2% 7.5% +2.3 41
1996-12-17 @ Rangers L 2-4 1510 1833 7.5% 15.2% 77.3% -2.3 14
1996-12-21 Dundee United W 1-0 1800 1569 69.9% 18.9% 11.2% +2.5 30
1996-12-21 @ Celtic L 0-1 1569 1800 11.2% 18.9% 69.9% -2.5 21
1996-12-21 Rangers L 1-4 1606 1835 17.7% 22.9% 59.5% -9.5 21
1996-12-21 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1835 1606 59.5% 22.9% 17.7% +9.5 44
1996-12-21 Aberdeen W 3-0 1508 1657 24.9% 25.0% 50.1% +26.9 17
1996-12-21 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1657 1508 50.1% 25.0% 24.9% -26.9 29
1996-12-21 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1537 1492 50.3% 24.9% 24.8% -8.8 18
1996-12-21 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1492 1537 24.8% 24.9% 50.3% +8.8 23
1996-12-21 Hibernian L 0-3 1505 1527 41.4% 25.8% 32.8% -23.1 15
1996-12-21 @ Raith Rovers W 3-0 1527 1505 32.8% 25.8% 41.4% +23.1 22
1996-12-26 Celtic L 1-2 1630 1802 22.5% 24.4% 53.0% -4.9 29
1996-12-26 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1802 1630 53.0% 24.4% 22.5% +4.9 33
1996-12-26 Motherwell W 2-0 1567 1528 49.5% 25.1% 25.5% +10.9 24
1996-12-26 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1528 1567 25.5% 25.1% 49.5% -10.9 18
1996-12-26 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1501 1597 31.1% 25.7% 43.2% -6.1 23
1996-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1597 1501 43.2% 25.7% 31.1% +6.1 24
1996-12-26 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1550 1535 46.4% 25.4% 28.1% -9.2 22
1996-12-26 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1535 1550 28.1% 25.4% 46.4% +9.2 20
1996-12-26 Raith Rovers W 4-0 1845 1481 80.1% 13.6% 6.3% +4.6 47
1996-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-4 1481 1845 6.3% 13.6% 80.1% -4.6 15
1996-12-28 Hibernian D 1-1 1625 1540 55.1% 24.0% 20.9% -1.5 30
1996-12-28 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1540 1625 20.9% 24.0% 55.1% +1.5 23
1996-12-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-2 1807 1495 76.5% 15.6% 7.8% +2.5 36
1996-12-28 @ Celtic L 2-4 1495 1807 7.8% 15.6% 76.5% -2.5 23
1996-12-28 Motherwell W 4-1 1603 1517 55.2% 24.0% 20.8% +11.1 27
1996-12-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1517 1603 20.8% 24.0% 55.2% -11.1 18
1996-12-28 Dundee United L 0-1 1477 1577 30.6% 25.7% 43.8% -6.7 15
1996-12-28 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1577 1477 43.8% 25.7% 30.6% +6.7 27
1997-01-01 Aberdeen W 4-0 1584 1623 39.0% 25.9% 35.1% +26.6 30
1997-01-01 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1623 1584 35.1% 25.9% 39.0% -26.6 30
1997-01-01 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1492 1470 47.4% 25.3% 27.3% +11.5 26
1997-01-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1470 1492 27.3% 25.3% 47.4% -11.5 15
1997-01-01 Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1542 1614 34.3% 25.9% 39.8% -26.2 23
1997-01-01 @ Hibernian W 4-0 1614 1542 39.8% 25.9% 34.3% +26.2 30
1997-01-02 Celtic W 3-1 1850 1810 49.7% 25.0% 25.3% +9.4 50
1997-01-02 @ Rangers L 1-3 1810 1850 25.3% 25.0% 49.7% -9.3 36
1997-01-04 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1597 1504 56.1% 23.8% 20.1% -20.4 30
1997-01-04 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1504 1597 20.1% 23.8% 56.1% +20.4 29
1997-01-04 Motherwell W 5-0 1800 1506 75.1% 16.4% 8.5% +8.1 39
1997-01-04 @ Celtic L 0-5 1506 1800 8.5% 16.4% 75.1% -8.2 18
1997-01-04 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1611 1544 53.0% 24.4% 22.6% +9.8 33
1997-01-04 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1544 1611 22.6% 24.4% 53.0% -9.8 20
1997-01-04 Rangers L 1-2 1516 1859 10.9% 18.6% 70.5% -2.3 23
1997-01-04 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1859 1516 70.5% 18.6% 10.9% +2.3 53
1997-01-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1459 1640 21.7% 24.2% 54.1% -4.7 15
1997-01-04 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1640 1459 54.1% 24.2% 21.7% +4.7 33
1997-01-08 Kilmarnock W 6-0 1809 1534 73.6% 17.2% 9.3% +10.7 42
1997-01-08 @ Celtic L 0-6 1534 1809 9.3% 17.2% 73.6% -10.7 20
1997-01-11 Dundee United L 1-3 1524 1620 31.1% 25.7% 43.2% -11.1 29
1997-01-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1620 1524 43.2% 25.7% 31.1% +11.1 36
1997-01-11 Celtic L 1-2 1645 1819 22.4% 24.4% 53.2% -4.8 33
1997-01-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1819 1645 53.2% 24.4% 22.4% +4.9 45
1997-01-11 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1524 1454 53.3% 24.4% 22.3% -10.4 20
1997-01-11 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1454 1524 22.3% 24.4% 53.3% +10.4 18
1997-01-11 Hibernian W 2-1 1498 1514 42.3% 25.8% 31.9% +6.5 21
1997-01-11 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1514 1498 31.9% 25.8% 42.3% -6.5 23
1997-01-12 Aberdeen W 4-0 1861 1576 74.4% 16.7% 8.9% +6.9 56
1997-01-12 @ Rangers L 0-4 1576 1861 8.9% 16.7% 74.4% -6.9 30
1997-01-14 Celtic L 1-2 1464 1824 10.1% 18.0% 71.9% -2.1 18
1997-01-14 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1824 1464 71.9% 18.0% 10.1% +2.1 48
1997-01-15 Rangers D 1-1 1513 1868 10.3% 18.2% 71.5% +2.8 21
1997-01-15 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1868 1513 71.5% 18.2% 10.3% -2.8 57
1997-01-18 Hibernian W 4-1 1826 1507 77.0% 15.4% 7.6% +3.8 51
1997-01-18 @ Celtic L 1-4 1507 1826 7.6% 15.4% 77.0% -3.8 23
1997-01-18 Dundee United L 1-2 1640 1632 45.6% 25.5% 28.9% -8.6 33
1997-01-18 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1632 1640 28.9% 25.5% 45.6% +8.6 39
1997-01-18 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1516 1513 44.8% 25.6% 29.6% +6.1 24
1997-01-18 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1513 1516 29.6% 25.6% 44.8% -6.1 29
1997-01-18 Rangers L 1-3 1505 1865 10.1% 17.9% 72.0% -3.7 21
1997-01-18 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1865 1505 72.0% 17.9% 10.1% +3.7 60
1997-01-18 Aberdeen D 2-2 1462 1569 29.7% 25.6% 44.7% +0.5 19
1997-01-18 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1569 1462 44.7% 25.6% 29.7% -0.5 31
1997-01-21 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1501 1522 41.5% 25.8% 32.7% +13.3 24
1997-01-21 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1522 1501 32.7% 25.8% 41.5% -13.3 24
1997-01-29 Celtic L 0-2 1507 1830 11.8% 19.4% 68.7% -5.1 29
1997-01-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1830 1507 68.7% 19.4% 11.8% +5.1 54
1997-02-01 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1569 1509 52.2% 24.6% 23.2% +5.0 34
1997-02-01 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1509 1569 23.2% 24.6% 52.2% -5.0 24
1997-02-01 Celtic W 1-0 1640 1835 20.5% 23.9% 55.7% +10.7 42
1997-02-01 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1835 1640 55.7% 23.9% 20.5% -10.7 54
1997-02-01 Motherwell W 3-1 1502 1514 42.7% 25.8% 31.5% +11.2 32
1997-02-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1514 1502 31.5% 25.8% 42.7% -11.2 24
1997-02-01 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1503 1463 49.8% 25.0% 25.2% -1.0 24
1997-02-01 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1463 1503 25.2% 25.0% 49.8% +1.0 20
1997-02-01 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1869 1632 70.5% 18.6% 10.9% -3.0 61
1997-02-01 @ Rangers D 0-0 1632 1869 10.9% 18.6% 70.5% +3.1 34
1997-02-06 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1824 1464 79.9% 13.7% 6.3% +2.5 57
1997-02-06 @ Celtic L 0-2 1464 1824 6.3% 13.7% 79.9% -2.5 20
1997-02-08 Hibernian D 0-0 1651 1502 62.1% 22.0% 15.9% -2.3 43
1997-02-08 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1502 1651 15.9% 22.0% 62.1% +2.3 25
1997-02-08 Rangers L 0-3 1513 1866 10.4% 18.2% 71.3% -6.4 32
1997-02-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1866 1513 71.3% 18.2% 10.4% +6.4 64
1997-02-08 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1635 1504 60.2% 22.6% 17.1% +7.5 37
1997-02-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1504 1635 17.1% 22.6% 60.2% -7.5 24
1997-02-08 Aberdeen D 2-2 1503 1574 34.5% 25.9% 39.6% +0.2 25
1997-02-08 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1574 1503 39.6% 25.9% 34.5% -0.2 35
1997-02-10 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1574 1642 34.8% 25.9% 39.2% +0.2 36
1997-02-10 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1642 1574 39.2% 25.9% 34.8% -0.2 38
1997-02-18 Motherwell L 1-5 1461 1503 38.6% 25.9% 35.5% -23.8 20
1997-02-18 @ Raith Rovers W 5-1 1503 1461 35.5% 25.9% 38.6% +23.8 28
1997-02-22 Aberdeen W 3-0 1507 1574 35.0% 25.9% 39.1% +22.1 35
1997-02-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1574 1507 39.1% 25.9% 35.0% -22.1 36
1997-02-22 Raith Rovers W 3-2 1642 1437 67.5% 20.0% 12.5% +2.6 41
1997-02-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1437 1642 12.5% 20.0% 67.5% -2.6 20
1997-02-22 Dundee United L 2-3 1496 1649 24.6% 24.9% 50.5% -5.0 24
1997-02-22 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1649 1496 50.5% 24.9% 24.6% +5.0 46
1997-02-22 Celtic L 0-1 1527 1827 13.1% 20.3% 66.6% -3.0 28
1997-02-22 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1827 1527 66.6% 20.3% 13.1% +3.0 60
1997-02-23 Hibernian W 3-1 1872 1505 80.4% 13.5% 6.1% +2.1 67
1997-02-23 @ Rangers L 1-3 1505 1872 6.1% 13.5% 80.4% -2.1 25
1997-03-01 Rangers D 2-2 1552 1874 11.9% 19.5% 68.7% +1.9 37
1997-03-01 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1874 1552 68.7% 19.5% 11.9% -1.9 68
1997-03-01 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1830 1644 65.7% 20.7% 13.6% +5.9 63
1997-03-01 @ Celtic L 0-2 1644 1830 13.6% 20.7% 65.7% -5.9 41
1997-03-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1654 1529 59.6% 22.8% 17.6% +3.9 49
1997-03-01 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1529 1654 17.6% 22.8% 59.6% -3.9 35
1997-03-01 Motherwell D 1-1 1502 1524 41.5% 25.8% 32.7% -0.4 26
1997-03-01 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1524 1502 32.7% 25.8% 41.5% +0.4 29
1997-03-05 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1435 1491 36.5% 25.9% 37.6% +7.4 23
1997-03-05 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1491 1435 37.6% 25.9% 36.5% -7.4 24
1997-03-08 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1502 1525 41.3% 25.8% 32.9% +7.1 29
1997-03-08 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1525 1502 32.9% 25.8% 41.3% -7.1 35
1997-03-11 Celtic W 2-0 1484 1836 10.5% 18.3% 71.2% +24.8 27
1997-03-11 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1836 1484 71.2% 18.3% 10.5% -24.8 63
1997-03-12 Dundee United L 0-2 1872 1657 68.5% 19.5% 11.9% -24.0 68
1997-03-12 @ Rangers W 2-0 1657 1872 11.9% 19.5% 68.5% +24.0 52
1997-03-15 Dundee United D 1-1 1554 1681 27.3% 25.3% 47.4% +0.9 38
1997-03-15 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1681 1554 47.4% 25.3% 27.3% -0.9 53
1997-03-15 Hibernian W 1-0 1639 1509 60.1% 22.7% 17.2% +4.0 44
1997-03-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1509 1639 17.2% 22.7% 60.1% -4.0 29
1997-03-15 Motherwell W 1-0 1509 1524 42.3% 25.8% 31.9% +6.9 30
1997-03-15 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1524 1509 31.9% 25.8% 42.3% -6.9 29
1997-03-15 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1442 1518 33.9% 25.9% 40.3% -7.2 23
1997-03-15 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1518 1442 40.3% 25.9% 33.9% +7.2 38
1997-03-16 Rangers L 0-1 1811 1848 39.2% 25.9% 34.9% -8.1 63
1997-03-16 @ Celtic W 1-0 1848 1811 34.9% 25.9% 39.2% +8.1 71
1997-03-22 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1681 1435 71.2% 18.3% 10.5% +2.2 56
1997-03-22 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1435 1681 10.5% 18.3% 71.2% -2.2 23
1997-03-22 Celtic D 2-2 1525 1803 14.3% 21.2% 64.5% +1.7 39
1997-03-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1803 1525 64.5% 21.2% 14.3% -1.7 64
1997-03-22 Aberdeen W 3-1 1505 1555 37.5% 25.9% 36.6% +12.5 32
1997-03-22 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1555 1505 36.6% 25.9% 37.5% -12.5 38
1997-03-22 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1517 1643 27.6% 25.4% 47.0% -6.1 29
1997-03-22 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1643 1517 47.0% 25.4% 27.6% +6.2 47
1997-03-22 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1857 1516 78.6% 14.5% 6.9% -13.2 71
1997-03-22 @ Rangers W 2-1 1516 1857 6.9% 14.5% 78.6% +13.2 33
1997-04-05 Motherwell D 0-0 1542 1511 48.5% 25.2% 26.3% -1.1 39
1997-04-05 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1511 1542 26.3% 25.2% 48.5% +1.0 30
1997-04-05 Dundee United W 2-0 1518 1683 23.3% 24.6% 52.1% +19.2 35
1997-04-05 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1683 1518 52.1% 24.6% 23.3% -19.2 56
1997-04-05 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1529 1649 28.2% 25.4% 46.4% +9.2 36
1997-04-05 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1649 1529 46.4% 25.4% 28.2% -9.2 47
1997-04-05 Celtic D 1-1 1433 1801 9.7% 17.6% 72.6% +2.9 24
1997-04-05 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1801 1433 72.6% 17.6% 9.7% -2.9 65
1997-04-05 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 1843 1527 76.8% 15.5% 7.7% +5.9 74
1997-04-05 @ Rangers L 0-4 1527 1843 7.7% 15.5% 76.8% -5.9 39
1997-04-12 Hibernian D 1-1 1521 1537 42.2% 25.8% 32.0% -0.4 40
1997-04-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1537 1521 32.0% 25.8% 42.2% +0.4 36
1997-04-12 Aberdeen D 0-0 1640 1541 56.7% 23.6% 19.7% -1.8 48
1997-04-12 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1541 1640 19.7% 23.6% 56.7% +1.8 40
1997-04-12 Raith Rovers W 5-0 1512 1436 54.2% 24.2% 21.6% +22.0 33
1997-04-12 @ Motherwell L 0-5 1436 1512 21.6% 24.2% 54.2% -22.0 24
1997-04-15 Rangers L 0-6 1414 1849 7.3% 14.9% 77.8% -8.1 24
1997-04-15 @ Raith Rovers W 6-0 1849 1414 77.8% 14.9% 7.3% +8.1 77
1997-04-19 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1638 1520 58.8% 23.1% 18.1% -1.8 49
1997-04-19 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1520 1638 18.1% 23.1% 58.8% +1.8 41
1997-04-19 Hibernian D 1-1 1538 1537 44.5% 25.6% 29.8% -0.6 37
1997-04-19 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1537 1538 29.8% 25.6% 44.5% +0.6 37
1997-04-19 Dundee United D 1-1 1534 1664 27.1% 25.3% 47.6% +0.9 34
1997-04-19 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1664 1534 47.6% 25.3% 27.1% -0.9 57
1997-04-20 Aberdeen W 3-0 1798 1543 72.0% 17.9% 10.1% +6.2 68
1997-04-20 @ Celtic L 0-3 1543 1798 10.1% 17.9% 72.0% -6.2 40
1997-05-03 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1537 1406 60.3% 22.6% 17.1% +7.5 43
1997-05-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1406 1537 17.1% 22.6% 60.3% -7.5 24
1997-05-03 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1663 1636 48.0% 25.2% 26.7% +6.0 60
1997-05-03 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1636 1663 26.7% 25.2% 48.0% -6.0 49
1997-05-03 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1522 1537 42.3% 25.8% 31.9% +11.3 44
1997-05-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1537 1522 31.9% 25.8% 42.3% -11.3 37
1997-05-04 Celtic L 1-3 1538 1804 15.0% 21.6% 63.4% -5.7 37
1997-05-04 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1804 1538 63.4% 21.6% 15.0% +5.7 71
1997-05-05 Motherwell L 0-2 1857 1535 77.2% 15.2% 7.5% -26.2 77
1997-05-05 @ Rangers W 2-0 1535 1857 7.5% 15.2% 77.2% +26.2 37
1997-05-07 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1810 1526 74.3% 16.8% 8.9% -3.4 72
1997-05-07 @ Celtic D 0-0 1526 1810 8.9% 16.8% 74.3% +3.3 38
1997-05-07 Rangers L 0-1 1669 1831 23.5% 24.7% 51.8% -5.4 60
1997-05-07 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1831 1669 51.8% 24.7% 23.5% +5.4 80
1997-05-10 Dundee United W 3-0 1807 1663 61.6% 22.2% 16.2% +10.4 75
1997-05-10 @ Celtic L 0-3 1663 1807 16.2% 22.2% 61.6% -10.4 60
1997-05-10 Rangers W 3-1 1630 1836 19.5% 23.5% 57.0% +17.9 52
1997-05-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1836 1630 57.0% 23.5% 19.5% -17.9 80
1997-05-10 Aberdeen D 1-1 1529 1544 42.4% 25.8% 31.8% -0.4 39
1997-05-10 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1544 1529 31.8% 25.8% 42.4% +0.4 44
1997-05-10 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1561 1533 48.1% 25.2% 26.6% -0.7 38
1997-05-10 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1533 1561 26.6% 25.2% 48.1% +0.7 45
1997-05-10 Hibernian D 1-1 1398 1532 26.6% 25.2% 48.2% +0.9 25
1997-05-10 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1532 1398 48.2% 25.2% 26.6% -0.9 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1997-03-22 6.93% Kilmarnock 1516 2 @ Rangers 1857 1
2 1997-05-05 7.53% Motherwell 1535 2 @ Rangers 1857 0
3 1997-03-11 10.46% @ Kilmarnock 1484 2 Celtic 1836 0
4 1997-03-12 11.95% Dundee United 1657 2 @ Rangers 1872 0
5 1996-12-10 13.84% @ Dundee United 1557 1 Rangers 1843 0
6 1996-10-12 13.91% @ Hibernian 1537 2 Rangers 1822 1
7 1996-12-07 14.34% @ Motherwell 1533 2 Celtic 1811 1
8 1996-09-21 15.90% Hibernian 1527 2 @ Aberdeen 1675 0
9 1997-05-10 19.47% @ Heart of Midlothian 1630 3 Rangers 1836 1
10 1997-01-04 20.14% Dunfermline Athletic 1504 2 @ Aberdeen 1597 0
11 1997-02-01 20.47% @ Dundee United 1640 1 Celtic 1835 0
12 1996-11-23 21.56% Raith Rovers 1475 2 @ Dundee United 1552 1
13 1997-01-11 22.29% Raith Rovers 1454 1 @ Kilmarnock 1524 0
14 1997-04-05 23.27% @ Hibernian 1518 2 Dundee United 1683 0
15 1996-12-11 24.21% Raith Rovers 1495 1 @ Motherwell 1545 0
16 1996-09-10 24.63% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1477 2 Heart of Midlothian 1629 1
17 1996-12-21 24.75% Dunfermline Athletic 1492 3 @ Motherwell 1537 2
18 1996-12-21 24.95% @ Kilmarnock 1508 3 Aberdeen 1657 0
19 1996-09-28 26.47% @ Dundee United 1518 1 Aberdeen 1653 0
20 1996-11-02 26.68% Dundee United 1536 3 @ Motherwell 1563 1
21 1996-12-14 26.80% @ Kilmarnock 1492 2 Heart of Midlothian 1624 0
22 1996-08-17 27.32% Hibernian 1522 1 @ Dundee United 1544 0
23 1996-12-26 28.12% Kilmarnock 1535 1 @ Hibernian 1550 0
24 1997-04-05 28.20% @ Kilmarnock 1529 1 Heart of Midlothian 1649 0
25 1997-01-18 28.89% Dundee United 1632 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1640 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-12-21 26.91 @ Kilmarnock 3 1508 24.95% Aberdeen 0 1657 50.09% 24.96%
2 1997-01-01 26.61 @ Dundee United 4 1584 38.98% Aberdeen 0 1623 35.12% 25.90%
3 1997-05-05 26.17 Motherwell 2 1535 7.53% @ Rangers 0 1857 77.23% 15.24%
4 1997-01-01 26.16 Heart of Midlothian 4 1614 39.79% @ Hibernian 0 1542 34.33% 25.88%
5 1996-08-25 25.46 @ Aberdeen 4 1625 41.04% Heart of Midlothian 0 1650 33.12% 25.84%
6 1997-03-11 24.77 @ Kilmarnock 2 1484 10.46% Celtic 0 1836 71.24% 18.30%
7 1997-03-12 24.05 Dundee United 2 1657 11.95% @ Rangers 0 1872 68.51% 19.54%
8 1997-02-18 23.80 Motherwell 5 1503 35.49% @ Raith Rovers 1 1461 38.60% 25.91%
9 1996-08-24 23.54 Motherwell 3 1552 31.77% @ Raith Rovers 0 1538 42.46% 25.77%
10 1996-12-21 23.07 Hibernian 3 1527 32.78% @ Raith Rovers 0 1505 41.40% 25.82%
11 1996-09-21 22.21 Hibernian 2 1527 15.90% @ Aberdeen 0 1675 62.06% 22.04%
12 1997-02-22 22.10 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1507 34.96% Aberdeen 0 1574 39.14% 25.90%
13 1997-04-12 21.98 @ Motherwell 5 1512 54.17% Raith Rovers 0 1436 21.62% 24.21%
14 1997-01-04 20.39 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1504 20.14% @ Aberdeen 0 1597 56.09% 23.77%
15 1997-04-05 19.16 @ Hibernian 2 1518 23.27% Dundee United 0 1683 52.11% 24.62%
16 1997-05-10 17.90 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1630 19.47% Rangers 1 1836 56.98% 23.55%
17 1996-12-14 17.87 @ Kilmarnock 2 1492 26.80% Heart of Midlothian 0 1624 47.94% 25.26%
18 1996-11-02 15.51 Dundee United 3 1536 26.68% @ Motherwell 1 1563 48.07% 25.25%
19 1996-12-07 15.40 Dundee United 2 1541 34.34% @ Kilmarnock 0 1508 39.78% 25.88%
20 1996-12-01 14.49 Rangers 3 1827 52.30% @ Aberdeen 0 1660 23.12% 24.58%
21 1996-11-11 13.73 Heart of Midlothian 2 1621 39.96% @ Motherwell 0 1548 34.16% 25.88%
22 1996-09-07 13.67 Aberdeen 4 1650 48.45% @ Raith Rovers 1 1514 26.35% 25.20%
23 1996-11-30 13.42 @ Hibernian 2 1522 41.02% Motherwell 0 1547 33.14% 25.84%
24 1997-01-21 13.28 @ Motherwell 2 1501 41.52% Kilmarnock 0 1522 32.66% 25.82%
25 1997-03-22 13.22 Kilmarnock 2 1516 6.93% @ Rangers 1 1857 78.57% 14.50%