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1995-96 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

87 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

13.72 points above expected

83 points · 69.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Falkirk

14.27 points below expected

24 points · 38.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 27 6 3 87 85 25 +60 74.55 +12.45
2 Celtic 36 24 11 1 83 74 25 +49 69.28 +13.72
3 Aberdeen 36 16 7 13 55 52 45 +7 55.88 -0.88
4 Heart of Midlothian 36 16 7 13 55 55 53 +2 47.04 +7.96
5 Hibernian 36 11 10 15 43 43 57 -14 49.47 -6.47
6 Raith Rovers 36 12 7 17 43 41 57 -16 44.38 -1.38
7 Kilmarnock 36 11 8 17 41 39 54 -15 42.03 -1.03
8 Motherwell 36 9 12 15 39 28 39 -11 42.54 -3.54
9 Partick Thistle 36 8 6 22 30 29 62 -33 36.28 -6.28
10 Falkirk 36 6 6 24 24 31 60 -29 38.27 -14.27

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1860 83 69.28 +13.72 97.7% 36 57 64 69 74 81 96
Rangers 1846 87 74.55 +12.45 96.8% 46 63 70 75 79 86 102
Heart of Midlothian 1664 55 47.04 +7.96 87.0% 20 35 42 47 52 59 83
Aberdeen 1633 55 55.88 -0.88 48.4% 28 43 51 56 61 68 83
Motherwell 1529 39 42.54 -3.54 34.8% 18 31 37 42 48 55 70
Raith Rovers 1523 43 44.38 -1.38 46.6% 18 32 39 44 50 57 72
Kilmarnock 1523 41 42.03 -1.03 47.9% 17 30 37 42 47 54 74
Hibernian 1500 43 49.47 -6.47 22.0% 23 37 44 49 55 62 79
Partick Thistle 1424 30 36.28 -6.28 21.2% 12 25 31 36 41 48 67
Falkirk 1422 24 38.27 -14.27 2.4% 13 27 33 38 43 50 66

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL FAL HOM HIB KIL MOT PT RR RAN
Aberdeen —
0-0-4
4.29
3-1-0
7.16
2-1-1
6.17
2-1-1
6.01
3-1-0
6.80
2-0-2
7.10
2-1-1
7.85
2-1-1
6.99
0-1-3
3.47
Celtic
4-0-0
6.80
 —
3-1-0
8.83
4-0-0
7.62
3-1-0
7.98
1-3-0
8.48
2-2-0
8.02
4-0-0
8.80
3-1-0
7.95
0-3-1
4.84
Falkirk
0-1-3
3.94
0-1-3
2.39
 —
1-0-3
4.69
1-1-2
4.24
1-0-3
4.99
0-2-2
5.37
1-1-2
5.90
2-0-2
4.51
0-0-4
2.30
Heart of Midlothian
1-1-2
4.90
0-0-4
3.49
3-0-1
6.37
 —
1-2-1
5.09
3-0-1
6.44
1-3-0
6.06
2-0-2
6.46
3-1-0
5.89
2-0-2
2.36
Hibernian
1-1-2
5.06
0-1-3
3.17
2-1-1
6.84
1-2-1
5.99
 —
2-1-1
6.19
2-1-1
6.23
2-2-0
6.72
0-1-3
6.19
1-0-3
3.02
Kilmarnock
0-1-3
4.27
0-3-1
2.69
3-0-1
6.08
1-0-3
4.63
1-1-2
4.88
 —
1-1-2
5.57
3-1-0
6.07
2-1-1
4.93
0-0-4
2.65
Motherwell
2-0-2
3.99
0-2-2
3.12
2-2-0
5.70
0-3-1
5.01
1-1-2
4.84
2-1-1
5.50
 —
1-1-2
6.34
1-1-2
5.65
0-1-3
2.44
Partick Thistle
1-1-2
3.26
0-0-4
2.40
2-1-1
5.17
2-0-2
4.62
0-2-2
4.35
0-1-3
5.01
2-1-1
4.72
 —
1-0-3
4.77
0-0-4
2.12
Raith Rovers
1-1-2
4.08
0-1-3
3.20
2-0-2
6.56
0-1-3
5.19
3-1-0
4.87
1-1-2
6.13
2-1-1
5.41
3-0-1
6.30
 —
0-1-3
2.59
Rangers
3-1-0
7.65
1-3-0
6.23
4-0-0
8.92
2-0-2
8.82
3-0-1
8.12
4-0-0
8.51
3-1-0
8.75
4-0-0
9.11
3-1-0
8.57
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.95 +10.5
Allowed 0.78 -13.3
Differential 0.97 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%8.33%7.22%3.89%3.06%0.83%30.00%
18.33%12.78%7.78%2.50%1.39%0.28%33.06%
27.22%7.78%2.22%1.67%1.67%0.28%20.83%
33.89%2.50%1.67%0.56%——8.61%
43.06%1.39%1.67%———6.11%
5+0.83%0.28%0.28%———1.39%
Total30.00%33.06%20.83%8.61%6.11%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.97
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%2.78%——2.78%19.44%
18.33%16.67%11.11%2.78%——38.89%
2—16.67%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
38.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%55.56%19.44%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.25 +0.19
SD 1.08 1.00 1.65
CV 0.75 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—2.78%———19.44%
111.11%8.33%————19.44%
25.56%16.67%2.78%———25.00%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
413.89%2.78%5.56%———22.22%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total50.00%33.33%13.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 0.69 +1.36
SD 1.51 0.82 1.57
CV 0.73 1.18 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%11.11%—8.33%—44.44%
12.78%11.11%13.89%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
25.56%2.78%—8.33%——16.67%
32.78%—————2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%27.78%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.67 -0.81
SD 0.99 1.22 1.62
CV 1.15 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—8.33%—5.56%—16.67%
15.56%13.89%8.33%8.33%2.78%—38.89%
211.11%11.11%2.78%——2.78%27.78%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%22.22%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.47 +0.06
SD 1.13 1.36 2.07
CV 0.74 0.93 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%25.00%
15.56%16.67%16.67%—2.78%—41.67%
25.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%—————5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%30.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.58 -0.39
SD 0.98 1.44 1.99
CV 0.82 0.91 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%11.11%13.89%——38.89%
18.33%16.67%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
25.56%5.56%——5.56%—16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%19.44%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.50 -0.42
SD 1.23 1.23 1.90
CV 1.13 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%13.89%—2.78%—44.44%
113.89%16.67%5.56%2.78%——38.89%
22.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—11.11%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%30.56%19.44%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.08 -0.31
SD 0.87 1.16 1.47
CV 1.11 1.07 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%5.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%44.44%
18.33%13.89%13.89%2.78%——38.89%
28.33%2.78%——2.78%—13.89%
3———————
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total19.44%30.56%22.22%16.67%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.72 -0.92
SD 1.01 1.34 1.87
CV 1.25 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%—33.33%
18.33%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%30.56%
211.11%2.78%5.56%—5.56%—25.00%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%25.00%19.44%8.33%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.58 -0.44
SD 1.02 1.50 1.96
CV 0.89 0.95 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
111.11%5.56%————16.67%
216.67%5.56%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
411.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total55.56%25.00%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.69 +1.67
SD 1.61 0.92 1.94
CV 0.68 1.33 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 83 69.28 +13.72
2 Rangers 87 74.55 +12.45
3 Heart of Midlothian 55 47.04 +7.96
4 Aberdeen 55 55.88 -0.88
5 Kilmarnock 41 42.03 -1.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Falkirk 24 38.27 -14.27
2 Hibernian 43 49.47 -6.47
3 Partick Thistle 30 36.28 -6.28
4 Motherwell 39 42.54 -3.54
5 Raith Rovers 43 44.38 -1.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 4 Feb 13 – Mar 16 1 in 101
2 Rangers 5 Sep 30 – Oct 21 1 in 32
3 Partick Thistle 2 Mar 16 – Mar 23 1 in 30
4 Falkirk 2 Oct 21 – Oct 28 1 in 12
5 Hibernian 3 Oct 21 – Nov 4 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 8 Feb 24 – Apr 20 1 in 292
2 Kilmarnock 5 Aug 26 – Sep 30 1 in 38
3 Motherwell 4 Jan 6 – Jan 16 1 in 26
4 Partick Thistle 4 Dec 9 – Jan 9 1 in 17
5 Raith Rovers 3 Jan 23 – Feb 7 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 31 Oct 4 – May 4 1 in 1,185
2 Motherwell 7 Feb 13 – Apr 6 1 in 78
3 Rangers 19 Sep 30 – Jan 13 1 in 53
4 Kilmarnock 5 Jan 6 – Jan 23 1 in 20
5 Heart of Midlothian 6 Mar 30 – May 4 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 15 Oct 21 – Jan 20 1 in 366
2 Falkirk 11 Feb 10 – May 4 1 in 28
3 Raith Rovers 6 Oct 14 – Nov 11 1 in 19
4 Hibernian 8 Mar 3 – Apr 27 1 in 15
5 Partick Thistle 6 Sep 23 – Oct 21 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers68.39%27.53%3.56%0.43%0.07%0.02%————
Celtic29.30%57.13%10.52%2.13%0.72%0.13%0.04%0.02%0.01%—
Aberdeen1.84%9.80%43.68%21.24%11.45%5.75%3.25%1.76%0.84%0.39%
Heart of Midlothian0.15%1.42%10.96%18.49%18.95%16.43%13.91%9.76%6.30%3.63%
Hibernian0.26%2.60%15.71%23.45%19.06%14.20%10.85%7.48%4.41%1.98%
Raith Rovers0.03%0.63%6.39%11.97%15.29%16.07%16.24%14.54%11.53%7.31%
Kilmarnock0.02%0.26%3.42%8.76%11.24%15.24%16.07%17.09%15.81%12.09%
Motherwell—0.49%4.20%8.25%12.61%16.36%16.28%16.19%14.77%10.85%
Partick Thistle0.01%0.04%0.63%2.06%4.13%6.55%10.09%15.39%23.57%37.53%
Falkirk—0.10%0.93%3.22%6.48%9.25%13.27%17.77%22.76%26.22%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.22%
Slight Edge
45.00%22.22%32.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.68 Elo pts.
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
68%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Photo Finish
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.93 * Some Luck: 5.93 to 8.89 * Lucky: 8.89 to 11.85 * Wild Swing: 11.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.05 * Close: 1.05 to 1.57 * Off: 1.57 to 2.1 * Way Off: 2.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.41 points
Some Luck
07.4119
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.313
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.70%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.41%
Falkirk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.31
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.35
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.089
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Celtic 99.99% 0.01% —
Rangers 100% — —
Aberdeen 98.77% 0.84% 0.39%
Hibernian 93.61% 4.41% 1.98%
Heart of Midlothian 90.07% 6.30% 3.63%
Raith Rovers 81.16% 11.53% 7.31%
Motherwell 74.38% 14.77% 10.85%
Kilmarnock 72.10% 15.81% 12.09%
Falkirk 51.02% 22.76% 26.22%
Partick Thistle 38.90% 23.57% 37.53%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1995-08-26 Aberdeen L 2-3 1577 1612 39.4% 23.6% 37.0% -11.2 0
1995-08-26 @ Falkirk W 3-2 1612 1577 37.0% 23.6% 39.4% +11.2 3
1995-08-26 Motherwell D 1-1 1570 1592 41.1% 23.5% 35.3% -0.4 1
1995-08-26 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1592 1570 35.3% 23.5% 41.1% +0.4 1
1995-08-26 Hibernian D 1-1 1563 1601 38.9% 23.6% 37.5% -0.1 1
1995-08-26 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1601 1563 37.5% 23.6% 38.9% +0.1 1
1995-08-26 Celtic L 0-1 1565 1621 36.3% 23.6% 40.1% -11.7 0
1995-08-26 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1621 1565 40.1% 23.6% 36.3% +11.7 3
1995-08-26 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1661 1563 56.4% 22.6% 21.1% +7.5 3
1995-08-26 @ Rangers L 0-1 1563 1661 21.1% 22.6% 56.4% -7.5 0
1995-09-09 Falkirk W 4-1 1569 1566 44.6% 23.5% 31.9% +24.4 4
1995-09-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1566 1569 31.9% 23.5% 44.6% -24.5 0
1995-09-09 Hibernian L 0-3 1555 1601 37.7% 23.6% 38.7% -33.0 0
1995-09-09 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1601 1555 38.7% 23.6% 37.7% +33.0 4
1995-09-09 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1592 1563 48.0% 23.3% 28.7% -1.3 2
1995-09-09 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1563 1592 28.7% 23.3% 48.0% +1.3 2
1995-09-09 Raith Rovers W 4-0 1669 1553 58.2% 22.3% 19.5% +24.9 6
1995-09-09 @ Rangers L 0-4 1553 1669 19.5% 22.3% 58.2% -25.0 0
1995-09-10 Celtic L 2-3 1623 1632 42.9% 23.5% 33.6% -11.9 3
1995-09-10 @ Aberdeen W 3-2 1632 1623 33.6% 23.5% 42.9% +11.9 6
1995-09-16 Motherwell D 1-1 1644 1591 51.1% 23.1% 25.8% -1.7 7
1995-09-16 @ Celtic D 1-1 1591 1644 25.8% 23.1% 51.1% +1.7 3
1995-09-16 Rangers L 0-2 1542 1694 24.3% 23.0% 52.7% -16.0 0
1995-09-16 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1694 1542 52.7% 23.0% 24.3% +16.0 9
1995-09-16 Aberdeen D 1-1 1634 1611 47.3% 23.3% 29.3% -1.2 5
1995-09-16 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1611 1634 29.3% 23.3% 47.3% +1.2 4
1995-09-16 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1565 1594 40.1% 23.5% 36.3% +22.1 5
1995-09-16 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1594 1565 36.3% 23.5% 40.1% -22.1 4
1995-09-16 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1528 1522 45.0% 23.4% 31.6% +19.8 3
1995-09-16 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1522 1528 31.6% 23.4% 45.0% -19.8 0
1995-09-23 Motherwell D 0-0 1526 1593 34.8% 23.5% 41.6% +0.5 1
1995-09-23 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1593 1526 41.6% 23.5% 34.8% -0.5 4
1995-09-23 Celtic L 0-4 1572 1643 34.3% 23.5% 42.2% -40.0 4
1995-09-23 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1643 1572 42.2% 23.5% 34.3% +40.1 10
1995-09-23 Aberdeen L 1-2 1502 1612 29.2% 23.3% 47.4% -9.3 0
1995-09-23 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1612 1502 47.4% 23.3% 29.2% +9.3 7
1995-09-23 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1548 1587 38.8% 23.6% 37.7% +19.7 6
1995-09-23 @ Raith Rovers L 1-3 1587 1548 37.7% 23.6% 38.8% -19.7 5
1995-09-23 Hibernian L 0-1 1710 1633 53.9% 22.9% 23.3% -16.2 9
1995-09-23 @ Rangers W 1-0 1633 1710 23.3% 22.9% 53.9% +16.2 8
1995-09-30 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1621 1567 51.1% 23.1% 25.8% +24.3 10
1995-09-30 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1567 1621 25.8% 23.1% 51.1% -24.3 6
1995-09-30 Rangers L 0-2 1683 1694 42.7% 23.5% 33.8% -25.1 10
1995-09-30 @ Celtic W 2-0 1694 1683 33.8% 23.5% 42.7% +25.1 12
1995-09-30 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1592 1493 56.4% 22.6% 21.1% +20.5 7
1995-09-30 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1493 1592 21.1% 22.6% 56.4% -20.5 0
1995-09-30 Falkirk D 1-1 1567 1526 49.5% 23.2% 27.3% -1.5 6
1995-09-30 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1526 1567 27.3% 23.2% 49.5% +1.5 2
1995-10-01 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1649 1532 58.3% 22.3% 19.4% -2.0 9
1995-10-01 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1532 1649 19.4% 22.3% 58.3% +2.0 5
1995-10-03 Motherwell W 2-1 1719 1613 57.1% 22.5% 20.4% +6.8 15
1995-10-03 @ Rangers L 1-2 1613 1719 20.4% 22.5% 57.1% -6.8 7
1995-10-04 Celtic L 0-1 1528 1658 26.8% 23.2% 50.0% -9.2 2
1995-10-04 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1658 1528 50.0% 23.2% 26.8% +9.2 13
1995-10-04 Aberdeen L 1-2 1534 1646 29.0% 23.3% 47.7% -9.2 5
1995-10-04 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1646 1534 47.7% 23.3% 29.0% +9.2 13
1995-10-04 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1565 1473 55.7% 22.7% 21.7% -2.3 7
1995-10-04 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1473 1565 21.7% 22.7% 55.7% +2.3 1
1995-10-04 Hibernian W 3-0 1543 1647 29.9% 23.4% 46.7% +39.2 9
1995-10-04 @ Raith Rovers L 0-3 1647 1543 46.7% 23.4% 29.9% -39.2 9
1995-10-07 Rangers L 0-1 1655 1726 34.3% 23.5% 42.2% -11.2 13
1995-10-07 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1726 1655 42.2% 23.5% 34.3% +11.2 18
1995-10-07 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1667 1563 56.9% 22.5% 20.6% +6.9 16
1995-10-07 @ Celtic L 1-2 1563 1667 20.6% 22.5% 56.9% -6.9 7
1995-10-07 Falkirk W 2-1 1608 1519 55.3% 22.7% 22.0% +7.3 12
1995-10-07 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1519 1608 22.0% 22.7% 55.3% -7.3 2
1995-10-07 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1475 1524 37.2% 23.6% 39.2% +20.3 4
1995-10-07 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1524 1475 39.2% 23.6% 37.2% -20.3 5
1995-10-07 Raith Rovers L 0-2 1606 1582 47.3% 23.3% 29.3% -27.3 7
1995-10-07 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1582 1606 29.3% 23.3% 47.3% +27.3 12
1995-10-14 Hibernian D 2-2 1674 1615 51.7% 23.1% 25.2% -1.3 17
1995-10-14 @ Celtic D 2-2 1615 1674 25.2% 23.1% 51.7% +1.3 13
1995-10-14 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1511 1495 46.4% 23.4% 30.2% -26.8 2
1995-10-14 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1495 1511 30.2% 23.4% 46.4% +26.8 7
1995-10-14 Raith Rovers W 4-2 1504 1610 29.8% 23.4% 46.9% +21.0 8
1995-10-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1610 1504 46.9% 23.4% 29.8% -21.0 12
1995-10-14 Aberdeen W 2-1 1578 1644 35.0% 23.5% 41.4% +12.2 10
1995-10-14 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1644 1578 41.4% 23.5% 35.0% -12.2 13
1995-10-14 Rangers L 0-4 1556 1737 21.4% 22.6% 55.9% -27.2 7
1995-10-14 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1737 1556 55.9% 22.6% 21.4% +27.1 21
1995-10-21 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1631 1529 56.7% 22.5% 20.8% +20.2 16
1995-10-21 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1529 1631 20.8% 22.5% 56.7% -20.2 7
1995-10-21 Motherwell W 4-2 1617 1591 47.6% 23.3% 29.0% +14.3 16
1995-10-21 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1591 1617 29.0% 23.3% 47.6% -14.3 10
1995-10-21 Celtic D 0-0 1522 1672 24.5% 23.0% 52.5% +2.1 8
1995-10-21 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1672 1522 52.5% 23.0% 24.5% -2.1 18
1995-10-21 Falkirk L 0-1 1589 1484 56.9% 22.5% 20.6% -17.0 12
1995-10-21 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1484 1589 20.6% 22.5% 56.9% +17.0 5
1995-10-21 Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1764 1525 69.0% 19.9% 11.0% +9.3 24
1995-10-21 @ Rangers L 1-4 1525 1764 11.0% 19.9% 69.0% -9.3 8
1995-10-28 Aberdeen W 2-0 1670 1652 46.7% 23.4% 29.9% +19.0 21
1995-10-28 @ Celtic L 0-2 1652 1670 29.9% 23.4% 46.7% -19.0 16
1995-10-28 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1501 1516 42.2% 23.5% 34.2% +21.1 8
1995-10-28 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1516 1501 34.2% 23.5% 42.2% -21.1 8
1995-10-28 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1631 1524 57.2% 22.5% 20.3% +13.6 19
1995-10-28 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1524 1631 20.3% 22.5% 57.2% -13.6 8
1995-10-28 Motherwell W 1-0 1509 1576 34.7% 23.5% 41.7% +13.1 10
1995-10-28 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1576 1509 41.7% 23.5% 34.7% -13.0 10
1995-10-28 Rangers D 2-2 1572 1773 19.5% 22.3% 58.2% +2.0 13
1995-10-28 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1773 1572 58.2% 22.3% 19.5% -2.0 25
1995-11-04 Hibernian L 1-2 1633 1645 42.5% 23.5% 33.9% -12.5 16
1995-11-04 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1645 1633 33.9% 23.5% 42.5% +12.5 22
1995-11-04 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1495 1522 40.4% 23.5% 36.0% +31.9 11
1995-11-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1522 1495 36.0% 23.5% 40.4% -31.9 10
1995-11-04 Raith Rovers W 5-1 1510 1574 35.3% 23.5% 41.1% +38.5 11
1995-11-04 @ Kilmarnock L 1-5 1574 1510 41.1% 23.5% 35.3% -38.5 13
1995-11-04 Celtic L 0-2 1563 1689 27.3% 23.2% 49.5% -17.6 10
1995-11-04 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1689 1563 49.5% 23.2% 27.3% +17.6 24
1995-11-04 Falkirk W 2-0 1771 1523 69.8% 19.7% 10.5% +7.2 28
1995-11-04 @ Rangers L 0-2 1523 1771 10.5% 19.7% 69.8% -7.2 8
1995-11-07 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1546 1527 46.8% 23.4% 29.9% -1.2 11
1995-11-07 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1527 1546 29.9% 23.4% 46.8% +1.2 12
1995-11-08 Falkirk W 3-1 1620 1515 57.0% 22.5% 20.5% +11.9 19
1995-11-08 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1515 1620 20.5% 22.5% 57.0% -11.9 8
1995-11-08 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1707 1535 63.5% 21.4% 15.1% -3.9 25
1995-11-08 @ Celtic D 0-0 1535 1707 15.1% 21.4% 63.5% +3.9 14
1995-11-08 Rangers L 0-2 1549 1778 17.1% 21.9% 61.0% -11.7 11
1995-11-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1778 1549 61.0% 21.9% 17.1% +11.7 31
1995-11-11 Hibernian W 2-0 1503 1657 24.2% 22.9% 52.9% +30.1 11
1995-11-11 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1657 1503 52.9% 22.9% 24.2% -30.1 22
1995-11-11 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1528 1537 42.9% 23.5% 33.6% +10.4 15
1995-11-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1537 1528 33.6% 23.5% 42.9% -10.4 11
1995-11-11 Celtic L 1-2 1490 1703 18.5% 22.1% 59.4% -6.3 10
1995-11-11 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1703 1490 59.4% 22.1% 18.5% +6.3 28
1995-11-11 Motherwell D 0-0 1539 1544 43.5% 23.5% 33.1% -0.7 15
1995-11-11 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1544 1539 33.1% 23.5% 43.5% +0.8 12
1995-11-11 Aberdeen D 1-1 1790 1632 62.3% 21.6% 16.1% -3.3 32
1995-11-11 @ Rangers D 1-1 1632 1790 16.1% 21.6% 62.3% +3.3 20
1995-11-18 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1533 1484 50.6% 23.1% 26.2% -15.3 11
1995-11-18 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1484 1533 26.2% 23.1% 50.6% +15.3 13
1995-11-18 Motherwell D 1-1 1527 1545 41.7% 23.5% 34.8% -0.4 12
1995-11-18 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1545 1527 34.8% 23.5% 41.7% +0.4 13
1995-11-18 Aberdeen W 1-0 1538 1635 30.8% 23.4% 45.8% +14.1 18
1995-11-18 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1635 1538 45.8% 23.4% 30.8% -14.1 20
1995-11-19 Hibernian W 2-1 1538 1627 31.9% 23.5% 44.7% +13.0 18
1995-11-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1627 1538 44.7% 23.5% 31.9% -13.0 22
1995-11-19 Celtic D 3-3 1787 1709 54.0% 22.8% 23.2% -1.3 33
1995-11-19 @ Rangers D 3-3 1709 1787 23.2% 22.8% 54.0% +1.3 29
1995-11-22 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1614 1499 58.1% 22.3% 19.6% +19.2 25
1995-11-22 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1499 1614 19.6% 22.3% 58.1% -19.2 13
1995-11-25 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1710 1551 62.4% 21.6% 16.0% +9.5 32
1995-11-25 @ Celtic L 1-3 1551 1710 16.0% 21.6% 62.4% -9.5 18
1995-11-25 Rangers L 1-4 1633 1785 24.3% 23.0% 52.7% -19.5 25
1995-11-25 @ Hibernian W 4-1 1785 1633 52.7% 23.0% 24.3% +19.5 36
1995-11-25 Falkirk D 1-1 1546 1518 47.9% 23.3% 28.8% -1.3 14
1995-11-25 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1518 1546 28.8% 23.3% 47.9% +1.2 12
1995-11-25 Raith Rovers L 0-2 1480 1552 34.1% 23.5% 42.4% -21.0 13
1995-11-25 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1552 1480 42.4% 23.5% 34.1% +21.0 21
1995-12-02 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1720 1526 65.5% 20.9% 13.6% +7.3 35
1995-12-02 @ Celtic L 2-4 1526 1720 13.6% 20.9% 65.5% -7.3 12
1995-12-02 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1519 1573 36.6% 23.6% 39.8% +11.9 15
1995-12-02 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1573 1519 39.8% 23.6% 36.6% -11.9 21
1995-12-02 Rangers L 0-2 1542 1805 14.6% 21.2% 64.1% -10.1 18
1995-12-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1805 1542 64.1% 21.2% 14.6% +10.1 39
1995-12-02 Hibernian L 0-2 1544 1614 34.5% 23.5% 42.0% -21.2 14
1995-12-02 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1614 1544 42.0% 23.5% 34.5% +21.2 28
1995-12-02 Aberdeen W 1-0 1459 1621 23.3% 22.9% 53.9% +16.2 16
1995-12-02 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1621 1459 53.9% 22.9% 23.3% -16.2 20
1995-12-09 Motherwell W 1-0 1605 1523 54.4% 22.8% 22.8% +8.0 23
1995-12-09 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1523 1605 22.8% 22.8% 54.4% -8.0 14
1995-12-09 Celtic L 0-4 1635 1727 31.4% 23.4% 45.1% -37.4 28
1995-12-09 @ Hibernian W 4-0 1727 1635 45.1% 23.4% 31.4% +37.4 38
1995-12-09 Falkirk W 4-0 1519 1531 42.5% 23.5% 34.0% +39.8 15
1995-12-09 @ Kilmarnock L 0-4 1531 1519 34.0% 23.5% 42.5% -39.8 15
1995-12-09 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1561 1532 48.1% 23.3% 28.6% -1.3 22
1995-12-09 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1532 1561 28.6% 23.3% 48.1% +1.3 19
1995-12-09 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1815 1475 75.7% 17.4% 6.8% +2.4 42
1995-12-09 @ Rangers L 0-1 1475 1815 6.8% 17.4% 75.7% -2.4 16
1995-12-13 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1613 1559 51.2% 23.1% 25.7% +20.5 26
1995-12-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1559 1613 25.7% 23.1% 51.2% -20.5 15
1995-12-16 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1633 1533 56.5% 22.6% 20.9% -16.0 26
1995-12-16 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1533 1633 20.9% 22.6% 56.5% +16.0 22
1995-12-16 Falkirk W 1-0 1765 1491 71.5% 19.1% 9.4% +3.4 41
1995-12-16 @ Celtic L 0-1 1491 1765 9.4% 19.1% 71.5% -3.4 15
1995-12-16 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1598 1560 49.1% 23.2% 27.7% -14.1 28
1995-12-16 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1560 1598 27.7% 23.2% 49.1% +14.1 25
1995-12-16 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1538 1473 52.6% 23.0% 24.5% +8.0 18
1995-12-16 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1473 1538 24.5% 23.0% 52.6% -8.0 16
1995-12-19 Rangers D 0-0 1515 1818 12.2% 20.4% 67.4% +4.5 15
1995-12-19 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1818 1515 67.4% 20.4% 12.2% -4.5 43
1995-12-26 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1813 1546 71.1% 19.3% 9.7% +9.6 46
1995-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-3 1546 1813 9.7% 19.3% 71.1% -9.6 18
1995-12-30 Hibernian W 7-0 1823 1583 69.1% 19.9% 11.0% +24.3 49
1995-12-30 @ Rangers L 0-7 1583 1823 11.0% 19.9% 69.1% -24.3 28
1996-01-01 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1559 1549 45.6% 23.4% 31.0% +9.8 31
1996-01-01 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1549 1559 31.0% 23.4% 45.6% -9.8 22
1996-01-03 Rangers D 0-0 1768 1847 33.2% 23.5% 43.3% +0.7 42
1996-01-03 @ Celtic D 0-0 1847 1768 43.3% 23.5% 33.2% -0.7 50
1996-01-06 Motherwell W 1-0 1769 1520 69.8% 19.7% 10.5% +3.8 45
1996-01-06 @ Celtic L 0-1 1520 1769 10.5% 19.7% 69.8% -3.8 15
1996-01-06 Rangers L 0-4 1488 1846 9.4% 19.1% 71.5% -12.2 15
1996-01-06 @ Falkirk W 4-0 1846 1488 71.5% 19.1% 9.4% +12.2 53
1996-01-06 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1465 1539 33.8% 23.5% 42.7% -11.1 16
1996-01-06 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1539 1465 42.7% 23.5% 33.8% +11.1 25
1996-01-06 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1574 1537 49.1% 23.2% 27.6% -1.4 26
1996-01-06 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1537 1574 27.6% 23.2% 49.1% +1.4 19
1996-01-08 Aberdeen L 1-2 1569 1618 37.4% 23.6% 39.1% -11.3 31
1996-01-08 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1618 1569 39.1% 23.6% 37.4% +11.3 29
1996-01-09 Falkirk L 0-3 1454 1476 41.1% 23.5% 35.3% -35.3 16
1996-01-09 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1476 1454 35.3% 23.5% 41.1% +35.3 18
1996-01-09 Celtic L 1-3 1573 1773 19.7% 22.4% 58.0% -11.5 26
1996-01-09 @ Raith Rovers W 3-1 1773 1573 58.0% 22.4% 19.7% +11.5 48
1996-01-10 Motherwell W 4-0 1550 1516 48.7% 23.3% 28.0% +34.1 28
1996-01-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1516 1550 28.0% 23.3% 48.7% -34.1 15
1996-01-13 Falkirk W 2-1 1584 1511 53.4% 22.9% 23.7% +7.8 31
1996-01-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1511 1584 23.7% 22.9% 53.4% -7.8 18
1996-01-13 Hibernian W 3-2 1538 1558 41.5% 23.5% 34.9% +10.2 22
1996-01-13 @ Kilmarnock L 2-3 1558 1538 34.9% 23.5% 41.5% -10.2 31
1996-01-13 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1482 1418 52.3% 23.0% 24.7% -29.8 15
1996-01-13 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1418 1482 24.7% 23.0% 52.3% +29.8 19
1996-01-13 Raith Rovers W 4-0 1858 1561 73.1% 18.5% 8.4% +10.8 56
1996-01-13 @ Rangers L 0-4 1561 1858 8.4% 18.5% 73.1% -10.8 26
1996-01-14 Celtic L 1-2 1629 1784 24.0% 22.9% 53.1% -7.9 29
1996-01-14 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1784 1629 53.1% 22.9% 24.0% +7.9 51
1996-01-16 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1452 1548 30.9% 23.4% 45.7% -10.3 15
1996-01-16 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1548 1452 45.7% 23.4% 30.9% +10.3 25
1996-01-16 Aberdeen D 1-1 1503 1621 28.3% 23.3% 48.4% +1.3 19
1996-01-16 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1621 1503 48.4% 23.3% 28.3% -1.3 30
1996-01-16 Hibernian D 0-0 1448 1547 30.5% 23.4% 46.1% +1.1 20
1996-01-16 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1547 1448 46.1% 23.4% 30.5% -1.1 32
1996-01-17 Celtic L 1-2 1592 1792 19.6% 22.4% 58.0% -6.6 31
1996-01-17 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1792 1592 58.0% 22.4% 19.6% +6.6 54
1996-01-20 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1620 1449 63.4% 21.4% 15.2% +5.5 33
1996-01-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1449 1620 15.2% 21.4% 63.4% -5.5 20
1996-01-20 Motherwell D 0-0 1546 1442 57.0% 22.5% 20.5% -2.8 33
1996-01-20 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1442 1546 20.5% 22.5% 57.0% +2.8 16
1996-01-20 Celtic D 0-0 1559 1799 16.3% 21.7% 62.0% +3.6 26
1996-01-20 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1799 1559 62.0% 21.7% 16.3% -3.6 55
1996-01-20 Falkirk W 1-0 1551 1505 50.2% 23.2% 26.7% +9.1 29
1996-01-20 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1505 1551 26.7% 23.2% 50.2% -9.1 19
1996-01-20 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1869 1585 72.2% 18.9% 8.9% -57.9 56
1996-01-20 @ Rangers W 3-0 1585 1869 8.9% 18.9% 72.2% +57.9 34
1996-01-23 Motherwell L 0-1 1496 1444 50.8% 23.1% 26.1% -15.4 19
1996-01-23 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1444 1496 26.1% 23.1% 50.8% +15.4 19
1996-01-23 Aberdeen D 1-1 1562 1625 35.4% 23.5% 41.1% +0.4 27
1996-01-23 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1625 1562 41.1% 23.5% 35.4% -0.4 34
1996-01-23 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1560 1444 58.2% 22.3% 19.5% -32.8 29
1996-01-23 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1444 1560 19.5% 22.3% 58.2% +32.8 23
1996-02-03 Hibernian W 2-1 1795 1543 70.0% 19.7% 10.4% +3.6 58
1996-02-03 @ Celtic L 1-2 1543 1795 10.4% 19.7% 70.0% -3.6 33
1996-02-03 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1480 1563 32.7% 23.5% 43.8% +19.8 22
1996-02-03 @ Falkirk L 2-4 1563 1480 43.8% 23.5% 32.7% -19.8 27
1996-02-03 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1643 1527 58.2% 22.3% 19.5% +13.1 37
1996-02-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1527 1643 19.5% 22.3% 58.2% -13.1 29
1996-02-03 Rangers L 1-2 1476 1811 10.5% 19.7% 69.8% -3.6 23
1996-02-03 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1811 1476 69.8% 19.7% 10.5% +3.6 59
1996-02-07 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1625 1514 57.6% 22.4% 20.0% +7.1 37
1996-02-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1514 1625 20.0% 22.4% 57.6% -7.1 29
1996-02-10 Celtic D 0-0 1500 1798 12.4% 20.5% 67.0% +4.4 23
1996-02-10 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1798 1500 67.0% 20.5% 12.4% -4.4 59
1996-02-10 Aberdeen L 1-3 1656 1632 47.5% 23.3% 29.2% -23.7 37
1996-02-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1632 1656 29.2% 23.3% 47.5% +23.7 40
1996-02-10 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1473 1543 34.4% 23.5% 42.1% -11.2 23
1996-02-10 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1543 1473 42.1% 23.5% 34.4% +11.2 30
1996-02-10 Hibernian W 1-0 1507 1540 39.6% 23.6% 36.9% +11.8 32
1996-02-10 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1540 1507 36.9% 23.6% 39.6% -11.8 33
1996-02-10 Motherwell W 3-2 1815 1460 76.6% 17.0% 6.3% +2.0 62
1996-02-10 @ Rangers L 2-3 1460 1815 6.3% 17.0% 76.6% -2.0 19
1996-02-13 Aberdeen W 1-0 1458 1656 19.8% 22.4% 57.8% +17.3 22
1996-02-13 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1656 1458 57.8% 22.4% 19.8% -17.3 40
1996-02-24 Partick Thistle W 4-0 1794 1462 75.3% 17.6% 7.1% +9.0 62
1996-02-24 @ Celtic L 0-4 1462 1794 7.1% 17.6% 75.3% -9.0 23
1996-02-24 Falkirk W 2-1 1528 1504 47.3% 23.3% 29.3% +9.3 36
1996-02-24 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1504 1528 29.3% 23.3% 47.3% -9.3 23
1996-02-24 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1554 1633 33.2% 23.5% 43.3% -20.6 30
1996-02-24 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1633 1554 43.3% 23.5% 33.2% +20.6 40
1996-02-24 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1475 1518 38.1% 23.6% 38.3% +12.2 25
1996-02-24 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1518 1475 38.3% 23.6% 38.1% -12.2 32
1996-02-25 Rangers L 0-1 1638 1817 21.6% 22.6% 55.7% -7.6 40
1996-02-25 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1817 1638 55.7% 22.6% 21.6% +7.6 65
1996-03-02 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1631 1533 56.2% 22.6% 21.2% +20.6 43
1996-03-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1533 1631 21.2% 22.6% 56.2% -20.6 30
1996-03-02 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1803 1653 61.5% 21.8% 16.7% +21.6 65
1996-03-02 @ Celtic L 0-4 1653 1803 16.7% 21.8% 61.5% -21.6 40
1996-03-02 Falkirk W 1-0 1487 1495 43.1% 23.5% 33.4% +11.0 28
1996-03-02 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1495 1487 33.4% 23.5% 43.1% -11.0 23
1996-03-02 Raith Rovers L 0-3 1453 1506 36.6% 23.6% 39.8% -32.3 23
1996-03-02 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1506 1453 39.8% 23.6% 36.6% +32.3 35
1996-03-03 Rangers L 0-2 1537 1825 13.1% 20.8% 66.1% -9.0 36
1996-03-03 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1825 1537 66.1% 20.8% 13.1% +9.0 68
1996-03-16 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1484 1420 52.3% 23.0% 24.6% -14.9 23
1996-03-16 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1420 1484 24.6% 23.0% 52.3% +14.9 26
1996-03-16 Hibernian D 1-1 1632 1528 56.8% 22.5% 20.7% -2.5 41
1996-03-16 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1528 1632 20.7% 22.5% 56.8% +2.5 37
1996-03-16 Motherwell L 0-1 1513 1498 46.2% 23.4% 30.4% -14.2 30
1996-03-16 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1498 1513 30.4% 23.4% 46.2% +14.2 31
1996-03-16 Aberdeen D 2-2 1539 1651 28.9% 23.3% 47.8% +0.9 36
1996-03-16 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1651 1539 47.8% 23.3% 28.9% -0.9 44
1996-03-17 Celtic D 1-1 1834 1825 45.4% 23.4% 31.2% -0.9 69
1996-03-17 @ Rangers D 1-1 1825 1834 31.2% 23.4% 45.4% +0.9 66
1996-03-23 Hibernian W 2-1 1650 1531 58.5% 22.3% 19.2% +6.5 47
1996-03-23 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1531 1650 19.2% 22.3% 58.5% -6.5 37
1996-03-23 Partick Thistle L 2-5 1629 1435 65.5% 20.9% 13.6% -38.8 41
1996-03-23 @ Heart of Midlothian W 5-2 1435 1629 13.6% 20.9% 65.5% +38.8 29
1996-03-23 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1499 1540 38.5% 23.6% 38.0% +22.8 33
1996-03-23 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1540 1499 38.0% 23.6% 38.5% -22.8 36
1996-03-23 Celtic D 0-0 1512 1826 11.6% 20.2% 68.2% +4.6 32
1996-03-23 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1826 1512 68.2% 20.2% 11.6% -4.6 67
1996-03-23 Falkirk W 3-2 1833 1469 77.1% 16.8% 6.1% +1.9 72
1996-03-23 @ Rangers L 2-3 1469 1833 6.1% 16.8% 77.1% -1.9 23
1996-03-30 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1467 1590 27.6% 23.2% 49.1% -17.8 23
1996-03-30 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1590 1467 49.1% 23.2% 27.6% +17.7 44
1996-03-30 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1524 1522 44.6% 23.5% 32.0% -0.8 38
1996-03-30 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1522 1524 32.0% 23.5% 44.6% +0.8 34
1996-03-30 Motherwell L 0-2 1474 1517 38.2% 23.6% 38.3% -22.9 29
1996-03-30 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1517 1474 38.3% 23.6% 38.2% +22.9 35
1996-03-30 Rangers L 2-4 1517 1835 11.3% 20.1% 68.6% -6.0 36
1996-03-30 @ Raith Rovers W 4-2 1835 1517 68.6% 20.1% 11.3% +6.0 75
1996-04-01 Aberdeen W 5-0 1821 1657 62.9% 21.5% 15.6% +25.0 70
1996-04-01 @ Celtic L 0-5 1657 1821 15.6% 21.5% 62.9% -25.0 47
1996-04-06 Raith Rovers L 2-3 1450 1511 35.6% 23.5% 40.8% -10.3 23
1996-04-06 @ Falkirk W 3-2 1511 1450 40.8% 23.5% 35.6% +10.3 39
1996-04-06 Hibernian W 3-0 1540 1524 46.4% 23.4% 30.2% +27.7 38
1996-04-06 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1524 1540 30.2% 23.4% 46.4% -27.7 38
1996-04-10 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1846 1522 74.8% 17.8% 7.4% -4.9 71
1996-04-10 @ Celtic D 1-1 1522 1846 7.4% 17.8% 74.8% +4.9 35
1996-04-10 Rangers W 2-0 1608 1841 16.9% 21.8% 61.3% +34.4 47
1996-04-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1841 1608 61.3% 21.8% 16.9% -34.4 75
1996-04-13 Motherwell W 2-1 1632 1568 52.4% 23.0% 24.6% +8.1 50
1996-04-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1568 1632 24.6% 23.0% 52.4% -8.1 38
1996-04-13 Falkirk W 1-0 1527 1439 55.1% 22.7% 22.1% +7.8 38
1996-04-13 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1439 1527 22.1% 22.7% 55.1% -7.8 23
1996-04-13 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1521 1643 27.8% 23.2% 49.0% -15.4 39
1996-04-13 @ Raith Rovers W 3-1 1643 1521 49.0% 23.2% 27.8% +15.5 50
1996-04-13 Partick Thistle W 5-0 1806 1451 76.6% 17.0% 6.3% +9.9 78
1996-04-13 @ Rangers L 0-5 1451 1806 6.3% 17.0% 76.6% -9.9 29
1996-04-14 Celtic L 1-2 1496 1841 10.0% 19.4% 70.6% -3.4 38
1996-04-14 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1841 1496 70.6% 19.4% 10.0% +3.4 74
1996-04-16 Aberdeen D 1-1 1441 1640 19.8% 22.4% 57.9% +2.6 30
1996-04-16 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1640 1441 57.9% 22.4% 19.8% -2.6 51
1996-04-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1637 1658 41.3% 23.5% 35.1% -0.4 52
1996-04-20 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1658 1637 35.1% 23.5% 41.3% +0.4 51
1996-04-20 Falkirk W 4-0 1845 1431 79.7% 15.5% 4.8% +5.9 77
1996-04-20 @ Celtic L 0-4 1431 1845 4.8% 15.5% 79.7% -5.9 23
1996-04-20 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1492 1506 42.4% 23.5% 34.1% -0.5 39
1996-04-20 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1506 1492 34.1% 23.5% 42.4% +0.5 40
1996-04-20 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1535 1444 55.5% 22.7% 21.8% +7.3 41
1996-04-20 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1444 1535 21.8% 22.7% 55.5% -7.3 30
1996-04-20 Rangers L 1-3 1560 1816 15.1% 21.4% 63.5% -9.0 38
1996-04-20 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1816 1560 63.5% 21.4% 15.1% +9.0 81
1996-04-27 Hibernian D 1-1 1426 1492 34.9% 23.5% 41.6% +0.4 24
1996-04-27 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1492 1426 41.6% 23.5% 34.9% -0.4 40
1996-04-27 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1658 1542 58.2% 22.3% 19.5% +7.0 54
1996-04-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1542 1658 19.5% 22.3% 58.2% -7.0 41
1996-04-27 Celtic L 2-4 1437 1850 7.2% 17.7% 75.1% -3.8 30
1996-04-27 @ Partick Thistle W 4-2 1850 1437 75.1% 17.7% 7.2% +3.8 80
1996-04-27 Motherwell W 2-0 1506 1551 37.9% 23.6% 38.5% +23.1 43
1996-04-27 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1551 1506 38.5% 23.6% 37.9% -23.1 38
1996-04-28 Aberdeen W 3-1 1825 1637 65.0% 21.0% 14.0% +8.3 84
1996-04-28 @ Rangers L 1-3 1637 1825 14.0% 21.0% 65.0% -8.3 52
1996-05-04 Falkirk W 2-1 1628 1426 66.2% 20.8% 13.1% +4.5 55
1996-05-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1426 1628 13.1% 20.8% 66.2% -4.5 24
1996-05-04 Raith Rovers W 4-1 1854 1529 74.9% 17.8% 7.3% +6.0 83
1996-05-04 @ Celtic L 1-4 1529 1854 7.3% 17.8% 74.9% -6.0 43
1996-05-04 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1491 1433 51.7% 23.1% 25.2% +8.7 43
1996-05-04 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1433 1491 25.2% 23.1% 51.7% -8.7 30
1996-05-04 Rangers L 0-3 1535 1834 12.4% 20.5% 67.0% -12.5 41
1996-05-04 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1834 1535 67.0% 20.5% 12.4% +12.5 87
1996-05-04 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1528 1665 25.9% 23.1% 51.0% +1.7 39
1996-05-04 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1665 1528 51.0% 23.1% 25.9% -1.7 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1996-01-20 8.91% Heart of Midlothian 1585 3 @ Rangers 1869 0
2 1996-03-23 13.59% Partick Thistle 1435 5 @ Heart of Midlothian 1629 2
3 1996-04-10 16.90% @ Heart of Midlothian 1608 2 Rangers 1841 0
4 1996-01-23 19.51% Partick Thistle 1444 2 @ Raith Rovers 1560 0
5 1996-02-13 19.84% @ Motherwell 1458 1 Aberdeen 1656 0
6 1995-10-21 20.59% Falkirk 1484 1 @ Raith Rovers 1589 0
7 1995-12-16 20.93% Heart of Midlothian 1533 2 @ Aberdeen 1633 1
8 1995-12-02 23.26% @ Partick Thistle 1459 1 Aberdeen 1621 0
9 1995-09-23 23.28% Hibernian 1633 1 @ Rangers 1710 0
10 1995-11-11 24.17% @ Falkirk 1503 2 Hibernian 1657 0
11 1996-03-16 24.65% Partick Thistle 1420 2 @ Falkirk 1484 1
12 1996-01-13 24.70% Partick Thistle 1418 2 @ Motherwell 1482 0
13 1996-01-23 26.06% Motherwell 1444 1 @ Falkirk 1496 0
14 1995-11-18 26.22% Partick Thistle 1484 1 @ Falkirk 1533 0
15 1995-12-16 27.66% Raith Rovers 1560 2 @ Hibernian 1598 1
16 1996-02-10 29.19% Aberdeen 1632 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1656 1
17 1995-10-07 29.34% Raith Rovers 1582 2 @ Motherwell 1606 0
18 1995-10-14 29.76% @ Heart of Midlothian 1504 4 Raith Rovers 1610 2
19 1995-10-04 29.92% @ Raith Rovers 1543 3 Hibernian 1647 0
20 1995-10-14 30.25% Kilmarnock 1495 2 @ Falkirk 1511 0
21 1996-03-16 30.45% Motherwell 1498 1 @ Kilmarnock 1513 0
22 1995-11-18 30.81% @ Raith Rovers 1538 1 Aberdeen 1635 0
23 1995-11-19 31.87% @ Heart of Midlothian 1538 2 Hibernian 1627 1
24 1996-02-03 32.72% @ Falkirk 1480 4 Kilmarnock 1563 2
25 1995-09-10 33.62% Celtic 1632 3 @ Aberdeen 1623 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-01-20 57.88 Heart of Midlothian 3 1585 8.91% @ Rangers 0 1869 72.23% 18.86%
2 1995-09-23 40.05 Celtic 4 1643 42.21% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1572 34.26% 23.52%
3 1995-12-09 39.76 @ Kilmarnock 4 1519 42.53% Falkirk 0 1531 33.95% 23.52%
4 1995-10-04 39.20 @ Raith Rovers 3 1543 29.92% Hibernian 0 1647 46.71% 23.37%
5 1996-03-23 38.79 Partick Thistle 5 1435 13.59% @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1629 65.48% 20.92%
6 1995-11-04 38.45 @ Kilmarnock 5 1510 35.33% Raith Rovers 1 1574 41.12% 23.54%
7 1995-12-09 37.39 Celtic 4 1727 45.14% @ Hibernian 0 1635 31.42% 23.44%
8 1996-01-09 35.31 Falkirk 3 1476 35.33% @ Partick Thistle 0 1454 41.12% 23.54%
9 1996-04-10 34.40 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1608 16.90% Rangers 0 1841 61.28% 21.82%
10 1996-01-10 34.06 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1550 48.73% Motherwell 0 1516 28.01% 23.26%
11 1995-09-09 33.03 Hibernian 3 1601 38.71% @ Kilmarnock 0 1555 37.73% 23.56%
12 1996-01-23 32.78 Partick Thistle 2 1444 19.51% @ Raith Rovers 0 1560 58.17% 22.32%
13 1996-03-02 32.30 Raith Rovers 3 1506 39.79% @ Partick Thistle 0 1453 36.65% 23.56%
14 1995-11-04 31.87 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1495 40.43% Partick Thistle 0 1522 36.02% 23.55%
15 1995-11-11 30.06 @ Falkirk 2 1503 24.17% Hibernian 0 1657 52.88% 22.95%
16 1996-01-13 29.78 Partick Thistle 2 1418 24.70% @ Motherwell 0 1482 52.30% 23.00%
17 1996-04-06 27.73 @ Motherwell 3 1540 46.41% Hibernian 0 1524 30.20% 23.39%
18 1995-10-07 27.29 Raith Rovers 2 1582 29.34% @ Motherwell 0 1606 47.32% 23.34%
19 1995-10-14 27.15 Rangers 4 1737 55.94% @ Partick Thistle 0 1556 21.44% 22.62%
20 1995-10-14 26.82 Kilmarnock 2 1495 30.25% @ Falkirk 0 1511 46.36% 23.39%
21 1995-09-30 25.06 Rangers 2 1694 33.79% @ Celtic 0 1683 42.69% 23.51%
22 1996-04-01 25.03 @ Celtic 5 1821 62.88% Aberdeen 0 1657 15.61% 21.51%
23 1995-09-09 24.95 @ Rangers 4 1669 58.17% Raith Rovers 0 1553 19.50% 22.32%
24 1995-09-09 24.45 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1569 44.62% Falkirk 1 1566 31.92% 23.46%
25 1995-12-30 24.34 @ Rangers 7 1823 69.08% Hibernian 0 1583 10.99% 19.93%