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1994-95 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Falkirk

6.81 points above expected

48 points · 41.19 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aberdeen

13.79 points below expected

41 points · 54.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 20 9 7 69 60 35 +25 66.64 +2.36
2 Motherwell 36 14 12 10 54 50 50 0 50.10 +3.90
3 Hibernian 36 12 17 7 53 49 37 +12 49.41 +3.59
4 Celtic 36 11 18 7 51 39 33 +6 55.50 -4.50
5 Falkirk 36 12 12 12 48 48 47 +1 41.19 +6.81
6 Heart of Midlothian 36 12 7 17 43 44 51 -7 43.27 -0.27
7 Kilmarnock 36 11 10 15 43 40 48 -8 39.90 +3.10
8 Partick Thistle 36 10 13 13 43 40 50 -10 38.07 +4.93
9 Aberdeen 36 10 11 15 41 43 46 -3 54.79 -13.79
10 Dundee United 36 9 9 18 36 40 56 -16 43.28 -7.28

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1700 69 66.64 +2.36 64.8% 39 54 62 67 72 79 93
Celtic 1629 51 55.50 -4.50 29.5% 26 43 50 55 61 68 87
Aberdeen 1613 41 54.79 -13.79 3.7% 26 43 50 55 60 67 84
Hibernian 1597 53 49.41 +3.59 71.4% 20 38 44 49 54 61 76
Motherwell 1581 54 50.10 +3.90 72.9% 23 38 45 50 55 62 79
Falkirk 1553 48 41.19 +6.81 85.0% 14 30 36 41 46 53 69
Heart of Midlothian 1540 43 43.27 -0.27 51.7% 18 32 38 43 48 55 78
Partick Thistle 1529 43 38.07 +4.93 78.3% 13 27 33 38 43 50 63
Kilmarnock 1527 43 39.90 +3.10 69.9% 16 28 35 40 44 52 70
Dundee United 1517 36 43.28 -7.28 17.2% 18 32 38 43 48 55 76

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU FAL HOM HIB KIL MOT PT RAN
Aberdeen —
1-2-1
5.11
2-1-1
6.65
1-2-1
6.67
3-0-1
6.55
0-3-1
5.93
0-0-4
6.91
1-0-3
5.83
1-2-1
7.17
1-1-2
4.07
Celtic
1-2-1
5.53
 —
2-2-0
6.61
2-1-1
6.64
0-2-2
6.61
1-3-0
5.87
2-2-0
6.94
0-3-1
6.00
1-2-1
7.12
2-1-1
4.11
Dundee United
1-1-2
4.05
0-2-2
4.10
 —
3-0-1
5.57
1-1-2
5.30
0-1-3
4.92
1-1-2
5.66
1-2-1
4.61
2-0-2
5.94
0-1-3
3.23
Falkirk
1-2-1
4.09
1-1-2
4.10
1-0-3
5.10
 —
3-1-0
4.92
2-2-0
4.40
1-2-1
5.42
1-1-2
4.48
2-1-1
5.72
0-2-2
3.03
Heart of Midlothian
1-0-3
4.17
2-2-0
4.10
2-1-1
5.33
0-1-3
5.72
 —
1-0-3
4.72
1-1-2
5.61
2-1-1
4.52
2-0-2
5.83
1-1-2
3.23
Hibernian
1-3-0
4.72
0-3-1
4.80
3-1-0
5.72
0-2-2
6.27
3-0-1
5.94
 —
2-2-0
6.39
1-3-0
5.25
1-2-1
6.66
1-1-2
3.59
Kilmarnock
4-0-0
3.83
0-2-2
3.82
2-1-1
4.98
1-2-1
5.23
2-1-1
5.04
0-2-2
4.29
 —
1-0-3
4.30
1-2-1
5.50
0-0-4
2.94
Motherwell
3-0-1
4.85
1-3-0
4.65
1-2-1
6.06
2-1-1
6.20
1-1-2
6.15
0-3-1
5.40
3-0-1
6.39
 —
1-2-1
6.54
2-0-2
3.74
Partick Thistle
1-2-1
3.62
1-2-1
3.65
2-0-2
4.75
1-1-2
4.93
2-0-2
4.82
1-2-1
4.05
1-2-1
5.14
1-2-1
4.17
 —
0-2-2
2.92
Rangers
2-1-1
6.67
1-1-2
6.60
3-1-0
7.63
2-2-0
7.88
2-1-1
7.63
2-1-1
7.19
4-0-0
7.99
2-0-2
7.04
2-2-0
8.02
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +12.2
Allowed 0.53 -8.8
Differential 0.89 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.44%6.11%8.89%2.78%0.28%0.28%27.78%
16.11%13.33%8.33%4.72%—0.28%32.78%
28.89%8.33%9.44%1.11%0.28%0.28%28.33%
32.78%4.72%1.11%0.56%—0.28%9.44%
40.28%—0.28%———0.56%
5+0.28%0.28%0.28%0.28%——1.11%
Total27.78%32.78%28.33%9.44%0.56%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.06 1.54
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%8.33%———33.33%
12.78%2.78%13.89%5.56%——25.00%
28.33%5.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%25.00%33.33%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.28 -0.08
SD 1.04 1.09 1.40
CV 0.87 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
15.56%27.78%—5.56%——38.89%
211.11%11.11%8.33%———30.56%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%47.22%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 0.92 +0.17
SD 0.84 0.84 1.18
CV 0.78 0.92 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%38.89%
15.56%13.89%13.89%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total16.67%33.33%36.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.56 -0.44
SD 1.39 1.13 1.98
CV 1.25 0.73 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
15.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
211.11%11.11%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%—2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%25.00%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.31 +0.03
SD 0.99 1.17 1.36
CV 0.74 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
18.33%16.67%11.11%13.89%——50.00%
211.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%16.67%19.44%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.42 -0.19
SD 0.80 1.23 1.60
CV 0.65 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%2.78%11.11%———33.33%
15.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
22.78%11.11%16.67%———30.56%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%27.78%33.33%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.03 +0.33
SD 1.31 0.91 1.57
CV 0.96 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%13.89%5.56%——38.89%
15.56%5.56%11.11%———22.22%
28.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%36.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.33 -0.22
SD 1.06 0.99 1.42
CV 0.96 0.74 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
18.33%16.67%8.33%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
28.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%30.56%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.20 1.57
CV 0.78 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%8.33%8.33%——33.33%
15.56%8.33%8.33%8.33%——30.56%
25.56%8.33%13.89%———27.78%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%30.56%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.39 -0.28
SD 0.98 1.05 1.49
CV 0.88 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——8.33%2.78%——11.11%
18.33%19.44%8.33%———36.11%
216.67%5.56%5.56%———27.78%
311.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%33.33%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.97 +0.69
SD 0.99 0.88 1.56
CV 0.59 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Falkirk 48 41.19 +6.81
2 Partick Thistle 43 38.07 +4.93
3 Motherwell 54 50.10 +3.90
4 Hibernian 53 49.41 +3.59
5 Kilmarnock 43 39.90 +3.10

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aberdeen 41 54.79 -13.79
2 Dundee United 36 43.28 -7.28
3 Celtic 51 55.50 -4.50
4 Heart of Midlothian 43 43.27 -0.27
5 Rangers 69 66.64 +2.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 5 Mar 25 – Apr 19 1 in 354
2 Motherwell 5 Oct 8 – Nov 5 1 in 224
3 Partick Thistle 3 Apr 4 – Apr 15 1 in 68
4 Heart of Midlothian 3 Oct 8 – Oct 22 1 in 46
5 Rangers 5 Nov 25 – Dec 31 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 4 Apr 1 – Apr 15 1 in 144
2 Celtic 3 Oct 15 – Oct 30 1 in 75
3 Aberdeen 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 51
4 Rangers 2 Apr 30 – May 7 1 in 29
5 Falkirk 3 Jan 14 – Jan 21 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 15 Aug 20 – Dec 3 1 in 264
2 Falkirk 8 Feb 25 – Apr 19 1 in 81
3 Hibernian 11 Oct 1 – Dec 10 1 in 52
4 Celtic 12 Nov 5 – Jan 21 1 in 51
5 Partick Thistle 7 Mar 7 – Apr 15 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 11 Oct 1 – Dec 26 1 in 284
2 Aberdeen 9 Aug 20 – Oct 22 1 in 177
3 Falkirk 11 Nov 8 – Jan 21 1 in 38
4 Hibernian 7 Nov 5 – Dec 26 1 in 19
5 Dundee United 7 Mar 4 – Apr 15 1 in 12

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers73.82%16.28%5.73%2.57%1.02%0.41%0.10%0.06%0.01%—
Motherwell2.89%11.93%16.09%18.09%16.76%13.04%8.97%6.58%3.76%1.89%
Hibernian2.90%10.78%15.48%17.92%16.30%13.39%10.16%6.72%4.16%2.19%
Celtic10.68%28.66%22.44%15.12%10.07%6.18%3.41%2.08%0.94%0.42%
Falkirk0.20%1.25%3.35%5.92%9.12%12.64%16.43%16.83%17.52%16.74%
Heart of Midlothian0.40%2.52%4.69%8.43%11.59%15.17%15.77%15.97%14.59%10.87%
Kilmarnock0.08%0.93%2.56%4.29%7.23%9.97%13.84%17.51%21.10%22.49%
Partick Thistle0.04%0.45%1.52%2.87%5.37%8.09%11.22%15.67%21.66%33.11%
Aberdeen8.60%24.83%22.99%16.41%11.83%6.83%4.27%2.50%1.23%0.51%
Dundee United0.39%2.37%5.15%8.38%10.71%14.28%15.83%16.08%15.03%11.78%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.22%
Clear Edge
42.22%32.78%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 60.44 Elo pts.
252 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
74%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Comfortable
00.230.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.75 * Some Luck: 5.75 to 8.63 * Lucky: 8.63 to 11.51 * Wild Swing: 11.51 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.87 * Off: 1.87 to 2.49 * Way Off: 2.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.14 points
Some Luck
07.1918
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.40
Off
01.564
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
84.96%
Falkirk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.66%
Aberdeen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.03
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
74%
Clear Edge
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
8%
Rare
0%10%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.72
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.57
Overconfident
0.4397281.001.56027
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Rangers 99.99% 0.01% —
Celtic 98.64% 0.94% 0.42%
Aberdeen 98.26% 1.23% 0.51%
Motherwell 94.35% 3.76% 1.89%
Hibernian 93.65% 4.16% 2.19%
Heart of Midlothian 74.54% 14.59% 10.87%
Dundee United 73.19% 15.03% 11.78%
Falkirk 65.74% 17.52% 16.74%
Kilmarnock 56.41% 21.10% 22.49%
Partick Thistle 45.23% 21.66% 33.11%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1994-08-13 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1657 1541 56.3% 28.0% 15.8% +4.5 3
1994-08-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1541 1657 15.8% 28.0% 56.3% -4.5 0
1994-08-13 Celtic D 1-1 1523 1624 27.3% 34.4% 38.3% +0.3 1
1994-08-13 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1624 1523 38.3% 34.4% 27.3% -0.3 1
1994-08-13 Dundee United W 5-0 1554 1571 38.8% 34.3% 26.9% +19.8 3
1994-08-13 @ Hibernian L 0-5 1571 1554 26.9% 34.3% 38.8% -19.8 0
1994-08-13 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1525 1529 40.7% 33.9% 25.4% +8.1 3
1994-08-13 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1529 1525 25.4% 33.9% 40.7% -8.1 0
1994-08-13 Motherwell W 2-1 1681 1580 54.4% 28.9% 16.6% +2.8 3
1994-08-13 @ Rangers L 1-2 1580 1681 16.6% 28.9% 54.4% -2.8 0
1994-08-20 Falkirk D 2-2 1661 1524 59.0% 26.5% 14.5% -1.0 4
1994-08-20 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1524 1661 14.5% 26.5% 59.0% +1.0 2
1994-08-20 Dundee United W 2-1 1624 1551 50.9% 30.6% 18.5% +3.1 4
1994-08-20 @ Celtic L 1-2 1551 1624 18.5% 30.6% 50.9% -3.1 0
1994-08-20 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1574 1521 48.4% 31.7% 20.0% -0.9 4
1994-08-20 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1521 1574 20.0% 31.7% 48.4% +0.9 1
1994-08-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1578 1537 46.7% 32.3% 21.0% -0.8 1
1994-08-20 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1537 1578 21.0% 32.3% 46.7% +0.8 1
1994-08-20 Rangers L 0-2 1533 1683 22.0% 32.8% 45.2% -7.2 3
1994-08-20 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1683 1533 45.2% 32.8% 22.0% +7.2 6
1994-08-27 Aberdeen W 2-1 1548 1660 26.0% 34.1% 39.9% +5.5 3
1994-08-27 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1660 1548 39.9% 34.1% 26.0% -5.5 4
1994-08-27 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1525 1526 41.0% 33.9% 25.1% +4.0 5
1994-08-27 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1526 1525 25.1% 33.9% 41.0% -4.0 3
1994-08-27 Hibernian L 0-1 1538 1573 36.2% 34.6% 29.2% -5.5 1
1994-08-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1573 1538 29.2% 34.6% 36.2% +5.5 7
1994-08-27 Motherwell L 0-1 1522 1577 33.4% 34.7% 31.9% -5.2 1
1994-08-27 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1577 1522 31.9% 34.7% 33.4% +5.2 4
1994-08-27 Celtic L 0-2 1691 1627 49.8% 31.1% 19.1% -13.0 6
1994-08-27 @ Rangers W 2-0 1627 1691 19.1% 31.1% 49.8% +13.0 7
1994-09-10 Motherwell D 1-1 1554 1582 37.2% 34.5% 28.3% -0.2 4
1994-09-10 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1582 1554 28.3% 34.5% 37.2% +0.2 5
1994-09-10 Aberdeen D 2-2 1578 1654 30.4% 34.7% 34.9% +0.1 8
1994-09-10 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1654 1578 34.9% 34.7% 30.4% -0.1 5
1994-09-10 Falkirk D 1-1 1516 1529 39.5% 34.2% 26.4% -0.4 2
1994-09-10 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1529 1516 26.4% 34.2% 39.5% +0.4 6
1994-09-10 Celtic L 1-2 1522 1640 25.3% 33.9% 40.7% -4.1 3
1994-09-10 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1640 1522 40.7% 33.9% 25.3% +4.0 10
1994-09-11 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1678 1532 60.0% 25.9% 14.1% +6.6 9
1994-09-11 @ Rangers L 0-3 1532 1678 14.1% 25.9% 60.0% -6.6 1
1994-09-17 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1654 1518 58.9% 26.5% 14.6% -1.4 6
1994-09-17 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1518 1654 14.6% 26.5% 58.9% +1.4 4
1994-09-17 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1644 1516 57.8% 27.1% 15.0% -1.3 11
1994-09-17 @ Celtic D 1-1 1516 1644 15.0% 27.1% 57.8% +1.3 3
1994-09-17 Rangers L 0-2 1529 1684 21.6% 32.6% 45.8% -7.1 6
1994-09-17 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1684 1529 45.8% 32.6% 21.6% +7.1 12
1994-09-17 Dundee United W 2-1 1526 1554 37.3% 34.5% 28.2% +4.4 4
1994-09-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1554 1526 28.2% 34.5% 37.3% -4.4 4
1994-09-17 Hibernian D 1-1 1582 1579 41.7% 33.7% 24.6% -0.5 6
1994-09-17 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1579 1582 24.6% 33.7% 41.7% +0.5 9
1994-09-24 Rangers D 2-2 1653 1691 35.8% 34.6% 29.6% -0.1 7
1994-09-24 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1691 1653 29.6% 34.6% 35.8% +0.1 13
1994-09-24 Hibernian W 2-0 1642 1579 49.7% 31.1% 19.1% +6.4 14
1994-09-24 @ Celtic L 0-2 1579 1642 19.1% 31.1% 49.7% -6.4 9
1994-09-24 Falkirk W 1-0 1549 1522 44.9% 32.9% 22.2% +3.9 7
1994-09-24 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1522 1549 22.2% 32.9% 44.9% -3.9 6
1994-09-24 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1530 1517 42.9% 33.4% 23.6% +11.1 7
1994-09-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1517 1530 23.6% 33.4% 42.9% -11.1 3
1994-09-24 Motherwell D 2-2 1519 1582 32.4% 34.8% 32.9% +0.0 5
1994-09-24 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1582 1519 32.9% 34.8% 32.4% -0.0 7
1994-10-01 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1518 1541 38.0% 34.4% 27.6% +4.3 9
1994-10-01 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1541 1518 27.6% 34.4% 38.0% -4.3 7
1994-10-01 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1573 1519 48.4% 31.7% 20.0% +9.6 12
1994-10-01 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1519 1573 20.0% 31.7% 48.4% -9.6 5
1994-10-01 Aberdeen W 2-1 1506 1653 22.4% 32.9% 44.7% +6.0 6
1994-10-01 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1653 1506 44.7% 32.9% 22.4% -6.0 7
1994-10-01 Celtic D 1-1 1582 1649 31.7% 34.7% 33.6% +0.0 8
1994-10-01 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1649 1582 33.6% 34.7% 31.7% -0.0 15
1994-10-01 Dundee United W 2-0 1691 1553 59.1% 26.4% 14.5% +4.7 16
1994-10-01 @ Rangers L 0-2 1553 1691 14.5% 26.4% 59.1% -4.7 7
1994-10-08 Aberdeen D 0-0 1649 1647 41.5% 33.8% 24.8% -0.5 16
1994-10-08 @ Celtic D 0-0 1647 1649 24.8% 33.8% 41.5% +0.5 8
1994-10-08 Rangers W 2-1 1582 1696 25.8% 34.0% 40.2% +5.6 15
1994-10-08 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1696 1582 40.2% 34.0% 25.8% -5.6 16
1994-10-08 Dundee United L 0-2 1512 1548 36.1% 34.6% 29.3% -10.3 6
1994-10-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1548 1512 29.3% 34.6% 36.1% +10.3 10
1994-10-08 Falkirk W 5-3 1582 1523 49.2% 31.4% 19.5% +4.7 11
1994-10-08 @ Motherwell L 3-5 1523 1582 19.5% 31.4% 49.2% -4.7 9
1994-10-08 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1510 1537 37.4% 34.5% 28.1% -5.6 5
1994-10-08 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1537 1510 28.1% 34.5% 37.4% +5.6 10
1994-10-15 Motherwell L 1-3 1647 1587 49.4% 31.3% 19.4% -11.2 8
1994-10-15 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1587 1647 19.4% 31.3% 49.4% +11.2 14
1994-10-15 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1559 1504 48.6% 31.6% 19.8% -6.8 10
1994-10-15 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1504 1559 19.8% 31.6% 48.6% +6.8 8
1994-10-15 Hibernian D 0-0 1518 1588 31.3% 34.7% 34.0% +0.1 10
1994-10-15 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1588 1518 34.0% 34.7% 31.3% -0.1 16
1994-10-15 Celtic W 1-0 1543 1648 26.7% 34.2% 39.1% +5.8 13
1994-10-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1648 1543 39.1% 34.2% 26.7% -5.8 16
1994-10-15 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1691 1502 65.0% 22.8% 12.2% +3.7 19
1994-10-15 @ Rangers L 0-2 1502 1691 12.2% 22.8% 65.0% -3.7 6
1994-10-22 Falkirk L 0-2 1642 1518 57.5% 27.3% 15.2% -14.4 16
1994-10-22 @ Celtic W 2-0 1518 1642 15.2% 27.3% 57.5% +14.4 13
1994-10-22 Hibernian D 0-0 1552 1588 36.2% 34.6% 29.2% -0.2 11
1994-10-22 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1588 1552 29.2% 34.6% 36.2% +0.2 17
1994-10-22 Aberdeen W 2-0 1548 1636 28.9% 34.6% 36.5% +10.4 16
1994-10-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1636 1548 36.5% 34.6% 28.9% -10.4 8
1994-10-22 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1498 1511 39.4% 34.2% 26.4% +8.4 9
1994-10-22 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1511 1498 26.4% 34.2% 39.4% -8.4 8
1994-10-22 Rangers W 2-1 1598 1694 27.8% 34.4% 37.8% +5.3 17
1994-10-22 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1694 1598 37.8% 34.4% 27.8% -5.3 19
1994-10-29 Dundee United W 3-0 1626 1552 51.1% 30.5% 18.4% +8.9 11
1994-10-29 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1552 1626 18.4% 30.5% 51.1% -8.9 11
1994-10-29 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1588 1559 45.2% 32.8% 22.0% +3.6 20
1994-10-29 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1559 1588 22.0% 32.8% 45.2% -3.6 16
1994-10-29 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1603 1507 54.0% 29.2% 16.9% +2.7 20
1994-10-29 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1507 1603 16.9% 29.2% 54.0% -2.6 9
1994-10-29 Falkirk L 1-2 1503 1532 37.0% 34.5% 28.5% -5.3 8
1994-10-29 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1532 1503 28.5% 34.5% 37.0% +5.3 16
1994-10-30 Rangers L 1-3 1628 1689 32.6% 34.8% 32.7% -8.4 16
1994-10-30 @ Celtic W 3-1 1689 1628 32.7% 34.8% 32.6% +8.4 22
1994-11-05 Celtic D 2-2 1543 1620 30.3% 34.7% 35.0% +0.1 12
1994-11-05 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1620 1543 35.0% 34.7% 30.3% -0.1 17
1994-11-05 Aberdeen W 2-1 1538 1635 27.7% 34.4% 37.9% +5.4 19
1994-11-05 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1635 1538 37.9% 34.4% 27.7% -5.4 11
1994-11-05 Motherwell L 1-2 1555 1606 34.0% 34.7% 31.2% -5.0 16
1994-11-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1606 1555 31.2% 34.7% 34.0% +5.0 23
1994-11-05 Hibernian D 0-0 1504 1592 28.9% 34.6% 36.5% +0.2 10
1994-11-05 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1592 1504 36.5% 34.6% 28.9% -0.2 21
1994-11-05 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1697 1497 66.3% 22.0% 11.7% +5.1 25
1994-11-05 @ Rangers L 0-3 1497 1697 11.7% 22.0% 66.3% -5.1 8
1994-11-08 Kilmarnock D 3-3 1543 1504 46.5% 32.4% 21.2% -0.5 20
1994-11-08 @ Falkirk D 3-3 1504 1543 21.2% 32.4% 46.5% +0.5 11
1994-11-08 Dundee United D 1-1 1611 1543 50.3% 30.9% 18.8% -0.9 24
1994-11-08 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1543 1611 18.8% 30.9% 50.3% +0.9 13
1994-11-09 Hibernian D 0-0 1629 1591 46.4% 32.4% 21.2% -0.8 12
1994-11-09 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1591 1629 21.2% 32.4% 46.4% +0.8 22
1994-11-09 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1620 1492 57.8% 27.1% 15.1% -1.5 18
1994-11-09 @ Celtic D 0-0 1492 1620 15.1% 27.1% 57.8% +1.5 9
1994-11-09 Rangers D 1-1 1550 1702 21.8% 32.7% 45.5% +0.7 17
1994-11-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1702 1550 45.5% 32.7% 21.8% -0.7 26
1994-11-19 Heart of Midlothian W 5-2 1544 1551 40.2% 34.0% 25.7% +8.7 16
1994-11-19 @ Dundee United L 2-5 1551 1544 25.7% 34.0% 40.2% -8.7 17
1994-11-19 Motherwell D 2-2 1592 1610 38.7% 34.3% 27.0% -0.2 23
1994-11-19 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1610 1592 27.0% 34.3% 38.7% +0.2 25
1994-11-19 Celtic D 0-0 1505 1618 25.8% 34.1% 40.2% +0.4 12
1994-11-19 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1618 1505 40.2% 34.1% 25.8% -0.5 19
1994-11-19 Aberdeen W 2-1 1494 1628 23.5% 33.4% 43.1% +5.8 12
1994-11-19 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1628 1494 43.1% 33.4% 23.5% -5.9 12
1994-11-19 Falkirk D 1-1 1702 1542 61.6% 24.9% 13.5% -1.5 27
1994-11-19 @ Rangers D 1-1 1542 1702 13.5% 24.9% 61.6% +1.5 21
1994-11-25 Aberdeen W 1-0 1700 1623 51.6% 30.3% 18.1% +3.2 30
1994-11-25 @ Rangers L 0-1 1623 1700 18.1% 30.3% 51.6% -3.2 12
1994-11-26 Dundee United L 1-3 1544 1553 40.0% 34.1% 25.9% -9.6 21
1994-11-26 @ Falkirk W 3-1 1553 1544 25.9% 34.1% 40.0% +9.6 19
1994-11-26 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1505 1542 36.0% 34.6% 29.4% +7.8 15
1994-11-26 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1542 1505 29.4% 34.6% 36.0% -7.8 17
1994-11-26 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1610 1500 55.7% 28.3% 16.0% +4.6 28
1994-11-26 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1500 1610 16.0% 28.3% 55.7% -4.6 12
1994-11-30 Celtic D 1-1 1592 1618 37.6% 34.4% 28.0% -0.3 24
1994-11-30 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1618 1592 28.0% 34.4% 37.6% +0.3 20
1994-12-03 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1619 1513 55.2% 28.5% 16.2% -7.4 12
1994-12-03 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1513 1619 16.2% 28.5% 55.2% +7.4 18
1994-12-03 Motherwell D 2-2 1618 1615 41.7% 33.7% 24.6% -0.4 21
1994-12-03 @ Celtic D 2-2 1615 1618 24.6% 33.7% 41.7% +0.4 29
1994-12-03 Falkirk D 1-1 1534 1534 41.2% 33.8% 25.0% -0.5 18
1994-12-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1534 1534 25.0% 33.8% 41.2% +0.5 22
1994-12-03 Hibernian D 2-2 1495 1592 27.8% 34.4% 37.8% +0.2 13
1994-12-03 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1592 1495 37.8% 34.4% 27.8% -0.2 25
1994-12-04 Rangers L 0-3 1562 1703 22.9% 33.1% 44.0% -10.8 19
1994-12-04 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1703 1562 44.0% 33.1% 22.9% +10.8 33
1994-12-10 Falkirk D 2-2 1591 1535 48.8% 31.5% 19.7% -0.6 26
1994-12-10 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1535 1591 19.7% 31.5% 48.8% +0.7 23
1994-12-10 Rangers L 1-2 1520 1714 18.4% 30.6% 51.0% -3.1 18
1994-12-10 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1714 1520 51.0% 30.6% 18.4% +3.1 36
1994-12-10 Aberdeen L 0-1 1615 1612 41.6% 33.8% 24.6% -6.1 29
1994-12-10 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1612 1615 24.6% 33.8% 41.6% +6.1 15
1994-12-26 Celtic D 0-0 1618 1618 41.2% 33.8% 24.9% -0.5 16
1994-12-26 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1618 1618 24.9% 33.8% 41.2% +0.5 22
1994-12-26 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1551 1517 45.9% 32.6% 21.6% -0.5 20
1994-12-26 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1517 1551 21.6% 32.6% 45.9% +0.5 19
1994-12-26 Motherwell L 0-1 1535 1609 30.8% 34.7% 34.5% -4.9 23
1994-12-26 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1609 1535 34.5% 34.7% 30.8% +4.9 32
1994-12-26 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1534 1495 46.5% 32.4% 21.2% +10.2 21
1994-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1495 1534 21.2% 32.4% 46.5% -10.2 13
1994-12-26 Hibernian W 2-0 1717 1591 57.7% 27.2% 15.1% +4.9 39
1994-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-2 1591 1717 15.1% 27.2% 57.7% -4.9 26
1994-12-31 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1618 1544 51.0% 30.6% 18.4% +5.3 19
1994-12-31 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1544 1618 18.4% 30.6% 51.0% -5.3 21
1994-12-31 Falkirk W 2-0 1618 1530 52.8% 29.7% 17.4% +5.8 25
1994-12-31 @ Celtic L 0-2 1530 1618 17.4% 29.7% 52.8% -5.8 23
1994-12-31 Dundee United W 4-0 1586 1551 46.0% 32.5% 21.5% +13.4 29
1994-12-31 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1551 1586 21.5% 32.5% 46.0% -13.4 20
1994-12-31 Rangers L 1-3 1614 1722 26.4% 34.2% 39.5% -7.2 32
1994-12-31 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1722 1614 39.5% 34.2% 26.4% +7.2 42
1994-12-31 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1485 1518 36.6% 34.6% 28.8% -0.2 14
1994-12-31 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1518 1485 28.8% 34.6% 36.6% +0.2 20
1995-01-02 Aberdeen D 0-0 1537 1623 29.2% 34.6% 36.2% +0.2 21
1995-01-02 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1623 1537 36.2% 34.6% 29.2% -0.2 20
1995-01-04 Celtic D 1-1 1730 1624 55.1% 28.6% 16.3% -1.2 43
1995-01-04 @ Rangers D 1-1 1624 1730 16.3% 28.6% 55.1% +1.2 26
1995-01-07 Falkirk D 0-0 1623 1525 54.1% 29.1% 16.8% -1.3 21
1995-01-07 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1525 1623 16.8% 29.1% 54.1% +1.3 24
1995-01-07 Dundee United D 1-1 1625 1538 52.8% 29.7% 17.4% -1.1 27
1995-01-07 @ Celtic D 1-1 1538 1625 17.4% 29.7% 52.8% +1.1 22
1995-01-07 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1599 1518 52.0% 30.1% 17.8% +3.0 32
1995-01-07 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1518 1599 17.8% 30.1% 52.0% -3.0 20
1995-01-07 Rangers D 1-1 1485 1728 15.3% 27.5% 57.2% +1.3 15
1995-01-07 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1728 1485 57.2% 27.5% 15.3% -1.3 44
1995-01-08 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1607 1539 50.3% 30.9% 18.8% -6.5 32
1995-01-08 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1539 1607 18.8% 30.9% 50.3% +6.5 24
1995-01-11 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1624 1545 51.7% 30.3% 18.0% -1.0 28
1995-01-11 @ Celtic D 1-1 1545 1624 18.0% 30.3% 51.7% +1.0 25
1995-01-13 Hibernian D 0-0 1600 1602 40.9% 33.9% 25.2% -0.5 33
1995-01-13 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1602 1600 25.2% 33.9% 40.9% +0.5 33
1995-01-14 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1621 1486 58.8% 26.6% 14.6% +4.1 24
1995-01-14 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1486 1621 14.6% 26.6% 58.8% -4.1 15
1995-01-14 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1623 1515 55.4% 28.4% 16.2% +2.7 31
1995-01-14 @ Celtic L 1-2 1515 1623 16.2% 28.4% 55.4% -2.7 20
1995-01-14 Rangers L 2-3 1526 1727 17.9% 30.2% 51.9% -2.8 24
1995-01-14 @ Falkirk W 3-2 1727 1526 51.9% 30.2% 17.9% +2.8 47
1995-01-14 Dundee United W 2-0 1546 1539 42.2% 33.6% 24.2% +7.8 28
1995-01-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1539 1546 24.2% 33.6% 42.2% -7.8 22
1995-01-17 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1523 1482 46.8% 32.3% 21.0% -10.8 24
1995-01-17 @ Falkirk W 3-1 1482 1523 21.0% 32.3% 46.8% +10.8 18
1995-01-17 Motherwell W 2-0 1512 1600 29.0% 34.6% 36.5% +10.4 23
1995-01-17 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1600 1512 36.5% 34.6% 29.0% -10.4 33
1995-01-18 Hibernian W 2-0 1554 1603 34.3% 34.7% 31.0% +9.4 31
1995-01-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1603 1554 31.0% 34.7% 34.3% -9.3 33
1995-01-21 Motherwell W 6-1 1531 1589 33.0% 34.8% 32.3% +18.6 25
1995-01-21 @ Dundee United L 1-6 1589 1531 32.3% 34.8% 33.0% -18.6 33
1995-01-21 Aberdeen W 4-2 1593 1625 36.7% 34.5% 28.8% +6.9 36
1995-01-21 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1625 1593 28.8% 34.5% 36.7% -6.9 24
1995-01-21 Falkirk W 2-1 1523 1512 42.6% 33.5% 23.9% +3.9 26
1995-01-21 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1512 1523 23.9% 33.5% 42.6% -3.9 24
1995-01-21 Celtic D 0-0 1493 1626 23.7% 33.5% 42.8% +0.6 19
1995-01-21 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1626 1493 42.8% 33.5% 23.7% -0.6 32
1995-01-21 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1730 1563 62.5% 24.4% 13.1% +2.2 50
1995-01-21 @ Rangers L 0-1 1563 1730 13.1% 24.4% 62.5% -2.2 31
1995-02-04 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1508 1561 33.7% 34.7% 31.5% +9.5 27
1995-02-04 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1561 1508 31.5% 34.7% 33.7% -9.5 31
1995-02-04 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1600 1493 55.3% 28.5% 16.2% -7.0 36
1995-02-04 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1493 1600 16.2% 28.5% 55.3% +7.0 22
1995-02-04 Aberdeen W 3-1 1527 1619 28.4% 34.5% 37.1% +9.1 29
1995-02-04 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1619 1527 37.1% 34.5% 28.4% -9.1 24
1995-02-04 Celtic W 1-0 1570 1625 33.5% 34.7% 31.8% +5.0 36
1995-02-04 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1625 1570 31.8% 34.7% 33.5% -5.0 32
1995-02-04 Dundee United D 1-1 1732 1550 64.3% 23.2% 12.4% -1.6 51
1995-02-04 @ Rangers D 1-1 1550 1732 12.4% 23.2% 64.3% +1.6 26
1995-02-11 Hibernian D 2-2 1620 1593 44.9% 32.9% 22.3% -0.5 33
1995-02-11 @ Celtic D 2-2 1593 1620 22.3% 32.9% 44.9% +0.5 37
1995-02-11 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1552 1536 43.4% 33.3% 23.3% -0.4 32
1995-02-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1536 1552 23.3% 33.3% 43.4% +0.4 30
1995-02-12 Rangers W 2-0 1609 1730 25.0% 33.8% 41.2% +11.3 27
1995-02-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1730 1609 41.2% 33.8% 25.0% -11.4 51
1995-02-21 Falkirk W 1-0 1551 1518 45.7% 32.6% 21.7% +3.8 29
1995-02-21 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1518 1551 21.7% 32.6% 45.7% -3.8 27
1995-02-25 Motherwell L 0-2 1621 1576 47.3% 32.1% 20.6% -12.5 27
1995-02-25 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1576 1621 20.6% 32.1% 47.3% +12.5 39
1995-02-25 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1555 1500 48.5% 31.6% 19.9% +6.6 32
1995-02-25 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1500 1555 19.9% 31.6% 48.5% -6.6 22
1995-02-25 Hibernian W 1-0 1514 1594 30.0% 34.7% 35.4% +5.4 30
1995-02-25 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1594 1514 35.4% 34.7% 30.0% -5.4 37
1995-02-25 Celtic D 1-1 1551 1620 31.5% 34.7% 33.7% +0.1 33
1995-02-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1620 1551 33.7% 34.7% 31.5% -0.1 34
1995-02-25 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1719 1536 64.4% 23.2% 12.4% +5.6 54
1995-02-25 @ Rangers L 0-3 1536 1719 12.4% 23.2% 64.4% -5.6 30
1995-03-04 Rangers D 1-1 1588 1725 23.4% 33.3% 43.3% +0.6 38
1995-03-04 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1725 1588 43.3% 33.3% 23.4% -0.6 55
1995-03-04 Dundee United W 2-0 1531 1562 36.9% 34.5% 28.6% +8.9 33
1995-03-04 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1562 1531 28.6% 34.5% 36.9% -8.9 32
1995-03-05 Aberdeen W 2-0 1619 1608 42.7% 33.5% 23.8% +7.7 37
1995-03-05 @ Celtic L 0-2 1608 1619 23.8% 33.5% 42.7% -7.7 27
1995-03-07 Dundee United W 2-0 1494 1553 32.9% 34.8% 32.4% +9.6 25
1995-03-07 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1553 1494 32.4% 34.8% 32.9% -9.6 32
1995-03-07 Falkirk D 2-2 1588 1520 50.4% 30.9% 18.8% -0.7 40
1995-03-07 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1520 1588 18.8% 30.9% 50.4% +0.7 31
1995-03-11 Aberdeen D 2-2 1503 1601 27.7% 34.4% 37.9% +0.2 26
1995-03-11 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1601 1503 37.9% 34.4% 27.7% -0.2 28
1995-03-11 Falkirk D 2-2 1724 1520 66.8% 21.7% 11.6% -1.3 56
1995-03-11 @ Rangers D 2-2 1520 1724 11.6% 21.7% 66.8% +1.3 32
1995-03-14 Motherwell D 0-0 1504 1587 29.4% 34.6% 36.0% +0.2 27
1995-03-14 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1587 1504 36.0% 34.6% 29.4% -0.2 41
1995-03-18 Hibernian D 0-0 1600 1589 42.8% 33.5% 23.8% -0.6 29
1995-03-18 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1589 1600 23.8% 33.5% 42.8% +0.6 39
1995-03-18 Rangers W 2-1 1551 1723 20.2% 31.8% 48.0% +6.3 36
1995-03-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1723 1551 48.0% 31.8% 20.2% -6.3 56
1995-03-18 Dundee United W 2-1 1587 1543 47.2% 32.1% 20.7% +3.4 44
1995-03-18 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1543 1587 20.7% 32.1% 47.2% -3.4 32
1995-03-21 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1540 1558 38.6% 34.3% 27.1% -0.3 33
1995-03-21 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1558 1540 27.1% 34.3% 38.6% +0.3 37
1995-03-21 Celtic L 0-1 1539 1627 28.9% 34.6% 36.5% -4.7 33
1995-03-21 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1627 1539 36.5% 34.6% 28.9% +4.7 40
1995-03-22 Motherwell W 2-0 1590 1591 41.0% 33.9% 25.1% +8.0 42
1995-03-22 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1591 1590 25.1% 33.9% 41.0% -8.0 44
1995-03-25 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1522 1535 39.4% 34.2% 26.5% +8.4 35
1995-03-25 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1535 1522 26.5% 34.2% 39.4% -8.4 33
1995-04-01 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1600 1526 51.0% 30.6% 18.4% -7.0 29
1995-04-01 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1526 1600 18.4% 30.6% 51.0% +7.0 36
1995-04-01 Motherwell D 1-1 1632 1583 47.9% 31.9% 20.3% -0.8 41
1995-04-01 @ Celtic D 1-1 1583 1632 20.3% 31.9% 47.9% +0.8 45
1995-04-01 Rangers L 0-2 1539 1716 19.7% 31.5% 48.8% -6.5 33
1995-04-01 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1716 1539 48.8% 31.5% 19.7% +6.5 59
1995-04-01 Falkirk L 0-1 1558 1530 45.0% 32.8% 22.1% -6.4 37
1995-04-01 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1530 1558 22.1% 32.8% 45.0% +6.4 38
1995-04-01 Hibernian D 2-2 1504 1598 28.1% 34.5% 37.4% +0.2 28
1995-04-01 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1598 1504 37.4% 34.5% 28.1% -0.2 43
1995-04-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1504 1552 34.5% 34.7% 30.8% +8.1 31
1995-04-04 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1552 1504 30.8% 34.7% 34.5% -8.1 37
1995-04-08 Dundee United W 3-1 1536 1533 41.7% 33.7% 24.6% +6.9 41
1995-04-08 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1533 1536 24.6% 33.7% 41.7% -6.8 33
1995-04-08 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1583 1512 50.7% 30.7% 18.6% -6.6 45
1995-04-08 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1512 1583 18.6% 30.7% 50.7% +6.6 34
1995-04-08 Aberdeen W 3-2 1723 1593 58.2% 26.9% 14.9% +2.3 62
1995-04-08 @ Rangers L 2-3 1593 1723 14.9% 26.9% 58.2% -2.3 29
1995-04-12 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1533 1544 39.8% 34.1% 26.1% +3.9 39
1995-04-12 @ Kilmarnock L 2-3 1544 1533 26.1% 34.1% 39.8% -3.9 37
1995-04-15 Celtic W 2-0 1590 1631 35.5% 34.6% 29.9% +9.1 32
1995-04-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1631 1590 29.9% 34.6% 35.5% -9.1 41
1995-04-15 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1526 1537 39.6% 34.2% 26.2% -5.5 33
1995-04-15 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1537 1526 26.2% 34.2% 39.6% +5.5 42
1995-04-15 Motherwell W 3-0 1543 1577 36.5% 34.6% 29.0% +13.0 44
1995-04-15 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1577 1543 29.0% 34.6% 36.5% -13.0 45
1995-04-15 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1540 1519 44.1% 33.1% 22.8% -6.3 37
1995-04-15 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1519 1540 22.8% 33.1% 44.1% +6.3 37
1995-04-16 Hibernian W 3-1 1725 1597 57.9% 27.1% 15.0% +4.2 65
1995-04-16 @ Rangers L 1-3 1597 1725 15.0% 27.1% 57.9% -4.2 43
1995-04-18 Aberdeen W 2-1 1564 1600 36.2% 34.6% 29.2% +4.5 48
1995-04-18 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1600 1564 29.2% 34.6% 36.2% -4.5 32
1995-04-18 Dundee United L 1-3 1525 1520 41.8% 33.7% 24.5% -9.9 37
1995-04-18 @ Partick Thistle W 3-1 1520 1525 24.5% 33.7% 41.8% +9.9 36
1995-04-19 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1622 1533 53.0% 29.7% 17.4% -7.2 41
1995-04-19 @ Celtic W 1-0 1533 1622 17.4% 29.7% 53.0% +7.2 40
1995-04-19 Falkirk L 0-2 1593 1556 46.2% 32.5% 21.3% -12.3 43
1995-04-19 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1556 1593 21.3% 32.5% 46.2% +12.3 47
1995-04-21 Rangers L 0-1 1543 1730 19.0% 31.0% 50.0% -3.3 42
1995-04-21 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1730 1543 50.0% 31.0% 19.0% +3.4 68
1995-04-30 Hibernian L 0-1 1530 1581 34.1% 34.7% 31.2% -5.3 36
1995-04-30 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1581 1530 31.2% 34.7% 34.1% +5.3 46
1995-04-30 Celtic L 1-2 1568 1615 34.7% 34.7% 30.6% -5.0 47
1995-04-30 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1615 1568 30.6% 34.7% 34.7% +5.0 44
1995-04-30 Aberdeen L 1-2 1541 1595 33.5% 34.7% 31.8% -4.9 40
1995-04-30 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1595 1541 31.8% 34.7% 33.5% +4.9 35
1995-04-30 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1539 1515 44.5% 33.0% 22.5% -0.7 43
1995-04-30 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1515 1539 22.5% 33.0% 44.5% +0.7 38
1995-04-30 Motherwell L 0-2 1733 1568 62.3% 24.5% 13.2% -15.2 68
1995-04-30 @ Rangers W 2-0 1568 1733 13.2% 24.5% 62.3% +15.2 51
1995-05-02 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1620 1516 54.9% 28.7% 16.4% -12.1 44
1995-05-02 @ Celtic W 3-1 1516 1620 16.4% 28.7% 54.9% +12.1 41
1995-05-06 Dundee United W 2-1 1600 1525 51.2% 30.5% 18.3% +3.0 38
1995-05-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1525 1600 18.3% 30.5% 51.2% -3.0 36
1995-05-06 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1586 1536 48.0% 31.8% 20.2% +5.8 49
1995-05-06 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1536 1586 20.2% 31.8% 48.0% -5.8 40
1995-05-06 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1584 1539 47.3% 32.1% 20.6% +6.8 54
1995-05-06 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1539 1584 20.6% 32.1% 47.3% -6.8 43
1995-05-06 Falkirk D 0-0 1528 1563 36.2% 34.6% 29.2% -0.2 42
1995-05-06 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1563 1528 29.2% 34.6% 36.2% +0.2 48
1995-05-07 Rangers W 3-0 1608 1718 26.2% 34.1% 39.7% +16.0 47
1995-05-07 @ Celtic L 0-3 1718 1608 39.7% 34.1% 26.2% -16.0 68
1995-05-10 Celtic D 1-1 1592 1624 36.7% 34.5% 28.7% -0.2 50
1995-05-10 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1624 1592 28.7% 34.5% 36.7% +0.2 48
1995-05-13 Celtic L 0-1 1522 1624 27.1% 34.3% 38.6% -4.5 36
1995-05-13 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1624 1522 38.6% 34.3% 27.1% +4.5 51
1995-05-13 Aberdeen L 0-2 1564 1603 35.6% 34.6% 29.7% -10.3 48
1995-05-13 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1603 1564 29.7% 34.6% 35.6% +10.3 41
1995-05-13 Motherwell W 2-0 1530 1590 32.6% 34.8% 32.6% +9.7 43
1995-05-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1590 1530 32.6% 34.8% 32.6% -9.7 54
1995-05-13 Hibernian L 1-2 1532 1592 32.7% 34.8% 32.5% -4.9 43
1995-05-13 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1592 1532 32.5% 34.8% 32.7% +4.8 53
1995-05-13 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1702 1528 63.4% 23.8% 12.8% -1.6 69
1995-05-13 @ Rangers D 1-1 1528 1702 12.8% 23.8% 63.4% +1.6 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1995-04-30 13.22% Motherwell 1568 2 @ Rangers 1733 0
2 1994-10-22 15.22% Falkirk 1518 2 @ Celtic 1642 0
3 1995-02-04 16.22% Partick Thistle 1493 2 @ Hibernian 1600 1
4 1994-12-03 16.25% Kilmarnock 1513 1 @ Aberdeen 1619 0
5 1995-05-02 16.40% Partick Thistle 1516 3 @ Celtic 1620 1
6 1995-04-19 17.37% Heart of Midlothian 1533 1 @ Celtic 1622 0
7 1995-04-01 18.42% Kilmarnock 1526 1 @ Aberdeen 1600 0
8 1995-04-08 18.57% Partick Thistle 1512 2 @ Motherwell 1583 1
9 1995-01-08 18.82% Heart of Midlothian 1539 2 @ Motherwell 1607 1
10 1994-08-27 19.12% Celtic 1627 2 @ Rangers 1691 0
11 1994-10-15 19.35% Motherwell 1587 3 @ Aberdeen 1647 1
12 1994-10-15 19.84% Partick Thistle 1504 1 @ Dundee United 1559 0
13 1995-03-18 20.17% @ Heart of Midlothian 1551 2 Rangers 1723 1
14 1995-02-25 20.61% Motherwell 1576 2 @ Aberdeen 1621 0
15 1995-01-17 20.97% Partick Thistle 1482 3 @ Falkirk 1523 1
16 1995-04-19 21.32% Falkirk 1556 2 @ Hibernian 1593 0
17 1995-04-01 22.13% Falkirk 1530 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1558 0
18 1994-10-01 22.36% @ Kilmarnock 1506 2 Aberdeen 1653 1
19 1995-04-15 22.81% Partick Thistle 1519 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1540 0
20 1994-11-19 23.51% @ Partick Thistle 1494 2 Aberdeen 1628 1
21 1995-04-18 24.47% Dundee United 1520 3 @ Partick Thistle 1525 1
22 1994-12-10 24.65% Aberdeen 1612 1 @ Motherwell 1615 0
23 1995-02-12 24.96% @ Aberdeen 1609 2 Rangers 1730 0
24 1994-10-08 25.75% @ Hibernian 1582 2 Rangers 1696 1
25 1994-11-26 25.94% Dundee United 1553 3 @ Falkirk 1544 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-08-13 19.83 @ Hibernian 5 1554 38.79% Dundee United 0 1571 26.93% 34.28%
2 1995-01-21 18.62 @ Dundee United 6 1531 32.95% Motherwell 1 1589 32.30% 34.75%
3 1995-05-07 16.05 @ Celtic 3 1608 26.19% Rangers 0 1718 39.67% 34.14%
4 1995-04-30 15.20 Motherwell 2 1568 13.22% @ Rangers 0 1733 62.27% 24.51%
5 1994-10-22 14.39 Falkirk 2 1518 15.22% @ Celtic 0 1642 57.46% 27.33%
6 1994-12-31 13.44 @ Hibernian 4 1586 45.96% Dundee United 0 1551 21.50% 32.54%
7 1994-08-27 12.99 Celtic 2 1627 19.12% @ Rangers 0 1691 49.78% 31.11%
8 1995-04-15 12.97 @ Falkirk 3 1543 36.47% Motherwell 0 1577 28.96% 34.57%
9 1995-02-25 12.54 Motherwell 2 1576 20.61% @ Aberdeen 0 1621 47.33% 32.06%
10 1995-04-19 12.32 Falkirk 2 1556 21.32% @ Hibernian 0 1593 46.23% 32.45%
11 1995-05-02 12.08 Partick Thistle 3 1516 16.40% @ Celtic 1 1620 54.90% 28.70%
12 1995-02-12 11.35 @ Aberdeen 2 1609 24.96% Rangers 0 1730 41.21% 33.84%
13 1994-10-15 11.19 Motherwell 3 1587 19.35% @ Aberdeen 1 1647 49.38% 31.27%
14 1994-09-24 11.14 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1530 42.93% Kilmarnock 0 1517 23.64% 33.43%
15 1994-12-04 10.85 Rangers 3 1703 43.98% @ Dundee United 0 1562 22.87% 33.15%
16 1995-01-17 10.76 Partick Thistle 3 1482 20.97% @ Falkirk 1 1523 46.77% 32.26%
17 1994-10-22 10.44 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1548 28.89% Aberdeen 0 1636 36.55% 34.56%
18 1995-01-17 10.42 @ Kilmarnock 2 1512 28.97% Motherwell 0 1600 36.46% 34.57%
19 1994-10-08 10.35 Dundee United 2 1548 29.29% @ Kilmarnock 0 1512 36.11% 34.60%
20 1995-05-13 10.27 Aberdeen 2 1603 29.71% @ Falkirk 0 1564 35.65% 34.64%
21 1994-12-26 10.15 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1534 46.46% Partick Thistle 0 1495 21.17% 32.37%
22 1995-04-18 9.94 Dundee United 3 1520 24.47% @ Partick Thistle 1 1525 41.84% 33.70%
23 1995-05-13 9.68 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1530 32.62% Motherwell 0 1590 32.63% 34.75%
24 1995-03-07 9.63 @ Partick Thistle 2 1494 32.86% Dundee United 0 1553 32.39% 34.75%
25 1994-10-01 9.62 @ Hibernian 3 1573 48.38% Partick Thistle 0 1519 19.95% 31.67%