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1977-78 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

55 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aberdeen

8.51 points above expected

53 points · 44.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Clydebank (old)

6.94 points below expected

19 points · 25.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 24 7 5 55 76 39 +37 47.82 +7.18
2 Aberdeen 36 22 9 5 53 68 29 +39 44.49 +8.51
3 Dundee United 36 16 8 12 40 42 32 +10 39.20 +0.80
4 Hibernian 36 15 7 14 37 51 43 +8 35.96 +1.04
5 Celtic 36 15 6 15 36 63 54 +9 41.78 -5.78
6 Motherwell 36 13 7 16 33 45 52 -7 33.39 -0.39
7 Partick Thistle 36 14 5 17 33 52 64 -12 32.10 +0.90
8 St. Mirren 36 11 8 17 30 52 63 -11 34.36 -4.36
9 Ayr United 36 9 6 21 24 36 68 -32 24.97 -0.97
10 Clydebank (old) 36 6 7 23 19 23 64 -41 25.94 -6.94

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aberdeen 1758 53 44.49 +8.51 97.3% 26 37 41 45 48 52 63
Rangers 1722 55 47.82 +7.18 95.2% 30 40 45 48 51 55 66
Celtic 1601 36 41.78 -5.78 14.5% 21 33 39 42 45 50 60
Dundee United 1563 40 39.20 +0.80 60.1% 18 31 36 39 42 47 58
Hibernian 1553 37 35.96 +1.04 62.2% 17 28 33 36 39 44 53
Motherwell 1498 33 33.39 -0.39 51.2% 16 25 30 33 37 42 51
St. Mirren 1480 30 34.36 -4.36 22.0% 16 26 31 34 38 42 52
Partick Thistle 1473 33 32.10 +0.90 61.0% 13 24 29 32 35 40 52
Ayr United 1396 24 24.97 -0.97 46.6% 9 17 22 25 28 33 44
Clydebank (old) 1366 19 25.94 -6.94 8.3% 8 18 23 26 29 34 47

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE AU CEL C( DU HIB MOT PT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
2-2-0
8.11
2-1-1
6.26
3-1-0
7.60
2-2-0
6.56
1-1-2
7.71
2-2-0
7.26
3-0-1
7.81
3-0-1
4.47
4-0-0
7.40
Ayr United
0-2-2
3.11
 —
2-0-2
3.24
3-1-0
5.44
0-0-4
3.26
2-0-2
3.54
0-1-3
4.31
0-1-3
4.46
0-1-3
2.32
2-0-2
4.25
Celtic
1-1-2
4.92
2-0-2
7.96
 —
2-1-1
8.63
3-1-0
5.85
2-1-1
6.31
1-0-3
6.77
3-0-1
7.01
1-1-2
4.42
0-1-3
7.01
Clydebank (old)
0-1-3
3.63
0-1-3
5.74
1-1-2
2.59
 —
1-0-3
3.53
1-0-3
4.32
2-0-2
4.19
1-1-2
4.68
0-0-4
2.21
0-3-1
4.51
Dundee United
0-2-2
4.62
4-0-0
7.95
0-1-3
5.34
3-0-1
7.67
 —
1-2-1
5.96
2-2-0
6.45
2-1-1
6.60
0-0-4
4.47
4-0-0
6.10
Hibernian
2-1-1
3.49
2-0-2
7.66
1-1-2
4.87
3-0-1
6.86
1-2-1
5.22
 —
2-1-1
5.86
1-0-3
6.62
1-2-1
3.94
2-0-2
5.75
Motherwell
0-2-2
3.93
3-1-0
6.88
3-0-1
4.42
2-0-2
7.00
0-2-2
4.73
1-1-2
5.32
 —
3-0-1
5.24
0-0-4
3.21
1-1-2
5.59
Partick Thistle
1-0-3
3.40
3-1-0
6.73
1-0-3
4.18
2-1-1
6.51
1-1-2
4.58
3-0-1
4.56
1-0-3
5.94
 —
0-1-3
3.75
2-1-1
4.85
Rangers
1-0-3
6.71
3-1-0
8.91
2-1-1
6.76
4-0-0
9.02
4-0-0
6.72
1-2-1
7.25
4-0-0
7.99
3-1-0
7.45
 —
2-2-0
7.37
St. Mirren
0-0-4
3.80
2-0-2
6.93
3-1-0
4.17
1-3-0
6.67
0-0-4
5.08
2-0-2
5.43
2-1-1
5.59
1-1-2
6.32
0-2-2
3.83
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +6.4
Allowed 0.71 -6.7
Differential 0.97 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.11%8.61%7.22%3.61%1.67%1.11%28.33%
18.61%8.89%7.78%3.33%1.67%0.28%30.56%
27.22%7.78%2.78%2.78%0.83%1.11%22.50%
33.61%3.33%2.78%1.67%—0.28%11.67%
41.67%1.67%0.83%———4.17%
5+1.11%0.28%1.11%0.28%——2.78%
Total28.33%30.56%22.50%11.67%4.17%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.91
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
111.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
25.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
45.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total41.67%41.67%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.81 +1.08
SD 1.39 0.86 1.65
CV 0.74 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%8.33%5.56%—5.56%41.67%
1—8.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%—22.22%
211.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%19.44%13.89%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.89 -0.89
SD 0.99 1.51 1.85
CV 0.99 0.80 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%————11.11%
18.33%8.33%19.44%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
22.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
35.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total22.22%25.00%36.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.50 +0.25
SD 1.30 1.08 1.65
CV 0.74 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%25.00%8.33%5.56%—58.33%
15.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
25.56%2.78%5.56%——2.78%16.67%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%36.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.78 -1.14
SD 0.87 1.27 1.59
CV 1.36 0.71 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%16.67%5.56%2.78%——38.89%
113.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
28.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total41.67%33.33%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.89 +0.28
SD 1.28 0.92 1.56
CV 1.09 1.03 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%8.33%——33.33%
12.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
213.89%5.56%—2.78%——22.22%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%38.89%19.44%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.19 +0.22
SD 1.40 1.01 1.84
CV 0.99 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
113.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%—38.89%
25.56%5.56%—5.56%2.78%—19.44%
35.56%—2.78%——2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%27.78%11.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.44 -0.19
SD 1.16 1.56 1.95
CV 0.92 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—11.11%5.56%5.56%—25.00%
113.89%2.78%13.89%2.78%——33.33%
2—11.11%5.56%2.78%—5.56%25.00%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%19.44%33.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.78 -0.33
SD 1.27 1.40 2.10
CV 0.88 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—5.56%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
111.11%11.11%—2.78%——25.00%
213.89%8.33%————22.22%
35.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+2.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
Total38.89%33.33%11.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.08 +1.03
SD 1.47 1.16 1.92
CV 0.70 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%5.56%—2.78%2.78%16.67%
15.56%11.11%16.67%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
25.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
38.33%2.78%—5.56%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%27.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.75 -0.31
SD 0.97 1.38 1.88
CV 0.67 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aberdeen 53 44.49 +8.51
2 Rangers 55 47.82 +7.18
3 Hibernian 37 35.96 +1.04
4 Partick Thistle 33 32.10 +0.90
5 Dundee United 40 39.20 +0.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Clydebank (old) 19 25.94 -6.94
2 Celtic 36 41.78 -5.78
3 St. Mirren 30 34.36 -4.36
4 Ayr United 24 24.97 -0.97
5 Motherwell 33 33.39 -0.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 6 Sep 24 – Oct 29 1 in 66
2 Motherwell 4 Dec 31 – Jan 14 1 in 53
3 Hibernian 5 Mar 11 – Mar 25 1 in 36
4 Partick Thistle 4 Oct 8 – Oct 29 1 in 28
5 Dundee United 4 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 5 Dec 31 – Feb 25 1 in 428
2 Clydebank (old) 7 Nov 12 – Jan 2 1 in 75
3 Motherwell 4 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 61
4 Ayr United 7 Mar 11 – Apr 8 1 in 60
5 St. Mirren 4 Dec 31 – Jan 14 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 18 Dec 24 – Apr 29 1 in 174
2 Rangers 15 Aug 27 – Dec 17 1 in 131
3 Partick Thistle 8 Oct 8 – Nov 26 1 in 65
4 Dundee United 7 Aug 13 – Oct 1 1 in 44
5 Celtic 8 Oct 22 – Dec 24 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ayr United 13 Jan 7 – Apr 15 1 in 45
2 Celtic 5 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 24
3 Partick Thistle 7 Mar 18 – Apr 8 1 in 17
4 Hibernian 6 Oct 22 – Nov 26 1 in 15
5 St. Mirren 5 Dec 31 – Feb 4 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers57.13%24.67%11.36%4.31%1.48%0.73%0.25%0.06%0.01%—
Aberdeen26.15%32.82%21.15%10.77%5.19%2.60%0.93%0.34%0.05%—
Dundee United4.06%11.64%19.50%23.58%18.11%11.44%6.80%3.42%1.27%0.18%
Hibernian1.41%4.81%9.34%16.14%20.45%18.54%14.57%9.31%4.18%1.25%
Celtic10.28%21.34%26.46%19.06%11.07%6.46%3.45%1.51%0.27%0.10%
Motherwell0.31%1.67%3.88%8.81%14.36%18.86%20.56%18.72%9.42%3.41%
Partick Thistle0.22%0.87%2.67%5.71%10.64%15.75%21.51%23.52%13.78%5.33%
St. Mirren0.43%2.12%5.47%10.90%16.46%19.95%19.48%15.55%7.19%2.45%
Ayr United—0.02%0.11%0.25%0.96%2.32%5.36%12.61%31.27%47.10%
Clydebank (old)0.01%0.04%0.06%0.47%1.28%3.35%7.09%14.96%32.56%40.18%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.56%
Clear Edge
50.56%19.44%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
200 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
072.45600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.88 * Some Luck: 3.88 to 5.82 * Lucky: 5.82 to 7.75 * Wild Swing: 7.75 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.95 * Way Off: 1.95 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.78 points
Some Luck
04.8512
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.222.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.27%
Aberdeen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
8.32%
Clydebank (old)
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.89
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.00
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.25
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Rangers 99.99% 0.01%
Aberdeen 99.95% 0.05%
Celtic 99.63% 0.37%
Dundee United 98.55% 1.45%
Hibernian 94.57% 5.43%
St. Mirren 90.36% 9.64%
Motherwell 87.17% 12.83%
Partick Thistle 80.89% 19.11%
Clydebank (old) 27.26% 72.74%
Ayr United 21.63% 78.37%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1977-08-13 Rangers W 3-1 1537 1614 44.1% 20.6% 35.2% +16.2 2
1977-08-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1614 1537 35.2% 20.6% 44.1% -16.2 0
1977-08-13 Dundee United D 0-0 1622 1522 63.9% 20.1% 16.0% -3.4 1
1977-08-13 @ Celtic D 0-0 1522 1622 16.0% 20.1% 63.9% +3.4 1
1977-08-13 Motherwell D 0-0 1505 1508 53.5% 20.5% 25.9% -1.9 1
1977-08-13 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1508 1505 25.9% 20.5% 53.5% +1.9 1
1977-08-13 Ayr United D 2-2 1499 1456 58.6% 20.4% 21.0% -1.7 1
1977-08-13 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1456 1499 21.0% 20.4% 58.6% +1.7 1
1977-08-13 Clydebank (old) D 1-1 1549 1598 47.9% 20.6% 31.5% -1.0 1
1977-08-13 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1598 1549 31.5% 20.6% 47.9% +1.0 1
1977-08-20 Aberdeen L 1-3 1599 1553 58.9% 20.4% 20.7% -25.3 1
1977-08-20 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-1 1553 1599 20.7% 20.4% 58.9% +25.3 4
1977-08-20 Celtic W 2-1 1458 1619 32.5% 20.5% 47.0% +11.8 3
1977-08-20 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1619 1458 47.0% 20.5% 32.5% -11.8 1
1977-08-20 St. Mirren W 2-1 1525 1548 51.2% 20.6% 28.2% +7.8 3
1977-08-20 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1548 1525 28.2% 20.6% 51.2% -7.8 1
1977-08-20 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1510 1497 55.4% 20.5% 24.1% +19.8 3
1977-08-20 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1497 1510 24.1% 20.5% 55.4% -19.8 1
1977-08-20 Hibernian L 0-2 1598 1503 63.5% 20.2% 16.4% -31.5 0
1977-08-20 @ Rangers W 2-0 1503 1598 16.4% 20.2% 63.5% +31.5 3
1977-08-27 Dundee United D 0-0 1579 1533 58.9% 20.4% 20.7% -2.6 5
1977-08-27 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1533 1579 20.7% 20.4% 58.9% +2.6 4
1977-08-27 Motherwell L 0-1 1607 1530 61.9% 20.2% 17.9% -16.3 1
1977-08-27 @ Celtic W 1-0 1530 1607 17.9% 20.2% 61.9% +16.3 5
1977-08-27 Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1534 1574 49.1% 20.6% 30.3% +16.6 5
1977-08-27 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1574 1534 30.3% 20.6% 49.1% -16.6 1
1977-08-27 Rangers L 0-4 1477 1567 42.5% 20.6% 36.9% -41.2 1
1977-08-27 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1567 1477 36.9% 20.6% 42.5% +41.2 2
1977-08-27 Ayr United W 2-0 1540 1470 61.3% 20.3% 18.4% +10.8 3
1977-08-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1470 1540 18.4% 20.3% 61.3% -10.8 3
1977-09-10 Partick Thistle L 0-4 1558 1436 65.6% 20.0% 14.4% -61.7 1
1977-09-10 @ Clydebank (old) W 4-0 1436 1558 14.4% 20.0% 65.6% +61.7 3
1977-09-10 Aberdeen L 0-1 1459 1576 38.5% 20.6% 40.9% -10.6 3
1977-09-10 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1576 1459 40.9% 20.6% 38.5% +10.6 7
1977-09-10 Hibernian W 2-0 1536 1551 52.1% 20.6% 27.3% +15.2 6
1977-09-10 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1551 1536 27.3% 20.6% 52.1% -15.2 5
1977-09-10 St. Mirren L 0-3 1546 1551 53.4% 20.5% 26.1% -38.6 5
1977-09-10 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1551 1546 26.1% 20.5% 53.4% +38.6 5
1977-09-10 Celtic W 3-2 1608 1591 55.9% 20.5% 23.6% +6.4 4
1977-09-10 @ Rangers L 2-3 1591 1608 23.6% 20.5% 55.9% -6.4 1
1977-09-17 Celtic W 2-1 1587 1584 54.2% 20.5% 25.3% +7.1 9
1977-09-17 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1584 1587 25.3% 20.5% 54.2% -7.1 1
1977-09-17 Dundee United L 0-3 1496 1551 47.1% 20.6% 32.3% -34.5 1
1977-09-17 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-0 1551 1496 32.3% 20.6% 47.1% +34.5 8
1977-09-17 Ayr United W 5-0 1508 1448 60.3% 20.3% 19.4% +26.5 7
1977-09-17 @ Motherwell L 0-5 1448 1508 19.4% 20.3% 60.3% -26.5 3
1977-09-17 Hibernian W 1-0 1498 1536 49.3% 20.6% 30.1% +8.7 5
1977-09-17 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1536 1498 30.1% 20.6% 49.3% -8.7 5
1977-09-17 Rangers D 3-3 1590 1614 51.0% 20.6% 28.4% -0.8 6
1977-09-17 @ St. Mirren D 3-3 1614 1590 28.4% 20.6% 51.0% +0.8 5
1977-09-24 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1594 1507 62.8% 20.2% 17.0% +5.0 11
1977-09-24 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1507 1594 17.0% 20.2% 62.8% -5.0 5
1977-09-24 Clydebank (old) W 1-0 1577 1461 65.2% 20.0% 14.8% +4.7 3
1977-09-24 @ Celtic L 0-1 1461 1577 14.8% 20.0% 65.2% -4.7 1
1977-09-24 Motherwell W 3-2 1585 1534 59.4% 20.4% 20.2% +5.6 10
1977-09-24 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1534 1585 20.2% 20.4% 59.4% -5.6 7
1977-09-24 St. Mirren W 2-0 1527 1589 46.2% 20.6% 33.2% +17.8 7
1977-09-24 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1589 1527 33.2% 20.6% 46.2% -17.8 6
1977-09-24 Ayr United W 2-0 1615 1422 70.5% 19.5% 10.0% +6.2 7
1977-09-24 @ Rangers L 0-2 1422 1615 10.0% 19.5% 70.5% -6.2 3
1977-10-01 Dundee United L 0-2 1415 1591 30.6% 20.4% 48.9% -16.7 3
1977-10-01 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1591 1415 48.9% 20.4% 30.6% +16.7 12
1977-10-01 Hibernian W 3-1 1582 1545 58.0% 20.4% 21.6% +10.8 5
1977-10-01 @ Celtic L 1-3 1545 1582 21.6% 20.4% 58.0% -10.8 7
1977-10-01 Aberdeen D 1-1 1529 1599 45.1% 20.6% 34.3% -0.6 8
1977-10-01 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1599 1529 34.3% 20.6% 45.1% +0.6 12
1977-10-01 Clydebank (old) W 4-1 1621 1457 68.7% 19.7% 11.6% +8.7 9
1977-10-01 @ Rangers L 1-4 1457 1621 11.6% 19.7% 68.7% -8.7 1
1977-10-01 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1571 1501 61.2% 20.3% 18.5% +5.4 8
1977-10-01 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1501 1571 18.5% 20.3% 61.2% -5.4 5
1977-10-08 Motherwell W 2-1 1448 1528 43.7% 20.6% 35.6% +9.5 3
1977-10-08 @ Clydebank (old) L 1-2 1528 1448 35.6% 20.6% 43.7% -9.5 8
1977-10-08 Rangers L 0-1 1608 1630 51.3% 20.6% 28.1% -13.6 12
1977-10-08 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1630 1608 28.1% 20.6% 51.3% +13.6 11
1977-10-08 Ayr United L 1-2 1534 1399 66.7% 19.9% 13.4% -16.5 7
1977-10-08 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1399 1534 13.4% 19.9% 66.7% +16.5 5
1977-10-08 Celtic W 1-0 1496 1593 41.4% 20.6% 38.0% +10.5 7
1977-10-08 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1593 1496 38.0% 20.6% 41.4% -10.5 5
1977-10-08 Aberdeen L 0-4 1577 1599 51.2% 20.6% 28.2% -48.5 8
1977-10-08 @ St. Mirren W 4-0 1599 1577 28.2% 20.6% 51.2% +48.5 14
1977-10-15 Hibernian L 1-2 1648 1517 66.3% 19.9% 13.7% -16.4 14
1977-10-15 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1517 1648 13.7% 19.9% 66.3% +16.4 9
1977-10-15 Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1415 1457 48.8% 20.6% 30.6% +16.7 7
1977-10-15 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1457 1415 30.6% 20.6% 48.8% -16.7 3
1977-10-15 St. Mirren L 1-2 1582 1528 59.7% 20.4% 19.9% -14.8 5
1977-10-15 @ Celtic W 2-1 1528 1582 19.9% 20.4% 59.7% +14.8 10
1977-10-15 Rangers L 1-4 1519 1643 37.4% 20.6% 42.0% -24.0 8
1977-10-15 @ Motherwell W 4-1 1643 1519 42.0% 20.6% 37.4% +24.0 13
1977-10-15 Dundee United W 2-1 1507 1594 42.7% 20.6% 36.7% +9.7 9
1977-10-15 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1594 1507 36.7% 20.6% 42.7% -9.7 12
1977-10-22 St. Mirren D 2-2 1441 1543 40.6% 20.6% 38.8% -0.1 4
1977-10-22 @ Clydebank (old) D 2-2 1543 1441 38.8% 20.6% 40.6% +0.1 11
1977-10-22 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1432 1516 43.1% 20.6% 36.2% -11.0 7
1977-10-22 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1516 1432 36.2% 20.6% 43.1% +11.0 11
1977-10-22 Celtic L 1-2 1584 1567 55.9% 20.5% 23.6% -13.9 12
1977-10-22 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1567 1584 23.6% 20.5% 55.9% +13.9 7
1977-10-22 Hibernian W 1-0 1494 1534 49.1% 20.6% 30.3% +8.8 10
1977-10-22 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1534 1494 30.3% 20.6% 49.1% -8.8 9
1977-10-22 Aberdeen W 3-1 1667 1631 57.9% 20.4% 21.7% +10.8 15
1977-10-22 @ Rangers L 1-3 1631 1667 21.7% 20.4% 57.9% -10.8 14
1977-10-29 Clydebank (old) D 1-1 1621 1441 69.7% 19.6% 10.7% -3.8 15
1977-10-29 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1441 1621 10.7% 19.6% 69.7% +3.8 5
1977-10-29 Ayr United W 3-2 1581 1421 68.4% 19.7% 11.8% +3.4 9
1977-10-29 @ Celtic L 2-3 1421 1581 11.8% 19.7% 68.4% -3.4 7
1977-10-29 Rangers L 0-1 1525 1678 33.6% 20.5% 45.9% -9.5 9
1977-10-29 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1678 1525 45.9% 20.5% 33.6% +9.5 17
1977-10-29 Motherwell W 1-0 1527 1503 56.6% 20.5% 22.9% +6.9 13
1977-10-29 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1503 1527 22.9% 20.5% 56.6% -6.9 10
1977-10-29 Dundee United L 0-1 1543 1571 50.6% 20.6% 28.8% -13.4 11
1977-10-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1571 1543 28.8% 20.6% 50.6% +13.4 14
1977-11-05 Hibernian W 1-0 1444 1516 45.0% 20.6% 34.4% +9.8 7
1977-11-05 @ Clydebank (old) L 0-1 1516 1444 34.4% 20.6% 45.0% -9.7 9
1977-11-05 St. Mirren W 3-2 1418 1529 39.2% 20.6% 40.2% +9.9 9
1977-11-05 @ Ayr United L 2-3 1529 1418 40.2% 20.6% 39.2% -9.9 11
1977-11-05 Aberdeen L 0-1 1584 1617 50.0% 20.6% 29.4% -13.3 14
1977-11-05 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1617 1584 29.4% 20.6% 50.0% +13.3 17
1977-11-05 Celtic L 2-3 1496 1585 42.6% 20.6% 36.8% -10.3 10
1977-11-05 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1585 1496 36.8% 20.6% 42.6% +10.3 11
1977-11-05 Partick Thistle D 3-3 1688 1534 68.0% 19.8% 12.2% -2.2 18
1977-11-05 @ Rangers D 3-3 1534 1688 12.2% 19.8% 68.0% +2.2 14
1977-11-12 Ayr United D 0-0 1630 1427 71.1% 19.4% 9.5% -4.5 18
1977-11-12 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1427 1630 9.5% 19.4% 71.1% +4.5 10
1977-11-12 Rangers D 1-1 1595 1686 42.3% 20.6% 37.1% -0.3 12
1977-11-12 @ Celtic D 1-1 1686 1595 37.1% 20.6% 42.3% +0.3 19
1977-11-12 Dundee United D 0-0 1506 1571 45.8% 20.6% 33.6% -0.8 10
1977-11-12 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1571 1506 33.6% 20.6% 45.8% +0.8 15
1977-11-12 Clydebank (old) W 1-0 1536 1454 62.4% 20.2% 17.4% +5.5 16
1977-11-12 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1454 1536 17.4% 20.2% 62.4% -5.5 7
1977-11-12 Motherwell W 1-0 1520 1486 57.6% 20.4% 21.9% +6.7 13
1977-11-12 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1486 1520 21.9% 20.4% 57.6% -6.7 10
1977-11-19 Motherwell D 1-1 1432 1479 48.1% 20.6% 31.3% -1.0 11
1977-11-19 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1479 1432 31.3% 20.6% 48.1% +1.0 11
1977-11-19 Aberdeen W 3-2 1595 1626 50.2% 20.6% 29.2% +7.6 14
1977-11-19 @ Celtic L 2-3 1626 1595 29.2% 20.6% 50.2% -7.6 18
1977-11-19 Clydebank (old) W 4-0 1571 1449 65.7% 20.0% 14.3% +16.3 17
1977-11-19 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1449 1571 14.3% 20.0% 65.7% -16.3 7
1977-11-19 Partick Thistle L 2-3 1505 1542 49.5% 20.6% 29.9% -11.8 10
1977-11-19 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1542 1505 29.9% 20.6% 49.5% +11.8 18
1977-11-19 St. Mirren W 2-1 1686 1526 68.4% 19.7% 11.9% +3.6 21
1977-11-19 @ Rangers L 1-2 1526 1686 11.9% 19.7% 68.4% -3.6 13
1977-11-26 Rangers L 0-5 1431 1689 21.3% 20.1% 58.6% -28.6 11
1977-11-26 @ Ayr United W 5-0 1689 1431 58.6% 20.1% 21.3% +28.6 23
1977-11-26 Dundee United D 0-0 1480 1588 39.9% 20.6% 39.5% -0.0 12
1977-11-26 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1588 1480 39.5% 20.6% 39.9% +0.0 18
1977-11-26 Aberdeen W 1-0 1554 1618 45.9% 20.6% 33.5% +9.5 20
1977-11-26 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1618 1554 33.5% 20.6% 45.9% -9.5 18
1977-11-26 Hibernian W 3-0 1523 1493 57.2% 20.4% 22.4% +18.6 15
1977-11-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1493 1523 22.4% 20.4% 57.2% -18.6 10
1977-12-03 Motherwell W 4-1 1608 1480 66.1% 20.0% 13.9% +10.3 20
1977-12-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1480 1608 13.9% 20.0% 66.1% -10.3 12
1977-12-10 St. Mirren W 3-1 1619 1541 61.9% 20.2% 17.8% +9.1 22
1977-12-10 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1541 1619 17.8% 20.2% 61.9% -9.1 15
1977-12-10 Hibernian L 0-1 1402 1475 44.8% 20.6% 34.6% -12.0 11
1977-12-10 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1475 1402 34.6% 20.6% 44.8% +12.1 12
1977-12-10 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1602 1563 58.2% 20.4% 21.4% +17.9 16
1977-12-10 @ Celtic L 0-3 1563 1602 21.4% 20.4% 58.2% -17.9 20
1977-12-10 Clydebank (old) W 2-1 1470 1432 58.1% 20.4% 21.5% +6.2 14
1977-12-10 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1432 1470 21.5% 20.4% 58.1% -6.2 7
1977-12-10 Dundee United W 2-0 1718 1588 66.3% 20.0% 13.8% +8.3 25
1977-12-10 @ Rangers L 0-2 1588 1718 13.8% 20.0% 66.3% -8.3 18
1977-12-17 Ayr United L 0-2 1426 1390 57.9% 20.4% 21.7% -28.7 7
1977-12-17 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1390 1426 21.7% 20.4% 57.9% +28.7 13
1977-12-17 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1579 1545 57.7% 20.4% 21.9% -1.6 19
1977-12-17 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1545 1579 21.9% 20.4% 57.7% +1.6 21
1977-12-17 Aberdeen W 2-0 1487 1628 35.2% 20.5% 44.3% +22.5 14
1977-12-17 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1628 1487 44.3% 20.5% 35.2% -22.5 22
1977-12-17 Motherwell W 3-1 1726 1476 73.6% 19.0% 7.5% +4.0 27
1977-12-17 @ Rangers L 1-3 1476 1726 7.5% 19.0% 73.6% -4.0 14
1977-12-17 Celtic D 3-3 1532 1620 42.6% 20.6% 36.8% -0.2 16
1977-12-17 @ St. Mirren D 3-3 1620 1532 36.8% 20.6% 42.6% +0.2 17
1977-12-24 Rangers W 4-0 1605 1730 37.4% 20.6% 42.0% +40.9 24
1977-12-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1730 1605 42.0% 20.6% 37.4% -40.9 27
1977-12-24 Dundee United W 1-0 1620 1578 58.6% 20.4% 21.0% +6.4 19
1977-12-24 @ Celtic L 0-1 1578 1620 21.0% 20.4% 58.6% -6.4 19
1977-12-24 Motherwell W 2-1 1509 1472 58.0% 20.4% 21.6% +6.2 16
1977-12-24 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1472 1509 21.6% 20.4% 58.0% -6.2 14
1977-12-24 Ayr United W 4-1 1547 1419 66.1% 20.0% 13.9% +10.3 23
1977-12-24 @ Partick Thistle L 1-4 1419 1547 13.9% 20.0% 66.1% -10.3 13
1977-12-24 Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1532 1398 66.6% 19.9% 13.5% +8.1 18
1977-12-24 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1398 1532 13.5% 19.9% 66.6% -8.1 7
1977-12-31 Aberdeen L 0-1 1389 1646 21.5% 20.1% 58.5% -6.5 7
1977-12-31 @ Clydebank (old) W 1-0 1646 1389 58.5% 20.1% 21.5% +6.5 26
1977-12-31 Celtic W 2-1 1409 1627 25.6% 20.3% 54.2% +13.4 15
1977-12-31 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1627 1409 54.2% 20.3% 25.6% -13.4 19
1977-12-31 St. Mirren W 2-1 1571 1540 57.4% 20.4% 22.1% +6.4 21
1977-12-31 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1540 1571 22.1% 20.4% 57.4% -6.4 18
1977-12-31 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1466 1557 42.2% 20.6% 37.2% +19.6 16
1977-12-31 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1557 1466 37.2% 20.6% 42.2% -19.6 23
1977-12-31 Hibernian D 0-0 1689 1515 69.3% 19.6% 11.0% -4.2 28
1977-12-31 @ Rangers D 0-0 1515 1689 11.0% 19.6% 69.3% +4.2 17
1978-01-02 Dundee United W 1-0 1653 1578 61.7% 20.3% 18.0% +5.6 28
1978-01-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1578 1653 18.0% 20.3% 61.7% -5.6 21
1978-01-02 Motherwell L 0-1 1613 1486 66.1% 20.0% 13.9% -17.4 19
1978-01-02 @ Celtic W 1-0 1486 1613 13.9% 20.0% 66.1% +17.4 18
1978-01-02 Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1520 1383 66.8% 19.9% 13.3% +8.0 19
1978-01-02 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1383 1520 13.3% 19.9% 66.8% -8.0 7
1978-01-02 Rangers L 1-2 1538 1685 34.3% 20.5% 45.2% -9.1 23
1978-01-02 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1685 1538 45.2% 20.5% 34.3% +9.1 30
1978-01-02 Ayr United L 2-3 1534 1422 64.8% 20.1% 15.1% -15.2 18
1978-01-02 @ St. Mirren W 3-2 1422 1534 15.1% 20.1% 64.8% +15.2 17
1978-01-07 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1375 1529 33.5% 20.5% 46.0% +23.2 9
1978-01-07 @ Clydebank (old) L 0-2 1529 1375 46.0% 20.5% 33.5% -23.2 23
1978-01-07 Aberdeen D 1-1 1437 1658 25.2% 20.3% 54.5% +1.8 18
1978-01-07 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1658 1437 54.5% 20.3% 25.2% -1.8 29
1978-01-07 Hibernian D 1-1 1572 1528 58.8% 20.4% 20.8% -2.3 22
1978-01-07 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1528 1572 20.8% 20.4% 58.8% +2.3 20
1978-01-07 St. Mirren W 1-0 1503 1519 52.1% 20.6% 27.3% +8.1 20
1978-01-07 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1519 1503 27.3% 20.6% 52.1% -8.1 18
1978-01-07 Celtic W 3-1 1694 1596 63.8% 20.1% 16.1% +8.3 32
1978-01-07 @ Rangers L 1-3 1596 1694 16.1% 20.1% 63.8% -8.3 19
1978-01-14 Celtic W 2-1 1657 1588 61.1% 20.3% 18.6% +5.4 31
1978-01-14 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1588 1657 18.6% 20.3% 61.1% -5.5 19
1978-01-14 Ayr United W 3-0 1511 1439 61.4% 20.3% 18.3% +15.6 22
1978-01-14 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1439 1511 18.3% 20.3% 61.4% -15.6 18
1978-01-14 Rangers L 0-2 1510 1703 28.6% 20.4% 51.0% -15.7 18
1978-01-14 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1703 1510 51.0% 20.4% 28.6% +15.7 34
1978-02-04 Dundee United L 0-1 1424 1570 34.5% 20.5% 45.0% -9.7 18
1978-02-04 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1570 1424 45.0% 20.5% 34.5% +9.7 24
1978-02-04 Aberdeen D 0-0 1527 1662 35.9% 20.6% 43.5% +0.5 23
1978-02-04 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1662 1527 43.5% 20.6% 35.9% -0.5 32
1978-02-04 Clydebank (old) W 1-0 1718 1398 76.6% 18.2% 5.2% +1.7 36
1978-02-04 @ Rangers L 0-1 1398 1718 5.2% 18.2% 76.6% -1.7 9
1978-02-04 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1495 1505 52.7% 20.6% 26.7% -1.5 19
1978-02-04 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1505 1495 26.7% 20.6% 52.7% +1.6 24
1978-02-19 Rangers L 0-3 1396 1720 15.7% 19.6% 64.8% -13.4 9
1978-02-19 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-0 1720 1396 64.8% 19.6% 15.7% +13.4 38
1978-02-25 Hibernian W 3-0 1662 1530 66.4% 19.9% 13.7% +12.0 34
1978-02-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1530 1662 13.7% 19.9% 66.4% -12.0 20
1978-02-25 Clydebank (old) D 0-0 1414 1383 57.4% 20.4% 22.2% -2.4 19
1978-02-25 @ Ayr United D 0-0 1383 1414 22.2% 20.4% 57.4% +2.4 10
1978-02-25 St. Mirren L 1-2 1582 1493 63.0% 20.2% 16.8% -15.6 19
1978-02-25 @ Celtic W 2-1 1493 1582 16.8% 20.2% 63.0% +15.6 21
1978-02-25 Rangers L 3-5 1527 1734 26.9% 20.3% 52.8% -10.9 23
1978-02-25 @ Motherwell W 5-3 1734 1527 52.8% 20.3% 26.9% +10.9 40
1978-02-25 Dundee United L 0-2 1507 1580 44.7% 20.6% 34.6% -22.7 24
1978-02-25 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1580 1507 34.6% 20.6% 44.7% +22.7 26
1978-03-04 St. Mirren D 2-2 1385 1509 37.6% 20.6% 41.8% +0.2 11
1978-03-04 @ Clydebank (old) D 2-2 1509 1385 41.8% 20.6% 37.6% -0.2 22
1978-03-04 Celtic L 0-1 1602 1567 57.9% 20.4% 21.7% -15.2 26
1978-03-04 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1567 1602 21.7% 20.4% 57.9% +15.2 21
1978-03-04 Aberdeen L 0-3 1744 1674 61.3% 20.3% 18.4% -44.1 40
1978-03-04 @ Rangers W 3-0 1674 1744 18.4% 20.3% 61.3% +44.1 36
1978-03-11 Motherwell L 0-2 1385 1516 36.6% 20.6% 42.8% -19.3 11
1978-03-11 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1516 1385 42.8% 20.6% 36.6% +19.3 25
1978-03-11 Ayr United W 3-0 1582 1411 69.1% 19.7% 11.2% +10.0 23
1978-03-11 @ Celtic L 0-3 1411 1582 11.2% 19.7% 69.1% -10.0 19
1978-03-11 St. Mirren W 5-1 1518 1509 55.0% 20.5% 24.5% +21.9 22
1978-03-11 @ Hibernian L 1-5 1509 1518 24.5% 20.5% 55.0% -21.9 22
1978-03-15 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1401 1484 43.4% 20.6% 36.0% -19.2 19
1978-03-15 @ Ayr United W 3-1 1484 1401 36.0% 20.6% 43.4% +19.2 26
1978-03-15 Hibernian L 2-4 1535 1540 53.4% 20.5% 26.0% -20.6 25
1978-03-15 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1540 1535 26.0% 20.5% 53.4% +20.6 24
1978-03-15 Dundee United L 1-2 1487 1587 40.9% 20.6% 38.5% -10.5 22
1978-03-15 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1587 1487 38.5% 20.6% 40.9% +10.5 28
1978-03-18 Hibernian L 0-3 1366 1561 28.3% 20.4% 51.3% -22.7 11
1978-03-18 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-0 1561 1366 51.3% 20.4% 28.3% +22.7 26
1978-03-18 St. Mirren L 0-1 1382 1476 41.8% 20.6% 37.6% -11.4 19
1978-03-18 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1476 1382 37.6% 20.6% 41.8% +11.4 24
1978-03-18 Aberdeen D 0-0 1598 1718 38.1% 20.6% 41.3% +0.2 29
1978-03-18 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1718 1598 41.3% 20.6% 38.1% -0.2 37
1978-03-18 Motherwell L 2-3 1503 1515 52.6% 20.6% 26.9% -12.4 26
1978-03-18 @ Partick Thistle W 3-2 1515 1503 26.9% 20.6% 52.6% +12.4 27
1978-03-21 Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1717 1344 78.5% 17.6% 3.9% +2.4 39
1978-03-21 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1344 1717 3.9% 17.6% 78.5% -2.4 11
1978-03-21 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1700 1491 71.5% 19.3% 9.2% +2.8 42
1978-03-21 @ Rangers L 1-2 1491 1700 9.2% 19.3% 71.5% -2.8 26
1978-03-22 Ayr United W 4-2 1583 1371 71.6% 19.3% 9.1% +4.3 28
1978-03-22 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1371 1583 9.1% 19.3% 71.6% -4.3 19
1978-03-22 Celtic W 2-1 1527 1592 45.8% 20.6% 33.5% +9.0 29
1978-03-22 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1592 1527 33.5% 20.6% 45.8% -9.0 23
1978-03-25 Ayr United W 4-1 1720 1367 77.8% 17.8% 4.4% +3.3 41
1978-03-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1367 1720 4.4% 17.8% 77.8% -3.3 19
1978-03-25 Rangers W 2-0 1583 1703 38.0% 20.6% 41.4% +21.3 25
1978-03-25 @ Celtic L 0-2 1703 1583 41.4% 20.6% 38.0% -21.3 42
1978-03-25 Dundee United W 3-1 1588 1598 52.7% 20.6% 26.7% +12.9 30
1978-03-25 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1598 1588 26.7% 20.6% 52.7% -12.9 29
1978-03-25 Clydebank (old) D 0-0 1488 1341 67.5% 19.8% 12.7% -4.0 27
1978-03-25 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1341 1488 12.7% 19.8% 67.5% +4.0 12
1978-03-25 Motherwell D 1-1 1488 1536 47.9% 20.6% 31.4% -1.0 25
1978-03-25 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1536 1488 31.4% 20.6% 47.9% +1.0 30
1978-03-29 Motherwell D 1-1 1585 1537 59.1% 20.4% 20.5% -2.4 30
1978-03-29 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1537 1585 20.5% 20.4% 59.1% +2.4 31
1978-03-29 Rangers D 1-1 1600 1682 43.5% 20.6% 35.8% -0.4 31
1978-03-29 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1682 1600 35.8% 20.6% 43.5% +0.5 43
1978-03-29 Celtic L 0-4 1484 1604 38.1% 20.6% 41.3% -37.8 27
1978-03-29 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1604 1484 41.3% 20.6% 38.1% +37.8 27
1978-03-29 Aberdeen L 1-2 1487 1723 23.5% 20.2% 56.3% -6.7 25
1978-03-29 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1723 1487 56.3% 20.2% 23.5% +6.7 43
1978-04-01 Motherwell L 0-1 1363 1540 30.5% 20.4% 49.0% -8.8 19
1978-04-01 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1540 1363 49.0% 20.4% 30.5% +8.8 33
1978-04-01 Aberdeen D 2-2 1642 1730 42.6% 20.6% 36.7% -0.2 28
1978-04-01 @ Celtic D 2-2 1730 1642 36.7% 20.6% 42.6% +0.2 44
1978-04-01 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1600 1446 68.0% 19.8% 12.2% +6.5 33
1978-04-01 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1446 1600 12.2% 19.8% 68.0% -6.5 27
1978-04-01 St. Mirren D 1-1 1682 1480 71.1% 19.4% 9.5% -4.0 44
1978-04-01 @ Rangers D 1-1 1480 1682 9.5% 19.4% 71.1% +4.0 26
1978-04-04 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1730 1440 75.4% 18.6% 6.1% +1.9 46
1978-04-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1440 1730 6.1% 18.6% 75.4% -1.9 27
1978-04-05 Hibernian W 2-1 1642 1607 57.8% 20.4% 21.8% +6.3 30
1978-04-05 @ Celtic L 1-2 1607 1642 21.8% 20.4% 57.8% -6.3 33
1978-04-08 Celtic W 3-2 1345 1648 17.3% 19.8% 62.9% +14.7 14
1978-04-08 @ Clydebank (old) L 2-3 1648 1345 62.9% 19.8% 17.3% -14.7 30
1978-04-08 Rangers L 2-5 1354 1678 15.6% 19.6% 64.8% -9.8 19
1978-04-08 @ Ayr United W 5-2 1678 1354 64.8% 19.6% 15.6% +9.8 46
1978-04-08 Dundee United L 0-1 1548 1583 49.8% 20.6% 29.6% -13.2 33
1978-04-08 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1583 1548 29.6% 20.6% 49.8% +13.2 32
1978-04-08 Aberdeen L 0-2 1438 1732 18.1% 19.8% 62.1% -10.5 27
1978-04-08 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1732 1438 62.1% 19.8% 18.1% +10.5 48
1978-04-08 Hibernian W 3-0 1484 1600 38.6% 20.6% 40.8% +30.6 28
1978-04-08 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1600 1484 40.8% 20.6% 38.6% -30.6 33
1978-04-12 Clydebank (old) W 1-0 1596 1360 72.9% 19.1% 8.0% +2.6 34
1978-04-12 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1360 1596 8.0% 19.1% 72.9% -2.6 14
1978-04-12 Celtic D 1-1 1570 1633 46.0% 20.6% 33.4% -0.7 34
1978-04-12 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1633 1570 33.4% 20.6% 46.0% +0.7 31
1978-04-12 Ayr United D 1-1 1688 1345 77.5% 17.9% 4.6% -4.9 47
1978-04-12 @ Rangers D 1-1 1345 1688 4.6% 17.9% 77.5% +4.9 20
1978-04-15 Motherwell W 5-0 1743 1535 71.3% 19.4% 9.3% +13.4 50
1978-04-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1535 1743 9.3% 19.4% 71.3% -13.4 33
1978-04-15 Rangers L 0-2 1357 1683 15.5% 19.6% 65.0% -9.2 14
1978-04-15 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1683 1357 65.0% 19.6% 15.5% +9.2 49
1978-04-15 Ayr United W 1-0 1598 1349 73.5% 19.0% 7.5% +2.5 36
1978-04-15 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1349 1598 7.5% 19.0% 73.5% -2.5 20
1978-04-15 Celtic W 4-1 1569 1634 45.8% 20.6% 33.6% +22.1 36
1978-04-15 @ Hibernian L 1-4 1634 1569 33.6% 20.6% 45.8% -22.1 31
1978-04-15 St. Mirren W 2-1 1427 1514 42.8% 20.6% 36.6% +9.6 29
1978-04-15 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1514 1427 36.6% 20.6% 42.8% -9.7 28
1978-04-17 Clydebank (old) W 5-2 1612 1348 74.2% 18.8% 7.0% +4.6 33
1978-04-17 @ Celtic L 2-5 1348 1612 7.0% 18.8% 74.2% -4.6 14
1978-04-19 Rangers L 0-1 1601 1692 42.1% 20.6% 37.3% -11.5 36
1978-04-19 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1692 1601 37.3% 20.6% 42.1% +11.5 51
1978-04-19 Hibernian W 2-1 1437 1591 33.4% 20.5% 46.1% +11.6 31
1978-04-19 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1591 1437 46.1% 20.5% 33.4% -11.6 36
1978-04-22 St. Mirren W 4-2 1756 1505 73.6% 18.9% 7.4% +3.6 52
1978-04-22 @ Aberdeen L 2-4 1505 1756 7.4% 18.9% 73.6% -3.6 28
1978-04-22 Hibernian W 2-0 1347 1579 24.0% 20.2% 55.8% +27.6 22
1978-04-22 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1579 1347 55.8% 20.2% 24.0% -27.6 36
1978-04-22 Partick Thistle W 5-2 1616 1449 68.9% 19.7% 11.4% +7.4 35
1978-04-22 @ Celtic L 2-5 1449 1616 11.4% 19.7% 68.9% -7.4 31
1978-04-22 Clydebank (old) L 0-1 1522 1343 69.6% 19.6% 10.8% -18.3 33
1978-04-22 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1343 1522 10.8% 19.6% 69.6% +18.3 16
1978-04-22 Dundee United W 3-0 1704 1589 65.1% 20.1% 14.9% +13.0 53
1978-04-22 @ Rangers L 0-3 1589 1704 14.9% 20.1% 65.1% -13.0 36
1978-04-26 Celtic D 1-1 1362 1624 21.0% 20.0% 59.0% +2.3 17
1978-04-26 @ Clydebank (old) D 1-1 1624 1362 59.0% 20.0% 21.0% -2.3 36
1978-04-26 Ayr United W 3-1 1576 1375 71.0% 19.4% 9.6% +5.1 38
1978-04-26 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1375 1576 9.6% 19.4% 71.0% -5.1 22
1978-04-26 St. Mirren W 5-0 1441 1501 46.5% 20.6% 32.9% +41.4 33
1978-04-26 @ Partick Thistle L 0-5 1501 1441 32.9% 20.6% 46.5% -41.4 28
1978-04-29 Ayr United L 0-2 1364 1369 53.3% 20.5% 26.1% -26.5 17
1978-04-29 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-0 1369 1364 26.1% 20.5% 53.3% +26.5 24
1978-04-29 Partick Thistle W 5-2 1582 1483 63.8% 20.1% 16.1% +10.2 40
1978-04-29 @ Dundee United L 2-5 1483 1582 16.1% 20.1% 63.8% -10.2 33
1978-04-29 Aberdeen D 1-1 1552 1760 26.7% 20.3% 52.9% +1.6 37
1978-04-29 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1760 1552 52.9% 20.3% 26.7% -1.6 53
1978-04-29 Motherwell W 2-0 1717 1503 71.7% 19.3% 9.0% +5.6 55
1978-04-29 @ Rangers L 0-2 1503 1717 9.0% 19.3% 71.7% -5.6 33
1978-04-29 Celtic W 3-1 1460 1622 32.4% 20.5% 47.1% +20.5 30
1978-04-29 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1622 1460 47.1% 20.5% 32.4% -20.5 36
1978-05-02 Dundee United W 2-0 1338 1592 21.7% 20.1% 58.2% +28.7 19
1978-05-02 @ Clydebank (old) L 0-2 1592 1338 58.2% 20.1% 21.7% -28.7 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-04-22 10.79% Clydebank (old) 1343 1 @ Motherwell 1522 0
2 1977-10-08 13.41% Ayr United 1399 2 @ Hibernian 1534 1
3 1977-10-15 13.74% Hibernian 1517 2 @ Aberdeen 1648 1
4 1978-01-02 13.91% Motherwell 1486 1 @ Celtic 1613 0
5 1977-09-10 14.37% Partick Thistle 1436 4 @ Clydebank (old) 1558 0
6 1978-01-02 15.08% Ayr United 1422 3 @ St. Mirren 1534 2
7 1977-08-20 16.35% Hibernian 1503 2 @ Rangers 1598 0
8 1978-02-25 16.84% St. Mirren 1493 2 @ Celtic 1582 1
9 1978-04-08 17.30% @ Clydebank (old) 1345 3 Celtic 1648 2
10 1977-08-27 17.86% Motherwell 1530 1 @ Celtic 1607 0
11 1978-03-04 18.38% Aberdeen 1674 3 @ Rangers 1744 0
12 1977-10-15 19.91% St. Mirren 1528 2 @ Celtic 1582 1
13 1977-08-20 20.68% Aberdeen 1553 3 @ Clydebank (old) 1599 1
14 1977-12-17 21.68% Ayr United 1390 2 @ Clydebank (old) 1426 0
15 1978-03-04 21.72% Celtic 1567 1 @ Dundee United 1602 0
16 1978-05-02 21.74% @ Clydebank (old) 1338 2 Dundee United 1592 0
17 1977-10-22 23.64% Celtic 1567 2 @ Dundee United 1584 1
18 1978-04-22 23.99% @ Ayr United 1347 2 Hibernian 1579 0
19 1977-12-31 25.56% @ Ayr United 1409 2 Celtic 1627 1
20 1978-03-15 26.04% Hibernian 1540 4 @ Motherwell 1535 2
21 1977-09-10 26.09% St. Mirren 1551 3 @ Motherwell 1546 0
22 1978-04-29 26.14% Ayr United 1369 2 @ Clydebank (old) 1364 0
23 1978-03-18 26.86% Motherwell 1515 3 @ Partick Thistle 1503 2
24 1977-10-08 28.12% Rangers 1630 1 @ Dundee United 1608 0
25 1977-10-08 28.20% Aberdeen 1599 4 @ St. Mirren 1577 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-09-10 61.72 Partick Thistle 4 1436 14.37% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1558 65.63% 20.00%
2 1977-10-08 48.52 Aberdeen 4 1599 28.20% @ St. Mirren 0 1577 51.21% 20.59%
3 1978-03-04 44.12 Aberdeen 3 1674 18.38% @ Rangers 0 1744 61.33% 20.28%
4 1978-04-26 41.44 @ Partick Thistle 5 1441 46.45% St. Mirren 0 1501 32.92% 20.63%
5 1977-08-27 41.25 Rangers 4 1567 36.92% @ Partick Thistle 0 1477 42.46% 20.62%
6 1977-12-24 40.91 @ Aberdeen 4 1605 37.38% Rangers 0 1730 42.04% 20.58%
7 1977-09-10 38.57 St. Mirren 3 1551 26.09% @ Motherwell 0 1546 53.36% 20.55%
8 1978-03-29 37.78 Celtic 4 1604 41.34% @ Partick Thistle 0 1484 38.07% 20.59%
9 1977-09-17 34.48 Dundee United 3 1551 32.28% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1496 47.09% 20.62%
10 1977-08-20 31.45 Hibernian 2 1503 16.35% @ Rangers 0 1598 63.49% 20.16%
11 1978-04-08 30.56 @ St. Mirren 3 1484 38.61% Hibernian 0 1600 40.80% 20.60%
12 1978-05-02 28.74 @ Clydebank (old) 2 1338 21.74% Dundee United 0 1592 58.18% 20.08%
13 1977-12-17 28.69 Ayr United 2 1390 21.68% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1426 57.89% 20.43%
14 1977-11-26 28.59 Rangers 5 1689 58.64% @ Ayr United 0 1431 21.31% 20.05%
15 1978-04-22 27.63 @ Ayr United 2 1347 23.99% Hibernian 0 1579 55.81% 20.20%
16 1978-04-29 26.54 Ayr United 2 1369 26.14% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1364 53.30% 20.55%
17 1977-09-17 26.50 @ Motherwell 5 1508 60.26% Ayr United 0 1448 19.41% 20.33%
18 1977-08-20 25.29 Aberdeen 3 1553 20.68% @ Clydebank (old) 1 1599 58.93% 20.39%
19 1977-10-15 24.04 Rangers 4 1643 42.01% @ Motherwell 1 1519 37.40% 20.58%
20 1978-01-07 23.25 @ Clydebank (old) 2 1375 33.47% Partick Thistle 0 1529 46.02% 20.52%
21 1978-02-25 22.72 Dundee United 2 1580 34.64% @ Partick Thistle 0 1507 44.73% 20.63%
22 1978-03-18 22.68 Hibernian 3 1561 51.31% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1366 28.32% 20.38%
23 1977-12-17 22.50 @ Hibernian 2 1487 35.17% Aberdeen 0 1628 44.28% 20.55%
24 1978-04-15 22.06 @ Hibernian 4 1569 45.78% Celtic 1 1634 33.59% 20.63%
25 1978-03-11 21.89 @ Hibernian 5 1518 55.02% St. Mirren 1 1509 24.46% 20.51%