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1976-77 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

55 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

7.15 points above expected

55 points · 47.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kilmarnock

8.88 points below expected

17 points · 25.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 36 23 9 4 55 79 39 +40 47.85 +7.15
2 Rangers 36 18 10 8 46 62 37 +25 47.20 -1.20
3 Aberdeen 36 16 11 9 43 56 42 +14 38.92 +4.08
4 Dundee United 36 16 9 11 41 54 45 +9 39.74 +1.26
5 Partick Thistle 36 11 13 12 35 40 44 -4 30.40 +4.60
6 Hibernian 36 8 18 10 34 34 35 -1 35.57 -1.57
7 Motherwell 36 10 12 14 32 57 60 -3 34.76 -2.76
8 Ayr United 36 11 8 17 30 44 68 -24 27.80 +2.20
9 Heart of Midlothian 36 7 13 16 27 49 66 -17 31.88 -4.88
10 Kilmarnock 36 4 9 23 17 32 71 -39 25.88 -8.88

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1733 55 47.85 +7.15 96.0% 30 41 45 48 51 55 61
Rangers 1710 46 47.20 -1.20 43.3% 29 40 44 47 50 54 62
Aberdeen 1593 43 38.92 +4.08 84.0% 21 31 36 39 42 46 55
Dundee United 1570 41 39.74 +1.26 65.1% 24 32 37 40 43 47 58
Motherwell 1548 32 34.76 -2.76 31.3% 20 27 32 35 38 42 54
Hibernian 1543 34 35.57 -1.57 40.8% 19 28 32 36 39 43 55
Partick Thistle 1534 35 30.40 +4.60 86.7% 13 23 27 30 33 38 47
Ayr United 1470 30 27.80 +2.20 73.2% 11 20 25 28 31 35 47
Heart of Midlothian 1469 27 31.88 -4.88 17.5% 15 24 29 32 35 40 50
Kilmarnock 1361 17 25.88 -8.88 2.8% 8 19 23 26 29 33 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE AU CEL DU HOM HIB KIL MOT PT RAN
Aberdeen —
2-1-1
6.95
2-1-1
3.82
2-0-2
5.18
1-2-1
6.30
1-3-0
6.09
4-0-0
7.40
3-1-0
5.92
0-2-2
6.90
1-1-2
4.04
Ayr United
1-1-2
3.84
 —
0-0-4
2.55
1-1-2
3.67
1-2-1
4.99
0-0-4
4.05
2-1-1
5.66
3-0-1
4.08
3-1-0
4.63
0-2-2
2.64
Celtic
1-1-2
6.92
4-0-0
8.34
 —
3-0-1
6.45
3-1-0
7.64
2-2-0
7.45
4-0-0
8.22
1-2-1
7.75
3-1-0
8.30
2-2-0
5.26
Dundee United
2-0-2
5.52
2-1-1
7.10
1-0-3
4.26
 —
1-2-1
6.64
3-1-0
5.90
3-0-1
7.59
1-2-1
6.00
2-2-0
6.85
1-1-2
4.04
Heart of Midlothian
1-2-1
4.40
1-2-1
5.71
0-1-3
3.15
1-2-1
4.10
 —
0-2-2
4.61
1-2-1
6.49
2-1-1
4.73
1-1-2
5.79
0-0-4
3.12
Hibernian
0-3-1
4.62
4-0-0
6.67
0-2-2
3.32
0-1-3
4.81
2-2-0
6.10
 —
2-2-0
7.14
0-2-2
5.41
0-3-1
6.00
0-3-1
3.60
Kilmarnock
0-0-4
3.37
1-1-2
5.06
0-0-4
2.71
1-0-3
3.20
1-2-1
4.23
0-2-2
3.64
 —
0-2-2
4.19
0-1-3
4.41
1-1-2
2.56
Motherwell
0-1-3
4.80
1-0-3
6.65
1-2-1
3.05
1-2-1
4.71
1-1-2
5.96
2-2-0
5.29
2-2-0
6.54
 —
1-2-1
5.95
1-0-3
3.48
Partick Thistle
2-2-0
3.85
0-1-3
6.06
0-1-3
2.59
0-2-2
3.90
2-1-1
4.92
1-3-0
4.71
3-1-0
6.30
1-2-1
4.75
 —
2-0-2
2.94
Rangers
2-1-1
6.69
2-2-0
8.23
0-2-2
5.43
2-1-1
6.68
4-0-0
7.68
1-3-0
7.16
2-1-1
8.32
3-0-1
7.28
2-0-2
7.89
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +6.3
Allowed 0.64 -6.1
Differential 0.96 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%7.22%5.56%1.94%1.39%0.28%24.72%
17.22%13.89%7.78%2.50%1.94%1.39%34.72%
25.56%7.78%8.33%2.22%1.39%—25.28%
31.94%2.50%2.22%0.56%0.56%—7.78%
41.39%1.94%1.39%0.56%—0.28%5.56%
5+0.28%1.39%——0.28%—1.94%
Total24.72%34.72%25.28%7.78%5.56%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.70
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
15.56%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
28.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
3—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%38.89%25.00%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.17 +0.39
SD 1.25 1.00 1.52
CV 0.81 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
18.33%13.89%2.78%—8.33%5.56%38.89%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%25.00%5.56%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.89 -0.67
SD 1.10 1.58 2.01
CV 0.90 0.84 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
111.11%8.33%2.78%———22.22%
213.89%8.33%16.67%———38.89%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total33.33%30.56%30.56%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.08 +1.11
SD 1.35 0.94 1.60
CV 0.61 0.87 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
18.33%11.11%5.56%——2.78%27.78%
22.78%13.89%2.78%5.56%——25.00%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%41.67%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.25 +0.25
SD 1.36 1.20 1.87
CV 0.91 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
15.56%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%47.22%
2—8.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
3——2.78%—2.78%—5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total11.11%30.56%36.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.83 -0.47
SD 0.90 1.21 1.44
CV 0.66 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%11.11%2.78%———33.33%
18.33%25.00%11.11%———44.44%
25.56%2.78%5.56%—2.78%—16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%41.67%22.22%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.97 -0.03
SD 0.86 0.91 0.97
CV 0.91 0.94 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%11.11%5.56%11.11%—44.44%
15.56%8.33%13.89%11.11%——38.89%
2—2.78%8.33%———11.11%
3———————
4—————2.78%2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total13.89%22.22%33.33%16.67%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.97 -1.08
SD 1.24 1.30 1.76
CV 1.39 0.66 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%11.11%———16.67%
1—19.44%5.56%5.56%5.56%—36.11%
25.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+————2.78%—2.78%
Total16.67%33.33%27.78%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.67 -0.08
SD 1.20 1.22 1.76
CV 0.76 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
12.78%16.67%11.11%——2.78%33.33%
28.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—25.00%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%19.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.22 -0.11
SD 1.04 1.17 1.41
CV 0.93 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%————16.67%
116.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—16.67%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%33.33%16.67%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.03 +0.69
SD 1.32 1.08 1.49
CV 0.77 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 55 47.85 +7.15
2 Partick Thistle 35 30.40 +4.60
3 Aberdeen 43 38.92 +4.08
4 Ayr United 30 27.80 +2.20
5 Dundee United 41 39.74 +1.26

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kilmarnock 17 25.88 -8.88
2 Heart of Midlothian 27 31.88 -4.88
3 Motherwell 32 34.76 -2.76
4 Hibernian 34 35.57 -1.57
5 Rangers 46 47.20 -1.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ayr United 4 Mar 26 – Apr 9 1 in 1,238
2 Dundee United 5 Sep 4 – Oct 2 1 in 164
3 Celtic 8 Jan 8 – Feb 22 1 in 132
4 Rangers 6 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 35
5 Motherwell 3 Nov 6 – Nov 24 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 4 Apr 13 – Apr 23 1 in 313
2 Heart of Midlothian 5 Mar 23 – Apr 9 1 in 71
3 Ayr United 3 Sep 11 – Sep 25 1 in 27
4 Kilmarnock 5 Nov 3 – Nov 27 1 in 25
5 Partick Thistle 3 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ayr United 8 Mar 12 – Apr 13 1 in 143
2 Hibernian 8 Sep 11 – Oct 30 1 in 30
3 Dundee United 10 Feb 7 – Mar 19 1 in 24
4 Partick Thistle 6 Mar 15 – Apr 9 1 in 20
5 Heart of Midlothian 5 Apr 13 – Apr 30 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 7 Mar 26 – Apr 23 1 in 46
2 Rangers 5 Mar 8 – Mar 26 1 in 44
3 Heart of Midlothian 12 Feb 7 – Apr 16 1 in 39
4 Motherwell 7 Nov 27 – Feb 16 1 in 20
5 Aberdeen 5 Jan 8 – Feb 5 1 in 17

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic52.03%33.63%9.82%3.28%0.89%0.27%0.05%0.02%0.01%—
Rangers40.83%40.87%12.18%4.18%1.29%0.42%0.17%0.04%0.02%—
Aberdeen2.68%8.91%26.26%25.29%16.95%10.49%5.55%2.69%0.90%0.28%
Dundee United3.50%11.45%29.80%24.55%14.87%8.61%4.54%1.84%0.67%0.17%
Partick Thistle0.02%0.18%1.45%3.80%8.58%13.67%19.54%23.03%18.57%11.16%
Hibernian0.57%2.51%9.90%16.50%22.92%19.25%13.92%8.43%4.36%1.64%
Motherwell0.31%1.85%7.47%14.33%19.93%20.97%16.51%10.77%5.64%2.22%
Ayr United0.01%0.07%0.37%1.38%2.87%6.61%11.46%19.47%30.83%26.93%
Heart of Midlothian0.05%0.52%2.64%6.23%10.41%16.45%21.13%20.70%14.21%7.66%
Kilmarnock—0.01%0.11%0.46%1.29%3.26%7.13%13.01%24.79%49.94%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Clear Edge
43.33%31.11%25.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
196 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
062.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
52%
Celtic, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.25/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.63 * Some Luck: 3.63 to 5.44 * Lucky: 5.44 to 7.26 * Wild Swing: 7.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.94 * Close: 0.94 to 1.41 * Off: 1.41 to 1.88 * Way Off: 1.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.58 points
Some Luck
04.5411
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.182.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.95%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.84%
Kilmarnock
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.79
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 99.99% 0.01%
Rangers 99.98% 0.02%
Dundee United 99.16% 0.84%
Aberdeen 98.82% 1.18%
Hibernian 94.00% 6.00%
Motherwell 92.14% 7.86%
Heart of Midlothian 78.13% 21.87%
Partick Thistle 70.27% 29.73%
Ayr United 42.24% 57.76%
Kilmarnock 25.27% 74.73%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1976-09-04 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1525 1529 45.7% 32.7% 21.7% -0.8 1
1976-09-04 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1529 1525 21.7% 32.7% 45.7% +0.8 1
1976-09-04 Rangers D 2-2 1633 1679 40.5% 33.0% 26.5% -0.5 1
1976-09-04 @ Celtic D 2-2 1679 1633 26.5% 33.0% 40.5% +0.5 1
1976-09-04 Dundee United L 1-2 1558 1543 47.8% 32.4% 19.8% -10.3 0
1976-09-04 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1543 1558 19.8% 32.4% 47.8% +10.3 2
1976-09-04 Motherwell D 1-1 1499 1552 39.6% 33.0% 27.5% -0.5 1
1976-09-04 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1552 1499 27.5% 33.0% 39.6% +0.5 1
1976-09-04 Ayr United L 0-2 1509 1504 46.7% 32.6% 20.8% -20.1 0
1976-09-04 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1504 1509 20.8% 32.6% 46.7% +20.1 2
1976-09-11 Aberdeen L 0-5 1524 1524 46.1% 32.6% 21.3% -46.5 2
1976-09-11 @ Ayr United W 5-0 1524 1524 21.3% 32.6% 46.1% +46.5 3
1976-09-11 Celtic W 1-0 1553 1632 36.1% 33.0% 31.0% +7.9 4
1976-09-11 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1632 1553 31.0% 33.0% 36.1% -7.9 1
1976-09-11 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1530 1489 50.6% 32.0% 17.4% -1.8 2
1976-09-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1489 1530 17.4% 32.0% 50.6% +1.8 1
1976-09-11 Hibernian D 2-2 1553 1548 46.7% 32.6% 20.8% -0.9 2
1976-09-11 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1548 1553 20.8% 32.6% 46.7% +0.9 1
1976-09-11 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1679 1498 63.0% 28.0% 9.0% -3.2 2
1976-09-11 @ Rangers D 0-0 1498 1679 9.0% 28.0% 63.0% +3.2 2
1976-09-18 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1571 1502 53.5% 31.4% 15.1% +8.7 5
1976-09-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1502 1571 15.1% 31.4% 53.5% -8.7 2
1976-09-18 Dundee United L 1-4 1478 1561 35.5% 33.0% 31.6% -19.9 2
1976-09-18 @ Ayr United W 4-1 1561 1478 31.6% 33.0% 35.5% +19.9 6
1976-09-18 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1624 1528 56.0% 30.7% 13.3% -1.6 2
1976-09-18 @ Celtic D 2-2 1528 1624 13.3% 30.7% 56.0% +1.6 3
1976-09-18 Rangers D 1-1 1549 1676 29.5% 32.6% 37.9% +0.4 2
1976-09-18 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1676 1549 37.9% 32.6% 29.5% -0.4 3
1976-09-18 Motherwell W 2-0 1491 1552 38.5% 33.0% 28.5% +14.0 3
1976-09-18 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1552 1491 28.5% 33.0% 38.5% -14.0 2
1976-09-25 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1581 1505 54.1% 31.2% 14.6% +4.2 8
1976-09-25 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1505 1581 14.6% 31.2% 54.1% -4.2 3
1976-09-25 Aberdeen D 0-0 1549 1580 42.4% 32.9% 24.7% -0.9 3
1976-09-25 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1580 1549 24.7% 32.9% 42.4% +0.9 6
1976-09-25 Celtic L 0-4 1493 1623 29.1% 32.6% 38.2% -26.9 2
1976-09-25 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1623 1493 38.2% 32.6% 29.1% +26.9 4
1976-09-25 Ayr United W 4-1 1538 1458 54.5% 31.2% 14.4% +10.2 4
1976-09-25 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1458 1538 14.4% 31.2% 54.5% -10.2 2
1976-09-25 Heart of Midlothian W 4-2 1676 1530 60.2% 29.2% 10.5% +4.8 5
1976-09-25 @ Rangers L 2-4 1530 1676 10.5% 29.2% 60.2% -4.8 3
1976-10-02 Rangers D 1-1 1448 1680 18.3% 30.6% 51.2% +1.6 3
1976-10-02 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1680 1448 51.2% 30.6% 18.3% -1.6 6
1976-10-02 Hibernian D 1-1 1650 1548 56.5% 30.6% 13.0% -2.2 5
1976-10-02 @ Celtic D 1-1 1548 1650 13.0% 30.6% 56.5% +2.2 4
1976-10-02 Motherwell W 2-0 1585 1548 50.2% 32.1% 17.7% +9.9 10
1976-10-02 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1548 1585 17.7% 32.1% 50.2% -9.9 4
1976-10-02 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1525 1466 52.4% 31.6% 15.9% -1.3 4
1976-10-02 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1466 1525 15.9% 31.6% 52.4% +1.4 3
1976-10-02 Aberdeen D 2-2 1501 1580 36.0% 33.0% 31.1% -0.2 4
1976-10-02 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1580 1501 31.1% 33.0% 36.0% +0.2 7
1976-10-09 Ayr United D 2-2 1524 1449 53.9% 31.3% 14.8% -1.5 5
1976-10-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1449 1524 14.8% 31.3% 53.9% +1.5 4
1976-10-16 Celtic L 0-2 1451 1648 21.5% 31.4% 47.0% -11.3 4
1976-10-16 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1648 1451 47.0% 31.4% 21.5% +11.3 7
1976-10-16 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1550 1500 51.5% 31.8% 16.6% -1.9 5
1976-10-16 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1500 1550 16.6% 31.8% 51.5% +1.9 5
1976-10-16 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1538 1522 47.9% 32.4% 19.7% -1.4 5
1976-10-16 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1522 1538 19.7% 32.4% 47.9% +1.4 6
1976-10-16 Aberdeen W 1-0 1679 1581 56.2% 30.7% 13.2% +4.1 8
1976-10-16 @ Rangers L 0-1 1581 1679 13.2% 30.7% 56.2% -4.1 7
1976-10-20 Dundee United W 5-1 1659 1595 52.9% 31.5% 15.6% +14.0 9
1976-10-20 @ Celtic L 1-5 1595 1659 15.6% 31.5% 52.9% -14.0 10
1976-10-23 Celtic W 2-1 1577 1673 33.7% 32.9% 33.4% +7.8 9
1976-10-23 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1673 1577 33.4% 32.9% 33.7% -7.8 9
1976-10-23 Hibernian L 2-3 1439 1548 31.9% 32.8% 35.3% -7.2 4
1976-10-23 @ Ayr United W 3-2 1548 1439 35.3% 32.8% 31.9% +7.2 7
1976-10-23 Dundee United L 1-2 1523 1581 39.0% 33.0% 28.1% -8.7 6
1976-10-23 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1581 1523 28.1% 33.0% 39.0% +8.7 12
1976-10-23 Rangers W 3-1 1537 1683 27.1% 32.4% 40.5% +15.4 7
1976-10-23 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1683 1537 40.5% 32.4% 27.1% -15.4 8
1976-10-23 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1502 1467 50.0% 32.1% 17.9% +5.0 7
1976-10-23 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1467 1502 17.9% 32.1% 50.0% -5.0 3
1976-10-26 Hibernian D 1-1 1462 1556 34.1% 32.9% 33.0% -0.0 4
1976-10-26 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1556 1462 33.0% 32.9% 34.1% +0.0 8
1976-10-30 Dundee United W 3-2 1584 1590 45.5% 32.7% 21.8% +5.5 11
1976-10-30 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1590 1584 21.8% 32.7% 45.5% -5.5 12
1976-10-30 Motherwell W 2-0 1665 1552 57.5% 30.3% 12.3% +7.2 11
1976-10-30 @ Celtic L 0-2 1552 1665 12.3% 30.3% 57.5% -7.2 7
1976-10-30 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1556 1515 50.6% 32.0% 17.4% -1.6 9
1976-10-30 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1515 1556 17.4% 32.0% 50.6% +1.6 7
1976-10-30 Ayr United W 6-1 1462 1432 49.5% 32.2% 18.4% +19.6 6
1976-10-30 @ Kilmarnock L 1-6 1432 1462 18.4% 32.2% 49.5% -19.7 4
1976-10-30 Rangers W 2-1 1507 1667 25.5% 32.2% 42.3% +9.2 9
1976-10-30 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1667 1507 42.3% 32.2% 25.5% -9.2 8
1976-11-02 Motherwell W 3-1 1590 1545 51.0% 31.9% 17.1% +8.3 13
1976-11-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1545 1590 17.1% 31.9% 51.0% -8.3 7
1976-11-03 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1584 1482 56.5% 30.6% 12.9% +10.9 14
1976-11-03 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1482 1584 12.9% 30.6% 56.5% -10.9 6
1976-11-06 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1413 1517 32.6% 32.9% 34.5% +8.0 6
1976-11-06 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1517 1413 34.5% 32.9% 32.6% -8.0 9
1976-11-06 Hibernian W 2-1 1595 1554 50.6% 32.0% 17.4% +4.9 16
1976-11-06 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1554 1595 17.4% 32.0% 50.6% -4.9 9
1976-11-06 Kilmarnock W 5-4 1537 1471 53.1% 31.5% 15.4% +4.0 9
1976-11-06 @ Motherwell L 4-5 1471 1537 15.4% 31.5% 53.1% -4.0 6
1976-11-09 Dundee United W 3-0 1658 1600 52.4% 31.6% 16.0% +13.2 10
1976-11-09 @ Rangers L 0-3 1600 1658 16.0% 31.6% 52.4% -13.2 16
1976-11-10 Aberdeen W 2-1 1516 1598 35.7% 33.0% 31.3% +7.5 9
1976-11-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1598 1516 31.3% 33.0% 35.7% -7.5 13
1976-11-13 Rangers L 0-4 1467 1671 20.8% 31.3% 47.9% -20.8 6
1976-11-13 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1671 1467 47.9% 31.3% 20.8% +20.8 12
1976-11-20 Ayr United D 2-2 1587 1421 61.9% 28.6% 9.6% -2.0 17
1976-11-20 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1421 1587 9.6% 28.6% 61.9% +2.0 7
1976-11-20 Celtic L 3-4 1524 1672 26.8% 32.4% 40.8% -6.2 9
1976-11-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-3 1672 1524 40.8% 32.4% 26.8% +6.2 13
1976-11-20 Aberdeen L 1-2 1446 1591 27.3% 32.4% 40.2% -6.8 6
1976-11-20 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1591 1446 40.2% 32.4% 27.3% +6.8 15
1976-11-20 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1541 1509 49.7% 32.2% 18.2% +14.6 11
1976-11-20 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1509 1541 18.2% 32.2% 49.7% -14.6 9
1976-11-20 Hibernian D 1-1 1692 1549 60.0% 29.3% 10.7% -2.6 13
1976-11-20 @ Rangers D 1-1 1549 1692 10.7% 29.3% 60.0% +2.6 10
1976-11-24 Ayr United W 1-0 1597 1423 62.5% 28.3% 9.2% +2.9 17
1976-11-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1423 1597 9.2% 28.3% 62.5% -2.9 7
1976-11-24 Motherwell L 0-2 1552 1555 45.7% 32.7% 21.6% -19.8 10
1976-11-24 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1555 1552 21.6% 32.7% 45.7% +19.8 13
1976-11-24 Celtic L 0-1 1690 1678 47.4% 32.5% 20.1% -10.8 13
1976-11-24 @ Rangers W 1-0 1678 1690 20.1% 32.5% 47.4% +10.8 15
1976-11-27 Hibernian W 1-0 1600 1532 53.4% 31.4% 15.2% +4.6 19
1976-11-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1532 1600 15.2% 31.4% 53.4% -4.6 10
1976-11-27 Motherwell W 4-1 1420 1575 26.0% 32.3% 41.7% +22.3 9
1976-11-27 @ Ayr United L 1-4 1575 1420 41.7% 32.3% 26.0% -22.3 13
1976-11-27 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1689 1440 68.0% 25.4% 6.6% +1.9 17
1976-11-27 @ Celtic L 1-2 1440 1689 6.6% 25.4% 68.0% -1.9 6
1976-11-27 Rangers L 0-1 1518 1679 25.3% 32.2% 42.5% -6.8 9
1976-11-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1679 1518 42.5% 32.2% 25.3% +6.8 15
1976-11-27 Dundee United L 1-5 1494 1585 34.4% 32.9% 32.6% -25.2 9
1976-11-27 @ Partick Thistle W 5-1 1585 1494 32.6% 32.9% 34.4% +25.2 19
1976-11-30 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1469 1511 41.0% 33.0% 26.1% +6.6 11
1976-11-30 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1511 1469 26.1% 33.0% 41.0% -6.6 9
1976-12-11 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1442 1504 38.4% 33.0% 28.6% -9.1 9
1976-12-11 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1504 1442 28.6% 33.0% 38.4% +9.1 11
1976-12-18 Ayr United W 3-0 1691 1433 68.6% 25.0% 6.4% +5.2 19
1976-12-18 @ Celtic L 0-3 1433 1691 6.4% 25.0% 68.6% -5.2 9
1976-12-18 Motherwell W 2-1 1513 1553 41.3% 32.9% 25.7% +6.5 13
1976-12-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1553 1513 25.7% 32.9% 41.3% -6.5 13
1976-12-18 Dundee United W 1-0 1438 1610 24.1% 32.0% 43.9% +10.0 8
1976-12-18 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1610 1438 43.9% 32.0% 24.1% -10.1 19
1976-12-18 Hibernian D 1-1 1475 1527 39.7% 33.0% 27.3% -0.6 12
1976-12-18 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1527 1475 27.3% 33.0% 39.7% +0.6 11
1976-12-24 Ayr United W 1-0 1528 1428 56.3% 30.6% 13.0% +4.0 13
1976-12-24 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1428 1528 13.0% 30.6% 56.3% -4.0 9
1976-12-26 Aberdeen D 2-2 1696 1605 55.5% 30.9% 13.6% -1.6 20
1976-12-26 @ Celtic D 2-2 1605 1696 13.6% 30.9% 55.5% +1.6 20
1976-12-26 Motherwell W 1-0 1686 1546 59.7% 29.5% 10.8% +3.4 17
1976-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-1 1546 1686 10.8% 29.5% 59.7% -3.4 13
1976-12-27 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1600 1520 54.5% 31.1% 14.4% -2.0 20
1976-12-27 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1520 1600 14.4% 31.1% 54.5% +2.0 14
1976-12-27 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1448 1475 42.9% 32.9% 24.3% -1.0 9
1976-12-27 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1475 1448 24.3% 32.9% 42.9% +1.0 13
1977-01-01 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1424 1447 43.4% 32.8% 23.8% +10.7 11
1977-01-01 @ Ayr United L 1-3 1447 1424 23.8% 32.8% 43.4% -10.7 9
1977-01-01 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1689 1476 65.4% 26.8% 7.8% +2.4 19
1977-01-01 @ Rangers L 0-1 1476 1689 7.8% 26.8% 65.4% -2.4 13
1977-01-03 Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1606 1522 54.9% 31.0% 14.1% +10.0 22
1977-01-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1522 1606 14.1% 31.0% 54.9% -10.0 14
1977-01-03 Motherwell D 2-2 1436 1543 32.2% 32.8% 34.9% +0.1 10
1977-01-03 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1543 1436 34.9% 32.8% 32.2% -0.1 14
1977-01-05 Dundee United D 0-0 1532 1598 37.9% 33.0% 29.1% -0.4 14
1977-01-05 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1598 1532 29.1% 33.0% 37.9% +0.4 21
1977-01-08 Aberdeen D 0-0 1434 1616 23.1% 31.8% 45.2% +1.1 12
1977-01-08 @ Ayr United D 0-0 1616 1434 45.2% 31.8% 23.1% -1.2 23
1977-01-08 Celtic L 1-2 1598 1695 33.7% 32.9% 33.4% -7.8 21
1977-01-08 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1695 1598 33.4% 32.9% 33.7% +7.8 22
1977-01-08 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1512 1473 50.4% 32.0% 17.6% +5.2 16
1977-01-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1473 1512 17.6% 32.0% 50.4% -5.2 13
1977-01-08 Hibernian D 1-1 1543 1532 47.4% 32.5% 20.1% -1.3 15
1977-01-08 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1532 1543 20.1% 32.5% 47.4% +1.3 15
1977-01-08 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1691 1436 68.4% 25.1% 6.5% +5.3 21
1977-01-08 @ Rangers L 0-3 1436 1691 6.5% 25.1% 68.4% -5.3 10
1977-01-11 Rangers W 1-0 1703 1697 46.8% 32.5% 20.7% +5.9 24
1977-01-11 @ Celtic L 0-1 1697 1703 20.7% 32.5% 46.8% -5.9 21
1977-01-12 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1615 1468 60.3% 29.2% 10.4% -2.6 24
1977-01-12 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1468 1615 10.4% 29.2% 60.3% +2.6 14
1977-01-19 Rangers D 3-3 1613 1691 36.2% 33.0% 30.8% -0.1 25
1977-01-19 @ Aberdeen D 3-3 1691 1613 30.8% 33.0% 36.2% +0.1 22
1977-01-22 Aberdeen D 0-0 1533 1613 36.0% 33.0% 31.0% -0.2 16
1977-01-22 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1613 1533 31.0% 33.0% 36.0% +0.2 26
1977-01-22 Celtic L 1-3 1431 1708 14.9% 29.2% 55.9% -7.1 10
1977-01-22 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1708 1431 55.9% 29.2% 14.9% +7.1 26
1977-01-22 Ayr United L 2-4 1541 1436 56.8% 30.5% 12.7% -18.5 15
1977-01-22 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1436 1541 12.7% 30.5% 56.8% +18.5 14
1977-01-22 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1691 1517 62.5% 28.3% 9.2% +2.6 24
1977-01-22 @ Rangers L 2-3 1517 1691 9.2% 28.3% 62.5% -2.6 16
1977-01-26 Hibernian L 0-1 1515 1533 44.0% 32.8% 23.2% -10.1 16
1977-01-26 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1533 1515 23.2% 32.8% 44.0% +10.2 18
1977-02-05 Rangers L 0-2 1454 1693 17.7% 30.4% 51.9% -9.6 14
1977-02-05 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1693 1454 51.9% 30.4% 17.7% +9.6 26
1977-02-05 Hibernian W 4-2 1716 1543 62.4% 28.3% 9.3% +4.2 28
1977-02-05 @ Celtic L 2-4 1543 1716 9.3% 28.3% 62.4% -4.2 18
1977-02-05 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1504 1424 54.5% 31.1% 14.3% +15.7 18
1977-02-05 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1424 1504 14.3% 31.1% 54.5% -15.7 10
1977-02-05 Aberdeen W 2-1 1471 1613 27.6% 32.5% 39.9% +8.8 16
1977-02-05 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1613 1471 39.9% 32.5% 27.6% -8.8 26
1977-02-07 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1604 1408 64.1% 27.5% 8.4% +4.9 28
1977-02-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1408 1604 8.4% 27.5% 64.1% -4.9 10
1977-02-07 Dundee United L 1-4 1444 1591 27.1% 32.4% 40.5% -16.5 14
1977-02-07 @ Ayr United W 4-1 1591 1444 40.5% 32.4% 27.1% +16.5 23
1977-02-07 Heart of Midlothian W 5-1 1720 1520 64.4% 27.4% 8.2% +7.6 30
1977-02-07 @ Celtic L 1-5 1520 1720 8.2% 27.4% 64.4% -7.6 18
1977-02-12 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1727 1480 67.9% 25.5% 6.7% +3.8 32
1977-02-12 @ Celtic L 0-2 1480 1727 6.7% 25.5% 67.9% -3.8 16
1977-02-12 Hibernian L 0-1 1403 1539 28.5% 32.6% 39.0% -7.4 10
1977-02-12 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1539 1403 39.0% 32.6% 28.5% +7.4 20
1977-02-12 Dundee United L 2-3 1703 1607 56.0% 30.7% 13.3% -11.2 26
1977-02-12 @ Rangers W 3-2 1607 1703 13.3% 30.7% 56.0% +11.2 25
1977-02-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1396 1513 30.9% 32.8% 36.4% +8.2 12
1977-02-15 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1513 1396 36.4% 32.8% 30.9% -8.3 18
1977-02-16 Motherwell D 1-1 1618 1523 55.9% 30.8% 13.4% -2.2 26
1977-02-16 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1523 1618 13.4% 30.8% 55.9% +2.1 16
1977-02-16 Rangers D 0-0 1546 1692 27.1% 32.4% 40.5% +0.7 21
1977-02-16 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1692 1546 40.5% 32.4% 27.1% -0.7 27
1977-02-16 Ayr United L 0-1 1476 1428 51.3% 31.9% 16.8% -11.6 16
1977-02-16 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1428 1476 16.8% 31.9% 51.3% +11.6 16
1977-02-19 Celtic L 2-4 1440 1731 14.0% 28.7% 57.3% -6.0 16
1977-02-19 @ Ayr United W 4-2 1731 1440 57.3% 28.7% 14.0% +6.0 34
1977-02-19 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1616 1404 65.3% 26.9% 7.8% +8.6 28
1977-02-19 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1404 1616 7.8% 26.9% 65.3% -8.6 12
1977-02-19 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1547 1464 54.7% 31.1% 14.2% -2.0 22
1977-02-19 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1464 1547 14.2% 31.1% 54.7% +2.0 17
1977-02-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1525 1504 48.4% 32.3% 19.2% +5.3 18
1977-02-19 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1504 1525 19.2% 32.3% 48.4% -5.3 18
1977-02-19 Aberdeen W 1-0 1691 1609 54.7% 31.1% 14.2% +4.3 29
1977-02-19 @ Rangers L 0-1 1609 1691 14.2% 31.1% 54.7% -4.3 28
1977-02-22 Celtic L 2-4 1466 1737 15.3% 29.4% 55.2% -6.5 17
1977-02-22 @ Partick Thistle W 4-2 1737 1466 55.2% 29.4% 15.3% +6.5 36
1977-03-01 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1625 1460 61.8% 28.6% 9.6% -3.0 29
1977-03-01 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1460 1625 9.6% 28.6% 61.8% +3.0 18
1977-03-05 Celtic W 2-0 1605 1744 28.0% 32.5% 39.5% +17.5 30
1977-03-05 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1744 1605 39.5% 32.5% 28.0% -17.5 36
1977-03-05 Hibernian L 1-2 1434 1545 31.6% 32.8% 35.5% -7.5 16
1977-03-05 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1545 1434 35.5% 32.8% 31.6% +7.5 24
1977-03-05 Dundee United D 1-1 1499 1622 30.1% 32.7% 37.2% +0.3 19
1977-03-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1622 1499 37.2% 32.7% 30.1% -0.3 30
1977-03-05 Rangers L 0-2 1530 1696 24.9% 32.1% 43.0% -12.6 18
1977-03-05 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1696 1530 43.0% 32.1% 24.9% +12.6 31
1977-03-05 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1463 1396 53.3% 31.4% 15.3% +7.6 20
1977-03-05 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1396 1463 15.3% 31.4% 53.3% -7.6 12
1977-03-08 Rangers D 0-0 1621 1708 35.0% 33.0% 32.1% -0.1 31
1977-03-08 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1708 1621 32.1% 33.0% 35.0% +0.1 32
1977-03-09 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1726 1470 68.4% 25.1% 6.4% +1.8 38
1977-03-09 @ Celtic L 1-2 1470 1726 6.4% 25.1% 68.4% -1.8 20
1977-03-09 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1552 1388 61.7% 28.6% 9.7% +5.7 26
1977-03-09 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1388 1552 9.7% 28.6% 61.7% -5.7 12
1977-03-12 Dundee United L 0-1 1622 1621 46.2% 32.6% 21.2% -10.6 30
1977-03-12 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1621 1622 21.2% 32.6% 46.2% +10.6 33
1977-03-12 Ayr United L 0-1 1382 1426 40.8% 33.0% 26.3% -9.5 12
1977-03-12 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1426 1382 26.3% 33.0% 40.8% +9.6 18
1977-03-15 Rangers W 4-3 1469 1708 17.7% 30.3% 52.0% +10.1 22
1977-03-15 @ Partick Thistle L 3-4 1708 1469 52.0% 30.3% 17.7% -10.0 32
1977-03-16 Motherwell D 2-2 1728 1518 65.2% 26.9% 7.9% -2.3 39
1977-03-16 @ Celtic D 2-2 1518 1728 7.9% 26.9% 65.2% +2.3 19
1977-03-16 Aberdeen W 3-2 1632 1611 48.4% 32.4% 19.3% +5.0 35
1977-03-16 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1611 1632 19.3% 32.4% 48.4% -5.0 30
1977-03-19 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1436 1479 40.9% 33.0% 26.2% -0.7 19
1977-03-19 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1479 1436 26.2% 33.0% 40.9% +0.7 23
1977-03-19 Hibernian W 1-0 1637 1558 54.4% 31.2% 14.4% +4.4 37
1977-03-19 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1558 1637 14.4% 31.2% 54.4% -4.4 26
1977-03-19 Aberdeen D 1-1 1499 1606 32.2% 32.8% 35.0% +0.1 20
1977-03-19 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1606 1499 35.0% 32.8% 32.2% -0.1 31
1977-03-19 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1520 1373 60.4% 29.2% 10.4% +6.1 21
1977-03-19 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1373 1520 10.4% 29.2% 60.4% -6.2 12
1977-03-19 Celtic D 2-2 1698 1726 42.8% 32.9% 24.3% -0.6 33
1977-03-19 @ Rangers D 2-2 1726 1698 24.3% 32.9% 42.8% +0.6 40
1977-03-23 Motherwell W 2-1 1606 1526 54.5% 31.1% 14.3% +4.1 33
1977-03-23 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1526 1606 14.3% 31.1% 54.5% -4.1 21
1977-03-23 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1553 1499 51.9% 31.7% 16.3% +8.0 28
1977-03-23 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1499 1553 16.3% 31.7% 51.9% -8.0 20
1977-03-23 Ayr United D 1-1 1698 1435 68.9% 24.9% 6.2% -3.3 34
1977-03-23 @ Rangers D 1-1 1435 1698 6.2% 24.9% 68.9% +3.3 20
1977-03-26 Ayr United L 0-2 1610 1438 62.3% 28.3% 9.3% -25.8 33
1977-03-26 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1438 1610 9.3% 28.3% 62.3% +25.8 22
1977-03-26 Dundee United W 2-0 1726 1641 55.0% 31.0% 14.0% +8.1 42
1977-03-26 @ Celtic L 0-2 1641 1726 14.0% 31.0% 55.0% -8.1 37
1977-03-26 Motherwell L 1-2 1561 1522 50.4% 32.0% 17.5% -10.7 28
1977-03-26 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1522 1561 17.5% 32.0% 50.4% +10.7 23
1977-03-26 Rangers W 1-0 1367 1694 11.9% 27.4% 60.7% +13.1 14
1977-03-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1694 1367 60.7% 27.4% 11.9% -13.1 34
1977-03-26 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1479 1491 44.7% 32.8% 22.6% +11.9 25
1977-03-26 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1491 1479 22.6% 32.8% 44.7% -11.9 20
1977-03-30 Celtic D 1-1 1551 1734 22.9% 31.7% 45.4% +1.1 29
1977-03-30 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1734 1551 45.4% 31.7% 22.9% -1.0 43
1977-03-30 Motherwell D 0-0 1491 1533 41.0% 33.0% 26.0% -0.8 26
1977-03-30 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1533 1491 26.0% 33.0% 41.0% +0.8 24
1977-04-02 Ayr United L 0-1 1633 1464 62.1% 28.5% 9.5% -13.6 37
1977-04-02 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1464 1633 9.5% 28.5% 62.1% +13.6 24
1977-04-02 Celtic L 0-3 1480 1733 16.6% 29.9% 53.5% -13.1 20
1977-04-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1733 1480 53.5% 29.9% 16.6% +13.1 45
1977-04-02 Aberdeen L 1-2 1380 1585 20.8% 31.3% 48.0% -5.5 14
1977-04-02 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1585 1380 48.0% 31.3% 20.8% +5.5 35
1977-04-02 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1533 1490 50.8% 32.0% 17.2% -1.6 25
1977-04-02 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1490 1533 17.2% 32.0% 50.8% +1.6 27
1977-04-02 Hibernian W 2-1 1681 1552 58.9% 29.8% 11.3% +3.3 36
1977-04-02 @ Rangers L 1-2 1552 1681 11.3% 29.8% 58.9% -3.3 29
1977-04-05 Aberdeen D 1-1 1532 1590 38.9% 33.0% 28.1% -0.5 26
1977-04-05 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1590 1532 28.1% 33.0% 38.9% +0.5 36
1977-04-06 Ayr United L 1-2 1466 1478 44.8% 32.7% 22.5% -9.7 20
1977-04-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1478 1466 22.5% 32.7% 44.8% +9.7 26
1977-04-09 Hibernian D 0-0 1591 1548 50.7% 32.0% 17.3% -1.8 37
1977-04-09 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1548 1591 17.3% 32.0% 50.7% +1.8 30
1977-04-09 Motherwell W 3-2 1487 1531 40.8% 33.0% 26.3% +6.3 28
1977-04-09 @ Ayr United L 2-3 1531 1487 26.3% 33.0% 40.8% -6.3 26
1977-04-09 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1746 1374 75.8% 20.2% 3.9% +1.0 47
1977-04-09 @ Celtic L 0-1 1374 1746 3.9% 20.2% 75.8% -1.0 14
1977-04-09 Rangers L 1-3 1457 1685 18.7% 30.7% 50.6% -8.7 20
1977-04-09 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1685 1457 50.6% 30.7% 18.7% +8.7 38
1977-04-09 Dundee United D 0-0 1492 1619 29.5% 32.6% 37.9% +0.4 28
1977-04-09 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1619 1492 37.9% 32.6% 29.5% -0.4 38
1977-04-13 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1494 1373 58.1% 30.0% 11.8% -2.4 29
1977-04-13 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1373 1494 11.8% 30.0% 58.1% +2.4 15
1977-04-13 Aberdeen L 2-3 1619 1589 49.5% 32.2% 18.4% -10.0 38
1977-04-13 @ Dundee United W 3-2 1589 1619 18.4% 32.2% 49.5% +10.0 39
1977-04-13 Hibernian D 2-2 1448 1550 32.9% 32.9% 34.3% +0.0 21
1977-04-13 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1550 1448 34.3% 32.9% 32.9% -0.1 31
1977-04-13 Celtic W 3-0 1525 1747 19.1% 30.8% 50.0% +30.6 28
1977-04-13 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1747 1525 50.0% 30.8% 19.1% -30.6 47
1977-04-13 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1693 1492 64.5% 27.3% 8.2% +2.4 40
1977-04-13 @ Rangers L 1-2 1492 1693 8.2% 27.3% 64.5% -2.4 28
1977-04-16 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1599 1490 57.1% 30.4% 12.5% -24.0 39
1977-04-16 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1490 1599 12.5% 30.4% 57.1% +24.0 30
1977-04-16 Celtic L 0-1 1550 1717 24.7% 32.1% 43.2% -6.6 31
1977-04-16 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1717 1550 43.2% 32.1% 24.7% +6.6 49
1977-04-16 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1376 1448 37.0% 33.0% 30.0% -0.2 16
1977-04-16 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1448 1376 30.0% 33.0% 37.0% +0.2 22
1977-04-16 Ayr United W 5-1 1696 1491 64.8% 27.2% 8.1% +7.4 42
1977-04-16 @ Rangers L 1-5 1491 1696 8.1% 27.2% 64.8% -7.4 29
1977-04-17 Dundee United W 4-0 1556 1609 39.5% 33.0% 27.5% +25.9 30
1977-04-17 @ Motherwell L 0-4 1609 1556 27.5% 33.0% 39.5% -25.9 38
1977-04-20 Aberdeen W 4-1 1724 1575 60.5% 29.2% 10.4% +7.5 51
1977-04-20 @ Celtic L 1-4 1575 1724 10.4% 29.2% 60.5% -7.5 39
1977-04-20 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1583 1448 59.3% 29.6% 11.1% -12.4 38
1977-04-20 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1448 1583 11.1% 29.6% 59.3% +12.4 24
1977-04-20 Ayr United W 2-0 1543 1484 52.5% 31.6% 15.9% +9.0 33
1977-04-20 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1484 1543 15.9% 31.6% 52.5% -9.0 29
1977-04-20 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1375 1514 28.0% 32.5% 39.5% -11.9 16
1977-04-20 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1514 1375 39.5% 32.5% 28.0% +11.9 32
1977-04-20 Motherwell W 4-1 1703 1582 58.2% 30.0% 11.8% +8.5 44
1977-04-20 @ Rangers L 1-4 1582 1703 11.8% 30.0% 58.2% -8.5 30
1977-04-23 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1475 1461 47.7% 32.4% 19.8% -1.3 30
1977-04-23 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1461 1475 19.8% 32.4% 47.7% +1.3 25
1977-04-23 Rangers L 0-1 1571 1711 27.8% 32.5% 39.8% -7.3 38
1977-04-23 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1711 1571 39.8% 32.5% 27.8% +7.3 46
1977-04-23 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1552 1363 63.6% 27.7% 8.6% -3.2 34
1977-04-23 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1363 1552 8.6% 27.7% 63.6% +3.2 17
1977-04-23 Aberdeen L 1-3 1573 1567 46.8% 32.6% 20.7% -17.4 30
1977-04-23 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1567 1573 20.7% 32.6% 46.8% +17.4 41
1977-04-23 Celtic D 1-1 1526 1731 20.7% 31.3% 48.0% +1.3 33
1977-04-23 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1731 1526 48.0% 31.3% 20.7% -1.3 52
1977-04-30 Rangers W 2-1 1585 1719 28.6% 32.6% 38.8% +8.6 43
1977-04-30 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1719 1585 38.8% 32.6% 28.6% -8.6 46
1977-04-30 Ayr United W 2-0 1730 1474 68.5% 25.1% 6.4% +3.6 54
1977-04-30 @ Celtic L 0-2 1474 1730 6.4% 25.1% 68.5% -3.6 30
1977-04-30 Motherwell W 3-2 1462 1556 34.1% 32.9% 33.0% +7.3 27
1977-04-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1556 1462 33.0% 32.9% 34.1% -7.3 30
1977-04-30 Dundee United L 1-2 1367 1563 21.6% 31.5% 47.0% -5.6 17
1977-04-30 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1563 1367 47.0% 31.5% 21.6% +5.6 40
1977-04-30 Hibernian W 1-0 1527 1549 43.5% 32.8% 23.7% +6.5 35
1977-04-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1549 1527 23.7% 32.8% 43.5% -6.5 34
1977-05-04 Dundee United D 1-1 1548 1569 43.7% 32.8% 23.5% -0.9 31
1977-05-04 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1569 1548 23.5% 32.8% 43.7% +0.9 41
1977-05-10 Celtic D 2-2 1547 1733 22.6% 31.7% 45.7% +0.8 32
1977-05-10 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1733 1547 45.7% 31.7% 22.6% -0.8 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-03-26 9.32% Ayr United 1438 2 @ Aberdeen 1610 0
2 1977-04-02 9.46% Ayr United 1464 1 @ Dundee United 1633 0
3 1977-04-20 11.07% Heart of Midlothian 1448 2 @ Dundee United 1583 1
4 1977-03-26 11.88% @ Kilmarnock 1367 1 Rangers 1694 0
5 1977-04-16 12.51% Partick Thistle 1490 2 @ Aberdeen 1599 0
6 1977-01-22 12.69% Ayr United 1436 4 @ Motherwell 1541 2
7 1977-02-12 13.30% Dundee United 1607 3 @ Rangers 1703 2
8 1977-02-16 16.81% Ayr United 1428 1 @ Partick Thistle 1476 0
9 1977-03-26 17.53% Motherwell 1522 2 @ Hibernian 1561 1
10 1977-03-15 17.69% @ Partick Thistle 1469 4 Rangers 1708 3
11 1977-04-13 18.35% Aberdeen 1589 3 @ Dundee United 1619 2
12 1977-04-13 19.15% @ Motherwell 1525 3 Celtic 1747 0
13 1976-09-04 19.75% Dundee United 1543 2 @ Hibernian 1558 1
14 1976-11-24 20.13% Celtic 1678 1 @ Rangers 1690 0
15 1977-04-23 20.68% Aberdeen 1567 3 @ Motherwell 1573 1
16 1976-09-04 20.76% Ayr United 1504 2 @ Partick Thistle 1509 0
17 1977-03-12 21.17% Dundee United 1621 1 @ Aberdeen 1622 0
18 1976-09-11 21.28% Aberdeen 1524 5 @ Ayr United 1524 0
19 1976-11-24 21.63% Motherwell 1555 2 @ Hibernian 1552 0
20 1977-04-06 22.48% Ayr United 1478 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1466 1
21 1977-01-26 23.22% Hibernian 1533 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1515 0
22 1976-12-18 24.09% @ Kilmarnock 1438 1 Dundee United 1610 0
23 1976-10-30 25.48% @ Partick Thistle 1507 2 Rangers 1667 1
24 1976-11-27 26.04% @ Ayr United 1420 4 Motherwell 1575 1
25 1977-03-12 26.29% Ayr United 1426 1 @ Kilmarnock 1382 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-09-11 46.52 Aberdeen 5 1524 21.28% @ Ayr United 0 1524 46.10% 32.62%
2 1977-04-13 30.56 @ Motherwell 3 1525 19.15% Celtic 0 1747 50.03% 30.83%
3 1976-09-25 26.88 Celtic 4 1623 38.25% @ Kilmarnock 0 1493 29.14% 32.61%
4 1977-04-17 25.94 @ Motherwell 4 1556 39.53% Dundee United 0 1609 27.48% 32.99%
5 1977-03-26 25.79 Ayr United 2 1438 9.32% @ Aberdeen 0 1610 62.33% 28.35%
6 1976-11-27 25.17 Dundee United 5 1585 32.62% @ Partick Thistle 1 1494 34.44% 32.94%
7 1977-04-16 23.95 Partick Thistle 2 1490 12.51% @ Aberdeen 0 1599 57.10% 30.39%
8 1976-11-27 22.32 @ Ayr United 4 1420 26.04% Motherwell 1 1575 41.70% 32.26%
9 1976-11-13 20.80 Rangers 4 1671 47.91% @ Kilmarnock 0 1467 20.81% 31.28%
10 1976-09-04 20.10 Ayr United 2 1504 20.76% @ Partick Thistle 0 1509 46.68% 32.56%
11 1976-09-18 19.91 Dundee United 4 1561 31.55% @ Ayr United 1 1478 35.48% 32.97%
12 1976-11-24 19.76 Motherwell 2 1555 21.63% @ Hibernian 0 1552 45.71% 32.66%
13 1976-10-30 19.66 @ Kilmarnock 6 1462 49.46% Ayr United 1 1432 18.35% 32.19%
14 1977-01-22 18.47 Ayr United 4 1436 12.69% @ Motherwell 2 1541 56.84% 30.47%
15 1977-03-05 17.51 @ Aberdeen 2 1605 27.99% Celtic 0 1744 39.51% 32.50%
16 1977-04-23 17.44 Aberdeen 3 1567 20.68% @ Motherwell 1 1573 46.77% 32.55%
17 1977-02-07 16.48 Dundee United 4 1591 40.47% @ Ayr United 1 1444 27.13% 32.40%
18 1977-02-05 15.68 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1504 54.54% Kilmarnock 0 1424 14.32% 31.14%
19 1976-10-23 15.44 @ Motherwell 3 1537 27.10% Rangers 1 1683 40.50% 32.40%
20 1976-11-20 14.64 @ Motherwell 3 1541 49.66% Partick Thistle 0 1509 18.18% 32.16%
21 1976-10-20 14.02 @ Celtic 5 1659 52.92% Dundee United 1 1595 15.55% 31.53%
22 1976-09-18 14.01 @ Partick Thistle 2 1491 38.54% Motherwell 0 1552 28.46% 33.00%
23 1977-04-02 13.64 Ayr United 1 1464 9.46% @ Dundee United 0 1633 62.07% 28.47%
24 1976-11-09 13.18 @ Rangers 3 1658 52.36% Dundee United 0 1600 15.98% 31.65%
25 1977-04-02 13.11 Celtic 3 1733 53.48% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1480 16.58% 29.94%