1976-77 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

55 points · 30th Title

Last Title: 1973-74

Relegated

Kilmarnock

17 pts

Heart of Midlothian · 27 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

7.15 points above expected

55 points · 47.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kilmarnock

8.88 points below expected

17 points · 25.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celtic Champion	36	23	9	4	55	79	39	+40	47.85	+7.15
2	Rangers	36	18	10	8	46	62	37	+25	47.20	-1.20
3	Aberdeen	36	16	11	9	43	56	42	+14	38.92	+4.08
4	Dundee United	36	16	9	11	41	54	45	+9	39.74	+1.26
5	Partick Thistle	36	11	13	12	35	40	44	-4	30.40	+4.60
6	Hibernian	36	8	18	10	34	34	35	-1	35.57	-1.57
7	Motherwell	36	10	12	14	32	57	60	-3	34.76	-2.76
8	Ayr United	36	11	8	17	30	44	68	-24	27.80	+2.20
9	Heart of Midlothian Relegated	36	7	13	16	27	49	66	-17	31.88	-4.88
10	Kilmarnock Relegated	36	4	9	23	17	32	71	-39	25.88	-8.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celtic	55	47.85	+7.15
2	Partick Thistle	35	30.40	+4.60
3	Aberdeen	43	38.92	+4.08
4	Ayr United	30	27.80	+2.20
5	Dundee United	41	39.74	+1.26

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kilmarnock	17	25.88	-8.88
2	Heart of Midlothian	27	31.88	-4.88
3	Motherwell	32	34.76	-2.76
4	Hibernian	34	35.57	-1.57
5	Rangers	46	47.20	-1.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ayr United	4	Mar 26 – Apr 9	1 in 1,238
2	Dundee United	5	Sep 4 – Oct 2	1 in 164
3	Celtic	8	Jan 8 – Feb 22	1 in 132
4	Rangers	6	Apr 2 – Apr 23	1 in 35
5	Motherwell	3	Nov 6 – Nov 24	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	4	Apr 13 – Apr 23	1 in 313
2	Heart of Midlothian	5	Mar 23 – Apr 9	1 in 71
3	Ayr United	3	Sep 11 – Sep 25	1 in 27
4	Kilmarnock	5	Nov 3 – Nov 27	1 in 25
5	Partick Thistle	3	Nov 6 – Nov 27	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ayr United	8	Mar 12 – Apr 13	1 in 143
2	Hibernian	8	Sep 11 – Oct 30	1 in 30
3	Dundee United	10	Feb 7 – Mar 19	1 in 24
4	Partick Thistle	6	Mar 15 – Apr 9	1 in 20
5	Heart of Midlothian	5	Apr 13 – Apr 30	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundee United	7	Mar 26 – Apr 23	1 in 46
2	Rangers	5	Mar 8 – Mar 26	1 in 44
3	Heart of Midlothian	12	Feb 7 – Apr 16	1 in 39
4	Motherwell	7	Nov 27 – Feb 16	1 in 20
5	Aberdeen	5	Jan 8 – Feb 5	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celtic	1733	55	+16	8	6.8	+1.2
Rangers	1710	46	+17	8	6.8	+1.2
Aberdeen	1593	43	+5	6	4.3	+1.7
Dundee United	1570	41	-39	3	5.3	-2.3
Partick Thistle	1534	35	+41	7	4.0	+3.0
Hibernian	1543	34	-7	4	5.5	-1.5
Motherwell	1548	32	-33	2	4.8	-2.8
Ayr United	1470	30	-24	2	4.2	-2.2
Heart of Midlothian	1469	27	+21	7	4.2	+2.8
Kilmarnock	1361	17	-12	3	3.7	-0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	AU	CEL	DU	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	PT	RAN
Aberdeen	—	2-1-1 6.95	2-1-1 3.82	2-0-2 5.18	1-2-1 6.30	1-3-0 6.09	4-0-0 7.40	3-1-0 5.92	0-2-2 6.90	1-1-2 4.04
Ayr United	1-1-2 3.84	—	0-0-4 2.55	1-1-2 3.67	1-2-1 4.99	0-0-4 4.05	2-1-1 5.66	3-0-1 4.08	3-1-0 4.63	0-2-2 2.64
Celtic	1-1-2 6.92	4-0-0 8.34	—	3-0-1 6.45	3-1-0 7.64	2-2-0 7.45	4-0-0 8.22	1-2-1 7.75	3-1-0 8.30	2-2-0 5.26
Dundee United	2-0-2 5.52	2-1-1 7.10	1-0-3 4.26	—	1-2-1 6.64	3-1-0 5.90	3-0-1 7.59	1-2-1 6.00	2-2-0 6.85	1-1-2 4.04
Heart of Midlothian	1-2-1 4.40	1-2-1 5.71	0-1-3 3.15	1-2-1 4.10	—	0-2-2 4.61	1-2-1 6.49	2-1-1 4.73	1-1-2 5.79	0-0-4 3.12
Hibernian	0-3-1 4.62	4-0-0 6.67	0-2-2 3.32	0-1-3 4.81	2-2-0 6.10	—	2-2-0 7.14	0-2-2 5.41	0-3-1 6.00	0-3-1 3.60
Kilmarnock	0-0-4 3.37	1-1-2 5.06	0-0-4 2.71	1-0-3 3.20	1-2-1 4.23	0-2-2 3.64	—	0-2-2 4.19	0-1-3 4.41	1-1-2 2.56
Motherwell	0-1-3 4.80	1-0-3 6.65	1-2-1 3.05	1-2-1 4.71	1-1-2 5.96	2-2-0 5.29	2-2-0 6.54	—	1-2-1 5.95	1-0-3 3.48
Partick Thistle	2-2-0 3.85	0-1-3 6.06	0-1-3 2.59	0-2-2 3.90	2-1-1 4.92	1-3-0 4.71	3-1-0 6.30	1-2-1 4.75	—	2-0-2 2.94
Rangers	2-1-1 6.69	2-2-0 8.23	0-2-2 5.43	2-1-1 6.68	4-0-0 7.68	1-3-0 7.16	2-1-1 8.32	3-0-1 7.28	2-0-2 7.89	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.69	+6.3
Allowed	0.64	-6.1
Differential	0.96	+4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	7.22%	5.56%	1.94%	1.39%	0.28%	24.72%
1	7.22%	13.89%	7.78%	2.50%	1.94%	1.39%	34.72%
2	5.56%	7.78%	8.33%	2.22%	1.39%	—	25.28%
3	1.94%	2.50%	2.22%	0.56%	0.56%	—	7.78%
4	1.39%	1.94%	1.39%	0.56%	—	0.28%	5.56%
5+	0.28%	1.39%	—	—	0.28%	—	1.94%
Total	24.72%	34.72%	25.28%	7.78%	5.56%	1.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.22	1.70
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
2	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	25.00%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.17	+0.39
SD	1.25	1.00	1.52
CV	0.81	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	8.33%	5.56%	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	25.00%	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.89	-0.67
SD	1.10	1.58	2.01
CV	0.90	0.84	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
1	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	13.89%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	38.89%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	30.56%	30.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.08	+1.11
SD	1.35	0.94	1.60
CV	0.61	0.87	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	27.78%
2	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.25	+0.25
SD	1.36	1.20	1.87
CV	0.91	0.96	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	5.56%	16.67%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
2	—	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	30.56%	36.11%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.83	-0.47
SD	0.90	1.21	1.44
CV	0.66	0.66	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	25.00%	11.11%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	41.67%	22.22%	—	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	0.97	-0.03
SD	0.86	0.91	0.97
CV	0.91	0.94	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	44.44%
1	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	13.89%	22.22%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.97	-1.08
SD	1.24	1.30	1.76
CV	1.39	0.66	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	30.56%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.67	-0.08
SD	1.20	1.22	1.76
CV	0.76	0.73	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	2.78%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	33.33%
2	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	41.67%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.22	-0.11
SD	1.04	1.17	1.41
CV	0.93	0.96	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	33.33%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.03	+0.69
SD	1.32	1.08	1.49
CV	0.77	1.05	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1733	55	47.85	+7.15	96.0%	30	41	45	48	51	55	61
Rangers	1710	46	47.20	-1.20	43.3%	29	40	44	47	50	54	62
Aberdeen	1593	43	38.92	+4.08	84.0%	21	31	36	39	42	46	55
Dundee United	1570	41	39.74	+1.26	65.1%	24	32	37	40	43	47	58
Motherwell	1548	32	34.76	-2.76	31.3%	20	27	32	35	38	42	54
Hibernian	1543	34	35.57	-1.57	40.8%	19	28	32	36	39	43	55
Partick Thistle	1534	35	30.40	+4.60	86.7%	13	23	27	30	33	38	47
Ayr United	1470	30	27.80	+2.20	73.2%	11	20	25	28	31	35	47
Heart of Midlothian	1469	27	31.88	-4.88	17.5%	15	24	29	32	35	40	50
Kilmarnock	1361	17	25.88	-8.88	2.8%	8	19	23	26	29	33	43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+17.78%

Clear Edge

43.33%31.11%25.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge

196 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

062.43500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.35 goals

Neutral

-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.3

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

52%

Celtic, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.25/gm

Tight Race

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.63 * Some Luck: 3.63 to 5.44 * Lucky: 5.44 to 7.26 * Wild Swing: 7.26 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.94 * Close: 0.94 to 1.41 * Off: 1.41 to 1.88 * Way Off: 1.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.68 * A Surprise: 0.68 to 1.08 * Several Surprises: 1.08 to 1.49 * Many Surprises: 1.49 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.58 points

Some Luck

04.5411

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

01.182.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

95.95%

Celtic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

2.84%

Kilmarnock

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

A Surprise

00.72

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.79

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

64%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Strong Edge

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Occasional

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.43

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.80

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.98

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.076

Well Within Noise

00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Celtic	52.03%	33.63%	9.82%	3.28%	0.89%	0.27%	0.05%	0.02%	0.01%	—
Rangers	40.83%	40.87%	12.18%	4.18%	1.29%	0.42%	0.17%	0.04%	0.02%	—
Aberdeen	2.68%	8.91%	26.26%	25.29%	16.95%	10.49%	5.55%	2.69%	0.90%	0.28%
Dundee United	3.50%	11.45%	29.80%	24.55%	14.87%	8.61%	4.54%	1.84%	0.67%	0.17%
Partick Thistle	0.02%	0.18%	1.45%	3.80%	8.58%	13.67%	19.54%	23.03%	18.57%	11.16%
Hibernian	0.57%	2.51%	9.90%	16.50%	22.92%	19.25%	13.92%	8.43%	4.36%	1.64%
Motherwell	0.31%	1.85%	7.47%	14.33%	19.93%	20.97%	16.51%	10.77%	5.64%	2.22%
Ayr United	0.01%	0.07%	0.37%	1.38%	2.87%	6.61%	11.46%	19.47%	30.83%	26.93%
Heart of Midlothian	0.05%	0.52%	2.64%	6.23%	10.41%	16.45%	21.13%	20.70%	14.21%	7.66%
Kilmarnock	—	0.01%	0.11%	0.46%	1.29%	3.26%	7.13%	13.01%	24.79%	49.94%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Celtic	99.99%	0.01%
Rangers	99.98%	0.02%
Dundee United	99.16%	0.84%
Aberdeen	98.82%	1.18%
Hibernian	94.00%	6.00%
Motherwell	92.14%	7.86%
Heart of Midlothian	78.13%	21.87%
Partick Thistle	70.27%	29.73%
Ayr United	42.24%	57.76%
Kilmarnock	25.27%	74.73%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1976-09-04	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	67.7	1525	1529	45.67%	32.66%	21.67%	+0.30	-0.8	1
1976-09-04	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	67.7	1529	1525	21.67%	32.66%	45.67%	-0.30	+0.8	1
1976-09-04	Rangers	D 2-2	73.8	1633	1679	40.50%	32.96%	26.54%	+0.08	-0.5	1
1976-09-04	@ Celtic	D 2-2	73.8	1679	1633	26.54%	32.96%	40.50%	-0.08	+0.5	1
1976-09-04	Dundee United	L 1-2	64.7	1558	1543	47.83%	32.42%	19.75%	+0.39	-10.3	0
1976-09-04	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	64.7	1543	1558	19.75%	32.42%	47.83%	-0.39	+10.3	2
1976-09-04	Motherwell	D 1-1	61.9	1499	1552	39.56%	32.99%	27.45%	+0.05	-0.5	1
1976-09-04	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	61.9	1552	1499	27.45%	32.99%	39.56%	-0.05	+0.5	1
1976-09-04	Ayr United	L 0-2	52.2	1509	1504	46.68%	32.56%	20.76%	+0.34	-20.1	0
1976-09-04	@ Partick Thistle	W 2-0	52.2	1504	1509	20.76%	32.56%	46.68%	-0.34	+20.1	2
1976-09-11	Aberdeen	L 0-5	52.2	1524	1524	46.10%	32.62%	21.28%	+0.32	-46.5	2
1976-09-11	@ Ayr United	W 5-0	52.2	1524	1524	21.28%	32.62%	46.10%	-0.32	+46.5	3
1976-09-11	Celtic	W 1-0	56.9	1553	1632	36.06%	32.98%	30.96%	-0.09	+7.9	4
1976-09-11	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	56.9	1632	1553	30.96%	32.98%	36.06%	+0.09	-7.9	1
1976-09-11	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	56.6	1530	1489	50.60%	32.00%	17.40%	+0.53	-1.8	2
1976-09-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	56.6	1489	1530	17.40%	32.00%	50.60%	-0.53	+1.8	1
1976-09-11	Hibernian	D 2-2	69.3	1553	1548	46.66%	32.56%	20.78%	+0.34	-0.9	2
1976-09-11	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	69.3	1548	1553	20.78%	32.56%	46.66%	-0.34	+0.9	1
1976-09-11	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	62.9	1679	1498	62.99%	28.04%	8.96%	+1.24	-3.2	2
1976-09-11	@ Rangers	D 0-0	62.9	1498	1679	8.96%	28.04%	62.99%	-1.24	+3.2	2
1976-09-18	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	44.6	1571	1502	53.46%	31.41%	15.14%	+0.67	+8.7	5
1976-09-18	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	44.6	1502	1571	15.14%	31.41%	53.46%	-0.67	-8.7	2
1976-09-18	Dundee United	L 1-4	53.0	1478	1561	35.48%	32.97%	31.55%	-0.11	-19.9	2
1976-09-18	@ Ayr United	W 4-1	53.0	1561	1478	31.55%	32.97%	35.48%	+0.11	+19.9	6
1976-09-18	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	71.4	1624	1528	56.00%	30.73%	13.27%	+0.81	-1.6	2
1976-09-18	@ Celtic	D 2-2	71.4	1528	1624	13.27%	30.73%	56.00%	-0.81	+1.6	3
1976-09-18	Rangers	D 1-1	67.0	1549	1676	29.48%	32.64%	37.87%	-0.33	+0.4	2
1976-09-18	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	67.0	1676	1549	37.87%	32.64%	29.48%	+0.33	-0.4	3
1976-09-18	Motherwell	W 2-0	48.0	1491	1552	38.54%	33.00%	28.46%	+0.01	+14.0	3
1976-09-18	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	48.0	1552	1491	28.46%	33.00%	38.54%	-0.01	-14.0	2
1976-09-25	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	53.8	1581	1505	54.12%	31.25%	14.64%	+0.71	+4.2	8
1976-09-25	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	53.8	1505	1581	14.64%	31.25%	54.12%	-0.71	-4.2	3
1976-09-25	Aberdeen	D 0-0	60.1	1549	1580	42.45%	32.89%	24.66%	+0.16	-0.9	3
1976-09-25	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	60.1	1580	1549	24.66%	32.89%	42.45%	-0.16	+0.9	6
1976-09-25	Celtic	L 0-4	48.5	1493	1623	29.14%	32.61%	38.25%	-0.34	-26.9	2
1976-09-25	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	48.5	1623	1493	38.25%	32.61%	29.14%	+0.34	+26.9	4
1976-09-25	Ayr United	W 4-1	44.5	1538	1458	54.46%	31.16%	14.38%	+0.72	+10.2	4
1976-09-25	@ Motherwell	L 1-4	44.5	1458	1538	14.38%	31.16%	54.46%	-0.72	-10.2	2
1976-09-25	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-2	55.9	1676	1530	60.25%	29.25%	10.50%	+1.06	+4.8	5
1976-09-25	@ Rangers	L 2-4	55.9	1530	1676	10.50%	29.25%	60.25%	-1.06	-4.8	3
1976-10-02	Rangers	D 1-1	65.2	1448	1680	18.26%	30.55%	51.19%	-0.87	+1.6	3
1976-10-02	@ Ayr United	D 1-1	65.2	1680	1448	51.19%	30.55%	18.26%	+0.87	-1.6	6
1976-10-02	Hibernian	D 1-1	67.0	1650	1548	56.46%	30.59%	12.95%	+0.84	-2.2	5
1976-10-02	@ Celtic	D 1-1	67.0	1548	1650	12.95%	30.59%	56.46%	-0.84	+2.2	4
1976-10-02	Motherwell	W 2-0	47.5	1585	1548	50.24%	32.06%	17.70%	+0.51	+9.9	10
1976-10-02	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	47.5	1548	1585	17.70%	32.06%	50.24%	-0.51	-9.9	4
1976-10-02	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	65.6	1525	1466	52.43%	31.64%	15.93%	+0.62	-1.3	4
1976-10-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	65.6	1466	1525	15.93%	31.64%	52.43%	-0.62	+1.4	3
1976-10-02	Aberdeen	D 2-2	68.5	1501	1580	35.97%	32.98%	31.06%	-0.09	-0.2	4
1976-10-02	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	68.5	1580	1501	31.06%	32.98%	35.97%	+0.09	+0.2	7
1976-10-09	Ayr United	D 2-2	65.1	1524	1449	53.94%	31.29%	14.77%	+0.70	-1.5	5
1976-10-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	65.1	1449	1524	14.77%	31.29%	53.94%	-0.70	+1.5	4
1976-10-16	Celtic	L 0-2	47.4	1451	1648	21.54%	31.45%	47.01%	-0.68	-11.3	4
1976-10-16	@ Ayr United	W 2-0	47.4	1648	1451	47.01%	31.45%	21.54%	+0.68	+11.3	7
1976-10-16	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	57.8	1550	1500	51.53%	31.82%	16.64%	+0.57	-1.9	5
1976-10-16	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	57.8	1500	1550	16.64%	31.82%	51.53%	-0.57	+1.9	5
1976-10-16	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	62.4	1538	1522	47.91%	32.41%	19.68%	+0.40	-1.4	5
1976-10-16	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	62.4	1522	1538	19.68%	32.41%	47.91%	-0.40	+1.4	6
1976-10-16	Aberdeen	W 1-0	52.3	1679	1581	56.16%	30.68%	13.16%	+0.82	+4.1	8
1976-10-16	@ Rangers	L 0-1	52.3	1581	1679	13.16%	30.68%	56.16%	-0.82	-4.1	7
1976-10-20	Dundee United	W 5-1	51.4	1659	1595	52.92%	31.53%	15.55%	+0.64	+14.0	9
1976-10-20	@ Celtic	L 1-5	51.4	1595	1659	15.55%	31.53%	52.92%	-0.64	-14.0	10
1976-10-23	Celtic	W 2-1	64.2	1577	1673	33.68%	32.91%	33.42%	-0.17	+7.8	9
1976-10-23	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	64.2	1673	1577	33.42%	32.91%	33.68%	+0.17	-7.8	9
1976-10-23	Hibernian	L 2-3	61.0	1439	1548	31.91%	32.82%	35.27%	-0.24	-7.2	4
1976-10-23	@ Ayr United	W 3-2	61.0	1548	1439	35.27%	32.82%	31.91%	+0.24	+7.2	7
1976-10-23	Dundee United	L 1-2	62.3	1523	1581	38.96%	32.99%	28.05%	+0.02	-8.7	6
1976-10-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	62.3	1581	1523	28.05%	32.99%	38.96%	-0.02	+8.7	12
1976-10-23	Rangers	W 3-1	62.2	1537	1683	27.10%	32.40%	40.50%	-0.43	+15.4	7
1976-10-23	@ Motherwell	L 1-3	62.2	1683	1537	40.50%	32.40%	27.10%	+0.43	-15.4	8
1976-10-23	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	50.8	1502	1467	49.99%	32.10%	17.91%	+0.50	+5.0	7
1976-10-23	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	50.8	1467	1502	17.91%	32.10%	49.99%	-0.50	-5.0	3
1976-10-26	Hibernian	D 1-1	60.7	1462	1556	34.11%	32.92%	32.97%	-0.16	-0.0	4
1976-10-26	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	60.7	1556	1462	32.97%	32.92%	34.11%	+0.16	+0.0	8
1976-10-30	Dundee United	W 3-2	64.1	1584	1590	45.48%	32.68%	21.84%	+0.29	+5.5	11
1976-10-30	@ Aberdeen	L 2-3	64.1	1590	1584	21.84%	32.68%	45.48%	-0.29	-5.5	12
1976-10-30	Motherwell	W 2-0	47.4	1665	1552	57.47%	30.27%	12.26%	+0.89	+7.2	11
1976-10-30	@ Celtic	L 0-2	47.4	1552	1665	12.26%	30.27%	57.47%	-0.89	-7.2	7
1976-10-30	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	62.9	1556	1515	50.62%	31.99%	17.39%	+0.53	-1.6	9
1976-10-30	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	62.9	1515	1556	17.39%	31.99%	50.62%	-0.53	+1.6	7
1976-10-30	Ayr United	W 6-1	40.9	1462	1432	49.46%	32.19%	18.35%	+0.47	+19.6	6
1976-10-30	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-6	40.9	1432	1462	18.35%	32.19%	49.46%	-0.47	-19.7	4
1976-10-30	Rangers	W 2-1	65.1	1507	1667	25.48%	32.18%	42.34%	-0.50	+9.2	9
1976-10-30	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	65.1	1667	1507	42.34%	32.18%	25.48%	+0.50	-9.2	8
1976-11-02	Motherwell	W 3-1	52.9	1590	1545	51.03%	31.92%	17.05%	+0.55	+8.3	13
1976-11-02	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	52.9	1545	1590	17.05%	31.92%	51.03%	-0.55	-8.3	7
1976-11-03	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	41.5	1584	1482	56.52%	30.57%	12.91%	+0.84	+10.9	14
1976-11-03	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	41.5	1482	1584	12.91%	30.57%	56.52%	-0.84	-10.9	6
1976-11-06	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	54.6	1413	1517	32.60%	32.86%	34.54%	-0.21	+8.0	6
1976-11-06	@ Ayr United	L 1-2	54.6	1517	1413	34.54%	32.86%	32.60%	+0.21	-8.0	9
1976-11-06	Hibernian	W 2-1	56.9	1595	1554	50.63%	31.99%	17.38%	+0.53	+4.9	16
1976-11-06	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	56.9	1554	1595	17.38%	31.99%	50.63%	-0.53	-4.9	9
1976-11-06	Kilmarnock	W 5-4	60.3	1537	1471	53.09%	31.49%	15.42%	+0.65	+4.0	9
1976-11-06	@ Motherwell	L 4-5	60.3	1471	1537	15.42%	31.49%	53.09%	-0.65	-4.0	6
1976-11-09	Dundee United	W 3-0	47.7	1658	1600	52.36%	31.65%	15.98%	+0.61	+13.2	10
1976-11-09	@ Rangers	L 0-3	47.7	1600	1658	15.98%	31.65%	52.36%	-0.61	-13.2	16
1976-11-10	Aberdeen	W 2-1	60.3	1516	1598	35.69%	32.97%	31.34%	-0.10	+7.5	9
1976-11-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	60.3	1598	1516	31.34%	32.97%	35.69%	+0.10	-7.5	13
1976-11-13	Rangers	L 0-4	46.3	1467	1671	20.81%	31.28%	47.91%	-0.72	-20.8	6
1976-11-13	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	46.3	1671	1467	47.91%	31.28%	20.81%	+0.72	+20.8	12
1976-11-20	Ayr United	D 2-2	67.2	1587	1421	61.87%	28.56%	9.57%	+1.16	-2.0	17
1976-11-20	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	67.2	1421	1587	9.57%	28.56%	61.87%	-1.16	+2.0	7
1976-11-20	Celtic	L 3-4	68.8	1524	1672	26.84%	32.37%	40.79%	-0.44	-6.2	9
1976-11-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 4-3	68.8	1672	1524	40.79%	32.37%	26.84%	+0.44	+6.2	13
1976-11-20	Aberdeen	L 1-2	56.3	1446	1591	27.33%	32.42%	40.24%	-0.42	-6.8	6
1976-11-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	56.3	1591	1446	40.24%	32.42%	27.33%	+0.42	+6.8	15
1976-11-20	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	42.9	1541	1509	49.66%	32.16%	18.18%	+0.48	+14.6	11
1976-11-20	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	42.9	1509	1541	18.18%	32.16%	49.66%	-0.48	-14.6	9
1976-11-20	Hibernian	D 1-1	68.3	1692	1549	60.01%	29.34%	10.65%	+1.05	-2.6	13
1976-11-20	@ Rangers	D 1-1	68.3	1549	1692	10.65%	29.34%	60.01%	-1.05	+2.6	10
1976-11-24	Ayr United	W 1-0	43.6	1597	1423	62.54%	28.26%	9.20%	+1.21	+2.9	17
1976-11-24	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	43.6	1423	1597	9.20%	28.26%	62.54%	-1.21	-2.9	7
1976-11-24	Motherwell	L 0-2	55.3	1552	1555	45.71%	32.66%	21.63%	+0.30	-19.8	10
1976-11-24	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	55.3	1555	1552	21.63%	32.66%	45.71%	-0.30	+19.8	13
1976-11-24	Celtic	L 0-1	64.4	1690	1678	47.39%	32.47%	20.13%	+0.38	-10.8	13
1976-11-24	@ Rangers	W 1-0	64.4	1678	1690	20.13%	32.47%	47.39%	-0.38	+10.8	15
1976-11-27	Hibernian	W 1-0	50.2	1600	1532	53.36%	31.43%	15.21%	+0.67	+4.6	19
1976-11-27	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	50.2	1532	1600	15.21%	31.43%	53.36%	-0.67	-4.6	10
1976-11-27	Motherwell	W 4-1	53.0	1420	1575	26.04%	32.26%	41.70%	-0.47	+22.3	9
1976-11-27	@ Ayr United	L 1-4	53.0	1575	1420	41.70%	32.26%	26.04%	+0.47	-22.3	13
1976-11-27	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	51.1	1689	1440	68.01%	25.38%	6.61%	+1.59	+1.9	17
1976-11-27	@ Celtic	L 1-2	51.1	1440	1689	6.61%	25.38%	68.01%	-1.59	-1.9	6
1976-11-27	Rangers	L 0-1	55.2	1518	1679	25.34%	32.16%	42.50%	-0.50	-6.8	9
1976-11-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	55.2	1679	1518	42.50%	32.16%	25.34%	+0.50	+6.8	15
1976-11-27	Dundee United	L 1-5	52.9	1494	1585	34.44%	32.94%	32.62%	-0.14	-25.2	9
1976-11-27	@ Partick Thistle	W 5-1	52.9	1585	1494	32.62%	32.94%	34.44%	+0.14	+25.2	19
1976-11-30	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	53.9	1469	1511	40.99%	32.95%	26.06%	+0.10	+6.6	11
1976-11-30	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	53.9	1511	1469	26.06%	32.95%	40.99%	-0.10	-6.6	9
1976-12-11	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	51.1	1442	1504	38.36%	33.00%	28.64%	+0.00	-9.1	9
1976-12-11	@ Ayr United	W 1-0	51.1	1504	1442	28.64%	33.00%	38.36%	+0.00	+9.1	11
1976-12-18	Ayr United	W 3-0	39.7	1691	1433	68.59%	25.04%	6.38%	+1.63	+5.2	19
1976-12-18	@ Celtic	L 0-3	39.7	1433	1691	6.38%	25.04%	68.59%	-1.63	-5.2	9
1976-12-18	Motherwell	W 2-1	57.0	1513	1553	41.34%	32.94%	25.72%	+0.12	+6.5	13
1976-12-18	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	57.0	1553	1513	25.72%	32.94%	41.34%	-0.12	-6.5	13
1976-12-18	Dundee United	W 1-0	56.2	1438	1610	24.09%	31.96%	43.94%	-0.56	+10.0	8
1976-12-18	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	56.2	1610	1438	43.94%	31.96%	24.09%	+0.56	-10.1	19
1976-12-18	Hibernian	D 1-1	60.1	1475	1527	39.70%	32.98%	27.32%	+0.05	-0.6	12
1976-12-18	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	60.1	1527	1475	27.32%	32.98%	39.70%	-0.05	+0.6	11
1976-12-24	Ayr United	W 1-0	43.1	1528	1428	56.34%	30.63%	13.03%	+0.83	+4.0	13
1976-12-24	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	43.1	1428	1528	13.03%	30.63%	56.34%	-0.83	-4.0	9
1976-12-26	Aberdeen	D 2-2	74.3	1696	1605	55.54%	30.86%	13.60%	+0.78	-1.6	20
1976-12-26	@ Celtic	D 2-2	74.3	1605	1696	13.60%	30.86%	55.54%	-0.78	+1.6	20
1976-12-26	Motherwell	W 1-0	50.7	1686	1546	59.72%	29.46%	10.82%	+1.03	+3.4	17
1976-12-26	@ Rangers	L 0-1	50.7	1546	1686	10.82%	29.46%	59.72%	-1.03	-3.4	13
1976-12-27	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	64.7	1600	1520	54.48%	31.15%	14.36%	+0.73	-2.0	20
1976-12-27	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	64.7	1520	1600	14.36%	31.15%	54.48%	-0.73	+2.0	14
1976-12-27	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	52.8	1448	1475	42.86%	32.87%	24.27%	+0.18	-1.0	9
1976-12-27	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	52.8	1475	1448	24.27%	32.87%	42.86%	-0.18	+1.0	13
1977-01-01	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	46.0	1424	1447	43.37%	32.84%	23.79%	+0.20	+10.7	11
1977-01-01	@ Ayr United	L 1-3	46.0	1447	1424	23.79%	32.84%	43.37%	-0.20	-10.7	9
1977-01-01	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	47.5	1689	1476	65.42%	26.83%	7.75%	+1.40	+2.4	19
1977-01-01	@ Rangers	L 0-1	47.5	1476	1689	7.75%	26.83%	65.42%	-1.40	-2.4	13
1977-01-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	49.0	1606	1522	54.91%	31.04%	14.05%	+0.75	+10.0	22
1977-01-03	@ Aberdeen	L 1-4	49.0	1522	1606	14.05%	31.04%	54.91%	-0.75	-10.0	14
1977-01-03	Motherwell	D 2-2	64.8	1436	1543	32.23%	32.84%	34.94%	-0.23	+0.1	10
1977-01-03	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	64.8	1543	1436	34.94%	32.84%	32.23%	+0.23	-0.1	14
1977-01-05	Dundee United	D 0-0	60.1	1532	1598	37.85%	33.00%	29.15%	-0.02	-0.4	14
1977-01-05	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	60.1	1598	1532	29.15%	33.00%	37.85%	+0.02	+0.4	21
1977-01-08	Aberdeen	D 0-0	57.8	1434	1616	23.05%	31.77%	45.17%	-0.61	+1.1	12
1977-01-08	@ Ayr United	D 0-0	57.8	1616	1434	45.17%	31.77%	23.05%	+0.61	-1.2	23
1977-01-08	Celtic	L 1-2	64.9	1598	1695	33.67%	32.91%	33.42%	-0.17	-7.8	21
1977-01-08	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	64.9	1695	1598	33.42%	32.91%	33.67%	+0.17	+7.8	22
1977-01-08	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	46.0	1512	1473	50.36%	32.04%	17.60%	+0.51	+5.2	16
1977-01-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	46.0	1473	1512	17.60%	32.04%	50.36%	-0.51	-5.2	13
1977-01-08	Hibernian	D 1-1	62.8	1543	1532	47.38%	32.48%	20.14%	+0.37	-1.3	15
1977-01-08	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	62.8	1532	1543	20.14%	32.48%	47.38%	-0.37	+1.3	15
1977-01-08	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	39.9	1691	1436	68.39%	25.15%	6.46%	+1.62	+5.3	21
1977-01-08	@ Rangers	L 0-3	39.9	1436	1691	6.46%	25.15%	68.39%	-1.62	-5.3	10
1977-01-11	Rangers	W 1-0	56.7	1703	1697	46.79%	32.54%	20.67%	+0.35	+5.9	24
1977-01-11	@ Celtic	L 0-1	56.7	1697	1703	20.67%	32.54%	46.79%	-0.35	-5.9	21
1977-01-12	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	64.1	1615	1468	60.34%	29.21%	10.45%	+1.07	-2.6	24
1977-01-12	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	64.1	1468	1615	10.45%	29.21%	60.34%	-1.07	+2.6	14
1977-01-19	Rangers	D 3-3	77.7	1613	1691	36.21%	32.98%	30.81%	-0.08	-0.1	25
1977-01-19	@ Aberdeen	D 3-3	77.7	1691	1613	30.81%	32.98%	36.21%	+0.08	+0.1	22
1977-01-22	Aberdeen	D 0-0	60.6	1533	1613	35.98%	32.98%	31.04%	-0.09	-0.2	16
1977-01-22	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	60.6	1613	1533	31.04%	32.98%	35.98%	+0.09	+0.2	26
1977-01-22	Celtic	L 1-3	51.5	1431	1708	14.88%	29.18%	55.94%	-1.10	-7.1	10
1977-01-22	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	51.5	1708	1431	55.94%	29.18%	14.88%	+1.10	+7.1	26
1977-01-22	Ayr United	L 2-4	62.8	1541	1436	56.84%	30.47%	12.69%	+0.86	-18.5	15
1977-01-22	@ Motherwell	W 4-2	62.8	1436	1541	12.69%	30.47%	56.84%	-0.86	+18.5	14
1977-01-22	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	59.8	1691	1517	62.46%	28.30%	9.25%	+1.20	+2.6	24
1977-01-22	@ Rangers	L 2-3	59.8	1517	1691	9.25%	28.30%	62.46%	-1.20	-2.6	16
1977-01-26	Hibernian	L 0-1	56.4	1515	1533	43.98%	32.80%	23.22%	+0.23	-10.1	16
1977-01-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	56.4	1533	1515	23.22%	32.80%	43.98%	-0.23	+10.2	18
1977-02-05	Rangers	L 0-2	47.4	1454	1693	17.71%	30.36%	51.93%	-0.90	-9.6	14
1977-02-05	@ Ayr United	W 2-0	47.4	1693	1454	51.93%	30.36%	17.71%	+0.90	+9.6	26
1977-02-05	Hibernian	W 4-2	56.3	1716	1543	62.38%	28.33%	9.29%	+1.20	+4.2	28
1977-02-05	@ Celtic	L 2-4	56.3	1543	1716	9.29%	28.33%	62.38%	-1.20	-4.2	18
1977-02-05	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	36.9	1504	1424	54.54%	31.14%	14.32%	+0.73	+15.7	18
1977-02-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	36.9	1424	1504	14.32%	31.14%	54.54%	-0.73	-15.7	10
1977-02-05	Aberdeen	W 2-1	61.7	1471	1613	27.62%	32.46%	39.92%	-0.41	+8.8	16
1977-02-05	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	61.7	1613	1471	39.92%	32.46%	27.62%	+0.41	-8.8	26
1977-02-07	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	39.2	1604	1408	64.14%	27.49%	8.37%	+1.32	+4.9	28
1977-02-07	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	39.2	1408	1604	8.37%	27.49%	64.14%	-1.32	-4.9	10
1977-02-07	Dundee United	L 1-4	50.2	1444	1591	27.13%	32.40%	40.47%	-0.43	-16.5	14
1977-02-07	@ Ayr United	W 4-1	50.2	1591	1444	40.47%	32.40%	27.13%	+0.43	+16.5	23
1977-02-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-1	47.7	1720	1520	64.42%	27.35%	8.23%	+1.33	+7.6	30
1977-02-07	@ Celtic	L 1-5	47.7	1520	1720	8.23%	27.35%	64.42%	-1.33	-7.6	18
1977-02-12	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	44.1	1727	1480	67.87%	25.46%	6.67%	+1.58	+3.8	32
1977-02-12	@ Celtic	L 0-2	44.1	1480	1727	6.67%	25.46%	67.87%	-1.58	-3.8	16
1977-02-12	Hibernian	L 0-1	47.8	1403	1539	28.46%	32.55%	39.00%	-0.37	-7.4	10
1977-02-12	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	47.8	1539	1403	39.00%	32.55%	28.46%	+0.37	+7.4	20
1977-02-12	Dundee United	L 2-3	76.2	1703	1607	55.96%	30.74%	13.30%	+0.81	-11.2	26
1977-02-12	@ Rangers	W 3-2	76.2	1607	1703	13.30%	30.74%	55.96%	-0.81	+11.2	25
1977-02-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	54.4	1396	1513	30.87%	32.75%	36.38%	-0.28	+8.2	12
1977-02-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	54.4	1513	1396	36.38%	32.75%	30.87%	+0.28	-8.3	18
1977-02-16	Motherwell	D 1-1	65.5	1618	1523	55.89%	30.76%	13.35%	+0.80	-2.2	26
1977-02-16	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	65.5	1523	1618	13.35%	30.76%	55.89%	-0.80	+2.1	16
1977-02-16	Rangers	D 0-0	62.9	1546	1692	27.14%	32.40%	40.46%	-0.43	+0.7	21
1977-02-16	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	62.9	1692	1546	40.46%	32.40%	27.14%	+0.43	-0.7	27
1977-02-16	Ayr United	L 0-1	53.2	1476	1428	51.32%	31.86%	16.81%	+0.56	-11.6	16
1977-02-16	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	53.2	1428	1476	16.81%	31.86%	51.32%	-0.56	+11.6	16
1977-02-19	Celtic	L 2-4	55.9	1440	1731	13.97%	28.71%	57.32%	-1.17	-6.0	16
1977-02-19	@ Ayr United	W 4-2	55.9	1731	1440	57.32%	28.71%	13.97%	+1.17	+6.0	34
1977-02-19	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	37.0	1616	1404	65.32%	26.88%	7.80%	+1.40	+8.6	28
1977-02-19	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	37.0	1404	1616	7.80%	26.88%	65.32%	-1.40	-8.6	12
1977-02-19	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.0	1547	1464	54.70%	31.09%	14.21%	+0.74	-2.0	22
1977-02-19	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	61.0	1464	1547	14.21%	31.09%	54.70%	-0.74	+2.0	17
1977-02-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	53.5	1525	1504	48.45%	32.34%	19.21%	+0.42	+5.3	18
1977-02-19	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	53.5	1504	1525	19.21%	32.34%	48.45%	-0.42	-5.3	18
1977-02-19	Aberdeen	W 1-0	53.3	1691	1609	54.70%	31.09%	14.21%	+0.74	+4.3	29
1977-02-19	@ Rangers	L 0-1	53.3	1609	1691	14.21%	31.09%	54.70%	-0.74	-4.3	28
1977-02-22	Celtic	L 2-4	57.3	1466	1737	15.35%	29.40%	55.25%	-1.06	-6.5	17
1977-02-22	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-2	57.3	1737	1466	55.25%	29.40%	15.35%	+1.06	+6.5	36
1977-03-01	Partick Thistle	D 0-0	60.0	1625	1460	61.76%	28.61%	9.63%	+1.16	-3.0	29
1977-03-01	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	60.0	1460	1625	9.63%	28.61%	61.76%	-1.16	+3.0	18
1977-03-05	Celtic	W 2-0	58.2	1605	1744	27.99%	32.50%	39.51%	-0.39	+17.5	30
1977-03-05	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	58.2	1744	1605	39.51%	32.50%	27.99%	+0.39	-17.5	36
1977-03-05	Hibernian	L 1-2	55.5	1434	1545	31.65%	32.80%	35.55%	-0.25	-7.5	16
1977-03-05	@ Ayr United	W 2-1	55.5	1545	1434	35.55%	32.80%	31.65%	+0.25	+7.5	24
1977-03-05	Dundee United	D 1-1	64.3	1499	1622	30.10%	32.70%	37.20%	-0.31	+0.3	19
1977-03-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	64.3	1622	1499	37.20%	32.70%	30.10%	+0.31	-0.3	30
1977-03-05	Rangers	L 0-2	51.9	1530	1696	24.88%	32.09%	43.03%	-0.52	-12.6	18
1977-03-05	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	51.9	1696	1530	43.03%	32.09%	24.88%	+0.52	+12.6	31
1977-03-05	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	42.7	1463	1396	53.27%	31.45%	15.28%	+0.66	+7.6	20
1977-03-05	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	42.7	1396	1463	15.28%	31.45%	53.27%	-0.66	-7.6	12
1977-03-08	Rangers	D 0-0	64.0	1621	1708	34.98%	32.95%	32.07%	-0.12	-0.1	31
1977-03-08	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	64.0	1708	1621	32.07%	32.95%	34.98%	+0.12	+0.1	32
1977-03-09	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	52.7	1726	1470	68.42%	25.14%	6.44%	+1.62	+1.8	38
1977-03-09	@ Celtic	L 1-2	52.7	1470	1726	6.44%	25.14%	68.42%	-1.62	-1.8	20
1977-03-09	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	37.2	1552	1388	61.70%	28.63%	9.66%	+1.15	+5.7	26
1977-03-09	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	37.2	1388	1552	9.66%	28.63%	61.70%	-1.15	-5.7	12
1977-03-12	Dundee United	L 0-1	62.5	1622	1621	46.22%	32.61%	21.17%	+0.32	-10.6	30
1977-03-12	@ Aberdeen	W 1-0	62.5	1621	1622	21.17%	32.61%	46.22%	-0.32	+10.6	33
1977-03-12	Ayr United	L 0-1	47.6	1382	1426	40.76%	32.96%	26.29%	+0.09	-9.5	12
1977-03-12	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	47.6	1426	1382	26.29%	32.96%	40.76%	-0.09	+9.6	18
1977-03-15	Rangers	W 4-3	75.3	1469	1708	17.69%	30.35%	51.96%	-0.90	+10.1	22
1977-03-15	@ Partick Thistle	L 3-4	75.3	1708	1469	51.96%	30.35%	17.69%	+0.90	-10.0	32
1977-03-16	Motherwell	D 2-2	74.6	1728	1518	65.20%	26.94%	7.86%	+1.39	-2.3	39
1977-03-16	@ Celtic	D 2-2	74.6	1518	1728	7.86%	26.94%	65.20%	-1.39	+2.3	19
1977-03-16	Aberdeen	W 3-2	64.7	1632	1611	48.39%	32.35%	19.26%	+0.42	+5.0	35
1977-03-16	@ Dundee United	L 2-3	64.7	1611	1632	19.26%	32.35%	48.39%	-0.42	-5.0	30
1977-03-19	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	56.9	1436	1479	40.86%	32.95%	26.18%	+0.10	-0.7	19
1977-03-19	@ Ayr United	D 1-1	56.9	1479	1436	26.18%	32.95%	40.86%	-0.10	+0.7	23
1977-03-19	Hibernian	W 1-0	51.6	1637	1558	54.38%	31.18%	14.44%	+0.72	+4.4	37
1977-03-19	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	51.6	1558	1637	14.44%	31.18%	54.38%	-0.72	-4.4	26
1977-03-19	Aberdeen	D 1-1	63.8	1499	1606	32.17%	32.83%	35.00%	-0.23	+0.1	20
1977-03-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	63.8	1606	1499	35.00%	32.83%	32.17%	+0.23	-0.1	31
1977-03-19	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	36.0	1520	1373	60.35%	29.20%	10.44%	+1.07	+6.1	21
1977-03-19	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	36.0	1373	1520	10.44%	29.20%	60.35%	-1.07	-6.2	12
1977-03-19	Celtic	D 2-2	74.8	1698	1726	42.83%	32.87%	24.30%	+0.18	-0.6	33
1977-03-19	@ Rangers	D 2-2	74.8	1726	1698	24.30%	32.87%	42.83%	-0.18	+0.6	40
1977-03-23	Motherwell	W 2-1	55.2	1606	1526	54.50%	31.15%	14.35%	+0.73	+4.1	33
1977-03-23	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	55.2	1526	1606	14.35%	31.15%	54.50%	-0.73	-4.1	21
1977-03-23	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	49.9	1553	1499	51.94%	31.74%	16.32%	+0.59	+8.0	28
1977-03-23	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	49.9	1499	1553	16.32%	31.74%	51.94%	-0.59	-8.0	20
1977-03-23	Ayr United	D 1-1	67.0	1698	1435	68.90%	24.85%	6.25%	+1.66	-3.3	34
1977-03-23	@ Rangers	D 1-1	67.0	1435	1698	6.25%	24.85%	68.90%	-1.66	+3.3	20
1977-03-26	Ayr United	L 0-2	57.0	1610	1438	62.33%	28.35%	9.32%	+1.19	-25.8	33
1977-03-26	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	57.0	1438	1610	9.32%	28.35%	62.33%	-1.19	+25.8	22
1977-03-26	Dundee United	W 2-0	50.3	1726	1641	54.97%	31.02%	14.01%	+0.75	+8.1	42
1977-03-26	@ Celtic	L 0-2	50.3	1641	1726	14.01%	31.02%	54.97%	-0.75	-8.1	37
1977-03-26	Motherwell	L 1-2	64.7	1561	1522	50.45%	32.02%	17.53%	+0.52	-10.7	28
1977-03-26	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	64.7	1522	1561	17.53%	32.02%	50.45%	-0.52	+10.7	23
1977-03-26	Rangers	W 1-0	60.3	1367	1694	11.88%	27.40%	60.72%	-1.35	+13.1	14
1977-03-26	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	60.3	1694	1367	60.72%	27.40%	11.88%	+1.35	-13.1	34
1977-03-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	43.5	1479	1491	44.68%	32.75%	22.57%	+0.26	+11.9	25
1977-03-26	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	43.5	1491	1479	22.57%	32.75%	44.68%	-0.26	-11.9	20
1977-03-30	Celtic	D 1-1	68.2	1551	1734	22.87%	31.74%	45.39%	-0.62	+1.1	29
1977-03-30	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	68.2	1734	1551	45.39%	31.74%	22.87%	+0.62	-1.0	43
1977-03-30	Motherwell	D 0-0	56.5	1491	1533	41.05%	32.95%	26.00%	+0.11	-0.8	26
1977-03-30	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	56.5	1533	1491	26.00%	32.95%	41.05%	-0.11	+0.8	24
1977-04-02	Ayr United	L 0-1	62.3	1633	1464	62.07%	28.47%	9.46%	+1.18	-13.6	37
1977-04-02	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	62.3	1464	1633	9.46%	28.47%	62.07%	-1.18	+13.6	24
1977-04-02	Celtic	L 0-3	46.6	1480	1733	16.58%	29.94%	53.48%	-0.97	-13.1	20
1977-04-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	46.6	1733	1480	53.48%	29.94%	16.58%	+0.97	+13.1	45
1977-04-02	Aberdeen	L 1-2	51.2	1380	1585	20.75%	31.26%	47.99%	-0.73	-5.5	14
1977-04-02	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	51.2	1585	1380	47.99%	31.26%	20.75%	+0.73	+5.5	35
1977-04-02	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	61.2	1533	1490	50.83%	31.96%	17.22%	+0.54	-1.6	25
1977-04-02	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	61.2	1490	1533	17.22%	31.96%	50.83%	-0.54	+1.6	27
1977-04-02	Hibernian	W 2-1	56.3	1681	1552	58.89%	29.77%	11.34%	+0.98	+3.3	36
1977-04-02	@ Rangers	L 1-2	56.3	1552	1681	11.34%	29.77%	58.89%	-0.98	-3.3	29
1977-04-05	Aberdeen	D 1-1	64.3	1532	1590	38.87%	32.99%	28.14%	+0.02	-0.5	26
1977-04-05	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	64.3	1590	1532	28.14%	32.99%	38.87%	-0.02	+0.5	36
1977-04-06	Ayr United	L 1-2	58.2	1466	1478	44.79%	32.74%	22.48%	+0.26	-9.7	20
1977-04-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	58.2	1478	1466	22.48%	32.74%	44.79%	-0.26	+9.7	26
1977-04-09	Hibernian	D 0-0	60.7	1591	1548	50.75%	31.97%	17.28%	+0.53	-1.8	37
1977-04-09	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	60.7	1548	1591	17.28%	31.97%	50.75%	-0.53	+1.8	30
1977-04-09	Motherwell	W 3-2	60.5	1487	1531	40.75%	32.96%	26.29%	+0.09	+6.3	28
1977-04-09	@ Ayr United	L 2-3	60.5	1531	1487	26.29%	32.96%	40.75%	-0.09	-6.3	26
1977-04-09	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	43.1	1746	1374	75.85%	20.25%	3.90%	+2.21	+1.0	47
1977-04-09	@ Celtic	L 0-1	43.1	1374	1746	3.90%	20.25%	75.85%	-2.21	-1.0	14
1977-04-09	Rangers	L 1-3	53.2	1457	1685	18.68%	30.68%	50.64%	-0.84	-8.7	20
1977-04-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	53.2	1685	1457	50.64%	30.68%	18.68%	+0.84	+8.7	38
1977-04-09	Dundee United	D 0-0	59.6	1492	1619	29.49%	32.64%	37.87%	-0.33	+0.4	28
1977-04-09	@ Partick Thistle	D 0-0	59.6	1619	1492	37.87%	32.64%	29.49%	+0.33	-0.4	38
1977-04-13	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	56.2	1494	1373	58.13%	30.04%	11.83%	+0.93	-2.4	29
1977-04-13	@ Ayr United	D 1-1	56.2	1373	1494	11.83%	30.04%	58.13%	-0.93	+2.4	15
1977-04-13	Aberdeen	L 2-3	73.0	1619	1589	49.47%	32.19%	18.35%	+0.47	-10.0	38
1977-04-13	@ Dundee United	W 3-2	73.0	1589	1619	18.35%	32.19%	49.47%	-0.47	+10.0	39
1977-04-13	Hibernian	D 2-2	65.5	1448	1550	32.87%	32.87%	34.26%	-0.20	+0.0	21
1977-04-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	65.5	1550	1448	34.26%	32.87%	32.87%	+0.20	-0.1	31
1977-04-13	Celtic	W 3-0	57.9	1525	1747	19.15%	30.83%	50.03%	-0.81	+30.6	28
1977-04-13	@ Motherwell	L 0-3	57.9	1747	1525	50.03%	30.83%	19.15%	+0.81	-30.6	47
1977-04-13	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	53.6	1693	1492	64.50%	27.30%	8.19%	+1.34	+2.4	40
1977-04-13	@ Rangers	L 1-2	53.6	1492	1693	8.19%	27.30%	64.50%	-1.34	-2.4	28
1977-04-16	Partick Thistle	L 0-2	57.4	1599	1490	57.10%	30.39%	12.51%	+0.87	-24.0	39
1977-04-16	@ Aberdeen	W 2-0	57.4	1490	1599	12.51%	30.39%	57.10%	-0.87	+24.0	30
1977-04-16	Celtic	L 0-1	56.3	1550	1717	24.70%	32.06%	43.23%	-0.53	-6.6	31
1977-04-16	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	56.3	1717	1550	43.23%	32.06%	24.70%	+0.53	+6.6	49
1977-04-16	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	59.8	1376	1448	36.96%	32.99%	30.05%	-0.05	-0.2	16
1977-04-16	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	59.8	1448	1376	30.05%	32.99%	36.96%	+0.05	+0.2	22
1977-04-16	Ayr United	W 5-1	46.5	1696	1491	64.76%	27.17%	8.07%	+1.36	+7.4	42
1977-04-16	@ Rangers	L 1-5	46.5	1491	1696	8.07%	27.17%	64.76%	-1.36	-7.4	29
1977-04-17	Dundee United	W 4-0	49.5	1556	1609	39.53%	32.99%	27.48%	+0.05	+25.9	30
1977-04-17	@ Motherwell	L 0-4	49.5	1609	1556	27.48%	32.99%	39.53%	-0.05	-25.9	38
1977-04-20	Aberdeen	W 4-1	50.9	1724	1575	60.47%	29.16%	10.37%	+1.08	+7.5	51
1977-04-20	@ Celtic	L 1-4	50.9	1575	1724	10.37%	29.16%	60.47%	-1.08	-7.5	39
1977-04-20	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	64.8	1583	1448	59.31%	29.61%	11.07%	+1.00	-12.4	38
1977-04-20	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	64.8	1448	1583	11.07%	29.61%	59.31%	-1.00	+12.4	24
1977-04-20	Ayr United	W 2-0	43.2	1543	1484	52.49%	31.62%	15.88%	+0.62	+9.0	33
1977-04-20	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	43.2	1484	1543	15.88%	31.62%	52.49%	-0.62	-9.0	29
1977-04-20	Partick Thistle	L 1-3	47.8	1375	1514	28.03%	32.50%	39.47%	-0.39	-11.9	16
1977-04-20	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	47.8	1514	1375	39.47%	32.50%	28.03%	+0.39	+11.9	32
1977-04-20	Motherwell	W 4-1	51.4	1703	1582	58.20%	30.02%	11.78%	+0.94	+8.5	44
1977-04-20	@ Rangers	L 1-4	51.4	1582	1703	11.78%	30.02%	58.20%	-0.94	-8.5	30
1977-04-23	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	57.8	1475	1461	47.73%	32.43%	19.84%	+0.39	-1.3	30
1977-04-23	@ Ayr United	D 1-1	57.8	1461	1475	19.84%	32.43%	47.73%	-0.39	+1.3	25
1977-04-23	Rangers	L 0-1	57.6	1571	1711	27.76%	32.47%	39.77%	-0.40	-7.3	38
1977-04-23	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	57.6	1711	1571	39.77%	32.47%	27.76%	+0.40	+7.3	46
1977-04-23	Kilmarnock	D 0-0	54.1	1552	1363	63.63%	27.74%	8.63%	+1.28	-3.2	34
1977-04-23	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	54.1	1363	1552	8.63%	27.74%	63.63%	-1.28	+3.2	17
1977-04-23	Aberdeen	L 1-3	62.2	1573	1567	46.77%	32.55%	20.68%	+0.35	-17.4	30
1977-04-23	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	62.2	1567	1573	20.68%	32.55%	46.77%	-0.35	+17.4	41
1977-04-23	Celtic	D 1-1	68.0	1526	1731	20.74%	31.26%	48.00%	-0.73	+1.3	33
1977-04-23	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	68.0	1731	1526	48.00%	31.26%	20.74%	+0.73	-1.3	52
1977-04-30	Rangers	W 2-1	66.5	1585	1719	28.63%	32.56%	38.80%	-0.36	+8.6	43
1977-04-30	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	66.5	1719	1585	38.80%	32.56%	28.63%	+0.36	-8.6	46
1977-04-30	Ayr United	W 2-0	43.8	1730	1474	68.45%	25.12%	6.43%	+1.62	+3.6	54
1977-04-30	@ Celtic	L 0-2	43.8	1474	1730	6.43%	25.12%	68.45%	-1.62	-3.6	30
1977-04-30	Motherwell	W 3-2	62.5	1462	1556	34.05%	32.92%	33.03%	-0.16	+7.3	27
1977-04-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	62.5	1556	1462	33.03%	32.92%	34.05%	+0.16	-7.3	30
1977-04-30	Dundee United	L 1-2	50.3	1367	1563	21.55%	31.46%	46.99%	-0.68	-5.6	17
1977-04-30	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	50.3	1563	1367	46.99%	31.46%	21.55%	+0.68	+5.6	40
1977-04-30	Hibernian	W 1-0	51.4	1527	1549	43.50%	32.83%	23.67%	+0.21	+6.5	35
1977-04-30	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	51.4	1549	1527	23.67%	32.83%	43.50%	-0.21	-6.5	34
1977-05-04	Dundee United	D 1-1	64.2	1548	1569	43.66%	32.82%	23.52%	+0.21	-0.9	31
1977-05-04	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	64.2	1569	1548	23.52%	32.82%	43.66%	-0.21	+0.9	41
1977-05-10	Celtic	D 2-2	73.8	1547	1733	22.64%	31.69%	45.67%	-0.63	+0.8	32
1977-05-10	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	73.8	1733	1547	45.67%	31.69%	22.64%	+0.63	-0.8	55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1977-03-26	9.32%	Ayr United	1438	2	@ Aberdeen	1610	0
2	1977-04-02	9.46%	Ayr United	1464	1	@ Dundee United	1633	0
3	1977-04-20	11.07%	Heart of Midlothian	1448	2	@ Dundee United	1583	1
4	1977-03-26	11.88%	@ Kilmarnock	1367	1	Rangers	1694	0
5	1977-04-16	12.51%	Partick Thistle	1490	2	@ Aberdeen	1599	0
6	1977-01-22	12.69%	Ayr United	1436	4	@ Motherwell	1541	2
7	1977-02-12	13.30%	Dundee United	1607	3	@ Rangers	1703	2
8	1977-02-16	16.81%	Ayr United	1428	1	@ Partick Thistle	1476	0
9	1977-03-26	17.53%	Motherwell	1522	2	@ Hibernian	1561	1
10	1977-03-15	17.69%	@ Partick Thistle	1469	4	Rangers	1708	3
11	1977-04-13	18.35%	Aberdeen	1589	3	@ Dundee United	1619	2
12	1977-04-13	19.15%	@ Motherwell	1525	3	Celtic	1747	0
13	1976-09-04	19.75%	Dundee United	1543	2	@ Hibernian	1558	1
14	1976-11-24	20.13%	Celtic	1678	1	@ Rangers	1690	0
15	1977-04-23	20.68%	Aberdeen	1567	3	@ Motherwell	1573	1
16	1976-09-04	20.76%	Ayr United	1504	2	@ Partick Thistle	1509	0
17	1977-03-12	21.17%	Dundee United	1621	1	@ Aberdeen	1622	0
18	1976-09-11	21.28%	Aberdeen	1524	5	@ Ayr United	1524	0
19	1976-11-24	21.63%	Motherwell	1555	2	@ Hibernian	1552	0
20	1977-04-06	22.48%	Ayr United	1478	2	@ Heart of Midlothian	1466	1
21	1977-01-26	23.22%	Hibernian	1533	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1515	0
22	1976-12-18	24.09%	@ Kilmarnock	1438	1	Dundee United	1610	0
23	1976-10-30	25.48%	@ Partick Thistle	1507	2	Rangers	1667	1
24	1976-11-27	26.04%	@ Ayr United	1420	4	Motherwell	1575	1
25	1977-03-12	26.29%	Ayr United	1426	1	@ Kilmarnock	1382	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1976-09-11	46.52	Aberdeen	5	1524	21.28%	@ Ayr United	0	1524	46.10%	32.62%
2	1977-04-13	30.56	@ Motherwell	3	1525	19.15%	Celtic	0	1747	50.03%	30.83%
3	1976-09-25	26.88	Celtic	4	1623	38.25%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1493	29.14%	32.61%
4	1977-04-17	25.94	@ Motherwell	4	1556	39.53%	Dundee United	0	1609	27.48%	32.99%
5	1977-03-26	25.79	Ayr United	2	1438	9.32%	@ Aberdeen	0	1610	62.33%	28.35%
6	1976-11-27	25.17	Dundee United	5	1585	32.62%	@ Partick Thistle	1	1494	34.44%	32.94%
7	1977-04-16	23.95	Partick Thistle	2	1490	12.51%	@ Aberdeen	0	1599	57.10%	30.39%
8	1976-11-27	22.32	@ Ayr United	4	1420	26.04%	Motherwell	1	1575	41.70%	32.26%
9	1976-11-13	20.80	Rangers	4	1671	47.91%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1467	20.81%	31.28%
10	1976-09-04	20.10	Ayr United	2	1504	20.76%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1509	46.68%	32.56%
11	1976-09-18	19.91	Dundee United	4	1561	31.55%	@ Ayr United	1	1478	35.48%	32.97%
12	1976-11-24	19.76	Motherwell	2	1555	21.63%	@ Hibernian	0	1552	45.71%	32.66%
13	1976-10-30	19.66	@ Kilmarnock	6	1462	49.46%	Ayr United	1	1432	18.35%	32.19%
14	1977-01-22	18.47	Ayr United	4	1436	12.69%	@ Motherwell	2	1541	56.84%	30.47%
15	1977-03-05	17.51	@ Aberdeen	2	1605	27.99%	Celtic	0	1744	39.51%	32.50%
16	1977-04-23	17.44	Aberdeen	3	1567	20.68%	@ Motherwell	1	1573	46.77%	32.55%
17	1977-02-07	16.48	Dundee United	4	1591	40.47%	@ Ayr United	1	1444	27.13%	32.40%
18	1977-02-05	15.68	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1504	54.54%	Kilmarnock	0	1424	14.32%	31.14%
19	1976-10-23	15.44	@ Motherwell	3	1537	27.10%	Rangers	1	1683	40.50%	32.40%
20	1976-11-20	14.64	@ Motherwell	3	1541	49.66%	Partick Thistle	0	1509	18.18%	32.16%
21	1976-10-20	14.02	@ Celtic	5	1659	52.92%	Dundee United	1	1595	15.55%	31.53%
22	1976-09-18	14.01	@ Partick Thistle	2	1491	38.54%	Motherwell	0	1552	28.46%	33.00%
23	1977-04-02	13.64	Ayr United	1	1464	9.46%	@ Dundee United	0	1633	62.07%	28.47%
24	1976-11-09	13.18	@ Rangers	3	1658	52.36%	Dundee United	0	1600	15.98%	31.65%
25	1977-04-02	13.11	Celtic	3	1733	53.48%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1480	16.58%	29.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-01-19	77.7	@ Aberdeen	3	1613	36.21%	Rangers	3	1691	30.81%	32.98%
2	1977-02-12	76.2	Dundee United	3	1607	13.30%	@ Rangers	2	1703	55.96%	30.74%
3	1977-03-15	75.3	@ Partick Thistle	4	1469	17.69%	Rangers	3	1708	51.96%	30.35%
4	1977-03-19	74.8	@ Rangers	2	1698	42.83%	Celtic	2	1726	24.30%	32.87%
5	1977-03-16	74.6	@ Celtic	2	1728	65.20%	Motherwell	2	1518	7.86%	26.94%
6	1976-12-26	74.3	@ Celtic	2	1696	55.54%	Aberdeen	2	1605	13.60%	30.86%
7	1976-09-04	73.8	@ Celtic	2	1633	40.50%	Rangers	2	1679	26.54%	32.96%
8	1977-05-10	73.8	@ Motherwell	2	1547	22.64%	Celtic	2	1733	45.67%	31.69%
9	1977-04-13	73.0	Aberdeen	3	1589	18.35%	@ Dundee United	2	1619	49.47%	32.19%
10	1976-09-18	71.4	@ Celtic	2	1624	56.00%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1528	13.27%	30.73%
11	1976-09-11	69.3	@ Motherwell	2	1553	46.66%	Hibernian	2	1548	20.78%	32.56%
12	1976-11-20	68.8	Celtic	4	1672	40.79%	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1524	26.84%	32.37%
13	1976-10-02	68.5	@ Partick Thistle	2	1501	35.97%	Aberdeen	2	1580	31.06%	32.98%
14	1976-11-20	68.3	@ Rangers	1	1692	60.01%	Hibernian	1	1549	10.65%	29.34%
15	1977-03-30	68.2	@ Hibernian	1	1551	22.87%	Celtic	1	1734	45.39%	31.74%
16	1977-04-23	68.0	@ Partick Thistle	1	1526	20.74%	Celtic	1	1731	48.00%	31.26%
17	1976-09-04	67.7	@ Aberdeen	2	1525	45.67%	Heart of Midlothian	2	1529	21.67%	32.66%
18	1976-11-20	67.2	@ Dundee United	2	1587	61.87%	Ayr United	2	1421	9.57%	28.56%
19	1976-09-18	67.0	@ Hibernian	1	1549	29.48%	Rangers	1	1676	37.87%	32.64%
20	1976-10-02	67.0	@ Celtic	1	1650	56.46%	Hibernian	1	1548	12.95%	30.59%
21	1977-03-23	67.0	@ Rangers	1	1698	68.90%	Ayr United	1	1435	6.25%	24.85%
22	1977-04-30	66.5	@ Aberdeen	2	1585	28.63%	Rangers	1	1719	38.80%	32.56%
23	1976-10-02	65.6	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1525	52.43%	Kilmarnock	2	1466	15.93%	31.64%
24	1977-02-16	65.5	@ Dundee United	1	1618	55.89%	Motherwell	1	1523	13.35%	30.76%
25	1977-04-13	65.5	@ Heart of Midlothian	2	1448	32.87%	Hibernian	2	1550	34.26%	32.87%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-03-19	36.0	@ Motherwell	2	1520	60.35%	Kilmarnock	0	1373	10.44%	29.20%
2	1977-02-05	36.9	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1504	54.54%	Kilmarnock	0	1424	14.32%	31.14%
3	1977-02-19	37.0	@ Dundee United	4	1616	65.32%	Kilmarnock	0	1404	7.80%	26.88%
4	1977-03-09	37.2	@ Hibernian	2	1552	61.70%	Kilmarnock	0	1388	9.66%	28.63%
5	1977-02-07	39.2	@ Aberdeen	2	1604	64.14%	Kilmarnock	0	1408	8.37%	27.49%
6	1976-12-18	39.7	@ Celtic	3	1691	68.59%	Ayr United	0	1433	6.38%	25.04%
7	1977-01-08	39.9	@ Rangers	3	1691	68.39%	Kilmarnock	0	1436	6.46%	25.15%
8	1976-10-30	40.9	@ Kilmarnock	6	1462	49.46%	Ayr United	1	1432	18.35%	32.19%
9	1976-11-03	41.5	@ Dundee United	3	1584	56.52%	Kilmarnock	0	1482	12.91%	30.57%
10	1977-03-05	42.7	@ Partick Thistle	3	1463	53.27%	Kilmarnock	1	1396	15.28%	31.45%
11	1976-11-20	42.9	@ Motherwell	3	1541	49.66%	Partick Thistle	0	1509	18.18%	32.16%
12	1976-12-24	43.1	@ Hibernian	1	1528	56.34%	Ayr United	0	1428	13.03%	30.63%
13	1977-04-09	43.1	@ Celtic	1	1746	75.85%	Kilmarnock	0	1374	3.90%	20.25%
14	1977-04-20	43.2	@ Hibernian	2	1543	52.49%	Ayr United	0	1484	15.88%	31.62%
15	1977-03-26	43.5	@ Partick Thistle	2	1479	44.68%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1491	22.57%	32.75%
16	1976-11-24	43.6	@ Aberdeen	1	1597	62.54%	Ayr United	0	1423	9.20%	28.26%
17	1977-04-30	43.8	@ Celtic	2	1730	68.45%	Ayr United	0	1474	6.43%	25.12%
18	1977-02-12	44.1	@ Celtic	2	1727	67.87%	Partick Thistle	0	1480	6.67%	25.46%
19	1976-09-25	44.5	@ Motherwell	4	1538	54.46%	Ayr United	1	1458	14.38%	31.16%
20	1976-09-18	44.6	@ Aberdeen	2	1571	53.46%	Kilmarnock	0	1502	15.14%	31.41%
21	1977-01-01	46.0	@ Ayr United	3	1424	43.37%	Kilmarnock	1	1447	23.79%	32.84%
22	1977-01-08	46.0	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1512	50.36%	Partick Thistle	0	1473	17.60%	32.04%
23	1976-11-13	46.3	Rangers	4	1671	47.91%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1467	20.81%	31.28%
24	1977-04-16	46.5	@ Rangers	5	1696	64.76%	Ayr United	1	1491	8.07%	27.17%
25	1977-04-02	46.6	Celtic	3	1733	53.48%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1480	16.58%	29.94%