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1975-76 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

54 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rangers

8.17 points above expected

54 points · 45.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. Johnstone

12.58 points below expected

11 points · 23.58 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 23 8 5 54 60 24 +36 45.83 +8.17
2 Celtic 36 21 6 9 48 71 42 +29 45.59 +2.41
3 Hibernian 36 18 7 11 43 55 43 +12 40.42 +2.58
4 Motherwell 36 16 8 12 40 57 49 +8 36.90 +3.10
5 Heart of Midlothian 36 13 9 14 35 39 45 -6 32.55 +2.45
6 Ayr United 36 14 5 17 33 46 59 -13 31.52 +1.48
7 Aberdeen 36 11 10 15 32 49 50 -1 36.47 -4.47
8 Dundee United 36 12 8 16 32 46 48 -2 34.54 -2.54
9 Dundee 36 11 10 15 32 49 62 -13 32.60 -0.60
10 St. Johnstone 36 3 5 28 11 29 79 -50 23.58 -12.58

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1830 54 45.83 +8.17 96.8% 24 38 43 46 49 53 62
Celtic 1764 48 45.59 +2.41 73.1% 24 38 42 46 49 53 62
Hibernian 1651 43 40.42 +2.58 73.5% 22 32 37 40 44 48 59
Motherwell 1640 40 36.90 +3.10 77.6% 20 29 34 37 40 45 53
Dundee United 1624 32 34.54 -2.54 33.3% 15 27 31 35 38 42 52
Heart of Midlothian 1606 35 32.55 +2.45 72.5% 14 24 29 33 36 41 51
Aberdeen 1597 32 36.47 -4.47 20.4% 19 29 33 36 40 44 54
Ayr United 1567 33 31.52 +1.48 66.2% 14 24 28 31 35 39 49
Dundee 1562 32 32.60 -0.60 49.9% 16 25 29 33 36 40 51
St. Johnstone 1389 11 23.58 -12.58 0.3% 7 16 20 24 27 31 42

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE AU CEL DUN DU HOM HIB MOT RAN SJ
Aberdeen —
2-1-1
6.16
1-1-2
4.07
2-0-2
6.15
2-0-2
5.82
0-3-1
6.29
1-1-2
4.83
0-2-2
5.74
1-1-2
3.79
2-1-1
7.89
Ayr United
1-1-2
4.95
 —
1-0-3
3.58
3-1-0
5.29
1-1-2
5.04
0-1-3
5.48
1-0-3
4.15
2-1-1
4.88
1-0-3
3.37
4-0-0
6.62
Celtic
2-1-1
7.06
3-0-1
7.57
 —
2-1-1
7.55
3-0-1
7.41
3-0-1
7.58
2-1-1
6.50
2-1-1
6.91
0-2-2
5.48
4-0-0
8.46
Dundee
2-0-2
4.96
0-1-3
5.82
1-1-2
3.58
 —
2-1-1
5.27
1-1-2
5.73
1-2-1
4.18
1-1-2
4.80
0-2-2
3.52
3-1-0
7.18
Dundee United
2-0-2
5.30
2-1-1
6.08
1-0-3
3.73
1-1-2
5.84
 —
2-0-2
5.90
3-1-0
4.86
0-1-3
5.29
0-2-2
3.65
1-2-1
7.10
Heart of Midlothian
1-3-0
4.82
3-1-0
5.63
1-0-3
3.56
2-1-1
5.38
2-0-2
5.21
 —
0-1-3
4.37
0-2-2
4.86
1-0-3
3.83
3-1-0
7.32
Hibernian
2-1-1
6.29
3-0-1
6.97
1-1-2
4.62
1-2-1
6.94
0-1-3
6.26
3-1-0
6.75
 —
3-0-1
5.93
1-1-2
4.69
4-0-0
8.19
Motherwell
2-2-0
5.38
1-1-2
6.23
1-1-2
4.22
2-1-1
6.32
3-1-0
5.83
2-2-0
6.26
1-0-3
5.18
 —
1-0-3
4.27
3-0-1
7.66
Rangers
2-1-1
7.34
3-0-1
7.78
2-2-0
5.63
2-2-0
7.62
2-2-0
7.49
3-0-1
7.31
2-1-1
6.42
3-0-1
6.85
 —
4-0-0
8.57
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
3.26
0-0-4
4.50
0-0-4
2.74
0-1-3
3.95
1-2-1
4.04
0-1-3
3.83
0-0-4
2.96
1-0-3
3.50
0-0-4
2.61
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +8.8
Allowed 0.86 -7.4
Differential 0.96 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%5.83%3.61%1.39%0.56%26.39%
110.00%11.67%8.06%4.17%0.83%0.28%35.00%
25.83%8.06%2.78%2.50%0.28%0.28%19.72%
33.61%4.17%2.50%1.67%0.83%0.83%13.61%
41.39%0.83%0.28%0.83%——3.33%
5+0.56%0.28%0.28%0.83%——1.94%
Total26.39%35.00%19.72%13.61%3.33%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.76
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
12.78%8.33%8.33%5.56%——25.00%
28.33%5.56%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
35.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total25.00%33.33%19.44%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.39 -0.03
SD 1.22 1.10 1.56
CV 0.90 0.79 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%—5.56%—2.78%22.22%
111.11%8.33%8.33%8.33%——36.11%
28.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
32.78%2.78%———2.78%8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%38.89%13.89%16.67%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.64 -0.36
SD 0.91 1.61 1.87
CV 0.72 0.98 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%8.33%———19.44%
111.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
22.78%11.11%—2.78%——16.67%
3—13.89%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
48.33%——2.78%——11.11%
5+——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
Total25.00%44.44%19.44%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.17 +0.81
SD 1.65 0.94 1.74
CV 0.84 0.81 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%5.56%—25.00%
18.33%16.67%8.33%5.56%——38.89%
22.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%13.89%
4—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%16.67%22.22%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.72 -0.36
SD 1.17 1.41 1.74
CV 0.86 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%————22.22%
113.89%11.11%16.67%2.78%5.56%—50.00%
25.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
3—5.56%5.56%——2.78%13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%30.56%25.00%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.33 -0.06
SD 1.14 1.29 1.57
CV 0.89 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
119.44%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
35.56%—2.78%5.56%——13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%27.78%22.22%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.25 -0.17
SD 1.00 1.16 1.50
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
113.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%30.56%22.22%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.19 +0.33
SD 1.38 1.12 2.03
CV 0.91 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
12.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
28.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total16.67%47.22%22.22%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.36 +0.22
SD 1.32 0.99 1.57
CV 0.83 0.73 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%—2.78%——19.44%
113.89%8.33%8.33%———30.56%
28.33%16.67%————25.00%
311.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total50.00%36.11%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.67 +1.00
SD 1.29 0.79 1.53
CV 0.77 1.19 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%47.22%
12.78%11.11%8.33%8.33%—2.78%33.33%
22.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—11.11%
3————8.33%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%27.78%25.00%19.44%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.19 -1.39
SD 0.95 1.37 1.44
CV 1.18 0.62 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 54 45.83 +8.17
2 Motherwell 40 36.90 +3.10
3 Hibernian 43 40.42 +2.58
4 Heart of Midlothian 35 32.55 +2.45
5 Celtic 48 45.59 +2.41

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 11 23.58 -12.58
2 Aberdeen 32 36.47 -4.47
3 Dundee United 32 34.54 -2.54
4 Dundee 32 32.60 -0.60
5 Ayr United 33 31.52 +1.48

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 5 Feb 21 – Mar 27 1 in 245
2 Celtic 9 Jan 10 – Apr 3 1 in 200
3 Rangers 7 Feb 7 – Apr 10 1 in 81
4 Ayr United 3 Mar 20 – Apr 3 1 in 38
5 Motherwell 3 Oct 11 – Oct 25 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 10 Oct 11 – Dec 13 1 in 1,141
2 Aberdeen 5 Mar 13 – Apr 7 1 in 248
3 Dundee United 4 Nov 12 – Nov 29 1 in 40
4 Celtic 2 Apr 21 – Apr 24 1 in 36
5 Dundee 4 Mar 20 – Apr 10 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 21 Dec 13 – May 4 1 in 313
2 Heart of Midlothian 8 Oct 11 – Nov 29 1 in 70
3 Aberdeen 9 Dec 6 – Jan 31 1 in 57
4 Motherwell 5 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 18
5 Dundee United 6 Feb 21 – Mar 31 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 27 Oct 11 – Apr 17 1 in 720
2 Dundee United 13 Nov 8 – Jan 31 1 in 183
3 Celtic 5 Apr 10 – Apr 26 1 in 79
4 Aberdeen 9 Mar 13 – Apr 21 1 in 61
5 Motherwell 6 Aug 30 – Oct 4 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers45.36%30.04%14.49%5.34%2.75%1.11%0.61%0.18%0.10%0.02%
Celtic40.40%33.78%13.97%6.59%3.04%1.33%0.58%0.22%0.09%—
Hibernian8.53%17.91%27.53%17.98%11.72%7.89%4.30%2.53%1.42%0.19%
Motherwell2.21%6.47%14.53%20.36%17.55%14.61%11.42%7.20%4.88%0.77%
Heart of Midlothian0.37%1.32%3.90%7.48%11.14%14.13%17.99%19.76%18.27%5.64%
Ayr United0.10%0.83%2.53%5.37%8.46%12.24%16.00%21.29%24.68%8.50%
Aberdeen2.04%5.27%12.43%16.99%18.60%15.82%12.76%9.47%5.62%1.00%
Dundee United0.67%3.22%6.91%12.35%15.64%17.77%16.74%14.48%9.67%2.55%
Dundee0.32%1.15%3.68%7.31%10.81%14.14%17.42%19.18%19.90%6.09%
St. Johnstone—0.01%0.03%0.23%0.29%0.96%2.18%5.69%15.37%75.24%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.56%
Strong Edge
52.22%21.11%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
190 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
090.80500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.48+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.81 * Some Luck: 3.81 to 5.71 * Lucky: 5.71 to 7.62 * Wild Swing: 7.62 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 * Close: 1.11 to 1.67 * Off: 1.67 to 2.22 * Way Off: 2.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.31 points
Some Luck
04.7612
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.393
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.85%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.28%
St. Johnstone
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.94
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Dominant
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.17
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 99.91% 0.09%
Rangers 99.88% 0.12%
Hibernian 98.39% 1.61%
Motherwell 94.35% 5.65%
Aberdeen 93.38% 6.62%
Dundee United 87.78% 12.22%
Heart of Midlothian 76.09% 23.91%
Dundee 74.01% 25.99%
Ayr United 66.82% 33.18%
St. Johnstone 9.39% 90.61%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1975-08-30 Aberdeen W 3-2 1609 1645 52.0% 22.3% 25.7% +6.4 2
1975-08-30 @ Dundee L 2-3 1645 1609 25.7% 22.3% 52.0% -6.4 0
1975-08-30 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1657 1574 63.6% 21.7% 14.7% +4.4 2
1975-08-30 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1574 1657 14.7% 21.7% 63.6% -4.4 0
1975-08-30 Ayr United D 1-1 1581 1574 56.7% 22.2% 21.1% -2.0 1
1975-08-30 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1574 1581 21.1% 22.2% 56.7% +2.0 1
1975-08-30 Celtic W 2-1 1700 1692 56.9% 22.2% 21.0% +5.7 2
1975-08-30 @ Rangers L 1-2 1692 1700 21.0% 22.2% 56.9% -5.7 0
1975-08-30 Dundee United W 1-0 1562 1636 47.3% 22.4% 30.3% +8.2 2
1975-08-30 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1636 1562 30.3% 22.4% 47.3% -8.2 0
1975-09-06 Motherwell D 2-2 1639 1579 61.8% 21.9% 16.4% -2.0 1
1975-09-06 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1579 1639 16.4% 21.9% 61.8% +2.0 2
1975-09-06 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1576 1570 56.6% 22.2% 21.2% +6.1 3
1975-09-06 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1570 1576 21.2% 22.2% 56.6% -6.1 2
1975-09-06 Dundee W 4-0 1686 1616 62.7% 21.8% 15.5% +16.6 2
1975-09-06 @ Celtic L 0-4 1616 1686 15.5% 21.8% 62.7% -16.6 2
1975-09-06 Hibernian W 1-0 1628 1661 52.3% 22.3% 25.4% +7.1 2
1975-09-06 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1661 1628 25.4% 22.3% 52.3% -7.1 2
1975-09-06 Rangers L 0-2 1570 1706 38.9% 22.3% 38.8% -18.8 0
1975-09-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1706 1570 38.8% 22.3% 38.9% +18.8 4
1975-09-13 Dundee United L 1-3 1637 1635 56.2% 22.2% 21.6% -22.4 1
1975-09-13 @ Aberdeen W 3-1 1635 1637 21.6% 22.2% 56.2% +22.4 4
1975-09-13 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1599 1551 60.7% 21.9% 17.3% -13.2 2
1975-09-13 @ Dundee W 3-2 1551 1599 17.3% 21.9% 60.7% +13.2 2
1975-09-13 Ayr United W 1-0 1654 1582 62.8% 21.8% 15.4% +4.6 4
1975-09-13 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1582 1654 15.4% 21.8% 62.8% -4.6 3
1975-09-13 Celtic D 1-1 1580 1703 40.8% 22.4% 36.9% -0.2 3
1975-09-13 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1703 1580 36.9% 22.4% 40.8% +0.2 3
1975-09-13 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1725 1564 69.2% 20.9% 9.9% +5.8 6
1975-09-13 @ Rangers L 0-2 1564 1725 9.9% 20.9% 69.2% -5.8 2
1975-09-20 Dundee W 2-1 1577 1586 55.1% 22.2% 22.7% +6.1 5
1975-09-20 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1586 1577 22.7% 22.2% 55.1% -6.1 2
1975-09-20 Motherwell D 1-1 1657 1580 63.2% 21.7% 15.1% -2.8 5
1975-09-20 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1580 1657 15.1% 21.7% 63.2% +2.8 4
1975-09-20 Aberdeen D 2-2 1565 1614 50.3% 22.4% 27.3% -0.9 3
1975-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1614 1565 27.3% 22.4% 50.3% +0.9 2
1975-09-20 Hibernian D 1-1 1730 1658 62.8% 21.8% 15.4% -2.8 7
1975-09-20 @ Rangers D 1-1 1658 1730 15.4% 21.8% 62.8% +2.8 5
1975-09-20 Celtic L 1-2 1558 1703 37.6% 22.3% 40.1% -9.1 2
1975-09-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1703 1558 40.1% 22.3% 37.6% +9.2 5
1975-09-27 Ayr United W 3-1 1615 1584 59.2% 22.0% 18.8% +9.0 4
1975-09-27 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1584 1615 18.8% 22.0% 59.2% -9.0 5
1975-09-27 Dundee United W 2-1 1712 1654 61.6% 21.9% 16.5% +4.6 7
1975-09-27 @ Celtic L 1-2 1654 1712 16.5% 21.9% 61.6% -4.6 5
1975-09-27 Rangers D 0-0 1580 1728 37.2% 22.3% 40.5% +0.2 3
1975-09-27 @ Dundee D 0-0 1728 1580 40.5% 22.3% 37.2% -0.2 8
1975-09-27 St. Johnstone W 4-2 1661 1549 65.9% 21.4% 12.6% +5.6 7
1975-09-27 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1549 1661 12.6% 21.4% 65.9% -5.6 2
1975-09-27 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1583 1564 58.0% 22.1% 19.9% -2.2 5
1975-09-27 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1564 1583 19.9% 22.1% 58.0% +2.2 4
1975-10-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1717 1566 68.6% 21.1% 10.4% +5.2 9
1975-10-04 @ Celtic L 1-3 1566 1717 10.4% 21.1% 68.6% -5.2 4
1975-10-04 Ayr United W 3-2 1650 1575 63.1% 21.8% 15.2% +4.1 7
1975-10-04 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1575 1650 15.2% 21.8% 63.1% -4.1 5
1975-10-04 Dundee D 1-1 1667 1580 64.0% 21.6% 14.3% -2.9 8
1975-10-04 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1580 1667 14.3% 21.6% 64.0% +2.9 4
1975-10-04 Aberdeen W 1-0 1727 1624 65.3% 21.5% 13.2% +4.0 10
1975-10-04 @ Rangers L 0-1 1624 1727 13.2% 21.5% 65.3% -4.0 4
1975-10-04 Motherwell W 2-1 1543 1581 51.8% 22.3% 25.9% +6.8 4
1975-10-04 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1581 1543 25.9% 22.3% 51.8% -6.8 5
1975-10-11 Celtic L 1-2 1620 1722 43.6% 22.4% 34.0% -10.3 4
1975-10-11 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1722 1620 34.0% 22.4% 43.6% +10.3 11
1975-10-11 Rangers W 3-0 1571 1731 35.4% 22.3% 42.4% +29.2 7
1975-10-11 @ Ayr United L 0-3 1731 1571 42.4% 22.3% 35.4% -29.2 10
1975-10-11 St. Johnstone W 4-3 1583 1550 59.3% 22.0% 18.6% +4.8 6
1975-10-11 @ Dundee L 3-4 1550 1583 18.6% 22.0% 59.3% -4.8 4
1975-10-11 Dundee United W 1-0 1561 1654 44.8% 22.4% 32.8% +8.7 6
1975-10-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1654 1561 32.8% 22.4% 44.8% -8.7 7
1975-10-11 Hibernian W 2-1 1574 1664 45.2% 22.4% 32.4% +8.1 7
1975-10-11 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1664 1574 32.4% 22.4% 45.2% -8.1 8
1975-10-18 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1610 1545 62.2% 21.8% 16.0% +9.0 6
1975-10-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1545 1610 16.0% 21.8% 62.2% -9.0 4
1975-10-18 Dundee L 1-2 1645 1588 61.6% 21.9% 16.6% -14.1 7
1975-10-18 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1588 1645 16.6% 21.9% 61.6% +14.1 8
1975-10-18 Ayr United W 2-1 1569 1600 52.6% 22.3% 25.1% +6.6 8
1975-10-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1600 1569 25.1% 22.3% 52.6% -6.6 7
1975-10-18 Rangers W 2-1 1582 1702 41.1% 22.4% 36.5% +9.0 9
1975-10-18 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1702 1582 36.5% 22.4% 41.1% -8.9 10
1975-10-25 Motherwell L 3-6 1602 1591 57.1% 22.1% 20.7% -25.8 8
1975-10-25 @ Dundee W 6-3 1591 1602 20.7% 22.1% 57.1% +25.8 11
1975-10-25 Aberdeen W 3-1 1656 1619 59.7% 22.0% 18.3% +8.8 10
1975-10-25 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1619 1656 18.3% 22.0% 59.7% -8.8 6
1975-10-25 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1536 1576 51.6% 22.3% 26.1% -12.6 4
1975-10-25 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1576 1536 26.1% 22.3% 51.6% +12.7 10
1975-11-01 Dundee W 2-0 1610 1576 59.4% 22.0% 18.6% +10.2 8
1975-11-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1576 1610 18.6% 22.0% 59.4% -10.2 8
1975-11-01 Motherwell W 2-0 1593 1617 53.4% 22.3% 24.3% +12.9 9
1975-11-01 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1617 1593 24.3% 22.3% 53.4% -12.9 11
1975-11-01 Rangers D 1-1 1732 1693 59.9% 22.0% 18.1% -2.4 12
1975-11-01 @ Celtic D 1-1 1693 1732 18.1% 22.0% 59.9% +2.4 11
1975-11-01 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1631 1524 65.6% 21.5% 13.0% +6.4 9
1975-11-01 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1524 1631 13.0% 21.5% 65.6% -6.4 4
1975-11-01 Hibernian D 1-1 1589 1665 47.0% 22.4% 30.6% -0.9 11
1975-11-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1665 1589 30.6% 22.4% 47.0% +0.9 11
1975-11-08 Celtic W 1-0 1566 1730 34.9% 22.3% 42.8% +10.8 10
1975-11-08 @ Dundee L 0-1 1730 1566 42.8% 22.3% 34.9% -10.8 12
1975-11-08 Dundee United D 1-1 1665 1637 58.9% 22.1% 19.1% -2.3 12
1975-11-08 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1637 1665 19.1% 22.1% 58.9% +2.3 10
1975-11-08 Aberdeen W 3-0 1604 1620 54.2% 22.3% 23.5% +18.2 13
1975-11-08 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1620 1604 23.5% 22.3% 54.2% -18.2 8
1975-11-08 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1696 1588 65.6% 21.5% 12.9% -15.1 11
1975-11-08 @ Rangers W 2-1 1588 1696 12.9% 21.5% 65.6% +15.1 13
1975-11-08 Ayr United L 0-1 1517 1606 45.4% 22.4% 32.2% -11.3 4
1975-11-08 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1606 1517 32.2% 22.4% 45.4% +11.3 11
1975-11-12 Celtic L 2-7 1617 1719 43.6% 22.4% 34.0% -33.4 11
1975-11-12 @ Ayr United W 7-2 1719 1617 34.0% 22.4% 43.6% +33.4 14
1975-11-12 Dundee United W 4-1 1681 1640 60.1% 22.0% 17.9% +12.2 13
1975-11-12 @ Rangers L 1-4 1640 1681 17.9% 22.0% 60.1% -12.2 10
1975-11-15 Hibernian L 1-3 1584 1663 46.6% 22.4% 31.0% -18.9 11
1975-11-15 @ Ayr United W 3-1 1663 1584 31.0% 22.4% 46.6% +18.9 14
1975-11-15 Motherwell L 0-2 1753 1622 67.2% 21.3% 11.5% -30.9 14
1975-11-15 @ Celtic W 2-0 1622 1753 11.5% 21.3% 67.2% +30.9 15
1975-11-15 Aberdeen L 1-2 1627 1602 58.6% 22.1% 19.4% -13.5 10
1975-11-15 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1602 1627 19.4% 22.1% 58.6% +13.5 10
1975-11-15 Dundee D 1-1 1603 1577 58.7% 22.1% 19.3% -2.2 14
1975-11-15 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1577 1603 19.3% 22.1% 58.7% +2.2 11
1975-11-15 Rangers L 1-5 1506 1693 31.9% 22.2% 45.9% -25.4 4
1975-11-15 @ St. Johnstone W 5-1 1693 1506 45.9% 22.2% 31.9% +25.4 15
1975-11-22 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1616 1600 57.6% 22.1% 20.3% -2.3 11
1975-11-22 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1600 1616 20.3% 22.1% 57.6% +2.4 15
1975-11-22 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1722 1481 73.5% 20.0% 6.6% +1.8 16
1975-11-22 @ Celtic L 2-3 1481 1722 6.6% 20.0% 73.5% -1.8 4
1975-11-22 Ayr United D 2-2 1579 1565 57.5% 22.1% 20.4% -1.6 12
1975-11-22 @ Dundee D 2-2 1565 1579 20.4% 22.1% 57.5% +1.6 12
1975-11-22 Rangers W 2-1 1682 1718 52.0% 22.3% 25.7% +6.8 16
1975-11-22 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1718 1682 25.7% 22.3% 52.0% -6.8 15
1975-11-22 Dundee United W 2-1 1653 1614 59.9% 22.0% 18.1% +5.0 17
1975-11-22 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1614 1653 18.1% 22.0% 59.9% -5.0 10
1975-11-29 Aberdeen W 1-0 1567 1613 50.7% 22.3% 26.9% +7.5 14
1975-11-29 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1613 1567 26.9% 22.3% 50.7% -7.5 11
1975-11-29 Celtic L 1-3 1609 1724 41.9% 22.4% 35.8% -17.3 10
1975-11-29 @ Dundee United W 3-1 1724 1609 35.8% 22.4% 41.9% +17.3 18
1975-11-29 Motherwell D 3-3 1603 1658 49.7% 22.4% 28.0% -0.7 16
1975-11-29 @ Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1658 1603 28.0% 22.4% 49.7% +0.7 18
1975-11-29 Dundee W 2-1 1711 1577 67.5% 21.2% 11.3% +3.3 17
1975-11-29 @ Rangers L 1-2 1577 1711 11.3% 21.2% 67.5% -3.3 12
1975-11-29 Hibernian L 3-4 1479 1689 29.0% 22.1% 49.0% -6.9 4
1975-11-29 @ St. Johnstone W 4-3 1689 1479 49.0% 22.1% 29.0% +6.9 18
1975-12-06 Rangers W 1-0 1606 1715 42.7% 22.4% 35.0% +9.2 13
1975-12-06 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1715 1606 35.0% 22.4% 42.7% -9.2 17
1975-12-06 Dundee United D 2-2 1574 1592 54.1% 22.3% 23.6% -1.3 15
1975-12-06 @ Ayr United D 2-2 1592 1574 23.6% 22.3% 54.1% +1.3 11
1975-12-06 Hibernian W 2-0 1574 1696 40.9% 22.4% 36.8% +18.0 14
1975-12-06 @ Dundee L 0-2 1696 1574 36.8% 22.4% 40.9% -18.0 18
1975-12-06 Celtic L 0-1 1602 1741 38.5% 22.3% 39.2% -9.9 16
1975-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1741 1602 39.2% 22.3% 38.5% +9.9 20
1975-12-06 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1659 1472 70.7% 20.6% 8.6% +2.5 20
1975-12-06 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1472 1659 8.6% 20.6% 70.7% -2.5 4
1975-12-10 Hibernian D 1-1 1751 1678 62.9% 21.8% 15.3% -2.8 21
1975-12-10 @ Celtic D 1-1 1678 1751 15.3% 21.8% 62.9% +2.8 19
1975-12-13 Aberdeen L 0-2 1748 1615 67.4% 21.2% 11.4% -31.0 21
1975-12-13 @ Celtic W 2-0 1615 1748 11.4% 21.2% 67.4% +31.0 15
1975-12-13 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1593 1592 56.1% 22.2% 21.7% -13.7 11
1975-12-13 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1592 1593 21.7% 22.2% 56.1% +13.7 18
1975-12-13 Motherwell W 1-0 1680 1661 58.0% 22.1% 19.9% +5.8 21
1975-12-13 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1661 1680 19.9% 22.1% 58.0% -5.8 20
1975-12-13 Ayr United W 3-0 1706 1573 67.4% 21.2% 11.4% +9.6 19
1975-12-13 @ Rangers L 0-3 1573 1706 11.4% 21.2% 67.4% -9.6 15
1975-12-13 Dundee L 1-3 1469 1592 40.8% 22.4% 36.9% -16.9 4
1975-12-13 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1592 1469 36.9% 22.4% 40.8% +16.9 16
1975-12-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1563 1606 51.2% 22.3% 26.5% -1.4 16
1975-12-20 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1606 1563 26.5% 22.3% 51.2% +1.3 19
1975-12-20 Dundee United D 0-0 1609 1579 59.0% 22.1% 18.9% -2.6 17
1975-12-20 @ Dundee D 0-0 1579 1609 18.9% 22.1% 59.0% +2.5 12
1975-12-20 Celtic L 1-3 1686 1717 52.6% 22.3% 25.1% -21.0 21
1975-12-20 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1717 1686 25.1% 22.3% 52.6% +21.0 23
1975-12-20 Motherwell W 3-2 1715 1656 61.7% 21.9% 16.4% +4.4 21
1975-12-20 @ Rangers L 2-3 1656 1715 16.4% 21.9% 61.7% -4.4 20
1975-12-20 Aberdeen D 1-1 1452 1646 31.1% 22.1% 46.8% +0.8 5
1975-12-20 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1646 1452 46.8% 22.1% 31.1% -0.8 16
1975-12-27 Hibernian D 2-2 1645 1665 53.8% 22.3% 23.9% -1.2 17
1975-12-27 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1665 1645 23.9% 22.3% 53.8% +1.2 22
1975-12-27 Ayr United W 3-1 1738 1562 70.1% 20.8% 9.1% +4.6 25
1975-12-27 @ Celtic L 1-3 1562 1738 9.1% 20.8% 70.1% -4.6 16
1975-12-27 Rangers D 0-0 1582 1719 38.6% 22.3% 39.1% +0.0 13
1975-12-27 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1719 1582 39.1% 22.3% 38.6% -0.0 22
1975-12-27 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1607 1453 68.8% 21.0% 10.2% +6.0 21
1975-12-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1453 1607 10.2% 21.0% 68.8% -6.0 5
1975-12-27 Dundee W 3-2 1651 1606 60.5% 21.9% 17.6% +4.6 22
1975-12-27 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1606 1651 17.6% 21.9% 60.5% -4.6 17
1976-01-01 Aberdeen L 1-3 1602 1644 51.3% 22.3% 26.4% -20.6 17
1976-01-01 @ Dundee W 3-1 1644 1602 26.4% 22.3% 51.3% +20.6 19
1976-01-01 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1666 1613 61.2% 21.9% 16.9% +13.7 24
1976-01-01 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1613 1666 16.9% 21.9% 61.2% -13.7 21
1976-01-01 Ayr United W 1-0 1656 1557 64.9% 21.6% 13.5% +4.1 24
1976-01-01 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1557 1656 13.5% 21.6% 64.9% -4.1 16
1976-01-01 Celtic W 1-0 1719 1743 53.5% 22.3% 24.2% +6.8 24
1976-01-01 @ Rangers L 0-1 1743 1719 24.2% 22.3% 53.5% -6.8 25
1976-01-01 Dundee United D 1-1 1447 1582 39.1% 22.3% 38.6% -0.0 6
1976-01-01 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1582 1447 38.6% 22.3% 39.1% +0.0 14
1976-01-03 Motherwell D 0-0 1664 1660 56.5% 22.2% 21.4% -2.2 20
1976-01-03 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1660 1664 21.4% 22.2% 56.5% +2.2 25
1976-01-03 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1553 1447 65.5% 21.5% 13.0% +7.5 18
1976-01-03 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1447 1553 13.0% 21.5% 65.5% -7.5 6
1976-01-03 Dundee D 3-3 1736 1581 68.8% 21.0% 10.2% -2.2 26
1976-01-03 @ Celtic D 3-3 1581 1736 10.2% 21.0% 68.8% +2.2 18
1976-01-03 Rangers L 1-2 1599 1726 40.2% 22.4% 37.5% -9.6 21
1976-01-03 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1726 1599 37.5% 22.4% 40.2% +9.6 26
1976-01-10 Dundee United W 5-3 1662 1582 63.5% 21.7% 14.8% +6.1 22
1976-01-10 @ Aberdeen L 3-5 1582 1662 14.8% 21.7% 63.5% -6.1 14
1976-01-10 Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1583 1590 55.3% 22.2% 22.5% +14.8 20
1976-01-10 @ Dundee L 1-4 1590 1583 22.5% 22.2% 55.3% -14.8 21
1976-01-10 Ayr United W 3-0 1680 1561 66.5% 21.4% 12.2% +10.2 26
1976-01-10 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1561 1680 12.2% 21.4% 66.5% -10.2 18
1976-01-10 Celtic L 1-3 1662 1734 47.6% 22.4% 30.0% -19.2 25
1976-01-10 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1734 1662 30.0% 22.4% 47.6% +19.2 28
1976-01-10 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1736 1440 75.9% 19.2% 5.0% +5.5 28
1976-01-10 @ Rangers L 0-4 1440 1736 5.0% 19.2% 75.9% -5.5 6
1976-01-17 Dundee W 3-1 1550 1598 50.6% 22.3% 27.1% +12.2 20
1976-01-17 @ Ayr United L 1-3 1598 1550 27.1% 22.3% 50.6% -12.2 20
1976-01-17 Motherwell L 1-4 1576 1643 48.2% 22.4% 29.5% -27.5 14
1976-01-17 @ Dundee United W 4-1 1643 1576 29.5% 22.4% 48.2% +27.5 27
1976-01-17 Aberdeen D 3-3 1575 1668 44.8% 22.4% 32.8% -0.4 22
1976-01-17 @ Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1668 1575 32.8% 22.4% 44.8% +0.4 23
1976-01-17 Hibernian W 2-0 1741 1690 61.0% 21.9% 17.1% +9.5 30
1976-01-17 @ Rangers L 0-2 1690 1741 17.1% 21.9% 61.0% -9.5 26
1976-01-17 Celtic L 3-4 1434 1753 17.8% 21.2% 61.0% -4.5 6
1976-01-17 @ St. Johnstone W 4-3 1753 1434 61.0% 21.2% 17.8% +4.5 30
1976-01-31 Ayr United W 2-1 1669 1563 65.5% 21.5% 13.0% +3.7 25
1976-01-31 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1563 1669 13.0% 21.5% 65.5% -3.7 20
1976-01-31 Dundee United W 2-1 1757 1548 71.9% 20.4% 7.7% +2.3 32
1976-01-31 @ Celtic L 1-2 1548 1757 7.7% 20.4% 71.9% -2.3 14
1976-01-31 Rangers D 1-1 1586 1751 34.8% 22.3% 42.9% +0.4 21
1976-01-31 @ Dundee D 1-1 1751 1586 42.9% 22.3% 34.8% -0.4 31
1976-01-31 St. Johnstone W 5-0 1681 1430 73.9% 19.8% 6.2% +8.5 28
1976-01-31 @ Hibernian L 0-5 1430 1681 6.2% 19.8% 73.9% -8.5 6
1976-01-31 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1671 1575 64.7% 21.6% 13.7% +7.8 29
1976-01-31 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1575 1671 13.7% 21.6% 64.7% -7.8 22
1976-02-07 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1760 1567 71.0% 20.6% 8.4% +4.9 34
1976-02-07 @ Celtic L 0-2 1567 1760 8.4% 20.6% 71.0% -4.9 22
1976-02-07 Dundee W 4-0 1689 1586 65.3% 21.5% 13.2% +14.4 30
1976-02-07 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1586 1689 13.2% 21.5% 65.3% -14.3 21
1976-02-07 Aberdeen W 2-1 1750 1672 63.3% 21.7% 15.0% +4.2 33
1976-02-07 @ Rangers L 1-2 1672 1750 15.0% 21.7% 63.3% -4.2 25
1976-02-07 Motherwell L 1-3 1421 1678 23.6% 21.7% 54.6% -10.8 6
1976-02-07 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1678 1421 54.6% 21.7% 23.6% +10.8 31
1976-02-21 Celtic L 0-1 1668 1765 44.4% 22.4% 33.2% -11.1 25
1976-02-21 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1765 1668 33.2% 22.4% 44.4% +11.1 36
1976-02-21 Rangers L 0-1 1559 1755 30.8% 22.1% 47.1% -8.3 20
1976-02-21 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1755 1559 47.1% 22.1% 30.8% +8.3 35
1976-02-21 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1572 1411 69.2% 20.9% 9.8% +8.3 23
1976-02-21 @ Dundee L 0-3 1411 1572 9.8% 20.9% 69.2% -8.3 6
1976-02-21 Dundee United L 0-1 1562 1546 57.7% 22.1% 20.2% -14.1 22
1976-02-21 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1546 1562 20.2% 22.1% 57.7% +14.1 16
1976-02-21 Hibernian L 0-1 1689 1704 54.4% 22.2% 23.3% -13.3 31
1976-02-21 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1704 1689 23.3% 22.2% 54.4% +13.3 32
1976-02-28 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1657 1402 74.1% 19.8% 6.1% +5.2 27
1976-02-28 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1402 1657 6.1% 19.8% 74.1% -5.2 6
1976-02-28 Hibernian W 4-0 1776 1717 61.7% 21.9% 16.5% +17.5 38
1976-02-28 @ Celtic L 0-4 1717 1776 16.5% 21.9% 61.7% -17.5 32
1976-02-28 Dundee W 1-0 1560 1580 53.8% 22.3% 23.9% +6.8 18
1976-02-28 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1580 1560 23.9% 22.3% 53.8% -6.8 23
1976-02-28 Ayr United W 1-0 1548 1551 55.7% 22.2% 22.1% +6.3 24
1976-02-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1551 1548 22.1% 22.2% 55.7% -6.3 20
1976-02-28 Rangers L 0-1 1676 1763 45.6% 22.4% 32.0% -11.3 31
1976-02-28 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1763 1676 32.0% 22.4% 45.6% +11.3 37
1976-03-03 Ayr United W 5-0 1567 1544 58.3% 22.1% 19.6% +25.2 20
1976-03-03 @ Dundee United L 0-5 1544 1567 19.6% 22.1% 58.3% -25.1 20
1976-03-13 Dundee L 0-1 1662 1574 64.2% 21.6% 14.2% -15.6 27
1976-03-13 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1574 1662 14.2% 21.6% 64.2% +15.6 25
1976-03-13 Hibernian L 0-1 1554 1700 37.5% 22.3% 40.2% -9.7 24
1976-03-13 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1700 1554 40.2% 22.3% 37.5% +9.7 34
1976-03-20 Celtic L 0-1 1589 1793 29.7% 22.1% 48.2% -8.0 25
1976-03-20 @ Dundee W 1-0 1793 1589 48.2% 22.1% 29.7% +8.0 40
1976-03-20 Dundee United L 0-1 1709 1592 66.3% 21.4% 12.3% -16.2 34
1976-03-20 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1592 1709 12.3% 21.4% 66.3% +16.2 22
1976-03-20 Aberdeen W 2-1 1664 1647 57.9% 22.1% 20.1% +5.5 33
1976-03-20 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1647 1664 20.1% 22.1% 57.9% -5.5 27
1976-03-20 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1774 1544 72.9% 20.1% 7.0% +3.5 39
1976-03-20 @ Rangers L 1-3 1544 1774 7.0% 20.1% 72.9% -3.5 24
1976-03-20 Ayr United L 1-2 1397 1519 40.8% 22.4% 36.8% -9.8 6
1976-03-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1519 1397 36.8% 22.4% 40.8% +9.8 22
1976-03-27 Hibernian W 2-0 1529 1693 34.9% 22.3% 42.8% +20.3 24
1976-03-27 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1693 1529 42.8% 22.3% 34.9% -20.3 34
1976-03-27 Motherwell W 4-0 1801 1670 67.3% 21.2% 11.5% +12.6 42
1976-03-27 @ Celtic L 0-4 1670 1801 11.5% 21.2% 67.3% -12.6 33
1976-03-27 Aberdeen W 1-0 1608 1641 52.3% 22.3% 25.4% +7.1 24
1976-03-27 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1641 1608 25.4% 22.3% 52.3% -7.1 27
1976-03-27 Dundee W 3-0 1541 1581 51.5% 22.3% 26.2% +19.9 26
1976-03-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1581 1541 26.2% 22.3% 51.5% -19.9 25
1976-03-27 Rangers L 0-3 1387 1778 12.6% 20.4% 67.1% -10.2 6
1976-03-27 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1778 1387 67.1% 20.4% 12.6% +10.2 41
1976-03-31 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1615 1377 73.3% 20.0% 6.7% -4.1 25
1976-03-31 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1377 1615 6.7% 20.0% 73.3% +4.1 7
1976-03-31 Aberdeen W 3-2 1673 1634 59.9% 22.0% 18.1% +4.8 36
1976-03-31 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1634 1673 18.1% 22.0% 59.9% -4.8 27
1976-04-03 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1814 1381 80.6% 17.0% 2.5% +0.7 44
1976-04-03 @ Celtic L 0-1 1381 1814 2.5% 17.0% 80.6% -0.7 7
1976-04-03 Ayr United L 1-2 1561 1549 57.3% 22.1% 20.6% -13.2 25
1976-04-03 @ Dundee W 2-1 1549 1561 20.6% 22.1% 57.3% +13.2 26
1976-04-03 Rangers L 0-3 1678 1788 42.4% 22.4% 35.2% -29.3 36
1976-04-03 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1788 1678 35.2% 22.4% 42.4% +29.3 43
1976-04-03 Dundee United W 3-2 1657 1611 60.6% 21.9% 17.5% +4.6 35
1976-04-03 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1611 1657 17.5% 21.9% 60.6% -4.6 25
1976-04-07 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1629 1561 62.5% 21.8% 15.7% -41.7 27
1976-04-07 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1561 1629 15.7% 21.8% 62.5% +41.7 28
1976-04-10 Aberdeen D 1-1 1562 1588 53.2% 22.3% 24.5% -1.6 27
1976-04-10 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1588 1562 24.5% 22.3% 53.2% +1.6 28
1976-04-10 Celtic W 3-2 1606 1815 29.2% 22.1% 48.7% +10.7 27
1976-04-10 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1815 1606 48.7% 22.1% 29.2% -10.7 44
1976-04-10 Motherwell L 1-2 1603 1662 49.2% 22.4% 28.5% -11.4 28
1976-04-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1662 1603 28.5% 22.4% 49.2% +11.4 37
1976-04-10 Dundee W 3-0 1817 1548 74.8% 19.6% 5.7% +4.8 45
1976-04-10 @ Rangers L 0-3 1548 1817 5.7% 19.6% 74.8% -4.8 25
1976-04-10 Hibernian L 0-2 1380 1648 22.5% 21.7% 55.9% -12.0 7
1976-04-10 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1648 1380 55.9% 21.7% 22.5% +12.0 38
1976-04-14 Rangers D 0-0 1589 1822 26.3% 21.9% 51.8% +1.6 29
1976-04-14 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1822 1589 51.8% 21.9% 26.3% -1.6 46
1976-04-14 Dundee United W 1-0 1561 1617 49.5% 22.4% 28.1% +7.7 29
1976-04-14 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1617 1561 28.1% 22.4% 49.5% -7.7 27
1976-04-14 Hibernian D 1-1 1543 1660 41.5% 22.4% 36.1% -0.3 26
1976-04-14 @ Dundee D 1-1 1660 1543 36.1% 22.4% 41.5% +0.3 39
1976-04-14 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1673 1368 76.2% 19.0% 4.7% +2.7 39
1976-04-14 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1368 1673 4.7% 19.0% 76.2% -2.7 7
1976-04-17 Aberdeen D 1-1 1804 1591 72.1% 20.3% 7.6% -3.9 45
1976-04-17 @ Celtic D 1-1 1591 1804 7.6% 20.3% 72.1% +3.9 30
1976-04-17 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1609 1591 57.9% 22.1% 20.0% +10.9 29
1976-04-17 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1591 1609 20.0% 22.1% 57.9% -10.9 28
1976-04-17 Motherwell W 2-0 1661 1676 54.3% 22.2% 23.4% +12.5 41
1976-04-17 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1676 1661 23.4% 22.2% 54.3% -12.5 39
1976-04-17 Ayr United W 2-1 1821 1569 74.0% 19.8% 6.2% +1.8 48
1976-04-17 @ Rangers L 1-2 1569 1821 6.2% 19.8% 74.0% -1.8 29
1976-04-17 Dundee D 1-1 1366 1543 33.1% 22.2% 44.6% +0.6 8
1976-04-17 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1543 1366 44.6% 22.2% 33.1% -0.6 27
1976-04-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1567 1580 54.5% 22.2% 23.2% -13.3 29
1976-04-21 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1580 1567 23.2% 22.2% 54.5% +13.3 30
1976-04-21 Dundee United W 2-1 1542 1620 46.8% 22.4% 30.8% +7.8 29
1976-04-21 @ Dundee L 1-2 1620 1542 30.8% 22.4% 46.8% -7.8 29
1976-04-21 Celtic W 2-0 1673 1800 40.2% 22.4% 37.5% +18.3 43
1976-04-21 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1800 1673 37.5% 22.4% 40.2% -18.3 45
1976-04-21 Motherwell W 2-1 1822 1664 69.0% 21.0% 10.0% +2.9 50
1976-04-21 @ Rangers L 1-2 1664 1822 10.0% 21.0% 69.0% -2.9 39
1976-04-21 Aberdeen W 2-0 1366 1595 26.8% 21.9% 51.3% +23.6 10
1976-04-21 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1595 1366 51.3% 21.9% 26.8% -23.7 30
1976-04-24 Hibernian W 3-0 1571 1691 41.1% 22.4% 36.5% +26.0 32
1976-04-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1691 1571 36.5% 22.4% 41.1% -26.0 43
1976-04-24 Ayr United L 1-2 1782 1553 72.9% 20.1% 7.0% -16.7 45
1976-04-24 @ Celtic W 2-1 1553 1782 7.0% 20.1% 72.9% +16.7 31
1976-04-24 Rangers L 0-1 1613 1825 28.6% 22.0% 49.3% -7.8 29
1976-04-24 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1825 1613 49.3% 22.0% 28.6% +7.8 52
1976-04-24 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1594 1390 71.6% 20.4% 8.0% +2.5 32
1976-04-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1390 1594 8.0% 20.4% 71.6% -2.5 10
1976-04-24 Dundee D 1-1 1661 1550 65.8% 21.4% 12.7% -3.1 40
1976-04-24 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1550 1661 12.7% 21.4% 65.8% +3.1 30
1976-04-26 Rangers D 0-0 1765 1833 48.0% 22.4% 29.6% -1.1 46
1976-04-26 @ Celtic D 0-0 1833 1765 29.6% 22.4% 48.0% +1.1 53
1976-04-26 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1387 1596 29.2% 22.1% 48.8% +1.2 11
1976-04-26 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1596 1387 48.8% 22.1% 29.2% -1.2 33
1976-04-28 Hibernian W 2-0 1605 1665 49.0% 22.4% 28.6% +14.8 31
1976-04-28 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1665 1605 28.6% 22.4% 49.0% -14.8 43
1976-05-01 Celtic L 3-5 1570 1764 31.0% 22.1% 46.8% -11.5 31
1976-05-01 @ Ayr United W 5-3 1764 1570 46.8% 22.1% 31.0% +11.5 48
1976-05-01 Motherwell W 1-0 1553 1658 43.3% 22.4% 34.3% +9.0 32
1976-05-01 @ Dundee L 0-1 1658 1553 34.3% 22.4% 43.3% -9.1 40
1976-05-03 Motherwell W 2-1 1559 1649 45.2% 22.4% 32.4% +8.2 33
1976-05-03 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1649 1559 32.4% 22.4% 45.2% -8.1 40
1976-05-03 Celtic W 1-0 1595 1775 32.8% 22.2% 45.1% +11.2 35
1976-05-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1775 1595 45.1% 22.2% 32.8% -11.2 48
1976-05-04 Dundee United D 0-0 1834 1620 72.2% 20.3% 7.5% -4.4 54
1976-05-04 @ Rangers D 0-0 1620 1834 7.5% 20.3% 72.2% +4.4 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-04-24 7.01% Ayr United 1553 2 @ Celtic 1782 1
2 1975-12-13 11.38% Aberdeen 1615 2 @ Celtic 1748 0
3 1975-11-15 11.53% Motherwell 1622 2 @ Celtic 1753 0
4 1976-03-20 12.31% Dundee United 1592 1 @ Hibernian 1709 0
5 1975-11-08 12.90% Heart of Midlothian 1588 2 @ Rangers 1696 1
6 1976-03-13 14.20% Dundee 1574 1 @ Aberdeen 1662 0
7 1976-04-07 15.69% Heart of Midlothian 1561 3 @ Aberdeen 1629 0
8 1975-10-18 16.58% Dundee 1588 2 @ Dundee United 1645 1
9 1975-09-13 17.35% Heart of Midlothian 1551 3 @ Dundee 1599 2
10 1975-11-15 19.35% Aberdeen 1602 2 @ Dundee United 1627 1
11 1976-02-21 20.22% Dundee United 1546 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1562 0
12 1976-04-03 20.60% Ayr United 1549 2 @ Dundee 1561 1
13 1975-10-25 20.73% Motherwell 1591 6 @ Dundee 1602 3
14 1975-09-13 21.59% Dundee United 1635 3 @ Aberdeen 1637 1
15 1975-12-13 21.73% Heart of Midlothian 1592 1 @ Dundee United 1593 0
16 1976-04-21 23.20% Heart of Midlothian 1580 1 @ Ayr United 1567 0
17 1976-02-21 23.31% Hibernian 1704 1 @ Motherwell 1689 0
18 1975-12-20 25.09% Celtic 1717 3 @ Hibernian 1686 1
19 1975-10-25 26.09% Heart of Midlothian 1576 1 @ St. Johnstone 1536 0
20 1976-01-01 26.40% Aberdeen 1644 3 @ Dundee 1602 1
21 1976-04-21 26.79% @ St. Johnstone 1366 2 Aberdeen 1595 0
22 1976-04-10 28.47% Motherwell 1662 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1603 1
23 1976-04-10 29.23% @ Dundee United 1606 3 Celtic 1815 2
24 1976-01-17 29.46% Motherwell 1643 4 @ Dundee United 1576 1
25 1976-01-10 29.97% Celtic 1734 3 @ Motherwell 1662 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-04-07 41.70 Heart of Midlothian 3 1561 15.69% @ Aberdeen 0 1629 62.51% 21.79%
2 1975-11-12 33.41 Celtic 7 1719 34.00% @ Ayr United 2 1617 43.62% 22.38%
3 1975-12-13 30.98 Aberdeen 2 1615 11.38% @ Celtic 0 1748 67.39% 21.24%
4 1975-11-15 30.89 Motherwell 2 1622 11.53% @ Celtic 0 1753 67.20% 21.26%
5 1976-04-03 29.28 Rangers 3 1788 35.19% @ Hibernian 0 1678 42.43% 22.38%
6 1975-10-11 29.21 @ Ayr United 3 1571 35.37% Rangers 0 1731 42.36% 22.27%
7 1976-01-17 27.49 Motherwell 4 1643 29.46% @ Dundee United 1 1576 48.17% 22.37%
8 1976-04-24 26.02 @ Aberdeen 3 1571 41.09% Hibernian 0 1691 36.54% 22.37%
9 1975-10-25 25.80 Motherwell 6 1591 20.73% @ Dundee 3 1602 57.12% 22.14%
10 1975-11-15 25.39 Rangers 5 1693 45.92% @ St. Johnstone 1 1506 31.91% 22.17%
11 1976-03-03 25.15 @ Dundee United 5 1567 58.30% Ayr United 0 1544 19.61% 22.09%
12 1976-04-21 23.65 @ St. Johnstone 2 1366 26.79% Aberdeen 0 1595 51.27% 21.94%
13 1975-09-13 22.41 Dundee United 3 1635 21.59% @ Aberdeen 1 1637 56.23% 22.18%
14 1975-12-20 21.05 Celtic 3 1717 25.09% @ Hibernian 1 1686 52.61% 22.30%
15 1976-01-01 20.56 Aberdeen 3 1644 26.40% @ Dundee 1 1602 51.27% 22.33%
16 1976-03-27 20.28 @ Ayr United 2 1529 34.93% Hibernian 0 1693 42.81% 22.26%
17 1976-03-27 19.92 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1541 51.50% Dundee 0 1581 26.17% 22.33%
18 1976-01-10 19.25 Celtic 3 1734 29.97% @ Motherwell 1 1662 47.65% 22.38%
19 1975-11-15 18.90 Hibernian 3 1663 30.98% @ Ayr United 1 1584 46.63% 22.38%
20 1975-09-06 18.80 Rangers 2 1706 38.76% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1570 38.90% 22.34%
21 1976-04-21 18.27 @ Hibernian 2 1673 40.16% Celtic 0 1800 37.49% 22.36%
22 1975-11-08 18.21 @ Motherwell 3 1604 54.25% Aberdeen 0 1620 23.49% 22.26%
23 1975-12-06 17.99 @ Dundee 2 1574 40.88% Hibernian 0 1696 36.75% 22.36%
24 1976-02-28 17.50 @ Celtic 4 1776 61.67% Hibernian 0 1717 16.46% 21.86%
25 1975-11-29 17.27 Celtic 3 1724 35.76% @ Dundee United 1 1609 41.86% 22.37%