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1978-79 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

48 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

7.27 points above expected

48 points · 40.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Motherwell

8.43 points below expected

17 points · 25.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 36 21 6 9 48 61 37 +24 40.73 +7.27
2 Rangers 36 18 9 9 45 52 35 +17 43.08 +1.92
3 Dundee United 36 18 8 10 44 56 37 +19 39.87 +4.13
4 Aberdeen 36 13 14 9 40 59 36 +23 45.07 -5.07
5 Hibernian 36 12 13 11 37 44 48 -4 35.97 +1.03
6 St. Mirren 36 15 6 15 36 45 41 +4 34.62 +1.38
7 Greenock Morton 36 12 12 12 36 52 53 -1 33.63 +2.37
8 Partick Thistle 36 13 8 15 34 42 39 +3 33.04 +0.96
9 Heart of Midlothian 36 8 7 21 23 39 71 -32 28.58 -5.58
10 Motherwell 36 5 7 24 17 33 86 -53 25.43 -8.43

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1692 48 40.73 +7.27 95.0% 22 33 38 41 44 48 59
Rangers 1667 45 43.08 +1.92 69.6% 26 35 40 43 46 51 62
Aberdeen 1657 40 45.07 -5.07 16.6% 28 37 42 45 48 53 62
Dundee United 1650 44 39.87 +4.13 83.8% 22 32 37 40 43 48 57
St. Mirren 1551 36 34.62 +1.38 64.8% 16 27 31 35 38 43 53
Greenock Morton 1550 36 33.63 +2.37 72.9% 18 26 30 34 37 41 50
Hibernian 1545 37 35.97 +1.03 62.3% 19 28 33 36 39 44 53
Partick Thistle 1538 34 33.04 +0.96 61.8% 15 25 30 33 36 41 52
Heart of Midlothian 1398 23 28.58 -5.58 13.8% 12 21 25 29 32 36 44
Motherwell 1347 17 25.43 -8.43 3.6% 10 18 22 25 29 33 42

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU GM HOM HIB MOT PT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
1-2-1
6.22
1-2-1
6.27
2-0-2
7.31
2-1-1
7.85
1-2-1
6.97
2-2-0
8.44
3-1-0
7.00
1-2-1
5.87
0-2-2
7.17
Celtic
1-2-1
4.73
 —
1-1-2
5.51
2-1-1
6.35
3-0-1
7.48
1-1-2
6.22
3-0-1
7.66
4-0-0
6.64
2-1-1
5.39
4-0-0
6.54
Dundee United
1-2-1
4.68
2-1-1
5.44
 —
1-0-3
6.64
3-0-1
7.57
1-2-1
5.82
4-0-0
7.27
3-1-0
6.51
1-1-2
5.10
2-1-1
6.10
Greenock Morton
2-0-2
3.68
1-1-2
4.61
3-0-1
4.32
 —
2-2-0
6.39
1-3-0
4.89
1-2-1
7.05
1-1-2
5.46
0-2-2
4.20
1-1-2
5.15
Heart of Midlothian
1-1-2
3.18
1-0-3
3.53
1-0-3
3.42
0-2-2
4.57
 —
1-2-1
4.41
3-0-1
6.10
0-0-4
4.94
1-1-2
3.40
0-1-3
4.71
Hibernian
1-2-1
4.00
2-1-1
4.75
1-2-1
5.13
0-3-1
6.06
1-2-1
6.55
 —
3-1-0
6.97
1-1-2
5.78
1-1-2
4.32
2-0-2
5.67
Motherwell
0-2-2
2.60
1-0-3
3.35
0-0-4
3.75
1-2-1
3.92
1-0-3
4.87
0-1-3
4.01
 —
0-2-2
4.71
1-0-3
2.25
1-0-3
4.23
Partick Thistle
0-1-3
3.98
0-0-4
4.32
0-1-3
4.45
2-1-1
5.49
4-0-0
6.03
2-1-1
5.16
2-2-0
6.25
 —
1-1-2
3.99
2-1-1
5.21
Rangers
1-2-1
5.09
1-1-2
5.57
2-1-1
5.86
2-2-0
6.78
2-1-1
7.60
2-1-1
6.64
3-0-1
8.83
2-1-1
6.98
 —
3-0-1
6.68
St. Mirren
2-2-0
3.80
0-0-4
4.43
1-1-2
4.86
2-1-1
5.80
3-1-0
6.25
2-0-2
5.28
3-0-1
6.74
1-1-2
5.74
1-0-3
4.29
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +9.4
Allowed 0.86 -5.2
Differential 0.93 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%8.89%4.17%2.78%1.67%0.83%25.00%
18.89%13.33%11.39%2.78%1.39%0.56%38.33%
24.17%11.39%4.44%2.22%0.28%—22.50%
32.78%2.78%2.22%0.56%0.28%0.28%8.89%
41.67%1.39%0.28%0.28%——3.61%
5+0.83%0.56%—0.28%——1.67%
Total25.00%38.33%22.50%8.89%3.61%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.81
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
18.33%22.22%16.67%———47.22%
2—8.33%5.56%———13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%8.33%————11.11%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total27.78%44.44%27.78%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.00 +0.64
SD 1.71 0.76 2.02
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
111.11%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—30.56%
25.56%16.67%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%44.44%19.44%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.03 +0.67
SD 1.33 0.94 1.57
CV 0.78 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
15.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%——38.89%
28.33%19.44%2.78%———30.56%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total25.00%52.78%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.03 +0.53
SD 1.05 0.81 1.52
CV 0.68 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
111.11%13.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%—47.22%
2—8.33%11.11%———19.44%
32.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%30.56%27.78%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.47 -0.03
SD 1.21 1.11 1.76
CV 0.83 0.75 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%36.11%
12.78%11.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
25.56%5.56%2.78%8.33%——22.22%
32.78%—5.56%——2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%25.00%16.67%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.97 -0.89
SD 1.02 1.44 1.85
CV 0.95 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
111.11%16.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%47.22%
2—11.11%8.33%———19.44%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.33 -0.11
SD 0.99 1.29 1.62
CV 0.81 0.97 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%11.11%8.33%5.56%41.67%
12.78%11.11%13.89%—2.78%2.78%33.33%
22.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
3——2.78%2.78%2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%27.78%22.22%19.44%13.89%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.39 -1.47
SD 0.97 1.73 2.10
CV 1.06 0.72 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%8.33%———33.33%
18.33%11.11%13.89%———33.33%
28.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%44.44%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.08 +0.08
SD 1.23 0.81 1.44
CV 1.05 0.74 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
116.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
35.56%—————5.56%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total44.44%30.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.97 +0.47
SD 1.23 1.13 1.58
CV 0.85 1.17 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%5.56%———25.00%
111.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%——38.89%
22.78%16.67%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%50.00%19.44%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.14 +0.11
SD 1.02 0.87 1.45
CV 0.82 0.76 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 48 40.73 +7.27
2 Dundee United 44 39.87 +4.13
3 Greenock Morton 36 33.63 +2.37
4 Rangers 45 43.08 +1.92
5 St. Mirren 36 34.62 +1.38

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Motherwell 17 25.43 -8.43
2 Heart of Midlothian 23 28.58 -5.58
3 Aberdeen 40 45.07 -5.07
4 Partick Thistle 34 33.04 +0.96
5 Hibernian 37 35.97 +1.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 3 Oct 21 – Nov 4 1 in 238
2 Celtic 4 Aug 12 – Sep 9 1 in 36
3 Hibernian 3 Sep 9 – Sep 23 1 in 35
4 Dundee United 4 Mar 7 – Mar 17 1 in 32
5 Partick Thistle 3 Nov 4 – Nov 18 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 10 Apr 11 – May 14 1 in 586
2 Aberdeen 3 Oct 14 – Oct 28 1 in 153
3 Motherwell 9 Mar 7 – Apr 10 1 in 83
4 St. Mirren 3 Mar 24 – Mar 31 1 in 38
5 Greenock Morton 3 Aug 12 – Aug 26 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 8 Aug 12 – Oct 7 1 in 49
2 Dundee United 7 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 31
3 Heart of Midlothian 5 Oct 7 – Nov 4 1 in 30
4 Greenock Morton 5 Sep 9 – Oct 7 1 in 21
5 Celtic 6 Apr 14 – May 2 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 11 Oct 14 – Jan 20 1 in 259
2 Aberdeen 6 Dec 9 – Feb 24 1 in 51
3 Celtic 7 Oct 7 – Nov 18 1 in 35
4 Rangers 6 Aug 12 – Sep 23 1 in 35
5 Partick Thistle 8 Dec 16 – Mar 28 1 in 23

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic14.51%19.29%21.26%18.03%12.09%7.50%4.04%2.28%0.82%0.18%
Rangers25.21%27.58%20.18%12.43%7.42%4.05%1.91%0.87%0.33%0.02%
Dundee United9.85%16.62%19.90%19.48%14.85%9.13%5.83%2.95%1.12%0.27%
Aberdeen46.09%23.98%14.50%8.30%4.03%1.96%0.70%0.34%0.08%0.02%
Hibernian1.87%5.19%8.88%13.24%17.92%17.56%15.77%11.78%5.92%1.87%
St. Mirren1.10%3.50%6.36%11.00%15.59%18.06%17.52%14.44%9.02%3.41%
Greenock Morton0.84%1.93%4.62%8.39%12.57%17.43%19.60%18.36%11.67%4.59%
Partick Thistle0.50%1.71%3.65%7.70%11.75%16.59%19.44%19.94%13.34%5.38%
Heart of Midlothian0.03%0.18%0.57%1.16%2.99%5.91%10.51%19.18%35.04%24.43%
Motherwell—0.02%0.08%0.27%0.79%1.81%4.68%9.86%22.66%59.83%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.67%
Clear Edge
48.33%25.00%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
161 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
076.49500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Celtic, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.77 * Some Luck: 3.77 to 5.65 * Lucky: 5.65 to 7.53 * Wild Swing: 7.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.1 * Close: 1.1 to 1.66 * Off: 1.66 to 2.21 * Way Off: 2.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.59 points
Some Luck
04.7112
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.383
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.05%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.57%
Motherwell
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.61
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.99
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.08
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aberdeen 99.90% 0.10%
Rangers 99.65% 0.35%
Celtic 99.00% 1.00%
Dundee United 98.61% 1.39%
Hibernian 92.21% 7.79%
St. Mirren 87.57% 12.43%
Greenock Morton 83.74% 16.26%
Partick Thistle 81.28% 18.72%
Heart of Midlothian 40.53% 59.47%
Motherwell 17.51% 82.49%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1978-08-12 Hibernian D 0-0 1560 1554 52.5% 26.2% 21.3% -1.8 1
1978-08-12 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1554 1560 21.3% 26.2% 52.5% +1.8 1
1978-08-12 Celtic L 1-2 1535 1582 46.4% 26.5% 27.1% -10.1 0
1978-08-12 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1582 1535 27.1% 26.5% 46.4% +10.0 2
1978-08-12 Aberdeen L 1-4 1508 1670 31.0% 26.2% 42.8% -18.0 0
1978-08-12 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1670 1508 42.8% 26.2% 31.0% +18.0 2
1978-08-12 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1523 1507 53.5% 26.1% 20.4% -12.1 0
1978-08-12 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1507 1523 20.4% 26.1% 53.5% +12.1 2
1978-08-12 St. Mirren L 0-1 1644 1514 63.7% 24.7% 11.6% -14.3 0
1978-08-12 @ Rangers W 1-0 1514 1644 11.6% 24.7% 63.7% +14.3 2
1978-08-19 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1688 1525 66.0% 24.1% 9.9% +4.8 4
1978-08-19 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1525 1688 9.9% 24.1% 66.0% -4.8 0
1978-08-19 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1592 1491 61.5% 25.1% 13.4% +13.9 4
1978-08-19 @ Celtic L 0-4 1491 1592 13.4% 25.1% 61.5% -13.9 0
1978-08-19 Rangers D 0-0 1556 1629 43.0% 26.5% 30.5% -0.7 2
1978-08-19 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1629 1556 30.5% 26.5% 43.0% +0.7 1
1978-08-19 Dundee United D 1-1 1520 1558 47.4% 26.4% 26.1% -1.0 3
1978-08-19 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1558 1520 26.1% 26.4% 47.4% +1.0 2
1978-08-19 Motherwell L 0-1 1528 1510 53.8% 26.1% 20.1% -12.2 2
1978-08-19 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1510 1528 20.1% 26.1% 53.8% +12.2 2
1978-08-26 Aberdeen D 1-1 1559 1692 34.7% 26.4% 39.0% +0.2 3
1978-08-26 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1692 1559 39.0% 26.4% 34.7% -0.2 5
1978-08-26 St. Mirren L 1-3 1521 1516 52.4% 26.2% 21.4% -19.4 0
1978-08-26 @ Greenock Morton W 3-1 1516 1521 21.4% 26.2% 52.4% +19.4 4
1978-08-26 Hibernian D 1-1 1477 1555 42.3% 26.5% 31.2% -0.5 1
1978-08-26 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1555 1477 31.2% 26.5% 42.3% +0.5 3
1978-08-26 Celtic L 1-5 1523 1606 41.6% 26.5% 31.9% -29.1 2
1978-08-26 @ Motherwell W 5-1 1606 1523 31.9% 26.5% 41.6% +29.1 6
1978-08-26 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1630 1518 62.3% 25.0% 12.7% -3.0 2
1978-08-26 @ Rangers D 0-0 1518 1630 12.7% 25.0% 62.3% +3.0 4
1978-09-09 Motherwell W 4-0 1692 1494 68.3% 23.4% 8.3% +8.8 7
1978-09-09 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1494 1692 8.3% 23.4% 68.3% -8.8 2
1978-09-09 Rangers W 3-1 1635 1627 52.8% 26.2% 21.1% +9.4 8
1978-09-09 @ Celtic L 1-3 1627 1635 21.1% 26.2% 52.8% -9.4 2
1978-09-09 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1559 1501 57.7% 25.7% 16.6% -12.3 3
1978-09-09 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1501 1559 16.6% 25.7% 57.7% +12.3 2
1978-09-09 St. Mirren W 1-0 1556 1535 54.1% 26.1% 19.9% +5.5 5
1978-09-09 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1535 1556 19.9% 26.1% 54.1% -5.5 4
1978-09-09 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1521 1476 56.6% 25.8% 17.6% +4.4 6
1978-09-09 @ Partick Thistle L 2-3 1476 1521 17.6% 25.8% 56.6% -4.4 1
1978-09-16 Hibernian L 0-1 1644 1561 60.0% 25.4% 14.6% -13.5 8
1978-09-16 @ Celtic W 1-0 1561 1644 14.6% 25.4% 60.0% +13.5 7
1978-09-16 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1472 1513 47.0% 26.5% 26.5% -1.0 2
1978-09-16 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1513 1472 26.5% 26.5% 47.0% +1.0 3
1978-09-16 Dundee United L 0-1 1485 1547 44.5% 26.5% 29.0% -10.3 2
1978-09-16 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1547 1485 29.0% 26.5% 44.5% +10.3 5
1978-09-16 Aberdeen D 1-1 1618 1701 41.6% 26.5% 31.8% -0.5 3
1978-09-16 @ Rangers D 1-1 1701 1618 31.8% 26.5% 41.6% +0.5 8
1978-09-16 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1530 1526 52.3% 26.2% 21.5% +5.9 6
1978-09-16 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1526 1530 21.5% 26.2% 52.3% -5.9 6
1978-09-23 Rangers D 2-2 1514 1617 39.0% 26.5% 34.5% -0.2 4
1978-09-23 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1617 1514 34.5% 26.5% 39.0% +0.1 4
1978-09-23 Aberdeen W 2-1 1575 1701 35.6% 26.4% 38.0% +8.5 9
1978-09-23 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1701 1575 38.0% 26.4% 35.6% -8.5 8
1978-09-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1474 1471 52.3% 26.2% 21.5% -11.8 2
1978-09-23 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1471 1474 21.5% 26.2% 52.3% +11.8 4
1978-09-23 Celtic L 2-3 1520 1631 37.8% 26.5% 35.7% -8.1 6
1978-09-23 @ Partick Thistle W 3-2 1631 1520 35.7% 26.5% 37.8% +8.1 10
1978-09-23 Dundee United L 1-3 1536 1557 49.5% 26.4% 24.2% -18.4 6
1978-09-23 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1557 1536 24.2% 26.4% 49.5% +18.4 7
1978-09-30 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1693 1512 67.2% 23.7% 9.0% -3.2 9
1978-09-30 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1512 1693 9.0% 23.7% 67.2% +3.2 7
1978-09-30 St. Mirren W 2-1 1639 1517 63.1% 24.8% 12.1% +3.4 12
1978-09-30 @ Celtic L 1-2 1517 1639 12.1% 24.8% 63.1% -3.3 6
1978-09-30 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1575 1482 60.8% 25.2% 14.0% +6.6 9
1978-09-30 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1482 1575 14.0% 25.2% 60.8% -6.6 4
1978-09-30 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1583 1514 58.8% 25.6% 15.7% -2.2 10
1978-09-30 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1514 1583 15.7% 25.6% 58.8% +2.2 5
1978-09-30 Motherwell W 4-1 1617 1463 65.5% 24.2% 10.3% +7.0 6
1978-09-30 @ Rangers L 1-4 1463 1617 10.3% 24.2% 65.5% -7.0 2
1978-10-07 Celtic W 4-1 1690 1642 56.7% 25.8% 17.4% +11.4 11
1978-10-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1642 1690 17.4% 25.8% 56.7% -11.4 12
1978-10-07 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1517 1515 52.0% 26.2% 21.7% +5.9 7
1978-10-07 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1515 1517 21.7% 26.2% 52.0% -5.9 7
1978-10-07 St. Mirren D 1-1 1476 1514 47.5% 26.4% 26.1% -1.0 5
1978-10-07 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1514 1476 26.1% 26.4% 47.5% +1.0 7
1978-10-07 Hibernian L 2-3 1456 1581 35.8% 26.4% 37.8% -7.8 2
1978-10-07 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1581 1456 37.8% 26.4% 35.8% +7.8 12
1978-10-07 Dundee United D 1-1 1624 1582 56.3% 25.9% 17.9% -2.0 7
1978-10-07 @ Rangers D 1-1 1582 1624 17.9% 25.9% 56.3% +2.0 10
1978-10-14 Celtic W 1-0 1584 1631 46.4% 26.5% 27.2% +7.1 12
1978-10-14 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1631 1584 27.2% 26.5% 46.4% -7.1 12
1978-10-14 Motherwell L 1-2 1522 1448 59.2% 25.5% 15.3% -12.6 7
1978-10-14 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1448 1522 15.3% 25.5% 59.2% +12.6 4
1978-10-14 Rangers D 0-0 1475 1622 32.8% 26.3% 40.9% +0.4 6
1978-10-14 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1622 1475 40.9% 26.3% 32.8% -0.4 8
1978-10-14 Hibernian W 2-1 1509 1589 42.1% 26.5% 31.3% +7.4 9
1978-10-14 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1589 1509 31.3% 26.5% 42.1% -7.4 12
1978-10-14 Aberdeen W 2-1 1515 1701 27.9% 26.0% 46.1% +10.0 9
1978-10-14 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1701 1515 46.1% 26.0% 27.9% -10.0 11
1978-10-21 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1691 1475 69.4% 23.0% 7.6% -14.6 11
1978-10-21 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1475 1691 7.6% 23.0% 69.4% +14.6 8
1978-10-21 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1624 1510 62.5% 24.9% 12.6% -3.0 13
1978-10-21 @ Celtic D 0-0 1510 1624 12.6% 24.9% 62.5% +3.0 8
1978-10-21 Dundee United D 1-1 1581 1591 50.8% 26.3% 22.9% -1.4 13
1978-10-21 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1591 1581 22.9% 26.3% 50.8% +1.4 13
1978-10-21 Motherwell W 2-0 1517 1460 57.6% 25.7% 16.7% +8.9 11
1978-10-21 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1460 1517 16.7% 25.7% 57.6% -8.9 4
1978-10-21 Rangers L 0-1 1525 1622 39.8% 26.5% 33.7% -9.4 9
1978-10-21 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1622 1525 33.7% 26.5% 39.8% +9.4 10
1978-10-28 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1592 1526 58.6% 25.6% 15.8% +8.5 15
1978-10-28 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1526 1592 15.8% 25.6% 58.6% -8.5 11
1978-10-28 Aberdeen W 2-1 1513 1677 30.6% 26.2% 43.1% +9.4 10
1978-10-28 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1677 1513 43.1% 26.2% 30.6% -9.4 11
1978-10-28 Celtic W 2-0 1490 1621 35.0% 26.4% 38.6% +17.3 10
1978-10-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1621 1490 38.6% 26.4% 35.0% -17.3 13
1978-10-28 St. Mirren L 1-2 1451 1515 44.2% 26.5% 29.3% -9.7 4
1978-10-28 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1515 1451 29.3% 26.5% 44.2% +9.7 11
1978-10-28 Hibernian W 2-1 1631 1580 57.1% 25.8% 17.1% +4.6 12
1978-10-28 @ Rangers L 1-2 1580 1631 17.1% 25.8% 57.1% -4.6 13
1978-11-04 Dundee United W 1-0 1667 1601 58.5% 25.6% 15.9% +4.6 13
1978-11-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1601 1667 15.9% 25.6% 58.5% -4.5 15
1978-11-04 Motherwell L 1-2 1604 1442 66.0% 24.1% 9.9% -13.9 13
1978-11-04 @ Celtic W 2-1 1442 1604 9.9% 24.1% 66.0% +13.9 6
1978-11-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1575 1507 58.7% 25.6% 15.7% -12.5 13
1978-11-04 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1507 1575 15.7% 25.6% 58.7% +12.4 12
1978-11-04 Rangers W 1-0 1517 1636 36.7% 26.4% 36.8% +8.9 13
1978-11-04 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1636 1517 36.8% 26.4% 36.7% -8.9 12
1978-11-04 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1525 1522 52.2% 26.2% 21.6% -1.7 12
1978-11-04 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1522 1525 21.6% 26.2% 52.2% +1.7 11
1978-11-11 Dundee United W 3-1 1524 1596 43.1% 26.5% 30.4% +12.6 13
1978-11-11 @ Greenock Morton L 1-3 1596 1524 30.4% 26.5% 43.1% -12.6 15
1978-11-11 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1520 1526 51.2% 26.3% 22.5% -11.6 12
1978-11-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1526 1520 22.5% 26.3% 51.2% +11.6 15
1978-11-11 Aberdeen D 1-1 1456 1672 24.4% 25.7% 49.9% +1.2 7
1978-11-11 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1672 1456 49.9% 25.7% 24.4% -1.2 14
1978-11-11 Celtic D 1-1 1627 1590 55.8% 25.9% 18.3% -1.9 13
1978-11-11 @ Rangers D 1-1 1590 1627 18.3% 25.9% 55.8% +1.9 14
1978-11-11 Hibernian W 1-0 1523 1563 47.3% 26.4% 26.3% +6.9 14
1978-11-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1563 1523 26.3% 26.4% 47.3% -6.9 13
1978-11-18 Rangers D 0-0 1670 1625 56.5% 25.8% 17.6% -2.2 15
1978-11-18 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1625 1670 17.6% 25.8% 56.5% +2.2 14
1978-11-18 Motherwell W 2-1 1584 1457 63.5% 24.7% 11.8% +3.3 17
1978-11-18 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1457 1584 11.8% 24.7% 63.5% -3.3 7
1978-11-18 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1537 1508 54.9% 26.0% 19.1% +4.8 15
1978-11-18 @ Greenock Morton L 2-3 1508 1537 19.1% 26.0% 54.9% -4.8 12
1978-11-18 Celtic D 2-2 1556 1592 47.8% 26.4% 25.8% -0.8 14
1978-11-18 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1592 1556 25.8% 26.4% 47.8% +0.8 15
1978-11-18 St. Mirren W 2-1 1538 1530 52.7% 26.2% 21.1% +5.5 17
1978-11-18 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1530 1538 21.1% 26.2% 52.7% -5.5 14
1978-11-25 Hibernian W 4-1 1668 1555 62.4% 24.9% 12.7% +8.5 17
1978-11-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1555 1668 12.7% 24.9% 62.4% -8.5 14
1978-11-25 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1592 1543 57.0% 25.8% 17.3% +4.9 17
1978-11-25 @ Celtic L 0-1 1543 1592 17.3% 25.8% 57.0% -4.9 17
1978-11-25 St. Mirren D 1-1 1587 1525 58.1% 25.6% 16.2% -2.2 18
1978-11-25 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1525 1587 16.2% 25.6% 58.1% +2.2 15
1978-11-25 Motherwell W 3-2 1503 1454 57.0% 25.8% 17.3% +4.4 14
1978-11-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1454 1503 17.3% 25.8% 57.0% -4.4 7
1978-11-25 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1627 1541 60.2% 25.3% 14.4% +11.4 16
1978-11-25 @ Rangers L 0-3 1541 1627 14.4% 25.3% 60.2% -11.4 15
1978-12-09 Aberdeen D 0-0 1597 1677 42.2% 26.5% 31.3% -0.6 18
1978-12-09 @ Celtic D 0-0 1677 1597 31.3% 26.5% 42.2% +0.6 18
1978-12-09 Rangers W 3-0 1585 1639 45.5% 26.5% 28.0% +19.8 20
1978-12-09 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1639 1585 28.0% 26.5% 45.5% -19.8 16
1978-12-09 Motherwell D 2-2 1547 1449 61.2% 25.2% 13.7% -1.9 15
1978-12-09 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1449 1547 13.7% 25.2% 61.2% +1.9 8
1978-12-09 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1538 1530 52.8% 26.2% 21.1% +5.4 19
1978-12-09 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1530 1538 21.1% 26.2% 52.8% -5.4 15
1978-12-09 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1527 1508 54.0% 26.1% 20.0% +19.7 17
1978-12-09 @ St. Mirren L 0-4 1508 1527 20.0% 26.1% 54.0% -19.7 14
1978-12-16 St. Mirren D 1-1 1677 1547 63.8% 24.6% 11.6% -2.8 19
1978-12-16 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1547 1677 11.6% 24.6% 63.8% +2.8 18
1978-12-16 Dundee United D 1-1 1597 1605 51.0% 26.3% 22.7% -1.4 19
1978-12-16 @ Celtic D 1-1 1605 1597 22.7% 26.3% 51.0% +1.4 21
1978-12-16 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1545 1544 52.0% 26.2% 21.7% -1.7 16
1978-12-16 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1544 1545 21.7% 26.2% 52.0% +1.7 20
1978-12-16 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1451 1524 43.0% 26.5% 30.5% -0.6 9
1978-12-16 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1524 1451 30.5% 26.5% 43.0% +0.6 16
1978-12-16 Heart of Midlothian W 5-3 1619 1488 63.8% 24.6% 11.6% +4.7 18
1978-12-16 @ Rangers L 3-5 1488 1619 11.6% 24.6% 63.8% -4.7 14
1978-12-23 Hibernian W 2-1 1606 1543 58.2% 25.6% 16.2% +4.3 23
1978-12-23 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1543 1606 16.2% 25.6% 58.2% -4.3 16
1978-12-23 Celtic W 1-0 1525 1595 43.4% 26.5% 30.1% +7.6 18
1978-12-23 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1595 1525 30.1% 26.5% 43.4% -7.6 19
1978-12-23 Aberdeen D 0-0 1483 1674 27.3% 26.0% 46.8% +1.0 15
1978-12-23 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1674 1483 46.8% 26.0% 27.3% -1.0 20
1978-12-23 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1451 1545 40.1% 26.5% 33.4% -0.3 10
1978-12-23 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1545 1451 33.4% 26.5% 40.1% +0.3 21
1978-12-23 St. Mirren W 1-0 1624 1550 59.2% 25.5% 15.3% +4.4 20
1978-12-23 @ Rangers L 0-1 1550 1624 15.3% 25.5% 59.2% -4.4 18
1978-12-30 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1673 1533 64.5% 24.5% 11.0% -13.6 20
1978-12-30 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1533 1673 11.0% 24.5% 64.5% +13.6 20
1979-01-20 Rangers L 0-2 1546 1628 41.9% 26.5% 31.6% -18.5 20
1979-01-20 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1628 1546 31.6% 26.5% 41.9% +18.5 22
1979-01-20 Aberdeen D 1-1 1539 1660 36.4% 26.4% 37.1% +0.0 17
1979-01-20 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1660 1539 37.1% 26.4% 36.4% -0.0 21
1979-01-20 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1450 1484 48.0% 26.4% 25.6% +6.0 12
1979-01-20 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1484 1450 25.6% 26.4% 48.0% -6.0 15
1979-01-20 Dundee United W 2-1 1545 1611 44.0% 26.5% 29.5% +7.1 20
1979-01-20 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1611 1545 29.5% 26.5% 44.0% -7.1 23
1979-02-10 St. Mirren L 1-2 1478 1552 42.9% 26.5% 30.6% -9.4 15
1979-02-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1552 1478 30.6% 26.5% 42.9% +9.4 22
1979-02-10 Hibernian L 0-3 1456 1539 41.8% 26.5% 31.7% -26.8 12
1979-02-10 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1539 1456 31.7% 26.5% 41.8% +26.8 19
1979-02-10 Dundee United W 1-0 1647 1603 56.3% 25.9% 17.8% +5.0 24
1979-02-10 @ Rangers L 0-1 1603 1647 17.8% 25.9% 56.3% -5.0 23
1979-02-17 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1528 1546 49.9% 26.3% 23.8% -1.0 21
1979-02-17 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1546 1528 23.8% 26.3% 49.9% +1.0 22
1979-02-17 Motherwell W 1-0 1562 1430 63.9% 24.6% 11.5% +3.4 24
1979-02-17 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1430 1562 11.5% 24.6% 63.9% -3.4 12
1979-02-24 Rangers W 3-2 1469 1652 28.3% 26.0% 45.7% +9.4 17
1979-02-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1652 1469 45.7% 26.0% 28.3% -9.4 24
1979-02-24 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1566 1527 55.9% 25.9% 18.2% -1.9 20
1979-02-24 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1527 1566 18.2% 25.9% 55.9% +1.9 22
1979-02-24 Aberdeen D 2-2 1565 1660 40.1% 26.5% 33.4% -0.2 25
1979-02-24 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1660 1565 33.4% 26.5% 40.1% +0.2 22
1979-02-28 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1660 1546 62.5% 24.9% 12.6% +3.5 24
1979-02-28 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1546 1660 12.6% 24.9% 62.5% -3.5 22
1979-03-03 Aberdeen W 1-0 1588 1663 42.7% 26.5% 30.8% +7.8 21
1979-03-03 @ Celtic L 0-1 1663 1588 30.8% 26.5% 42.7% -7.8 24
1979-03-03 Dundee United W 1-0 1564 1598 47.9% 26.4% 25.7% +6.8 22
1979-03-03 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1598 1564 25.7% 26.4% 47.9% -6.8 23
1979-03-03 Motherwell D 0-0 1543 1426 62.7% 24.9% 12.4% -3.0 23
1979-03-03 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1426 1543 12.4% 24.9% 62.7% +3.0 13
1979-03-07 Dundee United L 0-4 1429 1592 30.8% 26.2% 43.0% -27.7 13
1979-03-07 @ Motherwell W 4-0 1592 1429 43.0% 26.2% 30.8% +27.7 25
1979-03-10 Greenock Morton W 4-1 1619 1529 60.6% 25.3% 14.1% +9.4 27
1979-03-10 @ Dundee United L 1-4 1529 1619 14.1% 25.3% 60.6% -9.4 22
1979-03-10 St. Mirren L 0-3 1402 1565 30.7% 26.2% 43.1% -21.1 13
1979-03-10 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1565 1402 43.1% 26.2% 30.7% +21.1 27
1979-03-14 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1629 1540 60.5% 25.3% 14.2% +3.9 29
1979-03-14 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1540 1629 14.2% 25.3% 60.5% -3.9 23
1979-03-14 Motherwell W 6-0 1519 1380 64.4% 24.5% 11.1% +17.2 24
1979-03-14 @ Greenock Morton L 0-6 1380 1519 11.1% 24.5% 64.4% -17.2 13
1979-03-14 Hibernian W 1-0 1642 1570 59.0% 25.5% 15.5% +4.4 26
1979-03-14 @ Rangers L 0-1 1570 1642 15.5% 25.5% 59.0% -4.4 22
1979-03-17 Dundee United L 0-2 1656 1633 54.3% 26.1% 19.6% -23.2 24
1979-03-17 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1633 1656 19.6% 26.1% 54.3% +23.1 31
1979-03-17 Motherwell W 2-1 1596 1363 70.3% 22.6% 7.0% +2.0 23
1979-03-17 @ Celtic L 1-2 1363 1596 7.0% 22.6% 70.3% -2.0 13
1979-03-17 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1566 1478 60.4% 25.3% 14.3% -2.4 23
1979-03-17 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1478 1566 14.3% 25.3% 60.4% +2.4 18
1979-03-17 Rangers L 0-2 1536 1647 37.9% 26.5% 35.6% -17.1 23
1979-03-17 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1647 1536 35.6% 26.5% 37.9% +17.1 28
1979-03-17 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1586 1537 56.9% 25.8% 17.3% +8.0 29
1979-03-17 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1537 1586 17.3% 25.8% 56.9% -8.0 24
1979-03-24 Dundee United W 3-1 1529 1656 35.5% 26.4% 38.1% +14.8 26
1979-03-24 @ Greenock Morton L 1-3 1656 1529 38.1% 26.4% 35.5% -14.8 31
1979-03-24 Hibernian L 2-3 1594 1564 55.1% 26.0% 18.9% -11.1 29
1979-03-24 @ St. Mirren W 3-2 1564 1594 18.9% 26.0% 55.1% +11.1 25
1979-03-26 Motherwell W 8-0 1633 1361 72.5% 21.7% 5.8% +11.7 26
1979-03-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-8 1361 1633 5.8% 21.7% 72.5% -11.7 13
1979-03-27 Rangers L 1-2 1583 1664 42.0% 26.5% 31.5% -9.2 29
1979-03-27 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1664 1583 31.5% 26.5% 42.0% +9.2 30
1979-03-28 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1597 1543 57.4% 25.7% 16.9% +13.1 25
1979-03-28 @ Celtic L 0-3 1543 1597 16.9% 25.7% 57.4% -13.1 26
1979-03-28 Hibernian L 1-2 1481 1575 40.2% 26.5% 33.3% -8.9 18
1979-03-28 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1575 1481 33.3% 26.5% 40.2% +8.9 27
1979-03-28 Dundee United L 1-2 1519 1641 36.3% 26.4% 37.3% -8.3 23
1979-03-28 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1641 1519 37.3% 26.4% 36.3% +8.3 33
1979-03-31 Motherwell W 2-1 1649 1350 73.9% 21.0% 5.1% +1.4 35
1979-03-31 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1350 1649 5.1% 21.0% 73.9% -1.4 13
1979-03-31 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1530 1472 57.8% 25.7% 16.5% -1.6 27
1979-03-31 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1472 1530 16.5% 25.7% 57.8% +1.6 19
1979-03-31 Celtic W 2-1 1584 1611 48.8% 26.4% 24.8% +6.2 29
1979-03-31 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1611 1584 24.8% 26.4% 48.8% -6.2 25
1979-03-31 St. Mirren W 3-1 1511 1574 44.4% 26.5% 29.1% +12.2 25
1979-03-31 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1574 1511 29.1% 26.5% 44.4% -12.2 29
1979-04-04 Aberdeen L 0-1 1529 1644 37.2% 26.5% 36.4% -8.9 27
1979-04-04 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1644 1529 36.4% 26.5% 37.2% +8.9 28
1979-04-04 Dundee United W 2-0 1473 1651 28.9% 26.1% 45.0% +19.5 21
1979-04-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1651 1473 45.0% 26.1% 28.9% -19.5 35
1979-04-04 St. Mirren L 0-2 1590 1561 54.9% 26.0% 19.1% -23.4 29
1979-04-04 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1561 1590 19.1% 26.0% 54.9% +23.4 31
1979-04-04 Celtic L 3-4 1348 1604 20.4% 25.2% 54.5% -4.8 13
1979-04-04 @ Motherwell W 4-3 1604 1348 54.5% 25.2% 20.4% +4.8 27
1979-04-07 Hibernian D 0-0 1653 1566 60.3% 25.3% 14.4% -2.7 29
1979-04-07 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1566 1653 14.4% 25.3% 60.3% +2.7 30
1979-04-07 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1609 1523 60.2% 25.3% 14.4% +7.9 29
1979-04-07 @ Celtic L 0-2 1523 1609 14.4% 25.3% 60.2% -7.9 25
1979-04-07 St. Mirren W 2-0 1631 1585 56.7% 25.8% 17.5% +9.3 37
1979-04-07 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1585 1631 17.5% 25.8% 56.7% -9.3 31
1979-04-07 Motherwell W 3-0 1493 1343 65.1% 24.3% 10.6% +8.5 23
1979-04-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1343 1493 10.6% 24.3% 65.1% -8.6 13
1979-04-07 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1673 1520 65.4% 24.2% 10.4% -3.0 31
1979-04-07 @ Rangers D 1-1 1520 1673 10.4% 24.2% 65.4% +3.0 28
1979-04-10 Motherwell W 3-0 1670 1335 75.6% 20.1% 4.3% +3.3 33
1979-04-10 @ Rangers L 0-3 1335 1670 4.3% 20.1% 75.6% -3.3 13
1979-04-11 Celtic W 2-1 1640 1617 54.4% 26.1% 19.6% +5.1 39
1979-04-11 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1617 1640 19.6% 26.1% 54.4% -5.1 29
1979-04-11 St. Mirren W 1-0 1523 1575 45.6% 26.5% 27.9% +7.2 30
1979-04-11 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1575 1523 27.9% 26.5% 45.6% -7.2 31
1979-04-11 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1501 1515 50.3% 26.3% 23.3% -21.6 23
1979-04-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1515 1501 23.3% 26.3% 50.3% +21.6 27
1979-04-14 Hibernian D 2-2 1530 1569 47.3% 26.4% 26.2% -0.8 31
1979-04-14 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1569 1530 26.2% 26.4% 47.3% +0.8 31
1979-04-14 Dundee United L 0-3 1480 1646 30.4% 26.2% 43.5% -21.0 23
1979-04-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1646 1480 43.5% 26.2% 30.4% +21.0 41
1979-04-14 Rangers W 2-0 1332 1673 13.6% 23.7% 62.7% +26.2 15
1979-04-14 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1673 1332 62.7% 23.7% 13.6% -26.2 33
1979-04-14 Aberdeen L 0-1 1537 1650 37.4% 26.5% 36.1% -9.0 27
1979-04-14 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1650 1537 36.1% 26.5% 37.4% +9.0 31
1979-04-14 Celtic L 0-1 1568 1612 46.8% 26.5% 26.8% -10.7 31
1979-04-14 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1612 1568 26.8% 26.5% 46.8% +10.7 31
1979-04-18 Hibernian W 3-0 1529 1570 47.1% 26.4% 26.4% +18.9 33
1979-04-18 @ Greenock Morton L 0-3 1570 1529 26.4% 26.4% 47.1% -18.9 31
1979-04-18 Celtic L 0-3 1459 1623 30.6% 26.2% 43.2% -21.1 23
1979-04-18 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1623 1459 43.2% 26.2% 30.6% +21.1 33
1979-04-18 Aberdeen D 1-1 1358 1659 16.5% 24.4% 59.1% +2.2 16
1979-04-18 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1659 1358 59.1% 24.4% 16.5% -2.2 32
1979-04-21 Celtic D 1-1 1657 1644 53.3% 26.1% 20.5% -1.7 33
1979-04-21 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1644 1657 20.5% 26.1% 53.3% +1.7 34
1979-04-21 Rangers L 1-2 1667 1647 54.0% 26.1% 20.0% -11.5 41
1979-04-21 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1647 1667 20.0% 26.1% 54.0% +11.5 35
1979-04-21 Motherwell W 4-0 1551 1360 67.9% 23.5% 8.6% +9.1 33
1979-04-21 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1360 1551 8.6% 23.5% 67.9% -9.1 16
1979-04-21 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1528 1548 49.6% 26.4% 24.1% +6.0 29
1979-04-21 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1548 1528 24.1% 26.4% 49.6% -6.0 33
1979-04-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1558 1438 62.9% 24.8% 12.2% +3.4 33
1979-04-21 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1438 1558 12.2% 24.8% 62.9% -3.4 23
1979-04-25 Rangers W 2-1 1656 1659 51.5% 26.2% 22.2% +5.7 35
1979-04-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1659 1656 22.2% 26.2% 51.5% -5.7 35
1979-04-25 St. Mirren W 2-1 1645 1561 60.1% 25.4% 14.5% +4.0 36
1979-04-25 @ Celtic L 1-2 1561 1645 14.5% 25.4% 60.1% -4.0 33
1979-04-25 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1655 1434 69.7% 22.9% 7.4% +2.1 43
1979-04-25 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1434 1655 7.4% 22.9% 69.7% -2.1 23
1979-04-25 Hibernian W 6-1 1534 1560 48.9% 26.4% 24.8% +24.0 31
1979-04-25 @ Partick Thistle L 1-6 1560 1534 24.8% 26.4% 48.9% -24.0 33
1979-04-28 St. Mirren L 1-2 1661 1557 61.7% 25.1% 13.2% -13.1 35
1979-04-28 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1557 1661 13.2% 25.1% 61.7% +13.1 35
1979-04-28 Dundee United W 2-1 1649 1657 51.0% 26.3% 22.7% +5.8 38
1979-04-28 @ Celtic L 1-2 1657 1649 22.7% 26.3% 51.0% -5.8 43
1979-04-28 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1536 1558 49.4% 26.4% 24.2% +6.5 35
1979-04-28 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1558 1536 24.2% 26.4% 49.4% -6.5 31
1979-04-28 Greenock Morton D 3-3 1351 1542 27.2% 26.0% 46.8% +0.6 17
1979-04-28 @ Motherwell D 3-3 1542 1351 46.8% 26.0% 27.2% -0.6 34
1979-04-28 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1653 1432 69.7% 22.9% 7.4% +7.9 37
1979-04-28 @ Rangers L 0-4 1432 1653 7.4% 22.9% 69.7% -7.9 23
1979-05-02 Heart of Midlothian W 5-0 1648 1424 69.8% 22.8% 7.3% +9.6 37
1979-05-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1424 1648 7.3% 22.8% 69.8% -9.6 23
1979-05-02 Hibernian W 3-1 1655 1543 62.4% 24.9% 12.7% +6.0 40
1979-05-02 @ Celtic L 1-3 1543 1655 12.7% 24.9% 62.4% -6.1 35
1979-05-02 Rangers L 1-2 1351 1661 15.9% 24.3% 59.8% -4.2 17
1979-05-02 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1661 1351 59.8% 24.3% 15.9% +4.2 39
1979-05-02 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1570 1551 53.9% 26.1% 20.0% -1.7 36
1979-05-02 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1551 1570 20.0% 26.1% 53.9% +1.7 32
1979-05-05 Aberdeen D 2-2 1651 1658 51.2% 26.3% 22.5% -1.1 44
1979-05-05 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1658 1651 22.5% 26.3% 51.2% +1.1 38
1979-05-05 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1553 1415 64.3% 24.5% 11.2% +6.2 34
1979-05-05 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1415 1553 11.2% 24.5% 64.3% -6.2 23
1979-05-05 Celtic W 1-0 1665 1661 52.3% 26.2% 21.5% +5.9 41
1979-05-05 @ Rangers L 0-1 1661 1665 21.5% 26.2% 52.3% -5.9 40
1979-05-07 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1409 1541 34.8% 26.4% 38.9% -8.5 23
1979-05-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1541 1409 38.9% 26.4% 34.8% +8.5 36
1979-05-07 Celtic L 1-2 1559 1655 39.9% 26.5% 33.6% -8.9 34
1979-05-07 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1655 1559 33.6% 26.5% 39.9% +8.9 42
1979-05-07 Aberdeen W 2-0 1671 1659 53.2% 26.1% 20.7% +10.7 43
1979-05-07 @ Rangers L 0-2 1659 1671 20.7% 26.1% 53.2% -10.7 38
1979-05-11 Aberdeen L 1-2 1550 1648 39.7% 26.5% 33.8% -8.8 34
1979-05-11 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1648 1550 33.8% 26.5% 39.7% +8.9 40
1979-05-11 Celtic L 0-2 1568 1664 39.9% 26.5% 33.6% -17.8 36
1979-05-11 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1664 1568 33.6% 26.5% 39.9% +17.8 44
1979-05-14 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1682 1400 73.0% 21.5% 5.5% +1.6 46
1979-05-14 @ Celtic L 0-1 1400 1682 5.5% 21.5% 73.0% -1.6 23
1979-05-21 Rangers W 4-2 1684 1682 52.1% 26.2% 21.7% +8.6 48
1979-05-21 @ Celtic L 2-4 1682 1684 21.7% 26.2% 52.1% -8.6 43
1979-05-23 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1673 1541 63.8% 24.6% 11.5% +3.4 45
1979-05-23 @ Rangers L 0-1 1541 1673 11.5% 24.6% 63.8% -3.4 34
1979-05-31 Rangers W 2-1 1537 1676 33.8% 26.3% 39.8% +8.9 37
1979-05-31 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1676 1537 39.8% 26.3% 33.8% -8.9 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-10-21 7.63% Heart of Midlothian 1475 2 @ Aberdeen 1691 1
2 1978-11-04 9.94% Motherwell 1442 2 @ Celtic 1604 1
3 1978-12-30 11.03% Greenock Morton 1533 2 @ Aberdeen 1673 1
4 1978-08-12 11.63% St. Mirren 1514 1 @ Rangers 1644 0
5 1979-04-28 13.19% St. Mirren 1557 2 @ Aberdeen 1661 1
6 1979-04-14 13.63% @ Motherwell 1332 2 Rangers 1673 0
7 1978-09-16 14.63% Hibernian 1561 1 @ Celtic 1644 0
8 1978-10-14 15.27% Motherwell 1448 2 @ Greenock Morton 1522 1
9 1978-11-04 15.74% Heart of Midlothian 1507 2 @ Hibernian 1575 1
10 1978-09-09 16.57% Greenock Morton 1501 2 @ Dundee United 1559 1
11 1979-03-24 18.93% Hibernian 1564 3 @ St. Mirren 1594 2
12 1979-04-04 19.11% St. Mirren 1561 2 @ Hibernian 1590 0
13 1979-03-17 19.62% Dundee United 1633 2 @ Aberdeen 1656 0
14 1979-04-21 19.95% Rangers 1647 2 @ Dundee United 1667 1
15 1978-08-19 20.13% Motherwell 1510 1 @ St. Mirren 1528 0
16 1978-08-12 20.37% Partick Thistle 1507 1 @ Motherwell 1523 0
17 1978-08-26 21.40% St. Mirren 1516 3 @ Greenock Morton 1521 1
18 1978-09-23 21.49% Heart of Midlothian 1471 1 @ Motherwell 1474 0
19 1978-11-11 22.54% Partick Thistle 1526 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1520 0
20 1979-04-11 23.34% Partick Thistle 1515 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1501 0
21 1978-09-23 24.19% Dundee United 1557 3 @ St. Mirren 1536 1
22 1979-04-14 26.77% Celtic 1612 1 @ St. Mirren 1568 0
23 1978-08-12 27.13% Celtic 1582 2 @ Greenock Morton 1535 1
24 1978-10-14 27.86% @ St. Mirren 1515 2 Aberdeen 1701 1
25 1979-02-24 28.27% @ Heart of Midlothian 1469 3 Rangers 1652 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-08-26 29.06 Celtic 5 1606 31.85% @ Motherwell 1 1523 41.64% 26.51%
2 1979-03-07 27.69 Dundee United 4 1592 42.99% @ Motherwell 0 1429 30.81% 26.20%
3 1979-02-10 26.75 Hibernian 3 1539 31.73% @ Motherwell 0 1456 41.76% 26.51%
4 1979-04-14 26.16 @ Motherwell 2 1332 13.63% Rangers 0 1673 62.71% 23.66%
5 1979-04-25 23.97 @ Partick Thistle 6 1534 48.87% Hibernian 1 1560 24.75% 26.39%
6 1979-04-04 23.37 St. Mirren 2 1561 19.11% @ Hibernian 0 1590 54.89% 26.00%
7 1979-03-17 23.15 Dundee United 2 1633 19.62% @ Aberdeen 0 1656 54.33% 26.05%
8 1979-04-11 21.58 Partick Thistle 2 1515 23.34% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1501 50.34% 26.32%
9 1979-03-10 21.14 St. Mirren 3 1565 43.10% @ Motherwell 0 1402 30.71% 26.19%
10 1979-04-18 21.10 Celtic 3 1623 43.19% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1459 30.62% 26.19%
11 1979-04-14 20.96 Dundee United 3 1646 43.45% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1480 30.37% 26.18%
12 1978-12-09 19.79 @ Dundee United 3 1585 45.51% Rangers 0 1639 28.01% 26.48%
13 1978-12-09 19.73 @ St. Mirren 4 1527 53.97% Heart of Midlothian 0 1508 19.95% 26.08%
14 1979-04-04 19.50 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1473 28.92% Dundee United 0 1651 45.00% 26.08%
15 1978-08-26 19.38 St. Mirren 3 1516 21.40% @ Greenock Morton 1 1521 52.40% 26.20%
16 1979-04-18 18.91 @ Greenock Morton 3 1529 47.14% Hibernian 0 1570 26.42% 26.44%
17 1979-01-20 18.46 Rangers 2 1628 31.63% @ Greenock Morton 0 1546 41.86% 26.51%
18 1978-09-23 18.40 Dundee United 3 1557 24.19% @ St. Mirren 1 1536 49.45% 26.36%
19 1978-08-12 17.95 Aberdeen 4 1670 42.81% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1508 30.98% 26.21%
20 1979-05-11 17.78 Celtic 2 1664 33.57% @ St. Mirren 0 1568 39.93% 26.49%
21 1978-10-28 17.31 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1490 35.00% Celtic 0 1621 38.62% 26.39%
22 1979-03-14 17.17 @ Greenock Morton 6 1519 64.38% Motherwell 0 1380 11.12% 24.51%
23 1979-03-17 17.08 Rangers 2 1647 35.63% @ Partick Thistle 0 1536 37.90% 26.46%
24 1979-03-24 14.83 @ Greenock Morton 3 1529 35.54% Dundee United 1 1656 38.06% 26.40%
25 1978-10-21 14.57 Heart of Midlothian 2 1475 7.63% @ Aberdeen 1 1691 69.38% 22.99%