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1903-04 Division One Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Third Lanark

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Third Lanark

7.64 points above expected

43 points · 35.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hibernian

9.37 points below expected

19 points · 28.37 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Third Lanark 26 20 3 3 43 61 26 +35 35.36 +7.64
2 Heart of Midlothian 26 18 3 5 39 63 35 +28 33.97 +5.03
3 Rangers 26 16 6 4 38 80 33 +47 36.94 +1.06
4 Celtic 26 18 2 6 38 69 28 +41 33.17 +4.83
5 Dundee 26 13 2 11 28 54 45 +9 32.38 -4.38
6 St. Mirren 26 11 5 10 27 45 38 +7 25.14 +1.86
7 Partick Thistle 26 10 7 9 27 43 40 +3 25.52 +1.48
8 Queen's Park 26 6 9 11 21 28 47 -19 22.03 -1.03
9 Port Glasgow Athletic 26 8 4 14 20 33 49 -16 22.49 -2.49
10 Hibernian 26 7 5 14 19 31 42 -11 28.37 -9.37
11 Greenock Morton 26 7 4 15 18 31 51 -20 17.65 +0.35
12 Airdrieonians (old) 26 7 4 15 18 32 62 -30 17.28 +0.72
13 Motherwell 26 6 3 17 15 26 61 -35 15.64 -0.64
14 Kilmarnock 26 4 5 17 13 26 65 -39 18.06 -5.06

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Third Lanark 1828 43 35.36 +7.64 98.8% 22 29 33 35 38 41 49
Rangers 1823 38 36.94 +1.06 65.2% 22 31 34 37 40 43 51
Celtic 1786 38 33.17 +4.83 91.9% 17 27 31 33 36 39 48
Heart of Midlothian 1784 39 33.97 +5.03 92.1% 19 27 31 34 37 40 48
St. Mirren 1627 27 25.14 +1.86 71.9% 11 18 22 25 28 32 40
Dundee 1588 28 32.38 -4.38 16.0% 17 26 30 32 35 39 46
Partick Thistle 1573 27 25.52 +1.48 68.4% 10 19 23 26 28 32 40
Hibernian 1497 19 28.37 -9.37 1.4% 13 22 26 28 31 35 42
Port Glasgow Athletic 1490 20 22.49 -2.49 30.9% 8 16 20 22 25 29 38
Queen's Park 1470 21 22.03 -1.03 45.2% 7 15 19 22 25 29 38
Greenock Morton 1404 18 17.65 +0.35 59.1% 5 11 15 18 20 24 31
Motherwell 1391 15 15.64 -0.64 49.0% 4 10 13 16 18 22 29
Airdrieonians (old) 1379 18 17.28 +0.72 63.3% 5 11 15 17 20 24 32
Kilmarnock 1289 13 18.06 -5.06 11.0% 4 12 16 18 21 24 33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team A( CEL DUN GM HOM HIB KIL MOT PT PGA QP RAN SM TL
Airdrieonians (old) —
1-0-1
0.90
1-0-1
1.19
0-0-2
2.61
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
1.96
1-1-0
1.86
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
1.93
0-1-1
1.03
Celtic
1-0-1
4.76
 —
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.37
2-0-0
4.66
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.86
0-2-0
2.40
2-0-0
3.40
0-0-2
2.75
Dundee
1-0-1
4.47
1-0-1
2.43
 —
1-1-0
4.37
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.67
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
4.06
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
3.98
0-0-2
2.44
Greenock Morton
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.13
0-1-1
1.28
 —
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
1.61
1-1-0
2.23
0-1-1
3.03
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.37
1-1-0
2.44
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
1.90
1-0-1
0.83
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-0
4.56
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
4.65
 —
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
4.83
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
4.35
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-1
2.79
Hibernian
2-0-0
4.34
0-0-2
3.27
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
1.93
 —
0-2-0
4.07
1-0-1
4.06
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.87
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
3.42
0-0-2
2.12
Kilmarnock
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.38
0-1-1
3.42
0-0-2
0.83
0-2-0
1.58
 —
1-0-1
3.74
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
0.56
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
0.89
Motherwell
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
0.99
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
1.90
 —
1-1-0
1.48
1-0-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
1.00
1-1-0
1.92
0-0-2
0.79
Partick Thistle
1-1-0
3.69
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
1.89
2-0-0
3.68
0-1-1
2.07
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
4.16
 —
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.63
Port Glasgow Athletic
0-1-1
3.79
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
1.90
2-0-0
3.27
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
1.77
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.78
0-0-2
2.41
 —
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
1.17
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
1.20
Queen's Park
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
1.59
0-1-1
3.20
0-1-1
1.30
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.62
 —
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.46
Rangers
2-0-0
4.38
0-2-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.26
1-1-0
4.16
1-1-0
5.12
2-0-0
4.66
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.35
 —
0-1-1
4.33
1-0-1
3.34
St. Mirren
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
1.67
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
3.85
0-1-1
3.72
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
1.32
 —
0-0-2
1.42
Third Lanark
1-1-0
4.62
2-0-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
4.84
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.87
1-1-0
4.01
2-0-0
4.45
1-1-0
4.19
1-0-1
2.30
2-0-0
4.23
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +5.2
Allowed 0.83 -7.3
Differential 0.94 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%6.32%4.40%3.30%2.20%1.92%21.98%
16.32%7.69%7.97%5.22%1.92%2.75%31.87%
24.40%7.97%5.49%1.65%1.65%0.82%21.98%
33.30%5.22%1.65%—1.10%—11.26%
42.20%1.92%1.65%1.10%—0.27%7.14%
5+1.92%2.75%0.82%—0.27%—5.77%
Total21.98%31.87%21.98%11.26%7.14%5.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.71 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.38
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%30.77%
13.85%7.69%7.69%11.54%——30.77%
23.85%11.54%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
3—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%26.92%19.23%23.08%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.38 -1.15
SD 1.11 1.50 2.07
CV 0.90 0.63 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
111.54%—7.69%7.69%——26.92%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
37.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
47.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
5+3.85%11.54%————15.38%
Total38.46%30.77%19.23%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.65 1.08 +1.58
SD 1.81 1.13 2.25
CV 0.68 1.05 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
17.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%7.69%38.46%
2—7.69%——7.69%—15.38%
37.69%11.54%————19.23%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total23.08%38.46%15.38%3.85%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.73 +0.35
SD 1.74 1.76 2.80
CV 0.84 1.01 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%——7.69%30.77%
13.85%11.54%11.54%7.69%—3.85%38.46%
2—7.69%—7.69%——15.38%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%42.31%23.08%15.38%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.96 -0.77
SD 1.13 1.51 2.05
CV 0.95 0.77 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%3.85%—7.69%
13.85%7.69%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
27.69%19.23%3.85%———30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
5+7.69%3.85%————11.54%
Total23.08%42.31%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 1.35 +1.08
SD 1.53 1.23 2.37
CV 0.63 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%15.38%3.85%——34.62%
1—7.69%3.85%15.38%——26.92%
27.69%11.54%7.69%—3.85%—30.77%
3———————
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%26.92%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.62 -0.42
SD 1.17 1.10 1.79
CV 0.98 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%11.54%—34.62%
1—7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%30.77%
23.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%23.08%23.08%19.23%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.50 -1.50
SD 0.85 1.61 1.94
CV 0.85 0.64 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%34.62%
111.54%—19.23%3.85%—3.85%38.46%
27.69%—3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
3——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%3.85%30.77%11.54%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.35 -1.35
SD 0.94 2.00 2.23
CV 0.94 0.85 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
13.85%11.54%3.85%—7.69%—26.92%
23.85%7.69%15.38%———26.92%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total15.38%42.31%26.92%3.85%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.54 +0.12
SD 1.44 1.17 2.21
CV 0.87 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%38.46%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%11.54%15.38%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.88 -0.62
SD 1.28 1.86 2.32
CV 1.01 0.99 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%7.69%—3.85%26.92%
111.54%19.23%11.54%7.69%——50.00%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%26.92%23.08%19.23%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.81 -0.73
SD 0.98 1.79 1.93
CV 0.91 0.99 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
1—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
23.85%3.85%11.54%———19.23%
37.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
4—3.85%—3.85%—3.85%11.54%
5+11.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
Total26.92%38.46%23.08%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.08 1.27 +1.81
SD 1.96 1.19 2.35
CV 0.64 0.93 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
17.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
23.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
4———————
5+—3.85%3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
Total30.77%26.92%23.08%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.46 +0.27
SD 1.59 1.42 1.99
CV 0.92 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
115.38%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
211.54%15.38%3.85%———30.77%
37.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
43.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total42.31%30.77%19.23%—7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 1.00 +1.35
SD 1.57 1.17 1.74
CV 0.67 1.17 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Third Lanark 43 35.36 +7.64
2 Heart of Midlothian 39 33.97 +5.03
3 Celtic 38 33.17 +4.83
4 St. Mirren 27 25.14 +1.86
5 Partick Thistle 27 25.52 +1.48

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hibernian 19 28.37 -9.37
2 Kilmarnock 13 18.06 -5.06
3 Dundee 28 32.38 -4.38
4 Port Glasgow Athletic 20 22.49 -2.49
5 Queen's Park 21 22.03 -1.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 3 Oct 24 – Nov 14 1 in 35
2 St. Mirren 3 Jan 9 – Jan 30 1 in 34
3 Greenock Morton 3 Oct 31 – Nov 14 1 in 23
4 Dundee 5 Nov 7 – Dec 5 1 in 23
5 Port Glasgow Athletic 3 Sep 26 – Oct 10 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kilmarnock 6 Oct 24 – Nov 28 1 in 171
2 Motherwell 7 Aug 15 – Sep 26 1 in 81
3 Hibernian 5 Dec 26 – Feb 20 1 in 44
4 Greenock Morton 6 Nov 21 – Dec 26 1 in 38
5 Dundee 3 Sep 26 – Oct 10 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Third Lanark 16 Aug 22 – Jan 4 1 in 237
2 Partick Thistle 5 Aug 22 – Sep 19 1 in 16
3 Motherwell 4 Oct 17 – Nov 14 1 in 11
4 Airdrieonians (old) 3 Sep 12 – Sep 26 1 in 8
5 Queen's Park 5 Jan 30 – Mar 19 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 9 Dec 19 – Apr 30 1 in 130
2 Dundee 4 Dec 12 – Jan 9 1 in 38
3 Port Glasgow Athletic 7 Oct 17 – Dec 5 1 in 32
4 Queen's Park 6 Nov 28 – Jan 2 1 in 28
5 Kilmarnock 10 Oct 24 – Dec 26 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Third Lanark22.46%25.41%21.61%14.86%9.47%4.02%1.50%0.47%0.15%0.04%0.01%———
Heart of Midlothian14.04%19.43%19.73%18.58%15.02%7.69%3.46%1.36%0.53%0.12%0.03%0.01%——
Rangers45.11%22.96%14.68%9.09%5.29%2.00%0.62%0.15%0.08%0.02%————
Celtic10.98%16.87%19.88%20.02%15.99%9.18%4.61%1.57%0.63%0.22%0.04%0.01%——
Dundee6.29%11.70%15.78%20.90%21.28%12.56%6.23%3.34%1.44%0.36%0.08%0.02%0.02%—
St. Mirren0.08%0.51%1.22%3.14%6.86%14.48%20.78%19.45%14.50%9.25%5.11%2.71%1.50%0.41%
Partick Thistle0.14%0.74%1.49%3.51%7.74%15.60%20.47%19.80%13.84%8.33%4.12%2.66%1.08%0.48%
Queen's Park0.01%0.05%0.16%0.70%1.76%4.53%8.69%13.91%18.56%20.12%14.34%8.95%5.56%2.66%
Port Glasgow Athletic0.03%0.06%0.23%0.70%1.91%5.21%10.81%16.06%20.33%18.13%12.18%8.01%4.22%2.12%
Hibernian0.86%2.26%5.21%8.46%14.33%23.31%18.87%13.14%7.87%3.59%1.38%0.51%0.18%0.03%
Greenock Morton———0.01%0.16%0.61%1.37%3.54%7.09%12.16%18.70%19.29%20.32%16.75%
Airdrieonians (old)——0.01%0.01%0.07%0.34%0.94%2.84%5.33%9.86%16.09%20.39%23.52%20.60%
Motherwell—————0.10%0.42%1.01%2.79%6.09%10.26%16.63%23.08%39.62%
Kilmarnock—0.01%—0.02%0.12%0.37%1.23%3.36%6.86%11.71%17.66%20.81%20.52%17.33%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.12%
Strong Edge
56.04%17.03%26.92%
Elo Value
Home Edge
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0104.19500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.80 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.63+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Third Lanark, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.24 * Wild Swing: 6.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.42 * Way Off: 2.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.27 points
Some Luck
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Close
01.514
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.75%
Third Lanark
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.35%
Hibernian
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.95
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
87%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Very Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.512
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.21
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.22
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.088
Well Within Noise
00.1100.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Airdrieonians (old) 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee 100%
Greenock Morton 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Motherwell 100%
Partick Thistle 100%
Port Glasgow Athletic 100%
Queen's Park 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Mirren 100%
Third Lanark 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1903-08-15 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1596 1542 65.5% 17.9% 16.7% +6.9 2
1903-08-15 @ Celtic L 1-2 1542 1596 16.7% 17.9% 65.5% -6.9 0
1903-08-15 Greenock Morton W 6-0 1688 1424 77.3% 17.1% 5.6% +13.6 2
1903-08-15 @ Dundee L 0-6 1424 1688 5.6% 17.1% 77.3% -13.6 0
1903-08-15 St. Mirren W 5-1 1696 1545 72.2% 17.6% 10.2% +13.8 2
1903-08-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-5 1545 1696 10.2% 17.6% 72.2% -13.8 0
1903-08-15 Queen's Park W 2-1 1523 1520 60.8% 18.0% 21.2% +8.6 2
1903-08-15 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1520 1523 21.2% 18.0% 60.8% -8.6 0
1903-08-15 Airdrieonians (old) L 1-2 1426 1426 60.5% 18.0% 21.5% -21.3 0
1903-08-15 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1426 1426 21.5% 18.0% 60.5% +21.3 2
1903-08-15 Hibernian W 3-1 1496 1735 29.9% 17.9% 52.1% +32.0 2
1903-08-15 @ Port Glasgow Athletic L 1-3 1735 1496 52.1% 17.9% 29.9% -32.0 0
1903-08-15 Third Lanark W 4-3 1684 1630 65.5% 17.9% 16.7% +6.4 2
1903-08-15 @ Rangers L 3-4 1630 1684 16.7% 17.9% 65.5% -6.4 0
1903-08-22 Rangers L 1-3 1447 1690 29.3% 17.9% 52.8% -19.6 2
1903-08-22 @ Airdrieonians (old) W 3-1 1690 1447 52.8% 17.9% 29.3% +19.6 4
1903-08-22 Queen's Park W 3-0 1702 1511 74.3% 17.4% 8.3% +10.4 4
1903-08-22 @ Dundee L 0-3 1511 1702 8.3% 17.4% 74.3% -10.4 0
1903-08-22 Kilmarnock W 4-2 1411 1532 45.9% 18.1% 36.0% +20.9 2
1903-08-22 @ Greenock Morton L 2-4 1532 1411 36.0% 18.1% 45.9% -20.9 2
1903-08-22 Motherwell W 2-1 1703 1404 78.5% 16.9% 4.7% +2.0 2
1903-08-22 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1404 1703 4.7% 16.9% 78.5% -2.0 0
1903-08-22 Port Glasgow Athletic W 1-0 1535 1528 61.2% 18.0% 20.8% +8.9 2
1903-08-22 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1528 1535 20.8% 18.0% 61.2% -8.9 2
1903-08-22 Celtic L 0-1 1531 1603 52.4% 18.1% 29.6% -19.7 0
1903-08-22 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1603 1531 29.6% 18.1% 52.4% +19.7 4
1903-08-22 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1624 1709 50.6% 18.1% 31.3% +12.0 2
1903-08-22 @ Third Lanark L 1-2 1709 1624 31.3% 18.1% 50.6% -12.0 2
1903-08-29 Hibernian L 0-2 1427 1705 25.3% 17.8% 56.8% -20.0 2
1903-08-29 @ Airdrieonians (old) W 2-0 1705 1427 56.8% 17.8% 25.3% +20.0 4
1903-08-29 Third Lanark L 1-3 1623 1636 59.1% 18.0% 22.9% -36.1 4
1903-08-29 @ Celtic W 3-1 1636 1623 22.9% 18.0% 59.1% +36.1 4
1903-08-29 Dundee W 4-2 1697 1712 58.9% 18.0% 23.1% +14.3 4
1903-08-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1712 1697 23.1% 18.0% 58.9% -14.3 4
1903-08-29 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1511 1544 57.0% 18.0% 25.0% -34.8 2
1903-08-29 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1544 1511 25.0% 18.0% 57.0% +34.8 4
1903-08-29 Queen's Park L 2-4 1402 1501 48.9% 18.1% 33.0% -27.0 0
1903-08-29 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1501 1402 33.0% 18.1% 48.9% +27.0 2
1903-08-29 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1519 1432 68.1% 17.8% 14.1% +11.8 4
1903-08-29 @ Port Glasgow Athletic L 0-2 1432 1519 14.1% 17.8% 68.1% -11.8 2
1903-08-29 St. Mirren D 2-2 1710 1511 74.7% 17.4% 7.9% -4.7 5
1903-08-29 @ Rangers D 2-2 1511 1710 7.9% 17.4% 74.7% +4.7 1
1903-09-05 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1698 1476 75.7% 17.3% 7.0% +11.6 6
1903-09-05 @ Dundee L 0-4 1476 1698 7.0% 17.3% 75.7% -11.6 2
1903-09-05 Airdrieonians (old) W 3-1 1420 1407 61.7% 18.0% 20.3% +14.3 4
1903-09-05 @ Greenock Morton L 1-3 1407 1420 20.3% 18.0% 61.7% -14.3 2
1903-09-05 Celtic L 0-2 1725 1586 71.5% 17.6% 10.9% -50.7 4
1903-09-05 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1586 1725 10.9% 17.6% 71.5% +50.7 6
1903-09-05 Rangers L 2-5 1375 1705 19.9% 17.7% 62.4% -17.1 0
1903-09-05 @ Motherwell W 5-2 1705 1375 62.4% 17.7% 19.9% +17.1 7
1903-09-05 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1579 1712 44.3% 18.1% 37.6% -0.6 5
1903-09-05 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1712 1579 37.6% 18.1% 44.3% +0.5 5
1903-09-05 Port Glasgow Athletic W 5-1 1516 1531 58.9% 18.0% 23.1% +29.2 3
1903-09-05 @ St. Mirren L 1-5 1531 1516 23.1% 18.0% 58.9% -29.2 4
1903-09-05 Queen's Park D 0-0 1672 1528 71.8% 17.6% 10.6% -6.4 5
1903-09-05 @ Third Lanark D 0-0 1528 1672 10.6% 17.6% 71.8% +6.4 3
1903-09-12 St. Mirren W 3-1 1393 1545 41.6% 18.1% 40.4% +25.7 4
1903-09-12 @ Airdrieonians (old) L 1-3 1545 1393 40.4% 18.1% 41.6% -25.7 3
1903-09-12 Port Glasgow Athletic W 3-1 1710 1502 75.1% 17.3% 7.6% +5.7 8
1903-09-12 @ Dundee L 1-3 1502 1710 7.6% 17.3% 75.1% -5.7 4
1903-09-12 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1434 1578 42.7% 18.1% 39.2% -26.9 4
1903-09-12 @ Greenock Morton W 3-1 1578 1434 39.2% 18.1% 42.7% +26.9 7
1903-09-12 Motherwell W 5-0 1712 1358 80.0% 16.5% 3.5% +7.1 7
1903-09-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-5 1358 1712 3.5% 16.5% 80.0% -7.0 0
1903-09-12 Hibernian D 0-0 1464 1674 33.6% 18.0% 48.4% +1.4 3
1903-09-12 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1674 1464 48.4% 18.0% 33.6% -1.4 5
1903-09-19 St. Mirren W 2-1 1672 1519 72.4% 17.6% 10.1% +4.3 7
1903-09-19 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1519 1672 10.1% 17.6% 72.4% -4.3 3
1903-09-19 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1466 1407 65.9% 17.9% 16.3% -4.5 4
1903-09-19 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1407 1466 16.3% 17.9% 65.9% +4.5 5
1903-09-19 Dundee L 1-3 1351 1715 16.9% 17.5% 65.5% -12.0 0
1903-09-19 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1715 1351 65.5% 17.5% 16.9% +12.0 10
1903-09-19 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1496 1605 47.6% 18.1% 34.4% -17.0 4
1903-09-19 @ Port Glasgow Athletic W 2-1 1605 1496 34.4% 18.1% 47.6% +17.0 9
1903-09-19 Heart of Midlothian W 5-1 1722 1719 60.8% 18.0% 21.2% +27.1 9
1903-09-19 @ Rangers L 1-5 1719 1722 21.2% 18.0% 60.8% -27.1 7
1903-09-19 Airdrieonians (old) D 1-1 1665 1419 76.7% 17.1% 6.2% -6.7 6
1903-09-19 @ Third Lanark D 1-1 1419 1665 6.2% 17.1% 76.7% +6.7 5
1903-09-26 Motherwell W 2-1 1425 1339 68.0% 17.8% 14.2% +6.0 7
1903-09-26 @ Airdrieonians (old) L 1-2 1339 1425 14.2% 17.8% 68.0% -5.9 0
1903-09-26 Hibernian W 1-0 1637 1677 56.2% 18.0% 25.8% +10.8 8
1903-09-26 @ Celtic L 0-1 1677 1637 25.8% 18.0% 56.2% -10.8 7
1903-09-26 Port Glasgow Athletic L 0-1 1412 1479 52.9% 18.1% 29.0% -19.9 5
1903-09-26 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1479 1412 29.0% 18.1% 52.9% +19.9 6
1903-09-26 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1692 1461 76.1% 17.2% 6.7% +2.9 9
1903-09-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1461 1692 6.7% 17.2% 76.1% -2.9 4
1903-09-26 Queen's Park W 5-0 1749 1534 75.4% 17.3% 7.3% +14.8 11
1903-09-26 @ Rangers L 0-5 1534 1749 7.3% 17.3% 75.4% -14.8 3
1903-09-26 Dundee W 2-0 1515 1727 33.2% 18.0% 48.8% +34.8 5
1903-09-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1727 1515 48.8% 18.0% 33.2% -34.8 10
1903-09-28 Rangers L 1-4 1622 1764 43.0% 18.1% 38.9% -38.3 9
1903-09-28 @ Partick Thistle W 4-1 1764 1622 38.9% 18.1% 43.0% +38.2 13
1903-09-28 Celtic W 3-1 1659 1648 61.6% 18.0% 20.5% +14.4 8
1903-09-28 @ Third Lanark L 1-3 1648 1659 20.5% 18.0% 61.6% -14.4 8
1903-10-03 Queen's Park W 3-0 1633 1520 70.0% 17.7% 12.3% +15.2 10
1903-10-03 @ Celtic L 0-3 1520 1633 12.3% 17.7% 70.0% -15.2 3
1903-10-03 Third Lanark L 0-1 1693 1673 62.4% 17.9% 19.6% -23.3 10
1903-10-03 @ Dundee W 1-0 1673 1693 19.6% 17.9% 62.4% +23.3 10
1903-10-03 St. Mirren W 1-0 1392 1550 40.7% 18.1% 41.2% +16.0 7
1903-10-03 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1550 1392 41.2% 18.1% 40.7% -16.0 5
1903-10-03 Airdrieonians (old) W 4-0 1666 1431 76.2% 17.2% 6.6% +10.8 9
1903-10-03 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1431 1666 6.6% 17.2% 76.2% -10.9 7
1903-10-03 Port Glasgow Athletic L 0-4 1458 1499 56.1% 18.0% 25.9% -75.2 4
1903-10-03 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1499 1458 25.9% 18.0% 56.1% +75.2 8
1903-10-03 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1333 1584 28.4% 17.9% 53.7% +38.0 2
1903-10-03 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1584 1333 53.7% 17.9% 28.4% -38.0 9
1903-10-10 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1421 1383 64.0% 17.9% 18.0% -22.6 7
1903-10-10 @ Airdrieonians (old) W 2-1 1383 1421 18.0% 17.9% 64.0% +22.6 6
1903-10-10 Dundee W 4-2 1649 1669 58.3% 18.0% 23.6% +14.6 12
1903-10-10 @ Celtic L 2-4 1669 1649 23.6% 18.0% 58.3% -14.6 10
1903-10-10 Hibernian W 2-0 1695 1677 62.3% 17.9% 19.8% +16.1 11
1903-10-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1677 1695 19.8% 17.9% 62.3% -16.1 9
1903-10-10 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1546 1408 71.5% 17.6% 10.9% +4.7 11
1903-10-10 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1408 1546 10.9% 17.6% 71.5% -4.6 7
1903-10-10 Motherwell W 4-3 1574 1371 74.9% 17.3% 7.8% +3.1 10
1903-10-10 @ Port Glasgow Athletic L 3-4 1371 1574 7.8% 17.3% 74.9% -3.1 2
1903-10-10 Queen's Park W 3-1 1534 1504 63.3% 17.9% 18.7% +13.3 7
1903-10-10 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1504 1534 18.7% 17.9% 63.3% -13.3 3
1903-10-10 Rangers W 1-0 1696 1802 47.9% 18.1% 34.0% +13.6 12
1903-10-10 @ Third Lanark L 0-1 1802 1696 34.0% 18.1% 47.9% -13.6 13
1903-10-17 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1655 1711 54.2% 18.1% 27.7% +10.8 12
1903-10-17 @ Dundee L 1-2 1711 1655 27.7% 18.1% 54.2% -10.8 11
1903-10-17 Third Lanark L 0-2 1661 1710 55.1% 18.0% 26.8% -39.0 9
1903-10-17 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1710 1661 26.8% 18.0% 55.1% +39.0 14
1903-10-17 St. Mirren W 2-0 1406 1547 43.1% 18.1% 38.8% +28.7 8
1903-10-17 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1547 1406 38.8% 18.1% 43.1% -28.7 7
1903-10-17 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1368 1403 56.7% 18.0% 25.3% -3.1 3
1903-10-17 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1403 1368 25.3% 18.0% 56.7% +3.1 8
1903-10-17 Airdrieonians (old) D 2-2 1577 1398 73.8% 17.4% 8.8% -4.6 11
1903-10-17 @ Port Glasgow Athletic D 2-2 1398 1577 8.8% 17.4% 73.8% +4.6 8
1903-10-17 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1491 1551 53.9% 18.1% 28.1% -2.2 4
1903-10-17 @ Queen's Park D 1-1 1551 1491 28.1% 18.1% 53.9% +2.2 12
1903-10-17 Celtic D 0-0 1789 1663 70.7% 17.7% 11.6% -6.2 14
1903-10-17 @ Rangers D 0-0 1663 1789 11.6% 17.7% 70.7% +6.2 13
1903-10-24 Queen's Park L 0-1 1403 1489 50.5% 18.1% 31.4% -19.1 8
1903-10-24 @ Airdrieonians (old) W 1-0 1489 1403 31.4% 18.1% 50.5% +19.1 6
1903-10-24 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1669 1700 57.2% 18.0% 24.8% +37.2 15
1903-10-24 @ Celtic L 0-4 1700 1669 24.8% 18.0% 57.2% -37.2 11
1903-10-24 St. Mirren D 1-1 1666 1518 72.0% 17.6% 10.4% -5.8 13
1903-10-24 @ Dundee D 1-1 1518 1666 10.4% 17.6% 72.0% +5.8 8
1903-10-24 Rangers L 1-3 1406 1783 16.0% 17.5% 66.5% -11.4 8
1903-10-24 @ Greenock Morton W 3-1 1783 1406 66.5% 17.5% 16.0% +11.4 16
1903-10-24 Port Glasgow Athletic W 4-1 1622 1573 65.1% 17.9% 17.1% +17.2 11
1903-10-24 @ Hibernian L 1-4 1573 1622 17.1% 17.9% 65.1% -17.2 11
1903-10-24 Motherwell L 0-2 1435 1365 66.8% 17.8% 15.4% -47.2 8
1903-10-24 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1365 1435 15.4% 17.8% 66.8% +47.2 5
1903-10-24 Third Lanark D 2-2 1553 1749 35.4% 18.0% 46.6% +0.7 13
1903-10-24 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1749 1553 46.6% 18.0% 35.4% -0.7 15
1903-10-31 Hibernian W 3-1 1395 1639 29.2% 17.9% 52.9% +32.4 10
1903-10-31 @ Greenock Morton L 1-3 1639 1395 52.9% 17.9% 29.2% -32.4 11
1903-10-31 Partick Thistle W 4-1 1663 1554 69.7% 17.7% 12.6% +13.1 13
1903-10-31 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1554 1663 12.6% 17.7% 69.7% -13.1 13
1903-10-31 Third Lanark L 1-2 1387 1748 17.2% 17.6% 65.2% -7.1 8
1903-10-31 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1748 1387 65.2% 17.6% 17.2% +7.1 17
1903-10-31 Port Glasgow Athletic W 1-0 1412 1556 42.8% 18.1% 39.2% +15.3 7
1903-10-31 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1556 1412 39.2% 18.1% 42.8% -15.3 11
1903-10-31 Celtic W 1-0 1508 1707 35.1% 18.0% 46.9% +17.8 8
1903-10-31 @ Queen's Park L 0-1 1707 1508 46.9% 18.0% 35.1% -17.8 15
1903-10-31 Dundee W 6-1 1794 1660 71.3% 17.6% 11.1% +18.4 18
1903-10-31 @ Rangers L 1-6 1660 1794 11.1% 17.6% 71.3% -18.4 13
1903-10-31 Airdrieonians (old) W 5-2 1524 1383 71.6% 17.6% 10.8% +9.7 10
1903-10-31 @ St. Mirren L 2-5 1383 1524 10.8% 17.6% 71.6% -9.7 8
1903-11-07 Greenock Morton L 1-3 1374 1427 54.6% 18.1% 27.4% -33.5 8
1903-11-07 @ Airdrieonians (old) W 3-1 1427 1374 27.4% 18.1% 54.6% +33.5 12
1903-11-07 Dundee L 0-1 1380 1641 27.2% 17.9% 54.9% -11.2 8
1903-11-07 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1641 1380 54.9% 17.9% 27.2% +11.2 15
1903-11-07 Rangers L 2-3 1526 1812 24.3% 17.8% 57.9% -9.1 8
1903-11-07 @ Queen's Park W 3-2 1812 1526 57.9% 17.8% 24.3% +9.1 20
1903-11-07 Hibernian W 3-0 1534 1607 52.3% 18.1% 29.7% +33.3 12
1903-11-07 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1607 1534 29.7% 18.1% 52.3% -33.3 11
1903-11-14 Airdrieonians (old) W 4-3 1653 1340 78.9% 16.8% 4.3% +1.8 17
1903-11-14 @ Dundee L 3-4 1340 1653 4.3% 16.8% 78.9% -1.8 8
1903-11-14 Queen's Park W 2-1 1461 1517 54.3% 18.1% 27.6% +10.8 14
1903-11-14 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1517 1461 27.6% 18.1% 54.3% -10.8 8
1903-11-14 Port Glasgow Athletic W 2-0 1676 1540 71.4% 17.6% 11.0% +9.4 15
1903-11-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1540 1676 11.0% 17.6% 71.4% -9.4 11
1903-11-14 Celtic L 1-6 1369 1689 20.9% 17.7% 61.4% -32.6 8
1903-11-14 @ Kilmarnock W 6-1 1689 1369 61.4% 17.7% 20.9% +32.6 17
1903-11-14 St. Mirren W 1-0 1427 1567 43.3% 18.1% 38.6% +15.2 9
1903-11-14 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1567 1427 38.6% 18.1% 43.3% -15.2 12
1903-11-14 Hibernian D 1-1 1822 1573 76.8% 17.1% 6.1% -6.8 21
1903-11-14 @ Rangers D 1-1 1573 1822 6.1% 17.1% 76.8% +6.8 12
1903-11-14 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1755 1541 75.4% 17.3% 7.3% +3.4 19
1903-11-14 @ Third Lanark L 0-1 1541 1755 7.3% 17.3% 75.4% -3.4 13
1903-11-21 Rangers W 3-1 1654 1815 40.4% 18.0% 41.6% +26.3 19
1903-11-21 @ Dundee L 1-3 1815 1654 41.6% 18.0% 40.4% -26.3 21
1903-11-21 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1580 1472 69.6% 17.7% 12.7% +10.7 14
1903-11-21 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1472 1580 12.7% 17.7% 69.6% -10.7 14
1903-11-21 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1537 1336 74.8% 17.4% 7.9% +12.9 15
1903-11-21 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1336 1537 7.9% 17.4% 74.8% -12.9 8
1903-11-21 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1531 1686 41.2% 18.1% 40.8% -0.0 12
1903-11-21 @ Port Glasgow Athletic D 1-1 1686 1531 40.8% 18.1% 41.2% +0.0 16
1903-11-21 Motherwell W 1-0 1506 1442 66.3% 17.8% 15.9% +7.0 10
1903-11-21 @ Queen's Park L 0-1 1442 1506 15.9% 17.8% 66.3% -7.0 9
1903-11-28 Rangers L 0-5 1461 1789 20.2% 17.7% 62.2% -38.1 14
1903-11-28 @ Greenock Morton W 5-0 1789 1461 62.2% 17.7% 20.2% +38.1 23
1903-11-28 Dundee L 0-1 1591 1681 50.1% 18.1% 31.8% -18.9 14
1903-11-28 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1681 1591 31.8% 18.1% 50.1% +18.9 21
1903-11-28 Airdrieonians (old) L 0-2 1324 1339 58.9% 18.0% 23.1% -41.6 8
1903-11-28 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1339 1324 23.1% 18.0% 58.9% +41.6 10
1903-11-28 Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1435 1686 28.5% 17.9% 53.6% -41.9 9
1903-11-28 @ Motherwell W 4-0 1686 1435 53.6% 17.9% 28.5% +41.9 18
1903-11-28 Port Glasgow Athletic D 0-0 1513 1531 58.6% 18.0% 23.4% -3.5 11
1903-11-28 @ Queen's Park D 0-0 1531 1513 23.4% 18.0% 58.6% +3.5 13
1903-11-28 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1552 1550 60.7% 18.0% 21.3% +9.1 14
1903-11-28 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1550 1552 21.3% 18.0% 60.7% -9.1 15
1903-12-05 Port Glasgow Athletic W 1-0 1380 1534 41.3% 18.1% 40.7% +15.8 12
1903-12-05 @ Airdrieonians (old) L 0-1 1534 1380 40.7% 18.1% 41.3% -15.8 13
1903-12-05 Motherwell W 7-1 1700 1394 78.7% 16.8% 4.5% +9.0 23
1903-12-05 @ Dundee L 1-7 1394 1700 4.5% 16.8% 78.7% -9.0 9
1903-12-05 Celtic L 0-1 1423 1721 23.0% 17.8% 59.2% -9.7 14
1903-12-05 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1721 1423 59.2% 17.8% 23.0% +9.7 19
1903-12-05 Rangers D 2-2 1282 1827 6.8% 16.6% 76.6% +4.9 9
1903-12-05 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1827 1282 76.6% 16.6% 6.8% -4.9 24
1903-12-05 Queen's Park W 2-0 1541 1509 63.5% 17.9% 18.6% +15.2 17
1903-12-05 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1509 1541 18.6% 17.9% 63.5% -15.2 11
1903-12-05 St. Mirren W 4-2 1759 1561 74.6% 17.4% 8.0% +5.4 21
1903-12-05 @ Third Lanark L 2-4 1561 1759 8.0% 17.4% 74.6% -5.4 14
1903-12-12 Airdrieonians (old) W 3-0 1731 1396 79.5% 16.6% 3.8% +4.9 21
1903-12-12 @ Celtic L 0-3 1396 1731 3.8% 16.6% 79.5% -4.9 12
1903-12-12 Hibernian L 1-2 1709 1572 71.4% 17.6% 11.0% -25.3 23
1903-12-12 @ Dundee W 2-1 1572 1709 11.0% 17.6% 71.4% +25.3 16
1903-12-12 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1518 1287 76.1% 17.2% 6.7% +7.1 15
1903-12-12 @ Port Glasgow Athletic L 1-4 1287 1518 6.7% 17.2% 76.1% -7.1 9
1903-12-12 Third Lanark L 2-8 1494 1764 26.2% 17.9% 56.0% -39.0 11
1903-12-12 @ Queen's Park W 8-2 1764 1494 56.0% 17.9% 26.2% +39.0 23
1903-12-12 Motherwell W 3-0 1822 1385 81.8% 16.0% 2.2% +2.8 26
1903-12-12 @ Rangers L 0-3 1385 1822 2.2% 16.0% 81.8% -2.8 9
1903-12-12 Greenock Morton W 3-2 1556 1413 71.8% 17.6% 10.6% +4.3 16
1903-12-12 @ St. Mirren L 2-3 1413 1556 10.6% 17.6% 71.8% -4.3 14
1903-12-19 Dundee W 2-1 1391 1683 23.7% 17.8% 58.5% +20.6 14
1903-12-19 @ Airdrieonians (old) L 1-2 1683 1391 58.5% 17.8% 23.7% -20.6 23
1903-12-19 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1728 1409 79.1% 16.7% 4.2% +1.9 20
1903-12-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1409 1728 4.2% 16.7% 79.1% -1.9 14
1903-12-19 Third Lanark L 0-2 1382 1803 12.8% 17.3% 69.9% -10.7 9
1903-12-19 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1803 1382 69.9% 17.3% 12.8% +10.7 25
1903-12-19 Celtic L 0-4 1556 1736 37.6% 18.0% 44.3% -53.1 17
1903-12-19 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1736 1556 44.3% 18.0% 37.6% +53.1 23
1903-12-19 Rangers D 1-1 1526 1824 23.0% 17.8% 59.2% +3.2 16
1903-12-19 @ Port Glasgow Athletic D 1-1 1824 1526 59.2% 17.8% 23.0% -3.2 27
1903-12-19 Hibernian D 1-1 1455 1597 43.0% 18.1% 38.9% -0.3 12
1903-12-19 @ Queen's Park D 1-1 1597 1455 38.9% 18.1% 43.0% +0.3 17
1903-12-19 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1560 1280 77.9% 17.0% 5.1% +6.5 18
1903-12-19 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1280 1560 5.1% 17.0% 77.9% -6.5 9
1903-12-26 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1412 1730 21.1% 17.7% 61.2% -8.5 14
1903-12-26 @ Airdrieonians (old) W 2-1 1730 1412 61.2% 17.7% 21.1% +8.5 22
1903-12-26 Port Glasgow Athletic W 4-1 1789 1529 77.2% 17.1% 5.7% +6.1 25
1903-12-26 @ Celtic L 1-4 1529 1789 5.7% 17.1% 77.2% -6.1 16
1903-12-26 Motherwell L 2-3 1407 1371 63.9% 17.9% 18.2% -21.4 14
1903-12-26 @ Greenock Morton W 3-2 1371 1407 18.2% 17.9% 63.9% +21.4 11
1903-12-26 Rangers L 1-2 1598 1821 31.8% 18.0% 50.3% -12.1 17
1903-12-26 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1821 1598 50.3% 18.0% 31.8% +12.1 29
1903-12-26 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1455 1273 73.9% 17.4% 8.7% -6.2 13
1903-12-26 @ Queen's Park D 1-1 1273 1455 8.7% 17.4% 73.9% +6.2 10
1904-01-01 Rangers D 2-2 1795 1833 56.4% 18.0% 25.6% -2.0 26
1904-01-01 @ Celtic D 2-2 1833 1795 25.6% 18.0% 56.4% +2.0 30
1904-01-01 St. Mirren D 1-1 1503 1567 53.4% 18.1% 28.5% -2.1 18
1904-01-01 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1567 1503 28.5% 18.1% 53.4% +2.1 19
1904-01-02 Dundee D 1-1 1385 1663 25.3% 17.8% 56.8% +2.8 15
1904-01-02 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1663 1385 56.8% 17.8% 25.3% -2.8 24
1904-01-02 Queen's Park W 3-1 1738 1449 78.2% 16.9% 4.9% +3.7 24
1904-01-02 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1449 1738 4.9% 16.9% 78.2% -3.7 13
1904-01-02 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1835 1501 79.5% 16.6% 3.8% +3.4 32
1904-01-02 @ Rangers L 0-2 1501 1835 3.8% 16.6% 79.5% -3.4 18
1904-01-02 Motherwell D 0-0 1569 1392 73.6% 17.5% 8.9% -6.8 20
1904-01-02 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1392 1569 8.9% 17.5% 73.6% +6.8 12
1904-01-02 Port Glasgow Athletic W 3-0 1814 1523 78.2% 16.9% 4.9% +6.2 27
1904-01-02 @ Third Lanark L 0-3 1523 1814 4.9% 16.9% 78.2% -6.2 16
1904-01-04 Third Lanark L 1-2 1562 1820 27.6% 17.9% 54.5% -10.7 20
1904-01-04 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1820 1562 54.5% 17.9% 27.6% +10.7 29
1904-01-09 Celtic W 4-3 1403 1793 14.9% 17.4% 67.6% +22.0 16
1904-01-09 @ Airdrieonians (old) L 3-4 1793 1403 67.6% 17.4% 14.9% -22.0 26
1904-01-09 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1388 1742 17.8% 17.6% 64.6% -7.3 15
1904-01-09 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1742 1388 64.6% 17.6% 17.8% +7.3 26
1904-01-09 Motherwell W 2-1 1279 1399 46.1% 18.1% 35.8% +13.4 12
1904-01-09 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1399 1279 35.8% 18.1% 46.1% -13.4 12
1904-01-09 Hibernian W 3-1 1498 1585 50.3% 18.1% 31.6% +20.9 20
1904-01-09 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1585 1498 31.6% 18.1% 50.3% -20.9 17
1904-01-09 Dundee W 2-1 1445 1660 32.9% 18.0% 49.1% +17.5 15
1904-01-09 @ Queen's Park L 1-2 1660 1445 49.1% 18.0% 32.9% -17.5 24
1904-01-09 Rangers W 5-4 1551 1839 24.2% 17.8% 58.0% +18.6 22
1904-01-09 @ St. Mirren L 4-5 1839 1551 58.0% 17.8% 24.2% -18.6 32
1904-01-16 Motherwell W 6-0 1771 1386 80.8% 16.3% 2.9% +7.1 28
1904-01-16 @ Celtic L 0-6 1386 1771 2.9% 16.3% 80.8% -7.1 12
1904-01-16 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1642 1519 70.6% 17.7% 11.7% +14.5 26
1904-01-16 @ Dundee L 0-3 1519 1642 11.7% 17.7% 70.6% -14.5 20
1904-01-16 Queen's Park W 2-1 1517 1463 65.5% 17.9% 16.6% +6.9 18
1904-01-16 @ Port Glasgow Athletic L 1-2 1463 1517 16.6% 17.9% 65.5% -6.9 15
1904-01-16 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1820 1293 83.4% 15.3% 1.3% +1.7 34
1904-01-16 @ Rangers L 0-3 1293 1820 1.3% 15.3% 83.4% -1.7 12
1904-01-16 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1570 1749 37.8% 18.0% 44.2% +46.4 24
1904-01-16 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1749 1570 44.2% 18.0% 37.8% -46.4 26
1904-01-16 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1831 1381 82.1% 15.9% 2.1% -29.1 29
1904-01-16 @ Third Lanark W 2-1 1381 1831 2.1% 15.9% 82.1% +29.1 17
1904-01-23 Greenock Morton W 5-1 1778 1410 80.4% 16.4% 3.2% +4.4 30
1904-01-23 @ Celtic L 1-5 1410 1778 3.2% 16.4% 80.4% -4.4 17
1904-01-30 Celtic W 2-1 1657 1783 45.3% 18.1% 36.6% +13.7 28
1904-01-30 @ Dundee L 1-2 1783 1657 36.6% 18.1% 45.3% -13.7 30
1904-01-30 Third Lanark L 1-2 1405 1802 14.5% 17.4% 68.1% -6.0 17
1904-01-30 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1802 1405 68.1% 17.4% 14.5% +6.0 31
1904-01-30 Rangers W 2-1 1703 1822 46.2% 18.1% 35.8% +13.4 28
1904-01-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1822 1703 35.8% 18.1% 46.2% -13.4 34
1904-01-30 Hibernian W 1-0 1379 1565 36.8% 18.0% 45.2% +17.2 14
1904-01-30 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1565 1379 45.2% 18.0% 36.8% -17.2 17
1904-01-30 St. Mirren L 0-1 1523 1616 49.7% 18.1% 32.2% -18.8 18
1904-01-30 @ Port Glasgow Athletic W 1-0 1616 1523 32.2% 18.1% 49.7% +18.8 26
1904-01-30 Airdrieonians (old) D 1-1 1456 1425 63.4% 17.9% 18.6% -4.0 16
1904-01-30 @ Queen's Park D 1-1 1425 1456 18.6% 17.9% 63.4% +4.0 17
1904-02-06 Dundee W 6-1 1504 1671 39.5% 18.0% 42.4% +59.8 22
1904-02-06 @ Partick Thistle L 1-6 1671 1504 42.4% 18.0% 39.5% -59.8 28
1904-02-06 Celtic L 2-3 1505 1769 26.8% 17.9% 55.3% -9.9 18
1904-02-06 @ Port Glasgow Athletic W 3-2 1769 1505 55.3% 17.9% 26.8% +9.9 32
1904-02-06 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1452 1716 26.8% 17.9% 55.3% +1.8 17
1904-02-06 @ Queen's Park D 2-2 1716 1452 55.3% 17.9% 26.8% -1.8 29
1904-02-13 Third Lanark W 4-1 1714 1808 49.6% 18.1% 32.3% +30.2 31
1904-02-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1808 1714 32.3% 18.1% 49.6% -30.2 31
1904-02-13 Hibernian W 3-1 1453 1547 49.6% 18.1% 32.4% +21.4 19
1904-02-13 @ Queen's Park L 1-3 1547 1453 32.4% 18.1% 49.6% -21.4 17
1904-02-13 Port Glasgow Athletic W 8-1 1808 1495 78.9% 16.8% 4.3% +9.9 36
1904-02-13 @ Rangers L 1-8 1495 1808 4.3% 16.8% 78.9% -10.0 18
1904-02-20 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1429 1564 44.0% 18.1% 37.9% -0.4 18
1904-02-20 @ Airdrieonians (old) D 2-2 1564 1429 37.9% 18.1% 44.0% +0.4 23
1904-02-20 Heart of Midlothian L 2-4 1526 1744 32.5% 18.0% 49.6% -19.1 17
1904-02-20 @ Hibernian W 4-2 1744 1526 49.6% 18.0% 32.5% +19.1 33
1904-02-20 Third Lanark L 0-1 1485 1777 23.7% 17.8% 58.5% -10.0 18
1904-02-20 @ Port Glasgow Athletic W 1-0 1777 1485 58.5% 17.8% 23.7% +10.0 33
1904-02-27 Airdrieonians (old) W 5-0 1763 1429 79.5% 16.6% 3.8% +7.8 35
1904-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-5 1429 1763 3.8% 16.6% 79.5% -7.8 18
1904-02-27 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1507 1564 54.1% 18.1% 27.8% -1.7 18
1904-02-27 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1564 1507 27.8% 18.1% 54.1% +1.7 24
1904-02-27 St. Mirren D 0-0 1475 1635 40.4% 18.0% 41.5% +0.1 20
1904-02-27 @ Queen's Park D 0-0 1635 1475 41.5% 18.0% 40.4% -0.1 27
1904-03-05 Third Lanark L 0-4 1421 1787 16.8% 17.5% 65.7% -26.2 18
1904-03-05 @ Airdrieonians (old) W 4-0 1787 1421 65.7% 17.5% 16.8% +26.2 35
1904-03-05 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1291 1771 9.5% 17.0% 73.5% -3.8 12
1904-03-05 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1771 1291 73.5% 17.0% 9.5% +3.8 37
1904-03-05 Motherwell D 2-2 1566 1396 73.3% 17.5% 9.2% -4.5 25
1904-03-05 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1396 1566 9.2% 17.5% 73.3% +4.5 15
1904-03-12 St. Mirren W 3-1 1779 1635 71.8% 17.6% 10.6% +7.8 34
1904-03-12 @ Celtic L 1-3 1635 1779 10.6% 17.6% 71.8% -7.8 27
1904-03-12 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1505 1287 75.5% 17.3% 7.2% -4.8 19
1904-03-12 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1287 1505 7.2% 17.3% 75.5% +4.9 13
1904-03-12 Airdrieonians (old) W 3-0 1561 1395 73.1% 17.5% 9.4% +11.8 27
1904-03-12 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1395 1561 9.4% 17.5% 73.1% -11.8 18
1904-03-12 Motherwell W 3-0 1814 1401 81.4% 16.1% 2.5% +3.2 37
1904-03-12 @ Third Lanark L 0-3 1401 1814 2.5% 16.1% 81.4% -3.2 15
1904-03-19 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1475 1399 67.2% 17.8% 15.0% -4.8 21
1904-03-19 @ Queen's Park D 1-1 1399 1475 15.0% 17.8% 67.2% +4.8 18
1904-03-26 Celtic L 1-2 1397 1787 15.0% 17.4% 67.6% -6.2 15
1904-03-26 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1787 1397 67.6% 17.4% 15.0% +6.2 36
1904-03-26 Dundee W 1-0 1475 1611 43.9% 18.1% 38.1% +15.0 20
1904-03-26 @ Port Glasgow Athletic L 0-1 1611 1475 38.1% 18.1% 43.9% -15.0 28
1904-03-26 Airdrieonians (old) W 5-0 1818 1383 81.8% 16.0% 2.2% +4.5 38
1904-03-26 @ Rangers L 0-5 1383 1818 2.2% 16.0% 81.8% -4.5 18
1904-03-26 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1817 1292 83.3% 15.3% 1.4% +0.5 39
1904-03-26 @ Third Lanark L 2-3 1292 1817 1.4% 15.3% 83.3% -0.5 13
1904-04-02 Celtic W 2-1 1775 1793 58.6% 18.0% 23.4% +9.3 39
1904-04-02 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1793 1775 23.4% 18.0% 58.6% -9.3 36
1904-04-23 Kilmarnock W 6-1 1784 1292 82.8% 15.6% 1.6% +2.7 38
1904-04-23 @ Celtic L 1-6 1292 1784 1.6% 15.6% 82.8% -2.7 13
1904-04-23 Dundee W 4-1 1817 1596 75.7% 17.3% 7.0% +7.5 41
1904-04-23 @ Third Lanark L 1-4 1596 1817 7.0% 17.3% 75.7% -7.5 28
1904-04-30 Hibernian W 2-0 1825 1500 79.2% 16.7% 4.0% +3.5 43
1904-04-30 @ Third Lanark L 0-2 1500 1825 4.0% 16.7% 79.2% -3.5 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1904-01-16 2.05% Greenock Morton 1381 2 @ Third Lanark 1831 1
2 1903-09-05 10.90% Celtic 1586 2 @ Hibernian 1725 0
3 1903-12-12 10.98% Hibernian 1572 2 @ Dundee 1709 1
4 1904-01-09 14.94% @ Airdrieonians (old) 1403 4 Celtic 1793 3
5 1903-10-24 15.40% Motherwell 1365 2 @ Kilmarnock 1435 0
6 1903-10-10 18.04% Kilmarnock 1383 2 @ Airdrieonians (old) 1421 1
7 1903-12-26 18.19% Motherwell 1371 3 @ Greenock Morton 1407 2
8 1903-10-03 19.63% Third Lanark 1673 1 @ Dundee 1693 0
9 1903-08-15 21.52% Airdrieonians (old) 1426 2 @ Motherwell 1426 1
10 1903-08-29 22.86% Third Lanark 1636 3 @ Celtic 1623 1
11 1903-11-28 23.05% Airdrieonians (old) 1339 2 @ Kilmarnock 1324 0
12 1903-12-19 23.72% @ Airdrieonians (old) 1391 2 Dundee 1683 1
13 1904-01-09 24.22% @ St. Mirren 1551 5 Rangers 1839 4
14 1903-08-29 25.02% Partick Thistle 1544 3 @ Kilmarnock 1511 1
15 1903-10-03 25.86% Port Glasgow Athletic 1499 4 @ Kilmarnock 1458 0
16 1903-10-17 26.84% Third Lanark 1710 2 @ Hibernian 1661 0
17 1903-11-07 27.35% Greenock Morton 1427 3 @ Airdrieonians (old) 1374 1
18 1903-10-03 28.38% @ Motherwell 1333 2 Partick Thistle 1584 0
19 1903-09-26 29.03% Port Glasgow Athletic 1479 1 @ Greenock Morton 1412 0
20 1903-10-31 29.20% @ Greenock Morton 1395 3 Hibernian 1639 1
21 1903-08-22 29.58% Celtic 1603 1 @ St. Mirren 1531 0
22 1903-08-15 29.93% @ Port Glasgow Athletic 1496 3 Hibernian 1735 1
23 1903-10-24 31.40% Queen's Park 1489 1 @ Airdrieonians (old) 1403 0
24 1903-11-28 31.84% Dundee 1681 1 @ Hibernian 1591 0
25 1904-01-30 32.24% St. Mirren 1616 1 @ Port Glasgow Athletic 1523 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1903-10-03 75.19 Port Glasgow Athletic 4 1499 25.86% @ Kilmarnock 0 1458 56.10% 18.04%
2 1904-02-06 59.81 @ Partick Thistle 6 1504 39.52% Dundee 1 1671 42.45% 18.04%
3 1903-12-19 53.07 Celtic 4 1736 44.33% @ Partick Thistle 0 1556 37.64% 18.02%
4 1903-09-05 50.69 Celtic 2 1586 10.90% @ Hibernian 0 1725 71.49% 17.62%
5 1903-10-24 47.17 Motherwell 2 1365 15.40% @ Kilmarnock 0 1435 66.77% 17.83%
6 1904-01-16 46.43 @ St. Mirren 3 1570 37.75% Heart of Midlothian 0 1749 44.23% 18.02%
7 1903-11-28 41.89 Heart of Midlothian 4 1686 53.63% @ Motherwell 0 1435 28.47% 17.90%
8 1903-11-28 41.57 Airdrieonians (old) 2 1339 23.05% @ Kilmarnock 0 1324 58.94% 18.01%
9 1903-10-17 38.96 Third Lanark 2 1710 26.84% @ Hibernian 0 1661 55.12% 18.04%
10 1903-12-12 38.96 Third Lanark 8 1764 55.96% @ Queen's Park 2 1494 26.19% 17.86%
11 1903-09-28 38.26 Rangers 4 1764 38.92% @ Partick Thistle 1 1622 43.02% 18.06%
12 1903-11-28 38.09 Rangers 5 1789 62.16% @ Greenock Morton 0 1461 20.15% 17.68%
13 1903-10-03 37.99 @ Motherwell 2 1333 28.38% Partick Thistle 0 1584 53.72% 17.90%
14 1903-10-24 37.23 @ Celtic 4 1669 57.20% Heart of Midlothian 0 1700 24.77% 18.03%
15 1903-08-29 36.11 Third Lanark 3 1636 22.86% @ Celtic 1 1623 59.14% 18.00%
16 1903-08-29 34.82 Partick Thistle 3 1544 25.02% @ Kilmarnock 1 1511 56.95% 18.03%
17 1903-09-26 34.80 @ St. Mirren 2 1515 33.24% Dundee 0 1727 48.78% 17.98%
18 1903-11-07 33.45 Greenock Morton 3 1427 27.35% @ Airdrieonians (old) 1 1374 54.60% 18.05%
19 1903-11-07 33.29 @ St. Mirren 3 1534 52.27% Hibernian 0 1607 29.67% 18.06%
20 1903-11-14 32.62 Celtic 6 1689 61.37% @ Kilmarnock 1 1369 20.92% 17.71%
21 1903-10-31 32.42 @ Greenock Morton 3 1395 29.20% Hibernian 1 1639 52.88% 17.92%
22 1903-08-15 32.00 @ Port Glasgow Athletic 3 1496 29.93% Hibernian 1 1735 52.15% 17.93%
23 1904-02-13 30.17 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1714 49.63% Third Lanark 1 1808 32.30% 18.07%
24 1903-09-05 29.17 @ St. Mirren 5 1516 58.92% Port Glasgow Athletic 1 1531 23.08% 18.01%
25 1904-01-16 29.11 Greenock Morton 2 1381 2.05% @ Third Lanark 1 1831 82.09% 15.86%