1904-05 Division One Season

182 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rangers

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kilmarnock

6.45 points above expected

23 points · 16.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Heart of Midlothian

5.73 points below expected

25 points · 30.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers	26	19	3	4	41	83	28	+55	38.2	+2.83
2	Celtic	26	18	5	3	41	68	31	+37	36.8	+4.23
3	Third Lanark	26	14	7	5	35	60	28	+32	34.5	+0.51
4	Airdrieonians (old)	26	11	5	10	27	38	45	-7	21.9	+5.06
5	Hibernian	26	9	8	9	26	39	39	0	24.8	+1.16
6	Partick Thistle	26	12	2	12	26	36	56	-20	24.2	+1.80
7	Dundee	26	10	5	11	25	38	32	+6	27.4	-2.35
8	Heart of Midlothian	26	11	3	12	25	43	44	-1	30.7	-5.73
9	Kilmarnock	26	9	5	12	23	29	45	-16	16.6	+6.45
10	St. Mirren	26	9	4	13	22	33	36	-3	27.7	-5.68
11	Port Glasgow Athletic	26	8	5	13	21	30	48	-18	21.6	-0.65
12	Queen's Park	26	6	8	12	20	28	45	-17	21.1	-1.06
13	Greenock Morton	26	7	4	15	18	27	50	-23	21.3	-3.32
14	Motherwell	26	6	2	18	14	28	53	-25	17.2	-3.22

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Celtic 2

Rangers 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celtic	1784	41	36.77	+4.23	90.3%	22	31	34	37	39	43	49
Rangers	1777	41	38.17	+2.83	82.7%	24	32	36	38	41	44	51
Third Lanark	1701	35	34.49	+0.51	59.1%	19	28	32	35	37	41	47
St. Mirren	1538	22	27.68	-5.68	9.7%	10	21	25	28	30	34	45
Heart of Midlothian	1515	25	30.73	-5.73	9.9%	13	24	28	31	34	37	47
Dundee	1511	25	27.35	-2.35	32.4%	13	21	25	27	30	34	44
Hibernian	1510	26	24.84	+1.16	65.4%	9	18	22	25	28	32	39
Airdrieonians (old)	1447	27	21.94	+5.06	91.3%	8	15	19	22	25	29	38
Port Glasgow Athletic	1441	21	21.65	-0.65	48.6%	6	15	19	22	24	28	36
Partick Thistle	1423	26	24.20	+1.80	72.2%	9	18	21	24	27	31	39
Queen's Park	1405	20	21.06	-1.06	44.5%	6	14	18	21	24	28	37
Greenock Morton	1385	18	21.32	-3.32	24.2%	6	15	19	21	24	28	38
Kilmarnock	1374	23	16.55	+6.45	96.5%	4	10	14	17	19	23	32
Motherwell	1316	14	17.22	-3.22	24.8%	4	11	15	17	20	24	30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	A(	CEL	DUN	GM	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	PT	PGA	QP	RAN	SM	TL
Airdrieonians (old)	—	1-0-1 1.22	2-0-0 2.28	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 1.69	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 3.50	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 2.41	2-0-0 2.71	0-1-1 3.23	0-1-1 1.03	1-0-1 2.28	0-1-1 1.42
Celtic	1-0-1 4.46	—	1-0-1 4.09	2-0-0 4.62	0-1-1 3.25	1-1-0 4.24	2-0-0 4.83	2-0-0 5.02	1-1-0 3.83	2-0-0 4.35	1-1-0 4.49	1-1-0 2.61	2-0-0 4.01	2-0-0 3.14
Dundee	0-0-2 3.38	1-0-1 1.57	—	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 3.84	1-1-0 3.75	0-0-2 3.41	1-0-1 3.36	2-0-0 3.37	0-0-2 1.83	1-1-0 2.83	0-2-0 2.04
Greenock Morton	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 1.06	1-0-1 2.15	—	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.53	2-0-0 2.96	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 2.64	0-2-0 3.12	0-0-2 0.88	0-0-2 2.11	0-1-1 1.38
Heart of Midlothian	1-0-1 3.96	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.45	—	1-0-1 3.58	0-0-2 4.40	2-0-0 4.22	0-0-2 4.09	1-0-1 3.88	1-0-1 3.42	0-1-1 2.13	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.43
Hibernian	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 1.42	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.07	—	1-0-1 3.78	2-0-0 3.73	2-0-0 2.94	0-2-0 3.17	0-1-1 3.09	0-0-2 1.39	1-0-1 2.60	0-1-1 1.82
Kilmarnock	1-1-0 2.16	0-0-2 0.88	1-0-1 1.82	1-0-1 2.12	2-0-0 1.27	1-0-1 1.88	—	0-0-2 2.73	1-0-1 1.76	0-2-0 2.18	1-1-0 2.32	0-0-2 0.76	1-0-1 1.80	0-1-1 1.04
Motherwell	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 0.69	0-1-1 1.91	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 1.45	0-0-2 1.92	2-0-0 2.91	—	1-0-1 2.06	0-0-2 2.40	0-1-1 2.43	0-0-2 0.73	2-0-0 1.32	0-0-2 0.96
Partick Thistle	0-0-2 3.23	0-1-1 1.83	2-0-0 2.24	2-0-0 3.01	2-0-0 1.58	0-0-2 2.71	1-0-1 3.90	1-0-1 3.60	—	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 3.31	0-0-2 1.29	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 1.77
Port Glasgow Athletic	0-0-2 2.93	0-0-2 1.33	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 1.78	0-2-0 2.48	0-2-0 3.47	2-0-0 3.25	1-0-1 2.38	—	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 0.99	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 1.51
Queen's Park	1-1-0 2.41	0-1-1 1.19	0-0-2 2.28	0-2-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.23	1-1-0 2.56	0-1-1 3.33	1-1-0 3.22	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 2.78	—	0-0-2 1.20	1-1-0 1.72	0-0-2 1.45
Rangers	1-1-0 4.65	0-1-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.83	2-0-0 4.82	1-1-0 3.52	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 4.95	2-0-0 4.99	2-0-0 4.38	2-0-0 4.70	2-0-0 4.48	—	0-0-2 4.38	1-0-1 3.10
St. Mirren	1-0-1 3.37	0-0-2 1.65	0-1-1 2.82	2-0-0 3.54	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.86	0-0-2 4.36	1-1-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.61	0-1-1 3.94	2-0-0 1.29	—	0-0-2 2.00
Third Lanark	1-1-0 4.25	0-0-2 2.50	0-2-0 3.62	1-1-0 4.29	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.84	1-1-0 4.65	2-0-0 4.72	1-0-1 3.90	1-1-0 4.16	2-0-0 4.22	1-0-1 2.55	2-0-0 3.65	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	7.14%	6.59%	4.40%	1.65%	1.92%	23.90%
1	7.14%	12.09%	5.77%	3.30%	2.47%	1.92%	32.69%
2	6.59%	5.77%	3.85%	3.57%	1.10%	0.82%	21.70%
3	4.40%	3.30%	3.57%	—	0.27%	—	11.54%
4	1.65%	2.47%	1.10%	0.27%	—	—	5.49%
5+	1.92%	1.92%	0.82%	—	—	—	4.67%
Total	23.90%	32.69%	21.70%	11.54%	5.49%	4.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.59
Mean allowed	1.59
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.214
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	23.08%
1	7.69%	15.38%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	—	26.92%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Airdrieonians (old) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.66
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.312
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	30.77%	38.46%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Celtic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.62
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Dundee — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.303
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	38.46%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.81
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.167
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	15.38%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	15.38%	19.23%	—	7.69%	100%

Heart of Midlothian — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.362
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	23.08%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	34.62%	26.92%	—	15.38%	—	100%

Hibernian — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.403
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	46.15%
2	—	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	26.92%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Kilmarnock — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.036
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	30.77%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	23.08%	30.77%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Motherwell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.51
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.363
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	15.38%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Partick Thistle — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	2.19
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.306
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	38.46%
1	3.85%	19.23%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	38.46%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Port Glasgow Athletic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.389
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	3.85%	30.77%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	46.15%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	42.31%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Queen's Park — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	0.93
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.228
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	38.46%	30.77%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Rangers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.19
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.438
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	30.77%	15.38%	—	—	100%

St. Mirren — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.144
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	38.46%	34.62%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Third Lanark — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.95
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.081
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kilmarnock	23	16.6	+6.45
2	Airdrieonians (old)	27	21.9	+5.06
3	Celtic	41	36.8	+4.23
4	Rangers	41	38.2	+2.83
5	Partick Thistle	26	24.2	+1.80

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	25	30.7	-5.73
2	St. Mirren	22	27.7	-5.68
3	Greenock Morton	18	21.3	-3.32
4	Motherwell	14	17.2	-3.22
5	Dundee	25	27.4	-2.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Partick Thistle	8	Oct 15 – Dec 10	1 in 2,191
2	Airdrieonians (old)	4	Sep 17 – Oct 8	1 in 151
3	Kilmarnock	3	Jan 2 – Jan 14	1 in 66
4	St. Mirren	4	Nov 5 – Dec 3	1 in 57
5	Queen's Park	3	Jan 14 – Feb 4	1 in 34

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	7	Sep 3 – Oct 15	1 in 87
2	Airdrieonians (old)	6	Nov 12 – Dec 17	1 in 32
3	Partick Thistle	4	Dec 24 – Jan 3	1 in 31
4	St. Mirren	3	Sep 3 – Sep 17	1 in 27
5	Dundee	4	Jan 21 – Mar 25	1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Airdrieonians (old)	10	Aug 20 – Oct 22	1 in 410
2	Partick Thistle	9	Oct 15 – Dec 17	1 in 358
3	Kilmarnock	5	Oct 1 – Oct 29	1 in 51
4	Celtic	14	Sep 26 – Dec 31	1 in 19
5	St. Mirren	5	Nov 5 – Dec 10	1 in 14

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Queen's Park	9	Oct 1 – Dec 3	1 in 40
2	St. Mirren	5	Aug 20 – Sep 17	1 in 27
3	Heart of Midlothian	4	Sep 24 – Oct 15	1 in 20
4	Rangers	3	Sep 26 – Oct 15	1 in 19
5	Port Glasgow Athletic	5	Oct 1 – Oct 29	1 in 14

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Rangers	53.52%	28.03%	12.56%	3.96%	1.39%	0.39%	0.10%	0.05%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Celtic	29.93%	36.35%	21.65%	7.92%	2.70%	0.92%	0.28%	0.14%	0.07%	0.03%	0.01%	—	—	—
Third Lanark	12.97%	23.75%	33.90%	16.91%	7.02%	3.20%	1.24%	0.52%	0.29%	0.12%	0.06%	0.02%	—	—
Airdrieonians (old)	—	0.08%	0.42%	1.56%	3.69%	6.68%	9.48%	12.09%	14.21%	14.12%	12.53%	11.74%	8.80%	4.60%
Hibernian	0.07%	0.52%	2.32%	5.73%	11.07%	14.39%	15.48%	14.48%	11.52%	9.71%	6.88%	4.49%	2.48%	0.86%
Partick Thistle	0.02%	0.32%	1.34%	3.76%	7.55%	10.70%	14.38%	14.90%	13.23%	11.66%	9.45%	6.70%	4.06%	1.93%
Dundee	0.47%	1.78%	5.51%	14.81%	19.94%	17.53%	13.27%	9.97%	7.19%	4.44%	2.50%	1.61%	0.72%	0.26%
Heart of Midlothian	2.54%	7.03%	15.94%	28.49%	18.82%	11.52%	7.39%	3.48%	2.30%	1.36%	0.67%	0.28%	0.12%	0.06%
Kilmarnock	—	—	—	0.02%	0.24%	0.37%	0.91%	2.06%	3.78%	5.94%	9.43%	15.77%	25.11%	36.37%
St. Mirren	0.48%	1.97%	5.61%	13.76%	19.85%	19.09%	14.75%	9.43%	6.33%	4.14%	2.38%	1.48%	0.59%	0.14%
Port Glasgow Athletic	—	0.03%	0.33%	1.08%	3.05%	5.60%	7.73%	11.08%	12.40%	14.35%	14.79%	13.68%	10.03%	5.85%
Queen's Park	—	0.07%	0.24%	0.97%	2.24%	4.25%	6.70%	9.68%	12.61%	13.80%	15.14%	14.77%	11.90%	7.63%
Greenock Morton	—	0.07%	0.18%	0.99%	2.25%	4.61%	6.83%	9.91%	11.78%	13.94%	15.56%	14.37%	11.64%	7.87%
Motherwell	—	—	—	0.04%	0.19%	0.75%	1.46%	2.21%	4.29%	6.39%	10.60%	15.09%	24.55%	34.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Celtic 2

Rangers 1

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level
Airdrieonians (old)	100%
Celtic	100%
Dundee	100%
Greenock Morton	100%
Heart of Midlothian	100%
Hibernian	100%
Kilmarnock	100%
Motherwell	100%
Partick Thistle	100%
Port Glasgow Athletic	100%
Queen's Park	100%
Rangers	100%
St. Mirren	100%
Third Lanark	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1904-08-20	Motherwell	W 3-2	1383	1389	60.0%	17.7%	22.2%	+5.1	3
1904-08-20	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 2-3	1389	1383	22.2%	17.7%	60.0%	-5.1	0
1904-08-20	St. Mirren	W 2-0	1531	1549	58.8%	17.8%	23.4%	+11.3	3
1904-08-20	@ Dundee	L 0-2	1549	1531	23.4%	17.8%	58.8%	-11.3	0
1904-08-20	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 1-0	1409	1465	54.4%	17.9%	27.8%	+6.9	3
1904-08-20	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-1	1465	1409	27.8%	17.9%	54.4%	-6.9	0
1904-08-20	Queen's Park	D 1-1	1474	1449	63.2%	17.6%	19.2%	-2.4	1
1904-08-20	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1449	1474	19.2%	17.6%	63.2%	+2.4	1
1904-08-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	1339	1636	23.5%	17.2%	59.3%	+11.9	3
1904-08-20	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	1636	1339	59.3%	17.2%	23.5%	-11.9	0
1904-08-20	Celtic	L 0-5	1509	1653	42.8%	17.9%	39.3%	-44.0	0
1904-08-20	@ Partick Thistle	W 5-0	1653	1509	39.3%	17.9%	42.8%	+43.9	3
1904-08-20	Rangers	W 2-1	1663	1679	58.9%	17.8%	23.3%	+5.6	3
1904-08-20	@ Third Lanark	L 1-2	1679	1663	23.3%	17.8%	58.9%	-5.6	0
1904-08-27	Greenock Morton	W 3-2	1388	1416	57.7%	17.8%	24.5%	+5.6	6
1904-08-27	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 2-3	1416	1388	24.5%	17.8%	57.7%	-5.6	3
1904-08-27	Third Lanark	W 4-1	1624	1668	55.8%	17.9%	26.4%	+15.3	3
1904-08-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	1668	1624	26.4%	17.9%	55.8%	-15.3	3
1904-08-27	Motherwell	L 0-2	1351	1384	57.1%	17.8%	25.1%	-24.4	3
1904-08-27	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1384	1351	25.1%	17.8%	57.1%	+24.3	3
1904-08-27	Celtic	L 1-4	1458	1697	30.0%	17.6%	52.4%	-17.0	0
1904-08-27	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 4-1	1697	1458	52.4%	17.6%	30.0%	+17.0	6
1904-08-27	Dundee	L 0-1	1451	1543	49.9%	17.9%	32.1%	-11.4	1
1904-08-27	@ Queen's Park	W 1-0	1543	1451	32.1%	17.9%	49.9%	+11.4	6
1904-08-27	Hibernian	W 4-0	1673	1472	75.8%	16.1%	8.1%	+7.8	3
1904-08-27	@ Rangers	L 0-4	1472	1673	8.1%	16.1%	75.8%	-7.8	1
1904-08-27	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	1538	1465	67.3%	17.3%	15.3%	-2.2	1
1904-08-27	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	1465	1538	15.3%	17.3%	67.3%	+2.1	1
1904-09-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1714	1639	67.5%	17.3%	15.2%	-2.9	7
1904-09-03	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1639	1714	15.2%	17.3%	67.5%	+2.9	4
1904-09-03	Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-1	1554	1394	73.5%	16.6%	10.0%	-16.6	6
1904-09-03	@ Dundee	W 1-0	1394	1554	10.0%	16.6%	73.5%	+16.6	9
1904-09-03	Motherwell	W 1-0	1410	1408	60.8%	17.7%	21.5%	+5.5	6
1904-09-03	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-1	1408	1410	21.5%	17.7%	60.8%	-5.5	3
1904-09-03	St. Mirren	W 2-0	1464	1536	52.5%	17.9%	29.6%	+13.8	4
1904-09-03	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1536	1464	29.6%	17.9%	52.5%	-13.8	1
1904-09-03	Port Glasgow Athletic	D 1-1	1327	1441	46.9%	17.9%	35.2%	-0.6	4
1904-09-03	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1441	1327	35.2%	17.9%	46.9%	+0.6	1
1904-09-03	Partick Thistle	W 8-1	1681	1467	76.4%	16.0%	7.6%	+10.2	6
1904-09-03	@ Rangers	L 1-8	1467	1681	7.6%	16.0%	76.4%	-10.2	1
1904-09-03	Queen's Park	W 2-0	1653	1440	76.4%	16.0%	7.6%	+3.9	6
1904-09-03	@ Third Lanark	L 0-2	1440	1653	7.6%	16.0%	76.4%	-3.9	1
1904-09-10	Hibernian	D 1-1	1410	1478	53.0%	17.9%	29.1%	-1.2	10
1904-09-10	@ Airdrieonians (old)	D 1-1	1478	1410	29.1%	17.9%	53.0%	+1.2	5
1904-09-10	Rangers	L 0-3	1537	1691	41.4%	17.9%	40.7%	-26.6	6
1904-09-10	@ Dundee	W 3-0	1691	1537	40.7%	17.9%	41.4%	+26.6	9
1904-09-10	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1416	1326	68.7%	17.2%	14.1%	+3.5	9
1904-09-10	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-2	1326	1416	14.1%	17.2%	68.7%	-3.5	4
1904-09-10	Port Glasgow Athletic	L 1-2	1522	1442	67.9%	17.2%	14.8%	-14.5	1
1904-09-10	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1442	1522	14.8%	17.2%	67.9%	+14.5	4
1904-09-10	Motherwell	W 4-3	1657	1403	78.3%	15.5%	6.2%	+1.4	9
1904-09-10	@ Third Lanark	L 3-4	1403	1657	6.2%	15.5%	78.3%	-1.5	3
1904-09-17	Dundee	D 1-1	1479	1511	57.2%	17.8%	25.0%	-1.7	6
1904-09-17	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1511	1479	25.0%	17.8%	57.2%	+1.7	7
1904-09-17	Third Lanark	D 0-0	1322	1658	19.7%	16.9%	63.4%	+2.6	5
1904-09-17	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	1658	1322	63.4%	16.9%	19.7%	-2.6	10
1904-09-17	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	1401	1642	29.8%	17.5%	52.6%	-10.7	3
1904-09-17	@ Motherwell	W 4-2	1642	1401	52.6%	17.5%	29.8%	+10.7	7
1904-09-17	Greenock Morton	W 3-1	1457	1419	64.3%	17.5%	18.1%	+7.8	4
1904-09-17	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	1419	1457	18.1%	17.5%	64.3%	-7.8	9
1904-09-17	Airdrieonians (old)	L 1-3	1456	1409	65.2%	17.5%	17.4%	-24.0	4
1904-09-17	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-1	1409	1456	17.4%	17.5%	65.2%	+24.0	13
1904-09-17	Rangers	L 0-4	1436	1718	25.0%	17.3%	57.7%	-22.5	1
1904-09-17	@ Queen's Park	W 4-0	1718	1436	57.7%	17.3%	25.0%	+22.5	12
1904-09-17	Celtic	L 2-3	1507	1711	34.5%	17.7%	47.8%	-7.4	1
1904-09-17	@ St. Mirren	W 3-2	1711	1507	47.8%	17.7%	34.5%	+7.4	10
1904-09-19	Celtic	W 2-0	1653	1719	53.2%	17.9%	28.9%	+13.6	10
1904-09-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1719	1653	28.9%	17.9%	53.2%	-13.6	10
1904-09-19	Rangers	L 1-2	1477	1740	27.1%	17.4%	55.4%	-6.4	6
1904-09-19	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	1740	1477	55.4%	17.4%	27.1%	+6.4	15
1904-09-24	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	1433	1666	30.8%	17.6%	51.7%	+10.5	16
1904-09-24	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 2-3	1666	1433	51.7%	17.6%	30.8%	-10.5	10
1904-09-24	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	1513	1325	75.1%	16.3%	8.7%	+6.4	10
1904-09-24	@ Dundee	L 0-3	1325	1513	8.7%	16.3%	75.1%	-6.4	5
1904-09-24	Motherwell	W 2-1	1432	1391	64.7%	17.5%	17.8%	+4.4	7
1904-09-24	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 1-2	1391	1432	17.8%	17.5%	64.7%	-4.4	3
1904-09-24	Hibernian	W 4-2	1413	1471	54.2%	17.9%	27.9%	+10.2	4
1904-09-24	@ Queen's Park	L 2-4	1471	1413	27.9%	17.9%	54.2%	-10.2	6
1904-09-24	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1500	1411	68.6%	17.2%	14.2%	+3.8	4
1904-09-24	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	1411	1500	14.2%	17.2%	68.6%	-3.8	9
1904-09-26	Third Lanark	W 2-1	1705	1656	65.4%	17.4%	17.2%	+4.2	13
1904-09-26	@ Celtic	L 1-2	1656	1705	17.2%	17.4%	65.4%	-4.2	10
1904-09-26	Hibernian	L 0-1	1465	1461	61.1%	17.7%	21.2%	-13.8	4
1904-09-26	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	1461	1465	21.2%	17.7%	61.1%	+13.8	9
1904-09-26	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1747	1656	68.8%	17.2%	14.0%	-3.0	16
1904-09-26	@ Rangers	D 1-1	1656	1747	14.0%	17.2%	68.8%	+3.0	11
1904-10-01	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 2-0	1444	1436	61.4%	17.7%	20.9%	+10.2	19
1904-10-01	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-2	1436	1444	20.9%	17.7%	61.4%	-10.2	7
1904-10-01	Third Lanark	D 0-0	1408	1651	29.4%	17.5%	53.0%	+1.4	10
1904-10-01	@ Greenock Morton	D 0-0	1651	1408	53.0%	17.5%	29.4%	-1.4	11
1904-10-01	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	1659	1451	76.1%	16.0%	7.8%	-17.2	11
1904-10-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	1451	1659	7.8%	16.0%	76.1%	+17.2	7
1904-10-01	Hibernian	W 2-1	1319	1474	41.1%	17.9%	41.0%	+9.1	8
1904-10-01	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	1474	1319	41.0%	17.9%	41.1%	-9.1	9
1904-10-01	Dundee	L 0-2	1386	1519	44.4%	17.9%	37.7%	-19.4	3
1904-10-01	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	1519	1386	37.7%	17.9%	44.4%	+19.4	13
1904-10-01	Celtic	L 2-3	1423	1709	24.6%	17.3%	58.1%	-5.5	4
1904-10-01	@ Queen's Park	W 3-2	1709	1423	58.1%	17.3%	24.6%	+5.5	16
1904-10-01	St. Mirren	L 2-3	1744	1504	77.7%	15.7%	6.6%	-15.6	16
1904-10-01	@ Rangers	W 3-2	1504	1744	6.6%	15.7%	77.7%	+15.6	7
1904-10-08	Queen's Park	W 2-1	1328	1418	50.1%	17.9%	31.9%	+7.4	11
1904-10-08	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	1418	1328	31.9%	17.9%	50.1%	-7.4	4
1904-10-08	Greenock Morton	L 0-3	1367	1409	56.0%	17.8%	26.1%	-34.8	3
1904-10-08	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	1409	1367	26.1%	17.8%	56.0%	+34.8	13
1904-10-08	Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-3	1468	1454	62.1%	17.6%	20.3%	-38.4	7
1904-10-08	@ Partick Thistle	W 3-0	1454	1468	20.3%	17.6%	62.1%	+38.4	22
1904-10-08	Third Lanark	D 1-1	1426	1650	31.9%	17.6%	50.4%	+1.0	8
1904-10-08	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	D 1-1	1650	1426	50.4%	17.6%	31.9%	-1.0	12
1904-10-08	Dundee	D 1-1	1519	1538	58.6%	17.8%	23.6%	-1.9	8
1904-10-08	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1538	1519	23.6%	17.8%	58.6%	+1.9	14
1904-10-15	Rangers	D 2-2	1715	1728	59.3%	17.8%	23.0%	-1.5	17
1904-10-15	@ Celtic	D 2-2	1728	1715	23.0%	17.8%	59.3%	+1.4	17
1904-10-15	Greenock Morton	W 6-1	1540	1444	69.2%	17.1%	13.7%	+13.3	17
1904-10-15	@ Dundee	L 1-6	1444	1540	13.7%	17.1%	69.2%	-13.3	13
1904-10-15	Motherwell	W 2-0	1465	1332	71.8%	16.8%	11.4%	+5.8	12
1904-10-15	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1332	1465	11.4%	16.8%	71.8%	-5.8	3
1904-10-15	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1430	1642	33.4%	17.7%	48.9%	+10.5	10
1904-10-15	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	1642	1430	48.9%	17.7%	33.4%	-10.5	11
1904-10-15	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1427	1335	68.9%	17.2%	14.0%	-3.0	9
1904-10-15	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	D 1-1	1335	1427	14.0%	17.2%	68.9%	+3.1	12
1904-10-15	Airdrieonians (old)	D 1-1	1411	1492	51.2%	17.9%	30.9%	-1.0	5
1904-10-15	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1492	1411	30.9%	17.9%	51.2%	+1.0	23
1904-10-15	Third Lanark	L 1-2	1517	1649	44.5%	17.9%	37.5%	-9.7	8
1904-10-15	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1649	1517	37.5%	17.9%	44.5%	+9.7	15
1904-10-22	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1493	1338	73.2%	16.6%	10.2%	-3.5	24
1904-10-22	@ Airdrieonians (old)	D 1-1	1338	1493	10.2%	16.6%	73.2%	+3.5	13
1904-10-22	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	1554	1440	70.4%	17.0%	12.6%	-15.9	17
1904-10-22	@ Dundee	W 1-0	1440	1554	12.6%	17.0%	70.4%	+15.9	13
1904-10-22	St. Mirren	W 3-1	1631	1508	71.1%	16.9%	12.0%	+5.2	14
1904-10-22	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	1508	1631	12.0%	16.9%	71.1%	-5.2	8
1904-10-22	Hibernian	D 1-1	1424	1471	55.5%	17.9%	26.7%	-1.5	10
1904-10-22	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	D 1-1	1471	1424	26.7%	17.9%	55.5%	+1.5	13
1904-10-22	Queen's Park	W 5-0	1730	1409	81.0%	14.6%	4.4%	+5.2	20
1904-10-22	@ Rangers	L 0-5	1409	1730	4.4%	14.6%	81.0%	-5.2	5
1904-10-22	Celtic	L 1-2	1659	1713	54.5%	17.9%	27.6%	-11.7	15
1904-10-22	@ Third Lanark	W 2-1	1713	1659	27.6%	17.9%	54.5%	+11.7	20
1904-10-29	Queen's Park	D 1-1	1725	1404	81.0%	14.6%	4.4%	-4.4	21
1904-10-29	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1404	1725	4.4%	14.6%	81.0%	+4.4	6
1904-10-29	Partick Thistle	L 0-1	1430	1456	57.9%	17.8%	24.3%	-13.1	13
1904-10-29	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1456	1430	24.3%	17.8%	57.9%	+13.1	16
1904-10-29	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	1473	1636	40.0%	17.9%	42.1%	+26.9	16
1904-10-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	1636	1473	42.1%	17.9%	40.0%	-26.9	14
1904-10-29	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1342	1502	40.4%	17.9%	41.7%	+9.8	16
1904-10-29	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	1502	1342	41.7%	17.9%	40.4%	-9.8	8
1904-10-29	Airdrieonians (old)	W 1-0	1326	1490	40.1%	17.9%	42.1%	+9.8	6
1904-10-29	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1490	1326	42.1%	17.9%	40.1%	-9.8	24
1904-10-29	Dundee	W 2-1	1735	1538	75.6%	16.2%	8.3%	+2.1	23
1904-10-29	@ Rangers	L 1-2	1538	1735	8.3%	16.2%	75.6%	-2.1	17
1904-10-29	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-0	1647	1423	77.0%	15.8%	7.2%	+5.3	18
1904-10-29	@ Third Lanark	L 0-3	1423	1647	7.2%	15.8%	77.0%	-5.3	10
1904-11-05	Dundee	W 2-0	1480	1536	54.4%	17.9%	27.7%	+13.0	27
1904-11-05	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-2	1536	1480	27.7%	17.9%	54.4%	-13.0	17
1904-11-05	Rangers	L 0-5	1609	1737	45.1%	17.9%	37.0%	-46.0	14
1904-11-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 5-0	1737	1609	37.0%	17.9%	45.1%	+46.0	26
1904-11-05	Celtic	L 0-3	1351	1721	16.9%	16.6%	66.6%	-12.0	16
1904-11-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-0	1721	1351	66.6%	16.6%	16.9%	+12.0	24
1904-11-05	Motherwell	W 1-0	1469	1336	71.8%	16.8%	11.4%	+3.1	19
1904-11-05	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	1336	1469	11.4%	16.8%	71.8%	-3.1	6
1904-11-05	Greenock Morton	W 2-1	1417	1417	60.7%	17.7%	21.6%	+5.2	13
1904-11-05	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 1-2	1417	1417	21.6%	17.7%	60.7%	-5.2	13
1904-11-05	Third Lanark	L 0-1	1409	1652	29.4%	17.5%	53.0%	-7.3	6
1904-11-05	@ Queen's Park	W 1-0	1652	1409	53.0%	17.5%	29.4%	+7.3	21
1904-11-05	Hibernian	W 2-0	1493	1500	59.9%	17.7%	22.3%	+10.8	11
1904-11-05	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	1500	1493	22.3%	17.7%	59.9%	-10.8	16
1904-11-12	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	1523	1563	56.2%	17.8%	26.0%	+12.3	20
1904-11-12	@ Dundee	L 0-2	1563	1523	26.0%	17.8%	56.2%	-12.3	14
1904-11-12	Airdrieonians (old)	W 2-0	1412	1493	51.3%	17.9%	30.8%	+14.3	16
1904-11-12	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-2	1493	1412	30.8%	17.9%	51.3%	-14.3	27
1904-11-12	Celtic	D 2-2	1489	1733	29.4%	17.5%	53.0%	+0.9	17
1904-11-12	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	1733	1489	53.0%	17.5%	29.4%	-0.9	25
1904-11-12	Queen's Park	D 1-1	1333	1401	52.9%	17.9%	29.2%	-1.2	7
1904-11-12	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	1401	1333	29.2%	17.9%	52.9%	+1.2	7
1904-11-12	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-0	1472	1423	65.4%	17.4%	17.2%	+12.3	22
1904-11-12	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-3	1423	1472	17.2%	17.4%	65.4%	-12.4	13
1904-11-12	Rangers	W 3-0	1503	1783	25.3%	17.3%	57.3%	+35.3	14
1904-11-12	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	1783	1503	57.3%	17.3%	25.3%	-35.3	26
1904-11-12	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	1660	1340	81.0%	14.6%	4.4%	+1.9	24
1904-11-12	@ Third Lanark	L 1-3	1340	1660	4.4%	14.6%	81.0%	-1.9	16
1904-11-19	St. Mirren	L 1-3	1479	1539	53.9%	17.9%	28.2%	-20.0	27
1904-11-19	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-1	1539	1479	28.2%	17.9%	53.9%	+20.0	17
1904-11-19	Dundee	W 3-0	1732	1535	75.6%	16.2%	8.3%	+6.1	28
1904-11-19	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1535	1732	8.3%	16.2%	75.6%	-6.1	20
1904-11-19	Hibernian	D 2-2	1426	1490	53.5%	17.9%	28.6%	-1.0	17
1904-11-19	@ Greenock Morton	D 2-2	1490	1426	28.6%	17.9%	53.5%	+1.0	18
1904-11-19	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 2-0	1551	1410	72.3%	16.7%	11.0%	+5.6	17
1904-11-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1410	1551	11.0%	16.7%	72.3%	-5.6	13
1904-11-19	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1332	1338	60.1%	17.7%	22.2%	+5.4	10
1904-11-19	@ Motherwell	L 1-2	1338	1332	22.2%	17.7%	60.1%	-5.4	16
1904-11-19	Partick Thistle	L 1-4	1403	1485	51.2%	17.9%	30.9%	-26.9	7
1904-11-19	@ Queen's Park	W 4-1	1485	1403	30.9%	17.9%	51.2%	+26.9	25
1904-11-19	Third Lanark	W 3-1	1747	1662	68.4%	17.2%	14.4%	+6.2	29
1904-11-19	@ Rangers	L 1-3	1662	1747	14.4%	17.2%	68.4%	-6.3	24
1904-11-26	Celtic	L 1-3	1459	1738	25.4%	17.3%	57.3%	-10.4	27
1904-11-26	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-1	1738	1459	57.3%	17.3%	25.4%	+10.4	31
1904-11-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1491	1332	73.4%	16.6%	10.0%	+2.6	21
1904-11-26	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	1332	1491	10.0%	16.6%	73.4%	-2.5	16
1904-11-26	Heart of Midlothian	W 7-1	1655	1557	69.4%	17.1%	13.5%	+15.6	27
1904-11-26	@ Third Lanark	L 1-7	1557	1655	13.5%	17.1%	69.4%	-15.6	17
1904-12-03	Motherwell	W 4-2	1748	1337	84.0%	13.2%	2.7%	+1.0	34
1904-12-03	@ Celtic	L 2-4	1337	1748	2.7%	13.2%	84.0%	-1.0	10
1904-12-03	Hibernian	W 4-1	1529	1493	64.1%	17.5%	18.3%	+11.1	23
1904-12-03	@ Dundee	L 1-4	1493	1529	18.3%	17.5%	64.1%	-11.1	21
1904-12-03	Airdrieonians (old)	W 6-0	1541	1448	68.9%	17.2%	13.9%	+19.4	20
1904-12-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-6	1448	1541	13.9%	17.2%	68.9%	-19.4	27
1904-12-03	Rangers	L 0-4	1330	1754	13.0%	16.0%	71.0%	-12.2	16
1904-12-03	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	1754	1330	71.0%	16.0%	13.0%	+12.2	32
1904-12-03	Third Lanark	W 3-2	1512	1671	40.6%	17.9%	41.5%	+8.7	28
1904-12-03	@ Partick Thistle	L 2-3	1671	1512	41.5%	17.9%	40.6%	-8.7	27
1904-12-03	St. Mirren	L 0-2	1405	1559	41.4%	17.9%	40.8%	-18.3	13
1904-12-03	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 2-0	1559	1405	40.8%	17.9%	41.4%	+18.3	20
1904-12-03	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1376	1425	55.2%	17.9%	27.0%	-1.5	8
1904-12-03	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1425	1376	27.0%	17.9%	55.2%	+1.5	18
1904-12-10	Third Lanark	D 0-0	1540	1662	45.8%	17.9%	36.2%	-0.5	24
1904-12-10	@ Dundee	D 0-0	1662	1540	36.2%	17.9%	45.8%	+0.5	28
1904-12-10	Celtic	L 0-1	1427	1749	20.9%	17.0%	62.1%	-5.3	18
1904-12-10	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1749	1427	62.1%	17.0%	20.9%	+5.4	37
1904-12-10	Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-2	1482	1429	65.7%	17.4%	16.9%	+4.0	24
1904-12-10	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	1429	1482	16.9%	17.4%	65.7%	-4.0	27
1904-12-10	Rangers	L 0-2	1336	1766	12.7%	15.9%	71.5%	-6.2	10
1904-12-10	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	1766	1336	71.5%	15.9%	12.7%	+6.2	35
1904-12-10	Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1520	1318	75.9%	16.1%	8.0%	+4.1	31
1904-12-10	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	1318	1520	8.0%	16.1%	75.9%	-4.1	16
1904-12-10	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 2-0	1374	1386	59.4%	17.8%	22.9%	+11.0	11
1904-12-10	@ Queen's Park	L 0-2	1386	1374	22.9%	17.8%	59.4%	-11.0	13
1904-12-10	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1577	1560	62.3%	17.6%	20.0%	-2.3	21
1904-12-10	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1560	1577	20.0%	17.6%	62.3%	+2.3	21
1904-12-17	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	1755	1524	77.2%	15.8%	7.0%	-3.0	38
1904-12-17	@ Celtic	D 2-2	1524	1755	7.0%	15.8%	77.2%	+3.0	32
1904-12-17	Dundee	W 5-1	1421	1539	46.4%	17.9%	35.6%	+25.5	21
1904-12-17	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-5	1539	1421	35.6%	17.9%	46.4%	-25.5	24
1904-12-17	Hibernian	L 1-2	1330	1486	41.1%	17.9%	41.0%	-9.1	10
1904-12-17	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	1486	1330	41.0%	17.9%	41.1%	+9.1	27
1904-12-17	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1385	1313	67.3%	17.3%	15.4%	-2.9	12
1904-12-17	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1313	1385	15.4%	17.3%	67.3%	+2.9	17
1904-12-17	Airdrieonians (old)	W 4-1	1772	1425	82.0%	14.2%	3.8%	+2.3	38
1904-12-17	@ Rangers	L 1-4	1425	1772	3.8%	14.2%	82.0%	-2.3	27
1904-12-24	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	1423	1527	48.2%	17.9%	33.9%	+22.5	30
1904-12-24	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-3	1527	1423	33.9%	17.9%	48.2%	-22.5	32
1904-12-24	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1752	1575	74.5%	16.4%	9.2%	+2.5	41
1904-12-24	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1575	1752	9.2%	16.4%	74.5%	-2.5	21
1904-12-24	Third Lanark	D 1-1	1495	1663	39.5%	17.8%	42.7%	+0.2	28
1904-12-24	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1663	1495	42.7%	17.8%	39.5%	-0.2	29
1904-12-24	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1316	1447	44.7%	17.9%	37.4%	+8.9	20
1904-12-24	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	1447	1316	37.4%	17.9%	44.7%	-8.9	21
1904-12-24	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	1375	1563	36.7%	17.8%	45.5%	+28.7	16
1904-12-24	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 0-3	1563	1375	45.5%	17.8%	36.7%	-28.7	21
1904-12-24	Motherwell	W 2-0	1382	1321	66.4%	17.4%	16.2%	+8.1	15
1904-12-24	@ Queen's Park	L 0-2	1321	1382	16.2%	17.4%	66.4%	-8.1	10
1904-12-26	Dundee	D 2-2	1663	1514	72.8%	16.7%	10.5%	-2.6	30
1904-12-26	@ Third Lanark	D 2-2	1514	1663	10.5%	16.7%	72.8%	+2.6	25
1904-12-31	Rangers	D 2-2	1445	1774	20.3%	16.9%	62.8%	+1.7	31
1904-12-31	@ Airdrieonians (old)	D 2-2	1774	1445	62.8%	16.9%	20.3%	-1.7	39
1904-12-31	Kilmarnock	W 3-1	1754	1325	84.5%	13.0%	2.5%	+1.0	44
1904-12-31	@ Celtic	L 1-3	1325	1754	2.5%	13.0%	84.5%	-1.0	20
1904-12-31	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 4-0	1516	1404	70.4%	17.0%	12.7%	+12.1	28
1904-12-31	@ Dundee	L 0-4	1404	1516	12.7%	17.0%	70.4%	-12.1	16
1904-12-31	Queen's Park	D 1-1	1438	1390	65.2%	17.5%	17.3%	-2.6	22
1904-12-31	@ Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1390	1438	17.3%	17.5%	65.2%	+2.6	16
1904-12-31	Motherwell	W 4-1	1534	1313	76.8%	15.9%	7.3%	+4.5	24
1904-12-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	1313	1534	7.3%	15.9%	76.8%	-4.5	10
1904-12-31	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1505	1572	53.0%	17.9%	29.1%	-12.0	32
1904-12-31	@ Partick Thistle	W 1-0	1572	1505	29.1%	17.9%	53.0%	+12.0	24
1904-12-31	Hibernian	W 4-1	1660	1495	73.8%	16.5%	9.7%	+6.1	33
1904-12-31	@ Third Lanark	L 1-4	1495	1660	9.7%	16.5%	73.8%	-6.1	28
1905-01-02	Hibernian	W 1-0	1538	1489	65.4%	17.4%	17.2%	+4.5	27
1905-01-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1489	1538	17.2%	17.4%	65.4%	-4.5	28
1905-01-02	Partick Thistle	W 3-2	1324	1493	39.3%	17.8%	42.8%	+8.9	23
1905-01-02	@ Kilmarnock	L 2-3	1493	1324	42.8%	17.8%	39.3%	-8.9	32
1905-01-02	Motherwell	L 1-2	1584	1308	79.3%	15.2%	5.5%	-16.8	24
1905-01-02	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1308	1584	5.5%	15.2%	79.3%	+16.8	13
1905-01-03	Airdrieonians (old)	L 2-3	1755	1447	80.6%	14.8%	4.7%	-16.1	44
1905-01-03	@ Celtic	W 3-2	1447	1755	4.7%	14.8%	80.6%	+16.1	34
1905-01-03	Rangers	L 1-4	1484	1773	24.3%	17.2%	58.4%	-14.1	32
1905-01-03	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-1	1773	1484	58.4%	17.2%	24.3%	+14.1	42
1905-01-07	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-0	1739	1392	82.0%	14.2%	3.8%	+2.8	47
1905-01-07	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1392	1739	3.8%	14.2%	82.0%	-2.8	16
1905-01-07	Motherwell	D 0-0	1528	1325	75.9%	16.1%	8.0%	-4.3	29
1905-01-07	@ Dundee	D 0-0	1325	1528	8.0%	16.1%	75.9%	+4.3	14
1905-01-07	St. Mirren	L 1-3	1435	1568	44.5%	17.9%	37.6%	-16.8	22
1905-01-07	@ Greenock Morton	W 3-1	1568	1435	37.6%	17.9%	44.5%	+16.8	27
1905-01-07	Kilmarnock	L 1-3	1543	1333	76.2%	16.0%	7.7%	-28.0	27
1905-01-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	1333	1543	7.7%	16.0%	76.2%	+28.1	26
1905-01-07	Queen's Park	W 3-1	1470	1393	67.7%	17.3%	15.1%	+6.5	35
1905-01-07	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	1393	1470	15.1%	17.3%	67.7%	-6.5	16
1905-01-07	Airdrieonians (old)	W 6-0	1666	1463	75.9%	16.1%	8.0%	+11.3	36
1905-01-07	@ Third Lanark	L 0-6	1463	1666	8.0%	16.1%	75.9%	-11.3	34
1905-01-14	Celtic	W 2-1	1524	1742	32.7%	17.7%	49.6%	+10.7	32
1905-01-14	@ Dundee	L 1-2	1742	1524	49.6%	17.7%	32.7%	-10.7	47
1905-01-14	Greenock Morton	W 4-0	1485	1419	66.8%	17.3%	15.8%	+15.0	31
1905-01-14	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	1419	1485	15.8%	17.3%	66.8%	-15.0	22
1905-01-14	Airdrieonians (old)	W 1-0	1361	1452	50.1%	17.9%	32.0%	+7.8	29
1905-01-14	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-1	1452	1361	32.0%	17.9%	50.1%	-7.8	34
1905-01-14	Partick Thistle	W 6-1	1389	1476	50.5%	17.9%	31.5%	+28.2	19
1905-01-14	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 1-6	1476	1389	31.5%	17.9%	50.5%	-28.2	35
1905-01-14	St. Mirren	W 2-1	1387	1584	35.3%	17.8%	46.9%	+10.2	19
1905-01-14	@ Queen's Park	L 1-2	1584	1387	46.9%	17.8%	35.3%	-10.2	27
1905-01-14	Motherwell	W 3-2	1787	1329	85.3%	12.5%	2.1%	+0.5	45
1905-01-14	@ Rangers	L 2-3	1329	1787	2.1%	12.5%	85.3%	-0.5	14
1905-01-21	Queen's Park	L 0-1	1444	1397	65.2%	17.5%	17.4%	-14.7	34
1905-01-21	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 1-0	1397	1444	17.4%	17.5%	65.2%	+14.7	22
1905-01-21	Hibernian	W 2-0	1731	1500	77.3%	15.8%	6.9%	+3.5	50
1905-01-21	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1500	1731	6.9%	15.8%	77.3%	-3.5	31
1905-01-21	Port Glasgow Athletic	L 0-2	1329	1417	50.3%	17.9%	31.8%	-21.6	14
1905-01-21	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	1417	1329	31.8%	17.9%	50.3%	+21.7	22
1905-01-21	Dundee	W 2-1	1448	1535	50.5%	17.9%	31.5%	+7.3	38
1905-01-21	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	1535	1448	31.5%	17.9%	50.5%	-7.3	32
1905-01-21	Kilmarnock	W 6-2	1787	1369	84.2%	13.1%	2.6%	+1.7	48
1905-01-21	@ Rangers	L 2-6	1369	1787	2.6%	13.1%	84.2%	-1.7	29
1905-01-21	Greenock Morton	W 5-0	1677	1404	79.2%	15.2%	5.6%	+6.6	39
1905-01-21	@ Third Lanark	L 0-5	1404	1677	5.6%	15.2%	79.2%	-6.6	22
1905-02-04	Third Lanark	D 1-1	1429	1684	28.1%	17.5%	54.4%	+1.4	35
1905-02-04	@ Airdrieonians (old)	D 1-1	1684	1429	54.4%	17.5%	28.1%	-1.4	40
1905-02-04	Greenock Morton	W 5-2	1735	1397	81.6%	14.3%	4.0%	+2.1	53
1905-02-04	@ Celtic	L 2-5	1397	1735	4.0%	14.3%	81.6%	-2.1	22
1905-02-04	Rangers	L 0-3	1439	1789	18.5%	16.7%	64.8%	-13.0	22
1905-02-04	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-0	1789	1439	64.8%	16.7%	18.5%	+13.0	51
1905-02-04	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	1411	1515	48.4%	17.9%	33.7%	+15.4	25
1905-02-04	@ Queen's Park	L 0-2	1515	1411	33.7%	17.9%	48.4%	-15.4	27
1905-02-11	Dundee	W 2-1	1367	1528	40.5%	17.9%	41.6%	+9.2	32
1905-02-11	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	1528	1367	41.6%	17.9%	40.5%	-9.2	32
1905-02-18	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	1395	1500	48.2%	17.9%	33.9%	+8.2	25
1905-02-18	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-1	1500	1395	33.9%	17.9%	48.2%	-8.2	27
1905-02-18	Port Glasgow Athletic	D 1-1	1496	1426	67.1%	17.3%	15.5%	-2.8	32
1905-02-18	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1426	1496	15.5%	17.3%	67.1%	+2.9	23
1905-02-18	Celtic	L 1-4	1802	1737	66.7%	17.3%	15.9%	-34.8	51
1905-02-18	@ Rangers	W 4-1	1737	1802	15.9%	17.3%	66.7%	+34.8	56
1905-02-18	Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1574	1376	75.6%	16.2%	8.2%	+2.2	30
1905-02-18	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	1376	1574	8.2%	16.2%	75.6%	-2.2	32
1905-02-18	Partick Thistle	W 6-1	1683	1455	77.1%	15.8%	7.1%	+7.0	43
1905-02-18	@ Third Lanark	L 1-6	1455	1683	7.1%	15.8%	77.1%	-7.0	38
1905-02-25	Dundee	W 3-1	1491	1518	57.8%	17.8%	24.4%	+10.1	30
1905-02-25	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	1518	1491	24.4%	17.8%	57.8%	-10.1	32
1905-03-04	Greenock Morton	W 2-0	1501	1403	69.3%	17.1%	13.5%	+6.8	33
1905-03-04	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1403	1501	13.5%	17.1%	69.3%	-6.8	25
1905-03-04	Celtic	L 2-6	1307	1772	10.7%	15.5%	73.9%	-7.1	14
1905-03-04	@ Motherwell	W 6-2	1772	1307	73.9%	15.5%	10.7%	+7.1	59
1905-03-04	Queen's Park	W 4-2	1429	1427	60.9%	17.7%	21.4%	+8.1	26
1905-03-04	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 2-4	1427	1429	21.4%	17.7%	60.9%	-8.1	25
1905-03-11	Queen's Park	W 2-0	1508	1419	68.7%	17.2%	14.1%	+7.1	36
1905-03-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1419	1508	14.1%	17.2%	68.7%	-7.1	25
1905-03-11	Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-1	1576	1430	72.6%	16.7%	10.7%	-16.4	30
1905-03-11	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	1430	1576	10.7%	16.7%	72.6%	+16.4	38
1905-03-18	Partick Thistle	W 4-0	1493	1448	65.0%	17.5%	17.5%	+16.5	35
1905-03-18	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	1448	1493	17.5%	17.5%	65.0%	-16.5	38
1905-03-18	Third Lanark	L 0-1	1300	1689	15.3%	16.3%	68.3%	-4.0	14
1905-03-18	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	1689	1300	68.3%	16.3%	15.3%	+4.0	46
1905-03-18	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 5-1	1767	1437	81.4%	14.4%	4.2%	+3.3	54
1905-03-18	@ Rangers	L 1-5	1437	1767	4.2%	14.4%	81.4%	-3.3	26
1905-03-18	Queen's Park	D 1-1	1560	1412	72.8%	16.7%	10.6%	-3.5	31
1905-03-18	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1412	1560	10.6%	16.7%	72.8%	+3.5	26
1905-03-25	St. Mirren	W 3-2	1296	1557	27.5%	17.4%	55.1%	+11.1	17
1905-03-25	@ Motherwell	L 2-3	1557	1296	55.1%	17.4%	27.5%	-11.1	31
1905-03-25	Dundee	W 1-0	1434	1508	52.1%	17.9%	30.0%	+7.4	29
1905-03-25	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 0-1	1508	1434	30.0%	17.9%	52.1%	-7.4	32
1905-04-01	Queen's Park	W 3-0	1501	1415	68.4%	17.2%	14.4%	+10.5	35
1905-04-01	@ Dundee	L 0-3	1415	1501	14.4%	17.2%	68.4%	-10.5	26
1905-04-01	Greenock Morton	W 5-0	1771	1396	82.9%	13.8%	3.3%	+3.8	57
1905-04-01	@ Rangers	L 0-5	1396	1771	3.3%	13.8%	82.9%	-3.8	25
1905-04-01	St. Mirren	W 3-0	1693	1545	72.8%	16.7%	10.6%	+7.8	49
1905-04-01	@ Third Lanark	L 0-3	1545	1693	10.6%	16.7%	72.8%	-7.8	31
1905-04-08	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	1307	1432	45.5%	17.9%	36.6%	+8.8	20
1905-04-08	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1432	1307	36.6%	17.9%	45.5%	-8.8	38
1905-04-29	Rangers	L 0-2	1392	1774	15.9%	16.4%	67.7%	-7.8	25
1905-04-29	@ Greenock Morton	W 2-0	1774	1392	67.7%	16.4%	15.9%	+7.8	60

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1905-05-06	Rangers	W 2-1	1779	1782	60.3%	17.7%	22.0%	+5.3	1-0
1905-05-06	@ Celtic	L 1-2	1782	1779	22.0%	17.7%	60.3%	-5.3	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1905-01-03	4.66%	Airdrieonians (old)	1447	3	@ Celtic	1755	2
2	1905-01-02	5.51%	Motherwell	1308	2	@ St. Mirren	1584	1
3	1904-10-01	6.63%	St. Mirren	1504	3	@ Rangers	1744	2
4	1905-01-07	7.74%	Kilmarnock	1333	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1543	1
5	1904-10-01	7.82%	Partick Thistle	1451	1	@ Heart of Midlothian	1659	0
6	1904-09-03	9.95%	Airdrieonians (old)	1394	1	@ Dundee	1554	0
7	1905-03-11	10.69%	Airdrieonians (old)	1430	1	@ St. Mirren	1576	0
8	1904-10-22	12.57%	Partick Thistle	1440	1	@ Dundee	1554	0
9	1904-09-10	14.81%	Port Glasgow Athletic	1442	2	@ St. Mirren	1522	1
10	1905-02-18	15.91%	Celtic	1737	4	@ Rangers	1802	1
11	1904-09-17	17.37%	Airdrieonians (old)	1409	3	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	1456	1
12	1905-01-21	17.37%	Queen's Park	1397	1	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1444	0
13	1904-10-08	20.26%	Airdrieonians (old)	1454	3	@ Partick Thistle	1468	0
14	1904-09-26	21.24%	Hibernian	1461	1	@ Partick Thistle	1465	0
15	1904-08-20	23.52%	@ Kilmarnock	1339	3	Heart of Midlothian	1636	2
16	1904-10-29	24.29%	Partick Thistle	1456	1	@ Greenock Morton	1430	0
17	1904-08-27	25.09%	Motherwell	1384	2	@ Kilmarnock	1351	0
18	1904-11-12	25.34%	@ St. Mirren	1503	3	Rangers	1783	0
19	1904-10-08	26.10%	Greenock Morton	1409	3	@ Motherwell	1367	0
20	1905-03-25	27.47%	@ Motherwell	1296	3	St. Mirren	1557	2
21	1904-10-22	27.57%	Celtic	1713	2	@ Third Lanark	1659	1
22	1904-11-19	28.22%	St. Mirren	1539	3	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1479	1
23	1904-12-31	29.11%	St. Mirren	1572	1	@ Partick Thistle	1505	0
24	1904-09-24	30.75%	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1433	3	Heart of Midlothian	1666	2
25	1904-11-19	30.89%	Partick Thistle	1485	4	@ Queen's Park	1403	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1904-11-05	45.99	Rangers	5	1737	36.96%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1609	45.12%
2	1904-08-20	43.95	Celtic	5	1653	39.33%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1509	42.77%
3	1904-10-08	38.38	Airdrieonians (old)	3	1454	20.26%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1468	62.09%
4	1904-11-12	35.35	@ St. Mirren	3	1503	25.34%	Rangers	0	1783	57.34%
5	1905-02-18	34.78	Celtic	4	1737	15.91%	@ Rangers	1	1802	66.74%
6	1904-10-08	34.75	Greenock Morton	3	1409	26.10%	@ Motherwell	0	1367	56.05%
7	1904-12-24	28.73	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	3	1375	36.72%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1563	45.49%
8	1905-01-14	28.25	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	6	1389	50.54%	Partick Thistle	1	1476	31.54%
9	1905-01-07	28.05	Kilmarnock	3	1333	7.74%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1	1543	76.24%
10	1904-10-29	26.94	@ Hibernian	3	1473	40.02%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1636	42.12%
11	1904-11-19	26.94	Partick Thistle	4	1485	30.89%	@ Queen's Park	1	1403	51.19%
12	1904-09-10	26.57	Rangers	3	1691	40.72%	@ Dundee	0	1537	41.40%
13	1904-12-17	25.55	@ Greenock Morton	5	1421	46.44%	Dundee	1	1539	35.63%
14	1904-08-27	24.35	Motherwell	2	1384	25.09%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1351	57.08%
15	1904-09-17	24.01	Airdrieonians (old)	3	1409	17.37%	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	1	1456	65.16%
16	1904-09-17	22.50	Rangers	4	1718	57.67%	@ Queen's Park	0	1436	25.04%
17	1904-12-24	22.50	@ Airdrieonians (old)	3	1423	48.20%	Partick Thistle	0	1527	33.87%
18	1905-01-21	21.66	Port Glasgow Athletic	2	1417	31.75%	@ Motherwell	0	1329	50.32%
19	1904-11-19	19.97	St. Mirren	3	1539	28.22%	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1	1479	53.89%
20	1904-12-03	19.43	@ Heart of Midlothian	6	1541	68.92%	Airdrieonians (old)	0	1448	13.92%
21	1904-10-01	19.39	Dundee	2	1519	37.70%	@ Motherwell	0	1386	44.38%
22	1904-12-03	18.28	St. Mirren	2	1559	40.75%	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	0	1405	41.38%
23	1904-10-01	17.16	Partick Thistle	1	1451	7.82%	@ Heart of Midlothian	0	1659	76.14%
24	1904-08-27	17.05	Celtic	4	1697	52.43%	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	1	1458	30.01%
25	1905-01-07	16.82	St. Mirren	3	1568	37.61%	@ Greenock Morton	1	1435	44.47%