Home / Leagues / Scotland / Championship / 2023-24
‹ ›

2023-24 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Airdrieonians

15.48 points above expected

52 points · 36.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Arbroath

14.45 points below expected

23 points · 37.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundee United 36 22 9 5 75 73 23 +50 70.03 +4.97
2 Raith Rovers 36 20 9 7 69 58 42 +16 53.99 +15.01
3 Partick Thistle 36 14 13 9 55 63 54 +9 56.37 -1.37
4 Airdrieonians 36 15 7 14 52 44 44 0 36.52 +15.48
5 Greenock Morton 36 12 9 15 45 43 46 -3 48.35 -3.35
6 Dunfermline Athletic 36 11 12 13 45 43 48 -5 46.28 -1.28
7 Ayr United 36 12 8 16 44 53 61 -8 45.82 -1.82
8 Queens Park 36 11 10 15 43 50 56 -6 46.30 -3.30
9 Inverness CT 36 10 12 14 42 41 40 +1 50.85 -8.85
10 Arbroath 36 6 5 25 23 35 89 -54 37.45 -14.45

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dundee United 1665 75 70.03 +4.97 76.9% 44 58 65 70 75 82 99
Partick Thistle 1516 55 56.37 -1.37 45.5% 30 44 51 56 61 69 82
Raith Rovers 1515 69 53.99 +15.01 98.0% 26 42 49 54 59 66 87
Inverness CT 1476 42 50.85 -8.85 13.6% 23 38 46 51 56 63 82
Queens Park 1458 43 46.30 -3.30 35.8% 18 34 41 46 51 59 78
Greenock Morton 1449 45 48.35 -3.35 35.5% 21 36 43 48 53 61 76
Ayr United 1436 44 45.82 -1.82 43.0% 18 34 41 46 51 58 76
Airdrieonians 1428 52 36.52 +15.48 98.4% 11 25 32 36 41 49 70
Dunfermline Athletic 1422 45 46.28 -1.28 45.9% 17 34 41 46 51 58 72
Arbroath 1234 23 37.45 -14.45 2.2% 13 26 33 37 42 49 66

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AIR ARB AU DU DA GM IC PT QP RR
Airdrieonians —
3-0-1
5.46
0-0-4
4.62
1-1-2
2.40
2-0-2
4.61
2-1-1
4.13
2-1-1
3.78
1-1-2
3.56
1-2-1
4.58
3-1-0
3.53
Arbroath
1-0-3
5.46
 —
1-1-2
4.70
0-0-4
3.16
0-2-2
4.52
1-0-3
4.22
1-1-2
4.32
1-0-3
3.91
0-0-4
4.00
1-1-2
3.24
Ayr United
4-0-0
6.27
2-1-1
6.21
 —
0-0-4
3.24
1-2-1
5.44
0-1-3
5.53
2-0-2
4.95
1-2-1
4.31
2-1-1
5.29
0-1-3
4.48
Dundee United
2-1-1
8.75
4-0-0
7.90
4-0-0
7.81
 —
1-2-1
7.99
2-1-1
7.75
2-2-0
7.60
3-1-0
6.96
3-1-0
8.06
1-1-2
7.30
Dunfermline Athletic
2-0-2
6.30
2-2-0
6.36
1-2-1
5.43
1-2-1
3.03
 —
3-0-1
5.37
0-4-0
4.83
1-1-2
4.35
1-1-2
5.63
0-0-4
4.82
Greenock Morton
1-1-2
6.80
3-0-1
6.72
3-1-0
5.35
1-1-2
3.26
1-0-3
5.52
 —
1-1-2
5.11
0-1-3
4.55
2-2-0
5.74
0-2-2
5.20
Inverness CT
1-1-2
7.15
2-1-1
6.63
2-0-2
5.94
0-2-2
3.39
0-4-0
6.06
2-1-1
5.79
 —
0-3-1
4.58
2-0-2
6.14
1-0-3
5.18
Partick Thistle
2-1-1
7.40
3-0-1
7.04
1-2-1
6.59
0-1-3
3.99
2-1-1
6.57
3-1-0
6.35
1-3-0
6.31
 —
2-2-0
6.27
0-2-2
5.75
Queens Park
1-2-1
6.30
4-0-0
6.92
1-1-2
5.59
0-1-3
2.97
2-1-1
5.25
0-2-2
5.14
2-0-2
4.75
0-2-2
4.63
 —
1-1-2
4.69
Raith Rovers
0-1-3
7.43
2-1-1
7.79
3-1-0
6.43
2-1-1
3.65
4-0-0
6.08
2-2-0
5.67
3-0-1
5.70
2-2-0
5.14
2-1-1
6.21
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +10.8
Allowed 0.68 -7.1
Differential 0.89 +5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.44%7.22%3.89%2.78%1.67%2.22%27.22%
17.22%11.11%10.56%3.33%1.39%—33.61%
23.89%10.56%3.89%2.78%—0.56%21.67%
32.78%3.33%2.78%1.11%0.56%—10.56%
41.67%1.39%—0.56%0.56%—4.17%
5+2.22%—0.56%———2.78%
Total27.22%33.61%21.67%10.56%4.17%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.90
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%—5.56%—27.78%
18.33%11.11%16.67%———36.11%
211.11%13.89%—2.78%——27.78%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total27.78%36.11%27.78%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.07 1.64
CV 0.90 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%8.33%8.33%13.89%44.44%
1—8.33%16.67%2.78%——27.78%
2—5.56%2.78%5.56%—2.78%16.67%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total11.11%19.44%27.78%16.67%8.33%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 2.47 -1.50
SD 1.11 1.70 2.44
CV 1.14 0.69 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
18.33%2.78%16.67%8.33%——36.11%
22.78%11.11%8.33%———22.22%
3——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
4———2.78%2.78%—5.56%
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total19.44%22.22%33.33%19.44%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.69 -0.22
SD 1.38 1.17 1.73
CV 0.94 0.69 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
113.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%5.56%—2.78%——16.67%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
45.56%8.33%————13.89%
5+8.33%—————8.33%
Total52.78%36.11%5.56%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.64 +1.39
SD 1.61 0.83 1.98
CV 0.80 1.30 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%5.56%—2.78%30.56%
12.78%19.44%13.89%———36.11%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
32.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%44.44%25.00%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.33 -0.14
SD 1.06 1.07 1.62
CV 0.89 0.80 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
15.56%8.33%11.11%8.33%5.56%—38.89%
22.78%11.11%—2.78%——16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%30.56%16.67%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.28 -0.08
SD 1.17 1.23 1.76
CV 0.98 0.97 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%19.44%2.78%———33.33%
15.56%19.44%16.67%———41.67%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
3—8.33%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%52.78%25.00%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.11 +0.03
SD 1.15 0.75 1.16
CV 1.01 0.67 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%—5.56%—2.78%19.44%
15.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
2—11.11%11.11%———22.22%
32.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%—19.44%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%16.67%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.50 +0.25
SD 1.30 1.36 1.99
CV 0.74 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%5.56%——2.78%27.78%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
22.78%13.89%8.33%8.33%—2.78%36.11%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total30.56%25.00%19.44%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.56 -0.17
SD 1.34 1.48 2.10
CV 0.96 0.95 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
116.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%22.22%5.56%5.56%——36.11%
3——8.33%———8.33%
4———2.78%2.78%—5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%33.33%19.44%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.17 +0.44
SD 1.23 1.11 1.23
CV 0.76 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Airdrieonians 52 36.52 +15.48
2 Raith Rovers 69 53.99 +15.01
3 Dundee United 75 70.03 +4.97
4 Dunfermline Athletic 45 46.28 -1.28
5 Partick Thistle 55 56.37 -1.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Arbroath 23 37.45 -14.45
2 Inverness CT 42 50.85 -8.85
3 Greenock Morton 45 48.35 -3.35
4 Queens Park 43 46.30 -3.30
5 Ayr United 44 45.82 -1.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raith Rovers 5 Nov 11 – Dec 16 1 in 316
2 Arbroath 4 Aug 26 – Sep 23 1 in 113
3 Airdrieonians 4 Apr 2 – Apr 13 1 in 67
4 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Mar 15 – Mar 30 1 in 64
5 Greenock Morton 3 Dec 9 – Dec 16 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Arbroath 10 Mar 9 – May 3 1 in 342
2 Queens Park 5 Aug 26 – Sep 30 1 in 167
3 Raith Rovers 3 Jan 6 – Jan 27 1 in 104
4 Greenock Morton 4 Mar 2 – Mar 23 1 in 98
5 Inverness CT 3 Aug 5 – Aug 26 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greenock Morton 13 Dec 9 – Feb 27 1 in 528
2 Raith Rovers 13 Sep 30 – Jan 2 1 in 234
3 Dundee United 14 Aug 4 – Dec 9 1 in 33
4 Airdrieonians 5 Dec 23 – Jan 27 1 in 26
5 Inverness CT 6 Sep 30 – Nov 18 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queens Park 15 Aug 26 – Jan 2 1 in 577
2 Partick Thistle 8 Jan 13 – Mar 12 1 in 78
3 Dunfermline Athletic 9 Dec 16 – Feb 17 1 in 58
4 Greenock Morton 7 Aug 12 – Oct 7 1 in 23
5 Inverness CT 6 Aug 5 – Sep 23 1 in 19

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dundee United81.58%12.70%3.63%1.32%0.43%0.23%0.09%0.02%——
Raith Rovers4.92%22.83%21.31%16.73%12.27%9.40%6.04%3.87%2.11%0.52%
Partick Thistle7.76%31.41%22.11%15.08%9.37%6.42%3.96%2.46%1.07%0.36%
Airdrieonians0.04%0.25%0.83%1.92%3.05%5.13%8.81%15.05%26.05%38.87%
Greenock Morton1.28%7.02%11.49%14.14%15.49%14.70%13.67%11.40%7.11%3.70%
Dunfermline Athletic0.60%4.29%8.19%10.94%13.93%15.58%15.07%14.63%10.84%5.93%
Ayr United0.57%4.17%7.13%10.49%13.36%14.71%15.89%15.13%11.48%7.07%
Queens Park0.65%4.64%8.42%10.65%13.90%14.93%15.90%14.62%10.30%5.99%
Inverness CT2.57%12.35%16.05%16.92%14.81%12.86%10.94%7.62%4.17%1.71%
Arbroath0.03%0.34%0.84%1.81%3.39%6.04%9.63%15.20%26.87%35.85%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-0.56%
No Edge
36.67%26.11%37.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -1.93 Elo pts.
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.07 goals
Neutral
-2-0.01+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
82%
Dundee United, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.280.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.95 * Some Luck: 5.95 to 8.92 * Lucky: 8.92 to 11.9 * Wild Swing: 11.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.86 * Off: 1.86 to 2.48 * Way Off: 2.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.98 points
Lucky
07.4419
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.80
Close
01.554
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.43%
Airdrieonians
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.17%
Arbroath
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.63
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Dominant
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.51
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.11
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.103
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Dundee United 81.58% 17.65% 0.77% —
Partick Thistle 7.76% 68.60% 23.28% 0.36%
Raith Rovers 4.92% 60.87% 33.69% 0.52%
Inverness CT 2.57% 45.32% 50.40% 1.71%
Greenock Morton 1.28% 32.65% 62.37% 3.70%
Dunfermline Athletic 0.60% 23.42% 70.05% 5.93%
Queens Park 0.65% 23.71% 69.65% 5.99%
Ayr United 0.57% 21.79% 70.57% 7.07%
Arbroath 0.03% 2.99% 61.13% 35.85%
Airdrieonians 0.04% 3.00% 58.09% 38.87%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2023-08-04 Dundee United L 0-4 1441 1508 32.9% 28.3% 38.8% -27.4 0
2023-08-04 @ Arbroath W 4-0 1508 1441 38.8% 28.3% 32.9% +27.4 3
2023-08-05 Airdrieonians W 2-1 1448 1335 56.5% 25.3% 18.3% +4.4 3
2023-08-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1335 1448 18.3% 25.3% 56.5% -4.4 0
2023-08-05 Ayr United W 3-1 1470 1489 39.6% 28.3% 32.1% +12.3 3
2023-08-05 @ Greenock Morton L 1-3 1489 1470 32.1% 28.3% 39.6% -12.3 0
2023-08-05 Queens Park L 1-2 1494 1476 44.8% 27.8% 27.4% -9.1 0
2023-08-05 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1476 1494 27.4% 27.8% 44.8% +9.1 3
2023-08-05 Raith Rovers D 2-2 1501 1437 50.7% 26.8% 22.5% -1.0 1
2023-08-05 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1437 1501 22.5% 26.8% 50.7% +1.0 1
2023-08-12 Arbroath W 2-1 1485 1413 51.6% 26.6% 21.8% +5.2 6
2023-08-12 @ Queens Park L 1-2 1413 1485 21.8% 26.6% 51.6% -5.2 0
2023-08-12 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1536 1452 53.0% 26.2% 20.7% -1.5 4
2023-08-12 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1452 1536 20.7% 26.2% 53.0% +1.5 4
2023-08-12 Greenock Morton W 3-2 1438 1482 36.2% 28.4% 35.5% +7.2 4
2023-08-12 @ Raith Rovers L 2-3 1482 1438 35.5% 28.4% 36.2% -7.2 3
2023-08-12 Inverness CT W 1-0 1477 1485 41.1% 28.2% 30.7% +7.3 3
2023-08-12 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1485 1477 30.7% 28.2% 41.1% -7.3 0
2023-08-12 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1330 1500 21.3% 26.4% 52.3% +10.3 3
2023-08-12 @ Airdrieonians L 1-2 1500 1330 52.3% 26.4% 21.3% -10.3 1
2023-08-19 Queens Park L 0-1 1408 1490 30.9% 28.2% 40.9% -7.3 0
2023-08-19 @ Arbroath W 1-0 1490 1408 40.9% 28.2% 30.9% +7.3 9
2023-08-26 Arbroath L 0-3 1475 1401 51.9% 26.5% 21.6% -29.8 3
2023-08-26 @ Greenock Morton W 3-0 1401 1475 21.6% 26.5% 51.9% +29.8 3
2023-08-26 Dundee United L 0-3 1484 1534 35.3% 28.4% 36.4% -22.1 3
2023-08-26 @ Ayr United W 3-0 1534 1484 36.4% 28.4% 35.3% +22.1 7
2023-08-26 Inverness CT W 2-1 1341 1478 24.4% 27.3% 48.3% +9.7 6
2023-08-26 @ Airdrieonians L 1-2 1478 1341 48.3% 27.3% 24.4% -9.7 0
2023-08-26 Queens Park W 3-1 1490 1498 41.2% 28.2% 30.6% +11.9 4
2023-08-26 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1498 1490 30.6% 28.2% 41.2% -11.8 9
2023-08-26 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1454 1445 43.5% 28.0% 28.6% -9.4 4
2023-08-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1445 1454 28.6% 28.0% 43.5% +9.4 7
2023-09-02 Airdrieonians W 2-0 1556 1350 66.2% 21.4% 12.4% +5.8 10
2023-09-02 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1350 1556 12.4% 21.4% 66.2% -5.9 6
2023-09-02 Ayr United W 2-1 1431 1462 37.9% 28.3% 33.7% +7.4 6
2023-09-02 @ Arbroath L 1-2 1462 1431 33.7% 28.3% 37.9% -7.4 3
2023-09-02 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1468 1444 45.6% 27.7% 26.7% -0.8 1
2023-09-02 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1444 1468 26.7% 27.7% 45.6% +0.8 5
2023-09-02 Partick Thistle L 1-4 1445 1502 34.3% 28.4% 37.3% -18.3 3
2023-09-02 @ Greenock Morton W 4-1 1502 1445 37.3% 28.4% 34.3% +18.3 7
2023-09-02 Queens Park W 3-2 1455 1486 38.0% 28.3% 33.7% +7.0 10
2023-09-02 @ Raith Rovers L 2-3 1486 1455 33.7% 28.3% 38.0% -7.0 9
2023-09-15 Partick Thistle L 0-4 1455 1520 33.1% 28.3% 38.6% -27.6 3
2023-09-15 @ Ayr United W 4-0 1520 1455 38.6% 28.3% 33.1% +27.6 10
2023-09-16 Airdrieonians W 4-0 1438 1345 54.2% 25.9% 19.9% +18.0 9
2023-09-16 @ Arbroath L 0-4 1345 1438 19.9% 25.9% 54.2% -18.0 6
2023-09-16 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1479 1445 46.8% 27.5% 25.6% -18.8 9
2023-09-16 @ Queens Park W 2-0 1445 1479 25.6% 27.5% 46.8% +18.9 8
2023-09-16 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1562 1427 59.0% 24.4% 16.6% -2.0 11
2023-09-16 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1427 1562 16.6% 24.4% 59.0% +2.0 4
2023-09-16 Inverness CT W 1-0 1462 1467 41.5% 28.2% 30.3% +7.2 13
2023-09-16 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1467 1462 30.3% 28.2% 41.5% -7.2 1
2023-09-22 Ayr United L 2-5 1460 1427 46.7% 27.6% 25.7% -20.0 9
2023-09-22 @ Queens Park W 5-2 1427 1460 25.7% 27.6% 46.7% +20.0 6
2023-09-23 Arbroath L 0-3 1548 1456 54.0% 26.0% 20.0% -30.8 10
2023-09-23 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1456 1548 20.0% 26.0% 54.0% +30.8 12
2023-09-23 Dundee United L 0-1 1460 1560 28.7% 28.0% 43.3% -6.9 1
2023-09-23 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1560 1460 43.3% 28.0% 28.7% +6.9 14
2023-09-23 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1464 1429 47.0% 27.5% 25.4% +10.2 11
2023-09-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1429 1464 25.4% 27.5% 47.0% -10.2 4
2023-09-23 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1327 1469 23.9% 27.2% 48.9% +10.4 9
2023-09-23 @ Airdrieonians L 0-1 1469 1327 48.9% 27.2% 23.9% -10.4 13
2023-09-30 Airdrieonians L 0-1 1418 1337 52.8% 26.3% 20.9% -11.0 4
2023-09-30 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1337 1418 20.9% 26.3% 52.8% +11.0 12
2023-09-30 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1517 1474 48.0% 27.4% 24.7% +16.8 13
2023-09-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1474 1517 24.7% 27.4% 48.0% -16.8 11
2023-09-30 Inverness CT L 2-3 1487 1453 46.8% 27.6% 25.7% -8.9 12
2023-09-30 @ Arbroath W 3-2 1453 1487 25.7% 27.6% 46.8% +8.9 4
2023-09-30 Queens Park W 4-1 1567 1440 58.1% 24.7% 17.2% +10.1 17
2023-09-30 @ Dundee United L 1-4 1440 1567 17.2% 24.7% 58.1% -10.2 9
2023-09-30 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1447 1459 40.7% 28.2% 31.1% -8.5 6
2023-09-30 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1459 1447 31.1% 28.2% 40.7% +8.5 16
2023-10-07 Ayr United L 1-2 1348 1438 29.8% 28.1% 42.1% -6.7 12
2023-10-07 @ Airdrieonians W 2-1 1438 1348 42.1% 28.1% 29.8% +6.7 9
2023-10-07 Dundee United D 1-1 1467 1577 27.5% 27.8% 44.7% +0.8 17
2023-10-07 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1577 1467 44.7% 27.8% 27.5% -0.8 18
2023-10-07 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1430 1407 45.4% 27.8% 26.9% -0.9 10
2023-10-07 @ Queens Park D 0-0 1407 1430 26.9% 27.8% 45.4% +0.9 5
2023-10-07 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1462 1534 32.3% 28.3% 39.4% +0.3 5
2023-10-07 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1534 1462 39.4% 28.3% 32.3% -0.3 14
2023-10-20 Queens Park D 1-1 1341 1429 30.2% 28.1% 41.7% +0.5 13
2023-10-20 @ Airdrieonians D 1-1 1429 1341 41.7% 28.1% 30.2% -0.5 11
2023-10-21 Ayr United L 0-1 1457 1445 44.0% 27.9% 28.1% -9.5 11
2023-10-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1445 1457 28.1% 27.9% 44.0% +9.5 12
2023-10-21 Dundee United L 0-5 1533 1576 36.3% 28.4% 35.4% -36.3 14
2023-10-21 @ Partick Thistle W 5-0 1576 1533 35.4% 28.4% 36.3% +36.3 21
2023-10-27 Arbroath W 6-0 1613 1478 58.9% 24.4% 16.7% +22.3 24
2023-10-27 @ Dundee United L 0-6 1478 1613 16.7% 24.4% 58.9% -22.3 12
2023-10-27 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1428 1497 32.7% 28.3% 39.0% +0.2 12
2023-10-27 @ Queens Park D 2-2 1497 1428 39.0% 28.3% 32.7% -0.2 15
2023-10-28 Airdrieonians W 1-0 1463 1342 57.4% 25.0% 17.7% +4.5 8
2023-10-28 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1342 1463 17.7% 25.0% 57.4% -4.5 13
2023-10-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1468 1448 45.0% 27.8% 27.2% +6.6 20
2023-10-28 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1448 1468 27.2% 27.8% 45.0% -6.6 11
2023-10-28 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1455 1408 48.5% 27.3% 24.3% -10.3 12
2023-10-28 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1408 1455 24.3% 27.3% 48.5% +10.3 8
2023-10-31 Ayr United D 2-2 1497 1444 49.2% 27.1% 23.7% -0.9 16
2023-10-31 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1444 1497 23.7% 27.1% 49.2% +0.9 13
2023-10-31 Dundee United L 0-2 1337 1635 12.4% 21.4% 66.2% -5.9 13
2023-10-31 @ Airdrieonians W 2-0 1635 1337 66.2% 21.4% 12.4% +5.9 27
2023-10-31 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1419 1474 34.4% 28.4% 37.2% -7.5 8
2023-10-31 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1474 1419 37.2% 28.4% 34.4% +7.5 23
2023-11-03 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1411 1441 38.1% 28.3% 33.6% -8.0 8
2023-11-03 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1441 1411 33.6% 28.3% 38.1% +8.0 14
2023-11-04 Airdrieonians D 1-1 1482 1331 60.6% 23.8% 15.6% -2.2 24
2023-11-04 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1331 1482 15.6% 23.8% 60.6% +2.2 14
2023-11-04 Inverness CT D 1-1 1641 1467 63.0% 22.8% 14.2% -2.4 28
2023-11-04 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1467 1641 14.2% 22.8% 63.0% +2.4 9
2023-11-04 Partick Thistle L 1-3 1456 1496 36.7% 28.4% 35.0% -13.5 12
2023-11-04 @ Arbroath W 3-1 1496 1456 35.0% 28.4% 36.7% +13.5 19
2023-11-04 Queens Park D 2-2 1445 1429 44.6% 27.9% 27.6% -0.6 14
2023-11-04 @ Ayr United D 2-2 1429 1445 27.6% 27.9% 44.6% +0.6 13
2023-11-10 Dundee United L 1-2 1449 1638 19.6% 25.8% 54.6% -4.7 14
2023-11-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1638 1449 54.6% 25.8% 19.6% +4.7 31
2023-11-11 Arbroath W 2-0 1334 1442 27.6% 27.9% 44.5% +18.1 17
2023-11-11 @ Airdrieonians L 0-2 1442 1334 44.5% 27.9% 27.6% -18.1 12
2023-11-11 Ayr United W 3-1 1469 1445 45.6% 27.7% 26.6% +10.6 12
2023-11-11 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1445 1469 26.6% 27.7% 45.6% -10.6 14
2023-11-11 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1509 1403 55.7% 25.5% 18.8% +4.5 22
2023-11-11 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1403 1509 18.8% 25.5% 55.7% -4.5 8
2023-11-11 Raith Rovers L 2-3 1429 1480 35.2% 28.4% 36.4% -7.2 13
2023-11-11 @ Queens Park W 3-2 1480 1429 36.4% 28.4% 35.2% +7.2 27
2023-11-18 Inverness CT D 1-1 1445 1480 37.4% 28.4% 34.3% -0.1 15
2023-11-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1480 1445 34.3% 28.4% 37.4% +0.1 13
2023-11-28 Arbroath W 3-0 1445 1424 45.1% 27.8% 27.1% +18.1 18
2023-11-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1424 1445 27.1% 27.8% 45.1% -18.1 12
2023-12-02 Airdrieonians W 2-1 1514 1352 61.8% 23.3% 14.9% +3.6 25
2023-12-02 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1352 1514 14.9% 23.3% 61.8% -3.6 17
2023-12-02 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1480 1487 41.4% 28.2% 30.4% -8.6 13
2023-12-02 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1487 1480 30.4% 28.2% 41.4% +8.6 30
2023-12-08 Partick Thistle W 4-3 1496 1517 39.3% 28.3% 32.4% +6.6 33
2023-12-08 @ Raith Rovers L 3-4 1517 1496 32.4% 28.3% 39.3% -6.6 25
2023-12-09 Ayr United W 1-0 1643 1434 66.5% 21.2% 12.3% +3.0 34
2023-12-09 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1434 1643 12.3% 21.2% 66.5% -3.0 14
2023-12-09 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1348 1463 26.9% 27.8% 45.3% -6.2 17
2023-12-09 @ Airdrieonians W 2-1 1463 1348 45.3% 27.8% 26.9% +6.2 21
2023-12-09 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1406 1398 43.3% 28.0% 28.7% -8.9 12
2023-12-09 @ Arbroath W 2-1 1398 1406 28.7% 28.0% 43.3% +8.9 11
2023-12-09 Inverness CT L 1-4 1422 1472 35.3% 28.4% 36.3% -18.7 13
2023-12-09 @ Queens Park W 4-1 1472 1422 36.3% 28.4% 35.3% +18.6 16
2023-12-12 Inverness CT W 2-1 1407 1490 30.8% 28.2% 41.0% +8.5 14
2023-12-12 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1490 1407 41.0% 28.2% 30.8% -8.5 16
2023-12-13 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1397 1502 28.0% 27.9% 44.1% -6.4 12
2023-12-13 @ Arbroath W 2-1 1502 1397 44.1% 27.9% 28.0% +6.4 36
2023-12-16 Airdrieonians W 1-0 1431 1342 53.7% 26.1% 20.2% +5.1 17
2023-12-16 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1342 1431 20.2% 26.1% 53.7% -5.1 17
2023-12-16 Arbroath L 1-2 1482 1391 54.0% 26.0% 20.0% -10.6 16
2023-12-16 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1391 1482 20.0% 26.0% 54.0% +10.6 15
2023-12-16 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1469 1511 36.4% 28.4% 35.2% -7.8 21
2023-12-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1511 1469 35.2% 28.4% 36.4% +7.8 28
2023-12-16 Queens Park W 1-0 1416 1403 44.0% 27.9% 28.1% +6.8 17
2023-12-16 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1403 1416 28.1% 27.9% 44.0% -6.8 13
2023-12-16 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1646 1509 59.2% 24.3% 16.5% -12.1 34
2023-12-16 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1509 1646 16.5% 24.3% 59.2% +12.1 39
2023-12-22 Ayr United D 4-4 1521 1436 53.2% 26.2% 20.6% -0.8 40
2023-12-22 @ Raith Rovers D 4-4 1436 1521 20.6% 26.2% 53.2% +0.8 18
2023-12-22 Dundee United D 0-0 1396 1634 16.0% 24.0% 60.0% +2.4 14
2023-12-22 @ Queens Park D 0-0 1634 1396 60.0% 24.0% 16.0% -2.4 35
2023-12-23 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1401 1461 33.9% 28.3% 37.8% +0.2 16
2023-12-23 @ Arbroath D 1-1 1461 1401 37.8% 28.3% 33.9% -0.2 22
2023-12-23 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1337 1423 30.4% 28.2% 41.4% +0.5 18
2023-12-23 @ Airdrieonians D 0-0 1423 1337 41.4% 28.2% 30.4% -0.5 18
2023-12-23 Inverness CT D 1-1 1519 1471 48.6% 27.2% 24.2% -1.1 29
2023-12-23 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1471 1519 24.2% 27.2% 48.6% +1.1 17
2023-12-29 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1632 1517 56.6% 25.2% 18.2% +12.7 38
2023-12-29 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1517 1632 18.2% 25.2% 56.6% -12.7 29
2023-12-30 Airdrieonians L 1-2 1399 1337 50.4% 26.9% 22.7% -10.0 14
2023-12-30 @ Queens Park W 2-1 1337 1399 22.7% 26.9% 50.4% +10.0 21
2023-12-30 Arbroath D 2-2 1520 1401 57.1% 25.1% 17.8% -1.4 41
2023-12-30 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1401 1520 17.8% 25.1% 57.1% +1.4 17
2023-12-30 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1437 1461 39.0% 28.3% 32.7% -0.2 19
2023-12-30 @ Ayr United D 2-2 1461 1437 32.7% 28.3% 39.0% +0.2 23
2023-12-30 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1472 1422 48.9% 27.2% 23.9% -1.3 18
2023-12-30 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1422 1472 23.9% 27.2% 48.9% +1.3 19
2024-01-02 Ayr United W 3-0 1423 1437 40.5% 28.2% 31.3% +20.2 22
2024-01-02 @ Greenock Morton L 0-3 1437 1423 31.3% 28.2% 40.5% -20.2 19
2024-01-02 Dundee United L 0-3 1403 1644 15.7% 23.8% 60.5% -11.0 17
2024-01-02 @ Arbroath W 3-0 1644 1403 60.5% 23.8% 15.7% +11.0 41
2024-01-02 Inverness CT W 2-0 1347 1471 25.9% 27.6% 46.5% +18.8 24
2024-01-02 @ Airdrieonians L 0-2 1471 1347 46.5% 27.6% 25.9% -18.8 18
2024-01-02 Queens Park W 3-2 1505 1389 56.8% 25.1% 18.0% +4.1 32
2024-01-02 @ Partick Thistle L 2-3 1389 1505 18.0% 25.1% 56.8% -4.1 14
2024-01-02 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1461 1518 34.2% 28.4% 37.4% -7.4 23
2024-01-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1518 1461 37.4% 28.4% 34.2% +7.4 44
2024-01-05 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1385 1454 32.6% 28.3% 39.1% +8.2 17
2024-01-05 @ Queens Park L 1-2 1454 1385 39.1% 28.3% 32.6% -8.2 23
2024-01-06 Arbroath W 4-0 1509 1392 57.0% 25.1% 17.9% +16.4 35
2024-01-06 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1392 1509 17.9% 25.1% 57.0% -16.4 17
2024-01-06 Greenock Morton L 2-3 1655 1444 66.8% 21.1% 12.1% -11.9 41
2024-01-06 @ Dundee United W 3-2 1444 1655 12.1% 21.1% 66.8% +11.9 25
2024-01-06 Inverness CT L 1-3 1417 1452 37.3% 28.4% 34.3% -13.7 19
2024-01-06 @ Ayr United W 3-1 1452 1417 34.3% 28.4% 37.3% +13.7 21
2024-01-06 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1366 1526 22.2% 26.7% 51.1% +10.7 27
2024-01-06 @ Airdrieonians L 0-1 1526 1366 51.1% 26.7% 22.2% -10.7 44
2024-01-12 Dundee United L 0-1 1466 1643 20.6% 26.2% 53.2% -5.2 21
2024-01-12 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1643 1466 53.2% 26.2% 20.6% +5.2 44
2024-01-13 Ayr United D 0-0 1375 1403 38.5% 28.3% 33.2% -0.2 18
2024-01-13 @ Arbroath D 0-0 1403 1375 33.2% 28.3% 38.5% +0.3 20
2024-01-13 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1456 1525 32.5% 28.3% 39.2% +0.3 26
2024-01-13 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1525 1456 39.2% 28.3% 32.5% -0.3 36
2024-01-13 Queens Park L 1-2 1515 1393 57.5% 24.9% 17.6% -11.2 44
2024-01-13 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1393 1515 17.6% 24.9% 57.5% +11.1 20
2024-01-23 Arbroath W 2-0 1403 1375 46.1% 27.7% 26.3% +12.1 23
2024-01-23 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1375 1403 26.3% 27.7% 46.1% -12.1 18
2024-01-27 Arbroath W 3-0 1456 1363 54.2% 25.9% 19.9% +13.9 29
2024-01-27 @ Greenock Morton L 0-3 1363 1456 19.9% 25.9% 54.2% -13.8 18
2024-01-27 Ayr United L 1-2 1404 1415 40.8% 28.2% 31.0% -8.5 20
2024-01-27 @ Queens Park W 2-1 1415 1404 31.0% 28.2% 40.8% +8.5 26
2024-01-27 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1649 1445 66.0% 21.5% 12.6% -2.9 45
2024-01-27 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1445 1649 12.6% 21.5% 66.0% +2.9 24
2024-01-27 Inverness CT L 2-3 1504 1461 48.0% 27.3% 24.6% -9.1 44
2024-01-27 @ Raith Rovers W 3-2 1461 1504 24.6% 27.3% 48.0% +9.1 24
2024-01-27 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1377 1525 23.3% 27.0% 49.7% +1.2 28
2024-01-27 @ Airdrieonians D 1-1 1525 1377 49.7% 27.0% 23.3% -1.2 37
2024-02-03 Dundee United L 1-2 1424 1646 17.0% 24.6% 58.3% -4.1 26
2024-02-03 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1646 1424 58.3% 24.6% 17.0% +4.1 48
2024-02-03 Greenock Morton L 0-5 1448 1470 39.4% 28.3% 32.4% -38.5 24
2024-02-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-0 1470 1448 32.4% 28.3% 39.4% +38.5 32
2024-02-03 Queens Park L 0-1 1470 1396 51.9% 26.5% 21.5% -10.9 24
2024-02-03 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1396 1470 21.5% 26.5% 51.9% +10.9 23
2024-02-10 Queens Park L 0-3 1410 1406 42.8% 28.1% 29.2% -25.5 24
2024-02-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1406 1410 29.2% 28.1% 42.8% +25.5 26
2024-02-16 Dundee United W 2-1 1495 1650 22.7% 26.9% 50.5% +10.0 47
2024-02-16 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1650 1495 50.5% 26.9% 22.7% -10.0 48
2024-02-17 Arbroath D 1-1 1384 1349 47.0% 27.5% 25.5% -1.0 25
2024-02-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1349 1384 25.5% 27.5% 47.0% +1.0 19
2024-02-17 Ayr United L 2-3 1378 1420 36.5% 28.4% 35.2% -7.4 28
2024-02-17 @ Airdrieonians W 3-2 1420 1378 35.2% 28.4% 36.5% +7.4 29
2024-02-17 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1432 1508 31.7% 28.2% 40.1% +0.4 27
2024-02-17 @ Queens Park D 0-0 1508 1432 40.1% 28.2% 31.7% -0.4 33
2024-02-17 Partick Thistle D 3-3 1459 1524 33.2% 28.3% 38.5% +0.1 25
2024-02-17 @ Inverness CT D 3-3 1524 1459 38.5% 28.3% 33.2% -0.1 38
2024-02-23 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1524 1383 59.5% 24.2% 16.3% -19.9 38
2024-02-23 @ Partick Thistle W 3-1 1383 1524 16.3% 24.2% 59.5% +19.9 28
2024-02-24 Airdrieonians W 2-1 1508 1371 59.2% 24.3% 16.5% +4.0 36
2024-02-24 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1371 1508 16.5% 24.3% 59.2% -4.0 28
2024-02-24 Inverness CT D 1-1 1350 1459 27.6% 27.9% 44.6% +0.8 20
2024-02-24 @ Arbroath D 1-1 1459 1350 44.6% 27.9% 27.6% -0.8 26
2024-02-24 Queens Park W 3-1 1640 1432 66.4% 21.3% 12.3% +5.0 51
2024-02-24 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1432 1640 12.3% 21.3% 66.4% -5.0 27
2024-02-24 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1427 1505 31.4% 28.2% 40.3% -7.0 29
2024-02-24 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1505 1427 40.3% 28.2% 31.4% +7.0 50
2024-02-27 Airdrieonians L 0-2 1645 1367 72.8% 18.0% 9.2% -26.6 51
2024-02-27 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1367 1645 9.2% 18.0% 72.8% +26.6 31
2024-02-27 Arbroath W 6-0 1427 1351 52.2% 26.5% 21.3% +28.2 30
2024-02-27 @ Queens Park L 0-6 1351 1427 21.3% 26.5% 52.2% -28.2 20
2024-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1458 1403 49.6% 27.1% 23.4% -1.3 27
2024-02-27 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1403 1458 23.4% 27.1% 49.6% +1.3 29
2024-02-27 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1512 1512 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% -0.6 51
2024-02-27 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1512 1512 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% +0.6 37
2024-02-27 Partick Thistle W 4-3 1420 1504 30.7% 28.2% 41.1% +7.9 32
2024-02-27 @ Ayr United L 3-4 1504 1420 41.1% 28.2% 30.7% -7.9 38
2024-03-01 Raith Rovers W 3-2 1323 1511 19.6% 25.8% 54.6% +10.1 23
2024-03-01 @ Arbroath L 2-3 1511 1323 54.6% 25.8% 19.6% -10.1 51
2024-03-02 Ayr United W 2-0 1405 1428 39.1% 28.3% 32.6% +14.4 32
2024-03-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1428 1405 32.6% 28.3% 39.1% -14.4 32
2024-03-02 Dundee United D 1-1 1496 1618 26.1% 27.6% 46.3% +0.9 39
2024-03-02 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1618 1496 46.3% 27.6% 26.1% -0.9 52
2024-03-02 Inverness CT L 0-2 1512 1457 49.6% 27.1% 23.4% -19.7 37
2024-03-02 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1457 1512 23.4% 27.1% 49.6% +19.7 30
2024-03-02 Queens Park D 1-1 1393 1456 33.5% 28.3% 38.1% +0.2 32
2024-03-02 @ Airdrieonians D 1-1 1456 1393 38.1% 28.3% 33.5% -0.2 31
2024-03-05 Airdrieonians L 0-2 1419 1393 45.7% 27.7% 26.6% -18.5 32
2024-03-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1393 1419 26.6% 27.7% 45.7% +18.5 35
2024-03-05 Dundee United L 0-1 1493 1617 25.8% 27.6% 46.6% -6.4 37
2024-03-05 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1617 1493 46.6% 27.6% 25.8% +6.3 55
2024-03-09 Airdrieonians D 0-0 1477 1412 50.8% 26.8% 22.4% -1.4 31
2024-03-09 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1412 1477 22.4% 26.8% 50.8% +1.5 36
2024-03-09 Arbroath W 4-0 1624 1333 73.9% 17.4% 8.8% +7.3 58
2024-03-09 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1333 1624 8.8% 17.4% 73.9% -7.3 23
2024-03-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1501 1400 55.1% 25.7% 19.2% +9.2 54
2024-03-09 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1400 1501 19.2% 25.7% 55.1% -9.2 32
2024-03-09 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1455 1497 36.5% 28.4% 35.1% -0.0 32
2024-03-09 @ Queens Park D 2-2 1497 1455 35.1% 28.4% 36.5% +0.0 40
2024-03-12 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1497 1510 40.5% 28.2% 31.3% -8.9 40
2024-03-12 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1510 1497 31.3% 28.2% 40.5% +8.9 57
2024-03-15 Dundee United W 3-1 1391 1631 15.8% 23.9% 60.3% +20.1 35
2024-03-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1631 1391 60.3% 23.9% 15.8% -20.1 58
2024-03-16 Arbroath W 5-2 1413 1325 53.6% 26.1% 20.3% +10.3 39
2024-03-16 @ Airdrieonians L 2-5 1325 1413 20.3% 26.1% 53.6% -10.3 23
2024-03-16 Ayr United L 1-2 1475 1414 50.4% 26.9% 22.7% -10.0 31
2024-03-16 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1414 1475 22.7% 26.9% 50.4% +10.0 35
2024-03-16 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1488 1486 42.5% 28.1% 29.4% +6.6 43
2024-03-16 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1486 1488 29.4% 28.1% 42.5% -6.6 37
2024-03-16 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1455 1519 33.3% 28.3% 38.4% +0.2 33
2024-03-16 @ Queens Park D 0-0 1519 1455 38.4% 28.3% 33.3% -0.2 58
2024-03-23 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1480 1411 51.2% 26.7% 22.1% -10.8 37
2024-03-23 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1411 1480 22.1% 26.7% 51.2% +10.8 38
2024-03-23 Inverness CT D 1-1 1611 1465 60.1% 24.0% 15.9% -2.1 59
2024-03-23 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1465 1611 15.9% 24.0% 60.1% +2.1 32
2024-03-23 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1315 1495 20.4% 26.1% 53.5% -5.2 23
2024-03-23 @ Arbroath W 1-0 1495 1315 53.5% 26.1% 20.4% +5.2 46
2024-03-23 Queens Park L 1-2 1424 1456 37.8% 28.3% 33.8% -8.0 35
2024-03-23 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1456 1424 33.8% 28.3% 37.8% +8.0 36
2024-03-29 Airdrieonians W 2-1 1416 1424 41.2% 28.2% 30.6% +6.9 38
2024-03-29 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1424 1416 30.6% 28.2% 41.2% -6.9 39
2024-03-30 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1310 1422 27.2% 27.8% 45.0% -5.9 23
2024-03-30 @ Arbroath W 3-2 1422 1310 45.0% 27.8% 27.2% +5.9 41
2024-03-30 Inverness CT W 1-0 1500 1468 46.6% 27.6% 25.8% +6.3 49
2024-03-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1468 1500 25.8% 27.6% 46.6% -6.3 32
2024-03-30 Queens Park W 2-0 1469 1464 43.0% 28.0% 28.9% +13.1 40
2024-03-30 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1464 1469 28.9% 28.0% 43.0% -13.1 36
2024-03-30 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1609 1519 53.8% 26.1% 20.2% +9.7 62
2024-03-30 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1519 1609 20.2% 26.1% 53.8% -9.7 58
2024-04-02 Airdrieonians L 1-2 1304 1417 27.1% 27.8% 45.1% -6.2 23
2024-04-02 @ Arbroath W 2-1 1417 1304 45.1% 27.8% 27.1% +6.2 42
2024-04-06 Arbroath W 2-1 1461 1298 62.0% 23.2% 14.8% +3.5 35
2024-04-06 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1298 1461 14.8% 23.2% 62.0% -3.5 23
2024-04-06 Ayr United W 2-1 1509 1422 53.5% 26.1% 20.4% +4.9 61
2024-04-06 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1422 1509 20.4% 26.1% 53.5% -4.9 38
2024-04-06 Dundee United L 0-5 1450 1618 21.4% 26.5% 52.1% -23.9 36
2024-04-06 @ Queens Park W 5-0 1618 1450 52.1% 26.5% 21.4% +23.9 65
2024-04-06 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1423 1482 34.0% 28.3% 37.6% +13.8 45
2024-04-06 @ Airdrieonians L 1-3 1482 1423 37.6% 28.3% 34.0% -13.8 40
2024-04-06 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1428 1506 31.4% 28.2% 40.4% +0.4 42
2024-04-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1506 1428 40.4% 28.2% 31.4% -0.4 50
2024-04-09 Airdrieonians L 1-3 1514 1437 52.3% 26.4% 21.3% -17.9 61
2024-04-09 @ Raith Rovers W 3-1 1437 1514 21.3% 26.4% 52.3% +17.9 48
2024-04-09 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1418 1468 35.2% 28.4% 36.5% +0.1 39
2024-04-09 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1468 1418 36.5% 28.4% 35.2% -0.1 41
2024-04-12 Dundee United L 1-4 1468 1642 20.9% 26.3% 52.8% -12.2 41
2024-04-12 @ Greenock Morton W 4-1 1642 1468 52.8% 26.3% 20.9% +12.2 68
2024-04-13 Arbroath W 5-0 1418 1294 57.6% 24.9% 17.5% +19.7 42
2024-04-13 @ Ayr United L 0-5 1294 1418 17.5% 24.9% 57.6% -19.7 23
2024-04-13 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1455 1428 45.9% 27.7% 26.4% +6.1 51
2024-04-13 @ Airdrieonians L 1-2 1428 1455 26.4% 27.7% 45.9% -6.1 42
2024-04-13 Inverness CT L 0-1 1427 1465 37.0% 28.4% 34.7% -8.4 36
2024-04-13 @ Queens Park W 1-0 1465 1427 34.7% 28.4% 37.0% +8.3 38
2024-04-13 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1496 1506 41.0% 28.2% 30.8% -0.5 62
2024-04-13 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1506 1496 30.8% 28.2% 41.0% +0.5 51
2024-04-19 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1473 1496 39.1% 28.3% 32.6% -8.7 38
2024-04-19 @ Inverness CT W 1-0 1496 1473 32.6% 28.3% 39.1% +8.7 65
2024-04-20 Airdrieonians W 4-0 1506 1461 48.3% 27.3% 24.4% +21.7 54
2024-04-20 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1461 1506 24.4% 27.3% 48.3% -21.7 51
2024-04-20 Ayr United W 1-0 1654 1437 67.3% 20.8% 11.8% +2.9 71
2024-04-20 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1437 1654 11.8% 20.8% 67.3% -2.9 42
2024-04-20 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1275 1456 20.2% 26.1% 53.7% -4.8 23
2024-04-20 @ Arbroath W 2-1 1456 1275 53.7% 26.1% 20.2% +4.8 44
2024-04-20 Queens Park D 0-0 1422 1418 42.9% 28.0% 29.1% -0.7 43
2024-04-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1418 1422 29.1% 28.0% 42.9% +0.7 37
2024-04-26 Dundee United D 0-0 1439 1657 17.3% 24.8% 57.9% +2.1 52
2024-04-26 @ Airdrieonians D 0-0 1657 1439 57.9% 24.8% 17.3% -2.2 72
2024-04-27 Ayr United D 0-0 1528 1434 54.2% 25.9% 19.8% -1.8 55
2024-04-27 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1434 1528 19.8% 25.9% 54.2% +1.8 43
2024-04-27 Inverness CT D 1-1 1422 1464 36.3% 28.4% 35.3% -0.0 44
2024-04-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1464 1422 35.3% 28.4% 36.3% +0.0 39
2024-04-27 Queens Park L 0-5 1270 1419 23.2% 27.0% 49.8% -25.6 23
2024-04-27 @ Arbroath W 5-0 1419 1270 49.8% 27.0% 23.2% +25.6 40
2024-04-27 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1461 1505 36.1% 28.4% 35.5% -0.0 45
2024-04-27 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1505 1461 35.5% 28.4% 36.1% +0.0 66
2024-05-03 Airdrieonians W 2-0 1445 1441 42.8% 28.1% 29.2% +13.2 43
2024-05-03 @ Queens Park L 0-2 1441 1445 29.2% 28.1% 42.8% -13.2 52
2024-05-03 Arbroath W 5-0 1505 1244 71.3% 18.8% 9.9% +10.5 69
2024-05-03 @ Raith Rovers L 0-5 1244 1505 9.9% 18.8% 71.3% -10.5 23
2024-05-03 Dunfermline Athletic D 3-3 1436 1421 44.3% 27.9% 27.8% -0.5 44
2024-05-03 @ Ayr United D 3-3 1421 1436 27.8% 27.9% 44.3% +0.5 45
2024-05-03 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1464 1461 42.8% 28.1% 29.1% +11.4 42
2024-05-03 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1461 1464 29.1% 28.1% 42.8% -11.4 45
2024-05-03 Partick Thistle W 4-1 1655 1526 58.3% 24.6% 17.1% +10.1 75
2024-05-03 @ Dundee United L 1-4 1526 1655 17.1% 24.6% 58.3% -10.1 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-02-27 9.22% Airdrieonians 1367 2 @ Dundee United 1645 0
2 2024-01-06 12.12% Greenock Morton 1444 3 @ Dundee United 1655 2
3 2024-03-15 15.81% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1391 3 Dundee United 1631 1
4 2024-02-23 16.28% Dunfermline Athletic 1383 3 @ Partick Thistle 1524 1
5 2023-12-16 16.47% Raith Rovers 1509 1 @ Dundee United 1646 0
6 2024-01-13 17.57% Queens Park 1393 2 @ Raith Rovers 1515 1
7 2024-03-01 19.61% @ Arbroath 1323 3 Raith Rovers 1511 2
8 2023-09-23 20.01% Arbroath 1456 3 @ Partick Thistle 1548 0
9 2023-12-16 20.03% Arbroath 1391 2 @ Inverness CT 1482 1
10 2023-09-30 20.89% Airdrieonians 1337 1 @ Greenock Morton 1418 0
11 2023-08-12 21.26% @ Airdrieonians 1330 2 Partick Thistle 1500 1
12 2024-04-09 21.26% Airdrieonians 1437 3 @ Raith Rovers 1514 1
13 2024-02-03 21.53% Queens Park 1396 1 @ Inverness CT 1470 0
14 2023-08-26 21.59% Arbroath 1401 3 @ Greenock Morton 1475 0
15 2024-03-23 22.08% Dunfermline Athletic 1411 1 @ Greenock Morton 1480 0
16 2024-01-06 22.18% @ Airdrieonians 1366 1 Raith Rovers 1526 0
17 2024-02-16 22.65% @ Raith Rovers 1495 2 Dundee United 1650 1
18 2024-03-16 22.71% Ayr United 1414 2 @ Inverness CT 1475 1
19 2023-12-30 22.74% Airdrieonians 1337 2 @ Queens Park 1399 1
20 2024-03-02 23.37% Inverness CT 1457 2 @ Greenock Morton 1512 0
21 2023-09-23 23.90% @ Airdrieonians 1327 1 Raith Rovers 1469 0
22 2023-10-28 24.27% Greenock Morton 1408 1 @ Ayr United 1455 0
23 2023-08-26 24.44% @ Airdrieonians 1341 2 Inverness CT 1478 1
24 2024-01-27 24.61% Inverness CT 1461 3 @ Raith Rovers 1504 2
25 2023-09-16 25.64% Dunfermline Athletic 1445 2 @ Queens Park 1479 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-02-03 38.54 Greenock Morton 5 1470 32.35% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1448 39.36% 28.29%
2 2023-10-21 36.29 Dundee United 5 1576 35.37% @ Partick Thistle 0 1533 36.26% 28.37%
3 2023-09-23 30.76 Arbroath 3 1456 20.01% @ Partick Thistle 0 1548 53.99% 26.00%
4 2023-08-26 29.76 Arbroath 3 1401 21.59% @ Greenock Morton 0 1475 51.87% 26.54%
5 2024-02-27 28.23 @ Queens Park 6 1427 52.21% Arbroath 0 1351 21.33% 26.46%
6 2023-09-15 27.57 Partick Thistle 4 1520 38.55% @ Ayr United 0 1455 33.12% 28.33%
7 2023-08-04 27.41 Dundee United 4 1508 38.84% @ Arbroath 0 1441 32.85% 28.31%
8 2024-02-27 26.64 Airdrieonians 2 1367 9.22% @ Dundee United 0 1645 72.82% 17.96%
9 2024-04-27 25.60 Queens Park 5 1419 49.79% @ Arbroath 0 1270 23.20% 27.01%
10 2024-02-10 25.50 Queens Park 3 1406 29.18% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1410 42.77% 28.05%
11 2024-04-06 23.86 Dundee United 5 1618 52.09% @ Queens Park 0 1450 21.42% 26.49%
12 2023-10-27 22.29 @ Dundee United 6 1613 58.90% Arbroath 0 1478 16.67% 24.43%
13 2023-08-26 22.09 Dundee United 3 1534 36.37% @ Ayr United 0 1484 35.26% 28.37%
14 2024-04-20 21.67 @ Partick Thistle 4 1506 48.33% Airdrieonians 0 1461 24.39% 27.29%
15 2024-01-02 20.24 @ Greenock Morton 3 1423 40.46% Ayr United 0 1437 31.31% 28.23%
16 2024-03-15 20.06 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1391 15.81% Dundee United 1 1631 60.27% 23.92%
17 2023-09-22 19.97 Ayr United 5 1427 25.72% @ Queens Park 2 1460 46.72% 27.56%
18 2024-02-23 19.86 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1383 16.28% @ Partick Thistle 1 1524 59.51% 24.21%
19 2024-03-02 19.74 Inverness CT 2 1457 23.37% @ Greenock Morton 0 1512 49.58% 27.05%
20 2024-04-13 19.69 @ Ayr United 5 1418 57.65% Arbroath 0 1294 17.48% 24.87%
21 2023-09-16 18.86 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1445 25.64% @ Queens Park 0 1479 46.82% 27.54%
22 2024-01-02 18.76 @ Airdrieonians 2 1347 25.89% Inverness CT 0 1471 46.53% 27.59%
23 2023-12-09 18.65 Inverness CT 4 1472 36.33% @ Queens Park 1 1422 35.30% 28.37%
24 2024-03-05 18.51 Airdrieonians 2 1393 26.56% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1419 45.74% 27.70%
25 2023-09-02 18.26 Partick Thistle 4 1502 37.34% @ Greenock Morton 1 1445 34.30% 28.36%