2023-24 Championship Season
180 games · 100,000 simulations
Promoted
—
No promotions.
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Raith Rovers
16.75 points above expected
69 points · 52.25 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Arbroath
15.37 points below expected
23 points · 38.37 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee United | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 75 | 73 | 23 | +50 | 68.3 | +6.71 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 69 | 58 | 42 | +16 | 52.2 | +16.75 |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 55 | 63 | 54 | +9 | 55.4 | -0.42 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 35.7 | +16.26 |
| 5 | Greenock Morton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 48.1 | -3.11 |
| 6 | Dunfermline Athletic | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 46.8 | -1.78 |
| 7 | Ayr United | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 46.1 | -2.12 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 46.6 | -3.57 |
| 9 | Inverness CT | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 50.3 | -8.26 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 38.4 | -15.37 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United | 1640 | 75 | 68.29 | +6.71 | 83.2% | 39 | 56 | 63 | 68 | 73 | 81 | 94 |
| Partick Thistle | 1510 | 55 | 55.42 | -0.42 | 50.4% | 25 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 61 | 68 | 82 |
| Raith Rovers | 1505 | 69 | 52.25 | +16.75 | 99.0% | 23 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 81 |
| Inverness CT | 1474 | 42 | 50.26 | -8.26 | 15.1% | 23 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 63 | 85 |
| Queens Park | 1458 | 43 | 46.57 | -3.57 | 34.5% | 17 | 34 | 41 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 75 |
| Greenock Morton | 1453 | 45 | 48.11 | -3.11 | 36.9% | 23 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 76 |
| Ayr United | 1442 | 44 | 46.12 | -2.12 | 42.4% | 20 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 79 |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 1431 | 45 | 46.78 | -1.78 | 43.3% | 19 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 74 |
| Airdrieonians | 1415 | 52 | 35.74 | +16.26 | 98.9% | 12 | 24 | 31 | 36 | 40 | 47 | 64 |
| Arbroath | 1270 | 23 | 38.37 | -15.37 | 1.4% | 13 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 65 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | AIR | ARB | AU | DU | DA | GM | IC | PT | QP | RR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrieonians | — |
3-0-1
5.19
|
0-0-4
4.35
|
1-1-2
2.54
|
2-0-2
4.35
|
2-1-1
4.01
|
2-1-1
3.76
|
1-1-2
3.52
|
1-2-1
4.33
|
3-1-0
3.62
|
| Arbroath |
1-0-3
5.61
|
— |
1-1-2
4.63
|
0-0-4
3.30
|
0-2-2
4.47
|
1-0-3
4.29
|
1-1-2
4.36
|
1-0-3
3.96
|
0-0-4
4.13
|
1-1-2
3.53
|
| Ayr United |
4-0-0
6.44
|
2-1-1
6.17
|
— |
0-0-4
3.48
|
1-2-1
5.33
|
0-1-3
5.43
|
2-0-2
4.99
|
1-2-1
4.41
|
2-1-1
5.25
|
0-1-3
4.68
|
| Dundee United |
2-1-1
8.81
|
4-0-0
7.82
|
4-0-0
7.61
|
— |
1-2-1
7.66
|
2-1-1
7.53
|
2-2-0
7.34
|
3-1-0
6.72
|
3-1-0
7.78
|
1-1-2
7.13
|
| Dunfermline Athletic |
2-0-2
6.49
|
2-2-0
6.28
|
1-2-1
5.38
|
1-2-1
3.37
|
— |
3-0-1
5.35
|
0-4-0
4.92
|
1-1-2
4.45
|
1-1-2
5.54
|
0-0-4
5.00
|
| Greenock Morton |
1-1-2
6.86
|
3-0-1
6.55
|
3-1-0
5.28
|
1-1-2
3.48
|
1-0-3
5.40
|
— |
1-1-2
5.09
|
0-1-3
4.58
|
2-2-0
5.58
|
0-2-2
5.21
|
| Inverness CT |
1-1-2
7.14
|
2-1-1
6.53
|
2-0-2
5.75
|
0-2-2
3.63
|
0-4-0
5.81
|
2-1-1
5.66
|
— |
0-3-1
4.61
|
2-0-2
5.91
|
1-0-3
5.22
|
| Partick Thistle |
2-1-1
7.45
|
3-0-1
6.93
|
1-2-1
6.36
|
0-1-3
4.14
|
2-1-1
6.35
|
3-1-0
6.18
|
1-3-0
6.13
|
— |
2-2-0
6.11
|
0-2-2
5.75
|
| Queens Park |
1-2-1
6.44
|
4-0-0
6.69
|
1-1-2
5.47
|
0-1-3
3.28
|
2-1-1
5.18
|
0-2-2
5.14
|
2-0-2
4.83
|
0-2-2
4.65
|
— |
1-1-2
4.84
|
| Raith Rovers |
0-1-3
7.32
|
2-1-1
7.48
|
3-1-0
6.10
|
2-1-1
3.78
|
4-0-0
5.76
|
2-2-0
5.48
|
3-0-1
5.50
|
2-2-0
4.99
|
2-1-1
5.91
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.44% | 7.22% | 3.89% | 2.78% | 1.67% | 2.22% | 27.22% |
| 1 | 7.22% | 11.11% | 10.56% | 3.33% | 1.39% | — | 33.61% |
| 2 | 3.89% | 10.56% | 3.89% | 2.78% | — | 0.56% | 21.67% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 3.33% | 2.78% | 1.11% | 0.56% | — | 10.56% |
| 4 | 1.67% | 1.39% | — | 0.56% | 0.56% | — | 4.17% |
| 5+ | 2.22% | — | 0.56% | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 27.22% | 33.61% | 21.67% | 10.56% | 4.17% | 2.78% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.40 |
| Mean allowed | 1.40 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.79 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.114 |
| Sample size (games) | 180 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | 5.56% | — | 27.78% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 11.11% | 16.67% | — | — | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 13.89% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 3 | — | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 27.78% | 36.11% | 27.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Airdrieonians — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.22 |
| Mean allowed | 1.22 |
| StdDev scored | 1.10 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.07 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.44 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.140 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 8.33% | 13.89% | 44.44% |
| 1 | — | 8.33% | 16.67% | 2.78% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | — | 5.56% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 16.67% |
| 3 | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 19.44% | 27.78% | 16.67% | 8.33% | 16.67% | 100% |
Arbroath — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.97 |
| Mean allowed | 2.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.70 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.44 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.494 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 2.78% | 16.67% | 8.33% | — | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 11.11% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| Total | 19.44% | 22.22% | 33.33% | 19.44% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Ayr United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.47 |
| Mean allowed | 1.69 |
| StdDev scored | 1.38 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.17 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.092 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 13.89% |
| 1 | 13.89% | 16.67% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | — | — | — | 13.89% |
| 5+ | 8.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| Total | 52.78% | 36.11% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 100% |
Dundee United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.03 |
| Mean allowed | 0.64 |
| StdDev scored | 1.61 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.83 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.67 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.226 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 8.33% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 30.56% |
| 1 | 2.78% | 19.44% | 13.89% | — | — | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 19.44% | 44.44% | 25.00% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | 100% |
Dunfermline Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.19 |
| Mean allowed | 1.33 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.07 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.159 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 11.11% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | 38.89% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 11.11% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 33.33% | 30.56% | 16.67% | 13.89% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.19 |
| Mean allowed | 1.28 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.23 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.47 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.078 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 19.44% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 19.44% | 16.67% | — | — | — | 41.67% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 3 | — | 8.33% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 19.44% | 52.78% | 25.00% | 2.78% | — | — | 100% |
Inverness CT — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.14 |
| Mean allowed | 1.11 |
| StdDev scored | 1.15 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.75 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.25 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.314 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 19.44% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 19.44% |
| 4 | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 36.11% | 16.67% | 11.11% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 100% |
Partick Thistle — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.75 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 1.30 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.36 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.25 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.121 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 2.78% | 27.78% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 13.89% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 3 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| Total | 30.56% | 25.00% | 19.44% | 13.89% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 100% |
Queens Park — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.39 |
| Mean allowed | 1.56 |
| StdDev scored | 1.34 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.48 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.94 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.112 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 22.22% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 36.11% |
| 3 | — | — | 8.33% | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 33.33% | 33.33% | 19.44% | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | 100% |
Raith Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.61 |
| Mean allowed | 1.17 |
| StdDev scored | 1.23 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.11 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.78 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.449 |
| Games played | 36 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raith Rovers | 69 | 52.2 | +16.75 |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | 52 | 35.7 | +16.26 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 75 | 68.3 | +6.71 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 55 | 55.4 | -0.42 |
| 5 | Dunfermline Athletic | 45 | 46.8 | -1.78 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 23 | 38.4 | -15.37 |
| 2 | Inverness CT | 42 | 50.3 | -8.26 |
| 3 | Queens Park | 43 | 46.6 | -3.57 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 45 | 48.1 | -3.11 |
| 5 | Ayr United | 44 | 46.1 | -2.12 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raith Rovers | 5 | Nov 11 – Dec 16 | 1 in 411 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 4 | Aug 26 – Sep 23 | 1 in 117 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 4 | Apr 2 – Apr 13 | 1 in 107 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | Mar 15 – Mar 30 | 1 in 54 |
| 5 | Greenock Morton | 3 | Dec 9 – Dec 16 | 1 in 28 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 10 | Mar 9 – May 3 | 1 in 573 |
| 2 | Queens Park | 5 | Aug 26 – Sep 30 | 1 in 195 |
| 3 | Greenock Morton | 4 | Mar 2 – Mar 23 | 1 in 98 |
| 4 | Raith Rovers | 3 | Jan 6 – Jan 27 | 1 in 86 |
| 5 | Inverness CT | 3 | Aug 5 – Aug 26 | 1 in 41 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenock Morton | 13 | Dec 9 – Feb 27 | 1 in 365 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 13 | Sep 30 – Jan 2 | 1 in 218 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 14 | Aug 4 – Dec 9 | 1 in 40 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 5 | Dec 23 – Jan 27 | 1 in 24 |
| 5 | Inverness CT | 6 | Sep 30 – Nov 18 | 1 in 18 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens Park | 15 | Aug 26 – Jan 2 | 1 in 476 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 8 | Jan 13 – Mar 12 | 1 in 60 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 9 | Dec 16 – Feb 17 | 1 in 48 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 7 | Aug 12 – Oct 7 | 1 in 21 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 10 | Dec 23 – Feb 27 | 1 in 17 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United | 79.03% | 13.48% | 4.36% | 1.85% | 0.75% | 0.38% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Raith Rovers | 4.66% | 18.78% | 19.41% | 16.26% | 13.30% | 10.28% | 7.81% | 5.42% | 3.01% | 1.07% |
| Partick Thistle | 8.86% | 29.79% | 20.31% | 14.08% | 9.83% | 6.96% | 5.19% | 3.15% | 1.41% | 0.42% |
| Airdrieonians | 0.02% | 0.26% | 0.70% | 1.29% | 2.73% | 4.94% | 7.90% | 13.29% | 24.55% | 44.32% |
| Greenock Morton | 1.61% | 7.91% | 11.28% | 14.21% | 13.65% | 15.29% | 13.17% | 11.43% | 7.92% | 3.53% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 0.97% | 6.18% | 9.38% | 12.13% | 13.67% | 14.51% | 14.06% | 13.76% | 10.05% | 5.29% |
| Ayr United | 0.97% | 4.85% | 8.60% | 10.84% | 13.19% | 13.60% | 15.91% | 14.73% | 11.15% | 6.16% |
| Queens Park | 1.06% | 5.65% | 9.27% | 11.14% | 13.73% | 14.62% | 14.70% | 13.97% | 10.26% | 5.60% |
| Inverness CT | 2.72% | 12.46% | 15.47% | 15.86% | 14.87% | 12.57% | 10.98% | 8.04% | 4.99% | 2.04% |
| Arbroath | 0.10% | 0.64% | 1.22% | 2.34% | 4.28% | 6.85% | 10.19% | 16.18% | 26.64% | 31.56% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Qualified for promotion playoff | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United | 79.0% | 19.7% | 1.3% | <0.1% |
| Partick Thistle | 8.9% | 64.2% | 26.5% | 0.4% |
| Raith Rovers | 4.7% | 54.4% | 39.8% | 1.1% |
| Inverness CT | 2.7% | 43.8% | 51.4% | 2.0% |
| Greenock Morton | 1.6% | 33.4% | 61.5% | 3.5% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 1.0% | 27.7% | 66.0% | 5.3% |
| Queens Park | 1.1% | 26.1% | 67.3% | 5.6% |
| Ayr United | 1.0% | 24.3% | 68.6% | 6.2% |
| Arbroath | 0.1% | 4.2% | 64.1% | 31.6% |
| Airdrieonians | <0.1% | 2.2% | 53.4% | 44.3% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-04 | Dundee United | L 0-4 | 1438 | 1507 | 29.9% | 32.7% | 37.4% | -20.1 | 0 |
| 2023-08-04 | @ Arbroath | W 4-0 | 1507 | 1438 | 37.4% | 32.7% | 29.9% | +20.1 | 3 |
| 2023-08-05 | Airdrieonians | W 2-1 | 1457 | 1342 | 57.5% | 23.4% | 19.1% | +3.3 | 3 |
| 2023-08-05 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1342 | 1457 | 19.1% | 23.4% | 57.5% | -3.3 | 0 |
| 2023-08-05 | Ayr United | W 3-1 | 1469 | 1485 | 37.3% | 32.7% | 30.0% | +9.2 | 3 |
| 2023-08-05 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-3 | 1485 | 1469 | 30.0% | 32.7% | 37.3% | -9.2 | 0 |
| 2023-08-05 | Queens Park | L 1-2 | 1488 | 1474 | 41.7% | 31.6% | 26.7% | -6.6 | 0 |
| 2023-08-05 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1474 | 1488 | 26.7% | 31.6% | 41.7% | +6.6 | 3 |
| 2023-08-05 | Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1498 | 1440 | 48.5% | 28.7% | 22.7% | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2023-08-05 | @ Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1440 | 1498 | 22.7% | 28.7% | 48.5% | +0.7 | 1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1338 | 1497 | 21.6% | 27.4% | 51.1% | +7.6 | 3 |
| 2023-08-12 | @ Airdrieonians | L 1-2 | 1497 | 1338 | 51.1% | 27.4% | 21.6% | -7.6 | 1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1476 | 1481 | 39.0% | 32.4% | 28.6% | +5.4 | 3 |
| 2023-08-12 | @ Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1481 | 1476 | 28.6% | 32.4% | 39.0% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1527 | 1461 | 49.9% | 28.0% | 22.1% | -1.0 | 4 |
| 2023-08-12 | @ Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1461 | 1527 | 22.1% | 28.0% | 49.9% | +1.0 | 4 |
| 2023-08-12 | Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1481 | 1418 | 49.3% | 28.3% | 22.4% | +4.0 | 6 |
| 2023-08-12 | @ Queens Park | L 1-2 | 1418 | 1481 | 22.4% | 28.3% | 49.3% | -4.0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Greenock Morton | W 3-2 | 1441 | 1478 | 34.2% | 33.0% | 32.8% | +5.3 | 4 |
| 2023-08-12 | @ Raith Rovers | L 2-3 | 1478 | 1441 | 32.8% | 33.0% | 34.2% | -5.4 | 3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Queens Park | L 0-1 | 1414 | 1485 | 29.7% | 32.6% | 37.7% | -5.6 | 0 |
| 2023-08-19 | @ Arbroath | W 1-0 | 1485 | 1414 | 37.7% | 32.6% | 29.7% | +5.6 | 9 |
| 2023-08-26 | Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1346 | 1476 | 23.8% | 29.7% | 46.5% | +7.1 | 6 |
| 2023-08-26 | @ Airdrieonians | L 1-2 | 1476 | 1346 | 46.5% | 29.7% | 23.8% | -7.1 | 0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Dundee United | L 0-3 | 1481 | 1526 | 33.1% | 33.0% | 33.9% | -16.5 | 3 |
| 2023-08-26 | @ Ayr United | W 3-0 | 1526 | 1481 | 33.9% | 33.0% | 33.1% | +16.5 | 7 |
| 2023-08-26 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1462 | 1446 | 42.1% | 31.5% | 26.4% | -7.1 | 4 |
| 2023-08-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1446 | 1462 | 26.4% | 31.5% | 42.1% | +7.1 | 7 |
| 2023-08-26 | Arbroath | L 0-3 | 1473 | 1409 | 49.5% | 28.2% | 22.3% | -21.6 | 3 |
| 2023-08-26 | @ Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1409 | 1473 | 22.3% | 28.2% | 49.5% | +21.6 | 3 |
| 2023-08-26 | Queens Park | W 3-1 | 1490 | 1491 | 39.6% | 32.2% | 28.2% | +8.7 | 4 |
| 2023-08-26 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-3 | 1491 | 1490 | 28.2% | 32.2% | 39.6% | -8.7 | 9 |
| 2023-09-02 | Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1430 | 1465 | 34.6% | 33.0% | 32.4% | +5.6 | 6 |
| 2023-09-02 | @ Arbroath | L 1-2 | 1465 | 1430 | 32.4% | 33.0% | 34.6% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2023-09-02 | Airdrieonians | W 2-0 | 1543 | 1353 | 68.7% | 15.7% | 15.6% | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2023-09-02 | @ Dundee United | L 0-2 | 1353 | 1543 | 15.6% | 15.7% | 68.7% | -4.8 | 6 |
| 2023-09-02 | Partick Thistle | L 1-4 | 1451 | 1498 | 32.8% | 33.0% | 34.2% | -13.8 | 3 |
| 2023-09-02 | @ Greenock Morton | W 4-1 | 1498 | 1451 | 34.2% | 33.0% | 32.8% | +13.8 | 7 |
| 2023-09-02 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1468 | 1455 | 41.8% | 31.6% | 26.6% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2023-09-02 | @ Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1455 | 1468 | 26.6% | 31.6% | 41.8% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2023-09-02 | Queens Park | W 3-2 | 1453 | 1482 | 35.4% | 32.9% | 31.6% | +5.2 | 10 |
| 2023-09-02 | @ Raith Rovers | L 2-3 | 1482 | 1453 | 31.6% | 32.9% | 35.4% | -5.2 | 9 |
| 2023-09-15 | Partick Thistle | L 0-4 | 1459 | 1512 | 32.0% | 33.0% | 35.0% | -21.1 | 3 |
| 2023-09-15 | @ Ayr United | W 4-0 | 1512 | 1459 | 35.0% | 33.0% | 32.0% | +21.1 | 10 |
| 2023-09-16 | Airdrieonians | W 4-0 | 1436 | 1348 | 53.1% | 26.2% | 20.7% | +14.0 | 9 |
| 2023-09-16 | @ Arbroath | L 0-4 | 1348 | 1436 | 20.7% | 26.2% | 53.1% | -14.0 | 6 |
| 2023-09-16 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1548 | 1437 | 56.7% | 23.9% | 19.4% | -1.3 | 11 |
| 2023-09-16 | @ Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1437 | 1548 | 19.4% | 23.9% | 56.7% | +1.3 | 4 |
| 2023-09-16 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1477 | 1455 | 43.0% | 31.2% | 25.8% | -13.5 | 9 |
| 2023-09-16 | @ Queens Park | W 2-0 | 1455 | 1477 | 25.8% | 31.2% | 43.0% | +13.5 | 8 |
| 2023-09-16 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1458 | 1468 | 38.3% | 32.5% | 29.2% | +5.5 | 13 |
| 2023-09-16 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1468 | 1458 | 29.2% | 32.5% | 38.3% | -5.5 | 1 |
| 2023-09-22 | Ayr United | L 2-5 | 1463 | 1438 | 43.5% | 31.0% | 25.5% | -14.5 | 9 |
| 2023-09-22 | @ Queens Park | W 5-2 | 1438 | 1463 | 25.5% | 31.0% | 43.5% | +14.5 | 6 |
| 2023-09-23 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1334 | 1464 | 23.8% | 29.7% | 46.5% | +7.6 | 9 |
| 2023-09-23 | @ Airdrieonians | L 0-1 | 1464 | 1334 | 46.5% | 29.7% | 23.8% | -7.6 | 13 |
| 2023-09-23 | Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1469 | 1439 | 44.3% | 30.7% | 25.0% | +7.9 | 11 |
| 2023-09-23 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1439 | 1469 | 25.0% | 30.7% | 44.3% | -7.9 | 4 |
| 2023-09-23 | Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1462 | 1546 | 28.2% | 32.2% | 39.6% | -5.4 | 1 |
| 2023-09-23 | @ Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1546 | 1462 | 39.6% | 32.2% | 28.2% | +5.4 | 14 |
| 2023-09-23 | Arbroath | L 0-3 | 1533 | 1450 | 52.5% | 26.5% | 21.0% | -22.4 | 10 |
| 2023-09-23 | @ Partick Thistle | W 3-0 | 1450 | 1533 | 21.0% | 26.5% | 52.5% | +22.4 | 12 |
| 2023-09-30 | Inverness CT | L 2-3 | 1472 | 1457 | 42.0% | 31.5% | 26.5% | -6.3 | 12 |
| 2023-09-30 | @ Arbroath | W 3-2 | 1457 | 1472 | 26.5% | 31.5% | 42.0% | +6.3 | 4 |
| 2023-09-30 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1453 | 1456 | 39.2% | 32.3% | 28.5% | -6.4 | 6 |
| 2023-09-30 | @ Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1456 | 1453 | 28.5% | 32.3% | 39.2% | +6.4 | 16 |
| 2023-09-30 | Queens Park | W 4-1 | 1552 | 1449 | 55.5% | 24.7% | 19.8% | +8.5 | 17 |
| 2023-09-30 | @ Dundee United | L 1-4 | 1449 | 1552 | 19.8% | 24.7% | 55.5% | -8.5 | 9 |
| 2023-09-30 | Airdrieonians | L 0-1 | 1431 | 1342 | 53.3% | 26.1% | 20.7% | -8.3 | 4 |
| 2023-09-30 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1342 | 1431 | 20.7% | 26.1% | 53.3% | +8.3 | 12 |
| 2023-09-30 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-0 | 1511 | 1476 | 45.0% | 30.4% | 24.6% | +13.0 | 13 |
| 2023-09-30 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1476 | 1511 | 24.6% | 30.4% | 45.0% | -13.0 | 11 |
| 2023-10-07 | Ayr United | L 1-2 | 1350 | 1446 | 26.8% | 31.7% | 41.4% | -4.8 | 12 |
| 2023-10-07 | @ Airdrieonians | W 2-1 | 1446 | 1350 | 41.4% | 31.7% | 26.8% | +4.8 | 9 |
| 2023-10-07 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1463 | 1524 | 31.0% | 32.9% | 36.2% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 2023-10-07 | @ Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1524 | 1463 | 36.2% | 32.9% | 31.0% | -0.2 | 14 |
| 2023-10-07 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1440 | 1422 | 42.4% | 31.4% | 26.2% | -0.6 | 10 |
| 2023-10-07 | @ Queens Park | D 0-0 | 1422 | 1440 | 26.2% | 31.4% | 42.4% | +0.6 | 5 |
| 2023-10-07 | Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1463 | 1560 | 26.7% | 31.6% | 41.7% | +0.5 | 17 |
| 2023-10-07 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1560 | 1463 | 41.7% | 31.6% | 26.7% | -0.5 | 18 |
| 2023-10-20 | Queens Park | D 1-1 | 1345 | 1440 | 27.0% | 31.8% | 41.2% | +0.5 | 13 |
| 2023-10-20 | @ Airdrieonians | D 1-1 | 1440 | 1345 | 41.2% | 31.8% | 27.0% | -0.5 | 11 |
| 2023-10-21 | Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1463 | 1451 | 41.6% | 31.7% | 26.8% | -7.0 | 11 |
| 2023-10-21 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1451 | 1463 | 26.8% | 31.7% | 41.6% | +7.0 | 12 |
| 2023-10-21 | Dundee United | L 0-5 | 1524 | 1560 | 34.4% | 33.0% | 32.6% | -27.3 | 14 |
| 2023-10-21 | @ Partick Thistle | W 5-0 | 1560 | 1524 | 32.6% | 33.0% | 34.4% | +27.3 | 21 |
| 2023-10-27 | Arbroath | W 6-0 | 1587 | 1466 | 58.3% | 22.8% | 18.9% | +17.9 | 24 |
| 2023-10-27 | @ Dundee United | L 0-6 | 1466 | 1587 | 18.9% | 22.8% | 58.3% | -17.9 | 12 |
| 2023-10-27 | Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1439 | 1497 | 31.4% | 32.9% | 35.7% | +0.1 | 12 |
| 2023-10-27 | @ Queens Park | D 2-2 | 1497 | 1439 | 35.7% | 32.9% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 15 |
| 2023-10-28 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1458 | 1423 | 45.1% | 30.4% | 24.6% | -7.4 | 12 |
| 2023-10-28 | @ Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1423 | 1458 | 24.6% | 30.4% | 45.1% | +7.4 | 8 |
| 2023-10-28 | Airdrieonians | W 1-0 | 1464 | 1346 | 57.8% | 23.2% | 19.0% | +3.5 | 8 |
| 2023-10-28 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1346 | 1464 | 19.0% | 23.2% | 57.8% | -3.5 | 13 |
| 2023-10-28 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1463 | 1456 | 40.7% | 31.9% | 27.3% | +5.2 | 20 |
| 2023-10-28 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1456 | 1463 | 27.3% | 31.9% | 40.7% | -5.2 | 11 |
| 2023-10-31 | Dundee United | L 0-2 | 1342 | 1605 | 16.2% | 16.9% | 66.9% | -5.0 | 13 |
| 2023-10-31 | @ Airdrieonians | W 2-0 | 1605 | 1342 | 66.9% | 16.9% | 16.2% | +5.0 | 27 |
| 2023-10-31 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1430 | 1468 | 34.1% | 33.0% | 32.9% | -5.8 | 8 |
| 2023-10-31 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1468 | 1430 | 32.9% | 33.0% | 34.1% | +5.8 | 23 |
| 2023-10-31 | Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1496 | 1451 | 46.7% | 29.7% | 23.7% | -0.6 | 16 |
| 2023-10-31 | @ Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1451 | 1496 | 23.7% | 29.7% | 46.7% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2023-11-03 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1425 | 1451 | 35.8% | 32.9% | 31.3% | -6.0 | 8 |
| 2023-11-03 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1451 | 1425 | 31.3% | 32.9% | 35.8% | +6.0 | 14 |
| 2023-11-04 | Partick Thistle | L 1-3 | 1448 | 1496 | 32.7% | 33.0% | 34.3% | -9.8 | 12 |
| 2023-11-04 | @ Arbroath | W 3-1 | 1496 | 1448 | 34.3% | 33.0% | 32.7% | +9.8 | 19 |
| 2023-11-04 | Queens Park | D 2-2 | 1451 | 1439 | 41.5% | 31.7% | 26.8% | -0.4 | 14 |
| 2023-11-04 | @ Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1439 | 1451 | 26.8% | 31.7% | 41.5% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 2023-11-04 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1610 | 1467 | 61.7% | 20.6% | 17.8% | -1.5 | 28 |
| 2023-11-04 | @ Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1467 | 1610 | 17.8% | 20.6% | 61.7% | +1.5 | 9 |
| 2023-11-04 | Airdrieonians | D 1-1 | 1474 | 1337 | 60.7% | 21.2% | 18.1% | -1.5 | 24 |
| 2023-11-04 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1337 | 1474 | 18.1% | 21.2% | 60.7% | +1.5 | 14 |
| 2023-11-10 | Dundee United | L 1-2 | 1457 | 1608 | 22.1% | 28.0% | 49.9% | -4.0 | 14 |
| 2023-11-10 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1608 | 1457 | 49.9% | 28.0% | 22.1% | +4.0 | 31 |
| 2023-11-11 | Arbroath | W 2-0 | 1339 | 1438 | 26.5% | 31.6% | 41.9% | +13.3 | 17 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ Airdrieonians | L 0-2 | 1438 | 1339 | 41.9% | 31.6% | 26.5% | -13.3 | 12 |
| 2023-11-11 | Ayr United | W 3-1 | 1469 | 1451 | 42.4% | 31.4% | 26.2% | +8.2 | 12 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-3 | 1451 | 1469 | 26.2% | 31.4% | 42.4% | -8.2 | 14 |
| 2023-11-11 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1506 | 1419 | 53.0% | 26.2% | 20.8% | +3.7 | 22 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1419 | 1506 | 20.8% | 26.2% | 53.0% | -3.7 | 8 |
| 2023-11-11 | Raith Rovers | L 2-3 | 1440 | 1473 | 34.8% | 33.0% | 32.2% | -5.6 | 13 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ Queens Park | W 3-2 | 1473 | 1440 | 32.2% | 33.0% | 34.8% | +5.6 | 27 |
| 2023-11-18 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1453 | 1477 | 36.2% | 32.8% | 30.9% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1477 | 1453 | 30.9% | 32.8% | 36.2% | +0.2 | 13 |
| 2023-11-28 | Arbroath | W 3-0 | 1453 | 1425 | 44.0% | 30.8% | 25.2% | +13.3 | 18 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1425 | 1453 | 25.2% | 30.8% | 44.0% | -13.3 | 12 |
| 2023-12-02 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1477 | 1478 | 39.5% | 32.2% | 28.2% | -6.4 | 13 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1478 | 1477 | 28.2% | 32.2% | 39.5% | +6.4 | 30 |
| 2023-12-02 | Airdrieonians | W 2-1 | 1509 | 1352 | 63.8% | 19.1% | 17.1% | +2.8 | 25 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1352 | 1509 | 17.1% | 19.1% | 63.8% | -2.8 | 17 |
| 2023-12-08 | Partick Thistle | W 4-3 | 1485 | 1512 | 35.7% | 32.9% | 31.4% | +5.1 | 33 |
| 2023-12-08 | @ Raith Rovers | L 3-4 | 1512 | 1485 | 31.4% | 32.9% | 35.7% | -5.1 | 25 |
| 2023-12-09 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1349 | 1466 | 24.8% | 30.6% | 44.6% | -4.5 | 17 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ Airdrieonians | W 2-1 | 1466 | 1349 | 44.6% | 30.6% | 24.8% | +4.5 | 21 |
| 2023-12-09 | Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1412 | 1415 | 39.2% | 32.3% | 28.5% | -6.4 | 12 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1415 | 1412 | 28.5% | 32.3% | 39.2% | +6.4 | 11 |
| 2023-12-09 | Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1612 | 1443 | 65.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | +2.8 | 34 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1443 | 1612 | 16.6% | 17.8% | 65.7% | -2.8 | 14 |
| 2023-12-09 | Inverness CT | L 1-4 | 1434 | 1471 | 34.3% | 33.0% | 32.7% | -14.3 | 13 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ Queens Park | W 4-1 | 1471 | 1434 | 32.7% | 33.0% | 34.3% | +14.3 | 16 |
| 2023-12-12 | Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1421 | 1485 | 30.6% | 32.8% | 36.6% | +6.1 | 14 |
| 2023-12-12 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1485 | 1421 | 36.6% | 32.8% | 30.6% | -6.1 | 16 |
| 2023-12-13 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1405 | 1490 | 28.1% | 32.2% | 39.7% | -5.0 | 12 |
| 2023-12-13 | @ Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1490 | 1405 | 39.7% | 32.2% | 28.1% | +5.0 | 36 |
| 2023-12-16 | Airdrieonians | W 1-0 | 1440 | 1345 | 54.3% | 25.4% | 20.3% | +3.8 | 17 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1345 | 1440 | 20.3% | 25.4% | 54.3% | -3.8 | 17 |
| 2023-12-16 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1615 | 1495 | 58.2% | 22.9% | 18.9% | -8.7 | 34 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ Dundee United | W 1-0 | 1495 | 1615 | 18.9% | 22.9% | 58.2% | +8.7 | 39 |
| 2023-12-16 | Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1471 | 1507 | 34.4% | 33.0% | 32.6% | -5.8 | 21 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1507 | 1471 | 32.6% | 33.0% | 34.4% | +5.8 | 28 |
| 2023-12-16 | Queens Park | W 1-0 | 1427 | 1420 | 40.9% | 31.9% | 27.3% | +5.2 | 17 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1420 | 1427 | 27.3% | 31.9% | 40.9% | -5.2 | 13 |
| 2023-12-16 | Arbroath | L 1-2 | 1479 | 1400 | 51.7% | 27.0% | 21.3% | -7.6 | 16 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1400 | 1479 | 21.3% | 27.0% | 51.7% | +7.6 | 15 |
| 2023-12-22 | Dundee United | D 0-0 | 1415 | 1606 | 19.6% | 24.2% | 56.2% | +1.4 | 14 |
| 2023-12-22 | @ Queens Park | D 0-0 | 1606 | 1415 | 56.2% | 24.2% | 19.6% | -1.4 | 35 |
| 2023-12-22 | Ayr United | D 4-4 | 1503 | 1444 | 48.8% | 28.6% | 22.6% | -0.5 | 40 |
| 2023-12-22 | @ Raith Rovers | D 4-4 | 1444 | 1503 | 22.6% | 28.6% | 48.8% | +0.5 | 18 |
| 2023-12-23 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1341 | 1433 | 27.3% | 31.9% | 40.8% | +0.5 | 18 |
| 2023-12-23 | @ Airdrieonians | D 0-0 | 1433 | 1341 | 40.8% | 31.9% | 27.3% | -0.5 | 18 |
| 2023-12-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1408 | 1465 | 31.4% | 32.9% | 35.7% | +0.1 | 16 |
| 2023-12-23 | @ Arbroath | D 1-1 | 1465 | 1408 | 35.7% | 32.9% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 22 |
| 2023-12-23 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1513 | 1471 | 46.1% | 29.9% | 24.0% | -0.7 | 29 |
| 2023-12-23 | @ Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1471 | 1513 | 24.0% | 29.9% | 46.1% | +0.7 | 17 |
| 2023-12-29 | Partick Thistle | W 3-0 | 1605 | 1512 | 53.9% | 25.6% | 20.4% | +10.5 | 38 |
| 2023-12-29 | @ Dundee United | L 0-3 | 1512 | 1605 | 20.4% | 25.6% | 53.9% | -10.5 | 29 |
| 2023-12-30 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1444 | 1465 | 36.7% | 32.8% | 30.6% | -0.1 | 19 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1465 | 1444 | 30.6% | 32.8% | 36.7% | +0.2 | 23 |
| 2023-12-30 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1472 | 1432 | 45.8% | 30.1% | 24.2% | -0.8 | 18 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1432 | 1472 | 24.2% | 30.1% | 45.8% | +0.8 | 19 |
| 2023-12-30 | Airdrieonians | L 1-2 | 1416 | 1342 | 51.1% | 27.3% | 21.6% | -7.6 | 14 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ Queens Park | W 2-1 | 1342 | 1416 | 21.6% | 27.3% | 51.1% | +7.6 | 21 |
| 2023-12-30 | Arbroath | D 2-2 | 1503 | 1408 | 54.3% | 25.4% | 20.3% | -0.9 | 41 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1408 | 1503 | 20.3% | 25.4% | 54.3% | +0.9 | 17 |
| 2024-01-02 | Inverness CT | W 2-0 | 1349 | 1471 | 24.4% | 30.2% | 45.4% | +14.0 | 24 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ Airdrieonians | L 0-2 | 1471 | 1349 | 45.4% | 30.2% | 24.4% | -14.0 | 18 |
| 2024-01-02 | Dundee United | L 0-3 | 1409 | 1615 | 18.8% | 22.7% | 58.5% | -9.3 | 17 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ Arbroath | W 3-0 | 1615 | 1409 | 58.5% | 22.7% | 18.8% | +9.3 | 41 |
| 2024-01-02 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1465 | 1502 | 34.2% | 33.0% | 32.8% | -5.8 | 23 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1502 | 1465 | 32.8% | 33.0% | 34.2% | +5.8 | 44 |
| 2024-01-02 | Ayr United | W 3-0 | 1433 | 1444 | 38.0% | 32.6% | 29.4% | +15.1 | 22 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-3 | 1444 | 1433 | 29.4% | 32.6% | 38.0% | -15.2 | 19 |
| 2024-01-02 | Queens Park | W 3-2 | 1502 | 1408 | 54.0% | 25.6% | 20.4% | +3.4 | 32 |
| 2024-01-02 | @ Partick Thistle | L 2-3 | 1408 | 1502 | 20.4% | 25.6% | 54.0% | -3.4 | 14 |
| 2024-01-05 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1405 | 1459 | 31.9% | 32.9% | 35.2% | +5.9 | 17 |
| 2024-01-05 | @ Queens Park | L 1-2 | 1459 | 1405 | 35.2% | 32.9% | 31.9% | -5.9 | 23 |
| 2024-01-06 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1363 | 1508 | 22.6% | 28.5% | 48.9% | +7.8 | 27 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ Airdrieonians | L 0-1 | 1508 | 1363 | 48.9% | 28.5% | 22.6% | -7.8 | 44 |
| 2024-01-06 | Inverness CT | L 1-3 | 1429 | 1457 | 35.6% | 32.9% | 31.5% | -10.3 | 19 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ Ayr United | W 3-1 | 1457 | 1429 | 31.5% | 32.9% | 35.6% | +10.3 | 21 |
| 2024-01-06 | Greenock Morton | L 2-3 | 1625 | 1448 | 66.8% | 17.0% | 16.2% | -8.5 | 41 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ Dundee United | W 3-2 | 1448 | 1625 | 16.2% | 17.0% | 66.8% | +8.5 | 25 |
| 2024-01-06 | Arbroath | W 4-0 | 1505 | 1400 | 55.9% | 24.4% | 19.7% | +13.0 | 35 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-4 | 1400 | 1505 | 19.7% | 24.4% | 55.9% | -13.0 | 17 |
| 2024-01-12 | Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1467 | 1616 | 22.3% | 28.2% | 49.5% | -4.3 | 21 |
| 2024-01-12 | @ Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1616 | 1467 | 49.5% | 28.2% | 22.3% | +4.3 | 44 |
| 2024-01-13 | Ayr United | D 0-0 | 1386 | 1419 | 35.0% | 33.0% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 18 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ Arbroath | D 0-0 | 1419 | 1386 | 32.1% | 33.0% | 35.0% | +0.1 | 20 |
| 2024-01-13 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1456 | 1518 | 30.9% | 32.8% | 36.3% | +0.2 | 26 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1518 | 1456 | 36.3% | 32.8% | 30.9% | -0.2 | 36 |
| 2024-01-13 | Queens Park | L 1-2 | 1500 | 1411 | 53.4% | 26.0% | 20.6% | -7.8 | 44 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1411 | 1500 | 20.6% | 26.0% | 53.4% | +7.8 | 20 |
| 2024-01-23 | Arbroath | W 2-0 | 1419 | 1386 | 44.6% | 30.6% | 24.8% | +9.0 | 23 |
| 2024-01-23 | @ Ayr United | L 0-2 | 1386 | 1419 | 24.8% | 30.6% | 44.6% | -9.0 | 18 |
| 2024-01-27 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1371 | 1518 | 22.4% | 28.4% | 49.2% | +0.9 | 28 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ Airdrieonians | D 1-1 | 1518 | 1371 | 49.2% | 28.4% | 22.4% | -0.9 | 37 |
| 2024-01-27 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1621 | 1453 | 65.3% | 18.0% | 16.7% | -1.9 | 45 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ Dundee United | D 0-0 | 1453 | 1621 | 16.7% | 18.0% | 65.3% | +1.9 | 24 |
| 2024-01-27 | Arbroath | W 3-0 | 1457 | 1377 | 51.8% | 26.9% | 21.2% | +11.0 | 29 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-3 | 1377 | 1457 | 21.2% | 26.9% | 51.8% | -11.0 | 18 |
| 2024-01-27 | Ayr United | L 1-2 | 1419 | 1428 | 38.4% | 32.5% | 29.1% | -6.3 | 20 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ Queens Park | W 2-1 | 1428 | 1419 | 29.1% | 32.5% | 38.4% | +6.3 | 26 |
| 2024-01-27 | Inverness CT | L 2-3 | 1492 | 1463 | 44.1% | 30.8% | 25.1% | -6.5 | 44 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ Raith Rovers | W 3-2 | 1463 | 1492 | 25.1% | 30.8% | 44.1% | +6.5 | 24 |
| 2024-02-03 | Dundee United | L 1-2 | 1434 | 1619 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 55.0% | -3.5 | 26 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1619 | 1434 | 55.0% | 25.0% | 20.0% | +3.5 | 48 |
| 2024-02-03 | Greenock Morton | L 0-5 | 1455 | 1468 | 37.9% | 32.6% | 29.5% | -29.1 | 24 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 5-0 | 1468 | 1455 | 29.5% | 32.6% | 37.9% | +29.1 | 32 |
| 2024-02-03 | Queens Park | L 0-1 | 1470 | 1412 | 48.4% | 28.8% | 22.8% | -7.8 | 24 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1412 | 1470 | 22.8% | 28.8% | 48.4% | +7.8 | 23 |
| 2024-02-10 | Queens Park | L 0-3 | 1426 | 1420 | 40.6% | 32.0% | 27.4% | -18.9 | 24 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-0 | 1420 | 1426 | 27.4% | 32.0% | 40.6% | +18.9 | 26 |
| 2024-02-16 | Dundee United | W 2-1 | 1486 | 1622 | 23.2% | 29.2% | 47.6% | +7.2 | 47 |
| 2024-02-16 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1622 | 1486 | 47.6% | 29.2% | 23.2% | -7.2 | 48 |
| 2024-02-17 | Ayr United | L 2-3 | 1372 | 1431 | 31.2% | 32.9% | 35.9% | -5.2 | 28 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ Airdrieonians | W 3-2 | 1431 | 1372 | 35.9% | 32.9% | 31.2% | +5.2 | 29 |
| 2024-02-17 | Arbroath | D 1-1 | 1407 | 1366 | 45.9% | 30.0% | 24.1% | -0.7 | 25 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1366 | 1407 | 24.1% | 30.0% | 45.9% | +0.7 | 19 |
| 2024-02-17 | Partick Thistle | D 3-3 | 1462 | 1517 | 31.7% | 32.9% | 35.4% | +0.1 | 25 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ Inverness CT | D 3-3 | 1517 | 1462 | 35.4% | 32.9% | 31.7% | -0.1 | 38 |
| 2024-02-17 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1439 | 1497 | 31.4% | 32.9% | 35.7% | +0.2 | 27 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ Queens Park | D 0-0 | 1497 | 1439 | 35.7% | 32.9% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2024-02-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1517 | 1406 | 56.7% | 23.9% | 19.4% | -14.0 | 38 |
| 2024-02-23 | @ Partick Thistle | W 3-1 | 1406 | 1517 | 19.4% | 23.9% | 56.7% | +14.0 | 28 |
| 2024-02-24 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1367 | 1462 | 27.0% | 31.8% | 41.3% | +0.5 | 20 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ Arbroath | D 1-1 | 1462 | 1367 | 41.3% | 31.8% | 27.0% | -0.5 | 26 |
| 2024-02-24 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1436 | 1493 | 31.4% | 32.9% | 35.7% | -5.5 | 29 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1493 | 1436 | 35.7% | 32.9% | 31.4% | +5.5 | 50 |
| 2024-02-24 | Queens Park | W 3-1 | 1615 | 1439 | 66.6% | 17.1% | 16.3% | +4.4 | 51 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ Dundee United | L 1-3 | 1439 | 1615 | 16.3% | 17.1% | 66.6% | -4.4 | 27 |
| 2024-02-24 | Airdrieonians | W 2-1 | 1497 | 1367 | 59.7% | 21.9% | 18.4% | +3.1 | 36 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1367 | 1497 | 18.4% | 21.9% | 59.7% | -3.1 | 28 |
| 2024-02-27 | Partick Thistle | W 4-3 | 1430 | 1503 | 29.5% | 32.6% | 37.9% | +5.8 | 32 |
| 2024-02-27 | @ Ayr United | L 3-4 | 1503 | 1430 | 37.9% | 32.6% | 29.5% | -5.8 | 38 |
| 2024-02-27 | Airdrieonians | L 0-2 | 1619 | 1364 | 77.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | -19.4 | 51 |
| 2024-02-27 | @ Dundee United | W 2-0 | 1364 | 1619 | 12.7% | 9.7% | 77.6% | +19.4 | 31 |
| 2024-02-27 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1461 | 1420 | 45.9% | 30.0% | 24.1% | -0.8 | 27 |
| 2024-02-27 | @ Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1420 | 1461 | 24.1% | 30.0% | 45.9% | +0.8 | 29 |
| 2024-02-27 | Arbroath | W 6-0 | 1435 | 1368 | 50.0% | 28.0% | 22.1% | +22.1 | 30 |
| 2024-02-27 | @ Queens Park | L 0-6 | 1368 | 1435 | 22.1% | 28.0% | 50.0% | -22.1 | 20 |
| 2024-02-27 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1498 | 1500 | 39.5% | 32.2% | 28.2% | -0.4 | 51 |
| 2024-02-27 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1500 | 1498 | 28.2% | 32.2% | 39.5% | +0.4 | 37 |
| 2024-03-01 | Raith Rovers | W 3-2 | 1345 | 1498 | 22.0% | 27.9% | 50.1% | +7.1 | 23 |
| 2024-03-01 | @ Arbroath | L 2-3 | 1498 | 1345 | 50.1% | 27.9% | 22.0% | -7.1 | 51 |
| 2024-03-02 | Queens Park | D 1-1 | 1383 | 1457 | 29.3% | 32.6% | 38.1% | +0.3 | 32 |
| 2024-03-02 | @ Airdrieonians | D 1-1 | 1457 | 1383 | 38.1% | 32.6% | 29.3% | -0.3 | 31 |
| 2024-03-02 | Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1421 | 1436 | 37.5% | 32.6% | 29.8% | +10.5 | 32 |
| 2024-03-02 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1436 | 1421 | 29.8% | 32.6% | 37.5% | -10.5 | 32 |
| 2024-03-02 | Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1500 | 1461 | 45.7% | 30.1% | 24.2% | -14.1 | 37 |
| 2024-03-02 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1461 | 1500 | 24.2% | 30.1% | 45.7% | +14.1 | 30 |
| 2024-03-02 | Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1497 | 1600 | 26.2% | 31.4% | 42.5% | +0.5 | 39 |
| 2024-03-02 | @ Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1600 | 1497 | 42.5% | 31.4% | 26.2% | -0.5 | 52 |
| 2024-03-05 | Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1486 | 1599 | 25.2% | 30.8% | 44.1% | -4.8 | 37 |
| 2024-03-05 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1599 | 1486 | 44.1% | 30.8% | 25.2% | +4.9 | 55 |
| 2024-03-05 | Airdrieonians | L 0-2 | 1432 | 1383 | 47.1% | 29.4% | 23.5% | -14.4 | 32 |
| 2024-03-05 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1383 | 1432 | 23.5% | 29.4% | 47.1% | +14.4 | 35 |
| 2024-03-09 | Arbroath | W 4-0 | 1604 | 1353 | 77.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | +6.8 | 58 |
| 2024-03-09 | @ Dundee United | L 0-4 | 1353 | 1604 | 12.9% | 10.0% | 77.1% | -6.8 | 23 |
| 2024-03-09 | Airdrieonians | D 0-0 | 1475 | 1398 | 51.5% | 27.1% | 21.4% | -1.2 | 31 |
| 2024-03-09 | @ Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1398 | 1475 | 21.4% | 27.1% | 51.5% | +1.2 | 36 |
| 2024-03-09 | Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1457 | 1498 | 33.7% | 33.0% | 33.3% | -0.0 | 32 |
| 2024-03-09 | @ Queens Park | D 2-2 | 1498 | 1457 | 33.3% | 33.0% | 33.7% | +0.0 | 40 |
| 2024-03-09 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1491 | 1417 | 50.9% | 27.4% | 21.6% | +7.8 | 54 |
| 2024-03-09 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1417 | 1491 | 21.6% | 27.4% | 50.9% | -7.8 | 32 |
| 2024-03-12 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1498 | 1499 | 39.6% | 32.2% | 28.2% | -6.8 | 40 |
| 2024-03-12 | @ Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1499 | 1498 | 28.2% | 32.2% | 39.6% | +6.8 | 57 |
| 2024-03-15 | Dundee United | W 3-1 | 1410 | 1611 | 19.1% | 23.3% | 57.6% | +14.2 | 35 |
| 2024-03-15 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1611 | 1410 | 57.6% | 23.3% | 19.1% | -14.2 | 58 |
| 2024-03-16 | Arbroath | W 5-2 | 1399 | 1346 | 47.8% | 29.1% | 23.1% | +8.9 | 39 |
| 2024-03-16 | @ Airdrieonians | L 2-5 | 1346 | 1399 | 23.1% | 29.1% | 47.8% | -8.9 | 23 |
| 2024-03-16 | Ayr United | L 1-2 | 1474 | 1425 | 47.0% | 29.5% | 23.5% | -7.2 | 31 |
| 2024-03-16 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1425 | 1474 | 23.5% | 29.5% | 47.0% | +7.2 | 35 |
| 2024-03-16 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1491 | 1481 | 41.2% | 31.8% | 27.0% | +4.9 | 43 |
| 2024-03-16 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1481 | 1491 | 27.0% | 31.8% | 41.2% | -4.9 | 37 |
| 2024-03-16 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1457 | 1506 | 32.6% | 33.0% | 34.4% | +0.1 | 33 |
| 2024-03-16 | @ Queens Park | D 0-0 | 1506 | 1457 | 34.4% | 33.0% | 32.6% | -0.1 | 58 |
| 2024-03-23 | Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1337 | 1496 | 21.6% | 27.4% | 51.0% | -4.1 | 23 |
| 2024-03-23 | @ Arbroath | W 1-0 | 1496 | 1337 | 51.0% | 27.4% | 21.6% | +4.1 | 46 |
| 2024-03-23 | Queens Park | L 1-2 | 1433 | 1457 | 36.1% | 32.9% | 31.0% | -6.0 | 35 |
| 2024-03-23 | @ Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1457 | 1433 | 31.0% | 32.9% | 36.1% | +6.0 | 36 |
| 2024-03-23 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1597 | 1466 | 59.8% | 21.9% | 18.4% | -1.4 | 59 |
| 2024-03-23 | @ Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1466 | 1597 | 18.4% | 21.9% | 59.8% | +1.4 | 32 |
| 2024-03-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1476 | 1424 | 47.7% | 29.1% | 23.1% | -7.7 | 37 |
| 2024-03-23 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1424 | 1476 | 23.1% | 29.1% | 47.7% | +7.7 | 38 |
| 2024-03-29 | Airdrieonians | W 2-1 | 1427 | 1408 | 42.6% | 31.3% | 26.1% | +4.7 | 38 |
| 2024-03-29 | @ Ayr United | L 1-2 | 1408 | 1427 | 26.1% | 31.3% | 42.6% | -4.7 | 39 |
| 2024-03-30 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 2-3 | 1333 | 1432 | 26.6% | 31.6% | 41.9% | -4.6 | 23 |
| 2024-03-30 | @ Arbroath | W 3-2 | 1432 | 1333 | 41.9% | 31.6% | 26.6% | +4.6 | 41 |
| 2024-03-30 | Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1595 | 1505 | 53.5% | 25.9% | 20.6% | +7.3 | 62 |
| 2024-03-30 | @ Dundee United | L 0-2 | 1505 | 1595 | 20.6% | 25.9% | 53.5% | -7.3 | 58 |
| 2024-03-30 | Queens Park | W 2-0 | 1469 | 1463 | 40.6% | 32.0% | 27.4% | +9.9 | 40 |
| 2024-03-30 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1463 | 1469 | 27.4% | 32.0% | 40.6% | -9.9 | 36 |
| 2024-03-30 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1500 | 1468 | 44.6% | 30.6% | 24.9% | +4.8 | 49 |
| 2024-03-30 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1468 | 1500 | 24.9% | 30.6% | 44.6% | -4.8 | 32 |
| 2024-04-02 | Airdrieonians | L 1-2 | 1328 | 1403 | 29.2% | 32.5% | 38.3% | -5.2 | 23 |
| 2024-04-02 | @ Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1403 | 1328 | 38.3% | 32.5% | 29.2% | +5.2 | 42 |
| 2024-04-06 | Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1408 | 1478 | 29.8% | 32.6% | 37.6% | +10.7 | 45 |
| 2024-04-06 | @ Airdrieonians | L 1-3 | 1478 | 1408 | 37.6% | 32.6% | 29.8% | -10.7 | 40 |
| 2024-04-06 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1436 | 1505 | 30.0% | 32.7% | 37.3% | +0.2 | 42 |
| 2024-04-06 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1505 | 1436 | 37.3% | 32.7% | 30.0% | -0.2 | 50 |
| 2024-04-06 | Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1463 | 1323 | 61.2% | 20.9% | 17.9% | +3.0 | 35 |
| 2024-04-06 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-2 | 1323 | 1463 | 17.9% | 20.9% | 61.2% | -3.0 | 23 |
| 2024-04-06 | Dundee United | L 0-5 | 1453 | 1603 | 22.2% | 28.1% | 49.6% | -18.8 | 36 |
| 2024-04-06 | @ Queens Park | W 5-0 | 1603 | 1453 | 49.6% | 28.1% | 22.2% | +18.8 | 65 |
| 2024-04-06 | Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1498 | 1431 | 49.9% | 28.0% | 22.1% | +4.0 | 61 |
| 2024-04-06 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1431 | 1498 | 22.1% | 28.0% | 49.9% | -4.0 | 38 |
| 2024-04-09 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1427 | 1468 | 33.8% | 33.0% | 33.2% | -0.0 | 39 |
| 2024-04-09 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1468 | 1427 | 33.2% | 33.0% | 33.8% | +0.0 | 41 |
| 2024-04-09 | Airdrieonians | L 1-3 | 1502 | 1419 | 52.4% | 26.6% | 21.0% | -13.4 | 61 |
| 2024-04-09 | @ Raith Rovers | W 3-1 | 1419 | 1502 | 21.0% | 26.6% | 52.4% | +13.4 | 48 |
| 2024-04-12 | Dundee United | L 1-4 | 1468 | 1621 | 21.9% | 27.8% | 50.2% | -9.7 | 41 |
| 2024-04-12 | @ Greenock Morton | W 4-1 | 1621 | 1468 | 50.2% | 27.8% | 21.9% | +9.7 | 68 |
| 2024-04-13 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1432 | 1436 | 39.1% | 32.3% | 28.5% | +5.1 | 51 |
| 2024-04-13 | @ Airdrieonians | L 1-2 | 1436 | 1432 | 28.5% | 32.3% | 39.1% | -5.1 | 42 |
| 2024-04-13 | Arbroath | W 5-0 | 1427 | 1320 | 56.2% | 24.2% | 19.6% | +15.9 | 42 |
| 2024-04-13 | @ Ayr United | L 0-5 | 1320 | 1427 | 19.6% | 24.2% | 56.2% | -15.9 | 23 |
| 2024-04-13 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1434 | 1466 | 35.0% | 33.0% | 32.0% | -6.3 | 36 |
| 2024-04-13 | @ Queens Park | W 1-0 | 1466 | 1434 | 32.0% | 33.0% | 35.0% | +6.3 | 38 |
| 2024-04-13 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1489 | 1504 | 37.4% | 32.7% | 29.9% | -0.3 | 62 |
| 2024-04-13 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1504 | 1489 | 29.9% | 32.7% | 37.4% | +0.3 | 51 |
| 2024-04-19 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1472 | 1489 | 37.3% | 32.7% | 30.0% | -6.5 | 38 |
| 2024-04-19 | @ Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1489 | 1472 | 30.0% | 32.7% | 37.3% | +6.5 | 65 |
| 2024-04-20 | Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1304 | 1458 | 21.9% | 27.8% | 50.3% | -3.9 | 23 |
| 2024-04-20 | @ Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1458 | 1304 | 50.3% | 27.8% | 21.9% | +4.0 | 44 |
| 2024-04-20 | Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1631 | 1443 | 68.4% | 15.9% | 15.7% | +2.6 | 71 |
| 2024-04-20 | @ Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1443 | 1631 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 68.4% | -2.5 | 42 |
| 2024-04-20 | Queens Park | D 0-0 | 1431 | 1428 | 40.2% | 32.1% | 27.7% | -0.5 | 43 |
| 2024-04-20 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1428 | 1431 | 27.7% | 32.1% | 40.2% | +0.5 | 37 |
| 2024-04-20 | Airdrieonians | W 4-0 | 1505 | 1437 | 50.0% | 28.0% | 22.1% | +15.1 | 54 |
| 2024-04-20 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-4 | 1437 | 1505 | 22.1% | 28.0% | 50.0% | -15.1 | 51 |
| 2024-04-26 | Dundee United | D 0-0 | 1422 | 1634 | 18.6% | 22.2% | 59.2% | +1.6 | 52 |
| 2024-04-26 | @ Airdrieonians | D 0-0 | 1634 | 1422 | 59.2% | 22.2% | 18.6% | -1.6 | 72 |
| 2024-04-27 | Queens Park | L 0-5 | 1300 | 1428 | 23.9% | 29.8% | 46.3% | -20.3 | 23 |
| 2024-04-27 | @ Arbroath | W 5-0 | 1428 | 1300 | 46.3% | 29.8% | 23.9% | +20.3 | 40 |
| 2024-04-27 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1431 | 1466 | 34.6% | 33.0% | 32.5% | -0.1 | 44 |
| 2024-04-27 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1466 | 1431 | 32.5% | 33.0% | 34.6% | +0.1 | 39 |
| 2024-04-27 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1462 | 1495 | 34.8% | 33.0% | 32.2% | -0.1 | 45 |
| 2024-04-27 | @ Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1495 | 1462 | 32.2% | 33.0% | 34.8% | +0.1 | 66 |
| 2024-04-27 | Ayr United | D 0-0 | 1520 | 1441 | 51.8% | 26.9% | 21.3% | -1.2 | 55 |
| 2024-04-27 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1441 | 1520 | 21.3% | 26.9% | 51.8% | +1.2 | 43 |
| 2024-05-03 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 3-3 | 1442 | 1431 | 41.4% | 31.7% | 26.9% | -0.3 | 44 |
| 2024-05-03 | @ Ayr United | D 3-3 | 1431 | 1442 | 26.9% | 31.7% | 41.4% | +0.3 | 45 |
| 2024-05-03 | Partick Thistle | W 4-1 | 1632 | 1519 | 57.1% | 23.6% | 19.2% | +8.1 | 75 |
| 2024-05-03 | @ Dundee United | L 1-4 | 1519 | 1632 | 19.2% | 23.6% | 57.1% | -8.1 | 55 |
| 2024-05-03 | Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1466 | 1462 | 40.3% | 32.0% | 27.7% | +8.6 | 42 |
| 2024-05-03 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-3 | 1462 | 1466 | 27.7% | 32.0% | 40.3% | -8.6 | 45 |
| 2024-05-03 | Airdrieonians | W 2-0 | 1449 | 1424 | 43.5% | 31.0% | 25.5% | +9.3 | 43 |
| 2024-05-03 | @ Queens Park | L 0-2 | 1424 | 1449 | 25.5% | 31.0% | 43.5% | -9.3 | 52 |
| 2024-05-03 | Arbroath | W 5-0 | 1495 | 1280 | 72.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | +9.9 | 69 |
| 2024-05-03 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-5 | 1280 | 1495 | 14.5% | 13.2% | 72.3% | -9.9 | 23 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2024-02-27 | 12.74% | Airdrieonians | 1364 | 2 | @ Dundee United | 1619 | 0 |
| 2 | 2024-01-06 | 16.22% | Greenock Morton | 1448 | 3 | @ Dundee United | 1625 | 2 |
| 3 | 2023-12-16 | 18.89% | Raith Rovers | 1495 | 1 | @ Dundee United | 1615 | 0 |
| 4 | 2024-03-15 | 19.09% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1410 | 3 | Dundee United | 1611 | 1 |
| 5 | 2024-02-23 | 19.42% | Dunfermline Athletic | 1406 | 3 | @ Partick Thistle | 1517 | 1 |
| 6 | 2024-01-13 | 20.63% | Queens Park | 1411 | 2 | @ Raith Rovers | 1500 | 1 |
| 7 | 2023-09-30 | 20.66% | Airdrieonians | 1342 | 1 | @ Greenock Morton | 1431 | 0 |
| 8 | 2023-09-23 | 20.97% | Arbroath | 1450 | 3 | @ Partick Thistle | 1533 | 0 |
| 9 | 2024-04-09 | 21.00% | Airdrieonians | 1419 | 3 | @ Raith Rovers | 1502 | 1 |
| 10 | 2023-12-16 | 21.29% | Arbroath | 1400 | 2 | @ Inverness CT | 1479 | 1 |
| 11 | 2023-12-30 | 21.57% | Airdrieonians | 1342 | 2 | @ Queens Park | 1416 | 1 |
| 12 | 2023-08-12 | 21.58% | @ Airdrieonians | 1338 | 2 | Partick Thistle | 1497 | 1 |
| 13 | 2024-03-01 | 22.00% | @ Arbroath | 1345 | 3 | Raith Rovers | 1498 | 2 |
| 14 | 2023-08-26 | 22.28% | Arbroath | 1409 | 3 | @ Greenock Morton | 1473 | 0 |
| 15 | 2024-01-06 | 22.57% | @ Airdrieonians | 1363 | 1 | Raith Rovers | 1508 | 0 |
| 16 | 2024-02-03 | 22.79% | Queens Park | 1412 | 1 | @ Inverness CT | 1470 | 0 |
| 17 | 2024-03-23 | 23.14% | Dunfermline Athletic | 1424 | 1 | @ Greenock Morton | 1476 | 0 |
| 18 | 2024-02-16 | 23.20% | @ Raith Rovers | 1486 | 2 | Dundee United | 1622 | 1 |
| 19 | 2024-03-05 | 23.46% | Airdrieonians | 1383 | 2 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1432 | 0 |
| 20 | 2024-03-16 | 23.49% | Ayr United | 1425 | 2 | @ Inverness CT | 1474 | 1 |
| 21 | 2023-08-26 | 23.75% | @ Airdrieonians | 1346 | 2 | Inverness CT | 1476 | 1 |
| 22 | 2023-09-23 | 23.76% | @ Airdrieonians | 1334 | 1 | Raith Rovers | 1464 | 0 |
| 23 | 2024-03-02 | 24.20% | Inverness CT | 1461 | 2 | @ Greenock Morton | 1500 | 0 |
| 24 | 2024-01-02 | 24.39% | @ Airdrieonians | 1349 | 2 | Inverness CT | 1471 | 0 |
| 25 | 2023-10-28 | 24.57% | Greenock Morton | 1423 | 1 | @ Ayr United | 1458 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2024-02-03 | 29.08 | Greenock Morton | 5 | 1468 | 29.55% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1455 | 37.86% | |
| 2 | 2023-10-21 | 27.28 | Dundee United | 5 | 1560 | 32.59% | @ Partick Thistle | 0 | 1524 | 34.43% | |
| 3 | 2023-09-23 | 22.42 | Arbroath | 3 | 1450 | 20.97% | @ Partick Thistle | 0 | 1533 | 52.52% | |
| 4 | 2024-02-27 | 22.09 | @ Queens Park | 6 | 1435 | 50.00% | Arbroath | 0 | 1368 | 22.05% | |
| 5 | 2023-08-26 | 21.58 | Arbroath | 3 | 1409 | 22.28% | @ Greenock Morton | 0 | 1473 | 49.49% | |
| 6 | 2023-09-15 | 21.07 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 1512 | 35.05% | @ Ayr United | 0 | 1459 | 32.00% | |
| 7 | 2024-04-27 | 20.30 | Queens Park | 5 | 1428 | 46.33% | @ Arbroath | 0 | 1300 | 23.86% | |
| 8 | 2023-08-04 | 20.07 | Dundee United | 4 | 1507 | 37.41% | @ Arbroath | 0 | 1438 | 29.92% | |
| 9 | 2024-02-27 | 19.42 | Airdrieonians | 2 | 1364 | 12.74% | @ Dundee United | 0 | 1619 | 77.56% | |
| 10 | 2024-02-10 | 18.92 | Queens Park | 3 | 1420 | 27.44% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1426 | 40.61% | |
| 11 | 2024-04-06 | 18.76 | Dundee United | 5 | 1603 | 49.65% | @ Queens Park | 0 | 1453 | 22.21% | |
| 12 | 2023-10-27 | 17.86 | @ Dundee United | 6 | 1587 | 58.33% | Arbroath | 0 | 1466 | 18.85% | |
| 13 | 2023-08-26 | 16.51 | Dundee United | 3 | 1526 | 33.88% | @ Ayr United | 0 | 1481 | 33.12% | |
| 14 | 2024-04-13 | 15.92 | @ Ayr United | 5 | 1427 | 56.18% | Arbroath | 0 | 1320 | 19.59% | |
| 15 | 2024-01-02 | 15.15 | @ Greenock Morton | 3 | 1433 | 38.04% | Ayr United | 0 | 1444 | 29.39% | |
| 16 | 2024-04-20 | 15.11 | @ Partick Thistle | 4 | 1505 | 49.97% | Airdrieonians | 0 | 1437 | 22.06% | |
| 17 | 2023-09-22 | 14.47 | Ayr United | 5 | 1438 | 25.50% | @ Queens Park | 2 | 1463 | 43.50% | |
| 18 | 2024-03-05 | 14.38 | Airdrieonians | 2 | 1383 | 23.46% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1432 | 47.09% | |
| 19 | 2023-12-09 | 14.27 | Inverness CT | 4 | 1471 | 32.67% | @ Queens Park | 1 | 1434 | 34.34% | |
| 20 | 2024-03-15 | 14.17 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | 1410 | 19.09% | Dundee United | 1 | 1611 | 57.63% | |
| 21 | 2024-03-02 | 14.10 | Inverness CT | 2 | 1461 | 24.20% | @ Greenock Morton | 0 | 1500 | 45.72% | |
| 22 | 2024-01-02 | 14.04 | @ Airdrieonians | 2 | 1349 | 24.39% | Inverness CT | 0 | 1471 | 45.36% | |
| 23 | 2024-02-23 | 14.02 | Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | 1406 | 19.42% | @ Partick Thistle | 1 | 1517 | 56.66% | |
| 24 | 2023-09-16 | 13.98 | @ Arbroath | 4 | 1436 | 53.09% | Airdrieonians | 0 | 1348 | 20.74% | |
| 25 | 2023-09-02 | 13.82 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 1498 | 34.24% | @ Greenock Morton | 1 | 1451 | 32.77% | |